2002 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Oakland Raiders

5th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1983

Biggest Overachiever

Tennessee Titans

2.58 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.42 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Bears

3.80 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.80 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Jets Division	9	7	.562	-	359	336	+23	7.81	+1.19
2	New England Patriots	9	7	.562	-	381	346	+35	9.75	-0.75
3	Miami Dolphins	9	7	.562	-	378	301	+77	8.90	+0.10
4	Buffalo Bills	8	8	.500	1	379	397	-18	6.74	+1.26

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	10	5	1	.656	-	390	345	+45	9.85	+0.65
2	Cleveland Browns Playoffs	9	7	0	.562	1.5	344	320	+24	7.94	+1.06
3	Baltimore Ravens	7	9	0	.438	3.5	316	354	-38	8.72	-1.72
4	Cincinnati Bengals	2	14	0	.125	8.5	279	456	-177	5.34	-3.34

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tennessee Titans Division	11	5	.688	-	367	324	+43	8.42	+2.58
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	349	313	+36	8.65	+1.35
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	10	.375	5	328	315	+13	8.77	-2.77
4	Houston Texans	4	12	.250	7	213	356	-143	3.52	+0.48

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	11	5	.688	-	450	304	+146	9.57	+1.43
2	Denver Broncos	9	7	.562	2	392	344	+48	8.23	+0.77
3	San Diego Chargers	8	8	.500	3	333	367	-34	7.57	+0.43
4	Kansas City Chiefs	8	8	.500	3	467	399	+68	7.70	+0.30

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	12	4	.750	-	415	241	+174	11.04	+0.96
2	New York Giants Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	320	279	+41	8.03	+1.97
3	Washington Redskins	7	9	.438	5	307	365	-58	7.79	-0.79
4	Dallas Cowboys	5	11	.312	7	217	329	-112	6.49	-1.49

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	12	4	.750	-	398	328	+70	10.27	+1.73
2	Minnesota Vikings	6	10	.375	6	390	442	-52	6.13	-0.13
3	Chicago Bears	4	12	.250	8	281	379	-98	7.80	-3.80
4	Detroit Lions	3	13	.188	9	306	451	-145	5.60	-2.60

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Division	12	4	0	.750	-	346	196	+150	10.28	+1.72
2	Atlanta Falcons Playoffs	9	6	1	.594	2.5	402	314	+88	7.83	+1.67
3	New Orleans Saints	9	7	0	.562	3	432	388	+44	8.68	+0.32
4	Carolina Panthers	7	9	0	.438	5	258	302	-44	6.50	+0.50

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	10	6	.625	-	367	351	+16	9.39	+0.61
2	St. Louis Rams	7	9	.438	3	316	369	-53	9.30	-2.30
3	Seattle Seahawks	7	9	.438	3	355	369	-14	6.88	+0.12
4	Arizona Cardinals	5	11	.312	5	262	417	-155	6.51	-1.51

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

New York Jets 41

Indianapolis Colts 0

Jan 4

Pittsburgh Steelers 36

Cleveland Browns 33

Jan 5

Divisional Round

Tennessee Titans 34

Pittsburgh Steelers 31

Jan 11

Oakland Raiders 30

New York Jets 10

Jan 12

Conference Championship

Oakland Raiders 41

Tennessee Titans 24

Jan 19

NFC

Wild Card Round

Atlanta Falcons 27

Green Bay Packers 7

Jan 4

San Francisco 49ers 39

New York Giants 38

Jan 5

Divisional Round

Philadelphia Eagles 20

Atlanta Falcons 6

Jan 11

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31

San Francisco 49ers 6

Jan 12

Conference Championship

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27

Philadelphia Eagles 10

Jan 19

Super Bowl

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48

Oakland Raiders 21

Jan 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1677	12	11.04	+0.96	79.47%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1655	11	9.57	+1.43	84.64%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1638	12	10.28	+1.72	89.09%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1609	12	10.27	+1.73	89.47%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1593	10.5	9.85	+0.65	63.85%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1586	11	8.42	+2.58	94.98%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1581	9	7.81	+1.19	81.19%	1	5	6	8	9	11	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1568	10	9.39	+0.61	72.00%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1564	9	9.75	-0.75	44.69%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1552	10	8.03	+1.97	90.56%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1549	9	8.90	+0.10	62.57%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1545	9	8.23	+0.77	74.55%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1532	8	7.70	+0.30	66.65%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1527	7	9.30	-2.30	17.52%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1521	10	8.65	+1.35	84.29%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1519	9.5	7.83	+1.67	81.24%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1509	9	8.68	+0.32	67.09%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1502	7	6.88	+0.12	63.54%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1499	9	7.94	+1.06	79.89%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1483	7	8.72	-1.72	26.84%	1	5	7	9	10	12	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1470	8	6.74	+1.26	83.02%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1468	7	7.79	-0.79	44.65%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1465	6	8.77	-2.77	12.31%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1451	8	7.57	+0.43	69.28%	0	4	6	8	9	11	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1436	6	6.13	-0.13	59.20%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1434	7	6.50	+0.50	71.04%	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1426	4	7.80	-3.80	4.11%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1381	5	6.49	-1.49	31.11%	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1370	5	6.51	-1.51	30.51%	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1333	3	5.60	-2.60	13.21%	0	3	4	6	7	9	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1306	2	5.34	-3.34	5.74%	0	2	4	5	7	8	14
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1253	4	3.52	+0.48	74.42%	0	1	2	3	5	6	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (2.2 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	2-1-1 (2.2 exp.)	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	2-2 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Tennessee Titans	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.0 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	1-3 (2.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	2-1-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	0-4 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.37%	1.37%	1.37%	1.17%	0.39%	0.20%	5.86%
7–13	1.37%	2.73%	4.69%	3.52%	2.34%	1.37%	0.78%	16.80%
14–20	1.37%	4.69%	5.08%	8.20%	2.54%	1.56%	0.20%	23.63%
21–27	1.37%	3.52%	8.20%	6.25%	5.27%	0.98%	0.98%	26.56%
28–34	1.17%	2.34%	2.54%	5.27%	3.52%	1.37%	0.59%	16.80%
35–41	0.39%	1.37%	1.56%	0.98%	1.37%	1.56%	0.20%	7.42%
42+	0.20%	0.78%	0.20%	0.98%	0.59%	0.20%	—	2.93%
Total	5.86%	16.80%	23.63%	26.56%	16.80%	7.42%	2.93%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.67	21.67	+0.00
SD	10.18	10.18	14.24
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	52	52	+49
Min	0	0	-49

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.38	26.06	-9.69
SD	8.11	12.73	16.35
CV	0.50	0.49	—
Max	28	49	+14
Min	0	6	-49

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.12	19.62	+5.50
SD	10.52	12.39	16.92
CV	0.42	0.63	—
Max	41	37	+41
Min	6	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.75	22.12	-2.38
SD	10.38	8.03	10.29
CV	0.53	0.36	—
Max	38	37	+11
Min	0	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	24.81	-1.12
SD	11.52	11.92	13.79
CV	0.49	0.48	—
Max	45	49	+18
Min	0	9	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.12	18.88	-2.75
SD	12.59	11.18	16.84
CV	0.78	0.59	—
Max	52	41	+24
Min	0	6	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.56	23.69	-6.12
SD	7.92	7.02	7.61
CV	0.45	0.30	—
Max	30	34	+7
Min	0	13	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.44	28.50	-11.06
SD	10.18	10.71	15.93
CV	0.58	0.38	—
Max	38	52	+35
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	20.00	+1.50
SD	9.38	7.81	7.96
CV	0.44	0.39	—
Max	39	40	+17
Min	3	7	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.56	20.56	-7.00
SD	7.59	9.94	12.22
CV	0.56	0.48	—
Max	27	44	+8
Min	3	9	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	21.50	+3.00
SD	7.59	9.11	13.48
CV	0.31	0.42	—
Max	37	34	+30
Min	10	7	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	28.19	-9.06
SD	7.73	10.34	10.70
CV	0.40	0.37	—
Max	36	49	+5
Min	7	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.88	20.50	+4.38
SD	9.65	11.48	14.03
CV	0.39	0.56	—
Max	40	42	+26
Min	7	0	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.31	22.25	-8.94
SD	8.16	9.18	13.04
CV	0.61	0.41	—
Max	24	38	+18
Min	3	6	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	43.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.81	19.56	+2.25
SD	6.43	10.75	12.54
CV	0.29	0.55	—
Max	35	44	+22
Min	10	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	31.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	50.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	19.69	+0.81
SD	6.30	6.90	10.99
CV	0.31	0.35	—
Max	29	28	+25
Min	10	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
42+	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.19	24.94	+4.25
SD	14.05	12.07	17.96
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	49	41	+49
Min	0	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	50.00%
28–34	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	31.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.62	18.81	+4.81
SD	9.67	12.08	15.99
CV	0.41	0.64	—
Max	49	48	+28
Min	10	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.38	27.62	-3.25
SD	8.40	10.41	10.19
CV	0.34	0.38	—
Max	39	48	+18
Min	7	7	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.81	21.62	+2.19
SD	11.17	8.70	16.05
CV	0.47	0.40	—
Max	44	38	+37
Min	7	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	50.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.00	24.25	+2.75
SD	10.25	6.01	8.10
CV	0.38	0.25	—
Max	43	37	+16
Min	6	10	-9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	50.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	17.44	+2.56
SD	11.44	6.84	10.78
CV	0.57	0.39	—
Max	44	32	+30
Min	3	6	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.44	21.00	+1.44
SD	12.83	9.83	19.01
CV	0.57	0.47	—
Max	44	44	+31
Min	3	7	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.12	19.00	+9.12
SD	11.66	8.02	13.45
CV	0.41	0.42	—
Max	52	31	+27
Min	10	0	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.94	15.06	+10.88
SD	11.07	9.44	14.13
CV	0.43	0.63	—
Max	44	35	+31
Min	7	3	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	50.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.38	21.56	+2.81
SD	8.32	9.29	12.57
CV	0.34	0.43	—
Max	34	34	+27
Min	6	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	—	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	22.94	-2.12
SD	9.47	10.41	15.87
CV	0.46	0.45	—
Max	35	44	+28
Min	3	3	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	56.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	21.94	+1.00
SD	8.01	8.32	10.61
CV	0.35	0.38	—
Max	38	38	+24
Min	14	10	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	23.06	-0.88
SD	11.91	9.50	13.96
CV	0.54	0.41	—
Max	48	37	+25
Min	3	6	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.75	23.06	-3.31
SD	9.62	9.97	15.18
CV	0.49	0.43	—
Max	37	49	+17
Min	3	10	-39

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	18.75%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.62	12.25	+9.38
SD	8.75	8.52	12.01
CV	0.40	0.70	—
Max	38	26	+28
Min	7	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	20.25	+2.69
SD	6.92	12.01	11.84
CV	0.30	0.59	—
Max	32	52	+18
Min	12	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.19	22.81	-3.62
SD	7.99	10.34	13.92
CV	0.42	0.45	—
Max	31	43	+17
Min	7	3	-30

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.45	+0.3
Allowed	0.51	-0.3
Differential	0.84	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Tennessee Titans	11	8.42	+2.58
2	New York Giants	10	8.03	+1.97
3	Green Bay Packers	12	10.27	+1.73
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12	10.28	+1.72
5	Atlanta Falcons	9.5	7.83	+1.67

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Bears	4	7.80	-3.80
2	Cincinnati Bengals	2	5.34	-3.34
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	8.77	-2.77
4	Detroit Lions	3	5.60	-2.60
5	St. Louis Rams	7	9.30	-2.30

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Green Bay Packers	7	Sep 22 – Nov 10	1 in 31
2	Atlanta Falcons	4	Oct 13 – Nov 3	1 in 27
3	Tennessee Titans	5	Oct 13 – Nov 17	1 in 26
4	New York Giants	4	Dec 8 – Dec 28	1 in 25
5	Indianapolis Colts	4	Nov 10 – Dec 1	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Bears	8	Sep 22 – Nov 18	1 in 345
2	St. Louis Rams	5	Sep 8 – Oct 6	1 in 120
3	New Orleans Saints	3	Dec 15 – Dec 29	1 in 61
4	Carolina Panthers	8	Sep 29 – Nov 24	1 in 57
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	4	Oct 13 – Nov 3	1 in 50

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	49.57%	28.19%	15.49%	6.74%
Miami Dolphins	30.20%	33.62%	23.62%	12.55%
New York Jets	14.65%	24.62%	33.59%	27.14%
Buffalo Bills	5.58%	13.57%	27.30%	53.56%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.87%	28.61%	13.78%	2.73%
Baltimore Ravens	27.42%	36.35%	27.88%	8.36%
Cleveland Browns	16.16%	28.99%	39.61%	15.24%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.54%	6.05%	18.73%	73.68%

Team	1	2	3	4
Jacksonville Jaguars	36.34%	32.82%	28.71%	2.14%
Indianapolis Colts	33.97%	33.48%	30.27%	2.28%
Tennessee Titans	29.55%	32.68%	35.08%	2.69%
Houston Texans	0.14%	1.02%	5.94%	92.89%

