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1984-85 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Hellas Verona

43 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Lazio

15 pts

Cremonese · 15 pts

Ascoli · 22 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Hellas Verona

6.22 points above expected

43 points · 36.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cremonese

8.57 points below expected

15 points · 23.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hellas Verona Champion 30 15 13 2 43 42 19 +23 36.78 +6.22
2 Torino 30 14 11 5 39 36 22 +14 33.53 +5.47
3 Inter Milan 30 13 12 5 38 42 28 +14 35.32 +2.68
4 Sampdoria 30 12 13 5 37 36 21 +15 34.52 +2.48
5 Juventus 30 11 14 5 36 48 33 +15 36.35 -0.35
6 AC Milan 30 12 12 6 36 31 25 +6 29.89 +6.11
7 Roma 30 10 14 6 34 33 25 +8 34.39 -0.39
8 Napoli 30 10 13 7 33 34 29 +5 29.40 +3.60
9 Fiorentina 30 8 13 9 29 33 31 +2 31.75 -2.75
10 Atalanta 30 5 18 7 28 20 32 -12 24.96 +3.04
11 Udinese 30 10 5 15 25 43 46 -3 28.83 -3.83
12 Avellino 30 7 11 12 25 27 33 -6 28.39 -3.39
13 Como 30 6 13 11 25 17 27 -10 23.55 +1.45
14 Ascoli Relegated 30 4 14 12 22 24 40 -16 25.98 -3.98
15 Cremonese Relegated 30 4 7 19 15 22 48 -26 23.57 -8.57
16 Lazio Roma 30 2 11 17 15 16 45 -29 22.80 -7.80

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hellas Verona 2007 43 36.78 +6.22 97.0% 24 31 34 37 39 43 50
Juventus 1988 36 36.35 -0.35 50.8% 24 30 34 36 39 42 51
Sampdoria 1973 37 34.52 +2.48 79.0% 20 28 32 35 37 40 47
Roma 1968 34 34.39 -0.39 51.1% 19 28 32 34 37 40 47
Inter Milan 1961 38 35.32 +2.68 80.5% 22 29 33 35 38 41 49
Torino 1943 39 33.53 +5.47 95.0% 19 27 31 34 36 40 48
Napoli 1889 33 29.40 +3.60 86.8% 15 23 27 29 32 35 44
AC Milan 1864 36 29.89 +6.11 96.5% 17 24 27 30 32 36 43
Fiorentina 1834 29 31.75 -2.75 26.9% 19 26 29 32 34 38 46
Avellino 1783 25 28.39 -3.39 21.4% 15 22 26 28 31 34 43
Udinese 1780 25 28.83 -3.83 18.8% 16 23 26 29 31 35 43
Atalanta 1762 28 24.96 +3.04 82.7% 11 19 22 25 27 31 38
Ascoli 1738 22 25.98 -3.98 16.8% 12 20 24 26 28 32 39
Como 1730 25 23.55 +1.45 69.8% 9 18 21 24 26 30 36
Cremonese 1651 15 23.57 -8.57 1.2% 10 18 21 24 26 30 38
Lazio Roma 1603 15 22.80 -7.80 2.0% 10 17 20 23 25 29 37

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ASC ATA AVE COM CRE FIO HV IM JUV LR NAP ROM SAM TOR UDI
AC Milan —
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.22
0-2-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.21
1-1-0
1.95
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.19
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.40
0-2-0
2.62
Ascoli
0-0-2
2.22
 —
0-2-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
1.42
0-2-0
1.43
0-2-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.48
Atalanta
1-1-0
2.09
0-2-0
2.57
 —
0-2-0
2.22
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.94
0-2-0
1.45
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.58
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.26
0-2-0
1.67
0-1-1
1.81
0-2-0
1.68
0-0-2
2.32
Avellino
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.94
 —
0-1-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.68
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
3.22
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.64
Como
1-1-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.16
 —
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
1.65
0-2-0
1.25
0-1-1
1.50
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.26
0-2-0
1.64
0-1-1
1.51
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.03
Cremonese
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.35
 —
0-2-0
1.73
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
1.73
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
1.86
Fiorentina
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.56
0-2-0
3.48
 —
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.17
2-0-0
3.21
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.63
0-2-0
2.24
1-1-0
3.01
Hellas Verona
0-2-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.57
0-2-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.18
 —
0-2-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.22
Inter Milan
0-1-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.53
 —
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.57
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.18
Juventus
0-1-1
3.25
0-2-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.68
 —
1-1-0
4.25
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.11
Lazio Roma
0-0-2
1.94
0-2-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
1.64
0-1-1
1.08
 —
0-1-1
2.17
0-2-0
1.53
0-1-1
1.25
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
2.31
Napoli
0-1-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.49
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
3.05
 —
0-1-1
2.14
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.80
Roma
0-0-2
2.99
1-1-0
3.31
0-2-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.29
0-2-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.02
 —
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.95
Sampdoria
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.62
0-2-0
2.42
1-1-0
4.02
0-2-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.33
 —
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.17
Torino
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.36
0-2-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.15
0-2-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.27
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.44
 —
2-0-0
2.84
Udinese
0-2-0
2.53
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.12
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.38
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.53 +6.3
Allowed 0.76 -8.1
Differential 0.95 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.50%10.42%5.42%1.88%0.42%0.62%36.25%
110.42%17.08%5.83%2.08%0.62%0.62%36.67%
25.42%5.83%5.00%1.04%0.21%—17.50%
31.88%2.08%1.04%0.83%0.42%0.21%6.46%
40.42%0.62%0.21%0.42%——1.67%
5+0.62%0.62%—0.21%——1.46%
Total36.25%36.67%17.50%6.46%1.67%1.46%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.44
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%6.67%———36.67%
113.33%10.00%3.33%———26.67%
26.67%16.67%10.00%———33.33%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%36.67%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 0.83 +0.20
SD 0.93 0.79 1.00
CV 0.90 0.95 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%13.33%———43.33%
13.33%20.00%3.33%6.67%—3.33%36.67%
