2024 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

39 pts

Afturelding · via playoff

Relegated

Dalvik Reynir

13 pts

Grotta · 16 pts

Biggest Overachiever

IR Reykjavik

9.75 points above expected

35 points · 25.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dalvik Reynir

15.74 points below expected

13 points · 28.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Promoted	22	11	6	5	39	50	27	+23	38.67	+0.33
2	Keflavik IF	22	10	8	4	38	37	24	+13	33.24	+4.76
3	Fjolnir	22	10	7	5	37	34	28	+6	38.69	-1.69
4	Afturelding Promoted	22	11	3	8	36	39	36	+3	33.44	+2.56
5	IR Reykjavik	22	9	8	5	35	30	28	+2	25.25	+9.75
6	Njardvik	22	8	9	5	33	34	29	+5	31.87	+1.13
7	Throttur Reykjavik	22	8	6	8	30	37	31	+6	30.25	-0.25
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	8	4	10	28	33	34	-1	28.77	-0.77
9	Grindavik	22	6	8	8	26	40	46	-6	25.24	+0.76
10	Thor Akureyri	22	6	8	8	26	32	38	-6	26.97	-0.97
11	Grotta Relegated	22	4	4	14	16	31	50	-19	24.73	-8.73
12	Dalvik Reynir Relegated	22	2	7	13	13	23	49	-26	28.74	-15.74

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Keflavik IF 6

IR Reykjavik 4

Leg 1: IR Reykjavik 1-4 Keflavik IF

Leg 2: Keflavik IF 2-3 IR Reykjavik

Afturelding 3

Fjolnir 1

Leg 1: Afturelding 3-1 Fjolnir

Leg 2: Fjolnir 0-0 Afturelding

Finals

Afturelding 1

Keflavik IF 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1366	39	38.67	+0.33	55.3%	19	29	35	39	43	48	58
Keflavik IF	1287	38	33.24	+4.76	80.5%	12	23	29	33	37	43	55
Afturelding	1285	36	33.44	+2.56	69.2%	10	23	29	33	38	44	58
Fjolnir	1219	37	38.69	-1.69	42.1%	15	29	35	39	43	49	59
Throttur Reykjavik	1217	30	30.25	-0.25	52.2%	9	20	26	30	34	40	53
Leiknir Reykjavik	1199	28	28.77	-0.77	48.8%	6	19	25	29	33	39	53
Njardvik	1195	33	31.87	+1.13	60.8%	9	22	28	32	36	42	52
IR Reykjavik	1169	35	25.25	+9.75	95.5%	4	16	21	25	29	35	52
Grindavik	1141	26	25.24	+0.76	59.0%	7	16	21	25	29	35	49
Thor Akureyri	1126	26	26.97	-0.97	48.2%	7	17	23	27	31	37	51
Grotta	1053	16	24.73	-8.73	7.6%	3	16	21	25	29	34	49
Dalvik Reynir	1030	13	28.74	-15.74	0.5%	8	19	25	29	33	39	51

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AFT	DR	FJO	GRI	GRO	IV	IR	KI	LR	NJA	TA	TR
Afturelding	—	2-0-0 3.04	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.44	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 3.48	0-0-2 3.00	1-1-0 3.08	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-2 3.49	2-0-0 3.01
Dalvik Reynir	0-0-2 2.49	—	0-2-0 1.99	0-0-2 3.16	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.24	0-2-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.87	0-0-2 2.09
Fjolnir	2-0-0 2.96	0-2-0 3.57	—	2-0-0 3.86	1-0-1 4.08	0-1-1 2.87	0-0-2 4.02	0-1-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.23	1-1-0 3.90	1-1-0 3.58
Grindavik	0-1-1 2.14	2-0-0 2.37	0-0-2 1.70	—	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 1.61	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 1.89	1-1-0 2.47	1-1-0 2.30	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.58
Grotta	0-1-1 2.11	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-1 1.49	1-1-0 2.82	—	0-0-2 1.80	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 2.35
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.95	2-0-0 3.79	—	0-2-0 4.05	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.91	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 3.56	1-0-1 3.45
IR Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.06	0-2-0 2.37	2-0-0 1.54	1-1-0 2.60	2-0-0 2.93	0-2-0 1.52	—	1-0-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.14	0-2-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.36
Keflavik IF	2-0-0 2.53	1-1-0 3.29	1-1-0 2.42	1-1-0 3.67	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.32	—	1-1-0 3.25	0-2-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.22	0-1-1 3.23
Leiknir Reykjavik	0-1-1 2.46	2-0-0 3.12	0-0-2 1.99	0-1-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 1.65	1-0-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.28	—	0-0-2 2.77	2-0-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.52
Njardvik	0-0-2 2.83	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.60	0-1-1 2.30	1-1-0 3.41	0-2-0 2.54	2-0-0 2.78	—	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.91
Thor Akureyri	2-0-0 2.05	2-0-0 2.68	0-1-1 1.66	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.10	0-1-1 1.98	0-2-0 2.57	0-1-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.67	0-1-1 2.34	—	0-1-1 2.58
Throttur Reykjavik	0-0-2 2.52	2-0-0 3.44	0-1-1 1.97	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 2.31	0-0-2 3.02	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.96	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.42	+8.4
Allowed	0.83	-8.5
Differential	0.89	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.82%	7.20%	0.76%	4.55%	0.38%	1.52%	21.21%
1	7.20%	14.39%	5.30%	5.68%	1.14%	1.89%	35.61%
2	0.76%	5.30%	7.58%	3.79%	1.14%	1.14%	19.70%
3	4.55%	5.68%	3.79%	0.76%	0.76%	—	15.53%
4	0.38%	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	—	—	3.41%
5+	1.52%	1.89%	1.14%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	21.21%	35.61%	19.70%	15.53%	3.41%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.59	+0.00
SD	1.35	1.35	1.98
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	27.27%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.64	+0.14
SD	1.60	1.22	2.21
CV	0.90	0.74	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	45.45%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	18.18%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	2.23	-1.18
SD	1.00	1.74	1.71
CV	0.96	0.78	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	40.91%	18.18%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.27	+0.27
SD	1.53	1.42	1.93
CV	0.99	1.12	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	—	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.09	-0.27
SD	1.56	1.44	2.49
CV	0.86	0.69	—
Max	7	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	—	54.55%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	22.73%	27.27%	36.36%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.27	-0.86
SD	0.91	1.16	1.39
CV	0.64	0.51	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	36.36%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	1.23	+1.05
SD	1.55	1.15	2.17
CV	0.68	0.94	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	9.09%	27.27%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	59.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.27	+0.09
SD	1.05	1.16	1.90
CV	0.77	0.91	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.09	+0.59
SD	1.46	1.23	1.99
CV	0.87	1.13	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	22.73%	—	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	54.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.55	-0.05
SD	1.41	1.30	1.73
CV	0.94	0.84	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	22.73%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.32	+0.23
SD	1.30	1.46	1.72
CV	0.84	1.11	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	27.27%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	50.00%	18.18%	13.64%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.73	-0.27
SD	1.10	1.35	1.93
CV	0.76	0.78	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.41	+0.27
SD	1.49	1.10	1.78
CV	0.89	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IR Reykjavik	35	25.25	+9.75
2	Keflavik IF	38	33.24	+4.76
3	Afturelding	36	33.44	+2.56
4	Njardvik	33	31.87	+1.13
5	Grindavik	26	25.24	+0.76

