Home / Leagues / Italy / Serie A / 1976-77
‹ ›

1976-77 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Juventus

51 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 1974-75

Relegated

Cesena

14 pts

Catanzaro · 21 pts

Sampdoria · 24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Juventus

11.56 points above expected

51 points · 39.44 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Cesena

10.35 points below expected

14 points · 24.35 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Juventus Champion 30 23 5 2 51 50 20 +30 39.44 +11.56
2 Torino 30 21 8 1 50 51 14 +37 42.19 +7.81
3 Fiorentina 30 12 11 7 35 38 31 +7 30.52 +4.48
4 Inter Milan 30 10 13 7 33 34 27 +7 34.04 -1.04
5 Lazio Roma 30 10 11 9 31 34 28 +6 30.11 +0.89
6 Perugia 30 9 11 10 29 32 28 +4 30.56 -1.56
7 Napoli* 30 9 11 10 28 37 38 -1 32.38 -4.38
8 Roma 30 9 10 11 28 27 33 -6 27.81 +0.19
9 Hellas Verona 30 7 14 9 28 26 32 -6 27.68 +0.32
10 AC Milan 30 5 17 8 27 30 33 -3 30.70 -3.70
11 Genoa 30 8 11 11 27 40 45 -5 27.54 -0.54
12 Bologna 30 8 11 11 27 24 31 -7 25.68 +1.32
13 Foggia 30 10 6 14 26 33 39 -6 26.40 -0.40
14 Sampdoria Relegated 30 6 12 12 24 28 42 -14 24.40 -0.40
15 Catanzaro Relegated 30 7 7 16 21 26 43 -17 25.21 -4.21
16 Cesena Relegated 30 3 8 19 14 22 48 -26 24.35 -10.35

* Point deductions: Napoli (-1 pts)

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Torino 2009 50 42.19 +7.81 99.1% 27 36 40 42 45 48 54
Juventus 2000 51 39.44 +11.56 100.0% 26 33 37 40 42 46 53
Fiorentina 1790 35 30.52 +4.48 89.4% 15 24 28 30 33 37 46
Inter Milan 1782 33 34.04 -1.04 44.1% 19 27 31 34 37 41 48
Lazio Roma 1743 31 30.11 +0.89 63.8% 16 23 27 30 33 37 45
AC Milan 1727 27 30.70 -3.70 21.0% 17 24 28 31 33 37 47
Perugia 1725 29 30.56 -1.56 39.8% 16 24 28 31 33 37 46
Bologna 1720 27 25.68 +1.32 67.4% 11 19 23 26 28 32 41
Foggia 1667 26 26.40 -0.40 50.9% 11 20 24 26 29 33 41
Hellas Verona 1666 28 27.68 +0.32 58.1% 13 21 25 28 30 34 44
Napoli 1660 28 32.38 -4.38 17.3% 17 26 30 32 35 39 46
Roma 1657 28 27.81 +0.19 57.3% 14 21 25 28 30 34 43
Genoa 1648 27 27.54 -0.54 49.6% 13 21 25 28 30 34 42
Sampdoria 1623 24 24.40 -0.40 51.5% 10 18 22 24 27 31 38
Catanzaro 1590 21 25.21 -4.21 17.3% 11 19 23 25 28 32 41
Cesena 1520 14 24.35 -10.35 0.5% 10 18 22 24 27 31 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM BOL CAT CES FIO FOG GEN HV IM JUV LR NAP PER ROM SAM TOR
AC Milan —
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.42
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.93
0-2-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
1.91
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
1.33
Bologna
0-2-0
2.12
 —
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.46
0-2-0
2.54
0-1-1
1.71
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.79
Catanzaro
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.67
 —
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.19
0-2-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
1.17
Cesena
0-1-1
1.87
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.43
 —
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.27
0-2-0
1.70
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
0.96
Fiorentina
0-2-0
2.55
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.94
 —
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.97
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.96
0-2-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.65
Foggia
1-1-0
2.25
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.24
 —
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.10
0-0-2
1.68
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
1.07
Genoa
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
2.72
 —
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.61
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
1.21
Hellas Verona
0-2-0
2.44
0-2-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.01
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.64
 —
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
1.40
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.16
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
1.14
Inter Milan
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-1
3.20
0-2-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.21
0-1-1
3.28
 —
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
1.93
Juventus
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.09
 —
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
4.29
0-1-1
2.46
Lazio Roma
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.22
0-0-2
1.98
 —
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.18
0-2-0
1.23
Napoli
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.13
0-2-0
3.05
 —
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.55
0-1-1
1.70
Perugia
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
3.34
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.47
 —
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
3.25
0-1-1
1.77
Roma
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.69
0-2-0
2.71
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
1.40
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.48
 —
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
1.29
Sampdoria
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.54
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.09
0-1-1
2.10
0-2-0
1.75
1-1-0
2.05
1-0-1
2.42
 —
0-0-2
1.20
Torino
1-1-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
4.18
1-1-0
4.24
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
4.04
2-0-0
4.14
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +9.8
Allowed 0.79 -9.1
Differential 0.96 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.83%10.42%5.00%3.12%0.42%—34.79%
110.42%13.33%6.25%2.71%1.25%0.42%34.38%
25.00%6.25%4.58%2.71%0.42%—18.96%
33.12%2.71%2.71%0.83%——9.38%
40.42%1.25%0.42%———2.08%
5+—0.42%————0.42%
Total34.79%34.38%18.96%9.38%2.08%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.45
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%3.33%———36.67%
1—20.00%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——23.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.10 -0.10
SD 0.95 0.99 1.06
CV 0.95 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%20.00%—10.00%——56.67%
16.67%3.33%3.33%——3.33%16.67%
210.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%33.33%6.67%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.03 -0.23
SD 1.10 1.27 1.59
