1992 NFL Season

224 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dallas Cowboys

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1977

Runner-Up

Buffalo Bills

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1991

Biggest Overachiever

Indianapolis Colts

3.29 wins above expected

9 wins · 5.71 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Seattle Seahawks

3.10 wins below expected

2 wins · 5.10 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	5	.688	-	299	225	+74	9.64	+1.36
2	Houston Oilers Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	352	258	+94	9.73	+0.27
3	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	9	.438	4	272	275	-3	7.87	-0.87
4	Cincinnati Bengals	5	11	.312	6	274	364	-90	6.47	-1.47

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Miami Dolphins Division	11	5	.688	-	340	281	+59	9.30	+1.70
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	11	5	.688	-	381	283	+98	10.55	+0.45
3	Indianapolis Colts	9	7	.562	2	216	302	-86	5.71	+3.29
4	New York Jets	4	12	.250	7	220	315	-95	6.55	-2.55
5	New England Patriots	2	14	.125	9	205	363	-158	4.65	-2.65

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Diego Chargers Division	11	5	.688	-	335	241	+94	8.09	+2.91
2	Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	348	282	+66	9.92	+0.08
3	Denver Broncos	8	8	.500	3	262	329	-67	8.90	-0.90
4	Los Angeles Raiders	7	9	.438	4	249	281	-32	7.08	-0.08
5	Seattle Seahawks	2	14	.125	9	140	312	-172	5.10	-3.10

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	11	5	.688	-	374	249	+125	8.51	+2.49
2	Green Bay Packers	9	7	.562	2	276	296	-20	6.97	+2.03
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	11	.312	6	267	365	-98	5.82	-0.82
4	Chicago Bears	5	11	.312	6	295	361	-66	7.63	-2.63
5	Detroit Lions	5	11	.312	6	273	332	-59	7.79	-2.79

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	13	3	.812	-	409	243	+166	10.35	+2.65
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	11	5	.688	2	354	245	+109	9.60	+1.40
3	Washington Redskins Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	300	255	+45	10.50	-1.50
4	New York Giants	6	10	.375	7	306	367	-61	7.38	-1.38
5	Phoenix Cardinals	4	12	.250	9	243	332	-89	4.68	-0.68

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	14	2	.875	-	431	236	+195	11.96	+2.04
2	New Orleans Saints Playoffs	12	4	.750	2	330	202	+128	10.22	+1.78
3	Atlanta Falcons	6	10	.375	8	327	414	-87	7.67	-1.67
4	Los Angeles Rams	6	10	.375	8	313	383	-70	5.37	+0.63

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

San Diego Chargers 17

Kansas City Chiefs 0

Jan 2

Buffalo Bills 41

Houston Oilers 38

Jan 3

Divisional Round

Buffalo Bills 24

Pittsburgh Steelers 3

Jan 9

Miami Dolphins 31

San Diego Chargers 0

Jan 10

Conference Championship

Buffalo Bills 29

Miami Dolphins 10

Jan 17

NFC

Wild Card Round

Washington Redskins 24

Minnesota Vikings 7

Jan 2

Philadelphia Eagles 36

New Orleans Saints 20

Jan 3

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 20

Washington Redskins 13

Jan 9

Dallas Cowboys 34

Philadelphia Eagles 10

Jan 10

Conference Championship

Dallas Cowboys 30

San Francisco 49ers 20

Jan 17

Super Bowl

Dallas Cowboys 52

Buffalo Bills 17

Jan 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1766	14	11.96	+2.04	94.72%	5	9	11	12	13	15	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1712	13	10.35	+2.65	96.75%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC West	1676	12	10.22	+1.78	90.35%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1662	11	9.60	+1.40	85.44%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1626	9	10.50	-1.50	28.94%	3	7	9	11	12	13	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC Central	1621	11	8.51	+2.49	94.59%	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Houston Oilers	AFC	AFC Central	1614	10	9.73	+0.27	65.82%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1602	11	8.09	+2.91	97.00%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1583	11	10.55	+0.45	70.56%	3	8	9	11	12	13	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1573	10	9.92	+0.08	61.85%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1554	11	9.30	+1.70	89.54%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC Central	1549	11	9.64	+1.36	84.77%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC Central	1509	9	6.97	+2.03	91.14%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1489	8	8.90	-0.90	41.52%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Los Angeles Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1484	7	7.08	-0.08	59.44%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC Central	1469	5	7.79	-2.79	11.04%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC West	1453	6	7.67	-1.67	26.60%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1452	6	7.38	-1.38	32.36%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Cleveland Browns (1st)	AFC	AFC Central	1447	7	7.87	-0.87	42.92%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC Central	1418	5	7.63	-2.63	12.90%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1402	6	5.37	+0.63	74.63%	0	3	4	5	7	8	13
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC East	1396	9	5.71	+3.29	98.24%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1370	4	6.55	-2.55	13.41%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Phoenix Cardinals	NFC	NFC East	1350	4	4.68	-0.68	47.48%	0	2	3	5	6	8	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC Central	1346	5	6.47	-1.47	30.92%	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC Central	1305	5	5.82	-0.82	44.08%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Seattle Seahawks	AFC	AFC West	1303	2	5.10	-3.10	6.30%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1270	2	4.65	-2.65	10.28%	0	2	3	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team	Bengals	(1st)	Oilers	Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Houston Oilers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-2 (1.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
Houston Oilers	2-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-1 (1.9 exp.)	3-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Colts	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (2.2 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.0 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers	Seahawks
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Raiders	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	NFC Central	NFC East	NFC West
Denver Broncos	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-
Los Angeles Raiders	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	-
San Diego Chargers	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-
Seattle Seahawks	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	-	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	-

Within NFC Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Buccaneers
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC East	NFC West
Chicago Bears	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Cardinals	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Cardinals	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Phoenix Cardinals	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	2-2 (2.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Falcons	Rams	Saints	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC Central	AFC East	AFC West	NFC Central	NFC East
Atlanta Falcons	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	2-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-2 (1.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-1 (1.2 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	-	3-0 (1.9 exp.)	2-1 (1.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	-	3-0 (2.4 exp.)	2-1 (2.2 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.34%	1.34%	3.35%	2.68%	1.79%	0.89%	—	11.38%
7–13	1.34%	2.23%	5.36%	5.36%	1.79%	1.79%	0.22%	18.08%
14–20	3.35%	5.36%	9.38%	6.25%	3.79%	1.56%	0.45%	30.13%
21–27	2.68%	5.36%	6.25%	6.25%	1.34%	0.89%	—	22.77%
28–34	1.79%	1.79%	3.79%	1.34%	1.79%	0.45%	0.22%	11.16%
35–41	0.89%	1.79%	1.56%	0.89%	0.45%	—	—	5.58%
42+	—	0.22%	0.45%	—	0.22%	—	—	0.89%
Total	11.38%	18.08%	30.13%	22.77%	11.16%	5.58%	0.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.73	18.73	+0.00
SD	9.94	9.94	15.48
CV	0.53	0.53	—
Max	56	56	+39
Min	0	0	-39

Games Played: 224

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.44	25.88	-5.44
SD	9.20	15.71	20.52
CV	0.45	0.61	—
Max	35	56	+34
Min	3	0	-39

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	50.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.81	17.69	+6.12
SD	12.87	9.57	19.65
CV	0.54	0.54	—
Max	41	37	+38
Min	3	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.44	22.56	-4.12
SD	11.54	8.41	15.38
CV	0.63	0.37	—
Max	41	38	+24
Min	3	6	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.12	22.75	-5.62
SD	8.62	10.47	14.52
CV	0.50	0.46	—
Max	31	42	+20
Min	0	3	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	50.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.00	17.19	-0.19
SD	9.35	6.41	10.85
CV	0.55	0.37	—
Max	37	30	+16
Min	0	6	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.56	15.19	+10.38
SD	8.78	9.61	14.12
CV	0.34	0.63	—
Max	41	31	+34
Min	7	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.38	20.56	-4.19
SD	9.34	10.81	14.99
CV	0.57	0.53	—
Max	27	42	+14
Min	0	0	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.06	20.75	-3.69
SD	9.45	10.21	16.50
CV	0.55	0.49	—
Max	38	38	+31
Min	3	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.25	18.50	-1.25
SD	9.79	8.91	16.17
CV	0.57	0.48	—
Max	38	31	+28
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Houston Oilers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.00	16.12	+5.88
SD	6.10	8.50	10.99
CV	0.28	0.53	—
Max	38	29	+27
Min	14	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.50	18.88	-5.38
SD	10.30	12.40	15.59
CV	0.76	0.66	—
Max	34	38	+11
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	25.00%	50.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	17.62	+4.12
SD	9.75	8.04	14.74
CV	0.45	0.46	—
Max	42	35	+22
Min	3	7	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	18.75%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Los Angeles Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.56	17.56	-2.00
SD	6.80	12.06	17.06
CV	0.44	0.69	—
Max	28	36	+24
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.56	23.94	-4.38
SD	10.11	10.08	14.58
CV	0.52	0.42	—
Max	38	40	+21
Min	7	0	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.25	17.56	+3.69
SD	8.68	8.33	14.65
CV	0.41	0.47	—
Max	38	31	+28
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	50.00%	—	12.50%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.38	15.56	+7.81
SD	10.06	7.72	14.42
CV	0.43	0.50	—
Max	42	31	+35
Min	6	3	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.81	22.69	-9.88
SD	9.93	11.49	13.29
CV	0.78	0.51	—
Max	37	41	+21
Min	0	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
14–20	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.62	12.62	+8.00
SD	8.00	6.60	9.48
CV	0.39	0.52	—
Max	37	21	+23
Min	10	0	-6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	22.94	-3.81
SD	10.95	11.46	15.80
CV	0.57	0.50	—
Max	35	47	+20
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.75	19.69	-5.94
SD	8.75	6.54	10.43
CV	0.64	0.33	—
Max	30	31	+12
Min	0	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	15.31	+6.81
SD	10.37	8.70	11.86
CV	0.47	0.57	—
Max	47	34	+30
Min	7	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Phoenix Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.19	20.75	-5.56
SD	7.87	10.99	12.71
CV	0.52	0.53	—
Max	27	41	+19
Min	3	0	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	14.06	+4.62
SD	8.85	8.54	13.40
CV	0.47	0.61	—
Max	30	30	+24
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	—	—	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	15.06	+5.88
SD	10.54	7.66	15.99
CV	0.50	0.51	—
Max	36	27	+26
Min	0	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.94	14.75	+12.19
SD	10.21	8.11	13.54
CV	0.38	0.55	—
Max	56	34	+39
Min	14	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	8.75	19.50	-10.75
SD	6.03	6.32	8.77
CV	0.69	0.32	—
Max	17	31	+4
Min	0	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.69	22.81	-6.12
SD	7.79	10.95	15.82
CV	0.47	0.48	—
Max	31	38	+28
Min	7	3	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.75	15.94	+2.81
SD	9.79	9.10	16.31
CV	0.52	0.57	—
Max	41	35	+38
Min	3	3	-19

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.67	+0.4
Allowed	0.62	-0.5
Differential	0.89	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Indianapolis Colts	9	5.71	+3.29
2	San Diego Chargers	11	8.09	+2.91
3	Dallas Cowboys	13	10.35	+2.65
4	Minnesota Vikings	11	8.51	+2.49
5	San Francisco 49ers	14	11.96	+2.04

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Seattle Seahawks	2	5.10	-3.10
2	Detroit Lions	5	7.79	-2.79
3	New England Patriots	2	4.65	-2.65
4	Chicago Bears	5	7.63	-2.63
5	New York Jets	4	6.55	-2.55

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Indianapolis Colts	5	Nov 29 – Dec 27	1 in 170
2	Green Bay Packers	6	Nov 15 – Dec 20	1 in 91
3	Miami Dolphins	6	Sep 14 – Oct 18	1 in 42
4	San Diego Chargers	7	Nov 15 – Dec 27	1 in 35
5	Phoenix Cardinals	2	Nov 1 – Nov 8	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Bears	6	Nov 2 – Dec 7	1 in 125
2	Seattle Seahawks	8	Sep 27 – Nov 22	1 in 29
3	Detroit Lions	4	Sep 20 – Oct 15	1 in 24
4	Miami Dolphins	2	Oct 25 – Nov 1	1 in 20
5	New England Patriots	9	Sep 13 – Nov 8	1 in 20

