1963 NFL Season

98 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Chicago Bears

8th Title

Last Title: 1946

Runner-Up

New York Giants

14th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1962

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Bears

2.03 wins above expected

11 wins · 9.97 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Detroit Lions

3.04 wins below expected

5 wins · 8.54 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New York Giants Division	11	3	0	.786	-	448	280	+168	9.81	+1.19
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	4	0	.714	1	343	262	+81	9.07	+0.93
3	St. Louis Cardinals	9	5	0	.643	2	341	283	+58	7.42	+1.58
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	4	3	.607	2.5	321	295	+26	7.71	+0.79
5	Dallas Cowboys	4	10	0	.286	7	305	378	-73	4.76	-0.76
6	Philadelphia Eagles	2	10	2	.214	8	242	381	-139	5.26	-2.26
7	Washington Redskins	3	11	0	.214	8	279	398	-119	4.55	-1.55

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	11	1	2	.857	-	301	144	+157	9.97	+2.03
2	Green Bay Packers	11	2	1	.821	0.5	369	206	+163	10.99	+0.51
3	Baltimore Colts	8	6	0	.571	4	316	285	+31	6.99	+1.01
4	Detroit Lions	5	8	1	.393	6.5	326	265	+61	8.54	-3.04
5	Minnesota Vikings	5	8	1	.393	6.5	309	390	-81	4.53	+0.97
6	Los Angeles Rams	5	9	0	.357	7	210	350	-140	3.92	+1.08
7	San Francisco 49ers	2	12	0	.143	10	198	391	-193	4.48	-2.48

Playoff Bracket

NFL Championship Game

Chicago Bears 14

New York Giants 10

Dec 29

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Green Bay Packers	West	1757	11.5	10.99	+0.51	68.80%	3	8	10	11	12	13	14
Chicago Bears	West	1745	12	9.97	+2.03	97.42%	2	7	9	10	11	12	14
New York Giants	East	1710	11	9.81	+1.19	89.56%	1	7	8	10	11	12	14
Cleveland Browns (1st)	East	1572	10	9.07	+0.93	85.09%	2	6	7	9	10	11	14
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1565	8.5	7.71	+0.79	75.39%	0	5	6	7	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	West	1559	5.5	8.54	-3.04	5.84%	1	5	7	8	9	11	14
Baltimore Colts	West	1558	8	6.99	+1.01	86.72%	0	4	5	7	8	9	13
St. Louis Cardinals	East	1542	9	7.42	+1.58	92.23%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Minnesota Vikings	West	1386	5.5	4.53	+0.97	79.76%	0	2	3	4	5	7	11
Dallas Cowboys	East	1376	4	4.76	-0.76	54.34%	0	2	3	4	5	7	13
Los Angeles Rams	West	1360	5	3.92	+1.08	89.15%	0	1	3	4	5	6	10
San Francisco 49ers	West	1304	2	4.48	-2.48	13.88%	0	2	3	4	5	7	10
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1289	3	5.26	-2.26	21.05%	0	2	4	5	6	8	12
Washington Redskins	East	1277	3	4.55	-1.55	35.04%	0	2	3	4	5	7	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-0-2 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Cleveland Browns (1st)	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	1-0 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	-	0-0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	-
St. Louis Cardinals	-	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-

Within West

Team	Colts	Bears	Lions	Packers	Rams	Vikings	49ers
Baltimore Colts	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Chicago Bears	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	(1st)	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Cardinals	Redskins
Baltimore Colts	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Chicago Bears	-	-	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-
Green Bay Packers	-	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-
Los Angeles Rams	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-
San Francisco 49ers	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	-	-	-	-

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	1.02%	1.02%	1.02%	1.02%	1.02%	—	—	5.10%
7–13	1.02%	3.06%	1.02%	3.06%	4.08%	1.53%	1.02%	14.80%
14–20	1.02%	1.02%	9.18%	6.63%	2.55%	3.06%	3.06%	26.53%
21–27	1.02%	3.06%	6.63%	7.14%	3.06%	4.08%	—	25.00%
28–34	1.02%	4.08%	2.55%	3.06%	2.04%	1.53%	—	14.29%
35–41	—	1.53%	3.06%	4.08%	1.53%	—	—	10.20%
42+	—	1.02%	3.06%	—	—	—	—	4.08%
Total	5.10%	14.80%	26.53%	25.00%	14.29%	10.20%	4.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.98	21.98	+0.00
SD	10.75	10.75	16.76
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	56	56	+42
Min	0	0	-42

Games Played: 98

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	7.14%	—	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	—	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Baltimore Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.57	20.36	+2.21
SD	10.65	10.23	12.60
CV	0.47	0.50	—
Max	41	37	+31
Min	3	3	-14

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
21–27	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	35.71%	35.71%	7.14%	—	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	10.29	+11.21
SD	12.16	6.75	11.07
CV	0.57	0.66	—
Max	52	21	+38
Min	6	0	-6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
14–20	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	35.71%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	35.71%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns (1st) — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.50	18.71	+5.79
SD	11.80	9.41	16.74
CV	0.48	0.50	—
Max	41	38	+30
Min	6	6	-28

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	14.29%	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	21.43%	42.86%	21.43%	14.29%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.79	27.00	-5.21
SD	6.65	7.54	10.66
CV	0.31	0.28	—
Max	35	41	+15
Min	7	14	-27

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
21–27	14.29%	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.29	18.93	+4.36
SD	9.82	11.61	17.86
CV	0.42	0.61	—
Max	45	37	+38
Min	10	2	-21

