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1977-78 Football League Second Division Season

462 games

Final

Promoted

Bolton Wanderers

58 pts

Southampton · 57 pts

Tottenham · 56 pts

Relegated

Hull City

28 pts

Mansfield Town · 31 pts

Blackpool · 37 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Brighton

10.39 points above expected

56 points · 45.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hull City

8.90 points below expected

28 points · 36.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bolton Wanderers Promoted 42 24 10 8 58 63 33 +30 51.47 +6.53
2 Southampton Promoted 42 22 13 7 57 70 39 +31 48.84 +8.16
3 Tottenham Promoted 42 20 16 6 56 83 49 +34 53.14 +2.86
4 Brighton 42 22 12 8 56 63 38 +25 45.61 +10.39
5 Blackburn Rovers 42 16 13 13 45 56 60 -4 43.41 +1.59
6 Sunderland 42 14 16 12 44 67 59 +8 44.75 -0.75
7 Stoke City 42 16 10 16 42 53 49 +4 43.86 -1.86
8 Oldham Athletic 42 13 16 13 42 54 58 -4 40.54 +1.46
9 Crystal Palace 42 13 15 14 41 50 47 +3 45.79 -4.79
10 Fulham 42 14 13 15 41 49 49 0 40.88 +0.12
11 Burnley 42 15 10 17 40 56 64 -8 35.87 +4.13
12 Sheffield United 42 16 8 18 40 62 73 -11 39.41 +0.59
13 Luton Town 42 14 10 18 38 54 52 +2 45.03 -7.03
14 Leyton Orient 42 10 18 14 38 43 49 -6 36.36 +1.64
15 Notts County 42 11 16 15 38 54 62 -8 41.46 -3.46
16 Millwall 42 12 14 16 38 49 57 -8 37.35 +0.65
17 Charlton Athletic 42 13 12 17 38 55 68 -13 41.06 -3.06
18 Bristol Rovers 42 13 12 17 38 61 77 -16 37.42 +0.58
19 Cardiff City 42 13 12 17 38 51 71 -20 34.56 +3.44
20 Blackpool Relegated 42 12 13 17 37 59 60 -1 44.48 -7.48
21 Mansfield Town Relegated 42 10 11 21 31 49 69 -20 35.82 -4.82
22 Hull City Relegated 42 8 12 22 28 34 52 -18 36.90 -8.90

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Tottenham 1741 56 53.14 +2.86 75.2% 35 45 50 53 56 61 70
Southampton 1736 57 48.84 +8.16 96.2% 27 41 46 49 52 57 68
Bolton Wanderers 1734 58 51.47 +6.53 92.9% 33 43 48 52 55 59 71
Brighton 1718 56 45.61 +10.39 98.6% 28 37 42 46 49 54 65
Sunderland 1636 44 44.75 -0.75 48.1% 25 37 41 45 48 53 65
Stoke City 1601 42 43.86 -1.86 39.9% 26 36 40 44 47 52 62
Crystal Palace 1598 41 45.79 -4.79 19.4% 27 38 42 46 49 54 65
Burnley 1587 40 35.87 +4.13 82.4% 18 28 33 36 39 44 55
Notts County 1565 38 41.46 -3.46 27.6% 23 33 38 41 45 50 62
Millwall 1563 38 37.35 +0.65 58.9% 18 29 34 37 41 45 55
Oldham Athletic 1562 42 40.54 +1.46 65.6% 21 33 37 41 44 49 60
Luton Town 1557 38 45.03 -7.03 9.1% 27 37 42 45 48 53 63
Fulham 1556 41 40.88 +0.12 54.8% 21 33 38 41 44 49 60
Leyton Orient 1545 38 36.36 +1.64 67.2% 19 28 33 36 40 45 55
Blackburn Rovers 1540 45 43.41 +1.59 66.1% 25 35 40 43 47 52 66
Sheffield United 1534 40 39.41 +0.59 59.0% 22 31 36 39 43 48 58
Bristol Rovers 1533 38 37.42 +0.58 59.1% 20 29 34 37 41 46 56
Blackpool 1525 37 44.48 -7.48 8.1% 28 36 41 44 48 53 65
Charlton Athletic 1523 38 41.06 -3.06 30.8% 24 33 38 41 44 49 58
Cardiff City 1522 38 34.56 +3.44 79.0% 17 26 31 35 38 43 51
Mansfield Town 1490 31 35.82 -4.82 18.8% 20 28 32 36 39 44 54
Hull City 1428 28 36.90 -8.90 4.8% 17 29 33 37 40 45 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BR BLA BW BRI BR BUR CC CA CP FUL HC LO LT MT MIL NC OA SU SOU SC SUN TOT
Blackburn Rovers —
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.68
2-0-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.14
Blackpool
2-0-0
2.80
 —
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
3.23
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.82
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.36
Bolton Wanderers
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.29
 —
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
3.77
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.97
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.22
0-2-0
3.05
0-2-0
3.39
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.57
Brighton
1-1-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.35
 —
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.18
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.39
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.02
Bristol Rovers
2-0-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.64
0-1-1
2.03
 —
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.68
Burnley
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.34
 —
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.25
0-2-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
1.53
Cardiff City
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.35
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.54
 —
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-2
2.07
0-2-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
1.89
0-1-1
1.77
Charlton Athletic
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
3.32
 —
1-1-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.96
Crystal Palace
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.24
0-2-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.15
 —
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
3.42
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.27
Fulham
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
1.66
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.36
 —
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
3.51
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.40
0-1-1
1.89
Hull City
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.00
0-0-2
2.50
 —
0-1-1
2.53
0-2-0
1.95
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
1.62
Leyton Orient
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.89
 —
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.22
0-2-0
2.11
0-2-0
1.56
Luton Town
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
3.02
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.92
0-2-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.36
 —
0-1-1
3.50
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.17
Mansfield Town
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.05
0-0-2
1.46
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
1.91
2-0-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
1.92
 —
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.31
0-2-0
1.10
Millwall
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
1.55
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.79
 —
0-2-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
1.95
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.39
Notts County
0-1-1
2.73
0-2-0
2.43
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.99
0-2-0
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.89
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
1.90
Oldham Athletic
0-0-2
2.71
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.20
0-2-0
2.05
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.10
0-2-0
2.93
0-2-0
2.20
2-0-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.83
 —
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
1.93
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
1.87
Sheffield United
1-1-0
2.44
0-2-0
2.32
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.68
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.10
 —
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.91
Southampton
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
2.58
0-2-0
2.35
0-2-0
2.99
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.90
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
3.49
2-0-0
3.00
0-2-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.32
 —
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.98
0-2-0
2.51
Stoke City
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.01
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.53
 —
0-1-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.09
Sunderland
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
3.52
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.70
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.54
 —
1-0-1
2.05
Tottenham
1-1-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.92
1-1-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.84
0-2-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.23
0-2-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.50
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.37
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.59 +6.2
Allowed 0.42 -4.4
Differential 0.86 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.44%8.12%6.17%2.49%0.87%0.32%26.41%
18.12%15.37%7.14%3.25%1.84%1.08%36.80%
26.17%7.14%5.41%2.06%0.76%0.32%21.86%
32.49%3.25%2.06%1.30%0.11%0.22%9.42%
40.87%1.84%0.76%0.11%——3.57%
5+0.32%1.08%0.32%0.22%——1.95%
Total26.41%36.80%21.86%9.42%3.57%1.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.73
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%2.38%—2.38%4.76%28.57%
19.52%14.29%2.38%—2.38%—28.57%
24.76%9.52%7.14%—4.76%2.38%28.57%
34.76%2.38%2.38%———9.52%
42.38%—2.38%———4.76%
5+———————
Total30.95%35.71%16.67%—9.52%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.43 -0.10
SD 1.14 1.53 1.97
CV 0.86 1.07 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%14.29%—2.38%—26.19%
12.38%16.67%16.67%2.38%——38.10%
2—7.14%9.52%———16.67%
34.76%7.14%————11.90%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
Total11.90%40.48%42.86%2.38%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.43 -0.02
SD 1.33 0.83 1.72
CV 0.94 0.58 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%2.38%———19.05%
116.67%9.52%9.52%———35.71%
216.67%14.29%4.76%———35.71%
32.38%—————2.38%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
Total45.24%33.33%19.05%2.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.79 +0.71
SD 1.27 0.84 1.29
CV 0.85 1.07 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%2.38%———19.05%
114.29%19.05%4.76%———38.10%
24.76%19.05%2.38%———26.19%
3—2.38%4.76%—2.38%—9.52%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total30.95%52.38%14.29%—2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.90 +0.60
SD 1.19 0.82 1.33
CV 0.80 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%—4.76%2.38%2.38%21.43%
14.76%14.29%4.76%9.52%2.38%2.38%38.10%
24.76%2.38%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
32.38%4.76%4.76%———11.90%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total19.05%33.33%16.67%21.43%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.83 -0.38
SD 1.17 1.71 2.28
CV 0.81 0.93 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%4.76%11.90%——28.57%
17.14%11.90%9.52%—4.76%—33.33%
24.76%9.52%2.38%4.76%——21.43%
3—7.14%—2.38%——9.52%
4—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
5+———————
Total19.05%38.10%19.05%19.05%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.52 -0.19
SD 1.20 1.15 1.76
CV 0.90 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%4.76%4.76%2.38%—23.81%
114.29%16.67%4.76%4.76%4.76%2.38%47.62%
22.38%7.14%4.76%2.38%2.38%—19.05%
3—2.38%———2.38%4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total23.81%33.33%16.67%11.90%9.52%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.69 -0.48
SD 1.09 1.58 1.82
CV 0.90 0.94 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%4.76%2.38%2.38%—33.33%
12.38%9.52%7.14%2.38%2.38%4.76%28.57%
22.38%4.76%9.52%———16.67%
34.76%4.76%7.14%———16.67%
4—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
5+———————
Total19.05%35.71%28.57%7.14%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.62 -0.31
SD 1.24 1.45 1.91
CV 0.95 0.89 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%7.14%4.76%——33.33%
19.52%14.29%4.76%2.38%——30.95%
29.52%2.38%9.52%2.38%——23.81%
32.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
4———————
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total33.33%33.33%21.43%11.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.12 +0.07
SD 1.15 1.02 1.60
CV 0.97 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%16.67%—2.38%—33.33%
19.52%19.05%7.14%2.38%——38.10%
27.14%4.76%2.38%———14.29%
34.76%—2.38%2.38%——9.52%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total28.57%35.71%28.57%4.76%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.21 0.99 1.68
CV 1.04 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%11.90%4.76%——45.24%
17.14%19.05%9.52%2.38%——38.10%
24.76%—2.38%2.38%——9.52%
32.38%—2.38%———4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total21.43%42.86%26.19%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.24 -0.43
SD 0.97 0.91 1.38
CV 1.20 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.05%14.29%7.14%———40.48%
12.38%19.05%7.14%—2.38%2.38%33.33%
22.38%9.52%4.76%———16.67%
32.38%2.38%————4.76%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total26.19%45.24%21.43%2.38%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.17 -0.14
SD 1.18 1.08 1.35
CV 1.15 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%7.14%———26.19%
114.29%11.90%14.29%4.76%4.76%—50.00%
22.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
3—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
44.76%2.38%————7.14%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total30.95%33.33%21.43%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.24 +0.05
SD 1.42 1.14 1.86
CV 1.10 0.92 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%11.90%9.52%2.38%——26.19%
14.76%14.29%7.14%14.29%—2.38%42.86%
24.76%7.14%7.14%—2.38%—21.43%
32.38%2.38%—2.38%——7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total14.29%38.10%23.81%19.05%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.64 -0.48
SD 0.99 1.16 1.58
CV 0.84 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%4.76%4.76%——26.19%
19.52%16.67%7.14%4.76%2.38%—40.48%
211.90%—4.76%4.76%—2.38%23.81%
32.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%——9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%26.19%19.05%16.67%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.36 -0.19
SD 0.93 1.30 1.53
CV 0.80 0.96 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%2.38%7.14%———16.67%
14.76%21.43%11.90%7.14%2.38%2.38%50.00%
29.52%2.38%7.14%2.38%——21.43%
32.38%2.38%4.76%2.38%——11.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.81%28.57%30.95%11.90%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.48 -0.19
SD 0.89 1.19 1.47
CV 0.69 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%——21.43%
17.14%23.81%—2.38%2.38%2.38%38.10%
29.52%9.52%9.52%2.38%2.38%—33.33%
32.38%————2.38%4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total23.81%45.24%14.29%7.14%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.38 -0.10
SD 0.94 1.32 1.56
CV 0.73 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%4.76%4.76%4.76%4.76%—21.43%
14.76%14.29%9.52%2.38%4.76%4.76%40.48%
211.90%7.14%2.38%—2.38%—23.81%
3——4.76%———4.76%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
Total19.05%33.33%23.81%7.14%11.90%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.74 -0.26
SD 1.37 1.43 2.20
CV 0.93 0.82 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%—2.38%——21.43%
111.90%11.90%2.38%———26.19%
27.14%9.52%4.76%4.76%——26.19%
34.76%9.52%2.38%2.38%——19.05%
4—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total38.10%40.48%11.90%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.93 +0.74
SD 1.28 0.95 1.45
CV 0.77 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%9.52%2.38%——30.95%
19.52%11.90%9.52%4.76%2.38%—38.10%
24.76%9.52%—2.38%——16.67%
32.38%—2.38%———4.76%
44.76%—2.38%———7.14%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total33.33%30.95%23.81%9.52%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.17 +0.10
SD 1.29 1.08 1.76
CV 1.02 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%2.38%7.14%2.38%——21.43%
14.76%16.67%4.76%2.38%——28.57%
24.76%4.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%28.57%
34.76%7.14%2.38%2.38%——16.67%
4———————
5+—4.76%————4.76%
Total23.81%35.71%23.81%11.90%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.40 +0.19
SD 1.27 1.19 1.69
CV 0.80 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%2.38%2.38%———16.67%
17.14%11.90%2.38%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
24.76%11.90%7.14%2.38%——26.19%
32.38%7.14%2.38%7.14%——19.05%
42.38%2.38%2.38%———7.14%
5+2.38%2.38%————4.76%
Total30.95%38.10%16.67%11.90%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.98 1.17 +0.81
SD 1.69 1.08 1.95
CV 0.85 0.93 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brighton 56 45.61 +10.39
2 Southampton 57 48.84 +8.16
3 Bolton Wanderers 58 51.47 +6.53
4 Burnley 40 35.87 +4.13
5 Cardiff City 38 34.56 +3.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hull City 28 36.90 -8.90
2 Blackpool 37 44.48 -7.48
3 Luton Town 38 45.03 -7.03
4 Mansfield Town 31 35.82 -4.82
5 Crystal Palace 41 45.79 -4.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oldham Athletic 7 Dec 17 – Jan 21 1 in 2,421
2 Millwall 6 Apr 15 – May 2 1 in 368
3 Burnley 5 Mar 11 – Mar 27 1 in 296
4 Cardiff City 3 Apr 22 – May 3 1 in 63
5 Southampton 4 Dec 17 – Dec 31 1 in 63

