1996 NFL Season

240 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1967

Runner-Up

New England Patriots

2nd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1985

Biggest Overachiever

Carolina Panthers

3.53 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.47 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New Orleans Saints

3.74 wins below expected

3 wins · 6.74 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	10	6	.625	-	344	257	+87	9.95	+0.05
2	Jacksonville Jaguars Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	325	335	-10	6.90	+2.10
3	Houston Oilers	8	8	.500	2	345	319	+26	9.07	-1.07
4	Cincinnati Bengals	8	8	.500	2	372	369	+3	7.19	+0.81
5	Baltimore Ravens	4	12	.250	6	371	441	-70	6.85	-2.85

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	11	5	.688	-	418	313	+105	8.89	+2.11
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	319	266	+53	8.81	+1.19
3	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	9	7	.562	2	317	334	-17	8.05	+0.95
4	Miami Dolphins	8	8	.500	3	339	325	+14	8.74	-0.74
5	New York Jets	1	15	.062	10	279	454	-175	4.63	-3.63

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	13	3	.812	-	391	275	+116	10.00	+3.00
2	Kansas City Chiefs	9	7	.562	4	297	300	-3	9.21	-0.21
3	San Diego Chargers	8	8	.500	5	310	376	-66	7.68	+0.32
4	Oakland Raiders	7	9	.438	6	340	293	+47	8.15	-1.15
5	Seattle Seahawks	7	9	.438	6	317	376	-59	6.46	+0.54

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	.812	-	456	210	+246	10.90	+2.10
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	298	315	-17	8.44	+0.56
3	Chicago Bears	7	9	.438	6	283	305	-22	7.40	-0.40
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	10	.375	7	221	293	-72	5.58	+0.42
5	Detroit Lions	5	11	.312	8	302	368	-66	7.68	-2.68

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	10	6	.625	-	286	250	+36	9.62	+0.38
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	10	6	.625	-	363	341	+22	9.24	+0.76
3	Washington Redskins	9	7	.562	1	364	312	+52	8.70	+0.30
4	Arizona Cardinals	7	9	.438	3	300	397	-97	6.39	+0.61
5	New York Giants	6	10	.375	4	242	297	-55	7.10	-1.10

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	12	4	.750	-	367	218	+149	8.47	+3.53
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	4	.750	-	398	257	+141	10.77	+1.23
3	St. Louis Rams	6	10	.375	6	303	409	-106	6.52	-0.52
4	Atlanta Falcons	3	13	.188	9	309	461	-152	5.88	-2.88
5	New Orleans Saints	3	13	.188	9	229	339	-110	6.74	-3.74

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 30

Buffalo Bills 27

Dec 28

Pittsburgh Steelers 42

Indianapolis Colts 14

Dec 29

Divisional Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 30

Denver Broncos 27

Jan 4

New England Patriots 28

Pittsburgh Steelers 3

Jan 5

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 20

Jacksonville Jaguars 6

Jan 12

NFC

Wild Card Round

Dallas Cowboys 40

Minnesota Vikings 15

Dec 28

San Francisco 49ers 14

Philadelphia Eagles 0

Dec 29

Divisional Round

Green Bay Packers 35

San Francisco 49ers 14

Jan 4

Carolina Panthers 26

Dallas Cowboys 17

Jan 5

Conference Championship

Green Bay Packers 30

Carolina Panthers 13

Jan 12

Super Bowl

Green Bay Packers 35

New England Patriots 21

Jan 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1746	13	10.90	+2.10	93.49%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1673	12	10.77	+1.23	84.03%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1651	13	10.00	+3.00	97.78%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC West	1633	12	8.47	+3.53	98.74%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1612	11	8.89	+2.11	92.41%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1602	10	9.62	+0.38	67.84%	1	7	8	10	11	13	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1565	10	8.81	+1.19	81.58%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1558	10	9.95	+0.05	61.48%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1545	10	9.24	+0.76	74.90%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1543	9	8.70	+0.30	66.59%	0	6	7	9	10	12	16
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1539	7	8.15	-1.15	36.84%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1520	8	7.19	+0.81	76.39%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1517	9	9.21	-0.21	56.05%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1514	9	8.44	+0.56	71.53%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1512	9	8.05	+0.95	78.20%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1502	7	6.46	+0.54	71.62%	0	3	5	6	8	10	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1494	8	8.74	-0.74	45.27%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1482	8	9.07	-1.07	38.30%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1479	7	7.40	-0.40	52.61%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1470	8	7.68	+0.32	67.45%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC Central	1457	9	6.90	+2.10	91.80%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1454	6	5.58	+0.42	70.61%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1447	6	7.10	-1.10	37.94%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1404	7	6.39	+0.61	73.53%	0	3	5	6	8	9	15
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1402	6	6.52	-0.52	50.33%	0	4	5	6	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1396	5	7.68	-2.68	11.61%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC Central	1386	4	6.85	-2.85	9.78%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1325	3	5.88	-2.88	9.44%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1310	3	6.74	-3.74	3.71%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1262	1	4.63	-3.63	2.73%	0	2	3	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Oilers	Jaguars	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Houston Oilers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	-	4-0 (1.7 exp.)	-
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-
New York Jets	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	-	-
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	-	-
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cardinals	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Arizona Cardinals	-	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New York Giants	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)	-	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	49ers	Rams
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.04%	1.25%	1.88%	1.67%	0.42%	0.21%	6.46%
7–13	1.04%	2.92%	5.83%	3.75%	2.71%	2.29%	0.62%	19.17%
14–20	1.25%	5.83%	7.08%	6.88%	4.17%	1.04%	0.21%	26.46%
21–27	1.88%	3.75%	6.88%	6.25%	4.58%	0.42%	0.42%	24.17%
28–34	1.67%	2.71%	4.17%	4.58%	1.67%	1.25%	0.21%	16.25%
35–41	0.42%	2.29%	1.04%	0.42%	1.25%	—	0.21%	5.62%
42+	0.21%	0.62%	0.21%	0.42%	0.21%	0.21%	—	1.88%
Total	6.46%	19.17%	26.46%	24.17%	16.25%	5.62%	1.88%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.43	20.43	+0.00
SD	9.63	9.63	14.48
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	59	59	+43
Min	0	0	-43

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.75	24.81	-6.06
SD	11.87	9.68	13.14
CV	0.63	0.39	—
Max	37	41	+14
Min	0	9	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	31.25%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.31	28.81	-9.50
SD	7.18	11.57	13.71
CV	0.37	0.40	—
Max	31	59	+16
Min	6	15	-43

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.19	27.56	-4.38
SD	8.02	9.87	8.91
CV	0.35	0.36	—
Max	38	46	+14
Min	13	10	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	43.75%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	16.62	+3.31
SD	9.57	6.38	11.92
CV	0.48	0.38	—
Max	38	28	+25
Min	6	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	43.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	13.62	+9.31
SD	8.76	7.11	12.59
CV	0.38	0.52	—
Max	45	24	+32
Min	9	0	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	19.06	-1.38
SD	8.62	10.00	14.56
CV	0.49	0.52	—
Max	35	37	+26
Min	3	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	23.06	+0.19
SD	8.68	6.43	9.28
CV	0.37	0.28	—
Max	41	31	+15
Min	10	13	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.88	15.62	+2.25
SD	8.42	10.90	13.99
CV	0.47	0.70	—
Max	32	37	+27
Min	6	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	17.19	+7.25
SD	10.42	9.68	15.55
CV	0.43	0.56	—
Max	45	41	+27
Min	6	6	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	—	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	23.00	-4.12
SD	7.92	9.97	15.26
CV	0.42	0.43	—
Max	35	37	+27
Min	3	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.50	13.12	+15.38
SD	10.26	8.23	16.17
CV	0.36	0.63	—
Max	42	30	+35
Min	6	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.56	19.94	+1.62
SD	8.66	6.98	12.59
CV	0.40	0.35	—
Max	35	31	+25
Min	6	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	20.88	-1.06
SD	8.22	9.60	12.87
CV	0.41	0.46	—
Max	37	37	+27
Min	9	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	18.75%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	20.94	-0.62
SD	8.34	7.10	9.67
CV	0.41	0.34	—
Max	30	34	+15
Min	3	9	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.56	18.75	-0.19
SD	9.00	8.01	13.57
CV	0.48	0.43	—
Max	35	34	+18
Min	7	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	20.31	+0.88
SD	10.80	9.98	13.97
CV	0.51	0.49	—
Max	38	42	+28
Min	6	7	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.62	19.69	-1.06
SD	8.60	8.93	12.65
CV	0.46	0.45	—
Max	41	42	+24
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.12	19.56	+6.56
SD	12.65	10.35	16.84
CV	0.48	0.53	—
Max	46	38	+38
Min	6	0	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	56.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.31	21.19	-6.88
SD	4.99	7.94	9.05
CV	0.35	0.37	—
Max	27	31	+14
Min	7	3	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.12	18.56	-3.44
SD	9.15	9.82	14.89
CV	0.60	0.53	—
Max	35	31	+28
Min	0	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	—	31.25%	43.75%	18.75%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.44	28.38	-10.94
SD	8.94	6.99	10.66
CV	0.51	0.25	—
Max	31	36	+10
Min	6	13	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.25	18.31	+2.94
SD	8.81	8.84	10.79
CV	0.41	0.48	—
Max	37	40	+21
Min	3	3	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.69	21.31	+1.38
SD	7.23	10.57	13.69
CV	0.32	0.50	—
Max	35	39	+24
Min	10	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	16.06	+5.44
SD	8.35	9.68	14.90
CV	0.39	0.60	—
Max	42	34	+36
Min	9	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	23.50	-4.12
SD	9.63	10.83	16.68
CV	0.50	0.46	—
Max	40	45	+22
Min	3	7	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.88	16.06	+8.81
SD	9.04	7.07	12.81
CV	0.36	0.44	—
Max	39	30	+34
Min	7	0	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	23.50	-3.69
SD	9.23	7.89	14.65
CV	0.47	0.34	—
Max	42	35	+19
Min	7	13	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.94	25.56	-6.62
SD	14.53	10.95	20.69
CV	0.77	0.43	—
Max	59	45	+43
Min	0	10	-36

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	37.50%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.81	18.31	-4.50
SD	10.07	7.12	14.22
CV	0.73	0.39	—
Max	34	34	+15
Min	0	7	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	—	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.75	19.50	+3.25
SD	9.59	9.35	13.34
CV	0.42	0.48	—
Max	37	38	+27
Min	10	3	-25

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.43	+0.4
Allowed	0.62	-0.4
Differential	0.82	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	12	8.47	+3.53
2	Denver Broncos	13	10.00	+3.00
3	New England Patriots	11	8.89	+2.11
4	Green Bay Packers	13	10.90	+2.10
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	9	6.90	+2.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New Orleans Saints	3	6.74	-3.74
2	New York Jets	1	4.63	-3.63
3	Atlanta Falcons	3	5.88	-2.88
4	Baltimore Ravens	4	6.85	-2.85
5	Detroit Lions	5	7.68	-2.68

