2007 MLS Season

195 regular-season games · 6 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Houston Dynamo

2nd Title

Last Title: 2006

Runner-Up

New England Revolution

4th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2006

Biggest Overachiever

Chivas USA

10.20 points above expected

53 points · 42.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Salt Lake

7.44 points below expected

27 points · 34.44 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	DC United Conference	16	7	7	55	.611	56	34	+22	47.66	+7.34
2	New England Revolution Playoffs	14	8	8	50	.556	51	43	+8	46.54	+3.46
3	New York RB Playoffs	12	11	7	43	.478	47	45	+2	43.85	-0.85
4	Chicago Fire Playoffs	10	10	10	40	.444	31	36	-5	40.76	-0.76
5	Kansas City Wizards	11	12	7	40	.444	45	45	0	42.41	-2.41
6	Columbus Crew	9	11	10	37	.411	39	44	-5	39.02	-2.02
7	Toronto FC	6	17	7	25	.278	25	49	-24	32.27	-7.27

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Chivas USA	15	7	8	53	.589	46	28	+18	42.80	+10.20
2	Houston Dynamo Playoffs	15	8	7	52	.578	43	23	+20	44.02	+7.98
3	FC Dallas Playoffs	13	12	5	44	.489	37	44	-7	41.66	+2.34
4	Colorado Rapids	9	13	8	35	.389	29	34	-5	39.08	-4.08
5	Los Angeles Galaxy	9	14	7	34	.378	38	48	-10	40.18	-6.18
6	Real Salt Lake	6	15	9	27	.300	31	45	-14	34.44	-7.44

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

Chicago Fire 2

DC United 0

2 games · Oct 26–Nov 1

New England Revolution 2

New York RB 0

2 games · Oct 28–Nov 3

Conference Final

New England Revolution 1

Chicago Fire 0

Nov 9

Western Conference

Conference Final

Houston Dynamo 2

FC Dallas 0

2 games · Oct 28–Nov 3

MLS Cup

Houston Dynamo 2

New England Revolution 1

Nov 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
DC United	Eastern	1593	55	47.66	+7.34	86.83%	19	36	43	48	52	59	76
Houston Dynamo	Western	1562	52	44.02	+7.98	88.59%	12	33	39	44	49	56	77
Chivas USA	Western	1548	53	42.80	+10.20	93.67%	14	31	38	43	48	54	72
New England Revolution	Eastern	1537	50	46.54	+3.46	71.25%	17	35	42	46	51	58	74
New York RB	Eastern	1507	43	43.85	-0.85	48.20%	13	32	39	44	49	56	75
Chicago Fire	Eastern	1506	40	40.76	-0.76	48.96%	14	29	36	41	45	52	70
Kansas City Wizards	Eastern	1499	40	42.41	-2.41	39.53%	14	31	38	42	47	54	77
FC Dallas	Western	1479	44	41.66	+2.34	65.91%	15	30	37	42	46	53	74
Colorado Rapids	Western	1478	35	39.08	-4.08	30.84%	12	28	34	39	44	51	69
Los Angeles Galaxy	Western	1477	34	40.18	-6.18	20.81%	14	29	35	40	45	52	70
Columbus Crew	Eastern	1476	37	39.02	-2.02	41.87%	9	28	34	39	44	51	68
Real Salt Lake	Western	1440	27	34.44	-7.44	15.54%	8	24	30	34	39	46	64
Toronto FC	Eastern	1398	25	32.27	-7.27	15.87%	5	21	28	32	37	43	61

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Fire	Crew	United	Wizards	Revolution	RB	FC
Chicago Fire	—	7 (4.5 exp.)	2 (3.0 exp.)	6 (4.2 exp.)	6 (4.1 exp.)	1 (3.6 exp.)	4 (4.5 exp.)
Columbus Crew	1 (3.8 exp.)	—	6 (3.6 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	5 (3.1 exp.)	4 (3.9 exp.)	7 (5.0 exp.)
DC United	5 (5.3 exp.)	3 (4.7 exp.)	—	4 (4.4 exp.)	7 (4.4 exp.)	6 (4.6 exp.)	9 (5.4 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	3 (4.0 exp.)	6 (4.8 exp.)	4 (3.8 exp.)	—	3 (3.5 exp.)	4 (3.7 exp.)	7 (5.3 exp.)
New England Revolution	3 (4.1 exp.)	2 (5.1 exp.)	1 (3.8 exp.)	6 (4.7 exp.)	—	7 (4.1 exp.)	7 (5.6 exp.)
New York RB	7 (4.6 exp.)	4 (4.3 exp.)	3 (3.7 exp.)	4 (4.5 exp.)	1 (4.1 exp.)	—	6 (5.0 exp.)
Toronto FC	4 (3.7 exp.)	1 (3.3 exp.)	0 (2.9 exp.)	1 (2.9 exp.)	1 (2.7 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	USA	Rapids	Dallas	Dynamo	Galaxy	Lake
Chicago Fire	1 (2.6 exp.)	2 (2.9 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	4 (3.1 exp.)
Columbus Crew	1 (2.7 exp.)	2 (2.8 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	4 (2.9 exp.)
DC United	4 (3.1 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	4 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	3 (2.6 exp.)	2 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	1 (2.6 exp.)	1 (2.9 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)
New England Revolution	1 (3.2 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)
New York RB	0 (2.8 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	6 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	4 (2.9 exp.)	2 (3.3 exp.)
Toronto FC	0 (2.3 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	4 (2.1 exp.)	1 (2.2 exp.)	4 (2.6 exp.)

Within Western

Team	USA	Rapids	Dallas	Dynamo	Galaxy	Lake
Chivas USA	—	4 (5.0 exp.)	4 (4.0 exp.)	1 (3.8 exp.)	7 (5.7 exp.)	9 (5.2 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	4 (3.3 exp.)	—	0 (3.5 exp.)	3 (4.1 exp.)	6 (4.4 exp.)	4 (6.0 exp.)
FC Dallas	4 (4.2 exp.)	9 (4.7 exp.)	—	1 (5.2 exp.)	6 (4.0 exp.)	7 (4.4 exp.)
Houston Dynamo	7 (4.4 exp.)	6 (4.1 exp.)	10 (5.7 exp.)	—	4 (4.9 exp.)	6 (5.1 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	4 (5.3 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	3 (4.2 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)	—	4 (4.8 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	0 (3.0 exp.)	7 (4.9 exp.)	1 (3.8 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Fire	Crew	United	Wizards	Revolution	RB	FC
Chivas USA	4 (2.9 exp.)	4 (2.7 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	4 (2.3 exp.)	6 (2.7 exp.)	6 (3.2 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	2 (2.5 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)
FC Dallas	4 (2.7 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	0 (2.5 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)
Houston Dynamo	3 (2.8 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	1 (3.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	3 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	4 (2.6 exp.)	0 (2.5 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	1 (2.4 exp.)	1 (2.6 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	1 (2.0 exp.)	2 (2.2 exp.)	1 (2.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.21%	10.77%	4.36%	3.33%	2.05%	—	28.72%
1	10.77%	9.23%	8.21%	3.08%	0.51%	—	31.79%
2	4.36%	8.21%	5.64%	3.08%	1.03%	—	22.31%
3	3.33%	3.08%	3.08%	2.56%	0.51%	—	12.56%
4	2.05%	0.51%	1.03%	0.51%	—	0.26%	4.36%
5+	—	—	—	—	0.26%	—	0.26%
Total	28.72%	31.79%	22.31%	12.56%	4.36%	0.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.33	+0.00
SD	1.16	1.16	1.58
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 195

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	30.00%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.20	-0.17
SD	0.89	1.21	1.53
CV	0.86	1.01	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.67%	26.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Chivas USA — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.93	+0.60
SD	1.04	1.11	1.75
CV	0.68	1.19	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.13	-0.17
SD	0.85	1.07	1.44
CV	0.88	0.95	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	23.33%	30.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.47	-0.17
SD	1.02	1.17	1.26
CV	0.79	0.80	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	46.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

DC United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.87	1.13	+0.73
SD	1.33	1.01	1.48
CV	0.71	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	36.67%
1	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	36.67%	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	100%

FC Dallas — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.47	-0.23
SD	1.14	1.25	1.79
CV	0.92	0.85	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	20.00%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	43.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Houston Dynamo — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	0.77	+0.67
SD	1.43	0.86	1.54
CV	1.00	1.12	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	26.67%	46.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Wizards — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.22	0.90	1.26
CV	0.82	0.60	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	40.00%	16.67%	23.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.60	-0.33
SD	1.14	1.22	1.42
CV	0.90	0.76	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
1	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	20.00%	23.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	100%

New England Revolution — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	1.43	+0.27
SD	1.18	1.30	1.60
CV	0.69	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	20.00%	20.00%	16.67%	10.00%	—	100%

New York RB — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	1.50	+0.07
SD	1.30	1.38	1.80
CV	0.83	0.92	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	—	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	26.67%	33.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Real Salt Lake — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.50	-0.47
SD	1.03	1.17	1.20
CV	1.00	0.78	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.00%	33.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Toronto FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.63	-0.80
SD	1.05	1.13	1.75
CV	1.26	0.69	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+8.7
Allowed	0.44	-7.9
Differential	0.90	+6.6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chivas USA	53	42.80	+10.20
2	Houston Dynamo	52	44.02	+7.98
3	DC United	55	47.66	+7.34
4	New England Revolution	50	46.54	+3.46
5	FC Dallas	44	41.66	+2.34

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Real Salt Lake	27	34.44	-7.44
2	Toronto FC	25	32.27	-7.27
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	40.18	-6.18
4	Colorado Rapids	35	39.08	-4.08
5	Kansas City Wizards	40	42.41	-2.41

