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1948 NFL Season

60 regular-season games · 2 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Philadelphia Eagles

1st Title

Runner-Up

Chicago Cardinals

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1947

Biggest Overachiever

Chicago Cardinals

3.05 wins above expected

11 wins · 7.95 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Green Bay Packers

2.99 wins below expected

3 wins · 5.99 expected wins

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Philadelphia Eagles Division 9 2 1 .792 — 376 156 +220 8.12 +1.38
2 Washington Redskins 7 5 0 .583 2.5 291 287 +4 6.02 +0.98
3 New York Giants 4 8 0 .333 5.5 297 388 -91 4.83 -0.83
4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4 8 0 .333 5.5 200 243 -43 5.68 -1.68
5 Boston Yanks 3 9 0 .250 6.5 174 372 -198 3.54 -0.54
# Team W L T Pct GB PF PA PD SimW vsSim
1 Chicago Cardinals Division 11 1 0 .917 — 395 226 +169 7.95 +3.05
2 Chicago Bears 10 2 0 .833 1 375 151 +224 8.56 +1.44
3 Los Angeles Rams 6 5 1 .542 4.5 327 269 +58 5.98 +0.52
4 Green Bay Packers 3 9 0 .250 8 154 290 -136 5.99 -2.99
5 Detroit Lions 2 10 0 .167 9 200 407 -207 3.34 -1.34

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

NFL Championship Game

Philadelphia Eagles 7
Chicago Cardinals 0

Dec 19

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Conference Division Elo Actual Avg. Wins Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Chicago Bears West 1719 10 8.56 +1.44 92.77% 3 6 7 8 9 11 12
Chicago Cardinals West 1706 11 7.95 +3.05 99.54% 2 5 7 8 9 10 12
Philadelphia Eagles East 1649 9.5 8.12 +1.38 84.03% 3 5 7 8 9 10 12
Los Angeles Rams West 1573 6.5 5.98 +0.52 64.16% 0 3 5 6 7 9 11
Washington Redskins East 1487 7 6.02 +0.98 83.60% 0 3 5 6 7 9 11
Pittsburgh Steelers East 1432 4 5.68 -1.68 25.81% 0 3 4 6 7 8 11
New York Giants East 1399 4 4.83 -0.83 46.02% 0 2 4 5 6 7 11
Boston Yanks East 1362 3 3.54 -0.54 53.68% 0 1 2 3 4 6 10
Green Bay Packers West 1346 3 5.99 -2.99 6.86% 0 3 5 6 7 8 12
Detroit Lions West 1328 2 3.34 -1.34 32.09% 0 1 2 3 4 6 10

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within East

Team Yanks Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Boston Yanks —
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
1-1
(0.2 exp.)
1-1
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
New York Giants
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
 —
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
0-2
(0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-1
(1.8 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
 —
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
 —
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.0 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
 —

East vs. Outside Teams

Team Bears Cardinals Lions Packers Rams
Boston Yanks
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
—
New York Giants
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
—
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
1-0
(0.9 exp.)
—
0-0-1
(0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers
—
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
—
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
0-1
(0.6 exp.)

Within West

Team Bears Cardinals Lions Packers Rams
Chicago Bears —
1-1
(1.1 exp.)
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
 —
2-0
(1.7 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions
0-2
(0.2 exp.)
0-2
(0.3 exp.)
 —
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
 —
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
 —

West vs. Outside Teams

Team Yanks Giants Eagles Steelers Redskins
Chicago Bears
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-0
(0.9 exp.)
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
—
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
Chicago Cardinals
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
—
Detroit Lions
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
—
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
—
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
0-1
(0.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams
—
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
0-0-1
(0.6 exp.)
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
1-0
(0.4 exp.)

