1997 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Denver Broncos

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Green Bay Packers

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1996

Biggest Overachiever

Kansas City Chiefs

4.05 wins above expected

13 wins · 8.95 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Oakland Raiders

3.72 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.72 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	5	0	.688	-	372	307	+65	8.83	+2.17
2	Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	-	394	318	+76	8.85	+2.15
3	Tennessee Oilers	8	8	0	.500	3	333	310	+23	7.76	+0.24
4	Cincinnati Bengals	7	9	0	.438	4	355	405	-50	7.08	-0.08
5	Baltimore Ravens	6	9	1	.406	4.5	326	345	-19	7.42	-0.92

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	10	6	.625	-	369	289	+80	9.41	+0.59
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	339	327	+12	8.49	+0.51
3	New York Jets	9	7	.562	1	348	287	+61	7.57	+1.43
4	Buffalo Bills	6	10	.375	4	255	367	-112	7.36	-1.36
5	Indianapolis Colts	3	13	.188	7	313	401	-88	5.72	-2.72

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	13	3	.812	-	375	232	+143	8.95	+4.05
2	Denver Broncos Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	472	287	+185	10.53	+1.47
3	Seattle Seahawks	8	8	.500	5	365	362	+3	7.83	+0.17
4	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	9	324	419	-95	7.72	-3.72
5	San Diego Chargers	4	12	.250	9	266	425	-159	6.66	-2.66

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	.812	-	422	282	+140	11.38	+1.62
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	299	263	+36	8.60	+1.40
3	Detroit Lions Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	379	306	+73	7.69	+1.31
4	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	354	359	-5	8.14	+0.86
5	Chicago Bears	4	12	.250	9	263	421	-158	5.78	-1.78

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	10	5	1	.656	-	307	265	+42	8.12	+2.38
2	Washington Redskins	8	7	1	.531	2	327	289	+38	9.27	-0.77
3	Philadelphia Eagles	6	9	1	.406	4	317	372	-55	7.34	-0.84
4	Dallas Cowboys	6	10	0	.375	4.5	304	314	-10	8.87	-2.87
5	Arizona Cardinals	4	12	0	.250	6.5	283	379	-96	6.05	-2.05

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	13	3	.812	-	375	265	+110	10.88	+2.12
2	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	6	265	314	-49	8.64	-1.64
3	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	6	320	361	-41	6.41	+0.59
4	New Orleans Saints	6	10	.375	7	237	327	-90	6.17	-0.17
5	St. Louis Rams	5	11	.312	8	299	359	-60	6.47	-1.47

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Denver Broncos 42

Jacksonville Jaguars 17

Dec 27

New England Patriots 17

Miami Dolphins 3

Dec 28

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh Steelers 7

New England Patriots 6

Jan 3

Denver Broncos 14

Kansas City Chiefs 10

Jan 4

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 24

Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Jan 11

NFC

Wild Card Round

Minnesota Vikings 23

New York Giants 22

Dec 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20

Detroit Lions 10

Dec 28

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 38

Minnesota Vikings 22

Jan 3

Green Bay Packers 21

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

Jan 4

Conference Championship

Green Bay Packers 23

San Francisco 49ers 10

Jan 11

Super Bowl

Denver Broncos 31

Green Bay Packers 24

Jan 25

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1731	13	11.38	+1.62	89.75%	3	8	10	11	13	14	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1647	13	8.95	+4.05	99.52%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1642	12	10.53	+1.47	86.84%	2	7	9	11	12	13	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1626	13	10.88	+2.12	93.95%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1587	10	9.41	+0.59	72.78%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1586	11	8.83	+2.17	92.53%	2	6	7	9	10	12	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1571	11	8.85	+2.15	92.38%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1556	10.5	8.12	+2.38	89.80%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1532	8.5	9.27	-0.77	35.28%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1529	9	7.69	+1.31	84.20%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1523	10	8.60	+1.40	84.71%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Tennessee Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1516	8	7.76	+0.24	65.83%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1515	9	8.49	+0.51	71.09%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1506	8	7.83	+0.17	65.12%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1506	9	8.14	+0.86	77.23%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1489	7	8.64	-1.64	28.17%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1486	9	7.57	+1.43	85.16%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1483	7	7.08	-0.08	60.18%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1471	6	8.87	-2.87	11.29%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1447	6.5	7.42	-0.92	32.90%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1447	6.5	7.34	-0.84	34.82%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1440	7	6.41	+0.59	73.21%	0	3	5	6	8	9	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1421	6	7.36	-1.36	33.92%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1420	4	7.72	-3.72	4.64%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1416	5	6.47	-1.47	31.27%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1406	3	5.72	-2.72	11.48%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1393	4	5.78	-1.78	25.42%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1377	6	6.17	-0.17	58.96%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1364	4	6.66	-2.66	12.73%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1364	4	6.05	-2.05	22.01%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Jaguars	Steelers	Oilers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Tennessee Oilers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	2-1-1 (2.0 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-
Tennessee Oilers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	-	4-0 (1.9 exp.)	-

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (2.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	-	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-1-1 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.67%	1.67%	0.62%	1.88%	0.83%	—	6.67%
7–13	1.67%	4.17%	5.00%	4.17%	3.75%	1.25%	0.21%	20.21%
14–20	1.67%	5.00%	6.25%	5.42%	2.92%	2.29%	0.42%	23.96%
21–27	0.62%	4.17%	5.42%	7.08%	4.38%	1.04%	—	22.71%
28–34	1.88%	3.75%	2.92%	4.38%	1.25%	2.08%	0.42%	16.67%
35–41	0.83%	1.25%	2.29%	1.04%	2.08%	0.83%	—	8.33%
42+	—	0.21%	0.42%	—	0.42%	—	0.42%	1.46%
Total	6.67%	20.21%	23.96%	22.71%	16.67%	8.33%	1.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.74	20.74	+0.00
SD	9.98	9.98	14.52
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	55	55	+41
Min	0	0	-41

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	50.00%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	23.69	-6.00
SD	7.56	7.55	9.53
CV	0.43	0.32	—
Max	31	41	+10
Min	6	13	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	22.56	-2.56
SD	8.43	10.86	11.47
CV	0.42	0.48	—
Max	34	36	+17
Min	6	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.38	21.56	-1.19
SD	9.50	9.18	12.86
CV	0.47	0.43	—
Max	36	42	+26
Min	0	10	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.94	22.94	-7.00
SD	8.59	9.91	11.87
CV	0.54	0.43	—
Max	37	35	+10
Min	3	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.56	19.62	-3.06
SD	8.54	11.35	16.02
CV	0.52	0.58	—
Max	38	35	+24
Min	0	0	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.44	26.31	-9.88
SD	8.74	12.52	14.39
CV	0.53	0.48	—
Max	36	55	+17
Min	3	3	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	25.31	-3.12
SD	12.39	8.53	13.81
CV	0.56	0.34	—
Max	42	44	+27
Min	3	13	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.00	19.62	-0.62
SD	7.55	10.26	14.57
CV	0.40	0.52	—
Max	37	45	+30
Min	7	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.50	17.94	+11.56
SD	7.00	11.36	15.35
CV	0.24	0.63	—
Max	38	35	+35
Min	17	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	19.12	+4.56
SD	12.35	8.70	16.80
CV	0.52	0.45	—
Max	55	35	+35
Min	7	7	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.38	17.62	+8.75
SD	9.97	9.77	9.71
CV	0.38	0.55	—
Max	45	41	+28
Min	9	6	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.56	25.06	-5.50
SD	12.23	11.45	16.02
CV	0.63	0.46	—
Max	41	39	+41
Min	3	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	6.25%	56.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.62	19.88	+4.75
SD	7.60	7.35	10.06
CV	0.31	0.37	—
Max	40	31	+27
Min	12	9	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	14.50	+8.94
SD	10.20	7.39	14.85
CV	0.44	0.51	—
Max	44	27	+35
Min	3	0	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	20.44	+0.75
SD	9.95	9.79	13.65
CV	0.47	0.48	—
Max	34	41	+18
Min	0	9	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	22.44	-0.31
SD	8.69	8.74	11.35
CV	0.39	0.39	—
Max	39	38	+21
Min	10	6	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.06	18.06	+5.00
SD	9.37	9.47	17.56
CV	0.41	0.52	—
Max	41	34	+34
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.81	20.44	-5.62
SD	10.35	8.52	12.78
CV	0.70	0.42	—
Max	35	38	+18
Min	0	10	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.19	16.56	+2.62
SD	9.63	8.76	11.82
CV	0.50	0.53	—
Max	31	40	+20
Min	3	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	17.94	+3.81
SD	8.00	8.45	14.07
CV	0.37	0.47	—
Max	41	31	+38
Min	10	0	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	26.19	-5.94
SD	12.06	8.66	15.26
CV	0.60	0.33	—
Max	38	45	+25
Min	0	13	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	23.25	-3.44
SD	8.67	10.93	8.00
CV	0.44	0.47	—
Max	44	42	+14
Min	10	9	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	19.19	+4.06
SD	10.75	10.11	14.58
CV	0.46	0.53	—
Max	42	37	+37
Min	6	0	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.62	26.56	-9.94
SD	11.26	11.44	16.57
CV	0.68	0.43	—
Max	35	41	+16
Min	3	6	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	50.00%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	16.56	+6.88
SD	10.04	11.58	17.58
CV	0.43	0.70	—
Max	35	44	+27
Min	6	0	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	22.62	+0.19
SD	10.80	10.63	16.14
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	45	41	+29
Min	3	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	22.44	-3.75
SD	9.90	9.06	10.85
CV	0.53	0.40	—
Max	38	35	+14
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	16.44	+2.25
SD	10.75	7.63	14.25
CV	0.58	0.46	—
Max	31	31	+21
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	100%

Tennessee Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	19.38	+1.44
SD	9.25	11.04	15.71
CV	0.44	0.57	—
Max	41	41	+27
Min	9	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.44	18.06	+2.38
SD	9.31	8.54	12.38
CV	0.46	0.47	—
Max	38	32	+23
Min	7	7	-20

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.55	+0.4
Allowed	0.70	-0.5
Differential	0.86	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Kansas City Chiefs	13	8.95	+4.05
2	New York Giants	10.5	8.12	+2.38
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	11	8.83	+2.17
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	11	8.85	+2.15
5	San Francisco 49ers	13	10.88	+2.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Oakland Raiders	4	7.72	-3.72
2	Dallas Cowboys	6	8.87	-2.87
3	Indianapolis Colts	3	5.72	-2.72
4	San Diego Chargers	4	6.66	-2.66
5	Arizona Cardinals	4	6.05	-2.05

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta Falcons	5	Nov 16 – Dec 14	1 in 76
2	San Francisco 49ers	11	Sep 7 – Nov 23	1 in 56
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	Aug 31 – Sep 28	1 in 31
4	New York Giants	5	Sep 28 – Oct 26	1 in 30
5	Minnesota Vikings	6	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Indianapolis Colts	10	Aug 31 – Nov 9	1 in 382
2	San Diego Chargers	8	Nov 2 – Dec 21	1 in 79
3	St. Louis Rams	8	Sep 28 – Nov 23	1 in 72
4	Chicago Bears	7	Sep 1 – Oct 12	1 in 48
5	Dallas Cowboys	5	Nov 23 – Dec 21	1 in 48

