Home / Leagues / NFL / 1997

1997 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Denver Broncos

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Green Bay Packers

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1996

Biggest Overachiever

Kansas City Chiefs

3.96 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.04 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Oakland Raiders

3.61 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.61 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Pittsburgh Steelers Division 11 5 0 .688 372 307 +65 8.88 +2.12
2 Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs 11 5 0 .688 394 318 +76 8.70 +2.30
3 Tennessee Oilers 8 8 0 .500 3 333 310 +23 7.85 +0.15
4 Cincinnati Bengals 7 9 0 .438 4 355 405 -50 6.97 +0.03
5 Baltimore Ravens 6 9 1 .406 4.5 326 345 -19 7.54 -1.04
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 New England Patriots Division 10 6 0 .625 369 289 +80 9.23 +0.77
2 Miami Dolphins Playoffs 9 7 0 .562 1 339 327 +12 8.55 +0.45
3 New York Jets 9 7 0 .562 1 348 287 +61 7.74 +1.26
4 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 .375 4 255 367 -112 7.31 -1.31
5 Indianapolis Colts 3 13 0 .188 7 313 401 -88 5.77 -2.77
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Kansas City Chiefs Division 13 3 0 .812 375 232 +143 9.04 +3.96
2 Denver Broncos Playoffs 12 4 0 .750 1 472 287 +185 10.41 +1.59
3 Seattle Seahawks 8 8 0 .500 5 365 362 +3 7.74 +0.26
4 Oakland Raiders 4 12 0 .250 9 324 419 -95 7.61 -3.61
5 San Diego Chargers 4 12 0 .250 9 266 425 -159 6.75 -2.75
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Green Bay Packers Division 13 3 0 .812 422 282 +140 11.08 +1.92
2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs 10 6 0 .625 3 299 263 +36 8.51 +1.49
3 Detroit Lions Playoffs 9 7 0 .562 4 379 306 +73 7.89 +1.11
4 Minnesota Vikings Playoffs 9 7 0 .562 4 354 359 -5 8.18 +0.82
5 Chicago Bears 4 12 0 .250 9 263 421 -158 5.86 -1.86
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 New York Giants Division 10 5 1 .656 307 265 +42 8.14 +2.36
2 Washington Redskins 8 7 1 .531 2 327 289 +38 9.22 -0.72
3 Philadelphia Eagles 6 9 1 .406 4 317 372 -55 7.35 -0.85
4 Dallas Cowboys 6 10 0 .375 4.5 304 314 -10 8.90 -2.90
5 Arizona Cardinals 4 12 0 .250 6.5 283 379 -96 6.11 -2.11
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 San Francisco 49ers Division 13 3 0 .812 375 265 +110 10.83 +2.17
2 Atlanta Falcons 7 9 0 .438 6 320 361 -41 6.62 +0.38
3 Carolina Panthers 7 9 0 .438 6 265 314 -49 8.39 -1.39
4 New Orleans Saints 6 10 0 .375 7 237 327 -90 6.35 -0.35
5 St. Louis Rams 5 11 0 .312 8 299 359 -60 6.48 -1.48

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

AFC

Wild Card Round

Denver Broncos 42
Jacksonville Jaguars 17

Dec 27

New England Patriots 17
Miami Dolphins 3

Dec 28

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh Steelers 7
New England Patriots 6

Jan 3

Denver Broncos 14
Kansas City Chiefs 10

Jan 4

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 24
Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Jan 11

NFC

Wild Card Round

Minnesota Vikings 23
New York Giants 22

Dec 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
Detroit Lions 10

Dec 28

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 38
Minnesota Vikings 22

Jan 3

Green Bay Packers 21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

Jan 4

Conference Championship

Green Bay Packers 23
San Francisco 49ers 10

Jan 11

Super Bowl

Denver Broncos 31
Green Bay Packers 24

Jan 25

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Green Bay Packers NFC NFC Central 1719 13 11.08 +1.92 92.27% 5 8 10 11 12 14 16
Kansas City Chiefs AFC AFC West 1648 13 9.04 +3.96 99.43% 3 6 8 9 10 12 15
Denver Broncos AFC AFC West 1637 12 10.41 +1.59 88.14% 3 7 9 10 12 13 16
San Francisco 49ers NFC NFC West 1624 13 10.83 +2.17 94.31% 4 8 10 11 12 14 16
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC AFC Central 1586 11 8.88 +2.12 92.26% 2 6 8 9 10 12 15
New England Patriots AFC AFC East 1580 10 9.23 +0.77 75.94% 3 6 8 9 10 12 15
Jacksonville Jaguars AFC AFC Central 1565 11 8.70 +2.30 93.59% 1 5 7 9 10 12 15
New York Giants NFC NFC East 1558 10.5 8.14 +2.36 89.74% 1 5 7 8 9 11 14
Detroit Lions NFC NFC Central 1535 9 7.89 +1.11 81.45% 0 5 7 8 9 11 15
Washington Redskins NFC NFC East 1530 8.5 9.22 -0.72 36.74% 2 6 8 9 10 12 16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC NFC Central 1521 10 8.51 +1.49 85.15% 2 5 7 8 10 12 15
Miami Dolphins AFC AFC East 1518 9 8.55 +0.45 70.56% 2 5 7 8 10 12 15
Tennessee Oilers AFC AFC Central 1517 8 7.85 +0.15 64.16% 0 5 7 8 9 11 14
Minnesota Vikings NFC NFC Central 1507 9 8.18 +0.82 77.05% 1 5 7 8 9 11 15
Seattle Seahawks AFC AFC West 1505 8 7.74 +0.26 66.68% 0 5 6 8 9 11 14
New York Jets AFC AFC East 1491 9 7.74 +1.26 83.15% 0 4 6 8 9 11 14
Cincinnati Bengals AFC AFC Central 1481 7 6.97 +0.03 62.73% 0 4 6 7 8 10 14
Carolina Panthers NFC NFC West 1481 7 8.39 -1.39 33.67% 1 5 7 8 10 11 15
Dallas Cowboys NFC NFC East 1471 6 8.90 -2.90 10.93% 1 6 8 9 10 12 16
Baltimore Ravens AFC AFC Central 1450 6.5 7.54 -1.04 31.07% 0 4 6 7 9 11 14
Philadelphia Eagles NFC NFC East 1448 6.5 7.35 -0.85 34.41% 1 4 6 7 9 10 14
Atlanta Falcons NFC NFC West 1448 7 6.62 +0.38 69.59% 0 3 5 7 8 10 14
Buffalo Bills AFC AFC East 1421 6 7.31 -1.31 35.01% 1 4 6 7 9 10 14
Oakland Raiders AFC AFC West 1418 4 7.61 -3.61 5.46% 1 4 6 8 9 11 15
St. Louis Rams NFC NFC West 1418 5 6.48 -1.48 31.59% 0 3 5 6 8 9 13
Indianapolis Colts AFC AFC East 1408 3 5.77 -2.77 11.06% 0 3 4 6 7 9 12
Chicago Bears NFC NFC Central 1395 4 5.86 -1.86 24.80% 0 3 5 6 7 9 13
New Orleans Saints NFC NFC West 1385 6 6.35 -0.35 55.21% 0 3 5 6 8 9 14
Arizona Cardinals NFC NFC East 1368 4 6.11 -2.11 20.88% 0 3 5 6 7 9 14
San Diego Chargers AFC AFC West 1366 4 6.75 -2.75 11.31% 0 4 5 7 8 10 13

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team Ravens Bengals Jaguars Steelers Oilers
Baltimore Ravens
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Tennessee Oilers
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC East AFC West NFC Central NFC East NFC West
Baltimore Ravens
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-1-1
(2.0 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-2
(1.8 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-2
(2.3 exp.)
Tennessee Oilers
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
4-0
(1.9 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team Bills Colts Dolphins Patriots Jets
Buffalo Bills
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
Miami Dolphins
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
New England Patriots
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
New York Jets
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC West NFC Central NFC East NFC West
Buffalo Bills
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
Miami Dolphins
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-3
(2.1 exp.)
New England Patriots
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
New York Jets
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
3-1
(1.9 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team Broncos Chiefs Raiders Chargers Seahawks
Denver Broncos
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
San Diego Chargers
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East NFC Central NFC East NFC West
Denver Broncos
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
4-0
(2.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
San Diego Chargers
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team Bears Lions Packers Vikings Buccaneers
Chicago Bears
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East AFC West NFC East NFC West
Chicago Bears
2-2
(1.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions
2-2
(2.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
3-1
(2.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings
3-1
(2.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team Cardinals Cowboys Giants Eagles Redskins
Arizona Cardinals
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
New York Giants
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
1-0-1
(0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East AFC West NFC Central NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
1-3
(1.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
New York Giants
1-3
(2.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
2-1-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins
1-3
(2.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team Falcons Panthers Saints 49ers Rams
Atlanta Falcons
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
Carolina Panthers
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East AFC West NFC Central NFC East
Atlanta Falcons
2-2
(1.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers
2-2
(2.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints
2-2
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
2-2
(2.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
St. Louis Rams
0-4
(1.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Kansas City Chiefs 13 9.04 +3.96
2 New York Giants 10.5 8.14 +2.36
3 Jacksonville Jaguars 11 8.70 +2.30
4 San Francisco 49ers 13 10.83 +2.17
5 Pittsburgh Steelers 11 8.88 +2.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Oakland Raiders 4 7.61 -3.61
2 Dallas Cowboys 6 8.90 -2.90
3 Indianapolis Colts 3 5.77 -2.77
4 San Diego Chargers 4 6.75 -2.75
5 Arizona Cardinals 4 6.11 -2.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atlanta Falcons 5 Nov 16 – Dec 14 1 in 69
2 San Francisco 49ers 11 Sep 7 – Nov 23 1 in 62
3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5 Aug 31 – Sep 28 1 in 34
4 New York Giants 5 Sep 28 – Oct 26 1 in 31
5 Minnesota Vikings 6 Sep 28 – Nov 9 1 in 26

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Indianapolis Colts 10 Aug 31 – Nov 9 1 in 416
2 San Diego Chargers 8 Nov 2 – Dec 21 1 in 84
3 St. Louis Rams 8 Sep 28 – Nov 23 1 in 74
4 Dallas Cowboys 5 Nov 23 – Dec 21 1 in 50
5 Chicago Bears 7 Sep 1 – Oct 12 1 in 49

