2005 MLS Season

192 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Los Angeles Galaxy

2nd Title

Last Title: 2004

Runner-Up

New England Revolution

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 2002

Biggest Overachiever

San Jose Earthquakes

10.97 points above expected

64 points · 53.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Salt Lake

10.70 points below expected

20 points · 30.70 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	New England Revolution Conference	17	7	8	59	.615	55	37	+18	53.29	+5.71
2	DC United Playoffs	16	10	6	54	.562	58	37	+21	48.83	+5.17
3	Chicago Fire Playoffs	15	13	4	49	.510	49	50	-1	45.38	+3.62
4	MetroStars Playoffs	12	9	11	47	.490	53	49	+4	47.25	-0.25
5	Kansas City Wizards	11	9	12	45	.469	52	44	+8	49.40	-4.40
6	Columbus Crew	11	16	5	38	.396	34	45	-11	37.87	+0.13

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	San Jose Earthquakes Conference	18	4	10	64	.667	53	31	+22	53.03	+10.97
2	FC Dallas Playoffs	13	10	9	48	.500	52	44	+8	49.02	-1.02
3	Los Angeles Galaxy Playoffs	13	13	6	45	.469	44	45	-1	45.67	-0.67
4	Colorado Rapids Playoffs	13	13	6	45	.469	40	37	+3	44.55	+0.45
5	Real Salt Lake	5	22	5	20	.208	30	65	-35	30.70	-10.70
6	Chivas USA	4	22	6	18	.188	31	67	-36	28.54	-10.54

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Chicago Fire 2

DC United 0

2 games · Oct 22–Oct 30

New England Revolution 2

MetroStars 0

2 games · Oct 23–Oct 30

Conference Final

New England Revolution 1

Chicago Fire 0

Nov 6

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Colorado Rapids 2

FC Dallas 0

2 games · Oct 23–Oct 30

Los Angeles Galaxy 2

San Jose Earthquakes 0

2 games · Oct 23–Oct 30

Conference Final

Los Angeles Galaxy 2

Colorado Rapids 0

Nov 6

MLS Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy 1

New England Revolution 0

Nov 13

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
San Jose Earthquakes	Western	1634	64	53.03	+10.97	94.40%	23	41	48	53	58	65	81
DC United	Eastern	1605	54	48.83	+5.17	78.37%	19	37	44	49	54	61	76
New England Revolution	Eastern	1580	59	53.29	+5.71	80.07%	23	41	48	53	58	65	83
MetroStars	Eastern	1541	47	47.25	-0.25	51.41%	17	35	42	47	52	59	76
Kansas City Wizards	Eastern	1527	45	49.40	-4.40	29.86%	15	37	44	49	54	61	81
Colorado Rapids	Western	1523	45	44.55	+0.45	55.45%	15	33	40	45	49	56	78
FC Dallas	Western	1508	48	49.02	-1.02	47.38%	19	37	44	49	54	61	80
Chicago Fire	Eastern	1499	49	45.38	+3.62	71.56%	18	34	40	45	50	57	82
Los Angeles Galaxy	Western	1490	45	45.67	-0.67	49.27%	15	34	41	46	51	58	76
Columbus Crew	Eastern	1462	38	37.87	+0.13	54.05%	10	26	33	38	43	50	72
Real Salt Lake	Western	1320	20	30.70	-10.70	6.14%	5	20	26	31	35	42	59
Chivas USA	Western	1311	18	28.54	-10.54	6.04%	5	18	24	28	33	40	59

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Fire	Crew	United	Wizards	MetroStars	Revolution
Chicago Fire	—	7 (6.4 exp.)	4 (5.4 exp.)	4 (5.1 exp.)	4 (5.4 exp.)	3 (4.8 exp.)
Columbus Crew	4 (4.8 exp.)	—	4 (4.5 exp.)	7 (4.1 exp.)	3 (4.0 exp.)	1 (4.1 exp.)
DC United	7 (5.7 exp.)	7 (6.6 exp.)	—	5 (5.4 exp.)	7 (6.0 exp.)	3 (4.9 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	7 (5.9 exp.)	4 (7.0 exp.)	5 (5.6 exp.)	—	5 (5.8 exp.)	5 (4.9 exp.)
MetroStars	7 (5.7 exp.)	9 (7.1 exp.)	4 (5.1 exp.)	5 (5.2 exp.)	—	4 (4.8 exp.)
New England Revolution	9 (6.3 exp.)	10 (7.0 exp.)	9 (6.2 exp.)	5 (6.2 exp.)	7 (6.3 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	USA	Rapids	Dallas	Galaxy	Lake	Earthquakes
Chicago Fire	6 (4.0 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	6 (3.4 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)
Columbus Crew	3 (3.8 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	6 (3.2 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)
DC United	6 (3.7 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	6 (4.5 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	4 (4.1 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	2 (2.8 exp.)	1 (3.2 exp.)	6 (4.1 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)
MetroStars	4 (4.2 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	2 (3.7 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)
New England Revolution	3 (4.3 exp.)	1 (3.6 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	2 (3.5 exp.)	6 (4.3 exp.)	1 (2.7 exp.)

Within Western

Team	USA	Rapids	Dallas	Galaxy	Lake	Earthquakes
Chivas USA	—	1 (3.6 exp.)	1 (3.6 exp.)	0 (3.7 exp.)	6 (5.1 exp.)	2 (3.0 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	10 (7.6 exp.)	—	2 (5.0 exp.)	6 (5.2 exp.)	9 (7.6 exp.)	1 (4.6 exp.)
FC Dallas	10 (7.6 exp.)	8 (6.0 exp.)	—	6 (5.7 exp.)	9 (7.8 exp.)	3 (5.1 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	12 (7.4 exp.)	6 (5.9 exp.)	6 (5.3 exp.)	—	7 (7.2 exp.)	3 (4.8 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	6 (6.0 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	4 (3.9 exp.)	—	2 (3.3 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes	8 (8.3 exp.)	10 (6.5 exp.)	6 (6.0 exp.)	9 (6.3 exp.)	8 (7.9 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Fire	Crew	United	Wizards	MetroStars	Revolution
Chivas USA	0 (1.6 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	1 (1.4 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	3 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	4 (2.0 exp.)
FC Dallas	3 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)	0 (2.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	0 (2.7 exp.)	1 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	4 (2.4 exp.)	1 (2.6 exp.)	2 (2.1 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	0 (2.1 exp.)	0 (2.3 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	2 (1.9 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes	3 (3.1 exp.)	6 (3.7 exp.)	1 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.69%	8.85%	5.99%	4.43%	0.26%	—	24.22%
1	8.85%	8.33%	8.85%	3.39%	1.30%	0.52%	31.25%
2	5.99%	8.85%	8.33%	2.86%	0.52%	0.52%	27.08%
3	4.43%	3.39%	2.86%	1.56%	0.78%	—	13.02%
4	0.26%	1.30%	0.52%	0.78%	—	0.26%	3.12%
5+	—	0.52%	0.52%	—	0.26%	—	1.30%
Total	24.22%	31.25%	27.08%	13.02%	3.12%	1.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.43	+0.00
SD	1.16	1.16	1.61
CV	0.81	0.81	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	18.75%
1	12.50%	9.38%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	34.38%
2	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	31.25%	21.88%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.56	-0.03
SD	1.19	1.22	1.71
CV	0.78	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.38%	15.62%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
1	9.38%	9.38%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
2	—	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%	9.38%
3	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	9.38%	21.88%	31.25%	31.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Chivas USA — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	2.09	-1.12
SD	1.12	1.23	1.56
CV	1.16	0.59	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	9.38%	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	37.50%
2	12.50%	9.38%	—	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
3	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	40.62%	12.50%	12.50%	3.12%	—	100%

Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.16	+0.09
SD	1.02	1.11	1.49
CV	0.81	0.96	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	25.00%
1	15.62%	9.38%	15.62%	9.38%	—	—	50.00%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	21.88%	25.00%	18.75%	3.12%	—	100%

Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.41	-0.34
SD	0.84	1.21	1.72
CV	0.79	0.86	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
2	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	28.12%
4	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	34.38%	34.38%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

DC United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.16	+0.66
SD	1.42	1.17	1.58
CV	0.79	1.01	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	—	15.62%
2	6.25%	15.62%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	40.62%
3	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	31.25%	34.38%	12.50%	—	—	100%

FC Dallas — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.38	+0.25
SD	1.26	0.98	1.55
CV	0.78	0.71	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
1	9.38%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	—	3.12%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
3	6.25%	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
4	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	28.12%	40.62%	9.38%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Wizards — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.38	+0.25
SD	1.18	0.94	1.37
CV	0.73	0.68	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
1	6.25%	9.38%	15.62%	3.12%	3.12%	—	37.50%
2	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	100%

Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.41	-0.03
SD	1.07	1.01	1.60
CV	0.78	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	12.50%
2	3.12%	12.50%	21.88%	—	3.12%	—	40.62%
3	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	3.12%	—	3.12%
Total	18.75%	34.38%	31.25%	6.25%	9.38%	—	100%

MetroStars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.53	+0.12
SD	1.23	1.16	1.41
CV	0.75	0.76	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	18.75%
1	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	21.88%
3	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	12.50%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	34.38%	28.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	100%

New England Revolution — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	1.16	+0.56
SD	1.30	1.11	1.41
CV	0.76	0.96	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	15.62%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	37.50%
1	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	34.38%
2	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	25.00%	28.12%	21.88%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Real Salt Lake — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.03	-1.09
SD	0.88	1.36	1.63
CV	0.94	0.67	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
1	12.50%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	28.12%
2	9.38%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	40.62%
3	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	34.38%	21.88%	6.25%	—	—	100%

