2006 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Indianapolis Colts

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1970

Runner-Up

Chicago Bears

2nd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1985

Biggest Overachiever

Baltimore Ravens

3.91 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.09 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Redskins

3.47 wins below expected

5 wins · 8.47 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	12	4	.750	-	385	237	+148	10.49	+1.51
2	New York Jets Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	316	295	+21	7.58	+2.42
3	Buffalo Bills	7	9	.438	5	300	311	-11	6.51	+0.49
4	Miami Dolphins	6	10	.375	6	260	283	-23	7.37	-1.37

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Baltimore Ravens Division	13	3	.812	-	353	201	+152	9.09	+3.91
2	Cincinnati Bengals	8	8	.500	5	373	331	+42	8.33	-0.33
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	8	.500	5	353	315	+38	10.35	-2.35
4	Cleveland Browns	4	12	.250	9	238	356	-118	5.78	-1.78

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	12	4	.750	-	427	360	+67	10.94	+1.06
2	Tennessee Titans	8	8	.500	4	324	400	-76	5.28	+2.72
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	8	8	.500	4	371	274	+97	9.06	-1.06
4	Houston Texans	6	10	.375	6	267	366	-99	5.32	+0.68

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Diego Chargers Division	14	2	.875	-	492	303	+189	11.24	+2.76
2	Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs	9	7	.562	5	331	315	+16	8.89	+0.11
3	Denver Broncos	9	7	.562	5	319	305	+14	9.70	-0.70
4	Oakland Raiders	2	14	.125	12	168	332	-164	4.87	-2.87

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	10	6	.625	-	398	328	+70	7.91	+2.09
2	Dallas Cowboys Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	425	350	+75	9.01	-0.01
3	New York Giants Playoffs	8	8	.500	2	355	362	-7	8.61	-0.61
4	Washington Redskins	5	11	.312	5	307	376	-69	8.47	-3.47

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	13	3	.812	-	427	255	+172	10.95	+2.05
2	Green Bay Packers	8	8	.500	5	301	366	-65	6.86	+1.14
3	Minnesota Vikings	6	10	.375	7	282	327	-45	8.71	-2.71
4	Detroit Lions	3	13	.188	10	305	398	-93	5.31	-2.31

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New Orleans Saints Division	10	6	.625	-	413	322	+91	7.20	+2.80
2	Carolina Panthers	8	8	.500	2	270	305	-35	9.45	-1.45
3	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	3	292	328	-36	7.66	-0.66
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	12	.250	6	211	353	-142	6.21	-2.21

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	9	7	.562	-	335	341	-6	10.42	-1.42
2	St. Louis Rams	8	8	.500	1	367	381	-14	6.91	+1.09
3	San Francisco 49ers	7	9	.438	2	298	412	-114	5.66	+1.34
4	Arizona Cardinals	5	11	.312	4	314	389	-75	5.89	-0.89

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Indianapolis Colts 23

Kansas City Chiefs 8

Jan 6

New England Patriots 37

New York Jets 16

Jan 7

Divisional Round

Indianapolis Colts 15

Baltimore Ravens 6

Jan 13

New England Patriots 24

San Diego Chargers 21

Jan 14

Conference Championship

Indianapolis Colts 38

New England Patriots 34

Jan 21

NFC

Wild Card Round

Seattle Seahawks 21

Dallas Cowboys 20

Jan 6

Philadelphia Eagles 23

New York Giants 20

Jan 7

Divisional Round

New Orleans Saints 27

Philadelphia Eagles 24

Jan 13

Chicago Bears 27

Seattle Seahawks 24

Jan 14

Conference Championship

Chicago Bears 39

New Orleans Saints 14

Jan 21

Super Bowl

Indianapolis Colts 29

Chicago Bears 17

Feb 4

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1725	14	11.24	+2.76	97.68%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1667	13	9.09	+3.91	99.19%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1655	12	10.49	+1.51	86.70%	3	7	9	11	12	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1638	13	10.95	+2.05	93.40%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1633	12	10.94	+1.06	80.85%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1614	8	10.35	-2.35	16.13%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1577	9	9.70	-0.70	45.59%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1569	8	9.06	-1.06	38.65%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1568	9	8.89	+0.11	62.80%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1550	8	8.33	-0.33	53.83%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1546	10	7.91	+2.09	91.10%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1543	9	10.42	-1.42	30.47%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1527	8	9.45	-1.45	31.18%	2	6	8	9	11	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1521	10	7.20	+2.80	95.54%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1508	10	7.58	+2.42	93.86%	1	4	6	8	9	11	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1508	9	9.01	-0.01	60.03%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1505	8	8.61	-0.61	47.71%	0	5	7	9	10	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1497	7	6.51	+0.49	70.47%	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1476	6	7.37	-1.37	32.79%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1461	8	5.28	+2.72	95.91%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1458	8	6.91	+1.09	80.22%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1442	5	8.47	-3.47	6.45%	0	5	7	8	10	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1430	8	6.86	+1.14	80.65%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1427	6	8.71	-2.71	12.68%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1426	7	7.66	-0.66	47.34%	0	4	6	8	9	11	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1399	5	5.89	-0.89	42.86%	0	3	5	6	7	9	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1386	7	5.66	+1.34	84.45%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1383	6	5.32	+0.68	74.94%	0	2	4	5	7	8	13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1379	4	6.21	-2.21	18.84%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1352	4	5.78	-1.78	25.19%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1335	3	5.31	-2.31	16.33%	0	2	4	5	7	8	13
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1294	2	4.87	-2.87	8.36%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-
Tennessee Titans	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	3-1 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.8 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (3.1 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-4 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	-	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	-	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.76%	2.15%	1.76%	0.78%	0.98%	—	7.42%
7–13	1.76%	2.34%	5.47%	4.69%	2.34%	1.56%	0.20%	18.36%
14–20	2.15%	5.47%	6.64%	5.86%	3.12%	0.59%	0.98%	24.80%
21–27	1.76%	4.69%	5.86%	8.98%	2.73%	1.95%	0.59%	26.56%
28–34	0.78%	2.34%	3.12%	2.73%	2.73%	1.56%	0.20%	13.48%
35–41	0.98%	1.56%	0.59%	1.95%	1.56%	0.39%	0.20%	7.23%
42+	—	0.20%	0.98%	0.59%	0.20%	0.20%	—	2.15%
Total	7.42%	18.36%	24.80%	26.56%	13.48%	7.23%	2.15%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.66	20.66	+0.00
SD	10.12	10.12	14.43
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	49	49	+41
Min	0	0	-41

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	50.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.62	24.31	-4.69
SD	8.25	6.69	10.78
CV	0.42	0.28	—
Max	34	37	+14
Min	9	10	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	18.75%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.25	20.50	-2.25
SD	10.32	11.34	12.94
CV	0.57	0.55	—
Max	41	38	+22
Min	3	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	43.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	12.56	+9.50
SD	8.53	7.70	11.46
CV	0.39	0.61	—
Max	35	26	+27
Min	3	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.75	19.44	-0.69
SD	7.54	9.92	13.91
CV	0.40	0.51	—
Max	31	40	+21
Min	6	0	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.88	19.06	-2.19
SD	7.62	10.02	13.18
CV	0.45	0.53	—
Max	31	37	+15
Min	3	0	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.69	15.94	+10.75
SD	11.77	10.27	16.45
CV	0.44	0.64	—
Max	42	31	+33
Min	7	0	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.31	20.69	+2.62
SD	8.34	12.55	14.05
CV	0.36	0.61	—
Max	41	49	+30
Min	13	0	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.88	22.25	-7.38
SD	8.20	6.88	9.82
CV	0.55	0.31	—
Max	31	34	+7
Min	0	13	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.56	21.88	+4.69
SD	9.80	11.74	17.79
CV	0.37	0.54	—
Max	45	42	+31
Min	7	6	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	19.06	+0.88
SD	8.37	12.68	11.09
CV	0.42	0.67	—
Max	37	48	+17
Min	9	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.06	24.88	-5.81
SD	9.73	8.52	9.54
CV	0.51	0.34	—
Max	39	41	+16
Min	6	9	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.81	22.88	-4.06
SD	11.18	10.09	16.90
CV	0.59	0.44	—
Max	34	38	+19
Min	0	7	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.69	22.88	-6.19
SD	6.92	11.13	14.05
CV	0.41	0.49	—
Max	27	43	+20
Min	6	6	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.69	22.50	+4.19
SD	9.86	7.55	11.95
CV	0.37	0.34	—
Max	45	44	+24
Min	14	13	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.19	17.12	+6.06
SD	11.29	11.29	16.20
CV	0.49	0.66	—
Max	44	36	+41
Min	7	0	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.69	19.69	+1.00
SD	11.47	11.00	16.40
CV	0.55	0.56	—
Max	41	45	+41
Min	6	0	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.25	17.69	-1.44
SD	8.24	8.42	12.00
CV	0.51	0.48	—
Max	31	34	+21
Min	0	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.62	20.44	-2.81
SD	8.64	8.33	10.93
CV	0.49	0.41	—
Max	31	41	+18
Min	3	9	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	31.25%	—	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.06	14.81	+9.25
SD	11.49	7.30	15.80
CV	0.48	0.49	—
Max	40	27	+35
Min	0	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.81	20.12	+5.69
SD	8.16	10.20	13.92
CV	0.32	0.51	—
Max	42	38	+25
Min	10	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	22.62	-0.44
SD	8.14	11.54	13.14
CV	0.37	0.51	—
Max	36	42	+16
Min	7	3	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.75	18.44	+1.31
SD	10.41	9.85	16.23
CV	0.53	0.53	—
Max	38	41	+28
Min	0	3	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.50	20.75	-10.25
SD	7.86	6.52	10.59
CV	0.75	0.31	—
Max	22	34	+13
Min	0	9	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	62.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.88	20.50	+4.38
SD	8.42	10.61	13.79
CV	0.34	0.52	—
Max	38	45	+24
Min	6	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	19.69	+2.38
SD	13.41	11.49	18.53
CV	0.61	0.58	—
Max	45	41	+38
Min	0	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.75	18.94	+11.81
SD	11.18	9.71	11.37
CV	0.36	0.51	—
Max	49	41	+33
Min	13	0	-3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.62	25.75	-7.12
SD	8.23	12.80	16.57
CV	0.44	0.50	—
Max	34	48	+14
Min	0	3	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	21.31	-0.38
SD	9.41	10.71	12.69
CV	0.45	0.50	—
Max	42	37	+16
Min	6	0	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	23.81	-0.88
SD	10.50	11.24	11.70
CV	0.46	0.47	—
Max	41	42	+20
Min	0	0	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.19	22.06	-8.88
SD	9.35	8.09	11.49
CV	0.71	0.37	—
Max	31	38	+15
Min	0	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	25.00	-4.75
SD	8.00	10.37	15.08
CV	0.40	0.41	—
Max	31	45	+18
Min	7	13	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.19	23.50	-4.31
SD	9.41	8.01	10.25
CV	0.49	0.34	—
Max	36	37	+16
Min	3	10	-24

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.68	+0.3
Allowed	0.32	-0.3
Differential	0.81	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Baltimore Ravens	13	9.09	+3.91
2	New Orleans Saints	10	7.20	+2.80
3	San Diego Chargers	14	11.24	+2.76
4	Tennessee Titans	8	5.28	+2.72
5	New York Jets	10	7.58	+2.42

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Washington Redskins	5	8.47	-3.47
2	Oakland Raiders	2	4.87	-2.87
3	Minnesota Vikings	6	8.71	-2.71
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	10.35	-2.35
5	Detroit Lions	3	5.31	-2.31

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tennessee Titans	6	Nov 19 – Dec 24	1 in 765
2	Philadelphia Eagles	5	Dec 4 – Dec 31	1 in 56
3	Indianapolis Colts	9	Sep 10 – Nov 12	1 in 46
4	Green Bay Packers	4	Dec 10 – Dec 31	1 in 42
5	Miami Dolphins	4	Nov 5 – Nov 23	1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Arizona Cardinals	8	Sep 17 – Nov 12	1 in 49
2	Minnesota Vikings	4	Oct 30 – Nov 19	1 in 37
3	Atlanta Falcons	4	Nov 5 – Nov 26	1 in 29
4	Seattle Seahawks	3	Dec 10 – Dec 24	1 in 26
5	Carolina Panthers	4	Nov 26 – Dec 17	1 in 25

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	73.89%	17.87%	6.22%	2.02%
New York Jets	11.11%	32.30%	31.30%	25.29%
Miami Dolphins	9.85%	30.53%	32.47%	27.15%
Buffalo Bills	5.16%	19.30%	30.01%	45.53%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.84%	28.37%	13.77%	3.02%
Baltimore Ravens	27.37%	36.07%	28.15%	8.42%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.19%	29.36%	39.07%	15.38%
Cleveland Browns	1.60%	6.21%	19.01%	73.19%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	73.21%	24.07%	2.42%	0.30%
Jacksonville Jaguars	25.11%	60.35%	11.76%	2.78%
Tennessee Titans	0.88%	7.97%	43.31%	47.84%
Houston Texans	0.81%	7.61%	42.51%	49.07%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Diego Chargers	61.61%	26.79%	10.92%	0.68%
Denver Broncos	24.81%	40.97%	31.12%	3.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.39%	30.76%	49.10%	6.75%
Oakland Raiders	0.19%	1.47%	8.86%	89.48%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	32.85%	27.03%	22.65%	17.47%
New York Giants	26.69%	26.14%	25.12%	22.05%
Washington Redskins	24.37%	25.58%	25.55%	24.50%
Philadelphia Eagles	16.09%	21.26%	26.68%	35.97%

Team	1	2	3	4
Chicago Bears	74.06%	20.74%	4.54%	0.65%
Minnesota Vikings	20.20%	50.45%	22.50%	6.85%
Green Bay Packers	4.81%	21.38%	46.76%	27.05%
Detroit Lions	0.93%	7.43%	26.19%	65.45%

