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1978-79 Football League Second Division Season

462 games

Final

Promoted

Crystal Palace

57 pts

Brighton · 56 pts

Stoke City · 56 pts

Relegated

Blackburn Rovers

30 pts

Millwall · 32 pts

Sheffield United · 34 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Stoke City

7.38 points above expected

56 points · 48.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Wrexham

5.45 points below expected

38 points · 43.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Crystal Palace Promoted 42 19 19 4 57 51 24 +27 49.83 +7.17
2 Brighton Promoted 42 23 10 9 56 72 39 +33 51.73 +4.27
3 Stoke City Promoted 42 20 16 6 56 58 31 +27 48.62 +7.38
4 Sunderland 42 22 11 9 55 70 44 +26 48.18 +6.82
5 West Ham 42 18 14 10 50 70 39 +31 53.34 -3.34
6 Notts County 42 14 16 12 44 48 60 -12 40.24 +3.76
7 Preston North End 42 12 18 12 42 59 57 +2 41.81 +0.19
8 Newcastle United 42 17 8 17 42 51 55 -4 40.39 +1.61
9 Cardiff City 42 16 10 16 42 56 70 -14 34.78 +7.22
10 Fulham 42 13 15 14 41 50 47 +3 42.64 -1.64
11 Leyton Orient 42 15 10 17 40 51 51 0 41.23 -1.23
12 Cambridge United 42 12 16 14 40 44 52 -8 42.25 -2.25
13 Burnley 42 14 12 16 40 51 62 -11 42.51 -2.51
14 Oldham Athletic 42 13 13 16 39 52 61 -9 38.11 +0.89
15 Wrexham 42 12 14 16 38 45 42 +3 43.45 -5.45
16 Bristol Rovers 42 14 10 18 38 48 60 -12 37.69 +0.31
17 Leicester City 42 10 17 15 37 43 52 -9 38.27 -1.27
18 Luton Town 42 13 10 19 36 60 57 +3 41.22 -5.22
19 Charlton Athletic 42 11 13 18 35 60 69 -9 39.68 -4.68
20 Sheffield United Relegated 42 11 12 19 34 52 69 -17 37.91 -3.91
21 Millwall Relegated 42 11 10 21 32 42 61 -19 36.58 -4.58
22 Blackburn Rovers Relegated 42 10 10 22 30 41 72 -31 33.52 -3.52

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Brighton 1772 56 51.73 +4.27 83.6% 34 44 48 52 55 60 69
Stoke City 1754 56 48.62 +7.38 94.7% 28 40 45 49 52 57 69
Sunderland 1752 55 48.18 +6.82 93.2% 30 40 45 48 51 56 65
Crystal Palace 1747 57 49.83 +7.17 94.5% 33 42 47 50 53 58 67
West Ham 1717 50 53.34 -3.34 27.4% 35 45 50 53 57 61 71
Preston North End 1647 42 41.81 +0.19 55.5% 24 34 38 42 45 50 63
Cardiff City 1622 42 34.78 +7.22 94.3% 18 27 31 35 38 43 55
Leyton Orient 1607 40 41.23 -1.23 44.2% 24 33 38 41 45 49 60
Newcastle United 1606 42 40.39 +1.61 67.3% 23 32 37 40 44 49 58
Fulham 1597 41 42.64 -1.64 41.0% 23 35 39 43 46 51 61
Cambridge United 1588 40 42.25 -2.25 36.5% 24 34 39 42 46 50 61
Wrexham 1586 38 43.45 -5.45 15.7% 23 35 40 43 47 52 64
Oldham Athletic 1582 39 38.11 +0.89 60.9% 20 30 35 38 41 46 57
Luton Town 1571 36 41.22 -5.22 16.9% 19 33 38 41 44 49 60
Notts County 1571 44 40.24 +3.76 80.3% 21 32 37 40 44 48 60
Bristol Rovers 1566 38 37.69 +0.31 56.4% 20 30 34 38 41 46 58
Leicester City 1552 37 38.27 -1.27 44.2% 20 30 35 38 42 46 59
Charlton Athletic 1544 35 39.68 -4.68 20.0% 21 32 36 40 43 48 59
Burnley 1540 40 42.51 -2.51 33.9% 24 34 39 43 46 51 63
Sheffield United 1534 34 37.91 -3.91 23.9% 19 30 35 38 41 46 56
Millwall 1532 32 36.58 -4.58 20.6% 17 29 33 37 40 45 53
Blackburn Rovers 1473 30 33.52 -3.52 27.6% 15 26 30 33 37 42 53

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BR BRI BR BUR CU CC CA CP FUL LC LO LT MIL NU NC OA PNE SU SC SUN WH WRE
Blackburn Rovers —
0-1-1
1.53
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.81
2-0-0
1.83
0-0-2
2.91
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.26
2-0-0
1.86
0-2-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.05
0-2-0
2.13
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
1.88
2-0-0
1.99
1-1-0
1.70
1-1-0
1.56
1-0-1
1.24
0-1-1
2.05
Brighton
1-1-0
3.91
 —
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.47
0-2-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.04
Bristol Rovers
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
1.49
 —
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.68
2-0-0
2.30
Burnley
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
3.16
 —
0-2-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.79
0-1-1
3.15
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
1.98
1-1-0
2.47
Cambridge United
0-0-2
3.53
1-1-0
1.81
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
2.57
 —
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.73
0-2-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.66
Cardiff City
2-0-0
2.44
1-0-1
1.36
1-0-1
2.74
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.01
 —
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.48
1-1-0
1.93
2-0-0
2.44
1-1-0
1.89
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
1.82
1-1-0
1.52
0-2-0
1.85
2-0-0
2.50
Charlton Athletic
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.15
 —
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
2.59
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-1
1.57
0-2-0
2.26
Crystal Palace
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.68
1-0-1
3.32
0-2-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.92
1-1-0
3.69
 —
0-1-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.18
0-2-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
2.23
1-1-0
3.12
Fulham
0-0-2
3.50
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
3.43
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.23
 —
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.74
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.04
0-1-1
2.54
Leicester City
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
1.81
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.38
0-2-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.92
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.40
 —
2-0-0
2.45
2-0-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.81
0-2-0
1.99
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
1.77
0-2-0
2.30
Leyton Orient
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
3.46
2-0-0
2.77
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.89
 —
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
2.49
Luton Town
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.91
1-0-1
2.82
 —
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.67
0-2-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.13
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.62
Millwall
0-2-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.47
 —
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
1.55
0-1-1
2.24
Newcastle United
2-0-0
3.11
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.03
 —
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.39
0-0-2
3.14
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.44
Notts County
2-0-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.50
2-0-0
3.09
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.96
0-2-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.75
 —
0-2-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.26
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.42
Oldham Athletic
2-0-0
2.86
0-0-2
1.58
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.42
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
2.41
 —
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.12
Preston North End
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
1.96
1-1-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.55
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.96
0-2-0
2.83
0-1-1
3.01
 —
1-1-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.61
Sheffield United
0-0-2
3.38
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.21
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.35
0-1-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.62
 —
0-1-1
1.72
1-0-1
2.01
1-0-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.29
Stoke City
0-1-1
3.72
0-2-0
2.47
1-1-0
3.58
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.51
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.16
0-2-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.65
 —
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
2.98
Sunderland
0-1-1
3.88
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.47
0-1-1
3.88
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.67
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.49
 —
1-1-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.35
West Ham
1-0-1
4.18
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.44
0-2-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.81
0-2-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.93
0-1-1
3.04
0-1-1
3.15
 —
0-1-1
3.38
Wrexham
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
3.05
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.87
0-2-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.81
0-2-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
1.99
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.41 +5.7
Allowed 0.66 -5.0
Differential 0.81 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.96%8.33%6.93%3.57%0.65%0.76%30.19%
18.33%15.15%6.39%3.57%1.52%0.65%35.61%
26.93%6.39%4.33%0.97%0.32%0.22%19.16%
33.57%3.57%0.97%1.08%0.32%0.43%9.96%
40.65%1.52%0.32%0.32%——2.81%
5+0.76%0.65%0.22%0.43%—0.22%2.27%
Total30.19%35.61%19.16%9.96%2.81%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.76
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%2.38%11.90%2.38%2.38%2.38%23.81%
111.90%19.05%16.67%4.76%7.14%—59.52%
22.38%7.14%2.38%———11.90%
32.38%———2.38%—4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.05%28.57%30.95%7.14%11.90%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.98 1.71 -0.74
SD 0.75 1.33 1.65
CV 0.77 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%4.76%2.38%2.38%——21.43%
17.14%7.14%4.76%4.76%2.38%—26.19%
211.90%9.52%2.38%———23.81%
39.52%9.52%—2.38%——21.43%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%————4.76%
Total42.86%35.71%9.52%9.52%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.93 +0.79
SD 1.35 1.07 1.83
CV 0.79 1.15 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%9.52%11.90%—2.38%42.86%
14.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%——21.43%
211.90%7.14%2.38%2.38%——23.81%
32.38%2.38%————4.76%
4—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
5+—————2.38%2.38%
Total28.57%30.95%19.05%16.67%—4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.43 -0.29
SD 1.30 1.33 1.88
CV 1.14 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%7.14%2.38%2.38%—23.81%
17.14%14.29%9.52%9.52%2.38%—42.86%
24.76%14.29%7.14%———26.19%
32.38%—2.38%———4.76%
4———————
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total21.43%33.33%26.19%14.29%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.48 -0.26
SD 1.02 1.13 1.53
CV 0.84 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%14.29%9.52%2.38%—2.38%40.48%
19.52%19.05%——2.38%2.38%33.33%
27.14%2.38%2.38%———11.90%
3—4.76%2.38%4.76%——11.90%
4———————
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total30.95%40.48%14.29%7.14%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.24 -0.19
SD 1.19 1.30 1.78
CV 1.13 1.05 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%2.38%7.14%2.38%—4.76%21.43%
19.52%9.52%7.14%4.76%2.38%2.38%35.71%
27.14%14.29%9.52%2.38%2.38%—35.71%
3—2.38%————2.38%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+———————
Total23.81%30.95%23.81%9.52%4.76%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.67 -0.33
SD 1.00 1.59 2.09
CV 0.75 0.95 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%7.14%4.76%——21.43%
12.38%21.43%11.90%2.38%2.38%2.38%42.86%
27.14%2.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%—16.67%
37.14%2.38%———2.38%11.90%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+—————2.38%2.38%
Total21.43%35.71%21.43%9.52%4.76%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.64 -0.21
SD 1.23 1.50 1.88
CV 0.86 0.91 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.05%7.14%————26.19%
116.67%23.81%2.38%———42.86%
29.52%2.38%2.38%———14.29%
34.76%9.52%2.38%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%42.86%7.14%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.57 +0.64
SD 1.02 0.63 1.06
CV 0.84 1.10 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%11.90%7.14%2.38%——35.71%
111.90%11.90%4.76%4.76%——33.33%
27.14%—9.52%———16.67%
34.76%2.38%———2.38%9.52%
4———————
5+—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
Total38.10%28.57%21.43%9.52%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.12 +0.07
SD 1.29 1.17 1.55
CV 1.09 1.05 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%2.38%4.76%2.38%—30.95%
19.52%26.19%9.52%4.76%——50.00%
22.38%4.76%4.76%———11.90%
32.38%—————2.38%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total23.81%45.24%16.67%11.90%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.24 -0.21
SD 1.07 1.03 1.44
CV 1.05 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%16.67%7.14%2.38%——33.33%
14.76%9.52%4.76%7.14%——26.19%
211.90%9.52%4.76%———26.19%
37.14%—2.38%2.38%—2.38%14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.95%35.71%19.05%11.90%—2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.07 1.16 1.56
CV 0.88 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%7.14%4.76%——35.71%
1—9.52%7.14%7.14%2.38%—26.19%
27.14%9.52%4.76%2.38%——23.81%
32.38%—2.38%———4.76%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%4.76%————7.14%
Total21.43%40.48%21.43%14.29%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.36 +0.07
SD 1.71 1.06 2.17
CV 1.20 0.78 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%11.90%11.90%——42.86%
12.38%9.52%7.14%—4.76%—23.81%
211.90%4.76%4.76%4.76%——26.19%
34.76%—————4.76%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total28.57%23.81%26.19%16.67%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.45 -0.45
SD 1.06 1.21 1.77
CV 1.06 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%9.52%2.38%—2.38%35.71%
111.90%4.76%9.52%4.76%4.76%—35.71%
24.76%2.38%————7.14%
34.76%11.90%————16.67%
4———2.38%——2.38%
5+———2.38%——2.38%
Total35.71%26.19%19.05%11.90%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.31 -0.10
SD 1.30 1.33 1.85
CV 1.07 1.02 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%—2.38%26.19%
116.67%23.81%4.76%2.38%—2.38%50.00%
2—7.14%2.38%——2.38%11.90%
3—2.38%2.38%2.38%——7.14%
4—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
5+———————
Total26.19%40.48%14.29%11.90%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.43 -0.29
SD 1.05 1.45 1.69
CV 0.92 1.02 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%9.52%7.14%2.38%—42.86%
12.38%9.52%—4.76%—2.38%19.05%
29.52%4.76%2.38%—2.38%—19.05%
3—4.76%2.38%4.76%——11.90%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total28.57%33.33%14.29%16.67%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.45 -0.21
SD 1.38 1.40 2.03
CV 1.11 0.96 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%4.76%7.14%———23.81%
19.52%19.05%2.38%4.76%—2.38%38.10%
22.38%7.14%11.90%2.38%——23.81%
3—2.38%——2.38%2.38%7.14%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total26.19%38.10%21.43%7.14%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.36 +0.05
SD 1.29 1.28 1.64
CV 0.92 0.95 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%9.52%14.29%—4.76%—30.95%
17.14%19.05%7.14%4.76%2.38%—40.48%
2—4.76%4.76%——2.38%11.90%
32.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%——9.52%
42.38%—2.38%———4.76%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total14.29%38.10%30.95%7.14%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.64 -0.40
SD 1.27 1.27 1.87
CV 1.02 0.77 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%2.38%4.76%2.38%——23.81%
114.29%16.67%2.38%2.38%——35.71%
214.29%2.38%7.14%———23.81%
34.76%7.14%————11.90%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+———————
Total50.00%30.95%14.29%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.74 +0.64
SD 1.13 0.89 1.50
CV 0.81 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%4.76%2.38%——16.67%
114.29%16.67%4.76%2.38%——38.10%
22.38%14.29%2.38%2.38%——21.43%
37.14%4.76%2.38%2.38%——16.67%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%—2.38%———4.76%
Total30.95%42.86%16.67%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.05 +0.62
SD 1.36 0.94 1.65
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%4.76%2.38%——28.57%
14.76%14.29%4.76%———23.81%
29.52%4.76%2.38%2.38%——19.05%
37.14%4.76%—2.38%2.38%—16.67%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+4.76%—2.38%———7.14%
Total42.86%33.33%14.29%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.93 +0.74
SD 1.52 1.05 1.85
CV 0.91 1.13 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%19.05%2.38%2.38%——35.71%
14.76%19.05%14.29%———38.10%
27.14%4.76%2.38%———14.29%
32.38%4.76%————7.14%
42.38%——2.38%——4.76%
5+———————
Total28.57%47.62%19.05%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.00 +0.07
SD 1.11 0.83 1.37
CV 1.04 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stoke City 56 48.62 +7.38
2 Cardiff City 42 34.78 +7.22
3 Crystal Palace 57 49.83 +7.17
4 Sunderland 55 48.18 +6.82
5 Brighton 56 51.73 +4.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wrexham 38 43.45 -5.45
2 Luton Town 36 41.22 -5.22
3 Charlton Athletic 35 39.68 -4.68
4 Millwall 32 36.58 -4.58
5 Sheffield United 34 37.91 -3.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cardiff City 4 Feb 24 – Mar 10 1 in 375
2 Blackburn Rovers 3 May 2 – May 9 1 in 223
3 Notts County 5 Mar 3 – Mar 27 1 in 160
4 Charlton Athletic 4 Oct 14 – Nov 4 1 in 140
5 Newcastle United 3 Dec 9 – Dec 23 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Blackburn Rovers 6 Feb 10 – Mar 24 1 in 296
2 Preston North End 6 Sep 16 – Oct 21 1 in 132
3 Leyton Orient 4 Aug 26 – Sep 16 1 in 83
4 Wrexham 3 Sep 23 – Oct 7 1 in 43
5 Millwall 4 Sep 16 – Oct 7 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Preston North End 15 Dec 9 – Mar 31 1 in 406
2 Cardiff City 11 Apr 7 – May 14 1 in 177
3 Stoke City 13 Dec 16 – Mar 24 1 in 110
4 Notts County 9 Nov 11 – Dec 26 1 in 87
5 Newcastle United 8 Aug 26 – Oct 14 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Charlton Athletic 15 Mar 3 – Apr 28 1 in 132
2 Crystal Palace 7 Dec 23 – Feb 24 1 in 129
3 Blackburn Rovers 16 Nov 11 – Mar 24 1 in 83
4 Millwall 13 Aug 22 – Nov 11 1 in 51
5 Preston North End 11 Aug 26 – Nov 4 1 in 47

