2001 NFL Season

248 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

New England Patriots

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

St. Louis Rams

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1999

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Bears

3.75 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.25 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Carolina Panthers

5.07 wins below expected

1 wins · 6.07 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	13	3	.812	-	352	212	+140	10.20	+2.80
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	303	265	+38	9.77	+0.23
3	Cleveland Browns	7	9	.438	6	285	319	-34	6.23	+0.77
4	Tennessee Titans	7	9	.438	6	336	388	-52	7.71	-0.71
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	10	.375	7	294	286	+8	7.84	-1.84
6	Cincinnati Bengals	6	10	.375	7	226	309	-83	5.79	+0.21

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	11	5	.688	-	371	272	+99	8.49	+2.51
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	11	5	.688	-	344	290	+54	9.41	+1.59
3	New York Jets Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	308	295	+13	8.64	+1.36
4	Indianapolis Colts	6	10	.375	5	413	486	-73	7.48	-1.48
5	Buffalo Bills	3	13	.188	8	265	420	-155	5.48	-2.48

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	10	6	.625	-	399	327	+72	10.61	-0.61
2	Seattle Seahawks	9	7	.562	1	301	324	-23	7.66	+1.34
3	Denver Broncos	8	8	.500	2	340	339	+1	8.76	-0.76
4	Kansas City Chiefs	6	10	.375	4	320	344	-24	6.85	-0.85
5	San Diego Chargers	5	11	.312	5	332	321	+11	7.99	-2.99

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	13	3	.812	-	338	203	+135	9.25	+3.75
2	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	390	266	+124	10.17	+1.83
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	324	280	+44	8.82	+0.18
4	Minnesota Vikings	5	11	.312	8	290	390	-100	7.00	-2.00
5	Detroit Lions	2	14	.125	11	270	424	-154	5.22	-3.22

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	11	5	.688	-	343	208	+135	9.95	+1.05
2	Washington Redskins	8	8	.500	3	256	303	-47	7.02	+0.98
3	New York Giants	7	9	.438	4	294	321	-27	8.52	-1.52
4	Arizona Cardinals	7	9	.438	4	295	343	-48	5.59	+1.41
5	Dallas Cowboys	5	11	.312	6	246	338	-92	6.59	-1.59

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	St. Louis Rams Division	14	2	.875	-	503	273	+230	11.00	+3.00
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	4	.750	2	409	282	+127	9.08	+2.92
3	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	7	333	409	-76	8.02	-1.02
4	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	7	291	377	-86	6.83	+0.17
5	Carolina Panthers	1	15	.062	13	253	410	-157	6.07	-5.07

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Oakland Raiders 38

New York Jets 24

Jan 12

Baltimore Ravens 20

Miami Dolphins 3

Jan 13

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 16

Oakland Raiders 13

Jan 19

Pittsburgh Steelers 27

Baltimore Ravens 10

Jan 20

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 24

Pittsburgh Steelers 17

Jan 27

NFC

Wild Card Round

Philadelphia Eagles 31

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9

Jan 12

Green Bay Packers 25

San Francisco 49ers 15

Jan 13

Divisional Round

Philadelphia Eagles 33

Chicago Bears 19

Jan 19

St. Louis Rams 45

Green Bay Packers 17

Jan 20

Conference Championship

St. Louis Rams 29

Philadelphia Eagles 24

Jan 27

Super Bowl

New England Patriots 20

St. Louis Rams 17

Feb 3

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1734	14	11.00	+3.00	98.36%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1673	13	10.20	+2.80	96.91%	1	7	9	10	11	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1655	13	9.25	+3.75	99.11%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1645	12	10.17	+1.83	89.66%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1638	11	9.95	+1.05	79.76%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1631	12	9.08	+2.92	96.76%	0	6	8	9	10	12	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1622	11	8.49	+2.51	94.48%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1592	10	10.61	-0.61	46.87%	2	8	9	11	12	13	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1589	9	8.82	+0.18	63.95%	0	6	7	9	10	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1576	10	9.77	+0.23	64.93%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1575	11	9.41	+1.59	86.42%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1561	10	8.64	+1.36	83.76%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1528	8	7.02	+0.98	78.62%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC Central	1494	7	7.71	-0.71	46.26%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1491	9	7.66	+1.34	82.88%	0	4	6	8	9	11	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1489	8	8.76	-0.76	44.81%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1480	6	7.84	-1.84	24.75%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1465	6	7.48	-1.48	30.72%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1462	6	6.85	-0.85	43.85%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1456	7	8.52	-1.52	29.91%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC Central	1424	7	6.23	+0.77	75.76%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1409	7	5.59	+1.41	84.93%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1408	7	8.02	-1.02	39.87%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1403	5	7.99	-2.99	9.82%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1400	5	7.00	-2.00	22.35%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1384	7	6.83	+0.17	64.54%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1381	5	6.59	-1.59	29.20%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1373	6	5.79	+0.21	65.90%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1336	3	5.48	-2.48	14.09%	0	3	4	5	7	9	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1334	2	5.22	-3.22	5.85%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1290	1	6.07	-5.07	0.41%	0	3	5	6	7	9	15

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Jaguars	Steelers	Titans
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	-	-
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	-
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	3-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	4-0 (2.3 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.81%	1.61%	1.81%	1.01%	1.61%	—	7.86%
7–13	1.81%	4.03%	6.85%	3.02%	2.62%	0.40%	0.60%	19.35%
14–20	1.61%	6.85%	6.85%	6.05%	2.22%	1.01%	0.81%	25.40%
21–27	1.81%	3.02%	6.05%	9.27%	4.23%	0.81%	0.81%	26.01%
28–34	1.01%	2.62%	2.22%	4.23%	2.02%	1.01%	—	13.10%
35–41	1.61%	0.40%	1.01%	0.81%	1.01%	0.40%	0.40%	5.65%
42+	—	0.60%	0.81%	0.81%	—	0.40%	—	2.62%
Total	7.86%	19.35%	25.40%	26.01%	13.10%	5.65%	2.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.21	20.21	+0.00
SD	9.98	9.98	14.23
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	48	48	+38
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 248

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	56.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.44	21.44	-3.00
SD	10.70	9.14	11.61
CV	0.58	0.43	—
Max	45	38	+23
Min	3	7	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.19	23.56	-5.38
SD	9.75	10.03	13.87
CV	0.54	0.43	—
Max	34	41	+20
Min	3	7	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	43.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.94	16.56	+2.38
SD	7.05	9.66	10.66
CV	0.37	0.58	—
Max	39	31	+19
Min	10	0	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.56	26.25	-9.69
SD	10.55	10.34	11.06
CV	0.64	0.39	—
Max	36	42	+5
Min	0	9	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	25.00%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	6.25%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.81	25.62	-9.81
SD	8.25	9.95	12.30
CV	0.52	0.39	—
Max	32	48	+11
Min	6	10	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	18.75%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.12	12.69	+8.44
SD	9.22	8.93	12.44
CV	0.44	0.70	—
Max	37	31	+28
Min	6	0	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	56.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.12	19.31	-5.19
SD	9.82	5.71	10.87
CV	0.70	0.30	—
Max	31	30	+11
Min	0	10	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.81	19.94	-2.12
SD	9.07	9.75	12.07
CV	0.51	0.49	—
Max	41	38	+18
Min	6	0	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.38	21.12	-5.75
SD	7.74	10.61	12.55
CV	0.50	0.50	—
Max	27	40	+14
Min	3	3	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.25	21.19	+0.06
SD	8.74	8.52	12.48
CV	0.41	0.40	—
Max	38	38	+21
Min	10	6	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.88	26.50	-9.62
SD	10.59	10.20	12.16
CV	0.63	0.39	—
Max	38	47	+5
Min	0	10	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	25.00%	—	—	—	43.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	37.50%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.38	16.62	+7.75
SD	7.52	9.74	13.88
CV	0.31	0.59	—
Max	37	35	+37
Min	10	0	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.81	30.38	-4.56
SD	10.99	10.00	18.64
CV	0.43	0.33	—
Max	45	44	+21
Min	6	10	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.38	17.88	+0.50
SD	7.21	9.80	12.73
CV	0.39	0.55	—
Max	33	33	+30
Min	7	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	21.50	-1.50
SD	10.60	6.82	12.11
CV	0.53	0.32	—
Max	45	35	+32
Min	3	7	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	—	—	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	18.12	+3.38
SD	11.71	9.46	18.04
CV	0.54	0.52	—
Max	41	42	+35
Min	0	6	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	24.38	-6.25
SD	11.29	9.75	15.83
CV	0.62	0.40	—
Max	42	48	+22
Min	3	13	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.19	17.00	+6.19
SD	11.21	7.68	14.70
CV	0.48	0.45	—
Max	44	31	+32
Min	3	6	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	25.56	-4.75
SD	9.67	11.44	17.08
CV	0.46	0.45	—
Max	34	48	+18
Min	0	6	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.38	20.06	-1.69
SD	5.67	9.84	9.39
CV	0.31	0.49	—
Max	27	35	+14
Min	9	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.25	18.44	+0.81
SD	8.93	12.23	11.87
CV	0.46	0.66	—
Max	42	45	+24
Min	7	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.94	20.44	+4.50
SD	8.41	8.31	8.67
CV	0.34	0.41	—
Max	38	34	+24
Min	10	6	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.44	13.00	+8.44
SD	12.37	6.21	14.07
CV	0.58	0.48	—
Max	48	21	+33
Min	3	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	50.00%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.00	13.25	+8.75
SD	10.36	6.99	12.26
CV	0.47	0.53	—
Max	47	26	+33
Min	3	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.75	20.06	+0.69
SD	7.46	7.83	10.87
CV	0.36	0.39	—
Max	32	34	+27
Min	6	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.56	17.62	+7.94
SD	8.60	12.12	14.24
CV	0.34	0.69	—
Max	40	37	+38
Min	13	0	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%	43.75%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.81	20.25	-1.44
SD	9.61	8.77	13.28
CV	0.51	0.43	—
Max	34	38	+26
Min	3	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.44	17.06	+14.38
SD	9.19	8.84	13.65
CV	0.29	0.52	—
Max	48	34	+35
Min	15	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	17.50	+2.75
SD	11.42	6.84	12.29
CV	0.56	0.39	—
Max	48	31	+27
Min	3	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	24.25	-3.25
SD	9.74	10.48	11.58
CV	0.46	0.43	—
Max	38	42	+16
Min	6	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.00	18.94	-2.94
SD	10.86	10.95	18.21
CV	0.68	0.58	—
Max	40	45	+30
Min	0	3	-37

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.45	+0.4
Allowed	0.61	-0.4
Differential	0.86	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Bears	13	9.25	+3.75
2	St. Louis Rams	14	11.00	+3.00
3	San Francisco 49ers	12	9.08	+2.92
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	13	10.20	+2.80
5	New England Patriots	11	8.49	+2.51

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	1	6.07	-5.07
2	Detroit Lions	2	5.22	-3.22
3	San Diego Chargers	5	7.99	-2.99
4	Buffalo Bills	3	5.48	-2.48
5	Minnesota Vikings	5	7.00	-2.00

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Washington Redskins	5	Oct 21 – Nov 25	1 in 183
2	Arizona Cardinals	3	Nov 18 – Dec 2	1 in 54
3	Chicago Bears	6	Sep 23 – Nov 4	1 in 35
4	St. Louis Rams	6	Sep 9 – Oct 21	1 in 29
5	Cleveland Browns	3	Sep 23 – Oct 7	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	15	Sep 23 – Jan 6	1 in 1,776
2	San Diego Chargers	9	Nov 4 – Dec 30	1 in 412
3	Detroit Lions	12	Sep 9 – Dec 9	1 in 227
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Sep 30 – Nov 4	1 in 72
5	Oakland Raiders	3	Dec 22 – Jan 6	1 in 27

