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1976-77 Football League Second Division Season

462 games

Final

Promoted

Wolverhampton

57 pts

Chelsea · 55 pts

Nottingham Forest · 52 pts

Relegated

Hereford United

31 pts

Plymouth Argyle · 32 pts

Carlisle United · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Chelsea

9.25 points above expected

55 points · 45.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Plymouth Argyle

6.95 points below expected

32 points · 38.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Wolverhampton Promoted 42 22 13 7 57 84 45 +39 51.18 +5.82
2 Chelsea Promoted 42 21 13 8 55 73 53 +20 45.75 +9.25
3 Nottingham Forest Promoted 42 21 10 11 52 77 43 +34 48.14 +3.86
4 Bolton Wanderers 42 20 11 11 51 75 54 +21 46.76 +4.24
5 Blackpool 42 17 17 8 51 58 42 +16 44.33 +6.67
6 Luton Town 42 21 6 15 48 67 48 +19 46.07 +1.93
7 Charlton Athletic 42 16 16 10 48 71 58 +13 40.73 +7.27
8 Notts County 42 19 10 13 48 65 60 +5 44.05 +3.95
9 Southampton 42 17 10 15 44 72 67 +5 44.59 -0.59
10 Millwall 42 15 13 14 43 57 53 +4 42.74 +0.26
11 Sheffield United 42 14 12 16 40 54 63 -9 42.36 -2.36
12 Blackburn Rovers 42 15 9 18 39 42 54 -12 39.12 -0.12
13 Oldham Athletic 42 14 10 18 38 52 64 -12 40.83 -2.83
14 Hull City 42 10 17 15 37 45 53 -8 41.38 -4.38
15 Bristol Rovers 42 12 13 17 37 53 68 -15 37.47 -0.47
16 Burnley 42 11 14 17 36 46 64 -18 40.42 -4.42
17 Fulham 42 11 13 18 35 54 61 -7 39.08 -4.08
18 Cardiff City 42 12 10 20 34 56 67 -11 37.94 -3.94
19 Leyton Orient 42 9 16 17 34 37 55 -18 39.22 -5.22
20 Carlisle United Relegated 42 11 12 19 34 49 75 -26 36.52 -2.52
21 Plymouth Argyle Relegated 42 8 16 18 32 46 65 -19 38.95 -6.95
22 Hereford United Relegated 42 8 15 19 31 57 78 -21 36.38 -5.38

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Wolverhampton 1774 57 51.18 +5.82 91.5% 33 43 48 51 54 59 67
Nottingham Forest 1722 52 48.14 +3.86 81.9% 31 40 45 48 51 56 66
Luton Town 1694 48 46.07 +1.93 69.2% 29 38 43 46 49 54 66
Bolton Wanderers 1684 51 46.76 +4.24 83.8% 30 39 44 47 50 55 63
Blackpool 1681 51 44.33 +6.67 93.7% 26 37 41 44 47 52 63
Chelsea 1681 55 45.75 +9.25 98.1% 30 38 43 46 49 53 63
Southampton 1651 44 44.59 -0.59 48.9% 28 37 41 45 48 52 65
Notts County 1649 48 44.05 +3.95 83.0% 26 36 41 44 47 52 62
Charlton Athletic 1641 48 40.73 +7.27 95.1% 24 33 38 41 44 48 57
Millwall 1594 43 42.74 +0.26 56.5% 23 35 39 43 46 51 60
Sheffield United 1573 40 42.36 -2.36 35.3% 26 35 39 42 46 50 59
Burnley 1566 36 40.42 -4.42 20.2% 23 33 37 40 44 48 60
Fulham 1554 35 39.08 -4.08 22.5% 22 31 36 39 42 47 56
Blackburn Rovers 1542 39 39.12 -0.12 53.9% 22 32 36 39 42 47 57
Hull City 1539 37 41.38 -4.38 20.1% 24 34 38 41 44 49 63
Oldham Athletic 1538 38 40.83 -2.83 31.4% 23 33 38 41 44 49 58
Cardiff City 1536 34 37.94 -3.94 23.2% 20 30 35 38 41 46 55
Bristol Rovers 1536 37 37.47 -0.47 50.2% 21 30 34 37 41 45 56
Hereford United 1524 31 36.38 -5.38 15.1% 18 29 33 36 40 44 53
Plymouth Argyle 1521 32 38.95 -6.95 8.2% 21 31 36 39 42 47 58
Leyton Orient 1502 34 39.22 -5.22 15.9% 21 32 36 39 42 47 55
Carlisle United 1497 34 36.52 -2.52 33.2% 20 29 33 36 40 44 60

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BR BLA BW BR BUR CC CU CA CHE FUL HU HC LO LT MIL NF NC OA PA SU SOU WOL
Blackburn Rovers —
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.23
0-2-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.41
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
2.34
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
1.68
Blackpool
1-1-0
3.00
 —
2-0-0
2.38
2-0-0
2.95
0-2-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.08
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.51
0-2-0
2.84
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.95
0-0-2
3.16
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.30
Bolton Wanderers
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
3.02
 —
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.43
Bristol Rovers
0-2-0
2.55
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.10
 —
0-2-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.50
2-0-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.89
Burnley
1-1-0
2.70
0-2-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.26
0-2-0
2.98
 —
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.02
Cardiff City
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.50
 —
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.46
Carlisle United
1-1-0
2.42
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.63
 —
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
2.46
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.45
Charlton Athletic
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.97
Chelsea
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.11
 —
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.83
0-2-0
2.41
Fulham
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.96
2-0-0
2.94
0-2-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.00
 —
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.03
Hereford United
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.62
 —
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.76
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.03
Hull City
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
3.04
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.96
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.88
 —
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.77
2-0-0
2.82
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.13
Leyton Orient
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.73
0-2-0
2.53
 —
1-1-0
2.23
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.26
2-0-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.01
Luton Town
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
2.89
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
3.20
 —
0-0-2
2.93
1-1-0
2.69
2-0-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
2.39
Millwall
0-0-2
2.88
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.50
 —
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.15
Nottingham Forest
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.68
0-1-1
3.29
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
3.18
 —
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.56
Notts County
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.62
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
3.12
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.45
 —
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.27
Oldham Athletic
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
2.62
1-1-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.49
 —
0-2-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.11
Plymouth Argyle
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.10
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
2.50
0-2-0
2.65
 —
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
1.58
Sheffield United
0-1-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.87
0-2-0
2.98
0-2-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.09
 —
0-2-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.28
Southampton
1-0-1
3.39
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.68
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.09
0-2-0
2.84
 —
2-0-0
2.09
Wolverhampton
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.57
0-2-0
3.37
1-1-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.98
1-1-0
3.45
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.43
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.83
0-2-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
3.33
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +5.3
Allowed 0.55 -6.1
Differential 0.91 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.36%8.44%5.19%2.71%1.52%0.43%25.65%
18.44%14.72%6.82%3.25%1.08%1.41%35.71%
25.19%6.82%6.71%1.95%0.97%0.54%22.19%
32.71%3.25%1.95%0.87%0.65%0.11%9.52%
41.52%1.08%0.97%0.65%0.22%—4.44%
5+0.43%1.41%0.54%0.11%——2.49%
Total25.65%35.71%22.19%9.52%4.44%2.49%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.78
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%14.29%2.38%4.76%—38.10%
116.67%7.14%2.38%11.90%——38.10%
27.14%4.76%4.76%———16.67%
32.38%2.38%————4.76%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total35.71%23.81%21.43%14.29%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.29 -0.29
SD 1.17 1.24 1.88
CV 1.17 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%4.76%9.52%2.38%——28.57%
119.05%14.29%2.38%———35.71%
2—4.76%11.90%———16.67%
34.76%—2.38%2.38%——9.52%
42.38%2.38%2.38%———7.14%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total38.10%28.57%28.57%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.00 +0.38
SD 1.32 0.94 1.53
CV 0.96 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%7.14%—4.76%——14.29%
19.52%9.52%4.76%4.76%——28.57%
24.76%9.52%11.90%2.38%——28.57%
37.14%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%—23.81%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total26.19%38.10%19.05%14.29%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.29 +0.50
SD 1.18 1.09 1.67
CV 0.66 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%7.14%—4.76%—28.57%
17.14%19.05%4.76%—2.38%2.38%35.71%
2—9.52%2.38%4.76%4.76%—21.43%
32.38%2.38%4.76%—2.38%—11.90%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total19.05%40.48%19.05%4.76%14.29%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.62 -0.36
SD 1.15 1.38 1.69
CV 0.91 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%4.76%9.52%2.38%——30.95%
114.29%9.52%9.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%42.86%
24.76%—4.76%——4.76%14.29%
3—7.14%—2.38%——9.52%
4————2.38%—2.38%
5+———————
Total33.33%21.43%23.81%9.52%4.76%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.52 -0.43
SD 1.03 1.52 1.56
CV 0.94 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%11.90%2.38%7.14%——26.19%
14.76%9.52%11.90%2.38%2.38%—30.95%
24.76%7.14%9.52%7.14%——28.57%
32.38%4.76%2.38%—2.38%—11.90%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%28.57%16.67%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.60 -0.26
SD 1.07 1.11 1.48
CV 0.81 0.69 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%7.14%2.38%2.38%4.76%33.33%
14.76%19.05%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%40.48%
2—7.14%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
3—4.76%————4.76%
4—2.38%2.38%4.76%——9.52%
5+———————
Total11.90%42.86%21.43%11.90%4.76%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.79 -0.62
SD 1.23 1.42 1.90
CV 1.05 0.80 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%4.76%4.76%——21.43%
14.76%26.19%7.14%———38.10%
22.38%7.14%2.38%—2.38%—14.29%
3—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
44.76%——4.76%2.38%—11.90%
5+——4.76%———4.76%
Total19.05%42.86%23.81%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.38 +0.31
SD 1.54 1.06 1.63
CV 0.91 0.77 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%4.76%—2.38%4.76%—14.29%
17.14%16.67%4.76%2.38%——30.95%
29.52%14.29%9.52%———33.33%
3—7.14%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
44.76%——2.38%——7.14%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total23.81%45.24%16.67%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.26 +0.48
SD 1.21 1.08 1.76
CV 0.70 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%4.76%4.76%——33.33%
12.38%9.52%9.52%2.38%2.38%4.76%30.95%
29.52%2.38%7.14%4.76%——23.81%
3—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%————4.76%
Total28.57%28.57%23.81%11.90%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.45 -0.17
SD 1.38 1.35 1.99
CV 1.08 0.93 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%2.38%———16.67%
17.14%19.05%9.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%50.00%
22.38%—9.52%4.76%2.38%—19.05%
32.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%—11.90%
4———————
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total16.67%30.95%23.81%14.29%9.52%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.86 -0.50
SD 1.06 1.46 1.57
CV 0.78 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%11.90%2.38%4.76%2.38%—33.33%
17.14%21.43%9.52%2.38%—2.38%42.86%
22.38%2.38%7.14%———11.90%
3—7.14%————7.14%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+———————
Total23.81%45.24%19.05%7.14%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.26 -0.19
SD 1.09 1.13 1.64
CV 1.02 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%19.05%9.52%4.76%——45.24%
111.90%14.29%———2.38%28.57%
22.38%2.38%9.52%2.38%2.38%—19.05%
32.38%—2.38%2.38%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%9.52%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.31 -0.43
SD 0.97 1.28 1.43
CV 1.10 0.98 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%14.29%4.76%———23.81%
14.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%—23.81%
214.29%16.67%——4.76%—35.71%
32.38%———2.38%—4.76%
44.76%—4.76%———9.52%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total33.33%40.48%14.29%2.38%9.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.14 +0.45
SD 1.31 1.20 1.82
CV 0.82 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%9.52%7.14%———28.57%
12.38%16.67%2.38%7.14%——28.57%
27.14%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%26.19%
37.14%2.38%2.38%———11.90%
4——4.76%———4.76%
5+———————
Total28.57%38.10%19.05%9.52%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.26 +0.10
SD 1.16 1.19 1.56
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.52%2.38%———11.90%
19.52%21.43%11.90%2.38%——45.24%
24.76%4.76%2.38%———11.90%
314.29%4.76%————19.05%
4——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
5+—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
Total28.57%45.24%21.43%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.02 +0.81
SD 1.46 0.84 1.71
CV 0.80 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%11.90%——4.76%—21.43%
17.14%16.67%4.76%2.38%—4.76%35.71%
27.14%14.29%2.38%—2.38%—26.19%
3—2.38%4.76%———7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
Total19.05%52.38%14.29%2.38%7.14%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.43 +0.12
SD 1.37 1.38 2.00
CV 0.88 0.97 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%4.76%4.76%2.38%4.76%33.33%
19.52%7.14%11.90%2.38%——30.95%
27.14%4.76%7.14%———19.05%
32.38%2.38%2.38%—2.38%2.38%11.90%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+———————
Total30.95%23.81%26.19%7.14%4.76%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.52 -0.29
SD 1.19 1.49 1.99
CV 0.96 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%7.14%7.14%4.76%2.38%—26.19%
17.14%16.67%9.52%7.14%2.38%—42.86%
27.14%2.38%16.67%2.38%——28.57%
3———————
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total21.43%26.19%33.33%14.29%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.55 -0.45
SD 0.88 1.13 1.55
CV 0.80 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%7.14%2.38%2.38%2.38%—16.67%
111.90%19.05%4.76%2.38%2.38%4.76%45.24%
27.14%7.14%7.14%9.52%——30.95%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%33.33%14.29%14.29%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.50 -0.21
SD 0.83 1.49 1.83
CV 0.65 0.99 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%4.76%7.14%4.76%2.38%—21.43%
17.14%11.90%7.14%7.14%——33.33%
24.76%7.14%7.14%——2.38%21.43%
3——7.14%2.38%——9.52%
42.38%7.14%————9.52%
5+2.38%—2.38%———4.76%
Total19.05%30.95%30.95%14.29%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.60 +0.12
SD 1.55 1.25 2.15
CV 0.90 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%2.38%4.76%———16.67%
19.52%9.52%7.14%———26.19%
24.76%11.90%9.52%——2.38%28.57%
32.38%4.76%—2.38%——9.52%
44.76%2.38%2.38%———9.52%
5+2.38%7.14%————9.52%
Total33.33%38.10%23.81%2.38%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.07 +0.93
SD 1.58 1.13 1.93
CV 0.79 1.06 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Chelsea 55 45.75 +9.25
2 Charlton Athletic 48 40.73 +7.27
3 Blackpool 51 44.33 +6.67
4 Wolverhampton 57 51.18 +5.82
5 Bolton Wanderers 51 46.76 +4.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Plymouth Argyle 32 38.95 -6.95
2 Hereford United 31 36.38 -5.38
3 Leyton Orient 34 39.22 -5.22
4 Burnley 36 40.42 -4.42
5 Hull City 37 41.38 -4.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Luton Town 9 Jan 22 – Mar 8 1 in 2,911
2 Southampton 4 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 315
3 Bolton Wanderers 5 Oct 30 – Nov 27 1 in 155
4 Chelsea 4 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 143
5 Blackburn Rovers 3 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 138

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hereford United 7 Sep 18 – Oct 30 1 in 1,865
2 Hull City 4 Apr 23 – May 14 1 in 227
3 Carlisle United 6 Oct 23 – Nov 20 1 in 175
4 Blackburn Rovers 5 Apr 2 – Apr 16 1 in 168
5 Fulham 4 Dec 27 – Jan 3 1 in 75