San Jose Earthquakes — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	0.97	+0.69
SD	0.94	0.93	1.28
CV	0.57	0.96	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+12.2
Allowed	0.85	-11.6
Differential	0.95	+6.9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	San Jose Earthquakes	64	53.03	+10.97
2	New England Revolution	59	53.29	+5.71
3	DC United	54	48.83	+5.17
4	Chicago Fire	49	45.38	+3.62
5	Colorado Rapids	45	44.55	+0.45

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Real Salt Lake	20	30.70	-10.70
2	Chivas USA	18	28.54	-10.54
3	Kansas City Wizards	45	49.40	-4.40
4	FC Dallas	48	49.02	-1.02
5	Los Angeles Galaxy	45	45.67	-0.67

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New England Revolution	6	Apr 10 – May 14	1 in 114
2	Kansas City Wizards	4	Aug 7 – Aug 20	1 in 50
3	Columbus Crew	3	Aug 20 – Sep 4	1 in 37
4	San Jose Earthquakes	6	Aug 21 – Sep 22	1 in 31
5	FC Dallas	4	May 19 – Jun 5	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Salt Lake	10	Aug 11 – Oct 6	1 in 129
2	Columbus Crew	4	Apr 24 – May 15	1 in 47
3	Chicago Fire	3	Jul 24 – Aug 11	1 in 27
4	FC Dallas	3	Jul 17 – Jul 28	1 in 22
5	Chivas USA	4	May 15 – May 29	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New England Revolution	11	Apr 3 – Jun 12	1 in 86
2	San Jose Earthquakes	14	Jul 21 – Oct 16	1 in 62
3	FC Dallas	6	May 8 – Jun 5	1 in 16
4	DC United	6	Jul 16 – Aug 13	1 in 13
5	Chivas USA	2	Aug 21 – Aug 28	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FC Dallas	10	Jul 3 – Sep 11	1 in 429
2	Kansas City Wizards	8	Aug 27 – Oct 16	1 in 148
3	Chivas USA	11	May 15 – Jul 3	1 in 19
4	Chicago Fire	4	Jul 16 – Aug 11	1 in 15
5	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	Jun 16 – Jul 10	1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
New England Revolution	39.34%	23.59%	16.37%	11.29%	6.75%	2.65%
Kansas City Wizards	20.10%	21.48%	20.09%	17.82%	13.91%	6.60%
DC United	17.63%	20.77%	20.35%	18.71%	14.99%	7.54%
MetroStars	12.91%	17.43%	19.77%	20.35%	19.02%	10.52%
Chicago Fire	8.79%	13.65%	17.39%	20.65%	23.70%	15.82%
Columbus Crew	1.22%	3.08%	6.04%	11.18%	21.62%	56.87%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
San Jose Earthquakes	49.46%	26.50%	15.14%	7.58%	1.19%	0.15%
FC Dallas	25.55%	30.04%	24.26%	16.10%	3.46%	0.58%
Los Angeles Galaxy	13.86%	22.29%	28.21%	26.75%	7.22%	1.66%
Colorado Rapids	10.84%	19.63%	27.21%	31.60%	8.62%	2.10%
Real Salt Lake	0.20%	1.03%	3.26%	10.80%	45.21%	39.50%
Chivas USA	0.09%	0.51%	1.92%	7.17%	34.30%	56.01%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
New England Revolution	24.93%	18.12%	14.08%	11.42%	9.23%	7.39%	5.77%	4.26%	2.78%	1.46%	0.47%	0.08%
San Jose Earthquakes	23.09%	18.27%	14.30%	11.88%	9.51%	7.70%	5.84%	4.40%	2.90%	1.51%	0.50%	0.09%
Kansas City Wizards	11.71%	12.29%	12.34%	11.79%	11.57%	10.57%	9.56%	8.22%	6.40%	3.93%	1.34%	0.28%
FC Dallas	10.24%	11.59%	12.20%	11.99%	11.50%	10.94%	9.94%	8.55%	6.81%	4.16%	1.67%	0.41%
DC United	9.99%	11.34%	11.95%	11.90%	11.61%	11.12%	10.17%	8.72%	6.97%	4.31%	1.58%	0.33%
MetroStars	6.95%	8.96%	10.09%	10.94%	11.45%	11.33%	11.43%	10.58%	9.09%	6.12%	2.43%	0.62%
Los Angeles Galaxy	4.69%	6.71%	8.14%	9.47%	10.35%	11.34%	12.19%	12.42%	11.45%	8.00%	3.98%	1.26%
Chicago Fire	4.45%	6.40%	8.06%	9.16%	10.13%	11.26%	12.16%	12.48%	11.84%	9.00%	3.98%	1.07%
Colorado Rapids	3.44%	5.22%	6.93%	8.34%	9.80%	11.11%	12.08%	13.32%	13.33%	9.92%	4.91%	1.60%
Columbus Crew	0.48%	1.00%	1.68%	2.62%	3.92%	5.51%	7.79%	11.15%	16.35%	24.47%	17.10%	7.94%
Real Salt Lake	0.02%	0.07%	0.18%	0.34%	0.61%	1.12%	1.93%	3.65%	7.29%	15.83%	33.56%	35.40%
Chivas USA	<0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.17%	0.30%	0.58%	1.15%	2.25%	4.78%	11.29%	28.47%	50.92%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Revolution	39.34%	23.59%	16.37%	11.29%	9.40%
Kansas City Wizards	20.10%	21.48%	20.09%	17.82%	20.51%
DC United	17.63%	20.77%	20.35%	18.71%	22.54%
MetroStars	12.91%	17.43%	19.77%	20.35%	29.54%
Chicago Fire	8.79%	13.65%	17.39%	20.65%	39.52%
Columbus Crew	1.22%	3.08%	6.04%	11.18%	78.49%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
San Jose Earthquakes	49.46%	26.50%	15.14%	7.58%	1.33%
FC Dallas	25.55%	30.04%	24.26%	16.10%	4.04%
Los Angeles Galaxy	13.86%	22.29%	28.21%	26.75%	8.88%
Colorado Rapids	10.84%	19.63%	27.21%	31.60%	10.72%
Real Salt Lake	0.20%	1.03%	3.26%	10.80%	84.71%
Chivas USA	0.09%	0.51%	1.92%	7.17%	90.31%

Points Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.75%

Fortress

47.92%22.92%29.17%

Elo Value

Home Edge

186 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

065.92500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.32 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.5

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

Los Angeles Galaxy, 8th of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

4.5%

Long Shot

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 5.73 · As Expected: 5.73 to 7.88 · Elevated: 7.88 to 10.75 · High Variance: 10.75 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.78 · Close: 1.78 to 2.41 · Off Target: 2.41 to 3.14 · Well Off Target: 3.14 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.8 · As Expected: 0.8 to 1.34 · More Than Expected: 1.34 to 2.14 · Far More Than Expected: 2.14 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.05 points

As Expected

07.1618

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.105

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.40%

San Jose Earthquakes

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.04%

Chivas USA

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

As Expected

01.18

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.61

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

60%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Lopsided

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Nail-Biters

0%65%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Occasional

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.76

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Chalk Held

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Favorites Held

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.12 · Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.24 · Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.44

