1985 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Valur Reykjavik

10.63 points above expected

38 points · 27.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

14.13 points below expected

7 points · 21.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik 18 11 5 2 38 28 12 +16 27.4 +10.63
2 IA Akranes 18 11 3 4 36 37 20 +17 29.9 +6.07
3 Thor Akureyri 18 11 2 5 35 33 21 +12 26.1 +8.94
4 Fram Reykjavik 18 10 4 4 34 37 26 +11 29.1 +4.92
5 Keflavik IF 18 9 2 7 29 31 23 +8 25.1 +3.93
6 KR Reykjavik 18 8 5 5 29 32 26 +6 25.6 +3.39
7 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 5 2 11 17 23 41 -18 22.1 -5.12
8 Vidir Gardur 18 4 4 10 16 21 38 -17 22.6 -6.62
9 Throttur Reykjavik 18 3 4 11 13 18 32 -14 22.6 -9.57
10 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 2 1 15 7 17 38 -21 21.1 -14.13

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1023 36 29.93 +6.07 87.6% 9 21 26 30 34 39 49
Valur Reykjavik 1015 38 27.37 +10.63 97.3% 9 18 23 27 31 37 48
Fram Reykjavik 991 34 29.08 +4.92 83.4% 5 20 25 29 33 38 49
Thor Akureyri 982 35 26.06 +8.94 95.3% 7 17 22 26 30 35 46
Keflavik IF 959 29 25.07 +3.93 78.8% 8 16 21 25 29 34 47
KR Reykjavik 955 29 25.61 +3.39 75.6% 7 17 22 26 29 35 47
Vidir Gardur 876 16 22.62 -6.62 13.2% 2 14 19 23 26 32 44
Throttur Reykjavik 859 13 22.57 -9.57 5.0% 5 14 19 23 26 32 41
FH Hafnarfjordur 856 17 22.12 -5.12 20.1% 3 13 18 22 26 31 45
Vikingur Reykjavik 833 7 21.13 -14.13 0.4% 3 12 17 21 25 30 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR IA KR KI TA TR VR VG VR
FH Hafnarfjordur
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.33
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.09
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.50
0-2-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.31
IA Akranes
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
2.80
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.61
0-2-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.84
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.86
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.37
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.39
Thor Akureyri
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.99
Valur Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.25
0-2-0
2.61
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.17
Vidir Gardur
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.20
2-0-0
2.85
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.74

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%6.11%6.67%3.89%0.56%0.56%23.33%
16.11%10.00%8.33%5.00%0.56%1.67%31.67%
26.67%8.33%2.22%5.56%0.56%23.33%
33.89%5.00%5.56%1.67%16.11%
40.56%0.56%1.67%2.78%
5+0.56%1.67%0.56%2.78%
Total23.33%31.67%23.33%16.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.54
Mean allowed1.54
StdDev scored1.32
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game3.08
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.060
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%27.78%
15.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%38.89%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total11.11%22.22%22.22%33.33%11.11%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed2.28
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.56
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.044
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
111.11%11.11%
216.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total27.78%38.89%11.11%16.67%5.56%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.06
Mean allowed1.44
StdDev scored1.39
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.040
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
116.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%16.67%22.22%
4
5+5.56%5.56%11.11%
Total44.44%11.11%33.33%11.11%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.06
Mean allowed1.11
StdDev scored1.92
StdDev allowed1.13
Mean total goals/game3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.078
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
