1949 NFL Season

60 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Philadelphia Eagles

2nd Title

Last Title: 1948

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Rams

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1945

Biggest Overachiever

Philadelphia Eagles

2.26 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.74 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Bulldogs

1.90 wins below expected

1 wins · 3.40 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	11	1	0	.917	—	364	134	+230	8.74	+2.26
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	5	1	.542	4.5	224	214	+10	5.84	+0.66
3	New York Giants	6	6	0	.500	5	287	298	-11	5.43	+0.57
4	Washington Redskins	4	7	1	.375	6.5	268	339	-71	5.54	-1.04
5	New York Bulldogs	1	10	1	.125	9.5	153	368	-215	3.40	-1.90

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	8	2	2	.750	—	360	239	+121	7.77	+1.23
2	Chicago Bears	9	3	0	.750	—	332	218	+114	8.25	+0.75
3	Chicago Cardinals	6	5	1	.542	2.5	360	301	+59	7.30	-0.80
4	Detroit Lions	4	8	0	.333	5	237	259	-22	4.16	-0.16
5	Green Bay Packers	2	10	0	.167	7	114	329	-215	3.58	-1.58

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

NFL Championship Game

Philadelphia Eagles 14

Los Angeles Rams 0

Dec 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Philadelphia Eagles	East	1774	11	8.74	+2.26	98.93%	2	6	7	8	9	11	12
Chicago Bears	West	1720	9	8.25	+0.75	85.49%	1	5	7	8	9	10	12
Los Angeles Rams	West	1637	9	7.77	+1.23	91.47%	1	5	6	7	8	10	12
Chicago Cardinals	West	1575	6.5	7.30	-0.80	40.00%	1	4	6	7	8	10	12
Pittsburgh Steelers	East	1476	6.5	5.84	+0.66	74.57%	0	3	4	5	7	8	11
New York Giants	East	1453	6	5.43	+0.57	82.66%	0	2	4	5	6	8	10
Washington Redskins	East	1434	4.5	5.54	-1.04	35.35%	0	3	4	5	6	8	11
Detroit Lions	West	1420	4	4.16	-0.16	70.07%	0	1	3	4	5	6	9
New York Bulldogs	East	1258	1.5	3.40	-1.90	14.99%	0	1	2	3	4	5	9
Green Bay Packers	West	1254	2	3.58	-1.58	34.09%	0	1	2	3	4	6	9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team	Bulldogs	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
New York Bulldogs	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

East vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bears	Cardinals	Lions	Packers	Rams
New York Bulldogs	—	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	—
Philadelphia Eagles	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)

Within West

Team	Bears	Cardinals	Lions	Packers	Rams
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

West vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bulldogs	Giants	Eagles	Steelers	Redskins
Chicago Bears	—	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—
Green Bay Packers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Eagles	11	8.74	+2.26
2	Los Angeles Rams	9	7.77	+1.23
3	Chicago Bears	9	8.25	+0.75
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	6.5	5.84	+0.66
5	New York Giants	6	5.43	+0.57

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Bulldogs	1.5	3.40	-1.90
2	Green Bay Packers	2	3.58	-1.58
3	Washington Redskins	4.5	5.54	-1.04
4	Chicago Cardinals	6.5	7.30	-0.80
5	Detroit Lions	4	4.16	-0.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Rams	6	Sep 23 – Oct 30	1 in 24
2	Philadelphia Eagles	8	Oct 23 – Dec 11	1 in 14
3	Chicago Bears	6	Nov 6 – Dec 11	1 in 7
4	New York Giants	2	Sep 30 – Oct 9	1 in 6
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Oct 8 – Oct 23	1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New York Bulldogs	5	Sep 22 – Oct 23	1 in 14
2	Chicago Bears	2	Oct 23 – Oct 30	1 in 11
3	Green Bay Packers	6	Nov 6 – Dec 11	1 in 10
4	Washington Redskins	3	Nov 13 – Nov 27	1 in 4
5	Detroit Lions	4	Sep 23 – Oct 16	1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Philadelphia Eagles	79.57%	14.32%	4.69%	1.28%	0.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.74%	31.72%	27.45%	22.96%	9.13%
Washington Redskins	5.90%	25.64%	28.60%	27.00%	12.86%
New York Giants	5.40%	24.64%	29.78%	27.28%	12.90%
New York Bulldogs	0.39%	3.68%	9.48%	21.48%	64.97%