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.07%	28.07%	15.01%	7.60%	3.21%	1.05%
Baltimore Ravens	34.66%	31.05%	18.06%	9.85%	4.67%	1.71%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.87%	16.22%	23.42%	23.15%	17.63%	10.70%
Tennessee Titans	8.31%	15.39%	22.94%	23.48%	18.44%	11.43%
Cleveland Browns	1.95%	5.58%	11.92%	19.93%	29.30%	31.31%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.14%	3.69%	8.65%	15.98%	26.74%	43.79%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Miami Dolphins	40.52%	26.44%	18.17%	11.13%	3.74%
New York Jets	25.00%	26.55%	23.52%	17.89%	7.03%
New England Patriots	21.55%	24.80%	24.87%	20.52%	8.27%
Indianapolis Colts	11.49%	18.07%	24.39%	29.44%	16.61%
Buffalo Bills	1.45%	4.14%	9.05%	21.02%	64.34%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Oakland Raiders	59.99%	22.70%	10.50%	4.91%	1.91%
Denver Broncos	18.19%	28.70%	23.82%	17.77%	11.52%
San Diego Chargers	9.85%	20.62%	24.84%	24.65%	20.03%
Seattle Seahawks	7.93%	17.39%	23.11%	26.36%	25.21%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.05%	10.59%	17.74%	26.30%	41.33%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	46.47%	27.97%	16.78%	7.11%	1.66%
Chicago Bears	27.12%	30.37%	25.53%	13.60%	3.37%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20.78%	27.59%	28.73%	17.63%	5.27%
Minnesota Vikings	5.06%	11.94%	21.92%	39.67%	21.41%
Detroit Lions	0.56%	2.13%	7.04%	21.98%	68.28%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Philadelphia Eagles	59.10%	24.71%	10.51%	4.28%	1.39%
New York Giants	25.51%	35.85%	21.31%	11.98%	5.35%
Washington Redskins	7.68%	18.14%	28.47%	27.05%	18.66%
Dallas Cowboys	5.62%	14.15%	24.20%	29.79%	26.24%
Arizona Cardinals	2.08%	7.14%	15.51%	26.90%	48.36%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
St. Louis Rams	66.80%	22.20%	7.96%	2.50%	0.53%
San Francisco 49ers	20.03%	36.85%	23.84%	13.30%	5.99%
New Orleans Saints	8.96%	23.23%	31.76%	22.71%	13.34%
Atlanta Falcons	2.91%	11.30%	21.41%	32.63%	31.74%
Carolina Panthers	1.30%	6.42%	15.02%	28.86%	48.40%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Oakland Raiders	26.98%	19.12%	13.57%	9.90%	7.46%	5.83%	4.51%	3.50%	2.77%	2.10%	1.59%	1.13%	0.73%	0.49%	0.26%	0.06%
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.21%	16.44%	13.10%	10.58%	8.94%	7.48%	5.70%	4.72%	3.79%	3.01%	2.33%	1.72%	1.27%	0.86%	0.54%	0.32%
Baltimore Ravens	13.84%	13.22%	11.99%	10.93%	9.83%	8.35%	6.78%	5.98%	4.83%	3.98%	3.23%	2.42%	1.93%	1.26%	0.83%	0.61%
Miami Dolphins	11.03%	11.85%	12.06%	10.33%	9.23%	8.62%	7.11%	6.37%	5.95%	4.65%	3.99%	3.32%	2.24%	1.66%	1.16%	0.44%
Denver Broncos	6.48%	6.93%	7.97%	9.22%	8.87%	8.50%	8.45%	7.64%	7.14%	6.56%	5.76%	5.20%	4.26%	3.69%	2.42%	0.92%
New York Jets	5.36%	7.19%	8.58%	8.27%	8.88%	8.97%	8.19%	7.97%	7.56%	6.76%	6.13%	5.65%	4.05%	3.06%	2.34%	1.04%
New England Patriots	4.28%	6.22%	7.73%	7.68%	8.20%	8.78%	8.29%	8.16%	8.16%	7.17%	6.66%	6.28%	4.59%	3.62%	2.86%	1.32%
San Diego Chargers	2.72%	3.69%	4.76%	6.00%	7.09%	7.52%	7.98%	8.27%	8.13%	8.33%	7.98%	7.45%	6.74%	6.35%	4.54%	2.43%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.38%	3.45%	4.39%	5.50%	6.04%	6.47%	7.69%	8.02%	8.08%	8.27%	8.08%	7.43%	7.60%	6.22%	5.20%	5.18%
Seattle Seahawks	2.10%	2.98%	3.92%	5.12%	5.92%	6.43%	7.29%	7.67%	8.04%	8.24%	8.60%	8.15%	7.81%	7.73%	6.21%	3.78%
Tennessee Titans	2.29%	3.30%	3.86%	5.22%	5.77%	6.22%	7.17%	7.82%	8.07%	8.27%	8.29%	7.83%	8.04%	6.88%	5.50%	5.47%
Indianapolis Colts	1.75%	2.89%	3.93%	4.95%	5.53%	6.49%	7.08%	7.52%	8.37%	8.22%	8.68%	9.62%	7.74%	6.79%	6.59%	3.85%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.97%	1.37%	2.01%	2.93%	3.64%	4.25%	5.32%	5.94%	6.71%	7.71%	8.63%	9.41%	10.46%	12.26%	11.09%	7.28%
Cleveland Browns	0.32%	0.66%	1.08%	1.57%	2.09%	2.63%	3.75%	4.48%	5.01%	6.67%	7.66%	8.78%	11.52%	12.22%	12.93%	18.63%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.17%	0.41%	0.57%	1.02%	1.38%	1.84%	2.58%	3.25%	3.94%	5.46%	6.49%	7.62%	10.74%	12.51%	15.42%	26.62%
Buffalo Bills	0.11%	0.28%	0.46%	0.78%	1.14%	1.62%	2.12%	2.67%	3.46%	4.61%	5.90%	7.98%	10.30%	14.41%	22.11%	22.05%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
St. Louis Rams	33.32%	21.06%	14.20%	9.74%	6.95%	4.89%	3.49%	2.36%	1.62%	0.97%	0.67%	0.40%	0.20%	0.10%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers	17.87%	17.42%	14.02%	11.53%	9.62%	7.74%	6.23%	4.93%	3.56%	2.62%	1.93%	1.23%	0.71%	0.44%	0.17%
Philadelphia Eagles	15.75%	16.30%	16.74%	11.64%	9.45%	8.47%	5.95%	4.62%	3.82%	2.59%	1.91%	1.30%	0.82%	0.43%	0.22%
Chicago Bears	8.54%	10.67%	10.82%	11.32%	10.97%	9.71%	9.01%	7.83%	6.22%	4.91%	3.92%	2.80%	1.65%	1.07%	0.56%
San Francisco 49ers	7.66%	8.71%	9.90%	11.69%	11.39%	10.06%	8.94%	7.96%	6.42%	5.37%	4.26%	3.13%	2.33%	1.47%	0.71%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.41%	8.26%	8.77%	10.06%	10.00%	9.66%	9.51%	8.92%	7.61%	6.17%	5.21%	4.09%	2.62%	1.73%	0.98%
New York Giants	4.42%	6.72%	9.00%	9.51%	10.42%	11.37%	9.56%	8.45%	8.21%	6.32%	5.10%	4.35%	3.14%	2.12%	1.32%
New Orleans Saints	2.73%	3.93%	5.27%	7.41%	8.36%	8.83%	10.00%	9.91%	9.19%	8.69%	7.56%	6.46%	5.27%	4.03%	2.37%
Washington Redskins	0.85%	1.72%	2.85%	3.91%	5.12%	6.54%	7.30%	8.62%	10.23%	9.80%	10.01%	10.23%	8.74%	7.54%	6.52%
Minnesota Vikings	0.90%	1.92%	2.59%	3.85%	4.81%	5.53%	7.24%	7.97%	8.86%	10.52%	11.38%	10.97%	8.94%	7.99%	6.53%
Atlanta Falcons	0.69%	1.18%	1.95%	3.29%	4.23%	5.07%	6.83%	7.83%	8.50%	10.42%	10.66%	10.82%	10.90%	10.02%	7.62%
Dallas Cowboys	0.47%	1.17%	1.99%	2.72%	3.84%	5.23%	6.12%	7.62%	9.04%	9.33%	10.24%	11.32%	10.84%	10.16%	9.91%
Carolina Panthers	0.25%	0.46%	0.90%	1.65%	2.34%	3.11%	4.47%	5.62%	6.75%	9.04%	10.17%	11.45%	14.35%	15.36%	14.08%
Arizona Cardinals	0.10%	0.32%	0.70%	1.09%	1.68%	2.54%	3.27%	4.52%	6.07%	7.42%	9.04%	11.04%	14.12%	16.73%	21.35%
Detroit Lions	0.07%	0.17%	0.31%	0.57%	0.83%	1.25%	2.07%	2.84%	3.90%	5.83%	7.93%	10.41%	15.37%	20.82%	27.63%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31
St. Louis Rams	19.57%	14.38%	10.95%	9.35%	7.43%	6.49%	5.06%	4.59%	3.61%	3.26%	2.66%	2.34%	1.79%	1.65%	1.34%	1.25%	0.81%	0.78%	0.60%	0.53%	0.36%	0.35%	0.22%	0.22%	0.15%	0.11%	0.05%	0.06%	0.02%	0.02%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	14.26%	12.50%	10.18%	9.07%	7.32%	6.44%	5.54%	4.78%	4.21%	3.41%	3.38%	2.67%	2.56%	1.94%	2.00%	1.49%	1.59%	1.25%	1.13%	0.80%	0.81%	0.64%	0.53%	0.37%	0.35%	0.26%	0.22%	0.13%	0.11%	0.04%	0.03%
Green Bay Packers	9.83%	9.04%	8.67%	8.18%	7.00%	6.54%	5.59%	5.63%	4.74%	4.69%	3.88%	3.71%	3.07%	3.06%	2.48%	2.46%	1.86%	1.74%	1.47%	1.37%	1.04%	0.95%	0.71%	0.68%	0.46%	0.39%	0.28%	0.21%	0.14%	0.10%	0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.62%	9.60%	8.50%	8.28%	6.91%	6.71%	5.58%	5.26%	4.69%	4.36%	3.80%	3.73%	3.27%	2.66%	2.44%	2.08%	2.19%	1.73%	1.63%	1.19%	1.20%	0.90%	0.94%	0.66%	0.55%	0.44%	0.40%	0.25%	0.22%	0.13%	0.08%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.48%	7.88%	8.21%	7.63%	7.47%	7.65%	5.74%	5.73%	4.81%	4.82%	4.02%	4.11%	2.92%	3.28%	2.48%	2.51%	1.82%	1.95%	1.47%	1.57%	1.02%	1.04%	0.76%	0.74%	0.56%	0.45%	0.31%	0.26%	0.13%	0.14%	0.05%
Baltimore Ravens	6.75%	7.12%	7.00%	6.69%	6.49%	5.89%	5.85%	5.40%	5.35%	4.59%	4.58%	3.89%	3.87%	3.17%	3.20%	2.61%	2.75%	2.31%	2.08%	1.61%	1.75%	1.36%	1.34%	0.90%	0.90%	0.68%	0.64%	0.43%	0.41%	0.23%	0.17%
Miami Dolphins	5.28%	5.67%	5.96%	5.98%	6.05%	5.89%	5.73%	5.06%	5.06%	4.53%	4.71%	4.08%	4.06%	3.33%	3.56%	3.00%	3.34%	2.65%	2.52%	2.07%	2.21%	1.74%	1.68%	1.30%	1.15%	0.89%	0.89%	0.60%	0.55%	0.27%	0.19%
Chicago Bears	4.04%	4.67%	5.04%	5.51%	5.29%	5.70%	5.10%	5.64%	5.06%	5.53%	4.42%	5.00%	3.98%	4.61%	3.64%	4.16%	2.84%	3.25%	2.52%	2.75%	1.97%	2.02%	1.49%	1.55%	1.04%	0.95%	0.71%	0.66%	0.38%	0.34%	0.14%
San Francisco 49ers	3.64%	4.07%	4.51%	4.54%	4.93%	5.04%	5.45%	5.62%	4.98%	5.65%	4.68%	4.97%	4.11%	4.52%	3.76%	4.20%	3.09%	3.30%	2.67%	2.89%	2.17%	2.26%	1.71%	1.82%	1.32%	1.26%	0.89%	0.83%	0.55%	0.41%	0.18%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.11%	3.32%	4.18%	4.02%	4.59%	4.20%	4.94%	4.60%	4.87%	4.92%	4.69%	4.58%	4.48%	4.70%	4.00%	4.53%	3.48%	3.76%	2.99%	3.52%	2.47%	2.81%	1.99%	2.34%	1.62%	1.60%	1.06%	1.11%	0.64%	0.62%	0.27%
Denver Broncos	2.80%	3.33%	3.50%	3.81%	4.46%	4.11%	4.89%	4.46%	4.77%	4.28%	4.70%	4.37%	4.75%	3.89%	4.27%	3.46%	4.13%	3.41%	3.53%	2.81%	3.23%	2.64%	2.79%	2.20%	2.27%	1.74%	1.74%	1.40%	1.14%	0.68%	0.44%
New York Jets	2.21%	2.96%	3.54%	3.78%	4.22%	4.34%	4.45%	4.31%	4.75%	4.40%	4.79%	4.50%	4.52%	3.97%	4.26%	3.98%	4.06%	3.70%	3.54%	3.21%	3.40%	2.96%	2.73%	2.34%	2.21%	1.76%	1.61%	1.17%	1.21%	0.61%	0.48%
New York Giants	1.99%	2.42%	3.16%	3.42%	3.99%	4.43%	4.32%	4.76%	4.69%	5.26%	4.69%	5.34%	4.28%	5.18%	4.20%	4.38%	3.44%	4.29%	3.38%	3.85%	2.56%	2.75%	2.31%	2.53%	1.74%	1.88%	1.34%	1.30%	0.92%	0.82%	0.37%
New England Patriots	1.79%	2.42%	3.01%	3.35%	3.63%	4.02%	4.05%	4.16%	4.33%	4.24%	4.58%	4.59%	4.52%	4.18%	4.41%	4.11%	4.44%	3.87%	3.71%	3.32%	3.79%	3.09%	3.31%	2.43%	2.55%	1.91%	1.99%	1.43%	1.41%	0.78%	0.59%
New Orleans Saints	1.04%	1.57%	1.97%	2.16%	2.52%	2.86%	3.37%	3.58%	3.86%	4.23%	4.08%	4.29%	4.25%	4.89%	4.41%	4.99%	4.17%	4.52%	4.09%	4.69%	3.58%	3.81%	3.28%	3.62%	2.70%	2.99%	2.18%	2.40%	1.58%	1.53%	0.78%
San Diego Chargers	1.01%	1.47%	1.75%	2.19%	2.37%	2.67%	3.09%	3.42%	3.51%	3.69%	3.87%	4.23%	4.39%	4.09%	4.26%	4.12%	4.61%	4.24%	4.48%	3.76%	4.39%	3.78%	4.14%	3.28%	3.58%	2.98%	3.16%	2.39%	2.37%	1.44%	1.25%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.87%	1.37%	1.62%	1.89%	2.25%	2.47%	2.87%	2.98%	3.15%	3.28%	3.46%	3.69%	4.17%	3.88%	4.23%	4.12%	4.55%	4.30%	4.36%	3.84%	4.39%	4.08%	4.23%	3.36%	4.11%	3.32%	3.39%	2.60%	2.88%	2.16%	2.12%
Tennessee Titans	0.82%	1.27%	1.54%	1.76%	2.13%	2.07%	2.72%	2.79%	3.11%	3.06%	3.50%	3.28%	4.08%	3.57%	4.18%	3.96%	4.59%	4.21%	4.45%	3.82%	4.50%	4.24%	4.42%	3.72%	4.19%	3.58%	3.67%	2.87%	3.06%	2.40%	2.42%
Seattle Seahawks	0.79%	1.16%	1.46%	1.69%	2.03%	2.16%	2.63%	2.84%	3.08%	2.96%	3.65%	3.33%	4.09%	3.59%	4.23%	3.90%	4.69%	4.03%	4.48%	3.79%	4.87%	4.08%	4.33%	3.75%	4.26%	3.65%	3.99%	2.97%	3.27%	2.17%	2.06%
Indianapolis Colts	0.58%	0.96%	1.26%	1.56%	1.92%	2.11%	2.54%	2.51%	3.06%	2.82%	3.56%	3.26%	3.91%	3.60%	4.29%	3.82%	4.61%	4.05%	4.51%	4.00%	4.96%	4.33%	4.87%	4.28%	4.09%	3.77%	3.74%	3.23%	3.34%	2.35%	2.10%
Washington Redskins	0.28%	0.48%	0.75%	0.91%	1.25%	1.46%	1.69%	1.99%	2.18%	2.64%	2.73%	3.11%	3.06%	3.83%	3.75%	4.29%	3.89%	4.85%	4.61%	5.23%	4.39%	4.88%	4.71%	5.42%	4.50%	4.77%	4.11%	4.44%	3.54%	3.81%	2.46%
Minnesota Vikings	0.29%	0.52%	0.82%	0.97%	1.23%	1.36%	1.75%	1.81%	2.21%	2.43%	2.57%	2.73%	3.08%	3.63%	3.50%	3.94%	3.82%	4.39%	4.49%	5.38%	4.52%	5.61%	4.67%	5.86%	4.49%	5.07%	4.16%	4.72%	3.60%	4.01%	2.40%
Atlanta Falcons	0.21%	0.39%	0.53%	0.66%	0.89%	1.08%	1.45%	1.63%	1.86%	2.14%	2.30%	2.56%	2.82%	3.41%	3.34%	3.93%	3.77%	4.20%	4.33%	5.35%	4.53%	5.25%	4.73%	5.84%	4.96%	5.67%	4.87%	5.44%	4.23%	4.61%	3.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.29%	0.56%	0.61%	0.74%	1.04%	1.09%	1.60%	1.52%	2.00%	1.83%	2.44%	2.33%	3.01%	2.62%	3.40%	2.96%	4.04%	3.48%	4.26%	3.82%	5.03%	4.54%	5.35%	4.57%	5.77%	5.25%	6.24%	5.29%	5.70%	4.21%	4.40%
Dallas Cowboys	0.16%	0.29%	0.44%	0.66%	0.82%	1.02%	1.12%	1.33%	1.70%	1.94%	2.21%	2.49%	2.44%	3.23%	3.29%	3.68%	3.40%	4.39%	4.21%	4.93%	4.25%	5.05%	4.88%	5.98%	5.00%	5.76%	5.02%	5.86%	4.88%	5.63%	3.94%
Carolina Panthers	0.07%	0.14%	0.19%	0.23%	0.39%	0.50%	0.68%	0.83%	0.99%	1.19%	1.29%	1.57%	1.74%	2.31%	2.38%	2.75%	2.69%	3.28%	3.75%	4.57%	3.99%	5.07%	4.89%	5.98%	5.76%	7.15%	6.42%	7.99%	6.76%	8.12%	6.33%
Cleveland Browns	0.08%	0.18%	0.26%	0.36%	0.51%	0.61%	0.76%	0.89%	1.11%	1.11%	1.47%	1.50%	2.09%	1.88%	2.44%	2.41%	3.06%	3.01%	3.64%	3.39%	4.42%	4.32%	5.29%	4.64%	6.32%	5.91%	7.00%	6.20%	7.66%	7.29%	10.17%
Arizona Cardinals	0.03%	0.06%	0.11%	0.16%	0.26%	0.37%	0.42%	0.58%	0.65%	0.87%	0.92%	1.21%	1.24%	1.77%	1.76%	2.20%	2.18%	2.89%	3.12%	3.73%	3.47%	4.33%	4.48%	5.69%	5.67%	6.79%	6.81%	8.76%	8.11%	11.24%	10.13%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.04%	0.09%	0.14%	0.23%	0.28%	0.34%	0.45%	0.58%	0.71%	0.78%	1.04%	1.05%	1.49%	1.31%	1.79%	1.82%	2.46%	2.31%	3.08%	2.77%	3.89%	3.78%	4.65%	4.33%	6.10%	5.90%	7.38%	7.05%	9.48%	9.76%	14.94%
Buffalo Bills	0.03%	0.06%	0.09%	0.14%	0.22%	0.25%	0.36%	0.41%	0.58%	0.64%	0.82%	0.86%	1.19%	1.13%	1.62%	1.45%	2.04%	1.93%	2.60%	2.44%	3.79%	3.48%	4.46%	4.41%	5.95%	6.03%	8.05%	8.11%	11.64%	10.45%	14.75%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.08%	0.12%	0.16%	0.22%	0.29%	0.31%	0.46%	0.50%	0.66%	0.77%	1.09%	1.08%	1.43%	1.56%	1.93%	2.28%	3.00%	3.04%	3.86%	4.12%	5.21%	5.69%	7.08%	7.72%	9.83%	10.08%	13.63%	13.67%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Oakland Raiders	26.98%	19.40%	13.61%	9.68%	7.47%	5.76%	17.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.21%	15.99%	9.86%	13.06%	9.79%	7.72%	24.36%
Baltimore Ravens	13.84%	12.53%	8.28%	13.84%	10.92%	8.61%	31.98%
Miami Dolphins	11.03%	12.60%	16.88%	7.13%	7.82%	7.97%	36.57%
Denver Broncos	6.48%	6.25%	5.45%	11.32%	9.59%	8.76%	52.13%
New York Jets	5.36%	7.65%	11.99%	6.25%	7.74%	8.51%	52.50%
New England Patriots	4.28%	6.65%	10.62%	5.72%	7.46%	8.36%	56.91%
San Diego Chargers	2.72%	3.46%	3.67%	6.58%	7.48%	7.78%	68.31%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.38%	3.40%	3.10%	5.99%	6.42%	6.79%	71.93%
Tennessee Titans	2.29%	3.19%	2.82%	5.52%	6.15%	6.52%	73.50%
Seattle Seahawks	2.10%	2.81%	3.02%	5.59%	6.19%	6.63%	73.66%
Indianapolis Colts	1.75%	3.21%	6.52%	3.36%	4.81%	6.10%	74.23%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.97%	1.36%	1.72%	2.99%	3.71%	4.36%	84.89%
Cleveland Browns	0.32%	0.70%	0.93%	1.55%	2.07%	2.72%	91.71%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.17%	0.43%	0.54%	0.92%	1.38%	1.90%	94.66%
Buffalo Bills	0.11%	0.34%	1.00%	0.49%	0.99%	1.52%	95.55%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
St. Louis Rams	33.32%	20.92%	12.56%	10.97%	7.40%	4.95%	9.87%
Green Bay Packers	17.87%	17.50%	11.11%	13.07%	10.44%	8.07%	21.94%
Philadelphia Eagles	15.75%	17.78%	25.58%	5.79%	6.73%	7.25%	21.13%
Chicago Bears	8.54%	10.58%	8.00%	12.81%	11.77%	10.17%	38.13%
San Francisco 49ers	7.66%	7.22%	5.16%	15.79%	12.90%	10.48%	40.79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.41%	8.07%	6.30%	11.33%	10.76%	10.11%	47.02%
New York Giants	4.42%	7.25%	13.84%	6.78%	8.96%	10.60%	48.15%
New Orleans Saints	2.73%	3.37%	2.87%	8.86%	9.15%	9.36%	63.67%
Minnesota Vikings	0.90%	2.01%	2.15%	3.74%	4.89%	5.73%	80.58%
Washington Redskins	0.85%	1.92%	4.91%	2.72%	4.56%	6.20%	78.83%
Atlanta Falcons	0.69%	1.02%	1.20%	3.58%	4.47%	5.30%	83.75%
Dallas Cowboys	0.47%	1.33%	3.83%	1.71%	3.34%	4.92%	84.41%
Carolina Panthers	0.25%	0.43%	0.62%	1.72%	2.40%	3.21%	91.38%
Arizona Cardinals	0.10%	0.40%	1.58%	0.64%	1.40%	2.39%	93.49%
Detroit Lions	0.07%	0.20%	0.30%	0.50%	0.83%	1.25%	96.86%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+9.68%