127.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
211.11%5.56%16.67%
311.11%5.56%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%55.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.78
Mean allowed1.44
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.051
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%
111.11%5.56%11.11%27.78%
25.56%16.67%5.56%27.78%
35.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total16.67%55.56%11.11%16.67%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.72
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed0.96
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.292
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%27.78%
222.22%16.67%5.56%44.44%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%16.67%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.140
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%38.89%
111.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%33.33%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total22.22%22.22%27.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.44
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.358
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%
116.67%5.56%11.11%33.33%
222.22%5.56%27.78%
316.67%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total50.00%33.33%16.67%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.56
Mean allowed0.67
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed0.77
Mean total goals/game2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.098
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%
35.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
4
5+
Total11.11%22.22%44.44%5.56%11.11%5.56%100%

Vidir Gardur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed2.11
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.197
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%11.11%11.11%44.44%
116.67%11.11%27.78%
25.56%11.11%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
4
5+
Total5.56%22.22%33.33%33.33%5.56%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.94
Mean allowed2.11
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.442
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valur Reykjavik 38 27.4 +10.63
2 Thor Akureyri 35 26.1 +8.94
3 IA Akranes 36 29.9 +6.07
4 Fram Reykjavik 34 29.1 +4.92
5 Keflavik IF 29 25.1 +3.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 21.1 -14.13
2 Throttur Reykjavik 13 22.6 -9.57
3 Vidir Gardur 16 22.6 -6.62
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 17 22.1 -5.12
5 KR Reykjavik 29 25.6 +3.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jun 1 – Jun 30 1 in 34
2 Valur Reykjavik 4 Jul 1 – Jul 24 1 in 23
3 KR Reykjavik 3 Jul 21 – Aug 10 1 in 20
4 IA Akranes 4 Jun 29 – Jul 24 1 in 18
5 Thor Akureyri 3 Jul 24 – Aug 15 1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 13 May 19 – Aug 20 1 in 23,232
2 Throttur Reykjavik 5 Jul 21 – Aug 19 1 in 47
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 Jun 30 – Jul 25 1 in 25
4 Vidir Gardur 3 May 14 – May 22 1 in 22
5 Keflavik IF 2 Jun 16 – Jun 22 1 in 7

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 13 Jun 22 – Sep 12 1 in 255
2 Fram Reykjavik 8 May 16 – Jun 30 1 in 20
3 KR Reykjavik 5 May 13 – Jun 15 1 in 12
4 IA Akranes 5 May 17 – Jun 22 1 in 8
5 Throttur Reykjavik 3 Aug 28 – Sep 7 1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 May 19 – Aug 28 1 in 263
2 Throttur Reykjavik 12 Jun 25 – Sep 14 1 in 181
3 Vidir Gardur 5 Jun 15 – Jul 7 1 in 10
4 KR Reykjavik 4 Aug 29 – Sep 12 1 in 9
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 May 17 – Jun 15 1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Valur Reykjavik15.07%15.04%13.79%12.40%11.42%9.09%8.46%6.35%5.05%3.33%
IA Akranes28.50%18.90%14.44%10.86%8.41%7.02%4.90%3.55%2.04%1.38%
Thor Akureyri10.29%11.88%12.78%12.29%10.64%11.18%9.84%8.57%7.23%5.30%
Fram Reykjavik22.03%17.98%14.37%12.15%10.21%7.63%6.47%4.60%2.85%1.71%
Keflavik IF7.03%9.20%10.50%11.54%12.45%11.59%10.98%10.48%9.25%6.98%
