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1978-79 Football League First Division Season

462 games

Final

Champion

Liverpool

68 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1976-77

Relegated

Chelsea

20 pts

Birmingham City · 22 pts

Queens Park Rangers · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Ipswich Town

9.53 points above expected

49 points · 39.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Birmingham City

11.18 points below expected

22 points · 33.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool Champion 42 30 8 4 68 85 16 +69 60.23 +7.77
2 Nottingham Forest 42 21 18 3 60 61 26 +35 55.78 +4.22
3 West Brom 42 24 11 7 59 72 35 +37 52.40 +6.60
4 Everton 42 17 17 8 51 52 40 +12 50.65 +0.35
5 Leeds United 42 18 14 10 50 70 52 +18 45.33 +4.67
6 Ipswich Town 42 20 9 13 49 63 49 +14 39.47 +9.53
7 Arsenal 42 17 14 11 48 61 48 +13 50.76 -2.76
8 Aston Villa 42 15 16 11 46 59 49 +10 47.21 -1.21
9 Manchester United 42 15 15 12 45 60 63 -3 42.15 +2.85
10 Coventry City 42 14 16 12 44 58 68 -10 40.90 +3.10
11 Tottenham 42 13 15 14 41 48 61 -13 36.62 +4.38
12 Middlesbrough 42 15 10 17 40 57 50 +7 39.86 +0.14
13 Bristol City 42 15 10 17 40 47 51 -4 39.88 +0.12
14 Southampton 42 12 16 14 40 47 53 -6 38.97 +1.03
15 Manchester City 42 13 13 16 39 58 56 +2 45.67 -6.67
16 Norwich City 42 7 23 12 37 51 57 -6 37.93 -0.93
17 Bolton Wanderers 42 12 11 19 35 54 75 -21 35.80 -0.80
18 Wolverhampton 42 13 8 21 34 44 68 -24 32.65 +1.35
19 Derby County 42 10 11 21 31 44 71 -27 35.35 -4.35
20 Queens Park Rangers Relegated 42 6 13 23 25 45 73 -28 34.58 -9.58
21 Birmingham City Relegated 42 6 10 26 22 37 64 -27 33.18 -11.18
22 Chelsea Relegated 42 5 10 27 20 44 92 -48 28.64 -8.64

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 2116 68 60.23 +7.77 97.2% 41 53 57 60 63 67 77
Nottingham Forest 2028 60 55.78 +4.22 84.0% 38 48 53 56 59 63 74
West Brom 1977 59 52.40 +6.60 93.4% 36 44 49 52 56 60 68
Ipswich Town 1893 49 39.47 +9.53 98.2% 22 32 36 40 43 47 59
Aston Villa 1880 46 47.21 -1.21 44.4% 29 39 44 47 50 55 67
Leeds United 1878 50 45.33 +4.67 85.4% 28 37 42 45 49 53 62
Everton 1861 51 50.65 +0.35 56.6% 32 43 47 51 54 58 67
Arsenal 1849 48 50.76 -2.76 31.6% 33 43 48 51 54 59 69
Middlesbrough 1842 40 39.86 +0.14 55.6% 23 32 37 40 43 48 57
Manchester City 1825 39 45.67 -6.67 10.1% 26 38 42 46 49 54 63
Manchester United 1819 45 42.15 +2.85 75.2% 24 34 39 42 45 50 62
Southampton 1789 40 38.97 +1.03 62.2% 18 31 36 39 42 47 59
Bristol City 1779 40 39.88 +0.12 55.4% 21 32 37 40 43 48 58
Coventry City 1771 44 40.90 +3.10 76.9% 24 33 38 41 44 49 60
Tottenham 1761 41 36.62 +4.38 84.3% 19 29 33 37 40 45 56
Norwich City 1749 37 37.93 -0.93 46.7% 18 30 35 38 41 46 55
Bolton Wanderers 1727 35 35.80 -0.80 47.5% 17 28 32 36 39 44 53
Wolverhampton 1722 34 32.65 +1.35 64.9% 15 25 29 33 36 41 52
Birmingham City 1692 22 33.18 -11.18 1.2% 15 25 30 33 36 41 51
Derby County 1673 31 35.35 -4.35 21.8% 16 27 32 35 39 44 56
Queens Park Rangers 1642 25 34.58 -9.58 3.0% 17 27 31 35 38 43 57
Chelsea 1584 20 28.64 -8.64 3.9% 11 21 25 29 32 36 48

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BW BC CHE CC DC EVE IT LU LIV MC MU MID NC NF QPR SOU TOT WB WOL
Arsenal —
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
4.31
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.87
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
1.77
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.62
0-2-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
3.86
Aston Villa
1-1-0
2.61
 —
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
4.09
0-2-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.55
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.35
1-1-0
2.60
0-2-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.41
1-1-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.52
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.48
Birmingham City
0-1-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.65
 —
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.11
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.91
Bolton Wanderers
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.61
 —
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
3.23
0-2-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.06
0-2-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
1.24
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
2.91
Bristol City
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.81
 —
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
3.21
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.15
0-0-2
1.35
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.66
 —
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
0.80
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
0.82
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
2.34
Coventry City
0-2-0
2.06
0-2-0
2.02
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
3.41
 —
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
1.76
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
1.23
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
2.18
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
3.20
Derby County
1-0-1
1.53
0-2-0
1.83
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.28
 —
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.09
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.18
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.80
Everton
1-1-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.96
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.67
 —
1-0-1
3.61
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
1.84
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.68
0-2-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.70
0-1-1
3.80
0-2-0
3.66
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
4.13
Ipswich Town
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
1.77
 —
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.52
2-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
1.53
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
1.88
2-0-0
2.90
Leeds United
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.26
0-2-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.15
 —
0-1-1
1.50
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.36
Liverpool
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
4.22
1-1-0
4.73
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.37
0-1-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.91
 —
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
4.65
Manchester City
0-2-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
3.32
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
3.17
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.02
 —
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
3.21
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
3.11
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.60
Manchester United
0-1-1
1.79
0-2-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
3.30
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.38
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
2.18
 —
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.05
0-2-0
1.80
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
3.23
Middlesbrough
0-1-1
1.78
2-0-0
1.96
2-0-0
2.85
0-2-0
2.91
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.98
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.34
 —
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.02
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
2.91
Norwich City
0-2-0
1.80
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.31
0-2-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.78
 —
0-1-1
1.33
0-2-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.66
0-2-0
1.61
0-1-1
3.17
Nottingham Forest
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.72
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
4.26
0-2-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.83
1-1-0
4.09
 —
0-2-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.74
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
4.19
Queens Park Rangers
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.35
0-2-0
2.10
0-2-0
1.51
 —
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.95
Southampton
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
1.84
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
1.59
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.19
2-0-0
2.25
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
1.43
1-1-0
2.96
 —
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.24
Tottenham
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.77
0-2-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
1.32
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.33
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.64
0-2-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.23
 —
2-0-0
1.47
1-0-1
3.18
West Brom
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.81
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.86
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
3.76
0-1-1
2.39
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.79
0-0-2
3.92
 —
1-1-0
4.22
Wolverhampton
2-0-0
1.57
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.16
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
0.87
0-1-1
1.77
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
1.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +9.4
Allowed 0.80 -6.3
Differential 0.91 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.44%8.98%4.87%3.14%1.19%0.65%27.27%
18.98%15.58%6.06%4.55%1.30%0.76%37.23%
24.87%6.06%6.06%1.95%0.32%0.22%19.48%
33.14%4.55%1.95%1.08%0.32%0.11%11.15%
41.19%1.30%0.32%0.32%——3.14%
5+0.65%0.76%0.22%0.11%——1.73%
Total27.27%37.23%19.48%11.15%3.14%1.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.76
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%2.38%——23.81%
111.90%21.43%4.76%——2.38%40.48%
27.14%4.76%4.76%—2.38%—19.05%
3—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%2.38%———7.14%
Total28.57%42.86%21.43%2.38%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.14 +0.31
SD 1.38 1.09 1.77
CV 0.95 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%7.14%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
19.52%23.81%2.38%———35.71%
24.76%4.76%7.14%2.38%——19.05%
32.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total23.81%47.62%19.05%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.17 +0.24
SD 1.27 0.96 1.66
CV 0.90 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%23.81%2.38%7.14%2.38%—40.48%
14.76%14.29%16.67%9.52%——45.24%
2——4.76%———4.76%
32.38%4.76%————7.14%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total11.90%45.24%23.81%16.67%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.52 -0.64
SD 1.06 0.99 1.54
CV 1.21 0.65 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%2.38%11.90%2.38%—35.71%
1—7.14%4.76%2.38%4.76%2.38%21.43%
22.38%9.52%9.52%2.38%——23.81%
32.38%9.52%2.38%—2.38%—16.67%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%21.43%16.67%9.52%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.79 -0.50
SD 1.20 1.30 1.84
CV 0.93 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%14.29%2.38%——35.71%
114.29%11.90%2.38%7.14%2.38%—38.10%
22.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
3—9.52%————9.52%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total28.57%38.10%19.05%11.90%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.21 -0.10
SD 1.21 1.07 1.72
CV 1.08 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%4.76%2.38%—2.38%30.95%
12.38%9.52%11.90%14.29%2.38%2.38%42.86%
2—4.76%2.38%7.14%—4.76%19.05%
3——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
4———2.38%——2.38%
5+———————
Total11.90%26.19%21.43%28.57%2.38%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.19 -1.14
SD 0.96 1.60 1.56
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%2.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%33.33%
12.38%16.67%—4.76%—4.76%28.57%
22.38%7.14%4.76%———14.29%
32.38%2.38%7.14%2.38%——14.29%
42.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%——9.52%
5+———————
Total23.81%35.71%16.67%14.29%2.38%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.62 -0.24
SD 1.34 1.58 2.08
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%9.52%4.76%4.76%2.38%38.10%
12.38%11.90%11.90%4.76%——30.95%
22.38%11.90%4.76%—2.38%—21.43%
32.38%—2.38%2.38%——7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%11.90%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.69 -0.64
SD 1.06 1.22 1.74
CV 1.01 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%2.38%2.38%——23.81%
119.05%21.43%—2.38%——42.86%
24.76%7.14%7.14%2.38%——21.43%
32.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%——9.52%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total35.71%42.86%11.90%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.95 +0.29
SD 1.01 0.94 1.22
CV 0.81 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%11.90%7.14%2.38%——26.19%
17.14%11.90%2.38%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
22.38%16.67%4.76%2.38%——26.19%
37.14%4.76%4.76%———16.67%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total23.81%47.62%19.05%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.17 +0.33
SD 1.25 0.96 1.71
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%—4.76%——16.67%
111.90%14.29%4.76%4.76%2.38%—38.10%
2—7.14%11.90%2.38%——21.43%
37.14%2.38%2.38%———11.90%
44.76%2.38%—2.38%——9.52%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total30.95%33.33%19.05%14.29%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.24 +0.43
SD 1.30 1.12 1.78
CV 0.78 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%————16.67%
114.29%9.52%—2.38%——26.19%
219.05%4.76%————23.81%
316.67%2.38%————19.05%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total66.67%30.95%—2.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 0.38 +1.64
SD 1.63 0.62 1.83
CV 0.81 1.63 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%—21.43%
12.38%19.05%11.90%2.38%2.38%—38.10%
27.14%4.76%7.14%4.76%——23.81%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total21.43%42.86%21.43%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.33 +0.05
SD 1.06 1.07 1.68
CV 0.77 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%2.38%4.76%9.52%——21.43%
19.52%23.81%2.38%2.38%—2.38%40.48%
27.14%2.38%7.14%———16.67%
32.38%2.38%7.14%—2.38%2.38%16.67%
4—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
5+———————
Total23.81%33.33%23.81%11.90%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.50 -0.07
SD 1.15 1.31 1.69
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%9.52%———26.19%
14.76%9.52%14.29%4.76%——33.33%
214.29%4.76%4.76%4.76%——28.57%
32.38%7.14%————9.52%
4———————
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total30.95%28.57%30.95%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.19 +0.17
SD 1.30 0.99 1.62
CV 0.96 0.83 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%11.90%2.38%——2.38%28.57%
14.76%21.43%4.76%—4.76%—35.71%
22.38%—19.05%2.38%——23.81%
34.76%2.38%—2.38%——9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%35.71%26.19%4.76%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.36 -0.14
SD 1.05 1.28 1.63
CV 0.86 0.95 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%2.38%2.38%———26.19%
111.90%19.05%2.38%———33.33%
24.76%11.90%2.38%———19.05%
32.38%14.29%————16.67%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total45.24%47.62%7.14%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.62 +0.83
SD 1.33 0.62 1.40
CV 0.91 1.01 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%4.76%—2.38%—26.19%
14.76%14.29%16.67%14.29%2.38%2.38%54.76%
22.38%2.38%4.76%———9.52%
3—2.38%—2.38%2.38%—7.14%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total16.67%30.95%26.19%16.67%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.74 -0.67
SD 1.02 1.27 1.51
CV 0.95 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%9.52%—4.76%—33.33%
17.14%14.29%7.14%4.76%——33.33%
27.14%7.14%9.52%———23.81%
32.38%—2.38%2.38%——7.14%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%28.57%28.57%7.14%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.26 -0.14
SD 1.04 1.13 1.60
CV 0.93 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%4.76%2.38%—4.76%28.57%
114.29%14.29%7.14%2.38%2.38%—40.48%
24.76%2.38%9.52%2.38%——19.05%
3—7.14%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%30.95%23.81%9.52%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.45 -0.31
SD 0.98 1.48 1.81
CV 0.85 1.02 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%9.52%————11.90%
121.43%19.05%4.76%———45.24%
24.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%——21.43%
32.38%9.52%————11.90%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
Total35.71%50.00%9.52%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.83 +0.88
SD 1.42 0.79 1.50
CV 0.83 0.95 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%9.52%7.14%7.14%2.38%—28.57%
116.67%14.29%—14.29%2.38%—47.62%
24.76%4.76%—4.76%2.38%—16.67%
3——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%28.57%9.52%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.62 -0.57
SD 0.94 1.34 1.70
CV 0.89 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ipswich Town 49 39.47 +9.53
2 Liverpool 68 60.23 +7.77
3 West Brom 59 52.40 +6.60
4 Leeds United 50 45.33 +4.67
5 Tottenham 41 36.62 +4.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Birmingham City 22 33.18 -11.18
2 Queens Park Rangers 25 34.58 -9.58
3 Chelsea 20 28.64 -8.64
4 Manchester City 39 45.67 -6.67
5 Derby County 31 35.35 -4.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Southampton 4 Feb 17 – Mar 3 1 in 99
2 Leeds United 4 Jan 20 – Feb 24 1 in 89
3 Ipswich Town 5 Apr 14 – Apr 28 1 in 77
4 Liverpool 6 Aug 19 – Sep 16 1 in 69
5 Aston Villa 4 Apr 16 – Apr 28 1 in 54

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 5 Nov 11 – Dec 16 1 in 5,642
2 Birmingham City 8 Dec 2 – Feb 13 1 in 159
3 Chelsea 6 Nov 11 – Dec 16 1 in 88
4 Arsenal 2 Feb 24 – Mar 3 1 in 73
5 Norwich City 4 Apr 14 – Apr 25 1 in 66

