1976 Úrvalsdeild Season

72 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valur Reykjavik

25 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

7.69 points above expected

24 points · 16.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Throttur Reykjavik

8.12 points below expected

4 points · 12.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valur Reykjavik	16	10	5	1	25	45	14	+31	17.9	+7.06
2	Fram Reykjavik	16	10	4	2	24	30	16	+14	16.3	+7.69
3	IA Akranes	16	8	5	3	21	27	19	+8	17.4	+3.62
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	16	8	2	6	18	22	21	+1	17.1	+0.95
5	Breidablik	16	8	2	6	18	21	22	-1	15.5	+2.52
6	Keflavik IF	16	6	3	7	15	22	23	-1	16.6	-1.59
7	KR Reykjavik	16	3	5	8	11	20	23	-3	15.8	-4.83
8	FH Hafnarfjordur	16	2	4	10	8	11	31	-20	15.3	-7.29
9	Throttur Reykjavik	16	1	2	13	4	10	39	-29	12.1	-8.12

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valur Reykjavik	1096	25	17.94	+7.06	99.2%	5	13	16	18	20	23	29
IA Akranes	1072	21	17.38	+3.62	89.5%	4	12	15	17	20	23	29
Fram Reykjavik	1064	24	16.31	+7.69	99.4%	5	11	14	16	19	22	28
Vikingur Reykjavik	1041	18	17.05	+0.95	67.0%	4	12	15	17	19	22	28
Keflavik IF	1036	15	16.59	-1.59	37.4%	3	11	14	17	19	22	28
Breidablik	1016	18	15.48	+2.52	81.9%	3	10	13	15	18	21	28
KR Reykjavik	1012	11	15.83	-4.83	9.2%	2	10	14	16	18	21	28
FH Hafnarfjordur	993	8	15.29	-7.29	1.6%	4	10	13	15	17	21	27
Throttur Reykjavik	921	4	12.12	-8.12	0.6%	2	7	10	12	14	18	26

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FH	FR	IA	KR	KI	TR	VR	VR
Breidablik	—	2-0-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 2.43	1-1-0 2.60	2-0-0 2.46	2-0-0 3.31	0-1-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.40
FH Hafnarfjordur	0-0-2 2.63	—	0-0-2 2.55	0-2-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.33
Fram Reykjavik	2-0-0 2.91	2-0-0 2.82	—	0-1-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 2.68	2-0-0 3.40	0-2-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.58
IA Akranes	2-0-0 2.95	0-2-0 3.02	1-1-0 2.86	—	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.52	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 2.80
KR Reykjavik	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.41	—	0-0-2 2.54	1-1-0 3.23	0-2-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.53
Keflavik IF	0-0-2 2.92	1-1-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.52	2-0-0 2.84	—	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.67
Throttur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.03	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.00	—	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-2 1.91
Valur Reykjavik	1-1-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.16	0-2-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.76	0-2-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.78	—	2-0-0 2.78
Vikingur Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.98	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.70	2-0-0 3.54	0-0-2 2.59	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	7.64%	4.86%	3.47%	—	2.08%	23.61%
1	7.64%	13.89%	10.42%	3.47%	1.39%	2.08%	38.89%
2	4.86%	10.42%	2.78%	2.08%	0.69%	—	20.83%
3	3.47%	3.47%	2.08%	—	0.69%	—	9.72%
4	—	1.39%	0.69%	0.69%	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.08%	2.08%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	23.61%	38.89%	20.83%	9.72%	2.78%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.187
Sample size (games)	72

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
1	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
2	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
3	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	50.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	37.50%
1	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	12.50%	56.25%
2	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	12.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.69
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	0.60
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.096
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
1	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
5+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	31.25%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
1	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
2	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	50.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.196
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	—	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
2	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	50.00%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.25
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.302
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
1	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	50.00%
2	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.070
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	12.50%	50.00%
1	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
2	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.62
Mean allowed	2.44
StdDev scored	0.72
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.249
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
1	—	25.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
2	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
4	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	31.25%	50.00%	18.75%	—	—	—	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	0.88
StdDev scored	1.91
StdDev allowed	0.72
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.164
Games played	16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
1	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
2	12.50%	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
3	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.282
Games played	16