23.33%3.33%10.00%———16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%36.67%30.00%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.33 -0.53
SD 0.85 1.12 1.22
CV 1.06 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%—3.33%46.67%
116.67%23.33%———3.33%43.33%
2——6.67%———6.67%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%10.00%6.67%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.07 -0.40
SD 0.76 1.39 1.40
CV 1.14 1.30 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%10.00%———46.67%
16.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%30.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.10 -0.20
SD 1.06 1.09 1.27
CV 1.18 0.99 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
033.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%——56.67%
110.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
26.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%26.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.57 0.90 -0.33
SD 0.73 1.16 1.24
CV 1.28 1.28 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%13.33%3.33%—3.33%46.67%
1—16.67%10.00%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
210.00%3.33%—6.67%——20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%40.00%23.33%13.33%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.60 -0.87
SD 0.78 1.30 1.57
CV 1.07 0.81 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
110.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%——40.00%
2—6.67%10.00%———16.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total33.33%36.67%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.03 +0.07
SD 1.16 0.93 1.51
CV 1.05 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%—————26.67%
113.33%16.67%6.67%———36.67%
210.00%6.67%————16.67%
33.33%10.00%————13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———3.33%——3.33%
Total53.33%33.33%10.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.63 +0.77
SD 1.30 0.81 1.04
CV 0.93 1.28 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—————13.33%
116.67%23.33%6.67%6.67%——53.33%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
3————3.33%—3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%40.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.93 +0.47
SD 1.10 1.05 1.36
CV 0.79 1.12 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
13.33%26.67%6.67%———36.67%
210.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
4———————
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total30.00%43.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.10 +0.50
SD 1.35 1.03 1.66
CV 0.85 0.94 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%36.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%66.67%
1—16.67%——3.33%—20.00%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
3——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%56.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 1.50 -0.97
SD 0.90 1.25 1.40
CV 1.69 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
116.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%——53.33%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%33.33%16.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.97 +0.17
SD 1.11 1.00 1.39
CV 0.98 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%—3.33%——40.00%
16.67%23.33%3.33%———33.33%
23.33%10.00%————13.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%50.00%6.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.83 +0.27
SD 1.30 0.83 1.34
CV 1.18 1.00 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%6.67%———23.33%
116.67%23.33%6.67%———46.67%
26.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
313.33%—————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%30.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.70 +0.50
SD 0.96 0.79 1.36
CV 0.80 1.13 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%———23.33%
123.33%10.00%10.00%———43.33%
26.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%26.67%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 0.73 +0.47
SD 0.92 0.83 1.11
CV 0.77 1.13 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%10.00%3.33%——30.00%
110.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
210.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
3————3.33%3.33%6.67%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total23.33%33.33%23.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.53 -0.10
SD 1.36 1.33 1.90
CV 0.95 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hellas Verona 43 36.78 +6.22
2 AC Milan 36 29.89 +6.11
3 Torino 39 33.53 +5.47
4 Napoli 33 29.40 +3.60
5 Atalanta 28 24.96 +3.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cremonese 15 23.57 -8.57
2 Lazio Roma 15 22.80 -7.80
3 Ascoli 22 25.98 -3.98
4 Udinese 25 28.83 -3.83
5 Avellino 25 28.39 -3.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 4 Feb 10 – Mar 3 1 in 368
2 Fiorentina 2 Apr 28 – May 5 1 in 52
3 Como 2 Jan 6 – Jan 13 1 in 49
4 Udinese 3 Mar 17 – Mar 31 1 in 41
5 Sampdoria 3 Feb 17 – Mar 3 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 7 Dec 16 – Feb 10 1 in 635
2 Cremonese 6 Oct 14 – Nov 25 1 in 222
3 Udinese 3 Sep 30 – Oct 14 1 in 61
4 Roma 3 Feb 17 – Mar 3 1 in 59
5 Sampdoria 2 Apr 28 – May 5 1 in 58

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hellas Verona 14 Sep 16 – Jan 6 1 in 37
2 Atalanta 7 Nov 18 – Jan 13 1 in 32
3 Roma 13 Oct 21 – Feb 10 1 in 23
4 AC Milan 7 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 19
5 Inter Milan 15 Nov 11 – Mar 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ascoli 17 Sep 16 – Jan 27 1 in 101
2 Roma 8 Sep 16 – Nov 11 1 in 62
3 Atalanta 16 Nov 25 – Apr 14 1 in 51
4 Fiorentina 9 Oct 28 – Jan 13 1 in 46
5 Lazio Roma 20 Dec 2 – May 19 1 in 44

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Hellas Verona29.93%20.82%15.01%11.16%7.92%5.72%3.62%2.55%1.55%0.97%0.44%0.18%0.09%0.02%0.02%—
Torino6.76%10.19%11.34%12.92%12.92%12.25%10.00%7.94%5.89%3.97%2.71%1.57%0.79%0.44%0.23%0.08%
Inter Milan15.40%15.47%16.06%13.58%11.33%9.23%6.99%4.96%2.79%2.02%1.15%0.59%0.28%0.09%0.05%0.01%
Sampdoria10.64%14.01%13.89%13.90%12.24%10.79%8.47%5.86%3.64%3.12%1.69%0.98%0.54%0.15%0.06%0.02%
Juventus24.02%18.41%15.80%12.23%9.65%7.36%4.89%3.45%2.01%1.10%0.65%0.28%0.09%0.05%0.01%—
AC Milan0.69%1.60%2.93%4.62%6.80%8.44%11.25%12.51%13.04%11.63%9.10%7.11%4.82%3.20%1.59%0.67%
Roma8.86%12.19%13.03%13.50%12.41%11.86%9.41%6.78%5.11%3.22%1.94%0.90%0.42%0.22%0.13%0.02%
Napoli0.56%1.41%2.38%3.68%5.74%7.69%10.28%11.74%12.78%11.53%10.49%8.34%5.98%3.98%2.30%1.12%
Fiorentina2.31%4.23%6.13%8.32%10.15%10.91%12.64%12.14%10.47%8.48%5.90%3.83%2.30%1.38%0.62%0.19%
