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1983-84 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

43 points · 21st Title

Last Title: 1981-82

Relegated

Catania

12 pts

Pisa · 22 pts

Genoa · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

5.56 points above expected

43 points · 37.44 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Catania

12.66 points below expected

12 points · 24.66 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 17 9 4 43 57 29 +28 37.44 +5.56
2 Roma 30 15 11 4 41 48 28 +20 36.47 +4.53
3 Fiorentina 30 12 12 6 36 48 31 +17 34.19 +1.81
4 Inter Milan 30 12 11 7 35 37 23 +14 32.87 +2.13
5 Torino 30 11 11 8 33 37 30 +7 30.65 +2.35
6 Hellas Verona 30 12 8 10 32 43 35 +8 31.41 +0.59
7 Sampdoria 30 12 8 10 32 36 30 +6 31.28 +0.72
8 AC Milan 30 10 12 8 32 37 40 -3 27.22 +4.78
9 Udinese 30 11 9 10 31 47 40 +7 30.75 +0.25
10 Ascoli 30 9 11 10 29 29 35 -6 29.19 -0.19
11 Avellino 30 9 8 13 26 33 39 -6 28.06 -2.06
12 Napoli 30 7 12 11 26 28 38 -10 28.25 -2.25
13 Genoa Relegated 30 6 13 11 25 24 36 -12 24.34 +0.66
14 Lazio Roma 30 8 9 13 25 35 49 -14 24.93 +0.07
15 Pisa Relegated 30 3 16 11 22 20 35 -15 28.28 -6.28
16 Catania Relegated 30 1 10 19 12 14 55 -41 24.66 -12.66

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1961 43 37.44 +5.56 94.6% 23 31 35 37 40 44 50
Roma 1932 41 36.47 +4.53 90.4% 22 30 34 36 39 43 51
Inter Milan 1887 35 32.87 +2.13 75.2% 19 27 30 33 35 39 47
Fiorentina 1884 36 34.19 +1.81 72.3% 17 28 32 34 37 40 49
Sampdoria 1831 32 31.28 +0.72 62.4% 17 25 29 31 34 37 46
Hellas Verona 1816 32 31.41 +0.59 61.2% 18 25 29 31 34 38 47
Torino 1781 33 30.65 +2.35 77.3% 16 24 28 31 33 37 45
Udinese 1777 31 30.75 +0.25 58.4% 15 25 28 31 33 37 45
Napoli 1750 26 28.25 -2.25 32.3% 14 22 26 28 31 35 43
Ascoli 1749 29 29.19 -0.19 53.4% 15 23 27 29 32 36 44
Avellino 1747 26 28.06 -2.06 34.2% 11 22 25 28 31 34 42
AC Milan 1723 32 27.22 +4.78 91.8% 12 21 25 27 30 33 42
Pisa 1707 22 28.28 -6.28 6.8% 13 22 26 28 31 35 43
Genoa 1691 25 24.34 +0.66 61.7% 10 18 22 24 27 30 37
Lazio Roma 1679 25 24.93 +0.07 56.0% 13 19 22 25 27 31 42
Catania 1587 12 24.66 -12.66 0.0% 13 19 22 25 27 31 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC AVE CAT FIO GEN HV IM JUV LR NAP PIS ROM SAM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.83
0-2-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.72
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.33
Ascoli
0-1-1
2.92
 —
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.22
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.73
0-2-0
1.91
1-0-1
2.34
0-2-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.41
Avellino
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.55
 —
0-2-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
1.68
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.36
Catania
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.17
0-2-0
2.29
 —
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
2.24
0-1-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.19
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.12
Fiorentina
0-2-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.73
 —
0-2-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.08
0-2-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.92
Genoa
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.71
0-2-0
1.77
 —
0-2-0
1.93
0-2-0
1.81
1-0-1
1.29
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.45
Hellas Verona
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
3.39
 —
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.64
0-2-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.63
Inter Milan
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
2.52
0-2-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.77
 —
0-0-2
2.26
0-1-1
3.44
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.72
Juventus
2-0-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.04
 —
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.31
Lazio Roma
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
1.91
0-0-2
1.67
 —
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.08
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.10
Napoli
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.21
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
3.02
 —
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.44
Pisa
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.57
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.02
0-2-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.67
 —
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.23
0-2-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.38
Roma
1-1-0
3.43
0-2-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
4.23
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.52
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.21
 —
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.19
Sampdoria
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
1.86
0-1-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.31
 —
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.62
Torino
1-0-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.85
0-2-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.47
 —
0-1-1
2.70
Udinese
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.37
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
2.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +6.0
Allowed 0.63 -7.4
Differential 0.96 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.42%6.88%5.62%2.71%0.42%0.83%31.88%
16.88%13.33%9.58%2.29%1.25%0.42%33.75%
25.62%9.58%5.83%1.25%1.04%—23.33%
32.71%2.29%1.25%0.83%——7.08%
40.42%1.25%1.04%———2.71%
5+0.83%0.42%————1.25%
Total31.88%33.75%23.33%7.08%2.71%1.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.62
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
16.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
2—16.67%6.67%———23.33%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
5+———————
Total23.33%36.67%26.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.33 -0.10
SD 1.28 1.06 1.52
CV 1.04 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%10.00%———3.33%40.00%
110.00%6.67%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.17 -0.20
SD 1.03 1.51 1.69
CV 1.07 1.29 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
