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1976-77 Football League First Division Season

462 games

Final

Champion

Liverpool

57 points · 10th Title

Last Title: 1975-76

Relegated

Tottenham Hotspur

33 pts

Sunderland · 34 pts

Stoke City · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester City

8.44 points above expected

56 points · 47.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stoke City

5.20 points below expected

34 points · 39.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool Champion 42 23 11 8 57 62 33 +29 51.34 +5.66
2 Manchester City 42 21 14 7 56 60 34 +26 47.56 +8.44
3 Ipswich Town 42 22 8 12 52 66 39 +27 47.66 +4.34
4 Aston Villa 42 22 7 13 51 76 50 +26 46.15 +4.85
5 Newcastle United 42 18 13 11 49 64 49 +15 44.85 +4.15
6 Manchester United 42 18 11 13 47 71 62 +9 46.70 +0.30
7 West Brom 42 16 13 13 45 62 56 +6 41.77 +3.23
8 Arsenal 42 16 11 15 43 64 59 +5 42.12 +0.88
9 Everton 42 14 14 14 42 62 64 -2 41.37 +0.63
10 Leeds United 42 15 12 15 42 48 51 -3 43.34 -1.34
11 Leicester City 42 12 18 12 42 47 60 -13 41.68 +0.32
12 Middlesbrough 42 14 13 15 41 40 45 -5 41.20 -0.20
13 Birmingham City 42 13 12 17 38 63 61 +2 40.75 -2.75
14 Queens Park Rangers 42 13 12 17 38 47 52 -5 43.08 -5.08
15 Derby County 42 9 19 14 37 50 55 -5 41.63 -4.63
16 Norwich City 42 14 9 19 37 47 64 -17 39.08 -2.08
17 West Ham 42 11 14 17 36 46 65 -19 34.62 +1.38
18 Bristol City 42 11 13 18 35 38 48 -10 37.05 -2.05
19 Coventry City 42 10 15 17 35 48 59 -11 39.68 -4.68
20 Sunderland Relegated 42 11 12 19 34 46 54 -8 36.35 -2.35
21 Stoke City Relegated 42 10 14 18 34 28 51 -23 39.20 -5.20
22 Tottenham 42 12 9 21 33 48 72 -24 36.84 -3.84

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 1932 57 51.34 +5.66 90.6% 33 43 48 51 55 59 68
Manchester City 1917 56 47.56 +8.44 97.3% 31 40 44 48 51 55 64
Ipswich Town 1888 52 47.66 +4.34 84.7% 28 40 44 48 51 55 66
Aston Villa 1875 51 46.15 +4.85 87.1% 26 38 43 46 49 54 65
Newcastle United 1845 49 44.85 +4.15 84.4% 29 37 42 45 48 53 62
Manchester United 1843 47 46.70 +0.30 56.5% 30 39 44 47 50 54 64
West Brom 1839 45 41.77 +3.23 78.8% 23 34 39 42 45 49 59
Arsenal 1837 43 42.12 +0.88 61.6% 26 34 39 42 45 50 60
Queens Park Rangers 1810 38 43.08 -5.08 16.8% 25 35 40 43 46 51 62
Leeds United 1804 42 43.34 -1.34 42.4% 25 36 40 43 46 51 60
Derby County 1803 37 41.63 -4.63 19.3% 26 34 38 42 45 49 64
Everton 1802 42 41.37 +0.63 59.5% 24 34 38 41 45 49 58
Birmingham City 1779 38 40.75 -2.75 32.1% 20 33 38 41 44 48 59
Sunderland 1770 34 36.35 -2.35 34.3% 20 29 33 36 40 44 55
Middlesbrough 1769 41 41.20 -0.20 52.7% 22 34 38 41 44 49 60
Norwich City 1736 37 39.08 -2.08 36.5% 22 31 36 39 42 47 57
Bristol City 1735 35 37.05 -2.05 37.4% 19 29 34 37 40 45 56
Coventry City 1731 35 39.68 -4.68 19.3% 24 32 36 40 43 47 59
Tottenham 1731 33 36.84 -3.84 24.6% 18 29 34 37 40 45 55
West Ham 1728 36 34.62 +1.38 66.1% 17 27 31 35 38 42 54
Leicester City 1721 42 41.68 +0.32 57.0% 24 34 38 42 45 49 58
Stoke City 1703 34 39.20 -5.20 15.8% 22 32 36 39 42 47 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BC CC DC EVE IT LU LC LIV MC MU MID NU NC QPR SC SUN TOT WB WH
Arsenal —
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
3.13
2-0-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.12
Aston Villa
1-0-1
2.97
 —
0-0-2
3.10
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.36
Birmingham City
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.30
 —
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.63
0-2-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
3.02
0-0-2
2.78
0-2-0
3.14
Bristol City
2-0-0
2.26
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.44
 —
0-2-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
2.17
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.95
Coventry City
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.67
0-2-0
2.85
 —
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
1.76
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.95
Derby County
0-2-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.82
 —
0-0-2
2.75
0-2-0
2.22
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.64
0-2-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.81
0-2-0
3.09
Everton
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.59
0-2-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.64
 —
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.01
0-2-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.29
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.70
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.25
Ipswich Town
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.41
0-2-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.92
 —
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.95
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.47
Leeds United
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.62
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.99
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.33
 —
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.19
Leicester City
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.25
0-1-1
2.46
 —
0-0-2
2.24
0-1-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
3.08
Liverpool
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.84
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.17
 —
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
4.02
Manchester City
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.57
 —
0-0-2
2.76
1-1-0
3.19
0-2-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.13
0-2-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.74
Manchester United
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
3.02
0-2-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.63
 —
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.46
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.38
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
3.50
Middlesbrough
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.58
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.28
 —
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.08
Newcastle United
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.04
0-2-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.28
0-2-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.91
 —
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.62
Norwich City
0-0-2
2.62
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
1.99
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.34
 —
2-0-0
2.42
0-2-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.99
Queens Park Rangers
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
3.24
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
1.99
0-2-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.98
 —
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.21
Stoke City
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.31
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.28
0-2-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.40
 —
0-2-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
3.02
Sunderland
0-2-0
2.36
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
2.07
0-1-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.35
 —
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
2.32
1-1-0
2.79
Tottenham
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
1.85
2-0-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.77
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.74
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.58
 —
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.96
West Brom
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.24
0-2-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
2.17
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.98
0-0-2
3.07
2-0-0
2.88
 —
1-1-0
3.31
West Ham
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.03
0-2-0
2.27
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
1.44
1-0-1
1.67
2-0-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.11
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.51 +4.4
Allowed 0.45 -4.9
Differential 0.87 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.74%7.25%1.62%1.41%0.65%30.19%
19.74%11.90%6.28%3.14%0.76%0.65%32.47%
27.25%6.28%7.14%2.27%0.76%0.43%24.13%
31.62%3.14%2.27%1.08%—0.22%8.33%
41.41%0.76%0.76%———2.92%
5+0.65%0.65%0.43%0.22%——1.95%
Total30.19%32.47%24.13%8.33%2.92%1.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.71
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%4.76%2.38%——21.43%
14.76%9.52%9.52%2.38%4.76%2.38%33.33%
211.90%2.38%4.76%4.76%——23.81%
34.76%7.14%2.38%2.38%——16.67%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total33.33%23.81%21.43%14.29%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.40 +0.12
SD 1.21 1.34 1.82
CV 0.80 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%4.76%4.76%4.76%——16.67%
111.90%11.90%9.52%2.38%——35.71%
27.14%7.14%2.38%4.76%——21.43%
3—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
47.14%2.38%————9.52%
5+—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
Total28.57%35.71%23.81%11.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.19 +0.62
SD 1.47 0.99 1.91
CV 0.81 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%16.67%——2.38%—28.57%
12.38%4.76%11.90%—2.38%—21.43%
24.76%9.52%11.90%4.76%2.38%—33.33%
32.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
4———————
5+—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
Total19.05%38.10%28.57%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.45 +0.05
SD 1.37 1.11 1.61
CV 0.91 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%9.52%9.52%2.38%——33.33%
116.67%11.90%19.05%2.38%——50.00%
22.38%2.38%7.14%———11.90%
3—2.38%————2.38%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%28.57%35.71%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.14 -0.24
SD 0.88 0.93 1.25
CV 0.97 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%7.14%14.29%2.38%——28.57%
14.76%26.19%7.14%7.14%——45.24%
27.14%4.76%4.76%2.38%——19.05%
3———————
4——4.76%———4.76%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total16.67%38.10%33.33%11.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.40 -0.26
SD 1.14 0.91 1.42
CV 1.00 0.65 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%9.52%—2.38%—40.48%
14.76%11.90%—4.76%—2.38%23.81%
27.14%2.38%11.90%7.14%——28.57%
3———————
42.38%—2.38%———4.76%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total35.71%21.43%26.19%11.90%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.31 -0.12
SD 1.52 1.28 1.80
CV 1.28 0.98 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%—9.52%2.38%2.38%—19.05%
14.76%14.29%7.14%7.14%2.38%—35.71%
29.52%4.76%11.90%—2.38%—28.57%
32.38%2.38%4.76%2.38%——11.90%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+———————
Total26.19%21.43%33.33%11.90%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.52 -0.05
SD 1.09 1.21 1.82
CV 0.74 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%——2.38%—23.81%
116.67%9.52%9.52%———35.71%
29.52%7.14%2.38%——2.38%21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total38.10%42.86%14.29%—2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 0.93 +0.64
SD 1.53 1.07 1.92
CV 0.98 1.15 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%11.90%4.76%2.38%——26.19%
19.52%14.29%9.52%4.76%——38.10%
27.14%14.29%7.14%—2.38%—30.95%
3—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.81%42.86%23.81%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.21 -0.07
SD 0.87 0.98 1.26
CV 0.76 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%4.76%2.38%—4.76%30.95%
114.29%19.05%———2.38%35.71%
24.76%4.76%9.52%4.76%—2.38%26.19%
3—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%35.71%14.29%9.52%—9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.43 -0.31
SD 0.99 1.56 1.77
CV 0.89 1.09 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%2.38%———23.81%
116.67%11.90%7.14%——2.38%38.10%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
32.38%11.90%2.38%———16.67%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total42.86%42.86%11.90%——2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.79 +0.69
SD 1.29 0.95 1.55
CV 0.88 1.21 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%7.14%——2.38%—26.19%
111.90%7.14%2.38%4.76%——26.19%
219.05%9.52%9.52%———38.10%
3——2.38%———2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total52.38%23.81%16.67%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.81 +0.62
SD 1.25 1.04 1.62
CV 0.88 1.29 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%2.38%2.38%4.76%—19.05%
14.76%7.14%7.14%2.38%——21.43%
211.90%4.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%—33.33%
32.38%11.90%4.76%4.76%——23.81%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%28.57%23.81%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.48 +0.21
SD 1.12 1.23 1.77
CV 0.66 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%7.14%2.38%2.38%—40.48%
116.67%7.14%4.76%4.76%——33.33%
24.76%4.76%7.14%———16.67%
34.76%—2.38%2.38%——9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.48%26.19%21.43%9.52%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.07 -0.12
SD 0.99 1.11 1.47
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%7.14%———23.81%
19.52%9.52%2.38%2.38%——23.81%
211.90%7.14%11.90%2.38%2.38%—35.71%
34.76%—4.76%——2.38%11.90%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total35.71%28.57%26.19%4.76%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.17 +0.36
SD 1.19 1.19 1.53
CV 0.78 1.02 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%14.29%9.52%——2.38%30.95%
111.90%9.52%2.38%9.52%—2.38%35.71%
22.38%9.52%7.14%4.76%——23.81%
32.38%—7.14%———9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.43%33.33%26.19%14.29%—4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.52 -0.40
SD 0.97 1.25 1.56
CV 0.86 0.82 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%9.52%2.38%2.38%—35.71%
17.14%14.29%4.76%2.38%——28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%4.76%——26.19%
32.38%2.38%2.38%———7.14%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%38.10%23.81%9.52%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.24 -0.12
SD 1.06 1.03 1.58
CV 0.95 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.05%14.29%16.67%4.76%2.38%—57.14%
111.90%9.52%—2.38%——23.81%
22.38%7.14%2.38%——2.38%14.29%
3—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%19.05%9.52%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.21 -0.55
SD 0.90 1.22 1.43
CV 1.35 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%19.05%16.67%———45.24%
19.52%9.52%2.38%2.38%4.76%—28.57%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%————4.76%
Total23.81%38.10%28.57%4.76%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.29 -0.19
SD 1.49 1.04 1.86
CV 1.36 0.81 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%11.90%—2.38%2.38%33.33%
19.52%7.14%11.90%4.76%——33.33%
24.76%4.76%4.76%—2.38%2.38%19.05%
32.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%—2.38%14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.81%26.19%30.95%7.14%4.76%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.71 -0.57
SD 1.05 1.66 1.85
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%11.90%7.14%—2.38%2.38%26.19%
14.76%19.05%2.38%——2.38%28.57%
27.14%9.52%9.52%2.38%——28.57%
34.76%2.38%————7.14%
44.76%—2.38%———7.14%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total26.19%42.86%21.43%2.38%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.33 +0.14
SD 1.29 1.48 2.26
CV 0.88 1.11 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%7.14%4.76%2.38%2.38%33.33%
19.52%16.67%7.14%2.38%2.38%—38.10%
29.52%—7.14%2.38%2.38%—21.43%
3——2.38%———2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total28.57%23.81%26.19%11.90%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.55 -0.45
SD 1.12 1.42 1.76
CV 1.02 0.92 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester City 56 47.56 +8.44
2 Liverpool 57 51.34 +5.66
3 Aston Villa 51 46.15 +4.85
4 Ipswich Town 52 47.66 +4.34
5 Newcastle United 49 44.85 +4.15

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stoke City 34 39.20 -5.20
2 Queens Park Rangers 38 43.08 -5.08
3 Coventry City 35 39.68 -4.68
4 Derby County 37 41.63 -4.63
5 Tottenham 33 36.84 -3.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ipswich Town 6 Sep 25 – Nov 6 1 in 975
2 West Brom 5 Feb 28 – Mar 16 1 in 270
3 Everton 3 Feb 19 – Mar 5 1 in 96
4 Manchester United 5 Jan 15 – Feb 12 1 in 85
5 West Ham 3 Feb 12 – Feb 26 1 in 52

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Arsenal 7 Feb 12 – Mar 12 1 in 3,282
2 Sunderland 9 Nov 23 – Jan 15 1 in 1,221
3 Bristol City 6 Sep 25 – Oct 30 1 in 702
4 Middlesbrough 4 Oct 30 – Nov 27 1 in 109
5 Everton 4 Jan 15 – Feb 12 1 in 79

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 14 Oct 30 – Feb 16 1 in 191
2 Ipswich Town 15 Sep 25 – Jan 15 1 in 148
3 West Ham 7 Apr 20 – May 16 1 in 144
4 Sunderland 9 Apr 2 – May 14 1 in 88
5 Middlesbrough 10 Dec 4 – Feb 15 1 in 51