Atalanta—0.05%0.22%0.35%0.64%1.02%1.82%3.33%4.99%7.46%10.12%12.69%14.94%16.16%14.71%11.50%
Udinese0.40%0.74%1.76%2.65%4.54%6.37%8.15%10.55%12.15%12.82%11.83%10.46%7.56%5.19%3.26%1.57%
Avellino0.37%0.72%1.08%2.21%3.60%5.09%7.42%8.98%11.47%13.07%13.51%11.45%8.85%6.23%3.65%2.30%
Como—0.01%0.04%0.10%0.33%0.56%0.80%2.03%2.88%4.79%7.55%10.53%14.14%16.59%19.49%20.16%
Ascoli0.05%0.14%0.22%0.60%1.28%1.91%2.78%4.46%6.39%8.57%12.02%14.00%15.56%13.58%10.75%7.69%
Cremonese0.01%—0.07%0.12%0.28%0.56%0.89%1.57%2.93%4.10%6.36%9.28%12.90%16.25%20.99%23.69%
Lazio Roma—0.01%0.04%0.06%0.17%0.24%0.59%1.15%1.91%3.15%4.54%7.81%10.74%16.47%22.14%30.98%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.42%
Strong Edge
45.00%40.42%14.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
240 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0109.13800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.50 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Hellas Verona, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.9 * Wild Swing: 5.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.82 * Close: 1.82 to 2.73 * Off: 2.73 to 3.64 * Way Off: 3.64 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.13 * A Surprise: 1.13 to 1.81 * Several Surprises: 1.81 to 2.49 * Many Surprises: 2.49 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.53 points
Lucky
03.699
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.275
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
96.98%
Hellas Verona
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.20%
Cremonese
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
Several Surprises
01.13

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.53
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
76%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
8%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.51
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.0990.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Hellas Verona 99.96% 0.04%
Juventus 99.94% 0.06%
Inter Milan 99.85% 0.15%
Sampdoria 99.77% 0.23%
Roma 99.63% 0.37%
Torino 99.25% 0.75%
Fiorentina 97.81% 2.19%
AC Milan 94.54% 5.46%
Napoli 92.60% 7.40%
Udinese 89.98% 10.02%
Avellino 87.82% 12.18%
Ascoli 67.98% 32.02%
Atalanta 57.63% 42.37%
Como 43.76% 56.24%
Cremonese 39.07% 60.93%
Lazio Roma 30.41% 69.59%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1984-09-16 Udinese D 2-2 1812 1847 44.2% 42.2% 13.5% -2.1 1
1984-09-16 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1847 1812 13.5% 42.2% 44.2% +2.1 1
1984-09-16 Inter Milan D 1-1 1750 1910 29.7% 42.6% 27.7% -0.2 1
1984-09-16 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1910 1750 27.7% 42.6% 29.7% +0.2 1
1984-09-16 Roma D 0-0 1830 1933 36.9% 42.8% 20.2% -1.6 1
1984-09-16 @ Avellino D 0-0 1933 1830 20.2% 42.8% 36.9% +1.6 1
1984-09-16 Juventus D 0-0 1694 1949 18.5% 40.7% 40.8% +2.2 1
1984-09-16 @ Como D 0-0 1949 1694 40.8% 40.7% 18.5% -2.2 1
1984-09-16 Napoli W 3-1 1869 1830 50.6% 40.5% 8.9% +11.7 2
1984-09-16 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1830 1869 8.9% 40.5% 50.6% -11.7 0
1984-09-16 Fiorentina L 0-1 1790 1908 35.1% 42.9% 22.0% -17.4 0
1984-09-16 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1908 1790 22.0% 42.9% 35.1% +17.4 2
1984-09-16 Cremonese W 1-0 1877 1798 53.6% 39.2% 7.2% +6.0 2
1984-09-16 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1798 1877 7.2% 39.2% 53.6% -6.0 0
1984-09-16 Ascoli W 1-0 1849 1828 49.1% 41.0% 9.9% +7.8 2
1984-09-16 @ Torino L 0-1 1828 1849 9.9% 41.0% 49.1% -7.8 0
1984-09-23 Hellas Verona L 1-3 1821 1880 41.8% 42.6% 15.7% -32.4 0
1984-09-23 @ Ascoli W 3-1 1880 1821 15.7% 42.6% 41.8% +32.5 4
1984-09-23 Torino W 2-1 1792 1856 41.3% 42.6% 16.1% +10.3 2
1984-09-23 @ Cremonese L 1-2 1856 1792 16.1% 42.6% 41.3% -10.3 2
1984-09-23 AC Milan D 0-0 1925 1810 56.2% 37.7% 6.1% -5.9 3
1984-09-23 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1810 1925 6.1% 37.7% 56.2% +5.9 2
1984-09-23 Avellino W 2-1 1910 1828 53.8% 39.1% 7.1% +5.6 3
1984-09-23 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1828 1910 7.1% 39.1% 53.8% -5.6 1
1984-09-23 Atalanta W 5-1 1947 1750 61.7% 34.0% 4.3% +10.0 3
1984-09-23 @ Juventus L 1-5 1750 1947 4.3% 34.0% 61.7% -10.0 1
1984-09-23 Sampdoria D 1-1 1818 1883 41.2% 42.6% 16.1% -2.3 1
1984-09-23 @ Napoli D 1-1 1883 1818 16.1% 42.6% 41.2% +2.3 3
1984-09-23 Como D 1-1 1935 1696 64.4% 31.9% 3.7% -6.5 2
1984-09-23 @ Roma D 1-1 1696 1935 3.7% 31.9% 64.4% +6.5 2
1984-09-23 Lazio Roma W 5-0 1849 1772 53.5% 39.2% 7.3% +26.6 3
1984-09-23 @ Udinese L 0-5 1772 1849 7.3% 39.2% 53.5% -26.6 0
1984-09-30 Cremonese W 2-1 1816 1802 48.5% 41.2% 10.2% +7.5 4
1984-09-30 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1802 1816 10.2% 41.2% 48.5% -7.5 2
1984-09-30 Roma D 0-0 1740 1928 25.9% 42.2% 31.9% +0.5 2
1984-09-30 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1928 1740 31.9% 42.2% 25.9% -0.5 3
1984-09-30 Juventus D 0-0 1823 1957 33.1% 42.8% 24.1% -0.8 2
1984-09-30 @ Avellino D 0-0 1957 1823 24.1% 42.8% 33.1% +0.8 4
1984-09-30 Fiorentina D 0-0 1703 1919 22.5% 41.7% 35.9% +1.3 3
1984-09-30 @ Como D 0-0 1919 1703 35.9% 41.7% 22.5% -1.3 4
1984-09-30 Udinese W 1-0 1913 1876 50.5% 40.6% 9.0% +7.2 6
1984-09-30 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1876 1913 9.0% 40.6% 50.5% -7.2 3
1984-09-30 Inter Milan D 1-1 1746 1916 28.3% 42.5% 29.2% +0.1 1
1984-09-30 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1916 1746 29.2% 42.5% 28.3% -0.1 4
1984-09-30 Ascoli W 2-0 1885 1788 54.9% 38.5% 6.6% +10.4 5
1984-09-30 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1788 1885 6.6% 38.5% 54.9% -10.4 0
1984-09-30 Napoli W 3-0 1846 1816 49.9% 40.8% 9.3% +20.4 4
1984-09-30 @ Torino L 0-3 1816 1846 9.3% 40.8% 49.9% -20.4 1
1984-10-07 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1778 1746 50.1% 40.7% 9.2% -4.6 1
1984-10-07 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1746 1778 9.2% 40.7% 50.1% +4.6 2
1984-10-07 Avellino D 0-0 1795 1822 45.0% 42.1% 12.9% -3.4 3
1984-10-07 @ Cremonese D 0-0 1822 1795 12.9% 42.1% 45.0% +3.4 3
1984-10-07 Atalanta W 5-0 1918 1741 60.4% 34.9% 4.7% +16.3 6
1984-10-07 @ Fiorentina L 0-5 1741 1918 4.7% 34.9% 60.4% -16.4 2
1984-10-07 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1916 1920 47.0% 41.6% 11.3% -3.8 5
1984-10-07 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1920 1916 11.3% 41.6% 47.0% +3.9 7
1984-10-07 AC Milan D 1-1 1958 1823 57.5% 36.9% 5.6% -5.5 5
1984-10-07 @ Juventus D 1-1 1823 1958 5.6% 36.9% 57.5% +5.5 5
1984-10-07 Como W 3-0 1796 1704 54.5% 38.7% 6.8% +15.4 3
1984-10-07 @ Napoli L 0-3 1704 1796 6.8% 38.7% 54.5% -15.4 3
