1993 NFL Season

224 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dallas Cowboys

4th Super Bowl

Last Title: 1992

Runner-Up

Buffalo Bills

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1992

Biggest Overachiever

New York Giants

3.02 wins above expected

11 wins · 7.98 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Redskins

4.54 wins below expected

4 wins · 8.54 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Oilers Division	12	4	.750	-	368	238	+130	9.52	+2.48
2	Pittsburgh Steelers Playoffs	9	7	.562	3	308	281	+27	8.43	+0.57
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	9	.438	5	304	307	-3	7.76	-0.76
4	Cincinnati Bengals	3	13	.188	9	187	319	-132	5.84	-2.84

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Buffalo Bills Division	12	4	.750	-	329	242	+87	9.92	+2.08
2	Miami Dolphins	9	7	.562	3	349	351	-2	8.91	+0.09
3	New York Jets	8	8	.500	4	270	247	+23	7.09	+0.91
4	New England Patriots	5	11	.312	7	238	286	-48	5.75	-0.75
5	Indianapolis Colts	4	12	.250	8	189	378	-189	6.10	-2.10

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	11	5	.688	-	328	291	+37	9.08	+1.92
2	Los Angeles Raiders Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	306	326	-20	8.28	+1.72
3	Denver Broncos Playoffs	9	7	.562	2	373	284	+89	8.70	+0.30
4	San Diego Chargers	8	8	.500	3	322	290	+32	8.71	-0.71
5	Seattle Seahawks	6	10	.375	5	280	314	-34	6.22	-0.22

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Detroit Lions Division	10	6	.625	-	298	292	+6	8.35	+1.65
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	277	290	-13	8.41	+0.59
3	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	340	282	+58	8.25	+0.75
4	Chicago Bears	7	9	.438	3	234	230	+4	7.52	-0.52
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	11	.312	5	237	376	-139	5.24	-0.24

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	12	4	.750	-	376	229	+147	10.73	+1.27
2	New York Giants Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	288	205	+83	7.98	+3.02
3	Philadelphia Eagles	8	8	.500	4	293	315	-22	8.85	-0.85
4	Phoenix Cardinals	7	9	.438	5	326	269	+57	6.16	+0.84
5	Washington Redskins	4	12	.250	8	230	345	-115	8.54	-4.54

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	10	6	.625	-	473	295	+178	10.65	-0.65
2	New Orleans Saints	8	8	.500	2	317	343	-26	9.54	-1.54
3	Atlanta Falcons	6	10	.375	4	316	385	-69	6.97	-0.97
4	Los Angeles Rams	5	11	.312	5	221	367	-146	6.50	-1.50

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Kansas City Chiefs 27

Pittsburgh Steelers 24

Jan 8

Los Angeles Raiders 42

Denver Broncos 24

Jan 9

Divisional Round

Buffalo Bills 29

Los Angeles Raiders 23

Jan 15

Kansas City Chiefs 28

Houston Oilers 20

Jan 16

Conference Championship

Buffalo Bills 30

Kansas City Chiefs 13

Jan 23

NFC

Wild Card Round

Green Bay Packers 28

Detroit Lions 24

Jan 8

New York Giants 17

Minnesota Vikings 10

Jan 9

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 44

New York Giants 3

Jan 15

Dallas Cowboys 27

Green Bay Packers 17

Jan 16

Conference Championship

Dallas Cowboys 38

San Francisco 49ers 21

Jan 23

Super Bowl

Dallas Cowboys 30

Buffalo Bills 13

Jan 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1677	12	10.73	+1.27	83.05%	3	8	9	11	12	14	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1640	10	10.65	-0.65	45.89%	2	8	9	11	12	14	16
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1603	12	9.52	+2.48	94.73%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1596	12	9.92	+2.08	91.82%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1558	8	8.85	-0.85	42.78%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1552	11	9.08	+1.92	89.73%	0	6	8	9	10	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1539	11	7.98	+3.02	96.86%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1538	9	8.41	+0.59	71.21%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1537	8	8.71	-0.71	46.18%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1536	8	9.54	-1.54	29.42%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1531	9	8.70	+0.30	65.99%	0	5	7	9	10	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1526	9	8.25	+0.75	74.20%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1519	9	8.91	+0.09	62.16%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1515	9	8.43	+0.57	71.17%	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1500	10	8.35	+1.65	86.68%	0	5	7	8	10	12	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1495	4	8.54	-4.54	1.92%	0	5	7	9	10	12	16
Los Angeles Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1494	10	8.28	+1.72	87.52%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Phoenix Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1477	7	6.16	+0.84	76.70%	0	3	5	6	7	9	15
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1466	7	7.76	-0.76	45.22%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1465	8	7.09	+0.91	77.50%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1459	7	7.52	-0.52	50.20%	0	4	6	7	9	11	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1451	6	6.97	-0.97	41.30%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1406	5	6.50	-1.50	31.16%	0	3	5	6	8	10	15
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1405	6	6.22	-0.22	57.03%	0	3	5	6	7	9	15
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1389	5	5.75	-0.75	46.08%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1383	5	5.24	-0.24	57.12%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1374	3	5.84	-2.84	10.61%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1368	4	6.10	-2.10	20.41%	0	3	5	6	7	9	15

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	0-3 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.7 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	-
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Raiders	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
Los Angeles Raiders	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
Seattle Seahawks	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Phoenix Cardinals	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Cardinals	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	0-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	1-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-2 (1.2 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	1-2 (1.8 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.34%	2.46%	2.68%	1.79%	0.67%	1.34%	—	10.27%
7–13	2.46%	4.46%	5.80%	3.79%	2.23%	1.34%	0.45%	20.54%
14–20	2.68%	5.80%	11.16%	6.25%	3.57%	1.79%	1.12%	32.37%
21–27	1.79%	3.79%	6.25%	2.68%	2.68%	0.45%	0.22%	17.86%
28–34	0.67%	2.23%	3.57%	2.68%	1.34%	0.67%	0.22%	11.38%
35–41	1.34%	1.34%	1.79%	0.45%	0.67%	—	—	5.58%
42+	—	0.45%	1.12%	0.22%	0.22%	—	—	2.01%
Total	10.27%	20.54%	32.37%	17.86%	11.38%	5.58%	2.01%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.70	18.70	+0.00
SD	10.02	10.02	14.46
CV	0.54	0.54	—
Max	55	55	+38
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 224

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	—	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.75	24.06	-4.31
SD	8.61	11.86	12.00
CV	0.44	0.49	—
Max	31	45	+13
Min	0	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	50.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.56	15.12	+5.44
SD	12.26	7.87	13.75
CV	0.60	0.52	—
Max	47	34	+28
Min	0	7	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	50.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.62	14.38	+0.25
SD	11.16	6.44	11.22
CV	0.76	0.45	—
Max	47	26	+30
Min	3	0	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	11.69	19.94	-8.25
SD	5.30	9.73	11.64
CV	0.45	0.49	—
Max	21	38	+12
Min	2	3	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	50.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.00	19.19	-0.19
SD	9.08	5.02	11.91
CV	0.48	0.26	—
Max	42	29	+28
Min	5	13	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	37.50%	37.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	14.31	+9.19
SD	8.85	8.24	14.28
CV	0.38	0.58	—
Max	38	35	+35
Min	10	3	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.31	17.75	+5.56
SD	9.48	7.66	10.31
CV	0.41	0.43	—
Max	37	33	+24
Min	7	3	-8

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.62	18.25	+0.38
SD	9.78	12.06	15.46
CV	0.53	0.66	—
Max	30	55	+23
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	56.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.25	17.62	+3.62
SD	7.78	10.13	14.56
CV	0.37	0.57	—
Max	37	36	+30
Min	13	0	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	12.50%	43.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.00	14.88	+8.12
SD	8.29	10.81	16.63
CV	0.36	0.73	—
Max	38	35	+35
Min	7	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
7–13	18.75%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	11.81	23.62	-11.81
SD	8.28	11.50	13.58
CV	0.70	0.49	—
Max	27	41	+13
Min	0	6	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	18.19	+2.31
SD	9.07	8.83	14.83
CV	0.44	0.49	—
Max	34	30	+24
Min	0	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	20.38	-1.25
SD	8.39	7.59	10.43
CV	0.44	0.37	—
Max	33	31	+17
Min	0	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	25.00%
7–13	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.81	22.94	-9.12
SD	8.57	13.83	18.04
CV	0.62	0.60	—
Max	28	42	+27
Min	0	0	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	12.50%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.81	21.94	-0.12
SD	8.07	11.50	11.92
CV	0.37	0.52	—
Max	41	47	+20
Min	10	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.31	18.12	-0.81
SD	6.44	11.87	12.08
CV	0.37	0.65	—
Max	30	38	+20
Min	7	0	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.88	17.88	-3.00
SD	9.82	12.16	15.68
CV	0.66	0.68	—
Max	38	45	+38
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	62.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	21.44	-1.62
SD	8.46	11.11	15.04
CV	0.43	0.52	—
Max	37	42	+31
Min	7	3	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	31.25%	43.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	12.81	+5.19
SD	8.97	6.97	12.69
CV	0.50	0.54	—
Max	41	31	+34
Min	6	3	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.88	15.44	+1.44
SD	12.25	10.12	14.76
CV	0.73	0.66	—
Max	45	35	+38
Min	0	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.31	19.69	-1.38
SD	12.00	7.83	7.97
CV	0.66	0.40	—
Max	37	34	+11
Min	3	7	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	62.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Phoenix Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.38	16.81	+3.56
SD	8.11	8.15	12.98
CV	0.40	0.48	—
Max	38	28	+30
Min	10	3	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.25	17.56	+1.69
SD	12.02	9.87	17.98
CV	0.62	0.56	—
Max	45	37	+28
Min	0	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	50.00%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.12	18.12	+2.00
SD	10.95	8.29	13.82
CV	0.54	0.46	—
Max	45	34	+31
Min	3	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	—	31.25%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.56	18.44	+11.12
SD	13.36	8.48	15.34
CV	0.45	0.46	—
Max	55	37	+38
Min	7	7	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.50	19.62	-2.12
SD	6.43	9.59	10.90
CV	0.37	0.49	—
Max	31	34	+17
Min	9	5	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	6.25%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.81	23.50	-8.69
SD	9.05	12.13	14.76
CV	0.61	0.52	—
Max	31	47	+17
Min	0	10	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	31.25%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	50.00%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.38	21.56	-7.19
SD	11.41	10.63	15.52
CV	0.79	0.49	—
Max	35	41	+19
Min	0	3	-35

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.55	+0.3
Allowed	0.41	-0.3
Differential	0.72	+0.2

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	11	7.98	+3.02
2	Houston Oilers	12	9.52	+2.48
3	Buffalo Bills	12	9.92	+2.08
4	Kansas City Chiefs	11	9.08	+1.92
5	Los Angeles Raiders	10	8.28	+1.72

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Washington Redskins	4	8.54	-4.54
2	Cincinnati Bengals	3	5.84	-2.84
3	Indianapolis Colts	4	6.10	-2.10
4	New Orleans Saints	8	9.54	-1.54
5	Los Angeles Rams	5	6.50	-1.50

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Houston Oilers	11	Oct 17 – Jan 2	1 in 196
2	New York Giants	6	Nov 14 – Dec 20	1 in 54
3	Chicago Bears	4	Nov 14 – Dec 5	1 in 41
4	New England Patriots	4	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 36
5	New York Jets	5	Oct 31 – Nov 28	1 in 35

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Philadelphia Eagles	6	Oct 10 – Nov 21	1 in 223
2	Washington Redskins	6	Sep 12 – Nov 1	1 in 172
3	Cincinnati Bengals	10	Sep 5 – Nov 21	1 in 125
4	Miami Dolphins	5	Dec 5 – Jan 2	1 in 72
5	New Orleans Saints	4	Dec 5 – Dec 26	1 in 39