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team12345
Pittsburgh Steelers32.98%25.12%18.67%14.37%8.86%
Jacksonville Jaguars29.62%24.84%20.47%15.14%9.93%
Tennessee Oilers16.52%20.17%21.84%21.78%19.69%
Baltimore Ravens12.76%17.17%20.54%23.42%26.11%
Cincinnati Bengals8.12%12.70%18.48%25.29%35.41%
Team12345
New England Patriots42.98%26.72%16.62%9.74%3.94%
Miami Dolphins27.71%27.22%21.85%15.38%7.84%
New York Jets15.67%21.37%24.52%23.47%14.97%
Buffalo Bills11.07%17.77%24.09%27.14%19.93%
Indianapolis Colts2.57%6.92%12.92%24.27%53.32%
Team12345
Denver Broncos56.43%24.20%11.84%5.70%1.83%
Kansas City Chiefs24.40%31.37%21.92%14.68%7.63%
Seattle Seahawks8.76%18.57%24.45%25.55%22.67%
Oakland Raiders7.42%16.51%24.77%26.64%24.66%
San Diego Chargers2.99%9.35%17.02%27.43%43.21%
Team12345
Green Bay Packers67.25%20.20%8.54%3.27%0.74%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers13.82%27.62%26.47%21.54%10.55%
Minnesota Vikings10.16%26.17%26.77%24.28%12.62%
Detroit Lions7.63%21.20%26.66%27.91%16.60%
Chicago Bears1.14%4.81%11.56%23.00%59.49%
Team12345
Washington Redskins36.86%26.72%18.89%11.93%5.60%
Dallas Cowboys31.37%26.54%20.48%14.74%6.87%
New York Giants18.32%22.85%24.39%21.06%13.38%
Philadelphia Eagles10.27%16.70%22.51%28.07%22.45%
Arizona Cardinals3.18%7.19%13.73%24.20%51.70%
Team12345
San Francisco 49ers73.24%18.51%5.80%1.89%0.56%
Carolina Panthers16.71%39.61%23.77%13.33%6.58%
Atlanta Falcons3.59%14.82%25.20%27.10%29.29%
St. Louis Rams3.70%14.04%23.01%28.88%30.37%
New Orleans Saints2.76%13.02%22.22%28.80%33.20%
Team123456789101112131415
Denver Broncos31.52%17.74%12.38%9.49%7.28%5.44%4.10%3.35%2.48%2.05%1.75%1.15%0.71%0.39%0.17%
New England Patriots12.57%12.97%12.63%10.06%9.09%8.06%6.80%6.11%5.36%4.65%3.57%3.16%2.14%1.57%1.26%
Kansas City Chiefs11.44%10.54%9.77%10.42%9.15%8.20%7.71%7.12%5.88%4.93%4.64%3.81%2.78%2.30%1.31%
Pittsburgh Steelers9.79%10.57%10.39%9.21%8.67%8.72%7.03%7.17%5.85%5.54%4.95%4.15%3.53%2.58%1.85%
Jacksonville Jaguars7.99%10.31%9.46%9.01%8.66%8.15%7.82%6.84%6.66%5.99%5.45%4.78%3.74%2.91%2.23%
Miami Dolphins6.99%8.96%9.01%8.29%9.39%8.34%7.65%7.34%7.27%5.70%5.66%5.70%4.00%3.04%2.66%
Tennessee Oilers3.62%5.06%6.19%6.58%7.00%7.48%8.06%7.70%7.31%7.37%7.74%7.46%6.77%6.30%5.36%
New York Jets3.07%4.87%5.34%6.29%6.63%7.46%7.95%7.77%8.12%7.61%7.58%7.87%6.60%6.71%6.13%
Seattle Seahawks3.05%4.21%4.85%6.27%6.45%7.04%7.76%7.61%7.95%8.37%8.34%8.30%7.25%7.14%5.41%
Oakland Raiders2.98%3.48%4.47%5.58%5.70%6.73%7.39%8.03%7.93%8.62%8.36%8.22%8.53%7.52%6.46%
Baltimore Ravens2.50%3.77%5.24%5.77%6.36%6.52%6.54%7.21%7.26%8.17%7.83%8.14%9.44%8.05%7.20%
Buffalo Bills1.97%3.37%4.07%4.92%5.37%6.42%6.64%7.35%8.43%8.26%8.41%9.24%8.88%8.33%8.34%
Cincinnati Bengals1.27%2.35%3.23%3.74%4.51%4.97%5.85%6.19%8.04%8.11%8.98%9.40%10.59%11.72%11.05%
San Diego Chargers0.97%1.26%2.02%3.09%3.79%4.11%5.47%6.23%6.57%8.49%9.30%9.83%12.60%13.81%12.46%
Indianapolis Colts0.27%0.54%0.95%1.28%1.95%2.36%3.23%3.98%4.89%6.14%7.44%8.79%12.44%17.63%28.11%
Team123456789101112131415
Green Bay Packers34.98%22.05%13.75%9.25%6.28%4.07%3.32%2.25%1.48%1.03%0.72%0.47%0.26%0.06%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers29.46%23.45%15.98%9.18%6.37%5.08%3.39%2.25%1.90%1.19%0.64%0.55%0.24%0.26%0.06%
Washington Redskins8.18%11.86%13.01%11.16%10.05%8.51%8.25%7.08%5.52%5.00%3.74%2.97%2.40%1.38%0.89%
Dallas Cowboys6.38%9.91%10.92%10.72%10.31%9.32%8.29%7.47%6.51%5.83%4.67%3.90%2.62%1.89%1.26%
Carolina Panthers4.22%5.96%7.83%9.19%10.10%11.11%8.95%8.46%8.54%6.31%5.58%5.18%3.68%3.06%1.83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers5.33%6.15%7.72%9.30%9.04%9.39%9.37%8.73%7.28%6.97%6.46%5.25%3.68%3.20%2.13%
Minnesota Vikings3.31%4.61%6.66%8.79%9.02%9.34%8.86%8.46%8.21%8.26%7.05%5.95%5.10%3.78%2.60%
New York Giants2.62%5.53%7.54%8.54%9.20%8.52%8.25%8.51%7.89%7.23%6.96%6.50%5.49%4.09%3.13%
Detroit Lions2.35%3.53%5.31%7.33%7.76%7.94%8.99%9.44%8.36%8.63%8.10%7.32%6.51%5.02%3.41%
Philadelphia Eagles1.53%2.80%4.18%5.21%6.21%6.58%7.79%8.21%8.43%8.11%9.81%9.59%7.92%7.83%5.80%
Atlanta Falcons0.59%1.17%1.72%3.00%4.08%5.22%5.89%7.02%8.21%9.16%9.19%10.38%11.38%10.56%12.43%
St. Louis Rams0.34%1.00%1.76%2.45%3.62%5.05%5.31%6.57%8.23%8.53%9.66%11.35%11.50%12.13%12.50%
New Orleans Saints0.34%0.70%1.46%2.44%3.31%4.19%5.46%6.37%7.67%8.05%9.93%10.58%12.03%12.70%14.77%
Arizona Cardinals0.16%0.90%1.41%1.94%2.63%3.24%4.35%4.74%6.14%8.07%9.16%10.04%12.92%16.09%18.21%
Chicago Bears0.21%0.38%0.75%1.50%2.02%2.44%3.53%4.44%5.63%7.63%8.33%9.97%14.27%17.95%20.95%
Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
Green Bay Packers23.96%15.32%11.80%8.88%7.08%5.46%4.79%3.86%3.24%2.44%2.09%1.93%1.83%1.31%1.11%1.03%0.84%0.59%0.50%0.43%0.39%0.29%0.24%0.22%0.18%0.07%0.08%0.03%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers19.97%14.07%12.26%9.32%7.72%6.29%4.65%4.21%3.30%2.88%2.45%2.01%1.95%1.80%1.14%1.14%0.94%0.99%0.65%0.47%0.47%0.26%0.29%0.14%0.19%0.12%0.16%0.12%0.04%
Denver Broncos13.90%13.78%9.91%9.24%7.35%6.59%5.32%5.25%3.71%3.36%2.87%2.52%2.45%2.02%1.96%1.51%1.39%1.19%1.03%0.75%1.05%0.81%0.59%0.37%0.44%0.27%0.10%0.13%0.10%0.04%
New England Patriots5.23%6.18%5.91%6.45%6.33%6.45%5.22%5.25%4.99%4.68%4.08%4.19%3.60%3.70%3.18%3.09%2.93%2.35%2.50%2.25%1.90%1.94%1.72%1.16%0.92%1.25%0.83%0.77%0.64%0.31%
Washington Redskins4.61%5.53%6.41%5.84%6.24%5.63%5.52%5.41%4.86%4.74%4.15%4.15%3.77%3.82%3.47%3.65%2.68%2.64%2.44%2.69%2.00%1.75%1.58%1.62%1.35%1.08%0.78%0.73%0.52%0.34%
Kansas City Chiefs4.30%5.48%5.41%5.55%5.04%5.34%5.28%5.41%4.74%4.90%4.21%4.15%4.01%3.61%3.92%3.47%3.53%2.81%2.55%2.40%2.31%2.18%1.74%1.73%1.46%1.37%1.10%0.98%0.62%0.40%
Dallas Cowboys3.48%4.13%5.41%5.20%5.38%4.87%5.24%5.03%4.90%4.67%4.58%4.18%4.19%4.25%3.80%3.53%3.42%3.10%2.53%3.01%2.25%2.46%2.15%2.08%1.43%1.31%1.16%1.05%0.66%0.55%
Pittsburgh Steelers3.33%4.83%5.03%5.32%5.55%5.61%4.95%4.53%4.86%4.28%4.88%3.80%3.82%3.56%3.90%3.82%3.23%3.04%2.72%2.45%2.78%2.45%2.02%1.99%1.68%1.65%1.29%1.06%0.94%0.63%
Jacksonville Jaguars2.87%3.74%4.55%5.21%4.83%5.41%4.69%4.52%4.65%4.45%4.39%3.98%4.22%3.66%3.81%3.79%3.65%3.33%3.03%2.86%3.09%2.42%2.54%1.98%2.02%1.80%1.37%1.40%0.98%0.76%
Miami Dolphins2.41%3.62%3.93%4.58%4.12%4.86%4.17%4.73%4.65%4.95%4.49%4.60%3.73%3.73%3.86%3.75%3.79%3.42%3.23%3.02%2.92%2.97%2.82%2.63%2.08%1.63%1.80%1.42%1.35%0.74%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2.92%3.26%3.66%3.39%4.06%3.82%4.42%4.03%4.54%4.37%4.24%4.57%4.62%4.29%4.16%4.19%3.51%3.94%3.40%3.49%2.83%3.33%2.41%2.76%2.23%1.90%1.56%1.71%1.45%0.94%
Carolina Panthers2.28%2.55%3.06%3.57%4.08%3.81%4.55%4.31%4.50%4.81%4.71%5.19%4.34%4.78%4.03%3.94%3.69%4.34%3.55%3.42%2.70%3.05%2.55%2.80%2.32%1.81%1.59%1.54%1.36%0.77%
Minnesota Vikings1.73%1.90%2.48%3.00%3.25%3.40%4.43%3.99%4.41%4.33%4.56%4.54%4.18%4.20%4.36%4.03%3.63%4.45%3.71%4.02%3.58%3.54%2.98%3.02%2.57%2.50%2.32%2.01%1.59%1.29%
New York Giants1.36%1.98%2.70%3.14%3.67%3.65%4.08%4.13%4.37%4.37%4.24%4.26%3.69%4.31%4.22%3.95%3.81%3.69%3.87%3.51%3.55%3.47%3.42%3.18%3.05%2.54%2.18%2.03%2.08%1.50%
Detroit Lions1.16%1.46%1.85%2.05%2.99%2.77%3.63%3.51%3.56%3.86%4.07%4.07%4.10%4.41%4.56%4.45%4.13%4.27%4.02%3.91%3.90%4.06%3.35%3.93%3.53%3.41%2.81%2.52%1.92%1.74%
Tennessee Oilers1.05%1.80%2.38%2.44%2.86%3.27%3.45%3.47%3.88%3.59%4.06%3.85%4.30%3.81%4.08%3.80%3.98%3.41%4.35%3.59%3.94%3.66%4.08%3.40%3.58%3.26%3.09%2.96%2.46%2.15%
New York Jets0.83%1.71%2.03%2.53%2.54%2.94%2.84%3.21%3.65%3.81%3.95%3.92%3.72%4.00%4.18%4.13%4.01%3.80%4.22%3.82%3.89%3.71%4.19%3.63%3.71%3.25%3.41%2.94%3.00%2.43%
Seattle Seahawks0.88%1.58%1.73%2.13%2.55%2.75%3.32%3.29%3.11%3.42%3.61%3.99%3.89%3.93%3.80%4.15%4.19%4.19%4.42%4.02%4.27%4.04%4.21%3.79%3.81%3.61%3.53%2.93%2.72%2.14%
Oakland Raiders0.89%1.43%1.58%1.92%2.02%2.72%2.98%2.80%2.83%3.15%3.53%3.54%3.91%3.67%4.09%4.04%4.36%4.18%4.75%3.93%4.42%3.79%4.29%4.11%4.34%3.56%4.01%3.38%3.23%2.55%
Baltimore Ravens0.69%1.33%1.49%2.10%2.34%2.83%2.84%3.02%3.28%3.41%3.58%3.05%3.46%3.84%3.81%3.58%3.81%3.73%4.19%4.00%4.47%3.84%4.52%3.92%4.34%4.32%4.03%3.84%3.58%2.76%
Philadelphia Eagles0.62%1.05%1.43%1.55%1.97%2.37%2.47%2.72%2.69%3.14%3.21%3.53%3.60%3.74%3.43%4.02%3.91%4.30%3.94%4.72%4.09%4.73%4.62%5.02%4.00%4.51%3.70%4.39%3.54%2.99%
Buffalo Bills0.49%0.99%1.41%1.68%2.12%2.03%2.40%2.28%2.81%3.11%3.14%3.29%3.79%3.45%3.69%3.78%4.35%4.25%4.08%4.02%4.70%4.41%4.43%4.71%4.57%4.36%4.19%3.97%4.21%3.29%
Cincinnati Bengals0.24%0.52%1.09%1.31%1.19%1.67%1.78%2.14%2.59%2.33%2.58%2.71%3.04%2.85%3.16%3.65%3.77%4.33%4.24%4.29%5.04%4.35%4.89%4.36%5.69%5.07%5.75%5.22%5.30%4.85%
San Diego Chargers0.15%0.41%0.53%0.91%0.83%1.21%1.32%1.79%1.82%1.98%2.53%2.14%2.78%2.63%3.68%2.90%3.90%3.43%4.11%4.35%4.98%5.02%5.10%5.00%5.87%5.92%7.17%6.29%6.00%5.25%
Atlanta Falcons0.20%0.45%0.58%0.69%0.83%0.93%1.29%1.79%1.77%2.23%2.31%2.51%2.65%3.22%3.13%3.39%3.42%4.18%4.30%4.64%4.25%4.36%4.96%5.54%5.57%5.82%5.72%6.06%5.76%7.45%
St. Louis Rams0.13%0.26%0.41%0.54%0.82%0.90%1.14%1.21%1.90%1.87%2.17%2.74%2.53%2.78%2.67%3.36%3.45%3.80%3.84%4.89%4.15%4.76%5.21%5.88%5.60%6.16%5.94%6.84%6.69%7.36%
New Orleans Saints0.13%0.23%0.30%0.49%0.67%0.90%1.08%1.39%1.39%1.71%1.72%2.14%2.39%2.91%2.67%3.19%3.47%3.92%3.77%4.07%4.13%5.08%4.87%5.68%5.95%6.11%6.53%6.82%7.72%8.57%
Arizona Cardinals0.07%0.19%0.34%0.44%0.72%0.69%0.82%1.13%1.32%1.16%1.35%1.73%1.98%2.27%2.26%2.49%2.79%3.19%3.45%4.25%4.40%4.48%4.67%5.27%5.71%6.87%7.44%8.33%9.10%11.09%
Chicago Bears0.08%0.14%0.13%0.23%0.39%0.35%0.81%0.83%0.89%0.94%1.10%1.54%1.62%1.78%1.93%2.09%2.58%3.09%3.50%3.52%3.70%4.51%4.77%5.15%5.75%7.87%8.18%9.03%10.57%12.93%
Indianapolis Colts0.04%0.08%0.20%0.30%0.46%0.48%0.52%0.76%0.79%1.06%1.15%1.18%1.84%1.67%1.94%2.09%2.84%2.05%3.11%3.21%3.85%4.28%4.79%4.93%6.06%6.60%8.18%9.50%11.86%14.18%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 SeedMissed Playoffs
Denver Broncos31.52%16.22%8.69%13.50%8.19%5.65%16.23%
New England Patriots12.57%14.31%16.10%7.49%7.86%7.39%34.28%
Kansas City Chiefs11.44%8.13%4.83%15.58%10.63%8.75%40.64%
Pittsburgh Steelers9.79%11.33%11.86%7.47%8.47%8.36%42.72%
Jacksonville Jaguars7.99%11.14%10.49%7.75%8.20%8.05%46.38%
Miami Dolphins6.99%9.76%10.96%6.80%8.77%8.02%48.70%
Tennessee Oilers3.62%5.70%7.20%5.37%6.65%7.38%64.08%
New York Jets3.07%5.32%7.28%4.65%6.04%7.42%66.22%
Seattle Seahawks3.05%3.28%2.43%8.02%7.46%7.37%68.39%
Oakland Raiders2.98%2.46%1.98%7.31%6.79%7.17%71.31%
Baltimore Ravens2.50%4.23%6.03%4.55%6.30%6.55%69.84%
Buffalo Bills1.97%3.75%5.35%4.17%4.78%6.24%73.74%
Cincinnati Bengals1.27%2.65%4.20%2.97%4.15%4.84%79.92%
San Diego Chargers0.97%0.93%1.09%3.51%3.97%4.58%84.95%
Indianapolis Colts0.27%0.79%1.51%0.86%1.74%2.23%92.60%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 SeedMissed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers34.98%21.59%10.68%11.82%6.93%4.33%9.67%
San Francisco 49ers29.46%24.68%19.10%6.96%5.10%4.53%10.17%
Washington Redskins8.18%12.38%16.30%8.25%9.39%8.41%37.09%
Dallas Cowboys6.38%10.56%14.43%7.92%9.45%8.90%42.36%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers5.33%4.98%3.51%12.85%10.31%9.71%53.31%
Carolina Panthers4.22%5.73%6.76%10.32%10.46%10.95%51.56%
Minnesota Vikings3.31%3.83%3.02%11.50%10.13%9.70%58.51%
New York Giants2.62%5.83%9.87%6.69%8.61%8.42%57.96%
Detroit Lions2.35%2.90%2.38%9.41%8.70%8.29%65.97%
Philadelphia Eagles1.53%3.13%5.61%4.14%5.63%6.52%73.44%
Atlanta Falcons0.59%1.14%1.86%2.72%4.22%5.26%84.21%
St. Louis Rams0.34%1.11%2.25%2.09%3.42%4.99%85.80%
New Orleans Saints0.34%0.82%1.60%2.26%3.25%4.25%87.48%
Chicago Bears0.21%0.37%0.56%1.50%2.10%2.50%92.76%
Arizona Cardinals0.16%0.95%2.07%1.57%2.30%3.24%89.71%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Divisional Round Advanced to Conference Championship Advanced to Super Bowl Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers 83.36% 83.36% 63.02% 45.06% 29.11%
Denver Broncos 71.46% 71.46% 45.32% 29.06% 14.46%
San Francisco 49ers 79.14% 79.14% 50.74% 25.09% 13.56%
Kansas City Chiefs 45.63% 45.63% 27.27% 16.73% 9.09%
New England Patriots 50.38% 50.38% 26.69% 13.10% 5.73%
Pittsburgh Steelers 41.81% 41.81% 23.11% 11.55% 5.24%
Jacksonville Jaguars 38.15% 38.15% 19.34% 8.93% 3.62%
Washington Redskins 43.08% 43.08% 18.06% 6.78% 2.80%
New York Giants 33.59% 26.28% 11.41% 4.60% 2.16%
Miami Dolphins 34.55% 33.03% 14.72% 5.82% 2.15%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36.38% 28.33% 10.58% 4.12% 1.82%
Tennessee Oilers 26.60% 22.73% 9.93% 3.51% 1.42%
Dallas Cowboys 40.70% 34.95% 12.15% 3.75% 1.31%
Detroit Lions 28.78% 19.65% 7.55% 2.96% 1.27%
Minnesota Vikings 34.35% 23.13% 7.71% 2.54% 1.03%
New York Jets 25.39% 19.17% 7.49% 2.79% 1.02%
Carolina Panthers 38.49% 26.60% 8.93% 2.69% 0.99%
Seattle Seahawks 25.28% 17.25% 6.60% 2.40% 0.87%
Cincinnati Bengals 16.16% 10.78% 4.11% 1.50% 0.47%
Baltimore Ravens 23.43% 15.36% 5.18% 1.68% 0.47%
Oakland Raiders 23.25% 12.63% 3.97% 1.18% 0.31%
Philadelphia Eagles 21.90% 13.04% 3.91% 1.02% 0.29%
Buffalo Bills 20.54% 13.35% 4.09% 1.10% 0.26%
Atlanta Falcons 14.06% 6.57% 2.10% 0.62% 0.19%
Indianapolis Colts 6.34% 3.11% 0.84% 0.27% 0.09%
