2025 1. deild karla Season

132 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Thor Akureyri

45 pts

Keflavik IF · via playoff

Relegated

Fjolnir

15 pts

Selfoss · 19 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Thor Akureyri

13.76 points above expected

45 points · 31.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fjolnir

14.23 points below expected

15 points · 29.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Thor Akureyri Promoted	22	14	3	5	45	51	31	+20	31.24	+13.76
2	Njardvik	22	12	7	3	43	50	25	+25	35.67	+7.33
3	Throttur Reykjavik	22	12	5	5	41	43	37	+6	33.48	+7.52
4	HK Kopavogur	22	12	4	6	40	46	29	+17	33.66	+6.34
5	Keflavik IF Promoted	22	11	4	7	37	53	39	+14	37.17	-0.17
6	IR Reykjavik	22	10	7	5	37	38	27	+11	33.57	+3.43
7	IF Volsungur	22	7	4	11	25	36	52	-16	19.58	+5.42
8	Fylkir Reykjavik	22	6	5	11	23	34	32	+2	33.70	-10.70
9	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	6	5	11	23	24	40	-16	28.91	-5.91
10	Grindavik	22	6	3	13	21	38	61	-23	27.47	-6.47
11	Selfoss Relegated	22	6	1	15	19	25	44	-19	21.93	-2.93
12	Fjolnir Relegated	22	3	6	13	15	32	53	-21	29.23	-14.23

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Keflavik IF 4

Njardvik 2

Leg 1: Keflavik IF 1-2 Njardvik

Leg 2: Njardvik 0-3 Keflavik IF

HK Kopavogur 7

Throttur Reykjavik 5

Leg 1: HK Kopavogur 4-3 Throttur Reykjavik

Leg 2: Throttur Reykjavik 2-3 HK Kopavogur

Finals

Keflavik IF 4

HK Kopavogur 0

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Keflavik IF	1361	37	37.17	-0.17	52.0%	16	27	33	37	41	47	62
Njardvik	1329	43	35.67	+7.33	90.7%	11	26	32	36	40	45	58
Thor Akureyri	1310	45	31.24	+13.76	99.2%	8	22	27	31	35	41	53
HK Kopavogur	1308	40	33.66	+6.34	87.3%	12	24	30	34	38	43	57
Fylkir Reykjavik	1307	23	33.70	-10.70	4.9%	9	24	30	34	38	44	56
Throttur Reykjavik	1294	41	33.48	+7.52	91.0%	13	24	29	34	38	43	55
IR Reykjavik	1287	37	33.57	+3.43	74.1%	8	24	29	34	38	43	56
Leiknir Reykjavik	1223	23	28.91	-5.91	18.3%	9	19	25	29	33	39	52
Fjolnir	1195	15	29.23	-14.23	0.8%	9	20	25	29	33	39	54
Grindavik	1170	21	27.47	-6.47	15.6%	7	18	23	27	31	37	53
Selfoss	1140	19	21.93	-2.93	34.1%	3	13	18	22	26	31	44
IF Volsungur	1117	25	19.58	+5.42	86.0%	4	11	16	19	23	29	41

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FJO	FR	GRI	HK	IV	IR	KI	LR	NJA	SEL	TA	TR
Fjolnir	—	0-2-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.98	0-0-2 2.36	0-1-1 3.75	0-1-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 3.38	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 2.15
Fylkir Reykjavik	0-2-0 3.08	—	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.95	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.33	0-0-2 3.23	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.82	0-0-2 2.98	0-0-2 2.82
Grindavik	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.29	—	1-1-0 2.33	0-0-2 3.42	1-0-1 2.08	0-0-2 1.97	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.03	0-0-2 3.27	0-0-2 2.55	1-0-1 2.23
HK Kopavogur	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 3.22	—	2-0-0 3.99	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.32	2-0-0 3.06	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 3.88	0-1-1 3.04	1-1-0 2.75
IF Volsungur	1-1-0 1.80	1-0-1 1.64	2-0-0 2.14	0-0-2 1.60	—	0-0-2 1.63	0-1-1 1.42	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 1.50	2-0-0 2.39	1-0-1 1.74	0-1-1 1.63
IR Reykjavik	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.44	0-1-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.95	—	1-1-0 2.50	1-1-0 3.23	0-2-0 2.59	2-0-0 3.72	0-1-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.75
Keflavik IF	2-0-0 3.27	0-1-1 3.18	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 3.22	1-1-0 4.20	0-1-1 3.02	—	2-0-0 3.50	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 4.02	1-1-0 3.30	0-0-2 3.13
Leiknir Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 2.30	0-0-2 2.82	0-0-2 2.48	2-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 2.29	0-0-2 2.04	—	0-1-1 2.13	1-1-0 3.33	0-0-2 2.81	0-2-0 2.45
Njardvik	1-1-0 3.40	1-1-0 2.77	2-0-0 3.55	2-0-0 2.87	1-1-0 4.10	0-2-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 3.42	—	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 2.96
Selfoss	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 1.75	2-0-0 2.26	1-0-1 1.69	0-0-2 3.15	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-2 1.58	0-1-1 2.19	0-0-2 1.72	—	1-0-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.77
Thor Akureyri	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.52	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 3.83	1-1-0 2.57	0-1-1 2.23	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 3.70	—	1-0-1 2.70
Throttur Reykjavik	1-0-1 3.38	2-0-0 2.72	1-0-1 3.29	0-1-1 2.76	1-1-0 3.96	1-0-1 2.76	2-0-0 2.40	0-2-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.57	2-0-0 3.80	1-0-1 2.82	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+9.2
Allowed	0.55	-7.0
Differential	0.86	+5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	0.76%	3.79%	4.55%	2.65%	2.27%	0.76%	14.77%
1	3.79%	12.12%	10.23%	4.55%	3.03%	1.52%	35.23%
2	4.55%	10.23%	4.55%	2.65%	1.52%	1.52%	25.00%
3	2.65%	4.55%	2.65%	3.03%	0.38%	—	13.26%
4	2.27%	3.03%	1.52%	0.38%	—	0.38%	7.58%
5+	0.76%	1.52%	1.52%	—	0.38%	—	4.17%
Total	14.77%	35.23%	25.00%	13.26%	7.58%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.78	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	2.10
CV	0.76	0.76	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	22.73%	4.55%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	—	13.64%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	22.73%	27.27%	31.82%	—	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	2.41	-0.95
SD	1.22	1.37	1.76
CV	0.84	0.57	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	18.18%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	—	59.09%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.45	+0.09
SD	1.18	1.06	1.85
CV	0.77	0.73	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	27.27%
1	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	—	13.64%	40.91%	13.64%	22.73%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.77	-1.05
SD	1.61	1.34	2.32
CV	0.93	0.48	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	1	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.32	+0.77
SD	1.54	1.09	2.18
CV	0.74	0.82	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	2.36	-0.73
SD	1.05	1.84	2.33
CV	0.64	0.78	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	50.00%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.23	+0.50
SD	1.39	1.02	1.60
CV	0.80	0.83	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.41	1.77	+0.64
SD	2.04	1.34	2.63
CV	0.85	0.76	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	54.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.82	-0.73
SD	0.92	1.65	1.93
CV	0.84	0.91	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	59.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	1.14	+1.14
SD	1.28	0.83	1.73
CV	0.56	0.73	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	1	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	22.73%	—	9.09%	—	36.36%
1	—	—	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	13.64%	50.00%	4.55%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	2.00	-0.86
SD	1.08	1.23	1.98
CV	0.95	0.62	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	1.41	+0.91
SD	1.29	1.18	1.82
CV	0.56	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	1	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	27.27%	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	54.55%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	45.45%	31.82%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.68	+0.27
SD	0.79	1.25	1.52
CV	0.40	0.74	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	1	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Thor Akureyri	45	31.24	+13.76
2	Throttur Reykjavik	41	33.48	+7.52
3	Njardvik	43	35.67	+7.33
4	HK Kopavogur	40	33.66	+6.34
5	IF Volsungur	25	19.58	+5.42