Team	1	2	3	4	5
Chicago Bears	45.21%	31.40%	19.59%	3.45%	0.35%
Los Angeles Rams	32.06%	33.89%	27.65%	5.41%	0.99%
Chicago Cardinals	21.99%	30.67%	36.12%	9.17%	2.05%
Detroit Lions	0.55%	2.68%	10.24%	47.43%	39.10%
Green Bay Packers	0.19%	1.36%	6.40%	34.54%	57.51%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Philadelphia Eagles	38.69%	29.66%	14.04%	8.81%	4.55%	2.78%	0.97%	0.38%	0.10%	0.02%
Chicago Bears	27.16%	23.12%	20.99%	12.49%	8.75%	4.39%	1.95%	0.85%	0.27%	0.03%
Los Angeles Rams	17.70%	19.91%	21.69%	15.86%	12.48%	6.76%	3.34%	1.55%	0.57%	0.14%
Chicago Cardinals	11.81%	15.02%	19.63%	17.39%	16.20%	9.86%	5.22%	3.03%	1.43%	0.41%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.10%	4.81%	8.12%	15.81%	15.99%	17.78%	14.32%	11.30%	6.41%	3.36%
Washington Redskins	1.34%	3.67%	7.05%	11.72%	14.35%	18.23%	16.90%	13.67%	8.63%	4.44%
New York Giants	1.01%	3.11%	5.57%	12.11%	14.92%	18.96%	16.50%	13.67%	9.11%	5.04%
Detroit Lions	0.15%	0.46%	1.65%	2.78%	6.18%	8.81%	17.17%	22.21%	22.17%	18.42%
Green Bay Packers	0.02%	0.14%	0.74%	1.55%	3.46%	6.11%	13.02%	18.12%	25.03%	31.81%
New York Bulldogs	0.02%	0.10%	0.52%	1.48%	3.12%	6.32%	10.61%	15.22%	26.28%	36.33%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles	79.57%	20.43%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.74%	91.26%
Washington Redskins	5.90%	94.10%
New York Giants	5.40%	94.60%
New York Bulldogs	0.39%	99.61%

Team	1 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Chicago Bears	45.21%	54.79%
Los Angeles Rams	32.06%	67.94%
Chicago Cardinals	21.99%	78.01%
Detroit Lions	0.55%	99.45%
Green Bay Packers	0.19%	99.81%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	79.57%	50.98%
Chicago Bears	45.21%	23.31%
Los Angeles Rams	32.06%	13.59%
Chicago Cardinals	21.99%	6.99%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.74%	2.22%
Washington Redskins	5.90%	1.37%
New York Giants	5.40%	1.35%
Detroit Lions	0.55%	0.12%
New York Bulldogs	0.39%	0.04%
Green Bay Packers	0.19%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Chicago Cardinals	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New York Bulldogs	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	Pittsburgh Steelers	Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears						0.22%	1.84%	15.77%	3.17%	2.31%
Chicago Cardinals						0.05%	0.63%	4.07%	1.35%	0.89%
Detroit Lions							0.01%	0.07%		0.04%
Green Bay Packers								0.02%		0.01%
Los Angeles Rams						0.08%	1.57%	8.66%	2.00%	1.28%
New York Bulldogs	0.01%				0.03%
New York Giants	0.45%	0.43%	0.02%		0.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	20.34%	13.32%	0.33%	0.14%	16.85%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.64%	0.78%	0.04%		0.76%
Washington Redskins	0.46%	0.47%	0.04%	0.02%	0.38%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	56.75%
Chicago Bears	43.25%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Philadelphia Eagles
Chicago Bears		43.25%
Philadelphia Eagles	56.75%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Philadelphia Eagles 56.75% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.75%

