1967 NFL Season

112 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1966

Runner-Up

Dallas Cowboys

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Los Angeles Rams

3.35 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.65 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New Orleans Saints

2.49 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.49 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	9	5	0	.643	-	342	268	+74	8.83	+0.17
2	Philadelphia Eagles	6	7	1	.464	2.5	351	409	-58	7.06	-0.56
3	Washington Redskins	5	6	3	.464	2.5	347	353	-6	7.12	-0.62
4	New Orleans Saints	3	11	0	.214	6	233	379	-146	5.49	-2.49

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	9	4	1	.679	-	332	209	+123	9.89	-0.39
2	Chicago Bears	7	6	1	.536	2	239	218	+21	6.87	+0.63
3	Detroit Lions	5	7	2	.429	3.5	260	259	+1	5.97	+0.03
4	Minnesota Vikings	3	8	3	.321	5	233	294	-61	5.85	-1.35

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9	5	0	.643	-	334	297	+37	8.61	+0.39
2	New York Giants	7	7	0	.500	2	369	379	-10	5.29	+1.71
3	St. Louis Cardinals	6	7	1	.464	2.5	333	356	-23	7.17	-0.67
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	9	1	.321	4.5	281	320	-39	5.95	-1.45

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams	11	1	2	.857	-	398	196	+202	8.65	+3.35
2	Baltimore Colts	11	1	2	.857	-	394	198	+196	9.49	+2.51
3	San Francisco 49ers	7	7	0	.500	5	273	337	-64	6.60	+0.40
4	Atlanta Falcons	1	12	1	.107	10.5	175	422	-247	3.16	-1.66

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Western Conference

NFL Championship Game

Green Bay Packers 21

Dallas Cowboys 17

Dec 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Los Angeles Rams	West	Coastal	1689	12	8.65	+3.35	99.65%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Baltimore Colts	West	Coastal	1674	12	9.49	+2.51	98.68%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Green Bay Packers	West	Central	1662	9.5	9.89	-0.39	52.83%	1	6	8	9	11	12	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	Century	1581	9	8.61	+0.39	80.14%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Dallas Cowboys	East	Capitol	1579	9	8.83	+0.17	76.64%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Chicago Bears	West	Central	1544	7.5	6.87	+0.63	76.86%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Washington Redskins	East	Capitol	1481	6.5	7.12	-0.62	51.50%	0	4	5	6	8	9	13
San Francisco 49ers	West	Coastal	1467	7	6.60	+0.40	81.53%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Philadelphia Eagles	East	Capitol	1464	6.5	7.06	-0.56	52.98%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Detroit Lions	West	Central	1461	6	5.97	+0.03	75.46%	0	3	4	5	6	8	13
St. Louis Cardinals	East	Century	1460	6.5	7.17	-0.67	50.69%	0	4	5	6	8	9	14
New York Giants	East	Century	1434	7	5.29	+1.71	94.78%	0	2	3	5	6	8	13
Minnesota Vikings	West	Central	1432	4.5	5.85	-1.35	35.14%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	Century	1425	4.5	5.95	-1.45	33.42%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
New Orleans Saints	East	Capitol	1395	3	5.49	-2.49	22.00%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Atlanta Falcons	West	Coastal	1250	1.5	3.16	-1.66	21.59%	0	0	2	3	4	5	10

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Capitol

Team	Cowboys	Saints	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

Capitol vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	Colts	Bears	(1st)	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	Giants	Steelers	49ers	Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	0-0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

Central vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	Colts	(1st)	Cowboys	Rams	Saints	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	49ers	Cardinals	Redskins
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-
Minnesota Vikings	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-

Within Century

Team	(1st)	Giants	Steelers	Cardinals
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

Century vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	Colts	Bears	Cowboys	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	Saints	Eagles	49ers	Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Within Coastal

Team	Falcons	Colts	Rams	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Baltimore Colts	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

Coastal vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	(1st)	Cowboys	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Saints	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Atlanta Falcons	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Baltimore Colts	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.45%	1.34%	1.79%	0.89%	0.89%	0.45%	5.80%
7–13	0.45%	4.46%	3.57%	2.68%	2.68%	3.12%	1.79%	18.75%
14–20	1.34%	3.57%	6.25%	4.91%	4.02%	1.34%	0.45%	21.88%
21–27	1.79%	2.68%	4.91%	8.93%	3.12%	1.34%	1.34%	24.11%
28–34	0.89%	2.68%	4.02%	3.12%	2.68%	1.79%	—	15.18%
35–41	0.89%	3.12%	1.34%	1.34%	1.79%	0.89%	0.45%	9.82%
42+	0.45%	1.79%	0.45%	1.34%	—	0.45%	—	4.46%
Total	5.80%	18.75%	21.88%	24.11%	15.18%	9.82%	4.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.85	21.85	+0.00
SD	11.31	11.31	17.61
CV	0.52	0.52	—
Max	55	55	+48
Min	0	0	-48

Games Played: 112

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	21.43%	28.57%	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.50	30.14	-17.64
SD	10.35	9.04	13.72
CV	0.83	0.30	—
Max	31	49	+1
Min	0	20	-42

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	50.00%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.14	14.14	+14.00
SD	11.69	9.70	17.91
CV	0.42	0.69	—
Max	49	34	+42
Min	10	3	-24

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	35.71%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.07	15.57	+1.50
SD	10.15	10.59	17.69
CV	0.59	0.68	—
Max	34	41	+27
Min	0	3	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.86	21.21	+2.64
SD	10.66	14.87	19.75
CV	0.45	0.70	—
Max	42	55	+35
Min	7	0	-48

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%	—	—	—	42.86%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	21.43%	21.43%	50.00%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.43	19.14	+5.29
SD	10.95	7.63	14.74
CV	0.45	0.40	—
Max	46	35	+30
Min	13	7	-22

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.57	18.50	+0.07
SD	11.65	12.97	20.56
CV	0.63	0.70	—
Max	45	41	+42
Min	3	3	-34

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	—	28.57%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	35.71%	—	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.71	14.93	+8.79
SD	13.88	8.98	15.00
CV	0.59	0.60	—
Max	55	27	+48
Min	7	0	-7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	—	21.43%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	42.86%
35–41	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	35.71%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.43	14.00	+14.43
SD	5.98	9.04	11.71
CV	0.21	0.65	—
Max	39	28	+36
Min	17	3	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
7–13	—	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.64	21.00	-4.36
SD	10.90	9.64	11.19
CV	0.66	0.46	—
Max	41	39	+14
Min	3	7	-36

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	—	7.14%	57.14%
14–20	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	21.43%	42.86%	21.43%	—	14.29%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.64	27.07	-10.43
SD	8.23	9.71	13.63
CV	0.49	0.36	—
Max	31	48	+16
Min	7	14	-35

