1992 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

15.74 points above expected

40 points · 24.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KA Akureyri

10.40 points below expected

13 points · 23.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 18 12 4 2 40 40 19 +21 24.3 +15.74
2 KR Reykjavik 18 11 4 3 37 41 17 +24 30.8 +6.18
3 Thor Akureyri 18 10 5 3 35 30 14 +16 22.8 +12.25
4 Valur Reykjavik 18 9 4 5 31 33 27 +6 28.5 +2.51
5 Fram Reykjavik 18 8 1 9 25 25 27 -2 30.7 -5.72
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 5 6 7 21 25 29 -4 22.2 -1.24
7 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 5 4 9 19 25 33 -8 24.0 -5.01
8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 5 1 12 16 23 44 -21 20.3 -4.30
9 Breidablik 18 4 3 11 15 14 31 -17 21.3 -6.30
10 KA Akureyri 18 3 4 11 13 18 33 -15 23.4 -10.40

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KR Reykjavik 1568 37 30.82 +6.18 88.7% 10 22 27 31 35 40 50
Thor Akureyri 1457 35 22.75 +12.25 98.9% 3 14 19 23 26 32 44
IA Akranes 1450 40 24.26 +15.74 99.9% 5 15 21 24 28 33 43
Valur Reykjavik 1417 31 28.49 +2.51 70.8% 9 19 25 28 32 38 49
FH Hafnarfjordur 1356 21 22.24 -1.24 46.0% 6 14 18 22 26 31 44
Fram Reykjavik 1344 25 30.72 -5.72 17.2% 12 22 27 31 34 40 50
Vikingur Reykjavik 1331 19 24.01 -5.01 20.9% 4 15 20 24 28 33 44
KA Akureyri 1263 13 23.40 -10.40 3.0% 2 15 20 23 27 33 43
Breidablik 1262 15 21.30 -6.30 14.1% 3 13 18 21 25 30 43
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1257 16 20.30 -4.30 24.0% 4 12 17 20 24 29 41

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IA IV KA KR TA VR VR
Breidablik
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.86
0-1-1
2.41
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.47
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
3.63
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
3.87
1-0-1
2.65
1-1-0
3.43
IA Akranes
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
1.90
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.21
1-1-0
3.07
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.59
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.53
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
3.18
0-2-0
2.83
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.99
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
2.47
KR Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.67
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.49
Thor Akureyri
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
1.67
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.34
2-0-0
2.48
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
3.14
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.97
0-0-2
3.04
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
3.02
2-0-0
2.37

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.89%5.56%4.44%1.11%0.56%26.11%
18.89%4.44%6.67%5.56%1.67%2.22%29.44%
25.56%6.67%8.89%1.67%1.67%24.44%
34.44%5.56%1.67%1.11%12.78%
41.11%1.67%1.67%4.44%
5+0.56%2.22%2.78%
Total26.11%29.44%24.44%12.78%4.44%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.52
Mean allowed1.52
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.42
Mean total goals/game3.04
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.156
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
111.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%33.33%
211.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
3
4
5+
Total22.22%33.33%11.11%22.22%5.56%5.56%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.78
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored0.81
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.141
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
211.11%16.67%27.78%
311.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total22.22%27.78%27.78%11.11%11.11%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.125
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%22.22%5.56%38.89%
111.11%11.11%
211.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%11.11%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total16.67%38.89%27.78%11.11%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.33
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.221
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
122.22%5.56%5.56%33.33%
211.11%16.67%27.78%
316.67%16.67%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total38.89%33.33%22.22%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.22