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	7	Nov 10 – Dec 22	1 in 71
2	Denver Broncos	9	Sep 29 – Dec 1	1 in 61
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Nov 24 – Dec 22	1 in 59
4	Washington Redskins	7	Sep 8 – Oct 27	1 in 49
5	Arizona Cardinals	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Minnesota Vikings	4	Oct 13 – Nov 10	1 in 54
2	New Orleans Saints	7	Oct 20 – Dec 8	1 in 48
3	Atlanta Falcons	8	Sep 1 – Oct 27	1 in 39
4	New York Jets	8	Sep 1 – Oct 20	1 in 35
5	Philadelphia Eagles	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Pittsburgh Steelers	52.88%	26.53%	12.44%	5.88%	2.28%
Houston Oilers	29.32%	31.70%	19.74%	12.35%	6.89%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.13%	15.98%	24.74%	26.49%	25.66%
Baltimore Ravens	5.50%	13.19%	21.89%	28.07%	31.34%
Jacksonville Jaguars	5.17%	12.59%	21.19%	27.22%	33.82%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
New England Patriots	28.17%	26.79%	23.54%	18.15%	3.34%
Buffalo Bills	29.01%	25.80%	22.71%	18.52%	3.96%
Miami Dolphins	26.21%	25.01%	24.21%	20.03%	4.54%
Indianapolis Colts	16.20%	20.87%	25.17%	29.39%	8.38%
New York Jets	0.41%	1.53%	4.36%	13.91%	79.79%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Denver Broncos	45.43%	26.93%	15.65%	8.64%	3.35%
Kansas City Chiefs	29.57%	29.12%	21.08%	13.49%	6.73%
Oakland Raiders	12.98%	20.02%	25.01%	24.47%	17.53%
San Diego Chargers	8.98%	16.44%	23.87%	27.79%	22.92%
Seattle Seahawks	3.03%	7.49%	14.39%	25.62%	49.47%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Green Bay Packers	71.45%	19.00%	6.67%	2.38%	0.51%
Minnesota Vikings	14.44%	33.88%	26.16%	17.70%	7.81%
Detroit Lions	7.10%	23.20%	28.62%	26.81%	14.27%
Chicago Bears	6.10%	19.09%	27.21%	29.52%	18.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.91%	4.83%	11.33%	23.59%	59.34%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	40.88%	27.53%	17.92%	9.67%	3.99%
Philadelphia Eagles	30.45%	28.37%	21.64%	13.24%	6.30%
Washington Redskins	20.16%	25.65%	26.36%	18.32%	9.51%
New York Giants	5.83%	12.05%	20.34%	31.96%	29.82%
Arizona Cardinals	2.68%	6.40%	13.74%	26.80%	50.37%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
San Francisco 49ers	73.78%	18.24%	5.61%	1.86%	0.50%
Carolina Panthers	16.44%	40.23%	23.17%	13.53%	6.63%
New Orleans Saints	4.28%	16.50%	26.41%	27.72%	25.09%
St. Louis Rams	3.58%	14.87%	25.33%	28.68%	27.55%
Atlanta Falcons	1.92%	10.17%	19.48%	28.21%	40.23%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.75%	16.67%	13.68%	10.27%	8.79%	7.58%	5.69%	4.70%	3.86%	2.92%	2.29%	1.72%	1.19%	0.69%	0.22%
Denver Broncos	20.00%	15.70%	12.87%	10.43%	8.66%	7.28%	5.98%	5.11%	4.02%	3.30%	2.56%	1.81%	1.22%	0.75%	0.31%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.12%	10.79%	9.82%	10.49%	9.23%	8.36%	7.92%	6.72%	6.05%	5.26%	4.35%	3.68%	2.69%	1.81%	0.70%
Houston Oilers	10.20%	9.92%	9.99%	9.74%	9.45%	9.29%	7.52%	7.01%	6.29%	5.32%	4.65%	3.99%	3.12%	2.37%	1.16%
New England Patriots	7.91%	9.24%	9.65%	9.38%	9.19%	9.04%	8.07%	7.87%	7.47%	6.12%	5.70%	4.73%	2.93%	1.73%	0.96%
Buffalo Bills	8.26%	9.03%	9.63%	9.28%	9.05%	8.37%	7.94%	7.69%	7.12%	6.33%	5.81%	5.04%	3.15%	2.03%	1.24%
Miami Dolphins	7.48%	8.42%	8.84%	8.70%	8.77%	8.60%	8.32%	8.03%	7.70%	6.69%	6.09%	5.44%	3.42%	2.17%	1.32%
Indianapolis Colts	3.60%	5.13%	6.14%	6.57%	7.34%	7.95%	8.30%	8.26%	8.46%	8.57%	8.70%	8.16%	5.68%	4.18%	2.94%
Oakland Raiders	4.24%	5.07%	5.80%	6.94%	7.20%	7.47%	8.46%	8.50%	8.08%	8.42%	7.74%	7.21%	6.71%	5.04%	3.11%
San Diego Chargers	2.54%	3.48%	4.23%	5.54%	6.00%	6.47%	7.98%	8.28%	8.41%	9.41%	8.97%	8.85%	8.82%	7.07%	3.98%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.43%	2.15%	3.07%	4.03%	4.94%	5.85%	6.60%	7.75%	8.55%	9.13%	9.67%	10.22%	10.19%	10.15%	6.27%
Baltimore Ravens	0.90%	1.61%	2.27%	3.11%	4.03%	4.89%	5.91%	6.76%	7.90%	8.86%	10.21%	11.19%	12.07%	12.02%	8.29%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.90%	1.61%	2.32%	3.04%	4.11%	4.80%	5.56%	6.68%	8.07%	8.46%	9.75%	10.81%	12.50%	12.59%	8.82%
Seattle Seahawks	0.64%	1.10%	1.53%	2.22%	2.83%	3.40%	4.73%	5.27%	6.14%	8.12%	9.22%	10.83%	14.92%	16.42%	12.64%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.09%	0.16%	0.26%	0.42%	0.63%	1.02%	1.37%	1.87%	3.10%	4.29%	6.33%	11.40%	21.00%	48.02%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Green Bay Packers	33.35%	21.43%	14.94%	9.50%	6.60%	4.64%	3.18%	2.31%	1.52%	0.94%	0.70%	0.46%	0.24%	0.12%	0.07%
San Francisco 49ers	27.46%	23.26%	17.48%	9.68%	6.99%	5.22%	3.18%	2.38%	1.60%	1.04%	0.72%	0.49%	0.28%	0.16%	0.05%
Dallas Cowboys	12.77%	14.24%	14.07%	12.30%	9.87%	8.29%	7.07%	5.75%	4.62%	3.58%	2.75%	2.03%	1.45%	0.80%	0.41%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.61%	11.19%	12.09%	11.98%	10.37%	9.07%	8.28%	6.88%	5.61%	4.78%	3.79%	2.99%	2.12%	1.49%	0.75%
Washington Redskins	5.27%	7.59%	8.96%	10.28%	9.67%	9.45%	9.37%	8.58%	7.33%	6.41%	5.51%	4.41%	3.33%	2.46%	1.37%
Carolina Panthers	3.60%	5.85%	7.85%	9.22%	11.12%	12.09%	9.17%	8.53%	8.18%	6.31%	5.40%	4.76%	3.57%	2.62%	1.71%
Minnesota Vikings	3.93%	5.71%	7.47%	10.09%	10.81%	10.03%	9.48%	8.91%	7.78%	6.91%	5.95%	4.72%	3.60%	2.73%	1.89%
Detroit Lions	1.37%	2.84%	4.22%	6.45%	7.80%	8.35%	9.30%	9.77%	9.28%	9.46%	8.71%	7.71%	6.24%	5.07%	3.45%
Chicago Bears	1.24%	2.31%	3.49%	5.41%	6.54%	7.18%	8.60%	9.10%	9.25%	9.44%	9.57%	8.71%	7.72%	6.46%	4.98%
New York Giants	0.83%	1.89%	3.01%	4.40%	5.05%	5.78%	7.46%	7.90%	8.29%	10.17%	10.27%	9.67%	10.13%	8.89%	6.26%
New Orleans Saints	0.55%	1.18%	2.03%	3.08%	4.42%	5.82%	6.54%	7.69%	9.27%	8.94%	9.71%	10.57%	9.82%	9.70%	10.69%
St. Louis Rams	0.46%	1.00%	1.65%	2.70%	3.91%	5.14%	5.95%	7.08%	8.89%	8.91%	9.46%	11.14%	10.66%	11.03%	12.01%
Arizona Cardinals	0.31%	0.81%	1.39%	2.21%	2.85%	3.57%	5.07%	5.84%	6.76%	9.00%	9.90%	10.86%	14.57%	14.09%	12.78%
Atlanta Falcons	0.16%	0.44%	0.85%	1.67%	2.40%	3.30%	4.27%	5.14%	6.86%	7.64%	9.07%	11.47%	12.41%	14.95%	19.39%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.10%	0.25%	0.51%	1.03%	1.60%	2.07%	3.09%	4.15%	4.76%	6.46%	8.49%	10.02%	13.87%	19.41%	24.21%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30
Green Bay Packers	21.71%	13.73%	11.45%	8.86%	7.46%	6.40%	4.91%	4.28%	3.50%	3.11%	2.34%	2.29%	1.70%	1.64%	1.19%	1.19%	0.82%	0.69%	0.55%	0.52%	0.38%	0.37%	0.25%	0.23%	0.13%	0.13%	0.07%	0.06%	0.04%	0.02%
San Francisco 49ers	17.39%	13.18%	11.70%	9.82%	8.09%	7.46%	4.95%	4.78%	3.63%	3.45%	2.60%	2.43%	1.75%	1.70%	1.34%	1.16%	0.84%	0.80%	0.61%	0.55%	0.42%	0.34%	0.29%	0.22%	0.17%	0.13%	0.11%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.96%	9.57%	8.31%	8.46%	7.02%	6.93%	5.62%	5.43%	4.76%	4.39%	4.05%	3.64%	3.02%	2.73%	2.59%	2.26%	2.07%	1.77%	1.54%	1.27%	1.23%	1.00%	0.91%	0.69%	0.57%	0.47%	0.35%	0.24%	0.11%	0.06%
Denver Broncos	9.16%	9.81%	8.05%	8.18%	6.79%	6.51%	5.68%	5.37%	4.80%	4.16%	4.02%	3.50%	3.34%	2.73%	2.65%	2.24%	2.27%	1.86%	1.67%	1.32%	1.36%	1.04%	0.96%	0.67%	0.59%	0.42%	0.39%	0.24%	0.16%	0.08%
Dallas Cowboys	7.31%	6.67%	7.51%	6.63%	7.01%	6.25%	6.06%	5.49%	4.92%	4.76%	4.21%	3.92%	3.62%	3.56%	2.91%	2.84%	2.44%	2.28%	1.98%	1.85%	1.49%	1.43%	1.15%	1.01%	0.81%	0.69%	0.45%	0.39%	0.23%	0.14%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.76%	4.97%	5.80%	5.44%	5.95%	5.66%	5.86%	5.46%	5.16%	4.90%	4.60%	4.33%	4.11%	3.92%	3.47%	3.46%	2.94%	2.76%	2.41%	2.55%	1.99%	1.91%	1.60%	1.53%	1.14%	1.07%	0.85%	0.73%	0.43%	0.26%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.93%	5.85%	5.72%	5.56%	5.53%	5.14%	5.78%	4.92%	5.08%	4.52%	4.74%	3.97%	4.28%	3.52%	3.73%	3.16%	3.34%	2.89%	2.68%	2.32%	2.30%	2.04%	1.81%	1.58%	1.29%	1.20%	0.85%	0.67%	0.38%	0.21%
Houston Oilers	4.36%	5.05%	5.09%	5.18%	5.29%	5.16%	5.20%	4.96%	4.92%	4.77%	4.71%	4.53%	4.00%	3.74%	3.73%	3.34%	3.40%	2.96%	2.76%	2.40%	2.47%	2.22%	1.97%	1.74%	1.60%	1.35%	1.18%	0.88%	0.62%	0.40%
New England Patriots	2.93%	4.21%	4.45%	5.01%	4.77%	5.16%	4.93%	4.92%	4.93%	4.67%	4.71%	4.58%	4.37%	4.00%	4.14%	3.85%	3.84%	3.44%	3.13%	2.95%	2.83%	2.54%	2.28%	1.95%	1.56%	1.33%	0.97%	0.73%	0.53%	0.30%
Buffalo Bills	3.06%	4.30%	4.41%	4.75%	4.91%	4.99%	4.87%	4.75%	4.94%	4.47%	4.56%	4.11%	4.31%	3.91%	4.02%	3.89%	3.62%	3.48%	3.18%	3.08%	2.87%	2.71%	2.31%	2.30%	1.57%	1.52%	1.10%	0.94%	0.67%	0.41%
Miami Dolphins	2.74%	3.98%	4.06%	4.40%	4.61%	4.61%	4.85%	4.42%	4.75%	4.27%	4.70%	4.38%	4.45%	3.97%	4.27%	3.97%	3.97%	3.58%	3.36%	3.17%	3.13%	2.84%	2.48%	2.42%	1.71%	1.60%	1.18%	1.00%	0.71%	0.42%
Washington Redskins	2.66%	3.17%	3.83%	4.00%	4.46%	4.38%	4.98%	4.80%	4.71%	4.75%	4.63%	4.67%	4.40%	4.57%	4.05%	4.34%	3.61%	3.65%	3.35%	3.33%	2.85%	2.82%	2.29%	2.31%	1.91%	1.64%	1.43%	1.14%	0.86%	0.43%
Carolina Panthers	1.83%	2.28%	3.07%	3.12%	3.78%	4.00%	4.26%	4.73%	4.80%	5.49%	5.06%	5.66%	4.26%	5.10%	4.15%	4.42%	3.79%	4.06%	3.63%	3.44%	2.92%	2.75%	2.61%	2.48%	2.09%	1.79%	1.65%	1.23%	1.01%	0.56%
Minnesota Vikings	2.03%	2.32%	2.90%	3.17%	3.73%	3.96%	4.30%	5.07%	4.60%	5.22%	4.55%	5.01%	4.44%	5.07%	4.17%	4.47%	3.64%	4.11%	3.53%	3.71%	3.04%	3.08%	2.61%	2.50%	2.04%	1.95%	1.59%	1.40%	1.07%	0.73%
Oakland Raiders	1.35%	2.33%	2.37%	2.91%	3.00%	3.20%	3.54%	3.74%	3.81%	3.84%	4.17%	4.03%	4.52%	3.99%	4.35%	4.22%	4.52%	3.95%	4.15%	3.81%	3.99%	3.68%	3.58%	3.26%	3.28%	2.91%	2.55%	2.16%	1.67%	1.12%
Indianapolis Colts	1.15%	2.01%	2.34%	2.83%	2.99%	3.32%	3.41%	3.45%	3.99%	3.69%	4.25%	4.18%	4.54%	3.94%	4.41%	4.08%	4.52%	4.15%	4.32%	4.04%	4.29%	4.05%	3.84%	3.69%	2.97%	2.67%	2.31%	1.88%	1.58%	1.09%
Detroit Lions	0.56%	0.90%	1.36%	1.66%	2.09%	2.31%	2.95%	3.17%	3.39%	3.90%	3.84%	4.22%	4.19%	4.75%	4.39%	4.83%	4.32%	4.88%	4.50%	5.01%	4.19%	4.47%	4.04%	4.18%	3.51%	3.32%	2.84%	2.73%	2.07%	1.41%
San Diego Chargers	0.78%	1.35%	1.58%	1.93%	2.12%	2.34%	2.83%	2.78%	3.34%	3.12%	3.69%	3.44%	4.28%	3.79%	4.38%	4.14%	4.81%	4.11%	4.75%	4.25%	4.70%	4.48%	4.47%	4.03%	4.28%	3.89%	3.55%	2.97%	2.27%	1.54%
Chicago Bears	0.48%	0.76%	1.12%	1.32%	1.71%	1.91%	2.38%	2.70%	2.97%	3.23%	3.28%	3.61%	3.93%	4.29%	4.22%	4.63%	4.27%	4.69%	4.68%	4.90%	4.61%	4.83%	4.50%	4.64%	4.15%	4.12%	3.69%	3.36%	2.94%	2.10%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.39%	0.78%	0.86%	1.23%	1.37%	1.75%	1.94%	2.23%	2.56%	2.66%	2.97%	3.09%	3.52%	3.40%	4.15%	3.90%	4.48%	4.25%	4.76%	4.50%	5.11%	4.61%	5.07%	4.83%	5.27%	4.65%	4.91%	4.46%	3.60%	2.70%
New York Giants	0.33%	0.52%	0.86%	1.03%	1.47%	1.51%	2.02%	2.16%	2.41%	2.56%	2.79%	2.89%	3.38%	3.66%	3.75%	3.96%	4.15%	4.26%	4.64%	5.08%	4.69%	5.42%	4.81%	5.29%	4.82%	5.54%	4.60%	4.79%	3.57%	3.04%
Baltimore Ravens	0.20%	0.47%	0.56%	0.89%	1.05%	1.28%	1.45%	1.70%	2.12%	2.17%	2.45%	2.65%	3.07%	2.99%	3.72%	3.42%	4.15%	4.03%	4.63%	4.47%	5.46%	4.94%	5.60%	5.40%	5.96%	5.66%	5.75%	5.49%	4.70%	3.57%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.23%	0.50%	0.60%	0.95%	1.03%	1.34%	1.52%	1.72%	1.97%	2.32%	2.56%	2.66%	2.89%	2.86%	3.48%	3.64%	4.16%	4.13%	4.23%	4.30%	5.25%	4.77%	5.56%	5.22%	6.27%	5.53%	6.14%	5.34%	4.79%	4.04%
New Orleans Saints	0.21%	0.34%	0.46%	0.68%	0.96%	1.09%	1.35%	1.72%	1.74%	2.37%	2.22%	2.91%	2.85%	3.72%	3.33%	3.83%	3.77%	4.74%	4.42%	4.84%	4.58%	5.01%	5.29%	5.53%	5.36%	5.27%	5.48%	5.21%	5.81%	4.90%
St. Louis Rams	0.16%	0.29%	0.43%	0.54%	0.76%	0.92%	1.13%	1.35%	1.57%	2.06%	2.05%	2.65%	2.47%	3.33%	3.07%	3.54%	3.60%	4.57%	4.34%	4.73%	4.41%	4.99%	5.39%	5.76%	5.62%	5.88%	6.06%	6.00%	6.49%	5.83%
Seattle Seahawks	0.17%	0.29%	0.48%	0.59%	0.78%	0.86%	1.12%	1.19%	1.47%	1.47%	1.96%	1.85%	2.50%	2.24%	2.92%	2.81%	3.54%	3.31%	4.06%	3.95%	4.96%	4.80%	5.52%	5.53%	6.50%	7.30%	7.08%	7.88%	6.56%	6.32%
Arizona Cardinals	0.11%	0.20%	0.34%	0.44%	0.62%	0.76%	0.96%	1.20%	1.29%	1.48%	1.74%	1.85%	2.20%	2.54%	2.65%	3.15%	3.22%	3.58%	3.96%	4.55%	4.67%	5.24%	5.44%	5.77%	6.93%	7.14%	7.51%	7.11%	7.41%	5.96%
Atlanta Falcons	0.05%	0.10%	0.19%	0.23%	0.38%	0.44%	0.66%	0.81%	1.02%	1.16%	1.32%	1.58%	1.84%	2.22%	2.26%	2.46%	2.67%	3.60%	3.53%	4.11%	3.87%	4.83%	5.22%	6.18%	5.98%	7.07%	7.37%	8.89%	9.55%	10.40%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.03%	0.06%	0.10%	0.15%	0.22%	0.29%	0.39%	0.54%	0.62%	0.84%	0.88%	1.06%	1.26%	1.59%	1.79%	2.08%	2.17%	2.44%	3.05%	3.32%	3.70%	4.37%	4.91%	5.50%	6.54%	7.40%	9.14%	10.46%	12.11%	13.01%
New York Jets	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.05%	0.06%	0.08%	0.11%	0.13%	0.22%	0.22%	0.34%	0.32%	0.52%	0.53%	0.75%	0.72%	1.08%	1.00%	1.58%	1.67%	2.25%	2.41%	3.25%	3.57%	5.37%	6.37%	8.84%	11.56%	18.02%	28.93%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Denver Broncos	20.00%	15.03%	10.41%	12.59%	9.39%	7.46%	25.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.75%	17.34%	15.79%	8.78%	8.14%	7.13%	23.08%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.12%	10.05%	7.40%	12.76%	9.78%	8.60%	39.28%
Houston Oilers	10.20%	9.62%	9.50%	10.45%	9.73%	9.18%	41.33%
Buffalo Bills	8.26%	9.52%	11.23%	8.05%	8.44%	8.24%	46.26%
New England Patriots	7.91%	9.52%	10.74%	8.43%	8.90%	8.94%	45.55%
Miami Dolphins	7.48%	8.74%	9.99%	7.66%	8.50%	8.47%	49.16%
Oakland Raiders	4.24%	4.66%	4.08%	8.03%	7.71%	7.85%	63.43%
Indianapolis Colts	3.60%	5.39%	7.21%	5.58%	7.12%	7.87%	63.23%
San Diego Chargers	2.54%	3.24%	3.20%	6.08%	6.33%	6.71%	71.90%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.43%	2.24%	3.46%	3.72%	4.87%	5.77%	78.50%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.90%	1.69%	2.58%	2.71%	4.06%	4.83%	83.23%
Baltimore Ravens	0.90%	1.77%	2.84%	2.71%	3.81%	4.82%	83.15%
Seattle Seahawks	0.64%	1.09%	1.30%	2.26%	2.83%	3.52%	88.36%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.10%	0.28%	0.18%	0.39%	0.61%	98.41%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	33.35%	22.08%	16.01%	8.52%	6.10%	4.45%	9.48%
San Francisco 49ers	27.46%	24.44%	21.88%	6.25%	5.61%	4.65%	9.70%
Dallas Cowboys	12.77%	14.21%	13.90%	12.36%	9.95%	8.32%	28.48%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.61%	10.88%	10.96%	12.94%	10.63%	9.23%	36.75%
Washington Redskins	5.27%	7.32%	7.57%	11.19%	10.07%	9.74%	48.85%
Minnesota Vikings	3.93%	5.10%	5.41%	12.08%	11.30%	10.16%	52.02%
Carolina Panthers	3.60%	5.58%	7.26%	9.89%	11.51%	11.98%	50.18%
Detroit Lions	1.37%	2.48%	3.25%	7.20%	8.15%	8.52%	69.04%
Chicago Bears	1.24%	2.14%	2.72%	5.94%	6.78%	7.29%	73.88%
New York Giants	0.83%	1.91%	3.09%	4.10%	5.10%	5.88%	79.09%
New Orleans Saints	0.55%	1.24%	2.49%	2.74%	4.31%	5.77%	82.90%
St. Louis Rams	0.46%	1.02%	2.10%	2.44%	3.79%	5.08%	85.11%
Arizona Cardinals	0.31%	0.84%	1.54%	1.98%	2.82%	3.62%	88.90%
Atlanta Falcons	0.16%	0.48%	1.28%	1.39%	2.31%	3.24%	91.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.10%	0.26%	0.56%	0.96%	1.58%	2.08%	94.47%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+24.17%

Fortress

62.08%37.92%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 85.66 Elo pts.