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	—	—	21.43%	—	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	7.14%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.36	27.07	-0.71
SD	11.36	10.78	18.84
CV	0.43	0.40	—
Max	44	48	+37
Min	7	7	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
14–20	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.07	29.21	-4.14
SD	12.23	11.27	21.54
CV	0.49	0.39	—
Max	48	48	+31
Min	6	7	-37

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.07	22.86	-2.79
SD	8.32	9.48	12.28
CV	0.41	0.41	—
Max	41	41	+28
Min	10	10	-20

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
14–20	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	21.43%	14.29%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.50	24.07	-4.57
SD	12.38	10.66	19.00
CV	0.63	0.44	—
Max	38	45	+31
Min	0	7	-42

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	21.43%	—	—	14.29%	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
28–34	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	—	42.86%	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.79	25.43	-1.64
SD	11.57	9.81	17.41
CV	0.49	0.39	—
Max	48	46	+34
Min	3	14	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.79	25.21	-0.43
SD	8.83	9.78	8.59
CV	0.36	0.39	—
Max	38	42	+20
Min	13	10	-16

Games Played: 14

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.65	+0.4
Allowed	0.49	-0.3
Differential	0.84	+0.2

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Los Angeles Rams	12	8.65	+3.35
2	Baltimore Colts	12	9.49	+2.51
3	New York Giants	7	5.29	+1.71
4	Chicago Bears	7.5	6.87	+0.63
5	San Francisco 49ers	7	6.60	+0.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New Orleans Saints	3	5.49	-2.49
2	Atlanta Falcons	1.5	3.16	-1.66
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	4.5	5.95	-1.45
4	Minnesota Vikings	4.5	5.85	-1.35
5	St. Louis Cardinals	6.5	7.17	-0.67

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Rams	8	Oct 29 – Dec 17	1 in 53
2	Baltimore Colts	7	Oct 29 – Dec 10	1 in 16
3	San Francisco 49ers	3	Oct 8 – Oct 22	1 in 13
4	St. Louis Cardinals	3	Sep 24 – Oct 8	1 in 11
5	Chicago Bears	3	Nov 5 – Nov 19	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New Orleans Saints	7	Sep 17 – Oct 29	1 in 117
2	San Francisco 49ers	6	Oct 29 – Dec 3	1 in 49
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	Sep 24 – Oct 22	1 in 40
4	Green Bay Packers	2	Dec 9 – Dec 17	1 in 18
5	Minnesota Vikings	4	Sep 17 – Oct 8	1 in 17

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	60.01%	24.85%	11.29%	3.85%
Washington Redskins	18.45%	31.94%	31.10%	18.51%
Philadelphia Eagles	17.48%	31.13%	31.87%	19.53%
New Orleans Saints	4.06%	12.09%	25.74%	58.12%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	82.43%	13.29%	3.48%	0.80%
Chicago Bears	9.64%	40.45%	29.96%	19.94%
Detroit Lions	4.35%	24.11%	33.95%	37.59%
Minnesota Vikings	3.57%	22.15%	32.60%	41.67%

Team	1	2	3	4
Cleveland Browns (1st)	62.28%	24.44%	9.86%	3.41%
St. Louis Cardinals	23.87%	38.45%	24.61%	13.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	9.07%	22.50%	36.15%	32.28%
New York Giants	4.77%	14.60%	29.39%	51.23%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Colts	59.38%	31.53%	8.76%	0.33%
Los Angeles Rams	34.20%	47.39%	17.66%	0.75%
San Francisco 49ers	6.36%	20.43%	65.70%	7.51%
Atlanta Falcons	0.06%	0.66%	7.87%	91.41%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Dallas Cowboys	36.08%	24.80%	15.44%	10.28%	6.54%	3.86%	2.13%	0.87%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.24%	25.57%	15.89%	11.40%	7.10%	4.75%	2.67%	1.37%
St. Louis Cardinals	9.54%	13.64%	16.36%	17.40%	14.60%	12.78%	9.22%	6.46%
Washington Redskins	9.16%	12.39%	16.57%	16.07%	16.01%	13.20%	10.24%	6.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.46%	12.16%	15.83%	16.16%	16.09%	13.68%	10.68%	6.93%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.82%	5.37%	8.65%	12.15%	15.07%	18.59%	18.45%	18.91%
New Orleans Saints	1.51%	3.21%	5.98%	8.35%	13.05%	16.49%	24.43%	26.97%
New York Giants	1.20%	2.85%	5.28%	8.18%	11.54%	16.66%	22.18%	32.11%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Green Bay Packers	43.04%	31.22%	13.66%	7.12%	3.02%	1.40%	0.50%	0.05%
Baltimore Colts	32.77%	29.32%	19.80%	10.19%	4.86%	2.32%	0.62%	0.12%
Los Angeles Rams	17.02%	22.05%	26.73%	17.09%	9.59%	5.44%	1.74%	0.34%
Chicago Bears	3.08%	6.59%	14.13%	21.38%	19.91%	17.64%	14.01%	3.25%
San Francisco 49ers	2.17%	5.38%	11.37%	16.56%	24.12%	23.01%	12.87%	4.53%
Detroit Lions	1.01%	2.88%	7.35%	14.06%	18.39%	22.75%	25.24%	8.32%
Minnesota Vikings	0.89%	2.52%	6.74%	12.96%	17.95%	21.99%	27.54%	9.41%
Atlanta Falcons	0.01%	0.04%	0.22%	0.64%	2.18%	5.46%	17.48%	73.98%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Green Bay Packers	31.72%	20.41%	15.42%	10.17%	7.07%	4.88%	3.50%	2.39%	1.64%	1.15%	0.74%	0.44%	0.27%	0.14%	0.05%	0.02%
Baltimore Colts	23.52%	17.46%	15.54%	11.46%	9.44%	6.75%	5.07%	3.68%	2.46%	1.80%	1.19%	0.82%	0.43%	0.24%	0.09%	0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	12.16%	16.24%	13.66%	12.99%	10.03%	8.78%	6.71%	5.47%	4.08%	3.23%	2.43%	1.76%	1.19%	0.74%	0.43%	0.10%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	10.36%	14.10%	12.70%	13.41%	10.09%	9.07%	6.99%	6.17%	4.62%	3.68%	2.96%	2.17%	1.67%	1.14%	0.70%	0.16%
Los Angeles Rams	11.26%	11.21%	12.79%	11.81%	12.17%	9.85%	8.19%	6.45%	4.96%	3.96%	2.75%	2.13%	1.21%	0.82%	0.32%	0.12%
St. Louis Cardinals	2.36%	4.34%	5.55%	7.24%	8.06%	9.06%	8.99%	9.14%	8.56%	7.83%	7.29%	6.53%	5.61%	4.54%	3.69%	1.22%
Washington Redskins	2.12%	4.18%	5.34%	6.74%	7.61%	9.05%	8.82%	8.99%	8.75%	8.49%	7.71%	6.73%	5.94%	4.67%	3.54%	1.31%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.06%	3.84%	5.04%	6.62%	7.50%	8.57%	8.60%	9.03%	8.81%	8.61%	7.87%	6.91%	6.33%	4.98%	3.74%	1.48%
Chicago Bears	1.67%	2.49%	3.99%	5.04%	7.08%	7.67%	9.25%	9.38%	9.24%	9.08%	8.38%	8.13%	6.97%	6.09%	3.78%	1.78%
San Francisco 49ers	1.09%	1.85%	3.13%	4.02%	5.74%	6.53%	7.99%	8.60%	10.05%	10.46%	9.75%	9.84%	7.58%	6.64%	4.26%	2.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.44%	1.16%	1.85%	2.86%	3.71%	4.84%	5.66%	7.06%	7.83%	8.56%	9.57%	10.19%	10.51%	10.28%	10.53%	4.95%
Detroit Lions	0.49%	0.89%	1.65%	2.34%	3.69%	4.50%	6.20%	6.89%	8.24%	9.01%	9.88%	10.60%	10.73%	11.50%	8.22%	5.18%
Minnesota Vikings	0.40%	0.75%	1.46%	2.09%	3.37%	4.15%	5.82%	6.58%	7.89%	8.47%	9.81%	10.80%	11.27%	12.02%	9.19%	5.96%
New Orleans Saints	0.21%	0.59%	1.03%	1.72%	2.33%	3.25%	4.06%	5.02%	6.37%	7.58%	9.02%	10.23%	12.67%	13.41%	14.36%	8.14%
New York Giants	0.15%	0.50%	0.84%	1.46%	2.05%	2.92%	3.91%	4.75%	5.77%	6.86%	8.76%	9.67%	12.12%	13.23%	17.51%	9.52%
Atlanta Falcons	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.12%	0.25%	0.40%	0.73%	1.21%	1.91%	3.02%	5.50%	9.55%	19.59%	57.56%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Cowboys	36.08%	24.80%	39.12%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.24%	25.57%	43.18%
St. Louis Cardinals	9.54%	13.64%	76.82%
Washington Redskins	9.16%	12.39%	78.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.46%	12.16%	79.37%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.82%	5.37%	91.81%
New Orleans Saints	1.51%	3.21%	95.28%
New York Giants	1.20%	2.85%	95.95%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	43.04%	31.22%	25.74%
Baltimore Colts	32.77%	29.32%	37.91%
Los Angeles Rams	17.02%	22.05%	60.93%
Chicago Bears	3.08%	6.59%	90.32%
San Francisco 49ers	2.17%	5.38%	92.45%
Detroit Lions	1.01%	2.88%	96.11%
Minnesota Vikings	0.89%	2.52%	96.59%
Atlanta Falcons	0.01%	0.04%	99.95%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+6.25%

