1983 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

24 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

4.52 points above expected

24 points · 19.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

B Bolungarvik

4.82 points below expected

13 points · 17.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	IA Akranes	18	10	4	4	24	29	11	+18	19.5	+4.52
2	KR Reykjavik	18	5	10	3	20	18	19	-1	18.2	+1.79
3	Breidablik	18	6	7	5	19	24	18	+6	18.2	+0.83
4	Thor Akureyri	18	5	8	5	18	21	19	+2	17.0	+1.01
5	Valur Reykjavik	18	7	4	7	18	29	31	-2	17.5	+0.48
6	Throttur Reykjavik	18	6	6	6	18	24	31	-7	17.5	+0.47
7	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	4	9	5	17	20	20	0	18.2	-1.20
8	Keflavik IF	18	8	1	9	17	24	27	-3	17.4	-0.43
9	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	18	5	6	7	16	25	26	-1	18.6	-2.65
10	B Bolungarvik	18	2	9	7	13	16	28	-12	17.8	-4.82

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
IA Akranes	971	24	19.48	+4.52	94.7%	8	14	17	19	22	25	34
Breidablik	934	19	18.17	+0.83	66.4%	5	13	16	18	20	23	30
Vikingur Reykjavik	922	17	18.20	-1.20	40.7%	6	13	16	18	20	23	29
KR Reykjavik	915	20	18.21	+1.79	76.5%	7	13	16	18	20	23	30
Throttur Reykjavik	910	18	17.53	+0.47	62.0%	6	12	15	18	20	23	29
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	908	16	18.65	-2.65	25.1%	7	13	16	19	21	24	30
Keflavik IF	908	17	17.43	-0.43	51.2%	6	12	15	17	20	23	28
Thor Akureyri	905	18	16.99	+1.01	67.8%	6	12	15	17	19	22	29
Valur Reykjavik	905	18	17.52	+0.48	62.1%	6	12	15	18	20	23	29
B Bolungarvik	882	13	17.82	-4.82	8.8%	5	13	16	18	20	23	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BB	BRE	IA	IV	KR	KI	TA	TR	VR	VR
B Bolungarvik	—	0-2-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.57	0-0-2 2.71	0-2-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.62
Breidablik	0-2-0 2.68	—	1-0-1 2.49	2-0-0 2.56	0-0-2 2.67	2-0-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.73	0-2-0 2.63
IA Akranes	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.80	—	0-1-1 2.88	0-2-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 2.97	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.73
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.71	1-1-0 2.45	—	0-2-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.86	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.74
KR Reykjavik	0-2-0 2.70	2-0-0 2.63	0-2-0 2.43	0-2-0 2.56	—	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.60
Keflavik IF	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.58	0-0-2 2.28	2-0-0 2.44	1-1-0 2.48	—	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.60
Thor Akureyri	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.52	—	2-0-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.65	0-2-0 2.46
Throttur Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.48	0-2-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.80	—	2-0-0 2.68	0-2-0 2.53
Valur Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.59	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.61	0-0-2 2.61	—	1-1-0 2.51
Vikingur Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.66	0-2-0 2.67	0-0-2 2.54	1-1-0 2.55	0-0-2 2.68	2-0-0 2.68	0-2-0 2.82	0-2-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.77	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.22%	5.00%	5.56%	4.44%	1.67%	0.56%	29.44%
1	5.00%	14.44%	7.78%	2.78%	1.11%	—	31.11%
2	5.56%	7.78%	8.89%	3.33%	—	—	25.56%
3	4.44%	2.78%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.56%
4	1.67%	1.11%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	0.56%	—	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	29.44%	31.11%	25.56%	10.56%	2.78%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.56
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.088
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	16.67%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

B Bolungarvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.89
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.055