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Charlton Athletic 5 Dec 26 – Jan 14 1 in 273
2 Bolton Wanderers 2 Dec 31 – Jan 2 1 in 86
3 Hull City 5 Apr 11 – Apr 29 1 in 61
4 Blackpool 3 Dec 17 – Dec 27 1 in 44
5 Millwall 4 Dec 10 – Dec 28 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oldham Athletic 13 Nov 19 – Feb 18 1 in 504
2 Burnley 10 Feb 25 – Apr 15 1 in 178
3 Tottenham 19 Dec 3 – Mar 27 1 in 57
4 Bristol Rovers 8 Jan 2 – Mar 11 1 in 36
5 Sheffield United 8 Oct 1 – Nov 12 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Charlton Athletic 12 Dec 26 – Mar 17 1 in 217
2 Millwall 14 Oct 4 – Dec 28 1 in 205
3 Notts County 11 Aug 20 – Oct 15 1 in 143
4 Blackpool 11 Mar 18 – Apr 29 1 in 129
5 Sunderland 8 Aug 27 – Oct 8 1 in 70

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Bolton Wanderers26.24%23.28%15.50%10.38%7.30%4.72%3.45%2.53%2.02%1.36%1.12%0.55%0.55%0.31%0.26%0.17%0.14%0.08%0.03%0.01%——
Southampton12.49%15.13%15.21%12.20%9.83%7.88%6.40%4.79%4.11%3.19%2.36%1.81%1.25%1.13%0.73%0.53%0.40%0.18%0.19%0.10%0.08%0.01%
Tottenham42.58%22.08%12.32%7.75%4.80%3.24%2.32%1.49%1.12%0.77%0.47%0.40%0.30%0.11%0.11%0.06%0.05%0.02%0.01%———
Brighton3.63%6.68%9.07%9.93%9.51%8.64%8.46%7.59%6.51%5.74%5.34%4.01%3.66%2.69%2.23%2.11%1.36%1.16%0.75%0.55%0.26%0.12%
Blackburn Rovers1.22%2.87%4.12%5.93%6.24%7.18%7.14%6.99%7.20%6.90%6.97%6.18%5.59%5.31%4.72%3.92%3.53%2.60%2.08%1.53%1.21%0.57%
Sunderland2.25%4.83%6.92%7.73%8.41%8.59%8.38%7.93%6.86%6.62%5.82%5.21%4.45%3.72%3.25%2.89%2.10%1.50%1.07%0.72%0.46%0.29%
Stoke City1.62%3.60%5.41%6.26%7.21%7.57%7.55%7.61%6.89%7.28%6.26%5.94%5.38%4.69%4.09%3.40%2.71%2.37%1.66%1.23%0.87%0.40%
Oldham Athletic0.24%0.81%1.69%2.27%3.18%3.86%4.56%5.03%6.08%5.93%6.41%6.83%7.04%7.10%6.72%6.62%5.74%5.67%5.10%4.11%3.12%1.89%
Crystal Palace3.57%6.46%8.24%9.40%9.49%9.22%8.53%7.50%6.49%5.67%5.09%4.52%3.65%2.91%2.52%2.11%1.60%1.20%0.64%0.57%0.43%0.19%
Fulham0.41%1.01%1.87%2.89%3.48%4.25%4.97%5.78%6.22%6.65%6.40%7.18%6.58%6.75%6.67%6.16%5.33%4.71%4.23%3.58%2.96%1.92%
Burnley0.03%0.10%0.11%0.25%0.43%0.82%1.15%1.74%1.90%2.25%3.05%3.59%4.71%4.99%5.84%6.90%7.60%8.99%9.82%10.87%11.85%13.01%
Sheffield United0.14%0.56%0.88%1.34%2.10%2.98%3.21%3.86%4.62%5.05%5.57%6.14%6.64%6.91%7.19%7.26%7.35%6.88%6.59%5.84%5.16%3.73%
Luton Town2.54%5.22%7.17%8.10%8.64%8.46%7.91%7.72%7.24%6.12%5.88%5.17%4.47%3.92%2.88%2.45%2.01%1.61%0.99%0.81%0.49%0.20%
Leyton Orient0.01%0.13%0.25%0.51%0.69%1.01%1.38%1.70%2.13%2.65%3.38%4.14%4.64%5.39%6.57%7.20%7.62%9.08%9.83%10.26%10.82%10.61%
Notts County0.58%1.27%2.26%2.94%4.10%4.59%5.22%5.85%6.56%6.68%6.47%6.93%6.90%6.54%6.19%5.60%5.30%4.86%3.73%3.10%2.72%1.61%
Millwall0.04%0.15%0.32%0.58%0.92%1.26%1.85%2.34%2.84%3.74%4.13%4.71%5.76%6.55%6.89%7.32%8.16%8.75%9.26%8.33%8.36%7.74%
Charlton Athletic0.45%1.29%1.83%2.91%3.15%4.14%4.45%5.54%5.97%6.38%6.83%6.24%6.51%6.64%6.09%6.74%5.90%5.27%4.64%4.04%2.83%2.16%
Bristol Rovers0.05%0.20%0.43%0.62%0.91%1.29%1.76%2.33%2.90%3.58%3.71%4.95%5.58%5.53%6.61%6.97%8.28%8.38%9.21%8.92%9.33%8.46%
Cardiff City0.01%0.04%0.09%0.07%0.32%0.43%0.73%0.80%0.97%1.63%2.06%2.41%2.79%3.91%4.68%5.08%6.93%8.18%9.40%12.47%15.27%21.73%
Blackpool1.88%4.14%5.96%7.21%7.98%8.10%7.78%7.73%7.61%6.90%6.43%5.37%4.60%4.29%3.28%3.02%2.28%1.88%1.31%1.06%0.89%0.30%
Mansfield Town0.01%0.03%0.11%0.26%0.51%0.64%1.09%1.24%1.40%2.21%2.62%3.49%3.83%5.03%5.94%6.16%7.61%8.29%10.47%11.63%13.00%14.43%
Hull City0.01%0.12%0.24%0.47%0.80%1.13%1.71%1.91%2.36%2.70%3.63%4.23%5.12%5.58%6.54%7.33%8.00%8.34%8.99%10.27%9.89%10.63%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.25%
Strong Edge
50.87%30.52%18.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge
213 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0116.20600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Bolton Wanderers, 2nd of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.02/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.95 * Some Luck: 3.95 to 5.92 * Lucky: 5.92 to 7.89 * Wild Swing: 7.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3 * Close: 3 to 4.5 * Off: 4.5 to 6 * Way Off: 6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.76 * A Surprise: 1.76 to 2.81 * Several Surprises: 2.81 to 3.87 * Many Surprises: 3.87 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.86 points
Some Luck
04.9312
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.73
Close
03.758
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
98.60%
Brighton
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
4.75%
Hull City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.83