1984-10-07 Sampdoria D 1-1 1928 1896 50.1% 40.7% 9.2% -4.1 4
1984-10-07 @ Roma D 1-1 1896 1928 9.2% 40.7% 50.1% +4.1 6
1984-10-07 Torino L 0-1 1869 1866 47.6% 41.5% 10.9% -22.2 3
1984-10-07 @ Udinese W 1-0 1866 1869 10.9% 41.5% 47.6% +22.2 6
1984-10-14 Roma W 2-1 1829 1924 37.9% 42.8% 19.2% +11.5 7
1984-10-14 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1924 1829 19.2% 42.8% 37.9% -11.5 4
1984-10-14 Cremonese W 1-0 1724 1792 41.0% 42.6% 16.4% +11.0 4
1984-10-14 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1792 1724 16.4% 42.6% 41.0% -11.0 3
1984-10-14 Ascoli W 2-0 1825 1773 51.6% 40.1% 8.3% +12.8 5
1984-10-14 @ Avellino L 0-2 1773 1825 8.3% 40.1% 51.6% -12.7 1
1984-10-14 Udinese W 2-0 1688 1846 30.0% 42.6% 27.4% +28.1 5
1984-10-14 @ Como L 0-2 1846 1688 27.4% 42.6% 30.0% -28.1 3
1984-10-14 Juventus W 2-0 1924 1952 44.9% 42.1% 13.0% +17.9 9
1984-10-14 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1952 1924 13.0% 42.1% 44.9% -17.9 5
1984-10-14 Napoli D 1-1 1750 1811 41.7% 42.6% 15.8% -2.3 3
1984-10-14 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1811 1750 15.8% 42.6% 41.7% +2.3 4
1984-10-14 Fiorentina W 2-0 1900 1934 44.2% 42.2% 13.5% +18.4 8
1984-10-14 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1934 1900 13.5% 42.2% 44.2% -18.4 6
1984-10-14 Inter Milan D 1-1 1889 1912 45.4% 42.0% 12.6% -3.1 7
1984-10-14 @ Torino D 1-1 1912 1889 12.6% 42.0% 45.4% +3.1 6
1984-10-21 Atalanta D 0-0 1760 1735 49.5% 40.9% 9.6% -4.4 2
1984-10-21 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1735 1760 9.6% 40.9% 49.5% +4.4 5
1984-10-21 Juventus L 1-3 1781 1934 30.6% 42.7% 26.8% -25.9 3
1984-10-21 @ Cremonese W 3-1 1934 1781 26.8% 42.7% 30.6% +25.9 7
1984-10-21 Avellino W 1-0 1916 1838 53.5% 39.2% 7.3% +6.0 8
1984-10-21 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1838 1916 7.3% 39.2% 53.5% -6.0 5
1984-10-21 Como W 1-0 1915 1717 61.8% 33.9% 4.3% +3.3 8
1984-10-21 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1717 1915 4.3% 33.9% 61.8% -3.3 5
1984-10-21 AC Milan D 0-0 1813 1840 45.0% 42.1% 12.9% -3.4 5
1984-10-21 @ Napoli D 0-0 1840 1813 12.9% 42.1% 45.0% +3.4 8
1984-10-21 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1912 1942 44.7% 42.1% 13.1% -3.3 5
1984-10-21 @ Roma D 0-0 1942 1912 13.1% 42.1% 44.7% +3.3 10
1984-10-21 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1886 1748 57.7% 36.8% 5.5% +4.5 9
1984-10-21 @ Torino L 0-1 1748 1886 5.5% 36.8% 57.7% -4.5 3
1984-10-21 Sampdoria W 1-0 1818 1918 37.3% 42.8% 19.8% +12.4 5
1984-10-21 @ Udinese L 0-1 1918 1818 19.8% 42.8% 37.3% -12.4 8
1984-10-28 Inter Milan W 2-1 1844 1918 40.2% 42.7% 17.1% +10.7 10
1984-10-28 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1918 1844 17.1% 42.7% 40.2% -10.7 8
1984-10-28 Napoli W 1-0 1740 1810 40.6% 42.7% 16.7% +11.2 7
1984-10-28 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1810 1740 16.7% 42.7% 40.6% -11.2 5
1984-10-28 Udinese W 4-1 1832 1831 47.5% 41.5% 11.0% +19.4 7
1984-10-28 @ Avellino L 1-4 1831 1832 11.0% 41.5% 47.5% -19.4 5
1984-10-28 Ascoli W 1-0 1713 1756 43.5% 42.4% 14.2% +10.1 7
1984-10-28 @ Como L 0-1 1756 1713 14.2% 42.4% 43.5% -10.0 2
1984-10-28 Fiorentina W 2-1 1945 1922 49.4% 40.9% 9.7% +7.2 12
1984-10-28 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1922 1945 9.7% 40.9% 49.4% -7.2 8
1984-10-28 Roma D 1-1 1960 1909 51.5% 40.1% 8.3% -4.4 8
1984-10-28 @ Juventus D 1-1 1909 1960 8.3% 40.1% 51.5% +4.4 6
1984-10-28 Cremonese W 2-1 1743 1755 46.4% 41.8% 11.8% +8.4 5
1984-10-28 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1755 1743 11.8% 41.8% 46.4% -8.3 3
1984-10-28 Torino D 2-2 1906 1890 48.7% 41.1% 10.1% -2.8 9
1984-10-28 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1890 1906 10.1% 41.1% 48.7% +2.8 10
1984-11-11 Hellas Verona L 0-2 1746 1952 23.7% 41.9% 34.4% -25.6 3
1984-11-11 @ Cremonese W 2-0 1952 1746 34.4% 41.9% 23.7% +25.6 14
1984-11-11 Ascoli D 1-1 1915 1746 59.8% 35.4% 4.8% -5.9 9
1984-11-11 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1746 1915 4.8% 35.4% 59.8% +5.9 3
1984-11-11 Juventus W 4-0 1907 1956 42.9% 42.4% 14.6% +36.7 10
1984-11-11 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1956 1907 14.6% 42.4% 42.9% -36.7 8
1984-11-11 Avellino D 0-0 1799 1852 42.5% 42.5% 15.0% -2.8 6
1984-11-11 @ Napoli D 0-0 1852 1799 15.0% 42.5% 42.5% +2.8 8
1984-11-11 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1913 1752 59.3% 35.7% 5.0% -6.5 7
1984-11-11 @ Roma D 0-0 1752 1913 5.0% 35.7% 59.3% +6.5 6
1984-11-11 Como W 1-0 1903 1723 60.5% 34.8% 4.6% +3.7 11
1984-11-11 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1723 1903 4.6% 34.8% 60.5% -3.7 7
1984-11-11 AC Milan W 2-0 1893 1854 50.6% 40.5% 8.9% +13.5 12
1984-11-11 @ Torino L 0-2 1854 1893 8.9% 40.5% 50.6% -13.5 10
1984-11-11 Atalanta W 2-0 1811 1751 52.2% 39.8% 8.0% +12.3 7
1984-11-11 @ Udinese L 0-2 1751 1811 8.0% 39.8% 52.2% -12.3 7
1984-11-18 Napoli D 1-1 1752 1796 43.3% 42.4% 14.3% -2.7 4
1984-11-18 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1796 1752 14.3% 42.4% 43.3% +2.7 7
1984-11-18 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1739 1758 45.7% 41.9% 12.4% +9.2 9
1984-11-18 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1758 1739 12.4% 41.9% 45.7% -9.2 6
1984-11-18 AC Milan D 0-0 1854 1841 48.5% 41.2% 10.2% -4.2 9
1984-11-18 @ Avellino D 0-0 1841 1854 10.2% 41.2% 48.5% +4.2 11
1984-11-18 Cremonese W 1-0 1720 1721 47.3% 41.6% 11.1% +8.5 9
1984-11-18 @ Como L 0-1 1721 1720 11.1% 41.6% 47.3% -8.5 3
1984-11-18 Sampdoria D 0-0 1978 1906 53.1% 39.4% 7.5% -5.2 15
1984-11-18 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1906 1978 7.5% 39.4% 53.1% +5.3 12
1984-11-18 Udinese W 1-0 1944 1823 56.6% 37.5% 5.9% +4.9 12
1984-11-18 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1823 1944 5.9% 37.5% 56.6% -4.9 7
1984-11-18 Torino L 1-2 1919 1906 48.5% 41.2% 10.3% -21.3 8
1984-11-18 @ Juventus W 2-1 1906 1919 10.3% 41.2% 48.5% +21.3 14
1984-11-18 Fiorentina W 2-1 1907 1909 47.2% 41.6% 11.2% +8.1 9
1984-11-18 @ Roma L 1-2 1909 1907 11.2% 41.6% 47.2% -8.1 9
1984-11-25 Sampdoria L 0-1 1845 1912 41.0% 42.6% 16.3% -19.6 11
1984-11-25 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1912 1845 16.3% 42.6% 41.0% +19.6 14
1984-11-25 Roma D 0-0 1749 1915 28.9% 42.5% 28.5% -0.0 5
1984-11-25 @ Ascoli D 0-0 1915 1749 28.5% 42.5% 28.9% +0.0 10
1984-11-25 Avellino D 3-3 1748 1850 37.0% 42.8% 20.1% -0.9 10
1984-11-25 @ Atalanta D 3-3 1850 1748 20.1% 42.8% 37.0% +0.9 10
1984-11-25 Inter Milan D 1-1 1901 1949 42.9% 42.4% 14.6% -2.6 10
1984-11-25 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1949 1901 14.6% 42.4% 42.9% +2.6 13