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Oilers	52.34%	28.21%	14.62%	4.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	27.39%	33.80%	26.71%	12.10%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	16.82%	27.75%	35.21%	20.21%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.45%	10.24%	23.45%	62.86%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Buffalo Bills	55.81%	27.20%	11.38%	4.22%	1.39%
Miami Dolphins	30.51%	36.86%	19.43%	9.41%	3.79%
New York Jets	8.24%	18.50%	30.78%	25.44%	17.05%
Indianapolis Colts	3.28%	10.10%	21.21%	31.61%	33.81%
New England Patriots	2.17%	7.35%	17.21%	29.32%	43.96%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Kansas City Chiefs	31.14%	24.99%	20.43%	15.59%	7.86%
San Diego Chargers	24.13%	23.78%	22.25%	19.30%	10.53%
Denver Broncos	23.88%	23.58%	22.32%	19.36%	10.87%
Los Angeles Raiders	17.83%	21.16%	22.96%	23.15%	14.90%
Seattle Seahawks	3.02%	6.50%	12.03%	22.61%	55.85%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Minnesota Vikings	29.38%	25.51%	21.53%	16.49%	7.10%
Detroit Lions	26.60%	24.77%	22.58%	18.02%	8.02%
Green Bay Packers	26.41%	24.91%	22.43%	18.11%	8.13%
Chicago Bears	15.49%	19.72%	23.49%	26.26%	15.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.11%	5.08%	9.97%	21.12%	61.71%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Dallas Cowboys	57.69%	23.60%	11.77%	5.34%	1.59%
Philadelphia Eagles	17.84%	28.04%	25.29%	19.48%	9.35%
Washington Redskins	14.03%	24.75%	26.55%	22.76%	11.91%
New York Giants	8.94%	18.39%	25.09%	28.87%	18.72%
Phoenix Cardinals	1.49%	5.22%	11.30%	23.55%	58.43%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	60.39%	29.08%	8.35%	2.19%
New Orleans Saints	31.95%	44.50%	17.22%	6.32%
Atlanta Falcons	4.65%	15.09%	40.16%	40.11%
Los Angeles Rams	3.01%	11.34%	34.27%	51.38%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Buffalo Bills	22.77%	17.32%	13.75%	10.76%	8.77%	7.23%	5.37%	4.36%	3.39%	2.30%	1.80%	1.12%	0.69%	0.37%
Houston Oilers	16.38%	15.54%	14.25%	10.82%	9.63%	8.57%	6.44%	5.40%	4.55%	3.18%	2.27%	1.72%	0.88%	0.36%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.43%	11.57%	10.67%	10.53%	9.29%	8.42%	8.14%	6.94%	5.99%	5.40%	4.25%	3.01%	2.28%	1.08%
Miami Dolphins	10.23%	10.57%	10.76%	10.92%	10.90%	9.74%	8.09%	7.19%	6.31%	4.83%	4.16%	2.98%	2.03%	1.29%
San Diego Chargers	9.26%	9.32%	9.22%	9.66%	9.02%	8.54%	8.99%	7.75%	6.92%	6.85%	5.46%	4.18%	3.14%	1.69%
Denver Broncos	8.62%	9.43%	9.31%	9.59%	9.12%	8.65%	8.78%	7.80%	7.15%	6.79%	5.48%	4.32%	3.17%	1.78%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.10%	8.26%	9.25%	9.29%	9.75%	9.95%	9.10%	8.81%	8.11%	6.45%	5.37%	4.30%	2.94%	1.32%
Los Angeles Raiders	6.14%	6.87%	7.66%	8.48%	8.54%	8.50%	9.30%	8.43%	7.99%	8.30%	6.79%	5.63%	4.70%	2.68%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.57%	4.97%	6.29%	7.10%	8.31%	8.96%	9.00%	9.74%	9.94%	8.76%	7.93%	7.09%	5.36%	2.97%
New York Jets	1.73%	2.64%	3.59%	4.79%	5.81%	6.83%	7.93%	9.55%	10.07%	10.05%	10.57%	9.68%	8.56%	8.20%
Indianapolis Colts	0.48%	0.98%	1.48%	2.26%	3.02%	3.97%	5.17%	6.64%	7.99%	9.47%	11.77%	13.36%	14.45%	18.97%
Seattle Seahawks	0.66%	1.19%	1.49%	2.50%	3.02%	3.82%	5.20%	5.79%	7.14%	9.70%	10.60%	13.38%	17.76%	17.75%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.32%	0.74%	1.29%	1.80%	2.59%	3.63%	4.45%	6.10%	7.61%	9.22%	12.22%	16.20%	17.72%	16.11%
New England Patriots	0.32%	0.62%	0.98%	1.51%	2.22%	3.18%	4.03%	5.50%	6.85%	8.69%	11.32%	13.03%	16.34%	25.42%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
San Francisco 49ers	27.47%	20.71%	14.36%	10.59%	8.15%	6.13%	4.05%	2.98%	2.28%	1.41%	0.90%	0.65%	0.24%	0.08%
Dallas Cowboys	29.95%	19.82%	13.26%	10.02%	7.42%	5.47%	4.45%	3.22%	2.33%	1.71%	1.09%	0.69%	0.44%	0.13%
New Orleans Saints	11.97%	13.16%	12.20%	12.23%	11.71%	9.78%	7.40%	6.21%	5.05%	3.75%	2.75%	2.22%	1.14%	0.43%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.10%	8.18%	8.95%	10.44%	9.90%	9.18%	9.67%	8.16%	7.37%	6.82%	5.46%	4.03%	3.15%	1.60%
Minnesota Vikings	4.67%	7.24%	9.23%	9.13%	9.13%	9.55%	8.74%	8.65%	8.29%	6.99%	6.64%	5.22%	3.72%	2.81%
Washington Redskins	4.87%	6.47%	7.75%	9.07%	9.54%	9.30%	9.77%	8.98%	8.02%	7.79%	6.48%	5.18%	4.21%	2.56%
Detroit Lions	3.89%	6.64%	9.01%	8.49%	8.78%	9.63%	8.79%	8.83%	8.18%	7.47%	6.92%	5.71%	4.28%	3.38%
Green Bay Packers	3.74%	6.33%	8.67%	8.26%	8.87%	9.59%	8.83%	8.88%	8.44%	7.48%	7.22%	5.97%	4.36%	3.37%
New York Giants	2.81%	4.18%	5.31%	6.94%	7.55%	8.18%	9.47%	9.16%	9.32%	9.84%	8.91%	7.55%	6.52%	4.26%
Chicago Bears	1.55%	3.42%	5.36%	5.78%	6.83%	7.78%	8.15%	8.95%	9.13%	9.42%	10.16%	8.86%	7.73%	6.89%
Atlanta Falcons	1.05%	1.76%	2.48%	3.62%	4.85%	5.78%	7.35%	9.33%	10.90%	10.88%	11.65%	12.74%	10.50%	7.11%
Los Angeles Rams	0.54%	1.12%	1.68%	2.66%	3.55%	4.54%	6.08%	7.82%	9.46%	10.62%	12.22%	15.06%	14.44%	10.22%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.32%	0.71%	1.11%	1.91%	2.43%	3.14%	4.56%	5.30%	6.62%	9.59%	10.80%	14.16%	20.27%	19.10%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.08%	0.28%	0.63%	0.87%	1.31%	1.93%	2.70%	3.52%	4.61%	6.23%	8.81%	11.97%	19.00%	38.06%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28
Dallas Cowboys	20.54%	12.66%	10.95%	8.11%	7.26%	5.61%	5.48%	4.20%	3.87%	3.13%	2.96%	2.47%	2.32%	1.65%	1.73%	1.36%	1.28%	0.88%	0.80%	0.65%	0.58%	0.43%	0.35%	0.27%	0.21%	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%
San Francisco 49ers	18.30%	12.56%	11.31%	8.64%	7.62%	6.13%	5.51%	4.49%	4.13%	3.57%	3.05%	2.71%	2.02%	1.87%	1.66%	1.30%	1.12%	0.95%	0.73%	0.64%	0.48%	0.39%	0.32%	0.22%	0.14%	0.09%	0.04%	0.03%
Buffalo Bills	10.06%	10.50%	8.43%	8.51%	7.12%	6.98%	5.51%	5.52%	4.81%	4.65%	3.57%	3.59%	2.90%	3.05%	2.27%	2.26%	1.78%	1.81%	1.33%	1.26%	0.98%	0.86%	0.66%	0.56%	0.39%	0.34%	0.21%	0.10%
Houston Oilers	6.72%	8.03%	7.04%	7.89%	6.63%	7.21%	5.48%	5.82%	4.96%	5.07%	4.04%	4.35%	3.58%	3.64%	2.82%	2.75%	2.38%	2.47%	1.72%	1.70%	1.30%	1.24%	0.99%	0.80%	0.55%	0.44%	0.26%	0.14%
New Orleans Saints	7.34%	6.60%	7.27%	6.36%	6.52%	5.74%	6.34%	5.52%	5.85%	5.04%	4.79%	4.40%	3.81%	3.44%	3.31%	2.72%	2.62%	2.30%	1.98%	1.77%	1.48%	1.21%	1.17%	0.91%	0.61%	0.47%	0.27%	0.14%
Kansas City Chiefs	4.62%	6.03%	5.50%	6.08%	5.44%	5.70%	5.22%	5.19%	4.80%	4.81%	4.58%	4.23%	4.19%	4.02%	3.69%	3.54%	3.12%	2.99%	2.78%	2.68%	2.23%	2.06%	1.71%	1.47%	1.23%	1.02%	0.65%	0.40%
Miami Dolphins	3.81%	5.12%	4.81%	5.44%	5.27%	5.71%	5.17%	5.61%	5.08%	5.64%	4.61%	4.79%	4.28%	4.35%	3.72%	3.70%	3.14%	3.46%	2.67%	2.60%	2.23%	2.17%	1.69%	1.57%	1.18%	0.99%	0.74%	0.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.02%	3.94%	4.80%	4.18%	5.06%	4.36%	5.64%	4.78%	5.22%	4.42%	5.11%	4.50%	4.87%	4.16%	4.37%	3.86%	3.79%	3.22%	3.31%	3.16%	2.80%	2.37%	2.10%	1.79%	1.55%	1.23%	0.87%	0.53%
San Diego Chargers	3.17%	4.68%	4.33%	4.91%	4.55%	4.97%	4.75%	4.87%	4.57%	4.74%	4.45%	4.43%	4.38%	4.48%	4.02%	4.03%	3.67%	3.44%	3.44%	3.33%	2.83%	2.76%	2.25%	2.09%	1.73%	1.46%	0.95%	0.71%
Denver Broncos	2.97%	4.53%	4.20%	5.02%	4.50%	5.02%	4.71%	4.97%	4.56%	4.77%	4.40%	4.53%	4.30%	4.43%	3.96%	4.08%	3.78%	3.54%	3.45%	3.29%	2.84%	2.70%	2.43%	2.07%	1.83%	1.44%	1.04%	0.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.53%	3.51%	3.60%	4.32%	4.33%	4.67%	4.35%	4.82%	4.63%	5.15%	4.52%	5.00%	4.43%	5.12%	4.10%	4.58%	3.83%	4.50%	3.25%	3.43%	2.92%	2.93%	2.38%	2.28%	1.69%	1.56%	0.98%	0.60%
Minnesota Vikings	2.56%	2.80%	3.97%	3.71%	4.68%	4.31%	4.83%	4.23%	4.95%	4.25%	4.88%	4.49%	4.68%	4.21%	4.49%	4.00%	4.22%	3.93%	3.62%	3.47%	3.29%	3.12%	2.63%	2.53%	2.03%	1.76%	1.39%	0.96%
Washington Redskins	2.60%	3.01%	3.63%	3.69%	4.26%	3.84%	4.90%	4.52%	4.78%	4.53%	5.07%	4.68%	4.86%	4.24%	4.53%	4.34%	4.15%	3.68%	3.91%	3.58%	3.32%	2.93%	2.62%	2.34%	2.16%	1.65%	1.33%	0.83%
Detroit Lions	1.99%	2.59%	3.43%	3.73%	4.02%	4.58%	4.11%	4.64%	4.34%	4.50%	4.66%	4.96%	4.36%	4.40%	4.53%	4.34%	4.21%	3.86%	3.93%	3.54%	3.60%	3.11%	3.00%	2.54%	2.30%	1.92%	1.69%	1.10%
Green Bay Packers	2.01%	2.41%	3.36%	3.38%	4.30%	3.99%	4.32%	4.21%	4.61%	4.33%	4.98%	4.27%	4.72%	4.26%	4.54%	4.20%	4.39%	3.94%	3.93%	3.66%	3.62%	3.44%	3.04%	2.84%	2.36%	2.07%	1.67%	1.14%
Los Angeles Raiders	1.85%	3.18%	3.15%	3.73%	3.48%	4.20%	3.98%	4.50%	4.09%	4.60%	4.29%	4.46%	4.46%	4.77%	4.38%	4.40%	4.09%	4.11%	4.03%	4.13%	3.48%	3.45%	2.94%	2.85%	2.48%	2.21%	1.64%	1.08%
New York Giants	1.43%	1.77%	2.35%	2.30%	2.95%	2.92%	3.62%	3.57%	3.89%	3.77%	4.50%	4.31%	4.59%	4.33%	4.84%	4.65%	4.93%	4.20%	5.05%	4.43%	4.55%	3.99%	3.91%	3.38%	3.44%	2.62%	2.27%	1.43%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1.12%	1.91%	2.04%	2.56%	2.82%	3.25%	3.18%	3.71%	3.84%	4.32%	4.05%	4.69%	4.21%	5.00%	4.41%	4.87%	4.54%	5.42%	4.24%	4.65%	4.03%	4.42%	3.72%	3.64%	2.98%	2.79%	2.06%	1.54%
Chicago Bears	0.75%	1.18%	1.74%	1.95%	2.53%	2.71%	2.98%	3.05%	3.41%	3.46%	4.01%	3.79%	4.31%	4.02%	4.53%	4.34%	4.81%	4.32%	4.94%	4.61%	5.07%	4.69%	4.58%	4.28%	4.09%	3.72%	3.53%	2.61%
New York Jets	0.42%	0.89%	1.02%	1.46%	1.52%	1.94%	2.10%	2.48%	2.66%	3.06%	3.09%	3.54%	3.70%	4.34%	4.12%	4.88%	4.67%	5.35%	4.80%	5.32%	5.01%	5.70%	5.14%	5.20%	4.76%	4.65%	4.48%	3.71%
Atlanta Falcons	0.47%	0.62%	0.94%	0.97%	1.36%	1.39%	1.91%	2.03%	2.48%	2.48%	3.12%	3.03%	3.71%	3.63%	4.70%	4.41%	5.17%	5.28%	5.35%	5.33%	5.83%	5.66%	6.02%	5.99%	5.35%	5.15%	4.03%	3.59%
Los Angeles Rams	0.23%	0.36%	0.53%	0.67%	0.91%	0.96%	1.38%	1.44%	1.82%	1.86%	2.43%	2.36%	3.07%	2.93%	4.03%	3.81%	4.59%	4.62%	5.42%	5.23%	5.99%	5.92%	6.73%	7.19%	6.69%	7.30%	6.03%	5.51%
Seattle Seahawks	0.12%	0.34%	0.38%	0.61%	0.63%	0.88%	0.96%	1.30%	1.38%	1.64%	1.77%	2.08%	2.38%	2.77%	2.82%	3.29%	3.45%	3.70%	4.63%	5.00%	5.25%	5.68%	6.59%	7.10%	8.31%	8.71%	8.96%	9.27%
Indianapolis Colts	0.10%	0.23%	0.33%	0.51%	0.56%	0.80%	0.90%	1.26%	1.34%	1.61%	1.69%	2.06%	2.34%	2.71%	2.88%	3.48%	3.64%	4.33%	4.37%	5.01%	5.30%	6.32%	6.39%	7.18%	7.22%	8.18%	9.28%	10.00%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.10%	0.20%	0.35%	0.40%	0.61%	0.63%	0.93%	1.01%	1.27%	1.37%	1.73%	1.76%	2.31%	2.18%	2.93%	3.07%	3.61%	3.45%	4.87%	4.74%	5.76%	5.62%	7.03%	7.34%	9.31%	8.93%	9.42%	9.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.06%	0.17%	0.22%	0.37%	0.46%	0.65%	0.70%	0.98%	1.07%	1.37%	1.44%	1.90%	2.05%	2.40%	2.52%	3.10%	3.41%	4.17%	4.18%	4.77%	5.71%	6.35%	7.00%	7.99%	8.28%	9.69%	8.96%	10.04%
New England Patriots	0.07%	0.13%	0.19%	0.34%	0.35%	0.52%	0.59%	0.81%	0.92%	1.19%	1.28%	1.69%	1.80%	2.24%	2.25%	2.84%	3.16%	3.71%	4.04%	4.64%	5.17%	5.88%	6.58%	6.96%	8.27%	8.88%	11.68%	13.83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.03%	0.05%	0.12%	0.18%	0.25%	0.34%	0.42%	0.46%	0.67%	0.66%	0.96%	0.95%	1.38%	1.39%	1.86%	1.79%	2.46%	2.37%	3.24%	3.35%	4.35%	4.59%	6.03%	6.64%	8.87%	10.58%	15.50%	20.51%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Buffalo Bills	22.77%	18.00%	15.05%	9.78%	8.29%	6.84%	19.27%
Houston Oilers	16.38%	16.57%	19.39%	7.66%	7.99%	7.67%	24.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.43%	10.92%	7.79%	12.43%	10.17%	8.96%	37.30%
Miami Dolphins	10.23%	10.38%	9.90%	11.89%	11.19%	9.58%	36.83%
San Diego Chargers	9.26%	8.60%	6.28%	11.65%	9.90%	9.09%	45.23%
Denver Broncos	8.62%	8.84%	6.42%	11.24%	10.11%	9.21%	45.57%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.10%	8.63%	11.66%	8.17%	8.98%	9.41%	46.06%
Los Angeles Raiders	6.14%	6.40%	5.30%	9.77%	9.23%	9.10%	54.07%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	3.57%	5.24%	8.01%	6.20%	7.77%	8.62%	60.58%
New York Jets	1.73%	2.68%	3.83%	4.39%	5.82%	6.87%	74.69%
Seattle Seahawks	0.66%	1.16%	1.20%	2.38%	3.12%	4.01%	87.48%
Indianapolis Colts	0.48%	1.05%	1.74%	1.93%	2.95%	3.98%	87.86%
New England Patriots	0.32%	0.68%	1.17%	1.23%	2.17%	3.20%	91.23%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.32%	0.87%	2.26%	1.26%	2.31%	3.46%	89.52%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Cowboys	29.95%	19.50%	8.24%	13.37%	8.74%	5.98%	14.21%
San Francisco 49ers	27.47%	20.93%	11.99%	12.32%	8.81%	5.98%	12.51%
New Orleans Saints	11.97%	12.27%	7.71%	15.79%	13.34%	9.94%	28.98%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.10%	6.98%	3.75%	14.04%	11.49%	10.08%	46.54%
Washington Redskins	4.87%	5.76%	3.40%	11.45%	10.99%	10.20%	53.34%
Minnesota Vikings	4.67%	8.27%	16.44%	4.61%	6.88%	8.51%	50.62%
Detroit Lions	3.89%	7.50%	15.22%	4.45%	6.91%	8.78%	53.26%
Green Bay Packers	3.74%	7.27%	15.41%	4.13%	6.66%	8.68%	54.12%
New York Giants	2.81%	3.69%	2.45%	8.36%	8.46%	8.85%	65.38%
Chicago Bears	1.55%	3.97%	9.97%	2.90%	5.38%	7.21%	69.01%
Atlanta Falcons	1.05%	1.71%	1.89%	3.59%	5.08%	6.05%	80.63%
Los Angeles Rams	0.54%	1.14%	1.33%	2.51%	3.75%	4.64%	86.08%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.32%	0.63%	0.54%	2.05%	2.54%	3.37%	90.55%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.08%	0.38%	1.65%	0.42%	0.95%	1.74%	94.78%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+9.82%

Clear Edge

54.91%45.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge

19 Elo

0.052 points per Elo point

034.2350

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.78 points

Lean Home

-8+1.77+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 14th · Longshot: 15th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.0

Wide Open

124812

Champion Preseason Odds

22%

Dallas Cowboys, 1st of 28

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

26.7%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.54 · As Expected: 1.54 to 2.11 · Elevated: 2.11 to 2.88 · High Variance: 2.88 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.8 · Close: 4.8 to 6.49 · Off Target: 6.49 to 8.47 · Well Off Target: 8.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 28 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 28 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.4 · As Expected: 1.4 to 3.36 · Several Outliers: 3.36 to 6.16 · Many Outliers: 6.16 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.06 · As Expected: 3.06 to 5.09 · More Than Expected: 5.09 to 8.15 · Far More Than Expected: 8.15 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.64 wins