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Galaxy	5	Sep 24 – Oct 14	1 in 361
2	DC United	6	Aug 5 – Sep 2	1 in 229
3	Houston Dynamo	5	Jun 3 – Jun 24	1 in 150
4	Columbus Crew	3	Jun 21 – Jul 1	1 in 29
5	FC Dallas	3	May 13 – May 21	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	Aug 10 – Sep 2	1 in 224
2	Colorado Rapids	5	Jun 2 – Jun 29	1 in 77
3	Chicago Fire	4	May 6 – May 25	1 in 50
4	Real Salt Lake	4	Jul 5 – Jul 29	1 in 30
5	DC United	3	Apr 7 – Apr 29	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Houston Dynamo	11	Jun 3 – Jul 22	1 in 131
2	Chicago Fire	8	Sep 9 – Oct 21	1 in 84
3	DC United	13	Aug 5 – Oct 14	1 in 82
4	Chivas USA	11	Aug 18 – Oct 12	1 in 52
5	Los Angeles Galaxy	7	Sep 20 – Oct 19	1 in 44

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Salt Lake	11	Apr 7 – Jun 18	1 in 64
2	Toronto FC	12	Jul 8 – Sep 30	1 in 56
3	Colorado Rapids	10	Jun 2 – Aug 5	1 in 43
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	8	Jul 8 – Sep 2	1 in 32
5	Kansas City Wizards	6	Jun 17 – Jul 8	1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
DC United	32.65%	22.91%	16.94%	12.27%	8.29%	5.05%	1.88%
New England Revolution	26.53%	22.35%	17.93%	13.89%	10.19%	6.48%	2.62%
New York RB	15.71%	17.91%	18.22%	16.98%	14.51%	11.25%	5.42%
Kansas City Wizards	11.53%	14.85%	16.92%	17.63%	17.18%	14.37%	7.53%
Chicago Fire	7.80%	11.63%	14.57%	17.32%	19.21%	18.42%	11.05%
Columbus Crew	5.12%	8.61%	12.03%	15.61%	19.46%	22.99%	16.19%
Toronto FC	0.67%	1.74%	3.39%	6.30%	11.16%	21.44%	55.31%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Houston Dynamo	29.79%	22.36%	17.69%	13.99%	10.17%	6.00%
Chivas USA	23.53%	21.45%	18.53%	15.82%	12.75%	7.92%
FC Dallas	18.94%	19.19%	18.91%	17.16%	15.34%	10.46%
Los Angeles Galaxy	13.75%	16.43%	18.08%	19.01%	18.38%	14.36%
Colorado Rapids	10.72%	14.31%	16.78%	19.32%	20.57%	18.31%
Real Salt Lake	3.27%	6.26%	10.01%	14.71%	22.79%	42.96%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
DC United	23.23%	16.46%	12.91%	10.29%	8.38%	7.20%	5.96%	4.85%	3.74%	2.93%	2.08%	1.35%	0.63%
New England Revolution	18.62%	14.88%	12.44%	10.55%	9.29%	8.03%	6.69%	5.65%	4.67%	3.69%	2.73%	1.85%	0.92%
Houston Dynamo	10.59%	11.08%	10.83%	10.19%	9.55%	8.86%	8.35%	7.27%	6.77%	5.84%	4.84%	3.69%	2.14%
New York RB	10.49%	10.64%	10.40%	9.96%	9.71%	9.01%	8.30%	7.63%	6.80%	6.01%	5.05%	3.78%	2.22%
Chivas USA	7.94%	9.05%	9.42%	9.61%	9.37%	9.05%	8.66%	8.28%	7.78%	7.07%	6.00%	4.74%	3.03%
Kansas City Wizards	7.36%	8.38%	8.83%	9.15%	9.26%	9.02%	9.00%	8.57%	8.10%	7.37%	6.56%	5.07%	3.34%
FC Dallas	6.02%	7.53%	7.97%	8.64%	8.80%	8.93%	8.89%	8.83%	8.41%	8.24%	7.48%	6.15%	4.11%
Chicago Fire	4.79%	6.11%	7.10%	7.76%	8.13%	8.82%	8.97%	9.28%	9.27%	8.91%	8.49%	7.19%	5.18%
Los Angeles Galaxy	4.10%	5.42%	6.43%	7.31%	7.90%	8.28%	8.97%	9.27%	9.47%	9.47%	9.02%	8.38%	6.00%
Colorado Rapids	2.97%	4.30%	5.37%	6.23%	7.09%	7.75%	8.40%	9.21%	9.79%	10.26%	10.58%	10.05%	7.99%
Columbus Crew	2.98%	4.23%	5.38%	6.23%	6.86%	7.72%	8.50%	9.17%	9.95%	10.35%	10.70%	9.90%	8.01%
Real Salt Lake	0.62%	1.28%	1.91%	2.62%	3.52%	4.41%	5.46%	6.80%	8.47%	10.57%	13.70%	18.35%	22.28%
Toronto FC	0.30%	0.63%	1.02%	1.47%	2.14%	2.91%	3.87%	5.17%	6.78%	9.30%	12.77%	19.51%	34.15%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
DC United	32.65%	22.91%	16.94%	12.27%	15.23%
New England Revolution	26.53%	22.35%	17.93%	13.89%	19.29%
New York RB	15.71%	17.91%	18.22%	16.98%	31.17%
Kansas City Wizards	11.53%	14.85%	16.92%	17.63%	39.08%
Chicago Fire	7.80%	11.63%	14.57%	17.32%	48.69%
Columbus Crew	5.12%	8.61%	12.03%	15.61%	58.64%
Toronto FC	0.67%	1.74%	3.39%	6.30%	87.90%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Houston Dynamo	29.79%	22.36%	17.69%	13.99%	16.16%
Chivas USA	23.53%	21.45%	18.53%	15.82%	20.67%
FC Dallas	18.94%	19.19%	18.91%	17.16%	25.79%
Los Angeles Galaxy	13.75%	16.43%	18.08%	19.01%	32.73%
Colorado Rapids	10.72%	14.31%	16.78%	19.32%	38.88%
Real Salt Lake	3.27%	6.26%	10.01%	14.71%	65.75%

Points Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.97%

Fortress

46.67%25.64%27.69%

Elo Value

Home Edge

165 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

066.73500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.39 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th · Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.5

Wide Open

124811

Champion Preseason Odds

15%

Houston Dynamo, 2nd of 13

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

39.2%

Favored

025.00%60%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 5.56 · As Expected: 5.56 to 7.64 · Elevated: 7.64 to 10.42 · High Variance: 10.42 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 2.49 · Close: 2.49 to 3.37 · Off Target: 3.37 to 4.4 · Well Off Target: 4.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 13 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.65 · As Expected: 0.65 to 1.56 · Several Outliers: 1.56 to 2.86 · Many Outliers: 2.86 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 2.5 · More Than Expected: 2.5 to 4 · Far More Than Expected: 4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.64 points

As Expected

06.9517

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.15

Pinpoint

02.936

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.15%

93.67%

Chivas USA

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.85%

15.54%

Real Salt Lake

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 13

Minimal Outliers

01.36

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

Fewer Than Expected

02.08

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.17

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

59%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

75%

Clear Edge

50%74%100%

Close Games

Expected

71%

Nail-Biters

0%66%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Occasional

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.25

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.66

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Chalk Held

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Favorites Held

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.11 · Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.22 · Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.51