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Oilers	44.80%	33.23%	16.37%	5.60%
Pittsburgh Steelers	40.01%	34.57%	18.53%	6.89%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	11.96%	22.59%	39.85%	25.60%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.23%	9.61%	25.25%	61.91%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Buffalo Bills	65.37%	27.62%	5.73%	1.12%	0.16%
Miami Dolphins	29.91%	50.24%	14.71%	4.26%	0.88%
New York Jets	3.33%	13.33%	40.38%	28.18%	14.78%
Indianapolis Colts	1.08%	6.34%	25.88%	37.61%	29.09%
New England Patriots	0.31%	2.48%	13.29%	28.83%	55.09%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Kansas City Chiefs	50.34%	26.78%	14.69%	6.57%	1.61%
Denver Broncos	28.15%	32.21%	22.78%	13.03%	3.82%
San Diego Chargers	13.81%	23.19%	29.75%	23.76%	9.49%
Los Angeles Raiders	6.91%	14.82%	24.54%	35.02%	18.71%
Seattle Seahawks	0.80%	2.99%	8.23%	21.61%	66.37%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Minnesota Vikings	35.95%	25.31%	18.84%	12.87%	7.03%
Detroit Lions	25.21%	24.91%	21.93%	17.42%	10.54%
Chicago Bears	21.67%	23.64%	22.52%	19.31%	12.87%
Green Bay Packers	12.80%	17.56%	22.12%	25.71%	21.80%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4.38%	8.58%	14.59%	24.69%	47.77%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Washington Redskins	40.27%	30.46%	21.05%	7.47%	0.74%
Dallas Cowboys	34.32%	31.50%	24.05%	9.16%	0.96%
Philadelphia Eagles	22.11%	28.91%	32.29%	14.77%	1.92%
New York Giants	3.19%	8.58%	19.94%	53.32%	14.97%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.11%	0.55%	2.67%	15.27%	81.41%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	72.21%	23.50%	4.04%	0.25%
New Orleans Saints	24.48%	57.14%	16.15%	2.23%
Atlanta Falcons	3.10%	16.88%	60.51%	19.51%
Los Angeles Rams	0.21%	2.48%	19.30%	78.01%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Buffalo Bills	27.13%	20.45%	16.00%	11.10%	8.55%	6.97%	3.84%	2.50%	1.71%	0.87%	0.46%	0.29%	0.10%	0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	17.52%	16.57%	14.70%	11.80%	10.11%	8.15%	6.67%	5.03%	3.61%	2.64%	1.59%	0.93%	0.55%	0.14%
Houston Oilers	16.48%	14.86%	13.46%	12.90%	10.72%	9.04%	7.32%	5.44%	4.04%	2.57%	1.76%	0.99%	0.35%	0.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.19%	14.05%	14.02%	12.56%	11.26%	9.86%	7.63%	6.29%	4.49%	3.11%	1.92%	1.18%	0.35%	0.10%
Miami Dolphins	9.81%	10.81%	12.08%	12.85%	13.71%	13.33%	8.36%	6.37%	5.22%	3.08%	2.14%	1.33%	0.61%	0.31%
Denver Broncos	7.57%	9.60%	10.47%	11.49%	11.44%	10.78%	9.94%	8.40%	6.50%	5.43%	3.92%	2.37%	1.55%	0.54%
San Diego Chargers	2.93%	4.79%	6.45%	7.89%	8.99%	10.00%	11.33%	10.94%	9.65%	9.15%	7.13%	5.17%	3.88%	1.70%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.85%	4.16%	5.49%	7.39%	8.47%	9.30%	11.47%	11.92%	10.94%	9.05%	7.95%	6.50%	3.26%	1.25%
Los Angeles Raiders	1.29%	2.23%	3.04%	4.55%	5.69%	6.76%	9.45%	9.92%	10.59%	12.20%	11.67%	9.51%	8.22%	4.90%
New York Jets	0.57%	1.00%	1.68%	2.81%	3.88%	5.49%	7.64%	10.44%	13.39%	12.22%	12.26%	11.79%	9.02%	7.82%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.43%	0.96%	1.52%	2.56%	3.73%	4.80%	7.01%	9.08%	10.47%	13.23%	15.21%	15.25%	10.19%	5.56%
Indianapolis Colts	0.14%	0.31%	0.61%	1.16%	1.83%	2.92%	4.78%	6.92%	9.19%	11.05%	13.23%	15.77%	15.65%	16.43%
Seattle Seahawks	0.06%	0.15%	0.35%	0.66%	1.06%	1.56%	2.79%	3.70%	5.16%	8.41%	10.64%	14.44%	25.14%	25.90%
New England Patriots	0.02%	0.06%	0.14%	0.28%	0.56%	1.04%	1.78%	3.06%	5.05%	7.00%	10.12%	14.49%	21.14%	35.25%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
San Francisco 49ers	44.88%	23.52%	12.32%	7.82%	5.09%	2.86%	1.62%	0.98%	0.53%	0.22%	0.09%	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Washington Redskins	15.56%	19.48%	14.72%	12.92%	10.73%	8.23%	6.67%	4.57%	3.02%	2.12%	1.12%	0.55%	0.22%	0.09%
Dallas Cowboys	12.83%	17.32%	14.81%	13.40%	11.67%	9.02%	7.52%	5.21%	3.33%	2.54%	1.37%	0.61%	0.27%	0.10%
New Orleans Saints	12.74%	13.21%	15.77%	15.57%	13.29%	9.94%	6.88%	4.94%	3.63%	2.00%	1.04%	0.66%	0.24%	0.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.45%	11.52%	11.86%	12.44%	12.27%	10.87%	10.14%	7.88%	5.90%	4.45%	2.85%	1.42%	0.65%	0.32%
Minnesota Vikings	2.65%	5.24%	9.55%	9.85%	10.26%	11.35%	10.21%	9.66%	8.80%	7.20%	6.15%	4.42%	3.15%	1.51%
Detroit Lions	1.01%	2.90%	6.06%	7.31%	8.40%	10.28%	10.55%	10.58%	10.45%	9.37%	8.73%	6.73%	4.86%	2.78%
Chicago Bears	0.70%	2.11%	5.31%	6.35%	7.94%	9.79%	10.17%	10.62%	10.52%	10.07%	9.50%	7.56%	5.97%	3.38%
Atlanta Falcons	1.04%	1.80%	3.09%	4.99%	6.94%	8.52%	11.11%	13.92%	14.40%	11.45%	8.83%	7.47%	4.42%	2.01%
New York Giants	0.75%	1.57%	2.59%	3.65%	5.17%	6.69%	9.09%	9.95%	11.69%	14.72%	13.30%	9.62%	6.54%	4.67%
Green Bay Packers	0.30%	1.03%	2.85%	3.87%	5.08%	7.18%	7.89%	9.44%	10.83%	11.14%	12.72%	10.82%	10.04%	6.80%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.03%	0.17%	0.76%	1.20%	1.90%	3.19%	4.36%	5.81%	7.31%	9.67%	12.66%	14.81%	18.59%	19.55%
Los Angeles Rams	0.03%	0.09%	0.22%	0.46%	0.91%	1.48%	2.66%	4.61%	6.58%	9.38%	13.84%	21.44%	21.07%	17.24%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.18%	0.34%	0.61%	1.12%	1.82%	3.02%	5.68%	7.80%	13.83%	23.96%	41.49%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28
San Francisco 49ers	33.68%	16.92%	12.97%	8.29%	6.79%	4.51%	3.93%	3.04%	2.54%	1.79%	1.48%	1.07%	0.82%	0.60%	0.49%	0.34%	0.29%	0.16%	0.10%	0.08%	0.04%	0.03%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-
Buffalo Bills	9.65%	13.11%	9.61%	10.97%	7.83%	8.78%	6.33%	6.16%	4.60%	4.83%	3.47%	3.63%	2.33%	2.21%	1.44%	1.28%	0.97%	0.93%	0.50%	0.46%	0.29%	0.22%	0.16%	0.11%	0.07%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%
Washington Redskins	10.39%	9.54%	10.69%	8.06%	8.45%	6.30%	6.83%	5.57%	5.68%	4.34%	4.41%	3.39%	3.35%	2.57%	2.43%	1.83%	1.62%	1.13%	1.04%	0.78%	0.53%	0.35%	0.29%	0.19%	0.11%	0.07%	0.04%	0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	8.45%	8.38%	9.47%	7.93%	8.26%	6.69%	6.68%	6.16%	6.15%	4.67%	4.74%	3.90%	3.69%	3.04%	2.55%	2.17%	1.70%	1.33%	1.21%	0.89%	0.65%	0.50%	0.32%	0.20%	0.13%	0.09%	0.05%	0.01%
New Orleans Saints	8.57%	6.89%	8.39%	7.11%	8.71%	6.74%	7.90%	6.58%	6.46%	5.25%	5.04%	4.25%	3.40%	3.02%	2.53%	2.14%	1.89%	1.44%	1.03%	0.82%	0.57%	0.42%	0.36%	0.20%	0.13%	0.09%	0.03%	0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.03%	8.60%	7.66%	8.51%	7.04%	7.75%	6.44%	6.19%	5.42%	5.36%	4.47%	4.24%	3.60%	3.39%	2.89%	2.58%	1.98%	1.85%	1.45%	1.30%	0.91%	0.80%	0.51%	0.42%	0.29%	0.20%	0.10%	0.03%
Houston Oilers	4.94%	7.80%	6.87%	7.99%	6.60%	7.43%	6.77%	6.38%	5.78%	5.73%	4.71%	4.72%	4.02%	3.75%	3.09%	2.75%	2.19%	2.12%	1.53%	1.32%	1.02%	0.93%	0.57%	0.46%	0.25%	0.18%	0.07%	0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.10%	6.60%	5.97%	7.65%	6.50%	7.85%	6.32%	6.61%	5.70%	6.02%	5.07%	5.04%	4.18%	3.97%	3.44%	2.97%	2.55%	2.23%	1.84%	1.51%	1.16%	0.98%	0.69%	0.51%	0.26%	0.17%	0.07%	0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.68%	4.77%	6.54%	5.65%	7.03%	5.39%	6.80%	5.76%	6.51%	5.35%	5.83%	4.84%	5.19%	4.12%	3.88%	3.57%	3.04%	2.53%	2.22%	1.78%	1.39%	1.13%	0.70%	0.51%	0.35%	0.23%	0.16%	0.07%
Miami Dolphins	2.58%	5.01%	4.50%	6.19%	5.30%	6.86%	5.82%	7.17%	5.96%	7.69%	5.59%	6.98%	4.57%	4.99%	3.42%	3.51%	2.75%	2.86%	1.79%	1.69%	1.35%	1.04%	0.79%	0.65%	0.39%	0.27%	0.19%	0.08%
Denver Broncos	1.99%	3.70%	4.06%	5.01%	4.71%	5.71%	5.57%	5.85%	5.69%	6.03%	5.43%	5.62%	5.27%	5.10%	4.37%	4.37%	3.48%	3.54%	2.79%	2.85%	2.17%	2.04%	1.38%	1.23%	0.85%	0.67%	0.33%	0.18%
Minnesota Vikings	1.52%	1.83%	3.15%	3.03%	4.66%	4.43%	4.98%	4.88%	5.29%	4.98%	6.05%	5.16%	5.29%	4.88%	5.35%	4.50%	4.66%	4.02%	4.04%	3.33%	3.15%	2.66%	2.33%	1.86%	1.58%	1.21%	0.79%	0.36%
San Diego Chargers	0.61%	1.40%	1.69%	2.70%	2.54%	3.69%	3.49%	4.37%	4.18%	5.03%	4.73%	5.64%	5.39%	5.88%	5.15%	5.87%	4.98%	5.12%	4.68%	4.51%	3.75%	3.58%	2.90%	2.58%	2.17%	1.62%	1.06%	0.67%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.55%	1.38%	1.51%	2.30%	2.28%	3.10%	3.26%	3.93%	4.02%	4.59%	4.67%	4.88%	5.58%	5.49%	5.73%	5.81%	5.51%	5.46%	4.82%	4.72%	4.21%	4.12%	3.31%	3.30%	2.08%	1.81%	0.96%	0.60%
Detroit Lions	0.48%	0.83%	1.66%	1.68%	2.91%	2.90%	3.65%	3.60%	4.38%	4.22%	5.05%	4.88%	5.39%	5.33%	5.58%	5.14%	5.47%	5.12%	4.88%	4.58%	4.52%	4.10%	3.58%	3.12%	2.42%	2.23%	1.43%	0.86%
Chicago Bears	0.33%	0.62%	1.15%	1.47%	2.39%	2.65%	3.09%	3.36%	4.00%	4.05%	4.85%	4.66%	5.39%	5.03%	5.71%	5.07%	5.83%	4.88%	5.58%	4.57%	5.14%	4.28%	4.05%	3.29%	3.07%	2.64%	1.82%	1.04%
Atlanta Falcons	0.51%	0.67%	1.04%	1.14%	1.85%	1.82%	2.61%	2.91%	3.58%	3.62%	4.56%	4.72%	5.15%	5.75%	6.66%	6.64%	6.55%	6.66%	5.63%	5.44%	4.83%	4.09%	4.04%	3.10%	2.46%	1.97%	1.26%	0.76%
New York Giants	0.34%	0.50%	0.90%	0.95%	1.50%	1.44%	2.01%	2.11%	2.89%	2.81%	3.79%	3.72%	4.67%	4.54%	5.26%	5.56%	6.03%	5.67%	6.94%	6.65%	6.19%	5.83%	5.01%	4.35%	3.56%	2.84%	2.37%	1.57%
Los Angeles Raiders	0.25%	0.60%	0.74%	1.10%	1.30%	1.65%	2.04%	2.17%	2.69%	3.03%	3.28%	3.58%	4.41%	4.75%	4.81%	5.17%	5.23%	5.65%	5.64%	6.30%	5.55%	6.20%	4.87%	5.31%	4.25%	4.29%	2.98%	2.16%
Green Bay Packers	0.15%	0.28%	0.55%	0.74%	1.31%	1.50%	1.84%	2.17%	2.51%	2.70%	3.47%	3.50%	4.11%	4.12%	5.00%	4.77%	5.76%	5.17%	6.06%	5.52%	6.61%	5.70%	5.92%	5.01%	5.12%	4.36%	3.58%	2.42%
New York Jets	0.10%	0.25%	0.33%	0.51%	0.67%	0.86%	1.11%	1.48%	1.64%	2.11%	2.29%	3.06%	3.19%	4.25%	4.28%	5.51%	5.26%	7.16%	5.49%	6.96%	5.85%	6.81%	5.82%	6.51%	5.11%	5.15%	4.49%	3.76%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.05%	0.19%	0.29%	0.51%	0.58%	0.81%	1.00%	1.40%	1.60%	2.06%	2.26%	2.65%	3.22%	3.58%	4.21%	4.56%	5.20%	5.34%	6.23%	6.47%	7.05%	7.45%	7.03%	7.70%	5.70%	5.85%	3.82%	3.16%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.15%	0.26%	0.41%	0.48%	0.70%	0.87%	1.08%	1.50%	1.71%	2.02%	2.47%	2.93%	3.08%	4.04%	3.88%	5.35%	5.05%	6.68%	6.23%	8.22%	7.22%	9.58%	8.41%	9.89%	7.66%
Indianapolis Colts	0.01%	0.05%	0.08%	0.15%	0.19%	0.32%	0.42%	0.60%	0.71%	1.02%	1.14%	1.59%	1.97%	2.59%	2.71%	3.65%	3.89%	5.01%	4.82%	5.85%	6.21%	7.23%	7.13%	8.63%	8.01%	8.54%	8.50%	8.97%
Los Angeles Rams	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.05%	0.12%	0.14%	0.23%	0.27%	0.43%	0.55%	0.77%	0.88%	1.30%	1.56%	2.34%	2.43%	3.28%	3.51%	4.84%	5.04%	6.86%	7.05%	9.69%	9.58%	10.12%	10.12%	9.37%	9.40%
Seattle Seahawks	<0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.08%	0.11%	0.15%	0.24%	0.33%	0.38%	0.56%	0.68%	0.78%	1.18%	1.45%	1.67%	1.95%	2.31%	2.82%	3.69%	4.51%	4.83%	6.05%	6.65%	8.33%	10.63%	13.05%	13.09%	14.41%
New England Patriots	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.05%	0.10%	0.12%	0.20%	0.30%	0.37%	0.57%	0.70%	0.94%	1.06%	1.64%	1.90%	2.62%	2.89%	3.89%	4.33%	5.43%	6.46%	8.05%	9.83%	11.76%	15.69%	20.98%
Phoenix Cardinals	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.05%	0.09%	0.11%	0.16%	0.21%	0.33%	0.35%	0.58%	0.66%	1.00%	1.14%	1.64%	1.77%	2.93%	3.13%	4.13%	4.70%	7.18%	7.57%	11.44%	12.14%	17.85%	20.75%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Buffalo Bills	27.13%	20.97%	17.27%	10.39%	8.02%	6.55%	9.66%
Kansas City Chiefs	17.52%	17.21%	15.61%	10.58%	9.85%	8.06%	21.17%
Houston Oilers	16.48%	14.71%	13.61%	13.31%	10.49%	8.91%	22.49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.19%	13.43%	13.40%	13.61%	11.50%	9.81%	25.06%
Miami Dolphins	9.81%	10.14%	9.96%	15.15%	14.39%	13.22%	27.34%
Denver Broncos	7.57%	9.88%	10.71%	11.07%	11.31%	10.80%	38.67%
San Diego Chargers	2.93%	4.76%	6.12%	7.66%	9.28%	10.23%	59.02%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	2.85%	3.99%	5.12%	7.50%	8.64%	9.53%	62.38%
Los Angeles Raiders	1.29%	2.34%	3.28%	4.13%	5.58%	6.89%	76.48%
New York Jets	0.57%	1.04%	1.71%	2.64%	3.90%	5.54%	84.60%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.43%	0.97%	1.82%	2.19%	3.65%	4.90%	86.02%
Indianapolis Colts	0.14%	0.30%	0.64%	1.06%	1.88%	2.96%	93.03%
Seattle Seahawks	0.06%	0.18%	0.56%	0.47%	0.99%	1.57%	96.17%
New England Patriots	0.02%	0.08%	0.21%	0.23%	0.52%	1.03%	97.90%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers	44.88%	22.79%	4.54%	13.11%	7.67%	3.34%	3.67%
Washington Redskins	15.56%	20.51%	4.21%	16.11%	14.32%	10.39%	18.90%
Dallas Cowboys	12.83%	17.75%	3.74%	17.16%	15.26%	11.60%	21.65%
New Orleans Saints	12.74%	9.30%	2.44%	24.68%	19.61%	11.25%	19.99%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.45%	11.84%	2.82%	14.99%	14.71%	13.86%	34.32%
Minnesota Vikings	2.65%	6.45%	26.85%	1.66%	4.40%	8.19%	49.80%
Atlanta Falcons	1.04%	1.49%	0.57%	5.02%	7.59%	9.40%	74.89%
Detroit Lions	1.01%	3.64%	20.56%	1.33%	3.54%	7.28%	62.64%
New York Giants	0.75%	1.75%	0.68%	3.51%	5.14%	7.65%	80.51%
Chicago Bears	0.70%	2.68%	18.28%	1.11%	3.47%	7.16%	66.60%
Green Bay Packers	0.30%	1.39%	11.11%	0.69%	2.31%	5.36%	78.85%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.03%	0.25%	4.09%	0.16%	0.78%	2.34%	92.35%
Los Angeles Rams	0.03%	0.10%	0.08%	0.34%	0.86%	1.55%	97.04%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.01%	0.06%	0.04%	0.14%	0.33%	0.64%	98.79%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+21.43%

Fortress

60.71%39.29%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 75.62 Elo pts.