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fjolnir	15	29.23	-14.23
2	Fylkir Reykjavik	23	33.70	-10.70
3	Grindavik	21	27.47	-6.47
4	Leiknir Reykjavik	23	28.91	-5.91
5	Selfoss	19	21.93	-2.93

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Thor Akureyri	5	Jul 29 – Aug 23	1 in 125
2	Throttur Reykjavik	4	Aug 13 – Aug 29	1 in 36
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	3	Aug 17 – Aug 29	1 in 28
4	IF Volsungur	2	May 17 – May 24	1 in 19
5	Selfoss	2	Jul 11 – Jul 18	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leiknir Reykjavik	4	May 9 – May 30	1 in 116
2	Grindavik	4	Jun 21 – Jul 7	1 in 93
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	3	May 23 – Jun 4	1 in 58
4	Fjolnir	4	Aug 23 – Sep 13	1 in 45
5	Selfoss	5	May 9 – Jun 4	1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Njardvik	17	May 2 – Aug 13	1 in 732
2	IR Reykjavik	11	May 3 – Jul 4	1 in 227
3	Throttur Reykjavik	11	Jun 27 – Aug 29	1 in 109
4	Thor Akureyri	8	Jul 12 – Aug 23	1 in 69
5	HK Kopavogur	5	Jun 13 – Jul 11	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fjolnir	8	May 2 – Jun 13	1 in 87
2	Fylkir Reykjavik	7	May 16 – Jun 20	1 in 67
3	Keflavik IF	5	May 30 – Jun 26	1 in 39
4	Leiknir Reykjavik	9	Jun 13 – Aug 8	1 in 39
5	Grindavik	5	Jun 13 – Jul 7	1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Thor Akureyri	5.57%	7.84%	9.59%	9.81%	10.39%	11.07%	11.32%	10.63%	10.10%	7.28%	4.83%	1.57%
Njardvik	19.78%	17.02%	13.81%	11.45%	10.22%	8.59%	6.70%	4.90%	3.59%	2.48%	1.13%	0.33%
Throttur Reykjavik	9.50%	11.30%	12.01%	12.00%	11.76%	10.39%	9.23%	8.52%	7.17%	4.87%	2.47%	0.78%
HK Kopavogur	11.27%	12.04%	12.34%	12.31%	11.64%	9.73%	9.38%	7.76%	6.08%	4.44%	2.16%	0.85%
Keflavik IF	26.95%	17.39%	13.93%	11.31%	9.01%	7.04%	5.41%	3.98%	2.61%	1.49%	0.73%	0.15%
IR Reykjavik	10.20%	12.23%	12.21%	11.75%	10.82%	10.72%	9.65%	8.55%	6.21%	4.49%	2.36%	0.81%
IF Volsungur	0.02%	0.10%	0.17%	0.43%	0.87%	1.19%	2.28%	3.59%	6.77%	11.91%	24.93%	47.74%
Fylkir Reykjavik	10.41%	11.80%	11.19%	12.02%	11.57%	10.91%	9.43%	8.21%	6.38%	4.71%	2.48%	0.89%
Leiknir Reykjavik	2.47%	3.56%	5.24%	6.58%	7.76%	9.61%	11.16%	12.60%	13.28%	13.73%	9.25%	4.76%
Grindavik	1.23%	2.35%	3.54%	4.89%	6.02%	8.57%	10.26%	11.87%	14.55%	15.32%	13.74%	7.66%
Selfoss	0.13%	0.30%	0.53%	0.85%	1.56%	2.73%	3.97%	6.00%	10.03%	16.23%	27.40%	30.27%
Fjolnir	2.47%	4.07%	5.44%	6.60%	8.38%	9.45%	11.21%	13.39%	13.23%	13.05%	8.52%	4.19%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-2.27%

No Edge

38.64%20.45%40.91%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -7.90 Elo pts.

