2007 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

New York Giants

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1990

Runner-Up

New England Patriots

6th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2004

Biggest Overachiever

New England Patriots

3.48 wins above expected

16 wins · 12.52 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Miami Dolphins

3.54 wins below expected

1 wins · 4.54 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	16	0	1.000	-	589	274	+315	12.52	+3.48
2	Buffalo Bills	7	9	.438	9	252	354	-102	7.23	-0.23
3	New York Jets	4	12	.250	12	268	355	-87	5.75	-1.75
4	Miami Dolphins	1	15	.062	15	267	437	-170	4.54	-3.54

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	10	6	.625	-	393	269	+124	11.28	-1.28
2	Cleveland Browns	10	6	.625	-	402	382	+20	8.30	+1.70
3	Cincinnati Bengals	7	9	.438	3	380	385	-5	7.85	-0.85
4	Baltimore Ravens	5	11	.312	5	275	384	-109	7.18	-2.18

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	13	3	.812	-	450	262	+188	11.70	+1.30
2	Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs	11	5	.688	2	411	304	+107	9.33	+1.67
3	Tennessee Titans Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	301	297	+4	8.46	+1.54
4	Houston Texans	8	8	.500	5	379	384	-5	6.92	+1.08

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Diego Chargers Division	11	5	.688	-	412	284	+128	9.85	+1.15
2	Denver Broncos	7	9	.438	4	320	409	-89	6.92	+0.08
3	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	7	283	398	-115	5.03	-1.03
4	Kansas City Chiefs	4	12	.250	7	226	335	-109	7.07	-3.07

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	13	3	.812	-	455	325	+130	11.00	+2.00
2	New York Giants Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	373	351	+22	8.47	+1.53
3	Washington Redskins Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	334	310	+24	7.42	+1.58
4	Philadelphia Eagles	8	8	.500	5	336	300	+36	7.78	+0.22

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	.812	-	435	291	+144	10.54	+2.46
2	Minnesota Vikings	8	8	.500	5	365	311	+54	8.40	-0.40
3	Detroit Lions	7	9	.438	6	346	444	-98	6.84	+0.16
4	Chicago Bears	7	9	.438	6	334	348	-14	7.46	-0.46

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Division	9	7	.562	-	334	270	+64	9.30	-0.30
2	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	2	267	347	-80	6.85	+0.15
3	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	2	379	388	-9	8.07	-1.07
4	Atlanta Falcons	4	12	.250	5	259	414	-155	5.29	-1.29

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	10	6	.625	-	393	291	+102	10.46	-0.46
2	Arizona Cardinals	8	8	.500	2	404	399	+5	7.70	+0.30
3	San Francisco 49ers	5	11	.312	5	219	364	-145	5.25	-0.25
4	St. Louis Rams	3	13	.188	7	263	438	-175	5.25	-2.25

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 31

Pittsburgh Steelers 29

Jan 5

San Diego Chargers 17

Tennessee Titans 6

Jan 6

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 31

Jacksonville Jaguars 20

Jan 12

San Diego Chargers 28

Indianapolis Colts 24

Jan 13

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 21

San Diego Chargers 12

Jan 20

NFC

Wild Card Round

Seattle Seahawks 35

Washington Redskins 14

Jan 5

New York Giants 24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14

Jan 6

Divisional Round

Green Bay Packers 42

Seattle Seahawks 20

Jan 12

New York Giants 21

Dallas Cowboys 17

Jan 13

Conference Championship

New York Giants 23

Green Bay Packers 20

Jan 20

Super Bowl

New York Giants 17

New England Patriots 14

Feb 3

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1909	16	12.52	+3.48	100.00%	5	10	12	13	14	15	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1777	13	11.70	+1.30	86.02%	3	9	11	12	13	14	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1677	11	9.85	+1.15	81.95%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1666	13	11.00	+2.00	93.07%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1651	9	7.42	+1.58	87.19%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1649	11	9.33	+1.67	88.44%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1628	10	11.28	-1.28	31.44%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1628	13	10.54	+2.46	95.73%	3	8	9	11	12	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1591	8	7.78	+0.22	65.48%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1587	10	10.46	-0.46	50.34%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1581	8	6.92	+1.08	80.17%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1550	10	8.30	+1.70	88.35%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1547	10	8.47	+1.53	86.28%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1545	8	8.40	-0.40	52.41%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1538	7	7.46	-0.46	51.33%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1526	9	9.30	-0.30	54.32%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1500	7	7.85	-0.85	43.06%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1492	10	8.46	+1.54	86.29%	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1479	8	7.70	+0.30	67.11%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1464	7	8.07	-1.07	38.57%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1432	7	6.92	+0.08	62.78%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1414	7	7.23	-0.23	56.61%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1412	7	6.85	+0.15	64.46%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1383	7	6.84	+0.16	64.45%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1368	4	5.75	-1.75	24.76%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1338	4	5.03	-1.03	39.54%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1327	5	7.18	-2.18	16.82%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1310	5	5.25	-0.25	56.69%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1288	3	5.25	-2.25	16.62%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1265	4	5.29	-1.29	34.38%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1258	4	7.07	-3.07	8.35%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1218	1	4.54	-3.54	2.66%	0	2	3	4	6	7	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	-
Miami Dolphins	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	-
New England Patriots	4-0 (3.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.1 exp.)	-	-	-
New York Jets	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.4 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.9 exp.)

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	3-1 (3.3 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-
Tennessee Titans	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-
Oakland Raiders	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	-	-
San Diego Chargers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	-	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	4-0 (1.8 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (3.0 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.39%	0.78%	0.98%	1.95%	0.98%	0.78%	—	5.86%
7–13	0.78%	5.08%	5.27%	2.15%	2.73%	1.95%	0.98%	18.95%
14–20	0.98%	5.27%	5.08%	6.84%	3.91%	2.54%	0.59%	25.20%
21–27	1.95%	2.15%	6.84%	3.91%	3.71%	2.15%	0.59%	21.29%
28–34	0.98%	2.73%	3.91%	3.71%	3.12%	0.98%	0.39%	15.82%
35–41	0.78%	1.95%	2.54%	2.15%	0.98%	0.78%	0.39%	9.57%
42+	—	0.98%	0.59%	0.59%	0.39%	0.39%	0.39%	3.32%
Total	5.86%	18.95%	25.20%	21.29%	15.82%	9.57%	3.32%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.69	21.69	+0.00
SD	10.72	10.72	15.68
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	56	56	+46
Min	0	0	-46

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	—	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.25	24.94	+0.31
SD	9.66	7.45	11.36
CV	0.38	0.30	—
Max	48	42	+29
Min	10	14	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.19	25.88	-9.69
SD	10.36	8.56	12.47
CV	0.64	0.33	—
Max	44	41	+10
Min	3	13	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	50.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.19	24.00	-6.81
SD	7.62	10.57	13.01
CV	0.44	0.44	—
Max	30	44	+19
Min	6	3	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	—	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.75	22.12	-6.38
SD	9.96	13.79	17.49
CV	0.63	0.62	—
Max	38	56	+21
Min	0	3	-46

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.69	21.69	-5.00
SD	9.17	8.74	15.06
CV	0.55	0.40	—
Max	31	37	+17
Min	6	10	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	21.75	-0.88
SD	10.16	10.01	12.10
CV	0.49	0.46	—
Max	37	37	+28
Min	3	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.75	24.06	-0.31
SD	10.40	11.64	12.95
CV	0.44	0.48	—
Max	45	51	+29
Min	10	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.12	23.88	+1.25
SD	11.32	11.36	11.06
CV	0.45	0.48	—
Max	51	45	+14
Min	7	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.44	20.31	+8.12
SD	10.76	11.35	15.03
CV	0.38	0.56	—
Max	45	48	+31
Min	6	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	25.56	-5.56
SD	11.32	11.02	18.84
CV	0.57	0.43	—
Max	41	44	+34
Min	3	7	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.62	27.75	-6.12
SD	10.92	14.32	20.87
CV	0.51	0.52	—
Max	44	56	+37
Min	3	7	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.19	18.19	+9.00
SD	9.08	9.76	15.56
CV	0.33	0.54	—
Max	38	37	+34
Min	7	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	24.00	-0.31
SD	8.59	10.66	14.74
CV	0.36	0.44	—
Max	42	38	+18
Min	10	3	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	43.75%	25.00%	—	—	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.12	16.38	+11.75
SD	9.73	6.09	11.80
CV	0.35	0.37	—
Max	44	25	+31
Min	10	7	-6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.69	19.00	+6.69
SD	10.88	11.17	16.54
CV	0.42	0.59	—
Max	49	42	+38
Min	7	6	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	56.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.12	20.94	-6.81
SD	7.48	8.35	11.15
CV	0.53	0.40	—
Max	30	41	+14
Min	3	10	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.69	27.31	-10.62
SD	8.78	13.18	9.37
CV	0.53	0.48	—
Max	31	49	+6
Min	0	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	19.44	+3.38
SD	11.39	8.84	16.72
CV	0.50	0.45	—
Max	42	34	+32
Min	0	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
42+	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
Total	—	43.75%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	36.81	17.12	+19.69
SD	10.19	8.84	13.39
CV	0.28	0.52	—
Max	56	35	+46
Min	20	7	+3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	24.25	-0.56
SD	9.29	10.45	16.42
CV	0.39	0.43	—
Max	41	41	+25
Min	10	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.31	21.94	+1.38
SD	9.61	12.61	13.85
CV	0.41	0.57	—
Max	38	45	+21
Min	10	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.75	22.19	-5.44
SD	10.52	9.73	12.54
CV	0.63	0.44	—
Max	40	38	+27
Min	3	10	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	24.88	-7.19
SD	8.69	9.89	14.14
CV	0.49	0.40	—
Max	35	49	+18
Min	6	12	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	18.75	+2.25
SD	12.84	8.91	12.75
CV	0.61	0.48	—
Max	56	38	+35
Min	3	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.56	16.81	+7.75
SD	10.22	11.43	14.96
CV	0.42	0.68	—
Max	41	34	+31
Min	3	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.75	17.75	+8.00
SD	10.23	11.25	18.36
CV	0.40	0.63	—
Max	51	38	+38
Min	14	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.69	22.75	-9.06
SD	8.84	8.24	11.14
CV	0.65	0.36	—
Max	37	37	+7
Min	0	9	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	18.75%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.56	18.19	+6.38
SD	10.46	11.89	13.73
CV	0.43	0.65	—
Max	42	44	+27
Min	0	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.44	27.38	-10.94
SD	9.94	9.92	12.85
CV	0.60	0.36	—
Max	37	48	+12
Min	3	9	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	16.88	+4.00
SD	7.94	9.78	14.96
CV	0.38	0.58	—
Max	37	33	+34
Min	6	3	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.81	18.56	+0.25
SD	8.53	10.17	11.67
CV	0.45	0.55	—
Max	38	36	+17
Min	6	6	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	19.38	+1.50
SD	7.00	11.55	16.31
CV	0.34	0.60	—
Max	34	52	+31
Min	7	3	-45

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+0.4
Allowed	0.53	-0.4
Differential	0.88	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New England Patriots	16	12.52	+3.48
2	Green Bay Packers	13	10.54	+2.46
3	Dallas Cowboys	13	11.00	+2.00
4	Cleveland Browns	10	8.30	+1.70
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	11	9.33	+1.67

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Miami Dolphins	1	4.54	-3.54
2	Kansas City Chiefs	4	7.07	-3.07
3	St. Louis Rams	3	5.25	-2.25
4	Baltimore Ravens	5	7.18	-2.18
5	New York Jets	4	5.75	-1.75

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New England Patriots	16	Sep 9 – Dec 29	1 in 77
2	Washington Redskins	4	Dec 6 – Dec 30	1 in 52
3	New Orleans Saints	4	Oct 14 – Nov 4	1 in 36
4	New York Giants	6	Sep 23 – Oct 28	1 in 32
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Dec 16 – Dec 30	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kansas City Chiefs	9	Nov 4 – Dec 30	1 in 218
2	Miami Dolphins	13	Sep 9 – Dec 9	1 in 164
3	Baltimore Ravens	9	Oct 21 – Dec 23	1 in 96
4	San Francisco 49ers	8	Sep 23 – Nov 18	1 in 42
5	St. Louis Rams	8	Sep 9 – Oct 28	1 in 36

