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1982-83 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Roma

43 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1941-42

Relegated

Catanzaro

13 pts

Cesena · 22 pts

Cagliari · 26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Roma

7.12 points above expected

43 points · 35.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Catanzaro

11.30 points below expected

13 points · 24.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Roma Champion 30 16 11 3 43 47 24 +23 35.88 +7.12
2 Juventus 30 15 9 6 39 49 26 +23 37.61 +1.39
3 Inter Milan 30 12 14 4 38 40 23 +17 33.49 +4.51
4 Hellas Verona 30 11 13 6 35 37 31 +6 29.83 +5.17
5 Fiorentina 30 12 10 8 34 36 25 +11 33.82 +0.18
6 Udinese 30 6 20 4 32 25 29 -4 28.27 +3.73
7 Sampdoria 30 8 15 7 31 31 30 +1 29.57 +1.43
8 Torino 30 9 12 9 30 30 28 +2 30.33 -0.33
9 Avellino 30 8 12 10 28 29 34 -5 27.61 +0.39
10 Napoli 30 7 14 9 28 22 29 -7 28.90 -0.90
11 Pisa 30 8 11 11 27 27 27 0 30.12 -3.12
12 Genoa 30 6 15 9 27 34 38 -4 27.03 -0.03
13 Ascoli 30 9 9 12 27 32 37 -5 28.87 -1.87
14 Cagliari Relegated 30 6 14 10 26 23 33 -10 27.26 -1.26
15 Cesena Relegated 30 4 14 12 22 22 35 -13 27.10 -5.10
16 Catanzaro Relegated 30 2 9 19 13 21 56 -35 24.30 -11.30

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Juventus 1844 39 37.61 +1.39 69.2% 24 32 35 38 40 44 51
Roma 1839 43 35.88 +7.12 98.2% 23 30 33 36 38 42 49
Inter Milan 1803 38 33.49 +4.51 91.3% 20 27 31 33 36 40 48
Fiorentina 1780 34 33.82 +0.18 56.8% 20 28 31 34 36 40 48
Sampdoria 1732 31 29.57 +1.43 69.7% 17 23 27 30 32 36 43
Pisa 1713 27 30.12 -3.12 23.7% 16 24 28 30 33 36 44
Hellas Verona 1693 35 29.83 +5.17 93.7% 16 24 27 30 32 36 43
Napoli 1692 28 28.90 -0.90 45.4% 15 23 26 29 31 35 42
Ascoli 1683 27 28.87 -1.87 35.5% 15 23 26 29 31 35 43
Avellino 1677 28 27.61 +0.39 59.5% 13 22 25 28 30 34 41
Torino 1667 30 30.33 -0.33 51.8% 17 24 28 30 33 36 46
Genoa 1640 27 27.03 -0.03 55.6% 13 21 24 27 30 33 40
Udinese 1638 32 28.27 +3.73 87.2% 15 22 26 28 31 34 42
Cagliari 1631 26 27.26 -1.26 41.8% 9 21 25 27 30 33 41
Cesena 1593 22 27.10 -5.10 10.9% 14 21 25 27 30 33 41
Catanzaro 1496 13 24.30 -11.30 0.1% 10 18 22 24 27 30 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ASC AVE CAG CAT CES FIO GEN HV IM JUV NAP PIS ROM SAM TOR UDI
Ascoli —
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.94
0-2-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.20
0-2-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
1.67
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.88
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.54
Avellino
1-0-1
2.43
 —
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
1.92
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
1.62
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.70
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.35
0-2-0
2.54
Cagliari
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.51
 —
2-0-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.58
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.24
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.42
0-2-0
2.21
0-0-2
2.15
1-1-0
2.29
0-1-1
2.15
0-2-0
2.53
Catanzaro
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.35
 —
0-2-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.86
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
2.23
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
1.51
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.19
Cesena
0-2-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.58
0-2-0
2.83
 —
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.67
0-1-1
2.39
2-0-0
1.91
1-0-1
2.37
Fiorentina
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.18
 —
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
3.15
Genoa
0-2-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.44
0-0-2
1.98
 —
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
1.60
0-2-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
1.63
0-2-0
2.28
0-2-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.52
Hellas Verona
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.77
 —
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
1.70
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.70
Inter Milan
1-1-0
2.87
2-0-0
3.06
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.47
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.94
 —
1-1-0
2.21
0-2-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.14
Juventus
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.62
0-1-1
3.46
0-1-1
2.95
 —
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.51
Napoli
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.09
0-2-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.15
0-1-1
1.95
 —
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.32
0-2-0
2.67
Pisa
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.78
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.89
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.63
 —
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.54
0-2-0
2.71
Roma
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.15
 —
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
3.32
Sampdoria
0-1-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.26
0-2-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.13
1-1-0
1.84
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.14
 —
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.67
Torino
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
3.23
1-1-0
2.29
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.23
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.61
 —
0-2-0
2.65
Udinese
1-0-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.58
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.05
1-1-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.43
0-2-0
2.06
0-1-1
1.68
0-2-0
2.51
0-2-0
2.42
0-2-0
1.87
1-0-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.49
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +7.0
Allowed 0.73 -7.7
Differential 0.94 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.58%7.71%5.62%1.88%1.04%0.42%36.25%
17.71%17.50%6.46%2.92%0.62%—35.21%
25.62%6.46%4.58%1.67%0.42%0.21%18.96%
31.88%2.92%1.67%0.42%——6.88%
41.04%0.62%0.42%———2.08%
5+0.42%—0.21%———0.62%
Total36.25%35.21%18.96%6.88%2.08%0.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.44
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%10.00%——3.33%33.33%
