1984 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

1.20 points above expected

26 points · 27.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KA Akureyri

13.83 points below expected

12 points · 25.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 18 12 2 4 26 33 18 +15 27.2 -1.20
2 Valur Reykjavik 18 7 7 4 21 24 16 +8 23.0 -1.99
3 KR Reykjavik 18 6 7 5 19 20 23 -3 21.8 -2.79
4 Keflavik IF 18 8 3 7 19 19 22 -3 23.4 -4.43
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 6 6 6 18 29 28 +1 22.9 -4.92
6 Throttur Reykjavik 18 5 7 6 17 19 19 0 22.6 -5.55
7 Fram Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 16 23 22 +1 26.2 -10.24
8 Thor Akureyri 18 6 4 8 16 25 25 0 22.1 -6.05
9 Breidablik 18 4 8 6 16 17 20 -3 23.4 -7.36
10 KA Akureyri 18 4 4 10 12 23 39 -16 25.8 -13.83

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1037 26 27.20 -1.20 98.4% 10 19 24 27 31 36 48
Fram Reykjavik 1008 16 26.24 -10.24 23.3% 9 18 23 26 30 35 48
Valur Reykjavik 987 21 22.99 -1.99 85.8% 6 15 19 23 26 32 45
Vikingur Reykjavik 968 18 22.92 -4.92 62.5% 5 15 19 23 26 31 42
Breidablik 962 16 23.36 -7.36 29.6% 6 15 20 23 27 32 42
Thor Akureyri 959 16 22.05 -6.05 53.8% 5 14 19 22 25 31 42
KR Reykjavik 958 19 21.79 -2.79 77.3% 6 14 18 22 25 30 41
Throttur Reykjavik 957 17 22.55 -5.55 50.9% 7 14 19 22 26 31 44
KA Akureyri 947 12 25.83 -13.83 3.4% 6 17 22 26 29 35 44
Keflavik IF 945 19 23.43 -4.43 78.5% 6 15 20 23 27 32 45

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FR IA KA KR KI TA TR VR VR
Breidablik
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.24
2-0-0
2.47
0-2-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.60
Fram Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.68
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.92
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
3.04
KA Akureyri
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
3.03
KR Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.48
2-0-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
2.57
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.59
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.91
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.70
Thor Akureyri
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
2.61
Throttur Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.58
Valur Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.64
0-2-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.65
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.30
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.61

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%10.00%4.44%4.44%0.56%30.56%
110.00%10.00%7.78%2.22%0.56%30.56%
24.44%7.78%5.56%3.33%1.11%1.11%23.33%
34.44%2.22%3.33%2.22%12.22%
40.56%0.56%1.11%2.22%
5+1.11%1.11%
Total30.56%30.56%23.33%12.22%2.22%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.17
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game2.58
Correlation (home vs away score)0.130
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
116.67%11.11%16.67%44.44%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total38.89%22.22%27.78%11.11%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.94
Mean allowed1.11
StdDev scored0.87
StdDev allowed1.08
Mean total goals/game2.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.382
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
116.67%11.11%16.67%44.44%
25.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total33.33%27.78%22.22%16.67%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.055
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
116.67%11.11%27.78%
216.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
311.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total50.00%16.67%22.22%5.56%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored0.86
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.111
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%5.56%33.33%
111.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total5.56%27.78%38.89%11.11%11.11%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed2.17