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	97.36%	2.52%	0.12%	<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	2.25%	62.60%	26.69%	8.45%
New York Jets	0.36%	26.18%	45.11%	28.35%
Miami Dolphins	0.03%	8.69%	28.08%	63.20%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	78.16%	15.62%	4.86%	1.36%
Cleveland Browns	10.32%	34.96%	30.60%	24.12%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.54%	28.24%	32.76%	31.46%
Baltimore Ravens	3.97%	21.18%	31.78%	43.06%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	73.13%	19.65%	5.99%	1.23%
Jacksonville Jaguars	16.70%	41.34%	29.39%	12.58%
Tennessee Titans	7.95%	27.99%	38.78%	25.28%
Houston Texans	2.23%	11.03%	25.83%	60.91%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Diego Chargers	73.48%	18.79%	6.32%	1.41%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.20%	36.24%	33.87%	16.70%
Denver Broncos	11.38%	34.88%	35.84%	17.89%
Oakland Raiders	1.94%	10.09%	23.97%	64.00%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	71.17%	19.39%	7.13%	2.30%
New York Giants	14.82%	33.56%	29.26%	22.36%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.99%	25.60%	31.96%	34.45%
Washington Redskins	6.02%	21.44%	31.65%	40.89%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	70.28%	20.09%	7.34%	2.30%
Minnesota Vikings	16.98%	38.44%	28.06%	16.53%
Chicago Bears	7.90%	24.29%	34.67%	33.13%
Detroit Lions	4.84%	17.18%	29.93%	48.04%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	56.67%	27.65%	12.21%	3.46%
New Orleans Saints	27.94%	36.09%	25.19%	10.79%
Carolina Panthers	12.56%	26.71%	38.78%	21.95%
Atlanta Falcons	2.83%	9.55%	23.82%	63.80%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	79.92%	16.34%	3.13%	0.61%
Arizona Cardinals	16.16%	55.02%	21.06%	7.77%
San Francisco 49ers	1.91%	14.20%	38.47%	45.42%
St. Louis Rams	2.00%	14.45%	37.35%	46.20%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	46.42%	26.54%	14.48%	7.18%	2.82%	1.28%	0.68%	0.33%	0.15%	0.08%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	26.42%	24.87%	18.33%	11.53%	7.76%	4.35%	2.61%	1.71%	1.01%	0.61%	0.39%	0.20%	0.12%	0.06%	0.01%	<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	15.11%	22.73%	24.62%	14.71%	8.18%	5.36%	3.38%	2.23%	1.44%	0.92%	0.63%	0.34%	0.20%	0.13%	0.03%	0.01%
San Diego Chargers	5.30%	9.54%	14.55%	20.13%	13.84%	10.10%	7.76%	5.72%	4.12%	3.06%	2.29%	1.51%	1.01%	0.58%	0.40%	0.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.22%	6.40%	8.46%	11.87%	14.54%	11.75%	10.14%	8.47%	7.12%	5.63%	4.20%	3.27%	2.31%	1.59%	0.78%	0.23%
Tennessee Titans	1.14%	2.84%	4.58%	7.63%	10.42%	10.39%	10.08%	9.87%	9.53%	8.49%	6.95%	5.97%	4.94%	3.99%	2.27%	0.91%
Cleveland Browns	0.85%	2.33%	4.41%	6.64%	9.44%	11.55%	10.46%	9.49%	9.06%	8.46%	7.33%	6.16%	5.40%	4.44%	2.73%	1.26%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.62%	1.59%	3.04%	4.92%	7.31%	9.26%	9.35%	9.42%	9.43%	9.44%	8.67%	7.63%	7.18%	6.30%	3.94%	1.90%
Buffalo Bills	0.26%	0.63%	1.23%	2.64%	4.99%	7.84%	9.79%	11.07%	10.55%	10.05%	9.70%	9.11%	7.96%	6.39%	4.66%	3.14%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.15%	0.63%	1.76%	3.81%	5.10%	6.57%	8.19%	8.76%	9.12%	9.27%	9.92%	9.57%	8.57%	7.57%	6.55%	4.46%
Baltimore Ravens	0.14%	0.59%	1.49%	2.60%	4.75%	6.75%	7.70%	8.19%	9.37%	10.30%	10.02%	9.61%	9.75%	9.37%	6.25%	3.13%
Denver Broncos	0.17%	0.61%	1.58%	3.13%	4.68%	5.91%	7.49%	8.53%	8.94%	9.51%	9.98%	9.95%	9.30%	8.02%	7.28%	4.92%
Houston Texans	0.17%	0.62%	1.18%	2.34%	3.97%	4.90%	5.87%	7.11%	8.38%	9.01%	9.64%	10.44%	11.17%	11.16%	8.86%	5.20%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.06%	0.19%	0.47%	1.32%	2.41%	3.85%	4.97%	6.05%	7.34%	9.14%	11.47%	12.28%	13.22%	13.32%	13.90%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	0.03%	0.10%	0.35%	0.69%	1.13%	1.74%	2.54%	3.44%	4.38%	6.17%	7.90%	10.33%	13.82%	21.32%	26.06%
Miami Dolphins	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.06%	0.19%	0.45%	0.91%	1.60%	2.30%	3.46%	4.95%	6.86%	9.47%	13.37%	21.62%	34.75%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Dallas Cowboys	32.39%	20.65%	14.25%	9.68%	7.05%	4.90%	3.41%	2.45%	1.94%	1.28%	0.83%	0.57%	0.32%	0.18%	0.07%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers	22.32%	20.08%	16.50%	11.47%	8.03%	6.29%	4.50%	3.28%	2.40%	1.83%	1.24%	0.88%	0.58%	0.37%	0.18%	0.06%
Seattle Seahawks	20.23%	20.58%	17.46%	12.62%	8.23%	5.90%	4.61%	3.40%	2.23%	1.65%	1.23%	0.76%	0.53%	0.31%	0.17%	0.09%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.51%	10.74%	13.04%	13.97%	10.62%	8.95%	8.21%	6.62%	5.18%	4.33%	3.59%	2.71%	1.88%	1.36%	0.88%	0.43%
New York Giants	4.33%	5.24%	6.30%	8.06%	9.74%	9.55%	8.56%	8.52%	8.34%	7.27%	6.47%	5.56%	4.83%	3.62%	2.54%	1.07%
Minnesota Vikings	3.23%	5.05%	6.37%	8.06%	9.51%	10.36%	9.62%	8.79%	8.10%	7.62%	6.47%	5.31%	4.50%	3.55%	2.42%	1.04%
New Orleans Saints	2.25%	4.45%	6.48%	8.17%	8.26%	8.86%	9.46%	8.88%	7.92%	7.62%	7.14%	6.15%	5.02%	4.18%	3.24%	1.90%
Arizona Cardinals	1.50%	3.04%	4.25%	5.57%	6.93%	8.54%	10.18%	10.67%	9.36%	8.25%	7.88%	6.96%	5.98%	4.72%	3.64%	2.53%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.08%	2.92%	3.87%	5.35%	7.51%	7.76%	7.95%	8.24%	9.08%	8.75%	8.18%	7.82%	7.50%	6.08%	4.66%	2.26%
Chicago Bears	1.58%	2.30%	3.15%	4.46%	6.25%	7.01%	7.23%	8.04%	8.84%	8.98%	8.65%	8.42%	8.04%	7.42%	6.29%	3.36%
Washington Redskins	1.33%	2.03%	3.03%	4.33%	6.16%	6.73%	7.12%	7.82%	9.11%	8.96%	8.65%	8.76%	8.81%	7.67%	6.17%	3.33%
Carolina Panthers	0.52%	1.22%	2.37%	3.59%	4.32%	5.37%	6.71%	7.38%	7.89%	9.14%	10.13%	9.95%	9.23%	8.54%	7.57%	6.08%
Detroit Lions	0.59%	1.21%	1.87%	2.80%	4.28%	5.07%	5.67%	6.56%	7.92%	8.64%	8.87%	9.82%	10.36%	10.57%	9.78%	6.00%
San Francisco 49ers	0.04%	0.16%	0.33%	0.56%	1.00%	1.57%	2.25%	3.23%	3.96%	5.23%	7.09%	9.18%	11.18%	13.44%	16.36%	24.40%
St. Louis Rams	0.05%	0.18%	0.36%	0.60%	0.96%	1.49%	2.25%	3.14%	3.93%	5.33%	7.06%	9.24%	11.06%	13.70%	16.81%	23.85%
Atlanta Falcons	0.04%	0.16%	0.39%	0.72%	1.16%	1.63%	2.27%	2.98%	3.81%	5.13%	6.53%	7.91%	10.18%	14.29%	19.23%	23.58%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	35.84%	18.78%	14.57%	8.83%	7.32%	4.44%	3.30%	2.20%	1.46%	0.96%	0.66%	0.49%	0.36%	0.26%	0.18%	0.13%	0.07%	0.06%	0.04%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	19.71%	14.11%	14.38%	9.85%	9.53%	6.53%	5.87%	4.05%	3.87%	2.58%	2.12%	1.60%	1.35%	0.96%	0.86%	0.55%	0.50%	0.37%	0.31%	0.26%	0.19%	0.14%	0.10%	0.08%	0.06%	0.05%	0.02%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	11.12%	11.32%	13.63%	10.73%	11.78%	8.57%	6.95%	5.31%	4.13%	3.26%	2.62%	2.13%	1.79%	1.42%	1.10%	0.85%	0.72%	0.61%	0.47%	0.37%	0.31%	0.20%	0.17%	0.13%	0.10%	0.09%	0.06%	0.04%	0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	10.45%	14.27%	10.76%	11.52%	8.16%	8.36%	6.04%	5.64%	4.23%	3.78%	2.90%	2.55%	2.11%	1.69%	1.37%	1.15%	1.09%	0.89%	0.68%	0.52%	0.47%	0.36%	0.29%	0.22%	0.15%	0.11%	0.09%	0.06%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	5.90%	10.78%	8.89%	11.02%	8.14%	9.36%	6.63%	6.79%	4.72%	4.66%	3.66%	3.34%	2.54%	2.38%	1.90%	1.73%	1.37%	1.14%	0.99%	0.80%	0.72%	0.62%	0.48%	0.36%	0.31%	0.23%	0.19%	0.14%	0.08%	0.07%	0.03%	<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	5.61%	10.04%	8.26%	11.05%	8.22%	9.77%	6.88%	7.31%	4.82%	5.09%	3.55%	3.37%	2.48%	2.40%	2.02%	1.81%	1.29%	1.10%	1.00%	0.81%	0.72%	0.57%	0.45%	0.35%	0.34%	0.22%	0.15%	0.13%	0.09%	0.06%	0.04%	0.02%
San Diego Chargers	3.48%	4.00%	6.21%	5.73%	8.19%	7.14%	9.03%	7.56%	6.54%	6.07%	5.24%	4.48%	3.96%	3.48%	3.00%	2.70%	2.21%	1.91%	1.66%	1.48%	1.28%	1.03%	0.82%	0.68%	0.56%	0.49%	0.32%	0.27%	0.21%	0.15%	0.08%	0.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.72%	3.69%	3.82%	5.75%	5.47%	7.15%	6.22%	7.39%	5.61%	6.24%	5.09%	4.97%	4.19%	4.38%	3.68%	3.56%	2.80%	2.65%	2.48%	2.20%	2.03%	1.73%	1.46%	1.21%	1.14%	0.91%	0.74%	0.59%	0.48%	0.30%	0.22%	0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.97%	2.49%	4.11%	3.81%	5.29%	4.82%	6.65%	5.71%	7.18%	5.69%	5.79%	4.97%	5.34%	4.42%	4.26%	3.58%	3.67%	3.19%	2.76%	2.39%	2.26%	1.95%	1.70%	1.36%	1.22%	0.97%	0.83%	0.62%	0.42%	0.32%	0.16%	0.07%
New York Giants	0.63%	1.77%	2.08%	2.89%	2.92%	3.74%	3.84%	4.59%	4.60%	5.19%	4.72%	5.33%	4.49%	4.83%	4.36%	4.53%	4.38%	4.29%	3.64%	3.59%	3.36%	3.37%	3.00%	2.50%	2.54%	2.14%	1.95%	1.48%	1.31%	1.00%	0.63%	0.30%
Minnesota Vikings	0.47%	1.44%	1.71%	2.74%	2.73%	3.72%	3.82%	4.54%	4.42%	5.26%	4.95%	5.66%	4.84%	5.08%	4.62%	4.68%	4.35%	4.06%	4.01%	3.80%	3.50%	3.14%	2.91%	2.50%	2.43%	2.04%	1.97%	1.50%	1.29%	0.96%	0.57%	0.30%
Tennessee Titans	0.63%	1.00%	1.82%	2.01%	2.97%	2.96%	4.19%	4.01%	5.34%	4.72%	5.19%	4.73%	5.24%	4.66%	4.77%	4.40%	4.79%	4.46%	4.18%	3.71%	3.53%	3.32%	3.10%	2.60%	2.61%	2.21%	2.11%	1.63%	1.21%	0.98%	0.58%	0.34%
Cleveland Browns	0.46%	0.83%	1.53%	1.68%	2.64%	2.69%	3.69%	3.81%	4.78%	4.61%	5.22%	5.33%	5.18%	4.99%	4.51%	4.60%	4.50%	4.47%	4.13%	3.88%	3.76%	3.45%	3.26%	2.77%	2.80%	2.44%	2.38%	1.78%	1.47%	1.11%	0.80%	0.44%
New Orleans Saints	0.35%	1.04%	1.39%	2.30%	2.60%	3.42%	3.52%	4.36%	3.98%	4.71%	4.58%	4.66%	4.49%	5.00%	4.63%	4.72%	4.04%	4.27%	3.98%	4.01%	3.65%	3.58%	3.24%	3.12%	2.76%	2.49%	2.34%	1.99%	1.78%	1.39%	1.06%	0.56%
Arizona Cardinals	0.21%	0.64%	0.89%	1.49%	1.66%	2.37%	2.51%	3.08%	3.14%	3.98%	3.91%	4.73%	4.40%	5.46%	4.87%	5.76%	4.11%	4.91%	4.44%	4.73%	3.92%	4.09%	3.64%	3.69%	3.25%	3.04%	2.75%	2.33%	2.10%	1.66%	1.42%	0.82%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.34%	0.53%	1.00%	1.12%	1.78%	1.90%	2.80%	2.85%	3.75%	3.65%	4.34%	4.45%	4.72%	4.54%	4.56%	4.48%	4.77%	4.64%	4.46%	4.48%	4.42%	4.21%	3.85%	3.63%	3.74%	3.21%	3.22%	2.62%	2.30%	1.69%	1.19%	0.75%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.24%	0.82%	0.97%	1.52%	1.73%	2.20%	2.55%	2.95%	3.60%	3.81%	4.08%	4.14%	4.34%	4.17%	4.47%	4.31%	4.87%	4.47%	4.53%	4.17%	4.51%	4.21%	4.10%	3.65%	3.88%	3.37%	3.18%	2.79%	2.34%	1.95%	1.38%	0.70%
Chicago Bears	0.19%	0.62%	0.76%	1.19%	1.37%	1.77%	2.13%	2.42%	2.99%	3.13%	3.67%	3.58%	3.94%	3.83%	4.29%	4.11%	4.84%	4.26%	4.55%	4.38%	4.60%	4.44%	4.39%	4.05%	4.08%	4.06%	3.72%	3.52%	3.06%	2.86%	1.86%	1.34%
Washington Redskins	0.15%	0.50%	0.63%	1.08%	1.20%	1.71%	1.97%	2.42%	2.77%	3.21%	3.43%	3.61%	3.84%	3.74%	4.25%	4.11%	4.94%	4.36%	4.74%	4.32%	4.64%	4.43%	4.64%	4.24%	4.29%	4.32%	3.90%	3.51%	3.15%	2.75%	1.87%	1.28%
Buffalo Bills	0.12%	0.22%	0.40%	0.50%	0.80%	0.92%	1.56%	1.62%	2.60%	2.65%	3.53%	3.87%	4.28%	4.58%	4.87%	5.32%	4.52%	5.33%	4.83%	5.33%	4.40%	4.96%	4.50%	4.92%	3.98%	4.13%	3.47%	3.47%	2.65%	2.47%	1.86%	1.35%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.07%	0.18%	0.40%	0.51%	1.04%	1.05%	1.88%	1.85%	2.54%	2.55%	3.30%	3.12%	3.74%	3.86%	4.33%	4.17%	4.12%	4.65%	4.52%	4.84%	4.73%	4.83%	4.68%	5.06%	4.21%	4.44%	3.88%	4.11%	3.43%	3.35%	2.53%	2.03%
Baltimore Ravens	0.06%	0.12%	0.32%	0.45%	0.85%	0.92%	1.35%	1.57%	2.39%	2.49%	3.16%	3.40%	3.95%	3.65%	4.10%	4.20%	4.76%	4.71%	5.03%	4.95%	5.05%	5.04%	4.78%	4.84%	4.99%	4.62%	4.49%	4.16%	3.50%	2.86%	1.99%	1.25%
Denver Broncos	0.07%	0.14%	0.38%	0.45%	0.88%	0.91%	1.60%	1.60%	2.31%	2.27%	2.94%	2.88%	3.50%	3.63%	3.93%	4.26%	4.03%	4.61%	4.55%	5.00%	4.62%	4.93%	4.63%	5.32%	4.48%	4.87%	4.11%	4.40%	3.77%	3.78%	2.85%	2.30%
Carolina Panthers	0.05%	0.21%	0.31%	0.55%	0.81%	1.11%	1.40%	1.83%	1.97%	2.43%	2.54%	2.83%	3.08%	3.72%	3.55%	4.00%	3.92%	4.23%	4.46%	5.01%	4.67%	5.14%	4.96%	5.21%	4.71%	4.93%	4.56%	4.47%	4.16%	3.60%	3.24%	2.35%
Houston Texans	0.07%	0.17%	0.36%	0.40%	0.74%	0.78%	1.30%	1.43%	2.13%	1.90%	2.45%	2.57%	3.20%	2.98%	3.48%	3.47%	4.37%	4.17%	4.37%	4.37%	4.89%	4.86%	5.02%	5.09%	5.45%	5.32%	5.31%	5.08%	4.62%	4.13%	3.08%	2.43%
Detroit Lions	0.05%	0.22%	0.29%	0.57%	0.74%	0.97%	1.22%	1.61%	1.87%	2.20%	2.54%	2.67%	2.93%	3.00%	3.71%	3.33%	4.37%	3.76%	4.54%	4.08%	4.98%	4.50%	5.27%	4.76%	5.41%	4.98%	5.14%	5.01%	4.78%	4.58%	3.43%	2.46%
New York Jets	<0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.04%	0.12%	0.16%	0.29%	0.32%	0.60%	0.73%	1.12%	1.29%	1.69%	1.81%	2.24%	2.45%	2.75%	3.07%	3.45%	3.85%	4.14%	4.52%	5.16%	5.84%	5.67%	6.38%	6.32%	7.09%	6.71%	7.40%	7.33%	7.38%
San Francisco 49ers	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.10%	0.14%	0.18%	0.28%	0.41%	0.54%	0.67%	0.78%	0.95%	1.28%	1.38%	1.70%	1.76%	2.15%	2.56%	2.82%	3.35%	3.64%	4.24%	4.90%	5.23%	5.98%	6.55%	7.48%	8.22%	8.92%	11.52%	12.14%
St. Louis Rams	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.07%	0.09%	0.17%	0.21%	0.29%	0.38%	0.55%	0.62%	0.79%	0.94%	1.21%	1.39%	1.67%	1.70%	2.25%	2.44%	2.94%	3.10%	3.73%	4.20%	4.97%	5.20%	6.12%	6.64%	7.49%	8.40%	9.09%	11.46%	11.82%
Atlanta Falcons	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.10%	0.17%	0.23%	0.36%	0.46%	0.60%	0.71%	0.83%	1.00%	1.23%	1.50%	1.56%	1.83%	2.02%	2.52%	2.75%	3.19%	3.44%	3.98%	4.25%	5.16%	5.56%	6.62%	7.70%	9.36%	9.65%	11.21%	11.89%
Oakland Raiders	-	<0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.15%	0.18%	0.32%	0.36%	0.50%	0.58%	0.79%	0.88%	1.15%	1.31%	1.56%	1.73%	2.17%	2.30%	2.88%	3.05%	3.88%	4.14%	4.94%	5.33%	6.71%	7.31%	9.29%	11.23%	12.37%	14.72%
Miami Dolphins	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.08%	0.10%	0.21%	0.26%	0.37%	0.48%	0.65%	0.78%	0.98%	1.22%	1.52%	1.80%	2.12%	2.51%	3.11%	3.57%	4.31%	4.95%	6.25%	7.23%	9.74%	11.64%	15.20%	20.81%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	46.42%	27.30%	16.07%	7.56%	1.05%	0.66%	0.93%
Indianapolis Colts	26.42%	24.53%	16.30%	5.87%	13.85%	5.71%	7.31%
Pittsburgh Steelers	15.11%	22.98%	27.48%	12.59%	6.33%	5.86%	9.64%
San Diego Chargers	5.30%	9.77%	17.06%	41.35%	2.10%	3.60%	20.82%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.22%	5.87%	5.12%	2.48%	23.33%	14.38%	45.60%
Tennessee Titans	1.14%	2.59%	2.75%	1.47%	14.77%	12.22%	65.06%
Cleveland Browns	0.85%	2.27%	4.37%	2.83%	10.17%	13.18%	66.33%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.62%	1.61%	3.10%	2.21%	7.60%	10.36%	74.49%
Buffalo Bills	0.26%	0.56%	0.73%	0.70%	5.47%	8.72%	83.56%
Houston Texans	0.17%	0.58%	0.85%	0.62%	4.64%	5.24%	87.90%
Denver Broncos	0.17%	0.63%	1.97%	8.62%	2.50%	4.29%	81.83%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.15%	0.64%	2.16%	10.24%	2.42%	4.67%	79.71%
Baltimore Ravens	0.14%	0.59%	1.73%	1.51%	4.18%	7.33%	84.51%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.05%	0.13%	0.16%	1.19%	2.58%	95.87%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	0.03%	0.14%	1.76%	0.25%	0.75%	97.06%
Miami Dolphins	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.16%	0.44%	99.36%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Cowboys	32.39%	20.18%	12.91%	5.70%	11.12%	5.97%	11.73%
Green Bay Packers	22.32%	20.43%	17.58%	9.95%	7.69%	6.52%	15.51%
Seattle Seahawks	20.23%	21.68%	20.08%	17.94%	3.36%	3.76%	12.95%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.51%	11.31%	15.33%	22.52%	4.46%	6.26%	32.61%
New York Giants	4.33%	4.47%	3.83%	2.19%	15.28%	11.40%	58.50%
Minnesota Vikings	3.23%	4.71%	5.30%	3.73%	12.26%	12.12%	58.64%
New Orleans Saints	2.25%	4.70%	7.62%	13.36%	4.65%	7.36%	60.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.08%	2.37%	2.19%	1.35%	10.83%	9.09%	72.09%
Chicago Bears	1.58%	2.10%	2.43%	1.79%	7.89%	7.79%	76.42%
Arizona Cardinals	1.50%	3.16%	4.57%	6.94%	5.54%	8.42%	69.88%
Washington Redskins	1.33%	1.73%	1.84%	1.12%	8.44%	7.84%	77.70%
Detroit Lions	0.59%	1.18%	1.66%	1.41%	4.73%	5.52%	84.91%
Carolina Panthers	0.52%	1.38%	3.09%	7.58%	2.12%	4.10%	81.21%
St. Louis Rams	0.05%	0.21%	0.52%	1.22%	0.53%	1.30%	96.17%
San Francisco 49ers	0.04%	0.20%	0.49%	1.19%	0.55%	1.39%	96.14%
Atlanta Falcons	0.04%	0.19%	0.56%	2.03%	0.53%	1.18%	95.46%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+15.29%