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester United 8 Oct 16 – Dec 18 1 in 145
2 Arsenal 11 Jan 18 – Mar 23 1 in 117
3 Coventry City 13 Feb 16 – Apr 23 1 in 68
4 Bristol City 9 Sep 11 – Nov 6 1 in 64
5 Middlesbrough 12 Feb 19 – Apr 16 1 in 60

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Liverpool40.87%19.78%11.57%8.00%5.37%3.83%2.64%2.11%1.55%0.95%0.99%0.77%0.48%0.41%0.21%0.18%0.11%0.07%0.06%0.03%0.02%—
Manchester City13.19%14.56%13.39%10.49%8.70%7.31%6.12%5.24%4.27%3.60%2.81%2.48%1.83%1.31%1.36%1.15%0.78%0.54%0.39%0.26%0.17%0.05%
Ipswich Town13.84%15.24%12.91%10.35%9.01%7.45%5.99%4.86%4.03%3.32%3.09%2.05%1.80%1.46%1.29%1.10%0.72%0.65%0.38%0.27%0.16%0.03%
Aston Villa8.39%10.12%10.63%9.64%9.02%8.31%7.28%6.54%4.97%4.57%4.18%3.57%2.99%2.40%1.95%1.52%1.21%0.89%0.86%0.55%0.33%0.08%
Newcastle United4.48%6.47%7.78%8.65%9.12%7.70%7.77%6.99%6.85%5.40%4.55%4.63%4.19%3.16%2.86%2.41%2.12%1.78%1.25%0.94%0.68%0.22%
Manchester United8.10%11.26%11.32%10.48%9.64%7.99%6.98%5.93%5.43%4.33%3.69%3.17%2.58%2.27%2.01%1.44%1.18%0.90%0.62%0.43%0.20%0.05%
West Brom1.14%1.85%2.93%3.83%4.63%5.43%5.79%6.32%6.06%6.34%6.53%6.16%6.26%5.93%5.33%5.40%4.74%4.56%3.92%3.05%2.33%1.47%
Arsenal1.11%2.63%3.51%4.07%5.20%5.49%5.93%6.31%6.56%6.44%5.98%6.30%6.14%5.79%5.46%5.00%4.46%3.90%3.41%2.97%2.16%1.18%
Everton0.89%1.70%2.51%3.51%4.11%4.63%5.02%5.53%5.99%6.09%6.05%6.00%6.25%6.00%5.81%6.11%5.30%5.23%4.25%3.90%3.11%2.01%
Leeds United1.81%3.74%4.77%6.14%6.14%6.36%7.00%6.69%6.58%6.49%6.67%5.68%5.31%5.47%4.29%3.99%3.51%2.99%2.51%1.70%1.40%0.76%
Leicester City0.84%2.05%2.64%3.46%3.63%4.78%5.16%5.16%5.79%6.19%6.15%6.33%6.24%6.64%5.86%5.82%5.40%5.02%4.59%3.77%2.77%1.71%
Middlesbrough0.93%1.52%2.22%3.24%3.21%4.66%4.85%5.27%5.66%5.98%6.33%6.00%6.25%6.34%6.48%5.83%5.57%5.55%4.61%4.12%3.19%2.19%
Birmingham City0.54%1.43%2.03%2.76%3.62%4.13%4.97%4.92%5.45%5.99%5.88%6.17%6.08%5.97%6.55%6.21%5.97%5.63%5.28%4.57%3.47%2.38%
Queens Park Rangers1.97%3.66%4.53%5.55%5.60%6.09%6.12%6.67%6.41%6.31%6.29%5.82%5.46%5.45%4.79%4.50%4.22%3.05%2.68%2.27%1.74%0.82%
Derby County0.97%1.78%2.78%3.77%4.46%4.71%5.11%5.79%5.90%6.19%5.93%6.01%6.26%5.84%5.94%5.39%5.46%5.03%4.31%3.75%2.82%1.80%
Norwich City0.19%0.52%0.91%1.26%1.85%2.29%2.51%3.08%3.81%4.03%5.00%5.47%5.78%5.81%6.77%6.74%7.07%7.63%7.95%8.10%6.94%6.29%
West Ham0.01%0.04%0.08%0.14%0.29%0.28%0.48%0.71%0.86%1.25%1.48%2.01%2.32%2.98%3.93%4.58%5.82%7.03%9.43%12.27%16.65%27.36%
Bristol City0.09%0.14%0.40%0.60%0.94%1.26%1.42%1.95%2.13%2.37%3.44%3.62%4.64%5.04%5.46%6.54%7.71%8.24%9.80%10.58%12.00%11.63%
Coventry City0.28%0.75%1.48%1.69%2.26%2.70%3.49%3.80%4.17%5.02%4.93%5.99%5.91%6.45%6.47%6.80%6.84%6.76%6.70%6.87%6.03%4.61%
Sunderland0.06%0.08%0.18%0.49%0.81%0.88%1.08%1.43%1.83%2.55%2.67%3.55%3.77%4.52%5.19%6.36%7.16%8.66%9.65%11.28%13.25%14.55%
Stoke City0.23%0.47%1.10%1.39%1.77%2.53%2.82%3.22%3.64%4.19%4.42%4.96%5.32%6.19%6.40%6.83%7.50%7.83%7.62%7.94%7.44%6.19%
Tottenham0.07%0.21%0.33%0.49%0.62%1.19%1.47%1.48%2.06%2.40%2.94%3.26%4.14%4.57%5.59%6.10%7.15%8.06%9.73%10.38%13.14%14.62%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.55%
Strong Edge
51.95%29.65%18.40%
Elo Value
Home Edge
206 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0121.26600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.70 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Liverpool, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.02/gm
Photo Finish
00.070.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.77 * Some Luck: 3.77 to 5.65 * Lucky: 5.65 to 7.54 * Wild Swing: 7.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.33 * Close: 3.33 to 5 * Off: 5 to 6.67 * Way Off: 6.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.67 * A Surprise: 1.67 to 2.66 * Several Surprises: 2.66 to 3.66 * Many Surprises: 3.66 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.76 points
As Expected
04.7112
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.18
Pinpoint
04.1710
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
97.27%
Manchester City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
15.78%
Stoke City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.73

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.09
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.12
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.63
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.06 to 0.09 * Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.12 * Well Above Noise: 0.12 and up.
Probability calibration
0.43
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.0610.15

