Home / Leagues / NFL / 1960

1960 NFL Season

78 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Philadelphia Eagles

3rd Title

Last Title: 1949

Runner-Up

Green Bay Packers

5th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1944

Biggest Overachiever

Philadelphia Eagles

3.38 wins above expected

10 wins · 6.62 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Cowboys

4.04 wins below expected

0 wins · 4.54 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Philadelphia Eagles Division 10 2 0 .833 321 246 +75 6.62 +3.38
2 Cleveland Browns (1st) 8 3 1 .708 1.5 362 217 +145 7.51 +0.99
3 New York Giants 6 4 2 .583 3 271 261 +10 7.08 -0.08
4 St. Louis Cardinals 6 5 1 .542 3.5 288 230 +58 5.42 +1.08
5 Pittsburgh Steelers 5 6 1 .458 4.5 240 275 -35 5.83 -0.33
6 Washington Redskins 1 9 2 .167 8 178 309 -131 3.87 -1.87
7 Dallas Cowboys 0 11 1 .042 9.5 177 369 -192 4.54 -4.04
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Green Bay Packers Division 8 4 0 .667 332 209 +123 6.65 +1.35
2 San Francisco 49ers 7 5 0 .583 1 208 205 +3 5.81 +1.19
3 Detroit Lions 7 5 0 .583 1 239 212 +27 5.50 +1.50
4 Baltimore Colts 6 6 0 .500 2 288 234 +54 7.78 -1.78
5 Chicago Bears 5 6 1 .458 2.5 194 299 -105 6.48 -0.98
6 Los Angeles Rams 4 7 1 .375 3.5 265 297 -32 4.90 -0.40

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

NFL Championship Game

Philadelphia Eagles 17
Green Bay Packers 13

Dec 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cleveland Browns (1st) East 1638 8.5 7.51 +0.99 80.53% 0 4 6 7 8 10 12
Green Bay Packers West 1606 8 6.65 +1.35 91.84% 0 3 5 6 7 9 12
Philadelphia Eagles East 1598 10 6.62 +3.38 99.67% 1 3 5 6 7 9 12
Detroit Lions West 1537 7 5.50 +1.50 93.27% 0 2 4 5 6 8 11
New York Giants East 1535 7 7.08 -0.08 70.63% 1 4 5 7 8 9 12
San Francisco 49ers West 1533 7 5.81 +1.19 90.06% 0 3 4 5 6 8 11
St. Louis Cardinals East 1522 6.5 5.42 +1.08 82.36% 0 2 4 5 6 8 12
Baltimore Colts West 1522 6 7.78 -1.78 31.36% 0 5 6 7 8 10 12
Pittsburgh Steelers East 1486 5.5 5.83 -0.33 53.76% 0 3 4 5 6 8 12
Los Angeles Rams West 1445 4.5 4.90 -0.40 52.97% 0 2 3 4 6 7 11
Chicago Bears West 1444 5.5 6.48 -0.98 38.53% 0 3 5 6 7 9 12
Washington Redskins East 1326 2 3.87 -1.87 28.92% 0 1 2 3 4 6 10
Dallas Cowboys East 1309 0.5 4.54 -4.04 0.42% 0 2 3 4 5 7 12

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team (1st) Cowboys Giants Eagles Steelers Cardinals Redskins
Cleveland Browns (1st)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
New York Giants
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-0-1
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.2 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals
0-1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
0-1-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)

East vs. Outside Teams

Team Colts Bears Lions Packers Rams 49ers
Cleveland Browns (1st)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
Dallas Cowboys
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
New York Giants
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
St. Louis Cardinals
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins
0-1
(0.2 exp.)

Within West

Team Colts Bears Lions Packers Rams 49ers
Baltimore Colts
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
Chicago Bears
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-0-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions
2-0
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
1-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)

West vs. Outside Teams

Team (1st) Cowboys Giants Eagles Steelers Cardinals Redskins
Baltimore Colts
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
Chicago Bears
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Philadelphia Eagles 10 6.62 +3.38
2 Detroit Lions 7 5.50 +1.50
3 Green Bay Packers 8 6.65 +1.35
4 San Francisco 49ers 7 5.81 +1.19
5 St. Louis Cardinals 6.5 5.42 +1.08

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Dallas Cowboys 0.5 4.54 -4.04
2 Washington Redskins 2 3.87 -1.87
3 Baltimore Colts 6 7.78 -1.78
4 Chicago Bears 5.5 6.48 -0.98
5 Los Angeles Rams 4.5 4.90 -0.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Philadelphia Eagles 9 Sep 30 – Dec 4 1 in 837
2 Detroit Lions 4 Nov 24 – Dec 18 1 in 27
3 Green Bay Packers 4 Oct 2 – Oct 30 1 in 21
4 San Francisco 49ers 3 Nov 20 – Dec 4 1 in 17
5 St. Louis Cardinals 3 Oct 23 – Nov 6 1 in 14