Team	1	2	3	4
Carolina Panthers	58.19%	24.50%	12.22%	5.10%
Atlanta Falcons	20.32%	32.29%	27.81%	19.58%
New Orleans Saints	14.46%	26.27%	31.36%	27.91%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.02%	16.95%	28.62%	47.42%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	83.37%	12.72%	3.16%	0.75%
St. Louis Rams	9.46%	41.82%	29.43%	19.29%
Arizona Cardinals	4.03%	24.59%	34.60%	36.78%
San Francisco 49ers	3.13%	20.88%	32.81%	43.19%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
San Diego Chargers	25.96%	18.73%	14.37%	11.05%	8.57%	6.63%	4.83%	3.68%	2.59%	1.66%	1.01%	0.52%	0.23%	0.11%	0.05%	0.02%
Indianapolis Colts	20.09%	18.63%	15.94%	12.97%	9.14%	7.09%	5.75%	4.11%	2.60%	1.55%	0.97%	0.61%	0.29%	0.16%	0.07%	0.03%
New England Patriots	14.38%	15.61%	15.51%	14.32%	10.33%	7.78%	6.34%	4.98%	3.64%	2.53%	1.94%	1.28%	0.77%	0.39%	0.16%	0.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.81%	13.97%	13.78%	11.86%	10.39%	9.03%	7.33%	5.84%	4.72%	3.42%	2.50%	1.61%	0.96%	0.48%	0.22%	0.07%
Denver Broncos	8.77%	8.68%	8.83%	10.10%	11.68%	10.64%	9.29%	8.46%	7.53%	6.04%	4.46%	2.63%	1.43%	0.81%	0.47%	0.18%
Jacksonville Jaguars	4.33%	6.01%	7.35%	8.49%	9.90%	11.44%	12.00%	10.70%	8.73%	6.55%	5.04%	3.86%	2.57%	1.61%	0.96%	0.45%
Baltimore Ravens	4.68%	6.41%	7.79%	8.52%	9.67%	10.15%	9.89%	9.38%	8.58%	7.83%	6.24%	4.34%	2.93%	1.94%	1.17%	0.49%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.80%	4.64%	5.65%	7.27%	9.36%	9.60%	9.68%	10.18%	10.80%	9.53%	7.42%	5.08%	3.22%	1.93%	1.29%	0.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.55%	3.69%	4.54%	5.80%	7.46%	8.29%	8.69%	9.54%	10.13%	10.19%	9.21%	7.40%	5.33%	3.76%	2.37%	1.05%
New York Jets	0.72%	1.47%	2.42%	3.66%	4.73%	6.26%	8.01%	9.51%	9.69%	10.51%	10.51%	9.54%	8.42%	6.91%	4.77%	2.87%
Miami Dolphins	0.60%	1.27%	2.11%	3.12%	4.24%	5.83%	7.43%	8.83%	9.58%	10.56%	11.00%	10.07%	9.11%	7.62%	5.37%	3.25%
Buffalo Bills	0.19%	0.52%	0.93%	1.50%	2.14%	3.27%	4.62%	5.99%	7.35%	9.08%	10.53%	11.54%	12.34%	12.22%	10.36%	7.43%
Cleveland Browns	0.06%	0.19%	0.38%	0.61%	1.00%	1.56%	2.20%	3.03%	4.60%	6.22%	8.03%	11.13%	14.13%	16.08%	16.31%	14.46%
Houston Texans	0.02%	0.06%	0.13%	0.28%	0.56%	0.93%	1.62%	2.30%	3.68%	5.75%	8.29%	11.42%	13.17%	14.38%	16.16%	21.25%
Tennessee Titans	0.03%	0.08%	0.20%	0.29%	0.55%	1.03%	1.60%	2.23%	3.64%	5.50%	8.22%	11.44%	13.05%	14.65%	17.02%	20.47%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.03%	0.07%	0.16%	0.27%	0.47%	0.72%	1.22%	2.14%	3.10%	4.62%	7.52%	12.05%	16.96%	23.25%	27.41%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Chicago Bears	32.50%	20.62%	14.40%	10.25%	6.86%	5.15%	3.43%	2.38%	1.52%	1.14%	0.74%	0.48%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%	0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	24.23%	19.19%	16.10%	12.47%	8.04%	5.62%	4.12%	3.26%	2.16%	1.62%	1.16%	0.83%	0.53%	0.33%	0.21%	0.11%
Carolina Panthers	11.01%	13.65%	13.40%	12.09%	9.90%	8.28%	7.04%	5.62%	4.83%	3.89%	3.19%	2.53%	1.92%	1.27%	0.95%	0.41%
Dallas Cowboys	7.09%	9.63%	10.21%	10.16%	10.04%	8.96%	7.89%	7.25%	6.77%	5.56%	4.57%	4.00%	3.38%	2.38%	1.45%	0.65%
Minnesota Vikings	6.16%	6.87%	7.77%	9.15%	10.24%	10.72%	9.99%	8.47%	6.91%	6.14%	5.29%	4.08%	3.12%	2.40%	1.72%	0.97%
New York Giants	6.03%	7.57%	8.12%	8.74%	9.47%	8.62%	8.04%	7.76%	7.46%	6.41%	5.69%	5.06%	4.33%	3.30%	2.32%	1.07%
Washington Redskins	4.68%	6.90%	8.03%	8.45%	9.12%	8.47%	7.92%	7.80%	7.70%	6.81%	5.99%	5.42%	4.92%	3.73%	2.69%	1.36%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.62%	4.47%	5.56%	6.40%	7.42%	7.55%	7.68%	7.91%	8.29%	7.69%	7.38%	7.19%	7.18%	5.75%	4.40%	2.52%
Atlanta Falcons	1.88%	3.56%	5.07%	6.28%	7.00%	8.08%	8.60%	8.19%	7.98%	8.19%	7.64%	7.09%	6.60%	5.79%	4.77%	3.29%
New Orleans Saints	1.19%	2.49%	3.59%	4.66%	5.51%	6.58%	7.28%	7.47%	8.01%	8.38%	8.27%	8.24%	8.16%	7.68%	7.26%	5.23%
St. Louis Rams	0.87%	1.58%	2.42%	3.34%	4.72%	5.91%	7.31%	8.66%	8.65%	8.57%	8.79%	8.94%	8.40%	8.00%	7.21%	6.64%
Green Bay Packers	0.88%	1.45%	2.04%	2.90%	4.13%	5.37%	6.26%	7.04%	7.92%	9.41%	9.88%	9.57%	9.13%	8.82%	7.85%	7.35%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.40%	0.96%	1.45%	2.14%	2.92%	3.70%	4.54%	5.30%	6.34%	7.30%	8.19%	9.10%	10.36%	11.75%	13.64%	11.89%
Arizona Cardinals	0.22%	0.49%	0.83%	1.31%	2.05%	2.92%	4.17%	5.34%	6.11%	7.04%	8.38%	9.99%	10.66%	11.77%	12.92%	15.81%
San Francisco 49ers	0.13%	0.35%	0.64%	1.06%	1.56%	2.48%	3.46%	4.67%	5.40%	6.52%	8.03%	9.20%	10.71%	12.47%	14.44%	18.87%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.20%	0.36%	0.60%	1.00%	1.61%	2.26%	2.86%	3.93%	5.33%	6.82%	8.28%	10.35%	14.42%	18.10%	23.78%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
San Diego Chargers	18.33%	12.14%	11.42%	8.10%	8.32%	6.04%	5.82%	4.32%	4.50%	3.39%	3.22%	2.36%	2.29%	1.95%	1.69%	1.26%	1.10%	0.97%	0.72%	0.53%	0.40%	0.33%	0.24%	0.19%	0.12%	0.08%	0.06%	0.04%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Chicago Bears	13.18%	14.63%	9.57%	10.78%	7.02%	7.88%	5.37%	5.94%	3.81%	4.09%	2.92%	3.04%	1.98%	1.91%	1.47%	1.49%	0.98%	0.82%	0.68%	0.62%	0.47%	0.36%	0.26%	0.22%	0.17%	0.11%	0.10%	0.05%	0.04%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	13.85%	10.80%	10.95%	8.54%	8.70%	6.55%	6.72%	4.91%	4.83%	3.87%	3.53%	2.76%	2.90%	2.14%	1.88%	1.46%	1.26%	1.07%	0.76%	0.61%	0.47%	0.41%	0.28%	0.25%	0.15%	0.12%	0.08%	0.06%	0.04%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	8.88%	11.03%	8.15%	9.99%	6.92%	8.55%	5.88%	6.93%	4.32%	4.97%	3.63%	3.71%	2.27%	2.59%	2.02%	2.14%	1.31%	1.27%	1.00%	1.00%	0.70%	0.62%	0.52%	0.43%	0.31%	0.25%	0.19%	0.15%	0.11%	0.09%	0.04%	0.02%
New England Patriots	9.81%	8.21%	9.27%	7.58%	8.59%	6.70%	7.06%	5.75%	5.36%	4.35%	4.04%	3.37%	3.37%	2.59%	2.39%	1.90%	1.84%	1.59%	1.26%	1.00%	0.92%	0.76%	0.64%	0.52%	0.36%	0.29%	0.20%	0.14%	0.07%	0.06%	0.02%	<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.05%	7.60%	8.65%	6.82%	7.88%	6.09%	6.59%	5.12%	5.62%	4.51%	4.62%	3.42%	3.98%	2.97%	2.81%	2.16%	2.25%	1.84%	1.64%	1.30%	1.18%	0.98%	0.81%	0.58%	0.48%	0.38%	0.26%	0.18%	0.12%	0.09%	0.04%	0.02%
Denver Broncos	5.52%	4.58%	5.66%	4.56%	5.81%	4.81%	5.91%	4.88%	6.42%	5.01%	5.43%	4.40%	4.95%	4.06%	4.04%	3.31%	3.50%	3.20%	2.70%	2.30%	1.92%	1.85%	1.22%	1.11%	0.74%	0.66%	0.42%	0.37%	0.28%	0.20%	0.10%	0.05%
Carolina Panthers	3.51%	5.32%	5.13%	6.79%	5.43%	6.78%	5.60%	6.36%	4.81%	5.47%	4.81%	4.69%	3.78%	3.87%	3.52%	3.36%	2.79%	2.54%	2.34%	2.28%	1.91%	1.67%	1.46%	1.29%	1.07%	0.97%	0.72%	0.59%	0.47%	0.36%	0.21%	0.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.56%	2.78%	3.77%	3.42%	4.49%	4.02%	5.00%	4.55%	5.62%	4.74%	5.63%	5.05%	5.92%	4.76%	4.82%	4.53%	4.13%	3.80%	3.26%	2.95%	2.52%	2.31%	1.92%	1.76%	1.35%	1.24%	0.90%	0.77%	0.54%	0.43%	0.28%	0.15%
Dallas Cowboys	2.00%	3.60%	3.47%	4.85%	4.17%	5.38%	4.55%	5.69%	4.49%	5.41%	4.44%	5.20%	3.99%	4.50%	3.98%	4.13%	3.75%	3.58%	3.09%	2.96%	2.64%	2.47%	2.27%	1.91%	1.84%	1.47%	1.31%	0.97%	0.80%	0.55%	0.37%	0.18%
Baltimore Ravens	2.73%	2.93%	3.96%	3.63%	4.71%	4.15%	4.77%	4.42%	5.49%	4.65%	5.22%	4.45%	5.19%	4.62%	4.56%	3.86%	4.24%	3.86%	3.62%	3.18%	2.74%	2.74%	2.17%	1.83%	1.51%	1.27%	1.02%	0.87%	0.61%	0.52%	0.30%	0.17%
Minnesota Vikings	1.70%	2.77%	2.77%	3.53%	3.33%	4.13%	4.02%	4.84%	4.40%	5.46%	4.58%	5.95%	4.46%	5.37%	4.37%	5.01%	3.61%	3.98%	3.38%	3.57%	3.01%	2.77%	2.41%	2.18%	1.77%	1.63%	1.36%	1.17%	0.96%	0.71%	0.52%	0.28%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.22%	2.23%	3.03%	2.70%	3.74%	3.40%	4.53%	3.96%	5.36%	4.45%	4.98%	4.34%	5.36%	4.87%	5.04%	4.14%	5.19%	4.50%	4.29%	3.72%	3.29%	3.20%	2.31%	2.22%	1.69%	1.49%	1.10%	0.91%	0.69%	0.57%	0.30%	0.21%
New York Giants	1.69%	2.65%	2.81%	3.60%	3.53%	4.09%	4.11%	4.57%	4.35%	4.79%	4.45%	4.90%	4.30%	4.43%	4.16%	4.23%	4.11%	3.98%	3.45%	3.45%	3.20%	3.11%	2.85%	2.46%	2.30%	2.17%	1.74%	1.50%	1.18%	0.98%	0.58%	0.32%
Washington Redskins	1.23%	2.23%	2.39%	3.35%	3.23%	4.07%	3.84%	4.39%	4.10%	4.70%	4.47%	4.66%	4.17%	4.24%	4.37%	4.24%	4.15%	4.08%	3.78%	3.57%	3.42%	3.19%	3.07%	2.64%	2.69%	2.41%	1.96%	1.65%	1.46%	1.08%	0.77%	0.40%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.37%	1.53%	2.30%	1.99%	2.92%	2.54%	3.52%	3.09%	4.41%	3.63%	4.51%	3.83%	5.07%	4.30%	4.72%	4.25%	5.03%	4.70%	4.75%	4.27%	4.03%	4.16%	3.42%	3.34%	2.62%	2.48%	1.95%	1.76%	1.30%	1.06%	0.70%	0.43%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.57%	1.27%	1.44%	2.19%	2.05%	2.84%	2.73%	3.38%	3.11%	3.91%	3.64%	4.32%	3.86%	4.12%	4.14%	4.39%	4.45%	4.28%	4.16%	4.09%	4.05%	4.09%	3.94%	3.65%	3.88%	3.34%	2.96%	2.70%	2.30%	1.87%	1.41%	0.87%
Atlanta Falcons	0.40%	0.89%	1.02%	1.76%	1.71%	2.55%	2.40%	3.24%	2.84%	3.78%	3.56%	4.32%	3.63%	4.65%	4.32%	4.75%	4.12%	4.25%	4.35%	4.61%	4.30%	4.15%	3.92%	3.83%	3.62%	3.40%	3.20%	2.83%	2.62%	2.12%	1.70%	1.16%
New York Jets	0.37%	0.52%	0.89%	1.01%	1.42%	1.57%	2.08%	2.15%	2.75%	2.73%	3.26%	3.36%	4.24%	4.16%	4.35%	4.57%	4.74%	4.98%	5.03%	4.76%	4.99%	4.79%	4.68%	4.38%	4.12%	3.76%	3.48%	3.12%	2.63%	2.20%	1.71%	1.21%
Miami Dolphins	0.29%	0.45%	0.72%	0.79%	1.26%	1.32%	1.86%	1.84%	2.49%	2.31%	3.13%	3.00%	4.06%	3.74%	4.33%	4.09%	4.87%	4.70%	5.21%	4.72%	5.29%	5.04%	4.87%	4.63%	4.50%	4.21%	3.81%	3.51%	2.92%	2.66%	1.99%	1.39%
New Orleans Saints	0.21%	0.56%	0.69%	1.18%	1.26%	1.73%	1.77%	2.34%	2.23%	2.90%	3.07%	3.32%	3.17%	3.75%	3.99%	4.15%	4.03%	4.14%	4.38%	4.74%	4.49%	4.31%	4.46%	4.52%	4.36%	4.42%	4.05%	3.98%	3.61%	3.47%	2.72%	2.01%
St. Louis Rams	0.14%	0.35%	0.53%	0.72%	0.78%	1.19%	1.34%	1.62%	1.77%	2.37%	2.48%	3.08%	2.80%	3.84%	3.80%	4.77%	3.75%	4.71%	4.41%	5.28%	4.47%	4.83%	4.56%	5.09%	4.54%	4.62%	4.31%	4.17%	4.09%	3.59%	3.39%	2.61%
Green Bay Packers	0.14%	0.39%	0.43%	0.68%	0.74%	1.09%	1.13%	1.56%	1.59%	2.08%	2.15%	2.93%	2.62%	3.40%	3.29%	4.01%	3.85%	4.24%	4.30%	5.17%	4.99%	5.14%	4.95%	5.27%	4.99%	4.73%	4.83%	4.52%	4.31%	3.89%	3.74%	2.86%
Buffalo Bills	0.09%	0.15%	0.28%	0.34%	0.54%	0.54%	0.92%	0.86%	1.24%	1.22%	1.82%	1.79%	2.64%	2.28%	3.06%	2.96%	3.80%	3.85%	4.49%	4.26%	5.04%	4.91%	5.57%	5.56%	5.78%	5.87%	5.59%	6.03%	5.20%	5.22%	4.19%	3.89%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.05%	0.17%	0.24%	0.39%	0.45%	0.64%	0.76%	0.98%	1.15%	1.43%	1.61%	1.79%	1.87%	2.33%	2.73%	2.88%	3.04%	3.22%	3.74%	3.98%	4.27%	4.42%	4.77%	5.01%	5.23%	5.81%	5.95%	6.36%	6.46%	7.00%	6.00%	5.26%
Arizona Cardinals	0.04%	0.08%	0.11%	0.23%	0.24%	0.38%	0.44%	0.60%	0.70%	1.02%	1.12%	1.52%	1.45%	2.12%	2.25%	2.85%	2.56%	3.28%	3.38%	4.17%	4.00%	4.63%	4.83%	5.48%	5.56%	5.74%	6.29%	6.46%	6.91%	6.60%	7.70%	7.24%
San Francisco 49ers	0.02%	0.04%	0.09%	0.13%	0.19%	0.31%	0.33%	0.49%	0.49%	0.81%	0.94%	1.20%	1.20%	1.81%	1.82%	2.57%	2.22%	2.82%	3.17%	3.79%	3.90%	4.31%	4.56%	5.14%	5.42%	5.90%	6.65%	6.68%	7.59%	7.46%	9.06%	8.88%
Cleveland Browns	0.02%	0.04%	0.11%	0.13%	0.22%	0.24%	0.34%	0.41%	0.55%	0.59%	0.89%	0.92%	1.34%	1.20%	1.73%	1.62%	2.61%	2.48%	3.26%	2.96%	4.10%	4.21%	5.49%	5.12%	6.43%	6.53%	7.22%	7.70%	7.70%	8.33%	7.69%	7.84%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%	0.08%	0.09%	0.16%	0.22%	0.34%	0.39%	0.48%	0.61%	0.94%	0.89%	1.22%	1.33%	1.88%	2.03%	2.69%	2.83%	3.82%	3.99%	4.88%	5.43%	5.96%	6.39%	6.93%	7.35%	8.05%	8.66%	10.01%	12.24%
Detroit Lions	<0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.08%	0.10%	0.17%	0.20%	0.29%	0.36%	0.51%	0.52%	0.83%	0.81%	1.21%	1.30%	1.58%	1.66%	2.16%	2.39%	2.96%	3.42%	3.61%	4.18%	4.54%	5.43%	5.84%	7.17%	7.43%	8.98%	9.31%	11.20%	11.65%
Tennessee Titans	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.11%	0.10%	0.18%	0.20%	0.34%	0.33%	0.59%	0.61%	0.88%	0.85%	1.20%	1.28%	1.94%	1.89%	2.69%	2.70%	3.69%	3.95%	4.78%	5.66%	5.61%	6.59%	6.66%	7.67%	7.86%	9.46%	10.03%	12.01%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.10%	0.09%	0.16%	0.16%	0.26%	0.28%	0.48%	0.48%	0.65%	0.71%	1.19%	1.20%	1.66%	1.67%	2.35%	2.69%	3.69%	3.77%	5.41%	5.83%	7.51%	8.29%	10.09%	11.39%	13.22%	16.51%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Diego Chargers	25.96%	17.64%	11.69%	6.33%	14.55%	8.32%	15.52%
Indianapolis Colts	20.09%	19.57%	17.46%	16.10%	5.94%	5.96%	14.89%
New England Patriots	14.38%	16.75%	19.01%	23.75%	2.69%	4.05%	19.37%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.81%	14.42%	15.05%	11.55%	9.18%	8.74%	27.24%
Denver Broncos	8.77%	7.27%	5.46%	3.31%	19.22%	13.14%	42.83%
Baltimore Ravens	4.68%	6.53%	8.31%	7.85%	9.12%	10.33%	53.18%
Jacksonville Jaguars	4.33%	6.16%	6.93%	7.68%	10.01%	12.27%	52.61%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.80%	3.88%	3.43%	2.27%	13.41%	11.62%	61.59%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.55%	3.79%	4.93%	4.92%	7.18%	8.43%	68.20%
New York Jets	0.72%	1.61%	2.97%	5.81%	3.04%	5.57%	80.28%
Miami Dolphins	0.60%	1.40%	2.53%	5.32%	2.76%	5.15%	82.25%
Buffalo Bills	0.19%	0.59%	1.26%	3.12%	1.20%	2.72%	90.93%
Cleveland Browns	0.06%	0.22%	0.47%	0.86%	0.74%	1.45%	96.21%
Tennessee Titans	0.03%	0.10%	0.25%	0.50%	0.36%	0.93%	97.84%
Houston Texans	0.02%	0.07%	0.19%	0.53%	0.31%	0.89%	97.99%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.09%	0.30%	0.45%	99.06%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Chicago Bears	32.50%	20.15%	13.22%	8.19%	9.49%	6.04%	10.42%
Seattle Seahawks	24.23%	20.19%	19.52%	19.44%	2.36%	2.65%	11.62%
Carolina Panthers	11.01%	14.20%	15.71%	17.27%	5.81%	6.13%	29.86%
Dallas Cowboys	7.09%	9.62%	9.22%	6.92%	11.79%	10.09%	45.27%
Minnesota Vikings	6.16%	5.65%	4.83%	3.57%	16.37%	13.11%	50.32%
New York Giants	6.03%	7.54%	7.36%	5.76%	10.93%	9.68%	52.70%
Washington Redskins	4.68%	6.91%	7.10%	5.68%	10.57%	9.45%	55.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.62%	4.49%	4.91%	4.06%	8.32%	8.32%	67.26%
Atlanta Falcons	1.88%	3.73%	5.79%	8.91%	5.39%	7.19%	67.09%
New Orleans Saints	1.19%	2.61%	4.17%	6.49%	4.29%	5.92%	75.33%
Green Bay Packers	0.88%	1.23%	1.41%	1.29%	4.97%	6.03%	84.19%
St. Louis Rams	0.87%	1.61%	2.69%	4.30%	4.03%	5.71%	80.80%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.40%	1.03%	1.86%	3.73%	2.01%	3.15%	87.82%
Arizona Cardinals	0.22%	0.49%	1.08%	2.23%	1.49%	2.67%	91.81%
San Francisco 49ers	0.13%	0.36%	0.84%	1.80%	1.16%	2.20%	93.50%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.19%	0.29%	0.36%	1.01%	1.66%	96.40%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+6.25%

Clear Edge

53.12%46.88%

Elo Value

Home Edge

29 Elo

0.034 points per Elo point

021.7480

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.85 points

Lean Home

-8+0.75+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.1

Wide Open

124812

Champion Preseason Odds

Indianapolis Colts, 4th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

7.4%

Favored

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 2.07 · Elevated: 2.07 to 2.82 · High Variance: 2.82 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.62 · Close: 4.62 to 6.26 · Off Target: 6.26 to 8.16 · Well Off Target: 8.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.79 · As Expected: 2.79 to 4.66 · More Than Expected: 4.66 to 7.45 · Far More Than Expected: 7.45 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.91 wins

