2000 NFL Season

248 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Baltimore Ravens

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

New York Giants

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1990

Biggest Overachiever

New York Giants

3.22 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.78 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Diego Chargers

4.25 wins below expected

1 wins · 5.25 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tennessee Titans Division	13	3	.812	-	346	191	+155	11.05	+1.95
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	333	165	+168	9.61	+2.39
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	7	.562	4	321	255	+66	8.09	+0.91
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	7	9	.438	6	367	327	+40	9.11	-2.11
5	Cincinnati Bengals	4	12	.250	9	185	359	-174	4.95	-0.95
6	Cleveland Browns	3	13	.188	10	161	419	-258	4.10	-1.10

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Miami Dolphins Division	11	5	.688	-	323	226	+97	9.08	+1.92
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	429	326	+103	9.16	+0.84
3	New York Jets	9	7	.562	2	321	321	0	8.60	+0.40
4	Buffalo Bills	8	8	.500	3	315	350	-35	8.59	-0.59
5	New England Patriots	5	11	.312	6	276	338	-62	6.96	-1.96

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Oakland Raiders Division	12	4	.750	-	479	299	+180	10.16	+1.84
2	Denver Broncos Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	485	369	+116	9.67	+1.33
3	Kansas City Chiefs	7	9	.438	5	355	354	+1	8.47	-1.47
4	Seattle Seahawks	6	10	.375	6	320	405	-85	6.92	-0.92
5	San Diego Chargers	1	15	.062	11	269	440	-171	5.25	-4.25

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	11	5	.688	-	397	371	+26	10.25	+0.75
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	388	269	+119	9.43	+0.57
3	Green Bay Packers	9	7	.562	2	353	323	+30	7.83	+1.17
4	Detroit Lions	9	7	.562	2	307	307	0	7.71	+1.29
5	Chicago Bears	5	11	.312	6	216	355	-139	5.21	-0.21

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	12	4	.750	-	328	246	+82	8.78	+3.22
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	351	245	+106	8.99	+2.01
3	Washington Redskins	8	8	.500	4	281	269	+12	9.16	-1.16
4	Dallas Cowboys	5	11	.312	7	294	361	-67	7.16	-2.16
5	Arizona Cardinals	3	13	.188	9	210	443	-233	5.38	-2.38

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New Orleans Saints Division	10	6	.625	-	354	305	+49	7.51	+2.49
2	St. Louis Rams Playoffs	10	6	.625	-	540	471	+69	10.71	-0.71
3	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	3	310	310	0	8.08	-1.08
4	San Francisco 49ers	6	10	.375	4	388	422	-34	6.25	-0.25
5	Atlanta Falcons	4	12	.250	6	252	413	-161	5.79	-1.79

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Miami Dolphins 23

Indianapolis Colts 17

Dec 30

Baltimore Ravens 21

Denver Broncos 3

Dec 31

Divisional Round

Oakland Raiders 27

Miami Dolphins 0

Jan 6

Baltimore Ravens 24

Tennessee Titans 10

Jan 7

Conference Championship

Baltimore Ravens 16

Oakland Raiders 3

Jan 14

NFC

Wild Card Round

New Orleans Saints 31

St. Louis Rams 28

Dec 30

Philadelphia Eagles 21

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3

Dec 31

Divisional Round

Minnesota Vikings 34

New Orleans Saints 16

Jan 6

New York Giants 20

Philadelphia Eagles 10

Jan 7

Conference Championship

New York Giants 41

Minnesota Vikings 0

Jan 14

Super Bowl

Baltimore Ravens 34

New York Giants 7

Jan 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC Central	1670	13	11.05	+1.95	92.50%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1660	12	10.16	+1.84	89.81%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1636	10	9.16	+0.84	75.63%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1628	10	9.43	+0.57	71.14%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1612	12	9.61	+2.39	94.55%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1602	11	9.08	+1.92	89.84%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1601	10	10.71	-0.71	44.56%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1600	11	9.67	+1.33	84.05%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1573	12	8.78	+3.22	97.56%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1572	11	10.25	+0.75	74.46%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1563	9	7.83	+1.17	80.78%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1556	11	8.99	+2.01	91.23%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1548	9	8.60	+0.40	68.00%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1531	9	8.09	+0.91	77.66%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1523	8	8.59	-0.59	48.40%	1	5	7	9	10	12	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1518	8	9.16	-1.16	36.66%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1508	7	9.11	-2.11	19.29%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1508	9	7.71	+1.29	82.84%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1503	10	7.51	+2.49	94.00%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1497	7	8.08	-1.08	38.52%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1487	7	8.47	-1.47	30.91%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1440	6	6.92	-0.92	42.10%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1434	6	6.25	-0.25	56.37%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1433	5	7.16	-2.16	19.19%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1430	5	6.96	-1.96	22.92%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1373	5	5.21	-0.21	57.85%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1356	4	5.79	-1.79	25.24%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1323	4	4.95	-0.95	41.38%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1307	1	5.25	-4.25	1.30%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1258	3	5.38	-2.38	15.23%	0	2	4	5	7	8	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC Central	1251	3	4.10	-1.10	38.03%	0	1	3	4	5	7	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Jaguars	Steelers	Titans
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	-	1-2 (1.0 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-3 (0.8 exp.)	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	-	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	-

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-4 (1.8 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (2.8 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	2-2 (1.1 exp.)	-	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.40%	1.61%	2.42%	2.02%	1.01%	0.60%	0.20%	8.27%
7–13	1.61%	4.03%	4.84%	3.63%	2.22%	0.81%	1.21%	18.35%
14–20	2.42%	4.84%	6.85%	5.65%	3.63%	0.81%	0.81%	25.00%
21–27	2.02%	3.63%	5.65%	5.65%	4.64%	1.41%	0.20%	23.19%
28–34	1.01%	2.22%	3.63%	4.64%	1.61%	1.01%	1.01%	15.12%
35–41	0.60%	0.81%	0.81%	1.41%	1.01%	2.02%	—	6.65%
42+	0.20%	1.21%	0.81%	0.20%	1.01%	—	—	3.43%
Total	8.27%	18.35%	25.00%	23.19%	15.12%	6.65%	3.43%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.67	20.67	+0.00
SD	10.78	10.78	15.05
CV	0.52	0.52	—
Max	57	57	+48
Min	0	0	-48

Games Played: 248

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	12.50%	43.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	—	12.50%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.12	27.69	-14.56
SD	8.28	9.54	13.36
CV	0.63	0.34	—
Max	32	48	+8
Min	3	13	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.75	25.81	-10.06
SD	8.84	12.45	13.43
CV	0.56	0.48	—
Max	36	45	+16
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	31.25%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	10.31	+10.50
SD	13.10	10.06	15.28
CV	0.63	0.98	—
Max	44	36	+37
Min	3	0	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	43.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.69	21.88	-2.19
SD	8.48	9.87	12.87
CV	0.43	0.45	—
Max	42	44	+19
Min	6	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	19.38	+0.00
SD	10.07	11.32	16.64
CV	0.52	0.58	—
Max	38	52	+23
Min	6	3	-43

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
7–13	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.50	22.19	-8.69
SD	9.56	7.99	12.59
CV	0.71	0.36	—
Max	27	41	+7
Min	0	10	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	31.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	11.56	22.44	-10.88
SD	9.76	11.22	14.09
CV	0.84	0.50	—
Max	31	48	+11
Min	0	3	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	37.50%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.06	26.19	-16.12
SD	9.23	12.56	16.76
CV	0.92	0.48	—
Max	24	48	+17
Min	0	7	-48

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.38	22.56	-4.19
SD	12.30	10.61	19.03
CV	0.67	0.47	—
Max	48	41	+41
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	31.25%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.31	23.06	+7.25
SD	10.08	9.62	14.08
CV	0.33	0.42	—
Max	44	41	+34
Min	7	7	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.19	19.19	+0.00
SD	8.26	8.49	12.01
CV	0.43	0.44	—
Max	34	31	+25
Min	8	7	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	20.19	+1.88
SD	7.27	9.68	11.25
CV	0.33	0.48	—
Max	33	31	+26
Min	6	3	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	37.50%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.81	20.38	+6.44
SD	9.12	7.17	11.77
CV	0.34	0.35	—
Max	44	38	+29
Min	14	10	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	20.44	+2.50
SD	11.86	12.86	19.48
CV	0.52	0.63	—
Max	48	43	+48
Min	10	0	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	22.12	+0.06
SD	11.81	10.11	13.38
CV	0.53	0.46	—
Max	54	49	+32
Min	7	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.19	14.12	+6.06
SD	9.62	9.74	11.53
CV	0.48	0.69	—
Max	37	40	+27
Min	3	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	56.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.81	23.19	+1.62
SD	7.24	9.80	12.67
CV	0.29	0.42	—
Max	31	41	+17
Min	10	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.25	21.12	-3.88
SD	7.18	7.47	8.91
CV	0.42	0.35	—
Max	30	34	+9
Min	3	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	19.06	+3.06
SD	7.68	9.34	11.72
CV	0.35	0.49	—
Max	31	38	+21
Min	7	6	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	15.38	+5.12
SD	7.95	10.24	12.33
CV	0.39	0.67	—
Max	33	38	+24
Min	6	3	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.06	20.06	+0.00
SD	9.54	9.28	11.92
CV	0.48	0.46	—
Max	40	37	+17
Min	3	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.94	18.69	+11.25
SD	11.72	10.06	14.61
CV	0.39	0.54	—
Max	52	33	+43
Min	9	3	-9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	37.50%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.94	15.31	+6.62
SD	11.46	7.70	13.60
CV	0.52	0.50	—
Max	41	33	+28
Min	3	6	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.06	15.94	+4.12
SD	11.13	11.29	13.30
CV	0.55	0.71	—
Max	48	34	+22
Min	0	0	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.81	27.50	-10.69
SD	9.65	12.93	10.71
CV	0.57	0.47	—
Max	37	57	+1
Min	3	9	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	37.50%	25.00%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.25	26.38	-2.12
SD	9.28	12.74	15.97
CV	0.38	0.48	—
Max	45	41	+28
Min	9	0	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	25.31	-5.31
SD	10.22	10.20	13.48
CV	0.51	0.40	—
Max	34	42	+20
Min	0	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	43.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	—	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	33.75	29.44	+4.31
SD	12.33	8.92	13.28
CV	0.37	0.30	—
Max	57	54	+26
Min	3	16	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.25	16.81	+7.44
SD	9.91	8.71	14.47
CV	0.41	0.52	—
Max	41	35	+41
Min	10	0	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.62	11.94	+9.69
SD	7.37	7.16	11.18
CV	0.34	0.60	—
Max	35	24	+32
Min	9	0	-3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	12.50%	—	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	6.25%	43.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.56	16.81	+0.75
SD	8.40	8.60	11.25
CV	0.48	0.51	—
Max	35	32	+19
Min	3	3	-21

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.46	+0.3
Allowed	0.48	-0.3
Differential	0.87	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	12	8.78	+3.22
2	New Orleans Saints	10	7.51	+2.49
3	Baltimore Ravens	12	9.61	+2.39
4	Philadelphia Eagles	11	8.99	+2.01
5	Tennessee Titans	13	11.05	+1.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Diego Chargers	1	5.25	-4.25
2	Arizona Cardinals	3	5.38	-2.38
3	Dallas Cowboys	5	7.16	-2.16
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	7	9.11	-2.11
5	New England Patriots	5	6.96	-1.96

