1969 Úrvalsdeild Season

42 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

IA Akranes

15 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

2.89 points above expected

15 points · 12.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IBA Akureyri

2.75 points below expected

11 points · 13.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	IA Akranes	13	6	3	4	15	23	20	+3	12.1	+2.89
2	Keflavik IF	11	6	1	4	13	18	12	+6	10.8	+2.15
3	KR Reykjavik	12	4	4	4	12	24	20	+4	11.8	+0.20
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	12	3	6	3	12	20	20	0	12.6	-0.58
5	Valur Reykjavik	11	4	3	4	11	17	18	-1	10.8	+0.16
6	IBA Akureyri	13	3	5	5	11	14	18	-4	13.8	-2.75
7	Fram Reykjavik	12	2	6	4	10	8	16	-8	12.1	-2.08

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1158	12	12.58	-0.58	49.3%	3	8	11	13	14	17	22
KR Reykjavik	1152	12	11.80	+0.20	60.7%	2	7	10	12	14	16	21
Keflavik IF	1150	13	10.85	+2.15	84.8%	2	7	9	11	13	15	20
Valur Reykjavik	1142	11	10.84	+0.16	60.2%	2	7	9	11	13	15	20
IBA Akureyri	1140	11	13.75	-2.75	21.2%	4	9	12	14	16	18	24
Fram Reykjavik	1131	10	12.08	-2.08	28.3%	3	8	10	12	14	17	22
IA Akranes	1107	15	12.11	+2.89	88.5%	2	8	10	12	14	17	22

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FR	IA	IA	IV	KR	KI	VR
Fram Reykjavik	—	1-1-0 2.83	0-2-1 3.51	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.97	0-0-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.63
IA Akranes	0-1-1 2.54	—	2-0-0 2.40	2-0-0 2.34	1-1-1 3.99	1-1-0 2.41	0-0-2 2.46
IBA Akureyri	1-2-0 4.55	0-0-2 2.98	—	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.66	0-2-0 2.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0-2-0 2.86	0-0-2 3.05	1-1-0 2.78	—	0-2-0 2.75	2-0-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.78
KR Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.35	1-1-1 4.03	1-0-1 2.26	0-2-0 2.60	—	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-0 1.74
Keflavik IF	1-0-0 0.97	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.57	2-0-0 2.64	—	2-0-0 2.67
Valur Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.72	2-0-0 2.91	0-2-0 2.65	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-1 0.93	0-0-2 2.70	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	7.14%	2.38%	1.19%	—	20.24%
1	4.76%	21.43%	7.14%	3.57%	—	1.19%	38.10%
2	7.14%	7.14%	4.76%	3.57%	1.19%	1.19%	25.00%
3	2.38%	3.57%	3.57%	2.38%	—	—	11.90%
4	1.19%	—	1.19%	—	—	—	2.38%
5+	—	1.19%	1.19%	—	—	—	2.38%
Total	20.24%	38.10%	25.00%	11.90%	2.38%	2.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.48
Mean allowed	1.48
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.95
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.016
Sample size (games)	42

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	41.67%
1	16.67%	25.00%	—	—	—	8.33%	50.00%
2	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	25.00%	—	—	8.33%	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.67
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.65
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.195
Games played	12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	—	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	—	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	53.85%	15.38%	23.08%	—	—	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.398
Games played	13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	15.38%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	30.77%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	61.54%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	38.46%	38.46%	7.69%	—	—	100%

IBA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	0.64
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.357
Games played	13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	—	33.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	41.67%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.533
Games played	12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	25.00%
1	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	2.13
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.139
Games played	12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	27.27%	9.09%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	54.55%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.09
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.057
Games played	11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	18.18%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	27.27%
3	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	36.36%	—	—	9.09%	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	11

