1993 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

11.70 points above expected

49 points · 37.30 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KR Reykjavik

7.32 points below expected

24 points · 31.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 18 16 1 1 49 62 16 +46 37.3 +11.70
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 12 4 2 40 39 21 +18 28.7 +11.31
3 Keflavik IF 18 8 3 7 27 31 31 0 19.6 +7.44
4 Fram Reykjavik 18 8 1 9 25 38 37 +1 27.4 -2.43
5 KR Reykjavik 18 7 3 8 24 37 34 +3 31.3 -7.32
6 Valur Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 22 25 24 +1 27.2 -5.19
7 Thor Akureyri 18 5 5 8 20 20 30 -10 27.2 -7.20
8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 5 4 9 19 31 41 -10 20.4 -1.42
9 Fylkir Reykjavik 18 6 1 11 19 22 35 -13 17.1 +1.94
10 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 3 2 13 11 23 59 -36 17.9 -6.89

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1626 49 37.30 +11.70 99.4% 17 29 34 37 41 46 54
FH Hafnarfjordur 1488 40 28.69 +11.31 98.4% 9 20 25 29 32 38 49
KR Reykjavik 1366 24 31.32 -7.32 11.0% 11 22 28 31 35 41 49
Valur Reykjavik 1336 22 27.19 -5.19 20.0% 6 18 23 27 31 36 47
Keflavik IF 1314 27 19.56 +7.44 93.0% 2 11 16 19 23 29 39
Thor Akureyri 1302 20 27.20 -7.20 11.4% 6 18 23 27 31 36 48
Fram Reykjavik 1275 25 27.43 -2.43 36.8% 6 18 24 27 31 37 47
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1263 19 20.42 -1.42 43.3% 3 12 17 20 24 29 41
Fylkir Reykjavik 1233 19 17.06 +1.94 69.2% 2 9 13 17 20 26 37
Vikingur Reykjavik 1143 11 17.89 -6.89 10.6% 2 10 14 18 21 27 38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR FR IA IV KR KI TA VR VR
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.79
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
3.33
Fram Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
1.67
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
4.09
Fylkir Reykjavik
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
1.21
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
1.62
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.80
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.98
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.64
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
3.27
0-2-0
1.88
1-0-1
1.89
2-0-0
3.04
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
4.46
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
4.15
Keflavik IF
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
1.02
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.70
1-1-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.02
2-0-0
3.43
Thor Akureyri
0-1-1
2.15
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
4.03
0-0-2
1.92
0-2-0
3.77
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
3.66
0-1-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.71
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
4.06
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
3.75
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
3.62
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.72
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
1.57
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.05
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
1.92

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%5.56%5.56%0.56%1.67%2.22%18.89%
15.56%6.67%8.89%4.44%3.89%2.22%31.67%
25.56%8.89%4.44%2.22%2.78%2.22%26.11%
30.56%4.44%2.22%1.11%8.33%
41.67%3.89%2.78%8.33%
5+2.22%2.22%2.22%6.67%
Total18.89%31.67%26.11%8.33%8.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.82
Mean allowed1.82
StdDev scored1.65
StdDev allowed1.65
Mean total goals/game3.64
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.161
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%22.22%
15.56%5.56%11.11%
211.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
311.11%11.11%
411.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total38.89%38.89%11.11%11.11%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.17
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.62
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.318
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
111.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
411.11%5.56%16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total5.56%33.33%27.78%16.67%16.67%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.11
Mean allowed2.06
StdDev scored1.75
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.532
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
15.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total16.67%27.78%27.78%5.56%16.67%5.56%100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored1.00