KR Reykjavik7.84%10.24%11.71%11.85%12.31%11.34%10.47%9.57%8.41%6.26%
FH Hafnarfjordur2.25%4.04%5.59%6.90%8.86%10.80%12.47%14.41%16.35%18.33%
Vidir Gardur2.76%4.65%6.08%8.23%8.84%11.46%12.55%14.24%15.31%15.88%
Throttur Reykjavik2.71%4.88%6.43%8.33%9.47%10.58%12.12%14.17%15.30%16.01%
Vikingur Reykjavik1.52%3.19%4.31%5.45%7.39%9.31%11.74%14.06%18.21%24.82%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 96.6% 3.4%
Fram Reykjavik 95.4% 4.6%
Valur Reykjavik 91.6% 8.4%
Thor Akureyri 87.5% 12.5%
KR Reykjavik 85.3% 14.7%
Keflavik IF 83.8% 16.2%
Vidir Gardur 68.8% 31.2%
Throttur Reykjavik 68.7% 31.3%
FH Hafnarfjordur 65.3% 34.7%
Vikingur Reykjavik 57.0% 43.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1985-05-13 Throttur Reykjavik W 4-3 924 924 46.0% 20.9% 33.1% +4.7 3
1985-05-13 @ KR Reykjavik L 3-4 924 924 33.1% 20.9% 46.0% -4.7 0
1985-05-14 IA Akranes W 2-0 926 962 40.8% 21.2% 38.0% +11.3 3
1985-05-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-2 962 926 38.0% 21.2% 40.8% -11.3 0
1985-05-14 FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 952 921 50.2% 20.5% 29.3% -7.5 0
1985-05-14 @ Vidir Gardur W 1-0 921 952 29.3% 20.5% 50.2% +7.5 3
1985-05-14 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 930 941 44.4% 21.1% 34.5% +5.2 3
1985-05-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 941 930 34.5% 21.1% 44.4% -5.2 0
1985-05-16 Keflavik IF W 3-1 953 917 50.9% 20.4% 28.7% +7.7 3
1985-05-16 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 917 953 28.7% 20.4% 50.9% -7.7 0
1985-05-17 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 928 928 46.0% 20.9% 33.0% -0.4 4
1985-05-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 928 928 33.0% 20.9% 46.0% +0.4 4
1985-05-17 Vidir Gardur W 7-0 951 944 46.9% 20.9% 32.2% +31.7 3
1985-05-17 @ IA Akranes L 0-7 944 951 32.2% 20.9% 46.9% -31.8 0
1985-05-18 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 936 919 48.3% 20.7% 31.0% +4.8 3
1985-05-18 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 919 936 31.0% 20.7% 48.3% -4.8 0
1985-05-19 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 909 937 42.1% 21.1% 36.7% +9.5 3
1985-05-19 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 937 909 36.7% 21.1% 42.1% -9.5 3
1985-05-19 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 935 961 42.4% 21.1% 36.4% -17.9 3
1985-05-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 961 935 36.4% 21.1% 42.4% +17.9 6
1985-05-21 IA Akranes D 1-1 929 983 38.4% 21.2% 40.4% +0.1 5
1985-05-21 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 983 929 40.4% 21.2% 38.4% -0.1 4
1985-05-22 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 979 941 51.2% 20.4% 28.5% -0.6 7
1985-05-22 @ Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 941 979 28.5% 20.4% 51.2% +0.6 4
1985-05-22 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 927 917 47.4% 20.8% 31.8% +4.9 6
1985-05-22 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 917 927 31.8% 20.8% 47.4% -4.9 3
1985-05-22 Keflavik IF L 1-2 913 919 45.1% 21.0% 33.9% -6.5 0
1985-05-22 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-1 919 913 33.9% 21.0% 45.1% +6.5 6
1985-05-23 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 915 928 44.1% 21.1% 34.8% +5.6 3
1985-05-23 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 928 915 34.8% 21.1% 44.1% -5.6 4
1985-05-31 Throttur Reykjavik W 1-0 983 920 54.4% 19.8% 25.8% +4.3 7
1985-05-31 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 920 983 25.8% 19.8% 54.4% -4.3 3
1985-05-31 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 941 922 48.6% 20.7% 30.7% +13.8 7
1985-05-31 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 922 941 30.7% 20.7% 48.6% -13.8 4
1985-06-01 Thor Akureyri W 2-1 978 932 52.2% 20.2% 27.6% +4.3 10
1985-06-01 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 932 978 27.6% 20.2% 52.2% -4.3 6
1985-06-01 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 925 929 45.5% 21.0% 33.5% -0.4 7
1985-06-01 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 929 925 33.5% 21.0% 45.5% +0.4 6