Clear Edge

49.11%8.04%42.86%

Elo Value

Home Edge

18 Elo

0.056 points per Elo point

021.7450

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.66 points

Lean Home

-8+1.21+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd · Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th · Longshot: 9th or lower.

Title-Race Openness

5.6

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

26%

Green Bay Packers, 1st of 16

LongshotFavorite

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.4 · As Expected: 1.4 to 1.92 · Elevated: 1.92 to 2.62 · High Variance: 2.62 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.38 · Close: 2.38 to 3.22 · Off Target: 3.22 to 4.21 · Well Off Target: 4.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 16 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 16 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.8 · As Expected: 0.8 to 1.92 · Several Outliers: 1.92 to 3.52 · Many Outliers: 3.52 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.09 · As Expected: 1.09 to 1.82 · More Than Expected: 1.82 to 2.92 · Far More Than Expected: 2.92 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.49 wins

As Expected

01.754

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.06

Pinpoint

02.806

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.88%

99.65%

Los Angeles Rams

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.12%

21.59%

Atlanta Falcons

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 16

Several Outliers

01.68

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 4

Fewer Than Expected

01.54

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.95

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

70%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

93%

No Contest

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

21%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

34%

Routine

0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.49

Highly Predictable

00.522

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.87

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.78

Strong Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

As Expected

0%31%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 · Within Noise: 0.07 to 0.15 · Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.29 · Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.24