1984-11-25 Como W 3-2 1749 1728 49.2% 41.0% 9.8% +6.9 8
1984-11-25 @ Lazio Roma L 2-3 1728 1749 9.8% 41.0% 49.2% -6.9 9
1984-11-25 Cremonese W 1-0 1799 1712 54.2% 38.9% 7.0% +5.8 9
1984-11-25 @ Napoli L 0-1 1712 1799 7.0% 38.9% 54.2% -5.8 3
1984-11-25 Hellas Verona L 1-2 1928 1973 43.3% 42.4% 14.4% -19.3 14
1984-11-25 @ Torino W 2-1 1973 1928 14.4% 42.4% 43.3% +19.3 17
1984-11-25 Juventus L 0-3 1819 1898 39.7% 42.7% 17.6% -52.2 7
1984-11-25 @ Udinese W 3-0 1898 1819 17.6% 42.7% 39.7% +52.3 10
1984-12-02 Torino L 1-3 1851 1908 42.0% 42.5% 15.5% -32.6 10
1984-12-02 @ Avellino W 3-1 1908 1851 15.5% 42.5% 42.0% +32.6 16
1984-12-02 Atalanta D 0-0 1721 1747 45.1% 42.1% 12.8% -3.4 10
1984-12-02 @ Como D 0-0 1747 1721 12.8% 42.1% 45.1% +3.4 11
1984-12-02 Fiorentina D 1-1 1706 1898 25.4% 42.1% 32.4% +0.6 4
1984-12-02 @ Cremonese D 1-1 1898 1706 32.4% 42.1% 25.4% -0.6 11
1984-12-02 AC Milan D 0-0 1992 1826 59.7% 35.5% 4.9% -6.6 18
1984-12-02 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1826 1992 4.9% 35.5% 59.7% +6.6 12
1984-12-02 Napoli W 2-1 1952 1804 58.4% 36.4% 5.3% +4.1 15
1984-12-02 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1804 1952 5.3% 36.4% 58.4% -4.1 9
1984-12-02 Ascoli D 2-2 1950 1749 61.9% 33.8% 4.3% -4.6 11
1984-12-02 @ Juventus D 2-2 1749 1950 4.3% 33.8% 61.9% +4.6 6
1984-12-02 Udinese W 2-1 1915 1766 58.5% 36.3% 5.3% +4.0 12
1984-12-02 @ Roma L 1-2 1766 1915 5.3% 36.3% 58.5% -4.0 7
1984-12-02 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1931 1756 60.2% 35.0% 4.7% -4.4 15
1984-12-02 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1756 1931 4.7% 35.0% 60.2% +4.4 9
1984-12-16 Atalanta D 2-2 1832 1750 53.8% 39.1% 7.1% -3.6 13
1984-12-16 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1750 1832 7.1% 39.1% 53.8% +3.6 12
1984-12-16 Inter Milan L 1-2 1707 1956 19.1% 40.9% 40.1% -11.1 4
1984-12-16 @ Cremonese W 2-1 1956 1707 40.1% 40.9% 19.1% +11.1 17
1984-12-16 Juventus D 0-0 1898 1945 43.0% 42.4% 14.6% -2.9 12
1984-12-16 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1945 1898 14.6% 42.4% 43.0% +2.9 12
1984-12-16 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1761 1985 21.6% 41.5% 37.0% -12.8 9
1984-12-16 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1985 1761 37.0% 41.5% 21.6% +12.8 20
1984-12-16 Roma L 1-2 1800 1919 35.1% 42.9% 22.1% -16.4 9
1984-12-16 @ Napoli W 2-1 1919 1800 22.1% 42.9% 35.1% +16.4 14
1984-12-16 Avellino W 1-0 1927 1818 55.7% 38.0% 6.3% +5.2 17
1984-12-16 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1818 1927 6.3% 38.0% 55.7% -5.2 10
1984-12-16 Como W 3-1 1941 1718 63.4% 32.7% 3.9% +4.8 18
1984-12-16 @ Torino L 1-3 1718 1941 3.9% 32.7% 63.4% -4.8 10
1984-12-16 Ascoli D 1-1 1762 1754 48.1% 41.3% 10.5% -3.7 8
1984-12-16 @ Udinese D 1-1 1754 1762 10.5% 41.3% 48.1% +3.7 7
1984-12-23 AC Milan L 0-1 1757 1829 40.6% 42.7% 16.8% -19.4 7
1984-12-23 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1829 1757 16.8% 42.7% 40.6% +19.4 15
1984-12-23 Torino D 0-0 1754 1946 25.4% 42.1% 32.4% +0.6 13
1984-12-23 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1946 1754 32.4% 42.1% 25.4% -0.6 19
1984-12-23 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1813 1748 52.6% 39.6% 7.7% +6.4 12
1984-12-23 @ Avellino L 0-1 1748 1813 7.7% 39.6% 52.6% -6.4 9
1984-12-23 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1713 1998 15.9% 39.7% 44.4% +2.9 11
1984-12-23 @ Como D 0-0 1998 1713 44.4% 39.7% 15.9% -2.9 21
1984-12-23 Sampdoria W 2-0 1967 1932 50.3% 40.6% 9.1% +13.8 19
1984-12-23 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1932 1967 9.1% 40.6% 50.3% -13.8 17
1984-12-23 Napoli W 2-0 1948 1784 59.5% 35.6% 4.9% +7.5 14
1984-12-23 @ Juventus L 0-2 1784 1948 4.9% 35.6% 59.5% -7.5 9
1984-12-23 Cremonese W 3-2 1935 1696 64.5% 31.9% 3.7% +2.4 16
1984-12-23 @ Roma L 2-3 1696 1935 3.7% 31.9% 64.5% -2.4 4
1984-12-23 Fiorentina D 2-2 1759 1895 32.9% 42.8% 24.4% -0.5 9
1984-12-23 @ Udinese D 2-2 1895 1759 24.4% 42.8% 32.9% +0.5 13
1985-01-06 Avellino W 2-1 1716 1820 36.9% 42.8% 20.3% +11.8 13
1985-01-06 @ Como L 1-2 1820 1716 20.3% 42.8% 36.9% -11.8 12
1985-01-06 Ascoli W 2-0 1693 1738 43.3% 42.4% 14.3% +19.1 6
1985-01-06 @ Cremonese L 0-2 1738 1693 14.3% 42.4% 43.3% -19.1 7
1985-01-06 Atalanta D 1-1 1995 1755 64.5% 31.8% 3.7% -6.5 22
1985-01-06 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1755 1995 3.7% 31.8% 64.5% +6.5 14
1985-01-06 Roma D 0-0 1981 1938 50.9% 40.4% 8.7% -4.8 20
1985-01-06 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1938 1981 8.7% 40.4% 50.9% +4.8 17
1985-01-06 AC Milan L 0-1 1741 1848 36.5% 42.9% 20.6% -17.9 9
1985-01-06 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1848 1741 20.6% 42.9% 36.5% +17.9 17
1985-01-06 Udinese W 4-3 1777 1758 49.0% 41.1% 10.0% +6.8 11
1985-01-06 @ Napoli L 3-4 1758 1777 10.0% 41.1% 49.0% -6.8 9
1985-01-06 Juventus D 1-1 1918 1956 44.0% 42.3% 13.7% -2.8 18
1985-01-06 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1956 1918 13.7% 42.3% 44.0% +2.8 15
1985-01-06 Fiorentina D 2-2 1945 1895 51.5% 40.2% 8.4% -3.3 20
1985-01-06 @ Torino D 2-2 1895 1945 8.4% 40.2% 51.5% +3.3 14
1985-01-13 Como L 0-2 1866 1728 57.8% 36.8% 5.5% -49.2 17
1985-01-13 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1728 1866 5.5% 36.8% 57.8% +49.2 15
1985-01-13 Inter Milan D 1-1 1719 1976 18.3% 40.6% 41.0% +2.0 8
1985-01-13 @ Ascoli D 1-1 1976 1719 41.0% 40.6% 18.3% -2.0 21
1985-01-13 Sampdoria D 0-0 1761 1916 30.4% 42.6% 26.9% -0.3 15
1985-01-13 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1916 1761 26.9% 42.6% 30.4% +0.3 19
1985-01-13 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1808 1989 26.8% 42.3% 30.8% +15.0 14
1985-01-13 @ Avellino L 1-2 1989 1808 30.8% 42.3% 26.8% -15.0 22
1985-01-13 Napoli L 0-1 1898 1783 56.2% 37.7% 6.1% -25.5 14
1985-01-13 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1783 1898 6.1% 37.7% 56.2% +25.5 13
1985-01-13 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1958 1724 64.2% 32.1% 3.8% +2.8 17
1985-01-13 @ Juventus L 0-1 1724 1958 3.8% 32.1% 64.2% -2.8 9
1985-01-13 Torino W 1-0 1942 1942 47.5% 41.5% 11.0% +8.5 19
1985-01-13 @ Roma L 0-1 1942 1942 11.0% 41.5% 47.5% -8.5 20
1985-01-13 Cremonese W 2-0 1751 1713 50.6% 40.5% 8.9% +13.5 11
1985-01-13 @ Udinese L 0-2 1713 1751 8.9% 40.5% 50.6% -13.5 6
1985-01-20 Torino D 2-2 1721 1934 22.9% 41.8% 35.3% +0.8 9
1985-01-20 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1934 1721 35.3% 41.8% 22.9% -0.8 21
1985-01-20 Sampdoria D 1-1 1699 1916 22.4% 41.7% 35.9% +1.1 7
1985-01-20 @ Cremonese D 1-1 1916 1699 35.9% 41.7% 22.4% -1.1 20
