1991 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vikingur Reykjavik

13.22 points above expected

37 points · 23.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vidir Gardur

5.77 points below expected

9 points · 14.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 12 1 5 37 36 21 +15 23.8 +13.22
2 Fram Reykjavik 18 11 4 3 37 29 15 +14 31.8 +5.16
3 KR Reykjavik 18 8 4 6 28 34 18 +16 31.6 -3.63
4 Valur Reykjavik 18 8 2 8 26 30 24 +6 27.5 -1.51
5 Breidablik 18 7 5 6 26 26 27 -1 23.1 +2.91
6 KA Akureyri 18 7 4 7 25 21 23 -2 22.5 +2.49
7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 7 3 8 24 28 36 -8 25.1 -1.05
8 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 6 4 8 22 26 32 -6 23.5 -1.49
9 Stjarnan 18 4 6 8 18 23 27 -4 23.3 -5.32
10 Vidir Gardur 18 2 3 13 9 17 47 -30 14.8 -5.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1445 37 31.84 +5.16 85.5% 12 23 28 32 35 41 52
KR Reykjavik 1407 28 31.63 -3.63 28.6% 12 23 28 32 35 40 50
Vikingur Reykjavik 1391 37 23.78 +13.22 99.6% 6 15 20 24 27 32 46
Valur Reykjavik 1364 26 27.51 -1.51 43.1% 7 18 24 27 31 37 48
KA Akureyri 1307 25 22.51 +2.49 71.8% 5 14 19 22 26 31 44
Stjarnan 1296 18 23.32 -5.32 19.0% 5 15 20 23 27 32 45
Breidablik 1289 26 23.09 +2.91 73.7% 6 14 19 23 27 32 44
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1285 24 25.05 -1.05 46.1% 6 16 21 25 29 34 44
FH Hafnarfjordur 1282 22 23.49 -1.49 43.5% 5 15 20 23 27 33 41
Vidir Gardur 1146 9 14.77 -5.77 13.9% 1 7 11 15 18 23 35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FH FR IV KA KR STJ VR VG VR
Breidablik
2-0-0
2.60
0-2-0
1.83
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.60
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.80
1-1-0
1.89
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.38
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
2.83
Fram Reykjavik
0-2-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
3.50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.96
0-0-2
1.92
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
3.98
0-0-2
3.10
KA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
1.86
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.52
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.52
0-1-1
3.62
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.65
1-1-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
4.22
1-0-1
3.59
Stjarnan
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.87
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.65
0-0-2
2.63
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
3.09
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
4.08
1-0-1
3.28
Vidir Gardur
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
1.24
1-0-1
1.58
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.99
2-0-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
1.91
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.19
2-0-0
4.01

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%5.56%2.22%2.22%1.11%24.44%
110.00%10.00%6.67%5.00%1.11%1.11%33.89%
25.56%6.67%5.56%3.33%0.56%0.56%22.22%
32.22%5.00%3.33%1.11%0.56%12.22%
42.22%1.11%0.56%0.56%4.44%
5+1.11%1.11%0.56%2.78%
Total24.44%33.89%22.22%12.22%4.44%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.145
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
111.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
211.11%11.11%5.56%11.11%38.89%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total27.78%27.78%16.67%22.22%5.56%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.92
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
15.56%5.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%38.89%
211.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%33.33%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%22.22%27.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed1.96
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.180
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
122.22%11.11%33.33%
25.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total38.89%44.44%11.11%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed0.83
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed0.86
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.010
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
111.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
