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1977-78 Football League First Division Season

462 games

Final

Champion

Nottingham Forest

64 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Newcastle United

22 pts

Leicester City · 22 pts

West Ham · 32 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Nottingham Forest

11.04 points above expected

64 points · 52.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Newcastle United

12.85 points below expected

22 points · 34.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Nottingham Forest Champion 42 25 14 3 64 69 24 +45 52.96 +11.04
2 Liverpool 42 24 9 9 57 65 34 +31 50.77 +6.23
3 Everton 42 22 11 9 55 76 45 +31 49.28 +5.72
4 Manchester City 42 20 12 10 52 74 51 +23 50.28 +1.72
5 Arsenal 42 21 10 11 52 60 37 +23 48.69 +3.31
6 West Brom 42 18 14 10 50 62 53 +9 45.88 +4.12
7 Coventry City 42 18 12 12 48 75 62 +13 43.59 +4.41
8 Aston Villa 42 18 10 14 46 57 42 +15 45.99 +0.01
9 Leeds United 42 18 10 14 46 63 53 +10 44.10 +1.90
10 Manchester United 42 16 10 16 42 67 63 +4 43.57 -1.57
11 Birmingham City 42 16 9 17 41 55 60 -5 38.86 +2.14
12 Derby County 42 14 13 15 41 54 59 -5 40.06 +0.94
13 Norwich City 42 11 18 13 40 52 66 -14 39.50 +0.50
14 Middlesbrough 42 12 15 15 39 42 54 -12 39.50 -0.50
15 Wolverhampton 42 12 12 18 36 51 64 -13 38.95 -2.95
16 Chelsea 42 11 14 17 36 46 69 -23 36.50 -0.50
17 Bristol City 42 11 13 18 35 49 53 -4 38.47 -3.47
18 Ipswich Town 42 11 13 18 35 47 61 -14 41.35 -6.35
19 Queens Park Rangers 42 9 15 18 33 47 64 -17 37.11 -4.11
20 West Ham Relegated 42 12 8 22 32 52 69 -17 34.60 -2.60
21 Newcastle United Relegated 42 6 10 26 22 42 78 -36 34.85 -12.85
22 Leicester City Relegated 42 5 12 25 22 26 70 -44 29.13 -7.13

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Nottingham Forest 2005 64 52.96 +11.04 99.4% 33 45 50 53 56 61 72
Liverpool 1978 57 50.77 +6.23 92.0% 31 43 48 51 54 59 67
Everton 1906 55 49.28 +5.72 90.0% 28 41 46 49 53 57 72
Manchester City 1886 52 50.28 +1.72 67.5% 31 42 47 50 54 58 70
Arsenal 1882 52 48.69 +3.31 78.3% 30 41 45 49 52 57 65
Aston Villa 1859 46 45.99 +0.01 54.3% 28 38 43 46 49 54 64
Coventry City 1825 48 43.59 +4.41 83.6% 27 35 40 44 47 52 63
West Brom 1824 50 45.88 +4.12 81.8% 27 38 42 46 49 54 66
Manchester United 1816 42 43.57 -1.57 41.2% 26 35 40 44 47 52 64
Leeds United 1784 46 44.10 +1.90 68.6% 26 36 41 44 47 52 62
Birmingham City 1783 41 38.86 +2.14 70.4% 20 31 36 39 42 47 59
Derby County 1761 41 40.06 +0.94 61.5% 20 32 37 40 43 48 59
Bristol City 1738 35 38.47 -3.47 27.6% 21 30 35 38 42 47 58
Middlesbrough 1737 39 39.50 -0.50 50.1% 20 31 36 39 43 48 58
Wolverhampton 1729 36 38.95 -2.95 30.8% 20 31 36 39 42 47 57
Queens Park Rangers 1717 33 37.11 -4.11 22.6% 20 29 34 37 40 45 53
West Ham 1716 32 34.60 -2.60 33.1% 16 27 31 35 38 43 54
Chelsea 1705 36 36.50 -0.50 50.7% 16 28 33 36 40 45 53
Ipswich Town 1704 35 41.35 -6.35 11.3% 20 33 38 41 45 50 58
Norwich City 1701 40 39.50 +0.50 57.5% 22 31 36 39 43 48 58
Newcastle United 1579 22 34.85 -12.85 0.5% 15 27 32 35 38 43 52
Leicester City 1558 22 29.13 -7.13 8.0% 12 21 26 29 32 37 46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BC CHE CC DC EVE IT LU LC LIV MC MU MID NU NC NF QPR WB WH WOL
Arsenal —
0-0-2
2.92
0-2-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
3.69
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
4.04
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.27
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.06
Aston Villa
2-0-0
2.49
 —
0-0-2
3.28
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.93
0-0-2
3.21
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.02
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.40
Birmingham City
0-2-0
1.96
2-0-0
2.13
 —
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
2.42
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
1.62
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
3.81
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.91
Bristol City
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.99
 —
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.24
0-2-0
3.02
0-2-0
1.75
0-1-1
1.76
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.82
0-2-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.30
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.63
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.59
 —
0-0-2
2.43
0-2-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
1.71
0-1-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
1.50
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.59
Coventry City
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.99
0-2-0
3.17
2-0-0
2.98
 —
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.78
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
3.48
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.00
Derby County
2-0-0
1.73
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.91
1-0-1
2.92
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.64
 —
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
1.89
1-1-0
2.05
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.77
Everton
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.49
 —
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.36
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.35
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
3.27
Ipswich Town
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.08
0-2-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
1.96
 —
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
3.81
0-2-0
2.12
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
2.76
Leeds United
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.01
0-0-2
3.18
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.80
 —
1-1-0
3.80
0-0-2
2.29
2-0-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
3.00
0-1-1
3.24
1-1-0
1.96
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
3.48
Leicester City
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
1.62
0-2-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
1.63
0-1-1
1.65
 —
0-0-2
1.35
0-1-1
1.38
0-0-2
1.56
1-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
1.81
Liverpool
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.65
0-2-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.53
1-1-0
2.73
0-2-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
4.14
 —
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.55
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.49
Manchester City
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
2.78
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.39
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
4.06
1-0-1
2.44
 —
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.57
0-1-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.61
Manchester United
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
1.88
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.65
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.16
 —
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.44
2-0-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
3.31
Middlesbrough
0-0-2
2.10
2-0-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
1.76
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
3.69
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.41
 —
2-0-0
2.63
0-2-0
2.50
0-1-1
1.53
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.91
0-2-0
2.98
Newcastle United
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.51
0-0-2
2.27
2-0-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
2.77
 —
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
2.42
Norwich City
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.42
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.16
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
2.47
0-2-0
2.90
1-1-0
3.21
 —
0-2-0
1.58
0-1-1
3.06
0-2-0
2.01
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.71
Nottingham Forest
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.96
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.78
0-2-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.17
0-2-0
3.84
 —
2-0-0
3.72
0-2-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.13
Queens Park Rangers
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.74
 —
1-0-1
1.82
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.62
West Brom
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
4.01
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.18
0-2-0
3.41
0-2-0
1.98
1-0-1
3.59
 —
1-1-0
3.64
0-2-0
3.08
West Ham
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
1.54
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.79
 —
0-1-1
2.36
Wolverhampton
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
2.13
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.61
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
1.81
1-0-1
2.09
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.31
2-0-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.05
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +7.3
Allowed 0.76 -7.1
Differential 0.95 +4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.31%8.33%5.63%3.68%1.52%0.32%28.79%
18.33%11.26%7.14%4.55%1.08%0.54%32.90%
25.63%7.14%6.28%1.84%0.43%0.32%21.65%
33.68%4.55%1.84%1.52%—0.11%11.69%
41.52%1.08%0.43%—0.22%0.22%3.46%
5+0.32%0.54%0.32%0.11%0.22%—1.52%
Total28.79%32.90%21.65%11.69%3.46%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.74
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%11.90%4.76%2.38%——26.19%
111.90%14.29%4.76%2.38%——33.33%
22.38%11.90%2.38%———16.67%
39.52%9.52%————19.05%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%11.90%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.88 +0.55
SD 1.21 0.80 1.61
CV 0.85 0.91 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%2.38%——30.95%
17.14%14.29%4.76%2.38%2.38%—30.95%
29.52%7.14%2.38%———19.05%
39.52%2.38%2.38%———14.29%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total33.33%42.86%16.67%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.00 +0.36
SD 1.34 0.96 1.81
CV 0.99 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%—28.57%
19.52%11.90%7.14%2.38%4.76%—35.71%
2—11.90%—2.38%—2.38%16.67%
37.14%4.76%2.38%———14.29%
4—2.38%———2.38%4.76%
5+———————
Total26.19%40.48%14.29%7.14%7.14%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.43 -0.12
SD 1.18 1.40 1.76
CV 0.90 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%23.81%7.14%2.38%——40.48%
1—16.67%2.38%2.38%2.38%—23.81%
24.76%2.38%7.14%2.38%——16.67%
34.76%7.14%4.76%———16.67%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total16.67%52.38%21.43%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.26 -0.10
SD 1.21 0.91 1.53
CV 1.04 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%9.52%7.14%—2.38%40.48%
17.14%11.90%4.76%4.76%—2.38%30.95%
24.76%2.38%7.14%——2.38%16.67%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+———2.38%2.38%—4.76%
Total26.19%28.57%21.43%14.29%2.38%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.64 -0.55
SD 1.28 1.57 1.85
CV 1.17 0.96 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%—4.76%——2.38%11.90%
17.14%19.05%14.29%2.38%——42.86%
2—11.90%2.38%2.38%2.38%—19.05%
32.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
44.76%2.38%2.38%———9.52%
5+—2.38%——2.38%—4.76%
Total19.05%40.48%26.19%7.14%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.48 +0.31
SD 1.35 1.25 1.87
CV 0.76 0.85 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%9.52%2.38%7.14%2.38%—33.33%
12.38%14.29%2.38%11.90%——30.95%
22.38%11.90%4.76%———19.05%
32.38%4.76%————7.14%
4—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
5+———————
Total19.05%45.24%14.29%19.05%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.40 -0.12
SD 1.27 1.08 1.74
CV 0.99 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%————19.05%
114.29%7.14%—9.52%——30.95%
29.52%11.90%—2.38%—2.38%26.19%
34.76%2.38%—4.76%——11.90%
4————2.38%—2.38%
5+4.76%4.76%————9.52%
Total45.24%33.33%—16.67%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.07 +0.74
SD 1.58 1.40 2.01
CV 0.87 1.31 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%7.14%2.38%2.38%—33.33%
114.29%11.90%14.29%——2.38%42.86%
22.38%2.38%4.76%———9.52%
3——2.38%4.76%—2.38%9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total28.57%26.19%30.95%7.14%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.45 -0.33
SD 1.19 1.38 1.63
CV 1.07 0.95 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%7.14%2.38%——19.05%
111.90%9.52%7.14%7.14%——35.71%
29.52%7.14%9.52%4.76%——30.95%
32.38%2.38%4.76%———9.52%
4———————
5+2.38%2.38%————4.76%
Total30.95%26.19%28.57%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.26 +0.24
SD 1.19 1.06 1.69
CV 0.80 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.05%11.90%14.29%7.14%2.38%—54.76%
17.14%7.14%4.76%2.38%4.76%4.76%30.95%
2—2.38%2.38%7.14%——11.90%
32.38%—————2.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%21.43%21.43%16.67%7.14%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.67 -1.05
SD 0.79 1.48 1.55
CV 1.28 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%2.38%4.76%———14.29%
119.05%11.90%4.76%4.76%——40.48%
216.67%2.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
37.14%4.76%2.38%———14.29%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+———————
Total54.76%21.43%14.29%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.81 +0.74
SD 1.06 1.09 1.61
CV 0.69 1.34 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%2.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%—21.43%
17.14%9.52%4.76%2.38%——23.81%
27.14%7.14%9.52%2.38%2.38%—28.57%
32.38%9.52%2.38%———14.29%
44.76%4.76%————9.52%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total30.95%33.33%23.81%7.14%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.21 +0.55
SD 1.41 1.12 1.86
CV 0.80 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%—2.38%4.76%—16.67%
17.14%9.52%19.05%7.14%——42.86%
22.38%4.76%9.52%———16.67%
32.38%9.52%4.76%———16.67%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total19.05%30.95%35.71%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.50 +0.10
SD 1.31 1.06 1.85
CV 0.82 0.71 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%2.38%35.71%
17.14%14.29%9.52%—4.76%—35.71%
29.52%7.14%7.14%———23.81%
3—2.38%————2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%33.33%23.81%2.38%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.29 -0.29
SD 0.96 1.27 1.64
CV 0.96 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%7.14%19.05%9.52%2.38%—40.48%
14.76%9.52%14.29%2.38%——30.95%
24.76%—9.52%4.76%2.38%—21.43%
3——2.38%———2.38%
42.38%———2.38%—4.76%
5+———————
Total14.29%16.67%45.24%16.67%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 1.08 1.09 1.56
CV 1.08 0.59 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%2.38%—9.52%4.76%—28.57%
19.52%11.90%7.14%4.76%——33.33%
22.38%9.52%14.29%———26.19%
32.38%2.38%—4.76%——9.52%
4—————2.38%2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%26.19%21.43%19.05%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.57 -0.33
SD 1.05 1.33 1.57
CV 0.85 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%4.76%—2.38%——23.81%
19.52%9.52%————19.05%
221.43%7.14%4.76%———33.33%
34.76%7.14%2.38%2.38%——16.67%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total59.52%28.57%7.14%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.57 +1.07
SD 1.23 0.83 1.44
CV 0.75 1.45 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%7.14%2.38%——30.95%
14.76%11.90%7.14%7.14%2.38%2.38%35.71%
22.38%9.52%9.52%2.38%——23.81%
34.76%——4.76%——9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%33.33%23.81%16.67%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.52 -0.40
SD 0.97 1.21 1.47
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%—7.14%2.38%—21.43%
111.90%9.52%2.38%7.14%——30.95%
27.14%9.52%11.90%———28.57%
34.76%7.14%—4.76%——16.67%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.95%14.29%19.05%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.26 +0.21
SD 1.09 1.19 1.73
CV 0.74 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%14.29%9.52%7.14%——33.33%
14.76%2.38%11.90%2.38%2.38%—23.81%
22.38%9.52%11.90%4.76%——28.57%
34.76%2.38%4.76%2.38%——14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%38.10%16.67%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.64 -0.40
SD 1.08 1.01 1.53
CV 0.87 0.61 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%4.76%—4.76%—28.57%
14.76%9.52%9.52%14.29%——38.10%
22.38%7.14%4.76%2.38%——16.67%
32.38%9.52%2.38%2.38%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%33.33%21.43%19.05%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.52 -0.31
SD 1.05 1.17 1.58
CV 0.86 0.77 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nottingham Forest 64 52.96 +11.04
2 Liverpool 57 50.77 +6.23
3 Everton 55 49.28 +5.72
4 Coventry City 48 43.59 +4.41
5 West Brom 50 45.88 +4.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Newcastle United 22 34.85 -12.85
2 Leicester City 22 29.13 -7.13
3 Ipswich Town 35 41.35 -6.35
4 Queens Park Rangers 33 37.11 -4.11
5 Bristol City 35 38.47 -3.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leeds United 5 Jan 14 – Mar 1 1 in 211
2 Liverpool 5 Mar 11 – Apr 8 1 in 181
3 Middlesbrough 4 Jan 14 – Feb 25 1 in 121
4 Manchester City 7 Dec 26 – Feb 11 1 in 103
5 Birmingham City 4 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 82

