2006 MLS Season

192 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Houston Dynamo

1st Title

Runner-Up

New England Revolution

3rd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2005

Biggest Overachiever

Houston Dynamo

6.28 points above expected

46 points · 39.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kansas City Wizards

6.15 points below expected

38 points · 44.15 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	DC United Conference	15	7	10	55	.573	52	38	+14	51.05	+3.95
2	New England Revolution Playoffs	12	8	12	48	.500	39	35	+4	47.25	+0.75
3	Chicago Fire Playoffs	13	11	8	47	.490	43	41	+2	45.56	+1.44
4	New York RB Playoffs	9	11	12	39	.406	41	41	0	44.79	-5.79
5	Kansas City Wizards	10	14	8	38	.396	43	45	-2	44.15	-6.15
6	Columbus Crew	8	15	9	33	.344	30	42	-12	39.01	-6.01

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	FC Dallas Conference	16	12	4	52	.542	48	44	+4	47.29	+4.71
2	Houston Dynamo Playoffs	11	8	13	46	.479	44	40	+4	39.72	+6.28
3	Chivas USA Playoffs	10	9	13	43	.448	45	42	+3	37.84	+5.16
4	Colorado Rapids Playoffs	11	13	8	41	.427	36	49	-13	43.65	-2.65
5	Real Salt Lake	10	13	9	39	.406	45	49	-4	35.88	+3.12
6	Los Angeles Galaxy	11	15	6	39	.406	37	37	0	44.62	-5.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Houston Dynamo	46	39.72	+6.28
2	Chivas USA	43	37.84	+5.16
3	FC Dallas	52	47.29	+4.71
4	DC United	55	51.05	+3.95
5	Real Salt Lake	39	35.88	+3.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Kansas City Wizards	38	44.15	-6.15
2	Columbus Crew	33	39.01	-6.01
3	New York RB	39	44.79	-5.79
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	39	44.62	-5.62
5	Colorado Rapids	41	43.65	-2.65

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Salt Lake	4	Jul 30 – Aug 20	1 in 200
2	DC United	6	Jun 22 – Jul 16	1 in 169
3	FC Dallas	4	Jul 9 – Jul 30	1 in 49
4	Chivas USA	3	May 28 – Jun 9	1 in 44
5	Houston Dynamo	3	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Galaxy	7	May 6 – Jun 9	1 in 2,533
2	Kansas City Wizards	7	Jun 25 – Jul 23	1 in 1,387
3	DC United	3	Oct 1 – Oct 15	1 in 76
4	FC Dallas	3	Jun 29 – Jul 4	1 in 20
5	Real Salt Lake	3	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	DC United	14	May 14 – Jul 23	1 in 172
2	Houston Dynamo	10	May 28 – Jul 23	1 in 158
3	Chicago Fire	6	Apr 9 – May 20	1 in 36
4	Chivas USA	7	Jul 16 – Aug 27	1 in 32
5	Los Angeles Galaxy	7	Jun 25 – Aug 10	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Columbus Crew	13	Jun 11 – Aug 17	1 in 219
2	Los Angeles Galaxy	10	May 6 – Jun 25	1 in 106
3	Kansas City Wizards	9	Jun 25 – Aug 10	1 in 43
4	DC United	5	Jul 23 – Aug 27	1 in 23
5	New England Revolution	7	May 21 – Jun 25	1 in 22

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

DC United 2

New York RB 0

2 games · Oct 21–Oct 29

New England Revolution 2

Chicago Fire 0

2 games · Oct 22–Oct 29

Conference Final

New England Revolution 1

DC United 0

Nov 5

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Colorado Rapids 2

FC Dallas 0

2 games · Oct 22–Oct 29

Houston Dynamo 2

Chivas USA 0

2 games · Oct 22–Oct 30

Conference Final

Houston Dynamo 3

Colorado Rapids 1

Nov 6

MLS Cup

Houston Dynamo 1

New England Revolution 1

Nov 12

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Fire	Crew	United	Wizards	Revolution	RB
Chicago Fire	—	5 (6.2 exp.)	7 (4.6 exp.)	7 (5.5 exp.)	7 (5.2 exp.)	7 (5.6 exp.)
Columbus Crew	5 (4.6 exp.)	—	1 (4.2 exp.)	0 (5.0 exp.)	4 (4.4 exp.)	4 (4.8 exp.)
DC United	4 (6.2 exp.)	10 (6.7 exp.)	—	12 (5.9 exp.)	5 (5.9 exp.)	8 (6.0 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	4 (5.4 exp.)	12 (5.9 exp.)	0 (4.9 exp.)	—	6 (5.0 exp.)	2 (5.3 exp.)
New England Revolution	4 (5.7 exp.)	7 (6.4 exp.)	5 (4.9 exp.)	3 (5.9 exp.)	—	10 (5.6 exp.)
New York RB	4 (5.2 exp.)	7 (6.1 exp.)	2 (4.8 exp.)	8 (5.5 exp.)	1 (5.2 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	USA	Rapids	Dallas	Dynamo	Galaxy	Lake
Chicago Fire	0 (3.3 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	4 (3.2 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)
Columbus Crew	1 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	6 (2.3 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)
DC United	6 (3.5 exp.)	1 (3.2 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	1 (3.4 exp.)	1 (3.8 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	4 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	0 (2.8 exp.)	1 (3.3 exp.)
New England Revolution	4 (3.4 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	2 (3.2 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	1 (3.5 exp.)
New York RB	4 (3.3 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	2 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)

Within Western

Team	USA	Rapids	Dallas	Dynamo	Galaxy	Lake
Chivas USA	—	8 (4.7 exp.)	7 (4.3 exp.)	5 (5.3 exp.)	4 (4.7 exp.)	6 (5.6 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	2 (6.1 exp.)	—	1 (5.1 exp.)	4 (5.9 exp.)	10 (5.4 exp.)	7 (6.2 exp.)
FC Dallas	4 (6.6 exp.)	10 (5.8 exp.)	—	4 (6.3 exp.)	6 (5.6 exp.)	9 (6.6 exp.)
Houston Dynamo	5 (5.5 exp.)	7 (4.9 exp.)	7 (4.5 exp.)	—	7 (5.0 exp.)	7 (5.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	7 (6.2 exp.)	1 (5.5 exp.)	6 (5.2 exp.)	4 (5.8 exp.)	—	6 (6.6 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	3 (5.2 exp.)	4 (4.6 exp.)	3 (4.3 exp.)	4 (5.1 exp.)	6 (4.3 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Fire	Crew	United	Wizards	Revolution	RB
Chivas USA	6 (2.1 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	0 (2.0 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	3 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	4 (2.2 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	1 (2.6 exp.)
FC Dallas	6 (2.7 exp.)	0 (3.2 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)
Houston Dynamo	1 (2.3 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	2 (2.2 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	1 (2.6 exp.)	1 (3.0 exp.)	4 (2.1 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	3 (2.1 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	4 (1.7 exp.)	4 (2.1 exp.)	4 (2.0 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	12.50%	2.60%	1.56%	0.78%	0.26%	23.96%
1	12.50%	17.71%	8.33%	2.60%	1.56%	0.26%	42.97%
2	2.60%	8.33%	2.60%	3.39%	—	0.78%	17.71%
3	1.56%	2.60%	3.39%	2.60%	0.52%	—	10.68%
4	0.78%	1.56%	—	0.52%	—	0.26%	3.12%
5+	0.26%	0.26%	0.78%	—	0.26%	—	1.56%
Total	23.96%	42.97%	17.71%	10.68%	3.12%	1.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.31	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.46
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
1	15.62%	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	43.75%
2	3.12%	15.62%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	31.25%
3	3.12%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	43.75%	12.50%	15.62%	3.12%	—	100%

Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.28	+0.06
SD	0.87	1.11	1.22
CV	0.64	0.87	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
1	9.38%	21.88%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
2	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
3	6.25%	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	15.62%	—	3.12%	100%

Chivas USA — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.31	+0.09
SD	1.16	1.26	1.42
CV	0.82	0.96	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	18.75%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	25.00%	9.38%	—	3.12%	12.50%	—	50.00%
2	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	3.12%	12.50%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	34.38%	12.50%	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	100%

Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.53	-0.41
SD	0.94	1.48	1.48
CV	0.84	0.97	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	34.38%
1	12.50%	21.88%	6.25%	6.25%	—	3.12%	50.00%
2	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	50.00%	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.31	-0.38
SD	0.98	1.20	1.60
CV	1.05	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
1	15.62%	25.00%	9.38%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	21.88%
3	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	25.00%	46.88%	18.75%	6.25%	—	3.12%	100%

DC United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.19	+0.44
SD	1.18	1.09	1.34
CV	0.73	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.62%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
1	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
2	3.12%	21.88%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	34.38%
3	—	—	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	50.00%	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

FC Dallas — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.38	+0.12
SD	1.14	1.18	1.56
CV	0.76	0.86	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	9.38%	28.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	43.75%
2	—	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	15.62%	56.25%	15.62%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Houston Dynamo — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.25	+0.12
SD	1.21	0.88	1.07
CV	0.88	0.70	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
1	12.50%	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	43.75%
2	—	6.25%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	40.62%	21.88%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Wizards — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.41	-0.06
SD	1.12	1.01	1.44
CV	0.84	0.72	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	21.88%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	37.50%
1	6.25%	9.38%	18.75%	—	—	—	34.38%
2	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
3	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	28.12%	37.50%	28.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.16	+0.00
SD	1.35	0.99	1.63
CV	1.16	0.85	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	9.38%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	25.00%
1	15.62%	25.00%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	46.88%
2	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
3	—	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	46.88%	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	—	100%