Fortress

57.65%42.35%

Elo Value

Home Edge

24 Elo

0.041 points per Elo point

053.5680

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.89 points

Lean Home

-8+2.21+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

New York Giants, 12th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

1.1%

Long Shot

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.45 · As Expected: 1.45 to 2 · Elevated: 2 to 2.73 · High Variance: 2.73 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.44 · Close: 4.44 to 6.01 · Off Target: 6.01 to 7.84 · Well Off Target: 7.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.51 · As Expected: 2.51 to 4.18 · More Than Expected: 4.18 to 6.69 · Far More Than Expected: 6.69 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.59 wins

As Expected

01.825

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.03

Pinpoint

05.2315

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

100.00%

New England Patriots

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

2.66%

Miami Dolphins

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 32

As Expected

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

03.312

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.02

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

78%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

98%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

21%

Mostly Decisive

0%15%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Routine

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.84

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.25

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.20

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.079

Within Noise

00.0920.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	96.66%	96.66%	78.89%	59.25%	47.56%
Indianapolis Colts	82.14%	82.14%	51.12%	22.05%	15.62%
Dallas Cowboys	76.55%	76.55%	49.70%	30.60%	9.03%
Green Bay Packers	69.61%	69.61%	40.57%	21.65%	5.83%
San Diego Chargers	64.10%	59.67%	22.16%	6.92%	4.30%
Seattle Seahawks	69.81%	69.81%	36.01%	17.05%	4.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	71.27%	71.27%	25.29%	6.42%	3.58%
Jacksonville Jaguars	45.31%	31.01%	11.42%	3.35%	1.97%
Washington Redskins	19.23%	14.40%	7.97%	4.42%	1.39%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48.58%	43.72%	17.28%	6.83%	1.36%
Philadelphia Eagles	23.46%	16.52%	8.02%	3.93%	1.06%
New York Giants	32.70%	23.74%	10.30%	4.55%	0.95%
Minnesota Vikings	33.41%	23.20%	9.96%	4.19%	0.95%
Chicago Bears	19.89%	12.50%	5.27%	2.20%	0.48%
Cleveland Browns	30.55%	14.11%	3.30%	0.73%	0.37%
New Orleans Saints	33.00%	19.81%	6.26%	2.08%	0.36%
Arizona Cardinals	25.46%	14.63%	5.04%	1.67%	0.32%
Houston Texans	11.35%	5.07%	1.36%	0.34%	0.20%
Tennessee Titans	31.21%	12.83%	2.65%	0.40%	0.18%
Cincinnati Bengals	23.28%	9.25%	1.78%	0.30%	0.13%
Carolina Panthers	16.89%	7.47%	1.94%	0.48%	0.07%
Denver Broncos	17.38%	6.00%	0.88%	0.11%	0.06%
Detroit Lions	13.32%	5.14%	1.23%	0.28%	0.05%
Buffalo Bills	15.62%	3.85%	0.52%	0.07%	0.03%
New York Jets	4.06%	0.68%	0.08%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Baltimore Ravens	14.76%	3.02%	0.27%	0.02%	<0.01%
St. Louis Rams	3.57%	0.97%	0.16%	0.03%	<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	19.50%	3.70%	0.25%	0.02%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	2.91%	0.67%	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	3.62%	0.95%	0.17%	0.03%	<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	4.30%	0.97%	0.12%	0.01%	-
Miami Dolphins	0.64%	0.05%	<0.01%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		44.4%0.27%	30.2%0.36%	21.4%0.43%	29.3%0.60%	18.9%0.24%	6.8%1.83%	15.5%1.13%	55.0%0.67%	57.1%<0.01%	2.2%1.62%	50.8%0.07%	43.8%0.10%	13.5%3.65%	8.4%3.05%	29.3%0.73%
Buffalo Bills	55.6%0.27%		30.6%0.50%	28.8%0.65%	39.7%0.61%	19.8%0.17%	8.3%1.94%	19.3%0.79%	64.5%0.76%	100.0%<0.01%	4.3%2.04%	45.0%0.02%	40.9%0.11%	18.2%3.55%	13.3%3.73%	38.0%0.49%
Cincinnati Bengals	69.8%0.36%	69.4%0.50%		41.9%0.86%	55.6%1.03%	42.8%0.39%	14.2%2.84%	31.4%1.87%	76.3%1.01%	84.6%0.01%	6.6%2.60%	71.4%0.10%	65.5%0.17%	29.2%5.46%	21.1%5.06%	53.1%1.01%
Cleveland Browns	78.6%0.43%	71.2%0.65%	58.1%0.86%		61.2%1.35%	44.0%0.50%	17.4%3.69%	37.1%2.40%	82.1%1.55%	77.3%0.02%	8.5%3.22%	75.8%0.15%	74.5%0.19%	35.8%7.31%	26.3%6.71%	60.1%1.51%
Denver Broncos	70.7%0.60%	60.3%0.61%	44.4%1.03%	38.8%1.35%		35.3%0.59%	13.4%2.38%	26.0%2.54%	67.5%0.41%	88.0%0.03%	5.1%0.98%	67.1%0.15%	70.6%0.03%	22.1%2.32%	17.9%2.67%	46.6%1.70%
Houston Texans	81.1%0.24%	80.2%0.17%	57.2%0.39%	56.0%0.50%	64.7%0.59%		22.8%1.65%	37.5%0.49%	83.9%0.60%	66.7%<0.01%	9.5%1.19%	80.5%0.04%	77.1%0.10%	36.0%2.14%	30.1%2.99%	56.3%0.25%
Indianapolis Colts	93.2%1.83%	91.7%1.94%	85.8%2.84%	82.6%3.69%	86.6%2.38%	77.2%1.65%		69.1%6.06%	94.6%2.73%	100.0%0.09%	26.2%1.59%	95.4%0.54%	92.5%0.45%	65.8%4.02%	57.8%7.75%	84.8%4.18%
Jacksonville Jaguars	84.5%1.13%	80.7%0.79%	68.6%1.87%	62.9%2.40%	74.0%2.54%	62.5%0.49%	30.9%6.06%		88.2%3.10%	100.0%0.03%	13.9%4.25%	86.2%0.20%	82.7%0.53%	47.2%7.62%	38.2%12.93%	70.9%1.40%
Kansas City Chiefs	45.0%0.67%	35.5%0.76%	23.7%1.01%	17.9%1.55%	32.5%0.41%	16.1%0.60%	5.4%2.73%	11.8%3.10%		60.0%0.02%	2.0%1.12%	48.3%0.15%	39.5%0.04%	9.1%2.44%	7.0%2.92%	26.7%1.99%
Miami Dolphins	42.9%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%	22.7%0.02%	12.0%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%0.09%	0.0%0.03%	40.0%0.02%		1.2%0.08%		0.0%<0.01%	8.0%0.19%	6.2%0.13%	11.1%0.02%
New England Patriots	97.8%1.62%	95.7%2.04%	93.4%2.60%	91.5%3.22%	94.9%0.98%	90.5%1.19%	73.8%1.59%	86.1%4.25%	98.0%1.12%	98.8%0.08%		97.4%0.60%	98.5%0.13%	87.2%1.57%	79.9%1.23%	94.3%3.12%
New York Jets	49.2%0.07%	55.0%0.02%	28.6%0.10%	24.2%0.15%	32.9%0.15%	19.5%0.04%	4.6%0.54%	13.8%0.20%	51.7%0.15%		2.6%0.60%		57.1%0.02%	15.2%0.99%	12.2%0.94%	22.7%0.09%
Oakland Raiders	56.2%0.10%	59.1%0.11%	34.5%0.17%	25.5%0.19%	29.4%0.03%	22.9%0.10%	7.5%0.45%	17.3%0.53%	60.5%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	1.5%0.13%	42.9%0.02%		15.8%0.37%	9.8%0.31%	35.9%0.34%
Pittsburgh Steelers	86.5%3.65%	81.8%3.55%	70.8%5.46%	64.2%7.31%	77.9%2.32%	64.0%2.14%	34.2%4.02%	52.8%7.62%	90.9%2.44%	92.0%0.19%	12.8%1.57%	84.8%0.99%	84.2%0.37%		39.5%4.97%	75.5%5.68%
San Diego Chargers	91.6%3.05%	86.7%3.73%	78.9%5.06%	73.7%6.71%	82.1%2.67%	69.9%2.99%	42.2%7.75%	61.8%12.93%	93.0%2.92%	93.8%0.13%	20.1%1.23%	87.8%0.94%	90.2%0.31%	60.5%4.97%		79.2%8.72%
Tennessee Titans	70.7%0.73%	62.0%0.49%	46.9%1.01%	39.9%1.51%	53.4%1.70%	43.7%0.25%	15.2%4.18%	29.1%1.40%	73.3%1.99%	88.9%0.02%	5.7%3.12%	77.3%0.09%	64.1%0.34%	24.5%5.68%	20.8%8.72%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		76.8%0.28%	58.6%1.03%	45.1%1.23%	25.8%2.59%	66.3%0.70%	26.6%3.10%	42.5%2.09%	50.1%2.22%	47.0%1.89%	40.8%1.49%	81.5%0.12%	32.3%4.23%	78.4%0.12%	38.2%3.36%	30.5%1.01%
Atlanta Falcons	23.2%0.28%		27.8%0.09%	21.7%0.24%	8.6%0.44%	41.9%0.18%	10.8%0.44%	17.4%0.37%	21.0%0.22%	19.7%0.42%	14.6%0.32%	41.4%0.03%	12.7%0.50%	56.7%0.03%	16.3%0.48%	10.4%0.26%
Carolina Panthers	41.4%1.03%	72.2%0.09%		37.6%1.00%	21.5%1.76%	63.8%0.64%	23.2%1.81%	37.2%1.61%	44.3%0.96%	35.7%1.68%	29.8%1.20%	66.1%0.13%	24.5%1.75%	63.1%0.12%	33.0%2.08%	23.1%1.01%
Chicago Bears	54.9%1.23%	78.3%0.24%	62.4%1.00%		28.7%2.11%	72.9%0.28%	33.5%2.80%	47.1%0.81%	54.5%1.83%	49.8%1.18%	45.9%0.76%	76.6%0.19%	37.6%3.30%	73.1%0.19%	45.0%3.36%	37.0%0.64%
Dallas Cowboys	74.2%2.59%	91.4%0.44%	78.5%1.76%	71.3%2.11%		84.6%1.42%	52.9%3.42%	69.7%3.47%	75.3%3.28%	66.4%3.67%	62.7%2.41%	88.5%0.37%	55.6%3.69%	88.7%0.35%	66.3%4.59%	55.9%2.12%
Detroit Lions	33.7%0.70%	58.1%0.18%	36.2%0.64%	27.1%0.28%	15.4%1.42%		19.0%2.03%	25.2%0.54%	34.4%1.32%	28.8%0.84%	21.8%0.54%	49.0%0.10%	19.1%2.09%	53.6%0.11%	27.2%2.12%	21.3%0.43%
Green Bay Packers	73.4%3.10%	89.2%0.44%	76.8%1.81%	66.5%2.80%	47.1%3.42%	81.0%2.03%		63.3%5.36%	73.1%3.53%	66.7%4.40%	61.3%3.23%	85.7%0.42%	51.7%3.55%	85.4%0.43%	62.1%4.47%	53.0%2.74%
Minnesota Vikings	57.5%2.09%	82.6%0.37%	62.8%1.61%	52.9%0.81%	30.3%3.47%	74.8%0.54%	36.7%5.36%		57.3%3.20%	49.5%2.20%	45.4%1.45%	77.9%0.28%	37.1%5.15%	79.2%0.28%	45.7%5.39%	40.7%1.22%
New Orleans Saints	49.9%2.22%	79.0%0.22%	55.7%0.96%	45.5%1.83%	24.7%3.28%	65.6%1.32%	26.9%3.53%	42.7%3.20%		43.3%3.40%	37.6%2.27%	67.8%0.27%	28.1%3.40%	73.8%0.29%	40.3%4.75%	30.4%2.05%
New York Giants	53.0%1.89%	80.3%0.42%	64.3%1.68%	50.2%1.18%	33.6%3.67%	71.2%0.84%	33.3%4.40%	50.5%2.20%	56.7%3.40%		44.1%0.71%	77.6%0.30%	36.8%5.39%	73.9%0.28%	46.2%5.71%	33.3%0.63%
Philadelphia Eagles	59.2%1.49%	85.4%0.32%	70.2%1.20%	54.1%0.76%	37.3%2.41%	78.2%0.54%	38.7%3.23%	54.6%1.45%	62.4%2.27%	55.9%0.71%		86.8%0.22%	43.3%4.10%	80.7%0.22%	53.0%4.20%	35.3%0.33%
San Francisco 49ers	18.5%0.12%	58.6%0.03%	33.9%0.13%	23.4%0.19%	11.5%0.37%	51.0%0.10%	14.3%0.42%	22.1%0.28%	32.2%0.27%	22.4%0.30%	13.2%0.22%		12.5%0.58%	66.7%0.02%	17.1%0.44%	12.1%0.16%
Seattle Seahawks	67.7%4.23%	87.3%0.50%	75.5%1.75%	62.4%3.30%	44.4%3.69%	80.9%2.09%	48.3%3.55%	62.9%5.15%	71.9%3.40%	63.2%5.39%	56.7%4.10%	87.5%0.58%		85.6%0.54%	60.7%3.78%	48.7%3.10%
St. Louis Rams	21.6%0.12%	43.3%0.03%	36.9%0.12%	26.9%0.19%	11.3%0.35%	46.4%0.11%	14.6%0.43%	20.8%0.28%	26.2%0.29%	26.1%0.28%	19.3%0.22%	33.3%0.02%	14.4%0.54%		16.8%0.43%	9.5%0.16%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	61.8%3.36%	83.7%0.48%	67.0%2.08%	55.0%3.36%	33.7%4.59%	72.8%2.12%	37.9%4.47%	54.3%5.39%	59.7%4.75%	53.8%5.71%	47.0%4.20%	82.9%0.44%	39.3%3.78%	83.2%0.43%		40.5%3.39%
Washington Redskins	69.5%1.01%	89.6%0.26%	76.9%1.01%	63.0%0.64%	44.1%2.12%	78.7%0.43%	47.0%2.74%	59.3%1.22%	69.6%2.05%	66.7%0.63%	64.7%0.33%	87.9%0.16%	51.3%3.10%	90.5%0.16%	59.5%3.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		57.1%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	36.4%0.03%	15.8%0.02%	7.9%0.88%	9.7%0.15%	64.3%0.01%		3.2%1.21%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	17.2%0.32%	12.0%0.28%	23.9%0.07%
Buffalo Bills	42.9%0.01%		37.5%0.05%	25.4%0.06%	33.3%0.01%	52.4%0.02%	12.0%1.03%	22.1%0.17%	75.0%0.01%		5.6%1.50%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.60%	17.4%0.32%	47.9%0.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	75.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.05%		36.4%0.08%	54.3%0.08%	30.8%0.05%	18.8%2.62%	29.0%0.49%	83.3%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	8.6%3.65%	66.7%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	31.4%1.04%	26.8%0.98%	47.1%0.15%
Cleveland Browns	75.0%0.02%	74.6%0.06%	63.6%0.08%		69.9%0.09%	32.9%0.08%	20.4%3.96%	39.0%0.73%	77.1%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	11.1%5.62%	92.3%0.01%	77.8%<0.01%	38.3%1.61%	33.2%1.45%	66.7%0.32%
Denver Broncos	63.6%0.03%	66.7%0.01%	45.7%0.08%	30.1%0.09%		25.0%0.03%	11.9%1.69%	22.5%0.28%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	6.3%2.44%	100.0%<0.01%		25.6%1.11%	21.9%0.14%	38.1%0.10%
Houston Texans	84.2%0.02%	47.6%0.02%	69.2%0.05%	67.1%0.08%	75.0%0.03%		22.5%1.10%	38.8%0.13%	100.0%0.02%		11.8%2.08%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	44.3%1.04%	37.2%0.44%	61.0%0.04%
Indianapolis Colts	92.1%0.88%	88.0%1.03%	81.2%2.62%	79.6%3.96%	88.1%1.69%	77.5%1.10%		67.8%7.92%	93.3%1.07%	71.4%0.01%	31.6%20.18%	92.6%0.20%	94.4%0.19%	69.8%21.39%	66.4%16.83%	83.6%3.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	90.3%0.15%	77.9%0.17%	71.0%0.49%	61.0%0.73%	77.5%0.28%	61.2%0.13%	32.2%7.92%		84.7%0.19%	100.0%<0.01%	18.1%10.37%	85.7%0.02%	76.9%0.01%	52.8%6.51%	47.4%3.54%	67.0%0.48%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.7%0.01%	25.0%0.01%	16.7%0.04%	22.9%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%0.02%	6.7%1.07%	15.3%0.19%		0.0%<0.01%	2.8%1.45%	100.0%<0.01%		9.1%0.68%	5.2%0.10%	18.2%0.06%
Miami Dolphins			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		28.6%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		8.0%0.03%			0.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	96.8%1.21%	94.4%1.50%	91.4%3.65%	88.9%5.62%	93.7%2.44%	88.2%2.08%	68.4%20.18%	81.9%10.37%	97.2%1.45%	92.0%0.03%		94.9%0.27%	98.3%0.29%	83.7%21.51%	81.1%21.60%	91.3%4.46%
New York Jets	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	7.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	7.4%0.20%	14.3%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		5.1%0.27%			26.8%0.10%	20.4%0.05%	33.3%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	5.6%0.19%	23.1%0.01%			1.7%0.29%			15.5%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	82.8%0.32%	80.0%0.60%	68.6%1.04%	61.7%1.61%	74.4%1.11%	55.7%1.04%	30.2%21.39%	47.2%6.51%	90.9%0.68%	100.0%<0.01%	16.3%21.51%	73.2%0.10%	84.5%0.14%		45.6%12.58%	69.4%2.65%
San Diego Chargers	88.0%0.28%	82.6%0.32%	73.2%0.98%	66.8%1.45%	78.1%0.14%	62.8%0.44%	33.6%16.83%	52.6%3.54%	94.8%0.10%		18.9%21.60%	79.6%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	54.4%12.58%		71.9%1.36%
Tennessee Titans	76.1%0.07%	52.1%0.07%	52.9%0.15%	33.3%0.32%	61.9%0.10%	39.0%0.04%	16.4%3.06%	33.0%0.48%	81.8%0.06%		8.7%4.46%	66.7%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	30.6%2.65%	28.1%1.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		75.0%0.03%	57.5%0.23%	44.2%0.39%	24.2%3.76%	65.3%0.17%	30.1%3.37%	42.1%0.76%	54.4%0.66%	40.9%0.73%	36.1%0.50%	75.0%<0.01%	33.8%1.95%	75.0%<0.01%	44.7%1.71%	24.4%0.35%
Atlanta Falcons	25.0%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	20.8%0.02%	7.6%0.26%	33.3%<0.01%	10.2%0.25%	20.5%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	12.1%0.03%	32.3%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	12.8%0.24%	33.3%<0.01%	16.7%0.03%	0.0%0.02%
Carolina Panthers	42.5%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%		28.8%0.20%	19.4%1.94%	51.2%0.08%	23.5%1.74%	33.3%0.35%	53.0%0.08%	31.0%0.38%	24.3%0.25%	71.4%<0.01%	27.3%1.71%	81.2%0.02%	33.1%0.30%	20.0%0.18%
Chicago Bears	55.8%0.39%	79.2%0.02%	71.2%0.20%		32.1%3.12%	78.3%0.07%	37.0%2.43%	49.6%0.41%	60.7%0.53%	48.4%0.66%	40.0%0.43%	64.3%0.03%	42.3%2.58%	70.8%0.02%	52.6%1.31%	36.0%0.29%
Dallas Cowboys	75.8%3.76%	92.4%0.26%	80.6%1.94%	67.9%3.12%		83.1%1.27%	55.6%14.53%	68.1%5.63%	76.4%5.06%	65.4%6.49%	62.2%4.63%	88.8%0.25%	60.8%14.84%	89.0%0.25%	69.9%10.46%	53.9%4.04%
Detroit Lions	34.7%0.17%	66.7%<0.01%	48.8%0.08%	21.7%0.07%	16.9%1.27%		20.1%0.90%	28.3%0.14%	40.8%0.21%	30.1%0.25%	21.8%0.17%	45.5%0.01%	23.5%1.21%	50.0%0.01%	29.8%0.52%	16.7%0.12%
Green Bay Packers	69.9%3.37%	89.8%0.25%	76.5%1.74%	63.0%2.43%	44.4%14.53%	79.9%0.90%		62.4%4.51%	71.5%4.44%	62.3%4.64%	57.3%3.37%	86.4%0.24%	55.1%16.00%	86.7%0.25%	64.5%9.96%	49.8%2.99%
Minnesota Vikings	57.9%0.76%	79.5%0.04%	66.7%0.35%	50.4%0.41%	31.9%5.63%	71.7%0.14%	37.6%4.51%		60.4%1.06%	49.8%1.20%	44.9%0.74%	69.6%0.05%	43.7%5.13%	87.0%0.05%	52.9%2.58%	36.7%0.56%
New Orleans Saints	45.6%0.66%	66.7%<0.01%	47.0%0.08%	39.3%0.53%	23.6%5.06%	59.2%0.21%	28.5%4.44%	39.6%1.06%		41.2%0.96%	34.6%0.61%	67.4%0.05%	32.8%4.60%	66.0%0.05%	41.4%0.95%	24.8%0.53%
New York Giants	59.1%0.73%	87.9%0.03%	69.0%0.38%	51.6%0.66%	34.6%6.49%	69.9%0.25%	37.7%4.64%	50.2%1.20%	58.8%0.96%		45.0%0.58%	80.4%0.05%	42.9%4.72%	84.4%0.04%	53.8%2.44%	40.3%0.57%
Philadelphia Eagles	63.9%0.50%	67.7%0.03%	75.7%0.25%	60.0%0.43%	37.8%4.63%	78.2%0.17%	42.7%3.37%	55.1%0.74%	65.4%0.61%	55.0%0.58%		85.2%0.03%	50.1%3.24%	94.6%0.04%	60.0%1.63%	43.7%0.27%
San Francisco 49ers	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	35.7%0.03%	11.2%0.25%	54.5%0.01%	13.6%0.24%	30.4%0.05%	32.6%0.05%	19.6%0.05%	14.8%0.03%		19.8%0.11%		21.5%0.11%	10.0%0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	66.2%1.95%	87.2%0.24%	72.7%1.71%	57.7%2.58%	39.2%14.84%	76.5%1.21%	44.9%16.00%	56.3%5.13%	67.2%4.60%	57.1%4.72%	49.9%3.24%	80.2%0.11%		83.2%0.10%	58.8%10.30%	43.3%3.08%
St. Louis Rams	25.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	18.8%0.02%	29.2%0.02%	11.0%0.25%	50.0%0.01%	13.3%0.25%	13.0%0.05%	34.0%0.05%	15.6%0.04%	5.4%0.04%		16.8%0.10%		27.6%0.10%	5.7%0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	55.3%1.71%	83.3%0.03%	66.9%0.30%	47.4%1.31%	30.1%10.46%	70.2%0.52%	35.5%9.96%	47.1%2.58%	58.6%0.95%	46.2%2.44%	40.0%1.63%	78.5%0.11%	41.2%10.30%	72.4%0.10%		37.0%1.34%
Washington Redskins	75.6%0.35%	100.0%0.02%	80.0%0.18%	64.0%0.29%	46.1%4.04%	83.3%0.12%	50.2%2.99%	63.3%0.56%	75.2%0.53%	59.7%0.57%	56.3%0.27%	90.0%0.03%	56.7%3.08%	94.3%0.03%	63.0%1.34%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%		7.8%0.05%	8.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		4.8%0.17%	0.0%<0.01%		14.3%0.01%	11.1%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		40.0%<0.01%	13.7%0.14%	21.2%0.03%			7.6%0.24%	0.0%<0.01%		23.8%0.04%	23.9%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals		100.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%	21.7%0.38%	37.0%0.09%	66.7%<0.01%		9.5%0.99%			31.5%0.11%	24.5%0.15%	44.4%0.02%
Cleveland Browns		71.4%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		78.6%0.01%	61.1%0.02%	25.1%0.71%	36.7%0.15%	66.7%<0.01%		13.9%1.88%			45.1%0.19%	31.6%0.29%	74.1%0.03%
Denver Broncos	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%		20.0%0.01%	13.4%0.21%	35.7%0.03%			8.1%0.51%			25.4%0.07%	24.1%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans		60.0%<0.01%	81.8%0.01%	38.9%0.02%	80.0%0.01%		28.8%0.27%	43.2%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%		15.6%0.80%	100.0%<0.01%		49.5%0.10%	40.2%0.10%	66.7%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	92.2%0.05%	86.3%0.14%	78.3%0.38%	74.9%0.71%	86.6%0.21%	71.2%0.27%		63.9%1.96%	95.3%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	32.9%36.23%	100.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	69.0%5.63%	63.7%5.04%	81.6%0.43%
Jacksonville Jaguars	91.7%0.01%	78.8%0.03%	63.0%0.09%	63.3%0.15%	64.3%0.03%	56.8%0.04%	36.1%1.96%		88.9%<0.01%		19.5%7.10%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	53.8%0.94%	46.7%0.98%	72.0%0.07%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	4.7%0.04%	11.1%<0.01%			4.5%0.16%	0.0%<0.01%		10.5%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	95.2%0.17%	92.4%0.24%	90.5%0.99%	86.1%1.88%	91.9%0.51%	84.4%0.80%	67.1%36.23%	80.5%7.10%	95.5%0.16%	100.0%<0.01%		94.6%0.04%	93.5%0.03%	82.3%15.87%	78.7%13.23%	90.5%1.65%
New York Jets	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		5.4%0.04%			16.7%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders							0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%			6.5%0.03%			100.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	85.7%0.01%	76.2%0.04%	68.5%0.11%	54.9%0.19%	74.6%0.07%	50.5%0.10%	31.0%5.63%	46.2%0.94%	89.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	17.7%15.87%	83.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		45.0%2.06%	67.1%0.23%
San Diego Chargers	88.9%0.02%	76.1%0.05%	75.5%0.15%	68.4%0.29%	75.9%0.03%	59.8%0.10%	36.3%5.04%	53.3%0.98%	75.0%<0.01%		21.3%13.23%	70.0%0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	55.0%2.06%		79.7%0.19%
Tennessee Titans	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	55.6%0.02%	25.9%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	18.4%0.43%	28.0%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%		9.5%1.65%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.9%0.23%	20.3%0.19%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		50.0%<0.01%	63.9%0.04%	46.3%0.14%	26.6%1.70%	61.5%0.03%	31.3%1.10%	42.5%0.24%	44.8%0.13%	39.5%0.31%	31.8%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.56%		42.2%0.37%	31.7%0.21%
Atlanta Falcons	50.0%<0.01%				16.7%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	8.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	9.1%0.01%		8.0%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers	36.1%0.04%			43.9%0.06%	20.0%0.60%	66.7%0.01%	23.5%0.44%	31.0%0.09%	52.6%0.02%	27.2%0.12%	24.4%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	26.5%0.33%	100.0%<0.01%	24.3%0.07%	22.1%0.08%
Chicago Bears	53.7%0.14%		56.1%0.06%		34.4%1.66%	73.3%0.01%	38.0%0.79%	49.3%0.15%	57.6%0.16%	54.0%0.27%	40.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	43.2%1.04%	66.7%<0.01%	50.1%0.49%	40.2%0.26%
Dallas Cowboys	73.4%1.70%	83.3%0.04%	80.0%0.60%	65.6%1.66%		83.4%0.42%	55.5%15.52%	66.1%3.23%	72.5%2.01%	63.6%2.10%	59.9%1.69%	95.1%0.06%	60.5%13.18%	82.0%0.06%	68.1%5.69%	51.3%1.75%
Detroit Lions	38.5%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	26.7%0.01%	16.6%0.42%		24.7%0.17%	11.8%0.03%	29.3%0.04%	31.9%0.07%	25.0%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.22%		27.1%0.10%	25.4%0.06%
Green Bay Packers	68.7%1.10%	92.0%0.03%	76.5%0.44%	62.0%0.79%	44.5%15.52%	75.3%0.17%		58.8%1.51%	69.6%1.39%	60.8%2.63%	56.2%2.03%	81.2%0.03%	55.4%9.04%	100.0%0.03%	62.1%3.91%	47.5%1.95%
Minnesota Vikings	57.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	69.0%0.09%	50.7%0.15%	33.9%3.23%	88.2%0.03%	41.2%1.51%		58.5%0.29%	45.2%0.61%	40.0%0.49%	66.7%<0.01%	43.4%1.92%	57.1%<0.01%	51.9%0.89%	43.6%0.49%
New Orleans Saints	55.2%0.13%	100.0%<0.01%	47.4%0.02%	42.4%0.16%	27.5%2.01%	70.7%0.04%	30.4%1.39%	41.5%0.29%		40.4%0.36%	37.5%0.26%	57.1%<0.01%	33.2%1.09%	100.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.25%	28.7%0.24%
New York Giants	60.5%0.31%	57.1%<0.01%	72.8%0.12%	46.0%0.27%	36.4%2.10%	68.1%0.07%	39.2%2.63%	54.8%0.61%	59.6%0.36%		47.7%0.30%	70.0%0.01%	43.9%2.22%	77.8%<0.01%	51.9%1.01%	36.7%0.27%
Philadelphia Eagles	68.2%0.21%	90.9%0.01%	75.6%0.08%	59.5%0.24%	40.1%1.69%	75.0%0.06%	43.8%2.03%	60.0%0.49%	62.5%0.26%	52.3%0.30%		80.0%<0.01%	48.3%1.63%	85.7%<0.01%	57.3%0.77%	46.8%0.22%
San Francisco 49ers	100.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	4.9%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%		13.3%0.01%	0.0%0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	65.6%0.56%	92.0%0.03%	73.5%0.33%	56.8%1.04%	39.5%13.18%	75.0%0.22%	44.6%9.04%	56.6%1.92%	66.8%1.09%	56.1%2.22%	51.7%1.63%	84.6%0.01%		86.7%0.01%	57.3%3.00%	45.2%1.73%
St. Louis Rams			0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	18.0%0.06%		0.0%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%		13.3%0.01%		7.7%0.01%	41.7%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	57.8%0.37%	100.0%<0.01%	75.7%0.07%	49.9%0.49%	31.9%5.69%	72.9%0.10%	37.9%3.91%	48.1%0.89%	54.5%0.25%	48.1%1.01%	42.7%0.77%	86.7%0.01%	42.7%3.00%	92.3%0.01%		37.1%0.69%
Washington Redskins	68.3%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	77.9%0.08%	59.8%0.26%	48.7%1.75%	74.6%0.06%	52.5%1.95%	56.4%0.49%	71.2%0.24%	63.3%0.27%	53.2%0.22%	100.0%0.01%	54.8%1.73%	58.3%0.01%	62.9%0.69%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens			100.0%<0.01%		14.3%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	66.7%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.02%		23.5%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		60.0%0.01%		28.6%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.07%	71.4%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	56.2%0.02%	25.0%0.01%		46.3%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	66.7%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	59.1%0.02%	45.9%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	48.4%0.16%	56.0%0.03%	60.0%0.01%	77.1%0.03%	58.3%0.02%		48.2%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	52.4%0.04%	63.3%0.03%
Denver Broncos	60.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	52.9%0.03%		52.9%0.02%	57.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%		45.0%0.02%		55.6%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%
Houston Texans	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	59.2%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	53.3%0.09%	64.7%0.02%	83.3%<0.01%	57.1%0.01%	46.2%0.01%		67.2%0.06%		50.0%0.02%	68.8%0.02%
Indianapolis Colts	79.9%0.37%	100.0%<0.01%	83.3%0.10%	72.8%0.50%	67.2%6.79%	87.5%0.07%	69.5%4.73%	75.6%0.99%	80.9%0.47%	77.3%0.98%	69.5%0.86%	80.0%<0.01%	72.8%3.66%	87.5%<0.01%	76.9%1.50%	64.4%1.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	74.2%0.06%		63.6%0.02%	59.1%0.07%	55.9%1.00%	60.0%0.01%	57.1%0.73%	60.6%0.14%	66.7%0.06%	67.8%0.15%	68.7%0.13%		59.1%0.58%	100.0%<0.01%	61.5%0.23%	49.4%0.15%
Kansas City Chiefs				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%						0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	85.5%0.99%	100.0%0.01%	90.2%0.30%	84.9%1.31%	77.2%18.03%	85.7%0.15%	79.7%12.90%	82.8%2.44%	86.9%1.23%	84.3%2.74%	78.6%2.32%	100.0%0.02%	82.0%10.12%	100.0%0.01%	85.7%4.09%	74.9%2.58%
New York Jets					33.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%					66.7%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders					33.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%						0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	64.9%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	76.0%0.03%	56.4%0.14%	51.7%1.98%	85.2%0.03%	52.7%1.41%	62.4%0.27%	68.7%0.13%	58.8%0.30%	59.7%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%	56.8%1.09%	100.0%<0.01%	65.4%0.40%	54.9%0.28%
San Diego Chargers	65.5%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	77.3%0.02%	70.6%0.14%	57.2%2.19%	58.8%0.02%	61.4%1.44%	64.6%0.27%	76.2%0.14%	71.0%0.30%	61.2%0.28%	100.0%<0.01%	64.8%1.24%	100.0%<0.01%	69.9%0.47%	55.5%0.30%
Tennessee Titans	50.0%<0.01%			55.6%<0.01%	42.3%0.13%	0.0%<0.01%	40.7%0.08%	42.9%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.02%	41.2%0.02%		49.3%0.07%		63.3%0.03%	40.9%0.02%
Arizona Cardinals																		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.1%0.37%	25.8%0.06%		14.5%0.99%			35.1%0.10%	34.5%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																							0.0%<0.01%			0.0%0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.10%	36.4%0.02%		9.8%0.30%			24.0%0.03%	22.7%0.02%
Chicago Bears																		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.9%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	27.2%0.50%	40.9%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	15.1%1.31%			43.6%0.14%	29.4%0.14%	44.4%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	85.7%<0.01%	63.6%0.02%	66.7%0.10%	54.1%0.22%	47.1%0.03%	40.8%0.10%	32.8%6.79%	44.1%1.00%	100.0%<0.01%	22.8%18.03%	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	48.3%1.98%	42.8%2.19%	57.7%0.13%
Detroit Lions																			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.07%	40.0%0.01%		14.3%0.15%			14.8%0.03%	41.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	50.0%<0.01%	76.5%0.02%	61.5%0.07%	51.6%0.16%	47.1%0.02%	46.7%0.09%	30.5%4.73%	42.9%0.73%	100.0%<0.01%	20.3%12.90%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	47.3%1.41%	38.6%1.44%	59.3%0.08%
Minnesota Vikings																		60.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	44.0%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	35.3%0.02%	24.4%0.99%	39.4%0.14%		17.2%2.44%	0.0%<0.01%		37.6%0.27%	35.4%0.27%	57.1%0.01%
New Orleans Saints																	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	40.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	19.1%0.47%	33.3%0.06%		13.1%1.23%			31.3%0.13%	23.8%0.14%	80.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.02%	22.9%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.01%	22.7%0.98%	32.2%0.15%		15.7%2.74%			41.2%0.30%	29.0%0.30%	65.0%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles																	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.01%	41.7%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%	30.5%0.86%	31.3%0.13%		21.4%2.32%			40.3%0.26%	38.8%0.28%	58.8%0.02%
San Francisco 49ers																							20.0%<0.01%			0.0%0.02%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	53.7%0.05%	51.8%0.14%	55.0%0.02%	32.8%0.06%	27.2%3.66%	40.9%0.58%	100.0%<0.01%	18.0%10.12%	33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	43.2%1.09%	35.2%1.24%	50.7%0.07%
St. Louis Rams																			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			12.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																		71.4%<0.01%	40.0%0.03%	47.6%0.04%	44.4%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	23.1%1.50%	38.5%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	14.3%4.09%	0.0%<0.01%		34.6%0.40%	30.1%0.47%	36.7%0.03%
Washington Redskins																	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.7%0.03%	77.8%<0.01%	31.2%0.02%	35.6%1.01%	50.6%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	25.1%2.58%			45.1%0.28%	44.5%0.30%	59.1%0.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New England Patriots	100.00%	85.35%	63.79%	49.79%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Indianapolis Colts	100.00%	69.33%	22.85%	15.57%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	100.00%	61.67%	38.76%	10.52%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	61.25%	26.33%	6.57%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Washington Redskins	51.39%	23.49%	12.86%	4.15%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
San Diego Chargers	79.54%	24.69%	6.67%	4.06%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Seattle Seahawks	48.61%	20.79%	9.88%	2.60%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	45.37%	9.05%	3.18%	1.97%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.63%	9.75%	3.07%	1.83%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Giants	45.36%	15.69%	6.13%	1.38%	Won Super Bowl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	54.64%	17.11%	6.04%	1.34%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tennessee Titans	20.46%	1.83%	0.44%	0.22%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Jacksonville Jaguars	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars		45.4%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.6%100.00%
San Diego Chargers				79.5%100.00%
Tennessee Titans			20.5%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
New York Giants			45.4%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks				48.6%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	54.6%100.00%
Washington Redskins		51.4%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts		69.6%9.30%		71.8%11.17%	69.0%79.54%
Jacksonville Jaguars	30.4%9.30%		17.2%36.07%
New England Patriots		82.8%36.07%		84.8%43.47%		91.0%20.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers	28.2%11.17%		15.2%43.47%
San Diego Chargers	31.0%79.54%
Tennessee Titans			9.0%20.46%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys			67.7%22.03%		70.9%26.58%	54.3%51.39%
Green Bay Packers			63.2%23.33%	57.2%48.61%	66.5%28.06%
New York Giants	32.3%22.03%	36.8%23.33%
Seattle Seahawks		42.8%48.61%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	29.1%26.58%	33.5%28.06%
Washington Redskins	45.7%51.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts		64.2%4.26%	27.1%59.25%	67.0%4.54%		78.3%1.28%
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.8%4.26%		23.3%2.56%		43.9%1.96%	74.1%0.27%
New England Patriots	72.9%59.25%	76.7%2.56%		80.8%2.87%	79.0%20.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	33.0%4.54%		19.2%2.87%		40.5%2.06%	68.3%0.28%
San Diego Chargers		56.1%1.96%	21.0%20.68%	59.5%2.06%
Tennessee Titans	21.7%1.28%	25.9%0.27%		31.7%0.28%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys		62.8%37.55%	64.8%4.60%	60.1%14.44%	69.5%5.08%
Green Bay Packers	37.2%37.55%		59.9%4.07%		63.6%4.41%	46.7%15.21%
New York Giants	35.2%4.60%	40.1%4.07%		36.5%3.04%		44.6%3.98%
Seattle Seahawks	39.9%14.44%		63.5%3.04%		66.0%3.31%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	30.5%5.08%	36.4%4.41%		34.0%3.31%		40.7%4.30%
Washington Redskins		53.3%15.21%	55.4%3.98%		59.3%4.30%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts	67.0%9.03%	70.7%5.92%	72.7%1.41%	68.4%2.25%	72.1%1.38%	61.8%2.86%
Jacksonville Jaguars	59.8%1.22%	64.4%0.88%	66.7%0.18%	61.9%0.31%	67.9%0.21%	58.1%0.38%
New England Patriots	77.6%24.58%	79.3%16.84%	81.9%3.93%	78.7%6.32%	82.1%3.84%	72.5%8.28%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.4%1.23%	61.1%0.77%	64.0%0.20%	57.2%0.30%	68.9%0.18%	52.9%0.40%
San Diego Chargers	62.2%2.54%	61.6%1.79%	63.6%0.39%	58.0%0.66%	68.8%0.41%	53.7%0.88%
Tennessee Titans	45.9%0.17%	57.5%0.13%	69.0%0.03%	45.5%0.03%	40.9%0.02%	42.9%0.06%
Dallas Cowboys							33.0%9.03%	40.2%1.22%	22.4%24.58%	40.6%1.23%	37.8%2.54%	54.1%0.17%
Green Bay Packers							29.3%5.92%	35.6%0.88%	20.7%16.84%	38.9%0.77%	38.4%1.79%	42.5%0.13%
New York Giants							27.3%1.41%	33.3%0.18%	18.1%3.93%	36.0%0.20%	36.4%0.39%	31.0%0.03%
Seattle Seahawks							31.6%2.25%	38.1%0.31%	21.3%6.32%	42.8%0.30%	42.0%0.66%	54.5%0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							27.9%1.38%	32.1%0.21%	17.9%3.84%	31.1%0.18%	31.2%0.41%	59.1%0.02%
Washington Redskins							38.2%2.86%	41.9%0.38%	27.5%8.28%	47.1%0.40%	46.3%0.88%	57.1%0.06%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New England Patriots 49.79% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