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fram Reykjavik	24	16.3	+7.69
2	Valur Reykjavik	25	17.9	+7.06
3	IA Akranes	21	17.4	+3.62
4	Breidablik	18	15.5	+2.52
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	17.1	+0.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Throttur Reykjavik	4	12.1	-8.12
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	8	15.3	-7.29
3	KR Reykjavik	11	15.8	-4.83
4	Keflavik IF	15	16.6	-1.59
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	17.1	+0.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	5	Jun 8 – Jun 24	1 in 127
2	Fram Reykjavik	4	Jun 7 – Jun 27	1 in 53
3	Valur Reykjavik	4	May 30 – Jun 21	1 in 44
4	Breidablik	3	Jul 21 – Aug 8	1 in 32
5	IA Akranes	3	Aug 14 – Aug 22	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Throttur Reykjavik	8	May 13 – Jun 27	1 in 504
2	FH Hafnarfjordur	5	Jul 23 – Aug 22	1 in 140
3	Vikingur Reykjavik	4	Jul 1 – Aug 5	1 in 89
4	Keflavik IF	3	May 30 – Jun 13	1 in 30
5	KR Reykjavik	3	Aug 17 – Aug 31	1 in 22

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fram Reykjavik	13	Jun 7 – Aug 30	1 in 188
2	Valur Reykjavik	11	May 15 – Jul 19	1 in 52
3	Breidablik	5	Jun 27 – Aug 8	1 in 10
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	6	Jun 8 – Jun 27	1 in 9
5	IA Akranes	5	Jun 23 – Jul 24	1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FH Hafnarfjordur	12	Jun 7 – Aug 22	1 in 100
2	Throttur Reykjavik	11	May 13 – Jul 20	1 in 22
3	Vikingur Reykjavik	6	Jun 27 – Aug 14	1 in 16
4	IA Akranes	4	Jul 3 – Aug 7	1 in 8
5	KR Reykjavik	5	May 23 – Jun 19	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9
Valur Reykjavik	25.56%	18.11%	14.45%	12.26%	9.66%	7.65%	5.85%	4.34%	2.12%
Fram Reykjavik	11.83%	12.95%	12.46%	12.67%	12.79%	11.61%	10.39%	9.64%	5.66%
IA Akranes	18.36%	15.74%	14.24%	13.05%	11.09%	9.80%	8.54%	5.70%	3.48%
Vikingur Reykjavik	13.99%	13.99%	14.64%	12.97%	11.92%	11.15%	9.82%	7.42%	4.10%
Breidablik	6.43%	8.46%	9.87%	10.91%	13.30%	13.82%	13.47%	14.14%	9.60%
Keflavik IF	11.13%	12.57%	12.75%	12.78%	12.02%	11.96%	11.43%	9.52%	5.84%
KR Reykjavik	7.13%	9.75%	10.80%	11.18%	12.83%	13.13%	13.82%	12.98%	8.38%
FH Hafnarfjordur	4.99%	6.88%	8.31%	10.62%	11.57%	13.22%	14.85%	17.26%	12.30%
Throttur Reykjavik	0.58%	1.55%	2.48%	3.56%	4.82%	7.66%	11.83%	19.00%	48.52%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Valur Reykjavik	97.9%	2.1%
IA Akranes	96.5%	3.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik	95.9%	4.1%
Fram Reykjavik	94.3%	5.7%
Keflavik IF	94.2%	5.8%
KR Reykjavik	91.6%	8.4%
Breidablik	90.4%	9.6%
FH Hafnarfjordur	87.7%	12.3%
Throttur Reykjavik	51.5%	48.5%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1976-05-13	Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-1	1021	972	41.4%	30.6%	28.1%	+5.6	3
1976-05-13	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	972	1021	28.1%	30.6%	41.4%	-5.6	0
1976-05-15	Valur Reykjavik	L 2-4	1017	1036	31.6%	31.3%	37.1%	-3.9	0
1976-05-15	@ Breidablik	W 4-2	1036	1017	37.1%	31.3%	31.6%	+3.9	3
1976-05-15	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 6-1	1042	1035	35.3%	31.4%	33.3%	+10.1	3
1976-05-15	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-6	1035	1042	33.3%	31.4%	35.3%	-10.1	0
1976-05-16	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1054	967	47.0%	28.7%	24.2%	+2.1	3
1976-05-16	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	967	1054	24.2%	28.7%	47.0%	-2.1	0
1976-05-16	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1042	1034	35.4%	31.4%	33.1%	+5.2	3
1976-05-16	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1034	1042	33.1%	31.4%	35.4%	-5.2	0
1976-05-22	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1040	1047	33.3%	31.4%	35.3%	+7.9	6
1976-05-22	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1047	1040	35.3%	31.4%	33.3%	-7.9	3
1976-05-23	IA Akranes	D 0-0	1025	1056	30.1%	31.1%	38.8%	+0.1	1
1976-05-23	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1056	1025	38.8%	31.1%	30.1%	-0.2	4
