Home / Leagues / NFL / 1985

1985 NFL Season

224 regular-season games · 10 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Chicago Bears

1st Super Bowl

Last Title: 1963

Runner-Up

New England Patriots

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Bears

4.08 wins above expected

15 wins · 10.92 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3.51 wins below expected

2 wins · 5.51 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Cleveland Browns (1st) Division 8 8 0 .500 287 294 -7 7.87 +0.13
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 7 9 0 .438 1 379 355 +24 8.71 -1.71
3 Cincinnati Bengals 7 9 0 .438 1 441 437 +4 7.74 -0.74
4 Houston Oilers 5 11 0 .312 3 284 412 -128 5.32 -0.32
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Miami Dolphins Division 12 4 0 .750 428 320 +108 10.67 +1.33
2 New York Jets Playoffs 11 5 0 .688 1 393 264 +129 8.83 +2.17
3 New England Patriots Playoffs 11 5 0 .688 1 362 290 +72 8.63 +2.37
4 Indianapolis Colts 5 11 0 .312 7 320 386 -66 5.77 -0.77
5 Buffalo Bills 2 14 0 .125 10 200 381 -181 5.10 -3.10
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Los Angeles Raiders Division 12 4 0 .750 354 308 +46 9.08 +2.92
2 Denver Broncos 11 5 0 .688 1 380 329 +51 9.56 +1.44
3 Seattle Seahawks 8 8 0 .500 4 349 303 +46 8.78 -0.78
4 San Diego Chargers 8 8 0 .500 4 467 435 +32 7.68 +0.32
5 Kansas City Chiefs 6 10 0 .375 6 317 360 -43 7.68 -1.68
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Chicago Bears Division 15 1 0 .938 456 198 +258 10.92 +4.08
2 Green Bay Packers 8 8 0 .500 7 337 355 -18 8.16 -0.16
3 Minnesota Vikings 7 9 0 .438 8 346 359 -13 7.19 -0.19
4 Detroit Lions 7 9 0 .438 8 307 366 -59 6.65 +0.35
5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2 14 0 .125 13 294 448 -154 5.51 -3.51
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 New York Giants Division 10 6 0 .625 399 283 +116 9.43 +0.57
2 Dallas Cowboys Playoffs 10 6 0 .625 357 333 +24 8.94 +1.06
3 Washington Redskins 10 6 0 .625 297 312 -15 8.63 +1.37
4 Philadelphia Eagles 7 9 0 .438 3 286 310 -24 7.38 -0.38
5 St. Louis Cardinals 5 11 0 .312 5 278 414 -136 7.97 -2.97
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Los Angeles Rams Division 11 5 0 .688 340 277 +63 9.67 +1.33
2 San Francisco 49ers Playoffs 10 6 0 .625 1 411 263 +148 11.03 -1.03
3 New Orleans Saints 5 11 0 .312 6 294 401 -107 6.29 -1.29
4 Atlanta Falcons 4 12 0 .250 7 282 452 -170 4.80 -0.80

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

AFC

Wild Card Round

New England Patriots 26
New York Jets 14

Dec 28

Divisional Round

Miami Dolphins 24
Cleveland Browns (1st) 21

Jan 4

New England Patriots 27
Los Angeles Raiders 20

Jan 5

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 31
Miami Dolphins 14

Jan 12

NFC

Wild Card Round

New York Giants 17
San Francisco 49ers 3

Dec 29

Divisional Round

Los Angeles Rams 20
Dallas Cowboys 0

Jan 4

Chicago Bears 21
New York Giants 0

Jan 5

Conference Championship

Chicago Bears 24
Los Angeles Rams 0

Jan 12

Super Bowl

Chicago Bears 46
New England Patriots 10

Jan 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Chicago Bears NFC NFC Central 1746 15 10.92 +4.08 99.87% 4 8 10 11 12 14 16
San Francisco 49ers NFC NFC West 1701 10 11.03 -1.03 37.36% 4 8 10 11 12 14 16
Miami Dolphins AFC AFC East 1672 12 10.67 +1.33 84.74% 3 8 9 11 12 13 16
Los Angeles Raiders AFC AFC West 1644 12 9.08 +2.92 97.05% 2 6 8 9 10 12 16
Denver Broncos AFC AFC West 1614 11 9.56 +1.44 85.08% 3 6 8 10 11 13 16
New York Giants NFC NFC East 1607 10 9.43 +0.57 71.62% 2 6 8 9 11 12 16
New England Patriots AFC AFC East 1588 11 8.63 +2.37 94.22% 2 6 7 9 10 12 15
New York Jets AFC AFC East 1580 11 8.83 +2.17 92.94% 2 6 8 9 10 12 15
Washington Redskins NFC NFC East 1579 10 8.63 +1.37 84.14% 2 6 7 9 10 12 15
Seattle Seahawks AFC AFC West 1564 8 8.78 -0.78 44.30% 2 6 8 9 10 12 15
Los Angeles Rams NFC NFC West 1552 11 9.67 +1.33 85.01% 3 7 8 10 11 13 15
Dallas Cowboys NFC NFC East 1540 10 8.94 +1.06 79.79% 1 6 8 9 10 12 16
San Diego Chargers AFC AFC West 1509 8 7.68 +0.32 67.15% 1 5 6 8 9 11 14
Green Bay Packers NFC NFC Central 1498 8 8.16 -0.16 57.50% 2 5 7 8 9 11 14
Cincinnati Bengals AFC AFC Central 1496 7 7.74 -0.74 44.74% 1 5 6 8 9 11 14
Cleveland Browns (1st) AFC AFC Central 1487 8 7.87 +0.13 63.61% 2 5 7 8 9 11 15
Pittsburgh Steelers AFC AFC Central 1487 7 8.71 -1.71 25.83% 2 6 7 9 10 12 16
Kansas City Chiefs AFC AFC West 1466 6 7.68 -1.68 26.41% 1 5 6 8 9 11 14
Philadelphia Eagles NFC NFC East 1453 7 7.38 -0.38 53.71% 2 4 6 7 9 10 14
Detroit Lions NFC NFC Central 1433 7 6.65 +0.35 68.14% 0 4 5 7 8 10 14
Minnesota Vikings NFC NFC Central 1406 7 7.19 -0.19 56.85% 1 4 6 7 8 10 14
New Orleans Saints NFC NFC West 1377 5 6.29 -1.29 33.46% 0 3 5 6 7 9 13
St. Louis Cardinals NFC NFC East 1376 5 7.97 -2.97 9.44% 2 5 7 8 9 11 15
Indianapolis Colts AFC AFC East 1372 5 5.77 -0.77 45.47% 0 3 5 6 7 9 13
Atlanta Falcons NFC NFC West 1361 4 4.80 -0.80 44.80% 0 2 4 5 6 8 13
Houston Oilers AFC AFC Central 1309 5 5.32 -0.32 56.13% 0 2 4 5 7 8 13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC NFC Central 1299 2 5.51 -3.51 3.81% 0 3 4 5 7 8 13
Buffalo Bills AFC AFC East 1282 2 5.10 -3.10 6.22% 0 2 4 5 6 8 12

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC Central

Team Bengals (1st) Oilers Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Houston Oilers
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)

AFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC East AFC West NFC Central NFC East NFC West
Cincinnati Bengals
1-2
(1.4 exp.)
0-3
(1.5 exp.)
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
Houston Oilers
1-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-3
(1.1 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
2-1
(1.9 exp.)
1-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)

Within AFC East

Team Bills Colts Dolphins Patriots Jets
Buffalo Bills
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
Miami Dolphins
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
New England Patriots
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
New York Jets
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC West NFC Central NFC East NFC West
Buffalo Bills
1-3
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
3-1
(1.4 exp.)
Miami Dolphins
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
3-1
(2.6 exp.)
New England Patriots
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
3-1
(2.2 exp.)
New York Jets
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-2
(2.1 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team Broncos Chiefs Raiders Chargers Seahawks
Denver Broncos
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Raiders
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
San Diego Chargers
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East NFC Central NFC East NFC West
Denver Broncos
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-2
(1.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Raiders
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
3-1
(2.4 exp.)
San Diego Chargers
2-2
(2.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-2
(2.4 exp.)

Within NFC Central

Team Bears Lions Packers Vikings Buccaneers
Chicago Bears
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)

NFC Central vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East AFC West NFC East NFC West
Chicago Bears
3-1
(2.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions
2-2
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-4
(2.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-3
(1.7 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-4
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team Cowboys Giants Eagles Cardinals Redskins
Dallas Cowboys
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
New York Giants
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East AFC West NFC Central NFC West
Dallas Cowboys
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
New York Giants
2-2
(2.7 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-3
(1.8 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals
2-2
(2.4 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Washington Redskins
4-0
(2.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team Falcons Rams Saints 49ers
Atlanta Falcons
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
New Orleans Saints
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
2-0
(1.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.6 exp.)

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team AFC Central AFC East AFC West NFC Central NFC East
Atlanta Falcons
0-4
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.2 exp.)
0-3
(0.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
3-1
(1.9 exp.)
3-0
(2.2 exp.)
2-1
(1.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints
0-4
(1.4 exp.)
2-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-2
(1.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
3-1
(2.5 exp.)
0-3
(2.1 exp.)
3-0
(2.1 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Bears 15 10.92 +4.08
2 Los Angeles Raiders 12 9.08 +2.92
3 New England Patriots 11 8.63 +2.37
4 New York Jets 11 8.83 +2.17
5 Denver Broncos 11 9.56 +1.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2 5.51 -3.51
2 Buffalo Bills 2 5.10 -3.10
3 St. Louis Cardinals 5 7.97 -2.97
4 Pittsburgh Steelers 7 8.71 -1.71
5 Kansas City Chiefs 6 7.68 -1.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Bears 12 Sep 8 – Nov 24 1 in 168
2 Los Angeles Rams 7 Sep 8 – Oct 20 1 in 60
3 Los Angeles Raiders 6 Nov 17 – Dec 23 1 in 40
4 New York Jets 5 Sep 15 – Oct 14 1 in 36
5 New England Patriots 6 Oct 13 – Nov 17 1 in 36

