2023 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

IF Vestri

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

IA Akranes

13.46 points above expected

49 points · 35.54 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aegir

19.21 points below expected

9 points · 28.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	IA Akranes	22	15	4	3	49	54	31	+23	35.5	+13.46
2	Afturelding	22	13	4	5	43	60	33	+27	37.0	+5.96
3	Fjolnir	22	12	6	4	42	55	32	+23	38.2	+3.82
4	IF Vestri	22	11	6	5	39	37	26	+11	29.6	+9.45
5	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	11	2	9	35	47	37	+10	31.1	+3.95
6	Grindavik	22	8	4	10	28	27	38	-11	30.1	-2.07
7	Thor Akureyri	22	8	3	11	27	27	39	-12	26.1	+0.90
8	Throttur Reykjavik	22	7	5	10	26	45	46	-1	24.7	+1.34
9	Grotta	22	6	8	8	26	34	37	-3	32.4	-6.41
10	Njardvik	22	6	5	11	23	36	47	-11	25.6	-2.55
11	Selfoss	22	7	2	13	23	37	49	-12	27.0	-4.04
12	Aegir	22	2	3	17	9	23	67	-44	28.2	-19.21

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

IF Vestri 2

Fjolnir 1

Leg 1: IF Vestri 1-0 Fjolnir

Leg 2: Fjolnir 1-1 IF Vestri

Afturelding 5

Leiknir Reykjavik 1

Leg 1: Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 Afturelding

Leg 2: Afturelding 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik

Finals

IF Vestri 1

Afturelding 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
IA Akranes	1228	49	35.54	+13.46	99.1%	14	26	32	36	40	45	58
Fjolnir	1204	42	38.18	+3.82	76.1%	15	28	34	38	42	48	59
Afturelding	1187	43	37.04	+5.96	86.2%	13	27	33	37	41	47	59
IF Vestri	1186	39	29.55	+9.45	95.0%	7	20	25	29	34	40	52
Leiknir Reykjavik	1139	35	31.05	+3.95	76.9%	9	21	27	31	35	41	55
Throttur Reykjavik	1065	26	24.66	+1.34	63.2%	7	15	21	25	28	34	49
Grotta	1065	26	32.41	-6.41	16.4%	11	23	28	32	36	42	54
Njardvik	1041	23	25.55	-2.55	36.9%	6	16	22	26	30	35	46
Selfoss	1019	23	27.04	-4.04	28.5%	8	17	23	27	31	37	52
Thor Akureyri	1015	27	26.10	+0.90	60.0%	8	17	22	26	30	36	48
Grindavik	995	28	30.07	-2.07	39.9%	8	20	26	30	34	40	53
Aegir	895	9	28.21	-19.21	0.0%	8	19	24	28	32	38	50

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AEG	AFT	FJO	GRI	GRO	IA	IV	LR	NJA	SEL	TA	TR
Aegir	—	0-0-2 1.73	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.57	0-1-1 2.27	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 1.92	1-1-0 3.24	0-0-2 3.06	0-0-2 3.04	0-1-1 3.37
Afturelding	2-0-0 3.86	—	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 3.06	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 3.50	0-1-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.61	2-0-0 3.32	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 3.75
Fjolnir	2-0-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.89	—	2-0-0 3.55	0-2-0 3.41	1-0-1 3.20	0-1-1 3.66	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.97	1-0-1 3.70	2-0-0 3.63	0-2-0 3.83
Grindavik	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.00	—	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.92	0-1-1 3.14	0-0-2 3.16
Grotta	1-1-0 3.25	0-1-1 2.49	0-2-0 2.12	1-1-0 2.85	—	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.61	0-1-1 3.40
IA Akranes	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.40	—	0-2-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.47	2-0-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.69
IF Vestri	1-0-1 3.34	0-1-1 2.04	1-1-0 1.90	0-1-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.31	0-2-0 2.36	—	2-0-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 3.05
Leiknir Reykjavik	2-0-0 3.62	1-1-0 1.98	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.91	—	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.10
Njardvik	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 1.93	0-1-1 1.60	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.82	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.54	—	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.80	2-0-0 2.80
Selfoss	2-0-0 2.48	0-0-2 2.25	1-0-1 1.87	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.33	0-0-2 2.09	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.78	—	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.06
Thor Akureyri	2-0-0 2.47	0-0-2 2.11	0-0-2 1.91	1-1-0 2.39	1-0-1 1.93	0-0-2 1.76	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.64	—	1-0-1 2.98
Throttur Reykjavik	1-1-0 2.15	1-0-1 1.81	0-2-0 1.73	2-0-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.85	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.42	0-0-2 2.72	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.53	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	0.76%	6.82%	3.03%	2.27%	1.14%	2.27%	16.29%
1	6.82%	7.58%	8.33%	5.30%	1.52%	1.52%	31.06%
2	3.03%	8.33%	9.85%	3.03%	1.89%	1.14%	27.27%
3	2.27%	5.30%	3.03%	1.52%	1.14%	0.76%	14.02%
4	1.14%	1.52%	1.89%	1.14%	—	—	5.68%
5+	2.27%	1.52%	1.14%	0.76%	—	—	5.68%
Total	16.29%	31.06%	27.27%	14.02%	5.68%	5.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.137
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	27.27%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	13.64%	18.18%	31.82%	9.09%	22.73%	100%

Aegir — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	3.05
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	4.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.146
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Afturelding — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.73
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	2.12
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.190
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Fjolnir — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	1.45
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.024
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	2.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.172
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	—	100%

Grotta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.55
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.006
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
5+	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	27.27%	31.82%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.45
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.161
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	31.82%	4.55%	—	—	100%

IF Vestri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	1.18
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	2.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.449
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Leiknir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.14
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.200
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	31.82%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Njardvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.020
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Selfoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.90
Mean total goals/game	3.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.098
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.73%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	50.00%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.336
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	—	9.09%	100%