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New Orleans Saints	6	Oct 8 – Nov 12	1 in 74
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	Oct 1 – Oct 29	1 in 56
3	Tennessee Titans	8	Sep 10 – Nov 5	1 in 35
4	Washington Redskins	5	Sep 24 – Oct 22	1 in 34
5	Denver Broncos	6	Nov 5 – Dec 10	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Diego Chargers	11	Sep 3 – Nov 19	1 in 128
2	Kansas City Chiefs	5	Nov 5 – Dec 4	1 in 78
3	Washington Redskins	4	Nov 26 – Dec 16	1 in 48
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Sep 25 – Oct 22	1 in 39
5	St. Louis Rams	3	Nov 20 – Dec 3	1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Tennessee Titans	57.15%	25.06%	12.20%	4.88%	0.66%	0.06%
Baltimore Ravens	20.77%	30.54%	26.79%	17.35%	3.91%	0.64%
Jacksonville Jaguars	15.03%	26.89%	29.91%	22.07%	5.16%	0.93%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.82%	16.16%	25.98%	36.53%	11.48%	3.02%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.19%	1.03%	3.55%	12.51%	47.59%	35.14%
Cleveland Browns	0.04%	0.32%	1.57%	6.66%	31.20%	60.21%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Indianapolis Colts	28.54%	24.23%	20.41%	16.55%	10.27%
Miami Dolphins	27.36%	23.96%	20.86%	16.98%	10.85%
New York Jets	19.59%	21.42%	22.03%	21.11%	15.85%
Buffalo Bills	19.42%	21.10%	22.13%	21.45%	15.89%
New England Patriots	5.09%	9.30%	14.57%	23.90%	47.14%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Oakland Raiders	45.70%	29.20%	16.64%	6.75%	1.70%
Denver Broncos	33.87%	33.10%	21.21%	9.36%	2.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	15.66%	24.46%	31.84%	20.01%	8.03%
Seattle Seahawks	4.02%	10.33%	21.36%	39.36%	24.94%
San Diego Chargers	0.75%	2.91%	8.95%	24.53%	62.87%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Minnesota Vikings	50.45%	27.34%	14.07%	6.55%	1.59%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	30.21%	33.13%	21.36%	11.83%	3.47%
Green Bay Packers	9.76%	19.01%	28.81%	29.49%	12.94%
Detroit Lions	8.79%	17.72%	27.92%	31.40%	14.17%
Chicago Bears	0.79%	2.81%	7.84%	20.73%	67.84%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Washington Redskins	35.52%	27.84%	20.92%	11.99%	3.74%
Philadelphia Eagles	28.90%	27.47%	23.32%	15.00%	5.31%
New York Giants	26.28%	26.66%	23.99%	16.49%	6.57%
Dallas Cowboys	8.00%	14.34%	22.79%	33.86%	21.01%
Arizona Cardinals	1.30%	3.69%	8.98%	22.67%	63.37%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
St. Louis Rams	72.50%	18.49%	6.31%	2.18%	0.52%
Carolina Panthers	13.71%	34.49%	26.24%	16.76%	8.79%
New Orleans Saints	9.36%	26.35%	29.13%	21.66%	13.50%
San Francisco 49ers	2.61%	11.80%	21.13%	30.38%	34.07%
Atlanta Falcons	1.82%	8.87%	17.18%	29.03%	43.11%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Tennessee Titans	30.36%	18.55%	12.97%	9.54%	7.54%	6.10%	4.45%	3.62%	2.53%	1.76%	1.23%	0.77%	0.34%	0.16%	0.07%	0.01%
Oakland Raiders	15.11%	15.09%	13.13%	10.37%	9.54%	8.66%	6.71%	5.67%	5.06%	3.43%	2.72%	2.19%	1.22%	0.69%	0.36%	0.06%
Denver Broncos	9.73%	11.13%	11.49%	10.22%	10.15%	10.17%	7.75%	7.23%	6.72%	4.96%	3.81%	3.08%	1.84%	1.05%	0.57%	0.10%
Baltimore Ravens	9.52%	9.08%	9.50%	10.28%	9.84%	9.20%	8.78%	8.18%	7.02%	5.83%	5.03%	3.51%	2.10%	1.24%	0.58%	0.29%
Indianapolis Colts	7.08%	8.85%	9.12%	9.09%	8.78%	8.40%	8.36%	7.61%	7.08%	7.01%	5.92%	4.87%	4.03%	2.49%	1.10%	0.21%
Miami Dolphins	6.19%	8.20%	9.28%	8.76%	8.76%	8.43%	8.49%	7.97%	7.39%	7.07%	6.09%	5.01%	4.20%	2.62%	1.33%	0.24%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.07%	6.64%	7.35%	9.06%	9.40%	8.99%	9.13%	9.55%	8.46%	7.27%	6.70%	5.07%	2.97%	1.90%	1.01%	0.45%
New York Jets	4.24%	6.01%	6.79%	7.51%	7.51%	7.89%	8.59%	8.30%	7.96%	8.52%	7.61%	6.78%	6.10%	3.88%	1.89%	0.44%
Buffalo Bills	4.32%	5.72%	6.64%	7.09%	7.58%	7.92%	8.44%	8.36%	8.14%	8.72%	7.76%	6.73%	6.16%	3.87%	2.10%	0.45%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.75%	5.13%	5.86%	6.94%	7.50%	8.34%	8.66%	9.00%	9.84%	8.41%	7.54%	7.16%	5.19%	3.57%	2.58%	0.54%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.33%	2.91%	3.84%	5.40%	6.00%	6.56%	7.94%	8.92%	9.46%	9.95%	11.23%	9.54%	6.47%	4.70%	2.91%	1.83%
Seattle Seahawks	0.60%	1.19%	1.72%	2.53%	3.18%	3.82%	5.09%	6.04%	7.71%	9.15%	10.95%	13.48%	11.86%	10.07%	9.66%	2.97%
New England Patriots	0.62%	1.29%	1.94%	2.50%	3.18%	3.84%	4.96%	5.63%	6.89%	8.77%	9.85%	11.29%	15.04%	12.63%	8.48%	3.07%
San Diego Chargers	0.05%	0.14%	0.24%	0.42%	0.62%	1.03%	1.48%	2.14%	3.09%	4.45%	6.32%	9.72%	12.69%	17.75%	26.89%	12.99%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.03%	0.06%	0.12%	0.22%	0.34%	0.51%	0.86%	1.29%	1.87%	3.19%	4.85%	6.97%	12.11%	19.40%	20.87%	27.32%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.08%	0.15%	0.33%	0.49%	0.78%	1.53%	2.38%	3.85%	7.69%	13.99%	19.61%	49.01%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
St. Louis Rams	29.90%	21.51%	15.42%	9.43%	6.97%	5.40%	3.57%	2.62%	2.02%	1.23%	0.86%	0.56%	0.30%	0.15%	0.05%
Minnesota Vikings	22.85%	17.36%	13.74%	11.38%	8.58%	6.80%	5.52%	4.31%	3.08%	2.47%	1.69%	1.09%	0.65%	0.34%	0.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.48%	11.64%	11.43%	12.03%	10.51%	8.91%	7.95%	6.54%	5.49%	4.47%	3.29%	2.37%	1.54%	0.91%	0.44%
Washington Redskins	9.30%	11.56%	12.16%	10.97%	10.11%	9.15%	8.16%	7.30%	6.06%	4.74%	3.93%	3.06%	1.84%	1.14%	0.52%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.79%	9.94%	11.25%	10.14%	10.22%	9.61%	8.62%	7.85%	7.01%	5.56%	4.77%	3.57%	2.38%	1.51%	0.75%
New York Giants	6.65%	8.80%	9.79%	9.81%	9.88%	9.20%	8.62%	8.36%	7.35%	5.98%	5.22%	4.29%	2.84%	2.01%	1.21%
Carolina Panthers	3.17%	4.68%	6.09%	7.86%	9.39%	10.38%	9.44%	9.02%	9.13%	7.74%	6.79%	6.22%	4.67%	3.33%	2.09%
Green Bay Packers	2.76%	3.96%	4.95%	6.79%	7.30%	7.85%	9.29%	9.37%	9.09%	9.32%	8.81%	7.53%	5.79%	4.32%	2.86%
Detroit Lions	2.36%	3.52%	4.59%	6.31%	6.82%	7.47%	9.11%	9.21%	9.32%	9.77%	9.25%	8.13%	6.32%	4.71%	3.10%
New Orleans Saints	1.85%	3.04%	4.17%	5.66%	7.11%	8.64%	8.45%	9.21%	9.96%	9.03%	8.55%	8.25%	6.42%	5.37%	4.30%
Dallas Cowboys	1.17%	2.34%	3.41%	4.49%	5.41%	6.13%	7.37%	8.41%	8.98%	10.16%	10.90%	10.26%	8.74%	7.22%	5.02%
San Francisco 49ers	0.31%	0.68%	1.23%	2.06%	3.12%	4.23%	4.87%	6.41%	7.95%	8.96%	10.57%	11.91%	12.71%	12.59%	12.40%
Atlanta Falcons	0.21%	0.48%	0.78%	1.43%	2.19%	3.06%	3.99%	4.96%	6.29%	7.98%	9.46%	12.00%	14.12%	15.91%	17.14%
Arizona Cardinals	0.10%	0.26%	0.56%	0.90%	1.29%	1.74%	2.70%	3.49%	4.29%	6.56%	8.24%	10.78%	15.75%	19.86%	23.48%
Chicago Bears	0.09%	0.22%	0.43%	0.74%	1.09%	1.43%	2.35%	2.93%	3.98%	6.02%	7.66%	9.98%	15.94%	20.62%	26.51%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31
Tennessee Titans	19.10%	13.58%	10.58%	8.29%	7.42%	5.75%	5.27%	4.26%	4.21%	3.25%	3.11%	2.41%	2.35%	1.95%	1.69%	1.26%	1.24%	0.99%	0.84%	0.59%	0.53%	0.40%	0.34%	0.22%	0.14%	0.09%	0.07%	0.04%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
St. Louis Rams	14.90%	12.86%	10.17%	9.97%	7.23%	7.62%	5.26%	5.00%	3.70%	3.89%	3.00%	2.96%	1.89%	2.05%	1.64%	1.63%	1.15%	1.11%	0.78%	0.80%	0.57%	0.52%	0.36%	0.31%	0.20%	0.16%	0.11%	0.07%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	10.62%	10.25%	8.20%	8.41%	6.56%	6.87%	5.62%	5.70%	4.34%	4.59%	3.58%	3.67%	2.81%	2.88%	2.42%	2.56%	1.78%	1.66%	1.40%	1.42%	1.03%	0.94%	0.73%	0.64%	0.42%	0.33%	0.21%	0.18%	0.08%	0.07%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	8.92%	8.37%	8.16%	7.35%	6.89%	6.16%	5.64%	5.29%	5.27%	4.34%	4.30%	3.77%	3.71%	2.95%	2.89%	2.32%	2.61%	1.92%	1.76%	1.31%	1.43%	1.08%	1.04%	0.71%	0.60%	0.43%	0.31%	0.19%	0.18%	0.07%	0.03%
Denver Broncos	5.39%	5.70%	6.05%	6.09%	6.11%	5.70%	5.40%	5.51%	5.44%	4.87%	4.76%	4.81%	4.21%	3.82%	3.46%	3.19%	3.30%	2.83%	2.40%	2.01%	1.93%	1.62%	1.49%	1.05%	0.93%	0.66%	0.51%	0.32%	0.24%	0.12%	0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5.11%	5.88%	5.30%	5.79%	5.38%	5.79%	5.34%	5.79%	4.78%	5.37%	4.58%	4.68%	3.77%	4.16%	3.51%	3.87%	2.85%	2.94%	2.44%	2.66%	1.89%	1.84%	1.39%	1.45%	0.94%	0.89%	0.57%	0.52%	0.29%	0.20%	0.04%
Baltimore Ravens	5.16%	5.26%	5.43%	5.15%	5.61%	5.13%	5.56%	5.02%	5.52%	4.77%	4.73%	4.39%	4.77%	4.26%	3.90%	3.35%	3.40%	3.22%	2.89%	2.35%	2.22%	1.82%	1.69%	1.18%	1.00%	0.72%	0.60%	0.34%	0.28%	0.16%	0.10%
Washington Redskins	3.94%	4.48%	5.05%	5.19%	5.34%	5.76%	5.18%	5.24%	4.78%	5.12%	4.72%	4.64%	3.86%	4.29%	3.89%	4.12%	3.10%	3.24%	2.76%	2.92%	2.31%	2.18%	1.72%	1.82%	1.20%	1.15%	0.73%	0.60%	0.33%	0.28%	0.05%
Indianapolis Colts	3.95%	4.05%	4.94%	4.52%	5.13%	4.55%	5.27%	4.33%	5.07%	4.01%	4.71%	3.99%	4.88%	3.76%	4.19%	3.11%	4.09%	3.31%	3.63%	2.65%	3.01%	2.43%	2.46%	1.88%	1.82%	1.47%	1.13%	0.75%	0.55%	0.27%	0.11%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.69%	3.53%	4.15%	4.84%	4.52%	5.52%	4.58%	5.43%	4.17%	5.58%	4.32%	5.32%	3.89%	4.79%	3.83%	4.69%	3.36%	3.75%	2.97%	3.37%	2.53%	2.73%	2.00%	1.99%	1.56%	1.26%	0.97%	0.77%	0.47%	0.33%	0.09%
Miami Dolphins	3.34%	3.77%	4.56%	4.45%	5.13%	4.47%	4.93%	4.44%	5.00%	4.00%	4.69%	4.00%	4.84%	4.03%	4.24%	3.33%	4.23%	3.40%	3.66%	2.81%	3.04%	2.64%	2.50%	1.87%	2.02%	1.46%	1.22%	0.84%	0.66%	0.30%	0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.11%	3.41%	3.99%	3.83%	4.38%	4.16%	4.95%	4.73%	5.30%	4.63%	4.73%	4.48%	5.16%	4.59%	4.55%	4.01%	4.25%	3.91%	3.58%	3.08%	3.19%	2.65%	2.34%	1.83%	1.47%	1.15%	0.97%	0.59%	0.46%	0.29%	0.18%
New York Giants	2.56%	3.40%	3.68%	4.14%	4.18%	4.80%	4.30%	4.96%	4.33%	5.12%	4.41%	4.90%	3.86%	4.50%	4.08%	4.74%	3.66%	3.86%	3.28%	3.55%	2.75%	2.92%	2.42%	2.49%	1.75%	1.65%	1.20%	1.06%	0.73%	0.53%	0.18%
New York Jets	2.10%	2.52%	3.32%	3.26%	3.81%	3.47%	4.36%	3.67%	4.52%	3.58%	4.64%	3.88%	5.14%	3.82%	4.51%	3.52%	4.71%	3.88%	4.52%	3.30%	4.04%	3.33%	3.34%	2.77%	2.79%	2.27%	1.85%	1.30%	0.98%	0.52%	0.26%
Buffalo Bills	2.15%	2.53%	3.27%	3.08%	3.68%	3.42%	4.11%	3.72%	4.45%	3.69%	4.49%	3.92%	4.86%	4.02%	4.57%	3.64%	4.76%	3.98%	4.55%	3.43%	3.96%	3.48%	3.50%	2.66%	2.84%	2.17%	1.89%	1.35%	1.04%	0.56%	0.26%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.88%	2.23%	2.74%	2.78%	3.48%	3.21%	3.95%	3.58%	4.32%	3.84%	4.59%	4.20%	4.87%	4.14%	4.78%	4.12%	5.02%	4.40%	4.18%	3.62%	4.10%	3.31%	3.50%	2.77%	2.67%	2.17%	1.90%	1.38%	1.28%	0.70%	0.32%
Carolina Panthers	0.99%	1.62%	1.87%	2.34%	2.52%	3.09%	3.01%	3.86%	3.51%	4.80%	4.34%	5.16%	3.84%	5.15%	4.57%	5.13%	4.03%	4.64%	4.17%	4.67%	3.64%	3.86%	3.46%	3.59%	2.86%	2.63%	2.10%	1.86%	1.34%	1.01%	0.33%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.07%	1.33%	1.71%	1.79%	2.38%	2.21%	3.17%	2.88%	3.66%	3.13%	3.74%	3.51%	4.70%	4.16%	4.78%	4.11%	5.11%	4.91%	5.13%	4.58%	5.16%	4.83%	4.38%	3.87%	3.29%	2.80%	2.39%	1.76%	1.64%	0.96%	0.88%
Green Bay Packers	0.84%	1.39%	1.58%	1.95%	2.20%	2.54%	2.76%	3.16%	3.12%	3.83%	3.61%	3.95%	3.78%	4.54%	4.26%	5.11%	4.30%	4.67%	4.50%	5.17%	4.34%	4.74%	3.99%	4.42%	3.34%	3.31%	2.63%	2.42%	1.65%	1.48%	0.44%
Detroit Lions	0.68%	1.18%	1.38%	1.75%	1.94%	2.29%	2.49%	3.01%	2.94%	3.53%	3.53%	3.81%	3.76%	4.37%	4.15%	5.05%	4.30%	4.76%	4.58%	5.35%	4.46%	4.91%	4.27%	4.70%	3.65%	3.65%	2.87%	2.65%	1.80%	1.63%	0.55%
New Orleans Saints	0.53%	0.95%	1.15%	1.54%	1.69%	2.08%	2.14%	2.82%	2.63%	3.61%	3.29%	4.26%	3.43%	4.50%	4.09%	5.11%	3.86%	5.19%	4.52%	5.42%	4.25%	4.77%	4.28%	4.81%	3.72%	3.92%	3.11%	3.09%	2.13%	2.30%	0.81%
Dallas Cowboys	0.34%	0.57%	0.78%	1.11%	1.25%	1.64%	1.74%	2.01%	2.15%	2.83%	2.74%	2.99%	2.99%	3.72%	3.74%	4.56%	3.95%	4.65%	4.40%	5.70%	4.96%	5.86%	5.01%	5.87%	4.74%	5.03%	4.09%	4.03%	2.86%	2.66%	1.05%
Seattle Seahawks	0.24%	0.38%	0.63%	0.68%	0.99%	1.01%	1.52%	1.36%	1.91%	1.63%	2.25%	2.15%	3.12%	2.55%	3.54%	3.04%	4.62%	4.08%	4.90%	4.29%	5.93%	5.23%	6.38%	5.79%	6.00%	5.43%	5.50%	4.50%	4.88%	3.42%	2.05%
New England Patriots	0.24%	0.41%	0.71%	0.78%	1.04%	1.08%	1.50%	1.40%	1.80%	1.64%	2.33%	2.15%	3.04%	2.64%	3.20%	2.93%	4.21%	3.94%	4.70%	4.18%	5.42%	5.17%	6.09%	5.42%	6.95%	6.14%	6.11%	5.14%	4.57%	3.00%	2.09%
San Francisco 49ers	0.06%	0.14%	0.23%	0.37%	0.40%	0.62%	0.68%	1.01%	1.03%	1.52%	1.52%	2.08%	1.79%	2.52%	2.53%	3.35%	2.94%	4.03%	3.94%	5.02%	4.52%	5.54%	5.54%	6.56%	6.30%	6.86%	6.32%	6.94%	5.91%	6.57%	3.17%
Atlanta Falcons	0.04%	0.09%	0.15%	0.21%	0.27%	0.38%	0.46%	0.62%	0.70%	1.07%	1.09%	1.38%	1.46%	1.93%	2.12%	2.48%	2.35%	3.01%	3.38%	4.36%	4.14%	4.88%	5.17%	6.46%	6.26%	7.67%	7.25%	8.93%	7.64%	9.26%	4.80%
Arizona Cardinals	0.01%	0.04%	0.06%	0.12%	0.16%	0.25%	0.24%	0.43%	0.40%	0.65%	0.60%	0.82%	0.90%	1.31%	1.36%	1.81%	1.69%	2.23%	2.55%	3.39%	3.40%	4.40%	4.73%	5.85%	6.54%	8.21%	8.31%	10.46%	9.67%	11.70%	7.71%
Chicago Bears	0.01%	0.04%	0.06%	0.09%	0.12%	0.18%	0.23%	0.35%	0.36%	0.52%	0.56%	0.68%	0.78%	1.09%	1.25%	1.56%	1.55%	1.91%	2.40%	2.97%	3.26%	3.92%	4.43%	5.42%	6.38%	8.17%	8.33%	11.00%	10.33%	13.69%	8.35%
San Diego Chargers	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.07%	0.12%	0.15%	0.20%	0.25%	0.35%	0.33%	0.63%	0.60%	0.86%	0.79%	1.27%	1.19%	1.87%	1.71%	2.49%	2.35%	3.79%	3.48%	5.12%	4.98%	6.80%	6.80%	9.44%	9.27%	13.31%	11.72%	9.96%
Cincinnati Bengals	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.06%	0.07%	0.12%	0.12%	0.19%	0.22%	0.28%	0.34%	0.52%	0.53%	0.71%	0.81%	1.19%	1.30%	1.86%	1.79%	2.79%	3.06%	4.04%	4.14%	6.56%	6.75%	9.89%	9.60%	12.29%	11.45%	19.24%
Cleveland Browns	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.03%	0.05%	0.10%	0.11%	0.17%	0.19%	0.28%	0.32%	0.49%	0.56%	0.87%	0.87%	1.40%	1.47%	2.31%	2.49%	4.25%	4.61%	7.41%	8.04%	12.37%	14.73%	36.78%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Tennessee Titans	30.36%	17.55%	9.23%	12.93%	8.57%	6.33%	15.02%
Oakland Raiders	15.11%	15.97%	14.62%	8.92%	9.09%	8.38%	27.91%
Denver Broncos	9.73%	11.78%	12.37%	9.23%	9.96%	9.92%	37.01%
Baltimore Ravens	9.52%	7.02%	4.23%	15.24%	11.35%	9.82%	42.82%
Indianapolis Colts	7.08%	9.59%	11.87%	6.81%	7.96%	8.14%	48.55%
Miami Dolphins	6.19%	8.90%	12.27%	6.42%	7.92%	8.03%	50.28%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.07%	5.36%	3.60%	12.10%	10.50%	9.65%	52.72%
Buffalo Bills	4.32%	6.25%	8.85%	5.37%	6.89%	7.66%	60.66%
New York Jets	4.24%	6.55%	8.80%	5.93%	6.87%	7.65%	59.96%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.75%	5.48%	6.43%	6.20%	7.42%	8.26%	62.47%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.33%	2.43%	2.06%	6.49%	6.57%	6.98%	73.15%
New England Patriots	0.62%	1.49%	2.98%	1.77%	2.83%	3.70%	86.61%
Seattle Seahawks	0.60%	1.36%	2.06%	2.08%	3.11%	3.82%	86.97%
San Diego Chargers	0.05%	0.18%	0.52%	0.25%	0.55%	0.97%	97.48%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.03%	0.07%	0.09%	0.21%	0.33%	0.53%	98.74%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.08%	0.15%	99.66%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
St. Louis Rams	29.90%	22.95%	19.65%	6.03%	5.55%	4.82%	11.10%
Minnesota Vikings	22.85%	16.52%	11.08%	14.07%	9.20%	6.96%	19.32%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.48%	10.34%	7.39%	16.06%	11.40%	9.24%	33.08%
Washington Redskins	9.30%	12.19%	14.03%	9.25%	9.55%	8.95%	36.73%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.79%	10.20%	11.91%	9.28%	10.19%	9.58%	42.05%
New York Giants	6.65%	9.11%	10.53%	8.84%	9.79%	9.20%	45.90%
Carolina Panthers	3.17%	4.51%	6.03%	8.12%	9.59%	10.22%	58.36%
Green Bay Packers	2.76%	3.61%	3.39%	7.82%	7.72%	8.19%	66.51%
Detroit Lions	2.36%	3.21%	3.22%	7.13%	7.23%	7.81%	69.04%
New Orleans Saints	1.85%	3.06%	4.45%	5.44%	7.17%	8.55%	69.48%
Dallas Cowboys	1.17%	2.53%	4.30%	3.66%	5.17%	6.08%	77.09%
San Francisco 49ers	0.31%	0.72%	1.58%	1.76%	3.08%	4.21%	88.33%
Atlanta Falcons	0.21%	0.52%	1.09%	1.23%	2.09%	3.02%	91.85%
Arizona Cardinals	0.10%	0.32%	0.88%	0.64%	1.19%	1.71%	95.17%
Chicago Bears	0.09%	0.22%	0.48%	0.67%	1.07%	1.47%	96.00%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+11.29%

