Home / Leagues / Iceland / Úrvalsdeild / 1970
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1970 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

20 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

5.52 points above expected

20 points · 14.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

7.71 points below expected

6 points · 13.71 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 IA Akranes 14 8 4 2 20 24 15 +9 14.5 +5.52
2 Fram Reykjavik 14 8 0 6 16 28 19 +9 12.9 +3.10
3 Keflavik IF 14 7 2 5 16 18 15 +3 14.8 +1.22
4 KR Reykjavik 14 5 4 5 14 18 16 +2 13.9 +0.06
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 5 4 5 14 23 24 -1 13.3 +0.66
6 IBA Akureyri 14 4 5 5 13 32 30 +2 14.6 -1.57
7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 6 1 7 13 20 25 -5 14.3 -1.28
8 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 3 0 11 6 18 37 -19 13.7 -7.71

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1085 16 12.90 +3.10 86.7% 2 8 11 13 15 18 25
KR Reykjavik 1078 14 13.94 +0.06 56.9% 0 9 12 14 16 19 26
Keflavik IF 1078 16 14.78 +1.22 69.9% 2 9 13 15 17 20 26
IA Akranes 1075 20 14.48 +5.52 97.1% 3 9 12 15 17 20 26
IBA Akureyri 1071 13 14.57 -1.57 37.1% 3 9 12 15 17 20 26
Valur Reykjavik 1069 14 13.34 +0.66 64.1% 3 8 11 13 16 19 26
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1065 13 14.28 -1.28 40.6% 3 9 12 14 16 20 26
Vikingur Reykjavik 1051 6 13.71 -7.71 1.3% 3 8 11 14 16 19 26

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR IA IA IV KR KI VR VR
Fram Reykjavik —
0-0-2
2.50
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.80
IA Akranes
2-0-0
3.09
 —
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.71
0-2-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.07
IBA Akureyri
0-0-2
3.18
0-1-1
2.82
 —
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.84
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.75
 —
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
3.13
KR Reykjavik
0-0-2
3.19
0-1-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.86
 —
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.48
Keflavik IF
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.89
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.85
 —
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.20
Valur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.09
0-2-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.37
 —
1-0-1
2.49
Vikingur Reykjavik
0-0-2
2.80
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
3.11
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
3.11
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.36%6.25%8.93%2.68%0.89%—24.11%
16.25%8.93%9.82%2.68%1.79%1.79%31.25%
28.93%9.82%3.57%1.79%0.89%0.89%25.89%
32.68%2.68%1.79%——0.89%8.04%
40.89%1.79%0.89%——0.89%4.46%
5+—1.79%0.89%0.89%0.89%1.79%6.25%
Total24.11%31.25%25.89%8.04%4.46%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.62
Mean allowed1.62
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.23
Correlation (home vs away score)0.190
Sample size (games)56
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——14.29%———14.29%
17.14%—21.43%7.14%——35.71%
214.29%14.29%————28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+—14.29%————14.29%
Total21.43%28.57%42.86%7.14%——100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.92
StdDev allowed0.93
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.302
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%7.14%——28.57%
1—7.14%————7.14%
214.29%21.43%7.14%———42.86%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+———————
Total28.57%42.86%21.43%7.14%——100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.017
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
1—21.43%7.14%7.14%—7.14%42.86%
2——7.14%———7.14%
37.14%—————7.14%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+——7.14%7.14%—7.14%21.43%
Total14.29%35.71%21.43%14.29%—14.29%100%

IBA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.29
Mean allowed2.14
StdDev scored2.13
StdDev allowed2.07
Mean total goals/game4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.252
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
17.14%7.14%——7.14%—21.43%
214.29%7.14%—7.14%——28.57%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+————7.14%—7.14%
Total28.57%21.43%14.29%14.29%21.43%—100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.65
StdDev allowed1.58
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.038
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%———21.43%
114.29%14.29%21.43%———50.00%
214.29%—————14.29%
3—————7.14%7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total50.00%14.29%28.57%——7.14%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.66
Mean total goals/game2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.221
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
121.43%7.14%21.43%———50.00%
27.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.86%21.43%28.57%—7.14%—100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game2.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.022
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—21.43%7.14%———28.57%
1—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
2—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
3—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+—————7.14%7.14%
Total—57.14%28.57%7.14%—7.14%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.65
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.680
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%14.29%7.14%——35.71%
1——7.14%—7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%—7.14%28.57%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—————7.14%7.14%
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%21.43%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed2.64
StdDev scored1.27
StdDev allowed1.95
Mean total goals/game3.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.326
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IA Akranes 20 14.5 +5.52
2 Fram Reykjavik 16 12.9 +3.10
3 Keflavik IF 16 14.8 +1.22
4 Valur Reykjavik 14 13.3 +0.66
5 KR Reykjavik 14 13.9 +0.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 13.7 -7.71
2 IBA Akureyri 13 14.6 -1.57
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 13 14.3 -1.28
4 KR Reykjavik 14 13.9 +0.06
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 13.3 +0.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 5 Jun 14 – Aug 8 1 in 73
2 Keflavik IF 5 Jul 25 – Aug 22 1 in 42
3 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 28 – Jul 23 1 in 26
4 KR Reykjavik 2 Jun 27 – Jul 15 1 in 6
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 Aug 20 – Aug 25 1 in 4