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Blackpool 13 Oct 12 – Jan 1 1 in 418
2 Carlisle United 7 Apr 6 – May 4 1 in 142
3 Charlton Athletic 9 Apr 8 – May 14 1 in 56
4 Wolverhampton 12 Nov 27 – Mar 1 1 in 46
5 Bristol Rovers 7 Apr 11 – May 17 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Burnley 14 Nov 9 – Feb 19 1 in 711
2 Leyton Orient 11 Apr 9 – May 17 1 in 221
3 Plymouth Argyle 11 Oct 23 – Dec 27 1 in 174
4 Fulham 12 Dec 27 – Mar 11 1 in 81
5 Hereford United 12 Nov 20 – Mar 2 1 in 36

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Wolverhampton41.30%19.55%12.02%7.74%5.24%3.76%2.56%2.11%1.44%1.20%0.90%0.70%0.37%0.42%0.26%0.11%0.09%0.08%0.06%0.04%0.05%—
Chelsea6.65%9.56%10.02%9.13%9.04%8.04%7.52%6.71%5.87%4.78%4.14%3.61%3.21%2.73%2.30%1.99%1.51%1.13%0.91%0.72%0.27%0.16%
Nottingham Forest17.00%17.10%12.92%10.69%8.29%6.43%5.14%4.68%3.98%3.14%2.37%1.94%1.62%1.35%0.89%0.84%0.49%0.45%0.30%0.17%0.10%0.11%
Bolton Wanderers10.09%12.29%11.62%10.35%9.22%7.78%6.34%5.78%4.84%4.19%3.57%3.02%2.55%2.01%1.84%1.49%1.02%0.69%0.61%0.40%0.17%0.13%
Blackpool3.76%5.89%7.02%7.91%7.85%7.67%7.80%7.05%6.34%6.01%5.34%5.09%4.36%3.67%3.35%2.75%2.18%1.92%1.57%1.35%0.67%0.45%
Luton Town7.31%9.97%10.89%10.31%8.85%8.36%6.91%6.38%5.68%4.50%3.88%3.76%2.96%2.42%1.80%1.86%1.36%0.96%0.72%0.49%0.43%0.20%
Charlton Athletic0.58%1.66%2.39%3.01%3.58%3.98%5.34%5.08%5.30%5.86%6.01%6.27%5.96%6.38%5.94%5.95%5.92%5.27%5.00%4.19%3.72%2.61%
Notts County3.02%4.81%6.13%7.52%7.76%7.69%6.96%6.82%6.62%6.21%5.70%4.98%4.80%4.34%3.79%3.23%2.92%2.16%1.64%1.39%1.05%0.46%
Southampton3.67%6.25%7.51%7.55%7.53%8.21%8.02%6.65%6.32%5.84%5.63%4.68%4.15%3.75%3.35%2.52%2.31%2.18%1.52%1.29%0.77%0.30%
Millwall1.82%3.15%4.45%4.95%6.23%6.32%6.32%6.35%6.76%6.68%6.08%5.46%5.53%5.07%4.79%4.41%3.93%3.14%3.22%2.38%1.80%1.16%
Sheffield United1.37%2.61%3.55%4.57%5.48%5.32%6.26%5.99%6.00%5.90%6.39%6.09%5.52%5.74%5.64%4.80%4.65%4.16%3.52%2.57%2.48%1.39%
Blackburn Rovers0.26%0.62%0.81%1.46%1.91%2.41%2.77%3.41%3.93%4.61%5.10%5.17%5.83%6.12%6.51%7.15%7.03%6.99%7.30%7.65%6.93%6.03%
Oldham Athletic0.75%1.35%2.02%2.56%3.20%4.40%4.70%5.07%5.77%5.54%5.39%5.72%6.14%6.34%5.66%6.14%5.60%5.70%5.34%4.98%4.50%3.13%
Hull City0.88%1.70%2.65%3.17%4.15%4.42%5.09%5.26%5.97%5.95%5.74%6.31%6.73%6.08%6.30%5.56%5.43%4.75%4.35%4.00%3.22%2.29%
Bristol Rovers0.12%0.27%0.47%0.70%1.09%1.28%1.47%2.27%2.51%3.08%3.83%4.16%4.66%5.09%5.95%6.46%7.17%7.82%8.92%9.86%10.69%12.13%
Burnley0.48%0.94%1.49%2.30%2.71%3.20%4.08%4.85%4.76%5.42%6.01%6.07%6.32%6.08%6.33%6.45%6.27%5.87%5.93%5.54%5.06%3.84%
Fulham0.25%0.61%0.82%1.57%1.93%2.85%2.93%3.59%3.99%4.52%5.23%5.41%5.65%6.24%6.34%6.59%6.94%7.08%7.00%7.38%6.94%6.14%
Cardiff City0.10%0.25%0.64%0.82%1.38%1.68%1.89%2.27%3.06%3.75%3.85%4.34%5.27%5.33%6.31%6.61%7.49%8.42%9.16%8.69%9.30%9.39%
Leyton Orient0.22%0.59%1.19%1.40%1.81%2.61%2.82%3.59%3.74%4.12%4.88%5.61%5.83%6.09%6.45%6.35%6.80%7.51%7.44%7.29%7.23%6.43%
Carlisle United0.08%0.16%0.26%0.48%0.52%0.94%1.37%1.34%1.61%2.03%2.54%3.23%3.60%4.37%5.24%5.98%6.84%8.11%8.96%10.97%13.31%18.06%
Plymouth Argyle0.22%0.55%0.87%1.31%1.68%1.99%2.54%3.32%3.89%4.20%4.89%5.23%5.28%5.80%6.02%7.13%7.18%7.48%7.85%7.56%7.85%7.16%
Hereford United0.07%0.12%0.26%0.50%0.55%0.66%1.17%1.43%1.62%2.47%2.53%3.15%3.66%4.58%4.94%5.63%6.87%8.13%8.68%11.09%13.46%18.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.84%
Strong Edge
48.48%29.87%21.65%
Elo Value
Home Edge
194 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
095.59500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Wolverhampton, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.070.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.76 * Some Luck: 3.76 to 5.64 * Lucky: 5.64 to 7.52 * Wild Swing: 7.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.39 * Close: 3.39 to 5.09 * Off: 5.09 to 6.79 * Way Off: 6.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.82 * A Surprise: 1.82 to 2.91 * Several Surprises: 2.91 to 4 * Many Surprises: 4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.60 points
Some Luck
04.7012
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
04.2410
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
98.11%
Chelsea
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
8.24%
Plymouth Argyle
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.83

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.24
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.06 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.13 * Well Above Noise: 0.13 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Above Noise
00.0640.15