Fortress

55.65%44.35%

Elo Value

Home Edge

18 Elo

0.057 points per Elo point

039.3950

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.82 points

Lean Home

-8+2.23+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

12.0

Wide Open

124816

Champion Preseason Odds

Baltimore Ravens, 8th of 31

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

5.4%

Tough Road

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 2.06 · Elevated: 2.06 to 2.81 · High Variance: 2.81 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.7 · Close: 4.7 to 6.36 · Off Target: 6.36 to 8.3 · Well Off Target: 8.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 31 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 31 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.55 · As Expected: 1.55 to 3.72 · Several Outliers: 3.72 to 6.82 · Many Outliers: 6.82 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.07 · As Expected: 3.07 to 5.12 · More Than Expected: 5.12 to 8.2 · Far More Than Expected: 8.2 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.73 wins

As Expected

01.885

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.81

Pinpoint

05.5315

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.39%

97.56%

New York Giants

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.61%

1.30%

San Diego Chargers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 31

As Expected

03.115

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

04.112

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.91

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

71%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

92%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

25%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

28%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.86

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.43

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

35%

As Expected

0%36%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

30%

As Expected

0%30%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.68

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.052

Within Noise

00.0930.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Tennessee Titans	72.01%	72.01%	44.80%	26.82%	16.45%
Oakland Raiders	56.97%	56.97%	34.01%	18.94%	11.61%
St. Louis Rams	75.25%	75.25%	44.02%	24.32%	11.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	51.02%	51.02%	30.36%	17.71%	8.88%
Minnesota Vikings	62.71%	62.71%	32.71%	16.82%	7.24%
Indianapolis Colts	37.32%	37.32%	20.32%	10.50%	6.11%
Denver Broncos	43.55%	43.55%	21.48%	10.16%	5.52%
Baltimore Ravens	40.64%	38.80%	19.41%	9.77%	5.39%
Miami Dolphins	34.64%	33.91%	16.76%	7.96%	4.39%
New York Giants	38.35%	36.81%	18.73%	9.29%	4.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	40.95%	38.30%	18.63%	8.78%	3.73%
Washington Redskins	41.78%	41.24%	17.86%	7.53%	2.77%
Green Bay Packers	27.12%	20.44%	9.95%	4.86%	2.11%
New York Jets	29.25%	24.19%	10.16%	4.17%	2.00%
Buffalo Bills	28.77%	22.60%	8.71%	3.19%	1.41%
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.85%	25.39%	9.00%	3.29%	1.40%
Carolina Panthers	33.97%	21.85%	8.60%	3.47%	1.25%
Detroit Lions	25.39%	16.94%	7.03%	2.91%	1.06%
Pittsburgh Steelers	22.09%	14.12%	5.48%	2.13%	0.97%
New Orleans Saints	25.61%	15.82%	6.40%	2.65%	0.96%
Kansas City Chiefs	28.30%	19.42%	6.69%	2.24%	0.89%
Dallas Cowboys	19.21%	10.21%	3.26%	1.00%	0.29%
San Francisco 49ers	10.64%	4.51%	1.36%	0.41%	0.13%
New England Patriots	11.28%	5.46%	1.44%	0.38%	0.13%
Seattle Seahawks	11.07%	5.30%	1.57%	0.42%	0.13%
Atlanta Falcons	7.43%	2.44%	0.56%	0.14%	0.03%
Chicago Bears	3.69%	1.35%	0.34%	0.08%	0.01%
San Diego Chargers	2.30%	0.61%	0.11%	0.03%	<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.16%	0.30%	0.06%	0.01%	<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals	4.42%	1.11%	0.18%	0.03%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.32%	0.06%	<0.01%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		63.5%3.32%	89.2%0.07%	85.7%0.01%	52.8%5.24%	45.7%4.12%	62.8%3.37%	67.0%3.33%	51.0%4.16%	74.6%1.32%	57.5%3.54%	42.6%5.13%	61.6%1.77%	86.0%0.22%	73.4%1.40%	39.7%3.63%
Buffalo Bills	36.5%3.32%		80.8%0.10%	83.3%0.04%	39.0%3.09%	33.6%2.75%	51.6%2.92%	56.3%2.00%	37.0%2.63%	63.8%0.70%	46.7%2.08%	30.7%3.03%	51.7%1.88%	85.4%0.18%	63.6%0.86%	29.4%3.16%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.8%0.07%	19.2%0.10%			11.8%0.13%	15.4%0.12%	28.8%0.06%	19.2%0.08%	12.1%0.12%	42.4%0.03%	23.1%0.10%	11.1%0.16%	23.5%0.02%	37.5%<0.01%	41.7%0.04%	9.2%0.12%
Cleveland Browns	14.3%0.01%	16.7%0.04%			12.1%0.03%	16.3%0.04%	12.5%0.02%	14.3%0.03%	9.8%0.04%	40.0%0.01%	9.1%0.02%	7.0%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	5.0%0.02%
Denver Broncos	47.2%5.24%	61.0%3.09%	88.2%0.13%	87.9%0.03%		45.1%3.66%	64.5%4.52%	66.4%2.88%	49.9%3.74%	72.8%1.12%	56.2%3.14%	41.3%5.47%	59.8%2.65%	85.0%0.23%	74.3%1.01%	39.8%4.57%
Indianapolis Colts	54.3%4.12%	66.4%2.75%	84.6%0.12%	83.7%0.04%	54.9%3.66%		68.3%3.82%	71.1%2.54%	54.4%3.45%	78.7%1.00%	63.9%2.70%	45.6%3.47%	65.2%2.33%	87.2%0.24%	76.3%0.97%	44.6%3.58%
Jacksonville Jaguars	37.2%3.37%	48.4%2.92%	71.2%0.06%	87.5%0.02%	35.5%4.52%	31.7%3.82%		53.3%2.94%	36.3%3.63%	60.0%1.13%	43.7%3.06%	27.1%4.36%	46.6%1.43%	76.8%0.21%	59.1%0.97%	27.4%3.42%
Kansas City Chiefs	33.0%3.33%	43.7%2.00%	80.8%0.08%	85.7%0.03%	33.6%2.88%	28.9%2.54%	46.7%2.94%		34.5%2.63%	57.7%0.78%	41.3%2.25%	26.2%3.25%	43.2%1.77%	75.6%0.12%	58.6%0.53%	23.8%3.16%
Miami Dolphins	49.0%4.16%	63.0%2.63%	87.9%0.12%	90.2%0.04%	50.1%3.74%	45.6%3.45%	63.7%3.63%	65.5%2.63%		71.4%0.98%	60.2%2.86%	41.2%3.55%	60.4%2.19%	85.5%0.20%	72.4%1.02%	40.1%3.42%
New England Patriots	25.4%1.32%	36.2%0.70%	57.6%0.03%	60.0%0.01%	27.2%1.12%	21.3%1.00%	40.0%1.13%	42.3%0.78%	28.6%0.98%		34.3%0.71%	18.6%1.23%	36.1%0.66%	62.2%0.08%	48.8%0.33%	18.8%1.19%
New York Jets	42.5%3.54%	53.3%2.08%	76.9%0.10%	90.9%0.02%	43.8%3.14%	36.1%2.70%	56.3%3.06%	58.7%2.25%	39.8%2.86%	65.7%0.71%		34.1%2.95%	54.8%1.84%	79.5%0.17%	67.8%0.84%	32.7%2.99%
Oakland Raiders	57.4%5.13%	69.3%3.03%	88.9%0.16%	93.0%0.04%	58.7%5.47%	54.4%3.47%	72.9%4.36%	73.8%3.25%	58.8%3.55%	81.4%1.23%	65.9%2.95%		67.5%2.73%	89.9%0.26%	77.5%1.14%	47.0%4.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	38.4%1.77%	48.3%1.88%	76.5%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	40.2%2.65%	34.8%2.33%	53.4%1.43%	56.8%1.77%	39.6%2.19%	63.9%0.66%	45.2%1.84%	32.5%2.73%		79.6%0.10%	60.4%0.66%	30.3%2.07%
San Diego Chargers	14.0%0.22%	14.6%0.18%	62.5%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	15.0%0.23%	12.8%0.24%	23.2%0.21%	24.4%0.12%	14.5%0.20%	37.8%0.08%	20.5%0.17%	10.1%0.26%	20.4%0.10%		33.3%0.04%	12.4%0.23%
Seattle Seahawks	26.6%1.40%	36.4%0.86%	58.3%0.04%	57.1%<0.01%	25.7%1.01%	23.7%0.97%	40.9%0.97%	41.4%0.53%	27.6%1.02%	51.2%0.33%	32.2%0.84%	22.5%1.14%	39.6%0.66%	66.7%0.04%		20.8%1.26%
Tennessee Titans	60.3%3.63%	70.6%3.16%	90.8%0.12%	95.0%0.02%	60.2%4.57%	55.4%3.58%	72.6%3.42%	76.2%3.16%	59.9%3.42%	81.2%1.19%	67.3%2.99%	53.0%4.24%	69.7%2.07%	87.6%0.23%	79.2%1.26%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		29.9%0.08%	18.9%0.40%	44.4%0.05%	21.8%0.13%	17.3%0.28%	14.4%0.29%	13.8%0.56%	22.7%0.22%	14.0%0.37%	12.4%0.41%	31.6%0.11%	9.9%0.46%	9.3%0.54%	17.4%0.51%
Atlanta Falcons	70.1%0.08%		33.0%0.35%	41.2%0.08%	38.1%0.35%	24.6%0.43%	22.4%0.52%	20.2%0.92%	26.7%0.26%	19.2%0.74%	21.0%0.74%	37.1%0.09%	18.0%1.01%	16.0%0.96%	26.1%0.90%
Carolina Panthers	81.1%0.40%	67.0%0.35%		68.5%0.32%	59.4%1.59%	48.5%2.46%	40.8%2.48%	38.1%4.28%	50.5%1.48%	38.1%3.48%	42.9%3.80%	58.9%0.52%	33.9%4.33%	30.8%4.62%	44.5%3.86%
Chicago Bears	55.6%0.05%	58.8%0.08%	31.5%0.32%		49.1%0.21%	25.2%0.12%	23.1%0.15%	23.6%0.37%	29.5%0.24%	21.1%0.36%	27.1%0.44%	37.6%0.08%	21.0%0.41%	20.1%0.33%	29.6%0.51%
Dallas Cowboys	78.2%0.13%	61.9%0.35%	40.6%1.59%	50.9%0.21%		39.8%1.41%	31.5%1.40%	29.6%2.43%	40.0%1.29%	30.4%1.73%	32.5%1.96%	52.3%0.50%	24.8%1.81%	22.7%2.35%	38.5%2.03%
Detroit Lions	82.7%0.28%	75.4%0.43%	51.5%2.46%	74.8%0.12%	60.2%1.41%		44.0%1.18%	40.7%2.77%	49.4%1.68%	38.8%2.79%	42.3%3.14%	62.8%0.73%	33.7%2.72%	34.2%2.57%	47.3%3.12%
Green Bay Packers	85.6%0.29%	77.6%0.52%	59.2%2.48%	76.9%0.15%	68.5%1.40%	56.0%1.18%		47.9%3.05%	57.2%1.91%	45.7%3.13%	50.6%3.27%	68.0%0.68%	40.0%2.85%	39.5%2.81%	55.0%3.40%
Minnesota Vikings	86.2%0.56%	79.8%0.92%	61.9%4.28%	76.4%0.37%	70.4%2.43%	59.3%2.77%	52.1%3.05%		61.4%3.20%	50.9%4.74%	53.7%5.03%	74.3%1.32%	44.2%3.42%	42.3%4.38%	58.3%4.83%
New Orleans Saints	77.3%0.22%	73.3%0.26%	49.5%1.48%	70.5%0.24%	60.0%1.29%	50.6%1.68%	42.8%1.91%	38.6%3.20%		41.0%2.69%	41.3%2.70%	59.2%0.35%	35.3%3.36%	30.2%3.36%	46.7%2.87%
New York Giants	86.0%0.37%	80.8%0.74%	61.9%3.48%	78.9%0.36%	69.6%1.73%	61.2%2.79%	54.3%3.13%	49.1%4.74%	59.0%2.69%		52.1%4.31%	69.3%1.04%	45.4%3.29%	41.3%5.18%	57.3%4.49%
Philadelphia Eagles	87.6%0.41%	79.0%0.74%	57.1%3.80%	72.9%0.44%	67.5%1.96%	57.7%3.14%	49.4%3.27%	46.3%5.03%	58.7%2.70%	47.9%4.31%		67.3%1.16%	41.1%3.32%	40.6%5.66%	54.0%5.02%
San Francisco 49ers	68.4%0.11%	62.9%0.09%	41.1%0.52%	62.4%0.08%	47.7%0.50%	37.2%0.73%	32.0%0.68%	25.7%1.32%	40.8%0.35%	30.7%1.04%	32.7%1.16%		24.9%1.49%	24.9%1.36%	38.2%1.20%
St. Louis Rams	90.1%0.46%	82.0%1.01%	66.1%4.33%	79.0%0.41%	75.2%1.81%	66.3%2.72%	60.0%2.85%	55.8%3.42%	64.7%3.36%	54.6%3.29%	58.9%3.32%	75.1%1.49%		47.9%4.23%	63.2%3.31%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	90.7%0.54%	84.0%0.96%	69.2%4.62%	79.9%0.33%	77.3%2.35%	65.8%2.57%	60.5%2.81%	57.7%4.38%	69.8%3.36%	58.7%5.18%	59.4%5.66%	75.1%1.36%	52.1%4.23%		64.9%5.72%
Washington Redskins	82.6%0.51%	73.9%0.90%	55.5%3.86%	70.4%0.51%	61.5%2.03%	52.7%3.12%	45.0%3.40%	41.7%4.83%	53.3%2.87%	42.7%4.49%	46.0%5.02%	61.8%1.20%	36.8%3.31%	35.1%5.72%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		63.7%2.27%	87.5%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	51.7%4.15%	46.7%3.75%	63.5%2.32%	65.8%1.80%	50.6%3.16%	73.3%0.49%	59.9%2.21%	42.0%5.66%	59.5%1.18%	78.7%0.06%	71.1%0.49%	41.2%11.25%
Buffalo Bills	36.3%2.27%		71.4%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	39.7%3.04%	36.8%1.88%	52.9%1.40%	56.0%1.25%	39.7%1.58%	66.7%0.18%	43.3%1.11%	31.5%4.15%	46.0%0.79%	60.0%0.03%	56.6%0.35%	31.1%4.54%
Cincinnati Bengals	12.5%0.02%	28.6%0.02%			15.2%0.03%	14.8%0.03%	40.0%0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	15.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	8.0%0.05%	25.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	18.6%0.07%
Cleveland Browns	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	11.1%0.02%
Denver Broncos	48.3%4.15%	60.3%3.04%	84.8%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%		45.4%5.13%	63.9%2.63%	64.8%1.92%	49.2%4.60%	72.3%0.71%	57.6%3.13%	41.4%7.63%	59.6%1.54%	86.7%0.04%	72.5%0.40%	39.2%8.56%
Indianapolis Colts	53.3%3.75%	63.2%1.88%	85.2%0.03%	83.3%<0.01%	54.6%5.13%		66.2%2.31%	69.6%2.05%	55.6%2.91%	76.7%0.33%	62.8%2.05%	47.1%7.02%	65.3%1.31%	90.0%0.07%	74.4%0.59%	44.7%7.89%
Jacksonville Jaguars	36.5%2.32%	47.1%1.40%	60.0%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	36.1%2.63%	33.8%2.31%		51.1%1.09%	34.8%2.25%	63.5%0.37%	44.8%1.44%	28.6%3.79%	47.9%0.72%	85.4%0.04%	57.6%0.26%	28.5%6.76%
Kansas City Chiefs	34.2%1.80%	44.0%1.25%	62.5%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	35.2%1.92%	30.4%2.05%	48.9%1.09%		34.7%1.99%	52.5%0.28%	40.6%1.41%	28.7%3.04%	42.7%0.66%	70.8%0.02%	59.8%0.19%	26.8%3.72%
Miami Dolphins	49.4%3.16%	60.3%1.58%	84.6%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	50.8%4.60%	44.4%2.91%	65.2%2.25%	65.3%1.99%		71.9%0.29%	56.6%1.81%	41.5%6.49%	60.5%1.13%	80.3%0.06%	65.4%0.49%	40.0%7.12%
New England Patriots	26.7%0.49%	33.3%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	27.7%0.71%	23.3%0.33%	36.5%0.37%	47.5%0.28%	28.1%0.29%		38.5%0.20%	21.2%1.12%	35.5%0.17%	61.5%0.01%	45.4%0.10%	16.3%1.20%
New York Jets	40.1%2.21%	56.7%1.11%	62.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	42.4%3.13%	37.2%2.05%	55.2%1.44%	59.4%1.41%	43.4%1.81%	61.5%0.20%		35.3%4.42%	53.8%0.75%	73.9%0.05%	66.1%0.43%	33.3%5.16%
Oakland Raiders	58.0%5.66%	68.5%4.15%	92.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	58.6%7.63%	52.9%7.02%	71.4%3.79%	71.3%3.04%	58.5%6.49%	78.8%1.12%	64.7%4.42%		70.2%2.04%	84.7%0.06%	77.8%0.69%	48.3%10.79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	40.5%1.18%	54.0%0.79%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.4%1.54%	34.7%1.31%	52.1%0.72%	57.3%0.66%	39.5%1.13%	64.5%0.17%	46.2%0.75%	29.8%2.04%		85.0%0.02%	60.8%0.17%	30.5%3.64%
San Diego Chargers	21.3%0.06%	40.0%0.03%			13.3%0.04%	10.0%0.07%	14.6%0.04%	29.2%0.02%	19.7%0.06%	38.5%0.01%	26.1%0.05%	15.3%0.06%	15.0%0.02%			12.2%0.14%
Seattle Seahawks	28.9%0.49%	43.4%0.35%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	27.5%0.40%	25.6%0.59%	42.4%0.26%	40.2%0.19%	34.6%0.49%	54.6%0.10%	33.9%0.43%	22.2%0.69%	39.2%0.17%			21.0%1.15%
Tennessee Titans	58.8%11.25%	68.9%4.54%	81.4%0.07%	88.9%0.02%	60.8%8.56%	55.3%7.89%	71.5%6.76%	73.2%3.72%	60.0%7.12%	83.7%1.20%	66.7%5.16%	51.7%10.79%	69.5%3.64%	87.8%0.14%	79.0%1.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		33.3%<0.01%	23.3%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.01%	18.2%0.04%	20.0%0.04%	16.1%0.19%	23.8%0.04%	13.0%0.05%	22.5%0.07%	11.1%<0.01%	12.5%0.30%	12.4%0.17%	16.3%0.10%
Atlanta Falcons	66.7%<0.01%		31.7%0.06%	66.7%<0.01%	46.7%0.06%	31.9%0.07%	26.3%0.12%	19.6%0.47%	34.8%0.05%	27.8%0.22%	24.7%0.24%	36.4%0.01%	18.9%0.57%	13.2%0.29%	27.3%0.28%
Carolina Panthers	76.7%0.06%	68.3%0.06%		71.2%0.06%	61.3%0.47%	47.6%0.79%	42.2%0.90%	38.3%3.74%	47.0%0.48%	39.0%2.16%	40.7%2.15%	62.7%0.10%	35.5%5.76%	31.2%2.78%	46.1%2.35%
Chicago Bears	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	28.8%0.06%		22.7%0.04%	37.5%0.02%	17.9%0.03%	22.7%0.22%	29.7%0.04%	24.0%0.12%	29.5%0.12%	25.0%<0.01%	19.3%0.36%	20.3%0.14%	34.7%0.18%
Dallas Cowboys	72.7%0.01%	53.3%0.06%	38.7%0.47%	77.3%0.04%		36.1%0.43%	36.6%0.49%	30.8%1.88%	42.7%0.38%	34.0%0.64%	34.8%0.72%	47.8%0.09%	27.8%2.77%	25.4%1.33%	34.7%0.89%
Detroit Lions	81.8%0.04%	68.1%0.07%	52.4%0.79%	62.5%0.02%	63.9%0.43%		41.7%0.57%	40.8%3.21%	52.4%0.50%	40.9%1.49%	42.1%1.71%	63.0%0.15%	34.9%4.00%	34.3%2.13%	48.4%1.82%
Green Bay Packers	80.0%0.04%	73.7%0.12%	57.8%0.90%	82.1%0.03%	63.4%0.49%	58.3%0.57%		48.9%4.03%	59.4%0.61%	47.7%1.95%	48.9%1.89%	75.8%0.13%	41.9%5.01%	40.4%2.40%	56.7%2.28%
Minnesota Vikings	83.9%0.19%	80.4%0.47%	61.7%3.74%	77.3%0.22%	69.2%1.88%	59.2%3.21%	51.1%4.03%		61.4%2.91%	50.6%6.83%	52.7%7.22%	70.4%0.94%	45.1%11.45%	42.9%12.26%	58.4%7.37%
New Orleans Saints	76.2%0.04%	65.2%0.05%	53.0%0.48%	70.3%0.04%	57.3%0.38%	47.6%0.50%	40.6%0.61%	38.6%2.91%		40.3%1.48%	43.6%1.47%	55.3%0.05%	35.4%4.00%	33.6%1.93%	48.0%1.89%
New York Giants	87.0%0.05%	72.2%0.22%	61.0%2.16%	76.0%0.12%	66.0%0.64%	59.1%1.49%	52.3%1.95%	49.4%6.83%	59.7%1.48%		51.6%3.26%	69.9%0.42%	45.0%9.31%	42.5%5.03%	58.0%3.83%
Philadelphia Eagles	77.5%0.07%	75.3%0.24%	59.3%2.15%	70.5%0.12%	65.2%0.72%	57.9%1.71%	51.1%1.89%	47.3%7.22%	56.4%1.47%	48.4%3.26%		70.4%0.42%	43.2%9.68%	39.7%5.38%	54.7%3.98%
San Francisco 49ers	88.9%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%	37.3%0.10%	75.0%<0.01%	52.2%0.09%	37.0%0.15%	24.2%0.13%	29.6%0.94%	44.7%0.05%	30.1%0.42%	29.6%0.42%		26.6%1.10%	24.3%0.54%	35.2%0.54%
St. Louis Rams	87.5%0.30%	81.1%0.57%	64.5%5.76%	80.7%0.36%	72.2%2.77%	65.1%4.00%	58.1%5.01%	54.9%11.45%	64.6%4.00%	55.0%9.31%	56.8%9.68%	73.4%1.10%		48.2%10.93%	62.1%10.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	87.6%0.17%	86.8%0.29%	68.8%2.78%	79.7%0.14%	74.6%1.33%	65.7%2.13%	59.6%2.40%	57.1%12.26%	66.4%1.93%	57.5%5.03%	60.3%5.38%	75.7%0.54%	51.8%10.93%		63.7%5.71%
Washington Redskins	83.7%0.10%	72.7%0.28%	53.9%2.35%	65.3%0.18%	65.3%0.89%	51.6%1.82%	43.3%2.28%	41.6%7.37%	52.0%1.89%	42.0%3.83%	45.3%3.98%	64.8%0.54%	37.9%10.03%	36.3%5.71%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		65.2%1.05%			52.2%2.64%	47.8%2.45%	61.8%0.59%	67.3%0.84%	51.7%1.80%	75.2%0.14%	56.2%1.14%	44.3%4.38%	61.1%0.40%	83.3%0.01%	78.0%0.19%	41.9%3.77%