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jul 14 – Aug 22 1 in 172
2 Valur Reykjavik 5 Jun 8 – Jul 30 1 in 108
3 Keflavik IF 3 Sep 8 – Sep 27 1 in 19
4 IBA Akureyri 2 Jun 28 – Jul 15 1 in 13
5 Fram Reykjavik 3 Aug 20 – Sep 5 1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IA Akranes 12 May 30 – Sep 12 1 in 293
2 Valur Reykjavik 7 Aug 13 – Sep 27 1 in 55
3 KR Reykjavik 6 May 23 – Jul 15 1 in 32
4 Keflavik IF 6 Jul 25 – Aug 30 1 in 14
5 IBA Akureyri 4 Aug 9 – Aug 22 1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valur Reykjavik 7 May 30 – Aug 13 1 in 31
2 KR Reykjavik 5 Jul 23 – Aug 27 1 in 20
3 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 Jul 14 – Aug 22 1 in 16
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 Aug 12 – Aug 22 1 in 8
5 Keflavik IF 4 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
IA Akranes17.52%15.30%14.15%13.10%11.44%11.16%9.45%7.88%
Fram Reykjavik8.17%9.69%10.83%11.93%12.85%13.68%15.33%17.52%
Keflavik IF17.73%15.59%13.96%13.21%11.65%10.71%8.80%8.35%
KR Reykjavik11.84%12.43%12.55%12.63%12.93%13.23%12.95%11.44%
Valur Reykjavik8.14%9.73%10.71%11.83%13.03%14.15%15.04%17.37%
IBA Akureyri15.89%14.87%13.59%12.93%12.25%11.15%10.49%8.83%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar12.06%12.34%13.17%12.72%13.10%12.30%12.78%11.53%
Vikingur Reykjavik8.65%10.05%11.04%11.65%12.75%13.62%15.16%17.08%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
IA Akranes 92.1% 7.9%
Keflavik IF 91.6% 8.3%
IBA Akureyri 91.2% 8.8%
KR Reykjavik 88.6% 11.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 88.5% 11.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik 82.9% 17.1%
Valur Reykjavik 82.6% 17.4%
Fram Reykjavik 82.5% 17.5%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1970-05-23 IBA Akureyri D 1-1 1073 1070 40.1% 20.5% 39.3% -0.0 1
1970-05-23 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1070 1073 39.3% 20.5% 40.1% +0.0 1
1970-05-24 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1075 1071 52.0% 20.0% 28.1% -2.1 0
1970-05-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1071 1075 28.1% 20.0% 52.0% +2.1 3
1970-05-24 IA Akranes W 2-0 1080 1062 42.2% 20.5% 37.3% +3.4 3
1970-05-24 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-2 1062 1080 37.3% 20.5% 42.2% -3.4 0
1970-05-25 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1073 1068 52.1% 20.0% 28.0% +1.3 3
1970-05-25 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1068 1073 28.0% 20.0% 52.1% -1.3 0
1970-05-29 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1073 1083 38.4% 20.5% 41.1% +2.0 4
1970-05-29 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1083 1073 41.1% 20.5% 38.4% -2.0 3
1970-05-30 IA Akranes D 1-1 1073 1059 41.8% 20.5% 37.7% -0.0 4
1970-05-30 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1059 1073 37.7% 20.5% 41.8% +0.0 1
1970-06-06 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1059 1075 49.3% 20.3% 30.4% -0.2 2
1970-06-06 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1075 1059 30.4% 20.3% 49.3% +0.2 5
1970-06-07 Keflavik IF L 0-3 1081 1074 40.7% 20.5% 38.7% -5.3 3
1970-06-07 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1074 1081 38.7% 20.5% 40.7% +5.3 6
1970-06-08 Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1067 1073 38.9% 20.5% 40.6% +1.9 3
1970-06-08 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1073 1067 40.6% 20.5% 38.9% -1.9 4
1970-06-14 IA Akranes L 1-2 1069 1059 41.2% 20.5% 38.3% -1.8 3
1970-06-14 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1059 1069 38.3% 20.5% 41.2% +1.8 5
1970-06-14 KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1079 1075 52.0% 20.0% 28.1% -0.3 7
1970-06-14 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1075 1079 28.1% 20.0% 52.0% +0.3 6
1970-06-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-0 1076 1073 51.9% 20.0% 28.1% +5.1 9
1970-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-4 1073 1076 28.1% 20.0% 51.9% -5.1 0
1970-06-28 Keflavik IF W 4-2 1060 1079 49.0% 20.3% 30.7% +2.2 8
1970-06-28 @ IA Akranes L 2-4 1079 1060 30.7% 20.3% 49.0% -2.2 7
1970-06-28 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1070 1067 51.9% 20.0% 28.1% -2.2 1
