Home / Leagues / NFL / 1959

1959 NFL Season

72 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Baltimore Colts

2nd Title

Last Title: 1958

Runner-Up

New York Giants

11th Appearance

Last Appearance: 1958

Biggest Overachiever

Green Bay Packers

2.69 wins above expected

7 wins · 4.31 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Los Angeles Rams

3.78 wins below expected

2 wins · 5.78 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 New York Giants Division 10 2 0 .833 284 170 +114 7.41 +2.59
2 Cleveland Browns (1st) 7 5 0 .583 3 270 214 +56 7.15 -0.15
3 Philadelphia Eagles 7 5 0 .583 3 268 278 -10 5.60 +1.40
4 Pittsburgh Steelers 6 5 1 .542 3.5 257 216 +41 6.43 +0.07
5 Washington Redskins 3 9 0 .250 7 185 350 -165 4.65 -1.65
6 Chicago Cardinals 2 10 0 .167 8 234 324 -90 4.51 -2.51
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Baltimore Colts Division 9 3 0 .750 374 251 +123 7.96 +1.04
2 Chicago Bears 8 4 0 .667 1 252 196 +56 6.54 +1.46
3 Green Bay Packers 7 5 0 .583 2 248 246 +2 4.31 +2.69
4 San Francisco 49ers 7 5 0 .583 2 255 237 +18 6.55 +0.45
5 Detroit Lions 3 8 1 .292 5.5 203 275 -72 5.10 -1.60
6 Los Angeles Rams 2 10 0 .167 7 242 315 -73 5.78 -3.78

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

NFL Championship Game

Baltimore Colts 31
New York Giants 16

Dec 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Baltimore Colts West 1666 9 7.96 +1.04 84.68% 2 5 7 8 9 10 12
New York Giants East 1630 10 7.41 +2.59 98.08% 1 5 6 7 8 10 12
Chicago Bears West 1595 8 6.54 +1.46 89.43% 0 4 5 6 8 9 12
Cleveland Browns (1st) East 1579 7 7.15 -0.15 59.70% 1 4 6 7 8 10 12
Pittsburgh Steelers East 1539 6.5 6.43 +0.07 54.60% 1 4 5 6 7 9 12
San Francisco 49ers West 1494 7 6.55 +0.45 73.11% 1 4 5 6 8 9 12
Green Bay Packers West 1483 7 4.31 +2.69 97.45% 0 2 3 4 5 7 10
Philadelphia Eagles East 1469 7 5.60 +1.40 88.27% 0 3 4 5 7 8 11
Detroit Lions West 1434 3.5 5.10 -1.60 18.55% 0 2 4 5 6 8 11
Los Angeles Rams West 1414 2 5.78 -3.78 2.37% 0 3 5 6 7 8 12
Chicago Cardinals East 1349 2 4.51 -2.51 12.14% 0 2 3 4 5 7 11
Washington Redskins East 1348 3 4.65 -1.65 26.53% 0 2 3 5 6 7 11

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team Cardinals (1st) Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Chicago Cardinals
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
New York Giants
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)

East vs. Outside Teams

Team Colts Bears Lions Packers Rams 49ers
Chicago Cardinals
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Cleveland Browns (1st)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
New York Giants
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
0-0-1
(0.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)

Within West

Team Colts Bears Lions Packers Rams 49ers
Baltimore Colts
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
Chicago Bears
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
2-0
(0.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
0-2
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.1 exp.)

West vs. Outside Teams

Team Cardinals (1st) Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Baltimore Colts
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
Chicago Bears
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
0-0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored
Mean allowed
StdDev scored
StdDev allowed
Correlation (home vs away score)
Sample size (games)