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dalvik Reynir	13	28.74	-15.74
2	Grotta	16	24.73	-8.73
3	Fjolnir	37	38.69	-1.69
4	Thor Akureyri	26	26.97	-0.97
5	Leiknir Reykjavik	28	28.77	-0.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Afturelding	4	Aug 14 – Aug 30	1 in 73
2	Throttur Reykjavik	4	Jun 30 – Jul 20	1 in 53
3	Grindavik	3	Jun 15 – Jun 26	1 in 43
4	Keflavik IF	5	Jul 11 – Aug 8	1 in 37
5	Njardvik	3	May 3 – May 18	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Grotta	7	Jun 13 – Jul 18	1 in 372
2	Dalvik Reynir	6	Aug 14 – Sep 14	1 in 92
3	Leiknir Reykjavik	4	May 25 – Jun 15	1 in 48
4	Grindavik	5	Jul 12 – Aug 8	1 in 41
5	Fjolnir	2	Aug 22 – Aug 31	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IR Reykjavik	8	Jul 25 – Sep 8	1 in 79
2	Grindavik	7	May 10 – Jun 26	1 in 76
3	Leiknir Reykjavik	8	Jul 30 – Sep 14	1 in 58
4	Throttur Reykjavik	6	Jun 30 – Jul 31	1 in 24
5	Grotta	6	May 3 – Jun 7	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dalvik Reynir	14	May 9 – Jul 31	1 in 973
2	Fjolnir	7	Jul 26 – Aug 31	1 in 179
3	Grotta	9	Jun 1 – Jul 18	1 in 44
4	Thor Akureyri	8	Jul 20 – Aug 31	1 in 25
5	Afturelding	4	May 3 – May 25	1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	33.42%	23.63%	15.03%	9.91%	6.41%	4.04%	3.08%	1.93%	1.34%	0.73%	0.32%	0.16%
Keflavik IF	9.36%	12.88%	13.82%	13.09%	11.60%	9.99%	8.16%	6.97%	5.86%	4.04%	2.63%	1.60%
Fjolnir	32.30%	21.75%	15.39%	10.28%	7.06%	4.44%	3.53%	2.42%	1.44%	0.79%	0.40%	0.20%
Afturelding	8.81%	12.38%	13.48%	13.34%	12.19%	10.16%	8.33%	7.36%	5.46%	4.00%	2.84%	1.65%
IR Reykjavik	0.65%	1.38%	2.31%	4.02%	5.24%	7.27%	7.93%	10.42%	12.37%	14.71%	15.87%	17.83%
Njardvik	5.87%	8.99%	11.22%	11.83%	12.11%	11.34%	10.23%	8.26%	7.56%	6.24%	3.96%	2.39%
Throttur Reykjavik	3.61%	6.27%	8.82%	9.96%	10.70%	11.63%	11.59%	9.89%	9.08%	7.62%	6.60%	4.23%
Leiknir Reykjavik	2.07%	3.92%	6.47%	8.22%	9.22%	9.86%	10.74%	11.18%	11.24%	10.22%	9.45%	7.41%
Grindavik	0.58%	1.48%	2.13%	3.43%	5.34%	6.73%	8.62%	9.86%	11.43%	14.21%	16.70%	19.49%
Thor Akureyri	1.20%	2.69%	3.85%	5.35%	7.31%	8.26%	9.12%	11.22%	11.86%	13.06%	13.07%	13.01%
Grotta	0.44%	0.87%	1.91%	3.13%	4.16%	5.86%	7.55%	9.46%	11.54%	13.71%	17.88%	23.49%
Dalvik Reynir	1.69%	3.76%	5.57%	7.44%	8.66%	10.42%	11.12%	11.03%	10.82%	10.67%	10.28%	8.54%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.94%

Clear Edge

44.70%29.55%25.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge

202 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

066.61600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.47 goals

Neutral

-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.2

Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

33%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.78 * Some Luck: 4.78 to 7.17 * Lucky: 7.17 to 9.56 * Wild Swing: 9.56 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.89 * Close: 1.89 to 2.84 * Off: 2.84 to 3.78 * Way Off: 3.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.22 * A Surprise: 1.22 to 1.96 * Several Surprises: 1.96 to 2.69 * Many Surprises: 2.69 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.11 points

Some Luck

05.9815

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

Pinpoint

02.365

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.52%

IR Reykjavik

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.53%

Dalvik Reynir

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.20

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

64%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Strong Edge

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Very Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Notable Separation

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.08

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.40

Some Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Shaky Favorites

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.