Throttur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.05
Mean allowed	2.09
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	4.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.054
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IA Akranes	49	35.5	+13.46
2	IF Vestri	39	29.6	+9.45
3	Afturelding	43	37.0	+5.96
4	Leiknir Reykjavik	35	31.1	+3.95
5	Fjolnir	42	38.2	+3.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aegir	9	28.2	-19.21
2	Grotta	26	32.4	-6.41
3	Selfoss	23	27.0	-4.04
4	Njardvik	23	25.6	-2.55
5	Grindavik	28	30.1	-2.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leiknir Reykjavik	6	Jul 12 – Aug 11	1 in 266
2	IF Vestri	5	Aug 20 – Sep 16	1 in 95
3	Njardvik	4	Jul 29 – Aug 16	1 in 84
4	IA Akranes	5	Jun 9 – Jul 7	1 in 54
5	Selfoss	3	Jul 25 – Aug 2	1 in 42

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aegir	6	May 21 – Jun 22	1 in 1,145
2	Leiknir Reykjavik	4	May 12 – Jun 2	1 in 64
3	Selfoss	5	Jun 16 – Jul 21	1 in 61
4	Grindavik	4	Jul 16 – Jul 29	1 in 35
5	Afturelding	2	Aug 26 – Aug 31	1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Afturelding	13	May 5 – Jul 21	1 in 193
2	IA Akranes	8	Jun 9 – Jul 28	1 in 30
3	IF Vestri	6	Jul 8 – Aug 8	1 in 20
4	Fjolnir	8	May 5 – Jun 24	1 in 18
5	Leiknir Reykjavik	6	Jul 12 – Aug 11	1 in 15

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Grotta	9	Jul 25 – Sep 1	1 in 75
2	Grindavik	7	Jun 30 – Aug 2	1 in 44
3	Afturelding	4	Jul 28 – Aug 16	1 in 33
4	Aegir	10	Jul 21 – Sep 16	1 in 28
5	Njardvik	9	Jun 3 – Jul 21	1 in 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
IA Akranes	17.42%	18.45%	15.79%	12.88%	10.18%	7.61%	5.85%	4.55%	3.25%	2.08%	1.29%	0.65%
Afturelding	25.88%	21.06%	15.60%	11.40%	8.34%	6.18%	4.02%	2.96%	2.09%	1.29%	0.69%	0.49%
Fjolnir	32.98%	21.07%	14.40%	10.74%	7.13%	4.79%	3.42%	2.13%	1.60%	0.83%	0.68%	0.23%
IF Vestri	3.24%	5.30%	7.78%	9.13%	10.26%	11.15%	10.93%	10.38%	9.99%	9.07%	7.18%	5.59%
Leiknir Reykjavik	4.86%	7.84%	9.84%	11.76%	11.22%	11.47%	9.87%	9.52%	8.14%	6.64%	5.18%	3.66%
Grindavik	3.55%	5.90%	7.61%	8.71%	10.62%	10.30%	10.88%	10.95%	9.63%	8.62%	7.57%	5.66%
Thor Akureyri	0.90%	1.98%	3.13%	4.50%	6.02%	6.89%	8.49%	10.23%	12.03%	13.14%	15.57%	17.12%
Throttur Reykjavik	0.31%	1.31%	2.30%	3.15%	4.65%	5.61%	7.84%	9.60%	11.89%	14.84%	16.69%	21.81%
Grotta	6.97%	9.74%	11.79%	12.55%	11.73%	11.06%	9.83%	7.93%	6.91%	5.02%	4.10%	2.37%
Njardvik	0.80%	1.50%	2.76%	3.90%	5.16%	6.69%	8.83%	10.09%	11.60%	14.02%	15.88%	18.77%
Selfoss	1.40%	2.65%	3.96%	5.08%	6.55%	8.79%	10.05%	10.37%	11.66%	12.56%	13.55%	13.38%
Aegir	1.69%	3.20%	5.04%	6.20%	8.14%	9.46%	9.99%	11.29%	11.21%	11.89%	11.62%	10.27%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Semifinals