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.24
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.30
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.11 * Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.12
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.67
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.0710.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Tottenham 76.98% 23.02% —
Bolton Wanderers 65.02% 34.97% 0.01%
Southampton 42.83% 56.98% 0.19%
Brighton 19.38% 79.69% 0.93%
Crystal Palace 18.27% 80.54% 1.19%
Luton Town 14.93% 83.57% 1.50%
Sunderland 14.00% 84.53% 1.47%
Blackpool 11.98% 85.77% 2.25%
Stoke City 10.63% 86.87% 2.50%
Blackburn Rovers 8.21% 88.48% 3.31%
Notts County 4.11% 88.46% 7.43%
Fulham 3.29% 88.25% 8.46%
Charlton Athletic 3.57% 87.40% 9.03%
Oldham Athletic 2.74% 88.14% 9.12%
Sheffield United 1.58% 83.69% 14.73%
Millwall 0.51% 75.06% 24.43%
Bristol Rovers 0.68% 72.61% 26.71%
Hull City 0.37% 68.84% 30.79%
Leyton Orient 0.39% 67.92% 31.69%
Burnley 0.24% 64.03% 35.73%
Mansfield Town 0.15% 60.79% 39.06%
Cardiff City 0.14% 50.39% 49.47%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1977-08-20 Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1612 1546 57.50% 29.04% 13.46% -2.9 1
1977-08-20 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1546 1612 13.46% 29.04% 57.50% +2.9 1
1977-08-20 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1559 1613 45.34% 30.25% 24.41% -13.2 0
1977-08-20 @ Burnley W 1-0 1613 1559 24.41% 30.25% 45.34% +13.1 2
1977-08-20 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1545 1545 51.40% 29.88% 18.72% -2.0 1
1977-08-20 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1545 1545 18.72% 29.88% 51.40% +2.0 1
1977-08-20 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1554 1594 47.03% 30.18% 22.79% -1.5 1
1977-08-20 @ Fulham D 1-1 1594 1554 22.79% 30.18% 47.03% +1.5 1
1977-08-20 Sunderland W 3-0 1547 1658 37.96% 30.29% 31.75% +27.5 2
1977-08-20 @ Hull City L 0-3 1658 1547 31.75% 30.29% 37.96% -27.5 0
1977-08-20 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1618 1530 59.33% 28.65% 12.02% +4.7 2
1977-08-20 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1530 1618 12.02% 28.65% 59.33% -4.7 0
1977-08-20 Stoke City W 2-1 1575 1619 46.60% 30.20% 23.20% +7.6 2
1977-08-20 @ Mansfield Town L 1-2 1619 1575 23.20% 30.20% 46.60% -7.6 0
1977-08-20 Crystal Palace L 0-3 1572 1610 47.33% 30.17% 22.50% -37.4 0
1977-08-20 @ Millwall W 3-0 1610 1572 22.50% 30.17% 47.33% +37.4 2
1977-08-20 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1597 1548 56.07% 29.29% 14.64% -2.7 1
1977-08-20 @ Notts County D 1-1 1548 1597 14.64% 29.29% 56.07% +2.7 1
1977-08-20 Brighton D 1-1 1598 1554 55.67% 29.36% 14.98% -2.6 1
1977-08-20 @ Southampton D 1-1 1554 1598 14.98% 29.36% 55.67% +2.6 1
1977-08-20 Sheffield United W 4-2 1636 1562 58.12% 28.92% 12.97% +7.3 2
1977-08-20 @ Tottenham L 2-4 1562 1636 12.97% 28.92% 58.12% -7.3 0
1977-08-23 Millwall W 2-1 1627 1535 59.59% 28.59% 11.82% +4.3 4
1977-08-23 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1535 1627 11.82% 28.59% 59.59% -4.3 0
1977-08-23 Notts County D 2-2 1547 1595 46.18% 30.22% 23.60% -1.0 2
1977-08-23 @ Bristol Rovers D 2-2 1595 1547 23.60% 30.22% 46.18% +1.0 2
1977-08-23 Mansfield Town W 3-1 1647 1583 57.37% 29.06% 13.57% +8.5 4
1977-08-23 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1583 1647 13.57% 29.06% 57.37% -8.5 2
1977-08-23 Blackpool L 1-4 1525 1609 41.63% 30.31% 28.06% -28.3 0
1977-08-23 @ Leyton Orient W 4-1 1609 1525 28.06% 30.31% 41.63% +28.3 3
1977-08-23 Fulham W 2-0 1549 1552 51.07% 29.91% 19.02% +13.0 3
1977-08-23 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1552 1549 19.02% 29.91% 51.07% -13.0 1
1977-08-23 Hull City W 2-0 1555 1574 49.35% 30.05% 20.60% +13.8 2
1977-08-23 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1574 1555 20.60% 30.05% 49.35% -13.8 2
1977-08-23 Burnley W 3-0 1631 1546 59.05% 28.72% 12.23% +13.0 2
1977-08-23 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1546 1631 12.23% 28.72% 59.05% -13.0 0
1977-08-24 Tottenham D 0-0 1551 1643 40.59% 30.31% 29.09% -0.7 2
1977-08-24 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1643 1551 29.09% 30.31% 40.59% +0.7 3
1977-08-24 Southampton W 1-0 1611 1596 52.96% 29.72% 17.32% +6.4 2
1977-08-24 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1596 1611 17.32% 29.72% 52.96% -6.4 1
1977-08-27 Cardiff City W 3-0 1550 1543 52.08% 29.82% 18.10% +18.1 4
1977-08-27 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1543 1550 18.10% 29.82% 52.08% -18.1 1
1977-08-27 Sheffield United W 2-1 1631 1569 57.19% 29.10% 13.71% +5.0 6
1977-08-27 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1569 1631 13.71% 29.10% 57.19% -5.0 2
1977-08-27 Millwall W 3-2 1556 1530 53.94% 29.60% 16.46% +5.5 3
1977-08-27 @ Brighton L 2-3 1530 1556 16.46% 29.60% 53.94% -5.5 0
1977-08-27 Fulham D 0-0 1546 1540 52.08% 29.82% 18.11% -2.4 3
1977-08-27 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1540 1546 18.11% 29.82% 52.08% +2.4 2
1977-08-27 Blackpool W 3-1 1595 1638 46.77% 30.19% 23.04% +13.0 3
1977-08-27 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1638 1595 23.04% 30.19% 46.77% -13.0 3
1977-08-27 Hull City L 0-1 1655 1560 59.84% 28.53% 11.63% -17.0 4
1977-08-27 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1560 1655 11.63% 28.53% 59.84% +16.9 4
1977-08-27 Luton Town W 1-0 1562 1623 44.58% 30.27% 25.15% +8.5 5
1977-08-27 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1623 1562 25.15% 30.27% 44.58% -8.5 2
1977-08-27 Mansfield Town W 1-0 1589 1574 52.90% 29.73% 17.37% +6.4 3
1977-08-27 @ Southampton L 0-1 1574 1589 17.37% 29.73% 52.90% -6.4 2
1977-08-27 Burnley W 2-1 1618 1533 59.04% 28.72% 12.24% +4.5 4
1977-08-27 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1533 1618 12.24% 28.72% 59.04% -4.5 0
1977-08-27 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1644 1497 63.56% 27.46% 8.99% -3.7 3
1977-08-27 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1497 1644 8.99% 27.46% 63.56% +3.7 1
1977-08-27 Notts County W 2-1 1644 1596 55.97% 29.31% 14.72% +5.3 5
1977-08-27 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1596 1644 14.72% 29.31% 55.97% -5.3 2
1977-09-03 Bristol Rovers W 3-1 1625 1544 58.73% 28.79% 12.48% +7.9 5
1977-09-03 @ Blackpool L 1-3 1544 1625 12.48% 28.79% 58.73% -7.9 3
1977-09-03 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1528 1638 38.19% 30.29% 31.52% -0.4 1
1977-09-03 @ Burnley D 1-1 1638 1528 31.52% 30.29% 38.19% +0.4 5
1977-09-03 Tottenham D 0-0 1525 1649 36.30% 30.25% 33.45% -0.2 2
1977-09-03 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1649 1525 33.45% 30.25% 36.30% +0.2 6
1977-09-03 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1542 1568 48.58% 30.10% 21.32% -1.8 3
1977-09-03 @ Fulham D 0-0 1568 1542 21.32% 30.10% 48.58% +1.9 5
1977-09-03 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1577 1636 44.84% 30.26% 24.90% -1.3 5
1977-09-03 @ Hull City D 0-0 1636 1577 24.90% 30.26% 44.84% +1.3 7
1977-09-03 Oldham Athletic W 5-3 1501 1571 43.39% 30.30% 26.31% +12.1 3
1977-09-03 @ Leyton Orient L 3-5 1571 1501 26.31% 30.30% 43.39% -12.1 5
1977-09-03 Charlton Athletic W 7-1 1614 1608 52.00% 29.82% 18.17% +28.7 4
1977-09-03 @ Luton Town L 1-7 1608 1614 18.17% 29.82% 52.00% -28.7 3
1977-09-03 Brighton L 1-2 1568 1562 52.01% 29.82% 18.17% -14.0 2
1977-09-03 @ Mansfield Town W 2-1 1562 1568 18.17% 29.82% 52.01% +14.0 5
1977-09-03 Stoke City D 0-0 1525 1622 39.91% 30.31% 29.78% -0.7 1
1977-09-03 @ Millwall D 0-0 1622 1525 29.78% 30.31% 39.91% +0.6 5
1977-09-03 Southampton L 2-3 1590 1596 50.84% 29.93% 19.23% -13.0 2
1977-09-03 @ Notts County W 3-2 1596 1590 19.23% 29.93% 50.84% +13.0 5
1977-09-03 Sunderland D 1-1 1564 1640 42.63% 30.31% 27.07% -0.9 3
1977-09-03 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1640 1564 27.07% 30.31% 42.63% +0.9 4
1977-09-10 Blackpool L 1-2 1570 1633 44.35% 30.28% 25.38% -12.2 5
1977-09-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1633 1570 25.38% 30.28% 44.35% +12.2 7
1977-09-10 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1637 1559 58.55% 28.83% 12.63% +4.9 9
1977-09-10 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1559 1637 12.63% 28.83% 58.55% -4.9 5
1977-09-10 Hull City W 2-1 1576 1576 51.37% 29.89% 18.75% +6.4 7
1977-09-10 @ Brighton L 1-2 1576 1576 18.75% 29.89% 51.37% -6.4 5
1977-09-10 Luton Town L 1-2 1536 1643 38.58% 30.30% 31.13% -10.9 3
1977-09-10 @ Bristol Rovers W 2-1 1643 1536 31.13% 30.30% 38.58% +10.9 6
1977-09-10 Leyton Orient W 2-1 1580 1513 57.60% 29.02% 13.38% +4.8 5
1977-09-10 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1513 1580 13.38% 29.02% 57.60% -4.8 3
1977-09-10 Sunderland D 2-2 1639 1641 51.17% 29.90% 18.93% -1.5 6
1977-09-10 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 1641 1639 18.93% 29.90% 51.17% +1.5 5
1977-09-10 Millwall D 0-0 1554 1524 54.29% 29.56% 16.16% -2.7 3
1977-09-10 @ Mansfield Town D 0-0 1524 1554 16.16% 29.56% 54.29% +2.7 2
1977-09-10 Cardiff City D 1-1 1577 1525 56.35% 29.24% 14.40% -2.7 3
1977-09-10 @ Notts County D 1-1 1525 1577 14.40% 29.24% 56.35% +2.7 3
1977-09-10 Burnley W 3-0 1609 1528 58.71% 28.79% 12.50% +13.3 7
1977-09-10 @ Southampton L 0-3 1528 1609 12.50% 28.79% 58.71% -13.3 1
1977-09-10 Sheffield United W 4-0 1623 1563 57.01% 29.13% 13.86% +19.0 7
1977-09-10 @ Stoke City L 0-4 1563 1623 13.86% 29.13% 57.01% -19.0 3
1977-09-10 Fulham W 1-0 1649 1540 60.90% 28.26% 10.84% +4.3 8
1977-09-10 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1540 1649 10.84% 28.26% 60.90% -4.3 3
1977-09-17 Tottenham L 0-2 1645 1653 50.50% 29.96% 19.54% -27.2 7
1977-09-17 @ Blackpool W 2-0 1653 1645 19.54% 29.96% 50.50% +27.2 10
1977-09-17 Brighton D 0-0 1515 1582 43.75% 30.29% 25.96% -1.2 2
1977-09-17 @ Burnley D 0-0 1582 1515 25.96% 30.29% 43.75% +1.2 8
1977-09-17 Mansfield Town D 1-1 1528 1551 48.89% 30.08% 21.03% -1.7 4
1977-09-17 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1551 1528 21.03% 30.08% 48.89% +1.7 4
1977-09-17 Notts County W 5-1 1536 1575 47.17% 30.18% 22.66% +23.5 5
1977-09-17 @ Fulham L 1-5 1575 1536 22.66% 30.18% 47.17% -23.5 3
1977-09-17 Stoke City D 0-0 1570 1642 43.15% 30.30% 26.55% -1.1 6
1977-09-17 @ Hull City D 0-0 1642 1570 26.55% 30.30% 43.15% +1.1 8
1977-09-17 Bristol Rovers W 2-1 1508 1525 49.59% 30.03% 20.38% +6.8 5
1977-09-17 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1525 1508 20.38% 30.03% 49.59% -6.8 3
1977-09-17 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1654 1558 59.93% 28.51% 11.56% -3.6 7
1977-09-17 @ Luton Town D 0-0 1558 1654 11.56% 28.51% 59.93% +3.6 6
1977-09-17 Southampton W 3-0 1527 1622 40.22% 30.31% 29.47% +26.1 4
1977-09-17 @ Millwall L 0-3 1622 1527 29.47% 30.31% 40.22% -26.1 7
1977-09-17 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1554 1585 48.08% 30.13% 21.79% -1.6 6
1977-09-17 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1585 1554 21.79% 30.13% 48.08% +1.6 6
1977-09-17 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1544 1637 40.41% 30.31% 29.28% -22.6 3
1977-09-17 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 1637 1544 29.28% 30.31% 40.41% +22.6 8
1977-09-17 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1643 1642 51.44% 29.88% 18.68% -27.7 5
1977-09-17 @ Sunderland W 2-0 1642 1643 18.68% 29.88% 51.44% +27.7 11
1977-09-24 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1561 1515 55.85% 29.33% 14.82% +5.6 8
1977-09-24 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1515 1561 14.82% 29.33% 55.85% -5.6 5
1977-09-24 Sheffield United W 2-1 1583 1521 57.18% 29.10% 13.72% +5.0 10
1977-09-24 @ Brighton L 1-2 1521 1583 13.72% 29.10% 57.18% -5.0 3
1977-09-24 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1518 1552 47.72% 30.15% 22.13% -1.7 4
1977-09-24 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1552 1518 22.13% 30.15% 47.72% +1.7 7
1977-09-24 Fulham W 3-1 1526 1559 47.80% 30.14% 22.06% +12.6 6
1977-09-24 @ Cardiff City L 1-3 1559 1526 22.06% 30.14% 47.80% -12.6 5
1977-09-24 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1660 1670 50.37% 29.97% 19.66% +6.7 10
1977-09-24 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 1670 1660 19.66% 29.97% 50.37% -6.7 11
1977-09-24 Burnley W 4-1 1553 1514 55.18% 29.43% 15.39% +13.4 6
1977-09-24 @ Mansfield Town L 1-4 1514 1553 15.39% 29.43% 55.18% -13.4 2
1977-09-24 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1553 1586 47.83% 30.14% 22.02% -1.6 5
1977-09-24 @ Millwall D 1-1 1586 1553 22.02% 30.14% 47.83% +1.6 7
1977-09-24 Blackpool D 1-1 1551 1617 43.87% 30.29% 25.84% -1.1 4
1977-09-24 @ Notts County D 1-1 1617 1551 25.84% 30.29% 43.87% +1.1 8
1977-09-24 Hull City W 1-0 1596 1569 54.08% 29.58% 16.34% +6.1 9
1977-09-24 @ Southampton L 0-1 1569 1596 16.34% 29.58% 54.08% -6.1 6
1977-09-24 Sunderland D 0-0 1643 1615 54.15% 29.57% 16.27% -2.7 9
1977-09-24 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1615 1643 16.27% 29.57% 54.15% +2.7 6
1977-09-24 Luton Town W 2-0 1681 1650 54.34% 29.55% 16.11% +11.4 12
1977-09-24 @ Tottenham L 0-2 1650 1681 16.11% 29.55% 54.34% -11.4 7
1977-09-27 Luton Town W 3-2 1588 1639 45.77% 30.23% 24.00% +7.4 12