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Jacksonville Jaguars	32.47%	25.54%	19.11%	13.94%	8.93%
Pittsburgh Steelers	31.99%	24.87%	19.75%	14.22%	9.17%
Tennessee Oilers	15.44%	19.62%	21.51%	22.34%	21.08%
Baltimore Ravens	11.40%	16.12%	20.66%	24.57%	27.24%
Cincinnati Bengals	8.70%	13.85%	18.95%	24.92%	33.58%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New England Patriots	46.63%	26.28%	15.31%	8.60%	3.18%
Miami Dolphins	26.16%	27.83%	22.19%	15.76%	8.06%
New York Jets	13.23%	20.66%	25.19%	24.79%	16.14%
Buffalo Bills	11.54%	18.88%	24.41%	26.49%	18.68%
Indianapolis Colts	2.44%	6.36%	12.90%	24.36%	53.94%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	58.77%	23.39%	10.96%	5.09%	1.79%
Kansas City Chiefs	21.41%	31.48%	23.44%	15.53%	8.15%
Seattle Seahawks	9.06%	18.73%	24.69%	25.70%	21.81%
Oakland Raiders	8.00%	17.60%	24.51%	26.96%	22.94%
San Diego Chargers	2.77%	8.80%	16.40%	26.72%	45.31%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	72.47%	18.34%	6.50%	2.21%	0.48%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.40%	31.87%	27.13%	19.57%	9.02%
Minnesota Vikings	8.73%	26.14%	28.76%	23.95%	12.42%
Detroit Lions	5.61%	19.04%	26.40%	30.33%	18.62%
Chicago Bears	0.79%	4.61%	11.21%	23.93%	59.46%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Washington Redskins	37.95%	26.67%	18.54%	11.56%	5.28%
Dallas Cowboys	30.96%	27.17%	20.90%	14.17%	6.79%
New York Giants	17.64%	22.63%	24.28%	21.76%	13.69%
Philadelphia Eagles	10.37%	16.47%	22.94%	27.92%	22.31%
Arizona Cardinals	3.09%	7.06%	13.34%	24.58%	51.93%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
San Francisco 49ers	72.70%	19.43%	5.56%	1.80%	0.50%
Carolina Panthers	19.12%	44.05%	21.18%	10.77%	4.89%
St. Louis Rams	3.09%	13.41%	26.25%	28.93%	28.32%
Atlanta Falcons	2.88%	12.65%	24.30%	28.88%	31.29%
New Orleans Saints	2.21%	10.47%	22.71%	29.62%	35.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Denver Broncos	33.23%	18.14%	12.33%	9.14%	6.89%	5.24%	4.08%	3.07%	2.41%	1.87%	1.38%	0.99%	0.65%	0.38%	0.19%
New England Patriots	14.11%	14.50%	12.91%	10.22%	9.00%	8.08%	6.55%	5.67%	4.98%	3.89%	3.20%	2.75%	1.92%	1.36%	0.85%
Kansas City Chiefs	9.80%	9.49%	9.77%	10.38%	9.30%	8.60%	8.04%	7.11%	6.27%	5.57%	4.83%	3.96%	3.15%	2.33%	1.43%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.99%	10.92%	10.15%	9.69%	8.98%	8.10%	7.44%	6.75%	6.12%	5.52%	5.02%	4.23%	3.52%	2.79%	1.77%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.09%	10.17%	10.30%	9.16%	8.74%	8.45%	7.55%	7.11%	6.37%	5.45%	5.08%	4.39%	3.60%	2.77%	1.76%
Miami Dolphins	6.30%	8.40%	8.93%	8.51%	8.85%	8.65%	7.71%	7.52%	7.27%	6.39%	5.78%	5.35%	4.20%	3.38%	2.75%
Tennessee Oilers	3.10%	5.00%	5.81%	6.32%	7.01%	7.22%	7.24%	7.61%	7.43%	7.91%	7.65%	7.64%	7.52%	7.01%	5.54%
Seattle Seahawks	3.43%	4.16%	5.17%	6.41%	6.79%	7.04%	7.98%	7.96%	7.93%	8.30%	7.99%	7.57%	7.33%	6.69%	5.25%
Oakland Raiders	3.06%	3.85%	4.60%	6.12%	6.40%	6.85%	7.87%	7.84%	7.97%	8.29%	8.49%	8.10%	7.91%	7.18%	5.48%
New York Jets	2.27%	4.04%	5.08%	5.53%	6.43%	7.16%	7.32%	7.88%	8.53%	7.85%	8.09%	8.57%	7.54%	6.86%	6.85%
Buffalo Bills	2.15%	3.29%	4.35%	5.10%	5.75%	6.52%	6.85%	7.45%	8.24%	8.27%	8.67%	9.23%	8.19%	8.04%	7.91%
Baltimore Ravens	2.02%	3.67%	4.45%	5.15%	5.79%	6.25%	6.92%	7.37%	7.72%	8.24%	8.35%	8.55%	9.01%	8.88%	7.63%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.44%	2.60%	3.37%	4.18%	4.91%	5.36%	6.17%	6.95%	7.29%	8.16%	8.71%	9.31%	10.28%	10.84%	10.43%
San Diego Chargers	0.81%	1.26%	1.89%	2.84%	3.45%	4.12%	5.28%	5.88%	6.77%	8.20%	9.34%	9.98%	12.72%	14.05%	13.40%
Indianapolis Colts	0.20%	0.49%	0.89%	1.26%	1.72%	2.36%	3.01%	3.82%	4.69%	6.09%	7.40%	9.39%	12.47%	17.44%	28.77%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Green Bay Packers	40.23%	22.65%	13.26%	8.15%	5.39%	3.40%	2.48%	1.71%	1.08%	0.74%	0.44%	0.23%	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%
San Francisco 49ers	27.43%	24.98%	16.11%	9.75%	6.77%	5.09%	3.18%	2.27%	1.62%	1.09%	0.69%	0.51%	0.30%	0.15%	0.05%
Washington Redskins	7.41%	11.75%	14.21%	11.47%	10.49%	9.23%	7.91%	6.75%	5.58%	4.51%	3.70%	2.79%	2.05%	1.42%	0.75%
Dallas Cowboys	5.62%	9.30%	11.79%	10.92%	10.33%	9.54%	8.43%	7.67%	6.62%	5.61%	4.70%	3.82%	2.77%	1.83%	1.05%
Carolina Panthers	4.73%	7.15%	8.65%	10.78%	11.45%	11.65%	9.22%	8.00%	7.54%	5.74%	4.70%	4.12%	2.99%	1.99%	1.29%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4.88%	6.00%	8.14%	10.46%	10.38%	9.82%	9.35%	8.63%	7.44%	6.68%	5.80%	4.64%	3.56%	2.58%	1.64%
Minnesota Vikings	2.93%	4.29%	5.99%	8.92%	9.06%	9.07%	9.62%	9.14%	8.54%	7.88%	7.28%	6.10%	4.79%	3.80%	2.60%
New York Giants	2.56%	5.07%	7.54%	8.05%	8.62%	8.77%	8.79%	8.64%	8.37%	7.70%	7.16%	6.30%	5.28%	4.28%	2.87%
Detroit Lions	1.69%	2.78%	4.21%	6.35%	7.11%	7.88%	9.13%	8.98%	8.97%	9.47%	9.05%	8.00%	6.79%	5.66%	3.94%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.37%	2.73%	4.20%	5.36%	6.17%	6.77%	7.81%	8.49%	8.45%	8.89%	9.30%	9.16%	7.95%	7.42%	5.92%
St. Louis Rams	0.27%	0.87%	1.49%	2.39%	3.58%	4.71%	5.73%	7.12%	8.74%	9.31%	10.11%	11.08%	11.39%	11.39%	11.82%
Atlanta Falcons	0.34%	0.85%	1.48%	2.52%	3.42%	4.56%	5.76%	6.67%	7.96%	8.82%	9.69%	10.78%	11.68%	12.12%	13.37%
New Orleans Saints	0.20%	0.60%	1.03%	1.83%	2.84%	3.78%	4.72%	6.23%	7.69%	8.45%	9.84%	11.22%	12.25%	13.26%	16.08%
Arizona Cardinals	0.20%	0.66%	1.27%	1.85%	2.62%	3.30%	4.36%	5.24%	5.99%	7.67%	8.92%	10.60%	13.36%	15.85%	18.12%
Chicago Bears	0.14%	0.31%	0.64%	1.20%	1.79%	2.44%	3.53%	4.44%	5.40%	7.44%	8.62%	10.66%	14.74%	18.19%	20.48%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
Green Bay Packers	27.84%	16.84%	12.20%	8.88%	6.68%	5.28%	4.19%	3.42%	2.81%	2.19%	1.75%	1.45%	1.24%	1.01%	0.83%	0.75%	0.59%	0.49%	0.38%	0.31%	0.24%	0.17%	0.15%	0.09%	0.07%	0.05%	0.04%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	18.80%	13.95%	12.80%	9.70%	7.94%	6.49%	4.88%	4.30%	3.42%	3.08%	2.49%	2.12%	1.74%	1.56%	1.19%	1.06%	0.81%	0.76%	0.60%	0.53%	0.40%	0.32%	0.27%	0.25%	0.17%	0.14%	0.10%	0.06%	0.03%	0.02%
Denver Broncos	14.21%	14.99%	10.13%	9.55%	7.17%	6.42%	5.20%	4.63%	3.82%	3.47%	3.06%	2.64%	2.27%	1.87%	1.75%	1.43%	1.35%	1.04%	1.03%	0.76%	0.72%	0.59%	0.50%	0.38%	0.34%	0.24%	0.19%	0.13%	0.08%	0.04%
New England Patriots	5.63%	6.66%	6.91%	7.13%	6.50%	6.66%	5.50%	5.38%	4.96%	4.76%	4.17%	4.16%	3.59%	3.41%	3.25%	2.75%	2.59%	2.41%	2.06%	1.94%	1.79%	1.53%	1.35%	1.22%	0.99%	0.87%	0.68%	0.53%	0.42%	0.20%
Washington Redskins	4.35%	5.20%	6.29%	6.16%	6.63%	6.26%	5.65%	5.47%	5.00%	4.83%	4.48%	4.31%	3.83%	3.79%	3.32%	3.21%	2.85%	2.63%	2.41%	2.27%	1.95%	1.70%	1.52%	1.42%	1.16%	1.04%	0.81%	0.68%	0.45%	0.32%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.38%	4.70%	4.82%	5.12%	5.06%	5.23%	5.23%	5.20%	5.05%	4.85%	4.66%	4.36%	4.29%	3.81%	3.83%	3.62%	3.44%	3.02%	2.94%	2.59%	2.60%	2.32%	2.02%	1.72%	1.62%	1.35%	1.15%	0.94%	0.70%	0.39%
Dallas Cowboys	3.10%	3.73%	5.15%	4.83%	5.83%	5.23%	5.44%	5.05%	5.04%	4.82%	4.57%	4.45%	4.17%	4.10%	3.66%	3.72%	3.23%	3.30%	2.84%	2.86%	2.30%	2.37%	2.02%	2.02%	1.54%	1.47%	1.08%	0.98%	0.67%	0.45%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.04%	4.54%	4.83%	5.59%	5.13%	5.46%	5.04%	4.96%	5.00%	4.56%	4.45%	4.06%	4.15%	3.70%	3.74%	3.36%	3.36%	3.02%	2.89%	2.61%	2.71%	2.40%	2.23%	1.91%	1.80%	1.55%	1.40%	1.09%	0.86%	0.55%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.03%	4.60%	4.71%	5.24%	5.17%	5.34%	4.91%	4.83%	4.72%	4.46%	4.54%	4.21%	4.13%	3.85%	3.81%	3.48%	3.54%	3.13%	2.93%	2.68%	2.72%	2.40%	2.24%	2.05%	1.76%	1.63%	1.32%	1.17%	0.85%	0.54%
Carolina Panthers	2.57%	2.90%	3.99%	3.81%	4.55%	4.38%	5.27%	5.07%	5.20%	5.35%	5.08%	5.17%	4.34%	4.81%	3.81%	3.86%	3.45%	3.89%	3.10%	3.16%	2.39%	2.46%	2.16%	2.17%	1.69%	1.59%	1.27%	1.09%	0.84%	0.57%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.65%	2.89%	3.56%	3.55%	4.46%	4.24%	4.96%	4.82%	4.82%	4.72%	4.73%	4.71%	4.29%	4.57%	3.86%	4.26%	3.55%	3.81%	3.21%	3.39%	2.74%	2.93%	2.48%	2.40%	1.98%	1.82%	1.44%	1.38%	0.94%	0.82%
Miami Dolphins	2.05%	3.20%	3.54%	4.43%	4.29%	4.81%	4.30%	4.61%	4.50%	4.71%	4.54%	4.35%	4.02%	4.16%	4.18%	3.76%	3.75%	3.49%	3.48%	3.19%	3.18%	2.83%	2.72%	2.29%	2.28%	1.93%	1.76%	1.50%	1.33%	0.83%
Minnesota Vikings	1.50%	1.81%	2.42%	2.50%	3.31%	3.25%	4.32%	4.05%	4.34%	4.35%	4.35%	4.48%	4.38%	4.63%	4.23%	4.45%	3.91%	4.34%	3.79%	3.92%	3.37%	3.72%	3.04%	3.33%	2.57%	2.56%	2.18%	2.01%	1.57%	1.32%
New York Giants	1.30%	1.84%	2.73%	2.92%	3.57%	3.69%	3.95%	4.02%	4.03%	4.18%	4.21%	4.18%	4.23%	4.36%	4.17%	4.14%	4.03%	4.03%	3.77%	3.85%	3.52%	3.57%	3.23%	3.19%	2.89%	2.66%	2.39%	2.18%	1.78%	1.41%
Seattle Seahawks	0.95%	1.65%	1.94%	2.37%	2.55%	2.82%	3.13%	3.45%	3.42%	3.70%	3.85%	3.87%	4.03%	3.91%	4.22%	4.19%	4.41%	3.94%	4.25%	3.84%	4.37%	4.02%	3.93%	3.43%	3.76%	3.33%	3.36%	2.83%	2.62%	1.83%
Tennessee Oilers	0.88%	1.63%	1.99%	2.67%	2.70%	3.06%	3.25%	3.33%	3.69%	3.63%	3.84%	3.68%	4.00%	3.67%	4.17%	3.77%	4.09%	3.73%	4.22%	3.80%	4.19%	3.74%	3.91%	3.59%	3.92%	3.52%	3.41%	3.05%	2.73%	2.15%
Oakland Raiders	0.78%	1.52%	1.70%	2.14%	2.29%	2.64%	2.96%	3.19%	3.30%	3.52%	3.68%	3.74%	4.09%	3.74%	4.22%	4.16%	4.42%	4.06%	4.20%	3.93%	4.60%	4.08%	4.23%	3.75%	4.03%	3.60%	3.66%	3.00%	2.82%	1.95%
Detroit Lions	0.75%	1.09%	1.57%	1.71%	2.22%	2.33%	3.12%	3.21%	3.30%	3.51%	3.86%	4.09%	4.09%	4.27%	4.11%	4.50%	4.26%	4.48%	4.41%	4.69%	4.32%	4.28%	4.03%	4.18%	3.57%	3.51%	3.14%	2.94%	2.52%	1.96%
New York Jets	0.55%	1.26%	1.52%	2.21%	2.30%	2.73%	2.74%	3.08%	3.25%	3.45%	3.57%	3.74%	3.86%	3.80%	4.21%	4.10%	4.27%	4.14%	4.22%	4.07%	4.19%	4.09%	4.36%	3.95%	3.95%	3.69%	3.64%	3.27%	3.24%	2.56%
Baltimore Ravens	0.52%	1.03%	1.31%	1.95%	2.15%	2.47%	2.53%	2.77%	2.93%	3.02%	3.34%	3.45%	3.66%	3.46%	3.98%	3.89%	4.37%	3.72%	4.37%	3.96%	4.53%	4.21%	4.54%	4.03%	4.68%	4.26%	4.31%	3.90%	3.72%	2.93%
Buffalo Bills	0.49%	1.05%	1.26%	1.79%	1.91%	2.40%	2.47%	2.73%	3.05%	3.06%	3.23%	3.28%	3.60%	3.76%	4.08%	3.80%	4.24%	4.17%	4.26%	4.33%	4.59%	4.32%	4.54%	4.38%	4.25%	4.11%	4.15%	3.78%	3.83%	3.09%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.64%	0.89%	1.46%	1.54%	1.98%	2.17%	2.59%	2.65%	2.94%	2.97%	3.26%	3.37%	3.72%	3.88%	3.82%	4.07%	3.95%	4.30%	4.16%	4.49%	4.21%	4.68%	4.28%	4.90%	4.02%	4.37%	3.82%	4.06%	3.55%	3.25%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.33%	0.71%	0.97%	1.36%	1.58%	1.81%	1.97%	2.28%	2.49%	2.63%	2.79%	2.86%	3.33%	3.25%	3.72%	3.57%	4.08%	3.77%	4.14%	4.09%	4.76%	4.47%	4.92%	4.47%	5.27%	4.98%	5.29%	4.84%	5.03%	4.22%
San Diego Chargers	0.17%	0.38%	0.50%	0.71%	0.83%	1.05%	1.38%	1.48%	1.76%	1.87%	2.17%	2.37%	2.72%	2.64%	3.19%	3.29%	3.87%	3.47%	4.23%	4.11%	5.01%	4.81%	5.33%	5.05%	6.42%	5.90%	6.88%	6.28%	6.42%	5.74%
St. Louis Rams	0.12%	0.20%	0.42%	0.49%	0.76%	0.86%	1.14%	1.25%	1.60%	1.82%	2.02%	2.40%	2.56%	2.92%	3.03%	3.48%	3.53%	4.37%	4.25%	4.85%	4.40%	5.27%	5.19%	5.89%	5.39%	6.20%	5.87%	6.51%	6.35%	6.88%
Atlanta Falcons	0.15%	0.25%	0.42%	0.51%	0.76%	0.82%	1.08%	1.38%	1.52%	1.79%	1.97%	2.37%	2.46%	2.94%	2.90%	3.30%	3.31%	4.06%	3.96%	4.64%	4.21%	4.90%	5.08%	5.69%	5.44%	6.13%	6.28%	6.77%	6.93%	7.99%
New Orleans Saints	0.09%	0.14%	0.24%	0.34%	0.50%	0.61%	0.75%	1.07%	1.27%	1.52%	1.56%	1.98%	2.02%	2.48%	2.47%	3.21%	3.05%	3.98%	3.92%	4.36%	4.22%	4.90%	5.27%	5.78%	5.92%	6.41%	6.67%	7.47%	8.07%	9.71%
Arizona Cardinals	0.08%	0.16%	0.29%	0.40%	0.53%	0.67%	0.90%	1.00%	1.15%	1.33%	1.55%	1.65%	2.06%	2.18%	2.28%	2.60%	2.80%	3.10%	3.57%	3.83%	4.03%	4.48%	4.79%	5.60%	5.90%	6.86%	7.18%	8.65%	8.98%	11.39%
Chicago Bears	0.04%	0.09%	0.15%	0.20%	0.32%	0.33%	0.58%	0.64%	0.77%	0.94%	1.09%	1.33%	1.50%	1.82%	1.97%	2.20%	2.54%	2.79%	3.28%	3.67%	3.87%	4.47%	4.85%	5.70%	6.23%	7.52%	8.09%	9.74%	10.41%	12.88%
Indianapolis Colts	0.03%	0.09%	0.15%	0.25%	0.33%	0.48%	0.57%	0.68%	0.86%	0.87%	1.14%	1.18%	1.62%	1.64%	2.01%	2.01%	2.38%	2.53%	3.14%	3.27%	3.86%	3.97%	4.83%	5.19%	6.37%	6.73%	8.46%	9.13%	12.24%	13.99%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Denver Broncos	33.23%	16.67%	8.86%	12.94%	7.66%	5.52%	15.12%
New England Patriots	14.11%	15.91%	16.62%	7.35%	7.83%	7.39%	30.80%
Kansas City Chiefs	9.80%	7.09%	4.52%	15.69%	10.90%	9.09%	42.91%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.09%	11.05%	11.84%	7.58%	8.18%	8.23%	44.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.99%	11.82%	11.66%	7.93%	8.61%	7.90%	43.10%
Miami Dolphins	6.30%	9.05%	10.82%	7.08%	8.33%	8.31%	50.13%
Seattle Seahawks	3.43%	3.24%	2.40%	8.33%	7.75%	7.58%	67.27%
Tennessee Oilers	3.10%	5.46%	6.87%	5.22%	6.68%	7.12%	65.54%
Oakland Raiders	3.06%	2.88%	2.06%	7.85%	7.38%	7.35%	69.43%
New York Jets	2.27%	4.44%	6.52%	4.43%	6.00%	7.00%	69.34%
Buffalo Bills	2.15%	3.70%	5.69%	4.12%	5.30%	6.34%	72.71%
Baltimore Ravens	2.02%	4.12%	5.27%	4.18%	5.54%	6.19%	72.69%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.44%	2.94%	4.32%	3.17%	4.62%	5.36%	78.15%
San Diego Chargers	0.81%	1.01%	0.94%	3.30%	3.73%	4.41%	85.79%
Indianapolis Colts	0.20%	0.63%	1.61%	0.84%	1.49%	2.23%	93.00%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	40.23%	21.86%	10.38%	10.99%	6.00%	3.60%	6.93%
San Francisco 49ers	27.43%	26.48%	18.79%	7.25%	5.84%	4.55%	9.66%
Washington Redskins	7.41%	12.61%	17.93%	8.22%	9.55%	8.88%	35.40%
Dallas Cowboys	5.62%	10.09%	15.24%	8.01%	9.38%	9.23%	42.42%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4.88%	4.39%	3.14%	15.10%	11.69%	10.34%	50.47%
Carolina Panthers	4.73%	6.98%	7.41%	11.98%	11.96%	11.47%	45.47%
Minnesota Vikings	2.93%	3.30%	2.51%	11.69%	10.12%	9.55%	59.90%
New York Giants	2.56%	5.50%	9.58%	6.28%	8.07%	8.66%	59.35%
Detroit Lions	1.69%	2.20%	1.72%	7.98%	7.93%	8.33%	70.15%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.37%	3.05%	5.95%	4.00%	5.62%	6.64%	73.37%
Atlanta Falcons	0.34%	0.91%	1.63%	2.29%	3.41%	4.56%	86.86%
St. Louis Rams	0.27%	0.93%	1.88%	2.05%	3.52%	4.67%	86.67%
Arizona Cardinals	0.20%	0.74%	2.15%	1.28%	2.33%	3.23%	90.08%
New Orleans Saints	0.20%	0.68%	1.33%	1.56%	2.75%	3.76%	89.72%
Chicago Bears	0.14%	0.29%	0.37%	1.31%	1.84%	2.52%	93.54%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+21.67%

Fortress

60.42%0.83%38.75%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 76.49 Elo pts.