110.00%13.33%10.00%—3.33%—36.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%20.00%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.30 -0.20
SD 1.06 1.21 1.69
CV 0.97 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%23.33%10.00%—6.67%60.00%
1—16.67%10.00%6.67%——33.33%
23.33%—3.33%———6.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%23.33%36.67%16.67%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.47 1.83 -1.37
SD 0.63 1.39 1.63
CV 1.35 0.76 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%——23.33%
26.67%13.33%10.00%———30.00%
33.33%—3.33%3.33%——10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total36.67%33.33%20.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.03 +0.57
SD 1.43 1.00 1.61
CV 0.89 0.97 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%10.00%——3.33%46.67%
13.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%——30.00%
23.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%30.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.20 -0.40
SD 0.89 1.30 1.50
CV 1.11 1.08 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%3.33%———20.00%
110.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
36.67%10.00%————16.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%50.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.17 +0.27
SD 1.10 0.99 1.44
CV 0.77 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
110.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%——36.67%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total50.00%30.00%13.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.77 +0.47
SD 1.28 0.94 1.76
CV 1.04 1.22 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—————10.00%
16.67%10.00%13.33%———30.00%
213.33%16.67%6.67%———36.67%
33.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%33.33%26.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 0.97 +0.93
SD 1.37 0.89 1.57
CV 0.72 0.92 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%—33.33%
13.33%13.33%6.67%—3.33%—26.67%
2—13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%30.00%10.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.63 -0.47
SD 1.02 1.19 1.68
CV 0.87 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%6.67%———36.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%—6.67%6.67%40.00%
26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%23.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.27 -0.33
SD 0.91 1.55 1.75
CV 0.97 1.23 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%——46.67%
16.67%23.33%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.00%23.33%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.17 -0.50
SD 0.71 1.05 1.14
CV 1.07 0.90 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%————20.00%
110.00%13.33%3.33%———26.67%
210.00%13.33%13.33%———36.67%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total30.00%46.67%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 0.93 +0.67
SD 1.22 0.74 1.18
CV 0.76 0.79 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
110.00%20.00%20.00%———50.00%
210.00%13.33%————23.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.00 +0.20
SD 0.92 0.83 1.40
CV 0.77 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%————30.00%
16.67%6.67%16.67%—3.33%—33.33%
23.33%16.67%6.67%———26.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total36.67%33.33%26.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.00 +0.23
SD 1.14 0.98 1.30
CV 0.92 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
16.67%6.67%16.67%—3.33%—33.33%
26.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
3—10.00%—3.33%——13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.33 +0.23
SD 1.25 1.09 1.72
CV 0.80 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juventus 43 37.44 +5.56
2 AC Milan 32 27.22 +4.78
3 Roma 41 36.47 +4.53
4 Torino 33 30.65 +2.35
5 Inter Milan 35 32.87 +2.13

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Catania 12 24.66 -12.66
2 Pisa 22 28.28 -6.28
3 Napoli 26 28.25 -2.25
4 Avellino 26 28.06 -2.06
5 Ascoli 29 29.19 -0.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sampdoria 5 Oct 30 – Dec 4 1 in 554
2 AC Milan 3 Apr 28 – May 13 1 in 328
3 Avellino 3 Mar 18 – Apr 1 1 in 43
4 Napoli 3 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 35
5 Genoa 3 Apr 1 – Apr 21 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sampdoria 3 Dec 31 – Jan 15 1 in 208
2 Juventus 2 Oct 23 – Oct 30 1 in 38
3 Avellino 3 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 29
4 Inter Milan 2 Sep 12 – Sep 18 1 in 28
5 Udinese 2 May 6 – May 13 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Genoa 8 Mar 18 – May 13 1 in 106
2 Juventus 15 Nov 6 – Mar 11 1 in 51
3 Roma 15 Jan 15 – May 13 1 in 27
4 Torino 9 Nov 6 – Jan 15 1 in 26
5 Ascoli 6 Feb 12 – Mar 25 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Catania 25 Oct 23 – May 13 1 in 1,016
2 Pisa 14 Sep 12 – Dec 31 1 in 289
3 Avellino 10 Oct 30 – Jan 15 1 in 40
4 AC Milan 11 Jan 22 – Apr 21 1 in 31
5 Torino 7 Mar 18 – May 6 1 in 27

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus42.01%23.04%13.40%7.84%4.63%3.58%2.12%1.46%0.75%0.48%0.28%0.20%0.13%0.06%0.01%0.01%
Roma28.43%24.02%15.79%10.34%7.10%4.87%3.37%2.15%1.56%0.90%0.62%0.37%0.27%0.12%0.05%0.04%
Fiorentina11.28%16.33%16.79%13.52%11.22%7.78%6.47%4.65%3.83%2.81%1.93%1.41%0.90%0.59%0.31%0.18%
Inter Milan6.70%11.08%13.02%12.93%11.43%9.83%8.38%7.19%5.69%4.36%3.08%2.55%1.63%1.27%0.58%0.28%
Torino1.80%4.26%6.77%8.40%9.29%9.91%10.30%9.36%8.22%8.01%6.97%5.86%4.58%3.05%2.14%1.08%
Hellas Verona2.87%5.89%7.69%10.88%10.75%11.04%10.11%8.44%7.95%6.54%5.25%4.59%3.57%2.50%1.34%0.59%
Sampdoria2.66%4.98%8.13%9.90%10.92%10.50%9.95%9.19%8.28%7.01%6.03%4.30%3.32%2.53%1.57%0.73%
AC Milan0.15%0.59%1.09%2.26%3.33%4.35%5.68%7.02%8.08%8.95%10.39%10.54%10.59%10.38%9.19%7.41%
Udinese2.04%4.34%6.49%8.36%9.70%10.04%10.11%10.24%9.04%7.57%6.47%5.40%4.11%3.10%1.93%1.06%
Ascoli0.69%2.07%3.43%4.60%5.85%7.33%7.82%9.23%9.68%9.72%9.16%8.75%7.44%6.50%5.07%2.66%
Avellino0.31%0.97%2.23%3.12%4.66%5.35%6.29%7.45%9.14%9.51%9.71%10.28%9.93%8.86%7.14%5.05%
Napoli0.58%1.07%2.11%3.07%4.48%5.58%7.06%7.93%8.37%9.45%9.96%9.88%9.83%8.44%7.28%4.91%
Genoa0.04%0.07%0.19%0.45%0.63%1.24%1.72%2.42%3.40%4.97%6.59%8.40%11.69%14.94%18.69%24.56%
Lazio Roma0.03%0.14%0.42%0.72%0.98%1.63%2.23%2.99%4.35%5.32%7.24%9.21%12.03%14.22%18.07%20.42%
Pisa0.39%1.08%2.19%3.14%4.22%5.98%6.43%7.59%8.28%9.49%10.40%9.79%9.60%8.47%7.64%5.31%