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.42
Mean total goals/game3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.073
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%5.56%38.89%
111.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
4
5+
Total44.44%16.67%16.67%16.67%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.13
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game2.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.225
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%33.33%
116.67%5.56%11.11%33.33%
222.22%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total27.78%44.44%11.11%11.11%5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.17
Mean total goals/game2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.042
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%11.11%38.89%
111.11%11.11%
25.56%11.11%5.56%11.11%33.33%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%50.00%11.11%22.22%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.39
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.011
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%5.56%38.89%
111.11%5.56%11.11%27.78%
25.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total38.89%22.22%33.33%5.56%100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed1.06
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.388
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%33.33%
15.56%22.22%5.56%33.33%
211.11%11.11%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total27.78%55.56%16.67%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed0.68
Mean total goals/game2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.423
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%27.78%
15.56%11.11%11.11%27.78%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
311.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%22.22%33.33%22.22%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.56
StdDev scored1.58
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.004
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 26 27.2 -1.20
2 Valur Reykjavik 21 23.0 -1.99
3 KR Reykjavik 19 21.8 -2.79
4 Keflavik IF 19 23.4 -4.43
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 22.9 -4.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 12 25.8 -13.83
2 Fram Reykjavik 16 26.2 -10.24
3 Breidablik 16 23.4 -7.36
4 Thor Akureyri 16 22.1 -6.05
5 Throttur Reykjavik 17 22.6 -5.55

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 9 Jun 6 – Jul 21 1 in 7,169
2 Keflavik IF 4 May 26 – Jun 12 1 in 141
3 Valur Reykjavik 3 Jul 27 – Aug 20 1 in 48
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 Jul 21 – Jul 28 1 in 46
5 Thor Akureyri 3 Aug 14 – Sep 1 1 in 37

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 4 Aug 19 – Sep 15 1 in 116
2 KA Akureyri 4 Jul 22 – Aug 18 1 in 104
3 Thor Akureyri 3 May 27 – Jun 7 1 in 21
4 KR Reykjavik 3 Jun 8 – Jun 16 1 in 19
5 IA Akranes 2 Jul 28 – Aug 14 1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 10 Jun 2 – Jul 21 1 in 29
2 Keflavik IF 7 May 18 – Jun 15 1 in 20
3 Valur Reykjavik 6 Jul 27 – Sep 16 1 in 12
4 Thor Akureyri 5 Jul 27 – Sep 8 1 in 8
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 4 Jul 21 – Aug 16 1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KA Akureyri 7 Jul 22 – Sep 15 1 in 17
2 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jul 8 – Aug 14 1 in 12
3 Breidablik 6 Jun 30 – Aug 16 1 in 11
4 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 18 – Jun 11 1 in 7
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 May 17 – Jun 13 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
IA Akranes25.48%17.59%13.66%10.57%8.65%7.28%6.07%5.01%3.49%2.20%
Valur Reykjavik7.23%8.73%9.70%10.24%10.64%11.16%9.94%10.74%10.96%10.66%
KR Reykjavik4.06%5.58%7.12%8.33%9.09%10.81%11.29%12.54%14.51%16.67%
Keflavik IF6.92%9.19%9.52%10.35%10.37%10.65%10.36%11.30%10.91%10.43%
Vikingur Reykjavik6.66%8.06%8.93%10.04%10.03%10.56%11.24%10.95%11.64%11.89%