26 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.80 points

Lean Home

-8+3.00+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 15th · Longshot: 16th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.2

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

15%

Denver Broncos, 2nd of 30

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

5.6%

Tough Road

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.51 · As Expected: 1.51 to 2.08 · Elevated: 2.08 to 2.83 · High Variance: 2.83 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.21 · Close: 5.21 to 7.05 · Off Target: 7.05 to 9.2 · Well Off Target: 9.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 30 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 30 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 3.6 · Several Outliers: 3.6 to 6.6 · Many Outliers: 6.6 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.12 · As Expected: 3.12 to 5.21 · More Than Expected: 5.21 to 8.33 · Far More Than Expected: 8.33 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.84 wins

As Expected

01.895

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.77

Pinpoint

06.1315

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.33%

99.52%

Kansas City Chiefs

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.67%

4.64%

Oakland Raiders

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 30

As Expected

03.015

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

3 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

04.212

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.72

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

67%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

No Contest

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

28%

Some Drama

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.95

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.35

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

38%

As Expected

0%36%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%30%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.82

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.03

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.072

Within Noise

00.0930.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	87.00%	87.00%	67.77%	48.95%	32.45%
Denver Broncos	73.50%	73.50%	47.85%	30.31%	14.89%
San Francisco 49ers	79.07%	79.07%	50.08%	24.09%	13.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	43.41%	43.41%	25.39%	15.04%	7.53%
New England Patriots	53.46%	53.46%	29.23%	14.54%	6.12%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.16%	41.16%	22.03%	10.78%	4.60%
Jacksonville Jaguars	41.01%	41.01%	21.09%	9.83%	4.05%
Washington Redskins	44.59%	44.17%	18.01%	6.18%	2.71%
Miami Dolphins	34.53%	31.78%	13.63%	5.28%	1.84%
New York Giants	32.59%	25.80%	10.48%	3.90%	1.82%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	40.27%	29.03%	10.17%	3.75%	1.58%
Carolina Panthers	42.82%	30.02%	10.54%	3.26%	1.28%
Dallas Cowboys	41.87%	34.24%	11.58%	3.33%	1.21%
Tennessee Oilers	25.90%	20.65%	8.53%	3.40%	1.20%
Minnesota Vikings	33.87%	21.80%	7.24%	2.54%	1.00%
Seattle Seahawks	26.06%	18.12%	6.98%	2.81%	0.99%
Detroit Lions	25.96%	16.28%	5.76%	2.11%	0.89%
New York Jets	23.95%	16.65%	6.16%	2.14%	0.67%
Cincinnati Bengals	17.47%	11.60%	4.30%	1.49%	0.46%
Baltimore Ravens	21.17%	13.90%	4.73%	1.43%	0.39%
Oakland Raiders	24.63%	13.92%	4.10%	1.29%	0.32%
Philadelphia Eagles	22.21%	13.07%	3.78%	0.96%	0.31%
Buffalo Bills	21.45%	13.03%	4.04%	1.15%	0.28%
Atlanta Falcons	11.89%	5.41%	1.44%	0.31%	0.11%
St. Louis Rams	12.12%	5.03%	1.24%	0.25%	0.07%
San Diego Chargers	12.38%	5.06%	1.19%	0.30%	0.06%
Indianapolis Colts	6.17%	2.76%	0.75%	0.22%	0.05%
New Orleans Saints	9.40%	3.46%	0.77%	0.16%	0.04%
Arizona Cardinals	8.98%	3.46%	0.66%	0.12%	0.03%
Chicago Bears	6.03%	2.19%	0.47%	0.11%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		54.4%1.22%	44.4%0.73%	22.0%2.09%	53.2%0.36%	32.5%1.97%	22.9%2.49%	36.8%1.88%	27.9%2.21%	44.0%1.27%	56.0%1.51%	29.5%2.00%	65.0%0.67%	44.6%1.54%	39.7%1.21%
Buffalo Bills	45.6%1.22%		43.7%1.05%	20.1%2.03%	54.8%0.25%	28.5%1.99%	20.9%2.37%	34.9%1.79%	26.6%2.54%	41.7%1.09%	51.0%1.44%	27.3%1.98%	54.1%0.75%	37.5%1.52%	38.6%1.45%
Cincinnati Bengals	55.6%0.73%	56.3%1.05%		25.8%1.85%	56.2%0.24%	36.7%1.61%	28.1%2.07%	43.1%1.60%	33.7%1.83%	49.9%1.04%	60.8%1.12%	33.2%1.56%	69.8%0.54%	47.4%1.31%	45.3%0.92%
Denver Broncos	78.0%2.09%	79.9%2.03%	74.2%1.85%		81.9%0.62%	61.3%3.62%	51.3%3.39%	67.8%3.38%	58.1%3.59%	72.2%2.41%	79.0%2.32%	59.0%3.51%	84.3%1.17%	69.7%2.44%	70.2%2.55%
Indianapolis Colts	46.8%0.36%	45.2%0.25%	43.8%0.24%	18.1%0.62%		24.3%0.59%	18.7%0.69%	33.1%0.49%	22.3%0.70%	36.6%0.30%	49.8%0.43%	25.9%0.54%	59.2%0.17%	34.2%0.34%	35.9%0.46%
Jacksonville Jaguars	67.5%1.97%	71.5%1.99%	63.3%1.61%	38.7%3.62%	75.7%0.59%		40.2%4.39%	57.9%3.13%	47.0%3.41%	65.1%2.23%	71.4%2.60%	47.4%3.77%	76.9%1.38%	62.5%2.82%	57.3%2.58%
Kansas City Chiefs	77.1%2.49%	79.1%2.37%	71.9%2.07%	48.7%3.39%	81.3%0.69%	59.8%4.39%		67.3%4.23%	56.2%4.53%	71.9%2.82%	78.2%2.40%	57.1%4.25%	83.5%1.01%	70.4%2.50%	67.6%3.06%
Miami Dolphins	63.2%1.88%	65.1%1.79%	56.9%1.60%	32.2%3.38%	66.9%0.49%	42.1%3.13%	32.7%4.23%		40.5%4.32%	54.1%2.03%	64.5%2.31%	40.6%3.18%	70.7%1.21%	53.1%2.62%	49.9%2.35%
New England Patriots	72.1%2.21%	73.4%2.54%	66.3%1.83%	41.9%3.59%	77.7%0.70%	53.0%3.41%	43.8%4.53%	59.5%4.32%		64.6%2.87%	75.4%2.85%	51.7%3.50%	80.8%1.39%	64.4%2.91%	61.4%2.54%
New York Jets	56.0%1.27%	58.3%1.09%	50.1%1.04%	27.8%2.41%	63.4%0.30%	34.9%2.23%	28.1%2.82%	45.9%2.03%	35.4%2.87%		59.3%1.64%	32.2%2.28%	68.8%0.78%	46.9%1.55%	44.2%1.64%
Oakland Raiders	44.0%1.51%	49.0%1.44%	39.2%1.12%	21.0%2.32%	50.2%0.43%	28.6%2.60%	21.8%2.40%	35.5%2.31%	24.6%2.85%	40.7%1.64%		25.2%2.56%	55.9%0.46%	37.5%1.20%	37.2%1.79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	70.5%2.00%	72.7%1.98%	66.8%1.56%	41.0%3.51%	74.1%0.54%	52.6%3.77%	42.9%4.25%	59.4%3.18%	48.3%3.50%	67.8%2.28%	74.8%2.56%		80.3%1.37%	63.6%2.85%	61.3%2.51%
San Diego Chargers	35.0%0.67%	45.9%0.75%	30.2%0.54%	15.7%1.17%	40.8%0.17%	23.1%1.38%	16.5%1.01%	29.3%1.21%	19.2%1.39%	31.2%0.78%	44.1%0.46%	19.7%1.37%		29.4%0.55%	27.0%0.92%
Seattle Seahawks	55.4%1.54%	62.5%1.52%	52.6%1.31%	30.3%2.44%	65.8%0.34%	37.5%2.82%	29.6%2.50%	46.9%2.62%	35.6%2.91%	53.1%1.55%	62.5%1.20%	36.4%2.85%	70.6%0.55%		49.1%1.91%
Tennessee Oilers	60.3%1.21%	61.4%1.45%	54.7%0.92%	29.8%2.55%	64.1%0.46%	42.7%2.58%	32.4%3.06%	50.1%2.35%	38.6%2.54%	55.8%1.64%	62.8%1.79%	38.7%2.51%	73.0%0.92%	50.9%1.91%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		46.8%0.23%	34.3%0.95%	47.3%0.15%	33.8%1.01%	27.2%0.65%	9.2%0.78%	31.2%0.73%	48.4%0.18%	22.5%0.70%	37.7%0.34%	15.0%0.92%	43.5%0.27%	28.1%0.94%	26.1%1.13%
Atlanta Falcons	53.2%0.23%		40.7%0.80%	63.4%0.16%	40.7%1.46%	40.9%0.69%	12.7%1.12%	41.0%1.16%	61.3%0.14%	29.3%1.03%	47.8%0.59%	21.3%1.49%	53.5%0.18%	39.8%1.25%	33.6%1.57%
Carolina Panthers	65.7%0.95%	59.3%0.80%		65.3%0.75%	49.9%4.70%	46.9%3.50%	17.6%4.42%	47.1%4.44%	66.8%0.64%	41.1%3.66%	53.7%2.47%	28.8%4.90%	62.6%0.84%	45.1%5.61%	41.7%5.14%
Chicago Bears	52.7%0.15%	36.6%0.16%	34.7%0.75%		35.8%0.80%	30.9%0.18%	9.9%0.57%	32.7%0.29%	43.4%0.11%	25.9%0.59%	40.3%0.38%	16.1%0.71%	41.2%0.15%	29.5%0.36%	28.4%0.83%
Dallas Cowboys	66.2%1.01%	59.3%1.46%	50.1%4.70%	64.2%0.80%		45.2%3.29%	16.5%3.45%	47.6%4.17%	68.8%1.11%	39.4%3.76%	55.3%2.44%	26.4%3.42%	63.1%1.40%	44.5%5.14%	42.2%5.73%
Detroit Lions	72.8%0.65%	59.1%0.69%	53.1%3.50%	69.1%0.18%	54.8%3.29%		21.6%2.30%	54.9%1.61%	68.5%0.50%	44.4%2.44%	57.2%1.52%	31.6%2.93%	67.4%0.78%	49.7%2.08%	44.9%3.50%
Green Bay Packers	90.8%0.78%	87.3%1.12%	82.4%4.42%	90.1%0.57%	83.5%3.45%	78.4%2.30%		81.6%2.77%	89.4%0.85%	77.2%2.70%	85.6%1.91%	64.9%2.43%	89.1%1.11%	78.2%3.13%	76.7%3.44%
Minnesota Vikings	68.8%0.73%	59.0%1.16%	52.9%4.44%	67.3%0.29%	52.4%4.17%	45.1%1.61%	18.4%2.77%		68.1%0.86%	42.0%3.31%	57.1%2.02%	30.2%3.79%	62.7%1.10%	48.9%2.93%	43.1%4.70%
New Orleans Saints	51.6%0.18%	38.7%0.14%	33.2%0.64%	56.6%0.11%	31.2%1.11%	31.5%0.50%	10.6%0.85%	31.9%0.86%		25.3%0.74%	34.6%0.54%	18.2%1.28%	46.5%0.14%	28.5%1.06%	25.2%1.26%
New York Giants	77.5%0.70%	70.7%1.03%	58.9%3.66%	74.1%0.59%	60.6%3.76%	55.6%2.44%	22.8%2.70%	58.0%3.31%	74.7%0.74%		66.2%1.61%	36.1%2.91%	71.0%1.00%	53.7%3.85%	52.5%4.28%
Philadelphia Eagles	62.3%0.34%	52.2%0.59%	46.3%2.47%	59.7%0.38%	44.7%2.44%	42.8%1.52%	14.4%1.91%	42.9%2.02%	65.4%0.54%	33.8%1.61%		22.8%2.22%	57.2%0.68%	39.9%2.60%	36.2%2.90%
San Francisco 49ers	85.0%0.92%	78.7%1.49%	71.2%4.90%	83.9%0.71%	73.6%3.42%	68.4%2.93%	35.1%2.43%	69.8%3.79%	81.8%1.28%	63.9%2.91%	77.2%2.22%		79.5%1.61%	67.3%4.55%	65.4%3.26%
St. Louis Rams	56.5%0.27%	46.5%0.18%	37.4%0.84%	58.8%0.15%	36.9%1.40%	32.6%0.78%	10.9%1.11%	37.3%1.10%	53.5%0.14%	29.0%1.00%	42.8%0.68%	20.5%1.61%		35.2%1.38%	27.6%1.48%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	71.9%0.94%	60.2%1.25%	54.9%5.61%	70.5%0.36%	55.5%5.14%	50.3%2.08%	21.8%3.13%	51.1%2.93%	71.5%1.06%	46.3%3.85%	60.1%2.60%	32.7%4.55%	64.8%1.38%		45.1%5.39%
Washington Redskins	73.9%1.13%	66.4%1.57%	58.3%5.14%	71.6%0.83%	57.8%5.73%	55.1%3.50%	23.3%3.44%	56.9%4.70%	74.8%1.26%	47.5%4.28%	63.8%2.90%	34.6%3.26%	72.4%1.48%	54.9%5.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		53.7%0.57%	45.4%0.25%	23.7%2.90%	62.8%0.13%	31.3%1.21%	26.1%1.42%	40.1%1.32%	30.3%2.70%	45.3%0.63%	53.6%0.44%	30.1%1.17%	66.0%0.16%	47.9%0.53%	44.4%0.46%
Buffalo Bills	46.3%0.57%		43.4%0.46%	21.5%2.63%	58.3%0.05%	29.8%1.64%	23.8%1.30%	34.6%0.77%	27.9%1.63%	42.3%0.29%	50.1%0.45%	28.9%1.71%	57.8%0.17%	39.9%0.58%	37.9%0.79%
Cincinnati Bengals	54.6%0.25%	56.6%0.46%		26.5%2.47%	71.6%0.09%	35.4%0.92%	27.5%1.21%	42.9%1.16%	36.7%2.23%	45.7%0.54%	55.5%0.39%	33.9%0.94%	69.1%0.11%	42.0%0.45%	42.9%0.39%
Denver Broncos	76.3%2.90%	78.5%2.63%	73.5%2.47%		79.7%0.62%	61.6%8.06%	52.5%13.82%	68.8%6.57%	60.3%9.93%	74.9%3.57%	79.8%3.77%	59.8%8.47%	82.8%1.35%	71.5%4.91%	71.2%4.43%
Indianapolis Colts	37.2%0.13%	41.7%0.05%	28.4%0.09%	20.3%0.62%		30.1%0.37%	18.8%0.29%	35.1%0.11%	30.6%0.30%	36.7%0.05%	38.3%0.09%	22.7%0.35%	39.3%0.03%	28.6%0.08%	30.9%0.21%
Jacksonville Jaguars	68.7%1.21%	70.2%1.64%	64.6%0.92%	38.4%8.06%	69.9%0.37%		41.7%4.37%	57.9%4.35%	46.8%7.42%	63.0%2.29%	70.1%1.42%	47.7%4.67%	78.2%0.50%	60.0%1.95%	61.2%1.85%
Kansas City Chiefs	73.9%1.42%	76.2%1.30%	72.5%1.21%	47.5%13.82%	81.2%0.29%	58.3%4.37%		65.3%3.17%	54.7%6.10%	70.3%1.67%	76.4%1.41%	57.3%4.30%	82.2%0.44%	69.0%1.82%	66.5%2.09%
Miami Dolphins	59.9%1.32%	65.4%0.77%	57.1%1.16%	31.2%6.57%	64.9%0.11%	42.1%4.35%	34.7%3.17%		40.9%4.55%	54.4%0.90%	66.6%0.97%	39.2%4.18%	69.6%0.39%	51.0%1.35%	51.9%2.00%
New England Patriots	69.7%2.70%	72.1%1.63%	63.3%2.23%	39.7%9.93%	69.4%0.30%	53.2%7.42%	45.3%6.10%	59.1%4.55%		66.1%2.08%	72.7%1.92%	51.6%7.40%	80.5%0.69%	65.4%2.63%	60.6%3.89%
New York Jets	54.7%0.63%	57.7%0.29%	54.3%0.54%	25.1%3.57%	63.3%0.05%	37.0%2.29%	29.7%1.67%	45.6%0.90%	33.9%2.08%		56.1%0.42%	34.4%2.31%	69.2%0.20%	47.4%0.63%	46.0%1.08%
Oakland Raiders	46.4%0.44%	49.9%0.45%	44.5%0.39%	20.2%3.77%	61.7%0.09%	29.9%1.42%	23.6%1.41%	33.4%0.97%	27.3%1.92%	43.9%0.42%		26.9%1.45%	54.6%0.11%	42.9%0.45%	38.9%0.63%
Pittsburgh Steelers	69.9%1.17%	71.1%1.71%	66.1%0.94%	40.2%8.47%	77.3%0.35%	52.3%4.67%	42.7%4.30%	60.8%4.18%	48.4%7.40%	65.6%2.31%	73.1%1.45%		79.3%0.54%	62.9%1.83%	62.5%1.84%
San Diego Chargers	34.0%0.16%	42.2%0.17%	30.9%0.11%	17.2%1.35%	60.7%0.03%	21.8%0.50%	17.8%0.44%	30.4%0.39%	19.5%0.69%	30.8%0.20%	45.4%0.11%	20.7%0.54%		32.5%0.15%	29.0%0.24%
Seattle Seahawks	52.1%0.53%	60.1%0.58%	58.0%0.45%	28.5%4.91%	71.4%0.08%	40.0%1.95%	31.0%1.82%	49.0%1.35%	34.6%2.63%	52.6%0.63%	57.1%0.45%	37.1%1.83%	67.5%0.15%		46.6%0.76%
Tennessee Oilers	55.6%0.46%	62.1%0.79%	57.1%0.39%	28.8%4.43%	69.1%0.21%	38.8%1.85%	33.5%2.09%	48.0%2.00%	39.4%3.89%	54.0%1.08%	61.1%0.63%	37.5%1.84%	71.0%0.24%	53.4%0.76%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		48.6%0.03%	32.0%0.28%	46.2%0.01%	37.6%0.14%	33.3%0.09%	9.7%1.12%	32.7%0.11%	28.0%0.03%	23.4%0.06%	31.4%0.03%	14.5%1.16%	46.9%0.03%	31.2%0.16%	25.8%0.19%
Atlanta Falcons	51.4%0.03%		38.4%0.22%	73.3%0.01%	44.2%0.51%	35.5%0.11%	13.5%1.74%	37.5%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	31.8%0.33%	45.5%0.14%	21.6%1.28%	53.3%0.01%	37.9%0.21%	36.3%0.64%
Carolina Panthers	68.0%0.28%	61.6%0.22%		65.1%0.11%	50.4%2.84%	45.2%0.88%	17.3%7.84%	48.8%1.14%	63.5%0.10%	42.2%1.97%	59.2%1.10%	29.7%8.05%	64.1%0.17%	48.5%1.63%	42.5%3.70%
Chicago Bears	53.8%0.01%	26.7%0.01%	34.9%0.11%		31.2%0.15%	36.6%0.04%	11.7%0.74%	25.0%0.05%	58.3%0.01%	28.6%0.10%	43.3%0.06%	17.2%0.61%	25.0%0.01%	43.9%0.08%	26.4%0.20%
Dallas Cowboys	62.4%0.14%	55.8%0.51%	49.6%2.84%	68.8%0.15%		47.8%1.24%	17.5%9.23%	46.2%1.70%	63.5%0.32%	40.1%1.42%	56.6%0.69%	28.8%10.18%	59.3%0.51%	46.1%2.18%	41.5%3.10%
Detroit Lions	66.7%0.09%	64.5%0.11%	54.8%0.88%	63.4%0.04%	52.2%1.24%		20.7%5.90%	53.9%0.43%	61.2%0.07%	44.8%0.70%	55.6%0.43%	30.9%4.02%	73.1%0.12%	50.3%0.66%	48.1%1.59%
Green Bay Packers	90.3%1.12%	86.5%1.74%	82.7%7.84%	88.3%0.74%	82.5%9.23%	79.3%5.90%		81.1%8.02%	89.4%1.09%	77.0%7.90%	85.6%3.82%	63.4%14.85%	89.1%1.47%	79.2%11.19%	77.8%12.09%
Minnesota Vikings	67.3%0.11%	62.5%0.18%	51.2%1.14%	75.0%0.05%	53.8%1.70%	46.1%0.43%	18.9%8.02%		70.3%0.11%	42.6%1.08%	53.1%0.53%	28.1%5.09%	60.1%0.20%	49.2%0.92%	43.8%2.22%
New Orleans Saints	72.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	36.5%0.10%	41.7%0.01%	36.5%0.32%	38.8%0.07%	10.6%1.09%	29.7%0.11%		25.7%0.21%	42.7%0.13%	17.2%0.77%	75.0%<0.01%	30.1%0.16%	28.0%0.45%
New York Giants	76.6%0.06%	68.2%0.33%	57.8%1.97%	71.4%0.10%	59.9%1.42%	55.2%0.70%	23.0%7.90%	57.4%1.08%	74.3%0.21%		67.9%0.45%	37.1%7.98%	68.1%0.26%	52.4%1.38%	51.6%1.96%
Philadelphia Eagles	68.6%0.03%	54.5%0.14%	40.8%1.10%	56.7%0.06%	43.4%0.69%	44.4%0.43%	14.4%3.82%	46.9%0.53%	57.3%0.13%	32.1%0.45%		24.8%3.84%	54.5%0.18%	41.3%0.73%	36.7%0.92%
San Francisco 49ers	85.5%1.16%	78.4%1.28%	70.3%8.05%	82.8%0.61%	71.2%10.18%	69.1%4.02%	36.6%14.85%	71.9%5.09%	82.8%0.77%	62.9%7.98%	75.2%3.84%		80.7%1.17%	69.0%6.53%	64.9%13.54%
St. Louis Rams	53.1%0.03%	46.7%0.01%	35.9%0.17%	75.0%0.01%	40.7%0.51%	26.9%0.12%	10.9%1.47%	39.9%0.20%	25.0%<0.01%	31.9%0.26%	45.5%0.18%	19.3%1.17%		28.5%0.26%	31.9%0.63%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.8%0.16%	62.1%0.21%	51.5%1.63%	56.1%0.08%	53.9%2.18%	49.7%0.66%	20.8%11.19%	50.8%0.92%	69.9%0.16%	47.6%1.38%	58.7%0.73%	31.0%6.53%	71.5%0.26%		46.0%2.93%
Washington Redskins	74.2%0.19%	63.7%0.64%	57.5%3.70%	73.6%0.20%	58.5%3.10%	51.9%1.59%	22.2%12.09%	56.2%2.22%	72.0%0.45%	48.4%1.96%	63.3%0.92%	35.1%13.54%	68.1%0.63%	54.0%2.93%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		54.8%0.08%	53.5%0.04%	23.3%1.70%	47.1%0.02%	33.9%0.33%	25.2%0.79%	46.8%0.27%	30.5%0.64%	41.4%0.12%	56.3%0.10%	28.0%0.31%	64.9%0.04%	39.1%0.17%	38.1%0.12%
Buffalo Bills	45.2%0.08%		44.3%0.09%	21.3%1.38%	37.5%<0.01%	33.7%0.41%	22.5%0.59%	36.6%0.13%	29.0%0.35%	44.4%0.07%	41.0%0.08%	29.1%0.48%	62.9%0.03%	38.9%0.16%	37.9%0.16%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.5%0.04%	55.7%0.09%		29.3%1.44%	72.7%0.01%	38.7%0.27%	29.0%0.74%	43.8%0.30%	30.1%0.64%	44.1%0.10%	60.2%0.09%	36.3%0.26%	54.3%0.03%	50.0%0.19%	38.3%0.09%
Denver Broncos	76.7%1.70%	78.7%1.38%	70.7%1.44%		82.4%0.26%	62.3%7.47%	50.9%5.17%	69.2%4.76%	59.5%10.57%	73.0%2.12%	76.1%0.78%	59.5%7.73%	85.7%0.20%	67.1%1.32%	68.6%2.95%
Indianapolis Colts	52.9%0.02%	62.5%<0.01%	27.3%0.01%	17.6%0.26%		29.3%0.07%	31.4%0.12%	43.8%0.03%	32.8%0.07%	40.0%0.01%	47.4%0.02%	33.8%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	47.8%0.02%	35.5%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	66.1%0.33%	66.3%0.41%	61.3%0.27%	37.7%7.47%	70.7%0.07%		40.7%3.49%	59.1%1.55%	47.2%3.20%	64.9%0.62%	68.9%0.51%	47.3%1.56%	68.1%0.17%	61.7%0.93%	56.2%0.52%