IF Vestri 2

Fjolnir 1

Leg 1: IF Vestri 1-0 Fjolnir

Leg 2: Fjolnir 1-1 IF Vestri

Afturelding 5

Leiknir Reykjavik 1

Leg 1: Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 Afturelding

Leg 2: Afturelding 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik

Finals

IF Vestri 1

Afturelding 0

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Fjolnir	54.0%	45.0%	0.9%
Afturelding	46.9%	51.9%	1.2%
IA Akranes	35.9%	62.2%	1.9%
Grotta	16.7%	76.8%	6.5%
Leiknir Reykjavik	12.7%	78.5%	8.8%
Grindavik	9.4%	77.3%	13.2%
IF Vestri	8.5%	78.7%	12.8%
Aegir	4.9%	73.2%	21.9%
Selfoss	4.0%	69.0%	26.9%
Thor Akureyri	2.9%	64.4%	32.7%
Njardvik	2.3%	63.0%	34.6%
Throttur Reykjavik	1.6%	59.9%	38.5%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2023-05-05	Fjolnir	L 0-1	1174	1123	53.5%	23.0%	23.4%	-13.8	0
2023-05-05	@ Aegir	W 1-0	1123	1174	23.4%	23.0%	53.5%	+13.8	3
2023-05-05	Njardvik	D 1-1	1110	1068	52.5%	23.2%	24.3%	-1.6	1
2023-05-05	@ Grotta	D 1-1	1068	1110	24.3%	23.2%	52.5%	+1.6	1
2023-05-05	Grindavik	L 0-2	1109	1088	49.8%	23.7%	26.6%	-24.5	0
2023-05-05	@ IA Akranes	W 2-0	1088	1109	26.6%	23.7%	49.8%	+24.5	3
2023-05-05	Afturelding	L 1-3	1058	1057	47.1%	24.0%	28.9%	-20.3	0
2023-05-05	@ Selfoss	W 3-1	1057	1058	28.9%	24.0%	47.1%	+20.3	3
2023-05-05	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1028	1081	39.7%	24.5%	35.9%	-17.7	0
2023-05-05	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1081	1028	35.9%	24.5%	39.7%	+17.7	3
2023-05-06	IF Vestri	W 2-1	1077	1065	48.7%	23.8%	27.5%	+7.6	3
2023-05-06	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1065	1077	27.5%	23.8%	48.7%	-7.6	0
2023-05-11	Throttur Reykjavik	D 3-3	1137	1010	62.2%	20.8%	17.0%	-1.7	4
2023-05-11	@ Fjolnir	D 3-3	1010	1137	17.0%	20.8%	62.2%	+1.7	1
2023-05-11	Aegir	D 2-2	1070	1160	34.5%	24.4%	41.1%	+0.3	2
2023-05-11	@ Njardvik	D 2-2	1160	1070	41.1%	24.4%	34.5%	-0.3	1
2023-05-12	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1077	1085	46.1%	24.1%	29.8%	+8.7	6
2023-05-12	@ Afturelding	L 0-1	1085	1077	29.8%	24.1%	46.1%	-8.7	3
2023-05-12	Grotta	D 0-0	1113	1109	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	-1.2	4
2023-05-12	@ Grindavik	D 0-0	1109	1113	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	+1.2	2
2023-05-12	Selfoss	L 2-3	1099	1038	54.8%	22.8%	22.4%	-12.6	3
2023-05-12	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1038	1099	22.4%	22.8%	54.8%	+12.6	3
2023-05-13	IA Akranes	D 2-2	1057	1084	43.4%	24.3%	32.3%	-0.5	1
2023-05-13	@ IF Vestri	D 2-2	1084	1057	32.3%	24.3%	43.4%	+0.5	1
2023-05-20	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1076	1086	45.7%	24.1%	30.2%	+8.7	6
2023-05-20	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-1	1086	1076	30.2%	24.1%	45.7%	-8.7	3
2023-05-21	IF Vestri	D 2-2	1110	1057	53.8%	23.0%	23.2%	-1.3	3
2023-05-21	@ Grotta	D 2-2	1057	1110	23.2%	23.0%	53.8%	+1.3	2
2023-05-21	Fjolnir	L 1-2	1050	1135	35.2%	24.4%	40.4%	-9.3	3
2023-05-21	@ Selfoss	W 2-1	1135	1050	40.4%	24.4%	35.2%	+9.3	7
2023-05-21	Aegir	W 3-1	1012	1160	27.3%	23.8%	48.9%	+20.9	4
2023-05-21	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1160	1012	48.9%	23.8%	27.3%	-20.9	1
2023-05-22	Njardvik	W 1-0	1111	1070	52.4%	23.2%	24.4%	+7.3	7
2023-05-22	@ Grindavik	L 0-1	1070	1111	24.4%	23.2%	52.4%	-7.3	2
2023-05-22	Afturelding	D 1-1	1085	1086	46.9%	24.0%	29.1%	-1.0	2
2023-05-22	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1086	1085	29.1%	24.0%	46.9%	+1.0	7
2023-05-26	Selfoss	L 1-3	1139	1041	59.1%	21.7%	19.2%	-24.5	1
2023-05-26	@ Aegir	W 3-1	1041	1139	19.2%	21.7%	59.1%	+24.5	6
2023-05-26	Thor Akureyri	W 6-0	1144	1085	54.6%	22.8%	22.6%	+35.6	10
2023-05-26	@ Fjolnir	L 0-6	1085	1144	22.6%	22.8%	54.6%	-35.6	6
2023-05-26	Afturelding	L 2-3	1109	1087	49.9%	23.6%	26.5%	-11.6	3
2023-05-26	@ Grotta	W 3-2	1087	1109	26.5%	23.6%	49.9%	+11.6	10
2023-05-26	IA Akranes	L 2-3	1078	1084	46.2%	24.1%	29.7%	-10.9	3
2023-05-26	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1084	1078	29.7%	24.1%	46.2%	+10.9	5
