1982 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Vikingur Reykjavik

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vikingur Reykjavik

3.99 points above expected

23 points · 19.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KA Akureyri

3.83 points below expected

14 points · 17.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 7 9 2 23 25 17 +8 19.0 +3.99
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 9 4 5 22 23 16 +7 18.8 +3.18
3 KR Reykjavik 18 5 11 2 21 14 12 +2 17.4 +3.65
4 IA Akranes 18 6 6 6 18 22 20 +2 18.5 -0.46
5 B Bolungarvik 18 6 5 7 17 30 29 +1 17.7 -0.66
6 Valur Reykjavik 18 6 5 7 17 18 21 -3 17.5 -0.49
7 Breidablik 18 6 5 7 17 18 22 -4 17.8 -0.78
8 Keflavik IF 18 5 6 7 16 14 19 -5 17.5 -1.51
9 Fram Reykjavik 18 4 7 7 15 17 23 -6 18.1 -3.08
10 KA Akureyri 18 4 6 8 14 20 22 -2 17.8 -3.83

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vikingur Reykjavik 1076 23 19.01 +3.99 92.5% 8 14 17 19 21 24 30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1069 22 18.82 +3.18 88.2% 7 14 17 19 21 24 30
IA Akranes 1059 18 18.46 -0.46 50.5% 6 13 16 18 21 24 30
KR Reykjavik 1041 21 17.35 +3.65 90.6% 7 12 15 17 19 22 29
Valur Reykjavik 1041 17 17.49 -0.49 50.2% 6 12 15 17 20 23 28
B Bolungarvik 1041 17 17.66 -0.66 47.5% 6 13 16 18 20 23 29
Keflavik IF 1031 16 17.51 -1.51 37.1% 6 12 15 18 20 23 29
Breidablik 1024 17 17.78 -0.78 46.4% 8 13 16 18 20 23 29
KA Akureyri 1020 14 17.83 -3.83 14.3% 7 13 16 18 20 23 29
Fram Reykjavik 1018 15 18.08 -3.08 20.4% 7 13 16 18 20 23 28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BB BRE FR IA IV KA KR KI VR VR
B Bolungarvik
2-0-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.34
Breidablik
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
2.42
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.63
0-2-0
2.36
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.45
IA Akranes
2-0-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.58
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.48
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.52
KA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.65
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.40
KR Reykjavik
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.41
0-2-0
2.39
2-0-0
2.29
0-1-1
2.53
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.34
Keflavik IF
0-2-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.46
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.31
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.85

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%8.33%7.78%3.33%0.56%33.33%
18.33%13.33%7.22%2.22%1.11%32.22%
27.78%7.22%8.89%1.67%25.56%
33.33%2.22%1.67%7.22%
40.56%1.11%1.67%
5+
Total33.33%32.22%25.56%7.22%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.12
Mean allowed1.12
StdDev scored1.01
StdDev allowed1.01
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.040
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
111.11%16.67%5.56%11.11%44.44%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
311.11%11.11%22.22%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%11.11%44.44%5.56%11.11%100%

B Bolungarvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.374
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%5.56%38.89%
15.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
25.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total22.22%44.44%22.22%11.11%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.386
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%5.56%38.89%
15.56%22.22%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total22.22%38.89%33.33%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.94
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.353
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%27.78%
25.56%11.11%11.11%27.78%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%38.89%27.78%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.11
StdDev scored1.17
StdDev allowed0.90
Mean total goals/game2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.143
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
111.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