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.177
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	55.56%	27.78%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	0.61
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.288
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	—	—	100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.523
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	22.22%	—	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	38.89%	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.06
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.430
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	38.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.493
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	27.78%	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.06
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.211
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	38.89%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	22.22%	33.33%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.105
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	44.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	38.89%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.499
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	27.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	—	11.11%	22.22%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	44.44%	—	—	—	100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.433
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IA Akranes	24	19.5	+4.52
2	KR Reykjavik	20	18.2	+1.79
3	Thor Akureyri	18	17.0	+1.01
4	Breidablik	19	18.2	+0.83
5	Valur Reykjavik	18	17.5	+0.48

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	B Bolungarvik	13	17.8	-4.82
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	16	18.6	-2.65
3	Vikingur Reykjavik	17	18.2	-1.20
4	Keflavik IF	17	17.4	-0.43
5	Throttur Reykjavik	18	17.5	+0.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Keflavik IF	4	Jul 2 – Jul 26	1 in 485
2	Valur Reykjavik	3	Aug 23 – Sep 10	1 in 31
3	IA Akranes	3	Jul 15 – Aug 6	1 in 19
4	Thor Akureyri	2	Jul 9 – Jul 15	1 in 17
5	Throttur Reykjavik	2	Aug 4 – Aug 13	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Keflavik IF	4	Aug 4 – Aug 24	1 in 102
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	Jul 16 – Aug 4	1 in 38
3	Valur Reykjavik	3	May 31 – Jun 10	1 in 24
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	2	May 23 – Jun 1	1 in 12
5	B Bolungarvik	2	Sep 3 – Sep 10	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	7	Jun 7 – Jul 9	1 in 21
2	IA Akranes	8	Jul 15 – Sep 11	1 in 15
3	Keflavik IF	5	Jun 25 – Jul 26	1 in 12
4	KR Reykjavik	5	May 18 – Jun 12	1 in 10
5	Breidablik	7	Jun 12 – Jul 17	1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B Bolungarvik	12	Jun 21 – Sep 10	1 in 122
2	Vikingur Reykjavik	8	Jun 15 – Aug 6	1 in 28
3	KR Reykjavik	7	Jun 12 – Jul 15	1 in 15
4	Breidablik	5	Jul 9 – Aug 13	1 in 11
5	Thor Akureyri	5	May 19 – Jun 10	1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
IA Akranes	22.98%	16.00%	13.28%	10.88%	9.74%	7.73%	6.49%	5.73%	4.17%	3.00%
KR Reykjavik	10.06%	10.59%	10.85%	10.46%	10.48%	10.50%	9.92%	9.44%	9.55%	8.15%
Breidablik	11.17%	10.73%	11.61%	10.86%	10.91%	10.41%	9.60%	9.23%	8.41%	7.07%
Thor Akureyri	5.50%	7.49%	7.94%	9.18%	9.02%	10.35%	11.15%	12.01%	12.13%	15.23%
Valur Reykjavik	6.96%	8.45%	8.99%	9.19%	9.78%	9.94%	11.18%	11.47%	11.59%	12.45%
Throttur Reykjavik	6.50%	8.02%	8.20%	9.08%	9.45%	10.10%	10.93%	12.08%	12.56%	13.08%
Vikingur Reykjavik	9.94%	11.18%	10.82%	10.14%	11.01%	10.67%	9.39%	9.27%	9.00%	8.58%
Keflavik IF	6.31%	7.98%	8.35%	9.58%	9.61%	10.68%	11.12%	11.21%	12.24%	12.92%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	13.36%	11.84%	11.28%	10.95%	10.27%	9.48%	9.20%	8.43%	8.32%	6.87%
B Bolungarvik	7.22%	7.72%	8.68%	9.68%	9.73%	10.14%	11.02%	11.13%	12.03%	12.65%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