13.33%13.33%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
213.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%30.00%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.23 -0.17
SD 0.94 1.19 1.62
CV 0.89 0.97 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—13.33%6.67%——33.33%
16.67%26.67%6.67%—6.67%—46.67%
213.33%—————13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total40.00%26.67%20.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.13 -0.17
SD 0.96 1.22 1.82
CV 1.00 1.08 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——43.33%
110.00%20.00%3.33%6.67%——40.00%
2—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%16.67%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.10 -0.33
SD 0.82 1.03 1.15
CV 1.07 0.94 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%—6.67%3.33%43.33%
13.33%13.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
2—3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%26.67%30.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 1.87 -1.17
SD 0.70 1.38 1.44
CV 1.00 0.74 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%16.67%6.67%—3.33%—46.67%
16.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%——36.67%
26.67%—6.67%———13.33%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.17 -0.43
SD 0.83 1.12 1.22
CV 1.13 0.96 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——43.33%
113.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
2—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
36.67%6.67%—3.33%——16.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total50.00%26.67%13.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.83 +0.37
SD 1.35 1.02 1.71
CV 1.12 1.22 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——26.67%
110.00%26.67%6.67%———43.33%
2—3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%—23.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%36.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.27 -0.13
SD 0.97 1.08 1.28
CV 0.86 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%—3.33%——23.33%
110.00%20.00%10.00%———40.00%
2—16.67%10.00%———26.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.03 +0.20
SD 0.94 0.81 1.10
CV 0.76 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%3.33%————30.00%
1—13.33%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
216.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total46.67%33.33%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.77 +0.57
SD 1.18 0.86 1.33
CV 0.89 1.12 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%6.67%———30.00%
16.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
23.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%36.67%20.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 0.87 +0.77
SD 1.47 0.86 1.68
CV 0.90 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%——43.33%
113.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%——3.33%16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%13.33%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 0.97 -0.23
SD 0.74 1.19 1.17
CV 1.01 1.23 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%16.67%————40.00%
16.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
213.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%30.00%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 0.90 +0.00
SD 0.88 0.96 1.08
CV 0.98 1.07 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%————13.33%
113.33%23.33%6.67%———43.33%
210.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
3—16.67%————16.67%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total33.33%53.33%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 0.80 +0.77
SD 1.14 0.66 1.07
CV 0.72 0.83 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
113.33%23.33%—6.67%——43.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——16.67%
3———————
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%33.33%13.33%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.00 +0.03
SD 1.07 1.05 1.35
CV 1.03 1.05 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%13.33%———46.67%
16.67%16.67%—3.33%——26.67%
26.67%—3.33%———10.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.93 +0.07
SD 1.20 0.87 1.41
CV 1.20 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
036.67%3.33%—3.33%6.67%—50.00%
1—26.67%————26.67%
2—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
3—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%46.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 0.97 -0.13
SD 1.02 1.10 1.36
CV 1.22 1.14 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Roma 43 35.88 +7.12
2 Hellas Verona 35 29.83 +5.17
3 Inter Milan 38 33.49 +4.51
4 Udinese 32 28.27 +3.73
5 Sampdoria 31 29.57 +1.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Catanzaro 13 24.30 -11.30
2 Cesena 22 27.10 -5.10
3 Pisa 27 30.12 -3.12
4 Ascoli 27 28.87 -1.87
5 Cagliari 26 27.26 -1.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hellas Verona 5 Sep 26 – Oct 24 1 in 2,173
2 Sampdoria 3 Sep 12 – Sep 26 1 in 94
3 Juventus 4 Feb 20 – Mar 13 1 in 51
4 Cesena 2 Nov 21 – Nov 28 1 in 26
5 Genoa 2 Oct 10 – Oct 17 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Catanzaro 8 Mar 13 – May 15 1 in 821
2 Ascoli 3 Mar 20 – Apr 24 1 in 57
3 Pisa 3 Dec 19 – Jan 9 1 in 47
4 Cesena 4 Mar 6 – Mar 20 1 in 42
5 Torino 3 Nov 21 – Dec 12 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hellas Verona 17 Sep 26 – Feb 6 1 in 570
2 Udinese 10 Nov 28 – Feb 20 1 in 40
3 Cesena 9 Oct 24 – Jan 9 1 in 33
4 Cagliari 7 Nov 7 – Jan 9 1 in 19
5 Torino 9 Sep 12 – Nov 7 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Napoli 13 Oct 3 – Jan 16 1 in 70
2 Cesena 14 Dec 12 – Mar 20 1 in 55
3 Juventus 7 Dec 19 – Feb 6 1 in 42
4 Catanzaro 15 Oct 24 – Feb 27 1 in 42
5 Sampdoria 9 Nov 21 – Jan 30 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Roma26.40%25.37%16.59%10.63%6.67%4.46%3.01%2.43%1.55%1.10%0.68%0.51%0.22%0.24%0.13%0.01%
Juventus46.55%22.89%13.02%6.60%4.18%2.53%1.67%1.00%0.53%0.47%0.26%0.17%0.07%0.04%0.02%—
Inter Milan9.18%15.06%15.98%15.01%11.14%8.66%6.74%4.94%3.61%3.02%2.29%1.82%1.14%0.71%0.52%0.18%
Hellas Verona1.15%3.38%5.56%7.38%9.31%8.99%9.24%9.11%8.09%7.76%7.32%6.69%5.46%4.67%3.73%2.16%
Fiorentina10.12%15.69%17.56%13.87%10.98%7.93%6.06%5.11%3.95%2.81%2.12%1.53%1.06%0.63%0.44%0.14%
Udinese0.43%1.45%2.57%3.84%5.05%5.84%7.01%7.91%8.77%8.50%8.77%9.09%8.98%8.59%7.56%5.64%
Sampdoria1.14%2.53%4.78%6.59%8.11%8.23%9.13%8.37%8.73%8.66%7.49%7.07%6.45%5.85%4.10%2.77%