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Summary Statistics

Mean scored—
Mean allowed—
StdDev scored—
StdDev allowed—
Correlation (home vs away score)—
Sample size (games)—

Actual vs. Point Differential

How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Chicago Cardinals 11 7.95 +3.05
2 Chicago Bears 10 8.56 +1.44
3 Philadelphia Eagles 9.5 8.12 +1.38
4 Washington Redskins 7 6.02 +0.98
5 Los Angeles Rams 6.5 5.98 +0.52

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Green Bay Packers 3 5.99 -2.99
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4 5.68 -1.68
3 Detroit Lions 2 3.34 -1.34
4 New York Giants 4 4.83 -0.83
5 Boston Yanks 3 3.54 -0.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chicago Cardinals 10 Oct 10 – Dec 12 1 in 81
2 Philadelphia Eagles 8 Oct 10 – Nov 28 1 in 23
3 Washington Redskins 4 Oct 24 – Nov 14 1 in 10
4 Boston Yanks 2 Oct 9 – Oct 17 1 in 7
5 Los Angeles Rams 3 Nov 28 – Dec 12 1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Green Bay Packers 7 Oct 24 – Dec 5 1 in 109
2 Detroit Lions 5 Sep 22 – Oct 24 1 in 11
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 3 Oct 17 – Oct 31 1 in 9
4 Boston Yanks 6 Oct 24 – Nov 28 1 in 5
5 Washington Redskins 3 Nov 21 – Dec 5 1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall NFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team12345
Philadelphia Eagles67.06%21.56%8.30%2.49%0.59%
Washington Redskins15.85%32.22%26.68%17.50%7.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers10.83%26.55%29.62%21.86%11.14%
New York Giants5.21%14.63%24.19%32.39%23.58%
Boston Yanks1.05%5.04%11.21%25.76%56.94%
Team12345
Chicago Bears53.53%30.25%11.87%4.01%0.34%
Chicago Cardinals33.43%37.86%19.09%8.60%1.02%
Green Bay Packers6.18%15.47%32.55%35.77%10.03%
Los Angeles Rams6.72%15.38%31.87%34.63%11.40%
Detroit Lions0.14%1.04%4.62%16.99%77.21%
Team12345678910
Chicago Bears37.97%23.36%17.53%9.54%6.16%3.04%1.61%0.65%0.12%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles25.05%29.79%16.18%13.01%6.79%5.02%2.28%1.35%0.44%0.09%
Chicago Cardinals23.72%19.08%22.01%13.55%9.48%6.19%3.46%1.78%0.60%0.13%
Washington Redskins3.39%7.74%10.32%16.08%14.52%16.17%12.14%10.26%6.29%3.09%
Green Bay Packers2.94%5.61%10.56%12.04%17.28%14.55%16.38%11.46%5.68%3.50%
Los Angeles Rams3.80%5.68%10.01%11.69%17.13%14.25%15.50%11.93%6.51%3.50%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.18%5.57%7.98%13.60%13.06%17.10%13.75%13.17%8.25%5.34%
New York Giants0.81%2.59%4.08%7.10%9.43%13.28%16.29%19.63%15.78%11.01%
Boston Yanks0.06%0.46%0.78%2.27%3.58%6.60%9.73%16.45%24.70%35.37%
Detroit Lions0.08%0.12%0.55%1.12%2.57%3.80%8.86%13.32%31.63%37.95%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles67.06%32.94%
Washington Redskins15.85%84.15%
Pittsburgh Steelers10.83%89.17%
New York Giants5.21%94.79%
Boston Yanks1.05%98.95%
Team1 SeedMissed Playoffs
Chicago Bears53.53%46.47%
Chicago Cardinals33.43%66.57%
Los Angeles Rams6.72%93.28%
Green Bay Packers6.18%93.82%
Detroit Lions0.14%99.86%

Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team Made Playoffs Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles 67.06% 35.96%
Chicago Bears 53.53% 32.07%
Chicago Cardinals 33.43% 19.28%
Washington Redskins 15.85% 4.81%
Pittsburgh Steelers 10.83% 2.88%
Los Angeles Rams 6.72% 2.69%
New York Giants 5.21% 1.18%
Green Bay Packers 6.18% 0.90%
Boston Yanks 1.05% 0.20%
Detroit Lions 0.14% 0.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston YanksChicago BearsChicago CardinalsDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersLos Angeles RamsNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesPittsburgh SteelersWashington Redskins
Boston Yanks0.09%0.05%0.02%0.04%
Chicago Bears0.44%2.28%18.25%5.12%5.98%
Chicago Cardinals0.37%1.46%10.85%2.23%4.37%
Detroit Lions0.02%0.01%
Green Bay Packers0.02%0.08%0.51%0.17%0.12%
Los Angeles Rams0.02%0.21%1.47%0.43%0.56%
New York Giants0.55%0.42%0.01%0.12%0.08%
Philadelphia Eagles17.10%11.39%0.09%4.20%3.18%
Pittsburgh Steelers1.53%0.71%0.38%0.26%
Washington Redskins2.19%1.58%0.01%0.56%0.47%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles 51.61%
Chicago Cardinals 48.39%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago CardinalsPhiladelphia Eagles
Chicago Cardinals48.39%
Philadelphia Eagles51.61%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Philadelphia Eagles 51.61% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Chicago Cardinals
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
51.61%
Chicago Cardinals 48.39% chance to win
Super Bowl
vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
48.39%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1948-09-17 Green Bay Packers L 0-31 1442.82 1540.52 44.30% 53.83% -36.64 0-1
1948-09-23 New York Giants L 7-27 1406.18 1440.36 53.40% 44.73% -35.36 0-2
1948-10-03 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 14-24 1370.82 1479.75 26.20% 71.93% -12.39 0-3
1948-10-09 @ Detroit Lions W 17-14 1358.43 1391.24 35.50% 62.63% +16.03 1-3
1948-10-17 Pittsburgh Steelers W 13-7 1374.46 1502.76 40.01% 58.13% +21.06 2-3
1948-10-24 @ Chicago Cardinals L 27-49 1395.52 1607.91 16.37% 81.77% -11.52 2-4
1948-10-31 @ Washington Redskins L 21-59 1384.00 1484.20 27.18% 70.95% -25.06 2-5
1948-11-07 Washington Redskins L 7-23 1358.94 1509.26 37.00% 61.13% -22.05 2-6
1948-11-14 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-45 1336.89 1668.76 8.96% 89.18% -9.05 2-7
1948-11-21 Chicago Bears L 17-51 1327.84 1694.80 14.44% 83.70% -12.65 2-8
1948-11-28 @ New York Giants L 14-28 1315.19 1424.27 26.18% 71.95% -14.65 2-9
1948-12-05 Philadelphia Eagles W 37-14 1300.54 1702.22 12.14% 86.00% +61.02 3-9
1948-09-26 @ Green Bay Packers W 45-7 1577.16 1577.16 39.93% 58.20% +53.07 1-0
1948-10-04 @ Chicago Cardinals W 28-17 1630.23 1579.45 47.10% 51.03% +25.07 2-0
1948-10-10 Los Angeles Rams W 42-21 1655.30 1536.72 72.99% 25.14% +17.24 3-0
1948-10-17 Detroit Lions W 28-0 1672.54 1375.20 87.42% 10.71% +8.53 4-0
1948-10-24 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 7-12 1681.07 1608.10 50.30% 47.83% -16.66 4-1
1948-10-31 New York Giants W 35-14 1664.41 1406.81 85.03% 13.11% +9.03 5-1
1948-11-07 @ Los Angeles Rams W 21-6 1673.44 1496.56 64.61% 33.52% +19.36 6-1
1948-11-14 Green Bay Packers W 7-6 1692.80 1438.21 84.83% 13.31% +2.00 7-1
1948-11-21 @ Boston Yanks W 51-17 1694.80 1327.84 83.70% 14.44% +12.65 8-1
1948-11-28 Washington Redskins W 48-13 1707.45 1529.73 78.85% 19.28% +17.11 9-1
1948-12-05 @ Detroit Lions W 42-14 1724.56 1346.34 84.48% 13.66% +10.86 10-1
1948-12-12 Chicago Cardinals L 21-24 1735.42 1689.85 64.30% 33.83% -16.46 10-2
1948-09-24 Philadelphia Eagles W 21-14 1564.76 1545.44 60.84% 37.30% +14.69 1-0
1948-10-04 Chicago Bears L 17-28 1579.45 1630.23 51.03% 47.10% -25.07 1-1