Throttur Reykjavik5.70%7.47%8.63%8.65%10.04%10.45%11.54%11.77%12.40%13.35%
Fram Reykjavik17.72%15.34%13.53%11.55%10.32%8.64%7.65%6.17%5.38%3.70%
Thor Akureyri4.71%6.28%7.51%8.69%9.89%10.19%12.01%12.47%13.18%15.07%
Breidablik6.98%8.65%9.45%10.11%9.99%10.89%11.23%11.02%11.07%10.61%
KA Akureyri14.54%13.11%11.95%11.47%10.98%9.37%8.67%8.03%6.46%5.42%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 94.3% 5.7%
Fram Reykjavik 90.9% 9.1%
KA Akureyri 88.1% 11.9%
Keflavik IF 78.7% 21.3%
Valur Reykjavik 78.4% 21.6%
Breidablik 78.3% 21.7%
Vikingur Reykjavik 76.5% 23.5%
Throttur Reykjavik 74.2% 25.8%
Thor Akureyri 71.8% 28.2%
KR Reykjavik 68.8% 31.2%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1984-05-17 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 964 958 36.7% 35.9% 27.4% -0.2 1
1984-05-17 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 958 964 27.4% 35.9% 36.7% +0.2 1
1984-05-18 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 988 1012 32.2% 36.9% 31.0% +4.3 3
1984-05-18 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1012 988 31.0% 36.9% 32.2% -4.3 0
1984-05-18 Keflavik IF D 0-0 956 956 35.7% 36.2% 28.1% -0.2 1
1984-05-18 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 956 956 28.1% 36.2% 35.7% +0.2 1
1984-05-20 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1013 956 45.5% 31.1% 23.4% -5.1 0
1984-05-20 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 956 1013 23.4% 31.1% 45.5% +5.1 3
1984-05-20 Breidablik D 0-0 954 970 33.3% 36.8% 30.0% -0.1 1
1984-05-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 970 954 30.0% 36.8% 33.3% +0.1 1
1984-05-23 KA Akureyri D 1-1 956 1008 28.4% 36.4% 35.2% +0.2 2
1984-05-23 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1008 956 35.2% 36.4% 28.4% -0.1 1
1984-05-23 Breidablik D 1-1 958 970 33.9% 36.7% 29.5% -0.1 2
1984-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 970 958 29.5% 36.7% 33.9% +0.1 2
1984-05-26 Keflavik IF L 1-2 993 956 41.8% 33.5% 24.8% -4.9 3
1984-05-26 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 956 993 24.8% 33.5% 41.8% +4.9 5
1984-05-26 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1007 964 43.0% 32.7% 24.2% -0.3 2
1984-05-26 @ KA Akureyri D 3-3 964 1007 24.2% 32.7% 43.0% +0.3 2
1984-05-26 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 956 958 35.3% 36.3% 28.3% -0.2 2
1984-05-26 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 958 956 28.3% 36.3% 35.3% +0.2 3
1984-05-27 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 970 1007 30.2% 36.8% 33.0% -4.2 2
1984-05-27 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1007 970 33.0% 36.8% 30.2% +4.2 3
1984-05-27 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 954 961 34.6% 36.5% 28.9% +11.3 4
1984-05-27 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-3 961 954 28.9% 36.5% 34.6% -11.3 3
1984-05-31 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 958 1012 28.2% 36.3% 35.5% +4.2 6
1984-05-31 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 1012 958 35.5% 36.3% 28.2% -4.2 3
1984-06-02 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-2 1007 965 42.8% 32.9% 24.3% -0.3 4
1984-06-02 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 965 1007 24.3% 32.9% 42.8% +0.3 5
1984-06-02 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-0 961 966 35.0% 36.4% 28.6% +4.1 8
1984-06-02 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 966 961 28.6% 36.4% 35.0% -4.1 5
1984-06-02 Breidablik L 0-1 950 966 33.2% 36.8% 30.0% -4.5 3
1984-06-02 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 966 950 30.0% 36.8% 33.2% +4.5 5
1984-06-02 IA Akranes D 2-2 964 988 32.1% 36.9% 31.0% -0.0 3
1984-06-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 988 964 31.0% 36.9% 32.1% +0.0 4
1984-06-03 KA Akureyri L 1-2 955 1007 28.4% 36.4% 35.2% -3.8 2
1984-06-03 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1007 955 35.2% 36.4% 28.4% +3.8 5
1984-06-06 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 988 952 41.8% 33.5% 24.8% +3.6 7
1984-06-06 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 952 988 24.8% 33.5% 41.8% -3.6 2