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.103

Within Noise

00.1460.4

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	74.26%	38.17%	25.67%
Baltimore Colts	62.09%	33.55%	23.05%
Los Angeles Rams	39.07%	21.66%	15.21%
Dallas Cowboys	60.88%	35.70%	13.33%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	56.82%	33.30%	12.53%
Washington Redskins	21.55%	8.82%	2.27%
St. Louis Cardinals	23.18%	8.86%	2.13%
Philadelphia Eagles	20.63%	7.87%	1.87%
Chicago Bears	9.68%	3.18%	1.59%
San Francisco 49ers	7.55%	1.85%	0.73%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.19%	2.66%	0.49%
Detroit Lions	3.89%	0.87%	0.34%
New York Giants	4.04%	1.41%	0.29%
Minnesota Vikings	3.41%	0.70%	0.26%
New Orleans Saints	4.72%	1.38%	0.24%
Atlanta Falcons	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)		50.2%30.36%	76.7%1.84%	72.8%0.76%	68.0%8.21%	73.9%1.66%	68.1%5.47%	65.1%8.52%
Dallas Cowboys	49.8%30.36%		74.8%1.33%	70.1%1.88%	67.1%6.31%	72.4%3.66%	66.5%10.63%	64.6%6.71%
New Orleans Saints	23.3%1.84%	25.2%1.33%		45.8%0.13%	36.9%0.29%	46.5%0.19%	40.4%0.62%	34.6%0.33%
New York Giants	27.2%0.76%	29.9%1.88%	54.2%0.13%		47.0%0.47%	57.5%0.09%	44.6%0.25%	39.6%0.47%
Philadelphia Eagles	32.0%8.21%	32.9%6.31%	63.1%0.29%	53.0%0.47%		59.1%0.97%	50.1%2.76%	48.5%1.61%
Pittsburgh Steelers	26.1%1.66%	27.6%3.66%	53.5%0.19%	42.5%0.09%	40.9%0.97%		43.1%0.57%	41.5%1.05%
St. Louis Cardinals	31.9%5.47%	33.5%10.63%	59.6%0.62%	55.4%0.25%	49.9%2.76%	56.9%0.57%		46.6%2.87%
Washington Redskins	34.9%8.52%	35.4%6.71%	65.4%0.33%	60.4%0.47%	51.5%1.61%	58.5%1.05%	53.4%2.87%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons		0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Baltimore Colts	100.0%0.01%		68.4%3.98%	79.8%1.66%	51.4%41.65%	47.8%11.55%	81.6%1.40%	77.9%1.84%
Chicago Bears	100.0%<0.01%	31.6%3.98%		61.7%0.09%	31.4%3.13%	29.6%2.06%	63.2%0.08%	65.4%0.34%
Detroit Lions	100.0%<0.01%	20.2%1.66%	38.3%0.09%		21.8%1.16%	20.2%0.81%	63.3%0.03%	48.2%0.14%
Green Bay Packers	86.7%0.03%	48.6%41.65%	68.6%3.13%	78.2%1.16%		46.8%23.04%	78.9%1.11%	76.8%4.15%
Los Angeles Rams	100.0%<0.01%	52.2%11.55%	70.4%2.06%	79.8%0.81%	53.2%23.04%		83.5%0.66%	76.6%0.95%
Minnesota Vikings	100.0%<0.01%	18.4%1.40%	36.8%0.08%	36.7%0.03%	21.1%1.11%	16.5%0.66%		46.6%0.13%
San Francisco 49ers	100.0%<0.01%	22.1%1.84%	34.6%0.34%	51.8%0.14%	23.2%4.15%	23.4%0.95%	53.4%0.13%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	0.0%<0.01%	35.9%11.14%	53.4%1.01%	66.8%0.27%	37.5%12.55%	33.6%7.41%	69.3%0.24%	66.7%0.66%
Dallas Cowboys	100.0%<0.01%	35.2%11.99%	54.9%1.17%	63.8%0.33%	37.1%13.76%	34.1%7.53%	66.3%0.26%	64.0%0.66%
New Orleans Saints		17.2%0.48%	40.0%0.04%	13.3%0.01%	15.4%0.54%	14.3%0.27%	12.5%<0.01%	42.9%0.03%
New York Giants		20.4%0.50%	40.5%0.04%	12.5%<0.01%	17.7%0.47%	18.4%0.35%	42.9%<0.01%	51.9%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles		22.4%2.60%	43.1%0.27%	62.5%0.08%	22.4%3.09%	19.9%1.65%	63.2%0.06%	52.6%0.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers		15.9%0.93%	32.9%0.07%	50.0%0.02%	20.9%1.00%	13.8%0.59%	63.6%0.01%	35.7%0.04%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.0%<0.01%	22.4%2.99%	37.9%0.25%	55.0%0.06%	23.2%3.32%	22.5%2.04%	53.8%0.05%	48.7%0.15%
Washington Redskins	100.0%<0.01%	24.3%2.93%	41.9%0.32%	51.6%0.10%	24.9%3.43%	23.0%1.83%	50.0%0.07%	48.3%0.15%
Atlanta Falcons									100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%					100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Baltimore Colts									64.1%11.14%	64.8%11.99%	82.8%0.48%	79.6%0.50%	77.6%2.60%	84.1%0.93%	77.6%2.99%	75.7%2.93%
Chicago Bears									46.6%1.01%	45.1%1.17%	60.0%0.04%	59.5%0.04%	56.9%0.27%	67.1%0.07%	62.1%0.25%	58.1%0.32%
Detroit Lions									33.2%0.27%	36.2%0.33%	86.7%0.01%	87.5%<0.01%	37.5%0.08%	50.0%0.02%	45.0%0.06%	48.4%0.10%
Green Bay Packers									62.5%12.55%	62.9%13.76%	84.6%0.54%	82.3%0.47%	77.6%3.09%	79.1%1.00%	76.8%3.32%	75.1%3.43%
Los Angeles Rams									66.4%7.41%	65.9%7.53%	85.7%0.27%	81.6%0.35%	80.1%1.65%	86.2%0.59%	77.5%2.04%	77.0%1.83%
Minnesota Vikings									30.7%0.24%	33.7%0.26%	87.5%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	36.8%0.06%	36.4%0.01%	46.2%0.05%	50.0%0.07%
San Francisco 49ers									33.3%0.66%	36.0%0.66%	57.1%0.03%	48.1%0.03%	47.4%0.14%	64.3%0.04%	51.3%0.15%	51.7%0.15%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Los Angeles Rams	55.67%	37.81%
Baltimore Colts	44.33%	29.62%
Dallas Cowboys	53.12%	17.10%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	46.88%	15.47%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland Browns (1st)		46.9%100.00%
Dallas Cowboys	53.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Colts		44.3%100.00%
Los Angeles Rams	55.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Los Angeles Rams	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland Browns (1st)	34.1%20.69%	32.2%26.19%
Dallas Cowboys	32.4%23.64%	32.0%29.49%
Baltimore Colts			65.9%20.69%	67.6%23.64%
Los Angeles Rams			67.8%26.19%	68.0%29.49%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Los Angeles Rams 37.81% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

55.67%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

53.02%

Win Prob

67.98%

Baltimore Colts 29.62% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

53.94%

Win Prob

67.59%

Dallas Cowboys 17.10% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.12%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

55.21%

Win Prob

32.02%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 15.47% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.88%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