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Green Bay Packers 7 4.31 +2.69
2 New York Giants 10 7.41 +2.59
3 Chicago Bears 8 6.54 +1.46
4 Philadelphia Eagles 7 5.60 +1.40
5 Baltimore Colts 9 7.96 +1.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Los Angeles Rams 2 5.78 -3.78
2 Chicago Cardinals 2 4.51 -2.51
3 Washington Redskins 3 4.65 -1.65
4 Detroit Lions 3.5 5.10 -1.60
5 Cleveland Browns (1st) 7 7.15 -0.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Bears 7 Nov 1 – Dec 13 1 in 54
2 Green Bay Packers 4 Nov 22 – Dec 13 1 in 38
3 New York Giants 5 Oct 11 – Nov 8 1 in 18
4 Pittsburgh Steelers 3 Nov 15 – Nov 29 1 in 17
5 Cleveland Browns (1st) 5 Oct 18 – Nov 15 1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Los Angeles Rams 8 Oct 25 – Dec 12 1 in 256
2 Cleveland Browns (1st) 3 Nov 22 – Dec 6 1 in 18
3 Chicago Cardinals 6 Nov 8 – Dec 13 1 in 13
4 Detroit Lions 4 Sep 27 – Oct 18 1 in 11
5 Baltimore Colts 2 Nov 1 – Nov 8 1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team123456
New York Giants36.93%26.72%17.18%10.72%5.97%2.48%
Cleveland Browns (1st)30.25%25.55%19.40%12.91%7.99%3.90%
Pittsburgh Steelers17.67%21.44%21.81%18.19%13.66%7.23%
Philadelphia Eagles9.15%13.55%18.83%22.26%20.47%15.74%
Washington Redskins3.03%6.89%12.20%18.65%26.26%32.97%
Chicago Cardinals2.97%5.85%10.58%17.27%25.65%37.68%
Team123456
Baltimore Colts49.66%23.44%13.55%7.70%4.04%1.61%
Chicago Bears17.69%23.16%21.59%18.79%12.34%6.43%
San Francisco 49ers17.19%22.59%21.38%17.81%13.14%7.89%
Los Angeles Rams8.45%15.55%19.74%21.92%20.38%13.96%
Detroit Lions5.12%10.10%14.50%19.39%25.68%25.21%
Green Bay Packers1.89%5.16%9.24%14.39%24.42%44.90%
Team123456789101112
Baltimore Colts29.78%20.17%13.60%10.21%7.87%5.66%4.49%3.29%2.24%1.32%0.94%0.43%
New York Giants17.70%18.59%14.18%12.55%8.88%8.77%5.95%5.10%3.52%2.35%1.62%0.79%
Cleveland Browns (1st)16.03%14.63%13.12%11.94%10.28%8.93%7.25%5.95%4.58%3.66%2.47%1.16%
Chicago Bears8.94%9.36%11.65%11.52%11.39%9.83%9.71%8.82%7.19%5.35%3.76%2.48%
San Francisco 49ers8.70%9.74%11.42%11.05%11.11%9.68%9.72%8.36%6.82%6.00%4.40%3.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers7.66%9.58%9.94%11.18%11.00%10.78%9.66%9.06%7.27%6.52%4.37%2.98%
Los Angeles Rams3.93%5.16%7.30%8.19%9.50%10.23%10.88%10.91%10.84%9.57%7.42%6.07%
Philadelphia Eagles3.16%5.11%6.76%7.47%8.53%10.37%10.01%11.03%10.55%10.54%9.32%7.15%
Detroit Lions1.80%3.04%4.68%5.55%7.17%7.75%9.44%9.88%12.39%12.91%13.26%12.13%
Washington Redskins0.96%1.76%2.58%4.04%5.19%6.79%8.52%10.08%12.36%13.73%15.70%18.29%
Chicago Cardinals0.81%1.71%2.51%3.31%5.01%5.87%7.57%9.19%11.56%14.40%17.13%20.93%
Green Bay Packers0.53%1.15%2.26%2.99%4.07%5.34%6.80%8.33%10.68%13.65%19.61%24.59%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
New York Giants36.93%63.07%
Cleveland Browns (1st)30.25%69.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers17.67%82.33%
Philadelphia Eagles9.15%90.85%
Washington Redskins3.03%96.97%
Chicago Cardinals2.97%97.03%
Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Baltimore Colts49.66%50.34%
Chicago Bears17.69%82.31%
San Francisco 49ers17.19%82.81%
Los Angeles Rams8.45%91.55%
Detroit Lions5.12%94.88%
Green Bay Packers1.89%98.11%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Won Super Bowl