1985-01-20 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1873 1721 58.7% 36.1% 5.2% +11.5 16
1985-01-20 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1721 1873 5.2% 36.1% 58.7% -11.5 9
1985-01-20 Atalanta W 1-0 1974 1761 62.7% 33.2% 4.1% +3.1 23
1985-01-20 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1761 1974 4.1% 33.2% 62.7% -3.1 15
1985-01-20 Como W 2-0 1961 1777 60.8% 34.6% 4.5% +6.8 19
1985-01-20 @ Juventus L 0-2 1777 1961 4.5% 34.6% 60.8% -6.8 15
1985-01-20 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1809 1974 29.0% 42.5% 28.4% -0.0 14
1985-01-20 @ Napoli D 0-0 1974 1809 28.4% 42.5% 29.0% +0.0 23
1985-01-20 Avellino W 1-0 1951 1823 57.1% 37.2% 5.8% +4.7 21
1985-01-20 @ Roma L 0-1 1823 1951 5.8% 37.2% 57.1% -4.7 14
1985-01-20 AC Milan D 1-1 1765 1817 42.6% 42.5% 15.0% -2.5 12
1985-01-20 @ Udinese D 1-1 1817 1765 15.0% 42.5% 42.6% +2.5 18
1985-01-27 Fiorentina D 1-1 1819 1884 41.2% 42.6% 16.2% -2.2 19
1985-01-27 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1884 1819 16.2% 42.6% 41.2% +2.2 17
1985-01-27 Juventus D 1-1 1758 1968 23.2% 41.8% 35.0% +1.0 16
1985-01-27 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1968 1758 35.0% 41.8% 23.2% -1.0 20
1985-01-27 Inter Milan D 0-0 1818 1977 29.8% 42.6% 27.6% -0.2 15
1985-01-27 @ Avellino D 0-0 1977 1818 27.6% 42.6% 29.8% +0.2 24
1985-01-27 Roma D 0-0 1770 1956 26.2% 42.3% 31.5% +0.5 16
1985-01-27 @ Como D 0-0 1956 1770 31.5% 42.3% 26.2% -0.5 22
1985-01-27 Ascoli W 2-0 1974 1722 65.3% 31.2% 3.5% +4.8 25
1985-01-27 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1722 1974 3.5% 31.2% 65.3% -4.8 9
1985-01-27 Udinese L 1-4 1709 1762 42.4% 42.5% 15.1% -46.5 9
1985-01-27 @ Lazio Roma W 4-1 1762 1709 15.1% 42.5% 42.4% +46.5 14
1985-01-27 Napoli D 0-0 1915 1809 55.5% 38.1% 6.4% -5.8 21
1985-01-27 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1809 1915 6.4% 38.1% 55.5% +5.8 15
1985-01-27 Cremonese W 1-0 1933 1700 64.0% 32.2% 3.8% +2.8 23
1985-01-27 @ Torino L 0-1 1700 1933 3.8% 32.2% 64.0% -2.8 7
1985-02-10 Sampdoria W 2-0 1717 1909 25.4% 42.1% 32.4% +30.9 11
1985-02-10 @ Ascoli L 0-2 1909 1717 32.4% 42.1% 25.4% -30.9 21
1985-02-10 AC Milan L 0-1 1697 1817 34.9% 42.8% 22.2% -17.4 7
1985-02-10 @ Cremonese W 1-0 1817 1697 22.2% 42.8% 34.9% +17.4 21
1985-02-10 Como W 2-1 1887 1771 56.2% 37.7% 6.1% +4.7 19
1985-02-10 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1771 1887 6.1% 37.7% 56.2% -4.7 16
1985-02-10 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1977 1663 69.3% 27.9% 2.8% +1.8 26
1985-02-10 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1663 1977 2.8% 27.9% 69.3% -1.8 9
1985-02-10 Avellino W 2-1 1967 1818 58.5% 36.3% 5.2% +4.0 22
1985-02-10 @ Juventus L 1-2 1818 1967 5.2% 36.3% 58.5% -4.0 15
1985-02-10 Torino W 2-1 1815 1936 34.8% 42.8% 22.4% +12.5 17
1985-02-10 @ Napoli L 1-2 1936 1815 22.4% 42.8% 34.8% -12.5 23
1985-02-10 Atalanta D 1-1 1955 1759 61.7% 34.0% 4.3% -6.2 23
1985-02-10 @ Roma D 1-1 1759 1955 4.3% 34.0% 61.7% +6.2 17
1985-02-10 Hellas Verona L 3-5 1809 1979 28.3% 42.5% 29.2% -20.9 14
1985-02-10 @ Udinese W 5-3 1979 1809 29.2% 42.5% 28.3% +20.9 27
1985-02-17 Juventus W 3-2 1834 1971 32.8% 42.8% 24.4% +12.5 23
1985-02-17 @ AC Milan L 2-3 1971 1834 24.4% 42.8% 32.8% -12.5 22
1985-02-17 Fiorentina D 2-2 1765 1891 34.1% 42.8% 23.1% -0.7 18
1985-02-17 @ Atalanta D 2-2 1891 1765 23.1% 42.8% 34.1% +0.7 20
1985-02-17 Cremonese W 2-0 1814 1680 57.5% 36.9% 5.6% +8.7 17
1985-02-17 @ Avellino L 0-2 1680 1814 5.6% 36.9% 57.5% -8.7 7
1985-02-17 Napoli D 1-1 1766 1827 41.6% 42.6% 15.8% -2.3 17
1985-02-17 @ Como D 1-1 1827 1766 15.8% 42.6% 41.6% +2.3 18
1985-02-17 Inter Milan D 1-1 1999 1979 49.1% 41.0% 9.8% -3.9 28
1985-02-17 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1979 1999 9.8% 41.0% 49.1% +3.9 27
1985-02-17 Ascoli D 0-0 1661 1748 38.8% 42.8% 18.4% -2.0 10
1985-02-17 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1748 1661 18.4% 42.8% 38.8% +2.0 12
1985-02-17 Roma W 3-0 1878 1949 40.6% 42.7% 16.8% +30.6 23
1985-02-17 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1949 1878 16.8% 42.7% 40.6% -30.6 23
1985-02-17 Udinese W 1-0 1923 1788 57.6% 36.9% 5.6% +4.6 25
1985-02-17 @ Torino L 0-1 1788 1923 5.6% 36.9% 57.6% -4.6 14
1985-02-24 Avellino D 2-2 1750 1823 40.4% 42.7% 16.9% -1.6 13
1985-02-24 @ Ascoli D 2-2 1823 1750 16.9% 42.7% 40.4% +1.6 18
1985-02-24 Atalanta D 0-0 1671 1764 38.1% 42.8% 19.1% -1.8 8
1985-02-24 @ Cremonese D 0-0 1764 1671 19.1% 42.8% 38.1% +1.8 19
1985-02-24 Sampdoria L 0-3 1892 1909 46.0% 41.9% 12.2% -59.0 20
1985-02-24 @ Fiorentina W 3-0 1909 1892 12.2% 41.9% 46.0% +59.0 25
1985-02-24 Torino D 1-1 1983 1928 51.9% 40.0% 8.2% -4.5 28
1985-02-24 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1928 1983 8.2% 40.0% 51.9% +4.5 26
1985-02-24 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1959 1996 44.0% 42.3% 13.7% -2.8 23
1985-02-24 @ Juventus D 1-1 1996 1959 13.7% 42.3% 44.0% +2.8 29
1985-02-24 Lazio Roma W 4-0 1830 1659 59.9% 35.3% 4.8% +13.7 20
1985-02-24 @ Napoli L 0-4 1659 1830 4.8% 35.3% 59.9% -13.7 10
1985-02-24 AC Milan L 0-1 1918 1847 53.1% 39.4% 7.5% -24.4 23
1985-02-24 @ Roma W 1-0 1847 1918 7.5% 39.4% 53.1% +24.4 25
1985-02-24 Como W 4-1 1783 1764 49.1% 41.0% 9.9% +18.0 16
1985-02-24 @ Udinese L 1-4 1764 1783 9.9% 41.0% 49.1% -18.0 17
1985-03-03 Napoli W 2-1 1871 1843 49.7% 40.8% 9.4% +7.1 27
1985-03-03 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1843 1871 9.4% 40.8% 49.7% -7.1 20
1985-03-03 Ascoli D 0-0 1766 1748 48.9% 41.1% 10.0% -4.3 20
1985-03-03 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1748 1766 10.0% 41.1% 48.9% +4.3 14
1985-03-03 Fiorentina D 0-0 1824 1833 46.6% 41.7% 11.6% -3.8 19
1985-03-03 @ Avellino D 0-0 1833 1824 11.6% 41.7% 46.6% +3.8 21
1985-03-03 Inter Milan D 0-0 1746 1978 20.7% 41.3% 38.0% +1.7 18
1985-03-03 @ Como D 0-0 1978 1746 38.0% 41.3% 20.7% -1.7 29
1985-03-03 Roma W 1-0 1998 1894 55.4% 38.2% 6.4% +5.3 31
1985-03-03 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1894 1998 6.4% 38.2% 55.4% -5.3 23
1985-03-03 Cremonese W 5-1 1956 1669 67.5% 29.4% 3.1% +6.3 25
1985-03-03 @ Juventus L 1-5 1669 1956 3.1% 29.4% 67.5% -6.3 8
1985-03-03 Torino D 0-0 1645 1932 15.7% 39.7% 44.6% +2.9 11
1985-03-03 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1932 1645 44.6% 39.7% 15.7% -2.9 27
1985-03-03 Udinese W 1-0 1968 1801 59.7% 35.5% 4.9% +3.9 27
1985-03-03 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1801 1968 4.9% 35.5% 59.7% -3.9 16
1985-03-17 Como W 1-0 1753 1747 47.9% 41.4% 10.7% +8.3 16
1985-03-17 @ Ascoli L 0-1 1747 1753 10.7% 41.4% 47.9% -8.3 18