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.72 points

Home-Tilted

-8+3.45+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 15th · Longshot: 16th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.0

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

29%

Green Bay Packers, 1st of 30

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

34.8%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.48 · As Expected: 1.48 to 2.04 · Elevated: 2.04 to 2.78 · High Variance: 2.78 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.93 · Close: 4.93 to 6.67 · Off Target: 6.67 to 8.7 · Well Off Target: 8.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 30 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 30 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 3.6 · Several Outliers: 3.6 to 6.6 · Many Outliers: 6.6 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.02 · As Expected: 3.02 to 5.04 · More Than Expected: 5.04 to 8.06 · Far More Than Expected: 8.06 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.80 wins

As Expected

01.865

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.73

Pinpoint

05.8015

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.33%

98.74%

Carolina Panthers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.67%

2.73%

New York Jets

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 30

Several Outliers

03.015

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

4 of 12

As Expected

04.012

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.77

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

65%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

94%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

20%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.97

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.39

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

27%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.42

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.99

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.043

Well Within Noise

00.0900.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	83.24%	83.24%	61.58%	41.61%	28.94%
San Francisco 49ers	79.87%	79.87%	50.12%	26.75%	16.89%
Denver Broncos	62.26%	62.26%	41.55%	26.49%	12.19%
Dallas Cowboys	53.95%	53.95%	25.76%	10.51%	5.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.77%	59.77%	31.69%	15.77%	5.66%
New England Patriots	40.24%	40.24%	23.35%	13.09%	5.62%
Carolina Panthers	40.64%	32.98%	15.02%	6.63%	4.00%
Buffalo Bills	37.82%	37.82%	19.68%	9.78%	3.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	43.76%	41.91%	16.27%	5.42%	2.63%
Kansas City Chiefs	40.88%	40.88%	18.27%	8.37%	2.57%
Washington Redskins	38.56%	31.45%	11.73%	3.80%	1.84%
Oakland Raiders	27.67%	22.55%	10.39%	4.75%	1.68%
Miami Dolphins	34.62%	31.51%	13.53%	5.53%	1.67%
Houston Oilers	38.86%	36.30%	14.85%	5.75%	1.61%
Indianapolis Colts	27.78%	21.70%	9.61%	4.03%	1.28%
Minnesota Vikings	38.95%	25.88%	8.18%	2.67%	1.19%
Cincinnati Bengals	17.83%	11.67%	4.91%	2.06%	0.70%
San Diego Chargers	22.32%	14.61%	5.35%	2.04%	0.52%
Chicago Bears	22.73%	11.75%	3.28%	0.93%	0.39%
Seattle Seahawks	9.91%	5.89%	2.36%	0.94%	0.28%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.18%	7.74%	2.59%	0.90%	0.21%
New York Giants	18.17%	9.20%	2.23%	0.50%	0.19%
Detroit Lions	27.11%	11.31%	2.28%	0.50%	0.17%
Baltimore Ravens	14.18%	6.71%	1.83%	0.49%	0.10%
St. Louis Rams	13.41%	5.32%	1.12%	0.24%	0.07%
Arizona Cardinals	9.95%	4.12%	0.87%	0.16%	0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5.17%	1.99%	0.47%	0.12%	0.05%
New Orleans Saints	15.31%	4.74%	0.74%	0.10%	0.03%
Atlanta Falcons	8.22%	2.30%	0.36%	0.06%	0.02%
New York Jets	1.47%	0.36%	0.06%	0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		23.8%1.44%	31.9%0.40%	15.1%1.69%	36.3%1.17%	30.9%0.94%	37.9%0.26%	30.6%1.64%	34.0%1.32%	20.1%1.30%	72.7%0.07%	29.8%1.02%	25.2%1.66%	41.4%0.88%	38.1%0.40%
Buffalo Bills	76.2%1.44%		60.7%1.69%	38.1%4.03%	61.3%3.83%	59.7%2.62%	66.1%1.39%	58.9%3.96%	60.8%3.36%	43.7%3.77%	84.6%0.12%	54.3%2.91%	48.2%3.56%	65.1%2.30%	64.4%0.98%
Cincinnati Bengals	68.1%0.40%	39.3%1.69%		30.4%2.09%	55.0%1.52%	49.0%1.26%	54.5%0.38%	46.4%1.97%	51.4%1.68%	34.0%1.84%	83.1%0.07%	45.7%1.30%	40.4%2.05%	57.7%1.08%	53.0%0.49%
Denver Broncos	84.9%1.69%	61.9%4.03%	69.6%2.09%		72.5%4.57%	70.2%3.21%	78.6%1.67%	67.7%3.94%	72.0%3.84%	54.8%4.19%	92.2%0.17%	67.9%2.89%	62.2%4.27%	75.6%2.27%	74.4%1.02%
Houston Oilers	63.7%1.17%	38.7%3.83%	45.0%1.52%	27.5%4.57%		47.3%2.93%	55.9%1.14%	45.3%4.54%	50.5%3.52%	33.0%3.93%	83.0%0.15%	43.5%3.19%	37.1%4.65%	52.4%2.60%	50.3%1.12%
Indianapolis Colts	69.1%0.94%	40.3%2.62%	51.0%1.26%	29.8%3.21%	52.7%2.93%		59.4%1.03%	45.5%3.14%	50.9%2.38%	37.2%2.60%	83.3%0.08%	47.2%2.18%	37.8%2.96%	59.8%1.69%	54.3%0.76%
Jacksonville Jaguars	62.1%0.26%	33.9%1.39%	45.5%0.38%	21.4%1.67%	44.1%1.14%	40.6%1.03%		39.0%1.60%	41.7%1.36%	26.4%1.42%	78.0%0.04%	35.6%1.06%	32.4%1.65%	47.5%0.83%	45.2%0.35%
Kansas City Chiefs	69.4%1.64%	41.1%3.96%	53.6%1.97%	32.3%3.94%	54.7%4.54%	54.5%3.14%	61.0%1.60%		52.5%3.86%	37.8%4.16%	84.1%0.15%	50.3%2.52%	43.3%4.41%	58.7%1.90%	55.7%0.75%
Miami Dolphins	66.0%1.32%	39.2%3.36%	48.6%1.68%	28.0%3.84%	49.5%3.52%	49.1%2.38%	58.3%1.36%	47.5%3.86%		35.1%3.61%	78.2%0.10%	42.7%2.79%	38.6%3.52%	54.7%2.31%	52.3%0.99%
New England Patriots	79.9%1.30%	56.3%3.77%	66.0%1.84%	45.2%4.19%	67.0%3.93%	62.8%2.60%	73.6%1.42%	62.2%4.16%	64.9%3.61%		90.3%0.13%	61.4%2.89%	55.4%3.80%	68.3%2.31%	68.2%1.06%
New York Jets	27.3%0.07%	15.4%0.12%	16.9%0.07%	7.8%0.17%	17.0%0.15%	16.7%0.08%	22.0%0.04%	15.9%0.15%	21.8%0.10%	9.7%0.13%		26.6%0.09%	11.3%0.19%	19.2%0.07%	22.0%0.04%
Oakland Raiders	70.2%1.02%	45.7%2.91%	54.3%1.30%	32.1%2.89%	56.5%3.19%	52.8%2.18%	64.4%1.06%	49.7%2.52%	57.3%2.79%	38.6%2.89%	73.4%0.09%		42.8%3.29%	57.7%1.11%	58.0%0.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	74.8%1.66%	51.8%3.56%	59.6%2.05%	37.8%4.27%	62.9%4.65%	62.2%2.96%	67.6%1.65%	56.7%4.41%	61.4%3.52%	44.6%3.80%	88.7%0.19%	57.2%3.29%		65.4%2.65%	63.6%1.17%
San Diego Chargers	58.6%0.88%	34.9%2.30%	42.3%1.08%	24.4%2.27%	47.6%2.60%	40.2%1.69%	52.5%0.83%	41.3%1.90%	45.3%2.31%	31.7%2.31%	80.8%0.07%	42.3%1.11%	34.6%2.65%		43.5%0.32%
Seattle Seahawks	61.9%0.40%	35.6%0.98%	47.0%0.49%	25.6%1.02%	49.7%1.12%	45.7%0.76%	54.8%0.35%	44.3%0.75%	47.7%0.99%	31.8%1.06%	78.0%0.04%	42.0%0.45%	36.4%1.17%	56.5%0.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		55.7%0.21%	20.5%1.09%	44.0%0.62%	22.7%1.10%	52.3%0.73%	8.9%1.07%	34.3%1.06%	63.4%0.37%	45.4%0.33%	26.0%1.04%	12.8%1.15%	53.4%0.29%	51.3%0.15%	32.1%0.75%
Atlanta Falcons	44.3%0.21%		14.0%0.49%	26.8%0.48%	12.3%1.02%	39.9%0.48%	6.4%0.86%	26.6%0.77%	51.0%0.15%	30.8%0.42%	17.8%1.02%	9.6%1.21%	38.2%0.12%	26.2%0.10%	23.6%0.89%
Carolina Panthers	79.5%1.09%	86.0%0.49%		72.0%2.59%	50.7%5.47%	80.4%3.14%	30.9%4.14%	64.5%4.41%	84.3%0.98%	75.7%1.91%	58.8%5.16%	40.8%5.52%	79.7%0.84%	77.3%0.52%	59.5%4.38%
Chicago Bears	56.0%0.62%	73.2%0.48%	28.0%2.59%		30.2%3.14%	61.8%0.86%	15.4%2.41%	43.3%1.53%	69.5%0.77%	53.7%1.23%	37.9%3.10%	20.7%2.62%	59.3%0.75%	51.1%0.14%	40.0%2.49%
Dallas Cowboys	77.3%1.10%	87.7%1.02%	49.3%5.47%	69.8%3.14%		78.4%3.84%	30.3%4.04%	64.7%5.64%	86.2%2.04%	71.8%2.08%	58.9%5.28%	36.9%3.85%	78.6%1.71%	74.1%0.73%	60.6%4.60%
Detroit Lions	47.7%0.73%	60.1%0.48%	19.6%3.14%	38.2%0.86%	21.6%3.84%		10.8%2.90%	31.4%1.75%	62.8%1.03%	44.5%1.37%	29.3%3.63%	13.1%3.06%	48.8%0.91%	49.3%0.15%	29.0%3.25%
Green Bay Packers	91.1%1.07%	93.6%0.86%	69.1%4.14%	84.6%2.41%	69.7%4.04%	89.2%2.90%		80.1%3.83%	93.4%1.58%	87.8%1.82%	77.9%4.29%	59.3%2.15%	91.1%1.48%	89.6%0.61%	78.6%3.91%
Minnesota Vikings	65.7%1.06%	73.4%0.77%	35.5%4.41%	56.7%1.53%	35.3%5.64%	68.6%1.75%	19.9%3.83%		78.6%1.59%	59.3%2.04%	43.2%5.69%	24.0%4.06%	66.5%1.32%	62.9%0.30%	44.9%4.96%
New Orleans Saints	36.6%0.37%	49.0%0.15%	15.7%0.98%	30.5%0.77%	13.8%2.04%	37.2%1.03%	6.6%1.58%	21.4%1.59%		29.9%0.69%	19.4%1.86%	9.2%2.22%	35.5%0.30%	30.9%0.16%	19.8%1.56%
New York Giants	54.6%0.33%	69.2%0.42%	24.3%1.91%	46.3%1.23%	28.2%2.08%	55.5%1.37%	12.2%1.82%	40.7%2.04%	70.1%0.69%		36.2%1.88%	18.3%2.00%	56.5%0.66%	48.4%0.26%	35.9%1.49%
Philadelphia Eagles	74.0%1.04%	82.2%1.02%	41.2%5.16%	62.1%3.10%	41.1%5.28%	70.7%3.63%	22.1%4.29%	56.8%5.69%	80.6%1.86%	63.8%1.88%		30.1%4.03%	71.5%1.68%	66.1%0.68%	51.8%4.42%
San Francisco 49ers	87.2%1.15%	90.4%1.21%	59.2%5.52%	79.3%2.62%	63.1%3.85%	86.9%3.06%	40.7%2.15%	76.0%4.06%	90.8%2.22%	81.7%2.00%	69.9%4.03%		84.0%1.86%	83.2%0.66%	72.2%4.00%
St. Louis Rams	46.6%0.29%	61.8%0.12%	20.3%0.84%	40.7%0.75%	21.4%1.71%	51.2%0.91%	8.9%1.48%	33.5%1.32%	64.5%0.30%	43.5%0.66%	28.5%1.68%	16.0%1.86%		44.7%0.17%	30.8%1.32%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48.7%0.15%	73.8%0.10%	22.7%0.52%	48.9%0.14%	25.9%0.73%	50.7%0.15%	10.4%0.61%	37.1%0.30%	69.1%0.16%	51.6%0.26%	33.9%0.68%	16.8%0.66%	55.3%0.17%		34.1%0.54%
Washington Redskins	67.9%0.75%	76.4%0.89%	40.5%4.38%	60.0%2.49%	39.4%4.60%	71.0%3.25%	21.4%3.91%	55.1%4.96%	80.2%1.56%	64.1%1.49%	48.2%4.42%	27.8%4.00%	69.2%1.32%	65.9%0.54%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		27.7%0.79%	34.5%0.11%	15.9%1.18%	32.3%0.43%	30.2%0.36%	40.8%0.07%	30.5%0.77%	34.2%0.63%	21.8%0.76%	100.0%<0.01%	31.1%0.32%	27.5%0.95%	41.2%0.23%	32.1%0.11%
Buffalo Bills	72.3%0.79%		61.0%1.22%	36.4%6.83%	59.6%4.10%	56.7%1.72%	67.6%0.91%	57.1%3.96%	58.0%3.05%	46.0%3.86%	92.0%0.03%	54.7%2.34%	49.8%7.00%	63.1%1.51%	58.0%0.52%
Cincinnati Bengals	65.5%0.11%	39.0%1.22%		30.5%1.97%	52.4%0.82%	49.2%0.60%	61.2%0.10%	46.4%1.33%	50.7%1.11%	36.0%1.35%	81.2%0.02%	43.6%0.62%	39.9%1.92%	53.7%0.36%	48.3%0.15%
Denver Broncos	84.1%1.18%	63.6%6.83%	69.5%1.97%		71.9%6.12%	69.4%4.07%	79.0%1.41%	67.6%9.32%	70.6%5.59%	56.0%7.21%	91.4%0.06%	67.5%4.47%	61.5%10.22%	75.6%2.69%	73.4%1.12%
Houston Oilers	67.7%0.43%	40.4%4.10%	47.6%0.82%	28.1%6.12%		47.4%2.27%	59.3%0.55%	46.1%3.57%	49.6%3.23%	34.0%4.25%	71.9%0.03%	43.0%2.06%	40.1%6.97%	53.1%1.41%	49.7%0.50%
Indianapolis Colts	69.8%0.36%	43.3%1.72%	50.8%0.60%	30.6%4.07%	52.6%2.27%		58.0%0.46%	47.7%2.22%	51.0%1.46%	37.7%1.88%	77.8%<0.01%	48.8%1.28%	43.0%4.29%	57.5%0.74%	54.9%0.34%
Jacksonville Jaguars	59.2%0.07%	32.4%0.91%	38.8%0.10%	21.0%1.41%	40.7%0.55%	42.0%0.46%		37.9%0.78%	42.0%0.74%	28.7%0.78%	55.6%<0.01%	35.2%0.36%	31.8%1.23%	42.6%0.26%	44.2%0.10%
Kansas City Chiefs	69.5%0.77%	42.9%3.96%	53.6%1.33%	32.4%9.32%	53.9%3.57%	52.3%2.22%	62.1%0.78%		52.8%3.44%	38.1%4.65%	84.9%0.05%	49.8%2.33%	42.4%6.44%	60.5%1.49%	57.4%0.52%
Miami Dolphins	65.8%0.63%	42.0%3.05%	49.3%1.11%	29.4%5.59%	50.4%3.23%	49.0%1.46%	58.0%0.74%	47.2%3.44%		35.7%3.14%	50.0%<0.01%	47.0%1.73%	41.5%5.69%	57.9%1.22%	51.2%0.47%
New England Patriots	78.2%0.76%	54.0%3.86%	64.0%1.35%	44.0%7.21%	66.0%4.25%	62.3%1.88%	71.3%0.78%	61.9%4.65%	64.3%3.14%		85.7%0.03%	60.1%2.40%	54.2%7.76%	71.8%1.52%	67.8%0.66%
New York Jets	0.0%<0.01%	8.0%0.03%	18.8%0.02%	8.6%0.06%	28.1%0.03%	22.2%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	15.1%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.03%		38.9%0.02%	11.1%0.08%	17.6%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	68.9%0.32%	45.3%2.34%	56.4%0.62%	32.5%4.47%	57.0%2.06%	51.2%1.28%	64.8%0.36%	50.2%2.33%	53.0%1.73%	39.9%2.40%	61.1%0.02%		44.7%3.78%	57.5%0.65%	65.1%0.19%
Pittsburgh Steelers	72.5%0.95%	50.2%7.00%	60.1%1.92%	38.5%10.22%	59.9%6.97%	57.0%4.29%	68.2%1.23%	57.6%6.44%	58.5%5.69%	45.8%7.76%	88.9%0.08%	55.3%3.78%		65.0%2.38%	60.7%1.08%
San Diego Chargers	58.8%0.23%	36.9%1.51%	46.3%0.36%	24.4%2.69%	46.9%1.41%	42.5%0.74%	57.4%0.26%	39.5%1.49%	42.1%1.22%	28.2%1.52%	82.4%0.02%	42.5%0.65%	35.0%2.38%		40.6%0.14%
Seattle Seahawks	67.9%0.11%	42.0%0.52%	51.7%0.15%	26.6%1.12%	50.3%0.50%	45.1%0.34%	55.8%0.10%	42.6%0.52%	48.8%0.47%	32.2%0.66%	33.3%<0.01%	34.9%0.19%	39.3%1.08%	59.4%0.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		57.9%0.02%	23.5%0.29%	37.2%0.09%	23.5%0.41%	57.3%0.08%	11.6%1.24%	35.4%0.21%	57.9%0.04%	50.0%0.03%	29.6%0.27%	15.6%1.20%	54.0%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	33.0%0.18%
Atlanta Falcons	42.1%0.02%		13.7%0.07%	27.5%0.04%	17.3%0.35%	47.2%0.05%	6.2%0.66%	22.9%0.10%	42.9%<0.01%	36.7%0.05%	17.5%0.23%	13.0%0.53%	35.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	28.3%0.17%
Carolina Panthers	76.5%0.29%	86.3%0.07%		69.1%0.67%	49.5%4.78%	78.6%0.66%	29.5%9.32%	64.9%1.50%	85.3%0.16%	72.2%0.54%	59.6%3.30%	39.3%8.94%	75.5%0.19%	66.7%0.11%	58.8%2.46%
Chicago Bears	62.8%0.09%	72.5%0.04%	30.9%0.67%		30.9%1.59%	60.4%0.16%	16.3%3.40%	44.8%0.39%	68.3%0.10%	51.2%0.20%	40.5%1.18%	22.0%3.01%	54.2%0.10%	61.9%0.02%	36.7%0.79%
Dallas Cowboys	76.5%0.41%	82.7%0.35%	50.5%4.78%	69.1%1.59%		78.7%1.69%	29.1%13.89%	65.5%3.55%	85.8%0.74%	75.4%0.97%	57.7%6.54%	38.3%14.03%	79.2%0.76%	76.2%0.31%	59.3%4.34%
Detroit Lions	42.7%0.08%	52.8%0.05%	21.4%0.66%	39.6%0.16%	21.3%1.69%		10.2%3.35%	35.0%0.34%	64.5%0.11%	46.5%0.19%	29.6%1.02%	15.6%2.76%	48.7%0.11%	43.8%0.02%	31.2%0.78%
Green Bay Packers	88.4%1.24%	93.8%0.66%	70.5%9.32%	83.7%3.40%	70.9%13.89%	89.8%3.35%		80.5%8.33%	92.5%1.29%	86.4%2.73%	76.9%10.65%	60.3%17.85%	88.2%1.53%	84.7%0.56%	77.7%8.44%
Minnesota Vikings	64.6%0.21%	77.1%0.10%	35.1%1.50%	55.2%0.39%	34.5%3.55%	65.0%0.34%	19.5%8.33%		76.0%0.24%	59.3%0.42%	43.6%2.53%	26.0%6.28%	66.7%0.25%	63.4%0.04%	46.4%1.70%
New Orleans Saints	42.1%0.04%	57.1%<0.01%	14.7%0.16%	31.7%0.10%	14.2%0.74%	35.5%0.11%	7.5%1.29%	24.0%0.24%		22.8%0.09%	22.5%0.54%	11.6%1.03%	46.7%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	25.1%0.37%
New York Giants	50.0%0.03%	63.3%0.05%	27.8%0.54%	48.8%0.20%	24.6%0.97%	53.5%0.19%	13.6%2.73%	40.7%0.42%	77.2%0.09%		34.6%0.64%	19.1%2.79%	55.2%0.10%	61.9%0.02%	36.2%0.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	70.4%0.27%	82.5%0.23%	40.4%3.30%	59.5%1.18%	42.3%6.54%	70.4%1.02%	23.1%10.65%	56.4%2.53%	77.5%0.54%	65.4%0.64%		32.0%11.28%	70.9%0.58%	62.5%0.20%	51.0%2.96%