1977-09-27 @ Brighton L 2-3 1639 1588 24.00% 30.23% 45.77% -7.4 7
1977-09-30 Bristol Rovers W 3-1 1588 1516 57.96% 28.95% 13.10% +8.2 9
1977-09-30 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1516 1588 13.10% 28.95% 57.96% -8.2 4
1977-10-01 Cardiff City W 3-0 1619 1539 58.66% 28.80% 12.54% +13.3 10
1977-10-01 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1539 1619 12.54% 28.80% 58.66% -13.3 6
1977-10-01 Stoke City D 1-1 1663 1640 53.66% 29.64% 16.70% -2.4 12
1977-10-01 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1640 1663 16.70% 29.64% 53.66% +2.3 10
1977-10-01 Millwall L 0-2 1500 1552 45.70% 30.24% 24.07% -25.0 2
1977-10-01 @ Burnley W 2-0 1552 1500 24.07% 30.24% 45.70% +25.0 7
1977-10-01 Fulham L 2-3 1667 1547 61.69% 28.04% 10.26% -15.6 10
1977-10-01 @ Crystal Palace W 3-2 1547 1667 10.26% 28.04% 61.69% +15.6 7
1977-10-01 Mansfield Town L 0-2 1562 1566 51.00% 29.92% 19.08% -27.5 6
1977-10-01 @ Hull City W 2-0 1566 1562 19.08% 29.92% 51.00% +27.5 8
1977-10-01 Tottenham D 1-1 1509 1692 28.36% 29.84% 41.80% +0.8 6
1977-10-01 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1692 1509 41.80% 29.84% 28.36% -0.8 13
1977-10-01 Notts County W 2-0 1632 1550 58.80% 28.77% 12.43% +9.1 9
1977-10-01 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1550 1632 12.43% 28.77% 58.80% -9.1 4
1977-10-01 Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1554 1567 50.02% 30.00% 19.98% -27.0 7
1977-10-01 @ Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1567 1554 19.98% 30.00% 50.02% +27.0 10
1977-10-01 Southampton W 3-2 1516 1602 41.45% 30.31% 28.24% +8.3 5
1977-10-01 @ Sheffield United L 2-3 1602 1516 28.24% 30.31% 41.45% -8.3 9
1977-10-01 Brighton L 0-2 1618 1596 53.56% 29.65% 16.79% -28.8 6
1977-10-01 @ Sunderland W 2-0 1596 1618 16.79% 29.65% 53.56% +28.8 14
1977-10-03 Blackburn Rovers W 4-2 1661 1594 57.58% 29.02% 13.40% +7.5 14
1977-10-03 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-4 1594 1661 13.40% 29.02% 57.58% -7.5 10
1977-10-04 Crystal Palace W 3-1 1632 1651 49.36% 30.05% 20.59% +12.0 12
1977-10-04 @ Blackpool L 1-3 1651 1632 20.59% 30.05% 49.36% -12.0 10
1977-10-04 Mansfield Town W 3-1 1508 1594 41.45% 30.31% 28.24% +15.1 6
1977-10-04 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-3 1594 1508 28.24% 30.31% 41.45% -15.1 8
1977-10-04 Brighton W 4-3 1596 1624 48.34% 30.11% 21.54% +6.6 11
1977-10-04 @ Charlton Athletic L 3-4 1624 1596 21.54% 30.11% 48.34% -6.6 14
1977-10-04 Burnley W 4-1 1562 1475 59.22% 28.68% 12.11% +10.9 9
1977-10-04 @ Fulham L 1-4 1475 1562 12.11% 28.68% 59.22% -10.9 2
1977-10-04 Tottenham W 2-0 1535 1691 31.80% 30.07% 38.13% +21.6 8
1977-10-04 @ Hull City L 0-2 1691 1535 38.13% 30.07% 31.80% -21.6 13
1977-10-04 Millwall W 1-0 1641 1577 57.37% 29.06% 13.57% +5.2 11
1977-10-04 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1577 1641 13.57% 29.06% 57.37% -5.2 7
1977-10-04 Stoke City D 1-1 1527 1643 37.42% 30.28% 32.30% -0.3 8
1977-10-04 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1643 1527 32.30% 30.28% 37.42% +0.3 11
1977-10-04 Notts County W 4-1 1525 1541 49.68% 30.03% 20.29% +16.7 7
1977-10-04 @ Sheffield United L 1-4 1541 1525 20.29% 30.03% 49.68% -16.7 4
1977-10-04 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1594 1510 58.96% 28.74% 12.30% +4.8 11
1977-10-04 @ Southampton L 0-1 1510 1594 12.30% 28.74% 58.96% -4.8 6
1977-10-04 Cardiff City D 1-1 1589 1525 57.31% 29.07% 13.62% -2.8 7
1977-10-04 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1525 1589 13.62% 29.07% 57.31% +2.8 7
1977-10-08 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1587 1603 49.70% 30.02% 20.27% +6.8 12
1977-10-08 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1603 1587 20.27% 30.02% 49.70% -6.8 11
1977-10-08 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1618 1668 45.80% 30.23% 23.97% -12.5 14
1977-10-08 @ Brighton W 2-1 1668 1618 23.97% 30.23% 45.80% +12.5 16
1977-10-08 Bristol Rovers W 3-1 1464 1523 44.79% 30.26% 24.95% +13.8 4
1977-10-08 @ Burnley L 1-3 1523 1464 24.95% 30.26% 44.79% -13.8 6
1977-10-08 Luton Town L 1-4 1528 1646 37.11% 30.27% 32.62% -25.9 7
1977-10-08 @ Cardiff City W 4-1 1646 1528 32.62% 30.27% 37.11% +25.9 13
1977-10-08 Blackpool D 1-1 1573 1644 43.33% 30.30% 26.37% -1.0 10
1977-10-08 @ Fulham D 1-1 1644 1573 26.37% 30.30% 43.33% +1.0 13
1977-10-08 Sheffield United D 1-1 1579 1541 55.00% 29.46% 15.54% -2.5 9
1977-10-08 @ Mansfield Town D 1-1 1541 1579 15.54% 29.46% 55.00% +2.5 8
1977-10-08 Hull City D 1-1 1571 1557 52.88% 29.73% 17.39% -2.2 8
1977-10-08 @ Millwall D 1-1 1557 1571 17.39% 29.73% 52.88% +2.2 9
1977-10-08 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1524 1505 53.29% 29.68% 17.02% -2.3 5
1977-10-08 @ Notts County D 1-1 1505 1524 17.02% 29.68% 53.29% +2.3 7
1977-10-08 Sunderland W 4-2 1598 1586 52.65% 29.76% 17.60% +9.4 13
1977-10-08 @ Southampton L 2-4 1586 1598 17.60% 29.76% 52.65% -9.5 7
1977-10-08 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1643 1639 51.78% 29.85% 18.38% -27.9 11
1977-10-08 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1639 1643 18.38% 29.85% 51.78% +27.9 12
1977-10-08 Oldham Athletic W 5-1 1670 1527 63.29% 27.55% 9.17% +10.8 15
1977-10-08 @ Tottenham L 1-5 1527 1670 9.17% 27.55% 63.29% -10.8 8
1977-10-15 Mansfield Town W 2-0 1681 1576 60.58% 28.35% 11.07% +8.2 18
1977-10-15 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1576 1681 11.07% 28.35% 60.58% -8.2 9
1977-10-15 Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 1510 1593 41.66% 30.31% 28.03% +21.3 8
1977-10-15 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-4 1593 1510 28.03% 30.31% 41.66% -21.3 12
1977-10-15 Tottenham W 4-1 1596 1680 41.57% 30.31% 28.12% +21.3 13
1977-10-15 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-4 1680 1596 28.12% 30.31% 41.57% -21.3 15
1977-10-15 Southampton L 1-2 1667 1608 56.94% 29.14% 13.92% -15.2 12
1977-10-15 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1608 1667 13.92% 29.14% 56.94% +15.2 15
1977-10-15 Blackpool W 2-0 1559 1645 41.38% 30.31% 28.31% +17.5 11
1977-10-15 @ Hull City L 0-2 1645 1559 28.31% 30.31% 41.38% -17.5 13
1977-10-15 Cardiff City W 2-1 1507 1502 51.93% 29.83% 18.24% +6.3 9
1977-10-15 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1502 1507 18.24% 29.83% 51.93% -6.3 7
1977-10-15 Fulham W 1-0 1672 1572 60.21% 28.44% 11.35% +4.4 15
1977-10-15 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1572 1672 11.35% 28.44% 60.21% -4.4 10
1977-10-15 Notts County W 2-1 1516 1522 50.76% 29.94% 19.30% +6.6 10
1977-10-15 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1522 1516 19.30% 29.94% 50.76% -6.6 5
1977-10-15 Burnley W 2-1 1544 1478 57.49% 29.04% 13.47% +4.9 10
1977-10-15 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1478 1544 13.47% 29.04% 57.49% -4.9 4
1977-10-15 Brighton W 1-0 1615 1605 52.37% 29.79% 17.84% +6.5 13
1977-10-15 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1605 1615 17.84% 29.79% 52.37% -6.5 14
1977-10-15 Millwall W 2-0 1576 1569 52.13% 29.81% 18.06% +12.5 9
1977-10-15 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1569 1576 18.06% 29.81% 52.13% -12.5 8
1977-10-22 Stoke City W 2-1 1572 1622 45.93% 30.23% 23.84% +7.7 14
1977-10-22 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1622 1572 23.84% 30.23% 45.93% -7.7 13
1977-10-22 Luton Town W 2-1 1627 1676 45.97% 30.23% 23.81% +7.7 15
1977-10-22 @ Blackpool L 1-2 1676 1627 23.81% 30.23% 45.97% -7.7 15
1977-10-22 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1599 1652 45.51% 30.24% 24.25% -1.3 15
1977-10-22 @ Brighton D 1-1 1652 1599 24.25% 30.24% 45.51% +1.3 13
1977-10-22 Hull City D 1-1 1473 1576 39.15% 30.30% 30.54% -0.5 5
1977-10-22 @ Burnley D 1-1 1576 1473 30.54% 30.30% 39.15% +0.5 12
1977-10-22 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1496 1522 48.56% 30.10% 21.34% +7.5 9
1977-10-22 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1522 1496 21.34% 30.10% 48.56% -7.5 10
1977-10-22 Leyton Orient L 1-2 1568 1514 56.49% 29.22% 14.29% -15.1 10
1977-10-22 @ Fulham W 2-1 1514 1568 14.29% 29.22% 56.49% +15.1 11
1977-10-22 Sunderland L 1-2 1568 1589 49.16% 30.06% 20.77% -13.3 9
1977-10-22 @ Mansfield Town W 2-1 1589 1568 20.77% 30.06% 49.16% +13.3 11
1977-10-22 Sheffield United D 1-1 1557 1549 52.19% 29.80% 18.00% -2.1 9
1977-10-22 @ Millwall D 1-1 1549 1557 18.00% 29.80% 52.19% +2.1 11
1977-10-22 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1515 1617 39.31% 30.31% 30.39% +18.4 7
1977-10-22 @ Notts County L 0-2 1617 1515 30.39% 30.31% 39.31% -18.4 13
1977-10-22 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1623 1689 43.93% 30.29% 25.79% -0.8 16
1977-10-22 @ Southampton D 2-2 1689 1623 25.79% 30.29% 43.93% +0.8 19
1977-10-22 Bristol Rovers W 9-0 1659 1531 62.28% 27.87% 9.85% +30.0 17
1977-10-22 @ Tottenham L 0-9 1531 1659 9.85% 27.87% 62.28% -30.0 8
1977-10-29 Luton Town W 2-1 1690 1669 53.49% 29.66% 16.85% +5.9 21
1977-10-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1669 1690 16.85% 29.66% 53.49% -5.9 15
1977-10-29 Cardiff City W 4-0 1598 1503 59.77% 28.55% 11.68% +16.3 17
1977-10-29 @ Brighton L 0-4 1503 1598 11.68% 28.55% 59.77% -16.3 9
1977-10-29 Southampton D 0-0 1501 1622 36.61% 30.26% 33.13% -0.2 9
1977-10-29 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1622 1501 33.13% 30.26% 36.61% +0.2 17
1977-10-29 Blackpool L 0-1 1473 1635 31.01% 30.02% 38.97% -9.9 5
1977-10-29 @ Burnley W 1-0 1635 1473 38.97% 30.02% 31.01% +9.9 17
1977-10-29 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1653 1599 56.52% 29.22% 14.26% -2.7 14
1977-10-29 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1599 1653 14.26% 29.22% 56.52% +2.7 14
1977-10-29 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1577 1580 51.07% 29.91% 19.01% -14.6 12
1977-10-29 @ Hull City W 1-0 1580 1577 19.01% 29.91% 51.07% +14.6 16
1977-10-29 Millwall D 0-0 1529 1555 48.65% 30.10% 21.26% -1.9 12
1977-10-29 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1555 1529 21.26% 30.10% 48.65% +1.9 10
1977-10-29 Notts County L 1-3 1555 1534 53.46% 29.66% 16.87% -24.9 9
1977-10-29 @ Mansfield Town W 3-1 1534 1555 16.87% 29.66% 53.46% +24.9 9
1977-10-29 Fulham W 2-1 1551 1553 51.23% 29.90% 18.87% +6.5 13
1977-10-29 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1553 1551 18.87% 29.90% 51.23% -6.5 10
1977-10-29 Tottenham L 1-3 1614 1689 42.76% 30.30% 26.93% -20.5 13
1977-10-29 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1689 1614 26.93% 30.30% 42.76% +20.5 19
1977-10-29 Oldham Athletic W 3-1 1602 1515 59.25% 28.67% 12.08% +7.7 13
1977-10-29 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1515 1602 12.08% 28.67% 59.25% -7.7 10
1977-11-05 Southampton W 2-1 1594 1622 48.39% 30.11% 21.50% +7.1 18
1977-11-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1622 1594 21.50% 30.11% 48.39% -7.1 17
1977-11-05 Sheffield United D 1-1 1645 1557 59.26% 28.67% 12.07% -3.1 18
1977-11-05 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1557 1645 12.07% 28.67% 59.26% +3.1 14
1977-11-05 Millwall W 2-0 1501 1556 45.16% 30.25% 24.59% +15.8 11
1977-11-05 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1556 1501 24.59% 30.25% 45.16% -15.8 10
1977-11-05 Stoke City W 2-0 1487 1593 38.70% 30.30% 31.00% +18.7 11
1977-11-05 @ Cardiff City L 0-2 1593 1487 31.00% 30.30% 38.70% -18.6 13
1977-11-05 Mansfield Town D 2-2 1601 1530 57.99% 28.94% 13.07% -2.2 15
1977-11-05 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1530 1601 13.07% 28.94% 57.99% +2.2 10
1977-11-05 Sunderland D 3-3 1546 1610 44.19% 30.28% 25.53% -0.7 11
1977-11-05 @ Fulham D 3-3 1610 1546 25.53% 30.28% 44.19% +0.7 14
1977-11-05 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1527 1696 30.14% 29.97% 39.89% +0.6 13
1977-11-05 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1696 1527 39.89% 29.97% 30.14% -0.6 22
1977-11-05 Hull City D 1-1 1663 1562 60.27% 28.42% 11.30% -3.3 16
1977-11-05 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1562 1663 11.30% 28.42% 60.27% +3.3 13
1977-11-05 Brighton W 1-0 1559 1614 45.24% 30.25% 24.51% +8.4 11
1977-11-05 @ Notts County L 0-1 1614 1559 24.51% 30.25% 45.24% -8.3 17
1977-11-05 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1507 1650 33.59% 30.16% 36.26% +0.1 11
1977-11-05 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1650 1507 36.26% 30.16% 33.59% -0.2 15
1977-11-05 Burnley W 3-0 1710 1463 69.54% 24.90% 5.56% +5.9 21
1977-11-05 @ Tottenham L 0-3 1463 1710 5.56% 24.90% 69.54% -5.9 5
1977-11-12 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1695 1599 59.91% 28.51% 11.57% +4.3 24
1977-11-12 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1599 1695 11.57% 28.51% 59.91% -4.3 15
1977-11-12 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1605 1528 58.50% 28.84% 12.66% +4.9 19
1977-11-12 @ Brighton L 0-1 1528 1605 12.66% 28.84% 58.50% -4.9 13
1977-11-12 Notts County W 3-1 1457 1567 38.21% 30.29% 31.50% +16.3 7
1977-11-12 @ Burnley L 1-3 1567 1457 31.50% 30.29% 38.21% -16.3 11
1977-11-12 Tottenham L 1-2 1650 1715 44.00% 30.28% 25.72% -12.1 15
1977-11-12 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1715 1650 25.72% 30.28% 44.00% +12.1 23
1977-11-12 Cardiff City W 4-1 1565 1506 56.98% 29.13% 13.88% +12.3 15