2023-05-26	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1063	1033	50.9%	23.5%	25.6%	+12.4	5
2023-05-26	@ Njardvik	L 1-3	1033	1063	25.6%	23.5%	50.9%	-12.4	4
2023-05-27	Grindavik	L 0-2	1058	1119	38.6%	24.5%	36.9%	-20.0	2
2023-05-27	@ IF Vestri	W 2-0	1119	1058	36.9%	24.5%	38.6%	+20.0	10
2023-06-01	Afturelding	L 0-3	1139	1099	52.2%	23.3%	24.5%	-37.0	10
2023-06-01	@ Grindavik	W 3-0	1099	1139	24.5%	23.3%	52.2%	+37.0	13
2023-06-01	Fjolnir	L 1-2	1095	1180	35.1%	24.4%	40.4%	-9.3	5
2023-06-01	@ IA Akranes	W 2-1	1180	1095	40.4%	24.4%	35.1%	+9.3	13
2023-06-01	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1065	1021	52.8%	23.2%	24.0%	+6.8	9
2023-06-01	@ Selfoss	L 1-2	1021	1065	24.0%	23.2%	52.8%	-6.8	4
2023-06-02	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 5-1	1097	1067	51.0%	23.5%	25.5%	+22.6	6
2023-06-02	@ Grotta	L 1-5	1067	1097	25.5%	23.5%	51.0%	-22.6	3
2023-06-02	Aegir	W 3-1	1049	1114	38.0%	24.5%	37.5%	+16.9	9
2023-06-02	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1114	1049	37.5%	24.5%	38.0%	-16.9	1
2023-06-03	Njardvik	W 2-0	1038	1075	41.9%	24.4%	33.7%	+18.0	5
2023-06-03	@ IF Vestri	L 0-2	1075	1038	33.7%	24.4%	41.9%	-18.0	5
2023-06-08	Grotta	D 2-2	1189	1120	55.8%	22.5%	21.6%	-1.5	14
2023-06-08	@ Fjolnir	D 2-2	1120	1189	21.6%	22.5%	55.8%	+1.5	7
2023-06-08	Selfoss	D 1-1	1057	1072	45.0%	24.2%	30.8%	-0.8	6
2023-06-08	@ Njardvik	D 1-1	1072	1057	30.8%	24.2%	45.0%	+0.8	10
2023-06-09	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1097	1085	48.6%	23.8%	27.6%	-12.7	1
2023-06-09	@ Aegir	W 1-0	1085	1097	27.6%	23.8%	48.6%	+12.7	8
2023-06-10	IF Vestri	W 3-1	1136	1056	57.0%	22.3%	20.8%	+10.2	16
2023-06-10	@ Afturelding	L 1-3	1056	1136	20.8%	22.3%	57.0%	-10.2	5
2023-06-10	Grindavik	D 2-2	1044	1102	39.0%	24.5%	36.5%	-0.1	4
2023-06-10	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1102	1044	36.5%	24.5%	39.0%	+0.1	11
2023-06-10	Thor Akureyri	W 3-0	1014	1066	39.8%	24.4%	35.8%	+27.4	7
2023-06-10	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-3	1066	1014	35.8%	24.4%	39.8%	-27.4	9
2023-06-15	Fjolnir	L 0-1	1102	1188	35.0%	24.4%	40.5%	-9.8	11
2023-06-15	@ Grindavik	W 1-0	1188	1102	40.5%	24.4%	35.0%	+9.8	17
2023-06-15	Aegir	W 2-1	1121	1085	51.8%	23.4%	24.9%	+7.0	10
2023-06-15	@ Grotta	L 1-2	1085	1121	24.9%	23.4%	51.8%	-7.0	1
2023-06-16	Njardvik	W 7-2	1146	1057	58.1%	22.0%	19.9%	+18.4	19
2023-06-16	@ Afturelding	L 2-7	1057	1146	19.9%	22.0%	58.1%	-18.4	6
2023-06-16	Throttur Reykjavik	W 6-3	1098	1041	54.3%	22.9%	22.8%	+12.7	11
2023-06-16	@ IA Akranes	L 3-6	1041	1098	22.8%	22.9%	54.3%	-12.7	7
2023-06-16	Selfoss	W 2-1	1039	1073	42.4%	24.4%	33.3%	+8.9	12
2023-06-16	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1073	1039	33.3%	24.4%	42.4%	-8.9	10
2023-06-22	Grindavik	L 1-3	1078	1092	45.1%	24.2%	30.7%	-19.5	1
2023-06-22	@ Aegir	W 3-1	1092	1078	30.7%	24.2%	45.1%	+19.5	14
2023-06-22	Grotta	W 2-1	1029	1128	33.2%	24.4%	42.4%	+10.8	10
2023-06-22	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1128	1029	42.4%	24.4%	33.2%	-10.8	10
2023-06-23	Afturelding	D 2-2	1044	1164	30.5%	24.2%	45.3%	+0.6	5
2023-06-23	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1164	1044	45.3%	24.2%	30.5%	-0.6	20
2023-06-23	IA Akranes	L 3-4	1064	1111	40.6%	24.4%	35.0%	-9.6	10
2023-06-23	@ Selfoss	W 4-3	1111	1064	35.0%	24.4%	40.6%	+9.6	14
2023-06-24	IF Vestri	D 1-1	1198	1046	64.9%	19.8%	15.3%	-3.0	18
2023-06-24	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1046	1198	15.3%	19.8%	64.9%	+3.0	6
2023-06-24	Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	1038	1048	45.7%	24.1%	30.1%	-0.7	7
2023-06-24	@ Njardvik	D 2-2	1048	1038	30.1%	24.1%	45.7%	+0.7	13
2023-06-28	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1049	1045	47.6%	23.9%	28.4%	+8.3	9
2023-06-28	@ IF Vestri	L 0-1	1045	1049	28.4%	23.9%	47.6%	-8.3	5
2023-06-28	Selfoss	W 1-0	1117	1054	55.0%	22.7%	22.3%	+6.7	13
2023-06-28	@ Grotta	L 0-1	1054	1117	22.3%	22.7%	55.0%	-6.7	10
2023-06-29	Fjolnir	W 4-3	1164	1195	42.8%	24.3%	32.8%	+8.2	23
2023-06-29	@ Afturelding	L 3-4	1195	1164	32.8%	24.3%	42.8%	-8.2	18