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Liverpool 99.95% 0.05%
Ipswich Town 99.54% 0.46%
Manchester City 99.52% 0.48%
Manchester United 99.32% 0.68%
Aston Villa 99.04% 0.96%
Newcastle United 98.16% 1.84%
Leeds United 96.14% 3.86%
Queens Park Rangers 95.17% 4.83%
Arsenal 93.69% 6.31%
West Brom 93.15% 6.85%
Leicester City 91.75% 8.25%
Derby County 91.63% 8.37%
Everton 90.98% 9.02%
Middlesbrough 90.50% 9.50%
Birmingham City 89.58% 10.42%
Coventry City 82.49% 17.51%
Norwich City 78.67% 21.33%
Stoke City 78.43% 21.57%
Bristol City 65.79% 34.21%
Tottenham 61.86% 38.14%
Sunderland 60.92% 39.08%
West Ham 43.72% 56.28%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1976-08-21 Bristol City L 0-1 1781 1749 58.00% 29.79% 12.20% -13.8 0
1976-08-21 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1749 1781 12.20% 29.79% 58.00% +13.8 2
1976-08-21 West Ham W 4-0 1780 1740 58.67% 29.62% 11.71% +13.9 2
1976-08-21 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1740 1780 11.71% 29.62% 58.67% -13.9 0
1976-08-21 Tottenham W 3-1 1803 1781 57.23% 29.99% 12.79% +6.8 2
1976-08-21 @ Ipswich Town L 1-3 1781 1803 12.79% 29.99% 57.23% -6.8 0
1976-08-21 West Brom D 2-2 1825 1760 60.57% 29.05% 10.39% -2.1 1
1976-08-21 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1760 1825 10.39% 29.05% 60.57% +2.1 1
1976-08-21 Manchester City D 2-2 1804 1816 54.24% 30.59% 15.17% -1.5 1
1976-08-21 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1816 1804 15.17% 30.59% 54.24% +1.6 1
1976-08-21 Norwich City W 1-0 1888 1800 62.31% 28.43% 9.26% +3.1 2
1976-08-21 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1800 1888 9.26% 28.43% 62.31% -3.1 0
1976-08-21 Birmingham City D 2-2 1838 1773 60.66% 29.02% 10.33% -2.1 1
1976-08-21 @ Manchester United D 2-2 1773 1838 10.33% 29.02% 60.66% +2.1 1
1976-08-21 Coventry City W 1-0 1804 1787 56.80% 30.09% 13.12% +4.3 2
1976-08-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1787 1804 13.12% 30.09% 56.80% -4.3 0
1976-08-21 Derby County D 2-2 1801 1837 51.93% 30.93% 17.14% -1.4 1
1976-08-21 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1837 1801 17.14% 30.93% 51.93% +1.4 1
1976-08-21 Everton L 0-4 1873 1792 61.80% 28.62% 9.58% -52.1 0
1976-08-21 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-0 1792 1873 9.58% 28.62% 61.80% +52.1 2
1976-08-21 Sunderland D 0-0 1797 1768 57.81% 29.84% 12.35% -2.8 1
1976-08-21 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1768 1797 12.35% 29.84% 57.81% +2.8 1
1976-08-23 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1726 1821 45.59% 31.41% 22.99% +6.7 2
1976-08-23 @ West Ham L 0-1 1821 1726 22.99% 31.41% 45.59% -6.7 0
1976-08-24 Leeds United D 0-0 1775 1823 50.77% 31.06% 18.16% -1.9 2
1976-08-24 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1823 1775 18.16% 31.06% 50.77% +1.9 2
1976-08-24 Stoke City D 1-1 1763 1794 52.39% 30.87% 16.74% -1.9 3
1976-08-24 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1794 1763 16.74% 30.87% 52.39% +1.9 2
1976-08-24 Manchester United L 0-2 1783 1836 50.16% 31.13% 18.72% -22.7 0
1976-08-24 @ Coventry City W 2-0 1836 1783 18.72% 31.13% 50.16% +22.7 3
1976-08-24 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1844 1810 58.22% 29.74% 12.04% -2.5 3
1976-08-24 @ Everton D 1-1 1810 1844 12.04% 29.74% 58.22% +2.5 3
1976-08-24 Leicester City D 0-0 1771 1803 52.35% 30.88% 16.77% -2.1 2
1976-08-24 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1803 1771 16.77% 30.88% 52.35% +2.1 2
1976-08-25 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1839 1808 57.90% 29.82% 12.28% -2.8 2
1976-08-25 @ Derby County D 0-0 1808 1839 12.28% 29.82% 57.90% +2.8 3
1976-08-25 Aston Villa W 2-0 1818 1794 57.36% 29.96% 12.69% +7.8 3
1976-08-25 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1794 1818 12.69% 29.96% 57.36% -7.9 2
1976-08-25 Arsenal L 1-3 1796 1767 57.83% 29.84% 12.33% -22.4 0
1976-08-25 @ Norwich City W 3-1 1767 1796 12.33% 29.84% 57.83% +22.4 2
1976-08-25 Newcastle United L 0-2 1774 1800 52.95% 30.79% 16.25% -23.8 0
1976-08-25 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1800 1774 16.25% 30.79% 52.95% +23.8 3
1976-08-25 Liverpool L 0-1 1763 1891 41.57% 31.46% 26.98% -10.2 1
1976-08-25 @ West Brom W 1-0 1891 1763 26.98% 31.46% 41.57% +10.2 4
1976-08-28 Liverpool W 2-1 1773 1901 41.61% 31.46% 26.93% +7.1 4
1976-08-28 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1901 1773 26.93% 31.46% 41.61% -7.1 4
1976-08-28 Leeds United W 4-2 1760 1825 49.00% 31.23% 19.77% +8.8 2
1976-08-28 @ Coventry City L 2-4 1825 1760 19.77% 31.23% 49.00% -8.8 2
1976-08-28 Manchester United D 0-0 1836 1859 53.19% 30.76% 16.05% -2.2 3
1976-08-28 @ Derby County D 0-0 1859 1836 16.05% 30.76% 53.19% +2.2 4
1976-08-28 Aston Villa L 0-2 1842 1786 59.93% 29.25% 10.82% -26.7 3
1976-08-28 @ Everton W 2-0 1786 1842 10.82% 29.25% 59.93% +26.7 4
1976-08-28 Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1813 1815 55.15% 30.43% 14.42% -1.6 4
1976-08-28 @ Ipswich Town D 2-2 1815 1813 14.42% 30.43% 55.15% +1.6 1
1976-08-28 Stoke City D 0-0 1825 1796 57.80% 29.85% 12.35% -2.8 4
1976-08-28 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1796 1825 12.35% 29.85% 57.80% +2.8 3
1976-08-28 Bristol City D 0-0 1824 1761 60.44% 29.09% 10.47% -3.1 4
1976-08-28 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1761 1824 10.47% 29.09% 60.44% +3.1 4
1976-08-28 Arsenal D 2-2 1769 1789 53.41% 30.73% 15.86% -1.5 3
1976-08-28 @ Sunderland D 2-2 1789 1769 15.86% 30.73% 53.41% +1.5 3
1976-08-28 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1750 1811 49.41% 31.19% 19.40% -1.7 1
1976-08-28 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1811 1750 19.40% 31.19% 49.41% +1.7 4
1976-08-28 Norwich City W 2-0 1752 1774 53.32% 30.74% 15.94% +9.5 3
1976-08-28 @ West Brom L 0-2 1774 1752 15.94% 30.74% 53.32% -9.5 0
1976-08-28 Leicester City D 0-0 1733 1805 48.23% 31.28% 20.49% -1.6 3
1976-08-28 @ West Ham D 0-0 1805 1733 20.49% 31.28% 48.23% +1.6 3
1976-09-04 Manchester City D 0-0 1791 1823 52.36% 30.88% 16.76% -2.1 4
1976-09-04 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1823 1791 16.76% 30.88% 52.36% +2.1 5
1976-09-04 Ipswich Town W 5-2 1813 1811 55.45% 30.37% 14.17% +9.2 6
1976-09-04 @ Aston Villa L 2-5 1811 1813 14.17% 30.37% 55.45% -9.2 4
1976-09-04 Sunderland W 4-1 1764 1767 55.05% 30.45% 14.50% +10.8 6
1976-09-04 @ Bristol City L 1-4 1767 1764 14.50% 30.45% 55.05% -10.8 3
1976-09-04 Derby County W 2-0 1816 1834 53.69% 30.68% 15.63% +9.4 4
1976-09-04 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1834 1816 15.63% 30.68% 53.69% -9.4 3
1976-09-04 Everton D 1-1 1806 1815 54.50% 30.55% 14.95% -2.1 4
1976-09-04 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1815 1806 14.95% 30.55% 54.50% +2.1 4
1976-09-04 Coventry City W 3-1 1894 1769 64.87% 27.36% 7.77% +4.2 6
1976-09-04 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1769 1894 7.77% 27.36% 64.87% -4.2 2
1976-09-04 Tottenham L 2-3 1861 1749 64.02% 27.74% 8.24% -13.4 4
1976-09-04 @ Manchester United W 3-2 1749 1861 8.24% 27.74% 64.02% +13.4 3
1976-09-04 Newcastle United W 1-0 1813 1821 54.63% 30.53% 14.85% +4.8 6
1976-09-04 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1821 1813 14.85% 30.53% 54.63% -4.8 4
1976-09-04 Birmingham City W 1-0 1765 1780 53.89% 30.65% 15.46% +4.9 2
1976-09-04 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1780 1765 15.46% 30.65% 53.89% -4.9 4
1976-09-04 West Brom W 1-0 1816 1762 59.80% 29.29% 10.91% +3.6 3
1976-09-04 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1762 1816 10.91% 29.29% 59.80% -3.6 3
1976-09-04 West Ham W 2-1 1799 1731 60.82% 28.96% 10.22% +3.2 5
1976-09-04 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1731 1799 10.22% 28.96% 60.82% -3.2 3
1976-09-11 West Brom L 0-1 1775 1758 56.80% 30.09% 13.12% -13.5 4
1976-09-11 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1758 1775 13.12% 30.09% 56.80% +13.5 5
1976-09-11 Norwich City W 2-0 1765 1770 54.87% 30.48% 14.65% +8.9 4
1976-09-11 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1770 1765 14.65% 30.48% 54.87% -8.9 2
1976-09-11 Liverpool L 2-3 1824 1898 47.99% 31.30% 20.71% -10.3 3
1976-09-11 @ Derby County W 3-2 1898 1824 20.71% 31.30% 47.99% +10.3 8
1976-09-11 Stoke City W 3-0 1817 1802 56.63% 30.13% 13.25% +11.9 6
1976-09-11 @ Everton L 0-3 1802 1817 13.25% 30.13% 56.63% -11.8 5
1976-09-11 Leicester City D 0-0 1802 1804 55.11% 30.44% 14.45% -2.4 5
1976-09-11 @ Ipswich Town D 0-0 1804 1802 14.45% 30.44% 55.11% +2.4 5
1976-09-11 Bristol City W 2-1 1825 1775 59.45% 29.39% 11.16% +3.5 7
1976-09-11 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1775 1825 11.16% 29.39% 59.45% -3.5 6
1976-09-11 Sunderland W 2-1 1818 1756 60.34% 29.12% 10.54% +3.3 8
1976-09-11 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1756 1818 10.54% 29.12% 60.34% -3.3 3
1976-09-11 Manchester United D 2-2 1816 1848 52.33% 30.88% 16.79% -1.4 5
1976-09-11 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1848 1816 16.79% 30.88% 52.33% +1.4 5
1976-09-11 Aston Villa W 2-1 1820 1822 55.13% 30.43% 14.43% +4.4 5
1976-09-11 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1822 1820 14.43% 30.43% 55.13% -4.4 6
1976-09-11 Leeds United W 1-0 1762 1825 49.16% 31.21% 19.63% +6.0 5
1976-09-11 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1825 1762 19.63% 31.21% 49.16% -6.0 4
1976-09-11 Arsenal L 0-2 1728 1789 49.41% 31.19% 19.39% -22.4 3
1976-09-11 @ West Ham W 2-0 1789 1728 19.39% 31.19% 49.41% +22.4 6
1976-09-17 Coventry City D 1-1 1772 1773 55.16% 30.43% 14.41% -2.2 6
1976-09-17 @ West Brom D 1-1 1773 1772 14.41% 30.43% 55.16% +2.2 5
1976-09-18 Everton W 3-1 1811 1829 53.67% 30.69% 15.64% +8.1 8
1976-09-18 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1829 1811 15.64% 30.69% 53.67% -8.1 6
1976-09-18 Birmingham City L 1-2 1817 1762 59.90% 29.26% 10.84% -13.4 6
1976-09-18 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1762 1817 10.84% 29.26% 59.90% +13.4 6
1976-09-18 West Ham D 1-1 1771 1706 60.67% 29.01% 10.32% -2.8 7
1976-09-18 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1706 1771 10.32% 29.01% 60.67% +2.8 4
1976-09-18 Newcastle United D 2-2 1819 1814 55.75% 30.31% 13.94% -1.7 5
1976-09-18 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1814 1819 13.94% 30.31% 55.75% +1.7 6
1976-09-18 Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1807 1824 53.70% 30.68% 15.61% -1.5 6
1976-09-18 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1824 1807 15.61% 30.68% 53.70% +1.5 6
1976-09-18 Tottenham W 2-0 1909 1768 65.87% 26.89% 7.23% +4.5 10
1976-09-18 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1768 1909 7.23% 26.89% 65.87% -4.5 5
1976-09-18 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1849 1821 57.73% 29.87% 12.41% +7.7 7
1976-09-18 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1821 1849 12.41% 29.87% 57.73% -7.7 8
1976-09-18 Derby County D 0-0 1761 1814 50.19% 31.12% 18.69% -1.8 3
1976-09-18 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1814 1761 18.69% 31.12% 50.19% +1.8 4
1976-09-18 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1790 1799 54.50% 30.55% 14.95% +4.5 7
1976-09-18 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1799 1790 14.95% 30.55% 54.50% -4.5 5
1976-09-18 Manchester City L 0-2 1753 1828 47.85% 31.31% 20.84% -21.8 3
1976-09-18 @ Sunderland W 2-0 1828 1753 20.84% 31.31% 47.85% +21.8 9
1976-09-25 Leicester City W 2-0 1804 1805 55.23% 30.42% 14.36% +8.7 8
1976-09-25 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1805 1804 14.36% 30.42% 55.23% -8.7 6
1976-09-25 Birmingham City W 2-1 1776 1775 55.35% 30.39% 14.26% +4.3 7
1976-09-25 @ Coventry City L 1-2 1775 1776 14.26% 30.39% 55.35% -4.4 6
1976-09-25 West Brom D 2-2 1816 1770 59.18% 29.47% 11.35% -2.0 5
1976-09-25 @ Derby County D 2-2 1770 1816 11.35% 29.47% 59.18% +2.0 7
1976-09-25 Bristol City W 2-0 1821 1769 59.65% 29.33% 11.01% +6.9 8
1976-09-25 @ Everton L 0-2 1769 1821 11.01% 29.33% 59.65% -6.9 7
1976-09-25 Arsenal W 3-1 1795 1819 53.07% 30.78% 16.16% +8.3 7
1976-09-25 @ Ipswich Town L 1-3 1819 1795 16.16% 30.78% 53.07% -8.3 8
1976-09-25 Manchester United L 1-3 1850 1857 54.69% 30.52% 14.80% -21.3 9
1976-09-25 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1857 1850 14.80% 30.52% 54.69% +21.2 9
1976-09-25 Leeds United W 1-0 1813 1818 54.93% 30.47% 14.60% +4.7 10
1976-09-25 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1818 1813 14.60% 30.47% 54.93% -4.7 5
1976-09-25 Liverpool W 1-0 1816 1913 45.37% 31.42% 23.21% +6.8 8
1976-09-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1913 1816 23.21% 31.42% 45.37% -6.8 10
1976-09-25 Stoke City W 2-0 1826 1795 57.94% 29.81% 12.25% +7.6 8
1976-09-25 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-2 1795 1826 12.25% 29.81% 57.94% -7.6 7
1976-09-25 Norwich City D 1-1 1764 1759 55.73% 30.32% 13.95% -2.2 6
1976-09-25 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1759 1764 13.95% 30.32% 55.73% +2.3 4
1976-09-25 Sunderland D 1-1 1709 1731 53.22% 30.76% 16.02% -2.0 5
1976-09-25 @ West Ham D 1-1 1731 1709 16.02% 30.76% 53.22% +2.0 4
1976-09-29 Stoke City W 1-0 1796 1787 56.10% 30.24% 13.66% +4.4 8
1976-09-29 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1787 1796 13.66% 30.24% 56.10% -4.4 7