Catania0.02%0.07%0.26%0.47%0.81%0.99%1.96%2.69%3.38%4.91%5.92%8.47%10.38%14.97%18.99%25.71%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.75%
Strong Edge
49.17%35.42%15.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge
200 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0122.04500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.63 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.61+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Juventus, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.06 * Some Luck: 3.06 to 4.58 * Lucky: 4.58 to 6.11 * Wild Swing: 6.11 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.18 * Close: 2.18 to 3.28 * Off: 3.28 to 4.37 * Way Off: 4.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.29 * A Surprise: 1.29 to 2.07 * Several Surprises: 2.07 to 2.85 * Many Surprises: 2.85 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.32 points
Some Luck
03.8210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.736
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
94.57%
Juventus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.00%
Catania
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.37
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.57
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.30
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.109
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0950.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 99.92% 0.08%
Roma 99.79% 0.21%
Fiorentina 98.92% 1.08%
Inter Milan 97.87% 2.13%
Hellas Verona 95.57% 4.43%
Sampdoria 95.17% 4.83%
Udinese 93.91% 6.09%
Torino 93.73% 6.27%
Ascoli 85.77% 14.23%
Napoli 79.37% 20.63%
Avellino 78.95% 21.05%
Pisa 78.58% 21.42%
AC Milan 73.02% 26.98%
Lazio Roma 47.29% 52.71%
Genoa 41.81% 58.19%
Catania 40.33% 59.67%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1983-09-12 AC Milan W 4-0 1763 1716 56.0% 34.4% 9.6% +14.2 2
1983-09-12 @ Avellino L 0-4 1716 1763 9.6% 34.4% 56.0% -14.2 0
1983-09-12 Torino D 0-0 1754 1758 51.7% 36.0% 12.3% -2.6 1
1983-09-12 @ Catania D 0-0 1758 1754 12.3% 36.0% 51.7% +2.6 1
1983-09-12 Napoli W 5-1 1833 1773 57.1% 33.9% 9.0% +11.1 2
1983-09-12 @ Fiorentina L 1-5 1773 1833 9.0% 33.9% 57.1% -11.1 0
1983-09-12 Udinese L 0-5 1741 1733 52.8% 35.6% 11.6% -62.5 0
1983-09-12 @ Genoa W 5-0 1733 1741 11.6% 35.6% 52.8% +62.5 2
1983-09-12 Lazio Roma W 4-2 1773 1699 58.2% 33.3% 8.5% +5.1 2
1983-09-12 @ Hellas Verona L 2-4 1699 1773 8.5% 33.3% 58.2% -5.1 0
1983-09-12 Sampdoria L 1-2 1849 1801 56.1% 34.4% 9.6% -14.1 0
1983-09-12 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1801 1849 9.6% 34.4% 56.1% +14.1 2
1983-09-12 Ascoli W 7-0 1877 1768 60.8% 31.9% 7.3% +18.1 2
1983-09-12 @ Juventus L 0-7 1768 1877 7.3% 31.9% 60.8% -18.1 0
1983-09-12 Pisa W 2-0 1872 1790 58.7% 33.1% 8.2% +6.4 2
1983-09-12 @ Roma L 0-2 1790 1872 8.2% 33.1% 58.7% -6.4 0
1983-09-18 Hellas Verona W 4-2 1702 1779 44.6% 37.3% 18.1% +9.7 2
1983-09-18 @ AC Milan L 2-4 1779 1702 18.1% 37.3% 44.6% -9.7 2
1983-09-18 Avellino W 4-1 1750 1778 49.5% 36.5% 13.9% +12.6 2
1983-09-18 @ Ascoli L 1-4 1778 1750 13.9% 36.5% 49.5% -12.6 2
1983-09-18 Inter Milan W 3-0 1694 1835 37.0% 37.5% 25.5% +22.8 2
1983-09-18 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1835 1694 25.5% 37.5% 37.0% -22.8 0
1983-09-18 Genoa D 0-0 1762 1678 58.9% 33.0% 8.1% -3.5 1
1983-09-18 @ Napoli D 0-0 1678 1762 8.1% 33.0% 58.9% +3.5 1
1983-09-18 Juventus D 0-0 1784 1895 40.7% 37.5% 21.7% -1.1 1
1983-09-18 @ Pisa D 0-0 1895 1784 21.7% 37.5% 40.7% +1.1 3
1983-09-18 Roma L 1-2 1815 1878 46.0% 37.1% 16.8% -11.9 2
1983-09-18 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1878 1815 16.8% 37.1% 46.0% +11.9 4
1983-09-18 Fiorentina W 1-0 1761 1844 43.8% 37.4% 18.8% +6.8 3
1983-09-18 @ Torino L 0-1 1844 1761 18.8% 37.4% 43.8% -6.8 2
1983-09-18 Catania W 3-1 1795 1752 55.7% 34.5% 9.8% +6.6 4
1983-09-18 @ Udinese L 1-3 1752 1795 9.8% 34.5% 55.7% -6.6 1
1983-09-25 Udinese W 2-1 1765 1802 48.6% 36.7% 14.7% +5.4 4
1983-09-25 @ Avellino L 1-2 1802 1765 14.7% 36.7% 48.6% -5.4 4
1983-09-25 Sampdoria D 1-1 1745 1803 46.5% 37.1% 16.4% -1.7 2
1983-09-25 @ Catania D 1-1 1803 1745 16.4% 37.1% 46.5% +1.7 3
1983-09-25 Ascoli W 2-1 1838 1763 58.2% 33.3% 8.5% +3.3 4
1983-09-25 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1763 1838 8.5% 33.3% 58.2% -3.3 2
1983-09-25 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1682 1717 48.8% 36.7% 14.5% -2.2 2
1983-09-25 @ Genoa D 0-0 1717 1682 14.5% 36.7% 48.8% +2.2 3
1983-09-25 Pisa W 2-0 1769 1783 50.8% 36.2% 13.0% +9.8 4
1983-09-25 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1783 1769 13.0% 36.2% 50.8% -9.8 1
1983-09-25 Torino D 0-0 1812 1768 55.8% 34.5% 9.7% -3.1 1
1983-09-25 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1768 1812 9.7% 34.5% 55.8% +3.1 4
1983-09-25 Napoli W 2-0 1896 1758 63.0% 30.6% 6.4% +4.9 5
1983-09-25 @ Juventus L 0-2 1758 1896 6.4% 30.6% 63.0% -4.9 1
1983-09-25 AC Milan W 3-1 1890 1712 65.9% 28.6% 5.5% +3.4 6
1983-09-25 @ Roma L 1-3 1712 1890 5.5% 28.6% 65.9% -3.4 2
1983-10-02 Catania W 2-1 1708 1744 48.8% 36.7% 14.5% +5.3 4
1983-10-02 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1744 1708 14.5% 36.7% 48.8% -5.3 2
1983-10-02 Inter Milan W 1-0 1760 1809 47.4% 36.9% 15.7% +6.0 4
1983-10-02 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1809 1760 15.7% 36.9% 47.4% -6.0 1
1983-10-02 Juventus L 0-1 1719 1901 31.6% 37.1% 31.2% -9.5 3
1983-10-02 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1901 1719 31.2% 37.1% 31.6% +9.5 7
1983-10-02 Avellino W 2-0 1753 1770 50.5% 36.3% 13.2% +9.9 3
1983-10-02 @ Napoli L 0-2 1770 1753 13.2% 36.3% 50.5% -9.9 4
1983-10-02 Genoa D 1-1 1773 1680 59.7% 32.6% 7.8% -3.2 2
1983-10-02 @ Pisa D 1-1 1680 1773 7.8% 32.6% 59.7% +3.2 3
1983-10-02 Fiorentina L 1-2 1805 1841 48.7% 36.7% 14.6% -12.5 3
1983-10-02 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1841 1805 14.6% 36.7% 48.7% +12.5 6
1983-10-02 Roma W 2-1 1771 1893 39.3% 37.6% 23.1% +7.4 6
1983-10-02 @ Torino L 1-2 1893 1771 23.1% 37.6% 39.3% -7.4 6
1983-10-02 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1796 1779 53.6% 35.3% 11.1% -2.5 5
1983-10-02 @ Udinese D 1-1 1779 1796 11.1% 35.3% 53.6% +2.5 5
1983-10-09 Torino D 0-0 1760 1778 50.4% 36.3% 13.3% -2.4 5
1983-10-09 @ Avellino D 0-0 1778 1760 13.3% 36.3% 50.4% +2.4 7
1983-10-09 Pisa W 2-0 1738 1770 49.1% 36.6% 14.3% +10.5 4
1983-10-09 @ Catania L 0-2 1770 1738 14.3% 36.6% 49.1% -10.5 2