Probability calibration

0.20

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.69

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Well Within Noise

00.1540.4

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Direct promotion	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	57.05%	31.35%	11.12%	0.48%
Fjolnir	54.05%	32.73%	12.62%	0.60%
Keflavik IF	22.24%	38.51%	35.02%	4.23%
Afturelding	21.19%	39.01%	35.31%	4.49%
Njardvik	14.86%	35.16%	43.63%	6.35%
Throttur Reykjavik	9.88%	29.48%	49.81%	10.83%
Leiknir Reykjavik	5.99%	23.91%	53.24%	16.86%
Dalvik Reynir	5.45%	21.67%	54.06%	18.82%
Thor Akureyri	3.89%	16.51%	53.52%	26.08%
IR Reykjavik	2.03%	11.57%	52.70%	33.70%
Grindavik	2.06%	10.90%	50.85%	36.19%
Grotta	1.31%	9.20%	48.12%	41.37%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2024-05-01	Fjolnir	L 2-3	1118	1262	26.2%	23.1%	50.7%	-7.0	0
2024-05-01	@ Grindavik	W 3-2	1262	1118	50.7%	23.1%	26.2%	+7.0	3
2024-05-03	Grotta	D 1-1	1281	1168	59.0%	22.0%	19.0%	-2.4	1
2024-05-03	@ Afturelding	D 1-1	1168	1281	19.0%	22.0%	59.0%	+2.4	1
2024-05-03	IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1194	1088	58.2%	22.2%	19.7%	-14.3	0
2024-05-03	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1088	1194	19.7%	22.2%	58.2%	+14.3	3
2024-05-03	Njardvik	L 1-2	1211	1161	51.8%	23.0%	25.2%	-12.9	0
2024-05-03	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1161	1211	25.2%	23.0%	51.8%	+12.9	3
2024-05-03	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1184	1139	51.2%	23.0%	25.7%	-1.5	1
2024-05-03	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1139	1184	25.7%	23.0%	51.2%	+1.5	1
2024-05-04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1239	1242	44.9%	23.4%	31.6%	+14.9	3
2024-05-04	@ Dalvik Reynir	L 1-3	1242	1239	31.6%	23.4%	44.9%	-14.9	0
2024-05-09	Afturelding	W 4-2	1140	1279	26.9%	23.1%	49.9%	+19.3	4
2024-05-09	@ Thor Akureyri	L 2-4	1279	1140	49.9%	23.1%	26.9%	-19.3	1
2024-05-09	Dalvik Reynir	W 3-0	1174	1254	34.3%	23.5%	42.2%	+31.4	6
2024-05-09	@ Njardvik	L 0-3	1254	1174	42.2%	23.5%	34.3%	-31.4	3
2024-05-10	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1111	1103	46.6%	23.4%	30.1%	-0.9	1
2024-05-10	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1103	1111	30.1%	23.4%	46.6%	+0.9	4
2024-05-10	Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1170	1180	44.1%	23.5%	32.5%	+9.4	4
2024-05-10	@ Grotta	L 0-1	1180	1170	32.5%	23.5%	44.1%	-9.3	0
2024-05-10	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1269	1198	54.3%	22.7%	23.0%	+7.0	6
2024-05-10	@ Fjolnir	L 0-1	1198	1269	23.0%	22.7%	54.3%	-7.0	0
2024-05-10	Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-2	1227	1183	51.2%	23.0%	25.8%	+11.3	3
2024-05-10	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 2-4	1183	1227	25.8%	23.0%	51.2%	-11.3	1
2024-05-18	Fjolnir	D 0-0	1222	1276	37.9%	23.6%	38.6%	+0.0	4
2024-05-18	@ Dalvik Reynir	D 0-0	1276	1222	38.6%	23.6%	37.9%	-0.1	7
2024-05-18	IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1191	1104	56.2%	22.5%	21.3%	+6.6	3
2024-05-18	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1104	1191	21.3%	22.5%	56.2%	-6.6	4
2024-05-18	Njardvik	L 0-1	1171	1205	40.8%	23.5%	35.7%	-11.2	1
2024-05-18	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1205	1171	35.7%	23.5%	40.8%	+11.2	9
2024-05-20	Grotta	D 2-2	1110	1179	35.8%	23.5%	40.7%	+0.2	2
2024-05-20	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1179	1110	40.7%	23.5%	35.8%	-0.2	5
2024-05-20	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1239	1160	55.2%	22.6%	22.2%	-2.0	4
2024-05-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1160	1239	22.2%	22.6%	55.2%	+2.0	5
2024-05-21	Afturelding	W 3-0	1171	1259	33.1%	23.5%	43.4%	+32.1	3
2024-05-21	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-3	1259	1171	43.4%	23.5%	33.1%	-32.1	1
2024-05-23	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1276	1160	59.3%	22.0%	18.8%	+9.6	10
2024-05-23	@ Fjolnir	L 1-3	1160	1276	18.8%	22.0%	59.3%	-9.5	1
2024-05-25	Dalvik Reynir	D 1-1	1097	1222	28.5%	23.2%	48.3%	+1.1	5
2024-05-25	@ IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1222	1097	48.3%	23.2%	28.5%	-1.1	5
2024-05-25	Grindavik	D 1-1	1227	1110	59.3%	22.0%	18.7%	-2.5	2
2024-05-25	@ Afturelding	D 1-1	1110	1227	18.7%	22.0%	59.3%	+2.5	3
2024-05-25	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1162	1203	39.7%	23.6%	36.7%	-0.2	6
2024-05-25	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1203	1162	36.7%	23.6%	39.7%	+0.2	4
2024-05-25	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 4-3	1179	1198	42.9%	23.5%	33.6%	+8.4	8