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kansas City Chiefs 7 Oct 6 – Nov 17 1 in 93
2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9 Sep 8 – Nov 3 1 in 47
3 St. Louis Cardinals 4 Oct 7 – Oct 27 1 in 30
4 Buffalo Bills 6 Sep 8 – Oct 13 1 in 22
5 Philadelphia Eagles 4 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team1234
Pittsburgh Steelers45.95%29.89%18.29%5.87%
Cleveland Browns (1st)26.46%31.27%29.93%12.34%
Cincinnati Bengals24.60%30.20%30.54%14.66%
Houston Oilers2.99%8.64%21.24%67.13%
Team12345
Miami Dolphins61.20%24.90%11.27%2.25%0.38%
New York Jets20.14%34.75%30.63%11.05%3.43%
New England Patriots17.03%32.31%34.02%12.49%4.15%
Indianapolis Colts1.17%5.28%14.65%42.70%36.20%
Buffalo Bills0.46%2.76%9.43%31.51%55.84%
Team12345
Denver Broncos36.60%24.42%18.62%12.75%7.61%
Los Angeles Raiders25.77%24.99%20.49%17.04%11.71%
Seattle Seahawks20.13%22.70%23.02%19.43%14.72%
Kansas City Chiefs8.96%14.87%19.03%25.97%31.17%
San Diego Chargers8.54%13.02%18.84%24.81%34.79%
Team12345
Chicago Bears76.34%16.91%4.79%1.43%0.53%
Green Bay Packers13.04%36.91%25.53%16.44%8.08%
Minnesota Vikings5.63%22.52%28.62%26.16%17.07%
Detroit Lions3.62%17.05%25.79%30.01%23.53%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1.37%6.61%15.27%25.96%50.79%
Team12345
New York Giants33.26%25.81%18.87%13.65%8.41%
Dallas Cowboys25.65%24.22%21.20%17.11%11.82%
Washington Redskins21.37%22.08%21.85%19.67%15.03%
St. Louis Cardinals11.93%16.01%20.99%24.84%26.23%
Philadelphia Eagles7.79%11.88%17.09%24.73%38.51%
Team1234
San Francisco 49ers68.30%28.04%3.30%0.36%
Los Angeles Rams29.88%58.69%9.75%1.68%
New Orleans Saints1.49%10.29%59.94%28.28%
Atlanta Falcons0.33%2.98%27.01%69.68%
Team1234567891011121314
Miami Dolphins33.80%19.78%12.19%9.63%7.28%5.69%4.02%2.73%2.04%1.25%0.80%0.43%0.27%0.09%
Denver Broncos16.00%14.71%11.58%10.24%9.37%8.01%7.28%5.96%5.22%4.42%2.77%2.07%1.85%0.52%
Los Angeles Raiders10.07%11.49%10.42%10.79%9.21%8.24%8.70%6.80%6.79%6.11%4.59%3.81%2.18%0.80%
Pittsburgh Steelers6.26%9.28%13.10%11.18%9.32%10.58%8.50%8.78%7.38%5.53%4.33%3.00%2.05%0.71%
New York Jets8.11%9.01%9.76%10.56%11.01%9.11%8.75%9.28%7.34%5.67%4.67%3.50%2.20%1.03%
Seattle Seahawks7.47%9.00%9.08%9.40%9.58%9.14%8.99%8.36%7.48%7.71%5.34%4.75%2.77%0.93%
New England Patriots6.87%8.08%7.70%9.81%10.44%9.68%9.61%9.85%8.40%6.01%5.66%3.73%2.55%1.61%
Cleveland Browns (1st)2.85%5.09%7.72%7.20%8.30%10.08%9.12%9.55%9.82%9.59%8.10%6.38%4.45%1.75%
Cincinnati Bengals2.76%4.60%7.24%7.38%7.78%8.92%9.42%9.29%10.14%8.69%8.53%6.80%5.77%2.68%
Kansas City Chiefs2.74%4.02%4.93%5.50%7.45%7.15%8.19%8.45%9.69%10.78%10.29%8.87%8.06%3.88%
San Diego Chargers2.71%4.18%4.58%5.54%6.12%7.13%8.64%8.30%9.11%10.88%9.87%9.56%8.91%4.47%
Indianapolis Colts0.21%0.37%0.65%1.31%1.83%2.50%3.50%5.03%6.41%8.91%14.19%16.53%16.34%22.22%
Houston Oilers0.08%0.25%0.74%0.96%1.44%2.32%2.89%4.45%6.03%7.77%11.01%16.08%23.37%22.61%
Buffalo Bills0.07%0.14%0.31%0.50%0.87%1.45%2.39%3.17%4.15%6.68%9.85%14.49%19.23%36.70%
Team1234567891011121314
San Francisco 49ers34.59%20.63%14.49%10.80%7.13%5.58%2.67%1.84%1.06%0.52%0.37%0.19%0.10%0.03%
Chicago Bears27.51%23.65%18.61%9.84%6.85%5.30%3.17%2.10%1.15%0.84%0.44%0.38%0.13%0.03%
Los Angeles Rams10.81%12.16%13.60%15.49%14.90%10.92%7.29%5.54%3.77%2.14%1.65%0.96%0.60%0.17%
New York Giants9.09%11.93%12.57%12.21%11.18%9.33%8.68%6.91%5.78%4.67%3.12%2.39%1.43%0.71%
Dallas Cowboys5.56%9.46%10.76%10.84%10.55%9.76%10.27%7.86%7.48%6.30%4.83%3.20%2.21%0.92%
Washington Redskins4.90%6.98%8.69%10.38%9.89%9.74%10.66%8.34%8.26%7.38%5.76%4.59%2.99%1.44%
Green Bay Packers2.53%4.51%6.24%8.33%10.11%11.84%10.24%11.01%8.69%7.84%6.76%5.69%3.66%2.55%
St. Louis Cardinals2.19%4.38%5.55%6.55%8.04%8.21%10.89%9.53%9.24%10.27%9.07%7.45%5.43%3.20%
Philadelphia Eagles1.20%2.66%3.26%5.65%5.62%6.47%8.92%8.33%10.93%11.23%10.34%11.02%9.02%5.35%
Minnesota Vikings0.74%1.71%2.88%4.17%6.28%8.30%8.79%11.09%10.42%10.39%10.57%9.50%8.05%7.11%
Detroit Lions0.54%1.03%1.84%2.66%4.50%6.36%6.94%9.83%9.62%10.75%12.27%11.92%10.79%10.95%
New Orleans Saints0.20%0.59%0.83%1.92%2.85%4.24%6.38%9.14%11.87%12.95%13.16%13.04%13.04%9.79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.12%0.24%0.54%0.78%1.46%2.77%3.48%5.36%6.47%7.91%11.14%14.60%18.39%26.74%
Atlanta Falcons0.02%0.07%0.14%0.38%0.64%1.18%1.62%3.12%5.26%6.81%10.52%15.07%24.16%31.01%
Team12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728
San Francisco 49ers22.61%15.04%10.88%8.95%7.42%6.41%5.35%4.44%3.66%3.26%2.57%2.40%1.66%1.24%0.93%0.86%0.49%0.54%0.30%0.29%0.21%0.19%0.09%0.10%0.02%0.09%
Chicago Bears18.10%14.10%12.19%10.38%8.21%7.42%5.22%4.44%3.46%3.17%2.91%2.20%1.70%1.55%1.15%0.86%0.55%0.65%0.43%0.34%0.29%0.20%0.20%0.14%0.08%0.03%0.02%0.01%
Miami Dolphins16.11%14.74%10.58%9.81%6.66%6.93%4.92%5.08%3.89%3.83%2.97%2.96%1.83%1.97%1.52%1.36%1.23%0.92%0.74%0.52%0.43%0.24%0.28%0.18%0.19%0.03%0.06%0.02%
Los Angeles Rams6.09%6.38%6.96%6.39%7.49%6.51%7.11%7.03%6.36%6.32%5.20%4.97%3.55%3.78%3.01%2.76%2.10%2.06%1.19%1.22%0.85%0.88%0.59%0.48%0.28%0.28%0.11%0.05%
Denver Broncos6.81%7.42%7.25%7.08%6.39%5.99%5.62%5.31%4.77%4.89%4.34%4.44%4.12%3.30%3.28%3.14%2.59%2.45%2.23%1.86%1.50%1.15%1.25%1.07%0.77%0.49%0.39%0.10%
New York Giants4.92%5.55%6.71%6.15%6.55%5.80%6.44%5.71%5.61%4.51%5.48%4.20%4.52%3.60%3.72%2.90%3.08%2.91%2.27%2.00%1.61%1.52%1.41%0.87%0.77%0.56%0.34%0.29%
Los Angeles Raiders4.00%5.08%5.42%5.63%5.61%5.35%5.40%5.23%5.46%4.54%4.65%4.02%5.04%4.01%3.87%3.49%3.59%3.10%3.21%2.72%2.37%2.13%1.89%1.52%1.18%0.75%0.48%0.26%
Dallas Cowboys3.00%3.47%5.16%4.81%5.49%5.49%5.67%5.00%5.57%4.45%5.68%4.19%5.01%4.60%4.19%3.79%3.90%3.41%3.40%3.04%2.34%2.29%1.56%1.43%1.27%0.91%0.56%0.32%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.13%3.37%3.63%4.96%4.98%6.65%5.26%6.10%5.37%5.31%4.76%5.35%4.93%4.74%4.24%4.32%4.14%3.78%3.16%2.50%2.42%2.00%1.75%1.53%1.02%0.85%0.48%0.27%
New York Jets3.00%3.98%4.17%4.67%5.12%5.12%5.28%5.33%5.33%5.75%4.49%5.05%4.20%4.74%4.77%4.62%3.53%3.65%3.06%2.96%2.56%2.20%1.92%1.42%1.28%0.98%0.61%0.21%
Seattle Seahawks2.40%3.91%3.89%4.78%5.14%4.48%4.95%4.77%4.80%5.29%4.91%4.99%4.82%4.32%4.40%4.47%3.79%3.46%4.16%3.61%2.86%2.36%2.18%1.90%1.59%0.97%0.52%0.28%
New England Patriots2.21%3.60%3.45%4.10%4.59%4.04%4.57%5.37%4.96%5.43%5.00%5.15%4.58%5.16%4.86%4.92%4.27%4.04%3.37%3.10%3.00%2.51%2.14%1.72%1.34%1.13%0.85%0.54%
Washington Redskins2.14%3.17%3.83%3.85%4.41%4.54%5.41%4.75%4.91%4.81%4.98%4.86%5.17%4.82%4.36%4.20%3.90%4.01%3.67%3.78%2.76%2.68%2.63%2.18%1.62%1.29%0.84%0.43%
Green Bay Packers1.43%1.47%2.53%2.37%3.42%3.25%4.37%4.29%5.03%4.67%4.80%5.52%5.26%5.11%5.09%5.08%4.69%4.68%4.03%3.84%3.50%3.57%3.16%2.75%2.07%1.53%1.69%0.80%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.65%1.51%1.98%2.57%3.31%3.87%3.82%3.75%4.06%4.55%4.82%4.95%4.76%5.06%4.68%4.59%4.78%5.16%4.97%4.61%4.38%4.31%3.29%3.10%2.74%1.85%1.06%0.82%
Cincinnati Bengals0.67%1.44%2.16%2.22%2.77%3.51%3.48%4.08%4.34%3.90%4.20%4.59%4.88%5.10%4.89%4.66%4.85%5.20%4.11%4.49%4.27%4.51%3.64%3.33%3.06%2.73%1.79%1.13%
St. Louis Cardinals1.02%1.47%2.41%2.47%2.88%2.73%3.39%3.44%4.15%3.80%4.73%4.01%5.26%4.50%5.13%4.51%4.59%4.55%5.33%4.69%5.18%4.00%4.27%3.11%3.12%2.14%1.99%1.13%
Kansas City Chiefs0.75%1.26%1.70%2.25%2.39%2.55%2.76%3.13%3.74%3.69%3.88%3.87%4.26%4.05%4.37%4.86%5.14%4.62%5.69%5.36%5.29%4.99%4.03%4.24%3.89%3.72%2.21%1.31%
San Diego Chargers0.82%1.20%1.74%2.30%1.93%2.83%2.51%3.17%3.11%3.59%3.89%4.06%4.23%4.12%4.65%4.52%5.02%4.42%5.58%4.96%5.49%4.54%4.90%4.44%4.45%3.64%2.51%1.38%
Philadelphia Eagles0.46%0.75%1.36%1.43%1.59%2.12%2.66%2.54%2.81%3.31%3.19%3.63%3.82%4.45%4.08%4.69%5.39%5.22%5.57%5.86%5.22%5.22%5.50%5.29%4.79%3.98%3.23%1.84%
Minnesota Vikings0.27%0.46%0.75%1.26%1.62%1.55%1.95%2.21%2.73%3.39%3.45%4.15%4.13%4.73%4.96%5.49%5.38%5.01%5.21%5.07%5.71%5.54%5.02%4.85%4.40%4.32%3.62%2.77%
Detroit Lions0.20%0.33%0.56%0.67%0.79%1.07%1.41%1.48%2.01%2.31%2.66%3.14%3.04%3.96%4.12%4.77%4.77%5.25%4.92%5.75%5.69%6.39%6.25%6.26%5.78%5.63%5.68%5.11%
New Orleans Saints0.09%0.13%0.26%0.33%0.44%0.51%1.04%0.96%1.28%1.68%2.02%2.17%2.86%3.24%4.18%4.40%4.78%5.87%5.27%6.66%6.42%7.30%6.42%6.92%6.61%7.66%5.48%5.02%
Indianapolis Colts0.04%0.06%0.15%0.15%0.19%0.45%0.43%0.80%0.80%1.05%1.19%1.38%1.76%1.82%2.50%2.77%3.44%3.46%4.28%5.18%6.24%7.17%7.63%8.26%8.83%8.58%10.50%10.89%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.05%0.04%0.10%0.17%0.26%0.21%0.31%0.56%0.59%0.94%1.10%1.21%1.55%1.91%2.35%2.53%3.17%3.26%3.75%4.30%5.34%5.62%7.02%8.32%9.57%9.66%12.66%13.45%
Houston Oilers0.01%0.05%0.11%0.12%0.16%0.39%0.40%0.50%0.57%0.70%1.01%1.24%1.28%1.71%1.88%2.46%2.83%3.07%3.86%4.14%4.91%5.80%7.17%8.71%9.96%12.27%11.51%13.18%
Buffalo Bills0.01%0.02%0.06%0.08%0.10%0.18%0.14%0.28%0.35%0.54%0.59%0.68%1.16%1.43%1.54%1.56%2.03%2.49%3.43%3.50%4.81%5.02%7.35%7.38%9.49%10.95%15.73%19.10%
Atlanta Falcons0.01%0.01%0.05%0.09%0.05%0.13%0.25%0.28%0.32%0.53%0.62%0.62%0.98%1.28%1.42%1.98%2.76%2.81%3.65%4.35%5.67%6.46%8.50%9.83%12.98%15.08%19.29%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 SeedMissed Playoffs
Miami Dolphins33.80%19.54%7.86%11.61%9.14%18.05%
Denver Broncos16.00%14.59%6.01%13.01%10.57%39.82%
Los Angeles Raiders10.07%11.06%4.64%13.75%10.64%49.84%
New York Jets8.11%7.87%4.16%13.68%13.17%53.01%
Seattle Seahawks7.47%8.62%4.04%11.94%10.47%57.46%
New England Patriots6.87%6.72%3.44%12.18%12.17%58.62%
Pittsburgh Steelers6.26%10.88%28.81%2.99%5.16%45.90%
Cleveland Browns (1st)2.85%5.92%17.69%2.93%5.36%65.25%
Cincinnati Bengals2.76%5.55%16.29%3.32%5.15%66.93%
Kansas City Chiefs2.74%4.08%2.14%6.49%7.51%77.04%
San Diego Chargers2.71%4.08%1.75%6.21%6.93%78.32%
Indianapolis Colts0.21%0.51%0.45%1.09%1.87%95.87%
Houston Oilers0.08%0.41%2.50%0.34%1.01%95.66%
Buffalo Bills0.07%0.17%0.22%0.46%0.85%98.23%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 SeedMissed Playoffs
San Francisco 49ers34.59%19.64%14.07%12.92%6.98%11.80%
Chicago Bears27.51%25.31%23.52%5.33%5.41%12.92%
Los Angeles Rams10.81%10.14%8.93%21.54%15.74%32.84%
New York Giants9.09%12.37%11.80%11.60%11.71%43.43%
Dallas Cowboys5.56%9.78%10.31%10.25%10.95%53.15%
Washington Redskins4.90%7.36%9.11%9.04%10.14%59.45%
Green Bay Packers2.53%4.49%6.02%8.61%10.12%68.23%
St. Louis Cardinals2.19%4.36%5.38%6.29%8.06%73.72%
Philadelphia Eagles1.20%2.77%3.82%4.86%5.49%81.86%
Minnesota Vikings0.74%1.73%3.16%4.02%6.20%84.15%
Detroit Lions0.54%1.20%1.88%2.55%4.48%89.35%
New Orleans Saints0.20%0.51%0.78%2.03%2.84%93.64%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.12%0.28%0.97%0.61%1.30%96.72%