As Expected

01.925

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.21

Pinpoint

05.6415

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.21%

96.86%

New York Giants

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.79%

1.92%

Washington Redskins

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 28

As Expected

02.814

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

4 of 12

As Expected

04.112

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.74

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

62%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Lopsided

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

24%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.23

Hard to Predict

00.231

Matchup Imbalance

0.23

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.73

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.61

Strong Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

40%

As Expected

0%38%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%32%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.98

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.044

Well Within Noise

00.1020.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Dallas Cowboys	75.16%	75.16%	51.84%	33.92%	22.08%
San Francisco 49ers	73.99%	73.99%	46.98%	26.62%	16.40%
Buffalo Bills	66.05%	66.05%	39.87%	23.30%	11.11%
Houston Oilers	60.46%	60.46%	36.62%	21.43%	10.57%
Kansas City Chiefs	45.01%	45.01%	23.38%	11.62%	4.96%
New Orleans Saints	47.17%	47.17%	20.86%	8.53%	4.08%
Philadelphia Eagles	39.37%	34.70%	15.87%	7.07%	3.63%
San Diego Chargers	37.19%	37.19%	18.28%	8.55%	3.53%
Miami Dolphins	42.57%	42.08%	19.36%	8.91%	3.41%
Denver Broncos	36.97%	36.29%	17.35%	8.04%	3.28%
Pittsburgh Steelers	38.21%	34.37%	15.58%	7.00%	2.69%
Minnesota Vikings	36.44%	31.69%	13.57%	5.50%	2.65%
Green Bay Packers	34.88%	28.30%	11.67%	4.44%	2.10%
New York Giants	28.13%	20.17%	8.52%	3.56%	1.75%
Los Angeles Raiders	33.40%	27.56%	11.79%	4.86%	1.68%
Detroit Lions	35.36%	27.42%	10.27%	3.67%	1.60%
Washington Redskins	36.04%	25.93%	9.53%	3.46%	1.40%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	30.61%	21.31%	8.20%	3.17%	0.99%
New York Jets	20.91%	12.80%	4.82%	1.86%	0.62%
Chicago Bears	25.47%	15.33%	4.85%	1.49%	0.56%
Atlanta Falcons	16.61%	8.62%	2.79%	0.78%	0.27%
Phoenix Cardinals	8.50%	4.30%	1.48%	0.52%	0.22%
Los Angeles Rams	12.24%	5.31%	1.37%	0.36%	0.13%
Seattle Seahawks	10.71%	5.27%	1.58%	0.44%	0.12%
Cincinnati Bengals	9.29%	3.85%	1.04%	0.26%	0.06%
Indianapolis Colts	10.61%	4.44%	1.21%	0.31%	0.06%
New England Patriots	7.78%	3.33%	0.94%	0.24%	0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4.76%	1.91%	0.41%	0.09%	0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		79.9%1.03%	69.8%3.15%	61.1%4.38%	49.5%3.69%	80.1%1.20%	58.2%4.66%	66.7%4.08%	60.3%4.83%	78.0%0.88%	70.2%2.45%	62.4%3.90%	59.3%4.35%	75.8%1.37%
Cincinnati Bengals	20.1%1.03%		33.9%0.54%	29.3%0.93%	21.8%1.35%	52.2%0.23%	23.7%0.96%	31.8%0.75%	27.6%1.01%	48.8%0.17%	37.3%0.41%	30.3%0.73%	29.2%0.93%	44.3%0.24%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	30.2%3.15%	66.1%0.54%		40.5%3.20%	30.3%4.16%	64.2%0.77%	38.0%3.47%	44.4%2.79%	42.1%3.44%	61.6%0.62%	48.6%1.67%	43.0%2.79%	39.5%3.15%	58.4%0.85%
Denver Broncos	38.9%4.38%	70.7%0.93%	59.5%3.20%		37.7%4.23%	71.6%1.05%	45.5%3.84%	55.8%2.95%	50.9%4.91%	71.1%0.74%	60.0%2.19%	52.4%4.22%	48.2%3.48%	69.3%0.86%
Houston Oilers	50.5%3.69%	78.2%1.35%	69.7%4.16%	62.3%4.23%		83.7%1.35%	57.2%4.51%	66.7%4.25%	60.9%4.42%	79.6%1.02%	71.2%2.41%	63.5%5.42%	60.5%4.46%	79.8%1.45%
Indianapolis Colts	19.9%1.20%	47.8%0.23%	35.8%0.77%	28.4%1.05%	16.3%1.35%		24.1%1.23%	31.8%1.00%	26.4%0.95%	39.1%0.11%	41.0%0.35%	30.5%1.04%	24.5%1.03%	45.7%0.30%
Kansas City Chiefs	41.8%4.66%	76.3%0.96%	62.0%3.47%	54.5%3.84%	42.8%4.51%	75.9%1.23%		58.2%3.40%	54.3%5.30%	73.3%0.83%	63.0%2.36%	55.7%4.20%	52.9%3.69%	69.6%0.91%
Los Angeles Raiders	33.3%4.08%	68.2%0.75%	55.6%2.79%	44.2%2.95%	33.3%4.25%	68.2%1.00%	41.8%3.40%		44.0%4.47%	67.7%0.68%	54.7%1.83%	45.9%3.59%	43.8%2.97%	63.8%0.65%
Miami Dolphins	39.7%4.83%	72.4%1.01%	57.9%3.44%	49.1%4.91%	39.1%4.42%	73.6%0.95%	45.7%5.30%	56.0%4.47%		69.8%0.69%	58.1%1.99%	51.3%4.21%	47.5%4.96%	66.5%1.38%
New England Patriots	22.0%0.88%	51.2%0.17%	38.4%0.62%	28.9%0.74%	20.4%1.02%	60.9%0.11%	26.7%0.83%	32.3%0.68%	30.2%0.69%		36.4%0.25%	33.8%0.82%	29.2%0.81%	49.1%0.17%
New York Jets	29.8%2.45%	62.7%0.41%	51.4%1.67%	40.0%2.19%	28.8%2.41%	59.0%0.35%	37.0%2.36%	45.3%1.83%	41.9%1.99%	63.6%0.25%		40.8%2.15%	37.5%2.27%	58.7%0.57%
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.6%3.90%	69.7%0.73%	57.0%2.79%	47.6%4.22%	36.5%5.42%	69.5%1.04%	44.3%4.20%	54.1%3.59%	48.7%4.21%	66.2%0.82%	59.2%2.15%		48.1%4.00%	66.7%1.13%
San Diego Chargers	40.7%4.35%	70.8%0.93%	60.5%3.15%	51.8%3.48%	39.5%4.46%	75.5%1.03%	47.1%3.69%	56.2%2.97%	52.5%4.96%	70.8%0.81%	62.5%2.27%	51.9%4.00%		70.6%0.83%
Seattle Seahawks	24.2%1.37%	55.7%0.24%	41.6%0.85%	30.7%0.86%	20.2%1.45%	54.3%0.30%	30.4%0.91%	36.2%0.65%	33.5%1.38%	50.9%0.17%	41.3%0.57%	33.3%1.13%	29.4%0.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		47.5%1.07%	20.5%1.91%	41.1%1.53%	37.3%1.61%	56.4%0.21%	35.3%1.70%	37.8%1.53%	36.0%1.26%	31.9%1.94%	45.6%0.36%	25.1%1.76%	53.5%0.17%	42.3%1.57%
Chicago Bears	52.5%1.07%		20.5%2.33%	42.5%2.71%	40.8%2.75%	61.8%0.77%	36.9%2.87%	36.5%2.78%	39.7%1.78%	38.8%2.62%	47.9%0.64%	25.5%2.37%	60.6%0.31%	45.6%2.47%
Dallas Cowboys	79.5%1.91%	79.5%2.33%		73.8%3.19%	72.1%3.06%	83.0%1.38%	70.5%3.16%	70.2%6.18%	69.0%2.68%	66.7%3.44%	76.5%0.76%	55.9%4.54%	83.4%0.40%	74.6%3.29%
Detroit Lions	58.9%1.53%	57.5%2.71%	26.2%3.19%		46.2%4.14%	65.5%1.17%	44.5%4.23%	44.5%3.82%	45.6%2.92%	42.9%3.75%	54.7%0.80%	30.4%3.13%	67.2%0.52%	52.2%3.44%
Green Bay Packers	62.7%1.61%	59.2%2.75%	27.9%3.06%	53.8%4.14%		70.5%1.15%	49.5%4.32%	48.9%3.88%	49.5%2.77%	47.8%3.52%	60.2%0.86%	32.8%3.02%	71.6%0.46%	55.0%3.34%
Los Angeles Rams	43.6%0.21%	38.2%0.77%	17.0%1.38%	34.5%1.17%	29.5%1.15%		29.4%1.29%	31.2%1.12%	31.9%0.86%	28.3%1.42%	39.7%0.24%	20.3%1.33%	45.8%0.17%	36.8%1.16%
Minnesota Vikings	64.7%1.70%	63.1%2.87%	29.5%3.16%	55.5%4.23%	50.5%4.32%	70.6%1.29%		50.4%4.02%	53.1%2.93%	49.5%3.86%	58.9%0.93%	34.7%3.09%	70.9%0.48%	56.7%3.55%
New Orleans Saints	62.2%1.53%	63.5%2.78%	29.8%6.18%	55.5%3.82%	51.1%3.88%	68.8%1.12%	49.6%4.02%		50.0%4.54%	46.4%6.83%	62.2%1.23%	34.5%4.25%	69.7%0.49%	57.3%6.12%
New York Giants	64.0%1.26%	60.3%1.78%	31.0%2.68%	54.4%2.92%	50.5%2.77%	68.1%0.86%	46.9%2.93%	50.0%4.54%		47.5%2.25%	60.1%0.30%	33.9%3.55%	65.7%0.35%	55.3%1.93%
Philadelphia Eagles	68.1%1.94%	61.2%2.62%	33.3%3.44%	57.1%3.75%	52.2%3.52%	71.7%1.42%	50.5%3.86%	53.6%6.83%	52.5%2.25%		63.5%0.62%	38.6%5.41%	72.3%0.48%	59.5%3.23%
Phoenix Cardinals	54.4%0.36%	52.1%0.64%	23.5%0.76%	45.3%0.80%	39.8%0.86%	60.3%0.24%	41.1%0.93%	37.8%1.23%	39.9%0.30%	36.5%0.62%		26.3%1.15%	58.7%0.11%	46.3%0.51%
San Francisco 49ers	74.9%1.76%	74.5%2.37%	44.1%4.54%	69.6%3.13%	67.2%3.02%	79.7%1.33%	65.3%3.09%	65.5%4.25%	66.1%3.55%	61.4%5.41%	73.7%1.15%		84.2%0.45%	70.3%5.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	46.5%0.17%	39.4%0.31%	16.6%0.40%	32.8%0.52%	28.4%0.46%	54.2%0.17%	29.1%0.48%	30.3%0.49%	34.3%0.35%	27.7%0.48%	41.3%0.11%	15.8%0.45%		34.5%0.38%
Washington Redskins	57.7%1.57%	54.4%2.47%	25.4%3.29%	47.8%3.44%	45.0%3.34%	63.2%1.16%	43.3%3.55%	42.7%6.12%	44.7%1.93%	40.5%3.23%	53.7%0.51%	29.7%5.05%	65.5%0.38%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		78.7%0.86%	67.6%4.41%	60.5%6.72%	49.2%12.21%	79.8%0.83%	57.3%8.27%	64.7%5.01%	61.5%9.91%	78.6%0.60%	68.7%2.42%	62.5%6.85%	60.6%6.87%	75.9%1.09%
Cincinnati Bengals	21.3%0.86%		46.9%0.08%	30.3%0.38%	18.4%0.51%	47.7%0.04%	25.1%0.48%	31.6%0.26%	28.2%0.45%	48.0%0.03%	30.3%0.11%	37.9%0.20%	28.5%0.39%	43.8%0.05%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	32.4%4.41%	53.1%0.08%		42.8%1.99%	30.1%3.44%	57.1%0.19%	36.8%2.64%	47.3%1.38%	40.6%2.34%	61.4%0.17%	55.7%0.69%	42.6%1.50%	39.7%2.24%	56.2%0.25%
Denver Broncos	39.5%6.72%	69.7%0.38%	57.2%1.99%		38.8%6.57%	71.2%0.39%	47.2%4.92%	55.0%2.55%	51.8%4.01%	75.0%0.28%	59.8%1.07%	52.2%3.20%	49.2%3.79%	66.3%0.43%
Houston Oilers	50.8%12.21%	81.6%0.51%	69.9%3.44%	61.2%6.57%		79.0%0.83%	57.5%7.79%	64.9%4.94%	62.0%7.51%	76.6%0.60%	69.6%2.35%	62.7%6.29%	59.2%6.45%	74.1%0.98%
Indianapolis Colts	20.2%0.83%	52.3%0.04%	42.9%0.19%	28.8%0.39%	21.0%0.83%		28.4%0.53%	31.5%0.31%	26.4%0.36%	50.0%0.02%	36.8%0.08%	29.8%0.42%	30.9%0.40%	47.4%0.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	42.7%8.27%	74.9%0.48%	63.2%2.64%	52.8%4.92%	42.5%7.79%	71.6%0.53%		58.6%3.54%	55.2%4.85%	70.1%0.42%	64.2%1.56%	55.3%4.28%	52.2%5.15%	73.7%0.57%
Los Angeles Raiders	35.3%5.01%	68.4%0.26%	52.7%1.38%	45.0%2.55%	35.1%4.94%	68.5%0.31%	41.4%3.54%		46.7%2.97%	67.7%0.23%	54.7%0.80%	46.7%2.50%	44.5%2.77%	59.5%0.29%
Miami Dolphins	38.5%9.91%	71.8%0.45%	59.4%2.34%	48.2%4.01%	38.0%7.51%	73.6%0.36%	44.8%4.85%	53.3%2.97%		71.5%0.25%	59.6%1.14%	51.2%3.91%	46.8%3.87%	69.1%0.53%
New England Patriots	21.4%0.60%	52.0%0.03%	38.6%0.17%	25.0%0.28%	23.4%0.60%	50.0%0.02%	29.9%0.42%	32.3%0.23%	28.5%0.25%		35.1%0.06%	29.9%0.28%	31.3%0.38%	59.3%0.03%
New York Jets	31.3%2.42%	69.7%0.11%	44.3%0.69%	40.2%1.07%	30.4%2.35%	63.2%0.08%	35.8%1.56%	45.3%0.80%	40.4%1.14%	64.9%0.06%		41.8%1.18%	39.7%1.18%	66.1%0.17%
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.5%6.85%	62.1%0.20%	57.4%1.50%	47.8%3.20%	37.3%6.29%	70.2%0.42%	44.7%4.28%	53.3%2.50%	48.8%3.91%	70.1%0.28%	58.2%1.18%		46.0%3.29%	66.2%0.44%
San Diego Chargers	39.4%6.87%	71.5%0.39%	60.3%2.24%	50.8%3.79%	40.8%6.45%	69.1%0.40%	47.8%5.15%	55.5%2.77%	53.2%3.87%	68.7%0.38%	60.3%1.18%	54.0%3.29%		71.8%0.42%
Seattle Seahawks	24.1%1.09%	56.2%0.05%	43.8%0.25%	33.7%0.43%	25.9%0.98%	52.6%0.04%	26.3%0.57%	40.5%0.29%	30.9%0.53%	40.7%0.03%	33.9%0.17%	33.8%0.44%	28.2%0.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		49.0%0.31%	19.5%1.92%	45.7%0.59%	36.3%0.60%	57.4%0.06%	39.7%0.69%	39.8%0.89%	38.4%0.34%	37.6%0.69%	37.1%0.06%	24.9%2.03%	58.5%0.04%	42.9%0.40%
Chicago Bears	51.0%0.31%		21.1%3.83%	42.4%0.59%	41.7%0.56%	56.0%0.18%	36.9%0.77%	38.6%2.17%	38.0%0.62%	37.2%1.29%	53.3%0.17%	24.3%3.84%	53.8%0.03%	43.4%0.98%
Dallas Cowboys	80.5%1.92%	78.9%3.83%		74.3%6.47%	72.1%6.88%	83.9%1.22%	69.1%7.52%	70.0%8.97%	70.2%5.70%	67.1%10.19%	73.8%1.11%	54.8%13.30%	86.2%0.54%	74.4%7.50%
Detroit Lions	54.3%0.59%	57.6%0.59%	25.7%6.47%		46.8%1.25%	60.1%0.37%	44.2%1.57%	43.5%3.75%	43.8%1.33%	41.2%2.47%	58.7%0.22%	30.3%7.00%	74.1%0.05%	52.2%1.75%
Green Bay Packers	63.7%0.60%	58.3%0.56%	27.9%6.88%	53.2%1.25%		71.3%0.35%	50.5%1.54%	49.2%3.81%	50.7%1.36%	46.5%2.51%	60.3%0.29%	32.8%7.19%	70.8%0.05%	55.2%1.91%
Los Angeles Rams	42.6%0.06%	44.0%0.18%	16.1%1.22%	39.9%0.37%	28.7%0.35%		31.5%0.48%	24.2%0.53%	35.2%0.16%	31.0%0.41%	38.5%0.04%	20.6%1.26%	52.4%0.02%	32.1%0.22%
Minnesota Vikings	60.3%0.69%	63.1%0.77%	30.9%7.52%	55.8%1.57%	49.5%1.54%	68.5%0.48%		48.8%4.41%	47.9%1.68%	46.5%2.79%	59.0%0.32%	34.8%7.83%	75.7%0.07%	57.0%2.02%
New Orleans Saints	60.2%0.89%	61.4%2.17%	30.0%8.97%	56.5%3.75%	50.8%3.81%	75.8%0.53%	51.2%4.41%		50.9%2.09%	46.6%3.62%	59.3%0.48%	35.4%13.40%	73.7%0.28%	57.5%2.80%
New York Giants	61.6%0.34%	62.0%0.62%	29.8%5.70%	56.2%1.33%	49.3%1.36%	64.8%0.16%	52.1%1.68%	49.1%2.09%		47.7%1.38%	62.3%0.11%	34.3%4.39%	64.3%0.08%	56.2%0.92%
Philadelphia Eagles	62.4%0.69%	62.8%1.29%	32.9%10.19%	58.8%2.47%	53.5%2.51%	69.0%0.41%	53.5%2.79%	53.4%3.62%	52.3%1.38%		62.2%0.27%	38.2%7.02%	70.2%0.14%	57.5%1.94%
Phoenix Cardinals	62.9%0.06%	46.7%0.17%	26.2%1.11%	41.3%0.22%	39.7%0.29%	61.5%0.04%	41.0%0.32%	40.7%0.48%	37.7%0.11%	37.8%0.27%		29.0%1.03%	73.7%0.02%	35.3%0.19%
San Francisco 49ers	75.1%2.03%	75.7%3.84%	45.2%13.30%	69.7%7.00%	67.2%7.19%	79.4%1.26%	65.2%7.83%	64.6%13.40%	65.7%4.39%	61.8%7.02%	71.0%1.03%		84.8%0.49%	71.1%5.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41.5%0.04%	46.2%0.03%	13.8%0.54%	25.9%0.05%	29.2%0.05%	47.6%0.02%	24.3%0.07%	26.3%0.28%	35.7%0.08%	29.8%0.14%	26.3%0.02%	15.2%0.49%		26.8%0.10%
Washington Redskins	57.1%0.40%	56.6%0.98%	25.6%7.50%	47.8%1.75%	44.8%1.91%	67.9%0.22%	43.0%2.02%	42.5%2.80%	43.8%0.92%	42.5%1.94%	64.7%0.19%	28.9%5.21%	73.2%0.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		78.5%0.25%	67.7%2.05%	60.6%4.72%	50.1%9.95%	82.1%0.17%	56.2%6.28%	64.8%3.00%	59.7%3.20%	81.1%0.14%	68.4%0.72%	62.2%3.90%	59.1%5.04%	78.1%0.43%
Cincinnati Bengals	21.5%0.25%		50.0%0.02%	22.3%0.10%	20.7%0.14%	55.6%<0.01%	23.9%0.13%	30.2%0.06%	27.0%0.11%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	28.1%0.06%	26.5%0.10%	66.7%0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	32.3%2.05%	50.0%0.02%		39.2%0.73%	33.2%1.18%	66.1%0.06%	37.3%1.09%	45.6%0.54%	43.0%0.87%	74.3%0.03%	50.8%0.24%	47.2%0.45%	40.6%0.89%	69.6%0.06%
Denver Broncos	39.4%4.72%	77.7%0.10%	60.8%0.73%		40.1%4.07%	73.5%0.11%	45.5%1.48%	55.5%0.73%	53.1%2.03%	66.7%0.09%	57.5%0.46%	52.7%1.56%	48.6%1.18%	64.0%0.09%
Houston Oilers	49.9%9.95%	79.3%0.14%	66.8%1.18%	59.9%4.07%		78.7%0.26%	57.7%5.67%	65.6%2.66%	61.4%4.65%	75.5%0.20%	67.0%1.07%	62.2%2.25%	60.3%4.20%	76.5%0.32%
Indianapolis Colts	17.9%0.17%	44.4%<0.01%	33.9%0.06%	26.5%0.11%	21.3%0.26%		28.0%0.18%	32.5%0.08%	24.7%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.01%	29.4%0.11%	23.7%0.12%	66.7%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	43.8%6.28%	76.1%0.13%	62.7%1.09%	54.5%1.48%	42.3%5.67%	72.0%0.18%		58.4%1.01%	53.7%2.76%	75.5%0.14%	61.1%0.64%	55.5%2.27%	51.7%1.60%	75.6%0.12%