CV 1.37 1.23 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
110.00%13.33%10.00%10.00%——43.33%
2—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%20.00%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.43 -0.57
SD 0.97 1.10 1.41
CV 1.12 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%13.33%10.00%——50.00%
13.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%——6.67%3.33%—13.33%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%20.00%26.67%20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.60 -0.87
SD 0.94 1.28 1.53
CV 1.29 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
16.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%16.67%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%—3.33%———10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.03 +0.23
SD 1.08 0.96 1.45
CV 0.85 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%3.33%———33.33%
113.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%10.00%——26.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%16.67%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.30 -0.20
SD 1.03 1.18 1.32
CV 0.94 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
16.67%16.67%10.00%—3.33%3.33%40.00%
23.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%——30.00%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%40.00%30.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.50 -0.17
SD 0.99 1.17 1.42
CV 0.75 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%6.67%—3.33%——40.00%
110.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
3——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%23.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.07 -0.20
SD 0.90 1.17 1.13
CV 1.04 1.10 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
110.00%20.00%3.33%———33.33%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
36.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total36.67%40.00%20.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.90 +0.23
SD 1.31 0.84 1.48
CV 1.15 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—3.33%———10.00%
123.33%6.67%—3.33%——33.33%
220.00%13.33%3.33%———36.67%
36.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total56.67%23.33%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.67 +1.00
SD 0.92 0.88 1.14
CV 0.55 1.33 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%6.67%———40.00%
113.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
2—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
36.67%——3.33%——10.00%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total40.00%36.67%13.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 0.93 +0.20
SD 1.25 0.98 1.42
CV 1.10 1.05 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——26.67%
110.00%16.67%13.33%———40.00%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
33.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%26.67%33.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.27 -0.03
SD 1.04 1.08 1.35
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
110.00%23.33%10.00%———43.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%23.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.93 +0.13
SD 1.08 0.74 1.31
CV 1.01 0.79 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%—43.33%
116.67%16.67%————33.33%
23.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.10 -0.20
SD 0.99 1.09 1.58
CV 1.11 0.99 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%6.67%10.00%——43.33%
13.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——23.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%36.67%20.00%16.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.40 -0.47
SD 0.98 1.13 1.46
CV 1.05 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%————16.67%
123.33%10.00%————33.33%
216.67%6.67%————23.33%
36.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total63.33%30.00%3.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.47 +1.23
SD 1.26 0.73 1.22
CV 0.74 1.56 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Juventus 51 39.44 +11.56
2 Torino 50 42.19 +7.81
3 Fiorentina 35 30.52 +4.48
4 Bologna 27 25.68 +1.32
5 Lazio Roma 31 30.11 +0.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cesena 14 24.35 -10.35
2 Napoli 28 32.38 -4.38
3 Catanzaro 21 25.21 -4.21
4 AC Milan 27 30.70 -3.70
5 Perugia 29 30.56 -1.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 7 Oct 3 – Nov 28 1 in 373
2 Genoa 4 Dec 19 – Jan 16 1 in 64
3 Foggia 3 Apr 24 – May 8 1 in 56
4 Inter Milan 4 Dec 12 – Jan 9 1 in 52
5 Torino 5 Oct 3 – Nov 7 1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Foggia 4 Jan 2 – Jan 30 1 in 169
2 Catanzaro 6 Feb 13 – Mar 20 1 in 130
3 Napoli 4 May 2 – May 22 1 in 121
4 Bologna 5 Dec 12 – Jan 16 1 in 61
5 Cesena 5 Nov 21 – Dec 19 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sampdoria 8 Mar 20 – May 8 1 in 99
2 Fiorentina 12 Nov 7 – Feb 13 1 in 72
3 Lazio Roma 8 Oct 10 – Dec 12 1 in 22
4 Torino 17 Oct 3 – Feb 21 1 in 22
5 Genoa 7 Nov 28 – Jan 16 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 7 Feb 28 – Apr 10 1 in 80
2 AC Milan 11 Feb 28 – May 8 1 in 71
3 Lazio Roma 9 Dec 5 – Feb 13 1 in 57
4 Cesena 13 Feb 28 – May 22 1 in 42
5 Napoli 7 Apr 10 – May 22 1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Juventus27.09%47.19%14.21%5.78%2.78%1.49%0.67%0.26%0.23%0.18%0.06%0.06%————
Torino67.38%24.01%5.55%1.82%0.61%0.45%0.08%0.06%0.02%0.01%———0.01%——
Fiorentina0.42%2.77%8.51%10.81%11.53%11.68%10.53%9.11%8.42%6.80%5.79%4.93%3.15%2.73%1.92%0.90%
Inter Milan2.70%11.14%24.78%17.29%12.75%9.29%6.72%4.52%3.67%2.60%1.68%1.10%0.96%0.47%0.23%0.10%
Lazio Roma0.39%2.37%7.27%9.74%10.71%11.04%10.66%9.85%8.36%7.18%6.74%4.84%3.94%3.24%2.25%1.42%
Perugia0.46%2.65%8.45%11.11%12.04%10.72%10.11%9.26%8.05%7.07%5.76%4.93%3.82%2.67%2.00%0.90%
Napoli1.04%5.31%14.63%16.36%13.32%11.63%8.91%7.05%6.01%5.05%3.60%2.66%2.00%1.34%0.80%0.29%
Roma0.05%0.65%2.26%3.77%5.51%6.42%7.79%8.50%9.19%9.80%9.60%8.94%8.17%8.13%6.93%4.29%
Hellas Verona0.06%0.46%2.10%3.73%5.36%5.80%7.65%8.74%9.06%9.48%9.63%9.12%8.85%8.08%7.11%4.77%
AC Milan0.30%2.31%7.70%10.47%11.54%11.30%10.69%9.79%8.82%7.03%5.99%5.24%3.63%2.66%1.57%0.96%
Genoa0.07%0.58%1.97%3.38%4.41%6.29%7.66%8.89%8.56%9.51%9.43%9.88%9.14%8.12%6.93%5.18%
Bologna0.02%0.13%0.65%1.57%1.97%3.25%4.59%5.89%7.37%8.14%8.99%9.99%11.60%12.24%11.85%11.75%
Foggia0.02%0.23%0.96%1.95%3.29%4.35%5.37%6.65%8.13%9.09%10.00%10.45%10.63%10.37%10.00%8.51%
Sampdoria—0.04%0.25%0.78%1.08%1.63%2.67%3.70%4.64%6.02%7.31%9.10%11.10%14.09%17.21%20.38%