As Expected

01.885

Average Finish Error

Expected

5.19

05.4415

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

99.19%

Baltimore Ravens

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

6.45%

Washington Redskins

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

5 of 12

More Than Expected

03.712

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.95

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

69%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

92%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

24%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.24

Hard to Predict

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.36

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

44%

Upset-Prone

0%36%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

34%

Shaky Favorites

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.01

Clear Misfit

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.71

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.096

Above Noise

00.0950.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
San Diego Chargers	71.17%	71.17%	47.04%	30.07%	21.28%
Chicago Bears	78.94%	78.94%	54.56%	36.27%	16.47%
New England Patriots	61.25%	61.25%	32.57%	16.60%	10.52%
Indianapolis Colts	65.41%	65.41%	32.99%	15.65%	9.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.60%	51.60%	24.29%	11.10%	6.52%
Seattle Seahawks	71.19%	71.19%	37.74%	18.44%	6.40%
Baltimore Ravens	35.61%	31.97%	17.45%	9.05%	5.98%
Carolina Panthers	50.71%	50.71%	25.01%	11.53%	3.89%
Denver Broncos	41.13%	33.73%	13.82%	5.74%	3.17%
Dallas Cowboys	38.02%	36.22%	16.88%	7.29%	2.31%
Jacksonville Jaguars	36.89%	26.44%	10.72%	4.13%	2.19%
Philadelphia Eagles	25.62%	21.42%	10.85%	5.31%	1.95%
Kansas City Chiefs	30.73%	20.44%	8.24%	3.40%	1.90%
New York Giants	33.73%	30.48%	13.94%	6.02%	1.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	25.46%	16.70%	6.55%	2.41%	1.29%
New Orleans Saints	20.87%	14.81%	6.95%	3.21%	1.11%
Minnesota Vikings	37.88%	25.66%	8.96%	3.20%	0.82%
Washington Redskins	32.79%	25.01%	9.41%	3.38%	0.81%
Atlanta Falcons	27.29%	16.57%	5.85%	1.96%	0.45%
New York Jets	17.39%	8.45%	2.71%	0.85%	0.41%
St. Louis Rams	16.73%	9.77%	3.78%	1.44%	0.37%
Green Bay Packers	13.70%	7.17%	2.49%	0.92%	0.24%
Miami Dolphins	15.75%	6.95%	2.00%	0.54%	0.23%
Buffalo Bills	8.30%	3.55%	1.12%	0.35%	0.16%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10.75%	5.04%	1.48%	0.41%	0.08%
Arizona Cardinals	7.48%	3.41%	1.07%	0.32%	0.07%
San Francisco 49ers	6.00%	2.51%	0.75%	0.22%	0.05%
Tennessee Titans	2.04%	0.74%	0.18%	0.05%	0.03%
Detroit Lions	3.31%	1.11%	0.28%	0.08%	0.01%
Houston Texans	1.92%	0.52%	0.11%	0.02%	0.01%
Cleveland Browns	3.51%	0.94%	0.18%	0.03%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.89%	0.14%	0.02%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		72.9%0.69%	65.5%1.93%	82.7%0.21%	64.4%3.90%	83.1%0.18%	52.4%4.60%	64.7%3.44%	64.9%2.93%	75.3%1.36%	48.8%4.82%	72.9%1.48%	92.3%0.08%	57.3%5.59%	41.7%4.23%	76.7%0.16%
Buffalo Bills	27.1%0.69%		41.2%0.52%	71.9%0.06%	37.8%1.00%	86.2%0.03%	28.7%1.06%	38.8%0.73%	41.9%0.71%	48.0%0.15%	28.0%1.17%	44.9%0.18%	88.9%0.02%	35.4%0.96%	20.4%1.01%	43.8%0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals	34.5%1.93%	58.8%0.52%		67.5%0.12%	48.1%2.65%	61.2%0.12%	36.4%3.45%	47.1%2.35%	49.4%1.93%	57.7%0.99%	33.5%3.68%	54.1%1.08%	90.9%0.04%	39.8%3.53%	25.5%2.96%	56.9%0.12%
Cleveland Browns	17.3%0.21%	28.1%0.06%	32.5%0.12%		21.5%0.40%	50.0%<0.01%	16.4%0.49%	23.4%0.29%	22.7%0.27%	29.9%0.14%	13.9%0.49%	28.5%0.12%	66.7%<0.01%	18.0%0.46%	8.8%0.44%	20.0%0.01%
Denver Broncos	35.6%3.90%	62.2%1.00%	51.9%2.65%	78.5%0.40%		72.2%0.16%	40.0%6.14%	50.2%3.45%	51.8%1.64%	60.6%1.75%	36.4%7.39%	58.5%1.90%	86.7%0.04%	42.3%5.62%	29.1%4.89%	66.7%0.21%
Houston Texans	16.9%0.18%	13.8%0.03%	38.8%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	27.8%0.16%		17.7%0.29%	18.4%0.09%	28.9%0.14%	30.2%0.06%	16.4%0.29%	45.3%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	24.9%0.27%	14.8%0.22%	25.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	47.6%4.60%	71.3%1.06%	63.6%3.45%	83.6%0.49%	60.0%6.14%	82.3%0.29%		59.4%6.13%	60.9%4.64%	73.8%2.08%	46.8%4.07%	69.6%2.28%	89.4%0.14%	52.6%4.79%	38.3%4.96%	72.0%0.33%
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.3%3.44%	61.2%0.73%	52.9%2.35%	76.6%0.29%	49.8%3.45%	81.6%0.09%	40.6%6.13%		51.5%2.49%	63.1%1.45%	34.1%5.84%	58.6%1.65%	84.0%0.07%	43.6%4.79%	29.2%4.02%	63.6%0.10%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.1%2.93%	58.1%0.71%	50.6%1.93%	77.3%0.27%	48.2%1.64%	71.1%0.14%	39.1%4.64%	48.5%2.49%		62.0%1.14%	34.5%5.69%	57.4%1.36%	87.5%0.03%	40.5%4.30%	27.8%3.33%	56.7%0.13%
Miami Dolphins	24.7%1.36%	52.0%0.15%	42.3%0.99%	70.1%0.14%	39.4%1.75%	69.8%0.06%	26.2%2.08%	36.9%1.45%	38.0%1.14%		26.2%2.39%	45.6%0.36%	78.8%0.03%	29.5%1.93%	19.5%1.83%	42.6%0.06%
New England Patriots	51.2%4.82%	72.0%1.17%	66.5%3.68%	86.1%0.49%	63.6%7.39%	83.6%0.29%	53.2%4.07%	65.9%5.84%	65.5%5.69%	73.8%2.39%		70.2%2.67%	92.8%0.15%	57.5%4.85%	42.9%5.67%	80.3%0.32%
New York Jets	27.1%1.48%	55.1%0.18%	45.9%1.08%	71.5%0.12%	41.5%1.90%	54.7%0.06%	30.4%2.28%	41.4%1.65%	42.6%1.36%	54.4%0.36%	29.8%2.67%		93.3%0.03%	33.6%2.11%	24.0%2.04%	60.0%0.07%
Oakland Raiders	7.7%0.08%	11.1%0.02%	9.1%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	13.3%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	10.6%0.14%	16.0%0.07%	12.5%0.03%	21.2%0.03%	7.2%0.15%	6.7%0.03%		17.7%0.13%	3.8%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	42.7%5.59%	64.6%0.96%	60.2%3.53%	82.0%0.46%	57.7%5.62%	75.1%0.27%	47.4%4.79%	56.4%4.79%	59.5%4.30%	70.5%1.93%	42.5%4.85%	66.4%2.11%	82.3%0.13%		35.9%4.93%	69.3%0.26%
San Diego Chargers	58.3%4.23%	79.6%1.01%	74.5%2.96%	91.2%0.44%	70.9%4.89%	85.2%0.22%	61.7%4.96%	70.8%4.02%	72.2%3.33%	80.5%1.83%	57.1%5.67%	76.0%2.04%	96.2%0.10%	64.1%4.93%		85.1%0.24%
Tennessee Titans	23.3%0.16%	56.2%0.02%	43.1%0.12%	80.0%0.01%	33.3%0.21%	75.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.33%	36.4%0.10%	43.3%0.13%	57.4%0.06%	19.7%0.32%	40.0%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	30.7%0.26%	14.9%0.24%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		47.9%0.42%	30.5%0.86%	19.8%0.88%	36.3%0.69%	67.3%0.06%	47.4%0.23%	47.4%0.74%	34.0%0.35%	35.2%0.69%	36.7%0.50%	50.0%0.04%	29.3%1.08%	39.7%0.14%	54.1%0.17%	44.9%0.62%
Atlanta Falcons	52.1%0.42%		35.8%3.73%	23.1%2.77%	39.3%3.10%	66.7%0.18%	51.7%0.88%	52.3%2.85%	37.4%1.03%	42.5%2.69%	35.2%2.09%	52.2%0.36%	31.4%2.88%	46.9%1.10%	59.1%0.46%	48.5%2.74%
Carolina Panthers	69.5%0.86%	64.2%3.73%		35.2%3.89%	54.6%5.32%	76.6%0.46%	64.8%2.03%	66.2%5.54%	52.1%2.77%	55.4%4.73%	48.3%3.77%	70.1%0.73%	46.1%3.08%	59.5%2.00%	69.0%1.25%	63.6%4.76%
Chicago Bears	80.2%0.88%	76.9%2.77%	64.8%3.89%		67.2%3.68%	88.0%0.41%	77.1%1.67%	76.6%4.77%	66.1%2.14%	69.9%3.32%	63.0%2.55%	83.4%0.73%	61.1%3.72%	75.1%1.97%	82.3%1.12%	76.3%3.31%
Dallas Cowboys	63.7%0.69%	60.7%3.10%	45.4%5.32%	32.8%3.68%		72.1%0.28%	62.7%1.31%	62.4%3.51%	48.0%2.43%	49.9%3.54%	45.9%2.44%	70.8%0.60%	42.4%4.70%	57.1%1.67%	65.8%1.26%	59.9%3.50%
Detroit Lions	32.7%0.06%	33.3%0.18%	23.4%0.46%	12.0%0.41%	27.9%0.28%		47.1%0.03%	37.3%0.11%	26.1%0.16%	24.5%0.27%	20.1%0.17%	38.9%0.05%	21.0%0.62%	29.5%0.12%	45.0%0.10%	28.8%0.27%
Green Bay Packers	52.6%0.23%	48.3%0.88%	35.2%2.03%	22.9%1.67%	37.3%1.31%	52.9%0.03%		52.5%0.50%	36.7%0.67%	36.9%1.09%	33.0%0.73%	58.0%0.16%	31.6%2.48%	38.8%0.56%	55.6%0.37%	46.2%0.97%
Minnesota Vikings	52.6%0.74%	47.7%2.85%	33.8%5.54%	23.4%4.77%	37.6%3.51%	62.7%0.11%	47.5%0.50%		34.1%2.10%	37.0%3.05%	31.5%2.12%	53.0%0.59%	30.9%6.54%	45.2%1.59%	57.2%1.07%	47.1%2.78%
New Orleans Saints	66.0%0.35%	62.6%1.03%	47.9%2.77%	33.9%2.14%	52.0%2.43%	73.9%0.16%	63.3%0.67%	65.9%2.10%		53.6%2.07%	46.6%1.56%	70.1%0.24%	42.8%2.18%	57.8%0.84%	68.1%0.31%	62.0%2.02%
New York Giants	64.8%0.69%	57.5%2.69%	44.6%4.73%	30.1%3.32%	50.1%3.54%	75.5%0.27%	63.1%1.09%	63.0%3.05%	46.4%2.07%		44.5%2.01%	67.4%0.48%	41.7%4.43%	57.2%1.48%	67.2%1.12%	57.3%2.76%
Philadelphia Eagles	63.3%0.50%	64.8%2.09%	51.7%3.77%	37.0%2.55%	54.1%2.44%	79.9%0.17%	67.0%0.73%	68.5%2.12%	53.4%1.56%	55.5%2.01%		74.8%0.37%	48.0%3.61%	61.9%1.03%	70.8%0.74%	63.1%1.91%
San Francisco 49ers	50.0%0.04%	47.8%0.36%	29.9%0.73%	16.6%0.73%	29.2%0.60%	61.1%0.05%	42.0%0.16%	47.0%0.59%	29.9%0.24%	32.6%0.48%	25.2%0.37%		29.8%0.84%	42.2%0.12%	53.8%0.16%	42.9%0.54%
Seattle Seahawks	70.7%1.08%	68.6%2.88%	53.9%3.08%	38.9%3.72%	57.6%4.70%	79.0%0.62%	68.4%2.48%	69.1%6.54%	57.2%2.18%	58.3%4.43%	52.0%3.61%	70.2%0.84%		62.4%2.41%	74.1%1.14%	67.4%4.25%
St. Louis Rams	60.3%0.14%	53.1%1.10%	40.5%2.00%	24.9%1.97%	42.9%1.67%	70.5%0.12%	61.2%0.56%	54.8%1.59%	42.2%0.84%	42.8%1.48%	38.1%1.03%	57.8%0.12%	37.6%2.41%		62.3%0.42%	54.5%1.28%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	45.9%0.17%	40.9%0.46%	31.0%1.25%	17.7%1.12%	34.2%1.26%	55.0%0.10%	44.4%0.37%	42.8%1.07%	31.9%0.31%	32.8%1.12%	29.2%0.74%	46.2%0.16%	25.9%1.14%	37.7%0.42%		41.5%1.07%
Washington Redskins	55.1%0.62%	51.5%2.74%	36.4%4.76%	23.7%3.31%	40.1%3.50%	71.2%0.27%	53.8%0.97%	52.9%2.78%	38.0%2.02%	42.7%2.76%	36.9%1.91%	57.1%0.54%	32.6%4.25%	45.5%1.28%	58.5%1.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		72.4%0.24%	64.3%0.76%	79.4%0.03%	62.3%2.59%	81.8%0.03%	54.1%6.77%	64.5%2.08%	63.6%1.47%	76.8%0.57%	52.4%5.98%	73.4%0.65%	92.3%0.01%	57.4%3.87%	41.8%6.87%	69.2%0.04%
Buffalo Bills	27.6%0.24%		43.6%0.16%	77.8%<0.01%	39.8%0.32%	0.0%<0.01%	33.2%0.77%	38.0%0.19%	51.4%0.15%	45.5%0.01%	28.8%0.31%	7.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	32.8%0.52%	20.0%0.84%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	35.7%0.76%	56.4%0.16%		80.0%0.01%	47.6%1.36%	81.8%0.02%	39.6%3.36%	49.3%1.15%	47.6%0.74%	62.3%0.28%	38.1%2.94%	53.9%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	41.8%1.90%	26.3%3.60%	59.4%0.03%
Cleveland Browns	20.6%0.03%	22.2%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%		24.7%0.07%		17.5%0.21%	22.2%0.06%	33.3%0.05%	15.4%0.01%	19.9%0.16%	37.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	9.6%0.07%	13.1%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	37.7%2.59%	60.2%0.32%	52.4%1.36%	75.3%0.07%		67.3%0.05%	42.0%5.85%	50.1%2.13%	52.6%1.49%	65.6%0.55%	38.6%5.40%	61.6%0.66%	68.8%0.02%	44.5%4.59%	30.3%8.59%	62.3%0.05%
Houston Texans	18.2%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.02%		32.7%0.05%		19.3%0.06%	14.3%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	16.9%0.09%	33.3%<0.01%		19.2%0.10%	22.7%0.13%
Indianapolis Colts	45.9%6.77%	66.8%0.77%	60.4%3.36%	82.5%0.21%	58.0%5.85%	80.7%0.06%		58.3%4.34%	59.1%3.79%	70.0%1.53%	46.9%13.34%	67.6%1.86%	91.3%0.02%	53.0%10.48%	36.5%12.94%	84.3%0.09%
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.5%2.08%	62.0%0.19%	50.7%1.15%	77.8%0.06%	49.9%2.13%	85.7%<0.01%	41.7%4.34%		51.0%1.07%	61.1%0.45%	39.3%5.00%	58.4%0.52%	66.7%<0.01%	43.3%3.89%	28.3%5.53%	64.7%0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	36.4%1.47%	48.6%0.15%	52.4%0.74%	66.7%0.05%	47.4%1.49%	80.0%0.01%	40.9%3.79%	49.0%1.07%		64.1%0.26%	37.3%3.38%	54.8%0.34%	100.0%<0.01%	45.6%2.85%	30.9%4.79%	66.7%0.03%
Miami Dolphins	23.2%0.57%	54.5%0.01%	37.7%0.28%	84.6%0.01%	34.4%0.55%	66.7%<0.01%	30.0%1.53%	38.9%0.45%	35.9%0.26%		26.4%0.64%	40.0%0.03%		33.8%0.98%	18.8%1.61%	69.2%0.01%
New England Patriots	47.6%5.98%	71.2%0.31%	61.9%2.94%	80.1%0.16%	61.4%5.40%	83.1%0.09%	53.1%13.34%	60.7%5.00%	62.7%3.38%	73.6%0.64%		70.9%0.82%	95.2%0.02%	56.0%9.96%	39.6%13.08%	80.0%0.12%
New York Jets	26.6%0.65%	92.3%0.01%	46.1%0.36%	62.5%0.02%	38.4%0.66%	66.7%<0.01%	32.4%1.86%	41.6%0.52%	45.2%0.34%	60.0%0.03%	29.1%0.82%		100.0%<0.01%	35.6%1.30%	20.9%1.86%	50.0%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	7.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.02%		8.7%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		4.8%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		15.0%0.02%	7.4%0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	42.6%3.87%	67.2%0.52%	58.2%1.90%	90.4%0.07%	55.5%4.59%	80.8%0.10%	47.0%10.48%	56.7%3.89%	54.4%2.85%	66.2%0.98%	44.0%9.96%	64.4%1.30%	85.0%0.02%		35.0%10.91%	70.7%0.15%
San Diego Chargers	58.2%6.87%	80.0%0.84%	73.7%3.60%	86.9%0.21%	69.7%8.59%	77.3%0.13%	63.5%12.94%	71.7%5.53%	69.1%4.79%	81.2%1.61%	60.4%13.08%	79.1%1.86%	92.6%0.03%	65.0%10.91%		83.2%0.17%
Tennessee Titans	30.8%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	40.6%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	37.7%0.05%		15.7%0.09%	35.3%0.02%	33.3%0.03%	30.8%0.01%	20.0%0.12%	50.0%0.01%		29.3%0.15%	16.8%0.17%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		49.1%0.11%	30.5%0.48%	18.6%0.96%	36.1%0.31%	57.1%<0.01%	47.7%0.04%	40.9%0.19%	31.6%0.10%	39.1%0.27%	31.8%0.15%	66.7%<0.01%	32.9%0.50%	50.0%0.02%	45.0%0.04%	43.8%0.23%
Atlanta Falcons	50.9%0.11%		35.1%1.42%	22.4%4.25%	40.3%1.58%	61.8%0.03%	44.4%0.24%	51.2%1.00%	41.2%0.24%	41.2%1.33%	35.2%0.84%	62.0%0.09%	33.8%3.92%	50.5%0.37%	63.0%0.08%	48.3%1.06%
Carolina Panthers	69.5%0.48%	64.9%1.42%		34.7%12.25%	52.6%5.76%	76.1%0.15%	62.7%0.87%	64.0%3.26%	49.3%1.21%	54.0%4.72%	48.0%3.16%	70.6%0.40%	47.3%11.58%	57.7%1.32%	70.4%0.38%	60.8%3.75%
Chicago Bears	81.4%0.96%	77.6%4.25%	65.3%12.25%		67.0%8.77%	84.2%0.27%	77.4%1.92%	76.3%7.20%	66.0%3.97%	68.9%7.38%	63.1%5.61%	83.4%0.68%	63.6%15.69%	74.6%2.63%	81.8%1.37%	75.6%5.99%
Dallas Cowboys	63.9%0.31%	59.7%1.58%	47.4%5.76%	33.0%8.77%		66.3%0.09%	63.9%0.58%	59.4%2.24%	48.7%1.38%	50.5%2.28%	45.9%1.38%	65.0%0.26%	44.9%8.32%	59.2%0.96%	65.5%0.45%	60.8%1.86%
Detroit Lions	42.9%<0.01%	38.2%0.03%	23.9%0.15%	15.8%0.27%	33.7%0.09%		50.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.03%	17.2%0.03%	26.5%0.07%	23.7%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	25.9%0.27%	50.0%0.01%	35.7%0.01%	36.1%0.07%
Green Bay Packers	52.3%0.04%	55.6%0.24%	37.3%0.87%	22.6%1.92%	36.1%0.58%	50.0%<0.01%		48.7%0.30%	32.6%0.19%	43.3%0.53%	32.3%0.28%	40.0%0.04%	34.1%1.55%	41.3%0.10%	60.0%0.08%	46.1%0.43%
Minnesota Vikings	59.1%0.19%	48.8%1.00%	36.0%3.26%	23.7%7.20%	40.6%2.24%	71.4%0.03%	51.3%0.30%		40.4%0.90%	37.9%1.98%	33.9%1.24%	48.1%0.14%	35.0%4.94%	44.5%0.50%	58.5%0.33%	46.0%1.43%
New Orleans Saints	68.4%0.10%	58.8%0.24%	50.7%1.21%	34.0%3.97%	51.3%1.38%	82.8%0.03%	67.4%0.19%	59.6%0.90%		51.4%1.09%	43.8%0.68%	70.0%0.06%	46.1%3.60%	59.9%0.33%	71.6%0.07%	59.4%0.96%
New York Giants	60.9%0.27%	58.8%1.33%	46.0%4.72%	31.1%7.38%	49.5%2.28%	73.5%0.07%	56.7%0.53%	62.1%1.98%	48.6%1.09%		44.8%1.17%	67.2%0.19%	45.2%6.77%	56.2%0.78%	63.7%0.39%	58.6%1.52%
Philadelphia Eagles	68.2%0.15%	64.8%0.84%	52.0%3.16%	36.9%5.61%	54.1%1.38%	76.3%0.06%	67.7%0.28%	66.1%1.24%	56.2%0.68%	55.2%1.17%		78.4%0.10%	49.9%5.16%	63.3%0.47%	73.0%0.23%	61.5%0.89%
San Francisco 49ers	33.3%<0.01%	38.0%0.09%	29.4%0.40%	16.6%0.68%	35.0%0.26%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.04%	51.9%0.14%	30.0%0.06%	32.8%0.19%	21.6%0.10%		29.6%0.34%	71.4%<0.01%	58.3%0.02%	41.6%0.18%
Seattle Seahawks	67.1%0.50%	66.2%3.92%	52.7%11.58%	36.4%15.69%	55.1%8.32%	74.1%0.27%	65.9%1.55%	65.0%4.94%	53.9%3.60%	54.8%6.77%	50.1%5.16%	70.4%0.34%		61.7%1.62%	72.5%1.18%	63.4%5.77%
St. Louis Rams	50.0%0.02%	49.5%0.37%	42.3%1.32%	25.4%2.63%	40.8%0.96%	50.0%0.01%	58.7%0.10%	55.5%0.50%	40.1%0.33%	43.8%0.78%	36.7%0.47%	28.6%<0.01%	38.3%1.62%		70.4%0.11%	51.5%0.54%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	55.0%0.04%	37.0%0.08%	29.6%0.38%	18.2%1.37%	34.5%0.45%	64.3%0.01%	40.0%0.08%	41.5%0.33%	28.4%0.07%	36.3%0.39%	27.0%0.23%	41.7%0.02%	27.5%1.18%	29.6%0.11%		46.1%0.32%
Washington Redskins	56.2%0.23%	51.7%1.06%	39.2%3.75%	24.4%5.99%	39.2%1.86%	63.9%0.07%	53.9%0.43%	54.0%1.43%	40.6%0.96%	41.4%1.52%	38.5%0.89%	58.4%0.18%	36.6%5.77%	48.5%0.54%	53.9%0.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		78.7%0.09%	66.1%0.33%	87.5%<0.01%	63.0%1.37%	80.0%0.01%	54.0%3.16%	61.1%1.05%	58.7%0.85%	74.3%0.20%	50.2%3.33%	72.3%0.24%		57.4%1.44%	41.1%5.34%	87.5%0.02%
Buffalo Bills	21.3%0.09%		43.6%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	39.3%0.09%		30.2%0.19%	49.2%0.06%	57.4%0.05%	60.0%<0.01%	31.6%0.11%	25.0%<0.01%		31.5%0.15%	23.0%0.32%	50.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	33.9%0.33%	56.4%0.04%		0.0%<0.01%	46.4%0.49%	80.0%0.01%	37.5%1.10%	45.3%0.36%	45.0%0.30%	61.3%0.06%	35.3%1.16%	60.4%0.09%		43.1%0.52%	28.9%2.08%	60.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	12.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		22.2%<0.01%		17.9%0.03%	16.7%0.01%	9.1%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%		8.3%0.01%	15.6%0.06%