San Francisco 49ers	84.4%1.20%	87.0%0.53%	60.7%8.94%	78.0%3.01%	61.7%14.03%	84.4%2.76%	39.7%17.85%	74.0%6.28%	88.4%1.03%	80.9%2.79%	68.0%11.28%		85.4%1.24%	83.9%0.57%	69.3%8.37%
St. Louis Rams	46.0%0.05%	64.3%0.01%	24.5%0.19%	45.8%0.10%	20.8%0.76%	51.3%0.11%	11.8%1.53%	33.3%0.25%	53.3%0.01%	44.8%0.10%	29.1%0.58%	14.6%1.24%		29.6%0.03%	31.7%0.36%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.11%	38.1%0.02%	23.8%0.31%	56.2%0.02%	15.3%0.56%	36.6%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%	37.5%0.20%	16.1%0.57%	70.4%0.03%		40.0%0.10%
Washington Redskins	67.0%0.18%	71.7%0.17%	41.2%2.46%	63.3%0.79%	40.7%4.34%	68.8%0.78%	22.3%8.44%	53.6%1.70%	74.9%0.37%	63.8%0.45%	49.0%2.96%	30.7%8.37%	68.3%0.36%	60.0%0.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		23.7%0.19%	52.6%0.02%	17.4%0.48%	37.7%0.07%	37.0%0.10%	25.0%<0.01%	30.7%0.23%	31.1%0.15%	24.2%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	31.1%0.10%	28.1%0.17%	42.7%0.07%	33.3%0.02%
Buffalo Bills	76.3%0.19%		56.0%0.51%	39.1%5.88%	58.0%1.60%	56.9%0.59%	62.2%0.30%	58.3%2.26%	58.2%0.84%	43.0%1.67%	0.0%<0.01%	53.4%1.28%	49.3%3.65%	65.8%0.65%	61.5%0.25%
Cincinnati Bengals	47.4%0.02%	44.0%0.51%		31.4%1.35%	53.9%0.19%	51.5%0.21%	52.4%0.04%	48.5%0.57%	52.0%0.38%	37.8%0.65%	100.0%<0.01%	46.8%0.31%	42.2%0.48%	52.4%0.14%	53.6%0.06%
Denver Broncos	82.6%0.48%	60.9%5.88%	68.6%1.35%		71.2%4.37%	67.0%2.79%	73.7%0.73%	64.3%2.92%	69.7%3.91%	55.3%6.49%	85.7%0.01%	64.6%1.67%	60.8%9.65%	71.4%0.85%	70.0%0.43%
Houston Oilers	62.3%0.07%	42.0%1.60%	46.1%0.19%	28.8%4.37%		48.9%0.75%	48.0%0.10%	43.7%1.60%	50.3%1.11%	33.4%2.10%	0.0%<0.01%	47.5%0.94%	39.9%1.34%	50.1%0.49%	49.7%0.18%
Indianapolis Colts	63.0%0.10%	43.1%0.59%	48.5%0.21%	33.0%2.79%	51.1%0.75%		63.2%0.15%	47.0%1.04%	51.5%0.39%	36.9%0.76%	100.0%<0.01%	45.1%0.61%	40.9%1.79%	53.6%0.28%	56.7%0.14%
Jacksonville Jaguars	75.0%<0.01%	37.8%0.30%	47.6%0.04%	26.3%0.73%	52.0%0.10%	36.8%0.15%		37.6%0.28%	44.2%0.16%	28.5%0.29%	0.0%<0.01%	35.2%0.16%	41.1%0.24%	38.1%0.08%	40.7%0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	69.3%0.23%	41.7%2.26%	51.5%0.57%	35.7%2.92%	56.3%1.60%	53.0%1.04%	62.4%0.28%		55.6%1.66%	38.4%2.80%	100.0%0.01%	47.8%0.65%	45.6%3.78%	59.2%0.34%	48.8%0.13%
Miami Dolphins	68.9%0.15%	41.8%0.84%	48.0%0.38%	30.3%3.91%	49.7%1.11%	48.5%0.39%	55.8%0.16%	44.4%1.66%		35.2%1.09%	0.0%<0.01%	48.9%0.80%	41.5%2.41%	61.5%0.43%	49.5%0.20%
New England Patriots	75.8%0.21%	57.0%1.67%	62.2%0.65%	44.7%6.49%	66.6%2.10%	63.1%0.76%	71.5%0.29%	61.6%2.80%	64.8%1.09%		100.0%<0.01%	59.2%1.55%	53.4%4.60%	68.4%0.75%	68.6%0.37%
New York Jets	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	68.9%0.10%	46.6%1.28%	53.2%0.31%	35.4%1.67%	52.5%0.94%	54.9%0.61%	64.8%0.16%	52.2%0.65%	51.1%0.80%	40.8%1.55%	100.0%<0.01%		42.0%2.07%	61.8%0.18%	56.8%0.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	71.9%0.17%	50.7%3.65%	57.8%0.48%	39.2%9.65%	60.1%1.34%	59.1%1.79%	58.9%0.24%	54.4%3.78%	58.5%2.41%	46.6%4.60%	80.0%0.01%	58.0%2.07%		61.2%1.04%	59.8%0.46%
San Diego Chargers	57.3%0.07%	34.2%0.65%	47.6%0.14%	28.6%0.85%	49.9%0.49%	46.4%0.28%	61.9%0.08%	40.8%0.34%	38.5%0.43%	31.6%0.75%	75.0%<0.01%	38.2%0.18%	38.8%1.04%		71.4%0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	66.7%0.02%	38.5%0.25%	46.4%0.06%	30.0%0.43%	50.3%0.18%	43.3%0.14%	59.3%0.03%	51.2%0.13%	50.5%0.20%	31.4%0.37%	100.0%<0.01%	43.2%0.07%	40.2%0.46%	28.6%0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		100.0%<0.01%	20.5%0.08%	34.6%0.03%	23.5%0.05%	36.4%0.01%	10.1%0.37%	48.3%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.04%	15.1%0.23%	60.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	34.8%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	0.0%<0.01%		9.1%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	22.2%0.04%	54.5%0.01%	9.0%0.18%	18.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	16.7%0.02%	12.5%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	31.8%0.02%
Carolina Panthers	79.5%0.08%	90.9%0.01%		65.6%0.27%	52.4%2.15%	76.1%0.19%	31.2%6.45%	62.4%0.62%	86.4%0.04%	74.8%0.15%	59.5%1.16%	43.2%2.95%	83.0%0.05%	77.8%0.03%	60.7%0.88%
Chicago Bears	65.4%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.27%		28.1%0.42%	52.2%0.02%	20.0%0.88%	39.6%0.09%	71.4%0.01%	50.0%0.04%	39.4%0.27%	24.7%1.03%	43.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	43.2%0.19%
Dallas Cowboys	76.5%0.05%	77.8%0.04%	47.6%2.15%	71.9%0.42%		78.4%0.29%	32.0%11.21%	61.4%1.19%	88.7%0.10%	67.3%0.15%	59.9%1.20%	37.9%7.86%	73.7%0.15%	69.8%0.06%	59.7%0.90%
Detroit Lions	63.6%0.01%	45.5%0.01%	23.9%0.19%	47.8%0.02%	21.6%0.29%		14.7%0.63%	41.5%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.03%	28.1%0.17%	19.0%0.73%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.14%
Green Bay Packers	89.9%0.37%	91.0%0.18%	68.8%6.45%	80.0%0.88%	68.0%11.21%	85.3%0.63%		76.1%2.20%	92.2%0.34%	83.9%0.96%	76.0%7.13%	59.4%25.54%	87.9%0.45%	83.4%0.14%	76.8%5.10%
Minnesota Vikings	51.7%0.03%	81.2%0.02%	37.6%0.62%	60.4%0.09%	38.6%1.19%	58.5%0.04%	23.9%2.20%		84.6%0.03%	60.0%0.09%	43.6%0.73%	27.5%2.63%	65.4%0.05%	25.0%<0.01%	42.1%0.46%
New Orleans Saints	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	13.6%0.04%	28.6%0.01%	11.3%0.10%	25.0%<0.01%	7.8%0.34%	15.4%0.03%		28.6%<0.01%	14.0%0.06%	13.2%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	37.1%0.03%
New York Giants	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	25.2%0.15%	50.0%0.04%	32.7%0.15%	55.6%0.03%	16.1%0.96%	40.0%0.09%	71.4%<0.01%		31.7%0.10%	18.9%0.61%	66.7%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	35.3%0.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	62.5%0.04%	83.3%0.02%	40.5%1.16%	60.6%0.27%	40.1%1.20%	71.9%0.17%	24.0%7.13%	56.4%0.73%	86.0%0.06%	68.3%0.10%		32.5%4.74%	67.0%0.09%	72.7%0.03%	51.2%0.52%
San Francisco 49ers	84.9%0.23%	87.5%0.06%	56.8%2.95%	75.3%1.03%	62.1%7.86%	81.0%0.73%	40.6%25.54%	72.5%2.63%	86.8%0.11%	81.1%0.61%	67.5%4.74%		82.1%0.21%	79.3%0.15%	68.5%3.29%
St. Louis Rams	40.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	17.0%0.05%	56.2%0.02%	26.3%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	12.1%0.45%	34.6%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	33.0%0.09%	17.9%0.21%		25.0%<0.01%	35.9%0.06%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	22.2%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	30.2%0.06%	60.0%<0.01%	16.6%0.14%	75.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.03%	20.7%0.15%	75.0%<0.01%		40.7%0.03%
Washington Redskins	65.2%0.02%	68.2%0.02%	39.3%0.88%	56.8%0.19%	40.3%0.90%	63.6%0.14%	23.2%5.10%	57.9%0.46%	62.9%0.03%	64.7%0.07%	48.8%0.52%	31.5%3.29%	64.1%0.06%	59.3%0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens		0.0%<0.01%	24.2%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	23.6%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.20%	35.0%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%	27.6%0.03%	23.2%0.12%		0.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.02%
Buffalo Bills	73.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	36.9%0.68%	49.6%0.12%	45.1%1.01%	63.0%0.05%	29.3%4.10%	55.8%0.28%	81.2%0.02%	64.9%0.06%	51.4%0.47%	35.8%2.59%	71.4%0.02%	60.0%0.01%	54.0%0.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	38.0%0.15%	71.4%0.01%	37.5%0.22%	81.8%0.01%	26.0%0.83%	61.2%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	46.9%0.13%	33.5%0.56%	83.3%<0.01%		47.4%0.08%
Denver Broncos	72.1%0.04%	70.6%0.02%	46.2%1.76%	64.4%0.25%	54.1%2.79%	74.4%0.12%	38.2%10.91%	63.5%0.73%	81.8%0.02%	69.5%0.13%	60.0%1.48%	45.9%7.09%	82.0%0.06%	58.6%0.03%	58.7%1.05%
Houston Oilers	62.5%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	28.2%0.37%	61.2%0.05%	32.5%0.63%	48.1%0.03%	22.5%2.38%	43.4%0.15%	44.4%<0.01%	41.9%0.03%	41.5%0.31%	26.7%1.54%	0.0%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	38.1%0.23%
Indianapolis Colts	71.4%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.26%	55.6%0.03%	36.2%0.40%	50.0%0.02%	25.9%1.70%	53.4%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	45.8%0.02%	46.3%0.21%	30.0%1.12%	50.0%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	46.5%0.14%
Jacksonville Jaguars			28.1%0.06%	60.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.09%	33.3%<0.01%	19.0%0.41%	39.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	30.2%0.04%	22.8%0.22%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	31.0%0.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.8%0.56%	36.8%0.06%	37.5%0.91%	53.8%0.05%	23.6%3.45%	46.4%0.21%	71.4%<0.01%	47.4%0.04%	45.7%0.47%	30.0%2.26%	33.3%0.02%	50.0%0.01%	48.2%0.30%
Miami Dolphins	30.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	29.3%0.33%	55.0%0.04%	35.5%0.56%	44.0%0.03%	24.9%2.37%	46.3%0.15%	62.5%<0.01%	70.4%0.03%	42.8%0.27%	28.3%1.48%	60.0%0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	47.4%0.23%
New England Patriots	83.3%0.02%	63.6%0.01%	47.4%0.86%	58.9%0.12%	52.7%1.39%	69.4%0.07%	34.9%5.46%	56.5%0.34%	100.0%<0.01%	81.2%0.05%	55.3%0.76%	42.2%3.48%	75.0%0.03%	73.3%0.01%	56.4%0.48%
New York Jets					0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	35.5%0.32%	64.8%0.05%	43.7%0.52%	68.2%0.02%	28.3%1.98%	50.4%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	70.0%0.02%	48.2%0.25%	35.2%1.28%	94.1%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	40.6%0.15%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.1%0.02%	87.5%<0.01%	39.8%1.07%	59.4%0.16%	40.3%1.62%	75.6%0.08%	28.6%6.61%	58.4%0.41%	69.2%0.01%	60.0%0.10%	49.2%0.85%	34.8%4.17%	72.5%0.04%	46.2%0.01%	51.2%0.60%
San Diego Chargers	100.0%<0.01%		22.4%0.12%	61.1%0.02%	29.3%0.21%	50.0%0.01%	19.2%0.83%	42.4%0.07%		57.1%0.01%	42.5%0.11%	23.2%0.55%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	42.2%0.08%
Seattle Seahawks	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.7%0.05%	60.0%0.01%	33.7%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	24.4%0.39%	31.6%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	71.4%<0.01%	44.2%0.04%	27.1%0.28%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	55.6%0.04%
Arizona Cardinals																	26.1%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	27.9%0.04%	37.5%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%	16.7%0.02%		60.0%<0.01%	40.9%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	12.5%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																75.8%0.03%	63.1%0.68%	62.0%0.15%	53.8%1.76%	71.8%0.37%	63.6%0.26%	71.9%0.06%	66.2%0.56%	70.7%0.33%	52.6%0.86%		64.5%0.32%	60.2%1.07%	77.6%0.12%	67.3%0.05%
Chicago Bears																66.7%<0.01%	50.4%0.12%	28.6%0.01%	35.6%0.25%	38.8%0.05%	44.4%0.03%	40.0%<0.01%	63.2%0.06%	45.0%0.04%	41.1%0.12%		35.2%0.05%	40.6%0.16%	38.9%0.02%	40.0%0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																76.4%0.06%	54.9%1.01%	62.5%0.22%	45.9%2.79%	67.5%0.63%	63.7%0.40%	73.3%0.09%	62.5%0.91%	64.5%0.56%	47.3%1.39%	100.0%<0.01%	56.3%0.52%	59.7%1.62%	70.7%0.21%	66.3%0.10%
Detroit Lions																0.0%<0.01%	37.0%0.05%	18.2%0.01%	25.6%0.12%	51.9%0.03%	50.0%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	46.2%0.05%	56.0%0.03%	30.6%0.07%		31.8%0.02%	24.4%0.08%	50.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																85.7%0.20%	70.7%4.10%	74.0%0.83%	61.8%10.91%	77.5%2.38%	74.1%1.70%	81.0%0.41%	76.4%3.45%	75.1%2.37%	65.1%5.46%	100.0%<0.01%	71.7%1.98%	71.4%6.61%	80.8%0.83%	75.6%0.39%
Minnesota Vikings																65.0%0.02%	44.2%0.28%	38.8%0.05%	36.5%0.73%	56.6%0.15%	46.6%0.10%	60.7%0.03%	53.6%0.21%	53.7%0.15%	43.5%0.34%		49.6%0.12%	41.6%0.41%	57.6%0.07%	68.4%0.02%
New Orleans Saints																	18.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.02%	55.6%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																0.0%<0.01%	35.1%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	30.5%0.13%	58.1%0.03%	54.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	52.6%0.04%	29.6%0.03%	18.8%0.05%		30.0%0.02%	40.0%0.10%	42.9%0.01%	28.6%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																72.4%0.03%	48.6%0.47%	53.1%0.13%	40.0%1.48%	58.5%0.31%	53.7%0.21%	69.8%0.04%	54.3%0.47%	57.2%0.27%	44.7%0.76%		51.8%0.25%	50.8%0.85%	57.5%0.11%	55.8%0.04%
San Francisco 49ers																76.8%0.12%	64.2%2.59%	66.5%0.56%	54.1%7.09%	73.3%1.54%	70.0%1.12%	77.2%0.22%	70.0%2.26%	71.7%1.48%	57.8%3.48%	100.0%<0.01%	64.8%1.28%	65.2%4.17%	76.8%0.55%	72.9%0.28%
St. Louis Rams																	28.6%0.02%	16.7%<0.01%	18.0%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.02%	40.0%0.01%	25.0%0.03%		5.9%0.02%	27.5%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																100.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%		41.4%0.03%	14.3%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	26.7%0.01%		60.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																87.5%0.02%	46.0%0.35%	52.6%0.08%	41.3%1.05%	61.9%0.23%	53.5%0.14%	69.0%0.04%	51.8%0.30%	52.6%0.23%	43.6%0.48%		59.4%0.15%	48.8%0.60%	57.8%0.08%	44.4%0.04%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	75.42%	56.17%	36.43%	Won Super Bowl
Denver Broncos	100.00%	73.86%	49.91%	20.91%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Carolina Panthers	100.00%	62.48%	20.68%	10.96%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
New England Patriots	100.00%	67.83%	28.59%	10.93%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	77.71%	26.44%	11.86%	7.33%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	73.34%	26.21%	8.46%	4.45%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Buffalo Bills	75.22%	22.71%	8.64%	3.21%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	68.08%	22.26%	8.65%	3.12%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Indianapolis Colts	31.92%	8.03%	2.63%	0.88%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	22.29%	5.11%	1.63%	0.81%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings	26.66%	4.33%	1.20%	0.55%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	24.78%	5.31%	1.57%	0.42%	Eliminated in Conference Championship