Team	1	2	3	4
Oakland Raiders	49.59%	26.31%	15.60%	8.51%
Denver Broncos	21.79%	28.35%	26.49%	23.37%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.16%	23.71%	28.95%	32.18%
San Diego Chargers	13.46%	21.64%	28.96%	35.94%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	76.73%	16.76%	5.22%	1.29%
New York Giants	11.05%	35.63%	32.40%	20.92%
Washington Redskins	9.29%	32.52%	34.45%	23.73%
Dallas Cowboys	2.93%	15.09%	27.93%	54.06%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	75.57%	18.72%	4.64%	1.07%
Chicago Bears	17.54%	47.24%	24.11%	11.11%
Minnesota Vikings	4.16%	19.78%	39.00%	37.06%
Detroit Lions	2.73%	14.27%	32.25%	50.76%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	61.06%	24.77%	10.66%	3.51%
New Orleans Saints	22.59%	36.56%	27.12%	13.73%
Atlanta Falcons	12.51%	26.15%	35.87%	25.47%
Carolina Panthers	3.84%	12.51%	26.35%	57.30%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	45.01%	32.94%	15.45%	6.60%
St. Louis Rams	41.63%	34.77%	16.57%	7.03%
Seattle Seahawks	7.81%	18.12%	35.62%	38.45%
Arizona Cardinals	5.55%	14.17%	32.36%	47.93%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.70%	14.23%	12.16%	10.37%	8.68%	7.46%	6.68%	5.62%	4.55%	3.76%	3.10%	2.44%	1.53%	1.02%	0.59%	0.10%
New England Patriots	17.28%	13.41%	11.27%	9.76%	8.60%	7.40%	6.39%	5.51%	4.91%	4.21%	3.44%	2.90%	2.34%	1.64%	0.78%	0.17%
Oakland Raiders	14.91%	12.73%	11.43%	9.77%	8.44%	7.47%	6.74%	5.74%	5.32%	4.49%	3.86%	3.19%	2.68%	1.92%	1.09%	0.21%
Miami Dolphins	8.48%	8.36%	8.59%	8.28%	8.47%	8.24%	7.83%	7.28%	6.77%	6.40%	5.71%	5.15%	4.46%	3.51%	1.97%	0.49%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.87%	8.06%	8.55%	8.83%	8.20%	7.94%	8.09%	7.85%	7.01%	6.69%	6.50%	6.06%	4.43%	2.78%	1.48%	0.67%
Baltimore Ravens	7.05%	7.54%	7.71%	7.91%	8.06%	8.37%	8.24%	7.77%	7.06%	6.84%	6.60%	5.74%	4.50%	3.42%	2.39%	0.79%
Indianapolis Colts	6.06%	7.43%	8.06%	8.36%	8.13%	8.00%	7.93%	8.28%	7.57%	7.00%	6.92%	6.49%	4.60%	2.84%	1.65%	0.68%
Tennessee Titans	5.24%	6.45%	6.85%	7.42%	7.66%	7.53%	7.92%	8.26%	7.82%	7.55%	7.59%	7.50%	5.58%	3.66%	2.06%	0.90%
Denver Broncos	4.63%	5.64%	6.02%	6.48%	7.08%	7.35%	7.44%	7.30%	7.81%	7.58%	7.15%	6.96%	7.14%	6.22%	4.05%	1.13%
Cleveland Browns	3.15%	4.08%	4.70%	5.57%	6.22%	6.86%	7.29%	7.79%	8.23%	8.55%	8.69%	8.76%	7.41%	6.26%	4.83%	1.60%
New York Jets	2.89%	3.93%	4.54%	5.05%	5.91%	6.47%	6.67%	7.17%	7.91%	8.36%	8.43%	8.41%	8.57%	7.99%	5.87%	1.83%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.60%	3.48%	4.24%	4.93%	5.64%	6.33%	6.57%	7.14%	7.74%	8.31%	8.30%	8.23%	9.42%	8.76%	6.29%	2.02%
San Diego Chargers	2.24%	3.14%	3.76%	4.41%	5.02%	5.75%	6.31%	6.87%	7.69%	8.08%	8.63%	8.84%	9.87%	9.36%	7.54%	2.49%
Buffalo Bills	0.77%	1.27%	1.71%	2.23%	2.98%	3.50%	4.16%	5.05%	6.23%	7.48%	8.65%	10.15%	13.00%	14.96%	12.27%	5.59%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.12%	0.24%	0.38%	0.60%	0.88%	1.21%	1.59%	2.10%	3.00%	4.01%	5.25%	7.21%	10.63%	16.97%	26.31%	19.50%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.10%	0.14%	0.25%	0.38%	0.69%	1.18%	1.99%	3.84%	8.69%	20.83%	61.83%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Philadelphia Eagles	31.91%	20.55%	14.42%	10.15%	6.76%	4.89%	3.60%	2.50%	1.84%	1.23%	0.87%	0.54%	0.36%	0.21%	0.12%	0.04%
Green Bay Packers	16.97%	17.53%	16.16%	13.51%	9.47%	6.90%	5.42%	4.46%	3.01%	2.24%	1.50%	1.11%	0.77%	0.49%	0.31%	0.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	18.74%	17.00%	14.50%	11.81%	9.09%	7.29%	5.65%	4.35%	3.50%	2.68%	1.91%	1.38%	0.95%	0.65%	0.35%	0.15%
San Francisco 49ers	9.81%	10.98%	11.53%	10.97%	10.32%	9.06%	7.91%	6.71%	5.48%	4.50%	3.76%	3.04%	2.29%	1.79%	1.22%	0.62%
St. Louis Rams	8.29%	10.30%	11.30%	11.19%	10.50%	9.38%	8.22%	7.05%	5.91%	4.78%	3.83%	3.08%	2.44%	1.84%	1.28%	0.61%
New Orleans Saints	4.48%	6.67%	7.44%	8.56%	9.44%	9.57%	8.89%	8.24%	7.70%	7.03%	6.03%	5.10%	3.98%	3.24%	2.29%	1.35%
New York Giants	2.23%	3.46%	4.65%	5.97%	7.79%	8.51%	8.90%	8.74%	8.44%	8.15%	7.74%	6.89%	6.09%	5.28%	4.33%	2.83%
Chicago Bears	1.89%	3.23%	4.39%	5.77%	7.05%	8.23%	9.14%	9.91%	8.92%	8.08%	7.62%	7.13%	6.04%	4.95%	4.22%	3.43%
Atlanta Falcons	1.79%	3.10%	4.42%	5.49%	6.71%	7.56%	7.98%	8.23%	8.65%	8.80%	8.34%	7.50%	7.08%	6.14%	4.90%	3.31%
Washington Redskins	1.92%	2.80%	3.77%	5.27%	6.92%	7.90%	8.30%	8.51%	8.71%	8.51%	8.30%	7.72%	6.70%	6.07%	5.17%	3.42%
Seattle Seahawks	0.62%	1.37%	2.13%	3.12%	4.00%	4.69%	5.64%	6.33%	7.59%	8.34%	9.03%	9.20%	9.57%	9.75%	9.93%	8.71%
Arizona Cardinals	0.35%	0.82%	1.45%	2.08%	2.94%	3.69%	4.67%	5.43%	6.62%	7.87%	8.63%	9.58%	10.77%	11.59%	12.15%	11.35%
Carolina Panthers	0.37%	0.80%	1.25%	1.93%	2.87%	3.58%	4.39%	5.19%	6.62%	7.45%	8.33%	9.37%	11.30%	12.38%	12.34%	11.82%
Dallas Cowboys	0.38%	0.71%	1.20%	1.87%	2.79%	3.80%	4.50%	5.50%	6.50%	7.55%	8.44%	9.37%	10.65%	11.88%	12.78%	12.08%
Minnesota Vikings	0.17%	0.45%	0.92%	1.43%	2.11%	2.89%	4.05%	5.18%	6.05%	7.06%	8.51%	10.19%	10.77%	11.59%	12.78%	15.86%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.24%	0.48%	0.87%	1.24%	2.06%	2.73%	3.68%	4.46%	5.73%	7.14%	8.80%	10.23%	12.15%	15.83%	24.27%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Philadelphia Eagles	21.27%	13.69%	11.05%	8.61%	7.27%	6.08%	5.01%	4.41%	3.52%	3.04%	2.47%	2.30%	1.88%	1.68%	1.29%	1.20%	0.98%	0.86%	0.66%	0.61%	0.48%	0.42%	0.30%	0.25%	0.20%	0.16%	0.12%	0.08%	0.08%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	10.75%	9.14%	9.04%	8.01%	7.69%	7.03%	6.07%	5.94%	4.48%	4.80%	3.55%	3.43%	2.57%	2.63%	2.31%	2.34%	1.59%	1.57%	1.18%	1.18%	0.92%	0.80%	0.63%	0.59%	0.46%	0.37%	0.31%	0.22%	0.18%	0.11%	0.07%	0.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	11.94%	9.17%	9.23%	7.49%	7.34%	6.21%	5.90%	5.18%	4.64%	4.16%	3.64%	3.36%	2.89%	2.77%	2.21%	2.19%	1.77%	1.72%	1.38%	1.30%	1.03%	0.94%	0.77%	0.66%	0.53%	0.48%	0.37%	0.28%	0.20%	0.14%	0.08%	0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.46%	8.51%	6.94%	7.60%	6.13%	6.39%	5.57%	5.27%	4.64%	4.43%	4.16%	3.74%	3.62%	3.19%	2.99%	2.70%	2.39%	2.24%	1.98%	1.74%	1.56%	1.41%	1.16%	1.10%	0.80%	0.72%	0.49%	0.41%	0.33%	0.21%	0.08%	0.03%
New England Patriots	7.48%	8.09%	6.91%	6.85%	5.97%	5.81%	5.41%	4.93%	4.58%	4.27%	4.17%	3.64%	3.61%	3.07%	2.97%	2.63%	2.60%	2.33%	2.33%	1.86%	1.70%	1.57%	1.53%	1.31%	1.14%	0.95%	0.72%	0.66%	0.41%	0.29%	0.15%	0.06%
Oakland Raiders	6.27%	7.12%	6.30%	6.48%	5.90%	5.89%	5.25%	4.95%	4.71%	4.23%	4.32%	3.66%	3.72%	3.21%	3.19%	2.70%	2.98%	2.48%	2.46%	1.98%	2.04%	1.74%	1.68%	1.36%	1.28%	1.17%	0.92%	0.81%	0.49%	0.46%	0.19%	0.08%
San Francisco 49ers	5.77%	5.23%	5.91%	5.22%	5.82%	5.27%	5.47%	5.03%	5.06%	4.73%	4.32%	4.32%	3.74%	3.74%	3.54%	3.26%	2.80%	2.64%	2.45%	2.40%	2.07%	1.88%	1.69%	1.53%	1.29%	1.23%	1.00%	0.92%	0.71%	0.51%	0.32%	0.11%
St. Louis Rams	4.83%	4.74%	5.39%	5.18%	5.67%	5.25%	5.34%	5.24%	5.05%	4.86%	4.56%	4.40%	3.79%	3.96%	3.60%	3.59%	3.09%	2.77%	2.51%	2.45%	2.17%	2.00%	1.70%	1.57%	1.36%	1.25%	1.10%	0.85%	0.72%	0.56%	0.33%	0.12%
Miami Dolphins	3.11%	4.23%	4.00%	4.52%	4.31%	4.61%	4.39%	4.31%	4.41%	4.36%	4.45%	4.13%	4.15%	3.85%	3.96%	3.55%	3.62%	3.34%	3.42%	2.87%	2.99%	2.61%	2.64%	2.31%	2.16%	1.99%	1.62%	1.52%	1.05%	0.86%	0.46%	0.20%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.71%	3.38%	3.76%	4.22%	4.15%	4.56%	4.38%	4.57%	4.20%	4.42%	4.16%	4.14%	4.11%	4.18%	3.92%	4.00%	3.57%	3.65%	3.30%	3.32%	3.10%	3.16%	2.75%	2.79%	2.10%	2.15%	1.46%	1.41%	0.89%	0.74%	0.45%	0.29%
Baltimore Ravens	2.71%	3.52%	3.72%	3.84%	4.03%	4.01%	4.14%	4.14%	4.21%	4.10%	4.48%	4.19%	4.37%	4.03%	3.98%	3.81%	3.67%	3.67%	3.47%	3.25%	3.21%	3.11%	2.69%	2.77%	2.14%	2.19%	1.78%	1.62%	1.20%	1.04%	0.58%	0.32%
Indianapolis Colts	2.05%	3.17%	3.22%	4.03%	3.80%	4.37%	4.07%	4.54%	4.13%	4.38%	4.21%	4.27%	4.27%	4.05%	4.04%	4.17%	3.95%	3.80%	3.56%	3.49%	3.23%	3.43%	2.95%	2.96%	2.19%	2.16%	1.54%	1.45%	0.95%	0.81%	0.49%	0.27%
New Orleans Saints	2.34%	2.88%	3.45%	3.44%	3.92%	3.76%	4.20%	4.14%	4.60%	4.39%	4.53%	4.48%	4.27%	4.27%	3.87%	4.19%	3.71%	3.80%	3.45%	3.57%	3.21%	3.07%	2.76%	2.63%	2.27%	1.98%	1.89%	1.53%	1.37%	0.99%	0.75%	0.30%
Tennessee Titans	1.87%	2.62%	2.96%	3.30%	3.33%	3.67%	3.81%	3.78%	3.97%	4.05%	3.95%	3.93%	4.22%	4.08%	4.11%	4.17%	3.90%	4.09%	3.70%	3.86%	3.61%	3.80%	3.16%	3.50%	2.59%	2.84%	1.84%	1.90%	1.24%	1.07%	0.67%	0.40%
Denver Broncos	1.48%	2.36%	2.58%	2.93%	3.05%	3.28%	3.40%	3.49%	3.67%	3.61%	3.92%	3.74%	4.04%	3.75%	3.99%	3.42%	4.38%	3.69%	4.05%	3.49%	3.80%	3.33%	3.81%	3.22%	3.44%	3.14%	2.90%	2.73%	1.88%	1.90%	0.98%	0.53%
New York Giants	1.09%	1.36%	1.83%	2.01%	2.44%	2.49%	3.01%	3.10%	3.53%	3.77%	3.74%	4.26%	4.08%	4.25%	4.16%	4.33%	4.09%	4.22%	3.97%	4.24%	3.90%	3.98%	3.60%	3.55%	3.30%	3.24%	3.07%	2.66%	2.50%	1.97%	1.54%	0.71%
Cleveland Browns	0.91%	1.71%	1.73%	2.21%	2.33%	2.61%	2.73%	3.09%	3.22%	3.28%	3.54%	3.56%	3.93%	3.81%	3.99%	3.95%	4.29%	4.18%	4.28%	4.09%	4.27%	4.22%	4.06%	4.16%	3.53%	3.66%	3.14%	3.01%	2.44%	2.12%	1.19%	0.75%
Chicago Bears	0.86%	1.15%	1.67%	1.71%	2.17%	2.23%	2.71%	2.90%	3.32%	3.55%	3.61%	4.06%	3.73%	4.44%	4.42%	5.27%	3.82%	4.37%	3.91%	4.53%	4.02%	4.08%	3.55%	3.85%	3.39%	3.42%	2.96%	2.74%	2.60%	2.13%	1.98%	0.82%
Atlanta Falcons	0.84%	1.17%	1.57%	1.80%	2.20%	2.33%	2.59%	2.94%	3.17%	3.33%	3.38%	3.76%	3.80%	3.97%	3.82%	4.13%	4.09%	4.38%	4.14%	4.37%	4.19%	4.33%	4.00%	3.85%	3.80%	3.58%	3.51%	3.02%	2.94%	2.28%	1.90%	0.84%
New York Jets	0.91%	1.47%	1.71%	2.06%	2.24%	2.46%	2.68%	2.70%	3.06%	3.06%	3.40%	3.31%	3.72%	3.57%	3.84%	3.41%	4.24%	3.91%	4.47%	3.86%	4.23%	4.02%	4.27%	4.08%	4.09%	3.88%	3.64%	3.61%	2.86%	2.76%	1.56%	0.91%
Washington Redskins	0.91%	1.14%	1.51%	1.55%	2.04%	2.02%	2.68%	2.70%	3.25%	3.22%	3.55%	3.91%	3.77%	4.05%	4.04%	4.30%	4.17%	4.41%	4.03%	4.35%	4.07%	4.29%	4.02%	3.98%	3.63%	3.65%	3.32%	3.25%	2.99%	2.40%	1.97%	0.84%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.79%	1.28%	1.52%	1.90%	2.06%	2.31%	2.48%	2.57%	3.00%	2.96%	3.38%	3.24%	3.64%	3.33%	3.86%	3.45%	4.31%	3.75%	4.50%	3.84%	4.37%	3.91%	4.41%	4.00%	4.41%	4.14%	3.86%	4.11%	3.07%	2.88%	1.65%	1.03%
San Diego Chargers	0.68%	1.15%	1.31%	1.68%	1.77%	2.10%	2.20%	2.44%	2.54%	2.74%	2.94%	3.06%	3.43%	3.34%	3.61%	3.43%	4.03%	4.01%	4.28%	4.11%	4.21%	4.22%	4.55%	4.41%	4.54%	4.54%	4.21%	4.26%	3.51%	3.52%	1.94%	1.23%
Seattle Seahawks	0.24%	0.42%	0.70%	0.75%	1.03%	1.06%	1.43%	1.64%	1.90%	1.97%	2.15%	2.34%	2.63%	2.84%	3.17%	3.07%	3.47%	3.72%	3.89%	4.23%	4.50%	4.61%	4.65%	4.72%	5.08%	5.00%	5.38%	5.17%	5.66%	5.09%	4.78%	2.70%
Buffalo Bills	0.18%	0.41%	0.51%	0.66%	0.74%	1.01%	1.04%	1.28%	1.41%	1.61%	1.83%	1.98%	2.13%	2.45%	2.59%	2.71%	3.15%	3.50%	3.90%	3.79%	4.28%	4.51%	5.19%	5.21%	5.92%	6.04%	6.38%	6.67%	5.86%	5.91%	4.02%	3.11%
Arizona Cardinals	0.13%	0.23%	0.37%	0.48%	0.66%	0.80%	0.94%	1.09%	1.30%	1.44%	1.66%	1.89%	2.07%	2.43%	2.63%	2.71%	3.04%	3.27%	3.59%	4.06%	4.21%	4.54%	4.67%	5.01%	5.61%	5.63%	6.35%	6.17%	6.71%	6.38%	6.30%	3.64%
Carolina Panthers	0.15%	0.23%	0.36%	0.48%	0.58%	0.69%	0.90%	1.02%	1.29%	1.52%	1.54%	1.87%	2.04%	2.37%	2.41%	2.67%	3.00%	3.29%	3.53%	3.87%	3.99%	4.36%	4.86%	4.87%	5.76%	5.68%	6.71%	6.32%	6.99%	6.23%	6.57%	3.84%
Dallas Cowboys	0.14%	0.22%	0.36%	0.42%	0.59%	0.66%	0.90%	1.06%	1.21%	1.45%	1.64%	1.95%	2.07%	2.32%	2.43%	2.86%	3.00%	3.36%	3.44%	3.93%	4.11%	4.38%	4.67%	4.86%	5.40%	5.74%	6.31%	6.33%	7.03%	6.44%	6.53%	4.17%
Minnesota Vikings	0.06%	0.10%	0.21%	0.29%	0.39%	0.51%	0.66%	0.76%	0.91%	1.08%	1.29%	1.43%	1.71%	2.02%	2.26%	2.61%	2.60%	2.96%	3.21%	3.89%	4.06%	4.25%	4.73%	5.10%	5.76%	5.77%	6.33%	6.39%	7.50%	7.12%	8.82%	5.22%
Detroit Lions	0.03%	0.07%	0.11%	0.14%	0.21%	0.28%	0.36%	0.44%	0.56%	0.67%	0.84%	0.97%	1.10%	1.38%	1.62%	1.92%	1.91%	2.23%	2.54%	2.99%	3.31%	3.58%	4.07%	4.70%	5.20%	5.50%	6.39%	7.02%	8.68%	9.21%	12.90%	9.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.05%	0.09%	0.12%	0.18%	0.21%	0.27%	0.33%	0.42%	0.49%	0.60%	0.63%	0.83%	0.86%	1.09%	1.10%	1.64%	1.58%	2.09%	2.07%	2.62%	2.83%	3.55%	3.97%	4.95%	5.66%	6.96%	8.50%	9.67%	12.76%	11.30%	12.58%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.08%	0.11%	0.14%	0.15%	0.22%	0.31%	0.39%	0.56%	0.61%	0.93%	1.12%	1.70%	2.09%	3.42%	4.39%	7.30%	11.05%	19.42%	45.78%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.70%	14.41%	12.24%	10.53%	8.72%	7.27%	29.14%
New England Patriots	17.28%	13.26%	10.79%	8.24%	10.10%	7.75%	32.57%
Oakland Raiders	14.91%	12.97%	11.99%	9.72%	8.20%	7.17%	35.05%
Miami Dolphins	8.48%	7.95%	7.60%	6.18%	10.60%	8.97%	50.22%
Baltimore Ravens	7.05%	7.22%	6.73%	6.43%	9.64%	9.14%	53.80%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.87%	8.29%	9.48%	11.70%	6.47%	7.05%	50.15%
Indianapolis Colts	6.06%	7.67%	9.04%	11.20%	6.24%	7.04%	52.75%
Tennessee Titans	5.24%	6.66%	7.63%	10.02%	5.82%	6.93%	57.70%
Denver Broncos	4.63%	5.61%	5.89%	5.66%	7.60%	7.53%	63.08%
Cleveland Browns	3.15%	4.00%	4.21%	4.79%	6.47%	7.30%	70.07%
New York Jets	2.89%	3.77%	4.10%	3.88%	6.44%	6.94%	71.97%
Kansas City Chiefs	2.60%	3.50%	4.39%	4.66%	5.37%	6.35%	73.12%
San Diego Chargers	2.24%	3.16%	3.87%	4.19%	4.79%	5.70%	76.06%
Buffalo Bills	0.77%	1.26%	1.61%	1.94%	2.85%	3.61%	87.96%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.12%	0.26%	0.42%	0.74%	0.68%	1.17%	96.61%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.12%	0.02%	0.07%	99.76%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles	31.91%	20.70%	14.57%	9.55%	7.12%	4.87%	11.28%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	18.74%	17.23%	14.34%	10.75%	9.62%	7.49%	21.82%
Green Bay Packers	16.97%	18.20%	18.94%	21.47%	3.82%	4.09%	16.52%
San Francisco 49ers	9.81%	11.14%	12.22%	11.83%	9.49%	8.60%	36.90%
St. Louis Rams	8.29%	10.31%	11.77%	11.26%	10.51%	9.14%	38.73%
New Orleans Saints	4.48%	6.36%	6.21%	5.55%	11.80%	10.79%	54.82%
New York Giants	2.23%	2.97%	3.09%	2.76%	10.53%	9.94%	68.48%
Washington Redskins	1.92%	2.40%	2.56%	2.41%	9.22%	9.00%	72.50%
Chicago Bears	1.89%	3.27%	4.71%	7.67%	6.33%	7.65%	68.49%
Atlanta Falcons	1.79%	3.00%	3.82%	3.91%	7.43%	8.14%	71.92%
Seattle Seahawks	0.62%	1.41%	2.38%	3.41%	3.50%	4.58%	84.11%
Dallas Cowboys	0.38%	0.64%	0.91%	1.00%	3.18%	4.05%	89.84%
Carolina Panthers	0.37%	0.80%	1.16%	1.50%	2.73%	3.75%	89.67%
Arizona Cardinals	0.35%	0.85%	1.64%	2.71%	2.32%	3.49%	88.65%
Minnesota Vikings	0.17%	0.48%	1.06%	2.45%	1.56%	2.67%	91.61%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.26%	0.62%	1.76%	0.84%	1.75%	94.67%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+16.02%

Fortress

57.81%0.39%41.80%

Elo Value

Home Edge

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

056.1380

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.25 points

Lean Home

-8+2.24+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

10.0

Wide Open

124813

Champion Preseason Odds

12%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 3rd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

11.8%

Tough Road

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.51 · As Expected: 1.51 to 2.08 · Elevated: 2.08 to 2.84 · High Variance: 2.84 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.29 · Close: 5.29 to 7.15 · Off Target: 7.15 to 9.33 · Well Off Target: 9.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.22 · As Expected: 3.22 to 5.36 · More Than Expected: 5.36 to 8.58 · Far More Than Expected: 8.58 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.62 wins