Denver Broncos	37.0%1.37%	60.7%0.09%	53.6%0.49%	77.8%<0.01%		75.0%<0.01%	44.8%2.69%	49.2%0.87%	52.0%0.43%	68.5%0.17%	38.1%2.65%	63.1%0.23%		44.8%2.03%	30.9%2.77%	55.6%0.02%
Houston Texans	20.0%0.01%		20.0%0.01%		25.0%<0.01%		18.2%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		17.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		14.3%0.01%	13.3%0.03%
Indianapolis Colts	46.0%3.16%	69.8%0.19%	62.5%1.10%	82.1%0.03%	55.2%2.69%	81.8%0.01%		61.0%1.23%	58.5%1.63%	71.6%0.34%	46.8%6.12%	68.3%0.40%	100.0%<0.01%	52.6%4.67%	37.8%11.42%	76.9%0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	38.9%1.05%	50.8%0.06%	54.7%0.36%	83.3%0.01%	50.8%0.87%	100.0%<0.01%	39.0%1.23%		46.5%0.44%	61.6%0.09%	40.8%1.70%	58.4%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	40.1%1.32%	28.9%3.44%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	41.3%0.85%	42.6%0.05%	55.0%0.30%	90.9%0.01%	48.0%0.43%	50.0%<0.01%	41.5%1.63%	53.5%0.44%		62.6%0.09%	39.7%1.58%	48.1%0.13%		43.4%1.13%	31.1%1.59%	66.7%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	25.7%0.20%	40.0%<0.01%	38.7%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	31.5%0.17%		28.4%0.34%	38.4%0.09%	37.4%0.09%		34.7%0.19%	13.3%0.01%		28.3%0.24%	17.4%0.60%	100.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	49.8%3.33%	68.4%0.11%	64.7%1.16%	72.0%0.03%	61.9%2.65%	82.4%0.02%	53.2%6.12%	59.2%1.70%	60.3%1.58%	65.3%0.19%		68.7%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	54.6%4.64%	40.5%10.73%	74.3%0.03%
New York Jets	27.7%0.24%	75.0%<0.01%	39.6%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	36.9%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	31.7%0.40%	41.6%0.15%	51.9%0.13%	86.7%0.01%	31.3%0.27%			36.2%0.33%	21.2%0.84%	100.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders							0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	42.6%1.44%	68.5%0.15%	56.9%0.52%	91.7%0.01%	55.2%2.03%	85.7%0.01%	47.4%4.67%	59.9%1.32%	56.6%1.13%	71.7%0.24%	45.4%4.64%	63.8%0.33%	66.7%<0.01%		36.0%7.75%	64.0%0.03%
San Diego Chargers	58.9%5.34%	77.0%0.32%	71.1%2.08%	84.4%0.06%	69.1%2.77%	86.7%0.03%	62.2%11.42%	71.1%3.44%	68.9%1.59%	82.6%0.60%	59.5%10.73%	78.8%0.84%	100.0%<0.01%	64.0%7.75%		74.5%0.06%
Tennessee Titans	12.5%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%		44.4%0.02%		23.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%		36.0%0.03%	25.5%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		33.3%0.03%	35.6%0.15%	19.7%0.37%	42.2%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%	40.4%0.05%	33.3%0.04%	32.2%0.09%	24.5%0.05%		34.0%0.11%	15.4%0.01%	36.4%0.01%	40.7%0.05%
Atlanta Falcons	66.7%0.03%		38.3%0.43%	24.6%2.22%	37.9%0.45%	75.0%<0.01%	46.6%0.07%	48.0%0.27%	42.1%0.11%	37.0%0.37%	33.5%0.28%	64.0%0.03%	36.1%1.18%	35.3%0.14%	58.3%0.02%	45.0%0.25%
Carolina Panthers	64.4%0.15%	61.7%0.43%		35.6%9.66%	53.6%2.07%	75.6%0.04%	62.6%0.37%	64.3%1.22%	51.9%0.53%	53.6%1.76%	46.7%1.43%	71.4%0.10%	46.6%5.53%	60.2%0.47%	67.6%0.11%	59.9%1.15%
Chicago Bears	80.3%0.37%	75.4%2.22%	64.4%9.66%		66.8%6.55%	87.3%0.07%	71.5%0.56%	75.5%2.13%	64.9%2.42%	67.0%5.30%	62.6%4.00%	82.2%0.26%	62.5%15.56%	72.2%1.34%	84.2%0.52%	74.2%3.60%
Dallas Cowboys	57.8%0.09%	62.1%0.45%	46.4%2.07%	33.2%6.55%		69.2%0.03%	58.5%0.24%	57.2%0.82%	48.1%0.59%	53.9%0.79%	43.8%0.65%	64.7%0.07%	44.7%3.58%	63.9%0.32%	58.6%0.12%	54.2%0.51%
Detroit Lions	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	24.4%0.04%	12.7%0.07%	30.8%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	30.0%0.02%	10.0%0.01%		29.8%0.06%	60.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	46.7%0.01%
Green Bay Packers	61.9%0.02%	53.4%0.07%	37.4%0.37%	28.5%0.56%	41.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%		47.1%0.07%	37.1%0.10%	42.9%0.20%	36.9%0.14%	70.0%0.01%	32.6%0.52%	57.1%0.04%	56.2%0.02%	43.0%0.13%
Minnesota Vikings	59.6%0.05%	52.0%0.27%	35.7%1.22%	24.5%2.13%	42.8%0.82%	42.9%<0.01%	52.9%0.07%		34.7%0.38%	40.3%0.76%	34.6%0.56%	75.0%0.03%	34.8%1.97%	47.5%0.16%	55.4%0.07%	49.8%0.46%
New Orleans Saints	66.7%0.04%	57.9%0.11%	48.1%0.53%	35.1%2.42%	51.9%0.59%	62.5%0.02%	62.9%0.10%	65.3%0.38%		52.6%0.45%	44.2%0.35%	68.4%0.02%	47.9%1.47%	57.7%0.15%	70.4%0.03%	58.6%0.29%
New York Giants	67.8%0.09%	63.0%0.37%	46.4%1.76%	33.0%5.30%	46.1%0.79%	70.0%0.02%	57.1%0.20%	59.7%0.76%	47.4%0.45%		43.4%0.51%	56.6%0.05%	45.3%2.84%	55.9%0.29%	63.4%0.09%	59.0%0.42%
Philadelphia Eagles	75.5%0.05%	66.5%0.28%	53.3%1.43%	37.4%4.00%	56.2%0.65%	90.0%0.01%	63.1%0.14%	65.4%0.56%	55.8%0.35%	56.6%0.51%		59.5%0.04%	49.5%2.23%	62.6%0.20%	73.2%0.08%	62.7%0.32%
San Francisco 49ers		36.0%0.03%	28.6%0.10%	17.8%0.26%	35.3%0.07%		30.0%0.01%	25.0%0.03%	31.6%0.02%	43.4%0.05%	40.5%0.04%		34.5%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	52.0%0.05%
Seattle Seahawks	66.0%0.11%	63.9%1.18%	53.4%5.53%	37.5%15.56%	55.3%3.58%	70.2%0.06%	67.4%0.52%	65.2%1.97%	52.1%1.47%	54.7%2.84%	50.5%2.23%	65.5%0.08%		61.1%0.42%	72.4%0.32%	62.9%1.87%
St. Louis Rams	84.6%0.01%	64.7%0.14%	39.8%0.47%	27.8%1.34%	36.1%0.32%	40.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.04%	52.5%0.16%	42.3%0.15%	44.1%0.29%	37.4%0.20%	50.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.42%		60.9%0.02%	54.1%0.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	63.6%0.01%	41.7%0.02%	32.4%0.11%	15.8%0.52%	41.4%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.02%	44.6%0.07%	29.6%0.03%	36.6%0.09%	26.8%0.08%	60.0%<0.01%	27.6%0.32%	39.1%0.02%		37.3%0.07%
Washington Redskins	59.3%0.05%	55.0%0.25%	40.1%1.15%	25.8%3.60%	45.8%0.51%	53.3%0.01%	57.0%0.13%	50.2%0.46%	41.4%0.29%	41.0%0.42%	37.3%0.32%	48.0%0.05%	37.1%1.87%	45.9%0.21%	62.7%0.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	70.4%0.03%	79.5%0.17%	69.6%1.01%	57.3%3.29%	69.2%0.68%	80.0%<0.01%	74.5%0.09%	74.7%0.28%	69.3%0.24%	71.9%0.59%	68.9%0.50%	88.9%0.02%	69.9%1.70%	76.4%0.12%	90.3%0.03%	75.9%0.30%
Buffalo Bills	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	52.8%0.04%	39.6%0.14%	53.6%0.03%		100.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%	45.5%0.01%	41.2%0.02%	42.9%0.01%		45.7%0.07%	75.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	72.7%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	83.3%0.01%	71.7%0.05%	54.4%0.27%	45.7%0.87%	60.0%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.03%	63.0%0.09%	51.4%0.07%	66.4%0.15%	47.5%0.14%	66.7%<0.01%	56.2%0.44%	54.8%0.03%	100.0%0.01%	62.0%0.08%
Cleveland Browns			0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	73.3%0.01%	76.6%0.11%	60.2%0.69%	46.0%2.06%	59.2%0.43%	85.7%<0.01%	70.9%0.06%	70.8%0.19%	60.8%0.19%	60.7%0.33%	52.7%0.31%	42.9%<0.01%	55.3%1.02%	72.8%0.08%	82.1%0.03%	71.1%0.20%
Houston Texans		0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	79.1%0.04%	75.1%0.31%	63.3%1.85%	51.9%5.64%	65.4%1.12%	80.0%0.01%	77.3%0.14%	73.9%0.49%	61.3%0.51%	65.2%0.94%	60.5%0.84%	75.0%0.03%	62.6%2.91%	71.1%0.24%	75.0%0.07%	73.3%0.50%
Jacksonville Jaguars	25.0%0.01%	66.3%0.09%	56.5%0.47%	43.4%1.51%	58.7%0.29%	50.0%<0.01%	71.7%0.05%	62.8%0.13%	50.0%0.13%	61.4%0.23%	55.7%0.20%	75.0%0.01%	54.8%0.77%	60.7%0.06%	71.4%0.01%	76.8%0.16%
Kansas City Chiefs	77.8%<0.01%	64.7%0.05%	58.1%0.39%	46.7%1.24%	59.9%0.24%	75.0%<0.01%	76.5%0.03%	73.0%0.11%	59.1%0.13%	61.3%0.22%	52.6%0.17%	72.7%0.01%	60.0%0.61%	61.7%0.05%	68.8%0.02%	69.8%0.12%
Miami Dolphins	100.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	52.2%0.07%	31.5%0.20%	45.2%0.03%		100.0%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%	23.1%0.01%	45.7%0.03%	50.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	48.1%0.11%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	63.6%0.02%
New England Patriots	81.7%0.07%	82.0%0.33%	68.0%1.92%	54.4%6.04%	68.0%1.22%	100.0%0.01%	71.4%0.15%	75.6%0.49%	65.4%0.52%	70.6%1.02%	63.9%0.89%	73.3%0.04%	64.9%3.06%	75.2%0.25%	79.4%0.07%	76.3%0.51%
New York Jets	33.3%<0.01%	66.7%0.01%	53.8%0.12%	43.3%0.29%	57.8%0.06%		60.0%0.01%	50.0%0.03%	44.7%0.04%	52.8%0.04%	43.2%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	46.6%0.15%	40.0%0.01%	71.4%<0.01%	63.6%0.03%
Oakland Raiders				0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	66.7%0.03%	71.8%0.21%	64.3%1.23%	48.9%4.00%	63.8%0.82%	76.9%0.01%	73.1%0.09%	73.6%0.38%	60.6%0.36%	64.9%0.67%	60.8%0.58%	75.0%0.02%	61.0%2.10%	68.3%0.16%	78.0%0.04%	69.2%0.39%
San Diego Chargers	86.0%0.09%	81.2%0.61%	71.9%3.46%	63.1%10.94%	77.1%2.19%	85.0%0.02%	78.5%0.27%	79.4%0.97%	75.0%0.99%	77.4%1.78%	69.9%1.58%	90.5%0.07%	73.0%5.49%	82.9%0.42%	85.7%0.12%	82.7%1.05%
Tennessee Titans		0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	52.4%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	29.6%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%		26.7%0.01%		20.9%0.04%	75.0%0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	18.3%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%		33.3%0.03%	14.0%0.09%
Atlanta Falcons																	20.5%0.17%	57.1%<0.01%	28.3%0.05%		23.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	24.9%0.31%	33.7%0.09%	35.3%0.05%	53.8%0.01%	18.0%0.33%	33.3%0.01%		28.2%0.21%	18.8%0.61%	100.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	30.4%1.01%	47.2%0.04%	45.6%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	39.8%0.69%	66.7%<0.01%	36.7%1.85%	43.5%0.47%	41.9%0.39%	47.8%0.07%	32.0%1.92%	46.2%0.12%		35.7%1.23%	28.1%3.46%	57.1%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	42.7%3.29%	60.4%0.14%	54.3%0.87%	85.7%0.01%	54.0%2.06%	44.4%<0.01%	48.1%5.64%	56.6%1.51%	53.3%1.24%	68.5%0.20%	45.6%6.04%	56.7%0.29%	100.0%<0.01%	51.1%4.00%	36.9%10.94%	47.6%0.02%
Dallas Cowboys																	30.8%0.68%	46.4%0.03%	40.0%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	40.8%0.43%	0.0%<0.01%	34.6%1.12%	41.3%0.29%	40.1%0.24%	54.8%0.03%	32.0%1.22%	42.2%0.06%		36.2%0.82%	22.9%2.19%	50.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																	20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		14.3%<0.01%		20.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%			23.1%0.01%	15.0%0.02%
Green Bay Packers																	25.5%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.03%		29.1%0.06%		22.7%0.14%	28.3%0.05%	23.5%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.15%	40.0%0.01%		26.9%0.09%	21.5%0.27%	0.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	25.3%0.28%	63.6%0.01%	37.0%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	29.2%0.19%	0.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.49%	37.2%0.13%	27.0%0.11%	30.0%0.01%	24.4%0.49%	50.0%0.03%		26.4%0.38%	20.6%0.97%	0.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints																	30.7%0.24%	54.5%0.01%	48.6%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%	39.2%0.19%		38.7%0.51%	50.0%0.13%	40.9%0.13%	76.9%0.01%	34.6%0.52%	55.3%0.04%		39.4%0.36%	25.0%0.99%
New York Giants																	28.1%0.59%	58.8%0.02%	33.6%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	39.3%0.33%	100.0%<0.01%	34.8%0.94%	38.6%0.23%	38.7%0.22%	54.3%0.03%	29.4%1.02%	47.2%0.04%		35.1%0.67%	22.6%1.78%	33.3%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	31.1%0.50%	57.1%0.01%	52.5%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	47.3%0.31%	0.0%<0.01%	39.5%0.84%	44.3%0.20%	47.4%0.17%	50.0%0.03%	36.1%0.89%	56.8%0.04%		39.2%0.58%	30.1%1.58%	33.3%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																	11.1%0.02%		33.3%<0.01%		57.1%<0.01%		25.0%0.03%	25.0%0.01%	27.3%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.02%	9.5%0.07%
Seattle Seahawks																	30.1%1.70%	54.3%0.07%	43.8%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%	44.7%1.02%	50.0%<0.01%	37.4%2.91%	45.2%0.77%	40.0%0.61%	51.9%0.11%	35.1%3.06%	53.4%0.15%		39.0%2.10%	27.0%5.49%	66.7%<0.01%
St. Louis Rams																	23.6%0.12%	25.0%<0.01%	45.2%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	27.2%0.08%		28.9%0.24%	39.3%0.06%	38.3%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	24.8%0.25%	60.0%0.01%		31.7%0.16%	17.1%0.42%	100.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	9.7%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%		17.9%0.03%		25.0%0.07%	28.6%0.01%	31.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	20.6%0.07%	28.6%<0.01%		22.0%0.04%	14.3%0.12%	0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	24.1%0.30%	27.3%0.01%	38.0%0.08%		28.9%0.20%		26.7%0.50%	23.2%0.16%	30.2%0.12%	36.4%0.02%	23.7%0.51%	36.4%0.03%		30.8%0.39%	17.3%1.05%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
San Diego Chargers	100.00%	67.55%	41.58%	28.31%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Chicago Bears	100.00%	67.03%	44.16%	18.69%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Baltimore Ravens	100.00%	56.79%	25.81%	16.14%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New England Patriots	72.59%	30.28%	14.31%	8.88%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Indianapolis Colts	62.25%	27.52%	11.74%	7.07%	Won Super Bowl
New Orleans Saints	100.00%	48.38%	18.34%	5.37%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Philadelphia Eagles	59.20%	31.03%	13.30%	4.50%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks	58.25%	24.63%	11.39%	3.81%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	37.75%	10.98%	4.39%	2.35%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Dallas Cowboys	41.75%	16.06%	6.80%	2.04%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Giants	40.80%	12.87%	6.02%	1.87%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Jets	27.41%	6.88%	2.16%	0.97%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets
Indianapolis Colts		62.3%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs	37.7%100.00%
New England Patriots				72.6%100.00%
New York Jets			27.4%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Dallas Cowboys				41.8%100.00%
New York Giants			40.8%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles		59.2%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks	58.2%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Ravens		55.8%62.25%		53.6%27.41%	71.2%10.33%
Indianapolis Colts	44.2%62.25%
Kansas City Chiefs						29.1%37.75%
New England Patriots	46.4%27.41%					38.9%45.18%
New York Jets	28.8%10.33%					22.8%17.07%
San Diego Chargers			70.9%37.75%	61.1%45.18%	77.2%17.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears		68.1%24.89%		68.5%40.80%		64.6%34.31%
Dallas Cowboys	31.9%24.89%		48.2%16.86%
New Orleans Saints		51.8%16.86%			47.6%59.20%	47.9%23.94%
New York Giants	31.5%40.80%
Philadelphia Eagles			52.4%59.20%
Seattle Seahawks	35.4%34.31%		52.1%23.94%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Ravens			61.0%6.40%	52.4%9.90%	68.7%2.17%	39.7%38.31%
Indianapolis Colts				50.3%7.66%	67.3%1.73%	37.1%18.13%
Kansas City Chiefs	39.0%6.40%			37.9%3.69%	55.5%0.89%
New England Patriots	47.6%9.90%	49.7%7.66%	62.1%3.69%			38.7%9.02%
New York Jets	31.3%2.17%	32.7%1.73%	44.5%0.89%			25.0%2.09%
San Diego Chargers	60.3%38.31%	62.9%18.13%		61.3%9.02%	75.0%2.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears		67.1%5.61%	68.0%32.26%		62.9%20.64%	64.0%8.52%
Dallas Cowboys	32.9%5.61%		48.6%3.79%	52.3%2.51%	43.2%4.15%
New Orleans Saints	32.0%32.26%	51.4%3.79%		51.0%6.41%		47.6%5.92%
New York Giants		47.7%2.51%	49.0%6.41%			42.6%3.95%
Philadelphia Eagles	37.1%20.64%	56.8%4.15%				52.8%6.24%
Seattle Seahawks	36.0%8.52%		52.4%5.92%	57.4%3.95%	47.2%6.24%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Ravens	56.3%11.44%	69.0%1.76%	69.5%4.73%	66.6%1.54%	66.4%3.41%	65.0%2.93%
Indianapolis Colts	53.6%5.17%	67.3%0.80%	68.2%2.12%	66.1%0.72%	62.5%1.59%	63.0%1.34%
Kansas City Chiefs	45.4%1.89%	61.5%0.29%	60.9%0.85%	62.2%0.24%	57.5%0.59%	58.2%0.53%
New England Patriots	56.5%6.35%	67.7%0.97%	69.2%2.59%	66.8%0.90%	62.2%1.87%	66.0%1.63%
New York Jets	38.8%0.97%	48.6%0.15%	55.8%0.37%	50.4%0.14%	49.7%0.29%	41.0%0.26%
San Diego Chargers	62.3%18.34%	74.0%2.82%	74.5%7.67%	73.6%2.48%	70.3%5.56%	71.1%4.71%
Chicago Bears							43.7%11.44%	46.4%5.17%	54.6%1.89%	43.5%6.35%	61.2%0.97%	37.7%18.34%
Dallas Cowboys							31.0%1.76%	32.7%0.80%	38.5%0.29%	32.3%0.97%	51.4%0.15%	26.0%2.82%
New Orleans Saints							30.5%4.73%	31.8%2.12%	39.1%0.85%	30.8%2.59%	44.2%0.37%	25.5%7.67%
New York Giants							33.4%1.54%	33.9%0.72%	37.8%0.24%	33.2%0.90%	49.6%0.14%	26.4%2.48%
Philadelphia Eagles							33.6%3.41%	37.5%1.59%	42.5%0.59%	37.8%1.87%	50.3%0.29%	29.7%5.56%
Seattle Seahawks							35.0%2.93%	37.0%1.34%	41.8%0.53%	34.0%1.63%	59.0%0.26%	28.9%4.71%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