54.44%

Win Prob

32.16%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-09-17	@ Baltimore Colts	L 31-38	1343.16	1568.09	17.07%	76.17%	-5.20	0-1
1967-09-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-38	1337.96	1521.15	20.44%	71.90%	-13.25	0-2
1967-10-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-23	1324.71	1633.06	11.67%	83.30%	-6.30	0-3
1967-10-08	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-38	1318.41	1516.99	23.63%	68.01%	-15.39	0-4
1967-10-15	Washington Redskins	T 20-20	1303.02	1504.65	23.33%	68.36%	+1.20	0-4
1967-10-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-24	1304.22	1427.94	26.11%	65.05%	-14.03	0-5
1967-10-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-20	1290.19	1436.93	29.05%	61.65%	+6.86	1-5
1967-11-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-37	1297.05	1570.27	13.74%	80.52%	-8.56	1-6
1967-11-12	Baltimore Colts	L 7-49	1288.49	1653.74	11.30%	83.80%	-8.23	1-7
1967-11-19	Los Angeles Rams	L 3-31	1280.26	1628.46	12.25%	82.52%	-7.32	1-8
1967-11-26	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1272.94	1376.23	28.30%	62.51%	-5.75	1-9
1967-12-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-20	1267.19	1650.16	8.13%	88.17%	-3.69	1-10
1967-12-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 28-34	1263.50	1439.91	25.84%	65.36%	-7.42	1-11
1967-12-17	Chicago Bears	L 14-23	1256.08	1538.22	16.55%	76.84%	-5.72	1-12
1967-09-17	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-31	1568.09	1343.16	76.17%	17.07%	+5.21	1-0
1967-09-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-6	1573.30	1530.91	47.31%	42.36%	+27.60	2-0
1967-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-7	1600.90	1534.39	57.69%	32.57%	+22.23	3-0
1967-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-3	1623.13	1492.93	59.49%	30.95%	+16.62	4-0
1967-10-15	Los Angeles Rams	T 24-24	1639.75	1591.29	55.24%	34.81%	-0.54	4-0
1967-10-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	T 20-20	1639.21	1435.72	68.58%	23.16%	-1.21	4-0
1967-10-29	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-13	1638.00	1504.26	59.96%	30.54%	+7.16	5-0
1967-11-05	Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1645.16	1658.08	46.57%	43.09%	+8.58	6-0
1967-11-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 49-7	1653.74	1288.49	83.80%	11.30%	+8.23	7-0
1967-11-19	Detroit Lions	W 41-7	1661.97	1464.61	73.40%	19.24%	+13.03	8-0
1967-11-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-9	1675.00	1467.92	68.99%	22.82%	+10.99	9-0
1967-12-03	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-17	1685.99	1592.28	61.28%	29.37%	+8.44	10-0
1967-12-10	New Orleans Saints	W 30-10	1694.43	1371.01	84.39%	10.87%	+5.44	11-0
1967-12-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-34	1699.87	1663.16	46.50%	43.16%	-25.99	11-1
1967-09-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-41	1510.02	1467.42	47.35%	42.33%	-28.54	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-13	1481.48	1628.23	23.79%	67.81%	-4.82	0-2
1967-10-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-7	1476.66	1452.24	44.73%	44.92%	+16.27	1-2
1967-10-08	Baltimore Colts	L 3-24	1492.93	1623.13	30.95%	59.49%	-16.62	1-3
1967-10-15	Detroit Lions	W 14-3	1476.31	1442.09	53.27%	36.65%	+14.15	2-3
1967-10-22	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-24	1490.46	1570.27	30.98%	59.46%	-17.79	2-4
1967-10-29	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-28	1472.67	1591.01	32.37%	57.92%	-12.56	2-5
1967-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-13	1460.11	1486.67	37.66%	52.19%	+22.05	3-5
1967-11-12	New York Giants	W 34-7	1482.16	1409.23	58.55%	31.80%	+19.35	4-5
1967-11-19	St. Louis Cardinals	W 30-3	1501.51	1532.24	44.02%	45.64%	+27.11	5-5
1967-11-26	Green Bay Packers	L 13-17	1528.62	1684.46	28.04%	62.81%	-6.58	5-6
1967-12-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-14	1522.04	1456.92	50.56%	39.22%	+17.01	6-6
1967-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	T 10-10	1539.05	1447.36	61.02%	29.60%	-0.83	6-6
1967-12-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-14	1538.22	1256.08	76.84%	16.55%	+5.72	7-6
1967-09-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-21	1564.66	1570.48	47.59%	42.09%	-14.34	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-31	1550.32	1439.30	56.93%	33.26%	-26.30	0-2
1967-10-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 42-7	1524.02	1456.77	50.86%	38.93%	+26.71	1-2
1967-10-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-10	1550.73	1459.60	60.94%	29.67%	+11.53	2-2
1967-10-15	St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-16	1562.26	1509.38	55.84%	34.26%	+8.01	3-2
1967-10-22	Chicago Bears	W 24-0	1570.27	1490.46	59.46%	30.98%	+17.78	4-2
1967-10-29	@ New York Giants	L 34-38	1588.05	1402.45	66.47%	24.91%	-14.70	4-3
1967-11-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-14	1573.35	1441.54	59.71%	30.76%	+16.12	5-3
1967-11-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-55	1589.47	1649.50	33.37%	56.82%	-27.03	5-4
1967-11-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 14-10	1562.44	1438.01	65.14%	26.03%	+6.10	6-4
1967-11-26	Washington Redskins	W 42-37	1568.54	1510.94	56.49%	33.67%	+8.80	7-4
1967-12-03	New York Giants	W 24-14	1577.34	1442.45	66.41%	24.96%	+9.25	8-4
1967-12-10	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-16	1586.59	1497.15	53.97%	35.99%	+8.39	9-4
1967-12-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-28	1594.98	1450.02	61.42%	29.25%	-13.68	9-5
1967-09-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 21-14	1570.48	1564.66	42.09%	47.59%	+14.34	1-0
1967-09-24	New York Giants	W 38-24	1584.82	1407.65	71.25%	20.97%	+9.14	2-0
1967-10-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-35	1593.96	1575.99	50.98%	38.81%	-27.06	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1566.90	1512.81	48.99%	40.73%	+8.16	3-1
1967-10-15	New Orleans Saints	W 14-10	1575.06	1417.01	69.12%	22.71%	+5.31	4-1
1967-10-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1580.37	1437.44	61.16%	29.48%	+5.98	5-1
1967-10-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-21	1586.35	1496.78	53.99%	35.97%	-16.08	5-2
1967-11-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-7	1570.27	1297.05	80.52%	13.74%	+8.57	6-2
1967-11-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-10	1578.84	1407.21	64.78%	26.34%	+12.73	7-2
1967-11-19	Washington Redskins	L 20-27	1591.57	1492.71	61.94%	28.79%	-18.23	7-3
1967-11-23	St. Louis Cardinals	W 46-21	1573.34	1505.12	57.92%	32.36%	+18.94	8-3
1967-12-03	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-23	1592.28	1685.99	29.37%	61.28%	-8.44	8-4
1967-12-10	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-17	1583.84	1464.29	64.54%	26.54%	+14.27	9-4
1967-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-24	1598.11	1447.33	62.16%	28.60%	-19.56	9-5
1967-09-17	@ Green Bay Packers	T 17-17	1437.88	1629.66	19.71%	72.82%	+1.42	0-0
