1998 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Denver Broncos

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1997

Runner-Up

Atlanta Falcons

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Atlanta Falcons

3.76 wins above expected

14 wins · 10.24 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Philadelphia Eagles

2.31 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.31 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Jacksonville Jaguars Division	11	5	.688	-	392	338	+54	9.85	+1.15
2	Tennessee Oilers	8	8	.500	3	330	320	+10	7.71	+0.29
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	9	.438	4	263	303	-40	8.48	-1.48
4	Baltimore Ravens	6	10	.375	5	269	335	-66	6.94	-0.94
5	Cincinnati Bengals	3	13	.188	8	268	452	-184	5.28	-2.28

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Jets Division	12	4	.750	-	416	266	+150	9.07	+2.93
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	400	333	+67	8.34	+1.66
3	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	321	265	+56	8.77	+1.23
4	New England Patriots Playoffs	9	7	.562	3	337	329	+8	8.53	+0.47
5	Indianapolis Colts	3	13	.188	9	310	444	-134	5.06	-2.06

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	14	2	.875	-	501	309	+192	12.55	+1.45
2	Oakland Raiders	8	8	.500	6	288	356	-68	7.42	+0.58
3	Seattle Seahawks	8	8	.500	6	372	310	+62	8.47	-0.47
4	Kansas City Chiefs	7	9	.438	7	327	363	-36	8.10	-1.10
5	San Diego Chargers	5	11	.312	9	241	342	-101	6.04	-1.04

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	15	1	.938	-	556	296	+260	11.26	+3.74
2	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	11	5	.688	4	408	319	+89	10.94	+0.06
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8	8	.500	7	314	295	+19	7.70	+0.30
4	Detroit Lions	5	11	.312	10	306	378	-72	6.81	-1.81
5	Chicago Bears	4	12	.250	11	276	368	-92	5.25	-1.25

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	10	6	.625	-	381	275	+106	10.51	-0.51
2	Arizona Cardinals Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	325	378	-53	7.77	+1.23
3	New York Giants	8	8	.500	2	287	309	-22	7.57	+0.43
4	Washington Redskins	6	10	.375	4	319	421	-102	6.30	-0.30
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	13	.188	7	161	344	-183	5.31	-2.31

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Atlanta Falcons Division	14	2	.875	-	442	289	+153	10.24	+3.76
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	4	.750	2	479	328	+151	11.42	+0.58
3	New Orleans Saints	6	10	.375	8	305	359	-54	6.45	-0.45
4	Carolina Panthers	4	12	.250	10	336	413	-77	5.77	-1.77
5	St. Louis Rams	4	12	.250	10	285	378	-93	6.11	-2.11

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Miami Dolphins 24

Buffalo Bills 17

Jan 2

Jacksonville Jaguars 25

New England Patriots 10

Jan 3

Divisional Round

Denver Broncos 38

Miami Dolphins 3

Jan 9

New York Jets 34

Jacksonville Jaguars 24

Jan 10

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 23

New York Jets 10

Jan 17

NFC

Wild Card Round

Arizona Cardinals 20

Dallas Cowboys 7

Jan 2

San Francisco 49ers 30

Green Bay Packers 27

Jan 3

Divisional Round

Atlanta Falcons 20

San Francisco 49ers 18

Jan 9

Minnesota Vikings 41

Arizona Cardinals 21

Jan 10

Conference Championship

Atlanta Falcons 30

Minnesota Vikings 27

Jan 17

Super Bowl

Denver Broncos 34

Atlanta Falcons 19

Jan 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1823	15	11.26	+3.74	99.81%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1752	14	10.24	+3.76	99.63%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1747	12	9.07	+2.93	97.51%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1747	14	12.55	+1.45	89.88%	5	10	12	13	14	15	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1670	12	11.42	+0.58	73.48%	4	9	10	11	13	14	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1655	11	10.94	+0.06	61.83%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1616	11	9.85	+1.15	82.39%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1604	10	8.77	+1.23	82.45%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1588	10	8.34	+1.66	87.56%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1574	10	10.51	-0.51	48.86%	2	8	9	11	12	13	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1539	8	7.70	+0.30	66.81%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1537	8	8.47	-0.47	50.75%	1	6	7	8	10	11	15
Tennessee Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1533	8	7.71	+0.29	66.91%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1532	9	8.53	+0.47	70.12%	0	6	7	9	10	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1517	8	7.57	+0.43	69.59%	0	5	6	8	9	11	14
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1486	7	8.10	-1.10	37.72%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1446	7	8.48	-1.48	30.38%	0	5	7	8	10	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1445	6	6.30	-0.30	55.34%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1422	9	7.77	+1.23	82.39%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1414	8	7.42	+0.58	72.67%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1413	5	6.81	-1.81	24.67%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1403	4	5.77	-1.77	24.85%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1402	6	6.45	-0.45	51.66%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1399	6	6.94	-0.94	41.35%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1345	4	6.11	-2.11	19.19%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1340	4	5.25	-1.25	34.25%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1300	5	6.04	-1.04	38.94%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1277	3	5.06	-2.06	18.22%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1239	3	5.28	-2.28	16.29%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1231	3	5.31	-2.31	15.35%	0	3	4	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Jaguars	Steelers	Oilers
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Tennessee Oilers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Oilers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.1 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	-	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	-
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	-	-	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	2-2 (2.9 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	3-1 (1.3 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.62%	1.67%	1.88%	1.25%	0.62%	0.21%	6.25%
7–13	0.62%	5.42%	4.58%	2.08%	3.33%	1.04%	0.42%	17.50%
14–20	1.67%	4.58%	7.50%	6.67%	3.75%	1.67%	0.42%	26.25%
21–27	1.88%	2.08%	6.67%	5.83%	4.58%	1.04%	1.04%	23.12%
28–34	1.25%	3.33%	3.75%	4.58%	2.50%	1.67%	0.21%	17.29%
35–41	0.62%	1.04%	1.67%	1.04%	1.67%	0.42%	0.21%	6.67%
42+	0.21%	0.42%	0.42%	1.04%	0.21%	0.21%	0.42%	2.92%
Total	6.25%	17.50%	26.25%	23.12%	17.29%	6.67%	2.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.28	21.28	+0.00
SD	10.08	10.08	14.54
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	51	51	+40
Min	0	0	-40

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	62.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	23.62	-3.31
SD	8.66	11.58	12.34
CV	0.43	0.49	—
Max	45	42	+14
Min	7	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.62	18.06	+9.56
SD	11.41	6.07	13.71
CV	0.41	0.34	—
Max	51	31	+31
Min	3	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.81	20.94	-4.12
SD	9.58	10.48	11.74
CV	0.57	0.50	—
Max	38	45	+14
Min	3	10	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.00	20.81	+4.19
SD	11.89	7.82	11.71
CV	0.48	0.38	—
Max	45	34	+23
Min	7	10	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	25.81	-4.81
SD	6.61	11.48	11.31
CV	0.31	0.44	—
Max	31	51	+14
Min	9	13	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	31.25%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.25	23.00	-5.75
SD	7.61	9.82	11.09
CV	0.44	0.43	—
Max	31	48	+21
Min	3	3	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.75	28.25	-11.50
SD	9.53	7.95	11.18
CV	0.57	0.28	—
Max	34	44	+6
Min	0	13	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.81	17.19	+6.62
SD	10.55	12.80	15.54
CV	0.44	0.74	—
Max	38	46	+34
Min	3	0	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.31	19.31	+12.00
SD	7.67	6.71	10.44
CV	0.24	0.35	—
Max	42	31	+26
Min	16	7	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	23.62	-4.50
SD	7.54	11.18	14.00
CV	0.39	0.47	—
Max	28	38	+23
Min	6	3	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.50	19.94	+5.56
SD	8.25	9.13	12.50
CV	0.32	0.46	—
Max	38	37	+34
Min	13	3	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	25.00%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	27.75	-8.38
SD	9.12	7.62	11.89
CV	0.47	0.27	—
Max	39	44	+13
Min	6	12	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	21.12	+3.38
SD	9.08	11.03	15.97
CV	0.37	0.52	—
Max	45	50	+26
Min	10	3	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.44	22.69	-2.25
SD	9.65	10.22	14.09
CV	0.47	0.45	—
Max	37	40	+20
Min	7	6	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.06	16.56	+3.50
SD	6.89	10.70	11.76
CV	0.34	0.65	—
Max	31	38	+21
Min	9	0	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	34.75	18.50	+16.25
SD	8.28	10.26	11.47
CV	0.24	0.55	—
Max	50	36	+40
Min	24	3	-3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.06	20.56	+0.50
SD	8.80	9.62	15.41
CV	0.42	0.47	—
Max	40	41	+30
Min	9	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	43.75%	—	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.06	22.44	-3.38
SD	7.81	12.51	13.70
CV	0.41	0.56	—
Max	33	45	+21
Min	0	3	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.94	19.31	-1.38
SD	10.57	10.40	18.25
CV	0.59	0.54	—
Max	34	37	+27
Min	3	0	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.00	16.62	+9.38
SD	10.52	10.16	15.70
CV	0.40	0.61	—
Max	48	36	+38
Min	10	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	22.25	-4.25
SD	6.62	11.36	12.65
CV	0.37	0.51	—
Max	31	44	+17
Min	7	6	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
7–13	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	10.06	21.50	-11.44
SD	7.04	9.51	13.22
CV	0.70	0.44	—
Max	21	41	+5
Min	0	9	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	37.50%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.44	18.94	-2.50
SD	9.34	8.14	10.81
CV	0.57	0.43	—
Max	31	41	+15
Min	0	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.06	21.38	-6.31
SD	7.32	10.26	8.55
CV	0.49	0.48	—
Max	38	38	+6
Min	6	7	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.94	20.50	+9.44
SD	7.06	10.13	14.56
CV	0.24	0.49	—
Max	45	36	+35
Min	19	0	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	19.38	+3.88
SD	9.05	8.33	13.58
CV	0.39	0.43	—
Max	38	32	+38
Min	6	0	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.81	23.62	-5.81
SD	10.01	9.02	12.19
CV	0.56	0.38	—
Max	34	38	+20
Min	0	10	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.62	18.44	+1.19
SD	9.05	10.35	14.77
CV	0.46	0.56	—
Max	35	31	+35
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Tennessee Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.62	20.00	+0.62
SD	10.79	7.16	11.74
CV	0.52	0.36	—
Max	44	31	+30
Min	3	8	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	6.25%	—	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	26.31	-6.38
SD	9.76	11.84	16.15
CV	0.49	0.45	—
Max	42	45	+25
Min	7	3	-35

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+0.4
Allowed	0.50	-0.5
Differential	0.91	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Atlanta Falcons	14	10.24	+3.76
2	Minnesota Vikings	15	11.26	+3.74
3	New York Jets	12	9.07	+2.93
4	Buffalo Bills	10	8.34	+1.66
5	Denver Broncos	14	12.55	+1.45

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	3	5.31	-2.31
2	Cincinnati Bengals	3	5.28	-2.28
3	St. Louis Rams	4	6.11	-2.11
4	Indianapolis Colts	3	5.06	-2.06
5	Detroit Lions	5	6.81	-1.81

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oakland Raiders	5	Sep 27 – Nov 1	1 in 90
2	Buffalo Bills	5	Oct 4 – Nov 1	1 in 50
3	New York Giants	4	Dec 6 – Dec 27	1 in 48
4	Washington Redskins	4	Nov 29 – Dec 19	1 in 34
5	Atlanta Falcons	9	Nov 1 – Dec 27	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	Nov 26 – Dec 28	1 in 103
2	Kansas City Chiefs	6	Oct 11 – Nov 22	1 in 56
3	Carolina Panthers	7	Sep 6 – Oct 25	1 in 29
4	Cincinnati Bengals	9	Oct 18 – Dec 13	1 in 28
5	Denver Broncos	2	Dec 13 – Dec 21	1 in 19

