2005 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Pittsburgh Steelers

5th Super Bowl

Last Title: 1979

Runner-Up

Seattle Seahawks

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Denver Broncos

2.79 wins above expected

13 wins · 10.21 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Houston Texans

2.81 wins below expected

2 wins · 4.81 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	10	6	.625	-	379	338	+41	9.81	+0.19
2	Miami Dolphins	9	7	.562	1	318	317	+1	7.05	+1.95
3	Buffalo Bills	5	11	.312	5	271	367	-96	7.08	-2.08
4	New York Jets	4	12	.250	6	240	355	-115	6.03	-2.03

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	11	5	.688	-	421	350	+71	10.44	+0.56
2	Pittsburgh Steelers Playoffs	11	5	.688	-	389	258	+131	10.45	+0.55
3	Baltimore Ravens	6	10	.375	5	265	299	-34	6.70	-0.70
4	Cleveland Browns	6	10	.375	5	232	301	-69	6.08	-0.08

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	14	2	.875	-	439	247	+192	12.42	+1.58
2	Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs	12	4	.750	2	361	269	+92	9.70	+2.30
3	Tennessee Titans	4	12	.250	10	299	421	-122	5.83	-1.83
4	Houston Texans	2	14	.125	12	260	431	-171	4.81	-2.81

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	13	3	.812	-	395	258	+137	10.21	+2.79
2	Kansas City Chiefs	10	6	.625	3	403	325	+78	8.53	+1.47
3	San Diego Chargers	9	7	.562	4	418	312	+106	10.07	-1.07
4	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	9	290	383	-93	5.52	-1.52

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	11	5	.688	-	422	314	+108	9.54	+1.46
2	Washington Redskins Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	359	293	+66	8.13	+1.87
3	Dallas Cowboys	9	7	.562	2	325	308	+17	8.14	+0.86
4	Philadelphia Eagles	6	10	.375	5	310	388	-78	8.13	-2.13

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	11	5	.688	-	260	202	+58	8.85	+2.15
2	Minnesota Vikings	9	7	.562	2	306	344	-38	7.17	+1.83
3	Detroit Lions	5	11	.312	6	254	345	-91	6.47	-1.47
4	Green Bay Packers	4	12	.250	7	298	344	-46	6.63	-2.63

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Division	11	5	.688	-	300	274	+26	9.16	+1.84
2	Carolina Panthers Playoffs	11	5	.688	-	391	259	+132	10.26	+0.74
3	Atlanta Falcons	8	8	.500	3	351	341	+10	9.39	-1.39
4	New Orleans Saints	3	13	.188	8	235	398	-163	5.19	-2.19

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	13	3	.812	-	452	271	+181	10.32	+2.68
2	St. Louis Rams	6	10	.375	7	363	429	-66	7.19	-1.19
3	Arizona Cardinals	5	11	.312	8	311	387	-76	6.27	-1.27
4	San Francisco 49ers	4	12	.250	9	239	428	-189	4.44	-0.44

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

New England Patriots 28

Jacksonville Jaguars 3

Jan 7

Pittsburgh Steelers 31

Cincinnati Bengals 17

Jan 8

Divisional Round

Denver Broncos 27

New England Patriots 13

Jan 14

Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Indianapolis Colts 18

Jan 15

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh Steelers 34

Denver Broncos 17

Jan 22

NFC

Wild Card Round

Washington Redskins 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10

Jan 7

Carolina Panthers 23

New York Giants 0

Jan 8

Divisional Round

Seattle Seahawks 20

Washington Redskins 10

Jan 14

Carolina Panthers 29

Chicago Bears 21

Jan 15

Conference Championship

Seattle Seahawks 34

Carolina Panthers 14

Jan 22

Super Bowl

Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Seattle Seahawks 10

Feb 5

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1756	14	12.42	+1.58	91.69%	4	10	11	12	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1745	13	10.32	+2.68	96.94%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1743	13	10.21	+2.79	97.14%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1724	11	10.45	+0.55	72.40%	3	8	9	10	12	13	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1676	9	10.07	-1.07	37.25%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1668	10	9.81	+0.19	64.58%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1664	11	10.26	+0.74	74.66%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1649	10	8.53	+1.47	84.84%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1646	10	8.13	+1.87	89.50%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1633	12	9.70	+2.30	95.34%	2	7	9	10	11	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1620	11	9.54	+1.46	85.19%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1600	11	10.44	+0.56	72.18%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1568	11	9.16	+1.84	90.14%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1560	11	8.85	+2.15	92.29%	0	6	8	9	10	12	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1552	9	7.17	+1.83	89.50%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1508	9	7.05	+1.95	90.48%	0	4	6	7	8	10	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1475	6	6.70	-0.70	46.18%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1475	9	8.14	+0.86	76.82%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1447	8	9.39	-1.39	31.36%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1404	5	7.08	-2.08	19.93%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1393	6	6.08	-0.08	59.98%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1377	4	6.03	-2.03	20.39%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1369	6	8.13	-2.13	19.74%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1365	4	6.63	-2.63	12.20%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1352	6	7.19	-1.19	35.95%	1	4	6	7	8	10	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1352	5	6.27	-1.27	35.01%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1323	4	5.83	-1.83	23.31%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1308	5	6.47	-1.47	30.73%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1305	4	5.52	-1.52	29.17%	0	3	4	5	7	8	13
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1261	4	4.44	-0.44	53.11%	0	2	3	4	6	7	12
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1245	2	4.81	-2.81	8.67%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1237	3	5.19	-2.19	17.51%	0	2	4	5	6	8	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (2.1 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-
New York Jets	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	-	-
Cleveland Browns	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (3.3 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.8 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Oakland Raiders	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-
San Diego Chargers	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	-	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.17%	1.37%	1.17%	0.98%	1.17%	0.78%	6.64%
7–13	1.17%	3.91%	6.05%	4.49%	1.95%	1.17%	0.59%	19.34%
14–20	1.37%	6.05%	6.25%	7.81%	3.12%	1.56%	0.59%	26.76%
21–27	1.17%	4.49%	7.81%	5.86%	4.10%	0.59%	0.59%	24.61%
28–34	0.98%	1.95%	3.12%	4.10%	2.34%	0.78%	0.39%	13.67%
35–41	1.17%	1.17%	1.56%	0.59%	0.78%	0.39%	0.20%	5.86%
42+	0.78%	0.59%	0.59%	0.59%	0.39%	0.20%	—	3.12%
Total	6.64%	19.34%	26.76%	24.61%	13.67%	5.86%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.62	20.62	+0.00
SD	10.03	10.03	15.14
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	52	52	+49
Min	0	0	-49

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.44	24.19	-4.75
SD	7.24	9.66	12.41
CV	0.37	0.40	—
Max	38	42	+17
Min	12	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.94	21.31	+0.62
SD	9.57	10.56	14.48
CV	0.44	0.50	—
Max	36	44	+20
Min	3	7	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.56	18.69	-2.12
SD	11.18	11.36	16.73
CV	0.67	0.61	—
Max	48	42	+45
Min	3	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.94	22.94	-6.00
SD	8.84	11.53	14.87
CV	0.52	0.50	—
Max	37	48	+15
Min	3	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	16.19	+8.25
SD	10.36	7.54	13.52
CV	0.42	0.47	—
Max	44	29	+33
Min	3	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.25	12.62	+3.62
SD	8.42	8.87	14.49
CV	0.52	0.70	—
Max	38	34	+32
Min	7	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.31	21.88	+4.44
SD	10.92	11.67	15.56
CV	0.42	0.53	—
Max	42	45	+29
Min	3	7	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.50	18.81	-4.31
SD	7.43	10.13	13.71
CV	0.51	0.54	—
Max	26	41	+22
Min	0	0	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	19.25	+1.06
SD	9.47	7.72	12.02
CV	0.47	0.40	—
Max	34	35	+23
Min	7	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.69	16.12	+8.56
SD	8.72	9.49	12.98
CV	0.35	0.59	—
Max	49	34	+28
Min	10	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	—	18.75%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.88	21.56	-5.69
SD	7.68	10.13	13.41
CV	0.48	0.47	—
Max	35	41	+18
Min	6	3	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.62	21.50	-2.88
SD	12.21	9.47	18.25
CV	0.66	0.44	—
Max	52	48	+49
Min	3	3	-45

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	56.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.25	26.94	-10.69
SD	6.59	10.41	11.30
CV	0.41	0.39	—
Max	30	45	+11
Min	7	13	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.44	15.44	+12.00
SD	11.33	10.60	11.98
CV	0.41	0.69	—
Max	45	37	+32
Min	10	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	56.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.56	16.81	+5.75
SD	10.03	6.52	11.29
CV	0.44	0.39	—
Max	40	28	+27
Min	3	3	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.19	20.31	+4.88
SD	9.98	9.58	14.55
CV	0.40	0.47	—
Max	45	37	+34
Min	3	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	50.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.88	19.81	+0.06
SD	9.33	6.52	12.08
CV	0.47	0.33	—
Max	34	30	+24
Min	0	6	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	21.50	-2.38
SD	9.74	8.76	16.78
CV	0.51	0.41	—
Max	34	38	+24
Min	3	10	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	21.12	+2.56
SD	5.97	11.54	14.56
CV	0.25	0.55	—
Max	35	41	+28
Min	16	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.69	24.88	-10.19
SD	7.39	10.99	13.62
CV	0.50	0.44	—
Max	31	52	+12
Min	3	7	-49

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	6.25%	56.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.38	19.62	+6.75
SD	8.37	10.79	14.57
CV	0.32	0.55	—
Max	44	45	+36
Min	13	0	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	31.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	6.25%	50.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.00	22.19	-7.19
SD	9.31	7.95	11.91
CV	0.62	0.36	—
Max	30	31	+16
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	6.25%	43.75%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	23.94	-5.81
SD	8.96	7.51	11.47
CV	0.49	0.31	—
Max	38	34	+21
Min	3	9	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	—	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	24.25	-4.88
SD	10.02	11.48	17.57
CV	0.52	0.47	—
Max	42	49	+39
Min	0	3	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	37.50%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.31	16.12	+8.19
SD	9.05	9.86	14.69
CV	0.37	0.61	—
Max	41	38	+41
Min	7	0	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	50.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.12	19.50	+6.62
SD	11.84	5.18	14.65
CV	0.45	0.27	—
Max	48	28	+38
Min	7	10	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.94	26.75	-11.81
SD	9.29	11.80	15.28
CV	0.62	0.44	—
Max	31	52	+5
Min	3	10	-39

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.25	16.94	+11.31
SD	9.95	8.49	15.76
CV	0.35	0.50	—
Max	42	31	+42
Min	13	0	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.69	26.81	-4.12
SD	7.10	10.39	10.11
CV	0.31	0.39	—
Max	33	45	+11
Min	9	10	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.75	17.12	+1.62
SD	9.36	9.72	11.93
CV	0.50	0.57	—
Max	36	35	+16
Min	0	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	26.31	-7.62
SD	9.72	8.75	14.29
CV	0.52	0.33	—
Max	34	40	+15
Min	3	10	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.44	18.31	+4.12
SD	12.59	9.06	15.88
CV	0.56	0.49	—
Max	52	36	+35
Min	0	7	-36

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+0.4
Allowed	0.66	-0.5
Differential	0.90	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Denver Broncos	13	10.21	+2.79
2	Seattle Seahawks	13	10.32	+2.68
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	12	9.70	+2.30
4	Chicago Bears	11	8.85	+2.15
5	Miami Dolphins	9	7.05	+1.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Houston Texans	2	4.81	-2.81
2	Green Bay Packers	4	6.63	-2.63
3	New Orleans Saints	3	5.19	-2.19
4	Philadelphia Eagles	6	8.13	-2.13
5	Buffalo Bills	5	7.08	-2.08

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Miami Dolphins	6	Nov 27 – Jan 1	1 in 601
2	Minnesota Vikings	6	Nov 6 – Dec 11	1 in 92
3	Chicago Bears	8	Oct 16 – Dec 4	1 in 88
4	Seattle Seahawks	11	Oct 9 – Dec 24	1 in 86
5	Indianapolis Colts	13	Sep 11 – Dec 11	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oakland Raiders	6	Nov 27 – Dec 31	1 in 27
2	St. Louis Rams	4	Dec 4 – Dec 24	1 in 20
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Nov 20 – Dec 4	1 in 19
4	Cincinnati Bengals	2	Dec 24 – Jan 1	1 in 18
5	New York Jets	7	Oct 16 – Dec 4	1 in 17

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	71.70%	19.17%	7.04%	2.09%
Buffalo Bills	12.06%	31.42%	31.77%	24.75%
Miami Dolphins	11.80%	31.86%	31.55%	24.78%
New York Jets	4.44%	17.55%	29.64%	48.38%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	49.84%	41.35%	7.51%	1.30%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.73%	42.71%	8.84%	1.73%
Baltimore Ravens	2.23%	9.92%	48.27%	39.58%
Cleveland Browns	1.20%	6.02%	35.39%	57.39%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	85.64%	13.93%	0.42%	0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.06%	77.29%	7.63%	1.02%
Tennessee Titans	0.23%	6.26%	58.93%	34.58%
Houston Texans	0.07%	2.52%	33.02%	64.39%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	42.56%	35.00%	19.79%	2.64%
San Diego Chargers	42.20%	35.47%	19.43%	2.90%
Kansas City Chiefs	14.65%	26.32%	46.09%	12.94%
Oakland Raiders	0.59%	3.20%	14.69%	81.52%

Team	1	2	3	4
New York Giants	45.67%	26.18%	17.41%	10.73%
Washington Redskins	18.73%	25.00%	27.20%	29.07%
Dallas Cowboys	18.29%	24.58%	27.40%	29.73%
Philadelphia Eagles	17.30%	24.24%	27.99%	30.46%

Team	1	2	3	4
Chicago Bears	55.78%	24.28%	13.36%	6.58%
Minnesota Vikings	19.05%	28.53%	27.58%	24.84%
Green Bay Packers	12.91%	25.24%	30.43%	31.43%
Detroit Lions	12.26%	21.96%	28.63%	37.15%

