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1971 Úrvalsdeild Season

57 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Keflavik IF

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Keflavik IF

7.57 points above expected

22 points · 14.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IBA Akureyri

4.93 points below expected

9 points · 13.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 9 2 3 20 37 19 +18
2 Keflavik IF 14 8 4 2 20 32 17 +15
3 Fram Reykjavik 14 7 1 6 15 29 25 +4
4 IA Akranes 14 6 2 6 14 27 27 0
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 6 2 6 14 24 25 -1
6 KR Reykjavik 14 3 4 7 10 13 20 -7
7 Breidablik 14 4 2 8 10 12 31 -19
8 IBA Akureyri 14 4 1 9 9 21 31 -10
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 15 9 4 2 22 36 17 +19 14.4 +7.57
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 15 9 2 4 20 37 23 +14 14.3 +5.69
3 Fram Reykjavik 14 7 1 6 15 29 25 +4 14.4 +0.55
4 IA Akranes 14 6 2 6 14 27 27 0 14.1 -0.07
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 6 2 6 14 24 25 -1 14.0 +0.04
6 KR Reykjavik 14 3 4 7 10 13 20 -7 13.8 -3.77
7 Breidablik 14 4 2 8 10 12 31 -19 13.1 -3.07
8 IBA Akureyri 14 4 1 9 9 21 31 -10 13.9 -4.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Keflavik IF 1016 22 14.43 +7.57 96.9% 2 9 12 14 17 20 28
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1003 20 14.31 +5.69 97.2% 2 9 12 14 17 20 25
Fram Reykjavik 997 15 14.45 +0.55 62.4% 4 9 12 14 17 20 26
IA Akranes 988 14 14.07 -0.07 55.3% 4 9 12 14 16 19 26
Valur Reykjavik 979 14 13.96 +0.04 56.9% 3 9 12 14 16 19 25
IBA Akureyri 977 9 13.93 -4.93 8.3% 2 9 12 14 16 19 26
KR Reykjavik 977 10 13.77 -3.77 15.3% 1 9 12 14 16 19 25
Breidablik 948 10 13.07 -3.07 22.0% 1 8 11 13 15 18 24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FR IA IA IV KR KI VR
Breidablik —
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.67
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.08
 —
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.91
IA Akranes
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
2.82
 —
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.81
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.85
IBA Akureyri
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.86
 —
0-0-2
2.75
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.74
2-0-0
2.77
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.92
 —
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-2
4.21
1-1-0
2.89
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.74
 —
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.83
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
2.92
2-1-0
4.28
0-2-0
3.02
 —
1-1-0
2.93
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.73
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.51%7.02%4.39%1.75%2.63%2.63%21.93%
17.02%7.02%7.89%4.39%2.63%0.88%29.82%
24.39%7.89%3.51%3.51%0.88%0.88%21.05%
31.75%4.39%3.51%1.75%—2.63%14.04%
42.63%2.63%0.88%———6.14%
5+2.63%0.88%0.88%2.63%——7.02%
Total21.93%29.82%21.05%14.04%6.14%7.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.75
Mean allowed1.75
StdDev scored1.49
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game3.49
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.104
Sample size (games)57
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%—14.29%50.00%
114.29%———7.14%—21.43%
27.14%7.14%——7.14%—21.43%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.86
Mean allowed2.21
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed2.01
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.133
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