Torino1.66%3.88%6.19%8.40%9.62%10.15%8.94%8.72%8.10%7.39%6.97%5.89%5.12%4.18%2.99%1.80%
Avellino0.36%0.87%1.89%3.25%3.61%5.06%6.32%6.56%7.67%8.08%8.89%9.46%9.70%10.33%9.84%8.11%
Napoli0.48%1.77%2.91%4.72%5.84%7.12%7.98%8.51%8.65%8.62%9.19%8.12%8.09%7.22%6.13%4.65%
Pisa1.34%3.53%5.73%7.42%8.94%9.73%9.59%9.04%8.77%7.21%7.38%5.98%5.38%4.22%3.43%2.31%
Genoa0.13%0.60%1.25%2.30%3.57%4.40%5.19%5.76%6.78%8.25%8.58%9.38%10.84%11.18%12.09%9.70%
Ascoli0.56%1.73%3.17%4.70%6.21%7.35%7.97%8.17%8.42%9.10%8.19%8.32%7.84%7.50%5.92%4.85%
Cagliari0.30%0.65%1.16%2.36%3.27%4.65%4.87%6.59%7.12%7.79%8.35%9.75%10.55%10.89%11.52%10.18%
Cesena0.18%0.47%1.44%2.51%2.76%3.84%4.90%5.94%6.42%7.38%8.59%9.59%10.77%11.34%12.69%11.18%
Catanzaro0.02%0.13%0.20%0.42%0.74%1.06%1.38%1.84%2.84%3.86%4.93%6.63%8.33%12.41%18.89%36.32%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.08%
Strong Edge
42.50%42.08%15.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge
194 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
096.50500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.54 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Roma, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.96 * Some Luck: 2.96 to 4.44 * Lucky: 4.44 to 5.92 * Wild Swing: 5.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.39 * Close: 2.39 to 3.59 * Off: 3.59 to 4.79 * Way Off: 4.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.64 * A Surprise: 1.64 to 2.63 * Several Surprises: 2.63 to 3.61 * Many Surprises: 3.61 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.22 points
Some Luck
03.709
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.12
Pinpoint
02.996
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.22%
Roma
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.13%
Catanzaro
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.30
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
74%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
8%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 99.94% 0.06%
Roma 99.62% 0.38%
Fiorentina 98.79% 1.21%
Inter Milan 98.59% 1.41%
Torino 91.03% 8.97%
Pisa 90.04% 9.96%
Hellas Verona 89.44% 10.56%
Sampdoria 87.28% 12.72%
Napoli 82.00% 18.00%
Ascoli 81.73% 18.27%
Udinese 78.21% 21.79%
Avellino 71.72% 28.28%
Cagliari 67.41% 32.59%
Genoa 67.03% 32.97%
Cesena 64.79% 35.21%
Catanzaro 32.38% 67.62%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1982-09-12 Genoa D 0-0 1689 1656 47.9% 42.2% 9.8% -3.2 1
1982-09-12 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1656 1689 9.8% 42.2% 47.9% +3.2 1
1982-09-12 Roma L 1-3 1684 1741 39.1% 44.4% 16.5% -23.9 0
1982-09-12 @ Cagliari W 3-1 1741 1684 16.5% 44.4% 39.1% +23.9 2
1982-09-12 Pisa D 0-0 1656 1708 39.6% 44.3% 16.0% -1.8 1
1982-09-12 @ Cesena D 0-0 1708 1656 16.0% 44.3% 39.6% +1.8 1
1982-09-12 Catanzaro W 4-0 1761 1662 53.5% 39.4% 7.1% +16.2 2
1982-09-12 @ Fiorentina L 0-4 1662 1761 7.1% 39.4% 53.5% -16.2 0
1982-09-12 Inter Milan L 1-2 1633 1718 35.9% 44.6% 19.5% -13.0 0
1982-09-12 @ Hellas Verona W 2-1 1718 1633 19.5% 44.6% 35.9% +13.0 2
1982-09-12 Udinese D 0-0 1730 1647 52.2% 40.2% 7.6% -3.9 1
1982-09-12 @ Napoli D 0-0 1647 1730 7.6% 40.2% 52.2% +3.9 1
1982-09-12 Juventus W 1-0 1682 1823 28.7% 44.4% 27.0% +11.5 2
1982-09-12 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1823 1682 27.0% 44.4% 28.7% -11.5 0
1982-09-12 Avellino W 4-1 1667 1665 45.2% 43.2% 11.7% +16.0 2
1982-09-12 @ Torino L 1-4 1665 1667 11.7% 43.2% 45.2% -16.0 0
1982-09-19 Ascoli W 2-0 1649 1686 41.3% 44.1% 14.6% +15.2 2
1982-09-19 @ Avellino L 0-2 1686 1649 14.6% 44.1% 41.3% -15.2 1
1982-09-19 Torino D 0-0 1646 1683 41.3% 44.1% 14.6% -2.1 1
1982-09-19 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1683 1646 14.6% 44.1% 41.3% +2.1 3
1982-09-19 Fiorentina L 0-3 1659 1777 31.8% 44.6% 23.6% -34.7 1
1982-09-19 @ Genoa W 3-0 1777 1659 23.6% 44.6% 31.8% +34.7 4
1982-09-19 Sampdoria L 1-2 1731 1693 48.4% 42.0% 9.6% -16.4 2
1982-09-19 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1693 1731 9.6% 42.0% 48.4% +16.4 4
1982-09-19 Cesena W 2-0 1812 1654 58.1% 36.3% 5.6% +6.5 2
1982-09-19 @ Juventus L 0-2 1654 1812 5.6% 36.3% 58.1% -6.5 1
1982-09-19 Napoli W 2-0 1710 1726 43.4% 43.7% 13.0% +14.1 3
1982-09-19 @ Pisa L 0-2 1726 1710 13.0% 43.7% 43.4% -14.1 1
1982-09-19 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1765 1620 57.1% 37.0% 5.9% +3.6 4
1982-09-19 @ Roma L 0-1 1620 1765 5.9% 37.0% 57.1% -3.7 0
1982-09-19 Cagliari D 1-1 1651 1660 44.0% 43.5% 12.5% -2.3 2
1982-09-19 @ Udinese D 1-1 1660 1651 12.5% 43.5% 44.0% +2.3 1
1982-09-26 Pisa D 2-2 1670 1724 39.5% 44.3% 16.1% -1.2 2
1982-09-26 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1724 1670 16.1% 44.3% 39.5% +1.2 4
1982-09-26 Inter Milan L 0-2 1662 1715 39.6% 44.3% 16.0% -27.9 1
1982-09-26 @ Cagliari W 2-0 1715 1662 16.0% 44.3% 39.6% +27.9 4
1982-09-26 Avellino W 2-0 1647 1664 43.4% 43.7% 13.0% +14.1 3
1982-09-26 @ Cesena L 0-2 1664 1647 13.0% 43.7% 43.4% -14.1 2
1982-09-26 Udinese L 1-2 1812 1648 58.6% 36.0% 5.5% -18.9 4
1982-09-26 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1648 1812 5.5% 36.0% 58.6% +18.9 4
1982-09-26 Juventus W 2-1 1616 1818 21.2% 43.1% 35.6% +12.7 2
1982-09-26 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1818 1616 35.6% 43.1% 21.2% -12.7 2
1982-09-26 Catanzaro W 2-0 1712 1644 51.0% 40.8% 8.2% +9.8 3
1982-09-26 @ Napoli L 0-2 1644 1712 8.2% 40.8% 51.0% -9.9 1
1982-09-26 Roma W 1-0 1709 1769 38.9% 44.4% 16.7% +8.8 6
1982-09-26 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1769 1709 16.7% 44.4% 38.9% -8.8 4
1982-09-26 Genoa D 1-1 1685 1625 50.3% 41.2% 8.5% -3.2 4
1982-09-26 @ Torino D 1-1 1625 1685 8.5% 41.2% 50.3% +3.2 2
1982-10-03 Cagliari D 0-0 1650 1635 46.4% 42.8% 10.8% -2.9 3
1982-10-03 @ Avellino D 0-0 1635 1650 10.8% 42.8% 46.4% +3.0 2
1982-10-03 Cesena D 1-1 1634 1661 42.3% 43.9% 13.8% -2.0 2
1982-10-03 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1661 1634 13.8% 43.9% 42.3% +2.0 4
1982-10-03 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1628 1629 44.9% 43.3% 11.9% -16.3 2
1982-10-03 @ Genoa W 1-0 1629 1628 11.9% 43.3% 44.9% +16.3 4
1982-10-03 Fiorentina D 0-0 1743 1793 39.9% 44.3% 15.9% -1.8 5
1982-10-03 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1793 1743 15.9% 44.3% 39.9% +1.8 5
1982-10-03 Napoli W 3-0 1805 1722 52.2% 40.2% 7.6% +13.3 4
1982-10-03 @ Juventus L 0-3 1722 1805 7.6% 40.2% 52.2% -13.3 3
1982-10-03 Sampdoria W 3-2 1725 1718 45.6% 43.1% 11.3% +6.1 6