Mean allowed1.06
StdDev scored1.63
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.006
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%33.33%
111.11%5.56%11.11%27.78%
211.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total5.56%27.78%27.78%22.22%5.56%11.11%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed2.44
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.79
Mean total goals/game3.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.033
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%5.56%22.22%11.11%50.00%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total16.67%16.67%38.89%22.22%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.061
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
111.11%5.56%11.11%27.78%
211.11%11.11%22.22%
316.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total44.44%27.78%16.67%11.11%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.28
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored2.02
StdDev allowed1.06
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.047
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%
116.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
216.67%11.11%27.78%
311.11%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total50.00%27.78%16.67%5.56%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed0.78
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.084
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
15.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%38.89%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total38.89%27.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.58
StdDev allowed2.20
Mean total goals/game3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.245
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%11.11%33.33%
111.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
216.67%16.67%33.33%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total5.56%33.33%38.89%16.67%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed0.99
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.312
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 40 24.3 +15.74
2 Thor Akureyri 35 22.8 +12.25
3 KR Reykjavik 37 30.8 +6.18
4 Valur Reykjavik 31 28.5 +2.51
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 21 22.2 -1.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 13 23.4 -10.40
2 Breidablik 15 21.3 -6.30
3 Fram Reykjavik 25 30.7 -5.72
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 19 24.0 -5.01
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 16 20.3 -4.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 4 Jun 8 – Jun 23 1 in 158
2 Thor Akureyri 5 Jul 30 – Aug 29 1 in 100
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Aug 29 – Sep 13 1 in 48
4 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jun 16 – Jun 28 1 in 20
5 KR Reykjavik 4 Jun 19 – Jul 2 1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jul 15 – Aug 17 1 in 457
2 Breidablik 6 May 24 – Jun 25 1 in 234
3 KA Akureyri 5 Jun 19 – Jul 10 1 in 197
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Jul 16 – Aug 25 1 in 47
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 Aug 16 – Sep 5 1 in 24

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 10 May 23 – Jul 16 1 in 562
2 Thor Akureyri 7 May 23 – Jun 28 1 in 84
3 Valur Reykjavik 7 Jun 19 – Jul 25 1 in 22
4 KR Reykjavik 7 Jun 9 – Jul 13 1 in 11
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Aug 29 – Sep 13 1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KA Akureyri 8 May 28 – Jul 10 1 in 73
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 Jun 14 – Jul 17 1 in 27
3 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jul 15 – Aug 17 1 in 22
4 Breidablik 6 May 24 – Jun 25 1 in 13
5 Valur Reykjavik 4 May 27 – Jun 19 1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IA Akranes5.11%8.75%11.22%12.64%12.24%12.52%11.36%10.34%8.92%6.90%
KR Reykjavik33.06%22.17%14.91%10.22%7.37%4.97%3.21%2.11%1.34%0.64%
Thor Akureyri3.11%5.78%8.31%9.99%11.35%12.13%12.68%13.01%12.58%11.06%
Valur Reykjavik17.15%18.14%17.11%13.43%10.54%8.14%6.31%4.42%3.00%1.76%
Fram Reykjavik28.91%22.45%15.45%11.23%7.89%5.63%3.65%2.67%1.50%0.62%
FH Hafnarfjordur2.47%4.38%6.70%8.50%10.41%11.85%13.21%14.31%14.00%14.17%