1967-09-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-14	1439.30	1550.32	33.26%	56.93%	+26.31	1-0
1967-10-01	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 28-38	1465.61	1480.32	39.25%	50.52%	-14.39	1-1
1967-10-08	Green Bay Packers	L 17-27	1451.22	1639.36	24.65%	66.78%	-9.13	1-2
1967-10-15	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-14	1442.09	1476.31	36.65%	53.27%	-14.15	1-3
1967-10-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-3	1427.94	1304.22	65.05%	26.11%	+14.02	2-3
1967-10-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 45-3	1441.96	1541.28	28.74%	62.00%	+44.71	3-3
1967-11-05	Chicago Bears	L 13-27	1486.67	1460.11	52.19%	37.66%	-22.05	3-4
1967-11-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	T 10-10	1464.62	1438.00	45.05%	44.60%	-0.01	3-4
1967-11-19	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-41	1464.61	1661.97	19.24%	73.40%	-13.02	3-5
1967-11-23	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-31	1451.59	1635.78	25.05%	66.30%	-14.38	3-6
1967-12-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-24	1437.21	1391.88	54.81%	35.21%	-19.48	3-7
1967-12-10	@ New York Giants	W 30-7	1417.73	1433.20	39.15%	50.63%	+27.48	4-7
1967-12-17	Minnesota Vikings	W 14-3	1445.21	1448.19	48.00%	41.69%	+15.95	5-7
1967-09-17	Detroit Lions	T 17-17	1629.66	1437.88	72.82%	19.71%	-1.43	0-0
1967-09-24	Chicago Bears	W 13-10	1628.23	1481.48	67.81%	23.79%	+4.83	1-0
1967-10-01	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-0	1633.06	1324.71	83.30%	11.67%	+6.30	2-0
1967-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-17	1639.36	1451.22	66.78%	24.65%	+9.13	3-0
1967-10-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-10	1648.49	1421.31	76.38%	16.90%	-14.42	3-1
1967-10-22	@ New York Giants	W 48-21	1634.07	1415.65	70.27%	21.77%	+13.20	4-1
1967-10-30	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-23	1647.27	1531.34	57.59%	32.66%	+10.81	5-1
1967-11-05	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-13	1658.08	1645.16	43.09%	46.57%	-8.58	5-2
1967-11-12	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 55-7	1649.50	1589.47	56.82%	33.37%	+27.03	6-2
1967-11-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 13-0	1676.53	1475.85	73.75%	18.97%	+7.93	7-2
1967-11-26	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-13	1684.46	1528.62	62.81%	28.04%	+6.58	8-2
1967-12-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-27	1691.04	1451.37	72.58%	19.90%	+4.01	9-2
1967-12-09	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1695.05	1653.85	47.14%	42.53%	-9.31	9-3
1967-12-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1685.74	1402.02	81.39%	13.09%	-23.24	9-4
1967-09-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-13	1535.61	1500.00	46.34%	43.32%	+18.63	1-0
1967-09-22	Minnesota Vikings	W 39-3	1554.24	1473.99	59.52%	30.93%	+21.75	2-0
1967-10-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-13	1575.99	1593.96	38.81%	50.98%	+27.05	3-0
1967-10-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1603.04	1512.17	60.91%	29.70%	-11.75	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Baltimore Colts	T 24-24	1591.29	1639.75	34.81%	55.24%	+0.53	3-1
1967-10-22	Washington Redskins	T 28-28	1591.82	1503.45	60.59%	29.98%	-0.81	3-1
1967-10-29	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-17	1591.01	1472.67	57.92%	32.37%	+12.57	4-1
1967-11-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 17-7	1603.58	1496.57	56.39%	33.76%	+12.48	5-1
1967-11-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-17	1616.06	1495.55	64.66%	26.44%	+12.40	6-1
1967-11-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-3	1628.46	1280.26	82.52%	12.25%	+7.32	7-1
1967-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-7	1635.78	1451.59	66.30%	25.05%	+14.38	8-1
1967-12-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-3	1650.16	1267.19	88.17%	8.13%	+3.69	9-1
1967-12-09	Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1653.85	1695.05	42.53%	47.14%	+9.31	10-1
1967-12-17	Baltimore Colts	W 34-10	1663.16	1699.87	43.16%	46.50%	+26.00	11-1
1967-09-17	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-27	1486.69	1508.45	45.30%	44.35%	-12.70	0-1
1967-09-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-39	1473.99	1554.24	30.93%	59.52%	-21.75	0-2
1967-10-01	Chicago Bears	L 7-17	1452.24	1476.66	44.92%	44.73%	-16.26	0-3
1967-10-08	St. Louis Cardinals	L 24-34	1435.98	1494.71	40.09%	49.65%	-14.67	0-4
1967-10-15	@ Green Bay Packers	W 10-7	1421.31	1648.49	16.90%	76.38%	+14.41	1-4
1967-10-22	Baltimore Colts	T 20-20	1435.72	1639.21	23.16%	68.58%	+1.21	1-4
1967-10-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-21	1436.93	1290.19	61.65%	29.05%	-6.86	1-5
1967-11-05	New York Giants	W 27-24	1430.07	1417.15	50.27%	39.50%	+7.93	2-5
1967-11-12	Detroit Lions	T 10-10	1438.00	1464.62	44.60%	45.05%	+0.01	2-5
1967-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-14	1438.01	1562.44	26.03%	65.14%	-6.11	2-6
1967-11-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-27	1431.90	1411.35	44.18%	45.48%	+19.47	3-6
1967-12-03	Green Bay Packers	L 27-30	1451.37	1691.04	19.90%	72.58%	-4.01	3-7
1967-12-10	@ Chicago Bears	T 10-10	1447.36	1539.05	29.60%	61.02%	+0.83	3-7
1967-12-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-14	1448.19	1445.21	41.69%	48.00%	-15.95	3-8
1967-09-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-27	1500.00	1535.61	43.32%	46.34%	-18.63	0-1
1967-09-24	Washington Redskins	L 10-30	1481.37	1481.68	48.38%	41.32%	-24.60	0-2
1967-10-01	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-42	1456.77	1524.02	38.93%	50.86%	-26.71	0-3
1967-10-08	@ New York Giants	L 21-27	1430.06	1391.98	46.70%	42.97%	-13.05	0-4
1967-10-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-14	1417.01	1575.06	22.71%	69.12%	-5.31	0-5
1967-10-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-27	1411.70	1529.55	26.72%	64.33%	-11.72	0-6
1967-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-14	1399.98	1431.45	43.91%	45.75%	-10.08	0-7
1967-11-05	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-24	1389.90	1512.86	31.81%	58.53%	+17.31	1-7
1967-11-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-27	1407.21	1578.84	26.34%	64.78%	-12.74	1-8
1967-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-48	1394.47	1483.14	29.95%	60.62%	-18.24	1-9
1967-11-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-24	1376.23	1272.94	62.51%	28.30%	+5.75	2-9
1967-12-03	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 20-31	1381.98	1486.18	28.20%	62.62%	-10.97	2-10
1967-12-10	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-30	1371.01	1694.43	10.87%	84.39%	-5.45	2-11
1967-12-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 30-14	1365.56	1511.03	23.91%	67.66%	+29.89	3-11
1967-09-17	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 37-20	1378.75	1486.54	27.81%	63.07%	+28.90	1-0
