1967 NFL Season

112 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1966

Runner-Up

Dallas Cowboys

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Los Angeles Rams

3.24 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.76 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New Orleans Saints

2.33 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.33 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	9	5	0	.643	—	342	268	+74	8.90	+0.10
2	Philadelphia Eagles	6	7	1	.464	2.5	351	409	-58	7.05	-0.55
3	Washington Redskins	5	6	3	.464	2.5	347	353	-6	7.12	-0.62
4	New Orleans Saints	3	11	0	.214	6	233	379	-146	5.33	-2.33

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	9	4	1	.679	—	332	209	+123	9.97	-0.47
2	Chicago Bears	7	6	1	.536	2	239	218	+21	6.86	+0.64
3	Detroit Lions	5	7	2	.429	3.5	260	259	+1	5.97	+0.03
4	Minnesota Vikings	3	8	3	.321	5	233	294	-61	5.75	-1.25

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9	5	0	.643	—	334	297	+37	8.64	+0.36
2	New York Giants	7	7	0	.500	2	369	379	-10	5.31	+1.69
3	St. Louis Cardinals	6	7	1	.464	2.5	333	356	-23	7.19	-0.69
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	4	9	1	.321	4.5	281	320	-39	5.89	-1.39

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Baltimore Colts	11	1	2	.857	—	394	198	+196	9.60	+2.40
2	Los Angeles Rams	11	1	2	.857	—	398	196	+202	8.76	+3.24
3	San Francisco 49ers	7	7	0	.500	5	273	337	-64	6.53	+0.47
4	Atlanta Falcons	1	12	1	.107	10.5	175	422	-247	3.15	-1.65

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Eastern Conference

Western Conference

NFL Championship Game

Green Bay Packers 21

Dallas Cowboys 17

Dec 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Los Angeles Rams	West	Coastal	1711	12	8.76	+3.24	99.64%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Baltimore Colts	West	Coastal	1687	12	9.60	+2.40	98.54%	2	6	8	9	10	12	14
Green Bay Packers	West	Central	1671	9.5	9.97	-0.47	54.43%	3	6	8	9	10	12	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	Century	1583	9	8.64	+0.36	80.33%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Dallas Cowboys	East	Capitol	1580	9	8.90	+0.10	76.49%	2	5	7	8	9	11	14
Chicago Bears	West	Central	1552	7.5	6.86	+0.64	78.12%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Washington Redskins	East	Capitol	1477	6.5	7.12	-0.62	52.42%	1	4	5	6	8	9	14
San Francisco 49ers	West	Coastal	1464	7	6.53	+0.47	83.42%	0	3	5	6	7	9	12
Detroit Lions	West	Central	1462	6	5.97	+0.03	76.81%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Philadelphia Eagles	East	Capitol	1457	6.5	7.05	-0.55	53.97%	0	3	5	6	8	9	13
St. Louis Cardinals	East	Century	1452	6.5	7.19	-0.69	51.38%	1	4	5	6	8	10	13
New York Giants	East	Century	1435	7	5.31	+1.69	95.14%	0	2	3	5	6	7	11
Minnesota Vikings	West	Central	1425	4.5	5.75	-1.25	38.87%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	Century	1419	4.5	5.89	-1.39	35.89%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
New Orleans Saints	East	Capitol	1386	3	5.33	-2.33	25.97%	0	2	3	5	6	7	11
Atlanta Falcons	West	Coastal	1240	1.5	3.15	-1.65	25.46%	0	0	1	2	3	5	9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Capitol

Team	Cowboys	Saints	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

Capitol vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	Colts	Bears	(1st)	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	Giants	Steelers	49ers	Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	—	0-0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Within Central

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—

Central vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	Colts	(1st)	Cowboys	Rams	Saints	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	49ers	Cardinals	Redskins
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
Minnesota Vikings	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

Within Century

Team	(1st)	Giants	Steelers	Cardinals
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

Century vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	Colts	Bears	Cowboys	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	Saints	Eagles	49ers	Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New York Giants	—	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	—	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	—	—	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Within Coastal

Team	Falcons	Colts	Rams	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Baltimore Colts	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

Coastal vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	(1st)	Cowboys	Lions	Packers	Vikings	Saints	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Atlanta Falcons	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	—	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Baltimore Colts	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	—	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Los Angeles Rams	12	8.76	+3.24
2	Baltimore Colts	12	9.60	+2.40
3	New York Giants	7	5.31	+1.69
4	Chicago Bears	7.5	6.86	+0.64
5	San Francisco 49ers	7	6.53	+0.47

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New Orleans Saints	3	5.33	-2.33
2	Atlanta Falcons	1.5	3.15	-1.65
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	4.5	5.89	-1.39
4	Minnesota Vikings	4.5	5.75	-1.25
5	St. Louis Cardinals	6.5	7.19	-0.69

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Rams	8	Oct 29 – Dec 17	1 in 52
2	Baltimore Colts	7	Oct 29 – Dec 10	1 in 16
3	San Francisco 49ers	3	Oct 8 – Oct 22	1 in 13
4	St. Louis Cardinals	3	Sep 24 – Oct 8	1 in 12
5	Chicago Bears	3	Nov 5 – Nov 19	1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New Orleans Saints	7	Sep 17 – Oct 29	1 in 109
2	San Francisco 49ers	6	Oct 29 – Dec 3	1 in 49
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	Sep 24 – Oct 22	1 in 41
4	Green Bay Packers	2	Dec 9 – Dec 17	1 in 22
5	Minnesota Vikings	4	Sep 17 – Oct 8	1 in 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	62.40%	23.83%	10.48%	3.29%
Washington Redskins	17.75%	32.94%	32.04%	17.27%
Philadelphia Eagles	16.37%	32.51%	33.30%	17.82%
New Orleans Saints	3.48%	10.72%	24.18%	61.62%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	84.18%	12.30%	2.85%	0.67%
Chicago Bears	9.25%	41.63%	29.85%	19.27%
Detroit Lions	3.75%	25.24%	34.39%	36.62%
Minnesota Vikings	2.82%	20.83%	32.91%	43.44%