1985-06-02 Vidir Gardur L 0-1 912 906 46.9% 20.9% 32.3% -7.1 3
1985-06-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 906 912 32.3% 20.9% 46.9% +7.1 3
1985-06-14 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 928 955 42.2% 21.1% 36.7% +5.5 9
1985-06-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 955 928 36.7% 21.1% 42.2% -5.5 7
1985-06-15 IA Akranes L 0-3 909 987 35.0% 21.1% 43.9% -15.4 4
1985-06-15 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 987 909 43.9% 21.1% 35.0% +15.4 10
1985-06-15 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 929 905 49.3% 20.6% 30.1% +4.6 9
1985-06-15 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-2 905 929 30.1% 20.6% 49.3% -4.6 3
1985-06-15 Fram Reykjavik L 3-4 913 982 36.2% 21.1% 42.6% -5.0 3
1985-06-15 @ Vidir Gardur W 4-3 982 913 42.6% 21.1% 36.2% +5.0 13
1985-06-16 Keflavik IF W 1-0 916 925 44.8% 21.0% 34.2% +5.5 6
1985-06-16 @ Throttur Reykjavik L 0-1 925 916 34.2% 21.0% 44.8% -5.5 7
1985-06-20 KR Reykjavik W 4-1 987 934 53.2% 20.0% 26.8% +10.3 16
1985-06-20 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-4 934 987 26.8% 20.0% 53.2% -10.3 9
1985-06-21 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 933 908 49.5% 20.6% 29.9% -0.6 10
1985-06-21 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 908 933 29.9% 20.6% 49.5% +0.6 4
1985-06-21 Throttur Reykjavik L 1-3 900 921 43.1% 21.1% 35.8% -10.8 3
1985-06-21 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 921 900 35.8% 21.1% 43.1% +10.8 9
1985-06-22 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 919 893 49.6% 20.6% 29.8% -12.2 7
1985-06-22 @ Keflavik IF W 3-1 893 919 29.8% 20.6% 49.6% +12.2 7
1985-06-22 IA Akranes D 0-0 950 1002 38.5% 21.2% 40.3% +0.1 8
1985-06-22 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1002 950 40.3% 21.2% 38.5% -0.1 11
1985-06-25 Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-3 906 890 48.2% 20.7% 31.1% +4.4 10
1985-06-25 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 3-4 890 906 31.1% 20.7% 48.2% -4.4 3
1985-06-25 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1002 907 58.4% 18.9% 22.6% -8.1 11
1985-06-25 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 907 1002 22.6% 18.9% 58.4% +8.1 10
1985-06-25 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 932 998 36.8% 21.2% 42.1% -11.0 9
1985-06-25 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 998 932 42.1% 21.2% 36.8% +11.0 19
1985-06-25 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 909 950 40.2% 21.2% 38.6% -0.0 5
1985-06-25 @ Vidir Gardur D 1-1 950 909 38.6% 21.2% 40.2% +0.1 9
1985-06-26 Thor Akureyri W 3-2 924 933 44.8% 21.0% 34.2% +4.9 12
1985-06-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 933 924 34.2% 21.0% 44.8% -4.9 10
1985-06-29 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 909 929 43.2% 21.1% 35.7% -12.5 5
1985-06-29 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-0 929 909 35.7% 21.1% 43.2% +12.5 15
1985-06-29 IA Akranes L 2-3 885 994 31.1% 20.7% 48.2% -4.5 3
1985-06-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 994 885 48.2% 20.7% 31.1% +4.5 14
1985-06-30 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1009 910 58.9% 18.8% 22.3% +7.0 22
1985-06-30 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 910 1009 22.3% 18.8% 58.9% -7.0 10
1985-06-30 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-2 928 921 46.9% 20.9% 32.2% +4.7 13
1985-06-30 @ Thor Akureyri L 2-3 921 928 32.2% 20.9% 46.9% -4.7 9
1985-07-01 Keflavik IF W 1-0 950 915 50.7% 20.4% 28.9% +4.8 12
1985-07-01 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 915 950 28.9% 20.4% 50.7% -4.8 10
1985-07-06 Thor Akureyri L 0-2 903 932 41.8% 21.2% 37.0% -12.2 10
1985-07-06 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 932 903 37.0% 21.2% 41.8% +12.2 16
1985-07-06 Fram Reykjavik W 6-2 999 1016 43.6% 21.1% 35.3% +14.3 17
1985-07-06 @ IA Akranes L 2-6 1016 999 35.3% 21.1% 43.6% -14.3 22
1985-07-07 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-1 911 881 50.1% 20.5% 29.4% +7.9 13