43.19%

Win Prob

84.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

67.69%

Win Prob

72.87%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

38.31%

Win Prob

77.61%

Indianapolis Colts 15.57% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

79.11%

Win Prob

68.95%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

70.32%

Win Prob

27.13%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

38.89%

Win Prob

67.04%

Dallas Cowboys 10.52% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

45.25%

Win Prob

54.29%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

60.81%

Win Prob

62.78%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

52.31%

Win Prob

22.39%

Green Bay Packers 6.57% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

45.42%

Win Prob

57.23%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

53.08%

Win Prob

37.22%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

53.01%

Win Prob

20.69%

Washington Redskins 4.15% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.39%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

63.02%

Win Prob

53.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

54.74%

Win Prob

27.45%

San Diego Chargers 4.06% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

79.54%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.05%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

65.15%

Win Prob

21.00%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

38.82%

Win Prob

62.17%

Seattle Seahawks 2.60% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.61%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.77%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

58.29%

Win Prob

39.88%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

51.71%

Win Prob

21.26%

Jacksonville Jaguars 1.97% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.37%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

68.71%

Win Prob

17.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

47.89%

Win Prob

35.77%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

36.90%

Win Prob

59.77%

Pittsburgh Steelers 1.83% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.63%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

67.72%

Win Prob

15.19%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

48.71%

Win Prob

32.97%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

39.81%

Win Prob

59.36%

New York Giants 1.38% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.36%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

54.65%

Win Prob

36.76%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

28.95%

Win Prob

44.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

51.56%

Win Prob

18.11%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.34% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.64%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

54.85%

Win Prob

33.45%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

29.00%

Win Prob

40.70%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

51.50%

Win Prob

17.92%

Tennessee Titans 0.22% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.46%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