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	28.57%	28.57%	—	—	—	—	57.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	50.00%	35.71%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.36	14.71	+11.64
SD	11.34	6.66	13.40
CV	0.43	0.45	—
Max	42	28	+32
Min	3	7	-19

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	35.71%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
28–34	—	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	—	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.00	25.00	-10.00
SD	8.90	11.83	14.56
CV	0.59	0.47	—
Max	28	52	+7
Min	0	6	-38

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	28.57%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.07	27.86	-5.79
SD	11.87	12.27	19.71
CV	0.54	0.44	—
Max	45	56	+31
Min	7	13	-42

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
28–34	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
42+	—	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	7.14%	—	42.86%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	32.00	20.00	+12.00
SD	12.38	8.14	18.07
CV	0.39	0.41	—
Max	48	35	+34
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	14.29%	7.14%	42.86%
21–27	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.29	27.21	-9.93
SD	7.96	9.02	13.06
CV	0.46	0.33	—
Max	37	42	+13
Min	7	13	-30

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
21–27	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
28–34	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.93	21.07	+1.86
SD	7.79	10.22	12.61
CV	0.34	0.48	—
Max	38	35	+31
Min	9	0	-19

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
7–13	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
14–20	—	—	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	14.29%	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
28–34	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	21.43%	42.86%	14.29%	—	21.43%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.14	27.93	-13.79
SD	7.76	10.51	14.31
CV	0.55	0.38	—
Max	31	48	+7
Min	3	14	-38

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
14–20	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
21–27	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	42.86%
28–34	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	35.71%	28.57%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

St. Louis Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.36	20.21	+4.14
SD	12.56	8.74	18.28
CV	0.52	0.43	—
Max	56	38	+42
Min	7	7	-23

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
14–20	—	—	—	21.43%	—	21.43%	7.14%	50.00%
21–27	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	21.43%
28–34	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
35–41	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	7.14%	14.29%	28.57%	7.14%	35.71%	7.14%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.93	28.43	-8.50
SD	7.57	10.33	12.83
CV	0.38	0.36	—
Max	37	44	+23
Min	7	10	-30

Games Played: 14

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.57	+0.4
Allowed	0.74	-0.4
Differential	0.87	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Bears	12	9.97	+2.03
2	St. Louis Cardinals	9	7.42	+1.58
3	New York Giants	11	9.81	+1.19
4	Los Angeles Rams	5	3.92	+1.08
5	Baltimore Colts	8	6.99	+1.01

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	5.5	8.54	-3.04
2	San Francisco 49ers	2	4.48	-2.48
3	Philadelphia Eagles	3	5.26	-2.26
4	Washington Redskins	3	4.55	-1.55
5	Dallas Cowboys	4	4.76	-0.76

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Rams	3	Nov 17 – Dec 1	1 in 53
2	Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	Sep 15 – Oct 20	1 in 20
3	Chicago Bears	5	Sep 15 – Oct 13	1 in 18
4	St. Louis Cardinals	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 16
5	Green Bay Packers	8	Sep 22 – Nov 10	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Detroit Lions	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 75
2	San Francisco 49ers	5	Sep 15 – Oct 13	1 in 31
3	Washington Redskins	7	Oct 6 – Nov 17	1 in 24
4	Philadelphia Eagles	6	Oct 20 – Nov 24	1 in 20
5	Dallas Cowboys	4	Sep 14 – Oct 6	1 in 11

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
New York Giants	51.31%	27.86%	13.05%	5.41%	1.76%	0.50%	0.11%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.35%	32.80%	19.42%	10.40%	4.15%	1.49%	0.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.73%	18.20%	27.07%	24.56%	13.08%	6.04%	2.32%
St. Louis Cardinals	7.43%	15.91%	25.18%	25.65%	14.85%	7.70%	3.28%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.60%	2.59%	6.98%	14.45%	25.88%	26.61%	22.89%
Dallas Cowboys	0.36%	1.48%	4.58%	10.37%	21.15%	29.00%	33.07%
Washington Redskins	0.23%	1.16%	3.72%	9.16%	19.13%	28.67%	37.93%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Green Bay Packers	60.88%	27.08%	9.68%	2.08%	0.24%	0.03%	0.01%
Chicago Bears	28.75%	42.74%	21.24%	6.16%	0.95%	0.14%	0.02%
Detroit Lions	8.50%	22.05%	41.50%	20.57%	5.42%	1.55%	0.39%
Baltimore Colts	1.79%	7.28%	21.35%	42.54%	17.02%	7.29%	2.74%
Minnesota Vikings	0.05%	0.49%	2.85%	11.73%	28.65%	29.63%	26.61%
San Francisco 49ers	0.02%	0.25%	2.19%	10.24%	27.73%	31.51%	28.06%
Los Angeles Rams	0.01%	0.12%	1.19%	6.67%	19.98%	29.85%	42.17%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Green Bay Packers	46.14%	21.88%	14.78%	8.21%	4.69%	2.39%	1.15%	0.51%	0.17%	0.06%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Chicago Bears	19.91%	19.09%	22.02%	15.44%	10.55%	6.53%	3.47%	1.85%	0.68%	0.30%	0.12%	0.04%	0.01%	<0.01%
New York Giants	15.73%	25.01%	17.88%	15.82%	9.93%	7.13%	4.00%	2.34%	1.22%	0.53%	0.25%	0.10%	0.05%	0.01%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	8.55%	15.88%	15.19%	18.10%	13.44%	11.08%	7.28%	4.91%	2.76%	1.44%	0.80%	0.34%	0.18%	0.05%
Detroit Lions	5.21%	7.55%	12.45%	14.07%	18.53%	15.41%	10.76%	7.82%	3.84%	2.22%	1.14%	0.63%	0.28%	0.10%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.95%	4.66%	6.80%	10.29%	13.18%	15.85%	15.09%	12.11%	8.49%	5.12%	3.30%	1.78%	1.03%	0.35%
St. Louis Cardinals	1.47%	3.67%	5.61%	9.09%	11.91%	15.18%	14.98%	13.26%	9.29%	6.37%	4.31%	2.63%	1.60%	0.62%
Baltimore Colts	0.94%	1.73%	3.92%	5.54%	10.07%	12.31%	16.94%	17.62%	10.84%	8.23%	5.24%	3.50%	1.99%	1.13%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.04%	0.25%	0.54%	1.37%	2.61%	4.46%	7.22%	9.90%	14.17%	13.73%	13.90%	12.13%	11.55%	8.12%
Dallas Cowboys	0.02%	0.14%	0.30%	0.75%	1.64%	2.90%	5.07%	7.14%	11.36%	12.44%	14.71%	14.47%	16.02%	13.04%
Minnesota Vikings	0.01%	0.04%	0.19%	0.41%	1.08%	1.93%	4.30%	6.52%	10.52%	13.70%	14.01%	15.95%	15.04%	16.29%
Washington Redskins	0.01%	0.08%	0.17%	0.60%	1.23%	2.52%	4.21%	6.26%	10.14%	11.64%	14.52%	15.07%	17.21%	16.32%
San Francisco 49ers	<0.01%	0.02%	0.10%	0.22%	0.77%	1.50%	3.53%	5.91%	9.87%	13.98%	14.73%	17.03%	15.75%	16.59%
Los Angeles Rams	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.10%	0.39%	0.82%	2.00%	3.84%	6.64%	10.23%	12.95%	16.31%	19.29%	27.38%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New York Giants	51.31%	48.69%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.35%	68.65%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.73%	91.27%
St. Louis Cardinals	7.43%	92.57%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.60%	99.40%
Dallas Cowboys	0.36%	99.64%
Washington Redskins	0.23%	99.77%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	60.88%	39.12%
Chicago Bears	28.75%	71.25%
Detroit Lions	8.50%	91.50%
Baltimore Colts	1.79%	98.21%
Minnesota Vikings	0.05%	99.95%
San Francisco 49ers	0.02%	99.98%
Los Angeles Rams	0.01%	99.99%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+7.14%