As Expected

01.895

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.56

Pinpoint

06.2215

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

94.98%

Tennessee Titans

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

4.11%

Chicago Bears

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 32

Minimal Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

5 of 12

As Expected

04.312

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.81

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

66%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

No Contest

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

25%

Mostly Decisive

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

26%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Hard to Predict

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.74

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

39%

As Expected

0%36%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%30%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.69

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.93

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.059

Within Noise

00.0900.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	78.71%	78.71%	53.10%	33.90%	21.19%
Oakland Raiders	52.99%	52.99%	34.58%	22.25%	12.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	63.84%	63.84%	37.82%	20.46%	11.89%
Green Bay Packers	67.22%	67.22%	36.14%	18.04%	9.82%
Pittsburgh Steelers	55.06%	55.06%	31.34%	17.15%	7.98%
New England Patriots	50.26%	50.26%	26.40%	13.24%	5.73%
San Francisco 49ers	44.27%	44.27%	20.63%	8.89%	4.47%
Tennessee Titans	30.40%	29.39%	15.51%	7.92%	3.70%
Miami Dolphins	33.35%	32.98%	16.15%	7.65%	3.19%
St. Louis Rams	42.67%	39.24%	15.91%	5.99%	2.62%
Indianapolis Colts	33.52%	29.99%	13.24%	5.71%	2.21%
New York Jets	21.36%	18.03%	9.34%	4.70%	2.15%
Denver Broncos	26.68%	23.33%	11.13%	5.18%	2.15%
New Orleans Saints	34.35%	25.06%	9.35%	3.40%	1.48%
New York Giants	26.33%	17.09%	7.06%	3.00%	1.39%
Baltimore Ravens	31.94%	27.03%	10.58%	4.06%	1.36%
Kansas City Chiefs	20.77%	15.93%	7.27%	3.29%	1.29%
Jacksonville Jaguars	34.69%	29.37%	10.94%	3.84%	1.24%
Atlanta Falcons	23.29%	14.83%	5.62%	2.09%	0.95%
Cleveland Browns	22.77%	16.73%	6.79%	2.69%	0.94%
Washington Redskins	23.18%	12.29%	4.03%	1.34%	0.48%
San Diego Chargers	18.55%	11.96%	4.33%	1.50%	0.44%
Seattle Seahawks	13.87%	7.79%	2.74%	0.93%	0.41%
Chicago Bears	26.36%	13.79%	3.82%	1.01%	0.33%
Buffalo Bills	10.02%	5.90%	2.19%	0.77%	0.27%
Carolina Panthers	9.15%	4.10%	1.13%	0.33%	0.11%
Minnesota Vikings	7.75%	3.27%	0.85%	0.21%	0.07%
Arizona Cardinals	10.16%	3.88%	0.83%	0.18%	0.05%
Dallas Cowboys	9.14%	3.14%	0.69%	0.15%	0.04%
Detroit Lions	4.97%	1.49%	0.27%	0.06%	0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.01%	0.99%	0.21%	0.04%	<0.01%
Houston Texans	0.23%	0.06%	0.01%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		51.2%0.85%	71.4%0.15%	50.7%1.38%	40.1%2.15%	88.2%0.02%	42.3%3.26%	49.6%3.40%	42.1%1.79%	39.5%2.74%	38.0%3.15%	35.4%1.74%	26.1%3.26%	34.5%3.60%	53.6%1.55%	34.6%2.90%
Buffalo Bills	48.8%0.85%		80.4%0.06%	44.4%0.55%	38.3%0.76%	63.6%0.01%	41.1%0.92%	48.6%0.98%	40.4%0.50%	39.5%0.62%	35.9%0.89%	34.5%0.32%	23.3%1.15%	32.5%1.06%	48.8%0.52%	33.4%0.83%
Cincinnati Bengals	28.6%0.15%	19.6%0.06%		33.7%0.10%	21.6%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	19.9%0.31%	21.5%0.29%	20.4%0.17%	23.2%0.28%	19.0%0.29%	17.8%0.16%	11.6%0.30%	15.0%0.29%	36.8%0.12%	16.4%0.27%
Cleveland Browns	49.3%1.38%	55.6%0.55%	66.3%0.10%		44.3%1.63%	71.4%0.01%	43.2%2.30%	51.9%2.46%	44.8%1.22%	41.4%2.00%	39.8%2.22%	39.8%1.16%	26.3%2.25%	34.4%2.43%	58.3%1.05%	37.8%2.01%
Denver Broncos	59.9%2.15%	61.7%0.76%	78.4%0.21%	55.7%1.63%		95.0%0.02%	50.7%2.38%	58.9%2.54%	50.5%1.04%	51.1%2.59%	45.2%2.94%	46.2%1.56%	33.0%2.92%	40.5%2.79%	66.9%0.95%	41.4%2.22%
Houston Texans	11.8%0.02%	36.4%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.01%	5.0%0.02%		22.2%<0.01%	31.2%0.02%	27.3%0.01%	11.1%0.03%	16.0%0.03%	20.0%0.01%	21.4%0.01%	23.1%0.03%	30.8%0.01%	20.0%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	57.7%3.26%	58.9%0.92%	80.1%0.31%	56.8%2.30%	49.3%2.38%	77.8%<0.01%		57.5%2.98%	50.0%1.91%	49.8%3.09%	44.1%3.35%	46.0%2.09%	31.7%3.20%	39.4%3.76%	62.4%1.63%	40.8%2.34%
Jacksonville Jaguars	50.4%3.40%	51.4%0.98%	78.5%0.29%	48.1%2.46%	41.1%2.54%	68.8%0.02%	42.5%2.98%		44.5%1.89%	41.8%3.16%	38.1%3.41%	38.3%1.96%	25.6%3.38%	33.2%3.90%	57.4%1.78%	34.1%2.54%
Kansas City Chiefs	57.9%1.79%	59.6%0.50%	79.6%0.17%	55.2%1.22%	49.5%1.04%	72.7%0.01%	50.0%1.91%	55.5%1.89%		47.4%1.98%	44.6%2.30%	47.1%1.25%	30.3%2.12%	37.9%2.20%	62.6%0.67%	40.7%1.73%
Miami Dolphins	60.5%2.74%	60.5%0.62%	76.8%0.28%	58.6%2.00%	48.9%2.59%	88.9%0.03%	50.2%3.09%	58.2%3.16%	52.6%1.98%		48.4%3.58%	46.0%1.37%	34.3%3.74%	39.6%3.59%	64.7%1.82%	42.2%2.75%
New England Patriots	62.0%3.15%	64.1%0.89%	81.0%0.29%	60.2%2.22%	54.8%2.94%	84.0%0.03%	55.9%3.35%	61.9%3.41%	55.4%2.30%	51.6%3.58%		49.1%2.04%	36.8%3.88%	44.7%3.69%	67.2%2.12%	45.7%3.00%
New York Jets	64.6%1.74%	65.5%0.32%	82.2%0.16%	60.2%1.16%	53.8%1.56%	80.0%0.01%	54.0%2.09%	61.7%1.96%	52.9%1.25%	54.0%1.37%	50.9%2.04%		35.6%2.46%	47.4%2.31%	67.0%1.10%	47.2%1.81%
Oakland Raiders	73.9%3.26%	76.7%1.15%	88.4%0.30%	73.7%2.25%	67.0%2.92%	78.6%0.01%	68.3%3.20%	74.4%3.38%	69.7%2.12%	65.7%3.74%	63.2%3.88%	64.4%2.46%		57.7%3.64%	76.4%1.79%	60.3%2.97%
Pittsburgh Steelers	65.5%3.60%	67.5%1.06%	85.0%0.29%	65.6%2.43%	59.5%2.79%	76.9%0.03%	60.6%3.76%	66.8%3.90%	62.1%2.20%	60.4%3.59%	55.3%3.69%	52.6%2.31%	42.3%3.64%		71.7%1.95%	49.7%3.52%
San Diego Chargers	46.4%1.55%	51.2%0.52%	63.2%0.12%	41.7%1.05%	33.1%0.95%	69.2%0.01%	37.6%1.63%	42.6%1.78%	37.4%0.67%	35.3%1.82%	32.8%2.12%	33.0%1.10%	23.6%1.79%	28.3%1.95%		30.3%1.49%
Tennessee Titans	65.4%2.90%	66.6%0.83%	83.6%0.27%	62.2%2.01%	58.6%2.22%	80.0%0.01%	59.2%2.34%	65.9%2.54%	59.3%1.73%	57.8%2.75%	54.3%3.00%	52.8%1.81%	39.7%2.97%	50.3%3.52%	69.7%1.49%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		32.1%0.58%	43.9%0.22%	39.8%0.62%	59.1%0.22%	62.3%0.11%	15.3%1.30%	43.3%0.19%	31.5%0.93%	31.4%0.68%	12.9%1.22%	21.4%1.02%	34.9%0.19%	26.4%1.00%	17.5%1.21%	37.3%0.66%
Atlanta Falcons	67.9%0.58%		66.6%0.31%	62.7%1.67%	71.3%0.41%	71.8%0.32%	32.5%3.84%	56.9%0.44%	51.2%1.41%	46.7%1.27%	25.1%2.52%	40.9%2.74%	57.0%0.77%	45.8%2.77%	30.6%3.14%	56.9%1.10%
Carolina Panthers	56.1%0.22%	33.4%0.31%		48.3%0.62%	55.5%0.14%	66.9%0.12%	22.8%1.59%	46.6%0.17%	38.2%0.51%	37.5%0.46%	17.7%0.94%	30.0%1.11%	35.6%0.31%	34.6%1.09%	20.9%1.17%	50.3%0.39%
Chicago Bears	60.2%0.62%	37.3%1.67%	51.7%0.62%		58.1%0.51%	64.2%0.12%	25.0%4.04%	49.8%0.25%	39.6%2.51%	37.2%1.66%	19.0%2.75%	30.3%2.97%	40.7%0.88%	34.7%2.94%	18.8%3.30%	51.1%1.51%
Dallas Cowboys	40.9%0.22%	28.7%0.41%	44.5%0.14%	41.9%0.51%		51.5%0.10%	15.6%1.50%	42.4%0.14%	29.4%0.62%	26.0%0.22%	13.6%1.15%	19.7%1.20%	33.1%0.33%	25.0%1.19%	15.4%1.20%	35.2%0.19%
Detroit Lions	37.7%0.11%	28.2%0.32%	33.1%0.12%	35.8%0.12%	48.5%0.10%		16.1%0.73%	39.5%0.04%	28.0%0.45%	25.1%0.29%	10.8%0.54%	21.6%0.55%	30.6%0.17%	24.2%0.53%	14.6%0.62%	34.9%0.28%
Green Bay Packers	84.7%1.30%	67.5%3.84%	77.2%1.59%	75.0%4.04%	84.4%1.50%	83.9%0.73%		75.8%1.14%	71.0%5.79%	64.4%4.33%	42.3%3.31%	60.9%4.87%	68.6%1.84%	65.9%5.12%	50.9%4.95%	74.0%3.99%
Minnesota Vikings	56.7%0.19%	43.1%0.44%	53.4%0.17%	50.2%0.25%	57.6%0.14%	60.5%0.04%	24.2%1.14%		39.6%0.75%	36.3%0.41%	16.4%0.77%	28.8%0.89%	45.6%0.24%	37.8%0.90%	22.4%0.96%	51.6%0.45%
New Orleans Saints	68.5%0.93%	48.8%1.41%	61.8%0.51%	60.4%2.51%	70.6%0.62%	72.0%0.45%	29.0%5.79%	60.4%0.75%		47.2%2.05%	24.5%3.56%	38.4%4.07%	49.2%1.26%	43.9%4.01%	30.9%4.85%	57.0%1.57%
New York Giants	68.6%0.68%	53.3%1.27%	62.5%0.46%	62.8%1.66%	74.0%0.22%	74.9%0.29%	35.6%4.33%	63.7%0.41%	52.8%2.05%		31.5%3.28%	41.6%3.44%	56.5%0.96%	48.2%3.45%	33.9%3.21%	64.4%0.61%
Philadelphia Eagles	87.1%1.22%	74.9%2.52%	82.3%0.94%	81.0%2.75%	86.4%1.15%	89.2%0.54%	57.7%3.31%	83.6%0.77%	75.5%3.56%	68.5%3.28%		65.9%4.05%	77.2%1.61%	73.4%4.25%	57.5%3.38%	79.4%2.77%
San Francisco 49ers	78.6%1.02%	59.1%2.74%	70.0%1.11%	69.7%2.97%	80.3%1.20%	78.4%0.55%	39.1%4.87%	71.2%0.89%	61.6%4.07%	58.4%3.44%	34.1%4.05%		62.0%1.44%	56.2%6.02%	39.8%4.80%	68.2%2.98%
Seattle Seahawks	65.1%0.19%	43.0%0.77%	64.4%0.31%	59.3%0.88%	66.9%0.33%	69.4%0.17%	31.4%1.84%	54.4%0.24%	50.8%1.26%	43.5%0.96%	22.8%1.61%	38.0%1.44%		43.0%1.40%	29.2%1.61%	58.6%0.86%
St. Louis Rams	73.6%1.00%	54.2%2.77%	65.4%1.09%	65.3%2.94%	75.0%1.19%	75.8%0.53%	34.1%5.12%	62.2%0.90%	56.1%4.01%	51.8%3.45%	26.6%4.25%	43.8%6.02%	57.0%1.40%		33.5%4.98%	62.9%3.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	82.5%1.21%	69.4%3.14%	79.1%1.17%	81.2%3.30%	84.6%1.20%	85.4%0.62%	49.1%4.95%	77.6%0.96%	69.1%4.85%	66.1%3.21%	42.5%3.38%	60.2%4.80%	70.8%1.61%	66.5%4.98%		75.0%2.82%
Washington Redskins	62.7%0.66%	43.1%1.10%	49.7%0.39%	48.9%1.51%	64.8%0.19%	65.1%0.28%	26.0%3.99%	48.4%0.45%	43.0%1.57%	35.6%0.61%	20.6%2.77%	31.8%2.98%	41.4%0.86%	37.1%3.00%	25.0%2.82%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		52.3%0.46%	76.3%0.04%	50.6%0.79%	42.2%1.62%	75.0%<0.01%	43.7%2.25%	51.4%2.19%	44.1%1.23%	40.6%2.32%	37.4%3.94%	37.1%1.34%	27.3%4.17%	34.1%3.55%	54.8%0.88%	36.9%2.24%
Buffalo Bills	47.7%0.46%		85.7%<0.01%	41.5%0.27%	40.3%0.36%		42.5%0.49%	50.2%0.46%	36.4%0.26%	35.9%0.32%	37.9%0.57%	37.2%0.12%	23.7%0.93%	32.7%1.07%	56.2%0.18%	31.1%0.40%
Cincinnati Bengals	23.7%0.04%	14.3%<0.01%		11.1%<0.01%	17.5%0.06%		23.5%0.08%	37.8%0.09%	30.2%0.04%	20.0%0.10%	21.2%0.17%	16.7%0.05%	13.5%0.15%	16.0%0.08%	15.0%0.04%	21.6%0.07%
Cleveland Browns	49.4%0.79%	58.5%0.27%	88.9%<0.01%		44.2%1.00%	100.0%<0.01%	46.7%1.33%	52.6%1.41%	43.3%0.64%	42.8%1.49%	39.5%2.47%	38.0%0.66%	29.3%2.70%	33.6%2.03%	52.7%0.55%	38.1%1.36%
Denver Broncos	57.8%1.62%	59.7%0.36%	82.5%0.06%	55.8%1.00%		100.0%<0.01%	52.3%1.88%	62.4%1.93%	52.1%0.56%	49.0%2.18%	44.7%3.53%	47.4%1.11%	34.3%2.89%	41.1%3.86%	60.3%0.43%	45.9%1.91%
Houston Texans	25.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%	7.7%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	56.3%2.25%	57.5%0.49%	76.5%0.08%	53.3%1.33%	47.7%1.88%			57.2%1.46%	47.9%1.35%	44.8%2.69%	42.9%4.48%	42.0%1.48%	32.6%4.83%	38.9%5.22%	58.2%1.04%	41.8%1.42%
Jacksonville Jaguars	48.6%2.19%	49.8%0.46%	62.2%0.09%	47.4%1.41%	37.6%1.93%		42.8%1.46%		42.0%1.26%	39.2%2.77%	35.7%4.37%	36.2%1.41%	25.6%4.81%	33.4%4.86%	54.4%1.03%	35.6%1.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	55.9%1.23%	63.6%0.26%	69.8%0.04%	56.7%0.64%	47.9%0.56%	66.7%<0.01%	52.1%1.35%	58.0%1.26%		45.6%1.41%	43.2%2.35%	45.2%0.73%	31.6%1.80%	39.9%2.69%	59.1%0.25%	40.4%1.35%
Miami Dolphins	59.4%2.32%	64.1%0.32%	80.0%0.10%	57.2%1.49%	51.0%2.18%	100.0%<0.01%	55.2%2.69%	60.8%2.77%	54.4%1.41%		47.4%4.35%	47.9%1.09%	33.8%5.21%	42.9%5.24%	64.9%1.08%	47.1%2.73%
New England Patriots	62.6%3.94%	62.1%0.57%	78.8%0.17%	60.5%2.47%	55.3%3.53%	80.0%0.01%	57.1%4.48%	64.3%4.37%	56.8%2.35%	52.6%4.35%		50.0%2.20%	39.2%8.03%	45.9%7.73%	65.8%1.75%	47.5%4.30%
New York Jets	62.9%1.34%	62.8%0.12%	83.3%0.05%	62.0%0.66%	52.6%1.11%	60.0%<0.01%	58.0%1.48%	63.8%1.41%	54.8%0.73%	52.1%1.09%	50.0%2.20%		39.9%2.86%	44.7%2.91%	69.4%0.56%	48.1%1.50%
Oakland Raiders	72.7%4.17%	76.3%0.93%	86.5%0.15%	70.7%2.70%	65.7%2.89%	58.3%0.01%	67.4%4.83%	74.4%4.81%	68.4%1.80%	66.2%5.21%	60.8%8.03%	60.1%2.86%		57.6%8.70%	75.4%1.25%	60.7%4.63%
Pittsburgh Steelers	65.9%3.55%	67.3%1.07%	84.0%0.08%	66.4%2.03%	58.9%3.86%	92.3%0.01%	61.1%5.22%	66.6%4.86%	60.1%2.69%	57.1%5.24%	54.1%7.73%	55.3%2.91%	42.4%8.70%		69.8%1.94%	52.4%5.16%
San Diego Chargers	45.2%0.88%	43.8%0.18%	85.0%0.04%	47.3%0.55%	39.7%0.43%		41.8%1.04%	45.6%1.03%	40.9%0.25%	35.1%1.08%	34.2%1.75%	30.6%0.56%	24.6%1.25%	30.2%1.94%		34.5%0.99%
Tennessee Titans	63.1%2.24%	68.9%0.40%	78.4%0.07%	61.9%1.36%	54.1%1.91%	100.0%<0.01%	58.2%1.42%	64.4%1.33%	59.6%1.35%	52.9%2.73%	52.5%4.30%	51.9%1.50%	39.3%4.63%	47.6%5.16%	65.5%0.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		26.1%0.14%	46.2%0.03%	44.0%0.12%	54.5%0.01%	50.0%0.01%	20.3%0.82%	42.9%0.02%	32.0%0.23%	26.0%0.13%	14.3%1.10%	21.6%0.18%	38.1%0.02%	28.7%0.17%	17.0%0.79%	39.4%0.10%
Atlanta Falcons	73.9%0.14%		55.8%0.04%	61.1%0.44%	65.3%0.10%	67.7%0.03%	35.3%3.09%	63.7%0.10%	51.9%0.49%	45.8%0.43%	25.3%3.89%	44.7%1.81%	54.4%0.22%	47.9%1.55%	31.5%2.12%	57.3%0.39%
Carolina Panthers	53.8%0.03%	44.2%0.04%		43.5%0.12%	82.4%0.02%	58.8%0.02%	25.6%0.81%	62.1%0.03%	41.7%0.12%	36.6%0.14%	17.0%1.14%	30.8%0.53%	45.2%0.06%	34.4%0.45%	23.0%0.49%	41.0%0.12%
Chicago Bears	56.0%0.12%	38.9%0.44%	56.5%0.12%		58.1%0.10%	50.0%0.02%	24.0%1.66%	51.5%0.03%	39.9%0.86%	36.4%0.50%	18.2%3.44%	29.9%1.70%	45.2%0.26%	36.0%1.36%	21.3%2.77%	43.7%0.40%
Dallas Cowboys	45.5%0.01%	34.7%0.10%	17.6%0.02%	41.9%0.10%		60.0%<0.01%	20.2%0.60%	60.0%0.01%	25.7%0.18%	25.4%0.07%	14.9%0.68%	22.9%0.36%	36.2%0.06%	24.7%0.27%	18.7%0.63%	32.6%0.05%
Detroit Lions	50.0%0.01%	32.3%0.03%	41.2%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%		10.5%0.12%		22.9%0.10%	24.6%0.06%	10.0%0.43%	19.1%0.17%	20.0%0.03%	23.8%0.16%	17.2%0.30%	30.4%0.05%
Green Bay Packers	79.7%0.82%	64.7%3.09%	74.4%0.81%	76.0%1.66%	79.8%0.60%	89.5%0.12%		76.7%0.31%	65.4%5.18%	60.2%3.26%	39.4%15.95%	55.8%9.15%	65.2%1.61%	61.7%8.32%	44.9%14.11%	69.0%2.24%
Minnesota Vikings	57.1%0.02%	36.3%0.10%	37.9%0.03%	48.5%0.03%	40.0%0.01%		23.3%0.31%		43.3%0.21%	38.8%0.08%	16.8%0.97%	28.1%0.43%	34.1%0.04%	33.4%0.30%	21.4%0.65%	50.0%0.07%
New Orleans Saints	68.0%0.23%	48.1%0.49%	58.3%0.12%	60.1%0.86%	74.3%0.18%	77.1%0.10%	34.6%5.18%	56.7%0.21%		44.4%0.97%	25.8%6.07%	39.4%2.90%	52.0%0.49%	47.8%2.76%	31.0%3.86%	54.2%0.64%
New York Giants	74.0%0.13%	54.2%0.43%	63.4%0.14%	63.6%0.50%	74.6%0.07%	75.4%0.06%	39.8%3.26%	61.2%0.08%	55.6%0.97%		29.8%4.34%	46.5%1.81%	56.0%0.27%	50.9%1.64%	33.6%3.11%	63.4%0.27%
Philadelphia Eagles	85.7%1.10%	74.7%3.89%	83.0%1.14%	81.8%3.44%	85.1%0.68%	90.0%0.43%	60.6%15.95%	83.2%0.97%	74.2%6.07%	70.2%4.34%		66.1%11.15%	75.0%2.19%	70.6%9.63%	56.7%14.67%	77.6%3.06%
San Francisco 49ers	78.4%0.18%	55.3%1.81%	69.2%0.53%	70.1%1.70%	77.1%0.36%	80.9%0.17%	44.2%9.15%	71.9%0.43%	60.6%2.90%	53.5%1.81%	33.9%11.15%		62.8%0.45%	55.9%3.38%	40.7%8.86%	62.5%1.39%
Seattle Seahawks	61.9%0.02%	45.6%0.22%	54.8%0.06%	54.8%0.26%	63.8%0.06%	80.0%0.03%	34.8%1.61%	65.9%0.04%	48.0%0.49%	44.0%0.27%	25.0%2.19%	37.2%0.45%		43.7%0.37%	31.0%1.53%	53.2%0.19%
St. Louis Rams	71.3%0.17%	52.1%1.55%	65.6%0.45%	64.0%1.36%	75.3%0.27%	76.2%0.16%	38.3%8.32%	66.6%0.30%	52.2%2.76%	49.1%1.64%	29.4%9.63%	44.1%3.38%	56.3%0.37%		34.3%7.76%	59.5%1.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	83.0%0.79%	68.5%2.12%	77.0%0.49%	78.7%2.77%	81.3%0.63%	82.8%0.30%	55.1%14.11%	78.6%0.65%	69.0%3.86%	66.4%3.11%	43.3%14.67%	59.3%8.86%	69.0%1.53%	65.7%7.76%		73.9%2.21%
Washington Redskins	60.6%0.10%	42.7%0.39%	59.0%0.12%	56.3%0.40%	67.4%0.05%	69.6%0.05%	31.0%2.24%	50.0%0.07%	45.8%0.64%	36.6%0.27%	22.4%3.06%	37.5%1.39%	46.8%0.19%	40.5%1.12%	26.1%2.21%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		52.9%0.14%	60.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.15%	44.2%0.71%		44.6%0.71%	52.3%0.60%	44.4%0.43%	38.1%0.97%	39.2%1.69%	35.9%0.61%	29.3%2.43%	34.3%0.97%	54.5%0.28%	36.2%0.88%
Buffalo Bills	47.1%0.14%		50.0%<0.01%	43.7%0.07%	30.0%0.13%		38.9%0.16%	49.7%0.15%	39.5%0.09%	34.0%0.10%	44.3%0.15%	45.2%0.04%	24.4%0.50%	32.8%0.41%	48.9%0.04%	34.2%0.20%
Cincinnati Bengals	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	21.7%0.02%		31.2%0.02%	25.0%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	11.1%0.02%	8.8%0.03%	28.6%0.01%	18.6%0.04%	10.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	23.5%0.02%
Cleveland Browns	50.0%0.15%	56.3%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%		45.8%0.46%	100.0%<0.01%	47.8%0.47%	54.1%0.38%	42.4%0.27%	42.0%0.65%	39.3%1.10%	40.2%0.34%	28.2%1.54%	39.1%0.62%	52.7%0.17%	38.0%0.57%
Denver Broncos	55.8%0.71%	70.0%0.13%	78.3%0.02%	54.2%0.46%		100.0%<0.01%	51.8%0.79%	61.5%0.69%	53.6%0.23%	50.7%0.98%	44.9%1.79%	43.4%0.62%	33.5%1.24%	41.2%2.32%	57.0%0.11%	44.7%1.02%
Indianapolis Colts	55.4%0.71%	61.1%0.16%	68.8%0.02%	52.2%0.47%	48.2%0.79%			59.2%0.36%	46.4%0.57%	49.2%1.23%	42.7%2.17%	42.6%0.75%	32.7%2.88%	38.8%2.36%	61.6%0.30%	44.1%0.48%