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.418
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
116.67%16.67%
211.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
316.67%5.56%22.22%
411.11%11.11%
5+16.67%5.56%5.56%27.78%
Total44.44%38.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.44
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored2.23
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game4.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.021
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
111.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%50.00%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%16.67%38.89%11.11%11.11%11.11%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.72
Mean allowed2.28
StdDev scored1.96
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.032
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
15.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%33.33%
211.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%33.33%
3
45.56%11.11%16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%22.22%44.44%11.11%11.11%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.06
Mean allowed1.89
StdDev scored1.73
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game3.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.117
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
25.56%16.67%11.11%33.33%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%27.78%38.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.72
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.27
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.223
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%27.78%
111.11%22.22%11.11%5.56%50.00%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
3
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%50.00%16.67%5.56%11.11%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.68
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.069
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%33.33%
116.67%11.11%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
311.11%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total11.11%50.00%33.33%5.56%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.33
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed0.77
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.019
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
15.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%33.33%
25.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%38.89%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total16.67%11.11%16.67%22.22%11.11%22.22%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed3.28
StdDev scored0.89
StdDev allowed2.91
Mean total goals/game4.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.263
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 49 37.3 +11.70
2 FH Hafnarfjordur 40 28.7 +11.31
3 Keflavik IF 27 19.6 +7.44
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 19 17.1 +1.94
5 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 20.4 -1.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 24 31.3 -7.32
2 Thor Akureyri 20 27.2 -7.20
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 11 17.9 -6.89
4 Valur Reykjavik 22 27.2 -5.19
5 Fram Reykjavik 25 27.4 -2.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 Jun 21 – Jul 15 1 in 37
2 IA Akranes 8 Jun 20 – Aug 12 1 in 36
3 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 Aug 18 – Aug 22 1 in 29
4 Keflavik IF 3 May 23 – Jun 7 1 in 22
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Sep 3 – Sep 11 1 in 19

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 4 Sep 3 – Sep 25 1 in 142
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 Jun 6 – Jul 22 1 in 132
3 KR Reykjavik 3 Aug 8 – Aug 18 1 in 76
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jul 28 – Aug 27 1 in 22
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 May 28 – Jun 7 1 in 17

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FH Hafnarfjordur 8 May 27 – Jul 22 1 in 71
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Jun 7 – Jun 24 1 in 22
3 IA Akranes 14 Jun 20 – Sep 25 1 in 10
4 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 Aug 18 – Aug 22 1 in 8
5 Keflavik IF 3 May 23 – Jun 7 1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 11 May 23 – Aug 8 1 in 64
2 Thor Akureyri 5 Jun 24 – Jul 29 1 in 29
3 Fram Reykjavik 4 Sep 3 – Sep 25 1 in 20
4 Valur Reykjavik 6 Aug 20 – Sep 25 1 in 17
5 KR Reykjavik 3 Aug 8 – Aug 18 1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IA Akranes63.66%19.98%8.66%4.47%1.97%0.86%0.29%0.08%0.03%