8.96%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

63.39%

Win Prob

21.67%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

35.62%

Win Prob

45.88%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2007-09-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-20	1462.94	1447.61	44.45%	55.32%	-17.78	0-1
2007-09-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-20	1445.16	1544.44	43.30%	56.47%	+22.57	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 23-26	1467.73	1548.42	31.54%	68.25%	-12.61	1-2
2007-09-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-14	1455.12	1656.03	29.86%	69.95%	+42.69	2-2
2007-10-07	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-31	1497.81	1368.19	60.70%	39.07%	+15.62	3-2
2007-10-14	Carolina Panthers	L 10-25	1513.43	1495.63	59.96%	39.81%	-53.59	3-3
2007-10-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 19-21	1459.84	1526.19	33.35%	66.44%	-10.89	3-4
2007-11-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-17	1448.95	1500.41	35.28%	64.51%	-21.55	3-5
2007-11-11	Detroit Lions	W 31-21	1427.40	1549.00	40.18%	59.60%	+43.49	4-5
2007-11-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-27	1470.89	1466.60	42.89%	56.88%	+37.12	5-5
2007-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 31-37	1508.01	1257.68	85.07%	14.81%	-48.04	5-6
2007-12-02	Cleveland Browns	W 27-21	1459.97	1549.35	44.70%	55.07%	+31.13	6-6
2007-12-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-42	1491.10	1580.80	30.43%	69.37%	-32.21	6-7
2007-12-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1458.89	1522.73	33.67%	66.12%	-20.57	6-8
2007-12-23	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-27	1438.32	1262.31	78.80%	21.04%	+8.41	7-8
2007-12-30	St. Louis Rams	W 48-19	1446.73	1320.80	73.60%	26.21%	+32.60	8-8
2007-09-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-24	1470.30	1472.42	41.99%	57.78%	-44.43	0-1
2007-09-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-13	1425.87	1508.43	31.31%	68.49%	-17.72	0-2
2007-09-23	Carolina Panthers	L 20-27	1408.15	1502.37	44.01%	55.76%	-26.88	0-3
2007-09-30	Houston Texans	W 26-16	1381.27	1527.46	36.83%	62.95%	+45.93	1-3
2007-10-07	@ Tennessee Titans	L 13-20	1427.20	1538.44	27.88%	71.93%	-17.03	1-4
2007-10-15	New York Giants	L 10-31	1410.17	1523.03	41.39%	58.38%	-43.80	1-5
2007-10-21	@ New Orleans Saints	L 16-22	1366.37	1416.46	35.46%	64.33%	-20.06	1-6
2007-11-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-16	1346.31	1320.54	61.06%	38.72%	+17.88	2-6
2007-11-11	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-13	1364.19	1486.13	26.66%	73.15%	+44.65	3-6
2007-11-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-31	1408.84	1521.96	41.35%	58.42%	-46.78	3-7
2007-11-22	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-31	1362.06	1743.38	13.11%	86.77%	-12.84	3-8
2007-12-02	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-28	1349.22	1343.88	43.04%	56.73%	-34.43	3-9
2007-12-10	New Orleans Saints	L 14-34	1314.79	1488.40	33.24%	66.55%	-34.33	3-10
2007-12-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-37	1280.46	1549.68	13.49%	86.39%	-18.15	3-11
2007-12-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 27-30	1262.31	1438.32	21.04%	78.80%	-8.41	3-12
2007-12-30	Seattle Seahawks	W 44-41	1253.90	1598.63	15.70%	84.17%	+11.20	4-12
2007-09-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-27	1558.45	1522.48	47.40%	52.37%	-28.95	0-1
2007-09-16	New York Jets	W 20-13	1529.50	1444.25	68.82%	30.98%	+18.92	1-1
2007-09-23	Arizona Cardinals	W 26-23	1548.42	1467.73	68.25%	31.54%	+12.62	2-1
2007-09-30	@ Cleveland Browns	L 13-27	1561.04	1412.11	63.32%	36.46%	-54.66	2-2
2007-10-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 9-7	1506.38	1406.37	56.58%	43.19%	+14.10	3-2
2007-10-14	St. Louis Rams	W 22-3	1520.48	1352.56	78.02%	21.82%	+21.96	4-2
2007-10-21	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-19	1542.44	1444.28	56.32%	43.46%	-29.06	4-3
2007-11-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-38	1513.38	1650.30	25.01%	74.81%	-32.15	4-4
2007-11-11	Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-21	1481.23	1408.55	67.25%	32.54%	-58.05	4-5
2007-11-18	Cleveland Browns	L 30-33	1423.18	1503.15	46.04%	53.73%	-18.41	4-6
2007-11-25	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-32	1404.77	1545.03	24.65%	75.17%	-24.15	4-7
2007-12-03	New England Patriots	L 24-27	1380.62	1876.32	7.25%	92.68%	-2.90	4-8
2007-12-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-44	1377.72	1767.63	12.56%	87.33%	-14.20	4-9
2007-12-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 16-22	1363.52	1204.85	64.61%	35.18%	-36.51	4-10
2007-12-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-27	1327.01	1583.43	14.37%	85.51%	-15.20	4-11
2007-12-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-21	1311.81	1643.52	16.72%	83.15%	+15.65	5-11
2007-09-09	Denver Broncos	L 14-15	1499.33	1530.16	53.10%	46.67%	-12.25	0-1
2007-09-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-26	1487.08	1600.89	27.58%	72.23%	-30.55	0-2
2007-09-23	@ New England Patriots	L 7-38	1456.53	1668.30	17.82%	82.03%	-22.91	0-3
2007-09-30	New York Jets	W 17-14	1433.62	1442.36	56.25%	43.52%	+17.41	1-3
2007-10-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 24-25	1451.03	1657.33	29.21%	70.59%	-6.75	1-4
2007-10-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-14	1444.28	1542.44	43.46%	56.32%	+29.06	2-4
2007-10-28	@ New York Jets	W 13-3	1473.34	1352.20	59.54%	40.24%	+29.38	3-4
2007-11-04	Cincinnati Bengals	W 33-21	1502.72	1435.10	66.61%	33.18%	+26.55	4-4
2007-11-11	@ Miami Dolphins	W 13-10	1529.27	1304.14	72.79%	27.02%	+10.81	5-4
2007-11-18	New England Patriots	L 10-56	1540.08	1842.56	19.19%	80.66%	-30.04	5-5
2007-11-25	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-36	1510.04	1620.11	28.01%	71.79%	-30.35	5-6
2007-12-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-16	1479.69	1459.74	45.11%	54.66%	+12.62	6-6
2007-12-09	Miami Dolphins	W 38-17	1492.31	1218.81	86.68%	13.20%	+13.96	7-6
2007-12-16	@ Cleveland Browns	L 0-8	1506.27	1540.76	37.54%	62.24%	-24.52	7-7
2007-12-23	New York Giants	L 21-38	1481.75	1500.83	54.78%	44.99%	-52.12	7-8
2007-12-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-17	1429.63	1575.30	24.08%	75.75%	-15.73	7-9
2007-09-09	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-13	1510.25	1483.20	46.13%	53.64%	+46.33	1-0
2007-09-16	Houston Texans	L 21-34	1556.58	1500.11	65.16%	34.62%	-54.21	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-20	1502.37	1408.15	55.76%	44.01%	+26.89	2-1
2007-09-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-20	1529.26	1505.80	60.74%	39.04%	-50.54	2-2
2007-10-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 16-13	1478.72	1372.14	57.50%	42.27%	+16.91	3-2
2007-10-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 25-10	1495.63	1513.43	39.81%	59.96%	+53.59	4-2
2007-10-28	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-31	1549.22	1753.90	29.40%	70.40%	-33.27	4-3
2007-11-04	@ Tennessee Titans	L 7-20	1515.95	1563.37	35.81%	63.97%	-29.82	4-4
2007-11-11	Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1486.13	1364.19	73.15%	26.66%	-44.64	4-5
2007-11-18	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-31	1441.49	1662.70	17.04%	82.82%	-14.72	4-6
2007-11-25	New Orleans Saints	L 6-31	1426.77	1446.88	54.63%	45.14%	-63.05	4-7
2007-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-14	1363.72	1305.72	65.36%	34.42%	+32.78	5-7
2007-12-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-37	1396.50	1639.04	15.38%	84.49%	-19.76	5-8
2007-12-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 13-10	1376.74	1613.01	25.78%	74.04%	+29.57	6-8
2007-12-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-20	1406.31	1721.51	18.08%	81.77%	-11.04	6-9
2007-12-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-23	1395.27	1542.61	23.90%	75.92%	+16.51	7-9
2007-09-09	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-14	1555.65	1573.93	39.75%	60.03%	-30.44	0-1
2007-09-16	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-10	1525.21	1470.37	64.95%	34.84%	+25.44	1-1
2007-09-23	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-34	1550.65	1579.11	53.44%	46.33%	-60.43	1-2
2007-09-30	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-37	1490.22	1445.40	48.68%	51.09%	-35.53	1-3
2007-10-07	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1454.69	1601.00	24.01%	75.81%	+46.26	2-3
2007-10-14	Minnesota Vikings	L 31-34	1500.95	1451.97	64.18%	35.60%	-25.65	2-4
2007-10-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 19-16	1475.30	1512.35	37.19%	62.59%	+25.02	3-4
2007-10-28	Detroit Lions	L 7-16	1500.32	1464.33	62.45%	37.33%	-43.23	3-5
2007-11-11	@ Oakland Raiders	W 17-6	1457.09	1359.85	56.19%	43.59%	+33.38	4-5
2007-11-18	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-30	1490.47	1515.66	38.80%	60.98%	-23.71	4-6
2007-11-25	Denver Broncos	W 37-34	1466.76	1484.64	54.95%	44.82%	+17.93	5-6
2007-12-02	New York Giants	L 16-21	1484.69	1506.00	54.46%	45.31%	-28.11	5-7
2007-12-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-24	1456.58	1447.12	43.62%	56.15%	-28.49	5-8
2007-12-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-20	1428.09	1612.32	20.26%	79.58%	-12.37	5-9
2007-12-23	Green Bay Packers	W 35-7	1415.72	1705.69	20.33%	79.52%	+97.03	6-9
2007-12-30	New Orleans Saints	W 33-25	1512.75	1489.19	60.76%	39.02%	+25.48	7-9
2007-09-10	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-20	1522.48	1558.45	52.37%	47.40%	+28.96	1-0
2007-09-16	@ Cleveland Browns	L 45-51	1551.44	1392.36	64.66%	35.12%	-36.54	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-24	1514.90	1521.87	41.31%	58.46%	-16.53	1-2
2007-10-01	New England Patriots	L 13-34	1498.37	1691.21	30.84%	68.96%	-32.63	1-3
2007-10-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1465.74	1485.24	39.58%	60.20%	-24.18	1-4
2007-10-21	New York Jets	W 38-31	1441.56	1372.35	66.81%	32.98%	+20.15	2-4
2007-10-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-24	1461.71	1623.68	34.74%	65.04%	-26.61	2-5
2007-11-04	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-33	1435.10	1502.72	33.18%	66.61%	-26.55	2-6
2007-11-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 21-7	1408.55	1481.23	32.54%	67.25%	+58.05	3-6
2007-11-18	Arizona Cardinals	L 27-35	1466.60	1470.89	56.88%	42.89%	-37.13	3-7
2007-11-25	Tennessee Titans	W 35-6	1429.47	1486.41	49.35%	50.42%	+62.68	4-7
2007-12-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-24	1492.15	1659.56	21.87%	77.97%	-18.90	4-8
2007-12-09	St. Louis Rams	W 19-10	1473.25	1378.31	70.00%	29.80%	+20.65	5-8
2007-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-20	1493.90	1254.80	74.35%	25.47%	-45.37	5-9
2007-12-23	Cleveland Browns	W 19-14	1448.53	1565.28	40.85%	58.93%	+30.40	6-9
2007-12-30	@ Miami Dolphins	W 38-25	1478.93	1239.65	74.37%	25.45%	+21.20	7-9
2007-09-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-34	1442.95	1550.31	42.16%	57.61%	-50.59	0-1
2007-09-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 51-45	1392.36	1551.44	35.12%	64.66%	+36.55	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-26	1428.91	1364.67	51.47%	48.30%	-16.80	1-2
2007-09-30	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-13	1412.11	1561.04	36.46%	63.32%	+54.66	2-2
2007-10-07	@ New England Patriots	L 17-34	1466.77	1723.84	14.32%	85.55%	-13.63	2-3
2007-10-14	Miami Dolphins	W 41-31	1453.14	1339.98	72.15%	27.66%	+20.20	3-3
2007-10-28	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-20	1473.34	1302.59	66.18%	33.61%	+20.53	4-3
2007-11-04	Seattle Seahawks	W 33-30	1493.87	1511.31	55.01%	44.76%	+17.90	5-3
2007-11-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-31	1511.77	1682.45	21.55%	78.29%	-8.62	5-4
2007-11-18	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 33-30	1503.15	1423.18	53.73%	46.04%	+18.41	6-4
2007-11-25	Houston Texans	W 27-17	1521.56	1490.90	61.73%	38.05%	+27.79	7-4
2007-12-02	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-27	1549.35	1459.97	55.07%	44.70%	-31.13	7-5
2007-12-09	@ New York Jets	W 24-18	1518.22	1394.21	59.93%	39.84%	+22.54	8-5
2007-12-16	Buffalo Bills	W 8-0	1540.76	1506.27	62.24%	37.54%	+24.52	9-5
2007-12-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-19	1565.28	1448.53	58.93%	40.85%	-30.41	9-6
2007-12-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-7	1534.87	1325.40	81.84%	18.02%	+15.00	10-6
2007-09-09	New York Giants	W 45-35	1501.68	1499.03	57.86%	41.92%	+30.61	1-0
2007-09-16	@ Miami Dolphins	W 37-20	1532.29	1474.28	50.57%	49.20%	+46.82	2-0
2007-09-23	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-10	1579.11	1550.65	46.33%	53.44%	+60.43	3-0
2007-09-30	St. Louis Rams	W 35-7	1639.54	1385.99	85.30%	14.57%	+17.79	4-0
2007-10-08	@ Buffalo Bills	W 25-24	1657.33	1451.03	70.59%	29.21%	+6.75	5-0
2007-10-14	New England Patriots	L 27-48	1664.08	1737.47	46.98%	52.78%	-49.71	5-1
2007-10-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-14	1614.37	1477.62	74.79%	25.03%	+18.28	6-1
2007-11-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-17	1632.65	1520.01	58.35%	41.42%	+43.83	7-1
2007-11-11	@ New York Giants	W 31-20	1676.48	1594.31	54.04%	45.73%	+35.02	8-1
2007-11-18	Washington Redskins	W 28-23	1711.50	1485.39	83.21%	16.65%	+8.59	9-1
2007-11-22	New York Jets	W 34-3	1720.09	1345.08	92.10%	7.82%	+10.04	10-1
2007-11-29	Green Bay Packers	W 37-27	1730.13	1700.36	61.60%	38.17%	+27.88	11-1
2007-12-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-27	1758.01	1416.57	83.91%	15.95%	+3.68	12-1
2007-12-16	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-10	1761.69	1481.00	87.15%	12.74%	-40.18	12-2
2007-12-22	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-13	1721.51	1406.31	81.77%	18.08%	+11.04	13-2
2007-12-30	@ Washington Redskins	L 6-27	1732.55	1583.58	63.32%	36.46%	-66.95	13-3
2007-09-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 15-14	1530.16	1499.33	46.67%	53.10%	+12.26	1-0
2007-09-16	Oakland Raiders	W 23-20	1542.42	1373.35	78.13%	21.71%	+8.68	2-0
2007-09-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-23	1551.10	1526.14	60.95%	38.83%	-42.19	2-1
2007-09-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-38	1508.91	1651.06	24.45%	75.37%	-23.95	2-2
2007-10-07	San Diego Chargers	L 3-41	1484.96	1475.14	58.86%	40.92%	-83.73	2-3
2007-10-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-28	1401.23	1653.97	24.01%	75.81%	+30.29	3-3
2007-10-29	Green Bay Packers	L 13-19	1431.52	1570.96	37.74%	62.04%	-21.35	3-4
2007-11-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-44	1410.17	1507.55	29.51%	70.29%	-41.45	3-5
2007-11-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-11	1368.72	1487.40	27.03%	72.79%	+67.16	4-5
2007-11-19	Tennessee Titans	W 34-20	1435.88	1535.18	43.29%	56.48%	+48.76	5-5
2007-11-25	@ Chicago Bears	L 34-37	1484.64	1466.76	44.82%	54.95%	-17.92	5-6
2007-12-02	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-34	1466.72	1339.38	60.39%	39.38%	-52.14	5-7
2007-12-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 41-7	1414.58	1359.75	64.95%	34.84%	+46.91	6-7
2007-12-13	@ Houston Texans	L 13-31	1461.49	1489.49	38.41%	61.36%	-37.64	6-8
2007-12-24	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-23	1423.85	1643.99	17.13%	82.73%	-17.68	6-9
2007-12-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 22-19	1406.17	1571.17	34.35%	65.44%	+26.15	7-9
2007-09-09	@ Oakland Raiders	W 36-21	1447.19	1421.47	45.94%	53.83%	+48.12	1-0
2007-09-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-17	1495.31	1516.86	54.43%	45.34%	+18.13	2-0
2007-09-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-56	1513.44	1460.66	49.82%	49.95%	-68.04	2-1
2007-09-30	Chicago Bears	W 37-27	1445.40	1490.22	51.09%	48.68%	+35.54	3-1
2007-10-07	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-34	1480.94	1489.60	41.08%	58.70%	-52.82	3-2
2007-10-21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-16	1428.12	1547.54	40.48%	59.30%	+36.21	4-2
2007-10-28	@ Chicago Bears	W 16-7	1464.33	1500.32	37.33%	62.45%	+43.22	5-2
2007-11-04	Denver Broncos	W 44-7	1507.55	1410.17	70.29%	29.51%	+41.45	6-2
2007-11-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-31	1549.00	1427.40	59.60%	40.18%	-43.49	6-3
2007-11-18	New York Giants	L 10-16	1505.51	1559.30	49.80%	49.97%	-28.16	6-4
2007-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 26-37	1477.35	1677.42	29.96%	69.84%	-22.94	6-5
2007-12-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-42	1454.41	1556.34	28.97%	70.84%	-37.84	6-6
2007-12-09	Dallas Cowboys	L 27-28	1416.57	1758.01	15.95%	83.91%	-3.69	6-7
2007-12-16	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-51	1412.88	1618.18	18.38%	81.48%	-25.80	6-8
2007-12-23	Kansas City Chiefs	W 25-20	1387.08	1284.95	70.86%	28.94%	+14.95	7-8
2007-12-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-34	1402.03	1608.66	18.26%	81.59%	-19.32	7-9
2007-09-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-13	1468.39	1518.05	50.40%	49.37%	+19.74	1-0
2007-09-16	@ New York Giants	W 35-13	1488.13	1468.42	45.08%	54.69%	+59.21	2-0
2007-09-23	San Diego Chargers	W 31-24	1547.34	1559.53	55.76%	44.01%	+26.88	3-0
2007-09-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-16	1574.22	1478.75	55.93%	43.84%	+26.78	4-0
2007-10-07	Chicago Bears	L 20-27	1601.00	1454.69	75.81%	24.01%	-46.26	4-1
2007-10-14	Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1554.74	1542.41	59.21%	40.57%	+16.22	5-1
2007-10-29	@ Denver Broncos	W 19-13	1570.96	1431.52	62.04%	37.74%	+21.35	6-1