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.98 points

Lean Home

-8+3.04+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 14th · Longshot: 15th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.1

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

12%

Dallas Cowboys, 2nd of 28

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

13.5%

Favored

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.46 · As Expected: 1.46 to 2 · Elevated: 2 to 2.73 · High Variance: 2.73 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 3.84 · Close: 3.84 to 5.2 · Off Target: 5.2 to 6.78 · Well Off Target: 6.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 28 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 28 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.4 · As Expected: 1.4 to 3.36 · Several Outliers: 3.36 to 6.16 · Many Outliers: 6.16 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.2 · As Expected: 2.2 to 3.66 · More Than Expected: 3.66 to 5.85 · Far More Than Expected: 5.85 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.90 wins

As Expected

01.825

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.75

Pinpoint

04.5210

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.21%

98.24%

Indianapolis Colts

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.79%

6.30%

Seattle Seahawks

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 28

As Expected

02.814

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

02.912

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.00

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

76%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

21%

Mostly Decisive

0%15%100%

Blowouts

Expected

32%

Routine

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.09

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.38

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Chalk Held

0%32%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

24%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.85

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.96

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.064

Within Noise

00.0950.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	88.16%	88.16%	62.80%	42.08%	30.42%
Dallas Cowboys	60.07%	60.07%	35.32%	17.45%	11.93%
New Orleans Saints	57.97%	55.55%	26.32%	12.76%	8.14%
Buffalo Bills	73.61%	73.61%	41.91%	22.75%	7.84%
Houston Oilers	60.49%	60.49%	35.69%	20.29%	7.70%
Washington Redskins	58.76%	58.76%	28.33%	10.85%	6.24%
Philadelphia Eagles	46.39%	44.51%	22.08%	9.34%	5.92%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.32%	60.32%	32.52%	16.75%	5.53%
Pittsburgh Steelers	52.43%	52.43%	25.51%	12.16%	3.80%
Miami Dolphins	52.71%	47.40%	22.63%	10.75%	3.41%
Minnesota Vikings	41.10%	34.15%	12.86%	4.90%	2.91%
San Diego Chargers	33.29%	26.79%	14.01%	7.10%	2.62%
Denver Broncos	43.88%	36.44%	14.37%	5.74%	1.44%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	30.78%	17.88%	6.03%	2.10%	0.47%
Los Angeles Raiders	19.89%	11.58%	4.31%	1.65%	0.43%
Detroit Lions	32.71%	17.37%	3.80%	0.83%	0.32%
Green Bay Packers	19.46%	9.98%	2.40%	0.61%	0.29%
Atlanta Falcons	22.58%	8.78%	1.87%	0.42%	0.17%
Chicago Bears	30.02%	12.68%	2.22%	0.41%	0.16%
New York Giants	16.99%	7.14%	1.68%	0.32%	0.13%
New York Jets	13.79%	5.14%	1.27%	0.31%	0.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	12.57%	4.34%	0.92%	0.23%	0.04%
Indianapolis Colts	6.53%	2.22%	0.58%	0.13%	0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.36%	1.83%	0.18%	0.01%	<0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	2.83%	0.77%	0.10%	0.01%	<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	3.58%	0.96%	0.18%	0.03%	<0.01%
Phoenix Cardinals	1.14%	0.27%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
New England Patriots	2.00%	0.40%	0.07%	<0.01%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		83.4%1.58%	71.6%3.66%	65.9%5.21%	46.9%5.13%	80.6%0.92%	53.2%4.47%	67.3%2.49%	55.5%6.90%	85.4%0.32%	78.8%1.86%	56.3%5.25%	50.9%4.03%	86.5%0.43%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.6%1.58%		35.8%0.65%	29.9%1.58%	17.2%1.54%	44.1%0.17%	18.2%1.58%	31.9%0.59%	21.0%1.77%	78.8%0.05%	46.8%0.36%	21.8%1.53%	16.6%1.06%	49.1%0.11%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	28.4%3.66%	64.2%0.65%		43.6%3.80%	26.1%3.77%	63.1%0.46%	29.1%3.93%	42.9%1.59%	34.9%4.58%	81.6%0.11%	61.8%1.10%	33.3%4.10%	32.3%2.73%	71.9%0.29%
Denver Broncos	34.1%5.21%	70.1%1.58%	56.4%3.80%		31.7%5.91%	67.7%0.80%	37.9%5.76%	54.3%1.91%	42.2%7.04%	80.7%0.23%	72.1%1.57%	40.6%6.31%	35.8%3.44%	78.4%0.32%
Houston Oilers	53.1%5.13%	82.8%1.54%	73.9%3.77%	68.3%5.91%		79.9%0.87%	56.9%5.36%	68.8%2.73%	58.4%7.44%	88.4%0.26%	81.5%1.83%	59.6%6.44%	55.2%4.54%	89.0%0.51%
Indianapolis Colts	19.4%0.92%	55.9%0.17%	36.9%0.46%	32.3%0.80%	20.1%0.87%		20.9%0.88%	43.9%0.30%	23.7%0.60%	66.7%<0.01%	51.9%0.10%	26.0%0.93%	23.2%0.44%	65.0%0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	46.8%4.47%	81.8%1.58%	70.9%3.93%	62.1%5.76%	43.1%5.36%	79.1%0.88%		66.6%2.51%	54.6%6.88%	89.3%0.28%	80.1%1.74%	54.9%5.94%	49.0%4.31%	83.8%0.46%
Los Angeles Raiders	32.7%2.49%	68.1%0.59%	57.1%1.59%	45.7%1.91%	31.2%2.73%	56.1%0.30%	33.4%2.51%		37.6%2.82%	76.8%0.08%	63.7%0.69%	37.4%2.86%	32.1%1.20%	69.5%0.10%
Miami Dolphins	44.5%6.90%	79.0%1.77%	65.1%4.58%	57.8%7.04%	41.6%7.44%	76.3%0.60%	45.4%6.88%	62.4%2.82%		83.9%0.16%	75.7%1.30%	48.9%7.47%	44.2%5.28%	82.4%0.46%
New England Patriots	14.6%0.32%	21.2%0.05%	18.4%0.11%	19.3%0.23%	11.6%0.26%	33.3%<0.01%	10.7%0.28%	23.2%0.08%	16.1%0.16%		27.3%0.02%	14.9%0.28%	8.9%0.18%	56.2%0.02%
New York Jets	21.2%1.86%	53.2%0.36%	38.2%1.10%	27.9%1.57%	18.5%1.83%	48.1%0.10%	19.9%1.74%	36.3%0.69%	24.3%1.30%	72.7%0.02%		24.3%1.95%	19.6%1.14%	54.4%0.12%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.7%5.25%	78.2%1.53%	66.7%4.10%	59.4%6.31%	40.4%6.44%	74.0%0.93%	45.1%5.94%	62.6%2.86%	51.1%7.47%	85.1%0.28%	75.7%1.95%		44.9%4.74%	83.4%0.51%
San Diego Chargers	49.1%4.03%	83.4%1.06%	67.7%2.73%	64.2%3.44%	44.8%4.54%	76.8%0.44%	51.0%4.31%	67.9%1.20%	55.8%5.28%	91.1%0.18%	80.4%1.14%	55.1%4.74%		80.9%0.19%
Seattle Seahawks	13.5%0.43%	50.9%0.11%	28.1%0.29%	21.6%0.32%	11.0%0.51%	35.0%0.06%	16.2%0.46%	30.5%0.10%	17.6%0.46%	43.8%0.02%	45.6%0.12%	16.6%0.51%	19.1%0.19%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		46.7%1.93%	16.3%3.14%	39.7%2.31%	35.5%1.26%	61.5%0.03%	21.1%3.02%	20.3%2.12%	50.3%0.78%	22.9%2.90%	63.4%0.04%	13.3%1.51%	63.3%0.49%	26.0%3.08%
Chicago Bears	53.3%1.93%		18.1%3.41%	42.6%3.60%	37.2%1.93%	64.3%0.33%	23.6%5.03%	21.9%3.29%	54.8%1.59%	24.4%3.60%	69.2%0.13%	11.2%1.33%	64.1%0.72%	26.6%3.14%
Dallas Cowboys	83.7%3.14%	81.9%3.41%		75.4%3.49%	71.8%2.16%	90.6%0.31%	57.9%4.47%	54.9%12.83%	81.7%1.34%	57.7%5.27%	86.2%0.08%	39.4%6.13%	88.6%0.73%	61.3%4.40%
Detroit Lions	60.3%2.31%	57.4%3.60%	24.6%3.49%		47.9%2.26%	69.6%0.38%	30.9%5.52%	29.1%3.72%	62.5%1.85%	30.1%3.87%	80.5%0.12%	15.6%1.50%	72.5%0.75%	32.1%3.33%
Green Bay Packers	64.5%1.26%	62.8%1.93%	28.2%2.16%	52.1%2.26%		71.9%0.19%	34.7%3.08%	31.1%2.11%	60.9%0.97%	35.3%2.22%	74.1%0.08%	19.6%0.90%	74.1%0.45%	36.4%1.83%
Los Angeles Rams	38.5%0.03%	35.7%0.33%	9.4%0.31%	30.4%0.38%	28.1%0.19%		17.2%0.46%	14.6%0.19%	42.4%0.07%	13.9%0.29%	25.0%<0.01%	7.9%0.17%	60.6%0.07%	21.7%0.34%
Minnesota Vikings	78.9%3.02%	76.4%5.03%	42.1%4.47%	69.1%5.52%	65.3%3.08%	82.8%0.46%		46.7%4.42%	78.9%2.56%	50.7%5.05%	90.6%0.20%	32.0%1.86%	87.6%1.14%	53.9%4.29%
New Orleans Saints	79.7%2.12%	78.1%3.29%	45.1%12.83%	70.9%3.72%	68.9%2.11%	85.4%0.19%	53.3%4.42%		80.9%3.10%	52.7%11.07%	86.9%0.18%	33.9%1.92%	86.5%0.72%	57.6%12.31%
New York Giants	49.7%0.78%	45.2%1.59%	18.3%1.34%	37.5%1.85%	39.1%0.97%	57.6%0.07%	21.1%2.56%	19.1%3.10%		22.5%1.14%	62.5%0.02%	12.2%1.79%	59.7%0.41%	23.0%1.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	77.1%2.90%	75.6%3.60%	42.3%5.27%	69.9%3.87%	64.7%2.22%	86.1%0.29%	49.3%5.05%	47.3%11.07%	77.5%1.14%		89.9%0.07%	32.6%5.55%	86.9%0.80%	54.1%4.56%
Phoenix Cardinals	36.6%0.04%	30.8%0.13%	13.8%0.08%	19.5%0.12%	25.9%0.08%	75.0%<0.01%	9.4%0.20%	13.1%0.18%	37.5%0.02%	10.1%0.07%		4.8%0.10%	43.5%0.02%	12.9%0.08%
San Francisco 49ers	86.7%1.51%	88.8%1.33%	60.6%6.13%	84.4%1.50%	80.4%0.90%	92.1%0.17%	68.0%1.86%	66.1%1.92%	87.8%1.79%	67.4%5.55%	95.2%0.10%		91.9%0.33%	69.9%5.57%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36.7%0.49%	35.9%0.72%	11.4%0.73%	27.5%0.75%	25.9%0.45%	39.4%0.07%	12.4%1.14%	13.5%0.72%	40.3%0.41%	13.1%0.80%	56.5%0.02%	8.1%0.33%		16.4%0.72%
Washington Redskins	74.0%3.08%	73.4%3.14%	38.7%4.40%	67.9%3.33%	63.6%1.83%	78.3%0.34%	46.1%4.29%	42.4%12.31%	77.0%1.38%	45.9%4.56%	87.1%0.08%	30.1%5.57%	83.6%0.72%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		82.6%1.04%	70.3%4.06%	65.9%7.94%	47.9%12.52%	78.1%0.49%	52.8%12.86%	68.2%2.78%	56.2%13.08%	86.7%0.07%	78.0%1.11%	56.0%10.80%	50.9%6.58%	83.7%0.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	17.4%1.04%		35.7%0.11%	31.1%0.39%	17.9%0.63%	21.4%0.01%	19.9%0.84%	21.1%0.11%	19.5%0.45%	50.0%<0.01%	64.6%0.05%	21.8%0.44%	20.3%0.23%	54.5%0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	29.7%4.06%	64.3%0.11%		41.5%1.55%	28.1%2.90%	58.4%0.08%	32.2%3.30%	43.6%0.44%	38.2%1.89%	50.0%0.01%	59.5%0.18%	35.9%2.22%	30.7%1.07%	55.6%0.04%
Denver Broncos	34.1%7.94%	68.9%0.39%	58.5%1.55%		32.9%6.36%	67.3%0.21%	37.8%6.79%	52.9%0.75%	41.8%4.48%	73.2%0.04%	66.2%0.46%	42.3%5.27%	38.1%2.15%	80.0%0.04%
Houston Oilers	52.1%12.52%	82.1%0.63%	71.9%2.90%	67.1%6.36%		78.9%0.37%	54.3%11.09%	69.5%2.10%	59.8%7.61%	90.9%0.07%	79.2%0.91%	58.3%10.99%	55.1%4.75%	85.6%0.18%
Indianapolis Colts	21.9%0.49%	78.6%0.01%	41.6%0.08%	32.7%0.21%	21.1%0.37%		23.9%0.43%	29.5%0.06%	26.0%0.17%		60.0%0.01%	28.9%0.30%	28.9%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	47.2%12.86%	80.1%0.84%	67.8%3.30%	62.2%6.79%	45.7%11.09%	76.1%0.43%		63.6%1.86%	55.4%8.19%	86.6%0.10%	77.4%0.91%	54.3%9.46%	49.4%4.36%	85.7%0.13%
Los Angeles Raiders	31.8%2.78%	78.9%0.11%	56.4%0.44%	47.1%0.75%	30.5%2.10%	70.5%0.06%	36.4%1.86%		39.0%1.30%	80.0%<0.01%	66.4%0.11%	38.6%1.64%	37.0%0.40%	72.7%0.01%
Miami Dolphins	43.8%13.08%	80.5%0.45%	61.8%1.89%	58.2%4.48%	40.2%7.61%	74.0%0.17%	44.6%8.19%	61.0%1.30%		81.1%0.04%	79.2%0.40%	49.3%6.65%	47.2%3.04%	77.6%0.10%
New England Patriots	13.3%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	26.8%0.04%	9.1%0.07%		13.4%0.10%	20.0%<0.01%	18.9%0.04%			12.5%0.05%	17.6%0.02%
New York Jets	22.0%1.11%	35.4%0.05%	40.5%0.18%	33.8%0.46%	20.8%0.91%	40.0%0.01%	22.6%0.91%	33.6%0.11%	20.8%0.40%			24.2%0.68%	29.0%0.31%	55.6%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	44.0%10.80%	78.2%0.44%	64.1%2.22%	57.7%5.27%	41.7%10.99%	71.1%0.30%	45.7%9.46%	61.4%1.64%	50.7%6.65%	87.5%0.05%	75.8%0.68%		46.8%3.78%	83.8%0.14%
San Diego Chargers	49.1%6.58%	79.7%0.23%	69.3%1.07%	61.9%2.15%	44.9%4.75%	71.1%0.08%	50.6%4.36%	63.0%0.40%	52.8%3.04%	82.4%0.02%	71.0%0.31%	53.2%3.78%		82.4%0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	16.3%0.27%	45.5%0.01%	44.4%0.04%	20.0%0.04%	14.4%0.18%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.13%	27.3%0.01%	22.4%0.10%		44.4%<0.01%	16.2%0.14%	17.6%0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		51.1%0.17%	16.8%1.15%	50.7%0.30%	43.8%0.13%	60.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.55%	23.2%0.99%	60.2%0.11%	20.5%0.85%	100.0%<0.01%	12.9%3.20%	72.0%0.03%	24.0%1.29%
Chicago Bears	48.9%0.17%		14.6%2.44%	34.9%0.11%	45.9%0.04%	56.2%0.02%	26.0%0.28%	18.8%1.43%	47.1%0.24%	18.6%1.69%	78.6%0.01%	10.7%3.63%	42.9%<0.01%	20.8%2.62%
Dallas Cowboys	83.2%1.15%	85.4%2.44%		81.5%3.35%	79.3%1.93%	86.5%0.10%	65.5%6.92%	57.6%8.13%	80.2%0.98%	57.7%8.00%	96.8%0.03%	38.4%14.26%	90.8%0.34%	60.3%12.44%
Detroit Lions	49.3%0.30%	65.1%0.11%	18.5%3.35%		48.6%0.07%	72.0%0.03%	33.1%0.43%	21.2%2.09%	48.8%0.32%	23.2%2.23%	69.2%0.01%	13.9%4.80%	66.7%<0.01%	26.8%3.62%
Green Bay Packers	56.2%0.13%	54.1%0.04%	20.7%1.93%	51.4%0.07%		66.7%<0.01%	34.2%0.18%	24.9%1.13%	57.3%0.14%	27.7%1.10%	80.0%<0.01%	15.7%3.09%	100.0%<0.01%	30.0%2.15%
Los Angeles Rams	40.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.02%	13.5%0.10%	28.0%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%		18.8%0.05%	12.3%0.08%	25.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	7.5%0.29%	50.0%<0.01%	13.8%0.12%
Minnesota Vikings	70.0%0.55%	74.0%0.28%	34.5%6.92%	66.9%0.43%	65.8%0.18%	81.2%0.05%		40.0%4.21%	72.3%0.61%	40.8%4.18%	81.2%0.02%	25.9%9.70%	90.5%0.02%	43.7%6.98%
New Orleans Saints	76.8%0.99%	81.2%1.43%	42.4%8.13%	78.8%2.09%	75.1%1.13%	87.7%0.08%	60.0%4.21%		78.0%0.85%	50.4%5.50%	92.3%0.03%	34.8%23.15%	90.0%0.22%	53.4%7.73%
New York Giants	39.8%0.11%	52.9%0.24%	19.8%0.98%	51.2%0.32%	42.7%0.14%	75.0%<0.01%	27.7%0.61%	22.0%0.85%		24.6%0.64%	100.0%<0.01%	11.9%2.10%	76.9%0.03%	27.5%1.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	79.5%0.85%	81.4%1.69%	42.3%8.00%	76.8%2.23%	72.3%1.10%	80.0%0.06%	59.2%4.18%	49.6%5.50%	75.4%0.64%		100.0%0.02%	31.3%11.52%	92.7%0.24%	53.7%8.48%
Phoenix Cardinals	0.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%	3.2%0.03%	30.8%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.02%	7.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.02%		10.6%0.10%		23.5%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	87.1%3.20%	89.3%3.63%	61.6%14.26%	86.1%4.80%	84.3%3.09%	92.5%0.29%	74.1%9.70%	65.2%23.15%	88.1%2.10%	68.7%11.52%	89.4%0.10%		93.1%0.54%	70.8%11.78%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	28.0%0.03%	57.1%<0.01%	9.2%0.34%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	9.5%0.02%	10.0%0.22%	23.1%0.03%	7.3%0.24%		6.9%0.54%		11.3%0.40%
Washington Redskins	76.0%1.29%	79.2%2.62%	39.7%12.44%	73.2%3.62%	70.0%2.15%	86.2%0.12%	56.3%6.98%	46.6%7.73%	72.5%1.10%	46.3%8.48%	76.5%0.03%	29.2%11.78%	88.7%0.40%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills		74.5%0.25%	67.7%1.64%	62.2%3.74%	47.6%10.72%	80.4%0.10%	52.5%9.55%	64.8%1.07%	53.8%3.73%	100.0%<0.01%	86.0%0.19%	56.7%7.17%	52.6%3.67%	80.4%0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	25.5%0.25%		42.9%0.01%	36.6%0.07%	15.0%0.11%	60.0%<0.01%	23.6%0.17%	39.1%0.02%	28.5%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	26.3%0.08%	11.7%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	32.3%1.64%	57.1%0.01%		44.4%0.49%	33.1%0.82%	64.7%0.02%	30.2%1.17%	44.5%0.13%	39.7%0.76%	33.3%<0.01%	54.8%0.04%	34.3%0.50%	33.2%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	37.8%3.74%	63.4%0.07%	55.6%0.49%		35.1%3.16%	66.7%0.05%	38.4%1.67%	54.1%0.20%	41.1%1.91%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.10%	43.4%2.21%	39.4%0.75%	66.7%<0.01%