222.22%11.11%11.11%44.44%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total38.89%38.89%16.67%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed0.89
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed0.90
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.167
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%11.11%44.44%
111.11%11.11%
211.11%11.11%11.11%33.33%
311.11%11.11%
4
5+
Total33.33%22.22%33.33%11.11%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.11
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.13
StdDev allowed1.06
Mean total goals/game2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.174
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.78%5.56%5.56%38.89%
116.67%27.78%44.44%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
3
4
5+
Total55.56%27.78%11.11%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.78
Mean allowed0.67
StdDev scored0.73
StdDev allowed0.91
Mean total goals/game1.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.030
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%5.56%5.56%44.44%
111.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total38.89%27.78%22.22%11.11%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.78
Mean allowed1.06
StdDev scored0.88
StdDev allowed1.06
Mean total goals/game1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.141
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%44.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%38.89%22.22%11.11%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.19
StdDev allowed0.99
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.201
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%
116.67%22.22%5.56%44.44%
211.11%5.56%16.67%5.56%38.89%
35.56%5.56%
4
5+
Total38.89%33.33%22.22%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored0.78
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.435
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 23 19.0 +3.99
2 KR Reykjavik 21 17.4 +3.65
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 18.8 +3.18
4 IA Akranes 18 18.5 -0.46
5 Valur Reykjavik 17 17.5 -0.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KA Akureyri 14 17.8 -3.83
2 Fram Reykjavik 15 18.1 -3.08
3 Keflavik IF 16 17.5 -1.51
4 Breidablik 17 17.8 -0.78
5 B Bolungarvik 17 17.7 -0.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B Bolungarvik 3 May 23 – Jun 12 1 in 81
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Jun 19 – Jun 30 1 in 30
3 Keflavik IF 2 Jun 19 – Jun 24 1 in 17
4 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 30 – Jul 3 1 in 16
5 Breidablik 2 Jul 3 – Jul 17 1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 29 – Jun 27 1 in 374
2 B Bolungarvik 3 Jun 19 – Jun 30 1 in 67
3 KA Akureyri 3 Jun 26 – Jul 3 1 in 63
4 Keflavik IF 3 May 15 – May 23 1 in 33
5 Breidablik 2 Jun 26 – Jun 30 1 in 28

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 9 Jun 30 – Sep 6 1 in 28
2 Vikingur Reykjavik 11 Jun 13 – Aug 23 1 in 24
3 KA Akureyri 7 May 15 – Jun 19 1 in 13
4 KR Reykjavik 7 Jul 24 – Sep 11 1 in 13
5 Keflavik IF 5 Jun 11 – Jul 3 1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 Jul 24 – Aug 29 1 in 10
2 Fram Reykjavik 6 Jul 17 – Aug 23 1 in 9
3 B Bolungarvik 7 Jun 19 – Jul 24 1 in 9
4 KA Akureyri 7 Jul 24 – Sep 11 1 in 9
5 Breidablik 6 Jul 24 – Sep 6 1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Vikingur Reykjavik18.49%13.92%12.84%10.87%10.00%8.78%7.81%6.88%6.13%4.28%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar16.05%13.45%12.14%11.30%10.24%9.63%8.16%7.30%6.68%5.05%
KR Reykjavik7.24%8.02%8.64%9.64%9.89%9.79%10.92%11.48%12.25%12.13%
IA Akranes12.94%12.11%11.26%9.99%9.92%9.39%9.29%9.38%8.20%7.52%
B Bolungarvik7.68%9.23%9.24%10.18%10.17%10.05%10.40%10.30%11.13%11.62%
Valur Reykjavik6.73%7.99%8.40%9.57%9.29%10.70%10.99%11.42%11.60%13.31%
Breidablik8.00%8.77%9.33%9.42%9.90%10.30%10.75%10.66%11.07%11.80%
Keflavik IF6.20%7.95%8.74%9.07%10.27%9.79%11.19%11.46%11.74%13.59%
Fram Reykjavik8.36%9.41%9.97%10.25%9.87%10.55%10.43%10.70%10.41%10.05%