Buffalo Bills	34.8%1.05%		100.0%<0.01%		37.8%0.94%	34.9%0.60%	53.1%0.45%	61.6%0.28%	40.3%0.49%	48.8%0.04%	48.6%0.28%	34.0%1.70%	49.0%0.26%	83.3%<0.01%	57.7%0.07%	29.2%2.54%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.0%<0.01%			20.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		60.0%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	47.8%2.64%	62.2%0.94%	80.0%<0.01%			44.4%2.43%	62.6%1.22%	60.5%0.48%	50.0%1.94%	76.1%0.14%	57.9%1.13%	41.8%2.91%	58.8%0.70%	85.7%<0.01%	72.3%0.11%	39.9%6.84%
Indianapolis Colts	52.2%2.45%	65.1%0.60%	77.8%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	55.6%2.43%		64.6%0.99%	64.7%0.74%	52.8%1.27%	74.0%0.08%	58.5%0.70%	47.1%3.92%	66.9%0.65%	78.6%0.01%	78.9%0.15%	44.5%6.33%
Jacksonville Jaguars	38.2%0.59%	46.9%0.45%			37.4%1.22%	35.4%0.99%		49.4%0.32%	38.1%0.94%	75.0%0.08%	43.8%0.58%	31.5%1.98%	49.4%0.16%	100.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.07%	29.3%1.62%
Kansas City Chiefs	32.7%0.84%	38.4%0.28%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	39.5%0.48%	35.3%0.74%	50.6%0.32%		33.9%0.61%	60.5%0.04%	41.5%0.35%	28.9%0.80%	44.9%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	54.1%0.04%	26.0%1.97%
Miami Dolphins	48.3%1.80%	59.7%0.49%	80.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%1.94%	47.2%1.27%	61.9%0.94%	66.1%0.61%		70.7%0.09%	57.8%0.60%	41.8%3.30%	55.7%0.52%	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%0.12%	41.0%5.09%
New England Patriots	24.8%0.14%	51.2%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%		23.9%0.14%	26.0%0.08%	25.0%0.08%	39.5%0.04%	29.3%0.09%		41.7%0.04%	22.5%0.27%	35.4%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	22.3%0.46%
New York Jets	43.8%1.14%	51.4%0.28%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	42.1%1.13%	41.5%0.70%	56.2%0.58%	58.5%0.35%	42.2%0.60%	58.3%0.04%		37.0%1.87%	49.0%0.31%	66.7%<0.01%	64.8%0.07%	34.3%3.08%
Oakland Raiders	55.7%4.38%	66.0%1.70%	75.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	58.2%2.91%	52.9%3.92%	68.5%1.98%	71.1%0.80%	58.2%3.30%	77.5%0.27%	63.0%1.87%		67.1%1.13%	70.6%0.02%	73.8%0.19%	47.4%11.53%
Pittsburgh Steelers	38.9%0.40%	51.0%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%		41.2%0.70%	33.1%0.65%	50.6%0.16%	55.1%0.22%	44.3%0.52%	64.6%0.05%	51.0%0.31%	32.9%1.13%		100.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.06%	30.5%1.03%
San Diego Chargers	16.7%0.01%	16.7%<0.01%			14.3%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%			28.6%0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	22.0%0.19%	42.3%0.07%	40.0%<0.01%		27.7%0.11%	21.1%0.15%	42.9%0.07%	45.9%0.04%	33.3%0.12%	50.0%0.01%	35.2%0.07%	26.2%0.19%	40.0%0.06%			18.3%0.49%
Tennessee Titans	58.1%3.77%	70.8%2.54%	62.5%<0.01%		60.1%6.84%	55.5%6.33%	70.7%1.62%	74.0%1.97%	59.0%5.09%	77.7%0.46%	65.7%3.08%	52.6%11.53%	69.5%1.03%	71.4%0.03%	81.7%0.49%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.01%	12.8%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.04%	19.4%0.03%	10.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	100.0%<0.01%		20.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.01%	26.9%0.03%	38.5%0.03%	14.3%0.13%	37.5%<0.01%	38.6%0.06%	32.1%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	24.5%0.10%	17.4%0.09%	27.5%0.05%
Carolina Panthers	72.7%0.01%	80.0%0.01%		78.6%0.01%	60.1%0.14%	49.5%0.37%	44.8%0.44%	38.1%1.67%	50.9%0.17%	41.4%0.87%	43.2%0.89%	56.7%0.03%	37.0%1.49%	33.6%1.74%	47.7%0.77%
Chicago Bears	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%		14.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.04%	20.0%0.01%	11.8%0.03%	31.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.10%	30.0%0.04%	33.3%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	66.7%<0.01%	54.5%0.01%	39.9%0.14%	85.7%<0.01%		44.4%0.12%	30.1%0.17%	30.8%0.61%	32.8%0.12%	32.0%0.20%	24.5%0.21%	35.7%0.03%	31.0%0.84%	24.5%0.59%	32.2%0.21%
Detroit Lions	80.0%<0.01%	73.1%0.03%	50.5%0.37%	75.0%<0.01%	55.6%0.12%		43.8%0.25%	40.3%0.97%	54.0%0.24%	41.3%0.70%	43.3%0.75%	64.7%0.05%	35.9%2.04%	35.2%0.88%	49.3%0.63%
Green Bay Packers	90.9%0.01%	61.5%0.03%	55.2%0.44%	75.0%<0.01%	69.9%0.17%	56.2%0.25%		48.8%1.30%	54.8%0.39%	48.6%1.09%	49.0%1.01%	67.1%0.07%	45.2%2.88%	41.4%1.27%	56.0%1.04%
Minnesota Vikings	87.2%0.04%	85.7%0.13%	61.9%1.67%	75.0%0.04%	69.2%0.61%	59.7%0.97%	51.2%1.30%		58.7%1.25%	50.9%3.82%	53.0%3.79%	71.7%0.28%	46.8%10.76%	43.8%4.30%	57.2%3.77%
New Orleans Saints	100.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	49.1%0.17%	80.0%0.01%	67.2%0.12%	46.0%0.24%	45.2%0.39%	41.3%1.25%		40.3%0.66%	42.7%0.58%	70.8%0.02%	38.0%1.12%	35.4%1.20%	44.6%0.62%
New York Giants	77.8%<0.01%	61.4%0.06%	58.6%0.87%	88.2%0.03%	68.0%0.20%	58.7%0.70%	51.4%1.09%	49.1%3.82%	59.7%0.66%		50.8%1.33%	71.2%0.12%	45.4%5.00%	43.3%3.58%	59.4%1.26%
Philadelphia Eagles	77.8%<0.01%	67.9%0.05%	56.8%0.89%	69.0%0.03%	75.5%0.21%	56.7%0.75%	51.0%1.01%	47.0%3.79%	57.3%0.58%	49.2%1.33%		61.7%0.15%	42.4%5.03%	40.5%3.55%	54.4%1.25%
San Francisco 49ers	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	43.3%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	64.3%0.03%	35.3%0.05%	32.9%0.07%	28.3%0.28%	29.2%0.02%	28.8%0.12%	38.3%0.15%		29.3%0.22%	22.6%0.25%	31.7%0.13%
St. Louis Rams	87.5%0.04%	75.5%0.10%	63.0%1.49%	80.6%0.10%	69.0%0.84%	64.1%2.04%	54.8%2.88%	53.2%10.76%	62.0%1.12%	54.6%5.00%	57.6%5.03%	70.7%0.22%		47.1%9.59%	62.3%4.83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	80.6%0.03%	82.6%0.09%	66.4%1.74%	70.0%0.04%	75.5%0.59%	64.8%0.88%	58.6%1.27%	56.2%4.30%	64.6%1.20%	56.7%3.58%	59.5%3.55%	77.4%0.25%	52.9%9.59%		63.4%3.25%
Washington Redskins	90.0%0.01%	72.5%0.05%	52.3%0.77%	66.7%0.04%	67.8%0.21%	50.7%0.63%	44.0%1.04%	42.8%3.77%	55.4%0.62%	40.6%1.26%	45.6%1.25%	68.3%0.13%	37.7%4.83%	36.6%3.25%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	100.0%<0.01%	73.7%0.02%	65.8%0.34%	100.0%<0.01%	73.3%0.09%	65.4%0.28%	55.4%0.46%	56.1%1.63%	62.1%0.23%	55.9%0.94%	54.4%0.90%	76.3%0.04%	53.4%2.40%	48.0%1.68%	59.8%0.75%
Buffalo Bills	100.0%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	56.2%0.12%	66.7%<0.01%	74.1%0.03%	50.6%0.08%	47.3%0.18%	40.9%0.49%	49.5%0.10%	40.3%0.31%	46.8%0.30%	58.3%0.01%	41.8%0.74%	36.6%0.55%	57.5%0.26%
Cincinnati Bengals							50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	100.0%<0.01%	76.5%0.02%	61.1%0.35%	88.9%<0.01%	67.9%0.11%	61.5%0.28%	54.3%0.54%	54.5%1.80%	64.2%0.27%	52.3%0.94%	56.2%0.84%	66.7%0.04%	52.3%2.43%	48.0%1.77%	62.9%0.76%
Indianapolis Colts	100.0%<0.01%	84.6%0.01%	61.2%0.35%	100.0%<0.01%	78.7%0.09%	66.5%0.31%	58.4%0.48%	58.8%1.75%	62.8%0.31%	58.4%0.97%	60.2%0.92%	66.7%0.04%	56.9%2.56%	52.2%1.91%	62.7%0.77%
Jacksonville Jaguars	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	48.4%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.03%	41.1%0.09%	43.0%0.17%	44.8%0.55%	60.6%0.09%	38.1%0.32%	42.6%0.32%	53.3%0.01%	40.9%0.76%	36.7%0.59%	48.3%0.24%
Kansas City Chiefs		66.7%<0.01%	52.9%0.07%	40.0%<0.01%	37.9%0.03%	43.1%0.06%	45.4%0.11%	40.3%0.41%	54.3%0.07%	34.0%0.21%	36.9%0.19%	55.6%<0.01%	38.3%0.52%	32.4%0.41%	54.1%0.16%
Miami Dolphins	75.0%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	59.5%0.30%	85.7%<0.01%	73.2%0.10%	65.6%0.24%	54.3%0.39%	55.4%1.32%	62.6%0.22%	55.7%0.76%	54.5%0.64%	64.7%0.03%	53.0%1.95%	48.6%1.39%	64.7%0.60%
New England Patriots		100.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.01%	57.1%0.02%	35.9%0.06%	37.5%<0.01%	29.4%0.03%	31.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	28.4%0.10%	29.5%0.06%	41.4%0.03%
New York Jets	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	63.0%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	56.8%0.04%	56.0%0.13%	46.6%0.19%	48.4%0.71%	54.5%0.11%	47.9%0.38%	46.9%0.39%	61.3%0.03%	44.1%1.01%	42.9%0.71%	56.3%0.31%
Oakland Raiders	100.0%<0.01%	76.7%0.03%	68.4%0.63%	83.3%0.01%	72.6%0.20%	63.4%0.56%	64.0%0.89%	62.6%3.17%	66.6%0.44%	62.6%1.73%	63.1%1.69%	68.5%0.07%	59.1%4.64%	54.7%3.41%	67.4%1.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	45.3%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	72.4%0.03%	67.7%0.06%	50.5%0.10%	45.4%0.35%	63.2%0.07%	53.3%0.19%	42.2%0.18%	33.3%<0.01%	40.3%0.51%	36.3%0.38%	50.3%0.17%
San Diego Chargers			100.0%<0.01%					16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		16.7%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks			21.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	41.2%0.02%	26.6%0.08%	62.5%<0.01%	33.3%0.04%	40.0%0.04%		25.3%0.09%	29.3%0.07%	36.8%0.04%
Tennessee Titans	83.3%<0.01%	86.8%0.04%	70.8%0.94%	88.9%0.03%	74.6%0.25%	69.0%0.79%	58.9%1.31%	61.9%4.50%	67.9%0.72%	61.1%2.45%	63.5%2.33%	74.1%0.11%	59.6%6.59%	54.6%4.78%	67.8%1.99%
Arizona Cardinals																0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			16.7%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																26.3%0.02%	14.3%<0.01%		23.5%0.02%	15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	23.3%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%			13.2%0.04%
Carolina Panthers																34.2%0.34%	43.8%0.12%		38.9%0.35%	38.8%0.35%	51.6%0.12%	47.1%0.07%	40.5%0.30%	54.5%0.01%	37.0%0.15%	31.6%0.63%	54.7%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	78.6%0.01%	29.2%0.94%
Chicago Bears																0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		11.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	11.1%0.03%
Dallas Cowboys																26.7%0.09%	25.9%0.03%		32.1%0.11%	21.3%0.09%	50.0%0.03%	62.1%0.03%	26.8%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	43.2%0.04%	27.4%0.20%	27.6%0.03%		75.0%<0.01%	25.4%0.25%
Detroit Lions																34.6%0.28%	49.4%0.08%		38.5%0.28%	33.5%0.31%	58.9%0.09%	56.9%0.06%	34.4%0.24%	33.3%0.01%	44.0%0.13%	36.6%0.56%	32.3%0.06%		40.0%0.01%	31.0%0.79%
Green Bay Packers																44.6%0.46%	52.7%0.18%	50.0%<0.01%	45.7%0.54%	41.6%0.48%	57.0%0.17%	54.6%0.11%	45.7%0.39%	42.9%0.02%	53.4%0.19%	36.0%0.89%	49.5%0.10%		58.8%0.02%	41.1%1.31%
Minnesota Vikings																43.9%1.63%	59.1%0.49%	100.0%<0.01%	45.5%1.80%	41.2%1.75%	55.2%0.55%	59.7%0.41%	44.6%1.32%	64.1%0.06%	51.6%0.71%	37.4%3.17%	54.6%0.35%	83.3%<0.01%	73.4%0.08%	38.1%4.50%
New Orleans Saints																37.9%0.23%	50.5%0.10%		35.8%0.27%	37.2%0.31%	39.4%0.09%	45.7%0.07%	37.4%0.22%	62.5%<0.01%	45.5%0.11%	33.4%0.44%	36.8%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	32.1%0.72%
New York Giants																44.1%0.94%	59.7%0.31%	50.0%<0.01%	47.7%0.94%	41.6%0.97%	61.9%0.32%	66.0%0.21%	44.3%0.76%	70.6%0.03%	52.1%0.38%	37.4%1.73%	46.7%0.19%		66.7%0.04%	38.9%2.45%
Philadelphia Eagles																45.6%0.90%	53.2%0.30%	0.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.84%	39.8%0.92%	57.4%0.32%	63.1%0.19%	45.5%0.64%	68.6%0.03%	53.1%0.39%	36.9%1.69%	57.8%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.04%	36.5%2.33%
San Francisco 49ers																23.7%0.04%	41.7%0.01%		33.3%0.04%	33.3%0.04%	46.7%0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	35.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	38.7%0.03%	31.5%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%			25.9%0.11%
St. Louis Rams																46.6%2.40%	58.2%0.74%	66.7%<0.01%	47.7%2.43%	43.1%2.56%	59.1%0.76%	61.7%0.52%	47.0%1.95%	71.6%0.10%	55.9%1.01%	40.9%4.64%	59.7%0.51%	83.3%<0.01%	74.7%0.09%	40.4%6.59%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																52.0%1.68%	63.4%0.55%		52.0%1.77%	47.8%1.91%	63.3%0.59%	67.6%0.41%	51.4%1.39%	70.5%0.06%	57.1%0.71%	45.3%3.41%	63.7%0.38%	80.0%<0.01%	70.7%0.07%	45.4%4.78%
Washington Redskins																40.2%0.75%	42.5%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%	37.1%0.76%	37.3%0.77%	51.7%0.24%	45.9%0.16%	35.3%0.60%	58.6%0.03%	43.7%0.31%	32.6%1.46%	49.7%0.17%	40.0%<0.01%	63.2%0.04%	32.2%1.99%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Tennessee Titans	100.00%	59.51%	34.97%	21.16%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Oakland Raiders	100.00%	60.64%	29.51%	17.64%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
New York Giants	100.00%	49.31%	27.05%	10.42%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Minnesota Vikings	100.00%	54.61%	25.30%	9.75%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	54.78%	30.09%	17.29%	8.22%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
St. Louis Rams	58.62%	29.72%	14.15%	6.36%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	49.26%	20.91%	9.59%	5.83%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Baltimore Ravens	57.35%	22.73%	10.04%	5.63%	Won Super Bowl
Miami Dolphins	50.74%	19.75%	8.84%	4.90%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Denver Broncos	42.65%	16.46%	7.06%	3.98%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	45.22%	20.55%	9.77%	3.94%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New Orleans Saints	41.38%	15.72%	6.44%	2.15%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens		57.4%100.00%
Denver Broncos	42.6%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts				49.3%100.00%
Miami Dolphins			50.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints			41.4%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles				45.2%100.00%
St. Louis Rams	58.6%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		54.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens					40.1%28.25%	39.2%29.10%
Denver Broncos					39.5%21.01%	37.7%21.64%
Indianapolis Colts						42.5%49.26%
Miami Dolphins					38.9%50.74%
Oakland Raiders	59.9%28.25%	60.5%21.01%		61.1%50.74%
Tennessee Titans	60.8%29.10%	62.3%21.64%	57.5%49.26%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings		62.0%41.38%		54.6%26.70%		45.0%31.92%
New Orleans Saints	38.0%41.38%
New York Giants				54.4%18.52%	49.3%58.62%	45.2%22.86%
Philadelphia Eagles	45.4%26.70%		45.6%18.52%
St. Louis Rams			50.7%58.62%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	55.0%31.92%		54.8%22.86%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens			52.6%4.86%	46.1%4.45%	41.1%6.96%	39.7%6.46%
Denver Broncos			52.0%3.55%	44.9%3.22%	40.3%4.94%	37.5%4.74%
Indianapolis Colts	47.4%4.86%	48.0%3.55%			44.6%12.50%
Miami Dolphins	53.9%4.45%	55.1%3.22%				38.6%12.08%
Oakland Raiders	58.9%6.96%	59.7%4.94%	55.4%12.50%			42.9%36.23%
Tennessee Titans	60.3%6.46%	62.5%4.74%		61.4%12.08%	57.1%36.23%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota Vikings			43.6%26.94%	54.0%5.18%	49.5%14.74%	44.6%7.75%
New Orleans Saints			38.9%7.68%	48.5%3.26%		39.2%4.78%
New York Giants	56.4%26.94%	61.1%7.68%		54.9%6.04%		44.7%8.65%
Philadelphia Eagles	46.0%5.18%	51.5%3.26%	45.1%6.04%		49.1%6.07%
St. Louis Rams	50.5%14.74%			50.9%6.07%		40.5%8.91%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	55.4%7.75%	60.8%4.78%	55.3%8.65%		59.5%8.91%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Baltimore Ravens	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	59.6%2.50%	65.0%0.64%	58.4%2.76%	56.0%1.03%	50.6%1.38%	48.5%1.73%
Denver Broncos	59.0%1.80%	62.8%0.43%	58.9%1.91%	55.1%0.70%	51.0%1.02%	51.4%1.21%
Indianapolis Colts	63.9%2.54%	70.5%0.63%	63.5%2.51%	57.7%0.93%	57.0%1.35%	53.3%1.63%
Miami Dolphins	56.5%2.24%	63.0%0.59%	57.2%2.38%	59.3%0.88%	51.1%1.22%	49.4%1.52%
Oakland Raiders	62.5%7.37%	65.9%1.89%	61.6%8.01%	60.1%2.89%	56.1%4.25%	53.6%5.10%
Tennessee Titans	62.2%8.85%	68.2%2.28%	63.3%9.48%	61.9%3.34%	56.7%4.94%	53.3%6.09%
Minnesota Vikings							40.4%2.50%	41.0%1.80%	36.1%2.54%	43.5%2.24%	37.5%7.37%	37.8%8.85%
New Orleans Saints							35.0%0.64%	37.2%0.43%	29.5%0.63%	37.0%0.59%	34.1%1.89%	31.8%2.28%
New York Giants							41.6%2.76%	41.1%1.91%	36.5%2.51%	42.8%2.38%	38.4%8.01%	36.7%9.48%
Philadelphia Eagles							44.0%1.03%	44.9%0.70%	42.3%0.93%	40.7%0.88%	39.9%2.89%	38.1%3.34%
St. Louis Rams							49.4%1.38%	49.0%1.02%	43.0%1.35%	48.9%1.22%	43.9%4.25%	43.3%4.94%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							51.5%1.73%	48.6%1.21%	46.7%1.63%	50.6%1.52%	46.4%5.10%	46.7%6.09%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Tennessee Titans 21.16% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