1977-11-12 @ Hull City L 1-4 1506 1565 13.88% 29.13% 56.98% -12.3 11
1977-11-12 Luton Town W 3-1 1532 1660 35.75% 30.23% 34.01% +17.2 12
1977-11-12 @ Mansfield Town L 1-3 1660 1532 34.01% 30.23% 35.75% -17.2 16
1977-11-12 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1541 1602 44.54% 30.27% 25.19% -1.2 11
1977-11-12 @ Millwall D 1-1 1602 1541 25.19% 30.27% 44.54% +1.2 19
1977-11-12 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1561 1507 56.43% 29.23% 14.34% +5.5 16
1977-11-12 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1507 1561 14.34% 29.23% 56.43% -5.5 11
1977-11-12 Blackpool W 2-0 1615 1642 48.57% 30.10% 21.33% +14.2 19
1977-11-12 @ Southampton L 0-2 1642 1615 21.33% 30.10% 48.57% -14.2 18
1977-11-12 Fulham W 2-0 1575 1545 54.27% 29.56% 16.18% +11.4 15
1977-11-12 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1545 1575 16.18% 29.56% 54.27% -11.4 11
1977-11-12 Bristol Rovers W 5-1 1611 1516 59.78% 28.55% 11.67% +13.6 16
1977-11-12 @ Sunderland L 1-5 1516 1611 11.67% 28.55% 59.78% -13.6 11
1977-11-19 Mansfield Town W 3-1 1603 1549 56.46% 29.23% 14.32% +8.9 21
1977-11-19 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1549 1603 14.32% 29.23% 56.46% -8.9 12
1977-11-19 Millwall D 2-2 1628 1539 59.31% 28.66% 12.04% -2.3 19
1977-11-19 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1539 1628 12.04% 28.66% 59.31% +2.3 12
1977-11-19 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1503 1699 26.67% 29.69% 43.64% -8.8 11
1977-11-19 @ Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1699 1503 43.64% 29.69% 26.67% +8.8 26
1977-11-19 Burnley W 2-1 1494 1473 53.39% 29.67% 16.94% +5.9 13
1977-11-19 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1473 1494 16.94% 29.67% 53.39% -5.9 7
1977-11-19 Sheffield United W 3-0 1595 1566 54.24% 29.56% 16.20% +16.6 17
1977-11-19 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-3 1566 1595 16.20% 29.56% 54.24% -16.6 16
1977-11-19 Hull City W 2-0 1534 1578 46.61% 30.20% 23.19% +15.1 13
1977-11-19 @ Fulham L 0-2 1578 1534 23.19% 30.20% 46.61% -15.1 15
1977-11-19 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1523 1638 37.45% 30.28% 32.27% -0.3 14
1977-11-19 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1638 1523 32.27% 30.28% 37.45% +0.3 16
1977-11-19 Stoke City L 1-2 1642 1586 56.69% 29.19% 14.13% -15.2 16
1977-11-19 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1586 1642 14.13% 29.19% 56.69% +15.2 17
1977-11-19 Sunderland D 2-2 1551 1624 42.98% 30.30% 26.72% -0.7 12
1977-11-19 @ Notts County D 2-2 1624 1551 26.72% 30.30% 42.98% +0.7 17
1977-11-19 Southampton D 1-1 1502 1630 35.75% 30.23% 34.02% -0.1 12
1977-11-19 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1630 1502 34.02% 30.23% 35.75% +0.1 20
1977-11-19 Brighton D 0-0 1728 1610 61.49% 28.10% 10.41% -3.8 24
1977-11-19 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1610 1728 10.41% 28.10% 61.49% +3.8 20
1977-11-26 Tottenham W 1-0 1708 1724 49.76% 30.02% 20.22% +7.2 28
1977-11-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1724 1708 20.22% 30.02% 49.76% -7.2 24
1977-11-26 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1614 1612 51.66% 29.86% 18.48% -1.5 21
1977-11-26 @ Brighton D 2-2 1612 1614 18.48% 29.86% 51.66% +1.6 22
1977-11-26 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1468 1522 45.29% 30.25% 24.46% -1.4 8
1977-11-26 @ Burnley D 0-0 1522 1468 24.46% 30.25% 45.29% +1.4 15
1977-11-26 Cardiff City W 2-0 1638 1499 63.02% 27.64% 9.35% +7.0 18
1977-11-26 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1499 1638 9.35% 27.64% 63.02% -7.0 13
1977-11-26 Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1563 1612 45.98% 30.23% 23.80% -25.1 15
1977-11-26 @ Hull City W 2-0 1612 1563 23.80% 30.23% 45.98% +25.1 19
1977-11-26 Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1540 1502 55.12% 29.44% 15.44% -29.5 12
1977-11-26 @ Mansfield Town W 2-0 1502 1540 15.44% 29.44% 55.12% +29.5 14
1977-11-26 Notts County D 0-0 1542 1550 50.55% 29.96% 19.49% -2.1 13
1977-11-26 @ Millwall D 0-0 1550 1542 19.49% 29.96% 50.55% +2.1 13
1977-11-26 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1549 1494 56.62% 29.20% 14.18% -2.8 17
1977-11-26 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1494 1549 14.18% 29.20% 56.62% +2.8 12
1977-11-26 Fulham W 2-0 1630 1549 58.71% 28.79% 12.50% +9.1 22
1977-11-26 @ Southampton L 0-2 1549 1630 12.50% 28.79% 58.71% -9.1 13
1977-11-26 Blackpool L 1-2 1601 1625 48.84% 30.08% 21.08% -13.2 17
1977-11-26 @ Stoke City W 2-1 1625 1601 21.08% 30.08% 48.84% +13.2 21
1977-11-26 Luton Town D 1-1 1625 1627 51.16% 29.91% 18.94% -2.0 18
1977-11-26 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1627 1625 18.94% 29.91% 51.16% +2.0 17
1977-12-03 Crystal Palace W 3-0 1613 1645 47.93% 30.14% 21.94% +21.0 24
1977-12-03 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1645 1613 21.94% 30.14% 47.93% -21.1 18
1977-12-03 Brighton L 0-1 1638 1613 53.94% 29.60% 16.46% -15.4 21
1977-12-03 @ Blackpool W 1-0 1613 1638 16.46% 29.60% 53.94% +15.4 23
1977-12-03 Hull City D 1-1 1497 1537 46.94% 30.19% 22.87% -1.5 13
1977-12-03 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1537 1497 22.87% 30.19% 46.94% +1.5 16
1977-12-03 Sheffield United L 1-6 1492 1547 45.35% 30.25% 24.40% -48.0 13
1977-12-03 @ Cardiff City W 6-1 1547 1492 24.40% 30.25% 45.35% +48.0 19
1977-12-03 Sunderland W 3-2 1637 1623 52.78% 29.74% 17.48% +5.8 21
1977-12-03 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1623 1637 17.48% 29.74% 52.78% -5.8 18
1977-12-03 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1540 1715 29.28% 29.91% 40.81% +22.7 15
1977-12-03 @ Fulham L 0-2 1715 1540 40.81% 29.91% 29.28% -22.7 28
1977-12-03 Mansfield Town W 4-2 1524 1511 52.70% 29.75% 17.55% +9.4 17
1977-12-03 @ Leyton Orient L 2-4 1511 1524 17.55% 29.75% 52.70% -9.4 12
1977-12-03 Burnley L 1-2 1629 1466 64.61% 27.08% 8.31% -17.2 17
1977-12-03 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1466 1629 8.31% 27.08% 64.61% +17.2 10
1977-12-03 Stoke City W 2-0 1552 1588 47.49% 30.16% 22.35% +14.7 15
1977-12-03 @ Notts County L 0-2 1588 1552 22.35% 30.16% 47.49% -14.7 17
1977-12-03 Millwall D 2-2 1531 1540 50.52% 29.96% 19.52% -1.4 15
1977-12-03 @ Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1540 1531 19.52% 29.96% 50.52% +1.4 14
1977-12-03 Southampton D 0-0 1716 1639 58.48% 28.84% 12.68% -3.4 25
1977-12-03 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1639 1716 12.68% 28.84% 58.48% +3.4 23
1977-12-10 Cardiff City W 6-3 1693 1444 69.64% 24.84% 5.52% +4.0 30
1977-12-10 @ Bolton Wanderers L 3-6 1444 1693 5.52% 24.84% 69.64% -4.0 13
1977-12-10 Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1628 1530 60.08% 28.47% 11.45% -3.2 24
1977-12-10 @ Brighton D 1-1 1530 1628 11.45% 28.47% 60.08% +3.2 16
1977-12-10 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1483 1642 31.40% 30.05% 38.55% +11.5 12
1977-12-10 @ Burnley L 0-1 1642 1483 38.55% 30.05% 31.40% -11.5 21
1977-12-10 Notts County W 2-0 1624 1567 56.80% 29.17% 14.04% +10.1 20
1977-12-10 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1567 1624 14.04% 29.17% 56.80% -10.1 15
1977-12-10 Leyton Orient D 2-2 1539 1533 51.98% 29.83% 18.19% -1.6 17
1977-12-10 @ Hull City D 2-2 1533 1539 18.19% 29.83% 51.98% +1.6 18
1977-12-10 Blackpool L 1-3 1501 1623 36.56% 30.26% 33.18% -18.1 12
1977-12-10 @ Mansfield Town W 3-1 1623 1501 33.18% 30.26% 36.56% +18.1 23
1977-12-10 Fulham L 0-3 1541 1563 49.10% 30.07% 20.83% -38.6 14
1977-12-10 @ Millwall W 3-0 1563 1541 20.83% 30.07% 49.10% +38.6 17
1977-12-10 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1595 1634 47.09% 30.18% 22.73% +14.9 21
1977-12-10 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1634 1595 22.73% 30.18% 47.09% -14.9 24
1977-12-10 Luton Town L 0-1 1642 1612 54.35% 29.55% 16.10% -15.5 23
1977-12-10 @ Southampton W 1-0 1612 1642 16.10% 29.55% 54.35% +15.5 19
1977-12-10 Bristol Rovers W 3-2 1573 1495 58.51% 28.83% 12.66% +4.4 19
1977-12-10 @ Stoke City L 2-3 1495 1573 12.66% 28.83% 58.51% -4.4 13
1977-12-10 Tottenham L 1-2 1617 1713 40.07% 30.31% 29.62% -11.2 18
1977-12-10 @ Sunderland W 2-1 1713 1617 29.62% 30.31% 40.07% +11.2 27
1977-12-17 Millwall W 2-1 1619 1503 61.47% 28.11% 10.43% +3.9 26
1977-12-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1503 1619 10.43% 28.11% 61.47% -3.9 14
1977-12-17 Southampton L 0-1 1641 1627 52.85% 29.73% 17.41% -15.1 23
1977-12-17 @ Blackpool W 1-0 1627 1641 17.41% 29.73% 52.85% +15.1 25
1977-12-17 Sunderland W 3-2 1491 1606 37.51% 30.28% 32.22% +9.1 15
1977-12-17 @ Bristol Rovers L 2-3 1606 1491 32.22% 30.28% 37.51% -9.1 18
1977-12-17 Hull City D 0-0 1440 1537 39.95% 30.31% 29.74% -0.7 14
1977-12-17 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1537 1440 29.74% 30.31% 39.95% +0.7 18
1977-12-17 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1631 1697 43.94% 30.29% 25.78% +8.2 23
1977-12-17 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1697 1631 25.78% 30.29% 43.94% -8.2 30
1977-12-17 Stoke City W 3-0 1601 1578 53.72% 29.63% 16.65% +16.9 19
1977-12-17 @ Fulham L 0-3 1578 1601 16.65% 29.63% 53.72% -16.9 19
1977-12-17 Brighton L 0-1 1535 1625 40.85% 30.31% 28.83% -12.1 18
1977-12-17 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1625 1535 28.83% 30.31% 40.85% +12.1 26
1977-12-17 Mansfield Town D 1-1 1627 1483 63.38% 27.52% 9.10% -3.7 20
1977-12-17 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1483 1627 9.10% 27.52% 63.38% +3.7 13
1977-12-17 Burnley W 3-0 1557 1495 57.17% 29.10% 13.73% +14.4 17
1977-12-17 @ Notts County L 0-3 1495 1557 13.73% 29.10% 57.17% -14.4 12
1977-12-17 Sheffield United W 3-0 1533 1610 42.61% 30.31% 27.09% +24.6 18
1977-12-17 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-3 1610 1533 27.09% 30.31% 42.61% -24.6 21
1977-12-17 Crystal Palace D 2-2 1724 1634 59.45% 28.62% 11.92% -2.3 28
1977-12-17 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1634 1724 11.92% 28.62% 59.45% +2.4 21
1977-12-26 Notts County W 2-0 1689 1571 61.52% 28.09% 10.39% +7.7 32
1977-12-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1571 1689 10.39% 28.09% 61.52% -7.7 17
1977-12-26 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1637 1500 62.88% 27.68% 9.44% -3.6 27
1977-12-26 @ Brighton D 1-1 1500 1637 9.44% 27.68% 62.88% +3.6 16
1977-12-26 Blackburn Rovers L 2-3 1480 1623 33.62% 30.16% 36.22% -9.4 12
1977-12-26 @ Burnley W 3-2 1623 1480 36.22% 30.16% 33.62% +9.3 28
1977-12-26 Luton Town D 3-3 1637 1624 52.70% 29.75% 17.55% -1.4 22
1977-12-26 @ Crystal Palace D 3-3 1624 1637 17.55% 29.75% 52.70% +1.4 21
1977-12-26 Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1538 1558 49.30% 30.05% 20.64% -14.2 18
1977-12-26 @ Hull City W 1-0 1558 1538 20.64% 30.05% 49.30% +14.2 20
1977-12-26 Fulham W 2-1 1487 1618 35.22% 30.22% 34.56% +10.1 15
1977-12-26 @ Mansfield Town L 1-2 1618 1487 34.56% 30.22% 35.22% -10.1 19
1977-12-26 Tottenham L 1-3 1499 1722 23.64% 29.35% 47.01% -13.1 14
1977-12-26 @ Millwall W 3-1 1722 1499 47.01% 29.35% 23.64% +13.1 30
1977-12-26 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1585 1523 57.21% 29.09% 13.69% +9.9 23
1977-12-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1523 1585 13.69% 29.09% 57.21% -9.9 18
1977-12-26 Cardiff City W 3-1 1642 1440 67.01% 26.11% 6.88% +4.4 27
1977-12-26 @ Southampton L 1-3 1440 1642 6.88% 26.11% 67.01% -4.4 14
1977-12-26 Charlton Athletic W 4-0 1561 1639 42.38% 30.31% 27.32% +32.3 21
1977-12-26 @ Stoke City L 0-4 1639 1561 27.32% 30.31% 42.38% -32.3 23
1977-12-26 Blackpool W 2-1 1597 1626 48.24% 30.12% 21.64% +7.2 20
1977-12-26 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1626 1597 21.64% 30.12% 48.24% -7.2 23
1977-12-27 Sunderland D 1-1 1633 1604 54.20% 29.57% 16.23% -2.4 29
1977-12-27 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1604 1633 16.23% 29.57% 54.20% +2.4 21
1977-12-27 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1619 1696 42.50% 30.31% 27.19% -23.5 23
1977-12-27 @ Blackpool W 2-0 1696 1619 27.19% 30.31% 42.50% +23.5 34
1977-12-27 Crystal Palace W 3-0 1504 1635 35.17% 30.22% 34.61% +29.2 18
1977-12-27 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-3 1635 1504 34.61% 30.22% 35.17% -29.2 22
1977-12-27 Southampton L 1-3 1607 1646 47.09% 30.18% 22.73% -22.2 23
1977-12-27 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-1 1646 1607 22.73% 30.18% 47.09% +22.2 29
1977-12-27 Stoke City W 2-0 1513 1593 42.10% 30.31% 27.59% +17.2 20
1977-12-27 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1593 1513 27.59% 30.31% 42.10% -17.2 21
1977-12-27 Sheffield United W 4-0 1625 1595 54.36% 29.55% 16.10% +21.5 23
1977-12-27 @ Luton Town L 0-4 1595 1625 16.10% 29.55% 54.36% -21.5 23
1977-12-27 Hull City W 2-1 1563 1524 55.21% 29.43% 15.36% +5.5 19
1977-12-27 @ Notts County L 1-2 1524 1563 15.36% 29.43% 55.21% -5.5 18
1977-12-27 Burnley W 2-0 1572 1471 60.29% 28.42% 11.29% +8.3 22
1977-12-27 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1471 1572 11.29% 28.42% 60.29% -8.3 12
1977-12-27 Mansfield Town D 1-1 1735 1497 69.08% 25.13% 5.79% -4.4 31
1977-12-27 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1497 1735 5.79% 25.13% 69.08% +4.4 16
1977-12-28 Millwall W 4-1 1435 1486 45.84% 30.23% 23.93% +19.0 16