Vikingur Reykjavik4.50%7.37%9.32%10.96%11.85%13.29%12.42%11.63%9.83%8.83%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.91%2.14%3.81%5.52%7.30%9.44%11.83%14.17%19.24%25.64%
Breidablik1.54%2.99%4.88%7.32%8.76%10.88%12.46%14.63%17.05%19.49%
KA Akureyri3.24%5.83%8.29%10.19%12.29%11.15%12.87%12.71%12.54%10.89%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KR Reykjavik 98.0% 2.0%
Fram Reykjavik 97.9% 2.1%
Valur Reykjavik 95.2% 4.8%
IA Akranes 84.2% 15.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik 81.3% 18.7%
KA Akureyri 76.6% 23.4%
Thor Akureyri 76.4% 23.6%
FH Hafnarfjordur 71.8% 28.2%
Breidablik 63.5% 36.5%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 55.1% 44.9%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1992-05-23 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1366 1402 36.7% 25.2% 38.1% -10.0 0
1992-05-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1402 1366 38.1% 25.2% 36.7% +10.0 3
1992-05-23 IA Akranes D 2-2 1424 1271 60.9% 21.6% 17.5% -2.0 1
1992-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1271 1424 17.5% 21.6% 60.9% +2.0 1
1992-05-23 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1278 1437 22.1% 23.4% 54.5% +14.5 3
1992-05-23 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1437 1278 54.5% 23.4% 22.1% -14.5 0
1992-05-24 Breidablik W 2-1 1367 1369 41.6% 25.1% 33.3% +9.3 3
1992-05-24 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1369 1367 33.3% 25.1% 41.6% -9.3 0
1992-05-24 KA Akureyri L 0-2 1413 1377 46.8% 24.7% 28.5% -24.2 0
1992-05-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1377 1413 28.5% 24.7% 46.8% +24.2 3
1992-05-27 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1356 1389 37.1% 25.2% 37.7% -10.1 0
1992-05-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1389 1356 37.7% 25.2% 37.1% +10.1 3
1992-05-27 IA Akranes D 1-1 1412 1273 59.4% 22.1% 18.5% -2.5 4
1992-05-27 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1273 1412 18.5% 22.1% 59.4% +2.5 2
1992-05-28 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1360 1293 50.7% 24.1% 25.1% -13.7 0
1992-05-28 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1293 1360 25.1% 24.1% 50.7% +13.7 6
1992-05-28 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1423 1422 41.9% 25.1% 33.0% +15.9 3
1992-05-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1422 1423 33.0% 25.1% 41.9% -15.9 1
1992-05-28 FH Hafnarfjordur D 3-3 1401 1376 45.2% 24.9% 29.9% -0.5 4
1992-05-28 @ KA Akureyri D 3-3 1376 1401 29.9% 24.9% 45.2% +0.5 4
1992-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1377 1346 46.1% 24.8% 29.2% -11.9 4
1992-06-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1346 1377 29.2% 24.8% 46.1% +11.9 3
1992-06-08 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1275 1439 21.7% 23.3% 55.0% +27.7 5
1992-06-08 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1439 1275 55.0% 23.3% 21.7% -27.7 3
1992-06-08 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1306 1401 29.0% 24.8% 46.2% +0.7 7
1992-06-08 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-2 1401 1306 46.2% 24.8% 29.0% -0.8 5
1992-06-08 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1399 1410 40.4% 25.1% 34.5% +9.5 6
1992-06-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1410 1399 34.5% 25.1% 40.4% -9.5 4
1992-06-09 Breidablik W 1-0 1406 1346 49.9% 24.3% 25.9% +8.0 4
1992-06-09 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1346 1406 25.9% 24.3% 49.9% -8.0 0
1992-06-13 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1400 1414 39.8% 25.2% 35.0% -0.3 6
1992-06-13 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1414 1400 35.0% 25.2% 39.8% +0.3 5
1992-06-14 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1409 1365 47.8% 24.6% 27.7% -12.3 6
1992-06-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1365 1409 27.7% 24.6% 47.8% +12.3 7
1992-06-15 IA Akranes L 0-1 1338 1303 46.6% 24.7% 28.7% -12.8 0
1992-06-15 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1303 1338 28.7% 24.7% 46.6% +12.8 8
1992-06-15 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1358 1307 48.7% 24.4% 26.9% -13.2 3
1992-06-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1307 1358 26.9% 24.4% 48.7% +13.2 10
1992-06-16 Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1400 1411 40.2% 25.2% 34.6% -26.2 4
1992-06-16 @ Valur Reykjavik W 4-1 1411 1400 34.6% 25.2% 40.2% +26.2 6
1992-06-19 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1377 1374 42.3% 25.1% 32.6% -0.6 8