San Diego Chargers 13.15% 5.16% 1.34% 0.38% 0.08%
New Orleans Saints 11.36% 4.34% 0.96% 0.18% 0.06%
Chicago Bears 6.66% 2.49% 0.53% 0.16% 0.05%
St. Louis Rams 12.75% 5.44% 1.53% 0.23% 0.05%
Arizona Cardinals 9.18% 3.60% 0.82% 0.20% 0.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore RavensBuffalo BillsCincinnati BengalsDenver BroncosIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York JetsOakland RaidersPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSeattle SeahawksTennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens0.69%0.29%0.53%0.26%0.70%0.78%0.85%0.62%0.68%0.84%0.70%0.55%0.68%0.46%
Buffalo Bills0.75%0.40%0.46%0.15%0.60%0.54%0.69%0.57%0.50%0.79%0.61%0.49%0.61%0.47%
Cincinnati Bengals0.57%0.54%0.47%0.17%0.57%0.57%0.56%0.61%0.54%0.58%0.59%0.33%0.46%0.30%
Denver Broncos1.94%1.56%1.11%0.51%2.30%1.68%2.34%2.00%1.70%1.84%2.01%1.06%1.77%1.90%
Indianapolis Colts0.17%0.09%0.09%0.17%0.14%0.13%0.22%0.08%0.12%0.17%0.18%0.15%0.20%0.14%
Jacksonville Jaguars1.30%1.24%0.84%1.34%0.49%1.64%2.08%1.60%1.38%1.67%1.52%1.04%1.73%1.15%
Kansas City Chiefs2.10%1.60%1.38%1.59%0.53%2.34%2.86%2.53%1.92%1.82%2.68%1.23%1.48%2.00%
Miami Dolphins1.34%1.00%0.90%1.23%0.31%1.25%1.28%1.53%1.26%1.50%1.24%0.96%1.45%1.03%
New England Patriots1.69%1.64%1.05%1.58%0.58%1.85%1.85%2.33%1.91%2.06%2.08%1.21%1.92%1.75%
New York Jets0.73%0.68%0.63%0.66%0.14%0.86%0.87%1.10%0.99%0.96%0.92%0.61%0.79%0.84%
Oakland Raiders0.53%0.50%0.36%0.64%0.15%0.61%0.58%0.75%0.66%0.67%0.60%0.26%0.33%0.55%
Pittsburgh Steelers1.56%1.29%0.87%1.49%0.44%1.89%1.90%1.76%1.69%1.74%1.67%1.02%1.68%1.69%
San Diego Chargers0.31%0.24%0.13%0.25%0.06%0.29%0.14%0.41%0.32%0.31%0.20%0.28%0.14%0.18%
Seattle Seahawks0.88%0.81%0.67%0.86%0.20%0.98%0.67%1.22%1.07%0.86%0.76%0.98%0.23%0.73%
Tennessee Oilers0.93%1.03%0.58%1.04%0.30%1.09%1.10%1.10%1.07%1.02%1.20%1.08%0.75%1.12%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona CardinalsAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis RamsTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals0.09%0.22%0.08%0.29%0.16%0.10%0.24%0.09%0.17%0.15%0.13%0.20%0.29%0.28%
Atlanta Falcons0.33%0.46%0.15%0.56%0.41%0.20%0.54%0.11%0.40%0.23%0.32%0.10%0.49%0.54%
Carolina Panthers0.67%0.55%0.58%1.95%1.70%0.82%1.88%0.39%1.50%1.22%1.13%0.48%1.92%1.86%
Chicago Bears0.11%0.10%0.21%0.32%0.04%0.06%0.13%0.11%0.11%0.19%0.14%0.06%0.08%0.25%
Dallas Cowboys0.58%1.11%2.03%0.58%1.71%0.56%2.06%0.82%1.46%1.31%0.85%0.92%1.93%2.09%
Detroit Lions0.61%0.58%1.80%0.17%2.23%0.64%1.06%0.48%1.18%1.15%1.18%0.58%1.12%1.62%
Green Bay Packers0.86%1.22%3.66%0.65%3.33%2.02%2.15%0.90%2.39%1.65%1.42%1.10%2.40%3.04%
Minnesota Vikings0.53%0.69%2.03%0.26%2.37%0.93%0.70%0.65%1.45%1.17%1.08%0.78%1.43%1.92%
New Orleans Saints0.15%0.07%0.20%0.05%0.37%0.16%0.17%0.29%0.30%0.29%0.20%0.10%0.35%0.48%
New York Giants0.52%0.87%1.75%0.52%2.25%1.67%0.79%1.72%0.90%1.12%1.21%0.71%1.91%1.89%
Philadelphia Eagles0.17%0.34%1.03%0.23%0.91%0.58%0.35%0.95%0.47%0.61%0.47%0.46%0.81%1.00%
San Francisco 49ers0.65%1.46%3.16%0.65%2.27%2.09%0.78%2.64%1.27%2.19%1.70%1.36%2.68%2.10%
St. Louis Rams0.16%0.08%0.26%0.09%0.65%0.27%0.14%0.41%0.15%0.42%0.26%0.37%0.29%0.44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.60%0.93%2.29%0.25%2.35%0.97%0.78%1.46%0.93%1.59%1.46%1.29%0.80%2.32%
Washington Redskins0.75%1.13%2.74%0.49%2.84%1.67%0.88%2.83%0.91%1.99%1.62%0.90%1.11%2.66%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore RavensBuffalo BillsCincinnati BengalsDenver BroncosIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York JetsOakland RaidersPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSeattle SeahawksTennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens0.29%0.15%0.73%0.06%0.44%0.48%0.69%0.83%0.36%0.24%0.46%0.04%0.23%0.18%
Buffalo Bills0.32%0.17%0.63%0.04%0.46%0.29%0.23%0.55%0.12%0.13%0.48%0.11%0.21%0.35%
Cincinnati Bengals0.14%0.29%0.55%0.07%0.34%0.40%0.48%0.63%0.33%0.06%0.31%0.10%0.21%0.20%
Denver Broncos2.61%2.17%1.59%0.59%5.06%6.98%3.93%5.44%2.87%2.43%4.51%1.03%3.14%2.97%
Indianapolis Colts0.06%0.01%0.07%0.09%0.08%0.07%0.06%0.05%0.03%0.08%0.08%0.01%0.06%0.09%
Jacksonville Jaguars0.86%1.03%0.54%2.74%0.25%1.65%2.47%2.99%1.42%0.82%2.00%0.39%1.09%1.09%
Kansas City Chiefs1.31%1.09%0.82%6.88%0.33%2.38%2.29%3.30%1.55%1.24%2.66%0.47%1.32%1.63%
Miami Dolphins0.88%0.51%0.77%2.21%0.09%1.48%1.44%1.84%0.78%0.47%1.95%0.22%0.82%1.26%
New England Patriots1.64%1.16%1.13%3.95%0.21%3.45%2.44%2.62%1.31%1.18%3.40%0.41%1.51%2.28%
New York Jets0.38%0.23%0.31%1.09%0.04%0.91%0.83%0.49%1.00%0.30%0.81%0.15%0.36%0.59%
Oakland Raiders0.17%0.34%0.13%0.69%0.09%0.45%0.30%0.25%0.49%0.30%0.36%0.07%0.11%0.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers1.23%1.23%0.53%3.34%0.30%2.33%2.01%2.78%3.77%1.53%1.05%0.52%1.03%1.46%
San Diego Chargers0.05%0.04%0.04%0.24%0.01%0.17%0.08%0.16%0.13%0.04%0.07%0.13%0.09%0.09%
Seattle Seahawks0.26%0.34%0.23%1.33%0.10%0.56%0.46%0.67%0.85%0.34%0.29%0.70%0.08%0.39%
Tennessee Oilers0.27%0.53%0.19%1.67%0.09%0.70%0.93%1.19%1.82%0.70%0.30%0.85%0.22%0.47%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona CardinalsAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis RamsTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals0.01%0.11%0.02%0.09%0.02%0.15%0.05%0.01%0.02%0.01%0.23%0.02%0.02%0.06%
Atlanta Falcons0.03%0.09%0.01%0.34%0.12%0.34%0.10%0.03%0.19%0.08%0.31%0.04%0.14%0.28%
Carolina Panthers0.16%0.12%0.07%1.20%0.52%1.27%0.29%0.05%0.73%0.42%2.15%0.06%0.72%1.17%
Chicago Bears0.02%0.09%0.01%0.04%0.02%0.01%0.07%0.03%0.11%0.02%0.05%0.06%
Dallas Cowboys0.15%0.34%1.35%0.11%0.59%1.59%0.87%0.28%0.62%0.55%3.11%0.31%1.02%1.26%
Detroit Lions0.07%0.14%0.73%0.06%0.88%1.46%0.36%0.10%0.44%0.35%1.38%0.13%0.40%1.05%
Green Bay Packers0.94%1.39%5.27%0.57%7.28%4.90%6.54%1.10%5.33%2.98%9.13%1.31%7.71%8.57%
Minnesota Vikings0.07%0.20%0.51%0.06%0.96%0.28%1.48%0.10%0.54%0.32%1.49%0.12%0.44%1.14%
New Orleans Saints0.01%0.07%0.01%0.23%0.03%0.15%0.03%0.08%0.03%0.13%0.03%0.03%0.13%
New York Giants0.02%0.30%1.06%0.14%0.91%0.50%2.02%0.74%0.24%0.36%3.24%0.22%0.73%0.93%
Philadelphia Eagles0.04%0.09%0.44%0.09%0.40%0.19%0.59%0.25%0.10%0.16%0.85%0.11%0.27%0.33%
San Francisco 49ers0.87%1.08%5.32%0.60%7.16%3.37%5.51%3.96%0.87%4.91%3.07%0.99%4.45%8.58%
St. Louis Rams0.07%0.03%0.09%0.22%0.08%0.17%0.10%0.01%0.17%0.09%0.25%0.13%0.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.12%0.22%0.89%0.08%1.13%0.42%2.47%0.54%0.21%0.68%0.40%1.95%0.13%1.34%
Washington Redskins0.24%0.54%1.72%0.14%1.91%1.07%3.10%1.57%0.27%0.93%0.44%4.07%0.42%1.64%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore RavensBuffalo BillsCincinnati BengalsDenver BroncosIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York JetsOakland RaidersPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSeattle SeahawksTennessee Oilers
Baltimore Ravens0.04%0.01%0.36%0.01%0.17%0.24%0.11%0.26%0.10%0.10%0.08%0.04%0.08%0.08%
Buffalo Bills0.01%0.02%0.28%0.01%0.14%0.16%0.07%0.07%0.01%0.03%0.13%0.02%0.09%0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals0.05%0.04%0.37%0.01%0.07%0.22%0.21%0.15%0.05%0.05%0.11%0.02%0.07%0.08%
Denver Broncos1.37%1.01%1.06%0.26%4.15%2.75%3.32%5.41%1.41%0.51%4.50%0.19%0.92%2.20%
Indianapolis Colts0.01%0.02%0.05%0.01%0.02%0.03%0.03%0.05%0.02%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars0.19%0.27%0.10%2.38%0.06%1.16%0.87%1.38%0.53%0.29%0.74%0.07%0.52%0.37%
Kansas City Chiefs0.76%0.58%0.57%2.42%0.08%2.02%1.61%2.89%1.04%0.32%2.46%0.07%0.58%1.33%
Miami Dolphins0.17%0.11%0.15%1.56%0.74%0.82%0.46%0.20%0.15%0.67%0.14%0.29%0.36%
New England Patriots0.40%0.23%0.31%3.52%0.03%1.32%2.23%0.75%0.39%0.46%1.57%0.17%0.75%0.97%
New York Jets0.13%0.06%0.04%0.70%0.19%0.40%0.20%0.13%0.12%0.42%0.05%0.12%0.23%
Oakland Raiders0.05%0.04%0.04%0.17%0.02%0.17%0.13%0.07%0.16%0.06%0.17%0.02%0.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.20%0.38%0.15%3.02%0.05%0.84%1.75%1.20%1.80%0.62%0.50%0.15%0.51%0.38%
San Diego Chargers0.03%0.01%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.01%0.08%0.02%0.08%0.07%
Seattle Seahawks0.08%0.10%0.06%0.41%0.02%0.36%0.20%0.20%0.30%0.11%0.06%0.31%0.01%0.18%
Tennessee Oilers0.06%0.11%0.06%1.00%0.02%0.21%0.44%0.25%0.47%0.18%0.18%0.27%0.03%0.23%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona CardinalsAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis RamsTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals0.04%0.01%0.04%0.01%0.05%0.01%0.04%
Atlanta Falcons0.03%0.07%0.03%0.12%0.06%0.07%0.01%0.10%0.01%0.12%
Carolina Panthers0.05%0.02%0.02%0.23%0.18%0.79%0.11%0.02%0.14%0.15%0.52%0.03%0.20%0.23%
Chicago Bears0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.03%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys0.02%0.02%0.30%0.01%0.17%1.00%0.27%0.01%0.12%0.08%1.04%0.04%0.40%0.27%
Detroit Lions0.02%0.02%0.21%0.37%0.58%0.08%0.02%0.15%0.10%1.01%0.02%0.13%0.25%
Green Bay Packers0.30%0.79%3.42%0.19%4.23%1.86%1.86%0.37%3.73%1.47%17.62%0.69%2.46%6.07%
Minnesota Vikings0.02%0.05%0.13%0.02%0.31%0.08%0.43%0.02%0.19%0.09%0.70%0.05%0.10%0.35%
New Orleans Saints0.01%0.04%0.05%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.02%
New York Giants0.01%0.05%0.34%0.03%0.19%0.21%1.38%0.29%0.03%0.07%1.21%0.08%0.39%0.32%
Philadelphia Eagles0.01%0.04%0.06%0.04%0.08%0.25%0.05%0.02%0.04%0.25%0.11%0.07%
San Francisco 49ers0.14%0.30%0.89%0.08%2.14%1.54%10.50%1.91%0.14%1.57%0.62%0.19%2.08%2.99%
St. Louis Rams0.01%0.01%0.09%0.01%0.04%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.03%0.05%0.38%0.42%0.08%0.76%0.12%0.03%0.41%0.13%1.09%0.11%0.51%
Washington Redskins0.02%0.14%0.42%0.02%0.33%0.34%1.96%0.40%0.11%0.31%0.15%2.02%0.08%0.48%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Arizona CardinalsAtlanta FalconsBaltimore RavensBuffalo BillsCarolina PanthersChicago BearsCincinnati BengalsDallas CowboysDenver BroncosDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsMinnesota VikingsNew England PatriotsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsNew York JetsOakland RaidersPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSan Francisco 49ersSeattle SeahawksSt. Louis RamsTampa Bay BuccaneersTennessee OilersWashington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals0.01%0.01%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons0.01%0.04%0.02%0.05%0.01%0.02%0.03%0.01%
Baltimore Ravens0.01%0.01%0.02%0.20%0.03%0.02%0.01%0.10%0.03%0.04%
Buffalo Bills0.01%0.01%0.01%0.08%0.11%0.01%0.03%
Carolina Panthers0.03%0.02%0.02%0.29%0.08%0.20%0.09%0.11%0.02%0.10%0.02%0.01%
Chicago Bears0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals0.01%0.03%0.02%0.02%0.14%0.02%0.01%0.11%0.03%0.08%
Dallas Cowboys0.03%0.02%0.06%0.29%0.01%0.11%0.19%0.08%0.21%0.06%0.03%0.13%0.02%0.07%
Denver Broncos0.04%0.09%0.55%0.04%0.73%0.57%5.29%0.47%0.03%0.86%0.25%3.61%0.06%0.68%1.19%
Detroit Lions0.06%0.04%0.01%0.33%0.09%0.18%0.06%0.19%0.06%0.06%0.08%0.05%0.06%
Green Bay Packers0.71%0.38%0.58%7.96%0.14%2.90%3.97%1.85%4.05%0.79%0.41%3.49%0.14%0.77%0.97%
Indianapolis Colts0.02%0.01%0.03%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars0.03%0.02%0.13%0.01%0.28%0.09%1.15%0.11%0.20%0.04%1.00%0.02%0.21%0.33%
Kansas City Chiefs0.03%0.11%0.31%0.03%0.40%0.32%3.30%0.27%0.01%0.51%0.13%2.46%0.04%0.42%0.75%
Miami Dolphins0.02%0.02%0.16%0.12%0.06%0.67%0.08%0.02%0.11%0.04%0.56%0.08%0.21%
Minnesota Vikings0.02%0.01%0.02%0.33%0.12%0.09%0.09%0.12%0.04%0.04%0.08%0.01%0.04%0.02%
New England Patriots0.01%0.07%0.13%0.01%0.33%0.19%1.96%0.19%0.04%0.32%0.11%1.43%0.03%0.31%0.60%
New Orleans Saints0.02%0.01%0.02%0.01%
New York Giants0.04%0.05%0.57%0.21%0.31%0.15%0.30%0.09%0.03%0.29%0.02%0.02%0.08%
New York Jets0.02%0.05%0.01%0.07%0.06%0.41%0.03%0.01%0.04%0.02%0.12%0.07%0.11%
Oakland Raiders0.04%0.01%0.05%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.10%0.01%0.03%0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles0.01%0.03%0.07%0.04%0.02%0.01%0.05%0.02%0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.02%0.08%0.21%0.01%0.25%0.19%1.94%0.18%0.26%0.07%1.31%0.01%0.29%0.42%
San Diego Chargers0.01%0.06%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers0.22%0.22%0.22%3.62%0.03%1.34%1.78%0.99%1.73%0.52%0.22%1.58%0.13%0.38%0.58%
Seattle Seahawks0.04%0.07%0.10%0.29%0.02%0.01%0.02%0.02%0.19%0.02%0.09%
St. Louis Rams0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.01%0.05%0.03%0.43%0.13%0.33%0.10%0.25%0.10%0.01%0.22%0.08%0.08%
Tennessee Oilers0.02%0.07%0.09%0.05%0.40%0.10%0.06%0.02%0.40%0.01%0.11%0.09%
Washington Redskins0.08%0.05%0.04%0.71%0.26%0.48%0.21%0.32%0.08%0.05%0.23%0.13%0.16%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Advanced to Divisional Round Advanced to Conference Championship Advanced to Super Bowl Won Super Bowl Actual Outcome
Green Bay Packers 100.00% 79.96% 48.43% 29.97% Eliminated in Super Bowl
Kansas City Chiefs 100.00% 67.37% 45.19% 21.04% Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers 100.00% 71.51% 36.25% 18.42% Eliminated in Conference Championship