Team	1	2	3	4
Cleveland Browns (1st)	62.83%	24.62%	9.28%	3.27%
St. Louis Cardinals	23.93%	38.70%	24.54%	12.83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.62%	21.51%	36.49%	33.38%
New York Giants	4.62%	15.17%	29.69%	50.52%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Colts	60.01%	31.98%	7.87%	0.14%
Los Angeles Rams	34.53%	48.94%	16.02%	0.51%
San Francisco 49ers	5.44%	18.61%	68.06%	7.89%
Atlanta Falcons	0.02%	0.47%	8.05%	91.46%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Dallas Cowboys	37.56%	25.06%	14.93%	10.27%	6.09%	3.56%	1.87%	0.66%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.23%	26.76%	15.79%	11.28%	6.67%	4.47%	2.54%	1.26%
St. Louis Cardinals	10.04%	13.38%	16.42%	17.32%	14.91%	12.96%	9.21%	5.76%
Washington Redskins	8.52%	12.19%	17.27%	16.54%	16.07%	13.31%	9.84%	6.26%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.85%	12.12%	16.19%	17.15%	16.43%	13.74%	10.00%	6.52%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.46%	5.15%	8.57%	11.59%	14.96%	19.22%	18.94%	19.11%
New York Giants	1.21%	2.86%	5.29%	8.43%	12.14%	16.80%	22.44%	30.83%
New Orleans Saints	1.13%	2.48%	5.54%	7.42%	12.73%	15.94%	25.16%	29.60%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Green Bay Packers	43.05%	32.46%	13.66%	6.60%	2.79%	1.13%	0.31%	—
Baltimore Colts	33.74%	29.36%	20.15%	9.70%	4.46%	2.14%	0.43%	0.02%
Los Angeles Rams	17.02%	23.14%	29.05%	15.79%	8.53%	4.92%	1.37%	0.18%
Chicago Bears	2.95%	6.16%	13.38%	22.51%	21.24%	17.18%	13.43%	3.15%
San Francisco 49ers	1.78%	4.63%	10.36%	17.03%	24.70%	23.55%	12.98%	4.97%
Detroit Lions	0.82%	2.36%	7.24%	15.18%	18.69%	23.06%	24.92%	7.73%
Minnesota Vikings	0.64%	1.85%	5.99%	12.67%	17.51%	22.79%	28.29%	10.26%
Atlanta Falcons	—	0.04%	0.17%	0.52%	2.08%	5.23%	18.27%	73.69%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Green Bay Packers	31.60%	21.27%	15.73%	10.18%	7.26%	5.02%	3.17%	2.24%	1.39%	0.93%	0.55%	0.36%	0.19%	0.07%	0.04%	—
Baltimore Colts	24.49%	17.60%	15.81%	12.00%	9.24%	6.83%	4.61%	3.37%	2.14%	1.68%	1.01%	0.78%	0.31%	0.10%	0.02%	0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	12.69%	16.00%	14.00%	13.22%	10.74%	8.55%	6.84%	5.22%	3.77%	3.07%	2.28%	1.56%	1.04%	0.61%	0.29%	0.12%
Los Angeles Rams	11.42%	11.99%	13.57%	12.58%	12.97%	9.47%	7.79%	5.95%	4.29%	3.57%	2.68%	1.95%	0.86%	0.64%	0.21%	0.06%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	10.00%	13.77%	13.29%	14.07%	10.37%	9.00%	7.26%	6.06%	4.43%	3.68%	2.73%	2.01%	1.45%	1.13%	0.56%	0.19%
St. Louis Cardinals	2.42%	4.56%	5.62%	6.94%	7.95%	9.23%	8.57%	9.59%	8.60%	8.15%	7.38%	6.67%	5.44%	4.59%	3.30%	0.99%
Washington Redskins	2.05%	3.93%	4.83%	6.81%	7.52%	9.47%	9.59%	8.70%	9.04%	8.76%	7.64%	6.50%	5.98%	4.60%	3.53%	1.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.75%	3.77%	4.58%	6.65%	7.32%	8.81%	9.13%	9.78%	9.14%	8.53%	7.89%	6.96%	5.95%	4.64%	3.68%	1.42%
Chicago Bears	1.46%	2.59%	3.74%	4.95%	6.49%	8.31%	9.35%	9.77%	9.47%	9.45%	8.83%	7.95%	6.12%	6.07%	3.86%	1.59%
San Francisco 49ers	0.85%	1.50%	2.90%	3.58%	5.72%	6.09%	8.16%	8.72%	10.50%	10.27%	10.16%	9.77%	7.97%	6.97%	4.08%	2.76%
Detroit Lions	0.39%	0.78%	1.36%	2.05%	4.04%	4.41%	6.56%	7.67%	8.37%	8.69%	10.29%	10.64%	10.71%	11.36%	7.73%	4.95%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.30%	0.93%	1.80%	2.48%	3.24%	5.13%	5.63%	6.79%	7.47%	9.09%	9.82%	10.06%	11.18%	10.43%	10.82%	4.83%
Minnesota Vikings	0.34%	0.46%	1.13%	1.90%	2.84%	3.85%	5.54%	6.20%	8.09%	8.61%	10.02%	11.31%	11.49%	12.15%	9.65%	6.42%
New York Giants	0.13%	0.48%	0.91%	1.49%	1.92%	2.72%	3.93%	4.95%	6.49%	7.11%	8.47%	10.12%	12.53%	12.94%	16.36%	9.45%
New Orleans Saints	0.11%	0.36%	0.71%	1.10%	2.32%	2.97%	3.64%	4.68%	6.12%	7.17%	8.63%	10.07%	13.43%	13.87%	15.70%	9.12%
Atlanta Falcons	—	0.01%	0.02%	—	0.06%	0.14%	0.23%	0.31%	0.69%	1.24%	1.62%	3.29%	5.35%	9.83%	20.17%	57.04%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Cowboys	37.56%	25.06%	37.38%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.23%	26.76%	42.01%
St. Louis Cardinals	10.04%	13.38%	76.58%
Washington Redskins	8.52%	12.19%	79.29%
Philadelphia Eagles	7.85%	12.12%	80.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.46%	5.15%	92.39%