1982-10-03 @ Pisa L 2-3 1718 1725 11.3% 43.1% 45.6% -6.1 6
1982-10-03 Ascoli W 2-1 1760 1669 52.8% 39.8% 7.4% +4.5 6
1982-10-03 @ Roma L 1-2 1669 1760 7.4% 39.8% 52.8% -4.4 2
1982-10-03 Torino D 2-2 1667 1681 43.6% 43.6% 12.8% -1.6 5
1982-10-03 @ Udinese D 2-2 1681 1667 12.8% 43.6% 43.6% +1.7 5
1982-10-10 Udinese W 3-0 1665 1665 44.9% 43.3% 11.8% +19.2 4
1982-10-10 @ Ascoli L 0-3 1665 1665 11.8% 43.3% 44.9% -19.2 5
1982-10-10 Pisa D 1-1 1638 1731 34.9% 44.6% 20.5% -0.9 3
1982-10-10 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1731 1638 20.5% 44.6% 34.9% +0.9 7
1982-10-10 Genoa L 0-1 1663 1612 49.6% 41.5% 8.9% -17.7 4
1982-10-10 @ Cesena W 1-0 1612 1663 8.9% 41.5% 49.6% +17.7 4
1982-10-10 Juventus L 0-1 1795 1819 42.6% 43.8% 13.5% -15.7 5
1982-10-10 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1819 1795 13.5% 43.8% 42.6% +15.7 6
1982-10-10 Avellino W 3-0 1645 1647 44.8% 43.3% 11.9% +19.2 6
1982-10-10 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1647 1645 11.9% 43.3% 44.8% -19.2 3
1982-10-10 Roma L 1-3 1708 1764 39.3% 44.4% 16.4% -24.0 3
1982-10-10 @ Napoli W 3-1 1764 1708 16.4% 44.4% 39.3% +24.0 8
1982-10-10 Catanzaro W 4-2 1712 1632 51.9% 40.3% 7.8% +7.2 8
1982-10-10 @ Sampdoria L 2-4 1632 1712 7.8% 40.3% 51.9% -7.2 2
1982-10-10 Inter Milan D 0-0 1683 1741 39.0% 44.4% 16.6% -1.7 6
1982-10-10 @ Torino D 0-0 1741 1683 16.6% 44.4% 39.0% +1.7 6
1982-10-17 Fiorentina W 2-0 1628 1779 27.3% 44.2% 28.5% +22.3 5
1982-10-17 @ Avellino L 0-2 1779 1628 28.5% 44.2% 27.3% -22.3 5
1982-10-17 Ascoli W 1-0 1625 1684 38.9% 44.4% 16.7% +8.8 4
1982-10-17 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1684 1625 16.7% 44.4% 38.9% -8.8 4
1982-10-17 Cagliari W 3-0 1629 1637 44.3% 43.4% 12.3% +19.7 6
1982-10-17 @ Genoa L 0-3 1637 1629 12.3% 43.4% 44.3% -19.7 3
1982-10-17 Napoli D 2-2 1743 1685 50.1% 41.2% 8.6% -2.4 7
1982-10-17 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1685 1743 8.6% 41.2% 50.1% +2.4 4
1982-10-17 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1732 1665 50.9% 40.9% 8.2% -18.1 7
1982-10-17 @ Pisa W 1-0 1665 1732 8.2% 40.9% 50.9% +18.1 8
1982-10-17 Cesena W 1-0 1788 1646 56.9% 37.2% 5.9% +3.7 10
1982-10-17 @ Roma L 0-1 1646 1788 5.9% 37.2% 56.9% -3.7 4
1982-10-17 Sampdoria W 3-0 1681 1719 41.2% 44.1% 14.7% +22.2 8
1982-10-17 @ Torino L 0-3 1719 1681 14.7% 44.1% 41.2% -22.2 8
1982-10-17 Juventus D 0-0 1646 1834 22.8% 43.5% 33.8% +0.8 6
1982-10-17 @ Udinese D 0-0 1834 1646 33.8% 43.5% 22.8% -0.8 7
1982-10-24 Sampdoria W 2-0 1675 1697 42.8% 43.8% 13.4% +14.4 6
1982-10-24 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1697 1675 13.4% 43.8% 42.8% -14.4 8
1982-10-24 Torino D 0-0 1617 1704 35.7% 44.6% 19.7% -1.2 4
1982-10-24 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1704 1617 19.7% 44.6% 35.7% +1.2 9
1982-10-24 Fiorentina D 3-3 1642 1757 32.2% 44.6% 23.2% -0.4 5
1982-10-24 @ Cesena D 3-3 1757 1642 23.2% 44.6% 32.2% +0.3 6
1982-10-24 Udinese L 2-3 1649 1647 45.1% 43.2% 11.7% -14.7 6
1982-10-24 @ Genoa W 3-2 1647 1649 11.7% 43.2% 45.1% +14.7 8
1982-10-24 Catanzaro W 3-1 1683 1634 49.4% 41.6% 9.0% +9.3 10
1982-10-24 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1634 1683 9.0% 41.6% 49.4% -9.3 4
1982-10-24 Roma W 2-1 1834 1792 48.7% 41.9% 9.4% +5.5 9
1982-10-24 @ Juventus L 1-2 1792 1834 9.4% 41.9% 48.7% -5.5 10
1982-10-24 Avellino D 1-1 1687 1650 48.3% 42.1% 9.6% -2.9 5
1982-10-24 @ Napoli D 1-1 1650 1687 9.6% 42.1% 48.3% +2.9 6
1982-10-24 Inter Milan D 1-1 1714 1740 42.4% 43.9% 13.8% -2.0 8
1982-10-24 @ Pisa D 1-1 1740 1714 13.8% 43.9% 42.4% +2.0 8
1982-10-31 Juventus D 1-1 1653 1839 23.0% 43.5% 33.5% +0.7 7
1982-10-31 @ Avellino D 1-1 1839 1653 33.5% 43.5% 23.0% -0.7 10
1982-10-31 Genoa D 2-2 1624 1634 44.0% 43.5% 12.5% -1.7 5
1982-10-31 @ Catanzaro D 2-2 1634 1624 12.5% 43.5% 44.0% +1.7 7
1982-10-31 Cagliari W 3-1 1758 1616 56.9% 37.2% 5.9% +6.1 8
1982-10-31 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1616 1758 5.9% 37.2% 56.9% -6.0 4
1982-10-31 Ascoli W 2-0 1742 1689 49.7% 41.5% 8.8% +10.5 10
1982-10-31 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1689 1742 8.8% 41.5% 49.7% -10.5 6
1982-10-31 Pisa W 3-1 1786 1712 51.5% 40.6% 8.0% +8.3 12
1982-10-31 @ Roma L 1-3 1712 1786 8.0% 40.6% 51.5% -8.3 8
1982-10-31 Cesena D 0-0 1683 1642 48.7% 41.9% 9.4% -3.3 9
1982-10-31 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1642 1683 9.4% 41.9% 48.7% +3.3 6
1982-10-31 Napoli D 1-1 1705 1684 46.9% 42.6% 10.5% -2.7 10
1982-10-31 @ Torino D 1-1 1684 1705 10.5% 42.6% 46.9% +2.7 6
1982-10-31 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1662 1692 42.0% 44.0% 14.1% -2.2 9
1982-10-31 @ Udinese D 0-0 1692 1662 14.1% 44.0% 42.0% +2.2 11
1982-11-07 Hellas Verona L 2-3 1679 1694 43.5% 43.6% 12.9% -14.2 6
1982-11-07 @ Ascoli W 3-2 1694 1679 12.9% 43.6% 43.5% +14.2 13
1982-11-07 Catanzaro W 1-0 1610 1623 43.7% 43.6% 12.7% +7.3 6
1982-11-07 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1623 1610 12.7% 43.6% 43.7% -7.3 5
1982-11-07 Inter Milan D 2-2 1645 1753 33.1% 44.6% 22.3% -0.5 7
1982-11-07 @ Cesena D 2-2 1753 1645 22.3% 44.6% 33.1% +0.5 11
1982-11-07 Torino D 0-0 1764 1702 50.4% 41.1% 8.5% -3.6 9
1982-11-07 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1702 1764 8.5% 41.1% 50.4% +3.6 11
1982-11-07 Avellino D 1-1 1636 1653 43.3% 43.7% 13.0% -2.2 8
1982-11-07 @ Genoa D 1-1 1653 1636 13.0% 43.7% 43.3% +2.2 8
1982-11-07 Pisa W 3-2 1839 1704 56.3% 37.6% 6.1% +3.4 12
1982-11-07 @ Juventus L 2-3 1704 1839 6.1% 37.6% 56.3% -3.4 8
1982-11-07 Sampdoria L 0-1 1687 1679 45.6% 43.0% 11.3% -16.6 6
1982-11-07 @ Napoli W 1-0 1679 1687 11.3% 43.0% 45.6% +16.6 11
1982-11-07 Roma D 1-1 1660 1795 29.6% 44.4% 26.0% -0.2 10
1982-11-07 @ Udinese D 1-1 1795 1660 26.0% 44.4% 29.6% +0.2 13
1982-11-21 Udinese W 1-0 1644 1659 43.5% 43.6% 12.8% +7.4 9
1982-11-21 @ Cesena L 0-1 1659 1644 12.8% 43.6% 43.5% -7.4 10
1982-11-21 Cagliari D 2-2 1708 1617 52.9% 39.8% 7.3% -2.7 14
1982-11-21 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1617 1708 7.3% 39.8% 52.9% +2.7 7
1982-11-21 Genoa W 2-1 1753 1634 55.1% 38.4% 6.5% +3.9 13
1982-11-21 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1634 1753 6.5% 38.4% 55.1% -3.9 8
1982-11-21 Torino W 1-0 1842 1706 56.4% 37.5% 6.1% +3.8 14
1982-11-21 @ Juventus L 0-1 1706 1842 6.1% 37.5% 56.4% -3.8 11
1982-11-21 Ascoli D 0-0 1670 1665 45.5% 43.1% 11.4% -2.8 7
1982-11-21 @ Napoli D 0-0 1665 1670 11.4% 43.1% 45.5% +2.8 7