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Jacksonville Jaguars	56.72%	24.68%	11.91%	5.33%	1.38%
Pittsburgh Steelers	22.32%	31.58%	24.23%	15.70%	6.17%
Tennessee Oilers	12.47%	23.11%	28.26%	23.68%	12.47%
Baltimore Ravens	7.18%	15.71%	24.09%	31.19%	21.83%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.31%	4.93%	11.51%	24.10%	58.14%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New York Jets	31.24%	26.56%	22.02%	15.82%	4.37%
Miami Dolphins	27.53%	24.79%	23.00%	19.18%	5.50%
New England Patriots	21.50%	24.44%	24.84%	22.41%	6.81%
Buffalo Bills	19.03%	21.98%	24.22%	26.10%	8.67%
Indianapolis Colts	0.70%	2.22%	5.92%	16.49%	74.66%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	89.23%	8.58%	1.76%	0.38%	0.05%
Seattle Seahawks	5.08%	36.75%	29.15%	19.69%	9.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.42%	29.73%	29.57%	23.84%	13.44%
Oakland Raiders	2.00%	19.04%	26.43%	31.11%	21.42%
San Diego Chargers	0.27%	5.89%	13.10%	24.98%	55.76%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Minnesota Vikings	50.06%	38.12%	9.35%	2.22%	0.25%
Green Bay Packers	44.20%	41.43%	11.02%	2.93%	0.42%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.88%	12.24%	41.50%	28.97%	13.41%
Detroit Lions	1.69%	6.88%	27.69%	39.54%	24.19%
Chicago Bears	0.16%	1.34%	10.44%	26.33%	61.73%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	71.46%	19.03%	6.69%	2.29%	0.54%
Arizona Cardinals	12.48%	30.88%	27.96%	18.77%	9.92%
New York Giants	11.07%	30.52%	28.94%	19.65%	9.81%
Washington Redskins	3.76%	13.56%	22.52%	32.36%	27.79%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.23%	6.01%	13.90%	26.92%	51.94%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
San Francisco 49ers	66.41%	28.47%	4.15%	0.81%	0.16%
Atlanta Falcons	30.65%	53.79%	11.49%	3.23%	0.83%
New Orleans Saints	1.44%	7.65%	33.46%	31.43%	26.02%
St. Louis Rams	0.82%	5.49%	27.88%	32.91%	32.91%
Carolina Panthers	0.68%	4.61%	23.02%	31.62%	40.08%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Denver Broncos	69.41%	16.15%	6.77%	3.28%	1.83%	1.10%	0.60%	0.41%	0.21%	0.12%	0.06%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.86%	21.43%	17.74%	11.90%	9.37%	7.99%	5.97%	4.74%	3.93%	2.75%	2.09%	1.63%	0.91%	0.52%	0.18%
New York Jets	3.93%	12.46%	12.54%	11.09%	10.33%	9.03%	8.52%	7.37%	6.49%	5.66%	4.78%	3.56%	2.19%	1.40%	0.63%
Miami Dolphins	4.01%	10.19%	10.77%	10.22%	9.30%	8.88%	8.58%	7.99%	7.31%	6.28%	5.99%	4.65%	2.89%	1.93%	1.00%
New England Patriots	2.80%	7.95%	9.27%	9.37%	9.18%	9.05%	8.93%	8.57%	7.93%	7.64%	6.68%	5.47%	3.64%	2.31%	1.21%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.34%	8.09%	8.97%	9.38%	9.73%	9.93%	8.81%	8.42%	8.19%	6.99%	5.91%	5.59%	3.69%	2.56%	1.41%
Seattle Seahawks	2.52%	4.53%	7.09%	10.13%	10.76%	10.34%	9.61%	9.30%	8.73%	7.45%	6.52%	5.34%	4.05%	2.55%	1.08%
Buffalo Bills	2.11%	7.37%	8.18%	8.34%	8.42%	8.47%	8.85%	8.66%	8.16%	8.06%	7.56%	6.51%	4.20%	3.19%	1.92%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.77%	3.73%	5.97%	8.56%	8.72%	8.69%	9.63%	9.11%	8.76%	8.62%	7.92%	6.93%	5.64%	3.90%	2.06%
Tennessee Oilers	0.91%	3.99%	5.24%	6.37%	7.32%	8.04%	8.38%	8.98%	9.47%	8.86%	8.72%	8.49%	6.77%	5.21%	3.26%
Oakland Raiders	0.84%	1.62%	3.15%	5.17%	6.47%	6.95%	8.13%	8.82%	9.07%	10.07%	10.28%	9.57%	8.81%	6.83%	4.20%
Baltimore Ravens	0.34%	1.90%	2.93%	3.59%	4.65%	5.90%	6.32%	7.56%	8.89%	9.28%	10.24%	11.56%	10.11%	9.23%	7.50%
San Diego Chargers	0.08%	0.24%	0.66%	1.40%	2.09%	2.82%	3.84%	4.78%	5.68%	7.90%	9.53%	11.48%	16.50%	17.34%	15.68%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.05%	0.22%	0.46%	0.75%	1.12%	1.77%	2.29%	3.07%	4.27%	5.67%	7.34%	10.48%	14.07%	19.68%	28.77%
Indianapolis Colts	0.01%	0.13%	0.29%	0.43%	0.72%	1.05%	1.55%	2.20%	2.89%	4.67%	6.39%	8.71%	16.52%	23.36%	31.08%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
San Francisco 49ers	28.05%	23.73%	16.49%	12.13%	9.45%	4.97%	2.34%	1.31%	0.72%	0.38%	0.22%	0.11%	0.05%	0.03%	<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	24.19%	20.21%	16.96%	14.85%	10.37%	5.88%	3.44%	1.87%	1.10%	0.60%	0.31%	0.12%	0.07%	0.02%	<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	21.32%	17.68%	15.81%	15.49%	11.94%	7.25%	4.35%	2.61%	1.57%	0.96%	0.53%	0.27%	0.15%	0.05%	0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	13.24%	17.56%	21.06%	15.45%	10.97%	8.59%	4.95%	3.18%	2.04%	1.27%	0.77%	0.49%	0.26%	0.12%	0.04%
Atlanta Falcons	9.93%	13.14%	14.76%	16.64%	17.49%	11.44%	6.18%	3.98%	2.63%	1.61%	1.01%	0.60%	0.36%	0.17%	0.07%
Arizona Cardinals	0.78%	2.05%	4.16%	5.64%	8.50%	13.38%	11.68%	11.03%	10.29%	8.34%	7.29%	6.16%	4.54%	3.53%	2.62%
New York Giants	0.69%	1.70%	3.55%	5.47%	8.14%	12.39%	11.68%	11.40%	10.91%	8.84%	7.56%	6.64%	4.83%	3.62%	2.58%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.96%	1.69%	2.80%	5.04%	6.84%	9.74%	13.68%	12.31%	10.79%	9.68%	8.09%	6.67%	5.29%	3.88%	2.55%
Detroit Lions	0.34%	0.73%	1.23%	2.62%	3.74%	5.75%	9.62%	9.88%	10.39%	11.79%	11.23%	10.22%	8.73%	7.60%	6.13%
New Orleans Saints	0.18%	0.47%	0.87%	1.77%	3.35%	4.73%	7.69%	10.04%	10.80%	10.75%	10.88%	10.86%	9.98%	9.37%	8.29%
Washington Redskins	0.12%	0.41%	0.98%	1.77%	3.25%	5.67%	6.90%	8.22%	9.59%	10.29%	11.03%	11.57%	10.66%	9.99%	9.55%
St. Louis Rams	0.09%	0.29%	0.54%	1.23%	2.24%	3.65%	6.18%	8.24%	9.50%	10.30%	11.36%	11.78%	11.35%	11.39%	11.87%
Carolina Panthers	0.07%	0.19%	0.39%	0.95%	1.76%	2.73%	4.63%	6.93%	8.43%	9.29%	10.81%	12.11%	13.06%	14.01%	14.63%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.02%	0.07%	0.27%	0.57%	1.20%	2.43%	3.48%	4.83%	5.96%	7.81%	9.60%	11.20%	14.51%	17.16%	20.89%
Chicago Bears	0.02%	0.07%	0.13%	0.37%	0.77%	1.42%	3.22%	4.18%	5.28%	8.07%	9.30%	11.19%	16.16%	19.07%	20.76%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
Denver Broncos	39.03%	24.93%	10.75%	8.15%	4.78%	3.51%	2.37%	1.77%	1.23%	0.94%	0.68%	0.49%	0.39%	0.25%	0.22%	0.15%	0.12%	0.08%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%	0.03%	<0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-
San Francisco 49ers	15.06%	15.53%	14.48%	10.72%	9.23%	7.01%	6.05%	4.96%	4.10%	3.41%	2.21%	1.97%	1.29%	1.07%	0.71%	0.60%	0.40%	0.35%	0.21%	0.19%	0.14%	0.09%	0.07%	0.04%	0.03%	0.02%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	12.88%	13.58%	13.18%	10.08%	9.71%	7.53%	7.20%	5.50%	4.70%	3.67%	2.65%	2.32%	1.61%	1.40%	0.99%	0.83%	0.57%	0.46%	0.34%	0.26%	0.19%	0.14%	0.08%	0.07%	0.03%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Green Bay Packers	10.90%	11.82%	11.34%	9.26%	9.26%	7.52%	7.10%	6.35%	5.24%	4.69%	3.19%	3.10%	2.03%	2.01%	1.21%	1.29%	0.81%	0.77%	0.49%	0.49%	0.31%	0.25%	0.17%	0.16%	0.08%	0.07%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	6.63%	8.47%	10.37%	10.02%	10.37%	8.91%	7.22%	6.83%	5.28%	4.91%	3.89%	3.61%	2.49%	2.43%	1.67%	1.52%	1.13%	0.99%	0.74%	0.66%	0.45%	0.42%	0.28%	0.25%	0.18%	0.12%	0.07%	0.04%	0.03%	<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	4.61%	6.51%	8.10%	7.82%	8.56%	7.97%	8.12%	7.56%	7.16%	6.88%	4.77%	4.97%	3.02%	3.18%	1.99%	1.97%	1.33%	1.40%	0.91%	0.81%	0.60%	0.52%	0.37%	0.28%	0.21%	0.15%	0.11%	0.07%	0.04%	0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.37%	5.00%	7.16%	9.97%	7.77%	9.40%	7.17%	6.99%	5.77%	5.38%	4.93%	4.02%	3.63%	3.14%	2.99%	2.10%	2.15%	1.65%	1.61%	1.24%	1.14%	0.83%	0.77%	0.57%	0.44%	0.30%	0.25%	0.15%	0.08%	0.03%
New York Jets	1.29%	2.38%	4.13%	5.63%	5.70%	6.37%	6.09%	6.06%	6.02%	5.69%	5.53%	4.81%	5.06%	4.10%	4.46%	3.66%	3.76%	2.85%	3.08%	2.52%	2.51%	1.85%	1.69%	1.25%	1.20%	0.78%	0.68%	0.42%	0.27%	0.16%
Miami Dolphins	1.28%	2.10%	3.19%	4.66%	4.66%	5.68%	5.37%	5.80%	5.30%	5.33%	5.29%	4.81%	5.08%	4.32%	4.79%	3.92%	4.26%	3.28%	3.42%	2.96%	3.11%	2.41%	2.15%	1.76%	1.51%	1.17%	0.98%	0.68%	0.49%	0.26%
New England Patriots	0.92%	1.44%	2.73%	3.56%	4.16%	4.49%	5.04%	4.93%	5.35%	5.09%	5.42%	4.80%	5.29%	4.41%	5.04%	4.36%	4.57%	3.72%	4.03%	3.55%	3.43%	2.79%	2.59%	2.16%	1.89%	1.39%	1.15%	0.82%	0.58%	0.32%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.75%	1.38%	2.58%	3.58%	3.96%	4.61%	4.70%	5.08%	5.28%	5.41%	5.59%	5.23%	5.00%	4.71%	4.93%	4.29%	4.40%	3.89%	3.79%	3.33%	3.23%	2.64%	2.72%	2.23%	1.91%	1.47%	1.29%	0.91%	0.71%	0.37%
Seattle Seahawks	0.63%	1.31%	1.77%	2.43%	2.99%	3.94%	4.35%	5.38%	5.50%	5.96%	5.97%	5.56%	5.79%	4.78%	5.45%	4.61%	4.94%	3.91%	4.13%	3.32%	3.62%	2.55%	2.71%	2.12%	1.95%	1.53%	1.16%	0.82%	0.52%	0.29%
Buffalo Bills	0.65%	1.23%	2.34%	3.33%	3.43%	4.26%	4.30%	4.54%	4.63%	4.85%	4.96%	4.83%	5.07%	4.61%	4.97%	4.57%	4.58%	3.94%	4.32%	3.67%	3.85%	3.19%	3.09%	2.58%	2.21%	1.74%	1.68%	1.14%	0.91%	0.54%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.49%	0.94%	1.42%	1.92%	2.61%	3.05%	4.06%	4.23%	4.82%	4.65%	5.20%	4.58%	5.66%	4.49%	5.60%	4.46%	5.25%	3.87%	4.70%	4.03%	4.26%	3.30%	3.50%	2.93%	2.73%	2.19%	1.86%	1.51%	1.08%	0.61%
Arizona Cardinals	0.24%	0.59%	1.15%	1.48%	2.03%	2.48%	2.78%	3.45%	3.72%	4.52%	4.91%	6.08%	4.90%	6.08%	4.75%	5.52%	4.63%	5.46%	4.33%	4.36%	3.84%	3.95%	3.48%	3.25%	2.80%	2.52%	2.16%	1.83%	1.58%	1.14%
Tennessee Oilers	0.26%	0.52%	1.19%	1.70%	2.10%	2.70%	3.10%	3.38%	3.85%	4.14%	4.42%	4.31%	4.80%	4.50%	5.27%	4.71%	5.10%	4.54%	4.90%	4.44%	4.72%	3.94%	4.33%	3.59%	3.40%	2.89%	2.64%	1.93%	1.66%	0.96%
New York Giants	0.22%	0.46%	0.92%	1.08%	1.86%	2.00%	2.82%	2.80%	3.87%	3.97%	4.96%	5.56%	4.81%	5.99%	4.78%	5.62%	4.84%	5.91%	4.22%	4.85%	3.77%	4.52%	3.48%	3.76%	2.80%	3.01%	2.20%	2.18%	1.53%	1.24%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.29%	0.64%	0.99%	1.19%	1.71%	1.89%	2.70%	2.80%	3.51%	3.64%	4.29%	4.98%	5.36%	6.22%	5.00%	6.02%	4.93%	5.51%	4.68%	4.94%	3.96%	4.46%	3.63%	3.66%	3.04%	2.82%	2.38%	2.02%	1.54%	1.21%
Oakland Raiders	0.19%	0.39%	0.56%	0.91%	1.21%	1.73%	2.12%	2.87%	3.16%	3.60%	3.83%	4.06%	4.67%	4.19%	5.22%	4.59%	5.25%	4.39%	5.77%	4.78%	5.66%	4.32%	5.03%	4.14%	4.46%	3.43%	3.41%	2.61%	2.16%	1.29%
Baltimore Ravens	0.08%	0.20%	0.46%	0.86%	1.08%	1.46%	1.57%	2.03%	2.21%	2.74%	2.94%	3.38%	3.57%	3.57%	4.30%	4.22%	4.81%	4.55%	5.20%	4.90%	5.47%	4.85%	5.86%	5.13%	5.07%	4.43%	4.77%	3.82%	3.71%	2.78%
Detroit Lions	0.09%	0.21%	0.39%	0.48%	0.75%	0.77%	1.42%	1.44%	1.91%	1.97%	2.65%	3.04%	3.84%	4.39%	4.06%	5.00%	4.50%	5.40%	4.91%	6.02%	4.83%	6.19%	5.00%	5.62%	4.83%	5.04%	4.30%	4.19%	3.59%	3.19%
New Orleans Saints	0.05%	0.11%	0.24%	0.29%	0.49%	0.58%	0.97%	1.00%	1.61%	1.58%	2.28%	2.44%	3.08%	3.69%	3.79%	4.72%	4.33%	5.57%	4.67%	5.61%	5.02%	6.00%	5.20%	5.82%	5.23%	5.83%	5.08%	5.35%	4.71%	4.65%
Washington Redskins	0.04%	0.07%	0.19%	0.25%	0.47%	0.60%	0.83%	1.04%	1.41%	1.65%	2.02%	2.73%	2.66%	3.65%	3.02%	4.19%	3.86%	5.20%	4.31%	5.43%	4.81%	6.31%	5.39%	6.40%	5.53%	6.09%	5.47%	5.85%	5.37%	5.14%
St. Louis Rams	0.02%	0.06%	0.14%	0.19%	0.32%	0.39%	0.66%	0.71%	1.04%	1.21%	1.70%	1.88%	2.39%	3.00%	3.08%	3.92%	3.67%	4.95%	4.29%	5.18%	4.96%	6.28%	5.43%	6.51%	5.85%	6.75%	6.09%	6.53%	6.40%	6.38%
San Diego Chargers	<0.01%	0.04%	0.04%	0.11%	0.20%	0.34%	0.52%	0.80%	0.91%	1.23%	1.58%	1.62%	2.16%	2.04%	2.90%	2.65%	3.57%	3.10%	4.63%	4.19%	5.69%	4.62%	6.44%	5.96%	8.03%	6.86%	8.26%	7.36%	7.52%	6.60%
Carolina Panthers	0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.12%	0.21%	0.24%	0.50%	0.52%	0.77%	0.91%	1.21%	1.40%	1.78%	2.34%	2.42%	3.36%	3.24%	4.31%	3.86%	4.92%	4.47%	5.97%	5.43%	6.60%	6.14%	7.53%	6.92%	8.26%	7.71%	8.70%
Philadelphia Eagles	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.11%	0.16%	0.24%	0.33%	0.52%	0.58%	0.89%	1.12%	1.35%	1.71%	1.76%	2.20%	2.54%	3.11%	3.27%	3.72%	4.17%	5.09%	5.24%	6.02%	6.56%	7.93%	7.94%	10.13%	10.45%	12.77%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.09%	0.14%	0.21%	0.29%	0.39%	0.49%	0.62%	0.86%	0.96%	1.28%	1.29%	1.73%	1.71%	2.41%	2.33%	3.17%	3.16%	4.11%	3.89%	5.53%	5.70%	7.04%	7.15%	9.34%	9.70%	12.62%	13.74%
Chicago Bears	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.07%	0.08%	0.20%	0.21%	0.38%	0.39%	0.70%	0.73%	1.14%	1.53%	1.64%	2.02%	2.25%	2.70%	3.11%	3.80%	3.91%	5.10%	5.12%	6.27%	6.70%	8.87%	8.59%	11.01%	10.68%	12.74%
Indianapolis Colts	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.06%	0.13%	0.15%	0.27%	0.27%	0.40%	0.51%	0.61%	0.82%	0.91%	1.27%	1.21%	1.80%	1.78%	2.85%	2.64%	3.71%	3.50%	5.23%	5.14%	8.11%	7.89%	11.14%	10.64%	14.06%	14.85%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Denver Broncos	69.41%	15.02%	4.80%	5.93%	2.21%	1.17%	1.47%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.86%	23.39%	24.46%	6.59%	7.26%	7.15%	22.29%
Miami Dolphins	4.01%	11.31%	12.21%	7.98%	8.99%	8.84%	46.66%
New York Jets	3.93%	13.63%	13.68%	9.13%	9.90%	9.07%	40.65%
New England Patriots	2.80%	8.82%	9.87%	7.96%	9.02%	9.09%	52.43%
Seattle Seahawks	2.52%	1.68%	0.88%	16.40%	12.74%	10.93%	54.85%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.34%	8.86%	11.12%	7.71%	9.07%	9.52%	51.38%
Buffalo Bills	2.11%	8.22%	8.71%	6.94%	8.27%	8.57%	57.20%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.77%	1.09%	0.56%	14.28%	10.24%	9.30%	62.76%
Tennessee Oilers	0.91%	4.50%	7.07%	4.88%	6.89%	7.74%	68.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.84%	0.69%	0.46%	7.35%	7.35%	7.32%	75.99%
Baltimore Ravens	0.34%	2.25%	4.59%	2.42%	4.17%	5.67%	80.56%
San Diego Chargers	0.08%	0.10%	0.09%	1.71%	2.27%	2.93%	92.81%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.05%	0.29%	0.98%	0.46%	0.97%	1.69%	95.57%
Indianapolis Colts	0.01%	0.16%	0.53%	0.27%	0.64%	1.02%	97.38%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers	28.05%	25.42%	12.93%	12.30%	11.03%	5.07%	5.19%
Minnesota Vikings	24.19%	17.55%	8.33%	23.43%	12.60%	6.32%	7.59%
Green Bay Packers	21.32%	15.45%	7.44%	23.27%	14.31%	7.65%	10.56%
Dallas Cowboys	13.24%	19.83%	38.39%	3.07%	5.39%	7.24%	12.84%
Atlanta Falcons	9.93%	12.91%	7.82%	20.07%	20.85%	11.76%	16.67%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.96%	1.61%	1.30%	5.17%	7.27%	10.59%	73.09%
Arizona Cardinals	0.78%	2.52%	9.18%	2.66%	6.72%	12.80%	65.34%
New York Giants	0.69%	2.14%	8.24%	2.89%	6.39%	11.77%	67.87%
Detroit Lions	0.34%	0.68%	0.67%	2.60%	3.93%	6.08%	85.70%
New Orleans Saints	0.18%	0.56%	0.69%	1.46%	3.38%	4.96%	88.76%
Washington Redskins	0.12%	0.57%	3.07%	0.71%	2.43%	5.38%	87.73%
St. Louis Rams	0.09%	0.33%	0.40%	1.06%	2.31%	3.77%	92.04%
Carolina Panthers	0.07%	0.24%	0.37%	0.78%	1.75%	2.84%	93.95%
Chicago Bears	0.02%	0.07%	0.08%	0.32%	0.76%	1.48%	97.27%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.02%	0.11%	1.10%	0.21%	0.88%	2.29%	95.39%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+25.83%

Fortress

62.92%37.08%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 91.83 Elo pts.