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Wolverhampton 72.87% 27.04% 0.09%
Nottingham Forest 47.02% 52.60% 0.38%
Bolton Wanderers 34.00% 65.30% 0.70%
Luton Town 28.17% 70.71% 1.12%
Chelsea 26.23% 72.62% 1.15%
Southampton 17.43% 80.21% 2.36%
Blackpool 16.67% 80.86% 2.47%
Notts County 13.96% 83.14% 2.90%
Millwall 9.42% 85.24% 5.34%
Sheffield United 7.53% 86.03% 6.44%
Hull City 5.23% 85.26% 9.51%
Charlton Athletic 4.63% 84.85% 10.52%
Oldham Athletic 4.12% 83.27% 12.61%
Burnley 2.91% 82.65% 14.44%
Fulham 1.68% 77.86% 20.46%
Blackburn Rovers 1.69% 77.70% 20.61%
Leyton Orient 2.00% 77.05% 20.95%
Plymouth Argyle 1.64% 75.79% 22.57%
Cardiff City 0.99% 71.63% 27.38%
Bristol Rovers 0.86% 66.46% 32.68%
Carlisle United 0.50% 57.16% 42.34%
Hereford United 0.45% 56.57% 42.98%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1976-08-21 Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1575 1646 48.30% 31.28% 20.42% +10.0 2
1976-08-21 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1646 1575 20.42% 31.28% 48.30% -10.0 0
1976-08-21 Blackpool L 1-4 1565 1587 53.22% 30.76% 16.03% -29.3 0
1976-08-21 @ Bristol Rovers W 4-1 1587 1565 16.03% 30.76% 53.22% +29.3 2
1976-08-21 Cardiff City L 0-2 1569 1570 55.22% 30.42% 14.36% -24.8 0
1976-08-21 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1570 1569 14.36% 30.42% 55.22% +24.8 2
1976-08-21 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1583 1626 51.19% 31.02% 17.79% -1.3 1
1976-08-21 @ Fulham D 2-2 1626 1583 17.79% 31.02% 51.19% +1.3 1
1976-08-21 Hull City W 1-0 1597 1586 56.24% 30.21% 13.55% +4.4 2
1976-08-21 @ Hereford United L 0-1 1586 1597 13.55% 30.21% 56.24% -4.4 0
1976-08-21 Chelsea L 0-1 1597 1599 55.08% 30.44% 14.48% -13.1 0
1976-08-21 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1599 1597 14.48% 30.44% 55.08% +13.1 2
1976-08-21 Sheffield United W 2-0 1622 1613 56.15% 30.23% 13.62% +8.3 2
1976-08-21 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1613 1622 13.62% 30.23% 56.15% -8.4 0
1976-08-21 Millwall L 1-2 1625 1591 58.16% 29.75% 12.08% -13.0 0
1976-08-21 @ Notts County W 2-1 1591 1625 12.08% 29.75% 58.16% +13.0 2
1976-08-21 Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1573 1572 55.40% 30.38% 14.22% -1.6 1
1976-08-21 @ Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1572 1573 14.22% 30.38% 55.40% +1.7 1
1976-08-21 Carlisle United L 1-2 1620 1583 58.44% 29.68% 11.88% -13.0 0
1976-08-21 @ Southampton W 2-1 1583 1620 11.88% 29.68% 58.44% +13.1 2
1976-08-21 Burnley D 0-0 1663 1636 57.56% 29.91% 12.53% -2.8 1
1976-08-21 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1636 1663 12.53% 29.91% 57.56% +2.8 1
1976-08-24 Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1617 1572 59.09% 29.50% 11.41% -26.4 2
1976-08-24 @ Blackpool W 2-0 1572 1617 11.41% 29.50% 59.09% +26.4 3
1976-08-24 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1636 1584 59.64% 29.34% 11.02% +6.9 2
1976-08-24 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1584 1636 11.02% 29.34% 59.64% -6.9 0
1976-08-24 Fulham W 3-1 1639 1581 60.06% 29.21% 10.73% +5.8 3
1976-08-24 @ Burnley L 1-3 1581 1639 10.73% 29.21% 60.06% -5.8 1
1976-08-24 Luton Town W 3-1 1582 1631 50.63% 31.08% 18.29% +9.2 2
1976-08-24 @ Hull City L 1-3 1631 1582 18.29% 31.08% 50.63% -9.2 2
1976-08-24 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1574 1585 54.34% 30.58% 15.09% +17.3 3
1976-08-24 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-4 1585 1574 15.09% 30.58% 54.34% -17.3 2
1976-08-24 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1605 1660 49.99% 31.14% 18.87% -1.2 1
1976-08-24 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1660 1605 18.87% 31.14% 49.99% +1.2 2
1976-08-25 Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1595 1535 60.21% 29.16% 10.63% -13.4 2
1976-08-25 @ Cardiff City W 2-1 1535 1595 10.63% 29.16% 60.21% +13.4 2
1976-08-25 Notts County D 1-1 1612 1612 55.39% 30.38% 14.22% -2.2 3
1976-08-25 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1612 1612 14.22% 30.38% 55.39% +2.2 1
1976-08-25 Southampton D 0-0 1604 1607 55.05% 30.45% 14.50% -2.4 3
1976-08-25 @ Millwall D 0-0 1607 1604 14.50% 30.45% 55.05% +2.4 1
1976-08-25 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1628 1544 61.97% 28.56% 9.48% -3.0 2
1976-08-25 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1544 1628 9.48% 28.56% 61.97% +3.0 1
1976-08-28 Leyton Orient W 3-0 1590 1577 56.50% 30.15% 13.34% +11.9 4
1976-08-28 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1577 1590 13.34% 30.15% 56.50% -11.9 0
1976-08-28 Millwall W 3-1 1643 1602 58.78% 29.59% 11.64% +6.3 4
1976-08-28 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1602 1643 11.64% 29.59% 58.78% -6.3 3
1976-08-28 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1549 1598 50.61% 31.08% 18.31% -1.9 3
1976-08-28 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1598 1549 18.31% 31.08% 50.61% +1.9 4
1976-08-28 Luton Town L 1-2 1645 1622 57.32% 29.96% 12.71% -12.8 3
1976-08-28 @ Burnley W 2-1 1622 1645 12.71% 29.96% 57.32% +12.8 4
1976-08-28 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1581 1568 56.53% 30.15% 13.33% +4.1 4
1976-08-28 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1568 1581 13.33% 30.15% 56.53% -4.1 2
1976-08-28 Fulham D 1-1 1547 1576 52.69% 30.83% 16.48% -1.9 2
1976-08-28 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1576 1547 16.48% 30.83% 52.69% +1.9 2
1976-08-28 Carlisle United W 2-1 1610 1596 56.54% 30.14% 13.31% +4.1 5
1976-08-28 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1596 1610 13.31% 30.14% 56.54% -4.1 2
1976-08-28 Southampton W 4-0 1591 1609 53.63% 30.69% 15.68% +17.8 4
1976-08-28 @ Hull City L 0-4 1609 1591 15.68% 30.69% 53.63% -17.9 1
1976-08-28 Wolverhampton L 1-3 1625 1661 51.90% 30.94% 17.16% -20.3 2
1976-08-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1661 1625 17.16% 30.94% 51.90% +20.3 4
1976-08-28 Notts County L 1-2 1591 1614 53.25% 30.75% 16.00% -12.0 3
1976-08-28 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-1 1614 1591 16.00% 30.75% 53.25% +12.0 3
1976-08-28 Hereford United D 1-1 1603 1601 55.51% 30.36% 14.13% -2.2 2
1976-08-28 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1601 1603 14.13% 30.36% 55.51% +2.2 3
1976-09-04 Blackpool L 0-1 1563 1602 51.66% 30.97% 17.38% -12.4 2
1976-09-04 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1602 1563 17.38% 30.97% 51.66% +12.4 6
1976-09-04 Hull City D 1-1 1592 1609 53.79% 30.67% 15.54% -2.0 3
1976-09-04 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1609 1592 15.54% 30.67% 53.79% +2.0 5
1976-09-04 Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1578 1547 57.93% 29.81% 12.26% +4.0 4
1976-09-04 @ Fulham L 0-1 1547 1578 12.26% 29.81% 57.93% -4.0 3
1976-09-04 Burnley W 3-0 1603 1632 52.65% 30.84% 16.51% +14.3 5
1976-09-04 @ Hereford United L 0-3 1632 1603 16.51% 30.84% 52.65% -14.2 3
1976-09-04 Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1565 1579 54.00% 30.63% 15.37% -1.5 1
1976-09-04 @ Leyton Orient D 2-2 1579 1565 15.37% 30.63% 54.00% +1.5 4
1976-09-04 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1634 1604 57.88% 29.83% 12.30% -2.5 5
1976-09-04 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1604 1634 12.30% 29.83% 57.88% +2.5 3
1976-09-04 Chelsea W 3-0 1595 1614 53.57% 30.70% 15.73% +13.7 5
1976-09-04 @ Millwall L 0-3 1614 1595 15.73% 30.70% 53.57% -13.7 5
1976-09-04 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1626 1649 53.17% 30.76% 16.06% -12.7 3
1976-09-04 @ Notts County W 1-0 1649 1626 16.06% 30.76% 53.17% +12.7 6
1976-09-04 Cardiff City W 3-2 1600 1586 56.56% 30.14% 13.30% +3.9 6
1976-09-04 @ Oldham Athletic L 2-3 1586 1600 13.30% 30.14% 56.56% -3.9 4
1976-09-04 Sheffield United D 1-1 1592 1601 54.45% 30.56% 14.99% -2.1 2
1976-09-04 @ Southampton D 1-1 1601 1592 14.99% 30.56% 54.45% +2.1 3
1976-09-04 Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1681 1545 65.58% 27.03% 7.39% +6.7 6
1976-09-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 1545 1681 7.39% 27.03% 65.58% -6.7 2
1976-09-10 Luton Town W 4-3 1539 1632 45.80% 31.40% 22.80% +5.8 4
1976-09-10 @ Charlton Athletic L 3-4 1632 1539 22.80% 31.40% 45.80% -5.8 5
1976-09-11 Millwall W 4-2 1615 1609 55.82% 30.30% 13.88% +6.6 8
1976-09-11 @ Blackpool L 2-4 1609 1615 13.88% 30.30% 55.82% -6.6 5
1976-09-11 Hull City W 5-1 1662 1611 59.54% 29.37% 11.09% +11.0 8
1976-09-11 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-5 1611 1662 11.09% 29.37% 59.54% -11.0 5
1976-09-11 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1543 1563 53.44% 30.72% 15.84% +5.0 5
1976-09-11 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1563 1543 15.84% 30.72% 53.44% -5.0 1
1976-09-11 Southampton W 2-0 1618 1589 57.74% 29.86% 12.40% +7.7 5
1976-09-11 @ Burnley L 0-2 1589 1618 12.40% 29.86% 57.74% -7.7 2
1976-09-11 Notts County L 2-3 1582 1613 52.39% 30.87% 16.74% -11.2 4
1976-09-11 @ Cardiff City W 3-2 1613 1582 16.74% 30.87% 52.39% +11.2 5
1976-09-11 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1582 1688 44.25% 31.45% 24.31% -1.1 5
1976-09-11 @ Fulham D 0-0 1688 1582 24.31% 31.45% 44.25% +1.1 7
1976-09-11 Hereford United W 4-3 1607 1618 54.34% 30.58% 15.08% +4.2 5
1976-09-11 @ Nottingham Forest L 3-4 1618 1607 15.08% 30.58% 54.34% -4.2 5
1976-09-11 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1604 1551 59.68% 29.33% 10.99% +6.9 8
1976-09-11 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1551 1604 10.99% 29.33% 59.68% -6.9 2
1976-09-11 Chelsea L 2-3 1581 1601 53.50% 30.71% 15.78% -11.4 4
1976-09-11 @ Plymouth Argyle W 3-2 1601 1581 15.78% 30.71% 53.50% +11.4 7
1976-09-11 Carlisle United W 3-0 1603 1590 56.46% 30.16% 13.37% +12.0 5
1976-09-11 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1590 1603 13.37% 30.16% 56.46% -12.0 3
1976-09-14 Hereford United D 2-2 1578 1613 52.01% 30.92% 17.07% -1.4 4
1976-09-14 @ Carlisle United D 2-2 1613 1578 17.07% 30.92% 52.01% +1.4 6
1976-09-17 Sheffield United D 1-1 1600 1615 53.92% 30.65% 15.43% -2.0 6
1976-09-17 @ Hull City D 1-1 1615 1600 15.43% 30.65% 53.92% +2.0 6
1976-09-18 Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1544 1548 54.99% 30.46% 14.55% -2.4 3
1976-09-18 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1548 1544 14.55% 30.46% 54.99% +2.4 6
1976-09-18 Burnley W 2-1 1577 1626 50.66% 31.08% 18.27% +5.3 6
1976-09-18 @ Carlisle United L 1-2 1626 1577 18.27% 31.08% 50.66% -5.3 5
1976-09-18 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1612 1673 49.42% 31.19% 19.39% +5.6 9
1976-09-18 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1673 1612 19.39% 31.19% 49.42% -5.6 8
1976-09-18 Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1615 1544 61.02% 28.89% 10.09% -13.6 6
1976-09-18 @ Hereford United W 2-1 1544 1615 10.09% 28.89% 61.02% +13.6 6
1976-09-18 Cardiff City W 3-0 1558 1570 54.21% 30.60% 15.19% +13.3 3
1976-09-18 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1570 1558 15.19% 30.60% 54.21% -13.3 4
1976-09-18 Fulham L 0-2 1626 1580 59.13% 29.49% 11.38% -26.4 5
1976-09-18 @ Luton Town W 2-0 1580 1626 11.38% 29.49% 59.13% +26.4 7
1976-09-18 Plymouth Argyle W 3-0 1602 1569 58.11% 29.77% 12.12% +10.9 7
1976-09-18 @ Millwall L 0-3 1569 1602 12.12% 29.77% 58.11% -11.0 4
1976-09-18 Blackpool W 2-0 1624 1621 55.58% 30.35% 14.07% +8.6 7
1976-09-18 @ Notts County L 0-2 1621 1624 14.07% 30.35% 55.58% -8.6 8
1976-09-18 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1582 1611 52.60% 30.84% 16.56% -1.9 3
1976-09-18 @ Southampton D 1-1 1611 1582 16.56% 30.84% 52.60% +1.9 6
1976-09-18 Oldham Athletic W 5-0 1689 1611 61.61% 28.69% 9.70% +14.3 9
1976-09-18 @ Wolverhampton L 0-5 1611 1689 9.70% 28.69% 61.61% -14.3 8
1976-09-24 Millwall D 0-0 1557 1613 49.89% 31.15% 18.96% -1.8 5
1976-09-24 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1613 1557 18.96% 31.15% 49.89% +1.8 8
1976-09-24 Southampton W 6-2 1558 1580 53.31% 30.74% 15.95% +12.8 8
1976-09-24 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-6 1580 1558 15.95% 30.74% 53.31% -12.8 3
1976-09-25 Chelsea L 0-1 1613 1618 54.87% 30.48% 14.65% -13.1 8
1976-09-25 @ Blackpool W 1-0 1618 1613 14.65% 30.48% 54.87% +13.1 11
1976-09-25 Notts County W 5-1 1550 1633 47.02% 31.35% 21.62% +19.1 8
1976-09-25 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-5 1633 1550 21.62% 31.35% 47.02% -19.1 7
1976-09-25 Hull City D 0-0 1620 1598 57.25% 29.98% 12.77% -2.7 6
1976-09-25 @ Burnley D 0-0 1598 1620 12.77% 29.98% 57.25% +2.7 7
1976-09-25 Hereford United W 4-1 1607 1601 55.81% 30.30% 13.89% +10.4 9
1976-09-25 @ Fulham L 1-4 1601 1607 13.89% 30.30% 55.81% -10.4 6
1976-09-25 Carlisle United W 5-1 1613 1582 57.95% 29.81% 12.24% +12.0 8
1976-09-25 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-5 1582 1613 12.24% 29.81% 57.95% -12.0 6
1976-09-25 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1596 1572 57.44% 29.94% 12.62% -2.7 9
1976-09-25 @ Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1572 1596 12.62% 29.94% 57.44% +2.7 4
1976-09-25 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1559 1667 43.98% 31.45% 24.57% -1.0 5
1976-09-25 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1667 1559 24.57% 31.45% 43.98% +0.9 9
1976-09-25 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1617 1542 61.39% 28.76% 9.84% -2.9 7
1976-09-25 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1542 1617 9.84% 28.76% 61.39% +2.9 4