1982-11-21 Catanzaro D 0-0 1700 1615 52.3% 40.1% 7.6% -3.9 9
1982-11-21 @ Pisa D 0-0 1615 1700 7.6% 40.1% 52.3% +3.9 6
1982-11-21 Fiorentina W 3-1 1795 1760 48.1% 42.1% 9.7% +9.9 15
1982-11-21 @ Roma L 1-3 1760 1795 9.7% 42.1% 48.1% -9.9 9
1982-11-21 Avellino D 0-0 1696 1656 48.6% 41.9% 9.4% -3.3 12
1982-11-21 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1656 1696 9.4% 41.9% 48.6% +3.3 9
1982-11-28 Juventus W 2-0 1667 1846 23.9% 43.7% 32.4% +23.9 9
1982-11-28 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1846 1667 32.4% 43.7% 23.9% -23.9 14
1982-11-28 Inter Milan L 1-2 1659 1757 34.3% 44.6% 21.1% -12.6 9
1982-11-28 @ Avellino W 2-1 1757 1659 21.1% 44.6% 34.3% +12.6 15
1982-11-28 Napoli W 1-0 1620 1667 40.2% 44.2% 15.6% +8.4 9
1982-11-28 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1667 1620 15.6% 44.2% 40.2% -8.4 7
1982-11-28 Roma D 0-0 1619 1805 23.1% 43.5% 33.4% +0.7 7
1982-11-28 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1805 1619 33.4% 43.5% 23.1% -0.7 16
1982-11-28 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1750 1706 48.9% 41.8% 9.2% -3.0 10
1982-11-28 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1706 1750 9.2% 41.8% 48.9% +3.0 15
1982-11-28 Sampdoria D 1-1 1630 1693 38.5% 44.4% 17.1% -1.5 9
1982-11-28 @ Genoa D 1-1 1693 1630 17.1% 44.4% 38.5% +1.4 13
1982-11-28 Cesena L 0-1 1702 1652 49.4% 41.6% 9.0% -17.7 11
1982-11-28 @ Torino W 1-0 1652 1702 9.0% 41.6% 49.4% +17.7 11
1982-11-28 Pisa D 1-1 1652 1696 40.5% 44.2% 15.3% -1.7 11
1982-11-28 @ Udinese D 1-1 1696 1652 15.3% 44.2% 40.5% +1.8 10
1982-12-12 Fiorentina W 1-0 1691 1747 39.3% 44.4% 16.4% +8.6 11
1982-12-12 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1747 1691 16.4% 44.4% 39.3% -8.6 10
1982-12-12 Cagliari D 0-0 1670 1628 48.7% 41.9% 9.4% -3.3 12
1982-12-12 @ Cesena D 0-0 1628 1670 9.4% 41.9% 48.7% +3.4 10
1982-12-12 Torino W 1-0 1709 1684 47.2% 42.5% 10.3% +6.3 17
1982-12-12 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1684 1709 10.3% 42.5% 47.2% -6.3 11
1982-12-12 Catanzaro W 3-1 1822 1620 61.5% 33.7% 4.8% +4.5 16
1982-12-12 @ Juventus L 1-3 1620 1822 4.8% 33.7% 61.5% -4.5 7
1982-12-12 Genoa D 1-1 1659 1629 47.7% 42.3% 10.0% -2.8 8
1982-12-12 @ Napoli D 1-1 1629 1659 10.0% 42.3% 47.7% +2.8 10
1982-12-12 Avellino W 2-0 1698 1646 49.6% 41.5% 8.9% +10.6 12
1982-12-12 @ Pisa L 0-2 1646 1698 8.9% 41.5% 49.6% -10.6 9
1982-12-12 Inter Milan W 2-1 1804 1770 48.1% 42.2% 9.8% +5.7 18
1982-12-12 @ Roma L 1-2 1770 1804 9.8% 42.2% 48.1% -5.7 15
1982-12-12 Udinese L 1-3 1694 1650 48.9% 41.8% 9.3% -28.6 13
1982-12-12 @ Sampdoria W 3-1 1650 1694 9.3% 41.8% 48.9% +28.6 13
1982-12-19 Roma D 1-1 1636 1810 24.4% 43.8% 31.8% +0.5 10
1982-12-19 @ Avellino D 1-1 1810 1636 31.8% 43.8% 24.4% -0.5 19
1982-12-19 Sampdoria W 1-0 1631 1665 41.6% 44.0% 14.4% +8.0 12
1982-12-19 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1665 1631 14.4% 44.0% 41.6% -8.0 13
1982-12-19 Udinese D 1-1 1615 1679 38.4% 44.5% 17.1% -1.4 8
1982-12-19 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1679 1615 17.1% 44.5% 38.4% +1.4 14
1982-12-19 Napoli W 1-0 1738 1656 52.1% 40.2% 7.7% +4.9 12
1982-12-19 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1656 1738 7.7% 40.2% 52.1% -4.9 8
1982-12-19 Pisa W 1-0 1631 1708 36.9% 44.6% 18.6% +9.3 12
1982-12-19 @ Genoa L 0-1 1708 1631 18.6% 44.6% 36.9% -9.3 12
1982-12-19 Cesena D 1-1 1715 1666 49.4% 41.6% 9.0% -3.1 18
1982-12-19 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1666 1715 9.0% 41.6% 49.4% +3.1 13
1982-12-19 Juventus D 0-0 1764 1826 38.6% 44.4% 17.0% -1.6 16
1982-12-19 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1826 1764 17.0% 44.4% 38.6% +1.6 17
1982-12-19 Ascoli W 2-0 1678 1700 42.8% 43.8% 13.4% +14.4 13
1982-12-19 @ Torino L 0-2 1700 1678 13.4% 43.8% 42.8% -14.4 11
1983-01-02 Cesena D 1-1 1686 1669 46.5% 42.8% 10.8% -2.7 12
1983-01-02 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1669 1686 10.8% 42.8% 46.5% +2.7 14
1983-01-02 Avellino D 1-1 1614 1636 42.8% 43.8% 13.4% -2.1 9
1983-01-02 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1636 1614 13.4% 43.8% 42.8% +2.1 11
1983-01-02 Cagliari D 1-1 1828 1639 60.5% 34.5% 5.0% -4.5 18
1983-01-02 @ Juventus D 1-1 1639 1828 5.0% 34.5% 60.5% +4.5 13
1983-01-02 Hellas Verona L 1-2 1651 1712 38.7% 44.4% 16.9% -13.7 8
1983-01-02 @ Napoli W 2-1 1712 1651 16.9% 44.4% 38.7% +13.7 20
1983-01-02 Torino L 0-1 1699 1692 45.6% 43.0% 11.3% -16.5 12
1983-01-02 @ Pisa W 1-0 1692 1699 11.3% 43.0% 45.6% +16.5 15
1983-01-02 Genoa W 2-0 1809 1641 58.9% 35.7% 5.4% +6.1 21
1983-01-02 @ Roma L 0-2 1641 1809 5.4% 35.7% 58.9% -6.1 12
1983-01-02 Fiorentina D 0-0 1657 1743 35.8% 44.6% 19.6% -1.2 14
1983-01-02 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1743 1657 19.6% 44.6% 35.8% +1.2 13
1983-01-02 Inter Milan D 0-0 1680 1762 36.2% 44.6% 19.2% -1.2 15
1983-01-02 @ Udinese D 0-0 1762 1680 19.2% 44.6% 36.2% +1.3 17
1983-01-09 Udinese D 1-1 1638 1679 40.9% 44.1% 15.0% -1.8 12
1983-01-09 @ Avellino D 1-1 1679 1638 15.0% 44.1% 40.9% +1.8 16
1983-01-09 Ascoli W 3-1 1644 1683 41.1% 44.1% 14.8% +13.3 15
1983-01-09 @ Cagliari L 1-3 1683 1644 14.8% 44.1% 41.1% -13.3 12
1983-01-09 Napoli D 0-0 1672 1637 48.1% 42.2% 9.8% -3.2 15
1983-01-09 @ Cesena D 0-0 1637 1672 9.8% 42.2% 48.1% +3.2 9
1983-01-09 Pisa W 2-1 1744 1683 50.4% 41.1% 8.5% +5.1 15
1983-01-09 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1683 1744 8.5% 41.1% 50.4% -5.1 12
1983-01-09 Juventus W 1-0 1635 1823 22.7% 43.5% 33.9% +13.0 14
1983-01-09 @ Genoa L 0-1 1823 1635 33.9% 43.5% 22.7% -13.0 18
1983-01-09 Sampdoria D 1-1 1726 1656 51.1% 40.8% 8.2% -3.3 21
1983-01-09 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1656 1726 8.2% 40.8% 51.1% +3.3 15
1983-01-09 Catanzaro W 5-0 1764 1612 57.6% 36.6% 5.7% +15.6 19
1983-01-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-5 1612 1764 5.7% 36.6% 57.6% -15.6 9
1983-01-09 Roma D 1-1 1709 1815 33.3% 44.6% 22.1% -0.7 16
1983-01-09 @ Torino D 1-1 1815 1709 22.1% 44.6% 33.3% +0.7 22
1983-01-16 Torino W 2-0 1636 1708 37.5% 44.5% 18.0% +17.3 14
1983-01-16 @ Avellino L 0-2 1708 1636 18.0% 44.5% 37.5% -17.3 16
1983-01-16 Fiorentina L 0-1 1596 1750 27.1% 44.2% 28.7% -11.5 9
1983-01-16 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1750 1596 28.7% 44.2% 27.1% +11.5 17
1983-01-16 Ascoli D 0-0 1648 1670 42.8% 43.8% 13.4% -2.3 15
1983-01-16 @ Genoa D 0-0 1670 1648 13.4% 43.8% 42.8% +2.3 13
1983-01-16 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1779 1722 50.0% 41.3% 8.7% -3.2 20