Team	1	2	3	4
Carolina Panthers	48.72%	30.17%	18.73%	2.37%
Atlanta Falcons	27.79%	34.33%	33.05%	4.83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	22.96%	33.11%	38.04%	5.90%
New Orleans Saints	0.53%	2.39%	10.17%	86.90%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	81.71%	14.65%	3.29%	0.35%
St. Louis Rams	11.88%	48.38%	29.08%	10.65%
Arizona Cardinals	5.78%	28.55%	42.66%	23.02%
San Francisco 49ers	0.63%	8.42%	24.97%	65.98%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Indianapolis Colts	50.72%	20.96%	11.52%	6.74%	4.23%	2.73%	1.65%	0.85%	0.33%	0.15%	0.07%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	10.10%	15.59%	15.18%	13.23%	12.07%	10.77%	8.69%	5.67%	3.43%	2.32%	1.33%	0.84%	0.45%	0.20%	0.10%	0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.78%	14.20%	14.23%	13.38%	12.02%	10.67%	8.88%	6.05%	3.69%	2.63%	1.52%	0.95%	0.51%	0.30%	0.14%	0.05%
Denver Broncos	7.83%	13.33%	13.90%	12.19%	11.58%	10.67%	8.92%	7.18%	5.96%	3.62%	2.15%	1.34%	0.73%	0.36%	0.18%	0.05%
San Diego Chargers	7.09%	12.68%	13.25%	12.46%	11.73%	11.05%	9.25%	7.28%	5.98%	3.94%	2.34%	1.37%	0.81%	0.45%	0.24%	0.07%
New England Patriots	6.00%	10.27%	13.17%	15.18%	12.99%	10.72%	8.84%	7.75%	5.24%	3.52%	2.62%	1.63%	1.00%	0.64%	0.32%	0.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	5.08%	6.54%	8.57%	11.49%	13.73%	14.38%	13.88%	10.49%	6.26%	3.79%	2.44%	1.63%	0.86%	0.47%	0.27%	0.12%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.77%	4.18%	5.22%	6.37%	8.00%	9.07%	9.92%	10.86%	11.58%	9.85%	7.62%	5.65%	4.01%	2.91%	1.91%	1.09%
Buffalo Bills	0.17%	0.64%	1.54%	2.72%	3.68%	4.99%	7.10%	9.90%	10.67%	10.46%	11.06%	10.03%	8.52%	7.51%	6.66%	4.38%
Miami Dolphins	0.20%	0.70%	1.52%	2.66%	3.74%	5.10%	7.25%	9.74%	10.52%	10.42%	10.72%	9.71%	8.41%	7.65%	6.84%	4.82%
Baltimore Ravens	0.13%	0.42%	0.78%	1.23%	1.98%	2.96%	4.58%	6.57%	9.13%	12.30%	12.44%	11.64%	11.17%	10.42%	8.35%	5.91%
New York Jets	0.04%	0.17%	0.42%	0.85%	1.50%	2.31%	3.61%	5.29%	7.09%	8.44%	9.86%	10.92%	11.85%	12.73%	13.48%	11.44%
Cleveland Browns	0.05%	0.18%	0.34%	0.69%	1.15%	1.77%	2.71%	4.39%	6.87%	9.55%	10.46%	11.25%	12.77%	13.57%	12.72%	11.52%
Tennessee Titans	0.03%	0.07%	0.17%	0.40%	0.77%	1.31%	2.25%	3.81%	5.90%	8.79%	11.43%	13.65%	13.16%	12.37%	12.22%	13.68%
Oakland Raiders	0.01%	0.05%	0.15%	0.32%	0.62%	1.08%	1.66%	2.73%	4.76%	5.94%	7.36%	10.42%	14.70%	16.28%	17.32%	16.60%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.09%	0.20%	0.42%	0.79%	1.44%	2.58%	4.25%	6.60%	8.95%	11.05%	14.15%	19.26%	30.13%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	22.05%	19.37%	15.95%	12.09%	8.13%	6.05%	4.89%	3.73%	2.59%	1.84%	1.43%	0.90%	0.55%	0.27%	0.11%	0.05%
Carolina Panthers	23.00%	16.28%	12.54%	10.32%	8.99%	7.28%	5.55%	4.49%	3.88%	2.80%	2.02%	1.26%	0.78%	0.44%	0.28%	0.09%
New York Giants	12.52%	13.42%	12.29%	10.49%	9.05%	8.35%	6.99%	6.07%	5.24%	4.52%	3.48%	2.73%	2.30%	1.44%	0.77%	0.33%
Atlanta Falcons	11.82%	10.48%	9.89%	10.22%	10.30%	9.35%	7.92%	7.18%	6.50%	5.52%	4.01%	2.81%	1.78%	1.24%	0.71%	0.27%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8.97%	8.92%	9.15%	9.83%	10.17%	9.47%	8.54%	8.06%	7.24%	6.34%	4.96%	3.44%	2.14%	1.54%	0.87%	0.34%
Chicago Bears	6.96%	8.93%	10.72%	11.25%	10.04%	8.71%	8.25%	7.18%	6.40%	5.26%	4.85%	4.00%	2.89%	2.35%	1.58%	0.62%
Washington Redskins	4.00%	5.40%	5.87%	6.39%	7.54%	8.27%	7.90%	7.81%	8.10%	8.04%	7.41%	6.91%	6.66%	5.19%	3.09%	1.41%
Dallas Cowboys	3.61%	5.13%	6.08%	6.49%	7.58%	8.07%	8.10%	7.89%	8.41%	8.64%	7.22%	6.88%	6.69%	4.86%	2.94%	1.41%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.57%	4.93%	5.95%	6.50%	7.47%	7.95%	7.87%	8.01%	8.30%	8.38%	7.44%	7.07%	6.75%	5.15%	3.19%	1.47%
St. Louis Rams	1.01%	1.90%	2.88%	3.98%	4.80%	6.46%	8.17%	9.36%	9.29%	9.23%	9.52%	9.21%	8.27%	6.67%	5.06%	4.18%
Minnesota Vikings	1.04%	2.10%	3.45%	4.54%	5.17%	5.99%	7.36%	7.83%	8.13%	8.45%	9.23%	9.10%	8.10%	8.14%	7.11%	4.25%
Green Bay Packers	0.48%	1.14%	1.92%	2.82%	3.73%	4.69%	5.94%	6.72%	7.38%	8.40%	9.75%	10.63%	9.78%	10.26%	9.77%	6.57%
Detroit Lions	0.43%	0.96%	1.74%	2.65%	3.44%	4.23%	5.35%	6.16%	6.87%	7.73%	9.34%	10.01%	10.35%	11.74%	11.27%	7.73%
Arizona Cardinals	0.44%	0.85%	1.24%	1.82%	2.57%	3.62%	4.87%	6.03%	6.73%	7.91%	9.57%	10.96%	11.91%	10.64%	10.26%	10.57%
New Orleans Saints	0.08%	0.17%	0.25%	0.44%	0.74%	1.02%	1.43%	2.09%	2.95%	4.04%	5.43%	7.75%	11.83%	17.47%	22.02%	22.29%
San Francisco 49ers	<0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.16%	0.28%	0.47%	0.88%	1.38%	1.99%	2.89%	4.33%	6.33%	9.21%	12.59%	20.96%	38.42%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Indianapolis Colts	40.95%	16.70%	11.93%	7.23%	6.05%	3.92%	3.32%	2.17%	2.08%	1.40%	1.14%	0.78%	0.68%	0.54%	0.34%	0.23%	0.16%	0.14%	0.07%	0.06%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-	<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	6.64%	10.31%	7.87%	9.86%	7.09%	8.62%	6.17%	7.23%	4.49%	5.31%	3.86%	3.96%	2.72%	3.02%	2.23%	2.23%	1.51%	1.38%	1.12%	1.03%	0.88%	0.63%	0.51%	0.40%	0.31%	0.21%	0.15%	0.11%	0.06%	0.04%	0.03%	<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.39%	7.22%	9.68%	7.34%	8.42%	6.55%	7.10%	5.73%	6.13%	5.09%	4.91%	4.06%	4.04%	3.35%	2.56%	2.25%	1.71%	1.54%	1.21%	0.94%	0.67%	0.61%	0.40%	0.37%	0.24%	0.19%	0.12%	0.07%	0.06%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.90%	7.17%	8.84%	6.91%	8.11%	6.58%	6.89%	5.83%	6.13%	5.10%	4.89%	4.06%	4.09%	3.39%	2.68%	2.37%	1.83%	1.60%	1.26%	1.07%	0.83%	0.63%	0.51%	0.37%	0.29%	0.19%	0.17%	0.11%	0.08%	0.05%	0.02%	0.01%
Carolina Panthers	5.97%	11.06%	7.44%	9.19%	6.28%	7.25%	5.44%	6.19%	4.65%	5.06%	4.06%	4.33%	3.22%	3.06%	2.60%	2.47%	2.18%	2.00%	1.48%	1.30%	1.14%	0.97%	0.67%	0.53%	0.43%	0.34%	0.24%	0.18%	0.15%	0.07%	0.05%	0.02%
Denver Broncos	5.66%	6.45%	8.00%	6.75%	7.82%	6.22%	6.55%	5.35%	6.20%	4.95%	5.14%	3.92%	4.52%	3.58%	3.46%	2.61%	2.89%	2.09%	1.85%	1.40%	1.17%	0.89%	0.72%	0.57%	0.39%	0.32%	0.21%	0.14%	0.10%	0.06%	0.02%	<0.01%
San Diego Chargers	5.13%	5.65%	7.93%	6.14%	7.62%	6.01%	6.87%	5.27%	6.40%	4.91%	5.49%	4.14%	4.73%	3.74%	3.46%	2.77%	2.86%	2.25%	1.92%	1.64%	1.26%	0.96%	0.75%	0.58%	0.43%	0.35%	0.25%	0.20%	0.14%	0.08%	0.03%	0.02%
New England Patriots	4.38%	4.52%	6.51%	5.58%	7.66%	5.94%	7.47%	6.04%	6.46%	5.36%	5.37%	4.76%	4.43%	3.86%	3.60%	3.27%	2.73%	2.38%	1.85%	1.58%	1.38%	1.19%	0.87%	0.76%	0.58%	0.46%	0.34%	0.26%	0.20%	0.11%	0.07%	0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.55%	3.31%	4.66%	4.13%	5.76%	5.32%	6.41%	5.66%	7.14%	6.35%	6.22%	5.95%	5.89%	5.67%	4.17%	4.44%	2.84%	2.99%	1.93%	1.86%	1.21%	1.17%	0.87%	0.75%	0.51%	0.41%	0.25%	0.23%	0.17%	0.10%	0.07%	0.02%
New York Giants	3.08%	6.12%	5.04%	6.89%	5.45%	6.61%	5.33%	6.01%	4.91%	5.08%	4.59%	4.82%	4.03%	3.88%	3.62%	3.24%	3.12%	2.74%	2.47%	2.19%	1.98%	1.67%	1.61%	1.26%	1.11%	0.94%	0.75%	0.55%	0.39%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%
Atlanta Falcons	2.54%	5.44%	4.57%	5.59%	4.83%	5.56%	5.01%	5.59%	5.10%	5.58%	4.84%	5.41%	4.44%	4.37%	3.93%	3.93%	3.57%	3.25%	2.87%	2.66%	2.24%	1.96%	1.58%	1.22%	0.98%	0.85%	0.69%	0.52%	0.36%	0.25%	0.16%	0.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1.74%	4.28%	3.48%	4.98%	4.16%	5.17%	4.48%	5.66%	4.83%	5.51%	4.76%	5.62%	4.53%	4.73%	4.20%	4.41%	3.92%	3.89%	3.28%	3.07%	2.69%	2.42%	1.85%	1.58%	1.19%	1.02%	0.85%	0.61%	0.45%	0.34%	0.18%	0.10%
Chicago Bears	1.40%	3.25%	3.17%	4.50%	3.88%	5.39%	4.84%	6.06%	4.57%	5.80%	4.98%	5.20%	4.12%	4.72%	4.25%	4.33%	3.46%	3.53%	2.97%	3.05%	2.60%	2.50%	2.15%	1.95%	1.67%	1.44%	1.24%	1.04%	0.78%	0.60%	0.35%	0.20%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.15%	1.64%	2.56%	2.36%	3.22%	2.88%	3.83%	3.40%	4.70%	3.81%	4.73%	4.08%	5.36%	4.78%	5.15%	4.53%	5.40%	4.80%	4.60%	4.25%	3.58%	3.61%	2.82%	2.74%	2.13%	1.99%	1.53%	1.50%	1.03%	0.87%	0.61%	0.37%
Washington Redskins	0.66%	1.75%	1.74%	2.67%	2.38%	3.14%	3.08%	3.46%	3.47%	4.02%	4.13%	4.63%	4.25%	4.28%	4.44%	4.32%	4.55%	4.26%	4.37%	4.00%	4.12%	3.84%	3.70%	3.39%	3.15%	3.14%	2.51%	2.33%	1.58%	1.33%	0.84%	0.48%
Dallas Cowboys	0.57%	1.53%	1.70%	2.55%	2.32%	3.26%	3.14%	3.52%	3.42%	4.02%	4.14%	4.53%	4.25%	4.37%	4.53%	4.39%	4.73%	4.45%	4.55%	4.23%	4.20%	3.78%	3.64%	3.32%	3.25%	3.06%	2.43%	2.10%	1.52%	1.27%	0.77%	0.48%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.61%	1.58%	1.69%	2.45%	2.37%	3.14%	3.05%	3.51%	3.52%	3.84%	4.17%	4.37%	4.31%	4.23%	4.55%	4.30%	4.75%	4.33%	4.59%	4.08%	4.19%	3.84%	3.82%	3.29%	3.48%	2.95%	2.58%	2.12%	1.71%	1.27%	0.86%	0.47%
St. Louis Rams	0.11%	0.43%	0.47%	0.87%	0.99%	1.38%	1.45%	2.06%	1.97%	2.73%	2.74%	3.63%	3.33%	4.55%	4.29%	5.36%	4.33%	5.20%	4.68%	5.43%	4.78%	5.02%	4.69%	4.78%	4.06%	4.41%	3.58%	3.42%	2.90%	2.46%	2.27%	1.64%
Minnesota Vikings	0.13%	0.43%	0.56%	0.95%	1.08%	1.54%	1.80%	2.23%	2.14%	2.74%	2.89%	3.30%	3.29%	4.02%	4.21%	4.46%	4.09%	4.32%	4.65%	4.68%	4.97%	4.75%	4.87%	4.51%	4.30%	4.34%	4.01%	3.89%	3.51%	3.17%	2.41%	1.74%
Buffalo Bills	0.10%	0.18%	0.47%	0.51%	0.95%	0.90%	1.54%	1.47%	1.98%	1.94%	2.76%	2.55%	3.75%	3.36%	4.46%	4.54%	4.85%	5.12%	5.11%	5.11%	5.11%	5.36%	4.98%	5.20%	4.38%	4.37%	4.05%	3.81%	3.57%	3.23%	2.54%	1.74%
Miami Dolphins	0.11%	0.22%	0.43%	0.58%	0.93%	0.90%	1.47%	1.45%	2.07%	2.02%	2.69%	2.64%	3.69%	3.47%	4.33%	4.49%	4.75%	5.04%	4.92%	5.31%	4.88%	5.22%	4.79%	5.05%	4.44%	4.38%	4.08%	3.94%	3.60%	3.35%	2.76%	2.00%
Green Bay Packers	0.05%	0.19%	0.27%	0.47%	0.53%	0.88%	0.98%	1.31%	1.43%	1.89%	2.11%	2.48%	2.62%	3.17%	3.54%	3.75%	3.67%	4.02%	4.57%	4.55%	5.09%	5.00%	5.49%	5.30%	5.25%	5.18%	5.02%	5.15%	4.87%	4.64%	3.75%	2.76%
Baltimore Ravens	0.07%	0.12%	0.23%	0.29%	0.49%	0.53%	0.72%	0.86%	1.17%	1.25%	1.64%	1.74%	2.53%	2.66%	3.31%	3.28%	4.45%	4.62%	5.34%	5.59%	5.61%	5.93%	5.81%	5.62%	5.61%	5.28%	5.58%	5.00%	4.67%	4.10%	3.39%	2.53%
Detroit Lions	0.03%	0.15%	0.23%	0.39%	0.46%	0.80%	0.81%	1.21%	1.25%	1.86%	1.88%	2.29%	2.27%	3.06%	3.18%	3.49%	3.25%	3.81%	4.11%	4.44%	4.85%	4.77%	5.18%	5.21%	5.42%	5.49%	5.66%	5.87%	5.52%	5.36%	4.27%	3.44%
Arizona Cardinals	0.03%	0.16%	0.19%	0.35%	0.37%	0.60%	0.68%	0.92%	1.01%	1.32%	1.51%	2.00%	1.98%	2.62%	2.87%	3.37%	3.11%	3.78%	3.98%	4.48%	4.78%	5.00%	5.18%	5.91%	5.47%	6.14%	5.35%	5.74%	5.42%	5.26%	5.42%	5.01%
New York Jets	0.02%	0.04%	0.11%	0.12%	0.23%	0.28%	0.46%	0.52%	0.73%	0.84%	1.26%	1.17%	1.80%	1.84%	2.41%	2.62%	3.28%	3.41%	4.04%	4.29%	4.51%	4.86%	5.25%	5.69%	6.03%	6.01%	6.42%	6.51%	6.82%	6.72%	6.43%	5.25%
Cleveland Browns	0.02%	0.04%	0.12%	0.14%	0.21%	0.23%	0.41%	0.46%	0.67%	0.72%	1.02%	1.05%	1.56%	1.66%	2.21%	2.29%	3.34%	3.42%	4.21%	4.49%	4.82%	5.16%	5.44%	5.68%	6.30%	6.26%	6.68%	6.70%	6.68%	6.51%	5.97%	5.53%
Tennessee Titans	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.12%	0.14%	0.24%	0.28%	0.50%	0.51%	0.65%	0.86%	1.20%	1.38%	1.76%	2.10%	2.74%	3.26%	3.74%	4.35%	4.89%	5.58%	5.68%	6.82%	6.31%	6.58%	6.73%	6.55%	6.90%	6.25%	7.33%	6.43%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.10%	0.10%	0.20%	0.22%	0.38%	0.37%	0.57%	0.65%	0.97%	0.98%	1.42%	1.40%	2.33%	2.34%	2.93%	2.90%	3.72%	3.90%	5.03%	5.15%	6.86%	6.88%	7.61%	8.22%	8.41%	9.16%	8.79%	8.33%
New Orleans Saints	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.07%	0.08%	0.13%	0.14%	0.22%	0.26%	0.37%	0.46%	0.55%	0.68%	0.74%	1.03%	1.24%	1.59%	1.61%	2.04%	2.20%	3.10%	3.10%	4.21%	4.04%	6.14%	5.98%	7.97%	8.49%	9.44%	11.13%	10.85%	12.08%
Houston Texans	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.04%	0.05%	0.07%	0.12%	0.12%	0.22%	0.27%	0.43%	0.49%	0.70%	0.76%	1.19%	1.37%	1.90%	2.16%	2.76%	3.38%	3.93%	4.43%	5.04%	5.86%	6.82%	7.66%	9.21%	10.48%	13.31%	17.16%
San Francisco 49ers	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.06%	0.09%	0.13%	0.15%	0.22%	0.27%	0.43%	0.54%	0.75%	0.78%	1.05%	1.38%	1.62%	1.96%	2.30%	3.00%	3.51%	4.25%	4.97%	6.13%	6.97%	9.70%	11.41%	16.26%	21.98%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Indianapolis Colts	50.72%	20.54%	10.54%	3.84%	7.62%	3.38%	3.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.78%	14.24%	14.30%	7.41%	14.48%	12.55%	26.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	10.10%	15.95%	15.85%	7.94%	13.78%	12.14%	24.24%
Denver Broncos	7.83%	13.85%	13.59%	7.29%	12.37%	12.61%	32.46%
San Diego Chargers	7.09%	13.31%	13.53%	8.27%	11.77%	12.65%	33.38%
New England Patriots	6.00%	11.09%	17.09%	37.52%	1.41%	2.74%	24.15%
Jacksonville Jaguars	5.08%	4.14%	3.26%	1.58%	23.87%	19.02%	43.05%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.77%	4.41%	5.14%	3.33%	7.83%	9.96%	67.56%
Miami Dolphins	0.20%	0.80%	2.24%	8.57%	1.25%	3.20%	83.74%
Buffalo Bills	0.17%	0.72%	2.18%	8.99%	1.10%	2.97%	83.87%
Baltimore Ravens	0.13%	0.43%	0.87%	0.80%	1.65%	2.87%	93.24%
Cleveland Browns	0.05%	0.20%	0.46%	0.49%	0.91%	1.70%	96.19%
New York Jets	0.04%	0.19%	0.64%	3.57%	0.55%	1.47%	93.55%
Tennessee Titans	0.03%	0.05%	0.09%	0.07%	0.79%	1.33%	97.65%
Oakland Raiders	0.01%	0.06%	0.19%	0.32%	0.41%	0.98%	98.01%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.02%	0.20%	0.41%	99.32%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Carolina Panthers	23.00%	14.54%	7.81%	3.37%	17.57%	10.12%	23.58%
Seattle Seahawks	22.05%	21.23%	21.61%	16.82%	2.20%	2.86%	13.23%
New York Giants	12.52%	14.24%	12.35%	6.57%	8.88%	9.74%	35.71%
Atlanta Falcons	11.82%	8.57%	4.98%	2.42%	18.50%	12.84%	40.87%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8.97%	7.31%	4.45%	2.23%	17.40%	12.92%	46.73%
Chicago Bears	6.96%	9.67%	15.17%	23.98%	2.37%	3.82%	38.03%
Washington Redskins	4.00%	5.83%	5.52%	3.38%	7.30%	9.29%	64.68%
Dallas Cowboys	3.61%	5.47%	5.73%	3.48%	7.36%	9.31%	65.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.57%	5.18%	5.26%	3.29%	7.61%	9.20%	65.89%
Minnesota Vikings	1.04%	2.33%	5.24%	10.43%	2.10%	3.85%	75.00%
St. Louis Rams	1.01%	2.13%	3.89%	4.84%	3.40%	6.01%	78.71%
Green Bay Packers	0.48%	1.29%	2.93%	8.21%	1.46%	2.94%	82.69%
Arizona Cardinals	0.44%	0.96%	1.78%	2.59%	1.74%	3.25%	89.24%
Detroit Lions	0.43%	1.06%	2.97%	7.79%	1.25%	2.40%	84.08%
New Orleans Saints	0.08%	0.15%	0.16%	0.14%	0.73%	1.05%	97.68%
San Francisco 49ers	<0.01%	0.05%	0.14%	0.43%	0.13%	0.41%	98.83%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+19.05%