1948-10-10 @ Green Bay Packers W 17-7 1554.38 1537.05 42.35% 55.78% +26.10 2-1
1948-10-17 @ New York Giants W 63-35 1580.48 1413.25 63.37% 34.76% +27.43 3-1
1948-10-24 Boston Yanks W 49-27 1607.91 1395.52 81.77% 16.37% +11.52 4-1
1948-10-31 @ Los Angeles Rams W 27-22 1619.43 1510.77 55.38% 42.75% +14.21 5-1
1948-11-07 Detroit Lions W 56-20 1633.64 1368.71 85.50% 12.63% +11.40 6-1
1948-11-14 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 24-7 1645.04 1471.45 64.19% 33.94% +20.87 7-1
1948-11-21 Los Angeles Rams W 27-24 1665.91 1502.81 77.50% 20.63% +5.36 8-1
1948-11-25 @ Detroit Lions W 28-14 1671.27 1356.77 79.55% 18.58% +10.43 9-1
1948-12-05 Green Bay Packers W 42-7 1681.70 1353.97 88.99% 9.15% +8.15 10-1
1948-12-12 @ Chicago Bears W 24-21 1689.85 1735.42 33.83% 64.30% +16.46 11-1
1948-09-22 @ Los Angeles Rams L 7-44 1431.10 1510.55 29.61% 68.52% -26.90 0-1
1948-10-03 @ Green Bay Packers L 21-33 1404.20 1524.09 25.00% 73.13% -12.96 0-2
1948-10-09 Boston Yanks L 14-17 1391.24 1358.43 62.63% 35.50% -16.04 0-3
1948-10-17 @ Chicago Bears L 0-28 1375.20 1672.54 10.71% 87.42% -8.53 0-4
1948-10-24 Los Angeles Rams L 27-34 1366.67 1495.02 40.00% 58.13% -15.75 0-5
1948-10-31 Green Bay Packers W 24-20 1350.92 1493.98 37.98% 60.15% +17.79 1-5
1948-11-07 @ Chicago Cardinals L 20-56 1368.71 1633.64 12.63% 85.50% -11.40 1-6
1948-11-14 @ Washington Redskins L 21-46 1357.31 1531.30 19.62% 78.51% -14.71 1-7
1948-11-21 Pittsburgh Steelers W 17-14 1342.60 1450.58 42.84% 55.29% +14.17 2-7
1948-11-25 Chicago Cardinals L 14-28 1356.77 1671.27 18.58% 79.55% -10.43 2-8
1948-12-05 Chicago Bears L 14-42 1346.34 1724.56 13.66% 84.48% -10.86 2-9
1948-12-12 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 21-45 1335.48 1641.19 10.26% 87.88% -7.57 2-10
1948-09-17 @ Boston Yanks W 31-0 1540.52 1442.82 53.83% 44.30% +36.64 1-0
1948-09-26 Chicago Bears L 7-45 1577.16 1577.16 58.20% 39.93% -53.07 1-1
1948-10-03 Detroit Lions W 33-21 1524.09 1404.20 73.13% 25.00% +12.96 2-1
1948-10-10 Chicago Cardinals L 7-17 1537.05 1554.38 55.78% 42.35% -26.11 2-2
1948-10-17 Los Angeles Rams W 16-0 1510.94 1519.48 57.01% 41.12% +24.46 3-2
1948-10-24 Washington Redskins L 7-23 1535.40 1442.77 70.08% 28.06% -41.42 3-3
1948-10-31 @ Detroit Lions L 20-24 1493.98 1350.92 60.15% 37.98% -17.79 3-4
1948-11-07 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-38 1476.19 1433.47 45.95% 52.18% -37.98 3-5
1948-11-14 @ Chicago Bears L 6-7 1438.21 1692.80 13.31% 84.83% -2.00 3-6
1948-11-21 New York Giants L 3-49 1436.21 1355.43 68.68% 29.45% -68.84 3-7
1948-11-28 @ Los Angeles Rams L 10-24 1367.37 1497.45 23.91% 74.22% -13.40 3-8
1948-12-05 @ Chicago Cardinals L 7-42 1353.97 1681.70 9.15% 88.99% -8.15 3-9
1948-09-22 Detroit Lions W 44-7 1510.55 1431.10 68.52% 29.61% +26.91 1-0
1948-10-03 Philadelphia Eagles T 28-28 1537.46 1530.75 59.12% 39.01% -0.74 1-0
1948-10-10 @ Chicago Bears L 21-42 1536.72 1655.30 25.14% 72.99% -17.24 1-1
1948-10-17 @ Green Bay Packers L 0-16 1519.48 1510.94 41.12% 57.01% -24.46 1-2
1948-10-24 @ Detroit Lions W 34-27 1495.02 1366.67 58.13% 40.00% +15.75 2-2
1948-10-31 Chicago Cardinals L 22-27 1510.77 1619.43 42.75% 55.38% -14.21 2-3
1948-11-07 Chicago Bears L 6-21 1496.56 1673.44 33.52% 64.61% -19.36 2-4
1948-11-14 @ New York Giants W 52-37 1477.20 1381.04 53.61% 44.52% +25.61 3-4
1948-11-21 @ Chicago Cardinals L 24-27 1502.81 1665.91 20.63% 77.50% -5.36 3-5
1948-11-28 Green Bay Packers W 24-10 1497.45 1367.37 74.22% 23.91% +13.40 4-5
1948-12-05 @ Washington Redskins W 41-13 1510.85 1512.62 39.69% 58.44% +45.74 5-5
1948-12-12 Pittsburgh Steelers W 31-14 1556.59 1447.76 71.92% 26.21% +16.17 6-5
1948-09-23 @ Boston Yanks W 27-7 1440.36 1406.18 44.73% 53.40% +35.35 1-0
