2008 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Pittsburgh Steelers

6th Super Bowl

Last Title: 2005

Runner-Up

Arizona Cardinals

1st SB App.

Last Appearance: 1948

Biggest Overachiever

Carolina Panthers

3.38 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.62 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Detroit Lions

3.46 wins below expected

0 wins · 3.46 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Miami Dolphins Division	11	5	.688	-	345	317	+28	8.28	+2.72
2	New England Patriots	11	5	.688	-	410	309	+101	10.95	+0.05
3	New York Jets	9	7	.562	2	405	356	+49	8.92	+0.08
4	Buffalo Bills	7	9	.438	4	336	342	-6	8.07	-1.07

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	12	4	0	.750	-	347	223	+124	9.94	+2.06
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	1	385	244	+141	8.23	+2.77
3	Cincinnati Bengals	4	11	1	.281	7.5	204	364	-160	5.06	-0.56
4	Cleveland Browns	4	12	0	.250	8	232	350	-118	6.70	-2.70

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tennessee Titans Division	13	3	.812	-	375	234	+141	10.41	+2.59
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	377	298	+79	9.59	+2.41
3	Houston Texans	8	8	.500	5	366	394	-28	7.38	+0.62
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	11	.312	8	302	367	-65	7.68	-2.68

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Diego Chargers Division	8	8	.500	-	439	347	+92	9.98	-1.98
2	Denver Broncos	8	8	.500	-	370	448	-78	7.73	+0.27
3	Oakland Raiders	5	11	.312	3	263	388	-125	5.33	-0.33
4	Kansas City Chiefs	2	14	.125	6	291	440	-149	4.36	-2.36

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	12	4	0	.750	-	427	294	+133	10.60	+1.40
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	9	6	1	.594	2.5	416	289	+127	9.29	+0.21
3	Dallas Cowboys	9	7	0	.562	3	362	365	-3	8.79	+0.21
4	Washington Redskins	8	8	0	.500	4	265	296	-31	8.60	-0.60

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	10	6	.625	-	379	333	+46	8.34	+1.66
2	Chicago Bears	9	7	.562	1	375	350	+25	9.26	-0.26
3	Green Bay Packers	6	10	.375	4	419	380	+39	9.18	-3.18
4	Detroit Lions	0	16	.000	10	268	517	-249	3.46	-3.46

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	12	4	.750	-	414	329	+85	8.62	+3.38
2	Atlanta Falcons Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	391	325	+66	7.67	+3.33
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9	7	.562	3	361	323	+38	9.67	-0.67
4	New Orleans Saints	8	8	.500	4	463	393	+70	8.24	-0.24

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Arizona Cardinals Division	9	7	.562	-	427	426	+1	8.85	+0.15
2	San Francisco 49ers	7	9	.438	2	339	381	-42	5.93	+1.07
3	Seattle Seahawks	4	12	.250	5	294	392	-98	6.74	-2.74
4	St. Louis Rams	2	14	.125	7	232	465	-233	4.18	-2.18

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

San Diego Chargers 23

Indianapolis Colts 17

Jan 3

Baltimore Ravens 27

Miami Dolphins 9

Jan 4

Divisional Round

Baltimore Ravens 13

Tennessee Titans 10

Jan 10

Pittsburgh Steelers 35

San Diego Chargers 24

Jan 11

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh Steelers 23

Baltimore Ravens 14

Jan 18

NFC

Wild Card Round

Arizona Cardinals 30

Atlanta Falcons 24

Jan 3

Philadelphia Eagles 26

Minnesota Vikings 14

Jan 4

Divisional Round

Arizona Cardinals 33

Carolina Panthers 13

Jan 10

Philadelphia Eagles 23

New York Giants 11

Jan 11

Conference Championship

Arizona Cardinals 32

Philadelphia Eagles 25

Jan 18

Super Bowl

Pittsburgh Steelers 27

Arizona Cardinals 23

Feb 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1693	12	10.60	+1.40	85.41%	2	7	9	11	12	13	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1691	13	10.41	+2.59	96.05%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1685	12	9.94	+2.06	92.27%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1683	11	8.23	+2.77	96.15%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1667	12	9.59	+2.41	94.97%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1659	9.5	9.29	+0.21	54.62%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1658	11	10.95	+0.05	61.39%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1617	12	8.62	+3.38	98.28%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1611	10	8.34	+1.66	87.44%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1606	8	9.98	-1.98	21.69%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1596	11	7.67	+3.33	98.04%	1	5	6	8	9	11	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1566	11	8.28	+2.72	96.26%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1543	8	8.24	-0.24	55.93%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1536	9	8.79	+0.21	65.43%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1526	9	9.26	-0.26	55.37%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1499	8	7.38	+0.62	72.90%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1488	6	9.18	-3.18	8.43%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1480	8	8.60	-0.60	48.40%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1476	9	9.67	-0.67	46.49%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1473	9	8.92	+0.08	62.92%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1464	9	8.85	+0.15	64.09%	1	6	8	9	10	12	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1428	7	5.93	+1.07	80.98%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1403	7	8.07	-1.07	38.80%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1403	4	6.74	-2.74	11.73%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1400	5	7.68	-2.68	12.88%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1393	4.5	5.06	-0.56	38.96%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1390	8	7.73	+0.27	66.87%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1376	5	5.33	-0.33	55.73%	0	2	4	5	6	8	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1349	4	6.70	-2.70	11.94%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1241	2	4.36	-2.36	14.50%	0	2	3	4	5	7	14
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1215	2	4.18	-2.18	16.66%	0	2	3	4	5	7	13
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1188	0	3.46	-3.46	1.74%	0	1	2	3	4	6	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.9 exp.)
New York Jets	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-2-1 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-
Cleveland Browns	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-
Oakland Raiders	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	-
San Diego Chargers	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (3.0 exp.)
New York Giants	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	2-1-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.6 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	0-4 (0.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	4-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	-	1-3 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	-	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.17%	1.17%	0.98%	0.98%	0.78%	0.59%	5.66%
7–13	1.17%	3.12%	4.10%	2.34%	4.88%	1.37%	0.59%	17.58%
14–20	1.17%	4.10%	6.25%	7.03%	2.73%	1.95%	0.20%	23.44%
21–27	0.98%	2.34%	7.03%	5.86%	5.86%	0.98%	0.59%	23.63%
28–34	0.98%	4.88%	2.73%	5.86%	2.73%	0.98%	0.98%	19.14%
35–41	0.78%	1.37%	1.95%	0.98%	0.98%	0.78%	0.39%	7.23%
42+	0.59%	0.59%	0.20%	0.59%	0.98%	0.39%	—	3.32%
Total	5.66%	17.58%	23.44%	23.63%	19.14%	7.23%	3.32%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.03	22.03	+0.00
SD	10.51	10.51	15.51
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	56	56	+44
Min	0	0	-44

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	18.75%	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.69	26.62	+0.06
SD	8.90	14.20	19.66
CV	0.33	0.53	—
Max	41	56	+24
Min	7	10	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	20.31	+4.12
SD	10.29	7.60	12.40
CV	0.42	0.37	—
Max	45	29	+24
Min	9	0	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	62.50%	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.06	15.25	+8.81
SD	11.45	8.78	16.87
CV	0.48	0.58	—
Max	41	31	+31
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	21.38	-0.38
SD	13.64	8.82	13.62
CV	0.65	0.41	—
Max	54	41	+24
Min	0	10	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	43.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.88	20.56	+5.31
SD	9.34	11.94	14.91
CV	0.36	0.58	—
Max	38	45	+34
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	21.88	+1.56
SD	9.82	10.60	15.20
CV	0.42	0.48	—
Max	48	41	+27
Min	3	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.75	22.75	-10.00
SD	6.41	10.99	14.80
CV	0.50	0.48	—
Max	23	38	+14
Min	3	0	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.50	21.88	-7.38
SD	11.17	9.27	12.90
CV	0.77	0.42	—
Max	35	37	+21
Min	0	10	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.62	22.81	-0.19
SD	9.78	11.76	16.26
CV	0.43	0.52	—
Max	41	44	+25
Min	6	8	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.12	28.00	-4.88
SD	10.58	10.50	16.46
CV	0.46	0.38	—
Max	41	52	+27
Min	7	13	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	31.25%	—	6.25%	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	18.75%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.75	32.31	-15.56
SD	5.89	9.30	10.95
CV	0.35	0.29	—
Max	25	48	-2
Min	7	12	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	—	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.19	23.75	+2.44
SD	8.83	10.33	14.07
CV	0.34	0.43	—
Max	48	51	+34
Min	16	3	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.88	24.62	-1.75
SD	7.42	10.31	14.11
CV	0.32	0.42	—
Max	35	41	+29
Min	12	6	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	—	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.56	18.62	+4.94
SD	7.76	10.70	14.06
CV	0.33	0.57	—
Max	35	34	+32
Min	10	0	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	31.25%	50.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	22.94	-4.06
SD	7.96	5.31	10.74
CV	0.42	0.23	—
Max	38	31	+24
Min	7	14	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.19	27.50	-9.31
SD	9.70	10.53	12.37
CV	0.53	0.38	—
Max	33	54	+14
Min	0	13	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.56	19.81	+1.75
SD	8.51	11.07	12.05
CV	0.39	0.56	—
Max	38	48	+25
Min	10	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	20.81	+2.88
SD	8.68	9.53	10.16
CV	0.37	0.46	—
Max	41	48	+21
Min	12	10	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.62	19.31	+6.31
SD	13.83	11.38	18.54
CV	0.54	0.59	—
Max	49	38	+40
Min	10	0	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	50.00%	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.94	24.56	+4.38
SD	9.95	9.25	15.28
CV	0.34	0.38	—
Max	51	34	+35
Min	7	3	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.69	18.38	+8.31
SD	10.73	9.02	14.72
CV	0.40	0.49	—
Max	44	35	+38
Min	8	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.31	22.25	+3.06
SD	13.65	11.04	16.25
CV	0.54	0.50	—
Max	56	48	+44
Min	3	3	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.44	24.25	-7.81
SD	9.75	11.27	16.39
CV	0.59	0.46	—
Max	31	49	+21
Min	0	8	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	—	18.75%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.00	18.06	+7.94
SD	13.28	11.90	17.65
CV	0.51	0.66	—
Max	48	41	+38
Min	3	3	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.69	13.94	+7.75
SD	9.98	7.95	13.86
CV	0.46	0.57	—
Max	38	31	+31
Min	6	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	43.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.44	21.69	+5.75
SD	12.82	8.66	12.96
CV	0.47	0.40	—
Max	52	39	+31
Min	10	7	-9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	23.81	-2.62
SD	8.00	10.13	11.89
CV	0.38	0.43	—
Max	35	40	+19
Min	9	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.38	24.50	-6.12
SD	9.34	10.11	16.26
CV	0.51	0.41	—
Max	37	44	+24
Min	6	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.50	29.06	-14.56
SD	8.26	9.88	16.05
CV	0.57	0.34	—
Max	34	47	+20
Min	3	14	-44

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.56	20.19	+2.38
SD	7.55	10.46	11.23
CV	0.33	0.52	—
Max	38	41	+24
Min	9	3	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	50.00%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	14.62	+8.81
SD	11.16	6.73	15.18
CV	0.48	0.46	—
Max	47	34	+37
Min	0	7	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	50.00%	37.50%	—	—	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.56	18.50	-1.94
SD	7.84	5.99	8.50
CV	0.47	0.32	—
Max	29	27	+8
Min	6	3	-17

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.48	+0.3
Allowed	0.61	-0.4
Differential	0.83	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	12	8.62	+3.38
2	Atlanta Falcons	11	7.67	+3.33
3	Baltimore Ravens	11	8.23	+2.77
4	Miami Dolphins	11	8.28	+2.72
5	Tennessee Titans	13	10.41	+2.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	0	3.46	-3.46
2	Green Bay Packers	6	9.18	-3.18
3	Seattle Seahawks	4	6.74	-2.74
4	Cleveland Browns	4	6.70	-2.70
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	7.68	-2.68

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tennessee Titans	10	Sep 7 – Nov 16	1 in 122
2	Indianapolis Colts	9	Nov 2 – Dec 28	1 in 103
3	Houston Texans	4	Nov 23 – Dec 14	1 in 48
4	New York Jets	5	Oct 26 – Nov 23	1 in 45
5	St. Louis Rams	2	Oct 12 – Oct 19	1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Green Bay Packers	5	Nov 24 – Dec 22	1 in 73
2	Detroit Lions	16	Sep 7 – Dec 28	1 in 61
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	Dec 8 – Dec 28	1 in 53
4	Cincinnati Bengals	8	Sep 7 – Oct 26	1 in 41
5	St. Louis Rams	10	Oct 26 – Dec 28	1 in 28

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	64.66%	22.02%	9.56%	3.76%
New York Jets	16.71%	31.80%	28.88%	22.61%
Miami Dolphins	9.84%	24.17%	31.17%	34.82%
Buffalo Bills	8.79%	22.02%	30.39%	38.81%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	68.16%	23.62%	6.90%	1.33%
Baltimore Ravens	23.21%	43.83%	24.68%	8.28%
Cleveland Browns	7.27%	24.75%	43.35%	24.63%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.36%	7.80%	25.07%	65.77%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tennessee Titans	53.19%	28.56%	12.95%	5.30%
Indianapolis Colts	32.43%	37.48%	20.52%	9.57%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.23%	18.74%	34.88%	38.16%
Houston Texans	6.15%	15.22%	31.65%	46.98%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Diego Chargers	75.96%	19.85%	3.59%	0.60%
Denver Broncos	20.25%	56.42%	18.36%	4.97%
Oakland Raiders	2.88%	16.26%	48.16%	32.70%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.92%	7.47%	29.89%	61.72%

Team	1	2	3	4
New York Giants	51.72%	25.56%	14.85%	7.86%
Philadelphia Eagles	21.35%	28.77%	26.98%	22.90%
Dallas Cowboys	14.62%	24.20%	29.43%	31.76%
Washington Redskins	12.31%	21.46%	28.74%	37.48%

Team	1	2	3	4
Chicago Bears	39.70%	33.73%	25.20%	1.36%
Green Bay Packers	37.47%	34.12%	26.86%	1.55%
Minnesota Vikings	22.73%	31.46%	42.82%	2.99%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.68%	5.12%	94.09%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	45.06%	26.88%	17.67%	10.39%
Carolina Panthers	24.08%	28.12%	26.23%	21.57%
New Orleans Saints	18.55%	25.10%	28.15%	28.20%
Atlanta Falcons	12.32%	19.90%	27.95%	39.84%