New England Revolution — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.09	+0.12
SD	1.07	1.09	1.50
CV	0.88	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	28.12%
1	12.50%	18.75%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	43.75%
2	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
3	—	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
Total	31.25%	31.25%	25.00%	3.12%	9.38%	—	100%

New York RB — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.28	+0.00
SD	1.40	1.22	1.52
CV	1.09	0.96	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	28.12%
1	3.12%	12.50%	15.62%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	—	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
3	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	46.88%	25.00%	12.50%	—	3.12%	100%

Real Salt Lake — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.53	-0.12
SD	1.21	1.19	1.74
CV	0.86	0.78	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.56	+8.2
Allowed	0.12	-5.2
Differential	0.65	+7.1

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
DC United	Eastern	1560	55	51.05	+3.95	73.49%	20	39	46	51	56	63	80
New England Revolution	Eastern	1543	48	47.25	+0.75	57.18%	17	36	42	47	52	59	79
Chicago Fire	Eastern	1524	47	45.56	+1.44	61.04%	17	34	41	46	50	57	75
FC Dallas	Western	1516	52	47.29	+4.71	77.22%	18	36	43	47	52	59	78
Los Angeles Galaxy	Western	1515	39	44.62	-5.62	23.44%	16	33	40	45	49	56	77
New York RB	Eastern	1514	39	44.79	-5.79	22.59%	16	33	40	45	50	56	75
Kansas City Wizards	Eastern	1504	38	44.15	-6.15	21.17%	16	33	39	44	49	56	76
Colorado Rapids	Western	1472	41	43.65	-2.65	38.47%	16	32	39	44	48	55	76
Columbus Crew	Eastern	1472	33	39.01	-6.01	21.43%	14	28	34	39	44	50	70
Houston Dynamo	Western	1471	46	39.72	+6.28	83.47%	10	28	35	40	44	51	69
Chivas USA	Western	1459	43	37.84	+5.16	79.77%	11	27	33	38	42	49	73
Real Salt Lake	Western	1449	39	35.88	+3.12	70.67%	11	25	31	36	40	47	69

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
DC United	39.95%	23.26%	15.62%	10.74%	7.01%	3.43%
New England Revolution	20.13%	21.36%	19.62%	16.78%	13.43%	8.68%
Chicago Fire	14.38%	17.98%	18.89%	18.98%	17.30%	12.47%
New York RB	11.98%	16.58%	18.37%	19.24%	19.06%	14.76%
Kansas City Wizards	10.68%	14.91%	17.71%	19.51%	20.06%	17.13%
Columbus Crew	2.88%	5.91%	9.80%	14.75%	23.14%	43.53%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
FC Dallas	38.61%	24.46%	16.69%	10.76%	6.42%	3.06%
Los Angeles Galaxy	24.06%	23.80%	19.81%	15.16%	10.92%	6.25%
Colorado Rapids	20.03%	21.93%	20.56%	17.10%	12.66%	7.72%
Houston Dynamo	8.64%	13.46%	17.56%	20.71%	20.95%	18.67%
Chivas USA	5.41%	9.74%	14.38%	19.57%	24.52%	26.38%
Real Salt Lake	3.26%	6.60%	10.99%	16.71%	24.53%	37.91%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
DC United	30.02%	18.13%	13.04%	10.07%	7.94%	6.14%	4.81%	3.73%	2.65%	1.81%	1.16%	0.49%
New England Revolution	13.97%	13.61%	12.40%	11.23%	10.30%	9.07%	7.98%	6.75%	5.51%	4.31%	3.14%	1.72%
FC Dallas	13.31%	13.80%	12.67%	11.66%	10.20%	9.03%	7.84%	6.69%	5.59%	4.33%	3.12%	1.76%
Chicago Fire	9.72%	10.64%	10.93%	10.42%	10.38%	9.85%	9.03%	8.22%	7.22%	6.05%	4.69%	2.84%
New York RB	7.98%	9.49%	10.03%	10.14%	10.19%	9.74%	9.58%	8.87%	8.03%	6.89%	5.58%	3.46%
Los Angeles Galaxy	7.28%	9.14%	9.95%	10.29%	10.09%	9.96%	9.50%	8.86%	8.06%	7.10%	5.74%	4.04%
Kansas City Wizards	6.92%	8.54%	9.20%	9.67%	9.75%	10.01%	9.69%	9.36%	8.61%	7.84%	6.26%	4.13%
Colorado Rapids	5.68%	7.67%	8.78%	9.37%	9.69%	9.85%	9.83%	9.65%	9.24%	8.24%	6.93%	5.08%
Houston Dynamo	1.88%	3.28%	4.36%	5.67%	6.86%	7.89%	9.11%	10.32%	11.44%	12.54%	13.30%	13.37%
Columbus Crew	1.69%	2.65%	3.89%	4.91%	6.11%	7.34%	8.60%	10.12%	11.69%	13.34%	14.80%	14.87%
Chivas USA	1.06%	1.93%	2.95%	3.99%	4.91%	6.45%	7.89%	9.36%	11.49%	13.82%	16.80%	19.35%
Real Salt Lake	0.49%	1.12%	1.82%	2.57%	3.57%	4.67%	6.15%	8.06%	10.46%	13.73%	18.48%	28.88%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
DC United	39.95%	23.26%	15.62%	10.74%	10.44%
New England Revolution	20.13%	21.36%	19.62%	16.78%	22.11%
Chicago Fire	14.38%	17.98%	18.89%	18.98%	29.78%
New York RB	11.98%	16.58%	18.37%	19.24%	33.82%
Kansas City Wizards	10.68%	14.91%	17.71%	19.51%	37.19%
Columbus Crew	2.88%	5.91%	9.80%	14.75%	66.66%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
FC Dallas	38.61%	24.46%	16.69%	10.76%	9.48%
Los Angeles Galaxy	24.06%	23.80%	19.81%	15.16%	17.18%
Colorado Rapids	20.03%	21.93%	20.56%	17.10%	20.38%
Houston Dynamo	8.64%	13.46%	17.56%	20.71%	39.62%
Chivas USA	5.41%	9.74%	14.38%	19.57%	50.91%
Real Salt Lake	3.26%	6.60%	10.99%	16.71%	62.44%

Points Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+25.00%

Fortress

47.92%29.17%22.92%

Elo Value

Home Edge

275 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

088.74800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.43 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.0

Wide Open

124812

Champion Preseason Odds

Houston Dynamo, 9th of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

9.8%

Tough Road

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 5.57 · As Expected: 5.57 to 7.65 · Elevated: 7.65 to 10.43 · High Variance: 10.43 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.24 · Close: 2.24 to 3.04 · Off Target: 3.04 to 3.96 · Well Off Target: 3.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.35 · As Expected: 1.35 to 2.25 · More Than Expected: 2.25 to 3.61 · Far More Than Expected: 3.61 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.67 points

Subdued

06.9617

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.17

Pinpoint

02.646

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

83.47%

Houston Dynamo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

21.17%

Kansas City Wizards

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 8

As Expected

01.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.08

Highly Balanced

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.75

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

57%

Even

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

65%

Clear Edge

50%67%100%

Close Games

Expected

79%

Nail-Biters

0%69%100%

Blowouts

Expected 9%

10%

Occasional

0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.45

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.32

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Chalk Held

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.11 · Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.23 · Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.47