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Everton 19 Aug 19 – Dec 16 1 in 305
2 Leeds United 16 Nov 18 – Mar 10 1 in 271
3 Coventry City 7 Mar 28 – Apr 21 1 in 98
4 Ipswich Town 11 Mar 31 – May 11 1 in 59
5 West Brom 13 Oct 14 – Jan 13 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 13 Oct 21 – Jan 20 1 in 810
2 West Brom 6 Apr 13 – Apr 28 1 in 87
3 Birmingham City 13 Aug 19 – Nov 4 1 in 57
4 Everton 8 Mar 10 – Apr 14 1 in 50
5 Queens Park Rangers 10 Dec 26 – Mar 6 1 in 32

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Liverpool67.78%20.00%7.04%3.09%1.15%0.59%0.21%0.06%0.05%0.02%0.01%———————————
Nottingham Forest18.56%35.81%20.96%11.61%6.12%3.26%1.78%0.99%0.45%0.21%0.14%0.07%0.03%—0.01%———————
West Brom6.27%18.11%22.85%18.38%12.74%8.52%5.20%3.51%1.88%1.10%0.65%0.32%0.21%0.13%0.09%0.02%0.01%0.01%————
Everton2.81%10.02%15.70%18.42%16.49%12.08%8.85%5.79%3.48%2.41%1.60%0.95%0.52%0.33%0.30%0.12%0.01%0.07%0.05%———
Leeds United0.27%1.49%4.22%6.82%9.54%12.64%12.14%11.69%10.18%7.50%6.28%4.80%3.74%2.73%2.06%1.36%0.87%0.91%0.39%0.22%0.14%0.01%
Ipswich Town0.01%0.12%0.26%0.65%1.73%2.81%3.99%5.93%7.35%8.46%8.69%9.15%8.34%7.71%7.69%7.11%5.75%5.38%3.87%2.57%1.70%0.73%
Arsenal3.15%9.49%16.72%18.29%16.98%12.19%8.61%5.29%3.52%2.21%1.53%0.90%0.46%0.27%0.14%0.16%0.05%0.03%—0.01%——
Aston Villa0.78%2.90%6.02%10.30%13.51%14.62%13.22%10.66%8.08%5.82%4.10%3.46%2.08%1.70%1.03%0.72%0.31%0.33%0.20%0.12%0.03%0.01%
Manchester United0.08%0.28%0.84%1.93%3.76%5.43%7.88%9.35%10.10%10.35%9.11%8.33%7.27%6.37%5.39%4.24%3.31%2.41%1.54%1.15%0.65%0.23%
Coventry City0.01%0.10%0.55%1.19%2.19%3.94%5.37%7.58%8.73%8.90%9.35%8.82%8.44%7.77%6.72%5.41%4.89%3.41%2.98%2.03%1.32%0.30%
Tottenham——0.09%0.15%0.37%0.72%1.55%2.00%3.11%4.34%4.66%6.14%7.77%7.96%8.52%9.30%9.61%9.10%8.60%7.52%5.17%3.32%
Middlesbrough—0.07%0.36%0.86%1.60%3.26%5.06%5.80%7.72%8.34%9.00%9.23%8.34%8.13%7.56%6.85%5.63%4.19%3.03%2.62%1.68%0.67%
Bristol City—0.09%0.32%0.78%1.77%2.86%4.36%6.02%7.04%8.25%9.05%8.80%8.71%8.50%7.83%6.51%5.52%4.70%3.65%2.77%1.76%0.71%
Southampton0.01%0.06%0.24%0.54%1.19%2.00%3.21%4.60%6.11%7.00%8.31%8.33%9.07%8.60%7.97%7.32%7.32%5.82%4.90%3.83%2.42%1.15%
Manchester City0.27%1.43%3.57%6.49%9.64%12.25%13.25%12.34%10.09%8.00%6.18%4.80%3.71%2.54%1.93%1.44%0.83%0.53%0.41%0.19%0.08%0.03%
Norwich City—0.01%0.18%0.30%0.73%1.41%2.31%3.68%4.70%6.07%7.08%7.80%8.26%8.39%8.46%8.68%8.05%7.41%6.16%5.02%3.42%1.88%
Bolton Wanderers——0.03%0.07%0.23%0.46%1.02%1.43%2.54%3.21%4.14%4.94%6.52%7.64%7.97%8.45%9.25%10.14%9.97%9.87%7.82%4.30%
Wolverhampton—0.01%0.01%—0.05%0.12%0.16%0.46%0.49%1.09%1.48%2.04%2.79%4.01%4.97%6.69%8.29%9.88%12.08%14.72%17.18%13.48%
Derby County——0.04%0.04%0.11%0.42%0.95%1.27%1.89%3.26%3.52%4.28%5.52%6.35%7.81%8.46%9.76%10.47%10.63%10.27%9.12%5.83%
Queens Park Rangers—0.01%—0.06%0.07%0.23%0.66%1.05%1.55%1.96%2.85%3.69%4.47%5.71%6.78%8.25%9.08%10.72%12.28%11.55%12.01%7.02%
Birmingham City———0.03%0.03%0.18%0.19%0.46%0.88%1.42%2.05%2.68%3.17%4.18%5.20%6.87%8.22%9.90%12.13%14.59%15.66%12.16%
Chelsea—————0.01%0.03%0.04%0.06%0.08%0.22%0.47%0.58%0.98%1.57%2.04%3.24%4.59%7.13%10.95%19.84%48.17%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.65%
Clear Edge
45.24%31.17%23.59%
Elo Value
Home Edge
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
076.41600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
68%
Liverpool, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.86 * Some Luck: 3.86 to 5.79 * Lucky: 5.79 to 7.72 * Wild Swing: 7.72 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.17 * Close: 2.17 to 3.26 * Off: 3.26 to 4.34 * Way Off: 4.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.33 * A Surprise: 1.33 to 2.13 * Several Surprises: 2.13 to 2.93 * Many Surprises: 2.93 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.39 points
Some Luck
04.8212
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.73
Pinpoint
02.726
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
98.16%
Ipswich Town
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
1.19%
Birmingham City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.33