1992-06-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1374 1377 32.6% 25.1% 42.3% +0.6 5
1992-06-19 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1316 1400 30.3% 24.9% 44.9% +12.4 11
1992-06-19 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1400 1316 44.9% 24.9% 30.3% -12.4 6
1992-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1414 1345 51.1% 24.1% 24.9% +21.1 8
1992-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1345 1414 24.9% 24.1% 51.1% -21.2 3
1992-06-20 Breidablik W 3-0 1437 1325 56.3% 23.0% 20.8% +17.9 9
1992-06-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1325 1437 20.8% 23.0% 56.3% -17.9 0
1992-06-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1320 1397 31.2% 25.0% 43.8% +33.2 13
1992-06-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-3 1397 1320 43.8% 25.0% 31.2% -33.2 6
1992-06-23 IA Akranes L 0-1 1324 1328 41.2% 25.1% 33.7% -11.6 3
1992-06-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1328 1324 33.7% 25.1% 41.2% +11.6 14
1992-06-24 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1363 1435 31.8% 25.0% 43.2% -17.9 6
1992-06-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1435 1363 43.2% 25.0% 31.8% +17.9 11
1992-06-25 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1377 1354 45.0% 24.9% 30.1% -1.0 9
1992-06-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1354 1377 30.1% 24.9% 45.0% +1.0 14
1992-06-25 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1387 1455 32.3% 25.0% 42.7% -9.0 6
1992-06-25 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 1455 1387 42.7% 25.0% 32.3% +9.1 12
1992-06-25 Breidablik W 2-0 1374 1307 50.8% 24.1% 25.1% +14.7 8
1992-06-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1307 1374 25.1% 24.1% 50.8% -14.7 0
1992-06-27 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1339 1346 40.9% 25.1% 33.9% -0.3 15
1992-06-27 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1346 1339 33.9% 25.1% 40.9% +0.3 7
1992-06-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1464 1312 60.8% 21.6% 17.5% +9.1 15
1992-06-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1312 1464 17.5% 21.6% 60.8% -9.1 3
1992-06-28 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1355 1389 36.9% 25.2% 37.9% +0.1 15
1992-06-28 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1389 1355 37.9% 25.2% 36.9% -0.1 9
1992-06-29 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1293 1378 30.1% 24.9% 45.1% +11.7 3
1992-06-29 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1378 1293 45.1% 24.9% 30.1% -11.7 6
1992-06-29 FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-1 1453 1376 52.1% 23.9% 24.0% +17.3 14
1992-06-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1376 1453 24.0% 23.9% 52.1% -17.3 9
1992-07-01 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1346 1473 25.2% 24.1% 50.6% +1.1 8
1992-07-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1473 1346 50.6% 24.1% 25.2% -1.1 16
1992-07-02 IA Akranes L 0-4 1358 1339 44.5% 24.9% 30.6% -44.0 9
1992-07-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-0 1339 1358 30.6% 24.9% 44.5% +44.0 18
1992-07-02 Breidablik D 0-0 1303 1304 41.6% 25.1% 33.3% -0.5 4
1992-07-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1304 1303 33.3% 25.1% 41.6% +0.5 4
1992-07-02 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1355 1471 26.5% 24.4% 49.1% -8.2 15
1992-07-02 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1471 1355 49.1% 24.4% 26.5% +8.2 17
1992-07-02 KA Akureyri W 4-0 1389 1366 44.9% 24.9% 30.2% +32.6 12
1992-07-02 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1366 1389 30.2% 24.9% 44.9% -32.6 6
1992-07-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1334 1302 46.1% 24.8% 29.1% -20.7 6
1992-07-10 @ KA Akureyri W 3-1 1302 1334 29.1% 24.8% 46.1% +20.7 7
1992-07-11 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1383 1347 46.8% 24.7% 28.5% +8.7 21
1992-07-11 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1347 1383 28.5% 24.7% 46.8% -8.7 15
1992-07-12 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1305 1347 35.8% 25.2% 39.0% +0.2 5
1992-07-12 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1347 1305 39.0% 25.2% 35.8% -0.2 9
1992-07-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1472 1315 61.4% 21.4% 17.1% +5.4 19
1992-07-12 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1315 1472 17.1% 21.4% 61.4% -5.4 9