FH Hafnarfjordur7.71%17.29%18.71%17.09%14.91%10.89%7.12%3.61%1.98%0.69%
Keflavik IF0.19%1.10%2.23%3.96%7.40%11.95%16.77%20.00%19.89%16.51%
Fram Reykjavik4.84%11.69%15.96%17.32%15.80%14.69%9.33%5.76%3.09%1.52%
KR Reykjavik14.78%26.05%19.88%14.51%10.76%7.30%3.96%1.71%0.78%0.27%
Valur Reykjavik4.19%11.23%15.52%17.12%17.17%13.74%9.98%6.14%3.36%1.55%
Thor Akureyri4.31%10.76%13.98%16.23%16.91%14.65%10.87%7.04%3.82%1.43%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0.23%1.22%3.14%4.86%8.03%12.67%18.26%19.81%17.92%13.86%
Fylkir Reykjavik0.01%0.31%0.87%1.98%3.44%6.20%11.19%17.17%24.61%34.22%
Vikingur Reykjavik0.08%0.37%1.05%2.46%3.61%7.05%12.23%18.68%24.52%29.95%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 100% <0.1%
KR Reykjavik 99.0% 1.1%
FH Hafnarfjordur 97.3% 2.7%
Fram Reykjavik 95.4% 4.6%
Valur Reykjavik 95.1% 4.9%
Thor Akureyri 94.8% 5.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 68.2% 31.8%
Keflavik IF 63.6% 36.4%
Vikingur Reykjavik 45.5% 54.5%
Fylkir Reykjavik 41.2% 58.8%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1993-05-23 IA Akranes L 0-5 1343 1381 41.9% 18.5% 39.6% -59.9 0
1993-05-23 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-0 1381 1343 39.6% 18.5% 41.9% +59.9 3
1993-05-23 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1300 1337 42.1% 18.5% 39.4% -12.8 0
1993-05-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1337 1300 39.4% 18.5% 42.1% +12.8 3
1993-05-23 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1225 1230 46.5% 18.5% 35.0% +11.0 3
1993-05-23 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1230 1225 35.0% 18.5% 46.5% -11.0 0
1993-05-23 Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1442 1390 53.9% 18.2% 27.9% +18.1 3
1993-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1390 1442 27.9% 18.2% 53.9% -18.2 0
1993-05-23 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1368 1331 52.1% 18.3% 29.6% +16.6 3
1993-05-23 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1331 1368 29.6% 18.3% 52.1% -16.6 0
1993-05-27 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1350 1372 44.1% 18.5% 37.3% -13.4 3
1993-05-27 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1372 1350 37.3% 18.5% 44.1% +13.4 3
1993-05-27 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1441 1460 44.7% 18.5% 36.8% +12.2 6
1993-05-27 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1460 1441 36.8% 18.5% 44.7% -12.2 3
1993-05-27 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1287 1236 53.9% 18.2% 27.9% -15.9 0
1993-05-27 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1236 1287 27.9% 18.2% 53.9% +15.9 6
1993-05-27 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1315 1283 51.5% 18.3% 30.2% -1.7 1
1993-05-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1283 1315 30.2% 18.3% 51.5% +1.7 1
1993-05-28 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1219 1384 25.5% 18.0% 56.4% +16.6 3
1993-05-28 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1384 1219 56.4% 18.0% 25.5% -16.6 3
1993-06-05 IA Akranes L 0-1 1386 1453 37.7% 18.5% 43.8% -12.5 3
1993-06-05 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1453 1386 43.8% 18.5% 37.7% +12.5 9
1993-06-06 Vikingur Reykjavik W 7-2 1448 1313 63.3% 17.4% 19.4% +21.1 6
1993-06-06 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-7 1313 1448 19.4% 17.4% 63.3% -21.1 1
1993-06-07 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-0 1285 1236 53.6% 18.2% 28.1% +34.8 4
1993-06-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-4 1236 1285 28.1% 18.2% 53.6% -34.8 3
1993-06-07 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1252 1336 35.4% 18.5% 46.1% +13.9 9
1993-06-07 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1336 1252 46.1% 18.5% 35.4% -13.9 3
1993-06-07 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1368 1271 59.3% 17.8% 22.9% -18.5 3
1993-06-07 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1271 1368 22.9% 17.8% 59.3% +18.5 3
1993-06-09 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1292 1373 35.9% 18.5% 45.6% -11.3 1
1993-06-09 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1373 1292 45.6% 18.5% 35.9% +11.3 6
1993-06-10 IA Akranes W 4-2 1322 1466 28.0% 18.2% 53.8% +24.6 6
1993-06-10 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-4 1466 1322 53.8% 18.2% 28.0% -24.7 9
1993-06-10 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1289 1319 43.1% 18.5% 38.4% -0.2 4
1993-06-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1319 1289 38.4% 18.5% 43.1% +0.2 5
1993-06-10 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1266 1349 35.5% 18.5% 46.0% -19.4 9
1993-06-10 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 1349 1266 46.0% 18.5% 35.5% +19.4 6