1976-09-25 Luton Town L 1-2 1703 1600 63.41% 28.00% 8.59% -14.0 9
1976-09-25 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1600 1703 8.59% 28.00% 63.41% +14.0 7
1976-10-02 Blackpool L 0-3 1668 1600 60.88% 28.94% 10.18% -39.3 9
1976-10-02 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1600 1668 10.18% 28.94% 60.88% +39.4 10
1976-10-02 Charlton Athletic W 4-2 1570 1571 55.24% 30.41% 14.34% +6.8 8
1976-10-02 @ Carlisle United L 2-4 1571 1570 14.34% 30.41% 55.24% -6.8 8
1976-10-02 Cardiff City W 2-1 1631 1555 61.38% 28.77% 9.85% +3.1 13
1976-10-02 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1555 1631 9.85% 28.77% 61.38% -3.1 5
1976-10-02 Wolverhampton L 1-6 1591 1689 45.18% 31.42% 23.39% -40.1 6
1976-10-02 @ Hereford United W 6-1 1689 1591 23.39% 31.42% 45.18% +40.1 11
1976-10-02 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1601 1625 53.06% 30.78% 16.16% +5.1 9
1976-10-02 @ Hull City L 0-1 1625 1601 16.16% 30.78% 53.06% -5.1 8
1976-10-02 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1574 1545 57.85% 29.84% 12.32% -13.7 4
1976-10-02 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1545 1574 12.32% 29.84% 57.85% +13.7 6
1976-10-02 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1615 1569 59.14% 29.49% 11.38% +7.1 10
1976-10-02 @ Millwall L 0-2 1569 1615 11.38% 29.49% 59.14% -7.1 8
1976-10-02 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1614 1594 57.05% 30.03% 12.92% +4.2 9
1976-10-02 @ Notts County L 0-1 1594 1614 12.92% 30.03% 57.05% -4.2 9
1976-10-02 Luton Town W 1-0 1558 1614 49.89% 31.15% 18.96% +5.8 7
1976-10-02 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-1 1614 1558 18.96% 31.15% 49.89% -5.8 7
1976-10-02 Burnley W 1-0 1614 1618 55.03% 30.45% 14.52% +4.7 9
1976-10-02 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1618 1614 14.52% 30.45% 55.03% -4.7 6
1976-10-02 Fulham W 4-1 1567 1617 50.52% 31.09% 18.39% +13.1 5
1976-10-02 @ Southampton L 1-4 1617 1567 18.39% 31.09% 50.52% -13.1 9
1976-10-05 Chelsea W 2-1 1562 1634 48.25% 31.28% 20.47% +5.8 10
1976-10-05 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1634 1562 20.47% 31.28% 48.25% -5.8 13
1976-10-05 Southampton L 2-6 1729 1580 66.44% 26.61% 6.94% -39.1 11
1976-10-05 @ Wolverhampton W 6-2 1580 1729 6.94% 26.61% 66.44% +39.1 7
1976-10-09 Notts County W 6-1 1558 1618 49.53% 31.18% 19.28% +21.5 8
1976-10-09 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-6 1618 1558 19.28% 31.18% 49.53% -21.5 9
1976-10-09 Plymouth Argyle L 0-2 1639 1563 61.41% 28.76% 9.83% -27.3 10
1976-10-09 @ Blackpool W 2-0 1563 1639 9.83% 28.76% 61.41% +27.3 9
1976-10-09 Leyton Orient D 3-3 1613 1561 59.64% 29.34% 11.02% -1.7 7
1976-10-09 @ Burnley D 3-3 1561 1613 11.02% 29.34% 59.64% +1.7 5
1976-10-09 Bolton Wanderers W 3-2 1552 1629 47.71% 31.31% 20.98% +5.6 7
1976-10-09 @ Cardiff City L 2-3 1629 1552 20.98% 31.31% 47.71% -5.6 9
1976-10-09 Hull City W 3-1 1564 1606 51.38% 31.00% 17.62% +9.0 10
1976-10-09 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1606 1564 17.62% 31.00% 51.38% -9.0 9
1976-10-09 Hereford United W 2-0 1608 1551 60.03% 29.22% 10.75% +6.8 9
1976-10-09 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1551 1608 10.75% 29.22% 60.03% -6.8 6
1976-10-09 Sheffield United W 6-1 1620 1619 55.39% 30.38% 14.22% +16.8 10
1976-10-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-6 1619 1620 14.22% 30.38% 55.39% -16.8 9
1976-10-09 Millwall W 2-1 1589 1622 52.25% 30.89% 16.86% +5.0 11
1976-10-09 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1622 1589 16.86% 30.89% 52.25% -5.0 10
1976-10-12 Blackpool D 1-1 1577 1612 52.05% 30.92% 17.03% -1.8 9
1976-10-12 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1612 1577 17.03% 30.92% 52.05% +1.8 11
1976-10-16 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1613 1637 53.18% 30.76% 16.06% +5.1 13
1976-10-16 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1637 1613 16.06% 30.76% 53.18% -5.1 10
1976-10-16 Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1623 1568 59.86% 29.27% 10.87% +3.6 11
1976-10-16 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1568 1623 10.87% 29.27% 59.86% -3.6 10
1976-10-16 Charlton Athletic D 4-4 1611 1573 58.54% 29.65% 11.81% -1.4 8
1976-10-16 @ Burnley D 4-4 1573 1611 11.81% 29.65% 58.54% +1.4 11
1976-10-16 Luton Town D 1-1 1575 1615 51.57% 30.98% 17.45% -1.8 10
1976-10-16 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1615 1575 17.45% 30.98% 51.57% +1.8 10
1976-10-16 Oldham Athletic W 4-3 1628 1594 58.17% 29.75% 12.08% +3.5 15
1976-10-16 @ Chelsea L 3-4 1594 1628 12.08% 29.75% 58.17% -3.5 11
1976-10-16 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1597 1690 45.76% 31.41% 22.83% +12.6 11
1976-10-16 @ Hull City L 0-2 1690 1597 22.83% 31.41% 45.76% -12.6 11
1976-10-16 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1617 1580 58.47% 29.67% 11.86% -13.8 10
1976-10-16 @ Millwall W 1-0 1580 1617 11.86% 29.67% 58.47% +13.9 10
1976-10-16 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1596 1562 58.22% 29.74% 12.04% -13.8 9
1976-10-16 @ Notts County W 1-0 1562 1596 12.04% 29.74% 58.22% +13.8 7
1976-10-16 Fulham D 1-1 1602 1604 55.14% 30.43% 14.43% -2.2 10
1976-10-16 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1604 1602 14.43% 30.43% 55.14% +2.2 10
1976-10-16 Hereford United W 1-0 1619 1544 61.39% 28.77% 9.84% +3.3 9
1976-10-16 @ Southampton L 0-1 1544 1619 9.84% 28.77% 61.39% -3.3 6
1976-10-23 Chelsea L 0-2 1594 1631 51.77% 30.95% 17.28% -23.3 10
1976-10-23 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1631 1594 17.28% 30.95% 51.77% +23.3 17
1976-10-23 Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1564 1591 52.89% 30.80% 16.30% -1.9 11
1976-10-23 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1591 1564 16.30% 30.80% 52.89% +1.9 10
1976-10-23 Blackpool D 2-2 1558 1619 49.42% 31.19% 19.39% -1.2 8
1976-10-23 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1619 1558 19.39% 31.19% 49.42% +1.2 14
1976-10-23 Sheffield United W 3-2 1574 1600 52.95% 30.80% 16.26% +4.6 13
1976-10-23 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1600 1574 16.26% 30.80% 52.95% -4.6 10
1976-10-23 Hull City D 0-0 1606 1609 55.05% 30.45% 14.50% -2.4 11
1976-10-23 @ Fulham D 0-0 1609 1606 14.50% 30.45% 55.05% +2.4 12
1976-10-23 Notts County L 1-4 1541 1583 51.34% 31.00% 17.66% -28.4 6
1976-10-23 @ Hereford United W 4-1 1583 1541 17.66% 31.00% 51.34% +28.4 11
1976-10-23 Southampton L 1-4 1616 1623 54.76% 30.50% 14.74% -30.1 10
1976-10-23 @ Luton Town W 4-1 1623 1616 14.74% 30.50% 54.76% +30.1 11
1976-10-23 Burnley W 5-2 1632 1610 57.20% 29.99% 12.81% +8.4 12
1976-10-23 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-5 1610 1632 12.81% 29.99% 57.20% -8.4 8
1976-10-23 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1591 1627 51.96% 30.93% 17.12% -1.4 12
1976-10-23 @ Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1627 1591 17.12% 30.93% 51.96% +1.3 12
1976-10-23 Carlisle United W 4-0 1678 1573 63.47% 27.97% 8.56% +10.2 13
1976-10-23 @ Wolverhampton L 0-4 1573 1678 8.56% 27.97% 63.47% -10.3 10
1976-10-30 Luton Town W 1-0 1570 1586 53.86% 30.66% 15.49% +4.9 12
1976-10-30 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1586 1570 15.49% 30.66% 53.86% -4.9 10
1976-10-30 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1620 1688 48.61% 31.26% 20.14% -1.1 15
1976-10-30 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1688 1620 20.14% 31.26% 48.61% +1.1 14
1976-10-30 Fulham W 2-1 1628 1604 57.40% 29.95% 12.66% +3.9 14
1976-10-30 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1604 1628 12.66% 29.95% 57.40% -3.9 11
1976-10-30 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1563 1579 53.82% 30.66% 15.52% -2.0 12
1976-10-30 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1579 1563 15.52% 30.66% 53.82% +2.0 14
1976-10-30 Sheffield United L 0-2 1557 1595 51.68% 30.96% 17.36% -23.3 8
1976-10-30 @ Cardiff City W 2-0 1595 1557 17.36% 30.96% 51.68% +23.3 12
1976-10-30 Southampton W 3-1 1655 1653 55.50% 30.36% 14.14% +7.5 19
1976-10-30 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1653 1655 14.14% 30.36% 55.50% -7.5 11
1976-10-30 Hereford United W 4-2 1603 1512 62.53% 28.35% 9.13% +4.5 12
1976-10-30 @ Millwall L 2-4 1512 1603 9.13% 28.35% 62.53% -4.5 6
1976-10-30 Carlisle United W 2-1 1611 1563 59.33% 29.43% 11.24% +3.5 13
1976-10-30 @ Notts County L 1-2 1563 1611 11.24% 29.43% 59.33% -3.5 10
1976-10-30 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1590 1640 50.49% 31.09% 18.42% +5.7 14
1976-10-30 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1640 1590 18.42% 31.09% 50.49% -5.7 12
1976-10-30 Burnley L 0-1 1593 1601 54.52% 30.54% 14.93% -13.0 10
1976-10-30 @ Plymouth Argyle W 1-0 1601 1593 14.93% 30.54% 54.52% +13.0 10
1976-11-05 Plymouth Argyle W 3-1 1581 1580 55.44% 30.38% 14.19% +7.5 16
1976-11-05 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1580 1581 14.19% 30.38% 55.44% -7.5 10
1976-11-06 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1614 1595 56.97% 30.05% 12.98% +4.2 12
1976-11-06 @ Burnley L 0-1 1595 1614 12.98% 30.05% 56.97% -4.2 14
1976-11-06 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1559 1632 48.13% 31.29% 20.58% -11.6 10
1976-11-06 @ Carlisle United W 1-0 1632 1559 20.58% 31.29% 48.13% +11.6 16
1976-11-06 Cardiff City L 1-2 1600 1533 60.73% 28.99% 10.28% -13.5 11
1976-11-06 @ Fulham W 2-1 1533 1600 10.28% 28.99% 60.73% +13.5 10
1976-11-06 Chelsea D 2-2 1508 1662 38.15% 31.38% 30.47% -0.3 7
1976-11-06 @ Hereford United D 2-2 1662 1508 30.47% 31.38% 38.15% +0.3 20
1976-11-06 Blackpool D 2-2 1612 1619 54.69% 30.51% 14.80% -1.6 13
1976-11-06 @ Hull City D 2-2 1619 1612 14.80% 30.51% 54.69% +1.6 16
1976-11-06 Bristol Rovers W 4-2 1581 1560 57.12% 30.01% 12.87% +6.2 12
1976-11-06 @ Luton Town L 2-4 1560 1581 12.87% 30.01% 57.12% -6.2 12
1976-11-06 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1634 1575 60.17% 29.18% 10.66% +9.7 14
1976-11-06 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1575 1634 10.66% 29.18% 60.17% -9.7 12
1976-11-06 Notts County W 1-0 1619 1615 55.68% 30.33% 13.99% +4.5 14
1976-11-06 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1615 1619 13.99% 30.33% 55.68% -4.5 13
1976-11-06 Leyton Orient D 2-2 1645 1576 60.93% 28.93% 10.15% -2.1 12
1976-11-06 @ Southampton D 2-2 1576 1645 10.15% 28.93% 60.93% +2.1 8
1976-11-06 Millwall W 3-1 1689 1608 61.81% 28.61% 9.57% +5.2 16
1976-11-06 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1608 1689 9.57% 28.61% 61.81% -5.2 12
1976-11-09 Burnley W 2-1 1644 1619 57.46% 29.93% 12.61% +3.9 18
1976-11-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1619 1644 12.61% 29.93% 57.46% -3.9 12
1976-11-10 Southampton W 1-0 1547 1643 45.47% 31.42% 23.12% +6.7 12
1976-11-10 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1643 1547 23.12% 31.42% 45.47% -6.7 12
1976-11-10 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1663 1588 61.29% 28.80% 9.91% +3.1 22
1976-11-10 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1588 1663 9.91% 28.80% 61.29% -3.1 16
1976-11-13 Hull City W 1-0 1566 1610 51.09% 31.03% 17.88% +5.5 14
1976-11-13 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1610 1566 17.88% 31.03% 51.09% -5.5 13
1976-11-13 Sheffield United W 1-0 1620 1623 55.04% 30.45% 14.51% +4.7 18
1976-11-13 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1623 1620 14.51% 30.45% 55.04% -4.7 14
1976-11-13 Hereford United L 2-3 1554 1508 59.22% 29.46% 11.32% -12.5 12
1976-11-13 @ Bristol Rovers W 3-2 1508 1554 11.32% 29.46% 59.22% +12.5 9
1976-11-13 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1578 1644 48.87% 31.24% 19.90% -11.8 8
1976-11-13 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1644 1578 19.90% 31.24% 48.87% +11.8 16
1976-11-13 Luton Town W 4-2 1603 1588 56.62% 30.13% 13.25% +6.3 14
1976-11-13 @ Millwall L 2-4 1588 1603 13.25% 30.13% 56.62% -6.3 12
1976-11-13 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1610 1694 46.84% 31.36% 21.80% -1.3 14
1976-11-13 @ Notts County D 1-1 1694 1610 21.80% 31.36% 46.84% +1.2 17
1976-11-13 Carlisle United W 4-1 1591 1548 58.93% 29.54% 11.52% +8.8 16
1976-11-13 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-4 1548 1591 11.52% 29.54% 58.93% -8.8 10
1976-11-13 Fulham D 2-2 1572 1586 54.01% 30.63% 15.36% -1.5 11
1976-11-13 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1586 1572 15.36% 30.63% 54.01% +1.5 12
1976-11-16 Carlisle United W 2-0 1588 1539 59.39% 29.41% 11.20% +7.0 14
1976-11-16 @ Fulham L 0-2 1539 1588 11.20% 29.41% 59.39% -7.0 10
1976-11-16 Cardiff City D 2-2 1571 1554 56.78% 30.09% 13.13% -1.8 12
1976-11-16 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1554 1571 13.13% 30.09% 56.78% +1.8 13
1976-11-20 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1615 1542 61.21% 28.83% 9.96% -2.9 13
1976-11-20 @ Burnley D 1-1 1542 1615 9.96% 28.83% 61.21% +2.9 13
1976-11-20 Millwall L 0-1 1532 1609 47.65% 31.32% 21.03% -11.5 10
1976-11-20 @ Carlisle United W 1-0 1609 1532 21.03% 31.32% 47.65% +11.5 16
1976-11-20 Blackpool L 1-2 1585 1625 51.59% 30.97% 17.44% -11.6 16
1976-11-20 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1625 1585 17.44% 30.97% 51.59% +11.6 20
1976-11-20 Notts County L 1-5 1595 1609 54.06% 30.62% 15.31% -38.4 14
1976-11-20 @ Fulham W 5-1 1609 1595 15.31% 30.62% 54.06% +38.4 16
1976-11-20 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1520 1600 47.35% 31.33% 21.32% -1.5 10