156 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.06 goals

Neutral

-2-0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.3

Wide Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

Thor Akureyri, 7th of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Photo Finish

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.69 * Some Luck: 4.69 to 7.03 * Lucky: 7.03 to 9.37 * Wild Swing: 9.37 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.83 * Close: 1.83 to 2.75 * Off: 2.75 to 3.66 * Way Off: 3.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.7 * A Surprise: 0.7 to 1.11 * Several Surprises: 1.11 to 1.53 * Many Surprises: 1.53 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.07 points

Lucky

05.8615

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.33

02.295

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.15%

Thor Akureyri

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.81%

Fjolnir

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

00.72

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.52

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

67%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

78%

Clear Edge

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

55%

Very Frequent

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Very Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.65

Hard to Predict

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.35

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.88

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

-0.04

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

37%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

<0.01

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.86

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.170

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1370.4

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Direct promotion	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Keflavik IF	44.34%	34.25%	20.53%	0.88%
Njardvik	36.80%	35.48%	26.26%	1.46%
HK Kopavogur	23.31%	36.29%	37.39%	3.01%
IR Reykjavik	22.43%	34.78%	39.62%	3.17%
Fylkir Reykjavik	22.21%	34.78%	39.64%	3.37%
Throttur Reykjavik	20.80%	35.77%	40.18%	3.25%
Thor Akureyri	13.41%	29.79%	50.40%	6.40%
Fjolnir	6.54%	20.42%	60.33%	12.71%
Leiknir Reykjavik	6.03%	19.58%	60.38%	14.01%
Grindavik	3.58%	14.45%	60.57%	21.40%
Selfoss	0.43%	2.94%	38.96%	57.67%
IF Volsungur	0.12%	1.47%	25.74%	72.67%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2025-05-02	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1274	1313	45.1%	25.0%	29.9%	-0.4	1
2025-05-02	@ Njardvik	D 1-1	1313	1274	29.9%	25.0%	45.1%	+0.4	1
2025-05-02	Grindavik	W 2-1	1167	1240	40.4%	25.5%	34.1%	+4.3	3
2025-05-02	@ Selfoss	L 1-2	1240	1167	34.1%	25.5%	40.4%	-4.3	0
2025-05-02	HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	1231	1270	45.0%	25.1%	29.9%	-0.4	1
2025-05-02	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1270	1231	29.9%	25.1%	45.0%	+0.4	1
2025-05-02	Keflavik IF	L 1-3	1288	1330	44.7%	25.1%	30.2%	-9.1	0
2025-05-02	@ Fjolnir	W 3-1	1330	1288	30.2%	25.1%	44.7%	+9.1	3
2025-05-02	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1287	1276	51.8%	23.8%	24.4%	-0.7	1
2025-05-02	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1276	1287	24.4%	23.8%	51.8%	+0.7	1
2025-05-03	IF Volsungur	W 1-0	1257	1108	68.1%	17.8%	14.1%	+1.9	3
2025-05-03	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1108	1257	14.1%	17.8%	68.1%	-1.9	0
2025-05-09	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1271	1259	51.8%	23.8%	24.4%	-0.7	2
2025-05-09	@ HK Kopavogur	D 1-1	1259	1271	24.4%	23.8%	51.8%	+0.7	4
2025-05-09	Selfoss	W 2-0	1313	1172	67.2%	18.2%	14.5%	+3.7	4
2025-05-09	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1172	1313	14.5%	18.2%	67.2%	-3.7	3
2025-05-09	Thor Akureyri	L 1-4	1277	1230	56.3%	22.5%	21.2%	-15.4	1
2025-05-09	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 4-1	1230	1277	21.2%	22.5%	56.3%	+15.4	4
2025-05-09	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1339	1286	57.1%	22.3%	20.6%	-6.8	3
2025-05-09	@ Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1286	1339	20.6%	22.3%	57.1%	+6.8	4
2025-05-10	Fjolnir	D 3-3	1235	1279	44.4%	25.1%	30.5%	-0.2	1
2025-05-10	@ Grindavik	D 3-3	1279	1235	30.5%	25.1%	44.4%	+0.2	1
2025-05-10	IF Volsungur	W 5-1	1273	1106	69.9%	16.9%	13.1%	+5.2	4
2025-05-10	@ Njardvik	L 1-5	1106	1273	13.1%	16.9%	69.9%	-5.2	0
2025-05-16	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1280	1317	45.4%	25.0%	29.6%	-0.4	2
2025-05-16	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1317	1280	29.6%	25.0%	45.4%	+0.4	5
2025-05-16	HK Kopavogur	L 0-1	1261	1270	49.2%	24.4%	26.4%	-6.0	1