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.31

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.042

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup
DC United	84.77%	54.02%	33.27%	20.71%
Houston Dynamo	83.84%	51.16%	30.22%	15.37%
Chivas USA	79.33%	46.28%	25.80%	12.64%
New England Revolution	80.71%	42.83%	21.80%	12.14%
New York RB	68.83%	31.82%	14.56%	7.45%
Kansas City Wizards	60.92%	27.54%	12.07%	5.99%
FC Dallas	74.21%	32.91%	14.80%	5.98%
Chicago Fire	51.31%	23.26%	10.48%	5.17%
Los Angeles Galaxy	67.27%	29.54%	12.71%	5.00%
Colorado Rapids	61.12%	27.12%	11.65%	4.45%
Columbus Crew	41.36%	16.92%	6.73%	3.08%
Real Salt Lake	34.25%	12.99%	4.84%	1.63%
Toronto FC	12.10%	3.60%	1.09%	0.40%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	New England Revolution	New York RB	Toronto FC
Chicago Fire		54.5%4.63%	35.2%14.26%	50.6%8.11%	44.7%13.28%	49.8%9.95%	65.7%1.10%
Columbus Crew	45.5%4.63%		31.9%11.47%	46.3%6.19%	40.5%10.55%	45.7%7.65%	60.5%0.87%
DC United	64.8%14.26%	68.1%11.47%		63.8%16.83%	58.1%19.90%	63.8%18.82%	76.3%3.50%
Kansas City Wizards	49.4%8.11%	53.7%6.19%	36.2%16.83%		44.7%15.84%	48.3%12.41%	67.4%1.54%
New England Revolution	55.3%13.28%	59.5%10.55%	41.9%19.90%	55.3%15.84%		55.0%18.02%	70.4%3.11%
New York RB	50.2%9.95%	54.3%7.65%	36.2%18.82%	51.7%12.41%	45.0%18.02%		68.0%1.97%
Toronto FC	34.3%1.10%	39.5%0.87%	23.7%3.50%	32.6%1.54%	29.6%3.11%	32.0%1.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake
Chivas USA		60.9%15.33%	61.4%18.82%	48.0%20.32%	60.9%16.79%	67.1%8.06%
Colorado Rapids	39.1%15.33%		49.6%13.41%	37.4%16.48%	50.4%11.47%	57.0%4.42%
FC Dallas	38.6%18.82%	50.4%13.41%		37.2%19.78%	50.4%15.30%	55.5%6.88%
Houston Dynamo	52.0%20.32%	62.6%16.48%	62.8%19.78%		63.7%18.03%	69.1%9.22%
Los Angeles Galaxy	39.1%16.79%	49.6%11.47%	49.6%15.30%	36.3%18.03%		55.3%5.67%
Real Salt Lake	32.9%8.06%	43.0%4.42%	44.5%6.88%	30.9%9.22%	44.7%5.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	New England Revolution	New York RB	Toronto FC
Chicago Fire		55.0%1.88%	37.3%8.15%	52.7%3.27%	44.5%5.70%	48.2%3.85%	72.1%0.40%
Columbus Crew	45.0%1.88%		33.8%5.61%	45.0%2.34%	39.2%4.10%	42.8%2.74%	61.5%0.25%
DC United	62.7%8.15%	66.2%5.61%		63.1%9.90%	57.4%17.38%	62.1%11.85%	76.9%1.13%
Kansas City Wizards	47.3%3.27%	55.0%2.34%	36.9%9.90%		43.6%6.80%	48.5%4.76%	64.5%0.48%
New England Revolution	55.5%5.70%	60.8%4.10%	42.6%17.38%	56.4%6.80%		54.2%8.06%	68.0%0.80%
New York RB	51.8%3.85%	57.2%2.74%	37.9%11.85%	51.5%4.76%	45.8%8.06%		63.9%0.55%
Toronto FC	27.9%0.40%	38.5%0.25%	23.1%1.13%	35.5%0.48%	32.0%0.80%	36.1%0.55%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake
Chivas USA		61.1%7.52%	58.3%9.54%	47.7%17.49%	60.5%8.35%	66.4%3.38%
Colorado Rapids	38.9%7.52%		48.7%4.88%	37.8%8.81%	49.4%4.26%	55.3%1.65%
FC Dallas	41.7%9.54%	51.3%4.88%		39.3%11.12%	52.0%5.16%	57.2%2.22%
Houston Dynamo	52.3%17.49%	62.2%8.81%	60.7%11.12%		62.7%9.89%	68.5%3.85%
Los Angeles Galaxy	39.5%8.35%	50.6%4.26%	48.0%5.16%	37.3%9.89%		57.6%1.89%
Real Salt Lake	33.6%3.38%	44.7%1.65%	42.8%2.22%	31.5%3.85%	42.4%1.89%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles Galaxy	Real Salt Lake	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	Kansas City Wizards	New England Revolution	New York RB	Toronto FC
Chicago Fire	44.6%2.69%	55.8%1.23%	53.9%1.54%	43.9%3.19%	54.7%1.36%	65.8%0.48%
Columbus Crew	42.1%1.73%	53.2%0.80%	51.4%1.02%	38.9%1.99%	50.7%0.89%	58.8%0.30%
DC United	59.2%8.53%	68.9%3.85%	66.5%4.94%	56.3%10.08%	67.8%4.21%	71.6%1.67%
Kansas City Wizards	44.6%3.05%	55.5%1.45%	54.6%1.76%	44.3%3.69%	55.9%1.55%	63.7%0.57%
New England Revolution	51.6%5.75%	63.2%2.51%	61.0%3.24%	49.8%6.47%	60.7%2.76%	65.9%1.07%
New York RB	46.9%3.78%	58.5%1.68%	55.0%2.14%	45.7%4.48%	58.2%1.79%	61.6%0.69%
Toronto FC	28.8%0.26%	42.6%0.13%	42.9%0.17%	29.6%0.32%	48.0%0.15%	43.1%0.06%
Chivas USA							55.4%2.69%	57.9%1.73%	40.8%8.53%	55.4%3.05%	48.4%5.75%	53.1%3.78%	71.2%0.26%
Colorado Rapids							44.2%1.23%	46.8%0.80%	31.1%3.85%	44.5%1.45%	36.8%2.51%	41.5%1.68%	57.4%0.13%
FC Dallas							46.1%1.54%	48.6%1.02%	33.5%4.94%	45.4%1.76%	39.0%3.24%	45.0%2.14%	57.1%0.17%
Houston Dynamo							56.1%3.19%	61.1%1.99%	43.7%10.08%	55.7%3.69%	50.2%6.47%	54.3%4.48%	70.4%0.32%
Los Angeles Galaxy							45.3%1.36%	49.3%0.89%	32.2%4.21%	44.1%1.55%	39.3%2.76%	41.8%1.79%	52.0%0.15%
Real Salt Lake							34.2%0.48%	41.2%0.30%	28.4%1.67%	36.3%0.57%	34.1%1.07%	38.4%0.69%	56.9%0.06%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup	Actual Outcome
DC United	63.49%	42.23%	27.73%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Houston Dynamo	63.02%	33.12%	17.31%	Won MLS Cup
New England Revolution	54.92%	24.70%	11.58%	Eliminated in MLS Cup
New York RB	45.08%	18.83%	7.67%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Chicago Fire	36.51%	14.23%	5.80%	Eliminated in Conference Finals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	DC United	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire		36.5%100.00%
DC United	63.5%100.00%
New England Revolution				54.9%100.00%
New York RB			45.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo
Chivas USA		60.8%100.00%
Colorado Rapids	39.2%100.00%
FC Dallas				37.0%100.00%
Houston Dynamo			63.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	DC United	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire			37.6%20.10%	40.7%16.41%
DC United			65.1%34.82%	68.2%28.67%
New England Revolution	62.4%20.10%	34.9%34.82%
New York RB	59.3%16.41%	31.8%28.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo
Chivas USA			66.4%22.62%	57.3%38.20%
Colorado Rapids			40.9%14.36%	32.2%24.82%
FC Dallas	33.6%22.62%	59.1%14.36%
Houston Dynamo	42.7%38.20%	67.8%24.82%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chivas USA	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Chicago Fire	DC United	New England Revolution	New York RB
Chicago Fire	36.2%5.25%	62.5%1.98%	44.5%2.29%	34.9%4.71%
DC United	63.6%15.53%	71.5%5.75%	70.8%6.77%	63.0%14.19%
New England Revolution	39.1%9.15%	65.6%3.50%	66.8%4.01%	37.8%8.04%
New York RB	35.8%7.01%	62.8%2.64%	43.9%3.01%	35.4%6.18%
Chivas USA					63.8%5.25%	36.4%15.53%	60.9%9.15%	64.2%7.01%
Colorado Rapids					37.5%1.98%	28.5%5.75%	34.4%3.50%	37.2%2.64%
FC Dallas					55.5%2.29%	29.2%6.77%	33.2%4.01%	56.1%3.01%
Houston Dynamo					65.1%4.71%	37.0%14.19%	62.2%8.04%	64.6%6.18%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

DC United 27.73% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Chicago Fire

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

63.49%

→

Conference Finals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

53.67%

Win Prob

65.09%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Chivas USA

Matchup

35.63%

Win Prob

63.62%

Chivas USA 19.07% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.82%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

59.31%

Win Prob

57.35%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

29.62%

Win Prob

36.38%

Houston Dynamo 17.31% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

63.02%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

50.81%

Win Prob

67.80%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

30.31%

Win Prob

36.99%

New England Revolution 11.58% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. New York RB

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.92%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Chicago Fire

Matchup

50.79%

Win Prob

62.42%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Chivas USA

Matchup

30.87%

Win Prob

39.08%

New York RB 7.67% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.08%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Chicago Fire

Matchup

51.67%

Win Prob

59.31%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Chivas USA

Matchup

32.68%

Win Prob

35.78%

FC Dallas 6.26% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.98%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

52.78%

Win Prob

59.11%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

31.49%

Win Prob

29.15%

Chicago Fire 5.80% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. DC United

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.51%

→

Conference Finals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

53.08%

Win Prob

37.58%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Chivas USA

Matchup

32.74%

Win Prob

36.19%

Colorado Rapids 4.56% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Chivas USA

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.18%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Houston Dynamo