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newcastle United 10 Aug 23 – Oct 15 1 in 16,681
2 Ipswich Town 5 Dec 31 – Feb 4 1 in 394
3 Wolverhampton 5 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 56
4 Birmingham City 4 Aug 20 – Sep 3 1 in 46
5 Liverpool 3 Oct 29 – Nov 12 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Everton 18 Aug 27 – Dec 17 1 in 563
2 Nottingham Forest 26 Nov 26 – May 4 1 in 351
3 Birmingham City 9 Mar 15 – Apr 15 1 in 57
4 Norwich City 6 Feb 25 – Mar 18 1 in 36
5 Coventry City 8 Oct 4 – Nov 19 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Newcastle United 19 Jan 14 – Apr 29 1 in 303
2 Manchester United 8 Feb 8 – Mar 18 1 in 65
3 Liverpool 5 Oct 22 – Nov 19 1 in 26
4 Queens Park Rangers 9 Nov 19 – Jan 2 1 in 25
5 Arsenal 5 Jan 21 – Feb 28 1 in 24

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Nottingham Forest36.50%20.16%13.60%9.33%6.41%4.66%3.20%2.13%1.39%0.84%0.64%0.38%0.37%0.16%0.10%0.07%0.02%0.03%0.01%———
Liverpool18.00%18.02%15.19%12.31%10.38%7.01%5.61%3.88%2.84%2.21%1.39%0.93%0.79%0.52%0.34%0.24%0.19%0.11%0.03%0.01%——
Everton11.04%13.79%13.58%12.87%10.60%9.14%7.42%5.69%4.70%3.25%2.43%1.76%1.33%0.85%0.46%0.46%0.32%0.14%0.11%0.04%0.02%—
Manchester City14.59%16.28%15.34%13.04%9.84%8.25%6.43%4.19%3.58%2.65%1.95%1.26%0.98%0.71%0.43%0.18%0.14%0.11%0.01%0.03%0.01%—
Arsenal8.74%11.91%12.58%11.57%11.40%9.69%8.21%6.67%5.00%4.07%2.76%2.16%1.42%1.30%0.94%0.59%0.42%0.24%0.16%0.13%0.04%—
West Brom3.34%4.93%6.51%8.23%9.20%9.63%8.71%8.20%7.82%7.31%5.95%4.58%3.93%3.23%2.62%1.88%1.48%1.08%0.73%0.45%0.16%0.03%
Coventry City1.07%2.33%3.70%4.93%6.02%7.37%8.43%8.55%8.21%7.33%7.33%7.15%5.68%4.93%4.67%3.38%2.82%2.43%1.71%1.01%0.72%0.23%
Aston Villa3.13%5.04%6.79%8.42%9.50%10.08%9.49%9.09%7.85%6.50%5.65%4.86%3.50%3.04%2.33%1.43%1.34%0.75%0.74%0.26%0.12%0.09%
Leeds United1.47%2.61%4.05%5.45%6.92%7.69%8.65%8.99%8.62%8.02%7.05%5.83%5.49%4.73%3.90%2.95%2.68%1.79%1.41%1.08%0.48%0.14%
Manchester United1.20%2.09%3.18%4.66%5.76%6.77%7.81%8.72%8.46%8.19%7.89%6.69%5.94%5.60%4.40%3.63%3.13%2.26%1.81%1.11%0.48%0.22%
Birmingham City0.12%0.21%0.46%0.94%1.28%1.96%2.73%3.25%4.40%5.25%6.03%6.89%7.93%7.84%7.99%7.70%7.92%7.68%7.01%5.62%4.79%2.00%
Derby County0.19%0.57%0.97%1.32%2.10%2.76%3.82%4.68%5.88%6.63%6.79%7.49%7.63%7.71%7.63%7.19%6.61%5.84%5.38%4.22%3.26%1.33%
Norwich City0.08%0.38%0.73%1.07%1.65%2.36%3.16%4.19%4.70%5.70%6.49%7.02%7.10%7.55%7.87%7.88%7.62%6.96%6.46%5.13%4.32%1.58%
Middlesbrough0.09%0.31%0.74%1.13%1.60%2.48%2.94%4.00%4.81%5.91%6.49%7.12%7.40%7.73%7.64%7.65%7.41%7.48%6.38%5.16%3.86%1.67%
Wolverhampton0.08%0.24%0.48%0.91%1.43%1.81%2.36%3.76%4.48%5.31%5.73%6.62%7.61%7.22%8.29%8.13%7.85%7.52%7.14%6.34%4.44%2.25%
Chelsea0.01%0.04%0.12%0.35%0.48%0.82%1.20%1.34%2.10%2.85%3.27%3.95%5.17%5.70%6.94%8.28%8.74%9.83%11.19%11.40%10.28%5.94%
Bristol City0.05%0.11%0.29%0.82%1.21%1.98%2.61%3.38%4.00%4.60%5.91%6.37%7.03%7.57%8.33%8.31%7.78%8.05%7.34%6.75%5.08%2.43%
Ipswich Town0.28%0.84%1.46%2.05%3.11%4.04%4.97%5.95%6.50%7.08%7.76%7.84%7.51%7.99%6.42%6.36%5.64%4.63%3.87%2.98%1.99%0.73%
Queens Park Rangers—0.12%0.17%0.42%0.74%0.87%1.31%1.86%2.40%3.16%4.01%5.46%5.88%6.75%7.12%9.02%9.23%9.47%9.16%9.53%8.66%4.66%
West Ham0.01%0.01%0.02%0.07%0.15%0.30%0.41%0.76%1.17%1.59%2.11%2.73%3.47%4.14%5.21%6.66%8.62%10.27%11.75%14.34%15.49%10.72%
Newcastle United0.01%0.01%0.04%0.11%0.22%0.33%0.53%0.68%1.06%1.44%2.16%2.65%3.44%4.09%5.43%6.51%7.85%9.70%11.99%14.56%16.47%10.72%
Leicester City———————0.04%0.03%0.11%0.21%0.26%0.40%0.64%0.94%1.50%2.19%3.63%5.61%9.85%19.33%55.26%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.11%
Strong Edge
48.27%28.57%23.16%
Elo Value
Home Edge
201 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
089.14600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.54 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.8
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Nottingham Forest, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.070.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.93 * Some Luck: 3.93 to 5.89 * Lucky: 5.89 to 7.86 * Wild Swing: 7.86 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.66 * Close: 2.66 to 3.99 * Off: 3.99 to 5.32 * Way Off: 5.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.33 * A Surprise: 1.33 to 2.13 * Several Surprises: 2.13 to 2.93 * Many Surprises: 2.93 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.03 points
Some Luck
04.9112
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.23
Pinpoint
03.328
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
99.39%
Nottingham Forest
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
0.54%
Newcastle United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.64
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.11 * Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.18
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.00
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0710.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Nottingham Forest 100% —
Liverpool 99.99% 0.01%
Manchester City 99.96% 0.04%
Everton 99.94% 0.06%
Arsenal 99.83% 0.17%
Aston Villa 99.53% 0.47%
West Brom 99.36% 0.64%
Leeds United 98.30% 1.70%
Manchester United 98.19% 1.81%
Coventry City 98.04% 1.96%
Ipswich Town 94.30% 5.70%
Derby County 91.19% 8.81%
Middlesbrough 89.31% 10.69%
Norwich City 88.97% 11.03%
Birmingham City 87.59% 12.41%
Wolverhampton 86.97% 13.03%
Bristol City 85.74% 14.26%
Queens Park Rangers 77.15% 22.85%
Chelsea 72.38% 27.62%
West Ham 59.45% 40.55%
Newcastle United 58.25% 41.75%
Leicester City 15.56% 84.44%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1977-08-20 Manchester United L 1-4 1773 1801 48.35% 30.11% 21.54% -32.1 0
1977-08-20 @ Birmingham City W 4-1 1801 1773 21.54% 30.11% 48.35% +32.1 2
1977-08-20 Wolverhampton L 2-3 1753 1771 49.57% 30.03% 20.40% -12.7 0
1977-08-20 @ Bristol City W 3-2 1771 1753 20.40% 30.03% 49.57% +12.7 2
1977-08-20 Derby County W 3-1 1752 1784 47.88% 30.14% 21.98% +12.6 2
1977-08-20 @ Coventry City L 1-3 1784 1752 21.98% 30.14% 47.88% -12.6 0
1977-08-20 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1783 1747 54.96% 29.46% 15.57% -25.5 0
1977-08-20 @ Everton W 3-1 1747 1783 15.57% 29.46% 54.96% +25.5 2
1977-08-20 Arsenal W 1-0 1824 1799 53.77% 29.62% 16.60% +6.2 2
1977-08-20 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1799 1824 16.60% 29.62% 53.77% -6.2 0
1977-08-20 Leicester City D 0-0 1834 1744 59.46% 28.62% 11.92% -3.5 1
1977-08-20 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1744 1834 11.92% 28.62% 59.46% +3.5 1
1977-08-20 Liverpool D 1-1 1768 1841 43.02% 30.30% 26.68% -1.0 1
1977-08-20 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1841 1768 26.68% 30.30% 43.02% +1.0 1
1977-08-20 Leeds United W 3-2 1803 1784 53.26% 29.69% 17.06% +5.6 2
1977-08-20 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1784 1803 17.06% 29.69% 53.26% -5.6 0
1977-08-20 Aston Villa L 1-2 1787 1817 48.26% 30.12% 21.62% -13.1 0
1977-08-20 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1817 1787 21.62% 30.12% 48.26% +13.1 2
1977-08-20 Chelsea W 3-0 1800 1728 58.05% 28.93% 13.02% +13.8 2
1977-08-20 @ West Brom L 0-3 1728 1800 13.02% 28.93% 58.05% -13.8 0
1977-08-20 Norwich City L 1-3 1749 1753 50.98% 29.92% 19.10% -23.8 0
1977-08-20 @ West Ham W 3-1 1753 1749 19.10% 29.92% 50.98% +23.8 2
1977-08-23 Everton W 1-0 1793 1758 54.83% 29.48% 15.69% +5.9 2
1977-08-23 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1758 1793 15.69% 29.48% 54.83% -5.9 0
1977-08-23 Newcastle United W 2-0 1842 1808 54.69% 29.50% 15.81% +11.2 3
1977-08-23 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1808 1842 15.81% 29.50% 54.69% -11.2 2
1977-08-23 Bristol City W 1-0 1772 1741 54.48% 29.53% 15.99% +6.0 4
1977-08-23 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1741 1772 15.99% 29.53% 54.48% -6.0 0
1977-08-23 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1783 1774 52.30% 29.79% 17.91% +6.6 4
1977-08-23 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1774 1783 17.91% 29.79% 52.30% -6.6 0
1977-08-24 Manchester City L 1-4 1830 1831 51.29% 29.89% 18.82% -33.9 2
1977-08-24 @ Aston Villa W 4-1 1831 1830 18.82% 29.89% 51.29% +33.8 3
1977-08-24 Birmingham City W 2-0 1714 1741 48.52% 30.10% 21.38% +14.2 2
1977-08-24 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1741 1714 21.38% 30.10% 48.52% -14.2 0
1977-08-24 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1772 1830 44.88% 30.26% 24.86% -1.3 1
1977-08-24 @ Derby County D 0-0 1830 1772 24.86% 30.26% 44.88% +1.3 3
1977-08-24 West Brom D 2-2 1778 1814 47.55% 30.16% 22.30% -1.1 1
1977-08-24 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1814 1778 22.30% 30.16% 47.55% +1.1 3
1977-08-24 West Ham W 1-0 1748 1725 53.65% 29.64% 16.71% +6.2 3
1977-08-24 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1725 1748 16.71% 29.64% 53.65% -6.2 0
1977-08-24 Coventry City W 2-1 1833 1764 57.79% 28.98% 13.23% +4.8 4
1977-08-24 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1764 1833 13.23% 28.98% 57.79% -4.8 2
1977-08-24 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1776 1767 52.34% 29.79% 17.87% -2.2 3
1977-08-24 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1767 1776 17.87% 29.79% 52.34% +2.2 2
1977-08-27 Everton L 1-2 1796 1752 55.60% 29.37% 15.03% -14.9 2
1977-08-27 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1752 1796 15.03% 29.37% 55.60% +14.9 2
1977-08-27 Coventry City L 1-2 1728 1759 48.04% 30.13% 21.83% -13.0 2
1977-08-27 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1759 1728 21.83% 30.13% 48.04% +13.0 4
1977-08-27 Birmingham City W 1-0 1777 1727 56.21% 29.27% 14.53% +5.5 3
1977-08-27 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1727 1777 14.53% 29.27% 56.21% -5.5 0
1977-08-27 Bristol City D 0-0 1754 1735 53.32% 29.68% 17.00% -2.6 4
1977-08-27 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1735 1754 17.00% 29.68% 53.32% +2.6 1
1977-08-27 West Brom W 3-0 1853 1815 55.11% 29.44% 15.45% +15.9 5
1977-08-27 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1815 1853 15.45% 29.44% 55.11% -15.9 3
1977-08-27 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1838 1831 52.12% 29.81% 18.07% -2.4 5
1977-08-27 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1831 1838 18.07% 29.81% 52.12% +2.4 4
1977-08-27 Newcastle United W 2-0 1769 1797 48.40% 30.11% 21.49% +14.3 4
1977-08-27 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1797 1769 21.49% 30.11% 48.40% -14.3 2
1977-08-27 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1774 1768 52.06% 29.82% 18.13% -2.1 4
1977-08-27 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1768 1774 18.13% 29.82% 52.06% +2.1 1
1977-08-27 Derby County W 3-0 1778 1770 52.19% 29.80% 18.00% +18.1 6
1977-08-27 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1770 1778 18.00% 29.80% 52.19% -18.0 1
1977-08-27 Manchester City L 0-1 1719 1865 33.20% 30.14% 36.66% -10.4 0
1977-08-27 @ West Ham W 1-0 1865 1719 36.66% 30.14% 33.20% +10.4 5
1977-08-27 Arsenal D 1-1 1790 1799 50.42% 29.97% 19.61% -1.9 5
1977-08-27 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1799 1790 19.61% 29.97% 50.42% +1.9 3
1977-09-03 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1801 1796 51.89% 29.84% 18.27% +18.3 5
1977-09-03 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1796 1801 18.27% 29.84% 51.89% -18.3 6
1977-09-03 Liverpool L 0-1 1721 1869 32.87% 30.12% 37.01% -10.3 0
1977-09-03 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1869 1721 37.01% 30.12% 32.87% +10.3 7
1977-09-03 Aston Villa D 1-1 1737 1781 46.58% 30.20% 23.21% -1.4 2
1977-09-03 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1781 1737 23.21% 30.20% 46.58% +1.4 3
1977-09-03 Leeds United D 2-2 1772 1783 50.30% 29.98% 19.72% -1.4 5
1977-09-03 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1783 1772 19.72% 29.98% 50.30% +1.4 4
1977-09-03 Manchester United L 0-1 1752 1836 41.69% 30.31% 27.99% -12.3 1
1977-09-03 @ Derby County W 1-0 1836 1752 27.99% 30.31% 41.69% +12.3 7
1977-09-03 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1767 1788 49.16% 30.06% 20.77% -2.0 3
1977-09-03 @ Everton D 0-0 1788 1767 20.77% 30.06% 49.16% +1.9 6
1977-09-03 Chelsea W 1-0 1833 1715 61.57% 28.07% 10.35% +4.1 6
1977-09-03 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1715 1833 10.35% 28.07% 61.57% -4.1 2