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.32

Overconfident

0.1197621.001.88024

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.062

Within Noise

00.1140.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup
DC United	89.56%	50.74%	29.32%	18.60%
FC Dallas	90.52%	50.73%	29.10%	13.63%
New England Revolution	77.89%	41.46%	21.54%	12.78%
Los Angeles Galaxy	82.83%	45.84%	24.88%	11.13%
Chicago Fire	70.22%	34.57%	16.59%	9.35%
New York RB	66.18%	31.17%	14.48%	8.05%
Colorado Rapids	79.62%	37.30%	17.74%	7.06%
Kansas City Wizards	62.81%	28.64%	12.92%	7.02%
Houston Dynamo	60.38%	27.93%	12.52%	4.64%
Chivas USA	49.09%	22.06%	9.34%	3.21%
Columbus Crew	33.34%	13.42%	5.15%	2.41%
Real Salt Lake	37.56%	16.13%	6.43%	2.11%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire		59.1%5.69%	44.1%20.28%	53.1%12.66%	46.8%17.85%	52.3%13.74%
Columbus Crew	40.9%5.69%		36.9%10.52%	45.9%4.59%	38.4%7.35%	43.9%5.18%
DC United	55.9%20.28%	63.1%10.52%		58.6%18.62%	52.6%20.80%	56.4%19.33%
Kansas City Wizards	46.9%12.66%	54.1%4.59%	41.4%18.62%		44.3%15.45%	49.3%11.48%
New England Revolution	53.2%17.85%	61.6%7.35%	47.4%20.80%	55.7%15.45%		54.6%16.44%
New York RB	47.7%13.74%	56.1%5.18%	43.6%19.33%	50.7%11.48%	45.4%16.44%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake
Chivas USA		49.1%11.51%	41.3%15.26%	47.8%6.44%	42.3%12.68%	51.9%3.20%
Colorado Rapids	50.9%11.51%		43.3%22.50%	50.8%14.64%	43.4%22.55%	53.3%8.42%
FC Dallas	58.7%15.26%	56.7%22.50%		57.0%18.68%	50.5%22.01%	60.2%12.08%
Houston Dynamo	52.2%6.44%	49.2%14.64%	43.0%18.68%		43.0%16.18%	53.4%4.45%
Los Angeles Galaxy	57.7%12.68%	56.6%22.55%	49.5%22.01%	57.0%16.18%		59.9%9.41%
Real Salt Lake	48.1%3.20%	46.7%8.42%	39.8%12.08%	46.6%4.45%	40.1%9.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire		59.9%2.43%	43.0%11.76%	51.5%5.52%	46.8%8.74%	51.4%6.12%
Columbus Crew	40.1%2.43%		33.7%4.03%	44.4%1.88%	37.0%2.98%	42.1%2.10%
DC United	57.0%11.76%	66.3%4.03%		59.6%9.33%	54.2%15.22%	58.9%10.40%
Kansas City Wizards	48.5%5.52%	55.6%1.88%	40.4%9.33%		43.9%6.94%	48.0%4.97%
New England Revolution	53.2%8.74%	63.0%2.98%	45.8%15.22%	56.1%6.94%		54.8%7.58%
New York RB	48.6%6.12%	57.9%2.10%	41.1%10.40%	52.0%4.97%	45.2%7.58%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake
Chivas USA		44.3%4.57%	37.9%6.83%	50.5%3.12%	39.0%5.90%	51.7%1.64%
Colorado Rapids	55.7%4.57%		42.2%12.91%	52.5%5.88%	44.8%10.76%	57.7%3.18%
FC Dallas	62.1%6.83%	57.8%12.91%		60.0%8.97%	51.6%17.14%	64.7%4.89%
Houston Dynamo	49.5%3.12%	47.5%5.88%	40.0%8.97%		43.3%7.79%	56.2%2.17%
Los Angeles Galaxy	61.0%5.90%	55.2%10.76%	48.4%17.14%	56.7%7.79%		62.0%4.25%
Real Salt Lake	48.3%1.64%	42.3%3.18%	35.3%4.89%	43.8%2.17%	38.0%4.25%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire	64.1%1.57%	59.0%2.91%	51.4%4.79%	59.6%2.10%	52.8%4.12%	66.5%1.10%
Columbus Crew	57.7%0.52%	47.7%0.91%	41.5%1.51%	54.2%0.63%	42.9%1.27%	53.5%0.32%
DC United	68.8%2.75%	65.2%5.18%	59.3%8.45%	68.1%3.67%	61.0%7.39%	70.1%1.87%
Kansas City Wizards	63.8%1.22%	56.2%2.34%	47.9%3.74%	59.7%1.61%	51.3%3.21%	66.4%0.81%
New England Revolution	66.3%1.96%	61.1%3.76%	54.3%6.40%	64.3%2.69%	56.5%5.34%	68.9%1.40%
New York RB	64.5%1.32%	58.2%2.64%	50.2%4.22%	60.0%1.82%	52.4%3.54%	64.2%0.93%
Chivas USA							35.9%1.57%	42.3%0.52%	31.2%2.75%	36.2%1.22%	33.7%1.96%	35.5%1.32%
Colorado Rapids							41.0%2.91%	52.3%0.91%	34.8%5.18%	43.8%2.34%	38.9%3.76%	41.8%2.64%
FC Dallas							48.6%4.79%	58.5%1.51%	40.7%8.45%	52.1%3.74%	45.7%6.40%	49.8%4.22%
Houston Dynamo							40.4%2.10%	45.8%0.63%	31.9%3.67%	40.3%1.61%	35.7%2.69%	40.0%1.82%
Los Angeles Galaxy							47.2%4.12%	57.1%1.27%	39.0%7.39%	48.7%3.21%	43.5%5.34%	47.6%3.54%
Real Salt Lake							33.5%1.10%	46.5%0.32%	29.9%1.87%	33.6%0.81%	31.1%1.40%	35.8%0.93%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup	Actual Outcome
DC United	57.24%	36.88%	25.60%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
FC Dallas	56.62%	38.00%	19.03%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New England Revolution	53.09%	25.81%	15.25%	Eliminated in MLS Cup
Chicago Fire	46.91%	21.99%	12.54%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Houston Dynamo	51.89%	23.64%	8.14%	Won MLS Cup
Chivas USA	48.11%	21.39%	7.17%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New York RB	42.76%	15.32%	6.36%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Colorado Rapids	43.38%	16.96%	5.91%	Eliminated in Conference Finals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	DC United	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire			46.9%100.00%
DC United				57.2%100.00%
New England Revolution	53.1%100.00%
New York RB		42.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo
Chivas USA				48.1%100.00%
Colorado Rapids			43.4%100.00%
FC Dallas		56.6%100.00%
Houston Dynamo	51.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	DC United	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire		34.6%26.87%		63.4%20.04%
DC United	65.4%26.87%		63.6%30.37%
New England Revolution		36.4%30.37%		64.9%22.72%
New York RB	36.6%20.04%		35.1%22.72%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo
Chivas USA		60.3%20.86%	32.4%27.25%
Colorado Rapids	39.7%20.86%			38.5%22.52%
FC Dallas	67.6%27.25%			66.6%29.38%
Houston Dynamo		61.5%22.52%	33.4%29.38%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Chicago Fire	DC United	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire	68.5%4.63%	66.3%3.73%	40.0%8.32%	67.1%5.31%
DC United	71.5%8.00%	70.7%6.28%	66.6%13.98%	71.1%8.63%
New England Revolution	70.5%5.51%	68.9%4.36%	42.1%9.88%	69.4%6.07%
New York RB	44.7%3.26%	43.9%2.59%	37.4%5.83%	43.6%3.62%
Chivas USA					31.5%4.63%	28.5%8.00%	29.5%5.51%	55.3%3.26%
Colorado Rapids					33.7%3.73%	29.3%6.28%	31.1%4.36%	56.1%2.59%
FC Dallas					60.0%8.32%	33.4%13.98%	57.9%9.88%	62.6%5.83%
Houston Dynamo					32.9%5.31%	28.9%8.63%	30.6%6.07%	56.4%3.62%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

DC United 25.60% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. New York RB

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.24%

→

Conference Finals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

52.33%

Win Prob

63.55%

→

MLS Cup

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

36.36%

Win Prob

66.62%

FC Dallas 19.03% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.62%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

51.51%

Win Prob

66.63%

→

MLS Cup

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

30.05%

Win Prob

57.90%

New England Revolution 15.25% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Chicago Fire

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.09%

→

Conference Finals

vs. New York RB

Matchup

57.12%

Win Prob

64.88%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

27.60%

Win Prob

69.37%

Chicago Fire 12.54% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.91%

→

Conference Finals

vs. New York RB

Matchup

57.74%

Win Prob

63.37%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

28.42%

Win Prob

67.14%

Houston Dynamo 8.14% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Chivas USA

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.89%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

58.53%

Win Prob

61.46%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

30.64%

Win Prob

28.89%

Chivas USA 7.17% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.11%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

58.80%

Win Prob

60.29%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

31.83%

Win Prob

28.53%

New York RB 6.36% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. DC United

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.76%

→

Conference Finals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

52.09%

Win Prob

35.12%

→

MLS Cup

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

34.27%

Win Prob

37.36%

Colorado Rapids 5.91% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.38%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

51.16%

Win Prob

38.54%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

31.12%

Win Prob

29.29%

Filter by Team:

