1999 NFL Season

248 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

St. Louis Rams

1st Super Bowl

Last Title: 1951

Runner-Up

Tennessee Titans

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Indianapolis Colts

3.98 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.02 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

San Francisco 49ers

3.51 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.51 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Jacksonville Jaguars Division	14	2	.875	-	396	217	+179	11.92	+2.08
2	Tennessee Titans Playoffs	13	3	.812	1	392	324	+68	9.62	+3.38
3	Baltimore Ravens	8	8	.500	6	324	277	+47	7.95	+0.05
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	10	.375	8	317	320	-3	8.15	-2.15
5	Cincinnati Bengals	4	12	.250	10	283	460	-177	5.13	-1.13
6	Cleveland Browns	2	14	.125	12	217	437	-220	2.96	-0.96

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	13	3	.812	-	423	333	+90	9.02	+3.98
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	11	5	.688	2	320	229	+91	9.10	+1.90
3	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	326	336	-10	9.09	-0.09
4	New York Jets	8	8	.500	5	308	309	-1	8.02	-0.02
5	New England Patriots	8	8	.500	5	299	284	+15	8.30	-0.30

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	9	7	.562	-	338	298	+40	9.03	-0.03
2	Kansas City Chiefs	9	7	.562	-	390	322	+68	8.57	+0.43
3	San Diego Chargers	8	8	.500	1	269	316	-47	6.62	+1.38
4	Oakland Raiders	8	8	.500	1	390	329	+61	7.37	+0.63
5	Denver Broncos	6	10	.375	3	314	318	-4	8.09	-2.09

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Division	11	5	.688	-	270	235	+35	8.72	+2.28
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	399	335	+64	9.78	+0.22
3	Detroit Lions Playoffs	8	8	.500	3	322	323	-1	8.04	-0.04
4	Green Bay Packers	8	8	.500	3	357	341	+16	8.89	-0.89
5	Chicago Bears	6	10	.375	5	272	341	-69	6.33	-0.33

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Redskins Division	10	6	.625	-	443	377	+66	8.96	+1.04
2	Dallas Cowboys Playoffs	8	8	.500	2	352	276	+76	9.53	-1.53
3	New York Giants	7	9	.438	3	299	358	-59	7.31	-0.31
4	Arizona Cardinals	6	10	.375	4	245	382	-137	6.71	-0.71
5	Philadelphia Eagles	5	11	.312	5	272	357	-85	4.69	+0.31

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	St. Louis Rams Division	13	3	.812	-	526	242	+284	11.14	+1.86
2	Carolina Panthers	8	8	.500	5	421	381	+40	7.95	+0.05
3	Atlanta Falcons	5	11	.312	8	285	380	-95	7.44	-2.44
4	San Francisco 49ers	4	12	.250	9	295	453	-158	7.51	-3.51
5	New Orleans Saints	3	13	.188	10	260	434	-174	6.06	-3.06

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Tennessee Titans 22

Buffalo Bills 16

Jan 8

Miami Dolphins 20

Seattle Seahawks 17

Jan 9

Divisional Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 62

Miami Dolphins 7

Jan 15

Tennessee Titans 19

Indianapolis Colts 16

Jan 16

Conference Championship

Tennessee Titans 33

Jacksonville Jaguars 14

Jan 23

NFC

Wild Card Round

Washington Redskins 27

Detroit Lions 13

Jan 8

Minnesota Vikings 27

Dallas Cowboys 10

Jan 9

Divisional Round

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14

Washington Redskins 13

Jan 15

St. Louis Rams 49

Minnesota Vikings 37

Jan 16

Conference Championship

St. Louis Rams 11

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6

Jan 23

Super Bowl

St. Louis Rams 23

Tennessee Titans 16

Jan 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1672	14	11.92	+2.08	95.23%	5	9	11	12	13	14	16
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1672	13	11.14	+1.86	91.82%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1656	11	9.10	+1.90	89.96%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1647	10	9.78	+0.22	64.58%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC Central	1630	13	9.62	+3.38	98.74%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1622	13	9.02	+3.98	99.39%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1616	11	8.72	+2.28	92.88%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1590	8	8.02	-0.02	60.03%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1563	8	7.37	+0.63	72.69%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1562	10	8.96	+1.04	79.56%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1555	9	8.57	+0.43	68.50%	0	5	7	9	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1544	9	9.03	-0.03	59.92%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1543	6	8.09	-2.09	20.54%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1543	8	8.89	-0.89	41.96%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1539	8	9.53	-1.53	29.33%	0	6	8	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1509	9	9.09	-0.09	58.67%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1506	8	8.30	-0.30	54.24%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1503	8	7.95	+0.05	62.23%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1486	8	7.95	+0.05	62.09%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1471	8	8.04	-0.04	59.64%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1451	8	6.62	+1.38	85.03%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1434	7	7.31	-0.31	54.64%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1430	6	8.15	-2.15	18.27%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1428	5	7.44	-2.44	15.80%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1416	6	6.33	-0.33	54.69%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1406	5	4.69	+0.31	68.74%	0	2	3	5	6	8	12
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1372	6	6.71	-0.71	46.64%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1335	4	7.51	-3.51	5.99%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1324	3	6.06	-3.06	7.37%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1313	4	5.13	-1.13	36.98%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC Central	1160	2	2.96	-0.96	40.42%	0	1	2	3	4	5	10

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Jaguars	Steelers	Titans
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	2-1 (1.6 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	1-2 (1.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	1-2 (0.5 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	3-0 (1.5 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-
New York Jets	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-1 (1.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	-
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.81%	0.60%	2.82%	1.41%	1.21%	0.20%	0.40%	7.46%
7–13	0.60%	4.03%	4.64%	3.63%	2.42%	1.81%	0.40%	17.54%
14–20	2.82%	4.64%	6.85%	7.66%	2.62%	1.61%	0.40%	26.61%
21–27	1.41%	3.63%	7.66%	6.45%	2.62%	0.81%	0.60%	23.19%
28–34	1.21%	2.42%	2.62%	2.62%	4.44%	1.41%	0.40%	15.12%
35–41	0.20%	1.81%	1.61%	0.81%	1.41%	1.61%	0.20%	7.66%
42+	0.40%	0.40%	0.40%	0.60%	0.40%	0.20%	—	2.42%
Total	7.46%	17.54%	26.61%	23.19%	15.12%	7.66%	2.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	20.81	+0.00
SD	10.20	10.20	14.50
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	50	50	+45
Min	0	0	-45

Games Played: 248

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.31	23.88	-8.56
SD	8.75	11.25	13.57
CV	0.57	0.47	—
Max	34	49	+11
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	50.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.81	23.75	-5.94
SD	10.91	8.71	15.64
CV	0.61	0.37	—
Max	37	41	+23
Min	7	12	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	17.31	+2.94
SD	12.50	10.12	16.66
CV	0.62	0.58	—
Max	41	35	+32
Min	3	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	14.31	+5.69
SD	7.70	8.97	12.78
CV	0.39	0.63	—
Max	34	31	+26
Min	7	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.31	23.81	+2.50
SD	11.05	9.93	16.25
CV	0.42	0.42	—
Max	45	38	+32
Min	9	3	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.00	21.31	-4.31
SD	6.68	10.76	10.89
CV	0.39	0.50	—
Max	28	48	+18
Min	3	6	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	—	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	28.75	-11.06
SD	14.42	7.59	15.06
CV	0.82	0.26	—
Max	44	41	+16
Min	0	17	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.56	27.31	-13.75
SD	8.19	9.62	12.84
CV	0.60	0.35	—
Max	28	44	+5
Min	0	15	-43

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	50.00%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.00	17.25	+4.75
SD	10.28	10.20	12.01
CV	0.47	0.59	—
Max	41	35	+28
Min	6	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.62	19.88	-0.25
SD	8.94	8.13	10.31
CV	0.46	0.41	—
Max	36	38	+21
Min	6	7	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.12	20.19	-0.06
SD	7.35	7.19	10.81
CV	0.37	0.36	—
Max	33	31	+17
Min	7	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	—	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.31	21.31	+1.00
SD	11.13	8.68	15.35
CV	0.50	0.41	—
Max	49	33	+28
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.44	20.81	+5.62
SD	9.33	8.68	11.52
CV	0.35	0.42	—
Max	44	34	+27
Min	6	6	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.75	13.56	+11.19
SD	10.07	10.69	14.67
CV	0.41	0.79	—
Max	41	41	+38
Min	6	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.38	20.12	+4.25
SD	9.84	10.48	13.34
CV	0.40	0.52	—
Max	38	41	+34
Min	10	0	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.38	21.00	-0.62
SD	11.27	10.39	11.03
CV	0.55	0.49	—
Max	38	38	+17
Min	0	0	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	50.00%	43.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.94	20.94	+4.00
SD	6.71	4.88	8.22
CV	0.27	0.23	—
Max	40	31	+24
Min	17	14	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	17.75	+0.94
SD	7.72	9.35	10.25
CV	0.41	0.53	—
Max	31	31	+24
Min	7	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.25	27.12	-10.88
SD	6.88	11.25	14.84
CV	0.42	0.41	—
Max	31	45	+18
Min	3	6	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	22.38	-3.69
SD	8.65	11.59	13.72
CV	0.46	0.52	—
Max	41	50	+28
Min	3	3	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.25	19.31	-0.06
SD	9.46	9.41	8.28
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	38	41	+10
Min	3	7	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.38	20.56	+3.81
SD	9.59	9.49	12.99
CV	0.39	0.46	—
Max	45	38	+45
Min	9	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.00	22.31	-5.31
SD	9.97	8.89	12.50
CV	0.59	0.40	—
Max	38	44	+15
Min	0	9	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	20.00	-0.19
SD	10.73	12.30	16.09
CV	0.54	0.61	—
Max	43	47	+43
Min	3	0	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.81	19.75	-2.94
SD	8.78	10.37	15.65
CV	0.52	0.53	—
Max	34	35	+27
Min	0	6	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.44	28.31	-9.88
SD	10.09	11.36	15.09
CV	0.55	0.40	—
Max	30	44	+19
Min	3	7	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	50.00%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.12	18.62	+2.50
SD	9.06	7.47	10.81
CV	0.43	0.40	—
Max	37	36	+20
Min	3	7	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	56.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	32.88	15.12	+17.75
SD	6.40	9.39	12.41
CV	0.19	0.62	—
Max	43	38	+31
Min	21	3	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	18.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.88	14.69	+2.19
SD	8.66	10.52	15.72
CV	0.51	0.72	—
Max	31	45	+19
Min	0	3	-45

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	—	18.75%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	20.25	+4.25
SD	11.40	9.55	12.65
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	47	41	+27
Min	0	9	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.69	23.56	+4.12
SD	10.15	11.48	14.94
CV	0.37	0.49	—
Max	50	41	+29
Min	17	3	-18

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.53	+0.3
Allowed	0.56	-0.4
Differential	0.80	+0.2

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Indianapolis Colts	13	9.02	+3.98
2	Tennessee Titans	13	9.62	+3.38
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	11	8.72	+2.28
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	14	11.92	+2.08
5	Buffalo Bills	11	9.10	+1.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Francisco 49ers	4	7.51	-3.51
2	New Orleans Saints	3	6.06	-3.06
3	Atlanta Falcons	5	7.44	-2.44
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	8.15	-2.15
5	Denver Broncos	6	8.09	-2.09

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Indianapolis Colts	11	Oct 17 – Dec 26	1 in 268
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	Nov 7 – Dec 12	1 in 43
3	Arizona Cardinals	4	Nov 14 – Dec 5	1 in 28
4	New York Jets	4	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 23
5	Washington Redskins	4	Sep 19 – Oct 17	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	Nov 14 – Dec 18	1 in 469
2	San Francisco 49ers	8	Oct 10 – Dec 5	1 in 285
3	New Orleans Saints	7	Sep 19 – Nov 7	1 in 219
4	Seattle Seahawks	4	Nov 28 – Dec 19	1 in 80
5	Denver Broncos	4	Sep 13 – Oct 3	1 in 26