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.84
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.27
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.0790.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Everton 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Nottingham Forest 100% —
West Brom 100% —
Arsenal 99.99% 0.01%
Aston Villa 99.84% 0.16%
Manchester City 99.70% 0.30%
Leeds United 99.63% 0.37%
Manchester United 97.97% 2.03%
Coventry City 96.35% 3.65%
Middlesbrough 95.03% 4.97%
Ipswich Town 95.00% 5.00%
Bristol City 94.76% 5.24%
Southampton 92.60% 7.40%
Norwich City 89.68% 10.32%
Tottenham 83.99% 16.01%
Bolton Wanderers 78.01% 21.99%
Derby County 74.78% 25.22%
Queens Park Rangers 69.42% 30.58%
Birmingham City 57.59% 42.41%
Wolverhampton 54.62% 45.38%
Chelsea 21.04% 78.96%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1978-08-19 Leeds United D 2-2 1864 1803 54.15% 31.66% 14.19% -1.8 1
1978-08-19 @ Arsenal D 2-2 1803 1864 14.19% 31.66% 54.15% +1.8 1
1978-08-19 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1851 1770 55.96% 31.23% 12.81% +4.9 2
1978-08-19 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1770 1851 12.81% 31.23% 55.96% -4.9 0
1978-08-19 Bristol City L 1-2 1772 1777 47.55% 32.66% 19.78% -12.5 0
1978-08-19 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1777 1772 19.78% 32.66% 47.55% +12.5 2
1978-08-19 Everton L 0-1 1752 1879 32.11% 32.87% 35.01% -9.8 0
1978-08-19 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1879 1752 35.01% 32.87% 32.11% +9.9 2
1978-08-19 Manchester City D 1-1 1789 1866 38.88% 33.05% 28.07% -0.6 1
1978-08-19 @ Derby County D 1-1 1866 1789 28.07% 33.05% 38.88% +0.6 1
1978-08-19 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1924 1763 62.16% 29.13% 8.71% +3.2 2
1978-08-19 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1763 1924 8.71% 29.13% 62.16% -3.2 0
1978-08-19 Birmingham City W 1-0 1823 1802 50.31% 32.34% 17.35% +6.3 2
1978-08-19 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1802 1823 17.35% 32.34% 50.31% -6.3 0
1978-08-19 Coventry City L 1-2 1773 1828 41.62% 33.02% 25.37% -11.2 0
1978-08-19 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1828 1773 25.37% 33.02% 41.62% +11.2 2
1978-08-19 Southampton W 3-1 1750 1774 45.41% 32.84% 21.75% +12.3 2
1978-08-19 @ Norwich City L 1-3 1774 1750 21.75% 32.84% 45.41% -12.3 0
1978-08-19 Tottenham D 1-1 1941 1777 62.40% 29.03% 8.57% -3.5 1
1978-08-19 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1777 1941 8.57% 29.03% 62.40% +3.5 1
1978-08-19 Ipswich Town W 2-1 1828 1754 55.28% 31.40% 13.32% +4.8 2
1978-08-19 @ West Brom L 1-2 1754 1828 13.32% 31.40% 55.28% -4.8 0
1978-08-22 Middlesbrough L 1-3 1796 1762 51.66% 32.13% 16.21% -23.3 0
1978-08-22 @ Birmingham City W 3-1 1762 1796 16.21% 32.13% 51.66% +23.3 2
1978-08-22 Norwich City D 1-1 1790 1762 51.00% 32.24% 16.76% -2.1 3
1978-08-22 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1762 1790 16.76% 32.24% 51.00% +2.1 3
1978-08-22 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1840 1937 36.05% 33.02% 30.93% -0.3 3
1978-08-22 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1937 1840 30.93% 33.02% 36.05% +0.3 2
1978-08-22 Derby County W 2-1 1888 1788 57.53% 30.80% 11.68% +4.3 4
1978-08-22 @ Everton L 1-2 1788 1888 11.68% 30.80% 57.53% -4.3 1
1978-08-22 Liverpool L 0-3 1750 1927 25.62% 32.32% 42.06% -23.0 0
1978-08-22 @ Ipswich Town W 3-0 1927 1750 42.06% 32.32% 25.62% +23.0 4
1978-08-22 Arsenal D 1-1 1866 1863 48.52% 32.56% 18.92% -1.7 2
1978-08-22 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1863 1866 18.92% 32.56% 48.52% +1.7 2
1978-08-22 West Brom L 0-1 1759 1833 39.35% 33.05% 27.60% -11.4 0
1978-08-22 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1833 1759 27.60% 33.05% 39.35% +11.4 4
1978-08-22 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1761 1759 48.32% 32.58% 19.09% -1.3 1
1978-08-22 @ Southampton D 2-2 1759 1761 19.09% 32.58% 48.32% +1.3 1
1978-08-22 Chelsea L 0-1 1765 1742 50.43% 32.32% 17.25% -14.0 0
1978-08-22 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1742 1765 17.25% 32.32% 50.43% +14.0 2
1978-08-23 Manchester United L 2-3 1805 1830 45.39% 32.84% 21.77% -11.4 1
1978-08-23 @ Leeds United W 3-2 1830 1805 21.77% 32.84% 45.39% +11.4 4
1978-08-23 Aston Villa L 1-4 1780 1856 39.06% 33.05% 27.89% -26.2 1
1978-08-23 @ Tottenham W 4-1 1856 1780 27.89% 33.05% 39.06% +26.2 4
1978-08-26 Derby County D 1-1 1773 1784 46.86% 32.73% 20.41% -1.5 1
1978-08-26 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1784 1773 20.41% 32.73% 46.86% +1.5 2
1978-08-26 Aston Villa W 1-0 1788 1882 36.54% 33.03% 30.43% +9.5 5
1978-08-26 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1882 1788 30.43% 33.03% 36.54% -9.5 4
1978-08-26 Norwich City W 4-1 1839 1764 55.44% 31.36% 13.20% +11.7 5
1978-08-26 @ Coventry City L 1-4 1764 1839 13.20% 31.36% 55.44% -11.7 3
1978-08-26 Arsenal W 1-0 1893 1864 51.06% 32.23% 16.71% +6.2 6
1978-08-26 @ Everton L 0-1 1864 1893 16.71% 32.23% 51.06% -6.2 2
1978-08-26 Manchester United W 3-0 1727 1841 33.76% 32.95% 33.29% +27.7 2
1978-08-26 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1841 1727 33.29% 32.95% 33.76% -27.7 4
1978-08-26 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1794 1751 52.51% 31.98% 15.50% +15.9 3
1978-08-26 @ Leeds United L 0-3 1751 1794 15.50% 31.98% 52.51% -15.9 0
1978-08-26 Liverpool L 1-4 1865 1950 37.78% 33.05% 29.17% -25.5 2
1978-08-26 @ Manchester City W 4-1 1950 1865 29.17% 33.05% 37.78% +25.5 6
1978-08-26 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1748 1938 24.20% 32.12% 43.68% +1.2 1
1978-08-26 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1938 1748 43.68% 32.12% 24.20% -1.2 3
1978-08-26 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1760 1785 45.34% 32.85% 21.81% +7.1 3
1978-08-26 @ Southampton L 1-2 1785 1760 21.81% 32.85% 45.34% -7.1 2
1978-08-26 Chelsea D 2-2 1754 1756 47.86% 32.63% 19.51% -1.2 2
1978-08-26 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1756 1754 19.51% 32.63% 47.86% +1.2 3
1978-08-26 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 1844 1761 56.14% 31.18% 12.68% +17.5 6
1978-08-26 @ West Brom L 0-4 1761 1844 12.68% 31.18% 56.14% -17.5 1
1978-09-02 Queens Park Rangers W 5-1 1858 1749 58.23% 30.58% 11.18% +13.0 4
1978-09-02 @ Arsenal L 1-5 1749 1858 11.18% 30.58% 58.23% -13.0 1
1978-09-02 Southampton D 1-1 1872 1767 57.94% 30.67% 11.39% -3.0 5
1978-09-02 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1767 1872 11.39% 30.67% 57.94% +3.0 4
1978-09-02 Birmingham City D 2-2 1743 1771 44.98% 32.87% 22.15% -1.0 2
1978-09-02 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1771 1743 22.15% 32.87% 44.98% +1.0 2
1978-09-02 Leeds United L 0-3 1758 1810 42.05% 33.00% 24.94% -32.9 3
1978-09-02 @ Chelsea W 3-0 1810 1758 24.94% 33.00% 42.05% +32.9 5
1978-09-02 Coventry City L 0-2 1786 1851 40.37% 33.04% 26.59% -21.9 2
1978-09-02 @ Derby County W 2-0 1851 1786 26.59% 33.04% 40.37% +21.9 7
1978-09-02 Tottenham W 7-0 1975 1753 66.33% 27.13% 6.55% +15.4 8
1978-09-02 @ Liverpool L 0-7 1753 1975 6.55% 27.13% 66.33% -15.3 2
1978-09-02 Everton D 1-1 1813 1899 37.74% 33.05% 29.21% -0.5 5
1978-09-02 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1899 1813 29.21% 33.05% 37.74% +0.5 7
1978-09-02 Ipswich Town D 0-0 1778 1754 50.56% 32.30% 17.14% -2.2 3
1978-09-02 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1754 1778 17.14% 32.30% 50.56% +2.2 3
1978-09-02 Manchester City D 1-1 1752 1839 37.55% 33.05% 29.40% -0.4 4
1978-09-02 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1839 1752 29.40% 33.05% 37.55% +0.4 3
1978-09-02 West Brom D 0-0 1937 1862 55.40% 31.37% 13.23% -2.9 4
1978-09-02 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1862 1937 13.23% 31.37% 55.40% +2.9 7
1978-09-02 Bristol City W 2-0 1735 1797 40.75% 33.04% 26.21% +16.2 2
1978-09-02 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1797 1735 26.21% 33.04% 40.75% -16.2 5
1978-09-09 Liverpool L 0-3 1772 1991 21.16% 31.60% 47.24% -19.8 2
1978-09-09 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 1991 1772 47.24% 31.60% 21.16% +19.8 10
1978-09-09 Derby County W 2-1 1742 1764 45.73% 32.82% 21.45% +7.0 4
1978-09-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1764 1742 21.45% 32.82% 45.73% -7.0 2
1978-09-09 Chelsea W 3-2 1873 1725 61.24% 29.51% 9.25% +3.3 9
1978-09-09 @ Coventry City L 2-3 1725 1873 9.25% 29.51% 61.24% -3.3 3
1978-09-09 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1899 1776 59.41% 30.19% 10.40% +7.7 9
1978-09-09 @ Everton L 0-2 1776 1899 10.40% 30.19% 59.41% -7.7 3
1978-09-09 Aston Villa L 0-2 1757 1869 33.97% 32.96% 33.07% -19.3 3
1978-09-09 @ Ipswich Town W 2-0 1869 1757 33.07% 32.96% 33.97% +19.3 7
1978-09-09 Leeds United W 3-0 1840 1843 47.77% 32.64% 19.58% +19.1 5
1978-09-09 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1843 1840 19.58% 32.64% 47.77% -19.1 5
1978-09-09 Arsenal W 2-1 1934 1871 54.30% 31.63% 14.08% +5.0 6
1978-09-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1871 1934 14.08% 31.63% 54.30% -5.1 4
1978-09-09 Manchester United D 1-1 1736 1813 38.91% 33.05% 28.03% -0.6 2
1978-09-09 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1813 1736 28.03% 33.05% 38.91% +0.6 6
1978-09-09 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1770 1751 50.14% 32.36% 17.50% +5.7 6
1978-09-09 @ Southampton L 2-3 1751 1770 17.50% 32.36% 50.14% -5.7 2
1978-09-09 Bristol City W 1-0 1738 1781 43.12% 32.97% 23.91% +8.1 4
1978-09-09 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1781 1738 23.91% 32.97% 43.12% -8.1 5
1978-09-09 Norwich City D 2-2 1865 1752 58.55% 30.48% 10.97% -2.3 8
1978-09-09 @ West Brom D 2-2 1752 1865 10.97% 30.48% 58.55% +2.3 5
1978-09-16 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1866 1749 58.87% 30.38% 10.76% +4.2 6
1978-09-16 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1749 1866 10.76% 30.38% 58.87% -4.2 4
1978-09-16 Everton D 1-1 1889 1907 46.09% 32.79% 21.12% -1.4 8
1978-09-16 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1907 1889 21.12% 32.79% 46.09% +1.4 10
1978-09-16 Southampton W 3-1 1773 1776 47.78% 32.64% 19.58% +11.4 7
1978-09-16 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1776 1773 19.58% 32.64% 47.78% -11.4 6
1978-09-16 Manchester City L 1-4 1722 1859 30.65% 32.79% 36.57% -22.0 3
1978-09-16 @ Chelsea W 4-1 1859 1722 36.57% 32.79% 30.65% +22.0 7
1978-09-16 West Brom W 3-2 1757 1862 34.97% 32.99% 32.03% +8.8 4
1978-09-16 @ Derby County L 2-3 1862 1757 32.03% 32.99% 34.97% -8.8 8
1978-09-16 Tottenham L 1-2 1824 1746 55.67% 31.30% 13.03% -14.4 5
1978-09-16 @ Leeds United W 2-1 1746 1824 13.03% 31.30% 55.67% +14.4 6
1978-09-16 Coventry City W 1-0 2010 1876 60.22% 29.90% 9.88% +3.9 12
1978-09-16 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1876 2010 9.88% 29.90% 60.22% -3.9 9
1978-09-16 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1814 1939 32.26% 32.88% 34.86% +0.1 7
1978-09-16 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1939 1814 34.86% 32.88% 32.26% -0.1 7
1978-09-16 Queens Park Rangers L 0-2 1768 1736 51.43% 32.17% 16.40% -26.8 3
1978-09-16 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1736 1768 16.40% 32.17% 51.43% +26.8 4
1978-09-16 Birmingham City W 4-0 1754 1752 48.31% 32.59% 19.11% +24.5 7
1978-09-16 @ Norwich City L 0-4 1752 1754 19.11% 32.59% 48.31% -24.5 2
1978-09-16 Ipswich Town L 1-3 1745 1737 48.96% 32.51% 18.52% -22.3 2
1978-09-16 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1737 1745 18.52% 32.51% 48.96% +22.3 5
1978-09-23 Manchester United D 1-1 1870 1814 53.77% 31.74% 14.49% -2.4 7
1978-09-23 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1814 1870 14.49% 31.74% 53.77% +2.4 8
1978-09-23 Chelsea D 1-1 1728 1700 51.05% 32.23% 16.72% -2.1 3
1978-09-23 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1700 1728 16.72% 32.23% 51.05% +2.1 4
1978-09-23 Norwich City W 3-2 1745 1778 44.33% 32.91% 22.77% +7.0 6
1978-09-23 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-3 1778 1745 22.77% 32.91% 44.33% -7.0 7
1978-09-23 Leeds United D 0-0 1872 1809 54.35% 31.61% 14.03% -2.8 10
1978-09-23 @ Coventry City D 0-0 1809 1872 14.03% 31.61% 54.35% +2.8 6
1978-09-23 Southampton W 2-1 1765 1765 48.20% 32.60% 19.20% +6.5 6
1978-09-23 @ Derby County L 1-2 1765 1765 19.20% 32.60% 48.20% -6.5 6
1978-09-23 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1908 1723 63.88% 28.36% 7.76% +5.7 12
1978-09-23 @ Everton L 0-2 1723 1908 7.76% 28.36% 63.88% -5.7 2
1978-09-23 Bristol City L 0-1 1760 1784 45.34% 32.85% 21.81% -12.8 5
1978-09-23 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1784 1760 21.81% 32.85% 45.34% +12.8 9
1978-09-23 Tottenham W 2-0 1881 1760 59.17% 30.27% 10.56% +7.8 9
1978-09-23 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1760 1881 10.56% 30.27% 59.17% -7.8 6
1978-09-23 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1939 1741 64.69% 27.97% 7.34% -2.8 8
1978-09-23 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1741 1939 7.34% 27.97% 64.69% +2.8 4
1978-09-23 Aston Villa W 1-0 1763 1887 32.31% 32.88% 34.81% +10.4 6
1978-09-23 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1887 1763 34.81% 32.88% 32.31% -10.4 8
1978-09-23 Liverpool D 1-1 1854 2014 27.59% 32.53% 39.87% +0.7 9
1978-09-23 @ West Brom D 1-1 2014 1854 39.87% 32.53% 27.59% -0.7 13