1967-09-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-38	1407.65	1584.82	20.97%	71.25%	-9.14	1-1
1967-10-01	@ Washington Redskins	L 34-38	1398.51	1506.28	27.81%	63.07%	-6.53	1-2
1967-10-08	New Orleans Saints	W 27-21	1391.98	1430.06	42.97%	46.70%	+13.05	2-2
1967-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1405.03	1448.06	35.51%	54.49%	+10.62	3-2
1967-10-22	Green Bay Packers	L 21-48	1415.65	1634.07	21.77%	70.27%	-13.20	3-3
1967-10-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-34	1402.45	1588.05	24.91%	66.47%	+14.70	4-3
1967-11-05	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1417.15	1430.07	39.50%	50.27%	-7.92	4-4
1967-11-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-34	1409.23	1482.16	31.80%	58.55%	-19.35	4-5
1967-11-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-20	1389.88	1426.35	43.20%	46.46%	+15.00	5-5
1967-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 44-7	1404.88	1501.39	35.08%	54.95%	+37.57	6-5
1967-12-03	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1442.45	1577.34	24.96%	66.41%	-9.25	6-6
1967-12-10	Detroit Lions	L 7-30	1433.20	1417.73	50.63%	39.15%	-27.49	6-7
1967-12-17	St. Louis Cardinals	W 37-14	1405.71	1488.76	36.82%	53.08%	+28.70	7-7
1967-09-17	Washington Redskins	W 35-24	1516.05	1496.54	51.20%	38.60%	+14.86	1-0
1967-09-24	Baltimore Colts	L 6-38	1530.91	1573.30	42.36%	47.31%	-27.61	1-1
1967-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-24	1503.30	1473.28	52.68%	37.20%	+13.69	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 38-7	1516.99	1318.41	68.01%	23.63%	+15.39	3-1
1967-10-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 27-28	1532.38	1523.92	49.63%	40.11%	-5.63	3-2
1967-10-22	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-48	1526.75	1501.38	44.87%	44.78%	-29.97	3-3
1967-10-29	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-14	1496.78	1586.35	35.97%	53.99%	+16.08	4-3
1967-11-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1512.86	1389.90	58.53%	31.81%	-17.31	4-4
1967-11-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-33	1495.55	1616.06	26.44%	64.66%	-12.41	4-5
1967-11-19	New Orleans Saints	W 48-21	1483.14	1394.47	60.62%	29.95%	+18.25	5-5
1967-11-26	@ New York Giants	L 7-44	1501.39	1404.88	54.95%	35.08%	-37.57	5-6
1967-12-03	@ Washington Redskins	T 35-35	1463.82	1502.14	36.12%	53.84%	+0.47	5-6
1967-12-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-38	1464.29	1583.84	26.54%	64.54%	-14.27	5-7
1967-12-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 28-24	1450.02	1594.98	29.25%	61.42%	+13.68	6-7
1967-09-17	Chicago Bears	W 41-13	1467.42	1510.02	42.33%	47.35%	+28.54	1-0
1967-09-24	St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-28	1495.96	1457.64	53.84%	36.12%	-22.68	1-1
1967-10-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-34	1473.28	1503.30	37.20%	52.68%	-13.68	1-2
1967-10-07	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-21	1459.60	1550.73	29.67%	60.94%	-11.54	1-3
1967-10-15	New York Giants	L 24-27	1448.06	1405.03	54.49%	35.51%	-10.62	1-4
1967-10-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-24	1437.44	1580.37	29.48%	61.16%	-5.99	1-5
1967-10-29	@ New Orleans Saints	W 14-10	1431.45	1399.98	45.75%	43.91%	+10.09	2-5
1967-11-05	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-34	1441.54	1573.35	30.76%	59.71%	-16.13	2-6
1967-11-12	@ St. Louis Cardinals	T 14-14	1425.41	1533.17	27.81%	63.07%	+0.94	2-6
1967-11-19	@ New York Giants	L 20-28	1426.35	1389.88	46.46%	43.20%	-15.00	2-7
1967-11-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 27-41	1411.35	1431.90	45.48%	44.18%	-19.47	2-8
1967-12-03	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1391.88	1437.21	35.21%	54.81%	+19.49	3-8
1967-12-10	Washington Redskins	L 10-15	1411.37	1501.68	35.88%	54.09%	-9.35	3-9
1967-12-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1402.02	1685.74	13.09%	81.39%	+23.24	4-9
1967-09-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-21	1508.45	1486.69	44.35%	45.30%	+12.70	1-0
1967-09-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-7	1521.15	1337.96	71.90%	20.44%	+13.24	2-0
1967-10-01	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-41	1534.39	1600.90	32.57%	57.69%	-22.22	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-24	1512.17	1603.04	29.70%	60.91%	+11.75	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-27	1523.92	1532.38	40.11%	49.63%	+5.63	4-1
1967-10-22	New Orleans Saints	W 27-13	1529.55	1411.70	64.33%	26.72%	+11.73	5-1
1967-10-29	Detroit Lions	L 3-45	1541.28	1441.96	62.00%	28.74%	-44.71	5-2
1967-11-05	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-17	1496.57	1603.58	33.76%	56.39%	-12.48	5-3
1967-11-12	@ Washington Redskins	L 28-31	1484.09	1484.46	41.22%	48.48%	-8.24	5-4
1967-11-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-13	1475.85	1676.53	18.97%	73.75%	-7.93	5-5
1967-11-26	Baltimore Colts	L 9-26	1467.92	1675.00	22.82%	68.99%	-11.00	5-6
1967-12-03	Chicago Bears	L 14-28	1456.92	1522.04	39.22%	50.56%	-17.01	5-7
1967-12-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-28	1439.91	1263.50	65.36%	25.84%	+7.42	6-7
1967-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-16	1447.33	1598.11	28.60%	62.16%	+19.56	7-7
1967-09-17	New York Giants	L 20-37	1486.54	1378.75	63.07%	27.81%	-28.90	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-14	1457.64	1495.96	36.12%	53.84%	+22.68	1-1
1967-10-01	Detroit Lions	W 38-28	1480.32	1465.61	50.52%	39.25%	+14.39	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 34-24	1494.71	1435.98	49.65%	40.09%	+14.67	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-20	1509.38	1562.26	34.26%	55.84%	-8.00	3-2
1967-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 48-14	1501.38	1526.75	44.78%	44.87%	+29.96	4-2
1967-10-30	Green Bay Packers	L 23-31	1531.34	1647.27	32.66%	57.59%	-10.81	4-3
1967-11-05	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-21	1520.53	1497.10	44.59%	45.06%	+12.64	5-3
1967-11-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	T 14-14	1533.17	1425.41	63.07%	27.81%	-0.93	5-3
1967-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-30	1532.24	1501.51	45.64%	44.02%	-27.12	5-4
1967-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-46	1505.12	1573.34	32.36%	57.92%	-18.94	5-5
1967-12-03	New Orleans Saints	W 31-20	1486.18	1381.98	62.62%	28.20%	+10.97	6-5
1967-12-10	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-20	1497.15	1586.59	35.99%	53.97%	-8.39	6-6
1967-12-17	@ New York Giants	L 14-37	1488.76	1405.71	53.08%	36.82%	-28.70	6-7
1967-09-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-35	1496.54	1516.05	38.60%	51.20%	-14.86	0-1
1967-09-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-10	1481.68	1481.37	41.32%	48.38%	+24.60	1-1
1967-10-01	New York Giants	W 38-34	1506.28	1398.51	63.07%	27.81%	+6.53	2-1
1967-10-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-17	1512.81	1566.90	40.73%	48.99%	-8.16	2-2
