Home / Leagues / Iceland / Úrvalsdeild / 1975
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1975 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

19 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

4.33 points above expected

19 points · 14.67 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

4.55 points below expected

9 points · 13.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 14 8 3 3 19 29 14 +15 14.7 +4.33
2 Fram Reykjavik 14 8 1 5 17 20 17 +3 13.9 +3.13
3 Valur Reykjavik 14 6 4 4 16 20 17 +3 13.8 +2.19
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 6 3 5 15 17 12 +5 14.1 +0.87
5 Keflavik IF 14 4 5 5 13 13 13 0 14.4 -1.44
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 14 4 5 5 13 11 21 -10 14.5 -1.47
7 KR Reykjavik 14 3 4 7 10 13 18 -5 13.1 -3.07
8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 2 5 7 9 11 22 -11 13.6 -4.55

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
IA Akranes 1023 19 14.67 +4.33 94.4% 4 10 13 15 17 20 25
Keflavik IF 1002 13 14.44 -1.44 37.5% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Vikingur Reykjavik 1002 15 14.13 +0.87 67.2% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Valur Reykjavik 994 16 13.81 +2.19 81.3% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
FH Hafnarfjordur 994 13 14.47 -1.47 37.6% 4 9 12 14 17 19 25
Fram Reykjavik 991 17 13.87 +3.13 88.7% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 968 9 13.55 -4.55 9.4% 3 9 12 14 16 18 24
KR Reykjavik 964 10 13.07 -3.07 19.7% 2 8 11 13 15 18 24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR IA IV KR KI VR VR
FH Hafnarfjordur —
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.93
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.73
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.53
 —
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.63
IA Akranes
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.82
 —
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.46
 —
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.62
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.50
0-1-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.58
 —
0-0-2
2.44
0-2-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.44
Keflavik IF
0-2-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
2.91
 —
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.75
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.56
 —
2-0-0
2.60
Vikingur Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.71
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.74
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%16.07%4.46%0.89%0.89%—33.04%
116.07%8.93%7.14%0.89%—1.79%34.82%
24.46%7.14%7.14%2.68%0.89%—22.32%
30.89%0.89%2.68%——0.89%5.36%
40.89%—0.89%———1.79%
5+—1.79%—0.89%——2.68%
Total33.04%34.82%22.32%5.36%1.79%2.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game2.39
Correlation (home vs away score)0.193
Sample size (games)56
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%——35.71%
121.43%21.43%———7.14%50.00%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%—7.14%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.79
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.70
StdDev allowed1.83
Mean total goals/game2.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.030
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
128.57%7.14%————35.71%
214.29%——7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%7.14%——7.14%21.43%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%28.57%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.67
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.410
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%————21.43%
121.43%7.14%————28.57%
2—14.29%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
Total35.71%42.86%7.14%14.29%——100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored2.16
StdDev allowed1.04
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.377
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%21.43%——7.14%—50.00%
1—7.14%14.29%——7.14%28.57%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%28.57%—7.14%7.14%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.79
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game2.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.173
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%21.43%7.14%———42.86%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%—100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored0.92
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game2.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.438
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%28.57%————42.86%
114.29%14.29%7.14%———35.71%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3———————
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%50.00%21.43%———100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed0.73
Mean total goals/game1.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.547
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—————14.29%
114.29%—21.43%7.14%——42.86%
2—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total35.71%14.29%42.86%7.14%——100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.212
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%7.14%———35.71%
121.43%7.14%7.14%———35.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total35.71%42.86%21.43%———100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed0.86
StdDev scored1.58
StdDev allowed0.77
Mean total goals/game2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.027
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 19 14.7 +4.33
2 Fram Reykjavik 17 13.9 +3.13
3 Valur Reykjavik 16 13.8 +2.19
4 Vikingur Reykjavik 15 14.1 +0.87
5 Keflavik IF 13 14.4 -1.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 9 13.6 -4.55
2 KR Reykjavik 10 13.1 -3.07
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 13 14.5 -1.47
4 Keflavik IF 13 14.4 -1.44
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 15 14.1 +0.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Jun 21 – Jul 13 1 in 157
2 Valur Reykjavik 3 Aug 16 – Aug 31 1 in 38
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 2 – Jun 15 1 in 25
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jul 26 – Aug 8 1 in 10
5 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 Jul 4 – Jul 12 1 in 6