Clear Edge

54.84%45.16%

Elo Value

Home Edge

23 Elo

0.044 points per Elo point

033.7360

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.01 points

Lean Home

-8+1.48+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.7

Wide Open

124812

Champion Preseason Odds

New England Patriots, 10th of 31

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

8.0%

Tough Road

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.52 · As Expected: 1.52 to 2.08 · Elevated: 2.08 to 2.84 · High Variance: 2.84 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.97 · Close: 4.97 to 6.72 · Off Target: 6.72 to 8.77 · Well Off Target: 8.77 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 31 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 31 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.55 · As Expected: 1.55 to 3.72 · Several Outliers: 3.72 to 6.82 · Many Outliers: 6.82 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.92 · As Expected: 2.92 to 4.86 · More Than Expected: 4.86 to 7.78 · Far More Than Expected: 7.78 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.04 wins

As Expected

01.895

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.03

Pinpoint

05.8515

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.39%

99.11%

Chicago Bears

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.61%

0.41%

Carolina Panthers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

5 of 31

Several Outliers

03.115

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

03.912

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.81

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

74%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

25%

Some Drama

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.23

Hard to Predict

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.19

Volatile

01.002

Repeatability

0.25

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

As Expected

0%37%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

30%

As Expected

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.76

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.92

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.079

Within Noise

00.0900.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
St. Louis Rams	80.72%	80.72%	55.98%	36.66%	24.37%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.44%	63.44%	42.11%	27.01%	13.48%
Green Bay Packers	61.92%	61.92%	33.53%	16.16%	9.20%
Philadelphia Eagles	62.67%	62.67%	32.66%	15.19%	8.43%
Oakland Raiders	68.05%	68.05%	37.66%	18.97%	7.59%
Chicago Bears	45.66%	45.66%	24.70%	12.05%	6.98%
San Francisco 49ers	44.33%	40.67%	19.44%	9.19%	5.07%
Baltimore Ravens	49.80%	49.80%	24.94%	12.35%	4.78%
Miami Dolphins	46.06%	46.06%	23.50%	11.36%	4.42%
New England Patriots	32.16%	30.83%	17.43%	9.43%	4.27%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38.50%	34.55%	15.29%	6.14%	3.11%
New York Jets	34.49%	31.33%	15.25%	7.07%	2.70%
Denver Broncos	35.13%	27.10%	10.26%	3.76%	1.08%
Jacksonville Jaguars	22.29%	14.77%	5.42%	2.07%	0.65%
Tennessee Titans	21.02%	14.27%	5.56%	2.15%	0.63%
New York Giants	40.18%	25.52%	6.94%	1.77%	0.61%
Seattle Seahawks	21.43%	13.73%	5.16%	1.89%	0.59%
Washington Redskins	18.40%	10.76%	3.70%	1.25%	0.55%
Indianapolis Colts	20.80%	13.11%	4.69%	1.62%	0.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.78%	7.06%	2.45%	0.84%	0.23%
San Diego Chargers	25.50%	13.77%	3.80%	1.00%	0.23%
New Orleans Saints	30.24%	14.32%	3.12%	0.64%	0.20%
Minnesota Vikings	16.51%	7.48%	1.69%	0.34%	0.09%
Cleveland Browns	7.27%	3.44%	1.05%	0.31%	0.06%
Atlanta Falcons	14.54%	5.31%	1.03%	0.24%	0.06%
Dallas Cowboys	13.79%	5.34%	1.07%	0.20%	0.05%
Arizona Cardinals	6.01%	2.20%	0.47%	0.11%	0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.74%	1.85%	0.45%	0.12%	0.02%
Buffalo Bills	4.00%	1.38%	0.28%	0.06%	0.01%
Carolina Panthers	7.94%	2.01%	0.26%	0.04%	<0.01%
Detroit Lions	2.88%	0.87%	0.15%	0.03%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		81.4%0.42%	77.6%0.40%	71.7%0.61%	62.8%5.04%	67.5%2.34%	66.2%2.08%	66.8%1.65%	48.1%4.43%	44.6%3.63%	51.9%3.88%	47.7%4.66%	36.9%4.05%	73.4%3.47%	61.9%2.94%	61.7%2.05%
Buffalo Bills	18.6%0.42%		37.5%0.05%	20.0%0.07%	28.6%0.39%	35.7%0.15%	29.6%0.23%	36.3%0.15%	20.6%0.46%	15.0%0.27%	19.1%0.35%	18.3%0.41%	10.8%0.43%	38.3%0.22%	31.8%0.18%	25.3%0.23%
Cincinnati Bengals	22.4%0.40%	62.5%0.05%		39.5%0.04%	28.8%0.51%	33.2%0.27%	38.8%0.14%	39.8%0.17%	22.8%0.56%	18.6%0.41%	23.9%0.43%	19.0%0.55%	14.4%0.50%	49.3%0.30%	29.5%0.27%	35.7%0.14%
Cleveland Browns	28.3%0.61%	80.0%0.07%	60.5%0.04%		39.8%0.80%	45.9%0.41%	40.9%0.22%	41.5%0.27%	25.3%0.83%	22.8%0.67%	29.6%0.74%	25.8%0.80%	21.2%0.67%	54.4%0.50%	40.0%0.38%	40.4%0.24%
Denver Broncos	37.2%5.04%	71.4%0.39%	71.2%0.51%	60.2%0.80%		52.9%1.77%	51.6%2.51%	53.5%0.82%	35.4%3.75%	30.3%2.92%	39.8%3.16%	33.6%3.37%	25.6%4.67%	61.1%1.75%	48.6%1.43%	50.6%2.26%
Indianapolis Colts	32.5%2.34%	64.3%0.15%	66.8%0.27%	54.1%0.41%	47.1%1.77%		48.1%1.26%	52.5%0.66%	35.0%2.48%	30.0%1.59%	36.1%1.83%	32.7%1.99%	22.0%2.29%	58.0%1.40%	47.4%1.21%	48.7%1.15%
Jacksonville Jaguars	33.8%2.08%	70.4%0.23%	61.2%0.14%	59.1%0.22%	48.4%2.51%	51.9%1.26%		51.6%0.77%	34.8%2.43%	30.4%1.92%	37.5%2.18%	33.1%2.55%	26.3%2.23%	59.5%1.66%	47.0%1.35%	45.5%0.76%
Kansas City Chiefs	33.2%1.65%	63.7%0.15%	60.2%0.17%	58.5%0.27%	46.5%0.82%	47.5%0.66%	48.4%0.77%		32.9%1.44%	28.5%1.16%	35.3%1.12%	29.9%1.32%	22.2%1.61%	57.7%0.50%	46.8%0.40%	45.0%0.76%
Miami Dolphins	51.9%4.43%	79.4%0.46%	77.2%0.56%	74.7%0.83%	64.6%3.75%	65.0%2.48%	65.2%2.43%	67.1%1.44%		44.1%4.15%	51.8%4.39%	47.6%3.30%	35.8%4.18%	73.4%2.72%	63.2%2.35%	63.5%2.31%
New England Patriots	55.4%3.63%	85.0%0.27%	81.4%0.41%	77.2%0.67%	69.7%2.92%	70.0%1.59%	69.6%1.92%	71.5%1.16%	55.9%4.15%		59.4%3.06%	53.0%2.93%	42.4%3.51%	79.1%2.21%	69.1%1.86%	68.8%1.88%
New York Jets	48.1%3.88%	80.9%0.35%	76.1%0.43%	70.4%0.74%	60.2%3.16%	63.9%1.83%	62.5%2.18%	64.7%1.12%	48.2%4.39%	40.6%3.06%		43.6%3.23%	34.1%3.85%	71.2%2.39%	61.3%1.97%	62.0%1.91%
Oakland Raiders	52.3%4.66%	81.7%0.41%	81.0%0.55%	74.2%0.80%	66.4%3.37%	67.3%1.99%	66.9%2.55%	70.1%1.32%	52.4%3.30%	47.0%2.93%	56.4%3.23%		40.0%4.18%	75.6%2.70%	65.8%2.12%	67.2%2.43%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.1%4.05%	89.2%0.43%	85.6%0.50%	78.8%0.67%	74.4%4.67%	78.0%2.29%	73.7%2.23%	77.8%1.61%	64.2%4.18%	57.6%3.51%	65.9%3.85%	60.0%4.18%		82.5%3.33%	75.1%2.80%	74.1%2.12%
San Diego Chargers	26.6%3.47%	61.7%0.22%	50.7%0.30%	45.6%0.50%	38.9%1.75%	42.0%1.40%	40.5%1.66%	42.3%0.50%	26.6%2.72%	20.9%2.21%	28.8%2.39%	24.4%2.70%	17.5%3.33%		36.8%0.87%	37.3%1.49%
Seattle Seahawks	38.1%2.94%	68.2%0.18%	70.5%0.27%	60.0%0.38%	51.4%1.43%	52.6%1.21%	53.0%1.35%	53.2%0.40%	36.8%2.35%	30.9%1.86%	38.7%1.97%	34.2%2.12%	24.9%2.80%	63.2%0.87%		52.1%1.28%
Tennessee Titans	38.3%2.05%	74.7%0.23%	64.3%0.14%	59.6%0.24%	49.4%2.26%	51.3%1.15%	54.5%0.76%	55.0%0.76%	36.5%2.31%	31.2%1.88%	38.0%1.91%	32.8%2.43%	25.9%2.12%	62.7%1.49%	47.9%1.28%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		61.2%0.18%	61.9%0.10%	18.2%0.64%	55.4%0.16%	58.8%0.03%	20.3%0.67%	46.8%0.25%	52.4%0.43%	37.3%0.57%	21.6%1.06%	19.8%0.65%	13.9%0.57%	22.0%0.54%	34.5%0.17%
Atlanta Falcons	38.8%0.18%		58.4%0.11%	17.4%1.91%	51.9%0.46%	61.1%0.11%	15.4%1.98%	50.2%0.66%	47.9%0.62%	37.9%1.58%	16.4%2.05%	19.7%1.05%	10.1%1.47%	23.7%1.67%	30.1%0.69%
Carolina Panthers	38.1%0.10%	41.6%0.11%		11.3%1.07%	34.0%0.29%	43.9%0.07%	11.4%1.02%	32.4%0.31%	28.2%0.34%	25.1%0.83%	10.9%1.16%	12.9%0.54%	6.9%0.83%	17.0%0.92%	18.3%0.34%
Chicago Bears	81.8%0.64%	82.6%1.91%	88.7%1.07%		83.0%1.50%	86.8%0.24%	51.5%4.75%	80.5%1.44%	79.9%4.21%	75.2%4.64%	50.5%4.91%	53.1%6.66%	37.5%4.92%	60.3%3.91%	69.5%1.96%
Dallas Cowboys	44.6%0.16%	48.1%0.46%	66.0%0.29%	17.0%1.50%		56.9%0.10%	17.5%1.53%	48.2%0.61%	47.4%1.02%	39.0%1.26%	17.4%2.33%	18.7%1.45%	10.7%1.35%	22.0%1.26%	24.8%0.46%
Detroit Lions	41.2%0.03%	38.9%0.11%	56.1%0.07%	13.2%0.24%	43.1%0.10%		10.7%0.33%	41.9%0.04%	40.4%0.22%	29.3%0.30%	16.3%0.41%	13.0%0.34%	8.7%0.37%	14.6%0.20%	25.6%0.13%
Green Bay Packers	79.7%0.67%	84.6%1.98%	88.6%1.02%	48.5%4.75%	82.5%1.53%	89.3%0.33%		79.5%1.73%	81.1%4.36%	75.3%4.65%	52.1%4.18%	51.9%6.68%	37.4%4.50%	58.1%4.34%	66.7%1.99%
Minnesota Vikings	53.2%0.25%	49.8%0.66%	67.6%0.31%	19.5%1.44%	51.8%0.61%	58.1%0.04%	20.5%1.73%		47.7%1.31%	39.4%1.78%	18.3%2.16%	19.5%2.38%	10.7%1.89%	24.6%1.15%	31.4%0.80%
New Orleans Saints	47.6%0.43%	52.1%0.62%	71.8%0.34%	20.1%4.21%	52.6%1.02%	59.6%0.22%	18.9%4.36%	52.3%1.31%		41.3%3.17%	19.9%3.88%	20.4%2.84%	12.2%2.95%	27.5%3.60%	32.4%1.29%
New York Giants	62.7%0.57%	62.1%1.58%	74.9%0.83%	24.8%4.64%	61.0%1.26%	70.7%0.30%	24.7%4.65%	60.6%1.78%	58.7%3.17%		25.7%7.27%	26.5%4.60%	15.6%3.74%	32.1%4.04%	40.0%1.74%
Philadelphia Eagles	78.4%1.06%	83.6%2.05%	89.1%1.16%	49.5%4.91%	82.6%2.33%	83.7%0.41%	47.9%4.18%	81.7%2.16%	80.1%3.88%	74.3%7.27%		52.1%5.13%	37.4%3.10%	58.8%4.64%	66.4%3.06%
San Francisco 49ers	80.2%0.65%	80.3%1.05%	87.1%0.54%	46.9%6.66%	81.3%1.45%	87.0%0.34%	48.1%6.68%	80.5%2.38%	79.6%2.84%	73.5%4.60%	47.9%5.13%		34.9%3.91%	56.3%5.92%	65.9%2.17%
St. Louis Rams	86.1%0.57%	89.9%1.47%	93.1%0.83%	62.5%4.92%	89.3%1.35%	91.3%0.37%	62.6%4.50%	89.3%1.89%	87.8%2.95%	84.4%3.74%	62.6%3.10%	65.1%3.91%		70.4%4.51%	77.1%1.79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	78.0%0.54%	76.3%1.67%	83.0%0.92%	39.7%3.91%	78.0%1.26%	85.4%0.20%	41.9%4.34%	75.4%1.15%	72.5%3.60%	67.9%4.04%	41.2%4.64%	43.7%5.92%	29.6%4.51%		57.6%1.81%
Washington Redskins	65.5%0.17%	69.9%0.69%	81.7%0.34%	30.5%1.96%	75.2%0.46%	74.4%0.13%	33.3%1.99%	68.6%0.80%	67.6%1.29%	60.0%1.74%	33.6%3.06%	34.1%2.17%	22.9%1.79%	42.4%1.81%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		82.2%0.21%	72.7%0.20%	71.8%0.41%	62.6%3.21%	64.5%1.65%	63.2%1.78%	66.0%0.94%	49.5%6.64%	44.1%4.44%	52.2%4.47%	47.5%9.03%	36.9%11.77%	72.8%1.62%	61.2%1.67%	61.9%1.75%
Buffalo Bills	17.8%0.21%		50.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%	25.7%0.11%	34.6%0.03%	25.0%0.04%	33.3%0.03%	26.2%0.11%	22.7%0.04%	20.8%0.08%	15.8%0.34%	13.3%0.26%	28.2%0.04%	27.5%0.04%	48.8%0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals	27.3%0.20%	50.0%<0.01%		42.9%<0.01%	38.8%0.12%	40.3%0.07%	26.7%0.04%	29.2%0.02%	24.3%0.26%	17.1%0.12%	23.8%0.16%	19.0%0.40%	15.6%0.29%	44.4%0.05%	29.5%0.06%	31.9%0.05%
Cleveland Browns	28.2%0.41%	83.3%0.01%	57.1%<0.01%		43.8%0.22%	50.5%0.10%	49.4%0.09%	39.7%0.06%	31.8%0.47%	23.4%0.22%	27.7%0.28%	28.5%0.75%	17.5%0.58%	55.7%0.09%	41.9%0.09%	37.9%0.06%
Denver Broncos	37.4%3.21%	74.3%0.11%	61.2%0.12%	56.2%0.22%		53.3%0.93%	52.7%0.99%	52.4%0.35%	37.1%3.43%	32.1%2.03%	39.9%2.24%	35.0%6.48%	25.7%4.54%	61.1%0.74%	51.7%0.74%	49.3%0.97%
Indianapolis Colts	35.5%1.65%	65.4%0.03%	59.7%0.07%	49.5%0.10%	46.7%0.93%		50.6%0.54%	54.1%0.22%	34.8%1.33%	32.9%0.73%	40.6%0.70%	31.7%2.81%	22.1%2.57%	61.0%0.48%	45.9%0.48%	43.7%0.47%
Jacksonville Jaguars	36.8%1.78%	75.0%0.04%	73.3%0.04%	50.6%0.09%	47.3%0.99%	49.4%0.54%		52.2%0.18%	36.1%1.93%	33.2%1.14%	38.9%1.21%	33.3%3.02%	24.9%2.63%	59.5%0.41%	49.9%0.38%	49.3%0.37%
Kansas City Chiefs	34.0%0.94%	66.7%0.03%	70.8%0.02%	60.3%0.06%	47.6%0.35%	45.9%0.22%	47.8%0.18%		34.7%0.93%	29.2%0.55%	36.6%0.55%	33.1%1.53%	22.8%1.16%	50.3%0.16%	48.4%0.15%	41.7%0.22%
Miami Dolphins	50.5%6.64%	73.8%0.11%	75.7%0.26%	68.2%0.47%	62.9%3.43%	65.2%1.33%	63.9%1.93%	65.3%0.93%		41.8%3.38%	51.8%3.70%	47.5%9.57%	36.5%8.90%	72.8%1.93%	63.2%1.77%	60.6%1.72%
New England Patriots	55.9%4.44%	77.3%0.04%	82.9%0.12%	76.6%0.22%	67.9%2.03%	67.1%0.73%	66.8%1.14%	70.8%0.55%	58.2%3.38%		58.7%1.92%	53.6%7.05%	41.2%6.05%	79.6%1.00%	70.1%1.01%	66.0%1.14%
New York Jets	47.8%4.47%	79.2%0.08%	76.2%0.16%	72.3%0.28%	60.1%2.24%	59.4%0.70%	61.1%1.21%	63.4%0.55%	48.2%3.70%	41.3%1.92%		45.2%6.59%	35.0%5.89%	71.4%1.17%	59.1%1.15%	60.1%1.22%
Oakland Raiders	52.5%9.03%	84.2%0.34%	81.0%0.40%	71.5%0.75%	65.0%6.48%	68.3%2.81%	66.7%3.02%	66.9%1.53%	52.5%9.57%	46.4%7.05%	54.8%6.59%		39.7%11.54%	74.6%3.04%	65.6%3.02%	65.0%2.88%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.1%11.77%	86.7%0.26%	84.4%0.29%	82.5%0.58%	74.3%4.54%	77.9%2.57%	75.1%2.63%	77.2%1.16%	63.5%8.90%	58.8%6.05%	65.0%5.89%	60.3%11.54%		81.8%2.29%	73.5%2.43%	72.5%2.53%
San Diego Chargers	27.2%1.62%	71.8%0.04%	55.6%0.05%	44.3%0.09%	38.9%0.74%	39.0%0.48%	40.5%0.41%	49.7%0.16%	27.2%1.93%	20.4%1.00%	28.6%1.17%	25.4%3.04%	18.2%2.29%		40.7%0.31%	38.5%0.43%
Seattle Seahawks	38.8%1.67%	72.5%0.04%	70.5%0.06%	58.1%0.09%	48.3%0.74%	54.1%0.48%	50.1%0.38%	51.6%0.15%	36.8%1.77%	29.9%1.01%	40.9%1.15%	34.4%3.02%	26.5%2.43%	59.3%0.31%		49.9%0.41%
Tennessee Titans	38.1%1.75%	51.2%0.04%	68.1%0.05%	62.1%0.06%	50.7%0.97%	56.3%0.47%	50.7%0.37%	58.3%0.22%	39.4%1.72%	34.0%1.14%	39.9%1.22%	35.0%2.88%	27.5%2.53%	61.5%0.43%	50.1%0.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		44.4%0.02%	72.7%0.01%	20.0%0.26%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.5%0.47%	34.3%0.03%	52.4%0.06%	46.3%0.05%	19.8%0.25%	22.8%0.18%	14.1%0.63%	25.1%0.20%	30.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	55.6%0.02%		50.0%0.01%	15.0%0.51%	44.0%0.05%	87.5%<0.01%	18.9%0.87%	53.1%0.08%	51.7%0.09%	39.7%0.29%	16.5%0.98%	17.5%0.33%	11.1%1.57%	27.8%0.41%	30.1%0.09%
Carolina Panthers	27.3%0.01%	50.0%0.01%		10.5%0.22%	47.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	8.7%0.31%	34.6%0.03%	30.8%0.04%	22.0%0.12%	12.6%0.39%	11.0%0.13%	8.9%0.56%	16.3%0.14%	24.2%0.03%
Chicago Bears	80.0%0.26%	85.0%0.51%	89.5%0.22%		84.3%0.67%	92.8%0.07%	52.0%9.29%	82.5%0.66%	80.6%1.50%	75.0%3.30%	51.3%9.14%	54.8%4.04%	38.3%10.99%	59.1%3.84%	67.5%1.18%
Dallas Cowboys	75.0%<0.01%	56.0%0.05%	52.2%0.02%	15.7%0.67%		50.0%<0.01%	18.6%1.09%	41.3%0.09%	45.2%0.17%	38.2%0.18%	20.2%0.72%	19.5%0.41%	11.7%1.43%	27.6%0.46%	24.0%0.05%
Detroit Lions	100.0%<0.01%	12.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	7.2%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%		14.1%0.13%	42.9%<0.01%	38.5%0.03%	37.5%0.06%	20.9%0.19%	11.1%0.06%	9.7%0.25%	22.2%0.04%	28.6%0.02%
Green Bay Packers	79.5%0.47%	81.1%0.87%	91.3%0.31%	48.0%9.29%	81.4%1.09%	85.9%0.13%		77.9%1.28%	78.6%2.30%	74.9%4.70%	51.7%12.62%	54.1%6.55%	37.2%13.50%	58.0%6.73%	66.7%2.08%
Minnesota Vikings	65.7%0.03%	46.9%0.08%	65.4%0.03%	17.5%0.66%	58.7%0.09%	57.1%<0.01%	22.1%1.28%		55.1%0.18%	41.0%0.44%	20.7%1.52%	19.9%0.63%	13.5%1.85%	25.1%0.47%	35.0%0.20%
New Orleans Saints	47.6%0.06%	48.3%0.09%	69.2%0.04%	19.4%1.50%	54.8%0.17%	61.5%0.03%	21.4%2.30%	44.9%0.18%		44.8%0.79%	20.6%2.53%	23.1%1.12%	13.2%4.24%	26.3%0.98%	33.2%0.29%
New York Giants	53.7%0.05%	60.3%0.29%	78.0%0.12%	25.0%3.30%	61.8%0.18%	62.5%0.06%	25.1%4.70%	59.0%0.44%	55.2%0.79%		25.8%4.10%	28.1%2.50%	17.2%6.19%	33.1%2.41%	42.2%0.39%
Philadelphia Eagles	80.2%0.25%	83.5%0.98%	87.4%0.39%	48.7%9.14%	79.8%0.72%	79.1%0.19%	48.3%12.62%	79.3%1.52%	79.4%2.53%	74.2%4.10%		50.6%7.11%	36.2%15.00%	56.6%6.62%	66.1%1.50%
San Francisco 49ers	77.2%0.18%	82.5%0.33%	89.0%0.13%	45.2%4.04%	80.5%0.41%	88.9%0.06%	45.9%6.55%	80.1%0.63%	76.9%1.12%	71.9%2.50%	49.4%7.11%		34.7%13.50%	54.6%3.17%	64.5%0.93%
St. Louis Rams	85.9%0.63%	88.9%1.57%	91.1%0.56%	61.7%10.99%	88.3%1.43%	90.3%0.25%	62.8%13.50%	86.5%1.85%	86.8%4.24%	82.8%6.19%	63.8%15.00%	65.3%13.50%		70.8%8.05%	77.5%2.95%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	74.9%0.20%	72.2%0.41%	83.7%0.14%	40.9%3.84%	72.4%0.46%	77.8%0.04%	42.0%6.73%	74.9%0.47%	73.7%0.98%	66.9%2.41%	43.4%6.62%	45.4%3.17%	29.2%8.05%		59.2%1.03%
Washington Redskins	70.0%0.01%	69.9%0.09%	75.8%0.03%	32.5%1.18%	76.0%0.05%	71.4%0.02%	33.3%2.08%	65.0%0.20%	66.8%0.29%	57.8%0.39%	33.9%1.50%	35.5%0.93%	22.5%2.95%	40.8%1.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		90.2%0.04%	81.5%0.05%	62.8%0.09%	62.8%1.43%	65.0%0.64%	59.2%0.53%	64.7%0.37%	49.5%3.73%	43.9%2.59%	53.6%2.28%	47.0%6.35%	38.8%4.93%	73.1%0.57%	61.5%0.76%	63.0%0.56%
Buffalo Bills	9.8%0.04%		0.0%<0.01%		21.7%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	27.8%0.02%	25.0%0.01%	27.3%0.01%	18.2%0.07%	20.6%0.07%	25.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	18.5%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	48.1%0.03%	35.7%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	31.0%0.06%	31.2%0.03%	20.5%0.04%	22.8%0.09%	21.2%0.08%	37.5%<0.01%	35.0%0.02%	40.0%0.01%
Cleveland Browns	37.2%0.09%		66.7%<0.01%		32.1%0.06%	47.8%0.02%	44.4%0.03%	31.2%0.02%	29.2%0.14%	23.0%0.10%	29.8%0.09%	28.7%0.22%	18.9%0.20%	45.0%0.02%	29.6%0.03%	57.1%0.02%