1985-07-07 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 881 911 29.4% 20.5% 50.1% -7.9 3
1985-07-07 Vidir Gardur D 2-2 917 896 48.8% 20.7% 30.5% -0.5 10
1985-07-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 2-2 896 917 30.5% 20.7% 48.8% +0.5 6
1985-07-08 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 941 954 44.1% 21.1% 34.8% -6.4 15
1985-07-08 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 954 941 34.8% 21.1% 44.1% +6.4 15
1985-07-20 Vidir Gardur L 2-3 891 897 45.2% 21.0% 33.8% -6.2 10
1985-07-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 897 891 33.8% 21.0% 45.2% +6.2 9
1985-07-20 Thor Akureyri W 2-1 1013 945 55.1% 19.7% 25.2% +4.0 20
1985-07-20 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 945 1013 25.2% 19.7% 55.1% -4.0 16
1985-07-20 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 919 1001 34.4% 21.0% 44.6% +18.7 16
1985-07-20 @ Keflavik IF L 0-3 1001 919 44.6% 21.0% 34.4% -18.7 22
1985-07-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 961 873 57.6% 19.1% 23.3% +3.9 18
1985-07-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 873 961 23.3% 19.1% 57.6% -3.9 3
1985-07-21 KR Reykjavik L 1-5 916 935 43.4% 21.1% 35.5% -19.9 10
1985-07-21 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 5-1 935 916 35.5% 21.1% 43.4% +19.9 18
1985-07-23 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 983 869 60.7% 18.4% 21.0% +6.6 25
1985-07-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 869 983 21.0% 18.4% 60.7% -6.6 3
1985-07-24 Keflavik IF W 1-0 941 937 46.5% 20.9% 32.6% +5.3 19
1985-07-24 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-1 937 941 32.6% 20.9% 46.5% -5.3 16
1985-07-24 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 896 965 36.3% 21.1% 42.5% -15.8 10
1985-07-24 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 3-0 965 896 42.5% 21.1% 36.3% +15.8 21
1985-07-24 IA Akranes L 0-2 903 1017 30.5% 20.7% 48.9% -9.4 9
1985-07-24 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-0 1017 903 48.9% 20.7% 30.5% +9.4 23
1985-07-25 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-1 955 885 55.4% 19.6% 25.0% +6.8 21
1985-07-25 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-3 885 955 25.0% 19.6% 55.4% -6.8 10
1985-08-10 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-0 878 880 45.6% 21.0% 33.4% +10.2 13
1985-08-10 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-2 880 878 33.4% 21.0% 45.6% -10.2 10
1985-08-10 KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1026 962 54.7% 19.8% 25.6% -13.2 23
1985-08-10 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 962 1026 25.6% 19.8% 54.7% +13.2 24
1985-08-10 Vidir Gardur W 4-0 932 894 51.2% 20.4% 28.4% +16.8 19
1985-08-10 @ Keflavik IF L 0-4 894 932 28.4% 20.4% 51.2% -16.8 9
1985-08-11 Fram Reykjavik D 0-0 981 989 44.8% 21.0% 34.2% -0.4 22
1985-08-11 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 989 981 34.2% 21.0% 44.8% +0.4 26
1985-08-12 Thor Akureyri L 1-2 862 946 34.3% 21.0% 44.7% -5.2 3
1985-08-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 946 862 44.7% 21.0% 34.3% +5.2 22
1985-08-14 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 888 980 33.2% 20.9% 45.9% -5.1 13
1985-08-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 980 888 45.9% 20.9% 33.2% +5.1 25
1985-08-14 IA Akranes L 0-1 870 1013 27.2% 20.1% 52.7% -4.5 10
1985-08-14 @ Throttur Reykjavik W 1-0 1013 870 52.7% 20.1% 27.2% +4.5 26
1985-08-15 Keflavik IF L 0-2 975 949 49.6% 20.6% 29.8% -14.0 24
1985-08-15 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 949 975 29.8% 20.6% 49.6% +14.0 22
1985-08-15 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 951 990 40.6% 21.2% 38.2% +11.4 25
1985-08-15 @ Thor Akureyri L 0-2 990 951 38.2% 21.2% 40.6% -11.4 26
1985-08-15 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 877 857 48.7% 20.7% 30.6% +13.7 12
1985-08-15 @ Vidir Gardur L 0-3 857 877 30.6% 20.7% 48.7% -13.7 3
1985-08-17 FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1018 883 63.1% 17.6% 19.2% -8.2 26