35.56%16.67%22.22%
4
5+
Total11.11%33.33%27.78%16.67%11.11%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.56
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed1.57
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.239
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%38.89%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total22.22%44.44%16.67%16.67%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.010
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
116.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
411.11%5.56%16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%11.11%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.89
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.88
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.091
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%22.22%5.56%33.33%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%44.44%22.22%5.56%11.11%100%

Stjarnan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.36
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.018
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
116.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
211.11%11.11%
35.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%33.33%33.33%11.11%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.94
StdDev allowed0.97
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.156
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%16.67%5.56%33.33%
111.11%22.22%16.67%5.56%55.56%
25.56%5.56%
3
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%11.11%33.33%16.67%16.67%11.11%100%

Vidir Gardur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.94
Mean allowed2.61
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.75
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.242
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%27.78%
111.11%5.56%16.67%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
316.67%16.67%
45.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total27.78%44.44%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.78
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.030
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 37 23.8 +13.22
2 Fram Reykjavik 37 31.8 +5.16
3 Breidablik 26 23.1 +2.91
4 KA Akureyri 25 22.5 +2.49
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 24 25.1 -1.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vidir Gardur 9 14.8 -5.77
2 Stjarnan 18 23.3 -5.32
3 KR Reykjavik 28 31.6 -3.63
4 Valur Reykjavik 26 27.5 -1.51
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 23.5 -1.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jul 28 – Sep 1 1 in 1,028
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 Jul 4 – Jul 28 1 in 88
3 Fram Reykjavik 6 Jun 14 – Jul 12 1 in 76
4 Breidablik 4 May 31 – Jun 20 1 in 41
5 Valur Reykjavik 3 May 20 – Jun 10 1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 4 Jul 28 – Aug 15 1 in 328
2 Valur Reykjavik 3 Jun 13 – Jun 25 1 in 32
3 KA Akureyri 3 Jul 4 – Jul 21 1 in 14
4 Fram Reykjavik 2 May 30 – Jun 10 1 in 12
5 Vidir Gardur 4 Jun 30 – Jul 22 1 in 9

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 8 Jul 28 – Sep 14 1 in 40
2 Fram Reykjavik 12 Jun 14 – Aug 18 1 in 26
3 Breidablik 6 May 20 – Jun 25 1 in 22
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 Jul 4 – Jul 31 1 in 13
5 Stjarnan 4 Jul 1 – Jul 21 1 in 13

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 7 Jun 25 – Jul 31 1 in 22
2 KR Reykjavik 4 Jul 28 – Aug 15 1 in 18
3 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jul 5 – Aug 1 1 in 14
4 Stjarnan 5 Jun 9 – Jul 1 1 in 11
5 Vidir Gardur 10 May 20 – Jul 22 1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Vikingur Reykjavik3.49%6.71%10.00%12.68%13.24%13.08%13.15%12.74%10.23%4.68%
Fram Reykjavik35.57%24.63%15.12%9.49%6.30%4.05%2.45%1.50%0.71%0.18%
KR Reykjavik34.57%24.28%15.29%9.67%6.59%4.39%2.70%1.63%0.62%0.26%
Valur Reykjavik10.95%16.07%16.19%14.76%12.43%10.00%8.13%6.09%4.21%1.17%
Breidablik2.61%5.04%7.77%10.50%11.96%13.60%13.81%14.32%13.82%6.57%
KA Akureyri2.20%3.98%7.08%9.10%10.88%12.99%14.81%15.51%15.51%7.94%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar5.00%8.28%11.06%12.81%13.38%12.96%12.27%11.44%8.98%3.82%
FH Hafnarfjordur2.79%5.69%8.90%9.68%11.83%13.38%13.73%14.34%14.21%5.45%