2023-06-29	Thor Akureyri	W 4-0	1120	1048	56.1%	22.5%	21.4%	+23.1	17
2023-06-29	@ IA Akranes	L 0-4	1048	1120	21.4%	22.5%	56.1%	-23.1	13
2023-06-30	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1112	1039	56.1%	22.5%	21.4%	-13.5	14
2023-06-30	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1039	1112	21.4%	22.5%	56.1%	+13.5	13
2023-07-02	Aegir	L 1-2	1057	1058	46.9%	24.0%	29.1%	-11.7	9
2023-07-02	@ IF Vestri	W 2-1	1058	1057	29.1%	24.0%	46.9%	+11.7	4
2023-07-02	Njardvik	W 3-0	1036	1038	46.9%	24.0%	29.1%	+23.2	8
2023-07-02	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-3	1038	1036	29.1%	24.0%	46.9%	-23.2	7
2023-07-06	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 4-1	1186	1059	62.3%	20.7%	17.0%	+11.9	21
2023-07-06	@ Fjolnir	L 1-4	1059	1186	17.0%	20.7%	62.3%	-11.9	8
2023-07-07	Afturelding	L 1-4	1070	1172	32.9%	24.3%	42.8%	-21.6	4
2023-07-07	@ Aegir	W 4-1	1172	1070	42.8%	24.3%	32.9%	+21.6	26
2023-07-07	Njardvik	W 2-1	1144	1014	62.5%	20.6%	16.8%	+4.8	20
2023-07-07	@ IA Akranes	L 1-2	1014	1144	16.8%	20.6%	62.5%	-4.8	7
2023-07-08	IF Vestri	L 1-2	1053	1046	48.0%	23.9%	28.1%	-11.9	13
2023-07-08	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1046	1053	28.1%	23.9%	48.0%	+11.9	12
2023-07-12	Throttur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1194	1041	65.0%	19.8%	15.3%	+4.6	29
2023-07-12	@ Afturelding	L 0-1	1041	1194	15.3%	19.8%	65.0%	-4.6	13
2023-07-12	Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1098	1025	56.2%	22.5%	21.4%	-2.0	15
2023-07-12	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1025	1098	21.4%	22.5%	56.2%	+2.0	14
2023-07-12	Aegir	W 3-2	1048	1048	47.0%	24.0%	29.0%	+7.6	11
2023-07-12	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1048	1048	29.0%	24.0%	47.0%	-7.6	4
2023-07-12	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1009	1198	22.9%	22.9%	54.1%	+1.8	8
2023-07-12	@ Njardvik	D 1-1	1198	1009	54.1%	22.9%	22.9%	-1.8	22
2023-07-16	Njardvik	W 1-0	1041	1011	50.8%	23.5%	25.7%	+7.6	7
2023-07-16	@ Aegir	L 0-1	1011	1041	25.7%	23.5%	50.8%	-7.6	8
2023-07-16	Grindavik	W 2-0	1124	1096	50.7%	23.5%	25.8%	+14.4	16
2023-07-16	@ Grotta	L 0-2	1096	1124	25.8%	23.5%	50.7%	-14.4	15
2023-07-16	IF Vestri	D 1-1	1148	1057	58.3%	21.9%	19.8%	-2.3	21
2023-07-16	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1057	1148	19.8%	21.9%	58.3%	+2.3	13
2023-07-16	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-4	1048	1055	46.1%	24.1%	29.8%	-17.8	10
2023-07-16	@ Selfoss	W 4-2	1055	1048	29.8%	24.1%	46.1%	+17.8	14
2023-07-16	Afturelding	L 1-3	1027	1198	24.8%	23.3%	51.9%	-12.1	14
2023-07-16	@ Thor Akureyri	W 3-1	1198	1027	51.9%	23.3%	24.8%	+12.1	32
2023-07-16	Fjolnir	D 2-2	1036	1197	25.9%	23.5%	50.6%	+1.1	14
2023-07-16	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1197	1036	50.6%	23.5%	25.9%	-1.1	23
2023-07-20	Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1073	1037	51.6%	23.4%	25.0%	+6.6	17
2023-07-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-3	1037	1073	25.0%	23.4%	51.6%	-6.7	14
2023-07-21	Selfoss	W 9-0	1210	1030	67.7%	18.7%	13.6%	+31.2	35
2023-07-21	@ Afturelding	L 0-9	1030	1210	13.6%	18.7%	67.7%	-31.2	10
2023-07-21	Aegir	W 5-1	1196	1048	64.4%	20.0%	15.6%	+14.0	26
2023-07-21	@ Fjolnir	L 1-5	1048	1196	15.6%	20.0%	64.4%	-14.0	7
2023-07-21	IA Akranes	L 0-2	1082	1146	38.0%	24.5%	37.5%	-19.8	15
2023-07-21	@ Grindavik	W 2-0	1146	1082	37.5%	24.5%	38.0%	+19.8	24
2023-07-21	Grotta	L 1-3	1004	1138	28.8%	24.0%	47.2%	-13.7	8
2023-07-21	@ Njardvik	W 3-1	1138	1004	47.2%	24.0%	28.8%	+13.7	19
2023-07-22	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1060	1015	52.8%	23.2%	24.1%	+7.2	16
2023-07-22	@ IF Vestri	L 0-1	1015	1060	24.1%	23.2%	52.8%	-7.2	14
2023-07-25	Grindavik	W 2-0	999	1062	38.3%	24.5%	37.2%	+19.4	13
2023-07-25	@ Selfoss	L 0-2	1062	999	37.2%	24.5%	38.3%	-19.4	15
2023-07-25	Grotta	W 3-1	1008	1152	27.7%	23.8%	48.5%	+20.7	17
2023-07-25	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1152	1008	48.5%	23.8%	27.7%	-20.7	19
2023-07-27	Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1034	1031	47.5%	23.9%	28.6%	-0.8	8