1967-10-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	T 20-20	1504.65	1303.02	68.36%	23.33%	-1.20	2-2
1967-10-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	T 28-28	1503.45	1591.82	29.98%	60.59%	+0.81	2-2
1967-10-29	Baltimore Colts	L 13-17	1504.26	1638.00	30.54%	59.96%	-7.16	2-3
1967-11-05	St. Louis Cardinals	L 21-27	1497.10	1520.53	45.06%	44.59%	-12.64	2-4
1967-11-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-28	1484.46	1484.09	48.48%	41.22%	+8.25	3-4
1967-11-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-20	1492.71	1591.57	28.79%	61.94%	+18.23	4-4
1967-11-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 37-42	1510.94	1568.54	33.67%	56.49%	-8.80	4-5
1967-12-03	Philadelphia Eagles	T 35-35	1502.14	1463.82	53.84%	36.12%	-0.46	4-5
1967-12-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 15-10	1501.68	1411.37	54.09%	35.88%	+9.35	5-5
1967-12-17	New Orleans Saints	L 14-30	1511.03	1365.56	67.66%	23.91%	-29.88	5-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-12-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-52	1581.30	1578.55	46.79%	53.21%	-29.62	0-1
1967-12-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 52-14	1578.55	1581.30	53.21%	46.79%	+29.62	1-0
1967-12-31	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-21	1608.17	1686.14	35.59%	64.41%	-7.31	1-1
1967-12-23	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-7	1662.50	1689.16	49.77%	50.23%	+23.64	1-0
1967-12-31	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-17	1686.14	1608.17	64.41%	35.59%	+7.31	2-0
1967-12-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1689.16	1662.50	50.23%	49.77%	-23.64	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1967-12-17	13.09%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1402.02	24	@ Green Bay Packers	1685.74	17
2	1967-10-15	16.90%	Minnesota Vikings	1421.31	10	@ Green Bay Packers	1648.49	7
3	1967-12-17	23.91%	New Orleans Saints	1365.56	30	@ Washington Redskins	1511.03	14
4	1967-10-29	24.91%	@ New York Giants	1402.45	38	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1588.05	34
5	1967-09-17	27.81%	New York Giants	1378.75	37	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1486.54	20
6	1967-12-16	28.60%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1447.33	24	Dallas Cowboys	1598.11	16
7	1967-10-29	28.74%	Detroit Lions	1441.96	45	@ San Francisco 49ers	1541.28	3
8	1967-11-19	28.79%	Washington Redskins	1492.71	27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1591.57	20
9	1967-10-29	29.05%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1290.19	21	Minnesota Vikings	1436.93	20
10	1967-12-17	29.25%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1450.02	28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1594.98	24
11	1967-10-08	29.70%	San Francisco 49ers	1512.17	27	@ Los Angeles Rams	1603.04	24
12	1967-11-05	31.81%	@ New Orleans Saints	1389.90	31	Philadelphia Eagles	1512.86	24
13	1967-09-24	33.26%	@ Detroit Lions	1439.30	31	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1550.32	14
14	1967-11-26	35.08%	@ New York Giants	1404.88	44	Philadelphia Eagles	1501.39	7
15	1967-12-03	35.21%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1391.88	24	@ Detroit Lions	1437.21	14
16	1967-10-15	35.51%	New York Giants	1405.03	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1448.06	24
17	1967-10-29	35.97%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1496.78	21	Dallas Cowboys	1586.35	14
18	1967-09-24	36.12%	St. Louis Cardinals	1457.64	28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1495.96	14
19	1967-12-17	36.82%	@ New York Giants	1405.71	37	St. Louis Cardinals	1488.76	14
20	1967-11-05	37.66%	Chicago Bears	1460.11	27	@ Detroit Lions	1486.67	13
21	1967-10-01	38.81%	Los Angeles Rams	1575.99	35	@ Dallas Cowboys	1593.96	13
22	1967-12-10	39.15%	Detroit Lions	1417.73	30	@ New York Giants	1433.20	7
23	1967-10-15	40.11%	San Francisco 49ers	1523.92	28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1532.38	27
24	1967-09-24	41.32%	Washington Redskins	1481.68	30	@ New Orleans Saints	1481.37	10
25	1967-09-17	42.09%	Dallas Cowboys	1570.48	21	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1564.66	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1967-10-29	44.71	Detroit Lions	45	1441.96	28.74%	@ San Francisco 49ers	3	1541.28	62.00%
2	1967-11-26	37.57	@ New York Giants	44	1404.88	35.08%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1501.39	54.95%
3	1967-10-22	29.97	@ St. Louis Cardinals	48	1501.38	44.78%	Philadelphia Eagles	14	1526.75	44.87%
4	1967-12-17	29.89	New Orleans Saints	30	1365.56	23.91%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1511.03	67.66%
5	1967-12-24 *	29.62	@ Dallas Cowboys	52	1578.55	53.21%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1581.30	46.79%
6	1967-09-17	28.90	New York Giants	37	1378.75	27.81%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	20	1486.54	63.07%
7	1967-12-17	28.70	@ New York Giants	37	1405.71	36.82%	St. Louis Cardinals	14	1488.76	53.08%
8	1967-09-17	28.54	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	41	1467.42	42.33%	Chicago Bears	13	1510.02	47.35%
9	1967-09-24	27.61	Baltimore Colts	38	1573.30	47.31%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	6	1530.91	42.36%
10	1967-12-10	27.49	Detroit Lions	30	1417.73	39.15%	@ New York Giants	7	1433.20	50.63%
11	1967-11-19	27.12	@ Chicago Bears	30	1501.51	44.02%	St. Louis Cardinals	3	1532.24	45.64%
12	1967-10-01	27.06	Los Angeles Rams	35	1575.99	38.81%	@ Dallas Cowboys	13	1593.96	50.98%
13	1967-11-12	27.03	@ Green Bay Packers	55	1649.50	56.82%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1589.47	33.37%
14	1967-10-01	26.71	Cleveland Browns (1st)	42	1524.02	50.86%	@ New Orleans Saints	7	1456.77	38.93%
15	1967-09-24	26.31	@ Detroit Lions	31	1439.30	33.26%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1550.32	56.93%
16	1967-12-17	26.00	@ Los Angeles Rams	34	1663.16	43.16%	Baltimore Colts	10	1699.87	46.50%
17	1967-09-24	24.60	Washington Redskins	30	1481.68	41.32%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1481.37	48.38%
18	1967-12-23 *	23.64	@ Green Bay Packers	28	1662.50	49.77%	Los Angeles Rams	7	1689.16	50.23%
19	1967-12-17	23.24	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1402.02	13.09%	@ Green Bay Packers	17	1685.74	81.39%
20	1967-09-24	22.68	St. Louis Cardinals	28	1457.64	36.12%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1495.96	53.84%
21	1967-10-01	22.23	@ Baltimore Colts	41	1600.90	57.69%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1534.39	32.57%
22	1967-11-05	22.05	Chicago Bears	27	1460.11	37.66%	@ Detroit Lions	13	1486.67	52.19%
23	1967-09-22	21.75	@ Los Angeles Rams	39	1554.24	59.52%	Minnesota Vikings	3	1473.99	30.93%
24	1967-12-16	19.56	@ San Francisco 49ers	24	1447.33	28.60%	Dallas Cowboys	16	1598.11	62.16%
25	1967-12-03	19.49	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1391.88	35.21%	@ Detroit Lions	14	1437.21	54.81%