Baltimore Colts 49.66% 33.00%
New York Giants 36.93% 19.40%
Cleveland Browns (1st) 30.25% 14.03%
Chicago Bears 17.69% 9.80%
San Francisco 49ers 17.19% 7.50%
Pittsburgh Steelers 17.67% 7.06%
Philadelphia Eagles 9.15% 2.82%
Los Angeles Rams 8.45% 2.70%
Detroit Lions 5.12% 1.75%
Green Bay Packers 1.89% 0.77%
Washington Redskins 3.03% 0.62%
Chicago Cardinals 2.97% 0.55%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore ColtsChicago BearsChicago CardinalsCleveland Browns (1st)Detroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersSan Francisco 49ersWashington Redskins
Baltimore Colts1.49%9.17%10.70%3.73%6.75%1.16%
Chicago Bears0.36%3.22%3.19%1.32%1.24%0.47%
Chicago Cardinals0.14%0.05%0.05%0.02%0.10%0.19%
Cleveland Browns (1st)5.02%2.74%1.20%0.34%2.05%2.68%
Detroit Lions0.04%0.63%0.51%0.27%0.18%0.12%
Green Bay Packers0.02%0.21%0.22%0.09%0.20%0.03%
Los Angeles Rams0.17%0.88%0.62%0.28%0.56%0.19%
New York Giants7.69%3.59%1.45%0.43%1.95%4.29%
Philadelphia Eagles1.04%0.49%0.26%0.08%0.41%0.54%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.56%0.89%0.39%0.23%1.13%1.86%
San Francisco 49ers0.34%2.11%2.29%0.64%1.68%0.44%
Washington Redskins0.21%0.13%0.02%0.02%0.11%0.13%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Won Super Bowl
Baltimore Colts 58.55%
New York Giants 41.45%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Baltimore ColtsNew York Giants
Baltimore Colts58.55%
New York Giants41.45%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Baltimore Colts 58.55% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. New York Giants
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.55%
New York Giants 41.45% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Baltimore Colts
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.45%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1959-09-27 Detroit Lions W 21-9 1584.10 1509.56 62.87% 35.34% +14.31 1-0
1959-10-03 Chicago Bears L 21-26 1598.41 1518.95 63.51% 34.69% -16.47 1-1
1959-10-11 @ Detroit Lions W 31-24 1581.94 1466.85 61.84% 36.37% +11.24 2-1
1959-10-18 @ Chicago Bears W 21-7 1593.18 1517.47 56.45% 41.76% +18.22 3-1
1959-10-25 Green Bay Packers W 38-21 1611.40 1414.44 76.95% 21.26% +10.30 4-1
1959-11-01 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 31-38 1621.70 1569.16 59.92% 38.28% -18.39 4-2
1959-11-08 @ Washington Redskins L 24-27 1603.31 1419.36 70.44% 27.77% -14.14 4-3
1959-11-15 @ Green Bay Packers W 28-24 1589.17 1379.78 73.28% 24.93% +5.85 5-3
1959-11-22 San Francisco 49ers W 45-14 1595.02 1570.22 56.09% 42.12% +27.34 6-3
1959-11-29 Los Angeles Rams W 35-21 1622.36 1465.55 72.82% 25.39% +11.14 7-3
1959-12-05 @ San Francisco 49ers W 34-14 1633.50 1550.04 57.53% 40.68% +21.22 8-3
1959-12-12 @ Los Angeles Rams W 45-26 1654.72 1426.10 75.29% 22.92% +11.73 9-3
1959-09-27 @ Green Bay Packers L 6-9 1531.87 1397.67 64.34% 33.86% -12.92 0-1
1959-10-03 @ Baltimore Colts W 26-21 1518.95 1598.41 34.69% 63.51% +16.47 1-1
1959-10-11 Los Angeles Rams L 21-28 1535.42 1493.43 58.48% 39.73% -17.95 1-2
1959-10-18 Baltimore Colts L 7-21 1517.47 1593.18 41.76% 56.45% -18.22 1-3
1959-10-25 @ San Francisco 49ers L 17-20 1499.25 1551.23 38.36% 59.85% -7.76 1-4