17.14%—14.29%—7.14%—28.57%
214.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
3—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total28.57%14.29%28.57%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.33
StdDev allowed1.58
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.139
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%——7.14%—14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%——35.71%
2—7.14%————7.14%
3—14.29%7.14%7.14%—7.14%35.71%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total14.29%35.71%14.29%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.44
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.182
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%——7.14%—21.43%
17.14%—14.29%—7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%—7.14%7.14%—7.14%28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%14.29%28.57%7.14%14.29%14.29%100%

IBA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed2.21
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed1.76
Mean total goals/game3.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.244
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%——6.67%—13.33%
113.33%13.33%—6.67%——33.33%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3—6.67%———6.67%13.33%
4—13.33%————13.33%
5+6.67%6.67%—6.67%——20.00%
Total20.00%53.33%—13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.47
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.96
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.090
Games played15
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%14.29%———35.71%
17.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%——42.86%
2—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%14.29%——100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.43
StdDev scored0.92
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.366
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—————6.67%
1—13.33%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
2—13.33%6.67%———20.00%
313.33%—6.67%———20.00%
413.33%6.67%————20.00%
5+———6.67%——6.67%
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%13.33%——100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.40
Mean allowed1.13
StdDev scored1.45
StdDev allowed1.06
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.037
Games played15
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
1—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
27.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+———7.14%——7.14%
Total7.14%42.86%28.57%14.29%—7.14%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.006
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Keflavik IF 22 14.4 +7.57
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 14.3 +5.69
3 Fram Reykjavik 15 14.4 +0.55
4 Valur Reykjavik 14 14.0 +0.04
5 IA Akranes 14 14.1 -0.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IBA Akureyri 9 13.9 -4.93
2 KR Reykjavik 10 13.8 -3.77
3 Breidablik 10 13.1 -3.07
4 IA Akranes 14 14.1 -0.07
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 14.0 +0.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jul 3 – Aug 10 1 in 132
2 IA Akranes 3 Jul 24 – Aug 15 1 in 26
3 Keflavik IF 3 Aug 15 – Aug 29 1 in 21
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 May 23 – Jun 21 1 in 19
5 Valur Reykjavik 3 Jun 10 – Jun 28 1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Breidablik 5 Jun 27 – Jul 26 1 in 54
2 IBA Akureyri 3 Jul 18 – Aug 7 1 in 27
3 KR Reykjavik 4 Jun 10 – Jul 5 1 in 21
4 Valur Reykjavik 2 Aug 10 – Aug 15 1 in 13
5 Fram Reykjavik 2 Jun 21 – Jun 28 1 in 13