1976-11-20 @ Hereford United D 0-0 1600 1520 21.32% 31.33% 47.35% +1.5 17
1976-11-20 Plymouth Argyle W 3-1 1605 1569 58.34% 29.71% 11.95% +6.5 15
1976-11-20 @ Hull City L 1-3 1569 1605 11.95% 29.71% 58.34% -6.5 12
1976-11-20 Cardiff City W 2-1 1581 1555 57.53% 29.91% 12.56% +3.9 14
1976-11-20 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1555 1581 12.56% 29.91% 57.53% -3.9 13
1976-11-20 Chelsea D 1-1 1656 1666 54.42% 30.56% 15.02% -2.1 17
1976-11-20 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1666 1656 15.02% 30.56% 54.42% +2.1 23
1976-11-20 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1619 1566 59.64% 29.34% 11.03% -2.7 15
1976-11-20 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1566 1619 11.03% 29.34% 59.64% +2.7 9
1976-11-20 Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1636 1648 54.31% 30.58% 15.11% -21.1 12
1976-11-20 @ Southampton W 3-1 1648 1636 15.11% 30.58% 54.31% +21.1 20
1976-11-20 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1696 1571 64.82% 27.39% 7.79% -14.3 17
1976-11-20 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1571 1696 7.79% 27.39% 64.82% +14.3 16
1976-11-27 Hereford United W 1-0 1585 1519 60.75% 28.98% 10.26% +3.4 18
1976-11-27 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1519 1585 10.26% 28.98% 60.75% -3.4 10
1976-11-27 Fulham W 3-2 1637 1557 61.72% 28.65% 9.63% +2.9 22
1976-11-27 @ Blackpool L 2-3 1557 1637 9.63% 28.65% 61.72% -2.9 14
1976-11-27 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1669 1574 62.80% 28.24% 8.96% +3.0 22
1976-11-27 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1574 1669 8.96% 28.24% 62.80% -3.0 16
1976-11-27 Hull City W 3-0 1545 1611 48.81% 31.24% 19.95% +16.5 15
1976-11-27 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-3 1611 1545 19.95% 31.24% 48.81% -16.5 15
1976-11-27 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1552 1654 44.77% 31.44% 23.80% -29.8 13
1976-11-27 @ Cardiff City W 3-0 1654 1552 23.80% 31.44% 44.77% +29.8 19
1976-11-27 Burnley W 2-1 1668 1612 59.93% 29.25% 10.82% +3.4 25
1976-11-27 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1612 1668 10.82% 29.25% 59.93% -3.4 13
1976-11-27 Wolverhampton L 2-4 1569 1681 43.57% 31.46% 24.98% -15.6 9
1976-11-27 @ Leyton Orient W 4-2 1681 1569 24.98% 31.46% 43.57% +15.5 19
1976-11-27 Sheffield United L 0-1 1620 1616 55.72% 30.32% 13.96% -13.2 16
1976-11-27 @ Millwall W 1-0 1616 1620 13.96% 30.32% 55.72% +13.2 17
1976-11-27 Luton Town L 0-4 1647 1585 60.39% 29.10% 10.50% -51.0 16
1976-11-27 @ Notts County W 4-0 1585 1647 10.50% 29.10% 60.39% +51.0 16
1976-11-27 Southampton W 2-1 1601 1615 54.04% 30.63% 15.33% +4.6 19
1976-11-27 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1615 1601 15.33% 30.63% 54.04% -4.6 12
1976-11-27 Carlisle United L 0-1 1562 1520 58.83% 29.57% 11.59% -13.9 12
1976-11-27 @ Plymouth Argyle W 1-0 1520 1562 11.59% 29.57% 58.83% +13.9 12
1976-12-03 Chelsea W 1-0 1629 1671 51.34% 31.00% 17.66% +5.5 19
1976-12-03 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1671 1629 17.66% 31.00% 51.34% -5.5 25
1976-12-04 Cardiff City D 0-0 1608 1522 62.21% 28.47% 9.32% -3.3 14
1976-12-04 @ Burnley D 0-0 1522 1608 9.32% 28.47% 62.21% +3.3 14
1976-12-04 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1534 1554 53.56% 30.70% 15.74% +5.0 14
1976-12-04 @ Carlisle United L 0-1 1554 1534 15.74% 30.70% 53.56% -5.0 9
1976-12-04 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1571 1589 53.66% 30.69% 15.65% +17.8 18
1976-12-04 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-4 1589 1571 15.65% 30.69% 53.66% -17.8 18
1976-12-04 Oldham Athletic W 5-0 1554 1606 50.31% 31.11% 18.58% +25.2 16
1976-12-04 @ Fulham L 0-5 1606 1554 18.58% 31.11% 50.31% -25.2 19
1976-12-04 Blackpool D 0-0 1636 1639 55.03% 30.45% 14.52% -2.4 17
1976-12-04 @ Luton Town D 0-0 1639 1636 14.52% 30.45% 55.03% +2.4 23
1976-12-04 Bristol Rovers W 4-2 1684 1561 64.68% 27.45% 7.87% +3.8 21
1976-12-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-4 1561 1684 7.87% 27.45% 64.68% -3.8 15
1976-12-04 Notts County W 2-1 1611 1596 56.58% 30.14% 13.29% +4.1 14
1976-12-04 @ Southampton L 1-2 1596 1611 13.29% 30.14% 56.58% -4.1 16
1976-12-04 Plymouth Argyle W 4-0 1697 1548 66.38% 26.64% 6.97% +8.3 21
1976-12-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-4 1548 1697 6.97% 26.64% 66.38% -8.3 12
1976-12-07 Chelsea D 1-1 1615 1666 50.43% 31.10% 18.47% -1.7 15
1976-12-07 @ Southampton D 1-1 1666 1615 18.47% 31.10% 50.43% +1.6 26
1976-12-11 Carlisle United W 2-1 1557 1539 56.87% 30.07% 13.06% +4.0 17
1976-12-11 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1539 1557 13.06% 30.07% 56.87% -4.0 14
1976-12-11 Hull City D 1-1 1525 1594 48.48% 31.26% 20.25% -1.4 15
1976-12-11 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1594 1525 20.25% 31.26% 48.48% +1.4 16
1976-12-11 Wolverhampton D 3-3 1667 1705 51.77% 30.95% 17.28% -1.1 27
1976-12-11 @ Chelsea D 3-3 1705 1667 17.28% 30.95% 51.77% +1.1 22
1976-12-11 Fulham D 0-0 1549 1579 52.50% 30.86% 16.65% -2.1 10
1976-12-11 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1579 1549 16.65% 30.86% 52.50% +2.1 17
1976-12-11 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1607 1687 47.30% 31.34% 21.37% -21.5 16
1976-12-11 @ Millwall W 2-0 1687 1607 21.37% 31.34% 47.30% +21.5 23
1976-12-11 Sheffield United D 0-0 1540 1635 45.67% 31.41% 22.92% -1.3 13
1976-12-11 @ Plymouth Argyle D 0-0 1635 1540 22.92% 31.41% 45.67% +1.3 20
1976-12-14 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1581 1571 56.19% 30.22% 13.59% +8.3 19
1976-12-14 @ Fulham L 0-2 1571 1581 13.59% 30.22% 56.19% -8.3 18
1976-12-15 Bolton Wanderers D 3-3 1515 1672 37.88% 31.37% 30.74% -0.2 11
1976-12-15 @ Hereford United D 3-3 1672 1515 30.74% 31.37% 37.88% +0.2 23
1976-12-18 Millwall L 1-3 1605 1586 56.99% 30.04% 12.96% -22.1 14
1976-12-18 @ Burnley W 3-1 1586 1605 12.96% 30.04% 56.99% +22.1 18
1976-12-18 Cardiff City W 4-3 1535 1524 56.34% 30.19% 13.47% +3.8 16
1976-12-18 @ Carlisle United L 3-4 1524 1535 13.47% 30.19% 56.34% -3.8 15
1976-12-18 Leyton Orient L 2-3 1515 1546 52.38% 30.87% 16.74% -11.2 11
1976-12-18 @ Hereford United W 3-2 1546 1515 16.74% 30.87% 52.38% +11.2 12
1976-12-18 Chelsea D 1-1 1596 1666 48.39% 31.27% 20.34% -1.4 17
1976-12-18 @ Hull City D 1-1 1666 1596 20.34% 31.27% 48.39% +1.4 28
1976-12-18 Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1709 1539 67.75% 25.94% 6.31% -3.5 24
1976-12-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1539 1709 6.31% 25.94% 67.75% +3.5 14
1976-12-18 Bristol Rovers L 2-3 1636 1561 61.32% 28.79% 9.89% -12.9 20
1976-12-18 @ Sheffield United W 3-2 1561 1636 9.89% 28.79% 61.32% +12.9 19
1976-12-18 Blackpool D 3-3 1613 1642 52.65% 30.84% 16.52% -1.2 16
1976-12-18 @ Southampton D 3-3 1642 1613 16.52% 30.84% 52.65% +1.2 24
1976-12-18 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1706 1672 58.22% 29.74% 12.04% +4.0 24
1976-12-18 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1672 1706 12.04% 29.74% 58.22% -4.0 23
1976-12-21 Luton Town W 2-1 1668 1634 58.21% 29.74% 12.05% +3.8 25
1976-12-21 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1634 1668 12.05% 29.74% 58.21% -3.8 17
1976-12-27 Burnley D 2-2 1563 1583 53.45% 30.72% 15.83% -1.5 19
1976-12-27 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1583 1563 15.83% 30.72% 53.45% +1.5 15
1976-12-27 Carlisle United D 0-0 1643 1539 63.42% 27.99% 8.59% -3.5 25
1976-12-27 @ Blackpool D 0-0 1539 1643 8.59% 27.99% 63.42% +3.5 17
1976-12-27 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1672 1705 52.17% 30.90% 16.93% -1.8 26
1976-12-27 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1705 1672 16.93% 30.90% 52.17% +1.8 25
1976-12-27 Wolverhampton L 1-5 1574 1710 40.60% 31.45% 27.96% -30.0 19
1976-12-27 @ Bristol Rovers W 5-1 1710 1574 27.96% 31.45% 40.60% +30.0 26
1976-12-27 Hereford United W 3-1 1520 1504 56.71% 30.11% 13.19% +7.0 17
1976-12-27 @ Cardiff City L 1-3 1504 1520 13.19% 30.11% 56.71% -7.0 11
1976-12-27 Fulham W 2-0 1668 1589 61.60% 28.69% 9.71% +6.1 30
1976-12-27 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1589 1668 9.71% 28.69% 61.60% -6.1 19
1976-12-27 Luton Town W 1-0 1558 1630 48.16% 31.29% 20.55% +6.2 14
1976-12-27 @ Leyton Orient L 0-1 1630 1558 20.55% 31.29% 48.16% -6.2 17
1976-12-27 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1608 1589 56.98% 30.05% 12.98% -2.4 19
1976-12-27 @ Millwall D 1-1 1589 1608 12.98% 30.05% 56.98% +2.4 19
1976-12-27 Hull City D 1-1 1592 1594 55.10% 30.44% 14.46% -2.2 17
1976-12-27 @ Notts County D 1-1 1594 1592 14.46% 30.44% 55.10% +2.2 18
1976-12-27 Sheffield United L 1-2 1581 1623 51.32% 31.01% 17.68% -11.6 19
1976-12-27 @ Oldham Athletic W 2-1 1623 1581 17.68% 31.01% 51.32% +11.6 22
1976-12-27 Southampton D 1-1 1542 1612 48.48% 31.26% 20.26% -1.4 15
1976-12-27 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1612 1542 20.26% 31.26% 48.48% +1.4 17
1976-12-28 Blackpool D 0-0 1584 1640 50.01% 31.14% 18.85% -1.8 16
1976-12-28 @ Burnley D 0-0 1640 1584 18.85% 31.14% 50.01% +1.8 26
1976-12-28 Millwall L 2-3 1583 1605 53.28% 30.75% 15.97% -11.4 19
1976-12-28 @ Fulham W 3-2 1605 1583 15.97% 30.75% 53.28% +11.4 21
1976-12-28 Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1597 1569 57.67% 29.88% 12.45% -13.7 18
1976-12-28 @ Hull City W 1-0 1569 1597 12.45% 29.88% 57.67% +13.7 21
1976-12-28 Bolton Wanderers L 2-3 1635 1670 52.01% 30.92% 17.07% -11.1 22
1976-12-28 @ Sheffield United W 3-2 1670 1635 17.07% 30.92% 52.01% +11.1 28
1976-12-29 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1543 1561 53.62% 30.69% 15.68% -2.0 18
1976-12-29 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1561 1543 15.68% 30.69% 53.62% +2.0 20
1976-12-29 Chelsea W 4-0 1624 1674 50.54% 31.09% 18.37% +20.3 19
1976-12-29 @ Luton Town L 0-4 1674 1624 18.37% 31.09% 50.54% -20.3 30
1976-12-29 Bristol Rovers W 2-1 1613 1544 60.92% 28.93% 10.15% +3.2 19
1976-12-29 @ Southampton L 1-2 1544 1613 10.15% 28.93% 60.92% -3.2 19
1977-01-01 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1563 1707 39.53% 31.42% 29.04% -16.1 20
1977-01-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1707 1563 29.04% 31.42% 39.53% +16.1 27
1977-01-01 Hull City D 0-0 1641 1583 60.12% 29.19% 10.69% -3.1 27
1977-01-01 @ Blackpool D 0-0 1583 1641 10.69% 29.19% 60.12% +3.1 19
1977-01-01 Luton Town W 1-0 1541 1644 44.66% 31.44% 23.90% +6.9 21
1977-01-01 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1644 1541 23.90% 31.44% 44.66% -6.9 19
1977-01-01 Fulham W 3-0 1527 1572 51.04% 31.04% 17.92% +15.2 19
1977-01-01 @ Cardiff City L 0-3 1572 1527 17.92% 31.04% 51.04% -15.2 19
1977-01-01 Hereford United W 5-1 1654 1497 66.92% 26.37% 6.71% +6.6 32
1977-01-01 @ Chelsea L 1-5 1497 1654 6.71% 26.37% 66.92% -6.6 11
1977-01-01 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1617 1740 42.17% 31.46% 26.37% -0.8 22
1977-01-01 @ Millwall D 1-1 1740 1617 26.37% 31.46% 42.17% +0.8 27
1977-01-01 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1541 1591 50.54% 31.09% 18.37% +5.7 17
1977-01-01 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-1 1591 1541 18.37% 31.09% 50.54% -5.7 19
1977-01-03 Plymouth Argyle L 0-2 1583 1547 58.36% 29.70% 11.94% -26.1 16
1977-01-03 @ Burnley W 2-0 1547 1583 11.94% 29.70% 58.36% +26.1 19
1977-01-03 Notts County L 0-2 1541 1590 50.61% 31.08% 18.30% -22.9 18
1977-01-03 @ Carlisle United W 2-0 1590 1541 18.30% 31.08% 50.61% +22.9 19
1977-01-03 Bristol Rovers W 4-3 1585 1548 58.46% 29.67% 11.86% +3.4 21
1977-01-03 @ Charlton Athletic L 3-4 1548 1585 11.86% 29.67% 58.46% -3.4 21
1977-01-03 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1557 1681 42.07% 31.46% 26.47% -19.5 19
1977-01-03 @ Fulham W 2-0 1681 1557 26.47% 31.46% 42.07% +19.5 30
1977-01-14 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1589 1723 40.75% 31.45% 27.80% +7.2 23
1977-01-14 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1723 1589 27.80% 31.45% 40.75% -7.2 27
1977-01-15 Cardiff City D 1-1 1545 1542 55.54% 30.35% 14.11% -2.2 22
1977-01-15 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1542 1545 14.11% 30.35% 55.54% +2.2 20
1977-01-15 Burnley D 2-2 1537 1557 53.53% 30.71% 15.76% -1.5 20
1977-01-15 @ Fulham D 2-2 1557 1537 15.76% 30.71% 53.53% +1.5 17
1977-01-15 Blackpool W 1-0 1583 1638 49.96% 31.14% 18.89% +5.8 23
1977-01-15 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1638 1583 18.89% 31.14% 49.96% -5.8 27
1977-01-15 Millwall L 0-2 1617 1616 55.36% 30.39% 14.25% -24.8 19
1977-01-15 @ Southampton W 2-0 1616 1617 14.25% 30.39% 55.36% +24.8 24
1977-01-22 Bristol Rovers W 4-0 1632 1542 62.45% 28.38% 9.17% +11.0 29
1977-01-22 @ Blackpool L 0-4 1542 1632 9.17% 28.38% 62.45% -11.0 22
1977-01-22 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1700 1547 66.70% 26.48% 6.82% +3.7 32
1977-01-22 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1547 1700 6.82% 26.48% 66.70% -3.7 20
1977-01-22 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1558 1741 34.28% 31.18% 34.54% +0.0 18
1977-01-22 @ Burnley D 0-0 1741 1558 34.54% 31.18% 34.28% -0.0 28
1977-01-22 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1544 1596 50.36% 31.11% 18.53% -1.6 21
1977-01-22 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1596 1544 18.53% 31.11% 50.36% +1.6 24
1977-01-22 Southampton L 0-6 1518 1592 47.99% 31.30% 20.71% -60.5 18
1977-01-22 @ Carlisle United W 6-0 1592 1518 20.71% 31.30% 47.99% +60.6 21