Fortress

59.52%40.48%

Elo Value

Home Edge

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

067.0080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.74 points

Home-Tilted

-8+2.65+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.3

Wide Open

124811

Champion Preseason Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers, 4th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

6.4%

Favored

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.46 · As Expected: 1.46 to 2 · Elevated: 2 to 2.73 · High Variance: 2.73 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.4 · Close: 4.4 to 5.96 · Off Target: 5.96 to 7.77 · Well Off Target: 7.77 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.54 · As Expected: 2.54 to 4.23 · More Than Expected: 4.23 to 6.77 · Far More Than Expected: 6.77 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.72 wins

As Expected

01.825

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.22

Pinpoint

05.1815

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

97.14%

Denver Broncos

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

8.67%

Houston Texans

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 32

As Expected

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

03.412

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.01

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

84%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

23%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.90

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.22

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.28

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.95

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Within Noise

00.0910.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Indianapolis Colts	88.10%	88.10%	56.99%	35.05%	21.70%
Seattle Seahawks	78.72%	78.72%	57.19%	38.70%	19.19%
Denver Broncos	50.54%	50.54%	28.94%	15.35%	9.56%
Pittsburgh Steelers	56.44%	56.44%	30.75%	15.63%	9.44%
Carolina Panthers	62.08%	62.08%	38.19%	20.18%	8.35%
New England Patriots	58.77%	52.26%	22.87%	9.78%	5.50%
San Diego Chargers	46.21%	45.03%	21.69%	9.67%	5.36%
New York Giants	49.54%	49.54%	26.22%	12.37%	4.58%
Cincinnati Bengals	48.74%	45.20%	16.80%	6.00%	2.84%
Washington Redskins	25.49%	25.19%	13.50%	6.66%	2.76%
Jacksonville Jaguars	47.73%	28.61%	11.14%	4.63%	2.42%
Chicago Bears	45.34%	43.85%	18.43%	7.04%	2.25%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36.99%	33.85%	15.45%	6.20%	2.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	26.26%	18.22%	7.76%	3.20%	1.73%
Minnesota Vikings	21.62%	15.33%	6.07%	2.26%	0.72%
Atlanta Falcons	38.74%	32.70%	10.31%	2.95%	0.60%
Dallas Cowboys	25.89%	19.07%	6.28%	1.94%	0.48%
Miami Dolphins	15.26%	6.19%	1.46%	0.39%	0.16%
Philadelphia Eagles	25.36%	15.39%	3.51%	0.78%	0.10%
Green Bay Packers	15.54%	6.58%	1.39%	0.28%	0.06%
St. Louis Rams	18.14%	7.68%	1.67%	0.34%	0.04%
Buffalo Bills	15.24%	4.33%	0.72%	0.14%	0.04%
Baltimore Ravens	6.20%	2.06%	0.46%	0.10%	0.04%
Arizona Cardinals	9.35%	3.80%	0.81%	0.17%	0.02%
Detroit Lions	14.42%	5.45%	0.87%	0.12%	0.02%
New York Jets	6.22%	1.48%	0.21%	0.04%	0.01%
Cleveland Browns	3.56%	0.87%	0.14%	0.02%	<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	2.28%	0.31%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	2.08%	0.51%	0.08%	0.01%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	1.11%	0.27%	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Houston Texans	0.66%	0.05%	<0.01%	-	-
Oakland Raiders	1.91%	0.31%	0.03%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		55.4%0.23%	28.4%0.70%	40.0%0.02%	17.3%0.79%	88.9%<0.01%	13.3%0.57%	31.2%0.49%	27.2%0.35%	37.6%0.24%	21.0%1.08%	39.8%0.08%	57.1%0.03%	15.0%0.78%	23.5%0.79%	84.6%0.03%
Buffalo Bills	44.6%0.23%		28.7%2.11%	55.0%0.14%	14.8%1.98%	85.2%0.03%	13.8%1.10%	28.5%2.59%	22.8%1.04%	34.8%0.23%	16.2%1.66%	55.2%0.09%	69.6%0.07%	15.4%1.99%	20.2%1.85%	73.8%0.12%
Cincinnati Bengals	71.6%0.70%	71.3%2.11%		76.1%0.45%	30.5%5.96%	93.5%0.11%	27.3%3.01%	51.7%5.62%	44.6%3.32%	57.5%2.18%	33.1%8.13%	71.9%0.89%	84.9%0.26%	33.4%9.70%	39.7%5.96%	85.8%0.33%
Cleveland Browns	60.0%0.02%	45.0%0.14%	23.9%0.45%		11.4%0.42%	100.0%<0.01%	9.2%0.29%	17.1%0.29%	21.1%0.21%	31.4%0.10%	13.8%0.62%	43.2%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	9.7%0.51%	16.6%0.44%	54.5%0.01%
Denver Broncos	82.7%0.79%	85.2%1.98%	69.5%5.96%	88.6%0.42%		97.1%0.07%	46.1%2.78%	71.1%5.15%	64.6%3.38%	76.4%1.99%	52.9%7.79%	89.0%0.85%	93.4%0.23%	52.6%6.06%	58.4%8.15%	95.0%0.26%
Houston Texans	11.1%<0.01%	14.8%0.03%	6.5%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	2.9%0.07%		1.6%0.06%	7.1%0.01%	7.5%0.04%	13.8%0.03%	3.2%0.12%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	2.4%0.08%	2.6%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	86.7%0.57%	86.2%1.10%	72.7%3.01%	90.8%0.29%	53.9%2.78%	98.4%0.06%		70.1%4.26%	68.7%1.75%	76.3%1.03%	54.7%3.53%	90.3%0.45%	92.5%0.15%	57.6%3.22%	63.3%2.97%	93.7%0.19%
Jacksonville Jaguars	68.8%0.49%	71.5%2.59%	48.3%5.62%	82.9%0.29%	28.9%5.15%	92.9%0.01%	29.9%4.26%		41.7%2.27%	60.0%2.45%	35.9%11.78%	75.9%1.00%	80.4%0.16%	30.7%6.12%	36.7%5.46%	79.3%0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	72.8%0.35%	77.2%1.04%	55.4%3.32%	78.9%0.21%	35.4%3.38%	92.5%0.04%	31.3%1.75%	58.3%2.27%		62.4%1.06%	38.6%5.24%	81.2%0.43%	86.8%0.08%	35.0%3.65%	42.1%3.35%	88.9%0.09%
Miami Dolphins	62.4%0.24%	65.2%0.23%	42.5%2.18%	68.6%0.10%	23.6%1.99%	86.2%0.03%	23.7%1.03%	40.0%2.45%	37.6%1.06%		25.3%1.75%	60.8%0.10%	87.7%0.07%	28.5%2.01%	29.6%1.95%	85.3%0.07%
New England Patriots	79.0%1.08%	83.8%1.66%	66.9%8.13%	86.2%0.62%	47.1%7.79%	96.8%0.12%	45.3%3.53%	64.1%11.78%	61.4%5.24%	74.7%1.75%		84.7%0.64%	92.3%0.35%	49.9%7.93%	55.2%7.62%	90.8%0.51%
New York Jets	60.2%0.08%	44.8%0.09%	28.1%0.89%	56.8%0.04%	11.0%0.85%	83.3%<0.01%	9.7%0.45%	24.1%1.00%	18.8%0.43%	39.2%0.10%	15.3%0.64%		78.9%0.02%	15.2%0.80%	17.0%0.81%	67.9%0.03%
Oakland Raiders	42.9%0.03%	30.4%0.07%	15.1%0.26%	50.0%<0.01%	6.6%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	7.5%0.15%	19.6%0.16%	13.2%0.08%	12.3%0.07%	7.7%0.35%	21.1%0.02%		6.0%0.25%	8.9%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	85.0%0.78%	84.6%1.99%	66.6%9.70%	90.3%0.51%	47.4%6.06%	97.6%0.08%	42.4%3.22%	69.3%6.12%	65.0%3.65%	71.5%2.01%	50.1%7.93%	84.8%0.80%	94.0%0.25%		56.7%6.29%	93.8%0.32%
San Diego Chargers	76.5%0.79%	79.8%1.85%	60.3%5.96%	83.4%0.44%	41.6%8.15%	97.4%0.08%	36.7%2.97%	63.3%5.46%	57.9%3.35%	70.4%1.95%	44.8%7.62%	83.0%0.81%	91.1%0.24%	43.3%6.29%		94.4%0.25%
Tennessee Titans	15.4%0.03%	26.2%0.12%	14.2%0.33%	45.5%0.01%	5.0%0.26%	0.0%<0.01%	6.3%0.19%	20.7%0.06%	11.1%0.09%	14.7%0.07%	9.2%0.51%	32.1%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	6.2%0.32%	5.6%0.25%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		42.2%0.93%	17.0%0.95%	18.8%1.00%	32.5%0.70%	49.4%0.23%	42.7%0.27%	20.3%0.43%	66.7%0.04%	17.4%1.09%	47.4%0.68%	80.0%<0.01%	9.2%1.27%	47.8%0.23%	27.3%0.84%	15.7%0.68%
Atlanta Falcons	57.8%0.93%		21.5%3.27%	26.7%7.12%	42.0%2.17%	59.0%2.19%	54.5%2.22%	28.4%3.04%	76.8%0.12%	22.6%3.69%	58.2%1.94%	65.0%0.12%	10.7%6.06%	57.2%1.71%	34.0%1.97%	21.4%2.19%
Carolina Panthers	83.0%0.95%	78.5%3.27%		57.2%6.55%	74.5%2.28%	84.0%2.03%	82.2%2.31%	58.6%2.97%	91.3%0.17%	52.9%3.62%	83.4%2.30%	87.1%0.15%	30.6%5.25%	83.9%1.91%	65.2%2.91%	52.9%2.22%
Chicago Bears	81.2%1.00%	73.3%7.12%	42.8%6.55%		68.2%3.43%	79.5%1.20%	76.9%1.41%	52.6%2.14%	93.9%0.37%	47.2%4.22%	79.2%3.57%	91.5%0.09%	26.6%2.06%	81.3%1.94%	57.5%6.78%	46.4%3.45%
Dallas Cowboys	67.5%0.70%	58.0%2.17%	25.5%2.28%	31.8%3.43%		68.1%0.95%	61.1%1.11%	34.8%1.54%	81.4%0.11%	30.3%3.15%	63.0%1.41%	80.6%0.07%	13.4%4.02%	68.8%1.35%	40.5%2.13%	28.0%1.48%
Detroit Lions	50.6%0.23%	41.0%2.19%	16.0%2.03%	20.5%1.20%	31.9%0.95%		44.7%0.26%	18.9%0.41%	57.7%0.10%	17.3%1.41%	49.7%1.08%	66.7%0.02%	6.4%0.91%	53.0%0.57%	24.0%2.03%	16.3%1.02%
Green Bay Packers	57.3%0.27%	45.5%2.22%	17.8%2.31%	23.1%1.41%	38.9%1.11%	55.3%0.26%		23.1%0.40%	78.7%0.09%	22.0%1.51%	54.4%0.97%	57.7%0.03%	7.7%1.14%	56.6%0.57%	30.4%2.16%	21.2%1.09%
Minnesota Vikings	79.7%0.43%	71.6%3.04%	41.4%2.97%	47.4%2.14%	65.2%1.54%	81.1%0.41%	76.9%0.40%		89.6%0.14%	43.5%2.15%	78.3%1.58%	90.7%0.04%	20.9%1.48%	79.3%0.85%	55.0%2.92%	40.6%1.54%
New Orleans Saints	33.3%0.04%	23.2%0.12%	8.7%0.17%	6.1%0.37%	18.6%0.11%	42.3%0.10%	21.3%0.09%	10.4%0.14%		5.7%0.23%	27.5%0.12%	33.3%<0.01%	3.5%0.31%	25.3%0.09%	9.9%0.09%	7.3%0.10%
New York Giants	82.6%1.09%	77.4%3.69%	47.1%3.62%	52.8%4.22%	69.7%3.15%	82.7%1.41%	78.0%1.51%	56.5%2.15%	94.3%0.23%		80.5%2.94%	91.8%0.15%	26.6%4.64%	84.6%2.08%	61.4%3.57%	46.8%3.12%
Philadelphia Eagles	52.6%0.68%	41.8%1.94%	16.6%2.30%	20.8%3.57%	37.0%1.41%	50.3%1.08%	45.6%0.97%	21.7%1.58%	72.5%0.12%	19.5%2.94%		54.4%0.09%	7.8%4.02%	50.8%1.27%	28.0%2.04%	18.6%1.34%
San Francisco 49ers	20.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.12%	12.9%0.15%	8.5%0.09%	19.4%0.07%	33.3%0.02%	42.3%0.03%	9.3%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%	8.2%0.15%	45.6%0.09%		4.9%0.12%	33.3%0.02%	20.2%0.11%	13.8%0.09%
Seattle Seahawks	90.8%1.27%	89.3%6.06%	69.4%5.25%	73.4%2.06%	86.6%4.02%	93.6%0.91%	92.3%1.14%	79.1%1.48%	96.5%0.31%	73.4%4.64%	92.2%4.02%	95.1%0.12%		90.8%2.54%	79.7%5.80%	70.1%3.89%
St. Louis Rams	52.2%0.23%	42.8%1.71%	16.1%1.91%	18.7%1.94%	31.2%1.35%	47.0%0.57%	43.4%0.57%	20.7%0.85%	74.7%0.09%	15.4%2.08%	49.2%1.27%	66.7%0.02%	9.2%2.54%		25.5%1.69%	15.9%1.34%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	72.7%0.84%	66.0%1.97%	34.8%2.91%	42.5%6.78%	59.5%2.13%	76.0%2.03%	69.6%2.16%	45.0%2.92%	90.1%0.09%	38.6%3.57%	72.0%2.04%	79.8%0.11%	20.3%5.80%	74.5%1.69%		34.6%1.95%
Washington Redskins	84.3%0.68%	78.6%2.19%	47.1%2.22%	53.6%3.45%	72.0%1.48%	83.7%1.02%	78.8%1.09%	59.4%1.54%	92.7%0.10%	53.2%3.12%	81.4%1.34%	86.2%0.09%	29.9%3.89%	84.1%1.34%	65.4%1.95%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		54.5%0.01%	30.5%0.13%	0.0%<0.01%	19.8%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%	16.1%0.71%	40.4%0.11%	27.7%0.10%	60.9%0.02%	21.3%0.28%	80.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	13.2%0.15%	26.5%0.27%
Buffalo Bills	45.5%0.01%		26.7%0.48%	58.8%0.02%	13.4%0.59%		11.7%1.46%	22.0%0.21%	20.9%0.19%	25.0%<0.01%	21.9%0.11%		100.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.71%	19.2%0.54%	50.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	69.5%0.13%	73.3%0.48%		76.0%0.05%	31.8%7.70%	100.0%<0.01%	28.1%10.37%	45.5%2.92%	43.5%2.48%	65.6%0.74%	42.5%7.23%	79.1%0.18%	92.3%0.04%	34.4%6.05%	39.7%6.80%	81.2%0.03%
Cleveland Browns	100.0%<0.01%	41.2%0.02%	24.0%0.05%		9.5%0.12%		10.7%0.29%	15.6%0.04%	31.0%0.03%	25.0%0.01%	21.2%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	10.6%0.07%	21.3%0.12%
Denver Broncos	80.2%0.26%	86.6%0.59%	68.2%7.70%	90.5%0.12%		100.0%<0.01%	45.2%14.01%	66.5%3.20%	64.6%1.36%	78.9%0.73%	61.2%7.60%	88.7%0.19%	87.5%<0.01%	52.7%9.98%	59.8%4.74%	97.1%0.03%
Houston Texans	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		4.3%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	83.9%0.71%	88.3%1.46%	71.9%10.37%	89.3%0.29%	54.8%14.01%	95.7%0.02%		68.0%11.41%	67.5%5.65%	82.1%2.26%	65.1%15.40%	88.5%0.57%	90.5%0.12%	57.7%13.93%	63.4%11.76%	94.6%0.13%
Jacksonville Jaguars	59.6%0.11%	78.0%0.21%	54.5%2.92%	84.4%0.04%	33.5%3.20%	100.0%<0.01%	32.0%11.41%		49.2%1.06%	64.0%0.28%	45.9%2.93%	77.8%0.05%	87.5%0.02%	35.6%3.46%	42.0%2.90%	71.4%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	72.3%0.10%	79.1%0.19%	56.5%2.48%	69.0%0.03%	35.4%1.36%	100.0%<0.01%	32.5%5.65%	50.8%1.06%		73.7%0.22%	48.4%2.45%	85.2%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	39.1%3.34%	42.8%1.29%	88.9%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	39.1%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.74%	75.0%0.01%	21.1%0.73%	100.0%<0.01%	17.9%2.26%	36.0%0.28%	26.3%0.22%		29.3%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	23.0%0.99%	24.6%0.77%	80.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	78.7%0.28%	78.1%0.11%	57.5%7.23%	78.8%0.12%	38.8%7.60%	100.0%<0.01%	34.9%15.40%	54.1%2.93%	51.6%2.45%	70.7%0.15%		92.9%0.03%	84.6%0.05%	40.3%8.85%	48.0%7.02%	73.5%0.03%
New York Jets	20.0%<0.01%		20.9%0.18%	50.0%<0.01%	11.3%0.19%		11.5%0.57%	22.2%0.05%	14.8%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.03%		100.0%<0.01%	11.4%0.23%	21.2%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	7.7%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	12.5%<0.01%		9.5%0.12%	12.5%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	15.4%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%		6.0%0.05%	15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	86.8%0.15%	84.6%0.71%	65.6%6.05%	89.4%0.07%	47.3%9.98%	100.0%<0.01%	42.3%13.93%	64.4%3.46%	60.9%3.34%	77.0%0.99%	59.7%8.85%	88.6%0.23%	94.0%0.05%		55.6%8.60%	96.3%0.03%
San Diego Chargers	73.5%0.27%	80.8%0.54%	60.3%6.80%	78.7%0.12%	40.2%4.74%	100.0%<0.01%	36.6%11.76%	58.0%2.90%	57.2%1.29%	75.4%0.77%	52.0%7.02%	78.8%0.17%	84.6%0.01%	44.4%8.60%		96.8%0.03%
Tennessee Titans		50.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.03%		2.9%0.03%		5.4%0.13%	28.6%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	26.5%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	3.7%0.03%	3.2%0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		35.4%0.31%	13.6%0.66%	23.2%0.48%	34.6%0.21%	59.5%0.04%	52.4%0.06%	16.4%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.59%	44.6%0.17%	50.0%<0.01%	9.3%0.50%	52.6%0.02%	21.8%0.32%	17.8%0.28%
Atlanta Falcons	64.6%0.31%		24.0%6.74%	36.1%3.75%	49.0%1.57%	73.2%0.42%	63.1%0.63%	41.0%1.40%	81.8%0.03%	29.4%4.13%	60.5%1.12%	80.0%0.02%	16.8%6.78%	66.5%0.62%	34.1%2.99%	26.4%2.20%
Carolina Panthers	86.4%0.66%	76.0%6.74%		66.1%8.43%	75.5%3.20%	89.1%1.10%	87.0%1.39%	67.9%3.10%	80.0%0.06%	56.0%8.46%	83.4%2.54%	89.1%0.06%	39.2%13.57%	85.9%1.25%	63.0%7.00%	54.7%4.52%
Chicago Bears	76.8%0.48%	63.9%3.75%	33.9%8.43%		60.0%2.40%	84.0%0.16%	71.9%0.20%	53.6%0.52%	81.0%0.06%	39.2%6.73%	72.3%1.92%	71.9%0.03%	25.4%11.36%	77.2%0.97%	48.6%3.98%	39.8%2.85%
Dallas Cowboys	65.4%0.21%	51.0%1.57%	24.5%3.20%	40.0%2.40%		72.9%0.26%	65.7%0.31%	41.3%0.76%	81.0%0.02%	29.2%1.79%	63.7%0.46%	73.3%0.01%	18.1%5.42%	65.3%0.42%	38.2%1.55%	29.6%0.69%
Detroit Lions	40.5%0.04%	26.8%0.42%	10.9%1.10%	16.0%0.16%	27.1%0.26%		54.5%0.01%	22.9%0.03%	83.3%<0.01%	14.7%0.87%	41.2%0.22%	0.0%<0.01%	6.9%1.39%	46.2%0.09%	19.8%0.50%	13.7%0.34%
Green Bay Packers	47.6%0.06%	36.9%0.63%	13.0%1.39%	28.1%0.20%	34.3%0.31%	45.5%0.01%		25.0%0.04%	71.4%<0.01%	19.9%1.00%	46.1%0.24%	75.0%<0.01%	10.8%1.57%	55.7%0.14%	26.1%0.53%	14.5%0.44%
Minnesota Vikings	83.6%0.15%	59.0%1.40%	32.1%3.10%	46.4%0.52%	58.7%0.76%	77.1%0.03%	75.0%0.04%		82.4%0.02%	37.7%2.21%	71.0%0.70%	81.8%0.01%	23.3%3.87%	74.7%0.25%	45.4%1.31%	35.6%0.96%
New Orleans Saints	50.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.03%	20.0%0.06%	19.0%0.06%	19.0%0.02%	16.7%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	17.6%0.02%		10.3%0.07%	35.0%0.02%		5.1%0.14%	12.5%<0.01%	21.1%0.04%	22.6%0.03%
New York Giants	84.2%0.59%	70.6%4.13%	44.0%8.46%	60.8%6.73%	70.8%1.79%	85.3%0.87%	80.1%1.00%	62.3%2.21%	89.7%0.07%		82.7%1.46%	92.9%0.04%	33.8%14.02%	81.9%1.26%	57.6%4.34%	47.6%2.55%
Philadelphia Eagles	55.4%0.17%	39.5%1.12%	16.6%2.54%	27.7%1.92%	36.3%0.46%	58.8%0.22%	53.9%0.24%	29.0%0.70%	65.0%0.02%	17.3%1.46%		54.5%0.01%	12.3%4.29%	50.8%0.33%	24.1%1.29%	17.6%0.61%
San Francisco 49ers	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.02%	10.9%0.06%	28.1%0.03%	26.7%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%		7.1%0.04%	45.5%0.01%		17.6%0.03%		11.1%0.02%	15.8%0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	90.7%0.50%	83.2%6.78%	60.8%13.57%	74.6%11.36%	81.9%5.42%	93.1%1.39%	89.2%1.57%	76.7%3.87%	94.9%0.14%	66.2%14.02%	87.7%4.29%	82.4%0.03%		89.5%1.10%	73.6%7.45%	63.6%7.23%
St. Louis Rams	47.4%0.02%	33.5%0.62%	14.1%1.25%	22.8%0.97%	34.7%0.42%	53.8%0.09%	44.3%0.14%	25.3%0.25%	87.5%<0.01%	18.1%1.26%	49.2%0.33%		10.5%1.10%		20.5%0.64%	15.0%0.57%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	78.2%0.32%	65.9%2.99%	37.0%7.00%	51.4%3.98%	61.8%1.55%	80.2%0.50%	73.9%0.53%	54.6%1.31%	78.9%0.04%	42.4%4.34%	75.9%1.29%	88.9%0.02%	26.4%7.45%	79.5%0.64%		41.2%1.88%