2025-05-16	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1270	1261	26.4%	24.4%	49.2%	+6.0	5
2025-05-16	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1278	1260	52.7%	23.6%	23.7%	-0.8	5
2025-05-16	@ Njardvik	D 1-1	1260	1278	23.7%	23.6%	52.7%	+0.8	5
2025-05-17	IF Volsungur	L 1-2	1168	1101	58.8%	21.7%	19.5%	-6.5	3
2025-05-17	@ Selfoss	W 2-1	1101	1168	19.5%	21.7%	58.8%	+6.5	3
2025-05-18	Grindavik	L 2-4	1293	1235	57.7%	22.1%	20.2%	-10.0	4
2025-05-18	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-2	1235	1293	20.2%	22.1%	57.7%	+10.0	4
2025-05-18	Keflavik IF	L 2-4	1246	1333	38.3%	25.5%	36.2%	-7.2	4
2025-05-18	@ Thor Akureyri	W 4-2	1333	1246	36.2%	25.5%	38.3%	+7.2	6
2025-05-23	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 6-0	1340	1255	60.9%	20.9%	18.2%	+13.3	9
2025-05-23	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-6	1255	1340	18.2%	20.9%	60.9%	-13.3	1
2025-05-23	Njardvik	L 1-3	1276	1278	50.1%	24.2%	25.7%	-9.9	5
2025-05-23	@ HK Kopavogur	W 3-1	1278	1276	25.7%	24.2%	50.1%	+9.9	8
2025-05-23	Selfoss	W 2-0	1261	1161	62.6%	20.2%	17.1%	+4.5	8
2025-05-23	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1161	1261	17.1%	20.2%	62.6%	-4.5	3
2025-05-23	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1317	1283	54.7%	23.0%	22.3%	-6.1	5
2025-05-23	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1283	1317	22.3%	23.0%	54.7%	+6.2	7
2025-05-24	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1107	1279	27.4%	24.6%	48.1%	+5.5	6
2025-05-24	@ IF Volsungur	L 1-2	1279	1107	48.1%	24.6%	27.4%	-5.6	2
2025-05-24	Thor Akureyri	L 3-4	1245	1238	51.2%	23.9%	24.8%	-5.4	4
2025-05-24	@ Grindavik	W 4-3	1238	1245	24.8%	23.9%	51.2%	+5.4	7
2025-05-29	IF Volsungur	W 4-1	1289	1113	70.9%	16.5%	12.6%	+3.9	10
2025-05-29	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-4	1113	1289	12.6%	16.5%	70.9%	-3.9	6
2025-05-30	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 4-1	1244	1311	41.1%	25.4%	33.4%	+10.3	10
2025-05-30	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-4	1311	1244	33.4%	25.4%	41.1%	-10.3	5
2025-05-30	Grindavik	L 2-6	1242	1240	50.7%	24.1%	25.3%	-15.5	1
2025-05-30	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 6-2	1240	1242	25.3%	24.1%	50.7%	+15.5	7
2025-05-30	HK Kopavogur	L 0-3	1353	1266	61.2%	20.8%	18.0%	-19.6	9
2025-05-30	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1266	1353	18.0%	20.8%	61.2%	+19.6	8
2025-05-30	IR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1274	1265	51.4%	23.9%	24.7%	-17.0	2
2025-05-30	@ Fjolnir	W 3-0	1265	1274	24.7%	23.9%	51.4%	+17.0	11
2025-05-30	Njardvik	L 0-4	1157	1288	32.3%	25.3%	42.4%	-15.5	3
2025-05-30	@ Selfoss	W 4-0	1288	1157	42.4%	25.3%	32.3%	+15.5	11
2025-06-04	Fjolnir	D 1-1	1303	1257	56.3%	22.5%	21.2%	-1.0	12
2025-06-04	@ Njardvik	D 1-1	1257	1303	21.2%	22.5%	56.3%	+1.0	3
2025-06-04	IF Volsungur	L 1-3	1254	1109	67.6%	18.0%	14.3%	-12.6	10
2025-06-04	@ Thor Akureyri	W 3-1	1109	1254	14.3%	18.0%	67.6%	+12.6	9
2025-06-04	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1301	1226	59.7%	21.4%	18.9%	-6.6	5
2025-06-04	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1226	1301	18.9%	21.4%	59.7%	+6.6	4
2025-06-04	Selfoss	W 4-1	1285	1141	67.5%	18.1%	14.4%	+4.5	11
2025-06-04	@ HK Kopavogur	L 1-4	1141	1285	14.4%	18.1%	67.5%	-4.5	3
2025-06-04	Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1282	1293	48.9%	24.4%	26.7%	+3.5	14
2025-06-04	@ IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1293	1282	26.7%	24.4%	48.9%	-3.5	10
2025-06-09	Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1334	1294	55.4%	22.8%	21.8%	-0.9	10
2025-06-09	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1294	1334	21.8%	22.8%	55.4%	+0.9	6
2025-06-09	HK Kopavogur	W 2-1	1255	1290	45.7%	25.0%	29.4%	+3.8	10
2025-06-09	@ Grindavik	L 1-2	1290	1255	29.4%	25.0%	45.7%	-3.8	11
2025-06-09	IF Volsungur	W 3-1	1233	1122	64.0%	19.7%	16.4%	+3.7	7
2025-06-09	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-3	1122	1233	16.4%	19.7%	64.0%	-3.7	9
2025-06-09	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1242	1286	44.4%	25.1%	30.5%	-0.3	11
2025-06-09	@ Thor Akureyri	D 1-1	1286	1242	30.5%	25.1%	44.4%	+0.4	15
2025-06-09	Njardvik	D 2-2	1290	1302	48.7%	24.5%	26.8%	-0.4	11
2025-06-09	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1302	1290	26.8%	24.5%	48.7%	+0.4	13
2025-06-09	Selfoss	L 0-2	1258	1137	65.0%	19.2%	15.8%	-14.1	3
2025-06-09	@ Fjolnir	W 2-0	1137	1258	15.8%	19.2%	65.0%	+14.1	6
2025-06-13	Fjolnir	W 3-0	1286	1243	55.8%	22.7%	21.5%	+8.2	14
2025-06-13	@ HK Kopavogur	L 0-3	1243	1286	21.5%	22.7%	55.8%	-8.2	3
2025-06-13	Grindavik	D 1-1	1295	1259	55.0%	22.9%	22.1%	-0.9	7