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IA Akranes	15	12.1	+2.89
2	Keflavik IF	13	10.8	+2.15
3	KR Reykjavik	12	11.8	+0.20
4	Valur Reykjavik	11	10.8	+0.16
5	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	12	12.6	-0.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IBA Akureyri	11	13.8	-2.75
2	Fram Reykjavik	10	12.1	-2.08
3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	12	12.6	-0.58
4	Valur Reykjavik	11	10.8	+0.16
5	KR Reykjavik	12	11.8	+0.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Keflavik IF	4	Jun 8 – Jul 5	1 in 257
2	IA Akranes	3	May 31 – Jun 14	1 in 74
3	Fram Reykjavik	1	Jul 5 – Jul 5	1 in 11
4	Valur Reykjavik	2	Jul 5 – Aug 17	1 in 10
5	KR Reykjavik	1	Jun 4 – Jun 4	1 in 5

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fram Reykjavik	2	Jun 4 – Jun 30	1 in 23
2	IA Akranes	2	Jul 5 – Jul 5	1 in 21
3	IBA Akureyri	2	Sep 7 – Sep 14	1 in 15
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	Jun 14 – Jun 14	1 in 5
5	Keflavik IF	2	Aug 21 – Sep 13	1 in 5

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IA Akranes	4	May 26 – Jun 14	1 in 15
2	Keflavik IF	4	Jun 8 – Jul 5	1 in 9
3	KR Reykjavik	4	Aug 25 – Sep 14	1 in 5
4	Fram Reykjavik	4	Aug 24 – Sep 14	1 in 5
5	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	Jul 5 – Aug 14	1 in 5