1977-01-22 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1660 1564 62.89% 28.21% 8.90% -3.0 33
1977-01-22 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1564 1660 8.90% 28.21% 62.89% +3.1 15
1977-01-22 Hereford United D 1-1 1586 1490 62.87% 28.22% 8.92% -3.0 20
1977-01-22 @ Hull City D 1-1 1490 1586 8.92% 28.22% 62.87% +3.0 12
1977-01-22 Notts County L 2-5 1641 1613 57.71% 29.87% 12.42% -27.4 24
1977-01-22 @ Millwall W 5-2 1613 1641 12.42% 29.87% 57.71% +27.4 21
1977-01-22 Fulham W 3-0 1716 1536 68.39% 25.59% 6.02% +5.4 29
1977-01-22 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1536 1716 6.02% 25.59% 68.39% -5.4 20
1977-01-22 Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1573 1589 53.87% 30.65% 15.47% -1.5 20
1977-01-22 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1589 1573 15.47% 30.65% 53.87% +1.5 24
1977-01-22 Luton Town L 0-3 1623 1637 54.06% 30.62% 15.32% -35.3 22
1977-01-22 @ Sheffield United W 3-0 1637 1623 15.32% 30.62% 54.06% +35.3 21
1977-01-24 Hull City W 2-1 1672 1583 62.41% 28.39% 9.20% +2.9 23
1977-01-24 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1583 1672 9.20% 28.39% 62.41% -2.9 20
1977-01-29 Notts County D 1-1 1598 1640 51.29% 31.01% 17.70% -1.8 25
1977-01-29 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1640 1598 17.70% 31.01% 51.29% +1.8 22
1977-02-05 Cardiff City W 2-1 1543 1543 55.38% 30.39% 14.23% +4.3 22
1977-02-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1543 1543 14.23% 30.39% 55.38% -4.3 21
1977-02-05 Chelsea L 0-1 1457 1657 31.96% 31.01% 37.03% -8.4 18
1977-02-05 @ Carlisle United W 1-0 1657 1457 37.03% 31.01% 31.96% +8.4 35
1977-02-05 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1530 1596 48.90% 31.23% 19.87% -1.5 21
1977-02-05 @ Fulham D 1-1 1596 1530 19.87% 31.23% 48.90% +1.5 26
1977-02-05 Burnley W 2-0 1675 1558 64.34% 27.60% 8.06% +5.1 25
1977-02-05 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1558 1675 8.06% 27.60% 64.34% -5.1 18
1977-02-05 Bolton Wanderers W 3-0 1613 1704 46.10% 31.39% 22.50% +18.1 26
1977-02-05 @ Millwall L 0-3 1704 1613 22.50% 31.39% 46.10% -18.1 32
1977-02-05 Plymouth Argyle W 2-0 1642 1571 61.04% 28.89% 10.07% +6.4 24
1977-02-05 @ Notts County L 0-2 1571 1642 10.07% 28.89% 61.04% -6.4 20
1977-02-05 Bristol Rovers W 4-0 1590 1531 60.14% 29.18% 10.68% +12.7 26
1977-02-05 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-4 1531 1590 10.68% 29.18% 60.14% -12.7 22
1977-02-05 Hull City D 2-2 1652 1580 61.15% 28.85% 10.00% -2.1 22
1977-02-05 @ Southampton D 2-2 1580 1652 10.00% 28.85% 61.15% +2.1 21
1977-02-05 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1741 1721 57.00% 30.04% 12.96% +4.0 30
1977-02-05 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1721 1741 12.96% 30.04% 57.00% -4.0 29
1977-02-09 Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1493 1565 48.24% 31.28% 20.48% -1.4 13
1977-02-09 @ Hereford United D 1-1 1565 1493 20.48% 31.28% 48.24% +1.4 21
1977-02-09 Sheffield United W 2-1 1745 1588 66.92% 26.37% 6.71% +2.1 32
1977-02-09 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1588 1745 6.71% 26.37% 66.92% -2.1 22
1977-02-12 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1643 1548 62.85% 28.22% 8.93% -3.0 30
1977-02-12 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1548 1643 8.93% 28.22% 62.85% +3.0 23
1977-02-12 Notts County W 4-0 1686 1648 58.51% 29.66% 11.83% +14.0 34
1977-02-12 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-4 1648 1686 11.83% 29.66% 58.51% -14.0 24
1977-02-12 Fulham W 2-1 1519 1529 54.40% 30.57% 15.03% +4.5 24
1977-02-12 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1529 1519 15.03% 30.57% 54.40% -4.5 21
1977-02-12 Hereford United D 1-1 1553 1492 60.34% 29.12% 10.54% -2.8 19
1977-02-12 @ Burnley D 1-1 1492 1553 10.54% 29.12% 60.34% +2.8 14
1977-02-12 Oldham Athletic W 3-1 1538 1603 49.01% 31.23% 19.76% +9.8 23
1977-02-12 @ Cardiff City L 1-3 1603 1538 19.76% 31.23% 49.01% -9.8 26
1977-02-12 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1597 1747 38.79% 31.40% 29.80% -0.4 27
1977-02-12 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1747 1597 29.80% 31.40% 38.79% +0.4 33
1977-02-12 Millwall D 1-1 1665 1632 58.20% 29.74% 12.06% -2.5 36
1977-02-12 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1632 1665 12.06% 29.74% 58.20% +2.5 27
1977-02-12 Carlisle United W 3-1 1582 1449 65.41% 27.11% 7.47% +4.1 23
1977-02-12 @ Hull City L 1-3 1449 1582 7.47% 27.11% 65.41% -4.1 18
1977-02-12 Luton Town L 1-2 1717 1680 58.44% 29.68% 11.88% -13.1 29
1977-02-12 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1680 1717 11.88% 29.68% 58.44% +13.0 27
1977-02-12 Leyton Orient L 1-2 1566 1567 55.26% 30.41% 14.33% -12.4 21
1977-02-12 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-1 1567 1566 14.33% 30.41% 55.26% +12.4 17
1977-02-12 Southampton D 2-2 1586 1650 49.06% 31.22% 19.72% -1.1 23
1977-02-12 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1650 1586 19.72% 31.22% 49.06% +1.1 23
1977-02-14 Hereford United W 2-1 1640 1495 66.22% 26.72% 7.05% +2.2 32
1977-02-14 @ Blackpool L 1-2 1495 1640 7.05% 26.72% 66.22% -2.2 14
1977-02-15 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1597 1579 56.84% 30.08% 13.08% +8.1 29
1977-02-15 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1579 1597 13.08% 30.08% 56.84% -8.1 17
1977-02-15 Millwall D 0-0 1586 1634 50.77% 31.07% 18.17% -1.9 24
1977-02-15 @ Hull City D 0-0 1634 1586 18.17% 31.07% 50.77% +1.9 28
1977-02-15 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1694 1551 66.02% 26.82% 7.16% +4.5 29
1977-02-15 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1551 1694 7.16% 26.82% 66.02% -4.5 23
1977-02-15 Chelsea W 2-1 1634 1663 52.65% 30.84% 16.51% +4.9 26
1977-02-15 @ Notts County L 1-2 1663 1634 16.51% 30.84% 52.65% -4.9 36
1977-02-15 Burnley W 3-1 1593 1550 58.90% 29.55% 11.55% +6.2 28
1977-02-15 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-3 1550 1593 11.55% 29.55% 58.90% -6.2 19
1977-02-19 Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1546 1599 50.23% 31.12% 18.65% +10.8 25
1977-02-19 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1599 1546 18.65% 31.12% 50.23% -10.8 28
1977-02-19 Sheffield United W 4-1 1445 1585 40.03% 31.44% 28.53% +18.1 20
1977-02-19 @ Carlisle United L 1-4 1585 1445 28.53% 31.44% 40.03% -18.1 23
1977-02-19 Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1658 1554 63.44% 27.98% 8.58% -2.3 37
1977-02-19 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1554 1658 8.58% 27.98% 63.44% +2.3 22
1977-02-19 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1584 1700 43.14% 31.46% 25.40% -0.7 25
1977-02-19 @ Hull City D 2-2 1700 1584 25.40% 31.46% 43.14% +0.7 35
1977-02-19 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1571 1523 59.31% 29.43% 11.25% +7.0 19
1977-02-19 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1523 1571 11.25% 29.43% 59.31% -7.0 24
1977-02-19 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1698 1605 62.66% 28.30% 9.04% +5.7 31
1977-02-19 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1605 1698 9.04% 28.30% 62.66% -5.7 29
1977-02-19 Blackpool D 1-1 1636 1643 54.71% 30.51% 14.78% -2.1 29
1977-02-19 @ Millwall D 1-1 1643 1636 14.78% 30.51% 54.71% +2.1 33
1977-02-19 Cardiff City W 1-0 1639 1548 62.52% 28.35% 9.13% +3.1 28
1977-02-19 @ Notts County L 0-1 1548 1639 9.13% 28.35% 62.52% -3.1 23
1977-02-19 Burnley W 2-0 1651 1544 63.65% 27.89% 8.45% +5.3 25
1977-02-19 @ Southampton L 0-2 1544 1651 8.45% 27.89% 63.65% -5.3 19
1977-02-19 Fulham W 5-1 1747 1524 70.94% 24.09% 4.97% +4.7 35
1977-02-19 @ Wolverhampton L 1-5 1524 1747 4.97% 24.09% 70.94% -4.7 21
1977-02-25 Hereford United D 1-1 1599 1492 63.63% 27.90% 8.46% -3.1 30
1977-02-25 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1492 1599 8.46% 27.90% 63.63% +3.1 15
1977-02-26 Notts County D 1-1 1645 1642 55.54% 30.35% 14.10% -2.2 34
1977-02-26 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1642 1645 14.10% 30.35% 55.54% +2.2 29
1977-02-26 Chelsea D 2-2 1701 1656 59.07% 29.50% 11.42% -2.0 36
1977-02-26 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1656 1701 11.42% 29.50% 59.07% +2.0 38
1977-02-26 Carlisle United W 2-0 1539 1463 61.42% 28.75% 9.82% +6.2 21
1977-02-26 @ Burnley L 0-2 1463 1539 9.82% 28.75% 61.42% -6.2 20
1977-02-26 Luton Town L 1-2 1520 1704 34.09% 31.17% 34.74% -8.3 21
1977-02-26 @ Fulham W 2-1 1704 1520 34.74% 31.17% 34.09% +8.3 33
1977-02-26 Millwall D 2-2 1556 1634 47.58% 31.32% 21.10% -1.0 23
1977-02-26 @ Plymouth Argyle D 2-2 1634 1556 21.10% 31.32% 47.58% +1.0 30
1977-02-26 Hull City D 1-1 1567 1584 53.77% 30.67% 15.56% -2.0 24
1977-02-26 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1584 1567 15.56% 30.67% 53.77% +2.0 26
1977-03-01 Blackpool W 2-1 1752 1643 63.81% 27.83% 8.36% +2.6 37
1977-03-01 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1643 1752 8.36% 27.83% 63.81% -2.6 34
1977-03-02 Plymouth Argyle W 2-0 1557 1555 55.49% 30.37% 14.15% +8.6 27
1977-03-02 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1555 1557 14.15% 30.37% 55.49% -8.6 23
1977-03-02 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1545 1578 52.21% 30.90% 16.89% -12.5 23
1977-03-02 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1578 1545 16.89% 30.90% 52.21% +12.5 21
1977-03-02 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1495 1704 30.77% 30.90% 38.33% -8.2 15
1977-03-02 @ Hereford United W 1-0 1704 1495 38.33% 30.90% 30.77% +8.2 31
1977-03-02 Burnley W 5-1 1644 1545 63.12% 28.11% 8.77% +8.8 31
1977-03-02 @ Notts County L 1-5 1545 1644 8.77% 28.11% 63.12% -8.8 21
1977-03-05 Sheffield United W 1-0 1566 1565 55.40% 30.38% 14.22% +4.6 29
1977-03-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1565 1566 14.22% 30.38% 55.40% -4.6 24
1977-03-05 Plymouth Argyle W 3-0 1699 1547 66.63% 26.52% 6.85% +6.2 38
1977-03-05 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1547 1699 6.85% 26.52% 66.63% -6.2 23
1977-03-05 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1457 1713 25.09% 30.16% 44.75% +1.0 21
1977-03-05 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1713 1457 44.75% 30.16% 25.09% -1.0 32
1977-03-05 Blackpool D 2-2 1658 1640 56.86% 30.07% 13.07% -1.8 39
1977-03-05 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1640 1658 13.07% 30.07% 56.86% +1.8 35
1977-03-05 Fulham W 1-0 1487 1511 53.11% 30.77% 16.12% +5.1 17
1977-03-05 @ Hereford United L 0-1 1511 1487 16.12% 30.77% 53.11% -5.1 21
1977-03-05 Burnley W 4-1 1586 1536 59.45% 29.40% 11.16% +8.6 28
1977-03-05 @ Hull City L 1-4 1536 1586 11.16% 29.40% 59.45% -8.6 21
1977-03-05 Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1591 1588 55.51% 30.36% 14.13% -24.9 21
1977-03-05 @ Leyton Orient W 2-0 1588 1591 14.13% 30.36% 55.51% +24.9 30
1977-03-05 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1712 1755 51.28% 31.01% 17.71% +10.4 35
1977-03-05 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1755 1712 17.71% 31.01% 51.28% -10.4 37
1977-03-05 Cardiff City L 0-2 1635 1533 63.31% 28.04% 8.65% -28.0 30
1977-03-05 @ Millwall W 2-0 1533 1635 8.65% 28.04% 63.31% +28.0 25
1977-03-05 Bristol Rovers W 2-1 1653 1516 65.65% 27.00% 7.35% +2.3 33
1977-03-05 @ Notts County L 1-2 1516 1653 7.35% 27.00% 65.65% -2.3 24
1977-03-05 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1657 1596 60.27% 29.14% 10.59% +3.3 27
1977-03-05 @ Southampton L 1-2 1596 1657 10.59% 29.14% 60.27% -3.3 30
1977-03-08 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1514 1570 49.86% 31.15% 18.99% -1.8 25
1977-03-08 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1570 1514 18.99% 31.15% 49.86% +1.8 30
1977-03-08 Millwall D 1-1 1566 1607 51.46% 30.99% 17.56% -1.8 22
1977-03-08 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1607 1566 17.56% 30.99% 51.46% +1.8 31
1977-03-08 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1722 1613 63.78% 27.84% 8.38% +2.8 37
1977-03-08 @ Luton Town L 0-1 1613 1722 8.38% 27.84% 63.78% -2.8 30
1977-03-08 Notts County L 1-2 1712 1655 59.95% 29.24% 10.81% -13.4 32
1977-03-08 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1655 1712 10.81% 29.24% 59.95% +13.4 35
1977-03-08 Cardiff City W 3-0 1560 1561 55.28% 30.41% 14.32% +12.7 26
1977-03-08 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1561 1560 14.32% 30.41% 55.28% -12.7 25
1977-03-11 Carlisle United W 1-0 1593 1458 65.53% 27.06% 7.41% +2.5 32
1977-03-11 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1458 1593 7.41% 27.06% 65.53% -2.5 21
1977-03-11 Southampton D 1-1 1506 1660 38.24% 31.38% 30.37% -0.4 22
1977-03-11 @ Fulham D 1-1 1660 1506 30.37% 31.38% 38.24% +0.4 28
1977-03-12 Leyton Orient D 2-2 1572 1564 56.02% 30.26% 13.72% -1.7 31
1977-03-12 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1564 1572 13.72% 30.26% 56.02% +1.7 23
1977-03-12 Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1642 1705 49.15% 31.21% 19.64% +6.0 37
1977-03-12 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1705 1642 19.64% 31.21% 49.15% -6.0 38
1977-03-12 Millwall D 0-0 1512 1609 45.44% 31.42% 23.15% -1.2 26
1977-03-12 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1609 1512 23.15% 31.42% 45.44% +1.2 32
1977-03-12 Sheffield United W 1-0 1528 1573 51.01% 31.04% 17.95% +5.6 23
1977-03-12 @ Burnley L 0-1 1573 1528 17.95% 31.04% 51.01% -5.6 26
1977-03-12 Chelsea L 1-3 1548 1656 44.07% 31.45% 24.49% -17.5 25
1977-03-12 @ Cardiff City W 3-1 1656 1548 24.49% 31.45% 44.07% +17.5 41