Atlanta Falcons0.02%0.06%0.25%0.35%0.58%98.74%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Divisional Round Advanced to Conference Championship Advanced to Super Bowl Won Super Bowl
Chicago Bears 83.96% 83.96% 60.47% 39.76% 26.67%
San Francisco 49ers 82.75% 82.75% 55.39% 32.40% 19.57%
Miami Dolphins 74.69% 74.69% 51.90% 33.85% 16.21%
Denver Broncos 49.96% 49.96% 29.08% 15.05% 6.31%
Los Angeles Raiders 40.87% 40.87% 24.39% 13.56% 5.85%
New York Giants 46.48% 46.48% 20.00% 8.13% 4.10%
New York Jets 34.14% 34.14% 18.21% 8.46% 3.44%
Los Angeles Rams 50.64% 50.64% 21.17% 6.93% 3.18%
New England Patriots 29.95% 29.95% 15.86% 7.75% 3.10%
Seattle Seahawks 31.07% 31.07% 15.48% 6.64% 2.46%
Washington Redskins 31.23% 31.23% 12.07% 4.43% 1.83%
Dallas Cowboys 36.06% 36.06% 13.05% 4.19% 1.79%
Pittsburgh Steelers 48.67% 48.67% 14.92% 4.95% 1.36%
Cincinnati Bengals 27.60% 27.60% 8.85% 2.86% 0.90%
Cleveland Browns (1st) 29.30% 29.30% 9.13% 2.86% 0.79%
Green Bay Packers 21.03% 21.03% 7.49% 1.98% 0.79%
San Diego Chargers 13.86% 13.86% 5.83% 2.18% 0.65%
Kansas City Chiefs 14.00% 13.98% 5.32% 1.65% 0.36%
Philadelphia Eagles 11.94% 11.94% 2.82% 0.67% 0.20%
St. Louis Cardinals 15.89% 15.89% 3.06% 0.70% 0.18%
Minnesota Vikings 10.22% 9.06% 2.19% 0.38% 0.09%
Detroit Lions 7.03% 5.72% 1.37% 0.25% 0.07%
Indianapolis Colts 2.96% 1.95% 0.49% 0.08% 0.03%
New Orleans Saints 4.87% 2.91% 0.53% 0.10% 0.02%
Houston Oilers 3.22% 3.22% 0.38% 0.06% 0.02%
Atlanta Falcons 0.93% 0.65% 0.14% 0.07% 0.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.91% 1.68% 0.25% 0.01% 0.01%
Buffalo Bills 1.31% 0.74% 0.16% 0.05%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Buffalo BillsCincinnati BengalsCleveland Browns (1st)Denver BroncosHouston OilersIndianapolis ColtsKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles RaidersMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York JetsPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSeattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills0.01%0.02%0.04%0.07%0.03%0.01%0.02%0.04%0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals0.08%0.07%0.39%0.01%0.13%0.32%0.25%0.17%0.35%0.50%0.07%0.22%0.44%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.01%0.07%0.38%0.07%0.30%0.33%0.21%0.32%0.33%0.04%0.30%0.48%
Denver Broncos0.23%0.81%0.86%0.19%0.32%0.85%0.81%1.44%2.36%2.68%0.82%0.91%1.08%
Houston Oilers0.02%0.03%0.03%0.01%0.01%0.03%0.04%0.02%0.04%
Indianapolis Colts0.05%0.08%0.08%0.01%0.13%0.08%0.04%0.03%0.04%0.03%0.08%0.13%
Kansas City Chiefs0.07%0.28%0.28%0.38%0.09%0.22%0.23%0.49%0.84%1.04%0.39%0.27%0.44%
Los Angeles Raiders0.25%1.06%0.94%1.09%0.21%0.38%0.67%2.00%2.46%2.92%0.92%0.76%1.44%
Miami Dolphins0.02%0.72%0.67%2.04%0.13%0.14%1.64%2.17%0.81%0.72%0.68%1.62%2.13%
New England Patriots0.04%0.80%0.73%1.91%0.13%0.14%1.73%1.90%0.47%1.20%0.56%1.26%2.05%
New York Jets0.05%0.72%0.78%2.20%0.10%0.10%1.95%1.92%0.35%0.98%0.93%1.57%2.35%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.06%0.08%0.01%0.39%0.03%0.03%0.28%0.29%0.27%0.29%0.32%0.17%0.50%
San Diego Chargers0.12%0.22%0.33%0.46%0.05%0.19%0.26%0.37%0.58%1.01%1.07%0.31%0.35%
Seattle Seahawks0.10%0.65%0.66%0.83%0.17%0.46%0.75%0.90%1.22%1.95%1.97%0.68%0.60%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta FalconsChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis CardinalsTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons0.03%0.02%0.03%0.05%0.01%0.03%0.03%0.01%0.03%0.01%0.07%
Chicago Bears0.03%1.04%0.11%0.10%1.77%0.12%0.29%1.05%0.58%0.76%0.72%0.06%0.99%
Dallas Cowboys0.07%0.40%0.67%1.45%2.91%1.05%0.53%0.65%0.26%0.94%0.77%0.18%0.53%
Detroit Lions0.02%0.01%0.21%0.06%0.43%0.06%0.13%0.25%0.18%0.15%0.40%0.03%0.17%
Green Bay Packers0.06%0.06%1.08%0.21%1.61%0.22%0.39%1.03%0.73%0.53%1.20%0.05%0.82%
Los Angeles Rams0.05%0.65%3.19%1.02%2.82%1.49%0.33%2.89%1.77%0.03%3.18%0.42%2.92%
Minnesota Vikings0.04%0.02%0.60%0.02%0.23%0.69%0.13%0.37%0.26%0.16%0.59%0.03%0.29%
New Orleans Saints0.04%0.14%0.12%0.12%0.09%0.11%0.19%0.21%0.03%0.14%0.03%0.20%
New York Giants0.12%0.63%0.75%0.68%1.90%4.00%1.01%0.60%0.46%1.21%0.76%0.28%0.82%
Philadelphia Eagles0.02%0.11%0.20%0.26%0.58%1.14%0.43%0.17%0.26%0.37%0.25%0.09%0.27%
San Francisco 49ers0.02%0.69%2.65%0.75%1.53%0.06%1.05%0.23%2.43%1.10%1.71%0.17%2.06%
St. Louis Cardinals0.06%0.11%0.19%0.35%0.60%1.09%0.35%0.22%0.28%0.16%0.28%0.12%0.15%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.02%0.02%0.01%0.08%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.05%0.01%0.06%0.03%
Washington Redskins0.12%0.35%0.72%0.72%1.31%2.60%0.88%0.42%0.65%0.41%0.97%0.58%0.13%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Buffalo BillsCincinnati BengalsCleveland Browns (1st)Denver BroncosHouston OilersIndianapolis ColtsKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles RaidersMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York JetsPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSeattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills0.02%0.05%0.01%0.01%0.03%0.01%0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals0.05%1.52%0.16%0.72%1.07%1.55%0.99%1.15%0.57%1.07%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.05%1.61%0.10%0.65%1.07%1.80%0.98%1.13%0.62%1.12%
Denver Broncos0.18%3.63%4.06%0.48%0.42%5.98%4.00%4.07%6.26%
Houston Oilers0.10%0.02%0.06%0.07%0.04%0.01%0.03%0.04%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts0.09%0.05%0.05%0.06%0.04%0.14%0.01%0.05%
Kansas City Chiefs0.04%0.77%0.61%0.14%0.05%0.88%0.79%0.85%1.19%
Los Angeles Raiders0.09%2.85%3.19%0.52%0.29%5.47%3.03%3.67%5.28%
Miami Dolphins5.36%5.63%9.08%0.70%3.66%8.13%8.74%3.50%7.10%
New England Patriots1.74%1.59%2.95%0.27%1.08%1.78%3.41%1.13%1.91%
New York Jets1.78%2.08%3.15%0.29%1.26%2.65%3.82%1.11%2.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.05%2.37%0.13%1.16%1.66%2.34%1.91%2.03%1.04%2.23%
San Diego Chargers0.02%0.67%0.83%0.13%0.05%1.29%0.67%0.69%1.48%
Seattle Seahawks0.10%1.86%2.11%0.31%0.24%3.44%1.71%2.31%3.40%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta FalconsChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis CardinalsTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons0.02%0.03%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.02%
Chicago Bears0.21%8.45%13.21%1.01%10.27%3.31%11.85%4.71%7.45%
Dallas Cowboys0.11%2.43%0.49%1.61%3.83%0.88%0.31%3.20%0.19%
Detroit Lions0.18%0.28%0.02%0.24%0.14%0.27%0.12%0.12%
Green Bay Packers1.24%1.27%0.18%1.25%0.43%1.61%0.65%0.86%
Los Angeles Rams3.52%3.69%0.65%1.81%1.00%3.82%1.43%2.20%0.21%2.84%
Minnesota Vikings0.01%0.37%0.38%0.05%0.38%0.16%0.38%0.24%0.22%
New Orleans Saints0.07%0.15%0.03%0.02%0.02%0.07%0.03%0.05%0.09%
New York Giants0.08%4.09%0.74%2.27%5.44%1.33%0.36%5.42%0.27%
Philadelphia Eagles0.03%0.57%0.14%0.33%0.74%0.16%0.09%0.71%0.05%
San Francisco 49ers9.78%8.85%1.76%5.62%2.56%10.40%3.57%4.82%0.49%7.54%
St. Louis Cardinals0.02%0.52%0.13%0.37%0.85%0.32%0.08%0.71%0.06%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.05%0.04%0.03%0.04%0.04%0.03%0.02%
Washington Redskins0.05%2.49%0.40%1.50%3.43%0.59%0.28%3.17%0.16%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Buffalo BillsCincinnati BengalsCleveland Browns (1st)Denver BroncosHouston OilersIndianapolis ColtsKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles RaidersMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York JetsPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSeattle Seahawks
Buffalo Bills0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals0.04%0.51%0.08%0.37%0.76%0.36%0.28%0.11%0.12%0.23%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.10%0.53%0.01%0.11%0.31%0.68%0.24%0.42%0.14%0.09%0.23%
Denver Broncos0.94%0.98%0.06%0.06%0.45%2.00%4.27%1.21%1.57%1.59%0.59%1.33%
Houston Oilers0.02%0.01%0.01%0.02%
Indianapolis Colts0.01%0.01%0.01%0.03%0.01%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs0.12%0.12%0.18%0.01%0.23%0.44%0.08%0.17%0.14%0.05%0.11%
Los Angeles Raiders0.01%0.71%0.85%2.20%0.05%0.07%0.52%3.74%1.10%1.24%1.37%0.51%1.19%
Miami Dolphins0.05%2.55%2.47%6.16%0.10%0.16%1.44%4.75%3.23%4.19%3.97%1.24%3.54%
New England Patriots0.02%0.52%0.52%1.10%0.03%0.01%0.28%0.80%2.20%0.66%0.76%0.25%0.60%
New York Jets0.42%0.47%1.42%0.02%0.06%0.24%0.73%2.26%0.66%0.97%0.38%0.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.02%0.15%0.20%0.62%0.01%0.03%0.22%0.60%1.37%0.42%0.53%0.22%0.56%
San Diego Chargers0.14%0.17%0.27%0.01%0.07%0.21%0.56%0.19%0.17%0.19%0.20%
Seattle Seahawks0.01%0.32%0.45%1.02%0.03%0.01%0.25%0.80%1.72%0.62%0.51%0.71%0.19%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta FalconsChicago BearsDallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsMinnesota VikingsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis CardinalsTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons0.01%0.02%0.01%0.02%0.01%
Chicago Bears0.02%3.98%0.48%2.12%6.61%0.63%0.21%5.55%0.95%15.11%0.92%0.03%3.15%
Dallas Cowboys0.01%1.08%0.04%0.24%0.59%0.09%0.57%0.07%1.17%0.13%0.20%
Detroit Lions0.06%0.02%0.05%0.04%0.01%0.04%0.03%
Green Bay Packers0.01%0.60%0.14%0.01%0.22%0.14%0.05%0.51%0.05%0.01%0.24%
Los Angeles Rams2.16%0.55%0.07%0.30%0.13%0.02%0.71%0.11%2.15%0.15%0.02%0.56%
Minnesota Vikings0.08%0.05%0.01%0.05%0.01%0.02%0.10%0.06%
New Orleans Saints0.01%0.01%0.01%0.05%0.01%0.01%
New York Giants2.70%0.64%0.07%0.40%0.88%0.17%0.03%0.09%2.42%0.19%0.04%0.50%
Philadelphia Eagles0.17%0.05%0.01%0.05%0.07%0.06%0.20%0.02%0.04%
San Francisco 49ers0.03%12.38%2.93%0.38%2.09%5.11%0.68%0.12%4.19%0.75%0.83%0.11%2.80%
St. Louis Cardinals0.13%0.08%0.02%0.06%0.08%0.02%0.09%0.18%0.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.01%
Washington Redskins1.33%0.42%0.04%0.22%0.57%0.09%0.04%0.49%0.11%1.03%0.06%0.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta FalconsBuffalo BillsChicago BearsCincinnati BengalsCleveland Browns (1st)Dallas CowboysDenver BroncosDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersHouston OilersIndianapolis ColtsKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles RaidersLos Angeles RamsMiami DolphinsMinnesota VikingsNew England PatriotsNew Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsNew York JetsPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersSan Diego ChargersSan Francisco 49ersSeattle SeahawksSt. Louis CardinalsWashington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons0.01%0.01%
Chicago Bears0.01%0.84%1.00%3.67%0.01%0.67%3.82%8.36%2.19%2.12%1.50%0.71%1.77%