Pittsburgh Steelers 100.00% 58.97% 23.16% 9.65% Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos 69.55% 28.10% 13.63% 6.74% Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots 69.15% 27.09% 11.16% 4.76% Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Giants 68.21% 14.09% 6.34% 2.86% Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars 30.45% 10.58% 4.39% 1.88% Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 58.97% 14.48% 3.85% 1.56% Eliminated in Divisional Round
Detroit Lions 41.03% 11.56% 3.17% 1.35% Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins 30.85% 7.89% 2.47% 1.07% Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings 31.79% 8.40% 1.96% 0.70% Eliminated in Divisional Round
Loser →
↓ Winner
Denver BroncosJacksonville JaguarsMiami DolphinsNew England Patriots
Denver Broncos69.55%
Jacksonville Jaguars30.45%
Miami Dolphins30.85%
New England Patriots69.15%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Detroit LionsMinnesota VikingsNew York GiantsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions41.03%
Minnesota Vikings31.79%
New York Giants68.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers58.97%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Denver BroncosJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsPittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos18.05%10.05%
Jacksonville Jaguars6.69%3.89%
Kansas City Chiefs30.25%14.16%22.96%
Miami Dolphins7.89%
New England Patriots27.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers11.20%5.71%42.06%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Detroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsNew York GiantsSan Francisco 49ersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions2.69%8.87%
Green Bay Packers10.38%54.12%15.46%
Minnesota Vikings8.40%
New York Giants14.09%
San Francisco 49ers19.09%23.39%29.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3.26%11.22%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Denver BroncosJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsPittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos2.89%1.91%3.32%5.51%
Jacksonville Jaguars0.93%0.68%1.13%1.65%
Kansas City Chiefs4.47%2.02%11.48%27.22%
Miami Dolphins0.78%0.26%1.43%
New England Patriots3.69%1.64%5.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers5.53%2.27%12.53%2.83%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Detroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsNew York GiantsSan Francisco 49ersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions1.40%0.47%0.64%0.66%
Green Bay Packers5.64%5.52%30.20%7.07%
Minnesota Vikings0.30%1.36%0.30%
New York Giants1.19%3.58%1.57%
San Francisco 49ers1.26%26.94%6.36%1.69%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1.83%0.45%0.75%0.82%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Denver BroncosDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersJacksonville JaguarsKansas City ChiefsMiami DolphinsMinnesota VikingsNew England PatriotsNew York GiantsPittsburgh SteelersSan Francisco 49ersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Denver Broncos0.24%2.77%0.17%0.59%2.59%0.38%
Detroit Lions0.07%0.04%0.77%0.04%0.18%0.25%
Green Bay Packers3.96%1.39%12.97%0.80%3.35%7.50%
Jacksonville Jaguars0.09%0.75%0.09%0.14%0.75%0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs0.73%8.45%0.64%1.60%8.62%1.00%
Miami Dolphins0.02%0.44%0.01%0.06%0.47%0.07%
Minnesota Vikings0.08%0.01%0.27%0.01%0.06%0.27%
New England Patriots0.22%2.01%0.11%0.27%1.90%0.25%
New York Giants0.40%0.14%1.22%0.04%0.43%0.63%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.52%4.04%0.24%0.82%3.50%0.53%
San Francisco 49ers2.21%0.86%8.25%0.47%2.18%4.45%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.17%0.07%0.67%0.04%0.20%0.41%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Green Bay Packers 29.97% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. New York Giants
Matchup
67.68%
Win Prob
79.34%
Conference Championship
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
62.36%
Win Prob
52.85%
Super Bowl
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
43.28%
Win Prob
60.55%
Kansas City Chiefs 21.04% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Denver Broncos
Matchup
44.90%
Win Prob
62.63%
Conference Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Matchup
60.23%
Win Prob
68.48%
Super Bowl
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
40.97%
Win Prob
51.10%
San Francisco 49ers 18.42% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Matchup
40.60%
Win Prob
72.12%
Conference Championship
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
74.32%
Win Prob
47.15%
Super Bowl
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
44.79%
Win Prob
48.90%
Pittsburgh Steelers 9.65% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. New England Patriots
Matchup
71.32%
Win Prob
60.82%
Conference Championship
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
54.10%
Win Prob
31.52%
Super Bowl
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
41.87%
Win Prob
35.01%
Denver Broncos 6.74% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
69.55%
Divisional Round
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
64.23%
Win Prob
37.37%
Conference Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Matchup
40.43%
Win Prob
49.91%
Super Bowl
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
41.10%
Win Prob
41.16%
New England Patriots 4.76% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. Miami Dolphins
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
69.15%
Divisional Round
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
39.18%
Conference Championship
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
52.24%
Win Prob
33.68%
Super Bowl
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
42.23%
Win Prob
37.50%
New York Giants 2.86% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. Minnesota Vikings
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
68.21%
Divisional Round
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
20.66%
Conference Championship
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
56.47%
Win Prob
36.02%
Super Bowl
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
42.66%
Win Prob
43.26%
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.88% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. Denver Broncos
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
30.45%
Divisional Round
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
63.23%
Win Prob
32.09%
Conference Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Matchup
37.59%
Win Prob
42.09%
Super Bowl
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
39.89%
Win Prob
35.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.56% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. Detroit Lions
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.97%
Divisional Round
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
77.49%
Win Prob
27.88%
Conference Championship
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
47.53%
Win Prob
20.56%
Super Bowl
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
42.95%
Win Prob
40.12%
Detroit Lions 1.35% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.03%
Divisional Round
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
76.73%
Win Prob
31.72%
Conference Championship
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
44.16%
Win Prob
19.89%
Super Bowl
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
57.04%
Win Prob
51.33%
Miami Dolphins 1.07% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. New England Patriots
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
30.85%
Divisional Round
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
25.58%
Conference Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Matchup
57.89%
Win Prob
33.57%
Super Bowl
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
43.93%
Win Prob
50.00%
Minnesota Vikings 0.70% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. New York Giants
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
31.79%
Divisional Round
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
26.42%
Conference Championship
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
69.39%
Win Prob
19.77%
Super Bowl
vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Matchup
38.57%
Win Prob
29.67%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1997-08-31 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 21-24 1456.63 1500.70 32.92% 66.19% -6.34 0-1
1997-09-07 Dallas Cowboys W 25-22 1450.29 1577.01 42.38% 56.72% +10.87 1-1
1997-09-14 @ Washington Redskins L 13-19 1461.16 1535.03 29.24% 69.86% -7.96 1-2
1997-09-28 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 18-19 1453.20 1545.95 27.05% 72.06% -3.01 1-3
1997-10-05 Minnesota Vikings L 19-20 1450.19 1519.60 50.57% 48.53% -5.60 1-4
1997-10-12 New York Giants L 13-27 1444.59 1472.30 56.52% 42.58% -23.41 1-5
1997-10-19 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 10-13 1421.18 1488.12 30.08% 69.03% -5.79 1-6
1997-10-26 Tennessee Oilers L 14-41 1415.39 1481.65 51.02% 48.08% -29.37 1-7
1997-11-02 Philadelphia Eagles W 31-21 1386.02 1499.36 44.27% 54.83% +19.20 2-7
1997-11-09 @ Dallas Cowboys L 6-24 1405.22 1553.76 21.19% 77.91% -10.02 2-8
1997-11-16 @ New York Giants L 10-19 1395.20 1507.40 24.89% 74.21% -8.31 2-9
1997-11-23 @ Baltimore Ravens W 16-13 1386.89 1453.11 30.16% 68.94% +13.21 3-9
1997-11-30 Pittsburgh Steelers L 20-26 1400.10 1564.68 37.17% 61.94% -10.11 3-10
1997-12-07 Washington Redskins L 28-38 1389.99 1531.69 40.29% 58.81% -14.14 3-11
1997-12-14 @ New Orleans Saints L 10-27 1375.85 1371.72 39.30% 59.80% -17.99 3-12
1997-12-21 Atlanta Falcons W 29-26 1357.86 1457.66 46.20% 52.90% +10.15 4-12
1997-08-31 @ Detroit Lions L 17-28 1443.67 1470.94 35.08% 64.02% -12.93 0-1
1997-09-07 Carolina Panthers L 6-9 1430.74 1515.18 48.41% 50.69% -9.29 0-2
1997-09-14 Oakland Raiders L 31-36 1421.45 1499.03 49.39% 49.71% -12.24 0-3
1997-09-21 @ San Francisco 49ers L 7-34 1409.21 1571.12 19.93% 79.17% -11.54 0-4
1997-09-28 Denver Broncos L 21-29 1397.67 1604.13 31.73% 67.37% -9.97 0-5
1997-10-12 @ New Orleans Saints W 23-17 1387.70 1419.09 34.55% 64.56% +17.49 1-5
1997-10-19 San Francisco 49ers L 28-35 1405.19 1613.39 31.51% 67.59% -9.27 1-6
1997-10-26 @ Carolina Panthers L 12-21 1395.92 1506.64 25.06% 74.05% -8.36 1-7
1997-11-02 St. Louis Rams W 34-31 1387.56 1408.08 57.52% 41.58% +7.99 2-7
1997-11-09 Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 10-31 1395.55 1505.29 44.78% 54.32% -22.76 2-8
1997-11-16 @ St. Louis Rams W 27-21 1372.79 1395.62 35.67% 63.43% +17.19 3-8
1997-11-23 New Orleans Saints W 20-3 1389.98 1392.67 59.99% 39.11% +17.90 4-8
1997-11-30 @ Seattle Seahawks W 24-17 1407.88 1492.57 27.97% 71.13% +20.82 5-8
1997-12-07 @ San Diego Chargers W 14-3 1428.70 1410.04 41.32% 57.79% +21.21 6-8
1997-12-14 Philadelphia Eagles W 20-17 1449.91 1461.53 58.76% 40.34% +7.75 7-8
1997-12-21 @ Arizona Cardinals L 26-29 1457.66 1357.86 52.90% 46.20% -10.14 7-9
1997-08-31 Jacksonville Jaguars L 27-28 1464.05 1481.14 58.00% 41.10% -6.42 0-1
1997-09-07 Cincinnati Bengals W 23-10 1457.63 1507.03 53.44% 45.66% +18.26 1-1
1997-09-14 @ New York Giants W 24-23 1475.89 1474.35 38.95% 60.15% +6.65 2-1
1997-09-21 @ Tennessee Oilers W 36-10 1482.54 1496.37 36.87% 62.23% +35.11 3-1
1997-09-28 @ San Diego Chargers L 17-21 1517.65 1455.10 47.55% 51.55% -10.54 3-2
1997-10-05 Pittsburgh Steelers L 34-42 1507.11 1497.97 61.61% 37.50% -19.27 3-3
1997-10-19 Miami Dolphins L 13-24 1487.84 1529.27 54.57% 44.53% -20.04 3-4
1997-10-26 @ Washington Redskins W 20-17 1467.80 1526.21 31.12% 67.98% +13.02 4-4
1997-11-02 @ New York Jets L 16-19 1480.82 1490.61 37.41% 61.69% -7.19 4-5
1997-11-09 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 0-37 1473.63 1544.58 29.59% 69.51% -20.02 4-6
1997-11-16 Philadelphia Eagles T 10-10 1453.61 1465.93 58.67% 40.43% -0.50 4-6
1997-11-23 Arizona Cardinals L 13-16 1453.11 1386.89 68.94% 30.16% -13.21 4-7
1997-11-30 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 27-29 1439.90 1548.31 25.30% 73.80% -3.98 4-8
1997-12-07 Seattle Seahawks W 31-24 1435.92 1471.75 55.37% 43.73% +12.83 5-8
1997-12-14 Tennessee Oilers W 21-19 1448.75 1505.18 52.43% 46.67% +7.32 6-8
1997-12-21 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 14-16 1456.07 1475.21 36.16% 62.94% -5.68 6-9
1997-08-31 Minnesota Vikings L 13-34 1515.62 1498.73 62.64% 36.46% -31.77 0-1
1997-09-07 @ New York Jets W 28-22 1483.85 1473.69 40.14% 58.97% +15.99 1-1
1997-09-14 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 16-22 1499.84 1502.72 38.35% 60.76% -10.43 1-2
1997-09-21 Indianapolis Colts W 37-35 1489.41 1419.19 69.42% 29.68% +4.67 2-2
1997-10-05 Detroit Lions W 22-13 1494.08 1497.18 59.94% 39.16% +13.04 3-2
1997-10-12 @ New England Patriots L 6-33 1507.12 1587.01 28.53% 70.57% -16.49 3-3