1976-10-02 Queens Park Rangers W 3-2 1811 1833 53.26% 30.75% 15.99% +4.5 10
1976-10-02 @ Arsenal L 2-3 1833 1811 15.99% 30.75% 53.26% -4.5 8
1976-10-02 Derby County W 5-1 1771 1814 51.25% 31.01% 17.74% +16.4 8
1976-10-02 @ Birmingham City L 1-5 1814 1771 17.74% 31.01% 51.25% -16.4 5
1976-10-02 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1762 1803 51.39% 31.00% 17.61% -11.6 7
1976-10-02 @ Bristol City W 2-1 1803 1762 17.61% 31.00% 51.39% +11.6 9
1976-10-02 Leicester City D 1-1 1780 1801 53.41% 30.73% 15.86% -2.0 8
1976-10-02 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1801 1780 15.86% 30.73% 53.41% +2.0 9
1976-10-02 Manchester United L 0-2 1813 1878 48.93% 31.23% 19.84% -22.2 5
1976-10-02 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1878 1813 19.84% 31.23% 48.93% +22.2 11
1976-10-02 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1906 1818 62.33% 28.42% 9.25% -3.3 11
1976-10-02 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1818 1906 9.25% 28.42% 62.33% +3.3 11
1976-10-02 West Ham W 4-2 1829 1707 64.66% 27.46% 7.88% +3.8 11
1976-10-02 @ Manchester City L 2-4 1707 1829 7.88% 27.46% 64.66% -3.8 5
1976-10-02 Newcastle United W 3-2 1761 1823 49.30% 31.20% 19.50% +5.3 6
1976-10-02 @ Norwich City L 2-3 1823 1761 19.50% 31.20% 49.30% -5.3 8
1976-10-02 Aston Villa W 1-0 1783 1813 52.53% 30.85% 16.61% +5.2 9
1976-10-02 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1813 1783 16.61% 30.85% 52.53% -5.2 8
1976-10-02 Everton L 0-1 1733 1828 45.64% 31.41% 22.95% -11.1 4
1976-10-02 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1828 1733 22.95% 31.41% 45.64% +11.1 10
1976-10-02 Tottenham W 4-2 1772 1761 56.21% 30.22% 13.57% +6.5 9
1976-10-02 @ West Brom L 2-4 1761 1772 13.57% 30.22% 56.21% -6.5 6
1976-10-05 Manchester City D 2-2 1839 1832 55.88% 30.29% 13.83% -1.7 11
1976-10-05 @ Everton D 2-2 1832 1839 13.83% 30.29% 55.88% +1.7 12
1976-10-05 Norwich City L 2-3 1829 1766 60.42% 29.09% 10.48% -12.8 8
1976-10-05 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-2 1766 1829 10.48% 29.09% 60.42% +12.8 8
1976-10-06 West Brom W 2-0 1818 1778 58.65% 29.62% 11.73% +7.3 10
1976-10-06 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1778 1818 11.73% 29.62% 58.65% -7.3 9
1976-10-06 Leeds United L 1-3 1703 1791 46.41% 31.38% 22.21% -18.3 5
1976-10-06 @ West Ham W 3-1 1791 1703 22.21% 31.38% 46.41% +18.3 7
1976-10-09 Norwich City W 1-0 1821 1779 58.86% 29.57% 11.58% +3.8 13
1976-10-09 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1779 1821 11.58% 29.57% 58.86% -3.8 8
1976-10-16 Stoke City W 2-0 1815 1788 57.66% 29.88% 12.46% +7.7 12
1976-10-16 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1788 1815 12.46% 29.88% 57.66% -7.7 9
1976-10-16 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1787 1825 51.76% 30.95% 17.29% +8.8 10
1976-10-16 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1825 1787 17.29% 30.95% 51.76% -8.8 13
1976-10-16 Leicester City L 0-1 1750 1803 50.27% 31.12% 18.62% -12.1 7
1976-10-16 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1803 1750 18.62% 31.12% 50.27% +12.0 11
1976-10-16 Newcastle United D 1-1 1778 1825 50.86% 31.06% 18.09% -1.7 9
1976-10-16 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1825 1778 18.09% 31.06% 50.86% +1.7 11
1976-10-16 Tottenham W 8-2 1797 1755 58.88% 29.56% 11.56% +13.7 7
1976-10-16 @ Derby County L 2-8 1755 1797 11.56% 29.56% 58.88% -13.7 6
1976-10-16 Everton W 3-1 1903 1837 60.67% 29.01% 10.32% +5.6 13
1976-10-16 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1837 1903 10.32% 29.01% 60.67% -5.6 11
1976-10-16 Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1834 1816 56.89% 30.07% 13.04% -2.7 13
1976-10-16 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1816 1834 13.04% 30.07% 56.89% +2.7 9
1976-10-16 Leeds United L 1-2 1775 1809 52.16% 30.90% 16.94% -11.8 8
1976-10-16 @ Norwich City W 2-1 1809 1775 16.94% 30.90% 52.16% +11.8 9
1976-10-16 Aston Villa L 0-1 1722 1808 46.71% 31.37% 21.93% -11.3 4
1976-10-16 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1808 1722 21.93% 31.37% 46.71% +11.3 10
1976-10-16 Manchester United W 4-0 1771 1900 41.38% 31.46% 27.16% +27.0 11
1976-10-16 @ West Brom L 0-4 1900 1771 27.16% 31.46% 41.38% -27.0 11
1976-10-16 Ipswich Town L 0-2 1684 1815 41.28% 31.46% 27.26% -19.2 5
1976-10-16 @ West Ham W 2-0 1815 1684 27.26% 31.46% 41.28% +19.2 11
1976-10-20 Arsenal W 5-1 1819 1823 54.92% 30.47% 14.60% +14.0 12
1976-10-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-5 1823 1819 14.60% 30.47% 54.92% -14.0 12
1976-10-20 Birmingham City W 1-0 1741 1796 50.02% 31.14% 18.84% +5.8 8
1976-10-20 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1796 1741 18.84% 31.14% 50.02% -5.8 10
1976-10-23 Bristol City W 3-1 1833 1738 62.79% 28.25% 8.97% +4.9 14
1976-10-23 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1738 1833 8.97% 28.25% 62.79% -4.9 7
1976-10-23 West Ham W 3-2 1832 1665 67.53% 26.05% 6.42% +1.9 13
1976-10-23 @ Everton L 2-3 1665 1832 6.42% 26.05% 67.53% -1.9 5
1976-10-23 Manchester City W 1-0 1834 1832 55.54% 30.36% 14.11% +4.6 13
1976-10-23 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1832 1834 14.11% 30.36% 55.54% -4.6 13
1976-10-23 Liverpool D 1-1 1821 1909 46.43% 31.38% 22.19% -1.2 10
1976-10-23 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1909 1821 22.19% 31.38% 46.43% +1.2 14
1976-10-23 Arsenal W 4-1 1815 1809 55.80% 30.30% 13.89% +10.4 13
1976-10-23 @ Leicester City L 1-4 1809 1815 13.89% 30.30% 55.80% -10.4 12
1976-10-23 Norwich City D 2-2 1873 1764 63.83% 27.82% 8.35% -2.3 12
1976-10-23 @ Manchester United D 2-2 1764 1873 8.35% 27.82% 63.83% +2.4 9
1976-10-23 West Brom W 1-0 1816 1798 56.93% 30.06% 13.01% +4.3 15
1976-10-23 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1798 1816 13.01% 30.06% 56.93% -4.3 11
1976-10-23 Birmingham City W 3-2 1827 1790 58.38% 29.70% 11.92% +3.5 13
1976-10-23 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1790 1827 11.92% 29.70% 58.38% -3.5 10
1976-10-23 Sunderland W 2-0 1819 1711 63.69% 27.88% 8.43% +5.3 11
1976-10-23 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-2 1711 1819 8.43% 27.88% 63.69% -5.3 4
1976-10-23 Derby County W 1-0 1780 1811 52.46% 30.86% 16.68% +5.2 11
1976-10-23 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1811 1780 16.68% 30.86% 52.46% -5.2 7
1976-10-23 Coventry City L 0-1 1747 1776 52.59% 30.85% 16.57% -12.6 8
1976-10-23 @ Tottenham W 1-0 1776 1747 16.57% 30.85% 52.59% +12.5 11
1976-10-26 Birmingham City L 0-1 1733 1787 50.16% 31.13% 18.71% -12.0 7
1976-10-26 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1787 1733 18.71% 31.13% 50.16% +12.0 12
1976-10-27 Liverpool L 0-1 1825 1910 46.79% 31.36% 21.84% -11.3 13
1976-10-27 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1910 1825 21.84% 31.36% 46.79% +11.3 16
1976-10-30 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1799 1824 52.99% 30.79% 16.22% +4.8 14
1976-10-30 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1824 1799 16.22% 30.79% 52.99% -4.8 11
1976-10-30 Sunderland L 1-2 1789 1706 61.97% 28.56% 9.47% -13.8 11
1976-10-30 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1706 1789 9.47% 28.56% 61.97% +13.8 6
1976-10-30 Bristol City W 2-0 1806 1721 62.07% 28.52% 9.41% +5.9 9
1976-10-30 @ Derby County L 0-2 1721 1806 9.41% 28.52% 62.07% -5.9 7
1976-10-30 Arsenal W 2-1 1820 1799 57.11% 30.01% 12.87% +4.0 12
1976-10-30 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1799 1820 12.87% 30.01% 57.11% -4.0 12
1976-10-30 Aston Villa W 3-0 1921 1838 61.97% 28.56% 9.47% +8.7 18
1976-10-30 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1838 1921 9.47% 28.56% 61.97% -8.7 14
1976-10-30 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1871 1839 58.06% 29.78% 12.16% -13.8 12
1976-10-30 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1839 1871 12.16% 29.78% 58.06% +13.8 15
1976-10-30 Leicester City L 0-1 1821 1814 55.91% 30.28% 13.81% -13.3 15
1976-10-30 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1814 1821 13.81% 30.28% 55.91% +13.3 15
1976-10-30 Stoke City W 1-0 1830 1786 59.04% 29.51% 11.45% +3.8 15
1976-10-30 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1786 1830 11.45% 29.51% 59.04% -3.8 11
1976-10-30 Manchester City L 0-2 1766 1827 49.38% 31.20% 19.43% -22.4 9
1976-10-30 @ Norwich City W 2-0 1827 1766 19.43% 31.20% 49.38% +22.4 15
1976-10-30 Everton D 3-3 1734 1834 45.11% 31.43% 23.46% -0.7 9
1976-10-30 @ Tottenham D 3-3 1834 1734 23.46% 31.43% 45.11% +0.7 14
1976-10-30 West Ham W 3-0 1793 1663 65.20% 27.21% 7.59% +6.9 13
1976-10-30 @ West Brom L 0-3 1663 1793 7.59% 27.21% 65.20% -6.9 5
1976-11-06 Birmingham City W 4-0 1795 1804 54.52% 30.55% 14.94% +17.2 14
1976-11-06 @ Arsenal L 0-4 1804 1795 14.94% 30.55% 54.52% -17.2 14
1976-11-06 Manchester United W 3-2 1829 1857 52.71% 30.83% 16.46% +4.7 16
1976-11-06 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 1857 1829 16.46% 30.83% 52.71% -4.6 12
1976-11-06 Coventry City D 0-0 1715 1775 49.50% 31.19% 19.31% -1.7 8
1976-11-06 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1775 1715 19.31% 31.19% 49.50% +1.7 12
1976-11-06 Leeds United L 0-2 1834 1824 56.25% 30.21% 13.55% -25.2 14
1976-11-06 @ Everton W 2-0 1824 1834 13.55% 30.21% 56.25% +25.2 14
1976-11-06 West Brom W 7-0 1852 1800 59.63% 29.34% 11.03% +22.2 17
1976-11-06 @ Ipswich Town L 0-7 1800 1852 11.03% 29.34% 59.63% -22.2 13
1976-11-06 Norwich City D 1-1 1827 1744 61.99% 28.55% 9.46% -3.0 16
1976-11-06 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1744 1827 9.46% 28.55% 61.99% +3.0 10
1976-11-06 Newcastle United D 0-0 1849 1834 56.66% 30.12% 13.22% -2.6 16
1976-11-06 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1834 1849 13.22% 30.12% 56.66% +2.6 16
1976-11-06 Derby County D 1-1 1819 1812 55.96% 30.27% 13.77% -2.3 12
1976-11-06 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1812 1819 13.77% 30.27% 55.96% +2.3 10
1976-11-06 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1782 1807 52.96% 30.79% 16.25% +8.4 13
1976-11-06 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1807 1782 16.25% 30.79% 52.96% -8.4 15
1976-11-06 Liverpool L 0-1 1719 1930 30.56% 30.88% 38.56% -8.1 6
1976-11-06 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1930 1719 38.56% 30.88% 30.56% +8.2 20
1976-11-06 Tottenham W 5-3 1656 1734 47.61% 31.32% 21.07% +8.7 7
1976-11-06 @ West Ham L 3-5 1734 1656 21.07% 31.32% 47.61% -8.7 9
1976-11-09 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1777 1817 51.54% 30.98% 17.48% +10.3 14
1976-11-09 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1817 1777 17.48% 30.98% 51.54% -10.3 12
1976-11-09 Leicester City W 5-1 1938 1824 64.10% 27.70% 8.19% +8.2 22
1976-11-09 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1824 1938 8.19% 27.70% 64.10% -8.2 16
1976-11-10 Stoke City D 1-1 1849 1790 60.13% 29.19% 10.68% -2.8 15
1976-11-10 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1790 1849 10.68% 29.19% 60.13% +2.8 14
1976-11-10 Sunderland D 3-3 1853 1711 65.93% 26.86% 7.20% -2.1 13
1976-11-10 @ Manchester United D 3-3 1711 1853 7.20% 26.86% 65.93% +2.1 7
1976-11-10 West Ham W 1-0 1746 1665 61.83% 28.61% 9.56% +3.2 12
1976-11-10 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1665 1746 9.56% 28.61% 61.83% -3.2 7
1976-11-10 Aston Villa D 1-1 1778 1834 49.95% 31.15% 18.90% -1.6 14
1976-11-10 @ West Brom D 1-1 1834 1778 18.90% 31.15% 49.95% +1.6 17
1976-11-13 Bristol City L 0-1 1725 1713 56.32% 30.19% 13.48% -13.4 9
1976-11-13 @ Tottenham W 1-0 1713 1725 13.48% 30.19% 56.32% +13.4 10
1976-11-20 Liverpool D 1-1 1812 1946 40.81% 31.45% 27.74% -0.6 15
1976-11-20 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1946 1812 27.74% 31.45% 40.81% +0.6 23
1976-11-20 Coventry City D 2-2 1835 1787 59.33% 29.43% 11.24% -2.0 18
1976-11-20 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1787 1835 11.24% 29.43% 59.33% +2.0 15
1976-11-20 Norwich City W 3-1 1727 1750 53.22% 30.76% 16.03% +8.3 12
1976-11-20 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1750 1727 16.03% 30.76% 53.22% -8.3 12
1976-11-20 Derby County W 2-0 1809 1814 54.86% 30.48% 14.65% +8.9 16
1976-11-20 @ Everton L 0-2 1814 1809 14.65% 30.48% 54.86% -8.9 10
1976-11-20 Leeds United D 1-1 1875 1846 57.76% 29.86% 12.38% -2.5 18
1976-11-20 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1846 1875 12.38% 29.86% 57.76% +2.5 16
1976-11-20 Manchester United D 1-1 1816 1850 52.10% 30.91% 16.99% -1.8 17
1976-11-20 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1850 1816 16.99% 30.91% 52.10% +1.8 14
1976-11-20 West Brom W 1-0 1847 1777 61.00% 28.90% 10.10% +3.4 18
1976-11-20 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1777 1847 10.10% 28.90% 61.00% -3.4 14
1976-11-20 Middlesbrough W 3-0 1807 1799 55.99% 30.26% 13.75% +12.2 14
1976-11-20 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-3 1799 1807 13.75% 30.26% 55.99% -12.2 15
1976-11-20 Birmingham City W 1-0 1793 1786 55.88% 30.29% 13.83% +4.5 16
1976-11-20 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1786 1793 13.83% 30.29% 55.88% -4.5 14
1976-11-20 Tottenham W 2-1 1713 1712 55.45% 30.37% 14.17% +4.3 9
1976-11-20 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1712 1713 14.17% 30.37% 55.45% -4.3 9