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.50 points

Home-Tilted

-8+3.68+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 15th · Longshot: 16th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.0

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

25%

Denver Broncos, 2nd of 30

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

22.3%

Favored

012.50%30%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.44 · As Expected: 1.44 to 1.99 · Elevated: 1.99 to 2.71 · High Variance: 2.71 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.11 · Close: 4.11 to 5.56 · Off Target: 5.56 to 7.25 · Well Off Target: 7.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 30 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 30 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 3.6 · Several Outliers: 3.6 to 6.6 · Many Outliers: 6.6 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.42 · As Expected: 2.42 to 4.03 · More Than Expected: 4.03 to 6.45 · Far More Than Expected: 6.45 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.64 wins

As Expected

01.815

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.37

Pinpoint

04.8310

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.33%

99.81%

Minnesota Vikings

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.67%

15.35%

Philadelphia Eagles

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 30

As Expected

03.015

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

03.212

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.02

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

76%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

97%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

21%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.20

Predictable

00.201

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.86

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.38

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%32%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.57

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.12

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.066

Within Noise

00.0990.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Minnesota Vikings	80.58%	80.58%	58.81%	40.27%	26.46%
Denver Broncos	95.35%	95.35%	73.20%	52.08%	24.89%
Atlanta Falcons	61.05%	61.05%	36.04%	18.76%	11.05%
San Francisco 49ers	77.41%	77.41%	41.79%	18.25%	8.81%
New York Jets	49.46%	49.46%	31.25%	16.67%	8.59%
Green Bay Packers	66.18%	66.18%	30.53%	13.51%	6.42%
Jacksonville Jaguars	61.98%	61.98%	30.04%	11.23%	3.98%
Dallas Cowboys	65.30%	65.30%	22.09%	6.86%	2.68%
Miami Dolphins	38.02%	37.28%	17.32%	6.17%	2.22%
Buffalo Bills	32.48%	28.01%	12.12%	4.10%	1.42%
New England Patriots	35.95%	28.80%	10.40%	3.03%	0.87%
Seattle Seahawks	40.95%	22.55%	6.39%	2.13%	0.66%
Tennessee Oilers	26.59%	17.65%	5.80%	1.65%	0.49%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	24.33%	10.69%	3.16%	0.88%	0.35%
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.42%	24.79%	6.46%	1.29%	0.28%
New York Giants	29.30%	13.09%	3.23%	0.78%	0.27%
Kansas City Chiefs	34.37%	15.99%	3.70%	1.03%	0.26%
Arizona Cardinals	31.36%	11.16%	1.93%	0.31%	0.08%
Baltimore Ravens	16.84%	7.48%	1.57%	0.28%	0.06%
Oakland Raiders	22.47%	7.84%	1.42%	0.29%	0.05%
Washington Redskins	11.58%	3.84%	0.69%	0.13%	0.04%
Detroit Lions	13.28%	3.80%	0.69%	0.11%	0.04%
New Orleans Saints	10.49%	2.80%	0.46%	0.08%	0.01%
Carolina Panthers	5.74%	1.43%	0.24%	0.03%	<0.01%
San Diego Chargers	7.01%	1.32%	0.14%	0.02%	<0.01%
St. Louis Rams	7.54%	1.55%	0.23%	0.02%	<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	2.45%	0.58%	0.08%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.48%	0.64%	0.05%	<0.01%	-
Cincinnati Bengals	4.10%	0.92%	0.11%	<0.01%	-
Chicago Bears	2.64%	0.47%	0.07%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		24.9%1.43%	80.0%0.12%	10.9%0.62%	73.7%0.10%	19.8%2.74%	39.4%1.51%	22.3%1.70%	31.8%1.52%	11.3%1.83%	49.4%0.94%	42.4%1.34%	66.7%0.28%	32.7%1.83%	31.5%0.90%
Buffalo Bills	75.1%1.43%		85.7%0.30%	26.3%1.30%	89.6%0.18%	40.0%3.86%	64.1%3.41%	46.9%3.19%	59.1%2.85%	28.7%3.56%	75.0%2.15%	66.0%3.13%	84.6%0.58%	57.3%4.24%	57.5%2.29%
Cincinnati Bengals	20.0%0.12%	14.3%0.30%		5.4%0.17%	60.0%0.02%	9.5%0.71%	20.7%0.33%	12.2%0.43%	14.5%0.42%	4.4%0.48%	31.5%0.18%	18.6%0.32%	41.4%0.07%	15.5%0.39%	12.8%0.16%
Denver Broncos	89.1%0.62%	73.7%1.30%	94.6%0.17%		96.0%0.07%	70.9%1.20%	84.3%1.18%	73.4%1.52%	78.4%1.46%	54.9%1.69%	89.2%0.91%	87.2%1.45%	92.8%0.28%	79.8%1.30%	81.7%0.98%
Indianapolis Colts	26.3%0.10%	10.4%0.18%	40.0%0.02%	4.0%0.07%		8.8%0.34%	21.1%0.20%	10.2%0.24%	17.9%0.19%	5.3%0.26%	35.3%0.15%	21.4%0.20%	56.8%0.04%	18.2%0.29%	21.8%0.17%
Jacksonville Jaguars	80.2%2.74%	60.0%3.86%	90.5%0.71%	29.1%1.20%	91.2%0.34%		71.2%4.55%	58.3%4.16%	66.1%4.09%	36.5%4.36%	80.7%3.06%	74.0%5.82%	89.8%1.15%	65.4%5.33%	65.0%4.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.6%1.51%	35.9%3.41%	79.3%0.33%	15.7%1.18%	78.9%0.20%	28.8%4.55%		32.8%4.15%	40.6%3.85%	18.3%4.60%	62.4%1.17%	54.6%3.82%	76.8%0.26%	41.6%2.68%	43.9%2.66%
Miami Dolphins	77.7%1.70%	53.1%3.19%	87.8%0.43%	26.6%1.52%	89.8%0.24%	41.7%4.16%	67.2%4.15%		60.0%3.45%	31.4%4.44%	75.6%2.43%	71.8%3.71%	87.0%0.80%	60.5%5.22%	61.7%2.58%
New England Patriots	68.2%1.52%	40.9%2.85%	85.5%0.42%	21.6%1.46%	82.1%0.19%	33.9%4.09%	59.4%3.85%	40.0%3.45%		22.1%4.06%	67.8%2.55%	60.1%3.45%	81.8%0.75%	51.9%4.84%	51.3%2.49%
New York Jets	88.7%1.83%	71.3%3.56%	95.6%0.48%	45.1%1.69%	94.7%0.26%	63.5%4.36%	81.7%4.60%	68.6%4.44%	77.9%4.06%		87.3%3.07%	84.1%4.10%	93.5%0.97%	78.1%5.53%	77.0%2.84%
Oakland Raiders	50.6%0.94%	25.0%2.15%	68.5%0.18%	10.8%0.91%	64.7%0.15%	19.3%3.06%	37.6%1.17%	24.4%2.43%	32.2%2.55%	12.7%3.07%		40.8%2.51%	68.7%0.15%	31.8%1.48%	30.8%1.74%
Pittsburgh Steelers	57.6%1.34%	34.0%3.13%	81.4%0.32%	12.8%1.45%	78.6%0.20%	26.0%5.82%	45.4%3.82%	28.2%3.71%	39.9%3.45%	15.9%4.10%	59.2%2.51%		75.7%0.81%	40.3%4.54%	40.5%2.22%
San Diego Chargers	33.3%0.28%	15.4%0.58%	58.6%0.07%	7.2%0.28%	43.2%0.04%	10.2%1.15%	23.2%0.26%	13.0%0.80%	18.2%0.75%	6.5%0.97%	31.3%0.15%	24.3%0.81%		19.1%0.35%	17.7%0.52%
Seattle Seahawks	67.3%1.83%	42.7%4.24%	84.5%0.39%	20.2%1.30%	81.8%0.29%	34.6%5.33%	58.4%2.68%	39.5%5.22%	48.1%4.84%	21.9%5.53%	68.2%1.48%	59.7%4.54%	80.9%0.35%		50.2%2.94%
Tennessee Oilers	68.5%0.90%	42.5%2.29%	87.2%0.16%	18.3%0.98%	78.2%0.17%	35.0%4.09%	56.1%2.66%	38.3%2.58%	48.7%2.49%	23.0%2.84%	69.2%1.74%	59.5%2.22%	82.3%0.52%	49.8%2.94%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		12.4%4.06%	59.9%0.39%	66.9%0.18%	26.2%9.12%	54.5%0.83%	19.5%4.21%	7.9%4.02%	57.7%0.62%	39.7%1.82%	74.3%0.24%	16.0%3.09%	62.2%0.40%	39.6%1.71%	50.4%0.68%
Atlanta Falcons	87.6%4.06%		89.2%0.50%	92.3%0.47%	66.1%6.16%	89.1%2.48%	61.1%15.38%	37.0%14.60%	90.4%0.99%	79.6%3.98%	95.2%0.50%	58.2%4.83%	93.2%0.66%	79.0%4.56%	85.7%1.33%
Carolina Panthers	40.1%0.39%	10.8%0.50%		43.5%0.02%	19.2%1.19%	48.3%0.15%	17.2%1.05%	5.7%0.97%	43.8%0.03%	26.3%0.39%	80.0%0.06%	14.1%0.61%	48.0%0.03%	27.0%0.23%	35.5%0.12%
Chicago Bears	33.1%0.18%	7.7%0.47%	56.5%0.02%		13.7%0.63%	44.4%0.02%	9.1%0.27%	3.3%0.31%	35.6%0.04%	22.2%0.18%	59.3%0.03%	10.6%0.35%	50.0%0.03%	18.4%0.04%	34.4%0.06%
Dallas Cowboys	73.8%9.12%	33.9%6.16%	80.8%1.19%	86.3%0.63%		78.8%2.73%	43.5%5.11%	22.7%4.54%	81.1%2.23%	64.3%8.08%	90.4%1.42%	39.9%2.87%	84.4%1.61%	64.5%5.01%	72.9%3.40%
Detroit Lions	45.5%0.83%	10.9%2.48%	51.7%0.15%	55.6%0.02%	21.2%2.73%		17.9%1.60%	6.7%1.59%	52.5%0.26%	31.7%0.83%	62.5%0.12%	14.7%1.88%	57.1%0.19%	31.6%0.31%	37.5%0.30%
Green Bay Packers	80.5%4.21%	38.9%15.38%	82.8%1.05%	90.9%0.27%	56.5%5.11%	82.1%1.60%		28.3%3.80%	83.8%1.81%	70.7%3.94%	92.2%0.54%	47.6%9.09%	89.6%1.35%	70.1%3.05%	79.8%1.48%
Minnesota Vikings	92.1%4.02%	63.0%14.60%	94.3%0.97%	96.7%0.31%	77.3%4.54%	93.3%1.59%	71.7%3.80%		93.9%1.86%	87.6%3.85%	98.1%0.53%	70.3%8.68%	95.7%1.33%	84.8%3.19%	91.6%1.40%
New Orleans Saints	42.3%0.62%	9.6%0.99%	56.2%0.03%	64.4%0.04%	18.9%2.23%	47.5%0.26%	16.2%1.81%	6.1%1.86%		31.0%0.68%	76.6%0.08%	15.1%1.14%	58.6%0.06%	31.8%0.42%	34.8%0.26%
New York Giants	60.3%1.82%	20.4%3.98%	73.7%0.39%	77.8%0.18%	35.7%8.08%	68.3%0.83%	29.3%3.94%	12.4%3.85%	69.0%0.68%		86.4%0.22%	24.8%2.92%	77.7%0.45%	53.3%1.39%	62.7%0.57%
Philadelphia Eagles	25.7%0.24%	4.8%0.50%	20.0%0.06%	40.7%0.03%	9.6%1.42%	37.5%0.12%	7.8%0.54%	1.9%0.53%	23.4%0.08%	13.6%0.22%		6.7%0.42%	38.6%0.06%	23.6%0.20%	25.7%0.07%
San Francisco 49ers	84.0%3.09%	41.8%4.83%	85.9%0.61%	89.4%0.35%	60.1%2.87%	85.3%1.88%	52.4%9.09%	29.7%8.68%	84.9%1.14%	75.2%2.92%	93.3%0.42%		89.9%0.89%	72.9%3.38%	84.2%1.20%
St. Louis Rams	37.8%0.40%	6.8%0.66%	52.0%0.03%	50.0%0.03%	15.6%1.61%	42.9%0.19%	10.4%1.35%	4.3%1.33%	41.4%0.06%	22.3%0.45%	61.4%0.06%	10.1%0.89%		23.7%0.32%	31.7%0.18%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	60.4%1.71%	21.0%4.56%	73.0%0.23%	81.6%0.04%	35.5%5.01%	68.4%0.31%	29.9%3.05%	15.2%3.19%	68.2%0.42%	46.7%1.39%	76.4%0.20%	27.1%3.38%	76.3%0.32%		56.3%0.53%
Washington Redskins	49.6%0.68%	14.3%1.33%	64.5%0.12%	65.6%0.06%	27.1%3.40%	62.5%0.30%	20.2%1.48%	8.4%1.40%	65.2%0.26%	37.3%0.57%	74.3%0.07%	15.8%1.20%	68.3%0.18%	43.7%0.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		25.9%0.76%	80.0%<0.01%	10.3%2.33%	66.7%<0.01%	21.1%0.68%	39.1%0.17%	23.2%0.98%	37.5%0.78%	12.6%1.18%	53.4%0.06%	46.3%0.19%	42.9%<0.01%	37.8%0.22%	37.0%0.12%
Buffalo Bills	74.1%0.76%		80.5%0.08%	23.4%8.52%	75.0%0.02%	45.7%7.01%	67.9%0.78%	45.5%1.80%	58.3%1.25%	29.6%2.25%	72.1%0.28%	67.3%2.58%	95.2%0.06%	61.0%0.99%	57.6%1.64%
Cincinnati Bengals	20.0%<0.01%	19.5%0.08%		5.5%0.25%		4.7%0.09%	38.5%0.03%	17.5%0.14%	14.3%0.08%	6.9%0.16%	33.3%<0.01%	24.1%0.03%		13.8%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	89.7%2.33%	76.6%8.52%	94.5%0.25%		96.0%0.20%	72.4%12.16%	84.4%8.73%	74.9%10.45%	82.2%8.39%	58.4%14.99%	89.0%4.14%	87.3%6.44%	93.2%0.73%	80.2%12.24%	81.3%5.79%
Indianapolis Colts	33.3%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%		4.0%0.20%		17.4%0.16%	21.4%0.01%	11.1%0.02%	33.3%0.02%	3.0%0.03%	20.0%<0.01%	25.9%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%	10.3%0.04%
Jacksonville Jaguars	78.9%0.68%	54.3%7.01%	95.3%0.09%	27.6%12.16%	82.6%0.16%		72.6%1.97%	52.5%9.92%	61.9%7.52%	34.4%13.51%	77.9%1.03%	71.5%3.02%	88.2%0.17%	65.2%2.90%	63.9%1.82%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.9%0.17%	32.1%0.78%	61.5%0.03%	15.6%8.73%	78.6%0.01%	27.4%1.97%		27.3%1.06%	38.4%0.69%	19.3%1.18%	51.5%0.10%	49.7%0.57%	33.3%<0.01%	42.8%0.29%	41.5%0.41%
Miami Dolphins	76.8%0.98%	54.5%1.80%	82.5%0.14%	25.1%10.45%	88.9%0.02%	47.5%9.92%	72.7%1.06%		60.2%1.87%	33.1%3.35%	77.2%0.49%	70.4%3.29%	86.5%0.09%	63.6%1.49%	60.5%2.32%
New England Patriots	62.5%0.78%	41.7%1.25%	85.7%0.08%	17.8%8.39%	66.7%0.02%	38.1%7.52%	61.6%0.69%	39.8%1.87%		24.1%2.75%	71.5%0.39%	59.3%2.39%	79.3%0.06%	54.9%1.09%	51.2%1.53%
New York Jets	87.4%1.18%	70.4%2.25%	93.1%0.16%	41.6%14.99%	97.0%0.03%	65.6%13.51%	80.7%1.18%	66.9%3.35%	75.9%2.75%		88.2%0.71%	83.0%4.59%	93.4%0.11%	77.5%1.85%	75.5%2.80%
Oakland Raiders	46.6%0.06%	27.9%0.28%	66.7%<0.01%	11.0%4.14%	80.0%<0.01%	22.1%1.03%	48.5%0.10%	22.8%0.49%	28.5%0.39%	11.8%0.71%		47.2%0.30%	60.0%<0.01%	38.6%0.14%	37.9%0.18%
Pittsburgh Steelers	53.7%0.19%	32.7%2.58%	75.9%0.03%	12.7%6.44%	74.1%0.05%	28.5%3.02%	50.3%0.57%	29.6%3.29%	40.7%2.39%	17.0%4.59%	52.8%0.30%		68.8%0.05%	42.9%0.81%	45.6%0.48%
San Diego Chargers	57.1%<0.01%	4.8%0.06%		6.8%0.73%	100.0%<0.01%	11.8%0.17%	66.7%<0.01%	13.5%0.09%	20.7%0.06%	6.6%0.11%	40.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.05%		13.3%0.01%	18.8%0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	62.2%0.22%	39.0%0.99%	86.2%0.03%	19.8%12.24%	83.3%0.01%	34.8%2.90%	57.2%0.29%	36.4%1.49%	45.1%1.09%	22.5%1.85%	61.4%0.14%	57.1%0.81%	86.7%0.01%		45.0%0.48%
Tennessee Oilers	63.0%0.12%	42.4%1.64%	100.0%<0.01%	18.7%5.79%	89.7%0.04%	36.1%1.82%	58.5%0.41%	39.5%2.32%	48.8%1.53%	24.5%2.80%	62.1%0.18%	54.4%0.48%	81.2%0.03%	55.0%0.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		13.6%1.92%	77.8%0.03%	60.0%<0.01%	27.9%0.88%	48.3%0.06%	20.1%1.96%	9.1%2.65%	50.0%0.06%	42.4%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	17.5%3.29%	60.6%0.03%	33.2%0.20%	70.6%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	86.4%1.92%		89.8%0.13%	90.2%0.04%	71.4%12.87%	87.9%0.43%	59.5%9.49%	36.8%13.24%	90.3%0.27%	80.2%1.94%	91.9%0.10%	57.0%18.55%	86.8%0.15%	79.2%1.31%	85.0%0.62%
Carolina Panthers	22.2%0.03%	10.2%0.13%			22.2%0.25%	71.4%<0.01%	16.9%0.24%	9.7%0.35%	60.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.04%		15.5%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	50.0%0.01%
Chicago Bears	40.0%<0.01%	9.8%0.04%			14.9%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	14.4%0.09%	13.9%0.11%	33.3%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%		8.7%0.13%		50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	72.1%0.88%	28.6%12.87%	77.8%0.25%	85.1%0.07%		72.6%0.71%	38.3%12.52%	20.6%16.01%	75.8%0.54%	59.5%1.24%	78.4%0.04%	35.4%17.83%	76.3%0.28%	57.4%1.81%	67.5%0.25%
Detroit Lions	51.7%0.06%	12.1%0.43%	28.6%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	27.4%0.71%		18.7%0.66%	7.9%0.84%	62.5%<0.01%	47.8%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.92%	66.7%<0.01%	30.8%0.04%	35.0%0.02%
Green Bay Packers	79.9%1.96%	40.5%9.49%	83.1%0.24%	85.6%0.09%	61.7%12.52%	81.3%0.66%		29.9%23.73%	82.9%0.43%	72.9%2.31%	92.2%0.11%	44.8%11.76%	84.9%0.28%	66.4%1.86%	81.4%0.75%
Minnesota Vikings	90.9%2.65%	63.2%13.24%	90.3%0.35%	86.1%0.11%	79.4%16.01%	92.1%0.84%	70.1%23.73%		92.3%0.64%	86.1%3.26%	97.5%0.16%	67.4%15.79%	93.3%0.36%	84.2%2.55%	92.0%0.90%
New Orleans Saints	50.0%0.06%	9.7%0.27%	40.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	24.2%0.54%	37.5%<0.01%	17.1%0.43%	7.7%0.64%		42.2%0.11%	83.3%<0.01%	11.8%0.68%	25.0%<0.01%	34.1%0.04%	26.3%0.02%
New York Giants	57.6%0.07%	19.8%1.94%	63.2%0.04%	77.8%<0.01%	40.5%1.24%	52.2%0.09%	27.1%2.31%	13.9%3.26%	57.8%0.11%		100.0%<0.01%	25.3%3.79%	86.8%0.04%	43.8%0.18%	47.1%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.0%<0.01%	8.1%0.10%			21.6%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	7.8%0.11%	2.5%0.16%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		7.5%0.20%	0.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	82.5%3.29%	43.0%18.55%	84.5%0.36%	91.3%0.13%	64.6%17.83%	84.2%0.92%	55.2%11.76%	32.6%15.79%	88.2%0.68%	74.7%3.79%	92.5%0.20%		87.9%0.36%	72.2%2.59%	79.8%1.17%
St. Louis Rams	39.4%0.03%	13.2%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%		23.7%0.28%	33.3%<0.01%	15.1%0.28%	6.7%0.36%	75.0%<0.01%	13.2%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	12.1%0.36%		35.0%0.02%	35.7%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	66.8%0.20%	20.8%1.31%	66.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	42.6%1.81%	69.2%0.04%	33.6%1.86%	15.8%2.55%	65.9%0.04%	56.2%0.18%	86.7%0.01%	27.8%2.59%	65.0%0.02%		78.4%0.05%
Washington Redskins	29.4%0.02%	15.0%0.62%	50.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	32.5%0.25%	65.0%0.02%	18.6%0.75%	8.0%0.90%	73.7%0.02%	52.9%0.02%		20.2%1.17%	64.3%0.01%	21.6%0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		37.3%0.06%		10.9%0.91%		25.9%0.14%	47.4%0.02%	27.0%0.10%	33.3%0.04%	18.0%0.19%	33.3%<0.01%	31.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	31.0%0.06%	58.3%0.02%
Buffalo Bills	62.7%0.06%		100.0%<0.01%	24.7%7.21%	100.0%<0.01%	45.0%1.23%	66.1%0.25%	41.3%0.66%	56.6%0.34%	33.1%1.30%	75.3%0.09%	68.4%0.24%	86.7%0.01%	57.4%0.44%	56.3%0.27%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.0%<0.01%		4.6%0.07%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	5.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	89.1%0.91%	75.3%7.21%	95.4%0.07%		90.2%0.05%	71.4%18.79%	81.4%1.23%	74.1%10.38%	78.6%6.18%	57.6%18.66%	86.5%0.48%	86.6%3.90%	94.4%0.04%	77.1%2.10%	80.4%3.21%
Indianapolis Colts		0.0%<0.01%		9.8%0.05%		28.6%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	74.1%0.14%	55.0%1.23%	50.0%<0.01%	28.6%18.79%	71.4%<0.01%		69.5%0.63%	53.0%1.75%	61.9%0.97%	36.6%4.04%	76.6%0.24%	66.7%0.52%	87.5%0.02%	62.4%1.14%	63.9%0.57%
Kansas City Chiefs	52.6%0.02%	33.9%0.25%	100.0%<0.01%	18.6%1.23%	100.0%<0.01%	30.5%0.63%		35.6%0.40%	43.9%0.20%	18.8%0.67%	68.4%0.02%	54.8%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	54.8%0.06%	47.3%0.11%
Miami Dolphins	73.0%0.10%	58.7%0.66%	100.0%<0.01%	25.9%10.38%	83.3%<0.01%	47.0%1.75%	64.4%0.40%		56.4%0.58%	34.2%2.02%	72.1%0.14%	69.9%0.31%	90.0%0.01%	59.2%0.62%	64.2%0.36%
New England Patriots	66.7%0.04%	43.4%0.34%	100.0%<0.01%	21.4%6.18%	100.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.97%	56.1%0.20%	43.6%0.58%		28.1%1.26%	67.9%0.08%	61.9%0.18%	57.1%<0.01%	50.7%0.37%	44.5%0.18%
New York Jets	82.0%0.19%	66.9%1.30%	94.4%0.02%	42.4%18.66%	100.0%<0.01%	63.4%4.04%	81.2%0.67%	65.8%2.02%	71.9%1.26%		86.0%0.27%	81.8%0.87%	76.7%0.03%	74.5%1.17%	71.8%0.75%
Oakland Raiders	66.7%<0.01%	24.7%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	13.5%0.48%		23.4%0.24%	31.6%0.02%	27.9%0.14%	32.1%0.08%	14.0%0.27%		42.9%0.04%		30.8%0.03%	36.4%0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	68.2%0.02%	31.6%0.24%	0.0%<0.01%	13.4%3.90%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.52%	45.2%0.10%	30.1%0.31%	38.1%0.18%	18.2%0.87%	57.1%0.04%		100.0%<0.01%	36.6%0.18%	42.7%0.08%
San Diego Chargers	0.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%		5.6%0.04%		12.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	10.0%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	23.3%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	69.0%0.06%	42.6%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%	22.9%2.10%	100.0%<0.01%	37.6%1.14%	45.2%0.06%	40.8%0.62%	49.3%0.37%	25.5%1.17%	69.2%0.03%	63.4%0.18%	66.7%<0.01%		45.0%0.20%
Tennessee Oilers	41.7%0.02%	43.7%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	19.6%3.21%	100.0%<0.01%	36.1%0.57%	52.7%0.11%	35.8%0.36%	55.5%0.18%	28.2%0.75%	63.6%0.03%	57.3%0.08%	83.3%<0.01%	55.0%0.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		13.4%0.37%	0.0%<0.01%		25.9%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.29%	12.1%0.79%	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%		17.0%0.35%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	86.6%0.37%		78.8%0.03%	92.3%0.01%	69.0%4.26%	85.2%0.15%	59.2%7.44%	38.8%16.19%	92.6%0.05%	77.5%0.60%	87.5%<0.01%	57.1%6.04%	100.0%0.03%	75.3%0.74%	81.6%0.12%
Carolina Panthers	100.0%<0.01%	21.2%0.03%			13.0%0.02%		10.4%0.05%	7.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		9.1%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears		7.7%0.01%			22.2%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		10.0%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	74.1%0.08%	31.0%4.26%	87.0%0.02%	77.8%<0.01%		72.2%0.07%	38.5%3.63%	23.0%9.04%	76.3%0.04%	62.7%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	35.9%4.43%	68.8%0.02%	59.5%0.29%	60.9%0.02%
Detroit Lions	50.0%<0.01%	14.8%0.15%			27.8%0.07%		21.8%0.08%	6.9%0.20%		25.0%<0.01%		18.4%0.17%		20.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	78.6%0.29%	40.8%7.44%	89.6%0.05%	80.0%<0.01%	61.5%3.63%	78.2%0.08%		32.1%9.17%	72.8%0.09%	69.2%0.50%	100.0%<0.01%	48.0%8.78%	87.2%0.04%	65.8%0.35%	80.0%0.10%
Minnesota Vikings	87.9%0.79%	61.2%16.19%	92.6%0.11%	100.0%0.01%	77.0%9.04%	93.1%0.20%	67.9%9.17%		89.6%0.19%	83.9%1.31%	96.3%0.03%	67.3%20.41%	97.1%0.10%	81.8%0.95%	85.3%0.31%
New Orleans Saints	0.0%<0.01%	7.4%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%		23.7%0.04%		27.2%0.09%	10.4%0.19%		50.0%<0.01%		20.3%0.07%		44.4%<0.01%
New York Giants	40.0%<0.01%	22.5%0.60%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	37.3%0.17%	75.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.50%	16.1%1.31%	50.0%<0.01%			31.0%0.59%	100.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles		12.5%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	3.7%0.03%				0.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	83.0%0.35%	42.9%6.04%	90.9%0.02%	90.0%0.02%	64.1%4.43%	81.6%0.17%	52.0%8.78%	32.7%20.41%	79.7%0.07%	69.0%0.59%	100.0%<0.01%		90.7%0.04%	68.7%0.73%	79.7%0.12%
St. Louis Rams	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.03%			31.2%0.02%		12.8%0.04%	2.9%0.10%		0.0%<0.01%		9.3%0.04%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	50.0%0.03%	24.7%0.74%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	40.5%0.29%	80.0%<0.01%	34.2%0.35%	18.2%0.95%	55.6%<0.01%	46.2%0.04%		31.3%0.73%	100.0%<0.01%		71.4%0.01%
Washington Redskins	66.7%<0.01%	18.4%0.12%	0.0%<0.01%		39.1%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.10%	14.7%0.31%		0.0%<0.01%		20.3%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens	100.0%<0.01%	18.4%0.05%			15.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	28.2%0.04%	16.4%0.12%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		18.4%0.05%		50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	40.0%0.01%	31.9%0.81%		100.0%<0.01%	50.7%0.28%	80.0%<0.01%	43.0%0.54%	25.1%1.62%	75.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%		43.3%0.75%		47.6%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	80.7%0.16%	45.2%9.70%	80.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	64.8%3.63%	67.8%0.06%	57.7%6.98%	37.6%21.03%	85.7%0.03%	69.6%0.40%	100.0%<0.01%	56.2%9.54%	100.0%0.01%	67.9%0.46%	71.9%0.06%
Indianapolis Colts		0.0%<0.01%					100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	59.0%0.04%	32.8%2.13%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	52.0%0.78%	60.0%0.01%	42.8%1.53%	26.0%4.44%	90.0%0.01%	54.6%0.10%		43.8%2.08%	100.0%<0.01%	53.5%0.09%	76.5%0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	100.0%<0.01%	23.8%0.21%			39.7%0.07%		31.4%0.16%	17.1%0.40%	100.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%		29.1%0.17%		11.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	63.2%0.02%	33.7%1.14%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	56.6%0.37%	71.4%<0.01%	43.2%0.88%	28.0%2.52%	60.0%<0.01%	68.4%0.06%		39.9%1.10%		54.1%0.06%	54.5%0.01%
New England Patriots	66.7%<0.01%	24.3%0.56%			46.5%0.22%	50.0%<0.01%	34.5%0.43%	21.4%1.19%	100.0%<0.01%	60.9%0.02%		33.3%0.57%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	80.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	73.6%0.05%	49.1%3.11%	57.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	68.9%1.09%	66.7%0.01%	59.9%2.25%	42.2%6.80%	85.7%0.01%	67.2%0.12%		60.5%3.03%		61.9%0.15%	61.9%0.02%
Oakland Raiders	75.0%<0.01%	11.9%0.06%			10.0%0.02%		27.0%0.04%	17.1%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		19.4%0.06%		0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.0%<0.01%	17.1%0.25%			38.3%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	24.2%0.17%	16.9%0.52%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		26.5%0.22%	50.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
San Diego Chargers	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%				33.3%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	50.0%<0.01%	28.7%0.40%	0.0%<0.01%		49.0%0.15%	33.3%<0.01%	37.5%0.28%	22.4%0.87%	100.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.02%		39.3%0.39%		33.3%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Oilers	66.7%<0.01%	26.2%0.34%	100.0%<0.01%		53.4%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.23%	21.7%0.64%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%		33.1%0.29%		36.8%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																0.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%		19.3%0.16%		41.0%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	26.4%0.05%	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																81.6%0.05%	68.1%0.81%	100.0%<0.01%	54.8%9.70%	100.0%<0.01%	67.2%2.13%	76.2%0.21%	66.3%1.14%	75.7%0.56%	50.9%3.11%	88.1%0.06%	82.9%0.25%	75.0%<0.01%	71.3%0.40%	73.8%0.34%
Carolina Panthers																			20.0%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%		42.9%<0.01%				100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																85.0%0.02%	49.3%0.28%	100.0%<0.01%	35.2%3.63%		48.0%0.78%	60.3%0.07%	43.4%0.37%	53.5%0.22%	31.1%1.09%	90.0%0.02%	61.7%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	51.0%0.15%	46.6%0.12%
Detroit Lions																100.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		32.2%0.06%		40.0%0.01%		28.6%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																71.8%0.04%	57.0%0.54%	100.0%<0.01%	42.3%6.98%	0.0%<0.01%	57.2%1.53%	68.6%0.16%	56.8%0.88%	65.5%0.43%	40.1%2.25%	73.0%0.04%	75.8%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.28%	61.5%0.23%
Minnesota Vikings																83.6%0.12%	74.9%1.62%	100.0%<0.01%	62.4%21.03%	100.0%<0.01%	74.0%4.44%	82.9%0.40%	72.0%2.52%	78.6%1.19%	57.8%6.80%	82.9%0.10%	83.1%0.52%	83.3%<0.01%	77.6%0.87%	78.3%0.64%
New Orleans Saints																100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		14.3%0.03%		10.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																66.7%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%		30.4%0.40%		45.4%0.10%	57.1%<0.01%	31.6%0.06%	39.1%0.02%	32.8%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		63.2%0.02%	50.0%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																			0.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																81.6%0.05%	56.7%0.75%	100.0%<0.01%	43.8%9.54%		56.2%2.08%	70.9%0.17%	60.1%1.10%	66.7%0.57%	39.5%3.03%	80.6%0.06%	73.5%0.22%	66.7%<0.01%	60.7%0.39%	66.9%0.29%
St. Louis Rams																			0.0%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																50.0%<0.01%	52.4%0.04%		32.1%0.46%		46.5%0.09%	88.9%<0.01%	45.9%0.06%	50.0%0.02%	38.1%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%		66.7%0.02%	63.2%0.02%
Washington Redskins																0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		28.1%0.06%		23.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Minnesota Vikings	100.00%	80.63%	59.38%	35.91%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	100.00%	78.03%	50.52%	21.93%	Won Super Bowl
New York Jets	100.00%	76.49%	34.87%	15.85%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Atlanta Falcons	100.00%	78.99%	28.31%	15.30%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	64.92%	15.21%	5.47%	2.82%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	73.28%	17.33%	6.33%	2.25%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	35.08%	8.59%	3.18%	1.67%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	65.12%	14.98%	4.45%	1.61%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	80.30%	15.13%	3.45%	1.29%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Buffalo Bills	34.88%	8.21%	2.58%	0.91%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New England Patriots	26.72%	4.96%	1.25%	0.40%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Arizona Cardinals	19.70%	1.45%	0.21%	0.06%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills			34.9%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars				73.3%100.00%
Miami Dolphins	65.1%100.00%
New England Patriots		26.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals		19.7%100.00%
Dallas Cowboys	80.3%100.00%
Green Bay Packers				35.1%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers			64.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets
Buffalo Bills		23.6%25.57%				23.5%9.30%
Denver Broncos	76.4%25.57%			77.0%47.70%	81.5%26.72%
Jacksonville Jaguars						23.6%73.28%
Miami Dolphins		23.0%47.70%				22.9%17.42%
New England Patriots		18.5%26.72%
New York Jets	76.5%9.30%		76.4%73.28%	77.1%17.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals					7.4%19.70%
Atlanta Falcons			81.2%80.30%	70.1%6.92%		70.2%12.78%
Dallas Cowboys		18.8%80.30%
Green Bay Packers		29.9%6.92%			23.1%28.16%
Minnesota Vikings	92.6%19.70%			76.9%28.16%		78.1%52.14%
San Francisco 49ers		29.8%12.78%			21.9%52.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets
Buffalo Bills		28.2%1.79%	38.0%1.39%		68.6%0.40%	27.6%4.63%
Denver Broncos	71.8%1.79%		71.4%13.32%	72.8%3.28%		62.6%59.64%
Jacksonville Jaguars	62.0%1.39%	28.6%13.32%		63.6%2.61%
Miami Dolphins		27.2%3.28%	36.4%2.61%		63.7%0.72%	25.7%8.37%
New England Patriots	31.4%0.40%			36.3%0.72%		22.4%3.84%
New York Jets	72.4%4.63%	37.4%59.64%		74.3%8.37%	77.6%3.84%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals		13.3%1.01%		15.4%0.14%		18.5%0.30%
Atlanta Falcons	86.7%1.01%			63.9%5.32%	28.3%63.40%	65.9%9.26%
Dallas Cowboys				50.8%1.19%	15.6%11.80%	47.0%2.14%
Green Bay Packers	84.6%0.14%	36.1%5.32%	49.2%1.19%		28.8%1.94%
Minnesota Vikings		71.7%63.40%	84.4%11.80%	71.2%1.94%		73.5%3.50%
San Francisco 49ers	81.5%0.30%	34.1%9.26%	53.0%2.14%		26.5%3.50%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets
Buffalo Bills	77.8%<0.01%	38.0%0.74%	64.0%0.10%	31.2%0.09%	30.9%1.51%	48.9%0.13%
Denver Broncos	75.3%0.10%	46.3%14.33%	63.4%1.79%	47.2%1.58%	40.0%29.93%	49.5%2.80%
Jacksonville Jaguars	69.2%0.01%	38.0%1.78%	51.4%0.22%	42.6%0.19%	32.7%3.78%	38.2%0.36%
Miami Dolphins	72.7%0.01%	39.6%1.24%	54.4%0.17%	43.1%0.13%	32.5%2.64%	40.6%0.25%
New England Patriots	80.0%<0.01%	34.9%0.37%	55.6%0.03%	26.8%0.04%	29.2%0.73%	40.7%0.08%
New York Jets	71.1%0.08%	48.8%9.85%	64.5%1.15%	50.9%1.15%	42.0%20.79%	50.4%1.85%
Arizona Cardinals							22.2%<0.01%	24.7%0.10%	30.8%0.01%	27.3%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	28.9%0.08%
Atlanta Falcons							62.0%0.74%	53.7%14.33%	62.0%1.78%	60.4%1.24%	65.1%0.37%	51.2%9.85%
Dallas Cowboys							36.0%0.10%	36.6%1.79%	48.6%0.22%	45.6%0.17%	44.4%0.03%	35.5%1.15%
Green Bay Packers							68.8%0.09%	52.8%1.58%	57.4%0.19%	56.9%0.13%	73.2%0.04%	49.1%1.15%
Minnesota Vikings							69.1%1.51%	60.0%29.93%	67.3%3.78%	67.5%2.64%	70.8%0.73%	58.0%20.79%
San Francisco 49ers							51.1%0.13%	50.5%2.80%	61.8%0.36%	59.4%0.25%	59.3%0.08%	49.6%1.85%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Minnesota Vikings 35.91% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