IA Akranes	92.8%	7.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	84.8%	15.2%
Breidablik	84.5%	15.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik	82.4%	17.6%
KR Reykjavik	82.3%	17.7%
Valur Reykjavik	76.0%	24.0%
B Bolungarvik	75.3%	24.7%
Keflavik IF	74.8%	25.2%
Throttur Reykjavik	74.4%	25.6%
Thor Akureyri	72.6%	27.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1983-05-18	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	922	915	46.9%	35.5%	17.6%	-0.5	1
1983-05-18	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	915	922	17.6%	35.5%	46.9%	+0.6	1
1983-05-19	B Bolungarvik	W 4-0	925	920	46.6%	35.7%	17.7%	+10.4	3
1983-05-19	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-4	920	925	17.7%	35.7%	46.6%	-10.4	0
1983-05-19	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	913	916	45.4%	36.2%	18.3%	-5.3	0
1983-05-19	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	916	913	18.3%	36.2%	45.4%	+5.3	3
1983-05-19	IA Akranes	L 0-1	889	924	41.2%	37.7%	21.0%	-5.2	0
1983-05-19	@ Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	924	889	21.0%	37.7%	41.2%	+5.2	3
1983-05-19	Breidablik	D 0-0	925	911	47.8%	35.0%	17.2%	-0.9	1
1983-05-19	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	911	925	17.2%	35.0%	47.8%	+0.9	1
1983-05-23	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	929	924	46.7%	35.6%	17.7%	+5.4	6
1983-05-23	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	924	929	17.7%	35.6%	46.7%	-5.5	1
1983-05-23	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-0	909	921	44.3%	36.7%	19.0%	+5.8	3
1983-05-23	@ B Bolungarvik	L 0-2	921	909	19.0%	36.7%	44.3%	-5.8	1
1983-05-23	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	907	935	42.2%	37.5%	20.3%	+5.3	3
1983-05-23	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	935	907	20.3%	37.5%	42.2%	-5.3	3
1983-05-23	Breidablik	W 2-1	922	912	47.2%	35.3%	17.4%	+2.7	6
1983-05-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	912	922	17.4%	35.3%	47.2%	-2.7	1
1983-05-24	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	916	884	50.3%	33.6%	16.1%	-0.9	2
1983-05-24	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	884	916	16.1%	33.6%	50.3%	+0.9	1
1983-05-31	IA Akranes	W 1-0	909	935	42.5%	37.4%	20.1%	+3.2	4
1983-05-31	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	935	909	20.1%	37.4%	42.5%	-3.2	6
1983-05-31	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	930	924	46.7%	35.6%	17.7%	+7.9	6
1983-05-31	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	924	930	17.7%	35.6%	46.7%	-7.9	6
1983-06-01	B Bolungarvik	D 1-1	885	915	41.9%	37.6%	20.6%	-0.5	2
1983-06-01	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	915	885	20.6%	37.6%	41.9%	+0.5	4
1983-06-01	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	918	915	46.4%	35.8%	17.8%	-5.4	1
1983-06-01	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	915	918	17.8%	35.8%	46.4%	+5.4	5
1983-06-02	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	916	913	46.3%	35.8%	17.9%	+2.8	4
1983-06-02	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	913	916	17.9%	35.8%	46.3%	-2.8	3
1983-06-06	Breidablik	W 1-0	920	912	47.0%	35.5%	17.5%	+2.9	8
1983-06-06	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	912	920	17.5%	35.5%	47.0%	-2.9	4
1983-06-07	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-0	937	918	48.5%	34.6%	16.8%	+7.5	9
1983-06-07	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	918	937	16.8%	34.6%	48.5%	-7.5	4
1983-06-07	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 2-3	916	913	46.3%	35.8%	17.9%	-5.1	4
1983-06-07	@ B Bolungarvik	W 3-2	913	916	17.9%	35.8%	46.3%	+5.1	4
1983-06-07	Thor Akureyri	W 2-1	910	884	49.4%	34.1%	16.4%	+2.5	6
1983-06-07	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	884	910	16.4%	34.1%	49.4%	-2.5	2
1983-06-07	IA Akranes	L 0-3	916	932	43.9%	36.9%	19.2%	-15.0	6
1983-06-07	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-0	932	916	19.2%	36.9%	43.9%	+15.0	9
1983-06-10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	882	945	37.5%	38.4%	24.1%	-0.3	3