1959-11-01 @ Los Angeles Rams W 26-21 1491.49 1518.12 41.86% 56.34% +14.62 2-4
1959-11-08 Green Bay Packers W 28-17 1506.11 1391.53 67.94% 30.26% +11.76 3-4
1959-11-15 San Francisco 49ers W 14-3 1517.87 1591.85 42.00% 56.21% +21.63 4-4
1959-11-22 @ Detroit Lions W 24-14 1539.50 1454.39 57.76% 40.45% +14.92 5-4
1959-11-29 @ Chicago Cardinals W 31-7 1554.42 1400.54 66.83% 31.37% +17.99 6-4
1959-12-06 Pittsburgh Steelers W 27-21 1572.41 1539.93 57.16% 41.04% +11.73 7-4
1959-12-13 Detroit Lions W 25-14 1584.14 1444.63 70.89% 27.32% +10.62 8-4
1959-09-27 Washington Redskins W 49-21 1434.23 1475.23 46.68% 51.52% +31.67 1-0
1959-10-04 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-34 1465.90 1525.20 44.07% 54.13% -26.68 1-1
1959-10-11 @ Washington Redskins L 14-23 1439.22 1462.24 42.37% 55.84% -14.82 1-2
1959-10-18 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-17 1424.40 1538.28 30.35% 67.86% -11.23 1-3
1959-10-25 Philadelphia Eagles L 24-28 1413.17 1457.07 46.27% 51.94% -10.78 1-4
1959-11-01 Pittsburgh Steelers W 45-24 1402.39 1521.78 35.80% 62.41% +33.17 2-4
1959-11-08 @ New York Giants L 3-9 1435.56 1567.32 28.22% 69.99% -8.10 2-5
1959-11-15 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 17-27 1427.46 1463.64 40.53% 57.68% -14.95 2-6
1959-11-22 New York Giants L 20-30 1412.51 1558.69 32.33% 65.87% -11.97 2-7
1959-11-29 Chicago Bears L 7-31 1400.54 1554.42 31.37% 66.83% -17.99 2-8
1959-12-06 @ Detroit Lions L 21-45 1382.55 1421.70 40.12% 58.09% -22.93 2-9
1959-12-13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 20-35 1359.62 1528.20 24.13% 74.08% -10.96 2-10
1959-09-26 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-17 1543.03 1523.09 48.49% 49.71% -17.83 0-1
1959-10-04 @ Chicago Cardinals W 34-7 1525.20 1465.90 54.13% 44.07% +26.68 1-1
1959-10-11 New York Giants L 6-10 1551.88 1508.86 58.62% 39.59% -13.60 1-2
1959-10-18 Chicago Cardinals W 17-7 1538.28 1424.40 67.86% 30.35% +11.23 2-2
1959-10-25 Washington Redskins W 34-7 1549.51 1451.53 65.89% 32.32% +19.65 3-2
1959-11-01 @ Baltimore Colts W 38-31 1569.16 1621.70 38.28% 59.92% +18.39 4-2
1959-11-08 Philadelphia Eagles W 28-7 1587.55 1480.36 67.04% 31.17% +16.72 5-2
1959-11-15 @ Washington Redskins W 31-17 1604.27 1433.50 68.89% 29.32% +12.85 6-2
1959-11-22 Pittsburgh Steelers L 20-21 1617.12 1504.75 67.68% 30.53% -7.84 6-3
1959-11-29 San Francisco 49ers L 20-21 1609.28 1542.88 61.79% 36.41% -7.17 6-4
1959-12-06 @ New York Giants L 7-48 1602.11 1585.79 47.97% 50.23% -35.74 6-5
1959-12-13 @ Philadelphia Eagles W 28-21 1566.37 1481.63 57.71% 40.50% +12.50 7-5
1959-09-27 @ Baltimore Colts L 9-21 1509.56 1584.10 35.34% 62.87% -14.31 0-1
1959-10-04 @ Green Bay Packers L 10-28 1495.25 1410.59 57.69% 40.51% -28.40 0-2
1959-10-11 Baltimore Colts L 24-31 1466.85 1581.94 36.37% 61.84% -11.24 0-3
1959-10-18 San Francisco 49ers L 13-34 1455.61 1528.72 42.12% 56.08% -22.51 0-4
1959-10-25 @ Los Angeles Rams W 17-7 1433.10 1542.81 30.86% 67.35% +24.69 1-4
1959-11-01 @ San Francisco 49ers L 7-33 1457.79 1558.98 31.91% 66.29% -19.04 1-5
1959-11-08 @ Pittsburgh Steelers T 10-10 1438.75 1488.62 38.65% 59.56% +0.60 1-5
1959-11-15 Los Angeles Rams W 23-17 1439.35 1489.68 45.35% 52.86% +15.04 2-5
