1972 Úrvalsdeild Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fram Reykjavik

22 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fram Reykjavik

7.26 points above expected

22 points · 14.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vikingur Reykjavik

8.86 points below expected

6 points · 14.86 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 14 8 6 0 22 32 17 +15 14.7 +7.26
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 14 7 4 3 18 37 22 +15 14.3 +3.65
3 Keflavik IF 14 5 5 4 15 26 24 +2 14.7 +0.35
4 IA Akranes 14 7 1 6 15 24 22 +2 14.2 +0.83
5 Valur Reykjavik 14 3 7 4 13 20 22 -2 13.5 -0.53
6 Breidablik 14 5 3 6 13 16 24 -8 12.2 +0.79
7 KR Reykjavik 14 4 2 8 10 17 26 -9 13.5 -3.49
8 Vikingur Reykjavik 14 2 2 10 6 8 23 -15 14.9 -8.86

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fram Reykjavik 1102 22 14.74 +7.26 99.7% 3 10 13 15 17 20 26
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1100 18 14.35 +3.65 91.9% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Keflavik IF 1090 15 14.65 +0.35 60.7% 4 10 13 15 17 19 25
Vikingur Reykjavik 1075 6 14.86 -8.86 0.3% 2 10 13 15 17 20 25
IA Akranes 1074 15 14.17 +0.83 67.1% 3 9 12 14 16 19 26
Valur Reykjavik 1060 13 13.53 -0.53 49.6% 4 9 12 14 16 18 25
KR Reykjavik 1049 10 13.49 -3.49 15.6% 2 9 11 13 15 18 23
Breidablik 1029 13 12.21 +0.79 67.0% 3 8 10 12 14 17 25

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRE FR IA IV KR KI VR VR
Breidablik
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.24
Fram Reykjavik
2-0-0
3.16
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.55
IA Akranes
1-0-1
3.00
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
2.52
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.49
0-2-0
2.88
2-0-0
2.45
KR Reykjavik
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.57
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.40
Keflavik IF
0-1-1
3.14
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.60
Valur Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.88
0-2-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.39
Vikingur Reykjavik
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-2
2.85
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.87

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%4.46%5.36%2.68%26.79%
17.14%7.14%5.36%2.68%0.89%0.89%24.11%
24.46%5.36%5.36%5.36%0.89%21.43%
35.36%2.68%5.36%5.36%0.89%19.64%
42.68%0.89%0.89%1.79%6.25%
5+0.89%0.89%1.79%
Total26.79%24.11%21.43%19.64%6.25%1.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.61
StdDev scored1.36
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (home vs away score)0.033
Sample size (games)56
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%14.29%35.71%
121.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total35.71%7.14%21.43%28.57%7.14%100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.59
Mean total goals/game2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.376
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
114.29%21.43%35.71%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%35.71%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total35.71%28.57%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.29
Mean allowed1.21
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.440
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
321.43%14.29%35.71%
4
5+
Total35.71%7.14%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.398
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%
27.14%14.29%14.29%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total21.43%35.71%14.29%21.43%7.14%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.64
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.78
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game4.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.130
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
17.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total28.57%7.14%28.57%21.43%14.29%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.46
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.355
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%21.43%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%42.86%
4
5+
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.82
Mean total goals/game3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.221
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%28.57%
121.43%7.14%28.57%
27.14%14.29%21.43%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%21.43%100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.084
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%28.57%14.29%7.14%7.14%64.29%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%14.29%7.14%100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.57
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game2.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.132
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fram Reykjavik 22 14.7 +7.26
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 14.3 +3.65
3 IA Akranes 15 14.2 +0.83
4 Breidablik 13 12.2 +0.79
5 Keflavik IF 15 14.7 +0.35

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 6 14.9 -8.86
2 KR Reykjavik 10 13.5 -3.49
3 Valur Reykjavik 13 13.5 -0.53
4 Keflavik IF 15 14.7 +0.35
5 Breidablik 13 12.2 +0.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jul 29 – Aug 30 1 in 239
2 IA Akranes 4 Jun 24 – Jul 22 1 in 106
3 Breidablik 3 Jul 17 – Aug 9 1 in 60
4 Fram Reykjavik 3 Jun 19 – Jul 16 1 in 25
5 KR Reykjavik 2 May 28 – May 31 1 in 9