Houston Oilers	52.4%10.72%	85.0%0.11%	66.9%0.82%	64.9%3.16%		84.0%0.12%	54.6%7.44%	66.0%0.97%	58.7%5.29%	86.7%0.01%	80.0%0.27%	57.7%3.69%	55.2%3.04%	82.2%0.04%
Indianapolis Colts	19.6%0.10%	40.0%<0.01%	35.3%0.02%	33.3%0.05%	16.0%0.12%		23.9%0.11%	42.9%<0.01%	22.6%0.05%		0.0%<0.01%	24.7%0.09%	20.7%0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	47.5%9.55%	76.4%0.17%	69.8%1.17%	61.6%1.67%	45.4%7.44%	76.1%0.11%		61.3%0.49%	55.6%4.63%	100.0%<0.01%	75.9%0.24%	53.1%5.19%	51.5%1.81%	83.3%0.02%
Los Angeles Raiders	35.2%1.07%	60.9%0.02%	55.5%0.13%	45.9%0.20%	34.0%0.97%	57.1%<0.01%	38.7%0.49%		36.9%0.51%	100.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.04%	43.1%0.67%	33.3%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	46.2%3.73%	71.5%0.12%	60.3%0.76%	58.9%1.91%	41.3%5.29%	77.4%0.05%	44.4%4.63%	63.1%0.51%		100.0%<0.01%	71.1%0.09%	48.5%3.67%	48.0%1.85%	80.0%0.01%
New England Patriots	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	14.0%0.19%	88.9%<0.01%	45.2%0.04%	33.3%0.10%	20.0%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	24.1%0.24%	37.5%0.04%	28.9%0.09%			25.3%0.19%	20.9%0.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.3%7.17%	73.7%0.08%	65.7%0.50%	56.6%2.21%	42.3%3.69%	75.3%0.09%	46.9%5.19%	56.9%0.67%	51.5%3.67%	100.0%0.02%	74.7%0.19%		45.7%2.02%	93.8%0.02%
San Diego Chargers	47.4%3.67%	88.3%0.06%	66.8%0.44%	60.6%0.75%	44.8%3.04%	79.3%0.03%	48.5%1.81%	66.7%0.21%	52.0%1.85%	100.0%<0.01%	79.1%0.11%	54.3%2.02%		75.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	19.6%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	17.8%0.04%		16.7%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		6.2%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		58.3%0.01%	22.3%0.37%	32.1%0.03%	18.2%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.11%	21.9%0.23%	56.5%0.02%	21.8%0.24%		15.2%0.55%	100.0%<0.01%	24.8%0.31%
Chicago Bears	41.7%0.01%		19.3%0.36%	50.0%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		30.8%0.05%	20.4%0.31%	30.0%0.01%	24.5%0.19%		13.1%1.00%		25.4%0.26%
Dallas Cowboys	77.7%0.37%	80.7%0.36%		77.3%0.57%	75.3%0.38%	85.7%0.03%	60.7%2.22%	54.7%6.13%	82.6%0.18%	56.5%3.11%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%18.28%	87.5%0.03%	59.0%3.66%
Detroit Lions	67.9%0.03%	50.0%0.01%	22.7%0.57%		37.5%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	30.6%0.10%	26.9%0.56%	50.0%0.02%	26.8%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	14.8%1.70%	100.0%<0.01%	30.5%0.42%
Green Bay Packers	81.8%0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	24.7%0.38%	62.5%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.06%	32.4%0.37%	87.5%<0.01%	27.3%0.22%		16.6%1.04%		38.7%0.28%
Los Angeles Rams	0.0%<0.01%		14.3%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%		10.8%0.04%		0.0%0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	63.2%0.11%	69.2%0.05%	39.3%2.22%	69.4%0.10%	57.1%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%		42.0%2.02%	71.6%0.09%	45.6%1.24%	100.0%<0.01%	29.7%5.48%	100.0%<0.01%	47.9%1.49%
New Orleans Saints	78.1%0.23%	79.6%0.31%	45.3%6.13%	73.1%0.56%	67.6%0.37%	75.0%<0.01%	58.0%2.02%		79.9%0.28%	51.2%3.64%	100.0%<0.01%	36.5%8.09%	88.0%0.03%	57.0%4.64%
New York Giants	43.5%0.02%	70.0%0.01%	17.4%0.18%	50.0%0.02%	12.5%<0.01%		28.4%0.09%	20.1%0.28%		26.5%0.11%		14.1%0.82%	33.3%<0.01%	24.8%0.14%
Philadelphia Eagles	78.2%0.24%	75.5%0.19%	43.5%3.11%	73.2%0.36%	72.7%0.22%	84.6%0.01%	54.4%1.24%	48.8%3.64%	73.5%0.11%		100.0%<0.01%	32.5%10.77%	100.0%0.02%	53.7%2.15%
Phoenix Cardinals			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%		40.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	84.8%0.55%	86.9%1.00%	60.0%18.28%	85.2%1.70%	83.4%1.04%	89.2%0.04%	70.3%5.48%	63.5%8.09%	85.9%0.82%	67.5%10.77%	100.0%0.01%		96.1%0.08%	69.5%14.95%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.0%<0.01%		12.5%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	12.0%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%0.02%		3.9%0.08%		21.4%0.01%
Washington Redskins	75.2%0.31%	74.6%0.26%	41.0%3.66%	69.5%0.42%	61.3%0.28%	100.0%0.01%	52.1%1.49%	43.0%4.64%	75.2%0.14%	46.3%2.15%	60.0%<0.01%	30.5%14.95%	78.6%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Phoenix Cardinals	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Denver Broncos	Houston Oilers	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Raiders	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Seattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills	56.8%0.09%	57.7%0.10%	33.2%3.91%	65.7%0.20%	59.0%0.14%	33.3%<0.01%	42.0%1.17%	36.8%2.91%	63.6%0.07%	38.7%2.20%		28.5%9.43%	50.0%<0.01%	42.3%2.53%
Cincinnati Bengals	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	11.6%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%			27.3%0.01%	21.2%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.02%		18.3%0.10%		20.0%0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	41.7%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.36%	53.8%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		27.6%0.12%	23.8%0.27%	50.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.19%		19.2%0.86%	0.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.25%
Denver Broncos	64.0%0.03%	46.2%0.03%	22.4%0.97%	40.4%0.05%	44.1%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	31.9%0.25%	26.0%0.73%	50.0%0.02%	28.4%0.54%		20.9%2.48%	100.0%<0.01%	33.2%0.61%
Houston Oilers	61.5%0.08%	64.3%0.08%	36.1%3.57%	64.9%0.17%	51.6%0.12%	80.0%<0.01%	46.4%0.96%	41.7%2.63%	66.7%0.06%	40.7%1.88%		32.0%8.55%	100.0%<0.01%	47.8%2.18%
Indianapolis Colts	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	23.1%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		16.7%<0.01%	15.0%0.02%		14.3%<0.01%		15.8%0.06%		25.0%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	58.0%0.07%	62.5%0.07%	31.1%2.96%	61.7%0.15%	55.3%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.86%	34.6%2.08%	50.9%0.06%	37.9%1.50%		27.6%7.13%	33.3%<0.01%	43.7%1.76%
Los Angeles Raiders	71.4%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	27.0%0.26%	46.2%0.01%	30.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	30.9%0.08%	27.9%0.22%	0.0%<0.01%	30.4%0.17%		21.1%0.68%		32.6%0.19%
Miami Dolphins	56.5%0.05%	61.9%0.04%	30.2%1.93%	56.6%0.08%	47.2%0.07%		38.3%0.52%	34.6%1.35%	76.5%0.03%	32.0%0.96%		26.9%4.56%	50.0%<0.01%	40.5%1.15%
New England Patriots			0.0%<0.01%									0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	12.1%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		13.6%0.02%	11.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	24.0%0.03%		13.3%0.13%		15.4%0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.6%0.05%	61.4%0.04%	29.7%2.10%	57.8%0.09%	58.8%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.56%	35.0%1.57%	50.0%0.05%	32.9%1.18%	0.0%<0.01%	25.2%5.13%	100.0%<0.01%	40.1%1.33%
San Diego Chargers	73.7%0.04%	65.6%0.03%	33.8%1.23%	66.7%0.06%	52.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.35%	42.2%0.90%	66.7%0.03%	42.4%0.66%	100.0%<0.01%	29.4%2.95%		48.5%0.79%
Seattle Seahawks			20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		7.1%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons															43.2%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	58.3%0.01%	36.0%0.03%	38.5%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	42.0%0.07%	28.6%<0.01%	43.5%0.05%		0.0%<0.01%	40.4%0.05%	26.3%0.04%
Chicago Bears															42.3%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.03%	35.7%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.04%		100.0%<0.01%	38.6%0.04%	34.4%0.03%
Dallas Cowboys															66.8%3.91%	88.4%0.04%	78.6%0.36%	77.6%0.97%	63.9%3.57%	76.9%0.03%	68.9%2.96%	73.0%0.26%	69.8%1.93%	100.0%<0.01%	87.9%0.07%	70.3%2.10%	66.2%1.23%	80.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions															34.3%0.20%	0.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	59.6%0.05%	35.1%0.17%	0.0%<0.01%	38.3%0.15%	53.8%0.01%	43.4%0.08%		0.0%<0.01%	42.2%0.09%	33.3%0.06%
Green Bay Packers															41.0%0.14%		100.0%<0.01%	55.9%0.03%	48.4%0.12%	0.0%<0.01%	44.7%0.10%	70.0%0.01%	52.8%0.07%		66.7%<0.01%	41.2%0.07%	48.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Rams															66.7%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings															58.0%1.17%	72.7%0.01%	72.4%0.12%	68.1%0.25%	53.6%0.96%	83.3%<0.01%	63.2%0.86%	69.1%0.08%	61.7%0.52%		86.4%0.02%	57.1%0.56%	55.6%0.35%	100.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints															63.2%2.91%	78.8%0.03%	76.2%0.27%	74.0%0.73%	58.3%2.63%	85.0%0.02%	65.4%2.08%	72.1%0.22%	65.4%1.35%		88.6%0.03%	65.0%1.57%	57.8%0.90%	80.0%<0.01%
New York Giants															36.4%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	33.3%0.06%		49.1%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	23.5%0.03%		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.05%	33.3%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles															61.3%2.20%	83.3%0.02%	80.6%0.19%	71.6%0.54%	59.3%1.88%	85.7%<0.01%	62.1%1.50%	69.6%0.17%	68.0%0.96%		76.0%0.03%	67.1%1.18%	57.6%0.66%	100.0%<0.01%
Phoenix Cardinals																										100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers															71.5%9.43%	81.7%0.10%	80.8%0.86%	79.1%2.48%	68.0%8.55%	84.2%0.06%	72.4%7.13%	78.9%0.68%	73.1%4.56%	100.0%<0.01%	86.7%0.13%	74.8%5.13%	70.6%2.95%	92.9%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers															50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins															57.7%2.53%	80.0%0.01%	72.0%0.25%	66.8%0.61%	52.2%2.18%	75.0%0.01%	56.3%1.76%	67.4%0.19%	59.5%1.15%	50.0%<0.01%	84.6%0.03%	59.9%1.33%	51.5%0.79%	100.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	71.91%	49.23%	35.12%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Dallas Cowboys	100.00%	67.13%	27.42%	18.46%	Won Super Bowl
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	51.18%	28.21%	7.55%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Miami Dolphins	100.00%	51.43%	23.55%	6.53%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Diego Chargers	64.89%	31.55%	17.34%	6.13%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New Orleans Saints	62.64%	20.45%	8.50%	5.75%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Houston Oilers	43.48%	22.69%	11.61%	4.47%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Buffalo Bills	56.52%	26.49%	12.37%	4.25%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Minnesota Vikings	60.06%	18.20%	6.26%	3.77%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	37.36%	12.12%	5.04%	3.37%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	35.11%	16.66%	6.93%	2.37%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Washington Redskins	39.94%	10.19%	3.54%	2.22%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills		56.5%100.00%
Houston Oilers	43.5%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs				35.1%100.00%
San Diego Chargers			64.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Redskins
Minnesota Vikings				60.1%100.00%
New Orleans Saints			62.6%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles		37.4%100.00%
Washington Redskins	39.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills				46.2%19.73%	47.2%36.79%
Houston Oilers				51.4%15.37%	52.6%28.11%
Kansas City Chiefs					47.5%35.11%
Miami Dolphins	53.8%19.73%	48.6%15.37%				51.4%64.89%
Pittsburgh Steelers	52.8%36.79%	47.4%28.11%	52.5%35.11%
San Diego Chargers				48.6%64.89%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys		69.7%60.06%	62.9%25.03%	64.0%14.91%
Minnesota Vikings	30.3%60.06%
New Orleans Saints	37.1%25.03%				29.7%37.61%
Philadelphia Eagles	36.0%14.91%				30.1%22.45%
San Francisco 49ers			70.3%37.61%	69.9%22.45%		74.5%39.94%
Washington Redskins					25.5%39.94%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills			61.4%4.33%	47.0%8.81%	48.9%4.79%	37.7%8.57%
Houston Oilers			65.9%3.73%	51.8%7.66%	52.7%4.18%	41.9%7.13%
Kansas City Chiefs	38.6%4.33%	34.1%3.73%		46.3%8.61%
Miami Dolphins	53.0%8.81%	48.2%7.66%	53.7%8.61%		40.1%26.36%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.1%4.79%	47.3%4.18%		59.9%26.36%		50.4%15.86%
San Diego Chargers	62.3%8.57%	58.1%7.13%			49.6%15.86%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys			60.7%7.71%	59.4%4.78%	32.6%48.25%	65.0%6.39%
Minnesota Vikings			52.7%3.44%	53.2%1.97%	26.6%12.78%
New Orleans Saints	39.3%7.71%	47.3%3.44%			32.9%6.92%	66.0%2.37%
Philadelphia Eagles	40.6%4.78%	46.8%1.97%			31.9%3.96%	64.9%1.42%
San Francisco 49ers	67.4%48.25%	73.4%12.78%	67.1%6.92%	68.1%3.96%
Washington Redskins	35.0%6.39%		34.0%2.37%	35.1%1.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Redskins	Buffalo Bills	Houston Oilers	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills	35.1%3.44%	42.4%0.78%	36.7%1.03%	33.8%0.61%	32.0%6.08%	43.9%0.42%
Houston Oilers	39.0%3.25%	46.9%0.72%	38.7%0.96%	41.3%0.53%	36.5%5.68%	42.3%0.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	36.0%1.90%	43.0%0.43%	34.8%0.58%	33.8%0.33%	31.7%3.43%	39.7%0.25%
Miami Dolphins	29.1%6.46%	34.7%1.51%	29.5%2.00%	31.9%1.19%	25.0%11.57%	31.9%0.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	28.5%7.65%	34.9%1.71%	28.1%2.42%	29.6%1.51%	24.0%13.94%	31.2%0.97%
San Diego Chargers	36.8%4.72%	46.1%1.11%	35.4%1.52%	35.8%0.87%	32.5%8.52%	44.5%0.60%
Dallas Cowboys							64.9%3.44%	61.0%3.25%	64.0%1.90%	70.9%6.46%	71.5%7.65%	63.2%4.72%
Minnesota Vikings							57.6%0.78%	53.1%0.72%	57.0%0.43%	65.3%1.51%	65.1%1.71%	53.9%1.11%
New Orleans Saints							63.3%1.03%	61.3%0.96%	65.2%0.58%	70.5%2.00%	71.9%2.42%	64.6%1.52%
Philadelphia Eagles							66.2%0.61%	58.7%0.53%	66.2%0.33%	68.1%1.19%	70.4%1.51%	64.2%0.87%
San Francisco 49ers							68.0%6.08%	63.5%5.68%	68.3%3.43%	75.0%11.57%	76.0%13.94%	67.5%8.52%
Washington Redskins							56.1%0.42%	57.7%0.46%	60.3%0.25%	68.1%0.83%	68.8%0.97%	55.5%0.60%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