Cincinnati Bengals0.01%0.29%0.02%0.01%0.04%0.08%0.01%0.05%0.03%0.29%0.02%0.05%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.26%0.05%0.01%0.02%0.05%0.12%0.01%0.19%0.08%
Dallas Cowboys0.09%0.07%0.26%0.05%0.19%0.47%0.12%0.16%0.17%0.05%0.16%
Denver Broncos2.03%0.41%0.15%0.63%0.04%0.01%0.59%0.08%1.96%0.03%0.38%
Detroit Lions0.01%0.01%0.02%0.02%0.01%
Green Bay Packers0.05%0.04%0.10%0.01%0.11%0.20%0.05%0.03%0.06%0.04%0.10%
Houston Oilers0.01%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts0.02%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs0.10%0.02%0.02%0.05%0.15%0.02%
Los Angeles Raiders1.96%0.40%0.01%0.13%0.54%0.04%0.02%0.51%0.03%1.72%0.09%0.40%
Los Angeles Rams0.11%0.12%0.40%0.01%0.01%0.11%0.37%0.90%0.28%0.29%0.27%0.10%0.21%
Miami Dolphins0.02%5.22%0.86%0.06%0.46%1.42%0.12%0.01%1.64%0.16%5.08%0.20%0.96%
Minnesota Vikings0.01%0.01%0.04%0.01%0.01%0.01%
New England Patriots0.88%0.13%0.02%0.11%0.32%0.03%0.03%0.25%0.04%1.02%0.06%0.21%
New Orleans Saints0.01%0.01%
New York Giants0.14%0.15%0.62%0.01%0.01%0.12%0.48%1.16%0.34%0.40%0.30%0.10%0.27%
New York Jets0.01%1.11%0.28%0.01%0.13%0.35%0.02%0.32%0.06%0.87%0.05%0.23%
Philadelphia Eagles0.01%0.03%0.10%0.01%0.01%0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers0.39%0.07%0.01%0.04%0.11%0.01%0.16%0.02%0.41%0.03%0.11%
San Diego Chargers0.01%0.20%0.01%0.01%0.03%0.04%0.07%0.27%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers0.03%0.70%0.61%3.26%0.02%0.02%0.28%2.45%5.83%1.51%1.87%1.07%0.46%1.46%
Seattle Seahawks0.64%0.15%0.04%0.08%0.17%0.03%0.27%0.04%0.85%0.04%0.15%
St. Louis Cardinals0.01%0.04%0.02%0.05%0.01%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0.01%
Washington Redskins0.02%0.08%0.36%0.04%0.21%0.50%0.11%0.10%0.16%0.06%0.19%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Advanced to Divisional Round Advanced to Conference Championship Advanced to Super Bowl Won Super Bowl Actual Outcome
Chicago Bears 100.00% 72.68% 61.22% 37.42% Won Super Bowl
Los Angeles Raiders 100.00% 69.11% 44.40% 20.00% Eliminated in Divisional Round
Miami Dolphins 100.00% 84.23% 40.28% 19.52% Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Francisco 49ers 48.86% 16.21% 10.07% 6.10% Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Rams 100.00% 66.53% 15.64% 5.88% Eliminated in Conference Championship
New York Jets 63.03% 18.80% 6.35% 2.78% Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Dallas Cowboys 100.00% 33.47% 7.72% 2.76% Eliminated in Divisional Round
New York Giants 51.14% 11.11% 5.35% 2.61% Eliminated in Divisional Round
New England Patriots 36.97% 12.09% 4.29% 1.73% Eliminated in Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st) 100.00% 15.77% 4.68% 1.20% Eliminated in Divisional Round
Loser →
↓ Winner
New England PatriotsNew York Jets
New England Patriots36.97%
New York Jets63.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
New York GiantsSan Francisco 49ers
New York Giants51.14%
San Francisco 49ers48.86%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Cleveland Browns (1st)Los Angeles RaidersMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York Jets
Cleveland Browns (1st)15.77%
Los Angeles Raiders24.88%44.23%
Miami Dolphins84.23%
New England Patriots12.09%
New York Jets18.80%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago BearsDallas CowboysLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsSan Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears40.03%32.65%
Dallas Cowboys33.47%
Los Angeles Rams66.53%
New York Giants11.11%
San Francisco 49ers16.21%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Cleveland Browns (1st)Los Angeles RaidersMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York Jets
Cleveland Browns (1st)2.39%0.85%1.44%
Los Angeles Raiders8.52%35.88%
Miami Dolphins22.32%6.95%11.01%
New England Patriots0.97%3.32%
New York Jets1.60%4.75%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago BearsDallas CowboysLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsSan Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears20.40%40.82%
Dallas Cowboys3.85%1.89%1.98%
Los Angeles Rams7.61%3.87%4.16%
New York Giants1.84%3.51%
San Francisco 49ers3.51%6.56%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago BearsCleveland Browns (1st)Dallas CowboysLos Angeles RaidersLos Angeles RamsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York GiantsNew York JetsSan Francisco 49ers
Chicago Bears2.34%16.48%14.36%1.82%2.42%
Cleveland Browns (1st)0.48%0.21%0.34%0.06%0.11%
Dallas Cowboys0.20%1.36%1.02%0.09%0.09%
Los Angeles Raiders10.59%2.33%4.27%1.12%1.69%
Los Angeles Rams0.35%2.71%2.11%0.31%0.40%
Miami Dolphins10.37%1.92%4.20%1.26%1.77%
New England Patriots0.93%0.18%0.37%0.12%0.13%
New York Giants0.22%1.13%0.94%0.10%0.22%
New York Jets1.43%0.32%0.58%0.18%0.27%
San Francisco 49ers0.37%2.72%2.33%0.24%0.44%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Chicago Bears 37.42% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. New York Giants
Matchup
55.08%
Win Prob
78.28%
Conference Championship
vs. Los Angeles Rams
Matchup
66.68%
Win Prob
84.29%
Super Bowl
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
44.04%
Win Prob
60.88%
Los Angeles Raiders 20.00% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. New York Jets
Matchup
64.00%
Win Prob
70.17%
Conference Championship
vs. Miami Dolphins
Matchup
80.81%
Win Prob
61.65%
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
52.95%
Win Prob
39.12%
Miami Dolphins 19.52% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
84.23%
Conference Championship
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
55.41%
Win Prob
38.35%
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
53.12%
Win Prob
41.93%
San Francisco 49ers 6.10% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. New York Giants
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.86%
Divisional Round
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
33.18%
Conference Championship
vs. Los Angeles Rams
Matchup
65.14%
Win Prob
61.19%
Super Bowl
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
44.59%
Win Prob
61.68%
Los Angeles Rams 5.88% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Dallas Cowboys
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
66.53%
Conference Championship
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
48.66%
Win Prob
15.71%
Super Bowl
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
46.09%
Win Prob
38.83%
New York Jets 2.78% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. New England Patriots
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
63.03%
Divisional Round
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
29.83%
Conference Championship
vs. Miami Dolphins
Matchup
74.80%
Win Prob
30.14%
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
51.44%
Win Prob
37.14%
Dallas Cowboys 2.76% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Los Angeles Rams
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
33.47%
Conference Championship
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
49.87%
Win Prob
15.88%
Super Bowl
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
49.28%
Win Prob
36.86%
New York Giants 2.61% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. San Francisco 49ers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.14%
Divisional Round
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
21.72%
Conference Championship
vs. Los Angeles Rams
Matchup
65.61%
Win Prob
47.56%
Super Bowl
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
43.30%
Win Prob
50.22%
New England Patriots 1.73% chance to win
Wild Card Round
vs. New York Jets
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
36.97%
Divisional Round
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
32.70%
Conference Championship
vs. Miami Dolphins
Matchup
77.39%
Win Prob
32.33%
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
53.76%
Win Prob
33.82%
Cleveland Browns (1st) 1.20% chance to win
Divisional Round
vs. Miami Dolphins
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
15.77%
Conference Championship
vs. Los Angeles Raiders
Matchup
51.07%
Win Prob
21.91%
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Bears
Matchup
40.00%
Win Prob
17.02%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1985-09-08 Detroit Lions L 27-28 1424.75 1440.87 62.01% 37.77% -8.04 0-1
1985-09-15 @ San Francisco 49ers L 16-35 1416.71 1626.87 14.16% 85.62% -8.01 0-2
1985-09-22 Denver Broncos L 28-44 1408.70 1559.16 42.98% 56.80% -22.31 0-3
1985-09-29 @ Los Angeles Rams L 6-17 1386.39 1584.06 15.06% 84.72% -6.48 0-4
1985-10-06 San Francisco 49ers L 17-38 1379.91 1650.36 27.42% 72.36% -16.31 0-5
1985-10-13 @ Seattle Seahawks L 26-30 1363.60 1553.12 15.67% 84.11% -4.07 0-6
1985-10-20 New Orleans Saints W 31-24 1359.53 1450.96 51.43% 48.35% +16.59 1-6
1985-10-27 @ Dallas Cowboys L 10-24 1376.12 1575.22 14.95% 84.83% -7.27 1-7
1985-11-03 Washington Redskins L 10-44 1368.85 1532.02 41.19% 58.58% -31.16 1-8
1985-11-10 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 17-23 1337.69 1474.30 20.12% 79.66% -6.40 1-9
1985-11-17 Los Angeles Rams W 30-14 1331.29 1597.41 27.92% 71.86% +37.26 2-9
1985-11-24 @ Chicago Bears L 0-36 1368.55 1727.28 6.55% 93.22% -5.11 2-10
1985-12-01 Los Angeles Raiders L 24-34 1363.44 1577.49 34.33% 65.45% -14.09 2-11
1985-12-08 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 10-38 1349.35 1439.69 24.75% 75.03% -17.00 2-12
1985-12-15 Minnesota Vikings W 14-13 1332.35 1423.71 51.44% 48.34% +6.27 3-12
1985-12-22 @ New Orleans Saints W 16-10 1338.62 1400.00 27.98% 71.80% +22.80 4-12
1985-09-08 San Diego Chargers L 9-14 1407.13 1483.57 53.58% 46.20% -15.53 0-1
1985-09-15 @ New York Jets L 3-42 1391.60 1441.30 29.35% 70.43% -23.80 0-2
1985-09-22 New England Patriots L 14-17 1367.80 1497.22 45.97% 53.81% -10.33 0-3
1985-09-29 Minnesota Vikings L 20-27 1357.47 1438.15 52.97% 46.81% -18.17 0-4
1985-10-06 @ Indianapolis Colts L 17-49 1339.30 1381.90 30.21% 69.57% -22.18 0-5
1985-10-13 @ New England Patriots L 3-14 1317.12 1468.60 18.78% 81.00% -8.09 0-6
1985-10-20 Indianapolis Colts W 21-9 1309.03 1392.35 52.59% 47.19% +21.20 1-6
1985-10-27 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 17-21 1330.23 1476.79 19.22% 80.56% -4.99 1-7
1985-11-03 Cincinnati Bengals L 17-23 1325.24 1466.48 44.28% 55.49% -14.07 1-8