50.52%

Win Prob

78.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

76.56%

Win Prob

71.71%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

50.03%

Win Prob

60.02%

Denver Broncos 21.93% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

47.06%

Win Prob

76.97%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

73.90%

Win Prob

62.60%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

54.57%

Win Prob

39.98%

New York Jets 15.85% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

73.14%

Win Prob

76.36%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

63.98%

Win Prob

37.40%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

55.05%

Win Prob

41.96%

Atlanta Falcons 15.30% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

82.50%

Win Prob

81.15%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

63.35%

Win Prob

28.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

50.33%

Win Prob

53.73%

San Francisco 49ers 2.82% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.92%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

74.98%

Win Prob

21.87%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

57.80%

Win Prob

34.14%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

50.11%

Win Prob

50.50%

Jacksonville Jaguars 2.25% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.28%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.64%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

60.14%

Win Prob

28.59%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

54.91%

Win Prob

32.70%

Green Bay Packers 1.67% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.08%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

75.87%

Win Prob

23.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

60.41%

Win Prob

36.10%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

49.76%

Win Prob

52.79%

Miami Dolphins 1.61% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.12%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

73.32%

Win Prob

23.03%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

48.29%

Win Prob

25.66%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

53.33%

Win Prob

32.48%

Dallas Cowboys 1.29% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

80.30%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.85%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

53.26%

Win Prob

15.58%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

50.50%

Win Prob

36.58%

Buffalo Bills 0.91% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.88%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

73.40%

Win Prob

23.56%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

49.48%

Win Prob

27.58%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

51.10%

Win Prob

30.92%

New England Patriots 0.40% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.72%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.55%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