Stjarnan2.77%5.21%8.11%10.61%12.02%12.85%14.27%14.29%13.66%6.21%
Vidir Gardur0.05%0.11%0.48%0.70%1.37%2.70%4.68%8.14%18.05%63.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KR Reykjavik 99.1% 0.9%
Fram Reykjavik 99.1% 0.9%
Valur Reykjavik 94.6% 5.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 87.2% 12.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik 85.1% 14.9%
FH Hafnarfjordur 80.3% 19.7%
Stjarnan 80.1% 19.9%
Breidablik 79.6% 20.4%
KA Akureyri 76.5% 23.4%
Vidir Gardur 18.2% 81.8%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1991-05-20 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-4 1306 1290 39.8% 27.3% 32.9% -11.6 0
1991-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 4-2 1290 1306 32.9% 27.3% 39.8% +11.6 3
1991-05-20 Breidablik D 3-3 1406 1283 54.4% 24.0% 21.5% -0.9 1
1991-05-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1283 1406 21.5% 24.0% 54.4% +0.9 1
1991-05-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1309 1338 33.2% 27.4% 39.4% -6.2 0
1991-05-20 @ KA Akureyri W 3-2 1338 1309 39.4% 27.4% 33.2% +6.2 3
1991-05-20 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1322 1360 32.1% 27.3% 40.7% -18.6 0
1991-05-20 @ Stjarnan W 3-0 1360 1322 40.7% 27.3% 32.1% +18.6 3
1991-05-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1220 1378 20.0% 23.0% 57.0% -15.8 0
1991-05-20 @ Vidir Gardur W 4-0 1378 1220 57.0% 23.0% 20.0% +15.8 3
1991-05-30 Vidir Gardur W 2-0 1344 1205 56.6% 23.2% 20.2% +8.4 6
1991-05-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1205 1344 20.2% 23.2% 56.6% -8.4 0
1991-05-30 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1303 1406 24.8% 25.6% 49.6% +9.4 3
1991-05-30 @ Stjarnan L 0-1 1406 1303 49.6% 25.6% 24.8% -9.4 1
1991-05-30 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1379 1301 48.3% 25.9% 25.8% +5.6 6
1991-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1301 1379 25.8% 25.9% 48.3% -5.7 3
1991-05-31 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1284 1302 34.8% 27.4% 37.8% +14.5 4
1991-05-31 @ Breidablik L 0-2 1302 1284 37.8% 27.4% 34.8% -14.5 0
1991-05-31 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1394 1295 51.2% 25.1% 23.6% -1.3 4
1991-05-31 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1295 1394 23.6% 25.1% 51.2% +1.3 1
1991-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1296 1353 29.8% 27.0% 43.3% +0.5 2
1991-06-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1353 1296 43.3% 27.0% 29.8% -0.5 7
1991-06-08 Breidablik L 1-2 1196 1298 24.8% 25.6% 49.6% -5.2 0
1991-06-08 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1298 1196 49.6% 25.6% 24.8% +5.1 7
1991-06-09 Stjarnan W 1-0 1288 1313 33.9% 27.4% 38.7% +7.8 3
1991-06-09 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1313 1288 38.7% 27.4% 33.9% -7.8 3
1991-06-09 KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1296 1393 25.3% 25.8% 48.9% -12.9 3
1991-06-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-1 1393 1296 48.9% 25.8% 25.3% +12.9 7
1991-06-10 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1396 1385 39.1% 27.4% 33.6% -7.9 1
1991-06-10 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1385 1396 33.6% 27.4% 39.1% +7.9 9
1991-06-12 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1304 1297 38.4% 27.4% 34.2% +7.1 10
1991-06-12 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1297 1304 34.2% 27.4% 38.4% -7.1 2
1991-06-12 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1352 1283 47.2% 26.2% 26.6% -14.8 7
1991-06-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1283 1352 26.6% 26.2% 47.2% +14.8 6
1991-06-13 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1305 1191 53.2% 24.5% 22.3% -1.3 4
1991-06-13 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1191 1305 22.3% 24.5% 53.2% +1.3 1
1991-06-13 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1392 1406 35.5% 27.5% 37.1% -20.1 9
1991-06-13 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1406 1392 37.1% 27.5% 35.5% +20.0 10
1991-06-14 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1388 1296 50.4% 25.4% 24.3% +5.0 4
1991-06-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1296 1388 24.3% 25.4% 50.4% -5.0 3
1991-06-19 Stjarnan W 2-0 1290 1304 35.4% 27.5% 37.2% +14.3 5
1991-06-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1304 1290 37.2% 27.5% 35.4% -14.3 4