1976-05-23	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1028	1026	34.6%	31.4%	34.0%	-0.0	1
1976-05-23	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1026	1028	34.0%	31.4%	34.6%	+0.0	4
1976-05-24	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	964	1052	24.2%	28.7%	47.1%	-2.0	0
1976-05-24	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1052	964	47.1%	28.7%	24.2%	+2.0	6
1976-05-27	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1026	1048	31.4%	31.3%	37.4%	+0.1	5
1976-05-27	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1048	1026	37.4%	31.3%	31.4%	-0.1	7
1976-05-30	KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1013	1027	32.4%	31.4%	36.2%	+0.1	1
1976-05-30	@ Breidablik	D 0-0	1027	1013	36.2%	31.4%	32.4%	-0.1	6
1976-05-30	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1048	1054	33.4%	31.4%	35.2%	+5.4	10
1976-05-30	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1054	1048	35.2%	31.4%	33.4%	-5.4	6
1976-05-31	IA Akranes	L 1-2	1028	1056	30.6%	31.2%	38.2%	-2.4	1
1976-05-31	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1056	1028	38.2%	31.2%	30.6%	+2.5	7
1976-06-04	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-2	962	1025	26.6%	30.0%	43.4%	-4.4	0
1976-06-04	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1025	962	43.4%	30.0%	26.6%	+4.4	4
1976-06-05	Breidablik	L 1-2	1049	1013	39.5%	31.0%	29.6%	-2.9	6
1976-06-05	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1013	1049	29.6%	31.0%	39.5%	+2.9	4
1976-06-05	IA Akranes	W 6-1	1053	1058	33.6%	31.4%	35.0%	+10.5	13
1976-06-05	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-6	1058	1053	35.0%	31.4%	33.6%	-10.5	7
1976-06-07	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	1026	1029	33.8%	31.4%	34.8%	+2.7	4
1976-06-07	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1029	1026	34.8%	31.4%	33.8%	-2.7	4
1976-06-08	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1026	1039	32.5%	31.4%	36.1%	-2.6	6
1976-06-08	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1039	1026	36.1%	31.4%	32.5%	+2.6	6
1976-06-10	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1029	958	44.6%	29.6%	25.8%	+2.3	7
1976-06-10	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	958	1029	25.8%	29.6%	44.6%	-2.3	0
1976-06-12	Breidablik	W 2-0	1048	1016	38.9%	31.1%	30.0%	+4.8	10
1976-06-12	@ IA Akranes	L 0-2	1016	1048	30.0%	31.1%	38.9%	-4.8	4
1976-06-12	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 5-1	1064	1027	39.7%	30.9%	29.4%	+7.5	16
1976-06-12	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-5	1027	1064	29.4%	30.9%	39.7%	-7.5	4
1976-06-13	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1042	1046	33.7%	31.4%	34.9%	+2.7	9
1976-06-13	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1046	1042	34.9%	31.4%	33.7%	-2.7	6
1976-06-15	Breidablik	W 1-0	1044	1011	39.1%	31.0%	29.9%	+2.5	12
1976-06-15	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1011	1044	29.9%	31.0%	39.1%	-2.6	4
1976-06-19	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1052	1047	35.1%	31.4%	33.5%	-2.9	10
1976-06-19	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1047	1052	33.5%	31.4%	35.1%	+2.9	15
1976-06-19	Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1024	1043	31.7%	31.3%	37.0%	-2.5	6
1976-06-19	@ KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1043	1024	37.0%	31.3%	31.7%	+2.5	9
1976-06-20	Breidablik	L 0-1	1019	1009	35.8%	31.4%	32.8%	-2.9	4
1976-06-20	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 1-0	1009	1019	32.8%	31.4%	35.8%	+2.9	7
1976-06-21	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-6	956	1071	22.0%	26.8%	51.2%	-10.1	0
1976-06-21	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 6-0	1071	956	51.2%	26.8%	22.0%	+10.0	19
1976-06-23	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1011	1031	31.6%	31.3%	37.1%	-2.7	7
1976-06-23	@ Breidablik	W 1-0	1031	1011	37.1%	31.3%	31.6%	+2.7	10
1976-06-23	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1016	1021	33.5%	31.4%	35.0%	-5.2	4