1992-07-13 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1479 1422 49.5% 24.3% 26.2% -1.5 18
1992-07-13 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1422 1479 26.2% 24.3% 49.5% +1.5 13
1992-07-15 Thor Akureyri L 0-2 1478 1338 59.5% 22.1% 18.5% -29.5 19
1992-07-15 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1338 1478 18.5% 22.1% 59.5% +29.5 18
1992-07-16 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1305 1309 41.2% 25.1% 33.7% -18.9 5
1992-07-16 @ Breidablik W 3-1 1309 1305 33.7% 25.1% 41.2% +18.9 12
1992-07-16 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1392 1477 30.1% 24.9% 45.0% +20.3 24
1992-07-16 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1477 1392 45.0% 24.9% 30.1% -20.3 18
1992-07-16 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1423 1323 54.9% 23.3% 21.8% +6.1 16
1992-07-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1323 1423 21.8% 23.3% 54.9% -6.1 7
1992-07-17 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1313 1347 37.0% 25.2% 37.8% +10.8 9
1992-07-17 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1347 1313 37.8% 25.2% 37.0% -10.8 9
1992-07-24 Breidablik D 1-1 1367 1286 52.5% 23.8% 23.6% -1.7 19
1992-07-24 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1286 1367 23.6% 23.8% 52.5% +1.7 6
1992-07-25 Valur Reykjavik L 1-5 1412 1429 39.4% 25.2% 35.5% -33.3 24
1992-07-25 @ IA Akranes W 5-1 1429 1412 35.5% 25.2% 39.4% +33.3 19
1992-07-26 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1328 1324 42.4% 25.1% 32.6% -0.4 13
1992-07-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1324 1328 32.6% 25.1% 42.4% +0.4 10
1992-07-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-1 1336 1317 44.4% 24.9% 30.7% +33.6 12
1992-07-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-6 1317 1336 30.7% 24.9% 44.4% -33.6 7
1992-07-27 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1457 1448 43.0% 25.0% 32.0% +8.5 21
1992-07-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1448 1457 32.0% 25.0% 43.0% -8.5 19
1992-07-29 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1283 1328 35.5% 25.2% 39.3% -28.3 7
1992-07-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1328 1283 39.3% 25.2% 35.5% +28.3 16
1992-07-29 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1463 1370 54.0% 23.5% 22.5% -13.6 19
1992-07-29 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1370 1463 22.5% 23.5% 54.0% +13.6 15
1992-07-30 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1288 1465 20.5% 22.9% 56.7% +15.0 9
1992-07-30 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1465 1288 56.7% 22.9% 20.5% -15.0 21
1992-07-30 IA Akranes L 0-2 1440 1379 50.0% 24.2% 25.8% -25.5 19
1992-07-30 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1379 1440 25.8% 24.2% 50.0% +25.5 27
1992-07-30 Thor Akureyri L 0-2 1324 1366 35.9% 25.2% 38.9% -19.7 10
1992-07-30 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1366 1324 38.9% 25.2% 35.9% +19.7 22
1992-08-12 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1356 1383 37.9% 25.2% 36.9% -0.1 17
1992-08-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1383 1356 36.9% 25.2% 37.9% +0.0 16
1992-08-12 Breidablik W 4-2 1404 1303 55.0% 23.3% 21.7% +10.0 30
1992-08-12 @ IA Akranes L 2-4 1303 1404 21.7% 23.3% 55.0% -10.0 9
1992-08-12 KA Akureyri W 3-0 1450 1305 60.1% 21.9% 18.0% +15.6 24
1992-08-12 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1305 1450 18.0% 21.9% 60.1% -15.6 10
1992-08-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-2 1385 1255 58.4% 22.4% 19.2% +8.9 25
1992-08-12 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-4 1255 1385 19.2% 22.4% 58.4% -8.9 7
1992-08-13 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1414 1449 36.9% 25.2% 38.0% -20.0 19
1992-08-13 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1449 1414 38.0% 25.2% 36.9% +20.0 22
1992-08-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1246 1466 17.1% 21.4% 61.5% -10.2 7
1992-08-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1466 1246 61.5% 21.4% 17.1% +10.2 27
1992-08-16 IA Akranes W 1-0 1289 1414 25.5% 24.2% 50.3% +13.6 13
1992-08-16 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1414 1289 50.3% 24.2% 25.5% -13.6 30
1992-08-16 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1469 1356 56.4% 22.9% 20.7% +6.5 25
1992-08-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1356 1469 20.7% 22.9% 56.4% -6.5 17