1991-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1426 1337 49.8% 25.6% 24.7% +5.4 13
1991-06-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1337 1426 24.7% 25.6% 49.8% -5.4 7
1991-06-19 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1192 1393 17.1% 20.5% 62.4% -3.5 1
1991-06-19 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1393 1192 62.4% 20.5% 17.1% +3.5 7
1991-06-20 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1291 1372 26.9% 26.3% 46.8% +9.0 6
1991-06-20 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1372 1291 46.8% 26.3% 26.9% -9.0 9
1991-06-20 Breidablik L 0-2 1298 1311 35.5% 27.5% 37.0% -13.8 6
1991-06-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1311 1298 37.0% 27.5% 35.5% +13.8 13
1991-06-24 Vikingur Reykjavik L 3-4 1289 1284 38.1% 27.4% 34.4% -6.7 4
1991-06-24 @ Stjarnan W 4-3 1284 1289 34.4% 27.4% 38.1% +6.7 9
1991-06-25 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1324 1431 24.4% 25.4% 50.2% +1.1 14
1991-06-25 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1431 1324 50.2% 25.4% 24.4% -1.1 14
1991-06-25 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 1300 1189 52.8% 24.6% 22.6% -1.3 7
1991-06-25 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1189 1300 22.6% 24.6% 52.8% +1.3 2
1991-06-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1363 1332 41.9% 27.1% 31.0% -7.8 9
1991-06-25 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1332 1363 31.0% 27.1% 41.9% +7.8 10
1991-06-26 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1397 1304 50.4% 25.4% 24.2% +5.0 10
1991-06-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1304 1397 24.2% 25.4% 50.4% -5.0 5
1991-06-30 KA Akureyri L 0-2 1299 1298 37.4% 27.4% 35.1% -14.4 5
1991-06-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1298 1299 35.1% 27.4% 37.4% +14.4 10
1991-06-30 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1190 1356 19.5% 22.6% 57.9% -7.0 2
1991-06-30 @ Vidir Gardur W 3-1 1356 1190 57.9% 22.6% 19.5% +7.0 12
1991-06-30 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1291 1402 24.0% 25.3% 50.8% -10.0 9
1991-06-30 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1402 1291 50.8% 25.3% 24.0% +10.0 13
1991-07-01 Breidablik W 3-2 1340 1326 39.4% 27.4% 33.2% +6.2 13
1991-07-01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1326 1340 33.2% 27.4% 39.4% -6.2 14
1991-07-01 Stjarnan D 1-1 1430 1283 57.6% 22.8% 19.7% -1.6 15
1991-07-01 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1283 1430 19.7% 22.8% 57.6% +1.6 5
1991-07-04 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1412 1428 35.0% 27.4% 37.6% +7.6 16
1991-07-04 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1428 1412 37.6% 27.4% 35.0% -7.6 15
1991-07-04 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1313 1281 42.0% 27.1% 30.9% -8.3 10
1991-07-04 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1281 1313 30.9% 27.1% 42.0% +8.3 12
1991-07-04 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1183 1284 24.9% 25.6% 49.5% -5.2 2
1991-07-04 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1284 1183 49.5% 25.6% 24.9% +5.2 8
1991-07-05 Breidablik D 2-2 1363 1319 43.5% 26.9% 29.5% -0.4 13
1991-07-05 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1319 1363 29.5% 26.9% 43.5% +0.4 15
1991-07-06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1284 1346 29.2% 26.8% 44.0% +7.7 8
1991-07-06 @ Stjarnan L 2-3 1346 1284 44.0% 26.8% 29.2% -7.7 13
1991-07-12 Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1290 1362 28.0% 26.6% 45.5% +14.4 11
1991-07-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1362 1290 45.5% 26.6% 28.0% -14.4 13
1991-07-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1338 1419 27.0% 26.3% 46.7% -5.9 13
1991-07-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1419 1338 46.7% 26.3% 27.0% +5.9 19
1991-07-14 Stjarnan L 0-2 1320 1292 41.4% 27.2% 31.4% -15.5 15
1991-07-14 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1292 1320 31.4% 27.2% 41.4% +15.5 11
1991-07-14 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1421 1304 53.5% 24.3% 22.1% +4.9 18
1991-07-14 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1304 1421 22.1% 24.3% 53.5% -4.9 10
1991-07-14 Vidir Gardur W 3-1 1289 1178 52.8% 24.6% 22.6% +8.2 15
1991-07-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1178 1289 22.6% 24.6% 52.8% -8.2 2