1984-06-06 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 962 964 35.3% 36.3% 28.4% +4.1 8
1984-06-06 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 964 962 28.4% 36.3% 35.3% -4.1 3
1984-06-07 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1007 945 46.4% 30.5% 23.2% +3.3 7
1984-06-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 945 1007 23.2% 30.5% 46.4% -3.3 3
1984-06-08 Keflavik IF L 0-1 970 965 36.5% 35.9% 27.5% -4.8 5
1984-06-08 @ Breidablik W 1-0 965 970 27.5% 35.9% 36.5% +4.8 11
1984-06-08 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1011 962 44.0% 32.1% 23.9% +6.5 8
1984-06-08 @ KA Akureyri L 0-2 962 1011 23.9% 32.1% 44.0% -6.5 6
1984-06-11 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 948 966 33.0% 36.8% 30.2% -0.1 3
1984-06-11 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 966 948 30.2% 36.8% 33.0% +0.1 9
1984-06-12 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 970 1010 29.8% 36.7% 33.5% +4.3 14
1984-06-12 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1010 970 33.5% 36.7% 29.8% -4.3 7
1984-06-12 Thor Akureyri L 2-5 956 942 38.0% 35.4% 26.6% -9.8 6
1984-06-12 @ KR Reykjavik W 5-2 942 956 26.6% 35.4% 38.0% +9.8 6
1984-06-13 IA Akranes L 0-2 1017 991 40.0% 34.4% 25.6% -9.5 8
1984-06-13 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 991 1017 25.6% 34.4% 40.0% +9.5 10
1984-06-13 Breidablik D 2-2 960 966 34.8% 36.4% 28.7% -0.1 4
1984-06-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 966 960 28.7% 36.4% 34.8% +0.1 6
1984-06-15 Keflavik IF D 0-0 952 974 32.3% 36.9% 30.9% -0.0 7
1984-06-15 @ Thor Akureyri D 0-0 974 952 30.9% 36.9% 32.3% +0.0 15
1984-06-16 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 966 948 38.6% 35.1% 26.3% -4.6 6
1984-06-16 @ Breidablik W 2-1 948 966 26.3% 35.1% 38.6% +4.7 6
1984-06-16 Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1006 960 43.5% 32.4% 24.1% -5.0 7
1984-06-16 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 960 1006 24.1% 32.4% 43.5% +5.0 7
1984-06-16 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1001 946 45.1% 31.4% 23.5% +6.3 13
1984-06-16 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 946 1001 23.5% 31.4% 45.1% -6.3 6
1984-06-18 KA Akureyri L 2-3 966 1008 29.5% 36.7% 33.8% -3.7 9
1984-06-18 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-2 1008 966 33.8% 36.7% 29.5% +3.7 11
1984-06-22 Breidablik L 0-1 1012 961 44.3% 31.9% 23.8% -5.3 11
1984-06-22 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 961 1012 23.8% 31.9% 44.3% +5.3 9
1984-06-23 Thor Akureyri W 3-2 1007 952 45.2% 31.3% 23.5% +3.0 16
1984-06-23 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 952 1007 23.5% 31.3% 45.2% -3.0 7
1984-06-23 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 1010 962 43.9% 32.1% 23.9% +6.5 19
1984-06-23 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 962 1010 23.9% 32.1% 43.9% -6.5 9
1984-06-23 Thor Akureyri L 0-2 965 949 38.4% 35.2% 26.4% -9.3 7
1984-06-23 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 949 965 26.4% 35.2% 38.4% +9.3 10
1984-06-24 Keflavik IF W 1-0 940 974 30.6% 36.8% 32.6% +4.5 9
1984-06-24 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 974 940 32.6% 36.8% 30.6% -4.5 15
1984-06-25 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 953 1001 28.8% 36.5% 34.7% +0.1 7
1984-06-25 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1001 953 34.7% 36.5% 28.8% -0.1 8
1984-06-28 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 955 944 37.5% 35.6% 26.9% -0.3 10
1984-06-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 944 955 26.9% 35.6% 37.5% +0.3 10
1984-06-29 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 958 953 36.5% 35.9% 27.5% -4.3 10
1984-06-29 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-2 953 958 27.5% 35.9% 36.5% +4.3 10
1984-06-30 IA Akranes L 1-2 966 1017 28.6% 36.4% 35.0% -3.9 9
1984-06-30 @ Breidablik W 2-1 1017 966 35.0% 36.4% 28.6% +3.9 22
1984-07-01 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1001 1006 34.8% 36.4% 28.7% +7.7 11