Denver Broncos	37.2%1.43%	78.3%0.02%	51.9%0.03%	67.9%0.06%		56.8%0.25%	54.0%0.33%	47.9%0.07%	38.1%1.24%	33.2%0.96%	44.3%0.92%	37.1%1.38%	26.6%2.97%	61.3%0.12%	51.6%0.16%	47.4%0.32%
Indianapolis Colts	35.0%0.64%	100.0%<0.01%	64.3%0.01%	52.2%0.02%	43.2%0.25%		42.1%0.13%	50.0%0.05%	36.8%0.40%	31.6%0.27%	41.7%0.23%	35.6%1.01%	23.5%1.27%	61.8%0.11%	43.4%0.13%	48.2%0.14%
Jacksonville Jaguars	40.8%0.53%	62.5%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	55.6%0.03%	46.0%0.33%	57.9%0.13%		53.0%0.07%	38.1%0.71%	33.8%0.56%	43.0%0.49%	35.2%1.26%	26.8%0.95%	63.9%0.12%	55.4%0.13%	45.7%0.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.3%0.37%	60.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	68.8%0.02%	52.1%0.07%	50.0%0.05%	47.0%0.07%		31.4%0.33%	31.1%0.22%	39.9%0.19%	33.6%0.36%	26.4%0.64%	61.1%0.02%	46.2%0.03%	43.4%0.08%
Miami Dolphins	50.5%3.73%	72.2%0.02%	69.0%0.06%	70.8%0.14%	61.9%1.24%	63.2%0.40%	61.9%0.71%	68.6%0.33%		45.2%1.66%	51.9%1.40%	46.8%5.25%	37.6%6.72%	71.3%0.51%	61.9%0.64%	59.4%0.71%
New England Patriots	56.1%2.59%	75.0%0.01%	68.8%0.03%	77.0%0.10%	66.8%0.96%	68.4%0.27%	66.2%0.56%	68.9%0.22%	54.8%1.66%		58.2%0.91%	53.5%3.91%	42.4%4.86%	73.8%0.33%	68.4%0.47%	65.4%0.56%
New York Jets	46.4%2.28%	72.7%0.01%	79.5%0.04%	70.2%0.09%	55.7%0.92%	58.3%0.23%	57.0%0.49%	60.1%0.19%	48.1%1.40%	41.8%0.91%		45.4%3.39%	36.9%4.06%	70.9%0.31%	58.2%0.42%	61.1%0.50%
Oakland Raiders	53.0%6.35%	81.8%0.07%	77.2%0.09%	71.3%0.22%	62.9%1.38%	64.4%1.01%	64.8%1.26%	66.4%0.36%	53.2%5.25%	46.5%3.91%	54.6%3.39%		39.4%11.90%	73.4%0.47%	63.0%0.73%	62.5%1.28%
Pittsburgh Steelers	61.2%4.93%	79.4%0.07%	78.8%0.08%	81.1%0.20%	73.4%2.97%	76.5%1.27%	73.2%0.95%	73.6%0.64%	62.4%6.72%	57.6%4.86%	63.1%4.06%	60.6%11.90%		84.3%1.04%	71.5%1.42%	73.2%1.00%
San Diego Chargers	26.9%0.57%	75.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	55.0%0.02%	38.7%0.12%	38.2%0.11%	36.1%0.12%	38.9%0.02%	28.7%0.51%	26.2%0.33%	29.1%0.31%	26.6%0.47%	15.7%1.04%		50.9%0.05%	44.7%0.11%
Seattle Seahawks	38.5%0.76%	71.4%<0.01%	65.0%0.02%	70.4%0.03%	48.4%0.16%	56.6%0.13%	44.6%0.13%	53.8%0.03%	38.1%0.64%	31.6%0.47%	41.8%0.42%	37.0%0.73%	28.5%1.42%	49.1%0.05%		43.8%0.17%
Tennessee Titans	37.0%0.56%	80.0%0.01%	60.0%0.01%	42.9%0.02%	52.6%0.32%	51.8%0.14%	54.3%0.09%	56.6%0.08%	40.6%0.71%	34.6%0.56%	38.9%0.50%	37.5%1.28%	26.8%1.00%	55.3%0.11%	56.2%0.17%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		50.0%<0.01%		16.0%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.7%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	16.9%0.06%	32.8%0.06%	18.4%0.16%	22.2%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	21.8%0.15%	14.3%<0.01%		20.7%0.16%	42.9%<0.01%	91.7%0.01%	47.2%0.04%	20.1%0.20%	25.8%0.07%	16.5%0.27%	28.7%0.09%	36.8%0.02%
Carolina Panthers		0.0%<0.01%		13.2%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%		17.9%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%		37.5%<0.01%	13.0%0.05%	15.4%0.01%	4.8%0.06%	15.8%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears	84.0%0.05%	78.2%0.15%	86.8%0.04%		80.5%0.13%	78.6%0.01%	49.9%3.49%	83.4%0.16%	79.9%0.44%	72.7%0.87%	51.2%4.57%	53.1%2.76%	38.6%10.09%	60.6%1.44%	62.4%0.48%
Dallas Cowboys	33.3%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	19.5%0.13%			19.6%0.18%	28.6%<0.01%	38.9%0.02%	46.2%0.01%	20.0%0.10%	12.2%0.10%	14.2%0.44%	22.2%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions	0.0%<0.01%			21.4%0.01%			13.0%0.02%		50.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	17.4%0.02%	13.3%0.01%	4.4%0.04%	44.4%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	74.3%0.07%	79.3%0.16%	82.1%0.06%	50.1%3.49%	80.4%0.18%	87.0%0.02%		76.2%0.20%	81.4%0.62%	75.5%1.23%	50.8%6.24%	53.5%4.11%	38.0%14.59%	57.9%1.96%	63.8%0.60%
Minnesota Vikings	33.3%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	16.6%0.16%	71.4%<0.01%		23.8%0.20%		62.5%0.03%	43.5%0.05%	22.6%0.24%	21.1%0.19%	12.4%0.68%	29.3%0.08%	29.4%0.03%
New Orleans Saints	57.1%<0.01%	8.3%0.01%		20.1%0.44%	61.1%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	18.6%0.62%	37.5%0.03%		31.3%0.08%	21.6%0.54%	21.5%0.23%	15.4%0.79%	25.5%0.28%	27.5%0.05%
New York Giants	33.3%<0.01%	52.8%0.04%	62.5%<0.01%	27.3%0.87%	53.8%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	24.5%1.23%	56.5%0.05%	68.7%0.08%		26.6%0.75%	29.6%0.73%	19.0%2.57%	34.6%0.51%	40.3%0.08%
Philadelphia Eagles	83.1%0.06%	79.9%0.20%	87.0%0.05%	48.8%4.57%	80.0%0.10%	82.6%0.02%	49.2%6.24%	77.4%0.24%	78.4%0.54%	73.4%0.75%		51.0%3.60%	36.4%13.29%	55.5%2.63%	68.7%0.37%
San Francisco 49ers	67.2%0.06%	74.2%0.07%	84.6%0.01%	46.9%2.76%	87.8%0.10%	86.7%0.01%	46.5%4.11%	78.9%0.19%	78.5%0.23%	70.4%0.73%	49.0%3.60%		36.0%5.46%	56.3%1.69%	62.0%0.41%
St. Louis Rams	81.6%0.16%	83.5%0.27%	95.2%0.06%	61.4%10.09%	85.8%0.44%	95.6%0.04%	62.0%14.59%	87.6%0.68%	84.6%0.79%	81.0%2.57%	63.6%13.29%	64.0%5.46%		69.4%6.18%	74.6%1.34%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	77.8%0.04%	71.3%0.09%	84.2%0.02%	39.4%1.44%	77.8%0.06%	55.6%<0.01%	42.1%1.96%	70.7%0.08%	74.5%0.28%	65.4%0.51%	44.5%2.63%	43.7%1.69%	30.6%6.18%		62.3%0.29%
Washington Redskins	75.0%<0.01%	63.2%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%	37.6%0.48%	50.0%<0.01%	83.3%<0.01%	36.2%0.60%	70.6%0.03%	72.5%0.05%	59.7%0.08%	31.3%0.37%	38.0%0.41%	25.4%1.34%	37.7%0.29%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	81.0%0.02%	80.6%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	40.0%1.49%	68.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	40.4%2.00%	75.0%0.05%	55.8%0.08%	67.0%0.22%	42.5%1.86%	42.4%1.14%	30.5%4.52%	46.1%0.73%	50.6%0.17%
Buffalo Bills		100.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%			14.3%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	12.5%0.02%	37.5%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%<0.01%			21.1%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		5.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	17.6%0.02%	0.0%0.01%	13.2%0.04%	22.2%<0.01%	80.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	100.0%<0.01%			15.0%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%		21.4%0.06%		75.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	27.8%0.04%	21.7%0.02%	10.7%0.11%	36.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	100.0%<0.01%	77.8%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	31.1%0.43%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	28.3%0.68%	63.6%0.01%	62.5%0.02%	50.7%0.07%	29.6%0.56%	32.3%0.32%	22.5%1.38%	40.0%0.21%	38.5%0.05%
Indianapolis Colts	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		28.3%0.21%	50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	31.1%0.26%	50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	57.1%0.03%	31.7%0.26%	24.6%0.14%	21.1%0.59%	36.4%0.10%	53.8%0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	66.7%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%		32.2%0.24%	50.0%<0.01%		32.4%0.33%	62.5%<0.01%	58.8%0.02%	64.4%0.04%	35.5%0.34%	36.0%0.19%	22.5%0.73%	40.4%0.14%	41.9%0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs		100.0%<0.01%		26.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.1%0.13%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	33.1%0.12%	33.8%0.07%	21.1%0.32%	27.1%0.05%	37.5%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	70.0%0.02%	60.9%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	39.3%1.45%	59.1%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	40.8%1.80%	74.3%0.03%	68.9%0.07%	62.0%0.19%	42.6%1.73%	42.6%1.03%	31.2%4.11%	46.9%0.73%	51.7%0.15%
New England Patriots	60.0%<0.01%	68.2%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	46.4%1.09%	91.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	45.8%1.53%	73.3%0.03%	71.6%0.08%	73.4%0.17%	48.7%1.41%	47.5%0.88%	38.0%3.46%	54.8%0.60%	62.8%0.12%
New York Jets	75.0%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	39.9%0.86%	76.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	40.9%1.15%	75.0%0.02%	73.9%0.05%	64.2%0.12%	38.6%1.08%	43.1%0.65%	30.3%2.55%	47.7%0.45%	50.6%0.09%
Oakland Raiders	55.6%0.02%	65.3%0.05%	80.0%<0.01%	41.0%2.29%	57.1%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	41.4%3.10%	80.0%0.08%	67.0%0.11%	61.5%0.31%	43.4%2.90%	44.6%1.71%	32.8%6.96%	46.4%1.17%	53.8%0.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	73.3%0.03%	87.5%0.06%	88.9%<0.01%	50.0%3.29%	82.3%0.06%	75.0%<0.01%	52.8%4.32%	76.3%0.08%	77.7%0.15%	71.7%0.50%	53.7%4.13%	53.9%2.55%	41.9%9.92%	58.7%1.57%	66.8%0.33%
San Diego Chargers	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.3%0.15%	40.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	23.7%0.16%	17.9%0.11%	18.8%0.38%	33.3%0.05%	25.0%0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	66.7%<0.01%	77.8%<0.01%		29.1%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	35.5%0.31%	80.0%<0.01%	76.9%0.01%	62.5%0.03%	32.8%0.29%	29.6%0.17%	23.4%0.70%	42.3%0.14%	57.1%0.01%
Tennessee Titans	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	37.3%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%		30.3%0.32%	63.6%0.01%	42.1%0.02%	62.5%0.03%	34.0%0.30%	28.6%0.19%	21.3%0.88%	39.7%0.15%	37.5%0.02%
Arizona Cardinals																19.0%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		30.0%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.02%	26.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																19.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%			22.2%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	39.1%0.02%	31.8%0.02%	36.4%0.01%	34.7%0.05%	12.5%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																33.3%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%				25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																60.0%1.49%	75.0%<0.01%	78.9%0.02%	85.0%0.04%	68.9%0.43%	71.7%0.21%	67.8%0.24%	73.6%0.11%	60.7%1.45%	53.6%1.09%	60.1%0.86%	59.0%2.29%	50.0%3.29%	75.0%0.11%	70.9%0.20%	62.7%0.22%
Dallas Cowboys																32.0%0.03%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	40.9%0.02%	8.3%0.01%	23.8%0.02%	42.9%0.03%	17.7%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																59.6%2.00%	85.7%<0.01%	94.4%0.02%	78.6%0.06%	71.7%0.68%	68.9%0.26%	67.6%0.33%	67.9%0.13%	59.2%1.80%	54.2%1.53%	59.1%1.15%	58.6%3.10%	47.2%4.32%	74.7%0.15%	64.5%0.31%	69.7%0.32%
Minnesota Vikings																25.0%0.05%		100.0%<0.01%		36.4%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	25.7%0.03%	26.7%0.03%	25.0%0.02%	20.0%0.08%	23.7%0.08%	60.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%
New Orleans Saints																44.2%0.08%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	41.2%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	31.1%0.07%	28.4%0.08%	26.1%0.05%	33.0%0.11%	22.3%0.15%	60.0%<0.01%	23.1%0.01%	57.9%0.02%
New York Giants																33.0%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	49.3%0.07%	42.9%0.03%	35.6%0.04%	50.0%0.01%	38.0%0.19%	26.6%0.17%	35.8%0.12%	38.5%0.31%	28.3%0.50%	66.7%0.01%	37.5%0.03%	37.5%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles																57.5%1.86%	50.0%<0.01%	82.4%0.02%	72.2%0.04%	70.4%0.56%	68.3%0.26%	64.5%0.34%	66.9%0.12%	57.4%1.73%	51.3%1.41%	61.4%1.08%	56.6%2.90%	46.3%4.13%	76.3%0.16%	67.2%0.29%	66.0%0.30%
San Francisco 49ers																57.6%1.14%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%0.01%	78.3%0.02%	67.7%0.32%	75.4%0.14%	64.0%0.19%	66.2%0.07%	57.4%1.03%	52.5%0.88%	56.9%0.65%	55.4%1.71%	46.1%2.55%	82.1%0.11%	70.4%0.17%	71.4%0.19%
St. Louis Rams																69.5%4.52%	87.5%0.02%	86.8%0.04%	89.3%0.11%	77.5%1.38%	78.9%0.59%	77.5%0.73%	78.9%0.32%	68.8%4.11%	62.0%3.46%	69.7%2.55%	67.2%6.96%	58.1%9.92%	81.2%0.38%	76.6%0.70%	78.7%0.88%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																53.9%0.73%	62.5%<0.01%	77.8%<0.01%	64.0%0.03%	60.0%0.21%	63.6%0.10%	59.6%0.14%	72.9%0.05%	53.1%0.73%	45.2%0.60%	52.3%0.45%	53.6%1.17%	41.3%1.57%	66.7%0.05%	57.7%0.14%	60.3%0.15%
Washington Redskins																49.4%0.17%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	61.5%0.05%	46.2%0.01%	58.1%0.03%	62.5%<0.01%	48.3%0.15%	37.2%0.12%	49.4%0.09%	46.2%0.24%	33.2%0.33%	75.0%0.01%	42.9%0.01%	62.5%0.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
St. Louis Rams	100.00%	66.78%	43.09%	26.75%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	65.15%	40.19%	18.45%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Chicago Bears	100.00%	54.04%	22.28%	11.87%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New England Patriots	100.00%	56.89%	25.64%	10.41%	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	61.51%	27.98%	11.74%	6.41%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Green Bay Packers	56.86%	22.74%	10.41%	5.77%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Oakland Raiders	59.41%	26.02%	11.53%	4.71%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	43.14%	17.07%	7.78%	4.32%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	54.63%	20.58%	8.97%	3.50%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Baltimore Ravens	45.37%	17.37%	7.61%	3.06%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38.49%	11.40%	4.70%	2.46%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Jets	40.59%	14.00%	6.07%	2.30%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders
Baltimore Ravens		45.4%100.00%
Miami Dolphins	54.6%100.00%
New York Jets				40.6%100.00%
Oakland Raiders			59.4%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers			56.9%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles				61.5%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers	43.1%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		38.5%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens			42.5%18.42%			35.4%26.95%
Miami Dolphins			41.8%22.17%			34.9%32.46%
New England Patriots	57.5%18.42%	58.2%22.17%			56.2%59.41%
New York Jets						34.5%40.59%
Oakland Raiders			43.8%59.41%
Pittsburgh Steelers	64.6%26.95%	65.1%32.46%		65.5%40.59%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago Bears		53.0%21.83%	54.5%61.51%	53.6%16.66%
Green Bay Packers	47.0%21.83%				35.6%35.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	45.5%61.51%
San Francisco 49ers	46.4%16.66%				35.3%26.47%
St. Louis Rams		64.4%35.03%		64.7%26.47%		70.4%38.49%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers					29.6%38.49%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens			43.6%5.33%	56.6%2.73%	44.6%4.21%	36.6%5.10%
Miami Dolphins			44.3%6.29%	55.7%3.17%	43.4%5.02%	36.6%6.09%
New England Patriots	56.4%5.33%	55.7%6.29%		57.0%8.09%		39.0%37.18%
New York Jets	43.4%2.73%	44.3%3.17%	43.0%8.09%
Oakland Raiders	55.4%4.21%	56.6%5.02%				37.8%16.78%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.4%5.10%	63.4%6.09%	61.0%37.18%		62.2%16.78%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago Bears		52.0%6.84%		52.9%5.13%	34.7%36.05%	58.0%6.02%
Green Bay Packers	48.0%6.84%		46.4%5.64%		37.4%7.20%	59.4%3.06%
Philadelphia Eagles		53.6%5.64%		53.3%4.21%	35.7%18.13%
San Francisco 49ers	47.1%5.13%		46.7%4.21%		37.1%5.40%	59.7%2.33%
St. Louis Rams	65.3%36.05%	62.6%7.20%	64.3%18.13%	62.9%5.40%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	42.0%6.02%	40.6%3.06%		40.3%2.33%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Baltimore Ravens	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	45.5%1.69%	44.8%0.78%	42.6%0.89%	42.6%0.59%	34.4%3.29%	47.8%0.36%
Miami Dolphins	43.8%2.02%	41.6%0.93%	38.7%1.06%	42.4%0.69%	34.6%3.83%	45.9%0.44%
New England Patriots	45.6%5.76%	41.7%2.64%	42.9%3.00%	41.1%2.02%	36.3%10.97%	47.1%1.24%
New York Jets	41.6%1.35%	40.6%0.62%	41.3%0.74%	38.2%0.45%	33.6%2.60%	42.4%0.30%
Oakland Raiders	44.3%2.54%	43.0%1.25%	44.4%1.41%	42.4%0.88%	36.8%4.96%	46.1%0.49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	49.9%8.92%	48.1%4.18%	50.1%4.64%	48.9%3.15%	41.3%17.43%	50.0%1.86%
Chicago Bears							54.5%1.69%	56.2%2.02%	54.4%5.76%	58.4%1.35%	55.7%2.54%	50.1%8.92%
Green Bay Packers							55.2%0.78%	58.4%0.93%	58.3%2.64%	59.4%0.62%	57.0%1.25%	51.9%4.18%
Philadelphia Eagles							57.4%0.89%	61.3%1.06%	57.1%3.00%	58.7%0.74%	55.6%1.41%	49.9%4.64%
San Francisco 49ers							57.4%0.59%	57.6%0.69%	58.9%2.02%	61.8%0.45%	57.6%0.88%	51.1%3.15%
St. Louis Rams							65.6%3.29%	65.4%3.83%	63.7%10.97%	66.4%2.60%	63.2%4.96%	58.7%17.43%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							52.2%0.36%	54.1%0.44%	52.9%1.24%	57.6%0.30%	53.9%0.49%	50.0%1.86%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