Catanzaro—0.12%0.45%0.91%2.02%2.71%3.50%4.52%5.31%6.65%8.24%9.93%11.90%12.74%14.56%16.44%
Cesena—0.04%0.26%0.53%1.08%1.95%2.40%3.21%4.16%5.39%7.18%8.83%11.11%13.11%16.64%24.11%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.42%
Strong Edge
45.42%34.58%20.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
242 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
090.29800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Juventus, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.15 * Some Luck: 3.15 to 4.72 * Lucky: 4.72 to 6.29 * Wild Swing: 6.29 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.06 * Close: 2.06 to 3.09 * Off: 3.09 to 4.12 * Way Off: 4.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.51 * A Surprise: 1.51 to 2.41 * Several Surprises: 2.41 to 3.32 * Many Surprises: 3.32 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.87 points
Lucky
03.9310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.586
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.98%
Juventus
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.53%
Cesena
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.70
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%70%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
10%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.62
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.67
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.37
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Juventus 100% —
Torino 99.99% 0.01%
Inter Milan 99.20% 0.80%
Napoli 97.57% 2.43%
AC Milan 94.81% 5.19%
Fiorentina 94.45% 5.55%
Perugia 94.43% 5.57%
Lazio Roma 93.09% 6.91%
Roma 80.65% 19.35%
Hellas Verona 80.04% 19.96%
Genoa 79.77% 20.23%
Foggia 71.12% 28.88%
Bologna 64.16% 35.84%
Catanzaro 56.26% 43.74%
Sampdoria 48.32% 51.68%
Cesena 46.14% 53.86%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1976-10-03 Perugia W 2-1 1756 1705 52.6% 35.4% 12.0% +7.6 2
1976-10-03 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1705 1756 12.0% 35.4% 52.6% -7.6 0
1976-10-03 Napoli D 0-0 1703 1774 40.2% 36.6% 23.1% -1.7 1
1976-10-03 @ Catanzaro D 0-0 1774 1703 23.1% 36.6% 40.2% +1.7 1
1976-10-03 Fiorentina L 1-2 1709 1704 48.5% 36.1% 15.5% -20.6 0
1976-10-03 @ Cesena W 2-1 1704 1709 15.5% 36.1% 48.5% +20.6 2
1976-10-03 Inter Milan D 0-0 1686 1743 41.9% 36.6% 21.5% -2.0 1
1976-10-03 @ Foggia D 0-0 1743 1686 21.5% 36.6% 41.9% +2.0 1
1976-10-03 Roma D 2-2 1670 1693 45.6% 36.4% 18.0% -1.9 1
1976-10-03 @ Genoa D 2-2 1693 1670 18.0% 36.4% 45.6% +1.9 1
1976-10-03 Bologna D 3-3 1681 1714 44.7% 36.4% 18.9% -1.5 1
1976-10-03 @ Hellas Verona D 3-3 1714 1681 18.9% 36.4% 44.7% +1.5 1
1976-10-03 Juventus L 2-3 1713 1805 37.5% 36.7% 25.8% -15.9 0
1976-10-03 @ Lazio Roma W 3-2 1805 1713 25.8% 36.7% 37.5% +15.9 2
1976-10-03 Sampdoria W 3-1 1808 1662 59.4% 33.2% 7.3% +8.5 2
1976-10-03 @ Torino L 1-3 1662 1808 7.3% 33.2% 59.4% -8.5 0
1976-10-10 Torino L 0-3 1715 1816 36.4% 36.7% 26.9% -47.6 1
1976-10-10 @ Bologna W 3-0 1816 1715 26.9% 36.7% 36.4% +47.6 4
1976-10-10 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1725 1697 50.6% 35.8% 13.7% -22.8 2
1976-10-10 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1697 1725 13.7% 35.8% 50.6% +22.8 2
1976-10-10 Catanzaro W 2-1 1745 1702 51.9% 35.5% 12.5% +7.8 3
1976-10-10 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1702 1745 12.5% 35.5% 51.9% -7.8 1
1976-10-10 Genoa W 1-0 1821 1668 59.9% 33.0% 7.1% +5.1 4
1976-10-10 @ Juventus L 0-1 1668 1821 7.1% 33.0% 59.9% -5.1 1
1976-10-10 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1776 1680 56.0% 34.5% 9.5% +18.1 3
1976-10-10 @ Napoli L 0-3 1680 1776 9.5% 34.5% 56.0% -18.1 1
1976-10-10 Foggia W 1-0 1698 1684 49.3% 36.0% 14.7% +9.4 2
1976-10-10 @ Perugia L 0-1 1684 1698 14.7% 36.0% 49.3% -9.4 1
1976-10-10 Cesena W 2-0 1695 1688 48.7% 36.0% 15.2% +18.2 3
1976-10-10 @ Roma L 0-2 1688 1695 15.2% 36.0% 48.7% -18.2 0
1976-10-10 AC Milan D 0-0 1653 1764 35.1% 36.6% 28.2% -0.7 1
1976-10-10 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1764 1653 28.2% 36.6% 35.1% +0.6 3
1976-10-24 Fiorentina D 0-0 1765 1702 53.5% 35.2% 11.3% -4.7 4
1976-10-24 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1702 1765 11.3% 35.2% 53.5% +4.7 3
1976-10-24 Sampdoria W 1-0 1694 1653 51.7% 35.6% 12.7% +8.4 3
1976-10-24 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1653 1694 12.7% 35.6% 51.7% -8.4 1
1976-10-24 Perugia L 0-3 1670 1707 44.1% 36.5% 19.4% -55.3 0
1976-10-24 @ Cesena W 3-0 1707 1670 19.4% 36.5% 44.1% +55.3 4
1976-10-24 Juventus L 0-1 1675 1826 29.5% 36.4% 34.1% -15.1 1
1976-10-24 @ Foggia W 1-0 1826 1675 34.1% 36.4% 29.5% +15.1 6
1976-10-24 Napoli L 2-3 1663 1794 32.4% 36.6% 31.1% -14.3 1
1976-10-24 @ Genoa W 3-2 1794 1663 31.1% 36.6% 32.4% +14.3 5
1976-10-24 Inter Milan W 1-0 1662 1753 37.7% 36.7% 25.6% +13.8 3
1976-10-24 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1753 1662 25.6% 36.7% 37.7% -13.8 3
1976-10-24 Bologna W 3-0 1720 1668 52.6% 35.4% 12.0% +22.0 4
1976-10-24 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1668 1720 12.0% 35.4% 52.6% -22.0 1
1976-10-24 Roma W 2-0 1864 1714 59.7% 33.1% 7.2% +9.7 6
1976-10-24 @ Torino L 0-2 1714 1864 7.2% 33.1% 59.7% -9.6 3
1976-10-31 Foggia D 0-0 1646 1660 46.6% 36.3% 17.1% -3.1 2
1976-10-31 @ Bologna D 0-0 1660 1646 17.1% 36.3% 46.6% +3.1 2
1976-10-31 Torino L 0-1 1706 1874 27.4% 36.3% 36.3% -14.4 3
1976-10-31 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1874 1706 36.3% 36.3% 27.4% +14.4 8
1976-10-31 Cesena D 1-1 1739 1614 58.0% 33.8% 8.2% -5.2 4
1976-10-31 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1614 1739 8.2% 33.8% 58.0% +5.2 1
1976-10-31 Catanzaro W 3-0 1841 1702 59.0% 33.4% 7.6% +14.8 8
1976-10-31 @ Juventus L 0-3 1702 1841 7.6% 33.4% 59.0% -14.8 3
1976-10-31 AC Milan W 3-1 1808 1760 52.4% 35.4% 12.2% +13.3 7
1976-10-31 @ Napoli L 1-3 1760 1808 12.2% 35.4% 52.4% -13.3 4
1976-10-31 Genoa W 2-1 1762 1649 57.3% 34.1% 8.7% +5.8 6
1976-10-31 @ Perugia L 1-2 1649 1762 8.7% 34.1% 57.3% -5.8 1
1976-10-31 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1704 1676 50.6% 35.8% 13.6% -4.0 4
1976-10-31 @ Roma D 0-0 1676 1704 13.6% 35.8% 50.6% +4.0 4
1976-10-31 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1644 1742 36.9% 36.7% 26.4% -1.0 2
1976-10-31 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1742 1644 26.4% 36.7% 36.9% +1.0 5
1976-11-07 Juventus L 2-3 1747 1856 35.3% 36.6% 28.1% -15.2 4