1983-10-09 Udinese D 0-0 1853 1794 57.0% 33.9% 9.0% -3.3 7
1983-10-09 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1794 1853 9.0% 33.9% 57.0% +3.3 6
1983-10-09 Ascoli W 3-1 1781 1766 53.4% 35.4% 11.2% +7.5 7
1983-10-09 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1766 1781 11.2% 35.4% 53.4% -7.5 4
1983-10-09 Napoli W 1-0 1803 1763 55.5% 34.6% 9.9% +4.1 3
1983-10-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1763 1803 9.9% 34.6% 55.5% -4.1 3
1983-10-09 AC Milan W 2-1 1910 1714 67.2% 27.7% 5.1% +1.8 9
1983-10-09 @ Juventus L 1-2 1714 1910 5.1% 27.7% 67.2% -1.8 4
1983-10-09 Genoa W 1-0 1886 1683 67.7% 27.4% 5.0% +1.8 8
1983-10-09 @ Roma L 0-1 1683 1886 5.0% 27.4% 67.7% -1.8 3
1983-10-09 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1793 1709 58.9% 33.0% 8.1% -3.1 4
1983-10-09 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1709 1793 8.1% 33.0% 58.9% +3.1 4
1983-10-23 Sampdoria W 2-1 1712 1789 44.5% 37.3% 18.2% +6.3 6
1983-10-23 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1789 1712 18.2% 37.3% 44.5% -6.3 4
1983-10-23 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1749 1789 48.3% 36.8% 14.9% -13.1 4
1983-10-23 @ Catania W 1-0 1789 1749 14.9% 36.8% 48.3% +13.1 9
1983-10-23 Pisa D 0-0 1850 1759 59.5% 32.7% 7.9% -3.6 8
1983-10-23 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1759 1850 7.9% 32.7% 59.5% +3.6 3
1983-10-23 Avellino L 0-2 1681 1758 44.5% 37.3% 18.2% -23.1 3
1983-10-23 @ Genoa W 2-0 1758 1681 18.2% 37.3% 44.5% +23.1 7
1983-10-23 Roma L 0-2 1712 1888 32.5% 37.2% 30.3% -18.2 4
1983-10-23 @ Lazio Roma W 2-0 1888 1712 30.3% 37.2% 32.5% +18.2 10
1983-10-23 Ascoli W 1-0 1759 1758 52.1% 35.8% 12.1% +4.9 5
1983-10-23 @ Napoli L 0-1 1758 1759 12.1% 35.8% 52.1% -4.9 4
1983-10-23 Juventus W 2-1 1781 1912 38.2% 37.6% 24.2% +7.6 9
1983-10-23 @ Torino L 1-2 1912 1781 24.2% 37.6% 38.2% -7.6 9
1983-10-23 Inter Milan D 2-2 1797 1807 51.1% 36.1% 12.7% -1.7 7
1983-10-23 @ Udinese D 2-2 1807 1797 12.7% 36.1% 51.1% +1.7 4
1983-10-30 Lazio Roma W 4-1 1718 1694 54.1% 35.1% 10.7% +10.2 8
1983-10-30 @ AC Milan L 1-4 1694 1718 10.7% 35.1% 54.1% -10.2 4
1983-10-30 Udinese W 1-0 1753 1796 48.1% 36.8% 15.1% +5.8 6
1983-10-30 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1796 1753 15.1% 36.8% 48.1% -5.8 7
1983-10-30 Catania D 0-0 1781 1736 55.9% 34.4% 9.7% -3.1 8
1983-10-30 @ Avellino D 0-0 1736 1781 9.7% 34.4% 55.9% +3.1 5
1983-10-30 Torino W 2-1 1658 1788 38.3% 37.6% 24.1% +7.6 5
1983-10-30 @ Genoa L 1-2 1788 1658 24.1% 37.6% 38.3% -7.6 9
1983-10-30 Fiorentina W 3-1 1802 1846 47.9% 36.9% 15.3% +9.6 11
1983-10-30 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1846 1802 15.3% 36.9% 47.9% -9.6 8
1983-10-30 Sampdoria L 1-2 1904 1783 61.8% 31.4% 6.9% -15.2 9
1983-10-30 @ Juventus W 2-1 1783 1904 6.9% 31.4% 61.8% +15.2 6
1983-10-30 Inter Milan D 0-0 1763 1809 47.7% 36.9% 15.4% -2.0 4
1983-10-30 @ Pisa D 0-0 1809 1763 15.4% 36.9% 47.7% +2.0 5
1983-10-30 Napoli W 5-1 1906 1764 63.3% 30.4% 6.3% +7.5 12
1983-10-30 @ Roma L 1-5 1764 1906 6.3% 30.4% 63.3% -7.5 5
1983-11-06 Torino D 0-0 1759 1781 50.1% 36.4% 13.5% -2.4 7
1983-11-06 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1781 1759 13.5% 36.4% 50.1% +2.4 10
1983-11-06 Catania W 5-0 1837 1739 60.0% 32.4% 7.6% +13.8 10
1983-11-06 @ Fiorentina L 0-5 1739 1837 7.6% 32.4% 60.0% -13.8 5
1983-11-06 AC Milan W 2-0 1811 1728 58.8% 33.0% 8.2% +6.4 7
1983-11-06 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1728 1811 8.2% 33.0% 58.8% -6.4 8
1983-11-06 Hellas Verona W 3-1 1889 1811 58.5% 33.2% 8.3% +5.6 11
1983-11-06 @ Juventus L 1-3 1811 1889 8.3% 33.2% 58.5% -5.6 11
1983-11-06 Avellino W 2-1 1684 1778 42.6% 37.5% 19.9% +6.7 6
1983-11-06 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1778 1684 19.9% 37.5% 42.6% -6.7 8
1983-11-06 Pisa D 0-0 1756 1761 51.6% 36.0% 12.4% -2.6 6
1983-11-06 @ Napoli D 0-0 1761 1756 12.4% 36.0% 51.6% +2.6 5
1983-11-06 Genoa W 2-0 1798 1666 62.6% 30.8% 6.6% +5.0 8
1983-11-06 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1666 1798 6.6% 30.8% 62.6% -5.0 5
1983-11-06 Roma W 1-0 1790 1914 39.1% 37.6% 23.3% +7.8 9
1983-11-06 @ Udinese L 0-1 1914 1790 23.3% 37.6% 39.1% -7.8 12
1983-11-20 Fiorentina D 2-2 1722 1851 38.5% 37.6% 23.9% -0.6 9
1983-11-20 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1851 1722 23.9% 37.6% 38.5% +0.6 11
1983-11-20 Sampdoria L 0-2 1771 1803 49.1% 36.6% 14.3% -25.1 8
1983-11-20 @ Avellino W 2-0 1803 1771 14.3% 36.6% 49.1% +25.1 10
1983-11-20 Juventus L 0-2 1725 1895 33.2% 37.3% 29.5% -18.5 5
1983-11-20 @ Catania W 2-0 1895 1725 29.5% 37.3% 33.2% +18.5 13
1983-11-20 Inter Milan D 1-1 1661 1817 35.0% 37.4% 27.6% -0.4 6
1983-11-20 @ Genoa D 1-1 1817 1661 27.6% 37.4% 35.0% +0.4 8
1983-11-20 Napoli D 1-1 1806 1754 56.4% 34.2% 9.4% -2.9 12
1983-11-20 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1754 1806 9.4% 34.2% 56.4% +2.9 7
1983-11-20 Udinese D 1-1 1764 1798 48.9% 36.7% 14.4% -2.0 6
1983-11-20 @ Pisa D 1-1 1798 1764 14.4% 36.7% 48.9% +2.0 10
1983-11-20 Ascoli D 1-1 1906 1757 63.8% 30.1% 6.1% -3.6 13
1983-11-20 @ Roma D 1-1 1757 1906 6.1% 30.1% 63.8% +3.6 8
1983-11-20 Lazio Roma W 4-0 1783 1691 59.6% 32.6% 7.8% +11.5 12
1983-11-20 @ Torino L 0-4 1691 1783 7.8% 32.6% 59.6% -11.5 6
1983-11-27 Genoa D 0-0 1760 1660 60.2% 32.3% 7.5% -3.7 9
1983-11-27 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1660 1760 7.5% 32.3% 60.2% +3.7 7
1983-11-27 Juventus D 3-3 1851 1913 46.1% 37.1% 16.8% -1.0 12
1983-11-27 @ Fiorentina D 3-3 1913 1851 16.8% 37.1% 46.1% +1.0 14
1983-11-27 Avellino W 3-0 1803 1746 56.8% 34.0% 9.2% +10.4 14
1983-11-27 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1746 1803 9.2% 34.0% 56.8% -10.4 8
1983-11-27 Roma W 1-0 1818 1902 43.7% 37.4% 18.9% +6.8 10
1983-11-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1902 1818 18.9% 37.4% 43.7% -6.8 13
1983-11-27 Catania W 3-0 1679 1707 49.5% 36.5% 13.9% +15.0 8
1983-11-27 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1707 1679 13.9% 36.5% 49.5% -15.0 5
1983-11-27 AC Milan D 0-0 1757 1722 55.0% 34.8% 10.2% -3.0 8
1983-11-27 @ Napoli D 0-0 1722 1757 10.2% 34.8% 55.0% +3.0 10
1983-11-27 Udinese W 2-1 1828 1800 54.5% 35.0% 10.5% +4.1 12
1983-11-27 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1800 1828 10.5% 35.0% 54.5% -4.1 10
1983-11-27 Pisa D 2-2 1795 1762 54.9% 34.8% 10.3% -2.0 13
1983-11-27 @ Torino D 2-2 1762 1795 10.3% 34.8% 54.9% +2.0 7
1983-12-04 Genoa W 1-0 1725 1664 57.1% 33.9% 9.0% +3.7 12