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	Jun 7 – Jul 10	1 in 12
2	IBA Akureyri	5	Jun 1 – Jul 10	1 in 8
3	IA Akranes	5	Jul 5 – Aug 24	1 in 8
4	Fram Reykjavik	4	May 27 – Jun 30	1 in 8
5	Keflavik IF	2	May 26 – May 31	1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
IA Akranes	16.02%	15.38%	14.58%	14.01%	13.43%	14.18%	12.40%
Keflavik IF	6.82%	10.35%	13.29%	14.97%	17.04%	18.18%	19.35%
KR Reykjavik	13.46%	14.50%	14.51%	14.68%	14.85%	14.33%	13.67%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	17.02%	17.78%	15.91%	15.11%	13.01%	11.73%	9.44%
Valur Reykjavik	5.77%	9.06%	12.07%	14.07%	16.59%	19.07%	23.37%
IBA Akureyri	29.30%	19.14%	15.14%	12.14%	10.41%	7.47%	6.40%
Fram Reykjavik	11.61%	13.79%	14.50%	15.02%	14.67%	15.04%	15.37%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
IBA Akureyri	93.6%	6.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	90.6%	9.4%
IA Akranes	87.6%	12.4%
KR Reykjavik	86.3%	13.7%
Fram Reykjavik	84.6%	15.4%
Keflavik IF	80.7%	19.4%
Valur Reykjavik	76.6%	23.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1969-05-26	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1137	1100	54.0%	27.3%	18.7%	-0.4	1
1969-05-26	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1100	1137	18.7%	27.3%	54.0%	+0.4	1
1969-05-27	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1144	1143	47.6%	32.1%	20.3%	+2.5	3
1969-05-27	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1143	1144	20.3%	32.1%	47.6%	-2.5	0
1969-05-31	KR Reykjavik	W 4-0	1100	1149	40.0%	36.0%	24.1%	+5.6	4
1969-05-31	@ IA Akranes	L 0-4	1149	1100	24.1%	36.0%	40.0%	-5.6	0
1969-05-31	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-4	1137	1158	44.2%	34.2%	21.6%	-3.4	1
1969-05-31	@ Keflavik IF	W 4-2	1158	1137	21.6%	34.2%	44.2%	+3.4	3
1969-06-01	IBA Akureyri	D 1-1	1141	1148	46.4%	32.9%	20.7%	-0.3	1
1969-06-01	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1148	1141	20.7%	32.9%	46.4%	+0.3	1
1969-06-04	KR Reykjavik	L 1-6	1141	1144	47.1%	32.5%	20.5%	-8.9	1
1969-06-04	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 6-1	1144	1141	20.5%	32.5%	47.1%	+8.9	3
1969-06-07	Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1161	1146	50.1%	30.3%	19.6%	-0.3	4
1969-06-07	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1146	1161	19.6%	30.3%	50.1%	+0.3	4
1969-06-08	IA Akranes	L 1-2	1149	1106	55.0%	26.5%	18.5%	-2.5	1
1969-06-08	@ IBA Akureyri	W 2-1	1106	1149	18.5%	26.5%	55.0%	+2.5	7
1969-06-08	Keflavik IF	L 0-3	1153	1133	50.9%	29.8%	19.4%	-7.0	3
1969-06-08	@ KR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1133	1153	19.4%	29.8%	50.9%	+7.0	4
1969-06-12	Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1146	1140	48.6%	31.4%	20.0%	-4.7	4
1969-06-12	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1140	1146	20.0%	31.4%	48.6%	+4.7	7
1969-06-14	IA Akranes	L 2-3	1161	1108	56.7%	25.1%	18.2%	-2.4	4
1969-06-14	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-2	1108	1161	18.2%	25.1%	56.7%	+2.4	10
1969-06-29	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1146	1142	48.4%	31.6%	20.1%	-0.2	2
1969-06-29	@ IBA Akureyri	D 2-2	1142	1146	20.1%	31.6%	48.4%	+0.2	5
1969-06-30	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1132	1145	45.4%	33.5%	21.1%	-2.4	1
1969-06-30	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1145	1132	21.1%	33.5%	45.4%	+2.4	10
1969-07-05	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1111	1129	44.6%	34.0%	21.4%	-2.4	10
1969-07-05	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1129	1111	21.4%	34.0%	44.6%	+2.4	4
1969-07-05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1132	1158	43.3%	34.6%	22.0%	-0.2	5
1969-07-05	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1158	1132	22.0%	34.6%	43.3%	+0.2	5
1969-07-05	Valur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1109	1142	42.3%	35.1%	22.6%	-2.0	10
1969-07-05	@ IA Akranes	W 3-2	1142	1109	22.6%	35.1%	42.3%	+2.0	8