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 Jun 28 – Jul 12 1 in 34
2 Valur Reykjavik 3 Jun 28 – Jul 10 1 in 33
3 KR Reykjavik 3 Jul 27 – Aug 18 1 in 24
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 Jun 8 – Jun 14 1 in 11
5 Keflavik IF 2 Jun 30 – Jul 2 1 in 9

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 6 Jun 21 – Jul 20 1 in 10
2 Valur Reykjavik 5 May 20 – Jun 19 1 in 9
3 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 Jul 19 – Aug 23 1 in 6
4 Fram Reykjavik 4 Jun 26 – Jul 22 1 in 4
5 Keflavik IF 3 Jul 10 – Jul 27 1 in 4

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 19 – Jul 21 1 in 11
2 KR Reykjavik 6 Jul 13 – Aug 23 1 in 10
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jun 19 – Jul 19 1 in 7
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 May 31 – Jun 21 1 in 5
5 Keflavik IF 3 Aug 9 – Aug 23 1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
IA Akranes20.87%16.42%13.67%12.62%10.85%9.78%8.91%6.88%
Fram Reykjavik11.69%12.56%12.43%13.38%12.77%12.97%12.76%11.44%
Valur Reykjavik11.11%12.33%13.14%12.64%13.16%12.89%12.50%12.23%
Vikingur Reykjavik14.08%13.63%13.32%12.53%12.68%12.10%11.46%10.20%
Keflavik IF14.60%14.19%14.26%13.08%12.02%11.46%11.12%9.27%
FH Hafnarfjordur13.30%13.26%12.76%12.58%13.10%12.14%11.50%11.36%
KR Reykjavik6.56%8.13%9.94%11.18%12.30%14.57%16.74%20.58%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar7.79%9.48%10.48%11.99%13.12%14.09%15.01%18.04%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 93.1% 6.9%
Keflavik IF 90.7% 9.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik 89.8% 10.2%
FH Hafnarfjordur 88.6% 11.4%
Fram Reykjavik 88.6% 11.4%
Valur Reykjavik 87.8% 12.2%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 82.0% 18.0%
KR Reykjavik 79.4% 20.6%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1975-05-17 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1015 982 44.7% 31.6% 23.7% +1.9 3
1975-05-17 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 982 1015 23.7% 31.6% 44.7% -1.9 0
1975-05-17 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 997 972 43.4% 32.1% 24.5% -0.3 1
1975-05-17 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 972 997 24.5% 32.1% 43.4% +0.3 1
1975-05-17 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 988 994 39.0% 33.4% 27.6% -0.2 1
1975-05-17 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 994 988 27.6% 33.4% 39.0% +0.2 1
1975-05-20 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1004 986 42.5% 32.5% 25.0% -0.3 1
1975-05-20 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 986 1004 25.0% 32.5% 42.5% +0.3 1
1975-05-29 Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 973 986 37.9% 33.6% 28.5% -0.1 2
1975-05-29 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 986 973 28.5% 33.6% 37.9% +0.1 2
1975-05-31 Vikingur Reykjavik D 1-1 997 994 40.2% 33.1% 26.7% -0.2 2
1975-05-31 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 994 997 26.7% 33.1% 40.2% +0.2 2
1975-05-31 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 988 1017 35.6% 33.8% 30.7% -0.1 2
1975-05-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1017 988 30.7% 33.8% 35.6% +0.1 4
1975-06-02 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1004 980 43.3% 32.2% 24.5% -3.0 1
1975-06-02 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 980 1004 24.5% 32.2% 43.3% +3.0 3
1975-06-08 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 983 988 39.0% 33.4% 27.6% +2.2 6
1975-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 988 983 27.6% 33.4% 39.0% -2.2 2
1975-06-08 FH Hafnarfjordur W 7-1 997 1017 36.8% 33.7% 29.5% +10.0 5
1975-06-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-7 1017 997 29.5% 33.7% 36.8% -10.0 4
1975-06-08 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1001 973 44.0% 31.9% 24.1% +2.0 4
1975-06-08 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 973 1001 24.1% 31.9% 44.0% -2.0 2
1975-06-09 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 986 994 38.6% 33.5% 27.9% +2.2 5
1975-06-09 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 994 986 27.9% 33.5% 38.6% -2.2 2