1984-07-01 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1006 1001 28.7% 36.4% 34.8% -7.7 11
1984-07-01 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 970 956 38.0% 35.4% 26.6% +6.3 18
1984-07-01 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 956 970 26.6% 35.4% 38.0% -6.3 7
1984-07-07 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 963 955 36.9% 35.8% 27.3% -0.3 10
1984-07-07 @ Breidablik D 0-0 955 963 27.3% 35.8% 36.9% +0.2 11
1984-07-07 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 945 949 34.9% 36.4% 28.6% -12.7 10
1984-07-07 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-0 949 945 28.6% 36.4% 34.9% +12.8 10
1984-07-08 IA Akranes L 0-1 1009 1021 33.9% 36.7% 29.5% -4.6 11
1984-07-08 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1021 1009 29.5% 36.7% 33.9% +4.6 25
1984-07-08 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 976 957 38.9% 35.0% 26.2% +3.8 21
1984-07-08 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 957 976 26.2% 35.0% 38.9% -3.8 10
1984-07-08 KA Akureyri D 1-1 954 999 29.2% 36.6% 34.2% +0.1 11
1984-07-08 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 999 954 34.2% 36.6% 29.2% -0.1 12
1984-07-11 KR Reykjavik D 3-3 962 932 40.8% 34.0% 25.2% -0.2 11
1984-07-11 @ Breidablik D 3-3 932 962 25.2% 34.0% 40.8% +0.2 11
1984-07-11 Keflavik IF W 4-2 999 980 38.7% 35.1% 26.2% +5.6 15
1984-07-11 @ KA Akureyri L 2-4 980 999 26.2% 35.1% 38.7% -5.5 21
1984-07-13 IA Akranes L 0-3 954 1025 26.4% 35.2% 38.4% -10.5 11
1984-07-13 @ Thor Akureyri W 3-0 1025 954 38.4% 35.2% 26.4% +10.5 28
1984-07-14 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 953 962 34.3% 36.6% 29.1% +11.3 13
1984-07-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 962 953 29.1% 36.6% 34.3% -11.3 10
1984-07-15 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 955 1004 28.8% 36.5% 34.8% +4.1 14
1984-07-15 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 2-3 1004 955 34.8% 36.5% 28.8% -4.2 11
1984-07-21 IA Akranes L 1-2 974 1036 27.4% 35.9% 36.8% -3.7 21
1984-07-21 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1036 974 36.8% 35.9% 27.4% +3.7 31
1984-07-21 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 932 965 30.8% 36.9% 32.3% +0.0 12
1984-07-21 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 965 932 32.3% 36.9% 30.8% -0.0 14
1984-07-21 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 951 965 33.6% 36.7% 29.7% +4.2 13
1984-07-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 965 951 29.7% 36.7% 33.6% -4.2 14
1984-07-22 Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 943 960 33.2% 36.8% 30.0% -4.5 11
1984-07-22 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 960 943 30.0% 36.8% 33.2% +4.5 17
1984-07-22 KA Akureyri W 6-2 955 1004 28.7% 36.5% 34.8% +11.8 16
1984-07-22 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-6 1004 955 34.8% 36.5% 28.7% -11.8 15
1984-07-23 Breidablik D 0-0 1000 962 42.0% 33.3% 24.6% -0.5 12
1984-07-23 @ Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 962 1000 24.6% 33.3% 42.0% +0.5 12
1984-07-26 Keflavik IF L 1-2 964 971 34.7% 36.5% 28.8% -4.4 17
1984-07-26 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 971 964 28.8% 36.5% 34.7% +4.4 24
1984-07-27 Thor Akureyri D 2-2 963 939 39.6% 34.6% 25.8% -0.2 13
1984-07-27 @ Breidablik D 2-2 939 963 25.8% 34.6% 39.6% +0.2 12
1984-07-27 Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 992 960 41.0% 33.9% 25.1% -11.8 15
1984-07-27 @ KA Akureyri W 4-1 960 992 25.1% 33.9% 41.0% +11.8 17
1984-07-28 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 999 932 47.4% 29.8% 22.9% -5.2 12
1984-07-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 932 999 22.9% 29.8% 47.4% +5.2 15
1984-07-28 Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 1039 967 48.3% 29.0% 22.6% -5.0 31
1984-07-28 @ IA Akranes W 3-2 967 1039 22.6% 29.0% 48.3% +5.0 19
1984-08-14 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 939 994 28.0% 36.2% 35.8% +12.9 15
1984-08-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-3 994 939 35.8% 36.2% 28.0% -12.9 12