Chicago Bears 43.25% chance to win

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.25%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1949-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	W 17-0	1651.06	1394.47	76.24%	17.01%	+11.81	1-0
1949-10-02	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 17-7	1662.87	1638.81	49.16%	43.92%	+22.49	2-0
1949-10-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-31	1685.36	1584.87	61.09%	32.03%	-37.69	2-1
1949-10-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-21	1647.67	1670.99	44.03%	49.05%	+32.50	3-1
1949-10-23	@ New York Giants	L 28-35	1680.17	1452.23	73.75%	19.46%	-31.06	3-2
1949-10-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1649.11	1645.82	46.18%	46.90%	-12.91	3-3
1949-11-06	Green Bay Packers	W 24-3	1636.20	1369.29	77.98%	15.31%	+11.85	4-3
1949-11-13	Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1648.05	1364.44	79.20%	14.11%	+4.13	5-3
1949-11-20	@ Washington Redskins	W 31-21	1652.18	1473.03	68.92%	24.24%	+12.79	6-3
1949-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-7	1664.97	1410.91	76.03%	17.22%	+13.29	7-3
1949-12-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-21	1678.26	1465.13	73.46%	19.76%	+9.95	8-3
1949-12-11	Chicago Cardinals	W 52-21	1688.21	1605.99	58.74%	34.36%	+31.42	9-3
1949-09-26	Washington Redskins	W 38-7	1611.54	1491.43	63.51%	29.61%	+27.27	1-0
1949-10-02	Chicago Bears	L 7-17	1638.81	1662.87	43.92%	49.16%	-22.48	1-1
1949-10-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-28	1616.33	1636.23	42.87%	50.21%	-34.76	1-2
1949-10-16	@ Green Bay Packers	W 39-17	1581.57	1389.73	70.25%	22.93%	+17.97	2-2
1949-10-23	Detroit Lions	L 7-24	1599.54	1347.81	76.79%	16.48%	-50.43	2-3
1949-10-30	New York Giants	L 38-41	1549.11	1483.29	56.57%	36.53%	-15.65	2-4
1949-11-06	@ Detroit Lions	W 42-19	1533.46	1386.57	65.32%	27.82%	+22.13	3-4
1949-11-13	@ New York Bulldogs	W 65-20	1555.59	1321.78	74.28%	18.94%	+21.36	4-4
1949-11-20	Los Angeles Rams	T 28-28	1576.95	1623.97	40.69%	52.40%	+0.44	4-4
1949-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 41-21	1577.39	1308.89	78.10%	15.19%	+11.47	5-4
1949-12-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-27	1588.86	1632.42	39.56%	53.53%	+17.13	6-4
1949-12-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-52	1605.99	1688.21	34.36%	58.74%	-31.42	6-5
1949-09-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1387.11	1551.54	24.58%	68.58%	-7.10	0-1
1949-10-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-22	1380.01	1627.78	17.74%	75.50%	-8.44	0-2
1949-10-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-14	1371.57	1459.22	33.66%	59.45%	-14.64	0-3
1949-10-16	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-21	1356.93	1622.56	16.29%	76.98%	-9.12	0-4
1949-10-23	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 24-7	1347.81	1599.54	16.48%	76.79%	+50.44	1-4
1949-10-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-16	1398.25	1357.62	51.51%	41.58%	-11.68	1-5
1949-11-06	Chicago Cardinals	L 19-42	1386.57	1533.46	27.82%	65.32%	-22.13	1-6
1949-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1364.44	1648.05	14.11%	79.20%	-4.13	1-7
1949-11-20	@ New York Giants	W 45-21	1360.31	1491.92	28.25%	64.89%	+50.60	2-7
1949-11-24	Chicago Bears	L 7-28	1410.91	1664.97	17.22%	76.03%	-13.30	2-8
1949-12-04	New York Bulldogs	W 28-27	1397.61	1284.45	62.67%	30.46%	+5.04	3-8
1949-12-11	Green Bay Packers	W 21-7	1402.65	1271.78	64.80%	28.34%	+17.57	4-8
1949-09-25	Chicago Bears	L 0-17	1394.47	1651.06	17.01%	76.24%	-11.82	0-1
1949-10-02	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-48	1382.65	1558.64	24.58%	68.58%	-26.24	0-2
1949-10-07	@ New York Bulldogs	W 19-0	1356.41	1357.03	45.62%	47.46%	+33.32	1-2
1949-10-16	Chicago Cardinals	L 17-39	1389.73	1581.57	22.93%	70.25%	-17.97	1-3