1977-03-12 Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1725 1540 68.67% 25.43% 5.90% -3.6 38
1977-03-12 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1540 1725 5.90% 25.43% 68.67% +3.6 24
1977-03-12 Hull City W 2-0 1698 1594 63.42% 27.99% 8.59% +5.4 34
1977-03-12 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1594 1698 8.59% 27.99% 63.42% -5.4 28
1977-03-12 Notts County D 1-1 1611 1669 49.67% 31.17% 19.16% -1.6 31
1977-03-12 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1669 1611 19.16% 31.17% 49.67% +1.6 36
1977-03-12 Hereford United W 2-1 1744 1492 72.58% 23.05% 4.37% +1.3 39
1977-03-12 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1492 1744 4.37% 23.05% 72.58% -1.3 17
1977-03-15 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1566 1699 40.94% 31.45% 27.61% -0.5 24
1977-03-15 @ Leyton Orient D 2-2 1699 1566 27.61% 31.45% 40.94% +0.5 39
1977-03-15 Wolverhampton L 0-2 1609 1746 40.49% 31.44% 28.06% -18.9 31
1977-03-15 @ Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1746 1609 28.06% 31.44% 40.49% +18.9 41
1977-03-19 Fulham L 1-2 1455 1506 50.47% 31.10% 18.44% -11.4 21
1977-03-19 @ Carlisle United W 2-1 1506 1455 18.44% 31.10% 50.47% +11.4 24
1977-03-19 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1673 1511 67.29% 26.18% 6.53% +4.0 43
1977-03-19 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1511 1673 6.53% 26.18% 67.29% -4.0 26
1977-03-19 Luton Town L 0-1 1491 1722 28.05% 30.60% 41.36% -7.6 17
1977-03-19 @ Hereford United W 1-0 1722 1491 41.36% 30.60% 28.05% +7.7 40
1977-03-19 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1589 1595 54.75% 30.50% 14.75% -2.4 29
1977-03-19 @ Hull City D 0-0 1595 1589 14.75% 30.50% 54.75% +2.4 33
1977-03-19 Burnley L 0-1 1565 1533 58.05% 29.78% 12.17% -13.8 24
1977-03-19 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1533 1565 12.17% 29.78% 58.05% +13.8 25
1977-03-19 Oldham Athletic W 2-1 1610 1590 57.02% 30.04% 12.95% +4.0 34
1977-03-19 @ Millwall L 1-2 1590 1610 12.95% 30.04% 57.02% -4.0 31
1977-03-19 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1670 1570 63.15% 28.10% 8.75% -3.4 37
1977-03-19 @ Notts County D 0-0 1570 1670 8.75% 28.10% 63.15% +3.4 32
1977-03-19 Blackpool W 2-0 1544 1648 44.58% 31.44% 23.98% +13.0 26
1977-03-19 @ Plymouth Argyle L 0-2 1648 1544 23.98% 31.44% 44.58% -13.1 37
1977-03-19 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1567 1704 40.53% 31.45% 28.03% +14.6 28
1977-03-19 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1704 1567 28.03% 31.45% 40.53% -14.6 34
1977-03-22 Carlisle United L 3-4 1699 1444 72.79% 22.91% 4.29% -14.4 39
1977-03-22 @ Bolton Wanderers W 4-3 1444 1699 4.29% 22.91% 72.79% +14.3 23
1977-03-22 Southampton W 2-1 1689 1660 57.78% 29.85% 12.37% +3.8 36
1977-03-22 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1660 1689 12.37% 29.85% 57.78% -3.8 28
1977-03-22 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1586 1598 54.26% 30.59% 15.15% -2.1 32
1977-03-22 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1598 1586 15.15% 30.59% 54.26% +2.1 34
1977-03-23 Sheffield United D 2-2 1483 1582 45.20% 31.42% 23.38% -0.8 18
1977-03-23 @ Hereford United D 2-2 1582 1483 23.38% 31.42% 45.20% +0.8 29
1977-03-26 Millwall W 2-0 1574 1614 51.56% 30.98% 17.46% +10.3 34
1977-03-26 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1614 1574 17.46% 30.98% 51.56% -10.3 34
1977-03-26 Plymouth Argyle L 0-1 1530 1557 52.86% 30.81% 16.34% -12.6 25
1977-03-26 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1557 1530 16.34% 30.81% 52.86% +12.6 28
1977-03-26 Notts County W 1-0 1552 1667 43.16% 31.46% 25.38% +7.2 26
1977-03-26 @ Leyton Orient L 0-1 1667 1552 25.38% 31.46% 43.16% -7.2 37
1977-03-26 Carlisle United W 5-0 1729 1458 73.65% 22.34% 4.01% +5.4 42
1977-03-26 @ Luton Town L 0-5 1458 1729 4.01% 22.34% 73.65% -5.4 23
1977-03-26 Blackpool W 3-0 1693 1635 60.11% 29.19% 10.69% +9.8 38
1977-03-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1635 1693 10.69% 29.19% 60.11% -9.8 37
1977-03-26 Hull City W 2-1 1765 1587 68.25% 25.67% 6.09% +1.9 43
1977-03-26 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1587 1765 6.09% 25.67% 68.25% -1.9 29
1977-03-27 Sheffield United W 3-2 1517 1583 48.90% 31.23% 19.87% +5.4 26
1977-03-27 @ Fulham L 2-3 1583 1517 19.87% 31.23% 48.90% -5.4 29
1977-03-28 Sheffield United W 2-1 1660 1577 61.90% 28.58% 9.52% +3.0 39
1977-03-28 @ Notts County L 1-2 1577 1660 9.52% 28.58% 61.90% -3.0 29
1977-03-29 Leyton Orient W 3-0 1703 1559 66.10% 26.78% 7.12% +6.5 40
1977-03-29 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1559 1703 7.12% 26.78% 66.10% -6.5 26
1977-04-01 Hereford United W 3-2 1663 1483 68.37% 25.60% 6.03% +1.8 41
1977-04-01 @ Notts County L 2-3 1483 1663 6.03% 25.60% 68.37% -1.8 18
1977-04-02 Cardiff City W 1-0 1625 1518 63.64% 27.90% 8.46% +2.8 39
1977-04-02 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1518 1625 8.46% 27.90% 63.64% -2.8 25
1977-04-02 Oldham Athletic W 3-0 1685 1584 63.23% 28.07% 8.70% +8.0 41
1977-04-02 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1584 1685 8.70% 28.07% 63.23% -8.0 32
1977-04-02 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1547 1709 37.10% 31.34% 31.56% -9.4 25
1977-04-02 @ Burnley W 1-0 1709 1547 31.56% 31.34% 37.10% +9.4 42
1977-04-02 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1678 1584 62.69% 28.29% 9.03% +4.9 45
1977-04-02 @ Chelsea L 1-3 1584 1678 9.03% 28.29% 62.69% -4.9 34
1977-04-02 Fulham W 1-0 1585 1523 60.40% 29.10% 10.50% +3.5 31
1977-04-02 @ Hull City L 0-1 1523 1585 10.50% 29.10% 60.40% -3.5 26
1977-04-02 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1603 1552 59.56% 29.36% 11.08% -14.1 34
1977-04-02 @ Millwall W 1-0 1552 1603 11.08% 29.36% 59.56% +14.1 28
1977-04-02 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1570 1507 60.45% 29.08% 10.46% -2.8 29
1977-04-02 @ Plymouth Argyle D 1-1 1507 1570 10.46% 29.08% 60.45% +2.8 27
1977-04-02 Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1574 1600 52.97% 30.79% 16.24% +14.1 31
1977-04-02 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1600 1574 16.24% 30.79% 52.97% -14.1 34
1977-04-02 Luton Town W 1-0 1656 1735 47.51% 31.33% 21.16% +6.3 30
1977-04-02 @ Southampton L 0-1 1735 1656 21.16% 31.33% 47.51% -6.3 42
1977-04-05 Oldham Athletic W 2-1 1588 1576 56.40% 30.18% 13.43% +4.1 33
1977-04-05 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1576 1588 13.43% 30.18% 56.40% -4.1 32
1977-04-05 Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1766 1510 72.86% 22.87% 4.27% +1.3 45
1977-04-05 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1510 1766 4.27% 22.87% 72.86% -1.3 27
1977-04-06 Carlisle United L 1-3 1579 1453 64.96% 27.32% 7.72% -24.8 34
1977-04-06 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1453 1579 7.72% 27.32% 64.96% +24.8 25
1977-04-06 Cardiff City D 2-2 1481 1515 52.13% 30.91% 16.96% -1.4 19
1977-04-06 @ Hereford United D 2-2 1515 1481 16.96% 30.91% 52.13% +1.4 26
1977-04-06 Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1719 1693 57.50% 29.92% 12.58% +6.8 44
1977-04-06 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1693 1719 12.58% 29.92% 57.50% -6.8 41
1977-04-08 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1538 1554 53.77% 30.67% 15.56% +8.1 27
1977-04-08 @ Burnley L 1-3 1554 1538 15.56% 30.67% 53.77% -8.1 34
1977-04-08 Millwall W 3-2 1586 1589 54.98% 30.46% 14.56% +4.2 36
1977-04-08 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1589 1586 14.56% 30.46% 54.98% -4.2 34
1977-04-08 Chelsea W 3-1 1519 1682 36.95% 31.33% 31.72% +13.7 28
1977-04-08 @ Fulham L 1-3 1682 1519 31.72% 31.33% 36.95% -13.7 45
1977-04-08 Notts County L 0-1 1588 1664 47.73% 31.31% 20.96% -11.5 31
1977-04-08 @ Hull City W 1-0 1664 1588 20.96% 31.31% 47.73% +11.5 43
1977-04-08 Plymouth Argyle W 4-1 1663 1567 62.87% 28.21% 8.92% +6.9 32
1977-04-08 @ Southampton L 1-4 1567 1663 8.92% 28.21% 62.87% -6.9 29
1977-04-09 Burnley D 1-1 1628 1546 61.88% 28.59% 9.53% -3.0 40
1977-04-09 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1546 1628 9.53% 28.59% 61.88% +2.9 28
1977-04-09 Sheffield United L 1-2 1686 1593 62.72% 28.27% 9.01% -13.9 41
1977-04-09 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1593 1686 9.01% 28.27% 62.72% +13.9 35
1977-04-09 Southampton L 2-3 1508 1670 37.22% 31.34% 31.43% -8.4 27
1977-04-09 @ Bristol Rovers W 3-2 1670 1508 31.43% 31.34% 37.22% +8.4 34
1977-04-09 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1516 1768 25.60% 30.24% 44.16% +0.7 27
1977-04-09 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1768 1516 44.16% 30.24% 25.60% -0.7 46
1977-04-09 Luton Town W 2-0 1669 1728 49.53% 31.18% 19.29% +11.1 47
1977-04-09 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1728 1669 19.29% 31.18% 49.53% -11.1 42
1977-04-09 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1566 1590 53.15% 30.77% 16.08% -2.2 29
1977-04-09 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1590 1566 16.08% 30.77% 53.15% +2.2 37
1977-04-09 Fulham D 0-0 1585 1533 59.66% 29.33% 11.01% -3.0 35
1977-04-09 @ Millwall D 0-0 1533 1585 11.01% 29.33% 59.66% +3.0 29
1977-04-09 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1676 1725 50.61% 31.08% 18.31% -1.7 44
1977-04-09 @ Notts County D 1-1 1725 1676 18.31% 31.08% 50.61% +1.7 45
1977-04-09 Hull City W 3-0 1572 1577 54.88% 30.48% 14.64% +12.9 34
1977-04-09 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-3 1577 1572 14.64% 30.48% 54.88% -12.9 31
1977-04-09 Hereford United W 2-1 1560 1480 61.76% 28.64% 9.61% +3.0 31
1977-04-09 @ Plymouth Argyle L 1-2 1480 1560 9.61% 28.64% 61.76% -3.0 19
1977-04-11 Chelsea W 4-0 1592 1680 46.44% 31.38% 22.18% +23.4 39
1977-04-11 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-4 1680 1592 22.18% 31.38% 46.44% -23.4 47
1977-04-11 Plymouth Argyle W 2-0 1536 1563 52.80% 30.82% 16.38% +9.8 31
1977-04-11 @ Fulham L 0-2 1563 1536 16.38% 30.82% 52.80% -9.8 31
1977-04-11 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1476 1500 53.17% 30.76% 16.07% -2.0 20
1977-04-11 @ Hereford United D 1-1 1500 1476 16.07% 30.76% 53.17% +2.0 28
1977-04-11 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1717 1564 66.69% 26.49% 6.82% -3.8 43
1977-04-11 @ Luton Town D 0-0 1564 1717 6.82% 26.49% 66.69% +3.8 30
1977-04-11 Cardiff City W 3-2 1678 1517 67.19% 26.23% 6.58% +1.9 36
1977-04-11 @ Southampton L 2-3 1517 1678 6.58% 26.23% 67.19% -1.9 27
1977-04-11 Notts County D 2-2 1767 1674 62.64% 28.30% 9.06% -2.2 47
1977-04-11 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1674 1767 9.06% 28.30% 62.64% +2.3 45
1977-04-12 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1549 1672 42.12% 31.46% 26.42% -0.8 29
1977-04-12 @ Burnley D 0-0 1672 1549 26.42% 31.46% 42.12% +0.9 42
1977-04-12 Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1478 1585 44.15% 31.45% 24.40% -1.0 26
1977-04-12 @ Carlisle United D 1-1 1585 1478 24.40% 31.45% 44.15% +1.0 35
1977-04-12 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1564 1546 56.83% 30.08% 13.09% +4.3 33
1977-04-12 @ Hull City L 0-1 1546 1564 13.09% 30.08% 56.83% -4.3 34
1977-04-12 Millwall L 1-2 1713 1582 65.27% 27.18% 7.55% -14.4 43
1977-04-12 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1582 1713 7.55% 27.18% 65.27% +14.4 37
1977-04-12 Blackpool L 1-5 1606 1625 53.64% 30.69% 15.67% -38.1 35
1977-04-12 @ Sheffield United W 5-1 1625 1606 15.67% 30.69% 53.64% +38.1 42
1977-04-16 Wolverhampton L 0-2 1542 1765 29.00% 30.71% 40.29% -14.8 34
1977-04-16 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1765 1542 40.29% 30.71% 29.00% +14.8 49
1977-04-16 Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1663 1615 59.27% 29.45% 11.28% -2.0 43
1977-04-16 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1615 1663 11.28% 29.45% 59.27% +2.0 40
1977-04-16 Southampton W 3-0 1673 1680 54.71% 30.51% 14.78% +13.0 44
1977-04-16 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1680 1673 14.78% 30.51% 54.71% -13.0 36
1977-04-16 Burnley D 1-1 1502 1548 50.95% 31.05% 18.00% -1.7 29
1977-04-16 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1548 1502 18.00% 31.05% 50.95% +1.7 30
1977-04-16 Luton Town W 4-2 1515 1699 34.12% 31.17% 34.71% +13.0 29
1977-04-16 @ Cardiff City L 2-4 1699 1515 34.71% 31.17% 34.12% -13.0 43
1977-04-16 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1656 1727 48.36% 31.27% 20.37% +5.8 49
1977-04-16 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1727 1656 20.37% 31.27% 48.36% -5.8 45
1977-04-16 Sheffield United L 0-2 1568 1568 55.29% 30.40% 14.31% -24.8 30
1977-04-16 @ Leyton Orient W 2-0 1568 1568 14.31% 30.40% 55.29% +24.8 37
1977-04-16 Carlisle United D 1-1 1597 1477 64.52% 27.52% 7.96% -3.2 38
1977-04-16 @ Millwall D 1-1 1477 1597 7.96% 27.52% 64.52% +3.2 27
1977-04-16 Fulham D 0-0 1677 1546 65.26% 27.19% 7.56% -3.7 46
1977-04-16 @ Notts County D 0-0 1546 1677 7.56% 27.19% 65.26% +3.7 32
1977-04-16 Hereford United L 3-5 1586 1475 63.93% 27.78% 8.29% -20.7 35
1977-04-16 @ Oldham Athletic W 5-3 1475 1586 8.29% 27.78% 63.93% +20.7 22
1977-04-16 Hull City L 1-2 1553 1568 53.96% 30.64% 15.40% -12.1 31
1977-04-16 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-1 1568 1553 15.40% 30.64% 53.96% +12.1 35
1977-04-19 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1480 1780 20.61% 29.22% 50.18% +11.1 29
1977-04-19 @ Carlisle United L 1-2 1780 1480 50.18% 29.22% 20.61% -11.1 49