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Crystal Palace13.72%16.98%16.55%14.24%10.11%8.04%5.35%4.24%2.93%2.18%1.47%1.27%0.82%0.70%0.40%0.37%0.29%0.16%0.11%0.05%0.02%—
Brighton25.82%21.99%15.75%11.71%8.23%5.17%3.51%2.55%1.57%1.18%0.87%0.59%0.32%0.27%0.20%0.09%0.09%0.05%0.02%0.02%——
Stoke City9.13%13.28%14.79%13.94%12.18%8.72%7.02%5.38%3.70%2.90%2.16%1.88%1.19%1.11%0.81%0.68%0.45%0.27%0.19%0.11%0.07%0.04%
Sunderland8.10%12.13%14.19%13.13%11.52%9.31%7.09%5.98%4.88%3.64%2.50%2.07%1.72%0.99%0.80%0.87%0.43%0.23%0.18%0.13%0.09%0.02%
West Ham38.43%22.96%14.33%9.34%5.01%3.78%1.96%1.38%1.14%0.63%0.37%0.25%0.12%0.12%0.05%0.07%0.02%0.02%0.02%———
Notts County0.24%0.56%1.05%1.96%3.22%3.63%4.86%4.95%5.54%6.00%6.03%6.64%6.45%6.75%6.80%6.63%5.94%5.53%5.33%5.18%4.18%2.53%
Preston North End0.38%1.25%2.46%3.22%4.94%6.20%7.44%6.91%7.15%6.49%7.32%6.45%6.07%5.68%5.56%4.94%4.55%4.35%3.34%2.64%1.55%1.11%
Newcastle United0.14%0.74%1.31%2.27%3.42%4.13%4.62%5.16%5.73%6.82%6.31%6.36%6.82%6.83%6.90%6.19%5.69%5.24%5.03%4.34%3.86%2.09%
Cardiff City—0.04%0.06%0.15%0.34%0.51%0.77%0.88%1.51%1.90%2.25%2.52%3.66%4.04%4.30%5.56%6.66%8.38%10.21%12.51%14.89%18.86%
Fulham0.69%1.78%2.99%4.45%6.23%7.55%7.79%7.23%7.25%7.74%6.72%6.13%5.97%4.92%4.99%4.35%3.80%2.97%2.37%2.07%1.37%0.64%
Leyton Orient0.41%0.90%1.82%3.07%4.25%5.12%6.37%6.47%6.39%6.74%7.18%6.88%6.56%6.01%6.09%5.27%4.99%4.46%4.01%3.04%2.33%1.64%
Cambridge United0.64%1.42%2.56%4.04%5.19%6.23%6.63%7.36%7.10%6.62%6.83%6.26%6.19%5.73%5.35%4.63%4.75%4.08%3.46%2.46%1.51%0.96%
Burnley0.65%1.52%2.86%4.18%5.46%6.32%6.94%7.46%7.69%7.07%6.58%5.90%5.89%5.59%5.33%4.59%4.10%3.60%3.02%2.41%1.90%0.94%
Oldham Athletic0.05%0.20%0.39%0.82%1.06%1.95%2.67%2.99%4.15%4.26%4.87%5.78%5.98%6.81%6.52%7.35%7.77%7.51%7.99%7.41%7.61%5.86%
Wrexham1.01%2.33%4.35%6.04%7.53%7.97%8.02%8.40%6.97%7.26%6.42%5.66%5.21%4.86%4.11%3.42%3.15%2.21%1.87%1.55%1.07%0.59%
Bristol Rovers0.04%0.17%0.41%0.76%1.05%1.73%2.20%2.81%3.29%3.70%4.56%5.24%5.63%5.95%6.85%7.34%7.71%7.92%8.37%9.02%8.26%6.99%
Leicester City0.09%0.19%0.55%0.92%1.49%1.99%3.02%3.07%4.10%4.72%4.95%5.75%5.92%6.46%6.26%7.33%7.57%8.14%7.56%7.54%6.90%5.48%
Luton Town0.25%0.90%1.90%3.15%4.12%5.53%5.87%6.76%6.57%6.71%7.02%7.05%6.46%6.10%5.68%5.43%4.81%4.61%3.92%3.22%2.43%1.51%
Charlton Athletic0.13%0.45%1.06%1.54%2.62%3.18%3.57%4.54%5.74%5.87%5.89%6.54%6.06%6.94%6.37%6.71%6.47%6.62%6.50%5.38%4.62%3.20%
Sheffield United0.06%0.10%0.40%0.68%1.20%1.66%2.33%2.81%3.42%3.99%4.43%4.98%6.21%6.19%7.14%6.98%7.66%7.89%8.27%8.66%8.30%6.64%
Millwall0.02%0.09%0.21%0.33%0.66%0.97%1.61%2.03%2.45%2.56%3.78%3.74%4.67%5.13%5.95%6.85%7.72%8.55%9.37%10.31%12.07%10.93%
Blackburn Rovers—0.02%0.01%0.06%0.17%0.31%0.36%0.64%0.73%1.02%1.49%2.06%2.08%2.82%3.54%4.35%5.38%7.21%8.86%11.95%16.97%29.97%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.11%
Strong Edge
47.19%30.74%22.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge
193 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
089.14500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.60 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Crystal Palace, 3rd of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.02/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.92 * Some Luck: 3.92 to 5.88 * Lucky: 5.88 to 7.84 * Wild Swing: 7.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.01 * Close: 3.01 to 4.52 * Off: 4.52 to 6.02 * Way Off: 6.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.62 * A Surprise: 1.62 to 2.58 * Several Surprises: 2.58 to 3.55 * Many Surprises: 3.55 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.24 points
Some Luck
04.9012
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.45
Close
03.768
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
94.74%
Stoke City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
15.73%
Wrexham
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.23
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.75
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.11 * Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.15 * Well Above Noise: 0.15 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.64
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.0760.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
West Ham 75.72% 24.28% —
Brighton 63.56% 36.42% 0.02%
Crystal Palace 47.25% 52.68% 0.07%
Stoke City 37.20% 62.58% 0.22%
Sunderland 34.42% 65.34% 0.24%
Wrexham 7.69% 89.10% 3.21%
Fulham 5.46% 90.46% 4.08%
Burnley 5.03% 89.72% 5.25%
Cambridge United 4.62% 90.45% 4.93%
Preston North End 4.09% 90.61% 5.30%
Leyton Orient 3.13% 89.86% 7.01%
Luton Town 3.05% 89.79% 7.16%
Newcastle United 2.19% 87.52% 10.29%
Notts County 1.85% 86.26% 11.89%
Charlton Athletic 1.64% 85.16% 13.20%
Leicester City 0.83% 79.25% 19.92%
Oldham Athletic 0.64% 78.48% 20.88%
Sheffield United 0.56% 75.84% 23.60%
Bristol Rovers 0.62% 75.11% 24.27%
Millwall 0.32% 66.37% 33.31%
Cardiff City 0.10% 53.64% 46.26%
Blackburn Rovers 0.03% 41.08% 58.89%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1978-08-19 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1587 1622 44.05% 32.92% 23.03% -1.2 1
1978-08-19 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1622 1587 23.03% 32.92% 44.05% +1.2 1
1978-08-19 Fulham W 3-1 1582 1596 46.55% 32.75% 20.70% +11.8 2
1978-08-19 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-3 1596 1582 20.70% 32.75% 46.55% -11.8 0
1978-08-19 Leicester City D 2-2 1616 1597 50.09% 32.37% 17.54% -1.5 1
1978-08-19 @ Burnley D 2-2 1597 1616 17.54% 32.37% 50.09% +1.4 1
1978-08-19 Stoke City L 0-1 1624 1624 48.08% 32.61% 19.31% -13.4 0
1978-08-19 @ Cambridge United W 1-0 1624 1624 19.31% 32.61% 48.08% +13.4 2
1978-08-19 Preston North End D 2-2 1575 1616 43.36% 32.96% 23.69% -0.8 1
1978-08-19 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1616 1575 23.69% 32.96% 43.36% +0.8 1
1978-08-19 Oldham Athletic W 6-1 1597 1600 47.78% 32.64% 19.58% +25.4 2
1978-08-19 @ Luton Town L 1-6 1600 1597 19.58% 32.64% 47.78% -25.4 0
1978-08-19 Newcastle United W 2-1 1601 1611 46.95% 32.72% 20.33% +6.8 2
1978-08-19 @ Millwall L 1-2 1611 1601 20.33% 32.72% 46.95% -6.8 0
1978-08-19 Leyton Orient L 1-2 1583 1589 47.39% 32.68% 19.93% -12.5 0
1978-08-19 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1589 1583 19.93% 32.68% 47.39% +12.5 2
1978-08-19 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1646 1576 54.98% 31.47% 13.55% +5.2 2
1978-08-19 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1576 1646 13.55% 31.47% 54.98% -5.2 0
1978-08-19 Notts County W 5-2 1697 1602 57.16% 30.90% 11.93% +9.3 2
1978-08-19 @ West Ham L 2-5 1602 1697 11.93% 30.90% 57.16% -9.3 0
1978-08-19 Brighton D 0-0 1624 1697 39.41% 33.05% 27.54% -0.7 1
1978-08-19 @ Wrexham D 0-0 1697 1624 27.54% 33.05% 39.41% +0.7 1
1978-08-22 Cambridge United L 0-2 1697 1610 56.44% 31.10% 12.45% -29.2 1
1978-08-22 @ Brighton W 2-0 1610 1697 12.45% 31.10% 56.44% +29.2 2
1978-08-22 Burnley D 1-1 1570 1614 43.09% 32.97% 23.94% -1.1 1
1978-08-22 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1614 1570 23.94% 32.97% 43.09% +1.1 2
1978-08-22 Luton Town W 3-1 1623 1622 48.24% 32.59% 19.17% +11.2 3
1978-08-22 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1622 1623 19.17% 32.59% 48.24% -11.2 2
1978-08-22 Wrexham L 0-1 1584 1623 43.69% 32.94% 23.37% -12.4 0
1978-08-22 @ Fulham W 1-0 1623 1584 23.37% 32.94% 43.69% +12.4 3
1978-08-22 Sunderland W 3-0 1602 1651 42.42% 32.99% 24.59% +22.5 4
1978-08-22 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1651 1602 24.59% 32.99% 42.42% -22.5 2
1978-08-22 Millwall D 1-1 1592 1608 46.43% 32.76% 20.81% -1.5 1
1978-08-22 @ Notts County D 1-1 1608 1592 20.81% 32.76% 46.43% +1.5 3
1978-08-22 Bristol Rovers W 3-1 1574 1594 45.97% 32.80% 21.23% +12.1 2
1978-08-22 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-3 1594 1574 21.23% 32.80% 45.97% -12.1 2
1978-08-22 Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 1617 1585 51.41% 32.17% 16.42% +14.0 3
1978-08-22 @ Preston North End L 1-4 1585 1617 16.42% 32.17% 51.41% -14.0 1
1978-08-23 Sheffield United L 0-1 1598 1570 51.03% 32.23% 16.74% -14.1 1
1978-08-23 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1570 1598 16.74% 32.23% 51.03% +14.1 2
1978-08-23 West Ham L 0-3 1605 1706 35.51% 33.01% 31.48% -28.9 0
1978-08-23 @ Newcastle United W 3-0 1706 1605 31.48% 33.01% 35.51% +29.0 4
1978-08-23 Cardiff City W 2-0 1637 1574 54.37% 31.61% 14.02% +10.1 4
1978-08-23 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1574 1637 14.02% 31.61% 54.37% -10.1 1
1978-08-26 Sunderland W 2-0 1668 1628 52.17% 32.04% 15.79% +11.1 3
1978-08-26 @ Brighton L 0-2 1628 1668 15.79% 32.04% 52.17% -11.1 2
1978-08-26 Oldham Athletic L 1-3 1564 1587 45.60% 32.83% 21.58% -20.9 1
1978-08-26 @ Cardiff City W 3-1 1587 1564 21.58% 32.83% 45.60% +20.9 4
1978-08-26 Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1569 1582 46.76% 32.74% 20.51% +19.7 3
1978-08-26 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-3 1582 1569 20.51% 32.74% 46.76% -19.7 2
1978-08-26 West Ham D 1-1 1635 1735 35.66% 33.01% 31.33% -0.2 4
1978-08-26 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1735 1635 31.33% 33.01% 35.66% +0.2 5
1978-08-26 Burnley D 0-0 1572 1615 43.13% 32.97% 23.90% -1.2 1
1978-08-26 @ Fulham D 0-0 1615 1572 23.90% 32.97% 43.13% +1.2 3
1978-08-26 Cambridge United D 1-1 1584 1640 41.64% 33.02% 25.35% -0.9 2
1978-08-26 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1640 1584 25.35% 33.02% 41.64% +0.9 3
1978-08-26 Wrexham L 0-1 1624 1635 46.89% 32.72% 20.38% -13.1 4
1978-08-26 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1635 1624 20.38% 32.72% 46.89% +13.1 5
1978-08-26 Luton Town W 1-0 1576 1611 44.09% 32.92% 22.99% +7.8 2
1978-08-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1611 1576 22.99% 32.92% 44.09% -7.8 2
1978-08-26 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1591 1571 50.16% 32.36% 17.48% +6.0 3
1978-08-26 @ Notts County L 1-2 1571 1591 17.48% 32.36% 50.16% -6.0 1
1978-08-26 Sheffield United D 2-2 1631 1584 52.86% 31.92% 15.22% -1.7 4
1978-08-26 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1584 1631 15.22% 31.92% 52.86% +1.7 3
1978-08-26 Millwall W 2-0 1647 1609 52.05% 32.06% 15.88% +11.1 6
1978-08-26 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1609 1647 15.88% 32.06% 52.05% -11.2 3
1978-09-02 Leyton Orient W 3-0 1565 1611 42.82% 32.98% 24.20% +22.3 3
1978-09-02 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1611 1565 24.20% 32.98% 42.82% -22.3 4
1978-09-02 Cardiff City W 4-2 1562 1543 50.10% 32.37% 17.53% +9.3 4
1978-09-02 @ Bristol Rovers L 2-4 1543 1562 17.53% 32.37% 50.10% -9.3 1
1978-09-02 Notts County W 2-1 1616 1597 50.17% 32.36% 17.47% +6.0 5
1978-09-02 @ Burnley L 1-2 1597 1616 17.47% 32.36% 50.17% -6.0 3
1978-09-02 Newcastle United D 0-0 1640 1584 53.79% 31.73% 14.48% -2.7 4
1978-09-02 @ Cambridge United D 0-0 1584 1640 14.48% 31.73% 53.79% +2.7 3
1978-09-02 Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1603 1589 49.61% 32.43% 17.96% +17.8 4
1978-09-02 @ Luton Town L 0-3 1589 1603 17.96% 32.43% 49.61% -17.9 3
1978-09-02 Brighton L 1-4 1598 1679 38.29% 33.05% 28.66% -25.8 3
1978-09-02 @ Millwall W 4-1 1679 1598 28.66% 33.05% 38.29% +25.8 5
1978-09-02 Stoke City D 1-1 1607 1659 42.17% 33.00% 24.83% -1.0 5
1978-09-02 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1659 1607 24.83% 33.00% 42.17% +1.0 7
1978-09-02 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1586 1634 42.52% 32.99% 24.50% -22.8 3
1978-09-02 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 1634 1586 24.50% 32.99% 42.52% +22.8 6
1978-09-02 Preston North End W 3-1 1617 1630 46.77% 32.74% 20.50% +11.8 4