Jacksonville Jaguars	47.7%0.60%	50.3%0.15%	75.0%0.01%	45.9%0.38%	38.5%0.69%		40.8%0.36%		45.6%0.41%	38.1%1.05%	34.2%1.74%	34.5%0.55%	25.5%2.45%	31.6%1.91%	59.1%0.27%	33.7%0.38%
Kansas City Chiefs	55.6%0.43%	60.5%0.09%	85.7%<0.01%	57.6%0.27%	46.4%0.23%		53.6%0.57%	54.4%0.41%		47.0%0.69%	47.0%1.22%	43.1%0.34%	35.5%0.80%	36.7%1.42%	61.4%0.10%	41.2%0.70%
Miami Dolphins	61.9%0.97%	66.0%0.10%	88.9%0.02%	58.0%0.65%	49.3%0.98%	100.0%<0.01%	50.8%1.23%	61.9%1.05%	53.0%0.69%		46.9%1.20%	45.3%0.41%	37.1%3.59%	42.7%3.30%	62.9%0.39%	46.8%1.57%
New England Patriots	60.8%1.69%	55.7%0.15%	91.2%0.03%	60.7%1.10%	55.1%1.79%	100.0%<0.01%	57.3%2.17%	65.8%1.74%	53.0%1.22%	53.1%1.20%		51.3%0.78%	37.2%6.05%	46.4%5.42%	67.4%0.70%	48.1%2.35%
New York Jets	64.1%0.61%	54.8%0.04%	71.4%0.01%	59.8%0.34%	56.6%0.62%	100.0%<0.01%	57.4%0.75%	65.5%0.55%	56.9%0.34%	54.7%0.41%	48.7%0.78%		37.1%2.00%	45.4%1.75%	67.3%0.25%	48.6%0.87%
Oakland Raiders	70.7%2.43%	75.6%0.50%	81.4%0.04%	71.8%1.54%	66.5%1.24%	100.0%<0.01%	67.3%2.88%	74.5%2.45%	64.5%0.80%	62.9%3.59%	62.8%6.05%	62.9%2.00%		58.2%7.22%	76.9%0.44%	60.5%3.38%
Pittsburgh Steelers	65.7%0.97%	67.2%0.41%	90.0%0.01%	60.9%0.62%	58.8%2.32%	100.0%<0.01%	61.2%2.36%	68.4%1.91%	63.3%1.42%	57.3%3.30%	53.6%5.42%	54.6%1.75%	41.8%7.22%		69.4%0.89%	53.0%2.74%
San Diego Chargers	45.5%0.28%	51.1%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	47.3%0.17%	43.0%0.11%		38.4%0.30%	40.9%0.27%	38.6%0.10%	37.1%0.39%	32.6%0.70%	32.7%0.25%	23.1%0.44%	30.6%0.89%		33.5%0.37%
Tennessee Titans	63.8%0.88%	65.8%0.20%	76.5%0.02%	62.0%0.57%	55.3%1.02%	100.0%<0.01%	55.9%0.48%	66.3%0.38%	58.8%0.70%	53.2%1.57%	51.9%2.35%	51.4%0.87%	39.5%3.38%	47.0%2.74%	66.5%0.37%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		25.0%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	47.4%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%		22.4%0.18%	50.0%<0.01%	34.1%0.04%	25.0%0.03%	13.6%0.27%	33.3%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	31.2%0.03%	21.6%0.17%	42.9%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	75.0%0.02%		73.3%0.01%	62.5%0.09%	73.9%0.02%	57.1%0.01%	35.6%1.09%	70.6%0.02%	45.0%0.15%	44.2%0.21%	29.5%2.12%	42.5%0.58%	56.9%0.07%	49.9%0.47%	34.6%0.64%	46.9%0.13%
Carolina Panthers	75.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.01%		79.2%0.02%	62.5%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	24.7%0.19%	71.4%<0.01%	46.4%0.03%	42.3%0.05%	20.3%0.41%	32.2%0.11%	26.3%0.02%	40.8%0.10%	26.0%0.13%	48.5%0.03%
Chicago Bears	52.6%0.02%	37.5%0.09%	20.8%0.02%		55.6%<0.01%		30.6%0.36%	25.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.20%	31.4%0.16%	20.0%1.31%	31.8%0.40%	27.6%0.06%	30.6%0.28%	22.5%0.82%	44.6%0.09%
Dallas Cowboys	0.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.02%	37.5%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	17.5%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	29.0%0.03%	50.0%0.02%	16.0%0.10%	27.4%0.08%	22.2%<0.01%	27.9%0.04%	15.9%0.19%	50.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions		42.9%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		23.5%0.02%		16.7%0.02%	12.5%<0.01%	14.0%0.09%	21.2%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	30.0%0.02%	25.5%0.05%	42.9%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	77.6%0.18%	64.4%1.09%	75.3%0.19%	69.4%0.36%	82.5%0.15%	76.5%0.02%		70.0%0.08%	62.6%1.72%	59.1%1.49%	40.5%13.97%	56.5%4.09%	66.2%0.55%	60.9%3.22%	45.9%8.18%	70.8%0.85%
Minnesota Vikings	50.0%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%	28.6%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		30.0%0.08%		45.2%0.03%	25.0%0.03%	17.9%0.31%	23.2%0.10%	46.2%0.01%	33.8%0.07%	19.8%0.17%	50.0%0.02%
New Orleans Saints	65.9%0.04%	55.0%0.15%	53.6%0.03%	61.1%0.20%	71.0%0.03%	83.3%0.02%	37.4%1.72%	54.8%0.03%		47.4%0.38%	27.3%3.56%	42.4%0.96%	50.0%0.14%	45.8%0.75%	33.0%1.14%	54.1%0.21%
New York Giants	75.0%0.03%	55.8%0.21%	57.7%0.05%	68.6%0.16%	50.0%0.02%	87.5%<0.01%	40.9%1.49%	75.0%0.03%	52.6%0.38%		32.9%1.42%	49.3%0.79%	59.1%0.09%	48.4%0.58%	37.3%1.74%	59.4%0.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	86.4%0.27%	70.5%2.12%	79.7%0.41%	80.0%1.31%	84.0%0.10%	86.0%0.09%	59.5%13.97%	82.1%0.31%	72.7%3.56%	67.1%1.42%		65.6%7.34%	75.3%0.88%	71.0%5.61%	56.8%14.92%	75.8%0.80%
San Francisco 49ers	66.7%0.03%	57.5%0.58%	67.8%0.11%	68.2%0.40%	72.6%0.08%	78.8%0.03%	43.5%4.09%	76.8%0.10%	57.6%0.96%	50.7%0.79%	34.4%7.34%		60.7%0.14%	57.8%0.87%	40.8%4.63%	61.8%0.46%
Seattle Seahawks	33.3%<0.01%	43.1%0.07%	73.7%0.02%	72.4%0.06%	77.8%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	33.8%0.55%	53.8%0.01%	50.0%0.14%	40.9%0.09%	24.7%0.88%	39.3%0.14%		48.5%0.10%	30.0%0.60%	54.9%0.05%
St. Louis Rams	68.8%0.03%	50.1%0.47%	59.2%0.10%	69.4%0.28%	72.1%0.04%	70.0%0.02%	39.1%3.22%	66.2%0.07%	54.2%0.75%	51.6%0.58%	29.0%5.61%	42.2%0.87%	51.5%0.10%		35.0%3.45%	54.5%0.32%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	78.4%0.17%	65.4%0.64%	74.0%0.13%	77.5%0.82%	84.1%0.19%	74.5%0.05%	54.1%8.18%	80.2%0.17%	67.0%1.14%	62.7%1.74%	43.2%14.92%	59.2%4.63%	70.0%0.60%	65.0%3.45%		72.1%0.99%
Washington Redskins	57.1%0.01%	53.1%0.13%	51.5%0.03%	55.4%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	29.2%0.85%	50.0%0.02%	45.9%0.21%	40.6%0.06%	24.2%0.80%	38.2%0.46%	45.1%0.05%	45.5%0.32%	27.9%0.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	50.0%<0.01%	50.7%0.07%	46.7%0.01%	50.0%0.04%	44.4%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	33.7%0.77%	40.0%<0.01%	38.6%0.13%	40.7%0.12%	26.9%1.39%	40.2%0.38%	41.7%0.05%	44.1%0.23%	31.5%0.80%	57.7%0.05%
Buffalo Bills	100.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		40.8%0.10%		37.5%0.03%	30.8%0.03%	27.8%0.28%	43.4%0.08%	40.0%0.01%	39.2%0.05%	32.1%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.0%<0.01%					28.6%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.01%
Cleveland Browns	62.5%<0.01%	44.7%0.05%	81.8%0.01%	59.1%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	34.3%0.50%	83.3%<0.01%	44.7%0.08%	48.1%0.08%	29.2%0.92%	37.4%0.23%	41.2%0.03%	48.7%0.15%	30.8%0.56%	60.0%0.03%
Denver Broncos	58.3%0.01%	58.1%0.10%	62.5%0.02%	58.3%0.05%	88.9%<0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	45.2%0.93%	46.7%0.01%	52.2%0.18%	47.1%0.16%	33.3%1.76%	43.9%0.45%	64.7%0.05%	52.7%0.31%	38.0%1.07%	65.8%0.07%
Indianapolis Colts	88.9%<0.01%	42.3%0.11%	69.2%0.01%	67.8%0.06%	50.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	38.4%1.04%	50.0%0.01%	52.3%0.20%	44.3%0.17%	31.5%1.89%	42.6%0.51%	65.2%0.05%	53.0%0.35%	36.9%1.21%	57.1%0.07%
Jacksonville Jaguars	63.6%0.01%	50.0%0.08%	80.0%0.01%	57.5%0.04%	42.9%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.8%0.71%	42.9%<0.01%	41.9%0.13%	33.0%0.11%	25.6%1.26%	36.8%0.34%	45.5%0.02%	43.7%0.22%	29.5%0.83%	56.2%0.05%
Kansas City Chiefs	66.7%<0.01%	49.3%0.07%	33.3%<0.01%	75.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.2%0.63%	57.1%<0.01%	49.5%0.09%	49.0%0.10%	30.7%1.10%	43.3%0.28%	42.4%0.03%	47.7%0.18%	39.9%0.71%	59.1%0.04%
Miami Dolphins	76.5%0.02%	54.8%0.17%	60.0%0.02%	55.7%0.07%	72.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	43.1%1.36%	75.0%0.02%	54.0%0.27%	53.0%0.22%	34.4%2.62%	47.0%0.69%	52.1%0.07%	51.4%0.47%	38.7%1.53%	59.0%0.12%
New England Patriots	72.7%0.02%	49.7%0.29%	66.7%0.06%	65.7%0.14%	73.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	45.6%2.39%	59.1%0.02%	57.4%0.43%	50.7%0.38%	36.5%4.46%	47.0%1.18%	53.4%0.13%	52.9%0.80%	40.2%2.72%	58.7%0.18%
New York Jets	71.4%<0.01%	58.1%0.10%	76.5%0.02%	67.9%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	46.7%0.86%	80.0%<0.01%	57.7%0.16%	56.7%0.13%	40.3%1.59%	50.1%0.42%	45.8%0.05%	55.5%0.30%	40.5%0.93%	64.8%0.07%
Oakland Raiders	87.5%0.04%	61.9%0.47%	71.6%0.08%	74.5%0.21%	92.3%0.03%	73.3%0.01%	55.0%4.01%	76.7%0.04%	64.0%0.81%	61.8%0.69%	47.4%7.68%	60.8%1.92%	63.0%0.19%	66.5%1.29%	50.9%4.48%	74.1%0.29%
Pittsburgh Steelers	69.0%0.03%	56.7%0.36%	74.0%0.05%	72.4%0.18%	84.0%0.03%	77.8%<0.01%	46.4%3.04%	68.1%0.05%	60.9%0.56%	57.3%0.52%	38.3%5.80%	53.2%1.59%	59.2%0.17%	59.2%1.03%	43.9%3.50%	66.7%0.24%
San Diego Chargers	33.3%<0.01%	30.3%0.03%	28.6%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	30.1%0.29%		37.5%0.04%	38.6%0.04%	26.3%0.52%	27.0%0.14%	38.5%0.01%	31.3%0.08%	29.3%0.29%	42.9%0.01%
Tennessee Titans	58.3%0.01%	57.6%0.15%	80.8%0.03%	70.3%0.09%	42.9%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	47.0%1.41%	59.1%0.02%	59.2%0.29%	62.1%0.26%	37.8%2.61%	51.1%0.70%	59.6%0.06%	61.0%0.53%	44.9%1.65%	66.0%0.10%
Arizona Cardinals																	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		37.5%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	23.5%0.02%	27.3%0.02%	28.6%<0.01%	12.5%0.04%	31.0%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	49.3%0.07%	56.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	55.3%0.05%	41.9%0.10%	57.7%0.11%	50.0%0.08%	50.7%0.07%	45.2%0.17%	50.3%0.29%	41.9%0.10%	38.1%0.47%	43.3%0.36%	69.7%0.03%	42.4%0.15%
Carolina Panthers																	53.3%0.01%	60.0%<0.01%		18.2%0.01%	37.5%0.02%	30.8%0.01%	20.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	40.0%0.02%	33.3%0.06%	23.5%0.02%	28.4%0.08%	26.0%0.05%	71.4%<0.01%	19.2%0.03%
Chicago Bears																	50.0%0.04%	60.0%0.01%		40.9%0.02%	41.7%0.05%	32.2%0.06%	42.5%0.04%	25.0%0.03%	44.3%0.07%	34.3%0.14%	32.1%0.05%	25.5%0.21%	27.6%0.18%	66.7%0.01%	29.7%0.09%
Dallas Cowboys																	55.6%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.01%	26.7%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	7.7%0.03%	16.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																	25.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	66.3%0.77%	59.2%0.10%	71.4%<0.01%	65.7%0.50%	54.8%0.93%	61.6%1.04%	67.2%0.71%	59.8%0.63%	56.9%1.36%	54.4%2.39%	53.3%0.86%	45.0%4.01%	53.6%3.04%	69.9%0.29%	53.0%1.41%
Minnesota Vikings																	60.0%<0.01%			16.7%<0.01%	53.3%0.01%	50.0%0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	40.9%0.02%	20.0%<0.01%	23.3%0.04%	31.9%0.05%		40.9%0.02%
New Orleans Saints																	61.4%0.13%	62.5%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	55.3%0.08%	47.8%0.18%	47.7%0.20%	58.1%0.13%	50.5%0.09%	46.0%0.27%	42.6%0.43%	42.3%0.16%	36.0%0.81%	39.1%0.56%	62.5%0.04%	40.8%0.29%
New York Giants																	59.3%0.12%	69.2%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	51.9%0.08%	52.9%0.16%	55.7%0.17%	67.0%0.11%	51.0%0.10%	47.0%0.22%	49.3%0.38%	43.3%0.13%	38.2%0.69%	42.7%0.52%	61.4%0.04%	37.9%0.26%
Philadelphia Eagles																	73.1%1.39%	72.2%0.28%	100.0%0.01%	70.8%0.92%	66.7%1.76%	68.5%1.89%	74.4%1.26%	69.3%1.10%	65.6%2.62%	63.5%4.46%	59.7%1.59%	52.6%7.68%	61.7%5.80%	73.7%0.52%	62.2%2.61%
San Francisco 49ers																	59.8%0.38%	56.6%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	62.6%0.23%	56.1%0.45%	57.4%0.51%	63.2%0.34%	56.7%0.28%	53.0%0.69%	53.0%1.18%	49.9%0.42%	39.2%1.92%	46.8%1.59%	73.0%0.14%	48.9%0.70%
Seattle Seahawks																	58.3%0.05%	60.0%0.01%		58.8%0.03%	35.3%0.05%	34.8%0.05%	54.5%0.02%	57.6%0.03%	47.9%0.07%	46.6%0.13%	54.2%0.05%	37.0%0.19%	40.8%0.17%	61.5%0.01%	40.4%0.06%
St. Louis Rams																	55.9%0.23%	60.8%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	51.3%0.15%	47.3%0.31%	47.0%0.35%	56.3%0.22%	52.3%0.18%	48.6%0.47%	47.1%0.80%	44.5%0.30%	33.5%1.29%	40.8%1.03%	68.7%0.08%	39.0%0.53%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	68.5%0.80%	67.9%0.16%	71.4%0.01%	69.2%0.56%	62.0%1.07%	63.1%1.21%	70.5%0.83%	60.1%0.71%	61.3%1.53%	59.8%2.72%	59.5%0.93%	49.1%4.48%	56.1%3.50%	70.7%0.29%	55.1%1.65%
Washington Redskins																	42.3%0.05%	33.3%<0.01%		40.0%0.03%	34.2%0.07%	42.9%0.07%	43.8%0.05%	40.9%0.04%	41.0%0.12%	41.3%0.18%	35.2%0.07%	25.9%0.29%	33.3%0.24%	57.1%0.01%	34.0%0.10%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Philadelphia Eagles	100.00%	72.07%	45.96%	26.35%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Oakland Raiders	100.00%	70.10%	46.32%	23.33%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	100.00%	62.26%	28.22%	14.81%	Won Super Bowl
Tennessee Titans	100.00%	56.80%	23.53%	9.97%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Green Bay Packers	69.92%	27.51%	12.10%	6.28%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	70.03%	31.06%	13.59%	6.26%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Jets	66.03%	24.03%	10.13%	4.47%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	60.31%	18.82%	6.99%	3.23%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Giants	39.69%	11.84%	4.21%	1.87%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	33.97%	10.31%	3.70%	1.42%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Atlanta Falcons	30.08%	7.50%	2.53%	1.03%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cleveland Browns	29.98%	7.70%	2.72%	0.97%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns				30.0%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts			34.0%100.00%
New York Jets		66.0%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	70.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons		30.1%100.00%
Green Bay Packers	69.9%100.00%
New York Giants				39.7%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers			60.3%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns				25.7%29.98%
Indianapolis Colts				27.7%23.84%		36.6%10.13%
New York Jets				33.8%46.18%		42.5%19.84%
Oakland Raiders	74.3%29.98%	72.3%23.84%	66.2%46.18%
Pittsburgh Steelers						44.4%70.03%
Tennessee Titans		63.4%10.13%	57.5%19.84%		55.6%70.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons				24.9%30.08%
Green Bay Packers						39.3%69.92%
New York Giants				28.5%27.68%		33.0%12.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	75.1%30.08%		71.5%27.68%		70.3%42.24%
San Francisco 49ers				29.7%42.24%		34.7%18.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		60.7%69.92%	67.0%12.01%		65.3%18.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns		39.6%0.92%	33.5%2.14%			35.3%4.64%
Indianapolis Colts	60.4%0.92%			29.0%2.79%	35.8%2.92%	35.1%3.68%
New York Jets	66.5%2.14%			34.8%6.29%	40.1%6.84%	43.0%8.76%
Oakland Raiders		71.0%2.79%	65.2%6.29%		64.2%21.30%	66.9%39.72%
Pittsburgh Steelers		64.2%2.92%	59.9%6.84%	35.8%21.30%
Tennessee Titans	64.7%4.64%	64.9%3.68%	57.0%8.76%	33.1%39.72%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons			39.6%0.94%		36.4%1.56%	31.8%5.00%
Green Bay Packers			64.6%3.06%	35.6%19.50%	64.1%4.95%
New York Giants	60.4%0.94%	35.4%3.06%		30.3%3.02%		34.0%4.81%
Philadelphia Eagles		64.4%19.50%	69.7%3.02%		68.8%4.71%	62.6%44.85%
San Francisco 49ers	63.6%1.56%	35.9%4.95%		31.2%4.71%		36.2%7.60%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.2%5.00%		66.0%4.81%	37.4%44.85%	63.8%7.60%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns	49.1%0.06%	35.8%0.33%	40.5%0.12%	31.8%1.25%	40.4%0.22%	38.7%0.75%
Indianapolis Colts	50.0%0.09%	41.8%0.42%	45.2%0.17%	34.3%1.69%	47.0%0.27%	39.4%1.07%
New York Jets	59.5%0.25%	45.3%1.24%	54.0%0.44%	40.6%4.67%	48.5%0.70%	45.4%2.81%
Oakland Raiders	63.0%1.16%	51.9%5.55%	59.8%1.94%	46.5%21.33%	57.4%3.20%	51.8%13.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	56.5%0.39%	48.0%1.71%	54.6%0.56%	42.3%6.14%	53.5%0.94%	47.1%3.86%
Tennessee Titans	55.7%0.59%	44.5%2.84%	51.3%0.98%	38.8%10.88%	51.9%1.66%	42.3%6.60%
Atlanta Falcons							50.9%0.06%	50.0%0.09%	40.5%0.25%	37.0%1.16%	43.5%0.39%	44.3%0.59%
Green Bay Packers							64.2%0.33%	58.2%0.42%	54.7%1.24%	48.1%5.55%	52.0%1.71%	55.5%2.84%
New York Giants							59.5%0.12%	54.8%0.17%	46.0%0.44%	40.2%1.94%	45.4%0.56%	48.7%0.98%
Philadelphia Eagles							68.2%1.25%	65.7%1.69%	59.4%4.67%	53.5%21.33%	57.7%6.14%	61.2%10.88%
San Francisco 49ers							59.6%0.22%	53.0%0.27%	51.5%0.70%	42.6%3.20%	46.5%0.94%	48.1%1.66%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							61.3%0.75%	60.6%1.07%	54.6%2.81%	48.2%13.14%	52.9%3.86%	57.7%6.60%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Philadelphia Eagles 26.35% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