47.63%

Win Prob

57.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

59.20%

Win Prob

57.13%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

28.33%

Win Prob

63.26%

Oakland Raiders 17.64% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

51.11%

Win Prob

61.08%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

52.64%

Win Prob

42.87%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

27.98%

Win Prob

61.64%

New York Giants 10.42% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

58.62%

Win Prob

49.30%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

56.13%

Win Prob

56.35%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

33.40%

Win Prob

36.74%

Minnesota Vikings 9.75% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

46.99%

Win Prob

62.01%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

46.47%

Win Prob

43.65%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

34.29%

Win Prob

37.81%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8.22% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.78%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

58.35%

Win Prob

55.01%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

30.66%

Win Prob

59.49%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

34.59%

Win Prob

46.68%

St. Louis Rams 6.36% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.62%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.70%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

52.66%

Win Prob

50.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

33.64%

Win Prob

43.31%

Indianapolis Colts 5.83% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.26%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

58.16%

Win Prob

44.61%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

27.85%

Win Prob

63.85%

Baltimore Ravens 5.63% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.35%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

50.21%

Win Prob

39.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

28.51%

Win Prob

41.08%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

28.65%

Win Prob

58.38%

Miami Dolphins 4.90% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.74%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

52.78%

Win Prob

38.61%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

27.81%

Win Prob

57.15%

Denver Broncos 3.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.65%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

50.39%

Win Prob

39.47%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

28.20%

Win Prob

40.30%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

28.24%

Win Prob

58.88%

Philadelphia Eagles 3.94% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.22%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

58.93%

Win Prob

45.36%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

30.52%

Win Prob

49.13%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

32.23%

Win Prob

38.10%

New Orleans Saints 2.15% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.38%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.99%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