1976-06-23	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-0	1021	1016	35.0%	31.4%	33.5%	+5.2	9
1976-06-23	Keflavik IF	W 4-1	1050	1045	34.9%	31.4%	33.7%	+6.4	13
1976-06-23	@ IA Akranes	L 1-4	1045	1050	33.7%	31.4%	34.9%	-6.4	9
1976-06-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-2	946	1050	22.8%	27.6%	49.5%	-3.8	0
1976-06-24	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1050	946	49.5%	27.6%	22.8%	+3.8	18
1976-06-26	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1056	1027	38.6%	31.1%	30.3%	+2.4	16
1976-06-26	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1027	1056	30.3%	31.1%	38.6%	-2.4	9
1976-06-27	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1009	942	44.0%	29.8%	26.1%	+2.1	10
1976-06-27	@ Breidablik	L 2-3	942	1009	26.1%	29.8%	44.0%	-2.0	0
1976-06-27	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1039	1033	35.1%	31.4%	33.5%	-2.9	9
1976-06-27	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1033	1039	33.5%	31.4%	35.1%	+2.9	13
1976-06-27	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1053	1011	40.5%	30.8%	28.7%	-0.2	19
1976-06-27	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1011	1053	28.7%	30.8%	40.5%	+0.2	5
1976-06-28	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1081	1036	40.8%	30.7%	28.5%	-0.2	20
1976-06-28	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1036	1081	28.5%	30.7%	40.8%	+0.2	14
1976-06-30	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1011	1036	30.9%	31.2%	37.9%	+0.1	6
1976-06-30	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	D 0-0	1036	1011	37.9%	31.2%	30.9%	-0.1	10
1976-06-30	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	940	1024	24.5%	28.9%	46.6%	+0.4	1
1976-06-30	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1024	940	46.6%	28.9%	24.5%	-0.4	10
1976-07-01	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1037	1053	32.0%	31.3%	36.7%	+2.6	17
1976-07-01	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1053	1037	36.7%	31.3%	32.0%	-2.6	19
1976-07-03	FH Hafnarfjordur	D 1-1	1058	1011	41.2%	30.6%	28.2%	-0.2	17
1976-07-03	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1011	1058	28.2%	30.6%	41.2%	+0.2	7
1976-07-04	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1036	940	48.3%	28.2%	23.5%	+2.0	13
1976-07-04	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	940	1036	23.5%	28.2%	48.3%	-2.0	1
1976-07-04	Breidablik	D 1-1	1081	1011	44.6%	29.6%	25.8%	-0.3	21
1976-07-04	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1011	1081	25.8%	29.6%	44.6%	+0.3	11
1976-07-05	Fram Reykjavik	L 3-4	1024	1039	32.1%	31.4%	36.5%	-2.4	10
1976-07-05	@ KR Reykjavik	W 4-3	1039	1024	36.5%	31.4%	32.1%	+2.4	20
1976-07-08	Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1051	1081	30.2%	31.1%	38.7%	-2.3	19
1976-07-08	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1081	1051	38.7%	31.1%	30.2%	+2.3	24
1976-07-18	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1042	1038	34.8%	31.4%	33.8%	+2.6	23
1976-07-18	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1038	1042	33.8%	31.4%	34.8%	-2.6	13
1976-07-19	KR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1083	1021	43.3%	30.0%	26.7%	-0.2	25
1976-07-19	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1021	1083	26.7%	30.0%	43.3%	+0.2	11
1976-07-20	IA Akranes	D 1-1	938	1058	21.6%	26.5%	51.9%	+0.5	2
1976-07-20	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1058	938	51.9%	26.5%	21.6%	-0.5	18
1976-07-21	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1011	1048	29.4%	30.9%	39.7%	+5.1	14
1976-07-21	@ Breidablik	L 1-3	1048	1011	39.7%	30.9%	29.4%	-5.1	19
1976-07-23	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1011	939	44.9%	29.5%	25.6%	-3.2	7
1976-07-23	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	939	1011	25.6%	29.5%	44.9%	+3.2	5
1976-07-24	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1058	1044	36.2%	31.4%	32.4%	-0.1	19
1976-07-24	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1044	1058	32.4%	31.4%	36.2%	+0.1	24