1983-01-16 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1722 1779 8.7% 41.3% 50.0% +3.2 22
1983-01-16 Sampdoria D 1-1 1810 1660 57.6% 36.7% 5.7% -4.2 19
1983-01-16 @ Juventus D 1-1 1660 1810 5.7% 36.7% 57.6% +4.2 16
1983-01-16 Cesena W 1-0 1678 1669 45.8% 43.0% 11.2% +6.7 14
1983-01-16 @ Pisa L 0-1 1669 1678 11.2% 43.0% 45.8% -6.7 15
1983-01-16 Cagliari W 1-0 1816 1657 58.2% 36.2% 5.6% +3.4 24
1983-01-16 @ Roma L 0-1 1657 1816 5.6% 36.2% 58.2% -3.4 15
1983-01-16 Napoli D 0-0 1681 1641 48.6% 41.9% 9.5% -3.3 17
1983-01-16 @ Udinese D 0-0 1641 1681 9.5% 41.9% 48.6% +3.3 10
1983-01-23 Avellino W 2-1 1672 1654 46.7% 42.7% 10.6% +6.1 15
1983-01-23 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1654 1672 10.6% 42.7% 46.7% -6.1 14
1983-01-23 Udinese D 0-0 1654 1677 42.6% 43.8% 13.5% -2.3 16
1983-01-23 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1677 1654 13.5% 43.8% 42.6% +2.3 18
1983-01-23 Juventus D 2-2 1662 1806 28.3% 44.3% 27.3% -0.0 16
1983-01-23 @ Cesena D 2-2 1806 1662 27.3% 44.3% 28.3% +0.0 20
1983-01-23 Genoa W 2-1 1761 1645 54.8% 38.6% 6.6% +4.0 19
1983-01-23 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1645 1761 6.6% 38.6% 54.8% -4.0 15
1983-01-23 Roma D 1-1 1726 1820 34.8% 44.6% 20.5% -0.9 23
1983-01-23 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1820 1726 20.5% 44.6% 34.8% +0.9 25
1983-01-23 Pisa W 2-1 1644 1684 40.9% 44.1% 14.9% +7.7 12
1983-01-23 @ Napoli L 1-2 1684 1644 14.9% 44.1% 40.9% -7.7 14
1983-01-23 Inter Milan D 0-0 1664 1776 32.6% 44.6% 22.9% -0.7 17
1983-01-23 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1776 1664 22.9% 44.6% 32.6% +0.7 21
1983-01-23 Catanzaro W 1-0 1691 1585 54.0% 39.1% 6.9% +4.4 18
1983-01-23 @ Torino L 0-1 1585 1691 6.9% 39.1% 54.0% -4.4 9
1983-01-30 Cesena W 1-0 1648 1662 43.6% 43.6% 12.8% +7.4 16
1983-01-30 @ Avellino L 0-1 1662 1648 12.8% 43.6% 43.6% -7.4 16
1983-01-30 Napoli L 1-2 1580 1652 37.5% 44.5% 18.0% -13.4 9
1983-01-30 @ Catanzaro W 2-1 1652 1580 18.0% 44.5% 37.5% +13.4 14
1983-01-30 Torino D 1-1 1641 1695 39.5% 44.3% 16.2% -1.6 16
1983-01-30 @ Genoa D 1-1 1695 1641 16.2% 44.3% 39.5% +1.6 19
1983-01-30 Cagliari W 2-0 1777 1651 55.6% 38.1% 6.3% +7.6 23
1983-01-30 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1651 1777 6.3% 38.1% 55.6% -7.6 16
1983-01-30 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1806 1725 52.1% 40.2% 7.7% -3.9 21
1983-01-30 @ Juventus D 0-0 1725 1806 7.7% 40.2% 52.1% +3.9 24
1983-01-30 Ascoli W 2-1 1677 1678 44.8% 43.3% 11.9% +6.6 16
1983-01-30 @ Pisa L 1-2 1678 1677 11.9% 43.3% 44.8% -6.6 15
1983-01-30 Sampdoria W 1-0 1820 1663 58.1% 36.3% 5.6% +3.4 27
1983-01-30 @ Roma L 0-1 1663 1820 5.6% 36.3% 58.1% -3.4 17
1983-01-30 Fiorentina D 0-0 1680 1765 35.9% 44.6% 19.5% -1.2 19
1983-01-30 @ Udinese D 0-0 1765 1680 19.5% 44.6% 35.9% +1.2 20
1983-02-06 Roma D 1-1 1672 1824 27.2% 44.2% 28.6% +0.1 16
1983-02-06 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1824 1672 28.6% 44.2% 27.2% -0.1 28
1983-02-06 Avellino D 1-1 1644 1655 43.9% 43.5% 12.6% -2.2 17
1983-02-06 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1655 1644 12.6% 43.5% 43.9% +2.3 17
1983-02-06 Catanzaro D 0-0 1654 1567 52.5% 40.0% 7.5% -4.0 17
1983-02-06 @ Cesena D 0-0 1567 1654 7.5% 40.0% 52.5% +4.0 10
1983-02-06 Inter Milan D 0-0 1766 1784 43.2% 43.7% 13.1% -2.4 21
1983-02-06 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1784 1766 13.1% 43.7% 43.2% +2.4 24
1983-02-06 Genoa D 2-2 1729 1640 52.7% 39.9% 7.4% -2.7 25
1983-02-06 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1640 1729 7.4% 39.9% 52.7% +2.7 17
1983-02-06 Juventus D 0-0 1665 1802 29.3% 44.4% 26.3% -0.2 15
1983-02-06 @ Napoli D 0-0 1802 1665 26.3% 44.4% 29.3% +0.2 22
1983-02-06 Pisa W 1-0 1660 1683 42.7% 43.8% 13.5% +7.7 19
1983-02-06 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1683 1660 13.5% 43.8% 42.7% -7.7 16
1983-02-06 Udinese D 0-0 1697 1679 46.7% 42.7% 10.6% -3.0 20
1983-02-06 @ Torino D 0-0 1679 1697 10.6% 42.7% 46.7% +3.0 20
1983-02-20 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1657 1726 37.8% 44.5% 17.7% +24.8 19
1983-02-20 @ Avellino L 0-3 1726 1657 17.7% 44.5% 37.8% -24.8 25
1983-02-20 Sampdoria D 1-1 1571 1667 34.5% 44.6% 20.8% -0.9 11
1983-02-20 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1667 1571 20.8% 44.6% 34.5% +0.9 20
1983-02-20 Cesena W 2-1 1642 1651 44.2% 43.5% 12.3% +6.8 19
1983-02-20 @ Genoa L 1-2 1651 1642 12.3% 43.5% 44.2% -6.8 17
1983-02-20 Torino L 1-3 1787 1694 53.0% 39.7% 7.3% -30.5 24
1983-02-20 @ Inter Milan W 3-1 1694 1787 7.3% 39.7% 53.0% +30.5 22
1983-02-20 Fiorentina W 3-0 1803 1764 48.5% 42.0% 9.5% +16.3 24
1983-02-20 @ Juventus L 0-3 1764 1803 9.5% 42.0% 48.5% -16.3 21
1983-02-20 Cagliari D 0-0 1676 1642 48.0% 42.2% 9.8% -3.2 17
1983-02-20 @ Pisa D 0-0 1642 1676 9.8% 42.2% 48.0% +3.2 18
1983-02-20 Napoli W 5-2 1824 1665 58.2% 36.2% 5.6% +6.8 30
1983-02-20 @ Roma L 2-5 1665 1824 5.6% 36.2% 58.2% -6.8 15
1983-02-20 Ascoli W 2-1 1682 1672 45.9% 43.0% 11.2% +6.3 22
1983-02-20 @ Udinese L 1-2 1672 1682 11.2% 43.0% 45.9% -6.3 16
1983-02-27 Catanzaro W 3-2 1665 1570 53.2% 39.6% 7.2% +4.1 18
1983-02-27 @ Ascoli L 2-3 1570 1665 7.2% 39.6% 53.2% -4.1 11
1983-02-27 Genoa D 1-1 1645 1649 44.5% 43.4% 12.1% -2.4 19
1983-02-27 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1649 1645 12.1% 43.4% 44.5% +2.3 20
1983-02-27 Roma D 1-1 1644 1831 22.9% 43.5% 33.6% +0.7 18
1983-02-27 @ Cesena D 1-1 1831 1644 33.6% 43.5% 22.9% -0.7 31
1983-02-27 Avellino W 3-0 1748 1682 50.7% 40.9% 8.3% +14.5 23
1983-02-27 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1682 1748 8.3% 40.9% 50.7% -14.5 19
1983-02-27 Pisa W 2-1 1701 1672 47.6% 42.4% 10.1% +5.9 27
1983-02-27 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1672 1701 10.1% 42.4% 47.6% -5.8 17
1983-02-27 Udinese W 4-0 1819 1688 56.0% 37.8% 6.2% +14.0 26
1983-02-27 @ Juventus L 0-4 1688 1819 6.2% 37.8% 56.0% -14.0 22
1983-02-27 Inter Milan D 1-1 1658 1756 34.3% 44.6% 21.1% -0.9 16
1983-02-27 @ Napoli D 1-1 1756 1658 21.1% 44.6% 34.3% +0.9 25
1983-02-27 Torino D 0-0 1668 1724 39.2% 44.4% 16.4% -1.7 21
1983-02-27 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1724 1668 16.4% 44.4% 39.2% +1.7 23
1983-03-06 Napoli D 0-0 1668 1657 45.9% 43.0% 11.1% -2.9 20
1983-03-06 @ Avellino D 0-0 1657 1668 11.1% 43.0% 45.9% +2.9 17
1983-03-06 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1566 1707 28.8% 44.4% 26.9% +10.8 13
1983-03-06 @ Catanzaro L 1-2 1707 1566 26.9% 44.4% 28.8% -10.8 27