1978-09-30 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1877 1936 41.21% 33.03% 25.76% -11.1 8
1978-09-30 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1936 1877 25.76% 33.03% 41.21% +11.1 10
1978-09-30 Everton D 2-2 1797 1914 33.38% 32.93% 33.69% +0.0 10
1978-09-30 @ Bristol City D 2-2 1914 1797 33.69% 32.93% 33.38% -0.0 13
1978-09-30 West Brom L 1-3 1702 1854 28.62% 32.63% 38.75% -14.8 4
1978-09-30 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1854 1702 38.75% 32.63% 28.62% +14.8 11
1978-09-30 Birmingham City W 3-0 1812 1726 56.37% 31.12% 12.50% +13.2 8
1978-09-30 @ Leeds United L 0-3 1726 1812 12.50% 31.12% 56.37% -13.2 3
1978-09-30 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 2014 1752 68.78% 25.73% 5.49% +5.7 15
1978-09-30 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1752 2014 5.49% 25.73% 68.78% -5.7 6
1978-09-30 Manchester City W 1-0 1816 1888 39.47% 33.05% 27.48% +8.9 10
1978-09-30 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1888 1816 27.48% 33.05% 39.47% -8.9 9
1978-09-30 Arsenal L 2-3 1744 1868 32.40% 32.89% 34.71% -8.9 4
1978-09-30 @ Middlesbrough W 3-2 1868 1744 34.71% 32.89% 32.40% +8.9 9
1978-09-30 Derby County W 3-0 1772 1772 48.07% 32.61% 19.32% +18.9 9
1978-09-30 @ Norwich City L 0-3 1772 1772 19.32% 32.61% 48.07% -18.9 6
1978-09-30 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1758 1747 49.32% 32.47% 18.21% -12.9 6
1978-09-30 @ Southampton W 2-1 1747 1758 18.21% 32.47% 49.32% +12.9 7
1978-09-30 Coventry City D 1-1 1752 1869 33.36% 32.93% 33.71% +0.0 7
1978-09-30 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1869 1752 33.71% 32.93% 33.36% -0.0 11
1978-09-30 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1717 1773 41.60% 33.02% 25.39% +8.4 4
1978-09-30 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1773 1717 25.39% 33.02% 41.60% -8.4 6
1978-10-07 Aston Villa D 1-1 1877 1866 49.28% 32.47% 18.25% -1.8 10
1978-10-07 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1866 1877 18.25% 32.47% 49.28% +1.8 9
1978-10-07 Manchester City L 1-2 1712 1880 26.83% 32.46% 40.72% -8.2 3
1978-10-07 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1880 1712 40.72% 32.46% 26.83% +8.2 11
1978-10-07 Leeds United W 3-1 1746 1825 38.63% 33.05% 28.31% +14.8 8
1978-10-07 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1825 1746 28.31% 33.05% 38.63% -14.8 8
1978-10-07 Ipswich Town D 2-2 1869 1760 58.31% 30.56% 11.13% -2.2 12
1978-10-07 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1760 1869 11.13% 30.56% 58.31% +2.2 8
1978-10-07 Chelsea W 1-0 1753 1687 54.64% 31.55% 13.81% +5.3 8
1978-10-07 @ Derby County L 0-1 1687 1753 13.81% 31.55% 54.64% -5.3 4
1978-10-07 Southampton D 0-0 1914 1745 62.74% 28.88% 8.38% -4.0 14
1978-10-07 @ Everton D 0-0 1745 1914 8.38% 28.88% 62.74% +4.0 7
1978-10-07 Middlesbrough W 3-2 1825 1735 56.70% 31.03% 12.27% +4.2 12
1978-10-07 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1735 1825 12.27% 31.03% 56.70% -4.2 4
1978-10-07 Liverpool L 1-4 1790 2019 20.15% 31.39% 48.46% -16.1 9
1978-10-07 @ Norwich City W 4-1 2019 1790 48.46% 31.39% 20.15% +16.1 17
1978-10-07 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1947 1726 66.25% 27.17% 6.58% +4.2 12
1978-10-07 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1726 1947 6.58% 27.17% 66.25% -4.2 4
1978-10-07 Bristol City W 1-0 1765 1797 44.44% 32.90% 22.66% +7.8 8
1978-10-07 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-1 1797 1765 22.66% 32.90% 44.44% -7.8 10
1978-10-07 Tottenham L 0-1 1869 1752 58.87% 30.37% 10.75% -16.1 11
1978-10-07 @ West Brom W 1-0 1752 1869 10.75% 30.37% 58.87% +16.1 9
1978-10-14 Manchester United D 2-2 1868 1829 52.05% 32.07% 15.89% -1.6 10
1978-10-14 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1829 1868 15.89% 32.07% 52.05% +1.6 13
1978-10-14 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1789 1951 27.47% 32.52% 40.00% -14.4 10
1978-10-14 @ Bristol City W 3-1 1951 1789 40.00% 32.52% 27.47% +14.4 14
1978-10-14 Bolton Wanderers W 4-3 1681 1761 38.50% 33.05% 28.45% +7.9 6
1978-10-14 @ Chelsea L 3-4 1761 1681 28.45% 33.05% 38.50% -7.9 8
1978-10-14 Everton L 0-1 1762 1910 29.18% 32.68% 38.14% -9.2 8
1978-10-14 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1910 1762 38.14% 32.68% 29.18% +9.2 16
1978-10-14 West Brom L 1-3 1810 1853 43.22% 32.96% 23.82% -20.0 8
1978-10-14 @ Leeds United W 3-1 1853 1810 23.82% 32.96% 43.22% +20.0 13
1978-10-14 Derby County W 5-0 2035 1758 69.72% 25.16% 5.13% +8.4 19
1978-10-14 @ Liverpool L 0-5 1758 2035 5.13% 25.16% 69.72% -8.4 8
1978-10-14 Coventry City W 2-0 1888 1867 50.27% 32.34% 17.39% +12.0 13
1978-10-14 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1867 1888 17.39% 32.34% 50.27% -12.0 12
1978-10-14 Norwich City W 2-0 1731 1774 43.09% 32.97% 23.94% +15.2 6
1978-10-14 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1774 1731 23.94% 32.97% 43.09% -15.2 9
1978-10-14 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1749 1772 45.52% 32.83% 21.65% -1.4 8
1978-10-14 @ Southampton D 1-1 1772 1749 21.65% 32.83% 45.52% +1.4 9
1978-10-14 Birmingham City W 1-0 1768 1704 54.43% 31.60% 13.97% +5.3 11
1978-10-14 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1704 1768 13.97% 31.60% 54.43% -5.3 3
1978-10-14 Arsenal W 1-0 1721 1875 28.51% 32.62% 38.87% +11.2 6
1978-10-14 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1875 1721 38.87% 32.62% 28.51% -11.2 10
1978-10-21 Southampton W 1-0 1864 1748 58.80% 30.40% 10.80% +4.2 12
1978-10-21 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1748 1864 10.80% 30.40% 58.80% -4.2 8
1978-10-21 Aston Villa L 0-1 1699 1866 26.83% 32.46% 40.71% -8.7 3
1978-10-21 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1866 1699 40.71% 32.46% 26.83% +8.7 12
1978-10-21 Manchester City D 2-2 1753 1900 29.41% 32.70% 37.89% +0.3 9
1978-10-21 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1900 1753 37.89% 32.70% 29.41% -0.3 14
1978-10-21 Tottenham D 2-2 1750 1774 45.45% 32.84% 21.71% -1.0 9
1978-10-21 @ Derby County D 2-2 1774 1750 21.71% 32.84% 45.45% +1.0 12
1978-10-21 Chelsea W 2-0 2044 1689 74.13% 22.23% 3.64% +2.4 21
1978-10-21 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1689 2044 3.64% 22.23% 74.13% -2.4 6
1978-10-21 Bristol City L 1-3 1831 1775 53.70% 31.75% 14.54% -24.2 13
1978-10-21 @ Manchester United W 3-1 1775 1831 14.54% 31.75% 53.70% +24.2 12
1978-10-21 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1746 1733 49.51% 32.44% 18.05% +12.3 8
1978-10-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1733 1746 18.05% 32.44% 49.51% -12.3 6
1978-10-21 Leeds United D 2-2 1759 1790 44.59% 32.89% 22.52% -0.9 10
1978-10-21 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1790 1759 22.52% 32.89% 44.59% +0.9 9
1978-10-21 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1965 1753 65.70% 27.46% 6.84% +2.7 16
1978-10-21 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1753 1965 6.84% 27.46% 65.70% -2.7 8
1978-10-21 Everton D 1-1 1774 1919 29.51% 32.70% 37.79% +0.4 10
1978-10-21 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1919 1774 37.79% 32.70% 29.51% -0.5 17
1978-10-21 Coventry City W 7-1 1873 1855 49.99% 32.38% 17.63% +27.8 15
1978-10-21 @ West Brom L 1-7 1855 1873 17.63% 32.38% 49.99% -27.8 12
1978-10-27 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1875 1758 58.84% 30.38% 10.77% -30.3 12
1978-10-27 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1758 1875 10.77% 30.38% 58.84% +30.3 10
1978-10-28 Arsenal L 1-3 1799 1868 39.92% 33.05% 27.03% -18.8 12
1978-10-28 @ Bristol City W 3-1 1868 1799 27.03% 33.05% 39.92% +18.8 14
1978-10-28 Norwich City D 3-3 1687 1758 39.63% 33.05% 27.32% -0.4 7
1978-10-28 @ Chelsea D 3-3 1758 1687 27.32% 33.05% 39.63% +0.4 11
1978-10-28 Birmingham City W 2-1 1827 1690 60.43% 29.82% 9.75% +3.6 14
1978-10-28 @ Coventry City L 1-2 1690 1827 9.75% 29.82% 60.43% -3.6 3
1978-10-28 Liverpool W 1-0 1919 2046 31.96% 32.87% 35.17% +10.5 19
1978-10-28 @ Everton L 0-1 2046 1919 35.17% 32.87% 31.96% -10.5 21
1978-10-28 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1750 1774 45.42% 32.84% 21.74% +7.1 10
1978-10-28 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1774 1750 21.74% 32.84% 45.42% -7.1 10
1978-10-28 Derby County W 4-0 1791 1749 52.43% 32.00% 15.57% +20.8 11
1978-10-28 @ Leeds United L 0-4 1749 1791 15.57% 32.00% 52.43% -20.8 9
1978-10-28 West Brom D 2-2 1899 1901 47.96% 32.62% 19.42% -1.2 15
1978-10-28 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1901 1899 19.42% 32.62% 47.96% +1.2 16
1978-10-28 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1744 1968 20.57% 31.48% 47.95% +1.8 9
1978-10-28 @ Southampton D 0-0 1968 1744 47.95% 31.48% 20.57% -1.8 17
1978-10-28 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1775 1754 50.32% 32.34% 17.35% +12.0 14
1978-10-28 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1754 1775 17.35% 32.34% 50.32% -12.0 9
1978-10-28 Manchester United L 2-4 1720 1807 37.63% 33.05% 29.32% -16.1 6
1978-10-28 @ Wolverhampton W 4-2 1807 1720 29.32% 33.05% 37.63% +16.1 15
1978-11-04 Ipswich Town W 4-1 1887 1757 59.86% 30.03% 10.11% +9.2 16
1978-11-04 @ Arsenal L 1-4 1757 1887 10.11% 30.03% 59.86% -9.2 10
1978-11-04 Manchester City D 1-1 1844 1898 41.84% 33.01% 25.15% -0.9 13
1978-11-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1898 1844 25.15% 33.01% 41.84% +0.9 16
1978-11-04 Coventry City D 0-0 1742 1831 37.21% 33.04% 29.75% -0.5 10
1978-11-04 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1831 1742 29.75% 33.04% 37.21% +0.5 15
1978-11-04 Wolverhampton W 4-1 1728 1704 50.59% 32.30% 17.11% +14.5 11
1978-11-04 @ Derby County L 1-4 1704 1728 17.11% 32.30% 50.59% -14.5 6
1978-11-04 Leeds United D 1-1 2036 1812 66.41% 27.08% 6.51% -4.0 22
1978-11-04 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1812 2036 6.51% 27.08% 66.41% +4.0 12
1978-11-04 Southampton D 1-1 1823 1745 55.62% 31.32% 13.06% -2.7 16
1978-11-04 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1745 1823 13.06% 31.32% 55.62% +2.7 10
1978-11-04 Bristol City D 0-0 1789 1780 49.00% 32.51% 18.49% -2.0 11
1978-11-04 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1780 1789 18.49% 32.51% 49.00% +2.0 13
1978-11-04 Tottenham D 2-2 1759 1787 44.96% 32.87% 22.17% -1.0 12
1978-11-04 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1787 1759 22.17% 32.87% 44.96% +1.0 15
1978-11-04 Everton D 0-0 1966 1929 51.90% 32.09% 16.01% -2.4 18
1978-11-04 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1929 1966 16.01% 32.09% 51.90% +2.4 20
1978-11-04 Chelsea D 0-0 1767 1687 55.88% 31.25% 12.87% -3.0 11
1978-11-04 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1687 1767 12.87% 31.25% 55.88% +3.0 8
1978-11-04 Birmingham City W 1-0 1902 1687 65.86% 27.37% 6.77% +2.6 18
1978-11-04 @ West Brom L 0-1 1687 1902 6.77% 27.37% 65.86% -2.6 3
1978-11-11 Manchester United W 5-1 1684 1820 30.79% 32.80% 36.42% +32.0 5
1978-11-11 @ Birmingham City L 1-5 1820 1684 36.42% 32.80% 30.79% -32.0 16
1978-11-11 Bolton Wanderers W 4-1 1782 1741 52.30% 32.02% 15.68% +13.5 15
1978-11-11 @ Bristol City L 1-4 1741 1782 15.68% 32.02% 52.30% -13.5 10
1978-11-11 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1832 1787 52.68% 31.95% 15.37% +5.4 17
1978-11-11 @ Coventry City L 1-2 1787 1832 15.37% 31.95% 52.68% -5.4 11
1978-11-11 Chelsea W 3-2 1932 1690 67.58% 26.43% 5.99% +2.1 22
1978-11-11 @ Everton L 2-3 1690 1932 5.99% 26.43% 67.58% -2.0 8
1978-11-11 West Brom L 0-1 1748 1905 28.11% 32.58% 39.30% -9.0 10
1978-11-11 @ Ipswich Town W 1-0 1905 1748 39.30% 32.58% 28.11% +9.0 20
1978-11-11 Arsenal L 0-1 1816 1896 38.48% 33.05% 28.47% -11.2 12
1978-11-11 @ Leeds United W 1-0 1896 1816 28.47% 33.05% 38.48% +11.2 18
1978-11-11 Derby County L 1-2 1899 1742 61.85% 29.26% 8.89% -15.8 16
1978-11-11 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1742 1899 8.89% 29.26% 61.85% +15.8 13
1978-11-11 Liverpool L 1-3 1764 2032 16.79% 30.47% 52.74% -9.8 11
1978-11-11 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 2032 1764 52.74% 30.47% 16.79% +9.8 24
1978-11-11 Norwich City D 2-2 1748 1758 47.05% 32.71% 20.24% -1.2 11
1978-11-11 @ Southampton D 2-2 1758 1748 20.24% 32.71% 47.05% +1.2 13
1978-11-11 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1788 1964 25.72% 32.33% 41.95% -13.7 15
1978-11-11 @ Tottenham W 3-1 1964 1788 41.95% 32.33% 25.72% +13.7 20
1978-11-11 Aston Villa L 0-4 1690 1843 28.49% 32.62% 38.89% -32.4 6
1978-11-11 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 1843 1690 38.89% 32.62% 28.49% +32.4 15
1978-11-18 Everton D 2-2 1907 1934 45.10% 32.86% 22.04% -1.0 19
1978-11-18 @ Arsenal D 2-2 1934 1907 22.04% 32.86% 45.10% +1.0 23
1978-11-18 Bristol City W 2-0 1876 1796 55.85% 31.26% 12.89% +9.4 17
1978-11-18 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1796 1876 12.89% 31.26% 55.85% -9.4 15
1978-11-18 West Brom L 0-1 1728 1914 24.62% 32.18% 43.19% -8.1 10
1978-11-18 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1914 1728 43.19% 32.18% 24.62% +8.1 22
1978-11-18 Tottenham L 1-3 1688 1774 37.63% 33.05% 29.32% -18.0 8
1978-11-18 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1774 1688 29.32% 33.05% 37.63% +18.0 17
1978-11-18 Birmingham City W 2-1 1758 1716 52.42% 32.00% 15.58% +5.5 15
1978-11-18 @ Derby County L 1-2 1716 1758 15.58% 32.00% 52.42% -5.5 5
1978-11-18 Manchester City W 1-0 2042 1883 61.99% 29.21% 8.81% +3.5 26