1983-06-10	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	945	882	24.1%	38.4%	37.5%	+0.3	10
1983-06-10	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-2	911	901	47.2%	35.4%	17.4%	+2.6	7
1983-06-10	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 2-3	901	911	17.4%	35.4%	47.2%	-2.5	6
1983-06-12	B Bolungarvik	D 1-1	910	910	45.8%	36.0%	18.1%	-0.7	5
1983-06-12	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	910	910	18.1%	36.0%	45.8%	+0.7	5
1983-06-12	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	947	923	49.2%	34.3%	16.5%	-0.8	10
1983-06-12	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	923	947	16.5%	34.3%	49.2%	+0.8	9
1983-06-12	Keflavik IF	W 3-1	918	912	46.7%	35.6%	17.7%	+4.7	7
1983-06-12	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-3	912	918	17.7%	35.6%	46.7%	-4.7	6
1983-06-14	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	913	881	50.3%	33.6%	16.1%	-5.7	7
1983-06-14	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	881	913	16.1%	33.6%	50.3%	+5.7	6
1983-06-15	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	945	923	49.0%	34.4%	16.6%	-0.8	11
1983-06-15	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	923	945	16.6%	34.4%	49.0%	+0.8	8
1983-06-15	IA Akranes	W 1-0	911	946	41.3%	37.7%	21.0%	+3.4	8
1983-06-15	@ B Bolungarvik	L 0-1	946	911	21.0%	37.7%	41.3%	-3.4	10
1983-06-15	Breidablik	L 0-2	908	909	45.8%	36.1%	18.2%	-10.7	6
1983-06-15	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-0	909	908	18.2%	36.1%	45.8%	+10.6	8
1983-06-18	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	920	944	42.6%	37.3%	20.1%	+3.2	11
1983-06-18	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	944	920	20.1%	37.3%	42.6%	-3.2	11
1983-06-18	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	942	897	52.2%	32.4%	15.4%	+8.8	13
1983-06-18	@ IA Akranes	L 0-4	897	942	15.4%	32.4%	52.2%	-8.8	6
1983-06-18	KR Reykjavik	W 4-1	899	924	42.6%	37.3%	20.1%	+7.5	9
1983-06-18	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-4	924	899	20.1%	37.3%	42.6%	-7.5	9
1983-06-19	Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	924	908	48.1%	34.9%	17.0%	-0.9	9
1983-06-19	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	908	924	17.0%	34.9%	48.1%	+0.9	8
1983-06-21	B Bolungarvik	D 0-0	916	915	46.2%	35.9%	17.9%	-0.8	10
1983-06-21	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	915	916	17.9%	35.9%	46.2%	+0.8	9
1983-06-21	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	887	906	43.4%	37.1%	19.6%	-0.4	7
1983-06-21	@ Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	906	887	19.6%	37.1%	43.4%	+0.4	10
1983-06-23	Breidablik	D 1-1	909	923	44.0%	36.8%	19.2%	-0.6	9
1983-06-23	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	923	909	19.2%	36.8%	44.0%	+0.6	12
1983-06-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	887	923	41.1%	37.8%	21.1%	-0.5	8
1983-06-24	@ Thor Akureyri	D 0-0	923	887	21.1%	37.8%	41.1%	+0.5	10
1983-06-25	IA Akranes	W 2-1	941	951	44.6%	36.6%	18.8%	+2.9	14
1983-06-25	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	951	941	18.8%	36.6%	44.6%	-2.9	13
1983-06-25	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	888	916	42.3%	37.4%	20.3%	-0.5	7
1983-06-25	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	916	888	20.3%	37.4%	42.3%	+0.5	11
1983-06-26	B Bolungarvik	D 1-1	907	915	44.8%	36.5%	18.7%	-0.6	11
1983-06-26	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	915	907	18.7%	36.5%	44.8%	+0.6	10
1983-07-02	Thor Akureyri	W 3-0	923	886	51.0%	33.1%	15.8%	+7.0	15
1983-07-02	@ Breidablik	L 0-3	886	923	15.8%	33.1%	51.0%	-7.0	8
1983-07-02	Throttur Reykjavik	W 5-0	948	908	51.5%	32.9%	15.7%	+11.1	16
1983-07-02	@ IA Akranes	L 0-5	908	948	15.7%	32.9%	51.5%	-11.1	9
1983-07-02	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	916	888	49.8%	33.9%	16.3%	-5.6	10
1983-07-02	@ B Bolungarvik	W 2-1	888	916	16.3%	33.9%	49.8%	+5.6	10
1983-07-02	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	923	906	48.3%	34.8%	16.9%	-0.8	11