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Jacksonville Jaguars	74.03%	19.07%	5.42%	1.34%	0.13%	<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	17.17%	43.10%	24.35%	12.49%	2.67%	0.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.91%	19.83%	33.71%	31.35%	9.15%	1.06%
Baltimore Ravens	3.78%	16.65%	30.84%	35.77%	11.36%	1.59%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.11%	1.30%	5.24%	16.33%	58.04%	18.99%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.04%	0.43%	2.72%	18.65%	78.15%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Miami Dolphins	26.40%	22.11%	19.84%	17.41%	14.23%
Buffalo Bills	25.17%	22.59%	19.84%	17.50%	14.90%
Indianapolis Colts	22.84%	22.21%	20.87%	18.76%	15.32%
New England Patriots	13.29%	17.32%	20.19%	23.09%	26.11%
New York Jets	12.30%	15.76%	19.25%	23.24%	29.45%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Seattle Seahawks	36.19%	25.56%	18.72%	12.57%	6.97%
Kansas City Chiefs	26.60%	24.54%	21.02%	16.60%	11.25%
Denver Broncos	20.15%	22.56%	22.68%	20.14%	14.47%
Oakland Raiders	11.86%	17.39%	21.50%	25.20%	24.05%
San Diego Chargers	5.20%	9.96%	16.09%	25.50%	43.26%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Minnesota Vikings	41.32%	26.05%	17.56%	10.68%	4.39%
Green Bay Packers	22.63%	25.09%	23.19%	18.98%	10.11%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20.94%	23.85%	23.73%	20.21%	11.27%
Detroit Lions	12.49%	18.84%	23.62%	26.98%	18.06%
Chicago Bears	2.63%	6.16%	11.90%	23.14%	56.17%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	47.87%	28.94%	14.92%	6.64%	1.63%
Washington Redskins	33.28%	32.60%	20.44%	10.74%	2.94%
New York Giants	11.25%	20.79%	30.26%	26.25%	11.45%
Arizona Cardinals	6.84%	14.77%	25.61%	34.59%	18.19%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.77%	2.91%	8.77%	21.78%	65.78%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
St. Louis Rams	74.64%	16.75%	5.96%	2.12%	0.53%
Carolina Panthers	9.04%	28.89%	26.84%	21.76%	13.48%
Atlanta Falcons	7.53%	23.15%	25.60%	24.70%	19.02%
San Francisco 49ers	7.36%	22.35%	25.52%	25.24%	19.53%
New Orleans Saints	1.43%	8.87%	16.08%	26.17%	47.44%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	52.30%	18.98%	10.24%	6.45%	4.26%	2.71%	1.83%	1.27%	0.82%	0.49%	0.31%	0.19%	0.09%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	9.78%	9.81%	10.78%	12.02%	11.16%	9.74%	7.64%	7.22%	6.15%	4.37%	4.02%	3.32%	1.97%	1.18%	0.68%	0.16%
Seattle Seahawks	5.06%	9.71%	11.58%	9.29%	9.00%	9.16%	7.87%	7.26%	7.06%	5.75%	5.22%	4.54%	3.84%	3.05%	1.49%	0.12%
Miami Dolphins	6.01%	10.62%	9.59%	9.15%	8.40%	8.07%	7.82%	7.00%	6.55%	6.82%	5.53%	4.81%	4.76%	3.17%	1.62%	0.09%
Buffalo Bills	5.76%	10.51%	9.35%	9.37%	8.65%	7.97%	8.09%	7.01%	6.39%	6.71%	5.56%	4.95%	4.88%	3.09%	1.62%	0.11%
Indianapolis Colts	5.00%	9.43%	8.82%	8.84%	8.78%	8.06%	8.17%	7.67%	7.04%	6.89%	6.17%	5.23%	4.89%	3.32%	1.57%	0.12%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.55%	7.19%	8.67%	8.06%	8.05%	8.39%	7.88%	7.66%	7.36%	7.20%	6.44%	6.17%	5.54%	4.70%	2.89%	0.24%
Denver Broncos	2.18%	4.86%	6.38%	6.55%	7.13%	7.94%	7.69%	7.81%	8.08%	7.88%	7.99%	7.65%	7.02%	6.02%	4.49%	0.36%
New England Patriots	2.56%	5.28%	5.89%	6.50%	7.12%	7.01%	8.06%	7.68%	7.53%	8.50%	7.85%	7.66%	8.16%	6.19%	3.68%	0.33%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.24%	3.06%	4.26%	6.18%	6.85%	7.45%	8.36%	9.39%	9.72%	8.84%	9.22%	9.26%	6.36%	4.70%	3.28%	0.83%
New York Jets	2.57%	4.53%	5.11%	5.89%	6.30%	6.40%	7.34%	7.32%	7.39%	8.60%	8.27%	8.15%	9.03%	7.70%	4.97%	0.44%
Baltimore Ravens	1.75%	2.55%	3.74%	5.12%	6.13%	6.85%	7.78%	8.84%	9.41%	9.11%	9.99%	10.06%	7.40%	5.83%	4.11%	1.32%
Oakland Raiders	0.99%	2.55%	3.74%	4.27%	5.02%	6.02%	6.33%	7.15%	7.88%	8.29%	9.01%	9.59%	9.88%	9.83%	8.50%	0.95%
San Diego Chargers	0.24%	0.86%	1.74%	2.03%	2.72%	3.62%	4.10%	5.07%	6.29%	7.20%	9.02%	10.39%	12.80%	15.57%	15.88%	2.47%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.06%	0.12%	0.28%	0.42%	0.60%	1.00%	1.57%	2.20%	3.12%	4.88%	7.01%	11.18%	19.87%	30.21%	17.46%
Cleveland Browns	-	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.14%	0.25%	0.51%	1.02%	2.21%	5.72%	15.01%	75.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
St. Louis Rams	38.54%	22.10%	13.69%	7.76%	5.77%	3.97%	2.64%	1.95%	1.36%	0.92%	0.61%	0.36%	0.19%	0.11%	0.02%
Minnesota Vikings	15.51%	15.63%	13.14%	11.62%	9.17%	7.55%	6.76%	5.46%	4.30%	3.64%	2.81%	1.87%	1.40%	0.82%	0.29%
Dallas Cowboys	11.85%	14.47%	14.95%	11.05%	10.06%	9.09%	6.69%	5.66%	4.93%	3.52%	2.79%	2.28%	1.36%	0.84%	0.45%
Washington Redskins	6.92%	10.15%	11.79%	10.55%	10.58%	9.93%	8.17%	7.46%	6.53%	5.17%	4.40%	3.60%	2.37%	1.50%	0.88%
Green Bay Packers	7.29%	9.16%	9.50%	10.67%	9.22%	8.74%	9.02%	7.53%	6.62%	6.59%	5.08%	4.07%	3.45%	2.16%	0.91%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.29%	8.19%	9.04%	9.91%	9.13%	8.72%	8.99%	7.83%	7.06%	6.97%	5.71%	4.48%	3.76%	2.52%	1.40%
Detroit Lions	3.80%	4.86%	5.85%	7.71%	7.49%	7.71%	8.94%	8.54%	8.12%	9.02%	7.99%	6.75%	6.27%	4.58%	2.38%
Carolina Panthers	2.70%	3.77%	5.11%	6.99%	8.65%	9.27%	8.87%	9.34%	9.03%	8.37%	7.88%	7.05%	5.73%	4.65%	2.60%
San Francisco 49ers	2.18%	2.97%	3.82%	5.56%	6.86%	7.50%	7.96%	8.68%	8.80%	8.66%	9.00%	8.60%	7.74%	7.21%	4.46%
Atlanta Falcons	2.17%	2.84%	3.75%	5.59%	6.70%	7.55%	8.01%	8.88%	8.76%	8.66%	9.07%	8.58%	7.75%	7.19%	4.50%
New York Giants	1.43%	2.79%	4.14%	5.07%	6.23%	7.14%	7.56%	8.74%	10.06%	9.11%	9.15%	9.56%	7.75%	6.14%	5.13%
Arizona Cardinals	0.65%	1.56%	2.65%	3.34%	4.26%	5.25%	6.00%	7.41%	8.61%	8.96%	10.08%	12.07%	10.80%	9.37%	9.00%
Chicago Bears	0.43%	0.91%	1.42%	2.15%	2.70%	3.31%	4.70%	5.23%	6.31%	8.33%	9.81%	11.24%	15.80%	15.97%	11.68%
New Orleans Saints	0.22%	0.47%	0.90%	1.65%	2.50%	3.30%	4.30%	5.37%	6.47%	8.05%	9.85%	11.05%	13.78%	17.62%	14.46%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.04%	0.12%	0.24%	0.38%	0.67%	0.96%	1.39%	1.92%	3.04%	4.03%	5.78%	8.44%	11.84%	19.30%	41.85%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.05%	19.10%	10.92%	8.24%	5.59%	4.45%	3.19%	2.82%	2.21%	1.77%	1.26%	1.16%	0.93%	0.74%	0.54%	0.47%	0.36%	0.34%	0.22%	0.16%	0.13%	0.11%	0.08%	0.05%	0.04%	0.02%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-
St. Louis Rams	18.64%	17.91%	11.10%	10.88%	6.55%	7.32%	4.13%	4.35%	2.85%	3.17%	2.01%	2.26%	1.36%	1.46%	1.02%	1.11%	0.73%	0.73%	0.48%	0.51%	0.32%	0.35%	0.21%	0.18%	0.13%	0.09%	0.07%	0.05%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	6.11%	8.00%	7.49%	7.79%	6.39%	6.68%	5.73%	5.72%	4.55%	4.81%	4.03%	3.87%	3.29%	3.28%	2.81%	2.98%	2.37%	2.18%	1.93%	1.91%	1.61%	1.49%	1.18%	1.00%	0.80%	0.70%	0.55%	0.43%	0.21%	0.13%	0.02%
Dallas Cowboys	4.68%	6.39%	6.62%	7.15%	6.42%	7.25%	5.33%	5.70%	4.73%	5.46%	4.27%	4.50%	3.16%	3.75%	3.17%	3.26%	2.18%	2.50%	2.04%	2.36%	1.61%	1.52%	1.28%	1.33%	0.92%	0.79%	0.59%	0.48%	0.29%	0.22%	0.03%
Tennessee Titans	5.58%	5.26%	5.81%	5.42%	6.34%	5.33%	6.11%	5.87%	5.61%	5.06%	4.71%	4.60%	4.18%	3.85%	3.42%	3.11%	3.03%	2.77%	2.29%	1.94%	1.94%	1.75%	1.52%	1.25%	0.96%	0.78%	0.62%	0.40%	0.30%	0.14%	0.07%
Washington Redskins	2.45%	3.91%	4.41%	5.18%	5.02%	5.88%	4.89%	5.32%	4.64%	5.63%	4.54%	4.82%	3.68%	4.55%	3.84%	4.22%	3.05%	3.23%	2.85%	3.10%	2.44%	2.41%	1.98%	2.07%	1.54%	1.43%	1.00%	0.85%	0.58%	0.43%	0.05%
Seattle Seahawks	2.68%	3.55%	4.99%	4.90%	5.63%	5.42%	5.05%	4.83%	4.94%	4.27%	4.88%	4.44%	4.26%	3.60%	3.99%	3.33%	4.03%	3.18%	3.03%	2.47%	2.79%	2.37%	2.51%	1.87%	1.95%	1.52%	1.45%	0.99%	0.70%	0.32%	0.08%
Miami Dolphins	3.13%	3.96%	5.52%	4.95%	5.37%	4.60%	5.05%	4.45%	4.89%	3.91%	4.51%	3.91%	4.58%	3.68%	3.75%	2.94%	3.93%	3.33%	3.56%	2.58%	2.79%	2.53%	2.63%	1.98%	2.14%	1.66%	1.52%	0.99%	0.78%	0.32%	0.06%
Buffalo Bills	2.97%	3.93%	5.37%	5.03%	5.18%	4.70%	5.12%	4.65%	4.93%	3.92%	4.50%	3.96%	4.76%	3.58%	3.82%	2.86%	3.76%	3.25%	3.61%	2.54%	2.98%	2.31%	2.66%	2.05%	2.27%	1.65%	1.45%	0.97%	0.80%	0.36%	0.08%
Green Bay Packers	2.48%	3.96%	4.25%	4.67%	4.54%	4.92%	5.00%	4.87%	4.48%	4.83%	4.35%	4.40%	4.17%	4.28%	3.99%	4.12%	3.47%	3.26%	3.20%	3.29%	2.74%	2.78%	2.20%	2.28%	1.82%	1.82%	1.35%	1.21%	0.69%	0.49%	0.07%
Indianapolis Colts	2.60%	3.41%	4.96%	4.61%	5.04%	4.35%	5.02%	4.42%	4.89%	4.02%	4.45%	4.00%	4.76%	3.86%	4.01%	3.28%	4.08%	3.56%	3.63%	2.75%	3.06%	2.66%	2.75%	2.24%	2.24%	1.72%	1.52%	0.96%	0.77%	0.30%	0.08%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.10%	3.40%	3.64%	4.25%	4.20%	4.70%	4.37%	5.01%	4.15%	4.88%	4.21%	4.55%	4.01%	4.37%	3.89%	4.33%	3.48%	3.62%	3.31%	3.61%	3.00%	3.09%	2.54%	2.52%	2.00%	2.08%	1.56%	1.42%	0.94%	0.66%	0.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.88%	2.43%	3.82%	3.61%	4.43%	4.08%	4.44%	4.09%	4.52%	3.74%	4.73%	3.96%	4.39%	3.64%	4.26%	3.37%	4.22%	3.56%	3.76%	3.08%	3.70%	2.97%	3.20%	2.67%	2.79%	2.37%	2.20%	1.74%	1.46%	0.74%	0.16%
New England Patriots	1.19%	1.75%	2.68%	2.82%	3.33%	2.93%	3.72%	3.50%	4.07%	3.36%	3.99%	3.74%	4.74%	3.85%	3.99%	3.41%	4.42%	4.12%	4.63%	3.55%	4.05%	3.70%	4.21%	3.34%	3.68%	3.15%	2.88%	2.20%	1.82%	0.95%	0.23%
Denver Broncos	1.01%	1.50%	2.60%	2.52%	3.38%	2.99%	3.64%	3.21%	4.08%	3.46%	4.45%	3.66%	4.37%	3.49%	4.41%	3.60%	4.63%	3.73%	4.34%	3.63%	4.45%	3.64%	4.10%	3.30%	3.70%	3.05%	3.06%	2.38%	2.19%	1.18%	0.25%
Detroit Lions	1.05%	1.92%	2.21%	2.55%	2.72%	3.09%	3.41%	3.62%	3.50%	3.91%	3.83%	3.84%	3.93%	4.27%	3.95%	4.73%	3.94%	4.05%	3.99%	4.75%	3.84%	4.24%	3.58%	3.79%	3.34%	3.48%	2.55%	2.61%	1.70%	1.34%	0.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.01%	1.31%	1.74%	1.89%	2.50%	2.41%	3.33%	3.40%	3.81%	3.45%	3.96%	4.12%	4.74%	4.38%	4.54%	4.40%	5.00%	4.87%	4.45%	4.23%	4.60%	4.36%	4.27%	3.79%	3.20%	2.88%	2.51%	1.87%	1.70%	0.83%	0.44%
Carolina Panthers	0.90%	1.35%	1.72%	1.94%	2.35%	2.71%	2.79%	3.66%	3.36%	4.52%	3.75%	4.90%	3.61%	4.96%	4.04%	5.18%	3.77%	4.78%	3.91%	4.90%	3.76%	4.36%	3.63%	3.98%	3.22%	3.23%	2.60%	2.65%	1.77%	1.36%	0.33%
New York Jets	1.17%	1.58%	2.31%	2.31%	2.87%	2.62%	3.47%	2.94%	3.70%	2.84%	3.82%	3.31%	4.41%	3.36%	4.05%	3.34%	4.45%	3.99%	4.78%	3.55%	4.50%	3.90%	4.50%	3.74%	4.35%	3.61%	3.63%	2.81%	2.41%	1.39%	0.30%
Baltimore Ravens	0.85%	1.04%	1.50%	1.54%	2.22%	2.06%	2.88%	2.83%	3.46%	3.21%	3.51%	3.85%	4.38%	4.14%	4.23%	4.34%	4.81%	5.01%	4.72%	4.39%	4.88%	4.72%	4.71%	4.14%	3.90%	3.27%	3.13%	2.26%	2.17%	1.12%	0.74%
San Francisco 49ers	0.70%	1.06%	1.32%	1.48%	1.86%	1.90%	2.48%	2.63%	2.79%	3.52%	3.23%	3.66%	3.40%	4.12%	3.89%	4.76%	3.75%	4.35%	3.99%	4.99%	4.17%	4.72%	4.09%	4.78%	4.10%	4.50%	3.64%	4.12%	2.89%	2.60%	0.52%
Atlanta Falcons	0.62%	1.00%	1.29%	1.46%	1.76%	1.93%	2.29%	2.56%	2.72%	3.54%	3.21%	3.74%	3.20%	4.20%	3.96%	4.80%	3.67%	4.47%	4.09%	4.95%	4.09%	4.73%	4.22%	4.87%	4.09%	4.54%	3.83%	4.21%	2.95%	2.53%	0.51%
New York Giants	0.35%	0.72%	1.11%	1.36%	1.67%	2.07%	2.11%	2.40%	2.60%	3.21%	3.01%	3.47%	3.08%	4.15%	3.91%	4.55%	3.71%	4.79%	4.43%	5.33%	4.18%	4.93%	4.36%	5.39%	4.28%	4.67%	3.94%	3.73%	2.94%	2.94%	0.63%
Oakland Raiders	0.43%	0.68%	1.18%	1.40%	1.83%	1.96%	2.23%	2.27%	2.77%	2.48%	3.34%	3.05%	3.46%	3.14%	4.06%	3.45%	4.54%	3.84%	4.48%	3.90%	5.10%	4.41%	5.11%	4.26%	5.39%	4.55%	4.97%	4.17%	4.21%	2.63%	0.71%
Arizona Cardinals	0.14%	0.35%	0.52%	0.83%	0.95%	1.29%	1.32%	1.64%	1.75%	2.31%	2.08%	2.38%	2.45%	3.20%	3.24%	3.74%	3.29%	3.92%	4.15%	5.14%	4.47%	5.03%	4.98%	6.53%	5.36%	6.24%	5.46%	5.86%	4.82%	5.18%	1.35%
San Diego Chargers	0.09%	0.17%	0.40%	0.48%	0.80%	0.96%	1.17%	1.12%	1.46%	1.46%	1.97%	1.92%	2.30%	2.17%	2.97%	2.70%	3.60%	3.42%	3.92%	3.69%	5.06%	4.88%	5.68%	5.27%	6.71%	6.34%	8.00%	6.73%	7.90%	4.79%	1.86%
Chicago Bears	0.07%	0.22%	0.33%	0.44%	0.55%	0.73%	0.86%	1.04%	1.12%	1.43%	1.55%	1.62%	1.84%	2.26%	2.40%	2.91%	2.85%	3.11%	3.45%	4.28%	4.38%	5.02%	5.08%	5.92%	6.61%	7.90%	7.45%	8.91%	6.66%	7.03%	1.94%
New Orleans Saints	0.04%	0.12%	0.14%	0.23%	0.36%	0.48%	0.60%	0.74%	0.89%	1.30%	1.20%	1.52%	1.51%	2.28%	2.19%	2.90%	2.50%	3.23%	3.30%	4.40%	4.05%	5.02%	4.96%	6.25%	6.10%	7.49%	7.41%	9.83%	8.11%	8.34%	2.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.07%	0.07%	0.14%	0.15%	0.23%	0.22%	0.34%	0.39%	0.58%	0.61%	0.86%	0.88%	1.31%	1.40%	1.82%	1.82%	2.87%	2.86%	3.99%	4.14%	6.19%	6.74%	10.33%	10.41%	15.71%	12.90%	12.90%
Philadelphia Eagles	<0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.06%	0.08%	0.10%	0.12%	0.17%	0.26%	0.31%	0.31%	0.40%	0.47%	0.73%	0.79%	0.90%	1.00%	1.34%	1.56%	2.04%	2.16%	2.82%	3.23%	4.35%	4.98%	6.15%	7.55%	10.90%	13.13%	23.85%	10.21%
Cleveland Browns	-	-	-	<0.01%	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.03%	0.08%	0.07%	0.11%	0.18%	0.26%	0.33%	0.55%	0.67%	1.18%	1.57%	3.17%	3.88%	9.38%	14.93%	63.51%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Jacksonville Jaguars	52.30%	16.45%	5.29%	12.38%	5.49%	2.92%	5.18%
Tennessee Titans	9.78%	5.26%	2.13%	21.33%	14.02%	10.40%	37.08%
Miami Dolphins	6.01%	12.02%	8.37%	8.00%	8.71%	8.47%	48.41%
Buffalo Bills	5.76%	11.72%	7.69%	8.56%	9.10%	8.48%	48.69%
Seattle Seahawks	5.06%	11.20%	19.93%	4.13%	6.41%	7.91%	45.37%
Indianapolis Colts	5.00%	10.56%	7.28%	7.91%	9.33%	8.54%	51.39%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.55%	8.28%	14.77%	4.20%	6.27%	7.46%	55.48%
New York Jets	2.57%	5.31%	4.42%	5.16%	6.32%	6.73%	69.49%
New England Patriots	2.56%	6.08%	4.66%	5.92%	7.39%	7.43%	65.97%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.24%	1.75%	0.92%	8.47%	8.12%	8.06%	70.45%
Denver Broncos	2.18%	5.78%	12.20%	3.22%	5.39%	6.95%	64.28%
Baltimore Ravens	1.75%	1.33%	0.69%	7.35%	7.14%	7.47%	74.27%
Oakland Raiders	0.99%	3.11%	7.76%	2.10%	3.82%	5.31%	76.91%
San Diego Chargers	0.24%	1.12%	3.84%	1.00%	2.04%	3.23%	88.52%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.02%	0.04%	0.05%	0.27%	0.46%	0.63%	98.54%
Cleveland Browns	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	99.98%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
St. Louis Rams	38.54%	22.61%	13.49%	7.45%	5.84%	3.89%	8.18%
Minnesota Vikings	15.51%	15.30%	10.50%	13.46%	9.81%	7.93%	27.48%
Dallas Cowboys	11.85%	15.28%	20.74%	7.43%	8.34%	8.26%	28.10%
Green Bay Packers	7.29%	8.64%	6.70%	12.72%	9.83%	9.22%	45.60%
Washington Redskins	6.92%	10.71%	15.65%	8.20%	9.45%	9.33%	39.74%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.29%	7.89%	6.77%	11.26%	9.78%	9.11%	48.91%
Detroit Lions	3.80%	4.62%	4.06%	8.70%	7.96%	8.11%	62.74%
Carolina Panthers	2.70%	3.28%	3.06%	8.33%	9.46%	9.53%	63.66%
San Francisco 49ers	2.18%	2.67%	2.50%	6.35%	7.34%	7.70%	71.25%
Atlanta Falcons	2.17%	2.73%	2.64%	6.21%	7.10%	7.63%	71.53%
New York Giants	1.43%	3.01%	6.81%	3.63%	5.46%	6.71%	72.95%
Arizona Cardinals	0.65%	1.73%	4.46%	2.36%	3.72%	4.95%	82.14%
Chicago Bears	0.43%	0.92%	1.28%	2.06%	2.73%	3.41%	89.17%
New Orleans Saints	0.22%	0.45%	0.76%	1.60%	2.61%	3.35%	91.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.04%	0.15%	0.58%	0.25%	0.56%	0.88%	97.54%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+19.35%