1975-06-14 Valur Reykjavik L 0-3 1007 988 42.6% 32.4% 25.0% -8.1 4
1975-06-14 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 988 1007 25.0% 32.4% 42.6% +8.1 8
1975-06-14 IA Akranes W 3-2 986 1007 36.8% 33.7% 29.5% +2.1 5
1975-06-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-3 1007 986 29.5% 33.7% 36.8% -2.1 5
1975-06-14 Keflavik IF W 1-0 992 1003 38.1% 33.5% 28.3% +2.2 5
1975-06-14 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1003 992 28.3% 33.5% 38.1% -2.2 4
1975-06-15 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 985 971 41.9% 32.7% 25.4% +3.9 9
1975-06-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 971 985 25.4% 32.7% 41.9% -3.9 2
1975-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 2-2 996 988 41.0% 32.9% 26.1% -0.1 9
1975-06-19 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 988 996 26.1% 32.9% 41.0% +0.1 6
1975-06-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 967 994 35.9% 33.7% 30.4% +4.4 5
1975-06-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 994 967 30.4% 33.7% 35.9% -4.4 5
1975-06-21 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1005 989 42.0% 32.6% 25.4% +2.1 8
1975-06-21 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 989 1005 25.4% 32.6% 42.0% -2.0 9
1975-06-21 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1001 999 40.0% 33.2% 26.8% -0.1 5
1975-06-21 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 999 1001 26.8% 33.2% 40.0% +0.1 5
1975-06-26 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 987 990 39.4% 33.3% 27.3% +2.2 12
1975-06-26 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 990 987 27.3% 33.3% 39.4% -2.2 5
1975-06-28 Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1007 996 41.3% 32.9% 25.9% +2.0 11
1975-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 1-2 996 1007 25.9% 32.9% 41.3% -2.0 9
1975-06-28 Keflavik IF L 0-1 988 1001 37.9% 33.6% 28.5% -2.7 6
1975-06-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1001 988 28.5% 33.6% 37.9% +2.7 8
1975-06-29 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 999 971 43.9% 31.9% 24.1% +2.0 8
1975-06-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 971 999 24.1% 31.9% 43.9% -2.0 5
1975-06-30 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1009 1003 40.5% 33.1% 26.4% +2.1 14
1975-06-30 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 1003 1009 26.4% 33.1% 40.5% -2.1 8
1975-07-01 Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 994 989 40.5% 33.1% 26.5% -4.7 9
1975-07-01 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 989 994 26.5% 33.1% 40.5% +4.7 15
1975-07-02 IA Akranes L 1-2 1001 1011 38.4% 33.5% 28.1% -2.6 8
1975-07-02 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1011 1001 28.1% 33.5% 38.4% +2.6 17
1975-07-04 FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 987 1001 37.8% 33.6% 28.7% +2.3 8
1975-07-04 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1001 987 28.7% 33.6% 37.8% -2.3 8
1975-07-05 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 985 969 42.1% 32.6% 25.3% -2.8 6
1975-07-05 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 969 985 25.3% 32.6% 42.1% +2.8 8
1975-07-10 Keflavik IF L 1-2 990 999 38.4% 33.5% 28.1% -2.6 9
1975-07-10 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 999 990 28.1% 33.5% 38.4% +2.6 11
1975-07-12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 6-1 990 983 40.8% 33.0% 26.2% +7.7 11
1975-07-12 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-6 983 990 26.2% 33.0% 40.8% -7.7 6
1975-07-13 IA Akranes L 0-1 972 1013 33.9% 33.7% 32.4% -2.5 8
1975-07-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1013 972 32.4% 33.7% 33.9% +2.5 20
1975-07-14 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 994 999 39.0% 33.4% 27.6% +4.1 18
1975-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 999 994 27.6% 33.4% 39.0% -4.1 8
1975-07-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 995 975 42.7% 32.4% 24.9% -0.3 9
1975-07-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 975 995 24.9% 32.4% 42.7% +0.3 7