1969-07-05	IBA Akureyri	W 2-0	1147	1146	47.8%	32.0%	20.2%	+2.5	13
1969-07-05	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1146	1147	20.2%	32.0%	47.8%	-2.5	2
1969-07-10	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1106	1146	41.4%	35.5%	23.1%	-0.2	11
1969-07-10	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1146	1106	23.1%	35.5%	41.4%	+0.2	4
1969-07-10	IBA Akureyri	D 1-1	1159	1144	50.1%	30.3%	19.6%	-0.3	6
1969-07-10	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1144	1159	19.6%	30.3%	50.1%	+0.3	3
1969-07-13	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1144	1146	47.3%	32.3%	20.4%	+1.2	6
1969-07-13	@ IBA Akureyri	L 1-2	1146	1144	20.4%	32.3%	47.3%	-1.2	4
1969-07-30	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1158	1150	49.0%	31.1%	19.9%	+1.1	9
1969-07-30	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-3	1150	1158	19.9%	31.1%	49.0%	-1.1	13
1969-08-10	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1145	1132	49.9%	30.5%	19.6%	-0.3	7
1969-08-10	@ IBA Akureyri	D 1-1	1132	1145	19.6%	30.5%	49.9%	+0.3	6
1969-08-10	IA Akranes	W 3-1	1145	1106	54.2%	27.1%	18.6%	+1.8	7
1969-08-10	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1106	1145	18.6%	27.1%	54.2%	-1.8	11
1969-08-13	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1145	1132	49.8%	30.6%	19.7%	+2.4	10
1969-08-13	@ IBA Akureyri	L 0-2	1132	1145	19.7%	30.6%	49.8%	-2.4	6
1969-08-14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1146	1159	45.5%	33.5%	21.1%	-0.3	8
1969-08-14	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1159	1146	21.1%	33.5%	45.5%	+0.3	10
1969-08-17	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1144	1160	45.0%	33.7%	21.2%	+2.3	11
1969-08-17	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1160	1144	21.2%	33.7%	45.0%	-2.3	10
1969-08-18	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1149	1146	48.0%	31.8%	20.2%	+1.2	16
1969-08-18	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1146	1149	20.2%	31.8%	48.0%	-1.2	8
1969-08-21	Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1147	1150	47.1%	32.4%	20.4%	+1.3	13
1969-08-21	@ IBA Akureyri	L 0-1	1150	1147	20.4%	32.4%	47.1%	-1.3	16
1969-08-24	IA Akranes	D 2-2	1130	1104	51.9%	29.0%	19.1%	-0.3	7
1969-08-24	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1104	1130	19.1%	29.0%	51.9%	+0.3	12
1969-08-25	Valur Reykjavik	W 6-2	1145	1146	47.4%	32.3%	20.4%	+3.3	11
1969-08-25	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-6	1146	1145	20.4%	32.3%	47.4%	-3.3	11
1969-08-27	IBA Akureyri	W 3-1	1105	1148	40.7%	35.7%	23.5%	+2.5	15
1969-08-27	@ IA Akranes	L 1-3	1148	1105	23.5%	35.7%	40.7%	-2.5	13
1969-08-28	Valur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1129	1143	45.4%	33.5%	21.1%	+1.4	10
1969-08-28	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-1	1143	1129	21.1%	33.5%	45.4%	-1.4	11
1969-09-03	IBA Akureyri	D 1-1	1142	1146	46.9%	32.6%	20.5%	-0.3	12
1969-09-03	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1146	1142	20.5%	32.6%	46.9%	+0.3	14
1969-09-04	KR Reykjavik	D 3-3	1157	1148	49.1%	31.1%	19.8%	-0.2	11
1969-09-04	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 3-3	1148	1157	19.8%	31.1%	49.1%	+0.2	12
1969-09-06	IA Akranes	W 3-0	1141	1107	53.5%	27.7%	18.8%	+3.2	15
1969-09-06	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1107	1141	18.8%	27.7%	53.5%	-3.2	15
1969-09-07	IBA Akureyri	W 2-0	1148	1146	32.1%	36.4%	31.5%	+3.5	15
1969-09-07	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1146	1148	31.5%	36.4%	32.1%	-3.5	14
1969-09-09	Fram Reykjavik	D 0-0	1157	1131	52.1%	28.8%	19.1%	-0.4	12
1969-09-09	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 0-0	1131	1157	19.1%	28.8%	52.1%	+0.4	11
1969-09-13	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1104	1149	40.6%	35.8%	23.6%	+1.5	18
1969-09-13	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1149	1104	23.6%	35.8%	40.6%	-1.5	16