1948-10-03 @ Washington Redskins L 10-41 1475.71 1467.55 41.06% 57.07% -34.00 1-1
1948-10-10 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-45 1441.71 1531.48 28.39% 69.74% -28.46 1-2
1948-10-17 Chicago Cardinals L 35-63 1413.25 1580.48 34.76% 63.37% -27.43 1-3
1948-10-24 Pittsburgh Steelers W 34-27 1385.82 1481.70 44.56% 53.57% +20.99 2-3
1948-10-31 @ Chicago Bears L 14-35 1406.81 1664.41 13.11% 85.03% -9.03 2-4
1948-11-07 Philadelphia Eagles L 14-35 1397.78 1652.02 24.41% 73.72% -16.74 2-5
1948-11-14 Los Angeles Rams L 37-52 1381.04 1477.20 44.52% 53.61% -25.61 2-6
1948-11-21 @ Green Bay Packers W 49-3 1355.43 1436.21 29.45% 68.68% +68.84 3-6
1948-11-28 Boston Yanks W 28-14 1424.27 1315.19 71.95% 26.18% +14.65 4-6
1948-12-05 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 28-38 1438.92 1428.28 41.41% 56.72% -19.47 4-7
1948-12-12 Washington Redskins L 21-28 1419.45 1466.88 51.51% 46.62% -20.19 4-8
1948-09-24 @ Chicago Cardinals L 14-21 1545.44 1564.76 37.30% 60.84% -14.69 0-1
1948-10-03 @ Los Angeles Rams T 28-28 1530.75 1537.46 39.01% 59.12% +0.73 0-1
1948-10-10 New York Giants W 45-0 1531.48 1441.71 69.74% 28.39% +28.46 1-1
1948-10-17 @ Washington Redskins W 45-0 1559.94 1490.93 49.73% 48.40% +48.16 2-1
1948-10-24 Chicago Bears W 12-7 1608.10 1681.07 47.83% 50.30% +16.67 3-1
1948-10-31 @ Pittsburgh Steelers W 34-7 1624.77 1460.72 62.95% 35.18% +27.25 4-1
1948-11-07 @ New York Giants W 35-14 1652.02 1397.78 73.72% 24.41% +16.74 5-1
1948-11-14 Boston Yanks W 45-0 1668.76 1336.89 89.18% 8.96% +9.05 6-1
1948-11-21 Washington Redskins W 42-21 1677.81 1546.02 74.40% 23.74% +16.28 7-1
1948-11-28 Pittsburgh Steelers W 17-0 1694.09 1436.41 85.03% 13.10% +8.13 8-1
1948-12-05 @ Boston Yanks L 14-37 1702.22 1300.54 86.00% 12.14% -61.03 8-2
1948-12-12 Detroit Lions W 45-21 1641.19 1335.48 87.88% 10.26% +7.57 9-2
1948-09-26 @ Washington Redskins L 14-17 1491.29 1456.00 44.89% 53.24% -11.54 0-1
1948-10-03 Boston Yanks W 24-14 1479.75 1370.82 71.93% 26.20% +12.39 1-1
1948-10-10 Washington Redskins W 10-7 1492.14 1501.55 56.89% 41.24% +10.62 2-1
1948-10-17 @ Boston Yanks L 7-13 1502.76 1374.46 58.13% 40.01% -21.06 2-2
1948-10-24 @ New York Giants L 27-34 1481.70 1385.82 53.57% 44.56% -20.98 2-3
1948-10-31 Philadelphia Eagles L 7-34 1460.72 1624.77 35.18% 62.95% -27.25 2-4
1948-11-07 Green Bay Packers W 38-7 1433.47 1476.19 52.18% 45.95% +37.98 3-4
1948-11-14 Chicago Cardinals L 7-24 1471.45 1645.04 33.94% 64.19% -20.87 3-5
1948-11-21 @ Detroit Lions L 14-17 1450.58 1342.60 55.29% 42.84% -14.17 3-6
1948-11-28 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-17 1436.41 1694.09 13.10% 85.03% -8.13 3-7
1948-12-05 New York Giants W 38-28 1428.28 1438.92 56.72% 41.41% +19.48 4-7
1948-12-12 @ Los Angeles Rams L 14-31 1447.76 1556.59 26.21% 71.92% -16.17 4-8
1948-09-26 Pittsburgh Steelers W 17-14 1456.00 1491.29 53.24% 44.89% +11.55 1-0
1948-10-03 New York Giants W 41-10 1467.55 1475.71 57.07% 41.06% +34.00 2-0
1948-10-10 @ Pittsburgh Steelers L 7-10 1501.55 1492.14 41.24% 56.89% -10.62 2-1
1948-10-17 Philadelphia Eagles L 0-45 1490.93 1559.94 48.40% 49.73% -48.16 2-2
1948-10-24 @ Green Bay Packers W 23-7 1442.77 1535.40 28.06% 70.08% +41.43 3-2
1948-10-31 Boston Yanks W 59-21 1484.20 1384.00 70.95% 27.18% +25.06 4-2
1948-11-07 @ Boston Yanks W 23-7 1509.26 1358.94 61.13% 37.00% +22.04 5-2
1948-11-14 Detroit Lions W 46-21 1531.30 1357.31 78.51% 19.62% +14.72 6-2
1948-11-21 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 21-42 1546.02 1677.81 23.74% 74.40% -16.29 6-3
1948-11-28 @ Chicago Bears L 13-48 1529.73 1707.45 19.28% 78.85% -17.11 6-4
1948-12-05 Los Angeles Rams L 13-41 1512.62 1510.85 58.44% 39.69% -45.74 6-5
1948-12-12 @ New York Giants W 28-21 1466.88 1419.45 46.62% 51.51% +20.19 7-5

