1966 NFL Season

105 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

1st Super Bowl

Last Title: 1965

Runner-Up

Dallas Cowboys

1st SB App.

Biggest Overachiever

Green Bay Packers

2.70 wins above expected

12 wins · 9.30 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Giants

3.76 wins below expected

1 wins · 5.26 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	10	3	1	.750	-	445	239	+206	9.08	+1.42
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	9	5	0	.643	1.5	403	259	+144	8.89	+0.11
3	Philadelphia Eagles	9	5	0	.643	1.5	326	340	-14	6.98	+2.02
4	St. Louis Cardinals	8	5	1	.607	2	264	265	-1	8.12	+0.38
5	Washington Redskins	7	7	0	.500	3.5	351	355	-4	6.82	+0.18
6	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	8	1	.393	5	316	347	-31	5.54	-0.04
7	Atlanta Falcons	3	11	0	.214	7.5	204	437	-233	2.62	+0.38
8	New York Giants	1	12	1	.107	9	263	501	-238	5.26	-3.76

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	12	2	0	.857	-	335	163	+172	9.30	+2.70
2	Baltimore Colts	9	5	0	.643	3	314	226	+88	8.51	+0.49
3	Los Angeles Rams	8	6	0	.571	4	289	212	+77	7.02	+0.98
4	San Francisco 49ers	6	6	2	.500	5	320	325	-5	6.75	+0.25
5	Chicago Bears	5	7	2	.429	6	234	272	-38	7.41	-1.41
6	Minnesota Vikings	4	9	1	.321	7.5	292	304	-12	6.77	-2.27
7	Detroit Lions	4	9	1	.321	7.5	206	317	-111	5.92	-1.42

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Green Bay Packers 34

Dallas Cowboys 27

Jan 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	West	1708	12	9.30	+2.70	98.45%	1	6	8	9	10	12	14
Dallas Cowboys	East	1628	10.5	9.08	+1.42	84.03%	1	6	8	9	10	12	14
Baltimore Colts	West	1611	9	8.51	+0.49	77.05%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1601	9	8.89	+0.11	69.87%	1	6	7	9	10	11	14
Los Angeles Rams	West	1556	8	7.02	+0.98	84.77%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1531	9	6.98	+2.02	94.65%	0	4	5	7	8	10	13
Chicago Bears	West	1517	6	7.41	-1.41	37.67%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
San Francisco 49ers	West	1515	7	6.75	+0.25	73.22%	0	4	5	6	8	9	14
Washington Redskins	East	1495	7	6.82	+0.18	72.31%	0	4	5	6	8	9	13
St. Louis Cardinals	East	1481	8.5	8.12	+0.38	65.46%	0	5	7	8	9	11	14
Minnesota Vikings	West	1476	4.5	6.77	-2.27	13.48%	0	4	5	6	8	9	13
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1445	5.5	5.54	-0.04	57.65%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Detroit Lions	West	1401	4.5	5.92	-1.42	26.88%	0	3	4	6	7	8	13
New York Giants	East	1283	1.5	5.26	-3.76	1.40%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Atlanta Falcons	East	1251	3	2.62	+0.38	79.82%	0	0	1	2	3	5	11

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Falcons	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New York Giants	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Atlanta Falcons	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-
New York Giants	-	-	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	-
St. Louis Cardinals	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Falcons	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Chicago Bears	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	-
Minnesota Vikings	0-1 (0.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-
San Francisco 49ers	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.95%	0.48%	2.86%	1.90%	1.43%	—	0.48%	8.10%
7–13	0.48%	3.81%	4.76%	3.81%	1.90%	2.38%	1.43%	18.57%
14–20	2.86%	4.76%	5.71%	4.76%	3.81%	2.38%	1.90%	26.19%
21–27	1.90%	3.81%	4.76%	3.81%	1.43%	0.48%	0.48%	16.67%
28–34	1.43%	1.90%	3.81%	1.43%	5.71%	1.43%	0.95%	16.67%
35–41	—	2.38%	2.38%	0.48%	1.43%	—	0.95%	7.62%
42+	0.48%	1.43%	1.90%	0.48%	0.95%	0.95%	—	6.19%
Total	8.10%	18.57%	26.19%	16.67%	16.67%	7.62%	6.19%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.72	21.72	+0.00
SD	12.75	12.75	18.41
CV	0.59	0.59	—
Max	72	72	+53
Min	0	0	-53

Games Played: 105

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
14–20	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	42.86%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	—	35.71%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.57	31.21	-16.64
SD	8.44	16.33	18.22
CV	0.58	0.52	—
Max	33	57	+11
Min	3	10	-53

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	14.29%	50.00%	28.57%	—	—	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.43	16.14	+6.29
SD	12.79	6.80	15.99
CV	0.57	0.42	—
Max	45	27	+31
Min	3	3	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
7–13	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
21–27	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	28.57%	21.43%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.71	19.43	-2.71
SD	10.96	10.14	12.31
CV	0.66	0.52	—
Max	41	41	+17
Min	0	6	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.79	18.50	+10.29
SD	13.12	11.30	16.20
CV	0.46	0.61	—
Max	49	40	+32
Min	6	3	-12

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
Total	—	35.71%	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.79	17.07	+14.71
SD	14.44	9.44	18.12
CV	0.45	0.55	—
Max	56	34	+49
Min	10	7	-9

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.71	22.64	-7.93
SD	8.81	12.13	14.54
CV	0.60	0.54	—
Max	32	45	+18
Min	3	3	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
21–27	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
28–34	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	—	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.93	11.64	+12.29
SD	10.59	7.57	14.17
CV	0.44	0.65	—
Max	56	23	+53
Min	13	0	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	14.29%	35.71%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.64	15.14	+5.50
SD	13.18	9.49	18.81
CV	0.64	0.63	—
Max	55	35	+41
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
28–34	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.86	21.71	-0.86
SD	8.39	10.84	13.88
CV	0.40	0.50	—
Max	35	41	+28
Min	6	3	-15