Fortress

59.68%40.32%

Elo Value

Home Edge

26 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

068.1080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.06 points

Lean Home

-8+2.64+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.6

Wide Open

124812

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

St. Louis Rams, 2nd of 31

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

19.6%

Favored

012.50%30%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.49 · As Expected: 1.49 to 2.04 · Elevated: 2.04 to 2.79 · High Variance: 2.79 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.98 · Close: 4.98 to 6.73 · Off Target: 6.73 to 8.78 · Well Off Target: 8.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 31 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 31 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.55 · As Expected: 1.55 to 3.72 · Several Outliers: 3.72 to 6.82 · Many Outliers: 6.82 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.26 · As Expected: 3.26 to 5.43 · More Than Expected: 5.43 to 8.68 · Far More Than Expected: 8.68 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.71 wins

As Expected

01.865

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.77

Pinpoint

05.8515

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.39%

99.39%

Indianapolis Colts

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.61%

5.99%

San Francisco 49ers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 31

As Expected

03.115

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

04.312

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.90

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

70%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

26%

Some Drama

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.85

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.23

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

As Expected

0%35%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.46

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.048

Well Within Noise

00.0960.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Jacksonville Jaguars	86.56%	86.56%	57.42%	37.16%	20.71%
St. Louis Rams	83.61%	83.61%	58.68%	37.74%	20.69%
Minnesota Vikings	59.54%	59.54%	36.50%	20.25%	10.68%
Buffalo Bills	38.59%	38.59%	22.86%	12.00%	6.63%
Tennessee Titans	47.87%	43.51%	21.88%	11.71%	6.31%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	37.34%	37.34%	19.99%	10.02%	4.92%
Indianapolis Colts	34.39%	34.39%	18.61%	9.05%	4.78%
Dallas Cowboys	52.05%	52.05%	23.11%	9.32%	3.78%
Washington Redskins	42.64%	41.90%	19.22%	8.18%	3.59%
Green Bay Packers	38.48%	36.57%	16.03%	6.57%	2.62%
Seattle Seahawks	38.38%	35.38%	15.01%	5.87%	2.50%
Kansas City Chiefs	32.69%	28.24%	12.20%	4.92%	2.19%
New York Jets	22.63%	19.58%	9.37%	4.13%	2.06%
Miami Dolphins	33.55%	31.99%	12.73%	4.46%	1.75%
Denver Broncos	27.76%	21.25%	8.67%	3.26%	1.41%
Oakland Raiders	19.00%	13.70%	5.90%	2.39%	1.08%
New England Patriots	25.39%	18.70%	7.09%	2.40%	0.92%
Detroit Lions	28.83%	20.52%	7.12%	2.36%	0.80%
Carolina Panthers	30.37%	18.22%	6.29%	2.18%	0.78%
Baltimore Ravens	22.65%	11.56%	3.83%	1.38%	0.51%
Atlanta Falcons	23.58%	12.58%	3.64%	1.01%	0.29%
New York Giants	22.61%	12.71%	3.69%	1.03%	0.29%
Pittsburgh Steelers	25.57%	11.38%	3.01%	0.85%	0.25%
San Diego Chargers	10.12%	4.90%	1.38%	0.41%	0.13%
Chicago Bears	9.48%	4.50%	1.29%	0.36%	0.10%
San Francisco 49ers	23.89%	10.25%	2.11%	0.47%	0.09%
Arizona Cardinals	15.48%	6.92%	1.66%	0.35%	0.08%
New Orleans Saints	8.32%	2.36%	0.43%	0.08%	0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.28%	0.92%	0.24%	0.07%	0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.40%	0.29%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.02%	<0.01%	-	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		25.9%2.24%	81.2%0.03%		40.6%1.75%	31.6%2.38%	23.9%1.50%	37.9%2.00%	46.9%2.43%	50.0%1.58%	36.0%1.49%	34.5%1.17%	59.1%0.81%	56.2%0.58%	39.1%2.47%	29.2%2.22%
Buffalo Bills	74.1%2.24%		87.1%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	65.0%2.40%	55.0%2.62%	44.6%3.00%	61.9%2.84%	69.4%2.79%	70.9%1.88%	60.6%1.66%	62.9%1.61%	79.9%2.74%	74.6%0.86%	63.6%3.20%	52.7%5.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	18.8%0.03%	12.9%0.14%			11.2%0.11%	11.1%0.13%	11.0%0.07%	17.1%0.17%	24.2%0.15%	27.2%0.10%	20.0%0.09%	11.8%0.09%	32.4%0.03%	35.5%0.03%	17.4%0.18%	3.8%0.08%
Cleveland Browns		0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	59.4%1.75%	35.0%2.40%	88.8%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%		40.6%2.36%	28.5%1.79%	47.2%2.72%	55.5%2.33%	59.0%1.80%	47.9%1.59%	46.9%1.38%	69.1%1.83%	63.8%0.75%	48.3%3.55%	39.4%3.42%
Indianapolis Colts	68.4%2.38%	45.0%2.62%	88.9%0.13%	100.0%<0.01%	59.4%2.36%		37.9%2.95%	58.0%2.70%	64.5%2.57%	65.2%1.79%	57.3%1.51%	56.9%1.55%	76.2%2.69%	72.8%0.86%	56.9%3.17%	48.0%5.76%
Jacksonville Jaguars	76.1%1.50%	55.4%3.00%	89.0%0.07%		71.5%1.79%	62.1%2.95%		69.1%1.91%	75.0%2.81%	73.3%2.24%	64.7%2.05%	67.3%1.10%	83.0%1.73%	79.6%0.61%	69.2%2.14%	59.6%2.18%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.1%2.00%	38.1%2.84%	82.9%0.17%	66.7%<0.01%	52.8%2.72%	42.0%2.70%	30.9%1.91%		58.8%2.77%	59.5%2.12%	48.7%1.96%	50.1%1.81%	69.2%2.21%	66.6%0.86%	50.6%4.44%	40.3%4.16%
Miami Dolphins	53.1%2.43%	30.6%2.79%	75.8%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	44.5%2.33%	35.5%2.57%	25.0%2.81%	41.2%2.77%		52.4%1.93%	40.1%1.69%	42.6%1.60%	62.4%2.66%	55.6%0.85%	43.6%3.28%	34.5%5.68%
New England Patriots	50.0%1.58%	29.1%1.88%	72.8%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	41.0%1.80%	34.8%1.79%	26.7%2.24%	40.5%2.12%	47.6%1.93%		37.4%1.07%	41.3%1.32%	61.1%1.98%	56.4%0.67%	39.7%2.59%	31.4%4.32%
New York Jets	64.0%1.49%	39.4%1.66%	80.0%0.09%		52.1%1.59%	42.7%1.51%	35.3%2.05%	51.3%1.96%	59.9%1.69%	62.6%1.07%		53.1%1.07%	71.3%1.73%	65.3%0.58%	53.3%2.44%	44.7%3.71%
Oakland Raiders	65.5%1.17%	37.1%1.61%	88.2%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	53.1%1.38%	43.1%1.55%	32.7%1.10%	49.9%1.81%	57.4%1.60%	58.7%1.32%	46.9%1.07%		71.8%1.26%	65.6%0.41%	50.8%2.38%	40.5%2.24%
Pittsburgh Steelers	40.9%0.81%	20.1%2.74%	67.6%0.03%		30.9%1.83%	23.8%2.69%	17.0%1.73%	30.8%2.21%	37.6%2.66%	38.9%1.98%	28.7%1.73%	28.2%1.26%		43.8%0.68%	30.1%2.69%	22.9%2.52%
San Diego Chargers	43.8%0.58%	25.4%0.86%	64.5%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	36.2%0.75%	27.2%0.86%	20.4%0.61%	33.4%0.86%	44.4%0.85%	43.6%0.67%	34.7%0.58%	34.4%0.41%	56.2%0.68%		34.8%1.24%	26.8%1.14%
Seattle Seahawks	60.9%2.47%	36.4%3.20%	82.6%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	51.7%3.55%	43.1%3.17%	30.8%2.14%	49.4%4.44%	56.4%3.28%	60.3%2.59%	46.7%2.44%	49.2%2.38%	69.9%2.69%	65.2%1.24%		39.8%4.59%
Tennessee Titans	70.8%2.22%	47.3%5.84%	96.2%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	60.6%3.42%	52.0%5.76%	40.4%2.18%	59.7%4.16%	65.5%5.68%	68.6%4.32%	55.3%3.71%	59.5%2.24%	77.1%2.52%	73.2%1.14%	60.2%4.59%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		43.8%0.83%	35.8%1.18%	46.0%0.39%	26.4%2.16%	36.9%1.10%	22.9%1.57%	16.0%1.77%	59.1%0.37%	43.2%0.73%	46.4%0.06%	58.3%0.91%	13.0%1.15%	20.0%1.52%	23.7%1.76%
Atlanta Falcons	56.2%0.83%		43.6%1.00%	54.7%0.59%	29.7%3.03%	42.0%2.04%	33.1%2.84%	19.3%3.26%	67.8%0.23%	46.1%1.36%	55.1%0.13%	65.3%0.76%	17.8%2.18%	23.2%2.56%	29.2%2.77%
Carolina Panthers	64.2%1.18%	56.4%1.00%		59.9%0.81%	37.2%3.70%	51.2%2.54%	40.2%3.58%	26.7%4.26%	76.9%0.29%	55.7%1.77%	58.2%0.15%	69.4%1.07%	23.8%2.81%	31.5%3.72%	37.4%3.49%
Chicago Bears	54.0%0.39%	45.3%0.59%	40.1%0.81%		27.7%1.27%	40.9%0.49%	29.5%0.73%	19.0%1.00%	59.0%0.18%	48.5%0.58%	57.4%0.05%	59.9%0.64%	14.7%0.91%	21.9%0.69%	26.7%1.16%
Dallas Cowboys	73.6%2.16%	70.3%3.03%	62.8%3.70%	72.3%1.27%		63.3%3.56%	51.9%4.79%	36.5%4.73%	80.4%1.12%	67.3%3.10%	73.5%0.32%	79.3%3.10%	30.7%2.72%	41.7%4.63%	46.6%6.55%
Detroit Lions	63.1%1.10%	58.0%2.04%	48.8%2.54%	59.1%0.49%	36.7%3.56%		38.5%2.63%	25.4%3.12%	71.0%0.67%	57.9%1.79%	52.7%0.17%	68.6%1.98%	22.1%2.89%	31.4%2.37%	35.6%3.48%
Green Bay Packers	77.1%1.57%	66.9%2.84%	59.8%3.58%	70.5%0.73%	48.1%4.79%	61.5%2.63%		35.8%4.12%	79.9%0.94%	66.7%2.45%	71.8%0.24%	78.4%2.82%	30.2%3.46%	40.1%3.56%	47.2%4.74%
Minnesota Vikings	84.0%1.77%	80.7%3.26%	73.3%4.26%	81.0%1.00%	63.5%4.73%	74.6%3.12%	64.2%4.12%		88.4%1.17%	79.0%2.55%	84.3%0.24%	86.3%3.15%	42.8%3.40%	55.7%4.14%	62.1%4.81%
New Orleans Saints	40.9%0.37%	32.2%0.23%	23.1%0.29%	41.0%0.18%	19.6%1.12%	29.0%0.67%	20.1%0.94%	11.6%1.17%		31.4%0.41%	29.8%0.05%	46.2%0.21%	10.2%0.84%	13.1%0.84%	15.2%1.00%
New York Giants	56.8%0.73%	53.9%1.36%	44.3%1.77%	51.5%0.58%	32.7%3.10%	42.1%1.79%	33.3%2.45%	21.0%2.55%	68.6%0.41%		51.7%0.09%	67.0%1.40%	17.1%1.73%	26.6%2.20%	31.5%2.46%
Philadelphia Eagles	53.6%0.06%	44.9%0.13%	41.8%0.15%	42.6%0.05%	26.5%0.32%	47.3%0.17%	28.2%0.24%	15.7%0.24%	70.2%0.05%	48.3%0.09%		57.2%0.15%	12.7%0.20%	24.4%0.21%	25.3%0.24%
San Francisco 49ers	41.7%0.91%	34.7%0.76%	30.6%1.07%	40.1%0.64%	20.7%3.10%	31.4%1.98%	21.6%2.82%	13.7%3.15%	53.8%0.21%	33.0%1.40%	42.8%0.15%		10.8%2.15%	16.5%2.73%	19.3%2.82%
St. Louis Rams	87.0%1.15%	82.2%2.18%	76.2%2.81%	85.3%0.91%	69.3%2.72%	77.9%2.89%	69.8%3.46%	57.2%3.40%	89.8%0.84%	82.9%1.73%	87.3%0.20%	89.2%2.15%		60.0%3.30%	67.7%2.92%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	80.0%1.52%	76.8%2.56%	68.5%3.72%	78.1%0.69%	58.3%4.63%	68.6%2.37%	59.9%3.56%	44.3%4.14%	86.9%0.84%	73.4%2.20%	75.6%0.21%	83.5%2.73%	40.0%3.30%		56.3%4.43%
Washington Redskins	76.3%1.76%	70.8%2.77%	62.6%3.49%	73.3%1.16%	53.4%6.55%	64.4%3.48%	52.8%4.74%	37.9%4.81%	84.8%1.00%	68.5%2.46%	74.7%0.24%	80.7%2.82%	32.3%2.92%	43.7%4.43%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		27.3%0.93%	100.0%<0.01%		42.6%0.49%	29.9%0.85%	25.8%4.67%	38.0%0.63%	43.1%0.86%	49.6%0.37%	36.2%0.45%	38.0%0.30%	56.8%0.19%	53.0%0.10%	42.5%0.86%	35.9%0.87%
Buffalo Bills	72.7%0.93%		95.2%0.02%		65.7%2.99%	54.6%3.02%	43.7%9.42%	65.0%4.11%	68.8%3.03%	70.1%1.48%	60.6%1.54%	64.3%1.77%	77.4%0.88%	77.9%0.72%	64.9%4.96%	56.8%3.73%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.0%<0.01%	4.8%0.02%			20.0%0.01%	18.2%0.02%	11.8%0.12%	11.1%0.02%	25.0%0.02%	30.0%0.01%	20.0%0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	17.6%0.02%	11.1%0.02%
Denver Broncos	57.4%0.49%	34.3%2.99%	80.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		36.5%2.68%	28.6%5.12%	47.2%0.86%	54.5%2.42%	54.0%1.28%	43.9%1.33%	48.5%0.36%	68.9%0.52%	67.3%0.10%	47.7%1.20%	38.8%1.88%
Indianapolis Colts	70.1%0.85%	45.4%3.02%	81.8%0.02%		63.5%2.68%		38.4%8.40%	59.3%3.33%	66.4%2.47%	65.6%1.31%	53.9%1.38%	58.9%1.77%	77.2%0.82%	73.3%0.54%	60.0%4.63%	51.3%3.16%
Jacksonville Jaguars	74.2%4.67%	56.3%9.42%	88.2%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	71.4%5.12%	61.6%8.40%		68.6%6.59%	73.1%6.72%	74.5%4.64%	65.7%5.13%	68.5%3.60%	80.4%4.43%	80.7%1.32%	69.8%7.57%	58.8%18.83%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.0%0.63%	35.0%4.11%	88.9%0.02%		52.8%0.86%	40.7%3.33%	31.4%6.59%		54.9%3.44%	55.9%1.72%	46.6%1.95%	49.7%0.48%	67.6%0.63%	65.3%0.14%	51.7%1.69%	40.8%2.65%
Miami Dolphins	56.9%0.86%	31.2%3.03%	75.0%0.02%		45.5%2.42%	33.6%2.47%	26.9%6.72%	45.1%3.44%		54.5%1.20%	42.2%1.31%	45.8%1.59%	62.0%0.83%	64.6%0.59%	46.8%4.50%	35.0%2.99%
New England Patriots	50.4%0.37%	29.9%1.48%	70.0%0.01%		46.0%1.28%	34.4%1.31%	25.5%4.64%	44.1%1.72%	45.5%1.20%		42.0%0.68%	41.3%0.89%	60.4%0.44%	58.2%0.32%	45.4%2.54%	36.8%1.81%
New York Jets	63.8%0.45%	39.4%1.54%	80.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	56.1%1.33%	46.1%1.38%	34.3%5.13%	53.4%1.95%	57.8%1.31%	58.0%0.68%		52.6%0.84%	69.9%0.48%	65.8%0.31%	56.0%2.35%	45.8%1.80%
Oakland Raiders	62.0%0.30%	35.7%1.77%	83.3%<0.01%		51.5%0.36%	41.1%1.77%	31.5%3.60%	50.3%0.48%	54.2%1.59%	58.7%0.89%	47.4%0.84%		66.1%0.31%	67.4%0.05%	50.4%0.65%	40.8%1.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.2%0.19%	22.6%0.88%	100.0%<0.01%		31.1%0.52%	22.8%0.82%	19.6%4.43%	32.4%0.63%	38.0%0.83%	39.6%0.44%	30.1%0.48%	33.9%0.31%		47.4%0.12%	33.6%0.83%	26.0%0.90%
San Diego Chargers	47.0%0.10%	22.1%0.72%	100.0%<0.01%		32.7%0.10%	26.7%0.54%	19.3%1.32%	34.7%0.14%	35.4%0.59%	41.8%0.32%	34.2%0.31%	32.6%0.05%	52.6%0.12%		34.8%0.20%	25.3%0.39%
Seattle Seahawks	57.5%0.86%	35.1%4.96%	82.4%0.02%		52.3%1.20%	40.0%4.63%	30.2%7.57%	48.3%1.69%	53.2%4.50%	54.6%2.54%	44.0%2.35%	49.6%0.65%	66.4%0.83%	65.2%0.20%		40.4%3.39%
Tennessee Titans	64.1%0.87%	43.2%3.73%	88.9%0.02%		61.2%1.88%	48.7%3.16%	41.2%18.83%	59.2%2.65%	65.0%2.99%	63.2%1.81%	54.2%1.80%	59.2%1.09%	74.0%0.90%	74.7%0.39%	59.6%3.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		44.7%0.17%	36.8%0.29%	40.7%0.08%	29.8%0.65%	38.1%0.36%	30.1%0.61%	17.0%1.30%	53.7%0.04%	47.3%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	50.8%0.18%	14.5%2.08%	20.1%0.66%	27.8%0.41%
Atlanta Falcons	55.3%0.17%		43.4%0.35%	53.7%0.12%	34.6%1.66%	44.4%0.53%	33.8%1.03%	22.2%1.79%	63.9%0.04%	50.1%0.38%	55.6%0.03%	61.7%0.18%	19.2%4.05%	25.0%0.91%	31.9%1.34%
Carolina Panthers	63.2%0.29%	56.6%0.35%		53.4%0.15%	41.3%2.54%	51.7%0.69%	40.0%1.43%	27.4%2.74%	68.8%0.05%	53.3%0.49%	39.3%0.03%	71.8%0.30%	23.7%6.01%	31.9%1.42%	40.1%1.73%
Chicago Bears	59.3%0.08%	46.3%0.12%	46.6%0.15%		32.7%0.74%	46.8%0.16%	34.6%0.29%	19.7%0.61%	50.0%0.02%	45.9%0.16%	33.3%<0.01%	62.9%0.10%	15.4%1.29%	25.3%0.29%	32.7%0.49%
Dallas Cowboys	70.2%0.65%	65.4%1.66%	58.7%2.54%	67.3%0.74%		60.0%3.14%	49.9%5.68%	35.7%9.91%	76.9%0.29%	64.2%1.30%	74.7%0.09%	75.1%1.44%	31.0%13.02%	40.6%6.16%	47.4%5.43%
Detroit Lions	61.9%0.36%	55.6%0.53%	48.3%0.69%	53.2%0.16%	40.0%3.14%		40.9%1.69%	27.1%3.58%	74.7%0.10%	58.0%0.68%	67.6%0.04%	62.6%0.46%	21.6%5.30%	32.6%1.60%	37.4%2.18%
Green Bay Packers	69.9%0.61%	66.2%1.03%	60.0%1.43%	65.4%0.29%	50.1%5.68%	59.1%1.69%		34.9%6.71%	76.5%0.23%	66.9%1.29%	68.6%0.09%	74.7%0.75%	28.8%9.23%	40.5%3.23%	47.7%4.33%
Minnesota Vikings	83.0%1.30%	77.8%1.79%	72.6%2.74%	80.3%0.61%	64.3%9.91%	72.9%3.58%	65.1%6.71%		87.0%0.38%	78.3%2.33%	79.4%0.20%	85.3%1.48%	42.4%13.72%	56.2%6.70%	62.4%8.09%
New Orleans Saints	46.3%0.04%	36.1%0.04%	31.2%0.05%	50.0%0.02%	23.1%0.29%	25.3%0.10%	23.5%0.23%	13.0%0.38%		23.4%0.06%	33.3%<0.01%	41.4%0.03%	10.6%0.69%	16.2%0.17%	20.8%0.27%
New York Giants	52.7%0.09%	49.9%0.38%	46.7%0.49%	54.1%0.16%	35.8%1.30%	42.0%0.68%	33.1%1.29%	21.7%2.33%	76.6%0.06%		50.0%<0.01%	60.4%0.27%	18.4%3.62%	25.1%1.14%	32.2%0.87%
Philadelphia Eagles	50.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.03%	60.7%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	25.3%0.09%	32.4%0.04%	31.4%0.09%	20.6%0.20%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		66.7%0.03%	18.9%0.29%	14.1%0.08%	28.9%0.04%
San Francisco 49ers	49.2%0.18%	38.3%0.18%	28.2%0.30%	37.1%0.10%	24.9%1.44%	37.4%0.46%	25.3%0.75%	14.7%1.48%	58.6%0.03%	39.6%0.27%	33.3%0.03%		12.0%3.11%	16.5%0.89%	22.9%1.02%
St. Louis Rams	85.5%2.08%	80.8%4.05%	76.3%6.01%	84.6%1.29%	69.0%13.02%	78.4%5.30%	71.2%9.23%	57.6%13.72%	89.4%0.69%	81.6%3.62%	81.1%0.29%	88.0%3.11%		61.8%9.79%	67.9%11.40%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	79.9%0.66%	75.0%0.91%	68.1%1.42%	74.7%0.29%	59.4%6.16%	67.4%1.60%	59.5%3.23%	43.8%6.70%	83.8%0.17%	74.9%1.14%	85.9%0.08%	83.5%0.89%	38.2%9.79%		57.0%4.29%
Washington Redskins	72.2%0.41%	68.1%1.34%	59.9%1.73%	67.3%0.49%	52.6%5.43%	62.6%2.18%	52.3%4.33%	37.6%8.09%	79.2%0.27%	67.8%0.87%	71.1%0.04%	77.1%1.02%	32.1%11.40%	43.0%4.29%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		29.0%0.52%	0.0%<0.01%	46.9%0.19%	37.8%0.43%	25.9%0.97%	35.6%0.25%	47.2%0.29%	55.0%0.14%	37.8%0.20%	47.1%0.14%	65.2%0.05%	54.3%0.03%	43.3%0.33%	32.5%0.29%