San Francisco 49ers 35.12% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

41.38%

Win Prob

74.49%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

66.03%

Win Prob

67.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

30.18%

Win Prob

76.01%

Dallas Cowboys 18.46% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

62.36%

Win Prob

69.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

57.40%

Win Prob

32.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

29.64%

Win Prob

71.53%

Pittsburgh Steelers 7.55% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

37.92%

Win Prob

52.76%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

55.97%

Win Prob

59.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

44.29%

Win Prob

23.99%

Miami Dolphins 6.53% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

64.83%

Win Prob

51.38%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

44.88%

Win Prob

40.09%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

44.26%

Win Prob

24.99%

San Diego Chargers 6.13% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.89%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.62%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

45.34%

Win Prob

49.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

45.16%

Win Prob

32.50%

New Orleans Saints 5.75% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.64%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

54.55%

Win Prob

29.66%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

35.64%

Win Prob

39.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

30.32%

Win Prob

71.89%

Houston Oilers 4.47% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.48%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

65.15%

Win Prob

52.60%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

34.15%

Win Prob

51.78%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

46.45%

Win Prob

36.50%

Buffalo Bills 4.25% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Oilers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.52%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

65.60%

Win Prob

47.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

33.51%

Win Prob

47.02%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

45.75%

Win Prob

32.00%

Minnesota Vikings 3.77% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.06%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.29%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

54.27%

Win Prob

26.56%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

29.58%

Win Prob

65.11%

Philadelphia Eagles 3.37% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.36%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

55.66%

Win Prob

30.06%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

38.43%

Win Prob

40.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

31.49%

Win Prob

70.40%

Kansas City Chiefs 2.37% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.11%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.45%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

57.55%

Win Prob

46.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

45.91%

Win Prob

31.71%

Washington Redskins 2.22% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.94%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.51%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