1977-09-03 Norwich City W 4-0 1875 1772 60.43% 28.38% 11.19% +15.7 7
1977-09-03 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1772 1875 11.19% 28.38% 60.43% -15.7 4
1977-09-03 West Ham L 2-3 1783 1708 58.23% 28.89% 12.88% -14.8 2
1977-09-03 @ Newcastle United W 3-2 1708 1783 12.88% 28.89% 58.23% +14.8 2
1977-09-03 Leicester City W 3-0 1770 1751 53.25% 29.69% 17.07% +17.3 3
1977-09-03 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-3 1751 1770 17.07% 29.69% 53.25% -17.3 4
1977-09-03 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1799 1784 52.95% 29.72% 17.33% +6.0 5
1977-09-03 @ West Brom L 1-2 1784 1799 17.33% 29.72% 52.95% -6.0 4
1977-09-10 Arsenal W 1-0 1782 1819 47.38% 30.17% 22.46% +7.8 5
1977-09-10 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1819 1782 22.46% 30.17% 47.38% -7.8 5
1977-09-10 Derby County D 1-1 1711 1740 48.30% 30.12% 21.59% -1.6 3
1977-09-10 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1740 1711 21.59% 30.12% 48.30% +1.6 2
1977-09-10 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1784 1837 45.46% 30.24% 24.29% +7.8 6
1977-09-10 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1837 1784 24.29% 30.24% 45.46% -7.8 6
1977-09-10 Everton L 1-5 1734 1765 48.06% 30.13% 21.81% -41.2 4
1977-09-10 @ Leicester City W 5-1 1765 1734 21.81% 30.13% 48.06% +41.2 5
1977-09-10 Coventry City W 2-0 1880 1771 60.87% 28.27% 10.86% +8.0 9
1977-09-10 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1771 1880 10.86% 28.27% 60.87% -8.0 5
1977-09-10 Manchester United W 3-1 1891 1848 55.48% 29.39% 15.13% +9.3 9
1977-09-10 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1848 1891 15.13% 29.39% 55.48% -9.3 7
1977-09-10 Birmingham City L 1-2 1777 1711 57.58% 29.02% 13.40% -15.4 4
1977-09-10 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1711 1777 13.40% 29.02% 57.58% +15.4 2
1977-09-10 West Brom L 0-3 1768 1805 47.38% 30.17% 22.46% -37.4 2
1977-09-10 @ Newcastle United W 3-0 1805 1768 22.46% 30.17% 47.38% +37.4 7
1977-09-10 Bristol City W 1-0 1756 1736 53.46% 29.66% 16.88% +6.3 6
1977-09-10 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1736 1756 16.88% 29.66% 53.46% -6.3 2
1977-09-10 Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1723 1787 44.15% 30.28% 25.57% -0.8 3
1977-09-10 @ West Ham D 2-2 1787 1723 25.57% 30.28% 44.15% +0.8 4
1977-09-10 Nottingham Forest L 2-3 1790 1778 52.60% 29.76% 17.64% -13.4 6
1977-09-10 @ Wolverhampton W 3-2 1778 1790 17.64% 29.76% 52.60% +13.4 8
1977-09-17 Leicester City W 2-1 1812 1693 61.60% 28.07% 10.33% +3.8 7
1977-09-17 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1693 1812 10.33% 28.07% 61.60% -3.8 4
1977-09-17 Newcastle United W 3-0 1726 1731 50.92% 29.93% 19.16% +19.0 4
1977-09-17 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1731 1726 19.16% 29.93% 50.92% -19.0 2
1977-09-17 West Ham W 3-2 1729 1722 52.12% 29.81% 18.06% +5.9 4
1977-09-17 @ Bristol City L 2-3 1722 1729 18.06% 29.81% 52.12% -5.9 3
1977-09-17 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1763 1762 51.47% 29.88% 18.65% +6.4 7
1977-09-17 @ Coventry City L 1-2 1762 1763 18.65% 29.88% 51.47% -6.4 4
1977-09-17 Leeds United D 2-2 1742 1792 45.80% 30.23% 23.96% -1.0 3
1977-09-17 @ Derby County D 2-2 1792 1742 23.96% 30.23% 45.80% +1.0 7
1977-09-17 Norwich City W 3-0 1806 1763 55.57% 29.37% 15.06% +15.6 7
1977-09-17 @ Everton L 0-3 1763 1806 15.06% 29.37% 55.57% -15.6 6
1977-09-17 Liverpool D 1-1 1830 1888 44.90% 30.26% 24.84% -1.2 7
1977-09-17 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1888 1830 24.84% 30.26% 44.90% +1.2 10
1977-09-17 Chelsea L 0-1 1839 1709 62.35% 27.84% 9.80% -17.6 7
1977-09-17 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1709 1839 9.80% 27.84% 62.35% +17.6 5
1977-09-17 Aston Villa W 2-0 1791 1790 51.51% 29.87% 18.62% +12.8 10
1977-09-17 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1790 1791 18.62% 29.87% 51.51% -12.8 5
1977-09-17 Manchester City D 1-1 1788 1900 37.93% 30.29% 31.79% -0.4 5
1977-09-17 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1900 1788 31.79% 30.29% 37.93% +0.3 10
1977-09-17 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1842 1776 57.52% 29.03% 13.44% -2.1 8
1977-09-17 @ West Brom D 2-2 1776 1842 13.44% 29.03% 57.52% +2.1 7
1977-09-23 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1777 1779 51.27% 29.89% 18.83% +12.9 7
1977-09-23 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1779 1777 18.83% 29.89% 51.27% -12.9 7
1977-09-24 Manchester United D 1-1 1793 1821 48.38% 30.11% 21.51% -1.6 8
1977-09-24 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1821 1793 21.51% 30.11% 48.38% +1.6 8
1977-09-24 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1689 1804 37.49% 30.28% 32.23% -31.0 4
1977-09-24 @ Leicester City W 3-0 1804 1689 32.23% 30.28% 37.49% +31.0 12
1977-09-24 Derby County W 1-0 1889 1741 63.65% 27.43% 8.93% +3.5 12
1977-09-24 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1741 1889 8.93% 27.43% 63.65% -3.5 3
1977-09-24 Bristol City W 2-0 1900 1735 64.73% 27.04% 8.23% +6.2 12
1977-09-24 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1735 1900 8.23% 27.04% 64.73% -6.2 4
1977-09-24 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1756 1828 43.07% 30.30% 26.63% -1.0 5
1977-09-24 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1828 1756 26.63% 30.30% 43.07% +1.0 8
1977-09-24 Coventry City L 1-2 1712 1769 44.96% 30.26% 24.78% -12.3 2
1977-09-24 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1769 1712 24.78% 30.26% 44.96% +12.3 9
1977-09-24 Arsenal W 1-0 1747 1815 43.64% 30.29% 26.07% +8.7 8
1977-09-24 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1815 1747 26.07% 30.29% 43.64% -8.7 7
1977-09-24 Chelsea D 1-1 1788 1727 57.07% 29.12% 13.82% -2.8 6
1977-09-24 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1727 1788 13.82% 29.12% 57.07% +2.8 6
1977-09-24 Birmingham City W 3-1 1840 1745 59.86% 28.53% 11.61% +7.4 10
1977-09-24 @ West Brom L 1-3 1745 1840 11.61% 28.53% 59.86% -7.4 4
1977-09-24 Everton D 1-1 1716 1822 38.81% 30.30% 30.89% -0.4 4
1977-09-24 @ West Ham D 1-1 1822 1716 30.89% 30.30% 38.81% +0.5 8
1977-10-01 West Ham W 3-0 1807 1716 59.51% 28.61% 11.88% +12.7 9
1977-10-01 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1716 1807 11.88% 28.61% 59.51% -12.7 4
1977-10-01 Birmingham City L 0-1 1790 1738 56.37% 29.24% 14.39% -16.0 7
1977-10-01 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1738 1790 14.39% 29.24% 56.37% +16.0 6
1977-10-01 Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1729 1785 45.19% 30.25% 24.56% -0.9 5
1977-10-01 @ Bristol City D 2-2 1785 1729 24.56% 30.25% 45.19% +0.9 7
1977-10-01 Leeds United L 1-2 1730 1791 44.47% 30.27% 25.26% -12.2 6
1977-10-01 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1791 1730 25.26% 30.27% 44.47% +12.2 10
1977-10-01 West Brom L 1-2 1782 1848 43.90% 30.29% 25.82% -12.1 9
1977-10-01 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1848 1782 25.82% 30.29% 43.90% +12.1 12
1977-10-01 Middlesbrough W 4-1 1737 1755 49.52% 30.04% 20.44% +16.8 5
1977-10-01 @ Derby County L 1-4 1755 1737 20.44% 30.04% 49.52% -16.8 5
1977-10-01 Manchester City D 1-1 1822 1906 41.62% 30.31% 28.07% -0.8 9
1977-10-01 @ Everton D 1-1 1906 1822 28.07% 30.31% 41.62% +0.8 13
1977-10-01 Newcastle United W 2-1 1829 1699 62.40% 27.83% 9.77% +3.6 10
1977-10-01 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1699 1829 9.77% 27.83% 62.40% -3.6 2
1977-10-01 Liverpool W 2-0 1823 1892 43.47% 30.29% 26.24% +16.6 10
1977-10-01 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1892 1823 26.24% 30.29% 43.47% -16.6 12
1977-10-01 Norwich City D 1-1 1835 1756 58.60% 28.81% 12.58% -3.0 13
1977-10-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1756 1835 12.58% 28.81% 58.60% +3.0 9
1977-10-01 Leicester City W 3-0 1766 1658 60.80% 28.29% 10.91% +11.7 9
1977-10-01 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 1658 1766 10.91% 28.29% 60.80% -11.7 4
1977-10-03 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1703 1738 47.64% 30.15% 22.21% -25.9 4
1977-10-03 @ West Ham W 2-0 1738 1703 22.21% 30.15% 47.64% +25.9 7
1977-10-04 Liverpool D 0-0 1819 1876 45.08% 30.26% 24.67% -1.4 10
1977-10-04 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1876 1819 24.67% 30.26% 45.08% +1.4 13
1977-10-04 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1754 1786 47.94% 30.14% 21.92% +7.2 8
1977-10-04 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1786 1754 21.92% 30.14% 47.94% -7.2 7
1977-10-04 Manchester City W 4-2 1770 1907 34.34% 30.19% 35.48% +15.9 11
1977-10-04 @ Coventry City L 2-4 1907 1770 35.48% 30.19% 34.34% -15.9 13
1977-10-04 West Brom W 3-1 1821 1860 47.21% 30.17% 22.61% +12.8 11
1977-10-04 @ Everton L 1-3 1860 1821 22.61% 30.17% 47.21% -12.8 12
1977-10-04 Ipswich Town W 4-0 1832 1833 51.28% 29.89% 18.82% +24.4 15
1977-10-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-4 1833 1832 18.82% 29.89% 51.28% -24.4 10
1977-10-04 Derby County L 1-2 1777 1754 53.73% 29.63% 16.64% -14.4 9
1977-10-04 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1754 1777 16.64% 29.63% 53.73% +14.4 7
1977-10-05 Leicester City D 0-0 1718 1646 57.97% 28.95% 13.09% -3.3 7
1977-10-05 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1646 1718 13.09% 28.95% 57.97% +3.3 5
1977-10-05 Aston Villa D 1-1 1804 1774 54.26% 29.56% 16.18% -2.4 11
1977-10-05 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1774 1804 16.18% 29.56% 54.26% +2.4 8
1977-10-05 Newcastle United W 2-1 1759 1696 57.27% 29.08% 13.65% +4.9 11
1977-10-05 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1696 1759 13.65% 29.08% 57.27% -4.9 2
1977-10-08 Coventry City D 1-1 1761 1785 48.79% 30.09% 21.12% -1.7 9
1977-10-08 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1785 1761 21.12% 30.09% 48.79% +1.7 12
1977-10-08 Leeds United W 3-2 1728 1801 43.07% 30.30% 26.63% +7.9 7
1977-10-08 @ Bristol City L 2-3 1801 1728 26.63% 30.30% 43.07% -7.9 11
1977-10-08 Aston Villa L 0-2 1650 1777 35.81% 30.24% 33.95% -20.6 5
1977-10-08 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1777 1650 33.95% 30.24% 35.81% +20.6 10
1977-10-08 Chelsea W 2-0 1877 1714 64.60% 27.09% 8.31% +6.2 15
1977-10-08 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1714 1877 8.31% 27.09% 64.60% -6.2 7
1977-10-08 Arsenal W 2-1 1891 1818 58.13% 28.91% 12.96% +4.7 15
1977-10-08 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1818 1891 12.96% 28.91% 58.13% -4.7 10
1977-10-08 Manchester United W 2-1 1764 1839 42.73% 30.30% 26.97% +8.4 9
1977-10-08 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1839 1764 26.97% 30.30% 42.73% -8.5 10
1977-10-08 Derby County L 1-2 1691 1768 42.49% 30.31% 27.20% -11.8 2
1977-10-08 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1768 1691 27.20% 30.31% 42.49% +11.8 9
1977-10-08 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1764 1763 51.48% 29.88% 18.65% +6.4 13
1977-10-08 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1763 1764 18.65% 29.88% 51.48% -6.4 9
1977-10-08 Everton L 1-5 1778 1834 45.17% 30.25% 24.58% -39.1 7
1977-10-08 @ Queens Park Rangers W 5-1 1834 1778 24.58% 30.25% 45.17% +39.1 13
1977-10-08 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1847 1809 55.10% 29.44% 15.45% +5.8 14
1977-10-08 @ West Brom L 0-1 1809 1847 15.45% 29.44% 55.10% -5.8 10
1977-10-08 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1677 1856 28.81% 29.88% 41.31% +0.8 5
1977-10-08 @ West Ham D 0-0 1856 1677 41.31% 29.88% 28.81% -0.8 16
1977-10-15 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1813 1739 58.17% 28.91% 12.93% +5.0 12
1977-10-15 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1739 1813 12.93% 28.91% 58.17% -5.0 7
1977-10-15 Norwich City W 3-0 1797 1770 54.06% 29.59% 16.35% +16.7 12
1977-10-15 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1770 1797 16.35% 29.59% 54.06% -16.7 13
1977-10-15 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1708 1772 44.15% 30.28% 25.57% -1.2 8
1977-10-15 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1772 1708 25.57% 30.28% 44.15% +1.2 10
1977-10-15 West Brom D 1-1 1780 1853 43.07% 30.30% 26.63% -1.0 10
1977-10-15 @ Derby County D 1-1 1853 1780 26.63% 30.30% 43.07% +1.0 15
1977-10-15 Bristol City W 1-0 1873 1736 62.89% 27.68% 9.43% +3.7 15