1970-06-28 @ IBA Akureyri W 2-1 1067 1070 28.1% 20.0% 51.9% +2.2 6
1970-06-29 Valur Reykjavik W 3-1 1076 1071 52.1% 20.0% 28.0% +2.3 6
1970-06-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-3 1071 1076 28.0% 20.0% 52.1% -2.3 4
1970-07-14 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-2 1069 1078 50.3% 20.2% 29.5% +1.3 9
1970-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1078 1069 29.5% 20.2% 50.3% -1.3 6
1970-07-15 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1068 1077 50.2% 20.2% 29.6% +1.4 3
1970-07-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1077 1068 29.6% 20.2% 50.2% -1.4 7
1970-07-15 IA Akranes L 1-3 1068 1063 52.2% 19.9% 27.9% -3.9 1
1970-07-15 @ IBA Akureyri W 3-1 1063 1068 27.9% 19.9% 52.2% +3.9 11
1970-07-15 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1069 1081 49.9% 20.2% 29.9% -2.3 4
1970-07-15 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1081 1069 29.9% 20.2% 49.9% +2.3 12
1970-07-18 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1069 1077 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% +2.8 6
1970-07-18 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1077 1069 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% -2.8 6
1970-07-23 Fram Reykjavik L 1-2 1083 1070 53.1% 19.8% 27.1% -2.3 12
1970-07-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1070 1083 27.1% 19.8% 53.1% +2.3 12
1970-07-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-1 1067 1072 50.8% 20.1% 29.1% +3.4 14
1970-07-25 @ IA Akranes L 1-4 1072 1067 29.1% 20.1% 50.8% -3.4 6
1970-07-25 Valur Reykjavik W 2-0 1075 1066 52.7% 19.9% 27.5% +2.6 10
1970-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-2 1066 1075 27.5% 19.9% 52.7% -2.6 4
1970-07-26 IBA Akureyri L 1-4 1074 1064 52.7% 19.9% 27.4% -5.6 6
1970-07-26 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-1 1064 1074 27.4% 19.9% 52.7% +5.6 4
1970-07-30 IBA Akureyri W 1-0 1078 1070 52.5% 19.9% 27.6% +1.4 13
1970-07-30 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1070 1078 27.6% 19.9% 52.5% -1.4 4
1970-07-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-1 1064 1068 50.9% 20.1% 29.0% -2.3 4
1970-07-30 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1068 1064 29.0% 20.1% 50.9% +2.3 9
1970-08-08 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1070 1068 51.7% 20.0% 28.3% +2.7 17
1970-08-08 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1068 1070 28.3% 20.0% 51.7% -2.7 6
1970-08-09 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1073 1079 50.6% 20.2% 29.3% -2.2 12
1970-08-09 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1079 1073 29.3% 20.2% 50.6% +2.2 16
1970-08-09 KR Reykjavik W 6-3 1068 1081 49.8% 20.2% 29.9% +2.8 7
1970-08-09 @ IBA Akureyri L 3-6 1081 1068 29.9% 20.2% 49.8% -2.8 12
1970-08-12 Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1071 1071 51.5% 20.0% 28.5% -4.5 9
1970-08-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1071 1071 28.5% 20.0% 51.5% +4.5 15
1970-08-13 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1078 1061 53.6% 19.7% 26.7% -0.3 13
1970-08-13 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1061 1078 26.7% 19.7% 53.6% +0.3 5
1970-08-15 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1082 1066 53.5% 19.7% 26.8% +1.4 19
1970-08-15 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1066 1082 26.8% 19.7% 53.5% -1.4 9
1970-08-16 IBA Akureyri D 0-0 1073 1071 51.6% 20.0% 28.3% -0.3 18
1970-08-16 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1071 1073 28.3% 20.0% 51.6% +0.3 8
1970-08-17 Fram Reykjavik L 1-5 1066 1075 50.2% 20.2% 29.6% -6.9 6
1970-08-17 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 5-1 1075 1066 29.6% 20.2% 50.2% +6.9 18
1970-08-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1072 1065 52.3% 19.9% 27.7% -0.2 9
1970-08-19 @ IBA Akureyri D 1-1 1065 1072 27.7% 19.9% 52.3% +0.3 10
1970-08-20 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1062 1082 48.8% 20.3% 30.9% +2.5 8
1970-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-3 1082 1062 30.9% 20.3% 48.8% -2.5 18