69.18%

Win Prob

22.42%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

52.61%

Win Prob

29.24%

Arizona Cardinals 0.06% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

19.70%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

7.35%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

63.51%

Win Prob

13.25%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

42.86%

Win Prob

24.74%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1998-09-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-38	1438.43	1487.73	30.66%	69.16%	-34.61	0-1
1998-09-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-33	1403.82	1580.47	17.54%	82.33%	-16.31	0-2
1998-09-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-3	1387.51	1385.35	63.10%	36.70%	+29.30	1-2
1998-09-27	@ St. Louis Rams	W 20-17	1416.81	1413.04	37.50%	62.30%	+23.00	2-2
1998-10-04	Oakland Raiders	L 20-23	1439.81	1443.91	62.26%	37.54%	-22.98	2-3
1998-10-11	Chicago Bears	W 20-7	1416.83	1408.85	63.87%	35.93%	+27.63	3-3
1998-10-18	@ New York Giants	L 7-34	1444.46	1427.56	39.28%	60.51%	-43.54	3-4
1998-11-01	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-15	1400.92	1449.26	30.78%	69.04%	+20.81	4-4
1998-11-08	Washington Redskins	W 29-27	1421.73	1354.37	71.32%	28.50%	+8.59	5-4
1998-11-15	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-35	1430.32	1633.05	34.47%	65.33%	-19.46	5-5
1998-11-22	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-42	1410.86	1381.32	41.03%	58.76%	+21.70	6-5
1998-11-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-34	1432.56	1453.49	34.23%	65.57%	-23.09	6-6
1998-12-06	New York Giants	L 19-23	1409.47	1392.74	65.03%	34.78%	-27.72	6-7
1998-12-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1381.75	1272.70	52.37%	47.42%	+17.51	7-7
1998-12-20	New Orleans Saints	W 19-17	1399.26	1448.74	55.96%	43.83%	+13.23	8-7
1998-12-27	San Diego Chargers	W 16-13	1412.49	1309.19	75.36%	24.48%	+9.04	9-7
1998-09-06	@ Carolina Panthers	W 19-14	1470.76	1494.50	33.87%	65.94%	+31.43	1-0
1998-09-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-12	1502.19	1396.93	75.56%	24.27%	+11.58	2-0
1998-09-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-31	1513.77	1634.39	22.69%	77.16%	-16.05	2-1
1998-10-04	Carolina Panthers	W 51-23	1497.72	1427.85	71.62%	28.20%	+31.84	3-1
1998-10-11	@ New York Giants	W 34-20	1529.56	1471.19	45.09%	54.69%	+43.63	4-1
1998-10-18	New Orleans Saints	W 31-23	1573.19	1439.20	78.48%	21.37%	+12.89	5-1
1998-10-25	@ New York Jets	L 3-28	1586.08	1512.82	47.22%	52.56%	-50.36	5-2
1998-11-01	St. Louis Rams	W 37-15	1535.72	1395.31	79.10%	20.75%	+20.77	6-2
1998-11-08	@ New England Patriots	W 41-10	1556.49	1588.07	32.87%	66.94%	+79.44	7-2
1998-11-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-19	1635.93	1663.36	59.06%	40.74%	+30.10	8-2
1998-11-22	Chicago Bears	W 20-13	1666.03	1349.52	91.23%	8.69%	+4.90	9-2
1998-11-29	@ St. Louis Rams	W 21-10	1670.93	1350.48	78.75%	21.10%	+14.93	10-2
1998-12-06	Indianapolis Colts	W 28-21	1685.86	1290.62	94.24%	5.71%	+3.21	11-2
1998-12-13	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-17	1689.07	1470.64	67.35%	32.46%	+21.90	12-2
1998-12-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1710.97	1459.59	71.37%	28.45%	+16.06	13-2
1998-12-27	Miami Dolphins	W 38-16	1727.03	1628.98	74.79%	25.04%	+25.06	14-2
1998-09-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-20	1475.88	1537.27	54.26%	45.53%	-30.62	0-1
1998-09-13	@ New York Jets	W 24-10	1445.26	1478.64	32.64%	67.17%	+53.57	1-1
1998-09-20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-24	1498.83	1557.60	29.51%	70.30%	-23.56	1-2
1998-09-27	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-24	1475.27	1465.11	64.16%	35.64%	+20.12	2-2
1998-10-11	Tennessee Oilers	L 8-12	1495.39	1462.31	67.13%	32.68%	-28.62	2-3
1998-10-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-16	1466.77	1530.67	28.90%	70.92%	-19.50	2-4
1998-10-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-28	1447.27	1593.70	20.19%	79.66%	-18.27	2-5
1998-11-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 19-45	1429.00	1592.12	39.78%	60.01%	-43.27	2-6
1998-11-08	Oakland Raiders	W 13-10	1385.73	1555.16	38.92%	60.88%	+22.47	3-6
1998-11-15	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-14	1408.20	1359.97	43.65%	56.13%	-9.31	3-7
1998-11-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-13	1398.89	1372.97	40.53%	59.27%	+33.43	4-7
1998-11-29	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-31	1432.32	1302.93	78.03%	21.81%	+12.31	5-7
1998-12-06	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-16	1444.63	1533.81	26.01%	73.82%	-7.85	5-8
1998-12-13	Minnesota Vikings	L 28-38	1436.78	1763.92	20.46%	79.39%	-13.80	5-9
1998-12-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-24	1422.98	1295.00	55.08%	44.71%	-53.81	5-10
1998-12-27	Detroit Lions	W 19-10	1369.17	1443.53	52.40%	47.38%	+30.31	6-10
1998-09-06	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-16	1457.64	1431.81	40.51%	59.28%	-12.22	0-1
1998-09-13	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-13	1445.42	1538.19	25.62%	74.22%	-13.39	0-2
1998-09-20	St. Louis Rams	L 33-34	1432.03	1398.73	67.16%	32.65%	-14.31	0-3
1998-10-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-21	1417.72	1650.44	30.69%	69.13%	+32.94	1-3
1998-10-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-24	1450.66	1355.40	50.39%	49.40%	+27.87	2-3
1998-10-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-16	1478.53	1621.85	42.54%	57.25%	+12.21	3-3
1998-10-25	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-14	1490.74	1377.57	52.96%	46.83%	+39.95	4-3
1998-11-01	Miami Dolphins	W 30-24	1530.69	1571.47	57.19%	42.60%	+22.26	5-3
1998-11-08	@ New York Jets	L 12-34	1552.95	1585.25	32.77%	67.03%	-32.80	5-4
1998-11-15	New England Patriots	W 13-10	1520.15	1508.63	64.34%	35.46%	+13.10	6-4
1998-11-22	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-11	1533.25	1317.79	85.35%	14.54%	+14.87	7-4
1998-11-29	@ New England Patriots	L 21-25	1548.12	1513.30	41.77%	58.02%	-17.82	7-5
1998-12-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 33-20	1530.30	1316.44	66.77%	33.04%	+25.42	8-5
1998-12-13	Oakland Raiders	W 44-21	1555.72	1444.89	76.15%	23.69%	+24.23	9-5
1998-12-19	New York Jets	L 10-17	1579.95	1705.19	45.10%	54.69%	-25.45	9-6
1998-12-27	@ New Orleans Saints	W 45-33	1554.50	1435.52	53.79%	45.99%	+33.99	10-6
1998-09-06	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-19	1494.50	1470.76	65.94%	33.87%	-31.43	0-1
1998-09-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-19	1463.07	1472.69	35.71%	64.09%	-17.04	0-2
1998-09-27	Green Bay Packers	L 30-37	1446.03	1666.47	32.21%	67.60%	-18.18	0-3
1998-10-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 23-51	1427.85	1497.72	28.20%	71.62%	-31.84	0-4
1998-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-27	1396.01	1590.01	16.14%	83.74%	-9.10	0-5
1998-10-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-16	1386.91	1482.81	25.27%	74.56%	-9.34	0-6
1998-10-25	Buffalo Bills	L 14-30	1377.57	1490.74	46.83%	52.96%	-39.95	0-7
1998-11-01	New Orleans Saints	W 31-17	1337.62	1450.42	46.88%	52.91%	+42.21	1-7
1998-11-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 23-25	1379.83	1660.20	10.49%	89.42%	-3.16	1-8
1998-11-15	Miami Dolphins	L 9-13	1376.67	1559.20	37.14%	62.66%	-15.85	1-9
1998-11-22	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-20	1360.82	1378.24	34.69%	65.12%	+27.76	2-9
1998-11-29	@ New York Jets	L 21-48	1388.58	1663.64	10.78%	89.13%	-11.93	2-10
1998-12-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 28-31	1376.65	1658.27	25.05%	74.78%	-9.26	2-11
1998-12-13	Washington Redskins	L 25-28	1367.39	1428.18	54.35%	45.44%	-20.07	2-12
1998-12-20	St. Louis Rams	W 20-13	1347.32	1376.10	58.87%	40.92%	+23.10	3-12
1998-12-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-19	1370.42	1310.29	45.34%	54.44%	+32.83	4-12
1998-09-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 23-24	1446.61	1525.56	51.75%	48.04%	-11.04	0-1
1998-09-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-17	1435.57	1567.88	21.53%	78.32%	-10.27	0-2
1998-09-20	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-27	1425.30	1461.95	32.23%	67.58%	-23.81	0-3
1998-09-27	Minnesota Vikings	L 28-31	1401.49	1591.38	36.16%	63.64%	-13.37	0-4
1998-10-04	Detroit Lions	W 31-27	1388.12	1470.85	51.20%	48.58%	+20.73	1-4
1998-10-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 7-20	1408.85	1416.83	35.93%	63.87%	-27.64	1-5
1998-10-18	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-12	1381.21	1599.12	32.53%	67.28%	+14.34	2-5
1998-10-25	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 23-20	1395.55	1530.94	21.23%	78.62%	+29.02	3-5
1998-11-08	St. Louis Rams	L 12-20	1424.57	1374.54	69.24%	30.57%	-41.75	3-6
1998-11-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-26	1382.82	1416.88	32.55%	67.26%	-33.30	3-7
1998-11-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1349.52	1666.03	8.69%	91.23%	-4.90	3-8
1998-11-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-31	1344.62	1427.56	51.17%	48.61%	-40.83	3-9
1998-12-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 22-48	1303.79	1759.47	4.10%	95.86%	-4.45	3-10
1998-12-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-26	1299.34	1624.43	8.31%	91.62%	-4.34	3-11
1998-12-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-3	1295.00	1422.98	44.71%	55.08%	+53.81	4-11
1998-12-27	Green Bay Packers	L 13-16	1348.81	1646.55	23.35%	76.49%	-8.62	4-12
1998-09-06	Tennessee Oilers	L 14-23	1491.97	1508.11	60.62%	39.18%	-38.77	0-1
1998-09-13	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-28	1453.20	1485.16	32.82%	66.99%	+34.98	1-1
1998-09-20	Green Bay Packers	L 6-13	1488.18	1643.40	40.88%	58.92%	-23.07	1-2
1998-09-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 24-31	1465.11	1475.27	35.64%	64.16%	-20.12	1-3
1998-10-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 25-20	1444.99	1555.75	47.17%	52.61%	+25.09	2-3
1998-10-18	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-44	1470.08	1490.93	34.24%	65.56%	-40.01	2-4
1998-10-25	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-27	1430.07	1472.52	31.50%	68.31%	-27.72	2-5
1998-11-01	Denver Broncos	L 26-33	1402.35	1746.82	18.89%	80.97%	-10.66	2-6
1998-11-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 11-24	1391.69	1635.40	12.64%	87.26%	-9.71	2-7
1998-11-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-24	1381.98	1687.05	9.23%	90.69%	-9.01	2-8
1998-11-22	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-20	1372.97	1398.89	59.27%	40.53%	-33.43	2-9
1998-11-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-34	1339.54	1610.07	26.27%	73.56%	-23.10	2-10
1998-12-06	Buffalo Bills	L 20-33	1316.44	1530.30	33.04%	66.77%	-25.42	2-11
1998-12-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 26-39	1291.02	1287.40	37.48%	62.32%	-28.83	2-12
1998-12-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 25-24	1262.19	1483.81	14.11%	85.78%	+18.28	3-12
1998-12-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 0-35	1280.47	1498.43	32.52%	67.29%	-41.05	3-13
1998-09-06	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-10	1487.73	1438.43	69.16%	30.66%	+34.62	1-0
1998-09-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-42	1522.35	1617.08	25.40%	74.43%	-23.63	1-1
1998-09-21	@ New York Giants	W 31-7	1498.72	1523.98	33.67%	66.13%	+69.06	2-1
1998-09-27	Oakland Raiders	L 12-13	1567.78	1427.05	79.13%	20.72%	-16.86	2-2
1998-10-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 31-10	1550.92	1389.27	59.81%	39.99%	+39.09	3-2
1998-10-11	Carolina Panthers	W 27-20	1590.01	1396.01	83.74%	16.14%	+9.11	4-2
1998-10-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 12-13	1599.12	1381.21	67.28%	32.53%	-14.34	4-3
1998-11-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-0	1584.78	1343.02	70.22%	29.59%	+36.81	5-3
1998-11-08	New York Giants	W 16-6	1621.59	1438.32	82.88%	16.99%	+11.46	6-3
1998-11-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 35-28	1633.05	1430.32	65.33%	34.47%	+19.46	7-3
1998-11-22	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-22	1652.51	1527.72	77.58%	22.27%	+13.43	8-3
1998-11-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 36-46	1665.94	1722.41	54.96%	44.82%	-37.05	8-4
1998-12-06	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-22	1628.89	1407.76	67.69%	32.12%	-62.89	8-5
1998-12-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1566.00	1473.27	50.02%	49.76%	-18.47	8-6
1998-12-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-9	1547.53	1255.18	90.06%	9.86%	+4.20	9-6
1998-12-27	Washington Redskins	W 23-7	1551.73	1468.20	73.19%	26.64%	+22.73	10-6
1998-09-07	New England Patriots	W 27-21	1601.32	1547.90	69.66%	30.16%	+15.76	1-0
1998-09-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 42-23	1617.08	1522.35	74.43%	25.40%	+23.62	2-0
1998-09-20	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-17	1640.70	1459.93	62.42%	37.38%	+32.88	3-0
1998-09-27	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-16	1673.58	1417.15	71.96%	27.87%	+27.88	4-0
1998-10-04	Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-16	1701.46	1344.74	92.91%	7.02%	+7.48	5-0
1998-10-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 21-16	1708.94	1566.49	57.13%	42.66%	+20.35	6-0
1998-10-25	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 37-24	1729.29	1609.65	77.06%	22.78%	+17.53	7-0
1998-11-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 33-26	1746.82	1402.35	80.97%	18.89%	+10.66	8-0
1998-11-08	San Diego Chargers	W 27-10	1757.48	1365.06	94.15%	5.79%	+5.09	9-0
1998-11-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-7	1762.57	1490.99	73.68%	26.15%	+26.75	10-0
1998-11-22	Oakland Raiders	W 40-14	1789.32	1546.81	87.19%	12.71%	+13.82	11-0
1998-11-29	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-16	1803.14	1380.02	86.99%	12.91%	+10.66	12-0
1998-12-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-31	1813.80	1476.59	92.14%	7.79%	+3.32	13-0
1998-12-13	@ New York Giants	L 16-20	1817.12	1420.46	85.17%	14.72%	-36.29	13-1
1998-12-21	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-31	1780.83	1585.60	64.35%	35.45%	-43.37	13-2
1998-12-27	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-21	1737.46	1546.43	83.50%	16.37%	+9.24	14-2
1998-09-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 19-38	1508.18	1608.85	24.76%	75.07%	-23.02	0-1
1998-09-13	Cincinnati Bengals	L 28-34	1485.16	1453.20	66.99%	32.82%	-34.98	0-2
1998-09-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 6-29	1450.18	1567.87	22.98%	76.86%	-23.51	0-3
1998-09-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-6	1426.67	1485.77	54.59%	45.20%	+44.18	1-3
1998-10-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 27-31	1470.85	1388.12	48.58%	51.20%	-20.72	1-4
1998-10-15	Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1450.13	1628.74	37.67%	62.13%	+35.04	2-4
1998-10-25	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-34	1485.17	1670.78	36.73%	63.07%	-35.91	2-5
1998-11-01	Arizona Cardinals	L 15-17	1449.26	1400.92	69.04%	30.78%	-20.81	2-6
1998-11-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-10	1428.45	1306.20	54.26%	45.53%	-11.57	2-7
1998-11-15	Chicago Bears	W 26-3	1416.88	1382.82	67.26%	32.55%	+33.31	3-7
1998-11-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-25	1450.19	1450.78	36.91%	62.89%	+23.22	4-7
1998-11-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 19-16	1473.41	1588.96	46.48%	53.30%	+19.68	5-7
1998-12-06	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 22-37	1493.09	1633.17	20.78%	79.07%	-17.17	5-8
1998-12-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-35	1475.92	1667.53	16.33%	83.55%	-16.33	5-9
1998-12-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-24	1459.59	1710.97	28.45%	71.37%	-16.06	5-10
1998-12-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-19	1443.53	1369.17	47.38%	52.40%	-30.32	5-11
1998-09-06	Detroit Lions	W 38-19	1608.85	1508.18	75.07%	24.76%	+23.03	1-0
1998-09-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-15	1631.88	1473.48	80.76%	19.10%	+11.52	2-0
1998-09-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 13-6	1643.40	1488.18	58.92%	40.88%	+23.07	3-0
1998-09-27	@ Carolina Panthers	W 37-30	1666.47	1446.03	67.60%	32.21%	+18.19	4-0
1998-10-05	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-37	1684.66	1604.74	72.78%	27.05%	-55.92	4-1
1998-10-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-27	1628.74	1450.13	62.13%	37.67%	-35.04	4-2
1998-10-25	Baltimore Ravens	W 28-10	1593.70	1447.27	79.66%	20.19%	+18.27	5-2
1998-11-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 36-22	1611.97	1699.52	50.51%	49.28%	+39.32	6-2
1998-11-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-27	1651.29	1538.19	52.95%	46.84%	-29.87	6-3
1998-11-15	@ New York Giants	W 37-3	1621.42	1426.86	64.26%	35.54%	+44.21	7-3
1998-11-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-28	1665.63	1696.06	33.01%	66.80%	-26.35	7-4
1998-11-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-16	1639.28	1258.58	93.77%	6.17%	+3.72	8-4
1998-12-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 22-24	1643.00	1468.39	61.58%	38.21%	-18.57	8-5
1998-12-13	Chicago Bears	W 26-20	1624.43	1299.34	91.62%	8.31%	+4.34	9-5
1998-12-20	Tennessee Oilers	W 30-22	1628.77	1569.68	70.34%	29.48%	+17.78	10-5
1998-12-27	@ Chicago Bears	W 16-13	1646.55	1348.81	76.49%	23.35%	+8.63	11-5
1998-09-06	Miami Dolphins	L 15-24	1461.72	1501.52	57.32%	42.47%	-36.66	0-1
1998-09-13	@ New England Patriots	L 6-29	1425.06	1532.14	24.08%	75.76%	-24.64	0-2
1998-09-20	@ New York Jets	L 6-44	1400.42	1425.07	33.75%	66.05%	-44.39	0-3
1998-09-27	New Orleans Saints	L 13-19	1356.03	1489.73	43.90%	55.89%	-22.93	0-4
1998-10-04	San Diego Chargers	W 17-12	1333.10	1403.09	53.03%	46.76%	+22.30	1-4
1998-10-11	Buffalo Bills	L 24-31	1355.40	1450.66	49.40%	50.39%	-27.88	1-5
1998-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 31-34	1327.52	1671.16	7.53%	92.40%	-2.78	1-6
1998-11-01	New England Patriots	L 16-21	1324.74	1574.40	28.66%	71.16%	-13.67	1-7
1998-11-08	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-27	1311.07	1549.21	12.99%	86.90%	-9.98	1-8
1998-11-15	New York Jets	W 24-23	1301.09	1618.05	21.43%	78.42%	+16.70	2-8
1998-11-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 11-34	1317.79	1533.25	14.54%	85.35%	-14.86	2-9
1998-11-29	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 31-38	1302.93	1432.32	21.81%	78.03%	-12.31	2-10
1998-12-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-28	1290.62	1685.86	5.71%	94.24%	-3.22	2-11
1998-12-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 39-26	1287.40	1291.02	62.32%	37.48%	+28.83	3-11
1998-12-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-27	1316.23	1540.49	13.92%	85.97%	-5.94	3-12
1998-12-27	Carolina Panthers	L 19-27	1310.29	1370.42	54.44%	45.34%	-32.83	3-13
1998-09-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-23	1525.56	1446.61	48.04%	51.75%	+11.03	1-0
1998-09-13	Kansas City Chiefs	W 21-16	1536.59	1587.61	55.74%	44.05%	+21.01	2-0
1998-09-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-10	1557.60	1498.83	70.30%	29.51%	+23.56	3-0
1998-09-27	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 27-22	1581.16	1485.87	50.39%	49.39%	+23.56	4-0
1998-10-12	Miami Dolphins	W 28-21	1604.72	1552.95	69.46%	30.36%	+17.13	5-0
1998-10-18	@ Buffalo Bills	L 16-17	1621.85	1478.53	57.25%	42.54%	-12.20	5-1
1998-10-25	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-37	1609.65	1729.29	22.78%	77.06%	-17.53	5-2
1998-11-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 45-19	1592.12	1429.00	60.01%	39.78%	+43.28	6-2
1998-11-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-11	1635.40	1391.69	87.26%	12.64%	+9.71	7-2
1998-11-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 29-24	1645.11	1458.76	83.13%	16.74%	+7.98	8-2
1998-11-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 15-30	1653.09	1545.94	52.10%	47.69%	-43.02	8-3
1998-11-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-17	1610.07	1339.54	73.56%	26.27%	+23.10	9-3
1998-12-06	Detroit Lions	W 37-22	1633.17	1493.09	79.07%	20.78%	+17.18	10-3
1998-12-13	Tennessee Oilers	L 13-16	1650.35	1541.66	75.93%	23.91%	-28.03	10-4
1998-12-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-50	1622.32	1777.73	19.37%	80.49%	-26.13	10-5
1998-12-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-3	1596.19	1465.54	78.16%	21.69%	+19.63	11-5
1998-09-06	Oakland Raiders	W 28-8	1563.83	1464.74	74.90%	24.93%	+23.78	1-0
1998-09-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-21	1587.61	1536.59	44.05%	55.74%	-21.01	1-1
1998-09-20	San Diego Chargers	W 23-7	1566.60	1483.34	73.16%	26.67%	+22.76	2-1
1998-09-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-21	1589.36	1356.05	69.20%	30.62%	+11.32	3-1
1998-10-04	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-6	1600.68	1591.83	63.99%	35.81%	+25.34	4-1
1998-10-11	@ New England Patriots	L 10-40	1626.02	1598.29	40.78%	59.01%	-47.65	4-2
1998-10-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-20	1578.37	1550.17	66.51%	33.30%	-37.51	4-3
1998-11-01	New York Jets	L 17-20	1540.86	1563.18	59.77%	40.03%	-22.06	4-4
1998-11-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 12-24	1518.80	1514.04	37.63%	62.17%	-27.81	4-5
1998-11-16	Denver Broncos	L 7-30	1490.99	1762.57	26.15%	73.68%	-26.76	4-6
1998-11-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 37-38	1464.23	1369.28	50.34%	49.44%	-10.74	4-7
1998-11-29	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-24	1453.49	1432.56	65.57%	34.23%	+23.10	5-7
1998-12-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 31-35	1476.59	1813.80	7.79%	92.14%	-3.32	5-8
1998-12-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1473.27	1566.00	49.76%	50.02%	+18.48	6-8
1998-12-20	@ New York Giants	L 7-28	1491.75	1456.75	41.79%	58.00%	-40.86	6-9
1998-12-26	@ Oakland Raiders	W 31-24	1450.89	1449.56	37.17%	62.63%	+35.32	7-9
1998-09-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-15	1501.52	1461.72	42.47%	57.32%	+36.67	1-0
1998-09-13	Buffalo Bills	W 13-7	1538.19	1445.42	74.22%	25.62%	+13.38	2-0
1998-09-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-0	1551.57	1578.15	59.17%	40.62%	+39.71	3-0
1998-10-04	@ New York Jets	L 9-20	1591.28	1469.46	54.20%	45.59%	-38.33	3-1
1998-10-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-28	1552.95	1604.72	30.36%	69.46%	-17.13	3-2
1998-10-18	St. Louis Rams	W 14-0	1535.82	1441.17	74.42%	25.41%	+20.28	4-2
1998-10-25	New England Patriots	W 12-9	1556.10	1589.77	58.18%	41.61%	+15.37	5-2
1998-11-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 24-30	1571.47	1530.69	42.60%	57.19%	-22.26	5-3
1998-11-08	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-14	1549.21	1311.07	86.90%	12.99%	+9.99	6-3
1998-11-15	@ Carolina Panthers	W 13-9	1559.20	1376.67	62.66%	37.14%	+15.85	7-3
1998-11-23	@ New England Patriots	L 23-26	1575.05	1495.53	48.12%	51.66%	-17.78	7-4
1998-11-29	New Orleans Saints	W 30-10	1557.27	1428.64	77.96%	21.89%	+20.88	8-4
1998-12-06	@ Oakland Raiders	W 27-17	1578.15	1477.71	51.13%	48.65%	+32.82	9-4
1998-12-13	New York Jets	L 16-21	1610.97	1679.83	53.19%	46.59%	-25.37	9-5