2024-05-25	@ Grotta	L 3-4	1198	1179	33.6%	23.5%	42.9%	-8.4	3
2024-05-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 0-0	1216	1237	42.7%	23.5%	33.8%	-0.6	10
2024-05-26	@ Njardvik	D 0-0	1237	1216	33.8%	23.5%	42.7%	+0.6	5
2024-05-31	Afturelding	L 0-1	1189	1225	40.6%	23.5%	35.9%	-11.1	3
2024-05-31	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1225	1189	35.9%	23.5%	40.6%	+11.1	5
2024-05-31	IR Reykjavik	W 5-0	1151	1098	52.1%	22.9%	24.9%	+33.2	4
2024-05-31	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-5	1098	1151	24.9%	22.9%	52.1%	-33.2	5
2024-05-31	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1113	1203	32.9%	23.5%	43.6%	+0.5	4
2024-05-31	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1203	1113	43.6%	23.5%	32.9%	-0.5	5
2024-05-31	Thor Akureyri	W 5-1	1216	1161	52.4%	22.9%	24.7%	+22.3	13
2024-05-31	@ Njardvik	L 1-5	1161	1216	24.7%	22.9%	52.4%	-22.3	6
2024-06-01	Fjolnir	D 2-2	1237	1286	38.7%	23.6%	37.8%	-0.0	6
2024-06-01	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1286	1237	37.8%	23.6%	38.7%	+0.0	11
2024-06-01	Grotta	D 2-2	1221	1188	49.8%	23.1%	27.1%	-1.0	6
2024-06-01	@ Dalvik Reynir	D 2-2	1188	1221	27.1%	23.1%	49.8%	+1.0	9
2024-06-05	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 5-0	1203	1178	48.6%	23.2%	28.1%	+36.7	8
2024-06-05	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-5	1178	1203	28.1%	23.2%	48.6%	-36.7	3
2024-06-06	Njardvik	W 4-2	1286	1238	51.6%	23.0%	25.4%	+11.2	14
2024-06-06	@ Fjolnir	L 2-4	1238	1286	25.4%	23.0%	51.6%	-11.2	13
2024-06-07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1065	1237	23.2%	22.7%	54.0%	+1.4	6
2024-06-07	@ IR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1237	1065	54.0%	22.7%	23.2%	-1.4	7
2024-06-07	Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1189	1184	46.1%	23.4%	30.5%	-0.9	10
2024-06-07	@ Grotta	D 1-1	1184	1189	30.5%	23.4%	46.1%	+0.9	5
2024-06-08	Dalvik Reynir	W 4-3	1236	1220	47.5%	23.3%	29.2%	+7.5	8
2024-06-08	@ Afturelding	L 3-4	1220	1236	29.2%	23.3%	47.5%	-7.5	6
2024-06-13	Afturelding	L 1-2	1185	1243	37.2%	23.6%	39.2%	-9.8	5
2024-06-13	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1243	1185	39.2%	23.6%	37.2%	+9.8	11
2024-06-13	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1188	1236	38.7%	23.6%	37.7%	-29.4	10
2024-06-13	@ Grotta	W 3-0	1236	1188	37.7%	23.6%	38.7%	+29.4	10
2024-06-13	IR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1227	1066	63.6%	21.1%	15.3%	+13.2	16
2024-06-13	@ Njardvik	L 0-3	1066	1227	15.3%	21.1%	63.6%	-13.2	6
2024-06-15	Grindavik	L 2-3	1142	1113	49.1%	23.2%	27.7%	-11.6	3
2024-06-15	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1113	1142	27.7%	23.2%	49.1%	+11.7	7
2024-06-15	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1213	1239	41.8%	23.5%	34.7%	-0.5	7
2024-06-15	@ Dalvik Reynir	D 0-0	1239	1213	34.7%	23.5%	41.8%	+0.4	9
2024-06-15	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1297	1139	63.3%	21.2%	15.5%	+4.9	17
2024-06-15	@ Fjolnir	L 0-1	1139	1297	15.5%	21.2%	63.3%	-4.9	6
2024-06-19	Njardvik	L 2-3	1158	1240	34.0%	23.5%	42.5%	-8.7	10
2024-06-19	@ Grotta	W 3-2	1240	1158	42.5%	23.5%	34.0%	+8.7	19
2024-06-20	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1053	1302	16.4%	21.4%	62.1%	+26.2	9
2024-06-20	@ IR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1302	1053	62.1%	21.4%	16.4%	-26.2	17
2024-06-20	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1253	1265	43.8%	23.5%	32.7%	-32.4	11
2024-06-20	@ Afturelding	W 3-0	1265	1253	32.7%	23.5%	43.8%	+32.4	13
2024-06-20	Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1240	1175	53.6%	22.8%	23.6%	-1.8	10
2024-06-20	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1175	1240	23.6%	22.8%	53.6%	+1.8	6
2024-06-22	Dalvik Reynir	W 3-1	1125	1212	33.3%	23.5%	43.2%	+19.1	10
2024-06-22	@ Grindavik	L 1-3	1212	1125	43.2%	23.5%	33.3%	-19.1	7
2024-06-22	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1134	1130	46.0%	23.4%	30.6%	-11.6	6
2024-06-22	@ Thor Akureyri	W 2-1	1130	1134	30.6%	23.4%	46.0%	+11.6	6
2024-06-26	Fjolnir	L 0-1	1221	1276	37.8%	23.6%	38.7%	-10.5	11
2024-06-26	@ Afturelding	W 1-0	1276	1221	38.7%	23.6%	37.8%	+10.5	20
2024-06-26	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-1	1144	1298	25.2%	23.0%	51.8%	+22.3	13
2024-06-26	@ Grindavik	L 1-3	1298	1144	51.8%	23.0%	25.2%	-22.3	13
2024-06-26	IR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1150	1079	54.2%	22.7%	23.1%	-23.2	10
2024-06-26	@ Grotta	W 3-1	1079	1150	23.1%	22.7%	54.2%	+23.2	12