Matchup

57.65%

Win Prob

32.20%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

35.85%

Win Prob

28.46%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2007-04-08	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1517.15	1529.46	44.14%	26.61%	29.25%	+3.81	3
2007-04-16	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1520.96	1490.24	31.51%	26.94%	41.55%	+0.24	4
2007-04-22	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1521.20	1515.08	46.69%	26.17%	27.14%	+3.38	7
2007-04-30	@ Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1524.58	1492.50	31.68%	26.96%	41.36%	+4.96	10
2007-05-06	@ New England Revolution	L 1-3	1529.54	1540.71	26.60%	26.02%	47.38%	-5.74	10
2007-05-12	@ Toronto FC	L 1-3	1523.80	1422.51	41.35%	26.96%	31.70%	-8.10	10
2007-05-18	FC Dallas	L 1-2	1515.70	1507.99	46.91%	26.12%	26.97%	-5.16	10
2007-05-25	@ New York RB	L 0-3	1510.54	1534.88	25.22%	25.61%	49.17%	-9.19	10
2007-05-27	Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1501.35	1452.25	52.45%	24.69%	22.85%	-0.84	11
2007-06-04	Columbus Crew	W 3-2	1500.51	1477.61	48.97%	25.66%	25.37%	+3.02	14
2007-06-10	Chivas USA	L 0-1	1503.53	1495.43	46.96%	26.11%	26.93%	-5.47	14
2007-06-17	@ DC United	L 1-3	1498.06	1534.21	24.06%	25.20%	50.75%	-5.25	14
2007-07-02	Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1492.81	1467.92	49.24%	25.59%	25.17%	-0.67	15
2007-07-05	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1492.14	1496.91	27.29%	26.20%	46.51%	-6.78	15
2007-07-08	Toronto FC	T 1-1	1485.36	1448.20	50.88%	25.16%	23.96%	-0.68	16
2007-07-13	Houston Dynamo	L 0-4	1484.68	1533.71	38.94%	27.13%	33.92%	-16.97	16
2007-07-29	@ Toronto FC	W 3-0	1467.71	1444.00	30.63%	26.83%	42.54%	+13.88	19
2007-08-05	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1481.59	1493.06	44.26%	26.60%	29.15%	-0.41	20
2007-08-19	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1481.18	1438.94	33.01%	27.08%	39.91%	+9.11	23
2007-08-23	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1490.29	1509.11	25.79%	25.79%	48.42%	-3.06	23
2007-08-26	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1487.23	1512.18	42.37%	26.85%	30.78%	+7.49	26
2007-09-02	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1494.72	1514.94	25.64%	25.75%	48.61%	-3.41	26
2007-09-09	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1491.31	1482.32	28.85%	26.54%	44.60%	+5.26	29
2007-09-16	New York RB	T 2-2	1496.57	1508.78	44.15%	26.61%	29.23%	-0.27	30
2007-09-21	@ FC Dallas	T 1-1	1496.30	1497.06	27.74%	26.31%	45.95%	+0.45	31
2007-09-23	DC United	T 1-1	1496.75	1596.88	31.84%	26.97%	41.18%	+0.22	32
2007-09-30	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1496.97	1551.76	22.34%	24.46%	53.20%	+0.78	33
2007-10-07	New England Revolution	W 2-1	1497.75	1547.18	38.89%	27.14%	33.98%	+4.05	36
2007-10-14	@ DC United	T 0-0	1501.80	1600.16	18.86%	22.43%	58.71%	+1.15	37
2007-10-21	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1502.95	1480.02	48.98%	25.66%	25.37%	+3.37	40
2007-04-08	Toronto FC	W 2-0	1481.24	1450.00	50.09%	25.37%	24.53%	+6.17	3
2007-04-15	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1487.41	1492.26	27.28%	26.20%	46.52%	-3.60	3
2007-04-22	Real Salt Lake	W 4-0	1483.81	1476.78	46.82%	26.14%	27.04%	+12.77	6
2007-04-29	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1496.58	1507.88	26.58%	26.02%	47.40%	-5.74	6
2007-05-06	@ DC United	L 1-2	1490.84	1518.08	24.93%	25.51%	49.56%	-3.13	6
2007-05-13	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1487.71	1490.23	27.54%	26.26%	46.20%	+0.46	7
2007-05-20	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1488.17	1509.20	42.92%	26.78%	30.30%	-0.31	8
2007-05-27	FC Dallas	W 2-0	1487.86	1515.93	41.93%	26.90%	31.17%	+7.57	11
2007-06-10	@ Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1495.43	1503.53	26.93%	26.11%	46.96%	+5.47	14
2007-06-17	Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1500.90	1486.38	47.84%	25.92%	26.24%	+6.56	17
2007-06-22	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-4	1507.46	1496.38	29.10%	26.59%	44.31%	-13.59	17
2007-07-01	New England Revolution	W 2-0	1493.87	1555.58	37.13%	27.19%	35.68%	+8.39	20
2007-07-05	@ FC Dallas	L 0-2	1502.26	1503.08	27.73%	26.31%	45.96%	-6.87	20
2007-07-08	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1495.39	1547.19	22.61%	24.58%	52.81%	+0.76	21
2007-07-15	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1496.15	1490.39	46.64%	26.18%	27.18%	+3.38	24
2007-07-27	@ New York RB	W 2-0	1499.53	1523.69	25.24%	25.62%	49.14%	+10.69	27
2007-07-30	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1510.22	1517.11	27.06%	26.15%	46.80%	-3.20	27
2007-08-18	@ Toronto FC	W 2-0	1507.02	1422.83	38.91%	27.13%	33.96%	+8.09	30
2007-08-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1515.11	1494.32	30.27%	26.78%	42.95%	+13.98	33
2007-08-27	Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1529.09	1429.83	58.82%	22.38%	18.80%	+2.51	36
2007-09-07	DC United	T 2-2	1531.60	1590.48	37.53%	27.18%	35.29%	-0.04	37
2007-09-10	New York RB	W 3-0	1531.56	1518.34	47.66%	25.96%	26.38%	+9.56	40
2007-09-14	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1541.12	1471.27	55.14%	23.80%	21.06%	+7.74	43
2007-09-16	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1548.86	1482.66	36.33%	27.19%	36.48%	+0.00	44
2007-09-23	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1548.86	1500.86	52.31%	24.74%	22.95%	+2.90	47
2007-09-30	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1551.76	1496.97	53.20%	24.46%	22.34%	-0.78	48
2007-10-07	@ Real Salt Lake	W 3-2	1550.98	1441.31	42.53%	26.83%	30.64%	+3.54	51
2007-10-12	@ FC Dallas	T 0-0	1554.52	1488.65	36.28%	27.19%	36.53%	+0.01	52
2007-10-14	Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1554.53	1478.33	55.94%	23.51%	20.55%	-5.92	52
2007-10-21	Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1548.61	1561.39	44.07%	26.62%	29.30%	-0.40	53
2007-04-07	DC United	W 2-1	1486.21	1534.77	39.01%	27.13%	33.86%	+4.03	3
2007-04-16	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1490.24	1520.96	41.55%	26.94%	31.51%	-0.24	4
2007-04-22	@ FC Dallas	L 1-3	1490.00	1507.27	25.95%	25.84%	48.21%	-5.62	4
2007-05-01	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1484.38	1464.01	30.22%	26.77%	43.01%	+9.64	7
2007-05-06	Houston Dynamo	L 1-3	1494.02	1487.54	46.74%	26.16%	27.10%	-8.90	7
2007-05-11	Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1485.12	1454.40	50.02%	25.39%	24.59%	-0.64	8
2007-05-13	@ New York RB	W 1-0	1484.48	1529.18	23.25%	24.87%	51.88%	+5.91	11
2007-05-20	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1490.39	1521.34	41.52%	26.94%	31.54%	-0.24	12
2007-05-27	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1490.15	1509.50	43.15%	26.75%	30.09%	+3.91	15
2007-06-02	@ Toronto FC	L 1-2	1494.06	1431.64	35.79%	27.19%	37.02%	-4.21	15
2007-06-08	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1489.85	1488.05	28.03%	26.37%	45.60%	-3.47	15
2007-06-17	@ Chivas USA	L 0-2	1486.38	1500.90	26.24%	25.92%	47.84%	-6.55	15
2007-06-24	FC Dallas	L 0-1	1479.83	1498.35	43.27%	26.74%	29.99%	-5.14	15
2007-06-29	@ DC United	L 1-4	1474.69	1534.88	21.87%	24.23%	53.90%	-6.77	15
2007-07-02	@ Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1467.92	1492.81	25.17%	25.59%	49.24%	+0.67	16
2007-07-05	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1468.59	1483.99	43.71%	26.68%	29.61%	-0.38	17
2007-07-09	New York RB	L 0-1	1468.21	1520.14	38.53%	27.15%	34.32%	-4.71	17
2007-07-23	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1463.50	1517.69	22.40%	24.48%	53.12%	+0.58	18
2007-08-05	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1464.08	1510.36	23.11%	24.81%	52.08%	-3.09	18
2007-08-12	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1460.99	1544.64	34.03%	27.14%	38.83%	+4.73	21
2007-08-17	New England Revolution	W 3-0	1465.72	1548.66	34.13%	27.14%	38.73%	+12.94	24
2007-08-27	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1478.66	1480.33	45.62%	26.37%	28.01%	+10.07	27
2007-09-02	@ Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1488.73	1482.73	28.51%	26.47%	45.02%	+0.40	28
2007-09-09	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1489.13	1464.79	30.71%	26.84%	42.45%	-6.47	28
2007-09-16	Chivas USA	T 1-1	1482.66	1548.86	36.48%	27.19%	36.33%	-0.01	29
2007-09-23	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-1	1482.65	1436.42	33.55%	27.11%	39.34%	-4.24	29
2007-09-30	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1478.41	1544.31	21.39%	23.98%	54.63%	-2.87	29
2007-10-08	Toronto FC	W 1-0	1475.54	1402.84	55.50%	23.67%	20.83%	+2.79	32
2007-10-14	@ Chivas USA	W 2-1	1478.33	1554.53	20.55%	23.51%	55.94%	+5.91	35
2007-10-21	Real Salt Lake	L 0-1	1484.24	1433.94	52.61%	24.65%	22.74%	-5.98	35
2007-04-08	New York RB	T 0-0	1489.48	1510.02	42.99%	26.77%	30.24%	-0.34	1
2007-04-14	@ Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1489.14	1477.18	29.20%	26.61%	44.19%	+0.41	2
2007-04-20	New England Revolution	T 2-2	1489.55	1535.29	39.41%	27.11%	33.48%	-0.11	3
2007-04-29	DC United	W 1-0	1489.44	1522.46	41.23%	26.97%	31.80%	+4.08	6