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7 Jun 21 – Aug 10 1 in 88
2 Keflavik IF 7 Jun 12 – Jul 25 1 in 34
3 KR Reykjavik 5 Aug 7 – Sep 5 1 in 27
4 Breidablik 4 Aug 9 – Aug 29 1 in 14
5 IA Akranes 5 Jul 24 – Aug 29 1 in 13

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBA Akureyri 7 Jul 18 – Aug 28 1 in 68
2 KR Reykjavik 7 Jun 10 – Jul 24 1 in 38
3 Breidablik 5 Jun 27 – Jul 26 1 in 10
4 Fram Reykjavik 5 Jul 25 – Aug 26 1 in 10
5 IA Akranes 3 Aug 21 – Sep 12 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Keflavik IF17.45%15.52%13.68%12.57%11.79%10.90%9.56%8.53%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar17.43%14.35%13.37%12.85%12.30%11.09%9.87%8.74%
Fram Reykjavik15.22%15.05%13.86%12.59%12.14%12.03%10.50%8.61%
IA Akranes12.03%12.55%13.53%13.31%12.88%12.49%11.99%11.22%
Valur Reykjavik11.62%12.62%12.48%12.70%13.17%13.24%12.40%11.77%
KR Reykjavik9.70%10.55%12.19%12.62%12.57%13.40%14.65%14.32%
Breidablik6.41%7.99%8.97%10.55%12.23%13.89%16.86%23.10%
IBA Akureyri10.14%11.37%11.92%12.81%12.92%12.96%14.17%13.71%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Keflavik IF 91.5% 8.5%
Fram Reykjavik 91.4% 8.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 91.3% 8.7%
IA Akranes 88.8% 11.2%
Valur Reykjavik 88.2% 11.8%
IBA Akureyri 86.3% 13.7%
KR Reykjavik 85.7% 14.3%
Breidablik 76.9% 23.1%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1971-05-22 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 985 986 56.6% 16.8% 26.6% -0.3 1
1971-05-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 986 985 26.6% 16.8% 56.6% +0.3 1
1971-05-22 IBA Akureyri L 2-3 988 986 57.0% 16.8% 26.2% -2.3 0
1971-05-22 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 986 988 26.2% 16.8% 57.0% +2.3 3
1971-05-23 Breidablik W 2-0 990 976 58.5% 16.6% 25.0% +2.4 3
1971-05-23 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 976 990 25.0% 16.6% 58.5% -2.4 0
1971-05-23 IA Akranes W 2-1 988 987 56.9% 16.8% 26.4% +1.3 3
1971-05-23 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 987 988 26.4% 16.8% 56.9% -1.2 0
1971-06-05 IBA Akureyri W 1-0 986 988 56.5% 16.8% 26.7% +1.3 3
1971-06-05 @ IA Akranes L 0-1 988 986 26.7% 16.8% 56.5% -1.4 3
1971-06-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 985 984 56.9% 16.8% 26.3% +1.3 3
1971-06-05 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 984 985 26.3% 16.8% 56.9% -1.3 1
1971-06-06 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 974 986 55.2% 16.9% 27.8% +2.6 3
1971-06-06 @ Breidablik L 0-2 986 974 27.8% 16.9% 55.2% -2.6 1
1971-06-07 Keflavik IF W 2-1 992 989 57.2% 16.7% 26.1% +1.2 6
1971-06-07 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 989 992 26.1% 16.7% 57.2% -1.2 3
1971-06-10 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 983 987 56.4% 16.8% 26.8% +2.5 4
1971-06-10 @ Valur Reykjavik L 0-2 987 983 26.8% 16.8% 56.4% -2.5 3
1971-06-12 IA Akranes W 5-3 983 987 56.3% 16.8% 26.9% +1.9 4
1971-06-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 3-5 987 983 26.9% 16.8% 56.3% -1.9 3
1971-06-12 Breidablik W 4-1 988 976 58.2% 16.6% 25.2% +2.9 6
1971-06-12 @ Keflavik IF L 1-4 976 988 25.2% 16.6% 58.2% -2.9 3
1971-06-20 Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 985 986 56.7% 16.8% 26.5% -4.2 3
1971-06-20 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 986 985 26.5% 16.8% 56.7% +4.2 7
1971-06-20 IBA Akureyri W 4-0 991 987 57.2% 16.7% 26.0% +4.7 9
1971-06-20 @ Keflavik IF L 0-4 987 991 26.0% 16.7% 57.2% -4.7 3
1971-06-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-1 993 985 57.8% 16.7% 25.5% +2.1 9
1971-06-21 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 985 993 25.5% 16.7% 57.8% -2.1 4