Team	1	2	3	4
Arizona Cardinals	69.04%	21.91%	7.41%	1.64%
Seattle Seahawks	19.42%	40.71%	28.21%	11.65%
San Francisco 49ers	9.64%	28.23%	39.99%	22.14%
St. Louis Rams	1.90%	9.15%	24.39%	64.57%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	28.51%	19.08%	13.64%	10.01%	7.61%	5.92%	4.42%	3.31%	2.61%	1.83%	1.30%	0.87%	0.51%	0.27%	0.09%	0.03%
Tennessee Titans	18.62%	16.66%	13.82%	11.17%	9.33%	7.58%	5.90%	4.72%	3.71%	2.95%	2.16%	1.53%	0.95%	0.57%	0.26%	0.07%
San Diego Chargers	13.59%	14.39%	14.57%	13.26%	10.21%	8.16%	6.75%	5.54%	4.20%	3.18%	2.35%	1.68%	1.02%	0.66%	0.31%	0.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.92%	14.63%	13.83%	12.31%	9.92%	8.28%	7.03%	5.70%	4.35%	3.26%	2.62%	1.87%	1.12%	0.66%	0.40%	0.11%
Indianapolis Colts	9.68%	10.49%	10.70%	10.69%	10.76%	9.82%	8.34%	7.19%	6.16%	5.04%	4.03%	2.98%	2.11%	1.31%	0.56%	0.15%
New York Jets	4.77%	6.28%	7.15%	8.33%	9.57%	9.74%	9.27%	8.74%	8.28%	7.51%	6.33%	5.25%	4.02%	2.78%	1.45%	0.52%
Baltimore Ravens	2.43%	4.07%	5.56%	6.81%	7.55%	8.77%	9.83%	9.63%	8.82%	8.40%	7.92%	6.66%	5.44%	4.04%	2.85%	1.21%
Miami Dolphins	2.35%	3.56%	4.86%	6.12%	7.66%	8.29%	8.21%	8.68%	9.22%	9.21%	8.57%	7.60%	6.76%	5.23%	2.65%	1.02%
Buffalo Bills	2.07%	3.08%	4.26%	5.39%	6.79%	7.55%	8.01%	8.41%	9.11%	9.28%	8.63%	8.44%	7.58%	6.18%	3.67%	1.55%
Denver Broncos	1.26%	2.46%	3.81%	5.21%	6.11%	7.39%	9.17%	10.30%	10.19%	9.74%	8.95%	8.00%	6.94%	5.31%	3.10%	2.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.40%	2.42%	3.28%	4.25%	5.37%	6.36%	7.30%	7.97%	9.05%	9.76%	9.70%	9.36%	8.79%	7.72%	5.16%	2.12%
Houston Texans	0.97%	1.85%	2.49%	3.32%	4.46%	5.52%	6.08%	7.28%	8.72%	9.47%	9.82%	10.32%	10.35%	9.68%	6.72%	2.95%
Cleveland Browns	0.35%	0.81%	1.45%	2.15%	3.05%	4.10%	5.61%	6.62%	7.58%	9.01%	10.63%	11.41%	11.24%	10.41%	9.85%	5.74%
Oakland Raiders	0.05%	0.13%	0.32%	0.55%	0.85%	1.26%	2.01%	2.85%	3.70%	5.04%	7.20%	9.90%	13.24%	16.46%	17.08%	19.36%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.06%	0.17%	0.32%	0.54%	0.83%	1.37%	1.95%	2.73%	3.85%	6.06%	8.28%	10.94%	15.29%	25.80%	21.82%
Kansas City Chiefs	<0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.13%	0.22%	0.41%	0.69%	1.12%	1.59%	2.47%	3.73%	5.87%	9.01%	13.43%	20.05%	41.16%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New York Giants	27.62%	16.39%	11.63%	9.20%	7.89%	6.22%	5.07%	4.16%	3.49%	2.81%	2.14%	1.58%	1.07%	0.56%	0.14%	0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.58%	13.01%	11.58%	9.85%	8.59%	8.07%	7.16%	6.15%	5.54%	4.85%	4.20%	3.42%	2.57%	1.83%	0.52%	0.08%
Chicago Bears	9.31%	10.47%	10.00%	9.60%	8.82%	8.51%	7.99%	7.38%	6.68%	6.00%	5.35%	4.31%	2.94%	1.77%	0.65%	0.24%
Green Bay Packers	8.58%	10.05%	9.66%	9.18%	8.90%	8.63%	8.04%	7.49%	6.87%	6.32%	5.47%	4.55%	3.33%	2.01%	0.69%	0.23%
Philadelphia Eagles	9.60%	8.69%	8.79%	9.02%	9.02%	8.26%	8.00%	7.40%	6.92%	6.39%	5.58%	4.90%	3.81%	2.54%	0.91%	0.18%
Arizona Cardinals	5.96%	7.98%	9.68%	10.47%	9.61%	9.09%	8.26%	7.90%	7.07%	6.24%	5.56%	4.67%	3.69%	2.38%	1.14%	0.29%
Dallas Cowboys	6.07%	6.12%	6.73%	7.41%	8.13%	8.12%	7.97%	8.21%	8.30%	7.98%	7.41%	6.63%	5.63%	3.86%	1.15%	0.27%
Carolina Panthers	5.20%	6.81%	7.22%	7.36%	7.59%	7.90%	8.05%	7.93%	7.73%	7.58%	7.33%	6.67%	5.85%	4.83%	1.59%	0.36%
Washington Redskins	4.76%	5.29%	5.88%	6.78%	7.36%	7.75%	8.12%	8.33%	8.51%	8.30%	8.10%	7.55%	6.50%	4.73%	1.62%	0.41%
Minnesota Vikings	4.23%	5.50%	6.39%	6.52%	7.13%	7.70%	8.14%	8.28%	8.32%	8.63%	8.70%	7.89%	6.15%	4.21%	1.58%	0.63%
New Orleans Saints	3.51%	5.08%	5.75%	6.17%	6.77%	7.23%	7.61%	7.90%	8.05%	8.13%	8.08%	8.09%	7.44%	6.86%	2.57%	0.75%
Atlanta Falcons	1.84%	2.96%	3.90%	4.40%	4.95%	5.99%	6.61%	7.02%	7.96%	8.67%	9.58%	10.04%	10.41%	10.09%	4.15%	1.42%
Seattle Seahawks	0.59%	1.23%	1.97%	2.63%	3.33%	4.00%	5.32%	6.56%	7.76%	8.80%	9.85%	11.51%	12.78%	12.16%	7.89%	3.61%
San Francisco 49ers	0.14%	0.39%	0.74%	1.26%	1.66%	2.15%	3.03%	4.21%	5.19%	6.62%	8.49%	11.05%	14.93%	17.90%	13.63%	8.62%
St. Louis Rams	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.13%	0.21%	0.30%	0.50%	0.84%	1.27%	2.06%	3.07%	5.07%	8.83%	15.04%	31.35%	31.25%
Detroit Lions	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.07%	0.14%	0.23%	0.35%	0.62%	1.09%	2.08%	4.08%	9.23%	30.41%	51.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	17.91%	12.72%	10.29%	8.38%	7.01%	6.15%	5.11%	4.44%	3.96%	3.47%	3.08%	2.56%	2.29%	2.08%	1.70%	1.55%	1.34%	1.18%	0.96%	0.88%	0.67%	0.58%	0.49%	0.38%	0.26%	0.21%	0.16%	0.10%	0.05%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%
New York Giants	13.37%	12.55%	8.58%	8.38%	6.37%	5.89%	5.04%	4.75%	4.19%	3.92%	3.38%	3.02%	2.87%	2.52%	2.28%	1.84%	1.77%	1.59%	1.54%	1.21%	1.12%	0.87%	0.82%	0.62%	0.54%	0.38%	0.27%	0.17%	0.08%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	11.45%	9.12%	8.89%	7.61%	7.23%	6.24%	5.59%	5.00%	4.85%	4.25%	3.89%	3.31%	3.02%	2.84%	2.44%	2.22%	2.01%	1.74%	1.57%	1.36%	1.12%	1.01%	0.90%	0.69%	0.55%	0.37%	0.30%	0.19%	0.15%	0.06%	0.03%	0.01%
San Diego Chargers	7.91%	7.20%	7.51%	6.78%	6.99%	6.53%	6.10%	6.17%	4.71%	4.98%	4.17%	4.14%	3.24%	3.23%	2.89%	3.02%	2.32%	2.10%	1.54%	1.73%	1.43%	1.27%	0.93%	0.88%	0.64%	0.52%	0.40%	0.30%	0.18%	0.12%	0.07%	0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.39%	6.75%	7.93%	6.39%	7.13%	5.99%	6.12%	5.49%	4.87%	4.63%	4.38%	4.17%	3.36%	3.31%	2.91%	2.96%	2.37%	2.19%	1.71%	1.69%	1.49%	1.41%	1.06%	0.90%	0.71%	0.56%	0.44%	0.29%	0.22%	0.11%	0.05%	0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5.50%	6.50%	6.24%	6.37%	5.61%	5.89%	5.31%	5.11%	4.55%	4.48%	4.19%	4.15%	3.92%	3.48%	3.32%	2.97%	3.05%	2.69%	2.64%	2.34%	2.17%	1.82%	1.73%	1.50%	1.27%	1.12%	0.86%	0.60%	0.34%	0.21%	0.06%	0.02%
Indianapolis Colts	5.45%	4.99%	5.68%	5.23%	5.74%	5.21%	5.43%	4.96%	5.56%	4.70%	4.71%	4.58%	4.20%	4.08%	3.60%	3.54%	3.19%	3.00%	2.65%	2.35%	2.11%	1.94%	1.66%	1.48%	1.22%	0.94%	0.72%	0.50%	0.32%	0.17%	0.07%	0.02%
Chicago Bears	3.85%	4.78%	4.85%	5.24%	4.83%	5.23%	5.01%	4.84%	4.63%	4.51%	4.34%	4.46%	4.11%	3.89%	3.76%	3.78%	3.52%	3.42%	3.00%	2.90%	2.70%	2.61%	2.10%	2.05%	1.51%	1.44%	0.90%	0.82%	0.43%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%
Green Bay Packers	3.58%	4.48%	4.52%	5.06%	4.72%	4.94%	4.79%	4.75%	4.50%	4.45%	4.70%	4.34%	4.35%	3.82%	3.93%	3.67%	3.73%	3.36%	3.18%	3.00%	2.95%	2.60%	2.31%	2.09%	1.68%	1.56%	1.07%	0.88%	0.48%	0.31%	0.15%	0.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.90%	4.82%	4.34%	4.80%	4.78%	4.55%	4.67%	4.49%	4.85%	4.60%	4.28%	4.04%	4.46%	3.99%	4.01%	3.44%	3.55%	3.32%	3.56%	2.97%	2.77%	2.57%	2.60%	2.04%	1.86%	1.48%	1.28%	0.91%	0.53%	0.34%	0.14%	0.05%
Arizona Cardinals	2.35%	3.16%	3.52%	4.28%	4.29%	4.78%	4.82%	5.24%	4.28%	5.13%	4.62%	4.93%	3.94%	4.15%	4.07%	4.41%	3.78%	3.49%	3.18%	3.25%	3.12%	2.81%	2.43%	2.32%	2.05%	1.73%	1.33%	1.05%	0.74%	0.45%	0.20%	0.10%
New York Jets	2.37%	2.74%	3.26%	3.43%	3.76%	3.84%	4.05%	4.44%	4.56%	4.76%	4.54%	4.74%	4.45%	4.89%	4.35%	4.16%	3.98%	4.18%	3.68%	3.64%	3.16%	3.16%	2.88%	2.50%	2.21%	1.80%	1.63%	1.11%	0.89%	0.47%	0.28%	0.09%
Dallas Cowboys	2.18%	3.06%	3.07%	3.34%	3.46%	3.64%	3.85%	3.91%	4.37%	4.08%	4.17%	4.10%	4.35%	4.30%	4.39%	3.84%	4.22%	4.11%	4.28%	3.81%	3.63%	3.49%	3.40%	2.97%	2.81%	2.27%	1.94%	1.40%	0.74%	0.49%	0.22%	0.10%
Carolina Panthers	1.82%	2.71%	2.96%	3.58%	3.42%	3.94%	3.74%	3.91%	3.88%	3.92%	4.12%	4.11%	4.27%	4.15%	4.08%	3.87%	4.25%	3.85%	4.17%	3.72%	3.68%	3.55%	3.49%	3.00%	2.94%	2.62%	2.26%	1.85%	1.04%	0.67%	0.28%	0.15%
Washington Redskins	1.66%	2.47%	2.67%	2.89%	3.06%	3.27%	3.46%	3.61%	3.88%	3.90%	3.85%	3.88%	4.41%	4.35%	4.46%	3.95%	4.06%	4.49%	4.58%	4.08%	3.87%	3.91%	3.81%	3.38%	3.11%	2.68%	2.33%	1.80%	0.97%	0.69%	0.33%	0.13%
Minnesota Vikings	1.50%	2.14%	2.45%	2.85%	3.07%	3.31%	3.39%	3.40%	3.70%	3.58%	4.05%	3.91%	4.27%	3.91%	4.33%	4.08%	4.31%	4.31%	4.26%	4.22%	4.29%	4.27%	3.65%	3.94%	3.00%	3.19%	2.07%	2.04%	1.09%	0.77%	0.42%	0.24%
Baltimore Ravens	1.17%	1.53%	2.12%	2.15%	2.81%	2.74%	3.27%	3.33%	3.80%	3.68%	4.22%	4.25%	4.42%	4.52%	4.44%	4.92%	4.44%	4.38%	4.11%	4.28%	4.29%	4.08%	3.61%	3.40%	3.19%	2.74%	2.50%	1.98%	1.69%	1.08%	0.61%	0.25%
New Orleans Saints	1.23%	1.82%	2.21%	2.73%	2.62%	3.07%	3.13%	3.26%	3.36%	3.62%	3.60%	3.86%	4.01%	3.94%	4.09%	3.95%	4.17%	4.20%	4.24%	4.13%	4.07%	3.98%	4.23%	3.95%	3.57%	3.43%	3.13%	2.67%	1.59%	1.19%	0.61%	0.31%
Miami Dolphins	1.06%	1.42%	1.86%	2.02%	2.46%	2.76%	2.91%	3.29%	3.72%	3.97%	3.78%	4.14%	4.00%	4.46%	4.22%	4.18%	4.35%	4.71%	4.66%	4.48%	4.32%	4.18%	4.12%	3.65%	3.67%	3.09%	2.92%	2.23%	1.64%	0.98%	0.55%	0.20%
Buffalo Bills	0.95%	1.24%	1.55%	1.77%	2.21%	2.37%	2.62%	2.94%	3.27%	3.51%	3.50%	3.77%	3.98%	4.15%	4.13%	4.11%	4.41%	4.53%	4.65%	4.43%	4.35%	4.47%	4.42%	4.13%	4.07%	3.59%	3.44%	2.68%	2.21%	1.34%	0.89%	0.35%
Denver Broncos	0.52%	0.77%	1.22%	1.39%	1.81%	1.99%	2.44%	2.58%	2.79%	3.16%	3.46%	3.83%	3.85%	4.37%	4.36%	5.45%	4.58%	4.99%	4.37%	5.32%	4.57%	4.94%	4.09%	4.46%	4.06%	3.76%	3.21%	2.72%	1.99%	1.37%	1.13%	0.45%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.60%	0.78%	1.23%	1.31%	1.65%	1.75%	2.11%	2.25%	2.81%	2.57%	3.11%	3.17%	3.62%	3.70%	3.90%	3.95%	4.46%	4.59%	4.76%	4.67%	4.84%	4.87%	4.99%	4.69%	4.65%	4.39%	4.18%	3.65%	2.90%	2.10%	1.16%	0.56%
Atlanta Falcons	0.54%	1.00%	1.16%	1.57%	1.77%	2.10%	2.25%	2.30%	2.49%	2.64%	3.01%	3.16%	3.52%	3.44%	3.69%	3.61%	4.16%	4.22%	4.64%	4.40%	4.73%	4.81%	5.05%	4.96%	4.98%	4.98%	4.52%	4.07%	2.53%	2.02%	1.07%	0.61%
Houston Texans	0.37%	0.61%	0.88%	1.06%	1.26%	1.32%	1.68%	1.84%	2.26%	2.24%	2.65%	2.69%	3.12%	3.19%	3.48%	3.68%	4.06%	4.47%	4.67%	4.66%	4.88%	4.96%	5.34%	5.23%	5.38%	5.25%	5.26%	4.57%	3.81%	2.59%	1.70%	0.83%
Seattle Seahawks	0.15%	0.32%	0.43%	0.63%	0.77%	1.02%	1.17%	1.34%	1.44%	1.77%	2.02%	2.21%	2.40%	2.64%	3.03%	3.55%	3.69%	3.85%	4.02%	4.68%	5.00%	5.19%	5.42%	5.90%	6.02%	6.48%	5.84%	6.09%	4.60%	4.09%	2.53%	1.68%
Cleveland Browns	0.15%	0.19%	0.36%	0.43%	0.67%	0.77%	1.00%	1.14%	1.34%	1.59%	1.89%	1.97%	2.48%	2.72%	3.18%	3.32%	3.68%	3.70%	4.26%	4.50%	5.16%	5.35%	5.49%	6.04%	6.02%	6.08%	5.90%	5.76%	5.65%	4.40%	3.19%	1.64%
San Francisco 49ers	0.03%	0.08%	0.14%	0.21%	0.25%	0.39%	0.48%	0.63%	0.67%	0.92%	1.05%	1.16%	1.27%	1.61%	1.91%	2.33%	2.40%	2.69%	2.99%	3.68%	3.99%	4.49%	5.12%	5.85%	6.57%	7.83%	7.92%	8.81%	7.55%	7.20%	5.33%	4.47%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.07%	0.13%	0.18%	0.22%	0.29%	0.34%	0.46%	0.56%	0.60%	0.80%	0.98%	1.23%	1.48%	1.61%	1.75%	2.21%	2.76%	3.26%	3.65%	4.39%	5.34%	6.21%	7.12%	8.22%	9.43%	10.05%	9.42%	10.11%	7.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.07%	0.13%	0.16%	0.23%	0.28%	0.37%	0.40%	0.53%	0.66%	0.85%	1.03%	1.18%	1.33%	1.71%	2.11%	2.61%	3.08%	3.75%	4.57%	5.47%	6.30%	7.97%	9.38%	13.29%	12.42%	11.69%	8.30%
Kansas City Chiefs	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.05%	0.07%	0.08%	0.11%	0.18%	0.20%	0.24%	0.33%	0.47%	0.57%	0.67%	0.79%	1.02%	1.30%	1.70%	1.92%	2.49%	3.08%	4.25%	5.04%	6.73%	8.14%	11.23%	12.50%	19.21%	17.54%
St. Louis Rams	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.06%	0.06%	0.06%	0.12%	0.12%	0.14%	0.20%	0.25%	0.38%	0.44%	0.55%	0.59%	0.87%	1.11%	1.41%	1.59%	2.23%	2.82%	3.67%	4.72%	6.39%	8.29%	11.12%	16.27%	16.59%	19.86%
Detroit Lions	-	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.13%	0.10%	0.15%	0.17%	0.29%	0.35%	0.54%	0.58%	0.99%	1.18%	1.85%	2.33%	3.93%	5.52%	9.91%	15.82%	21.13%	34.79%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	28.51%	18.91%	11.79%	5.45%	11.18%	7.69%	16.48%
Tennessee Titans	18.62%	16.52%	11.95%	6.11%	12.97%	9.49%	24.34%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.92%	15.78%	18.75%	19.71%	3.70%	4.61%	23.53%
San Diego Chargers	13.59%	15.38%	19.88%	27.10%	2.15%	2.94%	18.95%
Indianapolis Colts	9.68%	9.98%	8.10%	4.67%	15.34%	12.33%	39.91%
New York Jets	4.77%	5.36%	4.20%	2.39%	13.75%	12.56%	56.97%
Baltimore Ravens	2.43%	4.25%	7.11%	9.42%	5.29%	7.64%	63.85%
Miami Dolphins	2.35%	3.07%	2.73%	1.69%	10.17%	10.03%	69.95%
Buffalo Bills	2.07%	2.71%	2.49%	1.51%	8.84%	9.05%	73.33%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.40%	2.41%	2.61%	1.81%	5.89%	7.03%	78.85%
Denver Broncos	1.26%	2.63%	5.35%	11.00%	3.44%	5.57%	70.74%
Houston Texans	0.97%	1.84%	1.93%	1.40%	4.69%	5.97%	83.20%
Cleveland Browns	0.35%	0.91%	2.09%	3.92%	1.85%	3.44%	87.44%
Oakland Raiders	0.05%	0.15%	0.53%	2.14%	0.37%	0.81%	95.94%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.07%	0.33%	0.95%	0.28%	0.58%	97.77%
Kansas City Chiefs	<0.01%	0.04%	0.15%	0.73%	0.09%	0.26%	98.73%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Giants	27.62%	14.65%	7.18%	2.27%	14.88%	9.28%	24.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.58%	14.04%	12.99%	5.44%	7.47%	8.59%	38.88%
Philadelphia Eagles	9.60%	6.73%	3.74%	1.27%	15.83%	11.51%	51.30%
Chicago Bears	9.31%	11.47%	12.18%	6.74%	7.19%	8.48%	44.63%
Green Bay Packers	8.58%	10.97%	11.66%	6.27%	7.32%	8.71%	46.50%
Dallas Cowboys	6.07%	4.71%	2.87%	0.96%	12.74%	10.35%	62.29%
Arizona Cardinals	5.96%	8.92%	15.10%	39.06%	0.67%	1.30%	28.99%
Carolina Panthers	5.20%	7.38%	7.85%	3.65%	6.71%	8.42%	60.79%
Washington Redskins	4.76%	4.17%	2.50%	0.89%	10.94%	9.74%	67.01%
Minnesota Vikings	4.23%	6.09%	7.90%	4.51%	5.65%	7.41%	64.21%
New Orleans Saints	3.51%	5.60%	6.26%	3.17%	5.68%	7.67%	68.09%
Atlanta Falcons	1.84%	3.37%	4.62%	2.49%	3.69%	5.79%	78.21%
Seattle Seahawks	0.59%	1.41%	3.49%	13.94%	0.79%	1.70%	78.09%
San Francisco 49ers	0.14%	0.46%	1.47%	7.58%	0.38%	0.88%	89.11%
St. Louis Rams	0.01%	0.03%	0.15%	1.70%	0.04%	0.12%	97.94%
Detroit Lions	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.01%	0.05%	99.84%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+14.12%