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dallas Cowboys 10 Sep 24 – Nov 27 1 in 483
2 Baltimore Colts 4 Nov 27 – Dec 18 1 in 122
3 Washington Redskins 8 Oct 30 – Dec 18 1 in 30
4 Green Bay Packers 2 Nov 20 – Nov 24 1 in 11
5 Los Angeles Rams 4 Sep 23 – Oct 16 1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team1234567
Cleveland Browns (1st)38.04%23.44%16.54%10.38%6.46%3.55%1.59%
New York Giants25.31%24.51%19.23%14.36%9.19%5.20%2.20%
Philadelphia Eagles18.44%21.05%19.48%16.25%12.88%7.80%4.10%
Pittsburgh Steelers9.28%13.34%16.88%18.75%17.85%14.99%8.91%
St. Louis Cardinals6.04%10.53%14.15%16.95%19.65%18.92%13.76%
Dallas Cowboys2.11%4.90%9.22%14.96%20.49%25.98%22.34%
Washington Redskins0.78%2.23%4.50%8.35%13.48%23.56%47.10%
Team123456
Baltimore Colts44.96%23.92%14.53%9.10%5.08%2.41%
Green Bay Packers19.47%22.56%19.83%16.78%12.84%8.52%
Chicago Bears16.35%20.00%20.24%18.15%15.10%10.16%
San Francisco 49ers9.19%14.28%17.25%20.06%20.62%18.60%
Detroit Lions6.32%11.64%16.45%19.50%23.24%22.85%
Los Angeles Rams3.71%7.60%11.70%16.41%23.12%37.46%
Team12345678910111213
Baltimore Colts24.92%19.35%12.86%11.50%8.32%6.43%5.06%4.02%3.08%1.95%1.47%0.78%0.26%
Cleveland Browns (1st)21.23%16.73%13.67%10.19%9.27%7.56%5.91%5.01%3.38%2.69%2.16%1.28%0.92%
New York Giants13.84%12.30%12.87%11.79%10.06%9.25%7.45%6.90%5.15%4.24%3.01%1.75%1.39%
Green Bay Packers9.24%10.42%10.69%11.42%9.53%10.01%8.59%7.75%6.98%5.76%4.81%3.40%1.40%
Philadelphia Eagles8.90%9.91%10.69%10.47%10.16%9.66%8.74%7.59%7.06%6.04%4.75%3.56%2.47%
Chicago Bears7.74%8.84%9.76%9.94%9.75%9.75%9.77%8.80%7.92%6.88%4.92%4.27%1.66%
San Francisco 49ers3.88%5.39%6.52%7.36%8.15%9.19%9.68%9.52%10.25%9.53%8.21%8.19%4.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers4.06%5.31%6.54%7.09%8.65%8.42%9.46%9.58%9.48%9.61%8.88%6.66%6.26%
Detroit Lions2.32%3.74%5.29%6.08%7.64%8.65%9.27%10.00%10.41%10.78%10.18%10.22%5.42%
St. Louis Cardinals1.97%3.82%5.02%5.66%7.12%7.52%8.82%8.84%9.99%10.76%10.75%9.80%9.93%
Los Angeles Rams1.06%2.26%3.22%4.07%5.43%6.11%7.42%8.76%9.87%11.35%13.26%16.71%10.48%
Dallas Cowboys0.63%1.43%2.14%2.99%3.94%5.06%6.21%8.43%9.81%11.45%14.38%15.00%18.53%
Washington Redskins0.21%0.50%0.73%1.44%1.98%2.39%3.62%4.80%6.62%8.96%13.22%18.38%37.15%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Cleveland Browns (1st)38.04%61.96%
New York Giants25.31%74.69%
Philadelphia Eagles18.44%81.56%
Pittsburgh Steelers9.28%90.72%
St. Louis Cardinals6.04%93.96%
Dallas Cowboys2.11%97.89%
Washington Redskins0.78%99.22%
Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Baltimore Colts44.96%55.04%
Green Bay Packers19.47%80.53%
Chicago Bears16.35%83.65%
San Francisco 49ers9.19%90.81%
Detroit Lions6.32%93.68%
Los Angeles Rams3.71%96.29%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Won Super Bowl
Cleveland Browns (1st) 38.04% 25.29%
Baltimore Colts 44.96% 19.01%
New York Giants 25.31% 13.01%
Philadelphia Eagles 18.44% 11.42%
Green Bay Packers 19.47% 10.47%
Chicago Bears 16.35% 5.36%
Pittsburgh Steelers 9.28% 4.32%
San Francisco 49ers 9.19% 4.04%
Detroit Lions 6.32% 2.70%
St. Louis Cardinals 6.04% 2.65%
Los Angeles Rams 3.71% 1.02%
Dallas Cowboys 2.11% 0.53%