1976-07-25	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1035	1083	28.2%	30.6%	41.2%	+3.2	16
1976-07-25	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1083	1035	41.2%	30.6%	28.2%	-3.2	25
1976-07-25	Breidablik	L 0-1	1022	1016	35.1%	31.4%	33.5%	-2.9	11
1976-07-25	@ KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1016	1022	33.5%	31.4%	35.1%	+2.9	17
1976-08-05	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1043	1019	37.8%	31.2%	31.0%	-2.9	19
1976-08-05	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1019	1043	31.0%	31.2%	37.8%	+2.9	14
1976-08-07	Fram Reykjavik	L 1-2	1008	1044	29.5%	30.9%	39.5%	-2.4	7
1976-08-07	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	1044	1008	39.5%	30.9%	29.5%	+2.4	27
1976-08-07	Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1058	1080	31.3%	31.3%	37.5%	-4.3	19
1976-08-07	@ IA Akranes	W 3-1	1080	1058	37.5%	31.3%	31.3%	+4.3	28
1976-08-08	Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1019	1038	31.6%	31.3%	37.1%	+4.9	20
1976-08-08	@ Breidablik	L 1-3	1038	1019	37.1%	31.3%	31.6%	-4.9	16
1976-08-14	IA Akranes	L 0-3	1024	1053	30.3%	31.1%	38.6%	-7.1	20
1976-08-14	@ Breidablik	W 3-0	1053	1024	38.6%	31.1%	30.3%	+7.1	22
1976-08-14	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1034	1040	33.3%	31.4%	35.2%	+0.0	17
1976-08-14	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1040	1034	35.2%	31.4%	33.3%	-0.0	20
1976-08-15	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-6	942	1047	22.8%	27.6%	49.6%	-10.5	5
1976-08-15	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 6-0	1047	942	49.6%	27.6%	22.8%	+10.5	30
1976-08-16	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-5	1006	1084	25.0%	29.2%	45.7%	-9.7	7
1976-08-16	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 5-0	1084	1006	45.7%	29.2%	25.0%	+9.7	31
1976-08-17	IA Akranes	L 1-3	1022	1060	29.2%	30.9%	39.9%	-4.1	14
1976-08-17	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1060	1022	39.9%	30.9%	29.2%	+4.1	25
1976-08-18	Breidablik	L 1-2	932	1017	24.4%	28.8%	46.8%	-2.0	5
1976-08-18	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1017	932	46.8%	28.8%	24.4%	+2.0	23
1976-08-19	Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	996	1040	28.6%	30.7%	40.7%	-2.3	7
1976-08-19	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	W 2-1	1040	996	40.7%	30.7%	28.6%	+2.3	23
1976-08-19	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1057	1094	29.5%	30.9%	39.6%	+0.2	31
1976-08-19	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1094	1057	39.6%	30.9%	29.5%	-0.2	32
1976-08-21	KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1034	1018	36.6%	31.3%	32.0%	+2.7	20
1976-08-21	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1018	1034	32.0%	31.3%	36.6%	-2.7	14
1976-08-22	FH Hafnarfjordur	W 3-1	1019	994	37.9%	31.2%	30.9%	+4.3	26
1976-08-22	@ Breidablik	L 1-3	994	1019	30.9%	31.2%	37.9%	-4.3	7
1976-08-22	IA Akranes	L 0-3	1043	1065	31.3%	31.3%	37.5%	-7.2	23
1976-08-22	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1065	1043	37.5%	31.3%	31.3%	+7.2	28
1976-08-23	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1093	930	58.4%	22.8%	18.8%	+3.0	35
1976-08-23	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	930	1093	18.8%	22.8%	58.4%	-3.0	5
1976-08-29	IA Akranes	D 2-2	1036	1072	29.6%	31.0%	39.4%	+0.1	21
1976-08-29	@ Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1072	1036	39.4%	31.0%	29.6%	-0.1	29
1976-08-29	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1035	927	50.3%	27.3%	22.4%	+5.4	26
1976-08-29	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-3	927	1035	22.4%	27.3%	50.3%	-5.4	5
1976-08-30	Breidablik	W 3-0	1057	1023	39.2%	31.0%	29.8%	+7.0	34
1976-08-30	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-3	1023	1057	29.8%	31.0%	39.2%	-7.0	26
1976-08-31	FH Hafnarfjordur	L 0-1	1015	989	38.0%	31.2%	30.8%	-3.0	14