1976-11-20 Newcastle United L 1-2 1662 1836 35.41% 31.25% 33.34% -8.5 7
1976-11-20 @ West Ham W 2-1 1836 1662 33.34% 31.25% 35.41% +8.5 18
1976-11-23 Sunderland W 3-1 1872 1718 66.78% 26.44% 6.78% +3.7 20
1976-11-23 @ Ipswich Town L 1-3 1718 1872 6.78% 26.44% 66.78% -3.7 9
1976-11-24 Everton W 4-1 1845 1818 57.64% 29.89% 12.47% +9.5 20
1976-11-24 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1818 1845 12.47% 29.89% 57.64% -9.5 16
1976-11-27 Manchester City D 0-0 1782 1850 48.63% 31.25% 20.12% -1.6 15
1976-11-27 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1850 1782 20.12% 31.25% 48.63% +1.6 19
1976-11-27 Arsenal L 1-2 1789 1811 53.27% 30.75% 15.98% -12.0 15
1976-11-27 @ Coventry City W 2-1 1811 1789 15.98% 30.75% 53.27% +12.0 17
1976-11-27 Sunderland W 1-0 1805 1714 62.54% 28.34% 9.12% +3.0 12
1976-11-27 @ Derby County L 0-1 1714 1805 9.12% 28.34% 62.54% -3.1 9
1976-11-27 Leicester City D 2-2 1848 1814 58.23% 29.74% 12.04% -1.9 17
1976-11-27 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1814 1848 12.04% 29.74% 58.23% +1.9 18
1976-11-27 Bristol City W 2-1 1947 1735 70.27% 24.50% 5.23% +1.6 25
1976-11-27 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1735 1947 5.23% 24.50% 70.27% -1.6 12
1976-11-27 West Ham L 0-2 1852 1653 69.52% 24.94% 5.53% -30.1 14
1976-11-27 @ Manchester United W 2-0 1653 1852 5.53% 24.94% 69.52% +30.1 9
1976-11-27 Ipswich Town L 0-2 1787 1876 46.28% 31.39% 22.33% -21.1 15
1976-11-27 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1876 1787 22.33% 31.39% 46.28% +21.1 22
1976-11-27 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1855 1819 58.34% 29.71% 11.96% +7.5 22
1976-11-27 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1819 1855 11.96% 29.71% 58.34% -7.5 14
1976-11-27 Aston Villa D 1-1 1741 1833 45.95% 31.40% 22.65% -1.2 13
1976-11-27 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1833 1741 22.65% 31.40% 45.95% +1.2 19
1976-11-27 Stoke City W 2-0 1707 1797 46.17% 31.39% 22.44% +12.4 11
1976-11-27 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1797 1707 22.44% 31.39% 46.17% -12.4 16
1976-11-27 Everton W 3-0 1773 1808 52.01% 30.92% 17.07% +14.6 16
1976-11-27 @ West Brom L 0-3 1808 1773 17.07% 30.92% 52.01% -14.6 16
1976-12-04 Newcastle United W 5-3 1823 1862 51.68% 30.96% 17.36% +7.5 19
1976-12-04 @ Arsenal L 3-5 1862 1823 17.36% 30.96% 51.68% -7.5 22
1976-12-04 Liverpool W 1-0 1897 1948 50.39% 31.10% 18.51% +5.7 24
1976-12-04 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1948 1897 18.51% 31.10% 50.39% -5.7 25
1976-12-04 Birmingham City L 2-6 1816 1780 58.34% 29.71% 11.96% -35.0 18
1976-12-04 @ Leicester City W 6-2 1780 1816 11.96% 29.71% 58.34% +35.0 17
1976-12-04 Derby County W 3-2 1852 1808 58.96% 29.54% 11.51% +3.4 21
1976-12-04 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1808 1852 11.51% 29.54% 58.96% -3.4 12
1976-12-04 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1683 1766 47.07% 31.35% 21.58% -11.4 9
1976-12-04 @ West Ham W 1-0 1766 1683 21.58% 31.35% 47.07% +11.4 17
1976-12-07 Ipswich Town L 2-4 1815 1903 46.50% 31.38% 22.13% -16.4 17
1976-12-07 @ Birmingham City W 4-2 1903 1815 22.13% 31.38% 46.50% +16.4 26
1976-12-07 Manchester City D 0-0 1777 1855 47.52% 31.33% 21.15% -1.5 18
1976-12-07 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1855 1777 21.15% 31.33% 47.52% +1.5 22
1976-12-11 Sunderland W 2-0 1799 1711 62.31% 28.43% 9.26% +5.8 19
1976-12-11 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1711 1799 9.26% 28.43% 62.31% -5.8 9
1976-12-11 Everton W 4-2 1777 1794 53.79% 30.67% 15.54% +7.2 17
1976-12-11 @ Coventry City L 2-4 1794 1777 15.54% 30.67% 53.79% -7.2 16
1976-12-11 Aston Villa L 1-3 1847 1834 56.37% 30.18% 13.45% -21.9 17
1976-12-11 @ Leeds United W 3-1 1834 1847 13.45% 30.18% 56.37% +21.9 21
1976-12-11 Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1943 1811 65.27% 27.18% 7.55% +4.1 27
1976-12-11 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1811 1943 7.55% 27.18% 65.27% -4.1 14
1976-12-11 Manchester City D 2-2 1720 1857 40.47% 31.44% 28.09% -0.5 12
1976-12-11 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1857 1720 28.09% 31.44% 40.47% +0.4 23
1976-12-11 Leicester City D 2-2 1788 1781 55.90% 30.28% 13.82% -1.7 17
1976-12-11 @ West Brom D 2-2 1781 1788 13.82% 30.28% 55.90% +1.7 19
1976-12-15 Arsenal D 0-0 1805 1831 52.92% 30.80% 16.28% -2.2 13
1976-12-15 @ Derby County D 0-0 1831 1805 16.28% 30.80% 52.92% +2.2 20
1976-12-15 Liverpool W 5-1 1856 1947 46.14% 31.39% 22.47% +19.7 23
1976-12-15 @ Aston Villa L 1-5 1947 1856 22.47% 31.39% 46.14% -19.7 27
1976-12-18 Manchester United W 3-1 1833 1822 56.26% 30.21% 13.53% +7.2 22
1976-12-18 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1822 1833 13.53% 30.21% 56.26% -7.2 14
1976-12-18 Newcastle United W 2-1 1876 1854 57.17% 30.00% 12.83% +4.0 25
1976-12-18 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1854 1876 12.83% 30.00% 57.17% -4.0 22
1976-12-18 Middlesbrough L 1-2 1734 1775 51.36% 31.00% 17.64% -11.6 12
1976-12-18 @ Bristol City W 2-1 1775 1734 17.64% 31.00% 51.36% +11.6 20
1976-12-18 Birmingham City D 2-2 1787 1805 53.65% 30.69% 15.66% -1.5 17
1976-12-18 @ Everton D 2-2 1805 1787 15.66% 30.69% 53.65% +1.5 20
1976-12-18 Derby County D 0-0 1919 1803 64.28% 27.63% 8.09% -3.6 27
1976-12-18 @ Ipswich Town D 0-0 1803 1919 8.09% 27.63% 64.28% +3.6 14
1976-12-18 Tottenham W 2-1 1783 1719 60.51% 29.07% 10.43% +3.3 21
1976-12-18 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1719 1783 10.43% 29.07% 60.51% -3.3 12
1976-12-18 Coventry City W 2-0 1857 1784 61.19% 28.84% 9.97% +6.3 25
1976-12-18 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1784 1857 9.97% 28.84% 61.19% -6.3 17
1976-12-18 West Brom L 0-2 1785 1786 55.22% 30.42% 14.37% -24.8 16
1976-12-18 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1786 1785 14.37% 30.42% 55.22% +24.8 19
1976-12-18 Norwich City L 0-1 1705 1740 52.02% 30.92% 17.06% -12.4 9
1976-12-18 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1740 1705 17.06% 30.92% 52.02% +12.4 15
1976-12-18 Liverpool W 2-0 1672 1927 25.19% 30.17% 44.63% +20.2 11
1976-12-18 @ West Ham L 0-2 1927 1672 44.63% 30.17% 25.19% -20.2 27
1976-12-27 West Ham D 0-0 1806 1692 64.12% 27.70% 8.19% -3.5 21
1976-12-27 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1692 1806 8.19% 27.70% 64.12% +3.5 12
1976-12-27 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1778 1915 40.39% 31.44% 28.17% -0.6 18
1976-12-27 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1915 1778 28.17% 31.44% 40.39% +0.6 28
1976-12-27 Leicester City W 1-0 1806 1786 57.06% 30.03% 12.92% +4.2 16
1976-12-27 @ Derby County L 0-1 1786 1806 12.92% 30.03% 57.06% -4.2 21
1976-12-27 Manchester City L 0-2 1825 1863 51.69% 30.96% 17.35% -23.3 17
1976-12-27 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1863 1825 17.35% 30.96% 51.69% +23.3 27
1976-12-27 Stoke City W 4-0 1907 1760 66.27% 26.70% 7.03% +8.3 29
1976-12-27 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1760 1907 7.03% 26.70% 66.27% -8.3 16
1976-12-27 Everton W 4-0 1815 1785 57.86% 29.83% 12.31% +14.5 16
1976-12-27 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1785 1815 12.31% 29.83% 57.86% -14.5 17
1976-12-27 Aston Villa W 3-2 1787 1880 45.84% 31.40% 22.76% +6.0 22
1976-12-27 @ Middlesbrough L 2-3 1880 1787 22.76% 31.40% 45.84% -6.0 25
1976-12-27 Sunderland W 2-0 1851 1693 67.00% 26.33% 6.67% +4.2 24
1976-12-27 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1693 1851 6.67% 26.33% 67.00% -4.1 9
1976-12-27 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1753 1807 50.05% 31.14% 18.81% +10.9 17
1976-12-27 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1807 1753 18.81% 31.14% 50.05% -10.9 14
1976-12-27 Arsenal D 2-2 1716 1840 42.08% 31.46% 26.46% -0.6 13
1976-12-27 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1840 1716 26.46% 31.46% 42.08% +0.6 23
1976-12-27 Bristol City D 1-1 1811 1722 62.37% 28.41% 9.23% -3.0 20
1976-12-27 @ West Brom D 1-1 1722 1811 9.23% 28.41% 62.37% +3.0 13
1976-12-29 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1771 1793 53.25% 30.75% 16.00% -1.5 18
1976-12-29 @ Everton D 2-2 1793 1771 16.00% 30.75% 53.25% +1.5 23
1976-12-29 Liverpool D 1-1 1887 1915 52.67% 30.84% 16.50% -1.9 28
1976-12-29 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1915 1887 16.50% 30.84% 52.67% +1.9 30
1976-12-29 Leeds United L 0-1 1688 1801 43.45% 31.46% 25.09% -10.6 9
1976-12-29 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1801 1688 25.09% 31.46% 43.45% +10.6 19
1977-01-01 Sunderland W 2-0 1917 1678 71.87% 23.51% 4.62% +2.7 32
1977-01-01 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1678 1917 4.62% 23.51% 71.87% -2.7 9
1977-01-01 Aston Villa W 2-0 1829 1874 51.08% 31.03% 17.89% +10.5 18
1977-01-01 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1874 1829 17.89% 31.03% 51.08% -10.5 25
1977-01-01 Stoke City D 0-0 1794 1752 58.89% 29.56% 11.56% -2.9 24
1977-01-01 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1752 1794 11.56% 29.56% 58.89% +2.9 17
1977-01-01 Leicester City W 3-2 1764 1782 53.64% 30.69% 15.67% +4.5 19
1977-01-01 @ Norwich City L 2-3 1782 1764 15.67% 30.69% 53.64% -4.5 21
1977-01-01 West Ham W 2-1 1715 1696 57.01% 30.04% 12.95% +4.0 15
1977-01-01 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1696 1715 12.95% 30.04% 57.01% -4.0 12
1977-01-03 Leeds United D 1-1 1841 1812 57.76% 29.86% 12.38% -2.5 24
1977-01-03 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1812 1841 12.38% 29.86% 57.76% +2.5 20
1977-01-03 Manchester United W 2-1 1916 1840 61.45% 28.75% 9.81% +3.1 30
1977-01-03 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1840 1916 9.81% 28.75% 61.45% -3.1 18
1977-01-03 Coventry City L 0-1 1675 1777 44.73% 31.44% 23.83% -10.9 9
1977-01-03 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1777 1675 23.83% 31.44% 44.73% +10.9 20
1977-01-03 West Brom D 0-0 1692 1808 43.08% 31.46% 25.46% -1.0 13
1977-01-03 @ West Ham D 0-0 1808 1692 25.46% 31.46% 43.08% +1.0 21
1977-01-11 Tottenham W 2-1 1796 1719 61.50% 28.73% 9.77% +3.1 16
1977-01-11 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1719 1796 9.77% 28.73% 61.50% -3.1 15
1977-01-15 Norwich City W 1-0 1838 1768 61.01% 28.90% 10.09% +3.4 26
1977-01-15 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1768 1838 10.09% 28.90% 61.01% -3.4 19
1977-01-15 Everton W 2-0 1919 1769 66.49% 26.59% 6.92% +4.3 32
1977-01-15 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 1769 1919 6.92% 26.59% 66.49% -4.3 18
1977-01-15 Sunderland W 2-0 1777 1664 64.06% 27.72% 8.22% +5.2 23
1977-01-15 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1664 1777 8.22% 27.72% 64.06% -5.2 9
1977-01-15 West Brom D 1-1 1920 1809 63.91% 27.79% 8.30% -3.2 33
1977-01-15 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1809 1920 8.30% 27.79% 63.91% +3.2 22
1977-01-15 Coventry City W 2-0 1837 1788 59.35% 29.42% 11.23% +7.0 20
1977-01-15 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1788 1837 11.23% 29.42% 59.35% -7.0 20
1977-01-15 Derby County W 2-0 1792 1810 53.59% 30.70% 15.71% +9.4 26
1977-01-15 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1810 1792 15.71% 30.70% 53.59% -9.4 16
1977-01-18 Arsenal D 3-3 1803 1842 51.66% 30.97% 17.38% -1.1 22
1977-01-18 @ Birmingham City D 3-3 1842 1803 17.38% 30.97% 51.66% +1.1 27
1977-01-19 Bristol City W 2-1 1844 1725 64.44% 27.55% 8.00% +2.5 22
1977-01-19 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1725 1844 8.00% 27.55% 64.44% -2.5 13
1977-01-22 Manchester United L 2-3 1802 1846 51.07% 31.03% 17.90% -10.9 22
1977-01-22 @ Birmingham City W 3-2 1846 1802 17.90% 31.03% 51.07% +10.9 24
1977-01-22 Arsenal W 2-0 1722 1843 42.57% 31.46% 25.97% +13.8 15
1977-01-22 @ Bristol City L 0-2 1843 1722 25.97% 31.46% 42.57% -13.8 27
1977-01-22 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1781 1801 53.52% 30.71% 15.77% -2.0 21
1977-01-22 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1801 1781 15.77% 30.71% 53.52% +2.0 27
1977-01-22 Newcastle United W 4-2 1801 1855 50.16% 31.13% 18.72% +8.4 18
1977-01-22 @ Derby County L 2-4 1855 1801 18.72% 31.13% 50.16% -8.4 24
1977-01-22 Queens Park Rangers L 1-3 1765 1799 52.07% 30.91% 17.02% -20.3 18
1977-01-22 @ Everton W 3-1 1799 1765 17.02% 30.91% 52.07% +20.3 18
1977-01-22 Leicester City W 5-0 1885 1783 63.30% 28.04% 8.66% +12.8 30
1977-01-22 @ Manchester City L 0-5 1783 1885 8.66% 28.04% 63.30% -12.8 23
1977-01-22 Liverpool W 2-1 1765 1917 38.47% 31.39% 30.13% +7.7 21
1977-01-22 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1917 1765 30.13% 31.39% 38.47% -7.7 33
1977-01-22 Stoke City D 0-0 1659 1755 45.51% 31.41% 23.08% -1.2 10
1977-01-22 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1755 1659 23.08% 31.41% 45.51% +1.2 18
1977-01-22 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1716 1923 31.00% 30.92% 38.08% +9.5 17
1977-01-22 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1923 1716 38.08% 30.92% 31.00% -9.5 32
1977-01-22 Leeds United L 1-2 1812 1815 55.08% 30.44% 14.47% -12.4 22
1977-01-22 @ West Brom W 2-1 1815 1812 14.47% 30.44% 55.08% +12.4 22
1977-01-22 Aston Villa L 0-1 1691 1864 35.67% 31.27% 33.06% -9.1 13
1977-01-22 @ West Ham W 1-0 1864 1691 33.06% 31.27% 35.67% +9.1 27