Clear Edge

51.02%5.10%43.88%

Elo Value

Home Edge

22 Elo

0.045 points per Elo point

024.8660

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.37 points

Lean Home

-8+1.12+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd · Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th · Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 25% · Tough Road: 25% to 50% · Favored: 50% to 100% · Heavy Favorite: 100% and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Few Contenders

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

19%

Chicago Bears, 3rd of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

58.2%

Favored

050.00%100%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.32 · As Expected: 1.32 to 1.82 · Elevated: 1.82 to 2.48 · High Variance: 2.48 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 · Close: 1.6 to 2.17 · Off Target: 2.17 to 2.83 · Well Off Target: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.7 · As Expected: 0.7 to 1.68 · Several Outliers: 1.68 to 3.08 · Many Outliers: 3.08 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.66 · As Expected: 0.66 to 1.1 · More Than Expected: 1.1 to 1.76 · Far More Than Expected: 1.76 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.61 wins

As Expected

01.654

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.64

01.894

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

97.42%

Chicago Bears

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

5.84%

Detroit Lions

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 14

As Expected

01.47

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.27

Concentrated

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.29

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

77%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

94%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

16%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

35%

Routine

0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.44

Highly Predictable

00.442

Matchup Imbalance

0.42

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.01

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.67

Strong Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 · Within Noise: 0.08 to 0.15 · Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.31 · Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.

Probability calibration

0.58

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.08

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.091

Within Noise

00.1550.4

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	60.88%	41.00%
New York Giants	51.31%	23.33%
Chicago Bears	28.75%	18.73%
Cleveland Browns (1st)	31.35%	8.50%
Detroit Lions	8.50%	3.42%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.73%	2.33%
St. Louis Cardinals	7.43%	1.81%
Baltimore Colts	1.79%	0.76%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.60%	0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	0.36%	0.03%
Washington Redskins	0.23%	0.02%
Minnesota Vikings	0.05%	0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	0.01%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	0.02%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Colts	Chicago Bears	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Cleveland Browns (1st)	Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	St. Louis Cardinals	Washington Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)	49.3%0.62%	26.0%9.05%	50.6%2.21%	24.2%19.44%	66.7%<0.01%	70.0%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	33.3%<0.01%	10.1%0.10%	23.8%0.02%	7.8%0.23%
New York Giants	69.4%0.75%	44.5%14.63%	70.3%4.47%	41.8%31.44%	50.0%<0.01%	85.7%0.02%	92.3%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	25.0%0.01%	7.4%0.14%	18.6%0.06%	4.6%0.39%
Pittsburgh Steelers	50.0%0.23%	24.4%2.40%	46.3%0.94%	23.0%5.15%	75.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
St. Louis Cardinals	49.1%0.17%	23.0%2.37%	46.5%0.78%	19.9%4.10%	20.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins	0.0%<0.01%	10.6%0.07%	16.0%0.03%	5.0%0.14%
Baltimore Colts								50.7%0.62%	66.7%<0.01%	30.6%0.75%	75.0%0.01%	50.0%0.23%	50.9%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears								74.0%9.05%	89.9%0.10%	55.5%14.63%	92.6%0.14%	75.6%2.40%	77.0%2.37%	89.4%0.07%
Detroit Lions								49.4%2.21%	76.2%0.02%	29.7%4.47%	81.4%0.06%	53.7%0.94%	53.5%0.78%	84.0%0.03%
Green Bay Packers								75.8%19.44%	92.2%0.23%	58.2%31.44%	95.4%0.39%	77.0%5.15%	80.1%4.10%	95.0%0.14%
Los Angeles Rams								33.3%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	80.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings								30.0%0.02%		14.3%0.02%		50.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers								40.0%<0.01%		7.7%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Won Super Bowl
Chicago Bears	58.21%
New York Giants	41.79%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	New York Giants
New York Giants	41.8%100.00%
Chicago Bears		58.2%100.00%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Chicago Bears 58.21% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