Washington Redskins	82.2%0.28%	73.6%2.20%	45.3%4.52%	60.2%2.85%	70.4%0.69%	86.3%0.34%	85.5%0.44%	64.4%0.96%	77.4%0.03%	52.4%2.55%	82.4%0.61%	84.2%0.02%	36.4%7.23%	85.0%0.57%	58.8%1.88%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		50.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.02%		22.4%0.07%		17.7%0.16%	31.2%0.02%	42.9%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	8.9%0.06%			25.0%0.05%	17.0%0.05%
Buffalo Bills	50.0%<0.01%		34.9%0.06%		15.1%0.11%		15.4%0.27%	24.2%0.03%	28.1%0.03%		28.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		15.0%0.13%	18.8%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	71.4%0.02%	65.1%0.06%		100.0%<0.01%	35.2%2.50%	100.0%<0.01%	29.6%7.10%	47.1%1.10%	43.2%0.59%	64.1%0.12%	44.0%1.82%	66.7%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%	33.9%1.77%	40.9%1.70%	100.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns			0.0%<0.01%		13.3%0.01%		9.8%0.06%	40.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.01%			6.2%0.02%	14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	77.6%0.07%	84.9%0.11%	64.8%2.50%	86.7%0.01%			45.8%12.27%	62.6%1.93%	60.2%0.82%	73.9%0.23%	58.6%3.70%	87.2%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	51.7%4.86%	56.7%2.42%	75.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	82.3%0.16%	84.6%0.27%	70.4%7.10%	90.2%0.06%	54.2%12.27%			65.8%2.45%	66.0%3.06%	77.3%0.51%	63.7%8.68%	93.2%0.07%	92.3%0.01%	57.2%13.18%	63.5%9.17%	100.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	68.8%0.02%	75.8%0.03%	52.9%1.10%	60.0%0.01%	37.4%1.93%		34.2%2.45%		52.7%0.51%	60.0%0.07%	48.4%1.34%	100.0%<0.01%		38.7%2.16%	42.4%1.50%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	57.1%0.03%	71.9%0.03%	56.8%0.59%	33.3%<0.01%	39.8%0.82%		34.0%3.06%	47.3%0.51%		64.3%0.06%	49.4%0.89%	37.5%<0.01%		40.1%1.20%	45.8%0.56%	100.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	0.0%<0.01%		35.9%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.23%		22.7%0.51%	40.0%0.07%	35.7%0.06%		20.9%0.07%			27.9%0.24%	25.5%0.17%
New England Patriots	91.1%0.06%	71.4%0.02%	56.0%1.82%	92.9%0.01%	41.4%3.70%		36.3%8.68%	51.6%1.34%	50.6%0.89%	79.1%0.07%		100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	42.2%3.67%	47.7%2.59%	100.0%<0.01%
New York Jets		100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%		12.8%0.04%		6.8%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			27.0%0.04%	21.7%0.02%
Oakland Raiders			40.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		7.7%0.01%				33.3%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	75.0%0.05%	85.0%0.13%	66.1%1.77%	93.8%0.02%	48.3%4.86%		42.8%13.18%	61.3%2.16%	59.9%1.20%	72.1%0.24%	57.8%3.67%	73.0%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%		56.5%3.44%	60.0%<0.01%
San Diego Chargers	83.0%0.05%	81.2%0.07%	59.1%1.70%	85.7%0.01%	43.3%2.42%		36.5%9.17%	57.6%1.50%	54.2%0.56%	74.5%0.17%	52.3%2.59%	78.3%0.02%	80.0%<0.01%	43.5%3.44%		100.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		39.5%0.04%	11.2%0.20%	22.8%0.08%	23.3%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	54.5%0.01%	31.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	22.1%0.12%	40.0%0.01%		13.8%0.13%	66.7%<0.01%	25.0%0.10%	9.8%0.05%
Atlanta Falcons	60.5%0.04%		26.8%1.10%	36.0%0.92%	48.6%0.35%	75.8%0.03%	59.4%0.07%	38.9%0.29%	100.0%<0.01%	31.1%1.67%	63.0%0.20%	80.0%<0.01%	19.6%4.24%	58.0%0.11%	37.0%0.42%	29.0%0.85%
Carolina Panthers	88.8%0.20%	73.2%1.10%		63.2%3.67%	73.4%1.48%	89.7%0.17%	81.5%0.30%	66.1%1.14%	80.0%<0.01%	56.0%6.49%	79.6%0.88%	83.3%0.01%	41.0%17.20%	84.1%0.43%	60.9%1.77%	53.8%3.33%
Chicago Bears	77.2%0.08%	64.0%0.92%	36.8%3.67%		59.1%0.57%	73.9%0.02%	72.7%0.03%	49.7%0.20%	66.7%<0.01%	41.7%2.48%	60.6%0.26%	75.0%<0.01%	27.8%7.33%	77.0%0.18%	49.3%1.35%	39.5%1.32%
Dallas Cowboys	76.7%0.03%	51.4%0.35%	26.6%1.48%	40.9%0.57%		72.2%0.02%	72.2%0.04%	42.3%0.19%	50.0%<0.01%	36.7%0.48%	66.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	20.9%2.20%	68.9%0.04%	37.5%0.59%	29.0%0.23%
Detroit Lions	57.1%<0.01%	24.2%0.03%	10.3%0.17%	26.1%0.02%	27.8%0.02%			20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	12.1%0.12%	57.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	8.2%0.37%	50.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.05%	17.2%0.06%
Green Bay Packers	45.5%0.01%	40.6%0.07%	18.5%0.30%	27.3%0.03%	27.8%0.04%			14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.6%0.18%	57.9%0.02%		13.5%0.52%	50.0%0.01%	19.4%0.10%	24.0%0.10%
Minnesota Vikings	68.8%0.03%	61.1%0.29%	33.9%1.14%	50.3%0.20%	57.7%0.19%	80.0%<0.01%	85.7%0.01%		80.0%<0.01%	38.6%0.75%	74.8%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	26.4%2.43%	76.7%0.06%	52.2%0.43%	38.6%0.40%
New Orleans Saints	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		14.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		5.1%0.04%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
New York Giants	77.9%0.12%	68.9%1.67%	44.0%6.49%	58.3%2.48%	63.3%0.48%	87.9%0.12%	79.4%0.18%	61.4%0.75%	85.7%<0.01%		77.2%0.21%	91.7%0.01%	35.2%9.92%	82.6%0.22%	56.8%2.49%	50.5%1.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	60.0%0.01%	37.0%0.20%	20.4%0.88%	39.4%0.26%	34.0%0.05%	42.9%<0.01%	42.1%0.02%	25.2%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	22.8%0.21%		100.0%<0.01%	14.4%1.27%	68.0%0.03%	23.8%0.32%	26.2%0.12%
San Francisco 49ers		20.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		8.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	86.2%0.13%	80.4%4.24%	59.0%17.20%	72.2%7.33%	79.1%2.20%	91.8%0.37%	86.5%0.52%	73.6%2.43%	94.9%0.04%	64.8%9.92%	85.6%1.27%	80.0%<0.01%		89.1%0.29%	70.9%6.53%	63.1%4.69%
St. Louis Rams	33.3%<0.01%	42.0%0.11%	15.9%0.43%	23.0%0.18%	31.1%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	23.3%0.06%		17.4%0.22%	32.0%0.03%		10.9%0.29%		28.4%0.15%	18.4%0.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	75.0%0.10%	63.0%0.42%	39.1%1.77%	50.7%1.35%	62.5%0.59%	69.2%0.05%	80.6%0.10%	47.8%0.43%	100.0%<0.01%	43.2%2.49%	76.2%0.32%	100.0%<0.01%	29.1%6.53%	71.6%0.15%		40.4%1.14%
Washington Redskins	90.2%0.05%	71.0%0.85%	46.2%3.33%	60.5%1.32%	71.0%0.23%	82.8%0.06%	76.0%0.10%	61.4%0.40%	75.0%<0.01%	49.5%1.07%	73.8%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	36.9%4.69%	81.6%0.12%	59.6%1.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		75.0%<0.01%	42.1%0.02%	42.9%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%					35.3%0.02%			21.9%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills		0.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.03%	58.3%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		42.9%0.02%			25.0%0.05%		0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	66.7%<0.01%	73.2%0.18%	46.9%1.20%	57.8%0.40%	70.1%0.12%	80.0%<0.01%	78.3%0.02%	64.0%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	48.9%0.78%	90.6%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	38.7%2.29%	76.5%0.02%	58.0%0.39%	44.4%0.41%
Cleveland Browns		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%					100.0%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	93.5%0.03%	81.4%0.40%	63.0%3.12%	73.4%1.08%	79.4%0.26%	100.0%0.02%	88.1%0.04%	70.4%0.37%	100.0%<0.01%	66.9%1.95%	89.8%0.13%	100.0%<0.01%	53.4%5.96%	89.3%0.06%	70.4%0.92%	61.2%1.00%
Indianapolis Colts	87.7%0.06%	79.9%1.04%	62.1%7.09%	70.7%2.44%	78.2%0.71%	87.0%0.05%	76.3%0.09%	71.2%0.77%	100.0%<0.01%	66.2%4.30%	86.7%0.30%	50.0%<0.01%	53.8%13.56%	89.3%0.12%	70.3%2.18%	61.0%2.33%
Jacksonville Jaguars	80.0%<0.01%	81.3%0.14%	49.3%0.96%	60.1%0.33%	64.1%0.09%	75.0%<0.01%	92.9%0.01%	70.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	56.0%0.56%	87.9%0.03%		43.9%1.79%	90.0%0.01%	64.8%0.28%	53.4%0.31%
Kansas City Chiefs	88.9%<0.01%	63.6%0.09%	53.8%0.69%	61.4%0.25%	64.9%0.06%	60.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	64.6%0.08%		60.2%0.37%	86.4%0.02%		45.8%1.21%	92.9%0.01%	63.5%0.20%	56.1%0.20%
Miami Dolphins		58.3%0.01%	43.5%0.08%	54.3%0.03%	58.3%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		38.6%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%		35.6%0.14%		46.9%0.03%	36.0%0.03%
New England Patriots	100.0%0.01%	81.8%0.31%	56.4%1.91%	65.1%0.71%	67.9%0.19%	90.0%0.01%	68.8%0.03%	63.5%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	60.3%1.22%	86.1%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	47.0%3.76%	85.2%0.03%	64.8%0.60%	57.6%0.68%
New York Jets			33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%						50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		26.3%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders			0.0%<0.01%										0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	96.0%0.03%	80.7%0.45%	59.5%3.12%	70.0%1.05%	76.8%0.31%	88.2%0.02%	91.9%0.04%	67.4%0.32%	66.7%<0.01%	63.2%1.96%	86.7%0.12%		52.6%6.09%	93.1%0.06%	70.2%0.98%	61.4%1.09%
San Diego Chargers	77.8%0.02%	80.6%0.31%	54.6%1.95%	63.6%0.71%	78.4%0.18%	72.7%0.01%	59.3%0.03%	66.1%0.22%		62.1%1.14%	80.3%0.07%		46.6%3.79%	77.8%0.04%	62.6%0.60%	54.8%0.60%
Tennessee Titans				100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%								0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																			33.3%<0.01%		6.5%0.03%	12.3%0.06%	20.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%			4.0%0.03%	22.2%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons																	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	26.8%0.18%	0.0%<0.01%	18.6%0.40%	20.1%1.04%	18.7%0.14%	36.4%0.09%	41.7%0.01%	18.2%0.31%			19.3%0.45%	19.4%0.31%
Carolina Panthers																	57.9%0.02%	77.4%0.03%	53.1%1.20%	100.0%<0.01%	37.0%3.12%	37.9%7.09%	50.7%0.96%	46.2%0.69%	56.5%0.08%	43.6%1.91%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.5%3.12%	45.4%1.95%
Chicago Bears																	57.1%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%	42.2%0.40%	100.0%<0.01%	26.6%1.08%	29.3%2.44%	39.9%0.33%	38.6%0.25%	45.7%0.03%	34.9%0.71%	50.0%<0.01%		30.0%1.05%	36.4%0.71%	0.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	29.9%0.12%	0.0%<0.01%	20.6%0.26%	21.8%0.71%	35.9%0.09%	35.1%0.06%	41.7%0.01%	32.1%0.19%			23.2%0.31%	21.6%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																			20.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.02%	13.0%0.05%	25.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%		10.0%0.01%			11.8%0.02%	27.3%0.01%
Green Bay Packers																			21.7%0.02%		11.9%0.04%	23.7%0.09%	7.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.03%			8.1%0.04%	40.7%0.03%
Minnesota Vikings																		100.0%<0.01%	36.0%0.14%		29.6%0.37%	28.8%0.77%	29.6%0.11%	35.4%0.08%	71.4%<0.01%	36.5%0.23%			32.6%0.32%	33.9%0.22%
New Orleans Saints																			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%
New York Giants																	64.7%0.02%	57.1%0.02%	51.1%0.78%	0.0%<0.01%	33.1%1.95%	33.8%4.30%	44.0%0.56%	39.8%0.37%	61.4%0.04%	39.7%1.22%	50.0%<0.01%		36.8%1.96%	37.9%1.14%
Philadelphia Eagles																			9.4%0.03%		10.2%0.13%	13.3%0.30%	12.1%0.03%	13.6%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	13.9%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%		13.3%0.12%	19.7%0.07%
San Francisco 49ers																			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	78.1%0.03%	75.0%0.05%	61.3%2.29%	75.0%<0.01%	46.6%5.96%	46.2%13.56%	56.1%1.79%	54.2%1.21%	64.4%0.14%	53.0%3.76%	73.7%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	47.4%6.09%	53.4%3.79%	100.0%<0.01%
St. Louis Rams																	100.0%<0.01%		23.5%0.02%		10.7%0.06%	10.7%0.12%	10.0%0.01%	7.1%0.01%		14.8%0.03%			6.9%0.06%	22.2%0.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	57.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	42.0%0.39%	0.0%<0.01%	29.6%0.92%	29.7%2.18%	35.2%0.28%	36.5%0.20%	53.1%0.03%	35.2%0.60%	0.0%<0.01%		29.8%0.98%	37.4%0.60%
Washington Redskins																	42.9%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	55.6%0.41%	66.7%<0.01%	38.8%1.00%	39.0%2.33%	46.6%0.31%	43.9%0.20%	64.0%0.03%	42.4%0.68%	50.0%<0.01%		38.6%1.09%	45.2%0.60%	0.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Seattle Seahawks	100.00%	67.63%	50.28%	23.74%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Indianapolis Colts	100.00%	62.45%	39.45%	22.60%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Denver Broncos	100.00%	68.46%	31.09%	17.62%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Pittsburgh Steelers	58.33%	23.99%	11.16%	6.94%	Won Super Bowl
Carolina Panthers	46.64%	22.88%	11.36%	5.22%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
New England Patriots	64.04%	21.81%	9.17%	4.98%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Giants	53.36%	22.55%	9.77%	4.01%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Washington Redskins	51.90%	16.95%	8.52%	3.93%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Chicago Bears	100.00%	46.95%	12.62%	3.71%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48.10%	23.05%	7.46%	2.63%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.96%	11.54%	4.61%	2.45%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Cincinnati Bengals	41.67%	11.74%	4.51%	2.16%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals				41.7%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars			36.0%100.00%
New England Patriots		64.0%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	58.3%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	New York Giants	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Carolina Panthers		46.6%100.00%
New York Giants	53.4%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers				48.1%100.00%
Washington Redskins			51.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals		28.2%41.67%
Denver Broncos	71.8%41.67%			67.5%20.92%	65.3%37.41%
Indianapolis Colts				68.5%15.05%	66.9%26.62%	58.9%58.33%
Jacksonville Jaguars		32.5%20.92%	31.5%15.05%
New England Patriots		34.7%37.41%	33.1%26.62%
Pittsburgh Steelers			41.1%58.33%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Carolina Panthers		61.7%24.20%		35.5%22.44%
Chicago Bears	38.3%24.20%		45.6%27.70%		52.1%48.10%
New York Giants		54.4%27.70%		29.1%25.66%
Seattle Seahawks	64.5%22.44%		70.9%25.66%			67.4%51.90%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		47.9%48.10%
Washington Redskins				32.6%51.90%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals			31.2%7.88%	56.5%1.37%	51.3%2.50%
Denver Broncos			38.3%42.77%	64.2%3.38%	61.3%6.32%	54.3%15.99%
Indianapolis Colts	68.8%7.88%	61.7%42.77%		66.1%4.03%	64.0%7.77%
Jacksonville Jaguars	43.5%1.37%	35.8%3.38%	33.9%4.03%			51.9%2.78%
New England Patriots	48.7%2.50%	38.7%6.32%	36.0%7.77%			51.9%5.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers		45.7%15.99%		48.1%2.78%	48.1%5.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Carolina Panthers		63.1%4.12%		35.7%10.02%	58.3%3.84%	60.0%4.91%
Chicago Bears	36.9%4.12%		42.5%3.95%	20.8%31.75%		39.7%7.12%
New York Giants		57.5%3.95%		30.7%10.17%	48.9%3.52%	54.0%4.91%
Seattle Seahawks	64.3%10.02%	79.2%31.75%	69.3%10.17%		74.1%15.69%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41.7%3.84%		51.1%3.52%	25.9%15.69%
Washington Redskins	40.0%4.91%	60.3%7.12%	46.0%4.91%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	45.6%0.49%	66.2%0.55%	47.1%0.48%	43.1%2.28%	58.5%0.34%	43.4%0.38%
Denver Broncos	53.3%3.54%	70.1%3.90%	58.4%3.06%	52.9%15.55%	64.5%2.32%	54.5%2.72%
Indianapolis Colts	53.9%4.50%	70.9%5.01%	60.2%3.79%	53.3%19.93%	64.5%2.93%	55.3%3.29%
Jacksonville Jaguars	55.6%0.55%	67.8%0.58%	57.8%0.45%	48.3%2.31%	64.2%0.34%	42.9%0.39%
New England Patriots	51.4%1.05%	68.8%1.17%	56.5%0.90%	50.1%4.57%	63.9%0.69%	51.1%0.80%
Pittsburgh Steelers	61.1%1.23%	75.4%1.42%	63.7%1.09%	58.4%5.64%	69.5%0.84%	58.5%0.94%
Carolina Panthers							54.4%0.49%	46.7%3.54%	46.1%4.50%	44.4%0.55%	48.6%1.05%	38.9%1.23%
Chicago Bears							33.8%0.55%	29.9%3.90%	29.1%5.01%	32.2%0.58%	31.2%1.17%	24.6%1.42%
New York Giants							52.9%0.48%	41.6%3.06%	39.8%3.79%	42.2%0.45%	43.5%0.90%	36.3%1.09%
Seattle Seahawks							56.9%2.28%	47.1%15.55%	46.7%19.93%	51.7%2.31%	49.9%4.57%	41.6%5.64%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							41.5%0.34%	35.5%2.32%	35.5%2.93%	35.8%0.34%	36.1%0.69%	30.5%0.84%
Washington Redskins							56.6%0.38%	45.5%2.72%	44.7%3.29%	57.1%0.39%	48.9%0.80%	41.5%0.94%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Seahawks 23.74% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