2007-11-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 33-22	1592.31	1523.93	52.06%	47.70%	+36.53	7-1
2007-11-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-0	1628.84	1493.20	74.67%	25.15%	+33.86	8-1
2007-11-18	Carolina Panthers	W 31-17	1662.70	1441.49	82.82%	17.04%	+14.72	9-1
2007-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-26	1677.42	1477.35	69.84%	29.96%	+22.94	10-1
2007-11-29	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 27-37	1700.36	1730.13	38.17%	61.60%	-27.87	10-2
2007-12-09	Oakland Raiders	W 38-7	1672.49	1391.52	87.17%	12.72%	+16.34	11-2
2007-12-16	@ St. Louis Rams	W 33-14	1688.83	1357.66	83.10%	16.76%	+16.86	12-2
2007-12-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-35	1705.69	1415.72	79.52%	20.33%	-97.03	12-3
2007-12-30	Detroit Lions	W 34-13	1608.66	1402.03	81.59%	18.26%	+19.32	13-3
2007-09-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-3	1450.38	1520.11	47.51%	52.26%	+49.73	1-0
2007-09-16	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-21	1500.11	1556.58	34.62%	65.16%	+54.20	2-0
2007-09-23	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-30	1554.31	1624.21	47.49%	52.28%	-26.85	2-1
2007-09-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-26	1527.46	1381.27	62.95%	36.83%	-45.93	2-2
2007-10-07	Miami Dolphins	W 22-19	1481.53	1350.23	74.20%	25.62%	+10.25	3-2
2007-10-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-37	1491.78	1605.51	27.59%	72.22%	-28.50	3-3
2007-10-21	Tennessee Titans	L 36-38	1463.28	1537.07	46.93%	52.84%	-15.32	3-4
2007-10-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-35	1447.96	1582.36	25.28%	74.54%	-29.19	3-5
2007-11-04	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-17	1418.77	1392.69	45.99%	53.78%	+32.84	4-5
2007-11-18	New Orleans Saints	W 23-10	1451.61	1486.17	52.57%	47.20%	+39.29	5-5
2007-11-25	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-27	1490.90	1521.56	38.05%	61.73%	-27.79	5-6
2007-12-02	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-28	1463.11	1423.74	47.89%	51.88%	-31.27	5-7
2007-12-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-14	1431.84	1607.34	33.00%	66.79%	+57.65	6-7
2007-12-13	Denver Broncos	W 31-13	1489.49	1461.49	61.36%	38.41%	+37.64	7-7
2007-12-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 15-38	1527.13	1788.87	14.00%	85.88%	-5.17	7-8
2007-12-30	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-28	1521.96	1708.28	31.64%	68.15%	+58.83	8-8
2007-09-06	New Orleans Saints	W 41-10	1566.35	1505.78	65.70%	34.09%	+43.83	1-0
2007-09-16	@ Tennessee Titans	W 22-20	1610.18	1508.39	56.83%	42.94%	+14.03	2-0
2007-09-23	@ Houston Texans	W 30-24	1624.21	1554.31	52.28%	47.49%	+26.85	3-0
2007-09-30	Denver Broncos	W 38-20	1651.06	1508.91	75.37%	24.45%	+23.95	4-0
2007-10-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 33-14	1675.01	1556.34	72.79%	27.03%	+27.21	5-0
2007-10-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 29-7	1702.22	1634.00	52.04%	47.73%	+51.68	6-0
2007-10-28	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-7	1753.90	1549.22	70.40%	29.40%	+33.27	7-0
2007-11-04	New England Patriots	L 20-24	1787.17	1818.05	53.09%	46.67%	-24.51	7-1
2007-11-11	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-23	1762.66	1545.02	71.93%	27.88%	-23.47	7-2
2007-11-18	Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-10	1739.19	1420.25	89.42%	10.49%	+4.19	8-2
2007-11-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-13	1743.38	1362.06	86.77%	13.11%	+12.84	9-2
2007-12-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-25	1756.22	1650.45	71.29%	28.51%	+11.41	10-2
2007-12-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 44-20	1767.63	1377.72	87.33%	12.56%	+14.20	11-2
2007-12-16	@ Oakland Raiders	W 21-14	1781.83	1375.18	88.35%	11.54%	+7.04	12-2
2007-12-23	Houston Texans	W 38-15	1788.87	1527.13	85.88%	14.00%	+5.17	13-2
2007-12-30	Tennessee Titans	L 10-16	1794.04	1475.65	89.39%	10.52%	-16.83	13-3
2007-09-09	Tennessee Titans	L 10-13	1534.21	1482.61	64.53%	35.26%	-25.78	0-1
2007-09-16	Atlanta Falcons	W 13-7	1508.43	1425.87	68.49%	31.31%	+17.71	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-14	1526.14	1551.10	38.83%	60.95%	+42.19	2-1
2007-10-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-7	1568.33	1522.42	48.83%	50.94%	+37.18	3-1
2007-10-14	Houston Texans	W 37-17	1605.51	1491.78	72.22%	27.59%	+28.49	4-1
2007-10-22	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-29	1634.00	1702.22	47.73%	52.04%	-51.68	4-2
2007-10-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-23	1582.32	1511.34	52.44%	47.33%	+10.93	5-2
2007-11-04	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-41	1593.25	1487.50	57.39%	42.39%	-54.60	5-3
2007-11-11	@ Tennessee Titans	W 28-13	1538.65	1593.18	34.87%	64.91%	+58.00	6-3
2007-11-18	San Diego Chargers	W 24-17	1596.65	1568.48	61.39%	38.39%	+23.46	7-3
2007-11-25	Buffalo Bills	W 36-14	1620.11	1510.04	71.79%	28.01%	+30.34	8-3
2007-12-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 25-28	1650.45	1756.22	28.51%	71.29%	-11.41	8-4
2007-12-09	Carolina Panthers	W 37-6	1639.04	1396.50	84.49%	15.38%	+19.77	9-4
2007-12-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 29-22	1658.81	1658.59	42.32%	57.45%	+35.08	10-4
2007-12-23	Oakland Raiders	W 49-11	1693.89	1368.13	89.78%	10.12%	+14.39	11-4
2007-12-30	@ Houston Texans	L 28-42	1708.28	1521.96	68.15%	31.64%	-58.82	11-5
2007-09-09	@ Houston Texans	L 3-20	1520.11	1450.38	52.26%	47.51%	-49.74	0-1
2007-09-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-20	1470.37	1525.21	34.84%	64.95%	-25.44	0-2
2007-09-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 13-10	1444.93	1498.73	49.80%	49.97%	+19.98	1-2
2007-09-30	@ San Diego Chargers	W 30-16	1464.91	1532.64	33.17%	66.62%	+57.51	2-2
2007-10-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-17	1522.42	1568.33	50.94%	48.83%	-37.18	2-3
2007-10-14	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-20	1485.24	1465.74	60.20%	39.58%	+24.18	3-3
2007-10-21	@ Oakland Raiders	W 12-10	1509.42	1418.17	55.33%	44.44%	+14.51	4-3
2007-11-04	Green Bay Packers	L 22-33	1523.93	1592.31	47.70%	52.06%	-36.53	4-4
2007-11-11	Denver Broncos	L 11-27	1487.40	1368.72	72.79%	27.03%	-67.15	4-5
2007-11-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-13	1420.25	1739.19	10.49%	89.42%	-4.19	4-6
2007-11-25	Oakland Raiders	L 17-20	1416.06	1310.92	71.22%	28.59%	-28.46	4-7
2007-12-02	San Diego Chargers	L 10-24	1387.60	1569.18	32.24%	67.56%	-27.85	4-8
2007-12-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-41	1359.75	1414.58	34.84%	64.95%	-46.91	4-9
2007-12-16	Tennessee Titans	L 17-26	1312.84	1433.86	40.26%	59.52%	-27.89	4-10
2007-12-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-25	1284.95	1387.08	28.94%	70.86%	-14.94	4-11
2007-12-30	@ New York Jets	L 10-13	1270.01	1355.29	30.97%	68.82%	-12.39	4-12
2007-09-09	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-16	1491.91	1479.18	44.09%	55.68%	-17.63	0-1
2007-09-16	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-37	1474.28	1532.29	49.20%	50.57%	-46.82	0-2
2007-09-23	@ New York Jets	L 28-31	1427.46	1425.32	42.59%	57.18%	-17.03	0-3
2007-09-30	Oakland Raiders	L 17-35	1410.43	1381.47	61.49%	38.29%	-60.20	0-4
2007-10-07	@ Houston Texans	L 19-22	1350.23	1481.53	25.62%	74.20%	-10.25	0-5
2007-10-14	@ Cleveland Browns	L 31-41	1339.98	1453.14	27.66%	72.15%	-20.20	0-6
2007-10-21	New England Patriots	L 28-49	1319.78	1787.18	8.43%	91.49%	-8.90	0-7
2007-10-28	@ New York Giants	L 10-13	1310.88	1587.57	16.86%	83.00%	-6.74	0-8
2007-11-11	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1304.14	1529.27	27.02%	72.79%	-10.81	0-9
2007-11-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-17	1293.33	1518.26	16.74%	83.12%	-12.22	0-10
2007-11-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-3	1281.11	1656.44	7.81%	92.11%	-3.12	0-11
2007-12-02	New York Jets	L 13-40	1277.99	1335.03	49.33%	50.43%	-59.18	0-12
2007-12-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-38	1218.81	1492.31	13.20%	86.68%	-13.96	0-13
2007-12-16	Baltimore Ravens	W 22-16	1204.85	1363.52	35.18%	64.61%	+36.51	1-13
2007-12-23	@ New England Patriots	L 7-28	1241.36	1901.56	1.62%	98.36%	-1.71	1-14
2007-12-30	Cincinnati Bengals	L 25-38	1239.65	1478.93	25.45%	74.37%	-21.19	1-15
2007-09-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-3	1472.42	1470.30	57.78%	41.99%	+44.44	1-0
2007-09-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-20	1516.86	1495.31	45.34%	54.43%	-18.13	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-13	1498.73	1444.93	49.97%	49.80%	-19.98	1-2
2007-09-30	Green Bay Packers	L 16-23	1478.75	1574.22	43.84%	55.93%	-26.78	1-3
2007-10-14	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-31	1451.97	1500.95	35.60%	64.18%	+25.65	2-3
2007-10-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-24	1477.62	1614.37	25.03%	74.79%	-18.28	2-4
2007-10-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-23	1459.34	1487.34	53.51%	46.26%	-32.67	2-5
2007-11-04	San Diego Chargers	W 35-17	1426.67	1611.55	31.82%	67.97%	+66.53	3-5
2007-11-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-34	1493.20	1628.84	25.15%	74.67%	-33.86	3-6
2007-11-18	Oakland Raiders	W 29-22	1459.34	1326.47	74.37%	25.45%	+15.55	4-6
2007-11-25	@ New York Giants	W 41-17	1474.89	1587.46	27.72%	72.09%	+81.45	5-6
2007-12-02	Detroit Lions	W 42-10	1556.34	1454.41	70.84%	28.97%	+37.84	6-6
2007-12-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-7	1594.18	1272.94	82.29%	17.57%	+18.14	7-6
2007-12-17	Chicago Bears	W 20-13	1612.32	1428.09	79.58%	20.26%	+12.38	8-6
2007-12-23	Washington Redskins	L 21-32	1624.70	1530.05	69.97%	29.84%	-53.53	8-7
2007-12-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-22	1571.17	1406.17	65.44%	34.35%	-26.15	8-8
2007-09-09	@ New York Jets	W 38-14	1570.21	1497.50	52.68%	47.08%	+53.25	1-0
2007-09-16	San Diego Chargers	W 38-14	1623.46	1604.37	60.14%	39.63%	+44.84	2-0
2007-09-23	Buffalo Bills	W 38-7	1668.30	1456.53	82.03%	17.82%	+22.91	3-0
2007-10-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-13	1691.21	1498.37	68.96%	30.84%	+32.63	4-0
2007-10-07	Cleveland Browns	W 34-17	1723.84	1466.77	85.55%	14.32%	+13.63	5-0
2007-10-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 48-27	1737.47	1664.08	52.78%	46.98%	+49.71	6-0
2007-10-21	@ Miami Dolphins	W 49-28	1787.18	1319.78	91.49%	8.43%	+8.91	7-0
2007-10-28	Washington Redskins	W 52-7	1796.09	1537.08	85.69%	14.19%	+21.96	8-0
2007-11-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-20	1818.05	1787.17	46.67%	53.09%	+24.51	9-0
2007-11-18	@ Buffalo Bills	W 56-10	1842.56	1540.08	80.66%	19.19%	+30.04	10-0
2007-11-25	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-28	1872.60	1530.48	90.61%	9.30%	+3.72	11-0
2007-12-03	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 27-24	1876.32	1380.62	92.68%	7.25%	+2.90	12-0
2007-12-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-13	1879.22	1678.45	81.08%	18.77%	+19.85	13-0
2007-12-16	New York Jets	W 20-10	1899.07	1371.67	96.55%	3.41%	+2.49	14-0
2007-12-23	Miami Dolphins	W 28-7	1901.56	1241.36	98.36%	1.62%	+1.71	15-0
2007-12-29	@ New York Giants	W 38-35	1903.27	1552.96	84.59%	15.28%	+6.11	16-0
2007-09-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-41	1505.78	1566.35	34.09%	65.70%	-43.83	0-1
2007-09-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-31	1461.95	1421.51	48.05%	51.72%	-45.73	0-2
2007-09-24	Tennessee Titans	L 14-31	1416.22	1494.37	46.30%	53.47%	-44.08	0-3
2007-10-07	Carolina Panthers	L 13-16	1372.14	1478.72	42.27%	57.50%	-16.91	0-4
2007-10-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 28-17	1355.23	1544.53	19.80%	80.05%	+61.23	1-4
2007-10-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 22-16	1416.46	1366.37	64.33%	35.46%	+20.06	2-4
2007-10-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-10	1436.52	1371.52	51.58%	48.19%	+50.98	3-4
2007-11-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 41-24	1487.50	1593.25	42.39%	57.39%	+54.60	4-4
2007-11-11	St. Louis Rams	L 29-37	1542.10	1282.05	85.76%	14.12%	-55.93	4-5
2007-11-18	@ Houston Texans	L 10-23	1486.17	1451.61	47.20%	52.57%	-39.29	4-6
2007-11-25	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-6	1446.88	1426.77	45.14%	54.63%	+63.05	5-6
2007-12-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-27	1509.93	1585.81	46.63%	53.14%	-21.53	5-7
2007-12-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-14	1488.40	1314.79	66.55%	33.24%	+34.33	6-7
2007-12-16	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-24	1522.73	1458.89	66.12%	33.67%	+20.58	7-7
2007-12-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-38	1543.31	1521.18	60.56%	39.22%	-54.12	7-8
2007-12-30	@ Chicago Bears	L 25-33	1489.19	1512.75	39.02%	60.76%	-25.49	7-9
2007-09-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 35-45	1499.03	1501.68	41.92%	57.86%	-30.61	0-1
2007-09-16	Green Bay Packers	L 13-35	1468.42	1488.13	54.69%	45.08%	-59.20	0-2
2007-09-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-17	1409.22	1534.47	26.29%	73.53%	+44.87	1-2
2007-09-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-3	1454.09	1528.70	46.81%	52.96%	+44.07	2-2
2007-10-07	New York Jets	W 35-24	1498.16	1424.95	67.32%	32.48%	+24.87	3-2
2007-10-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-10	1523.03	1410.17	58.38%	41.39%	+43.80	4-2
2007-10-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 33-15	1566.83	1392.26	78.66%	21.17%	+20.74	5-2
2007-10-28	Miami Dolphins	W 13-10	1587.57	1310.88	83.00%	16.86%	+6.74	6-2
2007-11-11	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-31	1594.31	1676.48	45.73%	54.04%	-35.01	6-3
2007-11-18	@ Detroit Lions	W 16-10	1559.30	1505.51	49.97%	49.80%	+28.16	7-3
2007-11-25	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-41	1587.46	1474.89	72.09%	27.72%	-81.46	7-4
2007-12-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-16	1506.00	1484.69	45.31%	54.46%	+28.11	8-4
2007-12-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-13	1534.11	1502.16	46.83%	52.94%	+21.16	9-4
2007-12-16	Washington Redskins	L 10-22	1555.27	1475.61	68.13%	31.67%	-54.44	9-5
2007-12-23	@ Buffalo Bills	W 38-21	1500.83	1481.75	44.99%	54.78%	+52.13	10-5
2007-12-29	New England Patriots	L 35-38	1552.96	1903.27	15.28%	84.59%	-6.11	10-6
2007-09-09	New England Patriots	L 14-38	1497.50	1570.21	47.08%	52.68%	-53.25	0-1
2007-09-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 13-20	1444.25	1529.50	30.98%	68.82%	-18.93	0-2
2007-09-23	Miami Dolphins	W 31-28	1425.32	1427.46	57.18%	42.59%	+17.04	1-2
2007-09-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-17	1442.36	1433.62	43.52%	56.25%	-17.41	1-3
2007-10-07	@ New York Giants	L 24-35	1424.95	1498.16	32.48%	67.32%	-24.87	1-4
2007-10-14	Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-16	1400.08	1484.63	45.39%	54.38%	-27.73	1-5
2007-10-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-38	1372.35	1441.56	32.98%	66.81%	-20.15	1-6
2007-10-28	Buffalo Bills	L 3-13	1352.20	1473.34	40.24%	59.54%	-29.39	1-7
2007-11-04	Washington Redskins	L 20-23	1322.81	1515.11	30.90%	68.90%	-12.36	1-8
2007-11-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 19-16	1310.45	1691.07	13.16%	86.73%	+34.63	2-8
2007-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-34	1345.08	1720.09	7.82%	92.10%	-10.05	2-9
2007-12-02	@ Miami Dolphins	W 40-13	1335.03	1277.99	50.43%	49.33%	+59.18	3-9
2007-12-09	Cleveland Browns	L 18-24	1394.21	1518.22	39.84%	59.93%	-22.54	3-10
2007-12-16	@ New England Patriots	L 10-20	1371.67	1899.07	3.41%	96.55%	-2.48	3-11
2007-12-23	@ Tennessee Titans	L 6-10	1369.19	1461.75	30.09%	69.71%	-13.90	3-12
2007-12-30	Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-10	1355.29	1270.01	68.82%	30.97%	+12.39	4-12
2007-09-09	Detroit Lions	L 21-36	1421.47	1447.19	53.83%	45.94%	-48.12	0-1
2007-09-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1373.35	1542.42	21.71%	78.13%	-8.68	0-2
2007-09-23	Cleveland Browns	W 26-24	1364.67	1428.91	48.30%	51.47%	+16.80	1-2
2007-09-30	@ Miami Dolphins	W 35-17	1381.47	1410.43	38.29%	61.49%	+60.20	2-2
2007-10-14	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-28	1441.67	1558.86	27.19%	72.62%	-23.50	2-3
2007-10-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-12	1418.17	1509.42	44.44%	55.33%	-14.51	2-4
2007-10-28	@ Tennessee Titans	L 9-13	1403.66	1552.39	23.76%	76.07%	-10.97	2-5
2007-11-04	Houston Texans	L 17-24	1392.69	1418.77	53.78%	45.99%	-32.84	2-6
2007-11-11	Chicago Bears	L 6-17	1359.85	1457.09	43.59%	56.19%	-33.38	2-7
2007-11-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 22-29	1326.47	1459.34	25.45%	74.37%	-15.55	2-8
2007-11-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1310.92	1416.06	28.59%	71.22%	+28.46	3-8
2007-12-02	Denver Broncos	W 34-20	1339.38	1466.72	39.38%	60.39%	+52.14	4-8
2007-12-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-38	1391.52	1672.49	12.72%	87.17%	-16.34	4-9
2007-12-16	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-21	1375.18	1781.83	11.54%	88.35%	-7.05	4-10
2007-12-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 11-49	1368.13	1693.89	10.12%	89.78%	-14.40	4-11
2007-12-30	San Diego Chargers	L 17-30	1353.73	1661.67	18.71%	81.15%	-15.57	4-12
2007-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-16	1518.05	1468.39	49.37%	50.40%	-19.74	0-1
2007-09-17	Washington Redskins	L 12-20	1498.31	1496.82	57.69%	42.08%	-37.65	0-2
2007-09-23	Detroit Lions	W 56-21	1460.66	1513.44	49.95%	49.82%	+68.04	1-2
2007-09-30	@ New York Giants	L 3-16	1528.70	1454.09	52.96%	46.81%	-44.07	1-3