58.21%

New York Giants 41.79% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

41.79%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1963-09-15	New York Giants	L 28-37	1503.78	1611.62	35.32%	58.42%	-20.16	0-1
1963-09-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-14	1483.62	1448.30	48.22%	45.21%	+20.85	1-1
1963-09-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-31	1504.47	1696.80	20.62%	74.63%	-12.96	1-2
1963-10-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-10	1491.51	1663.19	22.54%	72.44%	-11.33	1-3
1963-10-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-3	1480.18	1357.26	66.80%	27.57%	+21.66	2-3
1963-10-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 25-21	1501.84	1574.25	33.51%	60.34%	+22.34	3-3
1963-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 20-34	1524.18	1750.26	22.09%	72.95%	-15.69	3-4
1963-11-03	Chicago Bears	L 7-17	1508.49	1660.26	29.94%	64.21%	-18.04	3-5
1963-11-10	Detroit Lions	W 24-21	1490.45	1594.47	35.82%	57.90%	+18.60	4-5
1963-11-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 37-34	1509.05	1354.34	64.58%	29.60%	+9.77	5-5
1963-11-24	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 16-17	1518.82	1346.09	66.81%	27.56%	-12.30	5-6
1963-12-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 36-20	1506.52	1313.54	69.23%	25.38%	+19.33	6-6
1963-12-08	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-10	1525.85	1370.10	70.67%	24.10%	+25.52	7-6
1963-12-15	Los Angeles Rams	W 19-16	1551.37	1366.99	73.80%	21.35%	+7.01	8-6
1963-09-15	@ Green Bay Packers	W 10-3	1573.49	1692.52	28.00%	66.33%	+32.32	1-0
1963-09-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 28-7	1605.81	1397.05	71.04%	23.77%	+20.72	2-0
1963-09-29	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-21	1626.53	1617.17	44.50%	48.94%	+36.66	3-0
1963-10-06	Baltimore Colts	W 10-3	1663.19	1491.51	72.44%	22.54%	+11.33	4-0
1963-10-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 52-14	1674.52	1303.20	85.62%	11.34%	+12.96	5-0
1963-10-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-20	1687.48	1335.61	84.26%	12.46%	-37.31	5-1
1963-10-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-7	1650.17	1424.98	77.87%	17.83%	+10.09	6-1
1963-11-03	@ Baltimore Colts	W 17-7	1660.26	1508.49	64.21%	29.94%	+18.04	7-1
1963-11-10	Los Angeles Rams	W 6-0	1678.30	1310.95	88.45%	9.04%	+4.07	8-1
1963-11-17	Green Bay Packers	W 26-7	1682.37	1788.71	35.52%	58.22%	+47.06	9-1
1963-11-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 17-17	1729.43	1579.20	64.01%	30.12%	-1.52	9-1
1963-12-01	Minnesota Vikings	T 17-17	1727.91	1366.57	88.10%	9.31%	-3.53	9-1
1963-12-08	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-7	1724.38	1312.24	90.74%	7.19%	+5.87	10-1
1963-12-15	Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1730.25	1573.77	70.75%	24.03%	+14.45	11-1
1963-09-15	Washington Redskins	W 37-14	1514.34	1390.40	66.93%	27.46%	+25.08	1-0
1963-09-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 41-24	1539.42	1398.07	62.87%	31.17%	+24.49	2-0
1963-09-29	Los Angeles Rams	W 20-6	1563.91	1322.86	79.32%	16.60%	+11.68	3-0
1963-10-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-23	1575.59	1589.44	48.30%	45.14%	+29.43	4-0
1963-10-13	@ New York Giants	W 35-24	1605.02	1613.85	41.94%	51.54%	+31.92	5-0
1963-10-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-7	1636.94	1446.57	74.43%	20.80%	+21.59	6-0
1963-10-27	New York Giants	L 6-33	1658.53	1596.28	58.98%	34.80%	-56.79	6-1
1963-11-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-17	1601.74	1414.89	68.51%	26.03%	+12.14	7-1
1963-11-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-9	1613.88	1557.14	51.28%	42.19%	-13.55	7-2
1963-11-17	St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-20	1600.33	1526.29	60.56%	33.31%	-27.45	7-3
1963-11-24	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-17	1572.88	1376.96	75.00%	20.30%	+12.16	8-3
1963-12-01	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 24-10	1585.04	1587.83	42.78%	50.68%	+35.44	9-3
1963-12-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-38	1620.48	1517.01	57.83%	35.89%	-56.76	9-4
1963-12-15	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1563.72	1285.91	78.14%	17.60%	+8.78	10-4
1963-09-14	St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-34	1445.82	1454.27	49.07%	44.37%	-47.75	0-1
1963-09-22	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-41	1398.07	1539.42	31.17%	62.87%	-24.48	0-2
1963-09-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-21	1373.59	1410.77	38.07%	55.54%	-14.45	0-3
1963-10-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-24	1359.14	1400.76	37.48%	56.16%	-12.32	0-4
1963-10-13	Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1346.82	1598.16	19.80%	75.58%	+23.90	1-4