1978-09-02 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1630 1617 20.50% 32.74% 46.77% -11.8 4
1978-09-02 Fulham L 0-1 1736 1571 62.45% 29.01% 8.54% -16.9 5
1978-09-02 @ West Ham W 1-0 1571 1736 8.54% 29.01% 62.45% +16.9 3
1978-09-02 Leicester City D 0-0 1648 1583 54.55% 31.57% 13.88% -2.8 6
1978-09-02 @ Wrexham D 0-0 1583 1648 13.88% 31.57% 54.55% +2.8 3
1978-09-07 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1586 1588 47.97% 32.62% 19.41% +11.3 5
1978-09-07 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1588 1586 19.41% 32.62% 47.97% -11.3 3
1978-09-09 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1705 1607 57.39% 30.84% 11.77% +4.6 7
1978-09-09 @ Brighton L 0-1 1607 1705 11.77% 30.84% 57.39% -4.6 5
1978-09-09 Luton Town W 2-0 1571 1621 42.34% 33.00% 24.66% +15.5 6
1978-09-09 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1621 1571 24.66% 33.00% 42.34% -15.5 4
1978-09-09 West Ham W 3-2 1622 1719 36.28% 33.03% 30.69% +8.6 7
1978-09-09 @ Burnley L 2-3 1719 1622 30.69% 33.03% 36.28% -8.6 5
1978-09-09 Cambridge United W 1-0 1534 1638 35.22% 33.00% 31.78% +9.8 3
1978-09-09 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1638 1534 31.78% 33.00% 35.22% -9.8 4
1978-09-09 Wrexham D 1-1 1571 1646 39.21% 33.05% 27.74% -0.6 4
1978-09-09 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1646 1571 27.74% 33.05% 39.21% +0.6 7
1978-09-09 Sunderland D 1-1 1657 1629 51.04% 32.23% 16.73% -2.1 7
1978-09-09 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1629 1657 16.73% 32.23% 51.04% +2.0 5
1978-09-09 Sheffield United W 2-0 1588 1563 50.66% 32.29% 17.05% +11.8 5
1978-09-09 @ Fulham L 0-2 1563 1588 17.05% 32.29% 50.66% -11.8 3
1978-09-09 Notts County L 0-1 1586 1591 47.59% 32.66% 19.75% -13.3 3
1978-09-09 @ Leicester City W 1-0 1591 1586 19.75% 32.66% 47.59% +13.3 5
1978-09-09 Stoke City L 0-1 1589 1660 39.69% 33.05% 27.26% -11.5 4
1978-09-09 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1660 1589 27.26% 33.05% 39.69% +11.5 9
1978-09-09 Millwall D 0-0 1618 1572 52.74% 31.94% 15.32% -2.5 5
1978-09-09 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1572 1618 15.32% 31.94% 52.74% +2.5 4
1978-09-16 Leicester City D 1-1 1576 1573 48.49% 32.57% 18.94% -1.7 4
1978-09-16 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1573 1576 18.94% 32.57% 48.49% +1.7 4
1978-09-16 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1628 1571 53.82% 31.73% 14.45% -2.4 5
1978-09-16 @ Cambridge United D 1-1 1571 1628 14.45% 31.73% 53.82% +2.4 5
1978-09-16 Cardiff City W 7-1 1606 1544 54.25% 31.64% 14.11% +23.2 6
1978-09-16 @ Luton Town L 1-7 1544 1606 14.11% 31.64% 54.25% -23.2 3
1978-09-16 Crystal Palace L 0-3 1575 1655 38.39% 33.05% 28.55% -30.6 4
1978-09-16 @ Millwall W 3-0 1655 1575 28.55% 33.05% 38.39% +30.6 9
1978-09-16 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1604 1577 50.89% 32.25% 16.86% +6.2 7
1978-09-16 @ Notts County L 0-1 1577 1604 16.86% 32.25% 50.89% -6.2 4
1978-09-16 Preston North End W 2-0 1602 1615 46.65% 32.75% 20.60% +13.6 7
1978-09-16 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1615 1602 20.60% 32.75% 46.65% -13.6 5
1978-09-16 Burnley W 4-0 1551 1631 38.52% 33.05% 28.42% +32.5 5
1978-09-16 @ Sheffield United L 0-4 1631 1551 28.42% 33.05% 38.52% -32.5 7
1978-09-16 Fulham D 1-1 1631 1599 51.39% 32.17% 16.44% -2.1 6
1978-09-16 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1599 1631 16.44% 32.17% 51.39% +2.1 6
1978-09-16 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1710 1587 59.37% 30.21% 10.42% +7.7 7
1978-09-16 @ West Ham L 0-2 1587 1710 10.42% 30.21% 59.37% -7.7 6
1978-09-16 Newcastle United D 0-0 1646 1597 53.04% 31.89% 15.08% -2.6 8
1978-09-16 @ Wrexham D 0-0 1597 1646 15.08% 31.89% 53.04% +2.6 6
1978-09-22 Notts County D 1-1 1573 1610 43.87% 32.93% 23.20% -1.2 6
1978-09-22 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1610 1573 23.20% 32.93% 43.87% +1.2 8
1978-09-23 Wrexham W 2-1 1579 1644 40.48% 33.04% 26.48% +8.2 8
1978-09-23 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1644 1579 26.48% 33.04% 40.48% -8.2 8
1978-09-23 Sunderland L 1-2 1598 1629 44.66% 32.89% 22.45% -11.9 7
1978-09-23 @ Burnley W 2-1 1629 1598 22.45% 32.89% 44.66% +11.9 8
1978-09-23 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1520 1575 41.80% 33.01% 25.19% +15.8 5
1978-09-23 @ Cardiff City L 0-2 1575 1520 25.19% 33.01% 41.80% -15.8 4
1978-09-23 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1686 1616 54.99% 31.47% 13.54% +5.2 11
1978-09-23 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1616 1686 13.54% 31.47% 54.99% -5.2 7
1978-09-23 Millwall W 1-0 1602 1544 53.85% 31.72% 14.43% +5.5 8
1978-09-23 @ Fulham L 0-1 1544 1602 14.43% 31.72% 53.85% -5.5 4
1978-09-23 Brighton W 4-1 1574 1710 30.91% 32.80% 36.29% +24.7 6
1978-09-23 @ Leicester City L 1-4 1710 1574 36.29% 32.80% 30.91% -24.7 7
1978-09-23 Cambridge United D 1-1 1629 1625 48.46% 32.57% 18.97% -1.7 7
1978-09-23 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1625 1629 18.97% 32.57% 48.46% +1.7 6
1978-09-23 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1600 1571 51.11% 32.22% 16.67% -2.3 7
1978-09-23 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1571 1600 16.67% 32.22% 51.11% +2.3 5
1978-09-23 Stoke City L 0-1 1602 1671 39.84% 33.05% 27.11% -11.5 5
1978-09-23 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1671 1602 27.11% 33.05% 39.84% +11.5 11
1978-09-23 Sheffield United W 2-0 1718 1584 60.18% 29.92% 9.90% +7.3 9
1978-09-23 @ West Ham L 0-2 1584 1718 9.90% 29.92% 60.18% -7.3 5
1978-09-27 Brighton D 2-2 1683 1685 47.87% 32.63% 19.50% -1.2 12
1978-09-27 @ Stoke City D 2-2 1685 1683 19.50% 32.63% 47.87% +1.2 8
1978-09-30 Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1559 1572 46.66% 32.74% 20.59% -12.3 4
1978-09-30 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1572 1559 20.59% 32.74% 46.66% +12.3 8
1978-09-30 Preston North End W 5-1 1686 1590 57.19% 30.90% 11.91% +13.8 10
1978-09-30 @ Brighton L 1-5 1590 1686 11.91% 30.90% 57.19% -13.8 5
1978-09-30 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1627 1587 52.19% 32.04% 15.77% -2.2 7
1978-09-30 @ Cambridge United D 1-1 1587 1627 15.77% 32.04% 52.19% +2.2 9
1978-09-30 Leicester City L 0-1 1574 1599 45.23% 32.85% 21.91% -12.7 5
1978-09-30 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1599 1574 21.91% 32.85% 45.23% +12.7 8
1978-09-30 Burnley L 0-2 1538 1587 42.55% 32.99% 24.46% -22.8 4
1978-09-30 @ Millwall W 2-0 1587 1538 24.46% 32.99% 42.55% +22.9 9
1978-09-30 Newcastle United L 1-2 1611 1598 49.57% 32.44% 18.00% -13.0 8
1978-09-30 @ Notts County W 2-1 1598 1611 18.00% 32.44% 49.57% +13.0 9
1978-09-30 Fulham L 0-2 1610 1607 48.48% 32.57% 18.95% -25.5 7
1978-09-30 @ Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1607 1610 18.95% 32.57% 48.48% +25.5 10
1978-09-30 Luton Town D 1-1 1577 1627 42.26% 33.00% 24.74% -1.0 6
1978-09-30 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1627 1577 24.74% 33.00% 42.26% +1.0 8
1978-09-30 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1681 1691 47.05% 32.71% 20.24% -1.6 13
1978-09-30 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1691 1681 20.24% 32.71% 47.05% +1.5 12
1978-09-30 West Ham W 2-1 1641 1725 37.90% 33.05% 29.05% +8.7 10
1978-09-30 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1725 1641 29.05% 33.05% 37.90% -8.7 9
1978-09-30 Cardiff City L 1-2 1636 1536 57.47% 30.81% 11.71% -14.8 8
1978-09-30 @ Wrexham W 2-1 1536 1636 11.71% 30.81% 57.47% +14.8 7
1978-10-06 Leyton Orient L 0-2 1584 1561 50.57% 32.30% 17.13% -26.4 8
1978-10-06 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1561 1584 17.13% 32.30% 50.57% +26.5 7
1978-10-07 Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 1590 1546 52.50% 31.99% 15.52% +13.4 11
1978-10-07 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-4 1546 1590 15.52% 31.99% 52.50% -13.4 4
1978-10-07 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1609 1585 50.67% 32.29% 17.05% +6.2 11
1978-10-07 @ Burnley L 0-1 1585 1609 17.05% 32.29% 50.67% -6.3 7
1978-10-07 Preston North End W 1-0 1625 1576 53.03% 31.89% 15.08% +5.7 9
1978-10-07 @ Cambridge United L 0-1 1576 1625 15.08% 31.89% 53.03% -5.7 5
1978-10-07 Notts County L 2-3 1551 1598 42.62% 32.99% 24.39% -10.8 7
1978-10-07 @ Cardiff City W 3-2 1598 1551 24.39% 32.99% 42.62% +10.8 10
1978-10-07 Brighton W 3-1 1693 1700 47.31% 32.69% 20.00% +11.6 14
1978-10-07 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1700 1693 20.00% 32.69% 47.31% -11.6 10
1978-10-07 Stoke City W 2-0 1632 1680 42.65% 32.98% 24.37% +15.4 12
1978-10-07 @ Fulham L 0-2 1680 1632 24.37% 32.98% 42.65% -15.4 13
1978-10-07 Wrexham W 2-1 1628 1621 48.89% 32.52% 18.59% +6.3 10
1978-10-07 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1621 1628 18.59% 32.52% 48.89% -6.3 8
1978-10-07 Leicester City W 1-0 1611 1612 47.99% 32.62% 19.39% +6.9 11
1978-10-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1612 1611 19.39% 32.62% 47.99% -6.9 8
1978-10-07 Sunderland W 3-2 1576 1650 39.26% 33.05% 27.69% +8.0 8
1978-10-07 @ Sheffield United L 2-3 1650 1576 27.69% 33.05% 39.26% -8.0 10
1978-10-07 Millwall W 3-0 1716 1516 64.91% 27.86% 7.23% +7.7 11
1978-10-07 @ West Ham L 0-3 1516 1716 7.23% 27.86% 64.91% -7.7 4
1978-10-14 Luton Town D 0-0 1533 1634 35.59% 33.01% 31.40% -0.2 5
1978-10-14 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1634 1533 31.40% 33.01% 35.59% +0.2 11
1978-10-14 Fulham W 3-0 1688 1648 52.24% 32.03% 15.73% +16.1 12
1978-10-14 @ Brighton L 0-3 1648 1688 15.73% 32.03% 52.24% -16.1 12
1978-10-14 Charlton Athletic L 0-3 1605 1558 52.89% 31.91% 15.20% -40.0 8
1978-10-14 @ Leicester City W 3-0 1558 1605 15.20% 31.91% 52.89% +40.0 10
1978-10-14 Cardiff City D 2-2 1587 1540 52.87% 31.92% 15.21% -1.7 8
1978-10-14 @ Leyton Orient D 2-2 1540 1587 15.21% 31.92% 52.87% +1.7 8
1978-10-14 Sheffield United D 1-1 1508 1584 39.04% 33.05% 27.91% -0.6 5
1978-10-14 @ Millwall D 1-1 1584 1508 27.91% 33.05% 39.04% +0.6 9
1978-10-14 Bristol Rovers W 2-1 1609 1603 48.80% 32.53% 18.67% +6.3 12
1978-10-14 @ Notts County L 1-2 1603 1609 18.67% 32.53% 48.80% -6.3 11
1978-10-14 West Ham D 2-2 1579 1724 29.54% 32.71% 37.76% +0.3 8
1978-10-14 @ Oldham Athletic D 2-2 1724 1579 37.76% 32.71% 29.54% -0.3 12
1978-10-14 Crystal Palace L 2-3 1571 1704 31.13% 32.82% 36.06% -8.6 5
1978-10-14 @ Preston North End W 3-2 1704 1571 36.06% 32.82% 31.13% +8.6 16
1978-10-14 Burnley W 3-1 1664 1616 53.03% 31.89% 15.09% +9.3 15
1978-10-14 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1616 1664 15.09% 31.89% 53.03% -9.2 11
1978-10-14 Newcastle United D 1-1 1642 1618 50.61% 32.29% 17.09% -2.0 11
1978-10-14 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1618 1642 17.09% 32.29% 50.61% +2.0 12
1978-10-14 Cambridge United W 2-0 1614 1631 46.31% 32.77% 20.92% +13.8 10
1978-10-14 @ Wrexham L 0-2 1631 1614 20.92% 32.77% 46.31% -13.8 9
1978-10-21 Leyton Orient W 2-1 1597 1586 49.29% 32.47% 18.24% +6.2 13
1978-10-21 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1586 1597 18.24% 32.47% 49.29% -6.2 8
1978-10-21 Brighton W 3-0 1606 1704 36.05% 33.02% 30.93% +26.3 13
1978-10-21 @ Burnley L 0-3 1704 1606 30.93% 33.02% 36.05% -26.4 12
1978-10-21 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1617 1533 56.20% 31.17% 12.63% -15.4 9
1978-10-21 @ Cambridge United W 1-0 1533 1617 12.63% 31.17% 56.20% +15.4 7
1978-10-21 Leicester City W 1-0 1542 1565 45.52% 32.83% 21.64% +7.5 10
1978-10-21 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1565 1542 21.64% 32.83% 45.52% -7.5 8
1978-10-21 Newcastle United W 4-1 1598 1620 45.67% 32.82% 21.51% +17.2 12
1978-10-21 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-4 1620 1598 21.51% 32.82% 45.67% -17.2 12
1978-10-21 Preston North End W 5-3 1632 1562 54.95% 31.48% 13.57% +7.2 14