1969-09-14	Fram Reykjavik	D 0-0	1152	1131	34.9%	36.0%	29.0%	-0.1	16
1969-09-14	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1131	1152	29.0%	36.0%	34.9%	+0.1	12
1969-09-14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1143	1157	45.3%	33.6%	21.1%	-2.2	14
1969-09-14	@ IBA Akureyri	W 2-1	1157	1143	21.1%	33.6%	45.3%	+2.2	15
1969-09-20	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1106	1159	39.3%	36.1%	24.5%	+1.5	21
1969-09-20	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1159	1106	24.5%	36.1%	39.3%	-1.5	15
1969-09-21	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1147	1144	48.0%	31.8%	20.2%	+2.5	19
1969-09-21	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1144	1147	20.2%	31.8%	48.0%	-2.5	15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1969-06-14	18.21%	IA Akranes	1108	3	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1161	2
2	1969-06-08	18.51%	IA Akranes	1106	2	@ IBA Akureyri	1149	1
3	1969-06-08	19.37%	Keflavik IF	1133	3	@ KR Reykjavik	1153	0
4	1969-06-12	19.97%	Keflavik IF	1140	2	@ Valur Reykjavik	1146	0
5	1969-06-04	20.46%	KR Reykjavik	1144	6	@ Fram Reykjavik	1141	1
6	1969-06-30	21.08%	Keflavik IF	1145	1	@ Fram Reykjavik	1132	0
7	1969-09-14	21.14%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1157	2	@ IBA Akureyri	1143	1
8	1969-07-05	21.44%	Fram Reykjavik	1129	1	@ IA Akranes	1111	0
9	1969-05-31	21.61%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1158	4	@ Keflavik IF	1137	2
10	1969-07-05	22.60%	Valur Reykjavik	1142	3	@ IA Akranes	1109	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-06-04	8.89	KR Reykjavik	6	1144	20.46%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1	1141	47.09%
2	1969-06-08	6.96	Keflavik IF	3	1133	19.37%	@ KR Reykjavik	0	1153	50.88%
3	1969-05-31	5.58	@ IA Akranes	4	1100	39.99%	KR Reykjavik	0	1149	24.06%
4	1969-06-12	4.67	Keflavik IF	2	1140	19.97%	@ Valur Reykjavik	0	1146	48.63%
5	1969-09-07	3.52	@ KR Reykjavik	2	1148	32.11%	IBA Akureyri	0	1146	31.46%
6	1969-05-31	3.43	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	1158	21.61%	@ Keflavik IF	2	1137	44.20%
7	1969-08-25	3.33	@ KR Reykjavik	6	1145	47.38%	Valur Reykjavik	2	1146	20.37%
8	1969-09-06	3.15	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1141	53.47%	IA Akranes	0	1107	18.80%
9	1969-08-27	2.51	@ IA Akranes	3	1105	40.73%	IBA Akureyri	1	1148	23.54%
10	1969-06-08	2.50	IA Akranes	2	1106	18.51%	@ IBA Akureyri	1	1149	55.03%
11	1969-05-27	2.47	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	1144	47.62%	Fram Reykjavik	0	1143	20.28%
12	1969-07-05	2.47	@ Keflavik IF	2	1147	47.81%	IBA Akureyri	0	1146	20.22%
13	1969-09-21	2.45	@ Keflavik IF	2	1147	48.04%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1144	20.15%
14	1969-06-14	2.41	IA Akranes	3	1108	18.21%	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1161	56.74%
15	1969-06-30	2.39	Keflavik IF	1	1145	21.08%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1132	45.44%
16	1969-08-13	2.36	@ IBA Akureyri	2	1145	49.78%	Fram Reykjavik	0	1132	19.65%
17	1969-07-05	2.36	Fram Reykjavik	1	1129	21.44%	@ IA Akranes	0	1111	44.58%
18	1969-08-17	2.27	@ Valur Reykjavik	3	1144	45.04%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1160	21.24%
19	1969-09-14	2.25	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1157	21.14%	@ IBA Akureyri	1	1143	45.30%
20	1969-07-05	2.04	Valur Reykjavik	3	1142	22.60%	@ IA Akranes	2	1109	42.27%
21	1969-08-10	1.85	@ KR Reykjavik	3	1145	54.23%	IA Akranes	1	1106	18.65%
22	1969-09-20	1.50	@ IA Akranes	2	1106	39.34%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1159	24.54%
23	1969-09-13	1.45	@ IA Akranes	2	1104	40.63%	Keflavik IF	1	1149	23.61%
24	1969-08-28	1.38	@ Fram Reykjavik	1	1129	45.35%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1143	21.11%
25	1969-08-21	1.33	@ IBA Akureyri	1	1147	47.14%	Keflavik IF	0	1150	20.44%