1985-11-10 Houston Oilers W 20-0 1311.17 1410.25 50.33% 49.45% +28.68 2-8
1985-11-17 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-17 1339.85 1473.11 20.44% 79.34% -8.39 2-9
1985-11-24 Miami Dolphins L 14-23 1331.46 1609.58 26.55% 73.23% -10.34 2-10
1985-12-01 @ San Diego Chargers L 7-40 1321.12 1482.51 17.93% 81.85% -13.37 2-11
1985-12-08 New York Jets L 7-27 1307.75 1565.67 28.88% 70.90% -16.77 2-12
1985-12-15 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 24-30 1290.98 1495.50 14.56% 85.22% -4.63 2-13
1985-12-22 @ Miami Dolphins L 0-28 1286.35 1668.23 5.78% 93.99% -3.98 2-14
1985-09-08 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 38-28 1531.53 1453.03 73.74% 26.04% +10.68 1-0
1985-09-15 New England Patriots W 20-7 1542.21 1512.08 68.04% 31.74% +14.86 2-0
1985-09-19 @ Minnesota Vikings W 33-24 1557.07 1457.71 49.49% 50.29% +19.56 3-0
1985-09-29 Washington Redskins W 45-10 1576.63 1505.95 72.87% 26.91% +20.67 4-0
1985-10-06 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 27-19 1597.30 1379.76 65.90% 33.87% +12.43 5-0
1985-10-13 @ San Francisco 49ers W 26-10 1609.73 1666.67 28.50% 71.28% +36.97 6-0
1985-10-21 Green Bay Packers W 23-7 1646.70 1511.50 79.52% 20.25% +10.52 7-0
1985-10-27 Minnesota Vikings W 27-9 1657.22 1455.34 85.03% 14.75% +8.13 8-0
1985-11-03 @ Green Bay Packers W 16-10 1665.35 1464.68 63.70% 36.08% +11.47 9-0
1985-11-10 Detroit Lions W 24-3 1676.82 1451.16 86.67% 13.11% +7.80 10-0
1985-11-17 @ Dallas Cowboys W 44-0 1684.62 1580.45 50.19% 49.59% +42.66 11-0
1985-11-24 Atlanta Falcons W 36-0 1727.28 1368.55 93.22% 6.55% +5.11 12-0
1985-12-02 @ Miami Dolphins L 24-38 1732.39 1619.92 51.38% 48.40% -24.93 12-1
1985-12-08 Indianapolis Colts W 17-10 1707.46 1332.78 93.76% 6.01% +2.07 13-1
1985-12-14 @ New York Jets W 19-6 1709.53 1582.43 53.48% 46.30% +21.65 14-1
1985-12-22 @ Detroit Lions W 37-17 1731.18 1448.01 73.79% 25.99% +15.09 15-1
1985-09-08 Seattle Seahawks L 24-28 1501.46 1556.98 56.55% 43.23% -14.67 0-1
1985-09-15 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 27-41 1486.79 1560.55 26.57% 73.21% -12.90 0-2
1985-09-22 San Diego Chargers L 41-44 1473.89 1472.84 64.30% 35.47% -14.44 0-3
1985-09-30 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 37-24 1459.45 1548.63 24.87% 74.91% +35.02 1-3
1985-10-06 New York Jets L 20-29 1494.47 1514.79 61.44% 38.34% -23.90 1-4
1985-10-13 New York Giants W 35-30 1470.57 1544.95 53.87% 45.91% +13.31 2-4
1985-10-20 @ Houston Oilers L 27-44 1483.88 1337.26 56.26% 43.52% -30.07 2-5
1985-10-27 Pittsburgh Steelers W 26-21 1453.81 1512.45 56.11% 43.67% +12.67 3-5
1985-11-03 @ Buffalo Bills W 23-17 1466.48 1325.24 55.49% 44.28% +14.07 4-5
1985-11-10 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 27-10 1480.55 1493.05 62.50% 37.28% +19.94 5-5
1985-11-17 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 6-13 1500.49 1558.74 28.34% 71.44% -9.73 5-6
1985-11-24 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 6-24 1490.76 1481.50 36.84% 62.93% -20.29 5-7
1985-12-01 Houston Oilers W 45-27 1470.47 1364.42 76.68% 23.10% +12.73 6-7
1985-12-08 Dallas Cowboys W 50-24 1483.20 1564.77 52.84% 46.94% +31.04 7-7
1985-12-15 @ Washington Redskins L 24-27 1514.24 1554.32 30.51% 69.26% -6.86 7-8
1985-12-22 @ New England Patriots L 23-34 1507.38 1576.80 27.05% 72.72% -11.65 7-9
1985-09-08 St. Louis Cardinals L 24-27 1469.12 1548.61 53.14% 46.64% -11.93 0-1
1985-09-16 Pittsburgh Steelers W 17-7 1457.19 1557.87 50.09% 49.68% +20.37 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Dallas Cowboys L 7-20 1477.56 1536.07 28.31% 71.47% -13.25 1-2
1985-09-29 @ San Diego Chargers W 21-7 1464.31 1487.28 32.64% 67.14% +32.57 2-2
1985-10-06 New England Patriots W 24-20 1496.88 1477.18 66.72% 33.06% +8.58 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Houston Oilers W 21-6 1505.46 1359.14 56.21% 43.56% +21.88 4-2
1985-10-20 Los Angeles Raiders L 20-21 1527.34 1588.85 55.70% 44.07% -7.22 4-3
1985-10-27 Washington Redskins L 7-14 1520.12 1509.54 65.55% 34.23% -22.48 4-4
1985-11-03 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 9-10 1497.64 1499.78 35.33% 64.45% -4.59 4-5
1985-11-10 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 10-27 1493.05 1480.55 37.28% 62.50% -19.94 4-6
1985-11-17 Buffalo Bills W 17-7 1473.11 1339.85 79.34% 20.44% +8.39 5-6
1985-11-24 Cincinnati Bengals W 24-6 1481.50 1490.76 62.93% 36.84% +20.28 6-6
1985-12-01 @ New York Giants W 35-33 1501.78 1604.88 23.40% 76.38% +14.01 7-6
1985-12-08 @ Seattle Seahawks L 13-31 1515.79 1575.59 28.16% 71.62% -15.51 7-7
1985-12-15 Houston Oilers W 28-21 1500.28 1333.17 82.33% 17.45% +5.99 8-7
1985-12-22 @ New York Jets L 10-37 1506.27 1560.78 28.78% 71.00% -19.41 8-8
1985-09-09 Washington Redskins W 44-14 1520.62 1567.96 57.70% 42.07% +29.90 1-0
1985-09-15 @ Detroit Lions L 21-26 1550.52 1448.91 49.82% 49.96% -14.45 1-1
1985-09-22 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 20-7 1536.07 1477.56 71.47% 28.31% +13.25 2-1
1985-09-29 @ Houston Oilers W 17-10 1549.32 1379.35 59.53% 40.25% +13.82 3-1
1985-10-06 @ New York Giants W 30-29 1563.14 1553.10 36.95% 62.83% +8.14 4-1
1985-10-13 Pittsburgh Steelers W 27-13 1571.28 1508.14 72.00% 27.77% +13.49 5-1
1985-10-20 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 14-16 1584.77 1467.24 52.11% 47.67% -9.55 5-2
1985-10-27 Atlanta Falcons W 24-10 1575.22 1376.12 84.83% 14.95% +7.27 6-2
1985-11-04 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 10-21 1582.49 1462.73 52.43% 47.35% -22.55 6-3
1985-11-10 @ Washington Redskins W 13-7 1559.94 1563.18 35.18% 64.59% +20.51 7-3
1985-11-17 Chicago Bears L 0-44 1580.45 1684.62 49.59% 50.19% -42.66 7-4
1985-11-24 Philadelphia Eagles W 34-17 1537.79 1505.62 68.29% 31.49% +16.85 8-4
1985-11-28 St. Louis Cardinals W 35-17 1554.64 1398.66 81.39% 18.39% +10.13 9-4
1985-12-08 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 24-50 1564.77 1483.20 46.94% 52.84% -31.04 9-5
1985-12-15 New York Giants W 28-21 1533.73 1609.40 53.69% 46.09% +15.82 10-5
1985-12-22 @ San Francisco 49ers L 16-31 1549.55 1691.33 19.65% 80.13% -9.89 10-6
1985-09-08 @ Los Angeles Rams L 16-20 1560.35 1521.06 40.95% 58.83% -10.62 0-1
1985-09-15 New Orleans Saints W 34-23 1549.73 1431.81 77.87% 21.91% +9.43 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Atlanta Falcons W 44-28 1559.16 1408.70 56.80% 42.98% +22.30 2-1
1985-09-29 Miami Dolphins L 26-30 1581.46 1624.82 58.26% 41.52% -15.10 2-2
1985-10-06 Houston Oilers W 31-20 1566.36 1365.53 84.95% 14.83% +6.38 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Indianapolis Colts W 15-10 1572.74 1404.08 59.35% 40.43% +11.73 4-2
1985-10-20 Seattle Seahawks W 13-10 1584.47 1557.19 67.68% 32.10% +7.22 5-2
1985-10-27 @ Kansas City Chiefs W 30-10 1591.69 1513.89 46.40% 53.38% +30.95 6-2
1985-11-03 @ San Diego Chargers L 10-30 1622.64 1450.43 59.84% 39.94% -34.69 6-3
1985-11-11 San Francisco 49ers W 17-16 1587.95 1657.40 54.57% 45.20% +5.86 7-3
1985-11-17 San Diego Chargers W 30-24 1593.81 1500.37 75.36% 24.41% +7.77 8-3
1985-11-24 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 28-31 1601.58 1568.48 40.09% 59.69% -9.01 8-4
1985-12-01 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 31-23 1592.57 1531.39 44.03% 55.75% +20.44 9-4
1985-12-08 Los Angeles Raiders L 14-17 1613.01 1591.57 66.94% 32.83% -15.03 9-5
1985-12-14 Kansas City Chiefs W 14-13 1597.98 1456.69 80.08% 19.69% +2.56 10-5
1985-12-20 @ Seattle Seahawks W 27-24 1600.54 1577.31 38.73% 61.04% +13.71 11-5
1985-09-08 @ Atlanta Falcons W 28-27 1440.87 1424.75 37.77% 62.01% +8.04 1-0
1985-09-15 Dallas Cowboys W 26-21 1448.91 1550.52 49.96% 49.82% +14.45 2-0
1985-09-22 @ Indianapolis Colts L 6-14 1463.36 1370.38 48.58% 51.20% -17.82 2-1
1985-09-29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 30-9 1445.54 1397.32 70.25% 29.53% +17.56 3-1
1985-10-06 @ Green Bay Packers L 10-43 1463.10 1480.09 33.40% 66.38% -24.90 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Washington Redskins L 3-24 1438.20 1510.61 26.72% 73.06% -15.89 3-3
1985-10-20 San Francisco 49ers W 23-21 1422.31 1629.71 35.19% 64.58% +11.84 4-3
1985-10-27 Miami Dolphins W 31-21 1434.15 1621.66 37.85% 61.93% +25.39 5-3
1985-11-03 @ Minnesota Vikings L 13-16 1459.54 1447.22 37.25% 62.52% -8.38 5-4
1985-11-10 @ Chicago Bears L 3-24 1451.16 1676.82 13.11% 86.67% -7.80 5-5
1985-11-17 Minnesota Vikings W 41-21 1443.36 1429.15 66.02% 33.76% +19.59 6-5
1985-11-24 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 16-19 1462.95 1348.59 51.65% 48.13% -11.60 6-6
1985-11-28 New York Jets W 31-20 1451.35 1589.33 44.75% 55.03% +23.67 7-6
1985-12-08 @ New England Patriots L 6-23 1475.02 1569.62 24.29% 75.49% -13.00 7-7
1985-12-15 Green Bay Packers L 23-26 1462.02 1475.51 62.36% 37.41% -14.01 7-8
1985-12-22 Chicago Bears L 17-37 1448.01 1731.18 25.99% 73.79% -15.09 7-9
1985-09-08 @ New England Patriots L 20-26 1542.87 1498.85 41.61% 58.17% -13.22 0-1
1985-09-15 New York Giants W 23-20 1529.65 1526.32 64.60% 35.17% +7.90 1-1
1985-09-22 New York Jets L 3-24 1537.55 1465.09 73.07% 26.71% -43.41 1-2
1985-09-29 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 28-43 1494.14 1555.75 27.95% 71.83% -14.05 1-3
1985-10-06 Detroit Lions W 43-10 1480.09 1463.10 66.38% 33.40% +24.90 2-3
1985-10-13 Minnesota Vikings W 20-17 1504.99 1451.74 70.85% 28.93% +6.51 3-3
1985-10-21 @ Chicago Bears L 7-23 1511.50 1646.70 20.25% 79.52% -10.52 3-4
1985-10-27 @ Indianapolis Colts L 10-37 1500.98 1371.15 53.87% 45.91% -36.30 3-5
1985-11-03 Chicago Bears L 10-16 1464.68 1665.35 36.08% 63.70% -11.47 3-6
1985-11-10 @ Minnesota Vikings W 27-17 1453.21 1455.59 35.30% 64.48% +26.44 4-6
1985-11-17 New Orleans Saints W 38-14 1479.65 1381.86 75.82% 23.95% +15.23 5-6
1985-11-24 @ Los Angeles Rams L 17-34 1494.88 1560.14 27.53% 72.25% -14.73 5-7
1985-12-01 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 21-0 1480.15 1360.19 78.07% 21.71% +12.92 6-7
1985-12-08 Miami Dolphins L 24-34 1493.07 1644.85 42.79% 56.99% -17.56 6-8
1985-12-15 @ Detroit Lions W 26-23 1475.51 1462.02 37.41% 62.36% +14.01 7-8
1985-12-22 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 20-17 1489.52 1307.83 61.14% 38.64% +8.68 8-8
1985-09-08 Miami Dolphins W 26-23 1379.75 1608.62 32.43% 67.35% +15.13 1-0
1985-09-15 @ Washington Redskins L 13-16 1394.88 1538.06 19.52% 80.26% -4.39 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 0-20 1390.49 1537.50 19.18% 80.60% -11.14 1-2