2024-06-26	Njardvik	D 1-1	1238	1249	44.0%	23.5%	32.6%	-0.6	11
2024-06-26	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1249	1238	32.6%	23.5%	44.0%	+0.6	20
2024-06-26	Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1193	1123	54.2%	22.7%	23.0%	-23.2	7
2024-06-26	@ Dalvik Reynir	W 3-1	1123	1193	23.0%	22.7%	54.2%	+23.2	9
2024-06-26	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1142	1177	40.6%	23.5%	35.8%	+16.5	9
2024-06-26	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1177	1142	35.8%	23.5%	40.6%	-16.5	6
2024-06-30	Afturelding	L 2-5	1249	1210	50.5%	23.1%	26.4%	-26.7	20
2024-06-30	@ Njardvik	W 5-2	1210	1249	26.4%	23.1%	50.5%	+26.7	14
2024-06-30	Grindavik	W 1-0	1160	1166	44.6%	23.4%	31.9%	+9.2	9
2024-06-30	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1166	1160	31.9%	23.4%	44.6%	-9.2	13
2024-06-30	Grotta	W 5-2	1286	1126	63.5%	21.1%	15.4%	+9.7	23
2024-06-30	@ Fjolnir	L 2-5	1126	1286	15.4%	21.1%	63.5%	-9.7	10
2024-06-30	Keflavik IF	W 5-0	1275	1237	50.4%	23.1%	26.5%	+34.9	16
2024-06-30	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-5	1237	1275	26.5%	23.1%	50.4%	-35.0	11
2024-06-30	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1170	1158	47.0%	23.3%	29.6%	-12.5	7
2024-06-30	@ Dalvik Reynir	W 1-0	1158	1170	29.6%	23.3%	47.0%	+12.5	12
2024-06-30	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1103	1146	39.4%	23.6%	37.0%	-0.1	13
2024-06-30	@ IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1146	1103	37.0%	23.6%	39.4%	+0.1	10
2024-07-04	Afturelding	W 3-0	1102	1237	27.4%	23.2%	49.5%	+35.8	16
2024-07-04	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1237	1102	49.5%	23.2%	27.4%	-35.9	14
2024-07-04	Grindavik	L 0-1	1223	1157	53.7%	22.8%	23.5%	-14.1	20
2024-07-04	@ Njardvik	W 1-0	1157	1223	23.5%	22.8%	53.7%	+14.1	16
2024-07-04	Grotta	W 3-1	1146	1117	49.3%	23.2%	27.6%	+13.4	13
2024-07-04	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1117	1146	27.6%	23.2%	49.3%	-13.4	10
2024-07-04	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1296	1202	56.9%	22.4%	20.8%	-2.4	24
2024-07-04	@ Fjolnir	D 0-0	1202	1296	20.8%	22.4%	56.9%	+2.4	12
2024-07-06	Dalvik Reynir	W 4-1	1169	1157	47.0%	23.3%	29.6%	+20.1	12
2024-07-06	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-4	1157	1169	29.6%	23.3%	47.0%	-20.1	7
2024-07-06	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1310	1171	61.6%	21.5%	16.9%	+5.3	19
2024-07-06	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1171	1310	16.9%	21.5%	61.6%	-5.3	12
2024-07-08	Grindavik	D 2-2	1159	1171	43.9%	23.5%	32.7%	-0.5	14
2024-07-08	@ Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	1171	1159	32.7%	23.5%	43.9%	+0.5	17
2024-07-11	Fjolnir	L 0-1	1165	1294	28.1%	23.2%	48.7%	-8.3	12
2024-07-11	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1294	1165	48.7%	23.2%	28.1%	+8.3	27
2024-07-11	Grotta	W 2-1	1205	1103	57.7%	22.2%	20.1%	+5.9	15
2024-07-11	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1103	1205	20.1%	22.2%	57.7%	-5.9	10
2024-07-11	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 2-1	1189	1316	28.3%	23.2%	48.4%	+12.1	15
2024-07-11	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1316	1189	48.4%	23.2%	28.3%	-12.1	19
2024-07-12	Grindavik	W 3-0	1138	1172	40.9%	23.5%	35.6%	+27.5	19
2024-07-12	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1172	1138	35.6%	23.5%	40.9%	-27.5	17
2024-07-13	Njardvik	D 0-0	1137	1209	35.5%	23.5%	41.0%	+0.3	8
2024-07-13	@ Dalvik Reynir	D 0-0	1209	1137	41.0%	23.5%	35.5%	-0.3	21
2024-07-13	Thor Akureyri	L 0-3	1201	1159	50.9%	23.1%	26.1%	-36.8	14
2024-07-13	@ Afturelding	W 3-0	1159	1201	26.1%	23.1%	50.9%	+36.7	17
2024-07-18	Afturelding	L 1-4	1098	1164	36.1%	23.5%	40.4%	-23.5	10
2024-07-18	@ Grotta	W 4-1	1164	1098	40.4%	23.5%	36.1%	+23.5	17
2024-07-18	Grindavik	W 5-1	1302	1144	63.3%	21.2%	15.5%	+14.6	30
2024-07-18	@ Fjolnir	L 1-5	1144	1302	15.5%	21.2%	63.3%	-14.6	17
2024-07-18	Keflavik IF	L 0-1	1166	1211	39.2%	23.6%	37.2%	-10.8	19
2024-07-18	@ IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1211	1166	37.2%	23.6%	39.2%	+10.8	18
2024-07-18	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1208	1157	52.0%	22.9%	25.0%	+6.8	24
2024-07-18	@ Njardvik	L 2-3	1157	1208	25.0%	22.9%	52.0%	-6.8	12
2024-07-20	Dalvik Reynir	W 1-0	1304	1138	64.0%	21.0%	15.0%	+4.7	22
2024-07-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1138	1304	15.0%	21.0%	64.0%	-4.7	8
2024-07-20	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1196	1201	44.7%	23.4%	31.9%	-12.0	17
2024-07-20	@ Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1201	1196	31.9%	23.4%	44.7%	+12.0	18