63.12%

Win Prob

34.95%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

30.17%

Win Prob

68.82%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1992-09-06	New York Jets	W 20-17	1547.61	1487.90	68.43%	31.36%	+7.93	1-0
1992-09-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-24	1555.54	1653.77	26.80%	73.00%	-10.34	1-1
1992-09-20	New Orleans Saints	L 7-10	1545.20	1574.06	56.57%	43.20%	-14.28	1-2
1992-09-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 31-41	1530.92	1475.98	46.91%	52.85%	-21.62	1-3
1992-10-04	Green Bay Packers	W 24-10	1509.30	1448.54	68.56%	31.23%	+17.04	2-3
1992-10-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-21	1526.34	1584.26	31.58%	68.20%	-9.21	2-4
1992-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-56	1517.13	1697.67	18.58%	81.27%	-16.92	2-5
1992-11-01	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-28	1500.21	1429.46	69.78%	30.01%	+6.19	3-5
1992-11-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 3-41	1506.40	1675.09	36.81%	62.96%	-33.09	3-6
1992-11-15	Phoenix Cardinals	W 20-17	1473.31	1389.10	71.39%	28.41%	+7.18	4-6
1992-11-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-41	1480.49	1614.55	22.96%	76.86%	-17.40	4-7
1992-11-29	New England Patriots	W 34-0	1463.09	1336.66	76.07%	23.74%	+20.19	5-7
1992-12-03	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-22	1483.28	1654.69	19.38%	80.46%	-7.99	5-8
1992-12-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-7	1475.29	1314.90	61.84%	37.93%	+29.26	6-8
1992-12-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-41	1504.55	1680.86	35.80%	63.98%	-25.57	6-9
1992-12-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-38	1478.98	1375.65	53.86%	45.90%	-26.03	6-10
1992-09-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 40-7	1595.96	1386.08	83.70%	16.16%	+13.53	1-0
1992-09-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-31	1609.49	1666.28	31.72%	68.06%	+17.17	2-0
1992-09-20	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-0	1626.66	1339.74	88.88%	11.02%	+9.89	3-0
1992-09-27	@ New England Patriots	W 41-7	1636.55	1352.59	76.72%	23.10%	+19.64	4-0
1992-10-04	Miami Dolphins	L 10-37	1656.19	1526.43	76.42%	23.40%	-57.83	4-1
1992-10-11	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 3-20	1598.36	1447.41	60.55%	39.21%	-36.37	4-2
1992-10-26	@ New York Jets	W 24-20	1561.99	1418.84	59.48%	40.29%	+11.75	5-2
1992-11-01	New England Patriots	W 16-7	1573.74	1297.43	88.26%	11.63%	+5.08	6-2
1992-11-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-20	1578.82	1576.07	60.97%	38.80%	+16.00	7-2
1992-11-16	@ Miami Dolphins	W 26-20	1594.82	1556.73	44.50%	55.26%	+19.73	8-2
1992-11-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-14	1614.55	1480.49	76.86%	22.96%	+17.39	9-2
1992-11-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-16	1631.94	1306.97	80.66%	19.18%	-20.34	9-3
1992-12-06	New York Jets	L 17-24	1611.60	1377.43	85.51%	14.36%	-32.93	9-4
1992-12-12	Denver Broncos	W 27-17	1578.67	1521.86	68.07%	31.72%	+14.62	10-4
1992-12-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-16	1593.29	1680.97	28.01%	71.79%	+20.92	11-4
1992-12-27	@ Houston Oilers	L 3-27	1614.21	1582.48	43.60%	56.16%	-31.14	11-5
1992-09-06	Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1524.34	1572.61	53.81%	45.95%	+11.61	1-0
1992-09-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 6-28	1535.95	1548.43	37.48%	62.29%	-25.64	1-1
1992-09-21	New York Giants	L 14-27	1510.31	1474.67	65.37%	34.41%	-34.33	1-2
1992-09-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-31	1475.98	1530.92	52.85%	46.91%	+21.63	2-2
1992-10-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-21	1497.61	1522.25	35.86%	63.92%	-5.23	2-3
1992-10-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-14	1492.38	1416.09	70.45%	29.35%	+17.64	3-3
1992-10-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-10	1510.02	1413.79	52.84%	46.92%	+30.59	4-3
1992-11-02	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-38	1540.61	1542.34	60.36%	39.41%	-46.53	4-4
1992-11-08	Cincinnati Bengals	L 28-31	1494.08	1403.34	72.15%	27.66%	-18.20	4-5
1992-11-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-20	1475.88	1336.12	59.01%	40.76%	-14.89	4-6
1992-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 3-17	1460.99	1426.66	65.19%	34.58%	-35.53	4-7
1992-11-29	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-27	1425.46	1460.54	34.49%	65.29%	-18.14	4-8
1992-12-07	@ Houston Oilers	L 7-24	1407.32	1573.54	19.86%	79.98%	-11.93	4-9
1992-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-6	1395.39	1596.78	32.56%	67.23%	+47.97	5-9
1992-12-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-16	1443.36	1456.33	37.41%	62.36%	-19.67	5-10
1992-12-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-27	1423.69	1706.44	11.25%	88.64%	-5.91	5-11
1992-09-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 21-3	1418.74	1488.66	30.11%	69.68%	+43.05	1-0
1992-09-13	Los Angeles Raiders	W 24-21	1461.79	1495.81	55.84%	43.92%	+11.10	2-0
1992-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 23-24	1472.89	1409.29	48.15%	51.61%	-7.02	2-1
1992-09-27	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-42	1465.87	1470.58	59.94%	39.82%	-51.67	2-2
1992-10-11	Houston Oilers	L 24-38	1414.20	1581.31	37.02%	62.75%	-20.20	2-3
1992-10-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-20	1394.00	1502.90	25.62%	74.19%	-16.71	2-4
1992-10-25	@ Houston Oilers	L 10-26	1377.29	1585.28	16.31%	83.55%	-9.50	2-5
1992-11-01	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 30-10	1367.79	1475.98	45.21%	54.55%	+35.55	3-5
1992-11-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-28	1403.34	1494.08	27.66%	72.15%	+18.20	4-5
1992-11-15	@ New York Jets	L 14-17	1421.54	1425.94	38.57%	61.20%	-9.75	4-6
1992-11-22	Detroit Lions	L 13-19	1411.79	1456.88	54.26%	45.50%	-19.36	4-7
1992-11-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-21	1392.43	1574.54	35.03%	64.74%	-17.70	4-8
1992-12-06	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-37	1374.73	1478.68	26.16%	73.64%	-15.26	4-9
1992-12-13	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-27	1359.47	1538.32	18.73%	81.12%	-11.26	4-10
1992-12-20	New England Patriots	W 20-10	1348.21	1291.07	68.11%	31.68%	+14.61	5-10
1992-12-27	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-21	1362.82	1378.77	58.38%	41.38%	-17.01	5-11
1992-09-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-14	1460.79	1327.77	58.06%	41.70%	-28.06	0-1
1992-09-14	Miami Dolphins	L 23-27	1432.73	1485.32	53.19%	46.57%	-15.50	0-2
1992-09-20	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 28-16	1417.23	1484.72	30.41%	69.38%	+35.01	1-2
1992-09-27	Denver Broncos	L 0-12	1452.24	1551.58	46.47%	53.29%	-23.47	1-3
1992-10-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-9	1428.77	1524.66	46.97%	52.79%	+21.76	2-3
1992-10-18	Green Bay Packers	W 17-6	1450.53	1431.49	63.17%	36.60%	+17.70	3-3
1992-10-25	@ New England Patriots	W 19-17	1468.23	1305.17	62.20%	37.57%	+7.75	4-3
1992-11-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-30	1475.98	1367.79	54.55%	45.21%	-35.55	4-4
1992-11-08	@ Houston Oilers	W 24-14	1440.43	1588.57	21.56%	78.27%	+36.04	5-4
1992-11-15	San Diego Chargers	L 13-14	1476.47	1471.97	61.21%	38.56%	-8.92	5-5
1992-11-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-17	1467.55	1591.35	24.02%	75.80%	-7.01	5-6
1992-11-29	Chicago Bears	W 27-14	1460.54	1425.46	65.29%	34.49%	+18.14	6-6
1992-12-06	Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-21	1478.68	1374.73	73.64%	26.16%	+15.25	7-6
1992-12-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-24	1493.93	1434.40	47.57%	52.19%	-21.92	7-7
1992-12-20	Houston Oilers	L 14-17	1472.01	1570.73	46.56%	53.20%	-11.76	7-8
1992-12-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-23	1460.25	1534.90	29.54%	70.25%	-13.62	7-9
1992-09-07	Washington Redskins	W 23-10	1546.53	1684.65	40.99%	58.78%	+30.88	1-0
1992-09-13	@ New York Giants	W 34-28	1577.41	1491.97	51.29%	48.47%	+17.30	2-0
1992-09-20	Phoenix Cardinals	W 31-20	1594.71	1335.30	87.22%	12.66%	+6.12	3-0
1992-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-31	1600.83	1615.64	37.17%	62.61%	-26.55	3-1
1992-10-11	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-0	1574.28	1413.21	79.51%	20.33%	+15.40	4-1
1992-10-18	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-10	1589.68	1612.08	57.48%	42.28%	+16.31	5-1
1992-10-25	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 28-13	1605.99	1514.53	52.16%	47.60%	+26.88	6-1
1992-11-01	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1632.87	1618.22	62.58%	37.19%	+17.15	7-1
1992-11-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-3	1650.02	1496.78	60.87%	38.90%	+33.07	8-1
1992-11-15	Los Angeles Rams	L 23-27	1683.09	1398.91	88.72%	11.17%	-25.82	8-2
1992-11-22	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 16-10	1657.27	1381.93	75.83%	23.99%	+8.56	9-2
1992-11-26	New York Giants	W 30-3	1665.83	1503.85	79.59%	20.25%	+15.34	10-2
1992-12-06	@ Denver Broncos	W 31-27	1681.17	1533.42	60.11%	39.65%	+11.56	11-2
1992-12-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1692.73	1637.08	47.01%	52.75%	-11.87	11-3
1992-12-21	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 41-17	1680.86	1504.55	63.98%	35.80%	+25.58	12-3
1992-12-27	Chicago Bears	W 27-14	1706.44	1423.69	88.64%	11.25%	+5.91	13-3
1992-09-06	Los Angeles Raiders	W 17-13	1564.27	1504.97	68.38%	31.41%	+9.16	1-0
1992-09-13	San Diego Chargers	W 21-13	1573.43	1433.55	77.45%	22.37%	+9.22	2-0
1992-09-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-30	1582.65	1584.56	38.91%	60.85%	-31.07	2-1
1992-09-27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 12-0	1551.58	1452.24	53.29%	46.47%	+23.46	3-1
1992-10-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-19	1575.04	1600.61	57.03%	42.73%	+6.23	4-1
1992-10-12	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-34	1581.27	1650.47	30.20%	69.59%	-24.52	4-2
1992-10-18	Houston Oilers	W 27-21	1556.75	1601.51	54.31%	45.45%	+16.23	5-2
1992-10-25	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-24	1572.98	1441.64	57.83%	41.93%	-14.59	5-3
1992-11-08	New York Jets	W 27-16	1558.39	1437.71	75.47%	24.35%	+11.77	6-3
1992-11-15	New York Giants	W 27-13	1570.16	1550.39	63.27%	36.50%	+19.92	7-3
1992-11-22	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 0-24	1590.08	1484.95	54.12%	45.64%	-38.63	7-4
1992-11-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-16	1551.45	1315.41	71.46%	28.34%	-18.03	7-5
1992-12-06	Dallas Cowboys	L 27-31	1533.42	1681.17	39.65%	60.11%	-11.56	7-6
1992-12-12	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-27	1521.86	1578.67	31.72%	68.07%	-14.63	7-7
1992-12-20	Seattle Seahawks	W 10-6	1507.23	1323.66	81.53%	18.32%	+5.34	8-7
1992-12-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-42	1512.57	1549.77	34.21%	65.57%	-23.40	8-8
1992-09-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1572.61	1524.34	45.95%	53.81%	-11.61	0-1
1992-09-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-17	1561.00	1472.59	71.88%	27.92%	+15.24	1-1
1992-09-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-13	1576.24	1664.11	27.99%	71.81%	-7.07	1-2
1992-09-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-27	1569.17	1428.27	77.55%	22.27%	-22.58	1-3
1992-10-04	New Orleans Saints	L 7-13	1546.59	1570.82	57.22%	42.54%	-20.43	1-4
1992-10-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-31	1526.16	1527.48	39.00%	60.77%	-23.44	1-5
1992-10-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-7	1502.72	1398.45	53.99%	45.77%	+37.15	2-5
1992-11-01	Green Bay Packers	L 13-27	1539.87	1383.21	79.09%	20.74%	-43.09	2-6
1992-11-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 3-37	1496.78	1650.02	38.90%	60.87%	-33.08	2-7
1992-11-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-17	1463.70	1560.07	27.01%	72.79%	-6.82	2-8
1992-11-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-13	1456.88	1411.79	45.50%	54.26%	+19.37	3-8
1992-11-26	Houston Oilers	L 21-24	1476.25	1561.28	48.52%	51.23%	-12.25	3-9
1992-12-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-38	1464.00	1470.00	38.36%	61.41%	-29.60	3-10
1992-12-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 24-14	1434.40	1493.93	52.19%	47.57%	+21.93	4-10
1992-12-20	Chicago Bears	W 16-3	1456.33	1443.36	62.36%	37.41%	+19.67	5-10
1992-12-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 6-24	1476.00	1759.11	11.23%	88.66%	-6.94	5-11
1992-09-06	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-23	1458.73	1457.25	60.80%	38.97%	-15.34	0-1
1992-09-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-31	1443.39	1407.40	44.20%	55.56%	-34.10	0-2
1992-09-20	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-23	1409.29	1472.89	51.61%	48.15%	+7.02	1-2
1992-09-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-3	1416.31	1556.89	40.65%	59.12%	+32.23	2-2
1992-10-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-24	1448.54	1509.30	31.23%	68.56%	-17.05	2-3
1992-10-18	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 6-17	1431.49	1450.53	36.60%	63.17%	-17.70	2-4
1992-10-25	Chicago Bears	L 10-30	1413.79	1510.02	46.92%	52.84%	-30.58	2-5
1992-11-01	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-13	1383.21	1539.87	20.74%	79.09%	+43.09	3-5
1992-11-08	@ New York Giants	L 7-27	1426.30	1533.57	25.80%	74.01%	-16.82	3-6
1992-11-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1409.48	1617.86	31.68%	68.11%	+17.18	4-6
1992-11-22	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-3	1426.66	1460.99	34.58%	65.19%	+35.53	5-6
1992-11-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-14	1462.19	1337.80	75.86%	23.96%	+7.81	6-6
1992-12-06	Detroit Lions	W 38-10	1470.00	1464.00	61.41%	38.36%	+29.60	7-6
1992-12-13	@ Houston Oilers	W 16-14	1499.60	1585.47	28.22%	71.58%	+14.74	8-6
1992-12-20	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-13	1514.34	1389.13	75.95%	23.87%	+13.48	9-6
1992-12-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-27	1527.82	1602.14	29.58%	70.21%	-19.29	9-7
1992-09-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-29	1561.99	1485.22	70.51%	29.29%	-22.96	0-1
1992-09-13	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-10	1539.03	1355.83	64.88%	34.89%	+16.09	1-1
1992-09-20	Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-20	1555.12	1597.15	54.70%	45.06%	+11.38	2-1
1992-09-27	San Diego Chargers	W 27-0	1566.50	1396.89	80.29%	19.55%	+14.81	3-1
1992-10-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-24	1581.31	1414.20	62.75%	37.02%	+20.20	4-1
1992-10-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-27	1601.51	1556.75	45.45%	54.31%	-16.23	4-2
1992-10-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-10	1585.28	1377.29	83.55%	16.31%	+9.50	5-2
1992-11-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-21	1594.78	1569.86	42.64%	57.12%	-6.21	5-3
1992-11-08	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1588.57	1440.43	78.27%	21.56%	-36.04	5-4
1992-11-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-13	1552.53	1611.25	31.48%	68.30%	+19.90	6-4
1992-11-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 16-19	1572.43	1537.01	44.12%	55.64%	-11.15	6-5
1992-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-21	1561.28	1476.25	51.23%	48.52%	+12.26	7-5
1992-12-07	Chicago Bears	W 24-7	1573.54	1407.32	79.98%	19.86%	+11.93	8-5
1992-12-13	Green Bay Packers	L 14-16	1585.47	1499.60	71.58%	28.22%	-14.74	8-6
1992-12-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-14	1570.73	1472.01	53.20%	46.56%	+11.75	9-6
1992-12-27	Buffalo Bills	W 27-3	1582.48	1614.21	56.16%	43.60%	+31.14	10-6
1992-09-06	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 14-3	1327.77	1460.79	41.70%	58.06%	+28.06	1-0
1992-09-13	Houston Oilers	L 10-20	1355.83	1539.03	34.89%	64.88%	-16.09	1-1
1992-09-20	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-38	1339.74	1626.66	11.02%	88.88%	-9.89	1-2
1992-10-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-14	1329.85	1450.86	24.31%	75.50%	+34.77	2-2
1992-10-11	New York Jets	W 6-3	1364.62	1431.10	51.19%	48.56%	+12.26	3-2
1992-10-18	San Diego Chargers	L 14-34	1376.88	1404.68	56.72%	43.04%	-36.96	3-3
1992-10-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-20	1339.92	1601.06	12.56%	87.33%	+42.16	4-3
1992-11-01	@ San Diego Chargers	L 0-26	1382.08	1456.23	29.60%	70.19%	-22.01	4-4
1992-11-08	Miami Dolphins	L 0-28	1360.07	1528.28	36.88%	62.90%	-28.46	4-5
1992-11-15	New England Patriots	L 34-37	1331.61	1280.41	67.36%	32.42%	-16.99	4-6
1992-11-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-30	1314.62	1566.89	13.13%	86.75%	-7.65	4-7
1992-11-29	Buffalo Bills	W 16-13	1306.97	1631.94	19.18%	80.66%	+20.34	5-7