1959-11-22 Chicago Bears L 14-24 1454.39 1539.50 40.45% 57.76% -14.92 2-6
1959-11-26 Green Bay Packers L 17-24 1439.47 1401.79 57.88% 40.32% -17.77 2-7
1959-12-06 Chicago Cardinals W 45-21 1421.70 1382.55 58.09% 40.12% +22.93 3-7
1959-12-13 @ Chicago Bears L 14-25 1444.63 1584.14 27.32% 70.89% -10.62 3-8
1959-09-27 Chicago Bears W 9-6 1397.67 1531.87 33.86% 64.34% +12.92 1-0
1959-10-04 Detroit Lions W 28-10 1410.59 1495.25 40.51% 57.69% +28.40 2-0
1959-10-11 San Francisco 49ers W 21-20 1438.99 1535.60 38.86% 59.34% +6.89 3-0
1959-10-18 Los Angeles Rams L 6-45 1445.88 1511.38 43.20% 55.01% -31.44 3-1
1959-10-25 @ Baltimore Colts L 21-38 1414.44 1611.40 21.26% 76.95% -10.30 3-2
1959-11-01 @ New York Giants L 3-20 1404.14 1554.71 26.08% 72.13% -12.61 3-3
1959-11-08 @ Chicago Bears L 17-28 1391.53 1506.11 30.26% 67.94% -11.75 3-4
1959-11-15 Baltimore Colts L 24-28 1379.78 1589.17 24.93% 73.28% -5.85 3-5
1959-11-22 Washington Redskins W 21-0 1373.93 1420.65 45.87% 52.34% +27.86 4-5
1959-11-26 @ Detroit Lions W 24-17 1401.79 1439.47 40.32% 57.88% +17.77 5-5
1959-12-06 @ Los Angeles Rams W 38-20 1419.56 1454.40 40.72% 57.49% +28.30 6-5
1959-12-13 @ San Francisco 49ers W 36-14 1447.86 1528.82 34.50% 63.71% +34.65 7-5
1959-09-26 New York Giants L 21-23 1535.30 1538.87 52.06% 46.14% -8.55 0-1
1959-10-04 @ San Francisco 49ers L 0-34 1526.75 1502.28 49.15% 49.06% -33.32 0-2
1959-10-11 @ Chicago Bears W 28-21 1493.43 1535.42 39.73% 58.48% +17.95 1-2
1959-10-18 @ Green Bay Packers W 45-6 1511.38 1445.88 55.01% 43.20% +31.43 2-2
1959-10-25 Detroit Lions L 7-17 1542.81 1433.10 67.35% 30.86% -24.69 2-3
1959-11-01 Chicago Bears L 21-26 1518.12 1491.49 56.34% 41.86% -14.62 2-4
1959-11-08 San Francisco 49ers L 16-24 1503.50 1578.03 41.93% 56.28% -13.82 2-5
1959-11-15 @ Detroit Lions L 17-23 1489.68 1439.35 52.86% 45.35% -15.04 2-6
1959-11-22 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 20-23 1474.64 1478.59 45.07% 53.14% -9.09 2-7
1959-11-29 @ Baltimore Colts L 21-35 1465.55 1622.36 25.39% 72.82% -11.15 2-8
1959-12-06 Green Bay Packers L 20-38 1454.40 1419.56 57.49% 40.72% -28.30 2-9
1959-12-12 Baltimore Colts L 26-45 1426.10 1654.72 22.92% 75.29% -11.73 2-10
1959-09-26 @ Los Angeles Rams W 23-21 1538.87 1535.30 46.14% 52.06% +8.55 1-0
1959-10-04 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 21-49 1547.42 1424.77 62.84% 35.37% -38.56 1-1
1959-10-11 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 10-6 1508.86 1551.88 39.59% 58.62% +13.60 2-1
1959-10-18 Philadelphia Eagles W 24-7 1522.46 1475.88 59.11% 39.10% +18.82 3-1
1959-10-25 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 21-16 1541.28 1535.21 46.50% 51.70% +13.43 4-1
1959-11-01 Green Bay Packers W 20-3 1554.71 1404.14 72.13% 26.08% +12.61 5-1
1959-11-08 Chicago Cardinals W 9-3 1567.32 1435.56 69.99% 28.22% +8.10 6-1
1959-11-15 Pittsburgh Steelers L 9-14 1575.42 1488.02 64.54% 33.66% -16.73 6-2
1959-11-22 @ Chicago Cardinals W 30-20 1558.69 1412.51 65.87% 32.33% +11.96 7-2
1959-11-29 Washington Redskins W 45-14 1570.65 1392.79 75.05% 23.16% +15.14 8-2
1959-12-06 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 48-7 1585.79 1602.11 50.23% 47.97% +35.74 9-2
1959-12-13 @ Washington Redskins W 24-10 1621.53 1356.38 78.80% 19.41% +8.54 10-2