1998-12-21	Denver Broncos	W 31-21	1585.60	1780.83	35.45%	64.35%	+43.38	10-5
1998-12-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-38	1628.98	1727.03	25.04%	74.79%	-25.06	10-6
1998-09-06	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-7	1501.30	1513.92	61.10%	38.70%	+40.45	1-0
1998-09-13	@ St. Louis Rams	W 38-31	1541.75	1424.85	53.49%	46.29%	+26.12	2-0
1998-09-20	Detroit Lions	W 29-6	1567.87	1450.18	76.86%	22.98%	+23.51	3-0
1998-09-27	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-28	1591.38	1401.49	63.64%	36.16%	+13.36	4-0
1998-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	W 37-24	1604.74	1684.66	27.05%	72.78%	+55.92	5-0
1998-10-18	Washington Redskins	W 41-7	1660.66	1331.70	91.79%	8.14%	+10.12	6-0
1998-10-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-13	1670.78	1485.17	63.07%	36.73%	+35.90	7-0
1998-11-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-27	1706.68	1468.03	69.85%	29.97%	-25.78	7-1
1998-11-08	New Orleans Saints	W 31-24	1680.90	1408.21	89.00%	10.91%	+6.15	8-1
1998-11-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-3	1687.05	1381.98	90.69%	9.23%	+9.01	9-1
1998-11-22	Green Bay Packers	W 28-14	1696.06	1665.63	66.80%	33.01%	+26.35	10-1
1998-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 46-36	1722.41	1665.94	44.82%	54.96%	+37.06	11-1
1998-12-06	Chicago Bears	W 48-22	1759.47	1303.79	95.86%	4.10%	+4.45	12-1
1998-12-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 38-28	1763.92	1436.78	79.39%	20.46%	+13.81	13-1
1998-12-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 50-10	1777.73	1622.32	80.49%	19.37%	+26.13	14-1
1998-12-26	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 26-16	1803.86	1551.89	71.44%	28.39%	+19.15	15-1
1998-09-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-27	1547.90	1601.32	30.16%	69.66%	-15.76	0-1
1998-09-13	Indianapolis Colts	W 29-6	1532.14	1425.06	75.76%	24.08%	+24.64	1-1
1998-09-20	Tennessee Oilers	W 27-16	1556.78	1507.57	69.14%	30.67%	+21.70	2-1
1998-10-04	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-27	1578.48	1512.67	46.16%	53.63%	+19.81	3-1
1998-10-11	Kansas City Chiefs	W 40-10	1598.29	1626.02	59.01%	40.78%	+47.64	4-1
1998-10-19	New York Jets	L 14-24	1645.93	1456.66	83.36%	16.51%	-56.16	4-2
1998-10-25	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-12	1589.77	1556.10	41.61%	58.18%	-15.37	4-3
1998-11-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 21-16	1574.40	1324.74	71.16%	28.66%	+13.67	5-3
1998-11-08	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-41	1588.07	1556.49	66.94%	32.87%	-79.44	5-4
1998-11-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1508.63	1520.15	35.46%	64.34%	-13.10	5-5
1998-11-23	Miami Dolphins	W 26-23	1495.53	1575.05	51.66%	48.12%	+17.77	6-5
1998-11-29	Buffalo Bills	W 25-21	1513.30	1548.12	58.02%	41.77%	+17.82	7-5
1998-12-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-9	1531.12	1569.28	32.04%	67.77%	+54.05	8-5
1998-12-13	@ St. Louis Rams	L 18-32	1585.17	1317.72	73.22%	26.61%	-58.38	8-6
1998-12-20	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-21	1526.79	1683.86	40.62%	59.17%	+21.85	9-6
1998-12-27	@ New York Jets	L 10-31	1548.64	1730.65	17.09%	82.78%	-16.71	9-7
1998-09-06	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-17	1435.27	1462.27	33.45%	66.36%	+37.42	1-0
1998-09-13	Carolina Panthers	W 19-14	1472.69	1463.07	64.09%	35.71%	+17.04	2-0
1998-09-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 19-13	1489.73	1356.03	55.89%	43.90%	+22.94	3-0
1998-10-04	New England Patriots	L 27-30	1512.67	1578.48	53.63%	46.16%	-19.81	3-1
1998-10-11	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-31	1492.86	1617.50	45.19%	54.60%	-53.66	3-2
1998-10-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 23-31	1439.20	1573.19	21.37%	78.48%	-12.89	3-3
1998-10-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 9-3	1426.31	1492.15	53.63%	46.16%	+24.11	4-3
1998-11-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-31	1450.42	1337.62	52.91%	46.88%	-42.21	4-4
1998-11-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-31	1408.21	1680.90	10.91%	89.00%	-6.15	4-5
1998-11-15	St. Louis Rams	W 24-3	1402.06	1416.28	60.88%	38.92%	+38.04	5-5
1998-11-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-31	1440.10	1633.26	16.21%	83.67%	-11.46	5-6
1998-11-29	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-30	1428.64	1557.27	21.89%	77.96%	-20.88	5-7
1998-12-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 22-3	1407.76	1628.89	32.12%	67.69%	+62.88	6-7
1998-12-13	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-27	1470.64	1689.07	32.46%	67.35%	-21.90	6-8
1998-12-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 17-19	1448.74	1399.26	43.83%	55.96%	-13.22	6-9
1998-12-27	Buffalo Bills	L 33-45	1435.52	1554.50	45.99%	53.79%	-33.98	6-10
1998-09-06	Washington Redskins	W 31-24	1522.52	1516.53	63.61%	36.19%	+20.43	1-0
1998-09-13	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-20	1542.95	1440.96	51.35%	48.43%	-18.97	1-1
1998-09-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-31	1523.98	1498.72	66.13%	33.67%	-69.05	1-2
1998-09-27	@ San Diego Chargers	W 34-16	1454.93	1460.58	36.24%	63.56%	+57.48	2-2
1998-10-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-20	1512.41	1441.59	46.87%	52.91%	-41.22	2-3
1998-10-11	Atlanta Falcons	L 20-34	1471.19	1529.56	54.69%	45.09%	-43.63	2-4
1998-10-18	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-7	1427.56	1444.46	60.51%	39.28%	+43.54	3-4
1998-11-01	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-21	1471.10	1321.59	58.12%	41.67%	-32.78	3-5
1998-11-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-16	1438.32	1621.59	16.99%	82.88%	-11.46	3-6
1998-11-15	Green Bay Packers	L 3-37	1426.86	1621.42	35.54%	64.26%	-44.21	3-7
1998-11-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-0	1382.65	1282.22	75.05%	24.79%	+23.65	4-7
1998-11-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-31	1406.30	1644.72	12.97%	86.92%	-13.56	4-8
1998-12-06	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-19	1392.74	1409.47	34.78%	65.03%	+27.72	5-8
1998-12-13	Denver Broncos	W 20-16	1420.46	1817.12	14.72%	85.17%	+36.29	6-8
1998-12-20	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-7	1456.75	1491.75	58.00%	41.79%	+40.85	7-8
1998-12-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1497.60	1250.98	70.81%	29.01%	+19.58	8-8
1998-09-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 30-36	1494.10	1552.35	29.58%	70.24%	-15.46	0-1
1998-09-13	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-24	1478.64	1445.26	67.17%	32.64%	-53.57	0-2
1998-09-20	Indianapolis Colts	W 44-6	1425.07	1400.42	66.05%	33.75%	+44.39	1-2
1998-10-04	Miami Dolphins	W 20-9	1469.46	1591.28	45.59%	54.20%	+38.33	2-2
1998-10-11	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-30	1507.79	1390.04	53.62%	46.17%	-51.13	2-3
1998-10-19	@ New England Patriots	W 24-14	1456.66	1645.93	16.51%	83.36%	+56.16	3-3
1998-10-25	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-3	1512.82	1586.08	52.56%	47.22%	+50.36	4-3
1998-11-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1563.18	1540.86	40.03%	59.77%	+22.07	5-3
1998-11-08	Buffalo Bills	W 34-12	1585.25	1552.95	67.03%	32.77%	+32.80	6-3
1998-11-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-24	1618.05	1301.09	78.42%	21.43%	-16.71	6-4
1998-11-22	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 24-3	1601.34	1608.59	36.02%	63.78%	+62.30	7-4
1998-11-29	Carolina Panthers	W 48-21	1663.64	1388.58	89.13%	10.78%	+11.93	8-4
1998-12-06	Seattle Seahawks	W 32-31	1675.57	1526.77	79.88%	19.97%	+4.26	9-4
1998-12-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 21-16	1679.83	1610.97	46.59%	53.19%	+25.36	10-4
1998-12-19	@ Buffalo Bills	W 17-10	1705.19	1579.95	54.69%	45.10%	+25.46	11-4
1998-12-27	New England Patriots	W 31-10	1730.65	1548.64	82.78%	17.09%	+16.70	12-4
1998-09-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 8-28	1464.74	1563.83	24.93%	74.90%	-23.78	0-1
1998-09-13	New York Giants	W 20-17	1440.96	1542.95	48.43%	51.35%	+18.97	1-1
1998-09-20	Denver Broncos	L 17-34	1459.93	1640.70	37.38%	62.42%	-32.88	1-2
1998-09-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 13-12	1427.05	1567.78	20.72%	79.13%	+16.86	2-2
1998-10-04	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-20	1443.91	1439.81	37.54%	62.26%	+22.98	3-2
1998-10-11	San Diego Chargers	W 7-6	1466.89	1380.79	73.48%	26.35%	+5.63	4-2
1998-10-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-10	1472.52	1430.07	68.31%	31.50%	+27.71	5-2
1998-11-01	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-18	1500.23	1568.97	28.34%	71.49%	+54.93	6-2
1998-11-08	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-13	1555.16	1385.73	60.88%	38.92%	-22.48	6-3
1998-11-15	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1532.68	1541.85	61.57%	38.23%	+14.13	7-3
1998-11-22	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-40	1546.81	1789.32	12.71%	87.19%	-13.82	7-4
1998-11-29	Washington Redskins	L 19-29	1532.99	1359.62	82.06%	17.81%	-55.28	7-5
1998-12-06	Miami Dolphins	L 17-27	1477.71	1578.15	48.65%	51.13%	-32.82	7-6
1998-12-13	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-44	1444.89	1555.72	23.69%	76.15%	-24.23	7-7
1998-12-20	@ San Diego Chargers	W 17-10	1420.66	1338.10	48.56%	51.23%	+28.90	8-7
1998-12-26	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-31	1449.56	1450.89	62.63%	37.17%	-35.32	8-8
1998-09-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 0-38	1474.28	1503.12	58.86%	40.93%	-77.35	0-1
1998-09-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 12-17	1396.93	1502.19	24.27%	75.56%	-11.58	0-2
1998-09-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 3-17	1385.35	1387.51	36.70%	63.10%	-29.30	0-3
1998-09-27	Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-24	1356.05	1589.36	30.62%	69.20%	-11.31	0-4
1998-10-04	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-41	1344.74	1701.46	7.02%	92.91%	-7.48	0-5
1998-10-11	Washington Redskins	W 17-12	1337.26	1350.18	61.06%	38.74%	+18.48	1-5
1998-10-18	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-13	1355.74	1375.17	34.43%	65.38%	-12.72	1-6
1998-11-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 0-34	1343.02	1584.78	29.59%	70.22%	-36.82	1-7
1998-11-08	Detroit Lions	W 10-9	1306.20	1428.45	45.53%	54.26%	+11.57	2-7
1998-11-15	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-28	1317.77	1345.77	33.32%	66.49%	-35.55	2-8
1998-11-22	@ New York Giants	L 0-20	1282.22	1382.65	24.79%	75.05%	-23.64	2-9
1998-11-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-24	1258.58	1639.28	6.17%	93.77%	-3.72	2-10
1998-12-03	St. Louis Rams	W 17-14	1254.86	1335.55	51.49%	48.29%	+17.84	3-10
1998-12-13	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-20	1272.70	1381.75	47.42%	52.37%	-17.52	3-11
1998-12-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 9-13	1255.18	1547.53	9.86%	90.06%	-4.20	3-12
1998-12-27	New York Giants	L 10-20	1250.98	1497.60	29.01%	70.81%	-19.58	3-13
1998-09-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 20-13	1537.27	1475.88	45.53%	54.26%	+30.61	1-0
1998-09-13	Chicago Bears	W 17-12	1567.88	1435.57	78.32%	21.53%	+10.27	2-0
1998-09-20	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-21	1578.15	1551.57	40.62%	59.17%	-39.71	2-1
1998-09-27	Seattle Seahawks	W 13-10	1538.44	1609.13	52.93%	46.86%	+17.31	3-1
1998-10-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-25	1555.75	1444.99	52.61%	47.17%	-25.08	3-2
1998-10-18	Baltimore Ravens	W 16-6	1530.67	1466.77	70.92%	28.90%	+19.50	4-2
1998-10-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-13	1550.17	1578.37	33.30%	66.51%	+37.50	5-2
1998-11-01	Tennessee Oilers	L 31-41	1587.67	1501.93	73.44%	26.39%	-49.48	5-3
1998-11-09	Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1538.19	1651.29	46.84%	52.95%	+29.87	6-3
1998-11-15	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-23	1568.06	1586.47	34.56%	65.25%	-22.12	6-4
1998-11-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-15	1545.94	1653.09	47.69%	52.10%	+43.02	7-4
1998-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-19	1588.96	1473.41	53.30%	46.48%	-19.68	7-5
1998-12-06	New England Patriots	L 9-23	1569.28	1531.12	67.77%	32.04%	-54.05	7-6
1998-12-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-16	1515.23	1486.96	40.85%	58.94%	-31.42	7-7
1998-12-20	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-25	1483.81	1262.19	85.78%	14.11%	-18.27	7-8
1998-12-28	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-21	1465.54	1596.19	21.69%	78.16%	-19.63	7-9
1998-09-06	Buffalo Bills	W 16-14	1431.81	1457.64	59.28%	40.51%	+12.22	1-0
1998-09-13	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 13-7	1444.03	1546.88	24.53%	75.31%	+39.31	2-0
1998-09-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-23	1483.34	1566.60	26.67%	73.16%	-22.76	2-1
1998-09-27	New York Giants	L 16-34	1460.58	1454.93	63.56%	36.24%	-57.49	2-2
1998-10-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 12-17	1403.09	1333.10	46.76%	53.03%	-22.30	2-3
1998-10-11	@ Oakland Raiders	L 6-7	1380.79	1466.89	26.35%	73.48%	-5.62	2-4
1998-10-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-10	1375.17	1355.74	65.38%	34.43%	+12.72	3-4
1998-10-25	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-27	1387.89	1546.14	40.46%	59.34%	-22.83	3-5
1998-11-08	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-27	1365.06	1757.48	5.79%	94.15%	-5.09	3-6
1998-11-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 14-13	1359.97	1408.20	56.13%	43.65%	+9.31	4-6
1998-11-22	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-37	1369.28	1464.23	49.44%	50.34%	+10.74	5-6
1998-11-29	Denver Broncos	L 16-31	1380.02	1803.14	12.91%	86.99%	-10.66	5-7
1998-12-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-24	1369.36	1414.90	31.12%	68.69%	-13.28	5-8
1998-12-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-38	1356.08	1522.51	18.40%	81.46%	-17.98	5-9
1998-12-20	Oakland Raiders	L 10-17	1338.10	1420.66	51.23%	48.56%	-28.91	5-10
1998-12-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 13-16	1309.19	1412.49	24.48%	75.36%	-9.04	5-11
1998-09-06	New York Jets	W 36-30	1552.35	1494.10	70.24%	29.58%	+15.45	1-0
1998-09-14	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-10	1567.80	1496.10	47.00%	52.79%	+66.59	2-0
1998-09-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-20	1634.39	1513.77	77.16%	22.69%	+16.05	3-0
1998-10-04	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-26	1650.44	1417.72	69.13%	30.69%	-32.94	3-1
1998-10-11	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-0	1617.50	1492.86	54.60%	45.19%	+53.66	4-1
1998-10-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-31	1671.16	1327.52	92.40%	7.53%	+2.78	5-1
1998-10-25	@ St. Louis Rams	W 28-10	1673.94	1420.88	71.56%	28.26%	+25.58	6-1
1998-11-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 22-36	1699.52	1611.97	49.28%	50.51%	-39.32	6-2
1998-11-08	Carolina Panthers	W 25-23	1660.20	1379.83	89.42%	10.49%	+3.16	7-2
1998-11-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 19-31	1663.36	1635.93	40.74%	59.06%	-30.10	7-3
1998-11-22	New Orleans Saints	W 31-20	1633.26	1440.10	83.67%	16.21%	+11.46	8-3
1998-11-30	New York Giants	W 31-7	1644.72	1406.30	86.92%	12.97%	+13.55	9-3
1998-12-06	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-28	1658.27	1376.65	74.78%	25.05%	+9.26	10-3
1998-12-14	Detroit Lions	W 35-13	1667.53	1475.92	83.55%	16.33%	+16.33	11-3
1998-12-20	@ New England Patriots	L 21-24	1683.86	1526.79	59.17%	40.62%	-21.85	11-4
1998-12-27	St. Louis Rams	W 38-19	1662.01	1353.00	90.88%	9.04%	+8.39	12-4
1998-09-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-0	1503.12	1474.28	40.93%	58.86%	+77.35	1-0
1998-09-13	Arizona Cardinals	W 33-14	1580.47	1403.82	82.33%	17.54%	+16.30	2-0
1998-09-20	Washington Redskins	W 24-14	1596.77	1429.51	81.53%	18.33%	+12.36	3-0
1998-09-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-13	1609.13	1538.44	46.86%	52.93%	-17.30	3-1
1998-10-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 6-17	1591.83	1600.68	35.81%	63.99%	-25.34	3-2
1998-10-11	Denver Broncos	L 16-21	1566.49	1708.94	42.66%	57.13%	-20.35	3-3
1998-10-25	@ San Diego Chargers	W 27-20	1546.14	1387.89	59.34%	40.46%	+22.83	4-3
1998-11-01	Oakland Raiders	L 18-31	1568.97	1500.23	71.49%	28.34%	-54.93	4-4
1998-11-08	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-12	1514.04	1518.80	62.17%	37.63%	+27.81	5-4
1998-11-15	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-20	1541.85	1532.68	38.23%	61.57%	-14.13	5-5
1998-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-30	1527.72	1652.51	22.27%	77.58%	-13.43	5-6
1998-11-29	Tennessee Oilers	W 20-18	1514.29	1546.29	58.42%	41.37%	+12.48	6-6
1998-12-06	@ New York Jets	L 31-32	1526.77	1675.57	19.97%	79.88%	-4.26	6-7
1998-12-13	San Diego Chargers	W 38-17	1522.51	1356.08	81.46%	18.40%	+17.98	7-7
1998-12-20	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-23	1540.49	1316.23	85.97%	13.92%	+5.94	8-7
1998-12-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-28	1546.43	1737.46	16.37%	83.50%	-9.24	8-8
1998-09-06	New Orleans Saints	L 17-24	1462.27	1435.27	66.36%	33.45%	-37.42	0-1
1998-09-13	Minnesota Vikings	L 31-38	1424.85	1541.75	46.29%	53.49%	-26.12	0-2
1998-09-20	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-33	1398.73	1432.03	32.65%	67.16%	+14.31	1-2
1998-09-27	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-20	1413.04	1416.81	62.30%	37.50%	-23.00	1-3
1998-10-11	New York Jets	W 30-10	1390.04	1507.79	46.17%	53.62%	+51.13	2-3
1998-10-18	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-14	1441.17	1535.82	25.41%	74.42%	-20.29	2-4
1998-10-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-28	1420.88	1673.94	28.26%	71.56%	-25.57	2-5
1998-11-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 15-37	1395.31	1535.72	20.75%	79.10%	-20.77	2-6
1998-11-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-12	1374.54	1424.57	30.57%	69.24%	+41.74	3-6
1998-11-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-24	1416.28	1402.06	38.92%	60.88%	-38.04	3-7
1998-11-22	Carolina Panthers	L 20-24	1378.24	1360.82	65.12%	34.69%	-27.76	3-8
1998-11-29	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-21	1350.48	1670.93	21.10%	78.75%	-14.93	3-9
1998-12-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-17	1335.55	1254.86	48.29%	51.49%	-17.83	3-10
1998-12-13	New England Patriots	W 32-18	1317.72	1585.17	26.61%	73.22%	+58.38	4-10
1998-12-20	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-20	1376.10	1347.32	40.92%	58.87%	-23.10	4-11
1998-12-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-38	1353.00	1662.01	9.04%	90.88%	-8.40	4-12
1998-09-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-31	1513.92	1501.30	38.70%	61.10%	-40.44	0-1
1998-09-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 15-23	1473.48	1631.88	19.10%	80.76%	-11.53	0-2
1998-09-20	Chicago Bears	W 27-15	1461.95	1425.30	67.58%	32.23%	+23.82	1-2
1998-09-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-27	1485.77	1426.67	45.20%	54.59%	-44.18	1-3
1998-10-04	New York Giants	W 20-3	1441.59	1512.41	52.91%	46.87%	+41.22	2-3
1998-10-18	Carolina Panthers	W 16-13	1482.81	1386.91	74.56%	25.27%	+9.34	3-3
1998-10-25	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-9	1492.15	1426.31	46.16%	53.63%	-24.12	3-4
1998-11-01	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1468.03	1706.68	29.97%	69.85%	+25.79	4-4
1998-11-08	Tennessee Oilers	L 22-31	1493.82	1551.42	54.80%	44.98%	-35.06	4-5
1998-11-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-29	1458.76	1645.11	16.74%	83.13%	-7.98	4-6
1998-11-22	Detroit Lions	L 25-28	1450.78	1450.19	62.89%	36.91%	-23.22	4-7
1998-11-29	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-17	1427.56	1344.62	48.61%	51.17%	+40.83	5-7
1998-12-07	Green Bay Packers	W 24-22	1468.39	1643.00	38.21%	61.58%	+18.57	6-7
1998-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-3	1486.96	1515.23	58.94%	40.85%	+31.42	7-7
1998-12-19	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-20	1518.38	1448.25	46.77%	53.01%	-19.95	7-8
1998-12-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-0	1498.43	1280.47	67.29%	32.52%	+41.04	8-8
1998-09-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-14	1508.11	1491.97	39.18%	60.62%	+38.77	1-0
1998-09-13	San Diego Chargers	L 7-13	1546.88	1444.03	75.31%	24.53%	-39.31	1-1
1998-09-20	@ New England Patriots	L 16-27	1507.57	1556.78	30.67%	69.14%	-21.70	1-2
1998-09-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 22-27	1485.87	1581.16	49.39%	50.39%	-23.56	1-3
1998-10-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 12-8	1462.31	1495.39	32.68%	67.13%	+28.62	2-3
1998-10-18	Cincinnati Bengals	W 44-14	1490.93	1470.08	65.56%	34.24%	+40.01	3-3
1998-10-25	Chicago Bears	L 20-23	1530.94	1395.55	78.62%	21.23%	-29.01	3-4
1998-11-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-31	1501.93	1587.67	26.39%	73.44%	+49.49	4-4
1998-11-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-22	1551.42	1493.82	44.98%	54.80%	+35.05	5-4
1998-11-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-14	1586.47	1568.06	65.25%	34.56%	+22.12	6-4
1998-11-22	New York Jets	L 3-24	1608.59	1601.34	63.78%	36.02%	-62.30	6-5
1998-11-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-20	1546.29	1514.29	41.37%	58.42%	-12.48	6-6
1998-12-06	Baltimore Ravens	W 16-14	1533.81	1444.63	73.82%	26.01%	+7.85	7-6
1998-12-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 16-13	1541.66	1650.35	23.91%	75.93%	+28.02	8-6
1998-12-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 22-30	1569.68	1628.77	29.48%	70.34%	-17.79	8-7
1998-12-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-26	1551.89	1803.86	28.39%	71.44%	-19.15	8-8
1998-09-06	@ New York Giants	L 24-31	1516.53	1522.52	36.19%	63.61%	-20.43	0-1
1998-09-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-45	1496.10	1567.80	52.79%	47.00%	-66.59	0-2
1998-09-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-24	1429.51	1596.77	18.33%	81.53%	-12.36	0-3
1998-09-27	Denver Broncos	L 16-38	1417.15	1673.58	27.87%	71.96%	-27.88	0-4
1998-10-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-31	1389.27	1550.92	39.99%	59.81%	-39.09	0-5
1998-10-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 12-17	1350.18	1337.26	38.74%	61.06%	-18.48	0-6
1998-10-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-41	1331.70	1660.66	8.14%	91.79%	-10.11	0-7
1998-11-01	New York Giants	W 21-14	1321.59	1471.10	41.67%	58.12%	+32.78	1-7
1998-11-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 27-29	1354.37	1421.73	28.50%	71.32%	-8.60	1-8
1998-11-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-3	1345.77	1317.77	66.49%	33.32%	+35.55	2-8
1998-11-22	Arizona Cardinals	L 42-45	1381.32	1410.86	58.76%	41.03%	-21.70	2-9
1998-11-29	@ Oakland Raiders	W 29-19	1359.62	1532.99	17.81%	82.06%	+55.28	3-9
1998-12-06	San Diego Chargers	W 24-20	1414.90	1369.36	68.69%	31.12%	+13.28	4-9
1998-12-13	@ Carolina Panthers	W 28-25	1428.18	1367.39	45.44%	54.35%	+20.07	5-9
1998-12-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-16	1448.25	1518.38	53.01%	46.77%	+19.95	6-9
1998-12-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-23	1468.20	1551.73	26.64%	73.19%	-22.73	6-10