1992-12-06	@ New England Patriots	W 6-0	1327.31	1316.48	40.67%	59.10%	+21.09	6-7
1992-12-13	@ New York Jets	W 10-6	1348.40	1410.37	31.08%	68.71%	+20.02	7-7
1992-12-20	Phoenix Cardinals	W 16-13	1368.42	1381.74	58.75%	41.02%	+10.35	8-7
1992-12-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-17	1378.77	1362.82	41.38%	58.38%	+17.02	9-7
1992-09-06	@ San Diego Chargers	W 24-10	1557.33	1458.97	53.15%	46.61%	+25.43	1-0
1992-09-13	Seattle Seahawks	W 26-7	1582.76	1445.60	77.18%	22.65%	+14.39	2-0
1992-09-20	@ Houston Oilers	L 20-23	1597.15	1555.12	45.06%	54.70%	-11.38	2-1
1992-09-28	Los Angeles Raiders	W 27-7	1585.77	1449.71	77.07%	22.76%	+14.84	3-1
1992-10-04	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-20	1600.61	1575.04	42.73%	57.03%	-6.23	3-2
1992-10-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-17	1594.38	1642.19	53.87%	45.89%	+17.70	4-2
1992-10-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-17	1612.08	1589.68	42.28%	57.48%	-16.31	4-3
1992-10-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-27	1595.77	1519.60	70.43%	29.36%	-50.26	4-4
1992-11-08	San Diego Chargers	W 16-14	1545.51	1478.24	69.36%	30.43%	+6.28	5-4
1992-11-15	Washington Redskins	W 35-16	1551.79	1654.66	45.97%	53.79%	+34.17	6-4
1992-11-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 24-14	1585.96	1327.29	74.03%	25.78%	+11.88	7-4
1992-11-29	@ New York Jets	W 23-7	1597.84	1396.42	67.23%	32.55%	+18.99	8-4
1992-12-06	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 7-28	1616.83	1492.67	56.82%	42.94%	-37.94	8-5
1992-12-13	New England Patriots	W 27-20	1578.89	1295.39	88.68%	11.21%	+4.32	9-5
1992-12-19	@ New York Giants	L 21-35	1583.21	1426.45	61.35%	38.42%	-33.44	9-6
1992-12-27	Denver Broncos	W 42-20	1549.77	1512.57	65.57%	34.21%	+23.40	10-6
1992-09-06	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-17	1504.97	1564.27	31.41%	68.38%	-9.16	0-1
1992-09-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1495.81	1461.79	43.92%	55.84%	-11.09	0-2
1992-09-20	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-28	1484.72	1417.23	69.38%	30.41%	-35.01	0-3
1992-09-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-27	1449.71	1585.77	22.76%	77.07%	-14.84	0-4
1992-10-04	New York Giants	W 13-10	1434.87	1509.00	50.09%	49.66%	+12.54	1-4
1992-10-11	Buffalo Bills	W 20-3	1447.41	1598.36	39.21%	60.55%	+36.37	2-4
1992-10-18	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 19-0	1483.78	1397.81	51.37%	48.39%	+30.75	3-4
1992-10-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-28	1514.53	1605.99	47.60%	52.16%	-26.87	3-5
1992-11-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-31	1487.66	1601.08	25.12%	74.69%	-16.79	3-6
1992-11-15	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-3	1470.87	1341.38	76.39%	23.43%	+14.08	4-6
1992-11-22	Denver Broncos	W 24-0	1484.95	1590.08	45.64%	54.12%	+38.63	5-6
1992-11-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 3-27	1523.58	1494.09	43.28%	56.48%	-30.91	5-7
1992-12-06	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-7	1492.67	1616.83	42.94%	56.82%	+37.94	6-7
1992-12-14	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-20	1530.61	1522.85	40.24%	59.52%	-21.16	6-8
1992-12-20	San Diego Chargers	L 14-36	1509.45	1549.57	54.97%	44.79%	-37.57	6-9
1992-12-26	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-20	1471.88	1637.24	19.93%	79.90%	+11.64	7-9
1992-09-06	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-40	1386.08	1595.96	16.16%	83.70%	-13.53	0-1
1992-09-13	New England Patriots	W 14-0	1372.55	1390.35	58.12%	41.64%	+22.72	1-1
1992-09-20	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-26	1395.27	1500.82	25.99%	73.82%	-15.16	1-2
1992-09-27	New York Jets	W 18-10	1380.11	1438.28	52.39%	47.37%	+19.53	2-2
1992-10-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1399.64	1687.05	10.99%	88.91%	-2.77	2-3
1992-10-11	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-13	1396.87	1591.24	17.41%	82.45%	-4.39	2-4
1992-10-18	New York Giants	W 38-17	1392.48	1506.47	44.38%	55.38%	+36.98	3-4
1992-11-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 28-30	1429.46	1500.21	30.01%	69.78%	-6.19	3-5
1992-11-08	Phoenix Cardinals	L 14-20	1423.27	1364.74	68.28%	31.51%	-24.36	3-6
1992-11-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-23	1398.91	1683.09	11.17%	88.72%	+25.82	4-6
1992-11-22	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-27	1424.73	1712.28	22.73%	77.09%	-13.66	4-7
1992-11-29	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-31	1411.07	1598.36	34.36%	65.42%	-18.75	4-8
1992-12-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-27	1392.32	1329.99	47.97%	51.79%	+15.10	5-8
1992-12-13	New Orleans Saints	L 14-37	1407.42	1662.68	26.15%	73.65%	-18.29	5-9
1992-12-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-28	1389.13	1514.34	23.87%	75.95%	-13.48	5-10
1992-12-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-27	1375.65	1478.98	45.90%	53.86%	+26.03	6-10
1992-09-14	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 27-23	1485.32	1432.73	46.57%	53.19%	+15.50	1-0
1992-09-20	Los Angeles Rams	W 26-10	1500.82	1395.27	73.82%	25.99%	+15.16	2-0
1992-09-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 19-17	1515.98	1446.26	49.03%	50.73%	+10.45	3-0
1992-10-04	@ Buffalo Bills	W 37-10	1526.43	1656.19	23.40%	76.42%	+57.83	4-0
1992-10-11	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-17	1584.26	1526.34	68.20%	31.58%	+9.21	5-0
1992-10-18	New England Patriots	W 38-17	1593.47	1312.76	88.52%	11.37%	+7.59	6-0
1992-10-25	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-31	1601.06	1339.92	87.33%	12.56%	-42.16	6-1
1992-11-01	@ New York Jets	L 14-26	1558.90	1407.09	60.67%	39.10%	-30.62	6-2
1992-11-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 28-0	1528.28	1360.07	62.90%	36.88%	+28.45	7-2
1992-11-16	Buffalo Bills	L 20-26	1556.73	1594.82	55.26%	44.50%	-19.72	7-3
1992-11-22	Houston Oilers	W 19-16	1537.01	1572.43	55.64%	44.12%	+11.14	8-3
1992-11-29	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-24	1548.15	1641.46	27.36%	72.44%	-13.23	8-4
1992-12-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-27	1534.92	1735.51	16.90%	82.96%	-12.07	8-5
1992-12-14	Los Angeles Raiders	W 20-7	1522.85	1530.61	59.52%	40.24%	+21.16	9-5
1992-12-20	New York Jets	W 19-17	1544.01	1390.35	78.80%	21.03%	+4.34	10-5
1992-12-27	@ New England Patriots	W 16-13	1548.35	1276.46	75.46%	24.35%	+6.15	11-5
1992-09-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1457.25	1458.73	38.97%	60.80%	+15.34	1-0
1992-09-13	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-31	1472.59	1561.00	27.92%	71.88%	-15.23	1-1
1992-09-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-20	1457.36	1441.50	62.75%	37.03%	+13.22	2-1
1992-09-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 42-7	1470.58	1465.87	39.82%	59.94%	+51.67	3-1
1992-10-04	Chicago Bears	W 21-20	1522.25	1497.61	63.92%	35.86%	+5.23	4-1
1992-10-15	Detroit Lions	W 31-14	1527.48	1526.16	60.77%	39.00%	+23.44	5-1
1992-10-25	Washington Redskins	L 13-15	1550.92	1684.47	41.63%	58.14%	-8.58	5-2
1992-11-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 38-10	1542.34	1540.61	39.41%	60.36%	+46.53	6-2
1992-11-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-7	1588.87	1358.50	70.79%	29.01%	+22.38	7-2
1992-11-15	Houston Oilers	L 13-17	1611.25	1552.53	68.30%	31.48%	-19.90	7-3
1992-11-22	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 17-13	1591.35	1467.55	75.80%	24.02%	+7.01	8-3
1992-11-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-17	1598.36	1411.07	65.42%	34.36%	+18.75	9-3
1992-12-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-28	1617.11	1617.75	39.09%	60.68%	-18.91	9-4
1992-12-13	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-20	1598.20	1747.57	39.43%	60.34%	-9.95	9-5
1992-12-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 6-3	1588.25	1548.80	44.69%	55.07%	+13.89	10-5
1992-12-27	Green Bay Packers	W 27-7	1602.14	1527.82	70.21%	29.58%	+19.30	11-5
1992-09-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 0-14	1390.35	1372.55	41.64%	58.12%	-22.71	0-1
1992-09-20	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-10	1367.64	1431.21	51.61%	48.15%	-15.05	0-2
1992-09-27	Buffalo Bills	L 7-41	1352.59	1636.55	23.10%	76.72%	-19.63	0-3
1992-10-04	@ New York Jets	L 21-30	1332.96	1418.75	28.23%	71.57%	-12.35	0-4
1992-10-11	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-24	1320.61	1689.82	15.54%	84.32%	-7.85	0-5
1992-10-18	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-38	1312.76	1593.47	11.37%	88.52%	-7.59	0-6
1992-10-25	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-19	1305.17	1468.23	37.57%	62.20%	-7.74	0-7
1992-11-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-16	1297.43	1573.74	11.63%	88.26%	-5.09	0-8
1992-11-08	New Orleans Saints	L 14-31	1292.34	1609.85	19.85%	79.99%	-11.93	0-9
1992-11-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 37-34	1280.41	1331.61	32.42%	67.36%	+17.00	1-9
1992-11-22	New York Jets	W 24-3	1297.41	1435.68	40.97%	58.80%	+39.25	2-9
1992-11-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 0-34	1336.66	1463.09	23.74%	76.07%	-20.18	2-10
1992-12-06	Indianapolis Colts	L 0-6	1316.48	1327.31	59.10%	40.67%	-21.09	2-11
1992-12-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1295.39	1578.89	11.21%	88.68%	-4.32	2-12
1992-12-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-20	1291.07	1348.21	31.68%	68.11%	-14.61	2-13
1992-12-27	Miami Dolphins	L 13-16	1276.46	1548.35	24.35%	75.46%	-6.15	2-14
1992-09-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-15	1556.48	1557.71	39.01%	60.76%	-8.05	0-1
1992-09-13	Chicago Bears	W 28-6	1548.43	1535.95	62.29%	37.48%	+25.63	1-1
1992-09-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 10-7	1574.06	1545.20	43.20%	56.57%	+14.28	2-1
1992-09-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-16	1588.34	1669.53	49.08%	50.68%	-17.52	2-2
1992-10-04	@ Detroit Lions	W 13-7	1570.82	1546.59	42.54%	57.22%	+20.42	3-2
1992-10-11	Los Angeles Rams	W 13-10	1591.24	1396.87	82.45%	17.41%	+4.40	4-2
1992-10-18	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 30-21	1595.64	1339.89	73.71%	26.10%	+11.41	5-2
1992-11-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-21	1607.05	1361.30	86.32%	13.56%	+2.80	6-2
1992-11-08	@ New England Patriots	W 31-14	1609.85	1292.34	79.99%	19.85%	+11.93	7-2
1992-11-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-21	1621.78	1708.18	28.16%	71.64%	-4.11	7-3
1992-11-23	Washington Redskins	W 20-3	1617.67	1620.49	60.20%	39.56%	+23.79	8-3
1992-11-29	Miami Dolphins	W 24-13	1641.46	1548.15	72.44%	27.36%	+13.23	9-3
1992-12-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 22-14	1654.69	1483.28	80.46%	19.38%	+7.99	10-3
1992-12-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 37-14	1662.68	1407.42	73.65%	26.15%	+18.29	11-3
1992-12-20	Buffalo Bills	L 16-20	1680.97	1593.29	71.79%	28.01%	-20.91	11-4
1992-12-26	@ New York Jets	W 20-0	1660.06	1386.02	75.69%	24.12%	+15.73	12-4
1992-09-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-31	1517.94	1640.32	43.20%	56.57%	-25.97	0-1
1992-09-13	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-34	1491.97	1577.41	48.47%	51.29%	-17.30	0-2
1992-09-21	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-14	1474.67	1510.31	34.41%	65.37%	+34.33	1-2
1992-10-04	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 10-13	1509.00	1434.87	49.66%	50.09%	-12.54	1-3
1992-10-11	Phoenix Cardinals	W 31-21	1496.46	1349.90	78.11%	21.71%	+10.01	2-3
1992-10-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-38	1506.47	1392.48	55.38%	44.38%	-36.98	2-4
1992-10-25	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-10	1469.49	1367.06	73.48%	26.33%	+13.85	3-4
1992-11-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-7	1483.34	1693.05	16.17%	83.69%	+50.23	4-4
1992-11-08	Green Bay Packers	W 27-7	1533.57	1426.30	74.01%	25.80%	+16.82	5-4
1992-11-15	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-27	1550.39	1570.16	36.50%	63.27%	-19.92	5-5
1992-11-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 34-47	1530.47	1600.68	50.66%	49.10%	-26.62	5-6
1992-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-30	1503.85	1665.83	20.25%	79.59%	-15.33	5-7
1992-12-06	Washington Redskins	L 10-28	1488.52	1610.31	43.28%	56.49%	-26.77	5-8
1992-12-12	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 0-19	1461.75	1346.45	55.57%	44.20%	-35.30	5-9
1992-12-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-21	1426.45	1583.21	38.42%	61.35%	+33.45	6-9
1992-12-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-20	1459.90	1653.60	17.46%	82.39%	-8.05	6-10
1992-09-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1487.90	1547.61	31.36%	68.43%	-7.92	0-1
1992-09-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-27	1479.98	1508.18	35.39%	64.39%	-21.28	0-2
1992-09-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-31	1458.70	1649.11	33.96%	65.82%	-20.42	0-3
1992-09-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-18	1438.28	1380.11	47.37%	52.39%	-19.53	0-4
1992-10-04	New England Patriots	W 30-21	1418.75	1332.96	71.57%	28.23%	+12.35	1-4
1992-10-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-6	1431.10	1364.62	48.56%	51.19%	-12.26	1-5
1992-10-26	Buffalo Bills	L 20-24	1418.84	1561.99	40.29%	59.48%	-11.75	1-6
1992-11-01	Miami Dolphins	W 26-14	1407.09	1558.90	39.10%	60.67%	+30.62	2-6
1992-11-08	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-27	1437.71	1558.39	24.35%	75.47%	-11.77	2-7
1992-11-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-14	1425.94	1421.54	61.20%	38.57%	+9.74	3-7
1992-11-22	@ New England Patriots	L 3-24	1435.68	1297.41	58.80%	40.97%	-39.26	3-8
1992-11-29	Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-23	1396.42	1597.84	32.55%	67.23%	-18.99	3-9
1992-12-06	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-17	1377.43	1611.60	14.36%	85.51%	+32.94	4-9
1992-12-13	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-10	1410.37	1348.40	68.71%	31.08%	-20.02	4-10
1992-12-20	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-19	1390.35	1544.01	21.03%	78.80%	-4.33	4-11
1992-12-26	New Orleans Saints	L 0-20	1386.02	1660.06	24.12%	75.69%	-15.73	4-12
1992-09-06	New Orleans Saints	W 15-13	1557.71	1556.48	60.76%	39.01%	+8.04	1-0
1992-09-13	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 31-14	1565.75	1354.11	68.51%	31.28%	+18.81	2-0
1992-09-20	Denver Broncos	W 30-0	1584.56	1582.65	60.85%	38.91%	+31.08	3-0
1992-10-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-7	1615.64	1600.83	62.61%	37.17%	+26.55	4-0
1992-10-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-24	1642.19	1594.38	45.89%	53.87%	-17.70	4-1
1992-10-18	@ Washington Redskins	L 12-16	1624.49	1674.99	32.51%	67.27%	-9.48	4-2
1992-10-25	Phoenix Cardinals	W 7-3	1615.01	1328.47	88.86%	11.04%	+3.21	5-2
1992-11-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-20	1618.22	1632.87	37.19%	62.58%	-17.14	5-3
1992-11-08	Los Angeles Raiders	W 31-10	1601.08	1487.66	74.69%	25.12%	+16.78	6-3
1992-11-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-27	1617.86	1409.48	68.11%	31.68%	-17.18	6-4
1992-11-22	@ New York Giants	W 47-34	1600.68	1530.47	49.10%	50.66%	+26.62	7-4
1992-11-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-20	1627.30	1725.95	26.76%	73.05%	-9.55	7-5
1992-12-06	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-17	1617.75	1617.11	60.68%	39.09%	+18.90	8-5
1992-12-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 20-17	1636.65	1328.90	79.08%	20.76%	+5.24	9-5
1992-12-20	Washington Redskins	W 17-13	1641.89	1648.95	59.62%	40.15%	+11.71	10-5
1992-12-27	New York Giants	W 20-10	1653.60	1459.90	82.39%	17.46%	+8.05	11-5
1992-09-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-23	1376.24	1385.27	37.95%	61.83%	-22.13	0-1
1992-09-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-31	1354.11	1565.75	31.28%	68.51%	-18.81	0-2
1992-09-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-31	1335.30	1594.71	12.66%	87.22%	-6.12	0-3
1992-10-04	Washington Redskins	W 27-24	1329.18	1671.18	17.71%	82.14%	+20.72	1-3
1992-10-11	@ New York Giants	L 21-31	1349.90	1496.46	21.71%	78.11%	-10.01	1-4
1992-10-18	New Orleans Saints	L 21-30	1339.89	1595.64	26.10%	73.71%	-11.42	1-5
1992-10-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-7	1328.47	1615.01	11.04%	88.86%	-3.22	1-6
1992-11-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-14	1325.25	1714.58	14.08%	85.79%	+39.49	2-6
1992-11-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 20-14	1364.74	1423.27	31.51%	68.28%	+24.36	3-6
1992-11-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1389.10	1473.31	28.41%	71.39%	-7.17	3-7
1992-11-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-16	1381.93	1657.27	23.99%	75.83%	-8.57	3-8