St. Louis Rams 26.75% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

40.57%

Win Prob

70.38%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

54.62%

Win Prob

65.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

38.25%

Win Prob

58.71%

Pittsburgh Steelers 18.45% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

40.81%

Win Prob

65.51%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

56.39%

Win Prob

60.96%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

38.99%

Win Prob

41.29%

Chicago Bears 11.87% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

62.05%

Win Prob

54.52%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

56.17%

Win Prob

34.72%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

37.69%

Win Prob

50.13%

New England Patriots 10.41% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

58.70%

Win Prob

56.21%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

56.62%

Win Prob

39.04%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

38.24%

Win Prob

36.28%

Philadelphia Eagles 6.41% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.51%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.48%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

55.17%

Win Prob

35.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

36.17%

Win Prob

49.90%

Green Bay Packers 5.77% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.86%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

54.89%

Win Prob

35.63%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

31.51%

Win Prob

47.96%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

37.62%

Win Prob

51.94%

Oakland Raiders 4.71% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.41%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.79%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

55.09%

Win Prob

37.84%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

38.79%

Win Prob

36.83%

San Francisco 49ers 4.32% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.14%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

54.73%

Win Prob

35.28%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

31.10%

Win Prob

47.12%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

37.31%

Win Prob

51.09%

Miami Dolphins 3.50% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.63%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

55.00%

Win Prob

34.86%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

31.11%

Win Prob

44.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

37.89%

Win Prob

34.61%

Baltimore Ravens 3.06% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.37%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

54.90%

Win Prob

35.38%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

30.49%

Win Prob

43.56%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

37.04%

Win Prob

34.42%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.46% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.49%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.62%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

53.68%

Win Prob

41.96%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

37.87%

Win Prob

50.03%

New York Jets 2.30% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.59%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.49%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