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.53

Underconfident

0.3082231.001.69178

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Within Noise

00.1180.3

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup
San Jose Earthquakes	98.67%	70.22%	48.00%	28.24%
New England Revolution	90.60%	51.12%	28.45%	15.42%
DC United	77.46%	46.82%	26.80%	14.68%
FC Dallas	95.96%	45.31%	18.84%	7.91%
Kansas City Wizards	79.49%	36.43%	16.54%	7.76%
MetroStars	70.46%	33.87%	15.91%	7.63%
Colorado Rapids	89.28%	42.21%	17.76%	7.40%
Los Angeles Galaxy	91.12%	37.45%	14.41%	5.62%
Chicago Fire	60.48%	24.18%	9.70%	4.20%
Columbus Crew	21.51%	7.59%	2.61%	0.94%
Real Salt Lake	15.29%	3.00%	0.62%	0.13%
Chivas USA	9.69%	1.80%	0.37%	0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	MetroStars	New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		55.0%2.29%	33.3%13.68%	44.9%14.59%	42.8%11.27%	37.5%18.64%
Columbus Crew	45.0%2.29%		28.6%4.19%	39.3%4.75%	38.3%3.29%	32.0%7.00%
DC United	66.7%13.68%	71.4%4.19%		61.7%20.41%	59.1%17.13%	54.3%22.05%
Kansas City Wizards	55.1%14.59%	60.7%4.75%	38.3%20.41%		47.9%17.80%	41.7%21.93%
MetroStars	57.2%11.27%	61.7%3.29%	40.9%17.13%	52.1%17.80%		43.5%20.98%
New England Revolution	62.5%18.64%	68.0%7.00%	45.7%22.05%	58.3%21.93%	56.5%20.98%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes
Chivas USA		22.3%1.17%	23.5%2.66%	24.8%1.40%	50.0%0.05%	12.4%4.41%
Colorado Rapids	77.7%1.17%		52.4%31.24%	55.9%23.39%	76.9%1.89%	33.0%31.60%
FC Dallas	76.5%2.66%	47.6%31.24%		52.8%32.97%	75.4%4.20%	31.4%24.89%
Los Angeles Galaxy	75.2%1.40%	44.1%23.39%	47.2%32.97%		74.1%2.37%	28.3%30.99%
Real Salt Lake	50.0%0.05%	23.1%1.89%	24.6%4.20%	25.9%2.37%		13.2%6.78%
San Jose Earthquakes	87.6%4.41%	67.0%31.60%	68.6%24.89%	71.7%30.99%	86.8%6.78%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	MetroStars	New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		58.2%0.87%	35.8%6.79%	44.7%4.70%	43.6%4.40%	37.0%7.43%
Columbus Crew	41.8%0.87%		30.3%1.93%	37.6%1.37%	37.3%1.24%	31.3%2.18%
DC United	64.2%6.79%	69.7%1.93%		59.4%10.71%	58.4%9.91%	51.2%17.48%
Kansas City Wizards	55.3%4.70%	62.4%1.37%	40.6%10.71%		48.8%6.97%	42.0%12.69%
MetroStars	56.4%4.40%	62.7%1.24%	41.6%9.91%	51.2%6.97%		43.7%11.34%
New England Revolution	63.0%7.43%	68.7%2.18%	48.8%17.48%	58.0%12.69%	56.3%11.34%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes
Chivas USA		28.1%0.31%	22.6%0.36%	20.8%0.35%	35.3%0.02%	15.7%0.77%
Colorado Rapids	71.9%0.31%		49.7%10.00%	53.1%9.00%	79.3%0.53%	32.9%22.37%
FC Dallas	77.4%0.36%	50.3%10.00%		53.7%8.09%	75.3%0.62%	33.3%26.25%
Los Angeles Galaxy	79.2%0.35%	46.9%9.00%	46.3%8.09%		73.2%0.51%	29.7%19.51%
Real Salt Lake	64.7%0.02%	20.7%0.53%	24.7%0.62%	26.8%0.51%		15.7%1.32%
San Jose Earthquakes	84.3%0.77%	67.1%22.37%	66.7%26.25%	70.3%19.51%	84.3%1.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	MetroStars	New England Revolution
Chicago Fire	78.1%0.03%	50.5%1.74%	50.9%1.80%	54.6%1.38%	73.6%0.07%	33.8%4.67%
Columbus Crew	50.0%<0.01%	44.0%0.50%	41.4%0.53%	42.5%0.36%	72.7%0.01%	28.0%1.21%
DC United	86.2%0.12%	62.8%4.67%	62.8%5.05%	64.7%3.85%	87.8%0.18%	45.1%12.92%
Kansas City Wizards	80.9%0.07%	54.4%2.88%	53.8%3.16%	57.2%2.38%	76.4%0.11%	37.7%7.95%
MetroStars	82.5%0.06%	55.6%2.94%	55.9%2.93%	58.2%2.34%	77.9%0.08%	38.2%7.56%
New England Revolution	81.7%0.09%	62.2%5.02%	61.2%5.37%	65.1%4.11%	76.2%0.17%	44.7%13.70%
Chivas USA							21.9%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	13.8%0.12%	19.1%0.07%	17.5%0.06%	18.3%0.09%
Colorado Rapids							49.5%1.74%	56.0%0.50%	37.2%4.67%	45.6%2.88%	44.4%2.94%	37.8%5.02%
FC Dallas							49.1%1.80%	58.6%0.53%	37.2%5.05%	46.2%3.16%	44.1%2.93%	38.8%5.37%
Los Angeles Galaxy							45.4%1.38%	57.5%0.36%	35.3%3.85%	42.8%2.38%	41.8%2.34%	34.9%4.11%
Real Salt Lake							26.4%0.07%	27.3%0.01%	12.2%0.18%	23.6%0.11%	22.1%0.08%	23.8%0.17%
San Jose Earthquakes							66.2%4.67%	72.0%1.21%	54.9%12.92%	62.3%7.95%	61.8%7.56%	55.3%13.70%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup	Actual Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes	66.77%	48.57%	31.73%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
DC United	65.93%	35.36%	19.12%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New England Revolution	56.29%	33.53%	17.20%	Eliminated in MLS Cup
MetroStars	43.71%	16.63%	7.41%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
FC Dallas	52.69%	19.68%	7.31%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Chicago Fire	34.07%	14.48%	6.24%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
Colorado Rapids	33.23%	14.93%	5.50%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
Los Angeles Galaxy	47.31%	16.82%	5.49%	Won MLS Cup

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	DC United	MetroStars	New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		34.1%100.00%
DC United	65.9%100.00%
MetroStars				43.7%100.00%
New England Revolution			56.3%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids				33.2%100.00%
FC Dallas			52.7%100.00%
Los Angeles Galaxy		47.3%100.00%
San Jose Earthquakes	66.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	DC United	MetroStars	New England Revolution
Chicago Fire			54.6%14.94%	33.0%19.12%
DC United			65.8%28.77%	44.2%37.17%
MetroStars	45.4%14.94%	34.2%28.77%
New England Revolution	67.0%19.12%	55.8%37.17%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids		43.5%17.50%	46.5%15.73%
FC Dallas	56.5%17.50%			27.9%35.19%
Los Angeles Galaxy	53.5%15.73%			26.6%31.58%
San Jose Earthquakes		72.1%35.19%	73.4%31.58%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Earthquakes	Chicago Fire	DC United	MetroStars	New England Revolution
Chicago Fire	56.4%2.12%	57.9%2.86%	58.8%2.52%	27.3%6.98%
DC United	65.8%5.30%	69.9%7.01%	70.3%5.93%	38.3%17.12%
MetroStars	60.9%2.50%	45.3%3.28%	66.3%2.79%	31.7%8.05%
New England Revolution	64.4%5.01%	66.3%6.53%	68.7%5.58%	35.4%16.42%
Colorado Rapids					43.6%2.12%	34.2%5.30%	39.1%2.50%	35.6%5.01%
FC Dallas					42.1%2.86%	30.1%7.01%	54.7%3.28%	33.7%6.53%
Los Angeles Galaxy					41.2%2.52%	29.7%5.93%	33.7%2.79%	31.3%5.58%
San Jose Earthquakes					72.7%6.98%	61.7%17.12%	68.3%8.05%	64.6%16.42%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

San Jose Earthquakes 31.73% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.77%

→

Conference Finals

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

52.28%

Win Prob

72.15%

→

MLS Cup

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

33.42%

Win Prob

64.58%

DC United 19.12% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Chicago Fire

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.93%

→

Conference Finals

vs. MetroStars

Matchup

53.49%

Win Prob

65.75%

→

MLS Cup

vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Matchup

34.32%

Win Prob

38.33%

New England Revolution 17.20% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. MetroStars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.29%

→

Conference Finals

vs. DC United

Matchup

61.80%

Win Prob

55.75%

→

MLS Cup

vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Matchup

33.81%

Win Prob

35.42%

MetroStars 7.41% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.71%

→

Conference Finals

vs. DC United

Matchup

59.24%

Win Prob

34.25%

→

MLS Cup

vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Matchup

34.46%

Win Prob

31.72%

FC Dallas 7.31% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.69%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

50.20%

Win Prob

56.45%

→

MLS Cup

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

30.06%

Win Prob

33.67%

Chicago Fire 6.24% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. DC United

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.07%

→

Conference Finals

vs. MetroStars

Matchup

56.39%

Win Prob

54.64%

→

MLS Cup

vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Matchup

30.52%

Win Prob

27.28%

Colorado Rapids 5.50% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.23%

→

Conference Finals

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

51.05%

Win Prob

43.55%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

32.96%

Win Prob

34.18%

Los Angeles Galaxy 5.49% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.31%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