2023-07-27	@ Aegir	D 2-2	1031	1034	28.6%	23.9%	47.5%	+0.8	15
2023-07-28	IA Akranes	L 2-5	1241	1166	56.5%	22.4%	21.1%	-28.9	35
2023-07-28	@ Afturelding	W 5-2	1166	1241	21.1%	22.4%	56.5%	+28.9	27
2023-07-29	Selfoss	L 2-4	1210	1018	68.8%	18.2%	13.0%	-24.8	26
2023-07-29	@ Fjolnir	W 4-2	1018	1210	13.0%	18.2%	68.8%	+24.8	16
2023-07-29	Grotta	W 3-0	1067	1131	38.1%	24.5%	37.5%	+28.3	19
2023-07-29	@ IF Vestri	L 0-3	1131	1067	37.5%	24.5%	38.1%	-28.4	19
2023-07-29	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1080	1029	53.5%	23.0%	23.4%	+7.0	20
2023-07-29	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1029	1080	23.4%	23.0%	53.5%	-7.0	17
2023-07-29	Grindavik	W 4-1	990	1042	39.8%	24.4%	35.8%	+23.1	11
2023-07-29	@ Njardvik	L 1-4	1042	990	35.8%	24.4%	39.8%	-23.1	15
2023-08-02	Grotta	D 1-1	1213	1103	60.4%	21.3%	18.3%	-2.5	36
2023-08-02	@ Afturelding	D 1-1	1103	1213	18.3%	21.3%	60.4%	+2.5	20
2023-08-02	IF Vestri	D 1-1	1019	1095	36.4%	24.5%	39.1%	+0.1	16
2023-08-02	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1095	1019	39.1%	24.5%	36.4%	-0.1	20
2023-08-02	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-5	1195	1087	60.2%	21.4%	18.4%	-45.5	27
2023-08-02	@ IA Akranes	W 5-1	1087	1195	18.4%	21.4%	60.2%	+45.5	23
2023-08-02	Aegir	W 3-1	1043	1033	48.3%	23.8%	27.8%	+13.3	19
2023-08-02	@ Selfoss	L 1-3	1033	1043	27.8%	23.8%	48.3%	-13.3	8
2023-08-02	Fjolnir	L 0-1	1022	1185	25.6%	23.5%	50.9%	-7.6	17
2023-08-02	@ Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1185	1022	50.9%	23.5%	25.6%	+7.6	29
2023-08-02	Njardvik	L 3-5	1032	1013	49.5%	23.7%	26.8%	-17.8	15
2023-08-02	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 5-3	1013	1032	26.8%	23.7%	49.5%	+17.8	14
2023-08-08	IA Akranes	L 1-3	1106	1149	41.0%	24.4%	34.6%	-18.1	20
2023-08-08	@ Grotta	W 3-1	1149	1106	34.6%	24.4%	41.0%	+18.1	30
2023-08-08	Selfoss	W 2-1	1095	1056	52.1%	23.3%	24.6%	+6.9	23
2023-08-08	@ IF Vestri	L 1-2	1056	1095	24.6%	23.3%	52.1%	-6.9	19
2023-08-10	Grindavik	L 1-2	1210	1019	68.7%	18.3%	13.0%	-16.0	36
2023-08-10	@ Afturelding	W 2-1	1019	1210	13.0%	18.3%	68.7%	+16.0	19
2023-08-11	Thor Akureyri	L 2-3	1020	1014	47.8%	23.9%	28.3%	-11.2	8
2023-08-11	@ Aegir	W 3-2	1014	1020	28.3%	23.9%	47.8%	+11.2	20
2023-08-11	IA Akranes	L 0-1	1192	1167	50.3%	23.6%	26.1%	-13.1	29
2023-08-11	@ Fjolnir	W 1-0	1167	1192	26.1%	23.6%	50.3%	+13.1	33
2023-08-11	Grotta	W 2-1	1132	1087	52.8%	23.2%	24.0%	+6.8	26
2023-08-11	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1087	1132	24.0%	23.2%	52.8%	-6.8	20
2023-08-12	IF Vestri	W 2-0	1031	1102	37.1%	24.5%	38.4%	+19.9	17
2023-08-12	@ Njardvik	L 0-2	1102	1031	38.4%	24.5%	37.1%	-19.9	23
2023-08-12	Selfoss	W 4-3	1014	1049	42.2%	24.4%	33.5%	+8.3	18
2023-08-12	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 3-4	1049	1014	33.5%	24.4%	42.2%	-8.3	19
2023-08-16	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1035	1139	32.7%	24.3%	43.0%	+11.5	22
2023-08-16	@ Grindavik	L 0-1	1139	1035	43.0%	24.3%	32.7%	-11.5	26
2023-08-16	Fjolnir	D 3-3	1081	1179	33.3%	24.4%	42.3%	+0.3	21
2023-08-16	@ Grotta	D 3-3	1179	1081	42.3%	24.4%	33.3%	-0.3	30
2023-08-16	Aegir	W 4-0	1181	1009	66.9%	19.0%	14.1%	+15.1	36
2023-08-16	@ IA Akranes	L 0-4	1009	1181	14.1%	19.0%	66.9%	-15.1	8
2023-08-16	Afturelding	D 2-2	1082	1194	31.6%	24.2%	44.1%	+0.5	24
2023-08-16	@ IF Vestri	D 2-2	1194	1082	44.1%	24.2%	31.6%	-0.5	37
2023-08-16	Njardvik	L 2-3	1041	1051	45.7%	24.1%	30.1%	-10.8	19
2023-08-16	@ Selfoss	W 3-2	1051	1041	30.1%	24.1%	45.7%	+10.8	20
2023-08-16	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1025	1022	47.5%	23.9%	28.5%	+7.9	23
2023-08-16	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1022	1025	28.5%	23.9%	47.5%	-7.9	18
2023-08-20	IF Vestri	L 1-2	1127	1083	52.8%	23.2%	24.0%	-12.9	26
2023-08-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1083	1127	24.0%	23.2%	52.8%	+12.9	27
2023-08-20	Afturelding	L 1-2	1062	1194	29.1%	24.0%	46.9%	-8.0	20
2023-08-20	@ Njardvik	W 2-1	1194	1062	46.9%	24.0%	29.1%	+8.0	40