1985-03-17 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1663 1648 48.7% 41.2% 10.2% -3.8 9
1985-03-17 @ Cremonese D 1-1 1648 1663 10.2% 41.2% 48.7% +3.8 12
1985-03-17 Hellas Verona L 1-3 1837 2004 28.7% 42.5% 28.7% -25.0 21
1985-03-17 @ Fiorentina W 3-1 2004 1837 28.7% 42.5% 28.7% +25.0 33
1985-03-17 AC Milan D 2-2 1977 1878 55.0% 38.4% 6.6% -3.8 30
1985-03-17 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1878 1977 6.6% 38.4% 55.0% +3.8 28
1985-03-17 Atalanta W 1-0 1836 1762 53.3% 39.3% 7.4% +6.1 22
1985-03-17 @ Napoli L 0-1 1762 1836 7.4% 39.3% 53.3% -6.1 20
1985-03-17 Juventus D 1-1 1889 1962 40.3% 42.7% 17.0% -2.1 24
1985-03-17 @ Roma D 1-1 1962 1889 17.0% 42.7% 40.3% +2.1 26
1985-03-17 Sampdoria D 1-1 1929 1971 43.5% 42.3% 14.1% -2.7 28
1985-03-17 @ Torino D 1-1 1971 1929 14.1% 42.3% 43.5% +2.7 28
1985-03-17 Avellino W 2-0 1797 1820 45.4% 42.0% 12.6% +17.5 18
1985-03-17 @ Udinese L 0-2 1820 1797 12.6% 42.0% 45.4% -17.5 19
1985-03-24 Torino L 0-1 1882 1926 43.3% 42.4% 14.3% -20.5 28
1985-03-24 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1926 1882 14.3% 42.4% 43.3% +20.5 30
1985-03-24 Fiorentina W 2-1 1761 1812 42.6% 42.5% 14.9% +9.8 18
1985-03-24 @ Ascoli L 1-2 1812 1761 14.9% 42.5% 42.6% -9.8 21
1985-03-24 Udinese L 0-1 1756 1815 41.8% 42.6% 15.6% -19.9 20
1985-03-24 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1815 1756 15.6% 42.6% 41.8% +19.9 20
1985-03-24 Napoli L 0-1 1803 1842 43.8% 42.3% 13.9% -20.7 19
1985-03-24 @ Avellino W 1-0 1842 1803 13.9% 42.3% 43.8% +20.7 24
1985-03-24 Sampdoria D 0-0 1739 1974 20.4% 41.2% 38.3% +1.7 19
1985-03-24 @ Como D 0-0 1974 1739 38.3% 41.2% 20.4% -1.7 29
1985-03-24 Cremonese W 3-0 2029 1659 72.7% 25.1% 2.3% +3.7 35
1985-03-24 @ Hellas Verona L 0-3 1659 2029 2.3% 25.1% 72.7% -3.7 9
1985-03-24 Inter Milan W 3-1 1964 1973 46.6% 41.7% 11.6% +14.4 28
1985-03-24 @ Juventus L 1-3 1973 1964 11.6% 41.7% 46.6% -14.4 30
1985-03-24 Roma D 1-1 1652 1887 20.5% 41.2% 38.2% +1.5 13
1985-03-24 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1887 1652 38.2% 41.2% 20.5% -1.5 25
1985-03-31 Avellino W 2-0 1862 1782 53.7% 39.1% 7.2% +11.2 30
1985-03-31 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1782 1862 7.2% 39.1% 53.7% -11.2 19
1985-03-31 Como W 2-0 1656 1741 39.0% 42.8% 18.2% +22.2 11
1985-03-31 @ Cremonese L 0-2 1741 1656 18.2% 42.8% 39.0% -22.2 19
1985-03-31 Roma W 1-0 1802 1885 39.3% 42.8% 18.0% +11.7 23
1985-03-31 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1885 1802 18.0% 42.8% 39.3% -11.7 25
1985-03-31 Atalanta D 1-1 1653 1736 39.3% 42.8% 17.9% -1.9 14
1985-03-31 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1736 1653 17.9% 42.8% 39.3% +1.9 21
1985-03-31 Ascoli D 1-1 1863 1771 54.6% 38.6% 6.8% -5.0 25
1985-03-31 @ Napoli D 1-1 1771 1863 6.8% 38.6% 54.6% +5.0 19
1985-03-31 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1972 2032 41.8% 42.6% 15.7% -2.4 30
1985-03-31 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 2032 1972 15.7% 42.6% 41.8% +2.4 36
1985-03-31 Juventus L 0-2 1947 1978 44.6% 42.2% 13.3% -39.5 30
1985-03-31 @ Torino W 2-0 1978 1947 13.3% 42.2% 44.6% +39.5 30
1985-03-31 Inter Milan W 2-1 1835 1959 34.4% 42.8% 22.8% +12.7 22
1985-03-31 @ Udinese L 1-2 1959 1835 22.8% 42.8% 34.4% -12.6 30
1985-04-14 Atalanta D 1-1 1771 1738 50.2% 40.7% 9.2% -4.1 20
1985-04-14 @ Avellino D 1-1 1738 1771 9.2% 40.7% 50.2% +4.1 22
1985-04-14 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1719 1652 52.7% 39.6% 7.7% +6.3 21
1985-04-14 @ Como L 0-1 1652 1719 7.7% 39.6% 52.7% -6.3 14
1985-04-14 Napoli D 1-1 1678 1858 27.0% 42.3% 30.7% +0.3 12
1985-04-14 @ Cremonese D 1-1 1858 1678 30.7% 42.3% 27.0% -0.3 26
1985-04-14 Torino L 1-2 2035 1907 57.0% 37.2% 5.8% -24.4 36
1985-04-14 @ Hellas Verona W 2-1 1907 2035 5.8% 37.2% 57.0% +24.4 32
1985-04-14 Fiorentina W 1-0 1946 1814 57.3% 37.0% 5.7% +4.6 32
1985-04-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1814 1946 5.7% 37.0% 57.3% -4.6 23
1985-04-14 Udinese W 3-2 2018 1847 59.9% 35.3% 4.8% +3.4 32
1985-04-14 @ Juventus L 2-3 1847 2018 4.8% 35.3% 59.9% -3.4 22
1985-04-14 Ascoli W 3-1 1873 1776 54.9% 38.4% 6.6% +8.9 27
1985-04-14 @ Roma L 1-3 1776 1873 6.6% 38.4% 54.9% -9.0 19
1985-04-14 AC Milan W 2-1 1970 1873 54.9% 38.5% 6.6% +5.2 32
1985-04-14 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1873 1970 6.6% 38.5% 54.9% -5.2 30
1985-04-21 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1868 2010 32.0% 42.7% 25.3% -0.6 31
1985-04-21 @ AC Milan D 0-0 2010 1868 25.3% 42.7% 32.0% +0.6 37
1985-04-21 Juventus D 1-1 1767 2021 18.5% 40.7% 40.8% +2.0 20
1985-04-21 @ Ascoli D 1-1 2021 1767 40.8% 40.7% 18.5% -1.9 33
1985-04-21 Como W 1-0 1742 1725 48.8% 41.1% 10.0% +7.9 24
1985-04-21 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1725 1742 10.0% 41.1% 48.8% -7.9 21
1985-04-21 Cremonese D 1-1 1809 1678 57.3% 37.1% 5.7% -5.5 24
1985-04-21 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1678 1809 5.7% 37.1% 57.3% +5.5 13
1985-04-21 Sampdoria L 0-3 1645 1975 12.7% 38.0% 49.2% -23.5 14
1985-04-21 @ Lazio Roma W 3-0 1975 1645 49.2% 38.0% 12.7% +23.5 34
1985-04-21 Inter Milan W 3-1 1858 1951 38.1% 42.8% 19.1% +19.8 28
1985-04-21 @ Napoli L 1-3 1951 1858 19.1% 42.8% 38.1% -19.8 32
1985-04-21 Avellino W 2-0 1932 1767 59.6% 35.5% 4.9% +7.4 34
1985-04-21 @ Torino L 0-2 1767 1932 4.9% 35.5% 59.6% -7.4 20
1985-04-21 Roma L 0-2 1844 1882 43.9% 42.3% 13.8% -39.0 22
1985-04-21 @ Udinese W 2-0 1882 1844 13.8% 42.3% 43.9% +39.1 29
1985-04-28 Udinese L 0-1 1769 1805 44.1% 42.2% 13.6% -20.8 20
1985-04-28 @ Ascoli W 1-0 1805 1769 13.6% 42.2% 44.1% +20.8 24
1985-04-28 AC Milan W 1-0 1750 1867 35.2% 42.9% 21.9% +13.1 26
1985-04-28 @ Atalanta L 0-1 1867 1750 21.9% 42.9% 35.2% -13.1 31
1985-04-28 Sampdoria W 2-1 1759 1999 20.0% 41.1% 38.9% +17.4 22
1985-04-28 @ Avellino L 1-2 1999 1759 38.9% 41.1% 20.0% -17.4 34
1985-04-28 Torino D 0-0 1717 1939 21.9% 41.5% 36.6% +1.4 22
1985-04-28 @ Como D 0-0 1939 1717 36.6% 41.5% 21.9% -1.4 35
1985-04-28 Lazio Roma W 1-0 2011 1622 73.8% 24.1% 2.1% +1.2 39
1985-04-28 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1622 2011 2.1% 24.1% 73.8% -1.2 14
1985-04-28 Cremonese W 2-0 1931 1684 65.0% 31.5% 3.6% +4.9 34
1985-04-28 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1684 1931 3.6% 31.5% 65.0% -4.9 13
1985-04-28 Fiorentina L 1-2 2019 1804 62.9% 33.1% 4.0% -26.0 33
1985-04-28 @ Juventus W 2-1 1804 2019 4.0% 33.1% 62.9% +26.0 26
1985-04-28 Napoli D 1-1 1921 1877 51.0% 40.3% 8.7% -4.3 30
1985-04-28 @ Roma D 1-1 1877 1921 8.7% 40.3% 51.0% +4.3 29
1985-05-05 Ascoli W 2-1 1854 1748 55.5% 38.1% 6.3% +5.0 33