1985-08-17 @ IA Akranes W 3-2 883 1018 19.2% 17.6% 63.1% +8.2 16
1985-08-18 Thor Akureyri W 3-0 985 963 49.1% 20.6% 30.2% +13.6 28
1985-08-18 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 963 985 30.2% 20.6% 49.1% -13.6 25
1985-08-19 Vidir Gardur W 2-1 978 890 57.6% 19.1% 23.3% +3.7 29
1985-08-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 890 978 23.3% 19.1% 57.6% -3.7 12
1985-08-19 Throttur Reykjavik W 2-1 963 866 58.7% 18.9% 22.4% +3.5 25
1985-08-19 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 866 963 22.4% 18.9% 58.7% -3.5 10
1985-08-20 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 843 961 30.1% 20.6% 49.3% -9.3 3
1985-08-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 961 843 49.3% 20.6% 30.1% +9.3 27
1985-08-28 Keflavik IF D 1-1 891 966 35.4% 21.1% 43.5% +0.3 17
1985-08-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 966 891 43.5% 21.1% 35.4% -0.3 26
1985-08-28 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1009 999 47.5% 20.8% 31.7% -0.6 27
1985-08-28 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 999 1009 31.7% 20.8% 47.5% +0.6 29
1985-08-28 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 862 834 49.9% 20.5% 29.6% -0.8 11
1985-08-28 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 834 862 29.6% 20.5% 49.9% +0.8 4
1985-08-28 Thor Akureyri L 0-2 887 949 37.2% 21.2% 41.6% -11.1 12
1985-08-28 @ Vidir Gardur W 2-0 949 887 41.6% 21.2% 37.2% +11.1 28
1985-08-29 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 970 982 44.3% 21.1% 34.6% -0.3 28
1985-08-29 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 982 970 34.6% 21.1% 44.3% +0.3 30
1985-08-31 Vidir Gardur W 3-1 999 876 61.9% 18.0% 20.1% +5.5 32
1985-08-31 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 876 999 20.1% 18.0% 61.9% -5.5 12
1985-09-01 Throttur Reykjavik D 1-1 982 861 61.5% 18.1% 20.4% -1.4 31
1985-09-01 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 861 982 20.4% 18.1% 61.5% +1.4 12
1985-09-01 IA Akranes L 2-3 966 1009 39.9% 21.2% 38.9% -5.6 26
1985-09-01 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1009 966 38.9% 21.2% 39.9% +5.6 30
1985-09-01 KR Reykjavik W 3-1 960 970 44.7% 21.0% 34.3% +9.0 31
1985-09-01 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-3 970 960 34.3% 21.0% 44.7% -9.0 28
1985-09-02 FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-2 835 891 38.0% 21.2% 40.8% +5.7 7
1985-09-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 2-3 891 835 40.8% 21.2% 38.0% -5.7 17
1985-09-07 Fram Reykjavik L 1-5 886 981 32.8% 20.9% 46.3% -15.8 17
1985-09-07 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-1 981 886 46.3% 20.9% 32.8% +15.8 34
1985-09-07 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1014 840 67.5% 16.1% 16.4% +2.7 33
1985-09-07 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 840 1014 16.4% 16.1% 67.5% -2.7 7
1985-09-07 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 960 1005 39.7% 21.2% 39.1% -5.9 26
1985-09-07 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1005 960 39.1% 21.2% 39.7% +5.9 35
1985-09-07 Thor Akureyri D 0-0 863 969 31.4% 20.8% 47.8% +0.6 13
1985-09-07 @ Throttur Reykjavik D 0-0 969 863 47.8% 20.8% 31.4% -0.6 32
1985-09-08 Vidir Gardur D 1-1 961 870 57.9% 19.1% 23.0% -1.2 29
1985-09-08 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 870 961 23.0% 19.1% 57.9% +1.2 13
1985-09-12 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1011 959 52.9% 20.1% 27.0% +4.5 38
1985-09-12 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 959 1011 27.0% 20.1% 52.9% -4.5 29
1985-09-14 IA Akranes L 2-3 997 1017 43.1% 21.1% 35.7% -5.9 34
1985-09-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1017 997 35.7% 21.1% 43.1% +5.9 36
1985-09-14 FH Hafnarfjordur W 6-1 969 870 58.9% 18.8% 22.3% +13.6 35
1985-09-14 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-6 870 969 22.3% 18.8% 58.9% -13.6 17
1985-09-14 Throttur Reykjavik W 3-2 871 863 47.1% 20.8% 32.0% +4.7 16
1985-09-14 @ Vidir Gardur L 2-3 863 871 32.0% 20.8% 47.1% -4.7 13
1985-09-15 Keflavik IF L 2-3 838 955 30.1% 20.6% 49.2% -4.4 7