Kansas City Chiefs	74.8%0.79%	77.5%0.59%	71.0%0.74%	49.1%5.17%	68.6%0.12%	59.3%3.49%		66.7%2.09%	55.4%5.17%	68.4%0.99%	74.2%0.40%	57.5%3.64%	79.8%0.10%	65.9%0.67%	64.7%1.44%
Miami Dolphins	53.2%0.27%	63.4%0.13%	56.2%0.30%	30.8%4.76%	56.2%0.03%	40.9%1.55%	33.3%2.09%		39.4%1.15%	48.3%0.24%	61.1%0.32%	42.0%1.57%	75.5%0.11%	50.0%0.60%	51.6%0.52%
New England Patriots	69.5%0.64%	71.0%0.35%	69.9%0.64%	40.5%10.57%	67.2%0.07%	52.8%3.20%	44.6%5.17%	60.6%1.15%		68.8%0.53%	70.6%0.76%	51.4%3.38%	76.6%0.21%	63.1%1.31%	60.2%1.27%
New York Jets	58.6%0.12%	55.6%0.07%	55.9%0.10%	27.0%2.12%	60.0%0.01%	35.1%0.62%	31.6%0.99%	51.7%0.24%	31.2%0.53%		57.3%0.15%	37.4%0.71%	60.6%0.03%	43.6%0.22%	43.7%0.25%
Oakland Raiders	43.7%0.10%	59.0%0.08%	39.8%0.09%	23.9%0.78%	52.6%0.02%	31.1%0.51%	25.8%0.40%	38.9%0.32%	29.4%0.76%	42.7%0.15%		29.4%0.60%	100.0%<0.01%	38.0%0.08%	35.6%0.19%
Pittsburgh Steelers	72.0%0.31%	70.9%0.48%	63.7%0.26%	40.5%7.73%	66.2%0.07%	52.7%1.56%	42.5%3.64%	58.0%1.57%	48.6%3.38%	62.6%0.71%	70.6%0.60%		77.8%0.17%	63.1%0.97%	57.3%0.59%
San Diego Chargers	35.1%0.04%	37.1%0.03%	45.7%0.03%	14.3%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	31.9%0.17%	20.2%0.10%	24.5%0.11%	23.4%0.21%	39.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%0.17%		27.3%0.02%	30.2%0.06%
Seattle Seahawks	60.9%0.17%	61.1%0.16%	50.0%0.19%	32.9%1.32%	52.2%0.02%	38.3%0.93%	34.1%0.67%	50.0%0.60%	36.9%1.31%	56.4%0.22%	62.0%0.08%	36.9%0.97%	72.7%0.02%		48.3%0.32%
Tennessee Oilers	61.9%0.12%	62.1%0.16%	61.7%0.09%	31.4%2.95%	64.5%0.03%	43.8%0.52%	35.3%1.44%	48.4%0.52%	39.8%1.27%	56.3%0.25%	64.4%0.19%	42.7%0.59%	69.8%0.06%	51.7%0.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%	40.9%0.02%	10.0%0.32%	21.1%0.02%		30.0%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	15.0%0.15%	75.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.03%	30.3%0.03%
Atlanta Falcons	0.0%<0.01%		55.9%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.07%	41.7%0.04%	13.4%0.74%	29.3%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	12.1%0.06%	37.0%0.03%	18.9%0.22%	33.3%<0.01%	40.6%0.07%	37.4%0.11%
Carolina Panthers	66.7%0.03%	44.1%0.03%		74.1%0.03%	51.1%0.51%	45.4%0.32%	19.8%5.47%	50.6%0.40%	73.9%0.02%	40.6%0.49%	63.6%0.17%	32.8%1.64%	65.5%0.03%	47.4%0.65%	43.6%0.75%
Chicago Bears	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	25.9%0.03%		50.0%0.03%	21.4%0.01%	14.3%0.15%	54.5%0.01%		16.0%0.03%	14.3%<0.01%	19.4%0.14%	50.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.02%	30.0%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	70.6%0.02%	60.0%0.07%	48.9%0.51%	50.0%0.03%		46.1%0.34%	18.5%5.75%	50.3%0.40%	58.3%0.04%	42.6%0.34%	55.2%0.10%	29.3%2.72%	56.5%0.06%	46.7%0.66%	41.5%0.55%
Detroit Lions	59.1%0.02%	58.3%0.04%	54.6%0.32%	78.6%0.01%	53.9%0.34%		24.1%2.01%	53.4%0.13%	55.6%0.03%	45.9%0.29%	65.0%0.10%	33.0%1.79%	71.8%0.04%	49.0%0.21%	49.8%0.44%
Green Bay Packers	90.0%0.32%	86.6%0.74%	80.2%5.47%	85.7%0.15%	81.5%5.75%	75.9%2.01%		78.0%2.51%	87.3%0.41%	73.9%5.10%	83.2%1.83%	64.5%30.12%	87.6%0.65%	76.5%3.46%	76.0%9.24%
Minnesota Vikings	78.9%0.02%	70.7%0.06%	49.4%0.40%	45.5%0.01%	49.7%0.40%	46.6%0.13%	22.0%2.51%		80.0%0.03%	45.2%0.39%	62.1%0.12%	33.2%2.19%	68.9%0.04%	49.4%0.24%	45.1%0.69%
New Orleans Saints		100.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.02%		41.7%0.04%	44.4%0.03%	12.7%0.41%	20.0%0.03%		22.6%0.03%	55.6%<0.01%	27.4%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	25.5%0.05%	31.9%0.05%
New York Giants	70.0%0.02%	87.9%0.06%	59.4%0.49%	84.0%0.03%	57.4%0.34%	54.1%0.29%	26.1%5.10%	54.8%0.39%	77.4%0.03%		72.0%0.09%	36.3%2.51%	75.6%0.04%	54.8%0.52%	52.3%0.58%
Philadelphia Eagles	60.0%<0.01%	63.0%0.03%	36.4%0.17%	85.7%<0.01%	44.8%0.10%	35.0%0.10%	16.8%1.83%	37.9%0.12%	44.4%<0.01%	28.0%0.09%		26.7%0.92%	47.1%0.02%	39.2%0.20%	40.6%0.17%
San Francisco 49ers	85.0%0.15%	81.1%0.22%	67.2%1.64%	80.6%0.14%	70.7%2.72%	67.0%1.79%	35.5%30.12%	66.8%2.19%	72.6%0.11%	63.7%2.51%	73.3%0.92%		79.7%0.20%	65.3%3.05%	64.7%4.32%
St. Louis Rams	25.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	34.5%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	43.5%0.06%	28.2%0.04%	12.4%0.65%	31.1%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	24.4%0.04%	52.9%0.02%	20.3%0.20%		33.3%0.07%	29.9%0.08%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	56.2%0.03%	59.4%0.07%	52.6%0.65%	63.6%0.02%	53.3%0.66%	51.0%0.21%	23.5%3.46%	50.6%0.24%	74.5%0.05%	45.2%0.52%	60.8%0.20%	34.7%3.05%	66.7%0.07%		46.8%0.95%
Washington Redskins	69.7%0.03%	62.6%0.11%	56.4%0.75%	70.0%0.04%	58.5%0.55%	50.2%0.44%	24.0%9.24%	54.9%0.69%	68.1%0.05%	47.7%0.58%	59.4%0.17%	35.3%4.32%	70.1%0.08%	53.2%0.95%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks	Tennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens		0.0%<0.01%	44.2%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	29.3%0.04%	41.9%0.03%	21.4%0.71%	41.4%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.05%	50.0%0.02%	27.3%0.32%	33.3%<0.01%	36.4%0.07%	37.0%0.09%
Buffalo Bills	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	44.7%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.04%	30.0%0.02%	19.0%0.55%	38.1%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	42.4%0.03%	43.8%0.02%	23.4%0.29%	20.0%<0.01%	21.8%0.06%	30.0%0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	46.9%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	48.9%0.05%	57.1%0.02%	23.2%0.73%	43.2%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	41.1%0.06%	56.2%0.02%	31.1%0.36%	50.0%<0.01%	52.2%0.05%	35.9%0.10%
Denver Broncos	87.2%0.04%	69.3%0.10%	65.2%0.95%	71.9%0.03%	71.3%1.00%	61.5%0.64%	39.4%14.89%	68.7%0.76%	79.7%0.06%	58.4%1.23%	73.0%0.30%	51.2%7.21%	74.7%0.08%	65.6%1.15%	61.9%1.89%
Indianapolis Colts			42.9%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	58.3%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	19.8%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%		40.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	66.7%0.01%	61.3%0.03%	59.0%0.33%	66.7%<0.01%	63.2%0.32%	57.5%0.21%	31.5%4.82%	59.8%0.27%	62.5%<0.01%	51.8%0.36%	59.6%0.09%	43.5%2.39%	61.9%0.02%	51.1%0.36%	55.9%0.60%
Kansas City Chiefs	85.0%0.02%	68.6%0.05%	66.4%0.48%	80.0%0.02%	68.7%0.52%	65.6%0.33%	39.8%7.40%	70.9%0.39%	75.0%0.02%	58.8%0.55%	73.2%0.15%	53.8%3.57%	79.4%0.03%	65.9%0.56%	61.8%0.94%
Miami Dolphins	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%0.01%	59.6%0.18%	60.0%<0.01%	57.5%0.17%	57.8%0.08%	25.0%2.56%	44.7%0.14%	77.8%<0.01%	44.8%0.21%	60.0%0.04%	35.5%1.31%	56.2%0.02%	52.7%0.19%	47.9%0.34%
New England Patriots	75.0%0.01%	55.8%0.04%	64.0%0.47%	92.9%0.01%	61.5%0.50%	53.4%0.33%	32.0%7.08%	53.8%0.36%	75.0%0.02%	53.5%0.56%	72.0%0.13%	45.2%3.53%	83.3%0.04%	56.7%0.54%	53.3%0.93%
New York Jets	25.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	46.8%0.08%	34.5%0.03%	22.6%1.02%	52.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	39.6%0.10%	56.2%0.02%	33.4%0.54%	66.7%<0.01%	37.3%0.08%	46.5%0.13%
Oakland Raiders	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	37.2%0.04%		29.7%0.04%	32.1%0.03%	18.1%0.62%	43.9%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.04%	54.5%0.01%	22.3%0.33%	33.3%<0.01%	37.8%0.04%	51.2%0.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	91.7%0.01%	70.0%0.03%	56.5%0.36%	69.2%0.01%	66.1%0.33%	55.8%0.23%	32.0%5.27%	58.6%0.26%	70.8%0.02%	54.4%0.45%	68.2%0.09%	46.9%2.64%	90.9%0.02%	56.8%0.41%	55.9%0.64%
San Diego Chargers			63.6%0.01%		33.3%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	9.0%0.13%	50.0%<0.01%		53.8%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.8%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	21.1%0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	75.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	53.6%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	53.3%0.10%	50.0%0.06%	24.0%1.39%	49.4%0.08%		45.3%0.11%	65.5%0.03%	39.7%0.66%	55.6%<0.01%	54.7%0.11%	49.4%0.16%
Tennessee Oilers	25.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.01%	50.5%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	53.7%0.12%	55.8%0.09%	26.5%1.67%	47.1%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.14%	42.5%0.04%	39.0%0.81%	70.0%0.01%	45.8%0.12%	46.6%0.19%
Arizona Cardinals																	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	12.8%0.04%		33.3%0.01%	15.0%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	25.0%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	8.3%0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	30.7%0.10%		38.7%0.03%	31.4%0.05%	33.3%0.01%	44.2%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.03%		60.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.01%
Carolina Panthers																55.8%0.05%	55.3%0.05%	53.1%0.05%	34.8%0.95%	57.1%<0.01%	41.0%0.33%	33.6%0.48%	40.4%0.18%	36.0%0.47%	54.5%0.08%	62.8%0.04%	43.5%0.36%	36.4%0.01%	46.4%0.10%	49.5%0.10%
Chicago Bears																0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	28.1%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		30.8%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																70.7%0.04%	65.0%0.04%	51.1%0.05%	28.7%1.00%	41.7%0.01%	36.8%0.32%	31.3%0.52%	42.5%0.17%	38.5%0.50%	53.2%0.08%	70.3%0.04%	33.9%0.33%	66.7%0.01%	46.7%0.10%	46.3%0.12%
Detroit Lions																58.1%0.03%	70.0%0.02%	42.9%0.02%	38.5%0.64%	80.0%<0.01%	42.5%0.21%	34.4%0.33%	42.2%0.08%	46.6%0.33%	65.5%0.03%	67.9%0.03%	44.2%0.23%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%0.06%	44.2%0.09%
Green Bay Packers																78.6%0.71%	81.0%0.55%	76.8%0.73%	60.6%14.89%	80.2%0.11%	68.5%4.82%	60.2%7.40%	75.0%2.56%	68.0%7.08%	77.4%1.02%	81.9%0.62%	68.0%5.27%	91.0%0.13%	76.0%1.39%	73.5%1.67%
Minnesota Vikings																58.6%0.03%	61.9%0.02%	56.8%0.04%	31.3%0.76%	50.0%<0.01%	40.2%0.27%	29.1%0.39%	55.3%0.14%	46.2%0.36%	48.0%0.05%	56.1%0.04%	41.4%0.26%	50.0%<0.01%	50.6%0.08%	52.9%0.08%
New Orleans Saints																0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	20.3%0.06%		37.5%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	22.2%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	29.2%0.02%			50.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																69.2%0.05%	57.6%0.03%	58.9%0.06%	41.6%1.23%	60.0%<0.01%	48.2%0.36%	41.2%0.55%	55.2%0.21%	46.5%0.56%	60.4%0.10%	66.7%0.04%	45.6%0.45%	46.2%0.01%	54.7%0.11%	60.0%0.14%
Philadelphia Eagles																50.0%0.02%	56.2%0.02%	43.8%0.02%	27.0%0.30%		40.4%0.09%	26.8%0.15%	40.0%0.04%	28.0%0.13%	43.8%0.02%	45.5%0.01%	31.8%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	34.5%0.03%	57.5%0.04%
San Francisco 49ers																72.7%0.32%	76.6%0.29%	68.9%0.36%	48.8%7.21%	84.6%0.05%	56.5%2.39%	46.2%3.57%	64.5%1.31%	54.8%3.53%	66.6%0.54%	77.7%0.33%	53.1%2.64%	78.2%0.08%	60.3%0.66%	61.0%0.81%
St. Louis Rams																66.7%<0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	25.3%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%	20.6%0.03%	43.8%0.02%	16.7%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	9.1%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																63.6%0.07%	78.2%0.06%	47.8%0.05%	34.4%1.15%	85.7%<0.01%	48.9%0.36%	34.1%0.56%	47.3%0.19%	43.3%0.54%	62.7%0.08%	62.2%0.04%	43.2%0.41%	75.0%0.02%	45.3%0.11%	54.2%0.12%
Washington Redskins																63.0%0.09%	70.0%0.06%	64.1%0.10%	38.1%1.89%	77.8%<0.01%	44.1%0.60%	38.2%0.94%	52.1%0.34%	46.7%0.93%	53.5%0.13%	48.8%0.08%	44.1%0.64%	78.9%0.02%	50.6%0.16%	53.4%0.19%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	80.73%	49.46%	31.30%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	65.92%	43.92%	20.55%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	72.03%	36.20%	18.03%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	57.63%	22.90%	9.08%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	70.22%	29.80%	14.39%	7.12%	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	70.08%	28.55%	12.09%	5.24%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Giants	67.73%	13.55%	5.76%	2.55%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	29.78%	10.34%	4.32%	1.80%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	59.99%	14.57%	3.83%	1.52%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Detroit Lions	40.01%	10.37%	2.84%	1.19%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	29.92%	7.75%	2.38%	0.86%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings	32.27%	8.73%	1.92%	0.74%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots
Denver Broncos		70.2%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars	29.8%100.00%
Miami Dolphins				29.9%100.00%
New England Patriots			70.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions				40.0%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings			32.3%100.00%
New York Giants		67.7%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	60.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos			39.7%49.15%			48.8%21.07%
Jacksonville Jaguars			32.5%20.93%			40.0%8.85%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.3%49.15%	67.5%20.93%		74.1%29.92%
Miami Dolphins			25.9%29.92%
New England Patriots						40.7%70.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.2%21.07%	60.0%8.85%			59.3%70.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions		18.6%12.90%			29.4%27.11%
Green Bay Packers	81.4%12.90%			80.0%67.73%		82.9%19.37%
Minnesota Vikings					27.1%32.27%
New York Giants		20.0%67.73%
San Francisco 49ers	70.6%27.11%		72.9%32.27%			72.3%40.62%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		17.1%19.37%			27.7%40.62%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos			41.2%7.58%	75.1%2.69%	45.4%8.06%	48.7%11.46%
Jacksonville Jaguars			33.8%2.60%	68.8%0.93%	38.0%2.83%	43.3%3.98%
Kansas City Chiefs	58.8%7.58%	66.2%2.60%			66.4%17.66%	68.3%38.07%
Miami Dolphins	24.9%2.69%	31.2%0.93%				34.3%4.12%
New England Patriots	54.6%8.06%	62.0%2.83%	33.6%17.66%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.3%11.46%	56.7%3.98%	31.7%38.07%	65.7%4.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions		20.3%6.34%	63.7%0.66%	37.4%1.64%	29.6%1.73%
Green Bay Packers	79.7%6.34%		81.2%7.16%		53.7%58.26%	81.3%8.97%
Minnesota Vikings	36.3%0.66%	18.8%7.16%				36.4%0.91%
New York Giants	62.6%1.64%				33.7%9.63%	64.9%2.29%
San Francisco 49ers	70.4%1.73%	46.3%58.26%		66.3%9.63%		67.9%2.41%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		18.7%8.97%	63.6%0.91%	35.1%2.29%	32.1%2.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Denver Broncos	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos	66.0%0.41%	41.2%7.19%	65.1%0.28%	60.4%0.83%	55.3%5.16%	66.6%0.52%
Jacksonville Jaguars	56.7%0.13%	33.7%2.17%	65.9%0.09%	52.3%0.24%	46.8%1.56%	59.3%0.14%
Kansas City Chiefs	58.8%1.26%	38.8%21.60%	62.4%0.85%	58.7%2.52%	52.2%15.96%	62.4%1.73%
Miami Dolphins	44.4%0.07%	28.5%1.21%	54.1%0.04%	44.5%0.14%	43.2%0.82%	48.0%0.10%
New England Patriots	55.5%0.36%	35.2%5.89%	61.8%0.23%	55.9%0.70%	48.8%4.46%	57.0%0.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.1%0.60%	32.1%11.40%	55.3%0.42%	48.9%1.32%	45.1%8.25%	55.3%0.89%
Detroit Lions							34.0%0.41%	43.3%0.13%	41.2%1.26%	55.6%0.07%	44.5%0.36%	45.9%0.60%
Green Bay Packers							58.8%7.19%	66.3%2.17%	61.2%21.60%	71.5%1.21%	64.8%5.89%	67.9%11.40%
Minnesota Vikings							34.9%0.28%	34.1%0.09%	37.6%0.85%	45.9%0.04%	38.2%0.23%	44.7%0.42%
New York Giants							39.6%0.83%	47.7%0.24%	41.3%2.52%	55.5%0.14%	44.1%0.70%	51.1%1.32%
San Francisco 49ers							44.7%5.16%	53.2%1.56%	47.8%15.96%	56.8%0.82%	51.2%4.46%	54.9%8.25%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers							33.4%0.52%	40.7%0.14%	37.6%1.73%	52.0%0.10%	43.0%0.45%	44.7%0.89%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 31.30% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