1963-10-20	@ New York Giants	L 21-37	1370.72	1581.93	18.98%	76.53%	-14.35	1-5
1963-10-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-27	1356.37	1565.34	19.17%	76.31%	-8.88	1-6
1963-11-03	Washington Redskins	W 35-20	1347.49	1340.94	51.22%	42.25%	+30.93	2-6
1963-11-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-31	1378.42	1320.59	51.44%	42.04%	-25.42	2-7
1963-11-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-20	1353.00	1388.94	45.13%	48.31%	+23.96	3-7
1963-11-24	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-27	1376.96	1572.88	20.30%	75.00%	-12.16	3-8
1963-12-01	New York Giants	L 27-34	1364.80	1671.33	15.44%	80.70%	-7.66	3-9
1963-12-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-24	1357.14	1577.94	22.60%	72.38%	-9.60	3-10
1963-12-15	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 28-24	1347.54	1570.56	18.01%	77.67%	+28.31	4-10
1963-09-14	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 23-2	1636.58	1385.51	75.55%	19.83%	+17.19	1-0
1963-09-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-31	1653.77	1660.20	42.27%	51.20%	-36.60	1-1
1963-09-29	Chicago Bears	L 21-37	1617.17	1626.53	48.94%	44.50%	-36.66	1-2
1963-10-06	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-3	1580.51	1374.91	75.98%	19.46%	+17.65	2-2
1963-10-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-17	1598.16	1346.82	75.58%	19.80%	-23.91	2-3
1963-10-20	Baltimore Colts	L 21-25	1574.25	1501.84	60.34%	33.51%	-22.34	2-4
1963-10-27	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-10	1551.91	1353.34	75.27%	20.07%	+16.12	3-4
1963-11-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 45-7	1568.03	1347.02	72.40%	22.58%	+26.44	4-4
1963-11-10	@ Baltimore Colts	L 21-24	1594.47	1490.45	57.90%	35.82%	-18.61	4-5
1963-11-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 21-28	1575.86	1306.88	81.71%	14.59%	-39.21	4-6
1963-11-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 31-34	1536.65	1344.58	69.13%	25.48%	-21.99	4-7
1963-11-28	Green Bay Packers	T 13-13	1514.66	1747.39	21.47%	73.66%	+2.35	4-7
1963-12-08	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 38-10	1517.01	1620.48	35.89%	57.83%	+56.76	5-7
1963-12-15	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1573.77	1730.25	24.03%	70.75%	-14.45	5-8
1963-09-15	Chicago Bears	L 3-10	1692.52	1573.49	66.33%	28.00%	-32.32	0-1
1963-09-22	Detroit Lions	W 31-10	1660.20	1653.77	51.20%	42.27%	+36.60	1-1
1963-09-29	Baltimore Colts	W 31-20	1696.80	1504.47	74.63%	20.62%	+12.96	2-1
1963-10-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 42-10	1709.76	1311.18	90.09%	7.71%	+7.98	3-1
1963-10-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 37-28	1717.74	1378.36	83.34%	13.23%	+7.40	4-1
1963-10-20	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 30-7	1725.14	1551.80	66.89%	27.49%	+25.12	5-1
1963-10-27	@ Baltimore Colts	W 34-20	1750.26	1524.18	72.95%	22.09%	+15.69	6-1
1963-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 33-14	1765.95	1574.22	74.57%	20.68%	+17.08	7-1
1963-11-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-7	1783.03	1360.02	91.23%	6.80%	+5.68	8-1
1963-11-17	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-26	1788.71	1682.37	58.22%	35.52%	-47.06	8-2
1963-11-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-10	1741.65	1335.33	90.47%	7.41%	+5.74	9-2
1963-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	T 13-13	1747.39	1514.66	73.66%	21.47%	-2.35	9-2
1963-12-07	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-14	1745.04	1375.74	85.49%	11.45%	+8.76	10-2
1963-12-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 21-17	1753.80	1306.37	90.05%	7.75%	+2.83	11-2
1963-09-14	Detroit Lions	L 2-23	1385.51	1636.58	19.83%	75.55%	-17.20	0-1
1963-09-21	Washington Redskins	L 14-37	1368.31	1365.32	50.71%	42.75%	-45.45	0-2
1963-09-29	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 6-20	1322.86	1563.91	16.60%	79.32%	-11.68	0-3
1963-10-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-42	1311.18	1709.76	7.71%	90.09%	-7.98	0-4
1963-10-13	Chicago Bears	L 14-52	1303.20	1674.52	11.34%	85.62%	-12.96	0-5
1963-10-20	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1290.24	1370.96	38.90%	54.67%	+17.63	1-5
1963-10-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-21	1307.87	1372.91	41.04%	52.47%	+25.89	2-5
1963-11-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-21	1333.76	1337.22	42.69%	50.78%	-22.81	2-6
1963-11-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 0-6	1310.95	1678.30	9.04%	88.45%	-4.07	2-7
1963-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-21	1306.88	1575.86	14.59%	81.71%	+39.21	3-7
1963-11-24	Baltimore Colts	W 17-16	1346.09	1518.82	27.56%	66.81%	+12.30	4-7
1963-12-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 21-17	1358.39	1329.59	47.28%	46.15%	+17.35	5-7