San Diego Chargers 28.31% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

40.88%

Win Prob

61.12%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

55.52%

Win Prob

60.25%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

40.38%

Win Prob

62.33%

Chicago Bears 18.69% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

41.67%

Win Prob

68.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

49.72%

Win Prob

68.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

36.96%

Win Prob

37.67%

Baltimore Ravens 16.14% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

61.16%

Win Prob

55.79%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

58.99%

Win Prob

39.75%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

39.91%

Win Prob

56.29%

New England Patriots 8.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

72.59%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

58.01%

Win Prob

38.88%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

32.94%

Win Prob

47.61%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

40.42%

Win Prob

56.54%

Indianapolis Colts 7.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.25%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.21%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

57.32%

Win Prob

37.13%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

39.20%

Win Prob

53.62%

New Orleans Saints 5.37% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

58.23%

Win Prob

47.59%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

56.22%

Win Prob

31.95%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

36.47%

Win Prob

25.52%

Philadelphia Eagles 4.50% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.20%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.41%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

57.49%

Win Prob

37.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

36.73%

Win Prob

29.72%

Seattle Seahawks 3.81% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.25%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

50.63%

Win Prob

52.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

27.28%

Win Prob

52.42%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

35.73%

Win Prob

28.91%

Kansas City Chiefs 2.35% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.75%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.10%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

56.89%

Win Prob

39.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

36.51%

Win Prob

45.37%

Dallas Cowboys 2.04% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.75%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

50.57%

Win Prob

48.18%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

27.18%

Win Prob

32.92%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

35.93%

Win Prob

25.99%

New York Giants 1.87% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.80%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