Washington Redskins 0.78% 0.18%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore ColtsChicago BearsCleveland Browns (1st)Dallas CowboysDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersSan Francisco 49ersSt. Louis CardinalsWashington Redskins
Baltimore Colts5.74%0.66%5.30%3.25%2.33%1.49%0.24%
Chicago Bears1.21%0.23%1.76%0.88%0.73%0.46%0.09%
Cleveland Browns (1st)11.49%4.07%1.86%4.27%1.14%2.46%
Dallas Cowboys0.23%0.10%0.02%0.08%0.01%0.09%
Detroit Lions0.86%0.09%0.73%0.37%0.34%0.25%0.06%
Green Bay Packers3.36%0.38%3.15%1.68%0.88%0.83%0.19%
Los Angeles Rams0.23%0.03%0.43%0.13%0.14%0.05%0.01%
New York Giants5.99%2.73%0.80%1.89%0.74%0.86%
Philadelphia Eagles5.08%2.46%0.57%1.80%0.46%1.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers1.78%1.08%0.25%0.54%0.26%0.41%
San Francisco 49ers1.35%0.19%0.93%0.71%0.54%0.31%0.01%
St. Louis Cardinals1.33%0.48%0.11%0.38%0.08%0.27%
Washington Redskins0.05%0.07%0.01%0.04%0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles 53.48%
Green Bay Packers 46.52%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Green Bay PackersPhiladelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers46.52%
Philadelphia Eagles53.48%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Philadelphia Eagles 53.48% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
53.48%
Green Bay Packers 46.52% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
46.52%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1960-09-25 Washington Redskins W 20-0 1569.49 1433.53 67.61% 24.47% +15.49 1-0
1960-10-02 Chicago Bears W 42-7 1584.98 1545.63 55.84% 36.11% +29.66 2-0
1960-10-09 @ Green Bay Packers L 21-35 1614.64 1505.86 56.76% 35.20% -28.61 2-1
1960-10-16 Los Angeles Rams W 31-17 1586.03 1418.79 70.84% 21.30% +11.35 3-1
1960-10-23 @ Detroit Lions L 17-30 1597.38 1417.36 65.56% 26.48% -31.74 3-2
1960-10-30 @ Dallas Cowboys W 45-7 1565.64 1411.66 62.51% 29.50% +25.54 4-2
1960-11-06 Green Bay Packers W 38-24 1591.18 1575.10 52.67% 39.27% +20.29 5-2
1960-11-13 @ Chicago Bears W 24-20 1611.47 1517.71 54.75% 37.20% +10.30 6-2
1960-11-27 San Francisco 49ers L 22-30 1621.77 1470.64 69.21% 22.89% -26.27 6-3
1960-12-04 Detroit Lions L 15-20 1595.50 1477.21 65.65% 26.39% -19.71 6-4
1960-12-11 @ Los Angeles Rams L 3-10 1575.79 1441.02 60.13% 31.86% -21.39 6-5
1960-12-18 @ San Francisco 49ers L 10-34 1554.40 1500.32 49.23% 42.70% -32.73 6-6
1960-09-25 @ Green Bay Packers W 17-14 1535.14 1492.01 47.67% 44.26% +10.49 1-0
1960-10-02 @ Baltimore Colts L 7-42 1545.63 1584.98 36.11% 55.84% -29.66 1-1
1960-10-09 Los Angeles Rams W 34-27 1515.97 1429.98 61.84% 30.16% +11.20 2-1
1960-10-16 San Francisco 49ers W 27-10 1527.17 1510.05 52.81% 39.13% +22.27 3-1
1960-10-23 @ Los Angeles Rams T 24-24 1549.44 1407.44 61.03% 30.96% -0.97 3-1
1960-10-30 @ San Francisco 49ers L 7-25 1548.47 1462.39 53.70% 38.25% -30.76 3-2
1960-11-13 Baltimore Colts L 20-24 1517.71 1611.47 37.20% 54.75% -10.31 3-3
1960-11-20 Detroit Lions W 28-7 1507.40 1473.06 55.17% 36.79% +23.37 4-3
1960-11-27 Dallas Cowboys W 17-7 1530.77 1324.01 74.48% 17.75% +8.04 5-3
1960-12-04 Green Bay Packers L 13-41 1538.81 1530.23 51.62% 40.31% -36.97 5-4
1960-12-11 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 0-42 1501.84 1589.07 30.01% 61.99% -27.29 5-5