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 5 Jun 10 – Jul 17 1 in 717
2 KR Reykjavik 4 Aug 20 – Sep 3 1 in 71
3 IA Akranes 2 Aug 9 – Aug 12 1 in 12
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 May 28 – Jun 3 1 in 12
5 Valur Reykjavik 2 Jul 16 – Jul 21 1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fram Reykjavik 14 May 29 – Sep 23 1 in 117
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 9 Jul 22 – Sep 9 1 in 23
3 Valur Reykjavik 5 Aug 15 – Sep 6 1 in 8
4 Keflavik IF 6 May 28 – Jul 6 1 in 8
5 Breidablik 4 Jul 17 – Aug 14 1 in 7

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 7 May 29 – Jul 17 1 in 23
2 KR Reykjavik 8 Jul 19 – Sep 3 1 in 16
3 Keflavik IF 5 Jun 18 – Jul 25 1 in 8
4 IA Akranes 4 Aug 9 – Aug 27 1 in 5
5 Breidablik 5 May 31 – Jul 6 1 in 5

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fram Reykjavik19.43%16.73%14.97%13.42%11.29%9.79%8.43%5.94%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar16.37%14.93%14.26%13.18%12.62%10.95%9.82%7.87%
Keflavik IF16.18%15.66%14.49%13.04%11.96%11.17%9.93%7.57%
IA Akranes13.12%13.37%12.88%13.28%13.29%12.42%11.76%9.88%
Valur Reykjavik8.71%9.99%11.71%12.85%13.54%14.87%13.98%14.35%
Breidablik3.55%5.42%7.27%9.01%11.70%14.64%19.35%29.06%
KR Reykjavik7.96%9.38%10.17%12.26%13.46%14.40%15.97%16.40%
Vikingur Reykjavik14.68%14.52%14.25%12.96%12.14%11.76%10.76%8.93%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fram Reykjavik 94.1% 5.9%
Keflavik IF 92.4% 7.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 92.1% 7.9%
Vikingur Reykjavik 91.1% 8.9%
IA Akranes 90.1% 9.9%
Valur Reykjavik 85.7% 14.3%
KR Reykjavik 83.6% 16.4%
Breidablik 70.9% 29.1%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1972-05-28 Keflavik IF L 1-3 1070 1086 28.8% 37.6% 33.5% -3.2 0
1972-05-28 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1086 1070 33.5% 37.6% 28.8% +3.2 3
1972-05-28 Breidablik L 2-3 1078 1038 37.2% 36.5% 26.3% -2.1 0
1972-05-28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1038 1078 26.3% 36.5% 37.2% +2.1 3
1972-05-28 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1063 1063 31.0% 37.9% 31.1% -1.9 0
1972-05-28 @ Valur Reykjavik W 2-1 1063 1063 31.1% 37.9% 31.0% +2.0 3
1972-05-29 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1107 1075 35.9% 37.0% 27.1% -2.3 0
1972-05-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1075 1107 27.1% 37.0% 35.9% +2.2 3
1972-05-31 KR Reykjavik L 0-3 1040 1065 27.8% 37.3% 34.9% -5.3 3
1972-05-31 @ Breidablik W 3-0 1065 1040 34.9% 37.3% 27.8% +5.2 6
1972-06-03 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-0 1078 1075 31.4% 37.9% 30.7% +3.9 6
1972-06-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-2 1075 1078 30.7% 37.9% 31.4% -3.9 0
1972-06-04 Vikingur Reykjavik D 0-0 1089 1105 29.0% 37.7% 33.4% +0.1 4
1972-06-04 @ Keflavik IF D 0-0 1105 1089 33.4% 37.7% 29.0% -0.0 1
1972-06-04 IA Akranes L 0-2 1071 1066 31.7% 37.9% 30.5% -4.0 6
1972-06-04 @ KR Reykjavik W 2-0 1066 1071 30.5% 37.9% 31.7% +3.9 3
1972-06-05 Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1035 1061 27.7% 37.3% 35.1% +0.1 4
1972-06-05 @ Breidablik D 2-2 1061 1035 35.1% 37.3% 27.7% -0.1 1
1972-06-10 Breidablik W 3-0 1070 1035 36.5% 36.8% 26.7% +5.1 6
1972-06-10 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1035 1070 26.7% 36.8% 36.5% -5.1 4
1972-06-10 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1072 1105 26.9% 36.9% 36.2% +4.3 3
1972-06-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1105 1072 36.2% 36.9% 26.9% -4.3 1
1972-06-12 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1061 1082 28.4% 37.5% 34.1% +0.1 2
1972-06-12 @ Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1082 1061 34.1% 37.5% 28.4% -0.1 7