New York Giants	1.21%	2.86%	95.93%
New Orleans Saints	1.13%	2.48%	96.39%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	43.05%	32.46%	24.49%
Baltimore Colts	33.74%	29.36%	36.90%
Los Angeles Rams	17.02%	23.14%	59.84%
Chicago Bears	2.95%	6.16%	90.89%
San Francisco 49ers	1.78%	4.63%	93.59%
Detroit Lions	0.82%	2.36%	96.82%
Minnesota Vikings	0.64%	1.85%	97.51%
Atlanta Falcons	—	0.04%	99.96%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	75.51%	37.85%	26.34%
Baltimore Colts	63.10%	34.34%	23.92%
Los Angeles Rams	40.16%	22.42%	15.84%
Dallas Cowboys	62.62%	37.42%	12.83%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	57.99%	34.08%	12.05%
St. Louis Cardinals	23.42%	8.46%	2.02%
Washington Redskins	20.71%	8.17%	1.99%
Chicago Bears	9.11%	2.84%	1.50%
Philadelphia Eagles	19.97%	7.15%	1.48%
San Francisco 49ers	6.41%	1.42%	0.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	7.61%	2.20%	0.45%
New York Giants	4.07%	1.40%	0.33%
Detroit Lions	3.18%	0.68%	0.26%
New Orleans Saints	3.61%	1.12%	0.20%
Minnesota Vikings	2.49%	0.45%	0.11%
Atlanta Falcons	0.04%	—	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)		16.12%	1.19%	0.56%	5.44%	1.02%	4.05%	5.70%
Dallas Cowboys	15.95%		0.72%	1.38%	4.63%	2.89%	7.59%	4.26%
New Orleans Saints	0.33%	0.22%		0.02%	0.06%	0.11%	0.31%	0.07%
New York Giants	0.25%	0.54%	0.05%		0.22%	0.07%	0.08%	0.19%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.43%	1.91%	0.09%	0.27%		0.49%	1.22%	0.74%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.39%	0.89%	0.08%	0.05%	0.22%		0.29%	0.28%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.76%	3.27%	0.27%	0.14%	1.44%	0.28%		1.30%
Washington Redskins	2.80%	2.25%	0.09%	0.25%	0.81%	0.55%	1.42%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Colts	0.03%		2.65%	1.03%	22.52%	6.07%	0.88%	1.16%
Chicago Bears		1.16%		0.08%	0.89%	0.51%	0.04%	0.16%
Detroit Lions		0.30%	0.03%		0.18%	0.11%		0.06%
Green Bay Packers	0.01%	20.60%	2.07%	0.80%		10.85%	0.64%	2.88%
Los Angeles Rams		6.23%	1.38%	0.52%	13.19%		0.42%	0.68%
Minnesota Vikings		0.19%	0.01%	0.01%	0.12%	0.07%		0.05%
San Francisco 49ers		0.28%	0.13%	0.06%	0.76%	0.13%	0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Francisco 49ers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Baltimore Colts			7.99%	8.42%					0.39%	0.28%	1.78%	0.60%		2.15%	2.31%
Chicago Bears			0.43%	0.66%					0.01%	0.03%	0.09%			0.14%	0.14%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	4.13%	0.44%			0.16%	4.29%	2.70%	0.11%					0.22%
Dallas Cowboys	4.06%	0.66%			0.13%	4.88%	2.62%	0.13%					0.35%
Detroit Lions			0.06%	0.07%						0.02%	0.05%	0.01%		0.03%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers			8.14%	9.52%					0.28%	0.51%	2.34%	0.63%		2.63%	2.29%
Los Angeles Rams			5.13%	5.68%					0.23%	0.23%	1.33%	0.46%		1.42%	1.36%
Minnesota Vikings			0.03%	0.02%							0.01%	0.02%			0.03%
New Orleans Saints	0.09%	0.02%			0.01%	0.04%	0.04%
New York Giants	0.16%	0.01%				0.12%	0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.48%	0.05%			0.02%	0.54%	0.34%	0.02%					0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.14%	0.01%			0.01%	0.19%	0.07%	0.01%					0.02%
San Francisco 49ers			0.25%	0.22%					0.01%		0.07%	0.03%		0.07%	0.03%
St. Louis Cardinals	0.70%	0.05%			0.04%	0.76%	0.37%	0.04%					0.06%
Washington Redskins	0.66%	0.10%			0.05%	0.69%	0.40%	0.03%					0.06%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Los Angeles Rams	57.07%	40.80%
Baltimore Colts	42.93%	29.48%
Dallas Cowboys	52.80%	15.44%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	47.20%	14.28%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys
Cleveland Browns (1st)		47.20%
Dallas Cowboys	52.80%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Colts		42.93%
Los Angeles Rams	57.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Colts		13.50%	15.98%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	6.41%			7.87%
Dallas Cowboys	7.04%			8.40%
Los Angeles Rams		19.42%	21.38%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Los Angeles Rams 40.80% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.07%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