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1948-12-19 @ Philadelphia Eagles L 0-7 1706.31 1648.76 49.01% 50.99% -18.87 0-1
1948-12-19 Chicago Cardinals W 7-0 1648.76 1706.31 50.99% 49.01% +18.87 1-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1948-12-05 12.14% @ Boston Yanks 1300.54 37 Philadelphia Eagles 1702.22 14
2 1948-10-24 28.06% Washington Redskins 1442.77 23 @ Green Bay Packers 1535.40 7
3 1948-11-21 29.45% New York Giants 1355.43 49 @ Green Bay Packers 1436.21 3
4 1948-12-12 33.83% Chicago Cardinals 1689.85 24 @ Chicago Bears 1735.42 21
5 1948-10-09 35.50% Boston Yanks 1358.43 17 @ Detroit Lions 1391.24 14
6 1948-10-31 37.98% @ Detroit Lions 1350.92 24 Green Bay Packers 1493.98 20
7 1948-12-05 39.69% Los Angeles Rams 1510.85 41 @ Washington Redskins 1512.62 13
8 1948-09-26 39.93% Chicago Bears 1577.16 45 @ Green Bay Packers 1577.16 7
9 1948-10-17 40.01% @ Boston Yanks 1374.46 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 1502.76 7
10 1948-10-10 42.35% Chicago Cardinals 1554.38 17 @ Green Bay Packers 1537.05 7
11 1948-11-21 42.84% @ Detroit Lions 1342.60 17 Pittsburgh Steelers 1450.58 14
12 1948-10-24 44.56% @ New York Giants 1385.82 34 Pittsburgh Steelers 1481.70 27
13 1948-09-23 44.73% New York Giants 1440.36 27 @ Boston Yanks 1406.18 7
14 1948-12-12 46.62% Washington Redskins 1466.88 28 @ New York Giants 1419.45 21
15 1948-10-04 47.10% Chicago Bears 1630.23 28 @ Chicago Cardinals 1579.45 17
16 1948-10-24 47.83% @ Philadelphia Eagles 1608.10 12 Chicago Bears 1681.07 7