2025-06-13	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1259	1295	22.1%	22.9%	55.0%	+0.9	11
2025-06-13	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1286	1237	56.7%	22.4%	20.9%	+2.9	18
2025-06-13	@ IR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1237	1286	20.9%	22.4%	56.7%	-2.9	7
2025-06-14	Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1118	1333	23.0%	23.3%	53.7%	+0.8	10
2025-06-14	@ IF Volsungur	D 1-1	1333	1118	53.7%	23.3%	23.0%	-0.8	11
2025-06-14	Thor Akureyri	W 3-1	1302	1241	58.1%	21.9%	19.9%	+4.6	16
2025-06-14	@ Njardvik	L 1-3	1241	1302	19.9%	21.9%	58.1%	-4.6	11
2025-06-14	Throttur Reykjavik	L 0-2	1151	1289	31.3%	25.2%	43.5%	-8.0	6
2025-06-14	@ Selfoss	W 2-0	1289	1151	43.5%	25.2%	31.3%	+8.0	14
2025-06-19	Fjolnir	L 1-4	1297	1235	58.2%	21.9%	19.9%	-15.8	14
2025-06-19	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-1	1235	1297	19.9%	21.9%	58.2%	+15.8	6
2025-06-20	HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	1294	1294	50.3%	24.1%	25.6%	-5.8	7
2025-06-20	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1294	1294	25.6%	24.1%	50.3%	+5.8	17
2025-06-20	Njardvik	D 1-1	1234	1307	40.3%	25.5%	34.3%	-0.1	8
2025-06-20	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1307	1234	34.3%	25.5%	40.3%	+0.2	17
2025-06-21	IF Volsungur	L 2-4	1260	1119	67.2%	18.2%	14.5%	-11.2	11
2025-06-21	@ Grindavik	W 4-2	1119	1260	14.5%	18.2%	67.2%	+11.2	13
2025-06-22	IR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1332	1289	55.8%	22.7%	21.5%	-1.0	12
2025-06-22	@ Keflavik IF	D 0-0	1289	1332	21.5%	22.7%	55.8%	+1.0	19
2025-06-22	Selfoss	W 2-0	1237	1143	61.9%	20.5%	17.5%	+4.6	14
2025-06-22	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	1143	1237	17.5%	20.5%	61.9%	-4.6	6
2025-06-26	Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1307	1331	47.2%	24.7%	28.1%	+6.3	20
2025-06-26	@ Njardvik	L 1-3	1331	1307	28.1%	24.7%	47.2%	-6.3	12
2025-06-27	Grindavik	W 6-1	1290	1249	55.7%	22.7%	21.6%	+11.1	22
2025-06-27	@ IR Reykjavik	L 1-6	1249	1290	21.6%	22.7%	55.7%	-11.1	11
2025-06-27	HK Kopavogur	D 2-2	1281	1300	47.9%	24.6%	27.5%	-0.4	15
2025-06-27	@ Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1300	1281	27.5%	24.6%	47.9%	+0.4	18
2025-06-27	Leiknir Reykjavik	D 2-2	1138	1234	37.1%	25.5%	37.3%	+0.0	7
2025-06-27	@ Selfoss	D 2-2	1234	1138	37.3%	25.5%	37.1%	-0.0	9
2025-06-27	Thor Akureyri	L 0-5	1251	1241	51.6%	23.8%	24.5%	-27.5	6
2025-06-27	@ Fjolnir	W 5-0	1241	1251	24.5%	23.8%	51.6%	+27.5	17
2025-06-28	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-4	1130	1288	28.9%	24.9%	46.2%	-9.1	13
2025-06-28	@ IF Volsungur	W 4-1	1288	1130	46.2%	24.9%	28.9%	+9.1	10
2025-07-03	Njardvik	L 1-5	1238	1314	39.9%	25.5%	34.6%	-15.2	11
2025-07-03	@ Grindavik	W 5-1	1314	1238	34.6%	25.5%	39.9%	+15.2	23
2025-07-03	Selfoss	W 3-2	1325	1138	71.8%	16.0%	12.2%	+1.4	15
2025-07-03	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1138	1325	12.2%	16.0%	71.8%	-1.4	7
2025-07-03	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1269	1281	48.7%	24.5%	26.8%	-5.6	17
2025-07-03	@ Thor Akureyri	W 2-1	1281	1269	26.8%	24.5%	48.7%	+5.6	18
2025-07-04	Fjolnir	L 0-1	1234	1224	51.7%	23.8%	24.5%	-6.2	9
2025-07-04	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1224	1234	24.5%	23.8%	51.7%	+6.2	9
2025-07-04	IR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1297	1301	49.9%	24.2%	25.9%	-5.7	10
2025-07-04	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1301	1297	25.9%	24.2%	49.9%	+5.7	25
2025-07-05	IF Volsungur	W 3-1	1301	1121	71.2%	16.3%	12.5%	+2.7	21
2025-07-05	@ HK Kopavogur	L 1-3	1121	1301	12.5%	16.3%	71.2%	-2.7	13
2025-07-07	Keflavik IF	L 1-4	1222	1326	35.9%	25.5%	38.5%	-10.8	11
2025-07-07	@ Grindavik	W 4-1	1326	1222	38.5%	25.5%	35.9%	+10.9	18
2025-07-11	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 3-1	1137	1292	29.3%	24.9%	45.7%	+9.2	10
2025-07-11	@ Selfoss	L 1-3	1292	1137	45.7%	24.9%	29.3%	-9.2	10
2025-07-11	Grindavik	L 2-3	1230	1212	52.7%	23.6%	23.7%	-5.7	9
2025-07-11	@ Fjolnir	W 3-2	1212	1230	23.7%	23.6%	52.7%	+5.7	14
2025-07-11	HK Kopavogur	L 1-2	1307	1303	50.8%	24.0%	25.1%	-5.8	25
2025-07-11	@ IR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1303	1307	25.1%	24.0%	50.8%	+5.8	24
2025-07-11	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1287	1337	43.5%	25.2%	31.2%	+3.8	21
2025-07-11	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1337	1287	31.2%	25.2%	43.5%	-3.8	18
2025-07-12	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1263	1227	54.9%	22.9%	22.1%	+5.8	20
2025-07-12	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	1227	1263	22.1%	22.9%	54.9%	-5.8	9
2025-07-12	Njardvik	D 1-1	1118	1329	23.4%	23.5%	53.1%	+0.8	14
2025-07-12	@ IF Volsungur	D 1-1	1329	1118	53.1%	23.5%	23.4%	-0.8	24
2025-07-18	Fjolnir	W 5-4	1333	1224	63.7%	19.8%	16.5%	+2.0	21