41.20%

Win Prob

70.29%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

61.07%

Win Prob

62.59%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

43.33%

Win Prob

53.53%

Oakland Raiders 23.33% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

43.63%

Win Prob

66.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

57.36%

Win Prob

66.89%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

42.48%

Win Prob

46.47%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14.81% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

68.12%

Win Prob

60.66%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

59.46%

Win Prob

37.41%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

42.71%

Win Prob

48.15%

Tennessee Titans 9.97% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

68.60%

Win Prob

55.64%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

55.89%

Win Prob

33.11%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

42.39%

Win Prob

38.84%

Green Bay Packers 6.28% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.92%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.34%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

57.44%

Win Prob

35.63%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

42.58%

Win Prob

48.14%

Pittsburgh Steelers 6.26% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cleveland Browns

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.03%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.36%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

56.10%

Win Prob

35.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

41.48%

Win Prob

42.30%

New York Jets 4.47% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.03%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

64.93%

Win Prob

33.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

37.22%

Win Prob

43.03%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

42.48%

Win Prob

40.61%

San Francisco 49ers 3.23% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.31%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

66.67%

Win Prob

29.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

39.34%

Win Prob

36.16%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

42.25%

Win Prob

42.63%

New York Giants 1.87% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.69%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

66.55%

Win Prob

28.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

38.91%

Win Prob

33.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

41.62%

Win Prob

40.16%

Indianapolis Colts 1.42% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.97%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

64.01%

Win Prob

27.69%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

34.88%

Win Prob

35.09%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

40.83%

Win Prob

34.32%

Atlanta Falcons 1.03% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.08%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.94%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

62.74%

Win Prob

31.79%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

41.53%

Win Prob

37.01%

Cleveland Browns 0.97% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.98%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.68%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