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1999-01-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-7	1421.53	1574.46	19.64%	80.36%	+61.66	1-0
1999-01-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-41	1483.19	1823.01	7.69%	92.31%	-7.32	1-1
1999-01-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-18	1752.09	1683.33	71.59%	28.41%	+8.55	1-0
1999-01-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-27	1760.64	1830.33	28.30%	71.70%	+26.43	2-0
1999-01-31	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-34	1787.07	1802.29	47.81%	52.19%	-39.41	2-1
1999-01-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-24	1588.49	1603.92	35.04%	64.96%	-19.73	0-1
1999-01-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 7-20	1574.46	1421.53	80.36%	19.64%	-61.66	0-1
1999-01-09	Miami Dolphins	W 38-3	1746.70	1623.65	77.50%	22.50%	+28.32	1-0
1999-01-17	New York Jets	W 23-10	1775.02	1763.42	64.46%	35.54%	+27.27	2-0
1999-01-31	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-19	1802.29	1787.07	52.19%	47.81%	+39.40	3-0
1999-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-30	1655.18	1670.40	35.06%	64.94%	-12.92	0-1
1999-01-03	New England Patriots	W 25-10	1615.82	1531.93	73.33%	26.67%	+21.98	1-0
1999-01-10	@ New York Jets	L 24-34	1637.80	1747.35	23.88%	76.12%	-16.07	1-1
1999-01-02	Buffalo Bills	W 24-17	1603.92	1588.49	64.96%	35.04%	+19.73	1-0
1999-01-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-38	1623.65	1746.70	22.50%	77.50%	-28.33	1-1
1999-01-10	Arizona Cardinals	W 41-21	1823.01	1483.19	92.31%	7.69%	+7.32	1-0
1999-01-17	Atlanta Falcons	L 27-30	1830.33	1760.64	71.70%	28.30%	-26.43	1-1
1999-01-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-25	1531.93	1615.82	26.67%	73.33%	-21.98	0-1
1999-01-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-24	1747.35	1637.80	76.12%	23.88%	+16.07	1-0
1999-01-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-23	1763.42	1775.02	35.54%	64.46%	-27.27	1-1
1999-01-03	Green Bay Packers	W 30-27	1670.40	1655.18	64.94%	35.06%	+12.93	1-0
1999-01-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 18-20	1683.33	1752.09	28.41%	71.59%	-8.55	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1998-12-20	14.11%	Cincinnati Bengals	1262.19	25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1483.81	24
2	1998-12-13	14.72%	@ New York Giants	1420.46	20	Denver Broncos	1817.12	16
3	1998-10-19	16.51%	New York Jets	1456.66	24	@ New England Patriots	1645.93	14
4	1998-11-29	17.81%	Washington Redskins	1359.62	29	@ Oakland Raiders	1532.99	19
5	1999-01-02 *	19.64%	Arizona Cardinals	1421.53	20	@ Dallas Cowboys	1574.46	7
6	1998-09-27	20.72%	Oakland Raiders	1427.05	13	@ Dallas Cowboys	1567.78	12
7	1998-10-25	21.23%	Chicago Bears	1395.55	23	@ Tennessee Oilers	1530.94	20
8	1998-11-15	21.43%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1301.09	24	New York Jets	1618.05	23
9	1998-12-13	23.91%	Tennessee Oilers	1541.66	16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1650.35	13
10	1998-09-13	24.53%	San Diego Chargers	1444.03	13	@ Tennessee Oilers	1546.88	7
11	1998-11-01	26.39%	Tennessee Oilers	1501.93	41	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1587.67	31
12	1998-12-13	26.61%	@ St. Louis Rams	1317.72	32	New England Patriots	1585.17	18
13	1998-10-05	27.05%	Minnesota Vikings	1604.74	37	@ Green Bay Packers	1684.66	24
14	1999-01-17 *	28.30%	Atlanta Falcons	1760.64	30	@ Minnesota Vikings	1830.33	27
15	1998-11-01	28.34%	Oakland Raiders	1500.23	31	@ Seattle Seahawks	1568.97	18
16	1998-11-01	29.97%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1468.03	27	Minnesota Vikings	1706.68	24
17	1998-11-08	30.57%	St. Louis Rams	1374.54	20	@ Chicago Bears	1424.57	12
18	1998-10-04	30.69%	@ Buffalo Bills	1417.72	26	San Francisco 49ers	1650.44	21
19	1998-11-01	30.78%	Arizona Cardinals	1400.92	17	@ Detroit Lions	1449.26	15
20	1998-12-06	32.04%	New England Patriots	1531.12	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1569.28	9
21	1998-12-06	32.12%	@ New Orleans Saints	1407.76	22	Dallas Cowboys	1628.89	3
22	1998-10-18	32.53%	@ Chicago Bears	1381.21	13	Dallas Cowboys	1599.12	12
23	1998-09-13	32.64%	Baltimore Ravens	1445.26	24	@ New York Jets	1478.64	10
24	1998-09-20	32.65%	St. Louis Rams	1398.73	34	@ Buffalo Bills	1432.03	33
25	1998-10-11	32.68%	Tennessee Oilers	1462.31	12	@ Baltimore Ravens	1495.39	8