1960-12-18 @ Detroit Lions L 0-36 1474.55 1505.56 37.23% 54.72% -30.95 5-6
1960-09-25 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 41-24 1531.93 1485.98 48.07% 43.86% +24.76 1-0
1960-10-02 Pittsburgh Steelers W 28-20 1556.69 1532.87 53.73% 38.21% +14.94 2-0
1960-10-16 @ Dallas Cowboys W 48-7 1571.63 1449.29 58.54% 33.43% +29.86 3-0
1960-10-23 Philadelphia Eagles L 29-31 1601.49 1503.31 63.31% 28.70% -12.02 3-1
1960-10-30 @ Washington Redskins W 31-10 1589.47 1443.11 61.57% 30.43% +19.54 4-1
1960-11-06 New York Giants L 13-17 1609.01 1557.30 57.48% 34.48% -15.47 4-2
1960-11-13 St. Louis Cardinals W 28-27 1593.54 1493.78 63.50% 28.52% +4.01 5-2
1960-11-20 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 10-14 1597.55 1474.29 58.66% 33.32% -15.79 5-3
1960-11-27 @ St. Louis Cardinals T 17-17 1581.76 1506.97 52.14% 39.80% -0.39 5-3
1960-12-04 Washington Redskins W 27-16 1581.37 1355.25 76.08% 16.19% +7.70 6-3
1960-12-11 Chicago Bears W 42-0 1589.07 1501.84 61.99% 30.01% +27.29 7-3
1960-12-18 @ New York Giants W 48-34 1616.36 1556.16 50.09% 41.84% +21.51 8-3
1960-09-24 Pittsburgh Steelers L 28-35 1500.00 1515.53 48.22% 43.71% -17.34 0-1
1960-09-30 Philadelphia Eagles L 25-27 1482.66 1461.22 53.41% 38.54% -10.20 0-2
1960-10-09 @ Washington Redskins L 14-26 1472.46 1418.03 49.28% 42.66% -23.17 0-3
1960-10-16 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-48 1449.29 1571.63 33.43% 58.54% -29.85 0-4
1960-10-23 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 10-12 1419.44 1431.30 39.86% 52.08% -7.78 0-5
1960-10-30 Baltimore Colts L 7-45 1411.66 1565.64 29.50% 62.51% -25.54 0-6
1960-11-06 Los Angeles Rams L 13-38 1386.12 1431.63 43.92% 48.01% -30.06 0-7
1960-11-13 @ Green Bay Packers L 7-41 1356.06 1554.81 18.43% 73.78% -15.37 0-8
1960-11-20 San Francisco 49ers L 14-26 1340.69 1453.95 34.61% 57.35% -16.68 0-9
1960-11-27 @ Chicago Bears L 7-17 1324.01 1530.77 17.75% 74.48% -8.04 0-10
1960-12-04 @ New York Giants T 31-31 1315.97 1545.02 15.96% 76.32% +1.99 0-10
1960-12-11 @ Detroit Lions L 14-23 1317.96 1496.92 20.19% 71.97% -8.64 0-11
1960-10-02 @ Green Bay Packers L 9-28 1474.55 1481.52 40.54% 51.40% -24.33 0-1
1960-10-09 San Francisco 49ers L 10-14 1450.22 1498.11 43.58% 48.35% -11.94 0-2
1960-10-16 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 10-28 1438.28 1482.39 35.48% 56.48% -20.92 0-3
1960-10-23 Baltimore Colts W 30-17 1417.36 1597.38 26.48% 65.56% +31.73 1-3
1960-10-30 @ Los Angeles Rams L 35-48 1449.09 1408.41 47.32% 44.61% -23.22 1-4
1960-11-06 @ San Francisco 49ers W 24-0 1425.87 1493.15 32.48% 59.50% +39.21 2-4
1960-11-13 Los Angeles Rams W 12-10 1465.08 1461.70 50.90% 41.04% +7.98 3-4
1960-11-20 @ Chicago Bears L 7-28 1473.06 1507.40 36.79% 55.17% -23.37 3-5
1960-11-24 Green Bay Packers W 23-10 1449.69 1557.75 35.29% 56.67% +27.52 4-5
1960-12-04 @ Baltimore Colts W 20-15 1477.21 1595.50 26.39% 65.65% +19.71 5-5
1960-12-11 Dallas Cowboys W 23-14 1496.92 1317.96 71.97% 20.19% +8.64 6-5
1960-12-18 Chicago Bears W 36-0 1505.56 1474.55 54.72% 37.23% +30.95 7-5
1960-09-25 Chicago Bears L 14-17 1492.01 1535.14 44.26% 47.67% -10.49 0-1
1960-10-02 Detroit Lions W 28-9 1481.52 1474.55 51.40% 40.54% +24.34 1-1