1959-09-27 @ San Francisco 49ers L 14-24 1439.08 1487.97 38.78% 59.43% -14.31 0-1
1959-10-04 New York Giants W 49-21 1424.77 1547.42 35.37% 62.84% +38.55 1-1
1959-10-11 Pittsburgh Steelers W 28-24 1463.32 1522.24 44.13% 54.08% +12.56 2-1
1959-10-18 @ New York Giants L 7-24 1475.88 1522.46 39.10% 59.11% -18.81 2-2
1959-10-25 @ Chicago Cardinals W 28-24 1457.07 1413.17 51.94% 46.27% +10.77 3-2
1959-11-01 Washington Redskins W 30-23 1467.84 1431.88 57.64% 40.56% +12.52 4-2
1959-11-08 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-28 1480.36 1587.55 31.17% 67.04% -16.72 4-3
1959-11-15 Chicago Cardinals W 27-17 1463.64 1427.46 57.68% 40.53% +14.95 5-3
1959-11-22 Los Angeles Rams W 23-20 1478.59 1474.64 53.14% 45.07% +9.09 6-3
1959-11-29 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 0-31 1487.68 1512.60 42.10% 56.10% -27.33 6-4
1959-12-06 @ Washington Redskins W 34-14 1460.35 1377.65 57.42% 40.78% +21.28 7-4
1959-12-13 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 21-28 1481.63 1566.37 40.50% 57.71% -12.50 7-5
1959-09-26 Cleveland Browns (1st) W 17-7 1523.09 1543.03 49.71% 48.49% +17.84 1-0
1959-10-04 Washington Redskins L 17-23 1540.93 1443.55 65.81% 32.39% -18.69 1-1
1959-10-11 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 24-28 1522.24 1463.32 54.08% 44.13% -12.56 1-2
1959-10-18 @ Washington Redskins W 27-6 1509.68 1477.06 50.32% 47.89% +25.53 2-2
1959-10-25 New York Giants L 16-21 1535.21 1541.28 51.70% 46.50% -13.43 2-3
1959-11-01 @ Chicago Cardinals L 24-45 1521.78 1402.39 62.41% 35.80% -33.16 2-4
1959-11-08 Detroit Lions T 10-10 1488.62 1438.75 59.56% 38.65% -0.60 2-4
1959-11-15 @ New York Giants W 14-9 1488.02 1575.42 33.66% 64.54% +16.73 3-4
1959-11-22 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 21-20 1504.75 1617.12 30.53% 67.68% +7.85 4-4
1959-11-29 Philadelphia Eagles W 31-0 1512.60 1487.68 56.10% 42.10% +27.33 5-4
1959-12-06 @ Chicago Bears L 21-27 1539.93 1572.41 41.04% 57.16% -11.73 5-5
1959-12-13 Chicago Cardinals W 35-20 1528.20 1359.62 74.08% 24.13% +10.97 6-5
1959-09-27 Philadelphia Eagles W 24-14 1487.97 1439.08 59.43% 38.78% +14.31 1-0
1959-10-04 Los Angeles Rams W 34-0 1502.28 1526.75 49.06% 49.15% +33.32 2-0
1959-10-11 @ Green Bay Packers L 20-21 1535.60 1438.99 59.34% 38.86% -6.88 2-1
1959-10-18 @ Detroit Lions W 34-13 1528.72 1455.61 56.08% 42.12% +22.51 3-1
1959-10-25 Chicago Bears W 20-17 1551.23 1499.25 59.85% 38.36% +7.75 4-1
1959-11-01 Detroit Lions W 33-7 1558.98 1457.79 66.29% 31.91% +19.05 5-1
1959-11-08 @ Los Angeles Rams W 24-16 1578.03 1503.50 56.28% 41.93% +13.82 6-1
1959-11-15 @ Chicago Bears L 3-14 1591.85 1517.87 56.21% 42.00% -21.63 6-2
1959-11-22 @ Baltimore Colts L 14-45 1570.22 1595.02 42.12% 56.09% -27.34 6-3
1959-11-29 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) W 21-20 1542.88 1609.28 36.41% 61.79% +7.16 7-3
1959-12-05 Baltimore Colts L 14-34 1550.04 1633.50 40.68% 57.53% -21.22 7-4
1959-12-13 Green Bay Packers L 14-36 1528.82 1447.86 63.71% 34.50% -34.65 7-5
1959-09-27 @ Chicago Cardinals L 21-49 1475.23 1434.23 51.52% 46.68% -31.68 0-1
1959-10-04 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 23-17 1443.55 1540.93 32.39% 65.81% +18.69 1-1