1976-11-07 @ AC Milan W 3-2 1856 1747 28.1% 36.6% 35.3% +15.2 10
1976-11-07 Roma D 1-1 1687 1700 46.8% 36.3% 17.0% -2.8 4
1976-11-07 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1700 1687 17.0% 36.3% 46.8% +2.8 5
1976-11-07 Bologna D 0-0 1620 1643 45.7% 36.4% 17.9% -2.9 2
1976-11-07 @ Cesena D 0-0 1643 1620 17.9% 36.4% 45.7% +2.9 3
1976-11-07 Napoli D 2-2 1663 1822 28.5% 36.4% 35.1% +0.4 3
1976-11-07 @ Foggia D 2-2 1822 1663 35.1% 36.4% 28.5% -0.4 8
1976-11-07 Sampdoria D 1-1 1643 1643 48.0% 36.1% 15.9% -3.0 2
1976-11-07 @ Genoa D 1-1 1643 1643 15.9% 36.1% 48.0% +3.0 3
1976-11-07 Fiorentina L 1-2 1680 1692 46.8% 36.3% 17.0% -20.0 4
1976-11-07 @ Hellas Verona W 2-1 1692 1680 17.0% 36.3% 46.8% +20.0 5
1976-11-07 Perugia W 1-0 1743 1768 45.4% 36.4% 18.2% +11.0 7
1976-11-07 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1768 1743 18.2% 36.4% 45.4% -11.0 6
1976-11-07 Inter Milan W 1-0 1888 1734 59.9% 33.0% 7.1% +5.0 10
1976-11-07 @ Torino L 0-1 1734 1888 7.1% 33.0% 59.9% -5.0 4
1976-11-21 AC Milan D 2-2 1645 1731 38.4% 36.7% 24.9% -0.9 4
1976-11-21 @ Bologna D 2-2 1731 1645 24.9% 36.7% 38.4% +0.9 5
1976-11-21 Catanzaro D 1-1 1712 1685 50.6% 35.8% 13.7% -3.6 6
1976-11-21 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1685 1712 13.7% 35.8% 50.6% +3.6 5
1976-11-21 Genoa W 1-0 1729 1640 55.5% 34.6% 9.9% +6.8 6
1976-11-21 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1640 1729 9.9% 34.6% 55.5% -6.8 2
1976-11-21 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1871 1660 63.4% 31.3% 5.4% +3.6 12
1976-11-21 @ Juventus L 1-2 1660 1871 5.4% 31.3% 63.4% -3.6 4
1976-11-21 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1821 1754 53.9% 35.1% 11.0% -4.3 9
1976-11-21 @ Napoli D 1-1 1754 1821 11.0% 35.1% 53.9% +4.3 8
1976-11-21 Torino D 1-1 1757 1893 31.7% 36.5% 31.8% +0.0 7
1976-11-21 @ Perugia D 1-1 1893 1757 31.8% 36.5% 31.7% -0.0 11
1976-11-21 Foggia W 3-1 1703 1663 51.6% 35.6% 12.8% +13.8 7
1976-11-21 @ Roma L 1-3 1663 1703 12.8% 35.6% 51.6% -13.8 3
1976-11-21 Cesena W 2-1 1646 1617 50.7% 35.7% 13.5% +8.3 5
1976-11-21 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1617 1646 13.5% 35.7% 50.7% -8.3 2
1976-11-28 Inter Milan D 1-1 1732 1736 47.7% 36.2% 16.2% -3.0 6
1976-11-28 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1736 1732 16.2% 36.2% 47.7% +3.0 7
1976-11-28 Bologna L 1-2 1688 1645 51.9% 35.5% 12.5% -22.0 5
1976-11-28 @ Catanzaro W 2-1 1645 1688 12.5% 35.5% 51.9% +22.0 6
1976-11-28 Juventus L 0-1 1608 1875 16.9% 34.7% 48.4% -10.1 2
1976-11-28 @ Cesena W 1-0 1875 1608 48.4% 34.7% 16.9% +10.1 14
1976-11-28 Sampdoria W 2-0 1649 1655 47.5% 36.2% 16.3% +19.2 5
1976-11-28 @ Foggia L 0-2 1655 1649 16.3% 36.2% 47.5% -19.2 5
1976-11-28 Fiorentina D 1-1 1633 1709 39.7% 36.6% 23.6% -1.4 3
1976-11-28 @ Genoa D 1-1 1709 1633 23.6% 36.6% 39.7% +1.4 7
1976-11-28 Perugia W 2-0 1656 1757 36.4% 36.7% 26.9% +26.9 6
1976-11-28 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1757 1656 26.9% 36.7% 36.4% -26.9 7
1976-11-28 Roma W 1-0 1758 1717 51.8% 35.5% 12.7% +8.4 10
1976-11-28 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1717 1758 12.7% 35.5% 51.8% -8.4 7
1976-11-28 Napoli W 2-1 1893 1817 54.6% 34.9% 10.5% +6.8 13
1976-11-28 @ Torino L 1-2 1817 1893 10.5% 34.9% 54.6% -6.8 9
1976-12-05 Genoa D 0-0 1667 1632 51.2% 35.7% 13.2% -4.1 7
1976-12-05 @ Bologna D 0-0 1632 1667 13.2% 35.7% 51.2% +4.1 4
1976-12-05 Foggia W 4-1 1710 1668 51.8% 35.5% 12.7% +19.4 9
1976-12-05 @ Fiorentina L 1-4 1668 1710 12.7% 35.5% 51.8% -19.4 5
1976-12-05 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1739 1766 45.2% 36.4% 18.4% -2.5 8
1976-12-05 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1766 1739 18.4% 36.4% 45.2% +2.5 11
1976-12-05 Torino L 0-2 1885 1900 46.5% 36.3% 17.2% -39.8 14
1976-12-05 @ Juventus W 2-0 1900 1885 17.2% 36.3% 46.5% +39.8 15
1976-12-05 Cesena W 3-1 1810 1598 63.4% 31.3% 5.4% +6.2 11
1976-12-05 @ Napoli L 1-3 1598 1810 5.4% 31.3% 63.4% -6.2 2
1976-12-05 Catanzaro D 1-1 1730 1666 53.6% 35.1% 11.2% -4.2 8
1976-12-05 @ Perugia D 1-1 1666 1730 11.2% 35.1% 53.6% +4.2 6
1976-12-05 AC Milan D 1-1 1708 1729 45.9% 36.4% 17.8% -2.6 8
1976-12-05 @ Roma D 1-1 1729 1708 17.8% 36.4% 45.9% +2.6 7
1976-12-05 Hellas Verona W 3-1 1635 1683 43.0% 36.5% 20.5% +19.4 7
1976-12-05 @ Sampdoria L 1-3 1683 1635 20.5% 36.5% 43.0% -19.5 6
1976-12-12 Genoa D 2-2 1732 1636 56.0% 34.5% 9.5% -3.5 8
1976-12-12 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1636 1732 9.5% 34.5% 56.0% +3.5 5
1976-12-12 Torino L 0-4 1670 1940 16.6% 34.6% 48.7% -35.8 6
1976-12-12 @ Catanzaro W 4-0 1940 1670 48.7% 34.6% 16.6% +35.8 17
1976-12-12 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1592 1664 40.2% 36.6% 23.2% -18.7 2
1976-12-12 @ Cesena W 1-0 1664 1592 23.2% 36.6% 40.2% +18.7 8
1976-12-12 Fiorentina D 0-0 1845 1729 57.4% 34.0% 8.6% -5.7 15
1976-12-12 @ Juventus D 0-0 1729 1845 8.6% 34.0% 57.4% +5.7 10
1976-12-12 Foggia D 0-0 1769 1649 57.7% 33.9% 8.4% -5.7 12
1976-12-12 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1649 1769 8.4% 33.9% 57.7% +5.7 6
1976-12-12 Roma W 1-0 1816 1706 57.1% 34.1% 8.8% +6.2 13
1976-12-12 @ Napoli L 0-1 1706 1816 8.8% 34.1% 57.1% -6.2 8
1976-12-12 Bologna W 1-0 1726 1662 53.6% 35.1% 11.3% +7.6 10
1976-12-12 @ Perugia L 0-1 1662 1726 11.3% 35.1% 53.6% -7.6 7
1976-12-12 Inter Milan L 0-1 1655 1736 39.0% 36.7% 24.4% -18.3 7
1976-12-12 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1736 1655 24.4% 36.7% 39.0% +18.3 10
1976-12-19 Juventus L 0-1 1655 1840 25.2% 36.1% 38.7% -13.6 7
1976-12-19 @ Bologna W 1-0 1840 1655 38.7% 36.1% 25.2% +13.6 17
1976-12-19 Sampdoria D 1-1 1735 1637 56.2% 34.4% 9.4% -4.8 11
1976-12-19 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1637 1735 9.4% 34.4% 56.2% +4.8 8
1976-12-19 AC Milan W 2-1 1655 1728 39.9% 36.6% 23.4% +12.3 8
1976-12-19 @ Foggia L 1-2 1728 1655 23.4% 36.6% 39.9% -12.3 8
1976-12-19 Lazio Roma W 3-1 1640 1763 33.4% 36.6% 30.0% +25.0 7
1976-12-19 @ Genoa L 1-3 1763 1640 30.0% 36.6% 33.4% -25.0 12
1976-12-19 Catanzaro D 0-0 1682 1635 52.3% 35.4% 12.3% -4.4 9
1976-12-19 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1635 1682 12.3% 35.4% 52.3% +4.4 7
1976-12-19 Napoli W 3-2 1754 1822 40.6% 36.6% 22.8% +11.5 12
1976-12-19 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1822 1754 22.8% 36.6% 40.6% -11.5 13
1976-12-19 Perugia D 2-2 1699 1734 44.5% 36.5% 19.1% -1.7 9
1976-12-19 @ Roma D 2-2 1734 1699 19.1% 36.5% 44.5% +1.7 11
1976-12-19 Cesena W 2-0 1976 1573 73.3% 24.4% 2.3% +2.6 19