1976-08-31	@ KR Reykjavik	W 1-0	989	1015	30.8%	31.2%	38.0%	+3.0	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1976-07-23	25.58%	Throttur Reykjavik	939	2	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1011	1
2	1976-07-25	28.19%	@ Keflavik IF	1035	1	Valur Reykjavik	1083	0
3	1976-07-21	29.39%	@ Breidablik	1011	3	Vikingur Reykjavik	1048	1
4	1976-06-05	29.58%	Breidablik	1013	2	@ Keflavik IF	1049	1
5	1976-08-31	30.84%	FH Hafnarfjordur	989	1	@ KR Reykjavik	1015	0
6	1976-08-05	30.97%	KR Reykjavik	1019	2	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1043	1
7	1976-08-08	31.61%	@ Breidablik	1019	3	Keflavik IF	1038	1
8	1976-07-01	31.98%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1037	3	Vikingur Reykjavik	1053	2
9	1976-06-20	32.80%	Breidablik	1009	1	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	1019	0
10	1976-05-22	33.31%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1040	3	Vikingur Reykjavik	1047	0
11	1976-05-30	33.41%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1048	2	Keflavik IF	1054	0
12	1976-06-19	33.47%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1047	1	@ IA Akranes	1052	0
13	1976-06-27	33.50%	Fram Reykjavik	1033	1	@ Keflavik IF	1039	0
14	1976-07-25	33.50%	Breidablik	1016	1	@ KR Reykjavik	1022	0
15	1976-06-05	33.59%	@ Valur Reykjavik	1053	6	IA Akranes	1058	1
16	1976-06-13	33.70%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1042	2	Keflavik IF	1046	1
17	1976-06-07	33.81%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1026	2	FH Hafnarfjordur	1029	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1976-08-15	10.47	Fram Reykjavik	6	1047	49.64%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	0	942	22.78%
2	1976-06-05	10.46	@ Valur Reykjavik	6	1053	33.59%	IA Akranes	1	1058	34.99%
3	1976-05-15	10.10	@ Keflavik IF	6	1042	35.30%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1035	33.28%
4	1976-06-21	10.05	Valur Reykjavik	6	1071	51.23%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	0	956	21.96%
5	1976-08-16	9.70	Valur Reykjavik	5	1084	45.74%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	0	1006	25.04%
6	1976-05-22	7.89	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1040	33.31%	Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1047	35.27%
7	1976-06-12	7.52	@ Valur Reykjavik	5	1064	39.68%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	1027	29.39%
8	1976-08-22	7.25	IA Akranes	3	1065	37.47%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1043	31.28%
9	1976-08-14	7.08	IA Akranes	3	1053	38.56%	@ Breidablik	0	1024	30.33%
10	1976-08-30	6.98	@ Fram Reykjavik	3	1057	39.24%	Breidablik	0	1023	29.76%
11	1976-06-23	6.44	@ IA Akranes	4	1050	34.89%	Keflavik IF	1	1045	33.68%
12	1976-05-13	5.62	@ KR Reykjavik	4	1021	41.37%	Throttur Reykjavik	1	972	28.07%
13	1976-05-30	5.42	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	1048	33.41%	Keflavik IF	0	1054	35.17%
14	1976-08-29	5.39	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	3	1035	50.27%	Throttur Reykjavik	0	927	22.45%
15	1976-06-23	5.24	KR Reykjavik	2	1021	35.04%	@ FH Hafnarfjordur	0	1016	33.53%
16	1976-05-16	5.20	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1042	35.45%	Fram Reykjavik	0	1034	33.14%
17	1976-07-21	5.10	@ Breidablik	3	1011	29.39%	Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1048	39.69%
18	1976-08-08	4.87	@ Breidablik	3	1019	31.61%	Keflavik IF	1	1038	37.09%
19	1976-06-12	4.84	@ IA Akranes	2	1048	38.89%	Breidablik	0	1016	30.05%
20	1976-06-04	4.38	FH Hafnarfjordur	2	1025	43.40%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	0	962	26.59%
21	1976-08-07	4.32	Valur Reykjavik	3	1080	37.45%	@ IA Akranes	1	1058	31.29%
22	1976-08-22	4.27	@ Breidablik	3	1019	37.93%	FH Hafnarfjordur	1	994	30.87%
23	1976-08-17	4.10	IA Akranes	3	1060	39.94%	@ KR Reykjavik	1	1022	29.19%
24	1976-05-15	3.90	Valur Reykjavik	4	1036	37.07%	@ Breidablik	2	1017	31.63%
25	1976-06-24	3.78	Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1050	49.53%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	0	946	22.84%