1985-09-29 Dallas Cowboys L 10-17 1379.35 1549.32 40.25% 59.53% -13.82 1-3
1985-10-06 @ Denver Broncos L 20-31 1365.53 1566.36 14.83% 84.95% -6.39 1-4
1985-10-13 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 6-21 1359.14 1505.46 43.56% 56.21% -21.88 1-5
1985-10-20 Cincinnati Bengals W 44-27 1337.26 1483.88 43.52% 56.26% +30.07 2-5
1985-10-27 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 20-10 1367.33 1495.04 20.96% 78.82% +32.32 3-5
1985-11-03 Kansas City Chiefs W 23-20 1399.65 1482.93 52.59% 47.18% +10.60 4-5
1985-11-10 @ Buffalo Bills L 0-20 1410.25 1311.17 49.45% 50.33% -28.69 4-6
1985-11-17 Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-30 1381.56 1526.31 43.79% 55.99% -27.24 4-7
1985-11-24 San Diego Chargers W 37-35 1354.32 1492.61 44.70% 55.07% +10.10 5-7
1985-12-01 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 27-45 1364.42 1470.47 23.10% 76.68% -12.72 5-8
1985-12-08 New York Giants L 14-35 1351.70 1590.88 31.14% 68.64% -18.53 5-9
1985-12-15 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 21-28 1333.17 1500.28 17.45% 82.33% -5.99 5-10
1985-12-22 @ Indianapolis Colts L 16-34 1327.18 1354.28 32.12% 67.66% -17.69 5-11
1985-09-08 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 3-45 1393.82 1541.80 19.09% 80.69% -16.07 0-1
1985-09-15 @ Miami Dolphins L 13-30 1377.75 1593.49 13.77% 86.00% -7.37 0-2
1985-09-22 Detroit Lions W 14-6 1370.38 1463.36 51.20% 48.58% +17.81 1-2
1985-09-29 @ New York Jets L 20-25 1388.19 1508.50 21.67% 78.10% -6.29 1-3
1985-10-06 Buffalo Bills W 49-17 1381.90 1339.30 69.57% 30.21% +22.18 2-3
1985-10-13 Denver Broncos L 10-15 1404.08 1572.74 40.43% 59.35% -11.73 2-4
1985-10-20 @ Buffalo Bills L 9-21 1392.35 1309.03 47.19% 52.59% -21.20 2-5
1985-10-27 Green Bay Packers W 37-10 1371.15 1500.98 45.91% 53.87% +36.30 3-5
1985-11-03 New York Jets L 17-35 1407.45 1556.53 43.17% 56.61% -23.77 3-6
1985-11-10 @ New England Patriots L 15-34 1383.68 1529.91 19.25% 80.53% -10.89 3-7
1985-11-17 Miami Dolphins L 20-34 1372.79 1593.32 33.49% 66.29% -16.26 3-8
1985-11-24 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 7-20 1356.53 1440.22 25.46% 74.31% -11.92 3-9
1985-12-01 New England Patriots L 31-38 1344.61 1557.80 34.44% 65.34% -11.83 3-10
1985-12-08 @ Chicago Bears L 10-17 1332.78 1707.46 6.01% 93.76% -2.07 3-11
1985-12-15 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 31-23 1330.71 1331.39 35.52% 64.26% +23.57 4-11
1985-12-22 Houston Oilers W 34-16 1354.28 1327.18 67.66% 32.12% +17.68 5-11
1985-09-08 @ New Orleans Saints W 47-27 1529.36 1463.77 44.65% 55.12% +31.97 1-0
1985-09-12 Los Angeles Raiders W 36-20 1561.33 1590.57 60.22% 39.56% +20.53 2-0
1985-09-22 @ Miami Dolphins L 0-31 1581.86 1600.87 33.14% 66.63% -23.95 2-1
1985-09-29 Seattle Seahawks W 28-7 1557.91 1567.94 62.83% 36.95% +21.97 3-1
1985-10-06 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 10-19 1579.88 1565.32 37.56% 62.22% -14.62 3-2
1985-10-13 @ San Diego Chargers L 20-31 1565.26 1447.56 52.13% 47.65% -22.42 3-3
1985-10-20 Los Angeles Rams L 0-16 1542.84 1603.57 55.81% 43.96% -28.95 3-4
1985-10-27 Denver Broncos L 10-30 1513.89 1591.69 53.38% 46.40% -30.96 3-5
1985-11-03 @ Houston Oilers L 20-23 1482.93 1399.65 47.18% 52.59% -10.60 3-6
1985-11-10 Pittsburgh Steelers L 28-36 1472.33 1504.37 59.83% 39.94% -21.94 3-7
1985-11-17 @ San Francisco 49ers L 3-31 1450.39 1651.54 14.80% 84.97% -10.17 3-8
1985-11-24 Indianapolis Colts W 20-7 1440.22 1356.53 74.31% 25.46% +11.92 4-8
1985-12-01 @ Seattle Seahawks L 6-24 1452.14 1563.14 22.60% 77.18% -12.45 4-9
1985-12-08 Atlanta Falcons W 38-10 1439.69 1349.35 75.03% 24.75% +17.00 5-9
1985-12-14 @ Denver Broncos L 13-14 1456.69 1597.98 19.69% 80.08% -2.56 5-10
1985-12-22 San Diego Chargers W 38-34 1454.13 1520.25 55.05% 44.73% +11.61 6-10
1985-09-08 New York Jets W 31-0 1574.70 1457.16 77.83% 21.95% +15.87 1-0
1985-09-12 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 20-36 1590.57 1561.33 39.56% 60.22% -20.53 1-1
1985-09-22 San Francisco 49ers L 10-34 1570.04 1634.89 55.23% 44.55% -35.08 1-2
1985-09-29 @ New England Patriots W 35-20 1534.96 1507.55 39.31% 60.47% +30.36 2-2
1985-10-06 Kansas City Chiefs W 19-10 1565.32 1579.88 62.22% 37.56% +14.62 3-2
1985-10-13 New Orleans Saints W 23-13 1579.94 1459.86 78.08% 21.70% +8.91 4-2
1985-10-20 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 21-20 1588.85 1527.34 44.07% 55.70% +7.22 5-2
1985-10-28 San Diego Chargers W 34-21 1596.07 1459.87 79.62% 20.16% +9.44 6-2
1985-11-03 @ Seattle Seahawks L 3-33 1605.51 1541.93 44.37% 55.41% -31.52 6-3
1985-11-10 @ San Diego Chargers L 34-40 1573.99 1485.13 47.98% 51.79% -15.25 6-4
1985-11-17 Cincinnati Bengals W 13-6 1558.74 1500.49 71.44% 28.34% +9.74 7-4
1985-11-24 Denver Broncos W 31-28 1568.48 1601.58 59.69% 40.09% +9.01 8-4
1985-12-01 @ Atlanta Falcons W 34-24 1577.49 1363.44 65.45% 34.33% +14.08 9-4
1985-12-08 @ Denver Broncos W 17-14 1591.57 1613.01 32.83% 66.94% +15.04 10-4
1985-12-15 Seattle Seahawks W 13-3 1606.61 1591.10 66.19% 33.59% +13.78 11-4
1985-12-23 @ Los Angeles Rams W 16-6 1620.39 1576.16 41.64% 58.14% +23.84 12-4
1985-09-08 Denver Broncos W 20-16 1521.06 1560.35 58.83% 40.95% +10.62 1-0
1985-09-15 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 17-6 1531.68 1444.73 47.71% 52.07% +22.40 2-0
1985-09-23 @ Seattle Seahawks W 35-24 1554.08 1597.91 30.06% 69.72% +29.98 3-0
1985-09-29 Atlanta Falcons W 17-6 1584.06 1386.39 84.72% 15.06% +6.48 4-0
1985-10-06 Minnesota Vikings W 13-10 1590.54 1456.32 79.43% 20.34% +4.58 5-0
1985-10-13 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 31-27 1595.12 1367.32 67.21% 32.56% +8.45 6-0
1985-10-20 @ Kansas City Chiefs W 16-0 1603.57 1542.84 43.96% 55.81% +28.95 7-0
1985-10-27 San Francisco 49ers L 14-28 1632.52 1617.87 66.08% 33.70% -32.05 7-1
1985-11-03 New Orleans Saints W 28-10 1600.47 1416.70 83.67% 16.11% +8.87 8-1
1985-11-10 @ New York Giants L 19-24 1609.34 1568.56 41.16% 58.62% -11.93 8-2
1985-11-17 @ Atlanta Falcons L 14-30 1597.41 1331.29 71.86% 27.92% -37.27 8-3
1985-11-24 Green Bay Packers W 34-17 1560.14 1494.88 72.25% 27.53% +14.74 9-3
1985-12-01 @ New Orleans Saints L 3-29 1574.88 1390.50 61.51% 38.27% -40.66 9-4
1985-12-09 @ San Francisco 49ers W 27-20 1534.22 1707.18 16.97% 82.81% +28.40 10-4
1985-12-15 St. Louis Cardinals W 46-14 1562.62 1407.14 81.35% 18.43% +13.54 11-4
1985-12-23 Los Angeles Raiders L 6-16 1576.16 1620.39 58.14% 41.64% -23.83 11-5
1985-09-08 @ Houston Oilers L 23-26 1608.62 1379.75 67.35% 32.43% -15.13 0-1
1985-09-15 Indianapolis Colts W 30-13 1593.49 1377.75 86.00% 13.77% +7.38 1-1
1985-09-22 Kansas City Chiefs W 31-0 1600.87 1581.86 66.63% 33.14% +23.95 2-1
1985-09-29 @ Denver Broncos W 30-26 1624.82 1581.46 41.52% 58.26% +15.11 3-1
1985-10-06 Pittsburgh Steelers W 24-20 1639.93 1513.62 78.68% 21.09% +5.48 4-1
1985-10-14 @ New York Jets L 7-23 1645.41 1538.69 50.55% 49.23% -26.23 4-2
1985-10-20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 41-38 1619.18 1358.87 88.78% 11.00% +2.48 5-2
1985-10-27 @ Detroit Lions L 21-31 1621.66 1434.15 61.93% 37.85% -25.39 5-3
1985-11-03 @ New England Patriots L 13-17 1596.27 1517.85 46.49% 53.29% -12.06 5-4
1985-11-10 New York Jets W 21-17 1584.21 1580.29 64.68% 35.10% +9.11 6-4
1985-11-17 @ Indianapolis Colts W 34-20 1593.32 1372.79 66.29% 33.49% +16.26 7-4
1985-11-24 @ Buffalo Bills W 23-14 1609.58 1331.46 73.23% 26.55% +10.34 8-4
1985-12-02 Chicago Bears W 38-24 1619.92 1732.39 48.40% 51.38% +24.93 9-4
1985-12-08 @ Green Bay Packers W 34-24 1644.85 1493.07 56.99% 42.79% +17.56 10-4
1985-12-16 New England Patriots W 30-27 1662.41 1582.63 73.88% 25.89% +5.82 11-4
1985-12-22 Buffalo Bills W 28-0 1668.23 1286.35 93.99% 5.78% +3.98 12-4
1985-09-08 San Francisco 49ers W 28-21 1400.30 1650.89 29.75% 70.03% +24.02 1-0
1985-09-15 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 31-16 1424.32 1442.34 33.27% 66.51% +33.39 2-0
1985-09-19 Chicago Bears L 24-33 1457.71 1557.07 50.29% 49.49% -19.56 2-1
1985-09-29 @ Buffalo Bills W 27-20 1438.15 1357.47 46.81% 52.97% +18.17 3-1
1985-10-06 @ Los Angeles Rams L 10-13 1456.32 1590.54 20.34% 79.43% -4.58 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Green Bay Packers L 17-20 1451.74 1504.99 28.93% 70.85% -6.50 3-3
1985-10-20 San Diego Chargers W 21-17 1445.24 1469.98 60.84% 38.94% +10.10 4-3
1985-10-27 @ Chicago Bears L 9-27 1455.34 1657.22 14.75% 85.03% -8.12 4-4
1985-11-03 Detroit Lions W 16-13 1447.22 1459.54 62.52% 37.25% +8.37 5-4
1985-11-10 Green Bay Packers L 17-27 1455.59 1453.21 64.48% 35.30% -26.44 5-5
1985-11-17 @ Detroit Lions L 21-41 1429.15 1443.36 33.76% 66.02% -19.59 5-6
1985-11-24 New Orleans Saints L 23-30 1409.56 1366.62 69.61% 30.17% -23.88 5-7
1985-12-01 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 28-23 1385.68 1488.77 23.40% 76.37% +22.14 6-7
1985-12-08 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 26-7 1407.82 1347.28 71.70% 28.07% +15.89 7-7
1985-12-15 @ Atlanta Falcons L 13-14 1423.71 1332.35 48.34% 51.44% -6.27 7-8
1985-12-22 Philadelphia Eagles L 35-37 1417.44 1441.98 60.87% 38.91% -11.16 7-9
1985-09-08 Green Bay Packers W 26-20 1498.85 1542.87 58.17% 41.61% +13.23 1-0
1985-09-15 @ Chicago Bears L 7-20 1512.08 1542.21 31.74% 68.04% -14.86 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Buffalo Bills W 17-14 1497.22 1367.80 53.81% 45.97% +10.33 2-1
1985-09-29 Los Angeles Raiders L 20-35 1507.55 1534.96 60.47% 39.31% -30.37 2-2
1985-10-06 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 20-24 1477.18 1496.88 33.06% 66.72% -8.58 2-3
1985-10-13 Buffalo Bills W 14-3 1468.60 1317.12 81.00% 18.78% +8.09 3-3
1985-10-20 New York Jets W 20-13 1476.69 1564.91 51.89% 47.89% +16.44 4-3
1985-10-27 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 32-14 1493.13 1356.40 54.85% 44.92% +24.72 5-3
1985-11-03 Miami Dolphins W 17-13 1517.85 1596.27 53.29% 46.49% +12.06 6-3
1985-11-10 Indianapolis Colts W 34-15 1529.91 1383.68 80.53% 19.25% +10.90 7-3
1985-11-17 @ Seattle Seahawks W 20-13 1540.81 1599.42 28.30% 71.48% +24.51 8-3
1985-11-24 @ New York Jets L 13-16 1565.32 1581.81 33.47% 66.31% -7.52 8-4
1985-12-01 @ Indianapolis Colts W 38-31 1557.80 1344.61 65.34% 34.44% +11.82 9-4
1985-12-08 Detroit Lions W 23-6 1569.62 1475.02 75.49% 24.29% +13.01 10-4
1985-12-16 @ Miami Dolphins L 27-30 1582.63 1662.41 25.89% 73.88% -5.83 10-5
1985-12-22 Cincinnati Bengals W 34-23 1576.80 1507.38 72.72% 27.05% +11.65 11-5