2007-10-14	@ New York Jets	W 16-9	1484.63	1400.08	54.38%	45.39%	+27.72	2-3
2007-10-21	Chicago Bears	L 16-19	1512.35	1475.30	62.59%	37.19%	-25.01	2-4
2007-10-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-16	1487.34	1459.34	46.26%	53.51%	+32.67	3-4
2007-11-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-38	1520.01	1632.65	41.42%	58.35%	-43.83	3-5
2007-11-11	@ Washington Redskins	W 33-25	1476.18	1527.48	35.30%	64.49%	+42.08	4-5
2007-11-18	Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1518.26	1293.33	83.12%	16.74%	+12.22	5-5
2007-11-25	@ New England Patriots	L 28-31	1530.48	1872.60	9.30%	90.61%	-3.71	5-6
2007-12-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-28	1526.77	1556.20	53.30%	46.47%	-24.61	5-7
2007-12-09	New York Giants	L 13-16	1502.16	1534.11	52.94%	46.83%	-21.16	5-8
2007-12-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 10-6	1481.00	1761.69	12.74%	87.15%	+40.18	6-8
2007-12-23	@ New Orleans Saints	W 38-23	1521.18	1543.31	39.22%	60.56%	+54.12	7-8
2007-12-30	Buffalo Bills	W 17-9	1575.30	1429.63	75.75%	24.08%	+15.73	8-8
2007-09-09	@ Cleveland Browns	W 34-7	1550.31	1442.95	57.61%	42.16%	+50.58	1-0
2007-09-16	Buffalo Bills	W 26-3	1600.89	1487.08	72.23%	27.58%	+30.55	2-0
2007-09-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-16	1631.44	1477.72	76.59%	23.24%	+24.59	3-0
2007-09-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 14-21	1656.03	1455.12	69.95%	29.86%	-42.69	3-1
2007-10-07	Seattle Seahawks	W 21-0	1613.34	1585.15	61.39%	38.39%	+40.63	4-1
2007-10-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 28-31	1653.97	1401.23	75.81%	24.01%	-30.29	4-2
2007-10-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-13	1623.68	1461.71	65.04%	34.74%	+26.62	5-2
2007-11-05	Baltimore Ravens	W 38-7	1650.30	1513.38	74.81%	25.01%	+32.15	6-2
2007-11-11	Cleveland Browns	W 31-28	1682.45	1511.77	78.29%	21.55%	+8.62	7-2
2007-11-18	@ New York Jets	L 16-19	1691.07	1310.45	86.73%	13.16%	-34.63	7-3
2007-11-26	Miami Dolphins	W 3-0	1656.44	1281.11	92.11%	7.81%	+3.12	8-3
2007-12-02	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-10	1659.56	1492.15	77.97%	21.87%	+18.89	9-3
2007-12-09	@ New England Patriots	L 13-34	1678.45	1879.22	18.77%	81.08%	-19.86	9-4
2007-12-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 22-29	1658.59	1658.81	57.45%	42.32%	-35.07	9-5
2007-12-20	@ St. Louis Rams	W 41-24	1623.52	1340.80	78.83%	21.01%	+20.00	10-5
2007-12-30	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 21-27	1643.52	1311.81	83.15%	16.72%	-15.66	10-6
2007-09-09	Chicago Bears	W 14-3	1573.93	1555.65	60.03%	39.75%	+30.44	1-0
2007-09-16	@ New England Patriots	L 14-38	1604.37	1623.46	39.63%	60.14%	-44.84	1-1
2007-09-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1559.53	1547.34	44.01%	55.76%	-26.89	1-2
2007-09-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-30	1532.64	1464.91	66.62%	33.17%	-57.50	1-3
2007-10-07	@ Denver Broncos	W 41-3	1475.14	1484.96	40.92%	58.86%	+83.72	2-3
2007-10-14	Oakland Raiders	W 28-14	1558.86	1441.67	72.62%	27.19%	+23.50	3-3
2007-10-28	Houston Texans	W 35-10	1582.36	1447.96	74.54%	25.28%	+29.19	4-3
2007-11-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-35	1611.55	1426.67	67.97%	31.82%	-66.53	4-4
2007-11-11	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-21	1545.02	1762.66	27.88%	71.93%	+23.46	5-4
2007-11-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-24	1568.48	1596.65	38.39%	61.39%	-23.45	5-5
2007-11-25	Baltimore Ravens	W 32-14	1545.03	1404.77	75.17%	24.65%	+24.15	6-5
2007-12-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-10	1569.18	1387.60	67.56%	32.24%	+27.85	7-5
2007-12-09	@ Tennessee Titans	W 23-17	1597.03	1455.01	62.39%	37.39%	+21.15	8-5
2007-12-16	Detroit Lions	W 51-14	1618.18	1412.88	81.48%	18.38%	+25.81	9-5
2007-12-24	Denver Broncos	W 23-3	1643.99	1423.85	82.73%	17.13%	+17.68	10-5
2007-12-30	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-17	1661.67	1353.73	81.15%	18.71%	+15.57	11-5
2007-09-10	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1447.61	1462.94	55.32%	44.45%	+17.78	1-0
2007-09-16	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-16	1465.39	1436.88	46.34%	53.43%	+12.33	2-0
2007-09-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-37	1477.72	1631.44	23.24%	76.59%	-24.59	2-1
2007-09-30	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-23	1453.13	1538.39	45.29%	54.48%	-46.76	2-2
2007-10-07	Baltimore Ravens	L 7-9	1406.37	1506.38	43.19%	56.58%	-14.11	2-3
2007-10-21	@ New York Giants	L 15-33	1392.26	1566.83	21.17%	78.66%	-20.74	2-4
2007-10-28	New Orleans Saints	L 10-31	1371.52	1436.52	48.19%	51.58%	-50.98	2-5
2007-11-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-20	1320.54	1346.31	38.72%	61.06%	-17.88	2-6
2007-11-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 0-24	1302.66	1493.42	19.66%	80.18%	-22.24	2-7
2007-11-18	St. Louis Rams	L 9-13	1280.42	1337.98	49.26%	50.51%	-22.74	2-8
2007-11-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 37-31	1257.68	1508.01	14.81%	85.07%	+48.04	3-8
2007-12-02	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-31	1305.72	1363.72	34.42%	65.36%	-32.78	3-9
2007-12-09	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-27	1272.94	1594.18	17.57%	82.29%	-18.14	3-10
2007-12-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-13	1254.80	1493.90	25.47%	74.35%	+45.37	4-10
2007-12-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-19	1300.17	1567.83	22.48%	77.35%	+25.23	5-10
2007-12-30	@ Cleveland Browns	L 7-20	1325.40	1534.87	18.02%	81.84%	-15.00	5-11
2007-09-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-6	1515.47	1450.48	66.27%	33.52%	+28.97	1-0
2007-09-16	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-23	1544.44	1445.16	56.47%	43.30%	-22.57	1-1
2007-09-23	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-21	1521.87	1514.90	58.46%	41.31%	+16.52	2-1
2007-09-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-3	1538.39	1453.13	54.48%	45.29%	+46.76	3-1
2007-10-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-21	1585.15	1613.34	38.39%	61.39%	-40.62	3-2
2007-10-14	New Orleans Saints	L 17-28	1544.53	1355.23	80.05%	19.80%	-61.23	3-3
2007-10-21	St. Louis Rams	W 33-6	1483.30	1330.60	76.48%	23.35%	+28.01	4-3
2007-11-04	@ Cleveland Browns	L 30-33	1511.31	1493.87	44.76%	55.01%	-17.89	4-4
2007-11-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-0	1493.42	1302.66	80.18%	19.66%	+22.24	5-4
2007-11-18	Chicago Bears	W 30-23	1515.66	1490.47	60.98%	38.80%	+23.70	6-4
2007-11-25	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-19	1539.36	1360.72	67.19%	32.60%	+16.84	7-4
2007-12-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-24	1556.20	1526.77	46.47%	53.30%	+24.60	8-4
2007-12-09	Arizona Cardinals	W 42-21	1580.80	1491.10	69.37%	30.43%	+32.21	9-4
2007-12-16	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-13	1613.01	1376.74	74.04%	25.78%	-29.58	9-5
2007-12-23	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-6	1583.43	1327.01	85.51%	14.37%	+15.20	10-5
2007-12-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 41-44	1598.63	1253.90	84.17%	15.70%	-11.20	10-6
2007-09-09	Carolina Panthers	L 13-27	1483.20	1510.25	53.64%	46.13%	-46.32	0-1
2007-09-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-17	1436.88	1465.39	53.43%	46.34%	-12.33	0-2
2007-09-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-24	1424.55	1467.24	36.44%	63.35%	-38.56	0-3
2007-09-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-35	1385.99	1639.54	14.57%	85.30%	-17.80	0-4
2007-10-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 31-34	1368.19	1497.81	39.07%	60.70%	-15.63	0-5
2007-10-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-22	1352.56	1520.48	21.82%	78.02%	-21.96	0-6
2007-10-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-33	1330.60	1483.30	23.35%	76.48%	-28.01	0-7
2007-10-28	Cleveland Browns	L 20-27	1302.59	1473.34	33.61%	66.18%	-20.54	0-8
2007-11-11	@ New Orleans Saints	W 37-29	1282.05	1542.10	14.12%	85.76%	+55.93	1-8
2007-11-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 13-9	1337.98	1280.42	50.51%	49.26%	+22.74	2-8
2007-11-25	Seattle Seahawks	L 19-24	1360.72	1539.36	32.60%	67.19%	-16.84	2-9
2007-12-02	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-16	1343.88	1349.22	56.73%	43.04%	+34.43	3-9
2007-12-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-19	1378.31	1473.25	29.80%	70.00%	-20.65	3-10
2007-12-16	Green Bay Packers	L 14-33	1357.66	1688.83	16.76%	83.10%	-16.86	3-11
2007-12-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-41	1340.80	1623.52	21.01%	78.83%	-20.00	3-12
2007-12-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 19-48	1320.80	1446.73	26.21%	73.60%	-32.60	3-13
2007-09-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-20	1450.48	1515.47	33.52%	66.27%	-28.97	0-1
2007-09-16	New Orleans Saints	W 31-14	1421.51	1461.95	51.72%	48.05%	+45.73	1-1
2007-09-23	St. Louis Rams	W 24-3	1467.24	1424.55	63.35%	36.44%	+38.56	2-1
2007-09-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-7	1505.80	1529.26	39.04%	60.74%	+50.54	3-1
2007-10-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-33	1556.34	1675.01	27.03%	72.79%	-27.21	3-2
2007-10-14	Tennessee Titans	W 13-10	1529.13	1555.48	53.74%	46.03%	+18.41	4-2
2007-10-21	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-23	1547.54	1428.12	59.30%	40.48%	-36.20	4-3
2007-10-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 23-24	1511.34	1582.32	47.33%	52.44%	-10.93	4-4
2007-11-04	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-10	1500.41	1448.95	64.51%	35.28%	+21.55	5-4
2007-11-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-7	1521.96	1408.84	58.42%	41.35%	+46.78	6-4
2007-11-25	Washington Redskins	W 19-13	1568.74	1476.80	69.64%	30.16%	+17.07	7-4
2007-12-02	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-23	1585.81	1509.93	53.14%	46.63%	+21.53	8-4
2007-12-09	@ Houston Texans	L 14-28	1607.34	1431.84	66.79%	33.00%	-57.66	8-5
2007-12-16	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-3	1549.68	1280.46	86.39%	13.49%	+18.15	9-5
2007-12-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-21	1567.83	1300.17	77.35%	22.48%	-25.22	9-6
2007-12-30	Carolina Panthers	L 23-31	1542.61	1395.27	75.92%	23.90%	-16.51	9-7
2007-09-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-10	1482.61	1534.21	35.26%	64.53%	+25.78	1-0
2007-09-16	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-22	1508.39	1610.18	42.94%	56.83%	-14.02	1-1
2007-09-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-14	1494.37	1416.22	53.47%	46.30%	+44.07	2-1
2007-10-07	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-13	1538.44	1427.20	71.93%	27.88%	+17.04	3-1
2007-10-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-13	1555.48	1529.13	46.03%	53.74%	-18.41	3-2
2007-10-21	@ Houston Texans	W 38-36	1537.07	1463.28	52.84%	46.93%	+15.32	4-2
2007-10-28	Oakland Raiders	W 13-9	1552.39	1403.66	76.07%	23.76%	+10.98	5-2
2007-11-04	Carolina Panthers	W 20-7	1563.37	1515.95	63.97%	35.81%	+29.81	6-2
2007-11-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-28	1593.18	1538.65	64.91%	34.87%	-58.00	6-3
2007-11-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-34	1535.18	1435.88	56.48%	43.29%	-48.77	6-4
2007-11-25	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 6-35	1486.41	1429.47	50.42%	49.35%	-62.67	6-5
2007-12-02	Houston Texans	W 28-20	1423.74	1463.11	51.88%	47.89%	+31.27	7-5
2007-12-09	San Diego Chargers	L 17-23	1455.01	1597.03	37.39%	62.39%	-21.15	7-6
2007-12-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-17	1433.86	1312.84	59.52%	40.26%	+27.89	8-6
2007-12-23	New York Jets	W 10-6	1461.75	1369.19	69.71%	30.09%	+13.90	9-6
2007-12-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-10	1475.65	1794.04	10.52%	89.39%	+16.82	10-6
2007-09-09	Miami Dolphins	W 16-13	1479.18	1491.91	55.68%	44.09%	+17.64	1-0
2007-09-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-12	1496.82	1498.31	42.08%	57.69%	+37.65	2-0
2007-09-23	New York Giants	L 17-24	1534.47	1409.22	73.53%	26.29%	-44.87	2-1
2007-10-07	Detroit Lions	W 34-3	1489.60	1480.94	58.70%	41.08%	+52.81	3-1
2007-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	1542.41	1554.74	40.57%	59.21%	-16.22	3-2
2007-10-21	Arizona Cardinals	W 21-19	1526.19	1459.84	66.44%	33.35%	+10.89	4-2
2007-10-28	@ New England Patriots	L 7-52	1537.08	1796.09	14.19%	85.69%	-21.97	4-3
2007-11-04	@ New York Jets	W 23-20	1515.11	1322.81	68.90%	30.90%	+12.37	5-3
2007-11-11	Philadelphia Eagles	L 25-33	1527.48	1476.18	64.49%	35.30%	-42.09	5-4
2007-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 23-28	1485.39	1711.50	16.65%	83.21%	-8.59	5-5
2007-11-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-19	1476.80	1568.74	30.16%	69.64%	-17.06	5-6
2007-12-02	Buffalo Bills	L 16-17	1459.74	1479.69	54.66%	45.11%	-12.62	5-7
2007-12-06	Chicago Bears	W 24-16	1447.12	1456.58	56.15%	43.62%	+28.49	6-7
2007-12-16	@ New York Giants	W 22-10	1475.61	1555.27	31.67%	68.13%	+54.44	7-7
2007-12-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 32-21	1530.05	1624.70	29.84%	69.97%	+53.53	8-7
2007-12-30	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-6	1583.58	1732.55	36.46%	63.32%	+66.96	9-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2008-01-13	New York Giants	L 17-21	1665.60	1586.66	68.15%	31.85%	-31.39	0-1
2008-01-12	Seattle Seahawks	W 42-20	1627.98	1641.70	55.66%	44.34%	+47.89	1-0
2008-01-20	New York Giants	L 20-23	1675.87	1618.05	65.46%	34.54%	-26.11	1-1
2008-01-13	San Diego Chargers	L 24-28	1777.21	1692.72	68.84%	31.16%	-31.71	0-1
2008-01-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-29	1649.46	1627.86	45.46%	54.54%	+17.76	1-0
2008-01-12	@ New England Patriots	L 20-31	1667.22	1909.38	15.44%	84.56%	-11.80	1-1
2008-01-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-20	1909.38	1667.22	84.56%	15.44%	+11.79	1-0
2008-01-20	San Diego Chargers	W 21-12	1921.17	1724.43	80.83%	19.17%	+13.25	2-0
2008-02-03	@ New York Giants	L 14-17	1934.42	1644.16	84.17%	15.83%	-33.58	2-1
2008-01-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-14	1546.85	1526.10	45.34%	54.66%	+39.81	1-0
2008-01-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 21-17	1586.66	1665.60	31.85%	68.15%	+31.39	2-0
2008-01-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1618.05	1675.87	34.54%	65.46%	+26.11	3-0
2008-02-03	New England Patriots	W 17-14	1644.16	1934.42	15.83%	84.17%	+33.57	4-0
2008-01-05	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 29-31	1627.86	1649.46	54.54%	45.46%	-17.76	0-1
2008-01-06	Tennessee Titans	W 17-6	1677.24	1492.47	79.74%	20.26%	+15.48	1-0
2008-01-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 28-24	1692.72	1777.21	31.16%	68.84%	+31.71	2-0
2008-01-20	@ New England Patriots	L 12-21	1724.43	1921.17	19.17%	80.83%	-13.25	2-1
2008-01-05	Washington Redskins	W 35-14	1587.43	1650.54	48.58%	51.42%	+54.27	1-0
2008-01-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-42	1641.70	1627.98	44.34%	55.66%	-47.90	1-1
2008-01-06	New York Giants	L 14-24	1526.10	1546.85	54.66%	45.34%	-39.81	0-1
2008-01-06	@ San Diego Chargers	L 6-17	1492.47	1677.24	20.26%	79.74%	-15.48	0-1
2008-01-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-35	1650.54	1587.43	51.42%	48.58%	-54.27	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-12-30	10.52%	Tennessee Titans	1475.65	16	@ Indianapolis Colts	1794.04	10
2	2007-12-16	12.74%	Philadelphia Eagles	1481.00	10	@ Dallas Cowboys	1761.69	6
3	2007-11-18	13.16%	@ New York Jets	1310.45	19	Pittsburgh Steelers	1691.07	16
4	2007-11-11	14.12%	St. Louis Rams	1282.05	37	@ New Orleans Saints	1542.10	29
5	2007-11-25	14.81%	San Francisco 49ers	1257.68	37	@ Arizona Cardinals	1508.01	31
6	2007-12-30	15.70%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1253.90	44	Seattle Seahawks	1598.63	41
7	2008-02-03 *	15.83%	@ New York Giants	1644.16	17	New England Patriots	1934.42	14
8	2007-12-30	16.72%	@ Baltimore Ravens	1311.81	27	Pittsburgh Steelers	1643.52	21
9	2007-10-14	19.80%	New Orleans Saints	1355.23	28	@ Seattle Seahawks	1544.53	17
10	2007-12-23	20.33%	@ Chicago Bears	1415.72	35	Green Bay Packers	1705.69	7
11	2007-12-23	22.48%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1300.17	21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1567.83	19
12	2007-12-30	23.90%	Carolina Panthers	1395.27	31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1542.61	23
13	2007-10-07	24.01%	Chicago Bears	1454.69	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1601.00	20
14	2007-10-21	24.01%	@ Denver Broncos	1401.23	31	Pittsburgh Steelers	1653.97	28
15	2007-12-15	25.47%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1254.80	20	Cincinnati Bengals	1493.90	13
16	2007-12-16	25.78%	@ Carolina Panthers	1376.74	13	Seattle Seahawks	1613.01	10
17	2007-09-23	26.29%	New York Giants	1409.22	24	@ Washington Redskins	1534.47	17
18	2007-11-11	26.66%	Atlanta Falcons	1364.19	20	@ Carolina Panthers	1486.13	13
19	2007-11-11	27.03%	Denver Broncos	1368.72	27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1487.40	11
20	2007-11-25	27.72%	Minnesota Vikings	1474.89	41	@ New York Giants	1587.46	17
21	2007-11-11	27.88%	@ San Diego Chargers	1545.02	23	Indianapolis Colts	1762.66	21
22	2007-11-25	28.59%	Oakland Raiders	1310.92	20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1416.06	17
23	2007-12-23	29.84%	Washington Redskins	1530.05	32	@ Minnesota Vikings	1624.70	21
24	2007-09-30	29.86%	@ Arizona Cardinals	1455.12	21	Pittsburgh Steelers	1656.03	14
25	2008-01-13 *	31.16%	San Diego Chargers	1692.72	28	@ Indianapolis Colts	1777.21	24