Fortress

56.86%0.39%42.75%

Elo Value

Home Edge

24 Elo

0.042 points per Elo point

049.3860

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.55 points

Lean Home

-8+2.08+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

11.0

Wide Open

124815

Champion Preseason Odds

12%

Pittsburgh Steelers, 3rd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

22.9%

Favored

012.50%30%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.48 · As Expected: 1.48 to 2.03 · Elevated: 2.03 to 2.77 · High Variance: 2.77 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.8 · Close: 4.8 to 6.49 · Off Target: 6.49 to 8.47 · Well Off Target: 8.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.11 · As Expected: 3.11 to 5.18 · More Than Expected: 5.18 to 8.29 · Far More Than Expected: 8.29 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.95 wins

As Expected

01.855

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.78

Pinpoint

05.6415

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

98.28%

Carolina Panthers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

1.74%

Detroit Lions

050

Season Outliers

Expected

6 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

5 of 12

As Expected

04.112

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.96

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

77%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

20%

Mostly Decisive

0%18%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Routine

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.14

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.21

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

38%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.35

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.91

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.046

Within Noise

00.0920.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New York Giants	66.27%	66.27%	46.49%	31.79%	16.32%
Tennessee Titans	61.25%	61.25%	36.95%	20.98%	12.59%
Pittsburgh Steelers	61.58%	61.58%	36.16%	19.96%	12.08%
New England Patriots	69.66%	69.66%	39.02%	20.12%	11.33%
Indianapolis Colts	43.18%	43.18%	23.81%	12.57%	7.33%
Philadelphia Eagles	37.58%	37.58%	23.03%	13.92%	6.85%
San Diego Chargers	60.43%	60.43%	27.61%	11.95%	6.18%
Baltimore Ravens	29.47%	25.42%	14.31%	7.88%	4.75%
Carolina Panthers	28.88%	28.88%	16.71%	8.67%	3.86%
Minnesota Vikings	25.68%	25.68%	14.31%	7.26%	3.21%
Chicago Bears	37.58%	37.58%	17.24%	6.96%	2.35%
Dallas Cowboys	26.93%	23.84%	10.71%	4.83%	1.75%
Atlanta Falcons	16.59%	14.88%	7.98%	3.85%	1.63%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	40.67%	40.67%	15.83%	5.38%	1.63%
Green Bay Packers	34.05%	34.05%	13.71%	4.90%	1.53%
New Orleans Saints	22.79%	20.55%	9.68%	4.08%	1.49%
Arizona Cardinals	56.12%	38.18%	13.45%	4.58%	1.39%
Miami Dolphins	24.62%	15.96%	6.37%	2.45%	1.17%
Washington Redskins	24.06%	18.57%	7.09%	2.69%	0.83%
New York Jets	32.90%	20.34%	5.97%	1.72%	0.64%
Houston Texans	13.99%	7.66%	2.51%	0.81%	0.32%
Seattle Seahawks	19.91%	8.59%	2.39%	0.68%	0.17%
Buffalo Bills	21.89%	9.91%	2.16%	0.48%	0.15%
Jacksonville Jaguars	17.34%	7.89%	1.79%	0.41%	0.14%
Denver Broncos	25.37%	10.85%	2.23%	0.46%	0.13%
San Francisco 49ers	10.29%	4.33%	1.34%	0.39%	0.10%
Cleveland Browns	11.30%	3.75%	0.68%	0.12%	0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.14%	0.71%	0.18%	0.05%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	3.85%	1.21%	0.22%	0.03%	<0.01%
St. Louis Rams	2.01%	0.31%	0.04%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.22%	0.22%	0.02%	-	-
Detroit Lions	0.15%	0.03%	<0.01%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		84.6%1.77%	82.9%0.08%	86.4%0.47%	83.5%1.64%	76.9%1.18%	54.1%3.59%	84.9%1.60%	94.0%0.08%	69.2%1.88%	54.7%3.06%	80.2%2.79%	80.2%0.24%	49.1%4.07%	54.9%3.36%	50.9%3.65%
Buffalo Bills	15.4%1.77%		41.0%0.14%	53.7%0.62%	47.6%1.69%	34.7%0.56%	16.8%1.79%	50.6%0.62%	75.8%0.09%	26.4%0.54%	16.3%2.36%	40.3%0.84%	54.6%0.27%	14.4%3.71%	19.6%4.59%	14.5%2.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	17.1%0.08%	59.0%0.14%		50.0%0.02%	43.9%0.11%	30.2%0.09%	20.8%0.28%	63.5%0.10%	66.7%<0.01%	31.7%0.19%	21.0%0.19%	45.1%0.18%	41.7%0.01%	13.9%0.23%	19.3%0.23%	17.3%0.28%
Cleveland Browns	13.6%0.47%	46.3%0.62%	50.0%0.02%		47.1%0.53%	29.2%0.45%	15.6%1.45%	44.6%0.54%	80.0%0.03%	23.7%0.73%	14.0%1.26%	34.3%0.97%	48.9%0.09%	13.0%1.43%	15.4%1.28%	10.8%1.43%
Denver Broncos	16.5%1.64%	52.4%1.69%	56.1%0.11%	52.9%0.53%		41.1%0.98%	18.7%2.96%	54.9%1.11%	87.5%0.02%	30.0%1.98%	19.3%2.94%	44.2%2.76%	45.2%0.08%	14.3%2.31%	20.7%3.28%	15.5%2.98%
Houston Texans	23.1%1.18%	65.3%0.56%	69.8%0.09%	70.8%0.45%	58.9%0.98%		25.2%1.00%	67.8%0.34%	75.7%0.04%	43.3%0.58%	27.0%1.32%	55.2%0.83%	61.9%0.13%	21.0%2.49%	29.6%2.50%	22.4%1.52%
Indianapolis Colts	45.9%3.59%	83.2%1.79%	79.2%0.28%	84.4%1.45%	81.3%2.96%	74.8%1.00%		81.3%1.28%	88.0%0.17%	64.0%2.06%	49.6%3.54%	76.9%2.73%	81.1%0.46%	43.1%6.73%	52.6%7.05%	45.7%5.34%
Jacksonville Jaguars	15.1%1.60%	49.4%0.62%	36.5%0.10%	55.4%0.54%	45.1%1.11%	32.2%0.34%	18.7%1.28%		77.2%0.06%	29.5%0.79%	16.5%1.65%	41.2%1.10%	48.7%0.20%	13.2%2.96%	18.7%3.06%	14.6%1.93%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.0%0.08%	24.2%0.09%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	12.5%0.02%	24.3%0.04%	12.0%0.17%	22.8%0.06%		10.4%0.11%	10.1%0.15%	23.2%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%	7.2%0.10%	9.5%0.12%	14.8%0.14%
Miami Dolphins	30.8%1.88%	73.6%0.54%	68.3%0.19%	76.3%0.73%	70.0%1.98%	56.7%0.58%	36.0%2.06%	70.5%0.79%	89.6%0.11%		35.1%2.65%	61.6%0.91%	73.0%0.33%	29.8%4.10%	39.6%5.29%	28.4%2.47%
New England Patriots	45.3%3.06%	83.7%2.36%	79.0%0.19%	86.0%1.26%	80.7%2.94%	73.0%1.32%	50.4%3.54%	83.5%1.65%	89.9%0.15%	64.9%2.65%		76.5%3.74%	83.8%0.43%	42.0%4.24%	53.0%5.34%	45.2%3.23%
New York Jets	19.8%2.79%	59.7%0.84%	54.9%0.18%	65.7%0.97%	55.8%2.76%	44.8%0.83%	23.1%2.73%	58.8%1.10%	76.8%0.14%	38.4%0.91%	23.5%3.74%		59.9%0.44%	19.5%5.40%	28.0%6.80%	20.6%3.26%
Oakland Raiders	19.8%0.24%	45.4%0.27%	58.3%0.01%	51.1%0.09%	54.8%0.08%	38.1%0.13%	18.9%0.46%	51.3%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	27.0%0.33%	16.2%0.43%	40.1%0.44%		11.6%0.33%	17.7%0.38%	13.4%0.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers	50.9%4.07%	85.6%3.71%	86.1%0.23%	87.0%1.43%	85.7%2.31%	79.0%2.49%	56.9%6.73%	86.8%2.96%	92.8%0.10%	70.2%4.10%	58.0%4.24%	80.5%5.40%	88.4%0.33%		58.8%2.97%	53.2%5.72%
San Diego Chargers	45.1%3.36%	80.4%4.59%	80.7%0.23%	84.6%1.28%	79.3%3.28%	70.4%2.50%	47.4%7.05%	81.3%3.06%	90.5%0.12%	60.4%5.29%	47.0%5.34%	72.0%6.80%	82.3%0.38%	41.2%2.97%		43.5%5.83%
Tennessee Titans	49.1%3.65%	85.5%2.27%	82.7%0.28%	89.2%1.43%	84.5%2.98%	77.6%1.52%	54.3%5.34%	85.4%1.93%	85.2%0.14%	71.6%2.47%	54.8%3.23%	79.4%3.26%	86.6%0.46%	46.8%5.72%	56.5%5.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		39.1%2.38%	34.2%4.01%	45.4%4.29%	46.3%6.64%	86.7%0.01%	52.3%4.39%	35.1%3.43%	46.5%3.38%	25.0%7.43%	29.8%8.27%	54.8%0.46%	57.3%1.11%	92.3%0.05%	54.8%4.31%	54.9%5.94%
Atlanta Falcons	60.9%2.38%		47.4%0.91%	59.9%1.91%	62.4%1.08%	80.0%0.01%	66.6%1.78%	47.6%1.29%	56.1%0.77%	35.3%1.38%	45.0%1.19%	65.7%0.41%	70.8%0.80%	93.1%0.07%	68.8%1.65%	71.1%0.95%
Carolina Panthers	65.8%4.01%	52.6%0.91%		60.7%2.97%	64.9%1.68%	83.3%0.01%	65.8%2.87%	49.7%2.18%	61.6%1.40%	41.6%2.10%	47.2%1.96%	70.5%0.67%	73.8%1.39%	87.0%0.16%	68.6%2.84%	72.1%1.48%
Chicago Bears	54.6%4.29%	40.1%1.91%	39.3%2.97%		53.7%2.59%	87.5%<0.01%	54.8%3.71%	38.9%2.24%	48.4%2.54%	29.8%3.03%	35.1%2.90%	59.2%0.79%	63.0%1.49%	76.8%0.15%	57.1%3.71%	63.3%2.27%
Dallas Cowboys	53.7%6.64%	37.6%1.08%	35.1%1.68%	46.3%2.59%		85.7%0.01%	53.3%2.38%	35.9%1.74%	46.7%1.36%	28.1%1.77%	29.0%0.92%	57.6%1.19%	62.8%2.29%	86.5%0.23%	53.6%2.40%	59.4%0.66%
Detroit Lions	13.3%0.01%	20.0%0.01%	16.7%0.01%	12.5%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.02%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		21.1%0.02%	7.1%0.01%
Green Bay Packers	47.7%4.39%	33.4%1.78%	34.2%2.87%	45.2%3.71%	46.7%2.38%	80.0%<0.01%		32.3%2.23%	45.8%2.52%	25.3%2.89%	32.7%2.96%	55.9%0.76%	58.4%1.55%	86.0%0.14%	50.9%3.67%	55.1%2.11%
Minnesota Vikings	64.9%3.43%	52.4%1.29%	50.3%2.18%	61.1%2.24%	64.1%1.74%	100.0%<0.01%	67.7%2.23%		61.4%1.86%	40.8%2.15%	48.1%2.08%	66.9%0.62%	72.7%1.22%	91.5%0.11%	67.3%2.83%	70.4%1.50%
New Orleans Saints	53.5%3.38%	43.9%0.77%	38.4%1.40%	51.6%2.54%	53.3%1.36%	87.5%0.02%	54.2%2.52%	38.6%1.86%		32.3%1.88%	37.0%1.64%	66.7%0.55%	65.8%1.15%	81.3%0.12%	58.4%2.45%	64.9%1.15%
New York Giants	75.0%7.43%	64.7%1.38%	58.4%2.10%	70.2%3.03%	71.9%1.77%	100.0%0.01%	74.7%2.89%	59.2%2.15%	67.7%1.88%		56.2%2.19%	79.7%1.39%	81.1%2.63%	93.3%0.30%	76.5%2.87%	78.3%1.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	70.2%8.27%	55.0%1.19%	52.8%1.96%	64.9%2.90%	71.0%0.92%	100.0%0.02%	67.3%2.96%	51.9%2.08%	63.0%1.64%	43.8%2.19%		72.6%1.48%	76.9%2.66%	94.9%0.29%	71.0%2.93%	75.1%0.87%
San Francisco 49ers	45.2%0.46%	34.3%0.41%	29.5%0.67%	40.8%0.79%	42.4%1.19%	66.7%<0.01%	44.1%0.76%	33.1%0.62%	33.3%0.55%	20.3%1.39%	27.4%1.48%		54.3%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	47.3%0.85%	47.8%1.04%
Seattle Seahawks	42.7%1.11%	29.2%0.80%	26.2%1.39%	37.0%1.49%	37.2%2.29%	100.0%<0.01%	41.6%1.55%	27.3%1.22%	34.2%1.15%	18.9%2.63%	23.1%2.66%	45.7%0.09%		70.6%0.02%	43.7%1.55%	45.8%1.96%
St. Louis Rams	7.7%0.05%	6.9%0.07%	13.0%0.16%	23.2%0.15%	13.5%0.23%		14.0%0.14%	8.5%0.11%	18.7%0.12%	6.7%0.30%	5.1%0.29%	0.0%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%		19.9%0.15%	22.8%0.23%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	45.2%4.31%	31.2%1.65%	31.4%2.84%	42.9%3.71%	46.4%2.40%	78.9%0.02%	49.1%3.67%	32.7%2.83%	41.6%2.45%	23.5%2.87%	29.0%2.93%	52.7%0.85%	56.3%1.55%	80.1%0.15%		55.2%2.28%
Washington Redskins	45.1%5.94%	28.9%0.95%	27.9%1.48%	36.7%2.27%	40.6%0.66%	92.9%0.01%	44.9%2.11%	29.6%1.50%	35.1%1.15%	21.7%1.60%	24.9%0.87%	52.2%1.04%	54.2%1.96%	77.2%0.23%	44.8%2.28%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		84.9%0.62%	83.3%<0.01%	90.8%0.07%	83.0%0.66%	71.8%0.47%	51.3%2.91%	82.8%0.53%	100.0%0.01%	64.8%0.84%	51.8%5.99%	74.1%1.27%	96.4%0.06%	48.1%2.74%	59.6%4.39%	47.5%4.83%
Buffalo Bills	15.1%0.62%		50.0%0.01%	56.9%0.07%	53.4%0.28%	39.4%0.15%	19.7%1.06%	48.0%0.15%	80.0%<0.01%	30.5%0.27%	18.3%1.93%	35.9%0.34%	75.0%0.02%	16.7%1.75%	24.3%1.68%	16.3%1.56%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.7%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%			68.2%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.08%	56.2%0.02%		31.6%0.02%	21.2%0.18%	56.2%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.06%	25.0%0.14%	16.3%0.14%
Cleveland Browns	9.2%0.07%	43.1%0.07%			49.4%0.08%	22.6%0.06%	13.6%0.45%	41.6%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	22.0%0.13%	13.7%0.84%	37.3%0.19%	20.0%0.01%	15.7%0.34%	21.1%0.68%	11.3%0.74%
Denver Broncos	17.0%0.66%	46.6%0.28%	31.8%0.02%	50.6%0.08%		32.6%0.17%	16.7%1.27%	50.9%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	25.1%0.39%	18.2%2.52%	39.3%0.52%		16.9%1.99%	23.7%0.76%	15.0%2.02%
Houston Texans	28.2%0.47%	60.6%0.15%	75.0%<0.01%	77.4%0.06%	67.4%0.17%		29.6%0.59%	57.6%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	48.8%0.22%	28.8%1.59%	53.0%0.36%	64.0%0.03%	26.0%1.45%	33.7%1.43%	24.8%1.05%
Indianapolis Colts	48.7%2.91%	80.3%1.06%	83.3%0.08%	86.4%0.45%	83.3%1.27%	70.4%0.59%		83.0%0.61%	87.0%0.02%	63.5%1.68%	50.6%8.44%	75.1%2.25%	87.1%0.12%	48.0%8.08%	58.3%7.49%	45.8%8.13%
Jacksonville Jaguars	17.2%0.53%	52.0%0.15%	43.8%0.02%	58.4%0.08%	49.1%0.17%	42.4%0.08%	17.0%0.61%		100.0%<0.01%	27.2%0.26%	20.1%1.52%	37.3%0.40%	63.0%0.03%	18.0%1.57%	25.1%1.41%	15.7%1.07%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.0%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	13.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	11.9%0.06%	36.4%0.01%		2.1%0.05%	20.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.04%
Miami Dolphins	35.2%0.84%	69.5%0.27%	68.4%0.02%	78.0%0.13%	74.9%0.39%	51.2%0.22%	36.5%1.68%	72.8%0.26%	75.0%<0.01%		38.1%3.57%	64.6%0.50%	63.6%0.04%	33.1%2.78%	43.3%2.55%	30.9%2.72%
New England Patriots	48.2%5.99%	81.7%1.93%	78.8%0.18%	86.3%0.84%	81.8%2.52%	71.2%1.59%	49.4%8.44%	79.9%1.52%	88.1%0.06%	61.9%3.57%		74.3%4.39%	83.5%0.32%	47.5%13.10%	57.9%13.53%	45.1%11.68%
New York Jets	25.9%1.27%	64.1%0.34%	43.8%0.03%	62.7%0.19%	60.7%0.52%	47.0%0.36%	24.9%2.25%	62.7%0.40%	63.6%0.01%	35.4%0.50%	25.7%4.39%		69.6%0.06%	24.3%3.61%	33.0%3.32%	21.8%3.09%
Oakland Raiders	3.6%0.06%	25.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	80.0%0.01%		36.0%0.03%	12.9%0.12%	37.0%0.03%		36.4%0.04%	16.5%0.32%	30.4%0.06%		14.2%0.23%	25.9%0.06%	14.7%0.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.9%2.74%	83.3%1.75%	80.0%0.06%	84.3%0.34%	83.1%1.99%	74.0%1.45%	52.0%8.08%	82.0%1.57%	97.9%0.05%	66.9%2.78%	52.5%13.10%	75.7%3.61%	85.8%0.23%		61.2%11.46%	48.5%12.40%
San Diego Chargers	40.4%4.39%	75.7%1.68%	75.0%0.14%	78.9%0.68%	76.3%0.76%	66.3%1.43%	41.7%7.49%	74.9%1.41%	80.0%<0.01%	56.7%2.55%	42.1%13.53%	67.0%3.32%	74.1%0.06%	38.8%11.46%		37.8%11.53%
Tennessee Titans	52.5%4.83%	83.7%1.56%	83.7%0.14%	88.7%0.74%	85.0%2.02%	75.2%1.05%	54.2%8.13%	84.3%1.07%	92.9%0.04%	69.1%2.72%	54.9%11.68%	78.2%3.09%	85.3%0.24%	51.5%12.40%	62.2%11.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		32.2%1.61%	30.5%3.15%	40.4%4.39%	41.0%2.12%	100.0%<0.01%	46.8%3.94%	31.5%2.77%	39.7%2.34%	21.0%7.63%	25.3%3.47%	46.4%0.07%	59.8%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	46.6%4.75%	48.0%1.75%
Atlanta Falcons	67.8%1.61%		49.0%0.67%	57.3%1.77%	59.0%0.85%	100.0%<0.01%	63.1%1.67%	49.4%1.16%	55.0%0.42%	34.0%3.03%	41.9%1.26%	72.0%0.14%	79.8%0.33%	100.0%0.01%	64.1%1.27%	64.2%0.68%
Carolina Panthers	69.5%3.15%	51.0%0.67%		62.8%3.55%	60.3%1.77%	100.0%<0.01%	68.5%3.20%	51.7%2.21%	59.8%1.01%	38.1%5.27%	44.5%2.71%	75.0%0.36%	77.1%0.70%	91.7%0.02%	67.7%2.93%	68.6%1.34%
Chicago Bears	59.6%4.39%	42.7%1.77%	37.2%3.55%		50.0%2.25%	100.0%<0.01%	54.5%2.97%	38.3%2.00%	48.2%2.50%	28.0%6.59%	33.4%3.43%	64.1%0.47%	68.1%1.04%	96.2%0.03%	57.6%4.83%	57.7%1.78%
Dallas Cowboys	59.0%2.12%	41.0%0.85%	39.7%1.77%	50.0%2.25%		100.0%<0.01%	55.9%1.88%	42.3%1.50%	48.7%1.27%	29.6%5.71%	34.9%2.25%	64.3%0.23%	69.8%0.45%	70.0%0.02%	58.0%2.50%	55.8%1.03%
Detroit Lions	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	53.2%3.94%	36.9%1.67%	31.5%3.20%	45.5%2.97%	44.1%1.88%			35.8%1.78%	43.3%2.17%	24.1%5.87%	28.4%3.32%	57.7%0.48%	63.2%0.83%	81.8%0.03%	51.2%4.33%	53.1%1.58%
Minnesota Vikings	68.5%2.77%	50.6%1.16%	48.3%2.21%	61.7%2.00%	57.7%1.50%		64.2%1.78%		59.8%1.60%	38.3%4.66%	42.0%2.39%	70.7%0.26%	75.2%0.60%	96.0%0.03%	66.8%3.52%	63.0%1.21%
New Orleans Saints	60.3%2.34%	45.0%0.42%	40.2%1.01%	51.8%2.50%	51.3%1.27%	100.0%<0.01%	56.7%2.17%	40.2%1.60%		28.6%3.82%	34.9%1.93%	65.1%0.21%	69.8%0.50%	88.9%0.02%	57.6%1.94%	57.3%0.80%
New York Giants	79.0%7.63%	66.0%3.03%	61.9%5.27%	72.0%6.59%	70.4%5.71%	100.0%<0.01%	75.9%5.87%	61.7%4.66%	71.4%3.82%		56.2%9.91%	81.7%0.93%	84.0%1.76%	92.9%0.07%	77.0%6.84%	77.2%4.17%
Philadelphia Eagles	74.7%3.47%	58.1%1.26%	55.5%2.71%	66.6%3.43%	65.1%2.25%	100.0%<0.01%	71.6%3.32%	58.0%2.39%	65.1%1.93%	43.8%9.91%		81.7%0.37%	79.9%0.75%	96.0%0.03%	72.7%4.07%	71.3%1.68%
San Francisco 49ers	53.6%0.07%	28.0%0.14%	25.0%0.36%	35.9%0.47%	35.7%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	42.3%0.48%	29.3%0.26%	34.9%0.21%	18.3%0.93%	18.3%0.37%		25.0%<0.01%		40.3%0.61%	45.3%0.19%
Seattle Seahawks	40.2%0.18%	20.2%0.33%	22.9%0.70%	31.9%1.04%	30.2%0.45%	100.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.83%	24.8%0.60%	30.2%0.50%	16.0%1.76%	20.1%0.75%	75.0%<0.01%			39.7%1.07%	41.4%0.37%
St. Louis Rams	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	8.3%0.02%	3.8%0.03%	30.0%0.02%		18.2%0.03%	4.0%0.03%	11.1%0.02%	7.1%0.07%	4.0%0.03%				31.1%0.04%	8.3%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	53.4%4.75%	35.9%1.27%	32.3%2.93%	42.4%4.83%	42.0%2.50%	100.0%<0.01%	48.8%4.33%	33.2%3.52%	42.4%1.94%	23.0%6.84%	27.3%4.07%	59.7%0.61%	60.3%1.07%	68.9%0.04%		49.0%1.97%
Washington Redskins	52.0%1.75%	35.8%0.68%	31.4%1.34%	42.3%1.78%	44.2%1.03%	100.0%<0.01%	46.9%1.58%	37.0%1.21%	42.7%0.80%	22.8%4.17%	28.7%1.68%	54.7%0.19%	58.6%0.37%	91.7%0.01%	51.0%1.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		78.4%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%	94.4%0.02%	80.4%0.20%	74.0%0.22%	51.0%1.88%	81.6%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	68.5%0.46%	52.3%3.48%	73.5%0.48%	73.7%0.02%	49.0%1.74%	59.1%2.38%	50.1%3.13%
Buffalo Bills	21.6%0.16%		25.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	53.3%0.01%	29.2%0.02%	21.6%0.35%	68.4%0.02%		23.1%0.03%	23.1%0.28%	46.7%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	17.9%0.47%	26.4%0.26%	18.5%0.51%
Cincinnati Bengals	33.3%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%			66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.6%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	19.0%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%		44.4%<0.01%	35.1%0.04%	16.7%0.04%
Cleveland Browns	5.6%0.02%	50.0%0.01%			12.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.5%0.10%	57.1%<0.01%		22.6%0.03%	17.1%0.16%	30.8%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	12.7%0.06%	18.3%0.10%	13.8%0.15%
Denver Broncos	19.6%0.20%	46.7%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	87.5%<0.01%		35.7%0.03%	20.1%0.32%	46.2%0.01%		33.3%0.05%	18.8%0.45%	33.3%0.05%		19.5%0.48%	25.2%0.12%	16.5%0.50%
Houston Texans	26.0%0.22%	70.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	64.3%0.03%		28.6%0.22%	66.7%0.01%		31.4%0.07%	31.5%0.58%	54.9%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	28.2%0.54%	34.0%0.37%	31.1%0.34%
Indianapolis Colts	49.0%1.88%	78.4%0.35%	79.4%0.03%	84.5%0.10%	79.9%0.32%	71.4%0.22%		87.5%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	65.6%0.92%	50.4%6.15%	71.8%0.91%	82.6%0.02%	47.4%5.41%	56.8%3.75%	46.2%3.62%
Jacksonville Jaguars	18.4%0.14%	31.6%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%	33.3%0.01%	12.5%0.12%			24.6%0.06%	21.9%0.46%	39.0%0.06%	40.0%<0.01%	23.7%0.38%	27.6%0.27%	19.5%0.24%
Miami Dolphins	31.5%0.46%	76.9%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	77.4%0.03%	66.7%0.05%	68.6%0.07%	34.4%0.92%	75.4%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%		39.2%0.86%	55.9%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	37.0%1.40%	43.8%0.85%	34.5%1.53%
New England Patriots	47.7%3.48%	76.9%0.28%	81.0%0.04%	82.9%0.16%	81.2%0.45%	68.5%0.58%	49.6%6.15%	78.1%0.46%	100.0%<0.01%	60.8%0.86%		69.9%0.74%	92.0%0.05%	48.2%9.25%	58.3%6.16%	46.1%10.33%
New York Jets	26.5%0.48%	53.3%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	69.2%0.03%	66.7%0.05%	45.1%0.09%	28.2%0.91%	61.0%0.06%		44.1%0.09%	30.1%0.74%		50.0%<0.01%	25.0%1.31%	32.8%0.80%	24.4%1.35%
Oakland Raiders	26.3%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	17.4%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	8.0%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%		10.6%0.05%	22.2%<0.01%	10.0%0.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.0%1.74%	82.1%0.47%	55.6%<0.01%	87.3%0.06%	80.5%0.48%	71.8%0.54%	52.6%5.41%	76.3%0.38%	100.0%<0.01%	63.0%1.40%	51.8%9.25%	75.0%1.31%	89.4%0.05%		60.2%6.21%	48.3%8.85%
San Diego Chargers	40.9%2.38%	73.6%0.26%	64.9%0.04%	81.7%0.10%	74.8%0.12%	66.0%0.37%	43.2%3.75%	72.4%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	56.2%0.85%	41.7%6.16%	67.2%0.80%	77.8%<0.01%	39.8%6.21%		39.2%6.29%
Tennessee Titans	49.9%3.13%	81.5%0.51%	83.3%0.04%	86.2%0.15%	83.5%0.50%	68.9%0.34%	53.8%3.62%	80.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	65.5%1.53%	53.9%10.33%	75.6%1.35%	90.0%0.05%	51.7%8.85%	60.8%6.29%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		36.8%0.55%	30.7%1.10%	42.3%1.16%	42.4%0.76%		46.3%0.86%	33.8%0.99%	42.9%0.66%	23.5%4.15%	29.0%1.75%	50.0%0.02%	56.7%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	48.6%0.96%	52.0%0.47%
Atlanta Falcons	63.2%0.55%		46.1%0.33%	58.0%0.67%	55.9%0.56%		61.1%0.51%	45.6%0.56%	60.8%0.18%	36.3%2.68%	42.1%1.12%	69.2%0.05%	73.1%0.11%		60.9%0.32%	64.2%0.34%
Carolina Panthers	69.3%1.10%	53.9%0.33%		60.7%1.41%	60.6%1.20%		65.8%1.07%	48.8%1.16%	54.6%0.40%	39.6%5.50%	45.0%2.59%	76.1%0.14%	73.1%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	64.9%0.76%	67.6%0.80%
Chicago Bears	57.7%1.16%	42.0%0.67%	39.3%1.41%		48.8%1.19%		53.1%0.56%	39.6%0.67%	47.2%0.77%	30.2%6.02%	33.9%2.53%	61.1%0.11%	58.7%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	55.6%1.24%	54.9%0.70%
Dallas Cowboys	57.6%0.76%	44.1%0.56%	39.4%1.20%	51.2%1.19%			58.1%0.86%	41.9%0.96%	52.0%0.66%	30.0%2.18%	34.8%0.92%	60.6%0.07%	67.5%0.12%		59.4%0.94%	56.2%0.29%
Green Bay Packers	53.7%0.86%	38.9%0.51%	34.2%1.07%	46.9%0.56%	41.9%0.86%			37.2%0.48%	47.2%0.59%	24.9%4.83%	29.2%2.16%	60.2%0.08%	62.1%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	52.2%0.98%	51.5%0.59%
Minnesota Vikings	66.2%0.99%	54.4%0.56%	51.2%1.16%	60.4%0.67%	58.1%0.96%		62.8%0.48%		55.5%0.67%	37.8%4.63%	43.4%2.19%	72.6%0.11%	82.3%0.18%	80.0%<0.01%	67.3%1.06%	65.2%0.64%
New Orleans Saints	57.1%0.66%	39.2%0.18%	45.4%0.40%	52.8%0.77%	48.0%0.66%		52.8%0.59%	44.5%0.67%		30.5%3.36%	35.2%1.43%	62.1%0.06%	67.2%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	58.5%0.38%	61.0%0.40%
New York Giants	76.5%4.15%	63.7%2.68%	60.4%5.50%	69.8%6.02%	70.0%2.18%	100.0%<0.01%	75.1%4.83%	62.2%4.63%	69.5%3.36%		55.8%4.84%	78.8%0.40%	78.8%0.70%	84.6%0.01%	76.3%5.78%	73.9%1.42%
Philadelphia Eagles	71.0%1.75%	57.9%1.12%	55.0%2.59%	66.1%2.53%	65.2%0.92%	100.0%<0.01%	70.8%2.16%	56.6%2.19%	64.8%1.43%	44.2%4.84%		80.8%0.16%	74.8%0.31%	100.0%<0.01%	70.1%2.42%	72.4%0.61%
San Francisco 49ers	50.0%0.02%	30.8%0.05%	23.9%0.14%	38.9%0.11%	39.4%0.07%		39.8%0.08%	27.4%0.11%	37.9%0.06%	21.2%0.40%	19.2%0.16%		75.0%<0.01%		46.2%0.10%	35.9%0.04%
Seattle Seahawks	43.3%0.03%	26.9%0.11%	26.9%0.24%	41.3%0.20%	32.5%0.12%		37.9%0.14%	17.7%0.18%	32.8%0.12%	21.2%0.70%	25.2%0.31%	25.0%<0.01%			45.6%0.16%	35.4%0.08%
St. Louis Rams	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				33.3%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	51.4%0.96%	39.1%0.32%	35.1%0.76%	44.4%1.24%	40.6%0.94%		47.8%0.98%	32.7%1.06%	41.5%0.38%	23.7%5.78%	29.9%2.42%	53.8%0.10%	54.4%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%		49.6%0.70%
Washington Redskins	48.0%0.47%	35.8%0.34%	32.4%0.80%	45.1%0.70%	43.8%0.29%		48.5%0.59%	34.8%0.64%	39.0%0.40%	26.1%1.42%	27.6%0.61%	64.1%0.04%	64.6%0.08%		50.4%0.70%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	73.6%0.39%	63.0%0.33%	59.1%0.67%	68.2%0.54%	64.5%0.39%	72.1%0.38%	61.0%0.59%	67.8%0.34%	52.8%2.50%	52.8%1.06%	84.4%0.03%	81.4%0.06%		73.9%0.40%	64.5%0.22%
Buffalo Bills	33.3%0.02%	33.3%0.01%	27.7%0.05%	43.6%0.04%	23.8%0.02%	37.5%0.03%	29.0%0.03%	45.5%0.02%	22.1%0.13%	28.0%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		50.0%0.03%	33.3%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	23.1%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	10.0%0.01%	45.5%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	15.2%0.03%	25.0%0.02%		50.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	40.0%0.01%	26.3%0.02%	17.5%0.04%	41.2%0.03%	32.1%0.03%	57.9%0.02%	26.5%0.03%	37.5%0.02%	25.0%0.15%	17.9%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		53.8%0.01%	41.7%0.01%
Houston Texans	69.4%0.04%	42.1%0.02%	32.8%0.06%	53.1%0.05%	37.8%0.04%	43.9%0.04%	31.2%0.06%	59.4%0.03%	33.5%0.28%	31.0%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%		40.0%0.04%	66.7%0.03%
Indianapolis Colts	71.3%0.56%	56.7%0.46%	55.3%1.11%	68.9%0.90%	64.9%0.59%	70.5%0.59%	56.7%0.94%	64.5%0.49%	50.1%3.99%	53.5%1.78%	71.2%0.05%	74.7%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	71.8%0.68%	70.4%0.33%
Jacksonville Jaguars	60.9%0.02%	44.4%0.02%	34.8%0.02%	35.1%0.04%	37.5%0.02%	45.5%0.02%	22.9%0.03%	28.6%0.02%	23.3%0.13%	36.0%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		29.4%0.02%	52.9%0.02%
Miami Dolphins	59.0%0.10%	49.5%0.10%	45.7%0.22%	62.0%0.18%	56.3%0.13%	59.6%0.11%	48.4%0.18%	52.8%0.11%	38.5%0.74%	43.8%0.36%	57.1%0.01%	75.0%0.01%		56.8%0.13%	50.0%0.07%
New England Patriots	68.7%0.89%	57.5%0.77%	55.3%1.71%	63.5%1.42%	63.7%0.97%	68.4%0.99%	53.9%1.50%	64.4%0.83%	48.1%6.36%	50.0%2.81%	73.2%0.08%	80.3%0.14%		69.4%1.11%	71.2%0.54%
New York Jets	55.3%0.08%	33.3%0.08%	33.8%0.15%	47.7%0.11%	44.9%0.09%	53.1%0.08%	38.0%0.14%	39.1%0.06%	29.3%0.56%	27.4%0.22%	66.7%<0.01%	71.4%0.01%		56.3%0.09%	50.0%0.04%
Oakland Raiders	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	72.1%0.98%	61.1%0.81%	58.8%1.76%	70.8%1.39%	68.6%0.92%	71.3%1.01%	60.5%1.48%	66.6%0.83%	52.3%6.31%	55.1%2.67%	80.9%0.07%	75.0%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%	71.9%1.05%	69.9%0.54%
San Diego Chargers	66.9%0.52%	52.7%0.44%	51.8%0.99%	61.8%0.85%	59.5%0.60%	66.5%0.60%	49.4%0.87%	56.2%0.45%	43.4%3.82%	42.8%1.68%	73.0%0.04%	71.8%0.08%		64.3%0.66%	68.3%0.34%
Tennessee Titans	71.3%0.96%	60.8%0.80%	59.1%1.87%	69.2%1.40%	66.7%1.03%	70.9%1.02%	60.0%1.37%	67.3%0.85%	51.6%6.77%	55.0%3.01%	75.0%0.10%	73.3%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	73.1%1.16%	73.7%0.53%
Arizona Cardinals																26.4%0.39%	66.7%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	30.6%0.04%	28.7%0.56%	39.1%0.02%	41.0%0.10%	31.3%0.89%	44.7%0.08%	75.0%<0.01%	27.9%0.98%	33.1%0.52%	28.7%0.96%
Atlanta Falcons																37.0%0.33%	66.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	73.7%0.02%	57.9%0.02%	43.3%0.46%	55.6%0.02%	50.5%0.10%	42.5%0.77%	66.7%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.81%	47.3%0.44%	39.2%0.80%
Carolina Panthers																40.9%0.67%	72.3%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	90.0%0.01%	82.5%0.04%	67.2%0.06%	44.7%1.11%	65.2%0.02%	54.3%0.22%	44.7%1.71%	66.2%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	41.2%1.76%	48.2%0.99%	40.9%1.87%
Chicago Bears																31.8%0.54%	56.4%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	54.5%0.01%	58.8%0.03%	46.9%0.05%	31.1%0.90%	64.9%0.04%	38.0%0.18%	36.5%1.42%	52.3%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	29.2%1.39%	38.2%0.85%	30.8%1.40%
Dallas Cowboys																35.5%0.39%	76.2%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	67.9%0.03%	62.2%0.04%	35.1%0.59%	62.5%0.02%	43.7%0.13%	36.3%0.97%	55.1%0.09%		31.4%0.92%	40.5%0.60%	33.3%1.03%
Green Bay Packers																27.9%0.38%	62.5%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	42.1%0.02%	56.1%0.04%	29.5%0.59%	54.5%0.02%	40.4%0.11%	31.6%0.99%	46.9%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	28.7%1.01%	33.5%0.60%	29.1%1.02%
Minnesota Vikings																39.0%0.59%	71.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	73.5%0.03%	68.8%0.06%	43.3%0.94%	77.1%0.03%	51.6%0.18%	46.1%1.50%	62.0%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	39.5%1.48%	50.6%0.87%	40.0%1.37%
New Orleans Saints																32.2%0.34%	54.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%	40.6%0.03%	35.5%0.49%	71.4%0.02%	47.2%0.11%	35.6%0.83%	60.9%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	33.4%0.83%	43.8%0.45%	32.7%0.85%
New York Giants																47.2%2.50%	77.9%0.13%	76.9%0.01%	84.8%0.03%	75.0%0.15%	66.5%0.28%	49.9%3.99%	76.7%0.13%	61.5%0.74%	51.9%6.36%	70.7%0.56%	60.0%0.01%	47.7%6.31%	56.6%3.82%	48.4%6.77%
Philadelphia Eagles																47.2%1.06%	72.0%0.07%	80.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.02%	82.1%0.07%	69.0%0.11%	46.5%1.78%	64.0%0.05%	56.2%0.36%	50.0%2.81%	72.6%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	44.9%2.67%	57.2%1.68%	45.0%3.01%
San Francisco 49ers																15.6%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	28.8%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.01%	26.8%0.08%	33.3%<0.01%		19.1%0.07%	27.0%0.04%	25.0%0.10%
Seattle Seahawks																18.6%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	25.3%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.01%	19.7%0.14%	28.6%0.01%		25.0%0.14%	28.2%0.08%	26.7%0.12%
St. Louis Rams																						0.0%<0.01%						100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																26.1%0.40%	50.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	60.0%0.04%	28.2%0.68%	70.6%0.02%	43.2%0.13%	30.6%1.11%	43.7%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	28.1%1.05%	35.7%0.66%	26.9%1.16%
Washington Redskins																35.5%0.22%	66.7%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	58.3%0.01%	33.3%0.03%	29.6%0.33%	47.1%0.02%	50.0%0.07%	28.8%0.54%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	30.1%0.54%	31.7%0.34%	26.3%0.53%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New York Giants	100.00%	63.62%	41.52%	20.39%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tennessee Titans	100.00%	55.62%	32.56%	17.68%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	61.82%	29.44%	15.86%	Won Super Bowl
Carolina Panthers	100.00%	56.90%	22.39%	9.00%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Baltimore Ravens	60.49%	28.02%	13.41%	7.72%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Indianapolis Colts	52.10%	23.64%	11.80%	6.74%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	50.51%	22.11%	12.52%	6.46%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Minnesota Vikings	49.49%	23.64%	10.85%	4.88%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Atlanta Falcons	62.48%	24.40%	10.12%	4.39%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
San Diego Chargers	47.90%	18.02%	7.75%	3.84%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Miami Dolphins	39.51%	12.88%	5.04%	2.24%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Arizona Cardinals	37.52%	9.35%	2.61%	0.80%	Eliminated in Super Bowl