51.69%

Win Prob

67.35%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

50.04%

Win Prob

79.24%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

39.16%

Win Prob

46.66%

Indianapolis Colts 22.60% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

54.99%

Win Prob

58.87%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

66.90%

Win Prob

61.71%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

47.04%

Win Prob

53.34%

Denver Broncos 17.62% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

43.71%

Win Prob

71.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

52.66%

Win Prob

38.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

46.70%

Win Prob

52.92%

Pittsburgh Steelers 6.94% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.33%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

65.54%

Win Prob

45.75%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

47.44%

Win Prob

58.37%

Carolina Panthers 5.22% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.64%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

65.23%

Win Prob

61.68%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

31.50%

Win Prob

35.71%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

39.71%

Win Prob

46.12%

New England Patriots 4.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.04%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

59.58%

Win Prob

34.74%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

30.51%

Win Prob

36.00%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

45.92%

Win Prob

50.07%

New York Giants 4.01% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.36%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

66.87%

Win Prob

54.43%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

31.94%

Win Prob

30.69%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

37.59%

Win Prob

39.85%

Washington Redskins 3.93% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.90%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.65%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

50.42%

Win Prob

60.30%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

37.52%

Win Prob

44.75%

Chicago Bears 3.71% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

53.35%

Win Prob

52.08%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

52.24%

Win Prob

20.76%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

39.29%

Win Prob

29.06%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.63% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.10%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

54.42%

Win Prob

25.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

39.58%

Win Prob

35.50%

Jacksonville Jaguars 2.45% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.96%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

58.92%

Win Prob

32.52%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

31.28%

Win Prob

51.89%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

45.51%

Win Prob

48.29%

Cincinnati Bengals 2.16% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.67%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