1997-10-20 @ Indianapolis Colts W 9-6 1490.63 1399.53 51.65% 47.45% +9.11 4-3
1997-10-26 Denver Broncos L 20-23 1499.74 1622.02 43.01% 56.10% -8.26 4-4
1997-11-02 Miami Dolphins W 9-6 1491.48 1534.36 54.37% 44.73% +8.59 5-4
1997-11-09 New England Patriots L 10-31 1500.07 1553.11 52.92% 46.18% -26.85 5-5
1997-11-17 @ Miami Dolphins L 13-30 1473.22 1536.05 30.58% 68.53% -14.02 5-6
1997-11-23 @ Tennessee Oilers L 14-31 1459.20 1494.00 34.10% 65.00% -15.62 5-7
1997-11-30 New York Jets W 20-10 1443.58 1508.69 51.19% 47.91% +16.79 6-7
1997-12-07 @ Chicago Bears L 3-20 1460.37 1371.84 51.28% 47.82% -23.42 6-8
1997-12-14 Jacksonville Jaguars L 14-20 1436.95 1536.50 46.24% 52.86% -12.56 6-9
1997-12-20 @ Green Bay Packers L 21-31 1424.39 1715.13 10.60% 88.50% -3.74 6-10
1997-08-31 Washington Redskins L 10-24 1541.73 1513.54 64.14% 34.96% -26.55 0-1
1997-09-07 @ Atlanta Falcons W 9-6 1515.18 1430.74 50.69% 48.41% +9.29 1-1
1997-09-14 @ San Diego Chargers W 26-7 1524.47 1490.56 43.46% 55.64% +26.85 2-1
1997-09-21 Kansas City Chiefs L 14-35 1551.32 1513.15 65.43% 33.67% -33.17 2-2
1997-09-29 San Francisco 49ers L 21-34 1518.15 1582.66 51.27% 47.83% -20.48 2-3
1997-10-12 @ Minnesota Vikings L 14-21 1497.67 1525.21 35.05% 64.05% -10.30 2-4
1997-10-19 @ New Orleans Saints W 13-0 1487.37 1401.60 50.89% 48.21% +19.27 3-4
1997-10-26 Atlanta Falcons W 21-12 1506.64 1395.92 74.05% 25.06% +8.36 4-4
1997-11-02 Oakland Raiders W 38-14 1515.00 1489.01 63.85% 35.25% +19.19 5-4
1997-11-09 @ Denver Broncos L 0-34 1534.19 1634.83 26.16% 72.94% -16.98 5-5
1997-11-16 @ San Francisco 49ers L 19-27 1517.21 1660.21 21.73% 77.37% -6.84 5-6
1997-11-23 @ St. Louis Rams W 16-10 1510.37 1378.43 57.45% 41.65% +11.32 6-6
1997-11-30 New Orleans Saints L 13-16 1521.69 1374.77 77.75% 21.35% -14.90 6-7
1997-12-08 @ Dallas Cowboys W 23-13 1506.79 1527.40 35.96% 63.14% +22.09 7-7
1997-12-14 Green Bay Packers L 10-31 1528.88 1696.42 36.77% 62.33% -18.71 7-8
1997-12-20 St. Louis Rams L 18-30 1510.17 1388.84 75.18% 23.93% -28.81 7-9
1997-09-01 @ Green Bay Packers L 24-38 1492.84 1616.87 23.64% 75.46% -9.84 0-1
1997-09-07 Minnesota Vikings L 24-27 1483.00 1530.49 53.71% 45.39% -10.30 0-2
1997-09-14 Detroit Lions L 7-32 1472.70 1466.40 61.22% 37.88% -33.87 0-3
1997-09-21 @ New England Patriots L 3-31 1438.83 1594.06 20.56% 78.55% -12.12 0-4
1997-09-28 @ Dallas Cowboys L 3-27 1426.71 1569.50 21.75% 77.35% -11.86 0-5
1997-10-05 New Orleans Saints L 17-20 1414.85 1407.32 61.39% 37.72% -11.77 0-6
1997-10-12 Green Bay Packers L 23-24 1403.08 1618.74 30.59% 68.51% -3.40 0-7
1997-10-27 @ Miami Dolphins W 36-33 1399.68 1549.31 21.09% 78.01% +14.95 1-7
1997-11-02 Washington Redskins L 8-31 1414.63 1513.18 46.38% 52.72% -24.66 1-8
1997-11-09 @ Minnesota Vikings L 22-29 1389.97 1558.20 19.36% 79.74% -5.71 1-9
1997-11-16 New York Jets L 15-23 1384.26 1487.52 45.71% 53.39% -14.33 1-10
1997-11-23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 13-7 1369.93 1550.86 35.00% 64.11% +17.37 2-10
1997-11-27 @ Detroit Lions L 20-55 1387.30 1512.90 23.48% 75.62% -15.46 2-11
1997-12-07 Buffalo Bills W 20-3 1371.84 1460.37 47.82% 51.28% +23.42 3-11
1997-12-14 @ St. Louis Rams W 13-10 1395.26 1400.55 38.02% 61.08% +11.71 4-11
1997-12-21 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 15-31 1406.97 1509.85 25.91% 73.19% -11.54 4-12
1997-08-31 Arizona Cardinals W 24-21 1500.70 1456.63 66.19% 32.92% +6.33 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Baltimore Ravens L 10-23 1507.03 1457.63 45.66% 53.44% -18.25 1-1
1997-09-21 @ Denver Broncos L 20-38 1488.78 1591.91 25.88% 73.22% -12.22 1-2
1997-09-28 New York Jets L 14-31 1476.56 1458.50 62.80% 36.30% -28.65 1-3
1997-10-05 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 13-21 1447.91 1509.06 30.78% 68.32% -9.68 1-4
1997-10-12 @ Tennessee Oilers L 7-30 1438.23 1440.00 38.50% 60.60% -20.50 1-5
1997-10-19 Pittsburgh Steelers L 10-26 1417.73 1521.14 45.69% 53.41% -20.26 1-6
1997-10-26 @ New York Giants L 27-29 1397.47 1512.80 24.56% 74.54% -3.86 1-7
1997-11-02 San Diego Chargers W 38-31 1393.61 1488.03 46.97% 52.13% +15.27 2-7
1997-11-09 @ Indianapolis Colts W 28-13 1408.88 1369.65 44.21% 54.89% +23.53 3-7
1997-11-16 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 3-20 1432.41 1564.60 22.81% 76.30% -10.47 3-8
1997-11-23 Jacksonville Jaguars W 31-26 1421.94 1562.84 40.40% 58.70% +14.53 4-8
1997-11-30 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 42-44 1436.47 1476.82 33.39% 65.71% -5.25 4-9
1997-12-04 Tennessee Oilers W 41-14 1431.22 1536.03 45.49% 53.61% +30.85 5-9
1997-12-14 Dallas Cowboys W 31-24 1462.07 1505.31 54.32% 44.78% +13.14 6-9
1997-12-21 Baltimore Ravens W 16-14 1475.21 1456.07 62.94% 36.16% +5.68 7-9
1997-08-31 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 37-7 1541.72 1526.12 40.89% 58.21% +35.29 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Arizona Cardinals L 22-25 1577.01 1450.29 56.72% 42.38% -10.87 1-1
1997-09-15 Philadelphia Eagles W 21-20 1566.14 1500.54 68.86% 30.24% +3.36 2-1
1997-09-28 Chicago Bears W 27-3 1569.50 1426.71 77.35% 21.75% +11.86 3-1
1997-10-05 @ New York Giants L 17-20 1581.36 1461.61 55.74% 43.36% -10.68 3-2
1997-10-13 @ Washington Redskins L 16-21 1570.68 1536.58 43.49% 55.61% -10.79 3-3
1997-10-19 Jacksonville Jaguars W 26-22 1559.89 1535.62 63.62% 35.48% +7.88 4-3
1997-10-26 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 12-13 1567.77 1493.91 49.17% 49.93% -5.44 4-4
1997-11-02 @ San Francisco 49ers L 10-17 1562.33 1637.42 29.10% 70.00% -8.57 4-5
1997-11-09 Arizona Cardinals W 24-6 1553.76 1405.22 77.91% 21.19% +10.02 5-5
1997-11-16 Washington Redskins W 17-14 1563.78 1555.23 61.52% 37.58% +7.22 6-5
1997-11-23 @ Green Bay Packers L 17-45 1571.00 1645.10 29.22% 69.88% -17.19 6-6
1997-11-27 Tennessee Oilers L 14-27 1553.81 1509.62 66.20% 32.90% -26.41 6-7
1997-12-08 Carolina Panthers L 13-23 1527.40 1506.79 63.14% 35.96% -22.09 6-8
1997-12-14 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 24-31 1505.31 1462.07 44.78% 54.32% -13.14 6-9
1997-12-21 New York Giants L 7-20 1492.17 1536.19 54.21% 44.89% -21.63 6-10
1997-08-31 Kansas City Chiefs W 19-3 1541.20 1511.33 64.36% 34.75% +15.44 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Seattle Seahawks W 35-14 1556.64 1448.39 54.10% 45.00% +22.86 2-0
1997-09-14 St. Louis Rams W 35-14 1579.50 1461.95 74.78% 24.32% +12.41 3-0
1997-09-21 Cincinnati Bengals W 38-20 1591.91 1488.78 73.22% 25.88% +12.22 4-0
1997-09-28 @ Atlanta Falcons W 29-21 1604.13 1397.67 67.37% 31.73% +9.97 5-0
1997-10-06 New England Patriots W 34-13 1614.10 1606.17 61.44% 37.66% +19.17 6-0
1997-10-19 @ Oakland Raiders L 25-28 1633.27 1492.71 58.65% 40.45% -11.25 6-1
1997-10-26 @ Buffalo Bills W 23-20 1622.02 1499.74 56.10% 43.01% +8.27 7-1
1997-11-02 Seattle Seahawks W 30-27 1630.29 1505.57 75.53% 23.57% +4.54 8-1
1997-11-09 Carolina Panthers W 34-0 1634.83 1534.19 72.94% 26.16% +16.97 9-1
1997-11-16 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 22-24 1651.80 1562.77 51.35% 47.75% -8.04 9-2
1997-11-24 Oakland Raiders W 31-3 1643.76 1489.34 78.47% 20.63% +12.16 10-2
1997-11-30 @ San Diego Chargers W 38-28 1655.92 1419.95 70.93% 28.17% +9.91 11-2
1997-12-07 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 24-35 1665.83 1574.79 51.64% 47.46% -18.97 11-3
1997-12-15 @ San Francisco 49ers L 17-34 1646.86 1646.17 38.83% 60.27% -17.78 11-4
1997-12-21 San Diego Chargers W 38-3 1629.08 1374.39 86.37% 12.74% +8.41 12-4
1997-08-31 Atlanta Falcons W 28-17 1470.94 1443.67 64.02% 35.08% +12.93 1-0
1997-09-07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 17-24 1483.87 1489.04 59.65% 39.45% -17.47 1-1
1997-09-14 @ Chicago Bears W 32-7 1466.40 1472.70 37.88% 61.22% +33.87 2-1
1997-09-21 @ New Orleans Saints L 17-35 1500.27 1390.17 54.37% 44.73% -25.54 2-2
1997-09-28 Green Bay Packers W 26-15 1474.73 1633.57 37.94% 61.16% +22.45 3-2
1997-10-05 @ Buffalo Bills L 13-22 1497.18 1494.08 39.16% 59.94% -13.04 3-3
1997-10-12 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 27-9 1484.14 1541.34 31.27% 67.83% +31.83 4-3
1997-10-19 New York Giants L 20-26 1515.97 1495.70 63.09% 36.01% -17.09 4-4
1997-11-02 @ Green Bay Packers L 10-20 1498.88 1648.36 21.10% 78.00% -7.44 4-5
1997-11-09 @ Washington Redskins L 7-30 1491.44 1537.84 32.62% 66.48% -17.38 4-6
1997-11-16 Minnesota Vikings W 38-15 1474.06 1563.91 47.63% 51.47% +27.34 5-6
1997-11-23 Indianapolis Colts W 32-10 1501.40 1361.27 77.09% 22.01% +11.50 6-6
1997-11-27 Chicago Bears W 55-20 1512.90 1387.30 75.62% 23.48% +15.46 7-6
1997-12-07 @ Miami Dolphins L 30-33 1528.36 1566.82 33.63% 65.47% -6.47 7-7
1997-12-14 @ Minnesota Vikings W 14-13 1521.89 1502.64 41.40% 57.70% +6.38 8-7
1997-12-21 New York Jets W 13-10 1528.27 1497.83 64.43% 34.67% +6.68 9-7
1997-09-01 Chicago Bears W 38-24 1616.87 1492.84 75.46% 23.64% +9.84 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 9-10 1626.71 1494.17 57.54% 41.56% -6.36 1-1
1997-09-14 Miami Dolphins W 23-18 1620.35 1517.73 73.16% 25.94% +6.45 2-1
1997-09-21 Minnesota Vikings W 38-32 1626.80 1513.92 74.28% 24.82% +6.77 3-1
1997-09-28 @ Detroit Lions L 15-26 1633.57 1474.73 61.16% 37.94% -22.45 3-2
1997-10-05 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 21-16 1611.12 1548.96 68.44% 30.66% +7.62 4-2
1997-10-12 @ Chicago Bears W 24-23 1618.74 1403.08 68.51% 30.59% +3.41 5-2
1997-10-27 @ New England Patriots W 28-10 1622.15 1589.45 43.29% 55.81% +26.21 6-2
1997-11-02 Detroit Lions W 20-10 1648.36 1498.88 78.00% 21.10% +7.43 7-2
1997-11-09 St. Louis Rams W 17-7 1655.79 1400.09 86.43% 12.67% +4.47 8-2
1997-11-16 @ Indianapolis Colts L 38-41 1660.26 1346.11 79.10% 20.00% -15.16 8-3
1997-11-23 Dallas Cowboys W 45-17 1645.10 1571.00 69.88% 29.22% +17.19 9-3
1997-12-01 @ Minnesota Vikings W 27-11 1662.29 1529.73 57.54% 41.56% +18.45 10-3
1997-12-07 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 17-6 1680.74 1555.74 56.48% 42.62% +15.68 11-3
1997-12-14 @ Carolina Panthers W 31-10 1696.42 1528.88 62.33% 36.77% +18.71 12-3
1997-12-20 Buffalo Bills W 31-21 1715.13 1424.39 88.50% 10.60% +3.75 13-3
1997-08-31 @ Miami Dolphins L 10-16 1494.65 1500.12 37.99% 61.11% -10.34 0-1
1997-09-07 New England Patriots L 6-31 1484.31 1562.33 49.33% 49.77% -27.33 0-2
1997-09-14 Seattle Seahawks L 3-31 1456.98 1425.53 64.56% 34.54% -37.79 0-3
1997-09-21 @ Buffalo Bills L 35-37 1419.19 1489.41 29.68% 69.42% -4.67 0-4
1997-10-05 New York Jets L 12-16 1414.52 1487.15 50.11% 49.00% -11.10 0-5
1997-10-12 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 22-24 1403.42 1517.25 24.72% 74.38% -3.89 0-6
1997-10-20 Buffalo Bills L 6-9 1399.53 1490.63 47.45% 51.65% -9.11 0-7
1997-10-26 @ San Diego Chargers L 19-35 1390.42 1475.61 27.91% 71.19% -12.42 0-8
1997-11-02 Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 28-31 1378.00 1496.94 43.48% 55.62% -8.35 0-9
1997-11-09 Cincinnati Bengals L 13-28 1369.65 1408.88 54.89% 44.21% -23.54 0-10
1997-11-16 Green Bay Packers W 41-38 1346.11 1660.26 20.00% 79.10% +15.16 1-10
1997-11-23 @ Detroit Lions L 10-32 1361.27 1501.40 22.01% 77.09% -11.50 1-11
1997-11-30 @ New England Patriots L 17-20 1349.77 1564.41 15.53% 83.58% -2.99 1-12
1997-12-07 @ New York Jets W 22-14 1346.78 1491.90 21.52% 77.58% +24.27 2-12
1997-12-14 Miami Dolphins W 41-0 1371.05 1573.29 32.26% 66.84% +47.35 3-12
1997-12-21 @ Minnesota Vikings L 28-39 1418.40 1496.26 28.77% 70.33% -10.61 3-13
1997-08-31 @ Baltimore Ravens W 28-27 1481.14 1464.05 41.10% 58.00% +6.41 1-0
1997-09-07 New York Giants W 40-13 1487.55 1497.48 59.00% 40.10% +23.13 2-0
1997-09-22 Pittsburgh Steelers W 30-21 1510.68 1495.90 62.36% 36.74% +12.24 3-0
1997-09-28 @ Washington Redskins L 12-24 1522.92 1543.00 36.03% 63.07% -13.86 3-1
1997-10-05 Cincinnati Bengals W 21-13 1509.06 1447.91 68.32% 30.78% +9.68 4-1
1997-10-12 Philadelphia Eagles W 38-21 1518.74 1505.01 62.22% 36.88% +16.88 5-1
1997-10-19 @ Dallas Cowboys L 22-26 1535.62 1559.89 35.48% 63.62% -7.88 5-2
1997-10-26 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 17-23 1527.74 1541.40 36.89% 62.21% -10.03 5-3
1997-11-02 @ Tennessee Oilers W 30-24 1517.71 1511.02 39.66% 59.45% +16.11 6-3
1997-11-09 Kansas City Chiefs W 24-10 1533.82 1581.62 53.67% 45.43% +18.85 7-3
1997-11-16 Tennessee Oilers W 17-9 1552.67 1504.17 66.75% 32.35% +10.17 8-3
1997-11-23 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 26-31 1562.84 1421.94 58.70% 40.40% -14.53 8-4
1997-11-30 Baltimore Ravens W 29-27 1548.31 1439.90 73.80% 25.30% +3.99 9-4
1997-12-07 New England Patriots L 20-26 1552.30 1567.41 58.28% 40.82% -15.80 9-5
1997-12-14 @ Buffalo Bills W 20-14 1536.50 1436.95 52.86% 46.24% +12.55 10-5
1997-12-21 @ Oakland Raiders W 20-9 1549.05 1434.69 54.97% 44.13% +16.24 11-5
1997-08-31 @ Denver Broncos L 3-19 1511.33 1541.20 34.75% 64.36% -15.44 0-1
1997-09-08 @ Oakland Raiders W 28-27 1495.89 1505.86 37.39% 61.72% +6.83 1-1
1997-09-14 Buffalo Bills W 22-16 1502.72 1499.84 60.76% 38.35% +10.43 2-1