Los Angeles Raiders	35.2%3.00%	69.8%0.06%	54.4%0.54%	44.5%0.73%	34.4%2.66%	67.5%0.08%	41.6%1.01%		45.5%1.36%	61.5%0.07%	55.3%0.30%	47.1%1.14%	45.2%0.78%	65.6%0.06%
Miami Dolphins	40.3%3.20%	73.0%0.11%	57.0%0.87%	46.9%2.03%	38.6%4.65%	75.3%0.08%	46.3%2.76%	54.5%1.36%		70.3%0.07%	57.9%0.34%	50.5%1.62%	49.8%2.09%	64.7%0.19%
New England Patriots	18.9%0.14%	66.7%<0.01%	25.7%0.03%	33.3%0.09%	24.5%0.20%	0.0%<0.01%	24.5%0.14%	38.5%0.07%	29.7%0.07%		30.0%0.02%	12.7%0.06%	28.9%0.09%	60.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	31.6%0.72%	80.0%0.03%	49.2%0.24%	42.5%0.46%	33.0%1.07%	61.5%0.01%	38.9%0.64%	44.7%0.30%	42.1%0.34%	70.0%0.02%		40.7%0.44%	37.7%0.51%	66.7%0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.8%3.90%	71.9%0.06%	52.8%0.45%	47.3%1.56%	37.8%2.25%	70.6%0.11%	44.5%2.27%	52.9%1.14%	49.5%1.62%	87.3%0.06%	59.3%0.44%		47.8%1.58%	67.2%0.13%
San Diego Chargers	40.9%5.04%	73.5%0.10%	59.4%0.89%	51.4%1.18%	39.7%4.20%	76.3%0.12%	48.3%1.60%	54.8%0.78%	50.2%2.09%	71.1%0.09%	62.3%0.51%	52.2%1.58%		64.8%0.11%
Seattle Seahawks	21.9%0.43%	33.3%0.01%	30.4%0.06%	36.0%0.09%	23.5%0.32%	33.3%0.01%	24.4%0.12%	34.4%0.06%	35.3%0.19%	40.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.04%	32.8%0.13%	35.2%0.11%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		45.6%0.06%	19.7%1.01%	42.7%0.11%	31.6%0.16%	57.1%<0.01%	39.7%0.18%	34.8%0.18%	35.7%0.14%	31.5%0.27%	52.4%0.02%	23.0%0.51%	55.6%<0.01%	38.2%0.14%
Chicago Bears	54.4%0.06%		22.4%1.63%	47.7%0.13%	47.4%0.16%	26.9%0.03%	36.9%0.18%	39.3%0.48%	35.6%0.21%	40.5%0.38%	51.0%0.05%	24.9%1.34%	80.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.22%
Dallas Cowboys	80.3%1.01%	77.6%1.63%		73.6%3.51%	72.6%3.87%	85.4%0.50%	69.2%4.55%	69.0%8.31%	68.0%2.02%	66.1%3.86%	72.4%0.34%	56.4%19.86%	86.7%0.14%	73.7%2.25%
Detroit Lions	57.3%0.11%	52.3%0.13%	26.4%3.51%		45.5%0.33%	73.8%0.06%	47.5%0.42%	44.8%1.05%	46.1%0.45%	41.6%0.92%	57.1%0.07%	32.1%2.74%	33.3%<0.01%	50.5%0.48%
Green Bay Packers	68.4%0.16%	52.6%0.16%	27.4%3.87%	54.5%0.33%		51.3%0.08%	46.8%0.50%	49.2%1.18%	49.9%0.51%	44.9%0.97%	56.0%0.09%	33.8%3.26%	58.3%0.01%	54.6%0.57%
Los Angeles Rams	42.9%<0.01%	73.1%0.03%	14.6%0.50%	26.2%0.06%	48.7%0.08%		30.1%0.07%	30.8%0.08%	42.4%0.06%	28.1%0.15%	25.0%<0.01%	27.1%0.26%	33.3%<0.01%	29.7%0.07%
Minnesota Vikings	60.3%0.18%	63.1%0.18%	30.8%4.55%	52.5%0.42%	53.2%0.50%	69.9%0.07%		49.9%1.38%	50.5%0.61%	49.8%1.22%	63.8%0.12%	35.6%3.75%	66.7%<0.01%	55.0%0.59%
New Orleans Saints	65.2%0.18%	60.7%0.48%	31.0%8.31%	55.2%1.05%	50.8%1.18%	69.2%0.08%	50.1%1.38%		52.7%0.93%	46.5%2.00%	61.7%0.16%	36.0%3.89%	75.6%0.04%	56.7%1.18%
New York Giants	64.3%0.14%	64.4%0.21%	32.0%2.02%	53.9%0.45%	50.1%0.51%	57.6%0.06%	49.5%0.61%	47.3%0.93%		50.1%0.48%	57.4%0.05%	35.1%2.77%	68.2%0.02%	59.4%0.28%
Philadelphia Eagles	68.5%0.27%	59.5%0.38%	33.9%3.86%	58.4%0.92%	55.1%0.97%	71.9%0.15%	50.2%1.22%	53.5%2.00%	49.9%0.48%		60.2%0.09%	37.0%4.95%	88.1%0.04%	60.0%0.55%
Phoenix Cardinals	47.6%0.02%	49.0%0.05%	27.6%0.34%	42.9%0.07%	44.0%0.09%	75.0%<0.01%	36.2%0.12%	38.3%0.16%	42.6%0.05%	39.8%0.09%		28.3%0.43%	66.7%<0.01%	49.0%0.05%
San Francisco 49ers	77.0%0.51%	75.1%1.34%	43.6%19.86%	67.9%2.74%	66.2%3.26%	72.9%0.26%	64.4%3.75%	64.0%3.89%	64.9%2.77%	63.0%4.95%	71.7%0.43%		77.0%0.10%	69.0%3.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	44.4%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.14%	66.7%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	24.4%0.04%	31.8%0.02%	11.9%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	23.0%0.10%		25.0%0.02%
Washington Redskins	61.8%0.14%	52.9%0.22%	26.3%2.25%	49.5%0.48%	45.4%0.57%	70.3%0.07%	45.0%0.59%	43.3%1.18%	40.6%0.28%	40.0%0.55%	51.0%0.05%	31.0%3.14%	75.0%0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills	73.2%0.19%	69.1%0.36%	39.0%7.79%	60.5%0.87%	55.5%1.04%	73.6%0.09%	55.6%1.28%	59.2%1.98%	56.1%0.83%	54.3%1.64%	67.8%0.11%	42.4%6.28%	75.0%0.03%	62.7%0.82%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	17.2%0.09%	42.9%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%		23.1%0.01%	34.8%0.02%	23.1%0.01%	18.2%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	17.6%0.07%		28.6%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	32.0%0.03%	38.9%0.05%	25.4%1.10%	44.4%0.10%	35.0%0.16%	40.0%0.01%	40.0%0.19%	34.6%0.26%	37.0%0.10%	38.0%0.22%	38.5%0.01%	28.0%0.81%	0.0%<0.01%	49.6%0.13%
Denver Broncos	70.9%0.08%	54.3%0.13%	32.2%2.72%	56.4%0.31%	53.9%0.33%	57.5%0.04%	50.9%0.44%	51.4%0.66%	50.2%0.28%	44.3%0.58%	50.0%0.05%	35.7%2.12%	75.0%<0.01%	53.2%0.29%
Houston Oilers	72.3%0.14%	72.4%0.33%	40.6%7.44%	61.2%0.80%	61.2%0.91%	78.7%0.06%	60.0%1.18%	57.7%1.85%	56.3%0.75%	56.0%1.52%	63.8%0.12%	44.4%5.56%	94.1%0.02%	67.1%0.76%
Indianapolis Colts	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	17.3%0.10%	20.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		29.4%0.02%	25.0%0.02%	0.0%0.01%	23.8%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	14.1%0.09%		23.1%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.9%0.09%	60.3%0.15%	34.8%3.86%	58.3%0.43%	56.4%0.47%	67.6%0.04%	51.5%0.67%	51.4%1.01%	46.1%0.43%	47.5%0.79%	60.6%0.07%	37.5%3.19%	72.7%0.01%	59.2%0.41%
Los Angeles Raiders	58.5%0.04%	54.1%0.07%	26.0%1.67%	48.8%0.16%	44.5%0.24%	42.1%0.02%	41.5%0.26%	44.0%0.42%	45.6%0.18%	36.7%0.36%	62.5%0.02%	30.7%1.28%	33.3%<0.01%	52.8%0.14%
Miami Dolphins	53.4%0.07%	58.5%0.12%	30.4%2.99%	50.7%0.34%	45.2%0.44%	46.7%0.03%	45.9%0.48%	46.5%0.73%	47.8%0.34%	43.8%0.64%	56.1%0.06%	34.2%2.40%	75.0%<0.01%	53.4%0.27%
New England Patriots	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	17.8%0.07%	23.1%0.01%	27.3%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%	28.6%0.01%	0.0%0.01%	19.2%0.03%		13.3%0.06%		18.2%0.01%
New York Jets	59.1%0.02%	35.3%0.03%	29.4%0.61%	39.3%0.06%	40.5%0.08%	60.0%<0.01%	36.1%0.11%	36.8%0.18%	41.9%0.06%	36.4%0.12%	38.5%0.01%	28.1%0.50%	50.0%<0.01%	59.3%0.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers	61.4%0.06%	59.2%0.10%	30.1%2.41%	50.6%0.25%	47.0%0.35%	56.5%0.02%	42.8%0.40%	42.6%0.61%	54.3%0.26%	44.5%0.47%	39.1%0.02%	35.8%1.81%	75.0%<0.01%	55.8%0.23%
San Diego Chargers	69.4%0.05%	60.7%0.12%	32.5%2.92%	56.2%0.31%	49.6%0.36%	54.1%0.04%	53.8%0.42%	51.4%0.74%	47.7%0.28%	47.9%0.63%	50.0%0.04%	36.4%2.33%	80.0%0.01%	59.6%0.31%
Seattle Seahawks	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	20.3%0.16%	61.5%0.01%	47.6%0.02%		26.9%0.03%	40.5%0.04%	15.0%0.02%	25.8%0.03%		25.0%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons															26.8%0.19%	0.0%<0.01%	68.0%0.03%	29.1%0.08%	27.7%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	39.1%0.09%	41.5%0.04%	46.6%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	40.9%0.02%	38.6%0.06%	30.6%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears															30.9%0.36%	75.0%<0.01%	61.1%0.05%	45.7%0.13%	27.6%0.33%	100.0%<0.01%	39.7%0.15%	45.9%0.07%	41.5%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	64.7%0.03%	40.8%0.10%	39.3%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys															61.0%7.79%	82.8%0.09%	74.6%1.10%	67.8%2.72%	59.4%7.44%	82.7%0.10%	65.2%3.86%	74.0%1.67%	69.6%2.99%	82.2%0.07%	70.6%0.61%	69.9%2.41%	67.5%2.92%	79.7%0.16%
Detroit Lions															39.5%0.87%	57.1%<0.01%	55.6%0.10%	43.6%0.31%	38.8%0.80%	80.0%0.01%	41.7%0.43%	51.2%0.16%	49.3%0.34%	76.9%0.01%	60.7%0.06%	49.4%0.25%	43.8%0.31%	38.5%0.01%
Green Bay Packers															44.5%1.04%	66.7%0.01%	65.0%0.16%	46.1%0.33%	38.8%0.91%	66.7%<0.01%	43.6%0.47%	55.5%0.24%	54.8%0.44%	72.7%0.01%	59.5%0.08%	53.0%0.35%	50.4%0.36%	52.4%0.02%
Los Angeles Rams															26.4%0.09%		60.0%0.01%	42.5%0.04%	21.3%0.06%		32.4%0.04%	57.9%0.02%	53.3%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	43.5%0.02%	45.9%0.04%
Minnesota Vikings															44.4%1.28%	76.9%0.01%	60.0%0.19%	49.1%0.44%	40.0%1.18%	70.6%0.02%	48.5%0.67%	58.5%0.26%	54.1%0.48%	70.6%0.02%	63.9%0.11%	57.2%0.40%	46.2%0.42%	73.1%0.03%
New Orleans Saints															40.8%1.98%	65.2%0.02%	65.4%0.26%	48.6%0.66%	42.3%1.85%	75.0%0.02%	48.6%1.01%	56.0%0.42%	53.5%0.73%	71.4%0.01%	63.2%0.18%	57.4%0.61%	48.6%0.74%	59.5%0.04%
New York Giants															43.9%0.83%	76.9%0.01%	63.0%0.10%	49.8%0.28%	43.7%0.75%	100.0%0.01%	53.9%0.43%	54.4%0.18%	52.2%0.34%	100.0%0.01%	58.1%0.06%	45.7%0.26%	52.3%0.28%	85.0%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles															45.7%1.64%	81.8%0.02%	62.0%0.22%	55.7%0.58%	44.0%1.52%	76.2%0.02%	52.5%0.79%	63.3%0.36%	56.2%0.64%	80.8%0.03%	63.6%0.12%	55.5%0.47%	52.1%0.63%	74.2%0.03%
Phoenix Cardinals															32.2%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	61.5%0.01%	50.0%0.05%	36.2%0.12%	75.0%<0.01%	39.4%0.07%	37.5%0.02%	43.9%0.06%		61.5%0.01%	60.9%0.02%	50.0%0.04%
San Francisco 49ers															57.6%6.28%	82.4%0.07%	72.0%0.81%	64.3%2.12%	55.6%5.56%	85.9%0.09%	62.5%3.19%	69.3%1.28%	65.8%2.40%	86.7%0.06%	71.9%0.50%	64.2%1.81%	63.6%2.33%	75.0%0.11%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers															25.0%0.03%		100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	5.9%0.02%		27.3%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins															37.3%0.82%	71.4%<0.01%	50.4%0.13%	46.8%0.29%	32.9%0.76%	76.9%0.01%	40.8%0.41%	47.2%0.14%	46.6%0.27%	81.8%0.01%	40.7%0.05%	44.2%0.23%	40.4%0.31%	69.2%0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Dallas Cowboys	100.00%	72.77%	46.64%	29.23%	Won Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	69.82%	32.99%	19.14%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Buffalo Bills	100.00%	64.58%	36.37%	16.17%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Houston Oilers	100.00%	63.18%	33.45%	15.15%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	60.12%	23.39%	11.13%	4.47%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	50.42%	18.71%	7.73%	2.88%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Giants	54.56%	16.54%	6.27%	2.86%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Minnesota Vikings	45.44%	13.75%	5.09%	2.31%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Green Bay Packers	48.73%	12.89%	4.65%	2.06%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	39.88%	14.23%	5.61%	2.00%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Raiders	49.58%	15.91%	5.70%	1.92%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Detroit Lions	51.27%	14.24%	4.36%	1.80%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos			50.4%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs				60.1%100.00%
Los Angeles Raiders	49.6%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers		39.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants
Detroit Lions		51.3%100.00%
Green Bay Packers	48.7%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings				45.4%100.00%
New York Giants			54.6%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		62.0%30.37%			67.6%29.75%	64.3%39.88%
Denver Broncos	38.0%30.37%		35.8%20.05%
Houston Oilers		64.2%20.05%		61.1%60.12%	68.4%19.83%
Kansas City Chiefs			38.9%60.12%
Los Angeles Raiders	32.4%29.75%		31.6%19.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	35.7%39.88%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys			73.6%48.73%	72.2%23.39%	71.9%27.88%
Detroit Lions						27.8%51.27%
Green Bay Packers	26.4%48.73%
Minnesota Vikings	27.8%23.39%					32.8%22.05%
New York Giants	28.1%27.88%					32.6%26.68%
San Francisco 49ers		72.2%51.27%		67.2%22.05%	67.4%26.68%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		60.7%4.58%	53.6%40.75%	59.5%15.18%	66.4%4.06%
Denver Broncos	39.3%4.58%		36.8%7.03%	42.4%4.52%		55.4%2.59%
Houston Oilers	46.4%40.75%	63.2%7.03%			67.7%5.95%	64.4%9.45%
Kansas City Chiefs	40.5%15.18%	57.6%4.52%			64.6%3.70%
Los Angeles Raiders	33.6%4.06%		32.3%5.95%	35.4%3.70%		50.3%2.20%
Pittsburgh Steelers		44.6%2.59%	35.6%9.45%		49.7%2.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys		76.0%10.31%		71.9%5.26%	70.7%6.47%	60.0%50.74%
Detroit Lions	24.0%10.31%			48.1%1.75%	48.1%2.18%
Green Bay Packers				43.2%1.98%	42.0%2.24%	32.9%8.67%
Minnesota Vikings	28.1%5.26%	51.9%1.75%	56.8%1.98%			33.2%4.76%
New York Giants	29.3%6.47%	51.9%2.18%	58.0%2.24%			34.4%5.65%
San Francisco 49ers	40.0%50.74%		67.1%8.67%	66.8%4.76%	65.6%5.65%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills	39.6%16.86%	59.1%1.60%	55.9%1.72%	57.2%1.88%	55.2%2.30%	43.7%12.01%
Denver Broncos	32.1%3.65%	52.4%0.33%	54.8%0.35%	49.6%0.37%	50.2%0.48%	36.0%2.54%
Houston Oilers	39.6%15.63%	61.8%1.42%	59.5%1.57%	58.2%1.69%	57.1%2.12%	45.0%11.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.0%5.26%	59.7%0.52%	48.8%0.46%	50.4%0.57%	53.2%0.68%	39.7%3.65%
Los Angeles Raiders	28.6%2.63%	48.8%0.26%	47.0%0.28%	45.0%0.29%	46.1%0.36%	32.7%1.88%
Pittsburgh Steelers	30.4%2.62%	54.6%0.23%	54.2%0.26%	43.3%0.29%	48.5%0.33%	34.9%1.88%
Dallas Cowboys							60.4%16.86%	67.9%3.65%	60.4%15.63%	65.0%5.26%	71.4%2.63%	69.6%2.62%
Detroit Lions							40.9%1.60%	47.6%0.33%	38.2%1.42%	40.3%0.52%	51.2%0.26%	45.4%0.23%
Green Bay Packers							44.1%1.72%	45.2%0.35%	40.5%1.57%	51.2%0.46%	53.0%0.28%	45.8%0.26%
Minnesota Vikings							42.8%1.88%	50.4%0.37%	41.8%1.69%	49.6%0.57%	55.0%0.29%	56.7%0.29%
New York Giants							44.8%2.30%	49.8%0.48%	42.9%2.12%	46.8%0.68%	53.9%0.36%	51.5%0.33%
San Francisco 49ers							56.3%12.01%	64.0%2.54%	55.0%11.03%	60.3%3.65%	67.3%1.88%	65.1%1.88%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Dallas Cowboys 29.23% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.26%