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills			75.2%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts				31.9%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars	24.8%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers		68.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys		73.3%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings	26.7%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles				22.3%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers			77.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		28.7%51.09%			33.3%24.14%
Denver Broncos	71.3%51.09%		74.8%31.92%	79.7%16.99%
Indianapolis Colts		25.2%31.92%
Jacksonville Jaguars		20.3%16.99%			23.9%7.79%
New England Patriots	66.7%24.14%			76.1%7.79%		67.3%68.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers					32.7%68.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers		64.3%73.34%			67.5%5.96%	54.7%20.70%
Dallas Cowboys	35.7%73.34%
Green Bay Packers				83.7%26.66%	80.5%16.34%	70.1%57.01%
Minnesota Vikings			16.3%26.66%
Philadelphia Eagles	32.5%5.96%		19.5%16.34%
San Francisco 49ers	45.3%20.70%		29.9%57.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		30.7%6.09%	66.3%1.96%		36.3%9.80%	39.4%4.86%
Denver Broncos	69.3%6.09%			76.5%1.37%	66.5%50.10%	69.6%16.30%
Indianapolis Colts	33.7%1.96%			45.2%0.49%	31.4%5.58%
Jacksonville Jaguars		23.5%1.37%	54.8%0.49%		27.2%2.35%	31.1%1.10%
New England Patriots	63.7%9.80%	33.5%50.10%	68.6%5.58%	72.8%2.35%
Pittsburgh Steelers	60.6%4.86%	30.4%16.30%		68.9%1.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers			24.9%46.76%	70.5%2.48%	66.9%2.08%	52.8%11.17%
Dallas Cowboys			24.4%19.21%		65.5%1.10%	51.8%5.90%
Green Bay Packers	75.1%46.76%	75.6%19.21%			77.9%1.62%	67.3%7.83%
Minnesota Vikings	29.5%2.48%				35.8%0.32%	22.9%1.54%
Philadelphia Eagles	33.1%2.08%	34.5%1.10%	22.1%1.62%	64.2%0.32%
San Francisco 49ers	47.2%11.17%	48.2%5.90%	32.7%7.83%	77.1%1.54%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills	44.0%1.79%	45.0%0.73%	32.9%4.88%	54.9%0.11%	51.0%0.15%	35.8%0.98%
Denver Broncos	49.4%10.32%	50.3%4.24%	37.5%28.00%	58.3%0.58%	52.2%0.83%	40.5%5.95%
Indianapolis Colts	36.8%0.59%	38.3%0.21%	30.3%1.44%	54.5%0.03%	48.8%0.04%	33.1%0.32%
Jacksonville Jaguars	35.1%0.31%	31.2%0.13%	23.5%0.92%	30.0%0.02%	16.1%0.03%	26.9%0.17%
New England Patriots	46.7%5.95%	45.2%2.39%	33.9%16.04%	51.3%0.34%	48.9%0.43%	36.3%3.44%
Pittsburgh Steelers	42.7%1.73%	45.0%0.77%	31.6%4.90%	46.8%0.11%	48.0%0.15%	36.5%1.00%
Carolina Panthers							56.0%1.79%	50.6%10.32%	63.2%0.59%	64.9%0.31%	53.3%5.95%	57.3%1.73%
Dallas Cowboys							55.0%0.73%	49.7%4.24%	61.7%0.21%	68.8%0.13%	54.8%2.39%	55.0%0.77%
Green Bay Packers							67.1%4.88%	62.5%28.00%	69.7%1.44%	76.5%0.92%	66.1%16.04%	68.4%4.90%
Minnesota Vikings							45.1%0.11%	41.7%0.58%	45.5%0.03%	70.0%0.02%	48.7%0.34%	53.2%0.11%
Philadelphia Eagles							49.0%0.15%	47.8%0.83%	51.2%0.04%	83.9%0.03%	51.1%0.43%	52.0%0.15%
San Francisco 49ers							64.2%0.98%	59.5%5.95%	66.9%0.32%	73.1%0.17%	63.7%3.44%	63.5%1.00%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 36.43% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

52.96%

Win Prob

70.06%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

62.50%

Win Prob

75.09%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

48.02%

Win Prob

62.49%

Denver Broncos 20.91% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

49.32%

Win Prob

71.30%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

66.70%

Win Prob

66.46%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

50.22%

Win Prob

37.51%

Carolina Panthers 10.96% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

75.44%

Win Prob

64.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

56.32%

Win Prob

24.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

47.66%

Win Prob

50.64%

New England Patriots 10.93% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

67.54%

Win Prob

67.30%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

58.77%

Win Prob

33.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.75%

Win Prob

33.90%

San Francisco 49ers 7.33% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

77.71%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

64.55%

Win Prob

29.94%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

44.45%

Win Prob

47.18%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

48.24%

Win Prob

59.46%

Dallas Cowboys 4.45% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.34%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.74%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

55.33%

Win Prob

24.36%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

47.33%

Win Prob

49.69%

Buffalo Bills 3.21% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

75.22%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

64.57%

Win Prob

28.70%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

41.16%

Win Prob

36.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

50.08%

Win Prob

32.94%

Pittsburgh Steelers 3.12% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.08%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.70%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

57.21%

Win Prob

30.36%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.65%

Win Prob

31.59%

Indianapolis Colts 0.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.92%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.16%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

66.48%

Win Prob

31.36%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.66%

Win Prob

30.30%

Philadelphia Eagles 0.81% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

22.29%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

62.16%

Win Prob

19.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

42.14%

Win Prob

33.06%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

48.71%

Win Prob

47.83%

Minnesota Vikings 0.55% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.66%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

16.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

61.07%

Win Prob

29.52%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.32%

Win Prob

41.65%

Jacksonville Jaguars 0.42% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.78%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