1963-12-07	Green Bay Packers	L 14-31	1375.74	1745.04	11.45%	85.49%	-8.75	5-8
1963-12-15	@ Baltimore Colts	L 16-19	1366.99	1551.37	21.35%	73.80%	-7.02	5-9
1963-09-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-20	1373.52	1471.83	30.38%	63.73%	+23.53	1-0
1963-09-22	Chicago Bears	L 7-28	1397.05	1605.81	23.77%	71.04%	-20.72	1-1
1963-09-29	San Francisco 49ers	W 45-14	1376.33	1427.46	42.98%	50.48%	+52.55	2-1
1963-10-06	St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-56	1428.88	1492.71	41.20%	52.29%	-50.52	2-2
1963-10-13	Green Bay Packers	L 28-37	1378.36	1717.74	13.23%	83.34%	-7.40	2-3
1963-10-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1370.96	1290.24	54.67%	38.90%	-17.62	2-4
1963-10-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-28	1353.34	1551.91	20.07%	75.27%	-16.12	2-5
1963-11-03	Los Angeles Rams	W 21-13	1337.22	1333.76	50.78%	42.69%	+22.80	3-5
1963-11-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1360.02	1783.03	6.80%	91.23%	-5.68	3-6
1963-11-17	Baltimore Colts	L 34-37	1354.34	1509.05	29.60%	64.58%	-9.76	3-7
1963-11-24	Detroit Lions	W 34-31	1344.58	1536.65	25.48%	69.13%	+21.99	4-7
1963-12-01	@ Chicago Bears	T 17-17	1366.57	1727.91	9.31%	88.10%	+3.53	4-7
1963-12-08	@ Baltimore Colts	L 10-41	1370.10	1525.85	24.10%	70.67%	-25.52	4-8
1963-12-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-13	1344.58	1330.32	45.19%	48.24%	+41.44	5-8
1963-09-15	@ Baltimore Colts	W 37-28	1611.62	1503.78	58.42%	35.32%	+20.16	1-0
1963-09-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-31	1631.78	1500.86	61.51%	32.43%	-63.33	1-1
1963-09-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-14	1568.45	1429.50	62.56%	31.45%	+28.74	2-1
1963-10-06	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-14	1597.19	1425.22	66.72%	27.64%	+16.66	3-1
1963-10-13	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 24-35	1613.85	1605.02	51.54%	41.94%	-31.92	3-2
1963-10-20	Dallas Cowboys	W 37-21	1581.93	1370.72	76.53%	18.98%	+14.35	4-2
1963-10-27	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 33-6	1596.28	1658.53	34.80%	58.98%	+56.80	5-2
1963-11-03	@ St. Louis Cardinals	W 38-21	1653.08	1546.90	58.19%	35.54%	+27.86	6-2
1963-11-10	Philadelphia Eagles	W 42-14	1680.94	1402.75	82.45%	13.97%	+13.81	7-2
1963-11-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 48-14	1694.75	1346.00	87.36%	9.92%	+10.67	8-2
1963-11-24	St. Louis Cardinals	L 17-24	1705.42	1553.74	70.21%	24.52%	-34.09	8-3
1963-12-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-27	1671.33	1364.80	80.70%	15.44%	+7.66	9-3
1963-12-08	Washington Redskins	W 44-14	1678.99	1294.21	89.39%	8.27%	+8.31	10-3
1963-12-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 33-17	1687.30	1587.53	63.91%	30.20%	+23.02	11-3
1963-09-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	T 21-21	1445.06	1501.26	42.27%	51.21%	+0.39	0-0
1963-09-22	St. Louis Cardinals	L 24-28	1445.45	1502.02	42.21%	51.26%	-15.95	0-1
1963-09-29	New York Giants	L 14-37	1429.50	1568.45	31.45%	62.56%	-28.74	0-2
1963-10-06	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-21	1400.76	1359.14	56.16%	37.48%	+12.33	1-2
1963-10-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-24	1413.09	1408.56	43.81%	49.63%	+33.48	2-2
1963-10-20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 7-37	1446.57	1636.94	20.80%	74.43%	-21.59	2-3
1963-10-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-16	1424.98	1650.17	17.83%	77.87%	-10.09	2-4
1963-11-03	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 17-23	1414.89	1601.74	26.03%	68.51%	-12.14	2-5
1963-11-10	@ New York Giants	L 14-42	1402.75	1680.94	13.97%	82.45%	-13.81	2-6
1963-11-17	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-27	1388.94	1353.00	48.31%	45.13%	-23.96	2-7
1963-11-24	Washington Redskins	L 10-13	1364.98	1294.26	60.12%	33.73%	-19.27	2-8
1963-12-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 20-20	1345.71	1580.72	17.06%	78.78%	+2.78	2-8
1963-12-08	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 14-38	1348.49	1552.39	19.60%	75.81%	-18.17	2-9
1963-12-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-34	1330.32	1344.58	48.24%	45.19%	-41.44	2-10
1963-09-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	T 21-21	1501.26	1445.06	51.21%	42.27%	-0.40	0-0
1963-09-22	New York Giants	W 31-0	1500.86	1631.78	32.43%	61.51%	+63.33	1-0
1963-09-29	St. Louis Cardinals	W 23-10	1564.19	1517.97	56.79%	36.87%	+25.25	2-0
1963-10-05	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 23-35	1589.44	1575.59	45.14%	48.30%	-29.43	2-1
1963-10-13	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 23-24	1560.01	1543.23	45.55%	47.88%	-8.57	2-2
1963-10-20	Washington Redskins	W 38-27	1551.44	1375.07	72.95%	22.09%	+13.90	3-2