60.19%

Win Prob

35.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

41.12%

Win Prob

31.84%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2002-09-08	@ Washington Redskins	L 23-31	1463.98	1517.69	34.66%	64.92%	-10.63	0-1
2002-09-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-13	1453.35	1488.03	37.18%	62.39%	+22.40	1-1
2002-09-22	San Diego Chargers	L 15-23	1475.75	1512.98	52.32%	47.22%	-16.03	1-2
2002-09-29	New York Giants	W 21-7	1459.72	1502.88	51.47%	48.08%	+19.50	2-2
2002-10-06	@ Carolina Panthers	W 16-13	1479.22	1470.02	43.23%	56.32%	+10.57	3-2
2002-10-20	Dallas Cowboys	W 9-6	1489.79	1441.53	64.20%	35.38%	+6.64	4-2
2002-10-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 28-38	1496.43	1574.18	31.61%	67.99%	-10.84	4-3
2002-11-03	St. Louis Rams	L 14-27	1485.59	1566.91	45.99%	53.56%	-17.98	4-4
2002-11-10	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-27	1467.61	1443.27	60.99%	38.58%	-30.27	4-5
2002-11-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-38	1437.34	1615.52	20.62%	79.07%	-10.95	4-6
2002-11-24	Oakland Raiders	L 20-41	1426.39	1597.14	33.74%	65.85%	-16.77	4-7
2002-12-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-49	1409.62	1499.12	30.17%	69.44%	-22.91	4-8
2002-12-08	Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1386.71	1361.20	61.15%	38.42%	+7.21	5-8
2002-12-15	@ St. Louis Rams	L 28-30	1393.92	1543.61	23.42%	76.24%	-3.59	5-9
2002-12-21	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-17	1390.33	1567.66	32.90%	66.69%	-6.18	5-10
2002-12-29	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-37	1384.15	1531.25	23.69%	75.97%	-14.07	5-11
2002-09-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 34-37	1448.47	1567.11	26.76%	72.87%	-5.02	0-1
2002-09-15	Chicago Bears	L 13-14	1443.45	1567.54	39.97%	59.59%	-4.34	0-2
2002-09-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-3	1439.11	1400.51	62.92%	36.66%	+20.66	1-2
2002-10-06	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-20	1459.77	1585.44	39.75%	59.81%	-16.13	1-3
2002-10-13	@ New York Giants	W 17-10	1443.64	1494.78	35.00%	64.58%	+18.50	2-3
2002-10-20	Carolina Panthers	W 30-0	1462.14	1454.56	58.68%	40.88%	+24.29	3-3
2002-10-27	@ New Orleans Saints	W 37-35	1486.43	1554.94	32.76%	66.83%	+10.23	4-3
2002-11-03	Baltimore Ravens	W 20-17	1496.66	1515.77	54.91%	44.64%	+8.38	5-3
2002-11-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 34-34	1505.04	1602.22	29.25%	70.37%	+1.12	5-3
2002-11-17	New Orleans Saints	W 24-17	1506.16	1558.57	50.14%	49.41%	+14.17	6-3
2002-11-24	@ Carolina Panthers	W 41-0	1520.33	1402.81	58.68%	40.88%	+28.39	7-3
2002-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-24	1548.72	1423.38	59.77%	39.80%	+10.57	8-3
2002-12-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-34	1559.29	1626.33	32.95%	66.64%	-17.51	8-4
2002-12-15	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-30	1541.78	1446.96	70.08%	29.53%	-18.59	8-5
2002-12-22	Detroit Lions	W 36-15	1523.19	1350.14	78.58%	21.10%	+10.49	9-5
2002-12-29	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-24	1533.68	1484.08	49.00%	50.54%	-15.03	9-6
2002-09-08	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-10	1544.47	1428.13	58.51%	41.04%	-10.98	0-1
2002-09-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 0-25	1533.49	1517.29	59.87%	39.69%	-32.43	0-2
2002-09-30	Denver Broncos	W 34-23	1501.06	1547.24	51.04%	48.51%	+17.45	1-2
2002-10-06	@ Cleveland Browns	W 26-21	1518.51	1484.36	46.78%	52.76%	+12.78	2-2
2002-10-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-22	1531.29	1508.03	45.23%	54.32%	-6.93	2-3
2002-10-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-10	1524.36	1519.00	58.37%	41.19%	+11.82	3-3
2002-10-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 18-31	1536.18	1574.05	52.23%	47.32%	-20.41	3-4
2002-11-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1515.77	1496.66	44.64%	54.91%	-8.39	3-5
2002-11-10	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-27	1507.38	1357.38	76.27%	23.39%	+8.42	4-5
2002-11-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-26	1515.80	1528.12	40.23%	59.33%	-19.02	4-6
2002-11-24	Tennessee Titans	W 13-12	1496.78	1513.71	55.22%	44.33%	+4.81	5-6
2002-12-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-23	1501.59	1332.89	65.58%	34.00%	+7.37	6-6
2002-12-08	New Orleans Saints	L 25-37	1508.96	1533.95	54.07%	45.47%	-20.29	6-7
2002-12-15	@ Houston Texans	W 23-19	1488.67	1273.52	71.32%	28.30%	+6.14	7-7
2002-12-22	Cleveland Browns	L 13-14	1494.81	1477.58	60.01%	39.55%	-6.50	7-8
2002-12-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 31-34	1488.31	1587.19	29.04%	70.57%	-5.46	7-9
2002-09-08	New York Jets	L 31-37	1435.70	1521.53	45.34%	54.21%	-12.04	0-1
2002-09-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 45-39	1423.66	1455.30	37.59%	61.98%	+16.44	1-1
2002-09-22	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-28	1440.10	1540.23	28.90%	70.72%	-7.01	1-2
2002-09-29	Chicago Bears	W 33-27	1433.09	1554.15	40.39%	59.17%	+15.70	2-2
2002-10-06	Oakland Raiders	L 31-49	1448.79	1606.14	35.48%	64.10%	-16.33	2-3
2002-10-13	@ Houston Texans	W 31-24	1432.46	1269.13	64.88%	34.70%	+9.96	3-3
2002-10-20	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-10	1442.42	1579.21	24.77%	74.88%	+29.21	4-3
2002-10-27	Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1471.63	1405.42	66.53%	33.06%	+9.49	5-3
2002-11-03	New England Patriots	L 7-38	1481.12	1557.69	46.67%	52.88%	-28.17	5-4
2002-11-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-17	1452.95	1510.09	34.22%	65.37%	-3.71	5-5
2002-11-24	@ New York Jets	L 13-31	1449.24	1524.14	31.96%	67.64%	-14.71	5-6
2002-12-01	Miami Dolphins	W 38-21	1434.53	1567.89	38.70%	60.87%	+27.18	6-6
2002-12-08	@ New England Patriots	L 17-27	1461.71	1596.47	24.99%	74.66%	-8.58	6-7
2002-12-15	San Diego Chargers	W 20-13	1453.13	1479.02	53.95%	45.60%	+13.09	7-7
2002-12-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-10	1466.22	1631.40	21.86%	77.81%	-7.50	7-8
2002-12-29	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-9	1458.72	1317.41	75.36%	24.29%	+11.18	8-8
2002-09-08	Baltimore Ravens	W 10-7	1428.13	1544.47	41.04%	58.51%	+10.98	1-0
2002-09-15	Detroit Lions	W 31-7	1439.11	1422.70	59.90%	39.66%	+21.08	2-0
2002-09-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 21-14	1460.19	1438.86	44.95%	54.60%	+15.65	3-0
2002-09-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	1475.84	1558.79	30.96%	68.64%	-5.82	3-1
2002-10-06	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-16	1470.02	1479.22	56.32%	43.23%	-10.57	3-2
2002-10-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-14	1459.45	1436.63	45.17%	54.38%	-4.89	3-3
2002-10-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 0-30	1454.56	1462.14	40.88%	58.68%	-24.29	3-4
2002-10-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 9-12	1430.27	1598.12	34.11%	65.47%	-6.41	3-5
2002-11-10	New Orleans Saints	L 24-34	1423.86	1544.71	40.42%	59.14%	-13.87	3-6
2002-11-17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-23	1409.99	1612.92	18.39%	81.32%	-7.18	3-7
2002-11-24	Atlanta Falcons	L 0-41	1402.81	1520.33	40.88%	58.68%	-28.39	3-8
2002-12-01	@ Cleveland Browns	W 13-6	1374.42	1505.27	25.41%	74.23%	+21.25	4-8
2002-12-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 52-31	1395.67	1325.51	67.04%	32.56%	+16.19	5-8
2002-12-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-30	1411.86	1553.11	24.30%	75.35%	-10.55	5-9
2002-12-22	Chicago Bears	W 24-14	1401.31	1456.63	49.72%	49.83%	+17.08	6-9
2002-12-29	@ New Orleans Saints	W 10-6	1418.39	1524.50	28.20%	71.42%	+15.46	7-9
2002-09-08	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-23	1561.26	1461.58	70.67%	28.95%	+6.28	1-0
2002-09-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 14-13	1567.54	1443.45	59.59%	39.97%	+4.34	2-0
2002-09-22	New Orleans Saints	L 23-29	1571.88	1503.04	66.87%	32.72%	-17.73	2-1
2002-09-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 27-33	1554.15	1433.09	59.17%	40.39%	-15.70	2-2
2002-10-07	Green Bay Packers	L 21-34	1538.45	1564.61	53.91%	45.64%	-21.06	2-3
2002-10-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-23	1517.39	1394.27	59.46%	40.10%	-11.16	2-4
2002-10-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-25	1506.23	1400.74	56.99%	42.56%	-26.19	2-5
2002-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-19	1480.04	1646.96	34.23%	65.35%	-9.10	2-6
2002-11-10	New England Patriots	L 30-33	1470.94	1585.86	41.24%	58.32%	-7.75	2-7
2002-11-18	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-21	1463.19	1591.71	25.67%	73.97%	-6.22	2-8
2002-11-24	Detroit Lions	W 20-17	1456.97	1375.63	68.44%	31.16%	+5.85	3-8
2002-12-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-30	1462.82	1605.14	24.19%	75.47%	-8.29	3-9
2002-12-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-27	1454.53	1540.71	30.57%	69.04%	-14.08	3-10
2002-12-15	New York Jets	W 20-13	1440.45	1541.91	43.13%	56.43%	+16.18	4-10
2002-12-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-24	1456.63	1401.31	49.83%	49.72%	-17.08	4-11
2002-12-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 0-15	1439.55	1624.14	31.99%	67.61%	-13.44	4-12
2002-09-08	San Diego Chargers	L 6-34	1444.89	1473.31	53.58%	45.96%	-30.72	0-1
2002-09-15	@ Cleveland Browns	L 7-20	1414.17	1466.01	34.91%	64.67%	-13.66	0-2
2002-09-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 3-30	1400.51	1439.11	36.66%	62.92%	-20.66	0-3
2002-09-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-35	1379.85	1567.28	31.63%	67.96%	-18.16	0-4
2002-10-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-28	1361.69	1501.00	24.50%	75.15%	-7.03	0-5
2002-10-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-34	1354.66	1539.39	31.97%	67.63%	-18.02	0-6
2002-10-27	Tennessee Titans	L 24-30	1336.64	1463.52	39.58%	59.98%	-10.52	0-7
2002-11-03	@ Houston Texans	W 38-3	1326.12	1264.00	50.80%	48.74%	+31.26	1-7
2002-11-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 27-38	1357.38	1507.38	23.39%	76.27%	-8.42	1-8
2002-11-17	Cleveland Browns	L 20-27	1348.96	1472.40	40.06%	59.50%	-11.49	1-9
2002-11-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-29	1337.47	1583.67	14.95%	84.80%	-4.58	1-10
2002-12-01	Baltimore Ravens	L 23-27	1332.89	1501.59	34.00%	65.58%	-7.38	1-11
2002-12-08	@ Carolina Panthers	L 31-52	1325.51	1395.67	32.56%	67.04%	-16.19	1-12
2002-12-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 15-29	1309.32	1484.64	33.16%	66.43%	-13.46	1-13
2002-12-22	New Orleans Saints	W 20-13	1295.86	1546.04	24.40%	75.25%	+21.55	2-13
2002-12-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-27	1317.41	1458.72	24.29%	75.36%	-11.18	2-14
2002-09-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 39-40	1471.96	1490.80	54.95%	44.60%	-5.95	0-1
2002-09-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-7	1466.01	1414.17	64.67%	34.91%	+13.65	1-1
2002-09-22	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-28	1479.66	1497.68	39.44%	60.12%	+11.28	2-1
2002-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-16	1490.94	1541.81	35.03%	64.55%	-6.58	2-2
2002-10-06	Baltimore Ravens	L 21-26	1484.36	1518.51	52.76%	46.78%	-12.79	2-3
2002-10-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-17	1471.57	1601.57	25.51%	74.14%	-10.35	2-4
2002-10-20	Houston Texans	W 34-17	1461.22	1259.17	81.25%	18.46%	+8.25	3-4
2002-10-27	@ New York Jets	W 24-21	1469.47	1465.05	42.56%	56.99%	+10.70	4-4
2002-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1480.17	1594.46	41.33%	58.23%	-7.77	4-5
2002-11-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-20	1472.40	1348.96	59.50%	40.06%	+11.50	5-5
2002-11-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-15	1483.90	1544.40	33.79%	65.80%	+21.37	6-5
2002-12-01	Carolina Panthers	L 6-13	1505.27	1374.42	74.23%	25.41%	-21.25	6-6
2002-12-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-20	1484.02	1490.99	40.97%	58.59%	+6.34	7-6
2002-12-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 23-28	1490.36	1524.44	52.77%	46.77%	-12.78	7-7
2002-12-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 14-13	1477.58	1494.81	39.55%	60.01%	+6.50	8-7
2002-12-29	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-16	1484.08	1533.68	50.54%	49.00%	+15.02	9-7
2002-09-08	@ Houston Texans	L 10-19	1452.06	1275.00	66.66%	32.94%	-21.65	0-1
2002-09-15	Tennessee Titans	W 21-13	1430.41	1514.20	45.63%	53.91%	+16.52	1-1
2002-09-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-44	1446.93	1618.20	21.27%	78.41%	-12.84	1-2
2002-09-29	@ St. Louis Rams	W 13-10	1434.09	1566.21	25.27%	74.37%	+13.94	2-2
2002-10-06	New York Giants	L 17-21	1448.03	1483.38	52.59%	46.96%	-11.40	2-3
2002-10-13	Carolina Panthers	W 14-13	1436.63	1459.45	54.38%	45.17%	+4.90	3-3
2002-10-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 6-9	1441.53	1489.79	35.38%	64.20%	-6.65	3-4
2002-10-27	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-17	1434.88	1452.50	55.12%	44.43%	-10.35	3-5
2002-11-03	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-9	1424.53	1395.93	45.99%	53.56%	-7.05	3-6
2002-11-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-20	1417.48	1509.65	29.85%	69.77%	-13.35	3-7
2002-11-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-19	1404.13	1506.51	43.00%	56.56%	+8.67	4-7
2002-11-28	Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1412.80	1488.06	46.85%	52.69%	+15.10	5-7
2002-12-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 27-31	1427.90	1573.57	37.03%	62.54%	-8.03	5-8
2002-12-15	@ New York Giants	L 7-37	1419.87	1493.46	32.12%	67.47%	-19.09	5-9
2002-12-21	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-27	1400.78	1677.39	21.71%	77.96%	-11.54	5-10
2002-12-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-20	1389.24	1459.72	32.52%	67.08%	-8.64	5-11
2002-09-08	St. Louis Rams	W 23-16	1501.57	1618.33	40.98%	58.57%	+16.79	1-0
2002-09-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-14	1518.36	1564.06	35.71%	63.86%	+21.87	2-0
2002-09-22	Buffalo Bills	W 28-23	1540.23	1440.10	70.72%	28.90%	+7.01	3-0
2002-09-30	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 23-34	1547.24	1501.06	48.51%	51.04%	-17.44	3-1
2002-10-06	San Diego Chargers	W 26-9	1529.80	1545.62	55.38%	44.17%	+19.75	4-1
2002-10-13	Miami Dolphins	L 22-24	1549.55	1570.84	54.60%	44.95%	-8.37	4-2
2002-10-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 37-34	1541.18	1508.43	46.58%	52.96%	+9.94	5-2
2002-10-27	@ New England Patriots	W 24-16	1551.12	1576.42	38.45%	61.12%	+18.72	6-2
2002-11-11	Oakland Raiders	L 10-34	1569.84	1552.93	59.97%	39.59%	-31.82	6-3
2002-11-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-9	1538.02	1473.54	51.14%	48.40%	+24.61	7-3
2002-11-24	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-23	1562.63	1523.00	63.06%	36.52%	-11.82	7-4
2002-12-01	@ San Diego Chargers	L 27-30	1550.81	1488.88	50.78%	48.77%	-9.53	7-5
2002-12-08	@ New York Jets	L 13-19	1541.28	1530.36	43.48%	56.08%	-11.55	7-6
2002-12-15	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-24	1529.73	1555.75	53.93%	45.62%	+13.08	8-6
2002-12-22	@ Oakland Raiders	L 16-28	1542.81	1627.37	30.77%	68.84%	-11.56	8-7
2002-12-29	Arizona Cardinals	W 37-7	1531.25	1384.15	75.97%	23.69%	+14.07	9-7
2002-09-08	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-49	1440.52	1522.88	31.04%	68.57%	-17.82	0-1
2002-09-15	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-31	1422.70	1439.11	39.66%	59.90%	-21.08	0-2
2002-09-22	Green Bay Packers	L 31-37	1401.62	1549.01	36.80%	62.77%	-9.78	0-3
2002-09-29	New Orleans Saints	W 26-21	1391.84	1520.77	39.30%	60.26%	+14.60	1-3
2002-10-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-31	1406.44	1403.08	42.41%	57.14%	-12.17	1-4
2002-10-20	Chicago Bears	W 23-20	1394.27	1517.39	40.10%	59.46%	+11.15	2-4
2002-10-27	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-24	1405.42	1471.63	33.06%	66.53%	-9.49	2-5
2002-11-03	Dallas Cowboys	W 9-7	1395.93	1424.53	53.56%	45.99%	+7.06	3-5
2002-11-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-40	1402.99	1639.10	15.70%	84.04%	-8.68	3-6
2002-11-17	New York Jets	L 14-31	1394.31	1505.46	41.77%	57.79%	-18.68	3-7
2002-11-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1375.63	1456.97	31.16%	68.44%	-5.85	3-8
2002-11-28	New England Patriots	L 12-20	1369.78	1587.90	27.95%	71.67%	-8.58	3-9
2002-12-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-23	1361.20	1386.71	38.42%	61.15%	-7.22	3-10
2002-12-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-23	1353.98	1643.84	20.45%	79.24%	-3.84	3-11
2002-12-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 15-36	1350.14	1523.19	21.10%	78.58%	-10.49	3-12
2002-12-29	Minnesota Vikings	L 36-38	1339.65	1428.87	44.86%	54.69%	-6.87	3-13
2002-09-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-34	1567.11	1448.47	72.87%	26.76%	+5.03	1-0
2002-09-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-35	1572.14	1479.91	55.12%	44.43%	-23.13	1-1
2002-09-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-31	1549.01	1401.62	62.77%	36.80%	+9.78	2-1
2002-09-29	Carolina Panthers	W 17-14	1558.79	1475.84	68.64%	30.96%	+5.82	3-1
2002-10-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-21	1564.61	1538.45	45.64%	53.91%	+21.06	4-1
2002-10-13	@ New England Patriots	W 28-10	1585.67	1604.07	39.39%	60.17%	+27.65	5-1
2002-10-20	Washington Redskins	W 30-9	1613.32	1486.84	73.75%	25.89%	+12.87	6-1
2002-11-04	Miami Dolphins	W 24-10	1626.19	1549.99	67.80%	31.80%	+12.91	7-1
2002-11-10	Detroit Lions	W 40-14	1639.10	1402.99	84.04%	15.70%	+8.68	8-1
2002-11-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-31	1647.78	1404.56	74.50%	25.15%	-25.50	8-2
2002-11-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-21	1622.28	1620.11	42.25%	57.31%	-17.14	8-3
2002-12-01	Chicago Bears	W 30-20	1605.14	1462.82	75.47%	24.19%	+8.29	9-3
2002-12-08	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-22	1613.43	1412.81	81.12%	18.59%	+4.03	10-3
2002-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-14	1617.46	1581.60	47.03%	52.52%	+13.94	11-3
2002-12-22	Buffalo Bills	W 10-0	1631.40	1466.22	77.81%	21.86%	+7.50	12-3
2002-12-29	@ New York Jets	L 17-42	1638.90	1551.20	54.47%	45.08%	-29.51	12-4
2002-09-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-10	1275.00	1452.06	32.94%	66.66%	+21.65	1-0
2002-09-15	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-24	1296.65	1504.03	18.01%	81.71%	-8.95	1-1