57.35%

Win Prob

43.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

38.11%

Win Prob

33.59%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2001-09-23	Denver Broncos	L 17-38	1406.58	1551.43	34.43%	65.34%	-24.91	0-1
2001-09-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-34	1381.67	1461.20	43.33%	56.43%	-30.58	0-2
2001-10-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-20	1351.09	1572.31	18.68%	81.16%	+12.79	1-2
2001-10-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-20	1363.88	1506.17	26.56%	73.24%	-11.09	1-3
2001-10-21	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-16	1352.79	1467.59	38.43%	61.33%	+27.36	2-3
2001-10-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-17	1380.15	1413.40	40.36%	59.39%	-23.84	2-4
2001-11-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-21	1356.31	1543.79	29.13%	70.66%	-17.20	2-5
2001-11-11	New York Giants	L 10-17	1339.11	1522.40	29.62%	70.16%	-12.38	2-6
2001-11-18	Detroit Lions	W 45-38	1326.73	1352.34	51.04%	48.71%	+20.34	3-6
2001-11-25	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1347.07	1485.20	27.02%	72.77%	+19.87	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-31	1366.94	1657.32	13.37%	86.50%	+23.61	5-6
2001-12-09	Washington Redskins	L 10-20	1390.55	1485.51	41.16%	58.60%	-20.55	5-7
2001-12-15	@ New York Giants	L 13-17	1370.00	1455.97	33.32%	66.45%	-10.52	5-8
2001-12-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-10	1359.48	1391.36	50.14%	49.61%	+20.71	6-8
2001-12-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-7	1380.19	1343.52	50.30%	49.45%	+37.43	7-8
2002-01-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1417.62	1519.55	31.32%	68.46%	-8.57	7-9
2001-09-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-16	1446.23	1477.81	40.59%	59.16%	-11.10	0-1
2001-09-23	Carolina Panthers	W 24-16	1435.13	1528.92	41.32%	58.43%	+26.07	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 34-14	1461.20	1381.67	56.43%	43.33%	+30.58	2-1
2001-10-07	Chicago Bears	L 3-31	1491.78	1456.34	59.70%	40.06%	-49.83	2-2
2001-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 31-37	1441.95	1508.67	45.14%	54.61%	-17.45	2-3
2001-10-21	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-13	1424.50	1548.30	28.68%	71.11%	+29.67	3-3
2001-11-04	New England Patriots	L 10-24	1454.17	1500.23	48.10%	51.65%	-28.41	3-4
2001-11-11	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-13	1425.76	1427.76	54.43%	45.32%	+18.93	4-4
2001-11-18	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1444.69	1602.89	24.81%	75.00%	+20.48	5-4
2001-11-25	@ Carolina Panthers	W 10-7	1465.17	1376.21	57.76%	42.00%	+11.48	6-4
2001-12-02	St. Louis Rams	L 6-35	1476.65	1646.14	31.30%	68.48%	-26.61	6-5
2001-12-09	New Orleans Saints	L 10-28	1450.04	1512.59	45.74%	54.01%	-30.63	6-6
2001-12-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-41	1419.41	1413.61	45.86%	53.88%	-27.08	6-7
2001-12-23	Buffalo Bills	W 33-30	1392.33	1332.61	63.01%	36.76%	+10.05	7-7
2001-12-30	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-21	1402.38	1547.55	26.23%	73.57%	-10.96	7-8
2002-01-06	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-31	1391.42	1727.26	10.63%	89.27%	-7.11	7-9
2001-09-09	Chicago Bears	W 17-6	1588.01	1448.46	72.93%	26.86%	+14.07	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-21	1602.08	1448.38	66.48%	33.29%	-34.77	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Denver Broncos	W 20-13	1567.31	1576.33	43.76%	56.00%	+23.37	2-1
2001-10-07	Tennessee Titans	W 26-7	1590.68	1507.70	66.07%	33.71%	+23.19	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 23-31	1613.87	1598.90	47.18%	52.57%	-21.06	3-2
2001-10-21	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-24	1592.81	1442.40	66.06%	33.71%	-32.94	3-3
2001-10-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 18-17	1559.87	1472.42	66.64%	33.13%	+5.23	4-3
2001-11-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-10	1565.10	1597.87	40.43%	59.33%	+16.21	5-3
2001-11-12	@ Tennessee Titans	W 16-10	1581.31	1493.75	57.56%	42.19%	+16.31	6-3
2001-11-18	Cleveland Browns	L 17-27	1597.62	1452.51	73.56%	26.24%	-36.67	6-4
2001-11-25	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1560.95	1464.77	58.76%	40.99%	+11.21	7-4
2001-12-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 39-27	1572.16	1455.18	70.30%	29.49%	+16.12	8-4
2001-12-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-26	1588.28	1657.67	44.76%	54.99%	-15.80	8-5
2001-12-23	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-0	1572.48	1344.62	81.73%	18.11%	+11.44	9-5
2001-12-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-22	1583.92	1581.23	45.42%	54.33%	-24.84	9-6
2002-01-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 19-3	1559.08	1416.93	73.23%	26.57%	+16.78	10-6
2001-09-09	New Orleans Saints	L 6-24	1507.78	1498.66	56.01%	43.74%	-37.49	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 26-42	1470.29	1583.20	29.98%	69.81%	-18.93	0-2
2001-09-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1451.36	1481.44	50.40%	49.35%	-32.79	0-3
2001-10-07	New York Jets	L 36-42	1418.57	1488.49	44.69%	55.06%	-17.28	0-4
2001-10-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-10	1401.29	1490.69	32.89%	66.89%	+18.27	1-4
2001-10-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-27	1419.56	1540.03	29.07%	70.72%	-7.95	1-5
2001-11-04	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-30	1411.61	1501.78	41.83%	57.93%	-26.41	1-6
2001-11-11	@ New England Patriots	L 11-21	1385.20	1528.64	26.43%	73.37%	-13.19	1-7
2001-11-18	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1372.01	1474.13	40.17%	59.59%	-10.98	1-8
2001-11-25	Miami Dolphins	L 27-34	1361.03	1541.76	29.93%	69.85%	-12.51	1-9
2001-12-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-35	1348.52	1571.29	18.55%	81.29%	-17.31	1-10
2001-12-09	Carolina Panthers	W 25-24	1331.21	1356.24	51.13%	48.62%	+7.67	2-10
2001-12-16	New England Patriots	L 9-12	1338.88	1582.65	22.92%	76.89%	-6.27	2-11
2001-12-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 30-33	1332.61	1392.33	36.76%	63.01%	-10.05	2-12
2001-12-30	@ New York Jets	W 14-9	1322.56	1576.73	15.97%	83.88%	+29.56	3-12
2002-01-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-34	1352.12	1558.50	20.01%	79.82%	-16.41	3-13
2001-09-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1498.98	1516.79	42.52%	57.24%	+29.94	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-24	1528.92	1435.13	58.43%	41.32%	-26.07	1-1
2001-09-30	Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1502.85	1585.73	42.85%	56.90%	-30.99	1-2
2001-10-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1471.86	1487.28	42.85%	56.90%	-21.39	1-3
2001-10-14	New Orleans Saints	L 25-27	1450.47	1538.91	42.07%	57.68%	-9.39	1-4
2001-10-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-17	1441.08	1363.00	56.22%	43.53%	-15.37	1-5
2001-10-28	New York Jets	L 12-13	1425.71	1495.37	44.72%	55.03%	-7.06	1-6
2001-11-04	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-23	1418.65	1557.36	26.96%	72.84%	-17.54	1-7
2001-11-11	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-48	1401.11	1645.11	16.77%	83.08%	-15.44	1-8
2001-11-18	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-25	1385.67	1529.22	34.60%	65.17%	-9.46	1-9
2001-11-25	Atlanta Falcons	L 7-10	1376.21	1465.17	42.00%	57.76%	-11.48	1-10
2001-12-02	@ New Orleans Saints	L 23-27	1364.73	1504.11	26.88%	72.91%	-8.49	1-11
2001-12-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 24-25	1356.24	1331.21	48.62%	51.13%	-7.67	1-12
2001-12-23	St. Louis Rams	L 32-38	1348.57	1711.18	13.06%	86.82%	-5.05	1-13
2001-12-30	Arizona Cardinals	L 7-30	1343.52	1380.19	49.45%	50.30%	-37.42	1-14
2002-01-06	New England Patriots	L 6-38	1306.10	1606.32	17.70%	82.15%	-15.80	1-15
2001-09-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-17	1448.46	1588.01	26.86%	72.93%	-14.06	0-1
2001-09-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 17-10	1434.40	1486.84	47.18%	52.56%	+21.94	1-1
2001-10-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-3	1456.34	1491.78	40.06%	59.70%	+49.83	2-1
2001-10-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-13	1506.17	1363.88	73.24%	26.56%	+11.09	3-1
2001-10-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-0	1517.26	1465.89	52.41%	47.34%	+36.60	4-1
2001-10-28	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-31	1553.86	1526.12	58.63%	41.13%	+15.90	5-1
2001-11-04	Cleveland Browns	W 27-21	1569.76	1475.34	67.52%	32.25%	+12.47	6-1
2001-11-11	Green Bay Packers	L 12-20	1582.23	1578.22	55.28%	44.47%	-24.66	6-2
2001-11-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-24	1557.57	1555.77	45.29%	54.46%	+14.88	7-2
2001-11-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 13-6	1572.45	1485.16	57.52%	42.23%	+17.63	8-2
2001-12-02	Detroit Lions	W 13-10	1590.08	1327.03	84.56%	15.30%	+4.19	9-2
2001-12-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-17	1594.27	1602.37	43.89%	55.86%	-21.91	9-3
2001-12-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-3	1572.36	1582.95	53.20%	46.55%	+35.99	10-3
2001-12-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-15	1608.35	1482.91	62.77%	36.99%	+13.06	11-3
2001-12-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-0	1621.41	1327.84	81.58%	18.26%	+14.11	12-3
2002-01-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-13	1635.52	1499.52	72.53%	27.27%	+19.25	13-3
2001-09-09	New England Patriots	W 23-17	1428.30	1476.42	47.81%	51.94%	+20.08	1-0
2001-09-23	Baltimore Ravens	W 21-10	1448.38	1602.08	33.29%	66.48%	+34.77	2-0
2001-09-30	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-28	1483.15	1516.76	40.31%	59.45%	-23.81	2-1
2001-10-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-16	1459.34	1514.23	37.41%	62.36%	-17.71	2-2
2001-10-14	Cleveland Browns	W 24-14	1441.63	1466.66	51.13%	48.62%	+24.26	3-2
2001-10-21	Chicago Bears	L 0-24	1465.89	1517.26	47.34%	52.41%	-36.60	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-27	1429.29	1387.77	51.00%	48.75%	+15.39	4-3
2001-11-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-30	1444.68	1453.55	43.78%	55.97%	-28.49	4-4
2001-11-18	Tennessee Titans	L 7-20	1416.19	1477.44	45.92%	53.83%	-26.13	4-5
2001-11-25	@ Cleveland Browns	L 0-18	1390.06	1489.18	31.66%	68.11%	-21.21	4-6
2001-12-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-16	1368.85	1571.12	27.40%	72.39%	-7.50	4-7
2001-12-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-14	1361.35	1438.58	43.65%	56.10%	-13.78	4-8
2001-12-16	@ New York Jets	L 14-15	1347.57	1568.03	18.75%	81.09%	-2.95	4-9
2001-12-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-16	1344.62	1572.48	18.11%	81.73%	-11.43	4-10
2001-12-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-23	1333.19	1683.08	13.91%	85.96%	+23.46	5-10
2002-01-06	@ Tennessee Titans	W 23-21	1356.65	1510.50	25.28%	74.52%	+16.61	6-10
2001-09-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-9	1397.03	1477.45	43.20%	56.55%	-11.81	0-1
2001-09-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1385.22	1471.39	42.39%	57.36%	+28.61	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-14	1413.83	1552.72	26.94%	72.86%	+34.46	2-1
2001-10-07	San Diego Chargers	W 20-16	1448.29	1540.57	41.53%	58.22%	+18.37	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-24	1466.66	1441.63	48.62%	51.13%	-24.26	3-2
2001-10-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-14	1442.40	1592.81	33.71%	66.06%	+32.94	4-2
2001-11-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-27	1475.34	1569.76	32.25%	67.52%	-12.47	4-3
2001-11-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-15	1462.87	1581.66	37.88%	61.88%	-10.36	4-4
2001-11-18	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 27-17	1452.51	1597.62	26.24%	73.56%	+36.67	5-4
2001-11-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 18-0	1489.18	1390.06	68.11%	31.66%	+21.21	6-4
2001-12-02	Tennessee Titans	L 15-31	1510.39	1483.77	58.47%	41.28%	-36.89	6-5
2001-12-09	@ New England Patriots	L 16-27	1473.50	1565.61	32.54%	67.23%	-17.04	6-6
2001-12-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-15	1456.46	1452.36	55.30%	44.45%	-19.51	6-7
2001-12-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-30	1436.95	1599.29	24.37%	75.44%	-18.45	6-8
2001-12-30	@ Tennessee Titans	W 41-38	1418.50	1529.50	30.21%	69.58%	+19.01	7-8
2002-01-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1437.51	1659.62	18.60%	81.24%	-13.46	7-9
2001-09-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-10	1477.45	1540.61	45.65%	54.10%	-14.41	0-1
2001-09-23	San Diego Chargers	L 21-32	1463.04	1490.17	50.82%	48.92%	-26.60	0-2
2001-09-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-40	1436.44	1550.19	29.87%	69.91%	-22.12	0-3
2001-10-07	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-28	1414.32	1581.61	23.85%	75.96%	-9.96	0-4
2001-10-15	Washington Redskins	W 9-7	1404.36	1372.04	59.27%	40.49%	+9.04	1-4
2001-10-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-3	1413.40	1380.15	59.39%	40.36%	+23.84	2-4
2001-11-04	@ New York Giants	L 24-27	1437.24	1512.92	34.65%	65.12%	-9.48	2-5
2001-11-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1427.76	1425.76	45.32%	54.43%	-18.92	2-6
2001-11-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-36	1408.84	1591.38	29.71%	70.07%	-26.95	2-7
2001-11-22	Denver Broncos	L 24-26	1381.89	1511.76	36.40%	63.37%	-8.13	2-8
2001-12-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-14	1373.76	1513.69	26.82%	72.98%	+28.18	3-8
2001-12-09	New York Giants	W 20-13	1401.94	1479.40	43.62%	56.13%	+23.43	4-8
2001-12-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-29	1425.37	1445.01	42.26%	57.49%	-34.01	4-9
2001-12-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-17	1391.36	1359.48	49.61%	50.14%	-20.71	4-10
2001-12-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-21	1370.65	1630.16	21.36%	78.46%	+30.29	5-10
2002-01-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-15	1400.94	1313.72	57.51%	42.24%	-20.28	5-11
2001-09-10	New York Giants	W 31-20	1527.49	1532.31	54.02%	45.73%	+23.94	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-17	1551.43	1406.58	65.34%	34.43%	+24.90	2-0
2001-09-30	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-20	1576.33	1567.31	56.00%	43.76%	-23.37	2-1
2001-10-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-6	1552.96	1503.01	61.69%	38.07%	+22.49	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-34	1575.45	1453.29	62.33%	37.43%	-35.45	3-2
2001-10-21	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-27	1540.00	1507.72	49.67%	50.08%	-32.31	3-3
2001-10-28	New England Patriots	W 31-20	1507.69	1525.11	52.22%	47.53%	+24.88	4-3
2001-11-05	@ Oakland Raiders	L 28-38	1532.57	1632.80	31.53%	68.25%	-15.74	4-4
2001-11-11	San Diego Chargers	W 26-16	1516.83	1522.73	53.87%	45.88%	+22.90	5-4
2001-11-18	Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1539.73	1449.28	67.02%	32.75%	-27.97	5-5
2001-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 26-24	1511.76	1381.89	63.37%	36.40%	+8.13	6-5
2001-12-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-21	1519.89	1554.26	40.21%	59.55%	-21.05	6-6
2001-12-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-7	1498.84	1468.18	59.04%	40.72%	+23.18	7-6
2001-12-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-26	1522.02	1425.70	58.78%	40.97%	-16.06	7-7
2001-12-30	Oakland Raiders	W 23-17	1505.96	1629.93	37.19%	62.58%	+24.17	8-7
2002-01-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-29	1530.13	1423.92	60.16%	39.60%	-41.36	8-8
2001-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-28	1502.57	1523.21	42.12%	57.64%	-31.18	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-24	1471.39	1385.22	57.36%	42.39%	-28.62	0-2
2001-10-08	St. Louis Rams	L 0-35	1442.77	1602.08	32.58%	67.20%	-30.42	0-3
2001-10-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 26-31	1412.35	1460.16	38.36%	61.40%	-13.55	0-4
2001-10-21	Tennessee Titans	L 24-27	1398.80	1499.55	40.36%	59.40%	-11.03	0-5
2001-10-28	Cincinnati Bengals	L 27-31	1387.77	1429.29	48.75%	51.00%	-15.39	0-6
2001-11-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-21	1372.38	1510.22	27.06%	72.74%	-12.08	0-7
2001-11-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1360.30	1547.81	29.12%	70.67%	-7.96	0-8
2001-11-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 38-45	1352.34	1326.73	48.71%	51.04%	-20.34	0-9
2001-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 27-29	1332.00	1582.41	22.25%	77.56%	-4.97	0-10
2001-12-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1327.03	1590.08	15.30%	84.56%	-4.18	0-11
2001-12-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 12-15	1322.85	1578.62	15.85%	84.00%	-4.33	0-12
2001-12-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1318.52	1494.97	30.45%	69.33%	+18.94	1-12
2001-12-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-47	1337.46	1673.47	10.62%	89.28%	-9.62	1-13
2001-12-30	Chicago Bears	L 0-24	1327.84	1621.41	18.26%	81.58%	-14.12	1-14
2002-01-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 15-10	1313.72	1400.94	42.24%	57.51%	+20.29	2-14
2001-09-09	Detroit Lions	W 28-6	1523.21	1502.57	57.64%	42.12%	+31.19	1-0
2001-09-24	Washington Redskins	W 37-0	1554.40	1462.94	67.15%	32.63%	+31.33	2-0
2001-09-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 28-7	1585.73	1502.85	56.90%	42.85%	+31.00	3-0
2001-10-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-14	1616.73	1536.75	56.49%	43.26%	-17.83	3-1
2001-10-14	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-23	1598.90	1613.87	52.57%	47.18%	+21.06	4-1
2001-10-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-35	1619.96	1473.70	65.52%	34.25%	-48.47	4-2
2001-11-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-20	1571.49	1554.54	57.12%	42.64%	+6.73	5-2
2001-11-11	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-12	1578.22	1582.23	44.47%	55.28%	+24.67	6-2
2001-11-18	Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1602.89	1444.69	75.00%	24.81%	-20.48	6-3
2001-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 29-27	1582.41	1332.00	77.56%	22.25%	+4.97	7-3
2001-12-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-21	1587.38	1453.57	63.89%	35.87%	+14.99	8-3
2001-12-09	Chicago Bears	W 17-7	1602.37	1594.27	55.86%	43.89%	+21.90	9-3
2001-12-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-26	1624.27	1484.58	64.67%	35.10%	-24.98	9-4
2001-12-23	Cleveland Browns	W 30-7	1599.29	1436.95	75.44%	24.37%	+18.45	10-4
2001-12-30	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1617.74	1428.25	78.21%	21.61%	+11.31	11-4
2002-01-06	@ New York Giants	W 34-25	1629.05	1471.79	66.94%	32.84%	+15.55	12-4
2001-09-09	@ New York Jets	W 45-24	1546.76	1516.58	49.36%	50.38%	+36.44	1-0
2001-09-23	Buffalo Bills	W 42-26	1583.20	1470.29	69.81%	29.98%	+18.93	2-0
2001-09-30	@ New England Patriots	L 13-44	1602.13	1434.92	68.19%	31.59%	-59.87	2-1
2001-10-14	Oakland Raiders	L 18-23	1542.26	1591.57	47.63%	52.12%	-16.81	2-2
2001-10-21	New England Patriots	L 17-38	1525.45	1481.07	60.93%	38.83%	-44.04	2-3
2001-10-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-28	1481.41	1440.22	50.95%	48.80%	+20.37	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-14	1501.78	1411.61	57.93%	41.83%	+26.42	4-3
2001-11-11	Miami Dolphins	L 24-27	1528.20	1574.91	48.01%	51.74%	-13.13	4-4
2001-11-18	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-34	1515.07	1506.89	46.21%	53.54%	-27.28	4-5
2001-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-40	1487.79	1538.68	47.41%	52.34%	-32.61	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 27-39	1455.18	1572.16	29.49%	70.30%	-16.13	4-7
2001-12-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-41	1439.05	1575.31	27.24%	72.56%	-25.44	4-8
2001-12-16	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-27	1413.61	1419.41	53.88%	45.86%	+27.09	5-8
2001-12-23	New York Jets	L 28-29	1440.70	1570.99	36.34%	63.42%	-5.74	5-9
2001-12-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-42	1434.96	1716.23	13.99%	85.88%	-11.04	5-10
2002-01-06	Denver Broncos	W 29-10	1423.92	1530.13	39.60%	60.16%	+41.36	6-10
2001-09-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-3	1503.39	1512.46	53.42%	46.33%	+31.02	1-0
2001-09-23	Tennessee Titans	W 13-6	1534.41	1526.00	55.91%	43.84%	+18.31	2-0
2001-09-30	Cleveland Browns	L 14-23	1552.72	1413.83	72.86%	26.94%	-34.46	2-1
2001-10-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 15-24	1518.26	1425.72	58.26%	41.50%	-27.57	2-2
2001-10-18	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1490.69	1401.29	66.89%	32.89%	-18.27	2-3
2001-10-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-18	1472.42	1559.87	33.13%	66.64%	-5.23	2-4
2001-11-04	@ Tennessee Titans	L 24-28	1467.19	1480.11	43.20%	56.55%	-13.64	2-5
2001-11-11	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-13	1453.55	1444.68	55.97%	43.78%	+28.49	3-5
2001-11-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-20	1482.04	1592.02	30.33%	69.45%	-17.27	3-6
2001-11-25	Baltimore Ravens	L 21-24	1464.77	1560.95	40.99%	58.76%	-11.20	3-7
2001-12-03	Green Bay Packers	L 21-28	1453.57	1587.38	35.87%	63.89%	-14.99	3-8
2001-12-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 14-10	1438.58	1361.35	56.10%	43.65%	+13.78	4-8
2001-12-16	@ Cleveland Browns	W 15-10	1452.36	1456.46	44.45%	55.30%	+19.51	5-8
2001-12-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 33-3	1471.87	1476.04	44.44%	55.31%	+47.79	6-8
2001-12-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 26-30	1519.66	1453.55	63.86%	35.91%	-20.14	6-9
2002-01-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-33	1499.52	1635.52	27.27%	72.53%	-19.25	6-10
2001-09-09	Oakland Raiders	L 24-27	1495.46	1558.27	45.70%	54.05%	-12.49	0-1
2001-09-23	New York Giants	L 3-13	1482.97	1508.38	51.07%	48.68%	-25.48	0-2
2001-09-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-13	1457.49	1431.61	48.74%	51.00%	+45.52	1-2
2001-10-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-20	1503.01	1552.96	38.07%	61.69%	-22.49	1-3
2001-10-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1480.52	1531.94	47.33%	52.42%	-12.93	1-4
2001-10-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 16-24	1467.59	1352.79	61.33%	38.43%	-27.37	1-5
2001-10-25	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-35	1440.22	1481.41	48.80%	50.95%	-20.37	1-6
2001-11-04	@ San Diego Chargers	W 25-20	1419.85	1547.98	28.17%	71.62%	+25.25	2-6
2001-11-11	@ New York Jets	L 7-27	1445.10	1527.39	33.79%	65.98%	-23.86	2-7
2001-11-25	Seattle Seahawks	W 19-7	1421.24	1485.11	45.55%	54.20%	+29.62	3-7
2001-11-29	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-23	1450.86	1581.88	36.25%	63.52%	-20.63	3-8
2001-12-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 26-28	1430.23	1633.71	20.28%	79.55%	-4.53	3-9
2001-12-16	Denver Broncos	W 26-23	1425.70	1522.02	40.97%	58.78%	+16.06	4-9
2001-12-23	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1441.76	1428.16	56.64%	43.11%	+11.79	5-9
2001-12-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-26	1453.55	1519.66	35.91%	63.86%	+20.14	6-9
2002-01-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-21	1473.69	1479.22	44.25%	55.50%	-12.10	6-10
2001-09-09	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-23	1534.53	1551.49	42.64%	57.12%	+25.48	1-0
2001-09-23	Oakland Raiders	W 18-15	1560.01	1570.76	53.18%	46.57%	+12.73	2-0
2001-09-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-42	1572.74	1560.29	46.82%	52.93%	-41.79	2-1
2001-10-07	New England Patriots	W 30-10	1530.95	1494.79	59.80%	39.96%	+28.21	3-1
2001-10-14	@ New York Jets	L 17-21	1559.16	1505.77	52.70%	47.05%	-16.63	3-2
2001-10-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-20	1542.53	1488.73	52.76%	46.99%	+14.83	4-2
2001-11-04	Carolina Panthers	W 23-6	1557.36	1418.65	72.84%	26.96%	+17.55	5-2
2001-11-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1574.91	1528.20	51.74%	48.01%	+13.12	6-2
2001-11-18	New York Jets	L 0-24	1588.03	1551.25	59.88%	39.87%	-46.27	6-3
2001-11-25	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-27	1541.76	1361.03	69.85%	29.93%	+12.50	7-3
2001-12-02	Denver Broncos	W 21-10	1554.26	1519.89	59.55%	40.21%	+21.05	8-3
2001-12-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 41-6	1575.31	1439.05	72.56%	27.24%	+25.44	9-3
2001-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-21	1600.75	1569.50	49.52%	50.23%	-35.81	9-4
2001-12-22	@ New England Patriots	L 13-20	1564.94	1588.92	41.65%	58.10%	-17.39	9-5
2001-12-30	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-14	1547.55	1402.38	73.57%	26.23%	+10.95	10-5
2002-01-06	Buffalo Bills	W 34-7	1558.50	1352.12	79.82%	20.01%	+16.42	11-5
2001-09-09	Carolina Panthers	L 13-24	1516.79	1498.98	57.24%	42.52%	-29.95	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-17	1486.84	1434.40	52.56%	47.18%	-21.94	0-2
2001-09-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-16	1464.90	1555.02	41.84%	57.92%	+18.27	1-2
2001-10-07	@ New Orleans Saints	L 15-28	1483.17	1515.90	40.43%	59.32%	-23.01	1-3
2001-10-14	Detroit Lions	W 31-26	1460.16	1412.35	61.40%	38.36%	+13.54	2-3
2001-10-21	Green Bay Packers	W 35-13	1473.70	1619.96	34.25%	65.52%	+48.47	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-41	1522.17	1517.00	45.78%	53.97%	-37.54	3-4
2001-11-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-48	1484.63	1561.00	34.56%	65.21%	-30.38	3-5
2001-11-19	New York Giants	W 28-16	1454.25	1534.77	43.19%	56.57%	+30.91	4-5
2001-11-25	Chicago Bears	L 6-13	1485.16	1572.45	42.23%	57.52%	-17.64	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-21	1467.52	1629.09	24.45%	75.36%	-8.63	4-7
2001-12-09	Tennessee Titans	W 42-24	1458.89	1520.66	45.85%	53.90%	+36.08	5-7
2001-12-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-27	1494.97	1318.52	69.33%	30.45%	-18.93	5-8
2001-12-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-33	1476.04	1471.87	55.31%	44.44%	-47.79	5-9