2023-08-20	Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	1030	1033	46.6%	24.0%	29.3%	-0.7	20
2023-08-20	@ Selfoss	D 2-2	1033	1030	29.3%	24.0%	46.6%	+0.7	24
2023-08-20	IA Akranes	D 1-1	1014	1196	23.7%	23.1%	53.2%	+1.7	19
2023-08-20	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1196	1014	53.2%	23.1%	23.7%	-1.7	37
2023-08-21	Grotta	D 2-2	994	1081	34.8%	24.4%	40.7%	+0.2	9
2023-08-21	@ Aegir	D 2-2	1081	994	40.7%	24.4%	34.8%	-0.2	22
2023-08-21	Grindavik	W 5-1	1179	1047	62.8%	20.5%	16.6%	+15.0	33
2023-08-21	@ Fjolnir	L 1-5	1047	1179	16.6%	20.5%	62.8%	-15.0	22
2023-08-25	Aegir	W 7-2	1032	994	52.0%	23.3%	24.7%	+22.5	25
2023-08-25	@ Grindavik	L 2-7	994	1032	24.7%	23.3%	52.0%	-22.5	9
2023-08-25	Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1081	1016	55.3%	22.7%	22.1%	-1.5	23
2023-08-25	@ Grotta	D 2-2	1016	1081	22.1%	22.7%	55.3%	+1.4	20
2023-08-25	Selfoss	W 1-0	1194	1030	66.1%	19.3%	14.5%	+4.4	40
2023-08-25	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1030	1194	14.5%	19.3%	66.1%	-4.4	20
2023-08-25	Njardvik	L 0-3	1034	1054	44.4%	24.2%	31.4%	-32.4	24
2023-08-25	@ Thor Akureyri	W 3-0	1054	1034	31.4%	24.2%	44.4%	+32.4	23
2023-08-26	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1202	1114	57.8%	22.1%	20.1%	-27.8	40
2023-08-26	@ Afturelding	W 2-0	1114	1202	20.1%	22.1%	57.8%	+27.8	29
2023-08-26	Fjolnir	W 3-1	1096	1194	33.4%	24.4%	42.3%	+18.6	30
2023-08-26	@ IF Vestri	L 1-3	1194	1096	42.3%	24.4%	33.4%	-18.6	33
2023-08-31	Afturelding	W 4-2	1175	1174	47.3%	24.0%	28.8%	+12.3	36
2023-08-31	@ Fjolnir	L 2-4	1174	1175	28.8%	24.0%	47.3%	-12.3	40
2023-08-31	Grindavik	W 5-0	1017	1054	41.9%	24.4%	33.7%	+42.0	23
2023-08-31	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-5	1054	1017	33.7%	24.4%	41.9%	-42.1	25
2023-09-01	Grotta	W 1-0	1025	1079	39.6%	24.5%	36.0%	+10.0	23
2023-09-01	@ Selfoss	L 0-1	1079	1025	36.0%	24.5%	39.6%	-10.0	23
2023-09-02	IF Vestri	L 0-5	971	1114	27.9%	23.9%	48.3%	-36.0	9
2023-09-02	@ Aegir	W 5-0	1114	971	48.3%	23.9%	27.9%	+36.0	33
2023-09-02	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 2-4	1086	1142	39.2%	24.5%	36.3%	-15.7	23
2023-09-02	@ Njardvik	W 4-2	1142	1086	36.3%	24.5%	39.2%	+15.7	32
2023-09-02	IA Akranes	L 2-3	1002	1198	22.2%	22.7%	55.1%	-6.0	24
2023-09-02	@ Thor Akureyri	W 3-2	1198	1002	55.1%	22.7%	22.2%	+6.0	43
2023-09-09	Aegir	W 5-0	1161	935	72.0%	16.8%	11.2%	+14.4	43
2023-09-09	@ Afturelding	L 0-5	935	1161	11.2%	16.8%	72.0%	-14.4	9
2023-09-09	Selfoss	W 2-1	1012	1035	43.9%	24.3%	31.8%	+8.6	28
2023-09-09	@ Grindavik	L 1-2	1035	1012	31.8%	24.3%	43.9%	-8.6	23
2023-09-09	Thor Akureyri	W 1-0	1069	996	56.3%	22.4%	21.3%	+6.4	26
2023-09-09	@ Grotta	L 0-1	996	1069	21.3%	22.4%	56.3%	-6.4	24
2023-09-09	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1150	1059	58.3%	21.9%	19.8%	+5.6	36
2023-09-09	@ IF Vestri	L 1-2	1059	1150	19.8%	21.9%	58.3%	-5.6	23
2023-09-09	Fjolnir	L 1-2	1158	1188	43.0%	24.3%	32.7%	-10.9	32
2023-09-09	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1188	1158	32.7%	24.3%	43.0%	+10.9	39
2023-09-09	IA Akranes	L 2-4	1070	1204	28.9%	24.0%	47.1%	-12.3	23
2023-09-09	@ Njardvik	W 4-2	1204	1070	47.1%	24.0%	28.9%	+12.3	46
2023-09-16	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-5	921	1147	19.6%	21.9%	58.5%	-26.2	9
2023-09-16	@ Aegir	W 5-0	1147	921	58.5%	21.9%	19.6%	+26.2	35
2023-09-16	Njardvik	W 4-0	1199	1058	63.7%	20.2%	16.1%	+17.3	42
2023-09-16	@ Fjolnir	L 0-4	1058	1199	16.1%	20.2%	63.7%	-17.4	23
2023-09-16	Grotta	W 4-1	1217	1076	63.7%	20.2%	16.0%	+11.2	49
2023-09-16	@ IA Akranes	L 1-4	1076	1217	16.0%	20.2%	63.7%	-11.2	26
2023-09-16	IF Vestri	L 1-2	1027	1156	29.4%	24.1%	46.5%	-8.1	23
2023-09-16	@ Selfoss	W 2-1	1156	1027	46.5%	24.1%	29.4%	+8.1	39
2023-09-16	Grindavik	W 3-0	989	1021	42.7%	24.3%	33.0%	+25.7	27
2023-09-16	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-3	1021	989	33.0%	24.3%	42.7%	-25.7	28
2023-09-16	Afturelding	W 2-1	1054	1176	30.3%	24.1%	45.6%	+11.4	26
2023-09-16	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1176	1054	45.6%	24.1%	30.3%	-11.4	43