1977-10-15 @ Everton L 0-1 1736 1873 9.43% 27.68% 62.89% -3.7 7
1977-10-15 Birmingham City W 5-2 1803 1759 55.58% 29.37% 15.05% +11.4 12
1977-10-15 @ Ipswich Town L 2-5 1759 1803 15.05% 29.37% 55.58% -11.4 9
1977-10-15 Liverpool L 1-2 1793 1883 40.83% 30.31% 28.85% -11.4 11
1977-10-15 @ Leeds United W 2-1 1883 1793 28.85% 30.31% 40.83% +11.4 17
1977-10-15 Coventry City L 1-2 1629 1787 31.53% 30.06% 38.41% -9.4 5
1977-10-15 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1787 1629 38.41% 30.06% 31.53% +9.4 14
1977-10-15 Newcastle United W 3-2 1831 1679 63.88% 27.35% 8.78% +3.1 12
1977-10-15 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1679 1831 8.78% 27.35% 63.88% -3.1 2
1977-10-15 Manchester City W 2-1 1856 1896 46.99% 30.18% 22.83% +7.5 18
1977-10-15 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1896 1856 22.83% 30.18% 46.99% -7.5 15
1977-10-15 West Ham D 2-2 1757 1678 58.54% 28.83% 12.63% -2.3 10
1977-10-15 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1678 1757 12.63% 28.83% 58.54% +2.2 6
1977-10-22 Derby County W 3-1 1748 1779 48.04% 30.13% 21.83% +12.5 11
1977-10-22 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1779 1748 21.83% 30.13% 48.04% -12.5 10
1977-10-22 Arsenal L 0-2 1732 1818 41.42% 30.31% 28.27% -23.0 7
1977-10-22 @ Bristol City W 2-0 1818 1732 28.27% 30.31% 41.42% +23.0 14
1977-10-22 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1796 1814 49.52% 30.04% 20.44% -1.8 15
1977-10-22 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1814 1796 20.44% 30.04% 49.52% +1.8 13
1977-10-22 Everton D 0-0 1895 1877 53.16% 29.70% 17.14% -2.5 18
1977-10-22 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1877 1895 17.14% 29.70% 53.16% +2.5 16
1977-10-22 Wolverhampton L 0-2 1889 1754 62.69% 27.74% 9.57% -33.4 15
1977-10-22 @ Manchester City W 2-0 1754 1889 9.57% 27.74% 62.69% +33.4 12
1977-10-22 Leeds United W 2-1 1773 1782 50.53% 29.96% 19.51% +6.6 12
1977-10-22 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1782 1773 19.51% 29.96% 50.53% -6.6 11
1977-10-22 Chelsea W 1-0 1676 1707 48.07% 30.13% 21.80% +7.7 4
1977-10-22 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1707 1676 21.80% 30.13% 48.07% -7.7 8
1977-10-22 Leicester City W 2-0 1754 1619 62.68% 27.74% 9.57% +7.1 15
1977-10-22 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1619 1754 9.57% 27.74% 62.68% -7.1 5
1977-10-22 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1734 1863 35.60% 30.23% 34.17% -20.6 7
1977-10-22 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1863 1734 34.17% 30.23% 35.60% +20.6 20
1977-10-22 Manchester United W 4-0 1854 1834 53.36% 29.67% 16.96% +22.5 17
1977-10-22 @ West Brom L 0-4 1834 1854 16.96% 29.67% 53.36% -22.5 12
1977-10-22 Aston Villa D 2-2 1680 1814 34.90% 30.21% 34.89% +0.0 7
1977-10-22 @ West Ham D 2-2 1814 1680 34.89% 30.21% 34.90% +0.0 13
1977-10-29 Birmingham City D 1-1 1841 1760 58.73% 28.79% 12.48% -3.0 15
1977-10-29 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1760 1841 12.48% 28.79% 58.73% +3.0 12
1977-10-29 Manchester United W 2-1 1814 1812 51.65% 29.86% 18.49% +6.4 15
1977-10-29 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1812 1814 18.49% 29.86% 51.65% -6.3 12
1977-10-29 Bristol City W 1-0 1699 1709 50.32% 29.98% 19.70% +7.1 10
1977-10-29 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1709 1699 19.70% 29.98% 50.32% -7.1 7
1977-10-29 Norwich City D 2-2 1767 1761 51.99% 29.83% 18.19% -1.6 11
1977-10-29 @ Derby County D 2-2 1761 1767 18.19% 29.83% 51.99% +1.6 16
1977-10-29 Newcastle United D 4-4 1880 1684 66.65% 26.27% 7.08% -2.2 17
1977-10-29 @ Everton D 4-4 1684 1880 7.08% 26.27% 66.65% +2.2 5
1977-10-29 West Ham L 0-2 1816 1680 62.79% 27.71% 9.50% -33.4 13
1977-10-29 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 1680 1816 9.50% 27.71% 62.79% +33.4 9
1977-10-29 Leeds United D 0-0 1612 1775 30.91% 30.02% 39.07% +0.5 6
1977-10-29 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1775 1612 39.07% 30.02% 30.91% -0.5 12
1977-10-29 Liverpool W 3-1 1855 1892 47.37% 30.17% 22.46% +12.8 17
1977-10-29 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1892 1855 22.46% 30.17% 47.37% -12.8 18
1977-10-29 Middlesbrough W 4-0 1884 1780 60.49% 28.37% 11.14% +15.6 22
1977-10-29 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-4 1780 1884 11.14% 28.37% 60.49% -15.6 12
1977-10-29 West Brom W 2-1 1714 1876 30.97% 30.02% 39.00% +11.0 9
1977-10-29 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1876 1714 39.00% 30.02% 30.97% -11.0 17
1977-10-29 Coventry City L 1-3 1788 1795 50.67% 29.95% 19.38% -23.7 12
1977-10-29 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1795 1788 19.38% 29.95% 50.67% +23.7 17
1977-11-05 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1763 1764 51.33% 29.89% 18.78% +6.4 14
1977-11-05 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1764 1763 18.78% 29.89% 51.33% -6.4 12
1977-11-05 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1706 1899 27.11% 29.73% 43.16% +12.6 12
1977-11-05 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1899 1706 43.16% 29.73% 27.11% -12.6 22
1977-11-05 West Ham W 1-0 1818 1714 60.57% 28.35% 11.08% +4.3 19
1977-11-05 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1714 1818 11.08% 28.35% 60.57% -4.3 9
1977-11-05 Everton L 0-1 1765 1877 37.85% 30.28% 31.86% -11.4 11
1977-11-05 @ Derby County W 1-0 1877 1765 31.86% 30.28% 37.85% +11.4 19
1977-11-05 Manchester City W 1-0 1783 1868 41.46% 30.31% 28.22% +9.3 15
1977-11-05 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1868 1783 28.22% 30.31% 41.46% -9.3 17
1977-11-05 Norwich City D 2-2 1775 1762 52.64% 29.76% 17.60% -1.7 13
1977-11-05 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1762 1775 17.60% 29.76% 52.64% +1.6 17
1977-11-05 Aston Villa L 1-2 1879 1820 56.93% 29.14% 13.92% -15.2 18
1977-11-05 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1820 1879 13.92% 29.14% 56.93% +15.2 17
1977-11-05 Arsenal L 1-2 1805 1838 47.83% 30.14% 22.03% -13.0 12
1977-11-05 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1838 1805 22.03% 30.14% 47.83% +13.0 17
1977-11-05 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1764 1725 55.22% 29.42% 15.35% -2.6 13
1977-11-05 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1725 1764 15.35% 29.42% 55.22% +2.5 10
1977-11-05 Bristol City D 1-1 1686 1702 49.66% 30.03% 20.32% -1.8 6
1977-11-05 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1702 1686 20.32% 30.03% 49.66% +1.8 8
1977-11-05 Leicester City W 2-0 1865 1613 69.86% 24.73% 5.41% +4.0 19
1977-11-05 @ West Brom L 0-2 1613 1865 5.41% 24.73% 69.86% -3.9 6
1977-11-12 Coventry City D 1-1 1851 1823 54.19% 29.57% 16.24% -2.4 18
1977-11-12 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1823 1851 16.24% 29.57% 54.19% +2.4 20
1977-11-12 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1836 1762 58.16% 28.91% 12.94% -16.5 17
1977-11-12 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1762 1836 12.94% 28.91% 58.16% +16.5 15
1977-11-12 Derby County W 3-1 1704 1754 45.93% 30.23% 23.84% +13.4 10
1977-11-12 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1754 1704 23.84% 30.23% 45.93% -13.4 11
1977-11-12 Birmingham City W 2-1 1889 1770 61.62% 28.06% 10.32% +3.8 21
1977-11-12 @ Everton L 1-2 1770 1889 10.32% 28.06% 61.62% -3.8 14
1977-11-12 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1609 1792 28.34% 29.84% 41.83% +11.5 8
1977-11-12 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1792 1609 41.83% 29.84% 28.34% -11.5 15
1977-11-12 Leeds United L 2-3 1859 1773 59.12% 28.70% 12.18% -15.0 17
1977-11-12 @ Manchester City W 3-2 1773 1859 12.18% 28.70% 59.12% +15.0 15
1977-11-12 Chelsea D 0-0 1764 1719 55.71% 29.35% 14.94% -2.9 18
1977-11-12 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1719 1764 14.94% 29.35% 55.71% +2.9 13
1977-11-12 Manchester United W 2-1 1887 1792 59.81% 28.54% 11.65% +4.3 24
1977-11-12 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1792 1887 11.65% 28.54% 59.81% -4.3 12
1977-11-12 Liverpool W 2-0 1727 1864 34.45% 30.19% 35.35% +20.4 12
1977-11-12 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-2 1864 1727 35.35% 30.19% 34.45% -20.4 18
1977-11-12 West Brom D 3-3 1709 1869 31.32% 30.04% 38.64% +0.3 10
1977-11-12 @ West Ham D 3-3 1869 1709 38.64% 30.04% 31.32% -0.3 20
1977-11-12 Newcastle United W 1-0 1758 1684 58.14% 28.91% 12.95% +5.0 14
1977-11-12 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1684 1758 12.95% 28.91% 58.14% -5.0 6
1977-11-19 Leicester City D 1-1 1766 1620 63.47% 27.49% 9.05% -3.7 15
1977-11-19 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1620 1766 9.05% 27.49% 63.47% +3.7 9
1977-11-19 Aston Villa D 0-0 1722 1819 39.89% 30.31% 29.79% -0.6 14
1977-11-19 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1819 1722 29.79% 30.31% 39.89% +0.6 18
1977-11-19 Queens Park Rangers W 4-1 1825 1748 58.45% 28.85% 12.70% +11.4 22
1977-11-19 @ Coventry City L 1-4 1748 1825 12.70% 28.85% 58.45% -11.3 12
1977-11-19 West Ham W 2-1 1740 1710 54.38% 29.54% 16.08% +5.7 13
1977-11-19 @ Derby County L 1-2 1710 1740 16.08% 29.54% 54.38% -5.7 10
1977-11-19 Everton D 3-3 1780 1893 37.87% 30.29% 31.85% -0.2 16
1977-11-19 @ Ipswich Town D 3-3 1893 1780 31.85% 30.29% 37.87% +0.2 22
1977-11-19 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1788 1891 39.13% 30.30% 30.57% +9.8 17
1977-11-19 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1891 1788 30.57% 30.30% 39.13% -9.8 24
1977-11-19 Bristol City D 1-1 1844 1718 62.14% 27.91% 9.95% -3.5 19
1977-11-19 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1718 1844 9.95% 27.91% 62.14% +3.5 11
1977-11-19 Norwich City W 1-0 1788 1761 54.04% 29.59% 16.37% +6.1 14
1977-11-19 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1761 1788 16.37% 29.59% 54.04% -6.1 18
1977-11-19 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1778 1763 52.97% 29.72% 17.31% -2.5 16
1977-11-19 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1763 1778 17.31% 29.72% 52.97% +2.5 15
1977-11-19 Arsenal L 1-2 1679 1849 30.02% 29.96% 40.02% -9.1 6
1977-11-19 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1849 1679 40.02% 29.96% 30.02% +9.1 20
1977-11-19 Manchester City D 0-0 1869 1844 53.88% 29.61% 16.51% -2.7 21
1977-11-19 @ West Brom D 0-0 1844 1869 16.51% 29.61% 53.88% +2.7 18
1977-11-26 Derby County L 1-3 1858 1746 61.12% 28.20% 10.68% -28.2 20
1977-11-26 @ Arsenal W 3-1 1746 1858 10.68% 28.20% 61.12% +28.2 15
1977-11-26 Middlesbrough W 4-1 1721 1776 45.28% 30.25% 24.46% +19.3 13
1977-11-26 @ Bristol City L 1-4 1776 1721 24.46% 30.25% 45.28% -19.3 16
1977-11-26 Coventry City W 6-0 1893 1836 56.70% 29.18% 14.11% +28.2 24
1977-11-26 @ Everton L 0-6 1836 1893 14.11% 29.18% 56.70% -28.2 22
1977-11-26 Liverpool L 0-4 1624 1840 24.43% 29.45% 46.12% -29.5 9
1977-11-26 @ Leicester City W 4-0 1840 1624 46.12% 29.45% 24.43% +29.5 21
1977-11-26 Chelsea W 6-2 1846 1721 62.07% 27.93% 10.00% +10.0 20
1977-11-26 @ Manchester City L 2-6 1721 1846 10.00% 27.93% 62.07% -10.0 14
1977-11-26 Birmingham City W 1-0 1755 1762 50.62% 29.95% 19.43% +7.0 20
1977-11-26 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1762 1755 19.43% 29.95% 50.62% -7.0 15
1977-11-26 West Brom D 0-0 1881 1866 52.89% 29.73% 17.38% -2.5 25
1977-11-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1866 1881 17.38% 29.73% 52.89% +2.5 22
1977-11-26 Manchester United D 2-2 1736 1794 44.96% 30.26% 24.78% -0.9 13
1977-11-26 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1794 1736 24.78% 30.26% 44.96% +0.9 15
1977-11-26 Leeds United L 0-1 1704 1798 40.37% 30.31% 29.31% -12.0 10
1977-11-26 @ West Ham W 1-0 1798 1704 29.31% 30.31% 40.37% +12.0 19
1977-11-26 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1765 1780 49.82% 30.02% 20.16% -2.0 16
1977-11-26 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1780 1765 20.16% 30.02% 49.82% +2.0 17
1977-12-03 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1755 1879 36.34% 30.25% 33.40% -20.9 15
1977-12-03 @ Birmingham City W 2-0 1879 1755 33.40% 30.25% 36.34% +20.9 27
1977-12-03 Everton L 0-1 1711 1921 25.13% 29.53% 45.34% -8.4 14
1977-12-03 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1921 1711 45.34% 29.53% 25.13% +8.4 26
1977-12-03 Bristol City D 1-1 1808 1740 57.68% 29.00% 13.32% -2.9 23