1972-06-13 Keflavik IF L 1-3 1067 1090 28.1% 37.4% 34.5% -3.1 6
1972-06-13 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-1 1090 1067 34.5% 37.4% 28.1% +3.2 7
1972-06-15 Valur Reykjavik L 0-4 1101 1061 37.2% 36.5% 26.3% -8.2 1
1972-06-15 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 4-0 1061 1101 26.3% 36.5% 37.2% +8.2 5
1972-06-18 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 3-3 1093 1076 33.6% 37.6% 28.8% -0.0 8
1972-06-18 @ Keflavik IF D 3-3 1076 1093 28.8% 37.6% 33.6% +0.0 4
1972-06-19 IA Akranes W 3-0 1081 1075 31.9% 37.9% 30.2% +5.6 10
1972-06-19 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1075 1081 30.2% 37.9% 31.9% -5.6 6
1972-06-23 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1030 1093 24.3% 34.5% 41.2% +0.2 5
1972-06-23 @ Breidablik D 0-0 1093 1030 41.2% 34.5% 24.3% -0.2 9
1972-06-24 Vikingur Reykjavik W 3-0 1070 1092 28.1% 37.4% 34.4% +6.0 9
1972-06-24 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1092 1070 34.4% 37.4% 28.1% -6.0 1
1972-07-06 Breidablik W 3-1 1087 1030 40.2% 35.0% 24.8% +2.8 13
1972-07-06 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1030 1087 24.8% 35.0% 40.2% -2.8 5
1972-07-06 Valur Reykjavik D 3-3 1092 1069 34.5% 37.4% 28.1% -0.0 10
1972-07-06 @ Keflavik IF D 3-3 1069 1092 28.1% 37.4% 34.5% +0.0 6
1972-07-08 IA Akranes L 2-3 1076 1076 31.1% 37.9% 31.1% -1.9 4
1972-07-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1076 1076 31.1% 37.9% 31.1% +1.8 12
1972-07-08 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1086 1063 34.5% 37.4% 28.1% -4.2 1
1972-07-08 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-0 1063 1086 28.1% 37.4% 34.5% +4.2 9
1972-07-16 Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1078 1069 32.3% 37.8% 29.9% +5.5 15
1972-07-16 @ IA Akranes L 0-3 1069 1078 29.9% 37.8% 32.3% -5.5 6
1972-07-16 Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1092 1090 31.4% 37.9% 30.7% -1.9 10
1972-07-16 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1090 1092 30.7% 37.9% 31.4% +1.9 16
1972-07-17 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1027 1082 24.9% 35.2% 39.8% +2.4 8
1972-07-17 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1082 1027 39.8% 35.2% 24.9% -2.4 1
1972-07-19 Fram Reykjavik D 2-2 1068 1092 27.9% 37.4% 34.7% +0.1 10
1972-07-19 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1092 1068 34.7% 37.4% 27.9% -0.0 17
1972-07-21 Breidablik L 0-1 1064 1029 36.4% 36.8% 26.8% -2.3 6
1972-07-21 @ Valur Reykjavik W 1-0 1029 1064 26.8% 36.8% 36.4% +2.3 11
1972-07-22 KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1083 1068 33.4% 37.7% 29.0% +1.8 18
1972-07-22 @ IA Akranes L 2-3 1068 1083 29.0% 37.7% 33.4% -1.8 10
1972-07-22 Fram Reykjavik D 4-4 1074 1092 28.7% 37.6% 33.7% +0.0 5
1972-07-22 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 4-4 1092 1074 33.7% 37.6% 28.7% -0.0 18
1972-07-25 Keflavik IF W 1-0 1080 1091 29.6% 37.8% 32.6% +2.1 4
1972-07-25 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 0-1 1091 1080 32.6% 37.8% 29.6% -2.1 10
1972-07-29 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1088 1066 34.4% 37.4% 28.1% +1.8 13
1972-07-29 @ Keflavik IF L 1-2 1066 1088 28.1% 37.4% 34.4% -1.8 10
1972-07-29 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1082 1074 32.2% 37.8% 29.9% -2.0 4
1972-07-29 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1074 1082 29.9% 37.8% 32.2% +2.0 8
1972-08-09 IA Akranes W 1-0 1032 1085 25.1% 35.4% 39.5% +2.4 14
1972-08-09 @ Breidablik L 0-1 1085 1032 39.5% 35.4% 25.1% -2.4 18
1972-08-12 Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1083 1092 29.8% 37.8% 32.4% -1.8 18
1972-08-12 @ IA Akranes W 3-2 1092 1083 32.4% 37.8% 29.8% +1.8 21
1972-08-12 Keflavik IF W 6-1 1076 1090 29.1% 37.7% 33.1% +7.9 11