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%	14.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	35.71%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.79	35.79	-17.00
SD	12.39	17.13	14.87
CV	0.66	0.48	—
Max	41	72	+3
Min	3	10	-45

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.29	24.29	-1.00
SD	11.12	13.32	21.05
CV	0.48	0.55	—
Max	37	56	+28
Min	7	3	-49

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
14–20	14.29%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
21–27	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
Total	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.57	24.79	-2.21
SD	15.39	14.49	18.06
CV	0.68	0.58	—
Max	57	52	+24
Min	3	3	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	35.71%	7.14%	28.57%	14.29%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.86	23.21	-0.36
SD	13.89	9.21	20.37
CV	0.61	0.40	—
Max	44	36	+37
Min	3	7	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.86	18.93	-0.07
SD	10.01	10.27	14.80
CV	0.53	0.54	—
Max	41	38	+31
Min	6	3	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
21–27	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	35.71%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
Total	—	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	28.57%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.07	25.36	-0.29
SD	17.18	10.65	16.11
CV	0.69	0.42	—
Max	72	41	+31
Min	3	10	-27

Games Played: 14

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.45	+0.3
Allowed	0.68	-0.3
Differential	0.81	+0.2

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Green Bay Packers	12	9.30	+2.70
2	Philadelphia Eagles	9	6.98	+2.02
3	Dallas Cowboys	10.5	9.08	+1.42
4	Los Angeles Rams	8	7.02	+0.98
5	Baltimore Colts	9	8.51	+0.49

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	1.5	5.26	-3.76
2	Minnesota Vikings	4.5	6.77	-2.27
3	Detroit Lions	4.5	5.92	-1.42
4	Chicago Bears	6	7.41	-1.41
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	5.5	5.54	-0.04

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta Falcons	2	Dec 4 – Dec 11	1 in 40
2	St. Louis Cardinals	5	Sep 11 – Oct 9	1 in 31
3	Philadelphia Eagles	4	Nov 20 – Dec 18	1 in 27
4	Los Angeles Rams	4	Nov 13 – Dec 4	1 in 16
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	2	Nov 6 – Nov 13	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Minnesota Vikings	4	Nov 13 – Dec 4	1 in 103
2	New York Giants	8	Oct 23 – Dec 18	1 in 89
3	St. Louis Cardinals	3	Dec 4 – Dec 17	1 in 16
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	5	Sep 25 – Oct 30	1 in 15
5	Los Angeles Rams	4	Oct 16 – Nov 6	1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Dallas Cowboys	36.77%	25.69%	17.16%	10.24%	5.96%	2.94%	1.10%	0.14%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.33%	25.89%	18.66%	11.99%	7.14%	3.48%	1.36%	0.16%
St. Louis Cardinals	17.93%	21.36%	21.44%	16.73%	11.79%	7.02%	3.18%	0.54%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.51%	11.33%	15.98%	19.52%	19.30%	15.40%	9.80%	2.16%
Washington Redskins	5.18%	9.73%	14.56%	19.48%	20.62%	17.11%	10.88%	2.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.37%	3.54%	6.94%	11.85%	17.58%	24.40%	25.11%	9.22%
New York Giants	0.90%	2.43%	5.12%	9.66%	15.95%	24.02%	30.66%	11.25%
Atlanta Falcons	<0.01%	0.04%	0.14%	0.53%	1.67%	5.64%	17.91%	74.07%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Green Bay Packers	42.85%	23.64%	14.51%	8.85%	5.57%	3.12%	1.47%
Baltimore Colts	26.01%	24.31%	17.65%	13.10%	9.30%	6.22%	3.40%
Chicago Bears	10.12%	14.92%	17.30%	16.89%	15.97%	14.00%	10.80%
Los Angeles Rams	7.61%	12.10%	14.99%	16.97%	17.00%	16.58%	14.74%
San Francisco 49ers	5.67%	10.05%	13.72%	15.95%	17.70%	18.53%	18.38%
Minnesota Vikings	5.43%	9.73%	13.30%	16.12%	18.04%	19.20%	18.19%
Detroit Lions	2.30%	5.25%	8.52%	12.12%	16.42%	22.35%	33.03%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Green Bay Packers	24.00%	18.34%	13.51%	10.74%	8.50%	6.59%	5.28%	3.83%	3.26%	2.19%	1.71%	1.05%	0.70%	0.28%	0.02%
Dallas Cowboys	20.32%	17.13%	13.85%	11.57%	9.00%	7.58%	5.47%	4.69%	3.31%	2.64%	1.80%	1.33%	0.80%	0.41%	0.09%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	17.87%	14.76%	13.62%	11.48%	9.68%	8.39%	6.41%	5.37%	3.99%	3.18%	2.19%	1.54%	0.94%	0.49%	0.10%
Baltimore Colts	12.34%	13.37%	12.40%	11.60%	10.08%	8.50%	7.44%	6.16%	5.37%	4.15%	3.53%	2.36%	1.76%	0.84%	0.11%
St. Louis Cardinals	8.62%	9.97%	10.78%	10.63%	10.31%	9.89%	8.47%	7.72%	6.22%	5.62%	4.21%	3.45%	2.29%	1.40%	0.41%
Chicago Bears	4.20%	5.79%	7.16%	8.12%	8.76%	8.76%	9.09%	8.63%	8.85%	7.65%	7.54%	6.29%	5.29%	3.39%	0.49%
Los Angeles Rams	2.79%	4.29%	5.61%	6.63%	7.49%	8.13%	8.78%	8.90%	9.04%	8.57%	8.81%	7.65%	7.25%	5.10%	0.97%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.59%	3.89%	5.37%	6.33%	7.31%	8.21%	8.69%	9.63%	8.97%	9.62%	8.01%	8.08%	6.34%	5.25%	1.73%
Washington Redskins	2.02%	3.26%	4.51%	5.39%	6.69%	7.74%	8.55%	9.77%	9.33%	10.32%	8.91%	8.87%	7.04%	5.70%	1.91%
San Francisco 49ers	1.96%	3.33%	4.51%	5.57%	6.71%	7.46%	8.53%	8.30%	9.52%	8.93%	9.79%	8.77%	8.72%	6.60%	1.30%
Minnesota Vikings	2.03%	3.26%	4.35%	5.47%	6.59%	7.10%	8.37%	8.66%	9.54%	9.41%	10.08%	9.12%	8.75%	6.15%	1.13%
Detroit Lions	0.64%	1.29%	2.04%	3.02%	3.90%	4.93%	6.07%	6.88%	8.46%	9.02%	11.38%	11.71%	14.53%	13.05%	3.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.38%	0.84%	1.37%	2.04%	2.80%	3.82%	4.87%	6.10%	7.31%	9.30%	10.30%	13.18%	13.75%	15.90%	8.05%
New York Giants	0.24%	0.49%	0.92%	1.40%	2.16%	2.85%	3.84%	5.10%	6.34%	8.48%	10.07%	13.31%	15.43%	19.55%	9.81%
Atlanta Falcons	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.15%	0.27%	0.48%	0.92%	1.66%	3.28%	6.40%	15.91%	70.80%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Dallas Cowboys	36.77%	63.23%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.33%	68.67%
St. Louis Cardinals	17.93%	82.08%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.51%	93.49%
Washington Redskins	5.18%	94.82%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.37%	98.63%
New York Giants	0.90%	99.10%
Atlanta Falcons	<0.01%	99.99%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	42.85%	57.15%
Baltimore Colts	26.01%	73.99%
Chicago Bears	10.12%	89.88%
Los Angeles Rams	7.61%	92.39%
San Francisco 49ers	5.67%	94.33%
Minnesota Vikings	5.43%	94.57%
Detroit Lions	2.30%	97.70%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+17.14%