1983-07-02	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	906	923	16.9%	34.8%	48.3%	+0.8	12
1983-07-03	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	916	944	42.2%	37.5%	20.3%	-0.4	12
1983-07-03	@ KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	944	916	20.3%	37.5%	42.2%	+0.4	15
1983-07-09	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	930	923	47.0%	35.5%	17.5%	-0.8	16
1983-07-09	@ Breidablik	D 0-0	923	930	17.5%	35.5%	47.0%	+0.8	12
1983-07-09	Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	960	879	57.1%	28.9%	14.0%	-12.2	16
1983-07-09	@ IA Akranes	W 2-0	879	960	14.0%	28.9%	57.1%	+12.2	11
1983-07-09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	910	945	41.4%	37.7%	20.9%	-0.4	11
1983-07-09	@ B Bolungarvik	D 2-2	945	910	20.9%	37.7%	41.4%	+0.4	16
1983-07-11	Keflavik IF	L 0-2	907	893	47.8%	35.1%	17.2%	-10.9	12
1983-07-11	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	893	907	17.2%	35.1%	47.8%	+11.0	13
1983-07-12	Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	916	897	48.5%	34.7%	16.8%	-0.9	13
1983-07-12	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	897	916	16.8%	34.7%	48.5%	+0.9	10
1983-07-15	KR Reykjavik	W 2-0	891	915	42.8%	37.3%	19.9%	+6.1	14
1983-07-15	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	915	891	19.9%	37.3%	42.8%	-6.1	13
1983-07-15	IA Akranes	L 1-2	923	947	42.7%	37.3%	20.0%	-5.1	12
1983-07-15	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	947	923	20.0%	37.3%	42.7%	+5.1	19
1983-07-16	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	945	904	51.5%	32.8%	15.6%	-5.8	16
1983-07-16	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	904	945	15.6%	32.8%	51.5%	+5.8	16
1983-07-16	B Bolungarvik	W 1-0	898	910	44.3%	36.7%	19.0%	+3.1	13
1983-07-16	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	910	898	19.0%	36.7%	44.3%	-3.1	11
1983-07-17	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	930	896	50.5%	33.5%	16.0%	-0.7	17
1983-07-17	@ Breidablik	D 2-2	896	930	16.0%	33.5%	50.5%	+0.7	13
1983-07-23	Breidablik	W 3-2	952	929	49.1%	34.3%	16.6%	+2.4	22
1983-07-23	@ IA Akranes	L 2-3	929	952	16.6%	34.3%	49.1%	-2.4	17
1983-07-25	Thor Akureyri	D 0-0	907	897	47.2%	35.4%	17.4%	-0.8	12
1983-07-25	@ B Bolungarvik	D 0-0	897	907	17.4%	35.4%	47.2%	+0.8	15
1983-07-25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	897	939	40.2%	38.0%	21.8%	+9.4	16
1983-07-25	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	939	897	21.8%	38.0%	40.2%	-9.4	16
1983-07-26	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-2	910	901	47.2%	35.4%	17.4%	+2.5	19
1983-07-26	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	901	910	17.4%	35.4%	47.2%	-2.6	13
1983-07-26	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	909	918	44.6%	36.6%	18.8%	+2.9	16
1983-07-26	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	918	909	18.8%	36.6%	44.6%	-2.9	12
1983-08-02	KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	926	912	48.0%	35.0%	17.1%	-5.8	17
1983-08-02	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	912	926	17.1%	35.0%	48.0%	+5.8	19
1983-08-04	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	898	913	44.0%	36.8%	19.2%	+5.9	18
1983-08-04	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	913	898	19.2%	36.8%	44.0%	-5.9	19
1983-08-04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	898	930	41.7%	37.6%	20.7%	+5.4	16
1983-08-04	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	930	898	20.7%	37.6%	41.7%	-5.4	16
1983-08-06	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	955	906	52.7%	32.1%	15.2%	+4.6	25
1983-08-06	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	906	955	15.2%	32.1%	52.7%	-4.6	16
1983-08-06	B Bolungarvik	D 2-2	915	906	47.2%	35.4%	17.4%	-0.6	13
1983-08-06	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	906	915	17.4%	35.4%	47.2%	+0.6	13
1983-08-13	Thor Akureyri	W 3-1	924	904	48.7%	34.6%	16.8%	+4.5	19
1983-08-13	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-3	904	924	16.8%	34.6%	48.7%	-4.5	18
1983-08-13	Breidablik	D 1-1	907	921	44.0%	36.8%	19.1%	-0.6	14