67.10%

Win Prob

79.99%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

63.29%

Win Prob

53.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.21%

Win Prob

61.17%

Kansas City Chiefs 20.55% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.95%

Win Prob

60.28%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

59.24%

Win Prob

68.35%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

40.81%

Win Prob

38.83%

San Francisco 49ers 18.03% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

40.76%

Win Prob

72.28%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

74.48%

Win Prob

46.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.28%

Win Prob

47.78%

Pittsburgh Steelers 9.08% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

72.06%

Win Prob

59.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

52.63%

Win Prob

31.65%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

41.02%

Win Prob

45.14%

Denver Broncos 7.12% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.22%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

65.51%

Win Prob

39.72%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

38.77%

Win Prob

48.67%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

41.64%

Win Prob

41.24%

New England Patriots 5.24% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.08%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.74%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

49.10%

Win Prob

33.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

41.47%

Win Prob

48.78%

New York Giants 2.55% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

67.73%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.01%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

56.39%

Win Prob

33.72%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.88%

Win Prob

41.33%

Jacksonville Jaguars 1.80% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.78%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

65.81%

Win Prob

32.52%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

39.88%

Win Prob

43.35%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

40.60%

Win Prob

33.67%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.52% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.99%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

77.26%

Win Prob

27.72%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

43.83%

Win Prob

18.72%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.75%

Win Prob

37.62%

Detroit Lions 1.19% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.01%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

76.88%

Win Prob

29.42%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

45.44%

Win Prob

20.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

43.59%

Win Prob

41.24%

Miami Dolphins 0.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.92%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.91%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

59.51%

Win Prob

34.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

41.16%

Win Prob

43.22%

Minnesota Vikings 0.74% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.27%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