1976-12-19 @ Torino L 0-2 1573 1976 2.3% 24.4% 73.3% -2.6 2
1977-01-02 Catanzaro W 1-0 1571 1639 40.6% 36.6% 22.8% +12.8 4
1977-01-02 @ Cesena L 0-1 1639 1571 22.8% 36.6% 40.6% -12.8 7
1977-01-02 Bologna W 3-0 1730 1641 55.5% 34.6% 9.8% +18.7 13
1977-01-02 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1641 1730 9.8% 34.6% 55.5% -18.7 7
1977-01-02 Genoa L 2-3 1667 1665 48.2% 36.1% 15.7% -19.5 8
1977-01-02 @ Foggia W 3-2 1665 1667 15.7% 36.1% 48.2% +19.5 9
1977-01-02 Torino D 0-0 1678 1978 14.3% 33.9% 51.8% +4.0 10
1977-01-02 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1978 1678 51.8% 33.9% 14.3% -4.0 20
1977-01-02 Roma W 3-0 1766 1698 54.0% 35.1% 11.0% +20.5 14
1977-01-02 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1698 1766 11.0% 35.1% 54.0% -20.5 9
1977-01-02 Perugia W 1-0 1853 1735 57.6% 34.0% 8.5% +6.0 19
1977-01-02 @ Juventus L 0-1 1735 1853 8.5% 34.0% 57.6% -6.0 11
1977-01-02 AC Milan L 1-2 1738 1716 50.1% 35.9% 14.1% -21.3 12
1977-01-02 @ Lazio Roma W 2-1 1716 1738 14.1% 35.9% 50.1% +21.3 10
1977-01-02 Napoli D 2-2 1641 1811 27.1% 36.3% 36.6% +0.6 9
1977-01-02 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1811 1641 36.6% 36.3% 27.1% -0.6 14
1977-01-09 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1737 1682 52.9% 35.3% 11.8% -4.6 11
1977-01-09 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1682 1737 11.8% 35.3% 52.9% +4.6 11
1977-01-09 Inter Milan L 1-5 1623 1786 27.9% 36.3% 35.8% -43.3 7
1977-01-09 @ Bologna W 5-1 1786 1623 35.8% 36.3% 27.9% +43.3 16
1977-01-09 Foggia W 3-1 1626 1648 45.8% 36.4% 17.8% +17.7 9
1977-01-09 @ Catanzaro L 1-3 1648 1626 17.8% 36.4% 45.8% -17.6 8
1977-01-09 Cesena W 4-1 1684 1584 56.4% 34.4% 9.3% +15.0 11
1977-01-09 @ Genoa L 1-4 1584 1684 9.3% 34.4% 56.4% -15.0 4
1977-01-09 Juventus L 0-2 1810 1859 42.9% 36.5% 20.6% -37.1 14
1977-01-09 @ Napoli W 2-0 1859 1810 20.6% 36.5% 42.9% +37.1 21
1977-01-09 Fiorentina D 0-0 1729 1749 46.1% 36.3% 17.6% -3.0 12
1977-01-09 @ Perugia D 0-0 1749 1729 17.6% 36.3% 46.1% +2.9 14
1977-01-09 Sampdoria W 3-0 1677 1642 51.2% 35.6% 13.1% +23.6 11
1977-01-09 @ Roma L 0-3 1642 1677 13.1% 35.6% 51.2% -23.6 9
1977-01-09 Lazio Roma D 3-3 1974 1717 65.9% 29.7% 4.3% -4.1 21
1977-01-09 @ Torino D 3-3 1717 1974 4.3% 29.7% 65.9% +4.1 13
1977-01-16 Torino D 0-0 1733 1970 19.5% 35.3% 45.2% +2.6 12
1977-01-16 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1970 1733 45.2% 35.3% 19.5% -2.6 22
1977-01-16 Napoli L 0-1 1579 1773 24.1% 36.0% 39.9% -13.2 7
1977-01-16 @ Bologna W 1-0 1773 1579 39.9% 36.0% 24.1% +13.2 16
1977-01-16 Roma D 1-1 1752 1701 52.6% 35.4% 12.0% -4.0 15
1977-01-16 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1701 1752 12.0% 35.4% 52.6% +4.0 12
1977-01-16 Cesena L 0-2 1630 1569 53.4% 35.2% 11.4% -45.2 8
1977-01-16 @ Foggia W 2-0 1569 1630 11.4% 35.2% 53.4% +45.1 6
1977-01-16 Catanzaro W 2-0 1699 1644 52.9% 35.3% 11.8% +14.9 13
1977-01-16 @ Genoa L 0-2 1644 1699 11.8% 35.3% 52.9% -14.9 9
1977-01-16 Inter Milan W 2-0 1896 1830 53.8% 35.1% 11.1% +14.2 23
1977-01-16 @ Juventus L 0-2 1830 1896 11.1% 35.1% 53.8% -14.2 16
1977-01-16 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1721 1686 51.2% 35.7% 13.2% -3.7 14
1977-01-16 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1686 1721 13.2% 35.7% 51.2% +3.7 12
1977-01-16 Sampdoria D 0-0 1726 1618 56.9% 34.2% 8.9% -5.5 13
1977-01-16 @ Perugia D 0-0 1618 1726 8.9% 34.2% 56.9% +5.5 10
1977-01-30 AC Milan W 1-0 1629 1735 35.7% 36.6% 27.6% +14.5 11
1977-01-30 @ Catanzaro L 0-1 1735 1629 27.6% 36.6% 35.7% -14.5 12
1977-01-30 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1614 1717 36.1% 36.7% 27.2% -0.8 7
1977-01-30 @ Cesena D 0-0 1717 1614 27.2% 36.7% 36.1% +0.8 15
1977-01-30 Genoa W 3-2 1690 1714 45.6% 36.4% 18.0% +9.8 14
1977-01-30 @ Hellas Verona L 2-3 1714 1690 18.0% 36.4% 45.6% -9.8 13
1977-01-30 Fiorentina D 1-1 1816 1748 53.9% 35.1% 11.0% -4.3 17
1977-01-30 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1748 1816 11.0% 35.1% 53.9% +4.3 16
1977-01-30 Perugia D 1-1 1786 1721 53.7% 35.1% 11.1% -4.3 17
1977-01-30 @ Napoli D 1-1 1721 1786 11.1% 35.1% 53.7% +4.3 14
1977-01-30 Juventus W 3-1 1705 1911 22.8% 35.8% 41.4% +31.0 14
1977-01-30 @ Roma L 1-3 1911 1705 41.4% 35.8% 22.8% -31.0 23
1977-01-30 Bologna D 0-0 1624 1566 53.1% 35.3% 11.6% -4.6 11
1977-01-30 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1566 1624 11.6% 35.3% 53.1% +4.6 8
1977-01-30 Foggia W 1-0 1967 1585 72.3% 25.1% 2.5% +1.5 24
1977-01-30 @ Torino L 0-1 1585 1967 2.5% 25.1% 72.3% -1.5 8
1977-02-06 Cesena D 0-0 1721 1613 56.9% 34.2% 8.9% -5.5 13
1977-02-06 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1613 1721 8.9% 34.2% 56.9% +5.5 8
1977-02-06 Roma W 2-0 1571 1736 27.7% 36.3% 36.0% +32.4 10
1977-02-06 @ Bologna L 0-2 1736 1571 36.0% 36.3% 27.7% -32.4 14
1977-02-06 Napoli W 2-1 1752 1782 44.9% 36.4% 18.6% +10.5 18
1977-02-06 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1782 1752 18.6% 36.4% 44.9% -10.5 17
1977-02-06 Hellas Verona W 4-1 1583 1700 34.3% 36.6% 29.0% +34.6 10
1977-02-06 @ Foggia L 1-4 1700 1583 29.0% 36.6% 34.3% -34.6 14
1977-02-06 Torino D 1-1 1704 1969 17.0% 34.7% 48.2% +2.9 14
1977-02-06 @ Genoa D 1-1 1969 1704 48.2% 34.7% 17.0% -2.9 25
1977-02-06 Sampdoria W 3-0 1880 1619 66.1% 29.6% 4.3% +8.1 25
1977-02-06 @ Juventus L 0-3 1619 1880 4.3% 29.6% 66.1% -8.1 11
1977-02-06 Catanzaro L 0-1 1718 1643 54.4% 34.9% 10.6% -24.4 15
1977-02-06 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1643 1718 10.6% 34.9% 54.4% +24.4 13
1977-02-06 Inter Milan L 0-1 1725 1811 38.4% 36.7% 25.0% -18.1 14
1977-02-06 @ Perugia W 1-0 1811 1725 25.0% 36.7% 38.4% +18.1 19
1977-02-13 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1603 1665 41.3% 36.6% 22.1% -1.9 11
1977-02-13 @ Bologna D 0-0 1665 1603 22.1% 36.6% 41.3% +1.9 15
1977-02-13 Cesena W 2-1 1763 1619 59.3% 33.3% 7.4% +5.0 20
1977-02-13 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1619 1763 7.4% 33.3% 59.3% -5.0 8
1977-02-13 Foggia D 1-1 1829 1618 63.3% 31.3% 5.4% -6.2 20
1977-02-13 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1618 1829 5.4% 31.3% 63.3% +6.2 11
1977-02-13 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1888 1694 62.4% 31.8% 5.8% +7.8 27
1977-02-13 @ Juventus L 0-2 1694 1888 5.8% 31.8% 62.4% -7.8 15
1977-02-13 Catanzaro W 1-0 1772 1668 56.6% 34.3% 9.1% +6.4 19
1977-02-13 @ Napoli L 0-1 1668 1772 9.1% 34.3% 56.6% -6.4 13
1977-02-13 AC Milan W 3-1 1707 1715 47.2% 36.2% 16.6% +16.8 16