1977-12-03 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1740 1808 13.32% 29.00% 57.68% +2.9 14
1977-12-03 Manchester City W 2-1 1774 1856 41.86% 30.31% 27.83% +8.6 17
1977-12-03 @ Derby County L 1-2 1856 1774 27.83% 30.31% 41.86% -8.6 20
1977-12-03 Aston Villa W 2-0 1782 1820 47.30% 30.17% 22.53% +14.8 19
1977-12-03 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 1820 1782 22.53% 30.17% 47.30% -14.8 18
1977-12-03 Queens Park Rangers W 3-0 1810 1736 58.19% 28.90% 12.91% +13.7 21
1977-12-03 @ Leeds United L 0-3 1736 1810 12.91% 28.90% 58.19% -13.6 13
1977-12-03 West Ham W 2-0 1870 1692 65.54% 26.73% 7.73% +5.8 23
1977-12-03 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1692 1870 7.73% 26.73% 65.54% -5.8 10
1977-12-03 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1795 1763 54.50% 29.53% 15.97% +9.8 17
1977-12-03 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1763 1795 15.97% 29.53% 54.50% -9.8 16
1977-12-03 Arsenal L 0-1 1757 1830 43.04% 30.30% 26.66% -12.6 16
1977-12-03 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1830 1757 26.66% 30.30% 43.04% +12.6 22
1977-12-03 Leicester City W 2-0 1670 1595 58.29% 28.88% 12.83% +9.3 8
1977-12-03 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1595 1670 12.83% 28.88% 58.29% -9.4 9
1977-12-03 Norwich City D 0-0 1869 1762 60.75% 28.30% 10.95% -3.7 23
1977-12-03 @ West Brom D 0-0 1762 1869 10.95% 28.30% 60.75% +3.7 21
1977-12-10 Leeds United D 1-1 1842 1823 53.27% 29.69% 17.04% -2.3 23
1977-12-10 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1823 1842 17.04% 29.69% 53.27% +2.3 22
1977-12-10 West Brom W 3-0 1805 1865 44.64% 30.27% 25.09% +23.3 20
1977-12-10 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1865 1805 25.09% 30.27% 44.64% -23.3 23
1977-12-10 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1743 1797 45.42% 30.25% 24.33% +15.7 16
1977-12-10 @ Bristol City L 0-2 1797 1743 24.33% 30.25% 45.42% -15.7 19
1977-12-10 Middlesbrough W 3-0 1930 1744 66.02% 26.53% 7.45% +8.1 28
1977-12-10 @ Everton L 0-3 1744 1930 7.45% 26.53% 66.02% -8.1 16
1977-12-10 Derby County D 1-1 1585 1783 26.58% 29.68% 43.74% +1.0 10
1977-12-10 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1783 1585 43.74% 29.68% 26.58% -1.0 18
1977-12-10 Birmingham City W 3-0 1848 1734 61.21% 28.18% 10.61% +11.4 22
1977-12-10 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1734 1848 10.61% 28.18% 61.21% -11.4 15
1977-12-10 Liverpool W 2-1 1766 1876 38.20% 30.29% 31.51% +9.4 23
1977-12-10 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1876 1766 31.51% 30.29% 38.20% -9.4 23
1977-12-10 Coventry City W 2-1 1900 1805 59.78% 28.55% 11.67% +4.3 29
1977-12-10 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1805 1900 11.67% 28.55% 59.78% -4.3 23
1977-12-10 Newcastle United L 0-1 1722 1679 55.49% 29.38% 15.13% -15.8 13
1977-12-10 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1679 1722 15.13% 29.38% 55.49% +15.8 10
1977-12-10 Manchester United W 2-1 1686 1805 37.05% 30.27% 32.69% +9.7 12
1977-12-10 @ West Ham L 1-2 1805 1686 32.69% 30.27% 37.05% -9.7 17
1977-12-10 Chelsea L 1-3 1753 1703 56.20% 29.27% 14.53% -26.1 16
1977-12-10 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1703 1753 14.53% 29.27% 56.20% +26.1 16
1977-12-17 Everton D 0-0 1723 1938 24.61% 29.47% 45.92% +1.4 16
1977-12-17 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1938 1723 45.92% 29.47% 24.61% -1.4 29
1977-12-17 Norwich City D 1-1 1729 1775 46.31% 30.21% 23.48% -1.4 17
1977-12-17 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1775 1729 23.48% 30.21% 46.31% +1.4 24
1977-12-17 Arsenal L 1-2 1801 1840 47.16% 30.18% 22.66% -12.8 23
1977-12-17 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1840 1801 22.66% 30.18% 47.16% +12.8 25
1977-12-17 Bristol City W 1-0 1782 1759 53.65% 29.64% 16.71% +6.2 20
1977-12-17 @ Derby County L 0-1 1759 1782 16.71% 29.64% 53.65% -6.2 16
1977-12-17 Leicester City W 1-0 1781 1586 66.59% 26.29% 7.12% +2.8 21
1977-12-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1586 1781 7.12% 26.29% 66.59% -2.8 10
1977-12-17 Manchester City W 2-0 1826 1859 47.77% 30.15% 22.08% +14.6 24
1977-12-17 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1859 1826 22.08% 30.15% 47.77% -14.6 22
1977-12-17 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1866 1706 64.41% 27.16% 8.43% +3.4 25
1977-12-17 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1706 1866 8.43% 27.16% 64.41% -3.3 13
1977-12-17 Nottingham Forest L 0-4 1795 1904 38.34% 30.29% 31.37% -41.2 17
1977-12-17 @ Manchester United W 4-0 1904 1795 31.37% 30.29% 38.34% +41.2 31
1977-12-17 Aston Villa W 1-0 1736 1828 40.56% 30.31% 29.13% +9.5 18
1977-12-17 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1828 1736 29.13% 30.31% 40.56% -9.5 20
1977-12-17 Wolverhampton W 4-0 1695 1727 47.93% 30.14% 21.94% +27.5 12
1977-12-17 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1727 1695 21.94% 30.14% 47.93% -27.5 16
1977-12-17 West Ham W 1-0 1842 1696 63.49% 27.48% 9.03% +3.6 25
1977-12-17 @ West Brom L 0-1 1696 1842 9.03% 27.48% 63.49% -3.6 12
1977-12-26 Chelsea W 3-0 1853 1727 62.07% 27.93% 10.00% +10.8 27
1977-12-26 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1727 1853 10.00% 27.93% 62.07% -10.8 17
1977-12-26 Coventry City D 1-1 1819 1788 54.39% 29.54% 16.07% -2.5 21
1977-12-26 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1788 1819 16.07% 29.54% 54.39% +2.5 24
1977-12-26 West Brom W 3-1 1753 1845 40.51% 30.31% 29.18% +15.5 18
1977-12-26 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1845 1753 29.18% 30.31% 40.51% -15.5 25
1977-12-26 Manchester United L 2-6 1936 1754 65.83% 26.61% 7.56% -46.8 29
1977-12-26 @ Everton W 6-2 1754 1936 7.56% 26.61% 65.83% +46.8 19
1977-12-26 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1583 1745 31.04% 30.03% 38.94% +0.5 11
1977-12-26 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1745 1583 38.94% 30.03% 31.04% -0.5 19
1977-12-26 Newcastle United W 4-0 1845 1723 61.84% 28.00% 10.16% +14.4 24
1977-12-26 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1723 1845 10.16% 28.00% 61.84% -14.3 12
1977-12-26 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1776 1784 50.59% 29.95% 19.45% +7.0 26
1977-12-26 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1784 1776 19.45% 29.95% 50.59% -7.0 21
1977-12-26 Liverpool D 1-1 1945 1869 58.31% 28.88% 12.81% -3.0 32
1977-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1869 1945 12.81% 28.88% 58.31% +3.0 26
1977-12-26 Derby County D 0-0 1703 1788 41.50% 30.31% 28.19% -0.9 14
1977-12-26 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1788 1703 28.19% 30.31% 41.50% +0.9 21
1977-12-26 Birmingham City W 1-0 1692 1724 47.94% 30.14% 21.93% +7.7 14
1977-12-26 @ West Ham L 0-1 1724 1692 21.93% 30.14% 47.94% -7.7 16
1977-12-26 Leeds United W 3-1 1700 1840 33.95% 30.17% 35.88% +17.9 18
1977-12-26 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1840 1700 35.88% 30.17% 33.95% -17.9 24
1977-12-27 Bristol City W 3-0 1717 1768 45.69% 30.24% 24.07% +22.6 18
1977-12-27 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1768 1717 24.07% 30.24% 45.69% -22.6 18
1977-12-27 West Ham W 2-1 1717 1700 53.05% 29.71% 17.24% +6.0 19
1977-12-27 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1700 1717 17.24% 29.71% 53.05% -6.0 14
1977-12-27 Norwich City W 5-4 1791 1783 52.13% 29.81% 18.06% +5.7 26
1977-12-27 @ Coventry City L 4-5 1783 1791 18.06% 29.81% 52.13% -5.7 26
1977-12-27 Aston Villa L 0-3 1789 1816 48.44% 30.11% 21.45% -38.1 21
1977-12-27 @ Derby County W 3-0 1816 1789 21.45% 30.11% 48.44% +38.1 23
1977-12-27 Queens Park Rangers W 3-2 1777 1702 58.27% 28.88% 12.85% +4.4 23
1977-12-27 @ Ipswich Town L 2-3 1702 1777 12.85% 28.88% 58.27% -4.4 14
1977-12-27 Everton W 3-1 1822 1889 43.79% 30.29% 25.92% +14.2 26
1977-12-27 @ Leeds United L 1-3 1889 1822 25.92% 30.29% 43.79% -14.2 29
1977-12-27 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1872 1718 64.08% 27.28% 8.65% +3.4 28
1977-12-27 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1718 1872 8.65% 27.28% 64.08% -3.4 18
1977-12-27 Leicester City W 3-1 1801 1584 67.86% 25.72% 6.42% +4.1 21
1977-12-27 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1584 1801 6.42% 25.72% 67.86% -4.1 11
1977-12-27 Manchester City L 0-2 1745 1859 37.64% 30.28% 32.08% -21.4 19
1977-12-27 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1859 1745 32.08% 30.28% 37.64% +21.4 26
1977-12-27 Arsenal L 1-3 1830 1864 47.76% 30.15% 22.09% -22.5 25
1977-12-27 @ West Brom W 3-1 1864 1830 22.09% 30.15% 47.76% +22.5 29
1977-12-28 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1708 1942 22.53% 29.20% 48.27% -14.6 12
1977-12-28 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1942 1708 48.27% 29.20% 22.53% +14.6 34
1977-12-31 Chelsea L 4-5 1739 1723 53.07% 29.71% 17.23% -13.0 18
1977-12-31 @ Birmingham City W 5-4 1723 1739 17.23% 29.71% 53.07% +13.0 21
1977-12-31 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1746 1957 25.00% 29.52% 45.48% -13.7 18
1977-12-31 @ Bristol City W 3-1 1957 1746 45.48% 29.52% 25.00% +13.7 36
1977-12-31 Manchester United W 3-0 1796 1805 50.53% 29.96% 19.51% +19.2 28
1977-12-31 @ Coventry City L 0-3 1805 1796 19.51% 29.96% 50.53% -19.2 21
1977-12-31 Arsenal W 2-0 1875 1886 50.26% 29.98% 19.76% +13.4 31
1977-12-31 @ Everton L 0-2 1886 1875 19.76% 29.98% 50.26% -13.4 29
1977-12-31 Derby County L 1-2 1781 1751 54.41% 29.54% 16.05% -14.6 23
1977-12-31 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1751 1781 16.05% 29.54% 54.41% +14.6 23
1977-12-31 Aston Villa W 2-0 1880 1854 53.94% 29.60% 16.45% +11.6 28
1977-12-31 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1854 1880 16.45% 29.60% 53.94% -11.5 23
1977-12-31 Norwich City D 2-2 1724 1778 45.36% 30.25% 24.39% -0.9 20
1977-12-31 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1778 1724 24.39% 30.25% 45.36% +0.9 27
1977-12-31 Liverpool L 0-2 1694 1876 28.44% 29.85% 41.72% -17.5 12
1977-12-31 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1876 1694 41.72% 29.85% 28.44% +17.4 30
1977-12-31 Wolverhampton L 1-3 1698 1714 49.63% 30.03% 20.34% -23.2 14
1977-12-31 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1714 1698 20.34% 30.03% 49.63% +23.2 20
1977-12-31 Leeds United W 1-0 1807 1837 48.27% 30.12% 21.61% +7.6 27
1977-12-31 @ West Brom L 0-1 1837 1807 21.61% 30.12% 48.27% -7.6 26
1977-12-31 Leicester City W 3-2 1694 1580 61.28% 28.16% 10.56% +3.7 16
1977-12-31 @ West Ham L 2-3 1580 1694 10.56% 28.16% 61.28% -3.7 11
1978-01-02 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1873 1767 60.65% 28.33% 11.02% +4.3 31
1978-01-02 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1767 1873 11.02% 28.33% 60.65% -4.3 23
1978-01-02 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1843 1674 64.97% 26.95% 8.08% -3.9 24
1978-01-02 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1674 1843 8.08% 26.95% 64.97% +3.9 15
1978-01-02 West Brom D 2-2 1736 1815 42.23% 30.31% 27.46% -0.6 22
1978-01-02 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1815 1736 27.46% 30.31% 42.23% +0.6 28
1978-01-02 Coventry City W 4-2 1765 1816 45.82% 30.23% 23.95% +12.0 25
1978-01-02 @ Derby County L 2-4 1816 1765 23.95% 30.23% 45.82% -12.0 28
1978-01-02 Newcastle United L 0-2 1829 1676 63.94% 27.32% 8.73% -34.0 26
1978-01-02 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1676 1829 8.73% 27.32% 63.94% +34.0 14
1978-01-02 Manchester City L 0-1 1576 1892 15.32% 27.67% 57.01% -5.6 11
1978-01-02 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1892 1576 57.01% 27.67% 15.32% +5.6 30
1978-01-02 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1893 1723 65.10% 26.90% 8.00% +6.0 32
1978-01-02 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1723 1893 8.00% 26.90% 65.10% -6.0 20
1978-01-02 Birmingham City L 1-2 1785 1726 56.94% 29.14% 13.92% -15.2 21
1978-01-02 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1726 1785 13.92% 29.14% 56.94% +15.2 20
1978-01-02 West Ham D 2-2 1779 1698 58.73% 28.79% 12.48% -2.3 28
1978-01-02 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1698 1779 12.48% 28.79% 58.73% +2.3 17
1978-01-02 Everton D 1-1 1970 1889 58.81% 28.77% 12.42% -3.1 37
1978-01-02 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1889 1970 12.42% 28.77% 58.81% +3.1 32
1978-01-02 Bristol City D 0-0 1737 1732 51.96% 29.83% 18.21% -2.4 21