1960-10-09 Baltimore Colts W 35-21 1505.86 1614.64 35.20% 56.76% +28.61 2-1
1960-10-23 San Francisco 49ers W 41-14 1534.47 1487.78 56.82% 35.14% +25.39 3-1
1960-10-30 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 19-13 1559.86 1525.93 46.35% 45.58% +15.24 4-1
1960-11-06 @ Baltimore Colts L 24-38 1575.10 1591.18 39.27% 52.67% -20.29 4-2
1960-11-13 Dallas Cowboys W 41-7 1554.81 1356.06 73.78% 18.43% +15.37 5-2
1960-11-20 Los Angeles Rams L 31-33 1570.18 1453.71 65.45% 26.60% -12.43 5-3
1960-11-24 @ Detroit Lions L 10-23 1557.75 1449.69 56.67% 35.29% -27.52 5-4
1960-12-04 @ Chicago Bears W 41-13 1530.23 1538.81 40.31% 51.62% +36.96 6-4
1960-12-10 @ San Francisco 49ers W 13-0 1567.19 1522.02 47.96% 43.97% +21.71 7-4
1960-12-17 @ Los Angeles Rams W 35-21 1588.90 1462.41 59.07% 32.90% +17.18 8-4
1960-09-23 St. Louis Cardinals L 21-43 1473.61 1451.10 53.55% 38.39% -33.92 0-1
1960-10-02 @ San Francisco 49ers L 9-13 1439.69 1488.41 34.88% 57.09% -9.71 0-2
1960-10-09 @ Chicago Bears L 27-34 1429.98 1515.97 30.16% 61.84% -11.19 0-3
1960-10-16 @ Baltimore Colts L 17-31 1418.79 1586.03 21.30% 70.84% -11.35 0-4
1960-10-23 Chicago Bears T 24-24 1407.44 1549.44 30.96% 61.03% +0.97 0-4
1960-10-30 Detroit Lions W 48-35 1408.41 1449.09 44.61% 47.32% +23.22 1-4
1960-11-06 @ Dallas Cowboys W 38-13 1431.63 1386.12 48.01% 43.92% +30.07 2-4
1960-11-13 @ Detroit Lions L 10-12 1461.70 1465.08 41.04% 50.90% -7.99 2-5
1960-11-20 @ Green Bay Packers W 33-31 1453.71 1570.18 26.60% 65.45% +12.43 3-5
1960-12-04 San Francisco 49ers L 7-23 1466.14 1496.91 46.03% 45.89% -25.12 3-6
1960-12-11 Baltimore Colts W 10-3 1441.02 1575.79 31.86% 60.13% +21.39 4-6
1960-12-17 Green Bay Packers L 21-35 1462.41 1588.90 32.90% 59.07% -17.19 4-7
1960-09-25 @ San Francisco 49ers W 21-19 1540.16 1496.97 47.68% 44.25% +8.57 1-0
1960-10-02 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 35-14 1548.73 1485.03 50.59% 41.35% +26.05 2-0
1960-10-09 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 19-17 1574.78 1517.92 49.62% 42.31% +8.22 3-0
1960-10-16 Washington Redskins T 24-24 1583.00 1441.20 68.23% 23.85% -1.45 3-0
1960-10-30 St. Louis Cardinals L 13-20 1581.55 1439.07 68.31% 23.78% -24.25 3-1
1960-11-06 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 17-13 1557.30 1609.01 34.48% 57.48% +15.48 4-1
1960-11-13 Pittsburgh Steelers W 27-24 1572.78 1481.47 62.49% 29.52% +7.18 5-1
1960-11-20 Philadelphia Eagles L 10-17 1579.96 1552.51 54.23% 37.72% -19.37 5-2
1960-11-27 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 23-31 1560.59 1571.88 39.94% 52.00% -15.57 5-3
1960-12-04 Dallas Cowboys T 31-31 1545.02 1315.97 76.32% 15.96% -1.99 5-3
1960-12-11 @ Washington Redskins W 17-3 1543.03 1347.55 67.28% 24.79% +13.13 6-3
1960-12-18 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 34-48 1556.16 1616.36 41.84% 50.09% -21.51 6-4
1960-09-25 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 24-41 1485.98 1531.93 43.86% 48.07% -24.76 0-1
1960-09-30 @ Dallas Cowboys W 27-25 1461.22 1482.66 38.54% 53.41% +10.20 1-1
1960-10-09 St. Louis Cardinals W 31-27 1471.42 1458.97 52.16% 39.78% +10.97 2-1
1960-10-16 Detroit Lions W 28-10 1482.39 1438.28 56.48% 35.48% +20.92 3-1