46.38%

Win Prob

38.94%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

33.67%

Win Prob

31.84%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2000-09-03	@ New York Giants	L 16-21	1429.39	1466.54	39.05%	60.72%	-10.72	0-1
2000-09-10	Dallas Cowboys	W 32-31	1418.67	1472.79	47.76%	52.00%	+6.38	1-1
2000-09-24	Green Bay Packers	L 3-29	1425.05	1505.53	43.99%	55.76%	-27.54	1-2
2000-10-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-27	1397.51	1412.16	42.17%	57.59%	-13.69	1-3
2000-10-08	Cleveland Browns	W 29-21	1383.82	1342.19	61.33%	38.44%	+13.35	2-3
2000-10-15	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-33	1397.17	1496.67	41.32%	58.44%	-22.11	2-4
2000-10-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-48	1375.06	1452.48	33.70%	66.08%	-26.49	2-5
2000-10-29	New Orleans Saints	L 10-21	1348.57	1450.62	40.96%	58.80%	-16.67	2-6
2000-11-05	Washington Redskins	W 16-15	1331.90	1578.43	23.22%	76.60%	+9.39	3-6
2000-11-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-31	1341.29	1589.45	16.00%	83.86%	-8.10	3-7
2000-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-34	1333.19	1521.84	21.15%	78.68%	-12.98	3-8
2000-11-26	New York Giants	L 7-31	1320.21	1502.48	30.43%	69.35%	-18.30	3-9
2000-12-03	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-24	1301.91	1303.88	43.96%	55.80%	-17.89	3-10
2000-12-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-44	1284.02	1519.15	17.03%	82.82%	-12.19	3-11
2000-12-17	Baltimore Ravens	L 7-13	1271.83	1588.35	16.82%	83.03%	-5.05	3-12
2000-12-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-20	1266.78	1509.97	16.39%	83.47%	-8.30	3-13
2000-09-03	San Francisco 49ers	W 36-28	1465.39	1419.59	61.90%	37.87%	+13.15	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-42	1478.54	1516.02	39.00%	60.76%	-25.33	1-1
2000-09-17	@ Carolina Panthers	W 15-10	1453.21	1507.51	36.73%	63.04%	+17.29	2-1
2000-09-24	St. Louis Rams	L 20-41	1470.50	1643.27	31.60%	68.18%	-17.78	2-2
2000-10-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-38	1452.72	1481.21	40.24%	59.52%	-26.14	2-3
2000-10-08	New York Giants	L 6-13	1426.58	1482.22	47.54%	52.21%	-15.43	2-4
2000-10-15	@ St. Louis Rams	L 29-45	1411.15	1671.19	15.11%	84.76%	-7.42	2-5
2000-10-22	New Orleans Saints	L 19-21	1403.73	1441.93	50.05%	49.71%	-8.68	2-6
2000-10-29	Carolina Panthers	W 13-12	1395.05	1493.14	41.51%	58.25%	+7.14	3-6
2000-11-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-27	1402.19	1580.48	30.92%	68.86%	-13.68	3-7
2000-11-12	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-13	1388.51	1491.01	30.55%	69.23%	-6.50	3-8
2000-11-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 6-16	1382.01	1397.24	42.09%	57.67%	-16.33	3-9
2000-11-26	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-41	1365.68	1624.97	15.16%	84.70%	-9.67	3-10
2000-12-03	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-30	1356.01	1436.68	43.97%	55.79%	-24.13	3-11
2000-12-17	@ New Orleans Saints	L 7-23	1331.88	1504.47	22.73%	77.09%	-11.16	3-12
2000-12-24	Kansas City Chiefs	W 29-13	1320.72	1521.86	28.19%	71.61%	+35.12	4-12
2000-09-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-0	1502.57	1469.92	48.91%	50.85%	+24.95	1-0
2000-09-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 39-36	1527.52	1585.65	47.18%	52.57%	+11.18	2-0
2000-09-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-19	1538.70	1516.59	47.39%	52.36%	-20.97	2-1
2000-09-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-0	1517.73	1363.93	75.13%	24.68%	+18.42	3-1
2000-10-01	@ Cleveland Browns	W 12-0	1536.15	1355.21	69.19%	30.59%	+13.01	4-1
2000-10-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 15-10	1549.16	1521.54	48.18%	51.57%	+14.15	5-1
2000-10-15	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-10	1563.31	1554.79	45.45%	54.31%	-14.76	5-2
2000-10-22	Tennessee Titans	L 6-14	1548.55	1617.81	45.59%	54.16%	-15.82	5-3
2000-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-9	1532.73	1515.29	57.98%	41.78%	-12.32	5-4
2000-11-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-7	1520.41	1361.34	66.45%	33.33%	+18.30	6-4
2000-11-12	@ Tennessee Titans	W 24-23	1538.71	1653.51	29.07%	70.72%	+8.67	7-4
2000-11-19	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-0	1547.38	1468.60	66.25%	33.52%	+21.38	8-4
2000-11-26	Cleveland Browns	W 44-7	1568.76	1292.02	85.96%	13.92%	+10.38	9-4
2000-12-10	San Diego Chargers	W 24-3	1579.14	1335.83	83.48%	16.38%	+9.21	10-4
2000-12-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 13-7	1588.35	1271.83	83.03%	16.82%	+5.06	11-4
2000-12-24	New York Jets	W 34-20	1593.41	1567.07	59.22%	40.54%	+18.62	12-4
2000-09-03	Tennessee Titans	W 16-13	1570.14	1574.56	54.89%	44.86%	+9.54	1-0
2000-09-10	Green Bay Packers	W 27-18	1579.68	1509.75	65.11%	34.66%	+12.76	2-0
2000-09-17	@ New York Jets	L 14-27	1592.44	1562.75	48.48%	51.27%	-21.45	2-1
2000-10-01	Indianapolis Colts	L 16-18	1570.99	1581.39	54.04%	45.72%	-9.37	2-2
2000-10-08	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-22	1561.62	1562.27	44.14%	55.61%	-16.26	2-3
2000-10-15	San Diego Chargers	W 27-24	1545.36	1388.04	75.51%	24.30%	+5.17	3-3
2000-10-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-31	1550.53	1637.85	32.44%	67.34%	-7.96	3-4
2000-10-29	New York Jets	W 23-20	1542.57	1594.58	48.06%	51.69%	+10.98	4-4
2000-11-05	@ New England Patriots	W 16-13	1553.55	1472.10	55.90%	43.86%	+9.33	5-4
2000-11-12	Chicago Bears	W 20-3	1562.88	1381.17	78.01%	21.82%	+11.04	6-4
2000-11-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-17	1573.92	1526.06	51.10%	48.66%	+11.94	7-4
2000-11-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-31	1585.86	1587.35	44.02%	55.73%	-20.22	7-5
2000-12-03	Miami Dolphins	L 6-33	1565.64	1592.94	51.62%	48.14%	-32.90	7-6
2000-12-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-44	1532.74	1570.48	38.97%	60.80%	-23.44	7-7
2000-12-17	New England Patriots	L 10-13	1509.30	1422.43	67.29%	32.49%	-14.29	7-8
2000-12-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 42-23	1495.01	1467.45	48.18%	51.58%	+27.58	8-8
2000-09-03	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1494.00	1536.20	38.36%	61.41%	-8.16	0-1
2000-09-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-22	1485.84	1406.44	55.61%	44.15%	+21.67	1-1
2000-09-17	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-15	1507.51	1453.21	63.04%	36.73%	-17.28	1-2
2000-10-01	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-16	1490.23	1450.32	61.09%	38.67%	-12.98	1-3
2000-10-08	Seattle Seahawks	W 26-3	1477.25	1495.67	52.89%	46.86%	+27.58	2-3
2000-10-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 6-24	1504.83	1412.01	57.51%	42.25%	-29.93	2-4
2000-10-22	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-16	1474.90	1407.74	64.75%	35.03%	+18.24	3-4
2000-10-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 12-13	1493.14	1395.05	58.25%	41.51%	-7.14	3-5
2000-11-05	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-24	1486.00	1651.97	23.40%	76.42%	+16.23	4-5
2000-11-12	New Orleans Saints	L 10-20	1502.23	1483.27	58.19%	41.56%	-22.58	4-6
2000-11-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-31	1479.65	1597.55	28.71%	71.08%	-13.18	4-7
2000-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 31-14	1466.47	1515.17	48.54%	51.22%	+25.91	5-7
2000-12-03	St. Louis Rams	W 16-3	1492.38	1601.89	39.93%	59.83%	+26.46	6-7
2000-12-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-15	1518.84	1489.21	48.47%	51.28%	-5.95	6-8
2000-12-17	San Diego Chargers	W 30-22	1512.89	1326.62	78.45%	21.38%	+7.42	7-8
2000-12-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 9-52	1520.31	1636.59	28.90%	70.89%	-23.27	7-9
2000-09-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-30	1458.57	1570.16	29.46%	70.33%	-6.26	0-1
2000-09-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 0-41	1452.31	1563.54	29.50%	70.29%	-23.19	0-2
2000-09-17	New York Giants	L 7-14	1429.12	1504.88	44.67%	55.09%	-14.50	0-3
2000-09-24	Detroit Lions	L 14-21	1414.62	1479.18	46.26%	53.49%	-15.02	0-4
2000-10-01	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1399.60	1533.06	26.91%	72.89%	+15.48	1-4
2000-10-08	New Orleans Saints	L 10-31	1415.08	1377.88	60.72%	39.04%	-34.13	1-5
2000-10-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-28	1380.95	1628.00	23.16%	76.65%	-9.85	1-6
2000-10-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-13	1371.10	1518.77	25.34%	74.47%	-6.22	1-7
2000-11-05	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1364.88	1612.80	23.08%	76.74%	+16.29	2-7
2000-11-12	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-20	1381.17	1562.88	21.82%	78.01%	-11.04	2-8
2000-11-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1370.13	1603.32	24.61%	75.20%	+15.97	3-8
2000-11-26	@ New York Jets	L 10-17	1386.10	1581.98	20.46%	79.37%	-6.65	3-9
2000-12-03	Green Bay Packers	L 6-28	1379.45	1489.26	39.89%	59.87%	-22.96	3-10
2000-12-10	New England Patriots	W 24-17	1356.49	1440.69	43.47%	56.29%	+18.27	4-10
2000-12-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-17	1374.76	1433.38	36.15%	63.62%	-18.30	4-11
2000-12-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1356.46	1523.80	23.26%	76.56%	+16.25	5-11
2000-09-10	Cleveland Browns	L 7-24	1406.50	1323.70	66.77%	33.01%	-33.76	0-1
2000-09-17	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-13	1372.74	1574.47	19.92%	79.91%	-8.81	0-2
2000-09-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-37	1363.93	1517.73	24.68%	75.13%	-18.43	0-3
2000-10-01	Miami Dolphins	L 16-31	1345.50	1548.99	27.91%	71.88%	-13.27	0-4
2000-10-08	Tennessee Titans	L 14-23	1332.23	1595.47	21.55%	78.28%	-7.94	0-5
2000-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-15	1324.29	1492.00	23.22%	76.60%	-11.03	0-6
2000-10-22	Denver Broncos	W 31-21	1313.26	1560.82	23.11%	76.71%	+29.73	1-6
2000-10-29	@ Cleveland Browns	W 12-3	1342.99	1303.44	49.90%	49.85%	+18.35	2-6
2000-11-05	Baltimore Ravens	L 7-27	1361.34	1520.41	33.33%	66.45%	-18.30	2-7
2000-11-12	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-23	1343.04	1453.63	29.58%	70.21%	-14.97	2-8
2000-11-19	@ New England Patriots	L 13-16	1328.07	1438.37	29.61%	70.18%	-6.29	2-9
2000-11-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-48	1321.78	1486.54	32.60%	67.18%	-17.90	2-10
2000-12-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-13	1303.88	1301.91	55.80%	43.96%	+17.89	3-10
2000-12-10	@ Tennessee Titans	L 3-35	1321.77	1642.63	11.15%	88.75%	-7.73	3-11
2000-12-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-14	1314.04	1531.34	26.35%	73.46%	+15.60	4-11
2000-12-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-16	1329.64	1549.32	18.33%	81.52%	-6.75	4-12
2000-09-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-27	1337.10	1572.25	24.40%	75.41%	-13.40	0-1
2000-09-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-7	1323.70	1406.50	33.01%	66.77%	+33.76	1-1
2000-09-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-20	1357.46	1444.96	43.00%	56.76%	+12.06	2-1
2000-09-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-36	1369.52	1540.64	22.87%	76.94%	-14.31	2-2
2000-10-01	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-12	1355.21	1536.15	30.59%	69.19%	-13.02	2-3
2000-10-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-29	1342.19	1383.82	38.44%	61.33%	-13.34	2-4
2000-10-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-44	1328.85	1547.65	18.40%	81.44%	-13.17	2-5
2000-10-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-22	1315.68	1503.04	21.27%	78.56%	-12.24	2-6
2000-10-29	Cincinnati Bengals	L 3-12	1303.44	1342.99	49.85%	49.90%	-18.35	2-7
2000-11-05	New York Giants	L 3-24	1285.09	1532.05	23.17%	76.64%	-13.04	2-8
2000-11-12	New England Patriots	W 19-11	1272.05	1462.78	29.41%	70.38%	+24.41	3-8
2000-11-19	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-24	1296.46	1644.84	9.67%	90.23%	-4.44	3-9
2000-11-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-44	1292.02	1568.76	13.92%	85.96%	-10.38	3-10
2000-12-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-48	1281.64	1503.75	18.12%	81.73%	-15.40	3-11
2000-12-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-35	1266.24	1540.99	20.45%	79.38%	-8.33	3-12
2000-12-17	Tennessee Titans	L 0-24	1257.91	1650.36	11.56%	88.33%	-6.95	3-13
2000-09-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-41	1513.27	1455.38	63.52%	36.25%	-40.48	0-1
2000-09-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 31-32	1472.79	1418.67	52.00%	47.76%	-6.38	0-2
2000-09-18	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-21	1466.41	1530.06	35.49%	64.29%	+19.31	1-2
2000-09-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-41	1485.72	1376.76	70.02%	29.77%	-35.40	1-3
2000-10-01	@ Carolina Panthers	W 16-13	1450.32	1490.23	38.67%	61.09%	+12.98	2-3
2000-10-15	@ New York Giants	L 14-19	1463.30	1497.65	39.43%	60.33%	-10.82	2-4
2000-10-22	Arizona Cardinals	W 48-7	1452.48	1375.06	66.08%	33.70%	+26.49	3-4
2000-10-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-23	1478.97	1469.16	56.91%	42.85%	-17.10	3-5
2000-11-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-16	1461.87	1501.42	38.72%	61.05%	-8.24	3-6
2000-11-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-6	1453.63	1343.04	70.21%	29.58%	+14.97	4-6
2000-11-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-27	1468.60	1547.38	33.52%	66.25%	-21.38	4-7
2000-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 15-27	1447.22	1610.73	32.76%	67.02%	-13.93	4-8
2000-12-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-27	1433.29	1607.57	22.56%	77.26%	-12.38	4-9
2000-12-10	Washington Redskins	W 32-13	1420.91	1573.93	34.11%	65.67%	+35.10	5-9
2000-12-17	New York Giants	L 13-17	1456.01	1554.70	41.43%	58.33%	-10.17	5-10
2000-12-25	@ Tennessee Titans	L 0-31	1445.84	1657.31	19.04%	80.80%	-13.01	5-11
2000-09-04	@ St. Louis Rams	L 36-41	1524.68	1619.02	31.56%	68.22%	-8.66	0-1
2000-09-10	Atlanta Falcons	W 42-14	1516.02	1478.54	60.76%	39.00%	+25.33	1-1
2000-09-17	@ Oakland Raiders	W 33-24	1541.35	1562.15	41.31%	58.45%	+21.51	2-1
2000-09-24	Kansas City Chiefs	L 22-23	1562.86	1525.29	60.77%	38.99%	-7.45	2-2
2000-10-01	New England Patriots	L 19-28	1555.41	1460.25	68.33%	31.46%	-25.14	2-3
2000-10-08	@ San Diego Chargers	W 21-7	1530.27	1405.42	61.93%	37.83%	+17.38	3-3
2000-10-15	Cleveland Browns	W 44-10	1547.65	1328.85	81.44%	18.40%	+13.17	4-3
2000-10-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-31	1560.82	1313.26	76.71%	23.11%	-29.74	4-4
2000-11-05	@ New York Jets	W 30-23	1531.08	1583.59	36.97%	62.80%	+20.38	5-4
2000-11-13	Oakland Raiders	W 27-24	1551.46	1621.53	45.47%	54.28%	+11.53	6-4
2000-11-19	San Diego Chargers	W 38-37	1562.99	1361.98	79.85%	19.99%	+2.45	7-4
2000-11-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 38-31	1565.44	1449.35	60.74%	39.02%	+12.68	8-4
2000-12-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 38-23	1578.12	1514.56	53.35%	46.40%	+22.05	9-4
2000-12-10	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-24	1600.17	1460.81	73.55%	26.25%	+8.53	10-4
2000-12-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-20	1608.70	1495.16	60.39%	39.37%	-26.70	10-5
2000-12-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 38-9	1582.00	1451.68	72.53%	27.27%	+18.02	11-5
2000-09-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 14-10	1477.96	1416.68	53.02%	46.73%	+11.47	1-0
2000-09-10	Washington Redskins	W 15-10	1489.43	1544.36	47.64%	52.11%	+14.30	2-0
2000-09-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-31	1503.73	1586.73	43.64%	56.12%	-24.55	2-1
2000-09-24	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-14	1479.18	1414.62	53.49%	46.26%	+15.02	3-1
2000-10-01	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-31	1494.20	1601.94	40.17%	59.59%	-13.04	3-2
2000-10-08	Green Bay Packers	W 31-24	1481.16	1517.58	50.30%	49.45%	+16.05	4-2
2000-10-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-14	1497.21	1572.36	33.99%	65.79%	+30.19	5-2
2000-10-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 18-30	1527.40	1598.10	34.56%	65.21%	-14.70	5-3
2000-11-05	Miami Dolphins	L 8-23	1512.70	1581.77	45.62%	54.14%	-21.69	5-4
2000-11-12	Atlanta Falcons	W 13-10	1491.01	1388.51	69.23%	30.55%	+6.50	6-4
2000-11-19	@ New York Giants	W 31-21	1497.51	1525.54	40.30%	59.46%	+23.06	7-4
2000-11-23	New England Patriots	W 34-9	1520.57	1444.67	65.89%	33.89%	+20.81	8-4
2000-11-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-24	1541.38	1624.67	32.95%	66.83%	-10.71	8-5
2000-12-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-26	1530.67	1512.23	46.87%	52.89%	-20.73	8-6
2000-12-17	@ New York Jets	W 10-7	1509.94	1580.93	34.53%	65.25%	+13.86	9-6
2000-12-24	Chicago Bears	L 20-23	1523.80	1356.46	76.56%	23.26%	-16.26	9-7
2000-09-03	New York Jets	L 16-20	1522.56	1545.66	52.22%	47.53%	-12.81	0-1
2000-09-10	@ Buffalo Bills	L 18-27	1509.75	1579.68	34.66%	65.11%	-12.77	0-2
2000-09-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 6-3	1496.98	1468.24	59.56%	40.20%	+8.55	1-2
2000-09-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 29-3	1505.53	1425.05	55.76%	43.99%	+27.53	2-2
2000-10-01	Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1533.06	1399.60	72.89%	26.91%	-15.48	2-3
2000-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-31	1517.58	1481.16	49.45%	50.30%	-16.05	2-4
2000-10-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-28	1501.53	1414.65	67.29%	32.49%	+6.91	3-4
2000-10-29	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-28	1508.44	1569.32	35.85%	63.92%	-12.45	3-5
2000-11-06	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-20	1495.99	1607.51	39.65%	60.11%	+18.06	4-5
2000-11-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-20	1514.05	1594.16	33.35%	66.43%	-9.16	4-6
2000-11-19	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-24	1504.89	1610.24	40.50%	59.26%	+10.28	5-6
2000-11-27	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-31	1515.17	1466.47	51.22%	48.54%	-25.91	5-7
2000-12-03	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-6	1489.26	1379.45	59.87%	39.89%	+22.97	6-7
2000-12-10	Detroit Lions	W 26-13	1512.23	1530.67	52.89%	46.87%	+20.74	7-7