1983-03-06 Cesena W 4-0 1762 1644 55.0% 38.5% 6.6% +14.9 25
1983-03-06 @ Fiorentina L 0-4 1644 1762 6.6% 38.5% 55.0% -14.9 18
1983-03-06 Pisa L 0-1 1757 1666 52.8% 39.8% 7.4% -18.6 25
1983-03-06 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1666 1757 7.4% 39.8% 52.8% +18.6 19
1983-03-06 Juventus L 1-2 1830 1833 44.7% 43.3% 12.0% -15.3 31
1983-03-06 @ Roma W 2-1 1833 1830 12.0% 43.3% 44.7% +15.3 28
1983-03-06 Ascoli D 1-1 1666 1669 44.7% 43.3% 12.0% -2.4 22
1983-03-06 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1669 1666 12.0% 43.3% 44.7% +2.4 19
1983-03-06 Cagliari W 3-2 1726 1643 52.2% 40.2% 7.6% +4.4 25
1983-03-06 @ Torino L 2-3 1643 1726 7.6% 40.2% 52.2% -4.4 19
1983-03-06 Genoa D 1-1 1674 1652 47.0% 42.6% 10.4% -2.7 23
1983-03-06 @ Udinese D 1-1 1652 1674 10.4% 42.6% 47.0% +2.7 21
1983-03-13 Inter Milan D 0-0 1672 1738 38.0% 44.5% 17.5% -1.5 20
1983-03-13 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1738 1672 17.5% 44.5% 38.0% +1.5 26
1983-03-13 Fiorentina D 0-0 1638 1777 29.1% 44.4% 26.5% -0.2 20
1983-03-13 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1777 1638 26.5% 44.4% 29.1% +0.2 26
1983-03-13 Sampdoria L 0-2 1630 1664 41.5% 44.0% 14.4% -28.9 18
1983-03-13 @ Cesena W 2-0 1664 1630 14.4% 44.0% 41.5% +28.9 24
1983-03-13 Catanzaro W 4-1 1654 1577 51.7% 40.4% 7.8% +11.6 23
1983-03-13 @ Genoa L 1-4 1577 1654 7.8% 40.4% 51.7% -11.6 13
1983-03-13 Udinese D 0-0 1696 1671 47.3% 42.5% 10.2% -3.1 28
1983-03-13 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1671 1696 10.2% 42.5% 47.3% +3.1 24
1983-03-13 Avellino W 4-1 1848 1665 60.1% 34.8% 5.1% +7.0 30
1983-03-13 @ Juventus L 1-4 1665 1848 5.1% 34.8% 60.1% -7.0 20
1983-03-13 Torino W 1-0 1660 1730 37.6% 44.5% 17.8% +9.1 19
1983-03-13 @ Napoli L 0-1 1730 1660 17.8% 44.5% 37.6% -9.1 25
1983-03-13 Roma L 1-2 1685 1815 30.3% 44.5% 25.2% -11.6 19
1983-03-13 @ Pisa W 2-1 1815 1685 25.2% 44.5% 30.3% +11.6 33
1983-03-20 Napoli W 2-1 1670 1669 45.1% 43.2% 11.7% +6.6 22
1983-03-20 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1669 1670 11.7% 43.2% 45.1% -6.6 19
1983-03-20 Genoa W 2-0 1658 1666 44.2% 43.5% 12.4% +13.6 22
1983-03-20 @ Avellino L 0-2 1666 1658 12.4% 43.5% 44.2% -13.6 23
1983-03-20 Sampdoria D 0-0 1671 1693 42.9% 43.8% 13.4% -2.3 23
1983-03-20 @ Avellino D 0-0 1693 1671 13.4% 43.8% 42.9% +2.3 25
1983-03-20 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1638 1693 39.4% 44.4% 16.3% +8.1 22
1983-03-20 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1693 1638 16.3% 44.4% 39.4% -8.1 28
1983-03-20 Cagliari L 1-2 1565 1646 36.4% 44.6% 19.0% -13.1 13
1983-03-20 @ Catanzaro W 2-1 1646 1565 19.0% 44.6% 36.4% +13.1 24
1983-03-20 Pisa L 0-2 1552 1674 31.4% 44.5% 24.1% -23.7 13
1983-03-20 @ Catanzaro W 2-0 1674 1552 24.1% 44.5% 31.4% +23.7 21
1983-03-20 Roma D 2-2 1777 1826 40.0% 44.3% 15.7% -1.2 27
1983-03-20 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1826 1777 15.7% 44.3% 40.0% +1.2 34
1983-03-20 Inter Milan L 2-3 1652 1740 35.6% 44.6% 19.8% -12.2 23
1983-03-20 @ Genoa W 3-2 1740 1652 19.8% 44.6% 35.6% +12.2 28
1983-03-20 Ascoli W 2-1 1685 1677 45.7% 43.0% 11.3% +6.4 30
1983-03-20 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1677 1685 11.3% 43.0% 45.7% -6.4 22
1983-03-20 Cesena W 3-1 1752 1601 57.6% 36.7% 5.7% +5.8 30
1983-03-20 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1601 1752 5.7% 36.7% 57.6% -5.8 18
1983-03-20 Juventus D 0-0 1697 1855 26.5% 44.1% 29.4% +0.2 22
1983-03-20 @ Pisa D 0-0 1855 1697 29.4% 44.1% 26.5% -0.2 31
1983-03-20 Udinese D 0-0 1827 1674 57.7% 36.6% 5.7% -4.7 35
1983-03-20 @ Roma D 0-0 1674 1827 5.7% 36.6% 57.7% +4.7 25
1983-03-20 Napoli D 1-1 1695 1663 47.9% 42.2% 9.8% -2.9 26
1983-03-20 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1663 1695 9.8% 42.2% 47.9% +2.9 20
1983-03-20 Fiorentina W 2-0 1721 1776 39.4% 44.4% 16.2% +16.2 27
1983-03-20 @ Torino L 0-2 1776 1721 16.2% 44.4% 39.4% -16.2 27
1983-03-20 Juventus W 3-2 1738 1855 31.9% 44.6% 23.5% +9.5 29
1983-03-20 @ Torino L 2-3 1855 1738 23.5% 44.6% 31.9% -9.5 31
1983-03-20 Cesena W 3-1 1679 1595 52.3% 40.1% 7.6% +7.9 27
1983-03-20 @ Udinese L 1-3 1595 1679 7.6% 40.1% 52.3% -7.9 18
1983-04-10 Torino W 2-0 1587 1747 26.2% 44.1% 29.7% +22.8 20
1983-04-10 @ Cesena L 0-2 1747 1587 29.7% 44.1% 26.2% -22.8 29
1983-04-10 Fiorentina L 0-1 1691 1760 37.9% 44.5% 17.6% -14.3 30
1983-04-10 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1760 1691 17.6% 44.5% 37.9% +14.3 29
1983-04-10 Avellino W 2-0 1758 1669 52.7% 39.9% 7.4% +9.0 32
1983-04-10 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1669 1758 7.4% 39.9% 52.7% -9.0 23
1983-04-10 Ascoli W 5-0 1845 1670 59.4% 35.3% 5.2% +13.9 33
1983-04-10 @ Juventus L 0-5 1670 1845 5.2% 35.3% 59.4% -13.9 22
1983-04-10 Cagliari W 1-0 1666 1659 45.6% 43.1% 11.4% +6.8 22
1983-04-10 @ Napoli L 0-1 1659 1666 11.4% 43.1% 45.6% -6.8 24
1983-04-10 Udinese D 0-0 1697 1687 45.9% 43.0% 11.1% -2.9 23
1983-04-10 @ Pisa D 0-0 1687 1697 11.1% 43.0% 45.9% +2.9 28
1983-04-10 Catanzaro W 2-0 1823 1528 68.5% 28.1% 3.5% +3.2 37
1983-04-10 @ Roma L 0-2 1528 1823 3.5% 28.1% 68.5% -3.2 13
1983-04-10 Genoa D 2-2 1693 1640 49.6% 41.5% 8.9% -2.3 27
1983-04-10 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1640 1693 8.9% 41.5% 49.6% +2.3 24
1983-04-24 Pisa W 1-0 1660 1695 41.5% 44.0% 14.4% +8.0 25
1983-04-24 @ Avellino L 0-1 1695 1660 14.4% 44.0% 41.5% -8.0 23
1983-04-24 Cesena D 0-0 1652 1610 48.8% 41.9% 9.3% -3.4 25
1983-04-24 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1610 1652 9.3% 41.9% 48.8% +3.4 21
1983-04-24 Juventus L 1-2 1525 1859 11.3% 37.5% 51.3% -5.6 13
1983-04-24 @ Catanzaro W 2-1 1859 1525 51.3% 37.5% 11.3% +5.6 35
1983-04-24 Ascoli W 1-0 1774 1657 54.9% 38.5% 6.6% +4.2 31
1983-04-24 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1657 1774 6.6% 38.5% 54.9% -4.2 22
1983-04-24 Napoli D 0-0 1642 1672 42.0% 44.0% 14.0% -2.2 25
1983-04-24 @ Genoa D 0-0 1672 1642 14.0% 44.0% 42.0% +2.2 23
1983-04-24 Roma D 0-0 1767 1826 38.9% 44.4% 16.7% -1.7 33
1983-04-24 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1826 1767 16.7% 44.4% 38.9% +1.7 38
1983-04-24 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1724 1677 49.2% 41.7% 9.1% -3.1 30
1983-04-24 @ Torino D 1-1 1677 1724 9.1% 41.7% 49.2% +3.1 31
1983-04-24 Sampdoria L 0-4 1690 1690 44.9% 43.3% 11.8% -58.5 28
1983-04-24 @ Udinese W 4-0 1690 1690 11.8% 43.3% 44.9% +58.5 29
1983-05-01 Torino W 2-0 1652 1721 37.8% 44.5% 17.7% +17.1 24