1977-12-28 @ Cardiff City L 1-4 1486 1435 23.93% 30.23% 45.84% -19.0 14
1977-12-28 Brighton W 2-1 1608 1633 48.72% 30.09% 21.19% +7.1 21
1977-12-28 @ Fulham L 1-2 1633 1608 21.19% 30.09% 48.72% -7.1 27
1977-12-30 Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1615 1580 54.80% 29.49% 15.72% -29.4 21
1977-12-30 @ Fulham W 2-0 1580 1615 15.72% 29.49% 54.80% +29.4 24
1977-12-31 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1596 1530 57.49% 29.04% 13.47% -3.2 24
1977-12-31 @ Blackpool D 0-0 1530 1596 13.47% 29.04% 57.49% +3.2 21
1977-12-31 Sunderland D 0-0 1463 1606 33.50% 30.15% 36.35% +0.2 13
1977-12-31 @ Burnley D 0-0 1606 1463 36.35% 30.15% 33.50% -0.2 22
1977-12-31 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1454 1585 35.39% 30.22% 34.39% +10.6 18
1977-12-31 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1585 1454 34.39% 30.22% 35.39% -10.6 23
1977-12-31 Sheffield United L 2-3 1518 1573 45.26% 30.25% 24.48% -11.7 18
1977-12-31 @ Hull City W 3-2 1573 1518 24.48% 30.25% 45.26% +11.7 25
1977-12-31 Brighton W 1-0 1647 1626 53.43% 29.67% 16.90% +6.3 25
1977-12-31 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1626 1647 16.90% 29.67% 53.43% -6.3 27
1977-12-31 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1501 1606 38.89% 30.30% 30.81% -19.0 16
1977-12-31 @ Mansfield Town W 3-1 1606 1501 30.81% 30.30% 38.89% +19.0 24
1977-12-31 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1467 1720 20.59% 28.89% 50.53% +14.3 16
1977-12-31 @ Millwall L 0-1 1720 1467 50.53% 28.89% 20.59% -14.3 34
1977-12-31 Bristol Rovers W 3-2 1569 1533 54.89% 29.47% 15.64% +5.3 21
1977-12-31 @ Notts County L 2-3 1533 1569 15.64% 29.47% 54.89% -5.3 18
1977-12-31 Stoke City W 1-0 1668 1576 59.64% 28.58% 11.78% +4.6 31
1977-12-31 @ Southampton L 0-1 1576 1668 11.78% 28.58% 59.64% -4.6 21
1977-12-31 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1731 1630 60.27% 28.43% 11.31% +15.8 33
1977-12-31 @ Tottenham L 0-4 1630 1731 11.31% 28.43% 60.27% -15.8 29
1978-01-02 Hull City W 2-0 1606 1507 60.19% 28.45% 11.36% +8.4 24
1978-01-02 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1507 1606 11.36% 28.45% 60.19% -8.4 18
1978-01-02 Notts County W 1-0 1614 1574 55.28% 29.42% 15.31% +5.8 31
1978-01-02 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1574 1614 15.31% 29.42% 55.28% -5.8 21
1978-01-02 Burnley L 1-2 1706 1463 69.33% 25.00% 5.67% -18.2 34
1978-01-02 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1463 1706 5.67% 25.00% 69.33% +18.2 15
1978-01-02 Southampton D 1-1 1620 1673 45.50% 30.24% 24.26% -1.3 28
1978-01-02 @ Brighton D 1-1 1673 1620 24.26% 30.24% 45.50% +1.3 32
1978-01-02 Cardiff City W 3-2 1528 1465 57.24% 29.09% 13.68% +4.7 20
1978-01-02 @ Bristol Rovers L 2-3 1465 1528 13.68% 29.09% 57.24% -4.7 18
1978-01-02 Fulham L 0-1 1574 1586 50.14% 29.99% 19.87% -14.4 23
1978-01-02 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1586 1574 19.87% 29.99% 50.14% +14.4 23
1978-01-02 Millwall W 1-0 1625 1481 63.38% 27.52% 9.11% +3.6 26
1978-01-02 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1481 1625 9.11% 27.52% 63.38% -3.6 16
1978-01-02 Luton Town D 0-0 1533 1653 36.84% 30.26% 32.90% -0.2 22
1978-01-02 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1653 1533 32.90% 30.26% 36.84% +0.2 26
1978-01-02 Blackpool W 2-1 1610 1592 53.12% 29.70% 17.17% +6.0 26
1978-01-02 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1592 1610 17.17% 29.70% 53.12% -6.0 24
1978-01-02 Tottenham D 2-2 1585 1747 31.09% 30.03% 38.88% +0.3 26
1978-01-02 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1747 1585 38.88% 30.03% 31.09% -0.3 34
1978-01-02 Mansfield Town D 1-1 1571 1482 59.39% 28.64% 11.98% -3.1 22
1978-01-02 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1482 1571 11.98% 28.64% 59.39% +3.1 17
1978-01-14 Charlton Athletic W 5-1 1586 1560 54.03% 29.59% 16.38% +18.2 26
1978-01-14 @ Blackpool L 1-5 1560 1586 16.38% 29.59% 54.03% -18.2 23
1978-01-14 Stoke City W 1-0 1481 1568 41.23% 30.31% 28.45% +9.3 17
1978-01-14 @ Burnley L 0-1 1568 1481 28.45% 30.31% 41.23% -9.3 22
1978-01-14 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1460 1620 31.31% 30.04% 38.65% +0.4 19
1978-01-14 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1620 1460 38.65% 30.04% 31.31% -0.4 32
1978-01-14 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1600 1532 57.68% 29.00% 13.32% -2.9 24
1978-01-14 @ Fulham D 1-1 1532 1600 13.32% 29.00% 57.68% +2.9 21
1978-01-14 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1498 1629 35.36% 30.22% 34.42% +10.6 20
1978-01-14 @ Hull City L 0-1 1629 1498 34.42% 30.22% 35.36% -10.6 26
1978-01-14 Sunderland D 2-2 1533 1615 41.93% 30.31% 27.76% -0.6 23
1978-01-14 @ Leyton Orient D 2-2 1615 1533 27.76% 30.31% 41.93% +0.6 25
1978-01-14 Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1653 1616 55.04% 29.45% 15.51% -15.6 26
1978-01-14 @ Luton Town W 1-0 1616 1653 15.51% 29.45% 55.04% +15.6 28
1978-01-14 Southampton L 1-2 1485 1674 27.61% 29.78% 42.61% -8.5 17
1978-01-14 @ Mansfield Town W 2-1 1674 1485 42.61% 29.78% 27.61% +8.5 34
1978-01-14 Brighton L 0-1 1477 1619 33.82% 30.17% 36.02% -10.5 16
1978-01-14 @ Millwall W 1-0 1619 1477 36.02% 30.17% 33.82% +10.5 30
1978-01-14 Tottenham D 3-3 1568 1746 28.96% 29.89% 41.15% +0.4 22
1978-01-14 @ Notts County D 3-3 1746 1568 41.15% 29.89% 28.96% -0.4 35
1978-01-14 Bolton Wanderers L 1-5 1585 1687 39.28% 30.31% 30.41% -34.9 26
1978-01-14 @ Sheffield United W 5-1 1687 1585 30.41% 30.31% 39.28% +35.0 36
1978-01-21 Hull City W 1-0 1722 1509 67.68% 25.81% 6.51% +2.6 38
1978-01-21 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1509 1722 6.51% 25.81% 67.68% -2.6 20
1978-01-21 Mansfield Town W 5-1 1629 1477 63.91% 27.33% 8.75% +10.3 32
1978-01-21 @ Brighton L 1-5 1477 1629 8.75% 27.33% 63.91% -10.3 17
1978-01-21 Blackpool W 2-0 1535 1604 43.51% 30.29% 26.20% +16.5 23
1978-01-21 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1604 1535 26.20% 30.29% 43.51% -16.5 26
1978-01-21 Luton Town D 0-0 1541 1638 40.05% 30.31% 29.64% -0.7 24
1978-01-21 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1638 1541 29.64% 30.31% 40.05% +0.7 27
1978-01-21 Burnley D 1-1 1618 1490 62.24% 27.88% 9.88% -3.5 27
1978-01-21 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1490 1618 9.88% 27.88% 62.24% +3.5 18
1978-01-21 Leyton Orient W 2-1 1631 1532 60.15% 28.46% 11.40% +4.2 30
1978-01-21 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1532 1631 11.40% 28.46% 60.15% -4.2 23
1978-01-21 Notts County W 3-1 1683 1569 61.26% 28.16% 10.57% +6.8 36
1978-01-21 @ Southampton L 1-3 1569 1683 10.57% 28.16% 61.26% -6.8 22
1978-01-21 Sheffield United W 5-1 1615 1550 57.41% 29.05% 13.53% +15.5 27
1978-01-21 @ Sunderland L 1-5 1550 1615 13.53% 29.05% 57.41% -15.5 26
1978-01-21 Cardiff City W 2-1 1746 1461 71.59% 23.77% 4.64% +1.7 37
1978-01-21 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1461 1746 4.64% 23.77% 71.59% -1.7 19
1978-01-28 Sunderland W 5-2 1459 1631 29.76% 29.94% 40.30% +23.8 21
1978-01-28 @ Cardiff City L 2-5 1631 1459 40.30% 29.94% 29.76% -23.8 27
1978-02-04 Blackburn Rovers W 5-2 1588 1620 47.98% 30.13% 21.89% +15.3 28
1978-02-04 @ Blackpool L 2-5 1620 1588 21.89% 30.13% 47.98% -15.4 32
1978-02-04 Southampton D 3-3 1494 1690 26.79% 29.70% 43.51% +0.6 19
1978-02-04 @ Burnley D 3-3 1690 1494 43.51% 29.70% 26.79% -0.6 37
1978-02-04 Tottenham D 1-1 1597 1747 32.61% 30.11% 37.28% +0.3 25
1978-02-04 @ Fulham D 1-1 1747 1597 37.28% 30.11% 32.61% -0.3 38
1978-02-04 Brighton D 1-1 1506 1640 34.97% 30.21% 34.82% -0.0 21
1978-02-04 @ Hull City D 1-1 1640 1506 34.82% 30.21% 34.97% +0.0 33
1978-02-08 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1638 1552 59.18% 28.69% 12.13% -3.1 28
1978-02-08 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1552 1638 12.13% 28.69% 59.18% +3.1 24
1978-02-10 Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1541 1635 40.24% 30.31% 29.45% -0.5 25
1978-02-10 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1635 1541 29.45% 30.31% 40.24% +0.5 31
1978-02-11 Luton Town W 2-0 1604 1635 48.08% 30.13% 21.79% +14.4 34
1978-02-11 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1635 1604 21.79% 30.13% 48.08% -14.4 28
1978-02-11 Burnley W 2-1 1640 1494 63.43% 27.50% 9.07% +3.4 35
1978-02-11 @ Brighton L 1-2 1494 1640 9.07% 27.50% 63.43% -3.4 19
1978-02-11 Leyton Orient W 2-1 1555 1528 54.03% 29.59% 16.38% +5.8 26
1978-02-11 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1528 1555 16.38% 29.59% 54.03% -5.8 23
1978-02-11 Sheffield United W 1-0 1615 1535 58.63% 28.81% 12.56% +4.9 29
1978-02-11 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1535 1615 12.56% 28.81% 58.63% -4.9 26
1978-02-11 Cardiff City D 2-2 1467 1483 49.68% 30.03% 20.30% -1.3 18
1978-02-11 @ Mansfield Town D 2-2 1483 1467 20.30% 30.03% 49.68% +1.4 22
1978-02-11 Millwall L 2-3 1689 1467 68.18% 25.57% 6.25% -17.0 37
1978-02-11 @ Southampton W 3-2 1467 1689 6.25% 25.57% 68.18% +17.0 18
1978-02-11 Blackpool D 2-2 1747 1603 63.35% 27.53% 9.12% -2.7 39
1978-02-11 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1603 1747 9.12% 27.53% 63.35% +2.7 29
1978-02-18 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1636 1725 41.00% 30.31% 28.69% -0.5 32
1978-02-18 @ Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1725 1636 28.69% 30.31% 41.00% +0.5 39
1978-02-22 Tottenham L 1-4 1621 1744 36.29% 30.25% 33.46% -25.5 28
1978-02-22 @ Luton Town W 4-1 1744 1621 33.46% 30.25% 36.29% +25.5 41
1978-02-25 Oldham Athletic W 4-2 1619 1635 49.64% 30.03% 20.33% +10.6 36
1978-02-25 @ Blackburn Rovers L 2-4 1635 1619 20.33% 30.03% 49.64% -10.6 32
1978-02-25 Sunderland W 2-1 1643 1607 54.89% 29.47% 15.64% +5.5 37
1978-02-25 @ Brighton L 1-2 1607 1643 15.64% 29.47% 54.89% -5.5 27
1978-02-25 Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1561 1540 53.42% 29.67% 16.91% -1.7 27
1978-02-25 @ Bristol Rovers D 2-2 1540 1561 16.91% 29.67% 53.42% +1.7 26
1978-02-25 Blackpool W 2-1 1484 1606 36.55% 30.26% 33.19% +9.8 24
1978-02-25 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1606 1484 33.19% 30.26% 36.55% -9.8 29
1978-02-25 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1598 1619 49.07% 30.07% 20.86% -1.7 26
1978-02-25 @ Fulham D 1-1 1619 1598 20.86% 30.07% 49.07% +1.7 30
1978-02-25 Burnley D 1-1 1484 1491 50.63% 29.95% 19.42% -1.9 19
1978-02-25 @ Millwall D 1-1 1491 1484 19.42% 29.95% 50.63% +1.9 20
1978-02-25 Luton Town W 2-0 1562 1595 47.81% 30.14% 22.05% +14.6 24
1978-02-25 @ Notts County L 0-2 1595 1562 22.05% 30.14% 47.81% -14.6 28
1978-02-25 Sheffield United W 2-1 1672 1530 63.21% 27.57% 9.22% +3.5 39
1978-02-25 @ Southampton L 1-2 1530 1672 9.22% 27.57% 63.21% -3.5 26
1978-02-25 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1559 1725 30.44% 29.99% 39.57% +0.6 23
1978-02-25 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1725 1559 39.57% 29.99% 30.44% -0.6 40
1978-02-25 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1770 1522 69.60% 24.86% 5.53% -4.4 42
1978-02-25 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1522 1770 5.53% 24.86% 69.60% +4.4 24
1978-02-28 Millwall L 0-2 1542 1482 57.02% 29.13% 13.85% -30.5 26
1978-02-28 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1482 1542 13.85% 29.13% 57.02% +30.5 21
1978-03-04 Brighton D 1-1 1725 1648 58.37% 28.86% 12.77% -3.0 41
1978-03-04 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1648 1725 12.77% 28.86% 58.37% +3.0 38
1978-03-04 Burnley D 2-2 1559 1493 57.50% 29.04% 13.46% -2.1 28
1978-03-04 @ Bristol Rovers D 2-2 1493 1559 13.46% 29.04% 57.50% +2.2 21
1978-03-04 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1511 1629 37.11% 30.27% 32.62% -0.2 27
1978-03-04 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1629 1511 32.62% 30.27% 37.11% +0.2 37
1978-03-04 Stoke City L 0-1 1621 1559 57.15% 29.10% 13.75% -16.2 30
1978-03-04 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1559 1621 13.75% 29.10% 57.15% +16.2 25
1978-03-04 Millwall W 3-2 1506 1512 50.77% 29.94% 19.29% +6.2 23
1978-03-04 @ Hull City L 2-3 1512 1506 19.29% 29.94% 50.77% -6.2 21
1978-03-04 Notts County D 0-0 1527 1576 45.89% 30.23% 23.88% -1.5 25
1978-03-04 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1576 1527 23.88% 30.23% 45.89% +1.5 25
1978-03-04 Cardiff City W 3-1 1581 1494 59.20% 28.68% 12.12% +7.7 30
1978-03-04 @ Luton Town L 1-3 1494 1581 12.12% 28.68% 59.20% -7.7 24
1978-03-04 Tottenham D 1-1 1625 1766 33.90% 30.17% 35.93% +0.1 33
1978-03-04 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1766 1625 35.93% 30.17% 33.90% -0.1 43
1978-03-04 Mansfield Town W 2-0 1527 1465 57.14% 29.11% 13.75% +9.9 28
1978-03-04 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1465 1527 13.75% 29.11% 57.14% -9.9 18
1978-03-04 Southampton D 0-0 1601 1675 42.92% 30.30% 26.78% -1.1 28
1978-03-04 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1675 1601 26.78% 30.30% 42.92% +1.0 40
1978-03-07 Notts County D 2-2 1596 1578 53.22% 29.69% 17.09% -1.7 30
1978-03-07 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1578 1596 17.09% 29.69% 53.22% +1.7 26
1978-03-07 Sunderland W 2-0 1722 1600 61.80% 28.01% 10.19% +7.6 43
1978-03-07 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1600 1722 10.19% 28.01% 61.80% -7.6 28