KA Akureyri8.31%9.15%9.44%9.71%10.45%11.02%10.06%10.42%10.79%10.65%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Vikingur Reykjavik 89.6% 10.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 88.3% 11.7%
IA Akranes 84.3% 15.7%
Fram Reykjavik 79.5% 20.5%
KA Akureyri 78.6% 21.4%
B Bolungarvik 77.2% 22.8%
Breidablik 77.1% 22.9%
KR Reykjavik 75.6% 24.4%
Valur Reykjavik 75.1% 24.9%
Keflavik IF 74.7% 25.3%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1982-05-15 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1046 1045 36.5% 42.6% 20.8% +7.2 3
1982-05-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1045 1046 20.8% 42.6% 36.5% -7.2 0
1982-05-15 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1029 1024 37.1% 42.4% 20.5% -0.4 1
1982-05-15 @ B Bolungarvik D 1-1 1024 1029 20.5% 42.4% 37.1% +0.4 1
1982-05-15 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1052 1033 39.1% 41.6% 19.3% -0.4 1
1982-05-15 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1033 1052 19.3% 41.6% 39.1% +0.4 1
1982-05-16 IA Akranes W 2-1 1042 1055 34.4% 43.2% 22.4% +3.8 3
1982-05-16 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1055 1042 22.4% 43.2% 34.4% -3.8 0
1982-05-16 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1047 1047 36.4% 42.7% 20.9% -0.4 1
1982-05-16 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1047 1047 20.9% 42.7% 36.4% +0.4 1
1982-05-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1028 1053 32.8% 43.5% 23.7% -4.7 1
1982-05-19 @ B Bolungarvik W 2-1 1053 1028 23.7% 43.5% 32.8% +4.7 6
1982-05-19 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1038 1047 35.0% 43.1% 21.9% -5.2 0
1982-05-19 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1047 1038 21.9% 43.1% 35.0% +5.2 4
1982-05-19 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1024 1034 35.0% 43.1% 21.9% -0.4 2
1982-05-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1034 1024 21.9% 43.1% 35.0% +0.4 2
1982-05-20 Breidablik D 2-2 1048 1045 36.6% 42.6% 20.8% -0.3 2
1982-05-20 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1045 1048 20.8% 42.6% 36.6% +0.3 4
1982-05-20 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1052 1052 36.3% 42.7% 21.0% +7.2 3
1982-05-20 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1052 1052 21.0% 42.7% 36.3% -7.2 1
1982-05-23 Keflavik IF W 3-0 1046 1032 38.3% 42.0% 19.7% +10.0 7
1982-05-23 @ Breidablik L 0-3 1032 1046 19.7% 42.0% 38.3% -10.0 0
1982-05-23 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1058 1024 41.4% 40.4% 18.2% -5.8 6
1982-05-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1024 1058 18.2% 40.4% 41.4% +5.8 5
1982-05-23 IA Akranes D 0-0 1034 1059 32.9% 43.5% 23.7% -0.2 3
1982-05-23 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 1059 1034 23.7% 43.5% 32.9% +0.3 4
1982-05-23 B Bolungarvik L 2-3 1052 1024 40.6% 40.9% 18.6% -5.1 4
1982-05-23 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1024 1052 18.6% 40.9% 40.6% +5.1 4
1982-05-24 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1045 1047 36.0% 42.8% 21.2% +3.9 4
1982-05-24 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1047 1045 21.2% 42.8% 36.0% -3.9 2
1982-05-26 IA Akranes D 0-0 1030 1059 32.2% 43.5% 24.2% -0.2 6
1982-05-26 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1059 1030 24.2% 43.5% 32.2% +0.2 5
1982-05-27 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1043 1034 37.8% 42.2% 20.1% -5.2 2
1982-05-27 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1034 1043 20.1% 42.2% 37.8% +5.2 6
1982-05-29 Breidablik W 3-0 1029 1056 32.5% 43.5% 24.0% +11.4 7
1982-05-29 @ B Bolungarvik L 0-3 1056 1029 24.0% 43.5% 32.5% -11.4 7
1982-05-29 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1022 1048 32.7% 43.5% 23.8% +3.9 3
1982-05-29 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1048 1022 23.8% 43.5% 32.7% -3.9 4
1982-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1026 1052 32.7% 43.5% 23.8% -5.0 3
1982-06-08 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1052 1026 23.8% 43.5% 32.7% +5.0 9
1982-06-11 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1039 1021 38.9% 41.7% 19.4% -0.6 7
1982-06-11 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 1021 1039 19.4% 41.7% 38.9% +0.6 4