1983-08-13	@ B Bolungarvik	D 1-1	921	907	19.1%	36.8%	44.0%	+0.6	18
1983-08-13	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	907	915	44.8%	36.5%	18.7%	-5.2	19
1983-08-13	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	915	907	18.7%	36.5%	44.8%	+5.2	16
1983-08-13	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-4	901	904	45.6%	36.1%	18.2%	-13.0	16
1983-08-13	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 4-1	904	901	18.2%	36.1%	45.6%	+13.0	19
1983-08-14	IA Akranes	D 0-0	917	959	40.3%	38.0%	21.7%	-0.5	20
1983-08-14	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	959	917	21.7%	38.0%	40.3%	+0.5	26
1983-08-19	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-2	917	888	49.8%	33.9%	16.3%	+2.4	23
1983-08-19	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-3	888	917	16.3%	33.9%	49.8%	-2.4	16
1983-08-19	Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-0	900	917	43.6%	37.0%	19.4%	+11.2	21
1983-08-19	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-4	917	900	19.4%	37.0%	43.6%	-11.2	19
1983-08-20	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	921	901	48.6%	34.6%	16.8%	+2.6	21
1983-08-20	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	901	921	16.8%	34.6%	48.6%	-2.6	19
1983-08-20	B Bolungarvik	W 3-0	960	906	53.4%	31.6%	15.0%	+6.5	29
1983-08-20	@ IA Akranes	L 0-3	906	960	15.0%	31.6%	53.4%	-6.5	14
1983-08-21	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-0	920	929	44.8%	36.5%	18.7%	+5.8	19
1983-08-21	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	929	920	18.7%	36.5%	44.8%	-5.8	19
1983-08-23	Thor Akureyri	W 2-0	886	911	42.6%	37.3%	20.1%	+6.1	19
1983-08-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	911	886	20.1%	37.3%	42.6%	-6.1	21
1983-08-24	Breidablik	L 0-3	923	924	45.8%	36.0%	18.1%	-15.5	19
1983-08-24	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	924	923	18.1%	36.0%	45.8%	+15.5	24
1983-08-24	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	899	919	43.3%	37.1%	19.6%	-0.6	15
1983-08-24	@ B Bolungarvik	D 1-1	919	899	19.6%	37.1%	43.3%	+0.6	24
1983-08-24	IA Akranes	L 0-1	899	966	37.0%	38.4%	24.6%	-4.9	19
1983-08-24	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	966	899	24.6%	38.4%	37.0%	+4.9	32
1983-08-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	905	926	43.2%	37.1%	19.7%	-0.4	20
1983-08-24	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	926	905	19.7%	37.1%	43.2%	+0.4	20
1983-08-31	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	920	894	49.5%	34.1%	16.4%	-5.9	24
1983-08-31	@ KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	894	920	16.4%	34.1%	49.5%	+5.9	22
1983-09-02	Throttur Reykjavik	L 2-3	939	905	50.6%	33.4%	16.0%	-5.4	24
1983-09-02	@ Breidablik	W 3-2	905	939	16.0%	33.4%	50.6%	+5.4	23
1983-09-03	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	971	908	54.8%	30.6%	14.6%	-1.0	33
1983-09-03	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	908	971	14.6%	30.6%	54.8%	+1.0	20
1983-09-03	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	899	892	46.9%	35.5%	17.6%	-9.4	15
1983-09-03	@ B Bolungarvik	W 3-1	892	899	17.6%	35.5%	46.9%	+9.4	22
1983-09-03	Thor Akureyri	D 0-0	926	905	48.9%	34.5%	16.7%	-0.9	21
1983-09-03	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	905	926	16.7%	34.5%	48.9%	+0.9	22
1983-09-10	KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	909	914	45.2%	36.3%	18.5%	-0.7	21
1983-09-10	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 0-0	914	909	18.5%	36.3%	45.2%	+0.7	25
1983-09-10	B Bolungarvik	W 3-0	900	890	47.3%	35.3%	17.4%	+7.8	25
1983-09-10	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-3	890	900	17.4%	35.3%	47.3%	-7.8	15
1983-09-10	Breidablik	D 2-2	906	934	42.2%	37.5%	20.4%	-0.4	23
1983-09-10	@ Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	934	906	20.4%	37.5%	42.2%	+0.4	25
1983-09-10	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	901	925	42.7%	37.3%	20.0%	+3.0	25
1983-09-10	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	925	901	20.0%	37.3%	42.7%	-3.0	21