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2006-04-01	@ FC Dallas	L 2-3	1524.01	1512.51	24.96%	29.62%	45.42%	-2.86	0
2006-04-09	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1521.15	1522.34	23.69%	29.17%	47.14%	+0.54	1
2006-04-15	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1521.69	1482.69	28.01%	30.37%	41.62%	+0.30	2
2006-04-30	@ New England Revolution	W 2-1	1521.99	1545.20	21.67%	28.26%	50.08%	+5.06	5
2006-05-07	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1527.05	1534.55	23.09%	28.92%	47.99%	+0.57	6
2006-05-14	@ New York RB	T 1-1	1527.62	1513.58	25.23%	29.70%	45.07%	+0.45	7
2006-05-20	@ Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1528.07	1461.76	31.43%	30.81%	37.75%	+4.36	10
2006-05-28	@ Chivas USA	L 0-1	1532.43	1424.41	37.30%	30.84%	31.85%	-4.32	10
2006-06-04	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-3	1528.11	1430.72	35.78%	30.91%	33.31%	-6.86	10
2006-06-12	New England Revolution	T 3-3	1521.25	1537.49	44.77%	29.77%	25.46%	-0.27	11
2006-06-18	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1520.98	1523.54	23.56%	29.12%	47.33%	-2.72	11
2006-06-22	@ DC United	L 0-1	1518.26	1571.47	19.25%	26.79%	53.96%	-2.51	11
2006-06-26	New York RB	W 2-0	1515.75	1512.71	47.39%	29.10%	23.51%	+5.73	14
2006-06-29	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1521.48	1432.65	58.41%	24.77%	16.82%	+2.04	17
2006-07-05	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1523.52	1509.08	48.91%	28.64%	22.44%	+2.92	20
2006-07-09	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1526.44	1539.77	45.17%	29.68%	25.15%	-4.69	20
2006-07-15	FC Dallas	L 2-3	1521.75	1520.83	47.10%	29.18%	23.72%	-4.59	20
2006-07-23	DC United	T 1-1	1517.16	1590.66	36.73%	30.87%	32.40%	-0.09	21
2006-07-30	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1517.07	1462.99	54.07%	26.74%	19.19%	-0.92	22
2006-08-13	Chivas USA	L 1-2	1516.15	1455.87	54.86%	26.41%	18.74%	-5.43	22
2006-08-17	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-0	1510.72	1505.51	47.68%	29.01%	23.30%	+8.26	25
2006-08-20	@ New England Revolution	W 1-0	1518.98	1533.89	22.40%	28.62%	48.98%	+5.28	28
2006-08-27	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1524.26	1488.66	51.70%	27.68%	20.62%	+2.69	31
2006-08-31	Houston Dynamo	T 2-2	1526.95	1463.01	55.32%	26.20%	18.47%	-0.65	32
2006-09-04	New York RB	W 2-1	1526.30	1522.94	47.43%	29.09%	23.48%	+2.86	35
2006-09-09	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1529.16	1461.72	31.59%	30.82%	37.59%	+4.10	38
2006-09-14	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1533.26	1475.21	30.36%	30.71%	38.93%	-3.73	38
2006-09-17	DC United	W 1-0	1529.53	1575.89	40.58%	30.52%	28.89%	+3.60	41
2006-09-24	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1533.13	1506.19	50.56%	28.09%	21.35%	+2.62	44
2006-10-01	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1535.75	1507.76	26.74%	30.11%	43.15%	-3.39	44
2006-10-08	Columbus Crew	L 1-4	1532.36	1461.06	56.24%	25.79%	17.97%	-13.53	44
2006-10-15	@ DC United	W 3-2	1518.83	1564.91	19.79%	27.16%	53.05%	+5.02	47
2006-04-03	Real Salt Lake	W 3-0	1428.72	1430.81	46.70%	29.29%	24.01%	+8.48	3
2006-04-08	@ DC United	L 0-2	1437.20	1535.44	16.24%	24.20%	59.56%	-3.93	3
2006-04-16	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1433.27	1521.80	34.57%	30.93%	34.51%	-3.86	3
2006-04-30	New York RB	T 0-0	1429.41	1513.54	35.20%	30.92%	33.88%	-0.04	4
2006-05-14	@ New England Revolution	L 1-3	1429.37	1550.48	14.94%	22.78%	62.29%	-3.07	4
2006-05-21	@ New York RB	L 4-5	1426.30	1513.13	16.95%	24.89%	58.17%	-1.89	4
2006-05-28	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1424.41	1532.43	31.85%	30.84%	37.30%	+4.33	7
2006-06-04	Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1428.74	1509.06	35.75%	30.91%	33.34%	+9.23	10
2006-06-09	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1437.97	1482.35	19.92%	27.24%	52.83%	+5.27	13
2006-06-11	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1443.24	1531.96	16.83%	24.78%	58.40%	-2.04	13
2006-06-19	Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1441.20	1484.35	41.03%	30.46%	28.51%	+6.72	16
2006-06-22	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1447.92	1502.25	19.17%	26.73%	54.10%	+0.82	17
2006-06-25	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1448.74	1477.46	21.19%	28.01%	50.80%	+0.69	18
2006-06-29	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1449.43	1465.62	44.78%	29.77%	25.46%	-0.44	19
2006-07-02	FC Dallas	W 3-0	1448.99	1533.66	35.12%	30.92%	33.96%	+11.09	22
2006-07-05	@ Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1460.08	1430.61	26.91%	30.15%	42.94%	+0.40	23
2006-07-08	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-3	1460.48	1465.60	23.31%	29.02%	47.67%	-4.92	23
2006-07-16	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1455.56	1492.41	41.92%	30.33%	27.76%	-0.35	24
2006-07-21	@ Colorado Rapids	T 3-3	1455.21	1501.87	19.75%	27.13%	53.12%	+0.48	25
2006-07-27	@ Real Salt Lake	T 3-3	1455.69	1431.74	26.29%	30.00%	43.71%	+0.24	26
2006-08-07	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1455.93	1534.67	35.98%	30.90%	33.12%	-0.06	27
2006-08-13	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1455.87	1516.15	18.74%	26.41%	54.86%	+5.43	30
2006-08-20	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1461.30	1497.26	42.04%	30.30%	27.65%	-0.32	31
2006-08-27	Houston Dynamo	W 3-2	1460.98	1465.80	46.33%	29.39%	24.28%	+2.80	34
2006-09-04	DC United	L 1-2	1463.78	1573.23	31.66%	30.83%	37.51%	-3.64	34
2006-09-10	FC Dallas	T 1-1	1460.14	1533.39	36.76%	30.87%	32.37%	-0.09	35
2006-09-14	@ FC Dallas	W 1-0	1460.05	1533.48	17.82%	25.67%	56.51%	+5.88	38
2006-09-18	@ Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1465.93	1466.63	23.74%	29.19%	47.07%	+0.60	39
2006-09-24	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1466.53	1479.71	45.19%	29.67%	25.14%	+3.22	42
2006-10-01	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-3	1469.75	1503.57	20.77%	27.77%	51.46%	-7.42	42
2006-10-08	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 1-2	1462.33	1504.71	20.08%	27.35%	52.57%	-2.47	42
2006-10-16	Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1459.86	1448.06	48.56%	28.75%	22.69%	-0.60	43
2006-04-03	@ Houston Dynamo	L 2-5	1509.68	1450.00	30.57%	30.74%	38.70%	-7.51	0
2006-04-09	Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1502.17	1487.44	48.95%	28.63%	22.42%	+4.76	3
2006-04-16	FC Dallas	T 2-2	1506.93	1517.38	45.56%	29.58%	24.86%	-0.35	4
2006-04-30	Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1506.58	1451.88	54.15%	26.71%	19.14%	-5.70	4
2006-05-07	DC United	W 2-1	1500.88	1554.14	39.61%	30.64%	29.75%	+3.47	7
2006-05-14	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1504.35	1487.65	25.51%	29.78%	44.71%	-3.26	7
2006-05-21	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1501.09	1493.45	24.57%	29.49%	45.95%	+5.03	10
2006-05-27	@ Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1506.12	1430.79	32.65%	30.89%	36.46%	+0.07	11
2006-06-01	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1506.19	1488.42	49.36%	28.50%	22.15%	+2.87	14
2006-06-04	@ Chivas USA	L 1-4	1509.06	1428.74	33.34%	30.91%	35.75%	-9.23	14
2006-06-10	Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1499.83	1437.58	55.11%	26.30%	18.59%	+2.42	17
2006-06-22	Chivas USA	T 1-1	1502.25	1447.92	54.10%	26.73%	19.17%	-0.82	18
2006-06-25	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1501.43	1534.01	20.87%	27.83%	51.30%	-2.72	18
2006-07-05	New England Revolution	W 3-2	1498.71	1542.97	40.88%	30.48%	28.64%	+3.19	21
2006-07-09	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1501.90	1506.17	46.40%	29.37%	24.23%	+3.12	24
2006-07-14	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1505.02	1497.78	24.53%	29.47%	46.00%	-3.15	24
2006-07-21	Chivas USA	T 3-3	1501.87	1455.21	53.12%	27.13%	19.75%	-0.49	25
2006-07-27	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1501.38	1475.23	50.46%	28.13%	21.41%	+2.79	28
2006-07-30	@ FC Dallas	L 1-4	1504.17	1529.51	21.48%	28.16%	50.35%	-6.46	28
2006-08-10	Real Salt Lake	L 1-4	1497.71	1436.14	55.02%	26.33%	18.64%	-13.32	28
2006-08-13	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1484.39	1498.01	45.13%	29.69%	25.18%	+3.23	31
2006-08-19	@ DC United	T 1-1	1487.62	1586.23	16.22%	24.18%	59.60%	+1.04	32
2006-08-27	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1488.66	1524.26	20.62%	27.68%	51.70%	-2.69	32
2006-08-31	FC Dallas	L 0-2	1485.97	1522.13	42.01%	30.31%	27.68%	-8.88	32
2006-09-03	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1477.09	1450.16	26.62%	30.08%	43.30%	+4.81	35
2006-09-10	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 1-4	1481.90	1497.86	22.31%	28.58%	49.12%	-6.69	35
2006-09-14	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1475.21	1533.26	38.93%	30.71%	30.36%	+3.74	38
2006-09-17	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1478.95	1506.96	21.25%	28.04%	50.71%	+0.76	39
2006-09-24	@ Chivas USA	L 0-1	1479.71	1466.53	25.14%	29.67%	45.19%	-3.22	39
2006-10-01	@ New England Revolution	L 1-3	1476.49	1531.72	19.10%	26.68%	54.22%	-4.06	39
2006-10-08	New York RB	T 1-1	1472.43	1511.14	41.66%	30.37%	27.98%	-0.31	40
2006-10-15	@ Houston Dynamo	T 3-3	1472.12	1471.22	23.90%	29.25%	46.86%	+0.33	41
2006-04-02	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 1-3	1491.94	1521.08	21.16%	27.99%	50.85%	-4.50	0