2007-05-05	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1493.52	1523.39	24.67%	25.42%	49.91%	-3.29	6
2007-05-13	Chivas USA	T 1-1	1490.23	1487.71	46.20%	26.26%	27.54%	-0.46	7
2007-05-20	@ New York RB	L 0-4	1489.77	1523.26	24.31%	25.29%	50.39%	-11.61	7
2007-05-27	Toronto FC	T 2-2	1478.16	1431.09	52.19%	24.78%	23.04%	-0.55	8
2007-06-04	@ Chicago Fire	L 2-3	1477.61	1500.51	25.37%	25.66%	48.97%	-3.02	8
2007-06-10	Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1474.59	1491.52	43.49%	26.71%	29.80%	-4.86	8
2007-06-16	@ New England Revolution	T 3-3	1469.73	1549.30	20.28%	23.35%	56.37%	+0.57	9
2007-06-21	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1470.30	1530.40	37.36%	27.19%	35.46%	+4.18	12
2007-06-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-2	1474.48	1502.02	24.90%	25.50%	49.60%	+5.10	15
2007-07-01	New York RB	W 1-0	1479.58	1538.45	37.53%	27.18%	35.28%	+4.41	18
2007-07-05	@ Colorado Rapids	T 0-0	1483.99	1468.59	29.61%	26.68%	43.71%	+0.39	19
2007-07-08	Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1484.38	1446.26	51.01%	25.12%	23.87%	+6.01	22
2007-07-15	@ Chivas USA	L 1-2	1490.39	1496.15	27.18%	26.18%	46.64%	-3.38	22
2007-07-22	Toronto FC	W 2-0	1487.01	1450.05	50.85%	25.17%	23.98%	+6.05	25
2007-08-05	@ Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1493.06	1481.59	29.15%	26.60%	44.26%	+0.41	26
2007-08-12	@ FC Dallas	L 2-3	1493.47	1513.45	25.67%	25.75%	48.58%	-3.05	26
2007-08-19	DC United	L 0-2	1490.42	1557.04	36.42%	27.19%	36.39%	-8.52	26
2007-08-26	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1481.90	1543.27	21.77%	24.18%	54.05%	+0.83	27
2007-09-02	Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1482.73	1488.73	45.02%	26.47%	28.51%	-0.41	28
2007-09-09	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1482.32	1491.31	44.60%	26.54%	28.85%	-5.25	28
2007-09-16	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1477.07	1497.82	25.59%	25.73%	48.68%	-3.04	28
2007-09-22	@ Toronto FC	W 2-1	1474.03	1406.08	36.58%	27.19%	36.23%	+4.24	31
2007-09-30	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1478.27	1466.43	47.47%	26.00%	26.52%	-5.20	31
2007-10-07	FC Dallas	L 1-3	1473.07	1480.02	44.89%	26.50%	28.62%	-8.63	31
2007-10-14	@ New England Revolution	W 3-2	1464.44	1543.14	20.35%	23.39%	56.26%	+5.63	34
2007-10-21	@ DC United	W 3-2	1470.07	1599.01	16.79%	20.81%	62.40%	+6.10	37
2007-04-07	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1534.77	1486.21	33.86%	27.13%	39.01%	-4.04	0
2007-04-15	Kansas City Wizards	L 2-4	1530.73	1506.81	49.11%	25.63%	25.26%	-8.27	0
2007-04-29	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1522.46	1489.44	31.80%	26.97%	41.23%	-4.08	0
2007-05-04	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1518.38	1540.41	42.78%	26.80%	30.42%	-0.30	1
2007-05-06	Chivas USA	W 2-1	1518.08	1490.84	49.56%	25.51%	24.93%	+3.14	4
2007-05-19	@ Toronto FC	W 2-1	1521.22	1435.11	39.18%	27.12%	33.70%	+4.01	7
2007-05-27	Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1525.23	1487.32	50.98%	25.13%	23.89%	+3.01	10
2007-06-03	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1528.24	1505.60	30.50%	26.81%	42.69%	+0.33	11
2007-06-10	New York RB	W 4-2	1528.57	1544.39	43.65%	26.69%	29.66%	+5.64	14
2007-06-17	Chicago Fire	W 3-1	1534.21	1498.06	50.75%	25.20%	24.06%	+5.25	17
2007-06-24	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1539.46	1446.85	40.11%	27.06%	32.83%	-4.58	17
2007-06-29	Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1534.88	1474.69	53.90%	24.23%	21.87%	+6.78	20
2007-07-04	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1541.66	1519.74	30.41%	26.80%	42.79%	+5.09	23
2007-07-09	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1546.75	1529.84	29.80%	26.71%	43.50%	-3.87	23
2007-07-15	FC Dallas	T 3-3	1542.88	1509.96	50.32%	25.31%	24.37%	-0.40	24
2007-07-22	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1542.48	1519.75	30.51%	26.81%	42.68%	-3.95	24
2007-08-05	@ New England Revolution	W 3-0	1538.53	1561.02	25.41%	25.67%	48.92%	+15.47	27
2007-08-10	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1554.00	1503.37	52.65%	24.63%	22.71%	+3.04	30
2007-08-19	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1557.04	1490.42	36.39%	27.19%	36.42%	+8.52	33
2007-08-23	New York RB	W 3-1	1565.56	1523.25	51.56%	24.96%	23.48%	+5.13	36
2007-08-26	@ Toronto FC	W 1-0	1570.69	1414.74	48.92%	25.67%	25.41%	+3.37	39
2007-09-02	@ FC Dallas	W 4-0	1574.06	1513.14	35.58%	27.19%	37.24%	+16.42	42
2007-09-07	@ Chivas USA	T 2-2	1590.48	1531.60	35.29%	27.18%	37.53%	+0.04	43
2007-09-09	New England Revolution	W 4-2	1590.52	1544.00	52.12%	24.80%	23.09%	+4.52	46
2007-09-13	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1595.04	1438.22	65.63%	19.26%	15.11%	+1.84	49
2007-09-23	@ Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1596.88	1496.75	41.18%	26.97%	31.84%	-0.23	50
2007-09-30	Toronto FC	W 4-1	1596.65	1401.84	69.81%	17.12%	13.07%	+3.79	53
2007-10-06	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1600.44	1492.13	42.34%	26.85%	30.81%	-0.28	54
2007-10-14	Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1600.16	1501.80	58.71%	22.43%	18.86%	-1.15	55
2007-10-21	Columbus Crew	L 2-3	1599.01	1470.07	62.40%	20.81%	16.79%	-6.10	55
2007-04-07	@ Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1512.31	1477.34	32.06%	27.00%	40.95%	+0.16	1
2007-04-13	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1512.47	1512.95	27.77%	26.32%	45.92%	+5.07	4
2007-04-15	@ New York RB	L 0-3	1517.54	1510.37	28.64%	26.50%	44.86%	-10.27	4
2007-04-22	Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1507.27	1490.00	48.21%	25.84%	25.95%	+5.63	7
2007-04-27	New York RB	L 0-1	1512.90	1523.98	44.31%	26.59%	29.10%	-5.23	7
2007-04-29	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1507.67	1535.39	41.97%	26.89%	31.13%	-5.02	7
2007-05-13	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1502.65	1526.68	25.25%	25.62%	49.13%	+5.34	10
2007-05-18	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1507.99	1515.70	26.97%	26.12%	46.91%	+5.15	13
2007-05-21	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1513.14	1455.04	53.63%	24.32%	22.05%	+2.79	16
2007-05-27	@ Chivas USA	L 0-2	1515.93	1487.86	31.17%	26.90%	41.93%	-7.56	16
2007-06-03	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1508.37	1484.31	30.67%	26.84%	42.49%	-3.74	16
2007-06-10	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-1	1504.63	1505.27	45.76%	26.34%	27.89%	+5.99	19
2007-06-15	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1510.62	1454.23	34.94%	27.17%	37.89%	+4.64	22
2007-06-17	@ Toronto FC	L 0-4	1515.26	1432.05	38.77%	27.14%	34.09%	-16.91	22
2007-06-24	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1498.35	1479.83	29.99%	26.74%	43.27%	+5.14	25
2007-06-30	Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1503.49	1515.53	44.18%	26.61%	29.21%	-0.41	26
2007-07-05	Chivas USA	W 2-0	1503.08	1502.26	45.96%	26.31%	27.73%	+6.88	29
2007-07-15	@ DC United	T 3-3	1509.96	1542.88	24.37%	25.31%	50.32%	+0.40	30
2007-08-05	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1510.36	1464.08	52.08%	24.81%	23.11%	+3.09	33
2007-08-12	Columbus Crew	W 3-2	1513.45	1493.47	48.58%	25.75%	25.67%	+3.05	36
2007-08-20	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1516.50	1539.91	25.32%	25.64%	49.04%	-3.36	36
2007-09-02	DC United	L 0-4	1513.14	1574.06	37.24%	27.19%	35.58%	-16.42	36
2007-09-09	Toronto FC	W 2-0	1496.72	1411.36	57.10%	23.07%	19.83%	+5.01	39
2007-09-16	@ New England Revolution	L 2-4	1501.73	1539.49	23.90%	25.14%	50.96%	-4.67	39
2007-09-21	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1497.06	1496.30	45.95%	26.31%	27.74%	-0.45	40
2007-09-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1496.61	1456.68	32.70%	27.05%	40.24%	-3.93	40
2007-09-30	Houston Dynamo	L 0-3	1492.68	1550.98	37.62%	27.18%	35.20%	-12.66	40
2007-10-07	@ Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1480.02	1473.07	28.62%	26.50%	44.89%	+8.63	43
2007-10-12	Chivas USA	T 0-0	1488.65	1554.52	36.53%	27.19%	36.28%	-0.01	44
2007-10-21	Kansas City Wizards	L 0-2	1488.64	1489.09	45.79%	26.34%	27.87%	-10.11	44
2007-04-09	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1492.60	1512.60	43.06%	26.77%	30.17%	-0.34	1
2007-04-15	Chivas USA	W 1-0	1492.26	1487.41	46.52%	26.20%	27.28%	+3.59	4
2007-04-22	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1495.85	1520.63	25.18%	25.60%	49.23%	-3.35	4
2007-04-30	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1492.50	1524.58	41.36%	26.96%	31.68%	-4.96	4
2007-05-06	@ Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1487.54	1494.02	27.10%	26.16%	46.74%	+8.90	7
2007-05-17	@ Toronto FC	L 0-1	1496.44	1430.61	36.27%	27.19%	36.53%	-4.50	7
2007-05-20	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1491.94	1550.88	37.52%	27.18%	35.30%	-4.62	7
2007-05-27	@ DC United	L 1-2	1487.32	1525.23	23.89%	25.13%	50.98%	-3.01	7
2007-06-03	FC Dallas	W 2-1	1484.31	1508.37	42.49%	26.84%	30.67%	+3.74	10
2007-06-08	Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1488.05	1489.85	45.60%	26.37%	28.03%	+3.47	13
2007-06-10	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1491.52	1474.59	29.80%	26.71%	43.49%	+4.86	16