Buffalo Bills	71.0%0.52%		100.0%<0.01%	64.8%0.94%	53.1%1.56%	43.7%10.32%	60.6%1.27%	66.7%1.09%	66.7%0.55%	57.5%0.77%	60.2%0.59%	77.8%0.43%	76.8%0.15%	61.7%1.46%	51.9%3.21%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	53.1%0.19%	35.2%0.94%	66.7%<0.01%		40.0%0.71%	29.5%3.69%	50.6%0.24%	55.1%0.40%	49.0%0.24%	42.4%0.32%	48.2%0.14%	68.5%0.16%	70.4%0.03%	52.9%0.36%	38.1%1.21%
Indianapolis Colts	62.2%0.43%	46.9%1.56%	85.7%<0.01%	60.0%0.71%		40.0%8.28%	59.0%0.98%	64.4%0.78%	62.3%0.46%	54.0%0.58%	58.9%0.48%	75.7%0.34%	68.3%0.10%	58.2%1.24%	48.7%2.66%
Jacksonville Jaguars	74.1%0.97%	56.3%10.32%	100.0%<0.01%	70.5%3.69%	60.0%8.28%		67.9%5.29%	72.0%5.84%	73.6%3.14%	64.4%4.00%	67.9%2.43%	78.7%0.75%	77.9%0.57%	68.9%6.68%	56.4%5.45%
Kansas City Chiefs	64.4%0.25%	39.4%1.27%	33.3%<0.01%	49.4%0.24%	41.0%0.98%	32.1%5.29%		53.8%0.63%	58.8%0.34%	44.0%0.51%	50.0%0.21%	70.5%0.20%	65.8%0.04%	50.9%0.52%	43.1%1.71%
Miami Dolphins	52.8%0.29%	33.3%1.09%	50.0%<0.01%	44.9%0.40%	35.6%0.78%	28.0%5.84%	46.2%0.63%		50.2%0.26%	42.4%0.40%	46.2%0.29%	61.2%0.22%	63.6%0.06%	42.8%0.75%	37.0%1.72%
New England Patriots	45.0%0.14%	33.3%0.55%	66.7%<0.01%	51.0%0.24%	37.7%0.46%	26.4%3.14%	41.2%0.34%	49.8%0.26%		38.0%0.21%	40.4%0.18%	56.0%0.10%	48.8%0.04%	42.2%0.44%	34.4%0.99%
New York Jets	62.2%0.20%	42.5%0.77%	66.7%<0.01%	57.6%0.32%	46.0%0.58%	35.6%4.00%	56.0%0.51%	57.6%0.40%	62.0%0.21%		53.4%0.25%	64.5%0.15%	64.3%0.07%	53.5%0.57%	43.4%1.33%
Oakland Raiders	52.9%0.14%	39.8%0.59%	100.0%<0.01%	51.8%0.14%	41.1%0.48%	32.1%2.43%	50.0%0.21%	53.8%0.29%	59.6%0.18%	46.6%0.25%		69.9%0.11%	79.2%0.02%	50.5%0.28%	39.7%0.79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	34.8%0.05%	22.2%0.43%		31.5%0.16%	24.3%0.34%	21.3%0.75%	29.5%0.20%	38.8%0.22%	44.0%0.10%	35.5%0.15%	30.1%0.11%		35.7%0.03%	37.4%0.24%	29.2%0.23%
San Diego Chargers	45.7%0.03%	23.2%0.15%		29.6%0.03%	31.7%0.10%	22.1%0.57%	34.2%0.04%	36.4%0.06%	51.2%0.04%	35.7%0.07%	20.8%0.02%	64.3%0.03%		36.5%0.05%	35.5%0.19%
Seattle Seahawks	56.7%0.33%	38.3%1.46%	100.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.36%	41.8%1.24%	31.1%6.68%	49.1%0.52%	57.2%0.75%	57.8%0.44%	46.5%0.57%	49.5%0.28%	62.6%0.24%	63.5%0.05%		39.9%2.10%
Tennessee Titans	67.5%0.29%	48.1%3.21%	100.0%<0.01%	61.9%1.21%	51.3%2.66%	43.6%5.45%	56.9%1.71%	63.0%1.72%	65.6%0.99%	56.6%1.33%	60.3%0.79%	70.8%0.23%	64.5%0.19%	60.1%2.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		41.9%0.03%	32.7%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	27.1%0.11%	30.9%0.06%	29.2%0.14%	16.1%0.35%	50.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%		44.4%0.02%	16.7%0.64%	22.8%0.18%	16.9%0.08%
Atlanta Falcons	58.1%0.03%		41.0%0.06%	36.4%0.03%	31.7%0.41%	44.7%0.13%	32.4%0.41%	23.7%0.84%	50.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	19.1%0.85%	28.5%0.43%	33.7%0.35%
Carolina Panthers	67.3%0.05%	59.0%0.06%		55.9%0.06%	41.7%0.77%	54.9%0.26%	39.6%0.58%	26.8%1.45%	60.0%<0.01%	57.0%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	71.8%0.04%	25.8%1.52%	34.6%0.74%	38.7%0.64%
Chicago Bears	50.0%<0.01%	63.6%0.03%	44.1%0.06%		42.4%0.15%	28.6%0.02%	38.0%0.07%	24.6%0.19%	33.3%<0.01%	44.8%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	58.8%0.02%	16.1%0.51%	26.3%0.10%	36.8%0.10%
Dallas Cowboys	72.9%0.11%	68.3%0.41%	58.3%0.77%	57.6%0.15%		57.8%0.89%	51.0%1.85%	36.6%4.80%	82.0%0.05%	62.8%0.26%	69.2%0.01%	73.4%0.26%	32.3%9.65%	41.6%2.42%	46.2%1.48%
Detroit Lions	69.1%0.06%	55.3%0.13%	45.1%0.26%	71.4%0.02%	42.2%0.89%		38.9%0.40%	26.5%0.99%	68.4%0.02%	53.1%0.14%	55.6%<0.01%	59.6%0.09%	25.4%2.98%	33.8%0.46%	39.7%0.66%
Green Bay Packers	70.8%0.14%	67.6%0.41%	60.4%0.58%	62.0%0.07%	49.0%1.85%	61.1%0.40%		38.1%2.34%	77.5%0.04%	60.7%0.30%	61.9%0.02%	70.9%0.18%	31.4%6.89%	40.4%1.21%	47.1%1.59%
Minnesota Vikings	83.9%0.35%	76.3%0.84%	73.2%1.45%	75.4%0.19%	63.4%4.80%	73.5%0.99%	61.9%2.34%		88.4%0.10%	76.5%0.73%	77.4%0.06%	85.1%0.48%	45.0%17.07%	53.9%3.10%	60.9%4.00%
New Orleans Saints	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	18.0%0.05%	31.6%0.02%	22.5%0.04%	11.6%0.10%		36.4%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	16.2%0.12%	22.2%0.04%	22.0%0.04%
New York Giants	40.0%0.01%	61.5%0.07%	43.0%0.12%	55.2%0.03%	37.2%0.26%	46.9%0.14%	39.3%0.30%	23.5%0.73%	63.6%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	62.8%0.04%	17.5%1.44%	31.8%0.34%	39.1%0.18%
Philadelphia Eagles		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%	22.6%0.06%		50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	20.9%0.09%	29.6%0.03%	38.5%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	55.6%0.02%	53.8%0.01%	28.2%0.04%	41.2%0.02%	26.6%0.26%	40.4%0.09%	29.1%0.18%	14.9%0.48%	100.0%<0.01%	37.2%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%		16.4%0.49%	19.9%0.26%	24.9%0.21%
St. Louis Rams	83.3%0.64%	80.9%0.85%	74.2%1.52%	83.9%0.51%	67.7%9.65%	74.6%2.98%	68.6%6.89%	55.0%17.07%	83.8%0.12%	82.5%1.44%	79.1%0.09%	83.6%0.49%		59.8%8.61%	66.1%7.81%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	77.2%0.18%	71.5%0.43%	65.4%0.74%	73.7%0.10%	58.4%2.42%	66.2%0.46%	59.6%1.21%	46.1%3.10%	77.8%0.04%	68.2%0.34%	70.4%0.03%	80.1%0.26%	40.2%8.61%		57.7%2.06%
Washington Redskins	83.1%0.08%	66.3%0.35%	61.3%0.64%	63.2%0.10%	53.8%1.48%	60.3%0.66%	52.9%1.59%	39.1%4.00%	78.0%0.04%	60.9%0.18%	61.5%0.01%	75.1%0.21%	33.9%7.81%	42.3%2.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	75.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.02%	39.3%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	50.7%0.13%	42.1%0.04%	38.5%0.10%	28.9%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	58.3%0.02%		62.5%<0.01%	32.0%0.46%	38.5%0.16%	45.2%0.12%
Buffalo Bills	87.5%0.04%	75.7%0.11%	67.4%0.24%	85.3%0.03%	63.5%1.18%	72.4%0.29%	64.2%0.83%	50.0%2.41%	66.7%<0.01%	77.7%0.13%	60.0%<0.01%	78.7%0.06%	49.3%4.54%	56.5%1.18%	59.8%0.93%
Cincinnati Bengals								50.0%<0.01%					12.5%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	66.7%0.02%	69.7%0.03%	55.4%0.07%	72.2%0.02%	51.9%0.28%	52.9%0.09%	52.1%0.22%	38.7%0.65%	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	81.2%0.02%	38.1%1.23%	39.6%0.33%	44.8%0.27%
Indianapolis Colts	88.6%0.03%	66.7%0.09%	68.5%0.22%	81.1%0.04%	59.6%0.83%	64.6%0.21%	61.8%0.60%	49.0%1.81%	57.1%<0.01%	75.0%0.10%	80.0%<0.01%	82.9%0.04%	46.2%3.44%	54.2%0.91%	58.2%0.72%
Jacksonville Jaguars	84.3%0.11%	78.8%0.36%	68.2%0.80%	76.1%0.14%	63.2%3.42%	68.1%0.83%	64.2%2.39%	53.0%7.56%	65.7%0.03%	74.2%0.39%	80.6%0.03%	81.5%0.18%	49.7%14.06%	54.8%3.76%	60.7%3.08%
Kansas City Chiefs	61.5%0.01%	50.9%0.06%	60.9%0.11%	66.7%0.01%	52.7%0.46%	66.7%0.11%	47.7%0.35%	40.0%0.94%	66.7%<0.01%	60.8%0.05%	75.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.02%	40.2%1.91%	44.0%0.46%	48.4%0.40%
Miami Dolphins	50.0%0.02%	60.8%0.05%	47.6%0.10%	53.3%0.01%	50.6%0.40%	58.3%0.12%	48.7%0.27%	31.8%0.92%	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	84.2%0.02%	34.1%1.66%	36.9%0.46%	45.9%0.37%
New England Patriots	75.0%<0.01%	68.2%0.02%	65.4%0.05%	70.0%0.01%	46.6%0.21%	53.8%0.07%	47.4%0.14%	33.9%0.50%	100.0%<0.01%	45.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	92.3%0.01%	32.4%0.90%	36.2%0.24%	42.2%0.22%
New York Jets	88.9%0.02%	69.6%0.05%	60.2%0.09%	90.0%0.01%	56.7%0.36%	72.2%0.10%	59.7%0.29%	44.4%0.88%	100.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	71.4%0.01%	43.4%1.50%	50.5%0.43%	57.8%0.36%
Oakland Raiders	50.0%0.01%	65.2%0.02%	64.6%0.07%	88.9%<0.01%	51.4%0.22%	58.4%0.08%	58.5%0.14%	38.3%0.46%	100.0%<0.01%	73.1%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%	39.9%0.92%	44.3%0.23%	50.8%0.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.07%	46.7%0.01%	45.9%0.06%	23.5%0.17%		60.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	25.0%0.35%	33.7%0.09%	20.0%0.07%
San Diego Chargers	0.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.04%	85.7%<0.01%	53.8%0.03%	29.9%0.08%		0.0%<0.01%			24.8%0.15%	25.5%0.05%	37.8%0.04%
Seattle Seahawks	77.3%0.02%	51.0%0.05%	52.8%0.13%	50.0%0.02%	53.1%0.56%	61.0%0.15%	51.9%0.36%	38.2%1.22%	66.7%<0.01%	75.5%0.05%	33.3%<0.01%	84.8%0.03%	36.1%2.21%	43.7%0.57%	45.3%0.48%
Tennessee Titans	71.1%0.04%	75.9%0.13%	67.3%0.26%	61.5%0.04%	62.3%1.13%	70.0%0.26%	64.6%0.77%	50.8%2.38%	85.7%<0.01%	77.8%0.12%	77.8%<0.01%	82.2%0.04%	46.6%4.41%	53.2%1.17%	60.2%0.93%
Arizona Cardinals																25.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.04%		33.3%0.02%	11.4%0.03%	15.7%0.11%	38.5%0.01%	50.0%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	11.1%0.02%	50.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	22.7%0.02%	28.9%0.04%
Atlanta Falcons																52.9%0.02%	24.3%0.11%		30.3%0.03%	33.3%0.09%	21.2%0.36%	49.1%0.06%	39.2%0.05%	31.8%0.02%	30.4%0.05%	34.8%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	49.0%0.05%	24.1%0.13%
Carolina Panthers																60.7%0.03%	32.6%0.24%		44.6%0.07%	31.5%0.22%	31.8%0.80%	39.1%0.11%	52.4%0.10%	34.6%0.05%	39.8%0.09%	35.4%0.07%	33.3%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%	47.2%0.13%	32.7%0.26%
Chicago Bears																50.0%<0.01%	14.7%0.03%		27.8%0.02%	18.9%0.04%	23.9%0.14%	33.3%0.01%	46.7%0.01%	30.0%0.01%	10.0%0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	38.5%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys																49.3%0.13%	36.5%1.18%		48.1%0.28%	40.4%0.83%	36.8%3.42%	47.3%0.46%	49.4%0.40%	53.4%0.21%	43.3%0.36%	48.6%0.22%	60.0%0.07%	66.7%0.04%	46.9%0.56%	37.7%1.13%
Detroit Lions																57.9%0.04%	27.6%0.29%		47.1%0.09%	35.4%0.21%	31.9%0.83%	33.3%0.11%	41.7%0.12%	46.2%0.07%	27.8%0.10%	41.6%0.08%	53.3%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	39.0%0.15%	30.0%0.26%
Green Bay Packers																61.5%0.10%	35.8%0.83%		47.9%0.22%	38.2%0.60%	35.8%2.39%	52.3%0.35%	51.3%0.27%	52.6%0.14%	40.3%0.29%	41.5%0.14%	54.1%0.06%	46.2%0.03%	48.1%0.36%	35.4%0.77%
Minnesota Vikings																71.1%0.27%	50.0%2.41%	50.0%<0.01%	61.3%0.65%	51.0%1.81%	47.0%7.56%	60.0%0.94%	68.2%0.92%	66.1%0.50%	55.6%0.88%	61.7%0.46%	76.5%0.17%	70.1%0.08%	61.8%1.22%	49.2%2.38%
New Orleans Saints																0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	34.3%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%
New York Giants																41.7%0.02%	22.3%0.13%		33.3%0.04%	25.0%0.10%	25.8%0.39%	39.2%0.05%	40.0%0.04%	55.0%0.02%	37.5%0.03%	26.9%0.03%	40.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	24.5%0.05%	22.2%0.12%
Philadelphia Eagles																	40.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																37.5%<0.01%	21.3%0.06%		18.8%0.02%	17.1%0.04%	18.5%0.18%	33.3%0.02%	15.8%0.02%	7.7%0.01%	28.6%0.01%	30.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		15.2%0.03%	17.8%0.04%
St. Louis Rams																68.0%0.46%	50.7%4.54%	87.5%<0.01%	61.9%1.23%	53.8%3.44%	50.3%14.06%	59.8%1.91%	65.9%1.66%	67.6%0.90%	56.6%1.50%	60.1%0.92%	75.0%0.35%	75.2%0.15%	63.9%2.21%	53.4%4.41%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																61.5%0.16%	43.5%1.18%		60.4%0.33%	45.8%0.91%	45.2%3.76%	56.0%0.46%	63.1%0.46%	63.7%0.24%	49.5%0.43%	55.7%0.23%	66.3%0.09%	74.5%0.05%	56.3%0.57%	46.8%1.17%
Washington Redskins																54.8%0.12%	40.2%0.93%		55.2%0.27%	41.8%0.72%	39.3%3.08%	51.6%0.40%	54.1%0.37%	57.8%0.22%	42.2%0.36%	49.2%0.20%	80.0%0.07%	62.2%0.04%	54.7%0.48%	39.8%0.93%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
St. Louis Rams	100.00%	68.22%	45.48%	23.41%	Won Super Bowl
Jacksonville Jaguars	100.00%	65.91%	43.47%	23.14%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Indianapolis Colts	100.00%	62.41%	25.51%	12.02%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	100.00%	62.67%	25.59%	11.79%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Minnesota Vikings	73.34%	30.09%	14.88%	7.86%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Buffalo Bills	44.19%	19.69%	10.40%	5.96%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tennessee Titans	55.81%	22.29%	10.83%	5.84%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Washington Redskins	71.61%	25.00%	9.34%	3.98%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks	64.29%	20.97%	7.24%	3.07%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Dallas Cowboys	26.66%	8.07%	3.10%	1.35%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	35.71%	8.73%	2.55%	1.03%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Detroit Lions	28.38%	5.94%	1.60%	0.55%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Miami Dolphins	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills				44.2%100.00%
Miami Dolphins			35.7%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks		64.3%100.00%
Tennessee Titans	55.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys			26.7%100.00%
Detroit Lions				28.4%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings	73.3%100.00%
Washington Redskins		71.6%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills		49.0%15.79%	42.1%28.40%
Indianapolis Colts	51.0%15.79%				67.4%64.29%	55.4%19.92%
Jacksonville Jaguars	57.9%28.40%			75.6%35.71%		62.6%35.88%
Miami Dolphins			24.4%35.71%
Seattle Seahawks		32.6%64.29%
Tennessee Titans		44.6%19.92%	37.4%35.88%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys				28.2%19.10%	35.5%7.56%
Detroit Lions				20.9%28.38%
Minnesota Vikings				38.9%52.51%	46.3%20.83%
St. Louis Rams	71.8%19.10%	79.1%28.38%	61.1%52.51%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	64.5%7.56%		53.7%20.83%			65.1%71.61%
Washington Redskins					34.9%71.61%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills		50.5%8.11%	45.0%5.87%	76.5%1.87%	57.9%3.84%
Indianapolis Colts	49.5%8.11%		33.5%40.72%	67.5%4.68%		53.0%8.91%
Jacksonville Jaguars	55.0%5.87%	66.5%40.72%			72.1%12.63%	60.4%6.70%
Miami Dolphins	23.5%1.87%	32.5%4.68%				27.2%2.18%
Seattle Seahawks	42.1%3.84%		27.9%12.63%			46.7%4.50%
Tennessee Titans		47.0%8.91%	39.6%6.70%	72.8%2.18%	53.3%4.50%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys		68.8%0.58%		31.0%2.10%	36.6%3.41%	40.3%1.98%
Detroit Lions	31.2%0.58%		21.3%2.02%		29.5%3.34%
Minnesota Vikings		78.7%2.02%		41.1%7.63%	48.4%13.29%	52.1%7.15%
St. Louis Rams	69.0%2.10%		58.9%7.63%		66.7%42.62%	70.1%15.88%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	63.4%3.41%	70.5%3.34%	51.6%13.29%	33.3%42.62%
Washington Redskins	59.7%1.98%		47.9%7.15%	29.9%15.88%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills	65.7%0.31%	62.6%0.18%	55.4%1.55%	53.8%4.74%	60.3%2.69%	65.5%0.94%
Indianapolis Colts	52.4%0.79%	64.7%0.39%	42.6%3.81%	44.7%11.57%	50.0%6.49%	53.6%2.46%
Jacksonville Jaguars	57.6%1.35%	69.9%0.68%	49.5%6.51%	50.8%19.79%	56.3%11.08%	58.6%4.05%
Miami Dolphins	52.8%0.07%	37.2%0.04%	33.9%0.38%	38.1%1.16%	44.1%0.68%	47.0%0.22%
Seattle Seahawks	46.6%0.25%	54.5%0.10%	40.4%1.09%	39.5%3.26%	45.6%1.90%	47.5%0.65%
Tennessee Titans	60.8%0.33%	65.7%0.20%	48.6%1.55%	51.9%4.98%	55.6%2.75%	62.8%1.02%
Dallas Cowboys							34.3%0.31%	47.6%0.79%	42.4%1.35%	47.2%0.07%	53.4%0.25%	39.2%0.33%
Detroit Lions							37.4%0.18%	35.3%0.39%	30.1%0.68%	62.8%0.04%	45.5%0.10%	34.3%0.20%
Minnesota Vikings							44.6%1.55%	57.4%3.81%	50.5%6.51%	66.1%0.38%	59.6%1.09%	51.4%1.55%
St. Louis Rams							46.2%4.74%	55.3%11.57%	49.2%19.79%	61.9%1.16%	60.5%3.26%	48.1%4.98%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							39.7%2.69%	50.0%6.49%	43.7%11.08%	55.9%0.68%	54.4%1.90%	44.4%2.75%
Washington Redskins							34.5%0.94%	46.4%2.46%	41.4%4.05%	53.0%0.22%	52.5%0.65%	37.2%1.02%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