64.95%

Win Prob

20.30%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

40.65%

Win Prob

27.17%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

51.43%

Win Prob

23.53%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1996-09-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1455.51	1515.16	30.15%	69.66%	-12.30	0-1
1996-09-08	Miami Dolphins	L 10-38	1443.21	1545.92	47.44%	52.34%	-38.67	0-2
1996-09-15	@ New England Patriots	L 0-31	1404.54	1456.12	31.13%	68.67%	-26.71	0-3
1996-09-22	@ New Orleans Saints	W 28-14	1377.83	1437.86	30.10%	69.71%	+40.15	1-3
1996-09-29	St. Louis Rams	W 31-28	1417.98	1427.84	60.63%	39.16%	+10.45	2-3
1996-10-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-17	1428.43	1580.64	20.23%	79.63%	-11.66	2-4
1996-10-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-9	1416.77	1380.47	66.76%	33.05%	+10.19	3-4
1996-10-27	New York Jets	L 21-31	1426.96	1295.98	77.58%	22.27%	-37.76	3-5
1996-11-03	@ New York Giants	L 8-16	1389.20	1485.54	25.90%	73.93%	-11.29	3-6
1996-11-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-34	1377.91	1563.40	17.31%	82.55%	+22.01	4-6
1996-11-17	New York Giants	W 31-23	1399.92	1477.33	51.08%	48.70%	+21.22	5-6
1996-11-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 36-30	1421.14	1571.05	40.75%	59.03%	+22.26	6-6
1996-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-41	1443.40	1475.18	33.63%	66.18%	-25.38	6-7
1996-12-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 6-10	1418.02	1626.20	32.98%	66.83%	-10.17	6-8
1996-12-15	Washington Redskins	W 27-26	1407.85	1503.58	48.44%	51.34%	+7.91	7-8
1996-12-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-29	1415.76	1533.48	23.61%	76.22%	-11.50	7-9
1996-09-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 6-29	1500.22	1417.04	49.53%	50.25%	-36.59	0-1
1996-09-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-23	1463.63	1531.51	52.45%	47.33%	-19.79	0-2
1996-09-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-33	1443.84	1524.61	50.59%	49.19%	-30.18	0-3
1996-09-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-39	1413.66	1591.99	17.91%	81.95%	-12.94	0-4
1996-10-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-28	1400.72	1572.23	18.49%	81.37%	-5.70	0-5
1996-10-13	Houston Oilers	L 13-23	1395.02	1524.80	43.58%	56.21%	-21.23	0-6
1996-10-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 28-32	1373.79	1592.30	14.76%	85.12%	-4.55	0-7
1996-10-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1369.24	1595.54	30.72%	69.09%	-8.20	0-8
1996-11-03	Carolina Panthers	W 20-17	1361.04	1495.96	42.85%	56.93%	+15.19	1-8
1996-11-10	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-59	1376.23	1356.69	40.50%	59.29%	-40.92	1-9
1996-11-17	New Orleans Saints	W 17-15	1335.31	1358.22	58.82%	40.96%	+8.93	2-9
1996-11-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-41	1344.24	1463.12	23.49%	76.34%	-11.45	2-10
1996-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-34	1332.79	1651.67	20.66%	79.19%	-15.60	2-11
1996-12-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-15	1317.19	1301.68	39.94%	59.85%	+36.87	3-11
1996-12-15	St. Louis Rams	L 27-34	1354.06	1373.47	59.31%	40.48%	-24.17	3-12
1996-12-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-19	1329.89	1452.13	23.15%	76.69%	-5.04	3-13
1996-09-01	Oakland Raiders	W 19-14	1482.85	1502.10	59.33%	40.46%	+13.94	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-31	1496.79	1513.07	35.64%	64.15%	-20.55	1-1
1996-09-15	@ Houston Oilers	L 13-29	1476.24	1509.67	33.42%	66.39%	-20.60	1-2
1996-09-29	New Orleans Saints	W 17-10	1455.64	1397.71	69.45%	30.36%	+12.38	2-2
1996-10-06	New England Patriots	L 38-46	1468.02	1489.65	59.00%	40.79%	-25.70	2-3
1996-10-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 21-26	1442.32	1564.91	23.11%	76.73%	-7.96	2-4
1996-10-20	@ Denver Broncos	L 34-45	1434.36	1588.61	20.04%	79.82%	-10.24	2-5
1996-10-27	St. Louis Rams	W 37-31	1424.12	1381.47	67.56%	32.25%	+12.17	3-5
1996-11-03	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1436.29	1431.54	62.62%	37.18%	-16.70	3-6
1996-11-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1419.59	1374.72	44.05%	55.73%	-11.75	3-7
1996-11-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-38	1407.84	1628.31	14.62%	85.26%	-9.55	3-8
1996-11-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 25-28	1398.29	1374.03	65.20%	34.60%	-17.39	3-9
1996-12-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-17	1380.90	1621.14	29.04%	70.78%	+40.76	4-9
1996-12-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-21	1421.66	1461.35	32.62%	67.19%	-13.30	4-10
1996-12-15	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-27	1408.36	1616.01	15.57%	84.31%	-7.95	4-11
1996-12-22	Houston Oilers	L 21-24	1400.41	1467.60	52.55%	47.24%	-14.01	4-12
1996-09-01	@ New York Giants	W 23-20	1510.18	1490.56	40.51%	59.28%	+15.81	1-0
1996-09-08	New England Patriots	W 17-10	1525.99	1468.52	69.40%	30.41%	+12.40	2-0
1996-09-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-24	1538.39	1533.62	38.47%	61.33%	-25.15	2-1
1996-09-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 10-7	1513.24	1574.22	53.44%	46.35%	+12.37	3-1
1996-10-06	Indianapolis Colts	W 16-13	1525.61	1576.91	54.82%	44.96%	+12.00	4-1
1996-10-13	Miami Dolphins	L 7-21	1537.61	1546.25	60.80%	38.99%	-35.03	4-2
1996-10-20	@ New York Jets	W 25-22	1502.58	1305.15	65.44%	34.36%	+9.17	5-2
1996-10-27	@ New England Patriots	L 25-28	1511.75	1542.77	33.72%	66.08%	-9.00	5-3
1996-11-03	Washington Redskins	W 38-13	1502.75	1603.49	47.72%	52.06%	+40.09	6-3
1996-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-17	1542.84	1624.18	27.59%	72.23%	+29.42	7-3
1996-11-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-17	1572.26	1478.20	73.67%	26.15%	+15.08	8-3
1996-11-24	New York Jets	W 35-10	1587.34	1317.12	88.50%	11.40%	+8.77	9-3
1996-12-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-13	1596.11	1446.60	58.98%	40.81%	-15.73	9-4
1996-12-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-26	1580.38	1467.24	53.84%	45.94%	-23.45	9-5
1996-12-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-16	1556.93	1474.27	49.46%	50.32%	-10.77	9-6
1996-12-22	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-9	1546.16	1535.39	63.42%	36.37%	+18.59	10-6
1996-09-01	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-6	1417.04	1500.22	50.25%	49.53%	+36.59	1-0
1996-09-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 22-20	1453.63	1476.60	34.77%	65.03%	+14.16	2-0
1996-09-22	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-7	1467.79	1629.34	39.15%	60.64%	+37.35	3-0
1996-09-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 14-24	1505.14	1376.21	56.09%	43.70%	-27.31	3-1
1996-10-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 12-14	1477.83	1574.66	25.85%	73.98%	-5.64	3-2
1996-10-13	St. Louis Rams	W 45-13	1472.19	1394.74	71.78%	28.04%	+24.45	4-2
1996-10-20	New Orleans Saints	W 19-7	1496.64	1409.84	72.86%	26.97%	+14.39	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-20	1511.03	1576.12	29.49%	70.32%	-15.07	5-3
1996-11-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1495.96	1361.04	56.93%	42.85%	-15.19	5-4
1996-11-10	New York Giants	W 27-17	1480.77	1496.83	59.78%	40.01%	+19.50	6-4
1996-11-17	@ St. Louis Rams	W 20-10	1500.27	1397.61	52.34%	47.45%	+23.11	7-4
1996-11-24	@ Houston Oilers	W 31-6	1523.38	1547.50	34.62%	65.18%	+50.18	8-4
1996-12-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-0	1573.56	1422.42	79.53%	20.33%	+15.34	9-4
1996-12-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-24	1588.90	1667.26	27.93%	71.89%	+27.11	10-4
1996-12-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-16	1616.01	1408.36	84.31%	15.57%	+7.95	11-4
1996-12-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 18-14	1623.96	1567.21	69.31%	30.50%	+9.40	12-4
1996-09-02	Dallas Cowboys	W 22-6	1511.71	1593.29	50.48%	49.30%	+30.38	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-10	1542.09	1464.06	48.79%	50.99%	-19.89	1-1
1996-09-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-20	1522.20	1551.29	57.96%	41.83%	-21.86	1-2
1996-09-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-35	1500.34	1517.49	35.53%	64.27%	-23.86	1-3
1996-09-29	Oakland Raiders	W 19-17	1476.48	1466.08	63.37%	36.42%	+7.93	2-3
1996-10-06	Green Bay Packers	L 6-37	1484.41	1649.86	38.62%	61.18%	-33.13	2-4
1996-10-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1451.28	1397.75	45.28%	54.50%	-12.08	2-5
1996-10-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 15-13	1439.20	1544.44	24.93%	74.90%	+16.30	3-5
1996-11-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1455.50	1366.98	73.05%	26.77%	+7.15	4-5
1996-11-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 12-17	1462.65	1635.65	18.37%	81.50%	-6.33	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-14	1456.32	1613.40	19.78%	80.08%	-6.09	4-7
1996-11-24	Detroit Lions	W 31-14	1450.23	1471.01	59.12%	40.67%	+25.84	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-28	1476.07	1667.44	16.84%	83.03%	-8.60	5-8
1996-12-08	St. Louis Rams	W 35-9	1467.47	1396.05	71.07%	28.74%	+22.58	6-8
1996-12-14	San Diego Chargers	W 27-14	1490.05	1462.15	65.68%	34.13%	+18.96	7-8
1996-12-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-34	1509.01	1424.77	49.69%	50.09%	-29.64	7-9
1996-09-01	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-26	1472.85	1447.61	41.29%	58.50%	-20.12	0-1
1996-09-08	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-27	1452.73	1541.68	26.72%	73.10%	-14.85	0-2
1996-09-15	New Orleans Saints	W 30-15	1437.88	1462.44	58.59%	41.19%	+24.58	1-2
1996-09-29	Denver Broncos	L 10-14	1462.46	1554.56	48.96%	50.82%	-15.08	1-3
1996-10-06	Houston Oilers	L 27-30	1447.38	1510.63	53.11%	46.67%	-14.17	1-4
1996-10-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-20	1433.21	1610.17	18.03%	81.84%	-8.78	1-5
1996-10-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-28	1424.43	1619.40	16.55%	83.32%	-6.74	1-6
1996-10-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-21	1417.69	1388.57	65.83%	33.97%	+13.85	2-6
1996-11-03	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-21	1431.54	1436.29	37.18%	62.62%	+16.69	3-6
1996-11-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-24	1448.23	1616.35	38.25%	61.54%	+29.97	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-31	1478.20	1572.26	26.15%	73.67%	-15.08	4-7
1996-11-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-31	1463.12	1344.24	76.34%	23.49%	+11.45	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1474.57	1391.42	49.53%	50.25%	-13.22	5-8
1996-12-08	Baltimore Ravens	W 21-14	1461.35	1421.66	67.19%	32.62%	+13.30	6-8
1996-12-15	@ Houston Oilers	W 21-13	1474.65	1495.82	35.00%	64.80%	+28.22	7-8
1996-12-22	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-24	1502.87	1528.76	58.41%	41.38%	+16.87	8-8
1996-09-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-22	1593.29	1511.71	49.30%	50.48%	-30.37	0-1
1996-09-08	New York Giants	W 27-0	1562.92	1474.75	73.01%	26.81%	+21.46	1-1
1996-09-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-25	1584.38	1553.90	66.01%	33.79%	-10.16	1-2
1996-09-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-10	1574.22	1513.24	46.35%	53.44%	-12.36	1-3
1996-09-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-19	1561.86	1554.79	38.78%	61.01%	+18.78	2-3
1996-10-13	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-3	1580.64	1428.43	79.63%	20.23%	+11.66	3-3
1996-10-20	Atlanta Falcons	W 32-28	1592.30	1373.79	85.12%	14.76%	+4.55	4-3
1996-10-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 29-10	1596.85	1564.64	42.26%	57.52%	+38.61	5-3
1996-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-31	1635.46	1591.19	67.76%	32.04%	-32.99	5-4
1996-11-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1602.47	1646.37	32.09%	67.72%	+18.06	6-4
1996-11-18	Green Bay Packers	W 21-6	1620.53	1680.20	53.62%	46.16%	+27.54	7-4
1996-11-24	@ New York Giants	L 6-20	1648.07	1456.11	64.73%	35.07%	-37.29	7-5
1996-11-28	Washington Redskins	W 21-10	1610.78	1551.31	69.64%	30.17%	+15.42	8-5
1996-12-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 10-6	1626.20	1418.02	66.83%	32.98%	+10.17	9-5
1996-12-15	New England Patriots	W 12-6	1636.37	1619.25	64.26%	35.53%	+13.41	10-5
1996-12-22	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-37	1649.78	1495.67	59.62%	40.17%	-47.70	10-6
1996-09-01	New York Jets	W 31-6	1508.99	1435.98	71.26%	28.56%	+22.01	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-20	1531.00	1470.37	46.30%	53.49%	+26.05	2-0
1996-09-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-23	1557.05	1399.70	80.10%	19.75%	+6.08	3-0
1996-09-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-17	1563.13	1606.89	32.11%	67.70%	-8.57	3-1
1996-09-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 14-10	1554.56	1462.46	50.82%	48.96%	+15.09	4-1
1996-10-06	San Diego Chargers	W 28-17	1569.65	1564.37	62.69%	37.11%	+18.96	5-1
1996-10-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 45-34	1588.61	1434.36	79.82%	20.04%	+10.24	6-1
1996-10-27	Kansas City Chiefs	W 34-7	1598.85	1585.93	63.71%	36.09%	+28.90	7-1
1996-11-04	@ Oakland Raiders	W 22-21	1627.75	1551.68	48.51%	51.27%	+7.90	8-1
1996-11-10	Chicago Bears	W 17-12	1635.65	1462.65	81.50%	18.37%	+6.32	9-1
1996-11-17	@ New England Patriots	W 34-8	1641.97	1583.80	45.94%	53.84%	+42.28	10-1
1996-11-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 21-17	1684.25	1485.73	65.58%	34.22%	+10.55	11-1
1996-12-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-7	1694.80	1479.22	84.90%	14.98%	+11.98	12-1
1996-12-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-41	1706.78	1676.04	42.06%	57.73%	-38.33	12-2
1996-12-15	Oakland Raiders	W 24-19	1668.45	1578.32	73.23%	26.59%	+9.16	13-2
1996-12-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-16	1677.61	1443.19	70.08%	29.73%	-26.43	13-3
1996-09-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-17	1531.67	1519.33	39.50%	60.29%	-12.17	0-1
1996-09-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-6	1519.50	1414.60	74.86%	24.97%	+14.90	1-1
1996-09-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-24	1534.40	1507.70	41.49%	58.29%	-16.91	1-2
1996-09-22	Chicago Bears	W 35-16	1517.49	1500.34	64.27%	35.53%	+23.86	2-2
1996-09-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-0	1541.35	1375.49	61.23%	38.56%	+30.88	3-2
1996-10-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-24	1572.23	1400.72	81.37%	18.49%	+5.69	4-2
1996-10-13	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-37	1577.92	1490.72	50.11%	49.67%	-30.87	4-3
1996-10-27	New York Giants	L 7-35	1547.05	1422.92	76.88%	22.96%	-62.62	4-4
1996-11-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-28	1484.43	1694.49	15.39%	84.49%	-7.49	4-5
1996-11-11	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-27	1476.94	1508.31	33.68%	66.12%	-12.71	4-6
1996-11-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-16	1464.23	1509.08	55.74%	44.05%	+6.78	5-6
1996-11-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-31	1471.01	1450.23	40.67%	59.12%	-25.83	5-7
1996-11-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-28	1445.18	1574.71	43.61%	56.17%	-13.44	5-8
1996-12-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 22-24	1431.74	1500.57	52.31%	47.47%	-11.40	5-9
1996-12-15	Green Bay Packers	L 3-31	1420.34	1714.38	23.10%	76.74%	-18.83	5-10
1996-12-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	1401.51	1667.23	11.66%	88.24%	-5.68	5-11
1996-09-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-3	1557.94	1455.30	52.33%	47.45%	+40.70	1-0
1996-09-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 39-13	1598.64	1530.59	70.67%	29.14%	+22.90	2-0
1996-09-15	San Diego Chargers	W 42-10	1621.54	1556.53	70.31%	29.50%	+25.72	3-0
1996-09-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-30	1647.26	1573.16	48.23%	51.55%	-22.29	3-1
1996-09-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-10	1624.97	1434.40	64.55%	35.25%	+24.89	4-1
1996-10-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 37-6	1649.86	1484.41	61.18%	38.62%	+33.14	5-1
1996-10-14	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-20	1683.00	1627.59	69.15%	30.66%	+8.18	6-1
1996-10-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-7	1691.18	1370.29	91.15%	8.77%	+3.31	7-1
1996-11-03	Detroit Lions	W 28-18	1694.49	1484.43	84.49%	15.39%	+7.49	8-1
1996-11-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1701.98	1591.62	53.44%	46.34%	-21.78	8-2
1996-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-21	1680.20	1620.53	46.16%	53.62%	-27.54	8-3
1996-11-24	@ St. Louis Rams	W 24-9	1652.66	1374.49	75.07%	24.76%	+14.78	9-3
1996-12-01	Chicago Bears	W 28-17	1667.44	1476.07	83.03%	16.84%	+8.60	10-3
1996-12-08	Denver Broncos	W 41-6	1676.04	1706.78	57.73%	42.06%	+38.34	11-3
1996-12-15	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-3	1714.38	1420.34	76.74%	23.10%	+18.83	12-3
1996-12-22	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-10	1733.21	1526.59	84.23%	15.64%	+12.75	13-3
1996-09-01	Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-20	1496.59	1552.91	54.10%	45.68%	-8.34	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-27	1488.25	1421.04	47.24%	52.54%	+21.42	1-1
1996-09-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 29-13	1509.67	1476.24	66.39%	33.42%	+20.59	2-1
1996-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-30	1530.26	1558.77	34.05%	65.75%	-19.63	2-2
1996-10-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-27	1510.63	1447.38	46.67%	53.11%	+14.17	3-2
1996-10-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-13	1524.80	1395.02	56.21%	43.58%	+21.23	4-2