1978-10-21 @ Fulham L 3-5 1562 1632 13.57% 31.48% 54.95% -7.2 5
1978-10-21 Notts County W 6-0 1635 1616 50.10% 32.37% 17.54% +33.5 13
1978-10-21 @ Luton Town L 0-6 1616 1635 17.54% 32.37% 50.10% -33.5 12
1978-10-21 Oldham Athletic W 4-2 1584 1579 48.67% 32.55% 18.79% +9.9 11
1978-10-21 @ Sheffield United L 2-4 1579 1584 18.79% 32.55% 48.67% -9.8 8
1978-10-21 Millwall W 3-2 1640 1507 60.06% 29.96% 9.98% +3.5 13
1978-10-21 @ Sunderland L 2-3 1507 1640 9.98% 29.96% 60.06% -3.5 5
1978-10-21 Stoke City D 1-1 1724 1674 53.17% 31.86% 14.97% -2.3 13
1978-10-21 @ West Ham D 1-1 1674 1724 14.97% 31.86% 53.17% +2.3 16
1978-10-21 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1628 1713 37.87% 33.05% 29.09% -0.5 11
1978-10-21 @ Wrexham D 0-0 1713 1628 29.09% 33.05% 37.87% +0.5 17
1978-10-28 Wrexham D 1-1 1548 1628 38.54% 33.05% 28.41% -0.5 8
1978-10-28 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1628 1548 28.41% 33.05% 38.54% +0.5 12
1978-10-28 West Ham L 1-2 1678 1722 43.11% 32.97% 23.93% -11.5 12
1978-10-28 @ Brighton W 2-1 1722 1678 23.93% 32.97% 43.11% +11.5 15
1978-10-28 Fulham L 0-1 1713 1639 55.35% 31.38% 13.27% -15.2 17
1978-10-28 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1639 1713 13.27% 31.38% 55.35% +15.2 16
1978-10-28 Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1558 1603 42.89% 32.98% 24.13% -1.2 9
1978-10-28 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1603 1558 24.13% 32.98% 42.89% +1.2 14
1978-10-28 Luton Town W 3-2 1579 1668 37.30% 33.04% 29.66% +8.4 10
1978-10-28 @ Leyton Orient L 2-3 1668 1579 29.66% 33.04% 37.30% -8.4 13
1978-10-28 Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1504 1615 34.21% 32.97% 32.82% -19.4 5
1978-10-28 @ Millwall W 2-0 1615 1504 32.82% 32.97% 34.21% +19.4 14
1978-10-28 Cardiff City W 3-0 1602 1549 53.44% 31.81% 14.76% +15.2 14
1978-10-28 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1549 1602 14.76% 31.81% 53.44% -15.2 10
1978-10-28 Cambridge United D 1-1 1582 1601 45.97% 32.80% 21.23% -1.4 13
1978-10-28 @ Notts County D 1-1 1601 1582 21.23% 32.80% 45.97% +1.4 10
1978-10-28 Sunderland D 0-0 1569 1643 39.26% 33.05% 27.69% -0.7 9
1978-10-28 @ Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1643 1569 27.69% 33.05% 39.26% +0.7 14
1978-10-28 Burnley D 2-2 1555 1633 38.74% 33.05% 28.21% -0.4 6
1978-10-28 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1633 1555 28.21% 33.05% 38.74% +0.4 14
1978-10-28 Sheffield United W 2-1 1676 1594 56.01% 31.22% 12.77% +4.6 18
1978-10-28 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1594 1676 12.77% 31.22% 56.01% -4.6 11
1978-11-03 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1654 1548 58.05% 30.64% 11.31% -15.0 16
1978-11-03 @ Fulham W 2-1 1548 1654 11.31% 30.64% 58.05% +15.0 10
1978-11-04 Newcastle United W 2-0 1604 1618 46.60% 32.75% 20.65% +13.7 16
1978-11-04 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1618 1604 20.65% 32.75% 46.60% -13.7 14
1978-11-04 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1633 1698 40.45% 33.04% 26.51% +8.2 16
1978-11-04 @ Burnley L 1-2 1698 1633 26.51% 33.04% 40.45% -8.2 17
1978-11-04 Leyton Orient W 3-1 1603 1588 49.72% 32.42% 17.86% +10.6 12
1978-11-04 @ Cambridge United L 1-3 1588 1603 17.86% 32.42% 49.72% -10.6 10
1978-11-04 Charlton Athletic L 1-4 1534 1634 35.72% 33.01% 31.27% -24.5 10
1978-11-04 @ Cardiff City W 4-1 1634 1534 31.27% 33.01% 35.72% +24.5 16
1978-11-04 Leicester City L 0-1 1660 1556 57.79% 30.72% 11.49% -15.8 13
1978-11-04 @ Luton Town W 1-0 1556 1660 11.49% 30.72% 57.79% +15.8 11
1978-11-04 Oldham Athletic L 2-3 1484 1568 37.93% 33.05% 29.02% -9.9 5
1978-11-04 @ Millwall W 3-2 1568 1484 29.02% 33.05% 37.93% +9.9 11
1978-11-04 Brighton L 0-1 1589 1666 38.86% 33.05% 28.09% -11.3 11
1978-11-04 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1666 1589 28.09% 33.05% 38.86% +11.3 14
1978-11-04 Stoke City L 0-1 1644 1681 43.92% 32.93% 23.15% -12.4 14
1978-11-04 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1681 1644 23.15% 32.93% 43.92% +12.4 20
1978-11-04 Preston North End W 3-1 1733 1554 63.41% 28.58% 8.01% +5.1 17
1978-11-04 @ West Ham L 1-3 1554 1733 8.01% 28.58% 63.41% -5.1 6
1978-11-04 Notts County W 3-1 1628 1581 52.91% 31.91% 15.18% +9.3 14
1978-11-04 @ Wrexham L 1-3 1581 1628 15.18% 31.91% 52.91% -9.3 13
1978-11-10 Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1639 1618 50.37% 32.33% 17.30% +17.3 18
1978-11-10 @ Fulham L 0-3 1618 1639 17.30% 32.33% 50.37% -17.3 16
1978-11-11 Wrexham W 2-1 1678 1638 52.22% 32.04% 15.74% +5.5 16
1978-11-11 @ Brighton L 1-2 1638 1678 15.74% 32.04% 52.22% -5.5 14
1978-11-11 Sunderland L 1-2 1659 1631 50.98% 32.24% 16.78% -13.3 16
1978-11-11 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1631 1659 16.78% 32.24% 50.98% +13.3 16
1978-11-11 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1690 1563 59.68% 30.10% 10.23% +11.0 19
1978-11-11 @ Crystal Palace L 0-3 1563 1690 10.23% 30.10% 59.68% -11.0 10
1978-11-11 Burnley W 2-1 1572 1641 39.88% 33.05% 27.07% +8.3 13
1978-11-11 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1641 1572 27.07% 33.05% 39.88% -8.3 16
1978-11-11 Sheffield United D 1-1 1577 1578 48.00% 32.62% 19.38% -1.7 11
1978-11-11 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1578 1577 19.38% 32.62% 48.00% +1.7 12
1978-11-11 Millwall W 1-0 1604 1474 59.85% 30.04% 10.11% +4.0 16
1978-11-11 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1474 1604 10.11% 30.04% 59.85% -4.0 5
1978-11-11 West Ham W 1-0 1571 1738 26.86% 32.46% 40.68% +11.6 15
1978-11-11 @ Notts County L 0-1 1738 1571 40.68% 32.46% 26.86% -11.6 17
1978-11-11 Luton Town W 2-0 1578 1644 40.36% 33.04% 26.60% +16.4 13
1978-11-11 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1644 1578 26.60% 33.04% 40.36% -16.4 13
1978-11-11 Cardiff City W 2-1 1549 1510 52.16% 32.05% 15.79% +5.5 8
1978-11-11 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1510 1549 15.79% 32.05% 52.16% -5.5 10
1978-11-11 Cambridge United L 1-3 1693 1613 55.80% 31.27% 12.93% -25.0 20
1978-11-11 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1613 1693 12.93% 31.27% 55.80% +25.0 14
1978-11-18 Notts County L 3-4 1552 1583 44.56% 32.89% 22.55% -11.0 10
1978-11-18 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-3 1583 1552 22.55% 32.89% 44.56% +11.0 17
1978-11-18 Charlton Athletic D 5-5 1600 1646 42.89% 32.98% 24.14% -0.5 17
1978-11-18 @ Bristol Rovers D 5-5 1646 1600 24.14% 32.98% 42.89% +0.5 17
1978-11-18 Fulham W 5-3 1633 1657 45.49% 32.84% 21.68% +10.4 18
1978-11-18 @ Burnley L 3-5 1657 1633 21.68% 32.84% 45.49% -10.4 18
1978-11-18 Leicester City D 1-1 1639 1580 53.90% 31.71% 14.39% -2.4 15
1978-11-18 @ Cambridge United D 1-1 1580 1639 14.39% 31.71% 53.90% +2.4 14
1978-11-18 Newcastle United W 2-0 1627 1608 50.16% 32.36% 17.48% +12.0 15
1978-11-18 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1608 1627 17.48% 32.36% 50.16% -12.0 16
1978-11-18 Stoke City W 3-0 1471 1668 23.34% 31.99% 44.66% +34.2 7
1978-11-18 @ Millwall L 0-3 1668 1471 44.66% 31.99% 23.34% -34.2 20
1978-11-18 Cardiff City W 2-1 1595 1504 56.75% 31.02% 12.23% +4.5 15
1978-11-18 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1504 1595 12.23% 31.02% 56.75% -4.5 10
1978-11-18 Preston North End L 0-1 1580 1555 50.72% 32.28% 17.00% -14.1 12
1978-11-18 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1555 1580 17.00% 32.28% 50.72% +14.1 10
1978-11-18 Brighton W 2-1 1645 1683 43.71% 32.94% 23.35% +7.5 18
1978-11-18 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1683 1645 23.35% 32.94% 43.71% -7.5 16
1978-11-18 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1727 1701 50.79% 32.27% 16.94% -2.0 18
1978-11-18 @ West Ham D 1-1 1701 1727 16.94% 32.27% 50.79% +2.0 20
1978-11-18 Leyton Orient W 3-1 1632 1575 53.76% 31.74% 14.50% +9.0 16
1978-11-18 @ Wrexham L 1-3 1575 1632 14.50% 31.74% 53.76% -9.0 11
1978-11-21 Millwall W 3-0 1676 1505 62.88% 28.82% 8.30% +8.9 18
1978-11-21 @ Brighton L 0-3 1505 1676 8.30% 28.82% 62.88% -8.9 7
1978-11-21 Luton Town L 1-2 1646 1639 48.82% 32.53% 18.65% -12.8 17
1978-11-21 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1639 1646 18.65% 32.53% 48.82% +12.8 17
1978-11-21 Sheffield United W 3-1 1703 1566 60.43% 29.82% 9.75% +6.3 22
1978-11-21 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1566 1703 9.75% 29.82% 60.43% -6.3 12
1978-11-21 West Ham D 0-0 1646 1725 38.68% 33.05% 28.27% -0.6 19
1978-11-21 @ Fulham D 0-0 1725 1646 28.27% 33.05% 38.68% +0.6 19
1978-11-21 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1566 1541 50.80% 32.27% 16.93% +11.7 13
1978-11-21 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1541 1566 16.93% 32.27% 50.80% -11.7 10
1978-11-21 Burnley D 1-1 1594 1643 42.39% 32.99% 24.62% -1.0 18
1978-11-21 @ Notts County D 1-1 1643 1594 24.62% 32.99% 42.39% +1.0 19
1978-11-21 Sunderland W 3-1 1569 1652 38.03% 33.05% 28.92% +15.0 12
1978-11-21 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1652 1569 28.92% 33.05% 38.03% -15.0 18
1978-11-22 Wrexham D 1-1 1583 1641 41.31% 33.02% 25.67% -0.9 15
1978-11-22 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1641 1583 25.67% 33.02% 41.31% +0.9 17
1978-11-22 Cambridge United W 1-0 1596 1636 43.52% 32.95% 23.53% +8.0 18
1978-11-22 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1636 1596 23.53% 32.95% 43.52% -8.0 15
1978-11-22 Oldham Athletic W 4-0 1634 1599 51.67% 32.13% 16.20% +21.5 22
1978-11-22 @ Stoke City L 0-4 1599 1634 16.20% 32.13% 51.67% -21.5 15
1978-11-25 Stoke City D 2-2 1529 1655 32.10% 32.87% 35.03% +0.1 11
1978-11-25 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1655 1529 35.03% 32.87% 32.10% -0.1 23
1978-11-25 Sheffield United W 2-1 1600 1559 52.23% 32.03% 15.74% +5.5 19
1978-11-25 @ Bristol Rovers L 1-2 1559 1600 15.74% 32.03% 52.23% -5.5 12
1978-11-25 Burnley D 2-2 1628 1644 46.31% 32.77% 20.92% -1.1 16
1978-11-25 @ Cambridge United D 2-2 1644 1628 20.92% 32.77% 46.31% +1.1 20
1978-11-25 Crystal Palace D 2-2 1500 1709 22.07% 31.77% 46.15% +1.0 11
1978-11-25 @ Cardiff City D 2-2 1709 1500 46.15% 31.77% 22.07% -1.0 23
1978-11-25 Fulham D 0-0 1633 1646 46.77% 32.74% 20.50% -1.7 18
1978-11-25 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1646 1633 20.50% 32.74% 46.77% +1.7 20
1978-11-25 West Ham L 1-2 1582 1725 29.84% 32.73% 37.43% -8.8 15
1978-11-25 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1725 1582 37.43% 32.73% 29.84% +8.8 21
1978-11-25 Preston North End W 2-0 1578 1584 47.49% 32.67% 19.84% +13.3 15
1978-11-25 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1584 1578 19.84% 32.67% 47.49% -13.3 12
1978-11-25 Sunderland L 0-3 1652 1637 49.72% 32.42% 17.87% -37.8 17
1978-11-25 @ Luton Town W 3-0 1637 1652 17.87% 32.42% 49.72% +37.8 20
1978-11-25 Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1604 1578 50.84% 32.26% 16.90% -2.0 19
1978-11-25 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1578 1604 16.90% 32.26% 50.84% +2.0 16
1978-11-25 Brighton W 1-0 1593 1685 36.90% 33.04% 30.06% +9.4 20
1978-11-25 @ Notts County L 0-1 1685 1593 30.06% 33.04% 36.90% -9.4 18
1978-11-25 Millwall W 3-0 1642 1496 61.09% 29.57% 9.34% +10.1 19
1978-11-25 @ Wrexham L 0-3 1496 1642 9.34% 29.57% 61.09% -10.1 7
1978-12-02 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1675 1591 56.18% 31.17% 12.65% +9.2 20
1978-12-02 @ Brighton L 0-2 1591 1675 12.65% 31.17% 56.18% -9.2 15
1978-12-02 Newcastle United W 1-0 1708 1602 58.03% 30.65% 11.33% +4.4 25
1978-12-02 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1602 1708 11.33% 30.65% 58.03% -4.4 19
1978-12-02 Notts County D 1-1 1647 1602 52.65% 31.96% 15.39% -2.3 21
1978-12-02 @ Fulham D 1-1 1602 1647 15.39% 31.96% 52.65% +2.3 21