1985-09-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 955 838 49.2% 20.6% 30.1% +4.4 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-08-17 19.24% FH Hafnarfjordur 883 3 @ IA Akranes 1018 2
2 1985-06-25 22.63% Keflavik IF 907 2 @ IA Akranes 1002 1
3 1985-08-10 25.56% KR Reykjavik 962 3 @ IA Akranes 1026 1
4 1985-05-14 29.27% FH Hafnarfjordur 921 1 @ Vidir Gardur 952 0
5 1985-06-22 29.83% FH Hafnarfjordur 893 3 @ Keflavik IF 919 1
6 1985-08-15 29.84% Keflavik IF 949 2 @ KR Reykjavik 975 0
7 1985-06-02 32.28% Vidir Gardur 906 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 912 0
8 1985-07-20 33.83% Vidir Gardur 897 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 891 2
9 1985-05-22 33.85% Keflavik IF 919 2 @ Vidir Gardur 913 1
10 1985-07-20 34.39% @ Keflavik IF 919 3 Fram Reykjavik 1001 0
11 1985-07-08 34.78% Valur Reykjavik 954 2 @ KR Reykjavik 941 1
12 1985-07-21 35.51% KR Reykjavik 935 5 @ Throttur Reykjavik 916 1
13 1985-06-29 35.66% KR Reykjavik 929 2 @ Vidir Gardur 909 0
14 1985-09-14 35.74% IA Akranes 1017 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 997 2
15 1985-06-21 35.82% Throttur Reykjavik 921 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 900 1
16 1985-05-19 36.45% Fram Reykjavik 961 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 935 0
17 1985-07-06 36.99% Thor Akureyri 932 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 903 0
18 1985-09-02 38.00% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 835 3 FH Hafnarfjordur 891 2
19 1985-09-01 38.87% IA Akranes 1009 3 @ Keflavik IF 966 2
20 1985-09-07 39.10% Valur Reykjavik 1005 2 @ Keflavik IF 960 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-05-17 31.75 @ IA Akranes 7 951 46.91% Vidir Gardur 0 944 32.22%
2 1985-07-21 19.88 KR Reykjavik 5 935 35.51% @ Throttur Reykjavik 1 916 43.39%
3 1985-07-20 18.67 @ Keflavik IF 3 919 34.39% Fram Reykjavik 0 1001 44.57%
4 1985-05-19 17.93 Fram Reykjavik 3 961 36.45% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 935 42.40%
5 1985-08-10 16.79 @ Keflavik IF 4 932 51.23% Vidir Gardur 0 894 28.41%
6 1985-07-24 15.84 Valur Reykjavik 3 965 42.53% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 896 36.33%
7 1985-09-07 15.84 Fram Reykjavik 5 981 46.31% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1 886 32.78%
8 1985-06-15 15.37 IA Akranes 3 987 43.91% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 909 35.02%
9 1985-07-06 14.29 @ IA Akranes 6 999 43.63% Fram Reykjavik 2 1016 35.28%
10 1985-08-15 14.04 Keflavik IF 2 949 29.84% @ KR Reykjavik 0 975 49.57%
11 1985-05-31 13.76 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 941 48.60% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 922 30.71%
12 1985-08-15 13.72 @ Vidir Gardur 3 877 48.71% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 857 30.61%
13 1985-09-14 13.63 @ Thor Akureyri 6 969 58.89% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 870 22.28%
14 1985-08-18 13.57 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 985 49.12% Thor Akureyri 0 963 30.24%
15 1985-08-10 13.21 KR Reykjavik 3 962 25.56% @ IA Akranes 1 1026 54.67%
16 1985-06-29 12.54 KR Reykjavik 2 929 35.66% @ Vidir Gardur 0 909 43.23%
17 1985-07-06 12.21 Thor Akureyri 2 932 36.99% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 903 41.84%
18 1985-06-22 12.16 FH Hafnarfjordur 3 893 29.83% @ Keflavik IF 1 919 49.59%
19 1985-08-15 11.37 @ Thor Akureyri 2 951 40.56% Fram Reykjavik 0 990 38.25%
20 1985-05-14 11.31 @ Thor Akureyri 2 926 40.82% IA Akranes 0 962 38.00%
21 1985-08-28 11.12 Thor Akureyri 2 949 41.64% @ Vidir Gardur 0 887 37.19%
22 1985-06-25 11.01 Fram Reykjavik 2 998 42.09% @ Throttur Reykjavik 0 932 36.76%
23 1985-06-21 10.83 Throttur Reykjavik 3 921 35.82% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 900 43.06%
24 1985-06-20 10.27 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 987 53.20% KR Reykjavik 1 934 26.76%
25 1985-08-10 10.18 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 2 878 45.64% Throttur Reykjavik 0 880 33.39%