Fortress

56.19%4.76%39.05%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 60.15 Elo pts.

16 Elo

0.063 points per Elo point

040

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.50 points

Home-Tilted

-8+3.79+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd · Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th · Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 25% · Tough Road: 25% to 50% · Favored: 50% to 100% · Heavy Favorite: 100% and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.8

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

29%

Green Bay Packers, 1st of 15

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

69.2%

Favored

050.00%100%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.39 · As Expected: 1.39 to 1.91 · Elevated: 1.91 to 2.6 · High Variance: 2.6 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.33 · Close: 2.33 to 3.15 · Off Target: 3.15 to 4.1 · Well Off Target: 4.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 15 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 15 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.75 · As Expected: 0.75 to 1.8 · Several Outliers: 1.8 to 3.3 · Many Outliers: 3.3 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.9 · As Expected: 0.9 to 1.5 · More Than Expected: 1.5 to 2.41 · Far More Than Expected: 2.41 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.60 wins

As Expected

01.744

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.746

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.67%

98.45%

Green Bay Packers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.33%

1.40%

New York Giants

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 15

Several Outliers

01.57

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

0 of 2

Fewer Than Expected

01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.93

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

66%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

93%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

19%

Mostly Decisive

0%15%100%

Blowouts

Expected

33%

Routine

0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.20

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.88

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.55

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

33%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Favorites Held

0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 · Within Noise: 0.07 to 0.14 · Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.29 · Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.56

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.095

Within Noise

00.1430.4

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	42.85%	29.22%
Dallas Cowboys	36.77%	18.90%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.33%	15.46%
Baltimore Colts	26.01%	14.06%
St. Louis Cardinals	17.93%	5.67%
Chicago Bears	10.12%	4.08%
Los Angeles Rams	7.61%	3.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.51%	2.37%
San Francisco 49ers	5.67%	2.28%
Minnesota Vikings	5.43%	1.92%
Washington Redskins	5.18%	1.68%
Detroit Lions	2.30%	0.54%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.37%	0.34%
New York Giants	0.90%	0.12%
Atlanta Falcons	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Atlanta Falcons	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	49.2%8.65%	62.8%3.41%	80.5%0.77%	35.3%12.11%	59.9%2.50%	70.6%1.96%	66.9%1.93%
Dallas Cowboys	53.1%9.37%	68.5%3.78%	84.0%0.84%	38.9%16.35%	62.9%2.80%	73.4%1.64%	65.2%1.99%
New York Giants	17.0%0.24%	14.4%0.09%	40.0%0.02%	7.7%0.41%	23.5%0.03%	22.4%0.05%	11.8%0.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	38.6%1.68%	48.2%0.65%	70.1%0.14%	24.1%2.91%	50.0%0.49%	58.2%0.38%	54.6%0.26%
Pittsburgh Steelers	26.5%0.34%	39.9%0.17%	47.1%0.02%	16.0%0.60%	25.0%0.10%	37.7%0.08%	39.0%0.08%
St. Louis Cardinals	34.5%4.61%	44.6%1.43%	60.9%0.40%	20.5%8.10%	41.1%1.30%	50.4%1.03%	45.7%1.05%
Washington Redskins	31.7%1.12%	48.3%0.59%	70.9%0.11%	21.5%2.37%	42.1%0.40%	49.3%0.30%	45.6%0.31%
Baltimore Colts								100.0%<0.01%	50.8%8.65%	46.9%9.37%	83.0%0.24%	61.4%1.68%	73.5%0.34%	65.5%4.61%	68.3%1.12%
Chicago Bears								100.0%<0.01%	37.2%3.41%	31.5%3.78%	85.6%0.09%	51.8%0.65%	60.1%0.17%	55.4%1.43%	51.7%0.59%
Detroit Lions									19.5%0.77%	16.0%0.84%	60.0%0.02%	29.9%0.14%	52.9%0.02%	39.1%0.40%	29.1%0.11%
Green Bay Packers								100.0%<0.01%	64.7%12.11%	61.1%16.35%	92.3%0.41%	75.9%2.91%	84.0%0.60%	79.5%8.10%	78.5%2.37%
Los Angeles Rams									40.1%2.50%	37.1%2.80%	76.5%0.03%	50.0%0.49%	75.0%0.10%	58.9%1.30%	57.9%0.40%
Minnesota Vikings								100.0%<0.01%	29.4%1.96%	26.6%1.64%	77.6%0.05%	41.8%0.38%	62.3%0.08%	49.6%1.03%	50.7%0.30%
San Francisco 49ers								100.0%<0.01%	33.1%1.93%	34.8%1.99%	88.2%0.05%	45.4%0.26%	61.0%0.08%	54.3%1.05%	54.4%0.31%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	69.15%
Dallas Cowboys	30.85%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys	30.8%100.00%
Green Bay Packers		69.2%100.00%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 69.15% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.15%