52.40%

Win Prob

71.79%

Baltimore Colts 29.48% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.93%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

54.21%

Win Prob

69.42%

Dallas Cowboys 15.44% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Cleveland Browns (1st)

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

54.40%

Win Prob

28.21%

Cleveland Browns (1st) 14.28% chance to win

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.20%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

55.11%

Win Prob

28.84%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-09-17	@ Baltimore Colts	L 31-38	1342.44	1571.30	15.88%	74.50%	-5.92	0-1
1967-09-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-38	1336.52	1524.81	19.21%	70.97%	-14.96	0-2
1967-10-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-23	1321.56	1641.46	10.15%	80.81%	-6.87	0-3
1967-10-08	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-38	1314.69	1517.92	22.52%	67.50%	-17.45	0-4
1967-10-15	Washington Redskins	T 20-20	1297.24	1504.77	22.09%	67.95%	+1.43	0-4
1967-10-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-24	1298.67	1421.50	25.68%	64.23%	-16.27	0-5
1967-10-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-20	1282.40	1430.01	28.56%	61.27%	+7.94	1-5
1967-11-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-37	1290.34	1572.36	12.27%	78.44%	-9.48	1-6
1967-11-12	Baltimore Colts	L 7-49	1280.86	1668.38	9.29%	81.79%	-8.49	1-7
1967-11-19	Los Angeles Rams	L 3-31	1272.37	1642.92	10.13%	80.84%	-7.56	1-8
1967-11-26	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1264.81	1361.16	28.69%	61.14%	-6.83	1-9
1967-12-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-20	1257.98	1666.04	6.45%	85.18%	-3.73	1-10
1967-12-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 28-34	1254.25	1432.40	25.12%	64.81%	-8.52	1-11
1967-12-17	Chicago Bears	L 14-23	1245.73	1545.95	14.34%	76.16%	-6.06	1-12
1967-09-17	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-31	1571.30	1342.44	74.50%	15.88%	+5.91	1-0
1967-09-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-6	1577.21	1533.96	47.43%	42.23%	+31.82	2-0
1967-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-7	1609.03	1539.78	57.77%	31.99%	+25.43	3-0
1967-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-3	1634.46	1492.38	60.60%	29.21%	+18.37	4-0
1967-10-15	Los Angeles Rams	T 24-24	1652.83	1602.43	55.32%	34.40%	-0.63	4-0
1967-10-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	T 20-20	1652.20	1428.48	69.56%	20.54%	-1.54	4-0
1967-10-29	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-13	1650.66	1504.36	61.11%	28.71%	+7.89	5-0
1967-11-05	Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1658.55	1668.21	47.04%	42.62%	+9.83	6-0
1967-11-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 49-7	1668.38	1280.86	81.79%	9.29%	+8.49	7-0
1967-11-19	Detroit Lions	W 41-7	1676.87	1464.39	73.13%	17.16%	+14.05	8-0
1967-11-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-9	1690.92	1462.94	69.98%	20.15%	+11.61	9-0
1967-12-03	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-17	1702.53	1596.10	62.34%	27.52%	+9.29	10-0
1967-12-10	New Orleans Saints	W 30-10	1711.82	1355.78	82.78%	8.45%	+5.32	11-0
1967-12-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-34	1717.14	1680.48	46.49%	43.17%	-30.04	11-1
1967-09-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-41	1512.45	1465.13	48.00%	41.65%	-33.41	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-13	1479.04	1636.13	22.12%	67.92%	-5.33	0-2
1967-10-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-7	1473.71	1446.87	45.08%	44.57%	+18.67	1-2
1967-10-08	Baltimore Colts	L 3-24	1492.38	1634.46	29.21%	60.60%	-18.37	1-3
1967-10-15	Detroit Lions	W 14-3	1474.01	1437.74	53.43%	36.27%	+16.24	2-3
1967-10-22	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 0-24	1490.25	1571.44	30.51%	59.28%	-20.45	2-4
1967-10-29	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-28	1469.80	1602.04	30.40%	59.39%	-13.79	2-5
1967-11-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-13	1456.01	1490.43	36.52%	53.18%	+25.97	3-5
1967-11-12	New York Giants	W 34-7	1481.98	1406.79	58.52%	31.25%	+22.18	4-5
1967-11-19	St. Louis Cardinals	W 30-3	1504.16	1534.96	44.01%	45.65%	+31.34	5-5
1967-11-26	Green Bay Packers	L 13-17	1535.50	1697.49	26.90%	62.97%	-7.42	5-6
1967-12-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-14	1528.08	1451.33	52.11%	37.57%	+18.93	6-6
1967-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	T 10-10	1547.01	1442.65	62.09%	27.76%	-1.06	6-6
1967-12-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-14	1545.95	1245.73	76.16%	14.34%	+6.07	7-6
1967-09-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-21	1565.31	1574.05	47.17%	42.49%	-16.44	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-31	1548.87	1434.00	57.19%	32.56%	-30.66	0-2
1967-10-01	@ New Orleans Saints	W 42-7	1518.21	1450.24	50.90%	38.77%	+30.80	1-2
1967-10-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-10	1549.01	1455.75	60.76%	29.06%	+13.23	2-2
1967-10-15	St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-16	1562.24	1507.89	55.84%	33.89%	+9.20	3-2
1967-10-22	Chicago Bears	W 24-0	1571.44	1490.25	59.28%	30.51%	+20.45	4-2
1967-10-29	@ New York Giants	L 34-38	1591.89	1398.96	66.42%	23.56%	-17.20	4-3
1967-11-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-14	1574.69	1435.13	60.29%	29.52%	+18.10	5-3
1967-11-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-55	1592.79	1658.38	32.45%	57.30%	-30.62	5-4
1967-11-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 14-10	1562.17	1431.50	65.10%	24.83%	+6.88	6-4
1967-11-26	Washington Redskins	W 42-37	1569.05	1512.74	56.10%	33.63%	+10.21	7-4
1967-12-03	New York Giants	W 24-14	1579.26	1445.31	65.46%	24.48%	+10.73	8-4
1967-12-10	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 20-16	1589.99	1494.13	54.70%	35.02%	+9.49	9-4
1967-12-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-28	1599.48	1440.45	62.62%	27.24%	-16.23	9-5
1967-09-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 21-14	1574.05	1565.31	42.49%	47.17%	+16.44	1-0
1967-09-24	New York Giants	W 38-24	1590.49	1404.06	70.79%	19.37%	+10.14	2-0
1967-10-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-35	1600.63	1585.25	50.56%	39.11%	-31.06	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1569.57	1514.15	49.15%	40.52%	+9.38	3-1