1960-10-23 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 31-29 1503.31 1601.49 28.70% 63.31% +12.02 4-1
1960-11-06 Pittsburgh Steelers W 34-7 1515.33 1510.69 51.07% 40.86% +29.23 5-1
1960-11-13 Washington Redskins W 19-13 1544.56 1393.12 69.24% 22.86% +7.95 6-1
1960-11-20 @ New York Giants W 17-10 1552.51 1579.96 37.72% 54.23% +19.37 7-1
1960-11-27 New York Giants W 31-23 1571.88 1560.59 52.00% 39.94% +15.57 8-1
1960-12-04 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 20-6 1587.45 1507.36 52.87% 39.07% +20.18 9-1
1960-12-11 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 21-27 1607.63 1502.78 56.24% 35.72% -18.56 9-2
1960-12-18 @ Washington Redskins W 38-28 1589.07 1334.42 73.18% 19.00% +8.59 10-2
1960-09-24 @ Dallas Cowboys W 35-28 1515.53 1500.00 43.71% 48.22% +17.34 1-0
1960-10-02 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 20-28 1532.87 1556.69 38.21% 53.73% -14.95 1-1
1960-10-09 New York Giants L 17-19 1517.92 1574.78 42.31% 49.62% -8.22 1-2
1960-10-16 St. Louis Cardinals W 27-14 1509.70 1448.00 58.78% 33.19% +16.70 2-2
1960-10-23 @ Washington Redskins T 27-27 1526.40 1442.64 53.38% 38.56% -0.47 2-2
1960-10-30 Green Bay Packers L 13-19 1525.93 1559.86 45.58% 46.35% -15.24 2-3
1960-11-06 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 7-34 1510.69 1515.33 40.86% 51.07% -29.22 2-4
1960-11-13 @ New York Giants L 24-27 1481.47 1572.78 29.52% 62.49% -7.18 2-5
1960-11-20 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 14-10 1474.29 1597.55 33.32% 58.66% +15.78 3-5
1960-11-27 Washington Redskins W 22-10 1490.07 1367.96 66.08% 25.97% +12.71 4-5
1960-12-11 Philadelphia Eagles W 27-21 1502.78 1607.63 35.72% 56.24% +18.57 5-5
1960-12-18 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 7-38 1521.35 1487.17 46.38% 45.55% -35.21 5-6
1960-09-25 New York Giants L 19-21 1496.97 1540.16 44.25% 47.68% -8.56 0-1
1960-10-02 Los Angeles Rams W 13-9 1488.41 1439.69 57.09% 34.88% +9.70 1-1
1960-10-09 @ Detroit Lions W 14-10 1498.11 1450.22 48.35% 43.58% +11.94 2-1
1960-10-16 @ Chicago Bears L 10-27 1510.05 1527.17 39.13% 52.81% -22.27 2-2
1960-10-23 @ Green Bay Packers L 14-41 1487.78 1534.47 35.14% 56.82% -25.39 2-3
1960-10-30 Chicago Bears W 25-7 1462.39 1548.47 38.25% 53.70% +30.76 3-3
1960-11-06 Detroit Lions L 0-24 1493.15 1425.87 59.50% 32.48% -39.20 3-4
1960-11-20 @ Dallas Cowboys W 26-14 1453.95 1340.69 57.35% 34.61% +16.69 4-4
1960-11-27 @ Baltimore Colts W 30-22 1470.64 1621.77 22.89% 69.21% +26.27 5-4
1960-12-04 @ Los Angeles Rams W 23-7 1496.91 1466.14 45.89% 46.03% +25.11 6-4
1960-12-10 Green Bay Packers L 0-13 1522.02 1567.19 43.97% 47.96% -21.70 6-5
1960-12-18 Baltimore Colts W 34-10 1500.32 1554.40 42.70% 49.23% +32.73 7-5
1960-09-23 @ Los Angeles Rams W 43-21 1451.10 1473.61 38.39% 53.55% +33.93 1-0
1960-10-02 New York Giants L 14-35 1485.03 1548.73 41.35% 50.59% -26.06 1-1
1960-10-09 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 27-31 1458.97 1471.42 39.78% 52.16% -10.97 1-2
1960-10-16 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 14-27 1448.00 1509.70 33.19% 58.78% -16.70 1-3
1960-10-23 Dallas Cowboys W 12-10 1431.30 1419.44 52.08% 39.86% +7.77 2-3