1996-10-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-13	1546.03	1618.95	51.72%	48.06%	+23.41	5-2
1996-10-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 9-10	1569.44	1626.14	54.05%	45.73%	-8.32	5-3
1996-11-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-23	1561.12	1461.53	51.89%	47.89%	-21.15	5-4
1996-11-10	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-14	1539.97	1383.54	59.94%	39.85%	+25.32	6-4
1996-11-17	Miami Dolphins	L 20-23	1565.29	1529.30	66.72%	33.09%	-17.79	6-5
1996-11-24	Carolina Panthers	L 6-31	1547.50	1523.38	65.18%	34.62%	-50.18	6-6
1996-12-01	@ New York Jets	W 35-10	1497.32	1308.35	64.34%	35.46%	+27.33	7-6
1996-12-08	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-23	1524.65	1404.63	76.46%	23.38%	-28.83	7-7
1996-12-15	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-21	1495.82	1474.65	64.80%	35.00%	-28.22	7-8
1996-12-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-21	1467.60	1400.41	47.24%	52.55%	+14.02	8-8
1996-09-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-13	1515.16	1455.51	69.66%	30.15%	+12.29	1-0
1996-09-08	@ New York Jets	W 21-7	1527.45	1413.97	53.88%	45.90%	+26.45	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 25-24	1553.90	1584.38	33.79%	66.01%	+10.17	3-0
1996-09-23	Miami Dolphins	W 10-6	1564.07	1592.16	58.10%	41.69%	+12.84	4-0
1996-10-06	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-16	1576.91	1525.61	44.96%	54.82%	-12.00	4-1
1996-10-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 26-21	1564.91	1442.32	76.73%	23.11%	+7.97	5-1
1996-10-20	New England Patriots	L 9-27	1572.88	1495.93	71.72%	28.10%	-46.84	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-31	1526.04	1585.48	30.17%	69.64%	-18.01	5-3
1996-11-03	San Diego Chargers	L 19-26	1508.03	1481.64	65.48%	34.32%	-26.67	5-4
1996-11-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-37	1481.36	1502.92	34.95%	64.85%	-26.39	5-5
1996-11-17	New York Jets	W 34-29	1454.97	1324.82	77.49%	22.35%	+7.70	6-5
1996-11-24	@ New England Patriots	L 13-27	1462.67	1541.52	27.88%	71.94%	-16.07	6-6
1996-12-01	Buffalo Bills	W 13-10	1446.60	1596.11	40.81%	58.98%	+15.73	7-6
1996-12-05	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-10	1462.33	1571.94	46.45%	53.33%	+42.68	8-6
1996-12-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-19	1505.01	1559.14	30.82%	68.99%	+23.75	9-6
1996-12-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-31	1528.76	1502.87	41.38%	58.41%	-16.87	9-7
1996-09-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-9	1384.60	1549.51	38.69%	61.10%	+36.44	1-0
1996-09-08	Houston Oilers	L 27-34	1421.04	1488.25	52.54%	47.24%	-21.41	1-1
1996-09-15	@ Oakland Raiders	L 3-17	1399.63	1470.57	28.80%	71.02%	-16.61	1-2
1996-09-22	@ New England Patriots	L 25-28	1383.02	1482.84	25.52%	74.31%	-6.81	1-3
1996-09-29	Carolina Panthers	W 24-14	1376.21	1505.14	43.70%	56.09%	+27.31	2-3
1996-10-06	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-17	1403.52	1385.33	40.31%	59.48%	-12.42	2-4
1996-10-13	New York Jets	W 21-17	1391.10	1313.80	71.76%	28.06%	+8.65	3-4
1996-10-20	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-17	1399.75	1370.30	41.88%	57.91%	-11.18	3-5
1996-10-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-28	1388.57	1417.69	33.97%	65.83%	-13.85	3-6
1996-11-10	Baltimore Ravens	W 30-27	1374.72	1419.59	55.73%	44.05%	+11.76	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-28	1386.48	1586.38	16.16%	83.71%	-12.45	4-7
1996-11-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-25	1374.03	1398.29	34.60%	65.20%	+17.39	5-7
1996-12-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-27	1391.42	1474.57	50.25%	49.53%	+13.21	6-7
1996-12-08	@ Houston Oilers	W 23-17	1404.63	1524.65	23.38%	76.46%	+28.83	7-7
1996-12-15	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-13	1433.46	1490.69	53.97%	45.81%	+18.67	8-7
1996-12-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 19-17	1452.13	1329.89	76.69%	23.15%	+5.05	9-7
1996-09-01	@ Houston Oilers	W 20-19	1552.91	1496.59	45.68%	54.10%	+8.33	1-0
1996-09-08	Oakland Raiders	W 19-3	1561.24	1488.16	71.27%	28.55%	+17.60	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 35-17	1578.84	1444.32	56.88%	42.91%	+28.05	3-0
1996-09-22	Denver Broncos	W 17-14	1606.89	1563.13	67.70%	32.11%	+8.57	4-0
1996-09-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 19-22	1615.46	1551.90	46.72%	53.07%	-12.47	4-1
1996-10-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-17	1602.99	1578.40	65.25%	34.55%	-31.76	4-2
1996-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-16	1571.23	1442.57	77.34%	22.50%	+14.70	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-34	1585.93	1598.85	36.09%	63.71%	-28.89	5-3
1996-11-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 21-6	1557.04	1528.13	41.80%	57.99%	+34.58	6-3
1996-11-10	Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1591.62	1701.98	46.34%	53.44%	+21.78	7-3
1996-11-17	Chicago Bears	W 14-10	1613.40	1456.32	80.08%	19.78%	+6.09	8-3
1996-11-24	San Diego Chargers	L 14-28	1619.49	1486.69	77.76%	22.09%	-44.78	8-4
1996-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-24	1574.71	1445.18	56.17%	43.61%	+13.44	9-4
1996-12-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-26	1588.15	1549.30	43.20%	56.59%	-29.01	9-5
1996-12-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 19-24	1559.14	1505.01	68.99%	30.82%	-23.75	9-6
1996-12-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-20	1535.39	1546.16	36.37%	63.42%	-18.59	9-7
1996-09-01	New England Patriots	W 24-10	1527.12	1487.32	67.20%	32.61%	+18.80	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-10	1545.92	1443.21	52.34%	47.44%	+38.67	2-0
1996-09-15	New York Jets	W 36-27	1584.59	1387.52	83.49%	16.38%	+7.57	3-0
1996-09-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-10	1592.16	1564.07	41.69%	58.10%	-12.85	3-1
1996-10-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 15-22	1579.31	1409.50	81.22%	18.64%	-33.06	3-2
1996-10-13	@ Buffalo Bills	W 21-7	1546.25	1537.61	38.99%	60.80%	+35.02	4-2
1996-10-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-35	1581.27	1559.48	40.81%	58.98%	-16.63	4-3
1996-10-27	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-29	1564.64	1596.85	57.52%	42.26%	-38.61	4-4
1996-11-03	@ New England Patriots	L 23-42	1526.03	1551.78	34.40%	65.40%	-23.11	4-5
1996-11-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 37-13	1502.92	1481.36	64.85%	34.95%	+26.38	5-5
1996-11-17	@ Houston Oilers	W 23-20	1529.30	1565.29	33.09%	66.72%	+17.79	6-5
1996-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1547.09	1598.83	54.76%	45.03%	-22.31	6-6
1996-12-01	@ Oakland Raiders	L 7-17	1524.78	1531.30	36.94%	62.85%	-18.00	6-7
1996-12-08	New York Giants	L 7-17	1506.78	1470.24	66.79%	33.02%	-32.51	6-8
1996-12-16	Buffalo Bills	W 16-14	1474.27	1556.93	50.32%	49.46%	+10.77	7-8
1996-12-22	@ New York Jets	W 31-28	1485.04	1270.56	67.62%	32.18%	+8.59	8-8
1996-09-01	Detroit Lions	W 17-13	1519.33	1531.67	60.29%	39.50%	+12.18	1-0
1996-09-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-17	1531.51	1463.63	47.33%	52.45%	+19.78	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-14	1551.29	1522.20	41.83%	57.96%	+21.87	3-0
1996-09-22	Green Bay Packers	W 30-21	1573.16	1647.26	51.55%	48.23%	+22.29	4-0
1996-09-29	@ New York Giants	L 10-15	1595.45	1435.95	60.36%	39.43%	-20.79	4-1
1996-10-06	Carolina Panthers	W 14-12	1574.66	1477.83	73.98%	25.85%	+5.64	5-1
1996-10-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-24	1580.30	1344.61	70.23%	29.58%	-35.86	5-2
1996-10-28	Chicago Bears	L 13-15	1544.44	1439.20	74.90%	24.93%	-16.31	5-3
1996-11-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 6-21	1528.13	1557.04	57.99%	41.80%	-34.58	5-4
1996-11-10	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-42	1493.55	1482.68	39.30%	60.49%	-26.40	5-5
1996-11-17	@ Oakland Raiders	W 16-13	1467.15	1526.81	30.15%	69.66%	+18.58	6-5
1996-11-24	Denver Broncos	L 17-21	1485.73	1684.25	34.22%	65.58%	-10.55	6-6
1996-12-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 41-17	1475.18	1443.40	66.18%	33.63%	+25.39	7-6
1996-12-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-22	1500.57	1431.74	47.47%	52.31%	+11.39	8-6
1996-12-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-10	1511.96	1439.39	71.21%	28.61%	+14.63	9-6
1996-12-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-38	1526.59	1733.21	15.64%	84.23%	-12.75	9-7
1996-09-01	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-24	1487.32	1527.12	32.61%	67.20%	-18.80	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-17	1468.52	1525.99	30.41%	69.40%	-12.40	0-2
1996-09-15	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-0	1456.12	1404.54	68.67%	31.13%	+26.72	1-2
1996-09-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-25	1482.84	1383.02	74.31%	25.52%	+6.81	2-2
1996-10-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 46-38	1489.65	1468.02	40.79%	59.00%	+25.69	3-2
1996-10-13	Washington Redskins	L 22-27	1515.34	1555.75	56.37%	43.42%	-19.41	3-3
1996-10-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-9	1495.93	1572.88	28.10%	71.72%	+46.84	4-3
1996-10-27	Buffalo Bills	W 28-25	1542.77	1511.75	66.08%	33.72%	+9.01	5-3
1996-11-03	Miami Dolphins	W 42-23	1551.78	1526.03	65.40%	34.40%	+23.11	6-3
1996-11-10	@ New York Jets	W 31-27	1574.89	1333.74	70.89%	28.93%	+8.91	7-3
1996-11-17	Denver Broncos	L 8-34	1583.80	1641.97	53.84%	45.94%	-42.28	7-4
1996-11-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-13	1541.52	1462.67	71.94%	27.88%	+16.08	8-4
1996-12-01	@ San Diego Chargers	W 45-7	1557.60	1531.47	41.41%	58.38%	+55.41	9-4
1996-12-08	New York Jets	W 34-10	1613.01	1281.02	91.65%	8.27%	+6.24	10-4
1996-12-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-12	1619.25	1636.37	35.53%	64.26%	-13.42	10-5
1996-12-21	@ New York Giants	W 23-22	1605.83	1452.98	59.44%	40.35%	+6.22	11-5
1996-09-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 11-27	1492.14	1594.82	25.21%	74.62%	-15.54	0-1
1996-09-08	Carolina Panthers	L 20-22	1476.60	1453.63	65.03%	34.77%	-14.16	0-2
1996-09-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 15-30	1462.44	1437.88	41.19%	58.59%	-24.58	0-3
1996-09-22	Arizona Cardinals	L 14-28	1437.86	1377.83	69.71%	30.10%	-40.15	0-4
1996-09-29	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-17	1397.71	1455.64	30.36%	69.45%	-12.38	0-5
1996-10-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-13	1385.33	1403.52	59.48%	40.31%	+12.42	1-5
1996-10-13	Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1397.75	1451.28	54.50%	45.28%	+12.09	2-5
1996-10-20	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-19	1409.84	1496.64	26.97%	72.86%	-14.40	2-6
1996-11-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-24	1395.44	1634.47	29.18%	70.63%	-11.90	2-7
1996-11-10	Houston Oilers	L 14-31	1383.54	1539.97	39.85%	59.94%	-25.32	2-8
1996-11-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 15-17	1358.22	1335.31	40.96%	58.82%	-8.92	2-9
1996-11-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-13	1349.30	1411.14	29.88%	69.93%	-11.28	2-10
1996-12-01	St. Louis Rams	L 10-26	1338.02	1359.72	58.99%	40.80%	-36.34	2-11
1996-12-08	Atlanta Falcons	L 15-31	1301.68	1317.19	59.85%	39.94%	-36.86	2-12
1996-12-15	@ New York Giants	W 17-3	1264.82	1502.76	13.41%	86.48%	+49.78	3-12
1996-12-21	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-14	1314.60	1397.63	27.40%	72.43%	-4.22	3-13
1996-09-01	Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1490.56	1510.18	59.28%	40.51%	-15.81	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-27	1474.75	1562.92	26.81%	73.01%	-21.47	0-2
1996-09-15	Washington Redskins	L 10-31	1453.28	1483.94	57.74%	42.05%	-40.75	0-3
1996-09-22	@ New York Jets	W 13-6	1412.53	1379.95	42.32%	57.47%	+23.42	1-3
1996-09-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 15-10	1435.95	1595.45	39.43%	60.36%	+20.78	2-3
1996-10-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-19	1456.73	1536.00	50.81%	48.97%	-23.48	2-4
1996-10-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 21-31	1433.25	1575.16	21.20%	78.65%	-10.33	2-5
1996-10-27	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-7	1422.92	1547.05	22.96%	76.88%	+62.62	3-5
1996-11-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 16-8	1485.54	1389.20	73.93%	25.90%	+11.29	4-5
1996-11-10	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-27	1496.83	1480.77	40.01%	59.78%	-19.50	4-6
1996-11-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 23-31	1477.33	1399.92	48.70%	51.08%	-21.22	4-7
1996-11-24	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-6	1456.11	1648.07	35.07%	64.73%	+37.29	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-24	1493.40	1548.78	30.67%	69.14%	-23.16	5-8
1996-12-08	@ Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1470.24	1506.78	33.02%	66.79%	+32.52	6-8
1996-12-15	New Orleans Saints	L 3-17	1502.76	1264.82	86.48%	13.41%	-49.78	6-9
1996-12-21	New England Patriots	L 22-23	1452.98	1605.83	40.35%	59.44%	-6.22	6-10
1996-09-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-31	1435.98	1508.99	28.56%	71.26%	-22.01	0-1
1996-09-08	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-21	1413.97	1527.45	45.90%	53.88%	-26.45	0-2
1996-09-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 27-36	1387.52	1584.59	16.38%	83.49%	-7.57	0-3
1996-09-22	New York Giants	L 6-13	1379.95	1412.53	57.47%	42.32%	-23.42	0-4
1996-09-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-31	1356.53	1545.59	17.02%	82.85%	-10.15	0-5
1996-10-06	Oakland Raiders	L 13-34	1346.38	1458.14	46.14%	53.64%	-32.58	0-6
1996-10-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-21	1313.80	1391.10	28.06%	71.76%	-8.65	0-7
1996-10-20	Buffalo Bills	L 22-25	1305.15	1502.58	34.36%	65.44%	-9.17	0-8
1996-10-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-21	1295.98	1426.96	22.27%	77.58%	+37.76	1-8
1996-11-10	New England Patriots	L 27-31	1333.74	1574.89	28.93%	70.89%	-8.92	1-9
1996-11-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 29-34	1324.82	1454.97	22.35%	77.49%	-7.70	1-10
1996-11-24	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-35	1317.12	1587.34	11.40%	88.50%	-8.77	1-11
1996-12-01	Houston Oilers	L 10-35	1308.35	1497.32	35.46%	64.34%	-27.33	1-12
1996-12-08	@ New England Patriots	L 10-34	1281.02	1613.01	8.27%	91.65%	-6.24	1-13
1996-12-14	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-21	1274.78	1529.26	27.38%	72.44%	-4.22	1-14
1996-12-22	Miami Dolphins	L 28-31	1270.56	1485.04	32.18%	67.62%	-8.59	1-15
1996-09-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-19	1502.10	1482.85	40.46%	59.33%	-13.94	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-19	1488.16	1561.24	28.55%	71.27%	-17.59	0-2
1996-09-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-3	1470.57	1399.63	71.02%	28.80%	+16.60	1-2
1996-09-22	San Diego Chargers	L 34-40	1487.17	1530.81	55.91%	43.88%	-21.09	1-3
1996-09-29	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-19	1466.08	1476.48	36.42%	63.37%	-7.94	1-4
1996-10-06	@ New York Jets	W 34-13	1458.14	1346.38	53.64%	46.14%	+32.58	2-4
1996-10-13	Detroit Lions	W 37-21	1490.72	1577.92	49.67%	50.11%	+30.88	3-4
1996-10-21	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-14	1521.60	1545.40	34.66%	65.14%	+30.08	4-4
1996-11-04	Denver Broncos	L 21-22	1551.68	1627.75	51.27%	48.51%	-7.89	4-5
1996-11-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1543.79	1359.83	63.67%	36.13%	-16.98	4-6
1996-11-17	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-16	1526.81	1467.15	69.66%	30.15%	-18.58	4-7
1996-11-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-21	1508.23	1502.29	38.63%	61.17%	+23.07	5-7
1996-12-01	Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1531.30	1524.78	62.85%	36.94%	+18.00	6-7
1996-12-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-7	1549.30	1588.15	56.59%	43.20%	+29.02	7-7
1996-12-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-24	1578.32	1668.45	26.59%	73.23%	-9.17	7-8
1996-12-22	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-28	1569.15	1472.02	74.01%	25.81%	-30.14	7-9
1996-09-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1515.40	1479.25	42.82%	56.97%	+15.19	1-0
1996-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-39	1530.59	1598.64	29.14%	70.67%	-22.89	1-1
1996-09-15	Detroit Lions	W 24-17	1507.70	1534.40	58.29%	41.49%	+16.91	2-1
1996-09-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 33-18	1524.61	1443.84	49.19%	50.59%	+30.18	3-1
1996-09-30	Dallas Cowboys	L 19-23	1554.79	1561.86	61.01%	38.78%	-18.79	3-2
1996-10-13	@ New York Giants	W 19-10	1536.00	1456.73	48.97%	50.81%	+23.48	4-2
1996-10-20	Miami Dolphins	W 35-28	1559.48	1581.27	58.98%	40.81%	+16.64	5-2
1996-10-27	Carolina Panthers	W 20-9	1576.12	1511.03	70.32%	29.49%	+15.07	6-2
1996-11-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 31-21	1591.19	1635.46	32.04%	67.76%	+32.99	7-2
1996-11-10	Buffalo Bills	L 17-24	1624.18	1542.84	72.23%	27.59%	-29.41	7-3
1996-11-17	Washington Redskins	L 21-26	1594.77	1541.40	68.90%	30.91%	-23.72	7-4
1996-11-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 30-36	1571.05	1421.14	59.03%	40.75%	-22.27	7-5
1996-12-01	New York Giants	W 24-0	1548.78	1493.40	69.14%	30.67%	+23.16	8-5
1996-12-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-37	1571.94	1462.33	53.33%	46.45%	-42.68	8-6
1996-12-14	@ New York Jets	W 21-20	1529.26	1274.78	72.44%	27.38%	+4.22	9-6
1996-12-22	Arizona Cardinals	W 29-19	1533.48	1415.76	76.22%	23.61%	+11.50	10-6
1996-09-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-24	1549.51	1384.60	61.10%	38.69%	-36.44	0-1
1996-09-08	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-17	1513.07	1496.79	64.15%	35.64%	+20.55	1-1