1967-10-15	New Orleans Saints	W 14-10	1578.95	1404.58	69.64%	20.47%	+5.72	4-1
1967-10-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1584.67	1430.31	62.07%	27.78%	+6.62	5-1
1967-10-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-21	1591.29	1493.77	54.92%	34.80%	-18.93	5-2
1967-11-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 37-7	1572.36	1290.34	78.44%	12.27%	+9.48	6-2
1967-11-12	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-10	1581.84	1395.44	65.71%	24.24%	+13.86	7-2
1967-11-19	Washington Redskins	L 20-27	1595.70	1491.45	62.08%	27.77%	-21.29	7-3
1967-11-23	St. Louis Cardinals	W 46-21	1574.41	1503.61	57.97%	31.79%	+21.69	8-3
1967-12-03	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-23	1596.10	1702.53	27.52%	62.34%	-9.29	8-4
1967-12-10	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-17	1586.81	1456.22	65.09%	24.84%	+15.77	9-4
1967-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-24	1602.58	1440.92	62.93%	26.94%	-23.07	9-5
1967-09-17	@ Green Bay Packers	T 17-17	1432.28	1637.85	17.73%	72.53%	+1.72	0-0
1967-09-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 31-14	1434.00	1548.87	32.56%	57.19%	+30.66	1-0
1967-10-01	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 28-38	1464.66	1474.26	39.91%	49.76%	-16.90	1-1
1967-10-08	Green Bay Packers	L 17-27	1447.76	1648.33	22.78%	67.23%	-10.02	1-2
1967-10-15	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-14	1437.74	1474.01	36.27%	53.43%	-16.24	1-3
1967-10-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-3	1421.50	1298.67	64.23%	25.68%	+16.27	2-3
1967-10-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 45-3	1437.77	1547.31	27.16%	62.70%	+52.66	3-3
1967-11-05	Chicago Bears	L 13-27	1490.43	1456.01	53.18%	36.52%	-25.97	3-4
1967-11-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	T 10-10	1464.46	1431.43	45.97%	43.69%	-0.07	3-4
1967-11-19	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-41	1464.39	1676.87	17.16%	73.13%	-14.05	3-5
1967-11-23	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-31	1450.34	1650.49	22.83%	67.18%	-15.55	3-6
1967-12-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-24	1434.79	1378.70	56.07%	33.66%	-23.08	3-7
1967-12-10	@ New York Giants	W 30-7	1411.71	1434.58	38.08%	51.60%	+32.37	4-7
1967-12-17	Minnesota Vikings	W 14-3	1444.08	1443.71	48.46%	41.20%	+18.24	5-7
1967-09-17	Detroit Lions	T 17-17	1637.85	1432.28	72.53%	17.73%	-1.72	0-0
1967-09-24	Chicago Bears	W 13-10	1636.13	1479.04	67.92%	22.12%	+5.33	1-0
1967-10-01	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-0	1641.46	1321.56	80.81%	10.15%	+6.87	2-0
1967-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-17	1648.33	1447.76	67.23%	22.78%	+10.02	3-0
1967-10-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 7-10	1658.35	1411.47	75.92%	14.56%	-17.00	3-1
1967-10-22	@ New York Giants	W 48-21	1641.35	1413.61	69.95%	20.17%	+14.64	4-1
1967-10-30	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-23	1655.99	1533.80	58.12%	31.64%	+12.22	5-1
1967-11-05	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-13	1668.21	1658.55	42.62%	47.04%	-9.83	5-2
1967-11-12	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 55-7	1658.38	1592.79	57.30%	32.45%	+30.63	6-2
1967-11-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 13-0	1689.01	1471.43	73.57%	16.75%	+8.48	7-2
1967-11-26	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-13	1697.49	1535.50	62.97%	26.90%	+7.43	8-2
1967-12-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-27	1704.92	1446.92	72.73%	17.54%	+4.26	9-2
1967-12-09	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1709.18	1669.77	46.88%	42.78%	-10.70	9-3
1967-12-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1698.48	1391.33	80.05%	10.82%	-27.37	9-4
1967-09-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-13	1539.74	1500.00	46.93%	42.73%	+21.27	1-0
1967-09-22	Minnesota Vikings	W 39-3	1561.01	1471.11	60.35%	29.46%	+24.24	2-0
1967-10-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-13	1585.25	1600.63	39.11%	50.56%	+31.06	3-0
1967-10-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1616.31	1514.34	61.81%	28.03%	-13.88	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Baltimore Colts	T 24-24	1602.43	1652.83	34.40%	55.32%	+0.64	3-1
1967-10-22	Washington Redskins	T 28-28	1603.07	1503.34	61.54%	28.29%	-1.03	3-1
1967-10-29	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-17	1602.04	1469.80	59.39%	30.40%	+13.80	4-1
1967-11-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 17-7	1615.84	1494.64	58.00%	31.76%	+13.71	5-1
1967-11-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-17	1629.55	1492.07	65.85%	24.11%	+13.37	6-1
1967-11-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-3	1642.92	1272.37	80.84%	10.13%	+7.57	7-1
1967-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-7	1650.49	1450.34	67.18%	22.83%	+15.55	8-1
1967-12-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-3	1666.04	1257.98	85.18%	6.45%	+3.73	9-1
1967-12-09	Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1669.77	1709.18	42.78%	46.88%	+10.71	10-1
1967-12-17	Baltimore Colts	W 34-10	1680.48	1717.14	43.17%	46.49%	+30.04	11-1
1967-09-17	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-27	1485.67	1510.25	44.90%	44.76%	-14.56	0-1
1967-09-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-39	1471.11	1561.01	29.46%	60.35%	-24.24	0-2
1967-10-01	Chicago Bears	L 7-17	1446.87	1473.71	44.57%	45.08%	-18.67	0-3
1967-10-08	St. Louis Cardinals	L 24-34	1428.20	1491.16	39.47%	50.20%	-16.73	0-4
1967-10-15	@ Green Bay Packers	W 10-7	1411.47	1658.35	14.56%	75.92%	+17.01	1-4
1967-10-22	Baltimore Colts	T 20-20	1428.48	1652.20	20.54%	69.56%	+1.53	1-4
1967-10-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-21	1430.01	1282.40	61.27%	28.56%	-7.95	1-5
1967-11-05	New York Giants	W 27-24	1422.06	1416.16	49.24%	40.43%	+9.37	2-5
1967-11-12	Detroit Lions	T 10-10	1431.43	1464.46	43.69%	45.97%	+0.07	2-5
1967-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-14	1431.50	1562.17	24.83%	65.10%	-6.88	2-6
1967-11-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-27	1424.62	1401.00	44.62%	45.04%	+22.30	3-6
1967-12-03	Green Bay Packers	L 27-30	1446.92	1704.92	17.54%	72.73%	-4.27	3-7
1967-12-10	@ Chicago Bears	T 10-10	1442.65	1547.01	27.76%	62.09%	+1.06	3-7