1960-10-30 @ New York Giants W 20-13 1439.07 1581.55 23.78% 68.31% +24.26 3-3
1960-11-06 Washington Redskins W 44-7 1463.33 1423.57 55.90% 36.06% +30.45 4-3
1960-11-13 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 27-28 1493.78 1593.54 28.52% 63.50% -4.01 4-4
1960-11-20 @ Washington Redskins W 26-14 1489.77 1385.16 56.21% 35.75% +17.20 5-4
1960-11-27 Cleveland Browns (1st) T 17-17 1506.97 1581.76 39.80% 52.14% +0.39 5-4
1960-12-04 Philadelphia Eagles L 6-20 1507.36 1587.45 39.07% 52.87% -20.19 5-5
1960-12-18 Pittsburgh Steelers W 38-7 1487.17 1521.35 45.55% 46.38% +35.21 6-5
1960-09-25 @ Baltimore Colts L 0-20 1433.53 1569.49 24.47% 67.61% -15.50 0-1
1960-10-09 Dallas Cowboys W 26-14 1418.03 1472.46 42.66% 49.28% +23.17 1-1
1960-10-16 @ New York Giants T 24-24 1441.20 1583.00 23.85% 68.23% +1.44 1-1
1960-10-23 Pittsburgh Steelers T 27-27 1442.64 1526.40 38.56% 53.38% +0.47 1-1
1960-10-30 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 10-31 1443.11 1589.47 30.43% 61.57% -19.54 1-2
1960-11-06 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 7-44 1423.57 1463.33 36.06% 55.90% -30.45 1-3
1960-11-13 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 13-19 1393.12 1544.56 22.86% 69.24% -7.96 1-4
1960-11-20 St. Louis Cardinals L 14-26 1385.16 1489.77 35.75% 56.21% -17.20 1-5
1960-11-27 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 10-22 1367.96 1490.07 25.97% 66.08% -12.71 1-6
1960-12-04 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 16-27 1355.25 1581.37 16.19% 76.08% -7.70 1-7
1960-12-11 New York Giants L 3-17 1347.55 1543.03 24.79% 67.28% -13.13 1-8
1960-12-18 Philadelphia Eagles L 28-38 1334.42 1589.07 19.00% 73.18% -8.59 1-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1960-12-26 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 13-17 1606.08 1597.66 46.72% 53.28% -11.71 0-1
1960-12-26 Green Bay Packers W 17-13 1597.66 1606.08 53.28% 46.72% +11.72 1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1960-11-27 22.89% San Francisco 49ers 1470.64 30 @ Baltimore Colts 1621.77 22
2 1960-10-30 23.78% St. Louis Cardinals 1439.07 20 @ New York Giants 1581.55 13
3 1960-12-04 26.39% Detroit Lions 1477.21 20 @ Baltimore Colts 1595.50 15
4 1960-10-23 26.48% @ Detroit Lions 1417.36 30 Baltimore Colts 1597.38 17
5 1960-11-20 26.60% Los Angeles Rams 1453.71 33 @ Green Bay Packers 1570.18 31
6 1960-10-23 28.70% Philadelphia Eagles 1503.31 31 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1601.49 29
7 1960-12-11 31.86% @ Los Angeles Rams 1441.02 10 Baltimore Colts 1575.79 3
8 1960-11-06 32.48% Detroit Lions 1425.87 24 @ San Francisco 49ers 1493.15 0
9 1960-11-20 33.32% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1474.29 14 Cleveland Browns (1st) 1597.55 10
10 1960-11-06 34.48% New York Giants 1557.30 17 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1609.01 13
11 1960-10-09 35.20% @ Green Bay Packers 1505.86 35 Baltimore Colts 1614.64 21
12 1960-11-24 35.29% @ Detroit Lions 1449.69 23 Green Bay Packers 1557.75 10
13 1960-12-11 35.72% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1502.78 27 Philadelphia Eagles 1607.63 21
14 1960-11-20 37.72% Philadelphia Eagles 1552.51 17 @ New York Giants 1579.96 10