2024-07-25	Grindavik	W 3-1	1074	1130	37.7%	23.6%	38.7%	+17.5	13
2024-07-25	@ Grotta	L 1-3	1130	1074	38.7%	23.6%	37.7%	-17.5	17
2024-07-25	Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1188	1221	40.8%	23.5%	35.6%	-18.2	17
2024-07-25	@ Afturelding	W 3-1	1221	1188	35.6%	23.5%	40.8%	+18.2	21
2024-07-25	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1155	1150	46.1%	23.4%	30.5%	+8.9	22
2024-07-25	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1150	1155	30.5%	23.4%	46.1%	-8.9	12
2024-07-25	Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1215	1213	45.7%	23.4%	30.9%	-0.8	25
2024-07-25	@ Njardvik	D 1-1	1213	1215	30.9%	23.4%	45.7%	+0.8	19
2024-07-26	Dalvik Reynir	D 1-1	1316	1133	65.6%	20.6%	13.8%	-3.2	31
2024-07-26	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1133	1316	13.8%	20.6%	65.6%	+3.2	9
2024-07-27	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1184	1308	28.5%	23.3%	48.2%	-23.1	17
2024-07-27	@ Thor Akureyri	W 3-0	1308	1184	48.2%	23.3%	28.5%	+23.1	25
2024-07-30	Afturelding	L 0-3	1112	1170	37.4%	23.6%	39.0%	-28.6	17
2024-07-30	@ Grindavik	W 3-0	1170	1112	39.0%	23.6%	37.4%	+28.6	20
2024-07-30	Grotta	W 3-1	1141	1092	51.8%	23.0%	25.2%	+12.4	15
2024-07-30	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1092	1141	25.2%	23.0%	51.8%	-12.4	13
2024-07-31	Fjolnir	D 0-0	1214	1313	31.8%	23.4%	44.8%	+0.8	20
2024-07-31	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1313	1214	44.8%	23.4%	31.8%	-0.8	32
2024-07-31	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1136	1164	41.6%	23.5%	34.8%	-0.4	10
2024-07-31	@ Dalvik Reynir	D 1-1	1164	1136	34.8%	23.5%	41.6%	+0.4	23
2024-07-31	Thor Akureyri	W 3-2	1240	1161	55.2%	22.6%	22.2%	+6.1	24
2024-07-31	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1161	1240	22.2%	22.6%	55.2%	-6.1	17
2024-08-03	Njardvik	W 2-1	1331	1214	59.3%	22.0%	18.7%	+5.5	28
2024-08-03	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1214	1331	18.7%	22.0%	59.3%	-5.5	25
2024-08-08	Grindavik	W 2-1	1246	1083	63.7%	21.1%	15.2%	+4.5	27
2024-08-08	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1083	1246	15.2%	21.1%	63.7%	-4.5	17
2024-08-08	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1198	1154	51.2%	23.0%	25.8%	-1.5	21
2024-08-08	@ Afturelding	D 1-1	1154	1198	25.8%	23.0%	51.2%	+1.5	16
2024-08-09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-5	1312	1337	42.1%	23.5%	34.4%	-34.1	32
2024-08-09	@ Fjolnir	W 5-1	1337	1312	34.4%	23.5%	42.1%	+34.1	31
2024-08-09	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1164	1215	38.4%	23.6%	38.1%	+10.6	26
2024-08-09	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1215	1164	38.1%	23.6%	38.4%	-10.6	20
2024-08-10	Dalvik Reynir	L 2-3	1079	1136	37.5%	23.6%	38.9%	-9.4	13
2024-08-10	@ Grotta	W 3-2	1136	1079	38.9%	23.6%	37.5%	+9.4	13
2024-08-10	Njardvik	D 2-2	1155	1209	37.9%	23.6%	38.6%	+0.0	18
2024-08-10	@ Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	1209	1155	38.6%	23.6%	37.9%	-0.0	26
2024-08-14	Afturelding	L 1-3	1145	1197	38.3%	23.6%	38.2%	-17.4	13
2024-08-14	@ Dalvik Reynir	W 3-1	1197	1145	38.2%	23.6%	38.3%	+17.3	24
2024-08-14	Fjolnir	D 0-0	1209	1278	35.7%	23.5%	40.7%	+0.3	27
2024-08-14	@ Njardvik	D 0-0	1278	1209	40.7%	23.5%	35.7%	-0.3	33
2024-08-14	Grotta	W 3-1	1205	1070	61.1%	21.6%	17.2%	+8.8	23
2024-08-14	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1070	1205	17.2%	21.6%	61.1%	-8.8	13
2024-08-14	IR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1371	1175	66.7%	20.3%	13.0%	-2.5	32
2024-08-14	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1175	1371	13.0%	20.3%	66.7%	+2.5	27
2024-08-14	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1155	1250	32.3%	23.4%	44.3%	+0.8	17
2024-08-14	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 0-0	1250	1155	44.3%	23.4%	32.3%	-0.8	28
2024-08-14	Thor Akureyri	W 3-0	1079	1155	34.9%	23.5%	41.6%	+31.0	20
2024-08-14	@ Grindavik	L 0-3	1155	1079	41.6%	23.5%	34.9%	-31.0	18
2024-08-18	Dalvik Reynir	W 3-1	1250	1128	59.8%	21.9%	18.3%	+9.3	31
2024-08-18	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1128	1250	18.3%	21.9%	59.8%	-9.3	13
2024-08-18	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1123	1278	25.1%	23.0%	51.9%	+1.6	19
2024-08-18	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1278	1123	51.9%	23.0%	25.1%	-1.6	34
2024-08-18	Grotta	W 2-1	1368	1061	74.9%	17.4%	7.8%	+2.2	35
2024-08-18	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1061	1368	7.8%	17.4%	74.9%	-2.2	13