1991-07-21 KA Akureyri W 3-0 1332 1300 42.1% 27.1% 30.8% +18.0 16
1991-07-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1300 1332 30.8% 27.1% 42.1% -18.0 10
1991-07-21 Stjarnan D 2-2 1348 1307 43.1% 27.0% 29.9% -0.4 14
1991-07-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1307 1348 29.9% 27.0% 43.1% +0.4 12
1991-07-21 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1297 1304 36.4% 27.5% 36.1% -7.5 15
1991-07-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1304 1297 36.1% 27.5% 36.4% +7.5 14
1991-07-22 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1304 1425 23.1% 24.8% 52.1% +1.2 16
1991-07-22 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1425 1304 52.1% 24.8% 23.1% -1.2 20
1991-07-22 Vidir Gardur W 7-1 1426 1170 70.8% 16.0% 13.3% +11.5 21
1991-07-22 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-7 1170 1426 13.3% 16.0% 70.8% -11.6 2
1991-07-28 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1311 1437 22.6% 24.6% 52.7% +18.6 17
1991-07-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1437 1311 52.7% 24.6% 22.6% -18.6 21
1991-07-28 Breidablik W 3-1 1282 1305 34.0% 27.4% 38.6% +12.7 13
1991-07-28 @ KA Akureyri L 1-3 1305 1282 38.6% 27.4% 34.0% -12.7 16
1991-07-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-2 1158 1350 17.6% 21.1% 61.3% +22.1 5
1991-07-28 @ Vidir Gardur L 2-5 1350 1158 61.3% 21.1% 17.6% -22.1 16
1991-07-28 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1290 1347 29.7% 26.9% 43.4% +8.5 18
1991-07-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1347 1290 43.4% 26.9% 29.7% -8.5 14
1991-07-29 Stjarnan W 1-0 1424 1308 53.5% 24.3% 22.1% +4.9 23
1991-07-29 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1308 1424 22.1% 24.3% 53.5% -4.9 12
1991-07-31 Vidir Gardur D 0-0 1293 1180 53.0% 24.5% 22.5% -1.4 17
1991-07-31 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1180 1293 22.5% 24.5% 53.0% +1.4 6
1991-07-31 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1328 1330 37.1% 27.5% 35.4% -0.0 17
1991-07-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1330 1328 35.4% 27.5% 37.1% +0.0 18
1991-07-31 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1419 1298 54.1% 24.1% 21.8% -9.5 21
1991-07-31 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1298 1419 21.8% 24.1% 54.1% +9.5 21
1991-08-01 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1303 1294 38.6% 27.4% 34.0% -0.2 13
1991-08-01 @ Stjarnan D 1-1 1294 1303 34.0% 27.4% 38.6% +0.2 14
1991-08-01 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1339 1429 26.0% 26.0% 47.9% -5.7 14
1991-08-01 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1429 1339 47.9% 26.0% 26.0% +5.7 26
1991-08-11 Breidablik L 1-3 1330 1291 42.9% 27.0% 30.1% -13.8 18
1991-08-11 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1291 1330 30.1% 27.0% 42.9% +13.8 20
1991-08-11 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1294 1435 21.4% 23.9% 54.6% +1.4 15
1991-08-11 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1435 1294 54.6% 23.9% 21.4% -1.4 27
1991-08-11 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1409 1333 48.1% 26.0% 25.9% -9.2 21
1991-08-11 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1333 1409 25.9% 26.0% 48.1% +9.2 17
1991-08-11 Stjarnan L 0-5 1182 1303 23.1% 24.9% 52.1% -22.5 6
1991-08-11 @ Vidir Gardur W 5-0 1303 1182 52.1% 24.9% 23.1% +22.5 16
1991-08-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-0 1308 1328 34.4% 27.4% 38.1% +40.4 24
1991-08-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-6 1328 1308 38.1% 27.4% 34.4% -40.4 17
1991-08-14 Vidir Gardur W 4-0 1433 1159 72.8% 14.8% 12.4% +8.8 30
1991-08-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1159 1433 12.4% 14.8% 72.8% -8.8 6
1991-08-14 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1325 1316 38.6% 27.4% 34.0% -0.1 17
1991-08-14 @ Stjarnan D 2-2 1316 1325 34.0% 27.4% 38.6% +0.1 19
1991-08-15 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1305 1348 31.5% 27.2% 41.3% -6.3 20
1991-08-15 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1348 1305 41.3% 27.2% 31.5% +6.3 27
1991-08-15 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1288 1400 23.9% 25.2% 50.9% +8.6 20
1991-08-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1400 1288 50.9% 25.2% 23.9% -8.6 21