50.05%

Win Prob

53.54%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

32.09%

Win Prob

29.71%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2005-04-03	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1512.18	1499.60	30.75%	23.81%	45.43%	-7.18	0
2005-04-10	@ DC United	T 1-1	1505.00	1527.43	26.78%	22.98%	50.25%	+1.15	1
2005-04-17	San Jose Earthquakes	W 2-1	1506.15	1514.99	45.96%	23.74%	30.30%	+7.09	4
2005-04-23	@ MetroStars	W 1-0	1513.24	1506.42	30.06%	23.70%	46.24%	+10.50	7
2005-04-28	New England Revolution	L 0-3	1523.74	1541.69	44.68%	23.91%	31.41%	-27.98	7
2005-05-01	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1495.76	1503.47	28.38%	23.37%	48.24%	+20.48	10
2005-05-08	@ New England Revolution	L 0-2	1516.24	1573.53	23.34%	21.80%	54.86%	-11.17	10
2005-05-15	MetroStars	L 0-3	1505.07	1503.09	47.46%	23.51%	29.03%	-29.35	10
2005-05-22	Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1475.72	1481.61	46.37%	23.68%	29.95%	+7.02	13
2005-05-29	@ Real Salt Lake	W 3-0	1482.74	1434.63	35.34%	24.25%	40.40%	+25.86	16
2005-05-31	@ MetroStars	L 1-2	1508.60	1549.41	24.90%	22.40%	52.70%	-5.95	16
2005-06-04	Chivas USA	W 5-2	1502.65	1370.83	64.03%	18.50%	17.46%	+8.72	19
2005-06-13	FC Dallas	W 2-0	1511.37	1576.14	38.01%	24.31%	37.68%	+16.89	22
2005-06-16	@ DC United	L 3-4	1528.26	1506.60	31.87%	23.97%	44.16%	-6.85	22
2005-06-18	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1521.41	1533.17	45.55%	23.80%	30.65%	-0.72	23
2005-06-27	Real Salt Lake	W 3-1	1520.69	1380.72	64.98%	18.10%	16.92%	+6.87	26
2005-06-30	DC United	W 4-3	1527.56	1531.64	46.62%	23.64%	29.74%	+6.46	29
2005-07-03	@ Chivas USA	W 1-0	1534.02	1338.17	55.73%	21.54%	22.73%	+5.77	32
2005-07-10	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1539.79	1606.73	37.70%	24.31%	37.99%	+9.01	35
2005-07-16	Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1548.80	1410.08	64.83%	18.16%	17.00%	-2.45	36
2005-07-24	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-4	1546.35	1464.82	40.09%	24.27%	35.65%	-21.68	36
2005-08-07	DC United	L 2-3	1524.67	1555.95	42.80%	24.10%	33.10%	-8.83	36
2005-08-11	Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1515.84	1536.80	44.26%	23.96%	31.79%	-9.07	36
2005-08-14	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1506.77	1494.00	48.94%	23.24%	27.82%	+6.58	39
2005-08-20	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-3	1513.35	1555.35	24.79%	22.35%	52.86%	-17.20	39
2005-09-05	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1496.15	1493.66	29.55%	23.61%	46.84%	+10.00	42
2005-09-18	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1506.15	1470.30	33.70%	24.15%	42.15%	+9.20	45
2005-09-22	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-2	1515.35	1597.02	21.22%	20.82%	57.97%	-10.14	45
2005-10-02	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1505.21	1538.44	25.66%	22.65%	51.70%	+11.48	48
2005-10-06	MetroStars	T 2-2	1516.69	1517.39	47.09%	23.57%	29.34%	-0.65	49
2005-10-09	Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1516.04	1449.03	56.11%	21.42%	22.47%	-11.56	49
2005-10-16	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1504.48	1573.94	22.25%	21.33%	56.42%	-5.65	49
2005-04-02	DC United	L 0-2	1450.00	1510.21	38.67%	24.31%	37.03%	-17.22	0
2005-04-09	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 3-3	1432.78	1516.15	21.08%	20.75%	58.18%	+1.17	1
2005-04-17	FC Dallas	L 1-3	1433.95	1507.66	36.74%	24.30%	38.96%	-14.34	1
2005-04-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1419.61	1501.61	21.19%	20.80%	58.01%	-8.78	1
2005-05-01	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1410.83	1569.67	15.72%	17.16%	67.12%	-3.87	1
2005-05-08	Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1406.96	1435.02	43.26%	24.06%	32.69%	+8.01	4
2005-05-15	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1414.97	1482.29	22.44%	21.41%	56.15%	-5.37	4
2005-05-19	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-2	1409.60	1436.41	26.32%	22.85%	50.84%	-12.52	4
2005-05-23	FC Dallas	L 2-5	1397.08	1529.79	29.16%	23.54%	47.30%	-14.56	4
2005-05-29	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1382.52	1526.67	27.87%	23.26%	48.87%	-13.19	4
2005-06-02	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1369.33	1551.77	23.96%	22.05%	53.99%	+1.50	5
2005-06-04	@ Chicago Fire	L 2-5	1370.83	1502.65	17.46%	18.50%	64.03%	-8.72	5
2005-06-13	San Jose Earthquakes	T 1-1	1362.11	1518.76	26.53%	22.91%	50.57%	+1.19	6
2005-06-19	Colorado Rapids	L 1-3	1363.30	1468.80	32.47%	24.03%	43.50%	-13.01	6
2005-06-23	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1350.29	1565.93	12.57%	14.30%	73.13%	-2.79	6
2005-06-26	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-3	1347.50	1533.89	14.12%	15.77%	70.11%	-9.33	6
2005-07-03	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1338.17	1534.02	22.73%	21.54%	55.73%	-5.78	6
2005-07-10	Real Salt Lake	W 5-1	1332.39	1374.91	41.20%	24.21%	34.58%	+24.99	9
2005-07-17	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1357.38	1501.07	16.68%	17.92%	65.40%	-7.81	9
2005-07-23	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1349.57	1603.89	18.11%	18.96%	62.94%	+13.43	12
2005-08-06	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1363.00	1382.31	27.11%	23.07%	49.83%	-6.43	12
2005-08-11	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1356.57	1486.66	29.47%	23.59%	46.94%	-7.34	12
2005-08-13	@ DC United	L 0-3	1349.23	1583.22	11.67%	13.40%	74.93%	-7.44	12
2005-08-21	@ MetroStars	T 3-3	1341.79	1528.33	14.11%	15.76%	70.13%	+1.79	13
2005-08-28	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1343.58	1514.44	15.00%	16.55%	68.44%	+2.05	14
2005-09-04	Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1345.63	1456.72	31.76%	23.95%	44.29%	-21.42	14
2005-09-11	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-3	1324.21	1586.66	10.37%	12.05%	77.58%	-6.46	14
2005-09-18	San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1317.75	1593.12	16.69%	17.93%	65.39%	-3.90	14
2005-09-25	Colorado Rapids	L 1-3	1313.85	1506.91	22.98%	21.65%	55.37%	-9.53	14
2005-10-02	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1304.32	1469.01	15.37%	16.87%	67.77%	+14.20	17
2005-10-06	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1318.52	1519.69	13.32%	15.02%	71.66%	+3.00	18
2005-10-16	MetroStars	L 0-2	1321.52	1530.29	21.61%	21.02%	57.37%	-10.35	18
2005-04-03	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1506.82	1511.48	28.73%	23.45%	47.82%	-6.42	0
2005-04-10	FC Dallas	T 0-0	1500.40	1506.77	46.30%	23.69%	30.01%	-0.88	1
2005-04-16	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-1	1499.52	1441.43	36.73%	24.30%	38.97%	-8.79	1
2005-04-24	Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1490.73	1518.56	43.29%	24.06%	32.66%	+15.09	4
2005-05-01	MetroStars	L 1-3	1505.82	1495.92	48.54%	23.32%	28.14%	-17.82	4
2005-05-09	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-3	1488.00	1525.43	25.24%	22.51%	52.26%	-5.71	4
2005-05-15	Chivas USA	W 2-1	1482.29	1414.97	56.15%	21.41%	22.44%	+5.37	7
2005-05-19	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1487.66	1523.73	25.37%	22.55%	52.08%	-6.05	7
2005-05-22	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1481.61	1475.72	29.95%	23.68%	46.37%	-7.02	7
2005-05-26	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-1	1474.59	1517.23	41.18%	24.21%	34.60%	-9.59	7
2005-05-29	@ New England Revolution	T 0-0	1465.00	1590.57	17.89%	18.81%	63.30%	+2.60	8
2005-06-11	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1467.60	1429.58	33.98%	24.17%	41.84%	-8.26	8
2005-06-16	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1459.34	1543.50	35.28%	24.25%	40.46%	+9.46	11
2005-06-19	@ Chivas USA	W 3-1	1468.80	1363.30	43.50%	24.03%	32.47%	+13.00	14
2005-06-26	FC Dallas	L 1-3	1481.80	1568.73	34.91%	24.23%	40.86%	-13.78	14
2005-06-30	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-1	1468.02	1549.58	21.22%	20.82%	57.95%	-5.39	14
2005-07-05	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1462.63	1540.94	36.09%	24.28%	39.62%	+8.78	17
2005-07-17	@ MetroStars	T 1-1	1471.41	1553.98	21.14%	20.78%	58.08%	+1.87	18
2005-07-21	San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1473.28	1539.82	37.76%	24.31%	37.93%	-8.46	18
2005-07-24	Chicago Fire	W 4-1	1464.82	1546.35	35.65%	24.27%	40.09%	+21.68	21
2005-08-07	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-0	1486.50	1501.12	45.15%	23.85%	31.00%	+14.45	24
2005-08-14	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 1-1	1500.95	1559.46	23.23%	21.76%	55.02%	+1.60	25
2005-08-18	New England Revolution	W 2-0	1502.55	1593.63	34.35%	24.20%	41.45%	+18.16	28
2005-09-04	DC United	W 1-0	1520.71	1581.26	38.62%	24.31%	37.08%	+8.85	31
2005-09-11	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-4	1529.56	1483.66	35.04%	24.24%	40.72%	-19.56	31
2005-09-18	@ DC United	L 0-2	1510.00	1580.60	22.15%	21.28%	56.57%	-10.60	31
2005-09-22	Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1499.40	1347.09	66.38%	17.49%	16.13%	+7.51	34
2005-09-25	@ Chivas USA	W 3-1	1506.91	1313.85	55.37%	21.65%	22.98%	+9.53	37
2005-10-02	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1516.44	1332.47	69.86%	15.89%	14.25%	+3.25	40
2005-10-06	Chivas USA	T 1-1	1519.69	1318.52	71.66%	15.02%	13.32%	-3.00	41