27.07%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

70.23%

Win Prob

18.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

43.09%

Win Prob

37.63%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1997-08-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1452.36	1507.18	31.61%	67.60%	-6.13	0-1
1997-09-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 25-22	1446.23	1577.44	41.76%	57.36%	+11.08	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-19	1457.31	1540.30	28.23%	71.02%	-7.73	1-2
1997-09-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 18-19	1449.58	1549.29	26.33%	72.95%	-2.95	1-3
1997-10-05	Minnesota Vikings	L 19-20	1446.63	1517.83	50.31%	48.79%	-5.62	1-4
1997-10-12	New York Giants	L 13-27	1441.01	1469.52	56.41%	42.70%	-23.55	1-5
1997-10-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-13	1417.46	1487.95	29.70%	69.53%	-5.76	1-6
1997-10-26	Tennessee Oilers	L 14-41	1411.70	1478.77	50.91%	48.20%	-29.54	1-7
1997-11-02	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-21	1382.16	1499.21	43.75%	55.36%	+19.54	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-24	1401.70	1554.10	20.91%	78.46%	-9.92	2-8
1997-11-16	@ New York Giants	L 10-19	1391.78	1504.74	24.89%	74.41%	-8.35	2-9
1997-11-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 16-13	1383.43	1448.82	30.31%	68.91%	+13.29	3-9
1997-11-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-26	1396.72	1564.45	36.77%	62.39%	-10.07	3-10
1997-12-07	Washington Redskins	L 28-38	1386.65	1534.17	39.50%	59.63%	-13.98	3-11
1997-12-14	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-27	1372.67	1363.00	40.08%	59.05%	-18.48	3-12
1997-12-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-26	1354.19	1450.54	46.70%	52.41%	+10.13	4-12
1997-08-31	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-28	1430.23	1457.31	35.14%	64.03%	-13.04	0-1
1997-09-07	Carolina Panthers	L 6-9	1417.19	1531.98	44.07%	55.04%	-8.53	0-2
1997-09-14	Oakland Raiders	L 31-36	1408.66	1503.19	46.96%	52.14%	-11.74	0-3
1997-09-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-34	1396.92	1574.42	18.64%	80.78%	-10.82	0-4
1997-09-28	Denver Broncos	L 21-29	1386.10	1609.66	29.69%	69.54%	-9.40	0-5
1997-10-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-17	1376.70	1407.32	34.68%	64.49%	+17.61	1-5
1997-10-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 28-35	1394.31	1616.58	29.84%	69.38%	-8.84	1-6
1997-10-26	@ Carolina Panthers	L 12-21	1385.47	1517.34	22.92%	76.41%	-7.69	1-7
1997-11-02	St. Louis Rams	W 34-31	1377.78	1405.92	56.46%	42.65%	+8.27	2-7
1997-11-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-31	1386.05	1507.58	43.12%	56.00%	-22.10	2-8
1997-11-16	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-21	1363.95	1393.54	34.81%	64.36%	+17.57	3-8
1997-11-23	New Orleans Saints	W 20-3	1381.52	1383.47	60.11%	39.02%	+18.00	4-8
1997-11-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-17	1399.52	1494.04	26.91%	72.36%	+21.32	5-8
1997-12-07	@ San Diego Chargers	W 14-3	1420.84	1408.21	40.49%	58.64%	+21.70	6-8
1997-12-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-17	1442.54	1460.96	57.83%	41.29%	+8.00	7-8
1997-12-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 26-29	1450.54	1354.19	52.41%	46.70%	-10.14	7-9
1997-08-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-28	1457.96	1492.37	55.58%	43.54%	-6.20	0-1
1997-09-07	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-10	1451.76	1513.31	51.70%	47.40%	+19.10	1-1
1997-09-14	@ New York Giants	W 24-23	1470.86	1471.85	38.62%	60.52%	+6.75	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 36-10	1477.61	1492.16	36.79%	62.36%	+35.45	3-1
1997-09-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-21	1513.06	1452.29	47.29%	51.81%	-10.57	3-2
1997-10-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 34-42	1502.49	1497.03	61.13%	38.02%	-19.28	3-3
1997-10-19	Miami Dolphins	L 13-24	1483.21	1526.20	54.36%	44.75%	-20.12	3-4
1997-10-26	@ Washington Redskins	W 20-17	1463.09	1530.29	30.10%	69.13%	+13.34	4-4
1997-11-02	@ New York Jets	L 16-19	1476.43	1484.29	37.69%	61.46%	-7.30	4-5
1997-11-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-37	1469.13	1544.40	29.13%	70.10%	-19.83	4-6
1997-11-16	Philadelphia Eagles	T 10-10	1449.30	1465.46	58.15%	40.98%	-0.48	4-6
1997-11-23	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-16	1448.82	1383.43	68.91%	30.31%	-13.30	4-7
1997-11-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-29	1435.52	1555.02	24.20%	75.12%	-3.83	4-8
1997-12-07	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-24	1431.69	1472.71	54.64%	44.47%	+13.16	5-8
1997-12-14	Tennessee Oilers	W 21-19	1444.85	1503.86	52.06%	47.04%	+7.43	6-8
1997-12-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-16	1452.28	1477.87	35.34%	63.83%	-5.59	6-9
1997-08-31	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-34	1517.61	1495.42	63.38%	35.78%	-32.38	0-1
1997-09-07	@ New York Jets	W 28-22	1485.23	1464.51	41.61%	57.51%	+15.71	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-22	1500.94	1497.48	39.23%	59.91%	-10.74	1-2
1997-09-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 37-35	1490.20	1417.32	69.82%	29.42%	+4.65	2-2
1997-10-05	Detroit Lions	W 22-13	1494.85	1486.75	61.49%	37.66%	+12.64	3-2
1997-10-12	@ New England Patriots	L 6-33	1507.49	1596.36	27.55%	71.71%	-16.02	3-3
1997-10-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 9-6	1491.47	1397.40	52.08%	47.02%	+9.10	4-3
1997-10-26	Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1500.57	1627.30	42.39%	56.73%	-8.21	4-4
1997-11-02	Miami Dolphins	W 9-6	1492.36	1531.26	54.94%	44.17%	+8.56	5-4
1997-11-09	New England Patriots	L 10-31	1500.92	1561.23	51.88%	47.23%	-26.55	5-5
1997-11-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-30	1474.37	1532.95	31.15%	68.07%	-14.37	5-6
1997-11-23	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-31	1460.00	1491.93	34.51%	64.66%	-15.92	5-7
1997-11-30	New York Jets	W 20-10	1444.08	1502.97	52.08%	47.02%	+16.62	6-7
1997-12-07	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-20	1460.70	1369.24	51.70%	47.40%	-23.81	6-8
1997-12-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-20	1436.89	1542.93	45.31%	53.79%	-12.41	6-9
1997-12-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-31	1424.48	1727.31	10.06%	89.58%	-3.54	6-10
1997-08-31	Washington Redskins	L 10-24	1559.46	1518.03	65.90%	33.29%	-27.48	0-1
1997-09-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 9-6	1531.98	1417.19	55.04%	44.07%	+8.54	1-1
1997-09-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 26-7	1540.52	1486.50	46.32%	52.78%	+25.68	2-1
1997-09-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-35	1566.20	1508.23	67.99%	31.22%	-34.72	2-2
1997-09-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-34	1531.48	1585.24	52.82%	46.29%	-21.26	2-3
1997-10-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-21	1510.22	1523.45	36.97%	62.18%	-10.94	2-4
1997-10-19	@ New Orleans Saints	W 13-0	1499.28	1389.71	54.30%	44.81%	+18.06	3-4
1997-10-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-12	1517.34	1385.47	76.41%	22.92%	+7.69	4-4
1997-11-02	Oakland Raiders	W 38-14	1525.03	1491.66	64.85%	34.32%	+18.82	5-4
1997-11-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-34	1543.85	1640.03	26.72%	72.55%	-17.44	5-5
1997-11-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-27	1526.41	1662.28	22.52%	76.82%	-7.12	5-6
1997-11-23	@ St. Louis Rams	W 16-10	1519.29	1375.96	59.05%	40.08%	+10.98	6-6
1997-11-30	New Orleans Saints	L 13-16	1530.27	1365.47	79.63%	19.76%	-15.35	6-7
1997-12-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-13	1514.92	1528.24	36.96%	62.19%	+21.93	7-7
1997-12-14	Green Bay Packers	L 10-31	1536.85	1708.74	36.22%	62.94%	-18.57	7-8
1997-12-20	St. Louis Rams	L 18-30	1518.28	1386.69	76.39%	22.95%	-29.46	7-9
1997-09-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-38	1489.98	1637.69	21.36%	78.01%	-8.94	0-1
1997-09-07	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1481.04	1527.80	53.82%	45.29%	-10.40	0-2
1997-09-14	Detroit Lions	L 7-32	1470.64	1453.47	62.71%	36.45%	-34.96	0-3
1997-09-21	@ New England Patriots	L 3-31	1435.68	1604.55	19.40%	80.01%	-11.48	0-4
1997-09-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-27	1424.20	1569.72	21.57%	77.79%	-11.81	0-5
1997-10-05	New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1412.39	1395.21	62.71%	36.45%	-12.11	0-6
1997-10-12	Green Bay Packers	L 23-24	1400.28	1635.14	28.36%	70.89%	-3.18	0-7
1997-10-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 36-33	1397.10	1546.32	21.22%	78.15%	+15.07	1-7
1997-11-02	Washington Redskins	L 8-31	1412.17	1516.95	45.49%	53.61%	-24.39	1-8
1997-11-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 22-29	1387.78	1557.72	19.30%	80.10%	-5.71	1-9
1997-11-16	New York Jets	L 15-23	1382.07	1481.35	46.28%	52.82%	-14.63	1-10
1997-11-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-7	1367.44	1553.12	34.41%	64.77%	+17.69	2-10
1997-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-55	1385.13	1506.50	24.00%	75.32%	-15.89	2-11
1997-12-07	Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1369.24	1460.70	47.40%	51.70%	+23.81	3-11
1997-12-14	@ St. Louis Rams	W 13-10	1393.05	1398.49	38.02%	61.13%	+11.80	4-11
1997-12-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-31	1404.85	1511.21	25.60%	73.69%	-11.45	4-12
1997-08-31	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-21	1507.18	1452.36	67.60%	31.61%	+6.13	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-23	1513.31	1451.76	47.40%	51.70%	-19.10	1-1
1997-09-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-38	1494.21	1597.34	25.95%	73.33%	-12.32	1-2
1997-09-28	New York Jets	L 14-31	1481.89	1450.17	64.64%	34.54%	-29.71	1-3
1997-10-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-21	1452.18	1518.37	30.22%	69.00%	-9.56	1-4
1997-10-12	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 7-30	1442.62	1435.64	39.71%	59.42%	-21.31	1-5
1997-10-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-26	1421.31	1520.22	46.33%	52.77%	-20.71	1-6
1997-10-26	@ New York Giants	L 27-29	1400.60	1510.08	25.26%	74.03%	-4.00	1-7
1997-11-02	San Diego Chargers	W 38-31	1396.60	1485.69	47.74%	51.36%	+15.18	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 28-13	1411.78	1367.46	44.94%	54.17%	+23.42	3-7
1997-11-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-20	1435.20	1564.23	23.21%	76.12%	-10.71	3-8
1997-11-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-26	1424.49	1569.82	39.80%	59.33%	+14.80	4-8
1997-11-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 42-44	1439.29	1476.41	33.84%	65.34%	-5.36	4-9
1997-12-04	Tennessee Oilers	W 41-14	1433.93	1534.62	46.08%	53.03%	+30.76	5-9
1997-12-14	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-24	1464.69	1506.31	54.55%	44.56%	+13.18	6-9
1997-12-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 16-14	1477.87	1452.28	63.83%	35.34%	+5.60	7-9
1997-08-31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 37-7	1541.99	1524.88	41.11%	58.01%	+35.45	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 22-25	1577.44	1446.23	57.36%	41.76%	-11.09	1-1
1997-09-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-20	1566.35	1499.50	69.08%	30.14%	+3.37	2-1
1997-09-28	Chicago Bears	W 27-3	1569.72	1424.20	77.79%	21.57%	+11.82	3-1
1997-10-05	@ New York Giants	L 17-20	1581.54	1458.66	56.19%	42.93%	-10.86	3-2
1997-10-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-21	1570.68	1541.41	42.81%	56.30%	-10.70	3-3
1997-10-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-22	1559.98	1544.36	62.50%	36.65%	+8.20	4-3
1997-10-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 12-13	1568.18	1493.71	49.26%	49.84%	-5.50	4-4
1997-11-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-17	1562.68	1639.49	28.95%	70.29%	-8.58	4-5
1997-11-09	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-6	1554.10	1401.70	78.46%	20.91%	+9.92	5-5
1997-11-16	Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1564.02	1558.09	61.19%	37.95%	+7.36	6-5
1997-11-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-45	1571.38	1659.44	27.64%	71.61%	-16.37	6-6
1997-11-27	Tennessee Oilers	L 14-27	1555.01	1507.85	66.63%	32.56%	-26.77	6-7
1997-12-08	Carolina Panthers	L 13-23	1528.24	1514.92	62.19%	36.96%	-21.93	6-8
1997-12-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-31	1506.31	1464.69	44.56%	54.55%	-13.18	6-9
1997-12-21	New York Giants	L 7-20	1493.13	1534.44	54.59%	44.51%	-21.97	6-10
1997-08-31	Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-3	1547.65	1505.30	66.02%	33.17%	+14.85	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 35-14	1562.50	1450.71	54.61%	44.50%	+22.80	2-0
1997-09-14	St. Louis Rams	W 35-14	1585.30	1459.01	75.83%	23.49%	+12.04	3-0
1997-09-21	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-20	1597.34	1494.21	73.33%	25.95%	+12.32	4-0
1997-09-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 29-21	1609.66	1386.10	69.54%	29.69%	+9.40	5-0
1997-10-06	New England Patriots	W 34-13	1619.06	1616.02	60.80%	38.34%	+19.65	6-0
1997-10-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 25-28	1638.71	1495.35	59.06%	40.07%	-11.41	6-1
1997-10-26	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1627.30	1500.57	56.73%	42.39%	+8.21	7-1
1997-11-02	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-27	1635.51	1507.69	76.00%	23.33%	+4.52	8-1
1997-11-09	Carolina Panthers	W 34-0	1640.03	1543.85	72.55%	26.72%	+17.44	9-1
1997-11-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 22-24	1657.47	1560.47	52.50%	46.61%	-8.29	9-2
1997-11-24	Oakland Raiders	W 31-3	1649.18	1491.87	78.93%	20.45%	+12.10	10-2
1997-11-30	@ San Diego Chargers	W 38-28	1661.28	1417.90	71.88%	27.38%	+9.69	11-2
1997-12-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-35	1670.97	1574.53	52.42%	46.69%	-19.41	11-3
1997-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-34	1651.56	1647.78	39.27%	59.86%	-18.12	11-4
1997-12-21	San Diego Chargers	W 38-3	1633.44	1372.04	87.16%	12.42%	+8.20	12-4
1997-08-31	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-17	1457.31	1430.23	64.03%	35.14%	+13.04	1-0
1997-09-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-24	1470.35	1493.30	57.19%	41.93%	-16.88	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Chicago Bears	W 32-7	1453.47	1470.64	36.45%	62.71%	+34.96	2-1
1997-09-21	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-35	1488.43	1377.56	54.48%	44.63%	-25.80	2-2
1997-09-28	Green Bay Packers	W 26-15	1462.63	1651.98	33.94%	65.24%	+24.12	3-2
1997-10-05	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-22	1486.75	1494.85	37.66%	61.49%	-12.64	3-3
1997-10-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-9	1474.11	1544.95	29.66%	69.57%	+32.88	4-3
1997-10-19	New York Giants	L 20-26	1506.99	1493.07	62.27%	36.88%	-17.01	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-20	1489.98	1664.21	18.92%	80.49%	-6.69	4-5
1997-11-09	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-30	1483.29	1541.34	31.21%	68.00%	-16.75	4-6
1997-11-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-15	1466.54	1563.42	46.62%	52.48%	+28.10	5-6
1997-11-23	Indianapolis Colts	W 32-10	1494.64	1359.62	76.74%	22.60%	+11.86	6-6
1997-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 55-20	1506.50	1385.13	75.32%	24.00%	+15.88	7-6
1997-12-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 30-33	1522.38	1564.82	33.16%	66.03%	-6.42	7-7
1997-12-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 14-13	1515.96	1502.02	40.67%	58.46%	+6.52	8-7
1997-12-21	New York Jets	W 13-10	1522.48	1493.15	64.32%	34.85%	+6.75	9-7
1997-09-01	Chicago Bears	W 38-24	1637.69	1489.98	78.01%	21.36%	+8.94	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-10	1646.63	1492.76	60.51%	38.63%	-6.75	1-1
1997-09-14	Miami Dolphins	W 23-18	1639.88	1513.82	75.81%	23.51%	+5.88	2-1
1997-09-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-32	1645.76	1511.44	76.67%	22.67%	+6.22	3-1
1997-09-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 15-26	1651.98	1462.63	65.24%	33.94%	-24.12	3-2
1997-10-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-16	1627.86	1552.23	70.15%	29.09%	+7.28	4-2
1997-10-12	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-23	1635.14	1400.28	70.89%	28.36%	+3.17	5-2
1997-10-27	@ New England Patriots	W 28-10	1638.31	1597.67	44.42%	54.69%	+25.90	6-2
1997-11-02	Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1664.21	1489.98	80.49%	18.92%	+6.68	7-2
1997-11-09	St. Louis Rams	W 17-7	1670.89	1397.66	87.89%	11.70%	+4.13	8-2
1997-11-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 38-41	1675.02	1344.04	80.83%	18.59%	-15.58	8-3
1997-11-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 45-17	1659.44	1571.38	71.61%	27.64%	+16.37	9-3
1997-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-11	1675.81	1528.33	59.63%	39.51%	+17.68	10-3
1997-12-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-6	1693.49	1557.62	58.01%	41.11%	+15.25	11-3
1997-12-14	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-10	1708.74	1536.85	62.94%	36.22%	+18.57	12-3
1997-12-20	Buffalo Bills	W 31-21	1727.31	1424.48	89.58%	10.06%	+3.55	13-3
1997-08-31	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-16	1491.96	1496.03	38.20%	60.94%	-10.47	0-1
1997-09-07	New England Patriots	L 6-31	1481.49	1574.09	47.24%	51.87%	-26.39	0-2
1997-09-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-31	1455.10	1427.91	64.04%	35.13%	-37.78	0-3
1997-09-21	@ Buffalo Bills	L 35-37	1417.32	1490.20	29.42%	69.82%	-4.65	0-4
1997-10-05	New York Jets	L 12-16	1412.67	1479.88	50.89%	48.22%	-11.37	0-5
1997-10-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 22-24	1401.30	1516.31	24.67%	74.64%	-3.90	0-6