1978-12-02 Cardiff City W 2-0 1486 1501 46.46% 32.76% 20.77% +13.7 9
1978-12-02 @ Millwall L 0-2 1501 1486 20.77% 32.76% 46.46% -13.7 11
1978-12-02 Leicester City D 0-0 1655 1573 56.01% 31.22% 12.77% -3.0 24
1978-12-02 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1573 1655 12.77% 31.22% 56.01% +3.0 16
1978-12-02 Bristol Rovers W 5-0 1675 1605 54.94% 31.48% 13.58% +22.9 22
1978-12-02 @ Sunderland L 0-5 1605 1675 13.58% 31.48% 54.94% -22.9 19
1978-12-02 Cambridge United W 5-0 1734 1627 58.09% 30.63% 11.29% +19.4 23
1978-12-02 @ West Ham L 0-5 1627 1734 11.29% 30.63% 58.09% -19.4 16
1978-12-09 Brighton D 1-1 1529 1684 28.26% 32.60% 39.14% +0.6 12
1978-12-09 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1684 1529 39.14% 32.60% 28.26% -0.6 21
1978-12-09 Millwall L 0-3 1582 1499 56.10% 31.19% 12.70% -42.2 19
1978-12-09 @ Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1499 1582 12.70% 31.19% 56.10% +42.2 11
1978-12-09 Oldham Athletic D 3-3 1608 1580 51.01% 32.23% 16.76% -1.3 17
1978-12-09 @ Cambridge United D 3-3 1580 1608 16.76% 32.23% 51.01% +1.3 17
1978-12-09 Sunderland D 1-1 1487 1698 21.92% 31.75% 46.33% +1.4 12
1978-12-09 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1698 1487 46.33% 31.75% 21.92% -1.4 23
1978-12-09 Sheffield United W 3-1 1632 1554 55.64% 31.31% 13.05% +8.2 20
1978-12-09 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1554 1632 13.05% 31.31% 55.64% -8.2 12
1978-12-09 Burnley W 2-1 1582 1646 40.64% 33.04% 26.32% +8.1 17
1978-12-09 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1646 1582 26.32% 33.04% 40.64% -8.1 20
1978-12-09 Preston North End L 1-2 1614 1571 52.57% 31.97% 15.46% -13.7 17
1978-12-09 @ Luton Town W 2-1 1571 1614 15.46% 31.97% 52.57% +13.7 14
1978-12-09 Stoke City W 2-0 1597 1652 41.73% 33.01% 25.25% +15.8 21
1978-12-09 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1652 1597 25.25% 33.01% 41.73% -15.8 24
1978-12-09 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1605 1713 34.69% 32.98% 32.33% -0.1 22
1978-12-09 @ Notts County D 0-0 1713 1605 32.33% 32.98% 34.69% +0.1 26
1978-12-09 West Ham W 4-3 1652 1753 35.55% 33.01% 31.44% +8.5 21
1978-12-09 @ Wrexham L 3-4 1753 1652 31.44% 33.01% 35.55% -8.5 23
1978-12-12 Charlton Athletic W 6-1 1584 1640 41.63% 33.02% 25.35% +30.7 16
1978-12-12 @ Preston North End L 1-6 1640 1584 25.35% 33.02% 41.63% -30.7 20
1978-12-16 Luton Town W 3-1 1684 1601 56.11% 31.19% 12.70% +8.0 23
1978-12-16 @ Brighton L 1-3 1601 1684 12.70% 31.19% 56.11% -8.0 17
1978-12-16 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1637 1540 57.29% 30.87% 11.84% +8.7 22
1978-12-16 @ Burnley L 0-2 1540 1637 11.84% 30.87% 57.29% -8.7 19
1978-12-16 Leicester City W 3-1 1713 1576 60.38% 29.84% 9.78% +6.3 28
1978-12-16 @ Crystal Palace L 1-3 1576 1713 9.78% 29.84% 60.38% -6.3 16
1978-12-16 Newcastle United L 1-3 1645 1613 51.39% 32.18% 16.44% -23.2 21
1978-12-16 @ Fulham W 3-1 1613 1645 16.44% 32.18% 51.39% +23.2 23
1978-12-16 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1542 1530 49.39% 32.46% 18.15% -1.8 12
1978-12-16 @ Millwall D 1-1 1530 1542 18.15% 32.46% 49.39% +1.9 13
1978-12-16 Leyton Orient D 0-0 1581 1590 47.09% 32.71% 20.20% -1.7 18
1978-12-16 @ Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1590 1581 20.20% 32.71% 47.09% +1.8 18
1978-12-16 Notts County D 1-1 1615 1605 49.22% 32.48% 18.30% -1.8 17
1978-12-16 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1605 1615 18.30% 32.48% 49.22% +1.8 23
1978-12-16 Cardiff City W 2-1 1546 1488 53.84% 31.72% 14.44% +5.2 14
1978-12-16 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1488 1546 14.44% 31.72% 53.84% -5.1 12
1978-12-16 Wrexham W 3-0 1636 1660 45.42% 32.84% 21.74% +20.6 26
1978-12-16 @ Stoke City L 0-3 1660 1636 21.74% 32.84% 45.42% -20.6 21
1978-12-16 Cambridge United L 0-2 1696 1606 56.71% 31.03% 12.26% -29.3 23
1978-12-16 @ Sunderland W 2-0 1606 1696 12.26% 31.03% 56.71% +29.3 19
1978-12-16 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1745 1609 60.33% 29.86% 9.81% +7.3 25
1978-12-16 @ West Ham L 0-2 1609 1745 9.81% 29.86% 60.33% -7.3 20
1978-12-23 Stoke City D 0-0 1532 1657 32.23% 32.88% 34.89% +0.2 20
1978-12-23 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1657 1532 34.89% 32.88% 32.23% -0.2 27
1978-12-23 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1636 1719 38.03% 33.05% 28.92% -0.6 20
1978-12-23 @ Cambridge United D 0-0 1719 1636 28.92% 33.05% 38.03% +0.6 29
1978-12-23 Fulham W 2-0 1483 1622 30.44% 32.77% 36.78% +20.4 14
1978-12-23 @ Cardiff City L 0-2 1622 1483 36.78% 32.77% 30.44% -20.4 21
1978-12-23 Brighton L 0-3 1602 1692 37.12% 33.04% 29.84% -29.9 20
1978-12-23 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1692 1602 29.84% 33.04% 37.12% +29.9 25
1978-12-23 Preston North End D 1-1 1570 1613 43.14% 32.97% 23.89% -1.1 17
1978-12-23 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1613 1570 23.89% 32.97% 43.14% +1.1 18
1978-12-23 Millwall W 2-1 1592 1540 53.37% 31.82% 14.81% +5.3 20
1978-12-23 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1540 1592 14.81% 31.82% 53.37% -5.3 12
1978-12-23 Burnley W 3-1 1636 1646 47.06% 32.71% 20.23% +11.7 25
1978-12-23 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1646 1636 20.23% 32.71% 47.06% -11.6 22
1978-12-23 Sunderland D 1-1 1606 1667 40.97% 33.03% 26.00% -0.8 24
1978-12-23 @ Notts County D 1-1 1667 1606 26.00% 33.03% 40.97% +0.8 24
1978-12-26 Cardiff City W 5-0 1722 1504 66.06% 27.27% 6.67% +11.4 27
1978-12-26 @ Brighton L 0-5 1504 1722 6.67% 27.27% 66.06% -11.4 14
1978-12-26 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1634 1531 57.76% 30.73% 11.51% +4.2 24
1978-12-26 @ Burnley L 1-2 1531 1634 11.51% 30.73% 57.76% -4.2 13
1978-12-26 Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1720 1532 64.04% 28.29% 7.68% -17.3 29
1978-12-26 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 1532 1720 7.68% 28.29% 64.04% +17.3 22
1978-12-26 Cambridge United W 5-1 1601 1635 44.28% 32.91% 22.81% +23.2 23
1978-12-26 @ Fulham L 1-5 1635 1601 22.81% 32.91% 44.28% -23.2 20
1978-12-26 Luton Town L 0-2 1535 1593 41.28% 33.03% 25.70% -22.3 12
1978-12-26 @ Millwall W 2-0 1593 1535 25.70% 33.03% 41.28% +22.3 19
1978-12-26 Notts County D 3-3 1579 1606 45.15% 32.86% 21.99% -0.8 19
1978-12-26 @ Oldham Athletic D 3-3 1606 1579 21.99% 32.86% 45.15% +0.8 25
1978-12-26 Wrexham W 2-1 1614 1640 45.25% 32.85% 21.90% +7.1 20
1978-12-26 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1640 1614 21.90% 32.85% 45.25% -7.1 21
1978-12-26 Newcastle United W 1-0 1551 1648 36.14% 33.02% 30.83% +9.6 16
1978-12-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1648 1551 30.83% 33.02% 36.14% -9.6 25
1978-12-26 Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1657 1572 56.26% 31.15% 12.59% -2.0 28
1978-12-26 @ Stoke City D 2-2 1572 1657 12.59% 31.15% 56.26% +2.0 21
1978-12-26 Leicester City D 1-1 1668 1569 57.45% 30.82% 11.73% -2.9 25
1978-12-26 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1569 1668 11.73% 30.82% 57.45% +2.9 18
1978-12-26 Leyton Orient L 0-2 1752 1597 61.73% 29.31% 8.96% -31.6 25
1978-12-26 @ West Ham W 2-0 1597 1752 8.96% 29.31% 61.73% +31.6 22
1978-12-30 Newcastle United W 2-0 1733 1639 57.08% 30.93% 11.99% +8.8 29
1978-12-30 @ Brighton L 0-2 1639 1733 11.99% 30.93% 57.08% -8.8 25
1978-12-30 Cardiff City D 0-0 1639 1492 61.12% 29.56% 9.32% -3.8 25
1978-12-30 @ Burnley D 0-0 1492 1639 9.32% 29.56% 61.12% +3.8 15
1978-12-30 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1702 1629 55.25% 31.41% 13.34% -2.6 30
1978-12-30 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1629 1702 13.34% 31.41% 55.25% +2.6 23
1978-12-30 Luton Town W 1-0 1625 1615 49.13% 32.49% 18.38% +6.6 25
1978-12-30 @ Fulham L 0-1 1615 1625 18.38% 32.49% 49.13% -6.6 19
1978-12-30 Charlton Athletic L 0-3 1578 1574 48.59% 32.55% 18.86% -37.1 19
1978-12-30 @ Oldham Athletic W 3-0 1574 1578 18.86% 32.55% 48.59% +37.1 23
1978-12-30 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1621 1549 55.18% 31.42% 13.40% -2.6 21
1978-12-30 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1549 1621 13.40% 31.42% 55.18% +2.6 23
1978-12-30 Cambridge United D 3-3 1560 1612 42.14% 33.00% 24.86% -0.6 17
1978-12-30 @ Sheffield United D 3-3 1612 1560 24.86% 33.00% 42.14% +0.6 21
1978-12-30 Notts County W 2-0 1655 1606 52.99% 31.89% 15.11% +10.7 30
1978-12-30 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1606 1655 15.11% 31.89% 52.99% -10.7 25
1978-12-30 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1721 1527 64.41% 28.11% 7.48% +10.5 27
1978-12-30 @ West Ham L 0-4 1527 1721 7.48% 28.11% 64.41% -10.5 13
1979-01-01 Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1572 1541 51.26% 32.20% 16.55% +11.5 20
1979-01-01 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1541 1572 16.55% 32.20% 51.26% -11.5 19
1979-01-13 Cardiff City W 5-0 1612 1496 58.85% 30.38% 10.77% +18.6 23
1979-01-13 @ Cambridge United L 0-5 1496 1612 10.77% 30.38% 58.85% -18.6 15
1979-01-16 Bristol Rovers W 3-2 1608 1552 53.78% 31.74% 14.48% +4.9 21
1979-01-16 @ Luton Town L 2-3 1552 1608 14.48% 31.74% 53.78% -4.9 23
1979-01-17 Sunderland D 1-1 1517 1665 29.17% 32.68% 38.15% +0.5 14
1979-01-17 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1665 1517 38.15% 32.68% 29.17% -0.5 26
1979-01-20 Stoke City D 1-1 1742 1665 55.54% 31.34% 13.12% -2.6 30
1979-01-20 @ Brighton D 1-1 1665 1742 13.12% 31.34% 55.54% +2.6 31
1979-01-20 West Ham L 0-1 1547 1731 24.80% 32.21% 42.99% -8.2 23
1979-01-20 @ Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1731 1547 42.99% 32.21% 24.80% +8.2 29
1979-01-20 Millwall D 0-0 1700 1512 64.01% 28.30% 7.69% -4.1 31
1979-01-20 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1512 1700 7.69% 28.30% 64.01% +4.1 13
1979-01-20 Sunderland D 2-2 1631 1665 44.33% 32.91% 22.77% -0.9 26
1979-01-20 @ Fulham D 2-2 1665 1631 22.77% 32.91% 44.33% +0.9 27
1979-01-20 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1583 1517 54.61% 31.56% 13.83% -2.5 21
1979-01-20 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1517 1583 13.83% 31.56% 54.61% +2.5 15
1979-01-20 Notts County W 3-0 1632 1596 51.80% 32.11% 16.09% +16.4 25
1979-01-20 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1596 1632 16.09% 32.11% 51.80% -16.4 25
1979-02-03 Leicester City W 3-1 1739 1581 62.00% 29.20% 8.80% +5.7 32
1979-02-03 @ Brighton L 1-3 1581 1739 8.80% 29.20% 62.00% -5.7 21
1979-02-03 Luton Town D 0-0 1631 1613 49.98% 32.38% 17.64% -2.1 24
1979-02-03 @ Cambridge United D 0-0 1613 1631 17.64% 32.38% 49.98% +2.2 22
1979-02-03 Newcastle United W 2-0 1648 1630 50.03% 32.38% 17.59% +12.1 27
1979-02-03 @ Leyton Orient L 0-2 1630 1648 17.59% 32.38% 50.03% -12.1 25
1979-02-03 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1579 1611 44.52% 32.90% 22.58% -1.2 26
1979-02-03 @ Notts County D 1-1 1611 1579 22.58% 32.90% 44.52% +1.2 24
1979-02-03 Burnley W 3-1 1666 1635 51.28% 32.19% 16.53% +10.0 29
1979-02-03 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1635 1666 16.53% 32.19% 51.28% -10.0 25
1979-02-06 Stoke City D 0-0 1616 1668 41.99% 33.01% 25.00% -1.1 23
1979-02-06 @ Luton Town D 0-0 1668 1616 25.00% 33.01% 41.99% +1.1 32
1979-02-06 Fulham D 1-1 1560 1630 39.73% 33.05% 27.22% -0.7 18
1979-02-06 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1630 1560 27.22% 33.05% 39.73% +0.7 27
1979-02-10 Cambridge United W 2-0 1539 1629 37.08% 33.04% 29.88% +17.7 25
1979-02-10 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1629 1539 29.88% 33.04% 37.08% -17.7 24
1979-02-10 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1612 1520 56.91% 30.98% 12.12% +8.9 26
1979-02-10 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1520 1612 12.12% 30.98% 56.91% -8.9 15