1971-06-21 Fram Reykjavik W 4-1 983 995 55.2% 16.9% 27.8% +3.2 7
1971-06-21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 995 983 27.8% 16.9% 55.2% -3.2 9
1971-06-23 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 973 984 55.4% 16.9% 27.7% +1.4 6
1971-06-23 @ Breidablik L 0-1 984 973 27.7% 16.9% 55.4% -1.4 3
1971-06-26 Keflavik IF D 1-1 986 995 55.6% 16.9% 27.5% -0.3 8
1971-06-26 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 995 986 27.5% 16.9% 55.6% +0.3 10
1971-06-27 Breidablik W 2-0 982 975 57.8% 16.7% 25.6% +2.4 6
1971-06-27 @ IBA Akureyri L 0-2 975 982 25.6% 16.7% 57.8% -2.4 6
1971-06-27 IA Akranes L 1-3 983 981 57.0% 16.8% 26.2% -4.2 3
1971-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 981 983 26.2% 16.8% 57.0% +4.2 6
1971-06-28 Fram Reykjavik W 5-3 990 992 56.6% 16.8% 26.6% +1.8 10
1971-06-28 @ Valur Reykjavik L 3-5 992 990 26.6% 16.8% 56.6% -1.9 9
1971-07-01 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 996 992 57.2% 16.7% 26.0% -0.2 11
1971-07-01 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 992 996 26.0% 16.7% 57.2% +0.2 11
1971-07-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 985 986 56.7% 16.8% 26.5% -6.0 6
1971-07-03 @ IBA Akureyri W 4-1 986 985 26.5% 16.8% 56.7% +6.0 11
1971-07-04 IA Akranes L 0-5 972 985 55.1% 16.9% 27.9% -11.1 6
1971-07-04 @ Breidablik W 5-0 985 972 27.9% 16.9% 55.1% +11.1 9
1971-07-05 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 990 979 58.2% 16.6% 25.2% +2.4 12
1971-07-05 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 979 990 25.2% 16.6% 58.2% -2.4 3
1971-07-07 Breidablik W 6-0 992 961 60.4% 16.3% 23.3% +6.2 14
1971-07-07 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-6 961 992 23.3% 16.3% 60.4% -6.2 6
1971-07-10 Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 997 993 57.3% 16.7% 26.0% -9.3 9
1971-07-10 @ IA Akranes W 4-0 993 997 26.0% 16.7% 57.3% +9.3 15
1971-07-11 IBA Akureyri L 0-5 992 979 58.4% 16.6% 25.0% -11.7 11
1971-07-11 @ Valur Reykjavik W 5-0 979 992 25.0% 16.6% 58.4% +11.7 9
1971-07-12 Keflavik IF D 1-1 976 995 54.4% 17.0% 28.6% -0.3 4
1971-07-12 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 995 976 28.6% 17.0% 54.4% +0.3 12
1971-07-17 Keflavik IF L 0-3 955 996 51.6% 17.2% 31.2% -6.5 6
1971-07-17 @ Breidablik W 3-0 996 955 31.2% 17.2% 51.6% +6.5 15
1971-07-17 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 987 998 55.5% 16.9% 27.6% -4.1 9
1971-07-17 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 998 987 27.6% 16.9% 55.5% +4.1 17
1971-07-18 IBA Akureyri W 5-2 1002 991 58.2% 16.6% 25.2% +2.5 18
1971-07-18 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-5 991 1002 25.2% 16.6% 58.2% -2.5 9
1971-07-19 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 976 981 56.2% 16.8% 26.9% -2.4 4
1971-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 981 976 26.9% 16.8% 56.2% +2.4 14
1971-07-24 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1002 974 60.2% 16.3% 23.5% +1.1 20
1971-07-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 974 1002 23.5% 16.3% 60.2% -1.1 4
1971-07-24 IA Akranes L 1-2 988 983 57.4% 16.7% 25.9% -2.5 9
1971-07-24 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-1 983 988 25.9% 16.7% 57.4% +2.5 12
1971-07-25 Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 1002 1005 56.5% 16.8% 26.7% +3.7 18
1971-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-3 1005 1002 26.7% 16.8% 56.5% -3.7 18
1971-07-26 Breidablik W 4-2 983 948 60.9% 16.2% 22.9% +1.7 17
1971-07-26 @ Valur Reykjavik L 2-4 948 983 22.9% 16.2% 60.9% -1.7 6