1991-08-15 KA Akureyri W 3-1 1342 1296 44.0% 26.8% 29.2% +10.3 20
1991-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1296 1342 29.2% 26.8% 44.0% -10.3 15
1991-08-18 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1316 1442 22.7% 24.6% 52.7% -8.2 19
1991-08-18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 1442 1316 52.7% 24.6% 22.7% +8.2 33
1991-08-19 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1296 1353 29.9% 27.0% 43.2% +8.0 23
1991-08-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1353 1296 43.2% 27.0% 29.9% -8.0 20
1991-08-19 Breidablik W 4-0 1391 1299 50.3% 25.4% 24.3% +19.1 24
1991-08-19 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1299 1391 24.3% 25.4% 50.3% -19.1 20
1991-08-19 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1150 1286 21.8% 24.2% 54.0% -4.6 6
1991-08-19 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-1 1286 1150 54.0% 24.2% 21.8% +4.6 18
1991-08-20 Stjarnan W 4-1 1354 1325 41.6% 27.2% 31.2% +15.4 30
1991-08-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-4 1325 1354 31.2% 27.2% 41.6% -15.4 17
1991-08-31 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1280 1304 33.9% 27.4% 38.7% +7.4 23
1991-08-31 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1304 1280 38.7% 27.4% 33.9% -7.4 23
1991-08-31 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1310 1411 24.9% 25.7% 49.4% -5.5 17
1991-08-31 @ Stjarnan W 1-0 1411 1310 49.4% 25.7% 24.9% +5.5 27
1991-08-31 Vidir Gardur L 0-2 1345 1146 64.0% 19.7% 16.3% -21.5 20
1991-08-31 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1146 1345 16.3% 19.7% 64.0% +21.5 9
1991-09-01 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1450 1370 48.7% 25.8% 25.4% -17.5 33
1991-09-01 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1370 1450 25.4% 25.8% 48.7% +17.5 33
1991-09-01 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1290 1308 34.8% 27.4% 37.8% +7.2 21
1991-09-01 @ KA Akureyri L 1-2 1308 1290 37.8% 27.4% 34.8% -7.2 19
1991-09-07 Vidir Gardur W 4-0 1301 1167 55.8% 23.5% 20.7% +16.4 22
1991-09-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-4 1167 1301 20.7% 23.5% 55.8% -16.4 9
1991-09-07 Stjarnan D 1-1 1297 1304 36.4% 27.5% 36.2% -0.0 24
1991-09-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1304 1297 36.2% 27.5% 36.4% +0.0 18
1991-09-07 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1387 1297 50.0% 25.5% 24.5% -1.2 34
1991-09-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1297 1387 24.5% 25.5% 50.0% +1.2 22
1991-09-08 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1287 1323 32.4% 27.3% 40.3% -6.1 23
1991-09-08 @ Breidablik W 3-2 1323 1287 40.3% 27.3% 32.4% +6.1 23
1991-09-08 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1416 1433 35.0% 27.4% 37.6% +0.1 28
1991-09-08 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1433 1416 37.6% 27.4% 35.0% -0.1 34
1991-09-14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1433 1297 56.0% 23.4% 20.6% +12.4 37
1991-09-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1297 1433 20.6% 23.4% 56.0% -12.4 24
1991-09-14 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1299 1416 23.4% 25.0% 51.6% +8.7 25
1991-09-14 @ KA Akureyri L 2-3 1416 1299 51.6% 25.0% 23.4% -8.7 28
1991-09-14 Breidablik L 0-1 1304 1281 40.7% 27.3% 32.0% -8.1 18
1991-09-14 @ Stjarnan W 1-0 1281 1304 32.0% 27.3% 40.7% +8.1 26
1991-09-14 FH Hafnarfjordur W 8-1 1329 1317 39.1% 27.4% 33.6% +35.0 26
1991-09-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-8 1317 1329 33.6% 27.4% 39.1% -35.0 22
1991-09-14 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1151 1386 15.1% 18.4% 66.5% -5.2 9
1991-09-14 @ Vidir Gardur W 3-1 1386 1151 66.5% 18.4% 15.1% +5.2 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1991-08-31 16.31% Vidir Gardur 1146 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1345 0
2 1991-07-28 17.65% @ Vidir Gardur 1158 5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1350 2
3 1991-07-31 21.77% Vikingur Reykjavik 1298 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1419 1
4 1991-07-28 22.63% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1311 2 KR Reykjavik 1437 0
5 1991-09-14 23.37% @ KA Akureyri 1299 3 KR Reykjavik 1416 2
6 1991-08-15 23.88% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1288 3 KR Reykjavik 1400 2
7 1991-05-30 24.81% @ Stjarnan 1303 1 Fram Reykjavik 1406 0