1977-01-29 Stoke City D 1-1 1772 1756 56.72% 30.10% 13.17% -2.4 22
1977-01-29 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1756 1772 13.17% 30.10% 56.72% +2.4 19
1977-02-02 Birmingham City W 1-0 1827 1791 58.38% 29.70% 11.92% +3.9 24
1977-02-02 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1791 1827 11.92% 29.70% 58.38% -3.9 22
1977-02-05 Sunderland D 0-0 1829 1658 67.82% 25.90% 6.28% -3.9 28
1977-02-05 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1658 1829 6.28% 25.90% 67.82% +3.9 11
1977-02-05 Everton W 2-0 1873 1744 65.07% 27.27% 7.66% +4.8 29
1977-02-05 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1744 1873 7.66% 27.27% 65.07% -4.8 18
1977-02-05 Newcastle United D 1-1 1736 1846 43.82% 31.45% 24.73% -0.9 16
1977-02-05 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1846 1736 24.73% 31.45% 43.82% +0.9 25
1977-02-05 Coventry City L 1-2 1831 1779 59.59% 29.35% 11.06% -13.3 24
1977-02-05 @ Leeds United W 2-1 1779 1831 11.06% 29.35% 59.59% +13.3 23
1977-02-05 West Ham W 2-0 1770 1682 62.31% 28.43% 9.26% +5.9 25
1977-02-05 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1682 1770 9.26% 28.43% 62.31% -5.8 13
1977-02-05 Birmingham City W 4-1 1909 1787 64.67% 27.45% 7.87% +6.1 35
1977-02-05 @ Liverpool L 1-4 1787 1909 7.87% 27.45% 64.67% -6.1 22
1977-02-05 Derby County W 3-1 1857 1809 59.30% 29.44% 11.26% +6.1 26
1977-02-05 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1809 1857 11.26% 29.44% 59.30% -6.1 18
1977-02-05 Tottenham W 2-0 1803 1726 61.51% 28.72% 9.76% +6.2 29
1977-02-05 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1726 1803 9.76% 28.72% 61.51% -6.2 17
1977-02-05 West Brom W 1-0 1770 1800 52.56% 30.85% 16.59% +5.2 24
1977-02-05 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1800 1770 16.59% 30.85% 52.56% -5.2 22
1977-02-05 Manchester City L 0-2 1758 1897 40.18% 31.44% 28.39% -18.8 19
1977-02-05 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1897 1758 28.39% 31.44% 40.18% +18.8 32
1977-02-11 Bristol City W 1-0 1662 1735 48.02% 31.30% 20.69% +6.2 13
1977-02-11 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1735 1662 20.69% 31.30% 48.02% -6.2 16
1977-02-12 Norwich City W 3-2 1781 1775 55.80% 30.30% 13.90% +4.0 24
1977-02-12 @ Birmingham City L 2-3 1775 1781 13.90% 30.30% 55.80% -4.0 24
1977-02-12 Leeds United L 0-1 1803 1818 54.02% 30.63% 15.35% -12.9 18
1977-02-12 @ Derby County W 1-0 1818 1803 15.35% 30.63% 54.02% +12.9 26
1977-02-12 Leicester City L 1-2 1740 1776 51.94% 30.93% 17.13% -11.7 18
1977-02-12 @ Everton W 2-1 1776 1740 17.13% 30.93% 51.94% +11.7 27
1977-02-12 Aston Villa W 1-0 1914 1878 58.39% 29.69% 11.91% +3.9 34
1977-02-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1878 1914 11.91% 29.69% 58.39% -3.9 29
1977-02-12 Arsenal W 1-0 1916 1825 62.54% 28.34% 9.12% +3.0 34
1977-02-12 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1825 1916 9.12% 28.34% 62.54% -3.1 28
1977-02-12 Manchester United L 1-3 1720 1863 39.58% 31.43% 28.99% -16.1 17
1977-02-12 @ Tottenham W 3-1 1863 1720 28.99% 31.43% 39.58% +16.1 28
1977-02-12 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1794 1820 52.97% 30.79% 16.24% -1.9 23
1977-02-12 @ West Brom D 1-1 1820 1794 16.24% 30.79% 52.97% +1.9 19
1977-02-12 Stoke City W 1-0 1676 1740 49.10% 31.22% 19.69% +6.0 15
1977-02-12 @ West Ham L 0-1 1740 1676 19.69% 31.22% 49.10% -6.0 19
1977-02-15 Arsenal W 3-0 1809 1822 54.16% 30.61% 15.24% +13.3 31
1977-02-15 @ Middlesbrough L 0-3 1822 1809 15.24% 30.61% 54.16% -13.3 28
1977-02-15 Norwich City W 5-0 1918 1771 66.28% 26.69% 7.02% +10.3 36
1977-02-15 @ Ipswich Town L 0-5 1771 1918 7.02% 26.69% 66.28% -10.3 24
1977-02-16 Liverpool D 0-0 1879 1915 51.98% 30.93% 17.09% -2.0 29
1977-02-16 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1915 1879 17.09% 30.93% 51.98% +2.0 36
1977-02-16 Coventry City W 2-0 1734 1793 49.60% 31.18% 19.22% +11.1 21
1977-02-16 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1793 1734 19.22% 31.18% 49.60% -11.1 23
1977-02-16 Manchester City D 2-2 1847 1919 48.19% 31.28% 20.53% -1.0 26
1977-02-16 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1919 1847 20.53% 31.28% 48.19% +1.1 35
1977-02-19 West Ham L 2-3 1809 1682 64.97% 27.32% 7.71% -13.6 28
1977-02-19 @ Arsenal W 3-2 1682 1809 7.71% 27.32% 64.97% +13.6 17
1977-02-19 Manchester City W 1-0 1729 1920 33.11% 31.10% 35.78% +9.1 18
1977-02-19 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1920 1729 35.78% 31.10% 33.11% -9.1 35
1977-02-19 Tottenham W 2-1 1830 1704 64.98% 27.32% 7.71% +2.4 28
1977-02-19 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1704 1830 7.71% 27.32% 64.98% -2.4 17
1977-02-19 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1787 1928 39.95% 31.43% 28.62% +7.8 29
1977-02-19 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1928 1787 28.62% 31.43% 39.95% -7.8 36
1977-02-19 Derby County W 3-1 1917 1790 64.97% 27.32% 7.71% +4.2 38
1977-02-19 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1790 1917 7.71% 27.32% 64.97% -4.2 18
1977-02-19 Newcastle United W 3-1 1877 1846 57.98% 29.80% 12.22% +6.6 31
1977-02-19 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1846 1877 12.22% 29.80% 57.98% -6.6 26
1977-02-19 Coventry City W 3-0 1761 1782 53.42% 30.73% 15.86% +13.8 26
1977-02-19 @ Norwich City L 0-3 1782 1761 15.86% 30.73% 53.42% -13.8 23
1977-02-19 Everton L 0-1 1745 1728 56.77% 30.09% 13.14% -13.5 21
1977-02-19 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1728 1745 13.14% 30.09% 56.77% +13.5 20
1977-02-19 Middlesbrough W 4-0 1668 1822 38.14% 31.38% 30.48% +29.3 15
1977-02-19 @ Sunderland L 0-4 1822 1668 30.48% 31.38% 38.14% -29.3 31
1977-02-22 West Brom W 6-1 1697 1792 45.57% 31.41% 23.02% +24.5 17
1977-02-22 @ Sunderland L 1-6 1792 1697 23.02% 31.41% 45.57% -24.5 23
1977-02-26 Tottenham W 2-0 1840 1701 65.74% 26.96% 7.30% +4.6 28
1977-02-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1701 1840 7.30% 26.96% 65.74% -4.6 17
1977-02-26 Stoke City L 0-1 1920 1731 68.92% 25.29% 5.79% -15.9 36
1977-02-26 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1731 1920 5.79% 25.29% 68.92% +15.9 23
1977-02-26 Leicester City W 3-2 1822 1795 57.59% 29.90% 12.51% +3.7 21
1977-02-26 @ Queens Park Rangers L 2-3 1795 1822 12.51% 29.90% 57.59% -3.7 29
1977-02-26 Bristol City W 2-0 1695 1738 51.26% 31.01% 17.72% +10.4 19
1977-02-26 @ West Ham L 0-2 1738 1695 17.72% 31.01% 51.26% -10.4 18
1977-02-28 Birmingham City W 2-1 1768 1785 53.79% 30.67% 15.55% +4.7 25
1977-02-28 @ West Brom L 1-2 1785 1768 15.55% 30.67% 53.79% -4.7 24
1977-03-01 Norwich City W 2-0 1911 1775 65.63% 27.01% 7.36% +4.6 37
1977-03-01 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1775 1911 7.36% 27.01% 65.63% -4.6 26
1977-03-01 Arsenal W 2-1 1741 1795 50.17% 31.13% 18.71% +5.4 22
1977-03-01 @ Everton L 1-2 1795 1741 18.71% 31.13% 50.17% -5.4 28
1977-03-02 Derby County W 4-0 1874 1786 62.26% 28.45% 9.29% +11.1 31
1977-03-02 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1786 1874 9.29% 28.45% 62.26% -11.1 18
1977-03-02 Leeds United W 3-0 1844 1833 56.30% 30.20% 13.50% +12.0 30
1977-03-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1833 1844 13.50% 30.20% 56.30% -12.0 28
1977-03-05 Ipswich Town L 1-4 1790 1904 43.23% 31.46% 25.31% -24.4 28
1977-03-05 @ Arsenal W 4-1 1904 1790 25.31% 31.46% 43.23% +24.4 38
1977-03-05 Coventry City W 3-1 1780 1768 56.39% 30.18% 13.43% +7.2 26
1977-03-05 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1768 1780 13.43% 30.18% 56.39% -7.2 23
1977-03-05 Everton L 1-2 1728 1747 53.58% 30.70% 15.72% -12.0 18
1977-03-05 @ Bristol City W 2-1 1747 1728 15.72% 30.70% 53.58% +12.0 24
1977-03-05 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1821 1793 57.68% 29.88% 12.44% +3.9 30
1977-03-05 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1793 1821 12.44% 29.88% 57.68% -3.9 31
1977-03-05 Aston Villa D 1-1 1791 1885 45.81% 31.40% 22.79% -1.2 30
1977-03-05 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1885 1791 22.79% 31.40% 45.81% +1.1 32
1977-03-05 Newcastle United W 1-0 1921 1856 60.63% 29.03% 10.35% +3.5 40
1977-03-05 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1856 1921 10.35% 29.03% 60.63% -3.5 30
1977-03-05 Manchester City W 3-1 1884 1916 52.35% 30.88% 16.77% +8.6 33
1977-03-05 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1916 1884 16.77% 30.88% 52.35% -8.6 37
1977-03-05 Tottenham L 1-3 1770 1697 61.24% 28.82% 9.94% -23.6 26
1977-03-05 @ Norwich City W 3-1 1697 1770 9.94% 28.82% 61.24% +23.6 19
1977-03-05 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1747 1825 47.51% 31.33% 21.17% +6.3 25
1977-03-05 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1825 1747 21.17% 31.33% 47.51% -6.3 21
1977-03-05 West Ham W 6-0 1722 1706 56.69% 30.11% 13.20% +22.6 19
1977-03-05 @ Sunderland L 0-6 1706 1722 13.20% 30.11% 56.69% -22.6 19
1977-03-05 Derby County W 1-0 1773 1775 55.09% 30.44% 14.47% +4.7 27
1977-03-05 @ West Brom L 0-1 1775 1773 14.47% 30.44% 55.09% -4.7 18
1977-03-08 Leeds United D 0-0 1819 1825 54.81% 30.49% 14.69% -2.4 22
1977-03-08 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1825 1819 14.69% 30.49% 54.81% +2.4 31
1977-03-08 West Brom L 1-2 1765 1777 54.21% 30.60% 15.19% -12.2 28
1977-03-08 @ Arsenal W 2-1 1777 1765 15.19% 30.60% 54.21% +12.2 29
1977-03-09 Coventry City D 1-1 1770 1761 56.18% 30.22% 13.60% -2.3 19
1977-03-09 @ Derby County D 1-1 1761 1770 13.60% 30.22% 56.18% +2.3 24
1977-03-09 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1853 1929 47.75% 31.31% 20.94% -1.4 31
1977-03-09 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1929 1853 20.94% 31.31% 47.75% +1.4 39
1977-03-09 Sunderland W 1-0 1907 1744 67.31% 26.17% 6.52% +2.1 39
1977-03-09 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1744 1907 6.52% 26.17% 67.31% -2.1 19
1977-03-09 Liverpool W 1-0 1720 1925 31.34% 30.95% 37.71% +9.5 21
1977-03-09 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1925 1720 37.71% 30.95% 31.34% -9.5 40
1977-03-09 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1746 1789 51.25% 31.01% 17.73% +5.5 28
1977-03-09 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1789 1746 17.73% 31.01% 51.25% -5.5 31
1977-03-12 Birmingham City D 0-0 1768 1787 53.57% 30.70% 15.72% -2.2 20
1977-03-12 @ Derby County D 0-0 1787 1768 15.72% 30.70% 53.57% +2.2 27
1977-03-12 Bristol City W 1-0 1930 1716 70.43% 24.41% 5.17% +1.6 41
1977-03-12 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1716 1930 5.17% 24.41% 70.43% -1.6 18
1977-03-12 Coventry City W 3-1 1790 1763 57.66% 29.88% 12.46% +6.7 32
1977-03-12 @ Leicester City L 1-3 1763 1790 12.46% 29.88% 57.66% -6.7 24
1977-03-12 Leeds United W 1-0 1893 1827 60.66% 29.01% 10.32% +3.4 35
1977-03-12 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1827 1893 10.32% 29.01% 60.66% -3.4 31
1977-03-12 Liverpool L 0-1 1784 1915 41.15% 31.45% 27.40% -10.2 31
1977-03-12 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1915 1784 27.40% 31.45% 41.15% +10.2 42
1977-03-12 Norwich City W 5-1 1851 1752 63.12% 28.12% 8.77% +8.8 33
1977-03-12 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1752 1851 8.77% 28.12% 63.12% -8.8 28
1977-03-12 Arsenal W 2-1 1817 1753 60.53% 29.06% 10.42% +3.3 24
1977-03-12 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1753 1817 10.42% 29.06% 60.53% -3.3 28
1977-03-12 West Brom L 0-2 1730 1789 49.52% 31.18% 19.30% -22.4 21
1977-03-12 @ Tottenham W 2-0 1789 1730 19.30% 31.18% 49.52% +22.4 31
1977-03-12 Manchester City W 1-0 1683 1909 28.58% 30.66% 40.76% +10.0 21
1977-03-12 @ West Ham L 0-1 1909 1683 40.76% 30.66% 28.58% -10.0 39
1977-03-15 Derby County D 2-2 1714 1766 50.36% 31.11% 18.54% -1.2 19
1977-03-15 @ Bristol City D 2-2 1766 1714 18.54% 31.11% 50.36% +1.2 21
1977-03-15 Middlesbrough D 3-3 1797 1774 57.33% 29.96% 12.71% -1.5 33
1977-03-15 @ Leicester City D 3-3 1774 1797 12.71% 29.96% 57.33% +1.5 32
1977-03-15 Newcastle United D 0-0 1753 1860 44.21% 31.45% 24.34% -1.1 26
1977-03-15 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1860 1753 24.34% 31.45% 44.21% +1.1 34
1977-03-16 Ipswich Town W 4-0 1812 1932 42.60% 31.46% 25.94% +26.2 33
1977-03-16 @ West Brom L 0-4 1932 1812 25.94% 31.46% 42.60% -26.2 41
1977-03-19 Tottenham L 1-2 1789 1707 61.88% 28.59% 9.53% -13.7 27
1977-03-19 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1707 1789 9.53% 28.59% 61.88% +13.8 23
1977-03-19 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1713 1820 44.18% 31.45% 24.37% +7.0 21
1977-03-19 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1820 1713 24.37% 31.45% 44.18% -7.0 24
1977-03-19 Leicester City L 0-1 1752 1796 51.22% 31.02% 17.76% -12.3 26
1977-03-19 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1796 1752 17.76% 31.02% 51.22% +12.2 35
1977-03-19 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1742 1906 36.93% 31.33% 31.73% +8.4 21
1977-03-19 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1906 1742 31.73% 31.33% 36.93% -8.4 41
1977-03-19 Newcastle United D 1-1 1838 1861 53.18% 30.76% 16.06% -2.0 34
1977-03-19 @ West Brom D 1-1 1861 1838 16.06% 30.76% 53.18% +2.0 35
1977-03-22 Liverpool D 0-0 1759 1925 36.52% 31.31% 32.17% -0.2 25
1977-03-22 @ Everton D 0-0 1925 1759 32.17% 31.31% 36.52% +0.2 43