1978-01-02 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1732 1737 18.21% 29.83% 51.96% +2.4 19
1978-01-14 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1877 1735 63.22% 27.57% 9.21% +6.0 33
1978-01-14 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1735 1877 9.21% 27.57% 63.22% -6.0 21
1978-01-14 Leeds United L 2-3 1742 1795 45.45% 30.25% 24.31% -11.8 20
1978-01-14 @ Birmingham City W 3-2 1795 1742 24.31% 30.25% 45.45% +11.8 28
1978-01-14 Leicester City D 0-0 1734 1571 64.65% 27.07% 8.28% -4.3 20
1978-01-14 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1571 1734 8.28% 27.07% 64.65% +4.3 12
1978-01-14 Chelsea W 5-1 1804 1735 57.74% 28.99% 13.27% +15.2 30
1978-01-14 @ Coventry City L 1-5 1735 1804 13.27% 28.99% 57.74% -15.2 22
1978-01-14 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1777 1967 27.47% 29.76% 42.77% +1.0 26
1978-01-14 @ Derby County D 0-0 1967 1777 42.77% 29.76% 27.47% -1.0 38
1978-01-14 Aston Villa W 1-0 1892 1839 56.37% 29.24% 14.39% +5.5 34
1978-01-14 @ Everton L 0-1 1839 1892 14.39% 29.24% 56.37% -5.5 24
1978-01-14 Manchester United L 1-2 1763 1770 50.60% 29.95% 19.45% -13.6 23
1978-01-14 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1770 1763 19.45% 29.95% 50.60% +13.6 23
1978-01-14 West Ham W 3-2 1897 1700 66.74% 26.23% 7.03% +2.5 32
1978-01-14 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1700 1897 7.03% 26.23% 66.74% -2.5 17
1978-01-14 Middlesbrough L 2-4 1710 1717 50.73% 29.94% 19.32% -21.2 14
1978-01-14 @ Newcastle United W 4-2 1717 1710 19.32% 29.94% 50.73% +21.2 22
1978-01-14 Norwich City W 2-1 1678 1776 39.78% 30.31% 29.91% +9.1 17
1978-01-14 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1776 1678 29.91% 30.31% 39.78% -9.1 28
1978-01-14 Liverpool L 0-1 1816 1899 41.70% 30.31% 27.99% -12.3 28
1978-01-14 @ West Brom W 1-0 1899 1816 27.99% 30.31% 41.70% +12.3 34
1978-01-21 Ipswich Town W 5-3 1720 1749 48.26% 30.12% 21.62% +10.5 24
1978-01-21 @ Chelsea L 3-5 1749 1720 21.62% 30.12% 48.26% -10.5 23
1978-01-21 Coventry City W 2-0 1807 1819 50.13% 29.99% 19.88% +13.4 30
1978-01-21 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1819 1807 19.88% 29.99% 50.13% -13.4 30
1978-01-21 Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1575 1687 37.87% 30.29% 31.85% -0.4 13
1978-01-21 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1687 1575 31.85% 30.29% 37.87% +0.4 18
1978-01-21 Birmingham City L 2-3 1912 1730 65.79% 26.63% 7.58% -16.5 34
1978-01-21 @ Liverpool W 3-2 1730 1912 7.58% 26.63% 65.79% +16.5 22
1978-01-21 Derby County W 4-0 1784 1778 51.96% 29.83% 18.21% +23.8 25
1978-01-21 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1778 1784 18.21% 29.83% 51.96% -23.8 26
1978-01-21 West Brom W 1-0 1738 1803 43.96% 30.28% 25.75% +8.7 24
1978-01-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1803 1738 25.75% 30.28% 43.96% -8.7 28
1978-01-21 Manchester City L 1-3 1767 1900 35.04% 30.21% 34.75% -17.6 28
1978-01-21 @ Norwich City W 3-1 1900 1767 34.75% 30.21% 35.04% +17.6 34
1978-01-21 Arsenal W 2-0 1966 1883 58.93% 28.74% 12.33% +9.0 40
1978-01-21 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1883 1966 12.33% 28.74% 58.93% -9.0 33
1978-01-21 Newcastle United W 1-0 1698 1689 52.26% 29.80% 17.94% +6.6 19
1978-01-21 @ West Ham L 0-1 1689 1698 17.94% 29.80% 52.26% -6.6 14
1978-01-21 Everton W 3-1 1729 1897 30.24% 29.98% 39.78% +19.3 23
1978-01-21 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1897 1729 39.78% 29.98% 30.24% -19.3 34
1978-01-28 Bristol City W 1-0 1834 1730 60.49% 28.37% 11.14% +4.4 26
1978-01-28 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1730 1834 11.14% 28.37% 60.49% -4.4 20
1978-02-04 Aston Villa L 0-1 1874 1838 54.89% 29.47% 15.64% -15.6 33
1978-02-04 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1838 1874 15.64% 29.47% 54.89% +15.6 28
1978-02-04 Middlesbrough L 1-2 1746 1746 51.38% 29.89% 18.74% -13.8 22
1978-02-04 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1746 1746 18.74% 29.89% 51.38% +13.8 26
1978-02-04 Norwich City W 3-0 1726 1750 48.83% 30.08% 21.09% +20.4 22
1978-02-04 @ Bristol City L 0-3 1750 1726 21.09% 30.08% 48.83% -20.4 28
1978-02-04 Liverpool W 1-0 1805 1895 40.91% 30.31% 28.78% +9.4 32
1978-02-04 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1895 1805 28.78% 30.31% 40.91% -9.4 34
1978-02-04 Leicester City W 2-0 1878 1574 72.51% 23.23% 4.26% +3.0 36
1978-02-04 @ Everton L 0-2 1574 1878 4.26% 23.23% 72.51% -3.0 13
1978-02-04 Leeds United L 0-1 1738 1820 41.93% 30.31% 27.76% -12.3 23
1978-02-04 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1820 1738 27.76% 30.31% 41.93% +12.3 32
1978-02-04 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1975 1748 68.45% 25.44% 6.11% +4.5 42
1978-02-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1748 1975 6.11% 25.44% 68.45% -4.5 23
1978-02-08 Bristol City D 1-1 1808 1746 57.15% 29.10% 13.75% -2.8 26
1978-02-08 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1746 1808 13.75% 29.10% 57.15% +2.8 23
1978-02-11 Manchester United D 2-2 1730 1805 42.85% 30.30% 26.85% -0.7 25
1978-02-11 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1805 1730 26.85% 30.30% 42.85% +0.7 27
1978-02-11 Arsenal D 1-1 1571 1858 17.58% 28.27% 54.15% +2.3 14
1978-02-11 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1858 1571 54.15% 28.27% 17.58% -2.3 34
1978-02-11 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1918 1688 68.62% 25.36% 6.02% +2.2 36
1978-02-11 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1688 1918 6.02% 25.36% 68.62% -2.2 18
1978-02-11 Bristol City L 1-2 1704 1749 46.48% 30.21% 23.31% -12.7 19
1978-02-11 @ West Ham W 2-1 1749 1704 23.31% 30.21% 46.48% +12.7 25
1978-02-17 Manchester City D 2-2 1762 1920 31.52% 30.05% 38.43% +0.3 26
1978-02-17 @ Bristol City D 2-2 1920 1762 38.43% 30.05% 31.52% -0.3 37
1978-02-18 West Ham W 2-1 1881 1691 66.26% 26.43% 7.31% +2.7 38
1978-02-18 @ Everton L 1-2 1691 1881 7.31% 26.43% 66.26% -2.7 19
1978-02-25 Aston Villa W 1-0 1732 1854 36.67% 30.26% 33.07% +10.3 24
1978-02-25 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1854 1732 33.07% 30.26% 36.67% -10.3 28
1978-02-25 Chelsea W 2-0 1833 1730 60.45% 28.38% 11.17% +8.3 34
1978-02-25 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1730 1833 11.17% 28.38% 60.45% -8.3 25
1978-02-25 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1574 1744 29.96% 29.96% 40.08% +11.9 16
1978-02-25 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1744 1574 40.08% 29.96% 29.96% -11.9 23
1978-02-25 Manchester United W 3-1 1886 1806 58.68% 28.80% 12.53% +7.9 36
1978-02-25 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1806 1886 12.53% 28.80% 58.68% -7.9 27
1978-02-25 Everton W 1-0 1920 1884 54.88% 29.47% 15.64% +5.9 39
1978-02-25 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1884 1920 15.64% 29.47% 54.88% -5.9 38
1978-02-25 Derby County W 3-1 1760 1754 51.99% 29.83% 18.19% +10.9 28
1978-02-25 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1754 1760 18.19% 29.83% 51.99% -10.9 26
1978-02-25 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1682 1726 46.61% 30.20% 23.19% -13.5 14
1978-02-25 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1726 1682 23.19% 30.20% 46.61% +13.5 25
1978-02-25 Nottingham Forest D 3-3 1729 1980 20.84% 28.93% 50.23% +1.1 29
1978-02-25 @ Norwich City D 3-3 1980 1729 50.23% 28.93% 20.84% -1.1 43
1978-02-25 Bristol City D 2-2 1685 1762 42.62% 30.31% 27.08% -0.7 19
1978-02-25 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1762 1685 27.08% 30.31% 42.62% +0.7 27
1978-02-25 Coventry City D 3-3 1795 1815 49.27% 30.05% 20.67% -1.1 29
1978-02-25 @ West Brom D 3-3 1815 1795 20.67% 30.05% 49.27% +1.1 33
1978-02-25 Arsenal D 2-2 1689 1856 30.34% 29.98% 39.68% +0.4 20
1978-02-25 @ West Ham D 2-2 1856 1689 39.68% 29.98% 30.34% -0.4 35
1978-02-28 Norwich City D 0-0 1856 1730 62.07% 27.93% 10.00% -3.9 36
1978-02-28 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1730 1856 10.00% 27.93% 62.07% +3.9 30
1978-02-28 West Brom L 1-2 1743 1794 45.75% 30.23% 24.01% -12.5 24
1978-02-28 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1794 1743 24.01% 30.23% 45.75% +12.5 31
1978-03-01 Leeds United L 0-1 1798 1841 46.66% 30.20% 23.14% -13.5 27
1978-03-01 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1841 1798 23.14% 30.20% 46.66% +13.5 36
1978-03-04 Manchester City W 3-0 1852 1925 42.96% 30.30% 26.74% +24.4 38
1978-03-04 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1925 1852 26.74% 30.30% 42.96% -24.4 39
1978-03-04 Leicester City D 0-0 1843 1586 70.14% 24.58% 5.28% -5.0 29
1978-03-04 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1586 1843 5.28% 24.58% 70.14% +5.0 17
1978-03-04 Liverpool W 3-1 1721 1894 29.68% 29.94% 40.38% +19.5 27
1978-03-04 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1894 1721 40.38% 29.94% 29.68% -19.5 36
1978-03-04 Birmingham City W 4-0 1816 1730 59.11% 28.70% 12.19% +17.0 35
1978-03-04 @ Coventry City L 0-4 1730 1816 12.19% 28.70% 59.11% -17.0 24
1978-03-04 Newcastle United D 1-1 1744 1669 58.23% 28.89% 12.88% -3.0 27
1978-03-04 @ Derby County D 1-1 1669 1744 12.88% 28.89% 58.23% +3.0 15
1978-03-04 Queens Park Rangers D 3-3 1878 1685 66.47% 26.34% 7.18% -2.5 39
1978-03-04 @ Everton D 3-3 1685 1878 7.18% 26.34% 66.47% +2.5 20
1978-03-04 West Brom D 2-2 1740 1806 43.84% 30.29% 25.87% -0.8 26
1978-03-04 @ Ipswich Town D 2-2 1806 1740 25.87% 30.29% 43.84% +0.8 32
1978-03-04 Bristol City L 0-2 1854 1762 59.60% 28.59% 11.81% -31.8 36
1978-03-04 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1762 1854 11.81% 28.59% 59.60% +31.8 29
1978-03-04 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1784 1771 52.70% 29.75% 17.55% -2.5 28
1978-03-04 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1771 1784 17.55% 29.75% 52.70% +2.5 29
1978-03-04 West Ham W 2-0 1979 1689 71.81% 23.64% 4.55% +3.3 45
1978-03-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1689 1979 4.55% 23.64% 71.81% -3.3 20
1978-03-04 Norwich City D 3-3 1732 1734 51.16% 29.91% 18.93% -1.2 24
1978-03-04 @ Wolverhampton D 3-3 1734 1732 18.93% 29.91% 51.16% +1.2 31
1978-03-08 Liverpool W 4-2 1741 1874 34.93% 30.21% 34.87% +15.7 29
1978-03-08 @ Derby County L 2-4 1874 1741 34.87% 30.21% 34.93% -15.7 36
1978-03-11 Chelsea D 1-1 1756 1741 52.95% 29.72% 17.33% -2.2 30
1978-03-11 @ Derby County D 1-1 1741 1756 17.33% 29.72% 52.95% +2.2 28
1978-03-11 Everton L 0-1 1794 1875 42.04% 30.31% 27.64% -12.4 29
1978-03-11 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1875 1794 27.64% 30.31% 42.04% +12.4 41
1978-03-11 Leicester City W 1-0 1833 1591 69.30% 25.02% 5.68% +2.2 37
1978-03-11 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1591 1833 5.68% 25.02% 69.30% -2.2 17
1978-03-11 Leeds United W 1-0 1858 1822 54.88% 29.47% 15.64% +5.9 38
1978-03-11 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1822 1858 15.64% 29.47% 54.88% -5.9 36
1978-03-11 Manchester United D 2-2 1672 1782 38.24% 30.29% 31.47% -0.3 16
1978-03-11 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1782 1672 31.47% 30.29% 38.24% +0.3 29
1978-03-11 Aston Villa W 2-1 1736 1838 39.19% 30.30% 30.51% +9.2 33
1978-03-11 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1838 1736 30.51% 30.30% 39.19% -9.2 29
1978-03-11 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1686 1731 46.46% 30.21% 23.33% -12.7 20
1978-03-11 @ West Ham W 2-1 1731 1686 23.33% 30.21% 46.46% +12.7 26
1978-03-14 West Ham W 1-0 1687 1673 52.80% 29.74% 17.46% +6.4 22
1978-03-14 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1673 1687 17.46% 29.74% 52.80% -6.4 20
1978-03-14 West Brom D 1-1 1743 1807 44.22% 30.28% 25.50% -1.1 27
1978-03-14 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1807 1743 25.50% 30.28% 44.22% +1.1 33
1978-03-14 Leicester City W 1-0 1982 1588 76.76% 20.44% 2.80% +1.0 47
1978-03-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1588 1982 2.80% 20.44% 76.76% -1.0 17
1978-03-15 Manchester City D 2-2 1782 1901 36.95% 30.27% 32.79% -0.2 30
1978-03-15 @ Manchester United D 2-2 1901 1782 32.79% 30.27% 36.95% +0.2 40
1978-03-15 Birmingham City D 1-1 1672 1713 46.84% 30.19% 22.97% -1.4 17
1978-03-15 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1713 1672 22.97% 30.19% 46.84% +1.4 25
1978-03-15 Everton D 0-0 1745 1888 33.62% 30.16% 36.22% +0.2 34