1967-12-17	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-14	1443.71	1444.08	41.20%	48.46%	-18.24	3-8
1967-09-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-27	1500.00	1539.74	42.73%	46.93%	-21.27	0-1
1967-09-24	Washington Redskins	L 10-30	1478.73	1478.27	48.47%	41.19%	-28.49	0-2
1967-10-01	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-42	1450.24	1518.21	38.77%	50.90%	-30.80	0-3
1967-10-08	@ New York Giants	L 21-27	1419.44	1386.53	45.95%	43.70%	-14.86	0-4
1967-10-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-14	1404.58	1578.95	20.47%	69.64%	-5.72	0-5
1967-10-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-27	1398.86	1534.71	24.28%	65.67%	-12.60	0-6
1967-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-14	1386.26	1423.69	43.06%	46.60%	-11.45	0-7
1967-11-05	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-24	1374.81	1512.70	29.72%	60.09%	+20.63	1-7
1967-11-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-27	1395.44	1581.84	24.24%	65.71%	-13.86	1-8
1967-11-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-48	1381.58	1478.69	28.60%	61.23%	-20.42	1-9
1967-11-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-24	1361.16	1264.81	61.14%	28.69%	+6.83	2-9
1967-12-03	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 20-31	1367.99	1481.92	26.67%	63.21%	-12.21	2-10
1967-12-10	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-30	1355.78	1711.82	8.45%	82.78%	-5.32	2-11
1967-12-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 30-14	1350.46	1512.36	21.65%	68.41%	+35.41	3-11
1967-09-17	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 37-20	1370.51	1480.79	27.08%	62.79%	+33.55	1-0
1967-09-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-38	1404.06	1590.49	19.37%	70.79%	-10.14	1-1
1967-10-01	@ Washington Redskins	L 34-38	1393.92	1506.76	26.79%	63.08%	-7.39	1-2
1967-10-08	New Orleans Saints	W 27-21	1386.53	1419.44	43.70%	45.95%	+14.86	2-2
1967-10-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1401.39	1442.52	35.62%	54.08%	+12.22	3-2
1967-10-22	Green Bay Packers	L 21-48	1413.61	1641.35	20.17%	69.95%	-14.65	3-3
1967-10-29	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-34	1398.96	1591.89	23.56%	66.42%	+17.20	4-3
1967-11-05	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1416.16	1422.06	40.43%	49.24%	-9.37	4-4
1967-11-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-34	1406.79	1481.98	31.25%	58.52%	-22.18	4-5
1967-11-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-20	1384.61	1418.20	43.61%	46.05%	+17.20	5-5
1967-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 44-7	1401.81	1499.11	34.83%	54.89%	+43.50	6-5
1967-12-03	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-24	1445.31	1579.26	24.48%	65.46%	-10.73	6-6
1967-12-10	Detroit Lions	L 7-30	1434.58	1411.71	51.60%	38.08%	-32.37	6-7
1967-12-17	St. Louis Cardinals	W 37-14	1402.21	1484.64	36.81%	52.89%	+33.12	7-7
1967-09-17	Washington Redskins	W 35-24	1516.90	1495.33	51.42%	38.26%	+17.06	1-0
1967-09-24	Baltimore Colts	L 6-38	1533.96	1577.21	42.23%	47.43%	-31.82	1-1
1967-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-24	1502.14	1471.54	52.66%	37.03%	+15.78	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 38-7	1517.92	1314.69	67.50%	22.52%	+17.45	3-1
1967-10-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 27-28	1535.37	1528.22	49.41%	40.25%	-6.49	3-2
1967-10-22	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-48	1528.88	1498.68	45.56%	44.09%	-35.11	3-3
1967-10-29	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-14	1493.77	1591.29	34.80%	54.92%	+18.93	4-3
1967-11-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1512.70	1374.81	60.09%	29.72%	-20.63	4-4
1967-11-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-33	1492.07	1629.55	24.11%	65.85%	-13.38	4-5
1967-11-19	New Orleans Saints	W 48-21	1478.69	1381.58	61.23%	28.60%	+20.42	5-5
1967-11-26	@ New York Giants	L 7-44	1499.11	1401.81	54.89%	34.83%	-43.50	5-6
1967-12-03	@ Washington Redskins	T 35-35	1455.61	1502.52	34.86%	54.86%	+0.61	5-6
1967-12-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-38	1456.22	1586.81	24.84%	65.09%	-15.77	5-7
1967-12-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 28-24	1440.45	1599.48	27.24%	62.62%	+16.23	6-7
1967-09-17	Chicago Bears	W 41-13	1465.13	1512.45	41.65%	48.00%	+33.42	1-0
1967-09-24	St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-28	1498.55	1447.24	55.44%	34.28%	-27.01	1-1
1967-10-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-34	1471.54	1502.14	37.03%	52.66%	-15.79	1-2
1967-10-07	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-21	1455.75	1549.01	29.06%	60.76%	-13.23	1-3
1967-10-15	New York Giants	L 24-27	1442.52	1401.39	54.08%	35.62%	-12.21	1-4
1967-10-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-24	1430.31	1584.67	27.78%	62.07%	-6.62	1-5
1967-10-29	@ New Orleans Saints	W 14-10	1423.69	1386.26	46.60%	43.06%	+11.44	2-5
1967-11-05	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-34	1435.13	1574.69	29.52%	60.29%	-18.10	2-6
1967-11-12	@ St. Louis Cardinals	T 14-14	1417.03	1536.12	26.09%	63.80%	+1.17	2-6
1967-11-19	@ New York Giants	L 20-28	1418.20	1384.61	46.05%	43.61%	-17.20	2-7
1967-11-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 27-41	1401.00	1424.62	45.04%	44.62%	-22.30	2-8
1967-12-03	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1378.70	1434.79	33.66%	56.07%	+23.08	3-8
1967-12-10	Washington Redskins	L 10-15	1401.78	1501.92	34.46%	55.26%	-10.45	3-9
1967-12-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1391.33	1698.48	10.82%	80.05%	+27.36	4-9
1967-09-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-21	1510.25	1485.67	44.76%	44.90%	+14.56	1-0
1967-09-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-7	1524.81	1336.52	70.97%	19.21%	+14.97	2-0
1967-10-01	@ Baltimore Colts	L 7-41	1539.78	1609.03	31.99%	57.77%	-25.44	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-24	1514.34	1616.31	28.03%	61.81%	+13.88	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-27	1528.22	1535.37	40.25%	49.41%	+6.49	4-1
1967-10-22	New Orleans Saints	W 27-13	1534.71	1398.86	65.67%	24.28%	+12.60	5-1
1967-10-29	Detroit Lions	L 3-45	1547.31	1437.77	62.70%	27.16%	-52.67	5-2
1967-11-05	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-17	1494.64	1615.84	31.76%	58.00%	-13.70	5-3
1967-11-12	@ Washington Redskins	L 28-31	1480.94	1481.94	41.11%	48.55%	-9.51	5-4