1997-10-20	Buffalo Bills	L 6-9	1397.40	1491.47	47.02%	52.08%	-9.10	0-7
1997-10-26	@ San Diego Chargers	L 19-35	1388.30	1473.15	28.01%	71.24%	-12.54	0-8
1997-11-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 28-31	1375.76	1499.29	42.84%	56.28%	-8.30	0-9
1997-11-09	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-28	1367.46	1411.78	54.17%	44.94%	-23.42	0-10
1997-11-16	Green Bay Packers	W 41-38	1344.04	1675.02	18.59%	80.83%	+15.58	1-10
1997-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-32	1359.62	1494.64	22.60%	76.74%	-11.86	1-11
1997-11-30	@ New England Patriots	L 17-20	1347.76	1571.40	14.96%	84.54%	-2.89	1-12
1997-12-07	@ New York Jets	W 22-14	1344.87	1486.35	21.96%	77.39%	+24.36	2-12
1997-12-14	Miami Dolphins	W 41-0	1369.23	1571.25	32.33%	66.87%	+47.72	3-12
1997-12-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 28-39	1416.95	1495.50	28.75%	70.50%	-10.67	3-13
1997-08-31	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-27	1492.37	1457.96	43.54%	55.58%	+6.21	1-0
1997-09-07	New York Giants	W 40-13	1498.58	1494.02	61.01%	38.14%	+22.17	2-0
1997-09-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-21	1520.75	1494.64	63.90%	35.27%	+11.84	3-0
1997-09-28	@ Washington Redskins	L 12-24	1532.59	1548.04	36.67%	62.48%	-14.22	3-1
1997-10-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-13	1518.37	1452.18	69.00%	30.22%	+9.57	4-1
1997-10-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-21	1527.94	1504.38	63.56%	35.60%	+16.42	5-1
1997-10-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-26	1544.36	1559.98	36.65%	62.50%	-8.20	5-2
1997-10-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-23	1536.16	1540.93	38.11%	61.03%	-10.44	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Tennessee Oilers	W 30-24	1525.72	1508.31	41.15%	57.97%	+15.84	6-3
1997-11-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-10	1541.56	1578.86	55.17%	43.94%	+18.38	7-3
1997-11-16	Tennessee Oilers	W 17-9	1559.94	1501.80	68.01%	31.20%	+9.88	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 26-31	1569.82	1424.49	59.33%	39.80%	-14.80	8-4
1997-11-30	Baltimore Ravens	W 29-27	1555.02	1435.52	75.12%	24.20%	+3.83	9-4
1997-12-07	New England Patriots	L 20-26	1558.85	1574.29	58.25%	40.88%	-15.92	9-5
1997-12-14	@ Buffalo Bills	W 20-14	1542.93	1436.89	53.79%	45.31%	+12.41	10-5
1997-12-21	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-9	1555.34	1436.39	55.63%	43.48%	+16.12	11-5
1997-08-31	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-19	1505.30	1547.65	33.17%	66.02%	-14.85	0-1
1997-09-08	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-27	1490.45	1510.22	36.10%	63.06%	+7.03	1-1
1997-09-14	Buffalo Bills	W 22-16	1497.48	1500.94	59.91%	39.23%	+10.75	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Carolina Panthers	W 35-14	1508.23	1566.20	31.22%	67.99%	+34.72	3-1
1997-09-28	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1542.95	1474.22	69.31%	29.91%	+5.79	4-1
1997-10-05	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1548.74	1495.60	46.20%	52.90%	-8.94	4-2
1997-10-16	San Diego Chargers	W 31-3	1539.80	1492.42	66.66%	32.54%	+19.27	5-2
1997-10-26	@ St. Louis Rams	W 28-20	1559.07	1418.73	58.64%	40.49%	+12.81	6-2
1997-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-10	1571.88	1551.37	63.16%	36.00%	+6.98	7-2
1997-11-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-24	1578.86	1541.56	43.94%	55.17%	-18.39	7-3
1997-11-16	Denver Broncos	W 24-22	1560.47	1657.47	46.61%	52.50%	+8.29	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 19-14	1568.76	1506.93	47.44%	51.66%	+12.90	9-3
1997-11-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 44-9	1581.66	1673.33	47.37%	51.73%	+34.17	10-3
1997-12-07	Oakland Raiders	W 30-0	1615.83	1455.21	79.24%	20.15%	+12.34	11-3
1997-12-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 29-7	1628.17	1386.52	71.68%	27.58%	+14.47	12-3
1997-12-21	New Orleans Saints	W 25-13	1642.64	1381.48	87.14%	12.43%	+4.80	13-3
1997-08-31	Indianapolis Colts	W 16-10	1496.03	1491.96	60.94%	38.20%	+10.47	1-0
1997-09-07	Tennessee Oilers	W 16-13	1506.50	1499.49	61.34%	37.81%	+7.32	2-0
1997-09-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-23	1513.82	1639.88	23.51%	75.81%	-5.88	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-31	1507.94	1536.94	34.89%	64.28%	-12.34	2-2
1997-10-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-14	1495.60	1548.74	52.90%	46.20%	+8.94	3-2
1997-10-12	@ New York Jets	W 31-20	1504.54	1491.24	40.58%	58.54%	+21.66	4-2
1997-10-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-13	1526.20	1483.21	44.75%	54.36%	+20.12	5-2
1997-10-27	Chicago Bears	L 33-36	1546.32	1397.10	78.15%	21.22%	-15.06	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-9	1531.26	1492.36	44.17%	54.94%	-8.56	5-4
1997-11-09	New York Jets	W 24-17	1522.70	1491.60	64.56%	34.62%	+10.25	6-4
1997-11-17	Buffalo Bills	W 30-13	1532.95	1474.37	68.07%	31.15%	+14.37	7-4
1997-11-23	@ New England Patriots	L 24-27	1547.32	1564.33	36.47%	62.69%	-7.06	7-5
1997-11-30	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-16	1540.26	1479.77	47.25%	51.85%	+24.56	8-5
1997-12-07	Detroit Lions	W 33-30	1564.82	1522.38	66.03%	33.16%	+6.43	9-5
1997-12-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 0-41	1571.25	1369.23	66.87%	32.33%	-47.72	9-6
1997-12-22	New England Patriots	L 12-14	1523.53	1578.64	52.62%	46.48%	-8.31	9-7
1997-08-31	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-13	1495.42	1517.61	35.78%	63.38%	+32.38	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1527.80	1481.04	45.29%	53.82%	+10.40	2-0
1997-09-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-28	1538.20	1510.18	64.15%	35.02%	-26.76	2-1
1997-09-21	@ Green Bay Packers	L 32-38	1511.44	1645.76	22.67%	76.67%	-6.21	2-2
1997-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-19	1505.23	1496.13	61.62%	37.52%	+12.60	3-2
1997-10-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-19	1517.83	1446.63	48.79%	50.31%	+5.62	4-2
1997-10-12	Carolina Panthers	W 21-14	1523.45	1510.22	62.18%	36.97%	+10.94	5-2
1997-10-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 10-6	1534.39	1512.07	41.84%	57.28%	+12.78	6-2
1997-11-02	New England Patriots	W 23-18	1547.17	1571.77	56.96%	42.16%	+10.55	7-2
1997-11-09	Chicago Bears	W 29-22	1557.72	1387.78	80.10%	19.30%	+5.70	8-2
1997-11-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 15-38	1563.42	1466.54	52.48%	46.62%	-28.10	8-3
1997-11-23	@ New York Jets	L 21-23	1535.32	1495.98	44.23%	54.88%	-6.99	8-4
1997-12-01	Green Bay Packers	L 11-27	1528.33	1675.81	39.51%	59.63%	-17.68	8-5
1997-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-28	1510.65	1639.15	23.26%	76.07%	-8.63	8-6
1997-12-14	Detroit Lions	L 13-14	1502.02	1515.96	58.46%	40.67%	-6.52	8-7
1997-12-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 39-28	1495.50	1416.95	70.50%	28.75%	+10.67	9-7
1997-08-31	San Diego Chargers	W 41-7	1554.75	1483.80	69.58%	29.65%	+19.34	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-6	1574.09	1481.49	51.87%	47.24%	+26.40	2-0
1997-09-14	New York Jets	W 27-24	1600.49	1448.80	78.39%	20.98%	+4.06	3-0
1997-09-21	Chicago Bears	W 31-3	1604.55	1435.68	80.01%	19.40%	+11.47	4-0
1997-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-34	1616.02	1619.06	38.34%	60.80%	-19.66	4-1
1997-10-12	Buffalo Bills	W 33-6	1596.36	1507.49	71.71%	27.55%	+16.02	5-1
1997-10-19	@ New York Jets	L 19-24	1612.38	1469.58	58.98%	40.15%	-14.71	5-2
1997-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 10-28	1597.67	1638.31	54.69%	44.42%	-25.90	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 18-23	1571.77	1547.17	42.16%	56.96%	-10.54	5-4
1997-11-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 31-10	1561.23	1500.92	47.23%	51.88%	+26.55	6-4
1997-11-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-27	1587.78	1529.68	46.91%	52.19%	-23.45	6-5
1997-11-23	Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1564.33	1547.32	62.69%	36.47%	+7.07	7-5
1997-11-30	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-17	1571.40	1347.76	84.54%	14.96%	+2.89	8-5
1997-12-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-20	1574.29	1558.85	40.88%	58.25%	+15.92	9-5
1997-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-24	1590.21	1593.94	59.87%	39.27%	-11.57	9-6
1997-12-22	@ Miami Dolphins	W 14-12	1578.64	1523.53	46.48%	52.62%	+8.31	10-6
1997-08-31	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-38	1424.95	1453.72	34.92%	64.25%	-14.62	0-1
1997-09-07	San Diego Chargers	L 6-20	1410.33	1464.46	52.76%	46.34%	-22.05	0-2
1997-09-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-33	1388.28	1563.69	18.82%	80.60%	-10.72	0-3
1997-09-21	Detroit Lions	W 35-17	1377.56	1488.43	44.63%	54.48%	+25.80	1-3
1997-09-28	@ New York Giants	L 9-14	1403.36	1450.51	32.57%	66.63%	-8.15	1-4
1997-10-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1395.21	1412.39	36.45%	62.71%	+12.11	2-4
1997-10-12	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-23	1407.32	1376.70	64.49%	34.68%	-17.61	2-5
1997-10-19	Carolina Panthers	L 0-13	1389.71	1499.28	44.81%	54.30%	-18.06	2-6
1997-10-26	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-23	1371.65	1625.42	26.21%	73.07%	-14.07	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Oakland Raiders	W 13-10	1357.58	1472.84	24.64%	74.66%	+14.40	3-7
1997-11-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1371.98	1518.43	39.65%	59.48%	+11.49	4-7
1997-11-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 3-20	1383.47	1381.52	39.02%	60.11%	-18.00	4-8
1997-11-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 16-13	1365.47	1530.27	19.76%	79.63%	+15.35	5-8
1997-12-07	St. Louis Rams	L 27-34	1380.82	1380.67	60.40%	38.74%	-17.82	5-9
1997-12-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-10	1363.00	1372.67	59.05%	40.08%	+18.48	6-9
1997-12-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-25	1381.48	1642.64	12.43%	87.14%	-4.80	6-10
1997-08-31	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-17	1475.75	1511.02	55.45%	43.66%	+18.27	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-40	1494.02	1498.58	38.14%	61.01%	-22.17	1-1
1997-09-14	Baltimore Ravens	L 23-24	1471.85	1470.86	60.52%	38.62%	-6.75	1-2
1997-09-21	@ St. Louis Rams	L 3-13	1465.10	1446.97	41.25%	57.87%	-14.59	1-3
1997-09-28	New Orleans Saints	W 14-9	1450.51	1403.36	66.63%	32.57%	+8.15	2-3
1997-10-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1458.66	1581.54	42.93%	56.19%	+10.86	3-3
1997-10-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-13	1469.52	1441.01	42.70%	56.41%	+23.55	4-3
1997-10-19	@ Detroit Lions	W 26-20	1493.07	1506.99	36.88%	62.27%	+17.01	5-3
1997-10-26	Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-27	1510.08	1400.60	74.03%	25.26%	+3.99	6-3
1997-11-09	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 6-10	1514.07	1492.47	41.74%	57.38%	-9.33	6-4
1997-11-16	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-10	1504.74	1391.78	74.41%	24.89%	+8.35	7-4
1997-11-23	@ Washington Redskins	T 7-7	1513.09	1550.74	33.77%	65.41%	+0.88	7-4
1997-11-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 8-20	1513.97	1535.44	57.40%	41.72%	-22.19	7-5
1997-12-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-21	1491.78	1481.77	40.13%	59.00%	+20.81	8-5
1997-12-13	Washington Redskins	W 30-10	1512.59	1548.15	55.41%	43.70%	+21.85	9-5
1997-12-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-7	1534.44	1493.13	44.51%	54.59%	+21.98	10-5
1997-08-31	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 41-3	1415.67	1499.55	28.13%	71.12%	+48.84	1-0
1997-09-07	Buffalo Bills	L 22-28	1464.51	1485.23	57.51%	41.61%	-15.71	1-1
1997-09-14	@ New England Patriots	L 24-27	1448.80	1600.49	20.98%	78.39%	-4.07	1-2
1997-09-21	Oakland Raiders	W 23-22	1444.73	1514.92	50.46%	48.64%	+5.44	2-2
1997-09-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-14	1450.17	1481.89	34.54%	64.64%	+29.71	3-2
1997-10-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-12	1479.88	1412.67	48.22%	50.89%	+11.36	4-2
1997-10-12	Miami Dolphins	L 20-31	1491.24	1504.54	58.54%	40.58%	-21.66	4-3
1997-10-19	New England Patriots	W 24-19	1469.58	1612.38	40.15%	58.98%	+14.71	5-3
1997-11-02	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-16	1484.29	1476.43	61.46%	37.69%	+7.31	6-3
1997-11-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-24	1491.60	1522.70	34.62%	64.56%	-10.25	6-4
1997-11-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-15	1481.35	1382.07	52.82%	46.28%	+14.63	7-4
1997-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-21	1495.98	1535.32	54.88%	44.23%	+6.99	8-4
1997-11-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-20	1502.97	1444.08	47.02%	52.08%	-16.62	8-5
1997-12-07	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-22	1486.35	1344.87	77.39%	21.96%	-24.36	8-6
1997-12-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-0	1461.99	1542.37	48.99%	50.11%	+31.16	9-6
1997-12-21	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-13	1493.15	1522.48	34.85%	64.32%	-6.75	9-7
1997-08-31	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 21-24	1518.46	1491.25	42.52%	56.60%	-8.24	0-1
1997-09-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-28	1510.22	1490.45	63.06%	36.10%	-7.03	0-2
1997-09-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 36-31	1503.19	1408.66	52.14%	46.96%	+11.73	1-2
1997-09-21	@ New York Jets	L 22-23	1514.92	1444.73	48.64%	50.46%	-5.43	1-3
1997-09-28	St. Louis Rams	W 35-17	1509.49	1461.56	66.73%	32.47%	+15.42	2-3
1997-10-05	San Diego Chargers	L 10-25	1524.91	1462.86	68.50%	30.72%	-29.56	2-4
1997-10-19	Denver Broncos	W 28-25	1495.35	1638.71	40.07%	59.06%	+11.41	3-4
1997-10-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 34-45	1506.76	1492.59	40.70%	58.42%	-15.10	3-5
1997-11-02	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-38	1491.66	1525.03	34.32%	64.85%	-18.82	3-6
1997-11-09	New Orleans Saints	L 10-13	1472.84	1357.58	74.66%	24.64%	-14.40	3-7
1997-11-16	@ San Diego Chargers	W 38-13	1458.44	1455.25	39.19%	59.94%	+33.43	4-7
1997-11-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-31	1491.87	1649.18	20.45%	78.93%	-12.10	4-8
1997-11-30	Miami Dolphins	L 16-34	1479.77	1540.26	51.85%	47.25%	-24.56	4-9
1997-12-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-30	1455.21	1615.83	20.15%	79.24%	-12.34	4-10
1997-12-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-22	1442.87	1459.56	58.07%	41.05%	-6.48	4-11
1997-12-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-20	1436.39	1555.34	43.48%	55.63%	-16.12	4-12
1997-08-31	@ New York Giants	L 17-31	1511.02	1475.75	43.66%	55.45%	-18.26	0-1
1997-09-07	Green Bay Packers	W 10-9	1492.76	1646.63	38.63%	60.51%	+6.74	1-1
1997-09-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-21	1499.50	1566.35	30.14%	69.08%	-3.37	1-2
1997-09-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 19-28	1496.13	1505.23	37.52%	61.62%	-12.59	1-3
1997-10-05	Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1483.54	1562.26	49.23%	49.87%	+20.84	2-3
1997-10-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-38	1504.38	1527.94	35.60%	63.56%	-16.43	2-4
1997-10-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 13-10	1487.95	1417.46	69.53%	29.70%	+5.76	3-4
1997-10-26	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-12	1493.71	1568.18	49.84%	49.26%	+5.50	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-31	1499.21	1382.16	55.36%	43.75%	-19.53	4-5
1997-11-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-24	1479.68	1648.06	36.68%	62.47%	-14.22	4-6
1997-11-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	T 10-10	1465.46	1449.30	40.98%	58.15%	+0.47	4-6
1997-11-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-20	1465.93	1574.93	44.89%	54.21%	+10.48	5-6
1997-11-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 44-42	1476.41	1439.29	65.34%	33.84%	+5.36	6-6
1997-12-07	New York Giants	L 21-31	1481.77	1491.78	59.00%	40.13%	-20.81	6-7
1997-12-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1460.96	1442.54	41.29%	57.83%	-8.00	6-8
1997-12-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 32-35	1452.96	1526.30	29.36%	69.87%	-5.69	6-9
1997-08-31	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-37	1524.88	1541.99	58.01%	41.11%	-35.45	0-1
1997-09-07	Washington Redskins	W 14-13	1489.43	1545.51	52.48%	46.62%	+5.21	1-1
1997-09-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 21-30	1494.64	1520.75	35.27%	63.90%	-11.84	1-2
1997-09-28	Tennessee Oilers	W 37-24	1482.80	1456.71	63.90%	35.27%	+14.23	2-2
1997-10-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 42-34	1497.03	1502.49	38.02%	61.13%	+19.28	3-2
1997-10-12	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-22	1516.31	1401.30	74.64%	24.67%	+3.91	4-2
1997-10-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-10	1520.22	1421.31	52.77%	46.33%	+20.71	5-2
1997-10-26	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1540.93	1536.16	61.03%	38.11%	+10.44	6-2
1997-11-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-13	1551.37	1571.88	36.00%	63.16%	-6.97	6-3
1997-11-09	Baltimore Ravens	W 37-0	1544.40	1469.13	70.10%	29.13%	+19.83	7-3
1997-11-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-3	1564.23	1435.20	76.12%	23.21%	+10.70	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1574.93	1465.93	54.21%	44.89%	-10.48	8-4
1997-11-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 26-20	1564.45	1396.72	62.39%	36.77%	+10.08	9-4
1997-12-07	Denver Broncos	W 35-24	1574.53	1670.97	46.69%	52.42%	+19.41	10-4
1997-12-13	@ New England Patriots	W 24-21	1593.94	1590.21	39.27%	59.87%	+11.56	11-4