1993-06-11 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1201 1469 16.1% 16.8% 67.0% +19.5 6
1993-06-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1469 1201 67.0% 16.8% 16.1% -19.5 6
1993-06-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 10-1 1441 1281 65.8% 17.0% 17.2% +39.0 12
1993-06-20 @ IA Akranes L 1-10 1281 1441 17.2% 17.0% 65.8% -39.0 1
1993-06-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1449 1289 65.7% 17.0% 17.2% -2.7 7
1993-06-20 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1289 1449 17.2% 17.0% 65.7% +2.7 5
1993-06-20 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1384 1221 66.1% 17.0% 17.0% +6.1 9
1993-06-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1221 1384 17.0% 17.0% 66.1% -6.1 6
1993-06-20 Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 1369 1347 50.1% 18.4% 31.5% +24.7 9
1993-06-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1347 1369 31.5% 18.4% 50.1% -24.7 6
1993-06-21 Keflavik IF W 5-1 1320 1246 56.6% 18.0% 25.4% +26.4 8
1993-06-21 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-5 1246 1320 25.4% 18.0% 56.6% -26.4 9
1993-06-23 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-1 1322 1241 57.5% 17.9% 24.6% +19.9 9
1993-06-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1241 1322 24.6% 17.9% 57.5% -19.9 1
1993-06-24 Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1292 1391 33.5% 18.4% 48.0% +1.0 6
1993-06-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1391 1292 48.0% 18.4% 33.5% -1.0 10
1993-06-24 KR Reykjavik L 1-4 1220 1446 19.5% 17.4% 63.1% -16.0 9
1993-06-24 @ Keflavik IF W 4-1 1446 1220 63.1% 17.4% 19.5% +16.0 10
1993-06-24 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1393 1346 53.4% 18.2% 28.3% -15.8 9
1993-06-24 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1346 1393 28.3% 18.2% 53.4% +15.8 11
1993-06-25 IA Akranes L 1-3 1215 1480 16.3% 16.9% 66.9% -9.6 6
1993-06-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1480 1215 66.9% 16.9% 16.3% +9.6 15
1993-06-30 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1462 1378 57.9% 17.9% 24.1% +16.0 13
1993-06-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1378 1462 24.1% 17.9% 57.9% -16.0 9
1993-07-01 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1362 1342 49.9% 18.4% 31.7% +17.6 14
1993-07-01 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1342 1362 31.7% 18.4% 49.9% -17.6 9
1993-07-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1490 1293 69.0% 16.5% 14.5% +8.5 18
1993-07-01 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1293 1490 14.5% 16.5% 69.0% -8.6 6
1993-07-01 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1390 1204 68.0% 16.7% 15.3% -4.0 11
1993-07-01 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1204 1390 15.3% 16.7% 68.0% +4.0 10
1993-07-01 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1222 1205 49.5% 18.4% 32.1% -29.5 1
1993-07-01 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1205 1222 32.1% 18.4% 49.5% +29.5 9
1993-07-14 Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1362 1386 44.0% 18.5% 37.5% +11.7 12
1993-07-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1386 1362 37.5% 18.5% 44.0% -11.7 11
1993-07-15 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1379 1478 33.5% 18.4% 48.0% +28.8 17
1993-07-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1478 1379 48.0% 18.4% 33.5% -28.8 13
1993-07-15 Fylkir Reykjavik W 5-0 1325 1235 58.5% 17.9% 23.6% +36.6 12
1993-07-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-5 1235 1325 23.6% 17.9% 58.5% -36.6 9
1993-07-15 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1284 1192 58.8% 17.8% 23.4% +7.4 9
1993-07-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1192 1284 23.4% 17.8% 58.8% -7.4 1
1993-07-15 IA Akranes L 1-2 1208 1498 14.5% 16.5% 69.0% -4.9 10
1993-07-15 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1498 1208 69.0% 16.5% 14.5% +4.9 21
1993-07-22 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1198 1292 34.2% 18.5% 47.3% -10.8 9
1993-07-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1292 1198 47.3% 18.5% 34.2% +10.8 12
1993-07-22 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1503 1373 62.8% 17.4% 19.8% +7.1 24
1993-07-22 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1373 1503 19.8% 17.4% 62.8% -7.0 12
1993-07-22 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1374 1408 42.5% 18.5% 39.0% -0.3 12
1993-07-22 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-0 1408 1374 39.0% 18.5% 42.5% +0.3 18
1993-07-22 Keflavik IF L 0-1 1185 1203 44.8% 18.5% 36.7% -14.4 1
1993-07-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1203 1185 36.7% 18.5% 44.8% +14.4 13