2006-04-09	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-3	1487.44	1502.17	22.42%	28.63%	48.95%	-4.75	0
2006-04-15	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1482.69	1521.69	41.62%	30.37%	28.01%	-0.31	1
2006-04-23	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1482.38	1525.67	20.01%	27.30%	52.69%	+5.59	4
2006-04-30	Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1487.97	1529.90	41.20%	30.44%	28.36%	-4.65	4
2006-05-07	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1483.32	1414.29	31.80%	30.84%	37.36%	+4.33	7
2006-05-14	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1487.65	1504.35	44.71%	29.78%	25.51%	+3.26	10
2006-05-21	DC United	T 1-1	1490.91	1553.39	38.30%	30.77%	30.93%	-0.16	11
2006-06-01	@ DC United	L 1-5	1490.75	1561.43	18.01%	25.83%	56.17%	-6.97	11
2006-06-04	@ FC Dallas	W 2-1	1483.78	1537.32	19.23%	26.77%	54.00%	+5.36	14
2006-06-11	Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1489.14	1518.75	42.92%	30.15%	26.93%	-4.79	14
2006-06-19	@ Chivas USA	L 0-2	1484.35	1441.20	28.51%	30.46%	41.03%	-6.72	14
2006-06-22	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1477.63	1537.42	38.68%	30.74%	30.58%	-0.17	15
2006-06-25	Chivas USA	T 1-1	1477.46	1448.74	50.80%	28.01%	21.19%	-0.69	16
2006-06-29	@ New York RB	T 0-0	1476.77	1506.98	21.07%	27.94%	50.99%	+0.78	17
2006-07-05	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1477.55	1466.06	24.96%	29.62%	45.42%	+0.46	18
2006-07-09	DC United	L 0-1	1478.01	1585.05	31.99%	30.85%	37.16%	-3.88	18
2006-07-16	@ DC United	L 2-3	1474.13	1588.93	15.28%	23.18%	61.54%	-1.73	18
2006-07-20	New York RB	L 0-2	1472.40	1500.93	43.07%	30.12%	26.80%	-9.05	18
2006-07-22	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1463.35	1492.76	42.95%	30.14%	26.90%	-0.36	19
2006-07-30	@ Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1462.99	1517.07	19.19%	26.74%	54.07%	+0.92	20
2006-08-13	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-4	1463.91	1495.75	20.93%	27.86%	51.21%	-9.77	20
2006-08-17	Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1454.14	1449.45	47.61%	29.03%	23.35%	-4.87	20
2006-08-20	New York RB	W 1-0	1449.27	1513.11	38.11%	30.79%	31.11%	+3.80	23
2006-08-28	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1453.07	1528.61	17.68%	25.55%	56.77%	-2.29	23
2006-09-03	New England Revolution	W 3-0	1450.78	1530.90	35.78%	30.91%	33.31%	+10.94	26
2006-09-09	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1461.72	1529.16	37.59%	30.82%	31.59%	-4.10	26
2006-09-17	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1457.62	1517.00	18.80%	26.45%	54.74%	-2.45	26
2006-09-24	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1455.17	1466.03	45.51%	29.59%	24.90%	-0.46	27
2006-10-01	FC Dallas	W 3-1	1454.71	1526.19	37.01%	30.86%	32.13%	+6.35	30
2006-10-08	@ Chicago Fire	W 4-1	1461.06	1532.36	17.97%	25.79%	56.24%	+13.54	33
2006-10-15	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1474.60	1540.96	18.31%	26.07%	55.62%	-2.38	33
2006-04-02	New York RB	T 2-2	1535.88	1524.99	48.44%	28.79%	22.77%	-0.44	1
2006-04-08	Chivas USA	W 2-0	1535.44	1437.20	59.56%	24.20%	16.24%	+3.93	4
2006-04-16	Houston Dynamo	W 2-0	1539.37	1453.42	58.06%	24.94%	17.00%	+4.14	7
2006-04-22	@ New York RB	W 4-1	1543.51	1524.89	25.71%	29.84%	44.44%	+11.34	10
2006-04-30	FC Dallas	T 1-1	1554.85	1520.79	51.50%	27.75%	20.75%	-0.71	11
2006-05-07	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1554.14	1500.88	29.75%	30.64%	39.61%	-3.47	11
2006-05-14	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1550.67	1533.98	49.21%	28.54%	22.24%	+2.72	14
2006-05-21	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1553.39	1490.91	30.93%	30.77%	38.30%	+0.16	15
2006-05-28	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 3-1	1553.55	1527.21	26.56%	30.06%	43.38%	+7.88	18
2006-06-01	Columbus Crew	W 5-1	1561.43	1490.75	56.17%	25.83%	18.01%	+6.97	21
2006-06-04	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1568.40	1540.25	50.72%	28.03%	21.24%	+2.77	24
2006-06-12	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1571.17	1477.08	35.31%	30.92%	33.77%	-0.03	25
2006-06-17	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1571.14	1537.76	27.36%	30.24%	42.40%	+0.33	26
2006-06-22	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1571.47	1518.26	53.96%	26.79%	19.25%	+2.51	29
2006-06-25	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1573.98	1526.26	53.26%	27.07%	19.67%	+2.57	32
2006-06-29	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 3-2	1576.55	1523.70	29.70%	30.64%	39.67%	+4.04	35
2006-07-04	@ FC Dallas	W 1-0	1580.59	1522.57	30.35%	30.71%	38.93%	+4.46	38
2006-07-09	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1585.05	1478.01	37.16%	30.85%	31.99%	+3.88	41
2006-07-16	Columbus Crew	W 3-2	1588.93	1474.13	61.54%	23.18%	15.28%	+1.73	44
2006-07-23	@ Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1590.66	1517.16	32.40%	30.87%	36.73%	+0.10	45
2006-07-30	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1590.76	1431.50	44.50%	29.83%	25.67%	-4.64	45
2006-08-17	@ New York RB	T 0-0	1586.12	1513.22	32.32%	30.87%	36.81%	+0.11	46
2006-08-19	Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1586.23	1487.62	59.60%	24.18%	16.22%	-1.04	47
2006-08-27	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-5	1585.19	1501.37	57.79%	25.07%	17.14%	-11.96	47
2006-09-04	@ Chivas USA	W 2-1	1573.23	1463.78	37.51%	30.83%	31.66%	+3.63	50
2006-09-10	Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1576.86	1445.34	63.50%	22.12%	14.38%	-1.19	51
2006-09-14	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1575.67	1523.03	29.67%	30.63%	39.70%	+0.22	52
2006-09-17	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1575.89	1529.53	28.89%	30.52%	40.58%	-3.60	52
2006-09-24	New York RB	W 4-3	1572.29	1509.87	55.13%	26.29%	18.58%	+2.11	55
2006-10-01	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1574.40	1466.50	37.29%	30.84%	31.87%	-4.32	55
2006-10-08	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1570.08	1535.78	51.53%	27.74%	20.73%	-5.17	55
2006-10-15	Chicago Fire	L 2-3	1564.91	1518.83	53.05%	27.16%	19.79%	-5.02	55
2006-04-01	Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1512.51	1524.01	45.42%	29.62%	24.96%	+2.86	3
2006-04-09	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1515.37	1422.33	58.92%	24.52%	16.56%	+2.01	6
2006-04-16	@ Colorado Rapids	T 2-2	1517.38	1506.93	24.86%	29.58%	45.56%	+0.35	7
2006-04-23	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1517.73	1532.96	44.91%	29.74%	25.35%	+3.06	10
2006-04-30	@ DC United	T 1-1	1520.79	1554.85	20.75%	27.75%	51.50%	+0.71	11
2006-05-07	@ Houston Dynamo	L 3-4	1521.50	1457.58	31.12%	30.79%	38.09%	-3.32	11
2006-05-11	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1518.18	1513.26	47.64%	29.03%	23.33%	+3.02	14
2006-05-13	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1521.20	1460.90	54.86%	26.40%	18.73%	-0.85	15
2006-05-21	New England Revolution	W 4-0	1520.35	1553.56	42.42%	30.24%	27.34%	+12.33	18
2006-05-24	@ New York RB	W 2-1	1532.68	1515.01	25.61%	29.81%	44.57%	+4.64	21
2006-06-04	Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1537.32	1483.78	54.00%	26.77%	19.23%	-5.36	21
2006-06-11	Chivas USA	W 2-1	1531.96	1443.24	58.40%	24.78%	16.83%	+2.05	24
2006-06-25	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1534.01	1501.43	51.30%	27.83%	20.87%	+2.72	27
2006-06-29	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1536.73	1537.49	23.73%	29.18%	47.08%	-3.07	27
2006-07-02	@ Chivas USA	L 0-3	1533.66	1448.99	33.96%	30.92%	35.12%	-11.09	27
2006-07-04	DC United	L 0-1	1522.57	1580.59	38.93%	30.71%	30.35%	-4.45	27
2006-07-09	New York RB	W 2-1	1518.12	1500.49	49.34%	28.50%	22.16%	+2.71	30
2006-07-15	@ Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1520.83	1521.75	23.72%	29.18%	47.10%	+4.59	33
2006-07-23	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1525.42	1435.83	34.66%	30.93%	34.41%	+4.09	36
2006-07-30	Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1529.51	1504.17	50.35%	28.16%	21.48%	+6.46	39
2006-08-13	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1535.97	1467.27	31.75%	30.84%	37.41%	-3.86	39
2006-08-21	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1532.11	1494.78	27.81%	30.34%	41.85%	-6.59	39
2006-08-28	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1525.52	1497.58	26.74%	30.11%	43.16%	-3.39	39
2006-08-31	@ Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1522.13	1485.97	27.68%	30.31%	42.01%	+8.89	42
2006-09-03	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1531.02	1463.66	55.75%	26.01%	18.24%	+2.37	45
2006-09-10	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1533.39	1460.14	32.37%	30.87%	36.76%	+0.09	46
2006-09-14	Chivas USA	L 0-1	1533.48	1460.05	56.51%	25.67%	17.82%	-5.88	46
2006-09-17	@ Real Salt Lake	L 2-3	1527.60	1446.53	33.45%	30.91%	35.64%	-3.58	46
2006-09-24	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1524.02	1450.11	56.57%	25.64%	17.79%	+2.17	49
2006-10-01	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-3	1526.19	1454.71	32.13%	30.86%	37.01%	-6.35	49
2006-10-08	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1519.84	1510.99	48.17%	28.87%	22.96%	+2.80	52
2006-10-15	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-5	1522.64	1508.18	25.27%	29.71%	45.02%	-6.47	52