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2007-12-23	97.03	@ Chicago Bears	35	1415.72	20.33%	Green Bay Packers	7	1705.69	79.52%
2	2007-10-07	83.73	San Diego Chargers	41	1475.14	40.92%	@ Denver Broncos	3	1484.96	58.86%
3	2007-11-25	81.46	Minnesota Vikings	41	1474.89	27.72%	@ New York Giants	17	1587.46	72.09%
4	2007-09-23	68.04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	56	1460.66	49.95%	Detroit Lions	21	1513.44	49.82%
5	2007-11-11	67.16	Denver Broncos	27	1368.72	27.03%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	11	1487.40	72.79%
6	2007-12-30	66.96	@ Washington Redskins	27	1583.58	36.46%	Dallas Cowboys	6	1732.55	63.32%
7	2007-11-04	66.53	@ Minnesota Vikings	35	1426.67	31.82%	San Diego Chargers	17	1611.55	67.97%
8	2007-11-25	63.05	New Orleans Saints	31	1446.88	45.14%	@ Carolina Panthers	6	1426.77	54.63%
9	2007-11-25	62.68	@ Cincinnati Bengals	35	1429.47	49.35%	Tennessee Titans	6	1486.41	50.42%
10	2007-10-14	61.23	New Orleans Saints	28	1355.23	19.80%	@ Seattle Seahawks	17	1544.53	80.05%
11	2007-09-23	60.43	Dallas Cowboys	34	1579.11	46.33%	@ Chicago Bears	10	1550.65	53.44%
12	2007-09-30	60.20	Oakland Raiders	35	1381.47	38.29%	@ Miami Dolphins	17	1410.43	61.49%
13	2007-09-16	59.21	Green Bay Packers	35	1488.13	45.08%	@ New York Giants	13	1468.42	54.69%
14	2007-12-02	59.18	New York Jets	40	1335.03	50.43%	@ Miami Dolphins	13	1277.99	49.33%
15	2007-12-30	58.83	@ Houston Texans	42	1521.96	31.64%	Jacksonville Jaguars	28	1708.28	68.15%
16	2007-11-11	58.05	Cincinnati Bengals	21	1408.55	32.54%	@ Baltimore Ravens	7	1481.23	67.25%
17	2007-11-11	58.00	Jacksonville Jaguars	28	1538.65	34.87%	@ Tennessee Titans	13	1593.18	64.91%
18	2007-12-09	57.66	@ Houston Texans	28	1431.84	33.00%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14	1607.34	66.79%
19	2007-09-30	57.51	Kansas City Chiefs	30	1464.91	33.17%	@ San Diego Chargers	16	1532.64	66.62%
20	2007-11-11	55.93	St. Louis Rams	37	1282.05	14.12%	@ New Orleans Saints	29	1542.10	85.76%
21	2007-09-30	54.66	@ Cleveland Browns	27	1412.11	36.46%	Baltimore Ravens	13	1561.04	63.32%
22	2007-11-04	54.60	@ New Orleans Saints	41	1487.50	42.39%	Jacksonville Jaguars	24	1593.25	57.39%
23	2007-12-16	54.44	Washington Redskins	22	1475.61	31.67%	@ New York Giants	10	1555.27	68.13%
24	2008-01-05 *	54.27	@ Seattle Seahawks	35	1587.43	48.58%	Washington Redskins	14	1650.54	51.42%
25	2007-09-16	54.21	Houston Texans	34	1500.11	34.62%	@ Carolina Panthers	21	1556.58	65.16%