1993-07-23 Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 1450 1361 58.3% 17.9% 23.8% -42.0 13
1993-07-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-1 1361 1450 23.8% 17.9% 58.3% +42.0 15
1993-07-26 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1170 1366 22.3% 17.7% 59.9% +3.1 2
1993-07-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1366 1170 59.9% 17.7% 22.3% -3.1 13
1993-07-27 FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-0 1510 1409 59.8% 17.8% 22.4% +34.9 27
1993-07-27 @ IA Akranes L 0-5 1409 1510 22.4% 17.8% 59.8% -34.9 18
1993-07-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-1 1403 1302 59.7% 17.8% 22.5% +23.7 18
1993-07-28 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-5 1302 1403 22.5% 17.8% 59.7% -23.7 12
1993-07-29 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1187 1217 43.1% 18.5% 38.4% -0.2 10
1993-07-29 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 2-2 1217 1187 38.4% 18.5% 43.1% +0.2 14
1993-07-29 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1374 1408 42.5% 18.5% 39.0% -13.0 12
1993-07-29 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1408 1374 39.0% 18.5% 42.5% +13.0 16
1993-08-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-2 1374 1173 69.3% 16.4% 14.3% +7.5 21
1993-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-4 1173 1374 14.3% 16.4% 69.3% -7.5 2
1993-08-08 IA Akranes L 1-4 1421 1545 30.2% 18.3% 51.4% -23.9 16
1993-08-08 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-1 1545 1421 51.4% 18.3% 30.2% +23.9 30
1993-08-08 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1361 1427 37.9% 18.5% 43.5% +14.0 15
1993-08-08 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1427 1361 43.5% 18.5% 37.9% -14.0 18
1993-08-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1217 1279 38.6% 18.5% 42.8% +49.5 17
1993-08-09 @ Keflavik IF L 0-4 1279 1217 42.8% 18.5% 38.6% -49.5 12
1993-08-09 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-2 1363 1187 67.2% 16.8% 16.0% +8.4 16
1993-08-09 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1187 1363 16.0% 16.8% 67.2% -8.4 10
1993-08-11 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1166 1397 19.1% 17.3% 63.6% +17.6 5
1993-08-11 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1397 1166 63.6% 17.3% 19.1% -17.6 16
1993-08-12 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1413 1267 64.4% 17.2% 18.4% +6.2 21
1993-08-12 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1267 1413 18.4% 17.2% 64.4% -6.2 17
1993-08-12 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 1178 1381 21.7% 17.7% 60.7% -14.5 10
1993-08-12 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1381 1178 60.7% 17.7% 21.7% +14.5 24
1993-08-12 Thor Akureyri W 6-0 1569 1375 68.8% 16.5% 14.7% +27.7 33
1993-08-12 @ IA Akranes L 0-6 1375 1569 14.7% 16.5% 68.8% -27.8 15
1993-08-12 Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1229 1372 28.1% 18.2% 53.7% -18.3 12
1993-08-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1372 1229 53.7% 18.2% 28.1% +18.3 19
1993-08-18 Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-3 1379 1164 70.5% 16.2% 13.3% -35.5 16
1993-08-18 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1164 1379 13.3% 16.2% 70.5% +35.5 13
1993-08-19 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1597 1419 67.3% 16.8% 15.9% -2.4 34
1993-08-19 @ IA Akranes D 3-3 1419 1597 15.9% 16.8% 67.3% +2.4 22
1993-08-19 Vikingur Reykjavik W 5-1 1347 1184 66.0% 17.0% 17.0% +18.2 18
1993-08-19 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-5 1184 1347 17.0% 17.0% 66.0% -18.2 5
1993-08-20 Keflavik IF L 0-2 1390 1261 62.7% 17.4% 19.8% -36.7 19
1993-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1261 1390 19.8% 17.4% 62.7% +36.7 20
1993-08-22 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1199 1365 25.5% 18.0% 56.5% +17.6 16
1993-08-22 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1365 1199 56.5% 18.0% 25.5% -17.6 18
1993-08-22 KR Reykjavik L 2-4 1211 1344 29.2% 18.3% 52.5% -14.7 12
1993-08-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-2 1344 1211 52.5% 18.3% 29.2% +14.7 19
1993-08-23 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1297 1396 33.6% 18.4% 47.9% -11.3 20
1993-08-23 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1396 1297 47.9% 18.4% 33.6% +11.3 27
1993-08-24 Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 1422 1353 56.0% 18.1% 25.9% +8.1 25
1993-08-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1353 1422 25.9% 18.1% 56.0% -8.1 19
1993-08-26 IA Akranes L 1-3 1165 1595 7.5% 13.9% 78.7% -4.3 5
1993-08-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 1595 1165 78.7% 13.9% 7.5% +4.3 37