2006-04-03	Colorado Rapids	W 5-2	1450.00	1509.68	38.70%	30.74%	30.57%	+7.51	3
2006-04-09	Kansas City Wizards	L 1-2	1457.51	1525.58	37.50%	30.83%	31.67%	-4.09	3
2006-04-16	@ DC United	L 0-2	1453.42	1539.37	17.00%	24.94%	58.06%	-4.14	3
2006-04-23	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1449.28	1420.42	50.82%	28.00%	21.18%	+2.60	6
2006-04-30	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1451.88	1506.58	19.14%	26.71%	54.15%	+5.70	9
2006-05-07	FC Dallas	W 4-3	1457.58	1521.50	38.09%	30.79%	31.12%	+3.32	12
2006-05-13	@ FC Dallas	T 1-1	1460.90	1521.20	18.73%	26.40%	54.86%	+0.86	13
2006-05-20	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1461.76	1528.07	37.75%	30.81%	31.43%	-4.36	13
2006-05-28	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1457.40	1541.23	17.14%	25.07%	57.80%	+0.97	14
2006-06-04	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1458.37	1485.54	43.26%	30.08%	26.65%	+3.18	17
2006-06-11	@ New York RB	T 1-1	1461.55	1510.95	19.54%	26.99%	53.47%	+0.80	18
2006-06-18	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1462.35	1435.16	50.60%	28.08%	21.32%	+2.62	21
2006-06-25	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1464.97	1474.55	22.89%	28.84%	48.27%	+0.65	22
2006-06-29	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1465.62	1449.43	25.46%	29.77%	44.78%	+0.44	23
2006-07-05	Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1466.06	1477.55	45.42%	29.62%	24.96%	-0.46	24
2006-07-08	Chivas USA	W 3-1	1465.60	1460.48	47.67%	29.02%	23.31%	+4.92	27
2006-07-16	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 3-2	1470.52	1503.05	20.88%	27.83%	51.30%	+4.90	30
2006-07-23	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1475.42	1534.19	38.83%	30.72%	30.45%	-0.19	31
2006-07-27	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1475.23	1501.38	21.41%	28.13%	50.46%	-2.78	31
2006-07-30	New York RB	T 1-1	1472.45	1512.92	41.41%	30.41%	28.19%	-0.30	32
2006-08-10	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1472.15	1493.12	44.12%	29.91%	25.97%	-4.88	32
2006-08-13	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1467.27	1535.97	37.41%	30.84%	31.75%	+3.86	35
2006-08-20	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-3	1471.13	1454.33	25.52%	29.79%	44.69%	-5.33	35
2006-08-27	@ Chivas USA	L 2-3	1465.80	1460.98	24.28%	29.39%	46.33%	-2.79	35
2006-08-31	@ Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1463.01	1526.95	18.47%	26.20%	55.32%	+0.65	36
2006-09-03	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1463.66	1531.02	18.24%	26.01%	55.75%	-2.37	36
2006-09-11	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1461.29	1512.30	19.42%	26.90%	53.68%	+5.34	39
2006-09-18	Chivas USA	T 0-0	1466.63	1465.93	47.07%	29.19%	23.74%	-0.60	40
2006-09-24	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1466.03	1455.17	24.90%	29.59%	45.51%	+0.47	41
2006-10-01	DC United	W 1-0	1466.50	1574.40	31.87%	30.84%	37.29%	+4.32	44
2006-10-08	@ Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1470.82	1448.46	26.12%	29.95%	43.93%	+0.40	45
2006-10-15	Colorado Rapids	T 3-3	1471.22	1472.12	46.86%	29.25%	23.90%	-0.33	46
2006-04-02	Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1521.08	1491.94	50.85%	27.99%	21.16%	+4.50	3
2006-04-09	@ Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1525.58	1457.51	31.67%	30.83%	37.50%	+4.10	6
2006-04-16	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1529.68	1548.48	44.42%	29.85%	25.73%	+3.28	9
2006-04-23	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1532.96	1517.73	25.35%	29.74%	44.91%	-3.06	9
2006-04-30	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1529.90	1487.97	28.36%	30.44%	41.20%	+4.65	12
2006-05-07	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1534.55	1527.05	47.99%	28.92%	23.09%	-0.57	13
2006-05-14	@ DC United	L 1-2	1533.98	1550.67	22.24%	28.54%	49.21%	-2.73	13
2006-05-21	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1531.25	1426.75	36.80%	30.87%	32.33%	-4.04	13
2006-05-28	DC United	L 1-3	1527.21	1553.55	43.38%	30.06%	26.56%	-7.88	13
2006-06-04	New York RB	T 1-1	1519.33	1510.37	48.19%	28.87%	22.95%	-0.58	14
2006-06-11	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1518.75	1489.14	26.93%	30.15%	42.92%	+4.79	17
2006-06-18	Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1523.54	1520.98	47.33%	29.12%	23.56%	+2.72	20
2006-06-25	@ DC United	L 0-1	1526.26	1573.98	19.67%	27.07%	53.26%	-2.56	20
2006-06-29	DC United	L 2-3	1523.70	1576.55	39.67%	30.64%	29.70%	-4.04	20
2006-07-02	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1519.66	1473.90	53.01%	27.17%	19.82%	-10.58	20
2006-07-05	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1509.08	1523.52	22.44%	28.64%	48.91%	-2.91	20
2006-07-09	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1506.17	1501.90	24.23%	29.37%	46.40%	-3.12	20
2006-07-16	Houston Dynamo	L 2-3	1503.05	1470.52	51.30%	27.83%	20.88%	-4.90	20
2006-07-23	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1498.15	1509.98	22.68%	28.75%	48.57%	-2.94	20
2006-07-30	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1495.21	1534.37	41.59%	30.38%	28.03%	-0.30	21
2006-08-10	@ New England Revolution	T 0-0	1494.91	1534.73	20.28%	27.47%	52.24%	+0.84	22
2006-08-13	Columbus Crew	W 4-0	1495.75	1463.91	51.21%	27.86%	20.93%	+9.76	25
2006-08-17	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-3	1505.51	1510.72	23.30%	29.01%	47.68%	-8.25	25
2006-08-20	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1497.26	1461.30	27.65%	30.30%	42.04%	+0.32	26
2006-08-28	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1497.58	1525.52	43.16%	30.11%	26.74%	+3.38	29
2006-08-31	New York RB	T 2-2	1500.96	1522.64	44.02%	29.93%	26.05%	-0.30	30
2006-09-03	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1500.66	1509.49	22.96%	28.87%	48.17%	-2.80	30
2006-09-10	Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1497.86	1481.90	49.12%	28.58%	22.31%	+6.69	33
2006-09-24	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1504.55	1532.40	21.27%	28.05%	50.68%	+0.68	34
2006-10-01	Real Salt Lake	T 3-3	1505.23	1447.94	54.48%	26.57%	18.95%	-0.52	35
2006-10-08	Chivas USA	W 2-1	1504.71	1462.33	52.57%	27.35%	20.08%	+2.47	38
2006-10-15	@ New York RB	L 2-3	1507.18	1511.45	23.39%	29.05%	47.55%	-2.70	38
2006-04-02	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1527.28	1543.09	44.83%	29.75%	25.42%	-4.94	0
2006-04-09	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1522.34	1521.15	47.14%	29.17%	23.69%	-0.54	1
2006-04-16	@ Chivas USA	W 2-1	1521.80	1433.27	34.51%	30.93%	34.57%	+3.87	4
2006-04-23	Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1525.67	1482.38	52.69%	27.30%	20.01%	-5.59	4
2006-04-29	@ Real Salt Lake	W 3-2	1520.08	1417.81	36.48%	30.88%	32.64%	+3.52	7
2006-05-06	@ New England Revolution	L 0-4	1523.60	1540.13	22.26%	28.55%	49.19%	-10.34	7
2006-05-11	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1513.26	1518.18	23.33%	29.03%	47.64%	-3.02	7
2006-05-14	Real Salt Lake	L 0-3	1510.24	1409.96	59.80%	24.08%	16.12%	-16.79	7
2006-05-21	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1493.45	1501.09	45.95%	29.49%	24.57%	-5.03	7
2006-06-01	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1488.42	1506.19	22.15%	28.50%	49.36%	-2.88	7
2006-06-04	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1485.54	1458.37	26.65%	30.08%	43.26%	-3.19	7
2006-06-09	Chivas USA	L 1-2	1482.35	1437.97	52.83%	27.24%	19.92%	-5.27	7
2006-06-12	DC United	T 1-1	1477.08	1571.17	33.77%	30.92%	35.31%	+0.03	8
2006-06-18	@ New York RB	L 1-2	1477.11	1510.15	20.83%	27.80%	51.36%	-2.56	8
2006-06-25	Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1474.55	1464.97	48.27%	28.84%	22.89%	-0.65	9
2006-07-02	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1473.90	1519.66	19.82%	27.17%	53.01%	+10.57	12
2006-07-05	New York RB	W 1-0	1484.47	1503.78	44.35%	29.86%	25.79%	+3.29	15
2006-07-09	Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1487.76	1430.21	54.51%	26.55%	18.93%	+4.65	18
2006-07-16	@ Chivas USA	T 0-0	1492.41	1455.56	27.76%	30.33%	41.92%	+0.35	19
2006-07-22	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1492.76	1463.35	26.90%	30.14%	42.95%	+0.36	20
2006-08-10	@ Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1493.12	1472.15	25.97%	29.91%	44.12%	+4.89	23
2006-08-13	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1498.01	1484.39	25.18%	29.69%	45.13%	-3.23	23
2006-08-21	FC Dallas	W 2-0	1494.78	1532.11	41.85%	30.34%	27.81%	+6.59	26
2006-08-27	@ DC United	W 5-2	1501.37	1585.19	17.14%	25.07%	57.79%	+11.96	29
2006-08-31	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-1	1513.33	1446.32	31.53%	30.82%	37.65%	-3.84	29
2006-09-03	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1509.49	1500.66	48.17%	28.87%	22.96%	+2.81	32
2006-09-11	Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1512.30	1461.29	53.68%	26.90%	19.42%	-5.34	32
2006-09-17	Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1506.96	1478.95	50.71%	28.04%	21.25%	-0.77	33
2006-09-24	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1506.19	1533.13	21.35%	28.09%	50.56%	-2.62	33
2006-10-01	Chivas USA	W 3-0	1503.57	1469.75	51.46%	27.77%	20.77%	+7.42	36
2006-10-08	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1510.99	1519.84	22.96%	28.87%	48.17%	-2.81	36
2006-10-15	FC Dallas	W 5-2	1508.18	1522.64	45.02%	29.71%	25.27%	+6.47	39