2025-07-18	@ Keflavik IF	L 4-5	1224	1333	16.5%	19.8%	63.7%	-2.0	9
2025-07-18	Njardvik	L 0-1	1282	1328	44.2%	25.1%	30.6%	-5.5	10
2025-07-18	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1328	1282	30.6%	25.1%	44.2%	+5.5	27
2025-07-18	Selfoss	L 0-2	1217	1146	59.3%	21.5%	19.2%	-13.1	14
2025-07-18	@ Grindavik	W 2-0	1146	1217	19.2%	21.5%	59.3%	+13.1	13
2025-07-18	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1309	1269	55.5%	22.8%	21.7%	-6.2	24
2025-07-18	@ HK Kopavogur	W 2-1	1269	1309	21.7%	22.8%	55.5%	+6.2	23
2025-07-18	Throttur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1222	1290	40.9%	25.4%	33.7%	-0.2	10
2025-07-18	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1290	1222	33.7%	25.4%	40.9%	+0.2	22
2025-07-19	IR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1119	1301	26.2%	24.3%	49.5%	-3.2	14
2025-07-19	@ IF Volsungur	W 3-2	1301	1119	49.5%	24.3%	26.2%	+3.2	28
2025-07-25	Fjolnir	D 3-3	1277	1222	57.3%	22.2%	20.5%	-0.6	11
2025-07-25	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	D 3-3	1222	1277	20.5%	22.2%	57.3%	+0.6	10
2025-07-25	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1303	1221	60.5%	21.1%	18.4%	+2.6	27
2025-07-25	@ HK Kopavogur	L 0-1	1221	1303	18.4%	21.1%	60.5%	-2.6	10
2025-07-25	Njardvik	D 2-2	1304	1333	46.5%	24.9%	28.7%	-0.4	29
2025-07-25	@ IR Reykjavik	D 2-2	1333	1304	28.7%	24.9%	46.5%	+0.3	28
2025-07-25	Thor Akureyri	D 2-2	1335	1275	57.9%	22.0%	20.1%	-0.8	22
2025-07-25	@ Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1275	1335	20.1%	22.0%	57.9%	+0.8	24
2025-07-25	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1204	1291	38.4%	25.5%	36.1%	-4.7	14
2025-07-25	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1291	1204	36.1%	25.5%	38.4%	+4.7	25
2025-07-26	Selfoss	W 4-0	1116	1159	44.4%	25.1%	30.4%	+14.8	17
2025-07-26	@ IF Volsungur	L 0-4	1159	1116	30.4%	25.1%	44.4%	-14.8	13
2025-07-29	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1295	1276	52.8%	23.5%	23.6%	+3.1	28
2025-07-29	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1276	1295	23.6%	23.5%	52.8%	-3.1	11
2025-07-29	Grindavik	W 2-0	1276	1200	59.9%	21.3%	18.8%	+5.0	27
2025-07-29	@ Thor Akureyri	L 0-2	1200	1276	18.8%	21.3%	59.9%	-5.0	14
2025-07-29	HK Kopavogur	W 3-0	1334	1305	54.0%	23.2%	22.8%	+8.7	31
2025-07-29	@ Njardvik	L 0-3	1305	1334	22.8%	23.2%	54.0%	-8.7	27
2025-07-29	Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1219	1334	34.3%	25.5%	40.2%	-8.5	10
2025-07-29	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	W 2-0	1334	1219	40.2%	25.5%	34.3%	+8.5	25
2025-07-30	IF Volsungur	D 1-1	1223	1130	61.8%	20.6%	17.6%	-1.2	11
2025-07-30	@ Fjolnir	D 1-1	1130	1223	17.6%	20.6%	61.8%	+1.2	18
2025-07-30	IR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1145	1304	28.7%	24.9%	46.4%	-3.9	13
2025-07-30	@ Selfoss	W 1-0	1304	1145	46.4%	24.9%	28.7%	+3.9	32
2025-08-08	Fjolnir	D 3-3	1308	1222	61.1%	20.8%	18.1%	-0.7	33
2025-08-08	@ IR Reykjavik	D 3-3	1222	1308	18.1%	20.8%	61.1%	+0.7	12
2025-08-08	Keflavik IF	W 3-0	1297	1343	44.1%	25.2%	30.7%	+11.4	30
2025-08-08	@ HK Kopavogur	L 0-3	1343	1297	30.7%	25.2%	44.1%	-11.4	25
2025-08-08	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-2	1195	1210	48.3%	24.6%	27.2%	+3.4	17
2025-08-08	@ Grindavik	L 2-3	1210	1195	27.2%	24.6%	48.3%	-3.3	10
2025-08-08	Selfoss	W 2-1	1342	1141	73.4%	15.2%	11.4%	+1.4	34
2025-08-08	@ Njardvik	L 1-2	1141	1342	11.4%	15.2%	73.4%	-1.4	13
2025-08-08	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1273	1281	49.3%	24.3%	26.3%	-5.7	11
2025-08-08	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1281	1273	26.3%	24.3%	49.3%	+5.7	30
2025-08-09	Throttur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1132	1298	27.9%	24.7%	47.4%	+0.4	19
2025-08-09	@ IF Volsungur	D 2-2	1298	1132	47.4%	24.7%	27.9%	-0.4	29
2025-08-13	Fylkir Reykjavik	W 1-0	1207	1268	42.1%	25.4%	32.6%	+4.3	13
2025-08-13	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-1	1268	1207	32.6%	25.4%	42.1%	-4.4	11
2025-08-13	Grindavik	W 4-0	1331	1198	66.4%	18.6%	15.0%	+7.3	28
2025-08-13	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1198	1331	15.0%	18.6%	66.4%	-7.3	17
2025-08-13	HK Kopavogur	W 3-0	1139	1308	27.7%	24.6%	47.7%	+16.0	16
2025-08-13	@ Selfoss	L 0-3	1308	1139	47.7%	24.6%	27.7%	-16.0	30
2025-08-13	IR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1298	1307	49.1%	24.4%	26.5%	+6.0	32
2025-08-13	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-3	1307	1298	26.5%	24.4%	49.1%	-6.0	33
2025-08-13	Njardvik	L 1-2	1222	1344	33.5%	25.4%	41.1%	-4.2	12
2025-08-13	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1344	1222	41.1%	25.4%	33.5%	+4.2	37
2025-08-13	Thor Akureyri	L 2-5	1132	1287	29.3%	25.0%	45.7%	-8.0	19