1993-08-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 1407 1196 70.1% 16.2% 13.6% +8.0 30
1993-08-27 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1196 1407 13.6% 16.2% 70.1% -8.0 12
1993-09-03 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1161 1430 16.1% 16.8% 67.1% +39.1 8
1993-09-03 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1430 1161 67.1% 16.8% 16.1% -39.1 25
1993-09-04 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1415 1345 56.2% 18.1% 25.8% -2.2 31
1993-09-04 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1345 1415 25.8% 18.1% 56.2% +2.2 20
1993-09-04 Fylkir Reykjavik W 4-1 1599 1217 81.2% 12.9% 6.0% +4.8 40
1993-09-04 @ IA Akranes L 1-4 1217 1599 6.0% 12.9% 81.2% -4.8 16
1993-09-04 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1358 1286 56.5% 18.0% 25.5% -1.7 20
1993-09-04 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1286 1358 25.5% 18.0% 56.5% +1.7 21
1993-09-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1347 1188 65.6% 17.0% 17.3% -3.6 19
1993-09-04 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1188 1347 17.3% 17.0% 65.6% +3.6 13
1993-09-11 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1212 1200 48.9% 18.4% 32.7% -14.6 16
1993-09-11 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-1 1200 1212 32.7% 18.4% 48.9% +14.6 11
1993-09-11 IA Akranes L 2-5 1192 1604 8.1% 14.2% 77.7% -5.8 13
1993-09-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-2 1604 1192 77.7% 14.2% 8.1% +5.8 43
1993-09-11 Thor Akureyri W 5-2 1288 1344 39.4% 18.5% 42.1% +27.3 24
1993-09-11 @ Keflavik IF L 2-5 1344 1288 42.1% 18.5% 39.4% -27.3 19
1993-09-11 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1347 1357 46.0% 18.5% 35.5% -0.7 21
1993-09-11 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1357 1347 35.5% 18.5% 46.0% +0.7 21
1993-09-12 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-4 1391 1413 44.2% 18.5% 37.3% -50.8 25
1993-09-12 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-0 1413 1391 37.3% 18.5% 44.2% +50.8 34
1993-09-18 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 1198 1340 28.1% 18.2% 53.6% +46.1 19
1993-09-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-3 1340 1198 53.6% 18.2% 28.1% -46.1 25
1993-09-18 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1609 1315 76.2% 14.7% 9.1% +6.2 46
1993-09-18 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1315 1609 9.1% 14.7% 76.2% -6.2 24
1993-09-18 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1316 1347 43.1% 18.5% 38.4% -0.3 20
1993-09-18 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1347 1316 38.4% 18.5% 43.1% +0.3 22
1993-09-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-9 1215 1186 51.1% 18.3% 30.6% -66.0 11
1993-09-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 9-2 1186 1215 30.6% 18.3% 51.1% +66.0 16
1993-09-19 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1357 1464 32.6% 18.4% 49.0% -10.4 21
1993-09-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1464 1357 49.0% 18.4% 32.6% +10.4 37
1993-09-25 Thor Akureyri W 4-1 1474 1316 65.5% 17.1% 17.4% +14.5 40
1993-09-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-4 1316 1474 17.4% 17.1% 65.5% -14.5 20
1993-09-25 KR Reykjavik L 2-4 1294 1347 39.8% 18.6% 41.7% -19.0 25
1993-09-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1347 1294 41.7% 18.6% 39.8% +19.0 24
1993-09-25 Fylkir Reykjavik W 1-0 1252 1244 48.4% 18.4% 33.2% +11.2 19
1993-09-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1244 1252 33.2% 18.4% 48.4% -11.2 19
1993-09-25 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1309 1149 65.7% 17.0% 17.2% +5.5 27
1993-09-25 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 1149 1309 17.2% 17.0% 65.7% -5.5 11
1993-09-25 IA Akranes L 0-2 1347 1616 16.1% 16.8% 67.1% -10.9 22
1993-09-25 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1616 1347 67.1% 16.8% 16.1% +10.9 49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1993-08-18 13.33% Fylkir Reykjavik 1164 3 @ KR Reykjavik 1379 1
2 1993-09-03 16.06% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1161 2 Fram Reykjavik 1430 0
3 1993-06-11 16.13% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1201 2 KR Reykjavik 1469 1
4 1993-08-11 19.09% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1166 3 KR Reykjavik 1397 2
5 1993-08-20 19.84% Keflavik IF 1261 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1390 0
6 1993-06-07 22.90% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1271 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1368 0
7 1993-07-23 23.78% Fram Reykjavik 1361 4 @ KR Reykjavik 1450 1