1984-08-14 IA Akranes W 4-2 972 1034 27.3% 35.8% 36.9% +7.0 20
1984-08-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 1034 972 36.9% 35.8% 27.3% -7.0 31
1984-08-15 KA Akureyri W 2-0 937 981 29.4% 36.6% 33.9% +8.6 18
1984-08-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 981 937 33.9% 36.6% 29.4% -8.6 15
1984-08-16 Breidablik W 2-1 975 962 37.8% 35.5% 26.8% +3.6 27
1984-08-16 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 962 975 26.8% 35.5% 37.8% -3.6 13
1984-08-16 Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 972 960 37.7% 35.5% 26.8% -0.3 20
1984-08-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 960 972 26.8% 35.5% 37.7% +0.3 18
1984-08-18 KA Akureyri W 3-1 1027 972 45.2% 31.3% 23.5% +5.5 34
1984-08-18 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 972 1027 23.5% 31.3% 45.2% -5.5 15
1984-08-19 Keflavik IF W 1-0 981 979 36.1% 36.1% 27.8% +4.0 15
1984-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 979 981 27.8% 36.1% 36.1% -4.0 27
1984-08-20 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 952 946 36.7% 35.9% 27.4% +6.5 18
1984-08-20 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-3 946 952 27.4% 35.9% 36.7% -6.5 18
1984-08-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 960 979 32.8% 36.8% 30.4% -4.2 18
1984-08-20 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 979 960 30.4% 36.8% 32.8% +4.2 23
1984-08-21 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 959 972 33.7% 36.7% 29.6% +7.9 16
1984-08-21 @ Breidablik L 0-2 972 959 29.6% 36.7% 33.7% -7.9 20
1984-08-31 Throttur Reykjavik D 2-2 966 956 37.4% 35.6% 27.0% -0.2 16
1984-08-31 @ KA Akureyri D 2-2 956 966 27.0% 35.6% 37.4% +0.2 19
1984-09-01 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 975 958 38.4% 35.2% 26.4% -4.6 27
1984-09-01 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 958 975 26.4% 35.2% 38.4% +4.6 21
1984-09-01 IA Akranes D 0-0 939 1033 24.6% 33.2% 42.2% +0.5 19
1984-09-01 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1033 939 42.2% 33.2% 24.6% -0.5 35
1984-09-02 Breidablik D 1-1 983 967 38.5% 35.2% 26.4% -0.3 24
1984-09-02 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 967 983 26.4% 35.2% 38.5% +0.3 17
1984-09-03 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 964 985 32.4% 36.8% 30.8% -7.3 20
1984-09-03 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 985 964 30.8% 36.8% 32.4% +7.3 18
1984-09-06 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 993 983 37.2% 35.7% 27.1% -0.2 19
1984-09-06 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 983 993 27.1% 35.7% 37.2% +0.2 25
1984-09-07 KA Akureyri W 1-0 967 966 35.8% 36.2% 28.0% +4.0 20
1984-09-07 @ Breidablik L 0-1 966 967 28.0% 36.2% 35.8% -4.0 16
1984-09-08 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 970 940 40.7% 34.1% 25.2% -13.9 27
1984-09-08 @ Keflavik IF W 3-0 940 970 25.2% 34.1% 40.7% +13.9 22
1984-09-08 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 963 956 36.8% 35.9% 27.4% -0.2 22
1984-09-08 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 956 963 27.4% 35.9% 36.8% +0.2 21
1984-09-08 IA Akranes W 2-1 956 1032 25.9% 34.8% 39.3% +4.7 22
1984-09-08 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 1-2 1032 956 39.3% 34.8% 25.9% -4.7 35
1984-09-14 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-0 954 961 34.6% 36.5% 28.8% +4.1 25
1984-09-14 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 961 954 28.8% 36.5% 34.6% -4.1 22
1984-09-15 Breidablik W 3-0 1028 971 45.4% 31.1% 23.4% +9.1 38
1984-09-15 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 971 1028 23.4% 31.1% 45.4% -9.1 20
1984-09-15 Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 962 992 31.2% 36.9% 32.0% -15.5 16
1984-09-15 @ KA Akureyri W 4-0 992 962 32.0% 36.9% 31.2% +15.5 22
1984-09-15 Keflavik IF W 3-0 957 956 35.8% 36.2% 28.0% +11.0 24
1984-09-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-3 956 957 28.0% 36.2% 35.8% -11.0 27
1984-09-16 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 983 963 39.1% 34.9% 26.0% +3.8 28