1978-03-15 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1888 1745 36.22% 30.16% 33.62% -0.2 42
1978-03-18 Bristol City W 4-1 1876 1782 59.78% 28.55% 11.68% +10.5 40
1978-03-18 @ Arsenal L 1-4 1782 1876 11.68% 28.55% 59.78% -10.5 29
1978-03-18 West Ham W 4-1 1829 1667 64.55% 27.10% 8.34% +7.6 31
1978-03-18 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 1667 1829 8.34% 27.10% 64.55% -7.6 20
1978-03-18 Newcastle United D 2-2 1743 1670 58.08% 28.92% 13.00% -2.2 29
1978-03-18 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1670 1743 13.00% 28.92% 58.08% +2.2 18
1978-03-18 Birmingham City L 1-3 1754 1715 55.19% 29.43% 15.38% -25.6 30
1978-03-18 @ Derby County W 3-1 1715 1754 15.38% 29.43% 55.19% +25.6 27
1978-03-18 Coventry City D 1-1 1739 1835 40.04% 30.31% 29.65% -0.6 27
1978-03-18 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1835 1739 29.65% 30.31% 40.04% +0.6 38
1978-03-18 Middlesbrough W 5-0 1817 1774 55.52% 29.38% 15.10% +25.2 38
1978-03-18 @ Leeds United L 0-5 1774 1817 15.10% 29.38% 55.52% -25.1 29
1978-03-18 Norwich City D 2-2 1587 1745 31.63% 30.06% 38.31% +0.3 18
1978-03-18 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1745 1587 38.31% 30.06% 31.63% -0.3 35
1978-03-18 West Brom D 1-1 1782 1808 48.58% 30.10% 21.32% -1.7 31
1978-03-18 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1808 1782 21.32% 30.10% 48.58% +1.7 34
1978-03-18 Manchester City D 1-1 1742 1901 31.44% 30.05% 38.50% +0.4 28
1978-03-18 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1901 1742 38.50% 30.05% 31.44% -0.4 41
1978-03-21 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1738 1748 50.32% 29.98% 19.70% -1.9 28
1978-03-21 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1748 1738 19.70% 29.98% 50.32% +1.9 30
1978-03-21 Aston Villa L 2-3 1836 1837 51.29% 29.89% 18.81% -13.1 38
1978-03-21 @ Coventry City W 3-2 1837 1836 18.81% 29.89% 51.29% +13.1 33
1978-03-21 Arsenal D 1-1 1740 1887 33.16% 30.14% 36.71% +0.2 28
1978-03-21 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1887 1740 36.71% 30.14% 33.16% -0.2 41
1978-03-21 Chelsea W 3-0 1771 1741 54.39% 29.54% 16.07% +16.5 31
1978-03-21 @ Bristol City L 0-3 1741 1771 16.07% 29.54% 54.39% -16.5 29
1978-03-22 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1810 1694 61.41% 28.12% 10.47% +7.8 36
1978-03-22 @ West Brom L 0-2 1694 1810 10.47% 28.12% 61.41% -7.8 22
1978-03-24 Everton L 0-2 1672 1887 24.57% 29.46% 45.97% -15.6 18
1978-03-24 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1887 1672 45.97% 29.46% 24.57% +15.6 44
1978-03-24 Ipswich Town W 3-0 1659 1736 42.52% 30.31% 27.17% +24.7 22
1978-03-24 @ West Ham L 0-3 1736 1659 27.17% 30.31% 42.52% -24.7 28
1978-03-25 West Brom W 4-0 1886 1818 57.76% 28.99% 13.25% +18.2 43
1978-03-25 @ Arsenal L 0-4 1818 1886 13.25% 28.99% 57.76% -18.2 36
1978-03-25 Derby County D 0-0 1850 1728 61.79% 28.01% 10.20% -3.9 34
1978-03-25 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1728 1850 10.20% 28.01% 61.79% +3.9 31
1978-03-25 Birmingham City L 0-1 1788 1741 55.90% 29.32% 14.78% -15.9 31
1978-03-25 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1741 1788 14.78% 29.32% 55.90% +15.9 30
1978-03-25 Leeds United W 2-0 1903 1842 57.12% 29.11% 13.77% +10.0 46
1978-03-25 @ Everton L 0-2 1842 1903 13.77% 29.11% 57.12% -9.9 38
1978-03-25 Manchester United L 2-3 1588 1780 27.19% 29.74% 43.08% -8.0 18
1978-03-25 @ Leicester City W 3-2 1780 1588 43.08% 29.74% 27.19% +8.0 33
1978-03-25 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1901 1750 63.79% 27.38% 8.83% -2.8 42
1978-03-25 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1750 1901 8.83% 27.38% 63.79% +2.8 31
1978-03-25 Coventry City L 1-2 1745 1823 42.42% 30.31% 27.27% -11.7 35
1978-03-25 @ Norwich City W 2-1 1823 1745 27.27% 30.31% 42.42% +11.7 40
1978-03-25 Newcastle United W 2-0 1983 1657 73.63% 22.54% 3.83% +2.7 49
1978-03-25 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1657 1983 3.83% 22.54% 73.63% -2.7 18
1978-03-25 Ipswich Town D 3-3 1686 1712 48.65% 30.10% 21.26% -1.0 23
1978-03-25 @ Queens Park Rangers D 3-3 1712 1686 21.26% 30.10% 48.65% +1.0 29
1978-03-25 Chelsea W 3-1 1684 1724 46.97% 30.19% 22.85% +12.9 24
1978-03-25 @ West Ham L 1-3 1724 1684 22.85% 30.19% 46.97% -12.9 29
1978-03-25 Liverpool L 1-3 1743 1864 36.60% 30.26% 33.14% -18.2 28
1978-03-25 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1864 1743 33.14% 30.26% 36.60% +18.2 40
1978-03-27 Arsenal D 0-0 1711 1905 27.08% 29.73% 43.19% +1.0 30
1978-03-27 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1905 1711 43.19% 29.73% 27.08% -1.1 44
1978-03-27 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1732 1685 55.92% 29.32% 14.76% +10.5 33
1978-03-27 @ Derby County L 0-2 1685 1732 14.76% 29.32% 55.92% -10.6 23
1978-03-27 Norwich City W 4-0 1713 1733 49.25% 30.06% 20.69% +26.3 31
1978-03-27 @ Ipswich Town L 0-4 1733 1713 20.69% 30.06% 49.25% -26.3 35
1978-03-27 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1832 1725 60.76% 28.30% 10.94% +4.0 40
1978-03-27 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1725 1832 10.94% 28.30% 60.76% -4.0 28
1978-03-27 Everton L 1-2 1788 1913 36.14% 30.25% 33.61% -10.4 33
1978-03-27 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1913 1788 33.61% 30.25% 36.14% +10.4 48
1978-03-27 Leicester City L 0-1 1753 1580 65.27% 26.83% 7.90% -18.3 31
1978-03-27 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1580 1753 7.90% 26.83% 65.27% +18.3 20
1978-03-27 Bristol City W 2-1 1799 1772 54.08% 29.58% 16.34% +5.7 38
1978-03-27 @ West Brom L 1-2 1772 1799 16.34% 29.58% 54.08% -5.7 31
1978-03-28 West Ham W 3-0 1756 1697 56.99% 29.13% 13.88% +14.5 32
1978-03-28 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1697 1756 13.88% 29.13% 56.99% -14.5 24
1978-03-28 Wolverhampton W 4-0 1834 1721 61.24% 28.17% 10.59% +14.9 42
1978-03-28 @ Coventry City L 0-4 1721 1834 10.59% 28.17% 61.24% -14.9 28
1978-03-28 Leicester City W 5-1 1836 1598 69.06% 25.14% 5.80% +6.8 42
1978-03-28 @ Leeds United L 1-5 1598 1836 5.80% 25.14% 69.06% -6.8 20
1978-03-29 Manchester City D 2-2 1654 1898 21.51% 29.04% 49.45% +1.3 19
1978-03-29 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1898 1654 49.45% 29.04% 21.51% -1.3 43
1978-03-29 Aston Villa D 1-1 1778 1846 43.66% 30.29% 26.05% -1.0 34
1978-03-29 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1846 1778 26.05% 30.29% 43.66% +1.0 35
1978-03-29 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1735 1986 20.82% 28.93% 50.26% +1.3 32
1978-03-29 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1986 1735 50.26% 28.93% 20.82% -1.3 50
1978-03-29 Derby County D 0-0 1707 1743 47.46% 30.16% 22.38% -1.7 36
1978-03-29 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1743 1707 22.38% 30.16% 47.46% +1.7 34
1978-04-01 Manchester United W 3-1 1904 1777 62.19% 27.90% 9.92% +6.4 46
1978-04-01 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1777 1904 9.92% 27.90% 62.19% -6.4 34
1978-04-01 Liverpool L 0-3 1847 1882 47.53% 30.16% 22.31% -37.5 35
1978-04-01 @ Aston Villa W 3-0 1882 1847 22.31% 30.16% 47.53% +37.5 42
1978-04-01 Newcastle United W 3-1 1766 1655 61.03% 28.23% 10.74% +6.9 33
1978-04-01 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1655 1766 10.74% 28.23% 61.03% -6.9 19
1978-04-01 Derby County W 2-1 1923 1745 65.60% 26.70% 7.69% +2.9 50
1978-04-01 @ Everton L 1-2 1745 1923 7.69% 26.70% 65.60% -2.9 34
1978-04-01 West Brom L 0-1 1591 1805 24.70% 29.48% 45.81% -8.3 20
1978-04-01 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1805 1591 45.81% 29.48% 24.70% +8.3 40
1978-04-01 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1897 1739 64.27% 27.21% 8.52% +3.2 45
1978-04-01 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1739 1897 8.52% 27.21% 64.27% -3.2 31
1978-04-01 Leeds United W 3-0 1705 1843 34.33% 30.19% 35.48% +29.8 38
1978-04-01 @ Norwich City L 0-3 1843 1705 35.48% 30.19% 34.33% -29.8 42
1978-04-01 Chelsea W 3-1 1984 1712 70.89% 24.17% 4.94% +3.1 52
1978-04-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1712 1984 4.94% 24.17% 70.89% -3.1 30
1978-04-01 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1674 1736 44.44% 30.27% 25.29% +8.5 25
1978-04-01 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1736 1674 25.29% 30.27% 44.44% -8.5 32
1978-04-01 Coventry City W 2-1 1682 1849 30.37% 29.99% 39.64% +11.1 26
1978-04-01 @ West Ham L 1-2 1849 1682 39.64% 29.99% 30.37% -11.1 42
1978-04-01 Birmingham City L 0-1 1706 1771 43.99% 30.28% 25.72% -12.8 28
1978-04-01 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1771 1706 25.72% 30.28% 43.99% +12.8 34
1978-04-04 Newcastle United D 0-0 1838 1649 66.27% 26.43% 7.30% -4.5 43
1978-04-04 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1649 1838 7.30% 26.43% 66.27% +4.5 20
1978-04-04 Chelsea W 2-0 1728 1709 53.21% 29.69% 17.10% +11.9 34
1978-04-04 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1709 1728 17.10% 29.69% 53.21% -11.9 30
1978-04-05 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1809 1987 28.95% 29.89% 41.16% -9.4 35
1978-04-05 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1987 1809 41.16% 29.89% 28.95% +9.4 54
1978-04-05 Liverpool L 0-1 1926 1920 52.03% 29.82% 18.15% -14.9 50
1978-04-05 @ Everton W 1-0 1920 1926 18.15% 29.82% 52.03% +14.8 44
1978-04-08 Norwich City W 2-1 1784 1735 56.08% 29.29% 14.63% +5.2 36
1978-04-08 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1735 1784 14.63% 29.29% 56.08% -5.2 38
1978-04-08 Everton W 3-2 1834 1911 42.44% 30.31% 27.25% +8.1 45
1978-04-08 @ Coventry City L 2-3 1911 1834 27.25% 30.31% 42.44% -8.1 50
1978-04-08 West Ham L 1-2 1813 1693 61.66% 28.05% 10.29% -16.4 42
1978-04-08 @ Leeds United W 2-1 1693 1813 10.29% 28.05% 61.66% +16.4 28
1978-04-08 Leicester City W 3-2 1935 1583 74.86% 21.74% 3.40% +1.1 46
1978-04-08 @ Liverpool L 2-3 1583 1935 3.40% 21.74% 74.86% -1.1 20
1978-04-08 Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1770 1683 59.25% 28.67% 12.08% +7.7 36
1978-04-08 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1683 1770 12.08% 28.67% 59.25% -7.7 25
1978-04-08 Bristol City W 2-0 1739 1773 47.76% 30.15% 22.10% +14.6 36
1978-04-08 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1773 1739 22.10% 30.15% 47.76% -14.6 33
1978-04-08 Aston Villa D 1-1 1653 1800 33.06% 30.13% 36.81% +0.2 21
1978-04-08 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1800 1653 36.81% 30.13% 33.06% -0.2 36
1978-04-08 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1742 1693 56.05% 29.30% 14.66% +9.1 36
1978-04-08 @ Derby County L 1-3 1693 1742 14.66% 29.30% 56.05% -9.1 28
1978-04-11 Coventry City D 1-1 1754 1842 41.18% 30.31% 28.50% -0.7 37
1978-04-11 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1842 1754 28.50% 30.31% 41.18% +0.7 46
1978-04-11 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1789 1736 56.44% 29.23% 14.33% -3.0 37
1978-04-11 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1736 1789 14.33% 29.23% 56.44% +3.0 32
1978-04-11 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1900 1997 39.96% 30.31% 29.73% -0.7 46
1978-04-11 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1997 1900 29.73% 30.31% 39.96% +0.7 55
1978-04-11 Arsenal W 2-1 1675 1910 22.43% 29.18% 48.39% +13.0 27
1978-04-11 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1910 1675 48.39% 29.18% 22.43% -13.0 46
1978-04-12 Newcastle United W 2-0 1813 1653 64.42% 27.15% 8.43% +6.3 42
1978-04-12 @ West Brom L 0-2 1653 1813 8.43% 27.15% 64.42% -6.3 21
1978-04-12 Derby County W 2-0 1796 1751 55.76% 29.34% 14.90% +10.6 44
1978-04-12 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1751 1796 14.90% 29.34% 55.76% -10.6 36
1978-04-15 Newcastle United W 2-1 1897 1647 69.73% 24.80% 5.47% +2.0 48
1978-04-15 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1647 1897 5.47% 24.80% 69.73% -2.0 21
1978-04-15 Chelsea W 2-0 1800 1697 60.40% 28.39% 11.21% +8.3 38
1978-04-15 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1697 1800 11.21% 28.39% 60.40% -8.3 30
1978-04-15 Liverpool D 1-1 1759 1936 29.04% 29.89% 41.07% +0.7 34
1978-04-15 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1936 1759 41.07% 29.89% 29.04% -0.7 47
1978-04-15 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1903 1739 64.70% 27.05% 8.25% +3.3 52
1978-04-15 @ Everton L 0-1 1739 1903 8.25% 27.05% 64.70% -3.3 32