Win Prob

73.55%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

65.30%

Win Prob

60.03%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

34.85%

Win Prob

60.42%

San Francisco 49ers 19.14% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

53.04%

Win Prob

72.23%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

61.48%

Win Prob

39.97%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

35.34%

Win Prob

56.32%

Buffalo Bills 16.17% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

39.72%

Win Prob

64.32%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

60.10%

Win Prob

53.63%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

41.26%

Win Prob

39.58%

Houston Oilers 15.15% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

58.14%

Win Prob

61.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

56.49%

Win Prob

46.37%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

40.82%

Win Prob

39.58%

Kansas City Chiefs 4.47% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.12%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.91%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

55.16%

Win Prob

40.47%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

41.18%

Win Prob

34.98%

Denver Broncos 2.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.42%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

61.70%

Win Prob

38.01%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

33.44%

Win Prob

36.79%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

40.71%

Win Prob

32.13%

New York Giants 2.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.56%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

52.66%

Win Prob

32.64%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

30.98%

Win Prob

34.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

36.01%

Win Prob

44.85%

Minnesota Vikings 2.31% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.44%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

52.64%

Win Prob

32.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

31.03%

Win Prob

33.15%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

34.92%

Win Prob

42.82%

Green Bay Packers 2.06% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.73%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.45%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

61.34%

Win Prob

32.88%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

36.77%

Win Prob

44.09%

Pittsburgh Steelers 2.00% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.88%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.68%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

59.94%

Win Prob

35.60%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

39.67%

Win Prob

30.36%

Los Angeles Raiders 1.92% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.58%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

60.65%

Win Prob

32.43%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

33.69%

Win Prob

32.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

39.00%

Win Prob

28.56%

Detroit Lions 1.80% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.27%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