Dallas Cowboys 30.85% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.85%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1966-09-11	Los Angeles Rams	L 14-19	1275.00	1494.08	26.75%	68.72%	-7.31	0-1
1966-09-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-23	1267.69	1489.25	15.62%	81.19%	-6.80	0-2
1966-09-25	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-28	1260.89	1501.38	14.29%	82.73%	-7.30	0-3
1966-10-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-47	1253.59	1561.22	18.28%	78.15%	-12.73	0-4
1966-10-09	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-33	1240.86	1482.45	14.21%	82.82%	-6.17	0-5
1966-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-44	1234.69	1479.81	24.01%	71.72%	-17.83	0-6
1966-10-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-56	1216.86	1649.35	5.40%	93.27%	-4.61	0-7
1966-10-30	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-49	1212.25	1597.21	12.73%	84.55%	-8.63	0-8
1966-11-13	Baltimore Colts	L 7-19	1203.62	1636.72	10.04%	87.71%	-4.15	0-9
1966-11-20	@ New York Giants	W 27-16	1199.47	1360.54	20.55%	75.59%	+29.62	1-9
1966-11-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-23	1229.09	1529.93	10.66%	86.98%	-5.24	1-10
1966-12-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 20-13	1223.85	1498.83	12.10%	85.28%	+26.40	2-10
1966-12-11	St. Louis Cardinals	W 16-10	1250.25	1532.85	20.44%	75.71%	+21.91	3-10
1966-12-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 33-57	1272.16	1424.30	34.68%	60.22%	-20.75	3-11
1966-09-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-24	1571.35	1586.13	36.90%	57.90%	-20.63	0-1
1966-09-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 38-23	1550.72	1525.93	42.27%	52.36%	+24.38	1-1
1966-09-25	San Francisco 49ers	W 36-14	1575.10	1515.57	63.86%	31.25%	+17.92	2-1
1966-10-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-27	1593.02	1546.65	45.32%	49.27%	-17.35	2-2
1966-10-16	Detroit Lions	W 45-14	1575.67	1483.40	67.94%	27.47%	+18.69	3-2
1966-10-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-17	1594.36	1509.49	67.04%	28.29%	+5.99	4-2
1966-10-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 17-3	1600.35	1509.38	51.71%	42.91%	+19.49	5-2
1966-11-06	Washington Redskins	W 37-10	1619.84	1519.49	68.91%	26.58%	+16.88	6-2
1966-11-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 19-7	1636.72	1203.62	87.71%	10.04%	+4.14	7-2
1966-11-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-20	1640.86	1449.29	65.35%	29.86%	-19.05	7-3
1966-11-27	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-23	1621.81	1518.07	69.30%	26.21%	-32.91	7-4
1966-12-04	Chicago Bears	W 21-16	1588.90	1535.17	63.11%	31.95%	+8.73	8-4
1966-12-10	Green Bay Packers	L 10-14	1597.63	1688.25	42.96%	51.66%	-10.43	8-5
1966-12-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-14	1587.20	1538.41	45.66%	48.92%	+23.61	9-5
1966-09-11	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-14	1577.12	1505.65	48.92%	45.67%	-19.57	0-1
1966-09-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-31	1557.55	1501.39	46.72%	47.86%	-21.14	0-2
1966-10-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 13-10	1536.41	1488.23	45.57%	49.01%	+10.24	1-2
1966-10-09	Baltimore Colts	W 27-17	1546.65	1593.02	49.27%	45.32%	+17.36	2-2
1966-10-16	Green Bay Packers	L 0-17	1564.01	1625.90	47.04%	47.54%	-23.45	2-3
1966-10-23	Los Angeles Rams	W 17-10	1540.56	1521.10	58.54%	36.28%	+11.72	3-3
1966-10-31	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-24	1552.28	1557.35	38.19%	56.56%	-12.32	3-4
1966-11-06	Detroit Lions	T 10-10	1539.96	1439.86	68.88%	26.61%	-1.23	3-4
1966-11-13	San Francisco 49ers	T 30-30	1538.73	1494.94	61.81%	33.18%	-0.83	3-4
1966-11-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 6-13	1537.90	1656.36	24.66%	71.01%	-7.97	3-5
1966-11-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-6	1529.93	1229.09	86.98%	10.66%	+5.24	4-5
1966-12-04	@ Baltimore Colts	L 16-21	1535.17	1588.90	31.95%	63.11%	-8.73	4-6
1966-12-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-41	1526.44	1512.65	40.75%	53.92%	-25.76	4-7
1966-12-18	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-28	1500.68	1492.75	56.96%	37.80%	+16.62	5-7
1966-09-11	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-14	1540.20	1496.92	44.88%	49.71%	+29.36	1-0
1966-09-18	Green Bay Packers	L 20-21	1569.56	1606.76	50.59%	44.01%	-6.10	1-1
1966-09-25	St. Louis Cardinals	L 28-34	1563.46	1513.30	62.65%	32.39%	-18.30	1-2
1966-10-02	@ New York Giants	W 28-7	1545.16	1436.58	54.21%	40.46%	+22.57	2-2
1966-10-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-10	1567.73	1416.67	74.56%	21.46%	+14.55	3-2
1966-10-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 30-21	1582.28	1597.38	53.73%	40.93%	+14.93	4-2
1966-10-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 49-17	1597.21	1212.25	84.55%	12.73%	+8.64	5-2
1966-11-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-16	1605.85	1366.64	71.06%	24.62%	-26.64	5-3
1966-11-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-7	1579.21	1489.52	67.63%	27.75%	+15.17	6-3
1966-11-20	Washington Redskins	W 14-3	1594.38	1497.30	68.52%	26.94%	+10.92	7-3
1966-11-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-26	1605.30	1607.21	38.61%	56.12%	-16.30	7-4
1966-12-04	New York Giants	W 49-40	1589.00	1316.65	85.09%	12.26%	+4.41	8-4
1966-12-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-33	1593.41	1488.64	53.67%	40.99%	-22.33	8-5
1966-12-17	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 38-10	1571.08	1510.94	47.29%	47.29%	+30.24	9-5
1966-09-18	New York Giants	W 52-7	1520.17	1481.62	61.12%	33.83%	+27.73	1-0
1966-09-25	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-17	1547.90	1501.55	62.15%	32.86%	+13.32	2-0
1966-10-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 47-14	1561.22	1253.59	78.15%	18.28%	+12.74	3-0