2025-08-13	@ IF Volsungur	W 5-2	1287	1132	45.7%	25.0%	29.3%	+8.0	33
2025-08-17	Fjolnir	L 1-2	1155	1218	41.8%	25.4%	32.9%	-5.0	16
2025-08-17	@ Selfoss	W 2-1	1218	1155	32.9%	25.4%	41.8%	+5.0	15
2025-08-17	Grindavik	D 3-3	1292	1191	62.8%	20.2%	17.0%	-0.8	31
2025-08-17	@ HK Kopavogur	D 3-3	1191	1292	17.0%	20.2%	62.8%	+0.8	18
2025-08-17	Keflavik IF	W 4-0	1263	1339	40.0%	25.5%	34.6%	+16.3	14
2025-08-17	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-4	1339	1263	34.6%	25.5%	40.0%	-16.3	28
2025-08-17	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1124	1211	38.3%	25.5%	36.2%	-4.6	19
2025-08-17	@ IF Volsungur	W 2-1	1211	1124	36.2%	25.5%	38.3%	+4.7	16
2025-08-17	Thor Akureyri	L 0-1	1301	1295	51.2%	23.9%	24.8%	-6.2	33
2025-08-17	@ IR Reykjavik	W 1-0	1295	1301	24.8%	23.9%	51.2%	+6.2	36
2025-08-17	Throttur Reykjavik	L 2-3	1348	1304	56.0%	22.6%	21.4%	-6.0	37
2025-08-17	@ Njardvik	W 3-2	1304	1348	21.4%	22.6%	56.0%	+6.0	35
2025-08-23	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-4	1191	1280	38.1%	25.5%	36.3%	-17.6	18
2025-08-23	@ Grindavik	W 4-0	1280	1191	36.3%	25.5%	38.1%	+17.6	17
2025-08-23	HK Kopavogur	L 1-5	1223	1291	41.0%	25.4%	33.6%	-15.5	15
2025-08-23	@ Fjolnir	W 5-1	1291	1223	33.6%	25.4%	41.0%	+15.5	34
2025-08-23	IF Volsungur	W 7-2	1322	1119	73.5%	15.2%	11.4%	+4.5	31
2025-08-23	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-7	1119	1322	11.4%	15.2%	73.5%	-4.5	19
2025-08-23	IR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1216	1295	39.4%	25.5%	35.1%	-0.1	17
2025-08-23	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	D 1-1	1295	1216	35.1%	25.5%	39.4%	+0.1	34
2025-08-23	Njardvik	W 3-1	1301	1342	44.8%	25.1%	30.2%	+6.7	39
2025-08-23	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-3	1342	1301	30.2%	25.1%	44.8%	-6.7	37
2025-08-23	Selfoss	W 2-1	1310	1150	69.2%	17.3%	13.5%	+1.7	38
2025-08-23	@ Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1150	1310	13.5%	17.3%	69.2%	-1.7	16
2025-08-29	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1307	1297	51.6%	23.8%	24.5%	-11.8	34
2025-08-29	@ HK Kopavogur	W 2-0	1297	1307	24.5%	23.8%	51.6%	+11.8	20
2025-08-29	Keflavik IF	W 4-2	1295	1327	46.1%	24.9%	29.0%	+5.8	37
2025-08-29	@ IR Reykjavik	L 2-4	1327	1295	29.0%	24.9%	46.1%	-5.8	31
2025-08-29	Leiknir Reykjavik	W 3-1	1335	1216	64.9%	19.3%	15.8%	+3.6	40
2025-08-29	@ Njardvik	L 1-3	1216	1335	15.8%	19.3%	64.9%	-3.6	17
2025-08-29	Throttur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1208	1312	35.9%	25.5%	38.6%	-4.4	15
2025-08-29	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1312	1208	38.6%	25.5%	35.9%	+4.4	41
2025-08-30	Grindavik	W 2-0	1115	1174	42.3%	25.3%	32.4%	+8.2	22
2025-08-30	@ IF Volsungur	L 0-2	1174	1115	32.4%	25.3%	42.3%	-8.2	18
2025-08-30	Thor Akureyri	W 3-2	1149	1307	28.8%	24.9%	46.3%	+5.1	19
2025-08-30	@ Selfoss	L 2-3	1307	1149	46.3%	24.9%	28.8%	-5.1	39
2025-09-06	Fjolnir	W 2-1	1302	1203	62.6%	20.3%	17.2%	+2.2	42
2025-09-06	@ Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1203	1302	17.2%	20.3%	62.6%	-2.2	15
2025-09-06	IF Volsungur	L 1-2	1309	1123	71.8%	16.0%	12.2%	-7.6	20
2025-09-06	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	W 2-1	1123	1309	12.2%	16.0%	71.8%	+7.6	25
2025-09-06	IR Reykjavik	W 3-1	1166	1301	31.7%	25.3%	43.0%	+8.8	21
2025-09-06	@ Grindavik	L 1-3	1301	1166	43.0%	25.3%	31.7%	-8.8	37
2025-09-06	Njardvik	W 2-1	1321	1339	48.0%	24.6%	27.4%	+3.6	34
2025-09-06	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1339	1321	27.4%	24.6%	48.0%	-3.6	40
2025-09-06	Selfoss	W 2-0	1212	1154	57.8%	22.1%	20.2%	+5.3	20
2025-09-06	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	L 0-2	1154	1212	20.2%	22.1%	57.8%	-5.3	19
2025-09-06	Throttur Reykjavik	W 5-2	1295	1316	47.5%	24.7%	27.8%	+7.6	37
2025-09-06	@ HK Kopavogur	L 2-5	1316	1295	27.8%	24.7%	47.5%	-7.6	41
2025-09-13	Fylkir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1292	1301	49.1%	24.4%	26.5%	-5.7	37
2025-09-13	@ IR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1301	1292	26.5%	24.4%	49.1%	+5.7	23
2025-09-13	Grindavik	W 3-0	1335	1174	69.3%	17.2%	13.5%	+4.9	43
2025-09-13	@ Njardvik	L 0-3	1174	1335	13.5%	17.2%	69.3%	-4.9	21
2025-09-13	HK Kopavogur	L 0-4	1131	1303	27.3%	24.6%	48.1%	-13.5	25
2025-09-13	@ IF Volsungur	W 4-0	1303	1131	48.1%	24.6%	27.3%	+13.5	40
2025-09-13	Keflavik IF	L 1-4	1148	1325	26.9%	24.5%	48.7%	-8.6	19
2025-09-13	@ Selfoss	W 4-1	1325	1148	48.7%	24.5%	26.9%	+8.6	37
2025-09-13	Leiknir Reykjavik	L 1-2	1201	1218	48.1%	24.6%	27.3%	-5.5	15
2025-09-13	@ Fjolnir	W 2-1	1218	1201	27.3%	24.6%	48.1%	+5.6	23
2025-09-13	Thor Akureyri	L 1-2	1308	1305	50.9%	24.0%	25.1%	-5.8	41
2025-09-13	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1305	1308	25.1%	24.0%	50.9%	+5.8	45