2006-04-02	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1543.09	1527.28	25.42%	29.75%	44.83%	+4.95	3
2006-04-09	@ New York RB	T 0-0	1548.04	1525.43	26.15%	29.96%	43.89%	+0.44	4
2006-04-16	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1548.48	1529.68	25.73%	29.85%	44.42%	-3.28	4
2006-04-30	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1545.20	1521.99	50.08%	28.26%	21.67%	-5.07	4
2006-05-06	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 4-0	1540.13	1523.60	49.19%	28.55%	22.26%	+10.35	7
2006-05-14	Chivas USA	W 3-1	1550.48	1429.37	62.29%	22.78%	14.94%	+3.08	10
2006-05-21	@ FC Dallas	L 0-4	1553.56	1520.35	27.34%	30.24%	42.42%	-12.33	10
2006-05-28	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1541.23	1457.40	57.80%	25.07%	17.14%	-0.98	11
2006-06-04	@ DC United	L 0-1	1540.25	1568.40	21.24%	28.03%	50.72%	-2.76	11
2006-06-12	@ Chicago Fire	T 3-3	1537.49	1521.25	25.46%	29.77%	44.77%	+0.27	12
2006-06-17	DC United	T 1-1	1537.76	1571.14	42.40%	30.24%	27.36%	-0.34	13
2006-06-22	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1537.42	1477.63	30.58%	30.74%	38.68%	+0.18	14
2006-06-25	@ Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1537.60	1432.54	36.88%	30.87%	32.25%	-0.11	15
2006-06-29	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1537.49	1536.73	47.08%	29.18%	23.73%	+3.06	18
2006-07-01	New York RB	W 3-2	1540.55	1506.20	51.53%	27.74%	20.73%	+2.42	21
2006-07-05	@ Colorado Rapids	L 2-3	1542.97	1498.71	28.64%	30.48%	40.88%	-3.20	21
2006-07-09	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1539.77	1526.44	25.15%	29.68%	45.17%	+4.69	24
2006-07-15	Real Salt Lake	L 1-3	1544.46	1425.56	62.03%	22.92%	15.06%	-10.27	24
2006-07-23	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1534.19	1475.42	30.45%	30.72%	38.83%	+0.18	25
2006-07-30	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1534.37	1495.21	28.03%	30.38%	41.59%	+0.30	26
2006-08-07	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1534.67	1455.93	33.12%	30.90%	35.98%	+0.06	27
2006-08-10	Kansas City Wizards	T 0-0	1534.73	1494.91	52.24%	27.47%	20.28%	-0.84	28
2006-08-20	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1533.89	1518.98	48.98%	28.62%	22.40%	-5.28	28
2006-08-28	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1528.61	1453.07	56.77%	25.55%	17.68%	+2.29	31
2006-09-03	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1530.90	1450.78	33.31%	30.91%	35.78%	-10.94	31
2006-09-10	New York RB	W 1-0	1519.96	1520.08	46.96%	29.22%	23.82%	+3.07	34
2006-09-14	DC United	T 1-1	1523.03	1575.67	39.70%	30.63%	29.67%	-0.22	35
2006-09-21	@ New York RB	W 2-0	1522.81	1519.45	24.14%	29.34%	46.53%	+9.59	38
2006-09-24	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1532.40	1504.55	50.68%	28.05%	21.27%	-0.68	39
2006-10-01	Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1531.72	1476.49	54.22%	26.68%	19.10%	+4.06	42
2006-10-08	@ DC United	W 2-1	1535.78	1570.08	20.73%	27.74%	51.53%	+5.18	45
2006-10-15	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1540.96	1474.60	55.62%	26.07%	18.31%	+2.38	48
2006-04-02	@ DC United	T 2-2	1524.99	1535.88	22.77%	28.79%	48.44%	+0.44	1
2006-04-09	New England Revolution	T 0-0	1525.43	1548.04	43.89%	29.96%	26.15%	-0.44	2
2006-04-16	@ Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1524.99	1420.32	36.82%	30.87%	32.31%	-0.10	3
2006-04-22	DC United	L 1-4	1524.89	1543.51	44.44%	29.84%	25.71%	-11.35	3
2006-04-30	@ Chivas USA	T 0-0	1513.54	1429.41	33.88%	30.92%	35.20%	+0.04	4
2006-05-14	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1513.58	1527.62	45.07%	29.70%	25.23%	-0.45	5
2006-05-21	Chivas USA	W 5-4	1513.13	1426.30	58.17%	24.89%	16.95%	+1.88	8
2006-05-24	FC Dallas	L 1-2	1515.01	1532.68	44.57%	29.81%	25.61%	-4.64	8
2006-06-04	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1510.37	1519.33	22.95%	28.87%	48.19%	+0.58	9
2006-06-11	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1510.95	1461.55	53.47%	26.99%	19.54%	-0.80	10
2006-06-18	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1510.15	1477.11	51.36%	27.80%	20.83%	+2.56	13
2006-06-26	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1512.71	1515.75	23.51%	29.10%	47.39%	-5.73	13
2006-06-29	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1506.98	1476.77	50.99%	27.94%	21.07%	-0.78	14
2006-07-01	@ New England Revolution	L 2-3	1506.20	1540.55	20.73%	27.74%	51.53%	-2.42	14
2006-07-05	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1503.78	1484.47	25.79%	29.86%	44.35%	-3.29	14
2006-07-09	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1500.49	1518.12	22.16%	28.50%	49.34%	-2.71	14
2006-07-14	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1497.78	1505.02	46.00%	29.47%	24.53%	+3.15	17
2006-07-20	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1500.93	1472.40	26.80%	30.12%	43.07%	+9.05	20
2006-07-23	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1509.98	1498.15	48.57%	28.75%	22.68%	+2.94	23
2006-07-30	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1512.92	1472.45	28.19%	30.41%	41.41%	+0.30	24
2006-08-17	DC United	T 0-0	1513.22	1586.12	36.81%	30.87%	32.32%	-0.11	25
2006-08-20	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1513.11	1449.27	31.11%	30.79%	38.11%	-3.81	25
2006-08-27	Real Salt Lake	W 6-0	1509.30	1459.65	53.51%	26.97%	19.52%	+13.34	28
2006-08-31	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1522.64	1500.96	26.05%	29.93%	44.02%	+0.30	29
2006-09-04	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1522.94	1526.30	23.48%	29.09%	47.43%	-2.86	29
2006-09-10	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1520.08	1519.96	23.82%	29.22%	46.96%	-3.08	29
2006-09-17	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1517.00	1457.62	54.74%	26.45%	18.80%	+2.45	32
2006-09-21	New England Revolution	L 0-2	1519.45	1522.81	46.53%	29.34%	24.14%	-9.58	32
2006-09-24	@ DC United	L 3-4	1509.87	1572.29	18.58%	26.29%	55.13%	-2.11	32
2006-10-01	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1507.76	1535.75	43.15%	30.11%	26.74%	+3.38	35
2006-10-08	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1511.14	1472.43	27.98%	30.37%	41.66%	+0.31	36
2006-10-15	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-2	1511.45	1507.18	47.55%	29.05%	23.39%	+2.70	39
2006-04-03	@ Chivas USA	L 0-3	1430.81	1428.72	24.01%	29.29%	46.70%	-8.48	0
2006-04-09	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1422.33	1515.37	16.56%	24.52%	58.92%	-2.01	0
2006-04-16	New York RB	T 1-1	1420.32	1524.99	32.31%	30.87%	36.82%	+0.10	1
2006-04-23	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1420.42	1449.28	21.18%	28.00%	50.82%	-2.61	1
2006-04-29	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-3	1417.81	1520.08	32.64%	30.88%	36.48%	-3.52	1
2006-05-07	Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1414.29	1483.32	37.36%	30.84%	31.80%	-4.33	1
2006-05-14	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1409.96	1510.24	16.12%	24.08%	59.80%	+16.79	4
2006-05-21	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1426.75	1531.25	32.33%	30.87%	36.80%	+4.04	7
2006-05-27	Colorado Rapids	T 2-2	1430.79	1506.12	36.46%	30.89%	32.65%	-0.07	8
2006-06-04	Chicago Fire	W 3-1	1430.72	1528.11	33.31%	30.91%	35.78%	+6.86	11
2006-06-10	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1437.58	1499.83	18.59%	26.30%	55.11%	-2.42	11
2006-06-18	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1435.16	1462.35	21.32%	28.08%	50.60%	-2.62	11
2006-06-25	New England Revolution	T 0-0	1432.54	1537.60	32.25%	30.87%	36.88%	+0.11	12
2006-06-29	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1432.65	1521.48	16.82%	24.77%	58.41%	-2.04	12
2006-07-05	Chivas USA	T 0-0	1430.61	1460.08	42.94%	30.15%	26.91%	-0.40	13
2006-07-09	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1430.21	1487.76	18.93%	26.55%	54.51%	-4.65	13
2006-07-15	@ New England Revolution	W 3-1	1425.56	1544.46	15.06%	22.92%	62.03%	+10.27	16
2006-07-23	FC Dallas	L 0-1	1435.83	1525.42	34.41%	30.93%	34.66%	-4.09	16
2006-07-27	Chivas USA	T 3-3	1431.74	1455.69	43.71%	30.00%	26.29%	-0.24	17
2006-07-30	DC United	W 2-1	1431.50	1590.76	25.67%	29.83%	44.50%	+4.64	20
2006-08-10	@ Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1436.14	1497.71	18.64%	26.33%	55.02%	+13.31	23
2006-08-17	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1449.45	1454.14	23.35%	29.03%	47.61%	+4.88	26
2006-08-20	Houston Dynamo	W 3-1	1454.33	1471.13	44.69%	29.79%	25.52%	+5.32	29
2006-08-27	@ New York RB	L 0-6	1459.65	1509.30	19.52%	26.97%	53.51%	-13.33	29
2006-08-31	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1446.32	1513.33	37.65%	30.82%	31.53%	+3.84	32
2006-09-03	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1450.16	1477.09	43.30%	30.08%	26.62%	-4.82	32
2006-09-10	@ DC United	T 1-1	1445.34	1576.86	14.38%	22.12%	63.50%	+1.19	33
2006-09-17	FC Dallas	W 3-2	1446.53	1527.60	35.64%	30.91%	33.45%	+3.58	36
2006-09-24	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1450.11	1524.02	17.79%	25.64%	56.57%	-2.17	36
2006-10-01	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 3-3	1447.94	1505.23	18.95%	26.57%	54.48%	+0.52	37
2006-10-08	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1448.46	1470.82	43.93%	29.95%	26.12%	-0.40	38
2006-10-16	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1448.06	1459.86	22.69%	28.75%	48.56%	+0.59	39