1966-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 56-7	1573.96	1477.72	68.42%	27.03%	+23.12	4-0
1966-10-16	@ St. Louis Cardinals	T 10-10	1597.08	1573.03	42.17%	52.46%	+0.30	4-0
1966-10-23	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 21-30	1597.38	1582.28	40.93%	53.73%	-14.94	4-1
1966-10-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 52-21	1582.44	1378.03	79.71%	16.91%	+11.39	5-1
1966-11-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-24	1593.83	1482.97	54.53%	40.15%	-6.54	5-2
1966-11-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 31-30	1587.29	1502.61	50.81%	43.79%	+5.31	6-2
1966-11-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-7	1592.60	1428.36	61.83%	33.16%	+14.61	7-2
1966-11-24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 26-14	1607.21	1605.30	56.12%	38.61%	+16.30	8-2
1966-12-04	St. Louis Cardinals	W 31-17	1623.51	1546.18	66.11%	29.15%	+13.34	9-2
1966-12-11	Washington Redskins	L 31-34	1636.85	1500.65	72.98%	22.88%	-14.96	9-3
1966-12-18	@ New York Giants	W 17-7	1621.89	1289.41	80.39%	16.32%	+6.23	10-3
1966-09-11	Chicago Bears	W 14-3	1505.65	1577.12	45.67%	48.92%	+19.58	1-0
1966-09-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-17	1525.23	1424.85	53.05%	41.59%	-23.85	1-1
1966-09-25	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-10	1501.38	1260.89	82.73%	14.29%	+7.30	2-1
1966-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-23	1508.68	1624.07	24.98%	70.66%	-9.15	2-2
1966-10-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-14	1499.53	1536.47	50.62%	43.98%	-16.13	2-3
1966-10-16	@ Baltimore Colts	L 14-45	1483.40	1575.67	27.47%	67.94%	-18.70	2-4
1966-10-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1464.70	1497.64	34.54%	60.36%	-7.30	2-5
1966-10-30	Green Bay Packers	L 7-31	1457.40	1653.96	29.28%	65.98%	-17.54	2-6
1966-11-06	@ Chicago Bears	T 10-10	1439.86	1539.96	26.61%	68.88%	+1.23	2-6
1966-11-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 32-31	1441.09	1542.42	26.47%	69.02%	+8.20	3-6
1966-11-20	Baltimore Colts	W 20-14	1449.29	1640.86	29.86%	65.35%	+19.05	4-6
1966-11-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-41	1468.34	1488.74	52.98%	41.66%	-33.08	4-7
1966-12-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-23	1435.26	1550.98	24.95%	70.69%	-13.62	4-8
1966-12-11	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-28	1421.64	1472.42	48.64%	45.95%	-20.33	4-9
1966-09-10	Baltimore Colts	W 24-3	1586.13	1571.35	57.90%	36.90%	+20.63	1-0
1966-09-18	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 21-20	1606.76	1569.56	44.01%	50.59%	+6.09	2-0
1966-09-25	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-13	1612.85	1522.53	67.70%	27.68%	+11.22	3-0
1966-10-02	Detroit Lions	W 23-14	1624.07	1508.68	70.66%	24.98%	+9.16	4-0
1966-10-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-21	1633.23	1472.49	61.37%	33.60%	-7.33	4-1
1966-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-0	1625.90	1564.01	47.54%	47.04%	+23.45	5-1
1966-10-23	Atlanta Falcons	W 56-3	1649.35	1216.86	93.27%	5.40%	+4.61	6-1
1966-10-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-7	1653.96	1457.40	65.98%	29.28%	+17.53	7-1
1966-11-06	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-20	1671.49	1527.29	73.84%	22.11%	-15.13	7-2
1966-11-20	Chicago Bears	W 13-6	1656.36	1537.90	71.01%	24.66%	+7.97	8-2
1966-11-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 28-16	1664.33	1513.58	60.03%	34.86%	+14.75	9-2
1966-12-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-7	1679.08	1521.82	75.20%	20.89%	+9.17	10-2
1966-12-10	@ Baltimore Colts	W 14-10	1688.25	1597.63	51.66%	42.96%	+10.43	11-2
1966-12-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-23	1698.68	1564.61	57.76%	37.03%	+9.03	12-2
1966-09-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 19-14	1494.08	1275.00	68.72%	26.75%	+7.31	1-0
1966-09-16	Chicago Bears	W 31-17	1501.39	1557.55	47.86%	46.72%	+21.14	2-0
1966-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-24	1522.53	1612.85	27.68%	67.70%	-11.22	2-1
1966-09-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-3	1511.31	1497.65	57.75%	37.04%	+25.16	3-1
1966-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	W 14-7	1536.47	1499.53	43.98%	50.62%	+16.13	4-1
1966-10-16	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-35	1552.60	1477.99	49.37%	45.22%	-31.50	4-2
1966-10-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-17	1521.10	1540.56	36.28%	58.54%	-11.72	4-3
1966-10-30	Baltimore Colts	L 3-17	1509.38	1600.35	42.91%	51.71%	-19.49	4-4
1966-11-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-21	1489.89	1481.16	40.05%	54.63%	-13.79	4-5
1966-11-13	New York Giants	W 55-14	1476.10	1381.87	68.18%	27.25%	+21.33	5-5
1966-11-20	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-6	1497.43	1534.23	50.64%	43.96%	+20.64	6-5
1966-11-27	@ Baltimore Colts	W 23-7	1518.07	1621.81	26.21%	69.30%	+32.91	7-5
1966-12-04	Detroit Lions	W 23-3	1550.98	1435.26	70.69%	24.95%	+13.63	8-5
1966-12-18	Green Bay Packers	L 23-27	1564.61	1698.68	37.03%	57.76%	-9.04	8-6
1966-09-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	T 20-20	1525.51	1515.98	40.16%	54.52%	+0.42	0-0
1966-09-18	Baltimore Colts	L 23-38	1525.93	1550.72	52.36%	42.27%	-24.38	0-1
1966-09-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-28	1501.55	1547.90	32.86%	62.15%	-13.32	0-2
1966-10-02	Chicago Bears	L 10-13	1488.23	1536.41	49.01%	45.57%	-10.24	0-3
1966-10-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 35-7	1477.99	1552.60	45.22%	49.37%	+31.50	1-3
1966-10-23	@ Baltimore Colts	L 17-20	1509.49	1594.36	28.29%	67.04%	-5.99	1-4
1966-10-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-3	1503.50	1504.95	55.65%	39.06%	+23.79	2-4
1966-11-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1527.29	1671.49	22.11%	73.84%	+15.13	3-4