52.18%

Win Prob

49.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

35.01%

Win Prob

26.44%

New York Jets 0.97% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

27.41%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

56.70%

Win Prob

22.84%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

31.44%

Win Prob

31.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

38.60%

Win Prob

38.76%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2006-09-10	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-27	1436.22	1382.91	60.73%	39.02%	+12.28	1-0
2006-09-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-21	1448.50	1625.67	23.90%	75.91%	-9.42	1-1
2006-09-24	St. Louis Rams	L 14-16	1439.08	1438.50	53.31%	46.43%	-8.96	1-2
2006-10-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-32	1430.12	1491.04	37.99%	61.77%	-21.18	1-3
2006-10-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-23	1408.94	1551.90	33.34%	66.43%	-6.86	1-4
2006-10-16	Chicago Bears	L 23-24	1402.08	1626.62	23.83%	75.97%	-2.83	1-5
2006-10-22	@ Oakland Raiders	L 9-22	1399.25	1345.49	54.23%	45.51%	-23.23	1-6
2006-10-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-31	1376.02	1412.65	41.33%	58.42%	-20.25	1-7
2006-11-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-27	1355.77	1524.99	30.07%	69.71%	-14.74	1-8
2006-11-19	Detroit Lions	W 17-10	1341.03	1370.44	49.00%	50.74%	+15.95	2-8
2006-11-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 26-31	1356.98	1481.55	29.82%	69.96%	-7.92	2-9
2006-12-03	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-20	1349.06	1425.56	35.90%	63.86%	+28.37	3-9
2006-12-10	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-21	1377.43	1583.33	25.83%	73.97%	+21.50	4-9
2006-12-17	Denver Broncos	L 20-37	1398.93	1574.14	29.35%	70.43%	-14.38	4-10
2006-12-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-20	1384.55	1384.78	46.48%	53.26%	+15.50	5-10
2006-12-31	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-27	1400.05	1723.95	11.90%	87.98%	-1.25	5-11
2006-09-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-6	1476.06	1599.71	29.93%	69.85%	+31.02	1-0
2006-09-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 14-3	1507.08	1478.27	57.33%	42.42%	+16.73	2-0
2006-09-25	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-23	1523.81	1416.59	61.71%	38.05%	-32.77	2-1
2006-10-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 32-10	1491.04	1430.12	61.77%	37.99%	+21.17	3-1
2006-10-15	New York Giants	L 14-27	1512.21	1538.54	49.45%	50.30%	-21.18	3-2
2006-10-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-38	1491.03	1653.63	30.88%	68.90%	+14.17	4-2
2006-10-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-27	1505.20	1557.88	39.11%	60.65%	+10.18	5-2
2006-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-30	1515.38	1353.99	68.75%	31.03%	-32.64	5-3
2006-11-12	Cleveland Browns	L 13-17	1482.74	1415.06	62.68%	37.08%	-14.89	5-4
2006-11-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-24	1467.85	1568.23	32.80%	66.97%	-14.59	5-5
2006-11-26	New Orleans Saints	L 13-31	1453.26	1441.81	54.87%	44.88%	-27.65	5-6
2006-12-03	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-14	1425.61	1485.49	38.13%	61.63%	+23.14	6-6
2006-12-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-6	1448.75	1390.60	54.86%	44.89%	+17.69	7-6
2006-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-38	1466.44	1548.25	41.55%	58.20%	-15.61	7-7
2006-12-24	Carolina Panthers	L 3-10	1450.83	1489.64	47.65%	52.09%	-14.98	7-8
2006-12-31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-24	1435.85	1536.17	32.81%	66.96%	-10.32	7-9
2006-09-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-0	1488.40	1513.30	42.97%	56.78%	+35.04	1-0
2006-09-17	Oakland Raiders	W 28-6	1523.44	1400.62	69.75%	30.03%	+16.74	2-0
2006-09-24	@ Cleveland Browns	W 15-14	1540.18	1417.32	63.81%	35.95%	+4.28	3-0
2006-10-01	San Diego Chargers	W 16-13	1544.46	1622.31	42.10%	57.65%	+11.85	4-0
2006-10-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-13	1556.31	1597.69	40.67%	59.08%	-15.28	4-1
2006-10-15	Carolina Panthers	L 21-23	1541.03	1580.12	47.61%	52.13%	-8.00	4-2
2006-10-29	@ New Orleans Saints	W 35-22	1533.03	1464.24	56.37%	43.38%	+18.59	5-2
2006-11-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-20	1551.62	1547.70	53.79%	45.95%	+13.37	6-2
2006-11-12	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-26	1564.99	1371.88	72.53%	27.26%	+3.24	7-2
2006-11-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-10	1568.23	1467.85	66.97%	32.80%	+14.59	8-2
2006-11-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-0	1582.82	1610.00	49.33%	50.42%	+31.12	9-2
2006-11-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-13	1613.94	1566.07	53.39%	46.35%	-15.53	9-3
2006-12-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-10	1598.41	1574.75	49.91%	49.83%	+18.72	10-3
2006-12-17	Cleveland Browns	W 27-17	1617.13	1401.32	79.73%	20.10%	+7.55	11-3
2006-12-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-7	1624.68	1631.81	45.49%	54.25%	+31.57	12-3
2006-12-31	Buffalo Bills	W 19-7	1656.25	1508.10	72.73%	27.06%	+11.14	13-3
2006-09-10	@ New England Patriots	L 17-19	1456.16	1574.22	30.60%	69.17%	-5.15	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Miami Dolphins	W 16-6	1451.01	1493.76	40.48%	59.27%	+22.26	1-1
2006-09-24	New York Jets	L 20-28	1473.27	1449.03	56.68%	43.07%	-19.04	1-2
2006-10-01	Minnesota Vikings	W 17-12	1454.23	1531.27	42.22%	57.53%	+15.28	2-2
2006-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-40	1469.51	1607.33	28.25%	71.54%	-19.29	2-3
2006-10-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-20	1450.22	1352.71	60.38%	39.37%	-12.42	2-4
2006-10-22	New England Patriots	L 6-28	1437.80	1613.93	29.24%	70.54%	-16.30	2-5
2006-11-05	Green Bay Packers	W 24-10	1421.50	1432.90	51.59%	48.15%	+21.40	3-5
2006-11-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 16-17	1442.90	1678.59	18.32%	81.51%	-2.17	3-6
2006-11-19	@ Houston Texans	W 24-21	1440.73	1381.57	55.00%	44.74%	+9.21	4-6
2006-11-26	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-24	1449.94	1571.10	36.18%	63.58%	+13.07	5-6
2006-12-03	San Diego Chargers	L 21-24	1463.01	1681.20	24.50%	75.30%	-5.04	5-7
2006-12-10	@ New York Jets	W 31-13	1457.97	1489.23	42.08%	57.67%	+29.06	6-7
2006-12-17	Miami Dolphins	W 21-0	1487.03	1523.28	48.02%	51.72%	+28.16	7-7
2006-12-24	Tennessee Titans	L 29-30	1515.19	1469.43	59.69%	40.06%	-7.09	7-8
2006-12-31	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-19	1508.10	1656.25	27.06%	72.73%	-11.15	7-9
2006-09-10	Atlanta Falcons	L 6-20	1599.71	1476.06	69.85%	29.93%	-31.03	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-16	1568.68	1531.04	51.92%	47.82%	-10.68	0-2
2006-09-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-24	1558.00	1461.55	60.24%	39.52%	+6.64	1-2
2006-10-01	New Orleans Saints	W 21-18	1564.64	1449.36	68.83%	30.95%	+6.37	2-2
2006-10-08	Cleveland Browns	W 20-12	1571.01	1423.14	72.70%	27.09%	+9.11	3-2
2006-10-15	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-21	1580.12	1541.03	52.13%	47.61%	+8.00	4-2
2006-10-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-17	1588.12	1547.10	52.41%	47.34%	-10.78	4-3
2006-10-29	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-35	1577.34	1500.78	63.87%	35.89%	-34.75	4-4
2006-11-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-10	1542.59	1421.58	69.53%	30.25%	+13.45	5-4
2006-11-19	St. Louis Rams	W 15-0	1556.04	1429.91	70.15%	29.63%	+13.64	6-4
2006-11-26	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-17	1569.68	1471.12	60.53%	39.23%	-14.38	6-5
2006-12-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-27	1555.30	1457.89	60.37%	39.39%	-12.41	6-6
2006-12-10	New York Giants	L 13-27	1542.89	1525.13	55.76%	43.98%	-24.79	6-7
2006-12-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-37	1518.10	1603.35	41.07%	58.68%	-28.46	6-8
2006-12-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 10-3	1489.64	1450.83	52.09%	47.65%	+14.98	7-8
2006-12-31	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-21	1504.62	1542.79	41.11%	58.64%	+22.03	8-8
2006-09-10	@ Green Bay Packers	W 26-0	1514.25	1449.57	55.79%	43.96%	+26.64	1-0
2006-09-17	Detroit Lions	W 34-7	1540.89	1407.31	71.04%	28.74%	+17.75	2-0
2006-09-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 19-16	1558.64	1541.72	48.94%	50.80%	+10.46	3-0
2006-10-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 37-6	1569.10	1648.18	41.93%	57.82%	+38.23	4-0
2006-10-08	Buffalo Bills	W 40-7	1607.33	1469.51	71.54%	28.25%	+19.29	5-0
2006-10-16	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-23	1626.62	1402.08	75.97%	23.83%	+2.83	6-0
2006-10-29	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-10	1629.45	1358.91	84.34%	15.51%	+10.26	7-0
2006-11-05	Miami Dolphins	L 13-31	1639.71	1424.01	79.72%	20.11%	-40.14	7-1
2006-11-12	@ New York Giants	W 38-20	1599.57	1599.09	46.58%	53.16%	+26.79	8-1
2006-11-19	@ New York Jets	W 10-0	1626.36	1455.56	69.90%	29.88%	+11.24	9-1
2006-11-26	@ New England Patriots	L 13-17	1637.60	1642.04	45.88%	53.87%	-10.91	9-2
2006-12-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-13	1626.69	1489.48	71.47%	28.32%	+10.65	10-2
2006-12-11	@ St. Louis Rams	W 42-27	1637.34	1397.19	77.57%	22.24%	+10.24	11-2
2006-12-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-31	1647.58	1372.90	84.65%	15.21%	+3.12	12-2
2006-12-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 26-21	1650.70	1309.06	86.10%	13.77%	+1.22	13-2
2006-12-31	Green Bay Packers	L 7-26	1651.92	1416.09	81.53%	18.31%	-14.05	13-3
2006-09-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-10	1524.55	1566.74	40.56%	59.20%	+25.35	1-0
2006-09-17	Cleveland Browns	W 34-17	1549.90	1432.35	69.11%	30.67%	+15.03	2-0
2006-09-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-20	1564.93	1668.48	32.40%	67.37%	+22.62	3-0
2006-10-01	New England Patriots	L 13-38	1587.55	1570.10	55.72%	44.03%	-33.09	3-1
2006-10-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-14	1554.46	1444.98	62.02%	37.74%	-7.36	3-2
2006-10-22	Carolina Panthers	W 17-14	1547.10	1588.12	47.34%	52.41%	+10.78	4-2
2006-10-29	Atlanta Falcons	L 27-29	1557.88	1505.20	60.65%	39.11%	-10.18	4-3
2006-11-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-26	1547.70	1551.62	45.95%	53.79%	-13.38	4-4
2006-11-12	San Diego Chargers	L 41-49	1534.32	1647.44	37.25%	62.51%	-12.52	4-5
2006-11-19	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-16	1521.80	1462.38	55.04%	44.71%	+20.57	5-5
2006-11-26	@ Cleveland Browns	W 30-0	1542.37	1422.91	63.36%	36.40%	+23.70	6-5
2006-11-30	Baltimore Ravens	W 13-7	1566.07	1613.94	46.35%	53.39%	+15.54	7-5
2006-12-10	Oakland Raiders	W 27-10	1581.61	1348.33	81.30%	18.53%	+9.08	8-5
2006-12-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 16-34	1590.69	1621.31	42.17%	57.58%	-21.27	8-6
2006-12-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-24	1569.42	1588.52	43.79%	55.95%	-5.20	8-7
2006-12-31	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-23	1564.22	1600.25	48.05%	51.69%	-13.99	8-8
2006-09-10	New Orleans Saints	L 14-19	1448.96	1382.17	62.57%	37.19%	-16.61	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-34	1432.35	1549.90	30.67%	69.11%	-15.03	0-2
2006-09-24	Baltimore Ravens	L 14-15	1417.32	1540.18	35.95%	63.81%	-4.27	0-3
2006-10-01	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-21	1413.05	1383.88	50.70%	49.04%	+10.09	1-3
2006-10-08	@ Carolina Panthers	L 12-20	1423.14	1571.01	27.09%	72.70%	-9.11	1-4
2006-10-22	Denver Broncos	L 7-17	1414.03	1619.06	25.93%	73.87%	-9.74	1-5
2006-10-29	New York Jets	W 20-13	1404.29	1456.46	45.74%	54.01%	+16.97	2-5
2006-11-05	@ San Diego Chargers	L 25-32	1421.26	1641.24	19.71%	80.12%	-6.20	2-6
2006-11-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 17-13	1415.06	1482.74	37.08%	62.68%	+14.89	3-6
2006-11-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-24	1429.95	1602.96	29.61%	70.17%	-7.04	3-7
2006-11-26	Cincinnati Bengals	L 0-30	1422.91	1542.37	36.40%	63.36%	-23.70	3-8
2006-12-03	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-28	1399.21	1589.60	27.58%	72.21%	+14.85	4-8
2006-12-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-27	1414.06	1590.62	23.96%	75.85%	-12.74	4-9
2006-12-17	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-27	1401.32	1617.13	20.10%	79.73%	-7.55	4-10
2006-12-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-22	1393.77	1369.78	56.65%	43.10%	-26.06	4-11
2006-12-31	@ Houston Texans	L 6-14	1367.71	1367.74	46.51%	53.24%	-15.63	4-12
2006-09-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-24	1487.74	1536.08	39.70%	60.05%	-12.49	0-1
2006-09-17	Washington Redskins	W 27-10	1475.25	1555.72	41.74%	58.01%	+28.41	1-1
2006-10-01	@ Tennessee Titans	W 45-14	1503.66	1385.39	63.20%	36.56%	+24.20	2-1
2006-10-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-38	1527.86	1489.24	52.06%	47.68%	-23.15	2-2
2006-10-15	Houston Texans	W 34-6	1504.71	1360.83	72.24%	27.55%	+17.33	3-2
2006-10-23	New York Giants	L 22-36	1522.04	1559.72	47.82%	51.93%	-21.26	3-3
2006-10-29	@ Carolina Panthers	W 35-14	1500.78	1577.34	35.89%	63.87%	+34.76	4-3
2006-11-05	@ Washington Redskins	L 19-22	1535.54	1502.40	51.28%	48.47%	-10.55	4-4
2006-11-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-10	1524.99	1355.77	69.71%	30.07%	+14.73	5-4
2006-11-19	Indianapolis Colts	W 21-14	1539.72	1680.77	33.58%	66.19%	+20.79	6-4
2006-11-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-10	1560.51	1419.90	71.86%	27.92%	+17.57	7-4
2006-12-03	@ New York Giants	W 23-20	1578.08	1534.81	52.73%	47.01%	+9.67	8-4
2006-12-10	New Orleans Saints	L 17-42	1587.75	1490.72	66.54%	33.23%	-39.50	8-5
2006-12-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 38-28	1548.25	1466.44	58.20%	41.55%	+15.62	9-5
2006-12-25	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-23	1563.87	1507.10	61.21%	38.55%	-29.07	9-6
2006-12-31	Detroit Lions	L 31-39	1534.80	1307.84	80.75%	19.09%	-27.11	9-7
2006-09-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-18	1591.06	1434.08	68.20%	31.57%	-22.90	0-1
2006-09-17	Kansas City Chiefs	W 9-6	1568.16	1541.39	57.04%	42.71%	+8.79	1-1
2006-09-24	@ New England Patriots	W 17-7	1576.95	1590.84	44.53%	55.22%	+20.74	2-1
2006-10-09	Baltimore Ravens	W 13-3	1597.69	1556.31	59.08%	40.67%	+15.28	3-1
2006-10-15	Oakland Raiders	W 13-3	1612.97	1351.58	83.64%	16.22%	+6.09	4-1
2006-10-22	@ Cleveland Browns	W 17-7	1619.06	1414.03	73.87%	25.93%	+9.75	5-1
2006-10-29	Indianapolis Colts	L 31-34	1628.81	1651.90	49.91%	49.83%	-10.27	5-2
2006-11-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-20	1618.54	1614.20	47.14%	52.61%	+20.73	6-2
2006-11-12	@ Oakland Raiders	W 17-13	1639.27	1382.38	79.20%	20.62%	+4.90	7-2
2006-11-19	San Diego Chargers	L 27-35	1644.17	1659.97	50.96%	48.78%	-17.13	7-3
2006-11-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-19	1627.04	1570.11	54.69%	45.06%	-19.48	7-4
2006-12-03	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1607.56	1571.32	58.37%	41.38%	-12.01	7-5
2006-12-10	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-48	1595.55	1686.25	34.04%	65.72%	-21.41	7-6
2006-12-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 37-20	1574.14	1398.93	70.43%	29.35%	+14.38	8-6
2006-12-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-23	1588.52	1569.42	55.95%	43.79%	+5.21	9-6
2006-12-31	San Francisco 49ers	L 23-26	1593.73	1369.28	80.52%	19.31%	-16.55	9-7
2006-09-10	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-9	1412.58	1620.40	25.62%	74.18%	-5.27	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-34	1407.31	1540.89	28.74%	71.04%	-17.75	0-2
2006-09-24	Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1389.56	1405.12	51.00%	48.75%	-16.03	0-3
2006-10-01	@ St. Louis Rams	L 34-41	1373.53	1447.45	36.24%	63.52%	-11.40	0-4
2006-10-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-26	1362.13	1515.99	26.42%	73.38%	-9.42	0-5
2006-10-15	Buffalo Bills	W 20-17	1352.71	1450.22	39.37%	60.38%	+12.42	1-5
2006-10-22	@ New York Jets	L 24-31	1365.13	1445.32	35.41%	64.35%	-11.14	1-6
2006-11-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-14	1353.99	1515.38	31.03%	68.75%	+32.65	2-6
2006-11-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-19	1386.64	1369.46	55.68%	44.06%	-16.20	2-7
2006-11-19	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-17	1370.44	1341.03	50.74%	49.00%	-15.95	2-8
2006-11-23	Miami Dolphins	L 10-27	1354.49	1488.61	34.48%	65.29%	-16.89	2-9
2006-12-03	@ New England Patriots	L 21-28	1337.60	1652.94	12.43%	87.45%	-3.91	2-10
2006-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-30	1333.69	1478.83	33.06%	66.71%	-12.42	2-11
2006-12-17	@ Green Bay Packers	L 9-17	1321.27	1394.63	36.32%	63.45%	-12.21	2-12
2006-12-24	Chicago Bears	L 21-26	1309.06	1650.70	13.77%	86.10%	-1.22	2-13
2006-12-31	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 39-31	1307.84	1534.80	19.09%	80.75%	+27.10	3-13
2006-09-10	Chicago Bears	L 0-26	1449.57	1514.25	43.96%	55.79%	-26.64	0-1
2006-09-17	New Orleans Saints	L 27-34	1422.93	1398.78	56.67%	43.08%	-17.81	0-2
2006-09-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1405.12	1389.56	48.75%	51.00%	+16.03	1-2
2006-10-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-31	1421.15	1466.91	40.06%	59.69%	-22.33	1-3
2006-10-08	St. Louis Rams	L 20-23	1398.82	1458.85	44.62%	55.13%	-9.18	1-4
2006-10-22	@ Miami Dolphins	W 34-24	1389.64	1447.02	38.47%	61.29%	+23.01	2-4
2006-10-29	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-14	1412.65	1376.02	58.42%	41.33%	+20.25	3-4
2006-11-05	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-24	1432.90	1421.50	48.15%	51.59%	-21.40	3-5
2006-11-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-17	1411.50	1512.66	32.71%	67.06%	+19.50	4-5
2006-11-19	New England Patriots	L 0-35	1431.00	1622.76	27.42%	72.37%	-19.28	4-6
2006-11-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-34	1411.72	1561.21	26.91%	72.88%	-10.11	4-7
2006-12-03	New York Jets	L 10-38	1401.61	1461.13	44.69%	55.05%	-28.11	4-8
2006-12-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-19	1373.50	1376.31	46.11%	53.63%	+21.13	5-8
2006-12-17	Detroit Lions	W 17-9	1394.63	1321.27	63.45%	36.32%	+12.21	6-8
2006-12-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 9-7	1406.84	1466.57	44.66%	55.08%	+9.25	7-8
2006-12-31	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-7	1416.09	1651.92	18.31%	81.53%	+14.06	8-8
2006-09-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-24	1395.06	1439.37	46.86%	52.88%	-20.83	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-43	1374.23	1608.21	18.47%	81.37%	-9.57	0-2
2006-09-24	Washington Redskins	L 15-31	1364.66	1527.32	30.87%	68.91%	-14.68	0-3
2006-10-01	Miami Dolphins	W 17-15	1349.98	1478.83	35.16%	64.60%	+10.85	1-3
2006-10-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-34	1360.83	1504.71	27.55%	72.24%	-17.32	1-4
2006-10-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-7	1343.51	1571.98	23.43%	76.38%	+40.54	2-4
2006-10-29	@ Tennessee Titans	L 22-28	1384.05	1374.89	47.83%	51.92%	-13.92	2-5
2006-11-05	@ New York Giants	L 10-14	1370.13	1594.50	19.32%	80.51%	-4.59	2-6
2006-11-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-10	1365.54	1563.32	21.81%	78.01%	+16.03	3-6
2006-11-19	Buffalo Bills	L 21-24	1381.57	1440.73	44.74%	55.00%	-9.20	3-7
2006-11-26	@ New York Jets	L 11-26	1372.37	1444.32	36.50%	63.26%	-16.81	3-8
2006-12-03	@ Oakland Raiders	W 23-14	1355.56	1367.93	44.75%	55.00%	+19.60	4-8
2006-12-10	Tennessee Titans	L 20-26	1375.16	1434.63	44.70%	55.05%	-13.01	4-9
2006-12-17	@ New England Patriots	L 7-40	1362.15	1618.76	16.59%	83.26%	-11.33	4-10
2006-12-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1350.82	1642.57	17.54%	82.30%	+16.92	5-10
2006-12-31	Cleveland Browns	W 14-6	1367.74	1367.71	53.24%	46.51%	+15.63	6-10
2006-09-10	@ New York Giants	W 26-21	1596.80	1524.74	56.83%	42.92%	+11.41	1-0
2006-09-17	Houston Texans	W 43-24	1608.21	1374.23	81.37%	18.47%	+9.57	2-0
2006-09-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-14	1617.78	1572.26	59.66%	40.09%	+12.60	3-0
2006-10-01	@ New York Jets	W 31-28	1630.38	1468.07	68.86%	30.91%	+6.37	4-0
2006-10-08	Tennessee Titans	W 14-13	1636.75	1361.19	84.72%	15.14%	+1.80	5-0
2006-10-22	Washington Redskins	W 36-22	1638.55	1515.76	69.75%	30.03%	+13.35	6-0
2006-10-29	@ Denver Broncos	W 34-31	1651.90	1628.81	49.83%	49.91%	+10.27	7-0
2006-11-05	@ New England Patriots	W 27-20	1662.17	1655.24	47.51%	52.24%	+16.42	8-0
2006-11-12	Buffalo Bills	W 17-16	1678.59	1442.90	81.51%	18.32%	+2.18	9-0
2006-11-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-21	1680.77	1539.72	66.19%	33.58%	-20.79	9-1
2006-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 45-21	1659.98	1471.11	77.12%	22.70%	+13.21	10-1
2006-12-03	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-20	1673.19	1418.39	79.00%	20.82%	-16.24	10-2
2006-12-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-44	1656.95	1578.33	57.75%	41.99%	-35.64	10-3
2006-12-18	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-16	1621.31	1590.69	57.58%	42.17%	+21.26	11-3
2006-12-24	@ Houston Texans	L 24-27	1642.57	1350.82	82.30%	17.54%	-16.91	11-4
2006-12-31	Miami Dolphins	W 27-22	1625.66	1483.87	72.00%	27.79%	+7.38	12-4
2006-09-10	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-17	1536.08	1487.74	60.05%	39.70%	+12.49	1-0
2006-09-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 9-0	1548.57	1692.17	33.25%	66.51%	+23.69	2-0
2006-09-24	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-21	1572.26	1617.78	40.09%	59.66%	-12.61	2-1
2006-10-01	@ Washington Redskins	L 30-36	1559.65	1541.99	49.05%	50.70%	-14.27	2-2
2006-10-08	New York Jets	W 41-0	1545.38	1461.70	64.81%	34.96%	+26.60	3-2
2006-10-22	@ Houston Texans	L 7-27	1571.98	1343.51	76.38%	23.43%	-40.54	3-3
2006-10-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-6	1531.44	1492.07	52.17%	47.57%	+14.95	4-3
2006-11-05	Tennessee Titans	W 37-7	1546.39	1388.81	73.79%	26.00%	+16.93	5-3
2006-11-12	Houston Texans	L 10-13	1563.32	1365.54	78.01%	21.81%	-16.04	5-4
2006-11-20	New York Giants	W 26-10	1547.28	1572.30	49.64%	50.11%	+23.82	6-4
2006-11-26	@ Buffalo Bills	L 24-27	1571.10	1449.94	63.58%	36.18%	-13.08	6-5
2006-12-03	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-10	1558.02	1505.51	54.05%	45.69%	+20.31	7-5
2006-12-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 44-17	1578.33	1656.95	41.99%	57.75%	+35.65	8-5
2006-12-17	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-24	1613.98	1447.64	69.36%	30.42%	-21.79	8-6
2006-12-24	New England Patriots	L 21-24	1592.19	1630.09	47.78%	51.96%	-9.83	8-7
2006-12-31	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 30-35	1582.36	1554.65	50.49%	49.25%	-13.42	8-8
2006-09-10	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-23	1566.74	1524.55	59.20%	40.56%	-25.35	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-9	1541.39	1568.16	42.71%	57.04%	-8.79	0-2
2006-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-0	1532.60	1369.15	74.44%	25.36%	+19.30	1-2
2006-10-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-20	1551.90	1408.94	66.43%	33.34%	+6.86	2-2
2006-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-45	1558.76	1626.47	37.07%	62.69%	-27.16	2-3
2006-10-22	San Diego Chargers	W 30-27	1531.60	1642.98	37.49%	62.27%	+12.81	3-3
2006-10-29	Seattle Seahawks	W 35-28	1544.41	1582.50	47.76%	51.99%	+16.34	4-3
2006-11-05	@ St. Louis Rams	W 31-17	1560.75	1451.34	62.01%	37.75%	+16.79	5-3
2006-11-12	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-13	1577.54	1464.15	62.54%	37.22%	-12.87	5-4
2006-11-19	Oakland Raiders	W 17-13	1564.67	1377.47	76.95%	22.86%	+5.44	6-4
2006-11-23	Denver Broncos	W 19-10	1570.11	1627.04	45.06%	54.69%	+19.49	7-4
2006-12-03	@ Cleveland Browns	L 28-31	1589.60	1399.21	72.21%	27.58%	-14.85	7-5
2006-12-10	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-20	1574.75	1598.41	49.83%	49.91%	-18.72	7-6
2006-12-17	@ San Diego Chargers	L 9-20	1556.03	1707.66	26.67%	73.13%	-10.52	7-7