1959-10-11 Chicago Cardinals W 23-14 1462.24 1439.22 55.84% 42.37% +14.82 2-1
1959-10-18 Pittsburgh Steelers L 6-27 1477.06 1509.68 47.89% 50.32% -25.53 2-2
1959-10-25 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) L 7-34 1451.53 1549.51 32.32% 65.89% -19.65 2-3
1959-11-01 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 23-30 1431.88 1467.84 40.56% 57.64% -12.52 2-4
1959-11-08 Baltimore Colts W 27-24 1419.36 1603.31 27.77% 70.44% +14.14 3-4
1959-11-15 Cleveland Browns (1st) L 17-31 1433.50 1604.27 29.32% 68.89% -12.85 3-5
1959-11-22 @ Green Bay Packers L 0-21 1420.65 1373.93 52.34% 45.87% -27.86 3-6
1959-11-29 @ New York Giants L 14-45 1392.79 1570.65 23.16% 75.05% -15.14 3-7
1959-12-06 Philadelphia Eagles L 14-34 1377.65 1460.35 40.78% 57.42% -21.27 3-8
1959-12-13 New York Giants L 10-24 1356.38 1621.53 19.41% 78.80% -8.54 3-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1959-12-27 New York Giants W 31-16 1666.45 1630.07 58.63% 41.37% +18.30 1-0
1959-12-27 @ Baltimore Colts L 16-31 1630.07 1666.45 41.37% 58.63% -18.30 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1959-11-08 27.77% @ Washington Redskins 1419.36 27 Baltimore Colts 1603.31 24
2 1959-11-22 30.53% Pittsburgh Steelers 1504.75 21 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1617.12 20
3 1959-10-25 30.86% Detroit Lions 1433.10 17 @ Los Angeles Rams 1542.81 7
4 1959-10-04 32.39% Washington Redskins 1443.55 23 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1540.93 17
5 1959-11-15 33.66% Pittsburgh Steelers 1488.02 14 @ New York Giants 1575.42 9
6 1959-09-27 33.86% @ Green Bay Packers 1397.67 9 Chicago Bears 1531.87 6
7 1959-12-13 34.50% Green Bay Packers 1447.86 36 @ San Francisco 49ers 1528.82 14
8 1959-10-03 34.69% Chicago Bears 1518.95 26 @ Baltimore Colts 1598.41 21
9 1959-10-04 35.37% @ Philadelphia Eagles 1424.77 49 New York Giants 1547.42 21
10 1959-11-01 35.80% @ Chicago Cardinals 1402.39 45 Pittsburgh Steelers 1521.78 24
11 1959-11-29 36.41% San Francisco 49ers 1542.88 21 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1609.28 20
12 1959-11-01 38.28% Cleveland Browns (1st) 1569.16 38 @ Baltimore Colts 1621.70 31
13 1959-10-11 38.86% @ Green Bay Packers 1438.99 21 San Francisco 49ers 1535.60 20
14 1959-10-11 39.59% New York Giants 1508.86 10 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 1551.88 6
15 1959-10-11 39.73% Los Angeles Rams 1493.43 28 @ Chicago Bears 1535.42 21
16 1959-11-26 40.32% Green Bay Packers 1401.79 24 @ Detroit Lions 1439.47 17
17 1959-10-04 40.51% @ Green Bay Packers 1410.59 28 Detroit Lions 1495.25 10
18 1959-12-06 40.72% Green Bay Packers 1419.56 38 @ Los Angeles Rams 1454.40 20
19 1959-11-01 41.86% Chicago Bears 1491.49 26 @ Los Angeles Rams 1518.12 21
20 1959-11-15 42.00% @ Chicago Bears 1517.87 14 San Francisco 49ers 1591.85 3
21 1959-10-11 44.13% @ Philadelphia Eagles 1463.32 28 Pittsburgh Steelers 1522.24 24
22 1959-11-15 45.35% @ Detroit Lions 1439.35 23 Los Angeles Rams 1489.68 17
23 1959-11-22 45.87% @ Green Bay Packers 1373.93 21 Washington Redskins 1420.65 0
24 1959-09-26 46.14% New York Giants 1538.87 23 @ Los Angeles Rams 1535.30 21
25 1959-10-25 46.50% New York Giants 1541.28 21 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 1535.21 16