27.77%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

56.67%

Win Prob

23.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

36.44%

Win Prob

40.93%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1993-09-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 13-30	1477.02	1486.15	43.66%	56.07%	-9.97	0-1
1993-09-12	New Orleans Saints	L 31-34	1467.05	1575.79	39.31%	60.42%	-3.77	0-2
1993-09-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 30-37	1463.28	1605.75	26.47%	73.31%	-3.88	0-3
1993-09-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-45	1459.40	1493.24	49.92%	49.80%	-14.62	0-4
1993-10-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 0-6	1444.78	1463.81	42.26%	57.47%	-5.73	0-5
1993-10-14	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-24	1439.05	1453.18	52.75%	46.97%	+6.37	1-5
1993-10-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-15	1445.42	1586.71	26.60%	73.17%	+13.42	2-5
1993-10-31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-31	1458.84	1376.78	66.00%	33.75%	-9.66	2-6
1993-11-14	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 13-0	1449.18	1435.94	46.84%	52.88%	+10.55	3-6
1993-11-21	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-14	1459.73	1664.23	27.20%	72.58%	+14.47	4-6
1993-11-28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-14	1474.20	1464.75	56.11%	43.61%	+4.19	5-6
1993-12-05	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-33	1478.39	1571.66	32.32%	67.43%	-7.16	5-7
1993-12-11	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-24	1471.23	1647.10	30.57%	69.19%	+6.62	6-7
1993-12-19	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-30	1477.85	1501.49	41.62%	58.11%	-8.30	6-8
1993-12-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-21	1469.55	1371.01	59.01%	40.72%	-6.53	6-9
1994-01-02	Phoenix Cardinals	L 10-27	1463.02	1464.86	54.51%	45.22%	-12.44	6-10
1993-09-05	New England Patriots	W 38-14	1563.35	1398.72	75.72%	24.07%	+6.53	1-0
1993-09-12	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 13-10	1569.88	1625.06	37.29%	62.45%	+5.98	2-0
1993-09-26	Miami Dolphins	L 13-22	1575.86	1518.61	62.73%	37.01%	-10.41	2-1
1993-10-03	New York Giants	W 17-14	1565.45	1498.72	63.99%	35.75%	+3.43	3-1
1993-10-11	Houston Oilers	W 35-7	1568.88	1539.37	58.93%	40.80%	+11.95	4-1
1993-10-24	@ New York Jets	W 19-10	1580.83	1449.86	63.43%	36.31%	+6.04	5-1
1993-11-01	Washington Redskins	W 24-10	1586.87	1525.89	63.23%	36.51%	+7.56	6-1
1993-11-07	@ New England Patriots	W 13-10	1594.43	1363.18	75.53%	24.26%	+2.33	7-1
1993-11-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-23	1596.76	1531.37	54.33%	45.39%	-14.42	7-2
1993-11-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-9	1582.34	1413.42	76.17%	23.62%	+4.89	8-2
1993-11-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-23	1587.23	1543.70	51.20%	48.52%	-11.33	8-3
1993-12-05	Los Angeles Raiders	L 24-25	1575.90	1489.31	66.58%	33.17%	-3.69	8-4
1993-12-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 10-7	1572.21	1542.10	49.27%	50.45%	+4.84	9-4
1993-12-19	@ Miami Dolphins	W 47-34	1577.05	1552.03	48.54%	51.19%	+10.22	10-4
1993-12-26	New York Jets	W 16-14	1587.27	1475.39	69.73%	30.03%	+2.35	11-4
1994-01-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 30-10	1589.62	1374.13	73.82%	25.96%	+6.43	12-4
1993-09-05	New York Giants	L 20-26	1463.32	1477.23	52.78%	46.94%	-7.16	0-1
1993-09-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-10	1456.16	1530.47	34.75%	64.99%	-3.33	0-2
1993-09-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 47-17	1452.83	1389.60	63.53%	36.21%	+10.98	1-2
1993-10-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 6-0	1463.81	1444.78	57.47%	42.26%	+5.74	2-2
1993-10-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-6	1469.55	1599.91	27.85%	71.92%	+13.19	3-2
1993-10-25	Minnesota Vikings	L 12-19	1482.74	1534.32	47.37%	52.36%	-6.94	3-3
1993-10-31	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-17	1475.80	1514.43	39.54%	60.19%	-8.19	3-4
1993-11-07	Los Angeles Raiders	L 14-16	1467.61	1495.76	50.74%	48.99%	-3.97	3-5
1993-11-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 16-13	1463.64	1525.68	36.37%	63.37%	+6.07	4-5
1993-11-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-17	1469.71	1548.83	34.13%	65.62%	+5.13	5-5
1993-11-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 10-6	1474.84	1504.69	40.75%	58.98%	+6.53	6-5
1993-12-05	Green Bay Packers	W 30-17	1481.37	1530.98	47.65%	52.07%	+10.39	7-5
1993-12-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-13	1491.76	1377.94	61.12%	38.62%	-5.86	7-6
1993-12-18	Denver Broncos	L 3-13	1485.90	1538.67	47.20%	52.53%	-8.26	7-7
1993-12-26	Detroit Lions	L 14-20	1477.64	1483.23	53.97%	45.75%	-7.32	7-8
1994-01-02	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 6-20	1470.32	1394.77	55.78%	43.95%	-11.54	7-9
1993-09-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-27	1427.83	1475.82	38.26%	61.48%	-7.64	0-1
1993-09-12	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-9	1420.19	1432.09	53.07%	46.65%	-5.08	0-2
1993-09-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-34	1415.11	1482.99	35.59%	64.15%	-10.25	0-3
1993-09-26	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-19	1404.86	1402.90	55.05%	44.67%	-9.14	0-4
1993-10-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 15-17	1395.72	1537.43	26.56%	73.22%	-2.08	0-5
1993-10-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-28	1393.64	1480.88	42.30%	57.43%	-7.76	0-6
1993-10-24	@ Houston Oilers	L 12-28	1385.88	1534.38	25.80%	73.98%	-5.72	0-7
1993-11-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-24	1380.16	1525.99	34.35%	65.39%	-5.38	0-8
1993-11-14	Houston Oilers	L 3-38	1374.78	1545.04	31.26%	68.50%	-10.24	0-9
1993-11-21	@ New York Jets	L 12-17	1364.54	1475.09	30.19%	69.57%	-3.74	0-10
1993-11-28	Los Angeles Raiders	W 16-10	1360.80	1498.01	35.48%	64.26%	+8.70	1-10
1993-12-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 8-21	1369.50	1644.22	14.41%	85.44%	-2.87	1-11
1993-12-12	@ New England Patriots	L 2-7	1366.63	1351.13	47.17%	52.55%	-5.84	1-12
1993-12-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 15-3	1360.79	1418.96	46.42%	53.30%	+10.22	2-12
1993-12-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-17	1371.01	1469.55	40.72%	59.01%	+6.53	3-12
1994-01-02	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-20	1377.54	1532.52	25.10%	74.69%	-3.68	3-13
1993-09-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-14	1475.82	1427.83	61.48%	38.26%	+7.64	1-0
1993-09-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-13	1483.46	1616.90	35.98%	63.76%	+11.15	2-0
1993-09-19	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 19-16	1494.61	1508.25	43.02%	56.71%	+5.44	3-0
1993-09-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-23	1500.05	1437.18	53.97%	45.75%	-10.77	3-1
1993-10-10	Miami Dolphins	L 14-24	1489.28	1536.52	47.99%	51.73%	-8.40	3-2
1993-10-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-17	1480.88	1393.64	57.43%	42.30%	+7.76	4-2
1993-10-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-23	1488.64	1532.33	48.50%	51.22%	+6.34	5-2
1993-11-07	Denver Broncos	L 14-29	1494.98	1510.98	52.48%	47.24%	-11.25	5-3
1993-11-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 5-22	1483.73	1408.17	55.78%	43.94%	-12.72	5-4
1993-11-21	Houston Oilers	L 20-27	1471.01	1555.28	42.71%	57.01%	-6.26	5-5
1993-11-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-17	1464.75	1474.20	43.61%	56.11%	-4.18	5-6
1993-12-05	New Orleans Saints	W 17-13	1460.57	1564.13	40.02%	59.71%	+6.60	6-6
1993-12-12	@ Houston Oilers	L 17-19	1467.17	1578.82	30.06%	69.70%	-2.35	6-7
1993-12-19	New England Patriots	L 17-20	1464.82	1356.97	69.24%	30.52%	-6.63	6-8
1993-12-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 42-14	1458.19	1408.74	52.05%	47.67%	+13.96	7-8
1994-01-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-16	1472.15	1509.21	39.75%	59.98%	-5.82	7-9
1993-09-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-35	1638.09	1574.93	54.02%	45.71%	-13.03	0-1
1993-09-12	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1625.06	1569.88	62.45%	37.29%	-5.98	0-2
1993-09-19	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 17-10	1619.08	1441.07	69.45%	30.31%	+4.44	1-2
1993-10-03	Green Bay Packers	W 36-14	1623.52	1507.45	70.24%	29.53%	+7.67	2-2
1993-10-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-3	1631.19	1438.33	71.23%	28.54%	+7.74	3-2
1993-10-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-17	1638.93	1613.58	58.35%	41.38%	+6.88	4-2
1993-10-31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-10	1645.81	1576.61	54.88%	44.85%	+8.95	5-2
1993-11-07	New York Giants	W 31-9	1654.76	1518.88	72.56%	27.21%	+7.07	6-2
1993-11-14	Phoenix Cardinals	W 20-15	1661.83	1449.48	80.40%	19.42%	+2.40	7-2
1993-11-21	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-27	1664.23	1459.73	72.58%	27.20%	-14.47	7-3
1993-11-25	Miami Dolphins	L 14-16	1649.76	1557.37	67.32%	32.43%	-5.26	7-4
1993-12-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-17	1644.50	1546.40	68.03%	31.72%	+4.30	8-4
1993-12-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 37-20	1648.80	1521.72	62.91%	36.83%	+8.41	9-4
1993-12-18	@ New York Jets	W 28-7	1657.21	1483.20	68.96%	30.80%	+7.82	10-4
1993-12-26	Washington Redskins	W 38-3	1665.03	1509.79	74.72%	25.07%	+8.21	11-4
1994-01-02	@ New York Giants	W 16-13	1673.24	1542.47	63.41%	36.33%	+3.48	12-4
1993-09-05	@ New York Jets	W 26-20	1493.93	1440.78	52.58%	47.14%	+6.40	1-0
1993-09-12	San Diego Chargers	W 34-17	1500.33	1543.57	48.56%	51.16%	+11.67	2-0
1993-09-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-15	1512.00	1521.74	43.57%	56.15%	-6.82	2-1
1993-10-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 35-13	1505.18	1447.95	62.73%	37.01%	+9.61	3-1
1993-10-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 27-30	1514.79	1499.78	47.10%	52.62%	-4.51	3-2
1993-10-18	Los Angeles Raiders	L 20-23	1510.28	1498.32	56.47%	43.26%	-5.42	3-3
1993-10-31	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-17	1504.86	1419.24	66.46%	33.29%	+6.12	4-3
1993-11-07	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 29-14	1510.98	1494.98	47.24%	52.48%	+11.25	5-3
1993-11-14	Minnesota Vikings	L 23-26	1522.23	1523.91	54.53%	45.19%	-5.23	5-4
1993-11-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 37-13	1517.00	1545.79	50.64%	49.08%	+13.31	6-4
1993-11-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-9	1530.31	1420.90	60.51%	39.22%	+6.15	7-4
1993-12-05	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-13	1536.46	1524.66	46.64%	53.08%	-4.48	7-5
1993-12-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-21	1531.98	1562.56	50.39%	49.33%	+6.69	8-5
1993-12-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 13-3	1538.67	1485.90	52.53%	47.20%	+8.26	9-5
1993-12-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-17	1546.93	1379.42	76.02%	23.77%	-11.12	9-6
1994-01-02	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 30-33	1535.81	1488.77	51.70%	48.02%	-4.95	9-7
1993-09-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-13	1486.15	1477.02	56.07%	43.66%	+9.97	1-0
1993-09-12	@ New England Patriots	W 19-16	1496.12	1392.19	59.76%	39.97%	+3.83	2-0
1993-09-19	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-14	1499.95	1579.56	34.07%	65.68%	-6.26	2-1
1993-09-26	Phoenix Cardinals	W 26-20	1493.69	1436.63	62.70%	37.03%	+5.03	3-1
1993-10-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-27	1498.72	1378.62	61.97%	37.76%	-14.14	3-2
1993-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-10	1484.58	1426.25	62.87%	36.86%	+9.13	4-2
1993-10-24	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 16-13	1493.71	1446.81	51.68%	48.04%	+4.61	5-2
1993-10-31	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-27	1498.32	1541.26	38.95%	60.79%	+5.82	6-2
1993-11-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-0	1504.14	1386.44	70.43%	29.33%	+7.79	7-2
1993-11-21	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-26	1511.93	1521.20	43.64%	56.09%	-7.24	7-3
1993-11-25	Chicago Bears	L 6-10	1504.69	1474.84	58.98%	40.75%	-6.53	7-4
1993-12-05	Minnesota Vikings	L 0-13	1498.16	1511.16	52.91%	46.81%	-10.56	7-5
1993-12-12	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 21-14	1487.60	1456.76	49.37%	50.35%	+7.37	8-5
1993-12-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-55	1494.97	1640.47	34.40%	65.35%	-11.74	8-6
1993-12-26	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-14	1483.23	1477.64	45.75%	53.97%	+7.32	9-6
1994-01-02	Green Bay Packers	W 30-20	1490.55	1534.77	48.42%	51.30%	+8.98	10-6
1993-09-05	Los Angeles Rams	W 36-6	1503.47	1453.10	61.80%	37.94%	+11.51	1-0
1993-09-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-20	1514.98	1587.13	44.43%	55.30%	-4.26	1-1
1993-09-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-15	1510.72	1533.81	41.69%	58.04%	-3.27	1-2
1993-10-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-36	1507.45	1623.52	29.53%	70.24%	-7.67	1-3
1993-10-10	Denver Broncos	W 30-27	1499.78	1514.79	52.62%	47.10%	+4.52	2-3
1993-10-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-14	1504.30	1386.91	61.60%	38.13%	+10.13	3-3
1993-10-31	Chicago Bears	W 17-3	1514.43	1475.80	60.19%	39.54%	+8.19	4-3
1993-11-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-23	1522.62	1533.47	43.41%	56.31%	-6.36	4-4
1993-11-14	@ New Orleans Saints	W 19-17	1516.26	1576.75	36.58%	63.16%	+4.94	5-4
1993-11-21	Detroit Lions	W 26-17	1521.20	1511.93	56.09%	43.64%	+7.25	6-4
1993-11-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1528.45	1385.62	73.35%	26.43%	+2.53	7-4
1993-12-05	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-30	1530.98	1481.37	52.07%	47.65%	-10.39	7-5
1993-12-12	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-13	1520.59	1529.13	43.74%	55.98%	+8.20	8-5
1993-12-19	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-21	1528.79	1513.31	56.97%	42.76%	-6.31	8-6
1993-12-26	Los Angeles Raiders	W 28-0	1522.48	1501.06	57.80%	41.93%	+12.29	9-6
1994-01-02	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-30	1534.77	1490.55	51.30%	48.42%	-8.98	9-7
1993-09-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-33	1551.72	1567.60	42.70%	57.02%	-8.19	0-1
1993-09-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-0	1543.53	1535.01	55.98%	43.74%	+13.26	1-1
1993-09-19	@ San Diego Chargers	L 17-18	1556.79	1531.90	48.52%	51.20%	-2.68	1-2
1993-09-26	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-28	1554.11	1449.84	68.80%	30.96%	-14.74	1-3
1993-10-11	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-35	1539.37	1568.88	40.80%	58.93%	-11.96	1-4
1993-10-17	@ New England Patriots	W 28-14	1527.41	1375.81	66.14%	33.61%	+6.97	2-4
1993-10-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-12	1534.38	1385.88	73.98%	25.80%	+5.71	3-4
1993-11-07	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-14	1540.09	1413.12	71.53%	28.24%	+4.95	4-4
1993-11-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-3	1545.04	1374.78	68.50%	31.26%	+10.24	5-4
1993-11-21	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-20	1555.28	1471.01	57.01%	42.71%	+6.26	6-4
1993-11-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-3	1561.54	1532.49	58.87%	40.86%	+10.12	7-4
1993-12-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 33-17	1571.66	1478.39	67.43%	32.32%	+7.16	8-4
1993-12-12	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 19-17	1578.82	1467.17	69.70%	30.06%	+2.35	9-4
1993-12-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-17	1581.17	1527.90	52.60%	47.12%	+7.83	10-4
1993-12-25	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 10-7	1589.00	1652.21	36.21%	63.53%	+6.09	11-4
1994-01-02	New York Jets	W 24-0	1595.09	1473.04	70.95%	28.82%	+7.82	12-4
1993-09-05	Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1436.74	1525.81	42.04%	57.69%	-4.65	0-1
1993-09-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 9-6	1432.09	1420.19	46.65%	53.07%	+5.09	1-1
1993-09-26	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 23-10	1437.18	1500.05	45.75%	53.97%	+10.77	2-1
1993-10-03	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-35	1447.95	1505.18	37.01%	62.73%	-9.62	2-2
1993-10-10	Dallas Cowboys	L 3-27	1438.33	1631.19	28.54%	71.23%	-7.74	2-3
1993-10-24	@ Miami Dolphins	L 27-41	1430.59	1544.92	29.73%	70.03%	-6.16	2-4
1993-10-31	New England Patriots	W 9-6	1424.43	1366.72	62.79%	36.95%	+3.54	3-4
1993-11-07	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-30	1427.97	1518.33	32.69%	67.06%	-4.44	3-5
1993-11-14	New York Jets	L 17-31	1423.53	1464.98	48.82%	50.90%	-10.11	3-6
1993-11-21	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-23	1413.42	1582.34	23.62%	76.17%	-4.89	3-7
1993-11-29	San Diego Chargers	L 0-31	1408.53	1512.32	39.99%	59.74%	-12.33	3-8
1993-12-05	@ New York Jets	W 9-6	1396.20	1483.95	33.02%	66.73%	+6.39	4-8
1993-12-12	@ New York Giants	L 6-20	1402.59	1537.91	27.28%	72.50%	-5.65	4-9
1993-12-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-20	1396.94	1537.26	35.07%	64.67%	-6.14	4-10
1993-12-26	@ New England Patriots	L 0-38	1390.80	1363.60	48.85%	50.87%	-16.67	4-11
1994-01-02	Buffalo Bills	L 10-30	1374.13	1589.62	25.96%	73.82%	-6.43	4-12
1993-09-05	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-3	1524.66	1407.27	61.60%	38.13%	+10.35	1-0
1993-09-12	@ Houston Oilers	L 0-30	1535.01	1543.53	43.74%	55.98%	-13.27	1-1
1993-09-20	Denver Broncos	W 15-7	1521.74	1512.00	56.15%	43.57%	+6.82	2-1
1993-10-03	Los Angeles Raiders	W 24-9	1528.56	1502.82	58.41%	41.32%	+8.87	3-1
1993-10-10	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-15	1537.43	1395.72	73.22%	26.56%	+2.08	4-1
1993-10-17	@ San Diego Chargers	W 17-14	1539.51	1511.04	49.03%	50.69%	+4.86	5-1
1993-10-31	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-30	1544.37	1551.09	44.00%	55.73%	-10.90	5-2
1993-11-08	Green Bay Packers	W 23-16	1533.47	1522.62	56.31%	43.41%	+6.36	6-2
1993-11-14	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 31-20	1539.83	1499.73	50.71%	49.02%	+9.00	7-2
1993-11-21	Chicago Bears	L 17-19	1548.83	1469.71	65.62%	34.13%	-5.13	7-3
1993-11-28	Buffalo Bills	W 23-7	1543.70	1587.23	48.52%	51.20%	+11.33	8-3
1993-12-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-16	1555.03	1414.76	64.66%	35.08%	+7.53	9-3
1993-12-12	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-27	1562.56	1531.98	49.33%	50.39%	-6.69	9-4
1993-12-19	San Diego Chargers	W 28-24	1555.87	1520.93	59.68%	40.05%	+4.43	10-4
1993-12-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-30	1560.30	1519.61	50.79%	48.93%	-12.57	10-5
1994-01-02	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-24	1547.73	1409.79	72.79%	26.98%	+4.73	11-5
1993-09-05	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-7	1491.88	1542.39	47.52%	52.20%	+11.91	1-0
1993-09-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-13	1503.79	1402.24	59.43%	40.30%	+4.46	2-0
1993-09-19	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-19	1508.25	1494.61	56.71%	43.02%	-5.43	2-1
1993-10-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-24	1502.82	1528.56	41.32%	58.41%	-8.86	2-2
1993-10-10	New York Jets	W 24-20	1493.96	1454.22	60.35%	39.39%	+4.36	3-2
1993-10-18	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1498.32	1510.28	43.26%	56.47%	+5.41	4-2
1993-10-31	San Diego Chargers	L 23-30	1503.73	1506.18	54.42%	45.30%	-7.97	4-3
1993-11-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 16-14	1495.76	1467.61	48.99%	50.74%	+3.97	5-3
1993-11-14	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-31	1499.73	1539.83	49.02%	50.71%	-9.00	5-4
1993-11-21	@ San Diego Chargers	W 12-7	1490.73	1519.61	40.89%	58.84%	+7.28	6-4
1993-11-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-16	1498.01	1360.80	64.26%	35.48%	-8.70	6-5
1993-12-05	@ Buffalo Bills	W 25-24	1489.31	1575.90	33.17%	66.58%	+3.68	7-5
1993-12-12	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-23	1492.99	1407.23	66.47%	33.28%	+3.69	8-5
1993-12-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-20	1496.68	1383.80	69.85%	29.91%	+4.38	9-5
1993-12-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-28	1501.06	1522.48	41.93%	57.80%	-12.29	9-6
1994-01-02	Denver Broncos	W 33-30	1488.77	1535.81	48.02%	51.70%	+4.96	10-6
1993-09-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-36	1453.10	1503.47	37.94%	61.80%	-11.51	0-1
1993-09-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-0	1441.59	1498.26	46.64%	53.09%	+15.27	1-1
1993-09-19	@ New York Giants	L 10-20	1456.86	1491.71	40.06%	59.67%	-7.02	1-2
1993-09-26	@ Houston Oilers	W 28-13	1449.84	1554.11	30.96%	68.80%	+14.74	2-2
1993-10-03	New Orleans Saints	L 6-37	1464.58	1590.45	36.99%	62.75%	-11.40	2-3
1993-10-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-30	1453.18	1439.05	46.97%	52.75%	-6.37	2-4
1993-10-24	Detroit Lions	L 13-16	1446.81	1493.71	48.04%	51.68%	-4.61	2-5
1993-10-31	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-40	1442.20	1611.76	23.55%	76.24%	-6.26	2-6
1993-11-14	Atlanta Falcons	L 0-13	1435.94	1449.18	52.88%	46.84%	-10.55	2-7
1993-11-21	Washington Redskins	W 10-6	1425.39	1513.12	42.23%	57.50%	+6.37	3-7
1993-11-28	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-35	1431.76	1636.70	27.15%	72.63%	-7.52	3-8
1993-12-05	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 10-38	1424.24	1444.42	42.10%	57.63%	-12.34	3-9