2005-10-09	@ FC Dallas	T 0-0	1516.69	1509.07	30.16%	23.72%	46.13%	+0.86	42
2005-10-13	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1517.55	1325.42	55.25%	21.69%	23.07%	+5.86	45
2005-04-03	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1512.42	1511.16	47.36%	23.53%	29.12%	+19.90	3
2005-04-10	@ New England Revolution	L 0-3	1532.32	1511.24	31.80%	23.96%	44.24%	-21.44	3
2005-04-16	DC United	W 1-0	1510.88	1526.27	45.04%	23.86%	31.10%	+7.68	6
2005-04-24	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1518.56	1490.73	32.66%	24.06%	43.29%	-15.09	6
2005-05-01	Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1503.47	1495.76	48.24%	23.37%	28.38%	-20.47	6
2005-05-08	@ DC United	L 1-3	1483.00	1510.59	26.24%	22.82%	50.94%	-10.82	6
2005-05-15	Kansas City Wizards	L 0-4	1472.18	1510.23	41.84%	24.17%	33.99%	-34.71	6
2005-05-22	Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1437.47	1448.93	45.59%	23.79%	30.62%	+14.31	9
2005-05-26	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1451.78	1528.69	21.61%	21.02%	57.37%	+2.02	10
2005-05-29	MetroStars	L 0-3	1453.80	1525.20	37.06%	24.31%	38.63%	-24.22	10
2005-06-11	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1429.58	1467.60	41.84%	24.17%	33.98%	+8.26	13
2005-06-19	@ MetroStars	L 2-3	1437.84	1554.18	18.54%	19.25%	62.21%	-4.16	13
2005-06-23	New England Revolution	L 1-3	1433.68	1586.88	26.89%	23.01%	50.10%	-11.06	13
2005-06-30	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1422.62	1543.22	18.24%	19.05%	62.71%	+2.27	14
2005-07-03	DC United	L 0-1	1424.89	1525.18	33.14%	24.10%	42.76%	-8.10	14
2005-07-10	San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1416.79	1555.87	28.44%	23.38%	48.18%	-6.71	14
2005-07-16	@ Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1410.08	1548.80	17.00%	18.16%	64.83%	+2.46	15
2005-07-21	MetroStars	W 1-0	1412.54	1552.11	28.38%	23.37%	48.25%	+10.86	18
2005-07-24	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1423.40	1544.95	30.48%	23.77%	45.75%	+19.63	21
2005-08-07	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1443.03	1554.99	18.86%	19.46%	61.68%	-4.48	21
2005-08-14	@ MetroStars	L 1-2	1438.55	1523.32	20.96%	20.69%	58.35%	-5.01	21
2005-08-20	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1433.54	1524.06	34.42%	24.20%	41.37%	+9.62	24
2005-08-27	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1443.16	1572.54	17.63%	18.62%	63.75%	+13.56	27
2005-09-04	@ Chivas USA	W 3-0	1456.72	1345.63	44.29%	23.95%	31.76%	+21.42	30
2005-09-11	@ New England Revolution	L 1-3	1478.14	1587.54	19.05%	19.58%	61.38%	-7.84	30
2005-09-18	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1470.30	1506.15	42.15%	24.15%	33.70%	-9.20	30
2005-09-22	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1461.10	1587.83	29.86%	23.67%	46.47%	+0.81	31
2005-09-25	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1461.91	1339.58	45.86%	23.75%	30.38%	+7.10	34
2005-10-02	Chivas USA	L 0-1	1469.01	1304.32	67.77%	16.87%	15.37%	-14.20	34
2005-10-06	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1454.81	1503.29	24.16%	22.13%	53.71%	-5.78	34
2005-10-09	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1449.03	1516.04	22.47%	21.42%	56.11%	+11.56	37
2005-10-16	@ DC United	T 2-2	1460.59	1607.04	16.50%	17.78%	65.72%	+1.89	38
2005-04-02	@ Chivas USA	W 2-0	1510.21	1450.00	37.03%	24.31%	38.67%	+17.22	3
2005-04-10	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1527.43	1505.00	50.25%	22.98%	26.78%	-1.16	4
2005-04-16	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1526.27	1510.88	31.10%	23.86%	45.04%	-7.68	4
2005-04-24	New England Revolution	L 3-4	1518.59	1532.69	45.22%	23.84%	30.94%	-9.00	4
2005-04-30	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 0-0	1509.59	1511.68	29.02%	23.51%	47.47%	+1.00	5
2005-05-08	Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1510.59	1483.00	50.94%	22.82%	26.24%	+10.81	8
2005-05-14	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1521.40	1584.71	22.79%	21.57%	55.63%	-5.79	8
2005-05-22	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-2	1515.61	1544.94	43.08%	24.07%	32.85%	+7.20	11
2005-05-29	FC Dallas	L 0-2	1522.81	1544.34	44.18%	23.96%	31.86%	-19.10	11
2005-06-05	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 0-0	1503.71	1519.96	27.44%	23.15%	49.41%	+1.21	12
2005-06-12	@ MetroStars	T 0-0	1504.92	1555.86	23.93%	22.04%	54.03%	+1.68	13
2005-06-16	Chicago Fire	W 4-3	1506.60	1528.26	44.16%	23.97%	31.87%	+6.85	16
2005-06-19	New England Revolution	W 2-0	1513.45	1605.07	34.28%	24.19%	41.53%	+18.19	19
2005-06-30	@ Chicago Fire	L 3-4	1531.64	1527.56	29.74%	23.64%	46.62%	-6.46	19
2005-07-03	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1525.18	1424.89	42.76%	24.10%	33.14%	+8.10	22
2005-07-09	Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1533.28	1532.17	47.34%	23.53%	29.13%	-10.70	22
2005-07-16	San Jose Earthquakes	W 3-0	1522.58	1562.59	41.56%	24.19%	34.25%	+22.77	25
2005-07-21	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1545.35	1545.82	29.21%	23.54%	47.25%	+0.88	26
2005-07-23	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1546.23	1508.87	33.90%	24.17%	41.94%	+9.72	29
2005-08-07	@ Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1555.95	1524.67	33.10%	24.10%	42.80%	+8.83	32
2005-08-11	MetroStars	W 3-0	1564.78	1541.76	50.33%	22.96%	26.71%	+18.44	35
2005-08-13	Chivas USA	W 3-0	1583.22	1349.23	74.93%	13.40%	11.67%	+7.43	38
2005-08-21	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-3	1590.65	1487.42	60.63%	19.86%	19.51%	-11.66	38
2005-08-28	@ New England Revolution	L 1-2	1578.99	1575.47	29.67%	23.63%	46.70%	-6.97	38
2005-09-01	Real Salt Lake	W 5-1	1572.02	1365.48	72.21%	14.75%	13.03%	+9.24	41
2005-09-04	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1581.26	1520.71	37.08%	24.31%	38.62%	-8.85	41
2005-09-11	@ FC Dallas	W 2-1	1572.41	1495.01	39.49%	24.29%	36.22%	+8.19	44
2005-09-18	Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1580.60	1510.00	56.57%	21.28%	22.15%	+10.61	47
2005-10-02	@ MetroStars	W 4-1	1591.21	1538.95	35.91%	24.28%	39.81%	+21.56	50
2005-10-06	@ Real Salt Lake	W 3-1	1612.77	1329.22	66.32%	17.52%	16.17%	+6.52	53
2005-10-09	MetroStars	L 1-2	1619.29	1518.03	60.39%	19.95%	19.66%	-12.25	53
2005-10-16	Columbus Crew	T 2-2	1607.04	1460.59	65.72%	17.78%	16.50%	-1.89	54
2005-04-03	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1499.60	1512.18	45.43%	23.81%	30.75%	+7.17	3
2005-04-10	@ Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1506.77	1500.40	30.01%	23.69%	46.30%	+0.89	4
2005-04-17	@ Chivas USA	W 3-1	1507.66	1433.95	38.96%	24.30%	36.74%	+14.34	7
2005-04-24	Real Salt Lake	W 3-0	1522.00	1450.21	56.72%	21.23%	22.05%	+15.33	10
2005-05-01	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1537.33	1510.38	32.54%	24.04%	43.41%	-15.05	10
2005-05-08	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 3-3	1522.28	1510.68	30.64%	23.79%	45.57%	+0.45	11
2005-05-15	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 0-0	1522.73	1525.17	28.98%	23.50%	47.52%	+1.00	12
2005-05-19	Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1523.73	1487.66	52.08%	22.55%	25.37%	+6.06	15
2005-05-23	@ Chivas USA	W 5-2	1529.79	1397.08	47.30%	23.54%	29.16%	+14.55	18
2005-05-29	@ DC United	W 2-0	1544.34	1522.81	31.86%	23.96%	44.18%	+19.09	21
2005-06-05	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1563.43	1408.76	50.30%	22.96%	26.73%	+12.71	24
2005-06-13	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1576.14	1511.37	37.68%	24.31%	38.01%	-16.88	24
2005-06-19	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1559.26	1534.05	50.62%	22.89%	26.48%	+6.67	27
2005-06-23	Chivas USA	W 2-1	1565.93	1350.29	73.13%	14.30%	12.57%	+2.80	30
2005-06-26	@ Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1568.73	1481.80	40.86%	24.23%	34.91%	+13.79	33
2005-07-03	San Jose Earthquakes	T 2-2	1582.52	1554.97	50.94%	22.82%	26.24%	-0.91	34
2005-07-17	@ New England Revolution	L 2-3	1581.61	1597.72	27.45%	23.15%	49.39%	-6.18	34
2005-07-24	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-3	1575.43	1346.97	59.82%	20.16%	20.02%	-35.34	34
2005-07-28	@ MetroStars	L 2-3	1540.09	1534.53	29.91%	23.68%	46.41%	-6.65	34
2005-08-07	MetroStars	T 2-2	1533.44	1541.19	46.11%	23.72%	30.17%	-0.57	35
2005-08-14	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1532.87	1584.82	39.85%	24.28%	35.87%	-8.81	35
2005-08-20	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1524.06	1433.54	41.37%	24.20%	34.42%	-9.62	35
2005-08-28	Chivas USA	T 2-2	1514.44	1343.58	68.44%	16.55%	15.00%	-2.05	36
2005-09-04	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-2	1512.39	1569.28	39.14%	24.30%	36.56%	-17.38	36
2005-09-11	DC United	L 1-2	1495.01	1572.41	36.22%	24.29%	39.49%	-8.19	36
2005-09-18	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1486.82	1351.13	64.48%	18.31%	17.20%	+4.04	39
2005-09-22	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 4-1	1490.86	1504.27	45.32%	23.83%	30.85%	+17.64	42
2005-09-25	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 1-1	1508.50	1607.17	19.86%	20.07%	60.07%	+2.04	43
2005-10-02	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1510.54	1494.97	31.12%	23.87%	45.01%	-7.25	43
2005-10-06	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1503.29	1454.81	53.71%	22.13%	24.16%	+5.78	46