1978-03-07 Cardiff City W 1-0 1596 1486 60.94% 28.25% 10.81% +4.2 28
1978-03-07 @ Fulham L 0-1 1486 1596 10.81% 28.25% 60.94% -4.2 24
1978-03-08 Hull City W 1-0 1576 1513 57.28% 29.08% 13.64% +5.2 27
1978-03-08 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1513 1576 13.64% 29.08% 57.28% -5.2 23
1978-03-10 Luton Town W 1-0 1600 1588 52.58% 29.76% 17.66% +6.5 30
1978-03-10 @ Fulham L 0-1 1588 1600 17.66% 29.76% 52.58% -6.5 30
1978-03-11 Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1630 1557 58.08% 28.92% 13.00% -16.5 37
1978-03-11 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1557 1630 13.00% 28.92% 58.08% +16.5 30
1978-03-11 Hull City W 3-0 1595 1507 59.24% 28.67% 12.09% +12.9 32
1978-03-11 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1507 1595 12.09% 28.67% 59.24% -12.9 23
1978-03-11 Stoke City W 2-1 1651 1581 57.89% 28.96% 13.15% +4.8 40
1978-03-11 @ Brighton L 1-2 1581 1651 13.15% 28.96% 57.89% -4.8 27
1978-03-11 Sheffield United W 4-1 1495 1537 46.86% 30.19% 22.95% +18.4 23
1978-03-11 @ Burnley L 1-4 1537 1495 22.95% 30.19% 46.86% -18.4 28
1978-03-11 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1455 1729 18.66% 28.52% 52.82% -6.6 18
1978-03-11 @ Mansfield Town W 1-0 1729 1455 52.82% 28.52% 18.66% +6.6 45
1978-03-11 Oldham Athletic W 3-2 1580 1625 46.42% 30.21% 23.37% +7.2 28
1978-03-11 @ Notts County L 2-3 1625 1580 23.37% 30.21% 46.42% -7.2 33
1978-03-11 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1676 1605 57.98% 28.94% 13.08% +9.5 42
1978-03-11 @ Southampton L 0-2 1605 1676 13.08% 28.94% 57.98% -9.5 30
1978-03-11 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1765 1511 69.96% 24.68% 5.37% +2.0 45
1978-03-11 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1511 1765 5.37% 24.68% 69.96% -2.0 27
1978-03-14 Mansfield Town W 2-0 1514 1449 57.43% 29.05% 13.52% +9.8 25
1978-03-14 @ Burnley L 0-2 1449 1514 13.52% 29.05% 57.43% -9.8 18
1978-03-14 Stoke City L 1-2 1518 1576 44.91% 30.26% 24.83% -12.3 28
1978-03-14 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1576 1518 24.83% 30.26% 44.91% +12.3 29
1978-03-14 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1593 1595 51.12% 29.91% 18.98% -2.2 29
1978-03-14 @ Sunderland D 0-0 1595 1593 18.98% 29.91% 51.12% +2.2 31
1978-03-15 Fulham W 4-0 1613 1607 52.05% 29.82% 18.13% +23.7 39
1978-03-15 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1607 1613 18.13% 29.82% 52.05% -23.7 30
1978-03-17 Notts County D 0-0 1509 1587 42.46% 30.31% 27.23% -1.0 28
1978-03-17 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1587 1509 27.23% 30.31% 42.46% +1.0 29
1978-03-17 Fulham D 1-1 1525 1583 44.95% 30.26% 24.79% -1.2 26
1978-03-17 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1583 1525 24.79% 30.26% 44.95% +1.2 31
1978-03-18 Southampton D 0-0 1736 1686 56.15% 29.28% 14.57% -3.0 46
1978-03-18 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1686 1736 14.57% 29.28% 56.15% +3.0 43
1978-03-18 Tottenham L 2-3 1573 1767 26.96% 29.72% 43.32% -8.0 30
1978-03-18 @ Bristol Rovers W 3-2 1767 1573 43.32% 29.72% 26.96% +7.9 47
1978-03-18 Brighton D 0-0 1598 1656 44.83% 30.26% 24.91% -1.3 32
1978-03-18 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1656 1598 24.91% 30.26% 44.83% +1.3 41
1978-03-18 Burnley L 1-3 1494 1523 48.29% 30.12% 21.59% -22.7 23
1978-03-18 @ Hull City W 3-1 1523 1494 21.59% 30.12% 48.29% +22.7 27
1978-03-18 Blackpool W 4-0 1582 1607 48.66% 30.09% 21.25% +26.8 32
1978-03-18 @ Luton Town L 0-4 1607 1582 21.25% 30.09% 48.66% -26.9 32
1978-03-18 Cardiff City D 1-1 1618 1482 62.79% 27.71% 9.50% -3.6 34
1978-03-18 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1482 1618 9.50% 27.71% 62.79% +3.6 25
1978-03-18 Millwall W 5-2 1506 1506 51.37% 29.89% 18.74% +13.6 30
1978-03-18 @ Sheffield United L 2-5 1506 1506 18.74% 29.89% 51.37% -13.6 21
1978-03-18 Blackburn Rovers W 4-2 1588 1637 46.06% 30.22% 23.72% +11.9 31
1978-03-18 @ Stoke City L 2-4 1637 1588 23.72% 30.22% 46.06% -11.9 39
1978-03-18 Mansfield Town W 1-0 1590 1439 63.87% 27.35% 8.78% +3.5 31
1978-03-18 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1439 1590 8.78% 27.35% 63.87% -3.5 18
1978-03-21 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1609 1733 36.21% 30.25% 33.54% +9.8 34
1978-03-21 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1733 1609 33.54% 30.25% 36.21% -9.9 46
1978-03-21 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1493 1524 48.00% 30.13% 21.87% +14.5 23
1978-03-21 @ Millwall L 0-2 1524 1493 21.87% 30.13% 48.00% -14.5 26
1978-03-21 Mansfield Town W 1-0 1588 1435 63.93% 27.33% 8.74% +3.5 31
1978-03-21 @ Notts County L 0-1 1435 1588 8.74% 27.33% 63.93% -3.5 18
1978-03-22 Stoke City W 3-1 1775 1600 65.37% 26.79% 7.84% +5.1 49
1978-03-22 @ Tottenham L 1-3 1600 1775 7.84% 26.79% 65.37% -5.1 31
1978-03-24 Hull City D 1-1 1625 1472 63.97% 27.32% 8.72% -3.8 40
1978-03-24 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1472 1625 8.72% 27.32% 63.97% +3.8 24
1978-03-24 Brighton W 1-0 1486 1658 29.73% 29.94% 40.33% +11.9 27
1978-03-24 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1658 1486 40.33% 29.94% 29.73% -11.9 41
1978-03-24 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1508 1596 41.12% 30.31% 28.57% +9.3 30
1978-03-24 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1596 1508 28.57% 30.31% 41.12% -9.3 32
1978-03-24 Sheffield United W 2-0 1584 1520 57.39% 29.06% 13.55% +9.8 33
1978-03-24 @ Fulham L 0-2 1520 1584 13.55% 29.06% 57.39% -9.8 30
1978-03-24 Sunderland D 1-1 1614 1594 53.39% 29.67% 16.94% -2.3 35
1978-03-24 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1594 1614 16.94% 29.67% 53.39% +2.3 32
1978-03-25 Blackpool W 2-1 1723 1581 63.26% 27.56% 9.18% +3.4 48
1978-03-25 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1581 1723 9.18% 27.56% 63.26% -3.4 32
1978-03-25 Fulham W 2-0 1646 1594 56.30% 29.25% 14.45% +10.4 43
1978-03-25 @ Brighton L 0-2 1594 1646 14.45% 29.25% 56.30% -10.4 33
1978-03-25 Oldham Athletic W 4-1 1546 1612 43.95% 30.28% 25.76% +20.0 29
1978-03-25 @ Burnley L 1-4 1612 1546 25.76% 30.28% 43.95% -20.0 35
1978-03-25 Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1587 1565 53.55% 29.65% 16.80% +6.2 34
1978-03-25 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1565 1587 16.80% 29.65% 53.55% -6.2 30
1978-03-25 Notts County D 1-1 1476 1591 37.40% 30.28% 32.33% -0.3 25
1978-03-25 @ Hull City D 1-1 1591 1476 32.33% 30.28% 37.40% +0.3 32
1978-03-25 Hull City W 1-0 1432 1475 46.64% 30.20% 23.16% +8.0 20
1978-03-25 @ Mansfield Town L 0-1 1475 1432 23.16% 30.20% 46.64% -8.0 25
1978-03-25 Tottenham D 3-3 1440 1780 13.62% 27.10% 59.27% +1.8 21
1978-03-25 @ Mansfield Town D 3-3 1780 1440 59.27% 27.10% 13.62% -1.8 50
1978-03-25 Cardiff City D 1-1 1507 1498 52.35% 29.79% 17.86% -2.2 24
1978-03-25 @ Millwall D 1-1 1498 1507 17.86% 29.79% 52.35% +2.2 28
1978-03-25 Luton Town W 4-1 1510 1619 38.36% 30.29% 31.35% +23.0 32
1978-03-25 @ Sheffield United L 1-4 1619 1510 31.35% 30.29% 38.36% -23.0 34
1978-03-25 Charlton Athletic W 4-1 1689 1518 65.14% 26.88% 7.98% +7.3 45
1978-03-25 @ Southampton L 1-4 1518 1689 7.98% 26.88% 65.14% -7.3 30
1978-03-25 Leyton Orient W 5-1 1595 1510 59.12% 28.70% 12.18% +14.1 33
1978-03-25 @ Stoke City L 1-5 1510 1595 12.18% 28.70% 59.12% -14.1 26
1978-03-25 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1596 1621 48.75% 30.09% 21.16% -14.0 32
1978-03-25 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1621 1596 21.16% 30.09% 48.75% +14.0 42
1978-03-27 Burnley L 0-1 1635 1566 57.77% 28.98% 13.24% -16.4 42
1978-03-27 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1566 1635 13.24% 28.98% 57.77% +16.4 31
1978-03-27 Sunderland D 1-1 1577 1582 50.86% 29.93% 19.20% -2.0 33
1978-03-27 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1582 1577 19.20% 29.93% 50.86% +2.0 33
1978-03-27 Mansfield Town L 0-2 1583 1442 63.21% 27.57% 9.22% -33.6 33
1978-03-27 @ Fulham W 2-0 1442 1583 9.22% 27.57% 63.21% +33.6 23
1978-03-27 Sheffield United W 3-1 1495 1533 47.34% 30.17% 22.49% +12.8 28
1978-03-27 @ Leyton Orient L 1-3 1533 1495 22.49% 30.17% 47.34% -12.8 32
1978-03-27 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1595 1593 51.63% 29.86% 18.51% +6.7 36
1978-03-27 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1593 1595 18.51% 29.86% 51.63% -6.7 34
1978-03-27 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1592 1727 34.72% 30.20% 35.08% +0.0 33
1978-03-27 @ Notts County D 1-1 1727 1592 35.08% 30.20% 34.72% -0.0 49
1978-03-27 Hull City W 2-1 1592 1467 62.02% 27.95% 10.04% +3.7 37
1978-03-27 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1467 1592 10.04% 27.95% 62.02% -3.7 25
1978-03-27 Bristol Rovers W 3-1 1696 1559 62.90% 27.67% 9.42% +6.1 47
1978-03-27 @ Southampton L 1-3 1559 1696 9.42% 27.67% 62.90% -6.1 30
1978-03-27 Millwall D 3-3 1779 1505 71.00% 24.11% 4.89% -2.8 51
1978-03-27 @ Tottenham D 3-3 1505 1779 4.89% 24.11% 71.00% +2.8 25
1978-03-28 Burnley D 1-1 1575 1582 50.64% 29.95% 19.41% -1.9 34
1978-03-28 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1582 1575 19.41% 29.95% 50.64% +1.9 32
1978-03-28 Stoke City W 3-2 1510 1609 39.66% 30.31% 30.03% +8.7 32
1978-03-28 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1609 1510 30.03% 30.31% 39.66% -8.7 33
1978-03-29 Southampton W 1-0 1500 1702 25.96% 29.62% 44.42% +12.8 30
1978-03-29 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1702 1500 44.42% 29.62% 25.96% -12.8 47
1978-04-01 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1727 1508 67.96% 25.68% 6.36% +4.7 51
1978-04-01 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1508 1727 6.36% 25.68% 67.96% -4.7 28
1978-04-01 Notts County W 2-1 1656 1592 57.38% 29.06% 13.56% +4.9 45
1978-04-01 @ Brighton L 1-2 1592 1656 13.56% 29.06% 57.38% -4.9 33
1978-04-01 Tottenham W 2-1 1584 1776 27.30% 29.75% 42.95% +11.8 34
1978-04-01 @ Burnley L 1-2 1776 1584 42.95% 29.75% 27.30% -11.8 51
1978-04-01 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1586 1595 50.45% 29.97% 19.58% -2.1 35
1978-04-01 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1595 1586 19.58% 29.97% 50.45% +2.1 38
1978-04-01 Luton Town D 1-1 1463 1602 34.19% 30.18% 35.63% +0.1 26
1978-04-01 @ Hull City D 1-1 1602 1463 35.63% 30.18% 34.19% -0.1 37
1978-04-01 Charlton Athletic L 0-3 1475 1519 46.61% 30.20% 23.19% -36.9 23
1978-04-01 @ Mansfield Town W 3-0 1519 1475 23.19% 30.20% 46.61% +36.9 34
1978-04-01 Bristol Rovers L 1-3 1508 1553 46.42% 30.21% 23.37% -21.9 25
1978-04-01 @ Millwall W 3-1 1553 1508 23.37% 30.21% 46.42% +21.9 32
1978-04-01 Blackpool D 0-0 1520 1573 45.47% 30.24% 24.29% -1.4 33
1978-04-01 @ Sheffield United D 0-0 1573 1520 24.29% 30.24% 45.47% +1.4 35
1978-04-01 Blackburn Rovers W 5-0 1690 1619 57.92% 28.96% 13.13% +22.3 49
1978-04-01 @ Southampton L 0-5 1619 1690 13.13% 28.96% 57.92% -22.3 42
1978-04-01 Cardiff City W 2-0 1601 1513 59.32% 28.66% 12.03% +8.8 35
1978-04-01 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1513 1601 12.03% 28.66% 59.32% -8.8 30
1978-04-01 Fulham D 2-2 1584 1550 54.74% 29.49% 15.77% -1.9 34
1978-04-01 @ Sunderland D 2-2 1550 1584 15.77% 29.49% 54.74% +1.9 34
1978-04-04 Cardiff City D 0-0 1556 1504 56.33% 29.25% 14.42% -3.0 35
1978-04-04 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1504 1556 14.42% 29.25% 56.33% +3.0 31
1978-04-04 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1504 1596 40.49% 30.31% 29.20% -0.7 29
1978-04-04 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1596 1504 29.20% 30.31% 40.49% +0.7 43
1978-04-04 Fulham D 1-1 1587 1552 54.80% 29.49% 15.72% -2.5 34
1978-04-04 @ Notts County D 1-1 1552 1587 15.72% 29.49% 54.80% +2.5 35
1978-04-04 Bristol Rovers W 4-1 1598 1575 53.65% 29.64% 16.71% +14.3 40
1978-04-04 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-4 1575 1598 16.71% 29.64% 53.65% -14.3 32
1978-04-04 Brighton W 2-0 1519 1661 33.69% 30.16% 36.15% +20.8 35
1978-04-04 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1661 1519 36.15% 30.16% 33.69% -20.8 45
1978-04-04 Stoke City W 1-0 1582 1610 48.48% 30.11% 21.41% +7.6 36
1978-04-04 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1610 1582 21.41% 30.11% 48.48% -7.5 35
1978-04-07 Southampton D 1-1 1554 1712 31.61% 30.06% 38.33% +0.4 36
1978-04-07 @ Fulham D 1-1 1712 1554 38.33% 30.06% 31.61% -0.4 50
1978-04-08 Brighton L 0-1 1597 1640 46.68% 30.20% 23.12% -13.5 43
1978-04-08 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1640 1597 23.12% 30.20% 46.68% +13.5 47
1978-04-08 Stoke City D 1-1 1575 1602 48.46% 30.11% 21.43% -1.6 36
1978-04-08 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1602 1575 21.43% 30.11% 48.46% +1.7 36
1978-04-08 Sheffield United W 4-1 1560 1539 53.49% 29.66% 16.85% +14.4 34
1978-04-08 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-4 1539 1560 16.85% 29.66% 53.49% -14.4 35
1978-04-08 Crystal Palace D 2-2 1507 1584 42.46% 30.31% 27.23% -0.7 32
1978-04-08 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1584 1507 27.23% 30.31% 42.46% +0.7 36
1978-04-08 Hull City L 0-1 1553 1464 59.40% 28.64% 11.97% -16.8 35
1978-04-08 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1464 1553 11.97% 28.64% 59.40% +16.8 28