2024-08-18	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 3-3	1110	1156	39.1%	23.6%	37.4%	-0.1	21
2024-08-18	@ Grindavik	D 3-3	1156	1110	37.4%	23.6%	39.1%	+0.1	18
2024-08-18	Njardvik	D 1-1	1177	1209	41.1%	23.5%	35.4%	-0.3	28
2024-08-18	@ IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1209	1177	35.4%	23.5%	41.1%	+0.3	28
2024-08-19	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1214	1213	45.5%	23.4%	31.1%	+9.0	27
2024-08-19	@ Afturelding	L 0-1	1213	1214	31.1%	23.4%	45.5%	-9.0	23
2024-08-22	Grotta	W 1-0	1209	1059	62.6%	21.3%	16.0%	+5.0	31
2024-08-22	@ Njardvik	L 0-1	1059	1209	16.0%	21.3%	62.6%	-5.0	13
2024-08-22	IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1276	1177	57.5%	22.3%	20.2%	-14.1	34
2024-08-22	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1177	1276	20.2%	22.3%	57.5%	+14.1	31
2024-08-24	Afturelding	L 2-3	1371	1223	62.4%	21.4%	16.3%	-14.4	35
2024-08-24	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-2	1223	1371	16.3%	21.4%	62.4%	+14.4	30
2024-08-24	Grindavik	L 1-7	1118	1110	46.6%	23.4%	30.1%	-53.8	13
2024-08-24	@ Dalvik Reynir	W 7-1	1110	1118	30.1%	23.4%	46.6%	+53.8	24
2024-08-24	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1204	1259	37.8%	23.6%	38.6%	+9.6	26
2024-08-24	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1259	1204	38.6%	23.6%	37.8%	-9.6	31
2024-08-24	Thor Akureyri	W 5-1	1156	1125	49.5%	23.2%	27.4%	+24.2	21
2024-08-24	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-5	1125	1156	27.4%	23.2%	49.5%	-24.2	19
2024-08-29	Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1164	1214	38.4%	23.6%	38.0%	-0.0	25
2024-08-29	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1214	1164	38.0%	23.6%	38.4%	+0.0	27
2024-08-30	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-2	1249	1356	30.7%	23.4%	45.9%	+11.0	34
2024-08-30	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1356	1249	45.9%	23.4%	30.7%	-11.0	35
2024-08-30	Njardvik	W 4-1	1237	1214	48.5%	23.2%	28.3%	+19.3	33
2024-08-30	@ Afturelding	L 1-4	1214	1237	28.3%	23.2%	48.5%	-19.3	31
2024-08-31	Dalvik Reynir	W 2-1	1180	1065	59.2%	22.0%	18.8%	+5.5	24
2024-08-31	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1065	1180	18.8%	22.0%	59.2%	-5.5	13
2024-08-31	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1054	1262	19.8%	22.2%	58.1%	+14.2	16
2024-08-31	@ Grotta	L 1-2	1262	1054	58.1%	22.2%	19.8%	-14.2	34
2024-08-31	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1101	1191	32.9%	23.5%	43.6%	+0.6	20
2024-08-31	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1191	1101	43.6%	23.5%	32.9%	-0.6	32
2024-09-07	Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1195	1260	36.3%	23.5%	40.1%	+0.2	32
2024-09-07	@ Njardvik	D 0-0	1260	1195	40.1%	23.5%	36.3%	-0.2	35
2024-09-08	Afturelding	W 2-0	1248	1257	44.3%	23.5%	32.3%	+17.5	37
2024-09-08	@ Fjolnir	L 0-2	1257	1248	32.3%	23.5%	44.3%	-17.5	33
2024-09-08	Dalvik Reynir	W 2-0	1101	1059	50.9%	23.1%	26.1%	+14.7	23
2024-09-08	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	1059	1101	26.1%	23.1%	50.9%	-14.7	13
2024-09-08	Grindavik	W 6-0	1345	1164	65.5%	20.6%	13.9%	+23.0	38
2024-09-08	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-6	1164	1345	13.9%	20.6%	65.5%	-23.0	25
2024-09-08	Grotta	W 2-1	1191	1068	59.9%	21.9%	18.2%	+5.4	35
2024-09-08	@ IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1068	1191	18.2%	21.9%	59.9%	-5.4	16
2024-09-08	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1214	1186	49.1%	23.2%	27.7%	-11.6	27
2024-09-08	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1186	1214	27.7%	23.2%	49.1%	+11.6	27
2024-09-14	Fjolnir	W 4-0	1260	1266	44.7%	23.4%	31.9%	+32.9	38
2024-09-14	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1266	1260	31.9%	23.4%	44.7%	-32.9	37
2024-09-14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1197	1368	23.4%	22.8%	53.9%	+1.8	28
2024-09-14	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1368	1197	53.9%	22.8%	23.4%	-1.8	39
2024-09-14	IR Reykjavik	W 3-0	1239	1196	51.0%	23.0%	25.9%	+21.3	36
2024-09-14	@ Afturelding	L 0-3	1196	1239	25.9%	23.0%	51.0%	-21.3	35
2024-09-14	Njardvik	D 2-2	1141	1195	37.8%	23.6%	38.6%	+0.0	26
2024-09-14	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1195	1141	38.6%	23.6%	37.8%	-0.0	33
2024-09-14	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1063	1116	38.0%	23.6%	38.5%	-10.0	16
2024-09-14	@ Grotta	W 2-1	1116	1063	38.5%	23.6%	38.0%	+10.0	26
2024-09-14	Throttur Reykjavik	L 2-5	1044	1202	24.8%	22.9%	52.3%	-14.9	13
2024-09-14	@ Dalvik Reynir	W 5-2	1202	1044	52.3%	22.9%	24.8%	+15.0	30