1977-02-13 @ Perugia L 1-3 1715 1707 16.6% 36.2% 47.2% -16.8 13
1977-02-13 Genoa W 1-0 1703 1707 47.6% 36.2% 16.2% +10.1 16
1977-02-13 @ Roma L 0-1 1707 1703 16.2% 36.2% 47.6% -10.1 14
1977-02-13 Torino L 2-3 1611 1966 10.9% 32.4% 56.7% -6.2 11
1977-02-13 @ Sampdoria W 3-2 1966 1611 56.7% 32.4% 10.9% +6.2 27
1977-02-21 Sampdoria W 3-0 1698 1605 55.9% 34.5% 9.6% +18.3 15
1977-02-21 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1605 1698 9.6% 34.5% 55.9% -18.3 11
1977-02-21 Inter Milan L 1-3 1661 1823 28.2% 36.3% 35.5% -23.9 13
1977-02-21 @ Catanzaro W 3-1 1823 1661 35.5% 36.3% 28.2% +23.9 22
1977-02-21 Roma W 4-0 1614 1713 36.6% 36.7% 26.8% +50.9 10
1977-02-21 @ Cesena L 0-4 1713 1614 26.8% 36.7% 36.6% -50.9 16
1977-02-21 Perugia W 2-1 1624 1724 36.6% 36.7% 26.8% +13.4 13
1977-02-21 @ Foggia L 1-2 1724 1624 26.8% 36.7% 36.6% -13.4 16
1977-02-21 Juventus D 2-2 1697 1895 23.6% 35.9% 40.4% +1.1 15
1977-02-21 @ Genoa D 2-2 1895 1697 40.4% 35.9% 23.6% -1.1 28
1977-02-21 Napoli W 1-0 1667 1778 35.1% 36.6% 28.2% +14.7 17
1977-02-21 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1778 1667 28.2% 36.6% 35.1% -14.7 19
1977-02-21 Fiorentina W 4-1 1686 1768 38.9% 36.7% 24.4% +31.0 17
1977-02-21 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1768 1686 24.4% 36.7% 38.9% -30.9 20
1977-02-21 Bologna W 1-0 1972 1601 71.8% 25.6% 2.6% +1.6 29
1977-02-21 @ Torino L 0-1 1601 1972 2.6% 25.6% 71.8% -1.6 11
1977-02-28 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1600 1717 34.2% 36.6% 29.1% +15.0 13
1977-02-28 @ Bologna L 0-1 1717 1600 29.1% 36.6% 34.2% -15.0 17
1977-02-28 AC Milan D 1-1 1737 1717 49.9% 35.9% 14.2% -3.4 21
1977-02-28 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1717 1737 14.2% 35.9% 49.9% +3.4 16
1977-02-28 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1847 1682 60.6% 32.7% 6.7% -6.4 23
1977-02-28 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1682 1847 6.7% 32.7% 60.6% +6.4 18
1977-02-28 Foggia W 1-0 1894 1637 65.9% 29.8% 4.4% +3.0 30
1977-02-28 @ Juventus L 0-1 1637 1894 4.4% 29.8% 65.9% -3.0 13
1977-02-28 Genoa D 1-1 1763 1698 53.7% 35.1% 11.2% -4.3 20
1977-02-28 @ Napoli D 1-1 1698 1763 11.2% 35.1% 53.7% +4.3 16
1977-02-28 Cesena W 1-0 1711 1664 52.2% 35.5% 12.4% +8.2 18
1977-02-28 @ Perugia L 0-1 1664 1711 12.4% 35.5% 52.2% -8.2 10
1977-02-28 Torino W 1-0 1663 1974 13.5% 33.6% 52.9% +23.2 18
1977-02-28 @ Roma L 0-1 1974 1663 52.9% 33.6% 13.5% -23.2 29
1977-02-28 Catanzaro W 3-1 1587 1637 42.6% 36.6% 20.8% +19.7 13
1977-02-28 @ Sampdoria L 1-3 1637 1587 20.8% 36.6% 42.6% -19.7 13
1977-03-06 Napoli D 1-1 1720 1759 44.0% 36.5% 19.6% -2.2 17
1977-03-06 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1759 1720 19.6% 36.5% 44.0% +2.2 21
1977-03-06 Juventus L 0-2 1618 1897 15.8% 34.4% 49.8% -18.1 13
1977-03-06 @ Catanzaro W 2-0 1897 1618 49.8% 34.4% 15.8% +18.1 32
1977-03-06 Inter Milan D 0-0 1656 1841 25.3% 36.1% 38.6% +1.3 11
1977-03-06 @ Cesena D 0-0 1841 1656 38.6% 36.1% 25.3% -1.3 24
1977-03-06 Bologna W 1-0 1634 1614 49.9% 35.9% 14.2% +9.2 15
1977-03-06 @ Foggia L 0-1 1614 1634 14.2% 35.9% 49.9% -9.2 13
1977-03-06 Perugia D 0-0 1702 1719 46.4% 36.3% 17.3% -3.0 17
1977-03-06 @ Genoa D 0-0 1719 1702 17.3% 36.3% 46.4% +3.0 19
1977-03-06 Roma D 1-1 1688 1686 48.2% 36.1% 15.7% -3.1 19
1977-03-06 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1686 1688 15.7% 36.1% 48.2% +3.1 19
1977-03-06 Sampdoria W 1-0 1702 1606 56.0% 34.5% 9.5% +6.6 19
1977-03-06 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1606 1702 9.5% 34.5% 56.0% -6.6 13
1977-03-06 Fiorentina W 2-0 1951 1733 63.7% 31.1% 5.2% +6.9 31
1977-03-06 @ Torino L 0-2 1733 1951 5.2% 31.1% 63.7% -6.9 21
1977-03-13 Cesena D 0-0 1605 1657 42.5% 36.6% 21.0% -2.1 14
1977-03-13 @ Bologna D 0-0 1657 1605 21.0% 36.6% 42.5% +2.1 12
1977-03-13 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1726 1685 51.7% 35.6% 12.7% +7.9 23
1977-03-13 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1685 1726 12.7% 35.6% 51.7% -7.9 19
1977-03-13 Torino L 0-1 1839 1958 34.1% 36.6% 29.3% -16.6 24
1977-03-13 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1958 1839 29.3% 36.6% 34.1% +16.6 33
1977-03-13 AC Milan W 2-1 1915 1718 62.5% 31.7% 5.7% +3.8 34
1977-03-13 @ Juventus L 1-2 1718 1915 5.7% 31.7% 62.5% -3.8 17
1977-03-13 Foggia W 3-2 1761 1644 57.6% 34.0% 8.5% +5.4 23
1977-03-13 @ Napoli L 2-3 1644 1761 8.5% 34.0% 57.6% -5.3 15
1977-03-13 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1722 1708 49.3% 36.0% 14.8% +17.8 21
1977-03-13 @ Perugia L 0-2 1708 1722 14.8% 36.0% 49.3% -17.8 19
1977-03-13 Catanzaro W 1-0 1689 1600 55.5% 34.6% 9.8% +6.8 21
1977-03-13 @ Roma L 0-1 1600 1689 9.8% 34.6% 55.5% -6.8 13
1977-03-13 Genoa L 1-2 1600 1699 36.6% 36.7% 26.7% -16.5 13
1977-03-13 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1699 1600 26.7% 36.7% 36.6% +16.5 19
1977-03-20 Bologna D 1-1 1714 1603 57.1% 34.1% 8.8% -5.0 18
1977-03-20 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1603 1714 8.8% 34.1% 57.1% +5.0 15
1977-03-20 Fiorentina L 0-1 1593 1734 30.9% 36.5% 32.6% -15.6 13
1977-03-20 @ Catanzaro W 1-0 1734 1593 32.6% 36.5% 30.9% +15.6 25
1977-03-20 Sampdoria D 1-1 1660 1583 54.6% 34.9% 10.5% -4.4 13
1977-03-20 @ Cesena D 1-1 1583 1660 10.5% 34.9% 54.6% +4.4 14
1977-03-20 Roma W 1-0 1638 1696 41.9% 36.6% 21.6% +12.3 17
1977-03-20 @ Foggia L 0-1 1696 1638 21.6% 36.6% 41.9% -12.3 21
1977-03-20 Inter Milan D 2-2 1716 1823 35.6% 36.6% 27.7% -0.5 20
1977-03-20 @ Genoa D 2-2 1823 1716 27.7% 36.6% 35.6% +0.5 25
1977-03-20 Juventus D 0-0 1677 1919 19.1% 35.2% 45.7% +2.7 20
1977-03-20 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1919 1677 45.7% 35.2% 19.1% -2.7 35
1977-03-20 Napoli D 0-0 1691 1767 39.6% 36.6% 23.7% -1.5 20
1977-03-20 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1767 1691 23.7% 36.6% 39.6% +1.5 24
1977-03-20 Perugia W 2-1 1974 1740 64.7% 30.5% 4.8% +3.2 35
1977-03-20 @ Torino L 1-2 1740 1974 4.8% 30.5% 64.7% -3.2 21
1977-03-27 Catanzaro D 0-0 1608 1577 50.9% 35.7% 13.4% -4.1 16
1977-03-27 @ Bologna D 0-0 1577 1608 13.4% 35.7% 50.9% +4.1 14
1977-03-27 Genoa L 1-2 1750 1715 51.2% 35.7% 13.2% -21.7 25
1977-03-27 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1715 1750 13.2% 35.7% 51.2% +21.7 22
1977-03-27 AC Milan D 0-0 1823 1709 57.3% 34.1% 8.6% -5.6 26
1977-03-27 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1709 1823 8.6% 34.1% 57.3% +5.6 19
1977-03-27 Cesena W 3-2 1917 1655 66.1% 29.6% 4.3% +2.6 37