28.19%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

54.54%

Win Prob

31.24%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

45.55%

Win Prob

43.07%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2005-09-11	@ New York Giants	L 19-42	1451.60	1453.13	40.33%	59.45%	-47.67	0-1
2005-09-18	St. Louis Rams	L 12-17	1403.93	1432.11	55.27%	44.51%	-30.44	0-2
2005-09-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 12-37	1373.49	1456.47	29.74%	70.07%	-36.64	0-3
2005-10-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-14	1336.85	1358.16	46.83%	52.95%	+53.78	1-3
2005-10-09	Carolina Panthers	L 20-24	1390.63	1538.61	38.28%	61.51%	-18.87	1-4
2005-10-23	Tennessee Titans	W 20-10	1371.76	1439.10	49.66%	50.12%	+39.04	2-4
2005-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-34	1410.80	1528.74	25.71%	74.11%	-29.04	2-5
2005-11-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 19-33	1381.76	1557.87	34.54%	65.26%	-31.85	2-6
2005-11-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-29	1349.91	1394.55	34.54%	65.26%	-24.07	2-7
2005-11-20	@ St. Louis Rams	W 38-28	1325.84	1431.03	27.14%	72.68%	+56.57	3-7
2005-11-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-24	1382.41	1589.84	30.59%	69.22%	-19.94	3-8
2005-12-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 17-10	1362.47	1241.53	57.77%	42.02%	+27.39	4-8
2005-12-11	Washington Redskins	L 13-17	1389.86	1488.61	45.15%	54.62%	-22.25	4-9
2005-12-18	@ Houston Texans	L 19-30	1367.61	1234.08	59.52%	40.26%	-48.62	4-10
2005-12-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1318.99	1425.44	44.06%	55.72%	+33.62	5-10
2006-01-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-17	1352.61	1754.63	6.33%	93.61%	-1.04	5-11
2005-09-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 14-10	1517.67	1594.84	48.24%	51.53%	+25.39	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-21	1543.06	1432.45	56.31%	43.47%	-24.02	1-1
2005-09-25	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-16	1519.04	1556.40	35.49%	64.30%	+44.78	2-1
2005-10-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 30-10	1563.82	1462.73	72.21%	27.61%	+30.43	3-1
2005-10-09	New England Patriots	L 28-31	1594.25	1558.31	64.12%	35.68%	-27.34	3-2
2005-10-16	New Orleans Saints	W 34-31	1566.91	1395.71	72.71%	27.11%	+11.57	4-2
2005-10-24	New York Jets	W 27-14	1578.48	1444.29	75.86%	23.97%	+21.30	5-2
2005-11-06	@ Miami Dolphins	W 17-10	1599.78	1463.25	59.94%	39.85%	+25.98	6-2
2005-11-13	Green Bay Packers	L 25-33	1625.76	1441.27	80.75%	19.10%	-56.21	6-3
2005-11-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-30	1569.55	1505.38	67.76%	32.04%	-28.90	6-4
2005-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-7	1540.65	1398.93	60.65%	39.13%	+43.13	7-4
2005-12-04	@ Carolina Panthers	L 6-24	1583.78	1642.40	32.74%	67.06%	-34.23	7-5
2005-12-12	New Orleans Saints	W 36-17	1549.55	1287.90	86.73%	13.16%	+14.12	8-5
2005-12-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-16	1563.67	1585.96	37.50%	62.29%	-33.32	8-6
2005-12-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-27	1530.35	1542.47	38.88%	60.91%	-16.59	8-7
2006-01-01	Carolina Panthers	L 11-44	1513.76	1596.78	47.40%	52.37%	-67.09	8-8
2005-09-11	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-24	1538.71	1601.26	50.35%	49.43%	-51.14	0-1
2005-09-18	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-25	1487.57	1412.14	51.28%	48.49%	-48.92	0-2
2005-10-02	New York Jets	W 13-3	1438.65	1490.73	51.85%	47.93%	+37.33	1-2
2005-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-35	1475.98	1410.28	49.88%	49.89%	-52.13	1-3
2005-10-16	Cleveland Browns	W 16-3	1423.85	1447.02	55.98%	43.80%	+38.91	2-3
2005-10-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-10	1462.76	1456.34	41.44%	58.34%	-20.43	2-4
2005-10-31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-20	1442.33	1665.13	15.93%	83.94%	-3.92	2-5
2005-11-06	Cincinnati Bengals	L 9-21	1438.41	1602.12	36.17%	63.62%	-30.88	2-6
2005-11-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-30	1407.53	1548.69	23.25%	76.59%	-29.77	2-7
2005-11-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-13	1377.76	1702.63	18.32%	81.53%	+34.76	3-7
2005-11-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 29-42	1412.52	1607.01	18.23%	81.63%	-16.20	3-8
2005-12-04	Houston Texans	W 16-15	1396.32	1251.47	76.96%	22.87%	+5.64	4-8
2005-12-11	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-12	1401.96	1699.65	10.97%	88.94%	-3.82	4-9
2005-12-19	Green Bay Packers	W 48-3	1398.14	1440.95	53.18%	46.59%	+77.01	5-9
2005-12-25	Minnesota Vikings	W 30-23	1475.15	1505.54	54.96%	44.82%	+29.22	6-9
2006-01-01	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-20	1504.37	1362.96	60.61%	39.18%	-29.85	6-10
2005-09-11	Houston Texans	W 22-7	1580.44	1493.42	70.56%	29.25%	+27.92	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-19	1608.36	1522.82	52.73%	47.04%	-51.96	1-1
2005-09-25	Atlanta Falcons	L 16-24	1556.40	1519.04	64.30%	35.49%	-44.78	1-2
2005-10-02	New Orleans Saints	L 7-19	1511.62	1425.51	62.03%	37.76%	-52.92	1-3
2005-10-09	Miami Dolphins	W 20-14	1458.70	1506.44	52.48%	47.30%	+28.55	2-3
2005-10-16	New York Jets	W 27-17	1487.25	1474.53	60.99%	38.80%	+30.23	3-3
2005-10-23	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-38	1517.48	1387.29	59.06%	40.72%	-66.65	3-4
2005-10-30	@ New England Patriots	L 16-21	1450.83	1559.72	26.72%	73.10%	-14.72	3-5
2005-11-13	Kansas City Chiefs	W 14-3	1436.11	1566.95	40.63%	59.15%	+48.31	4-5
2005-11-20	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-48	1484.42	1667.10	19.26%	80.59%	-29.26	4-6
2005-11-27	Carolina Panthers	L 9-13	1455.16	1624.96	35.36%	64.43%	-17.43	4-7
2005-12-04	@ Miami Dolphins	L 23-24	1437.73	1419.41	43.11%	56.67%	-10.62	4-8
2005-12-11	New England Patriots	L 7-35	1427.11	1557.58	40.69%	59.10%	-53.06	4-9
2005-12-17	Denver Broncos	L 17-28	1374.05	1703.47	17.94%	81.92%	-14.65	4-10
2005-12-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-27	1359.40	1688.76	9.31%	90.60%	+70.48	5-10
2006-01-01	@ New York Jets	L 26-30	1429.88	1351.78	51.67%	48.11%	-25.46	5-11
2005-09-11	New Orleans Saints	L 20-23	1524.38	1492.63	63.56%	36.23%	-27.11	0-1
2005-09-18	New England Patriots	W 27-17	1497.27	1664.71	35.67%	64.12%	+49.93	1-1
2005-09-25	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-27	1547.20	1485.39	49.32%	50.45%	-21.05	1-2
2005-10-03	Green Bay Packers	W 32-29	1526.15	1438.56	70.63%	29.18%	+12.46	2-2
2005-10-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-20	1538.61	1390.63	61.51%	38.28%	+18.87	3-2
2005-10-16	@ Detroit Lions	W 21-20	1557.48	1462.42	54.10%	45.68%	+11.25	4-2
2005-10-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-13	1568.73	1402.20	79.10%	20.75%	+25.57	5-2
2005-11-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-14	1594.30	1554.68	46.14%	53.64%	+59.08	6-2
2005-11-13	New York Jets	W 30-3	1653.38	1407.53	85.65%	14.23%	+18.22	7-2
2005-11-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-13	1671.60	1535.45	59.88%	39.90%	-46.64	7-3
2005-11-27	@ Buffalo Bills	W 13-9	1624.96	1455.16	64.43%	35.36%	+17.44	8-3
2005-12-04	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-6	1642.40	1583.78	67.06%	32.74%	+34.23	9-3
2005-12-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-20	1676.63	1532.13	76.93%	22.91%	-59.87	9-4
2005-12-18	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-10	1616.76	1273.77	83.05%	16.82%	+17.08	10-4
2005-12-24	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-24	1633.84	1505.14	75.28%	24.55%	-37.06	10-5
2006-01-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 44-11	1596.78	1513.76	52.37%	47.40%	+67.09	11-5
2005-09-11	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-9	1415.97	1480.62	31.98%	67.82%	-11.15	0-1
2005-09-18	Detroit Lions	W 38-6	1404.82	1495.02	46.38%	53.40%	+74.41	1-1
2005-09-25	Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-24	1479.23	1588.99	43.59%	56.19%	-44.29	1-2
2005-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns	L 10-20	1434.94	1413.03	43.62%	56.16%	-33.99	1-3
2005-10-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-3	1400.95	1432.30	54.82%	44.96%	+55.39	2-3
2005-10-23	Baltimore Ravens	W 10-6	1456.34	1462.76	58.34%	41.44%	+20.42	3-3
2005-10-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 19-13	1476.76	1473.84	40.95%	58.83%	+35.49	4-3
2005-11-06	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-17	1512.25	1304.40	69.27%	30.54%	+13.04	5-3
2005-11-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 17-9	1525.29	1284.53	85.28%	14.60%	+10.16	6-3
2005-11-20	Carolina Panthers	W 13-3	1535.45	1671.60	39.90%	59.88%	+46.64	7-3
2005-11-27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1582.09	1534.28	47.31%	52.47%	+22.38	8-3
2005-12-04	Green Bay Packers	W 19-7	1604.47	1447.27	78.20%	21.64%	+18.48	9-3
2005-12-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-21	1622.95	1603.09	43.33%	56.45%	-36.99	9-4
2005-12-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 16-3	1585.96	1563.67	62.29%	37.50%	+33.32	10-4
2005-12-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1619.28	1363.94	74.76%	25.07%	+16.35	11-4
2006-01-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-34	1635.63	1476.32	63.04%	36.75%	-76.04	11-5
2005-09-11	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-13	1506.29	1444.82	49.27%	50.50%	+46.55	1-0
2005-09-18	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-8	1552.84	1448.54	72.58%	27.24%	+36.15	2-0
2005-09-25	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-7	1588.99	1479.23	56.19%	43.59%	+44.29	3-0
2005-10-02	Houston Texans	W 16-10	1633.28	1423.72	82.89%	16.97%	+10.24	4-0
2005-10-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-23	1643.52	1490.29	62.22%	37.57%	-26.54	4-1
2005-10-16	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-23	1616.98	1465.45	61.99%	37.80%	+26.35	5-1
2005-10-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-27	1643.33	1605.87	64.32%	35.48%	-59.26	5-2
2005-10-30	Green Bay Packers	W 21-14	1584.07	1483.52	72.15%	27.67%	+18.05	6-2
2005-11-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 21-9	1602.12	1438.41	63.62%	36.17%	+30.87	7-2
2005-11-20	Indianapolis Colts	L 37-45	1632.99	1788.42	37.27%	62.52%	-25.98	7-3
2005-11-27	Baltimore Ravens	W 42-29	1607.01	1412.52	81.63%	18.23%	+16.19	8-3
2005-12-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 38-31	1623.20	1643.49	37.77%	62.02%	+40.41	9-3
2005-12-11	Cleveland Browns	W 23-20	1663.61	1383.32	87.91%	11.98%	+5.11	10-3
2005-12-18	@ Detroit Lions	W 41-17	1668.72	1323.11	83.26%	16.61%	+20.04	11-3
2005-12-24	Buffalo Bills	L 27-37	1688.76	1359.40	90.60%	9.31%	-70.47	11-4
2006-01-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-37	1618.29	1630.06	38.92%	60.86%	-18.65	11-5
2005-09-11	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-27	1444.82	1506.29	50.50%	49.27%	-46.55	0-1
2005-09-18	@ Green Bay Packers	W 26-24	1398.27	1472.78	30.76%	69.04%	+24.03	1-1
2005-09-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-13	1422.30	1668.17	14.23%	85.65%	-9.27	1-2
2005-10-09	Chicago Bears	W 20-10	1413.03	1434.94	56.16%	43.62%	+33.99	2-2
2005-10-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-16	1447.02	1423.85	43.80%	55.98%	-38.91	2-3
2005-10-23	Detroit Lions	L 10-13	1408.11	1451.16	53.15%	46.63%	-22.68	2-4
2005-10-30	@ Houston Texans	L 16-19	1385.43	1314.55	50.63%	49.15%	-21.60	2-5
2005-11-06	Tennessee Titans	W 20-14	1363.83	1361.93	59.50%	40.28%	+24.32	3-5
2005-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-34	1388.15	1693.26	10.56%	89.35%	-9.38	3-6
2005-11-20	Miami Dolphins	W 22-0	1378.77	1407.90	55.14%	44.64%	+51.60	4-6
2005-11-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 12-24	1430.37	1482.80	33.53%	66.27%	-28.63	4-7
2005-12-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-20	1401.74	1609.79	30.51%	69.30%	-18.42	4-8
2005-12-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-23	1383.32	1663.61	11.98%	87.91%	-5.11	4-9
2005-12-18	@ Oakland Raiders	W 9-7	1378.21	1348.47	44.73%	55.05%	+19.17	5-9
2005-12-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-41	1397.38	1684.31	21.82%	78.03%	-34.42	5-10
2006-01-01	Baltimore Ravens	W 20-16	1362.96	1504.37	39.18%	60.61%	+29.85	6-10
2005-09-11	@ San Diego Chargers	W 28-24	1439.71	1567.22	24.68%	75.15%	+36.99	1-0
2005-09-19	Washington Redskins	L 13-14	1476.70	1491.77	57.13%	42.65%	-14.07	1-1
2005-09-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-31	1462.63	1378.31	52.56%	47.22%	+20.15	2-1
2005-10-02	@ Oakland Raiders	L 13-19	1482.78	1380.95	55.06%	44.71%	-33.22	2-2
2005-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-10	1449.56	1639.53	32.76%	67.04%	+79.16	3-2
2005-10-16	New York Giants	W 16-13	1528.72	1535.22	58.33%	41.45%	+17.70	4-2
2005-10-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-13	1546.42	1540.19	41.41%	58.37%	-17.68	4-3
2005-10-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-13	1528.74	1410.80	74.11%	25.71%	+29.04	5-3
2005-11-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-20	1557.78	1503.17	48.29%	51.49%	+12.68	6-3
2005-11-20	Detroit Lions	W 20-7	1570.46	1418.63	77.67%	22.17%	+19.70	7-3
2005-11-24	Denver Broncos	L 21-24	1590.16	1711.21	42.00%	57.78%	-17.92	7-4
2005-12-04	@ New York Giants	L 10-17	1572.24	1583.19	39.04%	60.75%	-25.46	7-5
2005-12-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-28	1546.78	1622.62	48.44%	51.34%	+21.91	8-5
2005-12-18	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-35	1568.69	1510.86	48.75%	51.03%	-63.55	8-6
2005-12-24	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-20	1505.14	1633.84	24.55%	75.28%	+37.06	9-6
2006-01-01	St. Louis Rams	L 10-20	1542.20	1284.31	86.48%	13.41%	-67.29	9-7
2005-09-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-34	1522.30	1460.24	49.36%	50.42%	-59.57	0-1
2005-09-18	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1462.73	1530.22	49.64%	50.14%	+21.39	1-1
2005-09-26	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-10	1484.12	1604.11	42.15%	57.63%	+63.48	2-1
2005-10-02	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-7	1547.60	1542.22	41.29%	58.49%	+51.93	3-1
2005-10-09	Washington Redskins	W 21-19	1599.53	1522.40	69.36%	30.44%	+10.61	4-1
2005-10-16	New England Patriots	W 28-20	1610.14	1585.65	62.59%	37.20%	+25.93	5-1
2005-10-23	@ New York Giants	L 23-24	1636.07	1517.53	57.43%	42.35%	-14.14	5-2
2005-10-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 49-21	1621.93	1583.20	64.49%	35.31%	+46.05	6-2
2005-11-13	@ Oakland Raiders	W 31-17	1667.98	1475.93	67.30%	32.50%	+29.96	7-2
2005-11-20	New York Jets	W 27-0	1697.94	1389.31	89.54%	10.37%	+13.27	8-2
2005-11-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 24-21	1711.21	1590.16	57.78%	42.00%	+17.93	9-2
2005-12-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-31	1729.14	1593.14	59.86%	39.92%	-29.49	9-3
2005-12-11	Baltimore Ravens	W 12-10	1699.65	1401.96	88.94%	10.97%	+3.82	10-3
2005-12-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 28-17	1703.47	1374.05	81.92%	17.94%	+14.66	11-3
2005-12-24	Oakland Raiders	W 22-3	1718.13	1329.30	93.14%	6.80%	+7.29	12-3
2005-12-31	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-7	1725.42	1694.44	44.90%	54.87%	+18.02	13-3
2005-09-11	Green Bay Packers	W 17-3	1448.32	1519.48	49.11%	50.67%	+46.70	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-38	1495.02	1404.82	53.40%	46.38%	-74.41	1-1
2005-10-02	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-17	1420.61	1584.96	20.96%	78.89%	-10.33	1-2
2005-10-09	Baltimore Ravens	W 35-17	1410.28	1475.98	49.89%	49.88%	+52.14	2-2
2005-10-16	Carolina Panthers	L 20-21	1462.42	1557.48	45.68%	54.10%	-11.26	2-3
2005-10-23	@ Cleveland Browns	W 13-10	1451.16	1408.11	46.63%	53.15%	+22.68	3-3
2005-10-30	Chicago Bears	L 13-19	1473.84	1476.76	58.83%	40.95%	-35.49	3-4
2005-11-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-27	1438.35	1376.64	49.31%	50.47%	-43.80	3-5
2005-11-13	Arizona Cardinals	W 29-21	1394.55	1349.91	65.26%	34.54%	+24.08	4-5
2005-11-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-20	1418.63	1570.46	22.17%	77.67%	-19.70	4-6
2005-11-24	Atlanta Falcons	L 7-27	1398.93	1540.65	39.13%	60.65%	-43.13	4-7
2005-12-04	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-21	1355.80	1511.43	37.25%	62.54%	-20.53	4-8
2005-12-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-16	1335.27	1428.79	28.49%	71.33%	-12.16	4-9
2005-12-18	Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-41	1323.11	1668.72	16.61%	83.26%	-20.04	4-10
2005-12-24	New Orleans Saints	W 13-12	1303.07	1256.69	56.52%	43.26%	+10.66	5-10
2006-01-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-35	1313.73	1718.73	6.23%	93.71%	-5.74	5-11
2005-09-11	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-17	1519.48	1448.32	50.67%	49.11%	-46.70	0-1
2005-09-18	Cleveland Browns	L 24-26	1472.78	1398.27	69.04%	30.76%	-24.04	0-2
2005-09-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-17	1448.74	1574.78	41.30%	58.48%	-10.18	0-3
2005-10-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 29-32	1438.56	1526.15	29.18%	70.63%	-12.46	0-4
2005-10-09	New Orleans Saints	W 52-3	1426.10	1478.42	51.82%	47.96%	+82.71	1-4
2005-10-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-23	1508.81	1376.91	59.30%	40.49%	-25.29	1-5
2005-10-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-21	1483.52	1584.07	27.67%	72.15%	-18.04	1-6
2005-11-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-20	1465.48	1669.05	31.06%	68.75%	-24.21	1-7
2005-11-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 33-25	1441.27	1625.76	19.10%	80.75%	+56.21	2-7
2005-11-21	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-20	1497.48	1455.09	64.96%	34.83%	-27.70	2-8
2005-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-19	1469.78	1467.59	40.85%	58.93%	-22.51	2-9
2005-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-19	1447.27	1604.47	21.64%	78.20%	-18.48	2-10
2005-12-11	Detroit Lions	W 16-13	1428.79	1335.27	71.33%	28.49%	+12.16	3-10
2005-12-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-48	1440.95	1398.14	46.59%	53.18%	-77.01	3-11
2005-12-25	Chicago Bears	L 17-24	1363.94	1619.28	25.07%	74.76%	-16.35	3-12
2006-01-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-17	1347.59	1762.60	11.79%	88.11%	+17.70	4-12
2005-09-11	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-22	1493.42	1580.44	29.25%	70.56%	-27.93	0-1
2005-09-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-27	1465.49	1616.26	37.90%	61.89%	-41.77	0-2
2005-10-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-16	1423.72	1633.28	16.97%	82.89%	-10.24	0-3
2005-10-09	Tennessee Titans	L 20-34	1413.48	1410.48	59.65%	40.13%	-54.97	0-4
2005-10-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-42	1358.51	1509.11	22.29%	77.54%	-31.08	0-5
2005-10-23	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-38	1327.43	1733.60	12.33%	87.57%	-12.88	0-6
2005-10-30	Cleveland Browns	W 19-16	1314.55	1385.43	49.15%	50.63%	+21.61	1-6
2005-11-06	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-21	1336.16	1537.17	17.68%	82.18%	-11.53	1-7
2005-11-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-31	1324.63	1784.15	4.63%	95.32%	-4.26	1-8
2005-11-20	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-45	1320.37	1518.64	31.72%	68.09%	-41.36	1-9
2005-11-27	St. Louis Rams	L 27-33	1279.01	1374.45	45.63%	54.15%	-27.54	1-10
2005-12-04	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 15-16	1251.47	1396.32	22.87%	76.96%	-5.64	1-11
2005-12-11	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-13	1245.83	1347.49	27.54%	72.27%	-11.75	1-12
2005-12-18	Arizona Cardinals	W 30-19	1234.08	1367.61	40.26%	59.52%	+48.61	2-12
2005-12-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-38	1282.69	1609.20	18.18%	81.67%	-19.01	2-13
2006-01-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-20	1263.68	1242.64	43.49%	56.29%	-18.56	2-14
2005-09-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-7	1601.26	1538.71	49.43%	50.35%	+51.14	1-0
2005-09-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 10-3	1652.40	1520.29	75.64%	24.19%	+15.77	2-0
2005-09-25	Cleveland Browns	W 13-6	1668.17	1422.30	85.65%	14.23%	+9.28	3-0
2005-10-02	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-10	1677.45	1441.18	72.63%	27.19%	+30.70	4-0
2005-10-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-3	1708.15	1304.38	87.42%	12.48%	+15.36	5-0
2005-10-17	St. Louis Rams	W 45-28	1723.51	1406.64	89.97%	9.94%	+10.09	6-0
2005-10-23	@ Houston Texans	W 38-20	1733.60	1327.43	87.57%	12.33%	+12.88	7-0
2005-11-07	@ New England Patriots	W 40-21	1746.48	1574.45	64.72%	35.07%	+37.67	8-0
2005-11-13	Houston Texans	W 31-17	1784.15	1324.63	95.32%	4.63%	+4.27	9-0
2005-11-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 45-37	1788.42	1632.99	62.52%	37.27%	+25.98	10-0
2005-11-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-7	1814.40	1667.88	77.13%	22.70%	+24.39	11-0
2005-12-04	Tennessee Titans	W 35-3	1838.79	1353.07	95.95%	4.01%	+5.58	12-0
2005-12-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-18	1844.37	1628.21	70.28%	29.53%	+20.58	13-0
2005-12-18	San Diego Chargers	L 17-26	1864.95	1694.30	79.49%	20.36%	-58.69	13-1
2005-12-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-28	1806.26	1710.97	54.13%	45.65%	-51.63	13-2
2006-01-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-13	1754.63	1352.61	93.61%	6.33%	+1.03	14-2
2005-09-11	Seattle Seahawks	W 26-14	1488.50	1464.24	62.56%	37.23%	+31.79	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-10	1520.29	1652.40	24.19%	75.64%	-15.77	1-1
2005-09-25	@ New York Jets	W 26-20	1504.52	1528.44	37.28%	62.51%	+37.70	2-1
2005-10-02	Denver Broncos	L 7-20	1542.22	1547.60	58.49%	41.29%	-51.93	2-2
2005-10-09	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1490.29	1643.52	37.57%	62.22%	+26.53	3-2
2005-10-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-17	1516.82	1651.65	23.90%	75.93%	+45.78	4-2
2005-10-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 21-24	1562.60	1428.30	59.63%	40.15%	-25.43	4-3
2005-11-06	Houston Texans	W 21-14	1537.17	1336.16	82.18%	17.68%	+11.52	5-3
2005-11-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 30-3	1548.69	1407.53	76.59%	23.25%	+29.77	6-3
2005-11-20	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-28	1578.46	1337.61	73.15%	26.67%	+11.38	7-3
2005-11-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-17	1589.84	1382.41	69.22%	30.59%	+19.95	8-3
2005-12-04	@ Cleveland Browns	W 20-14	1609.79	1401.74	69.30%	30.51%	+18.42	9-3
2005-12-11	Indianapolis Colts	L 18-26	1628.21	1844.37	29.53%	70.28%	-20.59	9-4
2005-12-18	San Francisco 49ers	W 10-9	1607.62	1207.94	93.52%	6.41%	+1.58	10-4
2005-12-24	@ Houston Texans	W 38-20	1609.20	1282.69	81.67%	18.18%	+19.01	11-4
2006-01-01	Tennessee Titans	W 40-13	1628.21	1327.97	89.08%	10.83%	+4.61	12-4
2005-09-11	New York Jets	W 27-7	1538.35	1538.78	59.18%	40.60%	+44.75	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Oakland Raiders	W 23-17	1583.10	1409.02	64.99%	34.80%	+21.01	2-0
2005-09-26	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-30	1604.11	1484.12	57.63%	42.15%	-63.47	2-1
2005-10-02	Philadelphia Eagles	L 31-37	1540.64	1609.72	49.41%	50.37%	-29.82	2-2
2005-10-16	Washington Redskins	W 28-21	1510.82	1511.79	59.10%	40.68%	+26.53	3-2
2005-10-21	@ Miami Dolphins	W 30-20	1537.35	1451.92	52.72%	47.06%	+36.66	4-2
2005-10-30	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-28	1574.01	1628.44	33.28%	66.52%	-23.20	4-3
2005-11-06	Oakland Raiders	W 27-23	1550.81	1492.07	67.07%	32.73%	+16.14	5-3
2005-11-13	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-14	1566.95	1436.11	59.15%	40.63%	-48.31	5-4
2005-11-20	@ Houston Texans	W 45-17	1518.64	1320.37	68.09%	31.72%	+41.36	6-4
2005-11-27	New England Patriots	W 26-16	1560.00	1574.17	57.26%	42.53%	+33.14	7-4
2005-12-04	Denver Broncos	W 31-27	1593.14	1729.14	39.92%	59.86%	+29.48	8-4
2005-12-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 28-31	1622.62	1546.78	51.34%	48.44%	-21.91	8-5
2005-12-17	@ New York Giants	L 17-27	1600.71	1623.15	37.48%	62.31%	-29.20	8-6
2005-12-24	San Diego Chargers	W 20-7	1571.51	1752.99	33.84%	65.95%	+58.55	9-6
2006-01-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-3	1630.06	1618.29	60.86%	38.92%	+18.64	10-6
2005-09-11	Denver Broncos	W 34-10	1460.24	1522.30	50.42%	49.36%	+59.57	1-0
2005-09-18	@ New York Jets	L 7-17	1519.81	1494.03	44.17%	55.61%	-34.42	1-1
2005-09-25	Carolina Panthers	W 27-24	1485.39	1547.20	50.45%	49.32%	+21.05	2-1
2005-10-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-20	1506.44	1458.70	47.30%	52.48%	-28.55	2-2
2005-10-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-27	1477.89	1574.16	28.17%	71.65%	-25.97	2-3
2005-10-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-30	1451.92	1537.35	47.06%	52.72%	-36.66	2-4
2005-10-30	@ New Orleans Saints	W 21-6	1415.26	1352.40	49.47%	50.30%	+47.99	3-4
2005-11-06	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-17	1463.25	1599.78	39.85%	59.94%	-25.98	3-5
2005-11-13	New England Patriots	L 16-23	1437.27	1536.77	45.05%	54.73%	-29.37	3-6
2005-11-20	@ Cleveland Browns	L 0-22	1407.90	1378.77	44.64%	55.14%	-51.59	3-7
2005-11-27	@ Oakland Raiders	W 33-21	1356.31	1473.20	25.83%	73.99%	+63.10	4-7
2005-12-04	Buffalo Bills	W 24-23	1419.41	1437.73	56.67%	43.11%	+10.62	5-7
2005-12-11	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-21	1430.03	1725.19	11.11%	88.79%	+30.89	6-7
2005-12-18	New York Jets	W 24-20	1460.92	1383.39	69.41%	30.39%	+14.98	7-7
2005-12-24	Tennessee Titans	W 24-10	1475.90	1350.98	74.87%	24.95%	+23.01	8-7
2006-01-01	@ New England Patriots	W 28-26	1498.91	1676.81	19.69%	80.16%	+9.30	9-7
2005-09-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-24	1500.14	1471.22	63.18%	36.61%	-51.60	0-1
2005-09-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 8-37	1448.54	1552.84	27.24%	72.58%	-36.15	0-2
2005-09-25	New Orleans Saints	W 33-16	1412.39	1475.85	50.22%	49.56%	+50.34	1-2
2005-10-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-30	1462.73	1563.82	27.61%	72.21%	-30.43	1-3
2005-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-28	1432.30	1400.95	44.96%	54.82%	-55.39	1-4
2005-10-23	Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1376.91	1508.81	40.49%	59.30%	+25.29	2-4
2005-10-30	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-38	1402.20	1568.73	20.75%	79.10%	-25.56	2-5