1983-12-04 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1664 1725 9.0% 33.9% 57.1% -3.7 7
1983-12-04 Inter Milan D 1-1 1736 1824 43.2% 37.4% 19.3% -1.3 9
1983-12-04 @ Avellino D 1-1 1824 1736 19.3% 37.4% 43.2% +1.3 11
1983-12-04 Napoli D 0-0 1692 1754 46.1% 37.1% 16.8% -1.8 6
1983-12-04 @ Catania D 0-0 1754 1692 16.8% 37.1% 46.1% +1.8 9
1983-12-04 Roma D 2-2 1914 1895 53.7% 35.3% 11.0% -1.9 15
1983-12-04 @ Juventus D 2-2 1895 1914 11.0% 35.3% 53.7% +1.9 14
1983-12-04 Fiorentina L 1-2 1694 1850 35.1% 37.4% 27.5% -9.6 8
1983-12-04 @ Lazio Roma W 2-1 1850 1694 27.5% 37.4% 35.1% +9.6 14
1983-12-04 Ascoli L 0-1 1764 1757 52.6% 35.7% 11.7% -14.1 7
1983-12-04 @ Pisa W 1-0 1757 1764 11.7% 35.7% 52.6% +14.2 11
1983-12-04 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1833 1813 53.7% 35.3% 11.0% +4.5 14
1983-12-04 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1813 1833 11.0% 35.3% 53.7% -4.5 14
1983-12-04 Torino D 0-0 1795 1793 52.3% 35.8% 11.9% -2.7 11
1983-12-04 @ Udinese D 0-0 1793 1795 11.9% 35.8% 52.3% +2.7 14
1983-12-11 AC Milan L 2-4 1771 1728 55.7% 34.5% 9.8% -21.7 11
1983-12-11 @ Ascoli W 4-2 1728 1771 9.8% 34.5% 55.7% +21.7 14
1983-12-11 Catania W 3-0 1660 1690 49.3% 36.6% 14.1% +15.1 9
1983-12-11 @ Genoa L 0-3 1690 1660 14.1% 36.6% 49.3% -15.1 6
1983-12-11 Fiorentina W 2-1 1826 1860 48.9% 36.7% 14.4% +5.3 13
1983-12-11 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1860 1826 14.4% 36.7% 48.9% -5.3 14
1983-12-11 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1755 1685 57.9% 33.5% 8.6% +9.7 11
1983-12-11 @ Napoli L 0-3 1685 1755 8.6% 33.5% 57.9% -9.8 8
1983-12-11 Sampdoria D 0-0 1749 1837 43.3% 37.4% 19.2% -1.5 8
1983-12-11 @ Pisa D 0-0 1837 1749 19.2% 37.4% 43.3% +1.5 15
1983-12-11 Avellino W 3-2 1897 1735 64.8% 29.4% 5.8% +2.0 16
1983-12-11 @ Roma L 2-3 1735 1897 5.8% 29.4% 64.8% -2.0 9
1983-12-11 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1795 1809 50.8% 36.2% 13.0% -2.2 15
1983-12-11 @ Torino D 1-1 1809 1795 13.0% 36.2% 50.8% +2.2 15
1983-12-11 Juventus D 2-2 1793 1912 39.6% 37.6% 22.8% -0.7 12
1983-12-11 @ Udinese D 2-2 1912 1793 22.8% 37.6% 39.6% +0.7 16
1983-12-18 Torino L 0-1 1750 1793 48.0% 36.8% 15.2% -13.1 14
1983-12-18 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1793 1750 15.2% 36.8% 48.0% +13.1 17
1983-12-18 Pisa D 1-1 1732 1748 50.6% 36.2% 13.1% -2.2 10
1983-12-18 @ Avellino D 1-1 1748 1732 13.1% 36.2% 50.6% +2.2 9
1983-12-18 Ascoli D 1-1 1675 1749 44.8% 37.3% 17.9% -1.5 7
1983-12-18 @ Catania D 1-1 1749 1675 17.9% 37.3% 44.8% +1.5 12
1983-12-18 Roma D 0-0 1855 1899 47.9% 36.9% 15.3% -2.1 15
1983-12-18 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1899 1855 15.3% 36.9% 47.9% +2.1 17
1983-12-18 Genoa D 0-0 1811 1675 62.8% 30.7% 6.5% -4.0 16
1983-12-18 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1675 1811 6.5% 30.7% 62.8% +4.0 10
1983-12-18 Inter Milan W 2-0 1913 1831 58.8% 33.0% 8.2% +6.4 18
1983-12-18 @ Juventus L 0-2 1831 1913 8.2% 33.0% 58.8% -6.4 13
1983-12-18 Udinese D 2-2 1675 1792 39.9% 37.6% 22.5% -0.7 9
1983-12-18 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1792 1675 22.5% 37.6% 39.9% +0.7 13
1983-12-18 Napoli W 4-1 1838 1765 58.1% 33.4% 8.5% +8.1 17
1983-12-18 @ Sampdoria L 1-4 1765 1838 8.5% 33.4% 58.1% -8.1 11
1983-12-31 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1751 1674 58.4% 33.3% 8.4% +6.5 14
1983-12-31 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1674 1751 8.4% 33.3% 58.4% -6.5 9
1983-12-31 Juventus L 1-2 1730 1919 30.6% 37.0% 32.3% -8.8 10
1983-12-31 @ Avellino W 2-1 1919 1730 32.3% 37.0% 30.6% +8.8 20
1983-12-31 Fiorentina D 2-2 1679 1852 32.8% 37.3% 30.0% -0.1 11
1983-12-31 @ Genoa D 2-2 1852 1679 30.0% 37.3% 32.8% +0.1 16
1983-12-31 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1825 1807 53.6% 35.4% 11.1% +4.5 15
1983-12-31 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1807 1825 11.1% 35.4% 53.6% -4.5 16
1983-12-31 AC Milan D 0-0 1750 1737 53.2% 35.5% 11.3% -2.8 10
1983-12-31 @ Pisa D 0-0 1737 1750 11.3% 35.5% 53.2% +2.8 15
1983-12-31 Catania W 1-0 1901 1673 69.4% 26.1% 4.5% +1.6 19
1983-12-31 @ Roma L 0-1 1673 1901 4.5% 26.1% 69.4% -1.6 7
1983-12-31 Sampdoria W 2-1 1806 1847 48.3% 36.8% 14.9% +5.4 19
1983-12-31 @ Torino L 1-2 1847 1806 14.9% 36.8% 48.3% -5.4 17
1983-12-31 Napoli W 4-1 1793 1757 55.1% 34.8% 10.1% +9.6 15
1983-12-31 @ Udinese L 1-4 1757 1793 10.1% 34.8% 55.1% -9.6 11
1984-01-08 Udinese D 3-3 1740 1802 46.0% 37.1% 16.8% -1.0 16
1984-01-08 @ AC Milan D 3-3 1802 1740 16.8% 37.1% 46.0% +1.0 16
1984-01-08 Inter Milan D 0-0 1671 1829 34.8% 37.4% 27.8% -0.4 8
1984-01-08 @ Catania D 0-0 1829 1671 27.8% 37.4% 34.8% +0.4 16
1984-01-08 Avellino W 1-0 1853 1722 62.5% 30.9% 6.6% +2.7 18
1984-01-08 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1722 1853 6.6% 30.9% 62.5% -2.7 10
1984-01-08 Roma W 1-0 1803 1903 41.9% 37.5% 20.6% +7.2 18
1984-01-08 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1903 1803 20.6% 37.5% 41.9% -7.2 19
1984-01-08 Genoa W 4-2 1928 1679 70.8% 25.0% 4.1% +2.1 22
1984-01-08 @ Juventus L 2-4 1679 1928 4.1% 25.0% 70.8% -2.1 11
1984-01-08 Pisa L 0-1 1668 1747 44.2% 37.4% 18.4% -12.2 9
1984-01-08 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1747 1668 18.4% 37.4% 44.2% +12.2 12
1984-01-08 Torino D 0-0 1747 1812 45.9% 37.2% 17.0% -1.8 12
1984-01-08 @ Napoli D 0-0 1812 1747 17.0% 37.2% 45.9% +1.8 20
1984-01-08 Ascoli L 1-2 1841 1757 58.9% 33.0% 8.1% -14.7 17
1984-01-08 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1757 1841 8.1% 33.0% 58.9% +14.7 16
1984-01-15 Avellino W 1-0 1739 1719 53.8% 35.3% 11.0% +4.5 18
1984-01-15 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1719 1739 11.0% 35.3% 53.8% -4.5 10
1984-01-15 Juventus D 0-0 1772 1930 34.8% 37.4% 27.8% -0.4 17
1984-01-15 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1930 1772 27.8% 37.4% 34.8% +0.4 23
1984-01-15 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1656 1810 35.3% 37.4% 27.3% -0.4 10
1984-01-15 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1810 1656 27.3% 37.4% 35.3% +0.4 19
1984-01-15 Fiorentina D 0-0 1746 1855 40.8% 37.5% 21.6% -1.1 13
1984-01-15 @ Napoli D 0-0 1855 1746 21.6% 37.5% 40.8% +1.1 19
1984-01-15 Roma D 1-1 1760 1896 37.6% 37.5% 24.9% -0.7 13
1984-01-15 @ Pisa D 1-1 1896 1760 24.9% 37.5% 37.6% +0.7 20
1984-01-15 Inter Milan L 0-2 1826 1830 51.8% 35.9% 12.3% -26.3 17