2006-12-23	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-9	1545.51	1314.61	76.63%	23.18%	+9.14	8-7
2006-12-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 35-30	1554.65	1582.36	49.25%	50.49%	+13.41	9-7
2006-09-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-28	1503.07	1682.86	23.62%	76.18%	-9.31	0-1
2006-09-17	Buffalo Bills	L 6-16	1493.76	1451.01	59.27%	40.48%	-22.26	0-2
2006-09-24	Tennessee Titans	W 13-10	1471.50	1392.72	64.16%	35.60%	+7.33	1-2
2006-10-01	@ Houston Texans	L 15-17	1478.83	1349.98	64.60%	35.16%	-10.85	1-3
2006-10-08	@ New England Patriots	L 10-20	1467.98	1603.19	28.55%	71.23%	-10.73	1-4
2006-10-15	@ New York Jets	L 17-20	1457.25	1435.10	49.70%	50.05%	-10.23	1-5
2006-10-22	Green Bay Packers	L 24-34	1447.02	1389.64	61.29%	38.47%	-23.01	1-6
2006-11-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-13	1424.01	1639.71	20.11%	79.72%	+40.14	2-6
2006-11-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-10	1464.15	1577.54	37.22%	62.54%	+12.86	3-6
2006-11-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-20	1477.01	1493.16	50.91%	48.83%	+11.60	4-6
2006-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-10	1488.61	1354.49	65.29%	34.48%	+16.90	5-6
2006-12-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-24	1505.51	1558.02	45.69%	54.05%	-20.31	5-7
2006-12-10	New England Patriots	W 21-0	1485.20	1656.85	29.78%	70.00%	+38.08	6-7
2006-12-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-21	1523.28	1487.03	51.72%	48.02%	-28.16	6-8
2006-12-25	New York Jets	L 10-13	1495.12	1484.86	54.70%	45.05%	-11.25	6-9
2006-12-31	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 22-27	1483.87	1625.66	27.79%	72.00%	-7.39	6-10
2006-09-11	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-16	1518.65	1568.11	39.55%	60.20%	+12.39	1-0
2006-09-17	Carolina Panthers	W 16-13	1531.04	1568.68	47.82%	51.92%	+10.68	2-0
2006-09-24	Chicago Bears	L 16-19	1541.72	1558.64	50.80%	48.94%	-10.45	2-1
2006-10-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 12-17	1531.27	1454.23	57.53%	42.22%	-15.28	2-2
2006-10-08	Detroit Lions	W 26-17	1515.99	1362.13	73.38%	26.42%	+9.42	3-2
2006-10-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-13	1525.41	1615.58	34.11%	65.65%	+33.07	4-2
2006-10-30	New England Patriots	L 7-31	1558.48	1630.23	42.96%	56.79%	-25.01	4-3
2006-11-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-9	1533.47	1348.65	71.57%	28.22%	-20.81	4-4
2006-11-12	Green Bay Packers	L 17-23	1512.66	1411.50	67.06%	32.71%	-19.50	4-5
2006-11-19	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1493.16	1477.01	48.83%	50.91%	-11.61	4-6
2006-11-26	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-26	1481.55	1356.98	69.96%	29.82%	+7.93	5-6
2006-12-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-23	1489.48	1626.69	28.32%	71.47%	-10.65	5-7
2006-12-10	@ Detroit Lions	W 30-20	1478.83	1333.69	66.71%	33.06%	+12.43	6-7
2006-12-17	New York Jets	L 13-26	1491.26	1460.17	57.65%	42.10%	-24.69	6-8
2006-12-21	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-9	1466.57	1406.84	55.08%	44.66%	-9.25	6-9
2006-12-31	St. Louis Rams	L 21-41	1457.32	1427.66	57.45%	42.30%	-30.51	6-10
2006-09-10	Buffalo Bills	W 19-17	1574.22	1456.16	69.17%	30.60%	+5.15	1-0
2006-09-17	@ New York Jets	W 24-17	1579.37	1460.50	63.28%	36.48%	+11.47	2-0
2006-09-24	Denver Broncos	L 7-17	1590.84	1576.95	55.22%	44.53%	-20.74	2-1
2006-10-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-13	1570.10	1587.55	44.03%	55.72%	+33.09	3-1
2006-10-08	Miami Dolphins	W 20-10	1603.19	1467.98	71.23%	28.55%	+10.74	4-1
2006-10-22	@ Buffalo Bills	W 28-6	1613.93	1437.80	70.54%	29.24%	+16.30	5-1
2006-10-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-7	1630.23	1558.48	56.79%	42.96%	+25.01	6-1
2006-11-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-27	1655.24	1662.17	52.24%	47.51%	-16.42	6-2
2006-11-12	New York Jets	L 14-17	1638.82	1439.49	78.16%	21.66%	-16.06	6-3
2006-11-19	@ Green Bay Packers	W 35-0	1622.76	1431.00	72.37%	27.42%	+19.28	7-3
2006-11-26	Chicago Bears	W 17-13	1642.04	1637.60	53.87%	45.88%	+10.90	8-3
2006-12-03	Detroit Lions	W 28-21	1652.94	1337.60	87.45%	12.43%	+3.91	9-3
2006-12-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-21	1656.85	1485.20	70.00%	29.78%	-38.09	9-4
2006-12-17	Houston Texans	W 40-7	1618.76	1362.15	83.26%	16.59%	+11.33	10-4
2006-12-24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1630.09	1592.19	51.96%	47.78%	+9.83	11-4
2006-12-31	@ Tennessee Titans	W 40-23	1639.92	1476.52	69.00%	30.78%	+15.08	12-4
2006-09-10	@ Cleveland Browns	W 19-14	1382.17	1448.96	37.19%	62.57%	+16.61	1-0
2006-09-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 34-27	1398.78	1422.93	43.08%	56.67%	+17.81	2-0
2006-09-25	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-3	1416.59	1523.81	38.05%	61.71%	+32.77	3-0
2006-10-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 18-21	1449.36	1564.64	30.95%	68.83%	-6.37	3-1
2006-10-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-21	1442.99	1454.90	51.52%	48.22%	+9.92	4-1
2006-10-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1452.91	1512.38	44.70%	55.05%	+11.33	5-1
2006-10-29	Baltimore Ravens	L 22-35	1464.24	1533.03	43.38%	56.37%	-18.59	5-2
2006-11-05	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-14	1445.65	1447.81	46.20%	53.54%	+26.22	6-2
2006-11-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 31-38	1471.87	1593.47	30.17%	69.60%	-9.49	6-3
2006-11-19	Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-31	1462.38	1521.80	44.71%	55.04%	-20.57	6-4
2006-11-26	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-13	1441.81	1453.26	44.88%	54.87%	+27.64	7-4
2006-12-03	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-10	1469.45	1397.57	63.25%	36.51%	+21.27	8-4
2006-12-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 42-17	1490.72	1587.75	33.23%	66.54%	+39.50	9-4
2006-12-17	Washington Redskins	L 10-16	1530.22	1453.60	63.88%	35.88%	-18.58	9-5
2006-12-24	@ New York Giants	W 30-7	1511.64	1521.87	45.05%	54.69%	+31.15	10-5
2006-12-31	Carolina Panthers	L 21-31	1542.79	1504.62	58.64%	41.11%	-22.02	10-6
2006-09-10	Indianapolis Colts	L 21-26	1524.74	1596.80	42.92%	56.83%	-11.41	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-24	1513.33	1460.20	54.14%	45.60%	+13.28	1-1
2006-09-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 30-42	1526.61	1635.09	31.79%	67.99%	-13.09	1-2
2006-10-08	Washington Redskins	W 19-3	1513.52	1556.27	47.09%	52.66%	+25.02	2-2
2006-10-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-14	1538.54	1512.21	50.30%	49.45%	+21.18	3-2
2006-10-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 36-22	1559.72	1522.04	51.93%	47.82%	+21.26	4-2
2006-10-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-3	1580.98	1461.33	69.37%	30.41%	+13.52	5-2
2006-11-05	Houston Texans	W 14-10	1594.50	1370.13	80.51%	19.32%	+4.59	6-2
2006-11-12	Chicago Bears	L 20-38	1599.09	1599.57	53.16%	46.58%	-26.79	6-3
2006-11-20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-26	1572.30	1547.28	50.11%	49.64%	-23.81	6-4
2006-11-26	@ Tennessee Titans	L 21-24	1548.49	1404.71	66.54%	33.23%	-13.68	6-5
2006-12-03	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-23	1534.81	1578.08	47.01%	52.73%	-9.68	6-6
2006-12-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 27-13	1525.13	1542.89	43.98%	55.76%	+24.78	7-6
2006-12-17	Philadelphia Eagles	L 22-36	1549.91	1479.06	63.11%	36.65%	-28.04	7-7
2006-12-24	New Orleans Saints	L 7-30	1521.87	1511.64	54.69%	45.05%	-31.15	7-8
2006-12-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 34-28	1490.72	1456.11	51.49%	48.26%	+14.04	8-8
2006-09-10	@ Tennessee Titans	W 23-16	1444.74	1423.21	49.61%	50.14%	+15.76	1-0
2006-09-17	New England Patriots	L 17-24	1460.50	1579.37	36.48%	63.28%	-11.47	1-1
2006-09-24	@ Buffalo Bills	W 28-20	1449.03	1473.27	43.07%	56.68%	+19.04	2-1
2006-10-01	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-31	1468.07	1630.38	30.91%	68.86%	-6.37	2-2
2006-10-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-41	1461.70	1545.38	34.96%	64.81%	-26.60	2-3
2006-10-15	Miami Dolphins	W 20-17	1435.10	1457.25	50.05%	49.70%	+10.22	3-3
2006-10-22	Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1445.32	1365.13	64.35%	35.41%	+11.14	4-3
2006-10-29	@ Cleveland Browns	L 13-20	1456.46	1404.29	54.01%	45.74%	-16.97	4-4
2006-11-12	@ New England Patriots	W 17-14	1439.49	1638.82	21.66%	78.16%	+16.07	5-4
2006-11-19	Chicago Bears	L 0-10	1455.56	1626.36	29.88%	69.90%	-11.24	5-5
2006-11-26	Houston Texans	W 26-11	1444.32	1372.37	63.26%	36.50%	+16.81	6-5
2006-12-03	@ Green Bay Packers	W 38-10	1461.13	1401.61	55.05%	44.69%	+28.10	7-5
2006-12-10	Buffalo Bills	L 13-31	1489.23	1457.97	57.67%	42.08%	-29.06	7-6
2006-12-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 26-13	1460.17	1491.26	42.10%	57.65%	+24.69	8-6
2006-12-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 13-10	1484.86	1495.12	45.05%	54.70%	+11.25	9-6
2006-12-31	Oakland Raiders	W 23-3	1496.11	1305.47	77.30%	22.52%	+11.97	10-6
2006-09-11	San Diego Chargers	L 0-27	1419.14	1589.06	29.99%	69.79%	-18.52	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-28	1400.62	1523.44	30.03%	69.75%	-16.74	0-2
2006-10-01	Cleveland Browns	L 21-24	1383.88	1413.05	49.04%	50.70%	-10.09	0-3
2006-10-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-34	1373.79	1349.85	49.95%	49.79%	-22.21	0-4
2006-10-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-13	1351.58	1612.97	16.22%	83.64%	-6.09	0-5
2006-10-22	Arizona Cardinals	W 22-9	1345.49	1399.25	45.51%	54.23%	+23.23	1-5
2006-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-13	1368.72	1639.47	19.35%	80.48%	+25.27	2-5
2006-11-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 0-16	1393.99	1566.16	24.42%	75.38%	-11.61	2-6
2006-11-12	Denver Broncos	L 13-17	1382.38	1639.27	20.62%	79.20%	-4.91	2-7
2006-11-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-17	1377.47	1564.67	22.86%	76.95%	-5.43	2-8
2006-11-26	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-21	1372.04	1677.09	13.09%	86.78%	-4.11	2-9
2006-12-03	Houston Texans	L 14-23	1367.93	1355.56	55.00%	44.75%	-19.60	2-10
2006-12-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-27	1348.33	1581.61	18.53%	81.30%	-9.08	2-11
2006-12-17	St. Louis Rams	L 0-20	1339.25	1386.95	46.38%	53.37%	-24.64	2-12
2006-12-23	Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-20	1314.61	1545.51	23.18%	76.63%	-9.14	2-13
2006-12-31	@ New York Jets	L 3-23	1305.47	1496.11	22.52%	77.30%	-11.97	2-14
2006-09-10	@ Houston Texans	W 24-10	1439.37	1395.06	52.88%	46.86%	+20.83	1-0
2006-09-17	New York Giants	L 24-30	1460.20	1513.33	45.60%	54.14%	-13.27	1-1
2006-09-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-24	1446.93	1389.13	54.81%	44.94%	+19.98	2-1
2006-10-02	Green Bay Packers	W 31-9	1466.91	1421.15	59.69%	40.06%	+22.33	3-1
2006-10-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 38-24	1489.24	1527.86	47.68%	52.06%	+23.14	4-1
2006-10-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1512.38	1452.91	55.05%	44.70%	-11.32	4-2
2006-10-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-23	1501.06	1452.34	53.51%	46.23%	-8.99	4-3
2006-10-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-13	1492.07	1531.44	47.57%	52.17%	-14.96	4-4
2006-11-12	Washington Redskins	W 27-3	1477.11	1512.95	48.08%	51.66%	+30.07	5-4
2006-11-19	Tennessee Titans	L 13-31	1507.18	1368.64	71.62%	28.16%	-36.07	5-5
2006-11-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-45	1471.11	1659.98	22.70%	77.12%	-13.22	5-6
2006-12-04	Carolina Panthers	W 27-24	1457.89	1555.30	39.39%	60.37%	+12.42	6-6
2006-12-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-19	1470.31	1462.35	47.66%	52.09%	+8.75	7-6
2006-12-17	@ New York Giants	W 36-22	1479.06	1549.91	36.65%	63.11%	+28.04	8-6
2006-12-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-7	1507.10	1563.87	38.55%	61.21%	+29.07	9-6
2006-12-31	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-17	1536.17	1435.85	66.96%	32.81%	+10.32	10-6
2006-09-07	Miami Dolphins	W 28-17	1682.86	1503.07	76.18%	23.62%	+9.31	1-0
2006-09-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-9	1692.17	1548.57	66.51%	33.25%	-23.69	1-1
2006-09-24	Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-28	1668.48	1564.93	67.37%	32.40%	-22.62	1-2
2006-10-08	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-23	1645.86	1610.45	51.60%	48.14%	-19.39	1-3
2006-10-15	Kansas City Chiefs	W 45-7	1626.47	1558.76	62.69%	37.07%	+27.16	2-3
2006-10-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 38-41	1653.63	1491.03	68.90%	30.88%	-14.16	2-4
2006-10-29	@ Oakland Raiders	L 13-20	1639.47	1368.72	80.48%	19.35%	-25.27	2-5
2006-11-05	Denver Broncos	L 20-31	1614.20	1618.54	52.61%	47.14%	-20.73	2-6
2006-11-12	New Orleans Saints	W 38-31	1593.47	1471.87	69.60%	30.17%	+9.49	3-6
2006-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns	W 24-20	1602.96	1429.95	70.17%	29.61%	+7.04	4-6
2006-11-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-27	1610.00	1582.82	50.42%	49.33%	-31.12	4-7
2006-12-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-3	1578.88	1402.34	75.84%	23.96%	+11.74	5-7
2006-12-07	Cleveland Browns	W 27-7	1590.62	1414.06	75.85%	23.96%	+12.73	6-7
2006-12-17	@ Carolina Panthers	W 37-3	1603.35	1518.10	58.68%	41.07%	+28.46	7-7
2006-12-24	Baltimore Ravens	L 7-31	1631.81	1624.68	54.25%	45.49%	-31.56	7-8
2006-12-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-17	1600.25	1564.22	51.69%	48.05%	+13.98	8-8
2006-09-11	@ Oakland Raiders	W 27-0	1589.06	1419.14	69.79%	29.99%	+18.52	1-0
2006-09-17	Tennessee Titans	W 40-7	1607.58	1407.45	78.24%	21.58%	+14.73	2-0
2006-10-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 13-16	1622.31	1544.46	57.65%	42.10%	-11.86	2-1
2006-10-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-13	1610.45	1645.86	48.14%	51.60%	+19.39	3-1
2006-10-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 48-19	1629.84	1372.05	79.28%	20.54%	+13.14	4-1
2006-10-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-30	1642.98	1531.60	62.27%	37.49%	-12.81	4-2
2006-10-29	St. Louis Rams	W 38-24	1630.17	1462.41	74.91%	24.89%	+11.07	5-2
2006-11-05	Cleveland Browns	W 32-25	1641.24	1421.26	80.12%	19.71%	+6.20	6-2
2006-11-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 49-41	1647.44	1534.32	62.51%	37.25%	+12.53	7-2
2006-11-19	@ Denver Broncos	W 35-27	1659.97	1644.17	48.78%	50.96%	+17.12	8-2
2006-11-26	Oakland Raiders	W 21-14	1677.09	1372.04	86.78%	13.09%	+4.11	9-2
2006-12-03	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-21	1681.20	1463.01	75.30%	24.50%	+5.05	10-2
2006-12-10	Denver Broncos	W 48-20	1686.25	1595.55	65.72%	34.04%	+21.41	11-2
2006-12-17	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-9	1707.66	1556.03	73.13%	26.67%	+10.51	12-2
2006-12-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1718.17	1532.22	71.70%	28.09%	+5.78	13-2
2006-12-31	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-20	1723.95	1400.05	87.98%	11.90%	+1.25	14-2
2006-09-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 27-34	1382.91	1436.22	39.02%	60.73%	-12.27	0-1
2006-09-17	St. Louis Rams	W 20-13	1370.64	1456.98	40.92%	58.83%	+18.49	1-1
2006-09-24	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-38	1389.13	1446.93	44.94%	54.81%	-19.98	1-2
2006-10-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-41	1369.15	1532.60	25.36%	74.44%	-19.30	1-3
2006-10-08	Oakland Raiders	W 34-20	1349.85	1373.79	49.79%	49.95%	+22.20	2-3
2006-10-15	San Diego Chargers	L 19-48	1372.05	1629.84	20.54%	79.28%	-13.14	2-4
2006-10-29	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-41	1358.91	1629.45	15.51%	84.34%	-10.26	2-5
2006-11-05	Minnesota Vikings	W 9-3	1348.65	1533.47	28.22%	71.57%	+20.81	3-5
2006-11-12	@ Detroit Lions	W 19-13	1369.46	1386.64	44.06%	55.68%	+16.20	4-5
2006-11-19	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-14	1385.66	1582.42	26.85%	72.94%	+21.21	5-5
2006-11-26	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-20	1406.87	1416.27	45.17%	54.58%	-9.30	5-6
2006-12-03	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-34	1397.57	1469.45	36.51%	63.25%	-21.26	5-7
2006-12-10	Green Bay Packers	L 19-30	1376.31	1373.50	53.63%	46.11%	-21.13	5-8
2006-12-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-14	1355.18	1561.82	20.95%	78.87%	+29.60	6-8
2006-12-24	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-26	1384.78	1384.55	53.26%	46.48%	-15.50	6-9
2006-12-31	@ Denver Broncos	W 26-23	1369.28	1593.73	19.31%	80.52%	+16.55	7-9
2006-09-10	@ Detroit Lions	W 9-6	1620.40	1412.58	74.18%	25.62%	+5.27	1-0
2006-09-17	Arizona Cardinals	W 21-10	1625.67	1448.50	75.91%	23.90%	+9.42	2-0
2006-09-24	New York Giants	W 42-30	1635.09	1526.61	67.99%	31.79%	+13.09	3-0
2006-10-01	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-37	1648.18	1569.10	57.82%	41.93%	-38.23	3-1
2006-10-15	@ St. Louis Rams	W 30-28	1609.95	1468.04	66.30%	33.47%	+5.63	4-1
2006-10-22	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-31	1615.58	1525.41	65.65%	34.11%	-33.08	4-2
2006-10-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-35	1582.50	1544.41	51.99%	47.76%	-16.34	4-3
2006-11-06	Oakland Raiders	W 16-0	1566.16	1393.99	75.38%	24.42%	+11.61	5-3
2006-11-12	St. Louis Rams	W 24-22	1577.77	1434.55	72.17%	27.62%	+4.65	6-3
2006-11-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-20	1582.42	1385.66	72.94%	26.85%	-21.21	6-4
2006-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 34-24	1561.21	1411.72	72.88%	26.91%	+10.11	7-4
2006-12-03	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1571.32	1607.56	41.38%	58.37%	+12.01	8-4
2006-12-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-27	1583.33	1377.43	73.97%	25.83%	-21.51	8-5
2006-12-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1561.82	1355.18	78.87%	20.95%	-29.60	8-6
2006-12-24	San Diego Chargers	L 17-20	1532.22	1718.17	28.09%	71.70%	-5.78	8-7
2006-12-31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-7	1526.44	1395.83	64.83%	34.93%	+16.61	9-7
2006-09-10	Denver Broncos	W 18-10	1434.08	1591.06	31.57%	68.20%	+22.90	1-0
2006-09-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-20	1456.98	1370.64	58.83%	40.92%	-18.48	1-1
2006-09-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 16-14	1438.50	1439.08	46.43%	53.31%	+8.95	2-1
2006-10-01	Detroit Lions	W 41-34	1447.45	1373.53	63.52%	36.24%	+11.40	3-1
2006-10-08	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1458.85	1398.82	55.13%	44.62%	+9.19	4-1
2006-10-15	Seattle Seahawks	L 28-30	1468.04	1609.95	33.47%	66.30%	-5.63	4-2
2006-10-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-38	1462.41	1630.17	24.89%	74.91%	-11.07	4-3
2006-11-05	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-31	1451.34	1560.75	37.75%	62.01%	-16.79	4-4
2006-11-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 22-24	1434.55	1577.77	27.62%	72.17%	-4.64	4-5
2006-11-19	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-15	1429.91	1556.04	29.63%	70.15%	-13.64	4-6
2006-11-26	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1416.27	1406.87	54.58%	45.17%	+9.29	5-6
2006-12-03	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-34	1425.56	1349.06	63.86%	35.90%	-28.37	5-7
2006-12-11	Chicago Bears	L 27-42	1397.19	1637.34	22.24%	77.57%	-10.24	5-8
2006-12-17	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-0	1386.95	1339.25	53.37%	46.38%	+24.65	6-8
2006-12-24	Washington Redskins	W 37-31	1411.60	1472.18	44.54%	55.20%	+16.06	7-8
2006-12-31	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 41-21	1427.66	1457.32	42.30%	57.45%	+30.51	8-8
2006-09-10	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-27	1513.30	1488.40	56.78%	42.97%	-35.03	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 3-14	1478.27	1507.08	42.42%	57.33%	-16.72	0-2
2006-09-24	Carolina Panthers	L 24-26	1461.55	1558.00	39.52%	60.24%	-6.65	0-3
2006-10-08	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-24	1454.90	1442.99	48.22%	51.52%	-9.92	0-4
2006-10-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 14-13	1444.98	1554.46	37.74%	62.02%	+7.36	1-4
2006-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-21	1452.34	1501.06	46.23%	53.51%	+8.99	2-4
2006-10-29	@ New York Giants	L 3-17	1461.33	1580.98	30.41%	69.37%	-13.52	2-5
2006-11-05	New Orleans Saints	L 14-31	1447.81	1445.65	53.54%	46.20%	-26.23	2-6
2006-11-13	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-24	1421.58	1542.59	30.25%	69.53%	-13.45	2-7
2006-11-19	Washington Redskins	W 20-17	1408.13	1482.88	42.54%	57.21%	+11.77	3-7
2006-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-38	1419.90	1560.51	27.92%	71.86%	-17.56	3-8
2006-12-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1402.34	1578.88	23.96%	75.84%	-11.74	3-9
2006-12-10	Atlanta Falcons	L 6-17	1390.60	1448.75	44.89%	54.86%	-17.70	3-10
2006-12-17	@ Chicago Bears	L 31-34	1372.90	1647.58	15.21%	84.65%	-3.12	3-11
2006-12-24	@ Cleveland Browns	W 22-7	1369.78	1393.77	43.10%	56.65%	+26.05	4-11
2006-12-31	Seattle Seahawks	L 7-23	1395.83	1526.44	34.93%	64.83%	-16.61	4-12
2006-09-10	New York Jets	L 16-23	1423.21	1444.74	50.14%	49.61%	-15.76	0-1
2006-09-17	@ San Diego Chargers	L 7-40	1407.45	1607.58	21.58%	78.24%	-14.73	0-2
2006-09-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-13	1392.72	1471.50	35.60%	64.16%	-7.33	0-3
2006-10-01	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-45	1385.39	1503.66	36.56%	63.20%	-24.20	0-4
2006-10-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-14	1361.19	1636.75	15.14%	84.72%	-1.79	0-5
2006-10-15	@ Washington Redskins	W 25-22	1359.40	1531.25	24.46%	75.35%	+15.49	1-5
2006-10-29	Houston Texans	W 28-22	1374.89	1384.05	51.92%	47.83%	+13.92	2-5
2006-11-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-37	1388.81	1546.39	26.00%	73.79%	-16.93	2-6
2006-11-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 26-27	1371.88	1564.99	27.26%	72.53%	-3.24	2-7
2006-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-13	1368.64	1507.18	28.16%	71.62%	+36.07	3-7
2006-11-26	New York Giants	W 24-21	1404.71	1548.49	33.23%	66.54%	+13.68	4-7
2006-12-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-17	1418.39	1673.19	20.82%	79.00%	+16.24	5-7
2006-12-10	@ Houston Texans	W 26-20	1434.63	1375.16	55.05%	44.70%	+13.01	6-7
2006-12-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-17	1447.64	1613.98	30.42%	69.36%	+21.79	7-7
2006-12-24	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-29	1469.43	1515.19	40.06%	59.69%	+7.09	8-7
2006-12-31	New England Patriots	L 23-40	1476.52	1639.92	30.78%	69.00%	-15.09	8-8
2006-09-11	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-19	1568.11	1518.65	60.20%	39.55%	-12.39	0-1
2006-09-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-27	1555.72	1475.25	58.01%	41.74%	-28.40	0-2
2006-09-24	@ Houston Texans	W 31-15	1527.32	1364.66	68.91%	30.87%	+14.67	1-2
2006-10-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 36-30	1541.99	1559.65	50.70%	49.05%	+14.28	2-2
2006-10-08	@ New York Giants	L 3-19	1556.27	1513.52	52.66%	47.09%	-25.02	2-3
2006-10-15	Tennessee Titans	L 22-25	1531.25	1359.40	75.35%	24.46%	-15.49	2-4
2006-10-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 22-36	1515.76	1638.55	30.03%	69.75%	-13.36	2-5
2006-11-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 22-19	1502.40	1535.54	48.47%	51.28%	+10.55	3-5
2006-11-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-27	1512.95	1477.11	51.66%	48.08%	-30.07	3-6
2006-11-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1482.88	1408.13	57.21%	42.54%	-11.76	3-7
2006-11-26	Carolina Panthers	W 17-13	1471.12	1569.68	39.23%	60.53%	+14.37	4-7
2006-12-03	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-24	1485.49	1425.61	61.63%	38.13%	-23.14	4-8
2006-12-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-21	1462.35	1470.31	52.09%	47.66%	-8.75	4-9
2006-12-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 16-10	1453.60	1530.22	35.88%	63.88%	+18.58	5-9
2006-12-24	@ St. Louis Rams	L 31-37	1472.18	1411.60	55.20%	44.54%	-16.07	5-10
2006-12-30	New York Giants	L 28-34	1456.11	1490.72	48.26%	51.49%	-14.04	5-11