1970-08-22 IBA Akureyri L 0-3 1065 1071 50.6% 20.1% 29.2% -6.4 10
1970-08-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-0 1071 1065 29.2% 20.1% 50.6% +6.4 12
1970-08-22 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1083 1059 54.6% 19.5% 25.9% +1.3 22
1970-08-22 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1059 1083 25.9% 19.5% 54.6% -1.3 6
1970-08-23 IA Akranes L 1-2 1078 1072 52.2% 19.9% 27.9% -2.2 13
1970-08-23 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1072 1078 27.9% 19.9% 52.2% +2.2 21
1970-08-25 IBA Akureyri W 6-5 1064 1078 49.7% 20.2% 30.1% +1.3 11
1970-08-25 @ Valur Reykjavik L 5-6 1078 1064 30.1% 20.2% 49.7% -1.3 12
1970-08-27 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1058 1076 49.1% 20.3% 30.6% +1.5 9
1970-08-27 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1076 1058 30.6% 20.3% 49.1% -1.4 13
1970-08-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1079 1059 42.7% 20.5% 36.8% -3.8 18
1970-08-29 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1059 1079 36.8% 20.5% 42.7% +3.8 13
1970-08-30 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1075 1066 52.7% 19.9% 27.5% -0.2 22
1970-08-30 @ IA Akranes D 2-2 1066 1075 27.5% 19.9% 52.7% +0.2 12
1970-08-30 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1076 1084 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% -0.2 13
1970-08-30 @ IBA Akureyri D 1-1 1084 1076 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% +0.2 23
1970-09-05 Fram Reykjavik W 2-0 1074 1076 51.3% 20.1% 28.6% +2.7 25
1970-09-05 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1076 1074 28.6% 20.1% 51.3% -2.7 18
1970-09-05 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 4-6 1059 1063 39.2% 20.5% 40.2% -2.5 9
1970-09-05 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-4 1063 1059 40.2% 20.5% 39.2% +2.5 16
1970-09-06 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1076 1066 52.8% 19.8% 27.3% -0.2 14
1970-09-06 @ IBA Akureyri D 2-2 1066 1076 27.3% 19.8% 52.8% +0.2 13
1970-09-08 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1074 1085 50.1% 20.2% 29.7% +2.8 16
1970-09-08 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1085 1074 29.7% 20.2% 50.1% -2.8 23
1970-09-09 Vikingur Reykjavik W 6-2 1076 1056 54.0% 19.7% 26.3% +3.4 17
1970-09-09 @ IBA Akureyri L 2-6 1056 1076 26.3% 19.7% 54.0% -3.4 9
1970-09-12 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1065 1077 49.9% 20.2% 29.9% -4.3 16
1970-09-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1077 1065 29.9% 20.2% 49.9% +4.3 19
1970-09-12 IA Akranes L 1-2 1082 1077 52.1% 20.0% 28.0% -2.2 23
1970-09-12 @ Keflavik IF W 2-1 1077 1082 28.0% 20.0% 52.1% +2.2 28
1970-09-13 IBA Akureyri W 7-1 1073 1079 38.8% 20.5% 40.7% +8.4 21
1970-09-13 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-7 1079 1073 40.7% 20.5% 38.8% -8.3 17
1970-09-19 KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1081 1081 39.7% 20.5% 39.7% +3.6 24
1970-09-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1081 1081 39.7% 20.5% 39.7% -3.6 19
1970-09-19 IA Akranes W 3-0 1061 1079 49.0% 20.3% 30.7% +4.2 19
1970-09-19 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1079 1061 30.7% 20.3% 49.0% -4.2 28
1970-09-20 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1066 1053 41.6% 20.5% 37.9% +1.7 16
1970-09-20 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1053 1066 37.9% 20.5% 41.6% -1.7 9
1970-09-27 Keflavik IF W 2-1 1068 1079 38.0% 20.5% 41.4% +1.8 19
1970-09-27 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1079 1068 41.4% 20.5% 38.0% -1.8 23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-07-23 27.07% Fram Reykjavik 1070 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1083 1
2 1970-07-26 27.41% IBA Akureyri 1064 4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1074 1
3 1970-07-15 27.85% IA Akranes 1063 3 @ IBA Akureyri 1068 1
4 1970-08-23 27.87% IA Akranes 1072 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1078 1
5 1970-09-12 27.96% IA Akranes 1077 2 @ Keflavik IF 1082 1
6 1970-05-24 28.05% Valur Reykjavik 1071 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1075 2
7 1970-06-28 28.08% Fram Reykjavik 1067 2 @ IBA Akureyri 1070 1