2005-10-09	Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1509.07	1516.69	46.13%	23.72%	30.16%	-0.86	47
2005-10-16	Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1508.21	1526.77	44.59%	23.92%	31.49%	-0.47	48
2005-04-03	Colorado Rapids	W 3-2	1511.48	1506.82	47.82%	23.45%	28.73%	+6.42	3
2005-04-17	@ MetroStars	T 2-2	1517.90	1506.96	30.56%	23.78%	45.66%	+0.54	4
2005-04-24	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 2-3	1518.44	1507.90	30.51%	23.77%	45.72%	-6.76	4
2005-04-30	DC United	T 0-0	1511.68	1509.59	47.47%	23.51%	29.02%	-1.00	5
2005-05-08	FC Dallas	T 3-3	1510.68	1522.28	45.57%	23.79%	30.64%	-0.45	6
2005-05-15	@ Columbus Crew	W 4-0	1510.23	1472.18	33.99%	24.17%	41.84%	+34.71	9
2005-05-22	@ DC United	L 2-3	1544.94	1515.61	32.85%	24.07%	43.08%	-7.19	9
2005-05-26	MetroStars	W 1-0	1537.75	1532.37	47.93%	23.43%	28.64%	+7.17	12
2005-05-29	San Jose Earthquakes	W 1-0	1544.92	1526.81	49.66%	23.10%	27.24%	+6.85	15
2005-06-02	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1551.77	1369.33	53.99%	22.05%	23.96%	-1.50	16
2005-06-05	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1550.27	1587.97	25.21%	22.50%	52.29%	+1.34	17
2005-06-12	New England Revolution	L 0-2	1551.61	1586.63	42.27%	24.14%	33.59%	-18.44	17
2005-06-18	@ Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1533.17	1521.41	30.65%	23.80%	45.55%	+0.72	18
2005-06-26	Chivas USA	W 3-0	1533.89	1347.50	70.11%	15.77%	14.12%	+9.33	21
2005-06-30	Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1543.22	1422.62	62.71%	19.05%	18.24%	-2.28	22
2005-07-05	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1540.94	1462.63	39.62%	24.28%	36.09%	-8.77	22
2005-07-09	@ DC United	W 1-0	1532.17	1533.28	29.13%	23.53%	47.34%	+10.70	25
2005-07-17	Real Salt Lake	W 3-2	1542.87	1349.93	70.81%	15.44%	13.76%	+2.95	28
2005-07-21	DC United	T 1-1	1545.82	1545.35	47.25%	23.54%	29.21%	-0.87	29
2005-07-24	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1544.95	1423.40	45.75%	23.77%	30.48%	-19.63	29
2005-08-07	@ New England Revolution	W 2-1	1525.32	1588.50	22.81%	21.58%	55.62%	+11.48	32
2005-08-11	@ Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1536.80	1515.84	31.79%	23.96%	44.26%	+9.07	35
2005-08-14	@ Real Salt Lake	W 4-2	1545.87	1380.94	51.68%	22.65%	25.67%	+9.48	38
2005-08-20	Chicago Fire	W 3-0	1555.35	1513.35	52.86%	22.35%	24.79%	+17.19	41
2005-08-27	Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1572.54	1443.16	63.75%	18.62%	17.63%	-13.56	41
2005-09-04	@ MetroStars	T 2-2	1558.98	1526.54	33.25%	24.11%	42.64%	+0.33	42
2005-09-11	MetroStars	L 0-1	1559.31	1526.21	51.68%	22.65%	25.67%	-11.47	42
2005-09-18	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 2-2	1547.84	1503.21	53.21%	22.26%	24.53%	-1.07	43
2005-09-26	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1546.77	1486.64	37.02%	24.30%	38.68%	-8.33	43
2005-10-02	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1538.44	1505.21	51.70%	22.65%	25.66%	-11.48	43
2005-10-09	New England Revolution	T 2-2	1526.96	1573.75	40.59%	24.25%	35.16%	-0.19	44
2005-10-16	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1526.77	1508.21	31.49%	23.92%	44.59%	+0.47	45
2005-04-03	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1511.16	1512.42	29.12%	23.53%	47.36%	-19.90	0
2005-04-10	Real Salt Lake	W 3-1	1491.26	1451.79	52.53%	22.44%	25.03%	+10.35	3
2005-04-24	Chivas USA	W 3-1	1501.61	1419.61	58.01%	20.80%	21.19%	+8.77	6
2005-05-01	FC Dallas	W 2-0	1510.38	1537.33	43.41%	24.04%	32.54%	+15.05	9
2005-05-09	Colorado Rapids	W 3-2	1525.43	1488.00	52.26%	22.51%	25.24%	+5.71	12
2005-05-15	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1531.14	1427.01	43.31%	24.05%	32.64%	-9.39	12
2005-05-22	San Jose Earthquakes	W 2-1	1521.75	1524.17	46.85%	23.61%	29.54%	+6.94	15
2005-05-26	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1528.69	1451.78	57.37%	21.02%	21.61%	-2.02	16
2005-05-29	@ Chivas USA	W 2-0	1526.67	1382.52	48.87%	23.26%	27.87%	+13.18	19
2005-06-05	MetroStars	T 2-2	1539.85	1555.36	45.02%	23.87%	31.11%	-0.49	20
2005-06-12	Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1539.36	1396.06	65.36%	17.94%	16.70%	+4.14	23
2005-06-16	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1543.50	1459.34	40.46%	24.25%	35.28%	-9.45	23
2005-06-19	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1534.05	1559.26	26.48%	22.89%	50.62%	-6.68	23
2005-06-23	@ Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1527.37	1379.65	49.36%	23.16%	27.48%	-1.08	24
2005-06-26	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-3	1526.29	1529.83	28.86%	23.47%	47.67%	-19.74	24
2005-07-05	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1506.55	1607.19	33.09%	24.10%	42.81%	+0.46	25
2005-07-10	@ MetroStars	L 1-2	1507.01	1548.04	24.88%	22.39%	52.73%	-5.94	25
2005-07-17	Chivas USA	W 2-0	1501.07	1357.38	65.40%	17.92%	16.68%	+7.80	28
2005-07-23	DC United	L 0-1	1508.87	1546.23	41.94%	24.17%	33.90%	-9.72	28
2005-07-28	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1499.15	1590.47	20.43%	20.40%	59.17%	+1.97	29
2005-08-07	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1501.12	1486.50	31.00%	23.85%	45.15%	-14.46	29
2005-08-11	@ Chivas USA	W 1-0	1486.66	1356.57	46.94%	23.59%	29.47%	+7.34	32
2005-08-14	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1494.00	1506.77	27.82%	23.24%	48.94%	-6.58	32
2005-08-21	@ DC United	W 3-2	1487.42	1590.65	19.51%	19.86%	60.63%	+11.66	35
2005-08-28	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1499.08	1563.86	22.66%	21.51%	55.82%	-5.42	35
2005-09-05	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1493.66	1496.15	46.84%	23.61%	29.55%	-10.00	35
2005-09-11	Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1483.66	1529.56	40.72%	24.24%	35.04%	+19.55	38
2005-09-18	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1503.21	1547.84	24.53%	22.26%	53.21%	+1.06	39
2005-09-22	@ FC Dallas	L 1-4	1504.27	1490.86	30.85%	23.83%	45.32%	-17.63	39
2005-09-26	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1486.64	1546.77	38.68%	24.30%	37.02%	+8.33	42
2005-10-02	FC Dallas	W 2-1	1494.97	1510.54	45.01%	23.87%	31.12%	+7.25	45
2005-10-16	San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-3	1502.22	1621.96	30.69%	23.80%	45.50%	-12.42	45
2005-04-03	Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1508.75	1450.00	55.05%	21.75%	23.21%	-1.79	1
2005-04-17	Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1506.96	1517.90	45.66%	23.78%	30.56%	-0.54	2
2005-04-23	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1506.42	1513.24	46.24%	23.70%	30.06%	-10.50	2
2005-05-01	@ Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1495.92	1505.82	28.14%	23.32%	48.54%	+17.82	5
2005-05-07	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-1	1513.74	1514.53	47.07%	23.57%	29.35%	-10.65	5
2005-05-15	@ Chicago Fire	W 3-0	1503.09	1505.07	29.03%	23.51%	47.46%	+29.35	8
2005-05-21	New England Revolution	T 2-2	1532.44	1590.49	38.98%	24.30%	36.72%	-0.07	9
2005-05-26	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1532.37	1537.75	28.64%	23.43%	47.93%	-7.17	9
2005-05-29	@ Columbus Crew	W 3-0	1525.20	1453.80	38.63%	24.31%	37.06%	+24.21	12
2005-05-31	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1549.41	1508.60	52.70%	22.40%	24.90%	+5.95	15
2005-06-05	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 2-2	1555.36	1539.85	31.11%	23.87%	45.02%	+0.50	16
2005-06-12	DC United	T 0-0	1555.86	1504.92	54.03%	22.04%	23.93%	-1.68	17
2005-06-19	Columbus Crew	W 3-2	1554.18	1437.84	62.21%	19.25%	18.54%	+4.17	20
2005-06-26	@ New England Revolution	L 2-4	1558.35	1597.94	25.02%	22.44%	52.54%	-9.26	20
2005-07-05	@ Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1549.09	1373.86	53.04%	22.31%	24.65%	-1.05	21
2005-07-10	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1548.04	1507.01	52.73%	22.39%	24.88%	+5.94	24
2005-07-17	Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1553.98	1471.41	58.08%	20.78%	21.14%	-1.87	25
2005-07-21	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1552.11	1412.54	48.25%	23.37%	28.38%	-10.86	25
2005-07-24	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1541.25	1548.27	28.46%	23.39%	48.15%	-6.72	25
2005-07-28	FC Dallas	W 3-2	1534.53	1540.09	46.41%	23.68%	29.91%	+6.66	28
2005-08-07	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1541.19	1533.44	30.17%	23.72%	46.11%	+0.57	29
2005-08-11	@ DC United	L 0-3	1541.76	1564.78	26.71%	22.96%	50.33%	-18.44	29
2005-08-14	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1523.32	1438.55	58.35%	20.69%	20.96%	+5.01	32
2005-08-21	Chivas USA	T 3-3	1528.33	1341.79	70.13%	15.76%	14.11%	-1.79	33
2005-09-04	Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1526.54	1558.98	42.64%	24.11%	33.25%	-0.33	34
2005-09-11	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1526.21	1559.31	25.67%	22.65%	51.68%	+11.48	37
2005-09-18	New England Revolution	W 5-4	1537.69	1595.38	39.03%	24.30%	36.67%	+7.55	40
2005-09-25	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1545.24	1587.03	24.81%	22.36%	52.83%	-6.29	40
2005-10-02	DC United	L 1-4	1538.95	1591.21	39.81%	24.28%	35.91%	-21.56	40
2005-10-06	@ Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1517.39	1516.69	29.34%	23.57%	47.09%	+0.64	41
2005-10-09	@ DC United	W 2-1	1518.03	1619.29	19.66%	19.95%	60.39%	+12.26	44