1949-10-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-35	1371.76	1631.67	15.84%	77.44%	-14.14	1-4
1949-10-30	Detroit Lions	W 16-14	1357.62	1398.25	41.58%	51.51%	+11.67	2-4
1949-11-06	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-24	1369.29	1636.20	15.31%	77.98%	-11.84	2-5
1949-11-13	New York Giants	L 10-30	1357.45	1468.20	32.19%	60.92%	-23.73	2-6
1949-11-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-30	1333.72	1450.90	31.39%	61.73%	-24.83	2-7
1949-11-27	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 21-41	1308.89	1577.39	15.19%	78.10%	-11.47	2-8
1949-12-04	@ Washington Redskins	L 0-30	1297.42	1429.09	28.24%	64.89%	-25.64	2-9
1949-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-21	1271.78	1402.65	28.34%	64.80%	-17.58	2-10
1949-09-23	Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1551.54	1387.11	68.58%	24.58%	+7.10	1-0
1949-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	W 48-7	1558.64	1382.65	68.58%	24.58%	+26.23	2-0
1949-10-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-16	1584.87	1685.36	32.03%	61.09%	+37.69	3-0
1949-10-16	@ Detroit Lions	W 21-10	1622.56	1356.93	76.98%	16.29%	+9.11	4-0
1949-10-23	Green Bay Packers	W 35-7	1631.67	1371.76	77.44%	15.84%	+14.15	5-0
1949-10-30	Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1645.82	1649.11	46.90%	46.18%	+12.90	6-0
1949-11-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-38	1658.72	1688.21	41.52%	51.57%	-33.04	6-1
1949-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 7-7	1625.68	1449.19	68.64%	24.53%	-1.71	6-1
1949-11-20	@ Chicago Cardinals	T 28-28	1623.97	1576.95	52.40%	40.69%	-0.45	6-1
1949-11-27	New York Bulldogs	W 42-20	1623.52	1293.35	82.22%	11.17%	+8.90	7-1
1949-12-04	Chicago Cardinals	L 27-31	1632.42	1588.86	53.53%	39.56%	-17.13	7-2
1949-12-11	Washington Redskins	W 53-27	1615.29	1454.73	68.17%	24.99%	+21.23	8-2
1949-09-22	Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-7	1402.50	1618.67	20.55%	72.66%	-9.12	0-1
1949-09-30	New York Giants	L 14-38	1393.38	1403.05	45.98%	47.10%	-36.35	0-2
1949-10-07	Green Bay Packers	L 0-19	1357.03	1356.41	47.46%	45.62%	-33.32	0-3
1949-10-16	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-38	1323.71	1465.78	27.04%	66.10%	-22.00	0-4
1949-10-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-24	1301.71	1488.84	22.24%	70.95%	-12.33	0-5
1949-10-30	Washington Redskins	T 14-14	1289.38	1462.13	24.93%	68.23%	+1.67	0-5
1949-11-06	@ New York Giants	W 31-24	1291.05	1498.93	20.24%	72.97%	+30.73	1-5
1949-11-13	Chicago Cardinals	L 20-65	1321.78	1555.59	18.94%	74.28%	-21.35	1-6
1949-11-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-42	1300.43	1736.58	6.42%	87.18%	-7.08	1-7
1949-11-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-42	1293.35	1623.52	11.17%	82.22%	-8.90	1-8
1949-12-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-28	1284.45	1397.61	30.46%	62.67%	-5.03	1-9
1949-12-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 0-27	1279.42	1455.18	24.61%	68.56%	-21.31	1-10
1949-09-25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1434.66	1457.02	42.52%	50.56%	-31.61	0-1
1949-09-30	@ New York Bulldogs	W 38-14	1403.05	1393.38	47.10%	45.98%	+36.36	1-1
1949-10-09	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-35	1439.41	1493.57	38.10%	54.99%	+27.79	2-1
1949-10-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-21	1467.20	1473.86	46.42%	46.67%	-14.97	2-2
1949-10-23	Chicago Bears	W 35-28	1452.23	1680.17	19.46%	73.75%	+31.06	3-2
1949-10-30	@ Chicago Cardinals	W 41-38	1483.29	1549.11	36.53%	56.57%	+15.64	4-2
1949-11-06	New York Bulldogs	L 24-31	1498.93	1291.05	72.97%	20.24%	-30.73	4-3
1949-11-13	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-10	1468.20	1357.45	60.92%	32.19%	+23.72	5-3