2002-09-22	Indianapolis Colts	L 3-23	1287.70	1486.32	30.26%	69.35%	-14.68	1-2
2002-09-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-35	1273.02	1631.04	8.47%	91.37%	-3.89	1-3
2002-10-13	Buffalo Bills	L 24-31	1269.13	1432.46	34.70%	64.88%	-9.96	1-4
2002-10-20	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-34	1259.17	1461.22	18.46%	81.25%	-8.25	1-5
2002-10-27	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-19	1250.92	1507.18	14.23%	85.53%	+13.08	2-5
2002-11-03	Cincinnati Bengals	L 3-38	1264.00	1326.12	48.74%	50.80%	-31.26	2-6
2002-11-10	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-17	1232.74	1492.26	14.00%	85.76%	-4.01	2-7
2002-11-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-24	1228.73	1502.38	22.00%	77.67%	-4.14	2-8
2002-11-24	New York Giants	W 16-14	1224.59	1500.57	21.77%	77.90%	+11.92	3-8
2002-12-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-19	1236.51	1534.83	11.53%	88.27%	-4.99	3-9
2002-12-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-6	1231.52	1595.11	8.22%	91.62%	+42.00	4-9
2002-12-15	Baltimore Ravens	L 19-23	1273.52	1488.67	28.30%	71.32%	-6.14	4-10
2002-12-22	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-26	1267.38	1451.00	20.11%	79.58%	-8.72	4-11
2002-12-29	Tennessee Titans	L 3-13	1258.66	1580.37	17.64%	82.08%	-6.05	4-12
2002-09-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-25	1491.29	1499.15	40.84%	58.71%	+11.02	1-0
2002-09-15	Miami Dolphins	L 13-21	1502.31	1540.70	52.15%	47.39%	-15.99	1-1
2002-09-22	@ Houston Texans	W 23-3	1486.32	1287.70	69.35%	30.26%	+14.68	2-1
2002-10-06	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-21	1501.00	1361.69	75.15%	24.50%	+7.03	3-1
2002-10-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 22-20	1508.03	1531.29	54.32%	45.23%	+6.94	4-1
2002-10-21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-28	1514.97	1557.41	36.14%	63.43%	-16.64	4-2
2002-10-27	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-26	1498.33	1473.97	45.39%	54.16%	-11.00	4-3
2002-11-03	Tennessee Titans	L 15-23	1487.33	1474.04	59.47%	40.09%	-18.22	4-4
2002-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-13	1469.11	1656.06	19.80%	79.89%	+40.54	5-4
2002-11-17	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-3	1509.65	1417.48	69.77%	29.85%	+13.35	6-4
2002-11-24	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1523.00	1562.63	36.52%	63.06%	+11.83	7-4
2002-12-01	Houston Texans	W 19-3	1534.83	1236.51	88.27%	11.53%	+4.99	8-4
2002-12-08	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-27	1539.82	1519.17	44.86%	54.69%	-15.38	8-5
2002-12-15	@ Cleveland Browns	W 28-23	1524.44	1490.36	46.77%	52.77%	+12.79	9-5
2002-12-22	New York Giants	L 27-44	1537.23	1512.55	61.03%	38.53%	-27.26	9-6
2002-12-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-13	1509.97	1475.53	62.36%	37.21%	+10.68	10-6
2002-09-08	Indianapolis Colts	L 25-28	1499.15	1491.29	58.71%	40.84%	-11.01	0-1
2002-09-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-16	1488.14	1496.76	40.74%	58.82%	+16.86	1-1
2002-09-29	New York Jets	W 28-3	1505.00	1482.89	60.68%	38.88%	+21.08	2-1
2002-10-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-25	1526.08	1634.93	42.09%	57.47%	+10.79	3-1
2002-10-13	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-23	1536.87	1445.65	54.97%	44.58%	-17.87	3-2
2002-10-20	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-17	1519.00	1524.36	41.19%	58.37%	-11.82	3-3
2002-10-27	Houston Texans	L 19-21	1507.18	1250.92	85.53%	14.23%	-13.08	3-4
2002-11-03	@ New York Giants	L 17-24	1494.10	1467.26	45.74%	53.81%	-13.12	3-5
2002-11-10	Washington Redskins	W 26-7	1480.98	1504.55	54.28%	45.27%	+21.40	4-5
2002-11-17	@ Houston Texans	W 24-21	1502.38	1228.73	77.67%	22.00%	+4.13	5-5
2002-11-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 19-21	1506.51	1404.13	56.56%	43.00%	-8.67	5-6
2002-12-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-25	1497.84	1588.26	44.69%	54.86%	-6.85	5-7
2002-12-08	Cleveland Browns	L 20-21	1490.99	1484.02	58.59%	40.97%	-6.35	5-8
2002-12-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-15	1484.64	1309.32	66.43%	33.16%	+13.46	6-8
2002-12-22	Tennessee Titans	L 10-28	1498.10	1557.79	49.09%	50.45%	-22.57	6-9
2002-12-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1475.53	1509.97	37.21%	62.36%	-10.68	6-10
2002-09-08	@ Cleveland Browns	W 40-39	1490.80	1471.96	44.60%	54.95%	+5.96	1-0
2002-09-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-23	1496.76	1488.14	58.82%	40.74%	-16.86	1-1
2002-09-22	@ New England Patriots	L 38-41	1479.90	1636.95	22.67%	77.00%	-4.26	1-2
2002-09-29	Miami Dolphins	W 48-30	1475.64	1576.18	43.26%	56.30%	+25.88	2-2
2002-10-06	@ New York Jets	W 29-25	1501.52	1461.80	47.58%	51.96%	+11.26	3-2
2002-10-13	@ San Diego Chargers	L 34-35	1512.78	1525.87	40.12%	59.44%	-4.35	3-3
2002-10-20	Denver Broncos	L 34-37	1508.43	1541.18	52.96%	46.58%	-9.94	3-4
2002-10-27	Oakland Raiders	W 20-10	1498.49	1581.60	45.73%	53.82%	+18.44	4-4
2002-11-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-17	1516.93	1595.26	31.53%	68.07%	-6.84	4-5
2002-11-17	Buffalo Bills	W 17-16	1510.09	1452.95	65.37%	34.22%	+3.71	5-5
2002-11-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 32-39	1513.80	1448.93	51.20%	48.35%	-14.68	5-6
2002-12-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 49-0	1499.12	1409.62	69.44%	30.17%	+22.91	6-6
2002-12-08	St. Louis Rams	W 49-10	1522.03	1577.33	49.72%	49.82%	+33.72	7-6
2002-12-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-31	1555.75	1529.73	45.62%	53.93%	-13.09	7-7
2002-12-22	San Diego Chargers	W 24-22	1542.66	1465.93	67.87%	31.73%	+4.87	8-7
2002-12-28	@ Oakland Raiders	L 0-24	1547.53	1638.93	29.94%	69.67%	-15.91	8-8
2002-09-08	Detroit Lions	W 49-21	1522.88	1440.52	68.57%	31.04%	+17.82	1-0
2002-09-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 21-13	1540.70	1502.31	47.39%	52.15%	+15.98	2-0
2002-09-22	New York Jets	W 30-3	1556.68	1502.39	65.00%	34.59%	+19.50	3-0
2002-09-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 30-48	1576.18	1475.64	56.30%	43.26%	-25.87	3-1
2002-10-06	New England Patriots	W 26-13	1550.31	1624.60	46.99%	52.55%	+20.53	4-1
2002-10-13	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-22	1570.84	1549.55	44.95%	54.60%	+8.37	5-1
2002-10-20	Buffalo Bills	L 10-23	1579.21	1442.42	74.88%	24.77%	-29.22	5-2
2002-11-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-24	1549.99	1626.19	31.80%	67.80%	-12.91	5-3
2002-11-10	@ New York Jets	L 10-13	1537.08	1496.51	47.71%	51.84%	-8.96	5-4
2002-11-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 26-7	1528.12	1515.80	59.33%	40.23%	+19.02	6-4
2002-11-24	San Diego Chargers	W 30-3	1547.14	1509.62	62.77%	36.80%	+20.75	7-4
2002-12-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-38	1567.89	1434.53	60.87%	38.70%	-27.18	7-5
2002-12-09	Chicago Bears	W 27-9	1540.71	1454.53	69.04%	30.57%	+14.07	8-5
2002-12-15	Oakland Raiders	W 23-17	1554.78	1641.80	45.17%	54.37%	+14.43	9-5
2002-12-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-20	1569.21	1416.98	63.42%	36.16%	-11.90	9-6
2002-12-29	@ New England Patriots	L 24-27	1557.31	1556.34	42.08%	57.48%	-7.90	9-7
2002-09-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 23-27	1461.58	1561.26	28.95%	70.67%	-6.28	0-1
2002-09-15	Buffalo Bills	L 39-45	1455.30	1423.66	61.98%	37.59%	-16.44	0-2
2002-09-22	Carolina Panthers	L 14-21	1438.86	1460.19	54.60%	44.95%	-15.66	0-3
2002-09-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-48	1423.20	1458.52	37.09%	62.48%	-20.12	0-4
2002-10-13	Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1403.08	1406.44	57.14%	42.41%	+12.17	1-4
2002-10-20	@ New York Jets	L 7-20	1415.25	1450.54	37.10%	62.47%	-14.51	1-5
2002-10-27	Chicago Bears	W 25-7	1400.74	1506.23	42.56%	56.99%	+26.20	2-5
2002-11-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-38	1426.94	1604.53	20.67%	79.02%	-8.39	2-6
2002-11-10	New York Giants	L 20-27	1418.55	1480.39	48.78%	50.76%	-13.99	2-7
2002-11-17	Green Bay Packers	W 31-21	1404.56	1647.78	25.15%	74.50%	+25.50	3-7
2002-11-24	@ New England Patriots	L 17-24	1430.06	1581.22	23.27%	76.39%	-6.68	3-8
2002-12-01	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-30	1423.38	1548.72	39.80%	59.77%	-10.57	3-9
2002-12-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 22-26	1412.81	1613.43	18.59%	81.12%	-4.04	3-10
2002-12-15	@ New Orleans Saints	W 32-31	1408.77	1554.25	23.86%	75.80%	+8.21	4-10
2002-12-21	Miami Dolphins	W 20-17	1416.98	1569.21	36.16%	63.42%	+11.89	5-10
2002-12-29	@ Detroit Lions	W 38-36	1428.87	1339.65	54.69%	44.86%	+6.88	6-10
2002-09-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-14	1587.92	1581.95	58.45%	41.11%	+17.84	1-0
2002-09-15	@ New York Jets	W 44-7	1605.76	1533.58	52.25%	47.30%	+31.19	2-0
2002-09-22	Kansas City Chiefs	W 41-38	1636.95	1479.90	77.00%	22.67%	+4.25	3-0
2002-09-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-21	1641.20	1529.01	57.94%	41.62%	-16.60	3-1
2002-10-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-26	1624.60	1550.31	52.55%	46.99%	-20.53	3-2
2002-10-13	Green Bay Packers	L 10-28	1604.07	1585.67	60.17%	39.39%	-27.65	3-3
2002-10-27	Denver Broncos	L 16-24	1576.42	1551.12	61.12%	38.45%	-18.73	3-4
2002-11-03	@ Buffalo Bills	W 38-7	1557.69	1481.12	52.88%	46.67%	+28.17	4-4
2002-11-10	@ Chicago Bears	W 33-30	1585.86	1470.94	58.32%	41.24%	+7.75	5-4
2002-11-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-27	1593.61	1584.75	43.19%	56.37%	-12.39	5-5
2002-11-24	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-17	1581.22	1430.06	76.39%	23.27%	+6.68	6-5
2002-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-12	1587.90	1369.78	71.67%	27.95%	+8.57	7-5
2002-12-08	Buffalo Bills	W 27-17	1596.47	1461.71	74.66%	24.99%	+8.58	8-5
2002-12-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 7-24	1605.05	1534.56	52.01%	47.54%	-23.24	8-6
2002-12-22	New York Jets	L 17-30	1581.81	1525.74	65.23%	34.36%	-25.47	8-7
2002-12-29	Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1556.34	1557.31	57.48%	42.08%	+7.91	9-7
2002-09-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-20	1462.03	1535.17	32.18%	67.41%	+17.88	1-0
2002-09-15	Green Bay Packers	W 35-20	1479.91	1572.14	44.43%	55.12%	+23.13	2-0
2002-09-22	@ Chicago Bears	W 29-23	1503.04	1571.88	32.72%	66.87%	+17.73	3-0
2002-09-29	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-26	1520.77	1391.84	60.26%	39.30%	-14.59	3-1
2002-10-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 32-29	1506.18	1548.39	51.61%	47.94%	+9.00	4-1
2002-10-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 43-27	1515.18	1511.59	42.44%	57.11%	+24.75	5-1
2002-10-20	San Francisco 49ers	W 35-27	1539.93	1589.19	50.59%	48.95%	+15.01	6-1
2002-10-27	Atlanta Falcons	L 35-37	1554.94	1486.43	66.83%	32.76%	-10.23	6-2
2002-11-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-24	1544.71	1423.86	59.14%	40.42%	+13.86	7-2
2002-11-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-24	1558.57	1506.16	49.41%	50.14%	-14.17	7-3
2002-11-24	Cleveland Browns	L 15-24	1544.40	1483.90	65.80%	33.79%	-21.37	7-4
2002-12-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-20	1523.03	1637.25	41.34%	58.22%	+10.92	8-4
2002-12-08	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 37-25	1533.95	1508.96	45.47%	54.07%	+20.30	9-4
2002-12-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 31-32	1554.25	1408.77	75.80%	23.86%	-8.21	9-5
2002-12-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-20	1546.04	1295.86	75.25%	24.40%	-21.54	9-6
2002-12-29	Carolina Panthers	L 6-10	1524.50	1418.39	71.42%	28.20%	-15.46	9-7
2002-09-05	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-16	1487.01	1555.06	47.89%	51.66%	-9.00	0-1
2002-09-15	@ St. Louis Rams	W 26-21	1478.01	1601.55	26.22%	73.42%	+17.77	1-1
2002-09-22	Seattle Seahawks	W 9-6	1495.78	1465.62	61.78%	37.79%	+7.10	2-1
2002-09-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 7-21	1502.88	1459.72	48.08%	51.47%	-19.50	2-2
2002-10-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 21-17	1483.38	1448.03	46.96%	52.59%	+11.40	3-2
2002-10-13	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-17	1494.78	1443.64	64.58%	35.00%	-18.50	3-3
2002-10-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-17	1476.28	1637.95	22.21%	77.46%	-9.02	3-4
2002-11-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-17	1467.26	1494.10	53.81%	45.74%	+13.13	4-4
2002-11-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-20	1480.39	1418.55	50.76%	48.78%	+13.99	5-4
2002-11-17	Washington Redskins	W 19-17	1494.38	1483.15	59.18%	40.38%	+6.19	6-4
2002-11-24	@ Houston Texans	L 14-16	1500.57	1224.59	77.90%	21.77%	-11.92	6-5
2002-12-01	Tennessee Titans	L 29-32	1488.65	1508.90	54.75%	44.80%	-10.27	6-6
2002-12-08	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-21	1478.38	1472.95	42.70%	56.85%	+15.08	7-6
2002-12-15	Dallas Cowboys	W 37-7	1493.46	1419.87	67.47%	32.12%	+19.09	8-6
2002-12-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 44-27	1512.55	1537.23	38.53%	61.03%	+27.26	9-6
2002-12-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 10-7	1539.81	1688.93	36.57%	63.00%	+11.81	10-6
2002-09-08	@ Buffalo Bills	W 37-31	1521.53	1435.70	54.21%	45.34%	+12.05	1-0
2002-09-15	New England Patriots	L 7-44	1533.58	1605.76	47.30%	52.25%	-31.19	1-1
2002-09-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 3-30	1502.39	1556.68	34.59%	65.00%	-19.50	1-2
2002-09-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-28	1482.89	1505.00	38.88%	60.68%	-21.09	1-3
2002-10-06	Kansas City Chiefs	L 25-29	1461.80	1501.52	51.96%	47.58%	-11.26	1-4
2002-10-20	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-7	1450.54	1415.25	62.47%	37.10%	+14.51	2-4
2002-10-27	Cleveland Browns	L 21-24	1465.05	1469.47	56.99%	42.56%	-10.70	2-5
2002-11-03	@ San Diego Chargers	W 44-13	1454.35	1547.96	29.67%	69.94%	+42.16	3-5
2002-11-10	Miami Dolphins	W 13-10	1496.51	1537.08	51.84%	47.71%	+8.95	4-5
2002-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-14	1505.46	1394.31	57.79%	41.77%	+18.68	5-5
2002-11-24	Buffalo Bills	W 31-13	1524.14	1449.24	67.64%	31.96%	+14.71	6-5
2002-12-02	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-26	1538.85	1613.91	31.94%	67.66%	-8.49	6-6
2002-12-08	Denver Broncos	W 19-13	1530.36	1541.28	56.08%	43.48%	+11.55	7-6
2002-12-15	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-20	1541.91	1440.45	56.43%	43.13%	-16.17	7-7
2002-12-22	@ New England Patriots	W 30-17	1525.74	1581.81	34.36%	65.23%	+25.46	8-7
2002-12-29	Green Bay Packers	W 42-17	1551.20	1638.90	45.08%	54.47%	+29.51	9-7
2002-09-08	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-17	1553.59	1502.22	64.61%	34.97%	+14.20	1-0
2002-09-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-17	1567.79	1564.11	42.46%	57.10%	+22.30	2-0
2002-09-29	Tennessee Titans	W 52-25	1590.09	1486.40	71.14%	28.48%	+16.05	3-0
2002-10-06	@ Buffalo Bills	W 49-31	1606.14	1448.79	64.10%	35.48%	+16.33	4-0
2002-10-13	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-28	1622.47	1530.16	55.13%	44.42%	-23.13	4-1
2002-10-20	San Diego Chargers	L 21-27	1599.34	1530.22	66.91%	32.69%	-17.74	4-2
2002-10-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-20	1581.60	1498.49	53.82%	45.73%	-18.44	4-3
2002-11-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-23	1563.16	1585.03	54.52%	45.03%	-10.23	4-4
2002-11-11	@ Denver Broncos	W 34-10	1552.93	1569.84	39.59%	59.97%	+31.82	5-4
2002-11-17	New England Patriots	W 27-20	1584.75	1593.61	56.37%	43.19%	+12.39	6-4
2002-11-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 41-20	1597.14	1426.39	65.85%	33.74%	+16.77	7-4
2002-12-02	New York Jets	W 26-20	1613.91	1538.85	67.66%	31.94%	+8.49	8-4
2002-12-08	@ San Diego Chargers	W 27-7	1622.40	1498.41	59.58%	39.98%	+19.40	9-4
2002-12-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-23	1641.80	1554.78	54.37%	45.17%	-14.43	9-5
2002-12-22	Denver Broncos	W 28-16	1627.37	1542.81	68.84%	30.77%	+11.56	10-5
2002-12-28	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-0	1638.93	1547.53	69.67%	29.94%	+15.91	11-5
2002-09-08	@ Tennessee Titans	L 24-27	1599.59	1503.76	55.63%	43.92%	-10.44	0-1
2002-09-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-7	1589.15	1528.32	50.62%	48.93%	+29.05	1-1
2002-09-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 44-13	1618.20	1446.93	78.41%	21.27%	+12.84	2-1
2002-09-29	Houston Texans	W 35-17	1631.04	1273.02	91.37%	8.47%	+3.89	3-1
2002-10-06	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 25-28	1634.93	1526.08	57.47%	42.09%	-10.78	3-2
2002-10-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-10	1624.15	1611.93	59.32%	40.24%	+13.80	4-2
2002-10-28	New York Giants	W 17-3	1637.95	1476.28	77.46%	22.21%	+9.01	5-2
2002-11-03	@ Chicago Bears	W 19-13	1646.96	1480.04	65.35%	34.23%	+9.10	6-2
2002-11-10	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-35	1656.06	1469.11	79.89%	19.80%	-40.54	6-3
2002-11-17	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-14	1615.52	1437.34	79.07%	20.62%	+10.95	7-3
2002-11-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-17	1626.47	1591.47	46.91%	52.64%	+26.15	8-3
2002-12-01	St. Louis Rams	W 10-3	1652.62	1586.84	66.48%	33.11%	+9.50	9-3
2002-12-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-20	1662.12	1455.37	70.33%	29.29%	+8.41	10-3
2002-12-15	Washington Redskins	W 34-21	1670.53	1457.87	82.15%	17.56%	+6.86	11-3
2002-12-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-3	1677.39	1400.78	77.96%	21.71%	+11.54	12-3
2002-12-28	@ New York Giants	L 7-10	1688.93	1539.81	63.00%	36.57%	-11.82	12-4
2002-09-09	@ New England Patriots	L 14-30	1581.95	1587.92	41.11%	58.45%	-17.84	0-1
2002-09-15	Oakland Raiders	L 17-30	1564.11	1567.79	57.10%	42.46%	-22.30	0-2
2002-09-29	Cleveland Browns	W 16-13	1541.81	1490.94	64.55%	35.03%	+6.58	1-2
2002-10-06	@ New Orleans Saints	L 29-32	1548.39	1506.18	47.94%	51.61%	-9.00	1-3
2002-10-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-7	1539.39	1354.66	67.63%	31.97%	+18.02	2-3
2002-10-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 28-10	1557.41	1514.97	63.43%	36.14%	+16.64	3-3
2002-10-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 31-18	1574.05	1536.18	47.32%	52.23%	+20.41	4-3
2002-11-03	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-20	1594.46	1480.17	58.23%	41.33%	+7.76	5-3
2002-11-10	Atlanta Falcons	T 34-34	1602.22	1505.04	70.37%	29.25%	-1.11	5-3