1985-09-08 Kansas City Chiefs L 27-47 1463.77 1529.36 55.12% 44.65% -31.96 0-1
1985-09-15 @ Denver Broncos L 23-34 1431.81 1549.73 21.91% 77.87% -9.44 0-2
1985-09-22 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 20-13 1422.37 1408.95 65.92% 33.86% +11.63 1-2
1985-09-29 @ San Francisco 49ers W 20-17 1434.00 1669.97 12.45% 87.33% +19.61 2-2
1985-10-06 Philadelphia Eagles W 23-21 1453.61 1441.86 65.70% 34.08% +6.25 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 13-23 1459.86 1579.94 21.70% 78.08% -8.90 3-3
1985-10-20 @ Atlanta Falcons L 24-31 1450.96 1359.53 48.35% 51.43% -16.60 3-4
1985-10-27 New York Giants L 13-21 1434.36 1548.60 48.14% 51.63% -17.66 3-5
1985-11-03 @ Los Angeles Rams L 10-28 1416.70 1600.47 16.11% 83.67% -8.88 3-6
1985-11-10 Seattle Seahawks L 3-27 1407.82 1573.45 40.85% 58.93% -25.96 3-7
1985-11-17 @ Green Bay Packers L 14-38 1381.86 1479.65 23.95% 75.82% -15.24 3-8
1985-11-24 @ Minnesota Vikings W 30-23 1366.62 1409.56 30.17% 69.61% +23.88 4-8
1985-12-01 Los Angeles Rams W 29-3 1390.50 1574.88 38.27% 61.51% +40.66 5-8
1985-12-08 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 16-28 1431.16 1388.52 41.42% 58.36% -18.61 5-9
1985-12-15 San Francisco 49ers L 19-31 1412.55 1678.78 27.90% 71.87% -12.55 5-10
1985-12-22 Atlanta Falcons L 10-16 1400.00 1338.62 71.80% 27.98% -22.80 5-11
1985-09-08 Philadelphia Eagles W 21-0 1508.61 1462.44 70.00% 29.78% +17.71 1-0
1985-09-15 @ Green Bay Packers L 20-23 1526.32 1529.65 35.17% 64.60% -7.91 1-1
1985-09-22 St. Louis Cardinals W 27-17 1518.41 1573.45 56.62% 43.16% +17.71 2-1
1985-09-29 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 16-10 1536.12 1458.84 46.32% 53.46% +16.98 3-1
1985-10-06 Dallas Cowboys L 29-30 1553.10 1563.14 62.83% 36.95% -8.15 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 30-35 1544.95 1470.57 45.91% 53.87% -13.32 3-3
1985-10-20 Washington Redskins W 17-3 1531.63 1526.50 64.84% 34.94% +16.97 4-3
1985-10-27 @ New Orleans Saints W 21-13 1548.60 1434.36 51.63% 48.14% +17.66 5-3
1985-11-03 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 22-20 1566.26 1331.67 87.24% 12.54% +2.30 6-3
1985-11-10 Los Angeles Rams W 24-19 1568.56 1609.34 58.62% 41.16% +11.94 7-3
1985-11-18 @ Washington Redskins L 21-23 1580.50 1542.67 40.75% 59.03% -7.47 7-4
1985-11-24 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 34-3 1573.03 1430.51 55.68% 44.10% +31.85 8-4
1985-12-01 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 33-35 1604.88 1501.78 76.38% 23.40% -14.00 8-5
1985-12-08 @ Houston Oilers W 35-14 1590.88 1351.70 68.64% 31.14% +18.52 9-5
1985-12-15 @ Dallas Cowboys L 21-28 1609.40 1533.73 46.09% 53.69% -15.82 9-6
1985-12-21 Pittsburgh Steelers W 28-10 1593.58 1500.14 75.36% 24.41% +13.45 10-6
1985-09-08 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 0-31 1457.16 1574.70 21.95% 77.83% -15.86 0-1
1985-09-15 Buffalo Bills W 42-3 1441.30 1391.60 70.43% 29.35% +23.79 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Green Bay Packers W 24-3 1465.09 1537.55 26.71% 73.07% +43.41 2-1
1985-09-29 Indianapolis Colts W 25-20 1508.50 1388.19 78.10% 21.67% +6.29 3-1
1985-10-06 @ Cincinnati Bengals W 29-20 1514.79 1494.47 38.34% 61.44% +23.90 4-1
1985-10-14 Miami Dolphins W 23-7 1538.69 1645.41 49.23% 50.55% +26.22 5-1
1985-10-20 @ New England Patriots L 13-20 1564.91 1476.69 47.89% 51.89% -16.43 5-2
1985-10-27 Seattle Seahawks W 17-14 1548.48 1549.97 63.97% 35.81% +8.05 6-2
1985-11-03 @ Indianapolis Colts W 35-17 1556.53 1407.45 56.61% 43.17% +23.76 7-2
1985-11-10 @ Miami Dolphins L 17-21 1580.29 1584.21 35.10% 64.68% -9.11 7-3
1985-11-17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers W 62-28 1571.18 1359.22 85.74% 14.04% +10.63 8-3
1985-11-24 New England Patriots W 16-13 1581.81 1565.32 66.31% 33.47% +7.52 9-3
1985-11-28 @ Detroit Lions L 20-31 1589.33 1451.35 55.03% 44.75% -23.66 9-4
1985-12-08 @ Buffalo Bills W 27-7 1565.67 1307.75 70.90% 28.88% +16.76 10-4
1985-12-14 Chicago Bears L 6-19 1582.43 1709.53 46.30% 53.48% -21.65 10-5
1985-12-22 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 37-10 1560.78 1506.27 71.00% 28.78% +19.41 11-5
1985-09-08 @ New York Giants L 0-21 1462.44 1508.61 29.78% 70.00% -17.71 0-1
1985-09-15 Los Angeles Rams L 6-17 1444.73 1531.68 52.07% 47.71% -22.39 0-2
1985-09-22 @ Washington Redskins W 19-6 1422.34 1542.45 21.69% 78.09% +36.50 1-2
1985-09-29 New York Giants L 10-16 1458.84 1536.12 53.46% 46.32% -16.98 1-3
1985-10-06 @ New Orleans Saints L 21-23 1441.86 1453.61 34.08% 65.70% -6.26 1-4
1985-10-13 St. Louis Cardinals W 30-7 1435.60 1544.47 48.92% 50.86% +31.64 2-4
1985-10-20 Dallas Cowboys W 16-14 1467.24 1584.77 47.67% 52.11% +9.55 3-4
1985-10-27 Buffalo Bills W 21-17 1476.79 1330.23 80.56% 19.22% +4.99 4-4
1985-11-03 @ San Francisco 49ers L 13-24 1481.78 1649.92 17.36% 82.41% -7.48 4-5
1985-11-10 Atlanta Falcons W 23-17 1474.30 1337.69 79.66% 20.12% +6.41 5-5
1985-11-17 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 24-14 1480.71 1455.42 39.02% 60.76% +24.91 6-5
1985-11-24 @ Dallas Cowboys L 17-34 1505.62 1537.79 31.49% 68.29% -16.85 6-6
1985-12-01 Minnesota Vikings L 23-28 1488.77 1385.68 76.37% 23.40% -22.14 6-7
1985-12-08 Washington Redskins L 12-17 1466.63 1538.60 54.21% 45.56% -15.72 6-8
1985-12-15 @ San Diego Chargers L 14-20 1450.91 1511.32 28.09% 71.69% -8.93 6-9
1985-12-22 @ Minnesota Vikings W 37-35 1441.98 1417.44 38.91% 60.87% +11.16 7-9
1985-09-08 Indianapolis Colts W 45-3 1541.80 1393.82 80.69% 19.09% +16.07 1-0
1985-09-16 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-17 1557.87 1457.19 49.68% 50.09% -20.37 1-1
1985-09-22 Houston Oilers W 20-0 1537.50 1390.49 80.60% 19.18% +11.13 2-1
1985-09-30 Cincinnati Bengals L 24-37 1548.63 1459.45 74.91% 24.87% -35.01 2-2
1985-10-06 @ Miami Dolphins L 20-24 1513.62 1639.93 21.09% 78.68% -5.48 2-3
1985-10-13 @ Dallas Cowboys L 13-27 1508.14 1571.28 27.77% 72.00% -13.49 2-4
1985-10-20 St. Louis Cardinals W 23-10 1494.65 1512.84 61.73% 38.05% +17.80 3-4
1985-10-27 @ Cincinnati Bengals L 21-26 1512.45 1453.81 43.67% 56.11% -12.67 3-5
1985-11-03 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 10-9 1499.78 1497.64 64.45% 35.33% +4.59 4-5
1985-11-10 @ Kansas City Chiefs W 36-28 1504.37 1472.33 39.94% 59.83% +21.94 5-5
1985-11-17 @ Houston Oilers W 30-7 1526.31 1381.56 55.99% 43.79% +27.24 6-5
1985-11-24 Washington Redskins L 23-30 1553.55 1550.15 64.61% 35.16% -22.16 6-6
1985-12-01 Denver Broncos L 23-31 1531.39 1592.57 55.75% 44.03% -20.45 6-7
1985-12-08 @ San Diego Chargers L 44-54 1510.94 1495.88 37.62% 62.15% -15.44 6-8
1985-12-15 Buffalo Bills W 30-24 1495.50 1290.98 85.22% 14.56% +4.64 7-8
1985-12-21 @ New York Giants L 10-28 1500.14 1593.58 24.41% 75.36% -13.45 7-9
1985-09-08 @ Buffalo Bills W 14-9 1483.57 1407.13 46.20% 53.58% +15.53 1-0
1985-09-15 Seattle Seahawks L 35-49 1499.10 1571.65 54.13% 45.65% -26.26 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Cincinnati Bengals W 44-41 1472.84 1473.89 35.47% 64.30% +14.44 2-1
1985-09-29 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-21 1487.28 1464.31 67.14% 32.64% -32.57 2-2
1985-10-06 @ Seattle Seahawks L 21-26 1454.71 1545.97 24.65% 75.13% -7.15 2-3
1985-10-13 Kansas City Chiefs W 31-20 1447.56 1565.26 47.65% 52.13% +22.42 3-3
1985-10-20 @ Minnesota Vikings L 17-21 1469.98 1445.24 38.94% 60.84% -10.11 3-4
1985-10-28 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 21-34 1459.87 1596.07 20.16% 79.62% -9.44 3-5
1985-11-03 Denver Broncos W 30-10 1450.43 1622.64 39.94% 59.84% +34.70 4-5
1985-11-10 Los Angeles Raiders W 40-34 1485.13 1573.99 51.79% 47.98% +15.24 5-5
1985-11-17 @ Denver Broncos L 24-30 1500.37 1593.81 24.41% 75.36% -7.76 5-6
1985-11-24 @ Houston Oilers L 35-37 1492.61 1354.32 55.07% 44.70% -10.10 5-7
1985-12-01 Buffalo Bills W 40-7 1482.51 1321.12 81.85% 17.93% +13.37 6-7
1985-12-08 Pittsburgh Steelers W 54-44 1495.88 1510.94 62.15% 37.62% +15.44 7-7
1985-12-15 Philadelphia Eagles W 20-14 1511.32 1450.91 71.69% 28.09% +8.93 8-7
1985-12-22 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 34-38 1520.25 1454.13 44.73% 55.05% -11.60 8-8
1985-09-08 @ Minnesota Vikings L 21-28 1650.89 1400.30 70.03% 29.75% -24.02 0-1
1985-09-15 Atlanta Falcons W 35-16 1626.87 1416.71 85.62% 14.16% +8.02 1-1
1985-09-22 @ Los Angeles Raiders W 34-10 1634.89 1570.04 44.55% 55.23% +35.08 2-1
1985-09-29 New Orleans Saints L 17-20 1669.97 1434.00 87.33% 12.45% -19.61 2-2
1985-10-06 @ Atlanta Falcons W 38-17 1650.36 1379.91 72.36% 27.42% +16.31 3-2
1985-10-13 Chicago Bears L 10-26 1666.67 1609.73 71.28% 28.50% -36.96 3-3
1985-10-20 @ Detroit Lions L 21-23 1629.71 1422.31 64.58% 35.19% -11.84 3-4
1985-10-27 @ Los Angeles Rams W 28-14 1617.87 1632.52 33.70% 66.08% +32.05 4-4
1985-11-03 Philadelphia Eagles W 24-13 1649.92 1481.78 82.41% 17.36% +7.48 5-4
1985-11-11 @ Denver Broncos L 16-17 1657.40 1587.95 45.20% 54.57% -5.86 5-5
1985-11-17 Kansas City Chiefs W 31-3 1651.54 1450.39 84.97% 14.80% +10.17 6-5
1985-11-25 Seattle Seahawks W 19-6 1661.71 1574.90 74.65% 25.12% +11.76 7-5
1985-12-01 @ Washington Redskins W 35-8 1673.47 1572.31 49.75% 50.03% +33.71 8-5
1985-12-09 Los Angeles Rams L 20-27 1707.18 1534.22 82.81% 16.97% -28.40 8-6
1985-12-15 @ New Orleans Saints W 31-19 1678.78 1412.55 71.87% 27.90% +12.55 9-6
1985-12-22 Dallas Cowboys W 31-16 1691.33 1549.55 80.13% 19.65% +9.88 10-6
1985-09-08 @ Cincinnati Bengals W 28-24 1556.98 1501.46 43.23% 56.55% +14.67 1-0
1985-09-15 @ San Diego Chargers W 49-35 1571.65 1499.10 45.65% 54.13% +26.26 2-0
1985-09-23 Los Angeles Rams L 24-35 1597.91 1554.08 69.72% 30.06% -29.97 2-1
1985-09-29 @ Kansas City Chiefs L 7-28 1567.94 1557.91 36.95% 62.83% -21.97 2-2
1985-10-06 San Diego Chargers W 26-21 1545.97 1454.71 75.13% 24.65% +7.15 3-2
1985-10-13 Atlanta Falcons W 30-26 1553.12 1363.60 84.11% 15.67% +4.07 4-2
1985-10-20 @ Denver Broncos L 10-13 1557.19 1584.47 32.10% 67.68% -7.22 4-3
1985-10-27 @ New York Jets L 14-17 1549.97 1548.48 35.81% 63.97% -8.04 4-4
1985-11-03 Los Angeles Raiders W 33-3 1541.93 1605.51 55.41% 44.37% +31.52 5-4
1985-11-10 @ New Orleans Saints W 27-3 1573.45 1407.82 58.93% 40.85% +25.97 6-4
1985-11-17 New England Patriots L 13-20 1599.42 1540.81 71.48% 28.30% -24.52 6-5
1985-11-25 @ San Francisco 49ers L 6-19 1574.90 1661.71 25.12% 74.65% -11.76 6-6
1985-12-01 Kansas City Chiefs W 24-6 1563.14 1452.14 77.18% 22.60% +12.45 7-6