1963-10-27	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-21	1565.34	1356.37	76.31%	19.17%	+8.88	4-2
1963-11-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-33	1574.22	1765.95	20.68%	74.57%	-17.08	4-3
1963-11-10	Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 9-7	1557.14	1613.88	42.19%	51.28%	+13.55	5-3
1963-11-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 34-28	1570.69	1302.77	77.21%	18.40%	+8.51	6-3
1963-11-24	Chicago Bears	T 17-17	1579.20	1729.43	30.12%	64.01%	+1.52	6-3
1963-12-01	Philadelphia Eagles	T 20-20	1580.72	1345.71	78.78%	17.06%	-2.78	6-3
1963-12-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 24-19	1577.94	1357.14	72.38%	22.60%	+9.59	7-3
1963-12-15	@ New York Giants	L 17-33	1587.53	1687.30	30.20%	63.91%	-23.02	7-4
1963-09-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-24	1471.83	1373.52	63.73%	30.38%	-23.53	0-1
1963-09-22	Baltimore Colts	L 14-20	1448.30	1483.62	45.21%	48.22%	-20.84	0-2
1963-09-29	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-45	1427.46	1376.33	50.48%	42.98%	-52.55	0-3
1963-10-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-26	1374.91	1580.51	19.46%	75.98%	-17.65	0-4
1963-10-13	@ Baltimore Colts	L 3-20	1357.26	1480.18	27.57%	66.80%	-21.65	0-5
1963-10-20	Chicago Bears	W 20-14	1335.61	1687.48	12.46%	84.26%	+37.30	1-5
1963-10-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 21-28	1372.91	1307.87	52.47%	41.04%	-25.89	1-6
1963-11-03	Detroit Lions	L 7-45	1347.02	1568.03	22.58%	72.40%	-26.43	1-7
1963-11-10	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-24	1320.59	1378.42	42.04%	51.44%	+25.41	2-7
1963-11-17	@ New York Giants	L 14-48	1346.00	1694.75	9.92%	87.36%	-10.67	2-8
1963-11-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-28	1335.33	1741.65	7.41%	90.47%	-5.74	2-9
1963-12-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-21	1329.59	1358.39	46.15%	47.28%	-17.35	2-10
1963-12-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-27	1312.24	1724.38	7.19%	90.74%	-5.87	2-11
1963-12-14	Green Bay Packers	L 17-21	1306.37	1753.80	7.75%	90.05%	-2.83	2-12
1963-09-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-7	1454.27	1445.82	44.37%	49.07%	+47.75	1-0
1963-09-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-24	1502.02	1445.45	51.26%	42.21%	+15.95	2-0
1963-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-23	1517.97	1564.19	36.87%	56.79%	-25.26	2-1
1963-10-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 56-14	1492.71	1428.88	52.29%	41.20%	+50.52	3-1
1963-10-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-23	1543.23	1560.01	47.88%	45.55%	+8.57	4-1
1963-10-20	Green Bay Packers	L 7-30	1551.80	1725.14	27.49%	66.89%	-25.12	4-2
1963-10-27	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-7	1526.68	1361.16	65.93%	28.36%	+20.22	5-2
1963-11-03	New York Giants	L 21-38	1546.90	1653.08	35.54%	58.19%	-27.86	5-3
1963-11-10	Washington Redskins	W 24-20	1519.04	1310.02	76.32%	19.17%	+7.25	6-3
1963-11-17	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	W 20-14	1526.29	1600.33	33.31%	60.56%	+27.45	7-3
1963-11-24	@ New York Giants	W 24-17	1553.74	1705.42	24.52%	70.21%	+34.09	8-3
1963-12-01	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 10-24	1587.83	1585.04	50.68%	42.78%	-35.44	8-4
1963-12-08	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-14	1552.39	1348.49	75.81%	19.60%	+18.17	9-4
1963-12-15	Dallas Cowboys	L 24-28	1570.56	1347.54	77.67%	18.01%	-28.30	9-5
1963-09-15	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 14-37	1390.40	1514.34	27.46%	66.93%	-25.08	0-1
1963-09-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 37-14	1365.32	1368.31	42.75%	50.71%	+45.45	1-1
1963-09-29	Dallas Cowboys	W 21-17	1410.77	1373.59	55.54%	38.07%	+14.45	2-1
1963-10-06	New York Giants	L 14-24	1425.22	1597.19	27.64%	66.72%	-16.66	2-2
1963-10-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-37	1408.56	1413.09	49.63%	43.81%	-33.49	2-3
1963-10-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-38	1375.07	1551.44	22.09%	72.95%	-13.91	2-4
1963-10-27	St. Louis Cardinals	L 7-21	1361.16	1526.68	28.36%	65.93%	-20.22	2-5
1963-11-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-35	1340.94	1347.49	42.25%	51.22%	-30.92	2-6
1963-11-10	@ St. Louis Cardinals	L 20-24	1310.02	1519.04	19.17%	76.32%	-7.25	2-7
1963-11-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-34	1302.77	1570.69	18.40%	77.21%	-8.51	2-8
1963-11-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-10	1294.26	1364.98	33.73%	60.12%	+19.28	3-8
1963-12-01	Baltimore Colts	L 20-36	1313.54	1506.52	25.38%	69.23%	-19.33	3-9
1963-12-08	@ New York Giants	L 14-44	1294.21	1678.99	8.27%	89.39%	-8.30	3-10
1963-12-15	Cleveland Browns (1st)	L 20-27	1285.91	1563.72	17.60%	78.14%	-8.78	3-11