1977-03-27 @ Juventus L 2-3 1655 1917 4.3% 29.6% 66.1% -2.6 13
1977-03-27 Torino D 0-0 1768 1977 22.4% 35.8% 41.8% +1.9 25
1977-03-27 @ Napoli D 0-0 1977 1768 41.8% 35.8% 22.4% -1.9 36
1977-03-27 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1736 1680 53.0% 35.3% 11.7% -4.1 22
1977-03-27 @ Perugia D 1-1 1680 1736 11.7% 35.3% 53.0% +4.1 21
1977-03-27 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1683 1689 47.4% 36.2% 16.4% +10.2 23
1977-03-27 @ Roma L 0-1 1689 1683 16.4% 36.2% 47.4% -10.2 20
1977-03-27 Foggia W 2-1 1588 1651 41.2% 36.6% 22.2% +11.9 16
1977-03-27 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1651 1588 22.2% 36.6% 41.2% -11.9 17
1977-04-03 Roma D 1-1 1715 1694 50.0% 35.9% 14.1% -3.5 20
1977-04-03 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1694 1715 14.1% 35.9% 50.0% +3.5 24
1977-04-03 Perugia D 1-1 1581 1732 29.6% 36.4% 34.0% +0.4 15
1977-04-03 @ Catanzaro D 1-1 1732 1581 34.0% 36.4% 29.6% -0.4 23
1977-04-03 Napoli L 0-2 1653 1770 34.2% 36.6% 29.2% -31.4 13
1977-04-03 @ Cesena W 2-0 1770 1653 29.2% 36.6% 34.2% +31.4 27
1977-04-03 Fiorentina L 2-3 1639 1728 37.9% 36.7% 25.4% -16.0 17
1977-04-03 @ Foggia W 3-2 1728 1639 25.4% 36.7% 37.9% +16.0 27
1977-04-03 Bologna L 0-2 1737 1604 58.6% 33.6% 7.8% -49.2 22
1977-04-03 @ Genoa W 2-0 1604 1737 7.8% 33.6% 58.6% +49.2 18
1977-04-03 Sampdoria D 2-2 1684 1600 55.2% 34.7% 10.1% -3.4 22
1977-04-03 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1600 1684 10.1% 34.7% 55.2% +3.4 17
1977-04-03 Inter Milan W 2-1 1679 1818 31.3% 36.5% 32.2% +15.1 22
1977-04-03 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1818 1679 32.2% 36.5% 31.3% -15.1 26
1977-04-03 Juventus D 1-1 1975 1919 53.0% 35.3% 11.7% -4.1 37
1977-04-03 @ Torino D 1-1 1919 1975 11.7% 35.3% 53.0% +4.1 38
1977-04-10 Perugia W 1-0 1653 1732 39.3% 36.7% 24.1% +13.3 20
1977-04-10 @ Bologna L 0-1 1732 1653 24.1% 36.7% 39.3% -13.3 23
1977-04-10 Juventus L 1-3 1744 1923 25.9% 36.1% 37.9% -22.6 27
1977-04-10 @ Fiorentina W 3-1 1923 1744 37.9% 36.1% 25.9% +22.6 40
1977-04-10 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1623 1694 40.2% 36.6% 23.2% +12.9 19
1977-04-10 @ Foggia L 0-1 1694 1623 23.2% 36.6% 40.2% -12.9 22
1977-04-10 AC Milan W 1-0 1688 1711 45.6% 36.4% 18.0% +10.9 24
1977-04-10 @ Genoa L 0-1 1711 1688 18.0% 36.4% 45.6% -10.9 20
1977-04-10 Cesena W 2-1 1681 1621 53.3% 35.2% 11.5% +7.3 24
1977-04-10 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1621 1681 11.5% 35.2% 53.3% -7.3 13
1977-04-10 Sampdoria D 0-0 1802 1603 62.7% 31.6% 5.7% -6.8 27
1977-04-10 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1603 1802 5.7% 31.6% 62.7% +6.8 18
1977-04-10 Napoli D 0-0 1697 1802 36.0% 36.6% 27.4% -0.8 25
1977-04-10 @ Roma D 0-0 1802 1697 27.4% 36.6% 36.0% +0.8 28
1977-04-10 Catanzaro W 3-1 1971 1582 72.7% 24.9% 2.4% +2.4 39
1977-04-10 @ Torino L 1-3 1582 1971 2.4% 24.9% 72.7% -2.4 15
1977-04-17 Foggia D 0-0 1700 1636 53.7% 35.1% 11.2% -4.8 21
1977-04-17 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1636 1700 11.2% 35.1% 53.7% +4.8 20
1977-04-17 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1579 1688 35.4% 36.6% 28.0% +13.8 17
1977-04-17 @ Catanzaro L 1-2 1688 1579 28.0% 36.6% 35.4% -13.8 24
1977-04-17 Torino L 0-3 1614 1974 10.6% 32.3% 57.1% -18.7 13
1977-04-17 @ Cesena W 3-0 1974 1614 57.1% 32.3% 10.6% +18.7 41
1977-04-17 Bologna W 2-1 1946 1667 67.1% 29.0% 4.0% +2.5 42
1977-04-17 @ Juventus L 1-2 1667 1946 4.0% 29.0% 67.1% -2.5 20
1977-04-17 Genoa W 4-1 1681 1699 46.2% 36.3% 17.4% +24.6 24
1977-04-17 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1699 1681 17.4% 36.3% 46.2% -24.6 24
1977-04-17 Inter Milan L 0-3 1802 1796 48.6% 36.1% 15.3% -60.2 28
1977-04-17 @ Napoli W 3-0 1796 1802 15.3% 36.1% 48.6% +60.1 29
1977-04-17 Roma W 3-0 1719 1696 50.1% 35.8% 14.1% +24.9 25
1977-04-17 @ Perugia L 0-3 1696 1719 14.1% 35.8% 50.1% -24.9 25
1977-04-17 Fiorentina D 2-2 1610 1722 35.0% 36.6% 28.4% -0.4 19
1977-04-17 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1722 1610 28.4% 36.6% 35.0% +0.4 28
1977-04-24 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1696 1706 47.0% 36.2% 16.7% -2.1 22
1977-04-24 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1706 1696 16.7% 36.2% 47.0% +2.1 25
1977-04-24 Fiorentina W 2-0 1664 1722 41.8% 36.6% 21.6% +23.3 22
1977-04-24 @ Bologna L 0-2 1722 1664 21.6% 36.6% 41.8% -23.3 28
1977-04-24 Cesena W 4-2 1593 1595 47.8% 36.2% 16.0% +14.7 19
1977-04-24 @ Catanzaro L 2-4 1595 1593 16.0% 36.2% 47.8% -14.7 13
1977-04-24 Foggia L 1-2 1674 1640 51.1% 35.7% 13.2% -21.7 24
1977-04-24 @ Genoa W 2-1 1640 1674 13.2% 35.7% 51.1% +21.7 22
1977-04-24 Sampdoria D 1-1 1742 1609 58.6% 33.6% 7.9% -5.3 29
1977-04-24 @ Napoli D 1-1 1609 1742 7.9% 33.6% 58.6% +5.3 20
1977-04-24 Juventus D 1-1 1744 1948 22.9% 35.8% 41.2% +1.6 26
1977-04-24 @ Perugia D 1-1 1948 1744 41.2% 35.8% 22.9% -1.6 43
1977-04-24 Inter Milan L 2-3 1671 1856 25.3% 36.1% 38.6% -12.2 25
1977-04-24 @ Roma W 3-2 1856 1671 38.6% 36.1% 25.3% +12.2 31
1977-04-24 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1992 1674 69.1% 27.6% 3.3% +2.2 43
1977-04-24 @ Torino L 0-1 1674 1992 3.3% 27.6% 69.1% -2.2 24
1977-05-02 Genoa D 1-1 1580 1652 40.1% 36.6% 23.2% -1.5 14
1977-05-02 @ Cesena D 1-1 1652 1580 23.2% 36.6% 40.1% +1.5 25
1977-05-02 Perugia W 1-0 1699 1745 43.1% 36.5% 20.4% +11.9 30
1977-05-02 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1745 1699 20.4% 36.5% 43.1% -11.9 26
1977-05-02 Catanzaro W 1-0 1662 1608 52.8% 35.3% 11.8% +8.0 24
1977-05-02 @ Foggia L 0-1 1608 1662 11.8% 35.3% 52.8% -8.0 19
1977-05-02 AC Milan D 0-0 1672 1694 45.8% 36.4% 17.8% -2.9 25
1977-05-02 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1694 1672 17.8% 36.4% 45.8% +2.9 23
1977-05-02 Bologna D 0-0 1868 1687 61.6% 32.2% 6.2% -6.6 32
1977-05-02 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1687 1868 6.2% 32.2% 61.6% +6.6 23
1977-05-02 Napoli W 2-1 1947 1737 63.3% 31.3% 5.4% +3.6 45
1977-05-02 @ Juventus L 1-2 1737 1947 5.4% 31.3% 63.3% -3.6 29
1977-05-02 Torino D 0-0 1708 1995 15.2% 34.2% 50.5% +3.8 26
1977-05-02 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1995 1708 50.5% 34.2% 15.2% -3.8 44
1977-05-02 Roma W 1-0 1615 1659 43.3% 36.5% 20.1% +11.8 22
1977-05-02 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1659 1615 20.1% 36.5% 43.3% -11.8 25
1977-05-08 Genoa W 2-1 1600 1654 42.2% 36.6% 21.2% +11.5 21
1977-05-08 @ Catanzaro L 1-2 1654 1600 21.2% 36.6% 42.2% -11.5 25