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2006-10-22	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1523.85	1543.34	59.84%	0.00%	40.16%	+3.29	1-0
2006-10-29	@ New England Revolution	L 1-2	1527.14	1540.05	35.77%	0.00%	64.23%	-2.77	1-1
2006-10-22	Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1459.26	1470.89	60.92%	0.00%	39.08%	+3.02	1-0
2006-10-30	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-2	1462.28	1467.87	36.75%	0.00%	63.25%	-5.68	1-1
2006-10-22	FC Dallas	L 1-2	1472.45	1516.17	56.44%	0.00%	43.56%	-4.36	0-1
2006-10-29	@ FC Dallas	W 3-2	1468.09	1520.53	30.73%	0.00%	69.27%	+5.07	1-1
2006-11-06	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-3	1473.16	1473.55	37.45%	0.00%	62.55%	-5.01	1-2
2006-10-21	@ New York RB	W 1-0	1559.89	1514.15	43.84%	0.00%	56.16%	+4.60	1-0
2006-10-29	New York RB	T 1-1	1564.49	1509.55	69.57%	0.00%	30.43%	-0.83	1-0
2006-11-05	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1563.66	1542.81	65.27%	0.00%	34.73%	-5.35	1-1
2006-10-22	@ Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1516.17	1472.45	43.56%	0.00%	56.44%	+4.36	1-0
2006-10-29	Colorado Rapids	L 2-3	1520.53	1468.09	69.27%	0.00%	30.73%	-5.07	1-1
2006-10-22	@ Chivas USA	L 1-2	1470.89	1459.26	39.08%	0.00%	60.92%	-3.02	0-1
2006-10-30	Chivas USA	W 2-0	1467.87	1462.28	63.25%	0.00%	36.75%	+5.68	1-1
2006-11-06	Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1473.55	1473.16	62.55%	0.00%	37.45%	+5.01	2-1
2006-11-12	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1478.56	1548.16	52.75%	0.00%	47.25%	-0.11	2-1
2006-10-22	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1543.34	1523.85	40.16%	0.00%	59.84%	-3.29	0-1
2006-10-29	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1540.05	1527.14	64.23%	0.00%	35.77%	+2.76	1-1
2006-11-05	@ DC United	W 1-0	1542.81	1563.66	34.73%	0.00%	65.27%	+5.35	2-1
2006-11-12	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1548.16	1478.56	47.25%	0.00%	52.75%	+0.12	2-1
2006-10-21	DC United	L 0-1	1514.15	1559.89	56.16%	0.00%	43.84%	-4.60	0-1
2006-10-29	@ DC United	T 1-1	1509.55	1564.49	30.43%	0.00%	69.57%	+0.83	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-07-15	15.06%	Real Salt Lake	1425.56	3	@ New England Revolution	1544.46	1
2	2006-05-14	16.12%	Real Salt Lake	1409.96	3	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1510.24	0
3	2006-08-27	17.14%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1501.37	5	@ DC United	1585.19	2
4	2006-09-14	17.82%	Chivas USA	1460.05	1	@ FC Dallas	1533.48	0
5	2006-10-08	17.97%	Columbus Crew	1461.06	4	@ Chicago Fire	1532.36	1
6	2006-08-10	18.64%	Real Salt Lake	1436.14	4	@ Colorado Rapids	1497.71	1
7	2006-08-13	18.74%	Chivas USA	1455.87	2	@ Chicago Fire	1516.15	1
8	2006-04-30	19.14%	Houston Dynamo	1451.88	1	@ Colorado Rapids	1506.58	0
9	2006-06-04	19.23%	Columbus Crew	1483.78	2	@ FC Dallas	1537.32	1
10	2006-09-11	19.42%	Houston Dynamo	1461.29	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1512.30	1
11	2006-10-15	19.79%	Chicago Fire	1518.83	3	@ DC United	1564.91	2
12	2006-07-02	19.82%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1473.90	2	@ Kansas City Wizards	1519.66	0
13	2006-06-09	19.92%	Chivas USA	1437.97	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1482.35	1
14	2006-04-23	20.01%	Columbus Crew	1482.38	1	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1525.67	0
15	2006-10-08	20.73%	New England Revolution	1535.78	2	@ DC United	1570.08	1
16	2006-07-16	20.88%	Houston Dynamo	1470.52	3	@ Kansas City Wizards	1503.05	2
17	2006-04-30	21.67%	Chicago Fire	1521.99	2	@ New England Revolution	1545.20	1
18	2006-08-20	22.40%	Chicago Fire	1518.98	1	@ New England Revolution	1533.89	0
19	2006-08-17	23.35%	Real Salt Lake	1449.45	2	@ Columbus Crew	1454.14	1
20	2006-07-15	23.72%	FC Dallas	1520.83	3	@ Chicago Fire	1521.75	2
21	2006-09-21	24.14%	New England Revolution	1522.81	2	@ New York RB	1519.45	0
22	2006-05-21	24.57%	Colorado Rapids	1501.09	1	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1493.45	0
23	2006-07-09	25.15%	New England Revolution	1539.77	2	@ Chicago Fire	1526.44	1
24	2006-04-02	25.42%	New England Revolution	1543.09	1	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1527.28	0
25	2006-05-24	25.61%	FC Dallas	1532.68	2	@ New York RB	1515.01	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-05-14	16.79	Real Salt Lake	3	1409.96	16.12%	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1510.24	59.80%	24.08%
2	2006-10-08	13.54	Columbus Crew	4	1461.06	17.97%	@ Chicago Fire	1	1532.36	56.24%	25.79%
3	2006-08-27	13.34	@ New York RB	6	1509.30	53.51%	Real Salt Lake	0	1459.65	19.52%	26.97%
4	2006-08-10	13.32	Real Salt Lake	4	1436.14	18.64%	@ Colorado Rapids	1	1497.71	55.02%	26.33%
5	2006-05-21	12.33	@ FC Dallas	4	1520.35	42.42%	New England Revolution	0	1553.56	27.34%	30.24%
6	2006-08-27	11.96	Los Angeles Galaxy	5	1501.37	17.14%	@ DC United	2	1585.19	57.79%	25.07%
7	2006-04-22	11.35	DC United	4	1543.51	25.71%	@ New York RB	1	1524.89	44.44%	29.84%
8	2006-07-02	11.09	@ Chivas USA	3	1448.99	35.12%	FC Dallas	0	1533.66	33.96%	30.92%
9	2006-09-03	10.94	@ Columbus Crew	3	1450.78	35.78%	New England Revolution	0	1530.90	33.31%	30.91%
10	2006-07-02	10.58	Los Angeles Galaxy	2	1473.90	19.82%	@ Kansas City Wizards	0	1519.66	53.01%	27.17%
11	2006-05-06	10.35	@ New England Revolution	4	1540.13	49.19%	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1523.60	22.26%	28.55%
12	2006-07-15	10.27	Real Salt Lake	3	1425.56	15.06%	@ New England Revolution	1	1544.46	62.03%	22.92%
13	2006-08-13	9.77	@ Kansas City Wizards	4	1495.75	51.21%	Columbus Crew	0	1463.91	20.93%	27.86%
14	2006-09-21	9.59	New England Revolution	2	1522.81	24.14%	@ New York RB	0	1519.45	46.53%	29.34%
15	2006-06-04	9.23	@ Chivas USA	4	1428.74	35.75%	Colorado Rapids	1	1509.06	33.34%	30.91%
16	2006-07-20	9.05	New York RB	2	1500.93	26.80%	@ Columbus Crew	0	1472.40	43.07%	30.12%
17	2006-08-31	8.89	FC Dallas	2	1522.13	27.68%	@ Colorado Rapids	0	1485.97	42.01%	30.31%
18	2006-04-03	8.48	@ Chivas USA	3	1428.72	46.70%	Real Salt Lake	0	1430.81	24.01%	29.29%
19	2006-08-17	8.26	@ Chicago Fire	3	1510.72	47.68%	Kansas City Wizards	0	1505.51	23.30%	29.01%
20	2006-05-28	7.88	DC United	3	1553.55	26.56%	@ Kansas City Wizards	1	1527.21	43.38%	30.06%
21	2006-04-03	7.51	@ Houston Dynamo	5	1450.00	38.70%	Colorado Rapids	2	1509.68	30.57%	30.74%
22	2006-10-01	7.42	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	3	1503.57	51.46%	Chivas USA	0	1469.75	20.77%	27.77%
23	2006-06-01	6.97	@ DC United	5	1561.43	56.17%	Columbus Crew	1	1490.75	18.01%	25.83%
24	2006-06-04	6.86	@ Real Salt Lake	3	1430.72	33.31%	Chicago Fire	1	1528.11	35.78%	30.91%
25	2006-06-19	6.72	@ Chivas USA	2	1441.20	41.03%	Columbus Crew	0	1484.35	28.51%	30.46%