1979-02-10 Stoke City D 1-1 1695 1669 50.85% 32.26% 16.89% -2.0 32
1979-02-10 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1669 1695 16.89% 32.26% 50.85% +2.0 33
1979-02-10 Oldham Athletic W 1-0 1631 1530 57.62% 30.77% 11.61% +4.5 29
1979-02-10 @ Fulham L 0-1 1530 1631 11.61% 30.77% 57.62% -4.5 19
1979-02-10 Leyton Orient W 5-3 1575 1660 37.80% 33.05% 29.15% +12.8 23
1979-02-10 @ Leicester City L 3-5 1660 1575 29.15% 33.05% 37.80% -12.8 27
1979-02-10 Sheffield United D 1-1 1614 1559 53.63% 31.77% 14.60% -2.4 24
1979-02-10 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1559 1614 14.60% 31.77% 53.63% +2.4 19
1979-02-10 Brighton W 1-0 1619 1745 32.12% 32.87% 35.01% +10.5 23
1979-02-10 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1745 1619 35.01% 32.87% 32.12% -10.5 32
1979-02-10 Sunderland D 3-3 1739 1675 54.41% 31.60% 13.99% -1.5 30
1979-02-10 @ West Ham D 3-3 1675 1739 13.99% 31.60% 54.41% +1.5 30
1979-02-17 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1735 1693 52.30% 32.02% 15.68% -2.5 33
1979-02-17 @ Brighton D 0-0 1693 1735 15.68% 32.02% 52.30% +2.5 33
1979-02-24 Notts County D 2-2 1556 1578 45.67% 32.82% 21.50% -1.0 26
1979-02-24 @ Bristol Rovers D 2-2 1578 1556 21.50% 32.82% 45.67% +1.0 27
1979-02-24 Stoke City L 0-3 1625 1671 42.77% 32.98% 24.25% -33.3 25
1979-02-24 @ Burnley W 3-0 1671 1625 24.25% 32.98% 42.77% +33.3 35
1979-02-24 Wrexham W 1-0 1611 1633 45.72% 32.82% 21.46% +7.5 26
1979-02-24 @ Cambridge United L 0-1 1633 1611 21.46% 32.82% 45.72% -7.4 21
1979-02-24 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1477 1647 26.47% 32.42% 41.11% +11.7 17
1979-02-24 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1647 1477 41.11% 32.42% 26.47% -11.7 27
1979-02-24 Leicester City W 1-0 1621 1588 51.55% 32.15% 16.30% +6.0 28
1979-02-24 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1588 1621 16.30% 32.15% 51.55% -6.0 23
1979-02-24 Preston North End D 0-0 1696 1629 54.68% 31.54% 13.78% -2.8 34
1979-02-24 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1629 1696 13.78% 31.54% 54.68% +2.8 24
1979-02-24 Brighton L 0-1 1636 1732 36.24% 33.02% 30.73% -10.7 29
1979-02-24 @ Fulham W 1-0 1732 1636 30.73% 33.02% 36.24% +10.7 35
1979-02-24 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1612 1511 57.61% 30.77% 11.61% +4.3 26
1979-02-24 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1511 1612 11.61% 30.77% 57.61% -4.3 15
1979-02-24 Sunderland L 1-4 1618 1677 41.14% 33.03% 25.83% -27.2 25
1979-02-24 @ Newcastle United W 4-1 1677 1618 25.83% 33.03% 41.14% +27.2 32
1979-02-24 Millwall L 0-2 1562 1516 52.70% 31.95% 15.35% -27.4 19
1979-02-24 @ Sheffield United W 2-0 1516 1562 15.35% 31.95% 52.70% +27.5 15
1979-02-24 Oldham Athletic W 3-0 1738 1525 65.67% 27.47% 6.86% +7.3 32
1979-02-24 @ West Ham L 0-3 1525 1738 6.86% 27.47% 65.67% -7.3 19
1979-02-26 West Ham L 1-4 1616 1745 31.78% 32.86% 35.37% -22.6 26
1979-02-26 @ Luton Town W 4-1 1745 1616 35.37% 32.86% 31.78% +22.6 34
1979-02-28 Cardiff City L 1-4 1507 1489 49.98% 32.38% 17.64% -32.1 15
1979-02-28 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 1489 1507 17.64% 32.38% 49.98% +32.1 19
1979-02-28 Preston North End D 1-1 1705 1632 55.19% 31.42% 13.39% -2.6 36
1979-02-28 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1632 1705 13.39% 31.42% 55.19% +2.6 25
1979-02-28 Sheffield United W 4-0 1625 1534 56.78% 31.01% 12.21% +16.9 23
1979-02-28 @ Wrexham L 0-4 1534 1625 12.21% 31.01% 56.78% -16.9 19
1979-03-03 Burnley W 2-1 1743 1592 61.46% 29.42% 9.12% +3.4 37
1979-03-03 @ Brighton L 1-2 1592 1743 9.12% 29.42% 61.46% -3.4 25
1979-03-03 Wrexham W 1-0 1693 1642 53.24% 31.85% 14.91% +5.6 36
1979-03-03 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1642 1693 14.91% 31.85% 53.24% -5.6 23
1979-03-03 Cardiff City L 1-2 1582 1521 54.14% 31.66% 14.20% -14.1 23
1979-03-03 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1521 1582 14.20% 31.66% 54.14% +14.1 21
1979-03-03 Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1636 1555 55.87% 31.25% 12.87% -2.7 28
1979-03-03 @ Leyton Orient D 1-1 1555 1636 12.87% 31.25% 55.87% +2.7 27
1979-03-03 Sunderland L 0-1 1544 1704 27.63% 32.54% 39.83% -8.9 15
1979-03-03 @ Millwall W 1-0 1704 1544 39.83% 32.54% 27.63% +8.9 34
1979-03-03 Charlton Athletic W 5-3 1590 1627 43.92% 32.93% 23.15% +10.9 27
1979-03-03 @ Newcastle United L 3-5 1627 1590 23.15% 32.93% 43.92% -10.9 28
1979-03-03 Luton Town W 3-1 1579 1594 46.50% 32.76% 20.74% +11.9 29
1979-03-03 @ Notts County L 1-3 1594 1579 20.74% 32.76% 46.50% -11.9 26
1979-03-03 Sheffield United D 1-1 1518 1517 48.20% 32.60% 19.21% -1.7 20
1979-03-03 @ Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1517 1518 19.21% 32.60% 48.20% +1.7 20
1979-03-03 Fulham D 2-2 1635 1625 49.16% 32.49% 18.35% -1.4 26
1979-03-03 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1625 1635 18.35% 32.49% 49.16% +1.4 30
1979-03-03 West Ham W 2-0 1702 1768 40.34% 33.04% 26.62% +16.4 38
1979-03-03 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1768 1702 26.62% 33.04% 40.34% -16.4 34
1979-03-06 Sheffield United D 1-1 1588 1519 54.91% 31.49% 13.60% -2.6 26
1979-03-06 @ Burnley D 1-1 1519 1588 13.60% 31.49% 54.91% +2.6 21
1979-03-06 Cambridge United L 2-3 1616 1619 47.86% 32.63% 19.50% -12.0 28
1979-03-06 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-2 1619 1616 19.50% 32.63% 47.86% +11.9 28
1979-03-06 Brighton L 1-3 1516 1746 20.07% 31.37% 48.56% -11.3 20
1979-03-06 @ Oldham Athletic W 3-1 1746 1516 48.56% 31.37% 20.07% +11.3 39
1979-03-07 Wrexham W 1-0 1713 1636 55.55% 31.33% 13.11% +5.0 36
1979-03-07 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1636 1713 13.11% 31.33% 55.55% -5.0 23
1979-03-10 Leicester City D 1-1 1558 1568 47.03% 32.71% 20.25% -1.6 28
1979-03-10 @ Bristol Rovers D 1-1 1568 1558 20.25% 32.71% 47.03% +1.6 24
1979-03-10 Preston North End D 1-1 1586 1633 42.61% 32.99% 24.41% -1.0 27
1979-03-10 @ Burnley D 1-1 1633 1586 24.41% 32.99% 42.61% +1.0 27
1979-03-10 Notts County L 0-1 1631 1591 52.16% 32.05% 15.80% -14.4 28
1979-03-10 @ Cambridge United W 1-0 1591 1631 15.80% 32.05% 52.16% +14.4 31
1979-03-10 Newcastle United W 2-1 1535 1601 40.27% 33.04% 26.69% +8.2 23
1979-03-10 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1601 1535 26.69% 33.04% 40.27% -8.2 27
1979-03-10 Millwall L 2-4 1604 1535 54.92% 31.48% 13.59% -22.1 28
1979-03-10 @ Charlton Athletic W 4-2 1535 1604 13.59% 31.48% 54.92% +22.1 17
1979-03-10 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1626 1699 39.44% 33.05% 27.51% -0.7 31
1979-03-10 @ Fulham D 0-0 1699 1626 27.51% 33.05% 39.44% +0.7 37
1979-03-10 Leyton Orient W 2-1 1582 1633 42.18% 33.00% 24.82% +7.8 28
1979-03-10 @ Luton Town L 1-2 1633 1582 24.82% 33.00% 42.18% -7.8 28
1979-03-10 Stoke City D 0-0 1522 1718 23.42% 32.00% 44.58% +1.3 22
1979-03-10 @ Sheffield United D 0-0 1718 1522 44.58% 32.00% 23.42% -1.3 39
1979-03-10 Oldham Athletic W 3-0 1718 1505 65.72% 27.44% 6.83% +7.3 38
1979-03-10 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1505 1718 6.83% 27.44% 65.72% -7.3 20
1979-03-10 Brighton D 0-0 1751 1757 47.42% 32.68% 19.90% -1.8 35
1979-03-10 @ West Ham D 0-0 1757 1751 19.90% 32.68% 47.42% +1.8 40
1979-03-10 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1631 1475 61.87% 29.25% 8.87% +3.3 25
1979-03-10 @ Wrexham L 1-2 1475 1631 8.87% 29.25% 61.87% -3.3 15
1979-03-13 Luton Town W 2-1 1585 1590 47.57% 32.66% 19.77% +6.6 29
1979-03-13 @ Burnley L 1-2 1590 1585 19.77% 32.66% 47.57% -6.6 28
1979-03-13 Sheffield United W 4-1 1605 1523 56.07% 31.20% 12.73% +11.3 33
1979-03-13 @ Notts County L 1-4 1523 1605 12.73% 31.20% 56.07% -11.3 22
1979-03-14 Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1471 1498 45.15% 32.86% 22.00% -24.0 15
1979-03-14 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1498 1471 22.00% 32.86% 45.15% +24.0 22
1979-03-14 Leyton Orient W 3-1 1717 1625 56.85% 30.99% 12.16% +7.7 41
1979-03-14 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1625 1717 12.16% 30.99% 56.85% -7.7 28
1979-03-14 Crystal Palace L 1-2 1725 1699 50.82% 32.26% 16.92% -13.3 38
1979-03-14 @ Sunderland W 2-1 1699 1725 16.92% 32.26% 50.82% +13.3 39
1979-03-17 Sheffield United W 2-0 1759 1512 67.93% 26.23% 5.84% +4.2 42
1979-03-17 @ Brighton L 0-2 1512 1759 5.84% 26.23% 67.93% -4.2 22
1979-03-17 Cardiff City D 1-1 1582 1543 52.10% 32.06% 15.84% -2.2 29
1979-03-17 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1543 1582 15.84% 32.06% 52.10% +2.2 24
1979-03-17 Newcastle United W 2-1 1569 1593 45.45% 32.84% 21.72% +7.1 26
1979-03-17 @ Leicester City L 1-2 1593 1569 21.72% 32.84% 45.45% -7.1 27
1979-03-17 Cambridge United W 3-0 1617 1616 48.24% 32.59% 19.16% +18.8 30
1979-03-17 @ Leyton Orient L 0-3 1616 1617 19.16% 32.59% 48.24% -18.8 28
1979-03-17 West Ham D 0-0 1634 1749 33.67% 32.95% 33.39% -0.0 28
1979-03-17 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1749 1634 33.39% 32.95% 33.67% +0.0 36
1979-03-20 Brighton L 1-2 1556 1763 22.32% 31.82% 45.86% -7.1 28
1979-03-20 @ Bristol Rovers W 2-1 1763 1556 45.86% 31.82% 22.32% +7.1 44
1979-03-20 Millwall W 2-1 1597 1557 52.24% 32.03% 15.73% +5.5 30
1979-03-20 @ Cambridge United L 1-2 1557 1597 15.73% 32.03% 52.24% -5.5 17
1979-03-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1636 1580 53.71% 31.75% 14.54% +5.2 32
1979-03-20 @ Leyton Orient L 1-2 1580 1636 14.54% 31.75% 53.71% -5.2 29
1979-03-20 Oldham Athletic D 1-1 1634 1522 58.54% 30.48% 10.98% -3.0 29
1979-03-20 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1522 1634 10.98% 30.48% 58.54% +3.0 23
1979-03-21 Fulham W 1-0 1576 1625 42.43% 32.99% 24.58% +8.2 28
1979-03-21 @ Leicester City L 0-1 1625 1576 24.58% 32.99% 42.43% -8.2 31
1979-03-21 Burnley L 0-1 1635 1591 52.53% 31.98% 15.49% -14.5 25
1979-03-21 @ Wrexham W 1-0 1591 1635 15.49% 31.98% 52.53% +14.5 31
1979-03-24 Preston North End L 0-1 1447 1631 24.85% 32.21% 42.94% -8.2 15
1979-03-24 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1631 1447 42.94% 32.21% 24.85% +8.2 31
1979-03-24 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1549 1525 50.67% 32.29% 17.04% -2.2 29
1979-03-24 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1525 1549 17.04% 32.29% 50.67% +2.2 24
1979-03-24 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1606 1575 51.30% 32.19% 16.51% +5.8 33
1979-03-24 @ Burnley L 1-2 1575 1606 16.51% 32.19% 51.30% -5.8 29
1979-03-24 Brighton D 0-0 1603 1771 26.76% 32.45% 40.79% +0.9 31
1979-03-24 @ Cambridge United D 0-0 1771 1603 40.79% 32.45% 26.76% -0.9 45
1979-03-24 Stoke City L 1-3 1546 1725 25.40% 32.29% 42.32% -13.6 24
1979-03-24 @ Cardiff City W 3-1 1725 1546 42.32% 32.29% 25.40% +13.6 43
1979-03-24 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1583 1713 31.64% 32.85% 35.51% -9.8 28
1979-03-24 @ Luton Town W 1-0 1713 1583 35.51% 32.85% 31.64% +9.8 41
1979-03-24 Notts County L 0-1 1551 1617 40.38% 33.04% 26.58% -11.6 17
1979-03-24 @ Millwall W 1-0 1617 1551 26.58% 33.04% 40.38% +11.6 35
1979-03-24 Leyton Orient W 1-0 1712 1641 55.04% 31.46% 13.50% +5.2 40
1979-03-24 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1641 1712 13.50% 31.46% 55.04% -5.2 32
1979-03-24 Newcastle United W 5-0 1749 1586 62.34% 29.06% 8.60% +14.9 38
1979-03-24 @ West Ham L 0-5 1586 1749 8.60% 29.06% 62.34% -14.9 27
1979-03-24 Fulham D 1-1 1620 1617 48.44% 32.57% 18.99% -1.7 26
1979-03-24 @ Wrexham D 1-1 1617 1620 18.99% 32.57% 48.44% +1.7 32
1979-03-27 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1569 1722 28.54% 32.62% 38.84% +0.6 30
1979-03-27 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1722 1569 38.84% 32.62% 28.54% -0.6 42
1979-03-27 Fulham W 1-0 1636 1619 49.93% 32.39% 17.68% +6.4 34