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2023-09-20	Fjolnir	W 1-0	1164	1216	39.9%	24.4%	35.7%	+10.0	1-0
2023-09-20	@ IF Vestri	L 0-1	1216	1164	35.7%	24.4%	39.9%	-10.0	0-1
2023-09-20	Afturelding	L 1-2	1173	1164	48.2%	23.9%	27.9%	-11.9	0-1
2023-09-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1164	1173	27.9%	23.9%	48.2%	+11.9	1-0
2023-09-24	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-0	1176	1161	49.0%	23.8%	27.2%	+22.0	2-0
2023-09-24	@ Afturelding	L 0-3	1161	1176	27.2%	23.8%	49.0%	-22.0	0-2
2023-09-24	IF Vestri	D 1-1	1206	1174	51.2%	23.4%	25.4%	-1.5	0-1-1
2023-09-24	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1174	1206	25.4%	23.4%	51.2%	+1.5	1-0-1
2023-09-30	Afturelding	W 1-0	1175	1198	34.5%	24.4%	41.0%	+11.1	2-0-1
2023-09-30	@ IF Vestri	L 0-1	1198	1175	41.0%	24.4%	34.5%	-11.1	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-07-29	12.98%	Selfoss	1018	4	@ Fjolnir	1210	2
2	2023-08-10	13.02%	Grindavik	1019	2	@ Afturelding	1210	1
3	2023-08-02	18.39%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1087	5	@ IA Akranes	1195	1
4	2023-05-26	19.21%	Selfoss	1041	3	@ Aegir	1139	1
5	2023-08-26	20.11%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1114	2	@ Afturelding	1202	0
6	2023-07-28	21.11%	IA Akranes	1166	5	@ Afturelding	1241	2
7	2023-06-30	21.40%	Throttur Reykjavik	1039	2	@ Grindavik	1112	1
8	2023-05-12	22.41%	Selfoss	1038	3	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1099	2
9	2023-05-05	23.44%	Fjolnir	1123	1	@ Aegir	1174	0
10	2023-08-20	24.04%	IF Vestri	1083	2	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1127	1
11	2023-06-01	24.51%	Afturelding	1099	3	@ Grindavik	1139	0
12	2023-08-11	26.12%	IA Akranes	1167	1	@ Fjolnir	1192	0
13	2023-05-26	26.49%	Afturelding	1087	3	@ Grotta	1109	2
14	2023-05-05	26.58%	Grindavik	1088	2	@ IA Akranes	1109	0
15	2023-08-02	26.82%	Njardvik	1013	5	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1032	3
16	2023-05-21	27.30%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1012	3	Aegir	1160	1
17	2023-06-09	27.58%	IA Akranes	1085	1	@ Aegir	1097	0
18	2023-07-25	27.69%	@ Thor Akureyri	1008	3	Grotta	1152	1
19	2023-09-20 *	27.92%	Afturelding	1164	2	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1173	1
20	2023-07-08	28.11%	IF Vestri	1046	2	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1053	1
21	2023-08-11	28.28%	Thor Akureyri	1014	3	@ Aegir	1020	2
22	2023-05-05	28.88%	Afturelding	1057	3	@ Selfoss	1058	1
23	2023-07-02	29.06%	Aegir	1058	2	@ IF Vestri	1057	1
24	2023-05-26	29.72%	IA Akranes	1084	3	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1078	2
25	2023-07-16	29.85%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1055	4	@ Selfoss	1048	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-08-02	45.48	Leiknir Reykjavik	5	1087	18.39%	@ IA Akranes	1	1195	60.23%
2	2023-08-31	42.05	@ Throttur Reykjavik	5	1017	41.95%	Grindavik	0	1054	33.67%
3	2023-06-01	37.02	Afturelding	3	1099	24.51%	@ Grindavik	0	1139	52.21%
4	2023-09-02	36.03	IF Vestri	5	1114	48.30%	@ Aegir	0	971	27.85%
5	2023-05-26	35.58	@ Fjolnir	6	1144	54.61%	Thor Akureyri	0	1085	22.58%
6	2023-08-25	32.37	Njardvik	3	1054	31.37%	@ Thor Akureyri	0	1034	44.39%
7	2023-07-21	31.23	@ Afturelding	9	1210	67.72%	Selfoss	0	1030	13.59%
8	2023-07-28	28.91	IA Akranes	5	1166	21.11%	@ Afturelding	2	1241	56.51%
9	2023-07-29	28.35	@ IF Vestri	3	1067	38.07%	Grotta	0	1131	37.46%
10	2023-08-26	27.81	Leiknir Reykjavik	2	1114	20.11%	@ Afturelding	0	1202	57.84%
11	2023-06-10	27.36	@ Throttur Reykjavik	3	1014	39.80%	Thor Akureyri	0	1066	35.75%
12	2023-09-16	26.22	Leiknir Reykjavik	5	1147	58.51%	@ Aegir	0	921	19.62%
13	2023-09-16	25.67	@ Thor Akureyri	3	989	42.71%	Grindavik	0	1021	32.95%
14	2023-07-29	24.81	Selfoss	4	1018	12.98%	@ Fjolnir	2	1210	68.79%
15	2023-05-26	24.51	Selfoss	3	1041	19.21%	@ Aegir	1	1139	59.08%
16	2023-05-05	24.48	Grindavik	2	1088	26.58%	@ IA Akranes	0	1109	49.75%
17	2023-07-02	23.23	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	3	1036	46.87%	Njardvik	0	1038	29.11%
18	2023-06-29	23.14	@ IA Akranes	4	1120	56.10%	Thor Akureyri	0	1048	21.42%
19	2023-07-29	23.07	@ Njardvik	4	990	39.80%	Grindavik	1	1042	35.75%
20	2023-06-02	22.61	@ Grotta	5	1097	50.99%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1	1067	25.53%
21	2023-08-25	22.52	@ Grindavik	7	1032	51.96%	Aegir	2	994	24.72%
22	2023-09-24 *	21.95	@ Afturelding	3	1176	49.01%	Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1161	27.22%
23	2023-07-07	21.60	Afturelding	4	1172	42.82%	@ Aegir	1	1070	32.85%
24	2023-05-21	20.91	@ Throttur Reykjavik	3	1012	27.30%	Aegir	1	1160	48.93%
25	2023-07-25	20.74	@ Thor Akureyri	3	1008	27.69%	Grotta	1	1152	48.48%