1984-01-15 @ Sampdoria W 2-0 1830 1826 12.3% 35.9% 51.8% +26.3 18
1984-01-15 Catania W 2-0 1813 1671 63.3% 30.4% 6.3% +4.8 22
1984-01-15 @ Torino L 0-2 1671 1813 6.3% 30.4% 63.3% -4.7 8
1984-01-15 Genoa W 3-1 1803 1677 62.2% 31.1% 6.7% +4.5 18
1984-01-15 @ Udinese L 1-3 1677 1803 6.7% 31.1% 62.2% -4.5 11
1984-01-22 Ascoli W 2-1 1714 1772 46.6% 37.1% 16.3% +5.8 12
1984-01-22 @ Avellino L 1-2 1772 1714 16.3% 37.1% 46.6% -5.8 17
1984-01-22 Udinese L 0-2 1666 1808 36.9% 37.5% 25.6% -19.9 8
1984-01-22 @ Catania W 2-0 1808 1666 25.6% 37.5% 36.9% +19.9 20
1984-01-22 Torino W 4-1 1856 1818 55.3% 34.7% 10.0% +9.5 21
1984-01-22 @ Fiorentina L 1-4 1818 1856 10.0% 34.7% 55.3% -9.5 22
1984-01-22 Napoli D 0-0 1673 1744 45.1% 37.3% 17.7% -1.7 12
1984-01-22 @ Genoa D 0-0 1744 1673 17.7% 37.3% 45.1% +1.7 14
1984-01-22 AC Milan D 1-1 1810 1743 57.6% 33.6% 8.7% -3.0 20
1984-01-22 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1743 1810 8.7% 33.6% 57.6% +3.0 19
1984-01-22 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1856 1655 67.5% 27.5% 5.0% -3.9 19
1984-01-22 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1655 1856 5.0% 27.5% 67.5% +3.9 11
1984-01-22 Pisa W 3-1 1931 1759 65.5% 28.9% 5.6% +3.5 25
1984-01-22 @ Juventus L 1-3 1759 1931 5.6% 28.9% 65.5% -3.5 13
1984-01-22 Sampdoria D 1-1 1896 1800 59.9% 32.5% 7.7% -3.2 21
1984-01-22 @ Roma D 1-1 1800 1896 7.7% 32.5% 59.9% +3.2 18
1984-01-29 Roma D 1-1 1746 1893 36.2% 37.5% 26.3% -0.5 20
1984-01-29 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1893 1746 26.3% 37.5% 36.2% +0.5 22
1984-01-29 Fiorentina L 1-2 1766 1866 41.9% 37.5% 20.6% -11.0 17
1984-01-29 @ Ascoli W 2-1 1866 1766 20.6% 37.5% 41.9% +11.0 23
1984-01-29 Genoa W 2-1 1659 1671 51.0% 36.2% 12.9% +4.8 13
1984-01-29 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1671 1659 12.9% 36.2% 51.0% -4.8 12
1984-01-29 Juventus D 1-1 1746 1934 30.8% 37.0% 32.2% +0.1 15
1984-01-29 @ Napoli D 1-1 1934 1746 32.2% 37.0% 30.8% -0.1 26
1984-01-29 Hellas Verona L 0-3 1755 1807 47.1% 37.0% 15.9% -35.2 13
1984-01-29 @ Pisa W 3-0 1807 1755 15.9% 37.0% 47.1% +35.2 22
1984-01-29 Catania W 2-0 1803 1646 64.4% 29.7% 5.9% +4.4 20
1984-01-29 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1646 1803 5.9% 29.7% 64.4% -4.4 8
1984-01-29 Inter Milan W 3-1 1809 1852 48.0% 36.8% 15.2% +9.5 24
1984-01-29 @ Torino L 1-3 1852 1809 15.2% 36.8% 48.0% -9.5 19
1984-01-29 Avellino W 2-1 1828 1720 60.8% 31.9% 7.3% +2.8 22
1984-01-29 @ Udinese L 1-2 1720 1828 7.3% 31.9% 60.8% -2.8 12
1984-02-12 Napoli W 1-0 1717 1746 49.4% 36.6% 14.1% +5.5 14
1984-02-12 @ Avellino L 0-1 1746 1717 14.1% 36.6% 49.4% -5.5 15
1984-02-12 AC Milan D 1-1 1642 1746 41.5% 37.5% 21.0% -1.1 9
1984-02-12 @ Catania D 1-1 1746 1642 21.0% 37.5% 41.5% +1.1 21
1984-02-12 Sampdoria W 3-0 1877 1808 57.8% 33.6% 8.7% +9.8 25
1984-02-12 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1808 1877 8.7% 33.6% 57.8% -9.8 20
1984-02-12 Pisa D 0-0 1666 1720 46.9% 37.0% 16.1% -1.9 13
1984-02-12 @ Genoa D 0-0 1720 1666 16.1% 37.0% 46.9% +1.9 14
1984-02-12 Udinese W 2-1 1842 1831 53.1% 35.5% 11.4% +4.4 24
1984-02-12 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1831 1842 11.4% 35.5% 53.1% -4.4 22
1984-02-12 Ascoli D 0-0 1842 1755 59.2% 32.8% 8.0% -3.6 20
1984-02-12 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1755 1842 8.0% 32.8% 59.2% +3.6 18
1984-02-12 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1934 1664 72.3% 23.9% 3.8% +1.2 28
1984-02-12 @ Juventus L 1-2 1664 1934 3.8% 23.9% 72.3% -1.2 13
1984-02-12 Torino W 2-1 1894 1818 58.3% 33.3% 8.4% +3.3 24
1984-02-12 @ Roma L 1-2 1818 1894 8.4% 33.3% 58.3% -3.3 24
1984-02-19 Juventus L 0-3 1747 1935 30.7% 37.0% 32.3% -25.5 21
1984-02-19 @ AC Milan W 3-0 1935 1747 32.3% 37.0% 30.7% +25.5 30
1984-02-19 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1758 1847 43.2% 37.4% 19.3% +6.5 20
1984-02-19 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1847 1758 19.3% 37.4% 43.2% -6.5 24
1984-02-19 Roma L 0-2 1664 1897 25.2% 36.1% 38.6% -15.3 13
1984-02-19 @ Genoa W 2-0 1897 1664 38.6% 36.1% 25.2% +15.3 26
1984-02-19 Sampdoria W 2-1 1663 1798 37.7% 37.5% 24.8% +7.7 15
1984-02-19 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1798 1663 24.8% 37.5% 37.7% -7.7 20
1984-02-19 Inter Milan L 0-2 1741 1839 42.2% 37.5% 20.3% -22.1 15
1984-02-19 @ Napoli W 2-0 1839 1741 20.3% 37.5% 42.2% +22.1 22
1984-02-19 Catania W 2-0 1722 1641 58.7% 33.1% 8.2% +6.4 16
1984-02-19 @ Pisa L 0-2 1641 1722 8.2% 33.1% 58.7% -6.4 9
1984-02-19 Avellino W 4-2 1815 1723 59.6% 32.6% 7.8% +4.7 26
1984-02-19 @ Torino L 2-4 1723 1815 7.8% 32.6% 59.6% -4.7 14
1984-02-19 Fiorentina W 3-1 1826 1887 46.3% 37.1% 16.6% +10.2 24
1984-02-19 @ Udinese L 1-3 1887 1826 16.6% 37.1% 46.3% -10.2 25
1984-02-26 Napoli D 2-2 1765 1719 56.0% 34.4% 9.6% -2.1 21
1984-02-26 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1719 1765 9.6% 34.4% 56.0% +2.1 16
1984-02-26 Genoa W 3-1 1718 1649 57.8% 33.5% 8.6% +5.8 16
1984-02-26 @ Avellino L 1-3 1649 1718 8.6% 33.5% 57.8% -5.8 13
1984-02-26 Catania W 3-1 1840 1634 67.9% 27.3% 4.9% +3.0 26
1984-02-26 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1634 1840 4.9% 27.3% 67.9% -3.0 9
1984-02-26 Udinese W 2-0 1861 1836 54.2% 35.1% 10.7% +8.3 24
1984-02-26 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1836 1861 10.7% 35.1% 54.2% -8.3 24
1984-02-26 Torino W 2-1 1961 1820 63.2% 30.4% 6.3% +2.4 32
1984-02-26 @ Juventus L 1-2 1820 1961 6.3% 30.4% 63.2% -2.4 26
1984-02-26 Fiorentina D 1-1 1728 1877 36.1% 37.5% 26.4% -0.5 17
1984-02-26 @ Pisa D 1-1 1877 1728 26.4% 37.5% 36.1% +0.5 26
1984-02-26 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1912 1670 70.3% 25.4% 4.2% -3.1 27
1984-02-26 @ Roma D 2-2 1670 1912 4.2% 25.4% 70.3% +3.1 16
1984-02-26 AC Milan D 1-1 1790 1721 57.8% 33.6% 8.7% -3.0 21
1984-02-26 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1721 1790 8.7% 33.6% 57.8% +3.0 22
1984-03-11 Avellino D 1-1 1632 1724 42.8% 37.5% 19.7% -1.2 10
1984-03-11 @ Catania D 1-1 1724 1632 19.7% 37.5% 42.8% +1.2 17
1984-03-11 Hellas Verona W 2-0 1877 1843 54.9% 34.8% 10.2% +7.9 28
1984-03-11 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1843 1877 10.2% 34.8% 54.9% -7.9 26
1984-03-11 Pisa W 3-0 1869 1728 63.2% 30.4% 6.3% +6.9 26
1984-03-11 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1728 1869 6.3% 30.4% 63.2% -6.9 17
1984-03-11 AC Milan D 0-0 1673 1724 47.2% 37.0% 15.8% -2.0 17