1979-03-27 @ Leyton Orient L 0-1 1619 1636 17.68% 32.39% 49.93% -6.4 32
1979-03-27 Cardiff City W 1-0 1628 1532 57.23% 30.88% 11.88% +4.6 37
1979-03-27 @ Notts County L 0-1 1532 1628 11.88% 30.88% 57.23% -4.6 24
1979-03-27 Sunderland L 0-1 1738 1717 50.31% 32.34% 17.35% -14.0 43
1979-03-27 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1717 1738 17.35% 32.34% 50.31% +14.0 42
1979-03-28 Cambridge United W 1-0 1439 1604 27.12% 32.49% 40.39% +11.6 17
1979-03-28 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1604 1439 40.39% 32.49% 27.12% -11.6 31
1979-03-28 Luton Town W 3-0 1585 1573 49.32% 32.47% 18.22% +18.0 30
1979-03-28 @ Leicester City L 0-3 1573 1585 18.22% 32.47% 49.32% -18.0 28
1979-03-31 Notts County D 0-0 1770 1633 60.40% 29.84% 9.77% -3.6 46
1979-03-31 @ Brighton D 0-0 1633 1770 9.77% 29.84% 60.40% +3.6 38
1979-03-31 Cambridge United D 1-1 1612 1592 50.14% 32.36% 17.50% -2.0 34
1979-03-31 @ Burnley D 1-1 1592 1612 17.50% 32.36% 50.14% +2.0 32
1979-03-31 Cardiff City W 2-0 1722 1527 64.50% 28.07% 7.44% +5.5 44
1979-03-31 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1527 1722 7.44% 28.07% 64.50% -5.5 24
1979-03-31 Charlton Athletic W 3-1 1612 1570 52.46% 31.99% 15.55% +9.5 34
1979-03-31 @ Fulham L 1-3 1570 1612 15.55% 31.99% 52.46% -9.5 30
1979-03-31 Newcastle United L 1-3 1527 1571 43.04% 32.97% 23.99% -20.0 24
1979-03-31 @ Oldham Athletic W 3-1 1571 1527 23.99% 32.97% 43.04% +20.0 29
1979-03-31 Leyton Orient D 1-1 1639 1643 47.77% 32.64% 19.59% -1.7 32
1979-03-31 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1643 1639 19.59% 32.64% 47.77% +1.7 35
1979-03-31 Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1507 1547 43.57% 32.95% 23.48% +8.0 24
1979-03-31 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1547 1507 23.48% 32.95% 43.57% -8.0 29
1979-03-31 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1724 1451 69.50% 25.29% 5.21% -17.3 43
1979-03-31 @ Stoke City W 2-1 1451 1724 5.21% 25.29% 69.50% +17.3 19
1979-03-31 Luton Town W 1-0 1731 1555 63.23% 28.66% 8.11% +3.2 44
1979-03-31 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1555 1731 8.11% 28.66% 63.23% -3.2 28
1979-03-31 Leicester City D 1-1 1764 1603 62.22% 29.11% 8.67% -3.5 39
1979-03-31 @ West Ham D 1-1 1603 1764 8.67% 29.11% 62.22% +3.5 31
1979-04-02 West Ham W 3-0 1515 1761 18.64% 31.02% 50.35% +37.7 26
1979-04-02 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1761 1515 50.35% 31.02% 18.64% -37.7 39
1979-04-02 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1618 1560 53.91% 31.71% 14.38% -2.4 27
1979-04-02 @ Wrexham D 1-1 1560 1618 14.38% 31.71% 53.91% +2.4 31
1979-04-03 Crystal Palace D 0-0 1507 1727 20.98% 31.56% 47.46% +1.7 25
1979-04-03 @ Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1727 1507 47.46% 31.56% 20.98% -1.7 45
1979-04-04 Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1468 1539 39.65% 33.05% 27.30% -21.6 19
1979-04-04 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1539 1468 27.30% 33.05% 39.65% +21.6 31
1979-04-04 Leicester City W 2-0 1540 1606 40.26% 33.04% 26.70% +16.4 19
1979-04-04 @ Millwall L 0-2 1606 1540 26.70% 33.04% 40.26% -16.4 31
1979-04-04 Preston North End W 4-3 1591 1638 42.71% 32.98% 24.31% +7.1 31
1979-04-04 @ Newcastle United L 3-4 1638 1591 24.31% 32.98% 42.71% -7.1 32
1979-04-04 Fulham W 2-0 1707 1622 56.27% 31.15% 12.58% +9.2 45
1979-04-04 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1622 1707 12.58% 31.15% 56.27% -9.2 34
1979-04-07 Sheffield United W 2-0 1446 1553 34.86% 32.99% 32.16% +18.6 21
1979-04-07 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1553 1446 32.16% 32.99% 34.86% -18.6 26
1979-04-07 Sunderland D 0-0 1561 1734 26.02% 32.36% 41.62% +1.0 32
1979-04-07 @ Bristol Rovers D 0-0 1734 1561 41.62% 32.36% 26.02% -1.0 45
1979-04-07 West Ham D 0-0 1594 1723 31.74% 32.85% 35.41% +0.2 33
1979-04-07 @ Cambridge United D 0-0 1723 1594 35.41% 32.85% 31.74% -0.2 40
1979-04-07 Millwall W 2-1 1522 1556 44.20% 32.91% 22.89% +7.4 26
1979-04-07 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1556 1522 22.89% 32.91% 44.20% -7.4 19
1979-04-07 Preston North End D 1-1 1563 1631 40.04% 33.05% 26.92% -0.7 32
1979-04-07 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1631 1563 26.92% 33.05% 40.04% +0.7 33
1979-04-07 Stoke City D 1-1 1590 1716 32.08% 32.87% 35.05% +0.2 32
1979-04-07 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1716 1590 35.05% 32.87% 32.08% -0.2 46
1979-04-07 Brighton D 3-3 1644 1766 32.72% 32.90% 34.37% +0.0 36
1979-04-07 @ Leyton Orient D 3-3 1766 1644 34.37% 32.90% 32.72% -0.0 47
1979-04-07 Burnley W 4-1 1552 1610 41.37% 33.02% 25.61% +19.5 30
1979-04-07 @ Luton Town L 1-4 1610 1552 25.61% 33.02% 41.37% -19.5 34
1979-04-07 Crystal Palace W 1-0 1598 1726 31.93% 32.86% 35.20% +10.5 33
1979-04-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1726 1598 35.20% 32.86% 31.93% -10.5 45
1979-04-07 Fulham D 1-1 1637 1613 50.60% 32.30% 17.10% -2.0 39
1979-04-07 @ Notts County D 1-1 1613 1637 17.10% 32.30% 50.60% +2.0 35
1979-04-07 Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1616 1509 58.12% 30.62% 11.27% +8.3 29
1979-04-07 @ Wrexham L 0-2 1509 1616 11.27% 30.62% 58.12% -8.3 25
1979-04-09 Luton Town W 1-0 1723 1572 61.48% 29.42% 9.11% +3.6 42
1979-04-09 @ West Ham L 0-1 1572 1723 9.11% 29.42% 61.48% -3.6 30
1979-04-10 Newcastle United W 1-0 1590 1609 46.05% 32.79% 21.16% +7.4 36
1979-04-10 @ Burnley L 0-1 1609 1590 21.16% 32.79% 46.05% -7.4 33
1979-04-10 Cambridge United D 1-1 1715 1594 59.18% 30.27% 10.55% -3.1 46
1979-04-10 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1594 1715 10.55% 30.27% 59.18% +3.1 34
1979-04-10 Leyton Orient W 2-0 1549 1644 36.39% 33.03% 30.58% +18.0 21
1979-04-10 @ Millwall L 0-2 1644 1549 30.58% 33.03% 36.39% -18.0 36
1979-04-10 Notts County W 5-1 1534 1635 35.73% 33.01% 31.26% +28.9 28
1979-04-10 @ Sheffield United L 1-5 1635 1534 31.26% 33.01% 35.73% -28.9 39
1979-04-11 Cardiff City D 2-2 1615 1529 56.33% 31.13% 12.54% -2.0 36
1979-04-11 @ Fulham D 2-2 1529 1615 12.54% 31.13% 56.33% +2.0 27
1979-04-13 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1766 1562 65.13% 27.75% 7.12% +5.2 49
1979-04-13 @ Brighton L 0-2 1562 1766 7.12% 27.75% 65.13% -5.2 32
1979-04-13 Blackburn Rovers W 5-0 1500 1465 51.75% 32.12% 16.13% +26.4 27
1979-04-13 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-5 1465 1500 16.13% 32.12% 51.75% -26.4 21
1979-04-13 Notts County W 3-0 1733 1606 59.72% 30.08% 10.20% +11.0 47
1979-04-13 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1606 1733 10.20% 30.08% 59.72% -11.0 39
1979-04-14 Burnley L 1-2 1439 1597 27.84% 32.56% 39.60% -8.4 21
1979-04-14 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1597 1439 39.60% 32.56% 27.84% +8.4 38
1979-04-14 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1562 1712 28.89% 32.65% 38.45% -9.1 32
1979-04-14 @ Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1712 1562 38.45% 32.65% 28.89% +9.2 48
1979-04-14 Fulham W 1-0 1598 1613 46.42% 32.76% 20.81% +7.3 36
1979-04-14 @ Cambridge United L 0-1 1613 1598 20.81% 32.76% 46.42% -7.3 36
1979-04-14 Brighton W 3-1 1531 1771 19.13% 31.14% 49.73% +22.3 29
1979-04-14 @ Cardiff City L 1-3 1771 1531 49.73% 31.14% 19.13% -22.3 49
1979-04-14 Stoke City L 1-4 1557 1716 27.79% 32.55% 39.66% -20.5 32
1979-04-14 @ Charlton Athletic W 4-1 1716 1557 39.66% 32.55% 27.79% +20.5 48
1979-04-14 Sunderland L 1-2 1590 1744 28.37% 32.61% 39.02% -8.5 32
1979-04-14 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1744 1590 39.02% 32.61% 28.37% +8.5 49
1979-04-14 West Ham L 0-2 1626 1727 35.74% 33.01% 31.25% -20.0 36
1979-04-14 @ Leyton Orient W 2-0 1727 1626 31.25% 33.01% 35.74% +20.0 44
1979-04-14 Millwall D 2-2 1568 1567 48.23% 32.59% 19.18% -1.3 31
1979-04-14 @ Luton Town D 2-2 1567 1568 19.18% 32.59% 48.23% +1.3 22
1979-04-14 Sheffield United L 1-3 1601 1563 52.01% 32.07% 15.92% -23.5 33
1979-04-14 @ Newcastle United W 3-1 1563 1601 15.92% 32.07% 52.01% +23.5 30
1979-04-14 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1595 1527 54.79% 31.52% 13.70% -2.8 40
1979-04-14 @ Notts County D 0-0 1527 1595 13.70% 31.52% 54.79% +2.8 28
1979-04-14 Preston North End W 2-1 1624 1631 47.34% 32.68% 19.98% +6.7 31
1979-04-14 @ Wrexham L 1-2 1631 1624 19.98% 32.68% 47.34% -6.7 33
1979-04-16 Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1749 1552 64.63% 28.00% 7.37% +7.9 51
1979-04-16 @ Brighton L 0-3 1552 1749 7.37% 28.00% 64.63% -7.9 32
1979-04-16 Wrexham D 0-0 1606 1631 45.29% 32.85% 21.86% -1.5 39
1979-04-16 @ Burnley D 0-0 1631 1606 21.86% 32.85% 45.29% +1.5 32
1979-04-16 Leyton Orient D 2-2 1605 1606 48.02% 32.62% 19.36% -1.2 37
1979-04-16 @ Fulham D 2-2 1606 1605 19.36% 32.62% 48.02% +1.2 37
1979-04-16 Leicester City W 2-1 1530 1581 42.11% 33.00% 24.89% +7.8 30
1979-04-16 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-2 1581 1530 24.89% 33.00% 42.11% -7.8 32
1979-04-16 Newcastle United D 0-0 1625 1578 52.86% 31.92% 15.22% -2.6 34
1979-04-16 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1578 1625 15.22% 31.92% 52.86% +2.6 34
1979-04-16 Luton Town D 0-0 1737 1567 62.80% 28.86% 8.35% -4.0 49
1979-04-16 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1567 1737 8.35% 28.86% 62.80% +4.0 32
1979-04-16 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1753 1430 72.37% 23.44% 4.19% -18.8 49
1979-04-16 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1430 1753 4.19% 23.44% 72.37% +18.8 23
1979-04-16 Cardiff City D 1-1 1747 1553 64.39% 28.12% 7.49% -3.7 45
1979-04-16 @ West Ham D 1-1 1553 1747 7.49% 28.12% 64.39% +3.7 30
1979-04-17 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1721 1536 63.85% 28.38% 7.77% +3.0 50
1979-04-17 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1536 1721 7.77% 28.38% 63.85% -3.0 32
1979-04-17 Cambridge United W 2-0 1568 1605 43.94% 32.93% 23.13% +14.8 24
1979-04-17 @ Millwall L 0-2 1605 1568 23.13% 32.93% 43.94% -14.8 36
1979-04-17 Leicester City W 4-0 1622 1574 53.02% 31.89% 15.09% +20.3 36
1979-04-17 @ Preston North End L 0-4 1574 1622 15.09% 31.89% 53.02% -20.3 32
1979-04-17 Wrexham D 1-1 1587 1633 42.83% 32.98% 24.19% -1.0 31
1979-04-17 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1633 1587 24.19% 32.98% 42.83% +1.0 33
1979-04-17 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1733 1545 64.05% 28.28% 7.67% +5.7 51
1979-04-17 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1545 1733 7.67% 28.28% 64.05% -5.7 32
1979-04-18 Notts County L 1-2 1580 1592 46.84% 32.73% 20.43% -12.4 34
1979-04-18 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1592 1580 20.43% 32.73% 46.84% +12.4 42
1979-04-20 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1553 1724 26.35% 32.40% 41.25% +0.8 33
1979-04-20 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1724 1553 41.25% 32.40% 26.35% -0.8 51
1979-04-21 Millwall D 1-1 1449 1583 31.06% 32.81% 36.13% +0.3 24
1979-04-21 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1583 1449 36.13% 32.81% 31.06% -0.3 25
1979-04-21 Burnley W 2-0 1539 1604 40.37% 33.04% 26.59% +16.4 34
1979-04-21 @ Bristol Rovers L 0-2 1604 1539 26.59% 33.04% 40.37% -16.4 39
1979-04-21 Sunderland L 0-2 1590 1734 29.70% 32.72% 37.58% -17.6 36
1979-04-21 @ Cambridge United W 2-0 1734 1590 37.58% 32.72% 29.70% +17.6 51
1979-04-21 Sheffield United W 4-0 1557 1586 44.90% 32.87% 22.22% +27.4 32
1979-04-21 @ Cardiff City L 0-4 1586 1557 22.22% 32.87% 44.90% -27.4 31
1979-04-21 West Ham D 0-0 1533 1743 22.06% 31.77% 46.17% +1.5 33
1979-04-21 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1743 1533 46.17% 31.77% 22.06% -1.5 46
1979-04-21 Oldham Athletic D 0-0 1608 1537 54.97% 31.47% 13.55% -2.9 38
1979-04-21 @ Leyton Orient D 0-0 1537 1608 13.55% 31.47% 54.97% +2.9 31