1997-12-21	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 6-16	1605.50	1496.43	54.23%	44.88%	-19.14	11-5
1997-08-31	@ New England Patriots	L 7-41	1483.80	1554.75	29.65%	69.58%	-19.34	0-1
1997-09-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-6	1464.46	1410.33	46.34%	52.76%	+22.04	1-1
1997-09-14	Carolina Panthers	L 7-26	1486.50	1540.52	52.78%	46.32%	-25.69	1-2
1997-09-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 22-26	1460.81	1465.69	38.09%	61.05%	-8.52	1-3
1997-09-28	Baltimore Ravens	W 21-17	1452.29	1513.06	51.81%	47.29%	+10.57	2-3
1997-10-05	@ Oakland Raiders	W 25-10	1462.86	1524.91	30.72%	68.50%	+29.56	3-3
1997-10-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-31	1492.42	1539.80	32.54%	66.66%	-19.27	3-4
1997-10-26	Indianapolis Colts	W 35-19	1473.15	1388.30	71.24%	28.01%	+12.54	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-38	1485.69	1396.60	51.36%	47.74%	-15.18	4-5
1997-11-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 31-37	1470.51	1503.17	55.83%	43.29%	-15.26	4-6
1997-11-16	Oakland Raiders	L 13-38	1455.25	1458.44	59.94%	39.19%	-33.42	4-7
1997-11-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-17	1421.83	1669.40	13.30%	86.25%	-3.93	4-8
1997-11-30	Denver Broncos	L 28-38	1417.90	1661.28	27.38%	71.88%	-9.69	4-9
1997-12-07	Atlanta Falcons	L 3-14	1408.21	1420.84	58.64%	40.49%	-21.69	4-10
1997-12-14	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-29	1386.52	1628.17	27.58%	71.68%	-14.48	4-11
1997-12-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-38	1372.04	1633.44	12.42%	87.16%	-8.19	4-12
1997-08-31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-13	1569.65	1478.02	51.73%	47.37%	-15.28	0-1
1997-09-07	@ St. Louis Rams	W 15-12	1554.37	1468.34	50.92%	48.18%	+9.32	1-1
1997-09-14	New Orleans Saints	W 33-7	1563.69	1388.28	80.60%	18.82%	+10.73	2-1
1997-09-21	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-7	1574.42	1396.92	80.78%	18.64%	+10.82	3-1
1997-09-29	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-21	1585.24	1531.48	46.29%	52.82%	+21.26	4-1
1997-10-12	St. Louis Rams	W 30-10	1606.50	1446.15	79.22%	20.17%	+10.08	5-1
1997-10-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 35-28	1616.58	1394.31	69.38%	29.84%	+8.84	6-1
1997-10-26	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-0	1625.42	1371.65	73.07%	26.21%	+14.07	7-1
1997-11-02	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-10	1639.49	1562.68	70.29%	28.95%	+8.57	8-1
1997-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-12	1648.06	1479.68	62.47%	36.68%	+14.22	9-1
1997-11-16	Carolina Panthers	W 27-19	1662.28	1526.41	76.82%	22.52%	+7.12	10-1
1997-11-23	San Diego Chargers	W 17-10	1669.40	1421.83	86.25%	13.30%	+3.93	11-1
1997-11-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-44	1673.33	1581.66	51.73%	47.37%	-34.18	11-2
1997-12-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-17	1639.15	1510.65	76.07%	23.26%	+8.63	12-2
1997-12-15	Denver Broncos	W 34-17	1647.78	1651.56	59.86%	39.27%	+18.11	13-2
1997-12-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-38	1665.89	1466.04	66.59%	32.60%	-39.96	13-3
1997-08-31	New York Jets	L 3-41	1499.55	1415.67	71.12%	28.13%	-48.84	0-1
1997-09-07	Denver Broncos	L 14-35	1450.71	1562.50	44.50%	54.61%	-22.80	0-2
1997-09-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-3	1427.91	1455.10	35.13%	64.04%	+37.78	1-2
1997-09-21	San Diego Chargers	W 26-22	1465.69	1460.81	61.05%	38.09%	+8.53	2-2
1997-09-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1474.22	1542.95	29.91%	69.31%	-5.80	2-3
1997-10-05	Tennessee Oilers	W 16-13	1468.42	1442.48	63.88%	35.29%	+6.84	3-3
1997-10-19	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-9	1475.26	1436.06	44.21%	54.90%	+17.33	4-3
1997-10-26	Oakland Raiders	W 45-34	1492.59	1506.76	58.42%	40.70%	+15.10	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Denver Broncos	L 27-30	1507.69	1635.51	23.33%	76.00%	-4.52	5-4
1997-11-09	@ San Diego Chargers	W 37-31	1503.17	1470.51	43.29%	55.83%	+15.26	6-4
1997-11-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1518.43	1371.98	59.48%	39.65%	-11.50	6-5
1997-11-23	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-19	1506.93	1568.76	51.66%	47.44%	-12.89	6-6
1997-11-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-24	1494.04	1399.52	72.36%	26.91%	-21.33	6-7
1997-12-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 24-31	1472.71	1431.69	44.47%	54.64%	-13.15	6-8
1997-12-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 22-21	1459.56	1442.87	41.05%	58.07%	+6.48	7-8
1997-12-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 38-9	1466.04	1665.89	32.60%	66.59%	+39.97	8-8
1997-08-31	New Orleans Saints	W 38-24	1453.72	1424.95	64.25%	34.92%	+14.62	1-0
1997-09-07	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-15	1468.34	1554.37	48.18%	50.92%	-9.33	1-1
1997-09-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-35	1459.01	1585.30	23.49%	75.83%	-12.04	1-2
1997-09-21	New York Giants	W 13-3	1446.97	1465.10	57.87%	41.25%	+14.59	2-2
1997-09-28	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-35	1461.56	1509.49	32.47%	66.73%	-15.41	2-3
1997-10-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-30	1446.15	1606.50	20.17%	79.22%	-10.09	2-4
1997-10-19	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-17	1436.06	1475.26	54.90%	44.21%	-17.33	2-5
1997-10-26	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-28	1418.73	1559.07	40.49%	58.64%	-12.81	2-6
1997-11-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 31-34	1405.92	1377.78	42.65%	56.46%	-8.26	2-7
1997-11-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-17	1397.66	1670.89	11.70%	87.89%	-4.12	2-8
1997-11-16	Atlanta Falcons	L 21-27	1393.54	1363.95	64.36%	34.81%	-17.58	2-9
1997-11-23	Carolina Panthers	L 10-16	1375.96	1519.29	40.08%	59.05%	-10.98	2-10
1997-11-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-20	1364.98	1549.86	18.01%	81.43%	+15.69	3-10
1997-12-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-27	1380.67	1380.82	38.74%	60.40%	+17.82	4-10
1997-12-14	Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1398.49	1393.05	61.13%	38.02%	-11.80	4-11
1997-12-20	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-18	1386.69	1518.28	22.95%	76.39%	+29.45	5-11
1997-08-31	San Francisco 49ers	W 13-6	1478.02	1569.65	47.37%	51.73%	+15.28	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1493.30	1470.35	41.93%	57.19%	+16.88	2-0
1997-09-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 28-14	1510.18	1538.20	35.02%	64.15%	+26.76	3-0
1997-09-21	Miami Dolphins	W 31-21	1536.94	1507.94	64.28%	34.89%	+12.35	4-0
1997-09-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-18	1549.29	1449.58	72.95%	26.33%	+2.94	5-0
1997-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-21	1552.23	1627.86	29.09%	70.15%	-7.28	5-1
1997-10-12	Detroit Lions	L 9-27	1544.95	1474.11	69.57%	29.66%	-32.88	5-2
1997-10-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 6-10	1512.07	1534.39	57.28%	41.84%	-12.78	5-3
1997-11-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-28	1499.29	1375.76	56.28%	42.84%	+8.29	6-3
1997-11-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-10	1507.58	1386.05	56.00%	43.12%	+22.10	7-3
1997-11-16	New England Patriots	W 27-7	1529.68	1587.78	52.19%	46.91%	+23.44	8-3
1997-11-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-13	1553.12	1367.44	64.77%	34.41%	-17.68	8-4
1997-11-30	@ New York Giants	W 20-8	1535.44	1513.97	41.72%	57.40%	+22.18	9-4
1997-12-07	Green Bay Packers	L 6-17	1557.62	1693.49	41.11%	58.01%	-15.25	9-5
1997-12-14	@ New York Jets	L 0-31	1542.37	1461.99	50.11%	48.99%	-31.16	9-6
1997-12-21	Chicago Bears	W 31-15	1511.21	1404.85	73.69%	25.60%	+11.46	10-6
1997-08-31	Oakland Raiders	W 24-21	1491.25	1518.46	56.60%	42.52%	+8.24	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-16	1499.49	1506.50	37.81%	61.34%	-7.33	1-1
1997-09-21	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-36	1492.16	1477.61	62.36%	36.79%	-35.45	1-2
1997-09-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-37	1456.71	1482.80	35.27%	63.90%	-14.23	1-3
1997-10-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-16	1442.48	1468.42	35.29%	63.88%	-6.84	1-4
1997-10-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-7	1435.64	1442.62	59.42%	39.71%	+21.30	2-4
1997-10-19	Washington Redskins	W 28-14	1456.94	1552.12	46.87%	52.24%	+21.83	3-4
1997-10-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 41-14	1478.77	1411.70	48.20%	50.91%	+29.54	4-4
1997-11-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-30	1508.31	1525.72	57.97%	41.15%	-15.84	4-5
1997-11-09	New York Giants	W 10-6	1492.47	1514.07	57.38%	41.74%	+9.33	5-5
1997-11-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-17	1501.80	1559.94	31.20%	68.01%	-9.87	5-6
1997-11-23	Buffalo Bills	W 31-14	1491.93	1460.00	64.66%	34.51%	+15.92	6-6
1997-11-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-14	1507.85	1555.01	32.56%	66.63%	+26.77	7-6
1997-12-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-41	1534.62	1433.93	53.03%	46.08%	-30.76	7-7
1997-12-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 19-21	1503.86	1444.85	47.04%	52.06%	-7.43	7-8
1997-12-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-6	1496.43	1605.50	44.88%	54.23%	+19.14	8-8
1997-08-31	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-10	1518.03	1559.46	33.29%	65.90%	+27.48	1-0
1997-09-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-14	1545.51	1489.43	46.62%	52.48%	-5.21	1-1
1997-09-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-13	1540.30	1457.31	71.02%	28.23%	+7.74	2-1
1997-09-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-12	1548.04	1532.59	62.48%	36.67%	+14.22	3-1
1997-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-24	1562.26	1483.54	49.87%	49.23%	-20.85	3-2
1997-10-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-16	1541.41	1570.68	56.30%	42.81%	+10.71	4-2
1997-10-19	@ Tennessee Oilers	L 14-28	1552.12	1456.94	52.24%	46.87%	-21.83	4-3
1997-10-26	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-20	1530.29	1463.09	69.13%	30.10%	-13.34	4-4
1997-11-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-8	1516.95	1412.17	53.61%	45.49%	+24.39	5-4
1997-11-09	Detroit Lions	W 30-7	1541.34	1483.29	68.00%	31.21%	+16.75	6-4
1997-11-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-17	1558.09	1564.02	37.95%	61.19%	-7.35	6-5
1997-11-23	New York Giants	T 7-7	1550.74	1513.09	65.41%	33.77%	-0.88	6-5
1997-11-30	St. Louis Rams	L 20-23	1549.86	1364.98	81.43%	18.01%	-15.69	6-6
1997-12-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-28	1534.17	1386.65	59.63%	39.50%	+13.98	7-6
1997-12-13	@ New York Giants	L 10-30	1548.15	1512.59	43.70%	55.41%	-21.85	7-7
1997-12-21	Philadelphia Eagles	W 35-32	1526.30	1452.96	69.87%	29.36%	+5.69	8-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1997-12-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-17	1641.64	1571.46	69.94%	30.06%	+16.64	1-0
1998-01-04	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 14-10	1658.28	1647.44	40.66%	59.34%	+13.13	2-0
1998-01-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1671.41	1590.90	50.58%	49.42%	+9.48	3-0
1998-01-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-24	1680.89	1756.61	39.27%	60.73%	+17.79	4-0
1997-12-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-20	1529.23	1522.67	40.07%	59.93%	-14.03	0-1
1998-01-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-7	1730.86	1536.69	82.61%	17.39%	+7.20	1-0
1998-01-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-10	1738.06	1637.10	53.52%	46.48%	+18.55	2-0
1998-01-25	Denver Broncos	L 24-31	1756.61	1680.89	60.73%	39.27%	-17.78	2-1
1997-12-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-42	1571.46	1641.64	30.06%	69.94%	-16.64	0-1
1998-01-04	Denver Broncos	L 10-14	1647.44	1658.28	59.34%	40.66%	-13.13	0-1
1997-12-28	@ New England Patriots	L 3-17	1515.22	1586.95	29.88%	70.12%	-12.37	0-1
1997-12-27	@ New York Giants	W 23-22	1506.17	1556.42	32.53%	67.47%	+7.47	1-0
1998-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 22-38	1513.64	1625.93	25.22%	74.78%	-11.17	1-1
1997-12-28	Miami Dolphins	W 17-3	1586.95	1515.22	70.12%	29.88%	+12.38	1-0
1998-01-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-7	1599.33	1586.36	40.96%	59.04%	-4.54	1-1
1997-12-27	Minnesota Vikings	L 22-23	1556.42	1506.17	67.47%	32.53%	-7.47	0-1
1998-01-03	New England Patriots	W 7-6	1586.36	1599.33	59.04%	40.96%	+4.54	1-0
1998-01-11	Denver Broncos	L 21-24	1590.90	1671.41	49.42%	50.58%	-9.48	1-1
1998-01-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-22	1625.93	1513.64	74.78%	25.22%	+11.17	1-0
1998-01-11	Green Bay Packers	L 10-23	1637.10	1738.06	46.48%	53.52%	-18.56	1-1
1997-12-28	Detroit Lions	W 20-10	1522.67	1529.23	59.93%	40.07%	+14.02	1-0
1998-01-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-21	1536.69	1730.86	17.39%	82.61%	-7.20	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1997-11-30	18.01%	St. Louis Rams	1364.98	23	@ Washington Redskins	1549.86	20
2	1997-11-16	18.59%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1344.04	41	Green Bay Packers	1675.02	38
3	1997-11-30	19.76%	New Orleans Saints	1365.47	16	@ Carolina Panthers	1530.27	13
4	1997-10-27	21.22%	Chicago Bears	1397.10	36	@ Miami Dolphins	1546.32	33
5	1997-12-07	21.96%	Indianapolis Colts	1344.87	22	@ New York Jets	1486.35	14
6	1997-12-20	22.95%	St. Louis Rams	1386.69	30	@ Carolina Panthers	1518.28	18
7	1997-11-09	24.64%	New Orleans Saints	1357.58	13	@ Oakland Raiders	1472.84	10
8	1997-11-30	26.91%	Atlanta Falcons	1399.52	24	@ Seattle Seahawks	1494.04	17
9	1997-08-31	28.13%	New York Jets	1415.67	41	@ Seattle Seahawks	1499.55	3
10	1997-10-12	29.66%	Detroit Lions	1474.11	27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1544.95	9
11	1997-10-26	30.10%	Baltimore Ravens	1463.09	20	@ Washington Redskins	1530.29	17
12	1997-11-23	30.31%	Arizona Cardinals	1383.43	16	@ Baltimore Ravens	1448.82	13
13	1997-10-05	30.72%	San Diego Chargers	1462.86	25	@ Oakland Raiders	1524.91	10
14	1997-09-21	31.22%	Kansas City Chiefs	1508.23	35	@ Carolina Panthers	1566.20	14
15	1997-12-14	32.33%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1369.23	41	Miami Dolphins	1571.25	0
16	1997-12-27 *	32.53%	Minnesota Vikings	1506.17	23	@ New York Giants	1556.42	22
17	1997-11-27	32.56%	Tennessee Oilers	1507.85	27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1555.01	14
18	1997-12-21	32.60%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1466.04	38	San Francisco 49ers	1665.89	9
19	1997-08-31	33.29%	Washington Redskins	1518.03	24	@ Carolina Panthers	1559.46	10
20	1997-09-28	33.94%	@ Detroit Lions	1462.63	26	Green Bay Packers	1651.98	15
21	1997-11-23	34.41%	@ Chicago Bears	1367.44	13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1553.12	7
22	1997-09-28	34.54%	New York Jets	1450.17	31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1481.89	14
23	1997-10-12	34.68%	Atlanta Falcons	1376.70	23	@ New Orleans Saints	1407.32	17
24	1997-11-16	34.81%	Atlanta Falcons	1363.95	27	@ St. Louis Rams	1393.54	21
25	1997-09-14	35.02%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1510.18	28	@ Minnesota Vikings	1538.20	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1997-08-31	48.84	New York Jets	41	1415.67	28.13%	@ Seattle Seahawks	3	1499.55	71.12%
2	1997-12-14	47.72	@ Indianapolis Colts	41	1369.23	32.33%	Miami Dolphins	0	1571.25	66.87%
3	1997-12-21	39.97	@ Seattle Seahawks	38	1466.04	32.60%	San Francisco 49ers	9	1665.89	66.59%
4	1997-09-14	37.78	Seattle Seahawks	31	1427.91	35.13%	@ Indianapolis Colts	3	1455.10	64.04%
5	1997-08-31	35.45	Dallas Cowboys	37	1541.99	41.11%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1524.88	58.01%
6	1997-09-21	35.45	Baltimore Ravens	36	1477.61	36.79%	@ Tennessee Oilers	10	1492.16	62.36%
7	1997-09-14	34.96	Detroit Lions	32	1453.47	36.45%	@ Chicago Bears	7	1470.64	62.71%
8	1997-09-21	34.72	Kansas City Chiefs	35	1508.23	31.22%	@ Carolina Panthers	14	1566.20	67.99%
9	1997-11-30	34.18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	44	1581.66	47.37%	San Francisco 49ers	9	1673.33	51.73%
10	1997-11-16	33.43	Oakland Raiders	38	1458.44	39.19%	@ San Diego Chargers	13	1455.25	59.94%
11	1997-10-12	32.88	Detroit Lions	27	1474.11	29.66%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9	1544.95	69.57%
12	1997-08-31	32.38	Minnesota Vikings	34	1495.42	35.78%	@ Buffalo Bills	13	1517.61	63.38%
13	1997-12-14	31.16	@ New York Jets	31	1461.99	48.99%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0	1542.37	50.11%
14	1997-12-04	30.76	@ Cincinnati Bengals	41	1433.93	46.08%	Tennessee Oilers	14	1534.62	53.03%
15	1997-09-28	29.71	New York Jets	31	1450.17	34.54%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	14	1481.89	64.64%
16	1997-10-05	29.56	San Diego Chargers	25	1462.86	30.72%	@ Oakland Raiders	10	1524.91	68.50%
17	1997-10-26	29.54	Tennessee Oilers	41	1478.77	48.20%	@ Arizona Cardinals	14	1411.70	50.91%
18	1997-12-20	29.46	St. Louis Rams	30	1386.69	22.95%	@ Carolina Panthers	18	1518.28	76.39%
19	1997-11-16	28.10	@ Detroit Lions	38	1466.54	46.62%	Minnesota Vikings	15	1563.42	52.48%
20	1997-08-31	27.48	Washington Redskins	24	1518.03	33.29%	@ Carolina Panthers	10	1559.46	65.90%
21	1997-11-27	26.77	Tennessee Oilers	27	1507.85	32.56%	@ Dallas Cowboys	14	1555.01	66.63%
22	1997-09-14	26.76	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	28	1510.18	35.02%	@ Minnesota Vikings	14	1538.20	64.15%
23	1997-11-09	26.55	New England Patriots	31	1561.23	47.23%	@ Buffalo Bills	10	1500.92	51.88%
24	1997-09-07	26.40	New England Patriots	31	1574.09	51.87%	@ Indianapolis Colts	6	1481.49	47.24%
25	1997-10-27	25.90	Green Bay Packers	28	1638.31	44.42%	@ New England Patriots	10	1597.67	54.69%