1978-11-18 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1883 2042 8.81% 29.21% 61.99% -3.5 16
1978-11-18 Ipswich Town W 2-0 1788 1739 53.06% 31.88% 15.06% +10.7 18
1978-11-18 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1739 1788 15.06% 31.88% 53.06% -10.7 10
1978-11-18 Southampton W 2-0 1781 1747 51.65% 32.13% 16.22% +11.3 13
1978-11-18 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1747 1781 16.22% 32.13% 51.65% -11.3 11
1978-11-18 Coventry City W 1-0 1759 1837 38.71% 33.05% 28.24% +9.0 15
1978-11-18 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1837 1759 28.24% 33.05% 38.71% -9.0 17
1978-11-18 Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1978 1754 66.38% 27.09% 6.52% -4.4 21
1978-11-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1754 1978 6.52% 27.09% 66.38% +4.4 12
1978-11-18 Leeds United D 1-1 1657 1805 29.29% 32.69% 38.03% +0.5 7
1978-11-18 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1805 1657 38.03% 32.69% 29.29% -0.5 13
1978-11-21 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1711 1720 47.13% 32.70% 20.16% +19.5 7
1978-11-21 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1720 1711 20.16% 32.70% 47.13% -19.5 10
1978-11-21 Wolverhampton L 0-1 1786 1658 59.78% 30.06% 10.16% -16.3 15
1978-11-21 @ Bristol City W 1-0 1658 1786 10.16% 30.06% 59.78% +16.3 9
1978-11-21 Derby County W 4-2 1828 1764 54.44% 31.59% 13.97% +7.8 19
1978-11-21 @ Coventry City L 2-4 1764 1828 13.97% 31.59% 54.44% -7.8 15
1978-11-21 Manchester United W 3-0 1935 1799 60.35% 29.85% 9.80% +10.5 25
1978-11-21 @ Everton L 0-3 1799 1935 9.80% 29.85% 60.35% -10.5 18
1978-11-21 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1728 1792 40.54% 33.04% 26.43% +8.2 12
1978-11-21 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1792 1728 26.43% 33.04% 40.54% -8.2 13
1978-11-21 Aston Villa W 2-0 1735 1885 28.99% 32.66% 38.35% +21.0 13
1978-11-21 @ Southampton L 0-2 1885 1735 38.35% 32.66% 28.99% -21.0 17
1978-11-22 Chelsea W 2-1 1804 1670 60.25% 29.89% 9.86% +3.7 15
1978-11-22 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1670 1804 9.86% 29.89% 60.25% -3.7 8
1978-11-22 Liverpool D 0-0 1792 2045 17.98% 30.83% 51.19% +2.2 18
1978-11-22 @ Tottenham D 0-0 2045 1792 51.19% 30.83% 17.98% -2.2 27
1978-11-25 Bristol City D 1-1 1730 1770 43.54% 32.95% 23.51% -1.1 8
1978-11-25 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1770 1730 23.51% 32.95% 43.54% +1.1 16
1978-11-25 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1700 1973 16.37% 30.33% 53.30% -5.8 10
1978-11-25 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1973 1700 53.30% 30.33% 16.37% +5.8 23
1978-11-25 Manchester United L 0-1 1666 1788 32.65% 32.90% 34.45% -10.0 8
1978-11-25 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1788 1666 34.45% 32.90% 32.65% +10.0 20
1978-11-25 Arsenal D 1-1 1836 1906 39.72% 33.05% 27.23% -0.7 20
1978-11-25 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1906 1836 27.23% 33.05% 39.72% +0.7 20
1978-11-25 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1756 1759 47.83% 32.64% 19.53% +6.6 17
1978-11-25 @ Derby County L 1-2 1759 1756 19.53% 32.64% 47.83% -6.6 12
1978-11-25 Southampton W 4-0 1808 1756 53.29% 31.84% 14.87% +20.0 17
1978-11-25 @ Leeds United L 0-4 1756 1808 14.87% 31.84% 53.29% -20.0 13
1978-11-25 Middlesbrough W 2-0 2043 1784 68.59% 25.84% 5.57% +4.0 29
1978-11-25 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1784 2043 5.57% 25.84% 68.59% -4.0 13
1978-11-25 Ipswich Town L 1-2 1880 1736 60.88% 29.65% 9.47% -15.6 16
1978-11-25 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1736 1880 9.47% 29.65% 60.88% +15.6 14
1978-11-25 Everton L 0-1 1768 1945 25.58% 32.31% 42.11% -8.4 15
1978-11-25 @ Norwich City W 1-0 1945 1768 42.11% 32.31% 25.58% +8.4 27
1978-11-25 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1794 1674 59.11% 30.30% 10.60% +4.2 20
1978-11-25 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1674 1794 10.60% 30.30% 59.11% -4.2 9
1978-11-25 Aston Villa D 1-1 1922 1864 53.85% 31.72% 14.43% -2.4 23
1978-11-25 @ West Brom D 1-1 1864 1922 14.43% 31.72% 53.85% +2.4 18
1978-12-02 Liverpool W 1-0 1907 2047 30.25% 32.76% 36.99% +10.9 22
1978-12-02 @ Arsenal L 0-1 2047 1907 36.99% 32.76% 30.25% -10.8 29
1978-12-02 Derby County W 1-0 1771 1763 49.03% 32.50% 18.47% +6.7 18
1978-12-02 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1763 1771 18.47% 32.50% 49.03% -6.7 17
1978-12-02 Leeds United L 2-3 1752 1828 39.01% 33.05% 27.94% -10.1 14
1978-12-02 @ Ipswich Town W 3-2 1828 1752 27.94% 33.05% 39.01% +10.1 19
1978-12-02 Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1752 1694 53.88% 31.72% 14.40% -24.2 12
1978-12-02 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1694 1752 14.40% 31.72% 53.88% +24.2 12
1978-12-02 Birmingham City W 1-0 1736 1729 48.91% 32.52% 18.57% +6.7 15
1978-12-02 @ Southampton L 0-1 1729 1736 18.57% 32.52% 48.91% -6.7 8
1978-12-09 Everton L 1-3 1722 1954 19.91% 31.33% 48.76% -11.3 8
1978-12-09 @ Birmingham City W 3-1 1954 1722 48.76% 31.33% 19.91% +11.3 29
1978-12-09 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1718 1670 53.00% 31.89% 15.11% +9.3 14
1978-12-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1670 1718 15.11% 31.89% 53.00% -9.3 9
1978-12-09 Aston Villa L 0-1 1656 1867 21.95% 31.75% 46.29% -7.5 8
1978-12-09 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1867 1656 46.29% 31.75% 21.95% +7.5 20
1978-12-09 Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1835 1728 58.10% 30.62% 11.28% +4.4 22
1978-12-09 @ Coventry City L 0-1 1728 1835 11.28% 30.62% 58.10% -4.4 12
1978-12-09 Manchester United L 1-3 1756 1798 43.27% 32.96% 23.77% -20.0 17
1978-12-09 @ Derby County W 3-1 1798 1756 23.77% 32.96% 43.27% +20.0 22
1978-12-09 Bristol City D 1-1 1838 1778 54.10% 31.67% 14.23% -2.5 20
1978-12-09 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1778 1838 14.23% 31.67% 54.10% +2.5 19
1978-12-09 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2036 1979 53.79% 31.73% 14.47% +10.3 31
1978-12-09 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1979 2036 14.47% 31.73% 53.79% -10.3 23
1978-12-09 Southampton L 1-2 1864 1743 59.20% 30.26% 10.54% -15.2 16
1978-12-09 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1743 1864 10.54% 30.26% 59.20% +15.2 17
1978-12-09 Arsenal D 0-0 1759 1918 27.92% 32.57% 39.52% +0.7 16
1978-12-09 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1918 1759 39.52% 32.57% 27.92% -0.7 23
1978-12-09 Ipswich Town W 1-0 1798 1742 53.72% 31.75% 14.53% +5.5 22
1978-12-09 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1742 1798 14.53% 31.75% 53.72% -5.5 14
1978-12-09 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1919 1780 60.57% 29.77% 9.66% +7.2 25
1978-12-09 @ West Brom L 0-2 1780 1919 9.66% 29.77% 60.57% -7.2 13
1978-12-16 Derby County W 2-0 1917 1736 63.58% 28.51% 7.92% +5.9 25
1978-12-16 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1736 1917 7.92% 28.51% 63.58% -5.9 17
1978-12-16 Norwich City D 1-1 1874 1760 58.64% 30.45% 10.91% -3.0 21
1978-12-16 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1760 1874 10.91% 30.45% 58.64% +3.0 17
1978-12-16 Liverpool W 1-0 1780 2046 16.93% 30.52% 52.55% +14.3 21
1978-12-16 @ Bristol City L 0-1 2046 1780 52.55% 30.52% 16.93% -14.3 31
1978-12-16 Leeds United D 1-1 1965 1836 59.84% 30.04% 10.12% -3.2 30
1978-12-16 @ Everton D 1-1 1836 1965 10.12% 30.04% 59.84% +3.2 21
1978-12-16 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1736 1728 49.05% 32.50% 18.45% +18.2 16
1978-12-16 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1728 1736 18.45% 32.50% 49.05% -18.2 14
1978-12-16 Tottenham W 2-0 1818 1804 49.65% 32.43% 17.92% +12.3 24
1978-12-16 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1804 1818 17.92% 32.43% 49.65% -12.3 22
1978-12-16 Chelsea W 7-2 1773 1648 59.48% 30.17% 10.35% +12.4 15
1978-12-16 @ Middlesbrough L 2-7 1648 1773 10.35% 30.17% 59.48% -12.4 8
1978-12-16 Birmingham City W 1-0 1969 1711 68.54% 25.87% 5.59% +2.1 25
1978-12-16 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1711 1969 5.59% 25.87% 68.54% -2.1 8
1978-12-16 Manchester City W 2-1 1723 1849 32.23% 32.88% 34.89% +9.8 14
1978-12-16 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-2 1849 1723 34.89% 32.88% 32.23% -9.8 16
1978-12-16 Coventry City W 4-0 1758 1839 38.33% 33.05% 28.62% +32.7 19
1978-12-16 @ Southampton L 0-4 1839 1758 28.62% 33.05% 38.33% -32.7 22
1978-12-16 West Brom L 0-3 1661 1926 16.95% 30.53% 52.52% -16.5 9
1978-12-16 @ Wolverhampton W 3-0 1926 1661 52.52% 30.53% 16.95% +16.5 27
1978-12-22 Manchester United W 3-0 1709 1830 32.84% 32.91% 34.25% +28.2 16
1978-12-22 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1830 1709 34.25% 32.91% 32.84% -28.2 24
1978-12-23 Bristol City D 0-0 1636 1795 27.88% 32.56% 39.56% +0.7 9
1978-12-23 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1795 1636 39.56% 32.56% 27.88% -0.7 22
1978-12-23 Everton W 3-2 1807 1962 28.30% 32.60% 39.10% +10.1 24
1978-12-23 @ Coventry City L 2-3 1962 1807 39.10% 32.60% 28.30% -10.1 30
1978-12-23 Aston Villa D 0-0 1730 1871 30.13% 32.75% 37.12% +0.4 18
1978-12-23 @ Derby County D 0-0 1871 1730 37.12% 32.75% 30.13% -0.4 22
1978-12-23 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1839 1786 53.46% 31.80% 14.74% +9.1 23
1978-12-23 @ Leeds United L 1-3 1786 1839 14.74% 31.80% 53.46% -9.1 15
1978-12-23 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1839 1971 31.35% 32.83% 35.82% +0.3 17
1978-12-23 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1971 1839 35.82% 32.83% 31.35% -0.3 26
1978-12-23 Arsenal L 0-5 1791 1923 31.40% 32.83% 35.76% -42.8 22
1978-12-23 @ Tottenham W 5-0 1923 1791 35.76% 32.83% 31.40% +42.8 27
1978-12-26 West Brom L 1-2 1966 1943 50.48% 32.31% 17.21% -13.2 27
1978-12-26 @ Arsenal W 2-1 1943 1966 17.21% 32.31% 50.48% +13.2 29
1978-12-26 Leeds United D 2-2 1871 1848 50.48% 32.31% 17.20% -1.5 23
1978-12-26 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1848 1871 17.20% 32.31% 50.48% +1.5 24
1978-12-26 Coventry City W 5-0 1794 1817 45.55% 32.83% 21.62% +33.1 24
1978-12-26 @ Bristol City L 0-5 1817 1794 21.62% 32.83% 45.55% -33.0 24
1978-12-26 Manchester City W 1-0 1952 1839 58.53% 30.49% 10.98% +4.3 32
1978-12-26 @ Everton L 0-1 1839 1952 10.98% 30.49% 58.53% -4.3 17
1978-12-26 Norwich City D 1-1 1755 1763 47.18% 32.70% 20.12% -1.6 17
1978-12-26 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1763 1755 20.12% 32.70% 47.18% +1.6 18
1978-12-26 Liverpool L 0-3 1802 2032 20.08% 31.37% 48.55% -19.0 24
1978-12-26 @ Manchester United W 3-0 2032 1802 48.55% 31.37% 20.08% +19.0 33
1978-12-26 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1776 1738 52.08% 32.06% 15.86% -2.2 16
1978-12-26 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1738 1776 15.86% 32.06% 52.08% +2.2 17
1978-12-26 Derby County D 1-1 1971 1730 67.45% 26.51% 6.05% -4.0 27
1978-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1730 1971 6.05% 26.51% 67.45% +4.0 19
1978-12-26 Tottenham D 2-2 1733 1749 46.42% 32.76% 20.82% -1.1 15
1978-12-26 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1749 1733 20.82% 32.76% 46.42% +1.1 23
1978-12-26 Chelsea D 0-0 1791 1637 61.69% 29.33% 8.98% -3.8 20
1978-12-26 @ Southampton D 0-0 1637 1791 8.98% 29.33% 61.69% +3.8 10
1978-12-26 Birmingham City W 2-1 1644 1709 40.47% 33.04% 26.49% +8.2 11
1978-12-26 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1709 1644 26.49% 33.04% 40.47% -8.2 8
1978-12-30 Birmingham City W 3-1 1952 1701 68.17% 26.09% 5.74% +3.6 29
1978-12-30 @ Arsenal L 1-3 1701 1952 5.74% 26.09% 68.17% -3.6 8
1978-12-30 Manchester City D 1-1 1827 1835 47.23% 32.69% 20.08% -1.6 25
1978-12-30 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1835 1827 20.08% 32.69% 47.23% +1.6 18
1978-12-30 Tottenham D 1-1 1956 1750 65.28% 27.68% 7.05% -3.8 33
1978-12-30 @ Everton D 1-1 1750 1956 7.05% 27.68% 65.28% +3.8 24
1978-12-30 Chelsea W 5-1 1753 1641 58.53% 30.49% 10.98% +12.8 19
1978-12-30 @ Ipswich Town L 1-5 1641 1753 10.98% 30.49% 58.53% -12.8 10
1978-12-30 West Brom L 3-5 1783 1956 26.13% 32.38% 41.50% -11.7 24
1978-12-30 @ Manchester United W 5-3 1956 1783 41.50% 32.38% 26.13% +11.7 31
1978-12-30 Leeds United L 1-4 1732 1849 33.36% 32.93% 33.71% -23.4 15
1978-12-30 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-1 1849 1732 33.71% 32.93% 33.36% +23.4 26
1978-12-30 Coventry City D 1-1 1652 1784 31.41% 32.83% 35.75% +0.2 12
1978-12-30 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1784 1652 35.75% 32.83% 31.41% -0.2 25
1979-01-01 Bristol City W 3-1 1968 1825 60.83% 29.67% 9.50% +6.1 33
1979-01-01 @ West Brom L 1-3 1825 1968 9.50% 29.67% 60.83% -6.1 25
1979-01-13 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1956 1967 46.95% 32.72% 20.33% +6.8 31
1979-01-13 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1967 1956 20.33% 32.72% 46.95% -6.8 27
1979-01-13 Tottenham D 0-0 1819 1754 54.59% 31.56% 13.85% -2.8 26
1979-01-13 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1754 1819 13.85% 31.56% 54.59% +2.8 25
1979-01-13 Manchester City D 1-1 1873 1837 51.83% 32.10% 16.06% -2.2 27
1979-01-13 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1837 1873 16.06% 32.10% 51.83% +2.2 19
1979-01-13 West Brom D 1-1 1765 1974 22.10% 31.78% 46.12% +1.4 19
1979-01-13 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1974 1765 46.12% 31.78% 22.10% -1.4 34