1984-09-16 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 963 983 26.0% 34.9% 39.1% -3.8 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1984-07-28 22.62% Vikingur Reykjavik 967 3 @ IA Akranes 1039 2
2 1984-07-28 22.87% KR Reykjavik 932 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 999 1
3 1984-05-20 23.43% Thor Akureyri 956 2 @ KA Akureyri 1013 1
4 1984-06-22 23.80% Breidablik 961 1 @ KA Akureyri 1012 0
5 1984-06-16 24.09% Vikingur Reykjavik 960 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1006 1
6 1984-05-26 24.75% Keflavik IF 956 2 @ IA Akranes 993 1
7 1984-07-27 25.08% Valur Reykjavik 960 4 @ KA Akureyri 992 1
8 1984-09-08 25.22% KR Reykjavik 940 3 @ Keflavik IF 970 0
9 1984-06-13 25.56% IA Akranes 991 2 @ KA Akureyri 1017 0
10 1984-09-08 25.93% @ Throttur Reykjavik 956 2 IA Akranes 1032 1
11 1984-06-16 26.27% Valur Reykjavik 948 2 @ Breidablik 966 1
12 1984-06-23 26.40% Thor Akureyri 949 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 965 0
13 1984-09-01 26.41% Thor Akureyri 958 2 @ Keflavik IF 975 1
14 1984-06-12 26.62% Thor Akureyri 942 5 @ KR Reykjavik 956 2
15 1984-08-14 27.27% @ Valur Reykjavik 972 4 IA Akranes 1034 2
16 1984-06-08 27.51% Keflavik IF 965 1 @ Breidablik 970 0
17 1984-06-29 27.51% Valur Reykjavik 953 3 @ Thor Akureyri 958 2
18 1984-08-14 28.03% @ Thor Akureyri 939 3 Fram Reykjavik 994 0
19 1984-05-31 28.23% @ KR Reykjavik 958 3 Fram Reykjavik 1012 2
20 1984-07-07 28.63% Vikingur Reykjavik 949 3 @ KR Reykjavik 945 0
21 1984-07-22 28.73% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 955 6 KA Akureyri 1004 2
22 1984-07-15 28.77% @ Throttur Reykjavik 955 3 Fram Reykjavik 1004 2
23 1984-07-26 28.83% Keflavik IF 971 2 @ Throttur Reykjavik 964 1
24 1984-08-15 29.44% @ KR Reykjavik 937 2 KA Akureyri 981 0
25 1984-07-08 29.49% IA Akranes 1021 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1009 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-09-15 15.52 Fram Reykjavik 4 992 31.96% @ KA Akureyri 0 962 31.18%
2 1984-09-08 13.94 KR Reykjavik 3 940 25.22% @ Keflavik IF 0 970 40.71%
3 1984-08-14 12.93 @ Thor Akureyri 3 939 28.03% Fram Reykjavik 0 994 35.78%
4 1984-07-07 12.75 Vikingur Reykjavik 3 949 28.63% @ KR Reykjavik 0 945 34.94%
5 1984-07-27 11.81 Valur Reykjavik 4 960 25.08% @ KA Akureyri 1 992 41.04%
6 1984-07-22 11.75 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 6 955 28.73% KA Akureyri 2 1004 34.81%
7 1984-07-14 11.34 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 953 34.30% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 962 29.12%
8 1984-05-27 11.27 @ Throttur Reykjavik 3 954 34.62% Thor Akureyri 0 961 28.87%
9 1984-09-15 11.02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 957 35.78% Keflavik IF 0 956 28.02%
10 1984-07-13 10.47 IA Akranes 3 1025 38.42% @ Thor Akureyri 0 954 26.38%
11 1984-06-12 9.78 Thor Akureyri 5 942 26.62% @ KR Reykjavik 2 956 37.99%
12 1984-06-13 9.50 IA Akranes 2 991 25.56% @ KA Akureyri 0 1017 40.00%
13 1984-06-23 9.28 Thor Akureyri 2 949 26.40% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 965 38.37%
14 1984-09-15 9.13 @ IA Akranes 3 1028 45.44% Breidablik 0 971 23.44%
15 1984-08-15 8.62 @ KR Reykjavik 2 937 29.44% KA Akureyri 0 981 33.91%
16 1984-08-21 7.90 @ Breidablik 2 959 33.71% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 972 29.60%
17 1984-07-01 7.73 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1001 34.85% KA Akureyri 0 1006 28.70%
18 1984-09-03 7.26 Fram Reykjavik 3 985 30.76% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 964 32.40%
19 1984-08-14 7.03 @ Valur Reykjavik 4 972 27.27% IA Akranes 2 1034 36.92%
20 1984-06-23 6.48 @ IA Akranes 2 1010 43.92% Throttur Reykjavik 0 962 23.94%
21 1984-06-08 6.47 @ KA Akureyri 2 1011 43.96% KR Reykjavik 0 962 23.92%
22 1984-08-20 6.46 @ Thor Akureyri 3 952 36.68% KR Reykjavik 1 946 27.42%
23 1984-06-16 6.33 @ IA Akranes 2 1001 45.08% KR Reykjavik 0 946 23.55%
24 1984-07-01 6.29 @ Keflavik IF 3 970 38.01% Vikingur Reykjavik 1 956 26.61%
25 1984-07-11 5.55 @ KA Akureyri 4 999 38.74% Keflavik IF 2 980 26.20%