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2007-01-13	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-15	1667.39	1650.28	55.80%	44.20%	-19.83	0-1
2007-01-14	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-24	1637.87	1547.98	65.75%	34.25%	+7.03	1-0
2007-01-21	New Orleans Saints	W 39-14	1644.90	1531.35	68.74%	31.26%	+18.52	2-0
2007-02-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-29	1663.42	1681.58	47.39%	52.61%	-19.46	2-1
2007-01-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-21	1507.69	1543.05	41.63%	58.37%	-4.93	0-1
2007-01-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-8	1633.04	1568.06	62.45%	37.55%	+17.24	1-0
2007-01-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 15-6	1650.28	1667.39	44.20%	55.80%	+19.83	2-0
2007-01-21	New England Patriots	W 38-34	1670.11	1682.37	51.60%	48.40%	+11.47	3-0
2007-02-04	Chicago Bears	W 29-17	1681.58	1663.42	52.61%	47.39%	+19.46	4-0
2007-01-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 8-23	1568.06	1633.04	37.55%	62.45%	-17.23	0-1
2007-01-07	New York Jets	W 37-16	1655.00	1508.08	72.72%	27.28%	+14.82	1-0
2007-01-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 24-21	1669.82	1725.20	38.86%	61.14%	+12.55	2-0
2007-01-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 34-38	1682.37	1670.11	48.40%	51.60%	-11.47	2-1
2007-01-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1520.77	1554.85	48.46%	51.54%	+10.58	1-0
2007-01-21	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-39	1531.35	1644.90	31.26%	68.74%	-18.52	1-1
2007-01-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1504.76	1546.49	40.74%	59.26%	-8.36	0-1
2007-01-07	@ New England Patriots	L 16-37	1508.08	1655.00	27.28%	72.72%	-14.82	0-1
2007-01-07	New York Giants	W 23-20	1546.49	1504.76	59.26%	40.74%	+8.36	1-0
2007-01-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1554.85	1520.77	51.54%	48.46%	-10.57	1-1
2007-01-14	New England Patriots	L 21-24	1725.20	1669.82	61.14%	38.86%	-12.55	0-1
2007-01-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-20	1543.05	1507.69	58.37%	41.63%	+4.93	1-0
2007-01-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1547.98	1637.87	34.25%	65.75%	-7.03	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-12-24	17.54%	@ Houston Texans	1350.82	27	Indianapolis Colts	1642.57	24
2	2006-12-31	18.31%	Green Bay Packers	1416.09	26	@ Chicago Bears	1651.92	7
3	2006-12-31	19.09%	Detroit Lions	1307.84	39	@ Dallas Cowboys	1534.80	31
4	2006-12-31	19.31%	San Francisco 49ers	1369.28	26	@ Denver Broncos	1593.73	23
5	2006-10-29	19.35%	@ Oakland Raiders	1368.72	20	Pittsburgh Steelers	1639.47	13
6	2006-11-05	20.11%	Miami Dolphins	1424.01	31	@ Chicago Bears	1639.71	13
7	2006-12-03	20.82%	@ Tennessee Titans	1418.39	20	Indianapolis Colts	1673.19	17
8	2006-12-14	20.95%	San Francisco 49ers	1355.18	24	@ Seattle Seahawks	1561.82	14
9	2006-11-12	21.66%	New York Jets	1439.49	17	@ New England Patriots	1638.82	14
10	2006-11-12	21.81%	Houston Texans	1365.54	13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1563.32	10
11	2006-10-22	23.43%	@ Houston Texans	1343.51	27	Jacksonville Jaguars	1571.98	7
12	2006-10-15	24.46%	Tennessee Titans	1359.40	25	@ Washington Redskins	1531.25	22
13	2006-12-10	25.83%	@ Arizona Cardinals	1377.43	27	Seattle Seahawks	1583.33	21
14	2006-11-19	26.85%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1385.66	20	Seattle Seahawks	1582.42	14
15	2006-12-03	27.58%	@ Cleveland Browns	1399.21	31	Kansas City Chiefs	1589.60	28
16	2006-11-19	28.16%	Tennessee Titans	1368.64	31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1507.18	13
17	2006-11-05	28.22%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1348.65	9	Minnesota Vikings	1533.47	3
18	2006-12-10	29.78%	@ Miami Dolphins	1485.20	21	New England Patriots	1656.85	0
19	2006-09-10	29.93%	Atlanta Falcons	1476.06	20	@ Carolina Panthers	1599.71	6
20	2006-12-17	30.42%	@ Tennessee Titans	1447.64	24	Jacksonville Jaguars	1613.98	17
21	2006-10-22	30.88%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1491.03	41	Pittsburgh Steelers	1653.63	38
22	2006-11-05	31.03%	@ Detroit Lions	1353.99	30	Atlanta Falcons	1515.38	14
23	2006-09-10	31.57%	@ St. Louis Rams	1434.08	18	Denver Broncos	1591.06	10
24	2006-09-24	32.40%	Cincinnati Bengals	1564.93	28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1668.48	20
25	2006-11-12	32.71%	Green Bay Packers	1411.50	23	@ Minnesota Vikings	1512.66	17

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2006-10-22	40.54	@ Houston Texans	27	1343.51	23.43%	Jacksonville Jaguars	7	1571.98	76.38%
2	2006-11-05	40.14	Miami Dolphins	31	1424.01	20.11%	@ Chicago Bears	13	1639.71	79.72%
3	2006-12-10	39.50	New Orleans Saints	42	1490.72	33.23%	@ Dallas Cowboys	17	1587.75	66.54%
4	2006-10-01	38.23	@ Chicago Bears	37	1569.10	41.93%	Seattle Seahawks	6	1648.18	57.82%
5	2006-12-10	38.09	@ Miami Dolphins	21	1485.20	29.78%	New England Patriots	0	1656.85	70.00%
6	2006-11-19	36.07	Tennessee Titans	31	1368.64	28.16%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	13	1507.18	71.62%
7	2006-12-10	35.65	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	44	1578.33	41.99%	Indianapolis Colts	17	1656.95	57.75%
8	2006-09-10	35.04	Baltimore Ravens	27	1488.40	42.97%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0	1513.30	56.78%
9	2006-10-29	34.76	Dallas Cowboys	35	1500.78	35.89%	@ Carolina Panthers	14	1577.34	63.87%
10	2006-10-01	33.09	New England Patriots	38	1570.10	44.03%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	13	1587.55	55.72%
11	2006-10-22	33.08	Minnesota Vikings	31	1525.41	34.11%	@ Seattle Seahawks	13	1615.58	65.65%
12	2006-09-25	32.77	@ New Orleans Saints	23	1416.59	38.05%	Atlanta Falcons	3	1523.81	61.71%
13	2006-11-05	32.65	@ Detroit Lions	30	1353.99	31.03%	Atlanta Falcons	14	1515.38	68.75%
14	2006-12-24	31.57	Baltimore Ravens	31	1624.68	45.49%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1631.81	54.25%
15	2006-12-24	31.15	New Orleans Saints	30	1511.64	45.05%	@ New York Giants	7	1521.87	54.69%
16	2006-11-26	31.12	@ Baltimore Ravens	27	1582.82	49.33%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0	1610.00	50.42%
17	2006-09-10	31.03	Atlanta Falcons	20	1476.06	29.93%	@ Carolina Panthers	6	1599.71	69.85%
18	2006-12-31	30.51	St. Louis Rams	41	1427.66	42.30%	@ Minnesota Vikings	21	1457.32	57.45%
19	2006-11-12	30.07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	27	1477.11	48.08%	Washington Redskins	3	1512.95	51.66%
20	2006-12-14	29.60	San Francisco 49ers	24	1355.18	20.95%	@ Seattle Seahawks	14	1561.82	78.87%
21	2006-12-25	29.07	Philadelphia Eagles	23	1507.10	38.55%	@ Dallas Cowboys	7	1563.87	61.21%
22	2006-12-10	29.06	Buffalo Bills	31	1457.97	42.08%	@ New York Jets	13	1489.23	57.67%
23	2006-12-17	28.46	Pittsburgh Steelers	37	1603.35	58.68%	@ Carolina Panthers	3	1518.10	41.07%
24	2006-09-17	28.41	@ Dallas Cowboys	27	1475.25	41.74%	Washington Redskins	10	1555.72	58.01%
25	2006-12-03	28.37	Arizona Cardinals	34	1349.06	35.90%	@ St. Louis Rams	20	1425.56	63.86%