1997-09-21 @ Carolina Panthers W 35-14 1513.15 1551.32 33.67% 65.43% +33.17 3-1
1997-09-28 Seattle Seahawks W 20-17 1546.32 1471.94 69.92% 29.18% +5.62 4-1
1997-10-05 @ Miami Dolphins L 14-17 1551.94 1498.71 46.21% 52.89% -8.87 4-2
1997-10-16 San Diego Chargers W 31-3 1543.07 1494.64 66.74% 32.36% +19.03 5-2
1997-10-26 @ St. Louis Rams W 28-20 1562.10 1420.75 58.76% 40.34% +12.67 6-2
1997-11-03 Pittsburgh Steelers W 13-10 1574.77 1551.43 63.50% 35.60% +6.85 7-2
1997-11-09 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 10-24 1581.62 1533.82 45.43% 53.67% -18.85 7-3
1997-11-16 Denver Broncos W 24-22 1562.77 1651.80 47.75% 51.35% +8.04 8-3
1997-11-23 @ Seattle Seahawks W 19-14 1570.81 1505.23 47.98% 51.12% +12.66 9-3
1997-11-30 San Francisco 49ers W 44-9 1583.47 1671.04 47.96% 51.14% +33.52 10-3
1997-12-07 Oakland Raiders W 30-0 1616.99 1453.16 79.34% 19.76% +12.05 11-3
1997-12-14 @ San Diego Chargers W 29-7 1629.04 1388.83 71.42% 27.68% +14.44 12-3
1997-12-21 New Orleans Saints W 25-13 1643.48 1389.71 86.31% 12.79% +4.95 13-3
1997-08-31 Indianapolis Colts W 16-10 1500.12 1494.65 61.11% 37.99% +10.33 1-0
1997-09-07 Tennessee Oilers W 16-13 1510.45 1503.64 61.29% 37.81% +7.28 2-0
1997-09-14 @ Green Bay Packers L 18-23 1517.73 1620.35 25.94% 73.16% -6.46 2-1
1997-09-21 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 21-31 1511.27 1533.39 35.76% 63.34% -12.56 2-2
1997-10-05 Kansas City Chiefs W 17-14 1498.71 1551.94 52.89% 46.21% +8.87 3-2
1997-10-12 @ New York Jets W 31-20 1507.58 1498.25 40.02% 59.08% +21.69 4-2
1997-10-19 @ Baltimore Ravens W 24-13 1529.27 1487.84 44.53% 54.57% +20.04 5-2
1997-10-27 Chicago Bears L 33-36 1549.31 1399.68 78.01% 21.09% -14.95 5-3
1997-11-02 @ Buffalo Bills L 6-9 1534.36 1491.48 44.73% 54.37% -8.60 5-4
1997-11-09 New York Jets W 24-17 1525.76 1497.81 64.11% 34.99% +10.29 6-4
1997-11-17 Buffalo Bills W 30-13 1536.05 1473.22 68.53% 30.58% +14.02 7-4
1997-11-23 @ New England Patriots L 24-27 1550.07 1557.14 37.78% 61.33% -7.27 7-5
1997-11-30 @ Oakland Raiders W 34-16 1542.80 1477.18 47.99% 51.11% +24.02 8-5
1997-12-07 Detroit Lions W 33-30 1566.82 1528.36 65.47% 33.63% +6.47 9-5
1997-12-14 @ Indianapolis Colts L 0-41 1573.29 1371.05 66.84% 32.26% -47.34 9-6
1997-12-22 New England Patriots L 12-14 1525.95 1571.91 53.93% 45.17% -8.45 9-7
1997-08-31 @ Buffalo Bills W 34-13 1498.73 1515.62 36.46% 62.64% +31.76 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Chicago Bears W 27-24 1530.49 1483.00 45.39% 53.71% +10.30 2-0
1997-09-14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 14-28 1540.79 1506.51 64.93% 34.17% -26.87 2-1
1997-09-21 @ Green Bay Packers L 32-38 1513.92 1626.80 24.82% 74.28% -6.77 2-2
1997-09-28 Philadelphia Eagles W 28-19 1507.15 1497.18 61.72% 37.39% +12.45 3-2
1997-10-05 @ Arizona Cardinals W 20-19 1519.60 1450.19 48.53% 50.57% +5.61 4-2
1997-10-12 Carolina Panthers W 21-14 1525.21 1497.67 64.05% 35.05% +10.30 5-2
1997-10-26 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 10-6 1535.51 1509.50 42.35% 56.76% +12.56 6-2
1997-11-02 New England Patriots W 23-18 1548.07 1563.24 58.27% 40.83% +10.13 7-2
1997-11-09 Chicago Bears W 29-22 1558.20 1389.97 79.74% 19.36% +5.71 8-2
1997-11-16 @ Detroit Lions L 15-38 1563.91 1474.06 51.47% 47.63% -27.34 8-3
1997-11-23 @ New York Jets L 21-23 1536.57 1501.86 43.57% 55.53% -6.84 8-4
1997-12-01 Green Bay Packers L 11-27 1529.73 1662.29 41.56% 57.54% -18.44 8-5
1997-12-07 @ San Francisco 49ers L 17-28 1511.29 1637.53 23.41% 75.69% -8.65 8-6
1997-12-14 Detroit Lions L 13-14 1502.64 1521.89 57.70% 41.40% -6.38 8-7
1997-12-21 Indianapolis Colts W 39-28 1496.26 1418.40 70.33% 28.77% +10.61 9-7
1997-08-31 San Diego Chargers W 41-7 1541.72 1488.70 67.31% 31.79% +20.61 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Indianapolis Colts W 31-6 1562.33 1484.31 49.77% 49.33% +27.33 2-0
1997-09-14 New York Jets W 27-24 1589.66 1457.71 76.27% 22.83% +4.40 3-0
1997-09-21 Chicago Bears W 31-3 1594.06 1438.83 78.55% 20.56% +12.11 4-0
1997-10-06 @ Denver Broncos L 13-34 1606.17 1614.10 37.66% 61.44% -19.16 4-1
1997-10-12 Buffalo Bills W 33-6 1587.01 1507.12 70.57% 28.53% +16.49 5-1
1997-10-19 @ New York Jets L 19-24 1603.50 1476.57 56.75% 42.35% -14.05 5-2
1997-10-27 Green Bay Packers L 10-28 1589.45 1622.15 55.81% 43.29% -26.21 5-3
1997-11-02 @ Minnesota Vikings L 18-23 1563.24 1548.07 40.83% 58.27% -10.13 5-4
1997-11-09 @ Buffalo Bills W 31-10 1553.11 1500.07 46.18% 52.92% +26.85 6-4
1997-11-16 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 7-27 1579.96 1528.05 46.02% 53.08% -22.82 6-5
1997-11-23 Miami Dolphins W 27-24 1557.14 1550.07 61.33% 37.78% +7.27 7-5
1997-11-30 Indianapolis Colts W 20-17 1564.41 1349.77 83.58% 15.53% +3.00 8-5
1997-12-07 @ Jacksonville Jaguars W 26-20 1567.41 1552.30 40.82% 58.28% +15.80 9-5
1997-12-13 Pittsburgh Steelers L 21-24 1583.21 1593.76 58.91% 40.19% -11.30 9-6
1997-12-22 @ Miami Dolphins W 14-12 1571.91 1525.95 45.17% 53.93% +8.45 10-6
1997-08-31 @ St. Louis Rams L 24-38 1439.32 1456.25 36.45% 62.65% -15.15 0-1
1997-09-07 San Diego Chargers L 6-20 1424.17 1468.10 54.22% 44.88% -22.46 0-2
1997-09-14 @ San Francisco 49ers L 7-33 1401.71 1559.58 20.31% 78.79% -11.54 0-3
1997-09-21 Detroit Lions W 35-17 1390.17 1500.27 44.73% 54.37% +25.54 1-3
1997-09-28 @ New York Giants L 9-14 1415.71 1453.22 33.75% 65.35% -8.39 1-4
1997-10-05 @ Chicago Bears W 20-17 1407.32 1414.85 37.72% 61.39% +11.77 2-4
1997-10-12 Atlanta Falcons L 17-23 1419.09 1387.70 64.56% 34.55% -17.49 2-5
1997-10-19 Carolina Panthers L 0-13 1401.60 1487.37 48.21% 50.89% -19.27 2-6
1997-10-26 San Francisco 49ers L 0-23 1382.33 1622.66 27.66% 71.44% -14.76 2-7
1997-11-09 @ Oakland Raiders W 13-10 1367.57 1469.83 25.98% 73.12% +14.01 3-7
1997-11-16 Seattle Seahawks W 20-17 1381.58 1516.32 41.26% 57.84% +11.09 4-7
1997-11-23 @ Atlanta Falcons L 3-20 1392.67 1389.98 39.11% 59.99% -17.90 4-8
1997-11-30 @ Carolina Panthers W 16-13 1374.77 1521.69 21.35% 77.75% +14.90 5-8
1997-12-07 St. Louis Rams L 27-34 1389.67 1382.60 61.33% 37.78% -17.95 5-9
1997-12-14 Arizona Cardinals W 27-10 1371.72 1375.85 59.80% 39.30% +17.99 6-9
1997-12-21 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 13-25 1389.71 1643.48 12.79% 86.31% -4.95 6-10
1997-08-31 Philadelphia Eagles W 31-17 1479.52 1512.13 55.82% 43.28% +17.96 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 13-40 1497.48 1487.55 40.10% 59.00% -23.13 1-1
1997-09-14 Baltimore Ravens L 23-24 1474.35 1475.89 60.15% 38.95% -6.66 1-2
1997-09-21 @ St. Louis Rams L 3-13 1467.69 1449.54 41.25% 57.86% -14.47 1-3
1997-09-28 New Orleans Saints W 14-9 1453.22 1415.71 65.35% 33.75% +8.39 2-3
1997-10-05 Dallas Cowboys W 20-17 1461.61 1581.36 43.36% 55.74% +10.69 3-3
1997-10-12 @ Arizona Cardinals W 27-13 1472.30 1444.59 42.58% 56.52% +23.40 4-3
1997-10-19 @ Detroit Lions W 26-20 1495.70 1515.97 36.01% 63.09% +17.10 5-3
1997-10-26 Cincinnati Bengals W 29-27 1512.80 1397.47 74.54% 24.56% +3.87 6-3
1997-11-09 @ Tennessee Oilers L 6-10 1516.67 1494.91 41.75% 57.35% -9.27 6-4
1997-11-16 Arizona Cardinals W 19-10 1507.40 1395.20 74.21% 24.89% +8.31 7-4
1997-11-23 @ Washington Redskins T 7-7 1515.71 1548.00 34.43% 64.67% +0.84 7-4
1997-11-30 Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 8-20 1516.55 1533.49 58.02% 41.08% -22.25 7-5
1997-12-07 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 31-21 1494.30 1482.07 40.42% 58.68% +20.54 8-5
1997-12-13 Washington Redskins W 30-10 1514.84 1545.83 56.05% 43.05% +21.35 9-5
1997-12-21 @ Dallas Cowboys W 20-7 1536.19 1492.17 44.89% 54.21% +21.64 10-5
1997-08-31 @ Seattle Seahawks W 41-3 1426.43 1495.65 29.80% 69.30% +47.26 1-0
1997-09-07 Buffalo Bills L 22-28 1473.69 1483.85 58.97% 40.14% -15.98 1-1
1997-09-14 @ New England Patriots L 24-27 1457.71 1589.66 22.83% 76.27% -4.41 1-2
1997-09-21 Oakland Raiders W 23-22 1453.30 1511.27 52.21% 46.89% +5.20 2-2
1997-09-28 @ Cincinnati Bengals W 31-14 1458.50 1476.56 36.30% 62.80% +28.65 3-2
1997-10-05 @ Indianapolis Colts W 16-12 1487.15 1414.52 49.00% 50.11% +11.10 4-2
1997-10-12 Miami Dolphins L 20-31 1498.25 1507.58 59.08% 40.02% -21.68 4-3
1997-10-19 New England Patriots W 24-19 1476.57 1603.50 42.35% 56.75% +14.04 5-3
1997-11-02 Baltimore Ravens W 19-16 1490.61 1480.82 61.69% 37.41% +7.20 6-3
1997-11-09 @ Miami Dolphins L 17-24 1497.81 1525.76 34.99% 64.11% -10.29 6-4
1997-11-16 @ Chicago Bears W 23-15 1487.52 1384.26 53.39% 45.71% +14.34 7-4
1997-11-23 Minnesota Vikings W 23-21 1501.86 1536.57 55.53% 43.57% +6.83 8-4
1997-11-30 @ Buffalo Bills L 10-20 1508.69 1443.58 47.91% 51.19% -16.79 8-5
1997-12-07 Indianapolis Colts L 14-22 1491.90 1346.78 77.58% 21.52% -24.28 8-6
1997-12-14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 31-0 1467.62 1540.06 50.13% 48.97% +30.21 9-6
1997-12-21 @ Detroit Lions L 10-13 1497.83 1528.27 34.67% 64.43% -6.67 9-7
1997-08-31 @ Tennessee Oilers L 21-24 1513.78 1495.72 41.23% 57.87% -7.92 0-1
1997-09-08 Kansas City Chiefs L 27-28 1505.86 1495.89 61.72% 37.39% -6.83 0-2
1997-09-14 @ Atlanta Falcons W 36-31 1499.03 1421.45 49.71% 49.39% +12.24 1-2
1997-09-21 @ New York Jets L 22-23 1511.27 1453.30 46.89% 52.21% -5.20 1-3
1997-09-28 St. Louis Rams W 35-17 1506.07 1464.01 65.93% 33.17% +15.64 2-3
1997-10-05 San Diego Chargers L 10-25 1521.71 1465.64 67.69% 31.41% -29.00 2-4
1997-10-19 Denver Broncos W 28-25 1492.71 1633.27 40.45% 58.65% +11.24 3-4
1997-10-26 @ Seattle Seahawks L 34-45 1503.95 1490.63 40.57% 58.53% -14.94 3-5
1997-11-02 @ Carolina Panthers L 14-38 1489.01 1515.00 35.25% 63.85% -19.18 3-6
1997-11-09 New Orleans Saints L 10-13 1469.83 1367.57 73.12% 25.98% -14.01 3-7
1997-11-16 @ San Diego Chargers W 38-13 1455.82 1457.45 38.52% 60.59% +33.52 4-7
1997-11-24 @ Denver Broncos L 3-31 1489.34 1643.76 20.63% 78.47% -12.16 4-8
1997-11-30 Miami Dolphins L 16-34 1477.18 1542.80 51.11% 47.99% -24.02 4-9
1997-12-07 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 0-30 1453.16 1616.99 19.76% 79.34% -12.06 4-10
1997-12-14 Seattle Seahawks L 21-22 1441.10 1458.92 57.90% 41.20% -6.41 4-11
1997-12-21 Jacksonville Jaguars L 9-20 1434.69 1549.05 44.13% 54.97% -16.23 4-12
1997-08-31 @ New York Giants L 17-31 1512.13 1479.52 43.28% 55.82% -17.96 0-1
1997-09-07 Green Bay Packers W 10-9 1494.17 1626.71 41.56% 57.54% +6.37 1-1
1997-09-15 @ Dallas Cowboys L 20-21 1500.54 1566.14 30.24% 68.86% -3.36 1-2
1997-09-28 @ Minnesota Vikings L 19-28 1497.18 1507.15 37.39% 61.72% -12.46 1-3
1997-10-05 Washington Redskins W 24-10 1484.72 1556.86 50.18% 48.92% +20.29 2-3
1997-10-12 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 21-38 1505.01 1518.74 36.88% 62.22% -16.89 2-4
1997-10-19 Arizona Cardinals W 13-10 1488.12 1421.18 69.03% 30.08% +5.79 3-4
1997-10-26 Dallas Cowboys W 13-12 1493.91 1567.77 49.93% 49.17% +5.45 4-4
1997-11-02 @ Arizona Cardinals L 21-31 1499.36 1386.02 54.83% 44.27% -19.19 4-5
1997-11-10 San Francisco 49ers L 12-24 1480.17 1645.98 37.00% 62.10% -14.24 4-6
1997-11-16 @ Baltimore Ravens T 10-10 1465.93 1453.61 40.43% 58.67% +0.51 4-6
1997-11-23 Pittsburgh Steelers W 23-20 1466.44 1575.07 44.94% 54.16% +10.38 5-6
1997-11-30 Cincinnati Bengals W 44-42 1476.82 1436.47 65.71% 33.39% +5.25 6-6
1997-12-07 New York Giants L 21-31 1482.07 1494.30 58.68% 40.42% -20.54 6-7
1997-12-14 @ Atlanta Falcons L 17-20 1461.53 1449.91 40.34% 58.76% -7.75 6-8
1997-12-21 @ Washington Redskins L 32-35 1453.78 1524.47 29.62% 69.48% -5.71 6-9
1997-08-31 Dallas Cowboys L 7-37 1526.12 1541.72 58.21% 40.89% -35.28 0-1
1997-09-07 Washington Redskins W 14-13 1490.84 1540.09 53.46% 45.64% +5.06 1-1
1997-09-22 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 21-30 1495.90 1510.68 36.74% 62.36% -12.24 1-2
1997-09-28 Tennessee Oilers W 37-24 1483.66 1461.26 63.38% 35.73% +14.31 2-2
1997-10-05 @ Baltimore Ravens W 42-34 1497.97 1507.11 37.50% 61.61% +19.28 3-2
1997-10-12 Indianapolis Colts W 24-22 1517.25 1403.42 74.38% 24.72% +3.89 4-2
1997-10-19 @ Cincinnati Bengals W 26-10 1521.14 1417.73 53.41% 45.69% +20.26 5-2
1997-10-26 Jacksonville Jaguars W 23-17 1541.40 1527.74 62.21% 36.89% +10.03 6-2
1997-11-03 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 10-13 1551.43 1574.77 35.60% 63.50% -6.85 6-3
1997-11-09 Baltimore Ravens W 37-0 1544.58 1473.63 69.51% 29.59% +20.02 7-3
1997-11-16 Cincinnati Bengals W 20-3 1564.60 1432.41 76.30% 22.81% +10.47 8-3
1997-11-23 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 20-23 1575.07 1466.44 54.16% 44.94% -10.39 8-4
1997-11-30 @ Arizona Cardinals W 26-20 1564.68 1400.10 61.94% 37.17% +10.11 9-4
1997-12-07 Denver Broncos W 35-24 1574.79 1665.83 47.46% 51.64% +18.97 10-4
1997-12-13 @ New England Patriots W 24-21 1593.76 1583.21 40.19% 58.91% +11.29 11-4
1997-12-21 @ Tennessee Oilers L 6-16 1605.05 1497.87 53.95% 45.15% -18.89 11-5
1997-08-31 @ New England Patriots L 7-41 1488.70 1541.72 31.79% 67.31% -20.60 0-1
1997-09-07 @ New Orleans Saints W 20-6 1468.10 1424.17 44.88% 54.22% +22.46 1-1