1978-04-08 Sunderland L 1-3 1602 1590 52.62% 29.76% 17.62% -24.5 37
1978-04-08 @ Luton Town W 3-1 1590 1602 17.62% 29.76% 52.62% +24.5 38
1978-04-08 Millwall D 1-1 1584 1486 60.11% 28.47% 11.43% -3.2 35
1978-04-08 @ Notts County D 1-1 1486 1584 11.43% 28.47% 60.11% +3.2 26
1978-04-08 Mansfield Town L 0-1 1612 1438 65.28% 26.83% 7.89% -18.4 40
1978-04-08 @ Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1438 1612 7.89% 26.83% 65.28% +18.3 25
1978-04-08 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1764 1731 54.58% 29.52% 15.90% +6.0 53
1978-04-08 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1731 1764 15.90% 29.52% 54.58% -6.0 51
1978-04-11 Southampton L 0-3 1480 1711 22.82% 29.24% 47.94% -21.4 28
1978-04-11 @ Hull City W 3-0 1711 1480 47.94% 29.24% 22.82% +21.4 52
1978-04-12 Millwall W 2-1 1604 1489 61.31% 28.15% 10.54% +3.9 38
1978-04-12 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1489 1604 10.54% 28.15% 61.31% -3.9 26
1978-04-15 Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1725 1575 63.79% 27.38% 8.83% +9.6 53
1978-04-15 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1575 1725 8.83% 27.38% 63.79% -9.6 34
1978-04-15 Tottenham W 3-1 1654 1770 37.33% 30.27% 32.40% +16.7 49
1978-04-15 @ Brighton L 1-3 1770 1654 32.40% 30.27% 37.33% -16.7 53
1978-04-15 Cardiff City W 4-2 1596 1506 59.46% 28.62% 11.92% +6.8 36
1978-04-15 @ Burnley L 2-4 1506 1596 11.92% 28.62% 59.46% -6.8 32
1978-04-15 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1585 1503 58.84% 28.76% 12.40% +4.8 38
1978-04-15 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1503 1585 12.40% 28.76% 58.84% -4.8 29
1978-04-15 Fulham L 0-1 1459 1555 40.13% 30.31% 29.56% -11.9 28
1978-04-15 @ Hull City W 1-0 1555 1459 29.56% 30.31% 40.13% +11.9 38
1978-04-15 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1457 1584 35.87% 30.24% 33.90% -0.1 26
1978-04-15 @ Mansfield Town D 2-2 1584 1457 33.90% 30.24% 35.87% +0.1 44
1978-04-15 Blackpool W 2-0 1485 1573 41.13% 30.31% 28.56% +17.6 28
1978-04-15 @ Millwall L 0-2 1573 1485 28.56% 30.31% 41.13% -17.6 36
1978-04-15 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1525 1536 50.24% 29.98% 19.78% +7.1 37
1978-04-15 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1536 1525 19.78% 29.98% 50.24% -7.1 35
1978-04-15 Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1733 1594 63.04% 27.63% 9.33% -2.7 53
1978-04-15 @ Southampton D 2-2 1594 1733 9.33% 27.63% 63.04% +2.7 41
1978-04-15 Luton Town D 0-0 1608 1578 54.33% 29.55% 16.12% -2.7 39
1978-04-15 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1578 1608 16.12% 29.55% 54.33% +2.7 38
1978-04-15 Notts County W 3-1 1614 1581 54.65% 29.51% 15.84% +9.7 40
1978-04-15 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1581 1614 15.84% 29.51% 54.65% -9.7 35
1978-04-18 Fulham L 1-2 1555 1567 50.23% 29.98% 19.78% -13.6 36
1978-04-18 @ Blackpool W 2-1 1567 1555 19.78% 29.98% 50.23% +13.6 40
1978-04-18 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1735 1590 63.43% 27.50% 9.07% +6.8 55
1978-04-18 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1590 1735 9.07% 27.50% 63.43% -6.8 38
1978-04-18 Brighton L 0-4 1565 1670 38.87% 30.30% 30.83% -41.6 34
1978-04-18 @ Bristol Rovers W 4-0 1670 1565 30.83% 30.30% 38.87% +41.6 51
1978-04-18 Burnley W 3-0 1498 1603 38.88% 30.30% 30.82% +27.0 31
1978-04-18 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1603 1498 30.82% 30.30% 38.88% -27.0 36
1978-04-18 Sunderland W 3-1 1503 1624 36.62% 30.26% 33.13% +16.9 30
1978-04-18 @ Millwall L 1-3 1624 1503 33.13% 30.26% 36.62% -16.9 40
1978-04-22 Sheffield United D 1-1 1584 1532 56.30% 29.25% 14.45% -2.7 45
1978-04-22 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1532 1584 14.45% 29.25% 56.30% +2.7 38
1978-04-22 Mansfield Town L 1-2 1542 1457 59.07% 28.71% 12.21% -15.8 36
1978-04-22 @ Blackpool W 2-1 1457 1542 12.21% 28.71% 59.07% +15.8 28
1978-04-22 Stoke City W 4-1 1524 1605 42.01% 30.31% 27.68% +21.1 36
1978-04-22 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-4 1605 1524 27.68% 30.31% 42.01% -21.1 39
1978-04-22 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1499 1742 21.65% 29.06% 49.28% +14.0 34
1978-04-22 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1742 1499 49.28% 29.06% 21.65% -14.0 55
1978-04-22 Burnley W 3-2 1529 1576 46.21% 30.22% 23.57% +7.3 37
1978-04-22 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1576 1529 23.57% 30.22% 46.21% -7.3 36
1978-04-22 Millwall L 0-1 1580 1520 57.05% 29.12% 13.83% -16.2 40
1978-04-22 @ Fulham W 1-0 1520 1580 13.83% 29.12% 57.05% +16.2 32
1978-04-22 Hull City W 2-1 1525 1447 58.50% 28.84% 12.67% +4.6 33
1978-04-22 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1447 1525 12.67% 28.84% 58.50% -4.6 28
1978-04-22 Southampton L 1-2 1580 1730 32.67% 30.11% 37.22% -9.7 38
1978-04-22 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1730 1580 37.22% 30.11% 32.67% +9.7 55
1978-04-22 Crystal Palace W 2-0 1571 1583 50.17% 29.99% 19.85% +13.4 37
1978-04-22 @ Notts County L 0-2 1583 1571 19.85% 29.99% 50.17% -13.4 38
1978-04-22 Brighton D 1-1 1596 1712 37.43% 30.28% 32.30% -0.3 42
1978-04-22 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1712 1596 32.30% 30.28% 37.43% +0.3 52
1978-04-22 Sunderland L 2-3 1753 1607 63.50% 27.48% 9.03% -16.0 53
1978-04-22 @ Tottenham W 3-2 1607 1753 9.03% 27.48% 63.50% +16.0 42
1978-04-24 Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1473 1545 43.13% 30.30% 26.57% +24.3 30
1978-04-24 @ Mansfield Town L 0-3 1545 1473 26.57% 30.30% 43.13% -24.3 36
1978-04-25 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1712 1536 65.43% 26.77% 7.80% +3.1 54
1978-04-25 @ Brighton L 0-1 1536 1712 7.80% 26.77% 65.43% -3.1 37
1978-04-25 Fulham W 2-0 1569 1564 51.88% 29.84% 18.28% +12.6 38
1978-04-25 @ Burnley L 0-2 1564 1569 18.28% 29.84% 51.88% -12.6 40
1978-04-25 Blackpool D 2-2 1570 1526 55.57% 29.37% 15.06% -1.9 39
1978-04-25 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 1526 1570 15.06% 29.37% 55.57% +1.9 37
1978-04-25 Southampton D 1-1 1530 1740 25.10% 29.53% 45.37% +1.2 34
1978-04-25 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1740 1530 45.37% 29.53% 25.10% -1.2 56
1978-04-25 Luton Town W 1-0 1536 1571 47.61% 30.15% 22.23% +7.8 34
1978-04-25 @ Millwall L 0-1 1571 1536 22.23% 30.15% 47.61% -7.8 38
1978-04-25 Sheffield United L 1-2 1585 1535 56.15% 29.28% 14.57% -15.0 37
1978-04-25 @ Notts County W 2-1 1535 1585 14.57% 29.28% 56.15% +15.0 40
1978-04-26 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1581 1728 33.09% 30.13% 36.78% -10.3 45
1978-04-26 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1728 1581 36.78% 30.13% 33.09% +10.3 57
1978-04-26 Oldham Athletic W 3-0 1584 1596 50.11% 29.99% 19.89% +19.5 41
1978-04-26 @ Stoke City L 0-3 1596 1584 19.89% 29.99% 50.11% -19.5 42
1978-04-26 Hull City W 1-0 1737 1442 72.08% 23.49% 4.44% +1.7 55
1978-04-26 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1442 1737 4.44% 23.49% 72.08% -1.7 28
1978-04-29 Fulham D 0-0 1738 1551 66.09% 26.50% 7.40% -4.5 58
1978-04-29 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1551 1738 7.40% 26.50% 66.09% +4.5 41
1978-04-29 Blackpool W 2-1 1715 1528 66.13% 26.49% 7.39% +2.8 56
1978-04-29 @ Brighton L 1-2 1528 1715 7.39% 26.49% 66.13% -2.8 37
1978-04-29 Luton Town W 2-1 1581 1563 53.22% 29.69% 17.09% +6.0 40
1978-04-29 @ Burnley L 1-2 1563 1581 17.09% 29.69% 53.22% -6.0 38
1978-04-29 Blackburn Rovers W 5-0 1568 1571 51.08% 29.91% 19.01% +30.3 41
1978-04-29 @ Crystal Palace L 0-5 1571 1568 19.01% 29.91% 51.08% -30.3 45
1978-04-29 Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1441 1521 42.19% 30.31% 27.50% -12.4 28
1978-04-29 @ Hull City W 1-0 1521 1441 27.50% 30.31% 42.19% +12.4 38
1978-04-29 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1497 1531 47.71% 30.15% 22.14% -1.5 31
1978-04-29 @ Mansfield Town D 1-1 1531 1497 22.14% 30.15% 47.71% +1.5 35
1978-04-29 Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1544 1576 47.84% 30.14% 22.02% +14.5 36
1978-04-29 @ Millwall L 0-2 1576 1544 22.02% 30.14% 47.84% -14.5 42
1978-04-29 Cardiff City L 0-1 1550 1513 54.93% 29.47% 15.60% -15.6 40
1978-04-29 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1513 1550 15.60% 29.47% 54.93% +15.6 36
1978-04-29 Tottenham D 0-0 1739 1739 51.36% 29.89% 18.76% -2.3 57
1978-04-29 @ Southampton D 0-0 1739 1739 18.76% 29.89% 51.36% +2.3 56
1978-04-29 Notts County D 1-1 1603 1570 54.67% 29.50% 15.82% -2.5 42
1978-04-29 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1570 1603 15.82% 29.50% 54.67% +2.5 38
1978-04-29 Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1623 1533 59.47% 28.62% 11.91% +12.7 44
1978-04-29 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1533 1623 11.91% 28.62% 59.47% -12.7 37
1978-05-02 Mansfield Town W 1-0 1558 1495 57.25% 29.08% 13.66% +5.2 38
1978-05-02 @ Millwall L 0-1 1495 1558 13.66% 29.08% 57.25% -5.2 31
1978-05-03 Notts County W 2-1 1529 1572 46.65% 30.20% 23.15% +7.5 38
1978-05-03 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1572 1529 23.15% 30.20% 46.65% -7.6 38
1978-05-03 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1532 1520 52.60% 29.76% 17.64% -2.5 36
1978-05-03 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1520 1532 17.64% 29.76% 52.60% +2.5 38
1978-05-09 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1536 1530 52.06% 29.82% 18.12% -14.9 38
1978-05-09 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1530 1536 18.12% 29.82% 52.06% +14.9 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-01-02 5.67% Burnley 1463 2 @ Bolton Wanderers 1706 1
2 1978-02-11 6.25% Millwall 1467 3 @ Southampton 1689 2
3 1978-04-08 7.89% Mansfield Town 1438 1 @ Oldham Athletic 1612 0
4 1977-12-03 8.31% Burnley 1466 2 @ Luton Town 1629 1
5 1978-04-22 9.03% Sunderland 1607 3 @ Tottenham 1753 2
6 1978-03-27 9.22% Mansfield Town 1442 2 @ Fulham 1583 0
7 1977-10-01 10.26% Fulham 1547 3 @ Crystal Palace 1667 2
8 1977-08-27 11.63% Hull City 1560 1 @ Crystal Palace 1655 0
9 1978-04-08 11.97% Hull City 1464 1 @ Charlton Athletic 1553 0
10 1978-04-22 12.21% Mansfield Town 1457 2 @ Blackpool 1542 1
11 1978-03-11 13.00% Bristol Rovers 1557 1 @ Blackburn Rovers 1630 0
12 1978-03-27 13.24% Burnley 1566 1 @ Blackburn Rovers 1635 0
13 1978-03-04 13.75% Stoke City 1559 1 @ Crystal Palace 1621 0
14 1978-04-22 13.83% Millwall 1520 1 @ Fulham 1580 0
15 1978-02-28 13.85% Millwall 1482 2 @ Charlton Athletic 1542 0
16 1977-10-15 13.92% Southampton 1608 2 @ Crystal Palace 1667 1
17 1977-11-19 14.13% Stoke City 1586 2 @ Luton Town 1642 1
18 1977-10-22 14.29% Leyton Orient 1514 2 @ Fulham 1568 1
19 1978-04-25 14.57% Sheffield United 1535 2 @ Notts County 1585 1
20 1977-11-26 15.44% Oldham Athletic 1502 2 @ Mansfield Town 1540 0
21 1978-01-14 15.51% Oldham Athletic 1616 1 @ Luton Town 1653 0
22 1978-04-29 15.60% Cardiff City 1513 1 @ Sheffield United 1550 0
23 1977-12-30 15.72% Oldham Athletic 1580 2 @ Fulham 1615 0
24 1977-12-10 16.10% Luton Town 1612 1 @ Southampton 1642 0
25 1977-12-03 16.46% Brighton 1613 1 @ Blackpool 1638 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-12-03 48.04 Sheffield United 6 1547 24.40% @ Cardiff City 1 1492 45.35% 30.25%
2 1978-04-18 41.60 Brighton 4 1670 30.83% @ Bristol Rovers 0 1565 38.87% 30.30%
3 1977-12-10 38.59 Fulham 3 1563 20.83% @ Millwall 0 1541 49.10% 30.07%
4 1977-08-20 37.37 Crystal Palace 3 1610 22.50% @ Millwall 0 1572 47.33% 30.17%
5 1978-04-01 36.88 Charlton Athletic 3 1519 23.19% @ Mansfield Town 0 1475 46.61% 30.20%
6 1978-01-14 34.95 Bolton Wanderers 5 1687 30.41% @ Sheffield United 1 1585 39.28% 30.31%
7 1978-03-27 33.62 Mansfield Town 2 1442 9.22% @ Fulham 0 1583 63.21% 27.57%
8 1977-12-26 32.35 @ Stoke City 4 1561 42.38% Charlton Athletic 0 1639 27.32% 30.31%
9 1978-02-28 30.51 Millwall 2 1482 13.85% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1542 57.02% 29.13%
10 1978-04-29 30.35 @ Crystal Palace 5 1568 51.08% Blackburn Rovers 0 1571 19.01% 29.91%
11 1977-10-22 30.01 @ Tottenham 9 1659 62.28% Bristol Rovers 0 1531 9.85% 27.87%
12 1977-11-26 29.55 Oldham Athletic 2 1502 15.44% @ Mansfield Town 0 1540 55.12% 29.44%
13 1977-12-30 29.39 Oldham Athletic 2 1580 15.72% @ Fulham 0 1615 54.80% 29.49%
14 1977-12-27 29.25 @ Bristol Rovers 3 1504 35.17% Crystal Palace 0 1635 34.61% 30.22%
15 1977-10-01 28.76 Brighton 2 1596 16.79% @ Sunderland 0 1618 53.56% 29.65%
16 1977-09-03 28.69 @ Luton Town 7 1614 52.00% Charlton Athletic 1 1608 18.17% 29.82%
17 1977-08-23 28.32 Blackpool 4 1609 28.06% @ Leyton Orient 1 1525 41.63% 30.31%
18 1977-10-08 27.88 Crystal Palace 2 1639 18.38% @ Stoke City 0 1643 51.78% 29.85%
19 1977-09-17 27.71 Bolton Wanderers 2 1642 18.68% @ Sunderland 0 1643 51.44% 29.88%
20 1977-08-20 27.55 @ Hull City 3 1547 37.96% Sunderland 0 1658 31.75% 30.29%
21 1977-10-01 27.49 Mansfield Town 2 1566 19.08% @ Hull City 0 1562 51.00% 29.92%
22 1977-09-17 27.25 Tottenham 2 1653 19.54% @ Blackpool 0 1645 50.50% 29.96%
23 1977-10-01 27.02 Blackburn Rovers 2 1567 19.98% @ Oldham Athletic 0 1554 50.02% 30.00%
24 1978-04-18 26.99 @ Leyton Orient 3 1498 38.88% Burnley 0 1603 30.82% 30.30%
25 1978-03-18 26.85 @ Luton Town 4 1582 48.66% Blackpool 0 1607 21.25% 30.09%