1993-12-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-20	1411.90	1557.52	26.12%	73.66%	+7.06	4-9
1993-12-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 3-15	1418.96	1360.79	53.30%	46.42%	-10.22	4-10
1993-12-26	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-42	1408.74	1458.19	47.67%	52.05%	-13.97	4-11
1994-01-02	Chicago Bears	W 20-6	1394.77	1470.32	43.95%	55.78%	+11.55	5-11
1993-09-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-20	1525.81	1436.74	57.69%	42.04%	+4.65	1-0
1993-09-12	New York Jets	L 14-24	1530.46	1434.39	67.78%	31.97%	-11.85	1-1
1993-09-26	@ Buffalo Bills	W 22-13	1518.61	1575.86	37.01%	62.73%	+10.41	2-1
1993-10-04	Washington Redskins	W 17-10	1529.02	1572.87	48.48%	51.25%	+7.50	3-1
1993-10-10	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-14	1536.52	1489.28	51.73%	47.99%	+8.40	4-1
1993-10-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 41-27	1544.92	1430.59	70.03%	29.73%	+6.17	5-1
1993-10-31	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-10	1551.09	1544.37	55.73%	44.00%	+10.89	6-1
1993-11-07	@ New York Jets	L 10-27	1561.98	1451.13	60.71%	39.02%	-13.85	6-2
1993-11-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 19-14	1548.13	1555.01	43.98%	55.75%	+6.90	7-2
1993-11-21	New England Patriots	W 17-13	1555.03	1360.85	78.70%	21.10%	+2.34	8-2
1993-11-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 16-14	1557.37	1649.76	32.43%	67.32%	+5.26	9-2
1993-12-05	New York Giants	L 14-19	1562.63	1530.58	59.29%	40.45%	-7.33	9-3
1993-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-21	1555.30	1524.63	59.09%	40.64%	-3.27	9-4
1993-12-19	Buffalo Bills	L 34-47	1552.03	1577.05	51.19%	48.54%	-10.22	9-5
1993-12-27	@ San Diego Chargers	L 20-45	1541.81	1516.50	48.58%	51.14%	-13.44	9-6
1994-01-02	@ New England Patriots	L 27-33	1528.37	1380.27	65.68%	34.06%	-8.90	9-7
1993-09-05	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 7-24	1542.39	1491.88	52.20%	47.52%	-11.92	0-1
1993-09-12	Chicago Bears	W 10-7	1530.47	1456.16	64.99%	34.75%	+3.34	1-1
1993-09-26	Green Bay Packers	W 15-13	1533.81	1510.72	58.04%	41.69%	+3.26	2-1
1993-10-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-38	1537.07	1604.99	35.59%	64.15%	-8.59	2-2
1993-10-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 15-0	1528.48	1392.75	72.54%	27.23%	+5.84	3-2
1993-10-25	@ Chicago Bears	W 19-12	1534.32	1482.74	52.36%	47.37%	+6.94	4-2
1993-10-31	Detroit Lions	L 27-30	1541.26	1498.32	60.79%	38.95%	-5.83	4-3
1993-11-07	San Diego Chargers	L 17-30	1535.43	1514.15	57.78%	41.95%	-11.52	4-4
1993-11-14	@ Denver Broncos	W 26-23	1523.91	1522.23	45.19%	54.53%	+5.22	5-4
1993-11-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-23	1529.13	1372.30	66.81%	32.94%	-13.32	5-5
1993-11-28	New Orleans Saints	L 14-17	1515.81	1559.48	48.50%	51.22%	-4.65	5-6
1993-12-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 13-0	1511.16	1498.16	46.81%	52.91%	+10.56	6-6
1993-12-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-37	1521.72	1648.80	36.83%	62.91%	-8.41	6-7
1993-12-19	@ Green Bay Packers	W 21-17	1513.31	1528.79	42.76%	56.97%	+6.30	7-7
1993-12-26	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-10	1519.61	1560.30	48.93%	50.79%	+12.58	8-7
1993-12-31	@ Washington Redskins	W 14-9	1532.19	1501.58	49.34%	50.38%	+6.23	9-7
1993-09-05	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-38	1398.72	1563.35	24.07%	75.72%	-6.53	0-1
1993-09-12	Detroit Lions	L 16-19	1392.19	1496.12	39.97%	59.76%	-3.84	0-2
1993-09-19	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-17	1388.35	1397.78	53.42%	46.30%	-5.12	0-3
1993-09-26	@ New York Jets	L 7-45	1383.23	1446.24	36.24%	63.50%	-12.37	0-4
1993-10-10	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 23-21	1370.86	1431.60	36.54%	63.20%	+4.95	1-4
1993-10-17	Houston Oilers	L 14-28	1375.81	1527.41	33.61%	66.14%	-6.97	1-5
1993-10-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-10	1368.84	1417.12	38.22%	61.52%	-2.12	1-6
1993-10-31	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-9	1366.72	1424.43	36.95%	62.79%	-3.54	1-7
1993-11-07	Buffalo Bills	L 10-13	1363.18	1594.43	24.26%	75.53%	-2.33	1-8
1993-11-21	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-17	1360.85	1555.03	21.10%	78.70%	-2.33	1-9
1993-11-28	New York Jets	L 0-6	1358.52	1478.83	37.73%	62.00%	-5.12	1-10
1993-12-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-17	1353.40	1522.37	23.62%	76.18%	-2.27	1-11
1993-12-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 7-2	1351.13	1366.63	52.55%	47.17%	+5.84	2-11
1993-12-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-17	1356.97	1464.82	30.52%	69.24%	+6.63	3-11
1993-12-26	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-0	1363.60	1390.80	50.87%	48.85%	+16.67	4-11
1994-01-02	Miami Dolphins	W 33-27	1380.27	1528.37	34.06%	65.68%	+8.90	5-11
1993-09-05	Houston Oilers	W 33-21	1567.60	1551.72	57.02%	42.70%	+8.19	1-0
1993-09-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-31	1575.79	1467.05	60.42%	39.31%	+3.77	2-0
1993-09-19	Detroit Lions	W 14-3	1579.56	1499.95	65.68%	34.07%	+6.26	3-0
1993-09-26	San Francisco 49ers	W 16-13	1585.82	1609.62	51.36%	48.36%	+4.63	4-0
1993-10-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 37-6	1590.45	1464.58	62.75%	36.99%	+11.41	5-0
1993-10-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-37	1601.86	1517.19	57.07%	42.66%	-15.15	5-1
1993-10-24	Atlanta Falcons	L 15-26	1586.71	1445.42	73.17%	26.60%	-13.42	5-2
1993-10-31	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 20-17	1573.29	1440.29	63.70%	36.04%	+3.46	6-2
1993-11-14	Green Bay Packers	L 17-19	1576.75	1516.26	63.16%	36.58%	-4.94	6-3
1993-11-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-42	1571.81	1624.37	37.64%	62.10%	-12.33	6-4
1993-11-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-14	1559.48	1515.81	51.22%	48.50%	+4.65	7-4
1993-12-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-17	1564.13	1460.57	59.71%	40.02%	-6.61	7-5
1993-12-12	Los Angeles Rams	L 20-23	1557.52	1411.90	73.66%	26.12%	-7.06	7-6
1993-12-20	New York Giants	L 14-24	1550.46	1543.57	55.75%	43.97%	-9.75	7-7
1993-12-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 26-37	1540.71	1543.40	44.57%	55.15%	-8.19	7-8
1994-01-02	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-13	1532.52	1377.54	74.69%	25.10%	+3.68	8-8
1993-09-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-20	1477.23	1463.32	46.94%	52.78%	+7.15	1-0
1993-09-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-7	1484.38	1396.93	66.69%	33.06%	+7.33	2-0
1993-09-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 20-10	1491.71	1456.86	59.67%	40.06%	+7.01	3-0
1993-10-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-17	1498.72	1565.45	35.75%	63.99%	-3.43	3-1
1993-10-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 41-7	1495.29	1565.37	35.31%	64.44%	+20.79	4-1
1993-10-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-10	1516.08	1586.72	44.64%	55.08%	+10.11	5-1
1993-10-31	New York Jets	L 6-10	1526.19	1443.82	66.04%	33.71%	-7.31	5-2
1993-11-07	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 9-31	1518.88	1654.76	27.21%	72.56%	-7.07	5-3
1993-11-14	Washington Redskins	W 20-6	1511.81	1522.76	53.21%	46.52%	+9.64	6-3
1993-11-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 7-3	1521.45	1548.11	41.19%	58.53%	+6.47	7-3
1993-11-28	Phoenix Cardinals	W 19-17	1527.92	1447.08	65.84%	33.91%	+2.66	8-3
1993-12-05	@ Miami Dolphins	W 19-14	1530.58	1562.63	40.45%	59.29%	+7.33	9-3
1993-12-12	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-6	1537.91	1402.59	72.50%	27.28%	+5.66	10-3
1993-12-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 24-14	1543.57	1550.46	43.97%	55.75%	+9.75	11-3
1993-12-26	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 6-17	1553.32	1454.01	59.12%	40.61%	-10.85	11-4
1994-01-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-16	1542.47	1673.24	36.33%	63.41%	-3.48	11-5
1993-09-05	Denver Broncos	L 20-26	1440.78	1493.93	47.14%	52.58%	-6.39	0-1
1993-09-12	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-14	1434.39	1530.46	31.97%	67.78%	+11.85	1-1
1993-09-26	New England Patriots	W 45-7	1446.24	1383.23	63.50%	36.24%	+12.38	2-1
1993-10-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 30-35	1458.62	1595.51	35.52%	64.22%	-4.40	2-2
1993-10-10	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 20-24	1454.22	1493.96	39.39%	60.35%	-4.36	2-3
1993-10-24	Buffalo Bills	L 10-19	1449.86	1580.83	36.31%	63.43%	-6.04	2-4
1993-10-31	@ New York Giants	W 10-6	1443.82	1526.19	33.71%	66.04%	+7.31	3-4
1993-11-07	Miami Dolphins	W 27-10	1451.13	1561.98	39.02%	60.71%	+13.85	4-4
1993-11-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-17	1464.98	1423.53	50.90%	48.82%	+10.11	5-4
1993-11-21	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-12	1475.09	1364.54	69.57%	30.19%	+3.74	6-4
1993-11-28	@ New England Patriots	W 6-0	1478.83	1358.52	62.00%	37.73%	+5.12	7-4
1993-12-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-9	1483.95	1396.20	66.73%	33.02%	-6.39	7-5
1993-12-11	@ Washington Redskins	W 3-0	1477.56	1507.13	40.79%	58.94%	+5.64	8-5
1993-12-18	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-28	1483.20	1657.21	30.80%	68.96%	-7.81	8-6
1993-12-26	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-16	1475.39	1587.27	30.03%	69.73%	-2.35	8-7
1994-01-02	@ Houston Oilers	L 0-24	1473.04	1595.09	28.82%	70.95%	-7.82	8-8
1993-09-05	Phoenix Cardinals	W 23-17	1583.66	1433.57	74.15%	25.63%	+3.47	1-0
1993-09-12	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1587.13	1514.98	55.30%	44.43%	+4.26	2-0
1993-09-19	Washington Redskins	W 34-31	1591.39	1576.99	56.82%	42.91%	+4.12	3-0
1993-10-03	@ New York Jets	W 35-30	1595.51	1458.62	64.22%	35.52%	+4.40	4-0
1993-10-10	Chicago Bears	L 6-17	1599.91	1469.55	71.92%	27.85%	-13.19	4-1
1993-10-17	@ New York Giants	L 10-21	1586.72	1516.08	55.08%	44.64%	-10.11	4-2
1993-10-31	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-23	1576.61	1645.81	44.85%	54.88%	-8.96	4-3
1993-11-07	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 3-16	1567.65	1436.83	63.41%	36.33%	-12.64	4-4
1993-11-14	Miami Dolphins	L 14-19	1555.01	1548.13	55.75%	43.98%	-6.90	4-5
1993-11-21	New York Giants	L 3-7	1548.11	1521.45	58.53%	41.19%	-6.48	4-6
1993-11-28	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1541.63	1506.76	49.95%	49.77%	+4.77	5-6
1993-12-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-23	1546.40	1644.50	31.72%	68.03%	-4.30	5-7
1993-12-12	Buffalo Bills	L 7-10	1542.10	1572.21	50.45%	49.27%	-4.84	5-8
1993-12-19	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-10	1537.26	1396.94	64.67%	35.07%	+6.14	6-8
1993-12-26	New Orleans Saints	W 37-26	1543.40	1540.71	55.15%	44.57%	+8.19	7-8
1994-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 37-34	1551.59	1646.13	32.17%	67.59%	+6.47	8-8
1993-09-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-23	1433.57	1583.66	25.63%	74.15%	-3.47	0-1
1993-09-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-10	1430.10	1587.96	24.79%	75.00%	+10.97	1-1
1993-09-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-17	1441.07	1619.08	30.31%	69.45%	-4.44	1-2
1993-09-26	@ Detroit Lions	L 20-26	1436.63	1493.69	37.03%	62.70%	-5.03	1-3
1993-10-10	New England Patriots	L 21-23	1431.60	1370.86	63.20%	36.54%	-4.94	1-4
1993-10-17	Washington Redskins	W 36-6	1426.66	1544.58	38.06%	61.68%	+18.69	2-4
1993-10-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-28	1445.35	1606.71	24.41%	75.37%	-5.06	2-5
1993-10-31	New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1440.29	1573.29	36.04%	63.70%	-3.46	2-6
1993-11-07	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-3	1436.83	1567.65	36.33%	63.41%	+12.65	3-6
1993-11-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 15-20	1449.48	1661.83	19.42%	80.40%	-2.40	3-7
1993-11-28	@ New York Giants	L 17-19	1447.08	1527.92	33.91%	65.84%	-2.66	3-8
1993-12-05	Los Angeles Rams	W 38-10	1444.42	1424.24	57.63%	42.10%	+12.34	4-8
1993-12-12	Detroit Lions	L 14-21	1456.76	1487.60	50.35%	49.37%	-7.37	4-9
1993-12-19	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-27	1449.39	1403.55	51.53%	48.19%	+4.62	5-9
1993-12-26	New York Giants	W 17-6	1454.01	1553.32	40.61%	59.12%	+10.85	6-9
1994-01-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-10	1464.86	1463.02	45.22%	54.51%	+12.43	7-9
1993-09-05	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-24	1505.60	1609.56	39.97%	59.76%	-7.34	0-1
1993-09-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 0-27	1498.26	1441.59	53.09%	46.64%	-15.27	0-2
1993-09-19	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-7	1482.99	1415.11	64.15%	35.59%	+10.25	1-2
1993-09-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 45-17	1493.24	1459.40	49.80%	49.92%	+14.62	2-2
1993-10-10	San Diego Chargers	W 16-3	1507.86	1520.37	52.98%	46.74%	+9.33	3-2
1993-10-17	New Orleans Saints	W 37-14	1517.19	1601.86	42.66%	57.07%	+15.14	4-2
1993-10-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 23-28	1532.33	1488.64	51.22%	48.50%	-6.34	4-3
1993-11-07	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-16	1525.99	1380.16	65.39%	34.35%	+5.38	5-3
1993-11-15	Buffalo Bills	W 23-0	1531.37	1596.76	45.39%	54.33%	+14.42	6-3
1993-11-21	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-37	1545.79	1517.00	49.08%	50.64%	-13.30	6-4
1993-11-28	@ Houston Oilers	L 3-23	1532.49	1561.54	40.86%	58.87%	-10.12	6-5
1993-12-05	New England Patriots	W 17-14	1522.37	1353.40	76.18%	23.62%	+2.26	7-5
1993-12-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 21-20	1524.63	1555.30	40.64%	59.09%	+3.27	8-5
1993-12-19	Houston Oilers	L 17-26	1527.90	1581.17	47.12%	52.60%	-7.83	8-6
1993-12-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-16	1520.07	1398.93	62.11%	37.62%	-10.86	8-7
1994-01-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 16-9	1509.21	1472.15	59.98%	39.75%	+5.82	9-7
1993-09-05	Seattle Seahawks	W 18-12	1539.85	1405.96	72.33%	27.44%	+3.72	1-0
1993-09-12	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-34	1543.57	1500.33	51.16%	48.56%	-11.67	1-1
1993-09-19	Houston Oilers	W 18-17	1531.90	1556.79	51.20%	48.52%	+2.68	2-1
1993-10-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-31	1534.58	1412.04	62.30%	37.43%	-14.21	2-2
1993-10-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-16	1520.37	1507.86	46.74%	52.98%	-9.33	2-3
1993-10-17	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-17	1511.04	1539.51	50.69%	49.03%	-4.86	2-4
1993-10-31	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 30-23	1506.18	1503.73	45.30%	54.42%	+7.97	3-4
1993-11-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-17	1514.15	1535.43	41.95%	57.78%	+11.53	4-4
1993-11-14	Chicago Bears	L 13-16	1525.68	1463.64	63.37%	36.37%	-6.07	4-5
1993-11-21	Los Angeles Raiders	L 7-12	1519.61	1490.73	58.84%	40.89%	-7.29	4-6
1993-11-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-0	1512.32	1408.53	59.74%	39.99%	+12.34	5-6
1993-12-05	Denver Broncos	W 13-10	1524.66	1536.46	53.08%	46.64%	+4.47	6-6
1993-12-12	Green Bay Packers	L 13-20	1529.13	1520.59	55.98%	43.74%	-8.20	6-7
1993-12-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-28	1520.93	1555.87	40.05%	59.68%	-4.43	6-8
1993-12-27	Miami Dolphins	W 45-20	1516.50	1541.81	51.14%	48.58%	+13.44	7-8
1994-01-02	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 32-17	1529.94	1390.54	64.55%	35.19%	+7.55	8-8
1993-09-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-13	1609.56	1505.60	59.76%	39.97%	+7.34	1-0
1993-09-13	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 13-23	1616.90	1483.46	63.76%	35.98%	-11.15	1-1
1993-09-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-30	1605.75	1463.28	73.31%	26.47%	+3.87	2-1
1993-09-26	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-16	1609.62	1585.82	48.36%	51.36%	-4.63	2-2
1993-10-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-19	1604.99	1537.07	64.15%	35.59%	+8.59	3-2
1993-10-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-26	1613.58	1638.93	41.38%	58.35%	-6.87	3-3
1993-10-24	Phoenix Cardinals	W 28-14	1606.71	1445.35	75.37%	24.41%	+5.05	4-3
1993-10-31	Los Angeles Rams	W 40-17	1611.76	1442.20	76.24%	23.55%	+6.26	5-3
1993-11-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 45-21	1618.02	1378.65	76.38%	23.42%	+6.35	6-3
1993-11-22	New Orleans Saints	W 42-7	1624.37	1571.81	62.10%	37.64%	+12.33	7-3
1993-11-28	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 35-10	1636.70	1431.76	72.63%	27.15%	+7.52	8-3
1993-12-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-8	1644.22	1369.50	85.44%	14.41%	+2.88	9-3
1993-12-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1647.10	1471.23	69.19%	30.57%	-6.63	9-4
1993-12-19	@ Detroit Lions	W 55-17	1640.47	1494.97	65.35%	34.40%	+11.74	10-4
1993-12-25	Houston Oilers	L 7-10	1652.21	1589.00	63.53%	36.21%	-6.08	10-5
1994-01-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 34-37	1646.13	1551.59	67.59%	32.17%	-6.48	10-6
1993-09-05	@ San Diego Chargers	L 12-18	1405.96	1539.85	27.44%	72.33%	-3.72	0-1
1993-09-12	Los Angeles Raiders	L 13-17	1402.24	1503.79	40.30%	59.43%	-4.46	0-2
1993-09-19	@ New England Patriots	W 17-14	1397.78	1388.35	46.30%	53.42%	+5.12	1-2
1993-09-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-10	1402.90	1404.86	44.67%	55.05%	+9.14	2-2
1993-10-03	San Diego Chargers	W 31-14	1412.04	1534.58	37.43%	62.30%	+14.21	3-2
1993-10-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-30	1426.25	1484.58	36.86%	62.87%	-9.13	3-3
1993-10-24	New England Patriots	W 10-9	1417.12	1368.84	61.52%	38.22%	+2.12	4-3
1993-10-31	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-28	1419.24	1504.86	33.29%	66.46%	-6.12	4-4
1993-11-07	@ Houston Oilers	L 14-24	1413.12	1540.09	28.24%	71.53%	-4.95	4-5
1993-11-14	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 22-5	1408.17	1483.73	43.94%	55.78%	+12.73	5-5
1993-11-28	Denver Broncos	L 9-17	1420.90	1530.31	39.22%	60.51%	-6.14	5-6
1993-12-05	Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-31	1414.76	1555.03	35.08%	64.66%	-7.53	5-7
1993-12-12	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 23-27	1407.23	1492.99	33.28%	66.47%	-3.68	5-8
1993-12-19	Phoenix Cardinals	L 27-30	1403.55	1449.39	48.19%	51.53%	-4.62	5-9
1993-12-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-6	1398.93	1520.07	37.62%	62.11%	+10.86	6-9
1994-01-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-34	1409.79	1547.73	26.98%	72.79%	-4.72	6-10
1993-09-05	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-27	1407.27	1524.66	38.13%	61.60%	-10.34	0-1
1993-09-12	@ New York Giants	L 7-23	1396.93	1484.38	33.06%	66.69%	-7.33	0-2
1993-09-26	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-47	1389.60	1452.83	36.21%	63.53%	-10.98	0-3
1993-10-03	Detroit Lions	W 27-10	1378.62	1498.72	37.76%	61.97%	+14.13	1-3
1993-10-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 0-15	1392.75	1528.48	27.23%	72.54%	-5.84	1-4
1993-10-24	Green Bay Packers	L 14-37	1386.91	1504.30	38.13%	61.60%	-10.13	1-5
1993-10-31	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-24	1376.78	1458.84	33.75%	66.00%	+9.66	2-5
1993-11-07	@ Detroit Lions	L 0-23	1386.44	1504.14	29.33%	70.43%	-7.79	2-6
1993-11-14	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-45	1378.65	1618.02	23.42%	76.38%	-6.35	2-7
1993-11-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-10	1372.30	1529.13	32.94%	66.81%	+13.32	3-7
1993-11-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-13	1385.62	1528.45	26.43%	73.35%	-2.53	3-8
1993-12-05	Washington Redskins	L 17-23	1383.09	1501.99	37.93%	61.81%	-5.15	3-9
1993-12-12	Chicago Bears	W 13-10	1377.94	1491.76	38.62%	61.12%	+5.86	4-9
1993-12-19	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 20-27	1383.80	1496.68	29.91%	69.85%	-4.38	4-10
1993-12-26	@ Denver Broncos	W 17-10	1379.42	1546.93	23.77%	76.02%	+11.12	5-10
1994-01-02	San Diego Chargers	L 17-32	1390.54	1529.94	35.19%	64.55%	-7.55	5-11
1993-09-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 35-16	1574.93	1638.09	45.71%	54.02%	+13.03	1-0
1993-09-12	Phoenix Cardinals	L 10-17	1587.96	1430.10	75.00%	24.79%	-10.97	1-1
1993-09-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 31-34	1576.99	1591.39	42.91%	56.82%	-4.12	1-2
1993-10-04	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-17	1572.87	1529.02	51.25%	48.48%	-7.50	1-3
1993-10-10	New York Giants	L 7-41	1565.37	1495.29	64.44%	35.31%	-20.79	1-4
1993-10-17	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 6-36	1544.58	1426.66	61.68%	38.06%	-18.69	1-5
1993-11-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-24	1525.89	1586.87	36.51%	63.23%	-7.56	1-6
1993-11-07	Indianapolis Colts	W 30-24	1518.33	1427.97	67.06%	32.69%	+4.43	2-6
1993-11-14	@ New York Giants	L 6-20	1522.76	1511.81	46.52%	53.21%	-9.64	2-7
1993-11-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 6-10	1513.12	1425.39	57.50%	42.23%	-6.36	2-8
1993-11-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-17	1506.76	1541.63	49.77%	49.95%	-4.77	2-9
1993-12-05	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-17	1501.99	1383.09	61.81%	37.93%	+5.14	3-9
1993-12-11	New York Jets	L 0-3	1507.13	1477.56	58.94%	40.79%	-5.64	3-10
1993-12-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-17	1501.49	1477.85	58.11%	41.62%	+8.30	4-10
1993-12-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-38	1509.79	1665.03	25.07%	74.72%	-8.21	4-11
1993-12-31	Minnesota Vikings	L 9-14	1501.58	1532.19	50.38%	49.34%	-6.23	4-12