1966-11-13	Detroit Lions	L 31-32	1542.42	1441.09	69.02%	26.47%	-8.19	3-5
1966-11-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 6-21	1534.23	1497.43	43.96%	50.64%	-20.65	3-6
1966-11-27	Green Bay Packers	L 16-28	1513.58	1664.33	34.86%	60.03%	-14.75	3-7
1966-12-04	Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1498.83	1223.85	85.28%	12.10%	-26.41	3-8
1966-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-16	1472.42	1421.64	45.95%	48.64%	+20.33	4-8
1966-12-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 28-41	1492.75	1500.68	37.80%	56.96%	-16.62	4-9
1966-09-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 34-34	1481.59	1424.88	46.79%	47.79%	+0.03	0-0
1966-09-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-52	1481.62	1520.17	33.83%	61.12%	-27.73	0-1
1966-09-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-35	1453.89	1496.05	33.38%	61.59%	-17.31	0-2
1966-10-02	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-28	1436.58	1545.16	40.46%	54.21%	-22.56	0-3
1966-10-09	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 19-24	1414.02	1567.24	21.26%	74.78%	-5.79	0-4
1966-10-16	Washington Redskins	W 13-10	1408.23	1488.62	44.40%	50.20%	+10.47	1-4
1966-10-23	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-31	1418.70	1478.68	47.31%	47.26%	-30.25	1-5
1966-11-06	St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-20	1388.45	1569.66	31.08%	64.04%	-6.58	1-6
1966-11-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-55	1381.87	1476.10	27.25%	68.18%	-21.33	1-7
1966-11-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 16-27	1360.54	1199.47	75.59%	20.55%	-29.62	1-8
1966-11-27	@ Washington Redskins	L 41-72	1330.92	1486.38	21.06%	75.01%	-14.27	1-9
1966-12-04	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 40-49	1316.65	1589.00	12.26%	85.09%	-4.41	1-10
1966-12-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-47	1312.24	1401.47	43.15%	51.46%	-22.83	1-11
1966-12-18	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-17	1289.41	1621.89	16.32%	80.39%	-6.24	1-12
1966-09-11	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 13-16	1497.74	1487.67	40.24%	54.44%	-8.49	0-1
1966-09-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-10	1489.25	1267.69	81.19%	15.62%	+6.80	1-1
1966-09-25	New York Giants	W 35-17	1496.05	1453.89	61.59%	33.38%	+17.31	2-1
1966-10-02	St. Louis Cardinals	L 10-41	1513.36	1531.60	53.29%	41.36%	-35.64	2-2
1966-10-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-56	1477.72	1573.96	27.03%	68.42%	-23.12	2-3
1966-10-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-14	1454.60	1402.11	46.19%	48.39%	+24.08	3-3
1966-10-23	@ New York Giants	W 31-3	1478.68	1418.70	47.26%	47.31%	+30.26	4-3
1966-10-30	Washington Redskins	L 13-27	1508.94	1493.53	57.99%	36.81%	-25.97	4-4
1966-11-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-23	1482.97	1593.83	40.15%	54.53%	+6.55	5-4
1966-11-13	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-27	1489.52	1579.21	27.75%	67.63%	-15.17	5-5
1966-11-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 35-34	1474.35	1495.77	36.03%	58.81%	+7.03	6-5
1966-12-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-23	1481.38	1408.73	65.53%	29.70%	+7.26	7-5
1966-12-11	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 33-21	1488.64	1593.41	40.99%	53.67%	+22.33	8-5
1966-12-18	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-28	1510.97	1515.62	38.24%	56.50%	+20.30	9-5
1966-09-11	New York Giants	T 34-34	1424.88	1481.59	47.79%	46.79%	-0.03	0-0
1966-09-18	Detroit Lions	W 17-3	1424.85	1525.23	41.59%	53.05%	+23.85	1-0
1966-09-25	Washington Redskins	L 27-33	1448.70	1450.42	55.61%	39.10%	-16.33	1-1
1966-10-02	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-24	1432.37	1466.75	34.36%	60.56%	-15.70	1-2
1966-10-08	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-41	1416.67	1567.73	21.46%	74.56%	-14.56	1-3
1966-10-16	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-31	1402.11	1454.60	48.39%	46.19%	-24.08	1-4
1966-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-52	1378.03	1582.44	16.91%	79.71%	-11.39	1-5
1966-11-06	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 16-6	1366.64	1605.85	24.62%	71.06%	+26.64	2-5
1966-11-13	St. Louis Cardinals	W 30-9	1393.28	1576.25	30.87%	64.26%	+35.08	3-5
1966-11-20	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-20	1428.36	1592.60	33.16%	61.83%	-14.61	3-6
1966-11-27	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 3-6	1413.75	1541.17	23.75%	72.01%	-5.02	3-7
1966-12-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-27	1408.73	1481.38	29.70%	65.53%	-7.26	3-8
1966-12-11	@ New York Giants	W 47-28	1401.47	1312.24	51.46%	43.15%	+22.83	4-8
1966-12-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 57-33	1424.30	1272.16	60.22%	34.68%	+20.75	5-8
1966-09-11	Minnesota Vikings	T 20-20	1515.98	1525.51	54.52%	40.16%	-0.41	0-0
1966-09-25	@ Baltimore Colts	L 14-36	1515.57	1575.10	31.25%	63.86%	-17.92	0-1
1966-09-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-34	1497.65	1511.31	37.04%	57.75%	-25.16	0-2
1966-10-09	Green Bay Packers	W 21-20	1472.49	1633.23	33.60%	61.37%	+7.32	1-2
1966-10-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 44-7	1479.81	1234.69	71.72%	24.01%	+17.83	2-2
1966-10-23	Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1497.64	1464.70	60.36%	34.54%	+7.31	3-2
1966-10-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 3-28	1504.95	1503.50	39.06%	55.65%	-23.79	3-3
1966-11-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 21-13	1481.16	1489.89	54.63%	40.05%	+13.78	4-3
1966-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	T 30-30	1494.94	1538.73	33.18%	61.81%	+0.83	4-3
1966-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	L 34-35	1495.77	1474.35	58.81%	36.03%	-7.03	4-4