St. Louis Rams 23.41% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

47.02%

Win Prob

61.08%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

62.46%

Win Prob

66.66%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

41.61%

Win Prob

49.22%

Jacksonville Jaguars 23.14% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

40.94%

Win Prob

75.56%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

62.33%

Win Prob

66.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

43.42%

Win Prob

50.78%

Indianapolis Colts 12.02% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

69.41%

Win Prob

67.39%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

53.41%

Win Prob

33.46%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

43.00%

Win Prob

44.68%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11.79% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

74.38%

Win Prob

65.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

55.53%

Win Prob

33.34%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

41.08%

Win Prob

43.70%

Minnesota Vikings 7.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.34%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

67.92%

Win Prob

38.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

43.18%

Win Prob

48.35%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

41.84%

Win Prob

50.54%

Buffalo Bills 5.96% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.19%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

60.67%

Win Prob

42.07%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

39.38%

Win Prob

50.52%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

42.75%

Win Prob

53.76%

Tennessee Titans 5.84% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

55.81%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

60.17%

Win Prob

37.37%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

38.71%

Win Prob

47.04%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

44.25%

Win Prob

51.94%

Washington Redskins 3.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

71.61%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.91%

→

Conference Championship

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

50.73%

Win Prob

29.86%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

42.15%

Win Prob

41.37%

Seattle Seahawks 3.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.29%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.61%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

48.67%

Win Prob

27.92%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

41.90%

Win Prob

39.46%

Dallas Cowboys 1.35% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.66%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

66.82%

Win Prob

28.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

40.30%

Win Prob

36.60%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

42.49%

Win Prob

42.42%

Miami Dolphins 1.03% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.71%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.44%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

59.59%

Win Prob

32.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

42.84%

Win Prob

38.10%

Detroit Lions 0.55% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

28.38%

→

Divisional Round

vs. St. Louis Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.94%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