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2025-09-17	Njardvik	L 1-2	1333	1340	49.4%	24.3%	26.3%	-5.7	0-1
2025-09-17	@ Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1340	1333	26.3%	24.3%	49.4%	+5.7	1-0
2025-09-17	Throttur Reykjavik	W 4-3	1316	1303	52.1%	23.7%	24.2%	+2.9	1-0
2025-09-17	@ HK Kopavogur	L 3-4	1303	1316	24.2%	23.7%	52.1%	-2.9	0-1
2025-09-21	HK Kopavogur	L 2-3	1300	1319	47.8%	24.6%	27.6%	-5.2	0-2
2025-09-21	@ Throttur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1319	1300	27.6%	24.6%	47.8%	+5.2	2-0
2025-09-21	Keflavik IF	L 0-3	1346	1328	52.8%	23.6%	23.7%	-17.4	1-1
2025-09-21	@ Njardvik	W 3-0	1328	1346	23.7%	23.6%	52.8%	+17.4	1-1
2025-09-27	HK Kopavogur	W 4-0	1345	1324	40.2%	25.5%	34.4%	+16.2	2-1
2025-09-27	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-4	1324	1345	34.4%	25.5%	40.2%	-16.2	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-09-06	12.18%	IF Volsungur	1123	2	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1309	1
2	2025-06-04	14.32%	IF Volsungur	1109	3	@ Thor Akureyri	1254	1
3	2025-06-21	14.55%	IF Volsungur	1119	4	@ Grindavik	1260	2
4	2025-06-09	15.77%	Selfoss	1137	2	@ Fjolnir	1258	0
5	2025-05-30	17.99%	HK Kopavogur	1266	3	@ Keflavik IF	1353	0
6	2025-06-04	18.95%	Leiknir Reykjavik	1226	2	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1301	1
7	2025-07-18	19.18%	Selfoss	1146	2	@ Grindavik	1217	0
8	2025-05-17	19.50%	IF Volsungur	1101	2	@ Selfoss	1168	1
9	2025-06-19	19.88%	Fjolnir	1235	4	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1297	1
10	2025-05-18	20.20%	Grindavik	1235	4	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1293	2
11	2025-05-09	20.61%	Throttur Reykjavik	1286	1	@ Keflavik IF	1339	0
12	2025-05-09	21.16%	Thor Akureyri	1230	4	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1277	1
13	2025-08-17	21.36%	Throttur Reykjavik	1304	3	@ Njardvik	1348	2
14	2025-07-18	21.70%	Thor Akureyri	1269	2	@ HK Kopavogur	1309	1
15	2025-05-23	22.26%	Throttur Reykjavik	1283	2	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	1317	1
16	2025-09-21 *	23.68%	Keflavik IF	1328	3	@ Njardvik	1346	0
17	2025-07-11	23.71%	Grindavik	1212	3	@ Fjolnir	1230	2
18	2025-07-04	24.49%	Fjolnir	1224	1	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1234	0
19	2025-06-27	24.52%	Thor Akureyri	1241	5	@ Fjolnir	1251	0
20	2025-08-29	24.54%	Fylkir Reykjavik	1297	2	@ HK Kopavogur	1307	0
21	2025-05-30	24.67%	IR Reykjavik	1265	3	@ Fjolnir	1274	0
22	2025-05-24	24.83%	Thor Akureyri	1238	4	@ Grindavik	1245	3
23	2025-08-17	24.83%	Thor Akureyri	1295	1	@ IR Reykjavik	1301	0
24	2025-09-13	25.12%	Thor Akureyri	1305	2	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1308	1
25	2025-07-11	25.14%	HK Kopavogur	1303	2	@ IR Reykjavik	1307	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-06-27	27.49	Thor Akureyri	5	1241	24.52%	@ Fjolnir	0	1251	51.65%	23.84%
2	2025-05-30	19.56	HK Kopavogur	3	1266	17.99%	@ Keflavik IF	0	1353	61.20%	20.81%
3	2025-08-23	17.58	Fylkir Reykjavik	4	1280	36.33%	@ Grindavik	0	1191	38.14%	25.53%
4	2025-09-21 *	17.37	Keflavik IF	3	1328	23.68%	@ Njardvik	0	1346	52.76%	23.56%
5	2025-05-30	17.01	IR Reykjavik	3	1265	24.67%	@ Fjolnir	0	1274	51.44%	23.88%
6	2025-08-17	16.32	@ Fylkir Reykjavik	4	1263	39.95%	Keflavik IF	0	1339	34.57%	25.48%
7	2025-09-27 *	16.24	@ Keflavik IF	4	1345	40.18%	HK Kopavogur	0	1324	34.35%	25.47%
8	2025-08-13	16.00	@ Selfoss	3	1139	27.68%	HK Kopavogur	0	1308	47.66%	24.65%
9	2025-06-19	15.85	Fjolnir	4	1235	19.88%	@ Throttur Reykjavik	1	1297	58.22%	21.91%
10	2025-05-30	15.53	Grindavik	6	1240	25.28%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	2	1242	50.66%	24.06%
11	2025-08-23	15.48	HK Kopavogur	5	1291	33.59%	@ Fjolnir	1	1223	40.99%	25.43%
12	2025-05-30	15.47	Njardvik	4	1288	42.40%	@ Selfoss	0	1157	32.28%	25.33%
13	2025-05-09	15.43	Thor Akureyri	4	1230	21.16%	@ Leiknir Reykjavik	1	1277	56.30%	22.54%
14	2025-07-03	15.16	Njardvik	5	1314	34.62%	@ Grindavik	1	1238	39.90%	25.48%
15	2025-07-26	14.75	@ IF Volsungur	4	1116	44.44%	Selfoss	0	1159	30.44%	25.12%
16	2025-06-09	14.11	Selfoss	2	1137	15.77%	@ Fjolnir	0	1258	65.00%	19.23%
17	2025-09-13	13.48	HK Kopavogur	4	1303	48.09%	@ IF Volsungur	0	1131	27.33%	24.58%
18	2025-05-23	13.29	@ Keflavik IF	6	1340	60.89%	Leiknir Reykjavik	0	1255	18.18%	20.93%
19	2025-07-18	13.14	Selfoss	2	1146	19.18%	@ Grindavik	0	1217	59.29%	21.52%
20	2025-06-04	12.59	IF Volsungur	3	1109	14.32%	@ Thor Akureyri	1	1254	67.64%	18.04%
21	2025-08-29	11.75	Fylkir Reykjavik	2	1297	24.54%	@ HK Kopavogur	0	1307	51.62%	23.84%
22	2025-08-08	11.39	@ HK Kopavogur	3	1297	44.10%	Keflavik IF	0	1343	30.74%	25.16%
23	2025-06-21	11.21	IF Volsungur	4	1119	14.55%	@ Grindavik	2	1260	67.22%	18.23%
24	2025-06-27	11.06	@ IR Reykjavik	6	1290	55.68%	Grindavik	1	1249	21.59%	22.73%
25	2025-07-07	10.86	Keflavik IF	4	1326	38.52%	@ Grindavik	1	1222	35.95%	25.53%