1982-06-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1044 1057 34.5% 43.2% 22.3% +3.8 10
1982-06-12 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1057 1044 22.3% 43.2% 34.5% -3.8 9
1982-06-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1059 1038 39.4% 41.4% 19.1% -5.6 5
1982-06-12 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1038 1059 19.1% 41.4% 39.4% +5.6 5
1982-06-12 B Bolungarvik L 0-3 1045 1040 37.0% 42.5% 20.5% -14.8 4
1982-06-12 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1040 1045 20.5% 42.5% 37.0% +14.8 10
1982-06-13 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1047 1029 38.9% 41.7% 19.4% +6.8 7
1982-06-13 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1029 1047 19.4% 41.7% 38.9% -6.8 6
1982-06-16 Breidablik W 3-1 1054 1048 37.1% 42.4% 20.4% +6.1 8
1982-06-16 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1048 1054 20.4% 42.4% 37.1% -6.1 10
1982-06-16 Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1038 1030 37.6% 42.2% 20.2% +10.2 10
1982-06-16 @ KA Akureyri L 0-3 1030 1038 20.2% 42.2% 37.6% -10.2 4
1982-06-18 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1023 1044 33.4% 43.4% 23.2% -0.2 7
1982-06-18 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1044 1023 23.2% 43.4% 33.4% +0.2 6
1982-06-19 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1054 1020 41.4% 40.5% 18.2% +6.4 12
1982-06-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1020 1054 18.2% 40.5% 41.4% -6.4 4
1982-06-19 KA Akureyri L 1-2 1055 1048 37.3% 42.4% 20.3% -5.1 10
1982-06-19 @ B Bolungarvik W 2-1 1048 1055 20.3% 42.4% 37.3% +5.1 13
1982-06-19 IA Akranes W 1-0 1022 1060 31.1% 43.6% 25.4% +4.3 7
1982-06-19 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1060 1022 25.4% 43.6% 31.1% -4.3 8
1982-06-20 Breidablik D 1-1 1054 1042 38.1% 42.0% 19.9% -0.5 8
1982-06-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1042 1054 19.9% 42.0% 38.1% +0.5 11
1982-06-24 Keflavik IF L 0-2 1044 1026 39.0% 41.7% 19.4% -10.5 6
1982-06-24 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1026 1044 19.4% 41.7% 39.0% +10.5 10
1982-06-26 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1042 1022 39.3% 41.5% 19.2% -10.6 11
1982-06-26 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1022 1042 19.2% 41.5% 39.3% +10.6 10
1982-06-26 B Bolungarvik W 2-1 1055 1050 37.2% 42.4% 20.4% +3.5 11
1982-06-26 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1050 1055 20.4% 42.4% 37.2% -3.5 10
1982-06-26 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1054 1060 35.5% 43.0% 21.6% -5.3 13
1982-06-26 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1060 1054 21.6% 43.0% 35.5% +5.3 15
1982-06-27 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1013 1053 30.7% 43.6% 25.7% -4.8 4
1982-06-27 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1053 1013 25.7% 43.6% 30.7% +4.8 11
1982-06-29 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1033 1037 35.8% 42.9% 21.3% -0.4 11
1982-06-29 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1037 1033 21.3% 42.9% 35.8% +0.4 11
1982-06-30 Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1032 1008 39.8% 41.3% 18.9% -5.7 11
1982-06-30 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1008 1032 18.9% 41.3% 39.8% +5.6 7
1982-06-30 IA Akranes W 2-0 1065 1059 37.3% 42.4% 20.4% +7.1 18
1982-06-30 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1059 1065 20.4% 42.4% 37.3% -7.1 11
1982-06-30 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1046 1034 38.2% 42.0% 19.8% -10.4 10
1982-06-30 @ B Bolungarvik W 2-0 1034 1046 19.8% 42.0% 38.2% +10.4 9
1982-06-30 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1058 1048 37.8% 42.2% 20.1% +3.5 14
1982-06-30 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1048 1058 20.1% 42.2% 37.8% -3.5 13
1982-07-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1044 1072 32.4% 43.5% 24.1% +11.5 12
1982-07-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1072 1044 24.1% 43.5% 32.4% -11.5 18
1982-07-03 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1052 1062 35.0% 43.1% 21.9% -0.2 12
1982-07-03 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1062 1052 21.9% 43.1% 35.0% +0.2 15