61.66%

Win Prob

29.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

36.89%

Win Prob

30.09%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1999-09-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 25-24	1499.15	1412.16	52.60%	47.17%	+7.45	1-0
1999-09-19	@ Miami Dolphins	L 16-19	1506.60	1583.93	30.13%	69.67%	-8.25	1-1
1999-09-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-24	1498.35	1537.37	54.06%	45.71%	-31.96	1-2
1999-10-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-35	1466.39	1563.66	27.77%	72.04%	-23.24	1-3
1999-10-10	New York Giants	W 14-3	1443.15	1472.10	55.50%	44.28%	+23.21	2-3
1999-10-17	Washington Redskins	L 10-24	1466.36	1558.65	46.41%	53.36%	-27.45	2-4
1999-10-31	New England Patriots	L 3-27	1438.91	1542.36	44.82%	54.96%	-34.71	2-5
1999-11-07	@ New York Jets	L 7-12	1404.20	1494.34	28.61%	71.21%	-10.11	2-6
1999-11-14	Detroit Lions	W 23-19	1394.09	1569.78	34.90%	64.89%	+20.50	3-6
1999-11-21	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-9	1414.59	1562.20	38.65%	61.14%	+19.32	4-6
1999-11-28	@ New York Giants	W 34-24	1433.91	1470.34	35.30%	64.49%	+32.21	5-6
1999-12-05	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1466.12	1346.57	74.54%	25.28%	+8.00	6-6
1999-12-12	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-28	1474.12	1506.84	35.79%	64.00%	-28.30	6-7
1999-12-19	Buffalo Bills	L 21-31	1445.82	1588.93	39.27%	60.52%	-19.63	6-8
1999-12-26	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-37	1426.19	1381.36	46.55%	53.23%	-35.29	6-9
2000-01-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-49	1390.90	1523.84	23.86%	75.98%	-18.85	6-10
1999-09-12	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-17	1574.61	1593.31	56.95%	42.83%	-15.59	0-1
1999-09-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-24	1559.02	1535.28	43.54%	56.24%	-28.38	0-2
1999-09-26	@ St. Louis Rams	L 7-35	1530.64	1491.31	45.76%	54.02%	-38.28	0-3
1999-10-03	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-19	1492.36	1442.25	66.27%	33.53%	-25.64	0-4
1999-10-10	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-17	1466.72	1467.97	40.05%	59.74%	+16.35	1-4
1999-10-17	St. Louis Rams	L 13-41	1483.07	1590.31	44.28%	55.50%	-37.04	1-5
1999-10-25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-13	1446.03	1480.81	35.52%	64.28%	-11.24	1-6
1999-10-31	Carolina Panthers	W 27-20	1434.79	1450.25	57.41%	42.37%	+17.73	2-6
1999-11-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-30	1452.52	1654.04	31.60%	68.20%	-23.97	2-7
1999-11-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-19	1428.55	1544.73	25.65%	74.18%	-12.17	2-8
1999-11-28	@ Carolina Panthers	L 28-34	1416.38	1457.87	34.64%	65.16%	-13.41	2-9
1999-12-05	New Orleans Saints	W 35-12	1402.97	1370.78	63.93%	35.86%	+27.19	3-9
1999-12-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-26	1430.16	1342.04	52.77%	47.01%	-36.35	3-10
1999-12-19	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-30	1393.81	1546.54	21.85%	77.99%	-12.45	3-11
1999-12-26	Arizona Cardinals	W 37-14	1381.36	1426.19	53.23%	46.55%	+35.28	4-11
2000-01-03	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-29	1416.64	1345.85	68.88%	30.93%	+10.94	5-11
1999-09-12	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-27	1475.57	1464.05	41.82%	57.96%	-27.26	0-1
1999-09-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1448.31	1521.63	49.14%	50.64%	-13.45	0-2
1999-09-26	Cleveland Browns	W 17-10	1434.86	1236.30	82.18%	17.69%	+7.39	1-2
1999-10-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 19-13	1442.25	1492.36	33.53%	66.27%	+25.65	2-2
1999-10-10	@ Tennessee Titans	L 11-14	1467.90	1534.34	31.47%	68.34%	-8.62	2-3
1999-10-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 8-35	1459.28	1532.29	49.18%	50.60%	-40.39	2-4
1999-10-31	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1418.89	1527.30	44.12%	55.66%	-12.08	2-5
1999-11-07	@ Cleveland Browns	W 41-9	1406.81	1231.83	64.80%	34.99%	+31.30	3-5
1999-11-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-6	1438.11	1678.01	14.49%	85.39%	-3.97	3-6
1999-11-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-31	1434.14	1259.84	64.71%	35.08%	+9.61	4-6
1999-11-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 23-30	1443.75	1689.45	26.39%	73.43%	-11.04	4-7
1999-12-05	Tennessee Titans	W 41-14	1432.71	1580.72	38.60%	61.19%	+50.23	5-7
1999-12-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-24	1482.94	1462.91	43.02%	56.76%	+23.73	6-7
1999-12-19	New Orleans Saints	W 31-8	1506.67	1332.06	80.07%	19.78%	+15.00	7-7
1999-12-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 22-0	1521.67	1332.24	81.39%	18.46%	+13.69	8-7
2000-01-02	@ New England Patriots	L 3-20	1535.36	1473.77	48.95%	50.83%	-31.90	8-8
1999-09-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-31	1530.81	1446.68	52.19%	47.58%	-34.01	0-1
1999-09-19	New York Jets	W 17-3	1496.80	1572.09	48.85%	50.92%	+30.11	1-1
1999-09-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-0	1526.91	1377.77	77.63%	22.20%	+17.90	2-1
1999-10-04	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-18	1544.81	1592.18	33.88%	65.92%	+23.29	3-1
1999-10-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1568.10	1463.62	72.87%	26.95%	+7.38	4-1
1999-10-17	Oakland Raiders	L 14-20	1575.48	1485.99	71.13%	28.68%	-27.52	4-2
1999-10-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-26	1547.96	1540.05	41.32%	58.46%	-20.66	4-3
1999-10-31	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 13-10	1527.30	1418.89	55.66%	44.12%	+12.08	5-3
1999-11-07	@ Washington Redskins	W 34-17	1539.38	1577.44	35.09%	64.71%	+42.15	6-3
1999-11-14	Miami Dolphins	W 23-3	1581.53	1638.53	51.48%	48.29%	+34.13	7-3
1999-11-21	@ New York Jets	L 7-17	1615.66	1533.33	51.94%	47.84%	-25.95	7-4
1999-11-28	New England Patriots	W 17-7	1589.71	1531.82	67.26%	32.54%	+16.27	8-4
1999-12-12	New York Giants	L 17-19	1605.98	1469.74	76.32%	23.51%	-17.05	8-5
1999-12-19	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-21	1588.93	1445.82	60.52%	39.27%	+19.64	9-5
1999-12-26	@ New England Patriots	W 13-10	1608.57	1485.28	57.76%	42.02%	+11.50	10-5
2000-01-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-6	1620.07	1657.55	54.28%	45.49%	+35.96	11-5
1999-09-12	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-19	1483.28	1478.08	40.94%	58.84%	-19.42	0-1
1999-09-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-22	1463.86	1584.62	42.37%	57.41%	-9.47	0-2
1999-09-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-3	1454.39	1374.53	69.98%	29.83%	+23.10	1-2
1999-10-03	@ Washington Redskins	L 36-38	1477.49	1551.83	30.50%	69.31%	-6.82	1-3
1999-10-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-29	1470.67	1545.72	30.41%	69.40%	+15.50	2-3
1999-10-24	Detroit Lions	L 9-24	1486.17	1492.36	58.70%	41.08%	-35.92	2-4
1999-10-31	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-27	1450.25	1434.79	42.37%	57.41%	-17.72	2-5
1999-11-07	Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-7	1432.53	1375.96	67.10%	32.70%	+26.36	3-5
1999-11-14	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-35	1458.89	1602.76	22.73%	77.10%	-17.97	3-6
1999-11-21	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-17	1440.92	1214.89	71.17%	28.64%	+16.95	4-6
1999-11-28	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-28	1457.87	1416.38	65.16%	34.64%	+13.42	5-6
1999-12-05	St. Louis Rams	L 21-34	1471.29	1652.47	34.19%	65.61%	-19.49	5-7
1999-12-12	@ Green Bay Packers	W 33-31	1451.80	1577.68	24.60%	75.23%	+16.80	6-7
1999-12-18	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-24	1468.60	1378.38	71.22%	28.60%	+18.64	7-7
1999-12-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-30	1487.24	1424.68	49.09%	50.68%	-24.54	7-8
2000-01-02	New Orleans Saints	W 45-13	1462.70	1347.45	74.07%	25.75%	+23.04	8-8
1999-09-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1462.52	1504.39	53.66%	46.12%	+12.62	1-0
1999-09-19	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-14	1475.14	1494.02	56.93%	42.86%	-8.99	1-1
1999-09-26	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-24	1466.15	1492.98	36.57%	63.22%	-15.30	1-2
1999-10-03	New Orleans Saints	W 14-10	1450.85	1482.07	55.18%	44.60%	+14.10	2-2
1999-10-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-22	1464.95	1584.34	25.30%	74.53%	+16.65	3-2
1999-10-17	Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-20	1481.60	1375.30	73.07%	26.75%	-23.08	3-3
1999-10-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-6	1458.52	1515.79	32.61%	67.19%	-8.94	3-4
1999-10-31	@ Washington Redskins	L 22-48	1449.58	1555.88	26.75%	73.07%	-21.56	3-5
1999-11-07	@ Green Bay Packers	W 14-13	1428.02	1534.48	26.73%	73.09%	+11.54	4-5
1999-11-14	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1439.56	1616.12	34.79%	65.01%	-9.52	4-6
1999-11-21	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1430.04	1399.06	44.57%	55.21%	+15.11	5-6
1999-11-25	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-21	1445.15	1526.93	29.60%	70.21%	-9.36	5-7
1999-12-05	Green Bay Packers	L 19-35	1435.79	1550.33	43.25%	56.53%	-27.35	5-8
1999-12-19	Detroit Lions	W 28-10	1408.44	1547.58	39.81%	59.97%	+40.20	6-8
1999-12-26	@ St. Louis Rams	L 12-34	1448.64	1696.40	13.94%	85.95%	-10.33	6-9
2000-01-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-20	1438.31	1594.01	37.56%	62.23%	-22.22	6-10
1999-09-12	@ Tennessee Titans	L 35-36	1425.60	1519.63	28.15%	71.66%	-4.45	0-1
1999-09-19	San Diego Chargers	L 7-34	1421.15	1441.03	56.78%	43.00%	-46.62	0-2
1999-09-26	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-27	1374.53	1454.39	29.83%	69.98%	-23.11	0-3
1999-10-03	St. Louis Rams	L 10-38	1351.42	1529.59	34.58%	65.22%	-28.93	0-4
1999-10-10	@ Cleveland Browns	W 18-17	1322.49	1218.27	55.07%	44.71%	+7.07	1-4
1999-10-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-17	1329.56	1456.24	41.54%	58.24%	-24.58	1-5
1999-10-24	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-31	1304.98	1502.91	17.74%	82.12%	-12.85	1-6
1999-10-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-41	1292.13	1639.38	16.67%	83.20%	-14.66	1-7
1999-11-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-37	1277.47	1604.49	9.31%	90.60%	-6.06	1-8
1999-11-14	Tennessee Titans	L 14-24	1271.41	1547.55	23.13%	76.70%	-11.57	1-9
1999-11-21	Baltimore Ravens	L 31-34	1259.84	1434.14	35.08%	64.71%	-9.61	1-10
1999-11-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-20	1250.23	1508.15	13.25%	86.64%	+36.19	2-10
1999-12-05	San Francisco 49ers	W 44-30	1286.42	1373.12	47.21%	52.56%	+31.08	3-10
1999-12-12	Cleveland Browns	W 44-28	1317.50	1179.35	76.52%	23.32%	+14.74	4-10
1999-12-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-22	1332.24	1521.67	18.46%	81.39%	-13.69	4-11
2000-01-02	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-24	1318.55	1666.43	8.35%	91.58%	-5.43	4-12
1999-09-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-43	1275.00	1490.65	29.88%	69.93%	-30.98	0-1
1999-09-19	@ Tennessee Titans	L 9-26	1244.02	1524.08	11.86%	88.04%	-7.72	0-2
1999-09-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-17	1236.30	1434.86	17.69%	82.18%	-7.40	0-3
1999-10-03	New England Patriots	L 7-19	1228.90	1543.80	19.41%	80.44%	-10.63	0-4
1999-10-10	Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-18	1218.27	1322.49	44.71%	55.07%	-7.06	0-5
1999-10-17	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-24	1211.21	1635.78	5.54%	94.41%	-3.61	0-6
1999-10-24	@ St. Louis Rams	L 3-34	1207.60	1627.35	5.68%	94.26%	-4.99	0-7
1999-10-31	@ New Orleans Saints	W 21-16	1202.61	1408.14	17.11%	82.75%	+29.22	1-7
1999-11-07	Baltimore Ravens	L 9-41	1231.83	1406.81	34.99%	64.80%	-31.30	1-8
1999-11-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-15	1200.53	1536.14	8.90%	91.02%	+14.36	2-8
1999-11-21	Carolina Panthers	L 17-31	1214.89	1440.92	28.64%	71.17%	-16.95	2-9
1999-11-28	Tennessee Titans	L 21-33	1197.94	1572.74	14.58%	85.30%	-7.98	2-10
1999-12-05	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-23	1189.96	1377.53	18.62%	81.23%	-10.61	2-11
1999-12-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 28-44	1179.35	1317.50	23.32%	76.52%	-14.75	2-12
1999-12-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-24	1164.60	1714.95	5.86%	94.09%	-2.92	2-13
1999-12-26	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-29	1161.68	1656.30	7.89%	92.03%	-1.25	2-14
1999-09-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 41-35	1513.51	1489.80	43.54%	56.24%	+21.77	1-0
1999-09-20	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-7	1535.28	1559.02	56.24%	43.54%	+28.38	2-0
1999-10-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 35-7	1563.66	1466.39	72.04%	27.77%	+23.24	3-0
1999-10-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-13	1586.90	1355.67	71.78%	28.03%	-19.63	3-1
1999-10-18	@ New York Giants	L 10-13	1567.27	1448.89	57.07%	42.71%	-15.62	3-2
1999-10-24	Washington Redskins	W 38-20	1551.65	1586.10	54.72%	45.06%	+30.22	4-2
1999-10-31	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-34	1581.87	1515.76	49.60%	50.18%	-24.79	4-3
1999-11-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-27	1557.08	1598.81	34.61%	65.19%	-17.31	4-4
1999-11-14	Green Bay Packers	W 27-13	1539.77	1522.94	61.87%	37.91%	+22.43	5-4
1999-11-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 9-13	1562.20	1414.59	61.14%	38.65%	-19.31	5-5
1999-11-25	Miami Dolphins	W 20-0	1542.89	1620.77	48.48%	51.30%	+36.25	6-5
1999-12-05	@ New England Patriots	L 6-13	1579.14	1515.55	49.24%	50.54%	-20.59	6-6
1999-12-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1558.55	1338.58	83.91%	15.96%	+7.98	7-6
1999-12-19	New York Jets	L 21-22	1566.53	1535.26	63.81%	35.98%	-10.08	7-7
1999-12-24	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1556.45	1317.07	72.72%	27.10%	-30.39	7-8
2000-01-02	New York Giants	W 26-18	1526.06	1447.77	69.79%	30.02%	+13.43	8-8
1999-09-13	Miami Dolphins	L 21-38	1604.37	1539.55	68.14%	31.67%	-44.37	0-1
1999-09-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-26	1560.00	1491.76	49.91%	49.87%	-31.55	0-2
1999-09-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-13	1528.45	1530.03	40.00%	59.78%	-10.96	0-3
1999-10-03	New York Jets	L 13-21	1517.49	1516.16	59.75%	40.04%	-26.70	0-4
1999-10-10	@ Oakland Raiders	W 16-13	1490.79	1502.74	38.58%	61.21%	+16.75	1-4
1999-10-17	Green Bay Packers	W 31-10	1507.54	1563.65	51.61%	48.16%	+34.89	2-4
1999-10-24	@ New England Patriots	L 23-24	1542.43	1535.86	41.13%	58.65%	-6.50	2-5
1999-10-31	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-23	1535.93	1584.38	52.71%	47.07%	-14.43	2-6
1999-11-07	@ San Diego Chargers	W 33-17	1521.50	1450.96	50.24%	49.54%	+31.32	3-6
1999-11-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-20	1552.82	1610.55	32.56%	67.25%	-8.92	3-7
1999-11-22	Oakland Raiders	W 27-21	1543.90	1519.81	62.85%	36.94%	+14.31	4-7
1999-12-05	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-16	1558.21	1544.54	61.44%	38.34%	-23.78	4-8
1999-12-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-27	1534.43	1709.55	19.73%	80.12%	-5.41	4-9
1999-12-19	Seattle Seahawks	W 36-30	1529.02	1557.41	55.58%	44.20%	+17.12	5-9
1999-12-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-7	1546.14	1507.38	45.68%	54.10%	+27.04	6-9
2000-01-02	San Diego Chargers	L 6-12	1573.18	1421.21	77.91%	21.93%	-30.14	6-10
1999-09-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 28-20	1483.06	1523.04	34.84%	64.96%	+29.02	1-0
1999-09-19	Green Bay Packers	W 23-15	1512.08	1562.25	52.47%	47.31%	+21.15	2-0
1999-09-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-31	1533.23	1523.32	41.60%	58.18%	-20.79	2-1
1999-10-10	San Diego Chargers	L 10-20	1512.44	1481.86	63.72%	36.07%	-31.84	2-2
1999-10-17	Minnesota Vikings	W 25-23	1480.60	1567.70	47.16%	52.62%	+11.76	3-2
1999-10-24	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-9	1492.36	1486.17	41.08%	58.70%	+35.93	4-2
1999-10-31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-3	1528.29	1524.72	60.06%	39.73%	+25.90	5-2
1999-11-07	St. Louis Rams	W 31-27	1554.19	1618.35	50.45%	49.32%	+15.59	6-2
1999-11-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 19-23	1569.78	1394.09	64.89%	34.90%	-20.51	6-3
1999-11-21	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-26	1549.27	1500.51	47.11%	52.67%	-22.34	6-4
1999-11-25	Chicago Bears	W 21-17	1526.93	1445.15	70.21%	29.60%	+9.36	7-4
1999-12-05	Washington Redskins	W 33-17	1536.29	1531.90	60.17%	39.61%	+25.06	8-4
1999-12-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-23	1561.35	1616.32	32.91%	66.89%	-13.77	8-5
1999-12-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-28	1547.58	1408.44	59.97%	39.81%	-40.20	8-6
1999-12-25	Denver Broncos	L 7-17	1507.38	1546.14	54.10%	45.68%	-27.04	8-7
2000-01-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-24	1480.34	1637.58	21.41%	78.43%	-8.95	8-8
1999-09-12	Oakland Raiders	W 28-24	1552.72	1475.30	69.69%	30.12%	+9.53	1-0
1999-09-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 15-23	1562.25	1512.08	47.31%	52.47%	-21.16	1-1
1999-09-26	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-20	1541.09	1581.70	53.84%	45.94%	+12.58	2-1
1999-10-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-23	1553.67	1525.76	63.36%	36.43%	+9.98	3-1
1999-10-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-31	1563.65	1507.54	48.16%	51.61%	-34.89	3-2
1999-10-24	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-3	1528.76	1526.20	40.57%	59.21%	+49.50	4-2
1999-11-01	Seattle Seahawks	L 7-27	1578.26	1560.71	61.97%	37.82%	-43.78	4-3
1999-11-07	Chicago Bears	L 13-14	1534.48	1428.02	73.09%	26.73%	-11.54	4-4
1999-11-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-27	1522.94	1539.77	37.91%	61.87%	-22.43	4-5
1999-11-21	Detroit Lions	W 26-17	1500.51	1549.27	52.67%	47.11%	+22.34	5-5
1999-11-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-3	1522.85	1400.60	57.62%	42.16%	+27.48	6-5
1999-12-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 35-19	1550.33	1435.79	56.53%	43.25%	+27.35	7-5
1999-12-12	Carolina Panthers	L 31-33	1577.68	1451.80	75.23%	24.60%	-16.80	7-6
1999-12-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-24	1560.88	1600.46	34.89%	64.91%	-11.04	7-7
1999-12-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-29	1549.84	1568.00	37.74%	62.05%	-26.00	7-8
2000-01-02	Arizona Cardinals	W 49-24	1523.84	1390.90	75.98%	23.86%	+18.85	8-8
1999-09-12	Buffalo Bills	W 31-14	1446.68	1530.81	47.58%	52.19%	+34.01	1-0
1999-09-19	@ New England Patriots	L 28-31	1480.69	1527.32	33.97%	65.82%	-9.31	1-1
1999-09-26	@ San Diego Chargers	W 27-19	1471.38	1487.66	37.99%	61.80%	+27.62	2-1
1999-10-10	Miami Dolphins	L 31-34	1499.00	1568.90	49.63%	50.15%	-13.59	2-2
1999-10-17	@ New York Jets	W 16-13	1485.41	1517.92	35.82%	63.98%	+17.50	3-2
1999-10-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-10	1502.91	1304.98	82.12%	17.74%	+12.85	4-2
1999-10-31	Dallas Cowboys	W 34-24	1515.76	1581.87	50.18%	49.60%	+24.79	5-2
1999-11-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 25-17	1540.55	1598.43	51.36%	48.42%	+21.65	6-2
1999-11-14	@ New York Giants	W 27-19	1562.20	1512.68	47.22%	52.56%	+23.49	7-2
1999-11-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 44-17	1585.69	1377.26	69.05%	30.75%	+25.27	8-2
1999-11-28	New York Jets	W 13-6	1610.96	1559.29	66.47%	33.33%	+13.94	9-2
1999-12-05	@ Miami Dolphins	W 37-34	1624.90	1584.51	45.91%	53.87%	+14.75	10-2
1999-12-12	New England Patriots	W 20-15	1639.65	1536.14	72.76%	27.06%	+9.57	11-2
1999-12-19	Washington Redskins	W 24-21	1649.22	1535.14	73.94%	25.88%	+7.08	12-2
1999-12-26	@ Cleveland Browns	W 29-28	1656.30	1161.68	92.03%	7.89%	+1.25	13-2
2000-01-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-31	1657.55	1620.07	45.49%	54.28%	-35.96	13-3
1999-09-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-3	1542.48	1564.08	56.54%	43.24%	+42.14	1-0
1999-09-19	@ Carolina Panthers	W 22-20	1584.62	1463.86	57.41%	42.37%	+9.47	2-0
1999-09-26	Tennessee Titans	L 19-20	1594.09	1531.80	67.82%	31.98%	-10.71	2-1
1999-10-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-3	1583.38	1491.07	53.37%	46.41%	+27.45	3-1
1999-10-11	@ New York Jets	W 16-6	1610.83	1542.86	49.87%	49.91%	+24.95	4-1
1999-10-17	Cleveland Browns	W 24-7	1635.78	1211.21	94.41%	5.54%	+3.60	5-1
1999-10-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 41-10	1639.38	1292.13	83.20%	16.67%	+14.66	6-1
1999-11-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-7	1654.04	1452.52	68.20%	31.60%	+23.97	7-1
1999-11-14	Baltimore Ravens	W 6-3	1678.01	1438.11	85.39%	14.49%	+3.97	8-1
1999-11-21	New Orleans Saints	W 41-23	1681.98	1389.88	88.75%	11.15%	+7.47	9-1
1999-11-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 30-23	1689.45	1443.75	73.43%	26.39%	+11.04	10-1
1999-12-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-6	1700.49	1471.97	84.56%	15.32%	+9.06	11-1
1999-12-13	Denver Broncos	W 27-24	1709.55	1534.43	80.12%	19.73%	+5.40	12-1
1999-12-19	@ Cleveland Browns	W 24-14	1714.95	1164.60	94.09%	5.86%	+2.92	13-1
1999-12-26	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-41	1717.87	1559.00	62.66%	37.13%	-51.44	13-2
2000-01-02	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-7	1666.43	1318.55	91.58%	8.35%	+5.44	14-2
1999-09-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1504.39	1462.52	46.12%	53.66%	-12.63	0-1
1999-09-19	Denver Broncos	W 26-10	1491.76	1560.00	49.87%	49.91%	+31.56	1-1
1999-09-26	Detroit Lions	W 31-21	1523.32	1533.23	58.18%	41.60%	+20.79	2-1
1999-10-03	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-21	1544.11	1460.04	52.19%	47.59%	-21.82	2-2
1999-10-10	New England Patriots	W 16-14	1522.29	1554.42	55.05%	44.73%	+10.00	3-2
1999-10-21	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 35-8	1532.29	1459.28	50.60%	49.18%	+40.40	4-2
1999-10-31	San Diego Chargers	W 34-0	1572.69	1476.70	71.89%	27.92%	+25.74	5-2
1999-11-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-25	1598.43	1540.55	48.42%	51.36%	-21.64	5-3
1999-11-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-17	1576.79	1524.84	47.57%	52.21%	-19.90	5-4
1999-11-21	Seattle Seahawks	L 19-31	1556.89	1619.47	50.68%	49.09%	-27.75	5-5
1999-11-28	@ Oakland Raiders	W 37-34	1529.14	1505.50	43.53%	56.25%	+15.40	6-5
1999-12-05	@ Denver Broncos	W 16-10	1544.54	1558.21	38.34%	61.44%	+23.78	7-5
1999-12-12	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-28	1568.32	1613.20	53.22%	46.55%	+12.74	8-5
1999-12-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-19	1581.06	1439.18	76.90%	22.93%	+14.51	9-5
1999-12-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-23	1595.57	1540.30	48.04%	51.73%	-22.79	9-6
2000-01-02	Oakland Raiders	L 38-41	1572.78	1545.92	63.22%	36.57%	-17.29	9-7
1999-09-13	@ Denver Broncos	W 38-21	1539.55	1604.37	31.67%	68.14%	+44.38	1-0
1999-09-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-16	1583.93	1506.60	69.67%	30.13%	+8.25	2-0
1999-10-04	Buffalo Bills	L 18-23	1592.18	1544.81	65.92%	33.88%	-23.28	2-1
1999-10-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 34-31	1568.90	1499.00	50.15%	49.63%	+13.58	3-1
1999-10-17	@ New England Patriots	W 31-30	1582.48	1544.42	45.58%	54.20%	+8.57	4-1
1999-10-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-13	1591.05	1398.39	81.67%	18.18%	+4.98	5-1
1999-10-31	@ Oakland Raiders	W 16-9	1596.03	1519.59	51.09%	48.69%	+20.36	6-1
1999-11-07	Tennessee Titans	W 17-0	1616.39	1569.69	65.83%	33.96%	+22.14	7-1
1999-11-14	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-23	1638.53	1581.53	48.29%	51.48%	-34.14	7-2
1999-11-21	New England Patriots	W 27-17	1604.39	1548.20	67.05%	32.75%	+16.38	8-2
1999-11-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-20	1620.77	1542.89	51.30%	48.48%	-36.26	8-3
1999-12-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 34-37	1584.51	1624.90	53.87%	45.91%	-14.74	8-4
1999-12-12	@ New York Jets	L 20-28	1569.77	1513.73	48.15%	51.62%	-21.53	8-5
1999-12-19	San Diego Chargers	W 12-9	1548.24	1410.45	76.48%	23.35%	+6.40	9-5
1999-12-27	New York Jets	L 31-38	1554.64	1545.34	60.85%	38.94%	-25.44	9-6
2000-01-02	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-21	1529.20	1541.94	38.47%	61.32%	-20.17	9-7
1999-09-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 17-14	1593.31	1574.61	42.83%	56.95%	+15.59	1-0
1999-09-19	Oakland Raiders	L 17-22	1608.90	1465.78	77.03%	22.81%	-27.20	1-1
1999-09-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-23	1581.70	1541.09	45.94%	53.84%	-12.58	1-2
1999-10-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-14	1569.12	1540.99	63.39%	36.40%	+15.22	2-2
1999-10-10	Chicago Bears	L 22-24	1584.34	1464.95	74.53%	25.30%	-16.64	2-3
1999-10-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-25	1567.70	1480.60	52.62%	47.16%	-11.76	2-4
1999-10-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 40-16	1555.94	1530.22	63.07%	36.72%	+28.44	3-4
1999-10-31	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1584.38	1535.93	47.07%	52.71%	+14.43	4-4
1999-11-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-17	1598.81	1557.08	65.19%	34.61%	+17.31	5-4
1999-11-14	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1616.12	1439.56	65.01%	34.79%	+9.52	6-4
1999-11-28	San Diego Chargers	W 35-27	1625.64	1383.95	85.52%	14.36%	+6.42	7-4
1999-12-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-24	1632.06	1597.46	45.08%	54.69%	-18.86	7-5
1999-12-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-31	1613.20	1568.32	46.55%	53.22%	-12.74	7-6
1999-12-20	Green Bay Packers	W 24-20	1600.46	1560.88	64.91%	34.89%	+11.03	8-6
1999-12-26	@ New York Giants	W 34-17	1611.49	1473.86	59.76%	40.02%	+26.09	9-6
2000-01-02	Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1637.58	1480.34	78.43%	21.41%	+8.96	10-6