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Ravens			60.5%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts				52.1%100.00%
Miami Dolphins	39.5%100.00%
San Diego Chargers		47.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals		37.5%100.00%
Atlanta Falcons	62.5%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings				49.5%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles			50.5%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens						46.3%60.49%
Indianapolis Colts				45.5%31.55%		45.1%20.55%
Miami Dolphins				32.6%39.51%
Pittsburgh Steelers		54.5%31.55%	67.4%39.51%		62.2%28.94%
San Diego Chargers				37.8%28.94%		37.4%18.96%
Tennessee Titans	53.7%60.49%	54.9%20.55%			62.6%18.96%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals			29.1%18.98%		20.6%18.54%
Atlanta Falcons			44.2%31.53%		33.8%30.95%
Carolina Panthers	70.9%18.98%	55.8%31.53%		52.2%49.49%
Minnesota Vikings			47.8%49.49%
New York Giants	79.4%18.54%	66.2%30.95%				56.2%50.51%
Philadelphia Eagles					43.8%50.51%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		45.8%6.62%		47.7%16.46%	51.2%4.94%
Indianapolis Colts	54.2%6.62%		57.7%2.98%	47.9%6.30%		44.9%7.75%
Miami Dolphins		42.3%2.98%			51.1%2.40%	34.0%7.50%
Pittsburgh Steelers	52.3%16.46%	52.1%6.30%			59.7%4.69%	42.9%34.38%
San Diego Chargers	48.8%4.94%		48.9%2.40%	40.3%4.69%		37.9%5.99%
Tennessee Titans		55.1%7.75%	66.0%7.50%	57.1%34.38%	62.1%5.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals			31.9%1.97%	26.5%1.86%	22.6%3.08%	32.5%2.44%
Atlanta Falcons			45.0%5.47%	41.2%4.99%	35.5%7.88%	46.2%6.07%
Carolina Panthers	68.1%1.97%	55.0%5.47%			33.6%35.87%	44.0%13.59%
Minnesota Vikings	73.5%1.86%	58.8%4.99%			39.0%16.79%
New York Giants	77.4%3.08%	64.5%7.88%	66.4%35.87%	61.0%16.79%
Philadelphia Eagles	67.5%2.44%	53.8%6.07%	56.0%13.59%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	72.4%0.35%	58.7%1.32%	63.1%3.02%	59.3%1.42%	54.7%5.62%	51.6%1.67%
Indianapolis Colts	71.9%0.33%	60.1%1.21%	61.6%2.61%	60.7%1.26%	53.8%4.94%	51.4%1.46%
Miami Dolphins	54.3%0.13%	49.2%0.49%	51.7%1.17%	47.4%0.53%	39.7%2.07%	38.6%0.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers	70.5%0.72%	57.0%2.99%	59.4%6.53%	52.9%3.23%	50.9%12.33%	49.1%3.64%
San Diego Chargers	67.9%0.21%	48.9%0.78%	56.6%1.74%	50.2%0.88%	46.6%3.20%	42.4%0.95%
Tennessee Titans	68.4%0.88%	57.1%3.33%	60.1%7.32%	55.5%3.54%	51.0%13.35%	48.3%4.15%
Arizona Cardinals							27.6%0.35%	28.1%0.33%	45.7%0.13%	29.5%0.72%	32.1%0.21%	31.6%0.88%
Atlanta Falcons							41.3%1.32%	39.9%1.21%	50.8%0.49%	43.0%2.99%	51.1%0.78%	42.9%3.33%
Carolina Panthers							36.9%3.02%	38.4%2.61%	48.3%1.17%	40.6%6.53%	43.4%1.74%	39.9%7.32%
Minnesota Vikings							40.7%1.42%	39.3%1.26%	52.6%0.53%	47.1%3.23%	49.8%0.88%	44.5%3.54%
New York Giants							45.3%5.62%	46.2%4.94%	60.3%2.07%	49.1%12.33%	53.4%3.20%	49.0%13.35%
Philadelphia Eagles							48.4%1.67%	48.6%1.46%	61.4%0.65%	50.9%3.64%	57.6%0.95%	51.7%4.15%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New York Giants 20.39% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

44.65%

Win Prob

56.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

57.34%

Win Prob

66.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

32.09%

Win Prob

49.01%

Tennessee Titans 17.68% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

58.38%

Win Prob

53.68%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

60.27%

Win Prob

57.07%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

38.50%

Win Prob

50.99%

Pittsburgh Steelers 15.86% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

43.08%

Win Prob

67.40%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

50.13%

Win Prob

42.93%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

39.57%

Win Prob

50.88%

Carolina Panthers 9.00% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

45.44%

Win Prob

52.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

53.85%

Win Prob

33.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

32.41%

Win Prob

39.86%

Baltimore Ravens 7.72% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.49%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.32%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

58.54%

Win Prob

47.72%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

39.87%

Win Prob

54.74%

Indianapolis Colts 6.74% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.10%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

60.76%

Win Prob

45.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

30.38%

Win Prob

54.19%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

39.41%

Win Prob

53.82%

Philadelphia Eagles 6.46% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.51%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.76%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

60.77%

Win Prob

55.95%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

33.18%

Win Prob

51.65%

Minnesota Vikings 4.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.49%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.76%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

60.36%

Win Prob

38.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

32.23%

Win Prob

44.50%

Atlanta Falcons 4.39% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.48%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

57.16%

Win Prob

44.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

27.73%

Win Prob

46.25%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

32.55%

Win Prob

42.88%

San Diego Chargers 3.84% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.90%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

60.69%

Win Prob

37.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

31.17%

Win Prob

48.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

38.87%

Win Prob

46.61%

Miami Dolphins 2.24% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.51%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.60%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

50.67%

Win Prob

34.03%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

36.79%

Win Prob

39.73%

Arizona Cardinals 0.80% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.52%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