2005-11-06	Detroit Lions	W 27-14	1376.64	1438.35	50.47%	49.31%	+43.80	3-5
2005-11-13	@ New York Giants	W 24-21	1420.44	1611.15	18.56%	81.30%	+34.65	4-5
2005-11-21	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1455.09	1497.48	34.83%	64.96%	+27.71	5-5
2005-11-27	Cleveland Browns	W 24-12	1482.80	1430.37	66.27%	33.53%	+28.63	6-5
2005-12-04	@ Detroit Lions	W 21-16	1511.43	1355.80	62.54%	37.25%	+20.52	7-5
2005-12-11	St. Louis Rams	W 27-13	1531.95	1350.16	80.51%	19.34%	+17.84	8-5
2005-12-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-18	1549.79	1640.07	46.36%	53.41%	-44.25	8-6
2005-12-25	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 23-30	1505.54	1475.15	44.82%	54.96%	-29.22	8-7
2006-01-01	Chicago Bears	W 34-10	1476.32	1635.63	36.75%	63.04%	+76.05	9-7
2005-09-08	Oakland Raiders	W 30-20	1652.84	1420.89	84.64%	15.24%	+11.87	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-27	1664.71	1497.27	64.12%	35.67%	-49.93	1-1
2005-09-25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-20	1614.78	1658.04	34.72%	65.08%	+27.76	2-1
2005-10-02	San Diego Chargers	L 17-41	1642.54	1561.53	69.84%	29.97%	-84.23	2-2
2005-10-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-28	1558.31	1594.25	35.68%	64.12%	+27.34	3-2
2005-10-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-28	1585.65	1610.14	37.20%	62.59%	-25.93	3-3
2005-10-30	Buffalo Bills	W 21-16	1559.72	1450.83	73.10%	26.72%	+14.73	4-3
2005-11-07	Indianapolis Colts	L 21-40	1574.45	1746.48	35.07%	64.72%	-37.68	4-4
2005-11-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-16	1536.77	1437.27	54.73%	45.05%	+29.37	5-4
2005-11-20	New Orleans Saints	W 24-17	1566.14	1291.37	87.57%	12.32%	+8.03	6-4
2005-11-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-26	1574.17	1560.00	42.53%	57.26%	-33.14	6-5
2005-12-04	New York Jets	W 16-3	1541.03	1351.25	81.22%	18.64%	+16.55	7-5
2005-12-11	@ Buffalo Bills	W 35-7	1557.58	1427.11	59.10%	40.69%	+53.06	8-5
2005-12-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-0	1610.64	1592.01	61.80%	37.99%	+49.54	9-5
2005-12-26	@ New York Jets	W 31-21	1660.18	1368.41	78.50%	21.34%	+16.63	10-5
2006-01-01	Miami Dolphins	L 26-28	1676.81	1498.91	80.16%	19.69%	-9.30	10-6
2005-09-11	@ Carolina Panthers	W 23-20	1492.63	1524.38	36.23%	63.56%	+27.11	1-0
2005-09-19	@ New York Giants	L 10-27	1519.74	1500.80	43.20%	56.58%	-43.89	1-1
2005-09-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-33	1475.85	1412.39	49.56%	50.22%	-50.34	1-2
2005-10-02	@ Buffalo Bills	W 19-7	1425.51	1511.62	37.76%	62.03%	+52.91	2-2
2005-10-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-52	1478.42	1426.10	47.96%	51.82%	-82.71	2-3
2005-10-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 31-34	1395.71	1566.91	27.11%	72.71%	-11.57	2-4
2005-10-23	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-28	1384.14	1396.55	38.84%	60.95%	-31.74	2-5
2005-10-30	Miami Dolphins	L 6-21	1352.40	1415.26	50.30%	49.47%	-48.00	2-6
2005-11-06	Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1304.40	1512.25	30.54%	69.27%	-13.03	2-7
2005-11-20	@ New England Patriots	L 17-24	1291.37	1566.14	12.32%	87.57%	-8.03	2-8
2005-11-27	@ New York Jets	W 21-19	1283.34	1376.05	28.58%	71.23%	+24.80	3-8
2005-12-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-10	1308.14	1511.89	31.04%	68.77%	-20.24	3-9
2005-12-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-36	1287.90	1549.55	13.16%	86.73%	-14.13	3-10
2005-12-18	Carolina Panthers	L 10-27	1273.77	1616.76	16.82%	83.05%	-17.08	3-11
2005-12-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 12-13	1256.69	1303.07	43.26%	56.52%	-10.66	3-12
2006-01-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-27	1246.03	1559.06	10.14%	89.77%	-9.34	3-13
2005-09-11	Arizona Cardinals	W 42-19	1453.13	1451.60	59.45%	40.33%	+47.67	1-0
2005-09-19	New Orleans Saints	W 27-10	1500.80	1519.74	56.58%	43.20%	+43.89	2-0
2005-09-25	@ San Diego Chargers	L 23-45	1544.69	1508.83	45.60%	54.18%	-52.70	2-1
2005-10-02	St. Louis Rams	W 44-24	1491.99	1482.43	60.56%	39.23%	+43.23	3-1
2005-10-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-16	1535.22	1528.72	41.45%	58.33%	-17.69	3-2
2005-10-23	Denver Broncos	W 24-23	1517.53	1636.07	42.35%	57.43%	+14.14	4-2
2005-10-30	Washington Redskins	W 36-0	1531.67	1511.62	61.99%	37.80%	+55.89	5-2
2005-11-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-6	1587.56	1308.12	77.28%	22.56%	+23.59	6-2
2005-11-13	Minnesota Vikings	L 21-24	1611.15	1420.44	81.30%	18.56%	-34.66	6-3
2005-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-17	1576.49	1490.48	70.44%	29.37%	+22.90	7-3
2005-11-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-24	1599.39	1618.41	37.94%	61.85%	-16.20	7-4
2005-12-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-10	1583.19	1572.24	60.75%	39.04%	+25.45	8-4
2005-12-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-23	1608.64	1428.21	65.82%	33.98%	+14.51	9-4
2005-12-17	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-17	1623.15	1600.71	62.31%	37.48%	+29.21	10-4
2005-12-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-35	1652.36	1574.41	51.64%	48.13%	-49.27	10-5
2005-12-31	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-21	1603.09	1322.01	77.44%	22.39%	+16.55	11-5
2005-09-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-27	1538.78	1538.35	40.60%	59.18%	-44.75	0-1
2005-09-18	Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1494.03	1519.81	55.61%	44.17%	+34.41	1-1
2005-09-25	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-26	1528.44	1504.52	62.51%	37.28%	-37.71	1-2
2005-10-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-13	1490.73	1438.65	47.93%	51.85%	-37.33	1-3
2005-10-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 14-12	1453.40	1595.29	39.11%	60.67%	+21.13	2-3
2005-10-16	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-27	1474.53	1487.25	38.80%	60.99%	-30.24	2-4
2005-10-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-27	1444.29	1578.48	23.97%	75.86%	-21.30	2-5
2005-11-06	San Diego Chargers	L 26-31	1422.99	1651.63	28.06%	71.75%	-15.46	2-6
2005-11-13	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-30	1407.53	1653.38	14.23%	85.65%	-18.22	2-7
2005-11-20	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-27	1389.31	1697.94	10.37%	89.54%	-13.26	2-8
2005-11-27	New Orleans Saints	L 19-21	1376.05	1283.34	71.23%	28.58%	-24.80	2-9
2005-12-04	@ New England Patriots	L 3-16	1351.25	1541.03	18.64%	81.22%	-16.56	2-10
2005-12-11	Oakland Raiders	W 26-10	1334.69	1397.17	50.36%	49.42%	+48.70	3-10
2005-12-18	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1383.39	1460.92	30.39%	69.41%	-14.98	3-11
2005-12-26	New England Patriots	L 21-31	1368.41	1660.18	21.34%	78.50%	-16.63	3-12
2006-01-01	Buffalo Bills	W 30-26	1351.78	1429.88	48.11%	51.67%	+25.45	4-12
2005-09-08	@ New England Patriots	L 20-30	1420.89	1652.84	15.24%	84.64%	-11.87	0-1
2005-09-18	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-23	1409.02	1583.10	34.80%	64.99%	-21.00	0-2
2005-09-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1388.02	1602.65	16.57%	83.30%	-7.07	0-3
2005-10-02	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-13	1380.95	1482.78	44.71%	55.06%	+33.22	1-3
2005-10-16	San Diego Chargers	L 14-27	1414.17	1624.38	30.25%	69.56%	-26.88	1-4
2005-10-23	Buffalo Bills	W 38-17	1387.29	1517.48	40.72%	59.06%	+66.65	2-4
2005-10-30	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-25	1453.94	1400.05	48.18%	51.59%	+38.13	3-4
2005-11-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-27	1492.07	1550.81	32.73%	67.07%	-16.14	3-5
2005-11-13	Denver Broncos	L 17-31	1475.93	1667.98	32.50%	67.30%	-29.96	3-6
2005-11-20	@ Washington Redskins	W 16-13	1445.97	1479.92	35.94%	63.85%	+27.23	4-6
2005-11-27	Miami Dolphins	L 21-33	1473.20	1356.31	73.99%	25.83%	-63.10	4-7
2005-12-04	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-34	1410.10	1712.26	10.72%	89.19%	-12.93	4-8
2005-12-11	@ New York Jets	L 10-26	1397.17	1334.69	49.42%	50.36%	-48.70	4-9
2005-12-18	Cleveland Browns	L 7-9	1348.47	1378.21	55.05%	44.73%	-19.17	4-10
2005-12-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-22	1329.30	1718.13	6.80%	93.14%	-7.29	4-11
2005-12-31	New York Giants	L 21-30	1322.01	1603.09	22.39%	77.44%	-16.56	4-12
2005-09-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-14	1594.84	1517.67	51.53%	48.24%	-25.38	0-1
2005-09-18	San Francisco 49ers	W 42-3	1569.46	1411.50	78.27%	21.57%	+33.19	1-1
2005-09-25	Oakland Raiders	W 23-20	1602.65	1388.02	83.30%	16.57%	+7.07	2-1
2005-10-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 37-31	1609.72	1540.64	50.37%	49.41%	+29.81	3-1
2005-10-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-33	1639.53	1449.56	67.04%	32.76%	-79.16	3-2
2005-10-23	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1560.37	1651.26	46.28%	53.50%	+22.83	4-2
2005-10-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-49	1583.20	1621.93	35.31%	64.49%	-46.05	4-3
2005-11-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1537.15	1455.73	52.14%	47.63%	-33.98	4-4
2005-11-14	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-21	1503.17	1557.78	51.49%	48.29%	-12.69	4-5
2005-11-20	@ New York Giants	L 17-27	1490.48	1576.49	29.37%	70.44%	-22.89	4-6
2005-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 19-14	1467.59	1469.78	58.93%	40.85%	+22.51	5-6
2005-12-05	Seattle Seahawks	L 0-42	1490.10	1634.61	38.75%	61.03%	-61.89	5-7
2005-12-11	New York Giants	L 23-26	1428.21	1608.64	33.98%	65.82%	-14.51	5-8
2005-12-18	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-16	1413.70	1332.33	52.14%	47.64%	+11.74	6-8
2005-12-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-27	1425.44	1318.99	55.72%	44.06%	-33.61	6-9
2006-01-01	Washington Redskins	L 20-31	1391.83	1623.68	27.69%	72.13%	-22.64	6-10
2005-09-11	Tennessee Titans	W 34-7	1587.10	1441.30	77.06%	22.78%	+29.16	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Houston Texans	W 27-7	1616.26	1465.49	61.89%	37.90%	+41.78	2-0
2005-09-25	New England Patriots	L 20-23	1658.04	1614.78	65.08%	34.72%	-27.76	2-1
2005-10-10	@ San Diego Chargers	W 24-22	1630.28	1645.75	38.42%	61.37%	+21.37	3-1
2005-10-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-23	1651.65	1516.82	75.93%	23.90%	-45.78	3-2
2005-10-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-13	1605.87	1643.33	35.48%	64.32%	+59.26	4-2
2005-10-31	Baltimore Ravens	W 20-19	1665.13	1442.33	83.94%	15.93%	+3.92	5-2
2005-11-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-10	1669.05	1465.48	68.75%	31.06%	+24.21	6-2
2005-11-13	Cleveland Browns	W 34-21	1693.26	1388.15	89.35%	10.56%	+9.37	7-2
2005-11-20	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 13-16	1702.63	1377.76	81.53%	18.32%	-34.75	7-3
2005-11-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 7-26	1667.88	1814.40	22.70%	77.13%	-24.39	7-4
2005-12-04	Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-38	1643.49	1623.20	62.02%	37.77%	-40.40	7-5
2005-12-11	Chicago Bears	W 21-9	1603.09	1622.95	56.45%	43.33%	+36.98	8-5
2005-12-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 18-3	1640.07	1549.79	53.41%	46.36%	+44.24	9-5
2005-12-24	@ Cleveland Browns	W 41-0	1684.31	1397.38	78.03%	21.82%	+34.42	10-5
2006-01-01	Detroit Lions	W 35-21	1718.73	1313.73	93.71%	6.23%	+5.74	11-5
2005-09-11	Dallas Cowboys	L 24-28	1567.22	1439.71	75.15%	24.68%	-37.00	0-1
2005-09-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-20	1530.22	1462.73	50.14%	49.64%	-21.39	0-2
2005-09-25	New York Giants	W 45-23	1508.83	1544.69	54.18%	45.60%	+52.70	1-2
2005-10-02	@ New England Patriots	W 41-17	1561.53	1642.54	29.97%	69.84%	+84.22	2-2
2005-10-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 22-24	1645.75	1630.28	61.37%	38.42%	-21.37	2-3
2005-10-16	@ Oakland Raiders	W 27-14	1624.38	1414.17	69.56%	30.25%	+26.88	3-3
2005-10-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-20	1651.26	1560.37	53.50%	46.28%	-22.82	3-4
2005-10-30	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-20	1628.44	1574.01	66.52%	33.28%	+23.19	4-4
2005-11-06	@ New York Jets	W 31-26	1651.63	1422.99	71.75%	28.06%	+15.47	5-4
2005-11-20	Buffalo Bills	W 48-10	1667.10	1484.42	80.59%	19.26%	+29.26	6-4
2005-11-27	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-17	1696.36	1452.68	73.47%	26.35%	+15.90	7-4
2005-12-04	Oakland Raiders	W 34-10	1712.26	1410.10	89.19%	10.72%	+12.93	8-4
2005-12-11	Miami Dolphins	L 21-23	1725.19	1430.03	88.79%	11.11%	-30.89	8-5
2005-12-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 26-17	1694.30	1864.95	20.36%	79.49%	+58.69	9-5
2005-12-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-20	1752.99	1571.51	65.95%	33.84%	-58.55	9-6
2005-12-31	Denver Broncos	L 7-23	1694.44	1725.42	54.87%	44.90%	-18.02	9-7
2005-09-11	St. Louis Rams	W 28-25	1390.40	1453.21	50.31%	49.47%	+21.10	1-0
2005-09-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-42	1411.50	1569.46	21.57%	78.27%	-33.19	1-1
2005-09-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 31-34	1378.31	1462.63	47.22%	52.56%	-20.15	1-2
2005-10-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 14-31	1358.16	1336.85	52.95%	46.83%	-53.78	1-3
2005-10-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 3-28	1304.38	1708.15	12.48%	87.42%	-15.36	1-4
2005-10-23	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-52	1289.02	1485.26	18.08%	81.78%	-26.35	1-5
2005-10-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 15-10	1262.67	1600.13	17.27%	82.60%	+45.45	2-5
2005-11-06	New York Giants	L 6-24	1308.12	1587.56	22.56%	77.28%	-23.59	2-6
2005-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 9-17	1284.53	1525.29	14.60%	85.28%	-10.16	2-7
2005-11-20	Seattle Seahawks	L 25-27	1274.37	1612.42	17.22%	82.65%	-6.00	2-8
2005-11-27	@ Tennessee Titans	L 22-33	1268.37	1326.23	32.84%	66.96%	-26.84	2-9
2005-12-04	Arizona Cardinals	L 10-17	1241.53	1362.47	42.02%	57.77%	-27.40	2-10
2005-12-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-41	1214.13	1696.50	4.09%	95.87%	-6.19	2-11
2005-12-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-10	1207.94	1607.62	6.41%	93.52%	-1.58	2-12
2005-12-24	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-20	1206.36	1320.59	26.12%	73.70%	+36.28	3-12
2006-01-01	Houston Texans	W 20-17	1242.64	1263.68	56.29%	43.49%	+18.57	4-12
2005-09-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-26	1464.24	1488.50	37.23%	62.56%	-31.79	0-1
2005-09-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-18	1432.45	1543.06	43.47%	56.31%	+24.02	1-1
2005-09-25	Arizona Cardinals	W 37-12	1456.47	1373.49	70.07%	29.74%	+36.65	2-1
2005-10-02	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1493.12	1505.84	38.79%	60.99%	-16.56	2-2
2005-10-09	@ St. Louis Rams	W 37-31	1476.56	1439.20	45.81%	53.96%	+32.55	3-2
2005-10-16	Houston Texans	W 42-10	1509.11	1358.51	77.54%	22.29%	+31.08	4-2
2005-10-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-10	1540.19	1546.42	58.37%	41.41%	+17.68	5-2
2005-11-06	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 33-19	1557.87	1381.76	65.26%	34.54%	+31.85	6-2
2005-11-13	St. Louis Rams	W 31-16	1589.72	1453.73	76.05%	23.78%	+22.70	7-2
2005-11-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-25	1612.42	1274.37	82.65%	17.22%	+5.99	8-2
2005-11-27	New York Giants	W 24-21	1618.41	1599.39	61.85%	37.94%	+16.20	9-2
2005-12-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 42-0	1634.61	1490.10	61.03%	38.75%	+61.89	10-2
2005-12-11	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-3	1696.50	1214.13	95.87%	4.09%	+6.20	11-2
2005-12-18	@ Tennessee Titans	W 28-24	1702.70	1359.25	83.09%	16.78%	+8.27	12-2
2005-12-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 28-13	1710.97	1806.26	45.65%	54.13%	+51.63	13-2
2006-01-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-23	1762.60	1347.59	88.11%	11.79%	-17.69	13-3
2005-09-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 25-28	1453.21	1390.40	49.47%	50.31%	-21.10	0-1
2005-09-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-12	1432.11	1403.93	44.51%	55.27%	+30.44	1-1
2005-09-25	Tennessee Titans	W 31-27	1462.55	1461.07	59.44%	40.34%	+19.88	2-1
2005-10-02	@ New York Giants	L 24-44	1482.43	1491.99	39.23%	60.56%	-43.23	2-2
2005-10-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 31-37	1439.20	1476.56	53.96%	45.81%	-32.56	2-3
2005-10-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 28-45	1406.64	1723.51	9.94%	89.97%	-10.09	2-4
2005-10-23	New Orleans Saints	W 28-17	1396.55	1384.14	60.95%	38.84%	+31.75	3-4
2005-10-30	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1428.30	1562.60	40.15%	59.63%	+25.43	4-4
2005-11-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-31	1453.73	1589.72	23.78%	76.05%	-22.70	4-5
2005-11-20	Arizona Cardinals	L 28-38	1431.03	1325.84	72.68%	27.14%	-56.58	4-6
2005-11-27	@ Houston Texans	W 33-27	1374.45	1279.01	54.15%	45.63%	+27.54	5-6
2005-12-04	Washington Redskins	L 9-24	1401.99	1436.78	54.33%	45.45%	-51.83	5-7
2005-12-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-27	1350.16	1531.95	19.34%	80.51%	-17.83	5-8
2005-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-17	1332.33	1413.70	47.64%	52.14%	-11.74	5-9
2005-12-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-24	1320.59	1206.36	73.70%	26.12%	-36.28	5-10
2006-01-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-10	1284.31	1542.20	13.41%	86.48%	+67.28	6-10
2005-09-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1471.22	1500.14	36.61%	63.18%	+51.60	1-0
2005-09-18	Buffalo Bills	W 19-3	1522.82	1608.36	47.04%	52.73%	+51.96	2-0
2005-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 17-16	1574.78	1448.74	58.48%	41.30%	+10.18	3-0
2005-10-02	Detroit Lions	W 17-13	1584.96	1420.61	78.89%	20.96%	+10.33	4-0
2005-10-09	@ New York Jets	L 12-14	1595.29	1453.40	60.67%	39.11%	-21.13	4-1
2005-10-16	Miami Dolphins	W 27-13	1574.16	1477.89	71.65%	28.17%	+25.97	5-1
2005-10-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-15	1600.13	1262.67	82.60%	17.27%	-45.45	5-2
2005-11-06	Carolina Panthers	L 14-34	1554.68	1594.30	53.64%	46.14%	-59.09	5-3
2005-11-13	Washington Redskins	W 36-35	1495.59	1489.71	60.05%	39.73%	+9.79	6-3
2005-11-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-27	1505.38	1569.55	32.04%	67.76%	+28.90	7-3
2005-11-27	Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1534.28	1582.09	52.47%	47.31%	-22.39	7-4
2005-12-04	@ New Orleans Saints	W 10-3	1511.89	1308.14	68.77%	31.04%	+20.24	8-4
2005-12-11	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-10	1532.13	1676.63	22.91%	76.93%	+59.88	9-4
2005-12-17	@ New England Patriots	L 0-28	1592.01	1610.64	37.99%	61.80%	-49.54	9-5
2005-12-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-24	1542.47	1530.35	60.91%	38.88%	+16.59	10-5
2006-01-01	New Orleans Saints	W 27-13	1559.06	1246.03	89.77%	10.14%	+9.34	11-5
2005-09-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-34	1441.30	1587.10	22.78%	77.06%	-29.16	0-1
2005-09-18	Baltimore Ravens	W 25-10	1412.14	1487.57	48.49%	51.28%	+48.93	1-1
2005-09-25	@ St. Louis Rams	L 27-31	1461.07	1462.55	40.34%	59.44%	-19.89	1-2
2005-10-02	Indianapolis Colts	L 10-31	1441.18	1677.45	27.19%	72.63%	-30.70	1-3
2005-10-09	@ Houston Texans	W 34-20	1410.48	1413.48	40.13%	59.65%	+54.97	2-3
2005-10-16	Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-31	1465.45	1616.98	37.80%	61.99%	-26.35	2-4
2005-10-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-20	1439.10	1371.76	50.12%	49.66%	-39.05	2-5
2005-10-30	Oakland Raiders	L 25-34	1400.05	1453.94	51.59%	48.18%	-38.12	2-6
2005-11-06	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-20	1361.93	1363.83	40.28%	59.50%	-24.32	2-7
2005-11-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 28-31	1337.61	1578.46	26.67%	73.15%	-11.38	2-8
2005-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 33-22	1326.23	1268.37	66.96%	32.84%	+26.84	3-8
2005-12-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-35	1353.07	1838.79	4.01%	95.95%	-5.58	3-9
2005-12-11	Houston Texans	W 13-10	1347.49	1245.83	72.27%	27.54%	+11.76	4-9
2005-12-18	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-28	1359.25	1702.70	16.78%	83.09%	-8.27	4-10
2005-12-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-24	1350.98	1475.90	24.95%	74.87%	-23.01	4-11
2006-01-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-40	1327.97	1628.21	10.83%	89.08%	-4.62	4-12
2005-09-11	Chicago Bears	W 9-7	1480.62	1415.97	67.82%	31.98%	+11.15	1-0
2005-09-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 14-13	1491.77	1476.70	42.65%	57.13%	+14.07	2-0
2005-10-02	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1505.84	1493.12	60.99%	38.79%	+16.56	3-0
2005-10-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-21	1522.40	1599.53	30.44%	69.36%	-10.61	3-1
2005-10-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-28	1511.79	1510.82	40.68%	59.10%	-26.53	3-2
2005-10-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 52-17	1485.26	1289.02	81.78%	18.08%	+26.36	4-2
2005-10-30	@ New York Giants	L 0-36	1511.62	1531.67	37.80%	61.99%	-55.89	4-3
2005-11-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-10	1455.73	1537.15	47.63%	52.14%	+33.98	5-3
2005-11-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 35-36	1489.71	1495.59	39.73%	60.05%	-9.79	5-4
2005-11-20	Oakland Raiders	L 13-16	1479.92	1445.97	63.85%	35.94%	-27.24	5-5
2005-11-27	San Diego Chargers	L 17-23	1452.68	1696.36	26.35%	73.47%	-15.90	5-6
2005-12-04	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-9	1436.78	1401.99	45.45%	54.33%	+51.83	6-6
2005-12-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-13	1488.61	1389.86	54.62%	45.15%	+22.25	7-6
2005-12-18	Dallas Cowboys	W 35-7	1510.86	1568.69	51.03%	48.75%	+63.55	8-6
2005-12-24	New York Giants	W 35-20	1574.41	1652.36	48.13%	51.64%	+49.27	9-6
2006-01-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-20	1623.68	1391.83	72.13%	27.69%	+22.63	10-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2006-01-08	@ New York Giants	W 23-0	1663.87	1619.64	46.91%	53.09%	+62.59	1-0
2006-01-15	@ Chicago Bears	W 29-21	1726.46	1559.59	64.16%	35.84%	+24.92	2-0
2006-01-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-34	1751.38	1769.58	38.15%	61.85%	-41.94	2-1
2006-01-15	Carolina Panthers	L 21-29	1559.59	1726.46	35.84%	64.16%	-24.92	0-1
2006-01-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-31	1599.64	1724.47	41.58%	58.42%	-38.24	0-1
2006-01-14	New England Patriots	W 27-13	1743.44	1711.68	63.67%	36.33%	+33.41	1-0
2006-01-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-34	1776.85	1787.56	57.85%	42.15%	-58.63	1-1
2006-01-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 18-21	1755.66	1762.71	58.37%	41.63%	-24.84	0-1
2006-01-07	@ New England Patriots	L 3-28	1632.82	1667.51	35.94%	64.06%	-44.16	0-1
2006-01-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-3	1667.51	1632.82	64.06%	35.94%	+44.17	1-0
2006-01-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-27	1711.68	1743.44	36.33%	63.67%	-33.41	1-1
2006-01-08	Carolina Panthers	L 0-23	1619.64	1663.87	53.09%	46.91%	-62.58	0-1
2006-01-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-17	1724.47	1599.64	58.42%	41.58%	+38.24	1-0
2006-01-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 21-18	1762.71	1755.66	41.63%	58.37%	+24.85	2-0
2006-01-22	@ Denver Broncos	W 34-17	1787.56	1776.85	42.15%	57.85%	+58.63	3-0
2006-02-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 21-10	1846.19	1811.52	54.97%	45.03%	+36.71	4-0
2006-01-14	Washington Redskins	W 20-10	1744.91	1677.69	68.25%	31.75%	+24.67	1-0
2006-01-22	Carolina Panthers	W 34-14	1769.58	1751.38	61.85%	38.15%	+41.94	2-0
2006-02-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-21	1811.52	1846.19	45.03%	54.97%	-36.71	2-1
2006-01-07	Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1568.40	1646.31	48.25%	51.75%	-31.38	0-1
2006-01-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-10	1646.31	1568.40	51.75%	48.25%	+31.38	1-0
2006-01-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-20	1677.69	1744.91	31.75%	68.25%	-24.68	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-12-24	9.31%	Buffalo Bills	1359.40	37	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1688.76	27
2	2005-12-11	11.11%	Miami Dolphins	1430.03	23	@ San Diego Chargers	1725.19	21
3	2006-01-01	11.79%	@ Green Bay Packers	1347.59	23	Seattle Seahawks	1762.60	17
4	2006-01-01	13.41%	St. Louis Rams	1284.31	20	@ Dallas Cowboys	1542.20	10
5	2005-10-30	17.27%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1262.67	15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1600.13	10
6	2005-11-20	18.32%	@ Baltimore Ravens	1377.76	16	Pittsburgh Steelers	1702.63	13
7	2005-11-13	18.56%	Minnesota Vikings	1420.44	24	@ New York Giants	1611.15	21
8	2005-11-13	19.10%	Green Bay Packers	1441.27	33	@ Atlanta Falcons	1625.76	25
9	2006-01-01	19.69%	Miami Dolphins	1498.91	28	@ New England Patriots	1676.81	26
10	2005-12-18	20.36%	San Diego Chargers	1694.30	26	@ Indianapolis Colts	1864.95	17
11	2005-12-11	22.91%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1532.13	20	@ Carolina Panthers	1676.63	10
12	2005-10-16	23.90%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1516.82	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1651.65	17
13	2005-12-24	24.55%	Dallas Cowboys	1505.14	24	@ Carolina Panthers	1633.84	20
14	2005-09-11	24.68%	Dallas Cowboys	1439.71	28	@ San Diego Chargers	1567.22	24
15	2005-11-27	25.83%	Miami Dolphins	1356.31	33	@ Oakland Raiders	1473.20	21
16	2005-12-24	26.12%	San Francisco 49ers	1206.36	24	@ St. Louis Rams	1320.59	20
17	2005-11-20	27.14%	Arizona Cardinals	1325.84	38	@ St. Louis Rams	1431.03	28
18	2005-11-27	28.58%	New Orleans Saints	1283.34	21	@ New York Jets	1376.05	19
19	2005-10-02	29.97%	San Diego Chargers	1561.53	41	@ New England Patriots	1642.54	17
20	2005-09-18	30.76%	Cleveland Browns	1398.27	26	@ Green Bay Packers	1472.78	24
21	2005-11-20	32.04%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1505.38	30	@ Atlanta Falcons	1569.55	27
22	2005-10-09	32.76%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1449.56	33	Philadelphia Eagles	1639.53	10
23	2005-12-24	33.84%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1571.51	20	San Diego Chargers	1752.99	7
24	2005-09-25	34.72%	New England Patriots	1614.78	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1658.04	20
25	2005-11-21	34.83%	Minnesota Vikings	1455.09	20	@ Green Bay Packers	1497.48	17