1999-09-12	@ New York Jets	W 30-28	1511.80	1587.61	30.32%	69.49%	+15.52	1-0
1999-09-19	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-28	1527.32	1480.69	65.82%	33.97%	+9.30	2-0
1999-09-26	New York Giants	W 16-14	1536.62	1475.08	67.73%	32.08%	+7.18	3-0
1999-10-03	@ Cleveland Browns	W 19-7	1543.80	1228.90	80.44%	19.41%	+10.62	4-0
1999-10-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-16	1554.42	1522.29	44.73%	55.05%	-10.00	4-1
1999-10-17	Miami Dolphins	L 30-31	1544.42	1582.48	54.20%	45.58%	-8.56	4-2
1999-10-24	Denver Broncos	W 24-23	1535.86	1542.43	58.65%	41.13%	+6.50	5-2
1999-10-31	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-3	1542.36	1438.91	54.96%	44.82%	+34.71	6-2
1999-11-15	New York Jets	L 17-24	1577.07	1504.45	69.10%	30.71%	-28.87	6-3
1999-11-21	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-27	1548.20	1604.39	32.75%	67.05%	-16.38	6-4
1999-11-28	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-17	1531.82	1589.71	32.54%	67.26%	-16.27	6-5
1999-12-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-6	1515.55	1579.14	50.54%	49.24%	+20.59	7-5
1999-12-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 15-20	1536.14	1639.65	27.06%	72.76%	-9.57	7-6
1999-12-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-24	1526.57	1330.60	67.50%	32.30%	-41.29	7-7
1999-12-26	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1485.28	1608.57	42.02%	57.76%	-11.51	7-8
2000-01-02	Baltimore Ravens	W 20-3	1473.77	1535.36	50.83%	48.95%	+31.90	8-8
1999-09-12	Carolina Panthers	W 19-10	1478.08	1483.28	58.84%	40.94%	+19.42	1-0
1999-09-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-28	1497.50	1521.94	36.89%	62.90%	-15.43	1-1
1999-10-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-14	1482.07	1450.85	44.60%	55.18%	-14.10	1-2
1999-10-10	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1467.97	1466.72	59.74%	40.05%	-16.35	1-3
1999-10-17	Tennessee Titans	L 21-24	1451.62	1542.95	46.55%	53.23%	-12.75	1-4
1999-10-24	@ New York Giants	L 3-31	1438.87	1464.51	36.73%	63.06%	-30.73	1-5
1999-10-31	Cleveland Browns	L 16-21	1408.14	1202.61	82.75%	17.11%	-29.21	1-6
1999-11-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-31	1378.93	1498.82	42.49%	57.29%	-26.02	1-7
1999-11-14	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-6	1352.91	1457.68	44.63%	55.15%	+36.97	2-7
1999-11-21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 23-41	1389.88	1681.98	11.15%	88.75%	-7.48	2-8
1999-11-28	@ St. Louis Rams	L 12-43	1382.40	1640.84	13.22%	86.67%	-11.62	2-9
1999-12-05	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 12-35	1370.78	1402.97	35.86%	63.93%	-27.20	2-10
1999-12-12	St. Louis Rams	L 14-30	1343.58	1671.96	18.23%	81.63%	-11.52	2-11
1999-12-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 8-31	1332.06	1506.67	19.78%	80.07%	-14.99	2-12
1999-12-24	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-24	1317.07	1556.45	27.10%	72.72%	+30.38	3-12
2000-01-02	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-45	1347.45	1462.70	25.75%	74.07%	-23.03	3-13
1999-09-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-13	1513.87	1522.29	39.06%	60.72%	+19.19	1-0
1999-09-19	Washington Redskins	L 21-50	1533.06	1468.03	68.16%	31.64%	-57.98	1-1
1999-09-26	@ New England Patriots	L 14-16	1475.08	1536.62	32.08%	67.73%	-7.17	1-2
1999-10-03	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-15	1467.91	1359.87	73.27%	26.55%	+4.19	2-2
1999-10-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 3-14	1472.10	1443.15	44.28%	55.50%	-23.21	2-3
1999-10-18	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-10	1448.89	1567.27	42.71%	57.07%	+15.62	3-3
1999-10-24	New Orleans Saints	W 31-3	1464.51	1438.87	63.06%	36.73%	+30.73	4-3
1999-10-31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-17	1495.24	1393.41	54.73%	45.05%	+17.44	5-3
1999-11-14	Indianapolis Colts	L 19-27	1512.68	1562.20	52.56%	47.22%	-23.49	5-4
1999-11-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-23	1489.19	1507.63	37.70%	62.09%	-18.85	5-5
1999-11-28	Arizona Cardinals	L 24-34	1470.34	1433.91	64.49%	35.30%	-32.22	5-6
1999-12-05	New York Jets	W 41-28	1438.12	1545.34	44.28%	55.49%	+31.62	6-6
1999-12-12	@ Buffalo Bills	W 19-17	1469.74	1605.98	23.51%	76.32%	+17.05	7-6
1999-12-19	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-31	1486.79	1683.48	17.84%	82.02%	-12.93	7-7
1999-12-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-34	1473.86	1611.49	40.02%	59.76%	-26.09	7-8
2000-01-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 18-26	1447.77	1526.06	30.02%	69.79%	-13.42	7-9
1999-09-12	New England Patriots	L 28-30	1587.61	1511.80	69.49%	30.32%	-15.52	0-1
1999-09-19	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-17	1572.09	1496.80	50.92%	48.85%	-30.11	0-2
1999-09-26	Washington Redskins	L 20-27	1541.98	1526.01	61.75%	38.03%	-25.82	0-3
1999-10-03	@ Denver Broncos	W 21-13	1516.16	1517.49	40.04%	59.75%	+26.70	1-3
1999-10-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-16	1542.86	1610.83	49.91%	49.87%	-24.94	1-4
1999-10-17	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-16	1517.92	1485.41	63.98%	35.82%	-17.51	1-5
1999-10-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 23-24	1500.41	1513.51	38.42%	61.37%	-6.07	1-6
1999-11-07	Arizona Cardinals	W 12-7	1494.34	1404.20	71.21%	28.61%	+10.11	2-6
1999-11-15	@ New England Patriots	W 24-17	1504.45	1577.07	30.71%	69.10%	+28.88	3-6
1999-11-21	Buffalo Bills	W 17-7	1533.33	1615.66	47.84%	51.94%	+25.96	4-6
1999-11-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-13	1559.29	1610.96	33.33%	66.47%	-13.95	4-7
1999-12-05	@ New York Giants	L 28-41	1545.34	1438.12	55.49%	44.28%	-31.61	4-8
1999-12-12	Miami Dolphins	W 28-20	1513.73	1569.77	51.62%	48.15%	+21.53	5-8
1999-12-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 22-21	1535.26	1566.53	35.98%	63.81%	+10.08	6-8
1999-12-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 38-31	1545.34	1554.64	38.94%	60.85%	+25.43	7-8
2000-01-02	Seattle Seahawks	W 19-9	1570.77	1563.08	60.63%	39.16%	+19.58	8-8
1999-09-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-28	1475.30	1552.72	30.12%	69.69%	-9.52	0-1
1999-09-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 22-17	1465.78	1608.90	22.81%	77.03%	+27.20	1-1
1999-09-26	Chicago Bears	W 24-17	1492.98	1466.15	63.22%	36.57%	+15.30	2-1
1999-10-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-22	1508.28	1547.03	35.00%	64.80%	-5.54	2-2
1999-10-10	Denver Broncos	L 13-16	1502.74	1490.79	61.21%	38.58%	-16.75	2-3
1999-10-17	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-14	1485.99	1575.48	28.68%	71.13%	+27.52	3-3
1999-10-24	New York Jets	W 24-23	1513.51	1500.41	61.37%	38.42%	+6.08	4-3
1999-10-31	Miami Dolphins	L 9-16	1519.59	1596.03	48.69%	51.09%	-20.36	4-4
1999-11-14	San Diego Chargers	W 28-9	1499.23	1419.64	69.95%	29.86%	+20.58	5-4
1999-11-22	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-27	1519.81	1543.90	36.94%	62.85%	-14.31	5-5
1999-11-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 34-37	1505.50	1529.14	56.25%	43.53%	-15.39	5-6
1999-12-05	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-21	1490.11	1606.66	42.96%	56.82%	+26.93	6-6
1999-12-09	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-21	1517.04	1530.49	38.37%	61.41%	-16.05	6-7
1999-12-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 45-0	1500.99	1630.08	41.21%	58.58%	+62.08	7-7
1999-12-26	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-23	1563.07	1404.06	62.68%	37.11%	-17.15	7-8
2000-01-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 41-38	1545.92	1572.78	36.57%	63.22%	+17.30	8-8
1999-09-12	Arizona Cardinals	L 24-25	1412.16	1499.15	47.17%	52.60%	-7.46	0-1
1999-09-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 5-19	1404.70	1503.10	45.54%	54.24%	-26.93	0-2
1999-09-26	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-26	1377.77	1526.91	22.20%	77.63%	-17.90	0-3
1999-10-03	@ New York Giants	L 15-16	1359.87	1467.91	26.55%	73.27%	-4.20	0-4
1999-10-10	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-10	1355.67	1586.90	28.03%	71.78%	+19.63	1-4
1999-10-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-16	1375.30	1481.60	26.75%	73.07%	+23.09	2-4
1999-10-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-16	1398.39	1591.05	18.18%	81.67%	-4.98	2-5
1999-10-31	New York Giants	L 17-23	1393.41	1495.24	45.05%	54.73%	-17.45	2-6
1999-11-07	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-33	1375.96	1432.53	32.70%	67.10%	-26.37	2-7
1999-11-14	Washington Redskins	W 35-28	1349.59	1535.29	33.60%	66.19%	+27.67	3-7
1999-11-21	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-44	1377.26	1585.69	30.75%	69.05%	-25.27	3-8
1999-11-28	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1351.99	1526.48	19.79%	80.06%	-5.42	3-9
1999-12-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 17-21	1346.57	1466.12	25.28%	74.54%	-7.99	3-10
1999-12-12	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-20	1338.58	1558.55	15.96%	83.91%	-7.98	3-11
1999-12-19	New England Patriots	W 24-9	1330.60	1526.57	32.30%	67.50%	+41.30	4-11
2000-01-02	St. Louis Rams	W 38-31	1371.90	1706.73	17.68%	82.18%	+34.33	5-11
1999-09-12	@ Cleveland Browns	W 43-0	1490.65	1275.00	69.93%	29.88%	+30.98	1-0
1999-09-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1521.63	1448.31	50.64%	49.14%	+13.45	2-0
1999-09-26	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-29	1535.08	1503.01	63.92%	35.88%	-44.01	2-1
1999-10-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-17	1491.07	1583.38	46.41%	53.37%	-27.45	2-2
1999-10-10	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-24	1463.62	1568.10	26.95%	72.87%	-7.38	2-3
1999-10-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-3	1456.24	1329.56	58.24%	41.54%	+24.57	3-3
1999-10-25	Atlanta Falcons	W 13-9	1480.81	1446.03	64.28%	35.52%	+11.23	4-3
1999-11-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-6	1492.04	1501.78	38.88%	60.91%	+44.10	5-3
1999-11-14	Cleveland Browns	L 15-16	1536.14	1200.53	91.02%	8.90%	-14.36	5-4
1999-11-21	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-16	1521.78	1559.11	35.18%	64.61%	-13.63	5-5
1999-11-28	Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-27	1508.15	1250.23	86.64%	13.25%	-36.18	5-6
1999-12-02	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-20	1471.97	1700.49	15.32%	84.56%	-9.06	5-7
1999-12-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 24-31	1462.91	1482.94	56.76%	43.02%	-23.73	5-8
1999-12-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-35	1439.18	1581.06	22.93%	76.90%	-14.50	5-9
1999-12-26	Carolina Panthers	W 30-20	1424.68	1487.24	50.68%	49.09%	+24.53	6-9
2000-01-02	Tennessee Titans	L 36-47	1449.21	1610.44	36.81%	62.98%	-19.30	6-10
1999-09-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-7	1441.03	1421.15	43.00%	56.78%	+46.63	1-0
1999-09-26	Indianapolis Colts	L 19-27	1487.66	1471.38	61.80%	37.99%	-27.62	1-1
1999-10-03	Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-14	1460.04	1544.11	47.59%	52.19%	+21.82	2-1
1999-10-10	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1481.86	1512.44	36.07%	63.72%	+31.83	3-1
1999-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 13-10	1513.69	1552.56	54.09%	45.69%	+12.51	4-1
1999-10-24	Green Bay Packers	L 3-31	1526.20	1528.76	59.21%	40.57%	-49.50	4-2
1999-10-31	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-34	1476.70	1572.69	27.92%	71.89%	-25.74	4-3
1999-11-07	Denver Broncos	L 17-33	1450.96	1521.50	49.54%	50.24%	-31.32	4-4
1999-11-14	@ Oakland Raiders	L 9-28	1419.64	1499.23	29.86%	69.95%	-20.58	4-5
1999-11-21	Chicago Bears	L 20-23	1399.06	1430.04	55.21%	44.57%	-15.11	4-6
1999-11-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-35	1383.95	1625.64	14.36%	85.52%	-6.42	4-7
1999-12-05	Cleveland Browns	W 23-10	1377.53	1189.96	81.23%	18.62%	+10.61	5-7
1999-12-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 19-16	1388.14	1579.72	18.28%	81.58%	+22.31	6-7
1999-12-19	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-12	1410.45	1548.24	23.35%	76.48%	-6.39	6-8
1999-12-26	Oakland Raiders	W 23-20	1404.06	1563.07	37.11%	62.68%	+17.15	7-8
2000-01-02	@ Denver Broncos	W 12-6	1421.21	1573.18	21.93%	77.91%	+30.14	8-8
1999-09-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-41	1564.08	1542.48	43.24%	56.54%	-42.14	0-1
1999-09-19	New Orleans Saints	W 28-21	1521.94	1497.50	62.90%	36.89%	+15.43	1-1
1999-09-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-10	1537.37	1498.35	45.71%	54.06%	+31.97	2-1
1999-10-03	Tennessee Titans	W 24-22	1569.34	1542.51	63.22%	36.57%	+8.17	3-1
1999-10-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 20-42	1577.51	1558.52	42.87%	56.91%	-31.79	3-2
1999-10-17	Carolina Panthers	L 29-31	1545.72	1470.67	69.40%	30.41%	-15.50	3-3
1999-10-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-40	1530.22	1555.94	36.72%	63.07%	-28.44	3-4
1999-11-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-27	1501.78	1492.04	60.91%	38.88%	-44.10	3-5
1999-11-14	@ New Orleans Saints	L 6-24	1457.68	1352.91	55.15%	44.63%	-36.97	3-6
1999-11-21	St. Louis Rams	L 7-23	1420.71	1620.73	31.79%	68.01%	-20.11	3-7
1999-11-29	Green Bay Packers	L 3-20	1400.60	1522.85	42.16%	57.62%	-27.48	3-8
1999-12-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 30-44	1373.12	1286.42	52.56%	47.21%	-31.08	3-9
1999-12-12	Atlanta Falcons	W 26-7	1342.04	1430.16	47.01%	52.77%	+36.34	4-9
1999-12-18	@ Carolina Panthers	L 24-41	1378.38	1468.60	28.60%	71.22%	-18.64	4-10
1999-12-26	Washington Redskins	L 20-26	1359.74	1528.05	35.87%	63.92%	-13.89	4-11
2000-01-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 29-34	1345.85	1416.64	30.93%	68.88%	-10.94	4-12
1999-09-12	Detroit Lions	L 20-28	1523.04	1483.06	64.96%	34.84%	-29.02	0-1
1999-09-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 14-13	1494.02	1475.14	42.86%	56.93%	+8.99	1-1
1999-09-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 29-10	1503.01	1535.08	35.88%	63.92%	+44.02	2-1
1999-10-03	Oakland Raiders	W 22-21	1547.03	1508.28	64.80%	35.00%	+5.53	3-1
1999-10-17	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-13	1552.56	1513.69	45.69%	54.09%	-12.51	3-2
1999-10-24	Buffalo Bills	W 26-16	1540.05	1547.96	58.46%	41.32%	+20.66	4-2
1999-11-01	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-7	1560.71	1578.26	37.82%	61.97%	+43.78	5-2
1999-11-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-20	1604.49	1277.47	90.60%	9.31%	+6.06	6-2
1999-11-14	Denver Broncos	W 20-17	1610.55	1552.82	67.25%	32.56%	+8.92	7-2
1999-11-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-19	1619.47	1556.89	49.09%	50.68%	+27.75	8-2
1999-11-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-16	1647.22	1556.90	71.23%	28.58%	-40.56	8-3
1999-12-05	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-30	1606.66	1490.11	56.82%	42.96%	-26.94	8-4
1999-12-12	San Diego Chargers	L 16-19	1579.72	1388.14	81.58%	18.28%	-22.31	8-5
1999-12-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 30-36	1557.41	1529.02	44.20%	55.58%	-17.11	8-6
1999-12-26	Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-14	1540.30	1595.57	51.73%	48.04%	+22.78	9-6
2000-01-02	@ New York Jets	L 9-19	1563.08	1570.77	39.16%	60.63%	-19.58	9-7
1999-09-12	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-10	1464.05	1475.57	57.96%	41.82%	+27.26	1-0
1999-09-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 35-7	1491.31	1530.64	54.02%	45.76%	+38.28	2-0
1999-10-03	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-10	1529.59	1351.42	65.22%	34.58%	+28.93	3-0
1999-10-10	San Francisco 49ers	W 42-20	1558.52	1577.51	56.91%	42.87%	+31.79	4-0
1999-10-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 41-13	1590.31	1483.07	55.50%	44.28%	+37.04	5-0
1999-10-24	Cleveland Browns	W 34-3	1627.35	1207.60	94.26%	5.68%	+5.00	6-0
1999-10-31	@ Tennessee Titans	L 21-24	1632.35	1555.70	51.12%	48.66%	-14.00	6-1
1999-11-07	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-31	1618.35	1554.19	49.32%	50.45%	-15.59	6-2
1999-11-14	Carolina Panthers	W 35-10	1602.76	1458.89	77.10%	22.73%	+17.97	7-2
1999-11-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-7	1620.73	1420.71	68.01%	31.79%	+20.11	8-2
1999-11-28	New Orleans Saints	W 43-12	1640.84	1382.40	86.67%	13.22%	+11.63	9-2
1999-12-05	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-21	1652.47	1471.29	65.61%	34.19%	+19.49	10-2
1999-12-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-14	1671.96	1343.58	81.63%	18.23%	+11.52	11-2
1999-12-19	New York Giants	W 31-10	1683.48	1486.79	82.02%	17.84%	+12.92	12-2
1999-12-26	Chicago Bears	W 34-12	1696.40	1448.64	85.95%	13.94%	+10.33	13-2
2000-01-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 31-38	1706.73	1371.90	82.18%	17.68%	-34.33	13-3
1999-09-12	New York Giants	L 13-17	1522.29	1513.87	60.72%	39.06%	-19.19	0-1
1999-09-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 19-5	1503.10	1404.70	54.24%	45.54%	+26.93	1-1
1999-09-26	Denver Broncos	W 13-10	1530.03	1528.45	59.78%	40.00%	+10.96	2-1
1999-10-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-21	1540.99	1569.12	36.40%	63.39%	-15.23	2-2
1999-10-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 23-26	1525.76	1553.67	36.43%	63.36%	-9.97	2-3
1999-10-24	Chicago Bears	W 6-3	1515.79	1458.52	67.19%	32.61%	+8.93	3-3
1999-10-31	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-20	1524.72	1528.29	39.73%	60.06%	-25.90	3-4
1999-11-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-16	1498.82	1378.93	57.29%	42.49%	+26.02	4-4
1999-11-14	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-10	1524.84	1576.79	52.21%	47.57%	+19.89	5-4
1999-11-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 19-10	1544.73	1428.55	74.18%	25.65%	+12.17	6-4
1999-11-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 16-3	1556.90	1647.22	28.58%	71.23%	+40.56	7-4
1999-12-06	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-17	1597.46	1632.06	54.69%	45.08%	+18.86	8-4
1999-12-12	Detroit Lions	W 23-16	1616.32	1561.35	66.89%	32.91%	+13.76	9-4
1999-12-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 0-45	1630.08	1500.99	58.58%	41.21%	-62.08	9-5
1999-12-26	Green Bay Packers	W 29-10	1568.00	1549.84	62.05%	37.74%	+26.01	10-5
2000-01-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-6	1594.01	1438.31	62.23%	37.56%	+22.21	11-5
1999-09-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 36-35	1519.63	1425.60	71.66%	28.15%	+4.45	1-0
1999-09-19	Cleveland Browns	W 26-9	1524.08	1244.02	88.04%	11.86%	+7.72	2-0
1999-09-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-19	1531.80	1594.09	31.98%	67.82%	+10.71	3-0
1999-10-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 22-24	1542.51	1569.34	36.57%	63.22%	-8.17	3-1
1999-10-10	Baltimore Ravens	W 14-11	1534.34	1467.90	68.34%	31.47%	+8.61	4-1
1999-10-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-21	1542.95	1451.62	53.23%	46.55%	+12.75	5-1
1999-10-31	St. Louis Rams	W 24-21	1555.70	1632.35	48.66%	51.12%	+13.99	6-1
1999-11-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-17	1569.69	1616.39	33.96%	65.83%	-22.14	6-2
1999-11-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-14	1547.55	1271.41	76.70%	23.13%	+11.56	7-2
1999-11-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-10	1559.11	1521.78	64.61%	35.18%	+13.63	8-2
1999-11-28	@ Cleveland Browns	W 33-21	1572.74	1197.94	85.30%	14.58%	+7.98	9-2
1999-12-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-41	1580.72	1432.71	61.19%	38.60%	-50.23	9-3
1999-12-09	Oakland Raiders	W 21-14	1530.49	1517.04	61.41%	38.37%	+16.05	10-3
1999-12-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-17	1546.54	1393.81	77.99%	21.85%	+12.46	11-3
1999-12-26	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 41-14	1559.00	1717.87	37.13%	62.66%	+51.44	12-3
2000-01-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 47-36	1610.44	1449.21	62.98%	36.81%	+19.30	13-3
1999-09-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 35-41	1489.80	1513.51	56.24%	43.54%	-21.77	0-1
1999-09-19	@ New York Giants	W 50-21	1468.03	1533.06	31.64%	68.16%	+57.98	1-1
1999-09-26	@ New York Jets	W 27-20	1526.01	1541.98	38.03%	61.75%	+25.82	2-1
1999-10-03	Carolina Panthers	W 38-36	1551.83	1477.49	69.31%	30.50%	+6.82	3-1
1999-10-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-10	1558.65	1466.36	53.36%	46.41%	+27.45	4-1
1999-10-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-38	1586.10	1551.65	45.06%	54.72%	-30.22	4-2
1999-10-31	Chicago Bears	W 48-22	1555.88	1449.58	73.07%	26.75%	+21.56	5-2
1999-11-07	Buffalo Bills	L 17-34	1577.44	1539.38	64.71%	35.09%	-42.15	5-3
1999-11-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-35	1535.29	1349.59	66.19%	33.60%	-27.66	5-4
1999-11-21	New York Giants	W 23-13	1507.63	1489.19	62.09%	37.70%	+18.85	6-4
1999-11-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1526.48	1351.99	80.06%	19.79%	+5.42	7-4
1999-12-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-33	1531.90	1536.29	39.61%	60.17%	-25.06	7-5
1999-12-12	Arizona Cardinals	W 28-3	1506.84	1474.12	64.00%	35.79%	+28.30	8-5
1999-12-19	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-24	1535.14	1649.22	25.88%	73.94%	-7.09	8-6
1999-12-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-20	1528.05	1359.74	63.92%	35.87%	+13.89	9-6
2000-01-02	Miami Dolphins	W 21-10	1541.94	1529.20	61.32%	38.47%	+20.18	10-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2000-01-08	@ Tennessee Titans	L 16-22	1656.03	1629.74	44.01%	55.99%	-17.00	0-1
2000-01-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-27	1539.49	1646.54	26.73%	73.27%	-17.39	0-1
2000-01-08	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-27	1471.39	1562.12	28.61%	71.39%	-16.88	0-1
2000-01-16	Tennessee Titans	L 16-19	1621.59	1646.74	56.15%	43.85%	-15.34	0-1
2000-01-15	Miami Dolphins	W 62-7	1671.87	1526.60	77.35%	22.65%	+26.49	1-0
2000-01-23	Tennessee Titans	L 14-33	1698.36	1662.08	64.58%	35.42%	-44.40	1-1
2000-01-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1509.03	1543.50	35.65%	64.35%	+17.57	1-0
2000-01-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-62	1526.60	1671.87	22.65%	77.35%	-26.48	1-1
2000-01-09	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-10	1646.54	1539.49	73.27%	26.73%	+17.38	1-0
2000-01-16	@ St. Louis Rams	L 37-49	1663.92	1672.40	39.15%	60.85%	-21.39	1-1
2000-01-09	Miami Dolphins	L 17-20	1543.50	1509.03	64.35%	35.65%	-17.58	0-1
2000-01-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 49-37	1672.40	1663.92	60.85%	39.15%	+21.39	1-0
2000-01-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 11-6	1693.79	1621.79	69.14%	30.86%	+10.89	2-0
2000-01-30	Tennessee Titans	W 23-16	1704.68	1706.48	49.74%	50.26%	+20.97	3-0
2000-01-15	Washington Redskins	W 14-13	1616.22	1579.00	64.71%	35.29%	+5.57	1-0
2000-01-23	@ St. Louis Rams	L 6-11	1621.79	1693.79	30.86%	69.14%	-10.88	1-1
2000-01-08	Buffalo Bills	W 22-16	1629.74	1656.03	55.99%	44.01%	+17.00	1-0
2000-01-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 19-16	1646.74	1621.59	43.85%	56.15%	+15.34	2-0
2000-01-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-14	1662.08	1698.36	35.42%	64.58%	+44.40	3-0
2000-01-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-23	1706.48	1704.68	50.26%	49.74%	-20.97	3-1
2000-01-08	Detroit Lions	W 27-13	1562.12	1471.39	71.39%	28.61%	+16.88	1-0
2000-01-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-14	1579.00	1616.22	35.29%	64.71%	-5.56	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-11-14	8.90%	Cleveland Browns	1200.53	16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1536.14	15
2	1999-11-28	13.25%	Cincinnati Bengals	1250.23	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1508.15	20
3	1999-10-31	17.11%	Cleveland Browns	1202.61	21	@ New Orleans Saints	1408.14	16
4	2000-01-02	17.68%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1371.90	38	St. Louis Rams	1706.73	31
5	1999-12-12	18.28%	San Diego Chargers	1388.14	19	@ Seattle Seahawks	1579.72	16
6	2000-01-02	21.93%	San Diego Chargers	1421.21	12	@ Denver Broncos	1573.18	6
7	1999-09-19	22.81%	Oakland Raiders	1465.78	22	@ Minnesota Vikings	1608.90	17
8	1999-12-12	23.51%	New York Giants	1469.74	19	@ Buffalo Bills	1605.98	17
9	1999-12-12	24.60%	Carolina Panthers	1451.80	33	@ Green Bay Packers	1577.68	31
10	1999-10-10	25.30%	Chicago Bears	1464.95	24	@ Minnesota Vikings	1584.34	22
11	1999-11-07	26.73%	Chicago Bears	1428.02	14	@ Green Bay Packers	1534.48	13
12	1999-10-17	26.75%	Philadelphia Eagles	1375.30	20	@ Chicago Bears	1481.60	16
13	1999-12-24	27.10%	@ New Orleans Saints	1317.07	31	Dallas Cowboys	1556.45	24
14	1999-10-10	28.03%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1355.67	13	Dallas Cowboys	1586.90	10
15	1999-11-28	28.58%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1556.90	16	@ Seattle Seahawks	1647.22	3
16	1999-10-17	28.68%	Oakland Raiders	1485.99	20	@ Buffalo Bills	1575.48	14
17	1999-09-12	30.32%	New England Patriots	1511.80	30	@ New York Jets	1587.61	28
18	1999-10-17	30.41%	Carolina Panthers	1470.67	31	@ San Francisco 49ers	1545.72	29
19	1999-11-15	30.71%	New York Jets	1504.45	24	@ New England Patriots	1577.07	17
20	1999-09-19	31.64%	Washington Redskins	1468.03	50	@ New York Giants	1533.06	21
21	1999-09-13	31.67%	Miami Dolphins	1539.55	38	@ Denver Broncos	1604.37	21
22	1999-09-26	31.98%	Tennessee Titans	1531.80	20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1594.09	19
23	1999-12-19	32.30%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1330.60	24	New England Patriots	1526.57	9
24	1999-10-03	33.53%	Baltimore Ravens	1442.25	19	@ Atlanta Falcons	1492.36	13
25	1999-11-14	33.60%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1349.59	35	Washington Redskins	1535.29	28