2001-12-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-24	1428.25	1617.74	21.61%	78.21%	-11.32	5-10
2002-01-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-19	1416.93	1559.08	26.57%	73.23%	-16.77	5-11
2001-09-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-23	1476.42	1428.30	51.94%	47.81%	-20.08	0-1
2001-09-23	New York Jets	L 3-10	1456.34	1480.14	51.30%	48.45%	-21.42	0-2
2001-09-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 44-13	1434.92	1602.13	31.59%	68.19%	+59.87	1-2
2001-10-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-30	1494.79	1530.95	39.96%	59.80%	-28.21	1-3
2001-10-14	San Diego Chargers	W 29-26	1466.58	1522.21	46.73%	53.02%	+14.49	2-3
2001-10-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 38-17	1481.07	1525.45	38.83%	60.93%	+44.04	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-31	1525.11	1507.69	47.53%	52.22%	-24.88	3-4
2001-11-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 24-10	1500.23	1454.17	51.65%	48.10%	+28.41	4-4
2001-11-11	Buffalo Bills	W 21-11	1528.64	1385.20	73.37%	26.43%	+13.19	5-4
2001-11-18	St. Louis Rams	L 17-24	1541.83	1660.55	37.89%	61.87%	-15.83	5-5
2001-11-25	New Orleans Saints	W 34-17	1526.00	1534.17	53.55%	46.20%	+30.07	6-5
2001-12-02	@ New York Jets	W 17-16	1556.07	1597.53	39.23%	60.53%	+9.54	7-5
2001-12-09	Cleveland Browns	W 27-16	1565.61	1473.50	67.23%	32.54%	+17.04	8-5
2001-12-16	@ Buffalo Bills	W 12-9	1582.65	1338.88	76.89%	22.92%	+6.27	9-5
2001-12-22	Miami Dolphins	W 20-13	1588.92	1564.94	58.10%	41.65%	+17.40	10-5
2002-01-06	@ Carolina Panthers	W 38-6	1606.32	1306.10	82.15%	17.70%	+15.79	11-5
2001-09-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-6	1498.66	1507.78	43.74%	56.01%	+37.49	1-0
2001-09-30	@ New York Giants	L 13-21	1536.15	1533.86	45.36%	54.39%	-20.25	1-1
2001-10-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-15	1515.90	1483.17	59.32%	40.43%	+23.01	2-1
2001-10-14	@ Carolina Panthers	W 27-25	1538.91	1450.47	57.68%	42.07%	+9.39	3-1
2001-10-21	Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1548.30	1424.50	71.11%	28.68%	-29.66	3-2
2001-10-28	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-31	1518.64	1665.25	26.07%	73.73%	+20.13	4-2
2001-11-04	New York Jets	L 9-16	1538.77	1502.43	59.82%	39.93%	-24.96	4-3
2001-11-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-28	1513.81	1522.30	43.83%	55.92%	-6.92	4-4
2001-11-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-20	1506.89	1515.07	53.54%	46.21%	+27.28	5-4
2001-11-25	@ New England Patriots	L 17-34	1534.17	1526.00	46.20%	53.55%	-30.06	5-5
2001-12-02	Carolina Panthers	W 27-23	1504.11	1364.73	72.91%	26.88%	+8.48	6-5
2001-12-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 28-10	1512.59	1450.04	54.01%	45.74%	+30.63	7-5
2001-12-17	St. Louis Rams	L 21-34	1543.22	1691.86	33.94%	65.83%	-19.32	7-6
2001-12-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-48	1523.90	1546.96	41.78%	57.97%	-34.27	7-7
2001-12-30	Washington Redskins	L 10-40	1489.63	1469.85	57.51%	42.24%	-49.69	7-8
2002-01-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-38	1439.94	1599.86	32.50%	67.28%	-31.63	7-9
2001-09-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-31	1532.31	1527.49	45.73%	54.02%	-23.93	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 13-3	1508.38	1482.97	48.68%	51.07%	+25.48	1-1
2001-09-30	New Orleans Saints	W 21-13	1533.86	1536.15	54.39%	45.36%	+20.25	2-1
2001-10-07	Washington Redskins	W 23-9	1554.11	1386.08	76.04%	23.77%	+14.04	3-1
2001-10-14	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-15	1568.15	1632.51	36.14%	63.63%	-5.70	3-2
2001-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-10	1562.45	1559.52	55.13%	44.62%	-8.70	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-35	1553.75	1378.36	69.20%	30.58%	-40.83	3-4
2001-11-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-24	1512.92	1437.24	65.12%	34.65%	+9.48	4-4
2001-11-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-10	1522.40	1339.11	70.16%	29.62%	+12.37	5-4
2001-11-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-28	1534.77	1454.25	56.57%	43.19%	-30.91	5-5
2001-11-25	Oakland Raiders	L 10-28	1503.86	1632.87	36.51%	63.25%	-24.46	5-6
2001-12-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-20	1479.40	1401.94	56.13%	43.62%	-23.43	5-7
2001-12-15	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-13	1455.97	1370.00	66.45%	33.32%	+10.53	6-7
2001-12-23	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-24	1466.50	1479.02	52.92%	46.83%	+12.80	7-7
2001-12-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-24	1479.30	1613.64	27.46%	72.34%	-7.51	7-8
2002-01-06	Green Bay Packers	L 25-34	1471.79	1629.05	32.84%	66.94%	-15.55	7-9
2001-09-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-45	1516.58	1546.76	50.38%	49.36%	-36.44	0-1
2001-09-23	@ New England Patriots	W 10-3	1480.14	1456.34	48.45%	51.30%	+21.42	1-1
2001-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-19	1501.56	1474.21	58.57%	41.18%	-13.07	1-2
2001-10-07	@ Buffalo Bills	W 42-36	1488.49	1418.57	55.06%	44.69%	+17.28	2-2
2001-10-14	Miami Dolphins	W 21-17	1505.77	1559.16	47.05%	52.70%	+16.63	3-2
2001-10-21	St. Louis Rams	L 14-34	1522.40	1638.22	38.29%	61.47%	-27.03	3-3
2001-10-28	@ Carolina Panthers	W 13-12	1495.37	1425.71	55.03%	44.72%	+7.06	4-3
2001-11-04	@ New Orleans Saints	W 16-9	1502.43	1538.77	39.93%	59.82%	+24.96	5-3
2001-11-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-7	1527.39	1445.10	65.98%	33.79%	+23.86	6-3
2001-11-18	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-0	1551.25	1588.03	39.87%	59.88%	+46.28	7-3
2001-12-02	New England Patriots	L 16-17	1597.53	1556.07	60.53%	39.23%	-9.55	7-4
2001-12-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-18	1587.98	1637.72	38.10%	61.66%	-19.95	7-5
2001-12-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 15-14	1568.03	1347.57	81.09%	18.75%	+2.96	8-5
2001-12-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 29-28	1570.99	1440.70	63.42%	36.34%	+5.74	9-5
2001-12-30	Buffalo Bills	L 9-14	1576.73	1322.56	83.88%	15.97%	-29.56	9-6
2002-01-06	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-22	1547.17	1605.75	36.91%	62.85%	+14.02	10-6
2001-09-09	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-24	1558.27	1495.46	54.05%	45.70%	+12.49	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Miami Dolphins	L 15-18	1570.76	1560.01	46.57%	53.18%	-12.73	1-1
2001-09-30	Seattle Seahawks	W 38-14	1558.03	1449.29	69.30%	30.48%	+23.58	2-1
2001-10-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 28-21	1581.61	1414.32	75.96%	23.85%	+9.96	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-18	1591.57	1542.26	52.12%	47.63%	+16.81	4-1
2001-10-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1608.38	1568.22	50.80%	48.95%	+24.42	5-1
2001-11-05	Denver Broncos	W 38-28	1632.80	1532.57	68.25%	31.53%	+15.74	6-1
2001-11-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 27-34	1648.54	1443.81	72.67%	27.12%	-30.31	6-2
2001-11-18	San Diego Chargers	W 34-24	1618.23	1499.83	70.47%	29.32%	+14.64	7-2
2001-11-25	@ New York Giants	W 28-10	1632.87	1503.86	63.25%	36.51%	+24.45	8-2
2001-12-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 31-34	1657.32	1366.94	86.50%	13.37%	-23.61	8-3
2001-12-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-26	1633.71	1430.23	79.55%	20.28%	+4.53	9-3
2001-12-15	@ San Diego Chargers	W 13-6	1638.24	1439.79	71.95%	27.84%	+11.63	10-3
2001-12-22	Tennessee Titans	L 10-13	1649.87	1509.56	73.02%	26.78%	-19.94	10-4
2001-12-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-23	1629.93	1505.96	62.58%	37.19%	-24.18	10-5
2002-01-06	New York Jets	L 22-24	1605.75	1547.17	62.85%	36.91%	-14.02	10-6
2001-09-09	St. Louis Rams	L 17-20	1524.94	1530.86	53.87%	45.88%	-14.72	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-3	1510.22	1489.26	48.04%	51.71%	+39.97	1-1
2001-09-30	Dallas Cowboys	W 40-18	1550.19	1436.44	69.91%	29.87%	+22.12	2-1
2001-10-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-21	1572.31	1351.09	81.16%	18.68%	-12.79	2-2
2001-10-22	@ New York Giants	W 10-9	1559.52	1562.45	44.62%	55.13%	+8.70	3-2
2001-10-28	Oakland Raiders	L 10-20	1568.22	1608.38	48.95%	50.80%	-24.43	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 21-7	1543.79	1356.31	70.66%	29.13%	+17.21	4-3
2001-11-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 48-17	1561.00	1484.63	65.21%	34.56%	+30.38	5-3
2001-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 36-3	1591.38	1408.84	70.07%	29.71%	+26.94	6-3
2001-11-25	Washington Redskins	L 3-13	1618.32	1477.24	73.11%	26.69%	-36.44	6-4
2001-11-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-10	1581.88	1450.86	63.52%	36.25%	+20.63	7-4
2001-12-09	San Diego Chargers	W 24-14	1602.51	1452.63	74.09%	25.71%	+12.83	8-4
2001-12-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-6	1615.34	1506.05	60.58%	39.18%	+23.15	9-4
2001-12-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-13	1638.49	1605.31	49.79%	49.95%	-24.85	9-5
2001-12-30	New York Giants	W 24-21	1613.64	1479.30	72.34%	27.46%	+7.51	10-5
2002-01-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-13	1621.15	1606.06	47.19%	52.55%	+16.58	11-5
2001-09-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-21	1512.46	1503.39	46.33%	53.42%	-31.02	0-1
2001-09-30	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1481.44	1451.36	49.35%	50.40%	+32.79	1-1
2001-10-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-7	1514.23	1459.34	62.36%	37.41%	+17.71	2-1
2001-10-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1531.94	1480.52	52.42%	47.33%	+12.94	3-1
2001-10-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-10	1544.88	1539.52	45.80%	53.95%	+22.52	4-1
2001-10-29	Tennessee Titans	W 34-7	1567.40	1510.59	62.62%	37.15%	+30.47	5-1
2001-11-04	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-13	1597.87	1565.10	59.33%	40.43%	-16.21	5-2
2001-11-11	@ Cleveland Browns	W 15-12	1581.66	1462.87	61.88%	37.88%	+10.36	6-2
2001-11-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-7	1592.02	1482.04	69.45%	30.33%	+17.26	7-2
2001-11-25	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-24	1609.28	1503.57	60.09%	39.67%	+19.81	8-2
2001-12-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-16	1629.09	1467.52	75.36%	24.45%	+8.63	9-2
2001-12-09	New York Jets	W 18-7	1637.72	1587.98	61.66%	38.10%	+19.95	10-2
2001-12-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 26-21	1657.67	1588.28	54.99%	44.76%	+15.80	11-2
2001-12-23	Detroit Lions	W 47-14	1673.47	1337.46	89.28%	10.62%	+9.61	12-2
2001-12-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-26	1683.08	1333.19	85.96%	13.91%	-23.46	12-3
2002-01-06	Cleveland Browns	W 28-7	1659.62	1437.51	81.24%	18.60%	+13.46	13-3
2001-09-09	Washington Redskins	W 30-3	1446.07	1507.03	45.97%	53.78%	+44.10	1-0
2001-09-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 32-21	1490.17	1463.04	48.92%	50.82%	+26.59	2-0
2001-09-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-14	1516.76	1483.15	59.45%	40.31%	+23.81	3-0
2001-10-07	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-20	1540.57	1448.29	58.22%	41.53%	-18.36	3-1
2001-10-14	@ New England Patriots	L 26-29	1522.21	1466.58	53.02%	46.73%	-14.49	3-2
2001-10-21	Denver Broncos	W 27-10	1507.72	1540.00	50.08%	49.67%	+32.31	4-2
2001-10-28	Buffalo Bills	W 27-24	1540.03	1419.56	70.72%	29.07%	+7.95	5-2
2001-11-04	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-25	1547.98	1419.85	71.62%	28.17%	-25.25	5-3
2001-11-11	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-26	1522.73	1516.83	45.88%	53.87%	-22.90	5-4
2001-11-18	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-34	1499.83	1618.23	29.32%	70.47%	-14.63	5-5
2001-11-25	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-20	1485.20	1347.07	72.77%	27.02%	-19.88	5-6
2001-12-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-13	1465.32	1455.49	46.44%	53.31%	-12.69	5-7
2001-12-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-24	1452.63	1602.51	25.71%	74.09%	-12.84	5-8
2001-12-15	Oakland Raiders	L 6-13	1439.79	1638.24	27.84%	71.95%	-11.63	5-9
2001-12-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1428.16	1441.76	43.11%	56.64%	-11.78	5-10
2001-12-30	Seattle Seahawks	L 22-25	1416.38	1466.22	47.56%	52.19%	-13.00	5-11
2001-09-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 16-13	1477.81	1446.23	59.16%	40.59%	+11.10	1-0
2001-09-23	St. Louis Rams	L 26-30	1488.91	1545.58	46.58%	53.17%	-14.70	1-1
2001-10-01	@ New York Jets	W 19-17	1474.21	1501.56	41.18%	58.57%	+13.07	2-1
2001-10-07	Carolina Panthers	W 24-14	1487.28	1471.86	56.90%	42.85%	+21.39	3-1
2001-10-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 37-31	1508.67	1441.95	54.61%	45.14%	+17.45	4-1
2001-10-28	@ Chicago Bears	L 31-37	1526.12	1553.86	41.13%	58.63%	-15.90	4-2
2001-11-04	Detroit Lions	W 21-13	1510.22	1372.38	72.74%	27.06%	+12.08	5-2
2001-11-11	New Orleans Saints	W 28-27	1522.30	1513.81	55.92%	43.83%	+6.92	6-2
2001-11-18	@ Carolina Panthers	W 25-22	1529.22	1385.67	65.17%	34.60%	+9.46	7-2
2001-11-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 40-21	1538.68	1487.79	52.34%	47.41%	+32.61	8-2
2001-12-02	Buffalo Bills	W 35-0	1571.29	1348.52	81.29%	18.55%	+17.32	9-2
2001-12-09	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-27	1588.61	1672.76	33.56%	66.22%	-19.11	9-3
2001-12-16	Miami Dolphins	W 21-0	1569.50	1600.75	50.23%	49.52%	+35.81	10-3
2001-12-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-3	1605.31	1638.49	49.95%	49.79%	+24.85	11-3
2001-12-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-27	1630.16	1370.65	78.46%	21.36%	-30.30	11-4
2002-01-06	@ New Orleans Saints	W 38-0	1599.86	1439.94	67.28%	32.50%	+31.63	12-4
2001-09-09	@ Cleveland Browns	W 9-6	1477.45	1397.03	56.55%	43.20%	+11.81	1-0
2001-09-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-27	1489.26	1510.22	51.71%	48.04%	-39.97	1-1
2001-09-30	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-38	1449.29	1558.03	30.48%	69.30%	-23.57	1-2
2001-10-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-15	1425.72	1518.26	41.50%	58.26%	+27.57	2-2
2001-10-14	Denver Broncos	W 34-21	1453.29	1575.45	37.43%	62.33%	+35.44	3-2
2001-10-28	Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1488.73	1542.53	46.99%	52.76%	-14.83	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-27	1473.90	1419.19	52.89%	46.86%	-30.09	3-4
2001-11-11	Oakland Raiders	W 34-27	1443.81	1648.54	27.12%	72.67%	+30.32	4-4
2001-11-18	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1474.13	1372.01	59.59%	40.17%	+10.98	5-4
2001-11-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-19	1485.11	1421.24	54.20%	45.55%	-29.62	5-5
2001-12-02	San Diego Chargers	W 13-10	1455.49	1465.32	53.31%	46.44%	+12.69	6-5
2001-12-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-20	1468.18	1498.84	40.72%	59.04%	-23.17	6-6
2001-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 29-3	1445.01	1425.37	57.49%	42.26%	+34.01	7-6
2001-12-23	@ New York Giants	L 24-27	1479.02	1466.50	46.83%	52.92%	-12.80	7-7
2001-12-30	@ San Diego Chargers	W 25-22	1466.22	1416.38	52.19%	47.56%	+13.00	8-7
2002-01-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-18	1479.22	1473.69	55.50%	44.25%	+12.10	9-7
2001-09-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1530.86	1524.94	45.88%	53.87%	+14.72	1-0
2001-09-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-26	1545.58	1488.91	53.17%	46.58%	+14.71	2-0
2001-09-30	Miami Dolphins	W 42-10	1560.29	1572.74	52.93%	46.82%	+41.79	3-0
2001-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-0	1602.08	1442.77	67.20%	32.58%	+30.43	4-0
2001-10-14	New York Giants	W 15-14	1632.51	1568.15	63.63%	36.14%	+5.71	5-0
2001-10-21	@ New York Jets	W 34-14	1638.22	1522.40	61.47%	38.29%	+27.03	6-0
2001-10-28	New Orleans Saints	L 31-34	1665.25	1518.64	73.73%	26.07%	-20.14	6-1
2001-11-11	Carolina Panthers	W 48-14	1645.11	1401.11	83.08%	16.77%	+15.44	7-1
2001-11-18	@ New England Patriots	W 24-17	1660.55	1541.83	61.87%	37.89%	+15.83	8-1
2001-11-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-24	1676.38	1540.89	72.47%	27.33%	-30.24	8-2
2001-12-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 35-6	1646.14	1476.65	68.48%	31.30%	+26.62	9-2
2001-12-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-14	1672.76	1588.61	66.22%	33.56%	+19.10	10-2
2001-12-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-21	1691.86	1543.22	65.83%	33.94%	+19.32	11-2
2001-12-23	@ Carolina Panthers	W 38-32	1711.18	1348.57	86.82%	13.06%	+5.05	12-2
2001-12-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-17	1716.23	1434.96	85.88%	13.99%	+11.03	13-2
2002-01-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-13	1727.26	1391.42	89.27%	10.63%	+7.11	14-2
2001-09-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 10-6	1540.61	1477.45	54.10%	45.65%	+14.41	1-0
2001-09-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-20	1555.02	1464.90	57.92%	41.84%	-18.27	1-1
2001-10-07	Green Bay Packers	W 14-10	1536.75	1616.73	43.26%	56.49%	+17.82	2-1
2001-10-14	@ Tennessee Titans	L 28-31	1554.57	1484.50	55.08%	44.67%	-15.05	2-2
2001-10-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-17	1539.52	1544.88	53.95%	45.80%	-22.52	2-3
2001-10-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-14	1517.00	1522.17	53.97%	45.78%	+37.54	3-3
2001-11-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-21	1554.54	1571.49	42.64%	57.12%	-6.73	3-4
2001-11-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-17	1547.81	1360.30	70.67%	29.12%	+7.96	4-4
2001-11-18	Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1555.77	1557.57	54.46%	45.29%	-14.88	4-5
2001-11-26	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-17	1540.89	1676.38	27.33%	72.47%	+30.23	5-5
2001-12-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-13	1571.12	1368.85	72.39%	27.40%	+7.50	6-5
2001-12-09	Detroit Lions	W 15-12	1578.62	1322.85	84.00%	15.85%	+4.33	7-5
2001-12-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-27	1582.95	1572.36	46.55%	53.20%	-35.99	7-6
2001-12-23	New Orleans Saints	W 48-21	1546.96	1523.90	57.97%	41.78%	+34.27	8-6
2001-12-29	Baltimore Ravens	W 22-10	1581.23	1583.92	54.33%	45.42%	+24.83	9-6
2002-01-06	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-17	1606.06	1621.15	52.55%	47.19%	-16.58	9-7
2001-09-09	Miami Dolphins	L 23-31	1551.49	1534.53	57.12%	42.64%	-25.49	0-1
2001-09-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-13	1526.00	1534.41	43.84%	55.91%	-18.30	0-2
2001-10-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-26	1507.70	1590.68	33.71%	66.07%	-23.20	0-3
2001-10-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-28	1484.50	1554.57	44.67%	55.08%	+15.05	1-3
2001-10-21	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1499.55	1398.80	59.40%	40.36%	+11.04	2-3
2001-10-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-34	1510.59	1567.40	37.15%	62.62%	-30.48	2-4
2001-11-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-24	1480.11	1467.19	56.55%	43.20%	+13.64	3-4
2001-11-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-16	1493.75	1581.31	42.19%	57.56%	-16.31	3-5
2001-11-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-7	1477.44	1416.19	53.83%	45.92%	+26.13	4-5
2001-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-34	1503.57	1609.28	39.67%	60.09%	-19.80	4-6
2001-12-02	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-15	1483.77	1510.39	41.28%	58.47%	+36.89	5-6
2001-12-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-42	1520.66	1458.89	53.90%	45.85%	-36.08	5-7
2001-12-16	Green Bay Packers	W 26-20	1484.58	1624.27	35.10%	64.67%	+24.98	6-7
2001-12-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 13-10	1509.56	1649.87	26.78%	73.02%	+19.94	7-7
2001-12-30	Cleveland Browns	L 38-41	1529.50	1418.50	69.58%	30.21%	-19.00	7-8
2002-01-06	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-23	1510.50	1356.65	74.52%	25.28%	-16.61	7-9
2001-09-09	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-30	1507.03	1446.07	53.78%	45.97%	-44.09	0-1
2001-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-37	1462.94	1554.40	32.63%	67.15%	-31.33	0-2
2001-09-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-45	1431.61	1457.49	51.00%	48.74%	-45.53	0-3
2001-10-07	@ New York Giants	L 9-23	1386.08	1554.11	23.77%	76.04%	-14.04	0-4
2001-10-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-9	1372.04	1404.36	40.49%	59.27%	-9.04	0-5
2001-10-21	Carolina Panthers	W 17-14	1363.00	1441.08	43.53%	56.22%	+15.36	1-5
2001-10-28	New York Giants	W 35-21	1378.36	1553.75	30.58%	69.20%	+40.83	2-5
2001-11-04	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-14	1419.19	1473.90	46.86%	52.89%	+30.09	3-5
2001-11-18	@ Denver Broncos	W 17-10	1449.28	1539.73	32.75%	67.02%	+27.96	4-5
2001-11-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-3	1477.24	1618.32	26.69%	73.11%	+36.45	5-5
2001-12-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-20	1513.69	1373.76	72.98%	26.82%	-28.18	5-6
2001-12-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-10	1485.51	1390.55	58.60%	41.16%	+20.54	6-6
2001-12-16	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-20	1506.05	1615.34	39.18%	60.58%	-23.14	6-7
2001-12-23	Chicago Bears	L 15-20	1482.91	1608.35	36.99%	62.77%	-13.06	6-8
2001-12-30	@ New Orleans Saints	W 40-10	1469.85	1489.63	42.24%	57.51%	+49.70	7-8
2002-01-06	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1519.55	1417.62	68.46%	31.32%	+8.56	8-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2002-01-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-3	1575.86	1574.92	45.30%	54.70%	+35.50	1-0
2002-01-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-27	1611.36	1673.08	36.60%	63.40%	-23.75	1-1
2002-01-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-33	1654.77	1666.09	53.22%	46.78%	-31.34	0-1
2002-01-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 25-15	1644.60	1631.49	56.70%	43.30%	+21.56	1-0
2002-01-20	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-45	1666.16	1734.37	35.74%	64.26%	-29.77	1-1
2002-01-13	Baltimore Ravens	L 3-20	1574.92	1575.86	54.70%	45.30%	-35.51	0-1
2002-01-19	Oakland Raiders	W 16-13	1622.11	1615.79	55.74%	44.26%	+12.07	1-0
2002-01-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-17	1634.18	1696.83	36.47%	63.53%	+26.45	2-0
2002-02-03	@ St. Louis Rams	W 20-17	1660.63	1776.78	33.88%	66.12%	+18.03	3-0
2002-01-12	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-38	1561.19	1591.73	40.85%	59.15%	-24.06	0-1
2002-01-12	New York Jets	W 38-24	1591.73	1561.19	59.15%	40.85%	+24.06	1-0
2002-01-19	@ New England Patriots	L 13-16	1615.79	1622.11	44.26%	55.74%	-12.06	1-1
2002-01-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-9	1637.73	1589.48	61.58%	38.42%	+28.36	1-0
2002-01-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 33-19	1666.09	1654.77	46.78%	53.22%	+31.34	2-0
2002-01-27	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-29	1697.43	1764.14	35.94%	64.06%	-12.64	2-1
2002-01-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-10	1673.08	1611.36	63.40%	36.60%	+23.75	1-0
2002-01-27	New England Patriots	L 17-24	1696.83	1634.18	63.53%	36.47%	-26.46	1-1
2002-01-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 15-25	1631.49	1644.60	43.30%	56.70%	-21.55	0-1
2002-01-20	Green Bay Packers	W 45-17	1734.37	1666.16	64.26%	35.74%	+29.77	1-0
2002-01-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 29-24	1764.14	1697.43	64.06%	35.94%	+12.64	2-0
2002-02-03	New England Patriots	L 17-20	1776.78	1660.63	66.12%	33.88%	-18.02	2-1
2002-01-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-31	1589.48	1637.73	38.42%	61.58%	-28.37	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2001-12-02	13.37%	Arizona Cardinals	1366.94	34	@ Oakland Raiders	1657.32	31
2	2001-12-30	13.91%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1333.19	26	Pittsburgh Steelers	1683.08	23
3	2001-12-30	15.97%	Buffalo Bills	1322.56	14	@ New York Jets	1576.73	9
4	2001-10-07	18.68%	Arizona Cardinals	1351.09	21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1572.31	20
5	2001-12-30	21.36%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1370.65	27	San Francisco 49ers	1630.16	21
6	2001-11-18	24.81%	Atlanta Falcons	1444.69	23	@ Green Bay Packers	1602.89	20
7	2002-01-06	25.28%	Cincinnati Bengals	1356.65	23	@ Tennessee Titans	1510.50	21
8	2001-10-28	26.07%	New Orleans Saints	1518.64	34	@ St. Louis Rams	1665.25	31
9	2001-11-18	26.24%	Cleveland Browns	1452.51	27	@ Baltimore Ravens	1597.62	17
10	2001-11-25	26.69%	Washington Redskins	1477.24	13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1618.32	3
11	2001-12-22	26.78%	Tennessee Titans	1509.56	13	@ Oakland Raiders	1649.87	10
12	2001-12-02	26.82%	Dallas Cowboys	1373.76	20	@ Washington Redskins	1513.69	14
13	2001-09-30	26.94%	Cleveland Browns	1413.83	23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1552.72	14
14	2001-11-25	27.02%	Arizona Cardinals	1347.07	20	@ San Diego Chargers	1485.20	17
15	2001-11-11	27.12%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1443.81	34	Oakland Raiders	1648.54	27
16	2001-11-26	27.33%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1540.89	24	@ St. Louis Rams	1676.38	17
17	2001-11-04	28.17%	Kansas City Chiefs	1419.85	25	@ San Diego Chargers	1547.98	20
18	2001-10-21	28.68%	Atlanta Falcons	1424.50	20	@ New Orleans Saints	1548.30	13
19	2001-12-30	30.21%	Cleveland Browns	1418.50	41	@ Tennessee Titans	1529.50	38
20	2001-12-16	30.45%	@ Detroit Lions	1318.52	27	Minnesota Vikings	1494.97	24
21	2001-10-28	30.58%	@ Washington Redskins	1378.36	35	New York Giants	1553.75	21
22	2001-09-30	31.59%	@ New England Patriots	1434.92	44	Indianapolis Colts	1602.13	13
23	2001-11-18	32.75%	Washington Redskins	1449.28	17	@ Denver Broncos	1539.73	10
24	2001-10-18	32.89%	Buffalo Bills	1401.29	13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1490.69	10
25	2001-09-23	33.29%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1448.38	21	Baltimore Ravens	1602.08	10