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-11-21 68.84 New York Giants 49 1355.43 29.45% @ Green Bay Packers 3 1436.21 68.68%
2 1948-12-05 61.03 @ Boston Yanks 37 1300.54 12.14% Philadelphia Eagles 14 1702.22 86.00%
3 1948-09-26 53.07 Chicago Bears 45 1577.16 39.93% @ Green Bay Packers 7 1577.16 58.20%
4 1948-10-17 48.16 Philadelphia Eagles 45 1559.94 49.73% @ Washington Redskins 0 1490.93 48.40%
5 1948-12-05 45.74 Los Angeles Rams 41 1510.85 39.69% @ Washington Redskins 13 1512.62 58.44%
6 1948-10-24 41.43 Washington Redskins 23 1442.77 28.06% @ Green Bay Packers 7 1535.40 70.08%
7 1948-11-07 37.98 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 38 1433.47 52.18% Green Bay Packers 7 1476.19 45.95%
8 1948-09-17 36.64 Green Bay Packers 31 1540.52 53.83% @ Boston Yanks 0 1442.82 44.30%
9 1948-09-23 35.36 New York Giants 27 1440.36 44.73% @ Boston Yanks 7 1406.18 53.40%
10 1948-10-03 34.00 @ Washington Redskins 41 1467.55 57.07% New York Giants 10 1475.71 41.06%
11 1948-10-10 28.46 @ Philadelphia Eagles 45 1531.48 69.74% New York Giants 0 1441.71 28.39%
12 1948-10-17 27.43 Chicago Cardinals 63 1580.48 63.37% @ New York Giants 35 1413.25 34.76%
13 1948-10-31 27.25 Philadelphia Eagles 34 1624.77 62.95% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1460.72 35.18%
14 1948-09-22 26.91 @ Los Angeles Rams 44 1510.55 68.52% Detroit Lions 7 1431.10 29.61%
15 1948-10-10 26.11 Chicago Cardinals 17 1554.38 42.35% @ Green Bay Packers 7 1537.05 55.78%
16 1948-11-14 25.61 Los Angeles Rams 52 1477.20 53.61% @ New York Giants 37 1381.04 44.52%
17 1948-10-04 25.07 Chicago Bears 28 1630.23 47.10% @ Chicago Cardinals 17 1579.45 51.03%
18 1948-10-31 25.06 @ Washington Redskins 59 1484.20 70.95% Boston Yanks 21 1384.00 27.18%
19 1948-10-17 24.46 @ Green Bay Packers 16 1510.94 57.01% Los Angeles Rams 0 1519.48 41.12%
20 1948-11-07 22.05 Washington Redskins 23 1509.26 61.13% @ Boston Yanks 7 1358.94 37.00%
21 1948-10-17 21.06 @ Boston Yanks 13 1374.46 40.01% Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1502.76 58.13%
22 1948-10-24 20.99 @ New York Giants 34 1385.82 44.56% Pittsburgh Steelers 27 1481.70 53.57%
23 1948-11-14 20.87 Chicago Cardinals 24 1645.04 64.19% @ Pittsburgh Steelers 7 1471.45 33.94%
24 1948-12-12 20.19 Washington Redskins 28 1466.88 46.62% @ New York Giants 21 1419.45 51.51%
25 1948-12-05 19.48 @ Pittsburgh Steelers 38 1428.28 56.72% New York Giants 28 1438.92 41.41%