1975-07-20 IA Akranes D 2-2 997 1016 37.1% 33.7% 29.2% -0.1 12
1975-07-20 @ Vikingur Reykjavik D 2-2 1016 997 29.2% 33.7% 37.1% +0.1 21
1975-07-21 KR Reykjavik D 2-2 987 970 42.3% 32.5% 25.2% -0.2 10
1975-07-21 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 970 987 25.2% 32.5% 42.3% +0.2 9
1975-07-22 Keflavik IF D 1-1 998 1001 39.3% 33.4% 27.4% -0.2 19
1975-07-22 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1001 998 27.4% 33.4% 39.3% +0.2 12
1975-07-25 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 997 987 41.3% 32.9% 25.9% -2.7 12
1975-07-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 987 997 25.9% 32.9% 41.3% +2.7 13
1975-07-26 IA Akranes W 1-0 995 1016 36.7% 33.7% 29.6% +2.3 12
1975-07-26 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1016 995 29.6% 33.7% 36.7% -2.3 21
1975-07-26 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 975 998 36.5% 33.7% 29.8% +4.4 10
1975-07-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 998 975 29.8% 33.7% 36.5% -4.4 19
1975-07-27 Keflavik IF L 2-4 970 1002 35.2% 33.8% 31.0% -3.8 9
1975-07-27 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-2 1002 970 31.0% 33.8% 35.2% +3.8 15
1975-08-08 FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 989 997 38.7% 33.5% 27.9% -2.6 13
1975-08-08 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 997 989 27.9% 33.5% 38.7% +2.6 15
1975-08-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1014 979 44.8% 31.6% 23.6% +6.9 24
1975-08-09 @ IA Akranes L 0-4 979 1014 23.6% 31.6% 44.8% -6.9 10
1975-08-09 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1005 995 41.3% 32.8% 25.8% -2.9 15
1975-08-09 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 995 1005 25.8% 32.8% 41.3% +2.9 15
1975-08-10 Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 966 994 35.8% 33.8% 30.4% -2.4 9
1975-08-10 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 994 966 30.4% 33.8% 35.8% +2.4 22
1975-08-16 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1000 1002 39.4% 33.3% 27.3% -0.2 16
1975-08-16 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1002 1000 27.3% 33.3% 39.4% +0.2 16
1975-08-16 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 973 987 37.7% 33.6% 28.7% -2.6 10
1975-08-16 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 987 973 28.7% 33.6% 37.7% +2.6 16
1975-08-17 IA Akranes L 3-6 996 1020 36.2% 33.7% 30.0% -4.9 22
1975-08-17 @ Fram Reykjavik W 6-3 1020 996 30.0% 33.7% 36.2% +4.9 27
1975-08-18 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 998 964 44.8% 31.6% 23.6% +1.8 18
1975-08-18 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 964 998 23.6% 31.6% 44.8% -1.8 9
1975-08-23 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1003 970 44.6% 31.7% 23.8% -0.3 17
1975-08-23 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 970 1003 23.8% 31.7% 44.6% +0.3 11
1975-08-23 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 962 999 34.4% 33.7% 31.9% -0.0 10
1975-08-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 999 962 31.9% 33.7% 34.4% +0.0 17
1975-08-24 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 999 991 41.0% 32.9% 26.1% -2.9 18
1975-08-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 991 999 26.1% 32.9% 41.0% +2.9 25
1975-08-25 IA Akranes W 1-0 989 1025 34.7% 33.7% 31.6% +2.4 19
1975-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-1 1025 989 31.6% 33.7% 34.7% -2.4 27
1975-08-30 Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1000 996 40.2% 33.1% 26.7% -5.4 17
1975-08-30 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 996 1000 26.7% 33.1% 40.2% +5.4 21
1975-08-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 962 970 38.5% 33.5% 28.0% +2.2 13
1975-08-30 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 970 962 28.0% 33.5% 38.5% -2.2 11
1975-08-31 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 994 992 40.1% 33.2% 26.8% -2.5 25
1975-08-31 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 992 994 26.8% 33.2% 40.1% +2.5 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1975-06-02 24.52% Fram Reykjavik 980 1 @ Keflavik IF 1004 0