1966-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 41-14	1488.74	1468.34	41.66%	52.98%	+33.08	5-4
1966-12-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-20	1521.82	1679.08	20.89%	75.20%	-9.17	5-5
1966-12-11	Chicago Bears	W 41-14	1512.65	1526.44	53.92%	40.75%	+25.76	6-5
1966-12-18	Baltimore Colts	L 14-30	1538.41	1587.20	48.92%	45.66%	-23.61	6-6
1966-09-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-13	1487.67	1497.74	54.44%	40.24%	+8.48	1-0
1966-09-18	Washington Redskins	W 23-7	1496.15	1467.56	59.78%	35.10%	+17.15	2-0
1966-09-25	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 34-28	1513.30	1563.46	32.39%	62.65%	+18.30	3-0
1966-10-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-10	1531.60	1513.36	41.36%	53.29%	+35.64	4-0
1966-10-09	New York Giants	W 24-19	1567.24	1414.02	74.78%	21.26%	+5.79	5-0
1966-10-16	Dallas Cowboys	T 10-10	1573.03	1597.08	52.46%	42.17%	-0.30	5-0
1966-10-23	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-26	1572.73	1478.15	52.23%	42.40%	-15.38	5-1
1966-10-31	Chicago Bears	W 24-17	1557.35	1552.28	56.56%	38.19%	+12.31	6-1
1966-11-06	@ New York Giants	W 20-17	1569.66	1388.45	64.04%	31.08%	+6.59	7-1
1966-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-30	1576.25	1393.28	64.26%	30.87%	-35.08	7-2
1966-11-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 6-3	1541.17	1413.75	72.01%	23.75%	+5.01	8-2
1966-12-04	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-31	1546.18	1623.51	29.15%	66.11%	-13.33	8-3
1966-12-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-16	1532.85	1250.25	75.71%	20.44%	-21.91	8-4
1966-12-17	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-38	1510.94	1571.08	47.29%	47.29%	-30.24	8-5
1966-09-11	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-38	1496.92	1540.20	49.71%	44.88%	-29.36	0-1
1966-09-18	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-23	1467.56	1496.15	35.10%	59.78%	-17.14	0-2
1966-09-25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 33-27	1450.42	1448.70	39.10%	55.61%	+16.33	1-2
1966-10-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-10	1466.75	1432.37	60.56%	34.36%	+15.70	2-2
1966-10-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 33-20	1482.45	1240.86	82.82%	14.21%	+6.17	3-2
1966-10-16	@ New York Giants	L 10-13	1488.62	1408.23	50.20%	44.40%	-10.47	3-3
1966-10-23	St. Louis Cardinals	W 26-20	1478.15	1572.73	42.40%	52.23%	+15.38	4-3
1966-10-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-13	1493.53	1508.94	36.81%	57.99%	+25.96	5-3
1966-11-06	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-37	1519.49	1619.84	26.58%	68.91%	-16.88	5-4
1966-11-13	Dallas Cowboys	L 30-31	1502.61	1587.29	43.79%	50.81%	-5.31	5-5
1966-11-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 3-14	1497.30	1594.38	26.94%	68.52%	-10.92	5-6
1966-11-27	New York Giants	W 72-41	1486.38	1330.92	75.01%	21.06%	+14.27	6-6
1966-12-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-31	1500.65	1636.85	22.88%	72.98%	+14.97	7-6
1966-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-37	1515.62	1510.97	56.50%	38.24%	-20.31	7-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1967-01-01	Green Bay Packers	L 27-34	1628.12	1707.71	47.21%	52.79%	-14.27	0-1
1967-01-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-27	1707.71	1628.12	52.79%	47.21%	+14.28	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1966-12-04	12.10%	Atlanta Falcons	1223.85	20	@ Minnesota Vikings	1498.83	13
2	1966-12-11	20.44%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1250.25	16	St. Louis Cardinals	1532.85	10
3	1966-11-20	20.55%	Atlanta Falcons	1199.47	27	@ New York Giants	1360.54	16
4	1966-11-06	22.11%	Minnesota Vikings	1527.29	20	@ Green Bay Packers	1671.49	17
5	1966-12-11	22.88%	Washington Redskins	1500.65	34	@ Dallas Cowboys	1636.85	31
6	1966-11-06	24.62%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1366.64	16	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1605.85	6
7	1966-11-27	26.21%	Los Angeles Rams	1518.07	23	@ Baltimore Colts	1621.81	7
8	1966-11-13	26.47%	Detroit Lions	1441.09	32	@ Minnesota Vikings	1542.42	31
9	1966-11-20	29.86%	@ Detroit Lions	1449.29	20	Baltimore Colts	1640.86	14
10	1966-11-13	30.87%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1393.28	30	St. Louis Cardinals	1576.25	9
11	1966-09-25	32.39%	St. Louis Cardinals	1513.30	34	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1563.46	28
12	1966-10-09	33.60%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1472.49	21	Green Bay Packers	1633.23	20
13	1966-11-20	36.03%	Philadelphia Eagles	1474.35	35	@ San Francisco 49ers	1495.77	34
14	1966-10-30	36.81%	Washington Redskins	1493.53	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1508.94	13
15	1966-12-18	38.24%	Philadelphia Eagles	1510.97	37	@ Washington Redskins	1515.62	28
16	1966-09-25	39.10%	Washington Redskins	1450.42	33	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1448.70	27
17	1966-11-06	40.15%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1482.97	24	Dallas Cowboys	1593.83	23
18	1966-12-11	40.99%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1488.64	33	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1593.41	21
19	1966-10-02	41.36%	St. Louis Cardinals	1531.60	41	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1513.36	10
20	1966-09-18	41.59%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1424.85	17	Detroit Lions	1525.23	3
21	1966-11-24	41.66%	San Francisco 49ers	1488.74	41	@ Detroit Lions	1468.34	14
22	1966-09-18	42.27%	Baltimore Colts	1550.72	38	@ Minnesota Vikings	1525.93	23
23	1966-10-23	42.40%	@ Washington Redskins	1478.15	26	St. Louis Cardinals	1572.73	20
24	1966-10-09	43.98%	Los Angeles Rams	1536.47	14	@ Detroit Lions	1499.53	7
25	1966-09-18	44.01%	Green Bay Packers	1606.76	21	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1569.56	20