1972-08-12 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-6 1090 1076 33.1% 37.7% 29.1% -7.9 13
1972-08-14 Breidablik D 0-0 1064 1034 35.6% 37.1% 27.3% -0.1 11
1972-08-14 @ KR Reykjavik D 0-0 1034 1064 27.3% 37.1% 35.6% +0.1 15
1972-08-15 Vikingur Reykjavik W 2-1 1062 1080 28.6% 37.6% 33.8% +2.0 9
1972-08-15 @ Valur Reykjavik L 1-2 1080 1062 33.8% 37.6% 28.6% -2.0 4
1972-08-19 Breidablik W 2-1 1078 1034 37.9% 36.2% 25.9% +1.7 7
1972-08-19 @ Vikingur Reykjavik L 1-2 1034 1078 25.9% 36.2% 37.9% -1.7 15
1972-08-20 KR Reykjavik W 2-1 1084 1064 34.1% 37.5% 28.4% +1.8 14
1972-08-20 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1064 1084 28.4% 37.5% 34.1% -1.8 11
1972-08-20 IA Akranes D 2-2 1064 1081 28.8% 37.6% 33.6% +0.0 10
1972-08-20 @ Valur Reykjavik D 2-2 1081 1064 33.6% 37.6% 28.8% -0.0 19
1972-08-21 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1093 1082 32.7% 37.8% 29.5% -0.0 22
1972-08-21 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1082 1093 29.5% 37.8% 32.7% +0.0 14
1972-08-24 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-4 1062 1086 28.0% 37.4% 34.6% -6.9 11
1972-08-24 @ KR Reykjavik W 4-0 1086 1062 34.6% 37.4% 28.0% +6.9 17
1972-08-27 Vikingur Reykjavik D 3-3 1093 1080 33.1% 37.7% 29.2% -0.0 23
1972-08-27 @ Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1080 1093 29.2% 37.7% 33.1% +0.0 8
1972-08-27 IA Akranes W 2-0 1082 1081 31.3% 37.9% 30.8% +3.9 17
1972-08-27 @ Keflavik IF L 0-2 1081 1082 30.8% 37.9% 31.3% -3.9 19
1972-08-29 Valur Reykjavik L 2-3 1055 1064 29.9% 37.8% 32.3% -1.8 11
1972-08-29 @ KR Reykjavik W 3-2 1064 1055 32.3% 37.8% 29.9% +1.8 13
1972-08-30 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 2-5 1032 1093 24.6% 34.8% 40.7% -3.4 15
1972-08-30 @ Breidablik W 5-2 1093 1032 40.7% 34.8% 24.6% +3.4 20
1972-08-31 Breidablik L 3-4 1086 1029 40.2% 35.0% 24.8% -2.1 17
1972-08-31 @ Keflavik IF W 4-3 1029 1086 24.8% 35.0% 40.2% +2.1 18
1972-09-02 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1096 1066 35.7% 37.1% 27.2% -0.1 21
1972-09-02 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1066 1096 27.2% 37.1% 35.7% +0.1 14
1972-09-02 IA Akranes L 0-1 1080 1077 31.5% 37.9% 30.7% -2.1 8
1972-09-02 @ Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1077 1080 30.7% 37.9% 31.5% +2.1 22
1972-09-03 KR Reykjavik W 4-0 1093 1053 37.2% 36.5% 26.3% +6.6 26
1972-09-03 @ Fram Reykjavik L 0-4 1053 1093 26.3% 36.5% 37.2% -6.6 11
1972-09-06 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1066 1096 27.3% 37.1% 35.7% +0.1 15
1972-09-06 @ Valur Reykjavik D 0-0 1096 1066 35.7% 37.1% 27.3% -0.1 22
1972-09-09 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1079 1096 28.8% 37.6% 33.6% -4.5 22
1972-09-09 @ IA Akranes W 4-1 1096 1079 33.6% 37.6% 28.8% +4.5 25
1972-09-09 Keflavik IF L 0-3 1066 1084 28.6% 37.6% 33.8% -5.4 15
1972-09-09 @ Valur Reykjavik W 3-0 1084 1066 33.8% 37.6% 28.6% +5.4 20
1972-09-10 Vikingur Reykjavik W 1-0 1047 1078 27.2% 37.0% 35.7% +2.3 14
1972-09-10 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1078 1047 35.7% 37.0% 27.2% -2.2 8
1972-09-14 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1031 1100 23.9% 33.9% 42.2% -1.7 18
1972-09-14 @ Breidablik W 1-0 1100 1031 42.2% 33.9% 23.9% +1.7 29
1972-09-23 Valur Reykjavik D 1-1 1102 1060 37.5% 36.4% 26.2% -0.1 30
1972-09-23 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1060 1102 26.2% 36.4% 37.5% +0.1 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1972-08-31 24.77% Breidablik 1029 4 @ Keflavik IF 1086 3
2 1972-07-17 24.93% @ Breidablik 1027 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1082 0
3 1972-08-09 25.09% @ Breidablik 1032 1 IA Akranes 1085 0
4 1972-05-28 26.30% Breidablik 1038 3 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1078 2