2007-06-22	Chivas USA	W 4-0	1496.38	1507.46	44.31%	26.59%	29.10%	+13.58	19
2007-06-24	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1509.96	1526.23	26.05%	25.87%	48.08%	+5.57	22
2007-06-30	@ FC Dallas	T 0-0	1515.53	1503.49	29.21%	26.61%	44.18%	+0.41	23
2007-07-06	New York RB	W 4-0	1515.94	1534.04	43.33%	26.73%	29.94%	+13.90	26
2007-07-09	DC United	W 1-0	1529.84	1546.75	43.50%	26.71%	29.80%	+3.87	29
2007-07-13	@ Chicago Fire	W 4-0	1533.71	1484.68	33.92%	27.13%	38.94%	+16.97	32
2007-07-16	Toronto FC	T 0-0	1550.68	1448.87	59.13%	22.25%	18.62%	-1.17	33
2007-07-22	@ New England Revolution	T 3-3	1549.51	1551.52	27.60%	26.28%	46.13%	+0.28	34
2007-08-05	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-1	1549.79	1433.79	43.42%	26.72%	29.86%	-5.15	34
2007-08-12	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1544.64	1460.99	38.83%	27.14%	34.03%	-4.73	34
2007-08-20	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1539.91	1516.50	49.04%	25.64%	25.32%	+3.36	37
2007-08-26	Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1543.27	1481.90	54.05%	24.18%	21.77%	-0.82	38
2007-09-02	Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1542.45	1497.09	51.96%	24.84%	23.19%	-0.72	39
2007-09-09	Real Salt Lake	W 4-3	1541.73	1440.39	59.08%	22.27%	18.65%	+2.16	42
2007-09-17	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-1	1543.89	1463.53	38.36%	27.16%	34.48%	+7.09	45
2007-09-30	@ FC Dallas	W 3-0	1550.98	1492.68	35.20%	27.18%	37.62%	+12.66	48
2007-10-07	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1563.64	1471.64	57.92%	22.75%	19.33%	-6.08	48
2007-10-16	@ Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1557.56	1437.77	43.95%	26.64%	29.41%	+3.83	51
2007-10-21	@ Chivas USA	T 0-0	1561.39	1548.61	29.30%	26.62%	44.07%	+0.40	52
2007-04-15	@ DC United	W 4-2	1506.81	1530.73	25.26%	25.63%	49.11%	+8.27	3
2007-04-22	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1515.08	1521.20	27.14%	26.17%	46.69%	-3.37	3
2007-04-26	Toronto FC	W 3-0	1511.71	1434.19	56.11%	23.45%	20.44%	+7.50	6
2007-04-28	@ Toronto FC	W 1-0	1519.21	1426.69	40.10%	27.06%	32.84%	+4.18	9
2007-05-05	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1523.39	1493.52	49.91%	25.42%	24.67%	+3.29	12
2007-05-13	FC Dallas	L 1-2	1526.68	1502.65	49.13%	25.62%	25.25%	-5.34	12
2007-05-20	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1521.34	1490.39	31.54%	26.94%	41.52%	+0.24	13
2007-05-26	@ New England Revolution	W 4-3	1521.58	1555.49	24.27%	25.28%	50.45%	+5.05	16
2007-06-03	New York RB	W 3-2	1526.63	1544.07	43.42%	26.72%	29.86%	+3.47	19
2007-06-17	@ New York RB	T 3-3	1530.10	1538.76	26.86%	26.10%	47.04%	+0.30	20
2007-06-21	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1530.40	1470.30	35.46%	27.19%	37.36%	-4.17	20
2007-06-24	Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1526.23	1509.96	48.08%	25.87%	26.05%	-5.57	20
2007-07-02	Toronto FC	T 1-1	1520.66	1442.11	56.24%	23.40%	20.36%	-0.92	21
2007-07-04	DC United	L 0-1	1519.74	1541.66	42.79%	26.80%	30.41%	-5.09	21
2007-07-08	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 2-2	1514.65	1503.70	29.08%	26.59%	44.33%	+0.27	22
2007-07-15	Real Salt Lake	W 1-0	1514.92	1440.25	55.75%	23.58%	20.67%	+2.77	25
2007-07-23	Colorado Rapids	T 2-2	1517.69	1463.50	53.12%	24.48%	22.40%	-0.58	26
2007-07-30	Chivas USA	W 3-2	1517.11	1510.22	46.80%	26.15%	27.06%	+3.20	29
2007-08-03	@ New England Revolution	L 0-2	1520.31	1554.92	24.21%	25.25%	50.54%	-6.10	29
2007-08-20	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1514.21	1535.72	42.85%	26.79%	30.36%	-5.10	29
2007-08-23	Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1509.11	1490.29	48.42%	25.79%	25.79%	+3.07	32
2007-08-26	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1512.18	1487.23	30.78%	26.85%	42.37%	-7.50	32
2007-08-30	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-3	1504.68	1427.33	37.93%	27.17%	34.90%	-7.59	32
2007-09-02	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1497.09	1542.45	23.19%	24.84%	51.96%	+0.73	33
2007-09-16	Columbus Crew	W 3-2	1497.82	1477.07	48.68%	25.73%	25.59%	+3.04	36
2007-09-23	@ Chivas USA	L 1-2	1500.86	1548.86	22.95%	24.74%	52.31%	-2.90	36
2007-09-28	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1497.96	1460.61	50.91%	25.15%	23.94%	-5.83	36
2007-10-06	DC United	T 1-1	1492.13	1600.44	30.81%	26.85%	42.34%	+0.28	37
2007-10-14	@ New York RB	L 1-2	1492.41	1503.46	26.61%	26.03%	47.37%	-3.32	37
2007-10-21	@ FC Dallas	W 2-0	1489.09	1488.64	27.87%	26.34%	45.79%	+10.12	40
2007-04-09	@ Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1512.60	1492.60	30.17%	26.77%	43.06%	+0.35	1
2007-04-13	FC Dallas	L 1-2	1512.95	1512.47	45.92%	26.32%	27.77%	-5.07	1
2007-04-29	Chivas USA	W 3-1	1507.88	1496.58	47.40%	26.02%	26.58%	+5.75	4
2007-05-13	New England Revolution	L 2-3	1513.63	1546.45	41.25%	26.97%	31.78%	-4.43	4
2007-05-20	@ Chivas USA	T 1-1	1509.20	1488.17	30.30%	26.78%	42.92%	+0.30	5
2007-05-27	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1509.50	1490.15	30.09%	26.75%	43.15%	-3.90	5
2007-06-03	DC United	T 0-0	1505.60	1528.24	42.69%	26.81%	30.50%	-0.33	6
2007-06-10	@ FC Dallas	L 1-3	1505.27	1504.63	27.89%	26.34%	45.76%	-5.98	6
2007-06-18	Real Salt Lake	W 3-2	1499.29	1449.59	52.53%	24.67%	22.80%	+2.73	9
2007-06-24	Columbus Crew	L 2-3	1502.02	1474.48	49.60%	25.50%	24.90%	-5.11	9
2007-07-05	Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1496.91	1492.14	46.51%	26.20%	27.29%	+6.79	12
2007-07-08	Kansas City Wizards	T 2-2	1503.70	1514.65	44.33%	26.59%	29.08%	-0.28	13
2007-08-06	@ Toronto FC	T 0-0	1503.42	1430.12	37.35%	27.19%	35.47%	-0.05	14
2007-08-10	@ DC United	L 0-1	1503.37	1554.00	22.71%	24.63%	52.65%	-3.04	14
2007-08-13	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1500.33	1545.55	23.21%	24.85%	51.95%	-3.11	14
2007-08-19	@ New York RB	L 4-5	1497.22	1520.35	25.34%	25.65%	49.00%	-2.90	14
2007-08-24	Chivas USA	L 0-3	1494.32	1515.11	42.95%	26.78%	30.27%	-13.99	14
2007-08-27	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-3	1480.33	1478.66	28.01%	26.37%	45.62%	-10.07	14
2007-09-02	Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1470.26	1434.92	50.64%	25.23%	24.14%	-5.47	14
2007-09-09	Colorado Rapids	W 3-1	1464.79	1489.13	42.45%	26.84%	30.71%	+6.48	17
2007-09-14	@ Chivas USA	L 0-3	1471.27	1541.12	21.06%	23.80%	55.14%	-7.74	17
2007-09-17	Houston Dynamo	L 1-3	1463.53	1543.89	34.48%	27.16%	38.36%	-7.08	17
2007-09-20	@ Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1456.45	1436.65	30.15%	26.76%	43.09%	+0.23	18
2007-09-24	FC Dallas	W 2-1	1456.68	1496.61	40.24%	27.05%	32.70%	+3.93	21
2007-09-28	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1460.61	1497.96	23.94%	25.15%	50.91%	+5.82	24
2007-09-30	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1466.43	1478.27	26.52%	26.00%	47.47%	+5.21	27
2007-10-07	@ Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1471.64	1563.64	19.33%	22.75%	57.92%	+6.07	30
2007-10-14	Toronto FC	W 2-1	1477.71	1400.05	56.13%	23.44%	20.43%	+2.58	33
2007-10-19	New York RB	T 1-1	1480.29	1506.78	42.15%	26.88%	30.98%	-0.27	34
2007-10-21	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1480.02	1502.95	25.37%	25.66%	48.98%	-3.37	34
2007-04-08	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1529.46	1517.15	29.25%	26.61%	44.14%	-3.81	0
2007-04-15	Toronto FC	W 4-0	1525.65	1443.83	56.65%	23.24%	20.10%	+9.64	3
2007-04-20	@ Columbus Crew	T 2-2	1535.29	1489.55	33.48%	27.11%	39.41%	+0.10	4
2007-04-29	@ FC Dallas	W 1-0	1535.39	1507.67	31.13%	26.89%	41.97%	+5.02	7
2007-05-04	@ DC United	T 1-1	1540.41	1518.38	30.42%	26.80%	42.78%	+0.30	8
2007-05-06	Chicago Fire	W 3-1	1540.71	1529.54	47.38%	26.02%	26.60%	+5.74	11
2007-05-13	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-2	1546.45	1513.63	31.78%	26.97%	41.25%	+4.43	14
2007-05-20	@ Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1550.88	1491.94	35.30%	27.18%	37.52%	+4.61	17
2007-05-26	Kansas City Wizards	L 3-4	1555.49	1521.58	50.45%	25.28%	24.27%	-5.05	17
2007-06-03	Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1550.44	1453.09	58.59%	22.48%	18.94%	-1.14	18
2007-06-16	Columbus Crew	T 3-3	1549.30	1469.73	56.37%	23.35%	20.28%	-0.58	19
2007-06-24	Toronto FC	W 3-0	1548.72	1448.97	58.88%	22.35%	18.76%	+6.86	22
2007-07-01	@ Chivas USA	L 0-2	1555.58	1493.87	35.68%	27.19%	37.13%	-8.39	22
2007-07-08	Chivas USA	T 1-1	1547.19	1495.39	52.81%	24.58%	22.61%	-0.77	23
2007-07-15	@ New York RB	W 1-0	1546.42	1524.84	30.37%	26.79%	42.84%	+5.10	26
2007-07-22	Houston Dynamo	T 3-3	1551.52	1549.51	46.13%	26.28%	27.60%	-0.28	27
2007-07-29	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1551.24	1437.48	43.11%	26.76%	30.13%	+3.68	30
2007-08-03	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1554.92	1520.31	50.54%	25.25%	24.21%	+6.10	33
2007-08-05	DC United	L 0-3	1561.02	1538.53	48.92%	25.67%	25.41%	-15.47	33
2007-08-13	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1545.55	1500.33	51.95%	24.85%	23.21%	+3.11	36
2007-08-17	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-3	1548.66	1465.72	38.73%	27.14%	34.13%	-12.94	36
2007-08-20	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1535.72	1514.21	30.36%	26.79%	42.85%	+5.10	39