8 1993-08-22 25.48% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1199 1 Thor Akureyri 1365 0
9 1993-05-28 25.53% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1219 2 Valur Reykjavik 1384 1
10 1993-05-27 27.90% Keflavik IF 1236 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1287 1
11 1993-06-10 27.98% @ Fram Reykjavik 1322 4 IA Akranes 1466 2
12 1993-09-18 28.15% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1198 3 Fram Reykjavik 1340 0
13 1993-06-24 28.33% FH Hafnarfjordur 1346 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 1393 1
14 1993-09-18 30.58% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1186 9 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1215 2
15 1993-07-01 32.10% Fylkir Reykjavik 1205 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1222 0
16 1993-09-11 32.68% Vikingur Reykjavik 1200 2 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1212 1
17 1993-07-15 33.50% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1379 2 KR Reykjavik 1478 0
18 1993-06-07 35.41% @ Keflavik IF 1252 2 Fram Reykjavik 1336 1
19 1993-07-22 36.71% Keflavik IF 1203 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1185 0
20 1993-09-12 37.28% FH Hafnarfjordur 1413 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1391 0
21 1993-05-27 37.32% Thor Akureyri 1372 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1350 1
22 1993-08-08 37.91% @ Thor Akureyri 1361 1 Fram Reykjavik 1427 0
23 1993-08-09 38.64% @ Keflavik IF 1217 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1279 0
24 1993-07-29 38.95% KR Reykjavik 1408 2 @ Thor Akureyri 1374 1
25 1993-09-11 39.38% @ Keflavik IF 1288 5 Thor Akureyri 1344 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-09-18 66.00 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 9 1186 30.58% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1215 51.08%
2 1993-05-23 59.87 IA Akranes 5 1381 39.58% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1343 41.88%
3 1993-09-12 50.81 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1413 37.28% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1391 44.20%
4 1993-08-09 49.48 @ Keflavik IF 4 1217 38.64% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1279 42.82%
5 1993-09-18 46.09 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1198 28.15% Fram Reykjavik 0 1340 53.64%
6 1993-07-23 41.99 Fram Reykjavik 4 1361 23.78% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1450 58.34%
7 1993-09-03 39.14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1161 16.06% Fram Reykjavik 0 1430 67.13%
8 1993-06-20 39.05 @ IA Akranes 10 1441 65.79% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1281 17.18%
9 1993-08-20 36.70 Keflavik IF 2 1261 19.84% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1390 62.72%
10 1993-07-15 36.60 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1325 58.54% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1235 23.59%
11 1993-08-18 35.48 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1164 13.33% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1379 70.49%
12 1993-07-27 34.92 @ IA Akranes 5 1510 59.84% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1409 22.41%
13 1993-06-07 34.76 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 4 1285 53.64% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1236 28.15%
14 1993-07-01 29.53 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1205 32.10% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1222 49.50%
15 1993-07-15 28.77 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 1379 33.50% KR Reykjavik 0 1478 48.05%
16 1993-08-12 27.75 @ IA Akranes 6 1569 68.80% Thor Akureyri 0 1375 14.69%
17 1993-09-11 27.26 @ Keflavik IF 5 1288 39.38% Thor Akureyri 2 1344 42.07%
18 1993-06-21 26.41 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1320 56.62% Keflavik IF 1 1246 25.36%
19 1993-06-20 24.71 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 1369 50.15% Fram Reykjavik 1 1347 31.47%
20 1993-06-10 24.65 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1322 27.98% IA Akranes 2 1466 53.81%
21 1993-08-08 23.88 IA Akranes 4 1545 51.44% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1421 30.24%
22 1993-07-28 23.71 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1403 59.73% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1302 22.51%
23 1993-06-06 21.12 @ KR Reykjavik 7 1448 63.28% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1313 19.35%
24 1993-06-23 19.88 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1322 57.49% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1241 24.56%
25 1993-06-11 19.54 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1201 16.13% KR Reykjavik 1 1469 67.04%