59.07%

Win Prob

29.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

30.43%

Win Prob

32.47%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

34.50%

Win Prob

31.58%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2008-09-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-13	1492.41	1413.44	54.70%	44.83%	+27.95	1-0
2008-09-14	Miami Dolphins	W 31-10	1520.36	1383.12	73.78%	25.85%	+23.35	2-0
2008-09-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-24	1543.71	1534.92	44.64%	54.89%	-23.28	2-1
2008-09-28	@ New York Jets	L 35-56	1520.43	1431.12	56.17%	43.36%	-50.69	2-2
2008-10-05	Buffalo Bills	W 41-17	1469.74	1563.89	42.68%	56.85%	+54.85	3-2
2008-10-12	Dallas Cowboys	W 30-24	1524.59	1635.85	40.29%	59.25%	+28.57	4-2
2008-10-26	@ Carolina Panthers	L 23-27	1553.16	1535.99	45.83%	53.69%	-18.07	4-3
2008-11-02	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-13	1535.09	1388.75	64.01%	35.55%	+32.13	5-3
2008-11-10	San Francisco 49ers	W 29-24	1567.22	1313.21	84.60%	15.14%	+6.67	6-3
2008-11-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 26-20	1573.89	1416.54	65.45%	34.12%	+16.48	7-3
2008-11-23	New York Giants	L 29-37	1590.37	1715.78	38.35%	61.19%	-21.39	7-4
2008-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-48	1568.98	1544.68	46.85%	52.67%	-48.86	7-5
2008-12-07	St. Louis Rams	W 34-10	1520.12	1251.33	85.67%	14.08%	+13.58	8-5
2008-12-14	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-35	1533.70	1599.79	46.67%	52.86%	-42.15	8-6
2008-12-21	@ New England Patriots	L 7-47	1491.55	1602.38	28.86%	70.74%	-35.99	8-7
2008-12-28	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-21	1455.56	1411.69	62.22%	37.33%	+8.85	9-7
2008-09-07	Detroit Lions	W 34-21	1401.90	1447.09	49.67%	49.86%	+35.41	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 9-24	1437.31	1477.19	37.87%	61.68%	-28.92	1-1
2008-09-21	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-14	1408.39	1350.72	64.06%	35.50%	+34.30	2-1
2008-09-28	@ Carolina Panthers	L 9-24	1442.69	1471.54	39.37%	60.17%	-30.07	2-2
2008-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1412.62	1540.01	26.94%	72.67%	+24.76	3-2
2008-10-12	Chicago Bears	W 22-20	1437.38	1579.47	36.11%	63.44%	+17.66	4-2
2008-10-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-27	1455.04	1566.62	28.77%	70.83%	-20.46	4-3
2008-11-02	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-0	1434.58	1361.56	53.85%	45.67%	+44.11	5-3
2008-11-09	New Orleans Saints	W 34-20	1478.69	1503.45	52.60%	46.92%	+34.60	6-3
2008-11-16	Denver Broncos	L 20-24	1513.29	1436.53	66.54%	33.03%	-26.19	6-4
2008-11-23	Carolina Panthers	W 45-28	1487.10	1576.89	43.29%	56.24%	+45.66	7-4
2008-11-30	@ San Diego Chargers	W 22-16	1532.76	1531.14	43.62%	55.91%	+26.97	8-4
2008-12-07	@ New Orleans Saints	L 25-29	1559.73	1534.39	47.00%	52.52%	-18.53	8-5
2008-12-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1541.20	1583.02	50.15%	49.37%	+16.85	9-5
2008-12-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-17	1558.05	1641.94	32.13%	67.45%	+35.12	10-5
2008-12-28	St. Louis Rams	W 31-27	1593.17	1218.12	91.66%	8.18%	+3.21	11-5
2008-09-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-10	1428.52	1500.95	45.76%	53.77%	+28.02	1-0
2008-09-21	Cleveland Browns	W 28-10	1456.54	1460.05	55.64%	43.89%	+36.71	2-0
2008-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1493.25	1574.93	32.41%	67.17%	-11.07	2-1
2008-10-05	Tennessee Titans	L 10-13	1482.18	1612.48	37.69%	61.86%	-12.87	2-2
2008-10-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-31	1469.31	1563.90	30.80%	68.78%	-32.15	2-3
2008-10-19	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-13	1437.16	1471.05	38.68%	60.86%	+44.83	3-3
2008-10-26	Oakland Raiders	W 29-10	1481.99	1388.12	68.69%	30.89%	+26.56	4-3
2008-11-02	@ Cleveland Browns	W 37-27	1508.55	1536.84	39.45%	60.09%	+37.41	5-3
2008-11-09	@ Houston Texans	W 41-13	1545.96	1468.53	54.48%	45.05%	+46.99	6-3
2008-11-16	@ New York Giants	L 10-30	1592.95	1688.74	30.66%	68.93%	-27.05	6-4
2008-11-23	Philadelphia Eagles	W 36-7	1565.90	1595.17	51.96%	47.57%	+50.49	7-4
2008-11-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-3	1616.39	1322.02	80.60%	19.09%	+20.94	8-4
2008-12-07	Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1637.33	1521.86	71.29%	28.31%	+20.89	9-4
2008-12-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-13	1658.22	1704.01	49.58%	49.94%	-19.54	9-5
2008-12-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 33-24	1638.68	1615.48	46.70%	52.83%	+31.22	10-5
2008-12-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-7	1669.90	1412.68	84.84%	14.90%	+13.13	11-5
2008-09-07	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-10	1459.26	1542.33	44.24%	55.28%	+53.34	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-16	1512.60	1536.55	40.05%	59.49%	+23.43	2-0
2008-09-21	Oakland Raiders	W 24-23	1536.03	1428.84	70.31%	29.29%	+5.77	3-0
2008-09-28	@ St. Louis Rams	W 31-14	1541.80	1327.25	72.45%	27.16%	+22.09	4-0
2008-10-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 17-41	1563.89	1469.74	56.85%	42.68%	-54.85	4-1
2008-10-19	San Diego Chargers	W 23-14	1509.04	1614.97	41.03%	58.50%	+34.56	5-1
2008-10-26	@ Miami Dolphins	L 16-25	1543.60	1426.22	60.09%	39.45%	-35.49	5-2
2008-11-02	New York Jets	L 17-26	1508.11	1490.48	58.61%	40.92%	-34.63	5-3
2008-11-09	@ New England Patriots	L 10-20	1473.48	1588.76	28.33%	71.27%	-17.67	5-4
2008-11-17	Cleveland Browns	L 27-29	1455.81	1472.59	53.75%	45.78%	-14.97	5-5
2008-11-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 54-31	1440.84	1280.70	65.81%	33.76%	+31.93	6-5
2008-11-30	San Francisco 49ers	L 3-10	1472.77	1332.80	74.08%	25.55%	-38.55	6-6
2008-12-07	Miami Dolphins	L 3-16	1434.22	1479.44	49.66%	49.86%	-35.29	6-7
2008-12-14	@ New York Jets	L 27-31	1398.93	1530.56	26.47%	73.15%	-10.44	6-8
2008-12-21	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-23	1388.49	1448.83	35.15%	64.41%	+33.55	7-8
2008-12-28	New England Patriots	L 0-13	1422.04	1638.37	26.96%	72.65%	-19.17	7-9
2008-09-07	@ San Diego Chargers	W 26-24	1460.11	1591.57	26.49%	73.13%	+20.34	1-0
2008-09-14	Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1480.45	1570.44	43.27%	56.27%	+19.19	2-0
2008-09-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-20	1499.64	1487.72	45.09%	54.44%	-28.10	2-1
2008-09-28	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-9	1471.54	1442.69	60.17%	39.37%	+30.07	3-1
2008-10-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 34-0	1501.61	1370.74	73.06%	26.55%	+30.53	4-1
2008-10-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-27	1532.14	1538.45	42.51%	57.03%	-41.05	4-2
2008-10-19	New Orleans Saints	W 30-7	1491.09	1519.98	52.01%	47.51%	+44.90	5-2
2008-10-26	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-23	1535.99	1553.16	53.69%	45.83%	+18.07	6-2
2008-11-09	@ Oakland Raiders	W 17-6	1554.06	1317.45	74.90%	24.73%	+16.18	7-2
2008-11-16	Detroit Lions	W 31-22	1570.24	1256.99	88.52%	11.27%	+6.65	8-2
2008-11-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 28-45	1576.89	1487.10	56.24%	43.29%	-45.66	8-3
2008-11-30	@ Green Bay Packers	W 35-31	1531.23	1560.66	39.29%	60.25%	+23.72	9-3
2008-12-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-23	1554.95	1623.63	46.30%	53.23%	+40.61	10-3
2008-12-14	Denver Broncos	W 30-10	1595.56	1473.08	72.11%	27.50%	+24.26	11-3
2008-12-21	@ New York Giants	L 28-34	1619.82	1679.45	35.24%	64.32%	-17.03	11-4
2008-12-28	@ New Orleans Saints	W 33-31	1602.79	1556.47	50.02%	49.51%	+13.80	12-4
2008-09-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 29-13	1517.43	1600.48	32.24%	67.34%	+53.01	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-20	1570.44	1480.45	56.27%	43.27%	-19.19	1-1
2008-09-21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-27	1551.25	1506.12	62.39%	37.16%	-21.27	1-2
2008-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-20	1529.98	1587.06	47.96%	51.57%	+20.32	2-2
2008-10-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-7	1550.30	1347.11	71.13%	28.47%	+29.17	3-2
2008-10-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-22	1579.47	1437.38	63.44%	36.11%	-17.66	3-3
2008-10-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 48-41	1561.81	1517.32	62.30%	37.25%	+19.44	4-3
2008-11-02	Detroit Lions	W 27-23	1581.25	1288.00	87.31%	12.47%	+4.91	5-3
2008-11-09	Tennessee Titans	L 14-21	1586.16	1675.32	43.38%	56.15%	-22.63	5-4
2008-11-16	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-37	1563.53	1568.42	42.70%	56.83%	-49.09	5-5
2008-11-23	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-3	1514.44	1287.32	73.86%	25.76%	+24.88	6-5
2008-11-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-34	1539.32	1558.67	40.68%	58.85%	-35.87	6-6
2008-12-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-10	1503.45	1427.40	66.45%	33.12%	+23.55	7-6
2008-12-11	New Orleans Saints	W 27-24	1527.00	1552.92	52.44%	47.09%	+16.07	8-6
2008-12-22	Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1543.07	1491.93	63.19%	36.36%	+12.42	9-6
2008-12-28	@ Houston Texans	L 24-31	1555.49	1469.53	55.69%	43.84%	-29.02	9-7
2008-09-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-17	1500.95	1428.52	53.77%	45.76%	-28.02	0-1
2008-09-14	Tennessee Titans	L 7-24	1472.93	1518.21	49.65%	49.87%	-40.34	0-2
2008-09-21	@ New York Giants	L 23-26	1432.59	1619.67	20.75%	78.92%	-7.09	0-3
2008-09-28	Cleveland Browns	L 12-20	1425.50	1423.34	56.44%	43.09%	-31.44	0-4
2008-10-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-31	1394.06	1625.90	16.85%	82.87%	-9.95	0-5
2008-10-12	@ New York Jets	L 14-26	1384.11	1481.81	30.43%	69.16%	-20.79	0-6
2008-10-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-38	1363.32	1607.99	23.88%	75.76%	-24.92	0-7
2008-10-26	@ Houston Texans	L 6-35	1338.40	1461.50	27.43%	72.18%	-29.13	0-8
2008-11-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-19	1309.27	1518.94	27.72%	71.89%	+20.00	1-8
2008-11-16	Philadelphia Eagles	T 13-13	1329.27	1597.95	21.47%	78.20%	+2.79	1-8
2008-11-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-27	1332.06	1626.96	12.36%	87.41%	-10.04	1-9
2008-11-30	Baltimore Ravens	L 3-34	1322.02	1616.39	19.09%	80.60%	-20.94	1-10
2008-12-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-35	1301.08	1619.72	10.96%	88.83%	-12.21	1-11
2008-12-14	Washington Redskins	W 20-13	1288.87	1500.97	27.44%	72.17%	+37.57	2-11
2008-12-21	@ Cleveland Browns	W 14-0	1326.44	1401.99	33.18%	66.39%	+48.88	3-11
2008-12-28	Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-6	1375.32	1258.24	71.48%	28.12%	+17.54	4-11
2008-09-07	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-28	1519.23	1548.89	51.90%	47.62%	-43.38	0-1
2008-09-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-10	1475.85	1588.76	40.06%	59.48%	-15.80	0-2
2008-09-21	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-28	1460.05	1456.54	43.89%	55.64%	-36.71	0-3
2008-09-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-12	1423.34	1425.50	43.09%	56.44%	+31.44	1-3
2008-10-13	New York Giants	W 35-14	1454.78	1658.66	28.39%	71.21%	+64.21	2-3
2008-10-19	@ Washington Redskins	L 11-14	1518.99	1579.09	35.18%	64.38%	-12.02	2-4
2008-10-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1506.97	1548.81	37.61%	61.94%	+29.87	3-4
2008-11-02	Baltimore Ravens	L 27-37	1536.84	1508.55	60.09%	39.45%	-37.41	3-5
2008-11-06	Denver Broncos	L 30-34	1499.43	1409.70	68.18%	31.40%	-26.84	3-6
2008-11-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 29-27	1472.59	1455.81	45.78%	53.75%	+14.98	4-6
2008-11-23	Houston Texans	L 6-16	1487.57	1410.04	66.64%	32.93%	-41.48	4-7
2008-11-30	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-10	1446.09	1606.42	33.73%	65.83%	-13.30	4-8
2008-12-07	@ Tennessee Titans	L 9-28	1432.79	1663.81	16.91%	82.80%	-14.53	4-9
2008-12-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-30	1418.26	1630.62	18.47%	81.23%	-16.27	4-10
2008-12-21	Cincinnati Bengals	L 0-14	1401.99	1326.44	66.39%	33.18%	-48.89	4-11
2008-12-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-31	1353.10	1681.50	10.43%	89.38%	-3.81	4-12
2008-09-07	@ Cleveland Browns	W 28-10	1548.89	1519.23	47.62%	51.90%	+43.38	1-0
2008-09-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-37	1592.27	1573.50	58.77%	40.76%	+16.08	2-0
2008-09-21	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-16	1608.35	1605.61	43.78%	55.75%	+36.41	3-0
2008-09-28	Washington Redskins	L 24-26	1644.76	1558.20	67.78%	31.80%	-18.86	3-1
2008-10-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-22	1625.90	1394.06	82.87%	16.85%	+9.95	4-1
2008-10-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 24-30	1635.85	1524.59	59.25%	40.29%	-28.57	4-2
2008-10-19	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-34	1607.28	1329.52	79.07%	20.60%	-69.54	4-3
2008-10-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-9	1537.74	1594.86	47.95%	51.57%	+20.32	5-3
2008-11-02	@ New York Giants	L 14-35	1558.06	1637.44	32.70%	66.87%	-29.55	5-4
2008-11-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 14-10	1528.51	1556.25	39.53%	60.02%	+23.63	6-4
2008-11-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 35-22	1552.14	1346.33	80.65%	19.04%	+13.53	7-4
2008-11-27	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-9	1565.67	1387.29	78.08%	21.58%	+21.28	8-4
2008-12-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-20	1586.95	1688.36	29.98%	69.61%	-15.64	8-5
2008-12-14	New York Giants	W 20-8	1571.31	1723.63	34.77%	64.79%	+44.17	9-5
2008-12-20	Baltimore Ravens	L 24-33	1615.48	1638.68	52.83%	46.70%	-31.22	9-6
2008-12-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-44	1584.26	1611.10	39.65%	59.89%	-48.19	9-7
2008-09-08	@ Oakland Raiders	W 41-14	1469.92	1437.76	47.98%	51.54%	+52.76	1-0
2008-09-14	San Diego Chargers	W 39-38	1522.68	1571.23	49.19%	50.34%	+9.92	2-0
2008-09-21	New Orleans Saints	W 34-32	1532.60	1485.91	62.60%	36.95%	+10.31	3-0
2008-09-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-33	1542.91	1316.42	73.79%	25.83%	-54.32	3-1
2008-10-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 16-13	1488.59	1556.57	46.40%	53.13%	+18.13	4-1
2008-10-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-24	1506.72	1520.59	54.16%	45.36%	-28.23	4-2
2008-10-20	@ New England Patriots	L 7-41	1478.49	1559.58	32.48%	67.09%	-37.35	4-3
2008-11-02	Miami Dolphins	L 17-26	1441.14	1461.72	53.20%	46.32%	-31.44	4-4
2008-11-06	@ Cleveland Browns	W 34-30	1409.70	1499.43	31.40%	68.18%	+26.83	5-4
2008-11-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 24-20	1436.53	1513.29	33.03%	66.54%	+26.19	6-4
2008-11-23	Oakland Raiders	L 10-31	1462.72	1295.86	76.93%	22.72%	-69.33	6-5
2008-11-30	@ New York Jets	W 34-17	1393.39	1643.14	15.45%	84.28%	+68.30	7-5
2008-12-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-17	1461.69	1285.93	77.82%	21.84%	+11.39	8-5
2008-12-14	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-30	1473.08	1595.56	27.50%	72.11%	-24.25	8-6
2008-12-21	Buffalo Bills	L 23-30	1448.83	1388.49	64.41%	35.15%	-33.55	8-7
2008-12-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-52	1415.28	1580.60	22.88%	76.77%	-25.11	8-8
2008-09-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-34	1447.09	1401.90	49.86%	49.67%	-35.42	0-1
2008-09-14	Green Bay Packers	L 25-48	1411.67	1573.94	33.48%	66.08%	-31.68	0-2
2008-09-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-31	1379.99	1409.31	39.31%	60.23%	-32.88	0-3
2008-10-05	Chicago Bears	L 7-34	1347.11	1550.30	28.47%	71.13%	-29.18	0-4
2008-10-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-12	1317.93	1511.71	20.13%	79.55%	-5.61	0-5
2008-10-19	@ Houston Texans	L 21-28	1312.32	1447.92	26.03%	73.59%	-13.58	0-6
2008-10-26	Washington Redskins	L 17-25	1298.74	1591.11	19.26%	80.42%	-10.74	0-7
2008-11-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 23-27	1288.00	1581.25	12.47%	87.31%	-4.91	0-8
2008-11-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-38	1283.09	1498.94	27.01%	72.60%	-26.10	0-9
2008-11-16	@ Carolina Panthers	L 22-31	1256.99	1570.24	11.27%	88.52%	-6.65	0-10
2008-11-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-38	1250.34	1599.59	14.69%	85.05%	-12.28	0-11
2008-11-27	Tennessee Titans	L 10-47	1238.06	1651.04	10.67%	89.13%	-12.77	0-12
2008-12-07	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-20	1225.29	1594.54	13.31%	86.45%	-5.24	0-13
2008-12-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-31	1220.05	1631.93	6.72%	93.14%	-4.18	0-14
2008-12-21	New Orleans Saints	L 7-42	1215.87	1536.84	16.84%	82.87%	-19.63	0-15
2008-12-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-31	1196.24	1479.51	13.10%	86.66%	-8.16	0-16
2008-09-08	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-19	1556.96	1521.77	61.04%	38.51%	+16.98	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Detroit Lions	W 48-25	1573.94	1411.67	66.08%	33.48%	+31.67	2-0
2008-09-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-27	1605.61	1608.35	55.75%	43.78%	-36.41	2-1
2008-09-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-30	1569.20	1527.39	49.37%	50.15%	-29.19	2-2
2008-10-05	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1540.01	1412.62	72.67%	26.94%	-24.76	2-3
2008-10-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-17	1515.25	1461.25	51.12%	48.40%	+30.16	3-3
2008-10-19	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-14	1545.41	1596.05	48.88%	50.64%	+44.62	4-3
2008-11-02	@ Tennessee Titans	L 16-19	1590.03	1663.91	33.40%	66.17%	-11.41	4-4
2008-11-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-28	1578.62	1519.99	51.79%	47.74%	-10.20	4-5
2008-11-16	Chicago Bears	W 37-3	1568.42	1563.53	56.83%	42.70%	+49.09	5-5