1985-05-05 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1748 1854 6.3% 38.1% 55.5% -5.0 20
1985-05-05 Roma L 0-5 1679 1917 20.1% 41.1% 38.7% -53.8 13
1985-05-05 @ Cremonese W 5-0 1917 1679 38.7% 41.1% 20.1% +53.8 32
1985-05-05 Udinese W 3-1 1830 1826 47.8% 41.4% 10.8% +13.6 28
1985-05-05 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1826 1830 10.8% 41.4% 47.8% -13.6 24
1985-05-05 Como D 0-0 2012 1718 68.0% 29.0% 3.0% -7.7 40
1985-05-05 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1718 2012 3.0% 29.0% 68.0% +7.7 23
1985-05-05 Avellino L 0-1 1621 1777 30.2% 42.6% 27.2% -15.8 14
1985-05-05 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1777 1621 27.2% 42.6% 30.2% +15.8 24
1985-05-05 Juventus D 0-0 1882 1993 35.9% 42.9% 21.2% -1.4 30
1985-05-05 @ Napoli D 0-0 1993 1882 21.2% 42.9% 35.9% +1.4 34
1985-05-05 Inter Milan L 1-2 1981 1936 51.1% 40.3% 8.6% -22.3 34
1985-05-05 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1936 1981 8.6% 40.3% 51.1% +22.3 36
1985-05-05 Atalanta D 0-0 1938 1763 60.2% 35.1% 4.7% -6.7 36
1985-05-05 @ Torino D 0-0 1763 1938 4.7% 35.1% 60.2% +6.7 27
1985-05-12 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1859 1605 65.4% 31.1% 3.5% +4.7 35
1985-05-12 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1605 1859 3.5% 31.1% 65.4% -4.7 14
1985-05-12 Cremonese W 3-2 1743 1625 56.4% 37.6% 6.0% +4.5 22
1985-05-12 @ Ascoli L 2-3 1625 1743 6.0% 37.6% 56.4% -4.5 13
1985-05-12 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1769 2004 20.5% 41.2% 38.3% +1.5 28
1985-05-12 @ Atalanta D 1-1 2004 1769 38.3% 41.2% 20.5% -1.5 41
1985-05-12 Como D 1-1 1792 1726 52.7% 39.6% 7.7% -4.6 25
1985-05-12 @ Avellino D 1-1 1726 1792 7.7% 39.6% 52.7% +4.6 24
1985-05-12 Torino D 0-0 1843 1931 38.7% 42.8% 18.5% -2.0 29
1985-05-12 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1931 1843 18.5% 42.8% 38.7% +2.0 37
1985-05-12 Sampdoria D 1-1 1995 1959 50.3% 40.6% 9.1% -4.1 35
1985-05-12 @ Juventus D 1-1 1959 1995 9.1% 40.6% 50.3% +4.1 35
1985-05-12 Inter Milan W 4-3 1971 1958 48.5% 41.2% 10.3% +7.0 34
1985-05-12 @ Roma L 3-4 1958 1971 10.3% 41.2% 48.5% -7.0 36
1985-05-12 Napoli D 2-2 1812 1880 40.9% 42.6% 16.5% -1.6 25
1985-05-12 @ Udinese D 2-2 1880 1812 16.5% 42.6% 40.9% +1.6 31
1985-05-19 AC Milan D 0-0 1731 1864 33.3% 42.8% 23.9% -0.9 25
1985-05-19 @ Como D 0-0 1864 1731 23.9% 42.8% 33.3% +0.9 36
1985-05-19 Udinese W 2-0 1621 1810 25.7% 42.2% 32.1% +30.8 15
1985-05-19 @ Cremonese L 0-2 1810 1621 32.1% 42.2% 25.7% -30.8 25
1985-05-19 Avellino W 4-2 2003 1788 62.9% 33.1% 4.0% +4.5 43
1985-05-19 @ Hellas Verona L 2-4 1788 2003 4.0% 33.1% 62.9% -4.5 25
1985-05-19 Ascoli W 5-1 1951 1747 62.1% 33.7% 4.2% +9.7 38
1985-05-19 @ Inter Milan L 1-5 1747 1951 4.2% 33.7% 62.1% -9.7 22
1985-05-19 Juventus D 3-3 1600 1991 9.6% 35.4% 55.0% +2.8 15
1985-05-19 @ Lazio Roma D 3-3 1991 1600 55.0% 35.4% 9.6% -2.8 36
1985-05-19 Fiorentina W 1-0 1882 1841 50.7% 40.4% 8.8% +7.1 33
1985-05-19 @ Napoli L 0-1 1841 1882 8.8% 40.4% 50.7% -7.1 29
1985-05-19 Atalanta W 3-0 1963 1771 61.4% 34.2% 4.4% +9.4 37
1985-05-19 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1771 1963 4.4% 34.2% 61.4% -9.4 28
1985-05-19 Roma W 1-0 1933 1978 43.3% 42.4% 14.4% +10.1 39
1985-05-19 @ Torino L 0-1 1978 1933 14.4% 42.4% 43.3% -10.1 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-04-28 4.03% Fiorentina 1804 2 @ Juventus 2019 1
2 1985-01-13 5.50% Como 1728 2 @ AC Milan 1866 0
3 1985-04-14 5.77% Torino 1907 2 @ Hellas Verona 2035 1
4 1985-01-13 6.09% Napoli 1783 1 @ Fiorentina 1898 0
5 1985-02-24 7.51% AC Milan 1847 1 @ Roma 1918 0
6 1985-05-05 8.58% Inter Milan 1936 2 @ Sampdoria 1981 1
7 1984-11-18 10.30% Torino 1906 2 @ Juventus 1919 1
8 1984-10-07 10.92% Torino 1866 1 @ Udinese 1869 0
9 1985-02-24 12.15% Sampdoria 1909 3 @ Fiorentina 1892 0
10 1985-03-31 13.27% Juventus 1978 2 @ Torino 1947 0
11 1985-04-28 13.64% Udinese 1805 1 @ Ascoli 1769 0
12 1985-04-21 13.82% Roma 1882 2 @ Udinese 1844 0
13 1985-03-24 13.91% Napoli 1842 1 @ Avellino 1803 0
14 1985-03-24 14.31% Torino 1926 1 @ AC Milan 1882 0
15 1984-11-25 14.36% Hellas Verona 1973 2 @ Torino 1928 1
16 1985-01-27 15.07% Udinese 1762 4 @ Lazio Roma 1709 1
17 1984-12-02 15.46% Torino 1908 3 @ Avellino 1851 1
18 1985-03-24 15.63% Udinese 1815 1 @ Atalanta 1756 0
19 1984-09-23 15.68% Hellas Verona 1880 3 @ Ascoli 1821 1
20 1984-11-25 16.32% Sampdoria 1912 1 @ AC Milan 1845 0
21 1984-12-23 16.76% AC Milan 1829 1 @ Ascoli 1757 0
22 1984-11-25 17.57% Juventus 1898 3 @ Udinese 1819 0
23 1985-04-28 20.01% @ Avellino 1759 2 Sampdoria 1999 1
24 1985-01-06 20.62% AC Milan 1848 1 @ Lazio Roma 1741 0
25 1984-09-16 22.01% Fiorentina 1908 1 @ Lazio Roma 1790 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-02-24 58.97 Sampdoria 3 1909 12.15% @ Fiorentina 0 1892 45.95% 41.89%
2 1985-05-05 53.78 Roma 5 1917 38.72% @ Cremonese 0 1679 20.13% 41.14%
3 1984-11-25 52.26 Juventus 3 1898 17.57% @ Udinese 0 1819 39.69% 42.74%
4 1985-01-13 49.19 Como 2 1728 5.50% @ AC Milan 0 1866 57.75% 36.75%
5 1985-01-27 46.50 Udinese 4 1762 15.07% @ Lazio Roma 1 1709 42.45% 42.49%
6 1985-03-31 39.54 Juventus 2 1978 13.27% @ Torino 0 1947 44.56% 42.17%
7 1985-04-21 39.05 Roma 2 1882 13.82% @ Udinese 0 1844 43.90% 42.28%
8 1984-11-11 36.73 @ Inter Milan 4 1907 42.94% Juventus 0 1956 14.64% 42.42%
9 1984-12-02 32.60 Torino 3 1908 15.46% @ Avellino 1 1851 42.00% 42.54%
10 1984-09-23 32.45 Hellas Verona 3 1880 15.68% @ Ascoli 1 1821 41.76% 42.56%
11 1985-02-10 30.92 @ Ascoli 2 1717 25.43% Sampdoria 0 1909 32.42% 42.15%
12 1985-05-19 30.76 @ Cremonese 2 1621 25.69% Udinese 0 1810 32.13% 42.19%
13 1985-02-17 30.62 @ Sampdoria 3 1878 40.57% Roma 0 1949 16.76% 42.68%
14 1984-10-14 28.11 @ Como 2 1688 29.96% Udinese 0 1846 27.42% 42.62%
15 1984-09-23 26.64 @ Udinese 5 1849 53.46% Lazio Roma 0 1772 7.31% 39.23%
16 1985-04-28 25.98 Fiorentina 2 1804 4.03% @ Juventus 1 2019 62.91% 33.06%
17 1984-10-21 25.94 Juventus 3 1934 26.79% @ Cremonese 1 1781 30.55% 42.66%
18 1984-11-11 25.60 Hellas Verona 2 1952 34.42% @ Cremonese 0 1746 23.69% 41.89%
19 1985-01-13 25.55 Napoli 1 1783 6.09% @ Fiorentina 0 1898 56.17% 37.74%
20 1985-03-17 24.98 Hellas Verona 3 2004 28.74% @ Fiorentina 1 1837 28.75% 42.52%
21 1985-02-24 24.41 AC Milan 1 1847 7.51% @ Roma 0 1918 53.08% 39.42%
22 1985-04-14 24.36 Torino 2 1907 5.77% @ Hellas Verona 1 2035 57.02% 37.22%
23 1985-04-21 23.54 Sampdoria 3 1975 49.23% @ Lazio Roma 0 1645 12.73% 38.04%
24 1985-05-05 22.29 Inter Milan 2 1936 8.58% @ Sampdoria 1 1981 51.14% 40.28%
25 1984-10-07 22.20 Torino 1 1866 10.92% @ Udinese 0 1869 47.59% 41.49%