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1999-12-19	62.08	@ Oakland Raiders	45	1500.99	41.21%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0	1630.08	58.58%
2	1999-09-19	57.98	Washington Redskins	50	1468.03	31.64%	@ New York Giants	21	1533.06	68.16%
3	1999-12-26	51.44	@ Tennessee Titans	41	1559.00	37.13%	Jacksonville Jaguars	14	1717.87	62.66%
4	1999-12-05	50.23	@ Baltimore Ravens	41	1432.71	38.60%	Tennessee Titans	14	1580.72	61.19%
5	1999-10-24	49.50	Green Bay Packers	31	1528.76	40.57%	@ San Diego Chargers	3	1526.20	59.21%
6	1999-09-19	46.63	San Diego Chargers	34	1441.03	43.00%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	7	1421.15	56.78%
7	2000-01-23 *	44.40	Tennessee Titans	33	1662.08	35.42%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	14	1698.36	64.58%
8	1999-09-13	44.38	Miami Dolphins	38	1539.55	31.67%	@ Denver Broncos	21	1604.37	68.14%
9	1999-11-07	44.10	Pittsburgh Steelers	27	1492.04	38.88%	@ San Francisco 49ers	6	1501.78	60.91%
10	1999-09-26	44.02	Seattle Seahawks	29	1503.01	35.88%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1535.08	63.92%
11	1999-11-01	43.78	Seattle Seahawks	27	1560.71	37.82%	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1578.26	61.97%
12	1999-11-07	42.15	Buffalo Bills	34	1539.38	35.09%	@ Washington Redskins	17	1577.44	64.71%
13	1999-09-12	42.14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	41	1542.48	56.54%	San Francisco 49ers	3	1564.08	43.24%
14	1999-12-19	41.30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	24	1330.60	32.30%	New England Patriots	9	1526.57	67.50%
15	1999-11-28	40.56	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16	1556.90	28.58%	@ Seattle Seahawks	3	1647.22	71.23%
16	1999-10-21	40.40	Kansas City Chiefs	35	1532.29	50.60%	@ Baltimore Ravens	8	1459.28	49.18%
17	1999-12-19	40.20	@ Chicago Bears	28	1408.44	39.81%	Detroit Lions	10	1547.58	59.97%
18	1999-09-26	38.28	@ St. Louis Rams	35	1491.31	54.02%	Atlanta Falcons	7	1530.64	45.76%
19	1999-10-17	37.04	St. Louis Rams	41	1590.31	55.50%	@ Atlanta Falcons	13	1483.07	44.28%
20	1999-11-14	36.97	@ New Orleans Saints	24	1352.91	44.63%	San Francisco 49ers	6	1457.68	55.15%
21	1999-12-12	36.35	@ San Francisco 49ers	26	1342.04	47.01%	Atlanta Falcons	7	1430.16	52.77%
22	1999-11-25	36.26	@ Dallas Cowboys	20	1542.89	48.48%	Miami Dolphins	0	1620.77	51.30%
23	1999-11-28	36.19	Cincinnati Bengals	27	1250.23	13.25%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	20	1508.15	86.64%
24	2000-01-02	35.96	@ Buffalo Bills	31	1620.07	54.28%	Indianapolis Colts	6	1657.55	45.49%
25	1999-10-24	35.93	Detroit Lions	24	1492.36	41.08%	@ Carolina Panthers	9	1486.17	58.70%