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1959-10-04 38.56 @ Philadelphia Eagles 49 1424.77 35.37% New York Giants 21 1547.42 62.84%
2 1959-12-06 35.74 @ New York Giants 48 1585.79 50.23% Cleveland Browns (1st) 7 1602.11 47.97%
3 1959-12-13 34.65 Green Bay Packers 36 1447.86 34.50% @ San Francisco 49ers 14 1528.82 63.71%
4 1959-10-04 33.32 @ San Francisco 49ers 34 1502.28 49.06% Los Angeles Rams 0 1526.75 49.15%
5 1959-11-01 33.17 @ Chicago Cardinals 45 1402.39 35.80% Pittsburgh Steelers 24 1521.78 62.41%
6 1959-09-27 31.68 @ Chicago Cardinals 49 1434.23 46.68% Washington Redskins 21 1475.23 51.52%
7 1959-10-18 31.44 Los Angeles Rams 45 1511.38 55.01% @ Green Bay Packers 6 1445.88 43.20%
8 1959-10-04 28.40 @ Green Bay Packers 28 1410.59 40.51% Detroit Lions 10 1495.25 57.69%
9 1959-12-06 28.30 Green Bay Packers 38 1419.56 40.72% @ Los Angeles Rams 20 1454.40 57.49%
10 1959-11-22 27.86 @ Green Bay Packers 21 1373.93 45.87% Washington Redskins 0 1420.65 52.34%
11 1959-11-22 27.34 @ Baltimore Colts 45 1595.02 56.09% San Francisco 49ers 14 1570.22 42.12%
12 1959-11-29 27.33 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 31 1512.60 56.10% Philadelphia Eagles 0 1487.68 42.10%
13 1959-10-04 26.68 Cleveland Browns (1st) 34 1525.20 54.13% @ Chicago Cardinals 7 1465.90 44.07%
14 1959-10-18 25.53 Pittsburgh Steelers 27 1509.68 50.32% @ Washington Redskins 6 1477.06 47.89%
15 1959-10-25 24.69 Detroit Lions 17 1433.10 30.86% @ Los Angeles Rams 7 1542.81 67.35%
16 1959-12-06 22.93 @ Detroit Lions 45 1421.70 58.09% Chicago Cardinals 21 1382.55 40.12%
17 1959-10-18 22.51 San Francisco 49ers 34 1528.72 56.08% @ Detroit Lions 13 1455.61 42.12%
18 1959-11-15 21.63 @ Chicago Bears 14 1517.87 42.00% San Francisco 49ers 3 1591.85 56.21%
19 1959-12-06 21.28 Philadelphia Eagles 34 1460.35 57.42% @ Washington Redskins 14 1377.65 40.78%
20 1959-12-05 21.22 Baltimore Colts 34 1633.50 57.53% @ San Francisco 49ers 14 1550.04 40.68%
21 1959-10-25 19.65 @ Cleveland Browns (1st) 34 1549.51 65.89% Washington Redskins 7 1451.53 32.32%
22 1959-11-01 19.05 @ San Francisco 49ers 33 1558.98 66.29% Detroit Lions 7 1457.79 31.91%
23 1959-10-18 18.82 @ New York Giants 24 1522.46 59.11% Philadelphia Eagles 7 1475.88 39.10%
24 1959-10-04 18.69 Washington Redskins 23 1443.55 32.39% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 17 1540.93 65.81%
25 1959-11-01 18.39 Cleveland Browns (1st) 38 1569.16 38.28% @ Baltimore Colts 31 1621.70 59.92%