1949-11-20	Detroit Lions	L 21-45	1491.92	1360.31	64.89%	28.25%	-50.59	5-4
1949-11-27	Washington Redskins	W 23-7	1441.33	1460.25	44.66%	48.43%	+31.15	6-4
1949-12-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-24	1472.48	1754.28	15.07%	78.23%	-11.66	6-5
1949-12-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-17	1460.82	1765.94	12.68%	80.67%	-8.04	6-6
1949-09-22	@ New York Bulldogs	W 7-0	1618.67	1402.50	72.66%	20.55%	+9.11	1-0
1949-10-03	@ Detroit Lions	W 22-14	1627.78	1380.01	75.50%	17.74%	+8.45	2-0
1949-10-08	Chicago Cardinals	W 28-3	1636.23	1616.33	50.21%	42.87%	+34.76	3-0
1949-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-38	1670.99	1647.67	49.05%	44.03%	-32.51	3-1
1949-10-23	Washington Redskins	W 49-14	1638.48	1487.78	67.08%	26.07%	+25.65	4-1
1949-10-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 38-7	1664.13	1501.17	67.15%	26.00%	+24.08	5-1
1949-11-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 38-14	1688.21	1658.72	51.57%	41.52%	+33.05	6-1
1949-11-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 44-21	1721.26	1488.36	74.20%	19.02%	+15.32	7-1
1949-11-20	New York Bulldogs	W 42-0	1736.58	1300.43	87.18%	6.42%	+7.09	8-1
1949-11-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-17	1743.67	1475.73	78.05%	15.23%	+10.61	9-1
1949-12-04	@ New York Giants	W 24-3	1754.28	1472.48	78.23%	15.07%	+11.66	10-1
1949-12-11	New York Giants	W 17-3	1765.94	1460.82	80.67%	12.68%	+8.04	11-1
1949-09-25	New York Giants	W 28-7	1457.02	1434.66	50.56%	42.52%	+31.61	1-0
1949-10-03	Washington Redskins	L 14-27	1488.63	1464.16	50.86%	42.22%	-29.41	1-1
1949-10-08	Detroit Lions	W 14-7	1459.22	1371.57	59.45%	33.66%	+14.64	2-1
1949-10-16	@ New York Giants	W 21-17	1473.86	1467.20	46.67%	46.42%	+14.98	3-1
1949-10-23	New York Bulldogs	W 24-13	1488.84	1301.71	70.95%	22.24%	+12.33	4-1
1949-10-30	Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-38	1501.17	1664.13	26.00%	67.15%	-24.07	4-2
1949-11-06	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-27	1477.10	1460.45	48.10%	44.98%	-27.91	4-3
1949-11-13	Los Angeles Rams	T 7-7	1449.19	1625.68	24.53%	68.64%	+1.71	4-3
1949-11-20	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-7	1450.90	1333.72	61.73%	31.39%	+24.83	5-3
1949-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-34	1475.73	1743.67	15.23%	78.05%	-10.60	5-4
1949-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-30	1465.13	1678.26	19.76%	73.46%	-9.95	5-5
1949-12-11	@ New York Bulldogs	W 27-0	1455.18	1279.42	68.56%	24.61%	+21.31	6-5
1949-09-26	@ Chicago Cardinals	L 7-38	1491.43	1611.54	29.61%	63.51%	-27.27	0-1
1949-10-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-14	1464.16	1488.63	42.22%	50.86%	+29.41	1-1
1949-10-09	New York Giants	L 35-45	1493.57	1439.41	54.99%	38.10%	-27.79	1-2
1949-10-16	New York Bulldogs	W 38-14	1465.78	1323.71	66.10%	27.04%	+22.00	2-2
1949-10-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-49	1487.78	1638.48	26.07%	67.08%	-25.65	2-3
1949-10-30	@ New York Bulldogs	T 14-14	1462.13	1289.38	68.23%	24.93%	-1.68	2-3
1949-11-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-14	1460.45	1477.10	44.98%	48.10%	+27.91	3-3
1949-11-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-44	1488.36	1721.26	19.02%	74.20%	-15.33	3-4
1949-11-20	Chicago Bears	L 21-31	1473.03	1652.18	24.24%	68.92%	-12.78	3-5
1949-11-27	@ New York Giants	L 7-23	1460.25	1441.33	48.43%	44.66%	-31.16	3-6
1949-12-04	Green Bay Packers	W 30-0	1429.09	1297.42	64.89%	28.24%	+25.64	4-6
1949-12-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-53	1454.73	1615.29	24.99%	68.17%	-21.22	4-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1949-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-14	1636.52	1773.98	31.91%	68.09%	-17.92	0-1