1983-05-01 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1721 1652 17.7% 44.5% 37.8% -17.1 30
1983-05-01 Hellas Verona L 1-2 1613 1680 38.0% 44.5% 17.5% -13.5 21
1983-05-01 @ Cesena W 2-1 1680 1613 17.5% 44.5% 38.0% +13.5 33
1983-05-01 Inter Milan L 0-2 1865 1765 53.5% 39.4% 7.1% -35.5 35
1983-05-01 @ Juventus W 2-0 1765 1865 7.1% 39.4% 53.5% +35.5 35
1983-05-01 Fiorentina W 1-0 1675 1778 33.7% 44.6% 21.7% +10.2 25
1983-05-01 @ Napoli L 0-1 1778 1675 21.7% 44.6% 33.7% -10.2 31
1983-05-01 Genoa D 0-0 1687 1640 49.1% 41.7% 9.2% -3.4 24
1983-05-01 @ Pisa D 0-0 1640 1687 9.2% 41.7% 49.1% +3.4 26
1983-05-01 Avellino W 2-0 1828 1668 58.2% 36.2% 5.5% +6.4 40
1983-05-01 @ Roma L 0-2 1668 1828 5.5% 36.2% 58.2% -6.4 25
1983-05-01 Cagliari D 1-1 1749 1649 53.5% 39.4% 7.1% -3.7 30
1983-05-01 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1649 1749 7.1% 39.4% 53.5% +3.7 26
1983-05-01 Catanzaro W 2-1 1631 1520 54.5% 38.8% 6.7% +4.0 30
1983-05-01 @ Udinese L 1-2 1520 1631 6.7% 38.8% 54.5% -4.0 13
1983-05-08 Catanzaro W 4-0 1662 1516 57.2% 37.0% 5.9% +13.0 27
1983-05-08 @ Avellino L 0-4 1516 1662 5.9% 37.0% 57.2% -13.0 13
1983-05-08 Juventus L 1-2 1653 1829 24.1% 43.8% 32.1% -10.1 26
1983-05-08 @ Cagliari W 2-1 1829 1653 32.1% 43.8% 24.1% +10.1 37
1983-05-08 Ascoli D 1-1 1600 1669 37.7% 44.5% 17.8% -1.3 22
1983-05-08 @ Cesena D 1-1 1669 1600 17.8% 44.5% 37.7% +1.3 25
1983-05-08 Sampdoria W 3-1 1768 1745 47.1% 42.6% 10.4% +10.4 33
1983-05-08 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1745 1768 10.4% 42.6% 47.1% -10.4 30
1983-05-08 Roma D 1-1 1644 1834 22.5% 43.4% 34.1% +0.7 27
1983-05-08 @ Genoa D 1-1 1834 1644 34.1% 43.4% 22.5% -0.7 41
1983-05-08 Napoli D 0-0 1694 1685 45.8% 43.0% 11.2% -2.8 34
1983-05-08 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1685 1694 11.2% 43.0% 45.8% +2.8 26
1983-05-08 Udinese D 1-1 1801 1635 58.7% 35.9% 5.4% -4.3 36
1983-05-08 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1635 1801 5.4% 35.9% 58.7% +4.3 31
1983-05-08 Pisa L 0-2 1704 1683 46.9% 42.6% 10.5% -31.9 30
1983-05-08 @ Torino W 2-0 1683 1704 10.5% 42.6% 46.9% +31.9 26
1983-05-15 Cagliari W 2-0 1671 1643 47.5% 42.4% 10.1% +11.7 27
1983-05-15 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1643 1671 10.1% 42.4% 47.5% -11.7 26
1983-05-15 Inter Milan L 1-2 1503 1796 13.5% 39.5% 47.0% -6.6 13
1983-05-15 @ Catanzaro W 2-1 1796 1503 47.0% 39.5% 13.5% +6.6 38
1983-05-15 Genoa W 4-2 1840 1644 61.0% 34.1% 4.9% +4.2 39
1983-05-15 @ Juventus L 2-4 1644 1840 4.9% 34.1% 61.0% -4.2 27
1983-05-15 Cesena W 1-0 1688 1598 52.7% 39.9% 7.4% +4.8 28
1983-05-15 @ Napoli L 0-1 1598 1688 7.4% 39.9% 52.7% -4.8 22
1983-05-15 Fiorentina D 0-0 1715 1778 38.4% 44.4% 17.1% -1.6 27
1983-05-15 @ Pisa D 0-0 1778 1715 17.1% 44.4% 38.4% +1.6 34
1983-05-15 Torino W 3-1 1833 1672 58.4% 36.1% 5.5% +5.5 43
1983-05-15 @ Roma L 1-3 1672 1833 5.5% 36.1% 58.4% -5.5 30
1983-05-15 Hellas Verona D 2-2 1735 1691 48.9% 41.8% 9.3% -2.2 31
1983-05-15 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1691 1735 9.3% 41.8% 48.9% +2.2 35
1983-05-15 Avellino D 1-1 1640 1675 41.5% 44.0% 14.5% -1.9 32
1983-05-15 @ Udinese D 1-1 1675 1640 14.5% 44.0% 41.5% +1.9 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1982-09-26 5.46% Udinese 1648 2 @ Fiorentina 1812 1
2 1983-05-01 7.08% Inter Milan 1765 2 @ Juventus 1865 0
3 1983-02-20 7.30% Torino 1694 3 @ Inter Milan 1787 1
4 1983-03-06 7.38% Pisa 1666 1 @ Inter Milan 1757 0
5 1982-10-17 8.24% Hellas Verona 1665 1 @ Pisa 1732 0
6 1982-10-10 8.91% Genoa 1612 1 @ Cesena 1663 0
7 1982-11-28 8.98% Cesena 1652 1 @ Torino 1702 0
8 1982-12-12 9.27% Udinese 1650 3 @ Sampdoria 1694 1
9 1982-09-19 9.55% Sampdoria 1693 2 @ Inter Milan 1731 1
10 1983-05-08 10.48% Pisa 1683 2 @ Torino 1704 0
11 1982-11-07 11.31% Sampdoria 1679 1 @ Napoli 1687 0
12 1983-01-02 11.34% Torino 1692 1 @ Pisa 1699 0
13 1982-10-24 11.66% Udinese 1647 3 @ Genoa 1649 2
14 1983-04-24 11.82% Sampdoria 1690 4 @ Udinese 1690 0
15 1982-10-03 11.87% Hellas Verona 1629 1 @ Genoa 1628 0
16 1983-03-06 11.99% Juventus 1833 2 @ Roma 1830 1
17 1982-11-07 12.88% Hellas Verona 1694 3 @ Ascoli 1679 2
18 1982-10-10 13.53% Juventus 1819 1 @ Fiorentina 1795 0
19 1983-03-13 14.43% Sampdoria 1664 2 @ Cesena 1630 0
20 1982-09-26 16.04% Inter Milan 1715 2 @ Cagliari 1662 0
21 1982-10-10 16.36% Roma 1764 3 @ Napoli 1708 1
22 1982-09-12 16.47% Roma 1741 3 @ Cagliari 1684 1
23 1983-01-02 16.88% Hellas Verona 1712 2 @ Napoli 1651 1
24 1983-05-01 17.51% Hellas Verona 1680 2 @ Cesena 1613 1
25 1983-04-10 17.64% Fiorentina 1760 1 @ Hellas Verona 1691 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-04-24 58.48 Sampdoria 4 1690 11.82% @ Udinese 0 1690 44.92% 43.26%
2 1983-05-01 35.48 Inter Milan 2 1765 7.08% @ Juventus 0 1865 53.53% 39.39%
3 1982-09-19 34.70 Fiorentina 3 1777 23.60% @ Genoa 0 1659 31.83% 44.57%
4 1983-05-08 31.93 Pisa 2 1683 10.48% @ Torino 0 1704 46.90% 42.62%
5 1983-02-20 30.49 Torino 3 1694 7.30% @ Inter Milan 1 1787 52.99% 39.71%
6 1983-03-13 28.93 Sampdoria 2 1664 14.43% @ Cesena 0 1630 41.53% 44.04%
7 1982-12-12 28.62 Udinese 3 1650 9.27% @ Sampdoria 1 1694 48.92% 41.81%
8 1982-09-26 27.90 Inter Milan 2 1715 16.04% @ Cagliari 0 1662 39.64% 44.32%
9 1983-02-20 24.81 @ Avellino 3 1657 37.83% Hellas Verona 0 1726 17.68% 44.50%
10 1982-10-10 23.99 Roma 3 1764 16.36% @ Napoli 1 1708 39.27% 44.36%
11 1982-09-12 23.94 Roma 3 1741 16.47% @ Cagliari 1 1684 39.15% 44.37%
12 1982-11-28 23.94 @ Ascoli 2 1667 23.92% Juventus 0 1846 32.36% 43.71%
13 1983-03-20 23.68 Pisa 2 1674 24.07% @ Catanzaro 0 1552 31.38% 44.55%
14 1983-04-10 22.80 @ Cesena 2 1587 26.20% Torino 0 1747 29.73% 44.08%
15 1982-10-17 22.28 @ Avellino 2 1628 27.30% Fiorentina 0 1779 28.49% 44.21%
16 1982-10-17 22.18 @ Torino 3 1681 41.19% Sampdoria 0 1719 14.71% 44.10%
17 1982-10-17 19.70 @ Genoa 3 1629 44.28% Cagliari 0 1637 12.29% 43.44%
18 1982-10-10 19.24 @ Hellas Verona 3 1645 44.84% Avellino 0 1647 11.88% 43.28%
19 1982-10-10 19.20 @ Ascoli 3 1665 44.88% Udinese 0 1665 11.85% 43.27%
20 1982-09-26 18.87 Udinese 2 1648 5.46% @ Fiorentina 1 1812 58.57% 35.97%
21 1983-03-06 18.62 Pisa 1 1666 7.38% @ Inter Milan 0 1757 52.81% 39.82%
22 1982-10-17 18.09 Hellas Verona 1 1665 8.24% @ Pisa 0 1732 50.89% 40.87%
23 1982-10-10 17.72 Genoa 1 1612 8.91% @ Cesena 0 1663 49.58% 41.51%
24 1982-11-28 17.68 Cesena 1 1652 8.98% @ Torino 0 1702 49.44% 41.57%
25 1983-01-16 17.27 @ Avellino 2 1636 37.49% Torino 0 1708 17.99% 44.52%