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1963-12-29	New York Giants	W 14-10	1744.70	1710.32	58.44%	41.56%	+14.59	1-0
1963-12-29	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-14	1710.32	1744.70	41.56%	58.44%	-14.58	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1963-10-20	12.46%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1335.61	20	Chicago Bears	1687.48	14
2	1963-11-17	14.59%	Los Angeles Rams	1306.88	28	@ Detroit Lions	1575.86	21
3	1963-12-15	18.01%	Dallas Cowboys	1347.54	28	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1570.56	24
4	1963-10-13	19.80%	@ Dallas Cowboys	1346.82	17	Detroit Lions	1598.16	14
5	1963-11-24	24.52%	St. Louis Cardinals	1553.74	24	@ New York Giants	1705.42	17
6	1963-11-24	25.48%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1344.58	34	Detroit Lions	1536.65	31
7	1963-11-24	27.56%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1346.09	17	Baltimore Colts	1518.82	16
8	1963-09-15	28.00%	Chicago Bears	1573.49	10	@ Green Bay Packers	1692.52	3
9	1963-09-15	30.38%	Minnesota Vikings	1373.52	24	@ San Francisco 49ers	1471.83	20
10	1963-09-22	32.43%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1500.86	31	New York Giants	1631.78	0
11	1963-11-17	33.31%	St. Louis Cardinals	1526.29	20	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1600.33	14
12	1963-10-20	33.51%	Baltimore Colts	1501.84	25	@ Detroit Lions	1574.25	21
13	1963-11-24	33.73%	Washington Redskins	1294.26	13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1364.98	10
14	1963-10-27	34.80%	New York Giants	1596.28	33	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	1658.53	6
15	1963-11-17	35.52%	@ Chicago Bears	1682.37	26	Green Bay Packers	1788.71	7
16	1963-11-10	35.82%	@ Baltimore Colts	1490.45	24	Detroit Lions	1594.47	21
17	1963-12-08	35.89%	@ Detroit Lions	1517.01	38	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1620.48	10
18	1963-10-20	38.90%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1290.24	27	Minnesota Vikings	1370.96	24
19	1963-10-27	41.04%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1307.87	28	San Francisco 49ers	1372.91	21
20	1963-10-13	41.94%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1605.02	35	@ New York Giants	1613.85	24
21	1963-11-10	42.04%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1320.59	31	Dallas Cowboys	1378.42	24
22	1963-11-10	42.19%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1557.14	9	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1613.88	7
23	1963-09-21	42.75%	Washington Redskins	1365.32	37	@ Los Angeles Rams	1368.31	14
24	1963-12-01	42.78%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	1585.04	24	@ St. Louis Cardinals	1587.83	10
25	1963-09-29	42.98%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1376.33	45	San Francisco 49ers	1427.46	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1963-09-22	63.33	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	31	1500.86	32.43%	New York Giants	0	1631.78	61.51%
2	1963-10-27	56.80	New York Giants	33	1596.28	34.80%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	6	1658.53	58.98%
3	1963-12-08	56.76	@ Detroit Lions	38	1517.01	35.89%	Cleveland Browns (1st)	10	1620.48	57.83%
4	1963-09-29	52.55	@ Minnesota Vikings	45	1376.33	42.98%	San Francisco 49ers	14	1427.46	50.48%
5	1963-10-06	50.52	St. Louis Cardinals	56	1492.71	52.29%	@ Minnesota Vikings	14	1428.88	41.20%
6	1963-09-14	47.75	St. Louis Cardinals	34	1454.27	44.37%	@ Dallas Cowboys	7	1445.82	49.07%
7	1963-11-17	47.06	@ Chicago Bears	26	1682.37	35.52%	Green Bay Packers	7	1788.71	58.22%
8	1963-09-21	45.45	Washington Redskins	37	1365.32	42.75%	@ Los Angeles Rams	14	1368.31	50.71%
9	1963-12-15	41.44	Minnesota Vikings	34	1344.58	45.19%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	13	1330.32	48.24%
10	1963-11-17	39.21	Los Angeles Rams	28	1306.88	14.59%	@ Detroit Lions	21	1575.86	81.71%
11	1963-10-20	37.31	@ San Francisco 49ers	20	1335.61	12.46%	Chicago Bears	14	1687.48	84.26%
12	1963-09-29	36.66	Chicago Bears	37	1626.53	44.50%	@ Detroit Lions	21	1617.17	48.94%
13	1963-09-22	36.60	@ Green Bay Packers	31	1660.20	51.20%	Detroit Lions	10	1653.77	42.27%
14	1963-12-01	35.44	Cleveland Browns (1st)	24	1585.04	42.78%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	10	1587.83	50.68%
15	1963-11-24	34.09	St. Louis Cardinals	24	1553.74	24.52%	@ New York Giants	17	1705.42	70.21%
16	1963-10-13	33.49	Philadelphia Eagles	37	1413.09	43.81%	@ Washington Redskins	24	1408.56	49.63%
17	1963-09-15	32.32	Chicago Bears	10	1573.49	28.00%	@ Green Bay Packers	3	1692.52	66.33%
18	1963-10-13	31.92	Cleveland Browns (1st)	35	1605.02	41.94%	@ New York Giants	24	1613.85	51.54%
19	1963-11-03	30.93	@ Dallas Cowboys	35	1347.49	51.22%	Washington Redskins	20	1340.94	42.25%
20	1963-10-05	29.43	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	35	1575.59	48.30%	Pittsburgh Steelers	23	1589.44	45.14%
21	1963-09-29	28.74	New York Giants	37	1568.45	62.56%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	14	1429.50	31.45%
22	1963-12-15	28.31	Dallas Cowboys	28	1347.54	18.01%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	24	1570.56	77.67%
23	1963-11-03	27.86	New York Giants	38	1653.08	58.19%	@ St. Louis Cardinals	21	1546.90	35.54%
24	1963-11-17	27.45	St. Louis Cardinals	20	1526.29	33.31%	@ Cleveland Browns (1st)	14	1600.33	60.56%
25	1963-11-03	26.44	Detroit Lions	45	1568.03	72.40%	@ San Francisco 49ers	7	1347.02	22.58%