1949-12-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 14-0	1773.98	1636.52	68.09%	31.91%	+17.92	1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-10-23	16.48%	Detroit Lions	1347.81	24	@ Chicago Cardinals	1599.54	7
2	1949-10-23	19.46%	@ New York Giants	1452.23	35	Chicago Bears	1680.17	28
3	1949-11-06	20.24%	New York Bulldogs	1291.05	31	@ New York Giants	1498.93	24
4	1949-11-20	28.25%	Detroit Lions	1360.31	45	@ New York Giants	1491.92	21
5	1949-10-09	32.03%	Los Angeles Rams	1584.87	31	@ Chicago Bears	1685.36	16
6	1949-10-30	36.53%	New York Giants	1483.29	41	@ Chicago Cardinals	1549.11	38
7	1949-10-09	38.10%	New York Giants	1439.41	45	@ Washington Redskins	1493.57	35
8	1949-12-04	39.56%	Chicago Cardinals	1588.86	31	@ Los Angeles Rams	1632.42	27
9	1949-10-30	41.58%	@ Green Bay Packers	1357.62	16	Detroit Lions	1398.25	14
10	1949-10-03	42.22%	Washington Redskins	1464.16	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1488.63	14
11	1949-10-16	44.03%	@ Chicago Bears	1647.67	38	Philadelphia Eagles	1670.99	21
12	1949-11-27	44.66%	@ New York Giants	1441.33	23	Washington Redskins	1460.25	7
13	1949-11-06	44.98%	@ Washington Redskins	1460.45	27	Pittsburgh Steelers	1477.10	14
14	1949-10-07	45.62%	Green Bay Packers	1356.41	19	@ New York Bulldogs	1357.03	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	1949-11-20	50.60	Detroit Lions	45	1360.31	28.25%	@ New York Giants	21	1491.92	64.89%
2	1949-10-23	50.44	Detroit Lions	24	1347.81	16.48%	@ Chicago Cardinals	7	1599.54	76.79%
3	1949-10-09	37.69	Los Angeles Rams	31	1584.87	32.03%	@ Chicago Bears	16	1685.36	61.09%
4	1949-09-30	36.36	New York Giants	38	1403.05	47.10%	@ New York Bulldogs	14	1393.38	45.98%
5	1949-10-08	34.76	@ Philadelphia Eagles	28	1636.23	50.21%	Chicago Cardinals	3	1616.33	42.87%
6	1949-10-07	33.32	Green Bay Packers	19	1356.41	45.62%	@ New York Bulldogs	0	1357.03	47.46%
7	1949-11-06	33.05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	38	1688.21	51.57%	Los Angeles Rams	14	1658.72	41.52%
8	1949-10-16	32.51	@ Chicago Bears	38	1647.67	44.03%	Philadelphia Eagles	21	1670.99	49.05%
9	1949-09-25	31.61	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1457.02	50.56%	New York Giants	7	1434.66	42.52%
10	1949-12-11	31.42	@ Chicago Bears	52	1688.21	58.74%	Chicago Cardinals	21	1605.99	34.36%
11	1949-11-27	31.16	@ New York Giants	23	1441.33	44.66%	Washington Redskins	7	1460.25	48.43%
12	1949-10-23	31.06	@ New York Giants	35	1452.23	19.46%	Chicago Bears	28	1680.17	73.75%
13	1949-11-06	30.73	New York Bulldogs	31	1291.05	20.24%	@ New York Giants	24	1498.93	72.97%
14	1949-10-03	29.41	Washington Redskins	27	1464.16	42.22%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1488.63	50.86%
15	1949-11-06	27.91	@ Washington Redskins	27	1460.45	44.98%	Pittsburgh Steelers	14	1477.10	48.10%
16	1949-10-09	27.79	New York Giants	45	1439.41	38.10%	@ Washington Redskins	35	1493.57	54.99%
17	1949-09-26	27.27	@ Chicago Cardinals	38	1611.54	63.51%	Washington Redskins	7	1491.43	29.61%
18	1949-10-02	26.24	Los Angeles Rams	48	1558.64	68.58%	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1382.65	24.58%
19	1949-10-23	25.65	@ Philadelphia Eagles	49	1638.48	67.08%	Washington Redskins	14	1487.78	26.07%
20	1949-12-04	25.64	@ Washington Redskins	30	1429.09	64.89%	Green Bay Packers	0	1297.42	28.24%
21	1949-11-20	24.83	Pittsburgh Steelers	30	1450.90	61.73%	@ Green Bay Packers	7	1333.72	31.39%
22	1949-10-30	24.08	Philadelphia Eagles	38	1664.13	67.15%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1501.17	26.00%
23	1949-11-13	23.73	New York Giants	30	1468.20	60.92%	@ Green Bay Packers	10	1357.45	32.19%
24	1949-10-02	22.49	Chicago Bears	17	1662.87	49.16%	@ Chicago Cardinals	7	1638.81	43.92%
25	1949-11-06	22.13	Chicago Cardinals	42	1533.46	65.32%	@ Detroit Lions	19	1386.57	27.82%