1971-08-07 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 986 972 58.4% 16.6% 25.0% -2.5 9
1971-08-07 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-1 972 986 25.0% 16.6% 58.4% +2.5 7
1971-08-08 Keflavik IF W 3-1 986 1006 54.2% 17.0% 28.7% +2.3 15
1971-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 1-3 1006 986 28.7% 17.0% 54.2% -2.3 18
1971-08-09 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 947 1001 49.9% 17.2% 32.9% +1.5 9
1971-08-09 @ Breidablik L 1-2 1001 947 32.9% 17.2% 49.9% -1.5 18
1971-08-10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 985 1003 54.5% 17.0% 28.5% -2.5 17
1971-08-10 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1003 985 28.5% 17.0% 54.5% +2.5 23
1971-08-14 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 983 999 54.8% 17.0% 28.3% -0.2 10
1971-08-14 @ IBA Akureyri D 2-2 999 983 28.3% 17.0% 54.8% +0.2 19
1971-08-15 Keflavik IF L 2-3 983 1004 54.2% 17.0% 28.8% -2.2 10
1971-08-15 @ IBA Akureyri W 3-2 1004 983 28.8% 17.0% 54.2% +2.2 21
1971-08-15 IA Akranes L 2-3 982 988 56.1% 16.9% 27.1% -2.3 17
1971-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-2 988 982 27.1% 16.9% 56.1% +2.3 18
1971-08-16 Breidablik D 0-0 975 948 60.0% 16.4% 23.6% -0.4 8
1971-08-16 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 948 975 23.6% 16.4% 60.0% +0.4 10
1971-08-21 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 990 974 58.7% 16.5% 24.8% -0.4 19
1971-08-21 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 974 990 24.8% 16.5% 58.7% +0.4 9
1971-08-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5-3 1006 1006 56.8% 16.8% 26.4% +1.8 24
1971-08-21 @ Keflavik IF L 3-5 1006 1006 26.4% 16.8% 56.8% -1.8 23
1971-08-22 IBA Akureyri W 1-0 949 981 52.8% 17.1% 30.1% +1.5 13
1971-08-22 @ Breidablik L 0-1 981 949 30.1% 17.1% 52.8% -1.5 10
1971-08-23 Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1000 980 59.2% 16.5% 24.4% -2.5 19
1971-08-23 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 980 1000 24.4% 16.5% 59.2% +2.5 20
1971-08-26 Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 975 997 54.0% 17.0% 28.9% +1.3 12
1971-08-26 @ KR Reykjavik L 2-3 997 975 28.9% 17.0% 54.0% -1.3 19
1971-08-28 IBA Akureyri W 5-1 1004 979 59.7% 16.4% 23.9% +3.6 26
1971-08-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-5 979 1004 23.9% 16.4% 59.7% -3.6 10
1971-08-29 Breidablik D 3-3 990 950 61.5% 16.1% 22.4% -0.3 20
1971-08-29 @ IA Akranes D 3-3 950 990 22.4% 16.1% 61.5% +0.3 14
1971-08-29 Keflavik IF L 1-2 982 1008 53.6% 17.1% 29.3% -2.3 20
1971-08-29 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1008 982 29.3% 17.1% 53.6% +2.3 27
1971-09-04 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 950 1007 49.5% 17.3% 33.2% -2.3 14
1971-09-04 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1007 950 33.2% 17.3% 49.5% +2.3 29
1971-09-05 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 976 980 56.2% 16.8% 26.9% +1.4 13
1971-09-05 @ IBA Akureyri L 0-1 980 976 26.9% 16.8% 56.2% -1.4 20
1971-09-05 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1010 976 60.8% 16.2% 23.0% -0.5 28
1971-09-05 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 976 1010 23.0% 16.2% 60.8% +0.5 13
1971-09-12 IA Akranes W 1-0 996 990 57.6% 16.7% 25.8% +1.3 22
1971-09-12 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 990 996 25.8% 16.7% 57.6% -1.3 20

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1971-09-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1009 1010 41.3% 17.3% 41.4% +7.0 3
1971-09-19 @ Keflavik IF L 0-4 1010 1009 41.4% 17.3% 41.3% -7.0 0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1971-08-23 24.36% Valur Reykjavik 980 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1000 1