1977-03-22 West Ham W 4-1 1897 1693 69.82% 24.77% 5.41% +4.0 43
1977-03-22 @ Ipswich Town L 1-4 1693 1897 5.41% 24.77% 69.82% -4.0 21
1977-03-22 Birmingham City D 2-2 1775 1776 55.27% 30.41% 14.33% -1.6 33
1977-03-22 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1776 1775 14.33% 30.41% 55.27% +1.6 28
1977-03-22 Manchester City D 0-0 1813 1899 46.59% 31.37% 22.04% -1.4 25
1977-03-22 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1899 1813 22.04% 31.37% 46.59% +1.4 40
1977-03-23 Sunderland W 4-1 1886 1751 65.54% 27.05% 7.41% +5.7 34
1977-03-23 @ Aston Villa L 1-4 1751 1886 7.41% 27.05% 65.54% -5.7 21
1977-03-23 Norwich City W 3-2 1824 1743 61.76% 28.63% 9.61% +2.9 33
1977-03-23 @ Leeds United L 2-3 1743 1824 9.61% 28.63% 61.76% -2.9 28
1977-03-23 West Brom D 2-2 1896 1836 60.24% 29.15% 10.61% -2.1 36
1977-03-23 @ Manchester United D 2-2 1836 1896 10.61% 29.15% 60.24% +2.1 35
1977-03-23 Coventry City W 1-0 1863 1756 63.64% 27.90% 8.46% +2.8 37
1977-03-23 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1756 1863 8.46% 27.90% 63.64% -2.8 24
1977-03-23 Arsenal D 1-1 1740 1750 54.45% 30.56% 14.99% -2.1 27
1977-03-23 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1750 1740 14.99% 30.56% 54.45% +2.1 29
1977-03-23 Derby County D 0-0 1721 1767 50.93% 31.05% 18.02% -1.9 24
1977-03-23 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1767 1721 18.02% 31.05% 50.93% +1.9 22
1977-03-26 Tottenham W 4-0 1759 1719 58.64% 29.62% 11.73% +13.9 27
1977-03-26 @ Everton L 0-4 1719 1759 11.73% 29.62% 58.64% -13.9 24
1977-03-26 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1866 1774 62.63% 28.31% 9.06% +3.0 39
1977-03-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1774 1866 9.06% 28.31% 62.63% -3.0 33
1977-03-26 Bristol City D 0-0 1808 1720 62.29% 28.44% 9.27% -3.3 36
1977-03-26 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1720 1808 9.27% 28.44% 62.29% +3.3 22
1977-04-02 Leicester City W 3-0 1752 1804 50.26% 31.12% 18.63% +15.7 31
1977-04-02 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1804 1752 18.63% 31.12% 50.26% -15.7 36
1977-04-02 Newcastle United L 1-2 1777 1869 45.98% 31.40% 22.62% -10.5 28
1977-04-02 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1869 1777 22.62% 31.40% 45.98% +10.5 41
1977-04-02 Aston Villa D 0-0 1723 1892 36.29% 31.30% 32.41% -0.2 23
1977-04-02 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1892 1723 32.41% 31.30% 36.29% +0.2 35
1977-04-02 Tottenham D 1-1 1753 1705 59.33% 29.43% 11.24% -2.7 25
1977-04-02 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1705 1753 11.24% 29.43% 59.33% +2.7 25
1977-04-02 Stoke City W 2-0 1769 1738 57.96% 29.81% 12.23% +7.6 24
1977-04-02 @ Derby County L 0-2 1738 1769 12.23% 29.81% 57.96% -7.6 27
1977-04-02 Leeds United W 3-1 1926 1826 63.10% 28.12% 8.78% +4.8 45
1977-04-02 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1826 1926 8.78% 28.12% 63.10% -4.8 33
1977-04-02 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1901 1901 55.27% 30.41% 14.32% +4.4 42
1977-04-02 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1901 1901 14.32% 30.41% 55.27% -4.4 43
1977-04-02 Manchester United W 2-1 1740 1894 38.25% 31.38% 30.37% +7.7 30
1977-04-02 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1894 1740 30.37% 31.38% 38.25% -7.7 36
1977-04-02 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1745 1812 48.77% 31.24% 19.98% +6.1 23
1977-04-02 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1812 1745 19.98% 31.24% 48.77% -6.0 25
1977-04-02 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1838 1770 60.82% 28.96% 10.22% +3.2 37
1977-04-02 @ West Brom L 1-2 1770 1838 10.22% 28.96% 60.82% -3.2 33
1977-04-02 Everton D 2-2 1689 1773 46.95% 31.36% 21.70% -0.9 22
1977-04-02 @ West Ham D 2-2 1773 1689 21.70% 31.36% 46.95% +0.9 28
1977-04-04 West Ham D 1-1 1806 1688 64.34% 27.60% 8.06% -3.2 26
1977-04-04 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1688 1806 8.06% 27.60% 64.34% +3.2 23
1977-04-05 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1892 1767 64.82% 27.38% 7.79% +2.6 37
1977-04-05 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1767 1892 7.79% 27.38% 64.82% -2.6 33
1977-04-05 West Brom L 1-2 1723 1841 42.81% 31.46% 25.73% -9.9 23
1977-04-05 @ Bristol City W 2-1 1841 1723 25.73% 31.46% 42.81% +9.9 39
1977-04-05 Manchester United L 1-2 1773 1886 43.47% 31.46% 25.07% -10.0 28
1977-04-05 @ Everton W 2-1 1886 1773 25.07% 31.46% 43.47% +10.0 38
1977-04-05 Coventry City W 2-1 1897 1751 66.25% 26.71% 7.04% +2.2 45
1977-04-05 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1751 1897 7.04% 26.71% 66.25% -2.2 25
1977-04-06 Norwich City D 2-2 1777 1748 57.76% 29.86% 12.38% -1.9 25
1977-04-06 @ Derby County D 2-2 1748 1777 12.38% 29.86% 57.76% +1.8 31
1977-04-08 Leeds United W 2-1 1905 1822 61.98% 28.55% 9.47% +3.0 44
1977-04-08 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1822 1905 9.47% 28.55% 61.98% -3.0 33
1977-04-08 Newcastle United D 2-2 1751 1880 41.51% 31.46% 27.03% -0.5 24
1977-04-08 @ Sunderland D 2-2 1880 1751 27.03% 31.46% 41.51% +0.5 42
1977-04-08 Birmingham City D 2-2 1692 1767 47.84% 31.31% 20.86% -1.0 24
1977-04-08 @ West Ham D 2-2 1767 1692 20.86% 31.31% 47.84% +1.0 29
1977-04-09 Bristol City W 3-0 1768 1713 59.83% 29.28% 10.89% +9.9 31
1977-04-09 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1713 1768 10.89% 29.28% 59.83% -9.9 23
1977-04-09 West Ham D 1-1 1749 1690 60.09% 29.20% 10.71% -2.7 26
1977-04-09 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1690 1749 10.71% 29.20% 60.09% +2.7 25
1977-04-09 Aston Villa W 2-1 1775 1894 42.65% 31.46% 25.89% +6.9 27
1977-04-09 @ Derby County L 1-2 1894 1775 25.89% 31.46% 42.65% -6.9 37
1977-04-09 Sunderland D 1-1 1819 1750 60.87% 28.95% 10.19% -2.8 34
1977-04-09 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1750 1819 10.19% 28.95% 60.87% +2.8 25
1977-04-09 Manchester City W 2-1 1930 1908 57.24% 29.98% 12.78% +4.0 47
1977-04-09 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1908 1930 12.78% 29.98% 57.24% -4.0 44
1977-04-09 Stoke City W 3-0 1896 1730 67.50% 26.07% 6.43% +5.8 40
1977-04-09 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1730 1896 6.43% 26.07% 67.50% -5.8 27
1977-04-09 Everton D 2-2 1765 1763 55.42% 30.38% 14.20% -1.7 34
1977-04-09 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1763 1765 14.20% 30.38% 55.42% +1.7 29
1977-04-09 Leicester City D 0-0 1880 1789 62.54% 28.34% 9.12% -3.4 43
1977-04-09 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1789 1880 9.12% 28.34% 62.54% +3.4 37
1977-04-09 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1750 1899 38.84% 31.40% 29.75% -9.7 31
1977-04-09 @ Norwich City W 1-0 1899 1750 29.75% 31.40% 38.84% +9.7 47
1977-04-09 Queens Park Rangers W 3-0 1708 1802 45.66% 31.41% 22.93% +18.3 27
1977-04-09 @ Tottenham L 0-3 1802 1708 22.93% 31.41% 45.66% -18.3 26
1977-04-09 Arsenal L 0-2 1851 1767 62.00% 28.54% 9.45% -27.5 39
1977-04-09 @ West Brom W 2-0 1767 1851 9.45% 28.54% 62.00% +27.5 33
1977-04-11 Tottenham W 1-0 1795 1726 60.90% 28.93% 10.17% +3.4 35
1977-04-11 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1726 1795 10.17% 28.93% 60.90% -3.4 27
1977-04-11 Liverpool D 0-0 1725 1934 30.64% 30.89% 38.47% +0.4 28
1977-04-11 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1934 1725 38.47% 30.89% 30.64% -0.4 48
1977-04-11 Birmingham City W 1-0 1909 1778 65.26% 27.18% 7.56% +2.5 49
1977-04-11 @ Ipswich Town L 0-1 1778 1909 7.56% 27.18% 65.26% -2.5 31
1977-04-11 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1904 1763 65.92% 26.87% 7.21% +2.4 46
1977-04-11 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1763 1904 7.21% 26.87% 65.92% -2.4 34
1977-04-11 Coventry City D 1-1 1784 1746 58.54% 29.65% 11.81% -2.6 27
1977-04-11 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1746 1784 11.81% 29.65% 58.54% +2.6 27
1977-04-11 Manchester United W 2-1 1753 1902 38.89% 31.41% 29.70% +7.6 27
1977-04-11 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1902 1753 29.70% 31.41% 38.89% -7.6 40
1977-04-11 Norwich City W 1-0 1693 1740 50.85% 31.06% 18.09% +5.6 27
1977-04-11 @ West Ham L 0-1 1740 1693 18.09% 31.06% 50.85% -5.6 31
1977-04-12 Derby County D 1-1 1792 1782 56.23% 30.21% 13.56% -2.3 38
1977-04-12 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1782 1792 13.56% 30.21% 56.23% +2.3 28
1977-04-12 Tottenham W 1-0 1703 1723 53.53% 30.71% 15.77% +5.0 25
1977-04-12 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1723 1703 15.77% 30.71% 53.53% -5.0 27
1977-04-12 Leeds United W 2-1 1725 1816 46.08% 31.39% 22.53% +6.2 30
1977-04-12 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1816 1725 22.53% 31.39% 46.08% -6.2 34
1977-04-16 Stoke City W 2-0 1775 1731 59.00% 29.52% 11.47% +7.2 33
1977-04-16 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1731 1775 11.47% 29.52% 59.00% -7.2 30
1977-04-16 Aston Villa L 2-3 1748 1887 40.17% 31.44% 28.39% -8.9 27
1977-04-16 @ Coventry City W 3-2 1887 1748 28.39% 31.44% 40.17% +8.9 39
1977-04-16 Everton L 2-3 1784 1765 56.95% 30.05% 13.00% -12.1 28
1977-04-16 @ Derby County W 3-2 1765 1784 13.00% 30.05% 56.95% +12.1 31
1977-04-16 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1810 1911 44.82% 31.43% 23.75% +6.5 36
1977-04-16 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1911 1810 23.75% 31.43% 44.82% -6.5 49
1977-04-16 Arsenal W 2-0 1934 1798 65.56% 27.04% 7.40% +4.6 50
1977-04-16 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1798 1934 7.40% 27.04% 65.56% -4.7 35
1977-04-16 Leicester City D 1-1 1895 1790 63.48% 27.97% 8.55% -3.1 41
1977-04-16 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1790 1895 8.55% 27.97% 63.48% +3.1 39
1977-04-16 Queens Park Rangers L 0-2 1761 1781 53.40% 30.73% 15.87% -24.0 34
1977-04-16 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1781 1761 15.87% 30.73% 53.40% +24.0 29
1977-04-16 West Ham W 3-0 1877 1699 68.24% 25.67% 6.09% +5.4 45
1977-04-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1699 1877 6.09% 25.67% 68.24% -5.4 27
1977-04-16 Bristol City W 2-1 1735 1708 57.56% 29.91% 12.53% +3.9 33
1977-04-16 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1708 1735 12.53% 29.91% 57.56% -3.9 25
1977-04-16 Sunderland D 1-1 1718 1761 51.25% 31.01% 17.74% -1.7 28
1977-04-16 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1761 1718 17.74% 31.01% 51.25% +1.7 28
1977-04-16 Manchester City L 0-2 1824 1907 46.99% 31.35% 21.65% -21.4 39
1977-04-16 @ West Brom W 2-0 1907 1824 21.65% 31.35% 46.99% +21.4 48
1977-04-19 Norwich City W 3-1 1777 1738 58.59% 29.64% 11.77% +6.4 33
1977-04-19 @ Everton L 1-3 1738 1777 11.77% 29.64% 58.59% -6.4 33
1977-04-19 Manchester United W 4-0 1805 1891 46.64% 31.37% 21.99% +23.2 31
1977-04-19 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-4 1891 1805 21.99% 31.37% 46.64% -23.2 41
1977-04-19 West Brom D 1-1 1739 1802 49.18% 31.21% 19.60% -1.5 28
1977-04-19 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1802 1739 19.60% 31.21% 49.18% +1.5 40
1977-04-19 Birmingham City W 2-1 1928 1782 66.21% 26.73% 7.06% +2.2 50
1977-04-19 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1782 1928 7.06% 26.73% 66.21% -2.2 33
1977-04-20 Tottenham W 2-1 1896 1716 68.39% 25.59% 6.02% +1.8 41
1977-04-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1716 1896 6.02% 25.59% 68.39% -1.8 28
1977-04-20 West Ham D 1-1 1772 1693 61.62% 28.68% 9.70% -2.9 29
1977-04-20 @ Derby County D 1-1 1693 1772 9.70% 28.68% 61.62% +2.9 28
1977-04-20 Bristol City D 2-2 1724 1704 57.01% 30.04% 12.95% -1.8 31
1977-04-20 @ Stoke City D 2-2 1704 1724 12.95% 30.04% 57.01% +1.8 26
1977-04-23 Coventry City W 2-0 1794 1738 59.92% 29.25% 10.83% +6.8 37
1977-04-23 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1738 1794 10.83% 29.25% 59.92% -6.8 28
1977-04-23 Norwich City W 1-0 1898 1732 67.51% 26.06% 6.42% +2.1 43
1977-04-23 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1732 1898 6.42% 26.06% 67.51% -2.1 33
1977-04-23 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1905 1737 67.64% 25.99% 6.36% -15.7 49
1977-04-23 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1737 1905 6.36% 25.99% 67.64% +15.7 36
1977-04-23 Newcastle United L 1-2 1829 1882 50.17% 31.13% 18.70% -11.3 31
1977-04-23 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1882 1829 18.70% 31.13% 50.17% +11.3 47
1977-04-23 Tottenham D 0-0 1722 1714 56.02% 30.26% 13.72% -2.6 32
1977-04-23 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1714 1722 13.72% 30.26% 56.02% +2.5 29
1977-04-23 Derby County D 1-1 1763 1769 54.74% 30.51% 14.76% -2.1 29
1977-04-23 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1769 1763 14.76% 30.51% 54.74% +2.1 30
1977-04-25 Aston Villa W 3-0 1801 1900 45.04% 31.43% 23.53% +18.7 39
1977-04-25 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1900 1801 23.53% 31.43% 45.04% -18.7 43
1977-04-25 Derby County W 2-0 1731 1771 51.54% 30.98% 17.48% +10.3 30
1977-04-25 @ Coventry City L 0-2 1771 1731 17.48% 30.98% 51.54% -10.3 30
1977-04-26 Bristol City L 0-1 1817 1706 63.92% 27.78% 8.30% -15.0 31
1977-04-26 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1706 1817 8.30% 27.78% 63.92% +15.0 28
1977-04-26 Manchester United W 3-0 1752 1868 43.10% 31.46% 25.44% +19.8 38