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2001-09-30	59.87	@ New England Patriots	44	1434.92	31.59%	Indianapolis Colts	13	1602.13	68.19%
2	2001-10-07	49.83	Chicago Bears	31	1456.34	40.06%	@ Atlanta Falcons	3	1491.78	59.70%
3	2001-12-30	49.70	Washington Redskins	40	1469.85	42.24%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1489.63	57.51%
4	2001-10-21	48.47	@ Minnesota Vikings	35	1473.70	34.25%	Green Bay Packers	13	1619.96	65.52%
5	2001-12-23	47.79	Jacksonville Jaguars	33	1471.87	44.44%	@ Minnesota Vikings	3	1476.04	55.31%
6	2001-11-18	46.28	New York Jets	24	1551.25	39.87%	@ Miami Dolphins	0	1588.03	59.88%
7	2001-09-30	45.53	Kansas City Chiefs	45	1457.49	48.74%	@ Washington Redskins	13	1431.61	51.00%
8	2001-09-09	44.10	@ San Diego Chargers	30	1446.07	45.97%	Washington Redskins	3	1507.03	53.78%
9	2001-10-21	44.04	New England Patriots	38	1481.07	38.83%	@ Indianapolis Colts	17	1525.45	60.93%
10	2001-09-30	41.79	@ St. Louis Rams	42	1560.29	52.93%	Miami Dolphins	10	1572.74	46.82%
11	2002-01-06	41.36	@ Indianapolis Colts	29	1423.92	39.60%	Denver Broncos	10	1530.13	60.16%
12	2001-10-28	40.83	@ Washington Redskins	35	1378.36	30.58%	New York Giants	21	1553.75	69.20%
13	2001-09-23	39.97	Philadelphia Eagles	27	1510.22	48.04%	@ Seattle Seahawks	3	1489.26	51.71%
14	2001-10-28	37.54	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41	1517.00	53.97%	Minnesota Vikings	14	1522.17	45.78%
15	2001-09-09	37.49	New Orleans Saints	24	1498.66	43.74%	@ Buffalo Bills	6	1507.78	56.01%
16	2001-12-30	37.43	Arizona Cardinals	30	1380.19	50.30%	@ Carolina Panthers	7	1343.52	49.45%
17	2001-12-02	36.89	Tennessee Titans	31	1483.77	41.28%	@ Cleveland Browns	15	1510.39	58.47%
18	2001-11-18	36.67	Cleveland Browns	27	1452.51	26.24%	@ Baltimore Ravens	17	1597.62	73.56%
19	2001-10-21	36.60	Chicago Bears	24	1517.26	52.41%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	0	1465.89	47.34%
20	2001-11-25	36.45	Washington Redskins	13	1477.24	26.69%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	3	1618.32	73.11%
21	2001-09-09	36.44	Indianapolis Colts	45	1546.76	49.36%	@ New York Jets	24	1516.58	50.38%
22	2001-12-09	36.08	@ Minnesota Vikings	42	1458.89	45.85%	Tennessee Titans	24	1520.66	53.90%
23	2001-12-16	35.99	@ Chicago Bears	27	1572.36	53.20%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1582.95	46.55%
24	2001-12-16	35.81	@ San Francisco 49ers	21	1569.50	50.23%	Miami Dolphins	0	1600.75	49.52%
25	2002-01-13 *	35.51	Baltimore Ravens	20	1575.86	45.30%	@ Miami Dolphins	3	1574.92	54.70%