1979-04-21 Brighton D 1-1 1571 1757 24.59% 32.18% 43.23% +1.0 33
1979-04-21 @ Luton Town D 1-1 1757 1571 43.23% 32.18% 24.59% -1.0 52
1979-04-21 Fulham D 0-0 1568 1604 43.98% 32.93% 23.09% -1.3 35
1979-04-21 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1604 1568 23.09% 32.93% 43.98% +1.3 38
1979-04-21 Preston North End D 0-0 1604 1642 43.75% 32.94% 23.31% -1.3 43
1979-04-21 @ Notts County D 0-0 1642 1604 23.31% 32.94% 43.75% +1.3 37
1979-04-21 Stoke City L 0-1 1634 1738 35.12% 33.00% 31.88% -10.5 33
1979-04-21 @ Wrexham W 1-0 1738 1634 31.88% 33.00% 35.12% +10.5 53
1979-04-24 Fulham D 0-0 1583 1606 45.56% 32.83% 21.61% -1.5 26
1979-04-24 @ Millwall D 0-0 1606 1583 21.61% 32.83% 45.56% +1.5 39
1979-04-24 Leicester City L 0-1 1603 1554 53.05% 31.88% 15.07% -14.6 43
1979-04-24 @ Notts County W 1-0 1554 1603 15.07% 31.88% 53.05% +14.6 35
1979-04-24 Wrexham W 1-0 1540 1623 38.11% 33.05% 28.84% +9.2 33
1979-04-24 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-1 1623 1540 28.84% 33.05% 38.11% -9.2 33
1979-04-24 Cambridge United L 0-2 1644 1572 55.09% 31.44% 13.46% -28.6 37
1979-04-24 @ Preston North End W 2-0 1572 1644 13.46% 31.44% 55.09% +28.6 38
1979-04-24 Burnley W 3-1 1741 1588 61.62% 29.36% 9.02% +5.8 48
1979-04-24 @ West Ham L 1-3 1588 1741 9.02% 29.36% 61.62% -5.8 39
1979-04-25 Newcastle United L 1-3 1449 1567 33.34% 32.93% 33.72% -16.5 24
1979-04-25 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1567 1449 33.72% 32.93% 33.34% +16.5 37
1979-04-25 Luton Town W 2-1 1585 1572 49.47% 32.45% 18.08% +6.2 34
1979-04-25 @ Cardiff City L 1-2 1572 1585 18.08% 32.45% 49.47% -6.2 33
1979-04-25 Sheffield United W 6-2 1752 1558 64.42% 28.10% 7.48% +7.4 53
1979-04-25 @ Sunderland L 2-6 1558 1752 7.48% 28.10% 64.42% -7.4 31
1979-04-28 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1756 1433 72.39% 23.43% 4.18% +1.4 54
1979-04-28 @ Brighton L 1-2 1433 1756 4.18% 23.43% 72.39% -1.4 24
1979-04-28 Leyton Orient L 0-1 1582 1605 45.60% 32.83% 21.58% -12.8 39
1979-04-28 @ Burnley W 1-0 1605 1582 21.58% 32.83% 45.60% +12.8 40
1979-04-28 Notts County W 2-0 1723 1588 60.28% 29.88% 9.84% +7.3 53
1979-04-28 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1588 1723 9.84% 29.88% 60.28% -7.3 43
1979-04-28 Leicester City W 3-0 1607 1569 52.04% 32.07% 15.89% +16.2 41
1979-04-28 @ Fulham L 0-3 1569 1607 15.89% 32.07% 52.04% -16.2 35
1979-04-28 Bristol Rovers L 0-3 1581 1555 50.82% 32.26% 16.92% -38.6 26
1979-04-28 @ Millwall W 3-0 1555 1581 16.92% 32.26% 50.82% +38.6 36
1979-04-28 Cambridge United W 4-1 1550 1601 42.14% 33.00% 24.86% +19.1 35
1979-04-28 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-4 1601 1550 24.86% 33.00% 42.14% -19.1 38
1979-04-28 Luton Town D 2-2 1615 1566 53.11% 31.87% 15.01% -1.7 38
1979-04-28 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1566 1615 15.01% 31.87% 53.11% +1.7 34
1979-04-28 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1551 1535 49.83% 32.40% 17.77% +6.1 33
1979-04-28 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1535 1551 17.77% 32.40% 49.83% -6.1 33
1979-04-28 Newcastle United D 0-0 1749 1583 62.49% 28.99% 8.52% -3.9 54
1979-04-28 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1583 1749 8.52% 28.99% 62.49% +3.9 38
1979-04-28 Cardiff City L 1-2 1759 1591 62.70% 28.90% 8.40% -16.0 53
1979-04-28 @ Sunderland W 2-1 1591 1759 8.40% 28.90% 62.70% +16.0 36
1979-04-28 Wrexham D 1-1 1747 1614 60.13% 29.94% 9.94% -3.2 49
1979-04-28 @ West Ham D 1-1 1614 1747 9.94% 29.94% 60.13% +3.2 34
1979-05-01 Wrexham D 1-1 1581 1617 44.01% 32.92% 23.07% -1.2 44
1979-05-01 @ Notts County D 1-1 1617 1581 23.07% 32.92% 44.01% +1.2 35
1979-05-02 Bristol Rovers W 3-0 1587 1594 47.38% 32.68% 19.94% +19.3 40
1979-05-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1594 1587 19.94% 32.68% 47.38% -19.3 36
1979-05-02 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1557 1431 59.56% 30.14% 10.30% -16.3 33
1979-05-02 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1431 1557 10.30% 30.14% 59.56% +16.3 26
1979-05-05 West Ham W 1-0 1448 1744 14.69% 29.70% 55.61% +15.0 28
1979-05-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1744 1448 55.61% 29.70% 14.69% -15.0 49
1979-05-05 Preston North End L 0-1 1575 1613 43.66% 32.94% 23.40% -12.4 36
1979-05-05 @ Bristol Rovers W 1-0 1613 1575 23.40% 32.94% 43.66% +12.4 40
1979-05-05 Sheffield United W 1-0 1582 1541 52.30% 32.02% 15.68% +5.9 40
1979-05-05 @ Cambridge United L 0-1 1541 1582 15.68% 32.02% 52.30% -5.9 33
1979-05-05 Burnley D 1-1 1607 1569 51.95% 32.08% 15.97% -2.2 37
1979-05-05 @ Cardiff City D 1-1 1569 1607 15.97% 32.08% 51.95% +2.2 40
1979-05-05 Oldham Athletic W 2-0 1529 1569 43.52% 32.95% 23.53% +15.0 35
1979-05-05 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1569 1529 23.53% 32.95% 43.52% -15.0 35
1979-05-05 Millwall D 0-0 1552 1543 49.16% 32.49% 18.35% -2.0 36
1979-05-05 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1543 1552 18.35% 32.49% 49.16% +2.0 27
1979-05-05 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1617 1731 33.92% 32.96% 33.12% -10.2 40
1979-05-05 @ Leyton Orient W 1-0 1731 1617 33.12% 32.96% 33.92% +10.2 55
1979-05-05 Fulham W 2-0 1567 1623 41.56% 33.02% 25.42% +15.9 36
1979-05-05 @ Luton Town L 0-2 1623 1567 25.42% 33.02% 41.56% -15.9 41
1979-05-05 Brighton L 1-3 1606 1757 28.85% 32.65% 38.50% -14.9 40
1979-05-05 @ Newcastle United W 3-1 1757 1606 38.50% 32.65% 28.85% +14.9 56
1979-05-05 Stoke City L 0-1 1580 1745 27.09% 32.48% 40.43% -8.7 44
1979-05-05 @ Notts County W 1-0 1745 1580 40.43% 32.48% 27.09% +8.7 56
1979-05-05 Sunderland L 1-2 1618 1743 32.30% 32.88% 34.81% -9.3 35
1979-05-05 @ Wrexham W 2-1 1743 1618 34.81% 32.88% 32.30% +9.3 55
1979-05-07 Bristol Rovers W 2-0 1605 1562 52.43% 32.00% 15.57% +11.0 39
1979-05-07 @ Cardiff City L 0-2 1562 1605 15.57% 32.00% 52.43% -11.0 36
1979-05-07 Luton Town W 2-0 1609 1583 50.80% 32.27% 16.93% +11.7 37
1979-05-07 @ Wrexham L 0-2 1583 1609 16.93% 32.27% 50.80% -11.7 36
1979-05-08 Millwall L 0-1 1572 1545 50.91% 32.25% 16.84% -14.1 40
1979-05-08 @ Burnley W 1-0 1545 1572 16.84% 32.25% 50.91% +14.1 29
1979-05-08 Wrexham W 2-0 1592 1621 44.82% 32.88% 22.30% +14.5 42
1979-05-08 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1621 1592 22.30% 32.88% 44.82% -14.5 37
1979-05-08 Leicester City D 2-2 1535 1550 46.39% 32.77% 20.84% -1.1 34
1979-05-08 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1550 1535 20.84% 32.77% 46.39% +1.1 37
1979-05-09 Fulham W 2-1 1463 1607 29.63% 32.71% 37.66% +10.4 30
1979-05-09 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1607 1463 37.66% 32.71% 29.63% -10.4 41
1979-05-10 Bristol Rovers L 0-1 1606 1551 53.62% 31.77% 14.61% -14.8 37
1979-05-10 @ Wrexham W 1-0 1551 1606 14.61% 31.77% 53.62% +14.8 38
1979-05-11 West Ham D 0-0 1616 1729 33.92% 32.96% 33.13% -0.0 40
1979-05-11 @ Cardiff City D 0-0 1729 1616 33.13% 32.96% 33.92% +0.1 50
1979-05-11 Burnley W 2-0 1741 1557 63.75% 28.42% 7.83% +5.8 57
1979-05-11 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 1557 1741 7.83% 28.42% 63.75% -5.8 40
1979-05-11 Millwall W 4-1 1554 1559 47.55% 32.66% 19.78% +16.2 37
1979-05-11 @ Oldham Athletic L 1-4 1559 1554 19.78% 32.66% 47.55% -16.2 29
1979-05-14 Wrexham W 1-0 1616 1591 50.62% 32.29% 17.08% +6.3 42
1979-05-14 @ Cardiff City L 0-1 1591 1616 17.08% 32.29% 50.62% -6.3 37
1979-05-14 West Ham W 2-1 1543 1729 24.58% 32.18% 43.25% +11.5 31
1979-05-14 @ Millwall L 1-2 1729 1543 43.25% 32.18% 24.58% -11.5 50
1979-05-14 Burnley W 2-0 1570 1552 50.04% 32.38% 17.59% +12.1 39
1979-05-14 @ Oldham Athletic L 0-2 1552 1570 17.59% 32.38% 50.04% -12.1 40
1979-05-17 Wrexham D 2-2 1554 1585 44.59% 32.89% 22.52% -0.9 32
1979-05-17 @ Millwall D 2-2 1585 1554 22.52% 32.89% 44.59% +0.9 38
1979-05-22 Preston North End L 0-2 1553 1626 39.42% 33.05% 27.52% -21.5 32
1979-05-22 @ Millwall W 2-0 1626 1553 27.52% 33.05% 39.42% +21.5 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-04-16 4.19% Blackburn Rovers 1430 1 @ Sunderland 1753 0
2 1979-03-31 5.21% Blackburn Rovers 1451 2 @ Stoke City 1724 1
3 1978-12-26 7.68% Bristol Rovers 1532 1 @ Crystal Palace 1720 0
4 1979-04-28 8.40% Cardiff City 1591 2 @ Sunderland 1759 1
5 1978-09-02 8.54% Fulham 1571 1 @ West Ham 1736 0
6 1978-12-26 8.96% Leyton Orient 1597 2 @ West Ham 1752 0
7 1979-05-02 10.30% Blackburn Rovers 1431 1 @ Sheffield United 1557 0
8 1978-11-03 11.31% Blackburn Rovers 1548 2 @ Fulham 1654 1
9 1978-11-04 11.49% Leicester City 1556 1 @ Luton Town 1660 0
10 1978-09-30 11.71% Cardiff City 1536 2 @ Wrexham 1636 1
11 1978-12-16 12.26% Cambridge United 1606 2 @ Sunderland 1696 0
12 1978-08-22 12.45% Cambridge United 1610 2 @ Brighton 1697 0
13 1978-10-21 12.63% Blackburn Rovers 1533 1 @ Cambridge United 1617 0
14 1978-12-09 12.70% Millwall 1499 3 @ Bristol Rovers 1582 0
15 1978-11-11 12.93% Cambridge United 1613 3 @ Stoke City 1693 1
16 1978-10-28 13.27% Fulham 1639 1 @ Crystal Palace 1713 0
17 1979-04-24 13.46% Cambridge United 1572 2 @ Preston North End 1644 0
18 1979-03-10 13.59% Millwall 1535 4 @ Charlton Athletic 1604 2
19 1979-03-03 14.20% Cardiff City 1521 2 @ Leicester City 1582 1
20 1979-05-10 14.61% Bristol Rovers 1551 1 @ Wrexham 1606 0
21 1979-05-05 14.69% @ Blackburn Rovers 1448 1 West Ham 1744 0
22 1979-04-24 15.07% Leicester City 1554 1 @ Notts County 1603 0
23 1978-10-14 15.20% Charlton Athletic 1558 3 @ Leicester City 1605 0
24 1979-02-24 15.35% Millwall 1516 2 @ Sheffield United 1562 0
25 1978-12-09 15.46% Preston North End 1571 2 @ Luton Town 1614 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-12-09 42.20 Millwall 3 1499 12.70% @ Bristol Rovers 0 1582 56.10% 31.19%
2 1978-10-14 39.98 Charlton Athletic 3 1558 15.20% @ Leicester City 0 1605 52.89% 31.91%
3 1979-04-28 38.57 Bristol Rovers 3 1555 16.92% @ Millwall 0 1581 50.82% 32.26%
4 1978-11-25 37.84 Sunderland 3 1637 17.87% @ Luton Town 0 1652 49.72% 32.42%
5 1979-04-02 37.72 @ Sheffield United 3 1515 18.64% West Ham 0 1761 50.35% 31.02%
6 1978-12-30 37.08 Charlton Athletic 3 1574 18.86% @ Oldham Athletic 0 1578 48.59% 32.55%
7 1978-11-18 34.20 @ Millwall 3 1471 23.34% Stoke City 0 1668 44.66% 31.99%
8 1978-10-21 33.51 @ Luton Town 6 1635 50.10% Notts County 0 1616 17.54% 32.37%
9 1979-02-24 33.32 Stoke City 3 1671 24.25% @ Burnley 0 1625 42.77% 32.98%
10 1978-09-16 32.53 @ Sheffield United 4 1551 38.52% Burnley 0 1631 28.42% 33.05%
11 1979-02-28 32.06 Cardiff City 4 1489 17.64% @ Blackburn Rovers 1 1507 49.98% 32.38%
12 1978-12-26 31.64 Leyton Orient 2 1597 8.96% @ West Ham 0 1752 61.73% 29.31%
13 1978-12-12 30.68 @ Preston North End 6 1584 41.63% Charlton Athletic 1 1640 25.35% 33.02%
14 1978-09-16 30.64 Crystal Palace 3 1655 28.55% @ Millwall 0 1575 38.39% 33.05%
15 1978-12-23 29.89 Brighton 3 1692 29.84% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1602 37.12% 33.04%
16 1978-12-16 29.34 Cambridge United 2 1606 12.26% @ Sunderland 0 1696 56.71% 31.03%
17 1978-08-22 29.22 Cambridge United 2 1610 12.45% @ Brighton 0 1697 56.44% 31.10%
18 1978-08-23 28.95 West Ham 3 1706 31.48% @ Newcastle United 0 1605 35.51% 33.01%
19 1979-04-10 28.90 @ Sheffield United 5 1534 35.73% Notts County 1 1635 31.26% 33.01%
20 1979-04-24 28.58 Cambridge United 2 1572 13.46% @ Preston North End 0 1644 55.09% 31.44%
21 1979-02-24 27.45 Millwall 2 1516 15.35% @ Sheffield United 0 1562 52.70% 31.95%
22 1979-04-21 27.36 @ Cardiff City 4 1557 44.90% Sheffield United 0 1586 22.22% 32.87%
23 1979-02-24 27.24 Sunderland 4 1677 25.83% @ Newcastle United 1 1618 41.14% 33.03%
24 1978-10-06 26.45 Leyton Orient 2 1561 17.13% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1584 50.57% 32.30%
25 1979-04-13 26.41 @ Oldham Athletic 5 1500 51.75% Blackburn Rovers 0 1465 16.13% 32.12%