1977-04-26 @ Middlesbrough L 0-3 1868 1752 25.44% 31.46% 43.10% -19.8 41
1977-04-26 West Ham D 1-1 1816 1696 64.51% 27.53% 7.96% -3.2 37
1977-04-26 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1696 1816 7.96% 27.53% 64.51% +3.2 29
1977-04-29 West Ham D 1-1 1772 1700 61.18% 28.84% 9.98% -2.9 39
1977-04-29 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1700 1772 9.98% 28.84% 61.18% +2.9 30
1977-04-30 Leicester City D 1-1 1780 1793 54.16% 30.61% 15.23% -2.1 34
1977-04-30 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1793 1780 15.23% 30.61% 54.16% +2.1 40
1977-04-30 Stoke City W 5-2 1741 1720 57.18% 30.00% 12.82% +8.4 32
1977-04-30 @ Coventry City L 2-5 1720 1741 12.82% 30.00% 57.18% -8.4 32
1977-04-30 Manchester City W 4-0 1761 1930 36.14% 31.29% 32.57% +30.6 32
1977-04-30 @ Derby County L 0-4 1930 1761 32.57% 31.29% 36.14% -30.6 50
1977-04-30 Bristol City W 2-0 1813 1721 62.57% 28.33% 9.10% +5.8 39
1977-04-30 @ Leeds United L 0-2 1721 1813 9.10% 28.33% 62.57% -5.7 28
1977-04-30 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1939 1889 59.43% 29.40% 11.17% +3.5 52
1977-04-30 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1889 1939 11.17% 29.40% 59.43% -3.5 49
1977-04-30 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1848 1802 59.17% 29.48% 11.36% +3.8 43
1977-04-30 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1802 1848 11.36% 29.48% 59.17% -3.8 31
1977-04-30 Arsenal L 0-2 1894 1819 61.31% 28.79% 9.90% -27.3 47
1977-04-30 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1819 1894 9.90% 28.79% 61.31% +27.3 41
1977-04-30 Everton W 2-1 1730 1784 50.16% 31.13% 18.72% +5.4 35
1977-04-30 @ Norwich City L 1-2 1784 1730 18.72% 31.13% 50.16% -5.4 33
1977-04-30 Aston Villa W 3-1 1717 1882 36.75% 31.32% 31.93% +13.8 31
1977-04-30 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1882 1717 31.93% 31.32% 36.75% -13.8 43
1977-04-30 Sunderland L 2-3 1804 1760 58.95% 29.54% 11.51% -12.5 40
1977-04-30 @ West Brom W 3-2 1760 1804 11.51% 29.54% 58.95% +12.5 31
1977-05-03 Manchester United W 1-0 1942 1852 62.44% 28.38% 9.18% +3.1 54
1977-05-03 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1852 1942 9.18% 28.38% 62.44% -3.1 43
1977-05-03 Derby County D 0-0 1846 1791 59.86% 29.27% 10.87% -3.0 42
1977-05-03 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1791 1846 10.87% 29.27% 59.86% +3.0 33
1977-05-04 Newcastle United W 1-0 1795 1866 48.28% 31.28% 20.44% +6.2 42
1977-05-04 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1866 1795 20.44% 31.28% 48.28% -6.1 47
1977-05-04 Coventry City W 2-0 1702 1750 50.80% 31.06% 18.14% +10.6 32
1977-05-04 @ West Ham L 0-2 1750 1702 18.14% 31.06% 50.80% -10.6 32
1977-05-04 Everton D 0-0 1819 1778 58.72% 29.60% 11.67% -2.9 40
1977-05-04 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1778 1819 11.67% 29.60% 58.72% +2.9 34
1977-05-04 Manchester City D 1-1 1868 1900 52.36% 30.88% 16.76% -1.9 44
1977-05-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1900 1868 16.76% 30.88% 52.36% +1.9 51
1977-05-07 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1843 1769 61.31% 28.79% 9.90% -2.9 43
1977-05-07 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1769 1843 9.90% 28.79% 61.31% +2.9 40
1977-05-07 Leeds United W 2-1 1866 1816 59.49% 29.38% 11.13% +3.5 46
1977-05-07 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1816 1866 11.13% 29.38% 59.49% -3.5 40
1977-05-07 Manchester United D 1-1 1715 1849 40.87% 31.45% 27.68% -0.6 29
1977-05-07 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1849 1715 27.68% 31.45% 40.87% +0.6 44
1977-05-07 Coventry City D 1-1 1781 1739 58.83% 29.57% 11.60% -2.6 35
1977-05-07 @ Everton D 1-1 1739 1781 11.60% 29.57% 58.83% +2.6 33
1977-05-07 Newcastle United W 2-0 1886 1860 57.51% 29.92% 12.57% +7.8 51
1977-05-07 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 1860 1886 12.57% 29.92% 57.51% -7.8 47
1977-05-07 West Brom L 0-5 1801 1791 56.17% 30.22% 13.60% -58.8 42
1977-05-07 @ Leicester City W 5-0 1791 1801 13.60% 30.22% 56.17% +58.8 42
1977-05-07 Tottenham W 5-0 1901 1731 67.80% 25.91% 6.29% +9.1 53
1977-05-07 @ Manchester City L 0-5 1731 1901 6.29% 25.91% 67.80% -9.1 31
1977-05-07 Liverpool D 1-1 1799 1945 39.19% 31.41% 29.40% -0.5 32
1977-05-07 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1945 1799 29.40% 31.41% 39.19% +0.5 55
1977-05-07 Norwich City D 0-0 1711 1735 53.10% 30.77% 16.13% -2.2 33
1977-05-07 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1735 1711 16.13% 30.77% 53.10% +2.2 36
1977-05-07 Birmingham City W 1-0 1773 1778 54.84% 30.49% 14.67% +4.7 33
1977-05-07 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1778 1773 14.67% 30.49% 54.84% -4.7 34
1977-05-07 Derby County D 2-2 1713 1795 47.14% 31.35% 21.52% -1.0 33
1977-05-07 @ West Ham D 2-2 1795 1713 21.52% 31.35% 47.14% +1.0 34
1977-05-10 Leeds United W 1-0 1715 1812 45.32% 31.42% 23.26% +6.8 31
1977-05-10 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1812 1715 23.26% 31.42% 45.32% -6.8 40
1977-05-10 Liverpool D 0-0 1742 1946 31.42% 30.96% 37.62% +0.3 34
1977-05-10 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1946 1742 37.62% 30.96% 31.42% -0.3 56
1977-05-10 Aston Villa W 2-1 1773 1869 45.48% 31.42% 23.11% +6.3 36
1977-05-10 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1869 1773 23.11% 31.42% 45.48% -6.3 46
1977-05-10 Everton D 1-1 1911 1778 65.33% 27.15% 7.52% -3.3 54
1977-05-10 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1778 1911 7.52% 27.15% 65.33% +3.3 36
1977-05-11 Manchester United D 3-3 1709 1850 39.97% 31.43% 28.60% -0.3 34
1977-05-11 @ Stoke City D 3-3 1850 1709 28.60% 31.43% 39.97% +0.3 45
1977-05-11 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1795 1798 55.08% 30.44% 14.48% +8.8 36
1977-05-11 @ Derby County L 0-2 1798 1795 14.48% 30.44% 55.08% -8.8 32
1977-05-14 Everton D 1-1 1780 1782 55.14% 30.43% 14.43% -2.2 37
1977-05-14 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1782 1780 14.43% 30.43% 55.14% +2.2 37
1977-05-14 Manchester City L 0-1 1742 1907 36.72% 31.32% 31.96% -9.3 34
1977-05-14 @ Coventry City W 1-0 1907 1742 31.96% 31.32% 36.72% +9.3 56
1977-05-14 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1804 1893 46.28% 31.39% 22.34% -1.3 37
1977-05-14 @ Derby County D 0-0 1893 1804 22.34% 31.39% 46.28% +1.3 52
1977-05-14 Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1806 1789 56.72% 30.10% 13.17% -13.5 40
1977-05-14 @ Leeds United W 1-0 1789 1806 13.17% 30.10% 56.72% +13.5 34
1977-05-14 West Ham D 0-0 1945 1712 71.53% 23.72% 4.74% -4.3 57
1977-05-14 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1712 1945 4.74% 23.72% 71.53% +4.3 34
1977-05-14 Arsenal W 3-2 1850 1841 56.15% 30.23% 13.62% +4.0 47
1977-05-14 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1841 1850 13.62% 30.23% 56.15% -4.0 43
1977-05-14 Bristol City D 0-0 1772 1722 59.51% 29.38% 11.11% -3.0 41
1977-05-14 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1722 1772 11.11% 29.38% 59.51% +3.0 32
1977-05-14 Aston Villa W 3-2 1852 1863 54.34% 30.58% 15.09% +4.3 49
1977-05-14 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1863 1852 15.09% 30.58% 54.34% -4.3 46
1977-05-14 Sunderland D 2-2 1738 1778 51.54% 30.98% 17.48% -1.3 37
1977-05-14 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1778 1738 17.48% 30.98% 51.54% +1.3 34
1977-05-14 Leicester City W 2-0 1721 1742 53.41% 30.73% 15.87% +9.5 33
1977-05-14 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1742 1721 15.87% 30.73% 53.41% -9.5 42
1977-05-14 Stoke City W 3-1 1850 1709 65.94% 26.86% 7.20% +3.9 44
1977-05-14 @ West Brom L 1-3 1709 1850 7.20% 26.86% 65.94% -3.9 34
1977-05-16 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1803 1895 45.95% 31.40% 22.65% +6.6 36
1977-05-16 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1895 1803 22.65% 31.40% 45.95% -6.6 52
1977-05-16 Stoke City W 1-0 1859 1705 66.74% 26.46% 6.80% +2.2 48
1977-05-16 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1705 1859 6.80% 26.46% 66.74% -2.2 34
1977-05-16 Liverpool W 2-1 1725 1941 29.78% 30.80% 39.42% +9.2 34
1977-05-16 @ Bristol City L 1-2 1941 1725 39.42% 30.80% 29.78% -9.2 57
1977-05-16 West Brom D 1-1 1784 1854 48.40% 31.27% 20.33% -1.4 38
1977-05-16 @ Everton D 1-1 1854 1784 20.33% 31.27% 48.40% +1.4 45
1977-05-16 Leeds United L 0-1 1733 1792 49.57% 31.18% 19.25% -11.9 42
1977-05-16 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1792 1733 19.25% 31.18% 49.57% +11.9 42
1977-05-16 Manchester United W 4-2 1716 1854 40.34% 31.44% 28.22% +11.3 36
1977-05-16 @ West Ham L 2-4 1854 1716 28.22% 31.44% 40.34% -11.3 47
1977-05-19 Bristol City D 2-2 1733 1734 55.23% 30.42% 14.36% -1.6 35
1977-05-19 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1734 1733 14.36% 30.42% 55.23% +1.6 35
1977-05-19 Sunderland W 2-0 1782 1779 55.63% 30.34% 14.04% +8.6 40
1977-05-19 @ Everton L 0-2 1779 1782 14.04% 30.34% 55.63% -8.6 34
1977-05-20 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1861 1809 59.60% 29.35% 11.05% -2.7 49
1977-05-20 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1809 1861 11.05% 29.35% 59.60% +2.7 37
1977-05-23 Birmingham City D 2-2 1812 1778 58.24% 29.73% 12.03% -1.9 38
1977-05-23 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1778 1812 12.03% 29.73% 58.24% +1.9 38
1977-05-23 West Brom W 4-0 1858 1856 55.57% 30.35% 14.08% +16.3 51
1977-05-23 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1856 1858 14.08% 30.35% 55.57% -16.3 45
1977-05-24 Newcastle United W 2-0 1791 1857 48.90% 31.23% 19.87% +11.3 42
1977-05-24 @ Everton L 0-2 1857 1791 19.87% 31.23% 48.90% -11.4 49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-11-27 5.53% West Ham 1653 2 @ Manchester United 1852 0
2 1977-02-26 5.79% Stoke City 1731 1 @ Ipswich Town 1920 0
3 1977-04-23 6.36% Middlesbrough 1737 1 @ Ipswich Town 1905 0
4 1977-02-19 7.71% West Ham 1682 3 @ Arsenal 1809 2
5 1976-09-04 8.24% Tottenham 1749 3 @ Manchester United 1861 2
6 1977-04-26 8.30% Bristol City 1706 1 @ Queens Park Rangers 1817 0
7 1977-04-09 9.45% Arsenal 1767 2 @ West Brom 1851 0
8 1976-10-30 9.47% Sunderland 1706 2 @ Coventry City 1789 1
9 1977-03-19 9.53% Tottenham 1707 2 @ Birmingham City 1789 1
10 1976-08-21 9.58% Everton 1792 4 @ Queens Park Rangers 1873 0
11 1977-04-30 9.90% Arsenal 1819 2 @ Newcastle United 1894 0
12 1977-03-05 9.94% Tottenham 1697 3 @ Norwich City 1770 1
13 1976-10-05 10.48% Norwich City 1766 3 @ Queens Park Rangers 1829 2
14 1976-08-28 10.82% Aston Villa 1786 2 @ Everton 1842 0
15 1976-09-18 10.84% Birmingham City 1762 2 @ Aston Villa 1817 1
16 1977-02-05 11.06% Coventry City 1779 2 @ Leeds United 1831 1
17 1977-04-30 11.51% Sunderland 1760 3 @ West Brom 1804 2
18 1976-12-04 11.96% Birmingham City 1780 6 @ Leicester City 1816 2
19 1976-10-30 12.16% Ipswich Town 1839 1 @ Manchester United 1871 0
20 1976-08-21 12.20% Bristol City 1749 1 @ Arsenal 1781 0
21 1976-08-25 12.33% Arsenal 1767 3 @ Norwich City 1796 1
22 1977-04-16 13.00% Everton 1765 3 @ Derby County 1784 2
23 1976-09-11 13.12% West Brom 1758 1 @ Birmingham City 1775 0
24 1977-02-19 13.14% Everton 1728 1 @ Stoke City 1745 0
25 1977-05-14 13.17% Queens Park Rangers 1789 1 @ Leeds United 1806 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-05-07 58.84 West Brom 5 1791 13.60% @ Leicester City 0 1801 56.17% 30.22%
2 1976-08-21 52.11 Everton 4 1792 9.58% @ Queens Park Rangers 0 1873 61.80% 28.62%
3 1976-12-04 34.96 Birmingham City 6 1780 11.96% @ Leicester City 2 1816 58.34% 29.71%
4 1977-04-30 30.64 @ Derby County 4 1761 36.14% Manchester City 0 1930 32.57% 31.29%
5 1976-11-27 30.14 West Ham 2 1653 5.53% @ Manchester United 0 1852 69.52% 24.94%
6 1977-02-19 29.30 @ Sunderland 4 1668 38.14% Middlesbrough 0 1822 30.48% 31.38%
7 1977-04-09 27.54 Arsenal 2 1767 9.45% @ West Brom 0 1851 62.00% 28.54%
8 1977-04-30 27.27 Arsenal 2 1819 9.90% @ Newcastle United 0 1894 61.31% 28.79%
9 1976-10-16 27.05 @ West Brom 4 1771 41.38% Manchester United 0 1900 27.16% 31.46%
10 1976-08-28 26.72 Aston Villa 2 1786 10.82% @ Everton 0 1842 59.93% 29.25%
11 1977-03-16 26.19 @ West Brom 4 1812 42.60% Ipswich Town 0 1932 25.94% 31.46%
12 1976-11-06 25.20 Leeds United 2 1824 13.55% @ Everton 0 1834 56.25% 30.21%
13 1976-12-18 24.77 West Brom 2 1786 14.37% @ Stoke City 0 1785 55.22% 30.42%
14 1977-02-22 24.52 @ Sunderland 6 1697 45.57% West Brom 1 1792 23.02% 31.41%
15 1977-03-05 24.43 Ipswich Town 4 1904 25.31% @ Arsenal 1 1790 43.23% 31.46%
16 1977-04-16 24.01 Queens Park Rangers 2 1781 15.87% @ Middlesbrough 0 1761 53.40% 30.73%
17 1976-08-25 23.82 Newcastle United 2 1800 16.25% @ Tottenham 0 1774 52.95% 30.79%
18 1977-03-05 23.59 Tottenham 3 1697 9.94% @ Norwich City 1 1770 61.24% 28.82%
19 1976-12-27 23.30 Manchester City 2 1863 17.35% @ Leeds United 0 1825 51.69% 30.96%
20 1977-04-19 23.23 @ Queens Park Rangers 4 1805 46.64% Manchester United 0 1891 21.99% 31.37%
21 1976-08-24 22.68 Manchester United 2 1836 18.72% @ Coventry City 0 1783 50.16% 31.13%
22 1977-03-05 22.58 @ Sunderland 6 1722 56.69% West Ham 0 1706 13.20% 30.11%
23 1977-03-12 22.42 West Brom 2 1789 19.30% @ Tottenham 0 1730 49.52% 31.18%
24 1976-08-25 22.39 Arsenal 3 1767 12.33% @ Norwich City 1 1796 57.83% 29.84%
25 1976-09-11 22.38 Arsenal 2 1789 19.39% @ West Ham 0 1728 49.41% 31.19%