2007-08-26	New York RB	W 2-1	1540.82	1518.12	48.95%	25.67%	25.39%	+3.18	42
2007-09-09	@ DC United	L 2-4	1544.00	1590.52	23.09%	24.80%	52.12%	-4.51	42
2007-09-16	FC Dallas	W 4-2	1539.49	1501.73	50.96%	25.14%	23.90%	+4.66	45
2007-09-23	@ New York RB	T 2-2	1544.15	1509.05	32.07%	27.00%	40.93%	+0.16	46
2007-09-30	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1544.31	1478.41	54.63%	23.98%	21.39%	+2.87	49
2007-10-07	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1547.18	1497.75	33.98%	27.14%	38.89%	-4.04	49
2007-10-14	Columbus Crew	L 2-3	1543.14	1464.44	56.26%	23.39%	20.35%	-5.64	49
2007-10-20	@ Toronto FC	T 2-2	1537.50	1397.47	46.75%	26.15%	27.09%	-0.36	50
2007-04-08	@ Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1510.02	1489.48	30.24%	26.77%	42.99%	+0.35	1
2007-04-15	FC Dallas	W 3-0	1510.37	1517.54	44.86%	26.50%	28.64%	+10.26	4
2007-04-22	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1520.63	1495.85	49.23%	25.60%	25.18%	+3.35	7
2007-04-27	@ FC Dallas	W 1-0	1523.98	1512.90	29.10%	26.59%	44.31%	+5.23	10
2007-05-06	@ Real Salt Lake	T 3-3	1529.21	1454.37	37.57%	27.18%	35.25%	-0.03	11
2007-05-13	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1529.18	1484.48	51.88%	24.87%	23.25%	-5.92	11
2007-05-20	Columbus Crew	W 4-0	1523.26	1489.77	50.39%	25.29%	24.31%	+11.62	14
2007-05-25	Chicago Fire	W 3-0	1534.88	1510.54	49.17%	25.61%	25.22%	+9.19	17
2007-06-03	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-3	1544.07	1526.63	29.86%	26.72%	43.42%	-3.47	17
2007-06-07	@ Toronto FC	W 2-1	1540.60	1435.85	41.84%	26.91%	31.25%	+3.79	20
2007-06-10	@ DC United	L 2-4	1544.39	1528.57	29.66%	26.69%	43.65%	-5.63	20
2007-06-17	Kansas City Wizards	T 3-3	1538.76	1530.10	47.04%	26.10%	26.86%	-0.31	21
2007-07-01	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1538.45	1479.58	35.28%	27.18%	37.53%	-4.41	21
2007-07-06	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-4	1534.04	1515.94	29.94%	26.73%	43.33%	-13.90	21
2007-07-09	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1520.14	1468.21	34.32%	27.15%	38.53%	+4.70	24
2007-07-15	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1524.84	1546.42	42.84%	26.79%	30.37%	-5.09	24
2007-07-22	DC United	W 1-0	1519.75	1542.48	42.68%	26.81%	30.51%	+3.94	27
2007-07-27	Chivas USA	L 0-2	1523.69	1499.53	49.14%	25.62%	25.24%	-10.69	27
2007-08-12	Toronto FC	W 3-0	1513.00	1430.17	56.78%	23.19%	20.03%	+7.35	30
2007-08-19	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 5-4	1520.35	1497.22	49.00%	25.65%	25.34%	+2.90	33
2007-08-23	@ DC United	L 1-3	1523.25	1565.56	23.48%	24.96%	51.56%	-5.13	33
2007-08-26	@ New England Revolution	L 1-2	1518.12	1540.82	25.39%	25.67%	48.95%	-3.18	33
2007-09-02	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1514.94	1494.72	48.61%	25.75%	25.64%	+3.40	36
2007-09-10	@ Chivas USA	L 0-3	1518.34	1531.56	26.38%	25.96%	47.66%	-9.56	36
2007-09-16	@ Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1508.78	1496.57	29.23%	26.61%	44.15%	+0.27	37
2007-09-23	New England Revolution	T 2-2	1509.05	1544.15	40.93%	27.00%	32.07%	-0.16	38
2007-09-30	Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1508.89	1440.67	54.93%	23.87%	21.20%	-0.64	39
2007-10-05	@ Toronto FC	L 1-2	1508.25	1398.06	42.60%	26.82%	30.57%	-4.79	39
2007-10-14	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1503.46	1492.41	47.37%	26.03%	26.61%	+3.32	42
2007-10-19	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1506.78	1480.29	30.98%	26.88%	42.15%	+0.27	43
2007-04-07	FC Dallas	T 2-2	1477.34	1512.31	40.95%	27.00%	32.06%	-0.16	1
2007-04-14	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1477.18	1489.14	44.19%	26.61%	29.20%	-0.40	2
2007-04-22	@ Chivas USA	L 0-4	1476.78	1483.81	27.04%	26.14%	46.82%	-12.77	2
2007-05-01	Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1464.01	1484.38	43.01%	26.77%	30.22%	-9.64	2
2007-05-06	New York RB	T 3-3	1454.37	1529.21	35.25%	27.18%	37.57%	+0.03	3
2007-05-11	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1454.40	1485.12	24.59%	25.39%	50.02%	+0.64	4
2007-05-21	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1455.04	1513.14	22.05%	24.32%	53.63%	-2.79	4
2007-05-27	@ Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1452.25	1501.35	22.85%	24.69%	52.45%	+0.84	5
2007-06-03	@ New England Revolution	T 0-0	1453.09	1550.44	18.94%	22.48%	58.59%	+1.14	6
2007-06-15	FC Dallas	L 0-1	1454.23	1510.62	37.89%	27.17%	34.94%	-4.64	6
2007-06-18	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-3	1449.59	1499.29	22.80%	24.67%	52.53%	-2.74	6
2007-06-24	DC United	W 2-1	1446.85	1539.46	32.83%	27.06%	40.11%	+4.58	9
2007-07-05	Toronto FC	L 1-2	1451.43	1443.04	47.00%	26.10%	26.89%	-5.17	9
2007-07-08	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1446.26	1484.38	23.87%	25.12%	51.01%	-6.01	9
2007-07-15	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1440.25	1514.92	20.67%	23.58%	55.75%	-2.77	9
2007-07-29	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1437.48	1551.24	30.13%	26.76%	43.11%	-3.69	9
2007-08-05	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1433.79	1549.79	29.86%	26.72%	43.42%	+5.15	12
2007-08-19	Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1438.94	1481.18	39.91%	27.08%	33.01%	-9.11	12
2007-08-27	@ Chivas USA	L 0-1	1429.83	1529.09	18.80%	22.38%	58.82%	-2.50	12
2007-08-30	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-1	1427.33	1504.68	34.90%	27.17%	37.93%	+7.59	15
2007-09-02	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1434.92	1470.26	24.14%	25.23%	50.64%	+5.47	18
2007-09-09	@ Houston Dynamo	L 3-4	1440.39	1541.73	18.65%	22.27%	59.08%	-2.17	18
2007-09-13	@ DC United	L 1-2	1438.22	1595.04	15.11%	19.26%	65.63%	-1.84	18
2007-09-15	@ Toronto FC	T 0-0	1436.38	1406.36	31.42%	26.93%	41.65%	+0.27	19
2007-09-20	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 2-2	1436.65	1456.45	43.09%	26.76%	30.15%	-0.23	20
2007-09-23	Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1436.42	1482.65	39.34%	27.11%	33.55%	+4.25	23
2007-09-30	@ New York RB	T 2-2	1440.67	1508.89	21.20%	23.87%	54.93%	+0.64	24
2007-10-07	Chivas USA	L 2-3	1441.31	1550.98	30.64%	26.83%	42.53%	-3.54	24
2007-10-16	Houston Dynamo	L 0-1	1437.77	1557.56	29.41%	26.64%	43.95%	-3.83	24
2007-10-21	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1433.94	1484.24	22.74%	24.65%	52.61%	+5.98	27
2007-04-08	@ Chivas USA	L 0-2	1450.00	1481.24	24.53%	25.37%	50.09%	-6.17	0
2007-04-15	@ New England Revolution	L 0-4	1443.83	1525.65	20.10%	23.24%	56.65%	-9.64	0
2007-04-26	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-3	1434.19	1511.71	20.44%	23.45%	56.11%	-7.50	0
2007-04-28	Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1426.69	1519.21	32.84%	27.06%	40.10%	-4.18	0
2007-05-12	Chicago Fire	W 3-1	1422.51	1523.80	31.70%	26.96%	41.35%	+8.10	3
2007-05-17	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1430.61	1496.44	36.53%	27.19%	36.27%	+4.50	6
2007-05-19	DC United	L 1-2	1435.11	1521.22	33.70%	27.12%	39.18%	-4.02	6
2007-05-27	@ Columbus Crew	T 2-2	1431.09	1478.16	23.04%	24.78%	52.19%	+0.55	7
2007-06-02	Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1431.64	1494.06	37.02%	27.19%	35.79%	+4.21	10
2007-06-07	New York RB	L 1-2	1435.85	1540.60	31.25%	26.91%	41.84%	-3.80	10
2007-06-17	FC Dallas	W 4-0	1432.05	1515.26	34.09%	27.14%	38.77%	+16.92	13
2007-06-24	@ New England Revolution	L 0-3	1448.97	1548.72	18.76%	22.35%	58.88%	-6.86	13
2007-07-02	@ Kansas City Wizards	T 1-1	1442.11	1520.66	20.36%	23.40%	56.24%	+0.93	14
2007-07-05	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1443.04	1451.43	26.89%	26.10%	47.00%	+5.16	17
2007-07-08	@ Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1448.20	1485.36	23.96%	25.16%	50.88%	+0.67	18
2007-07-16	@ Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1448.87	1550.68	18.62%	22.25%	59.13%	+1.18	19
2007-07-22	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1450.05	1487.01	23.98%	25.17%	50.85%	-6.05	19
2007-07-29	Chicago Fire	L 0-3	1444.00	1467.71	42.54%	26.83%	30.63%	-13.88	19
2007-08-06	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1430.12	1503.42	35.47%	27.19%	37.35%	+0.05	20
2007-08-12	@ New York RB	L 0-3	1430.17	1513.00	20.03%	23.19%	56.78%	-7.34	20
2007-08-18	Chivas USA	L 0-2	1422.83	1507.02	33.96%	27.13%	38.91%	-8.09	20
2007-08-26	DC United	L 0-1	1414.74	1570.69	25.41%	25.67%	48.92%	-3.38	20
2007-09-09	@ FC Dallas	L 0-2	1411.36	1496.72	19.83%	23.07%	57.10%	-5.00	20
2007-09-15	Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1406.36	1436.38	41.65%	26.93%	31.42%	-0.28	21
2007-09-22	Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1406.08	1474.03	36.23%	27.19%	36.58%	-4.24	21
2007-09-30	@ DC United	L 1-4	1401.84	1596.65	13.07%	17.12%	69.81%	-3.78	21
2007-10-05	New York RB	W 2-1	1398.06	1508.25	30.57%	26.82%	42.60%	+4.78	24
2007-10-08	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1402.84	1475.54	20.83%	23.67%	55.50%	-2.79	24
2007-10-14	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1400.05	1477.71	20.43%	23.44%	56.13%	-2.58	24
2007-10-20	New England Revolution	T 2-2	1397.47	1537.50	27.09%	26.15%	46.75%	+0.36	25