1997-09-14 Carolina Panthers L 7-26 1490.56 1524.47 55.64% 43.46% -26.85 1-2
1997-09-21 @ Seattle Seahawks L 22-26 1463.71 1463.32 38.79% 60.31% -8.61 1-3
1997-09-28 Baltimore Ravens W 21-17 1455.10 1517.65 51.55% 47.55% +10.54 2-3
1997-10-05 @ Oakland Raiders W 25-10 1465.64 1521.71 31.41% 67.69% +29.00 3-3
1997-10-16 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 3-31 1494.64 1543.07 32.36% 66.74% -19.03 3-4
1997-10-26 Indianapolis Colts W 35-19 1475.61 1390.42 71.19% 27.91% +12.42 4-4
1997-11-02 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 31-38 1488.03 1393.61 52.13% 46.97% -15.28 4-5
1997-11-09 Seattle Seahawks L 31-37 1472.75 1501.02 56.44% 42.66% -15.30 4-6
1997-11-16 Oakland Raiders L 13-38 1457.45 1455.82 60.59% 38.52% -33.52 4-7
1997-11-23 @ San Francisco 49ers L 10-17 1423.93 1667.06 13.49% 85.61% -3.98 4-8
1997-11-30 Denver Broncos L 28-38 1419.95 1655.92 28.17% 70.93% -9.91 4-9
1997-12-07 Atlanta Falcons L 3-14 1410.04 1428.70 57.79% 41.32% -21.21 4-10
1997-12-14 Kansas City Chiefs L 7-29 1388.83 1629.04 27.68% 71.42% -14.44 4-11
1997-12-21 @ Denver Broncos L 3-38 1374.39 1629.08 12.74% 86.37% -8.41 4-12
1997-08-31 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 6-13 1565.28 1473.90 51.69% 47.41% -15.15 0-1
1997-09-07 @ St. Louis Rams W 15-12 1550.13 1471.40 49.87% 49.23% +9.45 1-1
1997-09-14 New Orleans Saints W 33-7 1559.58 1401.71 78.79% 20.31% +11.54 2-1
1997-09-21 Atlanta Falcons W 34-7 1571.12 1409.21 79.17% 19.93% +11.54 3-1
1997-09-29 @ Carolina Panthers W 34-21 1582.66 1518.15 47.83% 51.27% +20.47 4-1
1997-10-12 St. Louis Rams W 30-10 1603.13 1448.37 78.50% 20.60% +10.26 5-1
1997-10-19 @ Atlanta Falcons W 35-28 1613.39 1405.19 67.59% 31.51% +9.27 6-1
1997-10-26 @ New Orleans Saints W 23-0 1622.66 1382.33 71.44% 27.66% +14.76 7-1
1997-11-02 Dallas Cowboys W 17-10 1637.42 1562.33 70.00% 29.10% +8.56 8-1
1997-11-10 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 24-12 1645.98 1480.17 62.10% 37.00% +14.23 9-1
1997-11-16 Carolina Panthers W 27-19 1660.21 1517.21 77.37% 21.73% +6.85 10-1
1997-11-23 San Diego Chargers W 17-10 1667.06 1423.93 85.61% 13.49% +3.98 11-1
1997-11-30 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 9-44 1671.04 1583.47 51.14% 47.96% -33.51 11-2
1997-12-07 Minnesota Vikings W 28-17 1637.53 1511.29 75.69% 23.41% +8.64 12-2
1997-12-15 Denver Broncos W 34-17 1646.17 1646.86 60.27% 38.83% +17.78 13-2
1997-12-21 @ Seattle Seahawks L 9-38 1663.95 1465.33 66.38% 32.72% -39.55 13-3
1997-08-31 New York Jets L 3-41 1495.65 1426.43 69.30% 29.80% -47.26 0-1
1997-09-07 Denver Broncos L 14-35 1448.39 1556.64 45.00% 54.10% -22.86 0-2
1997-09-14 @ Indianapolis Colts W 31-3 1425.53 1456.98 34.54% 64.56% +37.79 1-2
1997-09-21 San Diego Chargers W 26-22 1463.32 1463.71 60.31% 38.79% +8.62 2-2
1997-09-28 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 17-20 1471.94 1546.32 29.18% 69.92% -5.62 2-3
1997-10-05 Tennessee Oilers W 16-13 1466.32 1446.95 62.97% 36.13% +6.95 3-3
1997-10-19 @ St. Louis Rams W 17-9 1473.27 1438.11 43.64% 55.47% +17.36 4-3
1997-10-26 Oakland Raiders W 45-34 1490.63 1503.95 58.53% 40.57% +14.94 5-3
1997-11-02 @ Denver Broncos L 27-30 1505.57 1630.29 23.57% 75.53% -4.55 5-4
1997-11-09 @ San Diego Chargers W 37-31 1501.02 1472.75 42.66% 56.44% +15.30 6-4
1997-11-16 @ New Orleans Saints L 17-20 1516.32 1381.58 57.84% 41.26% -11.09 6-5
1997-11-23 Kansas City Chiefs L 14-19 1505.23 1570.81 51.12% 47.98% -12.66 6-6
1997-11-30 Atlanta Falcons L 17-24 1492.57 1407.88 71.13% 27.97% -20.82 6-7
1997-12-07 @ Baltimore Ravens L 24-31 1471.75 1435.92 43.73% 55.37% -12.83 6-8
1997-12-14 @ Oakland Raiders W 22-21 1458.92 1441.10 41.20% 57.90% +6.41 7-8
1997-12-21 San Francisco 49ers W 38-9 1465.33 1663.95 32.72% 66.38% +39.55 8-8
1997-08-31 New Orleans Saints W 38-24 1456.25 1439.32 62.65% 36.45% +15.15 1-0
1997-09-07 San Francisco 49ers L 12-15 1471.40 1550.13 49.23% 49.87% -9.45 1-1
1997-09-14 @ Denver Broncos L 14-35 1461.95 1579.50 24.32% 74.78% -12.41 1-2
1997-09-21 New York Giants W 13-3 1449.54 1467.69 57.86% 41.25% +14.47 2-2
1997-09-28 @ Oakland Raiders L 17-35 1464.01 1506.07 33.17% 65.93% -15.64 2-3
1997-10-12 @ San Francisco 49ers L 10-30 1448.37 1603.13 20.60% 78.50% -10.26 2-4
1997-10-19 Seattle Seahawks L 9-17 1438.11 1473.27 55.47% 43.64% -17.36 2-5
1997-10-26 Kansas City Chiefs L 20-28 1420.75 1562.10 40.34% 58.76% -12.67 2-6
1997-11-02 @ Atlanta Falcons L 31-34 1408.08 1387.56 41.58% 57.52% -7.99 2-7
1997-11-09 @ Green Bay Packers L 7-17 1400.09 1655.79 12.67% 86.43% -4.47 2-8
1997-11-16 Atlanta Falcons L 21-27 1395.62 1372.79 63.43% 35.67% -17.19 2-9
1997-11-23 Carolina Panthers L 10-16 1378.43 1510.37 41.65% 57.45% -11.32 2-10
1997-11-30 @ Washington Redskins W 23-20 1367.11 1547.17 18.32% 80.78% +15.49 3-10
1997-12-07 @ New Orleans Saints W 34-27 1382.60 1389.67 37.78% 61.33% +17.95 4-10
1997-12-14 Chicago Bears L 10-13 1400.55 1395.26 61.08% 38.02% -11.71 4-11
1997-12-20 @ Carolina Panthers W 30-18 1388.84 1510.17 23.93% 75.18% +28.81 5-11
1997-08-31 San Francisco 49ers W 13-6 1473.90 1565.28 47.41% 51.69% +15.14 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Detroit Lions W 24-17 1489.04 1483.87 39.45% 59.65% +17.47 2-0
1997-09-14 @ Minnesota Vikings W 28-14 1506.51 1540.79 34.17% 64.93% +26.88 3-0
1997-09-21 Miami Dolphins W 31-21 1533.39 1511.27 63.34% 35.76% +12.56 4-0
1997-09-28 Arizona Cardinals W 19-18 1545.95 1453.20 72.06% 27.05% +3.01 5-0
1997-10-05 @ Green Bay Packers L 16-21 1548.96 1611.12 30.66% 68.44% -7.62 5-1
1997-10-12 Detroit Lions L 9-27 1541.34 1484.14 67.83% 31.27% -31.84 5-2
1997-10-26 Minnesota Vikings L 6-10 1509.50 1535.51 56.76% 42.35% -12.56 5-3
1997-11-02 @ Indianapolis Colts W 31-28 1496.94 1378.00 55.62% 43.48% +8.35 6-3
1997-11-09 @ Atlanta Falcons W 31-10 1505.29 1395.55 54.32% 44.78% +22.76 7-3
1997-11-16 New England Patriots W 27-7 1528.05 1579.96 53.08% 46.02% +22.81 8-3
1997-11-23 @ Chicago Bears L 7-13 1550.86 1369.93 64.11% 35.00% -17.37 8-4
1997-11-30 @ New York Giants W 20-8 1533.49 1516.55 41.08% 58.02% +22.25 9-4
1997-12-07 Green Bay Packers L 6-17 1555.74 1680.74 42.62% 56.48% -15.68 9-5
1997-12-14 @ New York Jets L 0-31 1540.06 1467.62 48.97% 50.13% -30.21 9-6
1997-12-21 Chicago Bears W 31-15 1509.85 1406.97 73.19% 25.91% +11.53 10-6
1997-08-31 Oakland Raiders W 24-21 1495.72 1513.78 57.87% 41.23% +7.92 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Miami Dolphins L 13-16 1503.64 1510.45 37.81% 61.29% -7.27 1-1
1997-09-21 Baltimore Ravens L 10-36 1496.37 1482.54 62.23% 36.87% -35.11 1-2
1997-09-28 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 24-37 1461.26 1483.66 35.73% 63.38% -14.31 1-3
1997-10-05 @ Seattle Seahawks L 13-16 1446.95 1466.32 36.13% 62.97% -6.95 1-4
1997-10-12 Cincinnati Bengals W 30-7 1440.00 1438.23 60.60% 38.50% +20.50 2-4
1997-10-19 Washington Redskins W 28-14 1460.50 1547.36 48.06% 51.04% +21.15 3-4
1997-10-26 @ Arizona Cardinals W 41-14 1481.65 1415.39 48.08% 51.02% +29.37 4-4
1997-11-02 Jacksonville Jaguars L 24-30 1511.02 1517.71 59.45% 39.66% -16.11 4-5
1997-11-09 New York Giants W 10-6 1494.91 1516.67 57.35% 41.75% +9.26 5-5
1997-11-16 @ Jacksonville Jaguars L 9-17 1504.17 1552.67 32.35% 66.75% -10.17 5-6
1997-11-23 Buffalo Bills W 31-14 1494.00 1459.20 65.00% 34.10% +15.62 6-6
1997-11-27 @ Dallas Cowboys W 27-14 1509.62 1553.81 32.90% 66.20% +26.41 7-6
1997-12-04 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 14-41 1536.03 1431.22 53.61% 45.49% -30.85 7-7
1997-12-14 @ Baltimore Ravens L 19-21 1505.18 1448.75 46.67% 52.43% -7.31 7-8
1997-12-21 Pittsburgh Steelers W 16-6 1497.87 1605.05 45.15% 53.95% +18.89 8-8
1997-08-31 @ Carolina Panthers W 24-10 1513.54 1541.73 34.96% 64.14% +26.55 1-0
1997-09-07 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 13-14 1540.09 1490.84 45.64% 53.46% -5.06 1-1
1997-09-14 Arizona Cardinals W 19-13 1535.03 1461.16 69.86% 29.24% +7.97 2-1
1997-09-28 Jacksonville Jaguars W 24-12 1543.00 1522.92 63.07% 36.03% +13.86 3-1
1997-10-05 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 10-24 1556.86 1484.72 48.92% 50.18% -20.28 3-2
1997-10-13 Dallas Cowboys W 21-16 1536.58 1570.68 55.61% 43.49% +10.78 4-2
1997-10-19 @ Tennessee Oilers L 14-28 1547.36 1460.50 51.04% 48.06% -21.15 4-3
1997-10-26 Baltimore Ravens L 17-20 1526.21 1467.80 67.98% 31.12% -13.03 4-4
1997-11-02 @ Chicago Bears W 31-8 1513.18 1414.63 52.72% 46.38% +24.66 5-4
1997-11-09 Detroit Lions W 30-7 1537.84 1491.44 66.48% 32.62% +17.39 6-4
1997-11-16 @ Dallas Cowboys L 14-17 1555.23 1563.78 37.58% 61.52% -7.23 6-5
1997-11-23 New York Giants T 7-7 1548.00 1515.71 64.67% 34.43% -0.83 6-5
1997-11-30 St. Louis Rams L 20-23 1547.17 1367.11 80.78% 18.32% -15.48 6-6
1997-12-07 @ Arizona Cardinals W 38-28 1531.69 1389.99 58.81% 40.29% +14.14 7-6
1997-12-13 @ New York Giants L 10-30 1545.83 1514.84 43.05% 56.05% -21.36 7-7
1997-12-21 Philadelphia Eagles W 35-32 1524.47 1453.78 69.48% 29.62% +5.71 8-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1997-12-27 Jacksonville Jaguars W 42-17 1637.49 1565.29 70.18% 29.82% +16.37 1-0
1998-01-04 @ Kansas City Chiefs W 14-10 1653.86 1648.43 39.91% 60.09% +13.19 2-0
1998-01-11 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 24-21 1667.05 1590.57 50.00% 50.00% +9.51 3-0
1998-01-25 @ Green Bay Packers W 31-24 1676.56 1745.38 40.22% 59.78% +17.37 4-0
1997-12-28 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 10-20 1534.95 1521.38 41.04% 58.96% -14.26 0-1
1998-01-04 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 21-7 1718.88 1535.63 81.69% 18.31% +7.52 1-0
1998-01-11 @ San Francisco 49ers W 23-10 1726.40 1635.58 52.06% 47.94% +18.98 2-0
1998-01-25 Denver Broncos L 24-31 1745.38 1676.56 59.78% 40.22% -17.37 2-1
1997-12-27 @ Denver Broncos L 17-42 1565.29 1637.49 29.82% 70.18% -16.37 0-1
1998-01-04 Denver Broncos L 10-14 1648.43 1653.86 60.09% 39.91% -13.20 0-1
1997-12-28 @ New England Patriots L 3-17 1517.50 1580.36 30.96% 69.04% -12.72 0-1
1997-12-27 @ New York Giants W 23-22 1506.87 1557.83 32.44% 67.56% +7.42 1-0
1998-01-03 @ San Francisco 49ers L 22-38 1514.29 1624.40 25.46% 74.54% -11.19 1-1
1997-12-28 Miami Dolphins W 17-3 1580.36 1517.50 69.04% 30.96% +12.72 1-0
1998-01-03 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 6-7 1593.08 1586.16 40.12% 59.88% -4.41 1-1
1997-12-27 Minnesota Vikings L 22-23 1557.83 1506.87 67.56% 32.44% -7.42 0-1
1998-01-03 New England Patriots W 7-6 1586.16 1593.08 59.88% 40.12% +4.41 1-0
1998-01-11 Denver Broncos L 21-24 1590.57 1667.05 50.00% 50.00% -9.51 1-1
1998-01-03 Minnesota Vikings W 38-22 1624.40 1514.29 74.54% 25.46% +11.18 1-0
1998-01-11 Green Bay Packers L 10-23 1635.58 1726.40 47.94% 52.06% -18.98 1-1
1997-12-28 Detroit Lions W 20-10 1521.38 1534.95 58.96% 41.04% +14.25 1-0
1998-01-04 @ Green Bay Packers L 7-21 1535.63 1718.88 18.31% 81.69% -7.53 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-11-30 18.32% St. Louis Rams 1367.11 23 @ Washington Redskins 1547.17 20
2 1997-11-16 20.00% @ Indianapolis Colts 1346.11 41 Green Bay Packers 1660.26 38
3 1997-10-27 21.09% Chicago Bears 1399.68 36 @ Miami Dolphins 1549.31 33
4 1997-11-30 21.35% New Orleans Saints 1374.77 16 @ Carolina Panthers 1521.69 13
5 1997-12-07 21.52% Indianapolis Colts 1346.78 22 @ New York Jets 1491.90 14
6 1997-12-20 23.93% St. Louis Rams 1388.84 30 @ Carolina Panthers 1510.17 18
7 1997-11-09 25.98% New Orleans Saints 1367.57 13 @ Oakland Raiders 1469.83 10
8 1997-11-30 27.97% Atlanta Falcons 1407.88 24 @ Seattle Seahawks 1492.57 17
9 1997-08-31 29.80% New York Jets 1426.43 41 @ Seattle Seahawks 1495.65 3
10 1997-11-23 30.16% Arizona Cardinals 1386.89 16 @ Baltimore Ravens 1453.11 13
11 1997-10-26 31.12% Baltimore Ravens 1467.80 20 @ Washington Redskins 1526.21 17
12 1997-10-12 31.27% Detroit Lions 1484.14 27 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1541.34 9
13 1997-10-05 31.41% San Diego Chargers 1465.64 25 @ Oakland Raiders 1521.71 10
14 1997-12-14 32.26% @ Indianapolis Colts 1371.05 41 Miami Dolphins 1573.29 0
15 1997-12-27 * 32.44% Minnesota Vikings 1506.87 23 @ New York Giants 1557.83 22
16 1997-12-21 32.72% @ Seattle Seahawks 1465.33 38 San Francisco 49ers 1663.95 9
17 1997-11-27 32.90% Tennessee Oilers 1509.62 27 @ Dallas Cowboys 1553.81 14
18 1997-09-21 33.67% Kansas City Chiefs 1513.15 35 @ Carolina Panthers 1551.32 14
19 1997-09-14 34.17% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1506.51 28 @ Minnesota Vikings 1540.79 14
20 1997-09-14 34.54% Seattle Seahawks 1425.53 31 @ Indianapolis Colts 1456.98 3
21 1997-10-12 34.55% Atlanta Falcons 1387.70 23 @ New Orleans Saints 1419.09 17
22 1997-08-31 34.96% Washington Redskins 1513.54 24 @ Carolina Panthers 1541.73 10
23 1997-11-23 35.00% @ Chicago Bears 1369.93 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1550.86 7
24 1997-11-16 35.67% Atlanta Falcons 1372.79 27 @ St. Louis Rams 1395.62 21
25 1997-12-08 35.96% Carolina Panthers 1506.79 23 @ Dallas Cowboys 1527.40 13