2008-11-24	@ New Orleans Saints	L 29-51	1617.51	1489.30	61.57%	37.97%	-56.85	5-6
2008-11-30	Carolina Panthers	L 31-35	1560.66	1531.23	60.25%	39.29%	-23.73	5-7
2008-12-07	Houston Texans	L 21-24	1536.93	1483.11	63.55%	36.01%	-21.66	5-8
2008-12-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-20	1515.27	1403.85	59.27%	40.27%	-23.34	5-9
2008-12-22	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1491.93	1543.07	36.36%	63.19%	-12.42	5-10
2008-12-28	Detroit Lions	W 31-21	1479.51	1196.24	86.66%	13.10%	+8.16	6-10
2008-09-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-38	1534.03	1551.80	40.90%	58.63%	-36.96	0-1
2008-09-21	@ Tennessee Titans	L 12-31	1497.07	1558.55	35.00%	64.56%	-30.09	0-2
2008-09-28	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1466.98	1530.73	34.70%	64.86%	-11.85	0-3
2008-10-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 27-31	1455.13	1546.95	43.01%	56.52%	-16.96	0-4
2008-10-12	Miami Dolphins	W 29-28	1438.17	1480.81	50.04%	49.49%	+9.75	1-4
2008-10-19	Detroit Lions	W 28-21	1447.92	1312.32	73.59%	26.03%	+13.58	2-4
2008-10-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-6	1461.50	1338.40	72.18%	27.43%	+29.13	3-4
2008-11-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-28	1490.63	1497.88	42.37%	57.16%	-22.10	3-5
2008-11-09	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-41	1468.53	1545.96	45.05%	54.48%	-46.99	3-6
2008-11-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-33	1421.54	1577.76	23.82%	75.82%	-11.50	3-7
2008-11-23	@ Cleveland Browns	W 16-6	1410.04	1487.57	32.93%	66.64%	+41.47	4-7
2008-12-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-17	1451.51	1459.00	55.07%	44.45%	+31.60	5-7
2008-12-07	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-21	1483.11	1536.93	36.01%	63.55%	+21.67	6-7
2008-12-14	Tennessee Titans	W 13-12	1504.78	1678.33	32.06%	67.52%	+13.28	7-7
2008-12-21	@ Oakland Raiders	L 16-27	1518.06	1286.16	74.39%	25.24%	-48.53	7-8
2008-12-28	Chicago Bears	W 31-24	1469.53	1555.49	43.84%	55.69%	+29.02	8-8
2008-09-07	Chicago Bears	L 13-29	1600.48	1517.43	67.34%	32.24%	-53.01	0-1
2008-09-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 18-15	1547.47	1504.79	49.49%	50.03%	+17.08	1-1
2008-09-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-23	1564.55	1513.13	63.23%	36.32%	-17.60	1-2
2008-10-05	@ Houston Texans	W 31-27	1546.95	1455.13	56.52%	43.01%	+16.95	2-2
2008-10-12	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-3	1563.90	1469.31	68.78%	30.80%	+32.15	3-2
2008-10-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-34	1596.05	1545.41	50.64%	48.88%	-44.62	3-3
2008-10-27	@ Tennessee Titans	L 21-31	1551.43	1644.59	30.98%	68.60%	-19.32	3-4
2008-11-02	New England Patriots	W 18-15	1532.11	1607.24	45.37%	54.15%	+18.47	4-4
2008-11-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-20	1550.58	1647.32	30.54%	69.04%	+27.18	5-4
2008-11-16	Houston Texans	W 33-27	1577.76	1421.54	75.82%	23.82%	+11.50	6-4
2008-11-23	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1589.26	1548.30	49.25%	50.28%	+17.16	7-4
2008-11-30	@ Cleveland Browns	W 10-6	1606.42	1446.09	65.83%	33.73%	+13.30	8-4
2008-12-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-3	1619.72	1301.08	88.83%	10.96%	+12.21	9-4
2008-12-14	Detroit Lions	W 31-21	1631.93	1220.05	93.14%	6.72%	+4.18	10-4
2008-12-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-24	1636.11	1427.19	71.80%	27.81%	+14.50	11-4
2008-12-28	Tennessee Titans	W 23-0	1650.61	1707.10	48.04%	51.48%	+16.22	12-4
2008-09-07	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-17	1564.74	1490.02	54.09%	45.43%	-28.19	0-1
2008-09-14	Buffalo Bills	L 16-20	1536.55	1512.60	59.49%	40.05%	-23.42	0-2
2008-09-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-21	1513.13	1564.55	36.32%	63.23%	+17.60	1-2
2008-09-28	Houston Texans	W 30-27	1530.73	1466.98	64.86%	34.70%	+11.85	2-2
2008-10-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-26	1542.58	1586.00	49.92%	49.60%	-21.99	2-3
2008-10-12	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-17	1520.59	1506.72	45.36%	54.16%	+28.22	3-3
2008-10-26	Cleveland Browns	L 17-23	1548.81	1506.97	61.94%	37.61%	-29.87	3-4
2008-11-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 19-21	1518.94	1309.27	71.89%	27.72%	-20.00	3-5
2008-11-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 38-14	1498.94	1283.09	72.60%	27.01%	+26.10	4-5
2008-11-16	Tennessee Titans	L 14-24	1525.04	1697.95	32.14%	67.44%	-20.04	4-6
2008-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 12-30	1505.00	1512.67	55.05%	44.48%	-46.00	4-7
2008-12-01	@ Houston Texans	L 17-30	1459.00	1451.51	44.45%	55.07%	-31.60	4-8
2008-12-07	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-23	1427.40	1503.45	33.12%	66.45%	-23.55	4-9
2008-12-14	Green Bay Packers	W 20-16	1403.85	1515.27	40.27%	59.27%	+23.34	5-9
2008-12-18	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-31	1427.19	1636.11	27.81%	71.80%	-14.51	5-10
2008-12-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-27	1412.68	1669.90	14.90%	84.84%	-13.13	5-11
2008-09-07	@ New England Patriots	L 10-17	1403.08	1641.31	16.34%	83.38%	-8.52	0-1
2008-09-14	Oakland Raiders	L 8-23	1394.56	1385.00	57.49%	42.05%	-43.84	0-2
2008-09-21	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-38	1350.72	1408.39	35.50%	64.06%	-34.30	0-3
2008-09-28	Denver Broncos	W 33-19	1316.42	1542.91	25.83%	73.79%	+54.32	1-3
2008-10-05	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-34	1370.74	1501.61	26.55%	73.06%	-30.53	1-4
2008-10-19	Tennessee Titans	L 10-34	1340.21	1625.36	19.92%	79.76%	-19.24	1-5
2008-10-26	@ New York Jets	L 24-28	1320.97	1481.25	23.39%	76.25%	-9.22	1-6
2008-11-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-30	1311.75	1574.54	22.04%	77.62%	-7.53	1-7
2008-11-09	@ San Diego Chargers	L 19-20	1304.22	1552.03	15.60%	84.13%	-3.07	1-8
2008-11-16	New Orleans Saints	L 20-30	1301.15	1468.85	32.79%	66.78%	-20.45	1-9
2008-11-23	Buffalo Bills	L 31-54	1280.70	1440.84	33.76%	65.81%	-31.93	1-10
2008-11-30	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-13	1248.77	1365.19	28.20%	71.40%	+37.16	2-10
2008-12-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-24	1285.93	1461.69	21.84%	77.82%	-11.39	2-11
2008-12-14	San Diego Chargers	L 21-22	1274.54	1526.50	23.13%	76.52%	-4.56	2-12
2008-12-21	Miami Dolphins	L 31-38	1269.98	1528.07	22.51%	77.14%	-11.74	2-13
2008-12-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 6-16	1258.24	1375.32	28.12%	71.48%	-17.54	2-14
2008-09-07	New York Jets	L 14-20	1407.16	1451.42	49.80%	49.72%	-24.04	0-1
2008-09-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-31	1383.12	1520.36	25.85%	73.78%	-23.36	0-2
2008-09-21	@ New England Patriots	W 38-13	1359.76	1668.73	11.51%	88.27%	+86.72	1-2
2008-10-05	San Diego Chargers	W 17-10	1446.48	1607.51	33.64%	65.92%	+34.33	2-2
2008-10-12	@ Houston Texans	L 28-29	1480.81	1438.17	49.49%	50.04%	-9.76	2-3
2008-10-19	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-27	1471.05	1437.16	60.86%	38.68%	-44.83	2-4
2008-10-26	Buffalo Bills	W 25-16	1426.22	1543.60	39.45%	60.09%	+35.50	3-4
2008-11-02	@ Denver Broncos	W 26-17	1461.72	1441.14	46.32%	53.20%	+31.44	4-4
2008-11-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 21-19	1493.16	1426.10	65.29%	34.27%	+9.56	5-4
2008-11-16	Oakland Raiders	W 17-15	1502.72	1301.28	80.25%	19.43%	+5.41	6-4
2008-11-23	New England Patriots	L 28-48	1508.13	1584.86	45.15%	54.38%	-39.80	6-5
2008-11-30	@ St. Louis Rams	W 16-12	1468.33	1262.43	71.45%	28.15%	+11.11	7-5
2008-12-07	@ Buffalo Bills	W 16-3	1479.44	1434.22	49.86%	49.66%	+35.28	8-5
2008-12-14	San Francisco 49ers	W 14-9	1514.72	1415.63	69.33%	30.26%	+13.35	9-5
2008-12-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-31	1528.07	1269.98	77.14%	22.51%	+11.74	10-5
2008-12-28	@ New York Jets	W 24-17	1539.81	1499.17	49.20%	50.32%	+26.23	11-5
2008-09-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 19-24	1521.77	1556.96	38.51%	61.04%	-16.98	0-1
2008-09-14	Indianapolis Colts	L 15-18	1504.79	1547.47	50.03%	49.49%	-17.07	0-2
2008-09-21	Carolina Panthers	W 20-10	1487.72	1499.64	54.44%	45.09%	+28.10	1-2
2008-09-28	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-30	1515.82	1588.64	33.53%	66.04%	-23.84	1-3
2008-10-06	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-27	1491.98	1504.19	41.68%	57.86%	+19.73	2-3
2008-10-12	Detroit Lions	W 12-10	1511.71	1317.93	79.55%	20.13%	+5.61	3-3
2008-10-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 41-48	1517.32	1561.81	37.25%	62.30%	-19.44	3-4
2008-11-02	Houston Texans	W 28-21	1497.88	1490.63	57.16%	42.37%	+22.11	4-4
2008-11-09	Green Bay Packers	W 28-27	1519.99	1578.62	47.74%	51.79%	+10.20	5-4
2008-11-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-19	1530.19	1582.07	36.26%	63.29%	-17.52	5-5
2008-11-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-12	1512.67	1505.00	44.48%	55.05%	+46.00	6-5
2008-11-30	Chicago Bears	W 34-14	1558.67	1539.32	58.85%	40.68%	+35.87	7-5
2008-12-07	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-16	1594.54	1225.29	86.45%	13.31%	+5.25	8-5
2008-12-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 35-14	1599.79	1533.70	52.86%	46.67%	+42.15	9-5
2008-12-21	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-24	1641.94	1558.05	67.45%	32.13%	-35.12	9-6
2008-12-28	New York Giants	W 20-19	1606.82	1696.48	43.31%	56.22%	+3.69	10-6
2008-09-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-10	1641.31	1403.08	83.38%	16.34%	+8.51	1-0
2008-09-14	@ New York Jets	W 19-10	1649.82	1475.45	67.62%	31.96%	+18.91	2-0
2008-09-21	Miami Dolphins	L 13-38	1668.73	1359.76	88.27%	11.51%	-86.71	2-1
2008-10-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-21	1582.02	1413.60	66.87%	32.70%	+19.35	3-1
2008-10-12	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-30	1601.37	1573.18	47.41%	52.11%	-41.79	3-2
2008-10-20	Denver Broncos	W 41-7	1559.58	1478.49	67.09%	32.48%	+37.36	4-2
2008-10-26	St. Louis Rams	W 23-16	1596.94	1399.05	79.93%	19.75%	+10.30	5-2
2008-11-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 15-18	1607.24	1532.11	54.15%	45.37%	-18.48	5-3
2008-11-09	Buffalo Bills	W 20-10	1588.76	1473.48	71.27%	28.33%	+17.67	6-3
2008-11-13	New York Jets	L 31-34	1606.43	1554.61	63.28%	36.27%	-21.57	6-4
2008-11-23	@ Miami Dolphins	W 48-28	1584.86	1508.13	54.38%	45.15%	+39.80	7-4
2008-11-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-33	1624.66	1637.00	54.38%	45.14%	-51.37	7-5
2008-12-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-21	1573.29	1366.01	71.61%	28.00%	+9.56	8-5
2008-12-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 49-26	1582.85	1305.69	79.01%	20.66%	+19.53	9-5
2008-12-21	Arizona Cardinals	W 47-7	1602.38	1491.55	70.74%	28.86%	+35.99	10-5
2008-12-28	@ Buffalo Bills	W 13-0	1638.37	1422.04	72.65%	26.96%	+19.17	11-5
2008-09-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-20	1486.72	1494.75	55.00%	44.53%	+17.56	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-29	1504.28	1516.55	41.67%	57.86%	-18.37	1-1
2008-09-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 32-34	1485.91	1532.60	36.95%	62.60%	-10.31	1-2
2008-09-28	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-17	1475.60	1442.20	60.79%	38.75%	+28.59	2-2
2008-10-06	Minnesota Vikings	L 27-30	1504.19	1491.98	57.86%	41.68%	-19.73	2-3
2008-10-12	Oakland Raiders	W 34-3	1484.46	1402.29	67.23%	32.35%	+35.52	3-3
2008-10-19	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-30	1519.98	1491.09	47.51%	52.01%	-44.90	3-4
2008-10-26	@ San Diego Chargers	W 37-32	1475.08	1580.41	35.09%	64.47%	+28.37	4-4
2008-11-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-34	1503.45	1478.69	46.92%	52.60%	-34.60	4-5
2008-11-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-20	1468.85	1301.15	66.78%	32.79%	+20.45	5-5
2008-11-24	Green Bay Packers	W 51-29	1489.30	1617.51	37.97%	61.57%	+56.86	6-5
2008-11-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-23	1546.16	1611.86	34.45%	65.11%	-11.77	6-6
2008-12-07	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-25	1534.39	1559.73	52.52%	47.00%	+18.53	7-6
2008-12-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1552.92	1527.00	47.09%	52.44%	-16.08	7-7
2008-12-21	@ Detroit Lions	W 42-7	1536.84	1215.87	82.87%	16.84%	+19.63	8-7
2008-12-28	Carolina Panthers	L 31-33	1556.47	1602.79	49.51%	50.02%	-13.79	8-8
2008-09-04	Washington Redskins	W 16-7	1566.79	1540.01	59.88%	39.66%	+23.46	1-0
2008-09-14	@ St. Louis Rams	W 41-13	1590.25	1384.65	71.41%	28.19%	+29.42	2-0
2008-09-21	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-23	1619.67	1432.59	78.92%	20.75%	+7.08	3-0
2008-10-05	Seattle Seahawks	W 44-6	1626.75	1493.16	73.37%	26.25%	+31.91	4-0
2008-10-13	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-35	1658.66	1454.78	71.21%	28.39%	-64.20	4-1
2008-10-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 29-17	1594.46	1368.00	82.43%	17.28%	+11.79	5-1
2008-10-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-14	1606.25	1632.91	39.67%	59.87%	+31.19	6-1
2008-11-02	Dallas Cowboys	W 35-14	1637.44	1558.06	66.87%	32.70%	+29.55	7-1
2008-11-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 36-31	1666.99	1619.70	50.16%	49.37%	+21.75	8-1
2008-11-16	Baltimore Ravens	W 30-10	1688.74	1592.95	68.93%	30.66%	+27.04	9-1
2008-11-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 37-29	1715.78	1590.37	61.19%	38.35%	+21.40	10-1
2008-11-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-7	1737.18	1545.39	69.77%	29.82%	+23.52	11-1
2008-12-07	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-20	1760.70	1593.55	76.96%	22.70%	-37.07	11-2
2008-12-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 8-20	1723.63	1571.31	64.79%	34.77%	-44.18	11-3
2008-12-21	Carolina Panthers	W 34-28	1679.45	1619.82	64.32%	35.24%	+17.03	12-3
2008-12-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 19-20	1696.48	1606.82	56.22%	43.31%	-3.69	12-4
2008-09-07	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-14	1451.42	1407.16	49.72%	49.80%	+24.03	1-0
2008-09-14	New England Patriots	L 10-19	1475.45	1649.82	31.96%	67.62%	-18.90	1-1
2008-09-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 29-48	1456.55	1561.31	29.58%	70.02%	-25.43	1-2
2008-09-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 56-35	1431.12	1520.43	43.36%	56.17%	+50.69	2-2
2008-10-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-14	1481.81	1384.11	69.16%	30.43%	+20.79	3-2
2008-10-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 13-16	1502.60	1366.77	62.60%	36.95%	-21.35	3-3
2008-10-26	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-24	1481.25	1320.97	76.25%	23.39%	+9.23	4-3
2008-11-02	@ Buffalo Bills	W 26-17	1490.48	1508.11	40.92%	58.61%	+34.62	5-3
2008-11-09	St. Louis Rams	W 47-3	1525.10	1356.62	77.09%	22.56%	+29.51	6-3
2008-11-13	@ New England Patriots	W 34-31	1554.61	1606.43	36.27%	63.28%	+21.58	7-3
2008-11-23	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-13	1576.19	1717.99	25.35%	74.28%	+66.95	8-3
2008-11-30	Denver Broncos	L 17-34	1643.14	1393.39	84.28%	15.45%	-68.30	8-4
2008-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1574.84	1371.36	71.17%	28.44%	-44.28	8-5
2008-12-14	Buffalo Bills	W 31-27	1530.56	1398.93	73.15%	26.47%	+10.44	9-5
2008-12-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-13	1541.00	1369.86	67.22%	32.36%	-41.83	9-6
2008-12-28	Miami Dolphins	L 17-24	1499.17	1539.81	50.32%	49.20%	-26.23	9-7
2008-09-08	Denver Broncos	L 14-41	1437.76	1469.92	51.54%	47.98%	-52.76	0-1
2008-09-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-8	1385.00	1394.56	42.05%	57.49%	+43.84	1-1
2008-09-21	@ Buffalo Bills	L 23-24	1428.84	1536.03	29.29%	70.31%	-5.78	1-2
2008-09-28	San Diego Chargers	L 18-28	1423.06	1586.74	33.31%	66.26%	-20.77	1-3
2008-10-12	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-34	1402.29	1484.46	32.35%	67.23%	-35.52	1-4
2008-10-19	New York Jets	W 16-13	1366.77	1502.60	36.95%	62.60%	+21.35	2-4
2008-10-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-29	1388.12	1481.99	30.89%	68.69%	-26.56	2-5
2008-11-02	Atlanta Falcons	L 0-24	1361.56	1434.58	45.67%	53.85%	-44.11	2-6
2008-11-09	Carolina Panthers	L 6-17	1317.45	1554.06	24.73%	74.90%	-16.17	2-7
2008-11-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 15-17	1301.28	1502.72	19.43%	80.25%	-5.42	2-8
2008-11-23	@ Denver Broncos	W 31-10	1295.86	1462.72	22.72%	76.93%	+69.33	3-8
2008-11-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-20	1365.19	1248.77	71.40%	28.20%	-37.17	3-9
2008-12-04	@ San Diego Chargers	L 7-34	1328.02	1504.17	21.80%	77.86%	-22.33	3-10
2008-12-14	New England Patriots	L 26-49	1305.69	1582.85	20.66%	79.01%	-19.53	3-11
2008-12-21	Houston Texans	W 27-16	1286.16	1518.06	25.24%	74.39%	+48.53	4-11
2008-12-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-24	1334.69	1516.64	21.24%	78.42%	+40.81	5-11
2008-09-07	St. Louis Rams	W 38-3	1541.81	1416.34	72.45%	27.16%	+31.69	1-0
2008-09-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 37-41	1573.50	1592.27	40.76%	58.77%	-16.08	1-1
2008-09-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 15-6	1557.42	1604.56	49.39%	50.14%	+29.64	2-1
2008-09-28	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-24	1587.06	1529.98	51.57%	47.96%	-20.32	2-2
2008-10-05	Washington Redskins	L 17-23	1566.74	1577.06	54.67%	44.86%	-26.37	2-3
2008-10-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 40-26	1540.37	1394.25	63.98%	35.58%	+26.25	3-3
2008-10-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-14	1566.62	1455.04	70.83%	28.77%	+20.46	4-3
2008-11-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 26-7	1587.08	1458.72	61.59%	37.95%	+32.62	5-3