1983-09-11	IA Akranes	D 0-0	910	970	38.0%	38.4%	23.7%	-0.4	24
1983-09-11	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	970	910	23.7%	38.4%	38.0%	+0.4	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1983-07-09	13.96%	Thor Akureyri	879	2	@ IA Akranes	960	0
2	1983-07-16	15.64%	Keflavik IF	904	2	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	945	1
3	1983-09-02	15.96%	Throttur Reykjavik	905	3	@ Breidablik	939	2
4	1983-06-14	16.09%	Thor Akureyri	881	2	@ Throttur Reykjavik	913	1
5	1983-07-02	16.28%	Keflavik IF	888	2	@ B Bolungarvik	916	1
6	1983-08-31	16.42%	Keflavik IF	894	1	@ KR Reykjavik	920	0
7	1983-08-02	17.07%	KR Reykjavik	912	1	@ Breidablik	926	0
8	1983-07-11	17.16%	Keflavik IF	893	2	@ Valur Reykjavik	907	0
9	1983-09-03	17.60%	Valur Reykjavik	892	3	@ B Bolungarvik	899	1
10	1983-06-01	17.81%	KR Reykjavik	915	2	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	918	1
11	1983-06-07	17.89%	Vikingur Reykjavik	913	3	@ B Bolungarvik	916	2
12	1983-08-24	18.13%	Breidablik	924	3	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	923	0
13	1983-06-15	18.16%	Breidablik	909	2	@ Keflavik IF	908	0
14	1983-08-13	18.24%	Throttur Reykjavik	904	4	@ Valur Reykjavik	901	1
15	1983-05-19	18.34%	Valur Reykjavik	916	2	@ Keflavik IF	913	1
16	1983-08-13	18.68%	Vikingur Reykjavik	915	2	@ Keflavik IF	907	1
17	1983-06-07	19.25%	IA Akranes	932	3	@ Valur Reykjavik	916	0
18	1983-07-15	19.98%	IA Akranes	947	2	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	923	1
19	1983-05-19	21.01%	IA Akranes	924	1	@ Thor Akureyri	889	0
20	1983-08-24	24.60%	IA Akranes	966	1	@ Keflavik IF	899	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1983-08-24	15.47	Breidablik	3	924	18.13%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	923	45.83%
2	1983-06-07	15.02	IA Akranes	3	932	19.25%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	916	43.87%
3	1983-08-13	13.01	Throttur Reykjavik	4	904	18.24%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1	901	45.63%
4	1983-07-09	12.22	Thor Akureyri	2	879	13.96%	@ IA Akranes	0	960	57.11%
5	1983-08-19	11.25	@ Thor Akureyri	4	900	43.65%	Throttur Reykjavik	0	917	19.39%
6	1983-07-02	11.11	@ IA Akranes	5	948	51.50%	Throttur Reykjavik	0	908	15.65%
7	1983-07-11	10.95	Keflavik IF	2	893	17.16%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	907	47.78%
8	1983-06-15	10.65	Breidablik	2	909	18.16%	@ Keflavik IF	0	908	45.78%
9	1983-05-19	10.37	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	925	46.60%	B Bolungarvik	0	920	17.73%
10	1983-07-25	9.43	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	897	40.24%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	939	21.77%
11	1983-09-03	9.37	Valur Reykjavik	3	892	17.60%	@ B Bolungarvik	1	899	46.86%
12	1983-06-18	8.83	@ IA Akranes	4	942	52.19%	Keflavik IF	0	897	15.41%
13	1983-05-31	7.92	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	930	46.66%	Valur Reykjavik	0	924	17.70%
14	1983-09-10	7.78	@ Keflavik IF	3	900	47.35%	B Bolungarvik	0	890	17.36%
15	1983-06-07	7.51	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	937	48.55%	Throttur Reykjavik	0	918	16.81%
16	1983-06-18	7.48	@ Valur Reykjavik	4	899	42.57%	KR Reykjavik	1	924	20.08%
17	1983-07-02	6.99	@ Breidablik	3	923	51.05%	Thor Akureyri	0	886	15.81%
18	1983-08-20	6.53	@ IA Akranes	3	960	53.37%	B Bolungarvik	0	906	15.02%
19	1983-08-23	6.11	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	886	42.59%	Thor Akureyri	0	911	20.07%
20	1983-07-15	6.07	@ Thor Akureyri	2	891	42.79%	KR Reykjavik	0	915	19.94%
21	1983-08-31	5.94	Keflavik IF	1	894	16.42%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	920	49.47%
22	1983-08-04	5.87	@ Thor Akureyri	2	898	44.02%	Keflavik IF	0	913	19.16%
23	1983-05-23	5.83	@ B Bolungarvik	2	909	44.31%	Throttur Reykjavik	0	921	18.99%
24	1983-08-02	5.82	KR Reykjavik	1	912	17.07%	@ Breidablik	0	926	47.96%
25	1983-07-16	5.75	Keflavik IF	2	904	15.64%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	945	51.52%