8 1970-08-12 28.48% Fram Reykjavik 1071 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1071 0
9 1970-07-30 29.01% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1068 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1064 0
10 1970-08-22 29.21% IBA Akureyri 1071 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1065 0
11 1970-08-09 29.27% Keflavik IF 1079 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1073 1
12 1970-08-17 29.56% Fram Reykjavik 1075 5 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1066 1
13 1970-09-12 29.88% KR Reykjavik 1077 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1065 0
14 1970-07-15 29.91% KR Reykjavik 1081 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1069 0
15 1970-08-29 36.83% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1059 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1079 0
16 1970-09-27 38.05% @ Valur Reykjavik 1068 2 Keflavik IF 1079 1
17 1970-06-14 38.28% IA Akranes 1059 2 @ Fram Reykjavik 1069 1
18 1970-05-29 38.35% @ KR Reykjavik 1073 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1083 0
19 1970-06-07 38.73% Keflavik IF 1074 3 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1081 0
20 1970-09-13 38.80% @ Fram Reykjavik 1073 7 IBA Akureyri 1079 1
21 1970-06-08 38.85% @ Fram Reykjavik 1067 1 Valur Reykjavik 1073 0
22 1970-09-19 39.72% @ Fram Reykjavik 1081 2 KR Reykjavik 1081 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-09-13 8.36 @ Fram Reykjavik 7 1073 38.80% IBA Akureyri 1 1079 40.67%
2 1970-08-17 6.88 Fram Reykjavik 5 1075 29.56% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1066 50.25%
3 1970-08-22 6.37 IBA Akureyri 3 1071 29.21% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1065 50.65%
4 1970-07-26 5.56 IBA Akureyri 4 1064 27.41% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1 1074 52.73%
5 1970-06-07 5.30 Keflavik IF 3 1074 38.73% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1081 40.74%
6 1970-06-27 5.10 @ KR Reykjavik 4 1076 51.89% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1073 28.13%
7 1970-08-12 4.45 Fram Reykjavik 2 1071 28.48% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1071 51.49%
8 1970-09-12 4.33 KR Reykjavik 2 1077 29.88% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1065 49.89%
9 1970-09-19 4.21 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1061 48.99% IA Akranes 0 1079 30.69%
10 1970-07-15 3.90 IA Akranes 3 1063 27.85% @ IBA Akureyri 1 1068 52.21%
11 1970-08-29 3.79 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1059 36.83% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1079 42.69%
12 1970-09-19 3.58 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1081 39.72% KR Reykjavik 0 1081 39.74%
13 1970-05-24 3.40 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1080 42.25% IA Akranes 0 1062 37.26%
14 1970-09-09 3.39 @ IBA Akureyri 6 1076 54.01% Vikingur Reykjavik 2 1056 26.34%
15 1970-07-25 3.38 @ IA Akranes 4 1067 50.79% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1072 29.09%
16 1970-09-08 2.82 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1074 50.09% Keflavik IF 0 1085 29.70%
17 1970-07-18 2.79 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1069 50.43% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1077 29.40%
18 1970-08-09 2.79 @ IBA Akureyri 6 1068 49.83% KR Reykjavik 3 1081 29.93%
19 1970-09-05 2.73 @ IA Akranes 2 1074 51.32% Fram Reykjavik 0 1076 28.62%
20 1970-08-08 2.71 @ IA Akranes 2 1070 51.67% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1068 28.32%
21 1970-07-25 2.63 @ Keflavik IF 2 1075 52.66% Valur Reykjavik 0 1066 27.47%
22 1970-08-20 2.53 @ Valur Reykjavik 3 1062 48.79% Fram Reykjavik 1 1082 30.88%
23 1970-09-05 2.51 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1063 40.24% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 4 1059 39.22%
24 1970-07-30 2.34 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1068 29.01% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1064 50.87%
25 1970-06-29 2.31 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 3 1076 52.10% Valur Reykjavik 1 1071 27.95%