1985-12-08 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 31-13 1575.59 1515.79 71.62% 28.16% +15.51 8-6
1985-12-15 @ Los Angeles Raiders L 3-13 1591.10 1606.61 33.59% 66.19% -13.79 8-7
1985-12-20 Denver Broncos L 24-27 1577.31 1600.54 61.04% 38.73% -13.71 8-8
1985-09-08 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 27-24 1548.61 1469.12 46.64% 53.14% +11.94 1-0
1985-09-15 Cincinnati Bengals W 41-27 1560.55 1486.79 73.21% 26.57% +12.90 2-0
1985-09-22 @ New York Giants L 17-27 1573.45 1518.41 43.16% 56.62% -17.70 2-1
1985-09-29 Green Bay Packers W 43-28 1555.75 1494.14 71.83% 27.95% +14.05 3-1
1985-10-07 @ Washington Redskins L 10-27 1569.80 1485.28 47.36% 52.42% -25.33 3-2
1985-10-13 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 7-30 1544.47 1435.60 50.86% 48.92% -31.63 3-3
1985-10-20 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 10-23 1512.84 1494.65 38.05% 61.73% -17.80 3-4
1985-10-27 Houston Oilers L 10-20 1495.04 1367.33 78.82% 20.96% -32.31 3-5
1985-11-04 Dallas Cowboys W 21-10 1462.73 1582.49 47.35% 52.43% +22.55 4-5
1985-11-10 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers L 0-16 1485.28 1329.37 57.57% 42.21% -29.86 4-6
1985-11-17 Philadelphia Eagles L 14-24 1455.42 1480.71 60.76% 39.02% -24.91 4-7
1985-11-24 New York Giants L 3-34 1430.51 1573.03 44.10% 55.68% -31.85 4-8
1985-11-28 @ Dallas Cowboys L 17-35 1398.66 1554.64 18.39% 81.39% -10.14 4-9
1985-12-08 New Orleans Saints W 28-16 1388.52 1431.16 58.36% 41.42% +18.62 5-9
1985-12-15 @ Los Angeles Rams L 14-46 1407.14 1562.62 18.43% 81.35% -13.55 5-10
1985-12-21 Washington Redskins L 16-27 1393.59 1561.18 40.58% 59.20% -17.46 5-11
1985-09-08 @ Chicago Bears L 28-38 1453.03 1531.53 26.04% 73.74% -10.69 0-1
1985-09-15 Minnesota Vikings L 16-31 1442.34 1424.32 66.51% 33.27% -33.39 0-2
1985-09-22 @ New Orleans Saints L 13-20 1408.95 1422.37 33.86% 65.92% -11.63 0-3
1985-09-29 @ Detroit Lions L 9-30 1397.32 1445.54 29.53% 70.25% -17.56 0-4
1985-10-06 Chicago Bears L 19-27 1379.76 1597.30 33.87% 65.90% -12.44 0-5
1985-10-13 Los Angeles Rams L 27-31 1367.32 1595.12 32.56% 67.21% -8.45 0-6
1985-10-20 @ Miami Dolphins L 38-41 1358.87 1619.18 11.00% 88.78% -2.47 0-7
1985-10-27 New England Patriots L 14-32 1356.40 1493.13 44.92% 54.85% -24.73 0-8
1985-11-03 @ New York Giants L 20-22 1331.67 1566.26 12.54% 87.24% -2.30 0-9
1985-11-10 St. Louis Cardinals W 16-0 1329.37 1485.28 42.21% 57.57% +29.85 1-9
1985-11-17 @ New York Jets L 28-62 1359.22 1571.18 14.04% 85.74% -10.63 1-10
1985-11-24 Detroit Lions W 19-16 1348.59 1462.95 48.13% 51.65% +11.60 2-10
1985-12-01 @ Green Bay Packers L 0-21 1360.19 1480.15 21.71% 78.07% -12.91 2-11
1985-12-08 @ Minnesota Vikings L 7-26 1347.28 1407.82 28.07% 71.70% -15.89 2-12
1985-12-15 Indianapolis Colts L 23-31 1331.39 1330.71 64.26% 35.52% -23.56 2-13
1985-12-22 Green Bay Packers L 17-20 1307.83 1489.52 38.64% 61.14% -8.68 2-14
1985-09-09 @ Dallas Cowboys L 14-44 1567.96 1520.62 42.07% 57.70% -29.90 0-1
1985-09-15 Houston Oilers W 16-13 1538.06 1394.88 80.26% 19.52% +4.39 1-1
1985-09-22 Philadelphia Eagles L 6-19 1542.45 1422.34 78.09% 21.69% -36.50 1-2
1985-09-29 @ Chicago Bears L 10-45 1505.95 1576.63 26.91% 72.87% -20.67 1-3
1985-10-07 St. Louis Cardinals W 27-10 1485.28 1569.80 52.42% 47.36% +25.33 2-3
1985-10-13 Detroit Lions W 24-3 1510.61 1438.20 73.06% 26.72% +15.89 3-3
1985-10-20 @ New York Giants L 3-17 1526.50 1531.63 34.94% 64.84% -16.96 3-4
1985-10-27 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 14-7 1509.54 1520.12 34.23% 65.55% +22.48 4-4
1985-11-03 @ Atlanta Falcons W 44-10 1532.02 1368.85 58.58% 41.19% +31.16 5-4
1985-11-10 Dallas Cowboys L 7-13 1563.18 1559.94 64.59% 35.18% -20.51 5-5
1985-11-18 New York Giants W 23-21 1542.67 1580.50 59.03% 40.75% +7.48 6-5
1985-11-24 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 30-23 1550.15 1553.55 35.16% 64.61% +22.16 7-5
1985-12-01 San Francisco 49ers L 8-35 1572.31 1673.47 50.03% 49.75% -33.71 7-6
1985-12-08 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 17-12 1538.60 1466.63 45.56% 54.21% +15.72 8-6
1985-12-15 Cincinnati Bengals W 27-24 1554.32 1514.24 69.26% 30.51% +6.86 9-6
1985-12-21 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 27-16 1561.18 1393.59 59.20% 40.58% +17.46 10-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1986-01-05 New York Giants W 21-0 1746.27 1630.69 77.78% 22.22% +13.17 1-0
1986-01-12 Los Angeles Rams W 24-0 1759.44 1572.04 84.11% 15.89% +10.08 2-0
1986-01-26 @ New England Patriots W 46-10 1769.52 1676.74 63.04% 36.96% +28.69 3-0
1986-01-04 @ Miami Dolphins L 21-24 1486.86 1672.21 16.05% 83.95% -3.60 0-1
1986-01-04 @ Los Angeles Rams L 0-20 1539.66 1552.33 34.06% 65.94% -19.71 0-1
1986-01-05 New England Patriots L 20-27 1644.23 1616.78 67.83% 32.17% -23.22 0-1
1986-01-04 Dallas Cowboys W 20-0 1552.33 1539.66 65.94% 34.06% +19.71 1-0
1986-01-12 @ Chicago Bears L 0-24 1572.04 1759.44 15.89% 84.11% -10.08 1-1
1986-01-04 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 24-21 1672.21 1486.86 83.95% 16.05% +3.59 1-0
1986-01-12 New England Patriots L 14-31 1675.80 1640.00 68.87% 31.13% -36.74 1-1
1985-12-28 @ New York Jets W 26-14 1588.45 1580.19 36.81% 63.19% +28.33 1-0
1986-01-05 @ Los Angeles Raiders W 27-20 1616.78 1644.23 32.17% 67.83% +23.22 2-0
1986-01-12 @ Miami Dolphins W 31-14 1640.00 1675.80 31.13% 68.87% +36.74 3-0
1986-01-26 Chicago Bears L 10-46 1676.74 1769.52 36.96% 63.04% -28.69 3-1
1985-12-29 San Francisco 49ers W 17-3 1607.03 1701.21 51.14% 48.86% +23.66 1-0
1986-01-05 @ Chicago Bears L 0-21 1630.69 1746.27 22.22% 77.78% -13.18 1-1
1985-12-28 New England Patriots L 14-26 1580.19 1588.45 63.19% 36.81% -28.32 0-1
1985-12-29 @ New York Giants L 3-17 1701.21 1607.03 48.86% 51.14% -23.66 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-09-29 12.45% New Orleans Saints 1434.00 20 @ San Francisco 49ers 1669.97 17
2 1985-12-09 16.97% Los Angeles Rams 1534.22 27 @ San Francisco 49ers 1707.18 20
3 1985-10-27 20.96% Houston Oilers 1367.33 20 @ St. Louis Cardinals 1495.04 10
4 1985-09-22 21.69% Philadelphia Eagles 1422.34 19 @ Washington Redskins 1542.45 6
5 1985-12-01 23.40% Cleveland Browns (1st) 1501.78 35 @ New York Giants 1604.88 33
6 1985-12-01 23.40% Minnesota Vikings 1385.68 28 @ Philadelphia Eagles 1488.77 23
7 1985-09-30 24.87% Cincinnati Bengals 1459.45 37 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1548.63 24
8 1985-09-22 26.71% New York Jets 1465.09 24 @ Green Bay Packers 1537.55 3
9 1985-11-17 27.92% @ Atlanta Falcons 1331.29 30 Los Angeles Rams 1597.41 14
10 1985-12-22 27.98% Atlanta Falcons 1338.62 16 @ New Orleans Saints 1400.00 10
11 1985-11-17 28.30% New England Patriots 1540.81 20 @ Seattle Seahawks 1599.42 13
12 1985-10-13 28.50% Chicago Bears 1609.73 26 @ San Francisco 49ers 1666.67 10
13 1985-09-08 29.75% @ Minnesota Vikings 1400.30 28 San Francisco 49ers 1650.89 21
14 1985-09-23 30.06% Los Angeles Rams 1554.08 35 @ Seattle Seahawks 1597.91 24
15 1985-11-24 30.17% New Orleans Saints 1366.62 30 @ Minnesota Vikings 1409.56 23
16 1986-01-12 * 31.13% New England Patriots 1640.00 31 @ Miami Dolphins 1675.80 14
17 1986-01-05 * 32.17% New England Patriots 1616.78 27 @ Los Angeles Raiders 1644.23 20
18 1985-09-08 32.43% @ Houston Oilers 1379.75 26 Miami Dolphins 1608.62 23
19 1985-09-29 32.64% Cleveland Browns (1st) 1464.31 21 @ San Diego Chargers 1487.28 7
20 1985-12-08 32.83% Los Angeles Raiders 1591.57 17 @ Denver Broncos 1613.01 14
21 1985-09-15 33.27% Minnesota Vikings 1424.32 31 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1442.34 16
22 1985-10-27 33.70% San Francisco 49ers 1617.87 28 @ Los Angeles Rams 1632.52 14
23 1985-10-27 34.23% Washington Redskins 1509.54 14 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1520.12 7
24 1985-11-24 35.16% Washington Redskins 1550.15 30 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1553.55 23
25 1985-11-10 35.18% Dallas Cowboys 1559.94 13 @ Washington Redskins 1563.18 7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-09-22 43.41 New York Jets 24 1465.09 26.71% @ Green Bay Packers 3 1537.55 73.07%
2 1985-11-17 42.66 Chicago Bears 44 1684.62 50.19% @ Dallas Cowboys 0 1580.45 49.59%
3 1985-12-01 40.66 @ New Orleans Saints 29 1390.50 38.27% Los Angeles Rams 3 1574.88 61.51%
4 1985-11-17 37.27 @ Atlanta Falcons 30 1331.29 27.92% Los Angeles Rams 14 1597.41 71.86%
5 1985-10-13 36.97 Chicago Bears 26 1609.73 28.50% @ San Francisco 49ers 10 1666.67 71.28%
6 1986-01-12 * 36.74 New England Patriots 31 1640.00 31.13% @ Miami Dolphins 14 1675.80 68.87%
7 1985-09-22 36.50 Philadelphia Eagles 19 1422.34 21.69% @ Washington Redskins 6 1542.45 78.09%
8 1985-10-27 36.30 @ Indianapolis Colts 37 1371.15 45.91% Green Bay Packers 10 1500.98 53.87%
9 1985-09-22 35.08 San Francisco 49ers 34 1634.89 44.55% @ Los Angeles Raiders 10 1570.04 55.23%
10 1985-09-30 35.02 Cincinnati Bengals 37 1459.45 24.87% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 24 1548.63 74.91%
11 1985-11-03 34.70 @ San Diego Chargers 30 1450.43 39.94% Denver Broncos 10 1622.64 59.84%
12 1985-12-01 33.71 San Francisco 49ers 35 1673.47 49.75% @ Washington Redskins 8 1572.31 50.03%
13 1985-09-15 33.39 Minnesota Vikings 31 1424.32 33.27% @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 1442.34 66.51%
14 1985-09-29 32.57 Cleveland Browns (1st) 21 1464.31 32.64% @ San Diego Chargers 7 1487.28 67.14%
15 1985-10-27 32.32 Houston Oilers 20 1367.33 20.96% @ St. Louis Cardinals 10 1495.04 78.82%
16 1985-10-27 32.05 San Francisco 49ers 28 1617.87 33.70% @ Los Angeles Rams 14 1632.52 66.08%
17 1985-09-08 31.97 Kansas City Chiefs 47 1529.36 44.65% @ New Orleans Saints 27 1463.77 55.12%
18 1985-11-24 31.85 New York Giants 34 1573.03 55.68% @ St. Louis Cardinals 3 1430.51 44.10%
19 1985-10-13 31.64 @ Philadelphia Eagles 30 1435.60 48.92% St. Louis Cardinals 7 1544.47 50.86%
20 1985-11-03 31.52 @ Seattle Seahawks 33 1541.93 55.41% Los Angeles Raiders 3 1605.51 44.37%
21 1985-11-03 31.16 Washington Redskins 44 1532.02 58.58% @ Atlanta Falcons 10 1368.85 41.19%
22 1985-12-08 31.04 @ Cincinnati Bengals 50 1483.20 52.84% Dallas Cowboys 24 1564.77 46.94%
23 1985-10-27 30.96 Denver Broncos 30 1591.69 46.40% @ Kansas City Chiefs 10 1513.89 53.38%
24 1985-09-29 30.37 Los Angeles Raiders 35 1534.96 39.31% @ New England Patriots 20 1507.55 60.47%
25 1985-10-20 30.07 @ Houston Oilers 44 1337.26 43.52% Cincinnati Bengals 27 1483.88 56.26%