8 1991-09-01 25.44% Vikingur Reykjavik 1370 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1450 0
9 1991-08-11 25.90% Valur Reykjavik 1333 1 @ KR Reykjavik 1409 0
10 1991-06-12 26.61% Vikingur Reykjavik 1283 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1352 1
11 1991-06-20 26.94% @ KA Akureyri 1291 1 Valur Reykjavik 1372 0
12 1991-07-12 27.95% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1290 3 Valur Reykjavik 1362 1
13 1991-07-06 29.17% @ Stjarnan 1284 3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1346 2
14 1991-07-28 29.67% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1290 1 Valur Reykjavik 1347 0
15 1991-08-19 29.86% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1296 2 Valur Reykjavik 1353 1
16 1991-08-11 30.09% Breidablik 1291 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1330 1
17 1991-07-04 30.91% Vikingur Reykjavik 1281 1 @ KA Akureyri 1313 0
18 1991-06-25 31.01% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1332 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1363 1
19 1991-07-14 31.44% Stjarnan 1292 2 @ Breidablik 1320 0
20 1991-09-14 32.04% Breidablik 1281 1 @ Stjarnan 1304 0
21 1991-05-20 32.90% Vikingur Reykjavik 1290 4 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1306 2
22 1991-06-10 33.57% Valur Reykjavik 1385 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1396 0
23 1991-06-09 33.88% @ KA Akureyri 1288 1 Stjarnan 1313 0
24 1991-08-31 33.88% @ Breidablik 1280 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1304 1
25 1991-07-28 34.00% @ KA Akureyri 1282 3 Breidablik 1305 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-08-12 40.42 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 6 1308 34.45% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1328 38.13%
2 1991-09-14 35.04 @ Valur Reykjavik 8 1329 39.07% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1317 33.55%
3 1991-08-11 22.49 Stjarnan 5 1303 52.08% @ Vidir Gardur 0 1182 23.08%
4 1991-07-28 22.12 @ Vidir Gardur 5 1158 17.65% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1350 61.30%
5 1991-08-31 21.51 Vidir Gardur 2 1146 16.31% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1345 63.99%
6 1991-06-13 20.05 KR Reykjavik 3 1406 37.07% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1392 35.48%
7 1991-08-19 19.14 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1391 50.35% Breidablik 0 1299 24.26%
8 1991-07-28 18.63 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1311 22.63% KR Reykjavik 0 1437 52.74%
9 1991-05-20 18.58 Valur Reykjavik 3 1360 40.69% @ Stjarnan 0 1322 32.06%
10 1991-07-21 18.01 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1332 42.08% KA Akureyri 0 1300 30.81%
11 1991-09-01 17.52 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1370 25.44% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1450 48.72%
12 1991-09-07 16.35 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1301 55.79% Vidir Gardur 0 1167 20.71%
13 1991-05-20 15.78 KR Reykjavik 4 1378 56.95% @ Vidir Gardur 0 1220 20.03%
14 1991-07-14 15.47 Stjarnan 2 1292 31.44% @ Breidablik 0 1320 41.38%
15 1991-08-20 15.35 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1354 41.59% Stjarnan 1 1325 31.25%
16 1991-06-12 14.80 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1283 26.61% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1352 47.18%
17 1991-05-31 14.46 @ Breidablik 2 1284 34.76% KA Akureyri 0 1302 37.81%
18 1991-07-12 14.39 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 3 1290 27.95% Valur Reykjavik 1 1362 45.48%
19 1991-06-30 14.36 KA Akureyri 2 1298 35.12% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1299 37.44%
20 1991-06-19 14.29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1290 35.37% Stjarnan 0 1304 37.18%
21 1991-06-20 13.82 Breidablik 2 1311 37.03% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1298 35.52%
22 1991-08-11 13.77 Breidablik 3 1291 30.09% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1330 42.91%
23 1991-06-09 12.86 KR Reykjavik 4 1393 48.86% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1296 25.34%
24 1991-07-28 12.72 @ KA Akureyri 3 1282 34.00% Breidablik 1 1305 38.60%
25 1991-09-14 12.42 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1433 56.05% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1297 20.56%