2 1975-06-14 24.98% Valur Reykjavik 988 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1007 0
3 1975-07-05 25.30% KR Reykjavik 969 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 985 1
4 1975-08-09 25.84% Vikingur Reykjavik 995 1 @ Keflavik IF 1005 0
5 1975-07-25 25.85% Valur Reykjavik 987 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 997 1
6 1975-08-24 26.09% Fram Reykjavik 991 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 999 0
7 1975-07-01 26.46% Fram Reykjavik 989 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 994 1
8 1975-08-30 26.66% Vikingur Reykjavik 996 2 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1000 0
9 1975-08-31 26.77% Valur Reykjavik 992 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 994 2
10 1975-08-08 27.88% FH Hafnarfjordur 997 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 989 1
11 1975-07-10 28.08% Keflavik IF 999 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 990 1
12 1975-07-02 28.09% IA Akranes 1011 2 @ Keflavik IF 1001 1
13 1975-06-28 28.51% Keflavik IF 1001 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 988 0
14 1975-08-16 28.70% Valur Reykjavik 987 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 973 1
15 1975-08-17 30.03% IA Akranes 1020 6 @ Fram Reykjavik 996 3
16 1975-08-10 30.44% Fram Reykjavik 994 3 @ KR Reykjavik 966 2
17 1975-07-27 31.02% Keflavik IF 1002 4 @ KR Reykjavik 970 2
18 1975-07-13 32.37% IA Akranes 1013 1 @ KR Reykjavik 972 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1975-06-08 9.97 @ IA Akranes 7 997 36.78% FH Hafnarfjordur 1 1017 29.53%
2 1975-06-14 8.11 Valur Reykjavik 3 988 24.98% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1007 42.58%
3 1975-07-12 7.70 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 6 990 40.81% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 983 26.21%
4 1975-08-09 6.88 @ IA Akranes 4 1014 44.80% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 979 23.62%
5 1975-08-30 5.37 Vikingur Reykjavik 2 996 26.66% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1000 40.20%
6 1975-08-17 4.91 IA Akranes 6 1020 30.03% @ Fram Reykjavik 3 996 36.24%
7 1975-07-01 4.67 Fram Reykjavik 3 989 26.46% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 994 40.47%
8 1975-06-20 4.44 @ KR Reykjavik 2 967 35.86% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 994 30.40%
9 1975-07-26 4.38 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 975 36.49% Fram Reykjavik 0 998 29.80%
10 1975-07-14 4.14 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 994 39.00% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 999 27.60%
11 1975-06-15 3.88 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 985 41.89% KR Reykjavik 0 971 25.44%
12 1975-07-27 3.80 Keflavik IF 4 1002 31.02% @ KR Reykjavik 2 970 35.23%
13 1975-06-02 3.00 Fram Reykjavik 1 980 24.52% @ Keflavik IF 0 1004 43.30%
14 1975-08-09 2.90 Vikingur Reykjavik 1 995 25.84% @ Keflavik IF 0 1005 41.32%
15 1975-08-24 2.88 Fram Reykjavik 1 991 26.09% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 999 40.97%
16 1975-07-05 2.77 KR Reykjavik 2 969 25.30% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 985 42.10%
17 1975-07-25 2.74 Valur Reykjavik 2 987 25.85% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 997 41.31%
18 1975-06-28 2.73 Keflavik IF 1 1001 28.51% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 988 37.92%
19 1975-08-08 2.62 FH Hafnarfjordur 2 997 27.88% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 989 38.66%
20 1975-07-02 2.60 IA Akranes 2 1011 28.09% @ Keflavik IF 1 1001 38.41%
21 1975-07-10 2.60 Keflavik IF 2 999 28.08% @ Valur Reykjavik 1 990 38.42%
22 1975-08-16 2.57 Valur Reykjavik 2 987 28.70% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 973 37.70%
23 1975-07-13 2.54 IA Akranes 1 1013 32.37% @ KR Reykjavik 0 972 33.93%
24 1975-08-31 2.54 Valur Reykjavik 3 992 26.77% @ Fram Reykjavik 2 994 40.05%
25 1975-08-25 2.42 @ Valur Reykjavik 1 989 34.66% IA Akranes 0 1025 31.61%