1982-07-03 Breidablik L 0-2 1045 1026 39.1% 41.6% 19.3% -10.5 13
1982-07-03 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1026 1045 19.3% 41.6% 39.1% +10.5 14
1982-07-03 B Bolungarvik D 1-1 1037 1036 36.6% 42.6% 20.8% -0.4 12
1982-07-03 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1036 1037 20.8% 42.6% 36.6% +0.4 11
1982-07-04 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1014 1033 33.7% 43.4% 22.9% -0.3 8
1982-07-04 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1033 1014 22.9% 43.4% 33.7% +0.3 12
1982-07-13 B Bolungarvik D 2-2 1033 1036 35.9% 42.8% 21.3% -0.3 13
1982-07-13 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1036 1033 21.3% 42.8% 35.9% +0.3 12
1982-07-14 IA Akranes W 3-1 1014 1052 31.0% 43.6% 25.4% +7.0 11
1982-07-14 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1052 1014 25.4% 43.6% 31.0% -7.1 12
1982-07-15 Keflavik IF W 3-1 1062 1037 40.0% 41.1% 18.8% +5.7 18
1982-07-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1037 1062 18.8% 41.1% 40.0% -5.7 12
1982-07-16 KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1034 1033 36.6% 42.6% 20.8% +10.4 16
1982-07-16 @ KA Akureyri L 0-3 1033 1034 20.8% 42.6% 36.6% -10.4 13
1982-07-17 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1037 1055 33.7% 43.4% 22.9% +4.1 17
1982-07-17 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1055 1037 22.9% 43.4% 33.7% -4.1 12
1982-07-17 B Bolungarvik W 3-1 1061 1037 39.9% 41.2% 18.9% +5.8 21
1982-07-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1037 1061 18.9% 41.2% 39.9% -5.8 12
1982-07-24 KA Akureyri W 1-0 1045 1045 36.3% 42.7% 21.0% +3.8 15
1982-07-24 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1045 1045 21.0% 42.7% 36.3% -3.8 16
1982-07-24 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1031 1068 31.2% 43.6% 25.2% -0.1 13
1982-07-24 @ B Bolungarvik D 2-2 1068 1031 25.2% 43.6% 31.2% +0.1 19
1982-07-24 Breidablik W 1-0 1031 1041 35.0% 43.1% 22.0% +4.0 15
1982-07-24 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1041 1031 22.0% 43.1% 35.0% -4.0 17
1982-07-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1022 1067 30.1% 43.6% 26.3% +4.4 16
1982-07-24 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1067 1022 26.3% 43.6% 30.1% -4.4 21
1982-07-25 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1051 1021 40.9% 40.7% 18.4% -0.6 13
1982-07-25 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1021 1051 18.4% 40.7% 40.9% +0.6 12
1982-07-28 B Bolungarvik L 0-2 1037 1031 37.3% 42.4% 20.4% -10.2 17
1982-07-28 @ Breidablik W 2-0 1031 1037 20.4% 42.4% 37.3% +10.2 16
1982-07-28 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1048 1027 39.6% 41.4% 19.1% -0.5 16
1982-07-28 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1027 1048 19.1% 41.4% 39.6% +0.5 17
1982-07-28 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 1041 1051 34.9% 43.1% 22.0% -0.4 17
1982-07-28 @ KA Akureyri D 0-0 1051 1041 22.0% 43.1% 34.9% +0.4 14
1982-07-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1068 1062 37.2% 42.4% 20.4% +3.8 22
1982-07-28 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1062 1068 20.4% 42.4% 37.2% -3.8 21
1982-07-29 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1021 1035 34.4% 43.2% 22.4% +3.8 15
1982-07-29 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1035 1021 22.4% 43.2% 34.4% -3.8 15
1982-08-05 Breidablik D 0-0 1058 1027 41.0% 40.6% 18.3% -0.7 22
1982-08-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1027 1058 18.3% 40.6% 41.0% +0.7 18
1982-08-05 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1027 1071 30.2% 43.6% 26.3% -0.1 18
1982-08-05 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1071 1027 26.3% 43.6% 30.2% +0.1 23
1982-08-07 Valur Reykjavik L 1-4 1041 1025 38.7% 41.8% 19.5% -12.8 16
1982-08-07 @ B Bolungarvik W 4-1 1025 1041 19.5% 41.8% 38.7% +12.8 18
1982-08-07 KA Akureyri W 3-2 1031 1041 35.0% 43.1% 21.9% +3.5 18
1982-08-07 @ Keflavik IF L 2-3 1041 1031 21.9% 43.1% 35.0% -3.5 17
1982-08-08 IA Akranes D 2-2 1051 1048 36.8% 42.5% 20.6% -0.3 15
1982-08-08 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1048 1051 20.6% 42.5% 36.8% +0.3 17