1979-01-17 Southampton W 2-0 1653 1787 30.98% 32.81% 36.21% +20.2 14
1979-01-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1787 1653 36.21% 32.81% 30.98% -20.2 20
1979-01-20 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1766 1673 56.96% 30.96% 12.08% +7.7 21
1979-01-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-3 1673 1766 12.08% 30.96% 56.96% -7.6 14
1979-01-20 Chelsea L 2-3 1839 1628 65.58% 27.52% 6.90% -15.8 19
1979-01-20 @ Manchester City W 3-2 1628 1839 6.90% 27.52% 65.58% +15.8 12
1979-01-20 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1709 1774 40.36% 33.04% 26.59% -0.8 16
1979-01-20 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1774 1709 26.59% 33.04% 40.36% +0.8 17
1979-01-20 Leeds United L 1-2 1756 1871 33.78% 32.95% 33.27% -9.6 25
1979-01-20 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1871 1756 33.27% 32.95% 33.78% +9.6 29
1979-01-31 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1766 1708 53.90% 31.71% 14.39% -2.4 20
1979-01-31 @ Norwich City D 1-1 1708 1766 14.39% 31.71% 53.90% +2.4 17
1979-01-31 Aston Villa D 1-1 1952 1869 56.11% 31.19% 12.70% -2.7 34
1979-01-31 @ Everton D 1-1 1869 1952 12.70% 31.19% 56.11% +2.7 24
1979-02-03 Ipswich Town W 3-1 1816 1774 52.47% 31.99% 15.54% +9.5 28
1979-02-03 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1774 1816 15.54% 31.99% 52.47% -9.5 21
1979-02-03 Birmingham City W 2-1 1644 1697 41.86% 33.01% 25.13% +7.9 14
1979-02-03 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1697 1644 25.13% 33.01% 41.86% -7.9 8
1979-02-03 Coventry City W 1-0 1880 1784 57.26% 30.88% 11.87% +4.6 31
1979-02-03 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1784 1880 11.87% 30.88% 57.26% -4.6 25
1979-02-03 West Brom W 2-1 2051 1973 55.71% 31.30% 13.00% +4.7 35
1979-02-03 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1973 2051 13.00% 31.30% 55.71% -4.7 34
1979-02-03 Arsenal L 0-2 1772 1963 24.03% 32.10% 43.87% -15.1 24
1979-02-03 @ Manchester United W 2-0 1963 1772 43.87% 32.10% 24.03% +15.1 33
1979-02-03 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1775 1960 24.75% 32.20% 43.05% -13.3 17
1979-02-03 @ Middlesbrough W 3-1 1960 1775 43.05% 32.20% 24.75% +13.4 29
1979-02-03 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1764 1740 50.60% 32.30% 17.10% -2.2 21
1979-02-03 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1740 1764 17.10% 32.30% 50.60% +2.2 18
1979-02-03 Derby County L 1-2 1767 1735 51.47% 32.16% 16.37% -13.4 20
1979-02-03 @ Southampton W 2-1 1735 1767 16.37% 32.16% 51.47% +13.4 21
1979-02-03 Manchester City L 0-3 1747 1823 38.96% 33.05% 27.98% -31.0 25
1979-02-03 @ Tottenham W 3-0 1823 1747 27.98% 33.05% 38.96% +31.0 21
1979-02-03 Everton W 1-0 1665 1950 15.53% 30.03% 54.44% +14.7 16
1979-02-03 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1950 1665 54.44% 30.03% 15.53% -14.7 34
1979-02-10 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1978 1762 65.92% 27.34% 6.74% -4.3 34
1979-02-10 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1762 1978 6.74% 27.34% 65.92% +4.3 18
1979-02-10 Leeds United L 0-1 1689 1885 23.55% 32.02% 44.43% -7.9 8
1979-02-10 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1885 1689 44.43% 32.02% 23.55% +7.9 33
1979-02-10 Tottenham L 1-3 1779 1716 54.36% 31.61% 14.03% -24.5 25
1979-02-10 @ Coventry City W 3-1 1716 1779 14.03% 31.61% 54.36% +24.5 27
1979-02-10 Norwich City D 1-1 1748 1761 46.62% 32.75% 20.63% -1.5 22
1979-02-10 @ Derby County D 1-1 1761 1748 20.63% 32.75% 46.62% +1.5 22
1979-02-10 Bristol City W 4-1 1935 1826 58.24% 30.58% 11.18% +10.1 36
1979-02-10 @ Everton L 1-4 1826 1935 11.18% 30.58% 58.24% -10.1 28
1979-02-10 Southampton D 0-0 1764 1754 49.23% 32.48% 18.29% -2.0 22
1979-02-10 @ Ipswich Town D 0-0 1754 1764 18.29% 32.48% 49.23% +2.1 21
1979-02-10 Manchester United L 0-3 1854 1756 57.32% 30.86% 11.82% -43.0 21
1979-02-10 @ Manchester City W 3-0 1756 1854 11.82% 30.86% 57.32% +43.0 26
1979-02-10 Wolverhampton D 3-3 1710 1680 51.28% 32.19% 16.52% -1.3 18
1979-02-10 @ Queens Park Rangers D 3-3 1680 1710 16.52% 32.19% 51.28% +1.3 17
1979-02-13 Arsenal L 1-2 1709 1973 17.07% 30.56% 52.37% -5.7 18
1979-02-13 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1973 1709 52.37% 30.56% 17.07% +5.7 36
1979-02-13 Birmingham City W 1-0 2056 1681 75.20% 21.47% 3.34% +1.1 37
1979-02-13 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1681 2056 3.34% 21.47% 75.20% -1.1 8
1979-02-17 Everton W 3-0 1756 1945 24.25% 32.13% 43.62% +33.6 23
1979-02-17 @ Southampton L 0-3 1945 1756 43.62% 32.13% 24.25% -33.6 36
1979-02-20 Bristol City W 2-0 1789 1816 45.12% 32.86% 22.02% +14.3 25
1979-02-20 @ Southampton L 0-2 1816 1789 22.02% 32.86% 45.12% -14.3 28
1979-02-21 Coventry City L 1-3 1651 1754 35.35% 33.00% 31.65% -17.2 14
1979-02-21 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1754 1651 31.65% 33.00% 35.35% +17.2 27
1979-02-21 Norwich City W 6-0 2057 1763 70.71% 24.53% 4.76% +9.2 39
1979-02-21 @ Liverpool L 0-6 1763 2057 4.76% 24.53% 70.71% -9.2 22
1979-02-24 Wolverhampton L 0-1 1979 1681 70.95% 24.38% 4.67% -18.6 36
1979-02-24 @ Arsenal W 1-0 1681 1979 4.67% 24.38% 70.95% +18.6 19
1979-02-24 Tottenham W 1-0 1680 1740 41.07% 33.03% 25.90% +8.5 10
1979-02-24 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1740 1680 25.90% 33.03% 41.07% -8.5 27
1979-02-24 Chelsea W 2-1 1742 1634 58.16% 30.60% 11.23% +4.1 20
1979-02-24 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1634 1742 11.23% 30.60% 58.16% -4.1 14
1979-02-24 Manchester City L 0-3 1772 1811 43.62% 32.94% 23.43% -33.9 27
1979-02-24 @ Coventry City W 3-0 1811 1772 23.43% 32.94% 43.62% +33.9 23
1979-02-24 Liverpool L 0-2 1746 2066 13.17% 29.01% 57.82% -9.1 22
1979-02-24 @ Derby County W 2-0 2066 1746 57.82% 29.01% 13.17% +9.1 41
1979-02-24 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1911 1762 61.32% 29.48% 9.20% -16.7 36
1979-02-24 @ Everton W 1-0 1762 1911 9.20% 29.48% 61.32% +16.7 24
1979-02-24 Aston Villa D 1-1 1799 1872 39.47% 33.05% 27.48% -0.7 27
1979-02-24 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1872 1799 27.48% 33.05% 39.47% +0.7 25
1979-02-24 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1754 1766 46.76% 32.74% 20.50% +7.2 24
1979-02-24 @ Norwich City L 0-1 1766 1754 20.50% 32.74% 46.76% -7.2 18
1979-02-24 Bristol City W 2-0 1973 1802 62.92% 28.80% 8.28% +6.1 31
1979-02-24 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1802 1973 8.28% 28.80% 62.92% -6.1 28
1979-02-24 Southampton L 0-1 1703 1804 35.76% 33.01% 31.23% -10.6 18
1979-02-24 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-0 1804 1703 31.23% 33.01% 35.76% +10.6 27
1979-02-24 Leeds United L 1-2 1968 1893 55.43% 31.36% 13.21% -14.4 34
1979-02-24 @ West Brom W 2-1 1893 1968 13.21% 31.36% 55.43% +14.4 35
1979-02-27 Norwich City D 2-2 1845 1761 56.17% 31.18% 12.66% -2.0 24
1979-02-27 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1761 1845 12.66% 31.18% 56.17% +2.0 25
1979-02-28 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1737 1779 43.37% 32.96% 23.67% -12.3 22
1979-02-28 @ Derby County W 1-0 1779 1737 23.67% 32.96% 43.37% +12.3 26
1979-02-28 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1799 1693 58.01% 30.65% 11.34% +8.3 29
1979-02-28 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1693 1799 11.34% 30.65% 58.01% -8.3 18
1979-03-03 Birmingham City W 1-0 1872 1689 63.76% 28.42% 7.82% +3.1 27
1979-03-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1689 1872 7.82% 28.42% 63.76% -3.1 10
1979-03-03 Manchester United L 1-2 1795 1807 46.81% 32.73% 20.46% -12.4 28
1979-03-03 @ Bristol City W 2-1 1807 1795 20.46% 32.73% 46.81% +12.4 31
1979-03-03 Liverpool D 0-0 1630 2075 7.47% 24.67% 67.86% +4.3 15
1979-03-03 @ Chelsea D 0-0 2075 1630 67.86% 24.67% 7.47% -4.3 42
1979-03-03 West Brom L 1-3 1738 1954 21.44% 31.65% 46.91% -12.0 27
1979-03-03 @ Coventry City W 3-1 1954 1738 46.91% 31.65% 21.44% +12.0 36
1979-03-03 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1895 1685 65.53% 27.55% 6.93% +2.5 38
1979-03-03 @ Everton L 1-2 1685 1895 6.93% 27.55% 65.53% -2.5 18
1979-03-03 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1791 1979 24.36% 32.15% 43.49% +1.1 27
1979-03-03 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1979 1791 43.49% 32.15% 24.36% -1.1 32
1979-03-03 Norwich City D 2-2 1907 1763 60.94% 29.63% 9.43% -2.5 36
1979-03-03 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1763 1907 9.43% 29.63% 60.94% +2.5 26
1979-03-03 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1843 1746 57.23% 30.88% 11.88% +4.3 26
1979-03-03 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1746 1843 11.88% 30.88% 57.23% -4.4 20
1979-03-03 Arsenal W 2-0 1814 1961 29.42% 32.70% 37.89% +20.8 29
1979-03-03 @ Southampton L 0-2 1961 1814 37.89% 32.70% 29.42% -20.8 36
1979-03-03 Derby County W 2-0 1732 1725 48.82% 32.53% 18.65% +12.7 29
1979-03-03 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1725 1732 18.65% 32.53% 48.82% -12.7 22
1979-03-03 Middlesbrough L 1-3 1700 1759 41.17% 33.03% 25.80% -19.3 19
1979-03-03 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1759 1700 25.80% 33.03% 41.17% +19.3 20
1979-03-06 Everton L 1-2 1778 1897 33.11% 32.92% 33.97% -9.5 20
1979-03-06 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1897 1778 33.97% 32.92% 33.11% +9.5 40
1979-03-06 Liverpool D 0-0 1726 2071 11.72% 28.21% 60.07% +3.4 28
1979-03-06 @ Coventry City D 0-0 2071 1726 60.07% 28.21% 11.72% -3.4 43
1979-03-06 Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1686 1682 48.52% 32.56% 18.92% +11.1 12
1979-03-06 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1682 1686 18.92% 32.56% 48.52% -11.1 18
1979-03-07 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1876 1742 60.17% 29.92% 9.91% +10.7 29
1979-03-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1742 1876 9.91% 29.92% 60.17% -10.7 20
1979-03-07 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1766 1680 56.28% 31.15% 12.58% -3.1 27
1979-03-07 @ Norwich City D 0-0 1680 1766 12.58% 31.15% 56.28% +3.0 20
1979-03-10 Bristol City W 2-0 1940 1783 61.87% 29.26% 8.88% +6.6 38
1979-03-10 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1783 1940 8.88% 29.26% 61.87% -6.6 28
1979-03-10 Coventry City D 0-0 1697 1729 44.44% 32.90% 22.66% -1.4 13
1979-03-10 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1729 1697 22.66% 32.90% 44.44% +1.4 29
1979-03-10 Leeds United L 0-1 1712 1905 23.92% 32.08% 44.00% -8.0 22
1979-03-10 @ Derby County W 1-0 1905 1712 44.00% 32.08% 23.92% +8.0 38
1979-03-10 Aston Villa W 2-0 1769 1886 33.31% 32.93% 33.76% +19.2 22
1979-03-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1886 1769 33.76% 32.93% 33.31% -19.2 29
1979-03-10 Chelsea W 2-0 1762 1634 59.74% 30.08% 10.18% +7.5 29
1979-03-10 @ Norwich City L 0-2 1634 1762 10.18% 30.08% 59.74% -7.5 15
1979-03-10 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1907 1978 39.58% 33.05% 27.37% -0.7 41
1979-03-10 @ Everton D 1-1 1978 1907 27.37% 33.05% 39.58% +0.7 33
1979-03-13 Derby County W 3-1 1788 1704 56.13% 31.19% 12.68% +8.0 24
1979-03-13 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1704 1788 12.68% 31.19% 56.13% -8.0 22
1979-03-13 Coventry City D 1-1 1792 1731 54.21% 31.65% 14.15% -2.5 28
1979-03-13 @ Ipswich Town D 1-1 1731 1792 14.15% 31.65% 54.21% +2.5 30
1979-03-13 Everton D 1-1 2067 1906 62.20% 29.11% 8.68% -3.5 44
1979-03-13 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1906 2067 8.68% 29.11% 62.20% +3.5 42
1979-03-14 Norwich City W 2-1 1979 1770 65.44% 27.59% 6.97% +2.6 35
1979-03-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1770 1979 6.97% 27.59% 65.44% -2.6 29
1979-03-14 Chelsea W 1-0 1966 1627 73.26% 22.83% 3.91% +1.4 38
1979-03-14 @ West Brom L 0-1 1627 1966 3.91% 22.83% 73.26% -1.4 15
1979-03-17 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1776 1796 45.95% 32.80% 21.25% -1.4 29
1979-03-17 @ Bristol City D 1-1 1796 1776 21.25% 32.80% 45.95% +1.4 25
1979-03-17 Queens Park Rangers L 1-3 1625 1671 42.88% 32.98% 24.15% -19.9 15
1979-03-17 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1671 1625 24.15% 32.98% 42.88% +19.9 20
1979-03-17 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1733 1731 48.31% 32.59% 19.10% -1.3 31
1979-03-17 @ Coventry City D 2-2 1731 1733 19.10% 32.59% 48.31% +1.3 21
1979-03-17 Arsenal W 2-0 1790 1946 28.11% 32.58% 39.31% +21.4 30
1979-03-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-2 1946 1790 39.31% 32.58% 28.11% -21.4 38
1979-03-17 Norwich City D 0-0 1744 1767 45.53% 32.83% 21.64% -1.5 30
1979-03-17 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1767 1744 21.64% 32.83% 45.53% +1.5 30
1979-03-20 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2064 1684 75.52% 21.23% 3.25% +2.1 46
1979-03-20 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1684 2064 3.25% 21.23% 75.52% -2.1 20
1979-03-20 Manchester United W 4-3 1732 1820 37.44% 33.04% 29.52% +8.1 33
1979-03-20 @ Coventry City L 3-4 1820 1732 29.52% 33.04% 37.44% -8.1 31
1979-03-20 Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1867 1691 63.24% 28.66% 8.10% +5.2 31
1979-03-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1691 1867 8.10% 28.66% 63.24% -5.2 20
1979-03-21 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1696 1733 44.01% 32.92% 23.06% +21.5 24
1979-03-21 @ Derby County L 0-3 1733 1696 23.06% 32.92% 44.01% -21.5 21