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1994-01-15	Los Angeles Raiders	W 29-23	1596.05	1505.54	67.22%	32.78%	+4.43	1-0
1994-01-23	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-13	1600.48	1565.86	59.78%	40.22%	+9.16	2-0
1994-01-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-30	1609.64	1690.60	38.56%	61.44%	-8.78	2-1
1994-01-16	Green Bay Packers	W 27-17	1676.72	1531.44	73.76%	26.24%	+4.58	1-0
1994-01-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 38-21	1681.30	1651.08	59.17%	40.83%	+9.30	2-0
1994-01-30	Buffalo Bills	W 30-13	1690.60	1609.64	61.44%	38.56%	+8.77	3-0
1994-01-09	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 24-42	1530.86	1493.73	50.42%	49.58%	-11.81	0-1
1994-01-08	Green Bay Packers	L 24-28	1499.53	1525.79	51.15%	48.85%	-5.65	0-1
1994-01-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-24	1525.79	1499.53	48.85%	51.15%	+5.65	1-0
1994-01-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-27	1531.44	1676.72	26.24%	73.76%	-4.58	1-1
1994-01-16	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-28	1602.91	1556.26	61.43%	38.57%	-9.59	0-1
1994-01-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1552.46	1515.03	60.17%	39.83%	+3.80	1-0
1994-01-16	@ Houston Oilers	W 28-20	1556.26	1602.91	38.57%	61.43%	+9.60	2-0
1994-01-23	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-30	1565.86	1600.48	40.22%	59.78%	-9.16	2-1
1994-01-09	Denver Broncos	W 42-24	1493.73	1530.86	49.58%	50.42%	+11.81	1-0
1994-01-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 23-29	1505.54	1596.05	32.78%	67.22%	-4.44	1-1
1994-01-09	@ New York Giants	L 10-17	1538.42	1538.99	45.01%	54.99%	-6.57	0-1
1994-01-09	Minnesota Vikings	W 17-10	1538.99	1538.42	54.99%	45.01%	+6.57	1-0
1994-01-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-44	1545.56	1639.65	32.33%	67.67%	-11.42	1-1
1994-01-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1515.03	1552.46	39.83%	60.17%	-3.81	0-1
1994-01-15	New York Giants	W 44-3	1639.65	1545.56	67.67%	32.33%	+11.43	1-0
1994-01-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-38	1651.08	1681.30	40.83%	59.17%	-9.30	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1993-12-26	23.77%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1379.42	17	@ Denver Broncos	1546.93	10
2	1993-09-12	24.79%	Phoenix Cardinals	1430.10	17	@ Washington Redskins	1587.96	10
3	1993-12-12	26.12%	Los Angeles Rams	1411.90	23	@ New Orleans Saints	1557.52	20
4	1993-10-24	26.60%	Atlanta Falcons	1445.42	26	@ New Orleans Saints	1586.71	15
5	1993-11-21	27.20%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1459.73	27	Dallas Cowboys	1664.23	14
6	1993-10-10	27.85%	Chicago Bears	1469.55	17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1599.91	6
7	1993-12-19	30.52%	New England Patriots	1356.97	20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1464.82	17
8	1993-12-11	30.57%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1471.23	27	San Francisco 49ers	1647.10	24
9	1993-09-26	30.96%	Los Angeles Rams	1449.84	28	@ Houston Oilers	1554.11	13
10	1993-09-12	31.97%	New York Jets	1434.39	24	@ Miami Dolphins	1530.46	14
11	1994-01-03	32.17%	Philadelphia Eagles	1551.59	37	@ San Francisco 49ers	1646.13	34
12	1993-11-25	32.43%	Miami Dolphins	1557.37	16	@ Dallas Cowboys	1649.76	14
13	1993-11-21	32.94%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1372.30	23	Minnesota Vikings	1529.13	10
14	1993-12-05	33.02%	Indianapolis Colts	1396.20	9	@ New York Jets	1483.95	6
15	1993-12-05	33.17%	Los Angeles Raiders	1489.31	25	@ Buffalo Bills	1575.90	24
16	1993-10-31	33.71%	New York Jets	1443.82	10	@ New York Giants	1526.19	6
17	1993-10-31	33.75%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1376.78	31	@ Atlanta Falcons	1458.84	24
18	1994-01-02	34.06%	@ New England Patriots	1380.27	33	Miami Dolphins	1528.37	27
19	1993-11-21	34.13%	Chicago Bears	1469.71	19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1548.83	17
20	1993-10-10	35.31%	New York Giants	1495.29	41	@ Washington Redskins	1565.37	7
21	1993-11-28	35.48%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1360.80	16	Los Angeles Raiders	1498.01	10
22	1993-09-13	35.98%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1483.46	23	San Francisco 49ers	1616.90	13
23	1993-12-25	36.21%	Houston Oilers	1589.00	10	@ San Francisco 49ers	1652.21	7
24	1993-11-07	36.33%	@ Phoenix Cardinals	1436.83	16	Philadelphia Eagles	1567.65	3
25	1993-11-14	36.37%	Chicago Bears	1463.64	16	@ San Diego Chargers	1525.68	13

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1993-10-10	20.79	New York Giants	41	1495.29	35.31%	@ Washington Redskins	7	1565.37	64.44%
2	1993-10-17	18.69	@ Phoenix Cardinals	36	1426.66	38.06%	Washington Redskins	6	1544.58	61.68%
3	1993-12-26	16.67	@ New England Patriots	38	1363.60	50.87%	Indianapolis Colts	0	1390.80	48.85%
4	1993-09-12	15.27	@ Los Angeles Rams	27	1441.59	46.64%	Pittsburgh Steelers	0	1498.26	53.09%
5	1993-10-17	15.15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	37	1517.19	42.66%	New Orleans Saints	14	1601.86	57.07%
6	1993-09-26	14.74	Los Angeles Rams	28	1449.84	30.96%	@ Houston Oilers	13	1554.11	68.80%
7	1993-09-27	14.62	Pittsburgh Steelers	45	1493.24	49.80%	@ Atlanta Falcons	17	1459.40	49.92%
8	1993-11-21	14.47	@ Atlanta Falcons	27	1459.73	27.20%	Dallas Cowboys	14	1664.23	72.58%
9	1993-11-15	14.42	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	23	1531.37	45.39%	Buffalo Bills	0	1596.76	54.33%
10	1993-10-03	14.21	@ Seattle Seahawks	31	1412.04	37.43%	San Diego Chargers	14	1534.58	62.30%
11	1993-10-03	14.14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	27	1378.62	37.76%	Detroit Lions	10	1498.72	61.97%
12	1993-12-26	13.97	Cleveland Browns (1st)	42	1458.19	52.05%	@ Los Angeles Rams	14	1408.74	47.67%
13	1993-11-07	13.85	@ New York Jets	27	1451.13	39.02%	Miami Dolphins	10	1561.98	60.71%
14	1993-12-27	13.44	@ San Diego Chargers	45	1516.50	51.14%	Miami Dolphins	20	1541.81	48.58%
15	1993-10-24	13.42	Atlanta Falcons	26	1445.42	26.60%	@ New Orleans Saints	15	1586.71	73.17%
16	1993-11-21	13.32	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23	1372.30	32.94%	Minnesota Vikings	10	1529.13	66.81%
17	1993-11-21	13.31	@ Denver Broncos	37	1517.00	50.64%	Pittsburgh Steelers	13	1545.79	49.08%
18	1993-09-12	13.27	@ Houston Oilers	30	1543.53	55.98%	Kansas City Chiefs	0	1535.01	43.74%
19	1993-10-10	13.19	Chicago Bears	17	1469.55	27.85%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	6	1599.91	71.92%
20	1993-09-06	13.03	@ Washington Redskins	35	1574.93	45.71%	Dallas Cowboys	16	1638.09	54.02%
21	1993-11-14	12.73	@ Seattle Seahawks	22	1408.17	43.94%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	5	1483.73	55.78%
22	1993-11-07	12.65	@ Phoenix Cardinals	16	1436.83	36.33%	Philadelphia Eagles	3	1567.65	63.41%
23	1993-12-26	12.58	@ Minnesota Vikings	30	1519.61	48.93%	Kansas City Chiefs	10	1560.30	50.79%
24	1994-01-02	12.44	Phoenix Cardinals	27	1464.86	45.22%	@ Atlanta Falcons	10	1463.02	54.51%
25	1993-09-26	12.38	@ New York Jets	45	1446.24	63.50%	New England Patriots	7	1383.23	36.24%