5 1972-06-15 26.31% Valur Reykjavik 1061 4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1101 0
6 1972-07-21 26.81% Breidablik 1029 1 @ Valur Reykjavik 1064 0
7 1972-06-10 26.93% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1072 2 Vikingur Reykjavik 1105 0
8 1972-05-29 27.09% Fram Reykjavik 1075 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1107 0
9 1972-09-10 27.21% @ KR Reykjavik 1047 1 Vikingur Reykjavik 1078 0
10 1972-07-08 28.07% KR Reykjavik 1063 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1086 0
11 1972-06-24 28.12% @ IA Akranes 1070 3 Vikingur Reykjavik 1092 0
12 1972-08-15 28.62% @ Valur Reykjavik 1062 2 Vikingur Reykjavik 1080 1
13 1972-08-12 29.14% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1076 6 Keflavik IF 1090 1
14 1972-07-25 29.59% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1080 1 Keflavik IF 1091 0
15 1972-07-29 29.95% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1074 2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1082 1
16 1972-06-04 30.47% IA Akranes 1066 2 @ KR Reykjavik 1071 0
17 1972-09-02 30.66% IA Akranes 1077 1 @ Vikingur Reykjavik 1080 0
18 1972-07-16 30.69% Fram Reykjavik 1090 3 @ Keflavik IF 1092 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-06-15 8.24 Valur Reykjavik 4 1061 26.31% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1101 37.18%
2 1972-08-12 7.87 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6 1076 29.14% Keflavik IF 1 1090 33.15%
3 1972-08-24 6.90 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1086 34.61% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1062 28.00%
4 1972-09-03 6.56 @ Fram Reykjavik 4 1093 37.25% KR Reykjavik 0 1053 26.27%
5 1972-06-24 6.04 @ IA Akranes 3 1070 28.12% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1092 34.45%
6 1972-06-19 5.57 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1081 31.94% IA Akranes 0 1075 30.21%
7 1972-07-16 5.54 @ IA Akranes 3 1078 32.27% Valur Reykjavik 0 1069 29.90%
8 1972-09-09 5.37 Keflavik IF 3 1084 33.81% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1066 28.61%
9 1972-05-31 5.26 KR Reykjavik 3 1065 34.89% @ Breidablik 0 1040 27.80%
10 1972-06-10 5.09 @ IA Akranes 3 1070 36.54% Breidablik 0 1035 26.70%
11 1972-09-09 4.55 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1096 33.57% @ IA Akranes 1 1079 28.80%
12 1972-06-10 4.28 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1072 26.93% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1105 36.17%
13 1972-07-08 4.16 KR Reykjavik 2 1063 28.07% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1086 34.51%
14 1972-06-04 3.95 IA Akranes 2 1066 30.47% @ KR Reykjavik 0 1071 31.66%
15 1972-06-03 3.88 @ Fram Reykjavik 2 1078 31.38% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 1075 30.74%
16 1972-08-27 3.88 @ Keflavik IF 2 1082 31.29% IA Akranes 0 1081 30.83%
17 1972-08-30 3.43 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 1093 40.68% @ Breidablik 2 1032 24.55%
18 1972-05-28 3.22 Keflavik IF 3 1086 33.53% @ IA Akranes 1 1070 28.83%
19 1972-06-13 3.16 Keflavik IF 3 1090 34.51% @ KR Reykjavik 1 1067 28.08%
20 1972-07-06 2.83 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1087 40.17% Breidablik 1 1030 24.78%
21 1972-07-17 2.40 @ Breidablik 1 1027 24.93% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1082 39.83%
22 1972-08-09 2.39 @ Breidablik 1 1032 25.09% IA Akranes 0 1085 39.50%
23 1972-07-21 2.27 Breidablik 1 1029 26.81% @ Valur Reykjavik 0 1064 36.36%
24 1972-05-29 2.26 Fram Reykjavik 1 1075 27.09% @ Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1107 35.93%
25 1972-09-10 2.26 @ KR Reykjavik 1 1047 27.21% Vikingur Reykjavik 0 1078 35.74%