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2005-10-02	84.23	San Diego Chargers	41	1561.53	29.97%	@ New England Patriots	17	1642.54	69.84%
2	2005-10-09	82.71	@ Green Bay Packers	52	1426.10	51.82%	New Orleans Saints	3	1478.42	47.96%
3	2005-10-09	79.16	@ Dallas Cowboys	33	1449.56	32.76%	Philadelphia Eagles	10	1639.53	67.04%
4	2005-12-19	77.01	@ Baltimore Ravens	48	1398.14	53.18%	Green Bay Packers	3	1440.95	46.59%
5	2006-01-01	76.05	@ Minnesota Vikings	34	1476.32	36.75%	Chicago Bears	10	1635.63	63.04%
6	2005-09-18	74.41	@ Chicago Bears	38	1404.82	46.38%	Detroit Lions	6	1495.02	53.40%
7	2005-12-24	70.48	Buffalo Bills	37	1359.40	9.31%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	27	1688.76	90.60%
8	2006-01-01	67.29	St. Louis Rams	20	1284.31	13.41%	@ Dallas Cowboys	10	1542.20	86.48%
9	2006-01-01	67.09	Carolina Panthers	44	1596.78	52.37%	@ Atlanta Falcons	11	1513.76	47.40%
10	2005-10-23	66.65	@ Oakland Raiders	38	1387.29	40.72%	Buffalo Bills	17	1517.48	59.06%
11	2005-12-18	63.55	@ Washington Redskins	35	1510.86	51.03%	Dallas Cowboys	7	1568.69	48.75%
12	2005-09-26	63.48	@ Denver Broncos	30	1484.12	42.15%	Kansas City Chiefs	10	1604.11	57.63%
13	2005-11-27	63.10	Miami Dolphins	33	1356.31	25.83%	@ Oakland Raiders	21	1473.20	73.99%
14	2006-01-08 *	62.59	Carolina Panthers	23	1663.87	46.91%	@ New York Giants	0	1619.64	53.09%
15	2005-12-05	61.89	Seattle Seahawks	42	1634.61	61.03%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	0	1490.10	38.75%
16	2005-12-11	59.88	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20	1532.13	22.91%	@ Carolina Panthers	10	1676.63	76.93%
17	2005-09-11	59.57	@ Miami Dolphins	34	1460.24	50.42%	Denver Broncos	10	1522.30	49.36%
18	2005-10-23	59.26	Pittsburgh Steelers	27	1605.87	35.48%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	13	1643.33	64.32%
19	2005-11-06	59.09	Carolina Panthers	34	1594.30	46.14%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14	1554.68	53.64%
20	2005-12-18	58.69	San Diego Chargers	26	1694.30	20.36%	@ Indianapolis Colts	17	1864.95	79.49%
21	2006-01-22 *	58.63	Pittsburgh Steelers	34	1787.56	42.15%	@ Denver Broncos	17	1776.85	57.85%
22	2005-12-24	58.55	@ Kansas City Chiefs	20	1571.51	33.84%	San Diego Chargers	7	1752.99	65.95%
23	2005-11-20	56.58	Arizona Cardinals	38	1325.84	27.14%	@ St. Louis Rams	28	1431.03	72.68%
24	2005-11-13	56.21	Green Bay Packers	33	1441.27	19.10%	@ Atlanta Falcons	25	1625.76	80.75%
25	2005-10-30	55.89	@ New York Giants	36	1531.67	61.99%	Washington Redskins	0	1511.62	37.80%