1977-05-08 Foggia L 2-3 1579 1670 37.7% 36.7% 25.6% -16.0 14
1977-05-08 @ Cesena W 3-2 1670 1579 25.6% 36.7% 37.7% +16.0 26
1977-05-08 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1669 1711 43.6% 36.5% 19.9% -2.4 26
1977-05-08 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1711 1669 19.9% 36.5% 43.6% +2.4 27
1977-05-08 Juventus L 0-2 1861 1950 38.0% 36.7% 25.4% -33.8 32
1977-05-08 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1950 1861 25.4% 36.7% 38.0% +33.8 47
1977-05-08 Bologna L 1-2 1733 1694 51.6% 35.6% 12.8% -21.9 29
1977-05-08 @ Napoli W 2-1 1694 1733 12.8% 35.6% 51.6% +21.9 25
1977-05-08 Fiorentina D 0-0 1647 1710 41.2% 36.6% 22.2% -1.9 26
1977-05-08 @ Roma D 0-0 1710 1647 22.2% 36.6% 41.2% +1.9 31
1977-05-08 Perugia W 2-0 1626 1733 35.6% 36.6% 27.7% +27.4 24
1977-05-08 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1733 1626 27.7% 36.6% 35.6% -27.4 26
1977-05-08 AC Milan W 2-0 1991 1696 67.9% 28.4% 3.7% +4.6 46
1977-05-08 @ Torino L 0-2 1696 1991 3.7% 28.4% 67.9% -4.6 23
1977-05-15 Catanzaro W 3-2 1692 1611 54.9% 34.8% 10.3% +6.3 25
1977-05-15 @ AC Milan L 2-3 1611 1692 10.3% 34.8% 54.9% -6.3 21
1977-05-15 Sampdoria W 4-1 1716 1654 53.5% 35.2% 11.4% +17.8 27
1977-05-15 @ Bologna L 1-4 1654 1716 11.4% 35.2% 53.5% -17.8 24
1977-05-15 Inter Milan W 3-0 1712 1828 34.5% 36.6% 28.8% +40.8 33
1977-05-15 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1828 1712 28.8% 36.6% 34.5% -40.8 32
1977-05-15 Torino L 0-1 1686 1996 13.6% 33.7% 52.7% -8.5 26
1977-05-15 @ Foggia W 1-0 1996 1686 52.7% 33.7% 13.6% +8.5 48
1977-05-15 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1642 1667 45.5% 36.4% 18.1% +10.9 27
1977-05-15 @ Genoa L 0-1 1667 1642 18.1% 36.4% 45.5% -10.9 26
1977-05-15 Roma W 1-0 1984 1645 70.2% 26.8% 3.0% +1.9 49
1977-05-15 @ Juventus L 0-1 1645 1984 3.0% 26.8% 70.2% -1.9 26
1977-05-15 Cesena W 3-0 1714 1563 59.7% 33.1% 7.2% +14.0 29
1977-05-15 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1563 1714 7.2% 33.1% 59.7% -14.0 14
1977-05-15 Napoli W 4-2 1706 1711 47.5% 36.2% 16.3% +14.8 28
1977-05-15 @ Perugia L 2-4 1711 1706 16.3% 36.2% 47.5% -14.9 29
1977-05-22 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1605 1728 33.5% 36.6% 29.9% -15.5 21
1977-05-22 @ Catanzaro W 2-1 1728 1605 29.9% 36.6% 33.5% +15.5 31
1977-05-22 AC Milan L 0-2 1549 1698 29.8% 36.4% 33.7% -28.7 14
1977-05-22 @ Cesena W 2-0 1698 1549 33.7% 36.4% 29.8% +28.7 27
1977-05-22 Foggia W 2-1 1656 1677 45.8% 36.4% 17.8% +10.2 28
1977-05-22 @ Hellas Verona L 1-2 1677 1656 17.8% 36.4% 45.8% -10.2 26
1977-05-22 Perugia D 1-1 1787 1721 53.8% 35.1% 11.1% -4.3 33
1977-05-22 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1721 1787 11.1% 35.1% 53.8% +4.3 29
1977-05-22 Fiorentina L 0-2 1697 1753 41.9% 36.6% 21.5% -36.5 29
1977-05-22 @ Napoli W 2-0 1753 1697 21.5% 36.6% 41.9% +36.5 35
1977-05-22 Bologna W 1-0 1644 1734 37.9% 36.7% 25.5% +13.8 28
1977-05-22 @ Roma L 0-1 1734 1644 25.5% 36.7% 37.9% -13.8 27
1977-05-22 Juventus L 0-2 1636 1986 11.2% 32.6% 56.3% -13.4 24
1977-05-22 @ Sampdoria W 2-0 1986 1636 56.3% 32.6% 11.2% +13.4 51
1977-05-22 Genoa W 5-1 2004 1653 70.8% 26.4% 2.9% +5.4 50
1977-05-22 @ Torino L 1-5 1653 2004 2.9% 26.4% 70.8% -5.4 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-04-03 7.85% Bologna 1604 2 @ Genoa 1737 0
2 1977-02-06 10.62% Catanzaro 1643 1 @ Lazio Roma 1718 0
3 1977-01-16 11.40% Cesena 1569 2 @ Foggia 1630 0
4 1976-11-28 12.54% Bologna 1645 2 @ Catanzaro 1688 1
5 1977-05-08 12.82% Bologna 1694 2 @ Napoli 1733 1
6 1977-03-27 13.16% Genoa 1715 2 @ Fiorentina 1750 1
7 1977-04-24 13.22% Foggia 1640 2 @ Genoa 1674 1
8 1977-02-28 13.50% @ Roma 1663 1 Torino 1974 0
9 1976-10-10 13.65% Lazio Roma 1697 1 @ Fiorentina 1725 0
10 1977-01-02 14.08% AC Milan 1716 2 @ Lazio Roma 1738 1
11 1977-04-17 15.30% Inter Milan 1796 3 @ Napoli 1802 0
12 1976-10-03 15.46% Fiorentina 1704 2 @ Cesena 1709 1
13 1977-01-02 15.65% Genoa 1665 3 @ Foggia 1667 2
14 1976-11-07 16.97% Fiorentina 1692 2 @ Hellas Verona 1680 1
15 1976-12-05 17.18% Torino 1900 2 @ Juventus 1885 0
16 1976-10-24 19.39% Perugia 1707 3 @ Cesena 1670 0
17 1977-01-09 20.60% Juventus 1859 2 @ Napoli 1810 0
18 1977-05-22 21.47% Fiorentina 1753 2 @ Napoli 1697 0
19 1977-01-30 22.82% @ Roma 1705 3 Juventus 1911 1
20 1976-12-12 23.17% Hellas Verona 1664 1 @ Cesena 1592 0
21 1976-12-12 24.38% Inter Milan 1736 1 @ Sampdoria 1655 0
22 1977-02-06 24.97% Inter Milan 1811 1 @ Perugia 1725 0
23 1977-05-08 25.35% Juventus 1950 2 @ Inter Milan 1861 0
24 1977-04-03 25.39% Fiorentina 1728 3 @ Foggia 1639 2
25 1977-05-08 25.60% Foggia 1670 3 @ Cesena 1579 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-04-17 60.16 Inter Milan 3 1796 15.30% @ Napoli 0 1802 48.64% 36.06%
2 1976-10-24 55.27 Perugia 3 1707 19.39% @ Cesena 0 1670 44.12% 36.48%
3 1977-02-21 50.87 @ Cesena 4 1614 36.57% Roma 0 1713 26.77% 36.66%
4 1977-04-03 49.20 Bologna 2 1604 7.85% @ Genoa 0 1737 58.57% 33.58%
5 1976-10-10 47.62 Torino 3 1816 26.93% @ Bologna 0 1715 36.41% 36.66%
6 1977-01-16 45.15 Cesena 2 1569 11.40% @ Foggia 0 1630 53.40% 35.20%
7 1977-01-09 43.35 Inter Milan 5 1786 35.80% @ Bologna 1 1623 27.88% 36.31%
8 1977-05-15 40.84 @ Fiorentina 3 1712 34.53% Inter Milan 0 1828 28.84% 36.63%
9 1976-12-05 39.81 Torino 2 1900 17.18% @ Juventus 0 1885 46.52% 36.30%
10 1977-01-09 37.14 Juventus 2 1859 20.60% @ Napoli 0 1810 42.85% 36.55%
11 1977-05-22 36.51 Fiorentina 2 1753 21.47% @ Napoli 0 1697 41.94% 36.59%
12 1976-12-12 35.82 Torino 4 1940 48.72% @ Catanzaro 0 1670 16.64% 34.64%
13 1977-02-06 34.59 @ Foggia 4 1583 34.33% Hellas Verona 1 1700 29.05% 36.62%
14 1977-05-08 33.82 Juventus 2 1950 25.35% @ Inter Milan 0 1861 37.99% 36.67%
15 1977-02-06 32.40 @ Bologna 2 1571 27.72% Roma 0 1736 35.98% 36.30%
16 1977-04-03 31.38 Napoli 2 1770 29.17% @ Cesena 0 1653 34.21% 36.62%
17 1977-01-30 31.02 @ Roma 3 1705 22.82% Juventus 1 1911 41.38% 35.80%
18 1977-02-21 30.95 @ Lazio Roma 4 1686 38.90% Fiorentina 1 1768 24.44% 36.66%
19 1977-05-22 28.68 AC Milan 2 1698 33.72% @ Cesena 0 1549 29.84% 36.44%
20 1977-05-08 27.41 @ Sampdoria 2 1626 35.65% Perugia 0 1733 27.70% 36.65%
21 1976-11-28 26.91 @ Hellas Verona 2 1656 36.41% Perugia 0 1757 26.93% 36.66%
22 1976-12-19 24.96 @ Genoa 3 1640 33.41% Lazio Roma 1 1763 29.99% 36.60%
23 1977-04-17 24.91 @ Perugia 3 1719 50.11% Roma 0 1696 14.05% 35.84%
24 1977-04-17 24.62 @ Lazio Roma 4 1681 46.23% Genoa 1 1699 17.45% 36.32%
25 1977-02-06 24.38 Catanzaro 1 1643 10.62% @ Lazio Roma 0 1718 54.45% 34.94%