1979-03-24 Manchester City D 1-1 1925 1847 55.66% 31.31% 13.03% -2.7 39
1979-03-24 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1847 1925 13.03% 31.31% 55.66% +2.7 27
1979-03-24 Tottenham L 2-3 1872 1743 59.84% 30.04% 10.12% -14.6 31
1979-03-24 @ Aston Villa W 3-2 1743 1872 10.12% 30.04% 59.84% +14.6 32
1979-03-24 Southampton W 2-0 1711 1835 32.42% 32.89% 34.69% +19.6 23
1979-03-24 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1835 1711 34.69% 32.89% 32.42% -19.6 29
1979-03-24 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1606 1681 39.01% 33.05% 27.94% -10.7 15
1979-03-24 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1681 1606 27.94% 33.05% 39.01% +10.7 22
1979-03-24 Everton D 0-0 1718 1909 24.00% 32.09% 43.91% +1.2 25
1979-03-24 @ Derby County D 0-0 1909 1718 43.91% 32.09% 24.00% -1.2 43
1979-03-24 Ipswich Town W 2-0 2066 1811 68.37% 25.97% 5.66% +4.0 48
1979-03-24 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1811 2066 5.66% 25.97% 68.37% -4.0 30
1979-03-24 Leeds United W 4-1 1811 1913 35.60% 33.01% 31.39% +22.4 33
1979-03-24 @ Manchester United L 1-4 1913 1811 31.39% 33.01% 35.60% -22.4 38
1979-03-24 Birmingham City W 2-1 1797 1695 57.67% 30.75% 11.57% +4.2 27
1979-03-24 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1695 1797 11.57% 30.75% 57.67% -4.2 13
1979-03-24 Bristol City W 3-0 1769 1775 47.46% 32.67% 19.87% +19.3 32
1979-03-24 @ Norwich City L 0-3 1775 1769 19.87% 32.67% 47.46% -19.3 29
1979-03-24 Coventry City W 3-0 1981 1740 67.53% 26.46% 6.01% +6.3 37
1979-03-24 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1740 1981 6.01% 26.46% 67.53% -6.3 33
1979-03-24 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1967 1686 69.96% 25.00% 5.03% +1.8 40
1979-03-24 @ West Brom L 1-2 1686 1967 5.03% 25.00% 69.96% -1.8 20
1979-03-26 Arsenal W 4-2 1731 1922 23.97% 32.09% 43.94% +18.0 25
1979-03-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-4 1922 1731 43.94% 32.09% 23.97% -18.0 39
1979-03-26 Derby County W 2-1 1969 1719 68.03% 26.17% 5.80% +2.1 42
1979-03-26 @ West Brom L 1-2 1719 1969 5.80% 26.17% 68.03% -2.1 25
1979-03-27 Manchester City D 1-1 1692 1850 27.99% 32.57% 39.44% +0.6 23
1979-03-27 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1850 1692 39.44% 32.57% 27.99% -0.6 28
1979-03-27 Norwich City W 1-0 1691 1788 36.17% 33.02% 30.81% +9.6 15
1979-03-27 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1788 1691 30.81% 33.02% 36.17% -9.6 32
1979-03-27 Manchester United D 2-2 1802 1834 44.45% 32.90% 22.65% -0.9 28
1979-03-27 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1834 1802 22.65% 32.90% 44.45% +0.9 34
1979-03-28 Coventry City D 1-1 1858 1734 59.42% 30.19% 10.39% -3.1 32
1979-03-28 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1734 1858 10.39% 30.19% 59.42% +3.1 34
1979-03-28 Chelsea W 6-0 1988 1595 76.17% 20.76% 3.07% +5.4 39
1979-03-28 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-6 1595 1988 3.07% 20.76% 76.17% -5.4 15
1979-03-28 Southampton D 0-0 1757 1815 41.31% 33.02% 25.66% -1.0 33
1979-03-28 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1815 1757 25.66% 33.02% 41.31% +1.0 30
1979-03-30 Norwich City D 2-2 1908 1779 59.85% 30.04% 10.11% -2.4 44
1979-03-30 @ Everton D 2-2 1779 1908 10.11% 30.04% 59.85% +2.4 33
1979-03-31 Tottenham W 1-0 1801 1756 52.60% 31.97% 15.43% +5.8 30
1979-03-31 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1756 1801 15.43% 31.97% 52.60% -5.8 33
1979-03-31 Birmingham City W 2-1 1756 1701 53.61% 31.77% 14.62% +5.2 31
1979-03-31 @ Bristol City L 1-2 1701 1756 14.62% 31.77% 53.61% -5.2 15
1979-03-31 Manchester City W 2-1 1807 1849 43.27% 32.96% 23.77% +7.6 32
1979-03-31 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1849 1807 23.77% 32.96% 43.27% -7.6 28
1979-03-31 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1993 1749 67.72% 26.35% 5.93% -4.1 40
1979-03-31 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1749 1993 5.93% 26.35% 67.72% +4.1 26
1979-03-31 Derby County D 2-2 1684 1717 44.33% 32.91% 22.76% -0.9 21
1979-03-31 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-2 1717 1684 22.76% 32.91% 44.33% +0.9 26
1979-03-31 Leeds United D 2-2 1816 1890 39.28% 33.05% 27.66% -0.5 31
1979-03-31 @ Southampton D 2-2 1890 1816 27.66% 33.05% 39.28% +0.5 39
1979-04-03 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1696 1815 33.12% 32.92% 33.96% +0.0 16
1979-04-03 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1815 1696 33.96% 32.92% 33.12% -0.0 33
1979-04-03 Everton W 3-1 1753 1906 28.55% 32.62% 38.83% +18.3 28
1979-04-03 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1906 1753 38.83% 32.62% 28.55% -18.3 44
1979-04-03 Queens Park Rangers W 2-0 1761 1683 55.67% 31.30% 13.03% +9.4 33
1979-04-03 @ Bristol City L 0-2 1683 1761 13.03% 31.30% 55.67% -9.4 21
1979-04-03 Coventry City D 1-1 1904 1737 62.63% 28.93% 8.44% -3.5 40
1979-04-03 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1737 1904 8.44% 28.93% 62.63% +3.5 35
1979-04-03 Tottenham W 3-2 1693 1751 41.32% 33.02% 25.65% +7.6 25
1979-04-03 @ Wolverhampton L 2-3 1751 1693 25.65% 33.02% 41.32% -7.6 33
1979-04-04 Aston Villa W 4-0 1989 1854 60.24% 29.90% 9.87% +13.9 42
1979-04-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-4 1854 1989 9.87% 29.90% 60.24% -13.9 32
1979-04-04 Derby County D 1-1 1590 1718 31.79% 32.86% 35.35% +0.2 16
1979-04-04 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1718 1590 35.35% 32.86% 31.79% -0.2 27
1979-04-04 Manchester City W 4-0 1971 1842 59.83% 30.05% 10.13% +14.2 44
1979-04-04 @ West Brom L 0-4 1842 1971 10.13% 30.05% 59.83% -14.2 28
1979-04-07 Southampton D 2-2 1696 1816 32.94% 32.91% 34.15% +0.0 17
1979-04-07 @ Birmingham City D 2-2 1816 1696 34.15% 32.91% 32.94% -0.1 32
1979-04-07 Queens Park Rangers W 2-1 1771 1673 57.32% 30.86% 11.82% +4.3 30
1979-04-07 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1673 1771 11.82% 30.86% 57.32% -4.3 21
1979-04-07 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1590 2003 8.61% 25.84% 65.55% -5.1 16
1979-04-07 @ Chelsea W 3-1 2003 1590 65.55% 25.84% 8.61% +5.1 44
1979-04-07 Aston Villa D 1-1 1740 1841 35.73% 33.01% 31.25% -0.2 36
1979-04-07 @ Coventry City D 1-1 1841 1740 31.25% 33.01% 35.73% +0.2 33
1979-04-07 Bristol City L 0-1 1718 1770 42.01% 33.01% 24.99% -12.0 27
1979-04-07 @ Derby County W 1-0 1770 1718 24.99% 33.01% 42.01% +12.0 35
1979-04-07 Ipswich Town D 1-1 1891 1814 55.51% 31.34% 13.15% -2.6 40
1979-04-07 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1814 1891 13.15% 31.34% 55.51% +2.6 34
1979-04-07 Arsenal W 3-0 2070 1901 62.76% 28.87% 8.37% +9.0 50
1979-04-07 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1901 2070 8.37% 28.87% 62.76% -9.0 40
1979-04-07 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1827 1700 59.66% 30.10% 10.24% +6.6 30
1979-04-07 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1700 1827 10.24% 30.10% 59.66% -6.6 25
1979-04-07 Manchester United D 2-2 1781 1835 41.85% 33.01% 25.14% -0.7 34
1979-04-07 @ Norwich City D 2-2 1835 1781 25.14% 33.01% 41.85% +0.7 35
1979-04-07 Middlesbrough L 1-2 1743 1806 40.64% 33.04% 26.32% -11.0 33
1979-04-07 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1806 1743 26.32% 33.04% 40.64% +11.0 32
1979-04-07 Everton W 1-0 1985 1888 57.32% 30.86% 11.82% +4.6 46
1979-04-07 @ West Brom L 0-1 1888 1985 11.82% 30.86% 57.32% -4.6 44
1979-04-10 Tottenham W 1-0 1892 1732 62.08% 29.17% 8.75% +3.5 42
1979-04-10 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1732 1892 8.75% 29.17% 62.08% -3.4 33
1979-04-10 Chelsea W 3-1 1782 1585 64.71% 27.96% 7.33% +4.7 37
1979-04-10 @ Bristol City L 1-3 1585 1782 7.33% 27.96% 64.71% -4.7 16
1979-04-10 Coventry City D 3-3 1883 1740 60.85% 29.66% 9.49% -2.1 45
1979-04-10 @ Everton D 3-3 1740 1883 9.49% 29.66% 60.85% +2.1 37
1979-04-10 Leeds United W 1-0 1817 1888 39.70% 33.05% 27.25% +8.8 34
1979-04-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1888 1817 27.25% 33.05% 39.70% -8.8 40
1979-04-10 Liverpool L 0-1 1694 2079 9.75% 26.84% 63.40% -3.6 25
1979-04-10 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 2079 1694 63.40% 26.84% 9.75% +3.6 52
1979-04-11 Derby County D 3-3 1841 1706 60.26% 29.89% 9.85% -2.0 34
1979-04-11 @ Aston Villa D 3-3 1706 1841 9.85% 29.89% 60.26% +2.0 28
1979-04-11 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1835 1775 54.08% 31.67% 14.24% -14.0 35
1979-04-11 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1775 1835 14.24% 31.67% 54.08% +14.1 32
1979-04-13 Norwich City D 0-0 1669 1780 34.21% 32.97% 32.82% -0.1 22
1979-04-13 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-0 1780 1669 32.82% 32.97% 34.21% +0.1 35
1979-04-13 West Brom D 1-1 1816 1990 26.03% 32.36% 41.61% +0.9 33
1979-04-13 @ Southampton D 1-1 1990 1816 41.61% 32.36% 26.03% -0.9 47
1979-04-14 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1696 1690 48.70% 32.54% 18.76% -1.8 18
1979-04-14 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1690 1696 18.76% 32.54% 48.70% +1.8 26
1979-04-14 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1789 1826 43.92% 32.93% 23.15% -1.3 33
1979-04-14 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1826 1789 23.15% 32.93% 43.92% +1.3 35
1979-04-14 Southampton L 1-2 1580 1817 19.43% 31.22% 49.35% -6.4 16
1979-04-14 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1817 1580 49.35% 31.22% 19.43% +6.4 35
1979-04-14 Bristol City W 3-2 1742 1787 42.94% 32.97% 24.08% +7.2 39
1979-04-14 @ Coventry City L 2-3 1787 1742 24.08% 32.97% 42.94% -7.2 37
1979-04-14 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1708 2008 14.43% 29.59% 55.98% -4.9 28
1979-04-14 @ Derby County W 2-1 2008 1708 55.98% 29.59% 14.43% +4.9 46
1979-04-14 Aston Villa W 1-0 1879 1839 52.23% 32.03% 15.73% +5.9 42
1979-04-14 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1839 1879 15.73% 32.03% 52.23% -5.9 34
1979-04-14 Manchester United W 2-0 2083 1821 68.75% 25.74% 5.50% +3.9 54
1979-04-14 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1821 2083 5.50% 25.74% 68.75% -3.9 35
1979-04-14 Everton D 0-0 1834 1881 42.69% 32.98% 24.33% -1.2 31
1979-04-14 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1881 1834 24.33% 32.98% 42.69% +1.2 46
1979-04-14 Ipswich Town L 0-1 1780 1817 43.93% 32.93% 23.14% -12.4 35
1979-04-14 @ Norwich City W 1-0 1817 1780 23.14% 32.93% 43.93% +12.4 36
1979-04-14 Queens Park Rangers D 1-1 1729 1669 54.03% 31.68% 14.28% -2.4 34
1979-04-14 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1669 1729 14.28% 31.68% 54.03% +2.4 23
1979-04-14 Arsenal D 1-1 1989 1895 56.99% 30.95% 12.06% -2.8 48
1979-04-14 @ West Brom D 1-1 1895 1989 12.06% 30.95% 56.99% +2.8 43
1979-04-16 Chelsea W 5-2 1898 1574 72.46% 23.38% 4.16% +3.0 45
1979-04-16 @ Arsenal L 2-5 1574 1898 4.16% 23.38% 72.46% -3.0 16
1979-04-16 Liverpool W 3-1 1833 2087 17.95% 30.83% 51.23% +22.8 36
1979-04-16 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 2087 1833 51.23% 30.83% 17.95% -22.8 54
1979-04-16 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1882 1788 57.02% 30.94% 12.03% +4.7 48
1979-04-16 @ Everton L 0-1 1788 1882 12.03% 30.94% 57.02% -4.7 33
1979-04-16 Derby County W 2-1 1830 1703 59.63% 30.12% 10.26% +3.8 38
1979-04-16 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1703 1830 10.26% 30.12% 59.63% -3.8 28
1979-04-16 Coventry City D 0-0 1817 1749 54.80% 31.51% 13.69% -2.8 36
1979-04-16 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1749 1817 13.69% 31.51% 54.80% +2.8 40
1979-04-16 Leeds United D 0-0 2013 1885 59.73% 30.08% 10.19% -3.5 47
1979-04-16 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1885 2013 10.19% 30.08% 59.73% +3.5 43
1979-04-16 Tottenham D 3-3 1823 1726 57.27% 30.87% 11.86% -1.8 36
1979-04-16 @ Southampton D 3-3 1726 1823 11.86% 30.87% 57.27% +1.8 35
1979-04-16 Norwich City W 1-0 1692 1768 38.99% 33.05% 27.96% +9.0 28
1979-04-16 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1768 1692 27.96% 33.05% 38.99% -9.0 35
1979-04-17 Birmingham City W 3-0 1833 1694 60.60% 29.76% 9.64% +10.4 40
1979-04-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-3 1694 1833 9.64% 29.76% 60.60% -10.4 18
1979-04-17 West Brom W 1-0 1780 1986 22.43% 31.84% 45.74% +12.7 39
1979-04-17 @ Bristol City L 0-1 1986 1780 45.74% 31.84% 22.43% -12.7 48
1979-04-17 Manchester City W 2-0 1828 1833 47.54% 32.66% 19.79% +13.2 37
1979-04-17 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1833 1828 19.79% 32.66% 47.54% -13.2 31
1979-04-18 Manchester United D 1-1 2009 1815 64.50% 28.06% 7.43% -3.7 48
1979-04-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1815 2009 7.43% 28.06% 64.50% +3.7 37
1979-04-21 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1684 2006 13.02% 28.93% 58.04% -9.0 18
1979-04-21 @ Birmingham City W 2-0 2006 1684 58.04% 28.93% 13.02% +9.0 50
1979-04-21 Ipswich Town L 2-3 1783 1844 41.02% 33.03% 25.95% -10.5 33
1979-04-21 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-2 1844 1783 25.95% 33.03% 41.02% +10.5 42
1979-04-21 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1571 1841 16.60% 30.41% 52.99% +13.6 18
1979-04-21 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1841 1571 52.99% 30.41% 16.60% -13.6 37
1979-04-21 Southampton W 4-0 1752 1821 39.90% 33.05% 27.05% +31.4 42
1979-04-21 @ Coventry City L 0-4 1821 1752 27.05% 33.05% 39.90% -31.4 36