2000-12-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 33-28	1532.97	1613.87	33.25%	66.53%	+18.24	8-7
2000-12-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-14	1551.21	1640.29	42.78%	56.98%	+12.10	9-7
2000-09-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-14	1544.44	1529.73	46.33%	53.42%	+23.63	1-0
2000-09-10	Oakland Raiders	L 31-38	1568.07	1542.98	59.05%	40.71%	-19.16	1-1
2000-09-25	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 43-14	1548.91	1583.29	50.60%	49.16%	+32.48	2-1
2000-10-01	@ Buffalo Bills	W 18-16	1581.39	1570.99	45.72%	54.04%	+9.37	3-1
2000-10-08	@ New England Patriots	L 16-24	1590.76	1485.39	59.26%	40.50%	-20.55	3-2
2000-10-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 37-24	1570.21	1468.09	58.81%	40.95%	+18.12	4-2
2000-10-22	New England Patriots	W 30-23	1588.33	1481.87	69.71%	30.07%	+9.77	5-2
2000-10-29	Detroit Lions	W 30-18	1598.10	1527.40	65.21%	34.56%	+14.70	6-2
2000-11-05	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1612.80	1364.88	76.74%	23.08%	-16.30	6-3
2000-11-12	New York Jets	W 23-15	1596.50	1563.22	60.19%	39.58%	+13.74	7-3
2000-11-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-26	1610.24	1504.89	59.26%	40.50%	-10.28	7-4
2000-11-26	Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1599.96	1580.56	58.26%	41.50%	-12.37	7-5
2000-12-03	@ New York Jets	L 17-27	1587.59	1588.62	44.09%	55.67%	-17.11	7-6
2000-12-11	Buffalo Bills	W 44-20	1570.48	1532.74	60.80%	38.97%	+23.43	8-6
2000-12-17	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-13	1593.91	1613.87	41.42%	58.34%	+18.93	9-6
2000-12-24	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-10	1612.84	1595.63	57.95%	41.81%	+23.52	10-6
2000-09-03	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-7	1572.25	1337.10	75.41%	24.40%	+13.40	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 36-39	1585.65	1527.52	52.57%	47.18%	-11.18	1-1
2000-09-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 13-0	1574.47	1372.74	79.91%	19.92%	+8.82	2-1
2000-09-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-43	1583.29	1548.91	49.16%	50.60%	-32.48	2-2
2000-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-24	1550.81	1425.28	71.98%	27.82%	-29.27	2-3
2000-10-08	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-15	1521.54	1549.16	51.57%	48.18%	-14.15	2-4
2000-10-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 13-27	1507.39	1603.41	31.35%	68.43%	-14.40	2-5
2000-10-22	Washington Redskins	L 16-35	1492.99	1569.55	44.55%	55.21%	-23.83	2-6
2000-10-29	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-17	1469.16	1478.97	42.85%	56.91%	+17.10	3-6
2000-11-12	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-28	1486.26	1428.76	63.47%	36.30%	-20.60	3-7
2000-11-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-24	1465.66	1510.50	38.00%	61.77%	+23.96	4-7
2000-11-26	Tennessee Titans	W 16-13	1489.62	1649.27	33.25%	66.52%	+14.13	5-7
2000-12-03	Cleveland Browns	W 48-0	1503.75	1281.64	81.73%	18.12%	+15.40	6-7
2000-12-10	Arizona Cardinals	W 44-10	1519.15	1284.02	82.82%	17.03%	+12.19	7-7
2000-12-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-17	1531.34	1314.04	73.46%	26.35%	-15.60	7-8
2000-12-23	@ New York Giants	L 25-28	1515.74	1564.87	37.42%	62.35%	-7.96	7-9
2000-09-03	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-27	1529.73	1544.44	53.42%	46.33%	-23.63	0-1
2000-09-10	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-17	1506.10	1565.02	36.11%	63.66%	-7.68	0-2
2000-09-17	San Diego Chargers	W 42-10	1498.42	1458.66	61.07%	38.69%	+26.87	1-2
2000-09-24	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-22	1525.29	1562.86	38.99%	60.77%	+7.46	2-2
2000-10-02	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-17	1532.75	1508.95	58.87%	40.89%	+13.27	3-2
2000-10-15	Oakland Raiders	L 17-20	1546.02	1566.16	52.65%	47.11%	-11.18	3-3
2000-10-22	St. Louis Rams	W 54-34	1534.84	1678.60	35.31%	64.46%	+35.35	4-3
2000-10-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-19	1570.19	1432.03	63.72%	36.05%	+9.90	5-3
2000-11-05	@ Oakland Raiders	L 31-49	1580.09	1599.95	41.44%	58.32%	-21.58	5-4
2000-11-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-21	1558.51	1364.79	70.73%	29.06%	-32.45	5-5
2000-11-19	Buffalo Bills	L 17-21	1526.06	1573.92	48.66%	51.10%	-11.94	5-6
2000-11-26	@ San Diego Chargers	L 16-17	1514.12	1359.52	65.87%	33.90%	-8.08	5-7
2000-12-04	@ New England Patriots	L 24-30	1506.04	1423.87	56.00%	43.75%	-16.83	5-8
2000-12-10	Carolina Panthers	W 15-14	1489.21	1518.84	51.28%	48.47%	+5.95	6-8
2000-12-17	Denver Broncos	W 20-7	1495.16	1608.70	39.37%	60.39%	+26.70	7-8
2000-12-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-29	1521.86	1320.72	71.61%	28.19%	-35.12	7-9
2000-09-03	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-0	1500.74	1513.77	53.66%	46.09%	+27.13	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-13	1527.87	1576.43	37.50%	62.27%	-11.28	1-1
2000-09-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-6	1516.59	1538.70	52.36%	47.39%	+20.97	2-1
2000-09-24	New England Patriots	W 10-3	1537.56	1471.68	64.58%	35.19%	+11.43	3-1
2000-10-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-16	1548.99	1345.50	71.88%	27.91%	+13.28	4-1
2000-10-08	Buffalo Bills	W 22-13	1562.27	1561.62	55.61%	44.14%	+16.25	5-1
2000-10-23	@ New York Jets	L 37-40	1578.52	1585.38	43.26%	56.49%	-9.20	5-2
2000-10-29	Green Bay Packers	W 28-20	1569.32	1508.44	63.92%	35.85%	+12.45	6-2
2000-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-8	1581.77	1512.70	54.14%	45.62%	+21.68	7-2
2000-11-12	@ San Diego Chargers	W 17-7	1603.45	1371.59	75.06%	24.75%	+9.61	8-2
2000-11-19	New York Jets	L 3-20	1613.06	1549.47	64.28%	35.50%	-32.50	8-3
2000-11-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 17-14	1580.56	1599.96	41.50%	58.26%	+12.38	9-3
2000-12-03	@ Buffalo Bills	W 33-6	1592.94	1565.64	48.14%	51.62%	+32.90	10-3
2000-12-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-16	1625.84	1619.95	56.36%	43.40%	-11.97	10-4
2000-12-17	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1613.87	1593.91	58.34%	41.42%	-18.93	10-5
2000-12-24	@ New England Patriots	W 27-24	1594.94	1436.72	66.34%	33.44%	+7.11	11-5
2000-09-03	Chicago Bears	W 30-27	1570.16	1458.57	70.33%	29.46%	+6.27	1-0
2000-09-10	Miami Dolphins	W 13-7	1576.43	1527.87	62.27%	37.50%	+11.27	2-0
2000-09-17	@ New England Patriots	W 21-13	1587.70	1485.92	58.76%	41.00%	+14.24	3-0
2000-10-01	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1601.94	1494.20	59.59%	40.17%	+13.04	4-0
2000-10-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-23	1614.98	1585.37	59.68%	40.08%	+13.02	5-0
2000-10-15	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-16	1628.00	1380.95	76.65%	23.16%	+9.85	6-0
2000-10-22	Buffalo Bills	W 31-27	1637.85	1550.53	67.34%	32.44%	+7.97	7-0
2000-10-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-41	1645.82	1542.17	59.02%	40.74%	-38.31	7-1
2000-11-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-26	1607.51	1495.99	60.11%	39.65%	-18.06	7-2
2000-11-12	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-14	1589.45	1341.29	83.86%	16.00%	+8.10	8-2
2000-11-19	Carolina Panthers	W 31-17	1597.55	1479.65	71.08%	28.71%	+13.18	9-2
2000-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-15	1610.73	1447.22	67.02%	32.76%	+13.94	10-2
2000-11-30	Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1624.67	1541.38	66.83%	32.95%	+10.70	11-2
2000-12-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 29-40	1635.37	1575.43	52.83%	46.92%	-21.50	11-3
2000-12-17	Green Bay Packers	L 28-33	1613.87	1532.97	66.53%	33.25%	-18.24	11-4
2000-12-24	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-31	1595.63	1612.84	41.81%	57.95%	-23.52	11-5
2000-09-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-21	1503.60	1550.14	48.85%	50.91%	-13.40	0-1
2000-09-11	@ New York Jets	L 19-20	1490.20	1558.47	34.88%	64.89%	-4.28	0-2
2000-09-17	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-21	1485.92	1587.70	41.00%	58.76%	-14.24	0-3
2000-09-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 3-10	1471.68	1537.56	35.19%	64.58%	-11.43	0-4
2000-10-01	@ Denver Broncos	W 28-19	1460.25	1555.41	31.46%	68.33%	+25.14	1-4
2000-10-08	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-16	1485.39	1590.76	40.50%	59.26%	+20.56	2-4
2000-10-15	New York Jets	L 17-34	1505.95	1561.31	47.58%	52.17%	-24.08	2-5
2000-10-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-30	1481.87	1588.33	30.07%	69.71%	-9.77	2-6
2000-11-05	Buffalo Bills	L 13-16	1472.10	1553.55	43.86%	55.90%	-9.32	2-7
2000-11-12	@ Cleveland Browns	L 11-19	1462.78	1272.05	70.38%	29.41%	-24.41	2-8
2000-11-19	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-13	1438.37	1328.07	70.18%	29.61%	+6.30	3-8
2000-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 9-34	1444.67	1520.57	33.89%	65.89%	-20.80	3-9
2000-12-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-24	1423.87	1506.04	43.75%	56.00%	+16.82	4-9
2000-12-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-24	1440.69	1356.49	56.29%	43.47%	-18.26	4-10
2000-12-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 13-10	1422.43	1509.30	32.49%	67.29%	+14.29	5-10
2000-12-24	Miami Dolphins	L 24-27	1436.72	1594.94	33.44%	66.34%	-7.11	5-11
2000-09-03	Detroit Lions	L 10-14	1416.68	1477.96	46.73%	53.02%	-11.47	0-1
2000-09-10	@ San Diego Chargers	W 28-27	1405.21	1466.51	35.80%	63.97%	+7.85	1-1
2000-09-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-20	1413.06	1479.06	35.18%	64.59%	-13.66	1-2
2000-09-24	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-21	1399.40	1459.69	46.87%	52.88%	-21.52	1-3
2000-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-10	1377.88	1415.08	39.04%	60.72%	+34.13	2-3
2000-10-15	Carolina Panthers	W 24-6	1412.01	1504.83	42.25%	57.51%	+29.92	3-3
2000-10-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 21-19	1441.93	1403.73	49.71%	50.05%	+8.69	4-3
2000-10-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 21-10	1450.62	1348.57	58.80%	40.96%	+16.68	5-3
2000-11-05	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-15	1467.30	1380.77	67.24%	32.54%	+15.97	6-3
2000-11-12	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-10	1483.27	1502.23	41.56%	58.19%	+22.58	7-3
2000-11-19	Oakland Raiders	L 22-31	1505.85	1609.99	40.67%	59.09%	-14.98	7-4
2000-11-26	@ St. Louis Rams	W 31-24	1490.87	1625.58	26.77%	73.03%	+23.69	8-4
2000-12-03	Denver Broncos	L 23-38	1514.56	1578.12	46.40%	53.35%	-22.06	8-5
2000-12-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-27	1492.50	1445.35	50.99%	48.76%	+11.97	9-5
2000-12-17	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-7	1504.47	1331.88	77.09%	22.73%	+11.15	10-5
2000-12-24	St. Louis Rams	L 21-26	1515.62	1588.56	45.07%	54.69%	-12.36	10-6
2000-09-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 21-16	1466.54	1429.39	60.72%	39.05%	+10.71	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-18	1477.25	1495.86	41.61%	58.15%	+27.63	2-0
2000-09-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 14-7	1504.88	1429.12	55.09%	44.67%	+14.50	3-0
2000-09-24	Washington Redskins	L 6-16	1519.38	1510.75	56.74%	43.01%	-22.01	3-1
2000-10-01	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-28	1497.37	1580.32	32.99%	66.79%	-15.15	3-2
2000-10-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 13-6	1482.22	1426.58	52.21%	47.54%	+15.43	4-2
2000-10-15	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-14	1497.65	1463.30	60.33%	39.43%	+10.82	5-2
2000-10-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-7	1508.47	1525.00	53.16%	46.59%	+23.58	6-2
2000-11-05	@ Cleveland Browns	W 24-3	1532.05	1285.09	76.64%	23.17%	+13.03	7-2
2000-11-12	St. Louis Rams	L 24-38	1545.08	1635.75	42.56%	57.20%	-19.54	7-3
2000-11-19	Detroit Lions	L 21-31	1525.54	1497.51	59.46%	40.30%	-23.06	7-4
2000-11-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-7	1502.48	1320.21	69.35%	30.43%	+18.30	8-4
2000-12-03	@ Washington Redskins	W 9-7	1520.78	1585.09	35.40%	64.37%	+11.17	9-4
2000-12-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-10	1531.95	1512.13	58.32%	41.44%	+22.75	10-4
2000-12-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 17-13	1554.70	1456.01	58.33%	41.43%	+10.17	11-4
2000-12-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-25	1564.87	1515.74	62.35%	37.42%	+7.95	12-4
2000-09-03	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-16	1545.66	1522.56	47.53%	52.22%	+12.81	1-0
2000-09-11	New England Patriots	W 20-19	1558.47	1490.20	64.89%	34.88%	+4.28	2-0
2000-09-17	Buffalo Bills	W 27-14	1562.75	1592.44	51.27%	48.48%	+21.45	3-0
2000-09-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-17	1584.20	1611.28	40.44%	59.33%	+14.56	4-0
2000-10-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1598.76	1454.55	74.09%	25.72%	-37.45	4-1
2000-10-15	@ New England Patriots	W 34-17	1561.31	1505.95	52.17%	47.58%	+24.07	5-1
2000-10-23	Miami Dolphins	W 40-37	1585.38	1578.52	56.49%	43.26%	+9.20	6-1
2000-10-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1594.58	1542.57	51.69%	48.06%	-10.99	6-2
2000-11-05	Denver Broncos	L 23-30	1583.59	1531.08	62.80%	36.97%	-20.37	6-3
2000-11-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 15-23	1563.22	1596.50	39.58%	60.19%	-13.75	6-4
2000-11-19	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-3	1549.47	1613.06	35.50%	64.28%	+32.51	7-4
2000-11-26	Chicago Bears	W 17-10	1581.98	1386.10	79.37%	20.46%	+6.64	8-4
2000-12-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-17	1588.62	1587.59	55.67%	44.09%	+17.11	9-4
2000-12-10	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-31	1605.73	1626.95	41.25%	58.51%	-24.80	9-5
2000-12-17	Detroit Lions	L 7-10	1580.93	1509.94	65.25%	34.53%	-13.86	9-6
2000-12-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-34	1567.07	1593.41	40.54%	59.22%	-18.62	9-7
2000-09-03	San Diego Chargers	W 9-6	1535.37	1474.12	63.97%	35.80%	+7.61	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 38-31	1542.98	1568.07	40.71%	59.05%	+19.17	2-0
2000-09-17	Denver Broncos	L 24-33	1562.15	1541.35	58.45%	41.31%	-21.51	2-1
2000-09-24	Cleveland Browns	W 36-10	1540.64	1369.52	76.94%	22.87%	+14.31	3-1
2000-10-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-28	1554.95	1425.85	62.51%	37.26%	+11.21	4-1
2000-10-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1566.16	1546.02	47.11%	52.65%	+11.18	5-1
2000-10-22	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-3	1577.34	1449.97	72.19%	27.61%	+17.94	6-1
2000-10-29	@ San Diego Chargers	W 15-13	1595.28	1382.87	72.91%	26.90%	+4.67	7-1
2000-11-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 49-31	1599.95	1580.09	58.32%	41.44%	+21.58	8-1
2000-11-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-27	1621.53	1551.46	54.28%	45.47%	-11.54	8-2
2000-11-19	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-22	1609.99	1505.85	59.09%	40.67%	+14.98	9-2
2000-11-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-14	1624.97	1365.68	84.70%	15.16%	+9.66	10-2
2000-12-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-21	1634.63	1504.44	62.65%	37.11%	-7.68	10-3
2000-12-10	New York Jets	W 31-7	1626.95	1605.73	58.51%	41.25%	+24.80	11-3
2000-12-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-27	1651.75	1452.28	71.41%	28.38%	-15.16	11-4
2000-12-24	Carolina Panthers	W 52-9	1636.59	1520.31	70.89%	28.90%	+23.26	12-4
2000-09-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 41-14	1455.38	1513.27	36.25%	63.52%	+40.48	1-0
2000-09-10	New York Giants	L 18-33	1495.86	1477.25	58.15%	41.61%	-27.62	1-1
2000-09-17	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-6	1468.24	1496.98	40.20%	59.56%	-8.55	1-2
2000-09-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 21-7	1459.69	1399.40	52.88%	46.87%	+21.52	2-2
2000-10-01	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-10	1481.21	1452.72	59.52%	40.24%	+26.14	3-2
2000-10-08	Washington Redskins	L 14-17	1507.35	1544.11	50.26%	49.50%	-10.68	3-3
2000-10-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 33-14	1496.67	1397.17	58.44%	41.32%	+22.10	4-3
2000-10-22	Chicago Bears	W 13-9	1518.77	1371.10	74.47%	25.34%	+6.23	5-3
2000-10-29	@ New York Giants	L 7-24	1525.00	1508.47	46.59%	53.16%	-23.58	5-4
2000-11-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 16-13	1501.42	1461.87	61.05%	38.72%	+8.23	6-4
2000-11-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-23	1509.65	1522.69	42.39%	57.36%	+12.19	7-4
2000-11-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-9	1521.84	1333.19	78.68%	21.15%	+12.98	8-4
2000-11-26	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-20	1534.82	1598.75	35.45%	64.32%	+13.66	9-4
2000-12-03	Tennessee Titans	L 13-15	1548.48	1635.14	43.12%	56.64%	-7.49	9-5
2000-12-10	@ Cleveland Browns	W 35-24	1540.99	1266.24	79.38%	20.45%	+8.33	10-5
2000-12-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-7	1549.32	1329.64	81.52%	18.33%	+6.75	11-5
2000-09-03	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-16	1469.92	1502.57	50.85%	48.91%	-24.96	0-1
2000-09-17	@ Cleveland Browns	L 20-23	1444.96	1357.46	56.76%	43.00%	-12.06	0-2
2000-09-24	Tennessee Titans	L 20-23	1432.90	1572.70	35.83%	63.94%	-7.62	0-3
2000-10-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-13	1425.28	1550.81	27.82%	71.98%	+29.27	1-3
2000-10-08	@ New York Jets	W 20-3	1454.55	1598.76	25.72%	74.09%	+37.45	2-3
2000-10-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 15-0	1492.00	1324.29	76.60%	23.22%	+11.04	3-3
2000-10-22	Cleveland Browns	W 22-0	1503.04	1315.68	78.56%	21.27%	+12.25	4-3
2000-10-29	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 9-6	1515.29	1532.73	41.78%	57.98%	+12.32	5-3
2000-11-05	@ Tennessee Titans	L 7-9	1527.61	1648.59	28.35%	71.45%	-4.92	5-4
2000-11-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-26	1522.69	1509.65	57.36%	42.39%	-12.19	5-5
2000-11-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-34	1510.50	1465.66	61.77%	38.00%	-23.96	5-6
2000-11-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 48-28	1486.54	1321.78	67.18%	32.60%	+17.90	6-6
2000-12-03	Oakland Raiders	W 21-20	1504.44	1634.63	37.11%	62.65%	+7.69	7-6