1978-04-15 Birmingham City L 1-4 1582 1786 25.79% 29.60% 44.61% -19.8 20
1978-04-15 @ Leicester City W 4-1 1786 1582 44.61% 29.60% 25.79% +19.8 39
1978-04-15 West Brom L 1-3 1899 1820 58.64% 28.81% 12.56% -27.1 46
1978-04-15 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1820 1899 12.56% 28.81% 58.64% +27.1 44
1978-04-15 Manchester United L 1-3 1729 1778 46.03% 30.22% 23.74% -21.8 38
1978-04-15 @ Norwich City W 3-1 1778 1729 23.74% 30.22% 46.03% +21.8 38
1978-04-15 Leeds United D 1-1 1997 1807 66.32% 26.41% 7.27% -4.1 56
1978-04-15 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1807 1997 7.27% 26.41% 66.32% +4.1 45
1978-04-15 Coventry City W 2-1 1688 1842 32.07% 30.08% 37.85% +10.7 29
1978-04-15 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1842 1688 37.85% 30.08% 32.07% -10.7 46
1978-04-15 Derby County W 3-0 1710 1740 48.13% 30.13% 21.75% +20.9 30
1978-04-15 @ West Ham L 0-3 1740 1710 21.75% 30.13% 48.13% -20.9 36
1978-04-15 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1684 1753 43.47% 30.29% 26.24% -1.1 29
1978-04-15 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1753 1684 26.24% 30.29% 43.47% +1.1 38
1978-04-17 Newcastle United W 2-0 1808 1645 64.61% 27.08% 8.30% +6.2 40
1978-04-17 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1645 1808 8.30% 27.08% 64.61% -6.2 21
1978-04-18 Ipswich Town D 2-2 1935 1736 66.87% 26.17% 6.96% -3.1 48
1978-04-18 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1736 1935 6.96% 26.17% 66.87% +3.1 33
1978-04-18 Derby County W 1-0 1847 1719 62.23% 27.88% 9.89% +3.9 46
1978-04-18 @ West Brom L 0-1 1719 1847 9.89% 27.88% 62.23% -3.9 36
1978-04-18 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1993 1699 72.06% 23.50% 4.44% +1.7 58
1978-04-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1699 1993 4.44% 23.50% 72.06% -1.7 29
1978-04-22 Manchester City L 1-4 1806 1872 43.89% 30.29% 25.82% -29.6 39
1978-04-22 @ Birmingham City W 4-1 1872 1806 25.82% 30.29% 43.89% +29.6 48
1978-04-22 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1689 1683 52.06% 29.82% 18.12% -2.1 31
1978-04-22 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1683 1689 18.12% 29.82% 52.06% +2.1 30
1978-04-22 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1832 1995 30.84% 30.01% 39.15% +0.5 47
1978-04-22 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1995 1832 39.15% 30.01% 30.84% -0.5 59
1978-04-22 Leicester City W 4-1 1715 1562 63.97% 27.31% 8.71% +8.0 38
1978-04-22 @ Derby County L 1-4 1562 1715 8.71% 27.31% 63.97% -8.0 20
1978-04-22 Bristol City W 1-0 1739 1759 49.21% 30.06% 20.73% +7.4 35
1978-04-22 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1759 1739 20.73% 30.06% 49.21% -7.4 34
1978-04-22 Arsenal L 1-3 1811 1899 41.14% 30.31% 28.55% -19.8 45
1978-04-22 @ Leeds United W 3-1 1899 1811 28.55% 30.31% 41.14% +19.8 50
1978-04-22 Norwich City W 3-0 1932 1708 68.32% 25.51% 6.18% +6.6 50
1978-04-22 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1708 1932 6.18% 25.51% 68.32% -6.6 38
1978-04-22 West Ham W 3-0 1800 1731 57.77% 28.98% 13.24% +14.0 40
1978-04-22 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1731 1800 13.24% 28.98% 57.77% -14.0 30
1978-04-22 Everton D 0-0 1754 1907 32.35% 30.10% 37.55% +0.3 39
1978-04-22 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1907 1754 37.55% 30.10% 32.35% -0.3 53
1978-04-22 Queens Park Rangers L 0-3 1639 1697 44.84% 30.26% 24.89% -35.7 21
1978-04-22 @ Newcastle United W 3-0 1697 1639 24.89% 30.26% 44.84% +35.7 31
1978-04-22 Aston Villa L 0-3 1851 1814 54.93% 29.47% 15.61% -42.8 46
1978-04-22 @ West Brom W 3-0 1814 1851 15.61% 29.47% 54.93% +42.8 42
1978-04-25 Manchester United L 0-1 1752 1814 44.44% 30.27% 25.29% -12.9 34
1978-04-25 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1814 1752 25.29% 30.27% 44.44% +12.9 42
1978-04-25 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1746 1995 21.04% 28.97% 49.99% -13.8 35
1978-04-25 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 1995 1746 49.99% 28.97% 21.04% +13.8 61
1978-04-25 Arsenal W 1-0 1939 1919 53.38% 29.67% 16.95% +6.3 52
1978-04-25 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1919 1939 16.95% 29.67% 53.38% -6.3 50
1978-04-25 Coventry City W 3-1 1902 1832 57.81% 28.98% 13.21% +8.3 50
1978-04-25 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1832 1902 13.21% 28.98% 57.81% -8.3 47
1978-04-25 West Ham L 1-2 1755 1717 55.08% 29.45% 15.47% -14.8 39
1978-04-25 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1717 1755 15.47% 29.45% 55.08% +14.8 32
1978-04-25 Birmingham City D 0-0 1733 1776 46.63% 30.20% 23.17% -1.6 32
1978-04-25 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1776 1733 23.17% 30.20% 46.63% +1.6 40
1978-04-25 Everton W 3-1 1808 1906 39.76% 30.31% 29.93% +15.8 48
1978-04-25 @ West Brom L 1-3 1906 1808 29.93% 30.31% 39.76% -15.8 53
1978-04-26 Leeds United W 3-1 1857 1791 57.50% 29.04% 13.47% +8.4 44
1978-04-26 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1791 1857 13.47% 29.04% 57.50% -8.5 45
1978-04-26 Chelsea L 0-2 1554 1687 35.00% 30.21% 34.79% -20.3 20
1978-04-26 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1687 1554 34.79% 30.21% 35.00% +20.3 33
1978-04-26 Norwich City D 2-2 1603 1701 39.82% 30.31% 29.87% -0.4 22
1978-04-26 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1701 1603 29.87% 30.31% 39.82% +0.4 39
1978-04-29 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1913 1740 65.22% 26.85% 7.93% +3.2 52
1978-04-29 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1740 1913 7.93% 26.85% 65.22% -3.1 39
1978-04-29 Ipswich Town W 6-1 1865 1732 62.63% 27.76% 9.61% +13.9 46
1978-04-29 @ Aston Villa L 1-6 1732 1865 9.61% 27.76% 62.63% -13.9 35
1978-04-29 Coventry City D 1-1 1739 1824 41.53% 30.31% 28.16% -0.8 35
1978-04-29 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1824 1739 28.16% 30.31% 41.53% +0.8 48
1978-04-29 Chelsea W 6-0 1890 1707 65.87% 26.59% 7.53% +15.6 55
1978-04-29 @ Everton L 0-6 1707 1890 7.53% 26.59% 65.87% -15.6 33
1978-04-29 Newcastle United W 3-0 1534 1603 43.56% 30.29% 26.14% +24.0 22
1978-04-29 @ Leicester City L 0-3 1603 1534 26.14% 30.29% 43.56% -24.0 22
1978-04-29 Derby County D 1-1 1910 1723 66.09% 26.50% 7.40% -4.0 51
1978-04-29 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1723 1910 7.40% 26.50% 66.09% +4.0 39
1978-04-29 West Brom D 1-1 1701 1824 36.51% 30.25% 33.24% -0.2 40
1978-04-29 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1824 1701 33.24% 30.25% 36.51% +0.2 49
1978-04-29 Birmingham City D 0-0 2008 1778 68.65% 25.35% 6.01% -4.8 62
1978-04-29 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1778 2008 6.01% 25.35% 68.65% +4.8 41
1978-04-29 Leeds United D 0-0 1731 1783 45.68% 30.24% 24.08% -1.4 33
1978-04-29 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1783 1731 24.08% 30.24% 45.68% +1.4 46
1978-04-29 Liverpool L 0-2 1731 1945 24.71% 29.48% 45.81% -15.7 32
1978-04-29 @ West Ham W 2-0 1945 1731 45.81% 29.48% 24.71% +15.7 54
1978-04-29 Manchester United W 2-1 1685 1827 33.75% 30.16% 36.09% +10.4 32
1978-04-29 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1827 1685 36.09% 30.16% 33.75% -10.4 42
1978-05-01 Manchester City W 4-0 1961 1906 56.56% 29.21% 14.23% +19.4 56
1978-05-01 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1906 1961 14.23% 29.21% 56.56% -19.4 51
1978-05-02 Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1692 1730 47.24% 30.17% 22.59% +12.8 35
1978-05-02 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1730 1692 22.59% 30.17% 47.24% -12.8 33
1978-05-02 Aston Villa W 3-1 1695 1879 28.17% 29.82% 42.00% +20.1 34
1978-05-02 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1879 1695 42.00% 29.82% 28.17% -20.1 46
1978-05-02 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1824 2003 28.75% 29.87% 41.38% +0.6 50
1978-05-02 @ West Brom D 2-2 2003 1824 41.38% 29.87% 28.75% -0.5 63
1978-05-04 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1980 2003 48.97% 30.07% 20.95% -1.9 57
1978-05-04 @ Liverpool D 0-0 2003 1980 20.95% 30.07% 48.97% +1.9 64
1978-05-05 Manchester City D 0-0 1705 1887 28.46% 29.85% 41.70% +0.9 36
1978-05-05 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1887 1705 41.70% 29.85% 28.46% -0.9 52
1978-05-09 Arsenal W 3-0 1727 1916 27.67% 29.78% 42.55% +34.0 41
1978-05-09 @ Derby County L 0-3 1916 1727 42.55% 29.78% 27.67% -34.0 52
1978-05-09 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1718 1715 51.72% 29.85% 18.43% -13.9 35
1978-05-09 @ Ipswich Town W 2-1 1715 1718 18.43% 29.85% 51.72% +13.9 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-12-26 7.56% Manchester United 1754 6 @ Everton 1936 2
2 1978-01-21 7.58% Birmingham City 1730 3 @ Liverpool 1912 2
3 1978-03-27 7.90% Leicester City 1580 1 @ Middlesbrough 1753 0
4 1978-01-02 8.73% Newcastle United 1676 2 @ Leeds United 1829 0
5 1977-10-29 9.50% West Ham 1680 2 @ Ipswich Town 1816 0
6 1977-10-22 9.57% Wolverhampton 1754 2 @ Manchester City 1889 0
7 1977-09-17 9.80% Chelsea 1709 1 @ Manchester United 1839 0
8 1978-04-08 10.29% West Ham 1693 2 @ Leeds United 1813 1
9 1977-11-26 10.68% Derby County 1746 3 @ Arsenal 1858 1
10 1978-03-04 11.81% Bristol City 1762 2 @ Leeds United 1854 0
11 1977-11-12 12.18% Leeds United 1773 3 @ Manchester City 1859 2
12 1978-04-15 12.56% West Brom 1820 3 @ Manchester City 1899 1
13 1977-09-03 12.88% West Ham 1708 3 @ Newcastle United 1783 2
14 1977-11-12 12.94% Middlesbrough 1762 1 @ Aston Villa 1836 0
15 1977-09-10 13.40% Birmingham City 1711 2 @ Middlesbrough 1777 1
16 1977-11-05 13.92% Aston Villa 1820 2 @ Liverpool 1879 1
17 1978-01-02 13.92% Birmingham City 1726 2 @ Manchester United 1785 1
18 1977-10-01 14.39% Birmingham City 1738 1 @ Aston Villa 1790 0
19 1977-12-10 14.53% Chelsea 1703 3 @ Wolverhampton 1753 1
20 1978-03-25 14.78% Birmingham City 1741 1 @ Bristol City 1788 0
21 1977-08-27 15.03% Everton 1752 2 @ Aston Villa 1796 1
22 1977-12-10 15.13% Newcastle United 1679 1 @ Queens Park Rangers 1722 0
23 1978-03-18 15.38% Birmingham City 1715 3 @ Derby County 1754 1
24 1978-04-25 15.47% West Ham 1717 2 @ Middlesbrough 1755 1
25 1977-08-20 15.57% Nottingham Forest 1747 3 @ Everton 1783 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-12-26 46.77 Manchester United 6 1754 7.56% @ Everton 2 1936 65.83% 26.61%
2 1978-04-22 42.77 Aston Villa 3 1814 15.61% @ West Brom 0 1851 54.93% 29.47%
3 1977-09-10 41.23 Everton 5 1765 21.81% @ Leicester City 1 1734 48.06% 30.13%
4 1977-12-17 41.17 Nottingham Forest 4 1904 31.37% @ Manchester United 0 1795 38.34% 30.29%
5 1977-10-08 39.09 Everton 5 1834 24.58% @ Queens Park Rangers 1 1778 45.17% 30.25%
6 1977-12-27 38.14 Aston Villa 3 1816 21.45% @ Derby County 0 1789 48.44% 30.11%
7 1978-04-01 37.51 Liverpool 3 1882 22.31% @ Aston Villa 0 1847 47.53% 30.16%
8 1977-09-10 37.40 West Brom 3 1805 22.46% @ Newcastle United 0 1768 47.38% 30.17%
9 1978-04-22 35.69 Queens Park Rangers 3 1697 24.89% @ Newcastle United 0 1639 44.84% 30.26%
10 1978-05-09 34.01 @ Derby County 3 1727 27.67% Arsenal 0 1916 42.55% 29.78%
11 1978-01-02 33.98 Newcastle United 2 1676 8.73% @ Leeds United 0 1829 63.94% 27.32%
12 1977-08-24 33.85 Manchester City 4 1831 18.82% @ Aston Villa 1 1830 51.29% 29.89%
13 1977-10-29 33.42 West Ham 2 1680 9.50% @ Ipswich Town 0 1816 62.79% 27.71%
14 1977-10-22 33.37 Wolverhampton 2 1754 9.57% @ Manchester City 0 1889 62.69% 27.74%
15 1977-08-20 32.11 Manchester United 4 1801 21.54% @ Birmingham City 1 1773 48.35% 30.11%
16 1978-03-04 31.82 Bristol City 2 1762 11.81% @ Leeds United 0 1854 59.60% 28.59%
17 1977-09-24 30.99 Nottingham Forest 3 1804 32.23% @ Leicester City 0 1689 37.49% 30.28%
18 1978-04-01 29.76 @ Norwich City 3 1705 34.33% Leeds United 0 1843 35.48% 30.19%
19 1978-04-22 29.56 Manchester City 4 1872 25.82% @ Birmingham City 1 1806 43.89% 30.29%
20 1977-11-26 29.47 Liverpool 4 1840 46.12% @ Leicester City 0 1624 24.43% 29.45%
21 1977-11-26 28.22 Derby County 3 1746 10.68% @ Arsenal 1 1858 61.12% 28.20%
22 1977-11-26 28.22 @ Everton 6 1893 56.70% Coventry City 0 1836 14.11% 29.18%
23 1977-12-17 27.50 @ Newcastle United 4 1695 47.93% Wolverhampton 0 1727 21.94% 30.14%
24 1978-04-15 27.13 West Brom 3 1820 12.56% @ Manchester City 1 1899 58.64% 28.81%
25 1978-03-27 26.30 @ Ipswich Town 4 1713 49.25% Norwich City 0 1733 20.69% 30.06%