2008-11-09	New York Giants	L 31-36	1619.70	1666.99	49.37%	50.16%	-21.75	5-4
2008-11-16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	T 13-13	1597.95	1329.27	78.20%	21.47%	-2.78	5-4
2008-11-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-36	1595.17	1565.90	47.57%	51.96%	-50.49	5-5
2008-11-27	Arizona Cardinals	W 48-20	1544.68	1568.98	52.67%	46.85%	+48.87	6-5
2008-12-07	@ New York Giants	W 20-14	1593.55	1760.70	22.70%	76.96%	+37.07	7-5
2008-12-15	Cleveland Browns	W 30-10	1630.62	1418.26	81.23%	18.47%	+16.28	8-5
2008-12-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-10	1646.90	1463.41	68.76%	30.83%	-35.80	8-6
2008-12-28	Dallas Cowboys	W 44-6	1611.10	1584.26	59.89%	39.65%	+48.20	9-6
2008-09-07	Houston Texans	W 38-17	1551.80	1534.03	58.63%	40.90%	+36.96	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Cleveland Browns	W 10-6	1588.76	1475.85	59.48%	40.06%	+15.80	2-0
2008-09-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-15	1604.56	1557.42	50.14%	49.39%	-29.63	2-1
2008-09-29	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1574.93	1493.25	67.17%	32.41%	+11.07	3-1
2008-10-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-21	1586.00	1542.58	49.60%	49.92%	+21.99	4-1
2008-10-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-10	1607.99	1363.32	75.76%	23.88%	+24.92	5-1
2008-10-26	New York Giants	L 14-21	1632.91	1606.25	59.87%	39.67%	-31.18	5-2
2008-11-03	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-6	1601.73	1601.85	43.38%	56.15%	+45.59	6-2
2008-11-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-24	1647.32	1550.58	69.04%	30.54%	-27.17	6-3
2008-11-16	San Diego Chargers	W 11-10	1620.15	1555.11	65.03%	34.53%	+6.81	7-3
2008-11-20	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-10	1626.96	1332.06	87.41%	12.36%	+10.04	8-3
2008-11-30	@ New England Patriots	W 33-10	1637.00	1624.66	45.14%	54.38%	+51.36	9-3
2008-12-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-13	1688.36	1586.95	69.61%	29.98%	+15.65	10-3
2008-12-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 13-9	1704.01	1658.22	49.94%	49.58%	+19.54	11-3
2008-12-21	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-31	1723.55	1665.05	51.77%	47.75%	-42.05	11-4
2008-12-28	Cleveland Browns	W 31-0	1681.50	1353.10	89.38%	10.43%	+3.80	12-4
2008-09-07	Carolina Panthers	L 24-26	1591.57	1460.11	73.13%	26.49%	-20.34	0-1
2008-09-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 38-39	1571.23	1522.68	50.34%	49.19%	-9.92	0-2
2008-09-22	New York Jets	W 48-29	1561.31	1456.55	70.02%	29.58%	+25.43	1-2
2008-09-28	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-18	1586.74	1423.06	66.26%	33.31%	+20.77	2-2
2008-10-05	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-17	1607.51	1446.48	65.92%	33.64%	-34.33	2-3
2008-10-12	New England Patriots	W 30-10	1573.18	1601.37	52.11%	47.41%	+41.79	3-3
2008-10-19	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-23	1614.97	1509.04	58.50%	41.03%	-34.56	3-4
2008-10-26	New Orleans Saints	L 32-37	1580.41	1475.08	64.47%	35.09%	-28.38	3-5
2008-11-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-19	1552.03	1304.22	84.13%	15.60%	+3.08	4-5
2008-11-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-11	1555.11	1620.15	34.53%	65.03%	-6.81	4-6
2008-11-23	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-23	1548.30	1589.26	50.28%	49.25%	-17.16	4-7
2008-11-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 16-22	1531.14	1532.76	55.91%	43.62%	-26.97	4-8
2008-12-04	Oakland Raiders	W 34-7	1504.17	1328.02	77.86%	21.80%	+22.33	5-8
2008-12-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 22-21	1526.50	1274.54	76.52%	23.13%	+4.56	6-8
2008-12-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 41-24	1531.06	1566.17	38.52%	61.03%	+49.54	7-8
2008-12-28	Denver Broncos	W 52-21	1580.60	1415.28	76.77%	22.88%	+25.12	8-8
2008-09-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-23	1413.44	1492.41	44.83%	54.70%	-27.94	0-1
2008-09-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 33-30	1385.50	1488.99	29.73%	69.86%	+23.81	1-1
2008-09-21	Detroit Lions	W 31-13	1409.31	1379.99	60.23%	39.31%	+32.89	2-1
2008-09-28	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-31	1442.20	1475.60	38.75%	60.79%	-28.60	2-2
2008-10-05	New England Patriots	L 21-30	1413.60	1582.02	32.70%	66.87%	-19.35	2-3
2008-10-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 26-40	1394.25	1540.37	35.58%	63.98%	-26.25	2-4
2008-10-19	@ New York Giants	L 17-29	1368.00	1594.46	17.28%	82.43%	-11.80	2-5
2008-10-26	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-34	1356.20	1415.73	47.61%	51.92%	-42.99	2-6
2008-11-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 24-29	1313.21	1567.22	15.14%	84.60%	-6.67	2-7
2008-11-16	St. Louis Rams	W 35-16	1306.54	1327.11	53.20%	46.32%	+39.79	3-7
2008-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-35	1346.33	1552.14	19.04%	80.65%	-13.53	3-8
2008-11-30	@ Buffalo Bills	W 10-3	1332.80	1472.77	25.55%	74.08%	+38.56	4-8
2008-12-07	New York Jets	W 24-14	1371.36	1574.84	28.44%	71.17%	+44.27	5-8
2008-12-14	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-14	1415.63	1514.72	30.26%	69.33%	-13.34	5-9
2008-12-21	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-16	1402.29	1224.33	68.07%	31.51%	+6.21	6-9
2008-12-28	Washington Redskins	W 27-24	1408.50	1499.20	43.17%	56.37%	+19.23	7-9
2008-09-07	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-34	1542.33	1459.26	55.28%	44.24%	-53.34	0-1
2008-09-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 30-33	1488.99	1385.50	69.86%	29.73%	-23.81	0-2
2008-09-21	St. Louis Rams	W 37-13	1465.18	1355.23	70.64%	28.96%	+27.98	1-2
2008-10-05	@ New York Giants	L 6-44	1493.16	1626.75	26.25%	73.37%	-31.91	1-3
2008-10-12	Green Bay Packers	L 17-27	1461.25	1515.25	48.40%	51.12%	-30.16	1-4
2008-10-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-20	1431.09	1579.50	24.64%	75.00%	-15.36	1-5
2008-10-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-13	1415.73	1356.20	51.92%	47.61%	+42.99	2-5
2008-11-02	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-26	1458.72	1587.08	37.95%	61.59%	-32.62	2-6
2008-11-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 19-21	1426.10	1493.16	34.27%	65.29%	-9.56	2-7
2008-11-16	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-26	1416.54	1573.89	34.12%	65.45%	-16.48	2-8
2008-11-23	Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1400.06	1532.62	37.39%	62.16%	-12.77	2-9
2008-11-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 9-34	1387.29	1565.67	21.58%	78.08%	-21.28	2-10
2008-12-07	New England Patriots	L 21-24	1366.01	1573.29	28.00%	71.61%	-9.56	2-11
2008-12-14	@ St. Louis Rams	W 23-20	1356.45	1237.74	60.27%	39.27%	+13.41	3-11
2008-12-21	New York Jets	W 13-3	1369.86	1541.00	32.36%	67.22%	+41.83	4-11
2008-12-28	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-34	1411.69	1455.56	37.33%	62.22%	-8.85	4-12
2008-09-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-38	1416.34	1541.81	27.16%	72.45%	-31.69	0-1
2008-09-14	New York Giants	L 13-41	1384.65	1590.25	28.19%	71.41%	-29.42	0-2
2008-09-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-37	1355.23	1465.18	28.96%	70.64%	-27.98	0-3
2008-09-28	Buffalo Bills	L 14-31	1327.25	1541.80	27.16%	72.45%	-22.08	0-4
2008-10-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-17	1305.17	1603.44	12.15%	87.62%	+24.35	1-4
2008-10-19	Dallas Cowboys	W 34-14	1329.52	1607.28	20.60%	79.07%	+69.53	2-4
2008-10-26	@ New England Patriots	L 16-23	1399.05	1596.94	19.75%	79.93%	-10.30	2-5
2008-11-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-34	1388.75	1535.09	35.55%	64.01%	-32.13	2-6
2008-11-09	@ New York Jets	L 3-47	1356.62	1525.10	22.56%	77.09%	-29.51	2-7
2008-11-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-35	1327.11	1306.54	46.32%	53.20%	-39.79	2-8
2008-11-23	Chicago Bears	L 3-27	1287.32	1514.44	25.76%	73.86%	-24.89	2-9
2008-11-30	Miami Dolphins	L 12-16	1262.43	1468.33	28.15%	71.45%	-11.10	2-10
2008-12-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-34	1251.33	1520.12	14.08%	85.67%	-13.59	2-11
2008-12-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1237.74	1356.45	39.27%	60.27%	-13.41	2-12
2008-12-21	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-17	1224.33	1402.29	31.51%	68.07%	-6.21	2-13
2008-12-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 27-31	1218.12	1593.17	8.18%	91.66%	-3.22	2-14
2008-09-07	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-24	1494.75	1486.72	44.53%	55.00%	-17.56	0-1
2008-09-14	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-9	1477.19	1437.31	61.68%	37.87%	+28.93	1-1
2008-09-21	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1506.12	1551.25	37.16%	62.39%	+21.27	2-1
2008-09-28	Green Bay Packers	W 30-21	1527.39	1569.20	50.15%	49.37%	+29.18	3-1
2008-10-05	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-16	1556.57	1488.59	53.13%	46.40%	-18.12	3-2
2008-10-12	Carolina Panthers	W 27-3	1538.45	1532.14	57.03%	42.51%	+41.05	4-2
2008-10-19	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-10	1579.50	1431.09	75.00%	24.64%	+15.36	5-2
2008-10-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 9-13	1594.86	1537.74	51.57%	47.95%	-20.32	5-3
2008-11-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-27	1574.54	1311.75	77.62%	22.04%	+7.53	6-3
2008-11-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 19-13	1582.07	1530.19	63.29%	36.26%	+17.52	7-3
2008-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	W 38-20	1599.59	1250.34	85.05%	14.69%	+12.27	8-3
2008-11-30	New Orleans Saints	W 23-20	1611.86	1546.16	65.11%	34.45%	+11.77	9-3
2008-12-08	@ Carolina Panthers	L 23-38	1623.63	1554.95	53.23%	46.30%	-40.61	9-4
2008-12-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-13	1583.02	1541.20	49.37%	50.15%	-16.85	9-5
2008-12-21	San Diego Chargers	L 24-41	1566.17	1531.06	61.03%	38.52%	-49.53	9-6
2008-12-28	Oakland Raiders	L 24-31	1516.64	1334.69	78.42%	21.24%	-40.81	9-7
2008-09-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-10	1490.02	1564.74	45.43%	54.09%	+28.19	1-0
2008-09-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-7	1518.21	1472.93	49.87%	49.65%	+40.34	2-0
2008-09-21	Houston Texans	W 31-12	1558.55	1497.07	64.56%	35.00%	+30.09	3-0
2008-09-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 30-17	1588.64	1515.82	66.04%	33.53%	+23.84	4-0
2008-10-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 13-10	1612.48	1482.18	61.86%	37.69%	+12.88	5-0
2008-10-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 34-10	1625.36	1340.21	79.76%	19.92%	+19.23	6-0
2008-10-27	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-21	1644.59	1551.43	68.60%	30.98%	+19.32	7-0
2008-11-02	Green Bay Packers	W 19-16	1663.91	1590.03	66.17%	33.40%	+11.41	8-0
2008-11-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-14	1675.32	1586.16	56.15%	43.38%	+22.63	9-0
2008-11-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-14	1697.95	1525.04	67.44%	32.14%	+20.04	10-0
2008-11-23	New York Jets	L 13-34	1717.99	1576.19	74.28%	25.35%	-66.95	10-1
2008-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	W 47-10	1651.04	1238.06	89.13%	10.67%	+12.77	11-1
2008-12-07	Cleveland Browns	W 28-9	1663.81	1432.79	82.80%	16.91%	+14.52	12-1
2008-12-14	@ Houston Texans	L 12-13	1678.33	1504.78	67.52%	32.06%	-13.28	12-2
2008-12-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-14	1665.05	1723.55	47.75%	51.77%	+42.05	13-2
2008-12-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 0-23	1707.10	1650.61	51.48%	48.04%	-16.22	13-3
2008-09-04	@ New York Giants	L 7-16	1540.01	1566.79	39.66%	59.88%	-23.46	0-1
2008-09-14	New Orleans Saints	W 29-24	1516.55	1504.28	57.86%	41.67%	+18.37	1-1
2008-09-21	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-17	1534.92	1543.71	54.89%	44.64%	+23.28	2-1
2008-09-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 26-24	1558.20	1644.76	31.80%	67.78%	+18.86	3-1
2008-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-17	1577.06	1566.74	44.86%	54.67%	+26.38	4-1
2008-10-12	St. Louis Rams	L 17-19	1603.44	1305.17	87.62%	12.15%	-24.35	4-2
2008-10-19	Cleveland Browns	W 14-11	1579.09	1518.99	64.38%	35.18%	+12.02	5-2
2008-10-26	@ Detroit Lions	W 25-17	1591.11	1298.74	80.42%	19.26%	+10.74	6-2
2008-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-23	1601.85	1601.73	56.15%	43.38%	-45.60	6-3
2008-11-16	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-14	1556.25	1528.51	60.02%	39.53%	-23.63	6-4
2008-11-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1532.62	1400.06	62.16%	37.39%	+12.77	7-4
2008-11-30	New York Giants	L 7-23	1545.39	1737.18	29.82%	69.77%	-23.53	7-5
2008-12-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-24	1521.86	1637.33	28.31%	71.29%	-20.89	7-6
2008-12-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-20	1500.97	1288.87	72.17%	27.44%	-37.56	7-7
2008-12-21	Philadelphia Eagles	W 10-3	1463.41	1646.90	30.83%	68.76%	+35.79	8-7
2008-12-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1499.20	1408.50	56.37%	43.17%	-19.22	8-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2009-01-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-24	1464.41	1596.38	37.68%	62.32%	+29.94	1-0
2009-01-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 33-13	1494.35	1616.59	27.69%	72.31%	+63.41	2-0
2009-01-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 32-25	1557.76	1731.14	32.26%	67.74%	+35.15	3-0
2009-02-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-27	1592.91	1736.58	30.43%	69.57%	-11.94	3-1
2009-01-03	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 24-30	1596.38	1464.41	62.32%	37.68%	-29.93	0-1
2009-01-04	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-9	1683.03	1566.04	60.28%	39.72%	+33.05	1-0
2009-01-10	@ Tennessee Titans	W 13-10	1716.08	1690.88	47.22%	52.78%	+17.93	2-0
2009-01-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-23	1734.01	1708.80	47.22%	52.78%	-27.78	2-1
2009-01-10	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-33	1616.59	1494.35	72.31%	27.69%	-63.42	0-1
2009-01-03	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-23	1666.83	1605.72	52.38%	47.62%	-25.16	0-1
2009-01-04	Baltimore Ravens	L 9-27	1566.04	1683.03	39.72%	60.28%	-33.05	0-1
2009-01-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-26	1610.51	1659.30	49.39%	50.61%	-33.55	0-1
2009-01-11	Philadelphia Eagles	L 11-23	1692.79	1692.85	56.37%	43.63%	-38.29	0-1
2009-01-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 26-14	1659.30	1610.51	50.61%	49.39%	+33.55	1-0
2009-01-11	@ New York Giants	W 23-11	1692.85	1692.79	43.63%	56.37%	+38.29	2-0
2009-01-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 25-32	1731.14	1557.76	67.74%	32.26%	-35.14	2-1
2009-01-11	San Diego Chargers	W 35-24	1685.30	1630.88	63.87%	36.13%	+23.50	1-0
2009-01-18	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-14	1708.80	1734.01	52.78%	47.22%	+27.78	2-0
2009-02-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-23	1736.58	1592.91	69.57%	30.43%	+11.94	3-0
2009-01-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-17	1605.72	1666.83	47.62%	52.38%	+25.16	1-0
2009-01-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-35	1630.88	1685.30	36.13%	63.87%	-23.50	1-1
2009-01-10	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-13	1690.88	1716.08	52.78%	47.22%	-17.92	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-09-21	11.51%	Miami Dolphins	1359.76	38	@ New England Patriots	1668.73	13
2	2008-10-12	12.15%	St. Louis Rams	1305.17	19	@ Washington Redskins	1603.44	17
3	2008-11-30	15.45%	Denver Broncos	1393.39	34	@ New York Jets	1643.14	17
4	2008-10-19	20.60%	@ St. Louis Rams	1329.52	34	Dallas Cowboys	1607.28	14
5	2008-12-28	21.24%	Oakland Raiders	1334.69	31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1516.64	24
6	2008-12-07	22.70%	Philadelphia Eagles	1593.55	20	@ New York Giants	1760.70	14
7	2008-11-23	22.72%	Oakland Raiders	1295.86	31	@ Denver Broncos	1462.72	10
8	2008-12-21	25.24%	@ Oakland Raiders	1286.16	27	Houston Texans	1518.06	16
9	2008-11-23	25.35%	New York Jets	1576.19	34	@ Tennessee Titans	1717.99	13
10	2008-11-30	25.55%	San Francisco 49ers	1332.80	10	@ Buffalo Bills	1472.77	3
11	2008-09-28	25.83%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1316.42	33	Denver Broncos	1542.91	19
12	2008-09-07	26.49%	Carolina Panthers	1460.11	26	@ San Diego Chargers	1591.57	24
13	2008-10-05	26.94%	Atlanta Falcons	1412.62	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1540.01	24
14	2008-12-14	27.44%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1288.87	20	Washington Redskins	1500.97	13
15	2009-01-10 *	27.69%	Arizona Cardinals	1494.35	33	@ Carolina Panthers	1616.59	13
16	2008-11-02	27.72%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1309.27	21	Jacksonville Jaguars	1518.94	19
17	2008-11-30	28.20%	Kansas City Chiefs	1248.77	20	@ Oakland Raiders	1365.19	13
18	2008-10-13	28.39%	@ Cleveland Browns	1454.78	35	New York Giants	1658.66	14
19	2008-12-07	28.44%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1371.36	24	New York Jets	1574.84	14
20	2008-09-14	29.73%	San Francisco 49ers	1385.50	33	@ Seattle Seahawks	1488.99	30
21	2008-11-09	30.54%	Indianapolis Colts	1550.58	24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1647.32	20
22	2008-12-21	30.83%	@ Washington Redskins	1463.41	10	Philadelphia Eagles	1646.90	3
23	2008-11-06	31.40%	Denver Broncos	1409.70	34	@ Cleveland Browns	1499.43	30
24	2008-09-28	31.80%	Washington Redskins	1558.20	26	@ Dallas Cowboys	1644.76	24
25	2008-12-14	32.06%	@ Houston Texans	1504.78	13	Tennessee Titans	1678.33	12