2000-12-10	@ New York Giants	L 10-30	1512.13	1531.95	41.44%	58.32%	-22.75	7-7
2000-12-16	Washington Redskins	W 24-3	1489.38	1538.82	48.43%	51.32%	+28.85	8-7
2000-12-24	@ San Diego Chargers	W 34-21	1518.23	1319.20	71.36%	28.43%	+12.59	9-7
2000-09-03	@ Oakland Raiders	L 6-9	1474.12	1535.37	35.80%	63.97%	-7.61	0-1
2000-09-10	New Orleans Saints	L 27-28	1466.51	1405.21	63.97%	35.80%	-7.85	0-2
2000-09-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-42	1458.66	1498.42	38.69%	61.07%	-26.86	0-3
2000-09-24	Seattle Seahawks	L 12-20	1431.80	1492.71	46.78%	52.97%	-16.24	0-4
2000-10-01	@ St. Louis Rams	L 31-57	1415.56	1661.05	16.21%	83.65%	-10.14	0-5
2000-10-08	Denver Broncos	L 7-21	1405.42	1530.27	37.83%	61.93%	-17.38	0-6
2000-10-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 24-27	1388.04	1545.36	24.30%	75.51%	-5.17	0-7
2000-10-29	Oakland Raiders	L 13-15	1382.87	1595.28	26.90%	72.91%	-4.67	0-8
2000-11-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 15-17	1378.20	1422.14	38.12%	61.64%	-6.61	0-9
2000-11-12	Miami Dolphins	L 7-17	1371.59	1603.45	24.75%	75.06%	-9.61	0-10
2000-11-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 37-38	1361.98	1562.99	19.99%	79.85%	-2.46	0-11
2000-11-26	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-16	1359.52	1514.12	33.90%	65.87%	+8.08	1-11
2000-12-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-45	1367.60	1413.58	48.93%	50.82%	-31.77	1-12
2000-12-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-24	1335.83	1579.14	16.38%	83.48%	-9.21	1-13
2000-12-17	@ Carolina Panthers	L 22-30	1326.62	1512.89	21.38%	78.45%	-7.42	1-14
2000-12-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-34	1319.20	1518.23	28.43%	71.36%	-12.58	1-15
2000-09-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 28-36	1419.59	1465.39	37.87%	61.90%	-13.15	0-1
2000-09-10	Carolina Panthers	L 22-38	1406.44	1485.84	44.15%	55.61%	-21.67	0-2
2000-09-17	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-41	1384.77	1635.26	15.82%	84.04%	-8.01	0-3
2000-09-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 41-24	1376.76	1485.72	29.77%	70.02%	+35.40	1-3
2000-10-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-20	1412.16	1397.51	57.59%	42.17%	+13.69	2-3
2000-10-08	Oakland Raiders	L 28-34	1425.85	1554.95	37.26%	62.51%	-11.20	2-4
2000-10-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-31	1414.65	1501.53	32.49%	67.29%	-6.91	2-5
2000-10-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-34	1407.74	1474.90	35.03%	64.75%	-18.24	2-6
2000-10-29	St. Louis Rams	L 24-34	1389.50	1643.25	22.49%	77.33%	-8.73	2-7
2000-11-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 15-31	1380.77	1467.30	32.54%	67.24%	-15.98	2-8
2000-11-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-7	1364.79	1558.51	29.06%	70.73%	+32.45	3-8
2000-11-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 16-6	1397.24	1382.01	57.67%	42.09%	+16.34	4-8
2000-12-03	@ San Diego Chargers	W 45-17	1413.58	1367.60	50.82%	48.93%	+31.77	5-8
2000-12-10	New Orleans Saints	L 27-31	1445.35	1492.50	48.76%	50.99%	-11.97	5-9
2000-12-17	Chicago Bears	W 17-0	1433.38	1374.76	63.62%	36.15%	+18.30	6-9
2000-12-23	@ Denver Broncos	L 9-38	1451.68	1582.00	27.27%	72.53%	-18.03	6-10
2000-09-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-23	1513.77	1500.74	46.09%	53.66%	-27.13	0-1
2000-09-10	St. Louis Rams	L 34-37	1486.64	1627.68	35.67%	64.10%	-7.58	0-2
2000-09-17	New Orleans Saints	W 20-10	1479.06	1413.06	64.59%	35.18%	+13.65	1-2
2000-09-24	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-12	1492.71	1431.80	52.97%	46.78%	+16.24	2-2
2000-10-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-24	1508.95	1532.75	40.89%	58.87%	-13.28	2-3
2000-10-08	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-26	1495.67	1477.25	46.86%	52.89%	-27.58	2-4
2000-10-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-37	1468.09	1570.21	40.95%	58.81%	-18.12	2-5
2000-10-22	@ Oakland Raiders	L 3-31	1449.97	1577.34	27.61%	72.19%	-17.94	2-6
2000-10-29	Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-24	1432.03	1570.19	36.05%	63.72%	-9.89	2-7
2000-11-05	San Diego Chargers	W 17-15	1422.14	1378.20	61.64%	38.12%	+6.62	3-7
2000-11-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-21	1428.76	1486.26	36.30%	63.47%	+20.59	4-7
2000-11-26	Denver Broncos	L 31-38	1449.35	1565.44	39.02%	60.74%	-12.67	4-8
2000-12-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-10	1436.68	1356.01	55.79%	43.97%	+24.13	5-8
2000-12-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-31	1460.81	1600.17	26.25%	73.55%	-8.53	5-9
2000-12-16	Oakland Raiders	W 27-24	1452.28	1651.75	28.38%	71.41%	+15.17	6-9
2000-12-23	Buffalo Bills	L 23-42	1467.45	1495.01	51.58%	48.18%	-27.59	6-10
2000-09-04	Denver Broncos	W 41-36	1619.02	1524.68	68.22%	31.56%	+8.66	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 37-34	1627.68	1486.64	64.10%	35.67%	+7.58	2-0
2000-09-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-24	1635.26	1384.77	84.04%	15.82%	+8.01	3-0
2000-09-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 41-20	1643.27	1470.50	68.18%	31.60%	+17.78	4-0
2000-10-01	San Diego Chargers	W 57-31	1661.05	1415.56	83.65%	16.21%	+10.14	5-0
2000-10-15	Atlanta Falcons	W 45-29	1671.19	1411.15	84.76%	15.11%	+7.41	6-0
2000-10-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 34-54	1678.60	1534.84	64.46%	35.31%	-35.35	6-1
2000-10-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-24	1643.25	1389.50	77.33%	22.49%	+8.72	7-1
2000-11-05	Carolina Panthers	L 24-27	1651.97	1486.00	76.42%	23.40%	-16.22	7-2
2000-11-12	@ New York Giants	W 38-24	1635.75	1545.08	57.20%	42.56%	+19.54	8-2
2000-11-20	Washington Redskins	L 20-33	1655.29	1569.04	67.21%	32.57%	-29.71	8-3
2000-11-26	New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1625.58	1490.87	73.03%	26.77%	-23.69	8-4
2000-12-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-16	1601.89	1492.38	59.83%	39.93%	-26.46	8-5
2000-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 40-29	1575.43	1635.37	46.92%	52.83%	+21.50	9-5
2000-12-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 35-38	1596.93	1631.92	39.34%	60.42%	-8.37	9-6
2000-12-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-21	1588.56	1515.62	54.69%	45.07%	+12.37	10-6
2000-09-03	@ New England Patriots	W 21-16	1550.14	1503.60	50.91%	48.85%	+13.40	1-0
2000-09-10	Chicago Bears	W 41-0	1563.54	1452.31	70.29%	29.50%	+23.19	2-0
2000-09-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-10	1586.73	1503.73	56.12%	43.64%	+24.55	3-0
2000-09-24	New York Jets	L 17-21	1611.28	1584.20	59.33%	40.44%	-14.56	3-1
2000-10-01	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1596.72	1532.76	53.41%	46.35%	-11.35	3-2
2000-10-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 23-30	1585.37	1614.98	40.08%	59.68%	-13.01	3-3
2000-10-19	Detroit Lions	L 14-28	1572.36	1497.21	65.79%	33.99%	-30.19	3-4
2000-10-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-13	1542.17	1645.82	40.74%	59.02%	+38.31	4-4
2000-11-05	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-14	1580.48	1402.19	68.86%	30.92%	+13.68	5-4
2000-11-12	Green Bay Packers	W 20-15	1594.16	1514.05	66.43%	33.35%	+9.16	6-4
2000-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1603.32	1370.13	75.20%	24.61%	-15.97	6-5
2000-11-26	Buffalo Bills	W 31-17	1587.35	1585.86	55.73%	44.02%	+20.22	7-5
2000-12-03	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-7	1607.57	1433.29	77.26%	22.56%	+12.38	8-5
2000-12-10	@ Miami Dolphins	W 16-13	1619.95	1625.84	43.40%	56.36%	+11.97	9-5
2000-12-18	St. Louis Rams	W 38-35	1631.92	1596.93	60.42%	39.34%	+8.37	10-5
2000-12-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	1640.29	1551.21	56.98%	42.78%	-12.11	10-6
2000-09-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-16	1574.56	1570.14	44.86%	54.89%	-9.54	0-1
2000-09-10	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-14	1565.02	1506.10	63.66%	36.11%	+7.68	1-1
2000-09-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-20	1572.70	1432.90	63.94%	35.83%	+7.62	2-1
2000-10-01	New York Giants	W 28-14	1580.32	1497.37	66.79%	32.99%	+15.15	3-1
2000-10-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-14	1595.47	1332.23	78.28%	21.55%	+7.94	4-1
2000-10-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-13	1603.41	1507.39	68.43%	31.35%	+14.40	5-1
2000-10-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 14-6	1617.81	1548.55	54.16%	45.59%	+15.82	6-1
2000-10-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-21	1633.63	1593.38	50.00%	49.75%	+14.96	7-1
2000-11-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 9-7	1648.59	1527.61	71.45%	28.35%	+4.92	8-1
2000-11-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 23-24	1653.51	1538.71	70.72%	29.07%	-8.67	8-2
2000-11-19	Cleveland Browns	W 24-10	1644.84	1296.46	90.23%	9.67%	+4.43	9-2
2000-11-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-16	1649.27	1489.62	66.52%	33.25%	-14.13	9-3
2000-12-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 15-13	1635.14	1548.48	56.64%	43.12%	+7.49	10-3
2000-12-10	Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-3	1642.63	1321.77	88.75%	11.15%	+7.73	11-3
2000-12-17	@ Cleveland Browns	W 24-0	1650.36	1257.91	88.33%	11.56%	+6.95	12-3
2000-12-25	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-0	1657.31	1445.84	80.80%	19.04%	+13.01	13-3
2000-09-03	Carolina Panthers	W 20-17	1536.20	1494.00	61.41%	38.36%	+8.16	1-0
2000-09-10	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-15	1544.36	1489.43	52.11%	47.64%	-14.30	1-1
2000-09-18	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-27	1530.06	1466.41	64.29%	35.49%	-19.31	1-2
2000-09-24	@ New York Giants	W 16-6	1510.75	1519.38	43.01%	56.74%	+22.01	2-2
2000-10-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-17	1532.76	1596.72	46.35%	53.41%	+11.35	3-2
2000-10-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-14	1544.11	1507.35	49.50%	50.26%	+10.68	4-2
2000-10-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 10-3	1554.79	1563.31	54.31%	45.45%	+14.76	5-2
2000-10-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 35-16	1569.55	1492.99	55.21%	44.55%	+23.83	6-2
2000-10-30	Tennessee Titans	L 21-27	1593.38	1633.63	49.75%	50.00%	-14.95	6-3
2000-11-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 15-16	1578.43	1331.90	76.60%	23.22%	-9.39	6-4
2000-11-20	@ St. Louis Rams	W 33-20	1569.04	1655.29	32.57%	67.21%	+29.71	7-4
2000-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1598.75	1534.82	64.32%	35.45%	-13.66	7-5
2000-12-03	New York Giants	L 7-9	1585.09	1520.78	64.37%	35.40%	-11.16	7-6
2000-12-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-32	1573.93	1420.91	65.67%	34.11%	-35.11	7-7
2000-12-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-24	1538.82	1489.38	51.32%	48.43%	-28.85	7-8
2000-12-24	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-3	1509.97	1266.78	83.47%	16.39%	+8.29	8-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2000-12-31	Denver Broncos	W 21-3	1612.03	1600.02	57.34%	42.66%	+22.15	1-0
2001-01-07	@ Tennessee Titans	W 24-10	1634.18	1670.32	39.30%	60.70%	+27.80	2-0
2001-01-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 16-3	1661.98	1684.25	41.22%	58.78%	+25.94	3-0
2001-01-28	New York Giants	W 34-7	1687.92	1625.45	58.90%	41.10%	+26.14	4-0
2000-12-31	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-21	1600.02	1612.03	42.66%	57.34%	-22.15	0-1
2000-12-30	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-23	1636.36	1602.05	49.27%	50.73%	-14.77	0-1
2000-12-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-17	1602.05	1636.36	50.73%	49.27%	+14.77	1-0
2001-01-06	@ Oakland Raiders	L 0-27	1616.82	1659.85	38.36%	61.64%	-24.39	1-1
2001-01-06	New Orleans Saints	W 34-16	1572.11	1515.62	63.46%	36.54%	+18.98	1-0
2001-01-14	@ New York Giants	L 0-41	1591.09	1590.63	44.42%	55.58%	-34.82	1-1
2000-12-30	St. Louis Rams	W 31-28	1503.26	1600.93	41.69%	58.31%	+12.36	1-0
2001-01-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-34	1515.62	1572.11	36.54%	63.46%	-18.98	1-1
2001-01-07	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1572.82	1584.47	53.98%	46.02%	+17.81	1-0
2001-01-14	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-0	1590.63	1591.09	55.58%	44.42%	+34.82	2-0
2001-01-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-34	1625.45	1687.92	41.10%	58.90%	-26.15	2-1
2001-01-06	Miami Dolphins	W 27-0	1659.85	1616.82	61.64%	38.36%	+24.40	1-0
2001-01-14	Baltimore Ravens	L 3-16	1684.25	1661.98	58.78%	41.22%	-25.94	1-1
2000-12-31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-3	1556.07	1628.18	45.30%	54.70%	+28.40	1-0
2001-01-07	@ New York Giants	L 10-20	1584.47	1572.82	46.02%	53.98%	-17.81	1-1
2000-12-30	@ New Orleans Saints	L 28-31	1600.93	1503.26	58.31%	41.69%	-12.36	0-1
2000-12-31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-21	1628.18	1556.07	54.70%	45.30%	-28.40	0-1
2001-01-07	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-24	1670.32	1634.18	60.70%	39.30%	-27.80	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2000-11-05	23.08%	@ Chicago Bears	1364.88	27	Indianapolis Colts	1612.80	24
2	2000-10-22	23.11%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1313.26	31	Denver Broncos	1560.82	21
3	2000-11-05	23.22%	@ Arizona Cardinals	1331.90	16	Washington Redskins	1578.43	15
4	2000-12-24	23.26%	Chicago Bears	1356.46	23	@ Detroit Lions	1523.80	20
5	2000-11-05	23.40%	Carolina Panthers	1486.00	27	@ St. Louis Rams	1651.97	24
6	2000-11-19	24.61%	@ Chicago Bears	1370.13	13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1603.32	10
7	2000-10-08	25.72%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1454.55	20	@ New York Jets	1598.76	3
8	2000-12-17	26.35%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1314.04	17	Jacksonville Jaguars	1531.34	14
9	2000-11-26	26.77%	New Orleans Saints	1490.87	31	@ St. Louis Rams	1625.58	24
10	2000-10-01	26.91%	Chicago Bears	1399.60	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1533.06	24
11	2000-10-01	27.82%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1425.28	24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1550.81	13
12	2000-12-24	28.19%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1320.72	29	Kansas City Chiefs	1521.86	13
13	2000-12-16	28.38%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1452.28	27	Oakland Raiders	1651.75	24
14	2000-11-12	29.06%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1364.79	21	Kansas City Chiefs	1558.51	7
15	2000-11-12	29.07%	Baltimore Ravens	1538.71	24	@ Tennessee Titans	1653.51	23
16	2000-11-12	29.41%	@ Cleveland Browns	1272.05	19	New England Patriots	1462.78	11
17	2000-09-24	29.77%	San Francisco 49ers	1376.76	41	@ Dallas Cowboys	1485.72	24
18	2000-10-01	31.46%	New England Patriots	1460.25	28	@ Denver Broncos	1555.41	19
19	2000-12-17	32.49%	New England Patriots	1422.43	13	@ Buffalo Bills	1509.30	10
20	2000-11-20	32.57%	Washington Redskins	1569.04	33	@ St. Louis Rams	1655.29	20
21	2000-09-10	33.01%	Cleveland Browns	1323.70	24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1406.50	7
22	2000-11-26	33.25%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1489.62	16	Tennessee Titans	1649.27	13
23	2000-12-17	33.25%	Green Bay Packers	1532.97	33	@ Minnesota Vikings	1613.87	28
24	2000-11-26	33.90%	@ San Diego Chargers	1359.52	17	Kansas City Chiefs	1514.12	16
25	2000-10-19	33.99%	Detroit Lions	1497.21	28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1572.36	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2000-09-03	40.48	Philadelphia Eagles	41	1455.38	36.25%	@ Dallas Cowboys	14	1513.27	63.52%
2	2000-10-29	38.31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41	1542.17	40.74%	Minnesota Vikings	13	1645.82	59.02%
3	2000-10-08	37.45	Pittsburgh Steelers	20	1454.55	25.72%	@ New York Jets	3	1598.76	74.09%
4	2000-09-24	35.40	San Francisco 49ers	41	1376.76	29.77%	@ Dallas Cowboys	24	1485.72	70.02%
5	2000-10-22	35.35	@ Kansas City Chiefs	54	1534.84	35.31%	St. Louis Rams	34	1678.60	64.46%
6	2000-12-24	35.12	@ Atlanta Falcons	29	1320.72	28.19%	Kansas City Chiefs	13	1521.86	71.61%
7	2000-12-10	35.11	@ Dallas Cowboys	32	1420.91	34.11%	Washington Redskins	13	1573.93	65.67%
8	2001-01-14 *	34.82	@ New York Giants	41	1590.63	55.58%	Minnesota Vikings	0	1591.09	44.42%
9	2000-10-08	34.13	New Orleans Saints	31	1377.88	39.04%	@ Chicago Bears	10	1415.08	60.72%
10	2000-09-10	33.76	Cleveland Browns	24	1323.70	33.01%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	7	1406.50	66.77%
11	2000-12-03	32.90	Miami Dolphins	33	1592.94	48.14%	@ Buffalo Bills	6	1565.64	51.62%
12	2000-11-19	32.51	New York Jets	20	1549.47	35.50%	@ Miami Dolphins	3	1613.06	64.28%
13	2000-09-25	32.48	@ Indianapolis Colts	43	1548.91	50.60%	Jacksonville Jaguars	14	1583.29	49.16%
14	2000-11-12	32.45	@ San Francisco 49ers	21	1364.79	29.06%	Kansas City Chiefs	7	1558.51	70.73%
15	2000-12-03	31.77	San Francisco 49ers	45	1413.58	50.82%	@ San Diego Chargers	17	1367.60	48.93%
16	2000-10-19	30.19	Detroit Lions	28	1497.21	33.99%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14	1572.36	65.79%
17	2000-10-15	29.93	@ New Orleans Saints	24	1412.01	42.25%	Carolina Panthers	6	1504.83	57.51%
18	2000-10-22	29.74	@ Cincinnati Bengals	31	1313.26	23.11%	Denver Broncos	21	1560.82	76.71%
19	2000-11-20	29.71	Washington Redskins	33	1569.04	32.57%	@ St. Louis Rams	20	1655.29	67.21%
20	2000-10-01	29.27	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1425.28	27.82%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	13	1550.81	71.98%
21	2000-12-16	28.85	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1489.38	48.43%	Washington Redskins	3	1538.82	51.32%
22	2000-12-31 *	28.40	@ Philadelphia Eagles	21	1556.07	45.30%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1628.18	54.70%
23	2001-01-07 *	27.80	Baltimore Ravens	24	1634.18	39.30%	@ Tennessee Titans	10	1670.32	60.70%
24	2000-09-10	27.63	New York Giants	33	1477.25	41.61%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	18	1495.86	58.15%
25	2000-12-23	27.59	Buffalo Bills	42	1495.01	48.18%	@ Seattle Seahawks	23	1467.45	51.58%