2 1971-07-11 25.00% IBA Akureyri 979 5 @ Valur Reykjavik 992 0
3 1971-08-07 25.03% KR Reykjavik 972 2 @ IBA Akureyri 986 1
4 1971-07-24 25.89% IA Akranes 983 2 @ IBA Akureyri 988 1
5 1971-07-10 26.02% Fram Reykjavik 993 4 @ IA Akranes 997 0
6 1971-05-22 26.25% IBA Akureyri 986 3 @ KR Reykjavik 988 2
7 1971-06-27 26.25% IA Akranes 981 3 @ KR Reykjavik 983 1
8 1971-06-20 26.50% Valur Reykjavik 986 3 @ IA Akranes 985 1
9 1971-07-03 26.52% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 986 4 @ IBA Akureyri 985 1
10 1971-07-19 26.94% Valur Reykjavik 981 2 @ KR Reykjavik 976 1
11 1971-08-15 27.06% IA Akranes 988 3 @ Valur Reykjavik 982 2
12 1971-07-17 27.61% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 998 3 @ IA Akranes 987 1
13 1971-07-04 27.91% IA Akranes 985 5 @ Breidablik 972 0
14 1971-08-10 28.50% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1003 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 985 0
15 1971-08-15 28.78% Keflavik IF 1004 3 @ IBA Akureyri 983 2
16 1971-08-29 29.30% Keflavik IF 1008 2 @ Valur Reykjavik 982 1
17 1971-07-17 31.21% Keflavik IF 996 3 @ Breidablik 955 0
18 1971-09-04 33.25% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1007 1 @ Breidablik 950 0
19 1971-09-19 41.33% @ Keflavik IF 1009 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1010 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-07-11 11.71 IBA Akureyri 5 979 25.00% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 992 58.42%
2 1971-07-04 11.11 IA Akranes 5 985 27.91% @ Breidablik 0 972 55.15%
3 1971-07-10 9.33 Fram Reykjavik 4 993 26.02% @ IA Akranes 0 997 57.26%
4 1971-09-19 7.02 @ Keflavik IF 4 1009 41.33% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1010 41.36%
5 1971-07-17 6.51 Keflavik IF 3 996 31.21% @ Breidablik 0 955 51.61%
6 1971-07-07 6.18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 992 60.44% Breidablik 0 961 23.27%
7 1971-07-03 5.97 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 986 26.52% @ IBA Akureyri 1 985 56.70%
8 1971-06-20 4.70 @ Keflavik IF 4 991 57.24% IBA Akureyri 0 987 26.04%
9 1971-06-27 4.25 IA Akranes 3 981 26.25% @ KR Reykjavik 1 983 57.00%
10 1971-06-20 4.23 Valur Reykjavik 3 986 26.50% @ IA Akranes 1 985 56.72%
11 1971-07-17 4.14 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 998 27.61% @ IA Akranes 1 987 55.48%
12 1971-07-25 3.68 @ Keflavik IF 3 1002 56.51% Fram Reykjavik 0 1005 26.69%
13 1971-08-28 3.61 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1004 59.74% IBA Akureyri 1 979 23.87%
14 1971-06-21 3.22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 983 55.23% Fram Reykjavik 1 995 27.84%
15 1971-06-12 2.94 @ Keflavik IF 4 988 58.21% Breidablik 1 976 25.19%
16 1971-06-06 2.63 @ Breidablik 2 974 55.24% Valur Reykjavik 0 986 27.83%
17 1971-06-10 2.55 @ Valur Reykjavik 2 983 56.38% KR Reykjavik 0 987 26.80%
18 1971-07-18 2.55 @ Fram Reykjavik 5 1002 58.18% IBA Akureyri 2 991 25.21%
19 1971-08-23 2.54 Valur Reykjavik 2 980 24.36% @ Fram Reykjavik 1 1000 59.16%
20 1971-08-07 2.50 KR Reykjavik 2 972 25.03% @ IBA Akureyri 1 986 58.39%
21 1971-08-10 2.50 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1003 28.50% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 985 54.51%
22 1971-07-24 2.47 IA Akranes 2 983 25.89% @ IBA Akureyri 1 988 57.40%
23 1971-06-27 2.44 @ IBA Akureyri 2 982 57.75% Breidablik 0 975 25.59%
24 1971-07-19 2.42 Valur Reykjavik 2 981 26.94% @ KR Reykjavik 1 976 56.22%
25 1971-07-05 2.40 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 990 58.21% KR Reykjavik 0 979 25.19%