1992-11-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 3-41	1373.36	1596.71	15.14%	84.73%	-13.60	3-9
1992-12-06	San Diego Chargers	L 21-27	1359.76	1525.00	37.27%	62.50%	-13.31	3-10
1992-12-12	New York Giants	W 19-0	1346.45	1461.75	44.20%	55.57%	+35.29	4-10
1992-12-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-16	1381.74	1368.42	41.02%	58.75%	-10.36	4-11
1992-12-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-7	1371.38	1284.05	71.75%	28.05%	-20.90	4-12
1992-09-06	@ Houston Oilers	W 29-24	1485.22	1561.99	29.29%	70.51%	+22.96	1-0
1992-09-13	New York Jets	W 27-10	1508.18	1479.98	64.39%	35.39%	+21.27	2-0
1992-09-20	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-6	1529.45	1424.32	54.12%	45.64%	+27.44	3-0
1992-09-27	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-17	1556.89	1416.31	59.12%	40.65%	-32.23	3-1
1992-10-11	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 9-17	1524.66	1428.77	52.79%	46.97%	-21.76	3-2
1992-10-19	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-0	1502.90	1394.00	74.19%	25.62%	+16.70	4-2
1992-10-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-3	1519.60	1595.77	29.36%	70.43%	+50.26	5-2
1992-11-01	Houston Oilers	W 21-20	1569.86	1594.78	57.12%	42.64%	+6.21	6-2
1992-11-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-28	1576.07	1578.82	38.80%	60.97%	-16.00	6-3
1992-11-15	Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1560.07	1463.70	72.79%	27.01%	+6.82	7-3
1992-11-22	Indianapolis Colts	W 30-14	1566.89	1314.62	86.75%	13.13%	+7.65	8-3
1992-11-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-9	1574.54	1392.43	64.74%	35.03%	+17.70	9-3
1992-12-06	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-14	1592.24	1333.43	87.18%	12.70%	+4.54	10-3
1992-12-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-30	1596.78	1395.39	67.23%	32.56%	-47.98	10-4
1992-12-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 3-6	1548.80	1588.25	55.07%	44.69%	-13.90	10-5
1992-12-27	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 23-13	1534.90	1460.25	70.25%	29.54%	+13.63	11-5
1992-09-06	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1458.97	1557.33	46.61%	53.15%	-25.42	0-1
1992-09-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-21	1433.55	1573.43	22.37%	77.45%	-9.23	0-2
1992-09-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-23	1424.32	1529.45	45.64%	54.12%	-27.43	0-3
1992-09-27	@ Houston Oilers	L 0-27	1396.89	1566.50	19.55%	80.29%	-14.81	0-4
1992-10-04	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-6	1382.08	1435.80	53.03%	46.73%	+22.60	1-4
1992-10-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 34-14	1404.68	1376.88	43.04%	56.72%	+36.96	2-4
1992-10-25	Denver Broncos	W 24-21	1441.64	1572.98	41.93%	57.83%	+14.59	3-4
1992-11-01	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-0	1456.23	1382.08	70.19%	29.60%	+22.01	4-4
1992-11-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-16	1478.24	1545.51	30.43%	69.36%	-6.27	4-5
1992-11-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 14-13	1471.97	1476.47	38.56%	61.21%	+8.91	5-5
1992-11-22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 29-14	1480.88	1351.01	76.43%	23.39%	+13.21	6-5
1992-11-29	Los Angeles Raiders	W 27-3	1494.09	1523.58	56.48%	43.28%	+30.91	7-5
1992-12-06	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 27-21	1525.00	1359.76	62.50%	37.27%	+13.32	8-5
1992-12-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-10	1538.32	1359.47	81.12%	18.73%	+11.25	9-5
1992-12-20	@ Los Angeles Raiders	W 36-14	1549.57	1509.45	44.79%	54.97%	+37.57	10-5
1992-12-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 31-14	1587.14	1318.32	75.14%	24.68%	+14.84	11-5
1992-09-06	@ New York Giants	W 31-14	1640.32	1517.94	56.57%	43.20%	+25.96	1-0
1992-09-13	Buffalo Bills	L 31-34	1666.28	1609.49	68.06%	31.72%	-17.17	1-1
1992-09-20	@ New York Jets	W 31-14	1649.11	1458.70	65.82%	33.96%	+20.42	2-1
1992-09-27	@ New Orleans Saints	W 16-10	1669.53	1588.34	50.68%	49.08%	+17.52	3-1
1992-10-04	Los Angeles Rams	W 27-24	1687.05	1399.64	88.91%	10.99%	+2.77	4-1
1992-10-11	@ New England Patriots	W 24-12	1689.82	1320.61	84.32%	15.54%	+7.85	5-1
1992-10-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 56-17	1697.67	1517.13	81.27%	18.58%	+16.91	6-1
1992-11-01	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 14-24	1714.58	1325.25	85.79%	14.08%	-39.49	6-2
1992-11-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 41-3	1675.09	1506.40	62.96%	36.81%	+33.09	7-2
1992-11-15	New Orleans Saints	W 21-20	1708.18	1621.78	71.64%	28.16%	+4.10	8-2
1992-11-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-10	1712.28	1424.73	77.09%	22.73%	+13.67	9-2
1992-11-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-14	1725.95	1627.30	73.05%	26.76%	+9.56	10-2
1992-12-06	Miami Dolphins	W 27-3	1735.51	1534.92	82.96%	16.90%	+12.06	11-2
1992-12-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 20-17	1747.57	1598.20	60.34%	39.43%	+9.96	12-2
1992-12-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-14	1757.53	1285.63	95.86%	4.10%	+1.58	13-2
1992-12-28	Detroit Lions	W 24-6	1759.11	1476.00	88.66%	11.23%	+6.94	14-2
1992-09-06	Cincinnati Bengals	L 3-21	1488.66	1418.74	69.68%	30.11%	-43.06	0-1
1992-09-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-26	1445.60	1582.76	22.65%	77.18%	-14.39	0-2
1992-09-20	@ New England Patriots	W 10-6	1431.21	1367.64	48.15%	51.61%	+15.05	1-2
1992-09-27	Miami Dolphins	L 17-19	1446.26	1515.98	50.73%	49.03%	-10.46	1-3
1992-10-04	@ San Diego Chargers	L 6-17	1435.80	1382.08	46.73%	53.03%	-22.59	1-4
1992-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 0-27	1413.21	1574.28	20.33%	79.51%	-15.40	1-5
1992-10-18	Los Angeles Raiders	L 0-19	1397.81	1483.78	48.39%	51.37%	-30.75	1-6
1992-10-25	@ New York Giants	L 10-23	1367.06	1469.49	26.33%	73.48%	-13.84	1-7
1992-11-08	Washington Redskins	L 3-16	1353.22	1642.82	22.53%	77.30%	-11.84	1-8
1992-11-15	@ Los Angeles Raiders	L 3-20	1341.38	1470.87	23.43%	76.39%	-14.09	1-9
1992-11-22	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-24	1327.29	1585.96	25.78%	74.03%	-11.88	1-10
1992-11-30	Denver Broncos	W 16-13	1315.41	1551.45	28.34%	71.46%	+18.02	2-10
1992-12-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-20	1333.43	1592.24	12.70%	87.18%	-4.53	2-11
1992-12-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-20	1328.90	1636.65	20.76%	79.08%	-5.24	2-12
1992-12-20	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-10	1323.66	1507.23	18.32%	81.53%	-5.34	2-13
1992-12-27	San Diego Chargers	L 14-31	1318.32	1587.14	24.68%	75.14%	-14.84	2-14
1992-09-06	Phoenix Cardinals	W 23-7	1385.27	1376.24	61.83%	37.95%	+22.13	1-0
1992-09-13	Green Bay Packers	W 31-3	1407.40	1443.39	55.56%	44.20%	+34.10	2-0
1992-09-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-26	1441.50	1457.36	37.03%	62.75%	-13.23	2-1
1992-09-27	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-23	1428.27	1569.17	22.27%	77.55%	+22.59	3-1
1992-10-04	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-24	1450.86	1329.85	75.50%	24.31%	-34.77	3-2
1992-10-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-31	1416.09	1492.38	29.35%	70.45%	-17.64	3-3
1992-10-25	Detroit Lions	L 7-38	1398.45	1502.72	45.77%	53.99%	-37.15	3-4
1992-11-01	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-23	1361.30	1607.05	13.56%	86.32%	-2.80	3-5
1992-11-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-35	1358.50	1588.87	29.01%	70.79%	-22.38	3-6
1992-11-15	Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1336.12	1475.88	40.76%	59.01%	+14.89	4-6
1992-11-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-29	1351.01	1480.88	23.39%	76.43%	-13.21	4-7
1992-11-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-19	1337.80	1462.19	23.96%	75.86%	-7.81	4-8
1992-12-06	Los Angeles Rams	L 27-31	1329.99	1392.32	51.79%	47.97%	-15.09	4-9
1992-12-13	Atlanta Falcons	L 7-35	1314.90	1475.29	37.93%	61.84%	-29.27	4-10
1992-12-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-21	1285.63	1757.53	4.10%	95.86%	-1.58	4-11
1992-12-27	@ Phoenix Cardinals	W 7-3	1284.05	1371.38	28.05%	71.75%	+20.90	5-11
1992-09-07	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-23	1684.65	1546.53	58.78%	40.99%	-30.88	0-1
1992-09-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-17	1653.77	1555.54	73.00%	26.80%	+10.34	1-1
1992-09-20	Detroit Lions	W 13-10	1664.11	1576.24	71.81%	27.99%	+7.07	2-1
1992-10-04	@ Phoenix Cardinals	L 24-27	1671.18	1329.18	82.14%	17.71%	-20.71	2-2
1992-10-12	Denver Broncos	W 34-3	1650.47	1581.27	69.59%	30.20%	+24.52	3-2
1992-10-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-12	1674.99	1624.49	67.27%	32.51%	+9.48	4-2
1992-10-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 15-13	1684.47	1550.92	58.14%	41.63%	+8.58	5-2
1992-11-01	New York Giants	L 7-24	1693.05	1483.34	83.69%	16.17%	-50.23	5-3
1992-11-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 16-3	1642.82	1353.22	77.30%	22.53%	+11.84	6-3
1992-11-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-35	1654.66	1551.79	53.79%	45.97%	-34.17	6-4
1992-11-23	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-20	1620.49	1617.67	39.56%	60.20%	-23.78	6-5
1992-11-29	Phoenix Cardinals	W 41-3	1596.71	1373.36	84.73%	15.14%	+13.60	7-5
1992-12-06	@ New York Giants	W 28-10	1610.31	1488.52	56.49%	43.28%	+26.77	8-5
1992-12-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1637.08	1692.73	52.75%	47.01%	+11.87	9-5
1992-12-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-17	1648.95	1641.89	40.15%	59.62%	-11.71	9-6
1992-12-26	Los Angeles Raiders	L 20-21	1637.24	1471.88	79.90%	19.93%	-11.63	9-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1993-01-03	Houston Oilers	W 41-38	1583.07	1613.62	56.45%	43.55%	+10.96	1-0
1993-01-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-3	1594.03	1548.53	45.68%	54.32%	+36.20	2-0
1993-01-17	@ Miami Dolphins	W 29-10	1630.23	1594.17	44.33%	55.67%	+35.28	3-0
1993-01-31	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-52	1665.51	1769.15	35.51%	64.49%	-30.55	3-1
1993-01-10	Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-10	1712.35	1698.08	62.66%	37.34%	+26.60	1-0
1993-01-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-20	1738.95	1776.13	34.31%	65.69%	+30.20	2-0
1993-01-31	Buffalo Bills	W 52-17	1769.15	1665.51	64.49%	35.51%	+30.55	3-0
1993-01-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 38-41	1613.62	1583.07	43.55%	56.45%	-10.97	0-1
1993-01-02	@ San Diego Chargers	L 0-17	1573.17	1601.98	35.41%	64.59%	-21.23	0-1
1993-01-10	San Diego Chargers	W 31-0	1554.50	1623.21	50.99%	49.01%	+39.67	1-0
1993-01-17	Buffalo Bills	L 10-29	1594.17	1630.23	55.67%	44.33%	-35.28	1-1
1993-01-02	Washington Redskins	L 7-24	1621.44	1625.61	60.14%	39.86%	-36.06	0-1
1993-01-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-36	1675.79	1661.65	62.64%	37.36%	-36.43	0-1
1993-01-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 36-20	1661.65	1675.79	37.36%	62.64%	+36.43	1-0
1993-01-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-34	1698.08	1712.35	37.34%	62.66%	-26.61	1-1
1993-01-09	Buffalo Bills	L 3-24	1548.53	1594.03	54.32%	45.68%	-36.20	0-1
1993-01-02	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-0	1601.98	1573.17	64.59%	35.41%	+21.23	1-0
1993-01-10	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-31	1623.21	1554.50	49.01%	50.99%	-39.68	1-1
1993-01-09	Washington Redskins	W 20-13	1766.05	1661.66	73.81%	26.19%	+10.08	1-0
1993-01-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-30	1776.13	1738.95	65.69%	34.31%	-30.21	1-1
1993-01-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-7	1625.61	1621.44	39.86%	60.14%	+36.05	1-0
1993-01-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-20	1661.66	1766.05	26.19%	73.81%	-10.07	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1992-11-15	11.17%	Los Angeles Rams	1398.91	27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1683.09	23
2	1992-10-25	12.56%	Indianapolis Colts	1339.92	31	@ Miami Dolphins	1601.06	20
3	1992-11-01	14.08%	@ Phoenix Cardinals	1325.25	24	San Francisco 49ers	1714.58	14
4	1992-12-06	14.36%	New York Jets	1377.43	24	@ Buffalo Bills	1611.60	17
5	1992-11-01	16.17%	New York Giants	1483.34	24	@ Washington Redskins	1693.05	7
6	1992-10-04	17.71%	@ Phoenix Cardinals	1329.18	27	Washington Redskins	1671.18	24
7	1992-11-29	19.18%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1306.97	16	Buffalo Bills	1631.94	13
8	1992-12-26	19.93%	Los Angeles Raiders	1471.88	21	@ Washington Redskins	1637.24	20
9	1992-11-01	20.74%	Green Bay Packers	1383.21	27	@ Detroit Lions	1539.87	13
10	1992-11-08	21.56%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1440.43	24	@ Houston Oilers	1588.57	14
11	1992-09-27	22.27%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1428.27	27	@ Detroit Lions	1569.17	23
12	1992-10-04	23.40%	Miami Dolphins	1526.43	37	@ Buffalo Bills	1656.19	10
13	1992-10-04	24.31%	Indianapolis Colts	1329.85	24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1450.86	14
14	1992-11-08	27.66%	Cincinnati Bengals	1403.34	31	@ Chicago Bears	1494.08	28
15	1992-12-20	28.01%	Buffalo Bills	1593.29	20	@ New Orleans Saints	1680.97	16
16	1992-12-27	28.05%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1284.05	7	@ Phoenix Cardinals	1371.38	3
17	1992-12-13	28.22%	Green Bay Packers	1499.60	16	@ Houston Oilers	1585.47	14
18	1992-11-30	28.34%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1315.41	16	Denver Broncos	1551.45	13
19	1992-09-06	29.29%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1485.22	29	@ Houston Oilers	1561.99	24
20	1992-10-25	29.36%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1519.60	27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1595.77	3
21	1992-09-06	30.11%	Cincinnati Bengals	1418.74	21	@ Seattle Seahawks	1488.66	3
22	1992-09-20	30.41%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1417.23	28	@ Los Angeles Raiders	1484.72	16
23	1992-12-13	31.08%	Indianapolis Colts	1348.40	10	@ New York Jets	1410.37	6
24	1992-11-15	31.48%	Houston Oilers	1552.53	17	@ Minnesota Vikings	1611.25	13
25	1992-11-08	31.51%	Phoenix Cardinals	1364.74	20	@ Los Angeles Rams	1423.27	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1992-10-04	57.83	Miami Dolphins	37	1526.43	23.40%	@ Buffalo Bills	10	1656.19	76.42%
2	1992-09-27	51.67	Minnesota Vikings	42	1470.58	39.82%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	7	1465.87	59.94%
3	1992-10-25	50.26	Pittsburgh Steelers	27	1519.60	29.36%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	3	1595.77	70.43%
4	1992-11-01	50.23	New York Giants	24	1483.34	16.17%	@ Washington Redskins	7	1693.05	83.69%
5	1992-12-13	47.98	@ Chicago Bears	30	1395.39	32.56%	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	1596.78	67.23%
6	1992-11-02	46.53	Minnesota Vikings	38	1542.34	39.41%	@ Chicago Bears	10	1540.61	60.36%
7	1992-11-01	43.09	Green Bay Packers	27	1383.21	20.74%	@ Detroit Lions	13	1539.87	79.09%
8	1992-09-06	43.06	Cincinnati Bengals	21	1418.74	30.11%	@ Seattle Seahawks	3	1488.66	69.68%
9	1992-10-25	42.16	Indianapolis Colts	31	1339.92	12.56%	@ Miami Dolphins	20	1601.06	87.33%
10	1993-01-10 *	39.68	@ Miami Dolphins	31	1554.50	50.99%	San Diego Chargers	0	1623.21	49.01%
11	1992-11-01	39.49	@ Phoenix Cardinals	24	1325.25	14.08%	San Francisco 49ers	14	1714.58	85.79%
12	1992-11-22	39.26	@ New England Patriots	24	1297.41	40.97%	New York Jets	3	1435.68	58.80%
13	1992-11-22	38.63	@ Los Angeles Raiders	24	1484.95	45.64%	Denver Broncos	0	1590.08	54.12%
14	1992-12-06	37.94	@ Los Angeles Raiders	28	1492.67	42.94%	Kansas City Chiefs	7	1616.83	56.82%
15	1992-12-20	37.57	San Diego Chargers	36	1549.57	44.79%	@ Los Angeles Raiders	14	1509.45	54.97%
16	1992-10-25	37.15	Detroit Lions	38	1502.72	53.99%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7	1398.45	45.77%
17	1992-10-18	36.98	@ Los Angeles Rams	38	1392.48	44.38%	New York Giants	17	1506.47	55.38%
18	1992-10-18	36.96	San Diego Chargers	34	1404.68	43.04%	@ Indianapolis Colts	14	1376.88	56.72%
19	1993-01-03 *	36.43	Philadelphia Eagles	36	1661.65	37.36%	@ New Orleans Saints	20	1675.79	62.64%
20	1992-10-11	36.37	@ Los Angeles Raiders	20	1447.41	39.21%	Buffalo Bills	3	1598.36	60.55%
21	1993-01-09 *	36.20	Buffalo Bills	24	1594.03	45.68%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	3	1548.53	54.32%
22	1993-01-02 *	36.06	Washington Redskins	24	1625.61	39.86%	@ Minnesota Vikings	7	1621.44	60.14%
23	1992-11-08	36.04	Cleveland Browns (1st)	24	1440.43	21.56%	@ Houston Oilers	14	1588.57	78.27%
24	1992-11-01	35.55	@ Cincinnati Bengals	30	1367.79	45.21%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	1475.98	54.55%
25	1992-11-22	35.53	Green Bay Packers	17	1426.66	34.58%	@ Chicago Bears	3	1460.99	65.19%