2002-11-17	@ Tennessee Titans	L 23-31	1601.11	1496.27	56.90%	42.65%	-17.44	5-4
2002-11-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-21	1583.67	1337.47	84.80%	14.95%	+4.59	6-4
2002-12-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 25-23	1588.26	1497.84	54.86%	44.69%	+6.85	7-4
2002-12-08	Houston Texans	L 6-24	1595.11	1231.52	91.62%	8.22%	-42.00	7-5
2002-12-15	Carolina Panthers	W 30-14	1553.11	1411.86	75.35%	24.30%	+10.54	8-5
2002-12-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-7	1563.65	1647.68	30.83%	68.77%	+23.54	9-5
2002-12-29	Baltimore Ravens	W 34-31	1587.19	1488.31	70.57%	29.04%	+5.46	10-5
2002-09-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-6	1473.31	1444.89	45.96%	53.58%	+30.72	1-0
2002-09-15	Houston Texans	W 24-3	1504.03	1296.65	81.71%	18.01%	+8.95	2-0
2002-09-22	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-15	1512.98	1475.75	47.22%	52.32%	+16.03	3-0
2002-09-29	New England Patriots	W 21-14	1529.01	1641.20	41.62%	57.94%	+16.61	4-0
2002-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 9-26	1545.62	1529.80	44.17%	55.38%	-19.75	4-1
2002-10-13	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-34	1525.87	1512.78	59.44%	40.12%	+4.35	5-1
2002-10-20	@ Oakland Raiders	W 27-21	1530.22	1599.34	32.69%	66.91%	+17.74	6-1
2002-11-03	New York Jets	L 13-44	1547.96	1454.35	69.94%	29.67%	-42.15	6-2
2002-11-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-28	1505.81	1584.89	31.44%	68.16%	-6.82	6-3
2002-11-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1498.99	1602.10	42.89%	56.66%	+10.63	7-3
2002-11-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 3-30	1509.62	1547.14	36.80%	62.77%	-20.74	7-4
2002-12-01	Denver Broncos	W 30-27	1488.88	1550.81	48.77%	50.78%	+9.53	8-4
2002-12-08	Oakland Raiders	L 7-27	1498.41	1622.40	39.98%	59.58%	-19.39	8-5
2002-12-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-20	1479.02	1453.13	45.60%	53.95%	-13.09	8-6
2002-12-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 22-24	1465.93	1542.66	31.73%	67.87%	-4.87	8-7
2002-12-29	Seattle Seahawks	L 28-31	1461.06	1491.52	53.29%	46.26%	-10.00	8-8
2002-09-05	@ New York Giants	W 16-13	1555.06	1487.01	51.66%	47.89%	+9.00	1-0
2002-09-15	Denver Broncos	L 14-24	1564.06	1518.36	63.86%	35.71%	-21.87	1-1
2002-09-22	Washington Redskins	W 20-10	1542.19	1499.27	63.49%	36.08%	+12.38	2-1
2002-10-06	St. Louis Rams	W 37-13	1554.57	1552.27	57.94%	41.62%	+22.11	3-1
2002-10-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 28-21	1576.68	1478.64	55.94%	43.61%	+12.51	4-1
2002-10-20	@ New Orleans Saints	L 27-35	1589.19	1539.93	48.95%	50.59%	-15.01	4-2
2002-10-27	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-28	1574.18	1496.43	67.99%	31.61%	+10.85	5-2
2002-11-03	@ Oakland Raiders	W 23-20	1585.03	1563.16	45.03%	54.52%	+10.23	6-2
2002-11-10	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-13	1595.26	1516.93	68.07%	31.53%	+6.84	7-2
2002-11-17	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-20	1602.10	1498.99	56.66%	42.89%	-10.63	7-3
2002-11-25	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-38	1591.47	1626.47	52.64%	46.91%	-26.14	7-4
2002-12-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-24	1565.33	1463.61	70.91%	28.71%	+8.24	8-4
2002-12-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 31-27	1573.57	1427.90	62.54%	37.03%	+8.03	9-4
2002-12-15	Green Bay Packers	L 14-20	1581.60	1617.46	52.52%	47.03%	-13.94	9-5
2002-12-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-14	1567.66	1390.33	66.69%	32.90%	+6.19	10-5
2002-12-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 20-31	1573.85	1521.22	49.44%	50.11%	-5.93	10-6
2002-09-08	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-31	1502.22	1553.59	34.97%	64.61%	-14.19	0-1
2002-09-15	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-24	1488.03	1453.35	62.39%	37.18%	-22.41	0-2
2002-09-22	@ New York Giants	L 6-9	1465.62	1495.78	37.79%	61.78%	-7.10	0-3
2002-09-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 48-23	1458.52	1423.20	62.48%	37.09%	+20.12	1-3
2002-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-28	1478.64	1576.68	43.61%	55.94%	-12.51	1-4
2002-10-20	@ St. Louis Rams	L 20-37	1466.13	1553.29	30.45%	69.16%	-13.63	1-5
2002-10-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 17-14	1452.50	1434.88	44.43%	55.12%	+10.35	2-5
2002-11-03	Washington Redskins	L 3-14	1462.85	1484.97	54.48%	45.07%	-19.58	2-6
2002-11-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-6	1443.27	1467.61	38.58%	60.99%	+30.27	3-6
2002-11-17	Denver Broncos	L 9-31	1473.54	1538.02	48.40%	51.14%	-24.61	3-7
2002-11-24	Kansas City Chiefs	W 39-32	1448.93	1513.80	48.35%	51.20%	+14.68	4-7
2002-12-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-31	1463.61	1565.33	28.71%	70.91%	-8.24	4-8
2002-12-08	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-27	1455.37	1662.12	29.29%	70.33%	-8.41	4-9
2002-12-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-24	1446.96	1541.78	29.53%	70.08%	+18.59	5-9
2002-12-22	St. Louis Rams	W 30-10	1465.55	1547.20	45.94%	53.61%	+25.97	6-9
2002-12-29	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-28	1491.52	1461.06	46.26%	53.29%	+10.01	7-9
2002-09-08	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-23	1618.33	1501.57	58.57%	40.98%	-16.78	0-1
2002-09-15	New York Giants	L 21-26	1601.55	1478.01	73.42%	26.22%	-17.77	0-2
2002-09-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-26	1583.78	1549.71	46.77%	52.77%	-17.57	0-3
2002-09-29	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-13	1566.21	1434.09	74.37%	25.27%	-13.94	0-4
2002-10-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-37	1552.27	1554.57	41.62%	57.94%	-22.11	0-5
2002-10-13	Oakland Raiders	W 28-13	1530.16	1622.47	44.42%	55.13%	+23.13	1-5
2002-10-20	Seattle Seahawks	W 37-20	1553.29	1466.13	69.16%	30.45%	+13.62	2-5
2002-11-03	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-14	1566.91	1485.59	53.56%	45.99%	+17.98	3-5
2002-11-10	San Diego Chargers	W 28-24	1584.89	1505.81	68.16%	31.44%	+6.82	4-5
2002-11-18	Chicago Bears	W 21-16	1591.71	1463.19	73.97%	25.67%	+6.23	5-5
2002-11-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1597.94	1476.96	59.16%	40.40%	-11.10	5-6
2002-12-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-10	1586.84	1652.62	33.11%	66.48%	-9.51	5-7
2002-12-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-49	1577.33	1522.03	49.82%	49.72%	-33.72	5-8
2002-12-15	Arizona Cardinals	W 30-28	1543.61	1393.92	76.24%	23.42%	+3.59	6-8
2002-12-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-30	1547.20	1465.55	53.61%	45.94%	-25.98	6-9
2002-12-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-20	1521.22	1573.85	50.11%	49.44%	+5.93	7-9
2002-09-08	New Orleans Saints	L 20-26	1535.17	1462.03	67.41%	32.18%	-17.88	0-1
2002-09-15	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 25-0	1517.29	1533.49	39.69%	59.87%	+32.42	1-1
2002-09-23	St. Louis Rams	W 26-14	1549.71	1583.78	52.77%	46.77%	+17.57	2-1
2002-09-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-7	1567.28	1379.85	67.96%	31.63%	+18.16	3-1
2002-10-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-6	1585.44	1459.77	59.81%	39.75%	+16.13	4-1
2002-10-13	Cleveland Browns	W 17-3	1601.57	1471.57	74.14%	25.51%	+10.36	5-1
2002-10-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-20	1611.93	1624.15	40.24%	59.32%	-13.81	5-2
2002-10-27	@ Carolina Panthers	W 12-9	1598.12	1430.27	65.47%	34.11%	+6.41	6-2
2002-11-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-24	1604.53	1426.94	79.02%	20.67%	+8.39	7-2
2002-11-17	Carolina Panthers	W 23-10	1612.92	1409.99	81.32%	18.39%	+7.19	8-2
2002-11-24	Green Bay Packers	W 21-7	1620.11	1622.28	57.31%	42.25%	+17.14	9-2
2002-12-01	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-23	1637.25	1523.03	58.22%	41.34%	-10.92	9-3
2002-12-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-10	1626.33	1559.29	66.64%	32.95%	+17.51	10-3
2002-12-15	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1643.84	1353.98	79.24%	20.45%	+3.84	11-3
2002-12-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-17	1647.68	1563.65	68.77%	30.83%	-23.54	11-4
2002-12-29	@ Chicago Bears	W 15-0	1624.14	1439.55	67.61%	31.99%	+13.44	12-4
2002-09-08	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1503.76	1599.59	43.92%	55.63%	+10.44	1-0
2002-09-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-21	1514.20	1430.41	53.91%	45.63%	-16.52	1-1
2002-09-22	Cleveland Browns	L 28-31	1497.68	1479.66	60.12%	39.44%	-11.28	1-2
2002-09-29	@ Oakland Raiders	L 25-52	1486.40	1590.09	28.48%	71.14%	-16.06	1-3
2002-10-06	Washington Redskins	L 14-31	1470.34	1486.89	55.28%	44.27%	-24.69	1-4
2002-10-13	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-14	1445.65	1536.87	44.58%	54.97%	+17.87	2-4
2002-10-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-24	1463.52	1336.64	59.98%	39.58%	+10.52	3-4
2002-11-03	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-15	1474.04	1487.33	40.09%	59.47%	+18.22	4-4
2002-11-10	Houston Texans	W 17-10	1492.26	1232.74	85.76%	14.00%	+4.01	5-4
2002-11-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-23	1496.27	1601.11	42.65%	56.90%	+17.44	6-4
2002-11-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 12-13	1513.71	1496.78	44.33%	55.22%	-4.81	6-5
2002-12-01	@ New York Giants	W 32-29	1508.90	1488.65	44.80%	54.75%	+10.27	7-5
2002-12-08	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-17	1519.17	1539.82	54.69%	44.86%	+15.39	8-5
2002-12-16	New England Patriots	W 24-7	1534.56	1605.05	47.54%	52.01%	+23.23	9-5
2002-12-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-10	1557.79	1498.10	50.45%	49.09%	+22.58	10-5
2002-12-29	@ Houston Texans	W 13-3	1580.37	1258.66	82.08%	17.64%	+6.05	11-5
2002-09-08	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-23	1517.69	1463.98	64.92%	34.66%	+10.63	1-0
2002-09-16	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-37	1528.32	1589.15	48.93%	50.62%	-29.05	1-1
2002-09-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-20	1499.27	1542.19	36.08%	63.49%	-12.38	1-2
2002-10-06	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-14	1486.89	1470.34	44.27%	55.28%	+24.70	2-2
2002-10-13	New Orleans Saints	L 27-43	1511.59	1515.18	57.11%	42.44%	-24.75	2-3
2002-10-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 9-30	1486.84	1613.32	25.89%	73.75%	-12.87	2-4
2002-10-27	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-21	1473.97	1498.33	54.16%	45.39%	+11.00	3-4
2002-11-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 14-3	1484.97	1462.85	45.07%	54.48%	+19.58	4-4
2002-11-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-26	1504.55	1480.98	45.27%	54.28%	-21.40	4-5
2002-11-17	@ New York Giants	L 17-19	1483.15	1494.38	40.38%	59.18%	-6.19	4-6
2002-11-24	St. Louis Rams	W 20-17	1476.96	1597.94	40.40%	59.16%	+11.10	5-6
2002-11-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-27	1488.06	1412.80	52.69%	46.85%	-15.11	5-7
2002-12-08	New York Giants	L 21-27	1472.95	1478.38	56.85%	42.70%	-15.08	5-8
2002-12-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-34	1457.87	1670.53	17.56%	82.15%	-6.87	5-9
2002-12-22	Houston Texans	W 26-10	1451.00	1267.38	79.58%	20.11%	+8.72	6-9
2002-12-29	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-14	1459.72	1389.24	67.08%	32.52%	+8.64	7-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2003-01-04	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-7	1518.65	1609.39	30.18%	69.82%	+33.69	1-0
2003-01-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-20	1552.34	1677.11	26.22%	73.78%	-10.58	1-1
2003-01-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 33-36	1499.10	1592.65	29.84%	70.16%	-5.58	0-1
2003-01-04	Atlanta Falcons	L 7-27	1609.39	1518.65	69.82%	30.18%	-33.69	0-1
2003-01-04	@ New York Jets	L 0-41	1520.65	1580.71	34.03%	65.97%	-23.51	0-1
2003-01-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 38-39	1551.62	1567.92	39.89%	60.11%	-4.30	0-1
2003-01-04	Indianapolis Colts	W 41-0	1580.71	1520.65	65.97%	34.03%	+23.51	1-0
2003-01-12	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-30	1604.22	1654.84	35.26%	64.74%	-17.01	1-1
2003-01-12	New York Jets	W 30-10	1654.84	1604.22	64.74%	35.26%	+17.02	1-0
2003-01-19	Tennessee Titans	W 41-24	1671.86	1594.61	68.16%	31.84%	+14.16	2-0
2003-01-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-48	1686.02	1683.28	50.40%	49.60%	-28.25	2-1
2003-01-11	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-6	1677.11	1552.34	73.78%	26.22%	+10.59	1-0
2003-01-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-27	1687.70	1655.57	62.28%	37.72%	-27.71	1-1
2003-01-05	Cleveland Browns	W 36-33	1592.65	1499.10	70.16%	29.84%	+5.58	1-0
2003-01-11	@ Tennessee Titans	L 31-34	1598.23	1586.42	43.82%	56.18%	-8.19	1-1
2003-01-05	New York Giants	W 39-38	1567.92	1551.62	60.11%	39.89%	+4.31	1-0
2003-01-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-31	1572.23	1637.58	33.35%	66.65%	-17.99	1-1
2003-01-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-6	1637.58	1572.23	66.65%	33.35%	+17.99	1-0
2003-01-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-10	1655.57	1687.70	37.72%	62.28%	+27.71	2-0
2003-01-26	Oakland Raiders	W 48-21	1683.28	1686.02	49.60%	50.40%	+28.25	3-0
2003-01-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-31	1586.42	1598.23	56.18%	43.82%	+8.19	1-0
2003-01-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-41	1594.61	1671.86	31.84%	68.16%	-14.17	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2002-12-08	8.22%	Houston Texans	1231.52	24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1595.11	6
2	2002-10-27	14.23%	Houston Texans	1250.92	21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1507.18	19
3	2002-11-10	19.80%	Indianapolis Colts	1469.11	35	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1656.06	13
4	2002-11-24	21.77%	@ Houston Texans	1224.59	16	New York Giants	1500.57	14
5	2002-12-15	23.86%	Minnesota Vikings	1408.77	32	@ New Orleans Saints	1554.25	31
6	2002-12-22	24.40%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1295.86	20	New Orleans Saints	1546.04	13
7	2002-10-20	24.77%	Buffalo Bills	1442.42	23	@ Miami Dolphins	1579.21	10
8	2002-11-17	25.15%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1404.56	31	Green Bay Packers	1647.78	21
9	2002-09-29	25.27%	Dallas Cowboys	1434.09	13	@ St. Louis Rams	1566.21	10
10	2002-12-01	25.41%	Carolina Panthers	1374.42	13	@ Cleveland Browns	1505.27	6
11	2002-09-15	26.22%	New York Giants	1478.01	26	@ St. Louis Rams	1601.55	21
12	2002-12-29	28.20%	Carolina Panthers	1418.39	10	@ New Orleans Saints	1524.50	6
13	2002-12-15	29.53%	Seattle Seahawks	1446.96	30	@ Atlanta Falcons	1541.78	24
14	2002-11-03	29.67%	New York Jets	1454.35	44	@ San Diego Chargers	1547.96	13
15	2003-01-04 *	30.18%	Atlanta Falcons	1518.65	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1609.39	7
16	2002-12-23	30.83%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1563.65	17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1647.68	7
17	2002-09-08	32.18%	New Orleans Saints	1462.03	26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1535.17	20
18	2002-10-20	32.69%	San Diego Chargers	1530.22	27	@ Oakland Raiders	1599.34	21
19	2002-09-22	32.72%	New Orleans Saints	1503.04	29	@ Chicago Bears	1571.88	23
20	2002-10-27	32.76%	Atlanta Falcons	1486.43	37	@ New Orleans Saints	1554.94	35
21	2002-09-08	32.94%	@ Houston Texans	1275.00	19	Dallas Cowboys	1452.06	10
22	2002-11-24	33.79%	Cleveland Browns	1483.90	24	@ New Orleans Saints	1544.40	15
23	2002-12-22	34.36%	New York Jets	1525.74	30	@ New England Patriots	1581.81	17
24	2002-10-13	35.00%	Atlanta Falcons	1443.64	17	@ New York Giants	1494.78	10
25	2002-09-15	35.71%	Denver Broncos	1518.36	24	@ San Francisco 49ers	1564.06	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2002-11-03	42.16	New York Jets	44	1454.35	29.67%	@ San Diego Chargers	13	1547.96	69.94%
2	2002-12-08	42.00	Houston Texans	24	1231.52	8.22%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	6	1595.11	91.62%
3	2002-11-10	40.54	Indianapolis Colts	35	1469.11	19.80%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	13	1656.06	79.89%
4	2002-12-08	33.72	@ Kansas City Chiefs	49	1522.03	49.72%	St. Louis Rams	10	1577.33	49.82%
5	2003-01-04 *	33.69	Atlanta Falcons	27	1518.65	30.18%	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1609.39	69.82%
6	2002-09-15	32.43	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25	1517.29	39.69%	@ Baltimore Ravens	0	1533.49	59.87%
7	2002-11-11	31.82	Oakland Raiders	34	1552.93	39.59%	@ Denver Broncos	10	1569.84	59.97%
8	2002-11-03	31.26	Cincinnati Bengals	38	1326.12	50.80%	@ Houston Texans	3	1264.00	48.74%
9	2002-09-15	31.19	New England Patriots	44	1605.76	52.25%	@ New York Jets	7	1533.58	47.30%
10	2002-09-08	30.72	San Diego Chargers	34	1473.31	45.96%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	6	1444.89	53.58%
11	2002-11-10	30.27	Seattle Seahawks	27	1443.27	38.58%	@ Arizona Cardinals	6	1467.61	60.99%
12	2002-12-29	29.51	@ New York Jets	42	1551.20	45.08%	Green Bay Packers	17	1638.90	54.47%
13	2002-10-20	29.22	Buffalo Bills	23	1442.42	24.77%	@ Miami Dolphins	10	1579.21	74.88%
14	2002-09-16	29.05	Philadelphia Eagles	37	1589.15	50.62%	@ Washington Redskins	7	1528.32	48.93%
15	2002-11-24	28.39	Atlanta Falcons	41	1520.33	58.68%	@ Carolina Panthers	0	1402.81	40.88%
16	2003-01-26 *	28.25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48	1683.28	49.60%	Oakland Raiders	21	1686.02	50.40%
17	2002-11-03	28.17	New England Patriots	38	1557.69	52.88%	@ Buffalo Bills	7	1481.12	46.67%
18	2003-01-19 *	27.71	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	27	1655.57	37.72%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	10	1687.70	62.28%
19	2002-10-13	27.65	Green Bay Packers	28	1585.67	39.39%	@ New England Patriots	10	1604.07	60.17%
20	2002-12-22	27.26	New York Giants	44	1512.55	38.53%	@ Indianapolis Colts	27	1537.23	61.03%
21	2002-12-01	27.18	@ Buffalo Bills	38	1434.53	38.70%	Miami Dolphins	21	1567.89	60.87%
22	2002-10-27	26.20	@ Minnesota Vikings	25	1400.74	42.56%	Chicago Bears	7	1506.23	56.99%
23	2002-11-25	26.15	Philadelphia Eagles	38	1626.47	46.91%	@ San Francisco 49ers	17	1591.47	52.64%
24	2002-12-22	25.98	@ Seattle Seahawks	30	1465.55	45.94%	St. Louis Rams	10	1547.20	53.61%
25	2002-09-29	25.88	@ Kansas City Chiefs	48	1475.64	43.26%	Miami Dolphins	30	1576.18	56.30%