1992-08-16 Thor Akureyri L 1-4 1383 1394 40.2% 25.2% 34.6% -26.2 16
1992-08-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-1 1394 1383 34.6% 25.2% 40.2% +26.2 28
1992-08-17 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1293 1394 28.2% 24.6% 47.2% +12.9 12
1992-08-17 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1394 1293 47.2% 24.6% 28.2% -12.9 19
1992-08-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 7-1 1401 1236 62.2% 21.2% 16.6% +22.7 33
1992-08-25 @ IA Akranes L 1-7 1236 1401 16.6% 21.2% 62.2% -22.7 7
1992-08-25 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1476 1357 57.1% 22.7% 20.2% +17.4 30
1992-08-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1357 1476 20.2% 22.7% 57.1% -17.4 16
1992-08-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1420 1349 51.3% 24.0% 24.7% +14.5 31
1992-08-25 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-2 1349 1420 24.7% 24.0% 51.3% -14.5 17
1992-08-26 Valur Reykjavik L 0-5 1306 1476 21.1% 23.1% 55.8% -29.4 12
1992-08-26 @ Breidablik W 5-0 1476 1306 55.8% 23.1% 21.1% +29.4 28
1992-08-26 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1381 1303 52.2% 23.9% 23.9% +7.5 22
1992-08-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1303 1381 23.9% 23.9% 52.2% -7.5 13
1992-08-29 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1335 1494 22.1% 23.4% 54.5% +1.5 18
1992-08-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1494 1335 54.5% 23.4% 22.1% -1.5 31
1992-08-29 Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1213 1389 20.6% 22.9% 56.5% +21.9 10
1992-08-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-4 1389 1213 56.5% 22.9% 20.6% -21.9 22
1992-08-29 Breidablik L 1-2 1295 1276 44.4% 24.9% 30.7% -11.6 13
1992-08-29 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 1276 1295 30.7% 24.9% 44.4% +11.6 15
1992-08-29 Thor Akureyri L 0-3 1505 1435 51.2% 24.1% 24.8% -37.8 28
1992-08-29 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1435 1505 24.8% 24.1% 51.2% +37.8 34
1992-08-29 IA Akranes L 1-3 1340 1423 30.3% 24.9% 44.8% -14.9 16
1992-08-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1423 1340 44.8% 24.9% 30.3% +14.9 36
1992-09-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1288 1235 48.9% 24.4% 26.6% -11.9 15
1992-09-05 @ Breidablik W 3-2 1235 1288 26.6% 24.4% 48.9% +11.9 13
1992-09-05 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1367 1325 47.6% 24.6% 27.9% +8.0 25
1992-09-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1325 1367 27.9% 24.6% 47.6% -8.0 16
1992-09-05 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1438 1336 55.1% 23.2% 21.7% +11.1 39
1992-09-05 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1336 1438 21.7% 23.2% 55.1% -11.1 18
1992-09-05 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1284 1467 20.0% 22.7% 57.4% -10.3 13
1992-09-05 @ KA Akureyri W 3-1 1467 1284 57.4% 22.7% 20.0% +10.3 31
1992-09-05 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1492 1473 44.5% 24.9% 30.6% +15.0 34
1992-09-05 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1473 1492 30.6% 24.9% 44.5% -15.0 34
1992-09-12 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 1325 1375 34.8% 25.2% 40.1% +31.0 21
1992-09-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-3 1375 1325 40.1% 25.2% 34.8% -31.0 25
1992-09-12 IA Akranes D 2-2 1458 1449 42.9% 25.0% 32.0% -0.5 35
1992-09-12 @ Thor Akureyri D 2-2 1449 1458 32.0% 25.0% 42.9% +0.5 40
1992-09-12 KR Reykjavik L 1-9 1478 1507 37.6% 25.2% 37.2% -61.0 31
1992-09-12 @ Valur Reykjavik W 9-1 1507 1478 37.2% 25.2% 37.6% +61.0 37
1992-09-13 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1247 1273 38.0% 25.2% 36.8% +10.0 16
1992-09-13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1273 1247 36.8% 25.2% 38.0% -10.0 13
1992-09-13 Breidablik W 3-1 1317 1276 47.3% 24.6% 28.1% +14.0 19
1992-09-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1276 1317 28.1% 24.6% 47.3% -14.0 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1992-07-15 18.47% Thor Akureyri 1338 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1478 0
2 1992-07-30 20.46% @ Breidablik 1288 1 KR Reykjavik 1465 0
3 1992-08-29 20.63% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1213 4 Fram Reykjavik 1389 2
4 1992-06-08 21.69% @ IA Akranes 1275 2 Fram Reykjavik 1439 0
5 1992-05-23 22.11% @ Thor Akureyri 1278 1 Fram Reykjavik 1437 0