1996-09-16	Buffalo Bills	W 24-6	1533.62	1538.39	61.33%	38.47%	+25.15	2-1
1996-09-29	Houston Oilers	W 30-16	1558.77	1530.26	65.75%	34.05%	+19.63	3-1
1996-10-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-7	1578.40	1602.99	34.55%	65.25%	+31.77	4-1
1996-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-10	1610.17	1433.21	81.84%	18.03%	+8.78	5-1
1996-10-20	@ Houston Oilers	L 13-23	1618.95	1546.03	48.06%	51.72%	-23.41	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1595.54	1369.24	69.09%	30.72%	+8.20	6-2
1996-11-03	St. Louis Rams	W 42-6	1603.74	1369.30	86.24%	13.65%	+12.61	7-2
1996-11-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-34	1616.35	1448.23	61.54%	38.25%	-29.97	7-3
1996-11-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-3	1586.38	1386.48	83.71%	16.16%	+12.45	8-3
1996-11-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-17	1598.83	1547.09	45.03%	54.76%	+22.31	9-3
1996-12-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-31	1621.14	1380.90	70.78%	29.04%	-40.77	9-4
1996-12-08	San Diego Chargers	W 16-3	1580.37	1476.06	74.80%	25.03%	+13.91	10-4
1996-12-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 15-25	1594.28	1640.16	55.59%	44.19%	-27.07	10-5
1996-12-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-18	1567.21	1623.96	30.50%	69.31%	-9.40	10-6
1996-09-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 29-7	1516.33	1495.72	64.72%	35.08%	+25.35	1-0
1996-09-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-14	1541.68	1452.73	73.10%	26.72%	+14.85	2-0
1996-09-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-42	1556.53	1621.54	29.50%	70.31%	-25.72	2-1
1996-09-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 40-34	1530.81	1487.17	43.88%	55.91%	+21.09	3-1
1996-09-29	Kansas City Chiefs	W 22-19	1551.90	1615.46	53.07%	46.72%	+12.47	4-1
1996-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-28	1564.37	1569.65	37.11%	62.69%	-18.97	4-2
1996-10-21	Oakland Raiders	L 14-23	1545.40	1521.60	65.14%	34.66%	-30.09	4-3
1996-10-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-32	1515.31	1427.86	50.15%	49.63%	-33.67	4-4
1996-11-03	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 26-19	1481.64	1508.03	34.32%	65.48%	+26.67	5-4
1996-11-11	Detroit Lions	W 27-21	1508.31	1476.94	66.12%	33.68%	+12.72	6-4
1996-11-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-25	1521.03	1376.81	78.87%	20.98%	-34.34	6-5
1996-11-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-14	1486.69	1619.49	22.09%	77.76%	+44.78	7-5
1996-12-01	New England Patriots	L 7-45	1531.47	1557.60	58.38%	41.41%	-55.41	7-6
1996-12-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-16	1476.06	1580.37	25.03%	74.80%	-13.91	7-7
1996-12-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-27	1462.15	1490.05	34.13%	65.68%	-18.96	7-8
1996-12-22	Denver Broncos	W 16-10	1443.19	1677.61	29.73%	70.08%	+26.43	8-8
1996-09-01	New Orleans Saints	W 27-11	1594.82	1492.14	74.62%	25.21%	+15.54	1-0
1996-09-08	St. Louis Rams	W 34-0	1610.36	1467.72	78.72%	21.13%	+18.98	2-0
1996-09-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-23	1629.34	1467.79	60.64%	39.15%	-37.35	2-1
1996-09-29	Atlanta Falcons	W 39-17	1591.99	1413.66	81.95%	17.91%	+12.94	3-1
1996-10-06	@ St. Louis Rams	W 28-11	1604.93	1417.39	64.15%	35.65%	+22.66	4-1
1996-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-23	1627.59	1683.00	30.66%	69.15%	-8.19	4-2
1996-10-20	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-21	1619.40	1424.43	83.32%	16.55%	+6.74	5-2
1996-10-27	@ Houston Oilers	W 10-9	1626.14	1569.44	45.73%	54.05%	+8.33	6-2
1996-11-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-17	1634.47	1395.44	70.63%	29.18%	+11.90	7-2
1996-11-10	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-20	1646.37	1602.47	67.72%	32.09%	-18.06	7-3
1996-11-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 38-20	1628.31	1407.84	85.26%	14.62%	+9.55	8-3
1996-11-24	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-16	1637.86	1565.11	48.03%	51.75%	+13.81	9-3
1996-12-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-10	1651.67	1332.79	79.19%	20.66%	+15.59	10-3
1996-12-08	Carolina Panthers	L 24-30	1667.26	1588.90	71.89%	27.93%	-27.10	10-4
1996-12-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 25-15	1640.16	1594.28	44.19%	55.59%	+27.07	11-4
1996-12-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1667.23	1401.51	88.24%	11.66%	+5.68	12-4
1996-09-01	@ San Diego Chargers	L 7-29	1495.72	1516.33	35.08%	64.72%	-25.35	0-1
1996-09-08	Denver Broncos	L 20-30	1470.37	1531.00	53.49%	46.30%	-26.05	0-2
1996-09-15	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-35	1444.32	1578.84	42.91%	56.88%	-28.05	0-3
1996-09-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-13	1416.27	1393.61	40.93%	58.86%	+18.13	1-3
1996-09-29	Green Bay Packers	L 10-31	1434.40	1624.97	35.25%	64.55%	-24.90	1-4
1996-10-06	@ Miami Dolphins	W 22-15	1409.50	1579.31	18.64%	81.22%	+33.07	2-4
1996-10-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-34	1442.57	1571.23	22.50%	77.34%	-14.71	2-5
1996-10-27	San Diego Chargers	W 32-13	1427.86	1515.31	49.63%	50.15%	+33.67	3-5
1996-11-03	Houston Oilers	W 23-16	1461.53	1561.12	47.89%	51.89%	+21.15	4-5
1996-11-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 42-23	1482.68	1493.55	60.49%	39.30%	+26.40	5-5
1996-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-17	1509.08	1464.23	44.05%	55.74%	-6.79	5-6
1996-11-24	Oakland Raiders	L 21-27	1502.29	1508.23	61.17%	38.63%	-23.07	5-7
1996-12-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 7-34	1479.22	1694.80	14.98%	84.90%	-11.98	5-8
1996-12-08	Buffalo Bills	W 26-18	1467.24	1580.38	45.94%	53.84%	+23.45	6-8
1996-12-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-20	1490.69	1433.46	45.81%	53.97%	-18.67	6-9
1996-12-22	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-21	1472.02	1569.15	25.81%	74.01%	+30.14	7-9
1996-09-01	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-16	1447.61	1472.85	58.50%	41.29%	+20.11	1-0
1996-09-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-34	1467.72	1610.36	21.13%	78.72%	-18.98	1-1
1996-09-22	Washington Redskins	L 10-17	1448.74	1524.69	51.29%	48.49%	-20.90	1-2
1996-09-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 28-31	1427.84	1417.98	39.16%	60.63%	-10.45	1-3
1996-10-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 11-28	1417.39	1604.93	35.65%	64.15%	-22.65	1-4
1996-10-13	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-45	1394.74	1472.19	28.04%	71.78%	-24.44	1-5
1996-10-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-14	1370.30	1399.75	57.91%	41.88%	+11.17	2-5
1996-10-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 31-37	1381.47	1424.12	32.25%	67.56%	-12.17	2-6
1996-11-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-42	1369.30	1603.74	13.65%	86.24%	-12.61	2-7
1996-11-10	Atlanta Falcons	W 59-16	1356.69	1376.23	59.29%	40.50%	+40.92	3-7
1996-11-17	Carolina Panthers	L 10-20	1397.61	1500.27	47.45%	52.34%	-23.12	3-8
1996-11-24	Green Bay Packers	L 9-24	1374.49	1652.66	24.76%	75.07%	-14.77	3-9
1996-12-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-10	1359.72	1338.02	40.80%	58.99%	+36.33	4-9
1996-12-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 9-35	1396.05	1467.47	28.74%	71.07%	-22.58	4-10
1996-12-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-27	1373.47	1354.06	40.48%	59.31%	+24.16	5-10
1996-12-21	New Orleans Saints	W 14-13	1397.63	1314.60	72.43%	27.40%	+4.22	6-10
1996-09-01	Green Bay Packers	L 3-34	1455.30	1557.94	47.45%	52.33%	-40.70	0-1
1996-09-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-21	1414.60	1519.50	24.97%	74.86%	-14.90	0-2
1996-09-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-27	1399.70	1557.05	19.75%	80.10%	-6.09	0-3
1996-09-22	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-17	1393.61	1416.27	58.86%	40.93%	-18.12	0-4
1996-09-29	Detroit Lions	L 0-27	1375.49	1541.35	38.56%	61.23%	-30.88	0-5
1996-10-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-13	1344.61	1580.30	29.58%	70.23%	+35.86	1-5
1996-10-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 9-13	1380.47	1416.77	33.05%	66.76%	-10.18	1-6
1996-10-27	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-13	1370.29	1691.18	8.77%	91.15%	-3.31	1-7
1996-11-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1366.98	1455.50	26.77%	73.05%	-7.15	1-8
1996-11-10	Oakland Raiders	W 20-17	1359.83	1543.79	36.13%	63.67%	+16.98	2-8
1996-11-17	@ San Diego Chargers	W 25-17	1376.81	1521.03	20.98%	78.87%	+34.33	3-8
1996-11-24	New Orleans Saints	W 13-7	1411.14	1349.30	69.93%	29.88%	+11.28	4-8
1996-12-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-24	1422.42	1573.56	20.33%	79.53%	-15.34	4-9
1996-12-08	Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1407.08	1535.89	43.72%	56.07%	+32.31	5-9
1996-12-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-21	1439.39	1511.96	28.61%	71.21%	-14.62	5-10
1996-12-22	Chicago Bears	W 34-19	1424.77	1509.01	50.09%	49.69%	+29.64	6-10
1996-09-01	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-17	1479.25	1515.40	56.97%	42.82%	-15.19	0-1
1996-09-08	Chicago Bears	W 10-3	1464.06	1542.09	50.99%	48.79%	+19.88	1-1
1996-09-15	@ New York Giants	W 31-10	1483.94	1453.28	42.05%	57.74%	+40.75	2-1
1996-09-22	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-10	1524.69	1448.74	48.49%	51.29%	+20.90	3-1
1996-09-29	New York Jets	W 31-16	1545.59	1356.53	82.85%	17.02%	+10.16	4-1
1996-10-13	@ New England Patriots	W 27-22	1555.75	1515.34	43.42%	56.37%	+19.41	5-1
1996-10-20	New York Giants	W 31-21	1575.16	1433.25	78.65%	21.20%	+10.32	6-1
1996-10-27	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-16	1585.48	1526.04	69.64%	30.17%	+18.01	7-1
1996-11-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-38	1603.49	1502.75	52.06%	47.72%	-40.09	7-2
1996-11-10	Arizona Cardinals	L 34-37	1563.40	1377.91	82.55%	17.31%	-22.00	7-3
1996-11-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-21	1541.40	1594.77	30.91%	68.90%	+23.71	8-3
1996-11-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-19	1565.11	1637.86	51.75%	48.03%	-13.80	8-4
1996-11-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-21	1551.31	1610.78	30.17%	69.64%	-15.42	8-5
1996-12-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-24	1535.89	1407.08	56.07%	43.72%	-32.31	8-6
1996-12-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 26-27	1503.58	1407.85	51.34%	48.44%	-7.91	8-7
1996-12-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 37-10	1495.67	1649.78	40.17%	59.62%	+47.70	9-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1996-12-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1564.75	1457.18	75.26%	24.74%	-20.04	0-1
1997-01-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-17	1633.36	1622.73	63.51%	36.49%	+16.82	1-0
1997-01-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-30	1650.18	1767.22	23.74%	76.26%	-15.04	1-1
1996-12-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 40-15	1602.08	1513.84	73.13%	26.87%	+20.65	1-0
1997-01-05	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-26	1622.73	1633.36	36.49%	63.51%	-16.82	1-1
1997-01-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1651.18	1477.21	81.68%	18.32%	-21.74	0-1
1997-01-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 35-14	1745.96	1685.92	69.82%	30.18%	+21.26	1-0
1997-01-12	Carolina Panthers	W 30-13	1767.22	1650.18	76.26%	23.74%	+15.04	2-0
1997-01-26	@ New England Patriots	W 35-21	1782.26	1650.67	68.08%	31.92%	+18.36	3-0
1996-12-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-42	1511.89	1557.81	31.92%	68.08%	-25.96	0-1
1996-12-28	@ Buffalo Bills	W 30-27	1457.18	1564.75	24.74%	75.26%	+20.03	1-0
1997-01-04	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-27	1477.21	1651.18	18.32%	81.68%	+21.74	2-0
1997-01-12	@ New England Patriots	L 6-20	1498.95	1638.31	21.50%	78.50%	-12.36	2-1
1996-12-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 15-40	1513.84	1602.08	26.87%	73.13%	-20.66	0-1
1997-01-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-3	1612.05	1583.77	65.83%	34.17%	+26.26	1-0
1997-01-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-6	1638.31	1498.95	78.50%	21.50%	+12.36	2-0
1997-01-26	Green Bay Packers	L 21-35	1650.67	1782.26	31.92%	68.08%	-18.36	2-1
1996-12-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-14	1544.98	1672.91	22.63%	77.37%	-13.01	0-1
1996-12-29	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-14	1557.81	1511.89	68.08%	31.92%	+25.96	1-0
1997-01-05	@ New England Patriots	L 3-28	1583.77	1612.05	34.17%	65.83%	-26.26	1-1
1996-12-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 14-0	1672.91	1544.98	77.37%	22.63%	+13.01	1-0
1997-01-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-35	1685.92	1745.96	30.18%	69.82%	-21.26	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1996-12-15	13.41%	New Orleans Saints	1264.82	17	@ New York Giants	1502.76	3
2	1996-11-10	17.31%	Arizona Cardinals	1377.91	37	@ Washington Redskins	1563.40	34
3	1997-01-04 *	18.32%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1477.21	30	@ Denver Broncos	1651.18	27
4	1996-10-06	18.64%	Seattle Seahawks	1409.50	22	@ Miami Dolphins	1579.31	15
5	1996-11-17	20.98%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1376.81	25	@ San Diego Chargers	1521.03	17
6	1996-11-24	22.09%	San Diego Chargers	1486.69	28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1619.49	14
7	1996-10-27	22.27%	New York Jets	1295.98	31	@ Arizona Cardinals	1426.96	21
8	1996-10-27	22.96%	New York Giants	1422.92	35	@ Detroit Lions	1547.05	7
9	1996-12-08	23.38%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1404.63	23	@ Houston Oilers	1524.65	17
10	1996-12-28 *	24.74%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1457.18	30	@ Buffalo Bills	1564.75	27
11	1996-10-28	24.93%	Chicago Bears	1439.20	15	@ Minnesota Vikings	1544.44	13
12	1996-12-22	25.81%	Seattle Seahawks	1472.02	28	@ Oakland Raiders	1569.15	21
13	1996-11-10	27.59%	Buffalo Bills	1542.84	24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1624.18	17
14	1996-12-08	27.93%	Carolina Panthers	1588.90	30	@ San Francisco 49ers	1667.26	24
15	1996-10-20	28.10%	New England Patriots	1495.93	27	@ Indianapolis Colts	1572.88	9
16	1996-12-01	29.04%	@ Baltimore Ravens	1380.90	31	Pittsburgh Steelers	1621.14	17
17	1996-10-13	29.58%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1344.61	24	Minnesota Vikings	1580.30	13
18	1996-12-22	29.73%	@ San Diego Chargers	1443.19	16	Denver Broncos	1677.61	10
19	1996-09-22	30.10%	Arizona Cardinals	1377.83	28	@ New Orleans Saints	1437.86	14
20	1996-11-17	30.15%	Minnesota Vikings	1467.15	16	@ Oakland Raiders	1526.81	13
21	1996-12-15	30.82%	Indianapolis Colts	1505.01	24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1559.14	19
22	1996-11-17	30.91%	Washington Redskins	1541.40	26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1594.77	21
23	1996-11-03	32.04%	Philadelphia Eagles	1591.19	31	@ Dallas Cowboys	1635.46	21
24	1996-11-10	32.09%	Dallas Cowboys	1602.47	20	@ San Francisco 49ers	1646.37	17
25	1996-12-08	33.02%	New York Giants	1470.24	17	@ Miami Dolphins	1506.78	7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1996-10-27	62.62	New York Giants	35	1422.92	22.96%	@ Detroit Lions	7	1547.05	76.88%
2	1996-12-01	55.41	New England Patriots	45	1557.60	41.41%	@ San Diego Chargers	7	1531.47	58.38%
3	1996-11-24	50.18	Carolina Panthers	31	1523.38	34.62%	@ Houston Oilers	6	1547.50	65.18%
4	1996-12-15	49.78	New Orleans Saints	17	1264.82	13.41%	@ New York Giants	3	1502.76	86.48%
5	1996-12-22	47.70	@ Washington Redskins	37	1495.67	40.17%	Dallas Cowboys	10	1649.78	59.62%
6	1996-10-20	46.84	New England Patriots	27	1495.93	28.10%	@ Indianapolis Colts	9	1572.88	71.72%
7	1996-11-24	44.78	San Diego Chargers	28	1486.69	22.09%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	14	1619.49	77.76%
8	1996-12-05	42.68	@ Indianapolis Colts	37	1462.33	46.45%	Philadelphia Eagles	10	1571.94	53.33%
9	1996-11-17	42.28	Denver Broncos	34	1641.97	45.94%	@ New England Patriots	8	1583.80	53.84%
10	1996-11-10	40.92	@ St. Louis Rams	59	1356.69	59.29%	Atlanta Falcons	16	1376.23	40.50%
11	1996-12-01	40.77	@ Baltimore Ravens	31	1380.90	29.04%	Pittsburgh Steelers	17	1621.14	70.78%
12	1996-09-15	40.75	Washington Redskins	31	1483.94	42.05%	@ New York Giants	10	1453.28	57.74%
13	1996-09-01	40.70	Green Bay Packers	34	1557.94	52.33%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1455.30	47.45%
14	1996-09-22	40.15	Arizona Cardinals	28	1377.83	30.10%	@ New Orleans Saints	14	1437.86	69.71%
15	1996-11-03	40.09	@ Buffalo Bills	38	1502.75	47.72%	Washington Redskins	13	1603.49	52.06%
16	1996-09-08	38.67	Miami Dolphins	38	1545.92	52.34%	@ Arizona Cardinals	10	1443.21	47.44%
17	1996-10-27	38.61	Dallas Cowboys	29	1596.85	42.26%	@ Miami Dolphins	10	1564.64	57.52%
18	1996-12-08	38.34	@ Green Bay Packers	41	1676.04	57.73%	Denver Broncos	6	1706.78	42.06%
19	1996-10-27	37.76	New York Jets	31	1295.98	22.27%	@ Arizona Cardinals	21	1426.96	77.58%
20	1996-09-22	37.35	@ Carolina Panthers	23	1467.79	39.15%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1629.34	60.64%
21	1996-11-24	37.29	@ New York Giants	20	1456.11	35.07%	Dallas Cowboys	6	1648.07	64.73%
22	1996-12-08	36.87	Atlanta Falcons	31	1317.19	39.94%	@ New Orleans Saints	15	1301.68	59.85%
23	1996-09-01	36.59	@ Carolina Panthers	29	1417.04	50.25%	Atlanta Falcons	6	1500.22	49.53%
24	1996-09-01	36.44	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	24	1384.60	38.69%	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	1549.51	61.10%
25	1996-12-01	36.34	St. Louis Rams	26	1359.72	40.80%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1338.02	58.99%