1967-11-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-13	1471.43	1689.01	16.75%	73.57%	-8.49	5-5
1967-11-26	Baltimore Colts	L 9-26	1462.94	1690.92	20.15%	69.98%	-11.61	5-6
1967-12-03	Chicago Bears	L 14-28	1451.33	1528.08	37.57%	52.11%	-18.93	5-7
1967-12-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-28	1432.40	1254.25	64.81%	25.12%	+8.52	6-7
1967-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-16	1440.92	1602.58	26.94%	62.93%	+23.07	7-7
1967-09-17	New York Giants	L 20-37	1480.79	1370.51	62.79%	27.08%	-33.55	0-1
1967-09-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-14	1447.24	1498.55	34.28%	55.44%	+27.02	1-1
1967-10-01	Detroit Lions	W 38-28	1474.26	1464.66	49.76%	39.91%	+16.90	2-1
1967-10-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 34-24	1491.16	1428.20	50.20%	39.47%	+16.73	3-1
1967-10-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-20	1507.89	1562.24	33.89%	55.84%	-9.21	3-2
1967-10-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 48-14	1498.68	1528.88	44.09%	45.56%	+35.12	4-2
1967-10-30	Green Bay Packers	L 23-31	1533.80	1655.99	31.64%	58.12%	-12.21	4-3
1967-11-05	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-21	1521.59	1496.47	44.83%	44.82%	+14.53	5-3
1967-11-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	T 14-14	1536.12	1417.03	63.80%	26.09%	-1.16	5-3
1967-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-30	1534.96	1504.16	45.65%	44.01%	-31.35	5-4
1967-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-46	1503.61	1574.41	31.79%	57.97%	-21.69	5-5
1967-12-03	New Orleans Saints	W 31-20	1481.92	1367.99	63.21%	26.67%	+12.21	6-5
1967-12-10	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 16-20	1494.13	1589.99	35.02%	54.70%	-9.49	6-6
1967-12-17	@ New York Giants	L 14-37	1484.64	1402.21	52.89%	36.81%	-33.12	6-7
1967-09-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-35	1495.33	1516.90	38.26%	51.42%	-17.06	0-1
1967-09-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-10	1478.27	1478.73	41.19%	48.47%	+28.49	1-1
1967-10-01	New York Giants	W 38-34	1506.76	1393.92	63.08%	26.79%	+7.39	2-1
1967-10-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-17	1514.15	1569.57	40.52%	49.15%	-9.38	2-2
1967-10-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	T 20-20	1504.77	1297.24	67.95%	22.09%	-1.43	2-2
1967-10-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	T 28-28	1503.34	1603.07	28.29%	61.54%	+1.02	2-2
1967-10-29	Baltimore Colts	L 13-17	1504.36	1650.66	28.71%	61.11%	-7.89	2-3
1967-11-05	St. Louis Cardinals	L 21-27	1496.47	1521.59	44.82%	44.83%	-14.53	2-4
1967-11-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-28	1481.94	1480.94	48.55%	41.11%	+9.51	3-4
1967-11-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-20	1491.45	1595.70	27.77%	62.08%	+21.29	4-4
1967-11-26	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 37-42	1512.74	1569.05	33.63%	56.10%	-10.22	4-5
1967-12-03	Philadelphia Eagles	T 35-35	1502.52	1455.61	54.86%	34.86%	-0.60	4-5
1967-12-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 15-10	1501.92	1401.78	55.26%	34.46%	+10.44	5-5
1967-12-17	New Orleans Saints	L 14-30	1512.36	1350.46	68.41%	21.65%	-35.41	5-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-12-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-52	1583.25	1579.51	46.93%	53.07%	-34.34	0-1
1967-12-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 52-14	1579.51	1583.25	53.07%	46.93%	+34.34	1-0
1967-12-31	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-21	1613.85	1699.43	34.59%	65.41%	-8.21	1-1
1967-12-23	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-7	1671.11	1710.52	47.94%	52.06%	+28.32	1-0
1967-12-31	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-17	1699.43	1613.85	65.41%	34.59%	+8.21	2-0
1967-12-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1710.52	1671.11	52.06%	47.94%	-28.32	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1967-12-17	10.82%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1391.33	24	@ Green Bay Packers	1698.48	17
2	1967-10-15	14.56%	Minnesota Vikings	1411.47	10	@ Green Bay Packers	1658.35	7
3	1967-12-17	21.65%	New Orleans Saints	1350.46	30	@ Washington Redskins	1512.36	14
4	1967-10-29	23.56%	@ New York Giants	1398.96	38	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1591.89	34
5	1967-12-16	26.94%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1440.92	24	Dallas Cowboys	1602.58	16
6	1967-09-17	27.08%	New York Giants	1370.51	37	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1480.79	20
7	1967-10-29	27.16%	Detroit Lions	1437.77	45	@ San Francisco 49ers	1547.31	3
8	1967-12-17	27.24%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1440.45	28	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1599.48	24
9	1967-11-19	27.77%	Washington Redskins	1491.45	27	@ Dallas Cowboys	1595.70	20
10	1967-10-08	28.03%	San Francisco 49ers	1514.34	27	@ Los Angeles Rams	1616.31	24
11	1967-10-29	28.56%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1282.40	21	Minnesota Vikings	1430.01	20
12	1967-11-05	29.72%	@ New Orleans Saints	1374.81	31	Philadelphia Eagles	1512.70	24
13	1967-09-24	32.56%	@ Detroit Lions	1434.00	31	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1548.87	14
14	1967-12-03	33.66%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1378.70	24	@ Detroit Lions	1434.79	14
15	1967-09-24	34.28%	St. Louis Cardinals	1447.24	28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1498.55	14
16	1967-10-29	34.80%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1493.77	21	Dallas Cowboys	1591.29	14
17	1967-11-26	34.83%	@ New York Giants	1401.81	44	Philadelphia Eagles	1499.11	7
18	1967-10-15	35.62%	New York Giants	1401.39	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1442.52	24
19	1967-11-05	36.52%	Chicago Bears	1456.01	27	@ Detroit Lions	1490.43	13
20	1967-12-17	36.81%	@ New York Giants	1402.21	37	St. Louis Cardinals	1484.64	14
21	1967-12-10	38.08%	Detroit Lions	1411.71	30	@ New York Giants	1434.58	7
22	1967-10-01	39.11%	Los Angeles Rams	1585.25	35	@ Dallas Cowboys	1600.63	13
23	1967-10-15	40.25%	San Francisco 49ers	1528.22	28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1535.37	27
24	1967-09-24	41.19%	Washington Redskins	1478.27	30	@ New Orleans Saints	1478.73	10
25	1967-09-17	41.65%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1465.13	41	Chicago Bears	1512.45	13