6 1992-07-29 22.50% Vikingur Reykjavik 1370 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1463 1
7 1992-08-29 24.79% Thor Akureyri 1435 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1505 0
8 1992-05-28 25.13% Thor Akureyri 1293 1 @ Breidablik 1360 0
9 1992-08-16 25.51% @ KA Akureyri 1289 1 IA Akranes 1414 0
10 1992-07-30 25.76% IA Akranes 1379 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1440 0
11 1992-09-05 26.64% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1235 3 @ Breidablik 1288 2
12 1992-06-15 26.89% Thor Akureyri 1307 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1358 0
13 1992-06-14 27.67% FH Hafnarfjordur 1365 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1409 1
14 1992-08-17 28.18% @ Breidablik 1293 1 Fram Reykjavik 1394 0
15 1992-05-24 28.53% KA Akureyri 1377 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1413 0
16 1992-06-15 28.68% IA Akranes 1303 1 @ Breidablik 1338 0
17 1992-07-10 29.12% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1302 3 @ KA Akureyri 1334 1
18 1992-06-08 29.18% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1346 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1377 1
19 1992-06-29 30.07% @ Breidablik 1293 2 KA Akureyri 1378 1
20 1992-07-16 30.11% @ IA Akranes 1392 3 KR Reykjavik 1477 1
21 1992-06-19 30.26% @ IA Akranes 1316 1 KA Akureyri 1400 0
22 1992-07-02 30.62% IA Akranes 1339 4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1358 0
23 1992-08-29 30.66% Breidablik 1276 2 @ KA Akureyri 1295 1
24 1992-06-20 31.25% @ Thor Akureyri 1320 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1397 0
25 1992-07-16 33.66% FH Hafnarfjordur 1309 3 @ Breidablik 1305 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1992-09-12 61.02 KR Reykjavik 9 1507 37.22% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1478 37.58%
2 1992-07-02 43.98 IA Akranes 4 1339 30.62% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1358 44.47%
3 1992-08-29 37.76 Thor Akureyri 3 1435 24.79% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1505 51.16%
4 1992-07-26 33.64 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 6 1336 44.43% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1317 30.66%
5 1992-07-25 33.31 Valur Reykjavik 5 1429 35.46% @ IA Akranes 1 1412 39.36%
6 1992-06-20 33.25 @ Thor Akureyri 3 1320 31.25% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1397 43.78%
7 1992-07-02 32.57 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1389 44.92% KA Akureyri 0 1366 30.20%
8 1992-09-12 31.03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1325 34.75% Fram Reykjavik 0 1375 40.09%
9 1992-07-15 29.50 Thor Akureyri 2 1338 18.47% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1478 59.46%
10 1992-08-26 29.39 Valur Reykjavik 5 1476 55.78% @ Breidablik 0 1306 21.13%
11 1992-07-29 28.31 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1328 39.31% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1283 35.51%
12 1992-06-08 27.66 @ IA Akranes 2 1275 21.69% Fram Reykjavik 0 1439 55.05%
13 1992-08-16 26.25 Thor Akureyri 4 1394 34.59% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1383 40.25%
14 1992-06-16 26.24 Fram Reykjavik 4 1411 34.60% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 1400 40.24%
15 1992-07-30 25.51 IA Akranes 2 1379 25.76% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1440 49.99%
16 1992-05-24 24.15 KA Akureyri 2 1377 28.53% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1413 46.78%
17 1992-08-25 22.73 @ IA Akranes 7 1401 62.19% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1236 16.64%
18 1992-08-29 21.89 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1213 20.63% Fram Reykjavik 2 1389 56.46%
19 1992-06-19 21.15 @ KR Reykjavik 3 1414 51.08% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1345 24.85%
20 1992-07-10 20.68 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1302 29.12% @ KA Akureyri 1 1334 46.12%
21 1992-07-16 20.28 @ IA Akranes 3 1392 30.11% KR Reykjavik 1 1477 45.03%
22 1992-08-13 20.04 Valur Reykjavik 2 1449 37.95% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1414 36.85%
23 1992-07-30 19.67 Thor Akureyri 2 1366 38.86% @ KA Akureyri 0 1324 35.95%
24 1992-07-16 18.91 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1309 33.66% @ Breidablik 1 1305 41.22%
25 1992-06-20 17.95 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1437 56.29% Breidablik 0 1325 20.75%