15 1960-10-30 38.25% @ San Francisco 49ers 1462.39 25 Chicago Bears 1548.47 7
16 1960-09-23 38.39% St. Louis Cardinals 1451.10 43 @ Los Angeles Rams 1473.61 21
17 1960-09-30 38.54% Philadelphia Eagles 1461.22 27 @ Dallas Cowboys 1482.66 25
18 1960-12-04 40.31% Green Bay Packers 1530.23 41 @ Chicago Bears 1538.81 13
19 1960-10-09 42.66% @ Washington Redskins 1418.03 26 Dallas Cowboys 1472.46 14
20 1960-12-18 42.70% @ San Francisco 49ers 1500.32 34 Baltimore Colts 1554.40 10
21 1960-09-24 43.71% Pittsburgh Steelers 1515.53 35 @ Dallas Cowboys 1500.00 28
22 1960-10-30 44.61% @ Los Angeles Rams 1408.41 48 Detroit Lions 1449.09 35
23 1960-12-18 45.55% @ St. Louis Cardinals 1487.17 38 Pittsburgh Steelers 1521.35 7
24 1960-12-04 45.89% San Francisco 49ers 1496.91 23 @ Los Angeles Rams 1466.14 7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1960-11-06 39.21 Detroit Lions 24 1425.87 32.48% @ San Francisco 49ers 0 1493.15 59.50%
2 1960-12-04 36.97 Green Bay Packers 41 1530.23 40.31% @ Chicago Bears 13 1538.81 51.62%
3 1960-12-18 35.21 @ St. Louis Cardinals 38 1487.17 45.55% Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1521.35 46.38%
4 1960-09-23 33.93 St. Louis Cardinals 43 1451.10 38.39% @ Los Angeles Rams 21 1473.61 53.55%
5 1960-12-18 32.73 @ San Francisco 49ers 34 1500.32 42.70% Baltimore Colts 10 1554.40 49.23%
6 1960-10-23 31.74 @ Detroit Lions 30 1417.36 26.48% Baltimore Colts 17 1597.38 65.56%
7 1960-12-18 30.95 @ Detroit Lions 36 1505.56 54.72% Chicago Bears 0 1474.55 37.23%
8 1960-10-30 30.76 @ San Francisco 49ers 25 1462.39 38.25% Chicago Bears 7 1548.47 53.70%
9 1960-11-06 30.45 @ St. Louis Cardinals 44 1463.33 55.90% Washington Redskins 7 1423.57 36.06%
10 1960-11-06 30.07 Los Angeles Rams 38 1431.63 48.01% @ Dallas Cowboys 13 1386.12 43.92%
11 1960-10-16 29.86 Cleveland Browns (1st) 48 1571.63 58.54% @ Dallas Cowboys 7 1449.29 33.43%
12 1960-10-02 29.66 @ Baltimore Colts 42 1584.98 55.84% Chicago Bears 7 1545.63 36.11%
13 1960-11-06 29.23 @ Philadelphia Eagles 34 1515.33 51.07% Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1510.69 40.86%
14 1960-10-09 28.61 @ Green Bay Packers 35 1505.86 35.20% Baltimore Colts 21 1614.64 56.76%
15 1960-11-24 27.52 @ Detroit Lions 23 1449.69 35.29% Green Bay Packers 10 1557.75 56.67%
16 1960-12-11 27.29 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 42 1589.07 61.99% Chicago Bears 0 1501.84 30.01%
17 1960-11-27 26.27 San Francisco 49ers 30 1470.64 22.89% @ Baltimore Colts 22 1621.77 69.21%
18 1960-10-02 26.06 New York Giants 35 1548.73 50.59% @ St. Louis Cardinals 14 1485.03 41.35%
19 1960-10-30 25.54 Baltimore Colts 45 1565.64 62.51% @ Dallas Cowboys 7 1411.66 29.50%
20 1960-10-23 25.39 @ Green Bay Packers 41 1534.47 56.82% San Francisco 49ers 14 1487.78 35.14%
21 1960-12-04 25.12 San Francisco 49ers 23 1496.91 45.89% @ Los Angeles Rams 7 1466.14 46.03%
22 1960-09-25 24.76 Cleveland Browns (1st) 41 1531.93 48.07% @ Philadelphia Eagles 24 1485.98 43.86%
23 1960-10-02 24.34 @ Green Bay Packers 28 1481.52 51.40% Detroit Lions 9 1474.55 40.54%
24 1960-10-30 24.26 St. Louis Cardinals 20 1439.07 23.78% @ New York Giants 13 1581.55 68.31%
25 1960-11-20 23.37 @ Chicago Bears 28 1507.40 55.17% Detroit Lions 7 1473.06 36.79%