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2008-09-21	86.72	Miami Dolphins	38	1359.76	11.51%	@ New England Patriots	13	1668.73	88.27%
2	2008-10-19	69.54	@ St. Louis Rams	34	1329.52	20.60%	Dallas Cowboys	14	1607.28	79.07%
3	2008-11-23	69.33	Oakland Raiders	31	1295.86	22.72%	@ Denver Broncos	10	1462.72	76.93%
4	2008-11-30	68.30	Denver Broncos	34	1393.39	15.45%	@ New York Jets	17	1643.14	84.28%
5	2008-11-23	66.95	New York Jets	34	1576.19	25.35%	@ Tennessee Titans	13	1717.99	74.28%
6	2008-10-13	64.21	@ Cleveland Browns	35	1454.78	28.39%	New York Giants	14	1658.66	71.21%
7	2009-01-10 *	63.42	Arizona Cardinals	33	1494.35	27.69%	@ Carolina Panthers	13	1616.59	72.31%
8	2008-11-24	56.86	@ New Orleans Saints	51	1489.30	37.97%	Green Bay Packers	29	1617.51	61.57%
9	2008-10-05	54.85	@ Arizona Cardinals	41	1469.74	42.68%	Buffalo Bills	17	1563.89	56.85%
10	2008-09-28	54.32	@ Kansas City Chiefs	33	1316.42	25.83%	Denver Broncos	19	1542.91	73.79%
11	2008-09-07	53.34	@ Buffalo Bills	34	1459.26	44.24%	Seattle Seahawks	10	1542.33	55.28%
12	2008-09-07	53.01	Chicago Bears	29	1517.43	32.24%	@ Indianapolis Colts	13	1600.48	67.34%
13	2008-09-08	52.76	Denver Broncos	41	1469.92	47.98%	@ Oakland Raiders	14	1437.76	51.54%
14	2008-11-30	51.37	Pittsburgh Steelers	33	1637.00	45.14%	@ New England Patriots	10	1624.66	54.38%
15	2008-09-28	50.69	@ New York Jets	56	1431.12	43.36%	Arizona Cardinals	35	1520.43	56.17%
16	2008-11-23	50.49	@ Baltimore Ravens	36	1565.90	51.96%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1595.17	47.57%
17	2008-12-21	49.54	San Diego Chargers	41	1531.06	38.52%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	24	1566.17	61.03%
18	2008-11-16	49.09	@ Green Bay Packers	37	1568.42	56.83%	Chicago Bears	3	1563.53	42.70%
19	2008-12-21	48.89	Cincinnati Bengals	14	1326.44	33.18%	@ Cleveland Browns	0	1401.99	66.39%
20	2008-11-27	48.87	@ Philadelphia Eagles	48	1544.68	52.67%	Arizona Cardinals	20	1568.98	46.85%
21	2008-12-21	48.53	@ Oakland Raiders	27	1286.16	25.24%	Houston Texans	16	1518.06	74.39%
22	2008-12-28	48.20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	44	1611.10	59.89%	Dallas Cowboys	6	1584.26	39.65%
23	2008-11-09	46.99	Baltimore Ravens	41	1545.96	54.48%	@ Houston Texans	13	1468.53	45.05%
24	2008-11-23	46.00	Minnesota Vikings	30	1512.67	44.48%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	12	1505.00	55.05%
25	2008-11-23	45.66	@ Atlanta Falcons	45	1487.10	43.29%	Carolina Panthers	28	1576.89	56.24%