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1998-11-08	79.44	Atlanta Falcons	41	1556.49	32.87%	@ New England Patriots	10	1588.07	66.94%
2	1998-09-06	77.35	Seattle Seahawks	38	1503.12	40.93%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	0	1474.28	58.86%
3	1998-09-21	69.06	Dallas Cowboys	31	1498.72	33.67%	@ New York Giants	7	1523.98	66.13%
4	1998-09-14	66.59	San Francisco 49ers	45	1567.80	47.00%	@ Washington Redskins	10	1496.10	52.79%
5	1998-12-06	62.89	@ New Orleans Saints	22	1407.76	32.12%	Dallas Cowboys	3	1628.89	67.69%
6	1998-11-22	62.30	New York Jets	24	1601.34	36.02%	@ Tennessee Oilers	3	1608.59	63.78%
7	1999-01-02 *	61.66	Arizona Cardinals	20	1421.53	19.64%	@ Dallas Cowboys	7	1574.46	80.36%
8	1998-12-13	58.38	@ St. Louis Rams	32	1317.72	26.61%	New England Patriots	18	1585.17	73.22%
9	1998-09-27	57.49	New York Giants	34	1454.93	36.24%	@ San Diego Chargers	16	1460.58	63.56%
10	1998-10-19	56.16	New York Jets	24	1456.66	16.51%	@ New England Patriots	14	1645.93	83.36%
11	1998-10-05	55.92	Minnesota Vikings	37	1604.74	27.05%	@ Green Bay Packers	24	1684.66	72.78%
12	1998-11-29	55.28	Washington Redskins	29	1359.62	17.81%	@ Oakland Raiders	19	1532.99	82.06%
13	1998-11-01	54.93	Oakland Raiders	31	1500.23	28.34%	@ Seattle Seahawks	18	1568.97	71.49%
14	1998-12-06	54.05	New England Patriots	23	1531.12	32.04%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	9	1569.28	67.77%
15	1998-12-20	53.81	@ Chicago Bears	24	1295.00	44.71%	Baltimore Ravens	3	1422.98	55.08%
16	1998-10-11	53.66	San Francisco 49ers	31	1617.50	54.60%	@ New Orleans Saints	0	1492.86	45.19%
17	1998-09-13	53.57	Baltimore Ravens	24	1445.26	32.64%	@ New York Jets	10	1478.64	67.17%
18	1998-10-11	51.13	@ St. Louis Rams	30	1390.04	46.17%	New York Jets	10	1507.79	53.62%
19	1998-10-25	50.36	@ New York Jets	28	1512.82	52.56%	Atlanta Falcons	3	1586.08	47.22%
20	1998-11-01	49.49	Tennessee Oilers	41	1501.93	26.39%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	31	1587.67	73.44%
21	1998-10-11	47.65	@ New England Patriots	40	1598.29	59.01%	Kansas City Chiefs	10	1626.02	40.78%
22	1998-09-20	44.39	@ New York Jets	44	1425.07	66.05%	Indianapolis Colts	6	1400.42	33.75%
23	1998-11-15	44.21	Green Bay Packers	37	1621.42	64.26%	@ New York Giants	3	1426.86	35.54%
24	1998-09-28	44.18	@ Detroit Lions	27	1426.67	54.59%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	1485.77	45.20%
25	1998-10-11	43.63	Atlanta Falcons	34	1529.56	45.09%	@ New York Giants	20	1471.19	54.69%