2005-10-16	@ Chivas USA	W 2-0	1530.29	1321.52	57.37%	21.02%	21.61%	+10.34	47
2005-04-03	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 2-2	1510.53	1516.86	28.54%	23.41%	48.05%	+0.71	1
2005-04-10	Columbus Crew	W 3-0	1511.24	1532.32	44.24%	23.96%	31.80%	+21.45	4
2005-04-24	@ DC United	W 4-3	1532.69	1518.59	30.94%	23.84%	45.22%	+9.00	7
2005-04-28	@ Chicago Fire	W 3-0	1541.69	1523.74	31.41%	23.91%	44.68%	+27.98	10
2005-05-01	Chivas USA	W 1-0	1569.67	1410.83	67.12%	17.16%	15.72%	+3.86	13
2005-05-08	Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1573.53	1516.24	54.86%	21.80%	23.34%	+11.18	16
2005-05-14	DC United	W 1-0	1584.71	1521.40	55.63%	21.57%	22.79%	+5.78	19
2005-05-21	@ MetroStars	T 2-2	1590.49	1532.44	36.72%	24.30%	38.98%	+0.08	20
2005-05-29	Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1590.57	1465.00	63.30%	18.81%	17.89%	-2.60	21
2005-06-05	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1587.97	1550.27	52.29%	22.50%	25.21%	-1.34	22
2005-06-12	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1586.63	1551.61	33.59%	24.14%	42.27%	+18.44	25
2005-06-19	@ DC United	L 0-2	1605.07	1513.45	41.53%	24.19%	34.28%	-18.19	25
2005-06-23	@ Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1586.88	1433.68	50.10%	23.01%	26.89%	+11.06	28
2005-06-26	MetroStars	W 4-2	1597.94	1558.35	52.54%	22.44%	25.02%	+9.25	31
2005-07-05	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1607.19	1506.55	42.81%	24.10%	33.09%	-0.46	32
2005-07-10	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1606.73	1539.79	37.99%	24.31%	37.70%	-9.01	32
2005-07-17	FC Dallas	W 3-2	1597.72	1581.61	49.39%	23.15%	27.45%	+6.17	35
2005-07-23	@ Chivas USA	L 0-1	1603.89	1349.57	62.94%	18.96%	18.11%	-13.42	35
2005-07-28	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1590.47	1499.15	59.17%	20.40%	20.43%	-1.97	36
2005-08-07	Kansas City Wizards	L 1-2	1588.50	1525.32	55.62%	21.58%	22.81%	-11.48	36
2005-08-11	Real Salt Lake	W 4-1	1577.02	1388.74	70.31%	15.67%	14.01%	+7.80	39
2005-08-14	@ FC Dallas	W 2-1	1584.82	1532.87	35.87%	24.28%	39.85%	+8.81	42
2005-08-18	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1593.63	1502.55	41.45%	24.20%	34.35%	-18.16	42
2005-08-28	DC United	W 2-1	1575.47	1578.99	46.70%	23.63%	29.67%	+6.96	45
2005-09-04	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1582.43	1356.24	59.54%	20.26%	20.19%	+5.11	48
2005-09-11	Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1587.54	1478.14	61.38%	19.58%	19.05%	+7.84	51
2005-09-18	@ MetroStars	L 4-5	1595.38	1537.69	36.67%	24.30%	39.03%	-7.55	51
2005-09-22	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1587.83	1461.10	46.47%	23.67%	29.86%	-0.80	52
2005-09-25	MetroStars	W 1-0	1587.03	1545.24	52.83%	22.36%	24.81%	+6.28	55
2005-10-02	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-2	1593.31	1605.12	45.54%	23.80%	30.66%	-19.56	55
2005-10-09	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1573.75	1526.96	35.16%	24.25%	40.59%	+0.19	56
2005-10-16	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1573.94	1504.48	56.42%	21.33%	22.25%	+5.65	59
2005-04-03	@ MetroStars	T 0-0	1450.00	1508.75	23.21%	21.75%	55.05%	+1.79	1
2005-04-10	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1451.79	1491.26	25.03%	22.44%	52.53%	-10.36	1
2005-04-16	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1441.43	1499.52	38.97%	24.30%	36.73%	+8.78	4
2005-04-24	@ FC Dallas	L 0-3	1450.21	1522.00	22.05%	21.23%	56.72%	-15.33	4
2005-05-01	San Jose Earthquakes	T 2-2	1434.88	1514.66	35.89%	24.28%	39.84%	+0.14	5
2005-05-08	@ Chivas USA	L 0-1	1435.02	1406.96	32.69%	24.06%	43.26%	-8.01	5
2005-05-15	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1427.01	1531.14	32.64%	24.05%	43.31%	+9.40	8
2005-05-19	Chivas USA	W 2-0	1436.41	1409.60	50.84%	22.85%	26.32%	+12.52	11
2005-05-22	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1448.93	1437.47	30.62%	23.79%	45.59%	-14.30	11
2005-05-29	Chicago Fire	L 0-3	1434.63	1482.74	40.40%	24.25%	35.34%	-25.87	11
2005-06-05	FC Dallas	L 0-2	1408.76	1563.43	26.73%	22.96%	50.30%	-12.70	11
2005-06-12	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1396.06	1539.36	16.70%	17.94%	65.36%	-4.15	11
2005-06-19	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-3	1391.91	1517.57	17.89%	18.80%	63.31%	-12.26	11
2005-06-23	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1379.65	1527.37	27.48%	23.16%	49.36%	+1.07	12
2005-06-27	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-3	1380.72	1520.69	16.92%	18.10%	64.98%	-6.86	12
2005-07-05	MetroStars	T 2-2	1373.86	1549.09	24.65%	22.31%	53.04%	+1.05	13
2005-07-10	@ Chivas USA	L 1-5	1374.91	1332.39	34.58%	24.21%	41.20%	-24.98	13
2005-07-17	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1349.93	1542.87	13.76%	15.44%	70.81%	-2.96	13
2005-07-24	FC Dallas	W 3-0	1346.97	1575.43	20.02%	20.16%	59.82%	+35.34	16
2005-08-06	Chivas USA	W 2-1	1382.31	1363.00	49.83%	23.07%	27.11%	+6.43	19
2005-08-11	@ New England Revolution	L 1-4	1388.74	1577.02	14.01%	15.67%	70.31%	-7.80	19
2005-08-14	Kansas City Wizards	L 2-4	1380.94	1545.87	25.67%	22.65%	51.68%	-9.48	19
2005-08-21	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-1	1371.46	1557.87	23.59%	21.90%	54.51%	-5.98	19
2005-09-01	@ DC United	L 1-5	1365.48	1572.02	13.03%	14.75%	72.21%	-9.24	19
2005-09-04	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1356.24	1582.43	20.19%	20.26%	59.54%	-5.11	19
2005-09-18	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1351.13	1486.82	17.20%	18.31%	64.48%	-4.04	19
2005-09-22	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1347.09	1499.40	16.13%	17.49%	66.38%	-7.51	19
2005-09-25	Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1339.58	1461.91	30.38%	23.75%	45.86%	-7.11	19
2005-10-02	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1332.47	1516.44	14.25%	15.89%	69.86%	-3.25	19
2005-10-06	DC United	L 1-3	1329.22	1612.77	16.17%	17.52%	66.32%	-6.52	19
2005-10-09	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 2-2	1322.70	1624.68	8.76%	10.30%	80.94%	+2.72	20
2005-10-13	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1325.42	1517.55	23.07%	21.69%	55.25%	-5.86	20
2005-04-03	New England Revolution	T 2-2	1516.86	1510.53	48.05%	23.41%	28.54%	-0.71	1
2005-04-09	Chivas USA	T 3-3	1516.15	1432.78	58.18%	20.75%	21.08%	-1.16	2
2005-04-17	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1514.99	1506.15	30.30%	23.74%	45.96%	-7.09	2
2005-04-24	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-2	1507.90	1518.44	45.72%	23.77%	30.51%	+6.76	5
2005-05-01	@ Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1514.66	1434.88	39.84%	24.28%	35.89%	-0.13	6
2005-05-07	@ MetroStars	W 1-0	1514.53	1513.74	29.35%	23.57%	47.07%	+10.64	9
2005-05-15	FC Dallas	T 0-0	1525.17	1522.73	47.52%	23.50%	28.98%	-1.00	10
2005-05-22	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1524.17	1521.75	29.54%	23.61%	46.85%	-6.94	10
2005-05-26	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1517.23	1474.59	34.60%	24.21%	41.18%	+9.58	13
2005-05-29	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1526.81	1544.92	27.24%	23.10%	49.66%	-6.85	13
2005-06-05	DC United	T 0-0	1519.96	1503.71	49.41%	23.15%	27.44%	-1.20	14
2005-06-13	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1518.76	1362.11	50.57%	22.91%	26.53%	-1.19	15
2005-06-19	Real Salt Lake	W 3-0	1517.57	1391.91	63.31%	18.80%	17.89%	+12.26	18
2005-06-26	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1529.83	1526.29	47.67%	23.47%	28.86%	+19.75	21
2005-06-30	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1549.58	1468.02	57.95%	20.82%	21.22%	+5.39	24
2005-07-03	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1554.97	1582.52	26.24%	22.82%	50.94%	+0.90	25
2005-07-10	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1555.87	1416.79	48.18%	23.38%	28.44%	+6.72	28
2005-07-16	@ DC United	L 0-3	1562.59	1522.58	34.25%	24.19%	41.56%	-22.77	28
2005-07-21	@ Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1539.82	1473.28	37.93%	24.31%	37.76%	+8.45	31
2005-07-24	MetroStars	W 2-1	1548.27	1541.25	48.15%	23.39%	28.46%	+6.72	34
2005-08-07	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1554.99	1443.03	61.68%	19.46%	18.86%	+4.47	37
2005-08-14	Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1559.46	1500.95	55.02%	21.76%	23.23%	-1.59	38
2005-08-21	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1557.87	1371.46	54.51%	21.90%	23.59%	+5.99	41
2005-08-28	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1563.86	1499.08	55.82%	21.51%	22.66%	+5.42	44
2005-09-04	@ FC Dallas	W 2-0	1569.28	1512.39	36.56%	24.30%	39.14%	+17.38	47
2005-09-11	Chivas USA	W 3-0	1586.66	1324.21	77.58%	12.05%	10.37%	+6.46	50
2005-09-18	@ Chivas USA	W 2-1	1593.12	1317.75	65.39%	17.93%	16.69%	+3.90	53
2005-09-22	Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1597.02	1515.35	57.97%	20.82%	21.22%	+10.15	56
2005-09-25	FC Dallas	T 1-1	1607.17	1508.50	60.07%	20.07%	19.86%	-2.05	57
2005-10-02	@ New England Revolution	W 2-0	1605.12	1593.31	30.66%	23.80%	45.54%	+19.56	60
2005-10-09	Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1624.68	1322.70	80.94%	10.30%	8.76%	-2.72	61
2005-10-16	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-1	1621.96	1502.22	45.50%	23.80%	30.69%	+12.42	64