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-12-14 47.35 @ Indianapolis Colts 41 1371.05 32.26% Miami Dolphins 0 1573.29 66.84%
2 1997-08-31 47.26 New York Jets 41 1426.43 29.80% @ Seattle Seahawks 3 1495.65 69.30%
3 1997-12-21 39.55 @ Seattle Seahawks 38 1465.33 32.72% San Francisco 49ers 9 1663.95 66.38%
4 1997-09-14 37.79 Seattle Seahawks 31 1425.53 34.54% @ Indianapolis Colts 3 1456.98 64.56%
5 1997-08-31 35.29 Dallas Cowboys 37 1541.72 40.89% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1526.12 58.21%
6 1997-09-21 35.11 Baltimore Ravens 36 1482.54 36.87% @ Tennessee Oilers 10 1496.37 62.23%
7 1997-09-14 33.87 Detroit Lions 32 1466.40 37.88% @ Chicago Bears 7 1472.70 61.22%
8 1997-11-16 33.52 Oakland Raiders 38 1455.82 38.52% @ San Diego Chargers 13 1457.45 60.59%
9 1997-11-30 33.52 @ Kansas City Chiefs 44 1583.47 47.96% San Francisco 49ers 9 1671.04 51.14%
10 1997-09-21 33.17 Kansas City Chiefs 35 1513.15 33.67% @ Carolina Panthers 14 1551.32 65.43%
11 1997-10-12 31.84 Detroit Lions 27 1484.14 31.27% @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9 1541.34 67.83%
12 1997-08-31 31.77 Minnesota Vikings 34 1498.73 36.46% @ Buffalo Bills 13 1515.62 62.64%
13 1997-12-04 30.85 @ Cincinnati Bengals 41 1431.22 45.49% Tennessee Oilers 14 1536.03 53.61%
14 1997-12-14 30.21 @ New York Jets 31 1467.62 50.13% Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 1540.06 48.97%
15 1997-10-26 29.37 Tennessee Oilers 41 1481.65 48.08% @ Arizona Cardinals 14 1415.39 51.02%
16 1997-10-05 29.00 San Diego Chargers 25 1465.64 31.41% @ Oakland Raiders 10 1521.71 67.69%
17 1997-12-20 28.81 St. Louis Rams 30 1388.84 23.93% @ Carolina Panthers 18 1510.17 75.18%
18 1997-09-28 28.65 New York Jets 31 1458.50 36.30% @ Cincinnati Bengals 14 1476.56 62.80%
19 1997-11-16 27.34 @ Detroit Lions 38 1474.06 47.63% Minnesota Vikings 15 1563.91 51.47%
20 1997-09-07 27.33 New England Patriots 31 1562.33 49.77% @ Indianapolis Colts 6 1484.31 49.33%
21 1997-09-14 26.88 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28 1506.51 34.17% @ Minnesota Vikings 14 1540.79 64.93%
22 1997-11-09 26.85 New England Patriots 31 1553.11 46.18% @ Buffalo Bills 10 1500.07 52.92%
23 1997-09-14 26.85 Carolina Panthers 26 1524.47 43.46% @ San Diego Chargers 7 1490.56 55.64%
24 1997-08-31 26.55 Washington Redskins 24 1513.54 34.96% @ Carolina Panthers 10 1541.73 64.14%
25 1997-11-27 26.41 Tennessee Oilers 27 1509.62 32.90% @ Dallas Cowboys 14 1553.81 66.20%