1982-08-14 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 1027 1072 30.2% 43.6% 26.2% -0.1 19
1982-08-14 @ Breidablik D 1-1 1072 1027 26.2% 43.6% 30.2% +0.1 24
1982-08-14 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1048 1035 38.3% 41.9% 19.7% +3.4 20
1982-08-14 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 1035 1048 19.7% 41.9% 38.3% -3.5 18
1982-08-14 B Bolungarvik L 2-3 1037 1028 37.7% 42.2% 20.1% -4.9 17
1982-08-14 @ KA Akureyri W 3-2 1028 1037 20.1% 42.2% 37.7% +4.9 19
1982-08-14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1038 1058 33.6% 43.4% 23.1% -0.3 19
1982-08-14 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1058 1038 23.1% 43.4% 33.6% +0.3 23
1982-08-16 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1051 1027 39.9% 41.2% 18.9% -10.6 15
1982-08-16 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1027 1051 18.9% 41.2% 39.9% +10.7 21
1982-08-21 KA Akureyri D 2-2 1058 1032 40.2% 41.1% 18.8% -0.4 24
1982-08-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1032 1058 18.8% 41.1% 40.2% +0.4 18
1982-08-21 IA Akranes L 1-4 1033 1052 33.7% 43.4% 22.9% -11.8 19
1982-08-21 @ B Bolungarvik W 4-1 1052 1033 22.9% 43.4% 33.7% +11.8 23
1982-08-23 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1031 1040 35.1% 43.0% 21.9% -0.3 19
1982-08-23 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1040 1031 21.9% 43.0% 35.1% +0.3 16
1982-08-23 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1072 1038 41.4% 40.5% 18.2% -0.7 25
1982-08-23 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1038 1072 18.2% 40.5% 41.4% +0.7 20
1982-08-24 Breidablik D 1-1 1038 1027 37.9% 42.1% 20.0% -0.5 22
1982-08-24 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1027 1038 20.0% 42.1% 37.9% +0.5 20
1982-08-26 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1040 1071 32.1% 43.6% 24.4% +4.0 19
1982-08-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1071 1040 24.4% 43.6% 32.1% -4.0 25
1982-08-29 Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1058 1067 35.0% 43.1% 21.9% -0.2 25
1982-08-29 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 1067 1058 21.9% 43.1% 35.0% +0.2 26
1982-09-04 B Bolungarvik L 0-4 1044 1021 39.8% 41.3% 18.9% -20.2 19
1982-09-04 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-0 1021 1044 18.9% 41.3% 39.8% +20.2 22
1982-09-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1063 1057 37.2% 42.4% 20.4% -5.1 23
1982-09-04 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1057 1063 20.4% 42.4% 37.2% +5.1 28
1982-09-04 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1033 1067 31.5% 43.6% 24.9% -9.2 18
1982-09-04 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1067 1033 24.9% 43.6% 31.5% +9.2 29
1982-09-04 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1031 1037 35.5% 43.0% 21.6% -0.4 20
1982-09-04 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1037 1031 21.6% 43.0% 35.5% +0.4 23
1982-09-06 Breidablik W 2-0 1038 1028 37.9% 42.1% 20.0% +7.0 23
1982-09-06 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 1028 1038 20.0% 42.1% 37.9% -7.0 20
1982-09-11 KA Akureyri W 2-1 1021 1023 36.0% 42.8% 21.2% +3.6 23
1982-09-11 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1023 1021 21.2% 42.8% 36.0% -3.6 18
1982-09-11 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1062 1024 42.0% 40.1% 17.9% +6.3 31
1982-09-11 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1024 1062 17.9% 40.1% 42.0% -6.3 19
1982-09-11 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1041 1031 37.9% 42.1% 20.0% -0.5 23
1982-09-11 @ B Bolungarvik D 0-0 1031 1041 20.0% 42.1% 37.9% +0.5 21
1982-09-11 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1038 1045 35.2% 43.0% 21.7% +3.9 26
1982-09-11 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1045 1038 21.7% 43.0% 35.2% -3.9 23
1982-09-12 IA Akranes D 0-0 1076 1058 39.0% 41.6% 19.4% -0.6 30
1982-09-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1058 1076 19.4% 41.6% 39.0% +0.6 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1982-05-23 18.16% KR Reykjavik 1024 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1058 0
2 1982-05-23 18.56% B Bolungarvik 1024 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1052 2