1977-04-19 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1580 1543 58.44% 29.68% 11.88% -2.6 36
1977-04-19 @ Hull City D 1-1 1543 1580 11.88% 29.68% 58.44% +2.6 31
1977-04-19 Chelsea D 0-0 1565 1662 45.35% 31.42% 23.23% -1.2 36
1977-04-19 @ Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1662 1565 23.23% 31.42% 45.35% +1.2 50
1977-04-20 Southampton W 3-0 1527 1667 40.09% 31.44% 28.48% +21.4 36
1977-04-20 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1667 1527 28.48% 31.44% 40.09% -21.4 36
1977-04-20 Millwall W 3-1 1495 1593 45.24% 31.42% 23.34% +11.1 24
1977-04-20 @ Hereford United L 1-3 1593 1495 23.34% 31.42% 45.24% -11.1 38
1977-04-22 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1617 1686 48.55% 31.26% 20.19% -1.4 41
1977-04-22 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1686 1617 20.19% 31.26% 48.55% +1.5 45
1977-04-23 Chelsea W 1-0 1549 1663 43.33% 31.46% 25.21% +7.2 32
1977-04-23 @ Burnley L 0-1 1663 1549 25.21% 31.46% 43.33% -7.2 50
1977-04-23 Plymouth Argyle W 3-1 1491 1541 50.51% 31.09% 18.40% +9.3 31
1977-04-23 @ Carlisle United L 1-3 1541 1491 18.40% 31.09% 50.51% -9.3 31
1977-04-23 Blackpool D 0-0 1549 1661 43.62% 31.46% 24.92% -1.0 33
1977-04-23 @ Fulham D 0-0 1661 1549 24.92% 31.46% 43.62% +1.0 44
1977-04-23 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1506 1549 51.31% 31.01% 17.68% +5.5 26
1977-04-23 @ Hereford United L 0-1 1549 1506 17.68% 31.01% 51.31% -5.5 36
1977-04-23 Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1578 1500 61.55% 28.71% 9.74% -14.5 36
1977-04-23 @ Hull City W 1-0 1500 1578 9.74% 28.71% 61.55% +14.5 31
1977-04-23 Notts County W 4-2 1686 1673 56.45% 30.16% 13.38% +6.4 45
1977-04-23 @ Luton Town L 2-4 1673 1686 13.38% 30.16% 56.45% -6.4 46
1977-04-23 Cardiff City L 0-1 1721 1528 69.16% 25.15% 5.69% -15.9 45
1977-04-23 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1528 1721 5.69% 25.15% 69.16% +15.9 31
1977-04-23 Oldham Athletic W 4-0 1646 1564 61.86% 28.60% 9.54% +11.4 38
1977-04-23 @ Southampton L 0-4 1564 1646 9.54% 28.60% 61.86% -11.4 36
1977-04-23 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1768 1546 70.92% 24.11% 4.98% +1.6 51
1977-04-23 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1546 1768 4.98% 24.11% 70.92% -1.6 31
1977-04-26 Burnley W 5-2 1616 1557 60.20% 29.17% 10.64% +7.1 43
1977-04-26 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-5 1557 1616 10.64% 29.17% 60.20% -7.1 32
1977-04-26 Southampton L 2-3 1544 1657 43.48% 31.46% 25.07% -9.5 31
1977-04-26 @ Leyton Orient W 3-2 1657 1544 25.07% 31.46% 43.48% +9.5 40
1977-04-26 Cardiff City W 4-1 1770 1544 71.11% 23.99% 4.90% +3.6 53
1977-04-26 @ Wolverhampton L 1-4 1544 1770 4.90% 23.99% 71.11% -3.6 31
1977-04-27 Oldham Athletic W 3-0 1705 1552 66.67% 26.50% 6.83% +6.2 47
1977-04-27 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1552 1705 6.83% 26.50% 66.67% -6.2 36
1977-04-30 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1543 1623 47.32% 31.34% 21.34% -1.5 37
1977-04-30 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1623 1543 21.34% 31.34% 47.32% +1.5 44
1977-04-30 Luton Town W 1-0 1662 1692 52.48% 30.86% 16.66% +5.2 46
1977-04-30 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1692 1662 16.66% 30.86% 52.48% -5.2 45
1977-04-30 Hereford United W 3-1 1688 1512 68.12% 25.74% 6.15% +3.3 47
1977-04-30 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1512 1688 6.15% 25.74% 68.12% -3.3 26
1977-04-30 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1515 1711 32.36% 31.04% 36.60% +0.2 32
1977-04-30 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1711 1515 36.60% 31.04% 32.36% -0.2 48
1977-04-30 Burnley L 0-1 1540 1549 54.50% 30.55% 14.95% -13.0 31
1977-04-30 @ Cardiff City W 1-0 1549 1540 14.95% 30.55% 54.50% +13.0 34
1977-04-30 Sheffield United W 4-0 1656 1593 60.48% 29.07% 10.45% +12.5 52
1977-04-30 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1593 1656 10.45% 29.07% 60.48% -12.5 37
1977-04-30 Carlisle United D 0-0 1535 1500 58.24% 29.73% 12.02% -2.8 32
1977-04-30 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1500 1535 12.02% 29.73% 58.24% +2.8 32
1977-04-30 Hull City W 2-1 1582 1563 56.97% 30.05% 12.98% +4.0 40
1977-04-30 @ Millwall L 1-2 1563 1582 12.98% 30.05% 56.97% -4.0 36
1977-04-30 Southampton W 3-1 1667 1667 55.31% 30.40% 14.29% +7.5 48
1977-04-30 @ Notts County L 1-3 1667 1667 14.29% 30.40% 55.31% -7.5 40
1977-04-30 Fulham W 1-0 1546 1548 55.14% 30.43% 14.43% +4.6 38
1977-04-30 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1548 1546 14.43% 30.43% 55.14% -4.7 33
1977-04-30 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1532 1774 26.70% 30.41% 42.89% +0.9 32
1977-04-30 @ Plymouth Argyle D 0-0 1774 1532 42.89% 30.41% 26.70% -0.9 54
1977-05-02 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1533 1711 34.87% 31.22% 33.91% -8.5 32
1977-05-02 @ Plymouth Argyle W 2-1 1711 1533 33.91% 31.22% 34.87% +8.5 50
1977-05-03 Millwall D 1-1 1581 1586 54.81% 30.49% 14.70% -2.2 38
1977-05-03 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1586 1581 14.70% 30.49% 54.81% +2.1 41
1977-05-03 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1659 1773 43.36% 31.46% 25.18% +7.2 42
1977-05-03 @ Southampton L 0-1 1773 1659 25.18% 31.46% 43.36% -7.2 54
1977-05-04 Carlisle United D 0-0 1509 1503 55.80% 30.30% 13.90% -2.5 27
1977-05-04 @ Hereford United D 0-0 1503 1509 13.90% 30.30% 55.80% +2.5 33
1977-05-07 Notts County W 3-1 1562 1674 43.62% 31.46% 24.92% +11.6 36
1977-05-07 @ Burnley L 1-3 1674 1562 24.92% 31.46% 43.62% -11.6 48
1977-05-07 Bristol Rovers L 2-3 1506 1515 54.48% 30.55% 14.97% -11.6 33
1977-05-07 @ Carlisle United W 3-2 1515 1506 14.97% 30.55% 54.48% +11.6 34
1977-05-07 Oldham Athletic W 2-1 1625 1551 61.27% 28.81% 9.92% +3.1 46
1977-05-07 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1551 1625 9.92% 28.81% 61.27% -3.1 38
1977-05-07 Leyton Orient W 6-1 1544 1532 56.34% 30.19% 13.47% +16.0 35
1977-05-07 @ Fulham L 1-6 1532 1544 13.47% 30.19% 56.34% -16.0 32
1977-05-07 Blackpool D 1-1 1506 1667 37.26% 31.35% 31.40% -0.3 28
1977-05-07 @ Hereford United D 1-1 1667 1506 31.40% 31.35% 37.26% +0.3 47
1977-05-07 Cardiff City L 1-2 1559 1528 58.00% 29.79% 12.20% -13.0 36
1977-05-07 @ Hull City W 2-1 1528 1559 12.20% 29.79% 58.00% +13.0 33
1977-05-07 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1687 1691 54.97% 30.46% 14.57% -2.2 46
1977-05-07 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1691 1687 14.57% 30.46% 54.97% +2.2 48
1977-05-07 Millwall W 1-0 1720 1588 65.27% 27.18% 7.55% +2.5 52
1977-05-07 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1588 1720 7.55% 27.18% 65.27% -2.5 41
1977-05-07 Plymouth Argyle W 1-0 1578 1524 59.80% 29.29% 10.91% +3.6 40
1977-05-07 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1524 1578 10.91% 29.29% 59.80% -3.6 32
1977-05-07 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1666 1542 64.82% 27.39% 7.79% +4.9 44
1977-05-07 @ Southampton L 0-2 1542 1666 7.79% 27.39% 64.82% -4.9 37
1977-05-07 Chelsea D 1-1 1766 1669 62.93% 28.19% 8.88% -3.0 55
1977-05-07 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1669 1766 8.88% 28.19% 62.93% +3.0 53
1977-05-10 Cardiff City W 2-1 1693 1540 66.66% 26.50% 6.84% +2.1 50
1977-05-10 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1540 1693 6.84% 26.50% 66.66% -2.1 33
1977-05-10 Blackpool L 0-1 1516 1667 38.54% 31.39% 30.07% -9.6 32
1977-05-10 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1667 1516 30.07% 31.39% 38.54% +9.7 49
1977-05-11 Southampton W 2-0 1506 1671 36.69% 31.32% 31.99% +16.0 30
1977-05-11 @ Hereford United L 0-2 1671 1506 31.99% 31.32% 36.69% -16.0 44
1977-05-14 Fulham W 1-0 1537 1560 53.22% 30.76% 16.03% +5.1 39
1977-05-14 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1560 1537 16.03% 30.76% 53.22% -5.1 35
1977-05-14 Southampton W 1-0 1677 1655 57.21% 29.99% 12.80% +4.2 51
1977-05-14 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1655 1677 12.80% 29.99% 57.21% -4.2 44
1977-05-14 Wolverhampton L 0-1 1695 1763 48.71% 31.25% 20.04% -11.7 50
1977-05-14 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1763 1695 20.04% 31.25% 48.71% +11.7 57
1977-05-14 Sheffield United W 3-1 1526 1582 49.94% 31.15% 18.91% +9.5 36
1977-05-14 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-3 1582 1526 18.91% 31.15% 49.94% -9.5 40
1977-05-14 Carlisle United D 1-1 1538 1494 59.03% 29.52% 11.45% -2.6 34
1977-05-14 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1494 1538 11.45% 29.52% 59.03% +2.6 34
1977-05-14 Hull City W 4-0 1672 1546 64.90% 27.35% 7.75% +9.2 55
1977-05-14 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1546 1672 7.75% 27.35% 64.90% -9.2 36
1977-05-14 Hereford United D 1-1 1506 1522 53.90% 30.65% 15.45% -2.1 33
1977-05-14 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1522 1506 15.45% 30.65% 53.90% +2.0 31
1977-05-14 Burnley W 2-0 1586 1574 56.35% 30.19% 13.46% +8.3 43
1977-05-14 @ Millwall L 0-2 1574 1586 13.46% 30.19% 56.35% -8.3 36
1977-05-14 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1662 1628 58.26% 29.73% 12.01% -13.8 48
1977-05-14 @ Notts County W 1-0 1628 1662 12.01% 29.73% 58.26% +13.8 48
1977-05-14 Luton Town L 1-2 1548 1685 40.42% 31.44% 28.14% -9.4 38
1977-05-14 @ Oldham Athletic W 2-1 1685 1548 28.14% 31.44% 40.42% +9.4 48
1977-05-17 Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1536 1684 39.05% 31.41% 29.54% -0.3 37
1977-05-17 @ Bristol Rovers D 2-2 1684 1536 29.54% 31.41% 39.05% +0.3 51
1977-05-17 Hull City D 1-1 1504 1537 52.26% 30.89% 16.85% -1.8 34
1977-05-17 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1537 1504 16.85% 30.89% 52.26% +1.8 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-03-22 4.29% Carlisle United 1444 4 @ Bolton Wanderers 1699 3
2 1977-04-23 5.69% Cardiff City 1528 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1721 0
3 1976-10-05 6.94% Southampton 1580 6 @ Wolverhampton 1729 2
4 1977-04-12 7.55% Millwall 1582 2 @ Luton Town 1713 1
5 1977-04-06 7.72% Carlisle United 1453 3 @ Blackburn Rovers 1579 1
6 1976-11-20 7.79% Blackburn Rovers 1571 2 @ Wolverhampton 1696 1
7 1977-04-16 8.29% Hereford United 1475 5 @ Oldham Athletic 1586 3
8 1976-09-25 8.59% Luton Town 1600 2 @ Wolverhampton 1703 1
9 1977-03-05 8.65% Cardiff City 1533 2 @ Millwall 1635 0
10 1977-04-09 9.01% Sheffield United 1593 2 @ Bolton Wanderers 1686 1
11 1977-04-23 9.74% Bristol Rovers 1500 1 @ Hull City 1578 0
12 1976-10-09 9.83% Plymouth Argyle 1563 2 @ Blackpool 1639 0
13 1976-12-18 9.89% Bristol Rovers 1561 3 @ Sheffield United 1636 2
14 1976-09-18 10.09% Charlton Athletic 1544 2 @ Hereford United 1615 1
15 1976-10-02 10.18% Blackpool 1600 3 @ Bolton Wanderers 1668 0
16 1976-11-06 10.28% Cardiff City 1533 2 @ Fulham 1600 1
17 1976-11-27 10.50% Luton Town 1585 4 @ Notts County 1647 0
18 1976-08-25 10.63% Bristol Rovers 1535 2 @ Cardiff City 1595 1
19 1977-03-08 10.81% Notts County 1655 2 @ Nottingham Forest 1712 1
20 1977-04-02 11.08% Leyton Orient 1552 1 @ Millwall 1603 0
21 1976-11-13 11.32% Hereford United 1508 3 @ Bristol Rovers 1554 2
22 1976-09-18 11.38% Fulham 1580 2 @ Luton Town 1626 0
23 1976-08-24 11.41% Oldham Athletic 1572 2 @ Blackpool 1617 0
24 1976-11-27 11.59% Carlisle United 1520 1 @ Plymouth Argyle 1562 0
25 1976-10-16 11.86% Blackburn Rovers 1580 1 @ Millwall 1617 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-01-22 60.56 Southampton 6 1592 20.71% @ Carlisle United 0 1518 47.99% 31.30%
2 1976-11-27 51.04 Luton Town 4 1585 10.50% @ Notts County 0 1647 60.39% 29.10%
3 1976-10-02 40.08 Wolverhampton 6 1689 23.39% @ Hereford United 1 1591 45.18% 31.42%
4 1976-10-02 39.36 Blackpool 3 1600 10.18% @ Bolton Wanderers 0 1668 60.88% 28.94%
5 1976-10-05 39.14 Southampton 6 1580 6.94% @ Wolverhampton 2 1729 66.44% 26.61%
6 1976-11-20 38.40 Notts County 5 1609 15.31% @ Fulham 1 1595 54.06% 30.62%
7 1977-04-12 38.12 Blackpool 5 1625 15.67% @ Sheffield United 1 1606 53.64% 30.69%
8 1977-01-22 35.27 Luton Town 3 1637 15.32% @ Sheffield United 0 1623 54.06% 30.62%
9 1976-10-23 30.10 Southampton 4 1623 14.74% @ Luton Town 1 1616 54.76% 30.50%
10 1976-12-27 29.99 Wolverhampton 5 1710 27.96% @ Bristol Rovers 1 1574 40.60% 31.45%
11 1976-11-27 29.83 Nottingham Forest 3 1654 23.80% @ Cardiff City 0 1552 44.77% 31.44%
12 1976-08-21 29.31 Blackpool 4 1587 16.03% @ Bristol Rovers 1 1565 53.22% 30.76%
13 1976-10-23 28.36 Notts County 4 1583 17.66% @ Hereford United 1 1541 51.34% 31.00%
14 1977-03-05 28.05 Cardiff City 2 1533 8.65% @ Millwall 0 1635 63.31% 28.04%
15 1977-01-22 27.37 Notts County 5 1613 12.42% @ Millwall 2 1641 57.71% 29.87%
16 1976-10-09 27.31 Plymouth Argyle 2 1563 9.83% @ Blackpool 0 1639 61.41% 28.76%
17 1976-09-18 26.39 Fulham 2 1580 11.38% @ Luton Town 0 1626 59.13% 29.49%
18 1976-08-24 26.37 Oldham Athletic 2 1572 11.41% @ Blackpool 0 1617 59.09% 29.50%
19 1977-01-03 26.07 Plymouth Argyle 2 1547 11.94% @ Burnley 0 1583 58.36% 29.70%
20 1976-12-04 25.20 @ Fulham 5 1554 50.31% Oldham Athletic 0 1606 18.58% 31.11%
21 1977-03-05 24.89 Oldham Athletic 2 1588 14.13% @ Leyton Orient 0 1591 55.51% 30.36%
22 1977-01-15 24.83 Millwall 2 1616 14.25% @ Southampton 0 1617 55.36% 30.39%
23 1977-04-06 24.82 Carlisle United 3 1453 7.72% @ Blackburn Rovers 1 1579 64.96% 27.32%
24 1977-04-16 24.80 Sheffield United 2 1568 14.31% @ Leyton Orient 0 1568 55.29% 30.40%
25 1976-08-21 24.77 Cardiff City 2 1570 14.36% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1569 55.22% 30.42%