1984-03-11 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1724 1673 15.8% 37.0% 47.2% +2.0 23
1984-03-11 Roma L 1-2 1721 1909 30.7% 37.0% 32.2% -8.8 16
1984-03-11 @ Napoli W 2-1 1909 1721 32.2% 37.0% 30.7% +8.8 29
1984-03-11 Juventus D 1-1 1787 1963 32.4% 37.2% 30.4% -0.1 22
1984-03-11 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1963 1787 30.4% 37.2% 32.4% +0.1 33
1984-03-11 Genoa W 2-1 1817 1643 65.6% 28.8% 5.5% +2.0 28
1984-03-11 @ Torino L 1-2 1643 1817 5.5% 28.8% 65.6% -2.0 13
1984-03-11 Ascoli D 0-0 1828 1763 57.5% 33.7% 8.8% -3.4 25
1984-03-11 @ Udinese D 0-0 1763 1828 8.8% 33.7% 57.5% +3.3 22
1984-03-18 Inter Milan D 0-0 1726 1876 35.9% 37.5% 26.7% -0.5 24
1984-03-18 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1876 1726 26.7% 37.5% 35.9% +0.5 27
1984-03-18 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1725 1671 56.6% 34.1% 9.3% +10.5 19
1984-03-18 @ Avellino L 0-3 1671 1725 9.3% 34.1% 56.6% -10.5 17
1984-03-18 Fiorentina L 0-2 1630 1885 22.8% 35.6% 41.6% -14.2 10
1984-03-18 @ Catania W 2-0 1885 1630 41.6% 35.6% 22.8% +14.2 30
1984-03-18 Sampdoria D 0-0 1641 1787 36.3% 37.5% 26.2% -0.6 14
1984-03-18 @ Genoa D 0-0 1787 1641 26.2% 37.5% 36.3% +0.6 23
1984-03-18 Juventus W 2-1 1835 1963 38.6% 37.6% 23.8% +7.5 28
1984-03-18 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1963 1835 23.8% 37.6% 38.6% -7.5 33
1984-03-18 Napoli D 1-1 1721 1712 52.8% 35.6% 11.6% -2.5 18
1984-03-18 @ Pisa D 1-1 1712 1721 11.6% 35.6% 52.8% +2.5 17
1984-03-18 Udinese W 4-1 1918 1825 59.6% 32.6% 7.8% +7.4 31
1984-03-18 @ Roma L 1-4 1825 1918 7.8% 32.6% 59.6% -7.4 25
1984-03-18 Ascoli D 0-0 1819 1766 56.5% 34.2% 9.3% -3.2 29
1984-03-18 @ Torino D 0-0 1766 1819 9.3% 34.2% 56.5% +3.2 23
1984-03-25 Roma D 0-0 1769 1925 35.1% 37.4% 27.5% -0.4 24
1984-03-25 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1925 1769 27.5% 37.4% 35.1% +0.4 32
1984-03-25 AC Milan D 2-2 1899 1726 65.6% 28.9% 5.6% -2.8 31
1984-03-25 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1726 1899 5.6% 28.9% 65.6% +2.8 25
1984-03-25 Genoa D 1-1 1877 1640 70.0% 25.7% 4.3% -4.1 28
1984-03-25 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1640 1877 4.3% 25.7% 70.0% +4.1 15
1984-03-25 Catania W 2-0 1956 1616 76.7% 20.4% 2.9% +1.7 35
1984-03-25 @ Juventus L 0-2 1616 1956 2.9% 20.4% 76.7% -1.7 10
1984-03-25 Torino W 1-0 1661 1816 35.2% 37.4% 27.4% +8.7 19
1984-03-25 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1816 1661 27.4% 37.4% 35.2% -8.7 29
1984-03-25 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1714 1843 38.6% 37.6% 23.9% +8.0 19
1984-03-25 @ Napoli L 0-1 1843 1714 23.9% 37.6% 38.6% -8.0 28
1984-03-25 Avellino L 0-1 1788 1736 56.4% 34.2% 9.4% -15.0 23
1984-03-25 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1736 1788 9.4% 34.2% 56.4% +15.0 21
1984-03-25 Pisa W 2-1 1817 1719 60.1% 32.3% 7.6% +2.9 27
1984-03-25 @ Udinese L 1-2 1719 1817 7.6% 32.3% 60.1% -2.9 18
1984-04-01 Napoli L 0-2 1729 1722 52.6% 35.7% 11.7% -26.7 25
1984-04-01 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1722 1729 11.7% 35.7% 52.6% +26.7 21
1984-04-01 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1751 1835 43.8% 37.4% 18.9% +6.8 23
1984-04-01 @ Avellino L 0-1 1835 1751 18.9% 37.4% 43.8% -6.8 28
1984-04-01 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1614 1670 46.8% 37.0% 16.2% -1.7 11
1984-04-01 @ Catania D 1-1 1670 1614 16.2% 37.0% 46.8% +1.7 20
1984-04-01 Ascoli W 1-0 1644 1769 39.1% 37.6% 23.4% +7.9 17
1984-04-01 @ Genoa L 0-1 1769 1644 23.4% 37.6% 39.1% -7.9 24
1984-04-01 Fiorentina W 1-0 1957 1896 57.2% 33.9% 9.0% +3.7 37
1984-04-01 @ Juventus L 0-1 1896 1957 9.0% 33.9% 57.2% -3.7 31
1984-04-01 Torino D 1-1 1716 1807 42.9% 37.5% 19.7% -1.2 19
1984-04-01 @ Pisa D 1-1 1807 1716 19.7% 37.5% 42.9% +1.3 30
1984-04-01 Inter Milan W 1-0 1926 1873 56.5% 34.2% 9.3% +3.9 34
1984-04-01 @ Roma L 0-1 1873 1926 9.3% 34.2% 56.5% -3.9 28
1984-04-01 Sampdoria L 0-3 1820 1773 56.1% 34.4% 9.6% -40.9 27
1984-04-01 @ Udinese W 3-0 1773 1820 9.6% 34.4% 56.1% +40.9 25
1984-04-08 Pisa W 3-2 1761 1714 56.0% 34.4% 9.6% +3.5 26
1984-04-08 @ Ascoli L 2-3 1714 1761 9.6% 34.4% 56.0% -3.6 19
1984-04-08 Lazio Roma W 3-2 1893 1671 68.9% 26.5% 4.6% +1.5 33
1984-04-08 @ Fiorentina L 2-3 1671 1893 4.6% 26.5% 68.9% -1.5 20
1984-04-08 AC Milan W 2-0 1652 1702 47.4% 37.0% 15.7% +11.3 19
1984-04-08 @ Genoa L 0-2 1702 1652 15.7% 37.0% 47.4% -11.3 25
1984-04-08 Sampdoria W 1-0 1828 1814 53.3% 35.4% 11.3% +4.6 30
1984-04-08 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1814 1828 11.3% 35.4% 53.3% -4.6 25
1984-04-08 Avellino W 3-0 1869 1758 61.0% 31.8% 7.2% +8.0 30
1984-04-08 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1758 1869 7.2% 31.8% 61.0% -8.0 23
1984-04-08 Catania W 3-0 1749 1613 62.9% 30.6% 6.5% +7.1 23
1984-04-08 @ Napoli L 0-3 1613 1749 6.5% 30.6% 62.9% -7.1 11
1984-04-08 Juventus D 0-0 1929 1961 49.1% 36.6% 14.3% -2.2 35
1984-04-08 @ Roma D 0-0 1961 1929 14.3% 36.6% 49.1% +2.2 38
1984-04-08 Udinese L 0-1 1809 1779 54.5% 35.0% 10.5% -14.6 30
1984-04-08 @ Torino W 1-0 1779 1809 10.5% 35.0% 54.5% +14.6 29
1984-04-21 Ascoli D 0-0 1691 1765 44.8% 37.3% 17.9% -1.7 26
1984-04-21 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1765 1691 17.9% 37.3% 44.8% +1.7 27
1984-04-21 Roma D 2-2 1750 1927 32.2% 37.2% 30.6% -0.1 24
1984-04-21 @ Avellino D 2-2 1927 1750 30.6% 37.2% 32.2% +0.0 36
1984-04-21 Genoa L 1-2 1606 1664 46.5% 37.1% 16.4% -12.0 11
1984-04-21 @ Catania W 2-1 1664 1606 16.4% 37.1% 46.5% +12.0 21
1984-04-21 Inter Milan D 1-1 1894 1877 53.5% 35.4% 11.1% -2.5 34
1984-04-21 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1877 1894 11.1% 35.4% 53.5% +2.5 31
1984-04-21 Torino D 2-2 1833 1794 55.3% 34.7% 10.0% -2.0 31
1984-04-21 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1794 1833 10.0% 34.7% 55.3% +2.0 31
1984-04-21 Udinese W 3-2 1963 1794 65.3% 29.1% 5.7% +2.0 40
1984-04-21 @ Juventus L 2-3 1794 1963 5.7% 29.1% 65.3% -2.0 29
1984-04-21 Napoli W 3-2 1670 1756 43.5% 37.4% 19.1% +6.2 22
1984-04-21 @ Lazio Roma L 2-3 1756 1670 19.1% 37.4% 43.5% -6.2 23
1984-04-21 Pisa W 1-0 1809 1711 60.0% 32.4% 7.6% +3.1 27
1984-04-21 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1711 1809 7.6% 32.4% 60.0% -3.1 19
1984-04-28 Catania W 2-1 1766 1594 65.5% 28.9% 5.6% +2.0 29
1984-04-28 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1594 1766 5.6% 28.9% 65.5% -2.0 11
1984-04-28 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1676 1830 35.2% 37.4% 27.4% -0.4 22