3 1982-08-16 18.90% KR Reykjavik 1027 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1051 0
4 1982-06-30 18.92% Valur Reykjavik 1008 1 @ Breidablik 1032 0
5 1982-09-04 18.94% B Bolungarvik 1021 4 @ Fram Reykjavik 1044 0
6 1982-06-12 19.12% Fram Reykjavik 1038 1 @ IA Akranes 1059 0
7 1982-06-26 19.19% KR Reykjavik 1022 2 @ Breidablik 1042 0
8 1982-07-03 19.31% Breidablik 1026 2 @ KA Akureyri 1045 0
9 1982-06-24 19.37% Keflavik IF 1026 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1044 0
10 1982-08-07 19.54% Valur Reykjavik 1025 4 @ B Bolungarvik 1041 1
11 1982-06-30 19.80% Fram Reykjavik 1034 2 @ B Bolungarvik 1046 0
12 1982-05-27 20.06% KA Akureyri 1034 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1043 1
13 1982-08-14 20.12% B Bolungarvik 1028 3 @ KA Akureyri 1037 2
14 1982-06-19 20.35% KA Akureyri 1048 2 @ B Bolungarvik 1055 1
15 1982-07-28 20.37% B Bolungarvik 1031 2 @ Breidablik 1037 0
16 1982-09-04 20.38% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1057 2 @ IA Akranes 1063 1
17 1982-06-12 20.53% B Bolungarvik 1040 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 1045 0
18 1982-06-26 21.59% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1060 1 @ KA Akureyri 1054 0
19 1982-05-19 21.89% Vikingur Reykjavik 1047 1 @ Keflavik IF 1038 0
20 1982-08-21 22.94% IA Akranes 1052 4 @ B Bolungarvik 1033 1
21 1982-05-19 23.71% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1053 2 @ B Bolungarvik 1028 1
22 1982-06-08 23.81% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1052 1 @ Keflavik IF 1026 0
23 1982-09-04 24.93% Vikingur Reykjavik 1067 2 @ KA Akureyri 1033 0
24 1982-06-27 25.67% Vikingur Reykjavik 1053 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1013 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1982-09-04 20.19 B Bolungarvik 4 1021 18.94% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1044 39.77%
2 1982-06-12 14.81 B Bolungarvik 3 1040 20.53% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1045 37.01%
3 1982-08-07 12.82 Valur Reykjavik 4 1025 19.54% @ B Bolungarvik 1 1041 38.66%
4 1982-08-21 11.79 IA Akranes 4 1052 22.94% @ B Bolungarvik 1 1033 33.71%
5 1982-07-03 11.49 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1044 32.35% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1072 24.11%
6 1982-05-29 11.44 @ B Bolungarvik 3 1029 32.52% Breidablik 0 1056 23.97%
7 1982-08-16 10.65 KR Reykjavik 2 1027 18.90% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1051 39.85%
8 1982-06-26 10.56 KR Reykjavik 2 1022 19.19% @ Breidablik 0 1042 39.30%
9 1982-07-03 10.53 Breidablik 2 1026 19.31% @ KA Akureyri 0 1045 39.08%
10 1982-06-24 10.51 Keflavik IF 2 1026 19.37% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1044 38.96%
11 1982-07-16 10.42 @ KA Akureyri 3 1034 36.62% KR Reykjavik 0 1033 20.78%
12 1982-06-30 10.39 Fram Reykjavik 2 1034 19.80% @ B Bolungarvik 0 1046 38.21%
13 1982-07-28 10.24 B Bolungarvik 2 1031 20.37% @ Breidablik 0 1037 37.26%
14 1982-06-16 10.18 @ KA Akureyri 3 1038 37.60% Valur Reykjavik 0 1030 20.16%
15 1982-05-23 10.02 @ Breidablik 3 1046 38.30% Keflavik IF 0 1032 19.74%
16 1982-09-04 9.23 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1067 24.93% @ KA Akureyri 0 1033 31.48%
17 1982-05-20 7.23 @ IA Akranes 2 1052 36.31% Valur Reykjavik 0 1052 20.99%
18 1982-05-15 7.19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1046 36.54% Keflavik IF 0 1045 20.84%
19 1982-06-30 7.07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1065 37.27% IA Akranes 0 1059 20.37%
20 1982-07-14 7.06 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1014 31.03% IA Akranes 1 1052 25.37%
21 1982-09-06 6.96 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 1038 37.91% Breidablik 0 1028 19.97%
22 1982-06-13 6.79 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1047 38.92% KR Reykjavik 0 1029 19.39%
23 1982-06-19 6.41 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1054 41.36% Valur Reykjavik 0 1020 18.18%
24 1982-09-11 6.31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1062 42.00% Fram Reykjavik 0 1024 17.91%
25 1982-06-16 6.14 @ IA Akranes 3 1054 37.15% Breidablik 1 1048 20.44%