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1967-10-29	52.67	Detroit Lions	45	1437.77	27.16%	@ San Francisco 49ers	3	1547.31	62.70%
2	1967-11-26	43.50	@ New York Giants	44	1401.81	34.83%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1499.11	54.89%
3	1967-12-17	35.41	New Orleans Saints	30	1350.46	21.65%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1512.36	68.41%
4	1967-10-22	35.12	@ St. Louis Cardinals	48	1498.68	44.09%	Philadelphia Eagles	14	1528.88	45.56%
5	1967-12-24 *	34.34	@ Dallas Cowboys	52	1579.51	53.07%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1583.25	46.93%
6	1967-09-17	33.55	New York Giants	37	1370.51	27.08%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	20	1480.79	62.79%
7	1967-09-17	33.42	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	41	1465.13	41.65%	Chicago Bears	13	1512.45	48.00%
8	1967-12-17	33.12	@ New York Giants	37	1402.21	36.81%	St. Louis Cardinals	14	1484.64	52.89%
9	1967-12-10	32.37	Detroit Lions	30	1411.71	38.08%	@ New York Giants	7	1434.58	51.60%
10	1967-09-24	31.82	Baltimore Colts	38	1577.21	47.43%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	6	1533.96	42.23%
11	1967-11-19	31.35	@ Chicago Bears	30	1504.16	44.01%	St. Louis Cardinals	3	1534.96	45.65%
12	1967-10-01	31.06	Los Angeles Rams	35	1585.25	39.11%	@ Dallas Cowboys	13	1600.63	50.56%
13	1967-10-01	30.80	Cleveland Browns (1st)	42	1518.21	50.90%	@ New Orleans Saints	7	1450.24	38.77%
14	1967-09-24	30.66	@ Detroit Lions	31	1434.00	32.56%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1548.87	57.19%
15	1967-11-12	30.63	@ Green Bay Packers	55	1658.38	57.30%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	7	1592.79	32.45%
16	1967-12-17	30.04	@ Los Angeles Rams	34	1680.48	43.17%	Baltimore Colts	10	1717.14	46.49%
17	1967-09-24	28.49	Washington Redskins	30	1478.27	41.19%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1478.73	48.47%
18	1967-12-23 *	28.32	@ Green Bay Packers	28	1671.11	47.94%	Los Angeles Rams	7	1710.52	52.06%
19	1967-12-17	27.37	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1391.33	10.82%	@ Green Bay Packers	17	1698.48	80.05%
20	1967-09-24	27.02	St. Louis Cardinals	28	1447.24	34.28%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1498.55	55.44%
21	1967-11-05	25.97	Chicago Bears	27	1456.01	36.52%	@ Detroit Lions	13	1490.43	53.18%
22	1967-10-01	25.44	@ Baltimore Colts	41	1609.03	57.77%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1539.78	31.99%
23	1967-09-22	24.24	@ Los Angeles Rams	39	1561.01	60.35%	Minnesota Vikings	3	1471.11	29.46%
24	1967-12-03	23.08	Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1378.70	33.66%	@ Detroit Lions	14	1434.79	56.07%
25	1967-12-16	23.07	@ San Francisco 49ers	24	1440.92	26.94%	Dallas Cowboys	16	1602.58	62.93%