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2007-10-26	DC United	W 1-0	1506.32	1592.91	47.15%	0.00%	52.85%	+4.77	1-0
2007-11-01	@ DC United	T 2-2	1511.09	1588.14	30.41%	0.00%	69.59%	+0.68	1-0
2007-11-09	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1511.77	1540.70	36.57%	0.00%	63.43%	-3.30	1-1
2007-10-28	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1548.21	1499.21	47.45%	0.00%	52.55%	-4.28	0-1
2007-11-04	Kansas City Wizards	T 0-0	1543.93	1503.49	64.95%	0.00%	35.05%	-0.78	0-1
2007-10-26	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1592.91	1506.32	52.85%	0.00%	47.15%	-4.77	0-1
2007-11-01	Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1588.14	1511.09	69.59%	0.00%	30.41%	-0.68	0-1
2007-10-28	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1478.53	1561.79	47.62%	0.00%	52.38%	+4.73	1-0
2007-11-03	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-4	1483.26	1557.06	30.81%	0.00%	69.19%	-6.43	1-1
2007-10-28	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1561.79	1478.53	52.38%	0.00%	47.62%	-4.73	0-1
2007-11-03	FC Dallas	W 4-1	1557.06	1483.26	69.19%	0.00%	30.81%	+6.43	1-1
2007-11-11	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1563.49	1504.27	67.37%	0.00%	32.63%	+5.55	2-1
2007-11-18	@ New England Revolution	W 2-1	1569.04	1544.00	44.03%	0.00%	55.97%	+4.76	3-1
2007-10-28	Chivas USA	W 1-0	1499.21	1548.21	52.55%	0.00%	47.45%	+4.28	1-0
2007-11-04	@ Chivas USA	T 0-0	1503.49	1543.93	35.05%	0.00%	64.95%	+0.78	1-0
2007-11-11	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-2	1504.27	1563.49	32.63%	0.00%	67.37%	-5.56	1-1
2007-10-28	@ New York RB	T 0-0	1537.14	1507.05	44.75%	0.00%	55.25%	+0.27	0-0
2007-11-03	New York RB	W 1-0	1537.41	1506.78	63.66%	0.00%	36.34%	+3.29	1-0
2007-11-09	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1540.70	1511.77	63.43%	0.00%	36.57%	+3.30	2-0
2007-11-18	Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1544.00	1569.04	55.97%	0.00%	44.03%	-4.77	2-1
2007-10-28	New England Revolution	T 0-0	1507.05	1537.14	55.25%	0.00%	44.75%	-0.27	0-0
2007-11-03	@ New England Revolution	L 0-1	1506.78	1537.41	36.34%	0.00%	63.66%	-3.28	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-10-21	16.79%	Columbus Crew	1470.07	3	@ DC United	1599.01	2
2	2007-10-07	19.33%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1471.64	2	@ Houston Dynamo	1563.64	1
3	2007-10-14	20.35%	Columbus Crew	1464.44	3	@ New England Revolution	1543.14	2
4	2007-10-14	20.55%	Colorado Rapids	1478.33	2	@ Chivas USA	1554.53	1
5	2007-10-21	22.74%	Real Salt Lake	1433.94	1	@ Colorado Rapids	1484.24	0
6	2007-05-13	23.25%	Colorado Rapids	1484.48	1	@ New York RB	1529.18	0
7	2007-09-28	23.94%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1460.61	1	@ Kansas City Wizards	1497.96	0
8	2007-09-02	24.14%	Real Salt Lake	1434.92	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1470.26	1
9	2007-05-26	24.27%	Kansas City Wizards	1521.58	4	@ New England Revolution	1555.49	3
10	2007-06-24	24.90%	Columbus Crew	1474.48	3	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1502.02	2
11	2007-07-27	25.24%	Chivas USA	1499.53	2	@ New York RB	1523.69	0
12	2007-05-13	25.25%	FC Dallas	1502.65	2	@ Kansas City Wizards	1526.68	1
13	2007-04-15	25.26%	Kansas City Wizards	1506.81	4	@ DC United	1530.73	2
14	2007-08-05	25.41%	DC United	1538.53	3	@ New England Revolution	1561.02	0
15	2007-06-24	26.05%	Houston Dynamo	1509.96	1	@ Kansas City Wizards	1526.23	0
16	2007-09-30	26.52%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1466.43	2	@ Columbus Crew	1478.27	1
17	2007-07-05	26.89%	Toronto FC	1443.04	2	@ Real Salt Lake	1451.43	1
18	2007-06-10	26.93%	Chivas USA	1495.43	1	@ Chicago Fire	1503.53	0
19	2007-05-18	26.97%	FC Dallas	1507.99	2	@ Chicago Fire	1515.70	1
20	2007-05-06	27.10%	Houston Dynamo	1487.54	3	@ Colorado Rapids	1494.02	1
21	2007-04-13	27.77%	FC Dallas	1512.47	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1512.95	1
22	2007-10-21	27.87%	Kansas City Wizards	1489.09	2	@ FC Dallas	1488.64	0
23	2007-10-07	28.62%	FC Dallas	1480.02	3	@ Columbus Crew	1473.07	1
24	2007-09-09	28.85%	Chicago Fire	1491.31	1	@ Columbus Crew	1482.32	0
25	2007-04-27	29.10%	New York RB	1523.98	1	@ FC Dallas	1512.90	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-07-13	16.97	Houston Dynamo	4	1533.71	33.92%	@ Chicago Fire	0	1484.68	38.94%	27.13%
2	2007-06-17	16.92	@ Toronto FC	4	1432.05	34.09%	FC Dallas	0	1515.26	38.77%	27.14%
3	2007-09-02	16.42	DC United	4	1574.06	35.58%	@ FC Dallas	0	1513.14	37.24%	27.19%
4	2007-08-05	15.47	DC United	3	1538.53	25.41%	@ New England Revolution	0	1561.02	48.92%	25.67%
5	2007-08-24	13.99	Chivas USA	3	1515.11	30.27%	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1494.32	42.95%	26.78%
6	2007-07-06	13.90	@ Houston Dynamo	4	1515.94	43.33%	New York RB	0	1534.04	29.94%	26.73%
7	2007-07-29	13.88	Chicago Fire	3	1467.71	30.63%	@ Toronto FC	0	1444.00	42.54%	26.83%
8	2007-06-22	13.59	@ Houston Dynamo	4	1496.38	44.31%	Chivas USA	0	1507.46	29.10%	26.59%
9	2007-08-17	12.94	@ Colorado Rapids	3	1465.72	34.13%	New England Revolution	0	1548.66	38.73%	27.14%
10	2007-04-22	12.77	@ Chivas USA	4	1483.81	46.82%	Real Salt Lake	0	1476.78	27.04%	26.14%
11	2007-09-30	12.66	Houston Dynamo	3	1550.98	35.20%	@ FC Dallas	0	1492.68	37.62%	27.18%
12	2007-05-20	11.62	@ New York RB	4	1523.26	50.39%	Columbus Crew	0	1489.77	24.31%	25.29%
13	2007-07-27	10.69	Chivas USA	2	1499.53	25.24%	@ New York RB	0	1523.69	49.14%	25.62%
14	2007-04-15	10.27	@ New York RB	3	1510.37	44.86%	FC Dallas	0	1517.54	28.64%	26.50%
15	2007-10-21	10.12	Kansas City Wizards	2	1489.09	27.87%	@ FC Dallas	0	1488.64	45.79%	26.34%
16	2007-08-27	10.07	@ Colorado Rapids	3	1478.66	45.62%	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1480.33	28.01%	26.37%
17	2007-05-01	9.64	Colorado Rapids	2	1484.38	30.22%	@ Real Salt Lake	0	1464.01	43.01%	26.77%
18	2007-04-15	9.64	@ New England Revolution	4	1525.65	56.65%	Toronto FC	0	1443.83	20.10%	23.24%
19	2007-09-10	9.56	@ Chivas USA	3	1531.56	47.66%	New York RB	0	1518.34	26.38%	25.96%
20	2007-05-25	9.19	@ New York RB	3	1534.88	49.17%	Chicago Fire	0	1510.54	25.22%	25.61%
21	2007-08-19	9.11	Chicago Fire	2	1481.18	33.01%	@ Real Salt Lake	0	1438.94	39.91%	27.08%
22	2007-05-06	8.90	Houston Dynamo	3	1487.54	27.10%	@ Colorado Rapids	1	1494.02	46.74%	26.16%
23	2007-10-07	8.63	FC Dallas	3	1480.02	28.62%	@ Columbus Crew	1	1473.07	44.89%	26.50%
24	2007-08-19	8.52	DC United	2	1557.04	36.39%	@ Columbus Crew	0	1490.42	36.42%	27.19%
25	2007-07-01	8.39	@ Chivas USA	2	1493.87	37.13%	New England Revolution	0	1555.58	35.68%	27.19%