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2024-09-18	Keflavik IF	L 1-4	1175	1293	29.3%	23.3%	47.4%	-19.9	0-1
2024-09-18	@ IR Reykjavik	W 4-1	1293	1175	47.4%	23.3%	29.3%	+19.9	1-0
2024-09-19	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1261	1233	49.1%	23.2%	27.7%	+13.4	1-0
2024-09-19	@ Afturelding	L 1-3	1233	1261	27.7%	23.2%	49.1%	-13.4	0-1
2024-09-22	IR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1313	1155	63.3%	21.2%	15.5%	-14.6	1-1
2024-09-22	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1155	1313	15.5%	21.2%	63.3%	+14.6	1-1
2024-09-23	Afturelding	D 0-0	1219	1274	37.8%	23.6%	38.6%	+0.0	0-1-1
2024-09-23	@ Fjolnir	D 0-0	1274	1219	38.6%	23.6%	37.8%	-0.0	1-0-1
2024-09-28	Afturelding	L 0-1	1298	1274	41.7%	23.5%	34.8%	-11.4	1-2
2024-09-28	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1274	1298	34.8%	23.5%	41.7%	+11.4	2-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-09-22 *	15.50%	IR Reykjavik	1155	3	@ Keflavik IF	1313	2
2	2024-08-24	16.26%	Afturelding	1223	3	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1371	2
3	2024-06-20	16.45%	@ IR Reykjavik	1053	3	Fjolnir	1302	1
4	2024-05-03	19.66%	IR Reykjavik	1088	2	@ Keflavik IF	1194	1
5	2024-08-31	19.76%	@ Grotta	1054	2	Fjolnir	1262	1
6	2024-08-22	20.25%	IR Reykjavik	1177	2	@ Fjolnir	1276	1
7	2024-06-26	23.04%	Thor Akureyri	1123	3	@ Dalvik Reynir	1193	1
8	2024-06-26	23.06%	IR Reykjavik	1079	3	@ Grotta	1150	1
9	2024-07-04	23.52%	Grindavik	1157	1	@ Njardvik	1223	0
10	2024-05-03	25.19%	Njardvik	1161	2	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1211	1
11	2024-06-26	25.20%	@ Grindavik	1144	3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1298	1
12	2024-07-13	26.07%	Thor Akureyri	1159	3	@ Afturelding	1201	0
13	2024-06-30	26.41%	Afturelding	1210	5	@ Njardvik	1249	2
14	2024-05-09	26.94%	@ Thor Akureyri	1140	4	Afturelding	1279	2
15	2024-07-04	27.37%	@ IR Reykjavik	1102	3	Afturelding	1237	0
16	2024-06-15	27.67%	Grindavik	1113	3	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1142	2
17	2024-09-08	27.68%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1186	3	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1214	2
18	2024-07-11	28.35%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1189	2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1316	1
19	2024-06-30	29.65%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1158	1	@ Dalvik Reynir	1170	0
20	2024-08-24	30.06%	Grindavik	1110	7	@ Dalvik Reynir	1118	1
21	2024-06-22	30.59%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1130	2	@ Thor Akureyri	1134	1
22	2024-08-30	30.73%	@ Keflavik IF	1249	3	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1356	2
23	2024-07-20	31.90%	Throttur Reykjavik	1201	1	@ Thor Akureyri	1196	0
24	2024-06-20	32.72%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1265	3	@ Afturelding	1253	0
25	2024-05-21	33.12%	@ Keflavik IF	1171	3	Afturelding	1259	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-08-24	53.75	Grindavik	7	1110	30.06%	@ Dalvik Reynir	1	1118	46.59%	23.35%
2	2024-07-13	36.75	Thor Akureyri	3	1159	26.07%	@ Afturelding	0	1201	50.88%	23.05%
3	2024-06-05	36.70	@ Keflavik IF	5	1203	48.64%	Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1178	28.13%	23.23%
4	2024-07-04	35.85	@ IR Reykjavik	3	1102	27.37%	Afturelding	0	1237	49.46%	23.17%
5	2024-06-30	34.95	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	5	1275	50.37%	Keflavik IF	0	1237	26.53%	23.10%
6	2024-08-09	34.14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	5	1337	34.37%	@ Fjolnir	1	1312	42.11%	23.52%
7	2024-05-31	33.17	@ Throttur Reykjavik	5	1151	52.12%	IR Reykjavik	0	1098	24.94%	22.94%
8	2024-09-14	32.94	@ Keflavik IF	4	1260	44.70%	Fjolnir	0	1266	31.86%	23.44%
9	2024-06-20	32.37	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1265	32.72%	@ Afturelding	0	1253	43.80%	23.47%
10	2024-05-21	32.12	@ Keflavik IF	3	1171	33.12%	Afturelding	0	1259	43.40%	23.49%
11	2024-05-09	31.40	@ Njardvik	3	1174	34.30%	Dalvik Reynir	0	1254	42.18%	23.52%
12	2024-08-14	31.05	@ Grindavik	3	1079	34.87%	Thor Akureyri	0	1155	41.60%	23.53%
13	2024-06-13	29.37	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1236	37.70%	@ Grotta	0	1188	38.74%	23.56%
14	2024-07-30	28.59	Afturelding	3	1170	39.04%	@ Grindavik	0	1112	37.40%	23.56%
15	2024-07-12	27.51	@ IR Reykjavik	3	1138	40.86%	Grindavik	0	1172	35.59%	23.54%
16	2024-06-30	26.67	Afturelding	5	1210	26.41%	@ Njardvik	2	1249	50.51%	23.09%
17	2024-06-20	26.22	@ IR Reykjavik	3	1053	16.45%	Fjolnir	1	1302	62.12%	21.43%
18	2024-08-24	24.24	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	5	1156	49.48%	Thor Akureyri	1	1125	27.36%	23.17%
19	2024-07-18	23.46	Afturelding	4	1164	40.35%	@ Grotta	1	1098	36.10%	23.55%
20	2024-06-26	23.19	Thor Akureyri	3	1123	23.04%	@ Dalvik Reynir	1	1193	54.25%	22.71%
21	2024-06-26	23.19	IR Reykjavik	3	1079	23.06%	@ Grotta	1	1150	54.23%	22.71%
22	2024-07-27	23.07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1308	48.19%	@ Thor Akureyri	0	1184	28.55%	23.26%
23	2024-09-08	22.99	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	6	1345	65.45%	Grindavik	0	1164	13.91%	20.64%
24	2024-05-31	22.26	@ Njardvik	5	1216	52.36%	Thor Akureyri	1	1161	24.72%	22.92%
25	2024-06-26	22.26	@ Grindavik	3	1144	25.20%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1	1298	51.83%	22.97%