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1966-10-02	35.64	St. Louis Cardinals	41	1531.60	41.36%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	10	1513.36	53.29%
2	1966-11-13	35.08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	30	1393.28	30.87%	St. Louis Cardinals	9	1576.25	64.26%
3	1966-11-24	33.08	San Francisco 49ers	41	1488.74	41.66%	@ Detroit Lions	14	1468.34	52.98%
4	1966-11-27	32.91	Los Angeles Rams	23	1518.07	26.21%	@ Baltimore Colts	7	1621.81	69.30%
5	1966-10-16	31.50	@ Minnesota Vikings	35	1477.99	45.22%	Los Angeles Rams	7	1552.60	49.37%
6	1966-10-23	30.26	Philadelphia Eagles	31	1478.68	47.26%	@ New York Giants	3	1418.70	47.31%
7	1966-12-17	30.24	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1571.08	47.29%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	10	1510.94	47.29%
8	1966-11-20	29.62	Atlanta Falcons	27	1199.47	20.55%	@ New York Giants	16	1360.54	75.59%
9	1966-09-11	29.36	Cleveland Browns (1st)	38	1540.20	44.88%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1496.92	49.71%
10	1966-09-18	27.73	@ Dallas Cowboys	52	1520.17	61.12%	New York Giants	7	1481.62	33.83%
11	1966-11-06	26.64	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	16	1366.64	24.62%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	1605.85	71.06%
12	1966-12-04	26.41	Atlanta Falcons	20	1223.85	12.10%	@ Minnesota Vikings	13	1498.83	85.28%
13	1966-10-30	25.97	Washington Redskins	27	1493.53	36.81%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	13	1508.94	57.99%
14	1966-12-11	25.76	@ San Francisco 49ers	41	1512.65	53.92%	Chicago Bears	14	1526.44	40.75%
15	1966-09-30	25.16	@ Los Angeles Rams	34	1511.31	57.75%	San Francisco 49ers	3	1497.65	37.04%
16	1966-09-18	24.38	Baltimore Colts	38	1550.72	42.27%	@ Minnesota Vikings	23	1525.93	52.36%
17	1966-10-16	24.08	Philadelphia Eagles	31	1454.60	46.19%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1402.11	48.39%
18	1966-09-18	23.85	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	17	1424.85	41.59%	Detroit Lions	3	1525.23	53.05%
19	1966-10-30	23.79	@ Minnesota Vikings	28	1503.50	55.65%	San Francisco 49ers	3	1504.95	39.06%
20	1966-12-18	23.61	Baltimore Colts	30	1587.20	45.66%	@ San Francisco 49ers	14	1538.41	48.92%
21	1966-10-16	23.45	Green Bay Packers	17	1625.90	47.54%	@ Chicago Bears	0	1564.01	47.04%
22	1966-10-09	23.12	@ Dallas Cowboys	56	1573.96	68.42%	Philadelphia Eagles	7	1477.72	27.03%
23	1966-12-11	22.83	Pittsburgh Steelers	47	1401.47	51.46%	@ New York Giants	28	1312.24	43.15%
24	1966-10-02	22.57	Cleveland Browns (1st)	28	1545.16	54.21%	@ New York Giants	7	1436.58	40.46%
25	1966-12-11	22.33	@ Philadelphia Eagles	33	1488.64	40.99%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	21	1593.41	53.67%