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2005-10-22	DC United	T 0-0	1498.83	1605.15	44.21%	0.00%	55.79%	+0.60	0-0
2005-10-30	@ DC United	W 4-0	1499.43	1604.55	27.20%	0.00%	72.80%	+46.80	1-0
2005-11-06	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1546.23	1582.33	54.28%	0.00%	45.72%	-9.75	1-1
2005-10-23	FC Dallas	T 0-0	1523.41	1507.74	61.53%	0.00%	38.47%	-1.20	0-0
2005-10-30	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1522.21	1508.94	42.48%	0.00%	57.52%	+0.52	0-0
2005-11-06	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1522.73	1509.89	61.14%	0.00%	38.86%	-20.71	0-1
2005-10-22	@ Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1605.15	1498.83	55.79%	0.00%	44.21%	-0.60	0-0
2005-10-30	Chicago Fire	L 0-4	1604.55	1499.43	72.80%	0.00%	27.20%	-46.80	0-1
2005-10-23	@ Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1507.74	1523.41	38.47%	0.00%	61.53%	+1.20	0-0
2005-10-30	Colorado Rapids	T 2-2	1508.94	1522.21	57.52%	0.00%	42.48%	-0.52	0-0
2005-10-23	San Jose Earthquakes	W 3-1	1489.80	1634.38	38.87%	0.00%	61.13%	+17.94	1-0
2005-10-30	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 1-1	1507.74	1616.44	26.79%	0.00%	73.21%	+2.15	1-0
2005-11-06	@ Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1509.89	1522.73	38.86%	0.00%	61.14%	+20.72	2-0
2005-11-13	@ New England Revolution	W 1-0	1530.61	1592.08	32.45%	0.00%	67.55%	+12.14	3-0
2005-10-23	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1540.63	1579.59	53.87%	0.00%	46.13%	+8.29	1-0
2005-10-30	@ New England Revolution	L 1-3	1548.92	1571.31	37.56%	0.00%	62.44%	-11.02	1-1
2005-10-23	@ MetroStars	L 0-1	1579.59	1540.63	46.13%	0.00%	53.87%	-8.28	0-1
2005-10-30	MetroStars	W 3-1	1571.31	1548.92	62.44%	0.00%	37.56%	+11.02	1-1
2005-11-06	@ Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1582.33	1546.23	45.72%	0.00%	54.28%	+9.75	2-1
2005-11-13	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1592.08	1530.61	67.55%	0.00%	32.45%	-12.14	2-2
2005-10-23	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1634.38	1489.80	61.13%	0.00%	38.87%	-17.94	0-1
2005-10-30	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1616.44	1507.74	73.21%	0.00%	26.79%	-2.15	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-10-02	15.37%	Chivas USA	1304.32	1	@ Columbus Crew	1469.01	0
2	2005-08-27	17.63%	Columbus Crew	1443.16	1	@ Kansas City Wizards	1572.54	0
3	2005-07-23	18.11%	@ Chivas USA	1349.57	1	New England Revolution	1603.89	0
4	2005-08-21	19.51%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1487.42	3	@ DC United	1590.65	2
5	2005-10-09	19.66%	MetroStars	1518.03	2	@ DC United	1619.29	1
6	2005-07-24	20.02%	@ Real Salt Lake	1346.97	3	FC Dallas	1575.43	0
7	2005-10-09	22.47%	Columbus Crew	1449.03	2	@ Chicago Fire	1516.04	1
8	2005-08-07	22.81%	Kansas City Wizards	1525.32	2	@ New England Revolution	1588.50	1
9	2005-10-02	25.66%	Chicago Fire	1505.21	1	@ Kansas City Wizards	1538.44	0
10	2005-09-11	25.67%	MetroStars	1526.21	1	@ Kansas City Wizards	1559.31	0
11	2005-10-30 *	27.20%	Chicago Fire	1499.43	4	@ DC United	1604.55	0
12	2005-05-01	28.14%	MetroStars	1495.92	3	@ Colorado Rapids	1505.82	1
13	2005-05-01	28.38%	Chicago Fire	1495.76	2	@ Columbus Crew	1503.47	0
14	2005-07-21	28.38%	@ Columbus Crew	1412.54	1	MetroStars	1552.11	0
15	2005-05-15	29.03%	MetroStars	1503.09	3	@ Chicago Fire	1505.07	0
16	2005-07-09	29.13%	Kansas City Wizards	1532.17	1	@ DC United	1533.28	0
17	2005-05-07	29.35%	San Jose Earthquakes	1514.53	1	@ MetroStars	1513.74	0
18	2005-09-05	29.55%	Chicago Fire	1496.15	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1493.66	1
19	2005-04-23	30.06%	Chicago Fire	1513.24	1	@ MetroStars	1506.42	0
20	2005-07-24	30.48%	@ Columbus Crew	1423.40	2	Kansas City Wizards	1544.95	0
21	2005-10-02	30.66%	San Jose Earthquakes	1605.12	2	@ New England Revolution	1593.31	0
22	2005-04-24	30.94%	New England Revolution	1532.69	4	@ DC United	1518.59	3
23	2005-04-28	31.41%	New England Revolution	1541.69	3	@ Chicago Fire	1523.74	0
24	2005-08-11	31.79%	Kansas City Wizards	1536.80	3	@ Chicago Fire	1515.84	2
25	2005-05-29	31.86%	FC Dallas	1544.34	2	@ DC United	1522.81	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-10-30 *	46.80	Chicago Fire	4	1499.43	27.20%	@ DC United	0	1604.55	72.80%	0.00%
2	2005-07-24	35.34	@ Real Salt Lake	3	1346.97	20.02%	FC Dallas	0	1575.43	59.82%	20.16%
3	2005-05-15	34.71	Kansas City Wizards	4	1510.23	33.99%	@ Columbus Crew	0	1472.18	41.84%	24.17%
4	2005-05-15	29.35	MetroStars	3	1503.09	29.03%	@ Chicago Fire	0	1505.07	47.46%	23.51%
5	2005-04-28	27.98	New England Revolution	3	1541.69	31.41%	@ Chicago Fire	0	1523.74	44.68%	23.91%
6	2005-05-29	25.87	Chicago Fire	3	1482.74	35.34%	@ Real Salt Lake	0	1434.63	40.40%	24.25%
7	2005-07-10	24.99	@ Chivas USA	5	1332.39	41.20%	Real Salt Lake	1	1374.91	34.58%	24.21%
8	2005-05-29	24.22	MetroStars	3	1525.20	38.63%	@ Columbus Crew	0	1453.80	37.06%	24.31%
9	2005-07-16	22.77	@ DC United	3	1522.58	41.56%	San Jose Earthquakes	0	1562.59	34.25%	24.19%
10	2005-07-24	21.68	@ Colorado Rapids	4	1464.82	35.65%	Chicago Fire	1	1546.35	40.09%	24.27%
11	2005-10-02	21.56	DC United	4	1591.21	35.91%	@ MetroStars	1	1538.95	39.81%	24.28%
12	2005-04-10	21.45	@ New England Revolution	3	1511.24	44.24%	Columbus Crew	0	1532.32	31.80%	23.96%
13	2005-09-04	21.42	Columbus Crew	3	1456.72	44.29%	@ Chivas USA	0	1345.63	31.76%	23.95%
14	2005-11-06 *	20.72	Los Angeles Galaxy	2	1509.89	38.86%	@ Colorado Rapids	0	1522.73	61.14%	0.00%
15	2005-05-01	20.48	Chicago Fire	2	1495.76	28.38%	@ Columbus Crew	0	1503.47	48.24%	23.37%
16	2005-04-03	19.90	@ Columbus Crew	3	1512.42	47.36%	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1511.16	29.12%	23.53%
17	2005-06-26	19.75	@ San Jose Earthquakes	3	1529.83	47.67%	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1526.29	28.86%	23.47%
18	2005-07-24	19.63	@ Columbus Crew	2	1423.40	30.48%	Kansas City Wizards	0	1544.95	45.75%	23.77%
19	2005-10-02	19.56	San Jose Earthquakes	2	1605.12	30.66%	@ New England Revolution	0	1593.31	45.54%	23.80%
20	2005-09-11	19.56	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	4	1483.66	40.72%	Colorado Rapids	1	1529.56	35.04%	24.24%
21	2005-05-29	19.10	FC Dallas	2	1544.34	31.86%	@ DC United	0	1522.81	44.18%	23.96%
22	2005-08-11	18.44	@ DC United	3	1564.78	50.33%	MetroStars	0	1541.76	26.71%	22.96%
23	2005-06-12	18.44	New England Revolution	2	1586.63	33.59%	@ Kansas City Wizards	0	1551.61	42.27%	24.14%
24	2005-06-19	18.19	@ DC United	2	1513.45	34.28%	New England Revolution	0	1605.07	41.53%	24.19%
25	2005-08-18	18.16	@ Colorado Rapids	2	1502.55	34.35%	New England Revolution	0	1593.63	41.45%	24.20%