1984-04-28 @ Genoa D 1-1 1830 1676 27.4% 37.4% 35.2% +0.4 32
1984-04-28 Juventus L 1-2 1879 1965 43.5% 37.4% 19.1% -11.3 31
1984-04-28 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1965 1879 19.1% 37.4% 43.5% +11.3 42
1984-04-28 Sampdoria D 1-1 1750 1812 46.1% 37.1% 16.8% -1.6 24
1984-04-28 @ Napoli D 1-1 1812 1750 16.8% 37.1% 46.1% +1.6 28
1984-04-28 Avellino W 1-0 1708 1750 48.1% 36.8% 15.1% +5.8 21
1984-04-28 @ Pisa L 0-1 1750 1708 15.1% 36.8% 48.1% -5.8 24
1984-04-28 Fiorentina W 2-1 1927 1892 55.1% 34.8% 10.1% +3.9 38
1984-04-28 @ Roma L 1-2 1892 1927 10.1% 34.8% 55.1% -3.9 34
1984-04-28 AC Milan L 1-2 1796 1689 60.7% 32.0% 7.3% -15.0 31
1984-04-28 @ Torino W 2-1 1689 1796 7.3% 32.0% 60.7% +15.0 28
1984-04-28 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1792 1676 61.4% 31.6% 7.0% +5.4 31
1984-04-28 @ Udinese L 0-2 1676 1792 7.0% 31.6% 61.4% -5.4 22
1984-05-06 Pisa W 2-1 1704 1713 51.2% 36.1% 12.7% +4.8 30
1984-05-06 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1713 1704 12.7% 36.1% 51.2% -4.8 21
1984-05-06 Roma D 2-2 1592 1931 15.5% 32.5% 52.0% +1.5 12
1984-05-06 @ Catania D 2-2 1931 1592 52.0% 32.5% 15.5% -1.5 39
1984-05-06 Genoa D 0-0 1888 1675 68.3% 26.9% 4.8% -4.4 35
1984-05-06 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1675 1888 4.8% 26.9% 68.3% +4.4 23
1984-05-06 Inter Milan L 1-2 1831 1868 48.6% 36.7% 14.7% -12.4 32
1984-05-06 @ Hellas Verona W 2-1 1868 1831 14.7% 36.7% 48.6% +12.4 33
1984-05-06 Avellino D 1-1 1977 1744 69.8% 25.9% 4.4% -4.1 43
1984-05-06 @ Juventus D 1-1 1744 1977 4.4% 25.9% 69.8% +4.1 25
1984-05-06 Ascoli W 2-1 1671 1768 42.2% 37.5% 20.3% +6.8 24
1984-05-06 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1768 1671 20.3% 37.5% 42.2% -6.8 29
1984-05-06 Udinese W 2-1 1748 1798 47.4% 36.9% 15.7% +5.6 26
1984-05-06 @ Napoli L 1-2 1798 1748 15.7% 36.9% 47.4% -5.6 31
1984-05-06 Torino W 2-1 1814 1781 54.9% 34.9% 10.3% +4.0 30
1984-05-06 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1781 1814 10.3% 34.9% 54.9% -4.0 31
1984-05-13 Sampdoria L 0-1 1762 1818 46.7% 37.1% 16.3% -12.8 29
1984-05-13 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1818 1762 16.3% 37.1% 46.7% +12.8 32
1984-05-13 Fiorentina D 0-0 1748 1883 37.7% 37.5% 24.8% -0.8 26
1984-05-13 @ Avellino D 0-0 1883 1748 24.8% 37.5% 37.7% +0.7 36
1984-05-13 Juventus W 2-1 1680 1973 19.1% 34.3% 46.6% +11.6 25
1984-05-13 @ Genoa L 1-2 1973 1680 46.6% 34.3% 19.1% -11.6 43
1984-05-13 Catania W 6-0 1880 1593 73.4% 23.1% 3.5% +6.2 35
1984-05-13 @ Inter Milan L 0-6 1593 1880 3.5% 23.1% 73.4% -6.2 12
1984-05-13 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1709 1677 54.7% 34.9% 10.3% -2.0 22
1984-05-13 @ Pisa D 2-2 1677 1709 10.3% 34.9% 54.7% +2.0 25
1984-05-13 Hellas Verona W 3-2 1930 1818 61.0% 31.8% 7.2% +2.6 41
1984-05-13 @ Roma L 2-3 1818 1930 7.2% 31.8% 61.0% -2.6 32
1984-05-13 Napoli W 2-1 1777 1754 54.0% 35.2% 10.8% +4.2 33
1984-05-13 @ Torino L 1-2 1754 1777 10.8% 35.2% 54.0% -4.2 26
1984-05-13 AC Milan L 1-2 1792 1709 58.9% 33.0% 8.1% -14.7 31
1984-05-13 @ Udinese W 2-1 1709 1792 8.1% 33.0% 58.9% +14.7 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-10-30 6.89% Sampdoria 1783 2 @ Juventus 1904 1
2 1984-04-28 7.32% AC Milan 1689 2 @ Torino 1796 1
3 1984-01-08 8.10% Ascoli 1757 2 @ Sampdoria 1841 1
4 1984-05-13 8.13% AC Milan 1709 2 @ Udinese 1792 1
5 1984-03-25 9.38% Avellino 1736 1 @ Sampdoria 1788 0
6 1983-09-12 9.57% Sampdoria 1801 2 @ Inter Milan 1849 1
7 1984-04-01 9.57% Sampdoria 1773 3 @ Udinese 1820 0
8 1983-12-11 9.80% AC Milan 1728 4 @ Ascoli 1771 2
9 1984-04-08 10.47% Udinese 1779 1 @ Torino 1809 0
10 1983-09-12 11.60% Udinese 1733 5 @ Genoa 1741 0
11 1983-12-04 11.70% Ascoli 1757 1 @ Pisa 1764 0
12 1984-04-01 11.73% Napoli 1722 2 @ AC Milan 1729 0
13 1984-01-15 12.30% Inter Milan 1830 2 @ Sampdoria 1826 0
14 1983-11-20 14.29% Sampdoria 1803 2 @ Avellino 1771 0
15 1983-10-02 14.58% Fiorentina 1841 2 @ Sampdoria 1805 1
16 1984-05-06 14.68% Inter Milan 1868 2 @ Hellas Verona 1831 1
17 1983-10-23 14.90% Hellas Verona 1789 1 @ Catania 1749 0
18 1983-12-18 15.16% Torino 1793 1 @ AC Milan 1750 0
19 1984-01-29 15.88% Hellas Verona 1807 3 @ Pisa 1755 0
20 1984-05-13 16.26% Sampdoria 1818 1 @ Ascoli 1762 0
21 1984-04-21 16.41% Genoa 1664 2 @ Catania 1606 1
22 1983-09-18 16.83% Roma 1878 2 @ Sampdoria 1815 1
23 1983-10-23 18.16% Avellino 1758 2 @ Genoa 1681 0
24 1984-01-08 18.42% Pisa 1747 1 @ Lazio Roma 1668 0
25 1984-04-28 19.07% Juventus 1965 2 @ Inter Milan 1879 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-09-12 62.55 Udinese 5 1733 11.60% @ Genoa 0 1741 52.77% 35.62%
2 1984-04-01 40.91 Sampdoria 3 1773 9.57% @ Udinese 0 1820 56.08% 34.35%
3 1984-01-29 35.21 Hellas Verona 3 1807 15.88% @ Pisa 0 1755 47.13% 36.99%
4 1984-04-01 26.67 Napoli 2 1722 11.73% @ AC Milan 0 1729 52.59% 35.68%
5 1984-01-15 26.30 Inter Milan 2 1830 12.30% @ Sampdoria 0 1826 51.77% 35.94%
6 1984-02-19 25.47 Juventus 3 1935 32.26% @ AC Milan 0 1747 30.69% 37.05%
7 1983-11-20 25.11 Sampdoria 2 1803 14.29% @ Avellino 0 1771 49.09% 36.62%
8 1983-10-23 23.10 Avellino 2 1758 18.16% @ Genoa 0 1681 44.52% 37.32%
9 1983-09-18 22.76 @ Lazio Roma 3 1694 36.99% Inter Milan 0 1835 25.49% 37.52%
10 1984-02-19 22.09 Inter Milan 2 1839 20.34% @ Napoli 0 1741 42.16% 37.50%
11 1983-12-11 21.69 AC Milan 4 1728 9.80% @ Ascoli 2 1771 55.67% 34.53%
12 1984-01-22 19.93 Udinese 2 1808 25.57% @ Catania 0 1666 36.91% 37.52%
13 1983-11-20 18.50 Juventus 2 1895 29.46% @ Catania 0 1725 33.24% 37.30%
14 1983-10-23 18.21 Roma 2 1888 30.28% @ Lazio Roma 0 1712 32.49% 37.23%
15 1983-09-12 18.06 @ Juventus 7 1877 60.78% Ascoli 0 1768 7.28% 31.93%
16 1984-02-19 15.30 Roma 2 1897 38.65% @ Genoa 0 1664 25.20% 36.15%
17 1983-10-30 15.18 Sampdoria 2 1783 6.89% @ Juventus 1 1904 61.76% 31.35%
18 1983-12-11 15.13 @ Genoa 3 1660 49.33% Catania 0 1690 14.10% 36.57%
19 1984-03-25 15.02 Avellino 1 1736 9.38% @ Sampdoria 0 1788 56.42% 34.20%
20 1984-04-28 15.00 AC Milan 2 1689 7.32% @ Torino 1 1796 60.70% 31.98%
21 1983-11-27 14.99 @ Lazio Roma 3 1679 49.54% Catania 0 1707 13.94% 36.52%
22 1984-01-08 14.66 Ascoli 2 1757 8.10% @ Sampdoria 1 1841 58.94% 32.96%
23 1984-05-13 14.65 AC Milan 2 1709 8.13% @ Udinese 1 1792 58.88% 32.99%
24 1984-04-08 14.59 Udinese 1 1779 10.47% @ Torino 0 1809 54.55% 34.99%
25 1983-09-12 14.20 @ Avellino 4 1763 56.03% AC Milan 0 1716 9.60% 34.37%