1979-04-21 Arsenal W 2-0 1699 1901 22.88% 31.92% 45.21% +23.8 30
1979-04-21 @ Derby County L 0-2 1901 1699 45.21% 31.92% 22.88% -23.8 45
1979-04-21 Everton W 1-0 1889 1887 48.32% 32.58% 19.10% +6.8 45
1979-04-21 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1887 1889 19.10% 32.58% 48.32% -6.8 48
1979-04-21 Bristol City W 1-0 2064 1793 69.36% 25.38% 5.26% +2.0 56
1979-04-21 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1793 2064 5.26% 25.38% 69.36% -2.0 39
1979-04-21 Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1820 1672 61.23% 29.51% 9.25% +6.0 33
1979-04-21 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1672 1820 9.25% 29.51% 61.23% -6.0 23
1979-04-21 Aston Villa L 1-2 1759 1856 36.21% 33.02% 30.76% -10.1 35
1979-04-21 @ Norwich City W 2-1 1856 1759 30.76% 33.02% 36.21% +10.1 38
1979-04-21 Manchester United D 1-1 1728 1818 37.07% 33.04% 29.89% -0.4 36
1979-04-21 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1818 1728 29.89% 33.04% 37.07% +0.4 38
1979-04-21 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1973 1701 69.42% 25.34% 5.24% -4.2 49
1979-04-21 @ West Brom D 1-1 1701 1973 5.24% 25.34% 69.42% +4.2 29
1979-04-24 Liverpool D 1-1 1790 2066 16.17% 30.26% 53.57% +2.2 37
1979-04-24 @ Southampton D 1-1 2066 1790 53.57% 30.26% 16.17% -2.3 57
1979-04-24 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1825 1827 47.92% 32.63% 19.45% +6.9 35
1979-04-24 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1827 1825 19.45% 32.63% 47.92% -6.9 37
1979-04-24 West Brom D 1-1 1675 1969 14.82% 29.75% 55.43% +2.5 19
1979-04-24 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1969 1675 55.43% 29.75% 14.82% -2.5 50
1979-04-24 Derby County W 4-0 1705 1723 46.14% 32.79% 21.07% +26.3 31
1979-04-24 @ Wolverhampton L 0-4 1723 1705 21.07% 32.79% 46.14% -26.3 30
1979-04-25 Norwich City W 1-0 1819 1749 54.96% 31.48% 13.56% +5.2 40
1979-04-25 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1749 1819 13.56% 31.48% 54.96% -5.2 35
1979-04-25 Arsenal W 5-1 1866 1877 46.86% 32.73% 20.41% +21.4 40
1979-04-25 @ Aston Villa L 1-5 1877 1866 20.41% 32.73% 46.86% -21.4 45
1979-04-25 Bolton Wanderers W 5-1 1895 1773 59.32% 30.22% 10.46% +12.2 47
1979-04-25 @ Leeds United L 1-5 1773 1895 10.46% 30.22% 59.32% -12.2 33
1979-04-28 Norwich City D 1-1 1856 1744 58.50% 30.50% 11.01% -3.0 46
1979-04-28 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1744 1856 11.01% 30.50% 58.50% +3.0 36
1979-04-28 Chelsea W 2-1 1887 1584 71.24% 24.19% 4.57% +1.6 42
1979-04-28 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1584 1887 4.57% 24.19% 71.24% -1.6 18
1979-04-28 Leeds United D 0-0 1791 1908 33.38% 32.93% 33.68% +0.0 40
1979-04-28 @ Bristol City D 0-0 1908 1791 33.68% 32.93% 33.38% -0.0 48
1979-04-28 Birmingham City W 1-0 1880 1677 65.04% 27.79% 7.16% +2.8 50
1979-04-28 @ Everton L 0-1 1677 1880 7.16% 27.79% 65.04% -2.8 19
1979-04-28 Tottenham W 2-1 1854 1728 59.64% 30.11% 10.25% +3.8 44
1979-04-28 @ Ipswich Town L 1-2 1728 1854 10.25% 30.11% 59.64% -3.8 36
1979-04-28 Derby County D 0-0 1824 1697 59.68% 30.10% 10.22% -3.5 41
1979-04-28 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1697 1824 10.22% 30.10% 59.68% +3.5 31
1979-04-28 West Brom D 1-1 1820 1966 29.45% 32.70% 37.85% +0.5 38
1979-04-28 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1966 1820 37.85% 32.70% 29.45% -0.5 51
1979-04-28 Liverpool D 0-0 2015 2063 42.45% 32.99% 24.56% -1.1 51
1979-04-28 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 2063 2015 24.56% 32.99% 42.45% +1.1 58
1979-04-28 Coventry City W 5-1 1666 1784 33.24% 32.93% 33.83% +30.5 25
1979-04-28 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-5 1784 1666 33.83% 32.93% 33.24% -30.5 42
1979-04-28 Manchester City W 1-0 1792 1832 43.50% 32.95% 23.55% +8.0 39
1979-04-28 @ Southampton L 0-1 1832 1792 23.55% 32.95% 43.50% -8.0 35
1979-04-28 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1732 1761 44.83% 32.88% 22.30% -1.3 32
1979-04-28 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1761 1732 22.30% 32.88% 44.83% +1.3 34
1979-04-30 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1730 2013 15.61% 30.06% 54.32% +14.7 34
1979-04-30 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2013 1730 54.32% 30.06% 15.61% -14.7 51
1979-04-30 Manchester United D 1-1 1800 1820 45.85% 32.81% 21.34% -1.4 40
1979-04-30 @ Southampton D 1-1 1820 1800 21.34% 32.81% 45.85% +1.4 42
1979-05-01 West Brom L 0-2 1883 1966 38.02% 33.05% 28.93% -20.9 50
1979-05-01 @ Everton W 2-0 1966 1883 28.93% 33.05% 38.02% +20.9 53
1979-05-01 Liverpool L 1-4 1762 2065 14.26% 29.52% 56.23% -11.9 34
1979-05-01 @ Bolton Wanderers W 4-1 2065 1762 56.23% 29.52% 14.26% +11.9 60
1979-05-01 Birmingham City W 3-1 1824 1674 61.39% 29.45% 9.16% +5.9 37
1979-05-01 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1674 1824 9.16% 29.45% 61.39% -5.9 19
1979-05-02 Ipswich Town D 2-2 1889 1858 51.30% 32.19% 16.51% -1.6 43
1979-05-02 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1858 1889 16.51% 32.19% 51.30% +1.6 45
1979-05-02 Southampton W 1-0 1999 1799 64.86% 27.88% 7.25% +2.8 53
1979-05-02 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1799 1999 7.25% 27.88% 64.86% -2.8 40
1979-05-04 Queens Park Rangers W 4-3 1908 1696 65.62% 27.50% 6.88% +2.3 50
1979-05-04 @ Leeds United L 3-4 1696 1908 6.88% 27.50% 65.62% -2.3 25
1979-05-05 Arsenal D 0-0 1668 1853 24.79% 32.21% 43.01% +1.1 20
1979-05-05 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1853 1668 43.01% 32.21% 24.79% -1.1 47
1979-05-05 Aston Villa D 0-0 1750 1887 30.62% 32.78% 36.60% +0.4 35
1979-05-05 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1887 1750 36.60% 32.78% 30.62% -0.3 44
1979-05-05 Ipswich Town L 2-3 1583 1860 16.07% 30.23% 53.70% -5.1 18
1979-05-05 @ Chelsea W 3-2 1860 1583 53.70% 30.23% 16.07% +5.1 47
1979-05-05 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1753 1745 49.00% 32.51% 18.49% +18.3 44
1979-05-05 @ Coventry City L 0-3 1745 1753 18.49% 32.51% 49.00% -18.3 34
1979-05-05 Middlesbrough L 0-3 1700 1821 32.90% 32.91% 34.19% -27.4 31
1979-05-05 @ Derby County W 3-0 1821 1700 34.19% 32.91% 32.90% +27.5 40
1979-05-05 Southampton W 2-0 2077 1796 69.92% 25.03% 5.05% +3.5 62
1979-05-05 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1796 2077 5.05% 25.03% 69.92% -3.5 40
1979-05-05 Bristol City W 2-0 1830 1791 52.17% 32.04% 15.78% +11.1 39
1979-05-05 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1791 1830 15.78% 32.04% 52.17% -11.1 40
1979-05-05 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1747 2002 17.84% 30.80% 51.36% +2.0 37
1979-05-05 @ Norwich City D 1-1 2002 1747 51.36% 30.80% 17.84% -2.0 54
1979-05-05 Everton D 1-1 1724 1862 30.53% 32.78% 36.69% +0.3 37
1979-05-05 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1862 1724 36.69% 32.78% 30.53% -0.3 51
1979-05-05 Manchester United W 1-0 1987 1822 62.46% 29.00% 8.53% +3.4 55
1979-05-05 @ West Brom L 0-1 1822 1987 8.53% 29.00% 62.46% -3.4 42
1979-05-07 Birmingham City L 1-3 1694 1669 50.64% 32.29% 17.07% -22.9 25
1979-05-07 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-1 1669 1694 17.07% 32.29% 50.64% +22.9 22
1979-05-07 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1818 1727 56.85% 30.99% 12.16% +4.2 44
1979-05-07 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1727 1818 12.16% 30.99% 56.85% -4.2 34
1979-05-08 Southampton W 1-0 1990 1792 64.72% 27.95% 7.32% +2.9 57
1979-05-08 @ West Brom L 0-1 1792 1990 7.32% 27.95% 64.72% -2.9 40
1979-05-08 Aston Villa W 3-0 2080 1887 64.40% 28.11% 7.49% +8.0 64
1979-05-08 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1887 2080 7.49% 28.11% 64.40% -8.0 44
1979-05-08 Tottenham L 1-3 1750 1724 50.85% 32.26% 16.89% -23.0 35
1979-05-08 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1724 1750 16.89% 32.26% 50.85% +23.0 39
1979-05-09 Manchester City W 3-1 2000 1841 61.97% 29.21% 8.81% +5.7 56
1979-05-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1841 2000 8.81% 29.21% 61.97% -5.7 39
1979-05-11 Ipswich Town L 0-4 1671 1865 23.72% 32.05% 44.23% -28.3 25
1979-05-11 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-0 1865 1671 44.23% 32.05% 23.72% +28.3 49
1979-05-11 West Brom L 0-1 1879 1993 33.78% 32.95% 33.27% -10.2 44
1979-05-11 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1993 1879 33.27% 32.95% 33.78% +10.2 59
1979-05-11 Liverpool L 0-1 1848 2088 19.14% 31.15% 49.71% -6.7 40
1979-05-11 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 2088 1848 49.71% 31.15% 19.14% +6.7 66
1979-05-14 Arsenal D 1-1 1577 1852 16.29% 30.30% 53.41% +2.2 19
1979-05-14 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1852 1577 53.41% 30.30% 16.29% -2.2 48
1979-05-14 West Brom W 1-0 1747 2003 17.73% 30.76% 51.51% +14.0 41
1979-05-14 @ Tottenham L 0-1 2003 1747 51.51% 30.76% 17.73% -14.0 59
1979-05-15 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1910 2005 36.41% 33.03% 30.57% -10.1 50
1979-05-15 @ Leeds United W 2-1 2005 1910 30.57% 33.03% 36.41% +10.2 58
1979-05-15 Aston Villa L 2-3 1836 1869 44.37% 32.90% 22.72% -11.2 39
1979-05-15 @ Manchester City W 3-2 1869 1836 22.72% 32.90% 44.37% +11.2 46
1979-05-16 Chelsea D 1-1 1823 1580 67.63% 26.40% 5.97% -4.1 45
1979-05-16 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1580 1823 5.97% 26.40% 67.63% +4.1 20
1979-05-17 Liverpool L 0-3 1900 2095 23.62% 32.04% 44.35% -21.6 50
1979-05-17 @ Leeds United W 3-0 2095 1900 44.35% 32.04% 23.62% +21.6 68
1979-05-18 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1989 2015 45.18% 32.86% 21.96% -12.7 59
1979-05-18 @ West Brom W 1-0 2015 1989 21.96% 32.86% 45.18% +12.7 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-02-24 4.67% Wolverhampton 1681 1 @ Arsenal 1979 0
2 1979-01-20 6.90% Chelsea 1628 3 @ Manchester City 1839 2
3 1978-11-11 8.89% Derby County 1742 2 @ Manchester City 1899 1
4 1979-02-24 9.20% Ipswich Town 1762 1 @ Everton 1911 0
5 1978-11-25 9.47% Ipswich Town 1736 2 @ Manchester City 1880 1
6 1979-03-24 10.12% Tottenham 1743 3 @ Aston Villa 1872 2
7 1978-11-21 10.16% Wolverhampton 1658 1 @ Bristol City 1786 0
8 1978-12-09 10.54% Southampton 1743 2 @ Manchester City 1864 1
9 1978-10-07 10.75% Tottenham 1752 1 @ West Brom 1869 0
10 1978-10-27 10.77% Middlesbrough 1758 2 @ Aston Villa 1875 0
11 1979-02-10 11.82% Manchester United 1756 3 @ Manchester City 1854 0
12 1978-09-16 13.03% Tottenham 1746 2 @ Leeds United 1824 1
13 1979-02-24 13.21% Leeds United 1893 2 @ West Brom 1968 1
14 1979-02-10 14.03% Tottenham 1716 3 @ Coventry City 1779 1
15 1979-04-11 14.24% Bolton Wanderers 1775 2 @ Manchester United 1835 1
16 1978-12-02 14.40% Bolton Wanderers 1694 3 @ Queens Park Rangers 1752 1
17 1978-10-21 14.54% Bristol City 1775 3 @ Manchester United 1831 1
18 1979-02-03 15.53% @ Wolverhampton 1665 1 Everton 1950 0
19 1979-04-30 15.61% @ Wolverhampton 1730 1 Nottingham Forest 2013 0
20 1978-08-22 16.21% Middlesbrough 1762 3 @ Birmingham City 1796 1
21 1979-02-03 16.37% Derby County 1735 2 @ Southampton 1767 1
22 1978-09-16 16.40% Queens Park Rangers 1736 2 @ Middlesbrough 1768 0
23 1979-04-21 16.60% @ Chelsea 1571 2 Middlesbrough 1841 1
24 1979-05-08 16.89% Tottenham 1724 3 @ Bolton Wanderers 1750 1
25 1978-12-16 16.93% @ Bristol City 1780 1 Liverpool 2046 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-02-10 43.03 Manchester United 3 1756 11.82% @ Manchester City 0 1854 57.32% 30.86%
2 1978-12-23 42.79 Arsenal 5 1923 35.76% @ Tottenham 0 1791 31.40% 32.83%
3 1979-02-24 33.86 Manchester City 3 1811 23.43% @ Coventry City 0 1772 43.62% 32.94%
4 1979-02-17 33.58 @ Southampton 3 1756 24.25% Everton 0 1945 43.62% 32.13%
5 1978-12-26 33.05 @ Bristol City 5 1794 45.55% Coventry City 0 1817 21.62% 32.83%
6 1978-09-02 32.86 Leeds United 3 1810 24.94% @ Chelsea 0 1758 42.05% 33.00%
7 1978-12-16 32.68 @ Southampton 4 1758 38.33% Coventry City 0 1839 28.62% 33.05%
8 1978-11-11 32.41 Aston Villa 4 1843 38.89% @ Wolverhampton 0 1690 28.49% 32.62%
9 1978-11-11 32.01 @ Birmingham City 5 1684 30.79% Manchester United 1 1820 36.42% 32.80%
10 1979-04-21 31.44 @ Coventry City 4 1752 39.90% Southampton 0 1821 27.05% 33.05%
11 1979-02-03 30.98 Manchester City 3 1823 27.98% @ Tottenham 0 1747 38.96% 33.05%
12 1979-04-28 30.45 @ Queens Park Rangers 5 1666 33.24% Coventry City 1 1784 33.83% 32.93%
13 1978-10-27 30.33 Middlesbrough 2 1758 10.77% @ Aston Villa 0 1875 58.84% 30.38%
14 1979-05-11 28.31 Ipswich Town 4 1865 44.23% @ Queens Park Rangers 0 1671 23.72% 32.05%
15 1978-12-22 28.21 @ Bolton Wanderers 3 1709 32.84% Manchester United 0 1830 34.25% 32.91%
16 1978-10-21 27.76 @ West Brom 7 1873 49.99% Coventry City 1 1855 17.63% 32.38%
17 1978-08-26 27.67 @ Ipswich Town 3 1727 33.76% Manchester United 0 1841 33.29% 32.95%
18 1979-05-05 27.45 Middlesbrough 3 1821 34.19% @ Derby County 0 1700 32.90% 32.91%
19 1978-09-16 26.85 Queens Park Rangers 2 1736 16.40% @ Middlesbrough 0 1768 51.43% 32.17%
20 1979-04-24 26.32 @ Wolverhampton 4 1705 46.14% Derby County 0 1723 21.07% 32.79%
21 1978-08-23 26.17 Aston Villa 4 1856 27.89% @ Tottenham 1 1780 39.06% 33.05%
22 1978-08-26 25.53 Liverpool 4 1950 29.17% @ Manchester City 1 1865 37.78% 33.05%
23 1978-09-16 24.46 @ Norwich City 4 1754 48.31% Birmingham City 0 1752 19.11% 32.59%
24 1979-02-10 24.45 Tottenham 3 1716 14.03% @ Coventry City 1 1779 54.36% 31.61%
25 1978-12-02 24.25 Bolton Wanderers 3 1694 14.40% @ Queens Park Rangers 1 1752 53.88% 31.72%